Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: 2018 Review: Voting Results! , published by Ben Pace on the AI Alignment Forum. The votes are in! 59 of the 430 eligible voters participated, evaluating 75 posts. Meanwhile, 39 users submitted a total of 120 reviews, with most posts getting at least one review. Thanks a ton to everyone who put in time to think about the posts - nominators, reviewers and voters alike. Several reviews substantially changed my mind about many topics and ideas, and I was quite grateful for the authors participating in the process. I'll mention Zack_M_Davis, Vanessa Kosoy, and Daniel Filan as great people who wrote the most upvoted reviews. In the coming months, the LessWrong team will write further analyses of the vote data, and use the information to form a sequence and a book of the best writing on LessWrong from 2018. Below are the results of the vote, followed by a discussion of how reliable the result is and plans for the future. Top 15 posts Embedded Agents by Abram Demski and Scott Garrabrant The Rocket Alignment Problem by Eliezer Yudkowsky Local Validity as a Key to Sanity and Civilization by Eliezer Yudkowsky Arguments about fast takeoff by Paul Christiano The Costly Coordination Mechanism of Common Knowledge by Ben Pace Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation by Abram Demski Anti-social Punishment by Martin Sustrik The Tails Coming Apart As Metaphor For Life by Scott Alexander Babble by alkjash The Loudest Alarm Is Probably False by orthonormal The Intelligent Social Web by Valentine Prediction Markets: When Do They Work? by Zvi Coherence arguments do not imply goal-directed behavior by Rohin Shah Is Science Slowing Down? by Scott Alexander A voting theory primer for rationalists by Jameson Quinn and Robustness to Scale by Scott Garrabrant Top 15 posts not about AI Local Validity as a Key to Sanity and Civilization by Eliezer Yudkowsky The Costly Coordination Mechanism of Common Knowledge by Ben Pace Anti-social Punishment by Martin Sustrik The Tails Coming Apart As Metaphor For Life by Scott Alexander Babble by alkjash The Loudest Alarm Is Probably False by Orthonormal The Intelligent Social Web by Valentine Prediction Markets: When Do They Work? by Zvi Is Science Slowing Down? by Scott Alexander A voting theory primer for rationalists by Jameson Quinn Toolbox-thinking and Law-thinking by Eliezer Yudkowsky A Sketch of Good Communication by Ben Pace A LessWrong Crypto Autopsy by Scott Alexander Unrolling social metacognition: Three levels of meta are not enough. by Academian Varieties Of Argumentative Experience by Scott Alexander Top 10 posts about AI (The vote included 20 posts about AI.) Embedded Agents by Abram Demski and Scott Garrabrant The Rocket Alignment Problem by Eliezer Yudkowsky Arguments about fast takeoff by Paul Christiano Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation by Abram Demski Coherence arguments do not imply goal-directed behavior by Rohin Shah Robustness to Scale by Scott Garrabrant Paul's research agenda FAQ by zhukeepa An Untrollable Mathematician Illustrated by Abram Demski Specification gaming examples in AI by Vika 2018 AI Alignment Literature Review and Charity Comparison by Larks The Complete Results Click Here If You Would Like A More Comprehensive Vote Data Spreadsheet To help users see the spread of the vote data, we've included swarmplot visualizations. For space reasons, only votes with weights between -10 and 16 are plotted. This covers 99.4% of votes. Gridlines are spaced 2 points apart. Concrete illustration: The plot immediately below has 18 votes ranging in strength from -3 to 12.
1 Embedded Agents 209 (One outlier vote of +17 is not shown) 2 The Rocket Alignment Problem 183 3 Local Validity as a Key to Sanity and Civilization 133 4 Arguments about fast takeoff 98 5 The C...