Senator Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is warning that there may not be a red wave in the Senate this fall, despite President Biden's low approval ratings and inflation hurting everyone's pockets. Megan McArdle from the Washington Post has a new column arguing that Republicans' slim chances in the midterms have nothing to do with what Democrats are up to and everything to do with the perceptions, legitimate or not, of former president Donald Trump and his supporters.

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