Emerson College Polling Weekly | 2018 Mid-Terms: Recent Episodes

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Emerson College Polling Weekly is the official podcast for Emerson Polling for the 2018 mid-term elections. National pundit and pollster Prof. Spencer Kimball provides trusted polling results, updates and real-time analysis in the realms of public opinion at both local and national political levels. Available whereever you get your podcasts and http://www.clnsmedia.com

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5 battleground polls & Prof. Kimball 2018 midterm predictions

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With the Midterm Elections less than a week away, Emerson College Polling is monitoring 12 states this week.

Kansas

  • USC
    • 2nd district: Steve Watkins (R) 48%, Paul Davis (D) 41%, 8% undecided
    • 3rd district: Sharice Davids (D) 55%, Kevin Yoder (R-inc) 43%, 1% undecided
  • Governor
    • Kris Kobach (R) 44%, Laura Kelly (D) 43%, Greg Orman (I) 8%, 4% undecided

Ohio

  • Governor
    • Richard Cordray (D) 49%, Mike Dewine (R) 46%, 3% undecided
  • US Senate
    • Sherrod Brown (D-inc) 49%, Jim Renacci (R) 43%, 3% undecided

Texas

  • US Senate
    • Ted Cruz (R) 50%, Beto O’Rourke 47%, 2% undecided

Oregon

  • Governor
    • Kate Brown (D) 47% v. Knute Buehler (R) 42%

Connecticut

  • Governor
    • Ned Lamont (D) 46%, Bob Stefanowski (R) 39%, 5% undecided

Maine

  • Governor:
    • Janet Mills (D) 50%, Shawn Moody (R) 42%, undecided 4%
  • USC:
    • 2nd District: Bruce Poliquin (R-inc) 46%, Jared Golden (D) 47%, undecided 4%

New Hampshire

  • USC:
    • 1st District: Chris Pappas (D-inc) 48%, Eddie Edwards (R) 46%, undecided 5%
  • Governor:
    • Chris Sununu (R-inc) 51%, Molly Kelly (D) 43% , undecided 5%

Tennessee

  • US Senate

    • Marsha Blackburn (R) 52%, Phil Bredesen (D) 44%, 3% undecided
  • Governor

    • Bill Lee (R) 54%, Karl Dean (D) 41%, 3% undecided

West Virginia

  • US Senate
    • Joe Manchin (D-Inc) 47%, Patrick Morrisey (R) 42%, 8% undecided
  • USC
    • Carol Miller (R-inc) 52%, Richard Ojeda (D) 45%, 3% undecided

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Gary Johnson and the Libertarian miracle: Is it on the brink in New Mexico? Good news for Democrats across the board in Emerson Polling’s New Jersey, Michigan and New Mexico polls.  IG/Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Voters in New Jersey, Michigan and New Mexico are being called this week. New Mexico and Michigan each have two statewide races, and New Jersey only has one statewide election. Voters in Michigan are also being asked their thoughts on marijuana, Flint and redistricting.

NJ Senate: Bob Menendez (D-inc.) | Bob Hugin (R)

MI Governor: Gretchen Whitmer (D-inc.) | Bill Schuette (R)

MI Senate: Debbie Stabenow (D-inc.) | John James (R)

NM Governor: Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) | Steve Pearce (R)

NM Senate: Martin Heinrich (D-inc.) | Mick Rich (R) | Gary Johnson (Libertarian)

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Democrats expect big gains in California.  New e-Poll shows huge leads in US Congress generic ballot and Gavin Newsom for Governor.  But what about Senator Dianne Feinstein?

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The Senate race in California gives Republicans an opportunity to cast a protest vote for a Bernie-supported Democrat against the incumbent Senator Dianne Feinstein (D). Feinstein, who was first elected in 1992, faces State Senate Majority Leader Kevin de León, who has been pushing the race to the left. 

The Republicans have a hold on the statewide races in both Nevada and New Hampshire. Democrats have their eyes on the first district of New Hampshire in the race for an open seat between Chris Pappas (D) and Eddie Edwards (R).

NV Statewide Results:

Dean Heller (R-inc): 48% | Jacky Rosen (D): 41%

Adam Laxalt (R): 46% | Steve Sisolak (D): 41%

NH Statewide Results:

Chris Sununu (R-inc): 51% | Molly Kelly (D): 35%

...

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Democrats seem to be losing a grip on being able to take back the United States Senate.  Latest Emerson College e-Poll has data on #NVSen between Dean Heller & Jacky Rosen.  Also: #NVGov, #NHGov & US Congressional races in all districts in New Hampshire & Nevada.

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The Senate Race in Nevada is the only Republican-held Senate seat up for election in a state that Hillary Clinton won. The first district of New Hampshire is history in the making with either the first openly gay representative from that district, Chris Pappas (D), or the first black representative, Eddie Edwards (R). 

TX Senate: Ted Cruz (R-inc.) 47% | Beto O'Rourke (D) 42%

TX Gov: Greg Abbot (R-inc.) 53% | Lupe Valdez (D) 33%

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Ted Cruz is on the move in Texas in the latest Emerson College e-Poll.  Prof. Spencer Kimball breaks down how Cruz was able to make this charge and if O’Rourke has peaked.

BONUS: National poll on a universal basic income and whether US tax dollars should pay for tuition free college.

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Emerson poll finds that the Kansas second and third congressional districts are competitive with potential Democratic upsets. Paul Davis (D) from the second district and Sharice Davids (D) from the third are both in the lead but within the margin of error. 

Kansas Gov: Kris Kobach (R)-37%, Laura Kelly (D)-36%, Greg Orman-9%, Undecided-15%

Kansas 2nd: Paul Davis (D)-35%,Steve Watkins (R)-31%

Kansas 3rd: Sharice Davids (D)-47%, Kevin Yoder (R-inc)-41%

Texas Senate: Ted Cruz (R-inc) v Beto O'Rourke (D)

Texas Governor: Greg Abbott (R-inc) v Lupe Valdez (D) 

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New Show: Dead Man Talking

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KSGov a DEAD heat: Kris Kobach (R) v Laura Kelly (D) v Greg Orman (I)

  • KS01: Roger Marshall (R-inc) 44%, Alan LaPolice (D) 17%, 35% undecided

  • KS02: Paul Davis (D) 35%, Steve Watkins (R) 31%, 28% undecided

  • KS03: Sharice Davids (D) 47%, Kevin Yoder (R-inc) 41%, 10% undecided

  • KS04: Incumbent Ron Estes (R-inc) 50%, James Thompson (D) 26%, 20% undecided

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Donald Trump endorsement power - will it be on display in Kansas? Emerson pollster Spencer Kimball previews Monday’s Emerson e-Poll and discusses the possibility of Kansas slipping away from the Republicans.

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Senator Jeff Flake may be the decisive vote on confirming Brett Kavanaugh to the US Supreme Court.  Arizona e-Poll on how citizens believe Senator Jeff Flake should vote.

Arizona Senate: Martha McSally (R) v Kyrsten Sinema (D)

Arizona Gov: Doug Ducey (R-inc) v David Garcia (D)

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Democrats look to be competitive in states Trump won with ease, like Kansas. How successful can they be? 

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Patrick Morrisey challenges Senator Joe Manchin for a seat in the U.S. Senate.

Can popularity of Donald Trump save the GOP in WV?

e-Polls in all three congressional distrcits

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Kelley and Cole recap and review the 2018 primary season and take a look at the Democrats chances of taking the Senate. Is there an overarching narrative behind this years primaries? Even with a daunting map, can Democrats make gains in the Senate? 

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Rep. Steve King in a close race w/ challenger J.D. Shelton as Emerson Polling has e-Polls on all four Iowa congressional districts and the Governor race btwn Kim Reynolds & Fred Hubbell.

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A huge Democratic primary upset has occurred in Massachusetts. 10-term incumbent Mike Capuano has been beaten by Boston’s City Councilwoman Ayanna Pressley. Meanwhile, Democrats hope to make gains in Iowa, even after Trump won the state handily in 2016. 

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Labor Day National e-Poll with new surveys on:

0:07 The Donald Trump economy

3:03 Generic Ballot 2018 mid-terms & 2020 President

4:01 America’s favorite sport

BONUS: President Trump approval ratings fall

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Does the Florida Gubernatorial Primary results show that President Trump has complete control of his party? Can Progressive Democrats win general elections in swing states like Arizona and Florida against Trump style conservatives? Plus, a sneak peak of our upcoming national poll. Subscribe to Emerson College Polling Weekly on iTunes, Stitcher, and the CLNS Media Network mobile app.

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Virtual tie in latest Emerson College US Senate Texas e-Poll: Beto O’Rourke (D) v Ted Cruz (R-inc)

BONUS: Lupe Valdez (D) Gov. Greg Abbott (R-inc) #TXGov

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What impact will Donald Trump's immigration policy have on 2018 midterms? 

Plus, previewing Emerson's new Texas e-Poll set to release on Monday. 

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NM Governor: Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) v Steve Pearce (R)

NM: US Senate: Martin Heinrich (D) v Mick Rich (R) v Gary Johnson (L)

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What happened to the polling in Minnesota?

Donald Trump is dominating thus far in the GOP primaries in 2018

Previewing Emerson Polling’s North Dakota e-Poll

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Dem MN Gov Primary: Lori Swanson v Tim Walz v Erin Murphy

GOP MN Gov Primary: Tim Pawlenty v Jeff Johnson

US Senate: Amy Klobuchar (D) v Jim Newberger (R)

US Senate: Tina Smith (D) v Karin Housley (R)

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The Republicans salvaged #OH12 on Tuesday, yet was the biggest winner Donald Trump?

Also, a preview of the next Emerson College e-Poll in Minnesota

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Danny O’Connor: 47%

Troy Balderson: 46%

Undecided: 7%

Margin of error: 5% Subscribe to Emerson College Polling Weekly on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Network mobile app. Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Democrats continue their winning streak in recent Emerson College e-Polls in Wisconsin

0:22 Wisconsin issues: education funding & raising minimum wage

1:36 Republican Primary US Senate: Leah Vukmir v Kevin Nicholson

2:21 US Senate Ballot Question -- Tammy Baldwin (D)

3:36 Tony Evers (D) v Scott Walker (R) Subscribe to Emerson College Polling Weekly on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Network mobile app.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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e-Poll in Michigan  on Debbie Stabenow (D) v John James & Sandy Pensler representing the GOP [0:17]

1:09 Governor: Democratic primary led by Gretchen Whitmer and potential head-to-heads v Republicans led by Bill Schuette.

3:15 ANNOUNCEMENT

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UPSET ALERT: Democrats with another opportunity to zero in on US Senate seat.

Phil Bredesen (D) 43%

Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R) 37%

...also new polls on Republican & Democratic primaries for Governor of Tennessee as well as Trump statewide approval ratings and other misc. issues such as education and marijuana.

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🚨🚨 NATIONAL POLL on President Donald Trump approval ratings and:

Democrats v Republicans 2018 Mid-Term Generic Ballot

Economy: Better or Worse under Donald Trump ?

America’s biggest foreign adversary

...ant (a lot!) more.

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Emerson College Pollster & Professor Spencer Kimball gives five takeaways from the 2018 mid-term primaries thus far.

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NEW POLL from Emerson Polling on:

*Arizona US Senate

*Arizona Governor

*Statewide Congressional & generic ballot

PLUS: How the Democrats can pick-up not one, but BOTH Senate seats in the desert.

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Professor Spencer Kimball provides analysis halfway through the primary season for the 2018 mid-term elections.  Plus: What is the huge issue in Virginia that’s infuriating many Republicans?

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June 12 primary analysis in Nevada, Virginia, South Carolina, North Dakota, Maine.  Recapping June 5 primary and California Governor & Senate poll.

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Analysis for Tuesday, June 5 primaries in California, New Mexico, South Dakota, Montana, Alabama, New Jersey, Iowa, Mississippi

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Memorial Day 2018 Poll for the June 5 California primaries for Dianne Feinstein US Senate seat and Governor race.

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10% of the way through the primaries for the 2018 mid-term elections. Emerson Prof. Spencer Kimball provides analysis of the races thus far and previews Emerson Polling’s poll for Georgia and California primaries.

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Republicans & President Trump vehemently oppose Don Blankenship bid in West Virginia in an effort to prevent a redux of Roy Moore.  Emerson College professor Spencer Kimball recaps the May 8th primaries and previews the May 15 races in Idaho, Nebraska, Oregon and Pennsylvania.

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State primary previews on Emerson College Polling Weekly with US Senate races in West Virginia, Indiana and Ohio as well as Dennis Kucinich getting back in the game running for Governor of Ohio.

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New poll shows the GOP have a great chance to win Claire McCaskill’s Senate seat in Missouri.  Plus final reaction on Emerson’s pinpoint analysis in #AZ08.

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Still within the margin of error, Debbie Lesko pulls ahead of Hiral Tipirneni in Arizona.  Can the Democrats still pull off the upset?

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New poll from Emerson Polling shows a statistical dead heat between Debbie Lesko & Hiral Tipirneni for US Congress seat in Arizona.

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Full survey comparing China & the United States in the fields of video games and e-sports.

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Donald Trump favorability ratings will play a major role in any policy as it pertains to NAFTA.  What are they and also, what do Americans & Canadians think about NAFTA?

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Full data via Emerson Polling on marijuana legalization polls in TX, WI, MD, OH, NC

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United States & Canada trends both point towards an age divide instead of a party divide in terms of marijuana legalization.  How will this affect Donald Trump policy? Subscribe to Emerson College Polling Weekly on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Network Mobile App.

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Professor Spencer Kimball of Emerson College previews the public opinion of marijuana as well as the type of legalization, in the NAFTA countries and how it has changed since the 1980s.

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Network Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Emerson Polling releases its new poll: Can Conor Lamb defeat Rick Saccone in Pennsylvania and win the 18th Congressional district which Donald Trump won by 20 points in 2016?

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Drop episode for previewing Emerson Polling upcoming polls.

  • Special election in the 18th district in Pennsylvania
  • Marijuana March @EmersonPolling

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Special election in the 18th US Congressional District of Pennsylvania set for March 13, 2018.  Conor Lamb (D) v Rick Saccone (R)

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Ayanna Pressley is primarying Mike Capuano.  Will Massachusetts elect its first African-American congresswoman?

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Network mobile app. Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Drop episode for previewing Emerson Polling upcoming polls.

  • American public opinion on immigration as well as NAFTA.
  • Special election in the 18th district in Pennsylvania
  • Marijuana legalization

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Twitter @EmersonPolling

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Independence: Catalonia, Spain and a possible secession plan in the state of California?

0:44 POLL: Catalonia Independence

2:29 Could California secede?

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The key to a victory by the Democratic Party over the Republicans will not just be showing up -- it will be enthusiasm.  Here’s where everyone stands.

0:37 Republican & Democrat enthusiasm

2:29 Marijuana Legalization in 2018 Subscribe to Emerson College Polling Weekly on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Network mobile app. Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Race relations in the United States of America on MLK Day -- have they gotten worse since the ascendancy of Donald Trump ?

0:14 President Trump mental state

2:29 Marijuana legalization

4:40 2020 Democrats

6:36 Race relations poll questions

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Are we lined up for a Democrat landslide ? Or can the Republicans hang on and maybe even gain this November in the all-important 2018 United States Mid-Term Elections ?

0:44 Where mid-terms stand in January 2018

2:10 Previewing Governor races

4:49 Are Democrats a lock to retake the House?

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Should and will the United States legalize marijuana ? Public opinion and momentum says yes but what are the other options ?

0:28 Question design

2:52 Political impact

4:47 Previewing 2018 mid-terms

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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How did Emerson Polling collect data in 2017 and what potential methodology changes will there be for 2018 US elections ?

0:29 In-depth methodology of Emerson College

1:44 The BEST method

3:51 New Year’s Day podcast

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Republicans end up losing a pivotal US Senate seat in Alabama.  What happened in the latest Emerson poll?

0:47 Lack of Republican turnout

2:11 Lessons for Emerson College Polling

3:15 Christmas Preview

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One day to go before the special election for a seat in the United States senate.  Emerson Polling results on Judge Roy Moore v Doug Jones

0:49 RESULTS

1:41 Power of Donald Trump Endorsement

3:33 Previewing 2018 mid-terms Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Will Republican Roy Moore lose the US Senate Special Election for the Alabama seat against Democrat Doug Jones ?

INTRO: Impact of Lee Busby entry

0:43 Latest Emerson College Polling results

2:05 Prof. Spencer Kimball’s prediction Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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EXCLUSIVE New poll from Emerson College on the Alabama US Senate Special Election between Judge Roy Moore & Doug Jones

0:10 Poll results

1:38 Moore tightening the gap?

2:40 Donald Trump effect in Alabama

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Most popular footwear for the holidays and Amazon and its impact of shopping at stores.

0:24 Most popular footwear

1:17 Do people still shop at stores?

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Polling New York and New York City following the terrorist attacks on whether Donald Trump should cut a deal with Senator Chuck Schumer, Kirsten Gillibrand & Democrats.

0:21 Do New Yorkers feel Democrats should deal with President Trump?

2:01 Gillibrand favorability

3:22 Sanctuary cities & next poll

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Will Republican Roy Moore lose the US Senate Special Election for the Alabama seat against Democrat Doug Jones ? Latest Emerson College Polling results

0:36 How Democrats swept Election Tuesday

1:43 Impact of Moore allegations

2:29 RESULTS

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Will Democrat Ralph Northam hold off Republican Ed Gillespie and become Virginia Governor?

0:49 Importance of Virginia election

2:05 Spencer Kimball’s 2017 Election Tuesday predictions

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Negative Sanctuary Cities campaign ads have flooded the airwaves in New Jersey.  Can Kim Guadagno overtake Phil Murphy for Governor ?

0:44 Emerson College Polling results

2:11 Are Guadagno’s negative ads having bad effect?

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Boston, MA is featured in this week’s poll from Emerson College Polling.  Is President Trump viewed more unfavorably in the Hub than Roger Goodell ?

0:33 Donald Trump v Roger Goodell

1:52 Exclusive poll results on 2017 Mayoral Election btwn Marty Walsh & Tito Jackson

2:41 Which Boston pro sports franchise is most likely to win a title?

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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National polls on President Donald Trump’s job approval ratings, United States foreign policy and which country Americans view as the biggest national threat, as well as previewing the potential Democratic ticket to challenge Trump in 2020.

0:22 NEW Donald Trump Job Approval Ratings

1:41 More trustworthy: President Trump or Mainstream Media

2:33 Which hostile enemy do Americans fear most?

3:45 Democratic Party Presidential Poll for 2020

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Poll results from Emerson College Polling on Virginia Gubernatorial 2017 Election between Lt. Governor Ralph Northam & Ed Gillespie.

1:22 Professor Spencer Kimball w/ Emerson Polling Virginia results

2:08 How does 2013 election impact 2017?

3:17 Preview of President Donald Trump approval ratings

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Analysis from Professor Spencer Kimball on the latest Emerson College Polling Society poll for the 2017 New Jersey Gubernatorial Election.

1:07 Prof. Spencer Kimball w/ exclusive polling results

2:18 Kim Guadagno closer to Phil Murphy than expected

2:53 Will Senator Bob Menendez retire?

3:47 Next Emerson College poll release on Virginia Gubernatorial Election

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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EXCLUSIVE results from the latest Emerson College Polling Society poll on the Alabama GOP Primary for Jeff Sessions US Senate seat.  Senator Luther Strange v Judge Roy Moore

1:11 Professor Kimball on undecided voters impact

2:56 Is Moore a lock?

4:04 Next Emerson College poll release on New Jersey 2017 Governor race

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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NEW POLL RELEASE: Emerson College Polling Society on Boston Mayor race between Marty Walsh and Tito Jackson.

1:07 Prof. Spencer Kimball w/ exclusive polling results

2:34 Can Tito Jackson upset Mayor Marty Walsh ?

3:40 Next Emerson College poll release on Alabama US Senate Republican primary

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Latest Emerson College Polling Society poll for the Alabama US Senate Special Election Republican Primary between US Senator Luther Strange and Judge Roy Moore.

0:57 Poll Results

1:49 Keys to victory for Strange & Moore

3:04 Are Republicans a lock in general election for US Senate seat?

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Larry H. Russell of CLNS Media with updates on the upcoming Alabama Republican Primary US Senate poll and a public service announcement on behalf of the Emerson College Polling Society and the Emerson College Polling Weekly Podcast.

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Pre-Election polling seemed to create impressions that Hillary Clinton would easily defeat Donald Trump to become President of the United States.  Professor Spencer Kimball on his research paper “2016 Presidential Polling; A Sub-Standard Performance”

1:07 What happened w/ polling in 2016?

3:00 Best methods in past US election cycle

4:34 Best & worst polls in 2016

6:29 Next Emerson College poll release

Emerson College Polling Weekly is available on iTunes, Stitcher and the CLNS Media Mobile App.  Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Instant analysis on the results of the 8/15 Alabama US Senate Special Election Primary and the upcoming runoff of September 26th w/ Professor Spencer Kimball.

1:59 Donald Trump Alabama Approval

3:35 Mo Brooks Endorsement of Luther Strange or Roy Moore

3:55 Doug Jones Wins Democrat Primary

5:00 Gubernatorial Preview

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Alabama Special Election Republican & Democrat primary poll results as well as Donald Trump and Jeff Sessions approval ratings from Professor Kimball and the Emerson College Polling Society.  Powered by the CLNS Media Network. Twitter: @EmersonPolling

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Professor Spencer Kimball of the Emerson College Polling Society previews the Republican Primary for Jeff Sessions US Senate seat in the state of Alabama & discusses the keys for Luther Strange, Mo Brooks and the seven other candidates.  Powered by the CLNS Media Network. Twitter: @EmersonPolling