Guru Fantasy World: Recent Episodes

David J. Gautieri

David J. Gautieri hosts special guests & solo sessions covering the most prevalent fantasy football topics, including: dynasty rankings, trades, & strategies; in-season redraft advice (waivers, start/sits); single-player deep-dives (Making The Case series); & more.

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David & guest Andrew Cooper (@CoopAFiasco) discuss the 2024 TE landscape.

3:30 - Jake Ferguson Scooby Doo reveal

22:30 - Who's TE1? Top tier worth paying up for?

32:00 - Not the year for punting TE?

36:00 - Kyle Pitts a trap?

45:00 - Kincaid/Knox splits

51:00 - Engram/Kirk splits

55:30 - Njoku/Watson splits

1:04:00 - Arthur Smith (dare we say) a good thing?

1:09:30 - Bowers viable in redraft?

1:12:30 - Late-round favorites

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David & Best Ball Mania Champion Liam Murphy discuss 2024 strategy & player-takes.

7:00 - Stacking (1? 2? 3? 4?) pass-catchers

12:00 - How important is "uniqueness" in BBM?

18:00 - Discussing last year's BBM winner

24:45 - WK17 Strategy

30:45 - Targeting low-owned players

45:00 - Flag-plants (& knowing when not to)

1:00:00 - Elite TE's for the Win

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David Gautieri & Ryan Heath discuss some advanced statistics & their applications.

2:00 (Un)catchable targets

7:30 Diontae Johnson SZN?

15:30 How to Use 1D/RR

17:00 Jayden Reed CAN, but WILL he?

22:00 “Big Play Merchants”

24:45 Thoughts on Jordan Addison

29:30 Josh Gordon Patriots Trivia

35:00 MTF/touch

39:00 Whispers maybe Arthur Smith is a good thing

47:00 Achane/Spears fit YR2 breakout window

50:45 Anthony Richardson’s Lamar-ceiling

58:30 No “bad stats” only bad applications

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Host David Gautieri & guest Rich (@DynastyIsland) discuss players with RD7/8/9 startup ADP's.

7:15 - Bryce Young a SELL? Or underrated?

12:30 - BUY Rashee Rice? & Jayden Reed?

17:30 - Zack Moss > D’Andre Swift IN DYNASTY!?!?

28:00 - Drafting a QB3 in dynasty startups

32:00 - Sorting Kittle, Engram, Njoku, Ferguson

39:30 - RB1dre Stevenson

51:45 - Penix’s dynasty outlook

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David Gautieri & guest @FFSnoog discuss whether players with ADP's in RD4/5/6 are undervalued or overvalued.

5:00 – Tua overvalued?

9:30 – Kincaid’s ceiling?

22:00 – Opportunity cost of RD2 RB's v Achane

27:00 – Devonta Smith a ___ percentile talent?

30:00 – DJ Moore yum or yuck?

44:00 – Pitts, Andrews, Kelce

47:00 – Fade JJ McCarthy

51:00 – Zay Flowers PPR $$$

55:00 – RD6 too early for RB’s?

1:00:00 – JSN undervalued?

1:03:00 – Xavier Worthy the Hero who lived too long

1:10:00 – Win now AND later

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Host David Gautieri & guest Dynasty Dad discuss Top-36 dynasty ADP, whether each player in that range is overvalued/undervalued/properly valued, as well as additional startup strategies.

5:00 - Using ADP, KTC, FantasyCalc

9:30 - Stroud overvalued?

15:15 - Building around QB's?

20:00 - Anthony Richardson range of outcomes

25:00 - Fade Justin Herbert at your own risk

29:00 - Kyler v Richardson

30:00 - LaPorta overvalued?

35:00 - Malik Chase

40:00 - Chris Olave = Cilantro

45:00 - Marry Me Trey McBride

47:30 - Latest startup strategies

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David & Bestball Expert James Brimacombe discuss 2024 strategy & player-takes.

3:00 - Bestball "Rules"

7:30 - Exposure Limits

12:00 - Closing-line Value

15:00 - Avoiding "Zeros"

22:30 - Best Time to Draft

24:00 - Drafting Rookies

37:00 - 3RB starts

38:45 - Punting TE

45:00 - "Ideal" Roster Construction

49:00 - Same-bye 2QB builds

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David & guest Jakob Sanderson discuss 2024 rookie prospects, philosophical strategies, & more.

2:15 – Ranking QB’s in SF

13:00 – Odunze “can’t miss?”

18:30 – Adonai v Ladd

22:00 – Ceiling v Floor philosophy

36:00 – Fading Penix

44:30 – Late-round RB-targets

1:02:30 – Building a team w/ only rookie picks

1:12:30 – Infinite rebuilds

1:18:00 – 90-second rapid-fire

1:19:30 – JSN debate

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David & guest Angelo play a game of True or False regarding 2024 rookies.

3:00 - Odunze same tier as MHJ/Nabers?

9:00 - Nabers = CeeDee?

11:00 - BTJ > JSN?

13:45 - Worthy too small for a WR1?

21:30 - Why Javon Baker?

26:30 - Baker > Mitchell?

36:30 - Developmental injuries

41:30 - Ronald Jones comp (oh no)

51:00 - James Robinson comp (oh yea)

57:00 - 90-second rapid-fire

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David Gautieri & guest Kevin Coleman discuss the 2024 rookie RB class, some flawed WR prospects, & some deeper sleepers.

3:30 - Devy the next "niche" to go mainstream?

5:00 - Rookie RB1 flag-plant

10:30 - MarShawn Lloyd fan-club

15:00 - Benson's "red flag"

18:30 - Elusiveness Rating

23:30 - Late-round RB-targets

32:30 - Mitchell v Worthy

40:00 - Fade Coleman? Legette?

48:00 - Bucky kinda sucky?

52:00 - Surprising Aiyuk comp

55:00 - TE talk

59:00 - Pre-draft tier-breaks

1:02:00 - 90-second rapid-fire

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David & Scott define dynasty "leverage" & discuss various examples.

6:00 - Defining Dynasty "Leverage"

13:45 - Ageism in Dynasty

19:00 - Collecting future 1's

27:00 - Process > Players

39:00 - Trading multiple years out

44:00 - WORP

53:00 - Leveraging the Fantasy Playoffs

57:00 - NO TRADE DEADLINES

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David discusses bestball strategies in detail with Bestball Mania 2 Champion Liam Murphy (@ChessLiam).

4:30 - Drafting suspended players

16:00 - 6WR builds

28:30 - "Small" stacks

33:45 - Projected points

36:15 - Same bye builds

42:00 - Biggest edge left

49:30 - Recreating the winning build

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David & guest Ron Stewart discuss a few simple bestball strategies & go over player-takes for the most undervalued/overvalued at each position (QB/RB/WR/TE).

2:30 - Bestball tips for Beginners

9:00 - The 2 Justins

16:30 - THE post-hype RB

20:45 - Quentin Johnston in redraft?

26:30 - Kyle Pitts conundrum

38:30 - Sanders a trap?

43:45 - Pickens debate

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David Gautieri & guest John Bauer (aka @TheBauerClub) discuss Dynasty Do's & Dont's, & the "perfect" startup strategy.

2:30 - Knowing Your League Settings

6:45 - Just Hit Decline

8:00 - Building Relationships

11:30 - Leveraging Others' Needs

17:00 - Going "All-In"

20:45 - Trading With a Purpose

25:30 - Worst Mistake You Can Make

28:00 - The "Perfect" Startup

35:00 - 90-Second Rapid-Fire

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David & guest Andrew Cooper discuss their TE processes & player-takes.

3:30 - Defining a TE Process

21:00 - Kyle Pitts in redraft?

30:00 - Yin & Yang Strategy

36:45 - Hock a SELL?

50:00 - Kittle debate

57:30 - Rookie TE's

1:09:00 - Dulcich v Chig

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David & Josh play true or false & discuss player-takes for the 2023 season.

2:30 - Chig a top-8 TE?

7:45 - Perine outscores Javonte?

10:45 - Pitts a better pick than London?

17:30 - Deshaun Watson bounces back?

22:30 - Charb a threat to Walker's starting role?

27:45 - Most likely top-12 finish with an ADP outside the top-24

34:45 - Best bestball pick with an ADP 200+

46:00 - 90-second rapid-fire

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David Gautieri & guest Dynasty Zoltan discuss 5 trades Zoltan has made & why, as well as numerous dynasty trade strategies.

(1:30) Avoiding the Treadmill of Mediocrity

(7:30-14:45) Christian Watson Debate

(16:00) Capitalizing on micro-windows

(23:00) Rostering 3 Elite QB's

(26:00) Crafting multi-player deals

(31:00) 90-second Rapid-fire

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David Gautieri & guest Angelo (of Angelo Analysis) discuss 2023 rookies & how they should be valued vs their veteran counterparts.

3:45 - Why Anthony Richardson?

8:00 - v Kyler, Dak, Deshaun

15:00 - Why Jahmyr Gibbs

23:00 - Who's the 2023 RB3?

28:00 - Rhamondre hot takes

33:00 - Thoughts on Rachaad White

35:00 - QJ v Burks

46:00 - Zay Flowers WR1 upside?

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David Gautieri & guest Ian Miller discuss the ins & outs of building a process.

2:30 - The most important input

5:20 - How each position differs

10:30 - Early-declare significance

12:45 - Does TE college production matter?

14:45 - Does WR athleticism matter?

16:15 - How to adjust for teammate strength

20:00 - Why JSN?

26:00 - Fade Mingo

31:30 - Player v Pick Rapid-fire

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4:15 - What to do with Zach Evans?

10:15 - Evans v Achane, Kendre, Bigsby

13:15 - Boutte? Booty? or no?

18:30 - Hooker an NFL QB?

22:00 - Kraft > Washington a hot take?

27:45 - Rakim Jarrett's profile

33:45 - Stop me from falling in love with Deuce Vaughn (if you can)

40:00 - Player v Pick Rapid-Fire

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David & guest Nelly discuss Rookie tiers & overvalued/undervalued rookies.

(2:45-5:30) Bijan in a tier of his own?
(8:00-9:45) CJ Stroud capable as a rusher?
(18:00-20:00) Johnston in JSN's or Addison's tier?
(24:00-25:00) Kendre at the top of the 2nd round tier of RB's?
(30:00-32:00) Musgrave v LaPorta
(33:00-34:00) Mayer v Hock/Muth
(34:00-38:00) Beware Darnell Washington
(40:00-42:00) Deuce Vaughn debate
(43:00-46:00) Don't sleep on Rakim Jarrett
(46:00-54:00) Pick v Player rapid-fire

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David Gautieri & guest Jakob Sanderson discuss the Dynasty RB landscape.

(1:45-15:45) ETN a SELL?
(15:45-19:15) ETN or Saquon?
(16:30-19:15) ETN or Jacobs?
(20:00-29:45) D’Andre Swift Debate
(29:45-33:45) Rhamondre v Swift
(34:00-39:00) Javonte a SELL?
(39:00-47:00) Tony Pollard the Best RB in the World?
(47:00-60:00) General Market Strategy

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Quick rundown of David's thoughts on some buys & sells as we head into the 2023 offseason.

(1:30-10:15) BAL Offense
(10:30-16:30) AZ Offense
(17:00-21:30) Watson, Fields
(22:00-25:00) Rhamondre v ETN
(25:00-28:00) Swift
(28:00-33:00) Burks
(33:30- 37:00) Jones, Kamara, Sanders
(37:00-45:00) TE’s

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How to start the offseason when you have extra rookie picks & want to buy players.

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When making contending dynasty trades there's one thing you MUST KNOW - the extra benefit of trading healthy players for injured players in a rebuild (scoring less points, & getting a better draft pick.) This episode covers HOW to use that to your advantage.

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David & special guest Scott Connor discuss ARSB v Breece Hall & who should be ranked higher in dynasty (as well as ARSB v Higgins, Waddle, Diggs, & Kupp).

2:30 - What the Market wants

4:30 - Wins Over Replacement (WOPR)

9:15 - Rebuild v Contender?

15:40 - RB Market v WR Market

19:00 - ARSB v Tee Higgins

20:15 - ARSB v Waddle

22:45 - ARSB v Kupp & Diggs

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Quick rundown for the final draft weekend for 2022.

5 stats to know & what to do with them.

2:30 - McLaurin, ARSB, Elijah Moore breakouts?

6:00 - Etienne & Breece Hall

10:30 - Trey Lance to the Moon

18:00 - Marquise Brown an Alpha?

25:30 - The risk with aging RB's

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3:50 - Why Rookies in early-2022 bestball?

21:00 - Tony Pollard, Dynasty RB__?

35:20 - Albert O Pissing Contest

46:45 - 3.01 OR? 2.01 OR? 1.01 OR? Rapid-fire

54:00 - Jalen Hurts' future?

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Akash aka @YZR_Fantasy joins me to talk one of the hotter topics in the fantasy football space: Target Share.

Why is it important? How should we be using it? & which players are under/overvalued relative to their supporting profiles & target shares?

11:30 - Mooney an elite target-earner?

13:30 - Claypool v Mooney?

23:00 - Buy MT?

28:45 - Gabe Davis overvalued?

35:30 - CeeDee v DJM?

39:00 - 3.01 or? 2.01 or? 1.01 or? Rapid-fire

(Apologies for mic quality during the first 6 minutes. Was able to cut it & fix the issue for the remainder of the episode).

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Kevin is an expert DEVY writer for FantasyPros & the Co-Host of the Devy Royale. He joined me to answer questions about the his 2022 Rankings, the class tiers, comparisons to & valuations vs the 2023 class, & pick values in trades for established NFL players. There are a ton of good nuggets throughout the show & we close with a 3.01 or? 2.01 or? 1.01 or? rapid-fire at the 33:00 mark that you don't want to miss.

3:45 – Spiller/Hall/Walker, same tier?

7:00 – Kyren hype warranted?

9:30 – Burks in a tier of his own? Or not even WR1?

12:25 – Jameson vs London vs Pickens

20:00 – 2022 vs 2023

22:00 – Coming around on Malik Willis?

33:00 – Jalen Hurts > 1.01 (1.01 OR? Rapid-fire)

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It worked

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The first step to digging yourself out of a hole in dynasty fantasy football is to trade your veterans for youth + rookie picks. But how do you take that a step further? & what can you do with those rookie picks when they're on the clock to create compounded value?

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People are getting fed up with Saquon Barkley, the injuries, & the underperformance.

The once-crowned-jewel has fallen from being valued as a high-end RB1 & top-12 startup pick, to not even being valued as top-12 RB & just barely staying inside the top-50 overall.

The narratives surrounding Saquon Barkley are strong - but they're also strikingly similar to the narratives which made Joe Mixon, Deebo Samuel, James Conner, & even Leonard Fournette league-winners this past year. How do they compare? & can Saquon be the next one to "bounce-back?"