What happens when every software company needs to be a hardware company first? And how are leading VC firms potentially predicting that the 2000s will be repeating themselves?

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SHOW NOTES:

  • AI’s $200B Question (Sequoia)
  • 5 years and $15B later, a fiber venture fails (Global Crossing)
  • Dot com bubble
  • The history of Switch Data Centers
  • Interest rates over the last 30 years
  • The Cost of Cloud, A Trillion Dollar Paradox (a16z)
  • VCs vs the Cloud (Eps.656)

BACK IN THE DOT COM DAYS, WE ASSUMED THAT EVERYTHING WOULD BE INTERNET

  • Let's remember how we transitioned from the late 1990s to the early 2000s
  • VCs used to have a $50M "hardware tax" on investments
  • Cloud and Low Interest Rates changed everything
  • New Technology with Simple UI + Infrastructure Buildouts + Unknown Business Models

NOW WE ASSUME THAT EVERYTHING WILL BE AI (and GPUs)

  • Interest rates have come back up to 2001 levels
  • VCs are back to paying the "hardware tax", and aren't happy
  • New Technology with Simple UI + Infrastructure Buildouts + Unknown Business Models
  • Let's see if history repeats itself.

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