Futurists and organisations practising deep foresight sometimes incorporate “black swans” in their future scenarios. It’s a term coined by Nassim Taleb who says that his profession is “probability”. The most interesting fact about “black swans” is that there has been little scientific, empirical basis for these events. Perhaps because of this, “black swan” has become a “a cliché for any bad thing that surprises us.” But recent research changed this. How should you navigate Black Swans?