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0:00 Too Much Rain??
4:03 USDA Report
8:15 Tariff News
9:54 The Funds
10:45 Flash Sale
π― WEEKEND GRAIN WRAP-UP: Big Rains, Lower Stocks & New Tariffs! π½βπ
π₯ What a weekend! Hereβs whatβs moving the markets:
π§οΈ Weather Watch
Substantial rainfall soaked much of the US Corn Belt this weekend!
π¦ Best totals: Iowa, Illinois, northeast Missouri & southern Wisconsin
π¦οΈ Scattered rains: Eastern Corn Belt
π
Forecast: More rain over the next 5β10 days
π‘οΈ Temps: Near-normal now, but above-normal coming in the 8β14 day outlook
π USDA Report Recap
Corn futures fell Friday⦠despite a friendly USDA update:
π¦ Ending stocks cut to 1.34B buβlowest in 4 years!
π’ Record export forecast at 2.75B bu
π½ 2025/26 corn production trimmed to 15.7B bu (still record high)
π± Soybean crop adjusted to 4.34B bu
π Yields? Still unchanged... but the market might be pricing in much higher yields already π€
πΊπΈ Tariff Trouble
President Trump is back with more tariffs:
π Starting August 1: 30% tariff on goods from Mexico & EU
βοΈ Possible exemptions for companies that move manufacturing to the US
β οΈ Retaliation? Trump says any response tariffs will be added on top
π EU & Mexico = 1/3 of total US imports
π²π½ Mexico = #1 buyer of US corn
πͺπΊ The EU is the #2 buyer of US soybeans and #5 of US corn
π° Money Flow: Fund Activity
π’ Corn: Funds net buyers of 10k contracts (1st time in 6 weeks!)
π΄ Soybeans: Net sellers of 7k
π’ SRW Wheat: Net buyers of 6k
π Check out the Fund Tracker charts below!
π« Flash Sale Alert!
π²π½ Mexico booked 219,900mt (8M bu) of new crop soybeans for 2025/26
π New crop soybean sales are already 4% ahead of USDAβs target!
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π¬ Drop your thoughts in the commentsβare we underestimating this corn yield?