Capstone Wealth Management: Recent Episodes
Fox Sports 1070 (WTSO-AM)
Care For My Wealth Show with Capstone Wealth Management, a weekly show that airs Saturdays at 9am on The Big 1070 in Madison.
Software is NOT dead!
Equal Weighted Indexes are telling a good story
Gold still trending lower, but a base is now looking for formidable
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Share buyback window opening wider!
New all time highs!
Invetory to sales ratio at levels lower than the last three recessions. This is BULLISH!
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Valutions - Cheapest since 2020! This is NOT the most expensive market ever.
NSYE - hitting new highs
STOXX 50 - Europe breaking out for first time since dot-com bubble!
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Inflate or Die!
Taylor Rule says rates too low!
30 Yr Yields still breaking out
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Banks - healthy breakout
DXY - Risk on breakdown
Gold - Healthy consolidation
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
RATES - market doing Fed's job
RETAIL - Retail army hit the sell sell sell button!
BREADTH - keeps getting better as market corrects moves sideways
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
FED DAY! Nothing burger.
P/E RATIOS - Don't matter as much as you think
REVENUES - Best ever
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
FED - Could a Fed hike be bullish for equities?
KOSPI - still bad
BUYBACKS - open window is opening more
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
2 YR Yields suggest the Fed should hike rates
Earnings reporting to change?
PEG Ration - cheapest market in decades?
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Banks are doing fine!
Businesses are being created!
Oil is ready for a pullback.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
RATES - moment of truth might be failing for bond buyers.
OIL - Higher she heads into trend resistance. $110 in the cards?
US DOLLAR - Dollar loves uncertainty...risk assets do not. $101.59 will be important.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
RATES - US 10YR Yields are at a moment of truth! It would not be surprising to see them reverse and head lower over the next several weeks / months.
GEOMETRIC - Value Line Geometric Index. Looks at the "middle stock". If the foundation of the market was cracking it would not look like it does today.
BREADTH - While the S&P 500 has consolidated, the percentage of stocks to make a new 52-week high since March has continued to expand, rising from 35% at the S&P 500’s last high to 46%. Healthy.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
LEVERAGE - Leveraged ETFs only account for 0.25% of US market...and it's falling
VIX - Seasonality is good to know, but not be anchored to
BONDS - More and more corelated with stocks. Don't ask how much in bonds you should own, but ask what should I own that don't all do the same thing!
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
BANKS - new all time high for Bank Index...not something consistent with a weak market
LEVERAGE - Not what the internet scary charts suggest
OIL - Tested at $85...big test at $87-$94
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
OVERDONE - are the high beta names done correcting? GS High Beta Basket hitting levels not seens since 2009. Probably closer to a bottom than a top.
ROTATION - positive rotation still happening with cyclicals still leading defensives
MAG7 - not lagging the semis anymore. Are we close to an announcement that the hyperscalers are ready to cut capex?
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
KOSPI - South Korean stock market breaks trend
Space X - Unlock schedule
Capital - a lot of global capital sloshing around in the system
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
CPI - Breadth falling...good for no hike? Maybe a cut?
Strait of Hormuz
Yield Curve - rising
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Oil - doing what I said it might do
CPI - deceleration...should not be a surprise
Concentration - we don't have that concentrated of a market. Stop listening to the media.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Mid-Term
US Dollar
Kospi
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Crack Spreads - widening!
Put/Call Ratio - max fear yesterday!
Earnings momentum - good
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
US Dollar - weakening?
Broadening - Non-AI earnings growth is happening
Coffee - 26 year high price spike. Stock up?
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
INSIDERS - buying tech
DJTR - Headline risk with Pres Donald J Trump
Oil - the bounce is on
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
KOSPI - something wicked this way comes? or buying opportunity
TECH - Breadth smells bad. 59% of tech stocks in S&P 500 are in bear territory
S&P 500 Breadth - Hitting All time highs! Makret as a whole not rolling over.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Healthcare - at an important juncture...gettting rotation
Sentiment - Still climbing a wall of worry as bore bears that bulls show up
Gold - Not trading well.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Rates - labor and bond markets signaling disinflation
Healthcare - rotation
Oil - crashing...BUT if it is going to bounce, this is the spot that would be more likely than not
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Banks - KBE breakout from 2007 GFC highs
Gold - Bottoming process...looking like 1973, 2006 now all similar
Jobs - AI not killing jobs like thought?
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Google - added to the Dow today
Fair Value - S&P 500 can reasonably be called a fair vlaue buy right now
LAG 7 - Is this group ready for a catch up trade?
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
GOLD - Dollar Rally would not be kind to gold
Oil - dropping
Yield curve - tightening
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
AI - more profits than you think
JUNE - markets have not peaked in June
VIX - expect some volatility
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
YIELDS - inflation and yield highs are likely in
MAG 7 to LAG 7
CASH - lots of money on the sidelines
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
South Korea - mayhem or opportunity
AI and productivity
Same Store sales - growth
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Oil vs SP500
US Dollar - like 1995?
Valuation vs. Profitability
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Oil
US Dollar - Breakout!
Fear - Saul Good...man (Goodman)...for the Better Call Saul lovers
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Gold - ugly
Transports - testing
Yield curve - didn't like Warsh comments
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Flows
Booming capital issuance
credit growth
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Fed
Gold
Oil
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Copper - growth still expected by the way Copper is trading
Shorts - short sellers help market structure, but are also guaranteed buyers.
Oil - continues to crash. Support at $75 WTI
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
SpaceX - how much liquidity will get pulled from everywhere else
Gold - not looking good
Sentiment - healthy
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
1.) Culprit - no culprit, no top
2.) Oil - Dumb money is betting hard against oil
3.) CPI - decelerations
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Oil - Not like 2008, 2022
Top - Not seeing typical ingredients to a major market top
Bubble - Not in equities, but in soverign debt issuance
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Gold - topped for a while?
Oil - Creating a disinflation print for June
CTAs - buyers or sellers?
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
US DOLLAR
GOLD
S&P 500 AND FIBONACCI
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-care-for-my-wealth-show--2487688/support.
1.) US DOLLAR - What is correlated and what is not...and why does it matter?
2.) INTEREST RATES - Consensus will now get TOO DOVISH headed into next month's CPI print. UST tapping TRADE support at 4.33%
3.) OIL - TREND support at 63/barrel WTI
ONE MORE - Volatility. IVOL premiums showing up. Not crash conditions.
1.) ROTATION - Gold losing it's leadership?
2.) SMALL CAPS - Russell 2000 (IWM) signaling broadening of market participation
3.) VIX - CPI below consensus...sell the news?
1.) OIL - RE-flation
2.) NOISE - What trade deals?
3.) VOLATILITY - CPI tomorrow = Vol bump?
1.) DATA - Momentum is taking hold!
2.) RATES - Downgrade shmowngrade?
3.) FLOWS - Systematics have a lot of room to buy
1) INFLATION - Over 2% again!
2) IMPLIED VOLATILITY - Premiums return
3) GOLD - Lower highs
What does the move in the Taiwan New Dollar (TWD/USD) against the US Dollar mean for that country and other international stock markets?
1.) UST10YR - Rates down!
2.) UST2YR - Fed Rate Cuts Incoming?!
3.) GOLD - Correction...right on time
APRIL 28: Things on my mind that are important to consider if you're an investor in global capial markets,
1.) RATES
2.) MAGAZINE COVERS
3.) VOLATILTY
Amidst all the election and war negativity, there are some very big issues likely to propell this market higher.
Levels of importance for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Rates, US Dollar, Oil, Copper. Is economic activity slowing or not?!
Important levels for NVDA, S&P 500, rates and the US Dollar along with correlations for stocks/bonds/USD.
Jobs revision...does it matter? S&P 500 levels of importance. What does it mean to be a "systematic" investor?
What's causing the stock market to sell off? Is there more? Get the video version of this podcast here: https://rumble.com/v59kwip-are-we-back-to-deflationary-risk-off-part-1.html
risk management is all about investing your money in a way that won't blow you up! Chucking your money in a fund or a single stock and hopeing for the best is a thing of the past. Instead, be algorythmically systematic! Let the market tell you want to do, not the other way around.
On May 30, the title of the podcast that day was that markets were ready to move higher in the face of inflation. The S&P 500 was at 5235 then and, more importantly, was ready to bounce off its TRADE level. It did just that and is now almost 4% higher. The rate of change (RoC) of these price, volume and volatility levels that I give you are valuable. Tune in to see what's next!
A weak labor market likely brings rate cuts a tad faster. Who does that help? In the short run - investors. But, remember, rate cuts can often be the start of a weakening investment cycle too as investors start to wonder if things are weaker than being reported. Otherwise, why would the Fed need to cut?
Currently, markets are testing valuable TRADE momentum support. Even though inflation is headed higher, this is not the time or place to give up on stocks or commodities.
Curent models suggest markets are ready for a sell off. Deep? Probably not as markets are still bullish TREND. Don;t forget the yield curve is negative and has been now for over 15 months. That's important since markets tend to respond to that with a 15 month lag.
Inflation IS a problem for the consumer. Inflation IS NOT a problem (for now) for stocks. The market could stumble – BUT NOT due to inflation.
Clips of Danielle Di Martino Booth explaining that the Fed did indeed pivot. The Fed will not REfocus on employment - since it IS weakening - versus solely focusing on inflation. Quantitative Easing is headed back into the system. Inflationary.
Additional clip of Jared Bernstein - Biden Econ Advisor - seemingly not understandind money and markets.
Is the falling Yen really that big of a problem? What macro signals are showing similarities to the OCT 2023 stock index lows?
Major indexes recaptured their trend durations Tue...but those are once again at risk with the META blow-up. META needs to re-take $474 for it to not be in the bear house. 4 of the "Mag 7" are now bearish trend. Big tech rolling over? STILL...lot sof similarities to the OCT 2023 lows happening throughout markets and macro.
Major markets are at the line in the sand - bullish...or bearish! Lots of similarities to OCT 2023 - Move Index (Bond volatility), USD, Rates...could this be the spot market rally for a bit?
Are stock markets breaking trend? Is the next move lower or higher? Who is the whale buying gold?! Is Bitcoin ready to fly into its halving event?
Is the US Dollar poised to just keep climbing? How might that affect the global debt situation?
Volatility breaking down, broadening the bull market as both growth and inflation accelerate.
Today I discuss how to view markets (stocks, bonds, crypto) in a mutli-factor way. What is the trend? Waht's the next real catalyst for market volatility?
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. Also where the dollar currently sits and how it's affecting your investments; beware of narratives when investing; what to expect over the next week
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. Utilities and tech driving the market; latest on energy and inflation; is this a good time to start your first investments?
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. The country is in a debt trap; we are in the volatility complex called "The Chop"; latest on treasuries; get prepared for more stagflation.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. How to know how the economy is doing; why this is a tough investment environment and watching for trends and signals; Volatility is the answer.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. The jobs report numbers aren't as good as they seem; Quad Four time, meaning get ready to prepare yourself; Oil and the Dollar; Why Tech is not a good option now; Portfolio construction.
What to look for if we soon go from a stagflation environment to a deflationary one. Chris Kline also has the latest market and investment news.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. Volatility measurements, emerging markets and where the bull markets are at.
Chris Kline of Capstone Wealth Management has the latest financial and investment news.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. We are still in a stagflation environment. Seeing the environment in context of the Fed's movements and how to structure your portfolio; How to know when to find the "risk off" timing.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. Also, questions about "where the bull market" is at.
Chris Kline has the latest investment and financial news. He discusses a number of points that overwhelm the bullish elements and discusses the impact of inflation on the current market.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. Why this market continues to show obvious bear market signs, and how current indicators show issues in the market not seen since 1929.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. Risks to the economy as the reopening occurs; asset classes that you need to be careful of in a high volatility environment; cross-asset class volatility.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. Also information on the Paycheck Protection Program, and how deep the current economic issues may go.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. He discusses how this market compares to the bear market of 2000; shocking information occurring globally; The Fear of Missing Out taking over the market: GDP; data on segments of the economy that are being severely affected by the quarantine.
Chris Kline has macro data that is globally affecting markets; why the bear market hasn't seen its low yet and more financial and investment news.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. What to think of this market intermediate term and what to stay away from.
Chris Kline has the latest investment and financial news; other historical bear markets and what happened then; positive developments in the market.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. He goes through recent economic data, how to be bullish on the dollar when the Fed is running a printing press, and why you should look at what mortgages are doing
Chris Kline has the latest in the financial and investment world. Volatility, price and volume, the Vix and the equity market and more.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. Volatility is through the roof; Bond market continues to be dysfunctional; High yield bonds aren't good ; VIX levels
Chris Kline discusses volatility in the markets, where the dollar is and the latest in gold prices. He also has the latest investment news
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news; Also news on a group of stocks notoriously being shorted right now.
Chris Kline also discusses Roth IRA strategies for self employed individuals and has the latest market and investment news.
Also, is the current market closer to 2011 or 2013? Roth strategies that are more attractive with the Secure Act passed. Chris Kline also has the latest investment news
Chris Kline on how to save more in a painless way; Savers Credit information and market information.
What the smart money is doing; current equity flows; fear/greed factor; Chris Kline has the latest market and investment news
Chris Kline also has interesting information on Bitcoin as well as the latest market and investment news.
Chris Kline also has information about mutual funds, as well as the latest financial and investment news.
Chris Kline also discusses low bond yields and what it means; how long will the market rally last? He also provides the latest financial and investment news
Chris Kline also talks about the biggest mistake you can make investing in todays market
Numbers relating to the current market climate and date points for investors. Chris Kline also has the latest market and financial news.
Chris Kline has the latest financial and investment news. Also discusses the latest in the energy sector
Chris Kline has the latest market and investment news. He also discusses tax deductions you dont know about, and oil.
Chris Kline has the latest market and financial news. He also discusses school loan debt issues, economic conditions and what evidence points to a recession, and energy.
Chris Kline says don't sell in this market, and there are plenty of other years that felt like this one does now.
Chris Kline covers this week's market news. And what is the definition of a business cycle vs a credit cycle
Chris Kline of Capstone Wealth Management makes the most of another volatile week in the markets
Chris Kline of Capstone Wealth Management discusses this week's market news, and the reasons for the selloffs
Chris Kline of Capstone Wealth Management breaks down the latest in the investment world.
Chris Kline tells you what to make of this weeks large losses in the market, what it means, and what to expect
Chris Kline details what is likely nothing more than an upside correction in the markets.
Chris Kline also discusses what he is worried about in the current climate, and where investor sentiment lies.
Chris Kline discusses retail sales soaring this year and what that means; How the tax reform bill will affect the markets (7:44); Small and midsize media companies and global growth (11:00); Bond market may be looking brighter and three things to look for with equities this year (14:30)
Also, what economic issues are impacting the market, and why long standing beliefs are being bent.
Chris Klein also discusses the 30 year anniversary of "Black Monday", and how that has changed the financial world
Chris Klein breaks down a number of items to look at when determining when the market has topped out
Seven things to do to see if you were impacted, and how to protect yourself from these hacks in the future; Economic issues over the past week
How that is affecting your portfolio; Short and long term debt cycles, and what that means economically; Where the value is at in markets
Six aspects of the current atmosphere relating to wages vs jobs; The latest from the retail sector
Chris Klein takes a look at nine historical events that have led to a bear market. He also discusses whether or not the news regarding North Korea was the sole reason markets went down this week.
Chris Klein of Capstone Wealth Management discusses the biggest news from the past week in the financial world
Changes could be coming to Stretch, Roth and Traditional IRA's; Another interesting week for FANG stocks and earnings; The Fed made a big announcement
The latest on the overseas tech market bubbles; death of stretch IRA's; Top Watch for markets and the latest on credit markets
Are passive investors misjudging market liquidity? Brick and mortar retail is bad, but no online. What does that mean? What you need to know now about Cov Light Bonds
The jobs report sent positive signs throughout the markets; The energy sector has been beat up again; Is there WAY too much positivity in the market?
Chris Kline says the market will eventually correct itself, and a Bear Market is likely going to happen soon, but how soon?
Despite lots of negativity of short term market future, positives in technology and robotics could change that sooner rather than later.
A rough week for tech stocks, but a good sign for energy. Where is the risk in this market, and why is the Yield Curve flattening. Chris Kline discusses.
Chris Klein on why this is the third of fourth inning of a bull market run...and warning signs of a market top. Also, where are home values at right now?
Disproportionate things are happening in the markets, and there is alot of passive indexing. Why the markets are tied to the outcome of new tax reform
Chris Kline talks about how the markets moved after what happened in Syria and Sweden, and why he's still a fan of fossil fuels