Eli Dourado argues that AI is unlikely to be economically transformative near term, even if it dramatically increases media output.

https://substack.com/profile/4935018-eli-dourado

See also 𝕮𝖎𝖓𝖊𝖗𝖆's summary:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9XGhNArGhiZ3daQws/heretical-thoughts-on-ai-or-eli-dourado