Summary: AI Macrostrategy is the study of high level questions having to do with prioritizing the use of resources on the current margin in order to achieve good AI outcomes. AI macrostrategy seems important if it is tractable. However, while few people are working on estimating particular parameters relevant to macrostrategy, even fewer are working on developing holistic macrostrategic models that combine estimates for different parameters to guide our actions. Moreover, while macrostrategy was less tractable in the past, recent developments (especially increased evidence for <10 year timelines) have made macrostrategy substantially more tractable. Thus, using the importance/tractability/neglectedness heuristics from EA, I conclude that on current margins macrostrategy should be a top priority.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Jh8Trhc89JDPjnk2J/we-need-holistic-ai-macrostrategy