Insights Now: Recent Episodes
Dr. David Kelly, J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Listen to the latest insights from Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, where he sits down with a variety of thought leaders for a conversational breakdown of big ideas, future trends, emerging topics and their investment implications to help inform building stronger investment plans for the long-term.
The 1987 Stock Market Crash—known as Black Monday—stands as a defining moment in financial history, marked by a single-day decline of over 22% in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This episode unpacks the forces that set the stage for such an unprecedented event, from the exuberance of the 1980s bull market to the rapid proliferation of portfolio insurance. Parallels to today’s market environment highlight both new risks and reassuring differences, reinforcing the value of a long-term perspective.
Join Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, and Diago Mosqueira, Research Analyst, as they revisit Black Monday and share insights for navigating today’s complex markets.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Speculative excess, technological innovation and the optimism of a new era converged in the Roaring Twenties, setting the stage for one of history’s most dramatic market events. The 1929 stock market crash revealed how exuberance and leverage can reshape—and ultimately destabilize—financial markets. This conversation explores the forces that fueled the boom, the mechanisms that amplified risk and the lessons that continue to resonate in today’s investment landscape.
In this episode, join Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, and Katie Korngiebel, Research Analyst, as they examine the enduring impact of the 1929 stock market crash and the insights it offers for navigating modern market cycles.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
A century of market history reveals patterns of optimism, risk and resilience that continue to shape investment decisions today. This special summer series examines landmark events—from the 1929 crash to the Global Financial Crisis—to illuminate the forces behind market upheavals and the lessons they offer for modern investors. The conversation also highlights how long-term perspective and disciplined strategy can help investors navigate volatility and avoid common pitfalls.
In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they introduce some of the turning points that have shaped markets throughout history.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Many investors, particularly those new to the asset class, equate private credit with direct lending. However, private credit encompasses a much broader space than just direct lending. This year, amid concerns over software exposure and rising credit stress in direct lending, we have seen increased interest in other strategies. In particular, distressed and special situations credit strategies, a large and established segment of the market, are gaining popularity.
On today’s episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Brad Demong, Co-Chief Investment Officer of the Global Special Situations Group at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. They discuss why interest in distressed and special situations credit strategies has grown, how the private credit market has repriced following dislocations earlier this year and how the current private equity landscape is creating opportunities for distressed and special situations investors.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
As equity markets become increasingly concentrated, investors are seeking strategies to diversify their exposures. Long-short strategies are one way to achieve this diversification while potentially capturing higher returns by building a portfolio that seeks to overweight winning stocks and short losing stocks.
On today’s episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Susan Bao, Portfolio Manager for the U.S. Equity Group, as they discuss the history of long-short strategies, why today’s environment has brought renewed interest in these strategies and where these types of strategies fit within investor portfolios.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
At the year’s midpoint, investors face a landscape shaped by surging AI investment, geopolitical uncertainty and diverging economic fortunes. The AI boom is powering exceptional growth in technology and semiconductors, while higher energy prices and global tensions add complexity to inflation and consumer sentiment. Shifting central bank policies and evolving global trends are redefining the outlook for fixed income, international equities and alternative assets.
In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they present their mid-year outlook and share timely insights for navigating today’s market crosscurrents.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
With inflation expectations on the rise, volatility has returned and stocks and bonds are increasingly moving together. This is driving interest in uncorrelated and absolute return strategies that can generate returns regardless of what’s happening with broader market beta or the economy.
On today’s episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Bill Eigen, Head of the Absolute Return and Opportunistic Fixed Income team, to discuss where an absolute return strategy fits in portfolios, areas of opportunity Bill is seeing in the market and thoughts on where we are in today’s credit cycle—including private credit.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Geopolitical volatility is reshaping the global economic landscape, influencing everything from energy markets and trade flows to technological innovation and security strategies. As events in Iran, Ukraine and China drive profound shifts across markets, investors are challenged to adapt to a world where resilience and strategic foresight are more critical than ever. Heightened defense spending, evolving supply chains, and new approaches to international cooperation are redefining opportunities and risks, demanding a sophisticated understanding of the forces at play.
In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is joined by Derek Chollet, Head of the JPMorganChase Center for Geopolitics, to share his perspectives on the geopolitical forces shaping today’s markets and tomorrow’s investment decisions.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
College costs have soared well beyond inflation, making education planning a critical challenge for families and advisors. With public and private tuition rising faster than household incomes, the conversation has shifted from simply saving to strategically investing for education. Choosing the right vehicle—like a 529 plan—can make a meaningful difference, offering tax-deferred growth, tax-free withdrawals, and state-level benefits. This episode examines common misconceptions, the impact of procrastination and the realities of scholarships to provide a practical lens for advisors and parents seeking clarity in a changing environment.
In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Tricia Scarlata, Head of Education Savings at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as they share actionable perspectives and personal experiences on building smarter education savings plans.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Last year, JPMorganChase announced the launch of the Security and Resiliency Initiative, a 10-year, $1.5 trillion plan to facilitate, finance and invest in industries critical to national security. With an initial $10 billion in direct equity investments, the initiative aims to help select companies accelerate growth, drive innovation and strengthen strategic manufacturing.
As Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorganChase, put it, “It has become painfully clear that the United States has allowed itself to become too reliant on unreliable sources of critical minerals, products and manufacturing – all of which are essential for our national security.” In this episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Jay Horine, Global Head of the Security and Resiliency Initiative, to discuss the priority areas that the initiative will be focusing on and the role that private companies play in making innovation happen.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Amid fast-moving headlines and shifting market dynamics, it’s time to pause and take a fresh pulse on what matters most. From energy disruptions and inflation to the rise of AI and evolving consumer sentiment, today’s landscape calls for clarity and perspective. Explore the key forces shaping portfolios, uncover emerging opportunities, and rethink risk in a world where change is constant.
In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they spotlight the market’s defining themes and offer timely insights for advisors and investors.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
After a dynamic start to 2026, the alternative investment landscape is evolving rapidly. In this episode, Aaron Mulvihill sits down with Jed Laskowitz, Global Head of Private Markets and Customized Solutions, and Anton Pil, Head of Global Alternative Investment Solutions. Earlier this year, Jed and Anton shared their perspectives on the 2026 Alternative Investments Outlook, spotlighting the key themes and opportunities shaping private markets across asset classes.
Now, as the year unfolds, they return to revisit those themes and explore how they’re playing out in real time. From the ripple effects of ongoing conflict in the Middle East and its impact on private markets to the latest developments in private credit, they break down the forces driving today’s alternative investment environment.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Navigating today’s dynamic markets means staying ahead of shifting sentiment, evolving fundamentals and global events that can shape investment strategies. From the impact of geopolitical conflicts on inflation and growth to the changing landscape of private credit and asset allocation, timely questions from clients reveal what’s top of mind for advisors and investors alike.
In this episode, join Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist, and Grant Papa, Research Analyst, as they answer timely client questions and share insights from the J.P. Morgan Asset Management Market Insights team.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
The rapid evolution of the crypto landscape is reshaping how investors approach diversification, risk and opportunity. As digital assets like Bitcoin and Ether move from the fringes to the mainstream, their unique characteristics—decentralization, scarcity and volatility—are prompting new conversations about portfolio construction. Regulatory milestones, such as the Genius Act, are bringing greater legitimacy and structure to the market, while innovations like stablecoins are unlocking new possibilities for seamless, secure transactions.
In this episode, join the Market Insights team's Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist, and Brandon Hall, Research Analyst, as they share expert perspectives on navigating the complexities and opportunities of the modern crypto market
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
U.S. infrastructure is at a crossroads. As economies expand and technology reshapes the landscape, the demand for robust, modern networks has never been greater. From highways and bridges to power grids and water systems, the pressure to build, maintain and upgrade is mounting, especially as artificial intelligence and data centers drive new requirements for energy and resources. In this environment, the need for strategic investment is urgent and the stakes are high.
In today’s episode Aaron Mulvihill sits down with Darren Olson, Chair of the Committee for America's Infrastructure at the American Society of Civil Engineers. Darren leads the team behind the influential Report Card for America's Infrastructure, a comprehensive assessment that guides policymakers, investors and communities on where investment is most needed.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Millennials and Gen Z are navigating a financial landscape defined by rising costs, shifting job markets, and evolving expectations around wealth and opportunity. As affordability challenges intensify—especially in housing, education and healthcare—these generations are rethinking how they spend, save and invest. Their unique perspectives are reshaping consumer trends, fueling growth in new sectors, and prompting companies to innovate in response to changing demands. From the influence of social media on spending habits to the impact of technology and AI on career prospects, the next generation is confronting existential questions about their financial futures.
In this episode, Global Market Strategists Jack Manley and Jordan Jackson and Market Insights Research Analyst Katie Korngiebel share timely insights and personal perspectives on the challenges and opportunities facing young Americans in today’s economy.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Global markets are flooded with headlines, from shifting geopolitics to evolving economic landscapes and the rapid expansion of private markets. As investors navigate these dynamic times, understanding the broader context is more crucial than ever. In today’s episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Kerry Craig, Global Market Strategist in APAC and Aaron Hussein, Global Market Strategist in EMEA, for a candid conversation about the questions foremost in clients’ minds around the world. Together, they unpack the latest developments in energy and infrastructure, explore how global shipping routes are affecting supply chains and address the growing concerns and opportunities in private credit.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Artificial intelligence is rapidly transforming the investment landscape, prompting new questions about risk, opportunity and the future of market leadership. As innovation accelerates and disruption becomes a constant, understanding how to navigate this evolving environment is more critical than ever. This conversation explores the forces shaping today’s public markets, the balance between fundamentals and sentiment, and the strategic decisions that can help investors stay ahead in a world defined by change. In this special crossover episode between Insights Now and Alternative Realities, we continue our “AI and Investing” series, diving into how AI is reshaping opportunities within public markets.
In this episode, join Meera Pandit and Stephanie Aliaga, both Global Market Strategists on the Market Insights team for a timely exploration of AI’s impact on markets and the pathways to resilient, forward-looking portfolios.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Energy markets are on edge as geopolitical risk meets shifting demand, elevating the importance of balance, quality and discipline in portfolio construction. Markets are pricing a near term risk premium while longer dated benchmarks remain steadier, yet timing matters as continued Strait of Hormuz disruptions can shift outcomes on a week by week basis.
Join Aaron Mulvihill, Global Alternatives Strategist, and Aga Zmigrodzka, Equity Research Analyst, Energy and Infrastructure, at J.P. Morgan Asset Management as they discuss what’s next for oil markets and where disciplined capital allocation and strong balance sheets may uncover durable opportunities across the energy value chain.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Markets have seen strong performance in recent years, but as we look to the future, attention is turning to the transformative impact of artificial intelligence, particularly within private markets. In this special crossover episode between Insights Now and Alternative Realities, we launch Part 1 of our “AI and Investing” series, diving into how AI is reshaping opportunities and risks beyond the public market headlines.
Aaron Mulvihill, Global Alternatives Strategist, is joined by Stephanie Aliaga, Global Market Strategist on the Market Insights team at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. They discuss which sectors are most vulnerable to AI disruption, why private markets have become the home to many of the world’s leading AI companies and the trends she’s seeing across the AI landscape.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Equity markets are shifting, with value and quality equities stepping into the spotlight and AI’s impact reaching far beyond technology. Small- and mid-cap names are drawing fresh attention, while international and emerging markets are finding new momentum. Changing consumer trends, evolving fiscal policy and sector standouts in financials and healthcare are all shaping the landscape for investors seeking what’s next.
In this episode, join the Market Insights team's Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist, and Katie Korngiebel, Research Analyst, as they share timely perspectives on the forces driving equities and where opportunity may emerge in today’s market.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In today’s episode, Aaron Mulvihill, Global Alternatives Strategist, is joined by Brian Coleman, Co-Head of Investments for the Private Credit Solutions Group within J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to dive into private credit, an asset class that continues to be popular with investors due to its yield pick-up compared to traditional fixed income. However, private credit does not come without risk. They discuss some of these risks in certain sectors, as well as the outlook for private credit and opportunities outside of direct lending.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Following the announcement of a new Fed chair, we explore the evolving landscape of monetary policy and its impact on markets. Our experts break down what a change at the top could mean for interest rates, inflation and the broader investment environment. The discussion covers the latest Fed meeting, the outlook for rate cuts and the influence of fiscal stimulus on consumer spending and market momentum.
Gain insights into the dynamics of a tight, but not necessarily strong, labor market, the implications of shifting immigration trends and the potential for inflation to remain sticky in the months ahead.
Join Jordan Jackson, Global Market Strategist, and Brandon Hall, Research Analyst, as they share their perspectives on the Fed’s direction, market positioning and what lies ahead for investors.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Alternative investments are taking center stage as we look ahead to 2026. With public and private markets converging and new opportunities emerging across asset classes, investors are rethinking how to build resilient portfolios for the long term. That’s why this episode of Alternative Realities brings together three of J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s leading voices: Aaron Mulvihill, Global Alternatives Strategist; Jed Laskowitz, Global Head of Private Markets; and Anton Pil, Head of Global Alternative Investment Solutions.
Drawing on insights from over 45 contributors and a $500 billion alternatives platform, the conversation breaks down the key themes shaping the 2026 Alternative Investment Outlook. From the rapid growth of private equity and the evolution of secondary markets to the inflection points in real assets and infrastructure and the renewed momentum in hedge funds, this conversation covers the trends that matter most for investors navigating today’s complex environment.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
As the asset management landscape evolves, investors and advisors face new challenges and opportunities in building resilient portfolios. Discover the latest trends shaping the industry, from the resurgence of fixed income and the growing role of international equities to the increasing adoption of private market assets and active ETFs. Gain timely insight into how technological innovation and personalized investment solutions are empowering advisors to deliver more tailored outcomes for clients.
In this episode, join Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, as he sits down with Andrea Lisher, Head of Americas Client, to discuss portfolio diversification, the democratization of alternatives and the future of active management in a rapidly changing market environment.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In this episode of Alternative Realities, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by David Lebovitz, Global Strategist on the Multi-Asset Solutions team at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they delve into J.P. Morgan’s Long Term Capital Market Assumptions (LTCMAs)—now marking their 30th annual publication. The LTCMAs serve as a cornerstone resource, providing return, volatility and correlation estimates for over 200 asset classes in 17 currencies. Widely respected across the industry, these assumptions help guide approximately $1 trillion in long-term investment portfolios.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Gain timely insights into the uncertainty and opportunity that define the investment landscape for 2026 in “AI Lift and Economic Drift.” This engaging discussion unpacks how resilient U.S. economic growth is set against a backdrop of powerful structural trends, including the transformative impact of artificial intelligence. Key themes include the importance of diversification, the challenges posed by elevated starting points for risk assets and the need for thoughtful portfolio construction to navigate ongoing market divergences.
Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, alongside David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist and Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist, as they share expert views and strategies to help investors prepare for the year ahead.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
On this episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Jared Gross, Head of Institutional Portfolio Strategy, who brings over 30 years of experience providing insights and solutions to institutional clients—including corporate and public pensions, endowments and foundations—and Tina Anstett, ERISA Strategist, and an attorney with more than three decades of expertise in workplace retirement plans. Together, they will discuss the implications of the President’s recent executive order, “Democratizing Access to Alternative Assets for 401(k) Investors” and address the questions that have emerged as a result. They will explore what this order means for retirement plans and who stands to be affected, and weigh the potential benefits and risks of adding alternative assets to plan portfolios.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- From complexity to clarity: A measured approach for evaluating private investments in DC plans
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In today’s rapidly evolving investment landscape, staying ahead means understanding how asset allocation strategies are adapting to new market realities. This episode of Insights Now explores the dynamic interplay between macroeconomic trends, policy shifts and the growing importance of research in portfolio construction. From the impact of fiscal and trade policies to the rise of alternatives and real assets, our experts discuss how diversification beyond the traditional 60/40 model is helping investors build resilience against inflation, rate shocks and other market disruptions.
In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, as they reflect on the season’s most important takeaways from the Multi-Asset Solutions team and share their outlook for the future of asset allocation.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Private equity’s footprint in the sports industry has expanded rapidly in recent years. As global team valuations reach unprecedented levels, the sector has become a focal point for both investors and fans, reshaping the broader investment landscape. With capital pouring into sports franchises and valuations climbing steadily over the past two decades, the market is evolving—and so are the opportunities and risks.
On today’s episode, Aaron Mulvihill sits down with Tyler Jayroe, a portfolio manager with more than 20 years at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they’ll unpack the key drivers behind the surge in sports franchise valuations, examine where investment dollars are flowing and highlight the most important trends and challenges facing investors in this space.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Shifting macroeconomic trends and evolving consumer behavior continue to redefine the investment landscape, challenging asset managers to adapt their strategies for long-term success. Discover how multi-asset research teams at J.P. Morgan Asset Management approach asset allocation in a rapidly changing environment, with a particular emphasis on consumer markets. Key themes include lessons learned from years of investing in the consumer sector, the value of understanding where consumers are spending, and the use of proprietary data to identify emerging trends and shifts in confidence.
In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and guest Daniel Bloomgarden, Global Head of Research for Multi-Asset Solutions, discuss how technology continues to reshape retail, the complexities of building and maintaining strong consumer brands and the ways companies are adapting to ongoing supply chain disruptions and tariff challenges.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In this episode, Aaron Mulvihill, Global Alternatives Strategist, is joined by Ashmi Mehrotra, Global Co-Head of J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s Private Equity Group, and Jeremy Beal, Head of Products and Advisory Solutions at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. The discussion covers how access to alternative investments is expanding to more investors, current developments in private equity and the role these assets can play in today’s investment portfolios.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube
In today’s rapidly evolving investment landscape, understanding how quantitative strategies are shaping asset management is more important than ever. This episode explores the dynamic world of quant investing, offering financial advisors and investors practical insights into how systematic, data-driven approaches are transforming portfolio construction and risk management. Discover how quant models identify market inefficiencies, adapt to shifting macroeconomic conditions, and complement traditional fundamental strategies to deliver robust, diversified outcomes.
In this episode, join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, as she sits down with Grace Koo, Co-Head of Risk Managed and Total Return Portfolios at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they unpack the opportunities and challenges of quant investing, sharing actionable perspectives for advisors and investors seeking to stay ahead in a changing market.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
On today's episode, Aaron Mulvihill, Global Alternatives Strategist, is joined by Stephen Dulake, Co-Head of Global Fundamental Research at JP Morgan. Together, they discuss private credit, an asset class that has attracted significant investor interest due to its higher yields compared to traditional fixed income. The conversation explores the factors driving growth in the private credit industry, examines how yields compare to public fixed income and where they may be headed and highlights the key risks and opportunities in this evolving market.
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Explore the evolving landscape of retirement investing in today’s shifting macroeconomic environment. Discover how retirement is not just a destination, but a dynamic journey shaped by individual needs, spending patterns and regulatory changes. Gain valuable perspectives on the impact of recent policy changes, the increasing adoption of alternatives like real estate and private equity in retirement portfolios and the importance of balancing liquidity and market risk.
Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, as she sits down with Katherine Santiago, Head of Quantitative Research for J.P. Morgan’s Multi-Asset Solutions team, to discuss data-driven strategies, regulatory updates, and actionable tips for navigating the future of retirement investing.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
With new developments like shifting flows in hedge funds and private credit and the growing impact of AI on data centers, investors are navigating a rapidly changing landscape. On this episode, Aaron Mulvihill, Global Market Strategist, is interviewed by Grant Papa, Research Analyst, to answer the top questions clients are asking about allocating smarter with alternatives.
Together, they dive into the outlook for private equity exits and explore how investment philosophies are evolving between traditional drawdown funds and evergreen structures. Tune in for timely insights into the risks and opportunities across alternative asset classes, including strategies for approaching real estate as rate cuts approach and understanding the true level of risk in private credit.
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
As fiscal, trade, and regulatory policies take center stage, adapting asset allocation strategies has never been more important. This episode explores how today’s policy shifts—from fiscal stimulus and rising tariffs to accelerated deregulation—are shaping market opportunities and risks. Our Multi-Asset Solutions team examines the short- and long-term impacts of recent legislation, the evolving role of government in markets, and the distributional effects on both consumers and corporations. Gain perspective on how higher debt levels, changing demand for Treasuries, and sector-specific policy changes are influencing portfolio decisions, and why staying agile is key in a landscape defined by uncertainty and transition.
Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and Geng Ngarmboonanant, Research Analyst on the Multi-Asset Solutions team, as they break down the latest policy developments and share practical insights for navigating today’s complex investment environment.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
This episode delves into the dynamic world of hedge fund investing with Paul Zummo, Chief Investment Officer. Celebrating three decades of success, Paul and his team manage over $35 billion in hedge fund assets, catering to both institutional and high-net-worth clients. As the hedge fund landscape evolves, Paul shares insights into why volatility and abrupt policy changes are not just challenges but opportunities for hedge fund managers. With the potential for higher alpha on the horizon, Paul offers a unique perspective on the past, present and future of hedge fund investing.
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
- Read more of JPMAAM’s Pearl Anniversary Insights: 30 "pearls" of wisdom from our last 30 years here.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
As economic and policy environments shift, understanding how tactical and strategic asset allocation can adapt is crucial for financial advisors and investors alike. Balancing long-term views with short-term market movements, our Multi-Asset Solutions team highlights the opportunities presented by volatility and dislocation. Discover how credit markets, particularly U.S. high yield, are being tactically adjusted in response to current valuations, and learn why diversification remains a vital strategy.
Join Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Lebovitz, Research Analyst and member of the Fundamental research team to unpack the complexities of asset allocation, offering valuable insights for achieving long-term investment goals.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
J.P. Morgan's Private Bank offers expert guidance to assist affluent clients and their families in achieving their financial objectives. With a global oversight of more than $2.9 trillion in client assets, the bank boasts a legacy of over 200 years of operation.
On today’s episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Sitara Sundar, Head of Alternative Investment Strategy & Market Intelligence. She spearheads the development of perspectives within and across alternative investments for the bank. Her extensive experience within the organization includes leading the Equity Specialist team, where she provided strategic advice on managed equity portfolios for clients. Before this, Sitara supported J.P. Morgan’s Chief Financial Officer as part of a corporate economics and analytics team, where she was responsible for forecasting global macroeconomic data. At the onset of her career, she worked alongside the firm’s Chairman of Market & Investment Strategy, Michael Cembalest, contributing to the widely acclaimed "Eye on the Market" publication.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Research analysts play a pivotal role in fixed income markets, where active management is crucial due to the vast array of issuers and securities. The fixed income industry encompasses a diverse range of bond sectors, including rates, emerging market debt, municipals, high yield and securitized debt, each offering a unique set of complexities and opportunities for investors to explore. As economic policies evolve, fixed income research analysts navigate heightened volatility, especially in interest rates and credit spreads. Their insights underscore the importance of strategic analysis and investment in quality issuers and assets to effectively address these challenges.
In this episode, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, is joined by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they share expert perspectives on the evolving fixed income landscape and reflect on insights gathered from fixed income research analysts.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Commercial real estate has undergone one of the most dramatic shifts in decades. The pandemic upended demand for office space, accelerated the impact of e-commerce on retail and created both turmoil and opportunity across the market. However, commercial real estate is not a single market, it is a mosaic of asset types, geographies and risk profiles.
On this episode, Aaron Mulvihill, Global Market Strategist, is joined by Thomas Kennedy, Head of Research and Investment Strategy for Real Estate Americas at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Thomas was previously the Chief Investment Strategist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank, advising high-net-worth clients. Prior to that, he held various research and policy positions at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Read the On the Minds of Investors article, "What does a higher-for-longer interest rate policy mean for real estate?" written by Aaron Mulvihill and Thomas Kennedy.
Watch the video version on YouTube
Securitized products have emerged as a compelling investment option in 2025, offering higher yields and diversification benefits compared to other fixed income sectors. As economic uncertainties loom, these products provide investors with the opportunity to make targeted bets on specific market segments, such as the housing market or consumer health. The securitized debt market, integral to U.S. lending and economic activity, transforms illiquid assets into a range of securities across the risk spectrum, enhancing portfolio risk-adjusted returns. Despite its potential, the sector faces challenges, including rising interest rates and a persistent housing shortage, which require strategic investment in quality issuers and assets.
In this episode of Insights Now, Gabriela Santos is joined by Sameer Riaz, Head of Securitized Research, to explore Sameer’s insights on the securitized products market and its role in modern investment strategies.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube
High yield investments in the healthcare sector have been navigating a complex landscape in 2025. Healthcare remains a focal point for policy changes, impacting both equity and credit markets. The healthcare high yield space offers unique opportunities, with issuers often skewing toward provider-based companies like hospital operators and specialized pharmaceutical firms. These entities, while riskier due to revenue concentration, present compelling investment prospects. However, federal policy, particularly around Medicaid, poses significant risks. While tariffs have had limited impact due to domestic supply chains, potential Medicaid cuts could directly affect cash flows.
On this episode of Insights Now, Gabriela Santos is joined by Matt Nelson, a credit research analyst covering healthcare and pharmaceuticals at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to delve into the high yield market’s dynamics and the future of healthcare investments.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
This year has seen significant disruption in trade, driven by tariffs and policy uncertainty. Countries and businesses are navigating these challenges in real time to keep the flow of trade moving smoothly. On this episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Andy Dacy, Head of the Global Transportation Group at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. With over 30 years of experience in the transportation sector, Andy offers a wealth of knowledge and insight. Together, they explore how the current trade and tariff turmoil is impacting the transportation sector, the ways shipping patterns have adapted to geopolitical events worldwide, the potential for reviving shipbuilding in the United States, and the exciting opportunities that exist in transportation beyond shipping.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube
Municipal bonds have struggled so far in 2025 as increased issuance and elevated volatility have weighed on prices. However, with risks to the current economic expansion rising, the case for munis has only grown more compelling. On a tax-equivalent basis, muni yields are higher relative to Treasuries and compete with those offered by corporate credit. Additionally, the muni yield curve is steeper than other markets, meaning investors are compensated more for extending duration. At the same time, they have less credit risk. Not only do state balance sheets look healthy but across credit ratings, municipal bond default rates have been consistently lower than those of corporate bonds. All this said, the sector is not without its challenges. Federal spending cuts, tariffs and restrictive immigration policies could disrupt activity across municipalities, although these impacts will be felt differently across sectors and regions.
On this episode of Insights Now, Gabriela Santos is joined by Neene Jenkins, Head of Municipal Credit Research, to discuss Neene’s outlook for the sector.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
With economic uncertainty slowing exits and borrowing costs remaining high, investors are becoming more selective in their targets. Meanwhile, groundbreaking advancements in AI and other technologies are driving compelling growth stories, yet those not involved in the startup and growth phases risk missing out on significant value creation before these companies hit the stock market. On this episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Paris Heymann, co-managing partner of Growth Equity Partners at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, who has an impressive career in venture and growth investing. They explore key themes affecting venture and growth investing, including how venture capital is adapting to longer holding periods, strategies for valuations and pricing in the current environment, the transformative impact of AI and the convergence of public and private markets.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube
In the world of fixed income markets, investors are constantly navigating through a landscape marked by shifting economic dynamics and global diversification trends. As emerging market debt gains traction amid recent policy changes and currency fluctuations, the allure of higher yields and diversification opportunities becomes increasingly compelling. In this episode of Insights Now, join Gabriela Santos and Janet He, Head of EM Sovereign Research, as they explore the potential benefits and considerations of incorporating emerging market debt into investment portfolios.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Over the last two decades, the alternative investment industry has undergone significant changes globally as investors at all levels increasingly seek the unique returns and diversification benefits these assets offer within their portfolios. With the growing popularity of alternative investments, there's an increasing need for thought leadership to guide investors through the historic and current dynamics of various alternative asset classes.
In this episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Kerry Craig and Aaron Hussein, both Global Market Strategists at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together, they will delve into the alternative investment industry across different markets worldwide and share valuable insights gathered from clients on the road.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In the ever-evolving landscape of fixed income markets, investors are faced with increased policy uncertainty and interest rate volatility. The Federal Reserve finds itself caught between signs of slowing economic momentum and the unpredictable impacts of tariffs. This environment has intensified concerns over foreign demand for U.S. debt, prompting investors to seek diversification strategies for their U.S. Treasury exposure. In the 14th season of Insights Now, we move up in the capital stack, diving deeper into the insights of J.P. Morgan’s best-in-class portfolio managers and research analysts, exploring the intricacies of fixed income markets. On this episode of Insights Now, Gabriela Santos is joined by Kelsey Berro, U.S. Macro Research, to discuss the current state of the bond market and the Federal Reserve’s potential actions.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
It has been a busy and volatile month in the markets, one that certainly reminded us of the value of being diversified across public as well as private markets. Alternative investments have historically been limited to institutions like pension funds and insurance companies, due to high investment minimums and a high level of complexity. But that’s changing, with more investment options becoming available for individual investors like you and me.
On this episode, Aaron Mulvihill is joined by Jed Laskowitz, Global Head of Private Markets and Customized Solutions for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to talk about the alternatives market landscape and how the industry is evolving.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version of YouTube.
In our thirteenth season of Insights Now, we delved into the research that informed our portfolio managers' investment strategies. Gabriela Santos engaged in insightful discussions with top-tier buy-side equity research analysts from J.P. Morgan Asset Management, covering a diverse array of sectors such as semiconductors, payments and fintech, industrials, utilities, healthcare, and financials. For the last episode of the season, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, and David Kelly, our Chief Global Strategist, reflected on the most memorable highlights from that season's extensive conversations. Additionally, they answered the top three questions frequently received from clients, which unsurprisingly revolved around economic policies emerging from Washington, D.C., and their potential impacts on the economy and markets.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In this episode of Alternative Realities, we explore the dynamic world of private credit with Aaron Mulvihill, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, and Lynnette Ferguson, Global Co-Head of Investment Specialists for J.P. Morgan Alternative Asset Management, as they discuss the significant growth of private credit over the past decade and its role as a competitive alternative to traditional bank lending.
The conversation delves into the benefits private credit offers to both borrowers and investors, the interplay between private credit and private equity, and the emerging trends in asset-backed lending. Lynnette shares insights from her extensive experience in the industry, including lessons learned from the 2008 financial crisis and the importance of relationships in private credit.
Tune in to gain a deeper understanding of how interest rates, economic environments and regulatory changes impact the private credit market.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives, Principles of Alternatives Investing, and Alternatives 2025 Outlook
- Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Financials, the second largest sector in the S&P 500, has had its fair share of ups and downs in recent years. As the Federal Reserve kicked off its aggressive rate hiking campaign in 2022, the yield curve inverted, loan growth slowed and M&A activity plummeted, all of which hampered earnings growth. Then, in March 2023, the failures of several U.S. regional banks sparked concerns about the health of the banking sector and commercial real estate market. The dust from this crisis gradually settled, which, in conjunction with Fed rate cuts and a resilient consumer, helped the sector gain over 30% in 2024. In fact, financial deregulation is now top of mind, with the Trump administration recently naming “regulatory dove” Michelle Bowman as the Federal Reserve’s next Vice Chair of Supervision. Prospects for increased deregulation, in addition to trends in consumer spending, will be key themes moving forward. Companies in financials tend to be represented in the value style and can be a good complement to growth exposure, especially the Magnificent 7.
On this episode of Insights Now, Gabriela Santos, is joined by Laura Huang, an equity research analyst covering financials at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss Laura’s day-to-day, and what she is seeing across her sector.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In this episode of Alternative Realities, we delve into the transformative landscape of venture and growth equity investing with a focus on technology and healthcare. Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is joined by Patrick McGoldrick, Managing Partner of J.P. Morgan Private Capital, to discuss the evolution and current landscape of venture capital.
The conversation highlights the high-risk, high-reward nature of venture capital, the importance of skilled management and the strategic approach J.P. Morgan employs in identifying investment opportunities.
Join us as we explore the competitive advantages J.P. Morgan Asset Management offers as a partner to its portfolio companies and uncover the potential of venture and growth equity investing in today's market.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives, Principles of Alternatives Investing, and Alternatives 2025 Outlook
- Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
As the world emerged from the pandemic, healthcare companies encountered several challenges, including declining COVID-19-related revenues, increased R&D expenses and rising labor costs, all of which impacted earnings. Although the sector began to recover from its prolonged earnings slump in 2024, performance remained sluggish. Healthcare stocks rose just 2.6% last year, with performance suffering most after the election. Importantly, the healthcare sector is comprised of a range of sub-industries and performance beneath the surface has diverged. For example, as the sector has addressed the backlog of elective procedures delayed during the pandemic, healthcare facilities and equipment manufacturers have performed well, while insurers have struggled. When seeking exposure to growth themes driving markets, investors often overlook healthcare in favor of other sectors. That said, whether it be GLP-1 drug development or AI-powered customized therapies, the reality is that the sector is at the epicenter of transformational change. Looking ahead, healthcare earnings are set to improve in 2025. However, policy actions taken by the incoming administration could meaningfully alter the sector’s landscape.
On this episode of Insights Now, Gabriela Santos, is joined by Holly Morris, an equity research analyst covering the healthcare sector and a portfolio manager here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In this episode of Alternative Realities, we explore the world of timber as an alternative investment asset class. Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is joined by Angela Davis, President of Campbell Global, a subsidiary of J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to explore the unique benefits and opportunities timber offers to investors.
The discussion covers the perpetual lifecycle of timber forestry, the global footprint of Campbell Global’s forest management and the sustainable nature of timber as a climate-friendly product. The conversation also touches on the impact of tariffs, environmental regulations and the growing demand for sustainable building products.
Join us as we uncover the potential of timber in providing diversification and protection during periods of market volatility and learn about the exciting developments in carbon offsets and their significance in the timber industry.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives, Principles of Alternatives Investing, and Alternatives 2025 Outlook
- Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Utilities have traditionally been known for their defensive properties, which makes the combination of robust economic growth, technological excitement and elevated bond yields an unlikely recipe for their strong performance. That said, the sector’s 23% gain kept pace with the broader market last year. In 2025, this momentum should continue. After two decades of stagnant power demand, the electrification of the U.S. economy and the intense power needs of generative artificial intelligence should prompt demand to inflect higher. Additionally, with our aging grid infrastructure and more frequent extreme weather events, finding enough capacity to provide adequate electricity supply won’t be easy. These themes, and others, should highlight winners across the utilities sector. For investors looking to diversify tech exposure, utilities could offer an attractive way to invest in the many themes driving markets today, but with a very different wrapper.
To share what she’s seeing across the utilities sector, Gabriela Santos, my new co-host, will be joined by Teresa Kim, a utilities-focused equity research analyst here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In this episode of Alternative Realities, we explore the dynamic world of alternative investments and their increasing accessibility to a broader range of investors. As these asset classes become more mainstream, we discuss their role in diversifying portfolios and enhancing returns.
Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is joined by David Lebovitz, Managing Director and Strategist at the Multi-Asset Solutions Group, to discuss the inception and evolution of the Guide to Alternatives. They delve into the structure and importance of alternative investments, the integration of alternatives into multi-asset portfolios and the challenges of sizing these allocations.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives, Principles of Alternatives Investing, and Alternatives 2025 Outlook
- Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Despite lagging the broader index, industrial stocks performed well in 2024, gaining over 17% on a total return basis. Sector fundamentals, however, have been more challenged. After an impressive post-COVID recovery supported double-digit earnings growth in 2022, industrial earnings have been in the doldrums alongside U.S. manufacturing activity. In fact, on a year-over-year basis, the sector is on pace to see earnings contract for the last three quarters of 2024. That said, prospects ahead look brighter. With AI and policy tailwinds, increased focus on domestic infrastructure investment and the Fed now easing policy, earnings growth is expected to accelerate in 2025, providing investors with a broad menu of investment options to choose from within the sector.
On this episode, Gabriela Santos, is joined by Rob Maloney, an equity research analyst covering industrials and a co-portfolio manager here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
When people think of the financial sector, they typically think of boring businesses like banks or insurance companies. But the ongoing global shift to electronic payments has created a new, growthier industry of financial technology companies. These businesses tend to feature recurring revenues, high free cash flow, and low capital expenditures. The financial services sector, which houses Visa and Mastercard, returned 28% last year, while the consumer finances sector, home to credit card companies like American Express and Capital One, returned 55%, outperforming the Magnificent 7. Continued growth in consumer spending, a steeper yield curve, and prospects for deregulation could support further upside, though there are risks if regulatory relief isn’t as significant as markets expect. Nonetheless, for investors looking for high-quality growth opportunities outside of mega-cap tech, fintech could certainly be a good place to start.
On this episode of Insights Now, my new co-host, Gabriela Santos, will be joined by David Chan, an equity research analyst covering payment and business services companies here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss what David is seeing across this space.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In this episode of Alternative Realities, we delve into the evolving landscape of alternative investments and their growing role in institutional portfolios. As the world of alternative investing becomes more accessible, we’ll explore how institutions have historically leveraged these assets for diversification and enhanced returns. Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is joined by Kathryn Pasqualone, Client Advisor within our North America Institutional business, to discuss key themes such as vintage year diversification, liquidity considerations, and the importance of strategic and tactical asset allocation.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives, Principles of Alternatives Investing, and Alternatives 2025 Outlook
- Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
U.S. equities have been on a tear in recent years. After climbing 26% in 2023, the S&P 500 finished up 25% on a total return basis in 2024, marking the best two-year stretch for the index since the late 90s. That said, with a select few companies driving the bulk of this rally, markets have become unbalanced, and concentration risk remains a significant issue heading into 2025. In times like these, active management is as important as ever. Our thirteenth season of Insights Now, titled “The Analyst’s Edge: A day in the life of equity research analysts,” will be all about the research backing our portfolio managers’ investment decisions. We will sit down with best-in-class buy-side equity research analysts from across J.P. Morgan, exploring a range of sectors and diving deeper into the most exciting trends driving markets today. With a new administration taking the White House, 2025 is likely to be another exciting yet volatile year for equity investors, so stay tuned to learn more about the opportunities we are following most closely.
At the heart of the recent equity market rally sits the semiconductor industry. Home to companies like Nvidia, Broadcom and other key beneficiaries of the AI frenzy, semiconductor stocks gained over 75% in 2024, far outpacing the broader market. That said, semiconductor applications extend far beyond just artificial intelligence. Companies serving traditional end-markets, like automotive, consumers, aerospace or defense, have lagged behind. While artificial intelligence will remain a key source of demand for the industry, improving demand from these other end-users could drive the next leg of the rally.
To share the latest on the semiconductor industry, Gabriela Santos, the new co-host, will be joined by Eric Ghernati, a technology-focused equity research analyst here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
As the U.S. economy continues its robust growth into 2025, this episode of Alternate Realities delves into the complexities of investing amidst challenges like inflation, interest rate volatility and market concentration. Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, is joined by Oksana Aronov, Head of Market Strategy and Alternative Fixed Income, and Hamilton Reiner, Portfolio Manager and Head of U.S. Equity Derivatives. They discuss the importance of diversification and strategic hedging in both fixed income and equity markets, emphasizing the need for absolute return strategies. The conversation also highlights the potential for unlocking value beyond the "magic seven" stocks, offering valuable insights into navigating today's evolving financial landscape.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Despite last year's excellent returns in public markets, alternative assets are garnering increased attention due to their income diversification benefits, high equity valuations and the potential for above-trend inflation. As alternative investments become more accessible to the public, allocations to these assets are expected to rise in the coming years. This trend underscores the importance of general education and thought leadership in the field of alternative investments. This is precisely the mission of the Guide to Alternatives and the Alternative Realities podcast. On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Aaron Mulvihill, the newest Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, who will be focusing specifically on alternative assets.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
The end of the year is near, and that means everyone is comparing their Spotify Wrapped and Apple Music Replays, making the case for why their most-listened-to song is the best. We wanted to do something similar for Insights Now. That is why, for our final episode of season 12, we will reflect on some of the most important takeaways from the 23 episodes we recorded this year. From exploring the fastest-growing themes in alternatives to navigating the complexities of the U.S. election, we’ve covered a lot of ground, so stay tuned as we recap our “greatest hits” of 2024.
This episode explores the main themes and insights from the past year. Dr. David Kelly is joined by Gabriela Santos, the Chief Strategist for the Americas at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, and new co-host for the Insights Now podcast.
Resources:
Explore the full Investment Outlook here.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In this episode of Alternative Realities, we’re going to explore the transportation sector's resilience amid geopolitical and market disruptions. we'll talk about how transport assets, like ships and planes, have shown stability during events such as the pandemic and geopolitical tensions. The discussion highlights the sector's critical role in global trade, the impact of regulations like the Jones Act and the evolving landscape influenced by tariffs and China's economic activity.
Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist is joined by Anurag Agarwal, Head Portfolio Manager for our Global Transportation Group, to discuss the distinction between opportunistic and core investment strategies in the transport sector, emphasizing the stability and income potential of leasing critical transport assets.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In recent years, the notion of “correct” portfolio construction has been challenged and diversification has become unpopular. Stocks and bonds have shown an increased propensity to move together, calling into question the efficacy of the classic “60/40” portfolio. Moreover, sustained outperformance in select segments of global financial markets has caused portfolios to drift away from target allocations and left many investors with little motivation to allocate elsewhere. However, with a new year comes new forces driving markets, and the winners of the past may not be the winners of the future. To prepare portfolios for any unforeseen risks that may arise in 2025, diversification remains the best option, although the ways in which investors can diversify may look different than before.
To share his thoughts on diversification in the year ahead, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
Explore the full Investment Outlook here.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
The pandemic, geopolitical tension and climate change have revived industrial policy around the globe. In the U.S., the IIJA, IRA, and CHIPs act collectively represent the largest investment in infrastructure since the Cold War. In particular, there are significant opportunities in modernizing and expanding the electrical grid as decarbonization and data centers drive up demand. In addition to these secular tailwinds, core infrastructure’s steady, uncorrelated cash flows make it a valuable portfolio diversifier. Today, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Chris Simard, an Investment Specialist in the J.P. Morgan Infrastructure and Investment Group, to parse through all of this and more.
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Despite uncertainty at the onset, 2024 is shaping up to be yet another impressive year for the economy and markets. A resilient consumer has put the U.S. on pace for another year of above-trend growth, and the S&P 500 has rallied over 25% so far, breaching $6,000 for the first time in history. That said, with a new year comes new opportunities as well as challenges. As the cyclical imbalances exacerbated by the pandemic and tight monetary policy continue to improve, economic conditions should normalize further in 2025, although a new element of policy uncertainty introduced by the incoming Trump administration and Republican-controlled Congress threaten to cloud the outlook. While new policies might hurt prospects in some asset classes, they should benefit others, and investors have plenty to be excited about heading into the new year.
To dive deeper into our 2025 outlook, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Gabriela Santos, Chief Strategist for the Americas here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
Explore the full Investment Outlook here.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In this episode of Alternative Realities, we’re going to be exploring the current landscape of commercial real estate, highlighting opportunities beyond the office sector. We’ll talk about the ongoing housing shortage in the U.S., which has been made worse by past overbuilding, lack of workers and zoning issues. The industrial sector is thriving, driven by the rise in e-commerce and logistics, with a significant increase in delivery vehicles. Retail is evolving, with neighborhood strip centers and high-end luxury performing well, while middle-tier malls struggle. Real estate is a valuable component of investment portfolios, offering risk mitigation, inflation protection and consistent cash flow.
Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist is joined by Chad Tredway, Head of Real Estate Americas at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the opportunities he’s seeing on the market. Chad leads our investment management business in the United States for real estate and his team focuses on the $70 billion of real estate that we own.
Timestamps:
- Introduction (00:00)
- Direct vs. Public market real estate investment (01:19)
- Housing shortage in the U.S. (02:23)
- The J.P. Morgan approach to single-family rentals (03:41)
- Office space recovery post-COVID (05:34)
- Industrial space and delivery trends (07:15)
- Retail space outlook (08:26)
- Real estate in investment portfolios (10:34)
Resources:
For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
As we usher in a new year, the investment landscape is almost certainly set to change. That’s why in our twelfth season of Insights Now titled, “Preparing for the path forward,” Dr. David Kelly will sit down with portfolio managers and strategists from across J.P. Morgan to discuss their key takeaways from 2024, and what they expect from the economy and markets in 2025. With the new year just around the corner, tune in to hear what opportunities we are most excited about, and what risks we are most mindful of, heading into the new year. With the U.S. election in the rear-view mirror and the Federal Reserve finally easing policy, the forces driving financial markets in 2025 could differ greatly from 2024. Policy uncertainty should step in for election uncertainty, and the monetary policy debate will center around how quickly the Fed will cut, not when it will begin cutting. Still, with the U.S. economy displaying impressive resilience and structural tailwinds supporting prospects abroad, there remains a wide menu of attractive opportunities for investors to consider across global stocks and bonds, and plenty of ways to diversify. That said, markets can move quickly. Investors striving for alpha should be active in portfolios and allocate to their highest conviction ideas instead of sitting passively on the sidelines. To share some of his highest conviction ideas for the year ahead, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Phil Camporeale, Portfolio Manager in our Multi Asset Solutions group here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
For more resources visit our website.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Ash Williams, Vice Chair of J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Ash served as Chief Investment Officer and Executive Director of the Florida State Board of Administration, where he oversaw $250 billion in assets. He has extensive experience as an institutional investor in both public and private markets. Throughout their conversation, they cover a range of topics surrounding the importance of alternatives in a portfolio and the best approach to constructing a portfolio with alternatives.
Timestamps:
- Introduction (00:00:00)
- Risk and return within alternatives (01:27)
- Allocating capital toward alternatives (04:37)
- Process of picking specific alternatives (06:30)
- Institutional vs. individual portfolio allocations to alternatives (13:01)
- Importance of manager selection (15:40)
- Opportunities in alternatives today (17:06)
Resources:
For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
On previous episodes, we’ve discussed the muted return outlook for a traditional 60/40 portfolio, and the return enhancing potential of Private Equity and Venture Capital. As companies wait longer to IPO, investors are turning to private markets for access to the fastest growing part of a business’s lifecycle. In this episode, we’re going to explore the opportunities in private healthcare and biotechnology. Dr. David Kelly is joined by Gaurav Gupta, Managing Partner of Life Science Private Capital within J.P. Morgan Private Capital. He is a neurosurgeon turned investor, and we’re so excited to have him here to discuss the trends he’s seeing in the market.
Timestamps:
- Typical healthcare investments (1:01)
- Investing in private healthcare vs. public healthcare (5:42)
- Private equity exits and valuations in healthcare (9:13)
- AI and drug development in healthcare (10:56)
- Regulatory changes within healthcare investment (16:06)
- Best opportunities in healthcare investment (18:33)
Resources:
- For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
- Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
On previous episodes, we’ve discussed what’s called the “democratization of alternatives.” Put simply, alternatives have become more accessible to individuals as the investment vehicles have evolved to address pain points like high minimums and long lockup periods. Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, is joined by Anastasia Amoroso, the Chief Investment Strategist at iCapital. The platform is designed to help clients navigate the world of alternative investments. We’ll hear from Anastasia about what iCapital does to help individuals feel confident investing in alternatives, as well as her perspective on the trends we’re seeing in the market.
Resources:
For more resources on the Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
The U.S election is just a few short weeks away, and many investors are picking through campaign-trail noise to decipher what policies each administration would pursue and their implications. With both Former President Trump’s and Vice President Harris’s campaigns promising hefty amounts of spending but few clues on how it will be funded, the longer-term trajectory for taxes, the deficit and federal debt is largely uncertain, but must be addressed. According to the Congressional Budget Office, U.S. debt held by the public as a percent of GDP is expected to increase from a likely 98% in fiscal 2024 to over 120% in 2034. This assumes that provisions from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act sunset as scheduled and increase taxes by $4 trillion at the end of 2025. If these tax cuts are extended, however, debt held by the public could rise to 130% of GDP over the same period. Regardless, policies from either side of the aisle will impact the fiscal health of the United States, and as a result, the balance of risks and opportunities that investors must consider when building portfolios.
Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, is back with Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the different paths forward for fiscal policy.
Resources:
For more resources on the U.S. elections visit our Election Insights hub
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Within our financial system, the idea that the Federal Reserve should operate as an independent entity is fundamental. Importantly, the Federal Reserve is a political institution that is accountable to Congress, but also to the public, and its independence ensures it can conduct monetary policy in a way that it perceives to be in support of its dual mandate without undue political pressures. However, some candidates on the campaign trail have expressed interest in giving other branches of government a say in the Fed’s decision-making process, meaning that this election could have major implications for the ways in which monetary policy is conducted, its efficacy and the public’s confidence in the central bank.
To explore the implications of any changes to the Federal Reserve’s independence, Gabriela Santos is excited to be back with Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
For more resources on the U.S. elections visit our Election Insights hub
Listen to the audio version of the Insights Now podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on Youtube.
In this episode of Alternative Realities, we’re going to be exploring the alternatives landscape from the perspective of the individual investor. Historically, these asset classes have been the domain of institutional capital, but the structure of alternative investment vehicles is evolving in ways that make them more accessible. Not only do individual investors have more access to alternatives, they also may have a greater need as the traditional 60/40 portfolio faces challenges like elevated valuations, positive stock-bond correlation and a negative real yield. Additionally, as more companies are choosing to stay private for longer, alternatives allocations are becoming increasingly necessary to access these high-growth areas of the market.
Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist is joined by Kristin Kallergis, the Global Head of Alternatives for the J.P. Morgan Private Bank, to discuss all of these themes. Kristin’s team manages $180BN of private wealth across a wide array of alternatives solutions, giving her unique insight into the evolution of this market.
Timestamps: Introduction (00:00), Individuals vs. Institutions investing in alternatives (1:15), Liquidity needs within alternatives for individual investors (3:10), Selecting the right manager for alternatives (4:59), Popular asset classes within alternatives for individual investors (6:21), Niche asset classes (8:02), Private equity cash flow (10:12), Alternatives and secular themes (13:06)
Resources:
For more resources on the Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Federal government regulatory policies have the potential to reshape both the economic landscape and the investment opportunity set and both candidates for president have expressed strong opinions on regulatory issues. However, their attitudes on regulatory oversight appear to vary across industries and issues affecting the economy and society. In addition, their power to implement regulatory change is limited both by political realities and the courts. For investors, it is important to remember that it is policy, not politics, that matters most for markets and the economy. However, history suggests that regulatory policy may not always impact markets in the ways we’d expect.
To dive deeper into proposed regulatory policies and their potential impacts, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, is joined by Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
For more resources on the U.S. elections visit our Election Insights hub
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
With comprehensive oversight and deep expertise in a diverse array of investment vehicles, including real estate, real assets, hedge funds, private equity, private credit and liquid alternative solutions, our mission is to demystify these often lesser-known asset classes. By providing clear, real-world examples, we aim to bridge the knowledge gap and empower investors to make informed decisions. Our goal is to bring these complex investment opportunities to life, showcasing their strategic value and how they can be effectively integrated into a diversified portfolio to achieve long-term financial objectives.
Join us as Dr. David Kelly is joined by Brandon Robinson, Deputy Head of Private Markets, to discuss the different ways that adding alternatives into a portfolio can enhance clients’ outcomes and the benefits of private market investing.
For more resources on the Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
As rising geopolitical tensions and the pandemic fallout have uncovered weaknesses in global supply chains, many nations have begun to rethink their trading relationships. U.S. policy, for example, has turned increasingly nationalistic, with recent administrations implementing tariffs and non-tariff barriers to trade, allocating funds toward domestic development of strategic industries and proposing other protectionist measures to support domestic activity. This election season, tariffs and trade have once again found themselves at the forefront of recent discourse, with both candidates proposing a stricter stance on trade policy, but to varying degrees and in different forms. Regardless of the outcome in November, these policies will have a profound impact on the global economy and have the potential to redefine the opportunity set across global financial markets.
Today’s episode discusses whether tariffs have been effective in the past and explore the investment implications of a more strict trade policy. For this conversation, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, joins Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
For more resources on the U.S. elections visit our Election Insights hub
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
2020 and 2021 were banner years for the private equity market as fiscal and monetary stimulus boosted fundraising, deal and exit activity. More recently, however, macro uncertainty and higher interest rates have put a damper on the asset class, which is highly dependent on leverage. Still, better-than-expected economic growth has supported recent performance. As companies, particularly in the Technology sector, wait longer to IPO, private equity has become an increasingly important way to get exposure to the high growth potential of early-stage companies. For decades, investors have used private equity to supplement their public equity allocations, enhancing returns, reducing volatility and providing access to secular market trends.
Dr. David Kelly is joined by Ashmi Mehrotra, the Co-Head and Portfolio Manager within the Global Private Equity Group at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the trends and investment opportunities she’s seeing in the asset class.
Time stamps: Introduction (00:00), Types of PE investments most focused on (1:00), Secondaries and Co-investments (1:32), Sectors and types of companies (6:59), Implications of slowing M&A and IPO activity (10:42), What dynamics are going to drive PE activity? (11:59)
Resources:
For more resources on Alternatives, visit our Guide to Alternatives and Principles of Alternatives Investing
Listen to the audio version of the Alternative Realities podcast: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
So far, this U.S. election cycle has been nothing short of turbulent and a looming source of volatility for much of this year. With the summer now behind us and November quickly approaching, investors should more seriously consider the implications of the upcoming election, and the opportunities and risks that may arise from it. That is why for the 11th season of Insights Now, titled “The policy and investment implications of the U.S. election,” David and I will discuss topics at the forefront of this election season, and explore the impacts proposed policies could have on the markets and economy. We’ll cover a range of topics, from immigration and tariffs to taxes and Fed independence, so tune in to stay informed on what could drive volatility heading into November, and how you can better prepare your portfolio for a post-election world.
Over the past year and a half, surging immigration has helped boost labor supply at a time when U.S. demographic trends were sluggish and recession fears were elevated, providing a nice tailwind for the labor market and the economy more broadly. At the same time, immigration has caused significant stress for migrants and the communities that they arrive in, making the issue one of the most politically sensitive topics this election season. For our conversation, we will focus on the magnitude of the recent immigration surge, discuss how long it can continue and explore what it might mean for the economy and corporate profits moving forward.
To dive deeper into all this, Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas, will be co-hosting this season and will be joined by the usual host of the show, Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Resources:
For more resources on the U.S. elections visit our Election Insights hub
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
In this episode:
The classic 60/40 stock-bond allocation has long been the accepted stalwart portfolio strategy. Currently, however, higher inflation has made the protection typically offered by the negative correlation between stocks and bonds less certain. Equity risk premiums are low, and interest rate volatility is high. On top of all that, public markets are becoming increasingly efficient, muting opportunities for excess return. As a result, investors are turning to Alternatives to ensure portfolios can still meet their long-term goals. Each alternative asset class has distinct characteristics and consequently a distinct role in portfolios.
Dr. David Kelly is joined by Shawn Khazzam, Head of Private Wealth Alternatives, Americas, to discuss the different ways clients are using alternatives to enhance the risk-reward profile of their portfolios. Shawn is responsible for the growth strategy, sales and distribution of the private market alternative investments offered by the firm.
Resources:
For more insights on Alternatives visit our website here.
Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
Watch the video version on YouTube.
The 2024 presidential election is well underway and has already delivered a host of surprising twists and turns. Against a backdrop of relatively stable economic growth and quite impressive U.S. stock market returns, the election adds a source of uncertainty for investors. Could the election outcome pose a risk to markets, or certain sectors and asset classes? And, in what can sometimes be a tense and polarizing time in society, how can investors navigate this uncertainty and invest with confidence this year?
In the final episode of this season, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Stephanie Aliaga, a Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to help address these questions.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Deficit spending is not at all a new phenomenon in the United States. In fact, it is the norm, and the U.S. has run a budget deficit in 81 of the last 95 years, or 85% of the time since 1929. What is abnormal, however, is how large the pile of U.S. debt has grown relative to the broader economy. In fiscal year 2023, U.S. debt held by the public ballooned to $26.3tn, or a striking 97% of GDP, while the budget deficit rose to 6.2% of GDP, and projections from the Congressional Budget Office suggest that the debt dilemma may only get worse in the coming years. With the election quickly approaching, and last year’s debt ceiling and downgrade drama still fresh in investors’ minds, we often get asked “How will rising federal debt impact the markets and the economy?”
To help us dive deeper into this question, Brandon Hall, Research Analyst, interviews the usual host of the show, Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Before 2021, the United States hadn’t seen a major bout of inflation for almost 40 years. And even when inflation peaked in June 2022, consensus estimates showed that most thought inflation would be almost back to 2% by the end of 2024. However, the journey to 2% has been more challenging than expected. Since mid-2023, inflation has remained in the 3-4% range, primarily due to persistently high shelter and auto insurance prices. This has caused the Fed to be on an extended pause. However, the latest CPI report brought some positive news, showing a month-over-month decline in prices for the first time in over a year. Year-over-year CPI inflation now sits at 3.0%, still well above a number consistent with the Fed’s 2% target for the personal consumption deflator.
This episode explores if inflation can get back to its 2% target, the potential obstacles, and whether inflation even needs to be 2%. With this and the outlook for short-term interest rates being among the most dominant drivers of financial markets today, we think this discussion will be particularly useful.
To help us dive deeper into this question, Mary Park Durham, Research Associate, will be interviewing the usual host, Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Going into 2023, almost everyone was predicting a recession within the next 12 months. However, what we saw was quite the opposite: the U.S. economy grew at a 2.5% year-over-year pace, and the unemployment rate stayed below 4%. This positive momentum has continued into this year, although the economy is gradually cooling.
This robust economic performance has been puzzling because many of the typical recession indicators have been flashing red for a while. The U.S. had two consecutive quarters of negative growth in 2022, the yield curve remains inverted, and credit markets are notably tighter. Despite these warning signs, the U.S. economy has managed to stave off a recession and appears resilient to higher interest rates. This raises the question: how long can the U.S. continue to avoid a recession, and if one were to occur, what would likely trigger it?
To help us dive deeper into this question, Mary Park Durham will be interviewing the usual host, Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
After the Federal Reserve’s dovish pivot in December, many investors came into this year expecting multiple rate cuts. In fact, in early January, markets were pricing in over six full cuts in 2024 alone. Since then, sticky inflation has caused the Federal Reserve to reassert its hawkish tone, and the outlook for the economy, inflation and monetary policy has become increasingly uncertain. As a result of this, investors often ask us “When will the Federal Reserve begin cutting rates?”
To dive deeper into this question, Brandon Hall, Research Analyst, will be interviewing the regular host of the show, Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Excitement around artificial intelligence has been a key driver behind strong market performance over the past year. This makes sense, as it has potential to be one of the most transformative technologies in modern history. That said, widespread AI implementation is still in its early stages, and its broader implications for the economy and investing remain unknown. This has left many investors wondering, “How will AI shape the markets and the economy?”
To help answer this question, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Joe Wilson, Portfolio Manager, for a discussion on artificial intelligence and its potential impacts on the economy and markets.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
As technology has improved, so has market efficiency, and generating alpha through active management is as challenging a task as ever. In light of this, “tax alpha,” or creating value through tax management strategies, has grown in importance and popularity and has left investors asking, “How can I minimize taxes in your investment strategy?”
For today’s episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the outlook for taxes, and how investors can minimize their tax burden.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
From Baby Boomers to Generation Z, each generation has faced their own unique set of investment challenges and opportunities during their lifetimes. While the bulk of wealth in the U.S. belongs to older generations, wealth amongst younger generations is growing rapidly, and they represent an increasingly important piece of the investment pie. As advisors prepare for the next generation of investors, the question of “how do, and how should, different generations invest?” has been top of mind. To help answer this question, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
For more insights visit our website here.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
A long cycle of U.S. equity outperformance over international equities has left investors wondering, “why add international stocks to a portfolio?” However, as the global economy has turned a corner, so have prospects for international equities, and many international markets have performed well in 2024 so far. In fact, more than half of the 50 top performing companies this year are located outside of the U.S. In addition to favorable valuations, an improving economic backdrop and positive fundamentals should highlight plenty of opportunities across the globe.
On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by joined by Gabriela Santos, Chief Market Strategist for the Americas here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to share her views on the benefits of allocating internationally.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Most of this season is devoted to questions investors ask us about where to invest. However, given an increased focus on building tax efficient, transparent and flexible portfolios, we are also often asked, “How should I invest.” While traditional investment vehicles have made it difficult to reach all these objectives simultaneously, the emergence of actively managed ETFs are helping to reshape the investment landscape as we know it. While this technology is still relatively new, active ETFs are quickly becoming a critical piece of the investor toolkit.
For today’s episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jon Maier, Chief ETF Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to help us learn more about the history of active ETFs, and how they can be used to build stronger portfolios.
For our next season, we want to hear from you as we will be counting down the top 10 questions investors have concerning the economy, the markets and investing. Please provide suggestions here.
This episode concludes the ninth season of Insights Now and marks the end of our deep dive into the world of alternatives. As investors continue to face elevated valuations across equities and abnormal interest rate volatility, the case for investing outside of traditional markets is as strong as ever. Whether investors are searching for outsized returns, stable income or diversification, alternatives offer a solution that can achieve these outcomes, and we hope this season helped bring those opportunities to life.
For our final conversation this season, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Anton Pil, the Global Head of Alternatives at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Anton sits in a very unique seat given he oversees our entire alternatives platform, so tune in to hear how he views the balance of risks and opportunities across the asset class.
For additional insights on alternatives visit our website here.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Over the past year, investors have been inundated with negative reports of elevated mortgage rates and empty office buildings, weighing on their sentiment toward real estate investing. However, real estate comes in many shapes and sizes, and each sector has its own fundamentals and use cases in the portfolio construction process. In fact, while some segments may look more attractive than others, valuations across the asset class have reset as rates have climbed higher, and investors searching for diversification, steady income and inflation protection have an entirely new menu of opportunities to choose from. That said, after nearly a decade of suppressed interest rates, real estate investors may have to re-calibrate their approach for the return of a structurally higher cost of capital.
To share how he is approaching the market against the backdrop of higher rates, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Doug Schwartz, a Co-President and Portfolio Manager within our Real Estate Americas Platform. Doug has been with the firm since 2004 and has almost 30 years of industry experience across a range of functions, including transactions, asset management and risk management.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Over the last decade, extraordinarily low interest rates have made it difficult for investors to generate income within portfolios. While rates have risen over the past two years, so has bond market volatility and a higher correlation between stocks and bonds has made the search for uncorrelated sources of income even more difficult. However, at the same time, infrastructure has built a strong track record of generating steady income while exhibiting low correlation to a traditional portfolio and less sensitivity to economic and market risks given the essential nature of the assets.
Against a backdrop of stretched valuations across risk assets and some uncertainty towards the outlook for monetary policy and inflation, there's no better time to discuss how investing in infrastructure can help build better portfolios. To share his views on the asset class, I'm joined by Nick Moller, an investment specialist and managing director within our Infrastructure investment group.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Coming out of the pandemic. Fiscal and monetary stimulus provided support for fundraising deals and exit activity within the private equity market. Even as fiscal stimulus has waned and the Federal Reserve has tightened policy. Better than expected economic activity and earnings have supported recent performance. For investors looking to supplement their public equity allocations, private equity can help enhance portfolio returns, as it has done for multiple decades and provide exposure to rapidly growing companies at the forefront of key market trends and themes. That being said, private equity does have the drawback of lower liquidity, and higher interest may pose a threat to future returns.
For today's episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Stephen Catherwood, Co-head of our Private Equity Group with over 20 years of experience on the team. They dive deeper into the current balance of risks and opportunities in the private equity market.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Portfolio Managers from across J.P. Morgan Asset Management to help shed some light on the rapidly growing and increasingly important world of alternatives. These conversations will range from broad overviews of the entire opportunity set, to asset class-specific deep dives across private equities, private credit, real estate and more.
Since 1950, the classic 60/40 stock-bond portfolio has delivered a strong annualized return of 9.3%. However, with elevated valuations across U.S. equities and low bond yields relative to history, returns from public markets may be less impressive moving forward. That said, for those willing to venture outside of the classic 60/40, adding a sea of alternatives to a portfolio can meaningfully improve outcomes and enhance returns. Of course, there are many different types of alternative assets, each with their own distinct characteristics.
For investors, understanding how to leverage these alternative strategies can make the difference between falling short of your long-term goals and surpassing them. For today’s episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Pulkit Sharma, Head of Alternative Investment Strategy and Solutions here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the benefits of allocating to alternatives and the opportunities that he’s seeing across alternative asset classes.
For more resources, please visit the Guide to Alternatives.
This year had no shortage of surprises for investors, from strong returns in stock markets to the impressive resilience of the U.S. economy. Along the way, we’ve confronted all sorts of shocks: a new war in the Middle East, Washington dysfunction, even higher interest rates while the labor market and consumer have seen continued strength. As we look to 2024, there is cause for both concern and optimism. A soft landing is still in view, but there’s a number of risks that could potentially divert us from that path. On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is interviewed by Stephanie Aliaga, Research Analyst, to discuss the economic outlook for 2024.
For more insights, read the full investment outlook here.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Successful long-term investing requires both the flexibility to navigate the ever-changing market tides and an engine of long-term assets to carry you forward. In this episode, we’re going to talk about both—how investors can build portfolios to navigate volatile market environments and generate better long-term returns. Such an endeavor requires an in-depth understanding of portfolio composition, the drivers of risk and return and the right mix of asset classes that are best suited for different market environments.
In today’s episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Corey Hill, Head of U.S. Portfolio Insights at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to dive into how his team is helping investors build stronger portfolios.
Stress test your portfolios in future market scenarios (Powered by research from Dr. David Kelly), visit the tool here.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
The menu of investment solutions has evolved dramatically over the last 10 years, as innovation in financial planning tools has enabled the development of customized and flexible strategies. This episode discusses one of model portfolios. With increased efficiency, better customization, and greater flexibility, model portfolios are built to navigate unpredictable market cycles while maintaining a focus on the needs of investors. Dr. David Kelly is joined by Beth Nardi, Head of Model Portfolio Distribution at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to help us learn about model portfolios: what they are, who they’re made for and the investment challenges they’re designed to address.
Watch the video version on YouTube.
Regardless of where you are in life, you need a plan for the future, and for most Americans, that involves planning for retirement. The task can feel overwhelming at times and easily be pushed aside for later, more pressing times. However, a well-constructed plan for the future not only helps ensure a secure retirement, but can be a powerful engine for savings and wealth generation. For today’s episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Michael Conrath, Chief Retirement Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management to guide us through the toolkit for retirement planning and the key strategies that individuals can leverage.
Explore our insights on retirement strategies: https://bit.ly/3MDHxYd
Watch the video version of this podcast on YouTube.
New and innovative technologies have disrupted industries time and time again, creating more efficient ways to reach desired outcomes. The financial services industry is no exception, and options for investing today look far different than they did 100 years ago. The exchange traded fund, or ETF, is one example of these technologies changing the ways that we invest. Investors may associate ETFs with passive management, but the recent growth of actively managed ETFs is challenging that assumption. For today’s episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Bryon Lake, Global Head of ETF Solutions at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss how investors are using active ETFs to harness the tools of active management in a complex investment environment.
Watch the video version of the podcast on YouTube.
In this episode, we dive into alternative assets. Alternatives have seen incredible growth in the last decade, and have provided new strategies for investing in public and private markets, as well as better ways to generate alpha, income and diversification in traditional stock and bond portfolios. There are many kinds of alternative assets, and all have specific benefits and risks that require investors to understand each of them individually. Alternatives have also become much more accessible, and the growth of their overall asset size increasingly means that all investors—regardless of whether they’re actually invested or not—need to know what is happening in alternative markets.
For this conversation, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Anton Pil, Global Head of Alternatives, who has led the impressive growth of the alternatives platform at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
For more insights on alternatives, visit our website here.
As we wrap up our summer series, Market Movers, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Michael Feroli, Chief U.S. Economist for the JP Morgan Investment Bank, to dive into the outlook for the U.S. economy and the Federal Reserve (Fed). Inflation has continued to moderate and economic data has proved resilient since the Fed’s July meeting, raising hopes for a soft-landing. Meanwhile, stock markets have continued to fare much better with investor sentiment resembling the start of a new bull market. For investors, many questions remain before we can call an “all-clear” on the economic outlook, and looking beyond the cycle, more structural changes may define long-term implications for the pathway of rates, growth and inflation. In this episode, two of JP Morgan’s most prominent thought leaders sit down to tackle many of these questions.
Watch the episode on YouTube.
While the broader economy has remained resilient this year, the real estate sector has faced its fair share of headwinds. Higher mortgage rates and home prices have weighed on the residential sector and tighter lending conditions following the regional banking crisis have created a challenging backdrop for commercial real estate. Additionally, it remains unclear whether pandemic-induced disruptions are merely temporary road-bumps, or the beginnings of a new “regime” within real estate.
For today’s episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Dave Esrig, a Portfolio Manager at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the trajectory of the real estate market.
Watch the video version of this podcast on our YouTube channel.
For our second episode of Market Movers, Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, is joined by Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist, to discuss the next generation of investors. They dive deep into how this younger demographic is shaping the investment environment and driving key themes in the markets today.
For more resources on investing for the next generation please reach out to your J.P. Morgan representative and visit our website here.
Watch the video recording of this podcast on our YouTube channel.
Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, particularly generative AI, appear likely to revolutionize the way we work, innovate and create. This disruption can have significant economic implications, with the most significant likely to be accelerating labor productivity, and thus economic activity, after years of stagnation.
In the first episode of our summer series Market Movers, Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist, is joined by Stephanie Aliaga, Research Analyst, and Michael Albrecht, Global Strategist on the Multi-Asset Solutions Team, to discuss the broad range of implications AI may have on labor markets, economic growth and the future investment environment.
As the importance of and attention to AI continue to grow, we are working hard at J.P. Morgan Asset Management to share our insights on the many questions regarding this technological wave. Please stay tuned for more insights by visiting the Market Insights homepage.
As we conclude this season, which we entitled a Bond’s Eye View of the world, a lot of core arguments for adding fixed income at the start of the year still remain in place. So far, the Fed has continued to hike rates but they may, finally, be at the end of their tightening regime, and if we are at peak rates, that means now is the time for investors to lock in yields before they fall. Bonds could also provide portfolios with important diversification properties as we eye this next downturn.
So, as investors take a closer look at their cash and bond holdings, we hope this season has helped shed light on the different opportunities within bonds, and how to think about duration, credit and income within portfolios. To wrap up our last episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Bob Michele, CIO and Head of our Global Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities Group at JP Morgan Asset Management, for a conversation on his outlook for the economy, the Fed, and ultimately, bond markets.
In today's episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Phil Camporeale, portfolio manager in our Multi-Asset Solutions group at JP Morgan Asset Management. Phil manages portfolios with a global opportunity set, and in doing so is actively making decisions on how to allocate the pieces of the pie within portfolios. What's the optimal mix of stocks versus bonds? And then how do you allocate within those sleeves? Where can you get the best bang for your buck in terms of returns, while also managing risk in portfolios amidst an uncertain macro outlook? These decisions largely depend on relative valuations, the outlook for interest rates and growth, and the relative attractiveness of yields. In this episode, we’ll hear form Phil on how he’s shifting the dials in portfolios right now, and the slice he's allocated to fixed income.
After significant monetary tightening over the last year, the Federal Reserve has now hiked rates all the way up to a range of 5-5.25%, but this tightening cycle may finally be at a close. With elevated risk of a near-term recession, markets are now expecting the Fed to pivot to rate cuts before the end of the year. For investors, an environment where economic conditions are looking precarious, and rates may soon be headed downwards, an active approach towards fixed income exposure is particularly important. On today's episode, we're going to focus on municipal bonds, which may be an effective way for investors to access high-quality and attractive tax-exempt yields in portfolios, particularly when heading into a downturn. To discuss this, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Richard Taormina, a portfolio manager for several municipal bond strategies here at JP Morgan Asset Management.
For more insights on the Guide to the Markets, visit the link here.
So far this year, investors have had to contend with the implications of a regional banking crisis, a still-hawkish Fed, and rising expectations for a near-term recession. With economic risks elevated, the challenge for debt investors is to strike the right balance between risk and return in portfolios, while maintaining a focus on credit quality. These two risks – interest rate risk and credit risk – can have important implications for bond performance in an environment where the Fed may soon pivot to rate cuts, but likely in response to a U.S. recession. On today's episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Andrew Norelli, Portfolio Manager for several multi-sector fixed income strategies here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to dive into the outlook for the economy and interest rates, and what this all means for striking the right balance between credit and duration in fixed income portfolios.
So far this season, we've talked about the bond market from a number of different angles and in this episode we look at fixed income as a global asset class. In our recently launched 2Q23 Guide to the Markets, we have a chart that shows that the majority of global debt is international, with the U.S. share accounting for less than 40% today. Moreover, divergent central banks and brighter growth prospects overseas paint a different fundamental landscape than that of U.S. fixed income assets. On today's episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Iain Stealey, International Chief Investment Officer within the Global Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities (GFICC) group, to dive into the outlook for global monetary policy and what this means for opportunities in international bonds.
Access the Guide to the Markets here. For more resources visit the On the Minds of Investors webpage.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Kelsey Berro, Portfolio Manager, discuss the banking crisis and its implications for fixed income markets.
This episode dives into positioning within fixed income. Dr. David Kelly is joined by Bill Eigen, portfolio manager for an unconstrained fixed income strategy at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Bill offers a unique perspective, as his fund uses an opportunistic go-anywhere strategy that aims at delivering positive returns – no matter what’s happening in fixed income markets. In today’s particularly uncertain macro environment, Bill offers important insights on where he’s seeing opportunities, what areas he’s steering clear from and his latest thoughts on the markets and economy.
For more insights, tune into the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast and follow David Kelly on LinkedIn.
This episode kicks off our sixth season of Insights Now, entitled a “A Bond's Eye View", and we've decided to center this season around fixed income. Over the course of this season, Dr. David Kelly will sit down with slate of market strategists and portfolio managers to discuss the outlook for the Fed and other global central banks, the outlook for the dollar, diversifying within fixed income and how to think about bonds when positioning long-run investment portfolios.
On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jordan Jackson, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the outlook for the Fed and opportunities within fixed income.
For more insights on fixed income investing, please visit our latest piece Bonds are Back.
As we plan for our next season, please provide your thoughts and any suggestions on our podcast. You can reach out to our team, Market Insights, at mi.questions@jpmorgan.com.
2022 has been a brutal year for investors, with unusually large sell-offs in both stocks and bonds resulting in one of the worst years ever for balanced investing. However, 2023 may be the calm after the storm of this year, with markets stabilizing, inflation receding and the Fed nearing the end of its tightening cycle. Moreover, precisely because markets have been so battered, lower equity valuations and higher bond yields present some of the most attractive entry points for investors in over a decade.
On our last episode of this season, I am joined by Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management to discuss the key takeaways from our Investment Outlook for 2023 and the importance of asset allocation in a challenged environment.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Bob Michele, CIO and Head of the Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities group, discuss the outlook for fixed income and how investors can take advantage of opportunities.
Higher rates and rising inflation have created a particularly challenging environment for bonds this year, with the U.S. Agg. down a whopping 13% year-to-date. However, the selloff has also brought valuations down to their most attractive levels in years, and the backup in yields means bonds can once again provide investors with a reliable source of income and diversification. While economic uncertainties remain about the timing of a Fed pivot and the potential for U.S. recession, the case for bonds is as strong as it's been in over a decade.
To discuss the outlook for fixed income markets and how investors can take advantage of these opportunities, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Bob Michele, CIO and Head of the Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities group, at JP Morgan Asset Management.
Earlier this month, Americans went to the polls for the midterm elections. While some were expecting a red wave, what resulted was more of a red ripple with Republicans garnering a slim majority in the House and Democrats likely maintaining control of the Senate. In today's politically polarized climate, divided government means gridlock, and as the country grapples with high inflation, the potential for recession and heightened geopolitical tensions, this will have important implications for the kind of government action or lack thereof, we may see over the next two years.
On this episode, I am joined by Michelle Mesack, Head of Federal Government Relations at JP Morgan Chase with extensive experience in government and public policy, as well as my colleague Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the main takeaways for investors from the midterm elections.
The global pandemic, supply chain problems and heightened geopolitical tensions from Russia's war in Ukraine have all raised questions about whether the long trend towards globalization is being thrown into reverse. Our 2023 Long Term Capital Market Assumptions, available now, features a paper that tackles the future of globalization. In this episode, Stephanie Aliaga interviews two of the authors from the paper, Dr. David Kelly and Kerry Craig, to discuss the potential future paths of globalization, and implications of a multi-polar world order for the global economy, inflation and valuations.
Episode topics: History and drivers of globalization (1:18), Russia-Ukraine (8:00), future paths of globalization (9:55), global energy transition (16:40), trade in goods vs. services (19:08), implications for the dollar (21:50), implications for inflation (24:15), regional winners and loser (26:45), China (30:32), valuations and sector outlook (32:15).
We also encourage you to also read the full report, linked here.
In this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, for a discussion on the outlook for U.S. equities and what investors can expect from 3Q22 earnings season. Higher inflation, higher interest rates and slowing consumer demand have all posed considerable headwinds to U.S. equities and contributed to the large selloffs experienced in markets this year. As third-quarter earnings season kicks off, investors are hoping to gain insight into how earnings, revenues and margins are holding up as the macro environment gets rockier. While the risks dampening investor sentiment right now are very real, valuations have also come down significantly, paving the way for potentially very attractive expected returns going forward.
In an already challenging year for markets, the energy crisis in Europe and recent fiscal actions by the UK government have rattled market sentiment and caused further disruption to currency and global bond markets. A higher reliance on Russian supply has put Europe in a particularly vulnerable position as winter approaches, with electricity prices soaring and increased risk of gas shortages. All of this, and its consequences for consumer spending and business confidence, has increased the likelihood of a near-term recession in Europe. On today's episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Hugh Gimber, Global Market Strategist, to shed some light on these issues and the outlook going forward for the UK and Europe.
This episode kicks off our fifth season of Insights Now. Over the course of this season, Dr. David Kelly will sit down with a slate of market strategists and subject matter experts to discuss topics such as the implications of aggressive Fed tightening, the European energy crisis, equity market volatility, and the future of globalization to try to provide some insight into investing in this very stormy climate.
On the episode, we tackle important questions for investors surrounding the outlook for the Federal Reserve. After a slow start, the Fed is now reacting very aggressively to higher inflation, boosting interest rates across the board and threatening the economy with recession. As markets have come under intense pressure from this increased hawkishness, it is an opportune time to have a conversation with our fixed income strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Jordan Jackson on positioning portfolios amidst this environment of higher rates, elevated inflation and market volatility.
Investors have had a challenging year so far, however, while outlook remains cloudy, investors should remember that the U.S. has always been an economy of long summers and short winters. While winter may be coming soon, much of the "bad news" might already be priced into markets, and investors may be wise to take advantage of the correction in valuations to position portfolios for the long summer, or expansion, ahead. For the last episode this season, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, for an insightful conversation on navigating investing in troubled times.
For additional resources please visit Principles for successful long-term investing. We'd also love to hear your thoughts and any suggestions you may have on our podcast as we plan for our next season. You can reach out to our team, Market Insights, at mi.questions@jpmorgan.com.
2022 has been a challenging year for most public asset classes, leaving many investors at odds on how to position portfolios, protect against inflation and identify areas for potential excess returns going forward. While markets have been more challenging, the need for income, capital appreciation and capital preservation has not changed. That’s where alternative investments may provide some solutions.
On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist, to discuss the outlook for Alternatives in an environment with higher rates and slower growth.
For more information on the Guide to Alternatives, please visit our website here.
Today, as investors mull the increasing risk of a U.S. recession, the strength in the labor market can be a double-edged sword. On one end, a healthy labor market with red-hot demand for workers could protect the economy from high unemployment in the next recession. On the other end, too-hot of a labor market gives the Fed a greater need to act aggressively to tame inflation and prevent an overheating economy, which very well might push the economy into a recession. On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is interviewed by Stephanie Aliaga, Research Analyst, to discuss the latest jobs report, the outlook for the labor market and our latest thoughts on the risk of a recession in 2022 or 2023. For more insights, please visit our On the Minds of Investors webpage.
As investors mull recession risks, they will also soon have to grapple with the midterm elections and how changes in politics may cause uncertainty in the economic outlook. As rates have risen on the back of Fed tightening, does this pose an issue for the government's ability to service the debt? After two years of extraordinary fiscal stimulus, what is outlook for fiscal spending going forward and what are its implications for investors?
On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist, to discuss politics and the fiscal outlook ahead of the midterm elections, in a conversation moderated by Stephanie Aliaga, Research Analyst.
The equity markets have seen a tumultuous and fairly disappointing few months in 2022. Investor sentiment has turned extremely bearish due to a land war in Ukraine, a more hawkish and aggressive Fed, and rising and persistent inflation. On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Andrew Tyler, Head of U.S. Market Intelligence, to discuss the current state of equity markets, the factors driving recent volatility, the takeaways form 1Q22 earnings season and the further implications of the Fed's rate hiking cycle on equity markets.
For additional insights on the 1Q22 earnings season, check out our latest bulletin written by David Lebovitz and Nimish Vyas.
While the 21st Century has seen a wide variety of housing markets with massive booms and busts, never in all these years, have there been so few properties on the market. This has fueled a surge in home prices that might look reminiscent of the 2006 housing boom. On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Mike Kelly, Head of US Real Estate, to discuss the current housing market, the surge in housing costs, and the long term impacts of the pandemic on certain real estate sectors. For additional insights, visit our On the Minds of Investors webpage.
The last few months have seen a swift and significant recalibration in markets. Inflation looks to be higher and stickier than previously assumed. The Fed has shifted more hawkish, now penciling upwards of seven hikes in 2022 and eyeing a faster pace of balance sheet reduction. On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Phil Camporeale, Portfolio Manager on the Multi-Asset Solutions group at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss asset allocation in an environment with higher uncertainty on interest rates and inflation. In light of recent geopolitical events , we are reminded that there is always the potential for unknown shocks to disrupt the investment outlook. Tune in to hear how Phil Camporeale is building resiliency in diversified portfolios to navigate today's bumpy environment and invest for the long haul.
For additional insights from Dr. David Kelly, check out the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast and newsletter on Apple, Spotify and LinkedIn.
The Federal Reserve recently hiked interest rates for the first time since 2018 and delivered a hawkish surprise to investors by way of its updated dot plot and economic projections. Since the Fed cut rates to zero in March 2020, the U.S. economy has well recovered with inflation running persistently well above the Fed's 2% target. On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jordan Jackson, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the new outlook for the Fed and the risks that surround their decision to quickly tighten policy. Can the Fed's more aggressive stance put the economy into a recession? Or are the risks of waiting to tighten just too high? What does all this mean for investors?
For additional insights on the Fed, check out Jordan Jackson's recent On the Minds of Investors article "How might markets perform as the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates?" linked here.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has brought horrible human consequences, but for investors it’s also raised a lot of questions. On this episode, we review the broad implications of the Russian invasion for investors in a special roundtable interview. Dr. David Kelly is joined by David Maccarrone, equity research analyst at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, and retired General Mastin Robeson, member of the Academy Security's Geopolitical Team, in a discussion moderated by Stephanie Aliaga, Research Analyst at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. General Robeson sheds light on the current state of play in geopolitics and the scenarios that may unfold, while David Maccarrone and Dr. Kelly discuss the implications around commodities, inflation, and fiscal and monetary policy.
For additional insights from Dr. David Kelly, check out the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast and newsletter on Spotify, Apple, and LinkedIn.
On today's episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the efforts against climate change and the investment opportunities that may underlie this transition towards a more sustainable future. As the need to fight climate change has become more pronounced, sustainable investing has increasingly come into focus for investors. This episode discusses the outlook for U.S. climate spending, Europe’s energy transition as the conflict in Russia-Ukraine flares up, China and its green initiatives, and the investment opportunities in agriculture, transportation, food and water, and energy efficiency. Tune in to hear two of J.P. Morgan’s thought leaders discuss these issues and more.
To learn more about the opportunities in sustainable food & water, read Meera Pandit’s latest On the Minds of Investors article.
For additional insights from Dr. David Kelly, check out the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast and newsletter on Spotify, Apple, and LinkedIn.
On the first episode of Season 4, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Gabriela Santos, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss what investors should expect from China in the Year of the Tiger and beyond. As China rings in the New Year, the road ahead holds substantial political and economic significance, from the Winter Olympics in Beijing to the Communist Party's 20th National Congress. China also faces substantial challenges in managing a potential property bubble, zero-tolerance approach to Covid and contentious international relationships. However, for investors, cheaper valuations and China's emphasis on growth stability with easy monetary and fiscal policies have supported the case for adding Chinese assets to portfolios. Tune in to hear two of J.P. Morgan's thought leaders discuss these issues and more.
For additional insights from Dr. David Kelly, check out the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast and newsletter on Spotify, Apple, and LinkedIn.
To read more from our thought leaders at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, visit our On the Minds of Investors blog.
Dr. David Kelly sits down with Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management to discuss the investment outlook for 2022. Despite the continued pandemic, the U.S. economy saw a powerful recovery in 2021 across equity markets, the labor market, and overall economic growth. Yet in recent months, investors have had to weigh a series of risks to both economic growth and market returns: the Fed is shifting more hawkish, inflation has surged, and valuations sit at lofty levels. Looking forward to 2022, what does this backdrop mean for investing? Where are the best opportunities for tactical positioning and strategic long-term investing?
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly sits down with Michael Conrath, Head of Education Savings at J.P. Morgan and author of the College Planning Essentials publication, to discuss the importance of saving for college and how to accumulate these savings most efficiently. What is a college education worth against the rapid rise in college tuition over the past few decades? Can families depend on financial aid or fiscal policy to cover most of these expenses? If you can’t rely on aid, how should families invest for high education expenses? What are the benefits of saving? Tune in to hear two of J.P. Morgan’s thought leaders discuss these questions and more.
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly sits down with Karen Ward, Chief Market Strategist for EMEA at J.P. Morgan Asset Management and author of the Europe and UK Guide to the Markets publications, to discuss the outlook for Europe. After disruptions from “Brexit” seem have settled down, the onslaught of the pandemic paved the way for a togetherness of Europe not seen in decades. The EU Recovery Fund may be just the accelerant to growth in Europe that investors have been waiting for. Still, European stocks are trading at some of their cheapest levels relative to the U.S. in history, and proponents have hailed Europe as an investment opportunity for years with little reward, is this time any different? Tune in to hear two of J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s thought leaders discuss the opportunities and challenges for Europe in the context of the post-pandemic global economy.
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly sits down with David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management and author of the Guide to Alternatives publication, to discuss the role of alternative assets in portfolios. Investors have been increasingly interested in alternatives, but for many, this is still unfamiliar territory. How should we think about investing in alternatives vs. traditional stocks and bonds? Against a backdrop of rising inflation and interest rates where the outlook for fixed income looks increasingly challenged, could alternatives be a solution? Tune into hear two of J.P. Morgan Asset Management’s thought leaders discuss the opportunities and challenges for this asset class in the context of this new inflationary environment.
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly is interviewed by Stephanie Aliaga, strategy analyst at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the advent of cryptocurrencies and whether this new asset class should have a place in portfolios. Can cryptocurrencies achieve their fundamental goal of being a store of value and payment system? How do cryptocurrencies function as an asset class, and is there a benefit them as an allocation in portfolios? Tune in to hear Dr. Kelly’s take on the matter, and other issues pertaining to ESG concerns, regulatory risk, and the broader blockchain revolution.
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly is joined by Nick Leventis, senior healthcare analyst for the Innovators strategy at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the genomic health revolution. Healthcare spending now amounts to almost 18% of GDP and chronic conditions are on the rise while baby boomers are just beginning to retire. The need for high quality care is becoming more and more important. Genomics, or the study of genes, is making it possible to predict, diagnose, and treat diseases more precisely and personally than ever before. This technology has been key in the creation of a viable and dynamic Covid-19 vaccine, but it has also heralded advancements in sequencing and machine learning, liquid biopsy, proteomics, etc.
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly is joined by Manish Goyal from J.P. Morgan Asset Management, who has over 25 years of investment experience in the tech industry and manages strategies that focus on digital evolution and innovation. The pandemic accelerated years of technological adoption and innovation, with strides made in the digitization of the consumer, integration of enterprise IT, and a massive migration of business, communication, and recreation to online platforms. As we look past the pandemic to a new normal, what are the drivers for technology from here? How can productivity continue to accelerate for businesses and workers? With valuations of Tech at levels not seen since the Tech Bubble, are asset prices for tech inflated? Are the recent regulatory actions from the Chinese government apart of a broader global trend that could pose a threat to Big Tech? Finally, where are the best opportunities for investors today?
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly is joined by Gabriela Santos, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the recent developments in China and how they fit into the context of China’s long term growth story. While Chinese markets were the strongest outperformers in the pandemic-stricken year of 2020, they have since experienced significant bumps along the road as a result of a new regulatory crackdown and resurgence of coronavirus cases. This has weighed on equity market sentiment and caused some steep market selloffs. Is the China investment thesis still alive and well? Other discussion topics include: China’s 5-10 year growth outlook, its declining birth rate, President Xi Jinping’s emphasis on targeting inequality, U.S.-China relationship under the Biden administration, the situation with Taiwan, and the strength of Chinese fixed income markets year-to-date.
Another way to access this podcast and all of our timely insights on the markets and economy is through the J.P. Morgan Insights App. Download via the App Store, or from our website linked here: https://awm-mi-services.jpmorgan.com/mi-services/html/app-store-redirect.html
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly is joined by Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the outlook for further fiscal stimulus with the infrastructure bill and budget reconciliation bill making their way through Congress. Discussion topics include: details of the infrastructure bill and Biden’s green energy ambitions, expectations for the larger budget reconciliation bill, the possibility of a debt-ceiling standoff, the 2022 midterms, and the potential for higher taxes and slower economic growth as we emerge from this period of extraordinary fiscal spending.
To read more about our thoughts on fiscal spending and other timely investment issues, check out our On the Minds of Investors blog: https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/adv/insights/market-insights/market-updates/on-the-minds-of-investors/
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly is joined by Sarah Kapnick, J.P. Morgan’s Climate Scientist and Sustainability Strategist, with a discussion on the sobering realities of climate change and the opportunities for policy and investment solutions. Discussion topics include: the UN climate body’s striking report on climate change, western droughts and the threat to food and power supply, agriculture inflation, the Biden Administration’s climate agenda, and the opportunities for sustainable investing and technological innovation to drive resilience and mitigation efforts.
Read Sarah Kapnick’s latest paper on western droughts here: https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/adv/insights/portfolio-insights/sustainable-investing/preparing-for-climate-change-how-drought-will-change-the-us-west/
On today’s episode Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jordan Jackson, Global Strategist on the Market Insights Team at J.P. Morgan, for a discussion on the Fed’s timetable for reducing accommodation as the economy shows signs of a durable recovery. Discussion topics include: comparison to the last “T-up to taper” period in 2013, technical challenges of reducing accommodation, the Fed’s involvement in MBS markets, drivers behind the decline in long-term yields, and the implications for fixed income investors.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Michael Cembalest, two of J.P. Morgan’s most respected thought leaders, discuss the most pressing questions for investors as we head into the second half of 2021.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Ted Dimig, Head of Advisory and Core Beta Solutions, discuss model portfolios and how they can be used to benefit your clients.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Jeff Geller, who serves as a Chief Investment Officer of our Multi-Asset Solutions group, discuss portfolio allocation decisions across a global opportunity set.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Andrew Norelli, who serves as a portfolio manager for several global fixed income strategies, consider the impact of a reflationary environment.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and James McNerny, lead portfolio manager of the actively managed JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF, discuss how to make the most of your cash in a world of low yields.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Michael Schoenhaut, lead portfolio manager of the JPMorgan Income Builder Fund discuss how to achieve income in today's low bond and dividend yields world.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Giri Devulapally, lead portfolio manager for the Large Cap Growth strategy here at JPMorgan Asset Management discuss opportunities in technology trends over the long term.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Yazann Romahi, who manages a quantitative beta strategies team here at JP Morgan Asset Management discuss the increased interest in factor investing.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Jennifer Wu, Global Head of Sustainable Investing here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management discuss the increased interest in ESG investing.
Seeking long-term capital appreciation by investing in companies who are leaders in sustainability? Click here.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Richard Taormina, head of the Tax Aware Strategies team here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management discuss how to protect your portfolio in a rising rate environment.
Seeking to balance tax-free income with capital preservation? To learn more Click here.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Hamilton Reiner, head of U.S. Equity Derivatives here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management discuss how investors can participate in the equity market.
Additional Description: Seeking to address several distinct investment needs? To learn more Click here.
Dr. David Kelly and Shane Duffy, lead portfolio manager of the International Equity Group here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management discuss if investors should increase exposure to international equities.
Seeking to Invest in foreign developed markets and, opportunistically, in emerging markets? To learn more Click here.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Clare Hart, Lead Portfolio Manager of the Equity Income Fund here at JP Morgan Asset Management to discuss if investors should take a closer look at value in 2021.
Seeking lower volatility access to stock market growth? To learn more Click here.
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Jordan Jackson, Global Market Strategist, discuss how low interest rates have made the fixed income environment even more challenging for investors.
Searching for income across a variety of asset classes? To learn more Click here.
Tune in to hear David Kelly and David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist, discuss how the energy industry is evolving over the long-term.
Seeking to deliver monthly distributable income and equity market exposure with less volatility? To learn more Click here.
Tune in to hear David Kelly and John Bilton, Head of Global Multi-Asset Strategy, discuss the key themes and issues that are going to drive both economic growth, inflation, monetary and economic policy, and ultimately asset returns.
There's growth to be found when you know where to look. To learn more Click here.
Tune in to hear David Kelly and Global Market Strategist, Samantha Azzarello discuss the key tenets of behavioral finance that every investor should be aware of. There's growth to be found when you know where to look. To learn more click here.
Many trends that persisted before 2020 have been accelerated by the COVID crisis, including dramatic shifts in demographics. Baby boomers, the largest generation ever, are aging and deaths are on the rise. Immigration has essentially halved compared to three years ago. And last year we saw the lowest birth rate ever.
Technological change is, of course, the most powerful force shaping the economy of the future. Tune in to hear David Kelly and Global Market Strategist, Jack Manley discuss how the impact of technological innovations is shaping the world and the investment environment both today and in the decades ahead.
For global markets, there is no long-term issue greater than the growth and evolution of China as an economic superpower. Tune in to hear David Kelly and Global Market Strategist, Gabriela Santos discuss the extraordinary progress in China’s economy.