MAPsignals Big Money Podcast: Recent Episodes
MAPsignals
What moves markets and stocks? Big money.
Jason Bodner and Lucas Downey spent their Wall Street careers learning how the big players do it. The best stocks out there see big money activity...we call them outliers.
We map big money. Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support
Money is chasing hyper-growth companies.
Never be surprised at how high prices can soar.
Here are the 3 best growth stocks for October 2025.
6 months ago, investors feared the worst. Tariffs were sure to upend global trade, sending us into a dark age of capitalism.
Only the exact opposite happened!
We saw a path for an unthinkable crowd-stunning rally. That forecast was grounded in data-driven evidence.
Fast forward to today, and the S&P 500 has catapulted 36% from the April low.
The growth-heavy NASDAQ 100 has increased a mind-numbing 47%!
You may be wondering what causes such violent moves?
It’s simple.
Money flows.
When money is plowing into stocks day after day, they have nowhere to go but up.
Today, we’ll unpack 3 growth stocks that have attracted serious inflows.
Early investors have accumulated incredible returns in a few short months.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/best-growth-stocks-for-october-2025/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The S&P 500 closed out September with a 3.5% gain.
That’s the strongest September performance in 15 years.
History favors the bulls as big September gains signal big 4th quarter returns.
The bull market notched another all-time high yesterday. The S&P 500 closed above 6700 for the first time ever.
While the gains have been breath-taking to watch, it shouldn’t come as a surprise.
Back in May, we signaled how a surging S&P 500 leads to 18.7% gains 6-months later.
We’ve achieved that in just 5 months. Congrats if you’ve been bullish…we’re living through one of the best stock-picking environments in years.
So, what comes next?
Today we’ll unpack the unusually strong September and study what tends to follow.
The goods news is that more highs are likely ahead.
The bad news is that a big rotation kicked off yesterday. In fact, we saw the most equity outflows in months.
…proving you need to be on the right side of the Big Money right now.
Let’s first dive into the money flow picture. There’s a lot going on.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/big-september-gains-signal-big-4th-quarter-returns/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The long wait is over.
The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates.
Here’s how to make the most of it…get bullish on technology.
When the Fed cuts rates, buy semiconductor stocks.
It’s an amazing time to be an investor. Markets are at all-time highs, interest rates are coming down, and the economy is humming along.
Few could have imagined how strong the rally has been from the market lows.
But MoneyFlows saw a path to an unthinkable rally at the April depths.
As the market has twisted and turned, we’ve remained bullish. And today, that view will get an upgrade.
We will make the case of why you need to overweight semiconductor stocks specifically in the months and years ahead.
Our data has shown an immense appetite for high-quality tech stocks.
And history suggests the party is only just getting started.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/when-the-fed-cuts-rates-buy-semiconductor-stocks/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
There are always spooky scare stories around.
The noise always amplifies in the fall.
Pundits are at it again. They’re spinning a tale about how a top-heavy market is somehow bearish.
In fact, it’s the opposite.
Extreme market concentration is a buy signal.
Most popular bearish narratives have a kernel of truth to them and work some of the time. That fuels media chatter, confirming investors’ existing biases.
Before you know it, they’re taken as gospel. It’s easy to take the bait and shoot thyself in the foot.
Fear not, MoneyFlows has you covered. We follow the data to fight hype with facts.
Today, we’ll debunk the all-so-popular concentration fearmongering. Then, as a bonus we’ll unpack a September signal study.
Finally, you’ll learn the sectors to buy near-term, including a diversified list of top outliers seeing the biggest inflows.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/extreme-market-concentration-is-a-buy-signal/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
One of the biggest talking points for investors is rising yields.
Pundits say it’s a cause for concern.
Just don’t buy into it.
Today, we’ll demonstrate that equities thrive amidst rising rates.
Equities have had a rough start in September. The S&P 500 kicked off the historically volatile month with a -.69% slide.
Much of that pullback was attributed to rising interest rates. Headlines that the Trump Administration’s tariffs are illegal without congressional approval sent the US 30Y yield to nearly 5%…it’s highest reading since July.
Given the worrisome narrative on high rates, I went back and studied how stocks perform in different interest rate environments, dissecting both 30Y yields and 10Y yields.
If you’re of the belief that high interest rates are a stock market killer…think again.
We’ll challenge that narrative with cold hard evidence…my bet is the findings will surprise you.
And as a bonus, we’ll cover one area of the market under healthy institutional support.
Plenty of stocks are attracting capital when you unpack the money flows.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/equities-thrive-amidst-rising-rates/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Bears are finally having a moment. They deserve it, they’ve had a really tough few months.
And there are plenty of them - bears outnumbered bulls by 16% in the mid-August AAII sentiment survey.
I guess misery loves company.
Hug a bear because today, we’re adding another positive to our stock market outlook – the equity rally itself.
Turns out, epic rallies kill recession odds.
Pundits love to discuss the “R” word and how economic doom is around the corner.
We’ll take the other side.
This view dovetails nicely with our prior constructive market calls over the past few months, ranging from Fed easing to corporate tax cuts, better than feared tariffs, rising capex, deregulation and accelerating M&A.
We’re highlighting two contrarian studies showing how huge rallies usually precede both strong economic growth and further gains for stocks.
Then, we’ll show you some new sectors to buy on weakness as this rotating bull charges ever higher.
As a bonus, we’ll give you a sector diversified list of high quality, long-term outliers to buy on sale.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/epic-rallies-kill-recession-odds/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Money rarely leaves markets.
It rotates.
We’ve seen a lot of this lately.
Let’s visualize the August 2025 stock market rotation.
There’s been a big change in equity behavior in August. Growth stocks have come under pressure while defensive areas thrive.
Some will ascribe this bobbing and weaving to nervousness heading into Jackson Hole tomorrow…which is true.
However, I see much of what’s occurring as typical low-liquidity summertime weakness.
We’ve seen this pattern over and over again throughout the years.
Just 2 weeks ago I wrote how seasonal weakness and market rotations often appear in August and September. That’s the situation we’re facing.
And we’re likely in for more bumpiness in the weeks ahead.
That’s the bad news.
The better news is that cooldown periods are needed after monster rallies…and this presents a window of opportunity for those patiently waiting to buy the dip.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/august-2025-stock-market-rotation/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The last 2 days have shown an incredible appetite for smaller companies.
Some groups saw the most inflows all year.
Investors finally believe that interest rate cuts are coming soon.
That’s caused 2 small-cap power thrust signals to fire.
After the July CPI print came in better than expected, it virtually guaranteed that a rate cut is slated for September.
That acknowledgement ignited a monster small-cap rally.
Just 3 weeks ago I discussed how when the Fed cuts rates, buy small-cap stocks. That rotation is well underway.
Today we’ll unpack a lot of new data insights.
Then I’ll offer up 2 powerful signal studies suggesting small-caps have a lot more upside.
Finally, I’ll zero-in on the best subgroup to play for the next year…and the highest ranked stocks in the bunch.
The small-cap rally that many have been waiting for could be in the early innings.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/small-cap-power-thrust-signals/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
On the heels of an epic rally, stocks are finally taking a well-deserved breather on renewed growth jitters.
That’s not keeping the bears from griping about elevated valuations. You hear it everywhere.
Today, we’ll follow the data to debunk this popular misconception. When you study history, high valuations are supported by strong CapEx Growth.
We’ll show you two consensus-defying macro reasons to fade the valuation doomers. Then, we’ll show you the best sectors to buy ahead of this bull market’s next leg higher.
As a bonus, we’ll give you a sector diversified list of high quality, long-term outliers to buy on sale.
But first, let’s break down valuations. When you slice the pie, many areas aren’t trading at extremes.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/high-valuations-are-supported-by-strong-capex-growth/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Welcome to August.
The summer often brings elevated volatility.
It’s a period defined by seasonal weakness and market rotation.
Humans are accustomed to seasonal changes.
In winter, extra clothing is needed for warmth. In spring, moods lighten up as flowers bloom.
In late summer, hurricane season ramps up as ocean temperatures rise.
Similarly, repeated patterns and seasons take shape in the stock market. Pros know that later summer often brings bouts of volatility as liquidity dries up.
We’re witnessing this right now as market behaviors have shifted the last week.
Under the surface, waves of money are rotating. We’ll unpack where the tug-of-war is focused.
Then I’ll highlight a few stocks under heavy sell pressure…and one outlier that’s been in massive demand for a year plus.
Following money flows keeps you ahead of the game.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/seasonal-weakness-and-market-rotation/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Major indices break higher day after day.
That said, plenty of outflows have been noted recently.
Under the surface, market breadth is deteriorating.
2025 has taught us that anything is possible with markets. We’ve gone from a market crash to market exuberance in record fashion.
Incredibly the S&P 500 Technology Sector has jumped 50% from the April 8th lows.
A.I. investment continues to accelerate.
Owning the best companies is paying off.
Earnings season has been spectacular for many equities. Just last night Meta Platforms (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) unleashed powerful beats and raises. (Disclosure I own MSFT and META in personal accounts)
And it isn’t just the stalwarts that are working.
There are a handful of other discrete monster winning stocks that our data finds early like Celestica (CLS) …which has gained over 1100% since first initiated on our Outlier 20 Report.
The last few months have created one of the best stock-picking environments in years…but eventually it’ll cool down.
I suggested 2 weeks ago, be on the lookout for a potential healthy Summertime pullback.
Our data signals less market participation…if this trend continues, get ready to buy the dip.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/market-breadth-is-deteriorating/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Records have been set. And with the S&P 500 up roughly 30% since early April, most pundits are skeptical the rebound can continue.
History proves otherwise.
On July 14, we made a macro case for equities in 3 Positive Policy Tailwinds for Cyclical Stocks.
We’ll keep riding this bull. These 3 momentum signal studies highlight big upside ahead.
It turns out that big recoveries spell good news for equities.
Not only that, but bull markets also last for multiple years…with the 4th year offering an acceleration.
Don’t listen to doomers telling you to sit this one out.
As a bonus, we’ll highlight our favorite factor and a diversified list of our highest ranked stocks in the category.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/3-momentum-signal-studies-highlight-big-upside-ahead/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Extreme capitulation breeds extreme rallies.
We are in the midst of a powerful broadening boom.
And one area is set to thrive further.
When the Fed cuts rates, buy small-cap stocks.
Back in May, we pounded the table that breadth would expand. Post extreme outflows, smaller areas tend to thrive.
Now that we’ve been overbought for 30 sessions, we made the case to buy any summertime dip should it come.
Today we will reinforce that BTD stance with a powerful historical study.
As of this morning, the odds of a Fed interest rate cut for September stand at 66%. This is a fluid target.
Whether or not the cuts begin then or shortly after, won’t matter.
As Alec Young says, rate cuts may be delayed, but they won’t be denied. I agree! Rates are heading lower, so let’s make a plan now.
Today, we’ll run through our latest data. Then we’ll fire off a signal study…and of course layout stocks to play the rate cut induced equity rally.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/when-the-fed-cuts-rates-buy-small-cap-stocks/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Stocks continue to defy the crowd.
The April low to July peak is the best in 5 years.
At some point, markets will catch their breath.
You’ll want to be aggressive. If you see any summertime stock pullbacks: buy the dip.
We’ve been as bullish as anyone can be throughout the crash and rip of 2025. And we still believe big gains lie ahead over the medium to longer-term.
Earnings are working…and A.I. investments continue to pile up. This is an overwhelmingly positive setup for risk assets.
That doesn’t mean stocks won’t have healthy pullbacks along the way. Anyone who’s been around for low-liquidity summers like 2023 can agree.
While no one has a crystal ball to alert us of the future, we can look to data for insights.
2 powerful studies will help us navigate should summer doldrums appear.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/summertime-stock-pullbacks-buy-the-dip/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
We are witnessing an extreme risk-on rally.
The S&P 500 golden cross has triggered.
Just 3 months ago, few could entertain the thought of a face-ripping rally. Pundits proclaimed another 2008-style meltdown was in order.
They were wrong…massively wrong.
In fact, one of the steepest rallies in history occurred.
Fortunately for MoneyFlows, we were armed with data that forecasted a positive situation.
We’ve been on record many times saying that the 2025 tariff crash mimics the 2020 COVID-19 crash to a tee. That’s the real analog that most missed this year.
And the latest golden cross formation will only cause more pain for the bears over the medium term.
Over the near-term, we are inching closer to a potential blowoff top that will bring a healthy reset for equity prices.
Those who have missed out on the monster rally will want to have this single indicator on their radar in the coming days and weeks.
Let’s now review the money flows landscape.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/sp-500-golden-cross/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The crowd is excited again.
Growth stocks are at all-time highs.
The latest development is the NASDAQ golden cross.
Wall Street has a lot to cheer about. Many of the world’s most important companies are breaking out to all-time highs.
Microsoft (MSFT), NVIDIA (NVDA), and Broadcom (AVGO) which lead the A.I. race, have soared to new heights (disclosure I hold a long position in MSFT).
And for good reason…analysts keep applauding their future earnings potential.
I believe those rosy estimates are still too low and massively underappreciate the acceleration in technological advancement.
Robotics, agentic A.I., physical A.I. and more are propelling stocks to levels few thought possible just 2 short months ago.
Prophets warned us of the dreaded death cross for equities in April. We found the opposite to be true and signaled an incredible upside opportunity.
Fortunately, we were on the right side of history on that non-consensus call. A crowd-stunning rally came to Wall Street like a thief in the night.
Today, we see a more cheerful setup for tech stocks with the NASDAQ forming a golden cross.
We’ll study history to learn what comes next.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/nasdaq-golden-cross/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Stocks have gone nowhere in the last month.
Much of this lackluster performance may be attributed to the Israeli conflict with Iran.
Let’s unpack a Middle East war & stock market projections playbook.
Geopolitical events are never fun to sit through. Whether it’s wars, debt downgrades, tariffs, or rate shocks – uncertainty is unsettling.
And while the future is unknown, at MoneyFlows we’ve come to learn that overreacting often proves costly.
We discussed a geopolitical playbook back in April 2024 after the Iran attack on Israel. Our message then was to study history for guidance.
Bailing out of stocks would’ve proved costly given the 18.6% rally in the S&P 500 ever since.
In a similar vein, today we’ll offer up a robust geopolitical signal study, looking at dozens of geopolitical events and market returns.
Then we’ll study a handful of prior Middle East tensions for clues.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/middle-east-war-stock-market-projections/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The unthinkable happened.
2 short months ago, stocks recorded record outflows.
Fast forward to today, stocks are overbought.
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again. Rarely does the crowd get rich together.
It takes a data-driven action plan to create the courage to entertain unconventional ideas.
And the fun isn’t over yet.
My call for a blowoff top is still very much in play. As I see it, the biggest risk to portfolios near-term remains to the upside…not the down.
Uttering the words overbought conditions may ignite fears of pain ahead. But that’s incorrect.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/stocks-are-overbought//
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
2025’s wild ride and trade tape bombs keep spooking investors.
Many sold out just to witness Spring’s ricochet rally.
It’s painful sitting on the sidelines…and given widespread defensive positioning, the bullish parade isn’t stopping.
The pain trade is higher.
Today we’ll highlight 3 bullish forces that will drive stocks to all-time highs.
We’ll start by debunking two popular pillars of the bearish doom loop. Then, we’ll showcase an under-the-radar top-down signal few are even talking about.
Finally, we’ll wrap up with the best sector to own right now and two to avoid.
As a bonus, we’ll offer a buy and sell list of stocks to best position your portfolio.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/3-bullish-forces-that-will-drive-stocks-to-all-time-highs/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The crowd is finally in agreement.
Investing in stocks is a great idea.
This has the potential to ignite forced flows and a blowoff top.
It’s simple. The biggest returns come from buying when the crowd is most fearful.
At the market low on April 10th, I gave a presentation suggesting a breath-taking rally is ahead.
You can review most of the slides from that presentation here.
I didn’t make that bold claim using feelings. That conclusion arrived through evidence and past experiences.
At MoneyFlows, we’ve seen forced selling many times. Those rare capitulation events tee up massive crowd-stunning rallies…like we’re witnessing today.
The 6.2% gain for the S&P 500 in the month of May is the best in 35 years…and it isn’t a fluke.
Monster Mays occur after nasty macro events…and they preface more gains ahead.
Today, I’m making the case that the party isn’t over just yet. I believe an epic blowoff top could be around the corner.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/forced-flows-and-the-blowoff-top/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Growth stocks are making highs daily.
One of the greatest risk-on environments is unfolding before our eyes.
You need to prepare for extreme overbought conditions.
Today’s message is simple: Not only are new all-time highs coming for markets, the evidence points to a sustained rally ahead.
Let’s rewind the tape.
One month ago, I warned you that forced buying is coming. Extreme capitulation prefaces breath-taking rallies.
Back then, I made the case that today’s environment mimics the COVID-19 crash and the late 2018 crash. Both of which gave birth to monstrous inflection points.
I’ll be taking that bullish playbook a step further today.
It’s a wonderful time to be invested in market-leading stocks.
Companies leveraging transformative technologies like A.I. and robotics are leading the recovery.
…and our money flows data has been all over it.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/extreme-overbought-conditions/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
2025’s epic volatility is a great reminder of the importance of diversification.
Adding gold to your portfolio gives you a smoother ride.
Even after a recent 10% correction, gold is still up over 20% YTD, beating everything from bitcoin to large, mid and small cap stocks, international equities and bonds of all stripes.
Gold’s big ramp reflects a combination of trade and economic uncertainty, dollar weakness, record central bank buying and geopolitical risk.
Today, we’ll show you why you should buy the dip in gold and why the shiny metal deserves a permanent satellite allocation in your portfolio.
Then, we’ll offer a way to play it with a superior, under the radar bullion ETF, and three elite gold stocks seeing big institutional buying.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/buy-the-dip-in-gold/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The epic rally stalled.
Many are describing the setback as an elaborate unsolvable debt spiral.
I think it’s simpler…and it all kicked off last Friday.
Let’s unpack Moody’s USA credit downgrade and make evidence-based forward projections.
On Friday, Moody’s downgraded the United States credit rating to Aa1 from Aaa, citing the one-notch downgrade…reflects the increase over more than a decade in government debt and interest payment ratios to levels that are significantly higher than similarly rated sovereigns.
This is a big deal.
A ratings slash implies that the US is a riskier debtor, and it’s sending interest rates higher.
The bad news bears are telling us that this debt spiral is creating some soon-to-come calamity.
Just don’t take the bait.
What’s occurring right now in equities and bonds is exactly what you should expect after a ratings cut.
Once you review the evidence you’ll see the big setup at hand.
Is there more downside ahead for equities? Likely.
Should investors buy the dip? Absolutely.
Let’s unpack why.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/usa-credit-downgrade-forward-projections/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The equity rally has been breath-taking.
A month ago, the crowd capitulated.
Today they are buying in droves.
Let’s unpack the market rally breadth & future projections.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://moneyflows.com/blog/market-rally-breadth-future-projections/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
A month ago, stocks crashed.
Pundits claimed equities were “uninvestable.”
Instead, the unthinkable happened.
Brand new leadership and a mid-cap surge has emerged, and this breath-taking rally has legs to run.
Consider this: Estimates suggest that 80% of forest fires are human caused. What’s important is what occurs once the flames burn out.
Nature eventually heals. Out of the ashes springs new life.
Did you know that 100% of stock market fires are caused by humans? It’s true. Tariffs ignited the latest blaze.
But as we’ve witnessed time and time again, money is quickly put to work and new leadership emerges from the equity embers.
Fortunately, money flows help us spot this cyclical pattern.
Over the past month, our flow data reveals a monster appetite for company specific mid-caps.
Today, we’ll review the equity landscape. More importantly, we’ll lock-in on the biggest beneficiary of capital coming out of the crash.
Under-the-surface there’s a new bull market sprouting.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/brand-new-leadership-mid-cap-surge/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Trade headlines continue to dominate the macro. Uncertainty has investors clinging to safety.
Investor sentiment crashed.
We’ve been recommending more tariff proof stocks. They’ve proven why they belong in every portfolio.
But stock market carnage is creating quality opportunities in beaten down growth areas.
It’s time to buy mega cap tech stocks.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/buy-mega-cap-tech-stocks/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Just 3 weeks ago, the pundits had you believe stocks were damned.
Today the crowd is stunned. We’re witnessing 7 consecutive days of green.
Extreme capitulation often triggers forced buying.
Headline tape bombs took us on an adventure in April. In no particular order, here’s what I vividly remember:
- Liberation Day sent equities plunging – the S&P 500 dropped 10.5% in 2 days
- Then we saw a face ripper rally of 9.5%
- The VIX closed over 50
- A deeper trade war with China commenced
- Then a dreaded Death Cross occurred in equities
- Then pundits told us our treasuries were doomed
- And now we get word from hyperscalers like Microsoft (MSFT) and META (META) that the world of AI is humming along just fine
(Luke owns both MSFT and META.)
As painful and unsettling as those trying moments were, rare opportunities came along. We certainly weren’t perfect in our analysis…however, we did shed light and debunk many of the bear-baited myths prophesied by the talking heads.
As I’ve seen countless times in my career, rarely does the crowd grow rich together. Going against the crowd has been the winning ticket.
And MAPsignals was able to shine a vibrant bright light on why rare capitulation tees up some of the best buying you’ll ever get as an investor.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/forced-buying/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Stocks may have bottomed.
Capitulation appears long gone.
There’s a rare volatility crash signal also appearing.
Recapping tariff headlines is futile. One minute there’s no deal, then there’s a deal, and after that there’s another wrinkle to sort through.
Good luck connecting those dots.
A better use of time and effort is studying patterns of data.
Last week we debunked a popular bearish myth suggesting a death cross formation is somehow bad for stocks.
Then before that I offered 15 extreme charts for April 2025.
Both of those data-driven pieces signaled constructive views on equities.
If you’re still on the sidelines about whether or not to start adding to high-quality companies, today’s insights should finally settle the score.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/volatility-crash/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Gaming out all the trade war twists and turns is next to impossible.
That said, after the S&P 500’s quick 21% drop, single name opportunities have emerged.
We’ve isolated 30 stocks that can thrive in tariff uncertainty.
In this market, you need to be choosy. Buying the S&P 500 is full of risks. A nasty, earnings bruising recession tops the list.
2025’s murky macro requires a margin of safety. That means sticking with companies that can best weather tariffs.
Today, we’re going to unpack 2 reversion signal studies that highlight why you’ll want to selectively put money to work during rare moments like these.
We’ll also shed light on where the courts, congressional approval and the Fed fit into all of this trade war turmoil.
Then, as a bonus, we’ll unlock a sector-diversified list of 30 domestic-leaning stocks with the pricing power and high profit margins to weather the tariff turmoil.
Let’s discuss the big fear in the room: recession.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/recession-obsession/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
It’s been a challenging few weeks.
Stocks are falling. Investors are scared.
Then we find out that the S&P 500 formed a death cross.
Tariffs are causing extreme uncertainty. Arguably the most important company in the world, NVIDIA (NVDA), is the latest headline casualty.
The company announced a multibillion-dollar charge related to chips sold to China.
Finding a positive narrative has been difficult to say the least. But we’re going to do just that.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/death-cross/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
When the world is upside down, keep it simple.
Rarely do we witness volatility and uncertainty like now.
Here are 15 extreme charts for April 2025.
We’ve been loud and clear about the breath-taking datapoints recently.
We noted the weakest breadth dating back to October 2023. Then we suggested that the tariff trade war could send the Big Money Index oversold.
Folks, what we are witnessing today will be remembered for many years to come.
Investors are searching for clues on what’s next.
Today we’ll try and answer that burning question as we unleash a data-driven chart pack that should be in front of every single investor right now.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/15-extreme-charts-for-april-2025/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The tariff tape bombs just keep on coming. It’s enough to make your head spin.
Extreme policy uncertainty is slowing the economy.
Today, we’ll show you what tariffs mean for growth, inflation, the Fed, earnings and the stock market.
Importantly, you’ll learn how to tariff proof your portfolio in 2025.
There is a group of slowdown sectors and stocks beaming with inflows and winning track records during economic declines.
The tariff tantrum isn’t all doom and gloom.
We’ll help you spot the winners.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/how-to-tariff-proof-your-portfolio-in-2025/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The equity meltdown continues.
Whipsaws are nauseating.
We’re witnessing the weakest breadth since October 2023.
Negativity is commonplace right now. Investors fear tariffs, the path of interest rates, inflation, DOGE, and more.
This cocktail of uncertainty has the crowd fearing for the worst.
I’m here to offer up a different more constructive view…one that’s grounded in evidence-rich data.
While I can’t argue the fact that equities are in a troublesome downtrend, what I can highlight are 2 glaring data-points that most miss right now:
- The latest selloff is on putrid volumes, indicating forced selling is not occurring
- Breadth has sunk to levels where betting against the crowd offers high odds of success
If you’re having difficulty finding a positive view, stay with me. Under-the-surface reveals a setup that rarely comes along.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/weakest-breadth-since-october-2023/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The S&P 500’s slump into a correction has been swift. The index only took 16 trading days to fall 10% from its February 19 all-time high.
Other than 2020’s epic Covid collapse, that’s among the S&P’s fastest corrections ever. And most high momentum growth stocks have been hit much harder.
After a couple of years of epic gains, many investors have forgotten what it’s like to lose money, making the recent drop even more painful.
Fear not. Buy the dip now.
Today, we’ll show you three data-rich reasons this is a buyable dip and not the start of an ugly bear market. Then, we’ll screen the S&P 500 to find the 20 most battle tested stocks to help you weather this drawdown and profit on the other side.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/buy-the-dip-now/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
We’ve been front and center during the latest equity wipeout.
As headlines churn from tariffs to recession worries, our stance has been to buy into the meltdown.
The evidence points to the worst being behind us.
Forced ETF liquidations are over.
One tenet of great investing is to take the other side of the crowd. Warren Buffett said it best, “Beware the investment activity that produces applause; the great moves are usually greeted by yawns.”
He’s right. Often the unpopular stance is the great move.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/forced-etf-liquidations-are-over/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Question: If you haven’t bought the dip yet, what are you waiting for?
Answer: An oversold Big Money Index (BMI).
We’ve got a lot going on with equities:
- Tariff worries spook investors
- Open questions on the impacts of DOGE
- And extreme economic uncertainty
All of these worries we have no control over. That’s the unfortunate news. Everything is unfolding in real time.
Don’t fret.
There is forced selling occurring under-the-surface of the market. We’ve seen this playbook before…and there’s a measurable opportunity coming soon.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/oversold-big-money-index-bmi/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Stocks have been cruising since October 2023.
But trading is getting choppier as macro risks pile up. Every week seems fraught with fresh tape bombs.
On top of tariff, Fed, fiscal and valuation worries, investors now have a growth scare to contend with.
That’s a pretty full plate.
Today, we’ll offer a 2025 volatility playbook, with three time-tested, macro reasons not to overreact to current market uncertainty.
Then, we’ll use a proven factor-based strategy to screen for top stocks to help you navigate the chop and profit on the other side.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/2025-volatility-playbook-3-studies-to-keep-you-invested/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Wall Street is a waiting game.
Traders make hay when volatility strikes.
Ultimately, fear pays the bills.
Professional traders’ P&L follows the Pareto principle, also known as the 80/20 rule.
80% of the profits come from 20% of the setups. This is accurate as I vividly remember how lucrative forced selling events were.
The capitulation liquidity cycle follows a repeatable pattern:
- First, news headlines or worries seemingly spring out of nowhere
- Small scale selling ignites a surge in volatility
- Everyone rushes for the exits at once
- Fast market conditions ensue, market makers widen their spreads, and big Wall Street paydays are made
We’re in the midst one of these events right now. Our data reveals some of the largest outflows in years. While it’s painful to sit through, watching portfolios drop…ultimately these capitulatory events pave the way for the next leg higher.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/fear-pays-the-bills/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
2025 is turning out to be choppier than the last 2 years.
DeepSeek fears saw equities plunge…now the latest economic worries hit real world sectors.
Heavy rotations were spotted the last 3 days. And that’s good news.
Industrial sector capitulation is a buy signal.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. Money rarely leaves markets…it rotates.
While cap-weighted indices were flogged the last few days, under the surface told a different, more constructive narrative.
Capitulation was spotted in 2 areas as money shifted to “safer” defensive groups. Today, we’ll highlight the biggest pain point for equities: Industrial stocks.
These market gyrations, while unsettling, offer a unique window into a strong oversold signal.
Money flows help you spot it.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/industrial-sector-capitulation-is-a-buy-signal/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Economic uncertainty has rarely been higher.
Worries range from tariffs, a rekindling of inflation, an end to Fed easing, rising rates, and high valuations.
It’s a scary list.
Today we’ll unpack an evidence-rich dataset to keep you invested. And we’ll help you answer the burning question on everyone’s mind:
Are tariffs and high economic uncertainty a reason to sell stocks?
Here’s the good news. Don’t sweat all the noise. Bull markets always climb a wall of worry. It’s not unusual. In fact, it’s a good thing.
Here’s why:
When no one’s worrying, it means the crowd is already all-in on stocks and the rally will stall as demand dries up.
Worries are an essential feature of every bull market. They’re a reason to buy, not sell.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/are-tariffs-a-reason-to-sell-stocks/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Trading should be simple.
Follow trusty time-tested indicators and call it a day.
Markets are making new highs, stunning the crowd.
One big reason is the hidden bullish breadth in technology stocks.
Let’s rewind the tape. Just 2 short months ago, stocks were sold with abandon. Fed speak caused many investors to 2nd guess the merry-go-round path of interest rates.
Our data signaled a massive buy signal that rarely comes along.
Capitulation is one of the best times to strap on the helmet…and get in there. When the crowd is cryin’…start buyin’.
Today, we’ll size up the money flows picture and illustrate the powerful hidden breadth in technology stocks.
We’ll even showcase new charts…then highlight 2 names loved by institutions.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/hidden-bullish-breadth-in-technology-stocks/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
When you follow money flows, you don’t need headlines to generate alpha.
The supply and demand picture reveals the outliers.
Today we’ll cover the powerful inflows into small-cap health care stocks.
Let’s take a step back. In early December, we made the call that 2025 is shaping up to be a stock pickers market. Thus far I’d say it’s true.
We’ve seen lots of rotational action and prior market pain points are beginning to show leadership.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/powerful-inflows-into-small-cap-health-care-stocks/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Volatility is back on the front burner.
Jitters range from the economic and inflationary impact of tariffs, to rising 10-year Treasury yields, to what DeepSeek means for the future of AI.
All these narratives affect interest rates. And that bodes well for one patch of the income spectrum: Dividends.
We’ll offer 3 big reasons to buy dividend growth stocks now.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/3-big-reasons-to-buy-dividend-growth-stocks-now/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The 2025 tape bombs are in full effect.
First there was DeepSeek. Then came the tariffs.
Just don’t lose sight of the money flow January effect.
Let’s face it, it’s easy to get blindsided by out of the blue market-moving headlines.
Last week, I told you how the DeepSeek worries revealed the weak hands. From our data standpoint, that call is working as many of our top plays keep attracting capital.
Shifting to more recent headlines, traders are uneasy on the tariff talk. As we highlighted in our 2025 market outlook, we viewed tariffs as more of a bargaining chip than anything.
Look, it’s easy to get faked out following headlines!
This is where cold hard data helps you navigate.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/money-flow-january-effect/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The DeepSeek surprise proved how quickly equity prices can rerate.
Some of the biggest winning stocks flopped at a magnitude rarely seen.
Ultimately, DeepSeek fears revealed the Weak Hands.
We’ve described weak hands before, back in 2020. It’s the new investors who lack conviction in their trades.
Possibly they bought into the A.I. trade in December, only to get spooked out in January. On the trading desk we’d call this LIFO traders: Last in, first out.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/high-interest-rates-wont-kill-the-equity-rally/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The market’s latest top macro worry is rising long-term interest rates. We’ve seen this movie before.
10-year Treasury yields recently hit 4.8%, their highest since peaking at 5% back in October 2023.
Back then, we told you to Disregard the Rate Scare and Buy Stocks Now. The S&P 500 is up 40% to 6100 since we published that report on October 9, 2023, when the index sat at 4335.
Today’s note echoes that piece: High interest rates won’t kill the equity rally.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/high-interest-rates-wont-kill-the-equity-rally/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
There’s a lot of excitement in the air.
The Trump administration released the Stargate project, underscoring a commitment for the US to lead the A.I. revolution.
It should come as no surprise that money is chasing high-quality Tech stocks.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/money-is-chasing-high-quality-tech-stocks/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Stocks are washed out.
If our data could talk, it’d yell the following:
When the Big Money Index plummets, go buy stocks.
Let’s face it. It’s been a lonely road keeping a bullish outlook.
Bearish worries about elevated interest rates, a strong dollar, and a potential reignition of inflation have ruled the media headlines.
How can I possibly be constructive at such a fearful time?
Simple. It boils down to cold-hard evidence-rich data suggesting that now is a wonderful time to strap on the helmet and buy high-quality equities.
Before you dismiss this against-the-crowd idea, review the evidence.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/when-the-big-money-index-plummets-go-buy-stocks/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The S&P 500 just posted a total return of at least 25% for the second year in a row. That hasn’t happened since 1998.
Not too shabby.
The downside of this epic rally is that howling about excessive valuations is everywhere. Everyone seems to agree stocks are too rich.
Here’s the deal: Stock valuations are elevated and that’s perfectly fine.
If you’re searching for a constructive argument about US equities, I’ve got you covered.
Today, I’ll highlight several underappreciated bullish macro signals that will continue to support equity valuations. Then, I’ll lay out the best way to outperform.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/stock-valuations-are-high-and-thats-perfectly-fine/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Now that 2024 is in the books, let’s review the top brass in our research.
It was an epic year.
Here were the top 3 accumulated stocks in 2024.
Many believe the only game in town is the Mag 7. Without question, betting on hyper scalers has been a profitable venture.
But the reality is that each year, a handful of discrete equities attract mega-institutional sponsorship…which sends their share prices to the moon.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/top-3-accumulated-stocks-in-2024/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
A new year offers a new start…
…and big opportunities.
Here are 3 reasons to buy stocks in January 2025.
The S&P 500 just put up a back-to-back crowd-stunning performance with 2023 jumping 24% and 2024 vaulting 23%.
Being long equities has been the winning ticket.
If you’re considering cashing out simply because this rally is getting long in the tooth, hold that thought.
The evidence suggests more upside is ahead.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/3-reasons-to-buy-stocks-in-january-2025/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Many investors gave up on stocks earlier this month.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) recorded a drought… falling 9 days consecutively.
As scary as it sounds, this ultra rare oversold signal is undefeated.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/this-ultra-rare-oversold-signal-is-undefeated/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Stocks were sold with abandon.
Be thankful.
Rare capitulation signals big gains ahead.
Volatile markets are never fun. Yesterday’s Fed presser sent shockwaves across equity markets.
Nothing was spared. Correlation approached 1. The S&P Small Cap 600 fell 4%. The S&P Mid Cap 400 fell 3.84%. The mighty large cap S&P 500 collapsed 2.95%.
That’s forced selling for you!
While pundits will argue the merry-go-round path of interest rates in 2025, I believe there’s a stronger signal to heed.
Yesterday’s meltdown has a positive data-driven message. Start picking away at high-quality businesses on sale.
Now let’s review the proof.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/rare-capitulation-signals-big-gains-ahead/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The crowd-stunning rally keeps going.
Don’t be shocked if growth stocks keep working.
Another bullish omen is flaring for the NASDAQ.
Equities remain in a firm uptrend. Small, Mid, and growthier pockets of the market are under healthy accumulation.
Our bias towards owning SMID caps is still in place. Afterall, plenty of capital has been reappraising those names since the Summer.
That said, there are other single stock stories working, too.
NASDAQ bellwethers Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet’s (GOOGL) have been sharply rallying as Musk plants himself further in the government and Google’s quantum computer Willow unleashes mind-numbing calculations. (Disclosure: I own GOOGL and TSLA shares)
These 2 heavyweights have helped push the NASDAQ to record heights. The good news is the latest strength actually favors more gains ahead for the tech-heavy index.
Let’s now unpack the evidence.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/another-bullish-omen-is-flaring-for-the-nasdaq/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
2024 stunned just about everyone.
In rare fashion, the S&P 500 is set to post a total return of over 25% for the second year in a row. But before we discuss the future, it’s important to step back.
Two years ago, we were bold to suggest stocks can be a good bet in 2023. Recession fears dominated the tape. We didn’t buy into that narrative.
One year ago, Wall Street strategists predicted just 1% upside with the S&P 500 forecast to end 2024 at 4800.
MAPsignals took the over on that call in A Dozen Charts Signal Big Gains in 2024. Fast forward 12 months and the S&P sits above 6000, up 28% including dividends.
The party isn’t over. But investors will have to dig deeper than the S&P 500 to keep earning 20% returns.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/2025-outlook-look-outside-sp-500-to-unlock-big-gains/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
When all hope is lost, we yell to buy stocks.
When all hope is found, we enjoy the ride.
2025 is set to be a stock picker’s market.
One of my all-time favorite investor quotes came from The Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett.
Beware the investment activity that produces applause; the great moves are usually greeted by yawns.
This is so true. How often have we witnessed sentiment shift to extremes…only to revert to the mean?
A terrific example was one of my favorite calls from this Summer, when we made an extremely non-consensus pitch to get ready for a monster reversion trade for the ages.
Back then, the crowd could only imagine a world where the MAG 7 would surely dominate…forever. Suggesting the other 493 names were ready for liftoff was akin to blasphemy.
This easily disguised opportunity teed up one of the most powerful mean reverting trades seen in years.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/2025-is-set-to-be-a-stock-pickers-market/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
It’s been a wonderful year.
If you’re sitting around the table with healthy friends and family, that’s all that matters.
If your portfolio is at highs, even better.
Here are 5 thankful MAPsignals calls in 2024.
I love to look back and see what transpired throughout the year. It helps us reflect on where we came from, and what our message was at certain points in time.
While we aren’t always perfect, we did have some outstanding calls worthy of a victory lap.
Yes, I’m thankful we’ve been in business 10 years…my bet is that one reason is our ability to spot setups the crowd is unwilling to entertain.
Let’s review my personal favorite calls from the last 12-months.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/5-thankful-mapsignals-calls-in-2024/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Every now and then, a stat jumps off the screen.
While major indices climb to new highs, certain areas are being liquidated.
One group in particular triggered extreme outflows. The great news is this oversold signal is undefeated.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/this-oversold-signal-is-undefeated/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The GOP’s surprise sweep has pushed an already epic market rally into overdrive.
The S&P 500 is up a scorching 24% YTD. That’s on top of last year’s impressive 24.2% ramp.
Should investors blindly buy all stocks? Not particularly.
The Trump 2.0 macro-outlook favors small- and mid-caps.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/trump-2-0-macro-outlook-favors-small-mid-caps/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The equity seas are shifting.
A new wave of leadership has gripped the market.
The Trump 2.0 rally is only just starting.
Most would agree, it’s an exciting time to be an investor. Forgotten sleeper stocks, like PayPal (PYPL), Shopify (SHOP), Carvana (CVNA) and Palantir (PLTR) have suddenly sprung to life recently (Disclosure: I own PYPL).
These once high-flyers are benefiting from the latest tectonic shift: the Trump 2.0 red wave.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/trump-2-0-rally-is-only-just-starting/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The verdict is in.
The GOP won across the board.
Here’s your 2024 post-election playbook.
Heading into the election, our data signaled volatility risk into and after the vote. This was based on historical studies grounded in data.
We now believe a less cautious stance is warranted. And 2 long-standing areas of focus for us are getting an upgrade: Small- and mid-cap equities.
Here’s why. What transpired on Tuesday took many by surprise. President elect Donald Trump decisively won. Even bigger is what’s happening in Congress.
Republicans control the Senate and it’s looking like they’ll be the House majority. Only time will tell on the latter.
Here’s the deal. What’s shaping up is bullish for equities medium and long-term. In fact, yesterday our data saw some of the most risk-on action ever!
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/2024-post-election-playbook/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Savor this moment. Markets don’t get much better than this.
Add up Fed easing, low inflation, steady growth, rising earnings and plump profit margins, and you’ve got the recipe for the big-time gains we’re seeing.
But with the S&P 500 up a crowd-stunning 38% in the past year, our data-focused stance suggests investors use caution ahead and buy any election dip.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/caution-ahead-and-buy-any-election-dip/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Want to divide a room? Ask a group who they’re voting for.
Want to inform a room? Arm the crowd with an election volatility risk playbook.
2 data-driven reasons suggest election volatility risk could be coming for your portfolio.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/election-volatility-risk/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Equities saw their worst daily pullback in weeks.
Our Big Money Index signals pullback ahead.
Yesterday was a reminder that volatility can strike out of nowhere.
The S&P 500 declined .92%. Even more jarring, the NASDAQ 100 fell 1.55%, its single worst performance in 6 weeks.
This pullback came just as the Big Money Index fell out of overbought territory. From a data-standpoint, this surprising turbulence actually came right on time.
A falling BMI indicates bids are fading and near-term caution is warranted.
Just don’t get too cute with the bearish rhetoric. While our cautious stance is still in place, there’s evidence that a mega buy-the-dip opportunity is just around the corner.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/big-money-index-signals-pullback-ahead/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Here are a few tidbits about the stock market.
The S&P 500 has hit 46 all-time highs this year. It’s up 22% YTD and a whopping 63% since this bull market began two years ago.
Don’t let that juicy performance scare you. Big momentum is a buy signal.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here:https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/big-momentum-is-a-buy-signal/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Today’s message signals a shift in tone. We’ll try and decipher what investors can expect going forward.
More importantly, when it’s a good idea to take some profits off the table.
Please NOTE: Our long-term bullish stance is not changing.
However, overbought conditions will not last forever and eventually a healthy pullback will begin.
We’ll cover the one data point to help guide you once the tides shift.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here:https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/stocks-finally-reach-the-rare-overbought-zone/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Today’s write-up offers 2 evidence-rich studies pointing to healthy gains ahead for the NASDAQ. The lagging group is getting an upgrade today.
If you’re like me and are hunting for positives in a sea of uncertainty, we’ve got you covered.
On August 5th, we logged 142 ETFs sold. This is one of the largest outflow days in recent years
I’ve updated the returns through yesterday. Whenever 125 or more ETFs are sold:
- 3-months later the NASDAQ jumps 12.8%
- 12-months later the NASDAQ rips 36.8%
- 24-months later the NASDAQ zooms 72.07%
And if this doesn’t get you excited, I’ve got another reason to own Tech stocks now.
It comes down to momentum. The month of September clocked a gain of 2.48% for the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100. This was the best September performance since 2013.
Turns out, strong Septembers are bullish omens for Q4.
Since 1984, the average gain for the NASDAQ in the months of October – December is a juicy 6.08%.
Not bad.
BUT whenever September gains at least 2%, the following 4th quarter climbs to 9.1%! Don’t fade strong September momentum.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here:https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/2-key-signals-forecast-strong-gains-for-nasdaq-stocks/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Indices keep climbing. After posting a 26% total return last year, the S&P 500 is up another 20% YTD.
As this bull market has blossomed, leadership has really broadened out.
We know it’s tempting to think that there’s nothing left to buy. All the good news must already be priced in by now, right?
Judging from Wall Street’s latest worry list, you’d certainly think so.
Popular scare stories include the recent flare-up in the Middle East, to the pace of Fed rate cuts, recession fears, high valuations, election uncertainty, and October’s weak seasonal track record.
The notion that “all the good news is already priced into stocks” sounds catchy but doesn’t really hold up.
Today we’ll show you five underappreciated, bullish macro tailwinds that signal new all-time highs loom.
Then we’ll show you three lagging sectors that offer the best bang for your buck as this broadening bull market just keeps on charging.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here:https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/how-to-buy-low-at-all-time-highs/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Let’s discuss the huge money-elephant in the room.
Millions of investors hiding in money market funds are about to see their income fall in a big way.
With the Fed finally cutting rates, yield hungry investors will have to work harder to generate income.
Today, we’ll show you why now’s the time to buy dividend growth stocks as the Fed cuts interest rates. Then we’ll show you how to maximize the theme with timely ETFs and sectors.
And the income rotation is already underway.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here:https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/buy-dividend-growth-stocks-as-fed-cuts-interest-rates/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
The term October surprise dates back to the 19th century as presidential elections routinely experienced unexpected events heading into November.
Recent notable October surprises include:
- 1968 Humphrey’s Halloween Peace
- 1972 Kissinger’s Peace is at hand press conference
- 1980 Reagan’s American hostages held in Iran
- 2000 Bush’s drunk driving report
- 2008 record rise in unemployment
- 2012 Hurricane Sandy
- 2016 email scandal
- 2020 COVID White House outbreak
Could there be an October surprise in 2024? My vote is yes.
Whether or not October surprises influence elections is up for debate. What isn’t, though, are the powerful patterns that exist in stocks in the 10th month of the year.
Today MAP Signals revisits a powerful election study we showcased months ago highlighting the spooky returns typical of October.
Disclosure: This recap uses AI to better explore our post here:https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/2024-october-surprise-playbook/
Remember none of this is personal advice of any kind. This is for entertainment and informational purposes only.
Investors are concerned about recessions, earnings, and the 2023 stock market rally. We break it all down with history and data. Insights post: https://mapsignals.com/map-blog/The media loves to harp on recessions. But history shows how stocks fall more prior to a recession than in one. Also, after a recession stocks rally most.Earnings season is here and the apocalypse that many expected didn't transpire. By most estimates, earnings have beaten the street by 7%.Finally, Technology and Discretionary stocks are flying higher in a rough tape. Many are surprised, however this is typical action after an oversold Big Money Index.We use data to help us make sense of the market. Learn more at www.MAPsignals.comRemember this is not personal investment advice of any kind. This video is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Our focus is to help investors make sense of markets with data.Our disclaimer can be found here: https://mapsignals.com/contact/
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Two weeks ago we the Big Money Index was flashing red. Stocks have gyrated a lot since then.
The data is now signaling that high-quality growth stocks could be set for a bounce.
Jason and Luke walk through a study they did over the weekend. It looks like there's a lot of short-covering going on with Technology stocks.
In this episode:
Data Update: Flash-back to Big Money Index signaling red
Looking Forward: Crypto is crashing. Are growth stocks ready to bounce?
Outlier Stock: PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)
Jason & Luke hold long positions in PYPL in personal and managed accounts at the time of filming. Remember this is not personal investment advice of any kind. This video is for entertainment purposes only.
Our disclaimer can be found here: https://mapsignals.com/contact/ Learn more at www.mapsignals.com
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support
Is the Big Money Index starting to rollover? Heading into this week, the BMI was set to go overbought. That's the red zone. It's early to tell, but there's a different tone in the data.
Jason and Luke walk through some new data points: stock volumes are increasing and there's a big fat rotation going on. Reopen sectors are getting bought, while growth sectors are getting sold. If buying starts to slow, the BMI will start to fall. Only time will tell if that's where we're headed.
In this episode:
Market Segment: Big Money Index nearing overbought
Outlier Stock: Facebook, Inc. (FB)
Reader feedback: Investors worried about a pullback. Taxes going up is good for stocks?
Jason & Luke hold no position in FB at the time of filming. Remember this is not personal investment advice of any kind. This video is for entertainment purposes only. Our disclaimer can be found here: https://mapsignals.com/contact/ Learn more at www.mapsignals.com
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support
Jason and Luke get right to it. Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs) are under pressure...and they aren't surprised. This is in the face of markets near all-time highs.
Long-term, this is healthy for stocks.
Next, they dive into the data, checking in on the Big Money Index. Volumes have been quiet compared to Q1. They even showcase new functionality coming to MAPsignals subscribers. Soon users will be able to track the BMI each day and see daily ETF buys and sells.
Finally, they breakdown an outlier stock, ASML Holding NV ADR (ASML). This is a semiconductor they've known for years. They just smashed earnings.
In this episode:
Data Segment: Low volumes, Quality stock leadership
Thoughts on SPACs: Issuance is off the charts
Outlier Stock: ASML Holding NV ADR (ASML)
Jason & Luke hold no position in ASML at the time of filming. Remember this is not personal investment advice of any kind. This video is for entertainment purposes only. Our disclaimer can be found here: https://mapsignals.com/contact/ Learn more at www.mapsignals.com
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support
Jason and Luke breakdown the $2 trillion infrastructure plan and why that will be bullish for stocks.
Next, they walk through what the data says. Right now, signs are pointing to more upside for stocks.
Lastly, they breakdown a MAPsignals favorite Industrials stock: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL).
Learn more at www.mapsignals.com Jason & Luke hold a long position in SIMO at the time of filming, but no position in ODFL. Remember this is not personal investment advice of any kind. This video is for entertainment purposes only. Our disclaimer can be found here: https://mapsignals.com/contact/
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support
Jason & Luke break down the Archegos Capital Management liquidation situation.
It actually brought back memories from their trading days during the Global Financial Crisis. They recap a few liquidations they handled back in the day. It made a big impact on them.
Finally, they circle the wagon on a mega-outlier stock, Mastercard Incorporated (MA).
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Cathie Wood gets so much attention these days for her growth investing style.
We breakdown why her investing process is focused and long-term minded. She is a Big Money player these days.
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Stocks go up and go down. We like to use the Big Money Index to guide us. Long-term though, the great stocks keep climbing.
Our outlier segment is poker star, Daniel Negreanu. Next we get into our Big Money analysis. Then we talk about an outlier stock we've known and held for years: Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG).
Learn more at www.mapsignals.com
Disclaimer can be found here: https://mapsignals.com/contact/
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support
Outliers exist in life and in markets. Our Outlier Segment is dedicated to the Super Bowl quarterback GOAT, Tom Brady.
Then we do a dive into why NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is a Big Money favorite and outlier. Later we discuss a newer name to our research, Fulgent Genetics, Inc. (FLGT).
Studies show that only a small percentage of stocks are responsible for most of the market's gains. We call them outliers.
Jason Bodner and Lucas Downey breakdown our unique data, talk stocks, and why outliers exist in our everyday lives. Learn more at www.mapsignals.com
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What moves markets? Believe it or not, it isn't fundamentals or technicals... it's supply and demand.
Where the Big Money flows, stocks follow.
There are signs of cracks in the dam for the market. Luke and Jason breakdown why the media's obsession with certain meme stocks is wrong. It's simply a distraction for what's really going on under the surface.
The first signs of market weakness are showing up.
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We are seeing records, folks!
People are asking how to handle market exuberance.
This was a fun and spirited chat with tons of market wisdom that we've learned over the years.
We cover a lot of the material we outlined in yesterday's blog post, Are We There Yet.
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We take a dive into how investing has changed forever. Between high-frequency trading, the explosion of ETFs, and the rise of the retail traders, stocks are moving much quicker.
Lucas and Jason chat about how the game of football is changing, too. Offences are getting faster. And so has investing. Being more offensively-minded pays off rather than focusing on defense.
No matter how markets change, outlier stocks still win in the end. Always be forward thinking.
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Markets are well into overbought territory. The red zone tends to last for weeks...we call that the investing bonus level. It's where 401ks and long-term brokerage accounts rack up points.
The key to winning at investing is to be patient. The odds are on your side. Let the outlier stocks do the work for you. Instead of worrying on when the market will pullback, we believe the focus should be on finding the best stocks out there.
We also breakdown the latest MAPsignals data: small-caps are collecting most of the capital. The "reopen trade" is alive and well. The narrative can't change until sellers show up.
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Value stocks are ramping as growth stocks take a back seat. Lucas and Jason cover a lot of great info in this one.
We spend time discussing the reopen winners, what sectors we are focused on, and why this market can go a lot higher over the next year. But, it isn't all rainbows and bubblegum. Quants are having a tough go.
Enjoy!
Stocks mentioned: ZM and DNKN.
Disclosure: MAP, it's founders, and managed accounts hold a long position in ZM.
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support
Headlines are dropping daily. Stocks and sectors are whipping around in massive ways.
Lucas and Jason break down the changing data landscape. They still see opportunity for growth and Technology stocks.
They also discuss reader comments and feedback.
Enjoy!
Stocks discussed in this podcast are ZM and PTON.
Disclosure: MAP founders hold a long position in ZM shares in managed accounts.
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support
Election day has passed and the market has made its vote...green.
Lucas and Jason discuss how they see markets shaping up going forward and what's likely in store from a data standpoint.
The election trade is in full swing. The juice is back.
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People ask us all the time, "how do you find outlier stocks early on?"
We discuss the 3 traits that we believe are present in outlier stocks. In this episode, we use SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG), as our example. It's a familiar MAP name.
Disclosure: MAP, its founders, and/or managed accounts hold long positions in MSFT, GOOGL, TSLA, & NFLX
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support
All investors have likely experienced "the ones that got away." We oftentimes call them the white buffalo. Investing isn't always about the highlight reel, bloopers are part of the learning experience, too.
In this chat, Jason and Luke discuss stocks they sold too early, what they learned, and how they adapted.
It's a big earnings week and they hit on a recent MAP name that blew away expectations.
Stocks mentioned that they hold a position in: CMG, NFLX, BIDU, & GOOGL.
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It's important to know yourself as an investor. Learning your strengths and weaknesses is critical to investing success.
In this episode, Lucas and Jason break down the big shifts in the market from a data standpoint. Then they shift gears and discuss how early trading failures were necessary for growth.
Disclosure: MAP or its founders hold long positions in F & CMG.
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In our first episode we talk through recent market headlines, what the data says, and what's important.
Can one episode encompass BBQ, SPACs, the news, and more? Yes.
There's a lot of juice in this market. Have fun and make money along the way.
Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/mapsignals/support