Joe Biden is simply more popular than Donald Trump—by a lot, almost everywhere. Then, how can Donald Trump win the election? This episode explores a couple things that could help him and the GOP.
The incumbent advantage: no "fear of the unknown", good things attributed to him, more resources
The electoral college reduces the pool of relevant voters
Democratic voting trends: harder to take time off work, voter suppression, infighting and heterogeneity
Gerrymandering at the congressional level
If there is an electoral college tie, Trump most likely wins the presidency
For more detail, watch the full episode.