Tim, you were a big influence on me with trading when I was getting started. I wanted to re-connect with you and first thank you for the impact you had on my trading.
I remember about 5 years ago when I started, I was doing a strangle on an earnings report...you probably don't remember; but I didn't set my positions out far enough, I think it was on NFLX...and I got thumped!!
how long have you been trading
what got you started
what are your tips for someone just getting started
what are your favorite techniques for trading (or setups)
market engine/mkt effectiveness: how do you determine probabilities?
I have learned over the years that my consistency is driven by hitting base hits; any time I try to:
Today I trade with a blended strategy; that was first inspired by you with options trading.
My general strategy is a two-pronged approach
- options
- futures
Options: use of credit spreads, I generally avoid making directional trades with options, however, I still make directional decisions, but only to help me determine the how far out of the money I should go with my trade
Mostly verticals, out of the money, and let theta do its job...so I'll be in a an options position for 3 to 10 days typically.
I knew I needed the cash flow capabilities of selling options that were improbable.
- Market Engine & Market Effectiveness Chart
Futures: I trade those directionally, again I use
- Market Engine & Market Effectiveness Chart
For all trades I use 3 charts:
1. Trading Chart (Market Engine - shows effort to move price of a particular instrument) [ES: 1 min; AAPL: day]
2. Market Effectiveness Chart - shows how effective the Big Market Engine is doing at moving price (there are many elements that go into this...) [Typically 2 to 3 times, the amount of time of the Trading Chart]
3. Context Chart (this is where I take time OUT of the picture and focus on market structure)
1- On my trading chart, let's say it for AAPL, I have the Market Engine; which is tuned for a particular exchange; NYSE or the NASDAQ and it deals with level of effort. It gives a real time read on the effect of buying and selling on the exchange and maps it to price; and I've discovered some patterns on it.
2- The signal typically starts with the Mkt Eff Chart...because on there is a correlation, and it begins when there is a Gear Shift