Squirrel and Jeffrey discuss various ways to make statements about the future ("this feature will take a week" or "users will buy 20% more if we cut prices in half") and disagree about exactly how valuable they are and how to use them.SHOW LINKS:- Tilted Slider: https://agileconversations.com/blog/dont-add-more-metrics/- Toyota Kata: http://www-personal.umich.edu/~mrother/Homepage.html- Thinking in Bets: https://www.annieduke.com/thinking-in-bets/- Estimates are Lies: https://squirrelsquadron.com/events/2022/09-15-estimates.html- Superforcasting: https://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Science-Prediction-Philip-Tetlock/dp/0804136718- Betting Market: https://manifold.marketsEvents:- Jtf at CITCON Europe Oct 14th & 15th: https://citconf.com/zwolle2022/- Jtf at DevOps Enterprise Summit Oct 18th-20th: https://events.itrevolution.com/lasvegas/- Squirrel live in Vienna Oct 20th: https://squirrelsquadron.com/events/2022/10-20-vienna.html- Squirrel live in Miami early November: https://squirrelsquadron.com/events/2022/11-09-miami.html---Our book, Agile Conversations, is out now! See https://agileconversations.com where you can order your copy and get a free video when you join our mailing list!We'd love to hear any thoughts, ideas, or feedback you have about the show.Email us at info@agileconversations.com