You Guys Let Me Know: Recent Episodes
Uneducated Economist
Economic discussion forum. Bringing insight from a working class point of view. No suits to wear no desk to sit at just straight forward information and questions to converse. Take all the information as entertainment only. I have no back ground no formal education and no reason for you to believe a single thing I say. I bring to you my opinions in hopes that awareness and conversation help to bring understanding to an incredibly complex topic. Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknow/support
No one is talking about this, AVERAGE INFLATION RATE
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The threat of a possible return of inflation could show itself in the lumber market. Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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The Fed reduce their funds rates preemptively. Is a recession ahead?Wednesday Evening Livestream starts at 5pm pacific time https://www.youtube.com/live/8WJS6Pil...https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FE...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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What a deflationary Event would havehttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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What a deflationary Event would havehttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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The federal reserve can really care less about your jobhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FE...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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The government knows that the bad times are ahead andbare preparing accordingly livestream linkhttps://www.youtube.com/live/Iwh_ND0N...https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-...https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/D2...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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Average inflation is the strategy. livestream linkhttps://www.youtube.com/live/RWqF80IS...https://www.dallasfed.org/research/ec...https://www.stlouisfed.org/open-vault...
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Misunderstandings the fed strategy can be a costly mistake.https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...https://www.dallasfed.org/research/ec...https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/08/fed-g...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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When the price of Lumber shot up to ultimately unrealistic highs very few could explain why. https://www.businessinsider.com/feder...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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The Treasury General Account is loaded with cash. This could be the reason why.join Saturdays livestream 10am pacific time https://www.youtube.com/live/OoMXq_dU...recent livestream that the members requested to be made public https://youtube.com/live/PSHYjgt32V0?...https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/D2...https://www.reuters.com/business/us-t...https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZT8Xbd4V8/Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...--- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/youguysletmeknow/support
The Fed strategy is secret.....but it's not.Livestream linkhttps://www.youtube.com/live/PSHYjgt3...Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCkB8...https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon https://www.patreon.com/UneducatedEco...Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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When manufacturers find a cheaper place to set up shop it's not anyone's fault, it's the natural way of economics.Wednesday livestream https://www.youtube.com/live/PSHYjgt3...https://mises.org/library/essay-econo...https://finance.yahoo.com/news/chines...https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/01/econom...Join this channel to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCkB8...https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon https://www.patreon.com/UneducatedEco...Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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Twelve people decide on monetary policy and have more influence than anyone else. link to the coming livestream https://www.youtube.com/live/hV7uDUge...https://www.federalreserve.gov/moneta...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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This could be the plan for dealing with a bond liquidity issue.https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/D2...https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing...https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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Reasons and examples of internalizing the economy to best postion for yourself.Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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The "Credible Threat" theory is so prevalent today its hard to miss if you know what to look for. Mike Zuber • Credible Threats to US Economy and Ho... https://youtube.com/@OneRentalataTime...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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There is but one ultimate reason for trade deficits. it's your luxurious life that's doing it.https://www.visualcapitalist.com/cp/c...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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Breaking the economy down. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FE...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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As the narrative of lower rates overwhelms the media and markets its the credible threats from the fed that is guiding that perception.https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents...https://www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDD...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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The Sahm rule is a very intriguing tool indicating a recession. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SA...https://www.businessinsider.com/2024-...https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSK...https://www.wsj.com/articles/goods-de...https://seekingalpha.com/article/4655...https://www.businessinsider.com/econo...
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When people get scared, they run to gold.https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/04/gold-...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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An oversupply in the economy will result in shortages and more inflation. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/smithf...https://mjbizdaily.com/october-2023-m...https://www.globest.com/2023/11/29/in...#deflationary #inflation #interestrates https://kutv.com/news/local/utah-salt...https://www.solarpowerworldonline.com...https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplo...https://www.naturalgasintel.com/janua...https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/...https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/de...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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No one knows how it will end, but you.
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No one is in agreement as to what the fed will do. The Strategy is pretty clear.Livestream https://www.youtube.com/live/w0B3EbxR... • BlackRock's Rieder Says Fed Needs to ... https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents...https://fortune.com/2023/12/09/jim-gr...https://www.wsj.com/economy/jobs/fede...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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Just like inflation a recession can be a self fulfilling prophecy.https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/10/econom...https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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The fed was looking for "help" from the supply side. They got all the help they're going to gethttps://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/13/why-b...Join this channel to get access to perks: / @uneducatedeconomist https://anchor.fm/youguysletmeknowuneducatedeconomist.comuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mailP.O. 731Astoria , OR97103Instagram uneducated.economistpatreon / uneducatedeconomist Want to buy me a coffeehttps://www.paypal.me/meatbingohttps://cash.app/$bingo503https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...ZELLEuneducatedeconomist@gmail.com uneducatedeconomist@handcash.ioBuy an Uneducated Economist hoodiehttps://teespring.com/stores/uneducat...
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There will be consequences to pay for misunderstanding the Federal Reserve's monetary strategy.https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents...Join this channel to get access to the perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCkB8...
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My opinion of what could be a strategy between Russia and India doing oil deals in rupees when Russia can't really use rupees.
livestream link https://www.youtube.com/live/mbPP8K5l...
Stock Pluse Silver Symposium http://www.eventbrite.com/e/635415213...
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Russia finds they have excess rupees, now what? India is cool with it. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/internation...
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Dollar-denominated debt runs rampant in the BRICS nations.
Dollar Soars to Five-Month High as US Economy Powers Ahead
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carter_...
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WARNING FEAR MONGERING VIDEO, because U.E. needs views lol In all seriousness
https://mises.org/library/essay-econo...https://robbreport.com/style/watch-co...https://www.businessinsider.com/the-h...
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Recent federal reserve speech that describes the dangers of having a digital economy buried in it.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
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The private housing started has a huge gap left over from the great financial crisis.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST
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A lot of people look at the economy with pure imagination
https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-...https://markets.businessinsider.com/n...
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Like a jealous partner who makes up evidence to prove a case for something that doesn't exist....yet.
https://news.bitcoin.com/economist-so...
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Letting Go of outcome is one of the hardest but most rewarding things you could ever do.
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/18/homeb...
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Most people want you to see their views of the economy, but you will own the choices you make.
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The world is full of information and how we received that info will influence the choices we make.
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It's all about the rising neutral rate and the lagging fed funds
https://www.wsj.com/articles/historic...
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https://www.reuters.com/markets/cash-...https://www.businessinsider.com/dedol...
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Higher rates are creating a return on capital investments for the first time in years. Is this helping or hurting?
https://fortune.com/2023/07/06/what-r...https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed...https://mexiconewsdaily.com/business/...
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Everyone wants dollars.
https://www.reuters.com/markets/signs...https://www.reuters.com/business/fina...https://finance.yahoo.com/news/argent...
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The collateralized loan obligation market is going into depression. Business failures are on the horizon
https://www.reuters.com/business/fina...
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Economic data is only as scary as you make it.
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The Real reason So many people are homeless is because no one really produces any more.
https://www.businessinsider.com/maxin...https://www.kpbs.org/podcasts/kpbs-ro...
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The fed is getting their ammo back and no one believes they did it in purpose.
https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-r...
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Clearing out all the bad debt requires a lot of defaults and bankruptcies. As painful as it is the results are a better place to flourish.
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Cash is not trash, everyone is going to try and get out of debt and you may want gold but not a gold standard.
https://moneywise.com/investing/super...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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The lumber market has been quiet, it's about to make some noise
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This is why housing market hasn't crashed.
https://www.nahb.org/news-and-economi...
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Everyone is guessing what the Federal Reserve next move will be. The Fed knows.
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The inflation that plagued the economy has people believing cash is trash and getting out of the doll but the rich are doing the opposite.
legal lies • Legal Lies FASAB 56
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/07/milli...
https://www.businessinsider.com/all-c...
https://www.geekwire.com/2023/one-thi...
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The mainstream media would twist your mind, follow your own and think for yourself.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...https://www.reuters.com/markets/curre...
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Lumber continues to fall in prices. https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinese-...https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/09/feds-...
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All the effort and the problem of homeless grows increasingly worse.
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Everyone wants an answer and everyone has a suggestion but no one realizes how there is no way of fixing the homeless crisis.https://www.koin.com/news/portland/ev...https://www.newsweek.com/homeless-peo...https://www.newsweek.com/homeless-peo...
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Everyone wants to blame politicians, however, they are the results, not the cause.https://www.koin.com/local/gov-kotek-...
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The oversupply to under supply will continue to impact the economy as mal-investments go into bankruptcies https://fortune.com/2023/05/07/housin...https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsle...
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So many signs of a collapsing economy.https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank...
https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/25/busine...
https://www.newsweek.com/homeless-peo...
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A chilling effect will be hitting china's manufacturers as the cheaper foreign labor competition increases. The Chinese economy will need to find new money from somewhere.https://www.businessinsider.com/chine...
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Mill curtailment from Tolko in the British Columbia area announced a permanent shutdown resulting in 100 million board feet of production being pulled from the market.https://www.castanet.net/news/Vernon/...
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The home buying conditions are improving, that should get the homebuilders moving again when buyers sentiment turns positive.https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/17/april...
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The fed now payment system has been a long time in the making. • The Federal Reser...
• Negative Interest...
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The dive into luxury will end in poverty. Cantillon effect https://mises.org/library/essay-econo...
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The supply has more to do with the current situation than anyone realizes.https://www.freightwaves.com/news/tri...
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Cantillon effect makes so much sense.https://mises.org/library/essay-econo...https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/23/pulit...https://www.reuters.com/world/china/c...
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Economic failure is an opportunity to tokenize. https://www.freightwaves.com/news/glo...
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-s...
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The BTFP is the new facility that will be used to bail out the banks. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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The fed is calling an emergency meeting for Monday most likely to deal with the Contagion from the fallout of SVB. https://www.livemint.com/news/world/s... https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev..
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When a currency cycle comes to an end the transfer of wealth can be devastating to those who misunderstand how to protect themselves.
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https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/...
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When demand drives up prices the supply is sure to follow https://www.businessinsider.com/rent-... https://www.wweek.com/news/2023/02/22...
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Salvage from bugs information
https://www.bcfpb.ca/reports-publicat... https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/t...
video referenced https://youtu.be/UUu_nppx8FU?t=1
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The "weird" jobs market explained https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/20/weird...
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Lumber Prices will rise and greed and manipulation will be blamed.
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The lumber industry has been my leading indicator for the economy. The oversupply to under supply and back known as the Bullwhip effect will spread throughout the rest of the economy.
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Ken McElroy shares his expert opinions and stories of the past, current trends, and future predictions.
Ken McElroy youtube https://youtube.com/@KenMcElroy
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The debt crisis could manifest at any moment
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/los... https://therealdeal.com/2022/03/22/ra...
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Food is at risk of becoming stuck in the Bullwhip effect as oversupply to undersupply drives investors into production that leads to an oversupply that crashes prices and increases bankruptcy in the food production industry.
https://www.tridge.com/data-insights/... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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The mainstream media causes panics in the market. Misunderstanding and misconception is labeled as the truth.
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Living life broke is much different from living Paycheck to paycheck. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Picking the right monetary strategy isn't easy. Picking the right Economist is even harder.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev... https://www.bis.org/review/r181206a.htm
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https://youtube.com/@JasonHartmanReal...
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Lumber inventory has been reduced and the mills are still curtailing, any increase in builder sentiment and Lumber could Skyrocket. https://www.newsbreak.com/news/289646...
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New Home construction is has dripped dramatically and so has Lumber inventory levels. Any up tick in demand and lumber prices may Skyrocket https://www.capitaleconomics.com/publ...
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https://odysee.com/@MikeMartins:7
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The Economic conditions to increases population is when the people are content to live the most poorly. https://youtu.be/YobHHtBV8kU
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Ths federal reserve has failed to have the correct model to find the appropriate levels.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/04/bu... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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So many experts but only you can make the best decisions for yourself.
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Peter Schiff https://twitter.com/PeterSchiff?t=9Kc...
Peter Schiff YOUTUBE https://youtube.com/@peterschiff
peter Schiff podcast https://schiffradio.com/
Euro Pacific https://europacificfunds.com/epgfx/?g...
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The inevitable housing crash is coming yet no one knows how or why.
https://www.foxbusiness.com/real-esta...
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George Gammon https://youtube.com/@GeorgeGammon
Rebel Capitalist live https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/
long term trends https://www.longtermtrends.net/
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Still no one wants to admit the fed is going to cause pain
https://www.wsj.com/articles/wall-str... https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FE...
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Diana Kirk shares some of her experiences dealing with insurers covering her low income units.
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Mathew from The Lumberjack Landlord takes time out of his day to talk what an interest rate adjustment could do to impact the price and rents.
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Thoughts on supply vs. demand. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/19/homeb... https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/new... https://markets.businessinsider.com/n...
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I'll keep saying it. The housing inventory rising will be the trigger for a collapse in prices, but until then support will be found. https://orchard.com/blog/posts/what-a... https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/19/homeb..
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The fed discount window is experiencing a big uptick in use. The last times this happened was the Great Financial Crisis and again as the pandemic hit. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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The fed has delivered on the lifting of the fed funds rate. However creative buyer incentives plus supply and demand within the mortgage backed securities market may keep home loans affordable.
https://www.businessinsider.com/homeb...
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The inflation will not end narrative is coming to an end....for now.
https://www.bis.org/review/r181206a.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDD... https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563...
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As the pain of the slowing housing market continues, a crisis sets in for those who make a living from the industry.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/rh-ceo... https://www.marketplace.org/2022/12/0...
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PODCAST EXCLUSIVE! Listen to this episode 1 day before it goes live on YouTube!
Mainstream media now reporting on the "strong dollar" crisis about to engulf the world.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/huge-m... https://www.forexlive.com/news/jamie-...
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As many believe, the Fed will begin to pivot the words they use and say that pain and job loss are in our future.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20221130a.htm
https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-rate-hikes-investors-bank-markets-recession-economy-policy-bridgewater-2022-12
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/could-unemployment-less-recession-bank-063510082.html
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Owen Benjamin interview with the Uneducated Economist. Too many topics to list as cover everything from current events to life's challenges and successes. https://owenbenjamin.com/
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How to fix an inherently flawed system doesn't have a feasible solution. Email from a viewer.
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New construction has taken a huge hit in the last 6 months, however, conditions are getting favorable.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PE... https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HSN1F
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Mathew from The Lumberjack Landlord youtube channel discusses how he got started, and some of the heartbreaking events and successes of his journey to becoming the owner of 135 rental properties.
Lumberjack Landlord https://youtube.com/@LumberjackLandlord
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The covid lockdowns broke the back of the supply chain. When the restrictions end balance can be found. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/30/trans... https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/30/econo...
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Insider view with mortgage professional Nathan
Nathan: ndlobrecht@gmail.com
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Morning Babbling turning into rants
Legal lies
https://youtu.be/6QvhFe_aZ5E https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev... https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/fe...
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Predicting a 50% chance is basically saying you don't know.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Things change but people expect the same.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/art... https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/the-...
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Keta from Madison's Lumber Report, an expert in price and supply of the Lumber industry gives us her professional opinion from decades of experience.
https://youtube.com/@MadisonsLumberPr...
https://madisonsreport.com/lumber-pri...
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The governments will try but it won't work
https://ark-invest.com/wrights-law/ https://www.freightwaves.com/news/plu... https://www.freightwaves.com/news/mas...
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It is and always will be about your energy
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The crypto exchanges are not the crypto currency. The game continues
https://www.wsj.com/articles/wall-str... https://markets.businessinsider.com/n...
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Lumber futures can be very telling of the current economy
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The mortgage servicers have a trick up their sleeves
https://fortune.com/2022/11/16/zombie...
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Thoughts after reading an article talking about the high prices of farmland.
https://www.yahoo.com/now/farmland-va...
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Times are hard and it's going to get painfully bad, but you can position yourself to weather this storm.
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/fu... https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank...
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The world is economically screwed up and it's all from misguided behavior.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/11/globa... https://fortune.com/2022/11/08/fed-un...
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Just me going off with economic babbling
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The world is going digital.
https://splash247.com/ports-of-singap... https://www.thetrucker.com/trucking-n...
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The fed will reverse the interest rates once everyone has listed their jobs.
https://markets.businessinsider.com/n... https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/08/auto-...
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The flow of money through a state starts with "new" money. The dive into luxury and eventually lead to poverty is evident in today's largest economy's attempt to reverse the effects.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/07/busine... https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/04/a-maj...
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The fed raised rates again, not a surprise. Bring on the pain.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/02/fed-h...
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There are many who say they can "fix" the problem. Problem is that this is irreversible.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/sup...
https://www.frbsf.org/economic-resear...
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The lumber futures are screaming downturn. Mill curtailing and inventory depletion showing the signs of economic stress
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The fed speeches are incredibly telling of their plans. They dominate the world and they ain't letting that go.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
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With so calling for a housing crash, it's the signs of a crash that we are looking for.
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When asked my opinion on what to do.
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The world is changing fast and the decision you make today will impact you for the rest of your life. Do not let someone else decide your fate.
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The easy explanation of the fed lifting/lowering interest rates.
https://youtu.be/Hhq-z3bFlOY https://www.bis.org/review/r181206a.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDD...
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The Fed has promised pain and pain is what we will get. https://www.wsj.com/articles/bond-mar...
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What is happening now in the economy is confusing to say the least. Understanding it is almost impossible.
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China want to put an end to the irrational exuberance. The got it.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Many people said if rates rise prices will crash, but supply may add support.
https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stoc...
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The world is thinking the fed will pivot. The Fed doesn't.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev... https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/f...
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Manufacturers are going into a contraction and the real shortages will be truly devastating
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7DXp5... https://www.bbc.com/news/business-631... https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/cost...
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No one expected the changes that occurred and the world will not be what it was
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My personal anecdotal evidence of the shortages in the lumber market.
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There is a lag between the lifting of interest rates and the impact on the economy, but hardly anyone considers this.
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/05/02... https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/04/barry... https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL
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The fed has promised to kill jobs, they will do it by killing zombie corporations
https://www.wsj.com/articles/for-corp... https://bmpro.substack.com/p/looming-...
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The fed continues to jawbone the monetary policy. They want help from the supply side of things. good luck with that. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/column...
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Everyone knows to blame the fed, but do they know why? https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/26/the-r...
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Lumber can be an excellent indicator of the health of an economy and the Futures Are Crashing. https://seekingalpha.com/news/3884206...
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Everyone thinks they know what the fed will do, including me.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/billio... https://qz.com/the-us-dollar-is-decim... https://www.frbsf.org/economic-resear...
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The fed is in an attempt to fight inflation has promised to inflict more pain.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/21/the-f...
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It's all about transactions and the retail economy is dying. From booming to busted.
https://retailwire.com/discussion/wal... https://www.cnbc.com/video/2021/03/29...
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The world is indebted to the Dollar and the pain being felt is going to get worse. Food and fuel grow more expensive in the world priced in dollars.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/dollars-...
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One of the best indicators of the health of the economy is shipping demand and prices. The shift down in rates in the shift up in capacity doesn't signal a healthy economy.
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/con...
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/mas...
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As interest rise, Sovereign countries feel the pain.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/emerging...
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Part 2 Interview with Kéta Kosman of Madison's Lumber Report ,expert opinions that dives into the current trends of Lumber production, sales and the building industries.
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Interview with Kéta Kosman of Madison's Lumber Report expert opinions that dives into the current trends of Lumber production, sales and the building industries.
https://madisonsreport.com/
https://youtube.com/channel/UCIxRWeR1...
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With less issuance the fed may be able to unwind the balance sheet without too much damage.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/shrinkin...
https://www.usdebtclock.org/
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The tight jobs market will end soon with close to half of businesses expecting layoffs.
https://nypost.com/2022/08/19/half-of...
https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/19/econom...
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With all the talk about China getting out of the dollar, stories like China dumping treasuries lead people to believe it. But they really want cash.
https://markets.businessinsider.com/n...
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How high can unemployment get when so many zombies take up the best talent? The death of the zombies will kill the jobs market too.
https://www.ft.com/content/8d4aef93-f...
https://www.axios.com/2022/08/09/defl...
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Inflation hits the poor the worst. However, the fight against inflation will be painful for the lowest wage earners.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/08/bu...
https://mises.org/library/essay-econo...
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it's not a recession if you don't call it that. However, the battle that a central bank and a government would need to fight a recession has already been fought, but the pain has yet to come.
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/feds...
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
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Many believe that the fed will stop raising rates. However, it will require going above neutral to slow demand.
https://markets.businessinsider.com/n...
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
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The world Sovereign debt crisis is going to get painful and for China it will hurt so good.
https://www.nationalreview.com/corner...
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Lumber futures prices are falling dramatically, but retail may take awhile.
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U.S. domestic manufacturers are feeling the pressure of an economic slowdown
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s...
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us...
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Despite the belief that last inflation is a problem, the real issue is a strengthening dollar.
https://www.capitalspectator.com/is-t...
https://asiatimes.com/2022/07/powell-...
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/ever...
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This recession will be unlike any other.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/companie...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.wsj.com/articles/investor...
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The manufacturers of semiconductors may not be profitable in the U.S.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-want...
https://www.phonearena.com/news/smic-...
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The cycle of the rising economy will lead to utter failure
read chapter 8 "Further reflections on the increase and decrease of money in a state " https://cdn.mises.org/An%20Essay%20on...
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With the unwinding of the federal reserve balance sheet, do they control the mortgage rates?
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mar... https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mar...
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The lumber prices are falling because of oversupply. The Bullwhip effect is still running its course and the builder's sentiment has less to do with it than you might think.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PE...
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The world will suffer pain and misery from the crushing weight of a stronger dollar. A debt crisis is now visible on the horizon.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.centralbanking.com/centra...
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It's not a matter of if, but when a nation falls into poverty. An overabundance of money leads to luxuries and ends in poverty.
chapter 8 https://cdn.mises.org/An%20Essay%20on...
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The overwhelming consumer demand that was misunderstood by manufacturers will soon cause gluts in everything.
https://learningenglish.voanews.com/a...
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A housing downturn is obviously underway but is it really a crash or a return to normal. Jeremy Knight https://youtu.be/dieWjaSdzTw https://www.cnbc.com/video/2022/07/15... https://www.wsj.com/articles/housing-... https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mar...
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If the housing market turns ugly, be greedy when people are fearful and buy when there is blood in the streets https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-... https://www.businessinsider.com/wrong... https://www.efinancialcareers.com/new...
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So many working parts it is hard to know what you don't know, but you know there are things you don't know. https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents... https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents...
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The Fed used to target an inflation rate of 2%. Now they are shooting for average inflation, whatever that is supposed to mean. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/lar... https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents...
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Sri Lanka issued a lot of debt in U.S. dollars; that debt is due in dollars and China is a major holder of that dollar-denominated debt.
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/sri-...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Many times people have disagreed with my opinions. We have the right to our opinions, and telling people to believe differently is not persuasive. Thinking for yourself and forming your own opinions is the only way to self-guide your way through life.
Biden is doing what Trump wanted https://youtu.be/LeOCKlhlYiM
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Fed speech from 2018 gives a clearer picture of why the plan for dealing with the pandemic was so quickly and easily introduced.
https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents...
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The size of lumber contracts will be a quarter of what they were. This should and liquidity and speculation. What could come from this?
https://www.wsj.com/articles/lumber-f...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/11/homeb...
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A strong economy is built on production and savings, however cheap imports can ruin a good thing.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-up-w...
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I repeated myself a few times in this video, but I think you get my point.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Watching how debt-defaulting property developers are impacting the real estate market in China could be a telling sign of what's to come
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Supply disruptions caused a major distortion in the economy. Shortages in everything coupled with high inflation expectations have now positioned the fed to lift interest rates aggressively.
The fed was looking to anchor expectations higher and it totally worked.
Waller loves credible threats https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
Williams wanted inflation to run extra hot extra long https://www.bis.org/review/r181206a.htm
Bernanke knew credible threats would work https://www.federalreserve.gov/boardd...
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Signs of economic contraction are now showing up everywhere
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.businessinsider.com/infla...
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A stronger dollar and a global food shortage will drive the U.S. into luxury before falling into poverty https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://howlongtocook.org/tips/countr...
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False consumer demand is now evaporating, the manufacturers' overproduction is now causing major pain in the economy. The real shortages have yet to come.
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/jul...
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The Fed Wants Credit For What The Lifting Of Restrictions Has Done
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mar...
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/powe...
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Food Shortages are really happening. Do not ignore it.
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukr...
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Corporate debt is on the verge of collapse as junk bonds continue to lose value even with a backup plan.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/rising-r...
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Oversupply is crippling the nation's retailers. Deflation is now imminent. https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-port... https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/26/busine... https://www.freightwaves.com/news/tru... https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/27/wall-...
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Real estate discussion panel at the Rebel Capitalist Live Event 3. Very informative insight into the new construction and real estate market.
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The fed is looking to stop inflation and cutting jobs is their goal. Zombie Season is now open
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/17/moody...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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U.E. thinking out loud about central bank digital currency being implemented during food shortages.
https://blogs.imf.org/2019/02/05/cash...
https://finbold.com/feds-powell-says-...
https://www.iowapbs.org/shows/mtom/ma...
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The Fed is not worried about inflation so long as its threats stay credible
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/22/powel...
https://www.federalreserve.gov/boardd...
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With all the media talk of a recession, it's hard to believe it won't be a self-fulfilling prophecy.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/top-wa...
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The fed is quickly running out of time to lift rates before the next recession.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/former-n...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/14/optio...
https://bestlifeonline.com/walmart-st...
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Predicting a recession is not easily done, but a few indicators can show the signs before it happens.
https://youtu.be/EyCQTWFJKGY
yield curve inversion https://youtu.be/EyCQTWFJKGY
inventory oversupply https://finance.yahoo.com/video/retai...
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Predicting a recession is not easily done, but a few indicators can show the signs before it happens.
https://youtu.be/EyCQTWFJKGY
yield curve inversion https://youtu.be/EyCQTWFJKGY
inventory oversupply https://finance.yahoo.com/video/retai...
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A surplus of inventory will be met with a massive shortage due to China manufacturing shutdown, BULLWHIP IN FULL EFFECT
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/us-...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-sh...
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Transitory inflation has been proven to not be transitory. I disagree.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/07/targe...
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/cons...
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https://www.asiamarkets.com/evergrand...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/06/russi...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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NOT ADVICE, for entertainment purposes, proceed at your own risk.
https://youtu.be/Smgm7ooMuro
https://www.mygrandeprairienow.com/97...
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/lumb...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/busine...
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Cantillon's essay explains this downfall in trade, which will lead to poverty
https://asiatimes.com/2022/05/import-...
https://mises.org/library/essay-econo...
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Delta airlines plans on cutting scheduled flights because it can't meet the demand.
https://news.yahoo.com/delta-says-can...
https://news.yahoo.com/gas-prices-soa...
https://keydifferences.com/difference....
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The way the FED establishes interest rates and how they plan to unwind their balance sheet could lead to some destructive times.
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/re...
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europ...
https://youtu.be/avZkZeOQQSU
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The world Sovereign debt crisis is the next big economic crisis.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/art...
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Entrepreneurs are losing confidence in the economy, which makes me think they are losing confidence in themselves.
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Now that lumber futures have fallen, the question of when will 2x4 get cheaper is on everyone's mind.
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quote...
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The world is changing fast. Sanctions have disrupted supply and exposed a serious consequence that will forces governments to react.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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The Bullwhip effect is now becoming obvious, hold your hats. This is about to get ugly.
https://youtu.be/nyWRFthFq04
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/marke...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldma...
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As rates rise on mortgages pressuring home buyers we can see the results of this move on property developers from the recent experiences in China
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/17/home-...
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https://www.barchart.com/futures/quot...
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Had a great conversation with Richard from Being Human podcast
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jqJEnJ87lM&t=2546s
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Record imports are surging and the effects will be devastating.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/surge-in...
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The fed knew that average inflation would anchor inflation expectations above target.
https://theloadstar.com/transpacific-...
https://youtu.be/S1OZgnYwgMk
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The FED knew we would see this time in the economy. The Fed funds rate is too low to be an effective tool, but they had other tools ready we just didn't know what it was.
https://youtu.be/e97mKqOakbE
https://www.minneapolisfed.org/articl...
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To say the fed has "lost control of inflation" may need to be reconsidered after reviewing a video I made shortly after the pandemic started that predicted a lot of what took place.
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The fed plans on curbing inflation while maintaining a soft landing. So we are going to hit the ground at some point.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-de...
https://news.yahoo.com/wall-street-se...
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The demand for stuff is fading as the demand for experience grows.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/manufact...
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The fed said they wanted the fed funds above the neutral rate. But what is the neutral rate.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/powell...
https://www.bis.org/review/r181206a.htm
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The severe demand that will lead to oversupply is starting to show itself. Solar panels in Australia are just an example of what's to come.
https://www.pv-magazine.com/2022/04/2...
https://gamerant.com/chip-shortage-ma...
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With all the talk of recession, I don't see how one couldn't be coming.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/trio-of-...
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Russia paid its U.S. dollar-denominated debts. However, sanctions could prevent the payments from going through. Dollar demand is growing stronger by the day.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/russia...
https://news.bitcoin.com/former-chine...
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It's not surprising that the people who get a degree in economics earn the most money. Just studying economics made a world of difference for me
https://bigthink.com/the-present/want...
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Want to see what you can do? Face your fears and set unrealistically high goals.
https://youtu.be/Kn9-S-RO9OE
https://youtu.be/KaSoQ_0Owxg
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The central bank's digital currency will inevitably be our future as the money master look to expand their control
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/top...
https://youtu.be/LjFmOqY_Zus
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The overwhelming consumer demand is fading fast.
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/whir...
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the...
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The reports are coming in that the trucking issues of the pandemic are beginning to ease.
https://www.reuters.com/business/us-t...
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When the fed goes to unwind or sell mortgage-backed securities the available amount to purchase may not be so plentiful
https://www.businessinsider.com/wells...
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The average inflation was in the works long ago.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-com...
https://www.bis.org/review/r181206a.htm
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Inflation that was persistently too low was the Feds issue, problem solved
https://www.bis.org/review/r181206a.htm
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Dollar shortage in a world of high inflation. Emerging markets struggle to find the dollars they need to survive.
Hunger and Blackouts Are Just the Start of an Emerging Economy Crisis
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/featur...
Russia Faces New Urgency to Dodge Default, Avoid Wall Street
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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The fed plans to raise the interest rates to slow consumer demand. Pain on pain as higher prices are met with inability
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-ev...
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30yr fixed-rate mortgages have jumped 2% in a month. What happened in China when that happened?
https://money.com/todays-mortgage-rat...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/19/china...
U.S. Housing Starts Unexpectedly Rise to Fastest Pace Since 2006 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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So many headwinds but the prices just keep rising.
https://fortune.com/2022/04/18/mortga...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/18/homeb...
https://www.wsj.com/articles/homeowne...
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The U.S. tells Russia to use their dollar holdings to pay their bondholders. Russia knows better than to give up their U.S. DOLLARS. plus 40-year mortgages to save the housing market.
https://markets.businessinsider.com/n...
https://www.housingwire.com/articles/...
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Fed participation in the mortgage market could mean a lot of different things.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4F2e9...
https://money.yahoo.com/housing-marke...
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The yield on the 3yr bond is now higher than anywhere else on the curve.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/01/us-bo...
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Retail signals came months ago, but anecdotal evidence means very little until the data comes out. Take a look at the trucking industry. Warning signs of a shift are becoming apparent.
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/why...
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Inflation runs rampant but inventory levels rise at the same time the fed wants to slowdown demand.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.dallasfed.org/research/ec...
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/art... https://finance.yahoo.com/news/will-t...
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Life is not easy but it can be. No matter where you are, it's because that's what you are thinking about. Good, bad, or ugly you are what you think about.
https://youtu.be/NbBHR_CD56M
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The inversion of the yield curve has been a leading indicator of an impending recession
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/28/us-bo...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/recess...
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With a broken supply chain are "honest prices" possible?
https://mises.org/library/essay-econo...
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U.S. Treasuries are the most cash liquid market in the world and cash is drying up
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s...
https://www.ft.com/content/475a62b7-0...
https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/30Y5YS?qs...
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The 5yr and 30 yr are about to invert.
The Greenspan indicator
https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/30Y5YS?qs...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/lumber...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/25/home-...
Greenspan interview 4:20 https://youtu.be/j7JKKZZ2ALk
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What is it to be satisfied?
5yr30yr https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/30Y5YS?qs...
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Yield curve inversion is a popular recession indicator but who is watching what to get the accurate forecast?
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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I have said it many times to watch China. What happens in China will have a similar reflection in the rest of the world.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-sa...
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British Columbia has been hit hard with a lack of available timber. Mills have no choice but to pull back on production
https://www.princegeorgecitizen.com/l...
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As restrictions of business activity begin to ease the monetary tightening will cap the assets prices and interest rates will rise.
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/pens...
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Greed, manipulation and price gouging is all to blame for the inflation. What about supply bottlenecks, transportation and restrictions. https://factcheck.afp.com/doc.afp.com...
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The mal-investments that will be exposed as such will become a common scenario as interest rates rise. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl... https://signalscv.com/2022/02/workfor... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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What I feel the next 6 months could look like.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wave-b... https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/new... https://www.axios.com/shoplifting-ret...
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The demand may not be as it appears
https://www.businessinsider.com/pelot...
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When everyone is anticipating it, it probably won't happen.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/dwindlin...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/04/how-t...
https://www.ft.com/content/cf2df2c8-d...
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The Fed's monetary policy tool is to raise the inflation expectations, doesn't matter how, the point is they got it.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
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Lumber Prices are falling but the buying opportunities will be brief.
https://treefrogcreative.ca/amid-figh...
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Random thoughts about the economy today.
https://prospect.org/economy/how-we-b...
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Lumber sell off is not surprising as we go to find equilibrium
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https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/ch...
https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-f...
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Had a great conversation with Economic Research today, thanks for inviting me on your show!
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The Fed is getting the inflation the expected with high expectations of inflation.
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Will lifting interest rates slow demand?
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/22/behin...
https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-m...
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/25/retai...
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The lead times on vinyl windows dropped significantly, finally, builders catch some sort of break.
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A tight money supply is going to be painful.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s... https://www.wsj.com/articles/evergran... https://news.yahoo.com/fed-may-want-m...
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The fed hasn't even started raising rates and already we got problems.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/rising-i... https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-bad-...
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The high prices of homes was intentional.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
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There is a lot more talk nowadays about CBDC and stablecoin.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
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Between the Fed's threat of raising rates and oversupply in the industry across the globe, the Bullwhip effect hit the steel industry much like it did lumber.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Mark...
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The cost of living will drive everyone into poverty
https://www.ocpp.org/2020/10/01/incom...
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Builders sentiment drops based on difficulties sourcing out affordable building supplies
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/18/homeb... https://bigclumber.com/market-updates/
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Never do I see the situation as clearly as do when I reget it.
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New home construction contractors are facing tough times, simply not being able to source out the materials they need.
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Cantillon effect leads to trade imbalance, that leads to luxury, that leads to poverty.
https://cdn.mises.org/An%20Essay%20on...
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I really get to babbling in this one. New money increases imports and slows down manufacturers.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/11/china... https://cdn.mises.org/An%20Essay%20on...
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I'm back from my first public speaking experience. 700 people in the audience. Go big, right? What an amazing life experience. Thank you everyone for the support and encouragement to get me here. You have changed my life, I can't thank you all enough.
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This is a practice run for the speech that was given at the Rebel Capitalist Event held this past weekend! Hope everyone enjoys it! uneducatedeconomist.com uneducatedeconomist@gmail.com real mail P.O. 731 Astoria, OR 97103 Instagram uneducated.economist Patreon https://www.patreon.com/UneducatedEco... Want to buy me a coffee? https://www.paypal.me/meatbingo https://cash.app/$bingo503 https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...
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The fed uses credible threats to manipulate the markets and their expectations.
https://www.peakprosperity.com/produc...
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev... https://www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDD... https://www.bis.org/review/r181206a.htm
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Lumber futures will be volatile for years until equilibrium is found
https://www.peakprosperity.com/produc... https://www.peakprosperity.com/
go to about 30:00 https://youtu.be/_0YbetH4cA8
https://www.wsj.com/articles/thousand... https://www.wsj.com/articles/sky-high...
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Low yields and an appetite for fixed returns are feeding the growing municipal bond market even as the risks of defaults rise.
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/reti...
https://news.yahoo.com/china-evergran...
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Major debit/credit processors will find their business depleted by the use of digital currency.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/billio... https://www.express.co.uk/life-style/... https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/the-...
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Mohamed El-Erian suggests three things to improve the economy. Monetary tightening, fiscal policy, and more oversight of the non-banking financing. I think monetary tightening alone would be a painful but necessary solution.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos...
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Life used to be about the pursuit of happiness, now I'm going to try and be more meaningful in the things I do. https://www.bakadesuyo.com/2021/12/mi...
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Low-interest rate environment has forced pension funds and money managers into ever riskier assets. The corporate debt market is teetering on the brink of disaster and the pension funds that are invested in it will feel the pain. https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-...
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As the taper talk continues the Chinese plan to weaken the yuan. Dollar-denominated debts will become more difficult to pay for by the zombie corporations in China.
https://www.asiafinancial.com/china-e... https://www.wsj.com/articles/slow-mel... https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/22/china...
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Vinyl windows now have a 3 month lead time. Completing a home is extremely difficult with shortages in a lot of building materials.
https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p...
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S&P buybacks hit a record high. With interest rates rising, a debt storm is brewing and a stock sell-off may be lurking ahead.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-...
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China corporate junk bonds are defaulting at record highs.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl... https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-... https://news.yahoo.com/china-moves-co...
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The record savings from the stimulus packages have left the labor market without laborers.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/vast-hou...
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The common narrative is the fed has lost control of Inflation. However, they are not targeting Inflation.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/bond-bub... https://youtu.be/hLumgzu2UlE
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Regulations to high demand will have a counterintuitive effect that promotes illegal activities. In other words, the free markets prevail.
https://news.yahoo.com/california-pot... https://www.opb.org/article/2021/12/1...
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With a world scared of a hawkish fed the U.S. treasuries have a market of safe-haven seekers.
https://research.stlouisfed.org/publi... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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The Fed's credible threats have already changed the market's outlook. MSM narrative control in full swing
https://www.wsj.com/articles/cash-glu... https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/sec-... https://finance.yahoo.com/news/summer... https://seekingalpha.com/news/3780078...
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Received an awesome patch of mail this week.
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Months of supply chain disruptions have distorted the supply and demand fundamentals. Monetary policy can't fix a distribution problem with a simple interest rate adjustment. Until the supply chain is functioning again the price inflation will continue to reflect the inefficiencies in distribution.
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Lumber futures are headed higher on concerns of shortages, but for how long?
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The "average inflation" scenario will have interest rates rising turning downturns in the market.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/09/scara... https://www.reuters.com/business/take... https://news.yahoo.com/taiwan-worlds-... https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/supp...
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Lumber prices are rising again. keep an eye on British Columbia and the tarrifs.
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I was reluctant to post this video. I recorded it a week ago and just played it for my wife. You can thank her for the upload to YouTube, I wanted to delete it.
https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/bl...
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I have found that builders are adapting to the new building environment.
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The demand for dollars during a panic could give the Fed the exit they need.
https://amp.ft.com/content/6be04212-b...
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/turk...
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the...
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The return on capital investments has fallen dramatically and the rising inflation expectations have lowered the real interest rates.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/pension-...
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Lumber futures rising on news of deferral and tariffs. The backlog of incomplete houses could flood the market causing a new housing downturn.
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Being more about a supply issue rather than a monetary policy one, the lifting of rates may cause prices to go up by holding back investment into distribution.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/art...
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Viewer requested a video on central bank digital currency.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Evergrande could have started the next great financial crisis
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://youtu.be/5BIQYlB1mEA
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If the U.S. Treasury cuts back issuance the fed can cut purchases.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Viewer email with an insider view of the supply chain
https://www.ft.com/content/6e7b05c7-c...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-ni...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bullw...
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Let's talk about how damaging resentment can be.
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The new economy will come with new partnerships
https://splash247.com/oregons-port-of...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-ni...
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/28/china... https://www.reuters.com/business/ener...
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Reports of prices coming down on the cost of shipping containers from China to the U S
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/dom...
https://gcaptain.com/effective-immedi...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Lunch time babbling with UE "Stagflation"
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Lumber futures are on the rise, but will it last. Where is lumber headed next?
https://www.businessinsider.com/lumbe...
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Irrational exuberance can lead to malinvestments.
https://www.businessinsider.com/is-ch..
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Lack of sustainable inflation is the feds concern.
Listen to the interview in the link below. Go to 1:40.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/05/feds-...
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V
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The next big bank may be your local post office.
https://news.yahoo.com/usps-testing-p...
https://www.uspsoig.gov/es/blog/digit...
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I was going to do a quick video about inflation. Once I started talking I just drifted into all kinds of topics.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/lumber-p...
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/5...
I didn't know at the time how important this video was. I kind of misunderstood what was happening but I knew something was up.
Me talking repo years before anyone else https://youtu.be/avZkZeOQQSU
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Markets are whipping around and it's anyone's guess where it's headed.
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Lumber retail has hit the low. Time to load up
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Preparedness is a way of life. If you are not doing it every day, whatever you are doing is not enough.
original vid https://youtu.be/RUwSfPVuCHs
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Had a few people try and simply explain what is happening in China with Evergrande. I may have oversimplified it but I hope it helps.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Restaurants owners reporting lower business activity.
I called it months ago
https://youtu.be/KvqG8VnFOHo
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/delta-...
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Demand overwhelming supply as investors asks for more than they want.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/underfun...
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Lumber futures for the September contracts are lower, surprisingly November contracts are screaming higher.
July 2021 lumber prices https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quote...
September 2021 lumber prices https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quote...
November 2021 lumber futures https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quote...
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Investors have nowhere to hide as fixed income risk-taking pushes out of China. I did not get it exactly right, but I did call it
https://youtu.be/5BIQYlB1mEA
https://www.wsj.com/articles/riskier-...
https://www.reuters.com/business/chin...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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The price of treated lumber has been a leading indicator for lumber prices and I have just seen the prices rise for the first time in many weeks.
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Want to buy me a coffee? https://www.paypal.me/meatbingo https://cash.app/$bingo503 https://venmo.com/code?user_id=211351...Lumber Prices Rising Again??? Pressure Treated Has Been A Leading Indicator
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Helicopter money is fading away and winter is coming. More babbling from U E.
https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/the...
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Lowe's chief financial officer, David Denton, is saying the inventory levels and the supply chain is getter better.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/09/lowes...
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Has China produced itself out of money?
https://amp.scmp.com/economy/china-ec...
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Central bank digital currency has become an inevitably. What can come from it is anyone's guess, but I have an idea. https://www.wsj.com/articles/digital-...
https://mishtalk.com/economics/lacy-h...
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I have been asked where is lumber headed next. With all the possible scenarios, it's anyone's guess.
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ZELLE
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Hundreds of thousands of shipping containers full of products waiting to find their final destination are sitting off the coast outside of ports all over the globe. With consumer confidence falling and the soon-to-be inventory levels rising. Businesses that had been panic buying(ordering) could very well take inventory levels from under-supply to oversupply.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/con...
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Lumber mill closure is a sign of market stress. What goes up must come down.
https://www.spokesman.com/stories/202...
http://www.kdrv.com/templates/AMP?con...
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With shifting demographics the fed may not be able to achieve its dual mandate.
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Does lifting property values lower birth rates?
China Property Market Curbs May Be “Volcker Moment,” Says Nomura https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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My thoughts about three reasons that may have lumber prices falling
https://markets.businessinsider.com/n...
mill curtailments
http://www.magnoliareporter.com/news_...
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The semiconductor shortages will soon be over and become aggressive production increases.
Defaulting chip maker
https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinese-...
chip machines denied
https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-wa...
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Slowly the building materials are becoming more available.
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How the fed continues to keep the liquidity flowing to China. The foreign and international monetary authority is the latest repo-style facility to swap treasuries for cash.
https://fedguy.com/china-repo-facility/
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The craziness of a shifting economy.
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/ideasroom/...
https://www.ft.com/content/b19e4f40-b...
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Following simple items can give you a bigger picture of what's happening. Canning lids have been in short supply, but foreign imports will supply the demand. But what happens when domestic suppliers meet the demand at the same time foreign imports are hitting the shelves?
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New Zealand was set to raise until a single covid case changed the course of action. Seems to me they are looking for any reason not to raise the rates.
The Weekly Fix: Delta Strain Whipsaws and Confuses Bond Markets https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsle...
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Mill curtailments are on the horizon as high cost produce find current prices unprofitable and future stumpages fees will raise the cost of production.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.woodbusiness.ca/conifex-t...
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Taper Talk is all over the headlines. Conditioning the markets as to not have a tantrum.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the...
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I buy silver from the local coin dealer. Fan mail is always a good time.
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The rise and fall of high yielding corporate debt. A crisis is brewing.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/econre...
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The economic shift is underway. Going from stimulus living to trade time for dollars is a problem for many Americans. Living on assistance to get through the pandemic has conditioned people to not work or pay bills. The pain of reestablishing payments may be too hard to do.
https://youtu.be/lqliuzWL0xo
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/hom...
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Lumber prices have had a roller-coaster of a ride over the last 2 years. Lots of assumptions on why the prices increased so dramatically. Having experienced the supply chain breakdown and the rebuilding of the distribution networks I understand the confusion many people may have on the subject.
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The price of steel continues to rise as the highest cost producers shut down production, however, iron ore is dropping and may continue to fall for many years to come.
https://www.usg.com/content/usgcom/en...
https://www.mining.com/iron-ore-price...
https://agmetalminer.com/2021/07/28/j...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Random thoughts about "what if" hyperinflation sets in.
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Lots of chatter about the fed tapering asset purchases in September. What backing off on MBS could do to housing.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/two-fed-...
fed John Williams speech from 2018 talking about "average inflation"
https://www.bis.org/review/r181206a.htm
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The great lumber shortage is turning into gluts.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/half-l...
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Three reasons lumber prices will be going higher and the reason I believe they won't.
https://www.businessinsider.com/lumbe...
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The Fed is using controlled opposition to control the CBDC narrative and Hong Kong issues e-money that expires.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.economist.com/finance-and...
https://youtu.be/5OFaZcC0lRU
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Fed governor Waller speech concerning CBDC. Waller suggest that CBDC would force banks to lower fees and raise rates paid in deposits.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsev...
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plywood #lumber #supplychain
Although still high the plywood prices are crashing and will soon be normal again.
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Just like lumber production, jet fuel production is exceeding demand.
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-Ne...
https://www.freep.com/story/money/car...
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Pressure-treated lumber was flashing warning signs just prior to the historic prices. Pressure Treated lumber again is showing signs of trouble as prices continue to collapse.
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An interesting opinion piece about how the treasury issuance could combat a fed taper tantrum. Plus Oregon eviction moratorium ends but the occupancy will remain until the middle of winter.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/delta-...
https://www.registerguard.com/story/n...
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cashless #gold #crypto
Fed governor Brainard loves the idea of central bank digital currency and can see the benefits of stablecoins.
https://blogs.imf.org/2019/02/05/cash...
https://www.reuters.com/technology/fe...
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The rise in demand and fall in inventory levels could soon reverse course and become oversupply with less demand.
https://www.ft.com/content/8d3b039b-e...
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The mainstream medias are pushing the idea of a central bank digital currency. Getting the people to except it as a benefit before it is forced upon them.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-is...
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The retail price for a 2x4x8 standard and better is now back at the 2018 prices.
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A viewer asked for me to explain what I feel could happen in the junk bond market.
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Canfor announcement of the curtailment of 115 million board feet of production.
https://www.canfor.com/investor-relat...
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3717827...
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Much of the building supplies are still in shortage however the treated market is overstocked and prices are dropping fast.
https://www.reuters.com/business/us-h...
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I had a few really good emails in response to the "Littering Man" video. To be honest they hit a little close to home.
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Enjoying the life you have is wealth.
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Bonds are behaving opposite of what would be expected. My random thoughts on why.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/15/doubl...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZ_Wy...
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/16/the-m...
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Had a friend ask me to talk about plywood, so let's talk plywood.
I also had an awesome conversation with George Gammon.
https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/
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July futures contract for 110,000 board feet has fallen over 70%. My random thoughts plus a mail call.
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Lumber price increases over the last year and a half was due to a supply chain breakdown and not so much dollar destruction. I told you so.
https://blog.arkieva.com/what-is-bull...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bullw...
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High yielding corporate debt are trading below inflation. Why?
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/...
https://www.wsj.com/articles/junk-bon...
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Lumber inventory levels are building and the mills are feeling the inventory backing up. If the rest of the economy follows lumber lead we will see inventories build and prices should fall.
https://thetakeout.com/groceries-get-...
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Lumber future price have fallen dramatically, and plywood inventories are growing fast. Prices of OSB should fall soon but the new normal will be much higher.
https://markets.businessinsider.com/c...
my video from 6 weeks ago
https://youtu.be/D7W70kvvRD8
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Businesses are shutting down do to lack of staffing. The continuing of unemployment benefits would prevent the Fed from achieving their mandate of "full or maximum"employment.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-says...
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STORY TIME
The time my duck boat was stolen and how I got it back.
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Viewer responses email to "you will own nothing"
wealthy people don't have liabilities they have assets, freedom is an asset
https://youtu.be/O9keQagt350
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Response video to my previous about "owning nothing and being happy"
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Viewer's question.
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The stumpage fees are set to rise this fall on the British Columbia lumber mills. This may put a floor under the lumber prices.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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Big banks once again are accused of rakibg in billions from price manipulation of credit default swaps.
https://news.bloomberglaw.com/class-a...
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Really good inflation scenario with higher interest rates being the cause.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436...
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I give my 2 cents about a living wage and then read a viewer's email about student debt, and what would relieving student loan debt do for the people who feel they must take a job in their field of study.
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Random thoughts about lumber and real estate
https://www.vox.com/22524829/wall-str...
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The push for central bank digital currency is really ramping up.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other...
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The oriented strand board is a critical component to new construction and inventory was depleting fast by the end of 2019, then covid hit.
https://youtu.be/Smgm7ooMuro
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
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A viewer of the channel was looking for our opinion on the inflation vs. deflation debate from a global reserve currency perspective. Let's give him our thoughts.
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China starts liquidity injections to ease the pain. The Fed can't stop printing
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
https://www.reuters.com/business/us-f...
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The liquidty in the markets is drying up. Cash is far from trash during a market crash.
https://www.ft.com/content/82845ef0-2...
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The first signs of cheaper retail lumber prices are beginning to appear but there is still lots of very expensive wood in the system.
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My response to a viewers question about what I'm going to do if the markets collapse.
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With the inventory building and futures dropping its was only a matter of time before we see prices fall. Treated lumber is showing signs of relief.
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Had a conversation with a gentleman who holds a higher-level position in the lumber mill industry. What he had to say was just incredible. the floor for lumber may not be a low as we hoped.
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The Fed says they will do something two years from now and the markets flip out. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-fe...
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Viewer questions and mail call, thank you Noah
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The Feds taper talking will guide the markets into higher rates.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/16/fed-h...
https://youtu.be/v9-zvANPayQ
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-hous...
https://blog.pimco.com/en/2021/03/imp...
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Very interesting talk I had with the pressure treated lumber vendor. He pretty much said things have died down in the middle of the busy season. Not a surprise, we have been saying it for three weeks now.
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The weekly lumber update of what is happening at the mills. Short answer, better price and availability
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Future prices are dropping fast and a new supply chain is being established. New home construction boom is on the horizon.
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The eviction moratorium is coming to an end and could trigger a wave of homelessness.
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Zombies corporations have gorged on cheap debt, famine is coming.
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Tapering of the feds assets purchases will be debated for months and months before it happens. The end results will be the introduction of CBDC.
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Grandma Prepper had quetion about the stronger currency can negatively impact the economy.
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Lumber inventory levels are rising and the lead times are getting shorter. The great lumber shortage is ending.
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When a nation's currency grows stronger from a rise in things like natural resources making the rest of the nation exports more expensive hurting its manufacturing and employment.
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The Fed is talking about tapering. But with the selling of corporate debt it seems The unwinding has already begun.
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Already 500 per 1000 has come out of the lumber futures July contract. No one wants to buy expensive lumber.
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Viewer question on my opinion about owning silver in a deflationary scenario.
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China will go through a wave of defaults. Will it spread to other countries?
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The rising prices in the restaurant industry may not be sustainable.
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Email from a viewer asking my opinions on particular investments. I'm no advisor, but here are my thoughts.
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The record bond defaults in China is the free-market fixing the problem.
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The Federal Reserve repo facility is flashing red alert. Too much cash with no place to go. The fear of deflation is now taking hold as businesses suffer from the lack of labor, new construction slowing from the high cost of the material. Regardless of how the economy slows down, the fact is things are slowing.
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Canadian mills have unfairly subsidized lumber going to the U.S. markets. European lumber imports into the U.S. skyrocket.
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The Fed is working on a central bank digital currency. Soon the unbanked will be charged a negative rate.
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Housing starts are down plus the do-it-yourself guys have bounced. Lumber demand is falling.
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Extremely high materials cost may have builders going bankrupt.
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Fed officials are pushing for a permanent repo facility.
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Governor Waller of the federal reserve gives six reasons the inflation is transitory
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Lumber futures saw another dramatic sell-off again today. However, the retail won't be falling anytime soon.
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Antidumping and countervailing duties are being reviewed. Chinese plywood may be on its way to be imported into the U.S. again.
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Thanks again to The Money GPS for the awesome interview!
Have lumber prices and other commodities begun a downward trend? More money moving into the stock market. Value stocks have seen more inflows and tech stocks and other growth stocks are also performing well. More money is being pumped in from all sides, creating a massive bull market that apparently will never end as we are on a permanently high plateau. Stimulus driving markets higher.
TIMESTAMPS:
0:47 Introduction
1:21 Inflation vs. Deflation
5:18 What is inflation?
7:09 What do you see?
12:19 Is there a lesson to be learned?
17:29 Investing insight
20:06 Tips
22:06 Economic insight
29:15 Why get started?
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The 2018 speech by John C. Williams talking about raising the inflation expectations to adjust to a new monetary policy of "average inflation targeting". Took a couple of years but they got it.
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Chapter 1 What Is Having Wealth, Really - 4-13-21
Chapter 2 The Distribution Of Property Will Be Necessarily Unequal - 4-14-21
Chapter 3 Takes A Village To Raise An Economy - 4-18-21
Chapter 4 The Market Village It's Where The Economy Begins To Transact - 4-24-21
Chapter 5 The Cities - 4-28-21
Chapter 6 Capital Cities, When The Rich Leave Cities Suffer - 5-4-21
Chapter 7 Unskilled Labor Will Always Be Worth Less Than The Experienced And Trained -5-7-21
Chapter 8 Some People Will Just Earn More - 5-9-21
Chapter 9 Not Everyone Can Use A Degree - 5-12-21
Chapter 10 Intrinsic Value Never Changes, Market Value Constantly Changes - 5-15-21
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The transition from inflationary pressure to higher prices will lead to interest rate hikes.
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Lumber futures had a significant drop today as the May 2021 contract came to a close. However retail prices may lag behind and not fall as quickly.
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Lack of staffing is forcing the closure of restaurants. If only the people had motivation to get a job.
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The supply chain for lumber has a price lag. When availability was peaking so was the price as mill curtailment and shuts prior to covid distribution of the supply chain left little inventory and prices had dropped. Today the availability is there and prices are reflecting the unavailability of last year's curtailment and inventory drop. Lumber prices lag availability but a year.
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The lumber to gold ratio can be a forward indicator of market moves.
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Mike Wisnefski has been on the cutting edge of trading, as well as a FinTech innovator in the commodity trading business, for more than 20 years. Mike joins me for a conversation breaking down the lumber supply chain.
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