Guive Assadi is a Research Scholar at the Center for the Governance of AI. Guive’s research focuses on the conceptual clarification of, and prioritisation among, potential risks posed by emerging technologies. He holds a master’s in history from Cambridge University, and a bachelor’s from UC Berkeley.

In this episode, we discuss Guive's paper, 'Will Humanity Choose Its Future?'.

  • What is an 'evolutionary future', and would it count as an existential catastrophe?
  • How did the agricultural revolution deliver a world which few people would have chosen?
  • What does it mean to say that we are living in the 'dreamtime'? Will it last?
  • What competitive pressures in the future could drive the world to undesired outcomes?
    • Digital minds
    • Space settlement
  • What measures could prevent an evolutionary future, and allow humanity to more deliberately choose its future?
    • World government
    • Strong global coordination
    • Defensive advantage
  • Should this all make us more or less hopeful about humanity's future?
  • Ideas for further research

Guive's recommended reading:

  • Rationalist Explanations for War by James D. Fearon
  • Meditations on Moloch by Scott Alexander
  • The Age of Em by Robin Hanson
  • What is a Singleton? By Nick Bostrom

Other key links:

  • Will Humanity Choose Its Future? by Guive Assadi
  • Colder Wars by Gwern
  • The Secret of Our Success: How Culture Is Driving Human Evolution, Domesticating Our Species, and Making Us Smarter by Joseph Henrich (and a review by Scott Alexander)