Unconventional Knowledge: Recent Episodes
Geopolitical Intelligence Services
This is “Unconventional Knowledge”, where we look at one event and ask an expert to explain what journalists are missing. Information is an iceberg, and most often we are only shown the tip. We want to bring our listeners the whole picture. That’s why every episode, we reach out to a different expert from Geopolitical Intelligence Services and ask them to answer one question in their specific area of expertise.
In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, GIS managing editor Andrew Kureth speaks with historian Steve Davies about whether Andy Burnham’s premiership marks a genuine political reset for Britain.
The discussion looks at Burnham’s vision of a “productive state,” reform of Britain’s institutions, devolution, energy policy and the fiscal pressures facing his government. Davies also examines what Burnham could mean for relations with the EU, the United States and NATO.
A look at whether Burnham can fundamentally reshape Britain, or whether institutional inertia and economic reality will produce more of the same.
After 50 days of protests and roadblocks, Bolivia’s new president has divided the opposition and restored traffic. An analysis by Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
German industry has emerged from each successive crisis on a weaker growth path, with output today having returned to its mid-2000s level. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
The Russian war on Ukraine is sparking Nordic-Baltic-B9 ties that strengthen security, arms cooperation and regional industrial renewal.
An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Washington has pulled Venezuela into its orbit, unlocking oil exports, sanctions relief and mineral access even as the political transition stalls.
An analysis by Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
The prospect of Greenlandic independence introduces uncertainty into long-term U.S. defense planning at sea and in space.
An analysis by Henrik Larsen. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Ukraine’s drones flipped the war’s balance of power, striking deep into Russia’s logistics and industry and creating a fleeting operational advantage.
An analysis by Paul Schwennesen. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Domestic power struggles are altering Taiwan’s security outlook while Beijing expands political influence campaigns.
An analysis by Junhua Zhang. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Ukrainian attacks inside Russia and firmer Western support have upended the balance. This new pressure could lead Moscow to reconsider a path to negotiations. Comment by Prince Michael of Liechtenstein. Read the full comment here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Africa could profit economically and geopolitically from boosting energy exports, yet structural weaknesses may prevent windfall gains.
An analysis by Carlota Ahrens Teixeira. Read the full report here.
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Pakistan is capitalizing on its military ties with Saudi Arabia and Turkiye to gain strategic influence amid Middle East rivalries and economic trade-offs.
An analysis by Husain Haqqani. Read the full report here.
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The decision shifts the balance within OPEC and could have an outsized impact on smaller producers.
An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Post-Cold War integration increased prosperity but did not eliminate rivalry. Emerging powers and strategic risks are driving a prolonged transition. An analysis by Eka Tkeshelashvili. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Attacks on Amazon’s cloud facilities in the Gulf underscore how data centers have moved from digital infrastructure to contested strategic assets. An analysis by Henrique Schneider. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
China’s ties with Iran are based on utility – and if the costs rise too high, Beijing could set Tehran aside. An analysis by Aleksandra Gadzala Tirziu. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Only sustained, coordinated regional pressure can bring down the Iranian regime and end the turbulence it foments across the Middle East. Comment by Prince Michael of Liechtenstein. Read the full comment here.
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Prediction markets increasingly outperform traditional forecasting by monetizing collective intelligence amid declining institutional trust.An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Mineral-producing nations are turning the shortcomings of the G7 and BRICS into bargaining power.
An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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A new U.S.-China framework aims to contain tensions rather than eliminate them.
An analysis by Riley Walters. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Without policy reform and African cooperation, anti-immigration sentiment will remain a crisis for South Africa.
An analysis by Ralph Mathekga. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Armenia’s warming relations with Europe, Turkiye and Azerbaijan are both a product and a driver of fading Russian influence in the South Caucasus.
An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
OpenAI’s evolution reveals why governing transformative AI increasingly demands institutions beyond markets and governments alone.
An analysis by Uri Gabai. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
The Hormuz crisis revealed LNG supply vulnerabilities, but global gas markets are poised for expansion, driven by improved diversification and energy security.
An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
The NATO summit in Ankara delivered quiet success, spotlighting Europe’s growing reliance on Turkiye’s military muscle and a renewed transatlantic bond. Comment by Prince Michael of Liechtenstein. Read the full comment here.
This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Central banks were created to protect the value of money. Instead, they are eroding citizens’ prosperity. Comment by Prince Michael of Liechtenstein. Read the full comment here.
This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
UK politics will be reshaped by identity, demographics, legal paralysis and fiscal strain, shifting voters into nationalist, cosmopolitan and liberal blocs.
An analysis by Steve Davies. Read the full report here.
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This episode was created using Google NotebookLM, an AI tool, based on GIS reports, and features synthetically generated voices.
Mali’s escalating crisis reveals how state failure, insurgency and resource competition increasingly intertwine.
An analysis by Federica Saini Fasanotti. Read the full report here.
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Oil and gas have long powered Algeria’s stability. President Tebboune’s New Algeria seeks bold diversification, but success may remain elusive.
An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the full report here.
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The Iran conflict and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have driven oil prices higher, putting fresh pressure on government budgets across Southeast Asia.
An analysis by Adinda Khaerani Epstein. Read the full report here.
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Unable to match Western and Chinese spacepower, Russia is pursuing a path of asymmetric orbital deterrence.
An analysis by Lamont Colucci. Read the full report here.
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Turkiye will use the NATO summit in Ankara to strengthen its place in Europe’s evolving defense architecture.
An analysis by Alper Coşkun. Read the full report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, GIS managing editor Andrew Kureth speaks with Vahan Roth, CEO of Swissgrams AG, about artificial intelligence, universal basic income and the future of work.
The discussion examines why AI has revived the debate over UBI, and why Roth remains skeptical that automation will create the abundance its supporters expect. He argues that finite resources, energy and capital still matter, even in an AI-driven economy.
The episode also explores the role of work beyond income, from structure and purpose to social connection, savings and investment. Roth warns that UBI could weaken these incentives and increase dependence on the state.
The conversation closes by looking at how governments may respond to AI disruption, with Roth arguing that deregulation, reskilling and entrepreneurship would be better answers than higher welfare spending or new AI taxes.
A skeptical look at whether universal basic income can solve AI disruption, or whether it ignores basic economic reality.
AI-driven automation has revived calls for UBI, yet resource limits, inflation risks and mixed human responses challenge its feasibility and benefits.
An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the full report here.
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Strip away comforting illusions, and the hard truth is that prosperity demands productivity, not politics.
An analysis by Enrico Colombatto. Read the full report here.
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Russia could well test NATO by attacking Lithuania, but Vilnius is better prepared than most.
An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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Beijing is fusing ancient strategy with modern technology to turn space into the next geostrategic battleground.
An analysis by Lamont Colucci. Read the full report here.
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U.S. impatience with NATO burden-sharing and its pivot to the Indo-Pacific is driving NATO 3.0.
An analysis by Emmanuel Martin. Read the full report here.
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Regional wars are pushing Kazakhstan into a pivotal role that may reshape Eurasian energy and trade routes.
An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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Central bank digital currencies will shape the future of money, but they may not resolve the problems of the past.
Read the full report here.
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Drone diplomacy is expanding Kyiv’s geopolitical influence and leading to new security and strategic partnerships with Arab Gulf states.
An analysis by Giorgio Cafiero. Read the full report here.
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Space is key to great power rivalry, as states compete for access to and control over space infrastructure that influences military, economic and informational leverage.
An analysis by Lamont Colucci. Read the full report here.
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The Global Progressive Mobilization summit in April united leaders from 40 countries to counter Trump policies and deepen Europe-Latin America ties.
An analysis by Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the full report here.
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African geopolitics is rapidly transforming amid intensifying global competition for resources, connectivity and security.
An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the full report here.
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Albania has become a revealing test case for the balance of influence between Brussels and Washington in the Western Balkans.
An analysis by Klaus Wölfer. Read the full report here.
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AI can personalize learning and streamline teaching, but risks weakening core skills.
An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the full report here.
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Nearly 10 years after Brexit, the UK and EU are reassessing their economic and security cooperation.
An analysis by Steve Davies. Read the full report here.
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Global fertility has plunged to record lows, shifting attention from overpopulation to a potential shortage of workers, taxpayers and innovators. An analysis by Diane Katz. Read the full report here.
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The World Cup is not detached from geopolitics. Yet it also preserves channels of engagement even when political relations deteriorate.
An analysis by Ian Oxnevad. Read the full report here.
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The Danish Model directly funds Ukrainian arms production – speeding deliveries, strengthening domestic industry and catalyzing allied and Gulf partnerships.
An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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Strait of Hormuz tensions and sanctions have pushed oil trade toward yuan, stablecoins and alternative rails, threatening the dollar’s global primacy.
An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the full report here.
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Modern peer review safeguards scientific quality yet is increasingly shaped by incentives, political priorities and funding challenges.
An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the full report here.
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AI will likely boost productivity while gradually transforming jobs and labor markets over time.
An analysis by Adam Michel. Read the full report here.
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Beyond energy, traditional economic partnerships are under strain from surging prices of fertilizer for agriculture to helium for semiconductors.
An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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President Trump is confronting China’s BRI influence in the Western Hemisphere, targeting Venezuelan oil and Panama’s port control.
An analysis by Junhua Zhang. Read the full report here.
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The U.S. president’s tariff strategy reshapes global economics while creating uncertainty around trade, technology and alliances.
An analysis by Enrico Colombatto. Read the full report here.
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What began as competition over innovation and market dominance is evolving into a struggle over strategic control.
An analysis by Uri Gabai. Read the full report here.
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The 2026 elections may intensify political divisions but will fall short of delivering major policy or governance changes nationwide.
An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the full report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, Prince Michael of Liechtenstein speaks with Adam Michel, Director of Tax Policy Studies at the Cato Institute, about artificial intelligence, productivity and the future of work.
The discussion looks at AI through the broader history of technological change, arguing that new technologies have usually made workers more productive rather than simply replacing them. It examines how AI could reshape sectors such as software, law, writing and administration, and why workers and companies that learn to use it will gain an advantage.
The episode also explores the risks of AI enabling more bureaucracy and government control, especially in heavily regulated economies. Michel argues that societies will need clear limits on state power and more room for “permissionless innovation.”
The conversation closes with a warning against seeing AI as a solution to public debt, growth can help, but governments still need to control spending.
A focused look at whether AI will drive prosperity, or reinforce the bureaucratic systems already holding economies back.
The U.S.-backed postwar security order is fraying, forcing Europe to reconcile decades of social spending and free riding with the urgent need to rearm.
An analysis by Mojmír Hampl. Read the full report here.
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Post-crisis monetary frameworks are here to stay, weakening policy transmission, complicating inflation control and blurring institutional mandates.
An analysis by Nicolas Cachanosky. Read the full report here.
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Beijing’s new economic strategy reflects a broad shift from market-driven growth toward state-directed technological and geopolitical competition.
An analysis by Henrique Schneider. Read the full report here.
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Mexico’s security outlook is shaped by fragmented, adaptable cartels embedding deeper into local economies amid rising U.S. fentanyl pressure.
An analysis by Armando Regil Velasco. Read the full report here.
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A new anti-cartel coalition is intensifying military cooperation in the Western Hemisphere, pressuring Mexico to support improved regional security dynamics.
An analysis by Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the full report here.
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Ports and trade corridors in the Red Sea are a central arena of competition between global and regional powers.
An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the full report here.
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With Viktor Orban ousted, Peter Magyar must now deliver EU funds, tackle corruption and steer Hungary through costly energy and social reforms.
An analysis by Krisztina Koenen. Read the full report here.
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Iran’s competing power centers are shaping negotiations, escalation risks and regional strategic decisions.
An analysis by Amatzia Baram. Read the full report here.
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Global interstate conflicts now intersect with U.S. extremism, immigration disputes and unconventional security vulnerabilities.
An analysis by Ian Oxnevad. Read the full report here.
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Having become indispensable to Russia’s military resilience during the Ukraine conflict, Chinese technology is poised to do the same for Iran.
An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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Singapore strategically navigates rivalries, maintaining economic ties with China and security cooperation with the U.S. while pursuing its national interests.
An analysis by Adinda Khaerani Epstein. Read the full report here.
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China’s state-backed automotive expansion is redrawing global competition, forcing both emerging and developed markets to adapt.
An analysis by Junhua Zhang. Read the full report here.
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African nations look to China for stability after U.S. trade disruptions complicate partnerships and economic strategies.
An analysis by Ralph Mathekga. Read the full report here.
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Russia’s withdrawal from key conflict zones leaves the U.S. with selective gains, while China and Turkiye are stepping up to expand their influence.
An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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Unmanned systems reshape modern combat, driving innovation and countermeasures, yet still fall short of decisive battlefield victories.
An analysis by Rob de Wijk. Read the full report here.
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The Bucharest Nine’s expansion could reshape Europe’s security and economy – if Poland leads, the U.S. engages and members overcome political fragmentation.
An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the full report here.
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Illicit gold financing networks prolong the Sudan war, while the neighbors who can help most are embroiled in their own disagreements.
An analysis by Carlota Ahrens Teixeira. Read the full report here.
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What appears to be a transatlantic rift is, in fact, a return to America’s original hemispheric identity. An analysis by Ian Oxnevad. Read the full report here.
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The Iran conflict is disrupting India’s energy supplies and remittances, forcing New Delhi to balance ties with Iran, the U.S., Israel and Gulf states. An analysis by Aparna Pande. Read the full report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, Andrew Kureth speaks with Dr. Aparna Pande about how India is navigating the geopolitical fallout of the Iran war.
The discussion outlines India’s strategy of strategic autonomy and multi-alignment, and how growing instability in the Middle East is testing its ability to balance relations across competing powers. With deep energy dependence and critical trade routes at stake, a prolonged conflict could force India to shift from neutrality toward more explicit alignment.
The episode also examines regional ripple effects, from Pakistan and Afghanistan to shifting global partnerships, as well as the economic consequences for India, including energy pressures, inflation, and supply chain risks.
A focused look at whether India can maintain its balancing strategy, or will be pushed into clearer geopolitical choices.
In Ukraine’s drone workshops, even the fiber-optic spool’s hollow core becomes vital, highlighting a strategic split: precision versus volume in jammed skies.
An analysis by Paul Schwennesen. Read the full report here.
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Left-wing governments throughout the region are losing voter confidence after years of mismanagement.
An analysis by Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the full report here.
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The greenback’s global reserve currency status could be strengthened by recent legislation anchoring its role through stablecoin digital assets.
An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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China shares Iran’s anti-U.S. resentment, but Beijing is more self-focused.
An analysis by Junhua Zhang. Read the full report here.
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Regulatory capture warps rules to favor powerful interests, creating trade-offs between expertise and democratic accountability.
An analysis by Emmanuel Martin. Read the full report here.
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Ethiopians vote in general elections in June, deciding on the country’s national policy, regional strategy and whether controversial reforms will continue.
An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the full report here.
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After a short, scammy life, private equity is finally in terminal decline.
An analysis by Henrique Schneider. Read the full report here.
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Emerging global fragmentation enables middle powers to navigate alliances and assert greater independence.
An analysis by Alper Coşkun. Read the full report here.
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Saudi Arabia’s strikes on the UAE-backed STC and the group’s subsequent dissolution mark a turning point in the intensifying rivalry over Yemen.
An analysis by Giorgio Cafiero. Read the full report here.
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Cuts in both direct and indirect Russian gas supplies expose the EU to a complex set of energy security risks, especially from the volatile Middle East.
An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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While Portugal’s presidential election produced a clear winner, rising support for the national-conservative right suggests the balance of power is shifting.
An analysis by Jaime Nogueira Pinto. Read the full report here.
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Sporadic clashes highlight ineffective ceasefires for historical disputes, ASEAN’s lack of agency and a likelihood external actors will shape the region’s outcomes. An analysis by Adinda Khaerani Epstein. Read the full report here.
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China has surpassed Russia as Tajikistan’s main trading partner, but Moscow’s declining security role poses a risky dilemma for Beijing.
An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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Another coup has derailed Guinea-Bissau’s fragile democracy, with the military junta removing President Embalo and freezing the electoral process.
An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the full report here.
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Diplomatic tensions between Pretoria and Washington continue to worsen, undermining cooperation and isolating Africa’s largest economy.
An analysis by Ralph Mathekga. Read the full report here.
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Belarus remains closely tied to Russia despite limited U.S. engagement, with modest prospects for strategic realignment in the near term.
An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the full report here.
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Gen Z’s pandemic scars, social-media isolation and disordered home life have eroded trust in the American social contract, increasing disaffection and extremism. An analysis by Diane Katz. Read the full report here.
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Brazil, under President Lula, is strengthening ties with China and other partners to diversify trade and achieve strategic autonomy amid U.S. tariffs. An analysis by John Polga-Hecimovich. Read the full report here.
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Strategic geopolitical realignment, violence and crackdowns are hallmarks of Russia-aligned junta leadership in the Sahel. An analysis by Federica Saini Fasanotti. Read the full report here.
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Overregulation weakens European innovation, raising costs, reducing quality and limiting competitiveness globally. An analysis by Henrique Schneider. Read the full report here.
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A growing lack of religious literacy in the West is distorting policy decisions, from geopolitical strategy to internal social cohesion. An analysis by Christiaan Alting von Geusau. Read the full report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, Prince Michael of Liechtenstein speaks with Karl-Peter Schwarz about the growing tension between democracy and freedom of expression in the West.
Starting from a warning by Pope Leo XIV, the conversation explores whether shrinking space for dissent reflects a deeper shift in how “liberal democracy” is understood and applied. Schwarz argues that, since the end of the Cold War, democratic systems have expanded beyond governance into shaping culture, language, and acceptable opinion.
Drawing on examples from Germany and Austria, the discussion examines the political and societal consequences, from constrained public discourse to the rise and radicalization of opposition movements.
A focused look at whether today’s democracies are strengthening themselves, or quietly limiting the freedoms they were meant to protect.
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Israel’s recognition of Somaliland has handed Somali President Mohamud a chance to rally domestic support and accelerate his centralization drive. An analysis by Jihad Mashamoun. Read the full report here.
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A sharp disruption to oil supply has pushed prices higher, but the market response so far suggests a relatively contained reaction. An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the full report here.
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President Museveni’s rule has proven resilient, but mounting pressures are likely to make the status quo harder to sustain over time.
An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the full report here.
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Ports in the Mediterranean have become strategic sovereignty tools – deepwater hubs, investments and military presence reshape power, trade and alliances.
An analysis by Pierre Boussel. Read the full report here.
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The U.S. is advancing Pax Silica and redefining geopolitical order around compute, technological chokepoints and dependence.
An analysis by Uri Gabai. Read the full report here.
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Trump’s Greenland gambit exposes U.S. Arctic weaknesses, spurring Russian-Chinese gains, straining NATO ties and forcing a rush for ice-capable fleet routes.An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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Southeast Asia faces surging energy demand, climate risks and rising protectionism, threatening clean-tech supply chains, cooperation and affordable transitions. An analysis by Prashanth Parameswaran. Read the full report here.
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Governments are stockpiling resources, restricting exports, subsidizing domestic mining and blocking foreign acquisitions of strategic assets. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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Global shifts may challenge the dollar, but no credible rival has emerged to displace its reserve dominance. An analysis by Enrico Colombatto. Read the full report here.
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The EU is gradually shifting toward a form of regulatory protectionism that risks raising prices and compromising growth. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the full report here.
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Collapsing paradigms of social cohesion and rules-based geopolitics, confronted with the new reality of AI, create a polycrisis. An analysis by Uri Gabai. Read the full report here.
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Indigenous communities increasingly influence energy, security and electora dynamics across the Americas. An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the full report here.
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Structural costs, geopolitics and looser monetary legacies leave Europe trapped in low growth and moderate inflation as the ECB withdraws emergency support. An analysis by Elisabeth Krecké. Read the full report here.
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Myanmar’s rare earth deposits have drawn international attention, but multiple challenges stand in the way of translating this potential into a stable supply chain.
An analysis by Prashanth Parameswaran. Read the full report here.
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Europe eyes Turkmen gas as a strategic solution with growing urgency.
An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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Cost-of-living concerns persist as partisan economic narratives dominate politics despite strong growth and rising incomes.
An analysis by Diane Katz. Read the full report here.
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After the Supreme Leader’s death, the Revolutionary Guards are holding firm and steering Iran toward escalation and continued repression.
An analysis by Amatzia Baram. Read the full report here.
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Russia has increased its hybrid and military activities on and around Svalbard to secure its strategic position in the European Arctic.
An analysis by Henrik Larsen. Read the full report here.
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President Donald Trump’s Indo-Pacific policy shifts from security to economic priorities.
An analysis by Bruce Klingner. Read the full report here.
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The Minneapolis shootings renewed scrutiny of ICE, highlighting its post-9/11 mission creep, partisan clashes over immigration and federal-local tensions.
An analysis by Ian Oxnevad. Read the full report here.
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As cryptocurrencies mature, Bitcoin is consolidating its position as a reserve asset, while altcoins are diverging into riskier niches with different uses.
An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the full report here.
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Chile’s institutional checks and balances will constrain how far Mr. Kast can advance his agenda, but voters will expect tangible change. An analysis by John Polga-Hecimovich. Read the full report here.
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Central Asian nations are harnessing their strengths in tech, trade and transport, increasing their collective bargaining power on the global stage. An analysis by Eka Tkeshelashvili. Read the full report here.
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South Asia is grappling with geopolitical tensions, political unrest and demographic pressures, all of which are straining the region’s stability.An analysis by Husain Haqqani. Read the full report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, Andrew Kureth speaks with Alejandro Peña Esclusa about the unraveling of the authoritarian power network that has shaped Latin America for more than two decades.
The discussion centers on Venezuela’s fragile transition after the removal of Nicolás Maduro, examining whether recent developments signal a genuine break with the past or a controlled reset by the same criminal structures. They assess early indicators to watch, from the withdrawal of Cuban security forces and the release of political prisoners to the prospects for elections and economic stabilization.
From Caracas, the conversation widens to Havana and Bogotá. Peña Esclusa explains how Cuba’s dependence on Venezuelan oil and security cooperation has become a strategic liability, why Washington now views Havana as a national security threat, and how pressure on Venezuela is reverberating through Colombia’s political system ahead of critical elections.
The episode also explores the weakening of the São Paulo Forum, the future of leftist coordination in the region, and the limits of U.S. influence in rolling back China’s economic and strategic footprint across Latin America.
A clear-eyed discussion of power, security, and regime durability, offering concrete indicators for what may determine whether the region stabilizes or enters a new phase of turbulence in the months ahead.
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Since 2022, sweeping Western sanctions have reshaped but not halted Russia’s global oil exports. An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the full report here.
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Governments use stablecoins and CBDCs to generate demand for debt and embed controls that postpone fiscal pain while avoiding market discipline. An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the full report here.
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Relations between Riyadh and the White House are warming, driven by different but complementary objectives.
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Russia’s war in Ukraine elevates Kyrgyzstan as a China-backed hub for sanctions avoidance, reshaping global trade transparency norms. An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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Venezuela’s interim leader, Delcy Rodriguez, is guiding the country under U.S. oversight following Maduro’s capture, with amnesty and oil reforms underway. An analysis by Alejandro Pena Esclusa. Read the full report here.
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Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions lead to military threats and economic risks, despite fragile, indirect talks. An analysis by Giorgio Cafiero. Read the full report here.
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As a two-year consumer and liquidity-fueled boom petered out in 2025, the economy has transitioned into a complex mix of resilience and stagnation. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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Once privacy-focused and decentralized, crypto has become heavily regulated and institutionalized – trading autonomy for liquidity, clarity and mass adoption. An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the full report here.
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China’s military purges replace institutional expertise with personal rule, increasing fragility and risks of miscalculation and conflict. An analysis by Ian Oxnevad. Read the full report here.
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Despite U.S.-India trade strains and China’s assertiveness, strengthened bilateral ties fuel optimism for the Quad’s revival and deeper cooperation. An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the full report here.
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Post-Cold War nuclear stability is eroding as treaties lapse, proliferation spreads and tactical deterrence gains prominence in a multipolar world. An analysis by Rudolf G. Adam. Read the full report here.
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The Balkan state is experiencing internal political gridlock, while Western and Eastern actors vie for influence in the ethnically and religiously divided country. An analysis by Klaus Wölfer. Read the full report here.
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President Trump urged oil giants to invest billions in Venezuela, but companies cite weak rule of law and entrenched resource nationalism as dealbreakers. An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the full report here.
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As scarcity grows, rivers are turning from lifelines into instruments of power and conflict. An analysis by Colleen Graffy. Read the full report here.
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Asian states with significant mineral reserves are recalibrating the terms under which their resources are extracted, processed and exported. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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Azerbaijan is using reconstruction and gas deals in Syria to expand its influence and position itself as a potential mediator among regional rivals. An analysis by Giorgio Cafiero. Read the full report here.
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Across Europe, governing parties are facing mounting pressure as social discontent undermines confidence in liberal-democratic rule. An analysis by Karl-Peter Schwarz. Read the full report here.
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China has become a leading partner for Latin America, boosting trade, infrastructure and strategic influence, though it now faces increasing U.S. pushback. An analysis by Alejandro Pena Esclusa. Read the full report here.
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Investments in AI companies have surged, but profitability remains out of reach for many, prompting concerns about future business models. An analysis by Henrique Schneider. Read the full report here.
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A renewal of nuclear weapons testing exposes mounting risks, collapsing treaties and a new era of proliferation shaping the second Cold War. An analysis by Stanislaw Koziej. Read the full report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, Prince Michael of Liechtenstein speaks with Professor Christoph Frei about the global shift away from Western dominance.
The conversation explores why this transition is historically natural yet deeply unsettling for Europe. They discuss Europe’s loss of strategic agency, its reliance on regulation over power, and the widening gap between European self-perception and how the world increasingly views it.
They also examine the pragmatism of the so-called “global majority”, their positioning between major powers, and their rejection not of Western values, but of hypocrisy and moralizing without capability.
A sober, forward-looking discussion on power, realism, and Europe’s place in a world that no longer revolves around the West.
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Finland’s NATO membership transforms security dynamics on the alliance’s northeastern flank. An analysis by Stefand Hedlund. Read the full report here.
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Private trading venues mitigate automated, predatory technologies while improving the execution, liquidity and resilience of securities exchanges globally. An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the full report here.
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Moscow seeks influence in Southeast Asia but faces economic, geopolitical and perceptual limits constraining expansion. An analysis by Prashanth Parameswaran. Read the full report here.
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Modern universities are increasingly politicized, with freedom of values eroding and tenure reinforcing ideological conformity and jeopardizing open inquiry. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the full report here.
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Academic freedom, once the bedrock of universities, is facing internal threats as complacency and bureaucratization undermine independent thought and inquiry. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the full report here.
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Expanding Western sanctions are inadvertently fomenting alternative economic infrastructures. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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Europe’s burdensome rules and upward spending trajectory contrast with America’s deregulation and dynamism, widening the transatlantic economic divide. An analysis by Adam Michel. Read the full report here.
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With global energy demand on the rise, the fossil fuel-rich region seeks to expand its energy capacity to include renewable and nuclear sources. An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the full report here.
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The Gaza war tested Arab-Israeli normalization, yet strategic regional interests are prevailing under the umbrella of the Abraham Accords. An analysis by Pierre Boussel. Read the full report here.
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Ironically, President Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs have driven both Global Majority and Western nations to seek long-term strategic autonomy. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the full report here.
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The impeachment and congressional appointment of a new president only months before elections underscores the weakness of Peru’s executive branch. An analysis by John Polga-Hecimovich. Read the full report here.
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In contrast to the earlier transfer of power, the current transition places Madagascar under direct military rule. An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the full report here.
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Europe’s postwar welfare model is straining under crises, demographics, debt, eroding trust and the pressures of technological transformation. An analysis by Elisabeth Krecké. Read the full report here.
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Washington’s move from sanctions to force reshapes Venezuela’s oil outlook and long-term global market dynamics. An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the full report here.
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The latest wave of unrest has exposed deep structural weaknesses in the Iranian regime. An analysis by Amatzia Baram. Read the full report here.
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Moldova’s elections showcased a robust fight for democracy, defying pressures from the Kremlin and reaffirming its commitment to EU integration. An analysis by Eka Tkeshelashvili. Read the full report here.
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The European car industry is losing ground as regulation, protectionism and weak productivity collide with global competition, especially from China. An analysis by Enrico Colombatto. Read the full report here.
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Deepening fiscal stress, rigid centralization and political fragmentation undermine France’s capacity for effective governance reform. An analysis by Emmanuel Martin. Read the full report here.
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Middle Eastern powers cooperate when it suits them, while an enduring alliance for regional peace and prosperity requires sustained American stewardship. An analysis by Robert Silverman. Read the full report here.
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In a historic military operation, the U.S. has detained Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, raising questions about his regime’s future and regional stability. An analysis by Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the full report here.
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Russia has increased its engagement in Africa, focusing on military presence, energy and infrastructure to secure resources and counter Western influence. An analysis by Henrique Schneider. Read the full report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, GIS Managing Editor Andrew Kureth is joined by Prince Michael of Liechtenstein, founder and chairman of Geopolitical Intelligence Services, for a wide-ranging outlook on the forces shaping 2026.
They examine Europe’s deepening leadership crisis, strategic drift, and defense shortcomings, alongside the erosion of trust in democratic institutions and the dangerous habit of trading freedom for control. The conversation moves from Europe’s economic stagnation and overgrown bureaucratic states to the global consequences of debt, regulation, and declining productivity.
Looking beyond Europe, Prince Michael assesses the geopolitical fault lines ahead, from Ukraine and the Middle East to Africa’s underestimated strategic importance, supply-chain vulnerabilities, and the emerging arenas of conflict in space and the Arctic. They also explore how disruptive technologies, from AI to energy and biotechnology, are reshaping power, opportunity, and risk.
Despite the challenges, the episode closes on a cautiously optimistic note, highlighting innovation, entrepreneurship, and a renewed role for business as potential drivers of renewal in an increasingly fragmented world.
A sober, unsentimental, and forward-looking conversation to start the year, focused not on headlines, but on the deeper signals decision-makers need to understand.
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At a time of ideological exhaustion and social fragmentation, growing numbers of Europeans are rediscovering Christianity as a source of dignity and purpose. An analysis by Christiaan Alting von Geusau. Read the report here.
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Instead of focusing on the existing economic and social problems China is facing, strengthening manufacturing and exports has become Beijing’s overriding priority. An analysis by Junhua Zhang. Read the report here.
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The Trump administration’s fast-moving reforms are redefining the U.S. regulatory state. An analysis by Diane Katz. Read the report here.
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Four years after seizing power, Myanmar’s military is conducting phased elections it openly admits will exclude large parts of the country. An analysis by Prashanth Parameswaran. Read the report here.
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Russia holds its strongest position in the Black Sea region since 1991 and is poised to strengthen it further, especially if its war against Ukraine ends to its advantage. An analysis by Matt Boyse. Read the report here.
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Trump’s presidency showcases disruptive strategic methods that require observing actions rather than traditional policy frameworks. An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the full report here.
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Giorgia Meloni is emerging as Europe’s unexpectedly resilient leader, reshaping Italy’s politics and influencing continental dynamics. An analysis by Alberto Mingardi. Read the full report here.
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Germany faces economic strain, coalition instability and geopolitical uncertainty, yet decisive leadership still appears out of reach. An analysis by Andreas Rödder. Read the report here.
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Countries are rolling out digital identification schemes, but many citizens are protesting – and they may have a point. An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the full report here.
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Europe faces a challenging period ahead as it works toward decarbonization while reducing supply-chain risks from China. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the full report here.
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A deepening clash with Washington, rising violence and mounting economic strain have pushed Colombia into its most volatile moment in decades. An analysis by Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the report here.
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Until recently, the Albanese administration had been tentative in its dealings with President Trump, but will likely find common ground moving forward. An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the report here.
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Timor-Leste, a small nation heavily reliant on oil, finds itself in a delicate position, grappling with economic downturns and dwindling resources. An analysis by Jaime Nogueira Pinto. Read the report here.
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The Kuril Islands dispute, long a bilateral issue between Russia and Japan, is increasingly shaped by Moscow’s dependence on Beijing. An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the report here.
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The youth-led “Gen-Z 212” movement demands reforms in education and healthcare, as well as stronger anti-corruption measures. A report by Federica Saini Fasanotti. Read the full report here.
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A new 15-year defense strategy outlines India’s expansive naval modernization to counter growing threats from China and Pakistan. An analysis by James E. Fanell. Read the report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, GIS Managing Editor Andrew Kureth speaks with Dr. Paul Schwennesen, a GIS expert who has spent months embedded with Ukrainian forces on the frontlines.
From trenches and safe houses to drone factories and partisan networks, he offers a rare ground level view of how this war is really being fought. Together, they explore the strange duality of normal life and “hellscape” zero lines, Ukraine’s bottom up war effort that looks more like a nationwide startup than a classic army, and how cheap drones, improvisation and electronic warfare are rewriting the rules of modern conflict.
They also examine Russian weaknesses, the resilience of Ukrainian morale and what Western militaries must urgently learn if they want to keep up with this revolution in warfare.
💡 More insights from Dr. Paul Schwennesen
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The European Union is losing in a human resources race as global rivals outpace the bloc in attracting skilled talent. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the report here.
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The Visegrad Group faces diminishing influence as shifting interests and politics reshape Central Europe’s model for cooperation. A report by James Jay Carafano. Read the full text here.
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South Africa has withdrawn from the DRC peace mission, as regional fractures deepen. The U.S.-led deal highlights resource-driven geopolitics. An analysis by Ralph Mathekga. Read the report here.
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The Trump administration’s 2025 cybersecurity reset reduces federal oversight while sharpening its focus on foreign threats and critical technologies. An analysis by Frank Umbach. Read the report here.
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Factory-built reactors offer a scalable, low-carbon solution for climate and digital needs yet still face legacy challenges to nuclear deployment. An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the report here.
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A historic U.S.-mediated ceasefire in Gaza offers hope for peace, but regional dynamics and doubts about Hamas’s compliance challenge its fragile sustainability. An analysis by Robert Silverman. Read the report here.
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The industrial metal is trading at record-high prices as states aim to secure supply amid geopolitical rivalry and the green transition. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the report here.
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Ties between the two countries have warmed, but strategic priorities pull Washington toward India and the South Caucasus. An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the report here.
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Tariffs and shifting relations with Pakistan, along with uncertainties about the Quad, cast doubt on the once-robust U.S.-India partnership. An analysis by Aparna Pande. Read the full report here.
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Post-independence Angola has been defined by inequality, unrest and contested power. That may change. An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the report here.
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Once designed to protect economies from political influence, central banks have instead become political actors in their own right. An analysis by Enrico Colombatto. Read the report here.
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The decisive contests of the next decade will be won through persuasion, not coercion. An analysis by Uri Gabai. Read the report here.
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The intense rivalries, power struggles among militias and shifting regional dynamics are casting a shadow over the country’s prospects of ever achieving unity again. An analysis by Federica Saini Fasanotti. Read the report here.
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Once innovative and influential, the Netherlands is now gripped by stagnation amid political deadlock, economic pressures and a weakening international position. An analysis by Rob de Wijk. Read the report here.
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Despite Russian threats and Arctic tensions, Iceland stays cool and strategically strong, playing a crucial role in regional security. An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the report here.
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The Mattei Plan is strengthening Rome’s African partnerships and redefining Europe’s geopolitical role. An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the report here.
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What began as a scientific breakthrough has now become a complex security threat. An analysis by Karl-Peter Schwarz. Read the full report here.
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Ahead of elections, Dhaka is struggling to stabilize the political scene, revive the economy and manage strained relations with its neighbors. An analysis by Husain Haqqani. Read the report here.
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Washington’s strategic ambiguity toward China creates uncertainty for allies and adversaries. An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the report here.
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The Sao Paulo Forum, once a powerful left-wing Latin American political bloc, now struggles with corruption, criminal ties and waning influence. An analysis by Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the report here.
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The AI boom of today contains echoes of the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s – but does the tech match the hype? An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, H.S.H. Prince Michael of Liechtenstein speaks with Prof. Dr. Karl-Friedrich Israel, Professor of Economics. Together, they explore the deeper cause of Europe’s economic stagnation, which is not a lack of talent or skill, but a cultural mindset that chooses comfort over disruption. How can the old continent redefine its role in a new world and use its strengths strategically? Find out in this month’s episode.
💡 More insights from Prof. Dr. Karl-Friedrich Israel
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Lebanon’s plan to demilitarize Hezbollah by year-end could falter, risking renewed tensions with Israel and economic crisis. If enforced, it could spark civil unrest. An analysis by Amatzia Baram. Read the report here.
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The EU promotes itself as a global standard-bearer for values, but critics argue its regulations serve economic protectionism and entrench industry dominance. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the report here.
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Surging precious metal prices are not mere market fluctuations, but a fundamental repricing of long-term risk and strategic value in an increasingly fragmented world. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the report here.
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Military juntas, foreign mercenaries and resource rivalries now define the Sahel’s shifting geopolitical order. An analysis by Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the report here.
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India’s diplomacy increasingly hinges on simultaneously managing complex partnerships with the U.S., Russia and China. An analysis by Aparna Pande. Read the report here.
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As the Dalai Lama declares that his successor will be found in the free world, Beijing escalates efforts to appoints its own. An analysis by Aleksandra Gadzala Tirziu. Read the report here.
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As U.S.-China tensions deepen, the CPTPP is emerging as a potential third pillar for global trade and stability. An analysis by Emmanuel Martin. Read the report here.
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A sweeping U.S.-EU trade and energy deal has linked tariffs, investment and energy security in a single political and economic package. An analysis by Carole Nakhle. Read the report here.
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Kyiv’s resilience against Moscow’s war machine stems from a decentralized, digitally fluent innovation culture driving rapid battlefield adaptation. An analysis by Paul Schwennesen. Read the report here.
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In the SADC region’s independence-led nations, entrenched parties face corruption, voter distrust and economic challenges. An analysis by Ralph Mathekga. Read the full report here.
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Argentina’s President Milei is battling stagflation with bold reforms but faces hurdles in maintaining disinflation and fiscal balance. An analysis by Nicolas Cachanosky. Read the report here.
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Xi Jinping is shifting China from an export-driven economy to the orchestrator of a new world order. An analysis by Junhua Zhang. Read the report here.
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African nations are asserting control over resources, renegotiating deals and prioritizing local benefits amid global competition for its critical minerals. An analysis by Fidel Amakye Owusu. Read the report here.
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The 2025 Washington Declaration redefines Armenia–Azerbaijani relations, linking peace with Eurasian connectivity and trade under strategic American leadership. An analysis by Eka Tkeshelashvili. Read the report here.
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Geopolitical competition in the Arctic and Antarctic is intensifying, with security overtaking climate concerns. An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the report here.
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Unchecked AI integration in governance threatens human rights, accountability and democratic principles while enabling state overreach. An analysis by Vahan P. Roth. Read the report here.
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Ukraine is transforming into Europe’s key defense partner and energy hub, sidelining Russia’s traditional dominance. An analysis by Stefan Hedlund. Read the report here.
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The latest technologies are presenting Arab and North African states with a whole new set of struggles and opportunities. Morocco is a case in point. An analysis by Pierre Boussel. Read the report here.
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China’s vulnerability to militants and unrest in Pakistan’s southwestern province, Balochistan, threatens its projection of power in Asia and the BRI as a whole. An analysis by Ian Oxnevad. Read the report here.
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Once close allies, Israel and Turkiye now clash over Palestine and Syria, with mistrust and competing interests driving a deepening regional rivalry. Alper Coşkun analyzes. Read the full report here.
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In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, Andrew Kureth, Managing Editor at Geopolitical Intelligence Services, speaks with Robert Silverman, Editor-in-Chief of the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune. They discuss Iran’s mounting economic strain, the impact of sanctions and the vulnerabilities of a regime facing weakened proxies and succession uncertainty. What does the future of Iran hold, and what does it mean for the wider Middle East?
💡 More insights from Robert Silverman
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Stock market valuations soar beyond economic fundamentals, intensifying inequality and risking systemic instability amid unprecedented asset bubbles, as analysed by Vahan P. Roth. Read the report here.
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The development of a non-Western payment system is gathering pace. Bob Savic analyzes. Read the report here.
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The EU has the opportunity to spearhead key industries if it creates an environment that encourages openness and innovation. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the report here.
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Africa’s continental free trade pact promises integration, but uneven reforms and external dependence risk keeping the vision out of reach. An analysis by Ralph Mathekga. Read the report here.
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Over eight decades, free-trade principles fueled global economic growth and prosperity, yet President Trump seeks to redefine international norms. An analysis by Enrico Colombatto. Read the report here.
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The European Union is under mounting pressure to reconcile its global ambitions with its expanding regulatory model. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the report here.
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Washington is mixing growth-oriented tax reforms with selective spending cuts while ignoring the root cause of America’s worsening fiscal predicament. An analysis by Adam Michel. Read the report here.
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As Brussels caves to the Trump administration’s demands, the new agreement may compel Global Majority countries to reassess their alignments. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the report here.
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The trade agreement between the United States and the European Union presents significant problems. An analysis by Mojmír Hampl. Read the report here.
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Robert Silverman analyzes: Although many nations have recognized Palestine in recent years, these symbolic acts have not altered the regional situation. Read the report here.
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After years of malicious activities and mounting crises, Caracas is facing international isolation and an unprecedented show of U.S. power and resolve. An analysis by Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the report here.
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The U.S. has banned a digital dollar. Meanwhile, Europe is racing ahead with its digital euro. An analysis by Elisabeth Krecké. Read the report here.
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Fidel Amakye Owusu analyses: Cameroon is bracing for contested elections as the entrenched president tightens control, touts economic growth and takes a hard line on security and political challenges. Read the report here.
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India and many non-Western nations are uniting with China and Russia in response to what they perceive as economic and political “bullying” by the U.S. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the report here.
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Relying only on inflation for fiscal limits is problematic, as it risks asset bubbles and economic instability. An analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel. Read the report here.
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Stefan Hedlund analyzes how despite submarine strength, Russia’s navy struggles with obsolescence, strategic setbacks and dwindling seaborne relevance. Read the report here.
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The region’s vibrant and globally connected economy is being pressured to overhaul its integration within global supply chains. An analysis by Bob Savic. Read the report here.
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Anti-Hindu agitation in America risks undermining U.S.-India relations, echoing antisemitic campaigns destabilizing global cooperation. An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the report here.
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South Africa faces increased U.S. tariffs on exports as the ANC-led coalition grapples with negotiations, disregarding reforms to boost competitiveness. An analysis by Ralph Mathekga. Read the report here.
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Latin America’s 2025-2026 elections may shift the region rightward, with polls showing the Sao Paulo Forum’s leftist candidates facing defeats. Analysed by GIS Expert Alejandro Peña Esclusa. Read the report here.
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Amid U.S.-China rivalry and Russian aggression, Southeast Asian countries are strengthening European partnerships to preserve strategic autonomy. Analysed by Adinda Khaerani Epstein. Read the report here.
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President Trump will likely take a different policy approach than his predecessors in supporting stability in the region. An analysis by James Jay Carafano. Read the report here.
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JPMorgan’s new data access fees threaten fintechs, potentially increasing costs for users and fueling the debate over who owns financial data. Analysed by Vahan P. Roth. Read the report here.
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Iran’s sway in the oil market is fading as global supply chains diversify and new producers emerge, with China buying most of its exports at a discount. Analysed by Carole Nakhle. Read the report here.
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Tensions between California and Washington will persist in the short term, but may gradually ease as the U.S. shifts to the right. Analysed by Ian Oxnevad. Read the report here.
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China’s growth engine is sputtering. Will Beijing prioritize reform or the Communist Party’s survival? Prince Michael of Liechtenstein speaks with Professor Junhua Zhang about China’s economic outlook.
💡 More insights from Dr. Junhua Zhang
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Dr. Aparna Pande analyzes how through economic and military relationships, China’s strategic expansion in South Asia challenges India’s influence. Read the report here.
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Uri Gabai how the 21st century’s defining contest pits global technology giants against increasingly assertive national governments. Read the report here.
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James Jay Carafano analyzes how German-American ties have strengthened under Chancellor Merz, fostering cooperation despite lingering political and strategic differences. Read the report here.
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Junhua Zhang analyzes how China employs a mix of military pressure and internal division tactics to influence Taiwan’s political landscape and push for eventual unification. Read the report here.
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As Russian influence ebbs in the South Caucasus, Eka Tkeshelashvili examines why Georgia bucks the trend. Read the report here.
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Zorigt Dashdorj analyzes how Mongolia faces harsh winters, outdated coal plants and limited domestic resources but could benefit from the White House’s push for fossil fuel funding abroad. Read the report here.
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Enrico Colombatto analyzes how the upcoming climate summit will likely be used to advance geopolitical ambitions, unlock funding and expand bureaucratic influence. Read the report here.
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Stefan Hedlund analyses: In Abu Dhabi and Washington, Armenia and Azerbaijan moved toward peace after decades of conflict, marking a shift away from Russian dominance. Read the report here.
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China’s dominance over rare earths gives Beijing powerful leverage in trade, technology and strategic negotiations, as analysed by Junhua Zhang. Read the report here.
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Carole Nakhle analyses: EVs are weakening oil’s dominance in transport, requiring producers to defend margins and market share rather than expand supply. Read the report here.
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Zorigt Dashdorj analyses: Eurasian Economic Union at 10: Between goals and realities. Read the report here.
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Tallinn has adopted a posture of bold deterrence, vowing preemptive strikes against Russia to protect sovereignty and NATO credibility, as analysed by Stefan Hedlund. Read the report here.
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The EU’s reindustrialization approach – using regulatory measures, trade policies and green initiatives – contrasts with President Trump’s “America First” policy, analyzed by Bob Savic. Read the report here.
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Henrique Schneider analyzes how U.S. tariffs and pricing demands on pharmaceutical giants are disrupting Swiss trade and reshaping global drug supply chains. Read the report here.
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As artificial intelligence drives energy demand to new highs, tech giants are turning to a sector long sidelined in the push for a green transition, as analysed by Vahan P. Roth. Read the report here.
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Zorigt Dashdorj analyzes how political tensions and geostrategic rivalries now shape trade decisions more than economic reasoning or market efficiency. Read the report here.
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Henrique Schneider analyses: The U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement weakens its influence and alters global climate governance. Read the report here.
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President-elect Nawrocki’s win weakens Prime Minister Donald Tusk and sets Warsaw on a more U.S.-aligned, Brussels-wary course.Matt Boyse analyses the situation. Read the report here.
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Fidel Amakye Owusu analyzes how Angola has withdrawn as a mediator in the DRC conflict, with Qatar and the U.S. stepping in as M23 rebels gain ground amid stalled peace talks and rising regional tensions. Read the report here.
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Uri Gabai analyzes how innovation policy has become central to economic strategy, driving growth and competitiveness in a tech-dominated world. Read the report here.
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto analyzes how Ivory Coast is thriving economically as French troops exit. But Ouattara’s potential fourth term and regional shifts cast shadows on its future. Read the report here.
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Urs Schöttli analyzes how Canberra faces fresh geopolitical challenges, and must balance alliances, economics and security in an era of new rising powers. Read the report here.
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Russia looks to be preparing major NATO provocations, including hybrid attacks and military buildup near Nordic borders, and may test Article 5, as analysed by Stefan Hedlund. Read the report here.
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GIS Expert Henrique Schneider examines: Once reliant on either Western or Russian terms, Global Majority countries now use China’s rise to demand better deals in nuclear development. Read the report here.
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Slavery was never abolished – only transformed. Today, millions suffer silently in supply chains worldwide by Lord David Alton of Liverpool. Read the report here.
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Europe wants a defense coalition independent of the U.S. But who’s going to pay for it? Economist Enrico Colombatto explains why financing may be the project’s undoing.
💡 More insights from Professor Enrico Colombatto
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Robert Silverman analyzes how Syria’s future is troubled by continuing massacres of minority communities, yet the country holds promise as Saudi Arabia looks set to wield the most influence. Read the report here.
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Junhua Zhang analyzes how Pakistan’s military edge in the recent air conflict with India has boosted the reputation of the Chinese defense industry. Read the report here.
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Bob Savic analyzes how the evolving geopolitical landscape of the 21st century has compelled major powers to reconsider the foundations of trade agreements. Read the report here.
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John Polga-Hecimovich analyzes how transnational crime in Latin America is growing and posing a challenge to democracies in the region. Read the report here.
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Uri Gabai analyzes how the AI hype may be fading, but its true impact is only now unfolding. From geopolitics to jobs, five key tensions will define its role in reshaping our world. Read the report here.
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Karl-Peter Schwarz analyzes how European leaders warn that activist judges are hijacking democracy and paralyzing sovereign national policies to manage illegal migration. Read the report here.
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Karl-Friedrich Israel observes that while other global players streamline regulation to scale innovation and lure talent, Europe is increasingly held back by red tape. Read the report here.
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Aparna Pande analyzes how India leverages strategic autonomy, balancing ties with the U.S., Russia, China and others to navigate a multipolar world and bolster its emerging global role. Read the report here.
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Beijing is increasing military activities and economic influence in the Indo-Pacific and transforming the regional security landscape, analysed by Riley Walters. Read the report here.
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Stefan Hedlund analyzed: Russia’s assertive Svalbard claims increase tensions with Norway, threatening stability in the Far North. Read the Report here.
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Adinda Khaerani Epstein analyzes how Indonesia’s new administration faces challenges sustaining populist programs and addressing fears of pre-democratic era measures. Read the report here.
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Henrique Schneider analyzes how Beijing has rebounded post-pandemic, leveraging diplomacy, technology and exports to reshape its global role. Read the report here.
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The recently concluded U.S.-Ukraine strategic minerals pact aims to counter China’s dominance, but challenges arise from contested territories and potential EU conflicts analysed by GIS-Expert Bob Savic. Read the Report here.
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Geopolitical ambitions, ethnic divisions and contested access to the sea and fresh water are intensifying anxieties in Ethiopia, Eritrea and the Tigray region. A deep look and scenarios from Teresa Nogueira Pinto. Read the report here.
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Southern Africa is a region rich in untapped natural resources and human capital. In this podcast, GIS founder Prince Michael of Liechtenstein and Africa expert Ralph Mathekga discuss what steps could be taken to fulfill this potential.
💡 More insights from Dr. Ralph Mathekga
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Karl-Friedrich Israel analyzes how, as U.S.-EU trade tensions rise, Europe must choose between reinforcing multilateralism, diversifying trade, or risking fragmentation. Read the report here.
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Alberto Mingardi analyzes how Italy’s prime minister enjoys stable leadership but faces mounting political challenges. Read the report here.
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The EU banking union, which was created to stabilise the European financial system, is still incomplete after a decade, according to an evaluation by Elisabeth Krecké. Read the report here.
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The Islamist terrorists’ quiet yet expansive resurgence threatens global stability, reshaping U.S. counterterrorism priorities, analyzed by James Jay Carafano. Read the Report here.
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Global institutions were born out of post-war idealism, but they have failed to prevent conflict, as analyzed by Enrico Colombatto. Read the report here.
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Dr. Junhua Zhang analyzes how, as the U.S. struggles to divide its rivals, its missteps stand in sharp contrast to China’s deft diplomacy and Russia’s strategic craftiness. Read the report here.
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Zoltán Kiszelly analyzes how Hungary has become Beijing’s gateway to the European Union. Read the report here.
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Thitinan Pongsudhirak analyzes how Washington’s 2025 tariff shock accelerates Southeast Asia’s turn toward BRICS for geopolitical and economic alternatives, though not without risk. Read the report here.
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Intrigued by Turkey's evolving global stance? Klaus Wölfer analysed how Ankara is skillfully navigating its regional ambitions, vital NATO membership, and drive for economic growth. Discover the delicate balance Turkey strikes as the West re-engages in crucial talks, shaping a new chapter in international relations. Read the report here.
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Federica Saini Fasanotti analyzes how Rome’s migration deals with Tripoli may unravel as militia influence grows and stability deteriorates. Read the report here.
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Vahan P. Roth analyzes how private tech firms have quietly replaced traditional defense contractors as dominant forces in national security strategies - often trampling on basic rights and freedoms. Read the report here.
Dr. Emmanuel Martin analyzes how Europe’s drive toward a war economy to deter Russia faces significant funding, industrial, political, and alliance challenges. Read the report here.
Dr. Ian Oxnevad analyzes how China’s debt-driven influence in East Africa contrasts with India’s market-oriented, partnership-based investments. Read the report here.
Paul Dragoș Aligică analyzes how Nicușor Dan’s election marks the end of a protracted political crisis, yet raises questions about Romania’s future geopolitical alignment. Read the report here.
Nicolas Cachanosky analyzes how reindustrialization in the United States faces economic trade‑offs, labor constraints, and misconceptions about trade deficits. Read the report here.
Dr. Rudolf G. Adam argues that Russia is unwavering in its aims, and the world should take President Putin at his word. Read the report here.
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Stefan Hedlund examines how the Maastricht Treaty reshaped Europe, but its centralizing ambitions undermined economic growth and triggered crises that continue today. Read the report here.
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Enrico Colombatto analyzes Europe’s growing fiscal strain amid Germany’s shift to debt-financed spending aimed at maintaining political support. Read the report here.
Ralph Mathekga argues that escalating tariff threats are not just global trade tremors, but a stark wake-up call for African bodies like the SADC to forge stronger regional unity, or risk being fragmented by external economic pressures. Read the report here.
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According to analysis by James Jay Carafano, the Trump administration aimed to enhance U.S. presence in the South Caucasus by managing regional challenges and addressing Russia's strategies. Read the report here.
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Bob Savic explores how Seismic shifts in foreign policy priorities fuel major differences between American and European sanctions regimes. Read the report here.
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Adam Michel analyzes how President Trump’s withdrawal from the global minimum corporate tax deal reignites sovereignty concerns. Read the report here.
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Dr. Carole Nakhle analyzes how oil production in the U.S. hits record highs, reshaping global markets and challenging OPEC’s grip. Read the report here.
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Even as Turkey's EU accession remains "on ice," Alper Coşkun's incisive analysis reveals why Ankara and Brussels are still inextricably linked. Dive into how shared security imperatives, deep economic ties, and the urgent need for regional stability forge a pragmatic, if often challenging, partnership that transcends the frozen dream of full membership. Read more here.
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Ian Oxnevad's analysis highlights how states pushing back against federal tariffs are probing the boundaries of U.S. authority, leading to ambiguous legal situations and apprehension among international investors. Read the report here.
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The Trump administration’s tariff policies have unsettled markets and caused consternation among economists. But in a world full of red tape and overregulation, could there be a silver lining that sees trade barriers brought down?
💡 More insights from Emmanuel Martin
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Lord David Alton of Liverpool analyzes how, in a world teetering between authoritarianism and apathy, the new pope faces a choice: to challenge injustice or to repeat the mistakes of silence and compromise.
Ralph Mathekga analyzes how the Democratic Alliance has surpassed the ANC in popularity for the first time amid calls for progress and accountability.
Pierre Boussel analyzes how, as Middle Eastern tensions rise, Egypt is leveraging its historical influence and strategic interests to revive its role as a key regional mediator. Read the report here.
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Riley Walters analyzes how Japan is boosting military readiness, increasing its defense budget, and fortifying alliances in response to growing threats from China, North Korea, and Russia. Read the report here.
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James Jay Carafano analyzes how Canadians reelected a Liberal government in response to President Trump’s rhetoric, yet Ottawa’s relations with Washington will focus on pragmatism. Read the report here.
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Ivan Mikloš analyzes how President Trump’s Ukraine policy marks a stark departure from Biden’s, favoring concessions to Russia. Read the report here.
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Dr. Frank Umbach analyzes how nuclear power's role in the global energy transition remains contentious, balancing energy security and climate goals. Read the report here.
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Dr. Aparna Pande analyzes how India's young population offers vast potential for economic growth, but without urgent skills development and reforms, it risks becoming a demographic disaster. Read the report here.
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Dr. John Polga-Hecimovich analyzes how Central and South America, along with the Caribbean, face growing geopolitical pressure as Washington and Beijing compete for dominance south of the U.S. border. Read the report here.
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Bob Savic analyzes how Washington and Beijing are targeting each other’s strategic economic sectors in the name of national security. Read the report here.
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Mojmír Hampl analyzes whether the U.S. and the world risk repeating the economic mistakes of the 20th century. Read the report here.
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Urs Schöttli analyzes how Japan must adapt its security strategy and strengthen alliances in response to rising tensions with Russia and China. Read the report here.
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Dr. Carole Nakhle analyzes how carbon pricing mechanisms are gaining traction, but a global deal remains elusive. Read the report here.
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Prof. Stefan Hedlund analyzes how Northern European countries are strengthening their defense ties in response to the Russian threat. Read the report here.
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Robert Silverman examines how President Trump’s Gaza vision is contentious but disrupted a dangerous stalemate, forcing regional powers to confront postwar realities and responsibilities. Read the report here.
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto analyzes how a major geopolitical realignment is dismantling traditional foreign aid systems in favor of limited measures to bolster strategic national interests. Read the report here.
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Prof. Enrico Colombatto examines how tariffs may not directly lead to inflation, but they risk nudging central banks in the wrong direction. Read the report here.
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Facing a dual challenge of heightened Russian aggression and a shifting U.S. commitment, Europe stands at a critical juncture, compelling a fundamental reassessment of its security framework and defense capabilities, a crucial analysis highlighted by Stanislaw Koziej. Read the report here.
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Elisabeth Krecké analyzes how the SIU aims to mobilize private capital but faces challenges due to Europeans’ deeply ingrained saving habits and skepticism toward government intervention. Read the report here.
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The Christian Democrats will lead Germany’s new government – but in a coalition with the Social Democrats, how much will really change? The future of Germany’s very democracy hangs in the balance.
💡 More insights from Dr. Andreas Rödder
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Zoltán Kiszelly examines how the new Trump administration poses a trilemma for Hungary’s illiberal political model — and how Prime Minister Viktor Orban will manage relations with global powers. Read the report here.
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Henrique Schneider analyzes how, following the announcement of President Trump’s tariffs, Europe is left to confront the reality of diminished U.S. presence in NATO. Read the report here.
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Uri Gabai explores how Israel’s innovation success defied the odds. But with social rifts and global change, the nation’s technology sector faces a crossroads. Read the report here.
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Dr. Aparna Pande examines how New Delhi maintains its strategic ties with Moscow despite deepening alignment with Washington and evolving global power dynamics. Read the report here.
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As the U.S. challenges the status quo within NATO and tensions with Russia remain high, will member states step up? James Jay Carafano analyzes whether these pressures will finally push European allies to significantly increase their defense spending. Read the report here.
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Once a poster child for green ambition, Sweden’s bold transition has faltered. Stefan Hedlund dissects the technological hurdles, political shifts, and economic realities that brought this celebrated effort crashing down. Read the report here.
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Bob Savic examines the rupture in transatlantic commerce, noting how it is driving the EU to reassess its strategic and economic priorities with the U.S. and shift focus toward China and India. Read the report here.
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Federica Saini Fasanotti analyzes how the world is facing unprecedented tumult and disruption, as some European countries ramp up their defense capabilities to meet the challenge. Greece is among them. Read the report here.
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Dr. Ian Oxnevad analyzes how the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor marks a notable development in trade and diplomatic cooperation between the subcontinent, the Gulf, and Europe. Read the report here.
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Vahan P. Roth explores how financial deplatforming raises concerns about privacy and government interference in banking, challenging the balance between convenience and freedom. Read the report here.
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Dr. Carole Nakhle analyzes how the global energy transition will continue, but political change, policy shocks, and economic pressures are slowing its momentum. Read the report here.
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Dr. Prashanth Parameswaran examines how Laos aims to become a leading potash producer, driven by vast reserves and infrastructure, but faces significant economic and operational hurdles. Read the report here.
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Prof. Stefan Hedlund analyzes how, once overlooked, Greenland now shapes Arctic geopolitics and defies American territorial ambitions. Read the report here.
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Prof. Enrico Colombatto examines how, since the beginning of this year, the future of globalization has come under scrutiny and may well be heading toward uncharted waters. Read the report here.
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto explores how global demand for arable land is rising, making Africa a key target for large-scale acquisitions to tackle food and energy challenges. Read the report here.
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Dr. Junhua Zhang examines how the annual Two Sessions gathering in Beijing revealed anxiety about the economy and political contradictions — yet bets on technology may turn things around. Read the report here.
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Dr. Prashanth Parameswaran analyzes how, as U.S.-China rivalry deepens, Southeast Asian leaders fear it could derail hopes for regional growth and stability. Read the report here.
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Prof. Stefan Hedlund examines how Romania prepares for pivotal presidential elections, grappling with potential Russian meddling and the fallout from the controversial barring of Calin Georgescu. Read the report here.
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Dr. Ralph Mathekga analyzes how struggles with stagnating GDP growth and budget disagreements are compelling South African policymakers to urgently address long-standing economic challenges. Read the report here.
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Dr. Paul Schwennesen examines how Ukraine’s war effort is shifting toward self-reliance, leveraging decentralized innovation and off-the-shelf technology. Read the report here.
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With talk of a ceasefire in Ukraine, there may soon be an opening for Russia to reintegrate into the global economy. What might that mean for Russia and the rest of the world?
More from GIS expert Bob Savic
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto analyzes how social and economic stability in Northeast Africa is far from assured, as the Sudanese conflict between warring factions risks spilling south. Read the report here.
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Dr. Aleksandra Gadzala Tirziu explores how China’s Arctic ambition, though seemingly defying geography, perfectly aligns with its bold plan to reshape global culture. Read the report here.
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Bob Savic analyzes how critical minerals and rare earths have emerged as key supply chain vulnerabilities for the U.S. and EU, given their dependence on China. Read the report here.
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Karl-Friedrich Israel examines how the housing crisis worsens as property prices rise and incomes stagnate, affecting affordability and economic well-being throughout developed nations. Read the report here.
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Krisztina Koenen analyzes how Peter Magyar has almost eliminated Hungary’s divided opposition, paving the way for a two-party system against Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s Fidesz party. Read the report here.
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Vahan P. Roth explores how non-bank lending, a growing yet often misunderstood sector, provides valuable services outside traditional regulatory frameworks—but also comes with its own perils. Read the report here.
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Dr. Junhua Zhang examines how, with global politics in flux, authoritarian leaders are concluding that armed conflicts can be prosecuted without consequences. Read the report here.
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Bob Savic analyzes how new outbound investment screening measures aimed at securing strategic technologies in global supply chains are set to intensify. Read the report here.
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Husain Haqqani examines how Nepal’s future is characterized by political instability, economic vulnerabilities, and shifting alliances with India, China, and the United States. Read the report here.
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Federica Saini Fasanotti analysis reveals Libya’s post-2011 descent into persistent chaos. Read the report here.
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Henrique Schneider analyzes how President Trump does not seek to refine the system – he wants to tear it down and rebuild it on his own terms. Read the report here.
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Prof. Stefan Hedlund examines how Astana’s decision to avoid Russia and export oil via Azerbaijan signals a major geopolitical shift away from Moscow. Read the report here.
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Nicolas Cachanosky analyzes how recent U.S. and European developments have sparked heightened debates over immigration policy, highlighting distinct cultural, economic, and security challenges. Read the report here.
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Dr. James Jay Carafano examines how President Trump’s foreign policy prioritizes hemispheric security, countering China, Russia, and Iran, while potentially uniting free and open spaces globally. Read the report here.
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Dr. Aparna Pande analyzes how India is expected to remain the fastest-growing major economy, but structural challenges and slowing momentum threaten its long-term ambitions. Read the report here.
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Henrique Schneider explores how, far from being the gold standard of privacy it is often claimed to be, the GDPR is a potential threat to personal freedoms. Read the report here.
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Prof. Stefan Hedlund examines how Russia and Iran’s new 20-year treaty strengthens economic ties but lacks formal military obligations, reflecting shifting regional priorities. Read the report here.
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Prof. Enrico Colombatto analyzes how sovereign wealth funds have grown rapidly, yet their state-run nature hides as much as it reveals about global finance. Read the report here.
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto examines how Nigeria’s complex history of colonial borders, ethnic diversity, and federal tensions fuels ongoing instability, corruption, and secessionist aspirations. Read the report here.
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Riley Walters analyzes that President Trump’s second term is seeing an intensification of tariff use, reshaping U.S. trade policies and global economic relations. Read more here.
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Dante Disparte explores how President Trump’s pro-crypto policies could spark renewed growth and innovation in the U.S. digital currency landscape. Read the report here.
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Dr. James Jay Carafano analyzes how the out-of-the-blue demands on Canada from the American president have stirred the world of politics, yet both countries have much to lose by drifting apart. Read the report here.
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Dr. Ralph Mathekga examines how President Trump’s suspension of U.S. aid to South Africa has sparked diplomatic tensions, drawing an unflattering spotlight to Pretoria. Read the report here.
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Bob Savic analyzes how global trade flows are shifting and fragmenting, while Donald Trump’s rapprochement with Vladimir Putin could complicate matters further. Read the report here.
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Pierre Boussel examines how Algeria’s accelerated arms buildup underscores its regional ambitions while serving as a domestic political tool. Read the report here.
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Adinda Khaerani Epstein analyzes how President Marcos’ foreign policy balances sovereignty, the U.S. alliance, and economic ties with China. Read the report here.
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Federica Saini Fasanotti examines how Turkey’s growing geopolitical influence in Africa – leveraging military, economic, and diplomatic strategies – challenges Russia’s presence. Read the report here.
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Dr. James Jay Carafano analyzes how President Trump has renewed U.S. interest in Greenland to counter Chinese and Russian influence in the Arctic. Read the report here.
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Prof. Stefan Hedlund examines how dwindling oil and gas revenues may become a considerable strategic disruption for the Kremlin. Read the report here.
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Dr. Carole Nakhle analyzes how U.S. policies and geopolitical challenges create an uncertain oil market in 2025, with fluctuating demand and prices ahead. Read the report here.
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Lord David Alton of Liverpool reflects on how history teaches that ignoring past conflicts inevitably invites future catastrophes. Read the report here.
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Alper Coşkun examines how, as President Trump fulfills his campaign promise to engage Russia on the Ukraine war, Turkey is quietly exploring its potential role in a post-conflict scenario, including overseeing a possible cease-fire. Read the report here.
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Dr. James Jay Carafano analyzes how President Trump’s counterterrorism strategy prioritizes direct action – capturing or eliminating perpetrators and seizing assets – over addressing root causes. Read the report here.
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François Baird examines how, despite challenges such as corruption and insurgent threats, five emerging African nations are demonstrating promising growth rates. Read the report here.
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto examines how droughts and demographic shifts are fueling resource competition, leading to escalating conflicts between farmers and pastoralists. Read the report here.
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Vahan P. Roth examines how government and central bank rule-bending undermines financial stability. Read the report here.
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Henrique Schneider explores how artificial intelligence innovation is rapidly advancing in the U.S. and China, with new AI models challenging established players and quickly transforming the landscape. Read the report here.
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Dr. Emmanuel Martin examines how the new French budget, approved in the first week of February, raises the question of whether it will deliver on its promises. Read the report here.
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Urs Schöttli analyzes how South Korea stands as an economic powerhouse, yet its democracy remains young and vulnerable to bursts of political instability. Read the report here.
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Bob Savic examines how Chinese export prohibitions on critical minerals to the United States signal Beijing’s readiness to return fire in a potential trade war. Read the report here.
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The Lobito Corridor megaproject could reshape global critical mineral supply chains by connecting Africa’s mineral-rich regions to international markets.Read the report here.
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Prof. Enrico Colombatto explores how, as defense budgets rise globally, Europe must balance security needs with public concerns regarding increased military spending. Read the report here.
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Dr. Carole Nakhle analyzes how the suspension of Russian gas exports through Ukraine signals a transformation in Europe’s energy landscape and reliance. Read the report here.
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Dr. Junhua Zhang examines how Beijing’s aggressive export strategy faces mounting resistance worldwide, as even countries friendly to China erect barriers to safeguard their industries. Read the report here.
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Prof. Stefan Hedlund analyzes how North Korea’s deployment to aid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine marks a pivotal moment as rogue states unite to upend international security. Read the report here.
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Adinda Khaerani Epstein examines how domestic challenges in China are prompting a modest rethink of Southeast Asia’s economic and geopolitical strategies. Read the report here.
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Adam Michel explores how, if Republicans manage the fiscal challenges of 2025 effectively and lower taxes again, the U.S. may enter an era of significant economic and budgetary changes. Read the report here.
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Dr. Ralph Mathekga analyzes how, as South Africa takes the G20 helm, it aims to spotlight African economic issues while confronting global geopolitical tensions. Read the report here.
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Prof. Stefan Hedlund examines how increasingly frequent incidents of deliberate underwater sabotage targeting critical fiber optics, power cables, and pipelines raise significant global security concerns. Read the report here.
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Dr. Junhua Zhang analyzes how China has entered a deflationary cycle, exposing stark economic disparities amid slowing growth and cautious policy changes. Read the report here.
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How are emerging powers in Southeast Asia and the Middle East reshaping global alliances, governance structures and economic priorities?
Dominic Bowen, host of The International Risk Podcast and head of the Strategic Advisory team at 2Secure, joins GIS Managing Editor Andrew Kureth for a wide-ranging discussion on recent geopolitical shifts in these two key regions, and the opportunities that those changes may create.
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Zorigt Dashdorj explores how the rise of radical political views worldwide resembles pre-World War dynamics, yet upcoming generations are likely to overcome these outdated beliefs. Read the report here.
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Dr. John Polga-Hecimovich examines how Bolivia faces a confluence of political infighting, external pressures, and the risk of economic collapse as the 2025 presidential election nears. Read the report here.
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Prof. Enrico Colombatto analyzes how European bonds could shift fiscal power to Brussels, potentially destabilizing the European Union. Read the report here.
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Brett Schaefer explores how Donald Trump’s second presidency may reshape U.S.-UN relations through assertive negotiations and reform-driven engagement. Read the report here.
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Bob Savic examines how a torrent of executive orders and legislation sets the stage for escalating U.S.-China confrontations, yet President Trump might opt for a different approach. Read the report here.
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Pierre Boussel analyzes how regimes in the Maghreb are taking a hard look at nuclear energy. Read the report here.
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Nicolas Cachanosky evaluates how President-elect Trump’s proposed tariff increases may yield short-term gains but will ultimately harm consumers and industries in the long term. Read the report here.
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Teresa Nogueira Pinto examines how Mozambique’s post-election unrest reflects deep-seated political, economic, and social tensions that could pose challenges for neighboring countries. Read the report here.
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Zorigt Dashdorj explores how the recent treaty between Russia and North Korea will reshape the Northeast Asian security landscape. Read the report here.
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Urs Schöttli analyzes how China’s growing influence in the Far East is underscored by recent elections in Japan and the U.S., highlighting the countries’ contrasting political and security trajectories. Read the report here.
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Dr. Ralph Mathekga examines how South Africa faces rising anti-immigrant populism, scapegoating migrants for governance failures and public health crises. Read the report here.
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Dr. Emmanuel Martin discusses how, in democracies, citizens increasingly seek greater welfare benefits, creating challenges in balancing political majorities with fiscal responsibility. Read the report here.
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Prof. Enrico Colombatto explores how China’s economic challenges have exposed Europe’s vulnerabilities, especially as options for responding are limited. Read the report here.
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James E. Fanell explains why the rise of China’s naval capability has prompted a critical rethink in Washington. Read the report here.
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The Trump administration is poised to swiftly reassert U.S. influence in the Middle East, aiming to rebalance the region’s dynamics in favor of its key allies.
Having largely turned away from Christianity, society now relies on new ideologies for meaning.
Western governments hesitate to take a firm stand against Russian influence in Georgia despite the urgent need for support.
In this episode, GIS Managing Editor Andrew Kureth joins GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein to discuss the potential for crises to open new doors. Tune in to hear how adopting a more hopeful approach to geopolitics could translate into stronger global partnerships.
What should the world expect from the next Trump administration? Ana Rosa Quintana-Lovett, Senior Policy Director at the Vandenberg Coalition and former Staff Director for the Western Hemisphere at the Foreign Affairs Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives, joined us for a webinar to share her insights and answer your questions.
In this episode, renowned energy expert Carole Nakhle joins Prince Michael of Liechtenstein to discuss the implications of AI’s energy consumption, the challenges facing renewable deployment, and evolving dynamics in the Middle East and Africa.
Join us for a webinar on the U.S. presidential election, featuring both American and European perspectives.
Prince Michael of Liechtenstein, GIS founder and chairman, will be joined by Dr. James Jay Carafano, GIS expert on national security, to explore geopolitical scenarios following the U.S. presidential election in November.
Dr. Carafano, a leading authority on U.S. foreign policy, is the former vice president for foreign and defense policy studies at the Washington-based Heritage Foundation and the director of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies.
In this episode, military expert Federica Saini Fasanotti explores historical trends influencing current global geopolitics, the impact of Middle Eastern conflicts on European security, and how Europe should prepare for future destabilization and migration crises.
In this episode, GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein interviews former Swedish Minister of Trade Ewa Björling to discuss the challenges facing European leaders and why there is such a lack of leadership on the continent today.
In this episode, GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein interviews human rights advocate Ayaan Hirsi Ali to discuss the challenges women face in achieving leadership roles and the impact of diversity quotas.
In this episode, GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein interviews biotechnology expert Princess Therese of Liechtenstein to discuss whether society does enough to support the development of breakthrough technologies.
In this episode, GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein is joined by Adam N. Michel, Director of Tax Policy Studies at the Cato Institute to discuss a controversial scheme to harmonize corporate tax worldwide.
Join GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein for a conversation with renowned economist Professor Elisabeth Krecké about the intricacies of the eurozone's economic landscape and the future of banking and financial regulation.
In this episode, we present our recent GIS webinar on the most dangerous global hotspots to watch in 2024, with GIS managing editor, Andrew Kureth, interviewing international security expert Dr. Peter Brookes. We hope you enjoy listening to their conversation.
In this GIS webinar, energy expert Carole Nakhle and GIS managing editor Andrew Kureth discuss how the increasingly unstable geopolitical landscape will affect global energy supplies.
Alper Coşkun, senior fellow in the Europe Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, delves into the nuances of Turkey’s foreign policy in an interview with GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein.
Dr. Carole Nakhle, renowned energy economist and founder of Crystol Energy, explores the complex dynamics of global energy markets, policies, and regulations in an interview with GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein.
Dr. Frank Umbach, a leading expert on energy security and cybersecurity, unpacks the complex dynamics of the global energy landscape in an interview with GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein.
How will inflation and soaring debt affect the geopolitical landscape in 2023 and beyond?
GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein is joined by Professor Enrico Colombatto, a leading expert on monetary policy, to discuss the most pressing issues surrounding inflation and its potential consequences for global affairs.
South Africa is facing a serious electricity crisis, with rolling blackouts and power cuts affecting businesses and households across the country. In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, political analyst Dr. Ralph Mathekga discusses the reasons
The conflict between Israel and Palestine remains a pressing issue, with ongoing political and regional tensions shaping the landscape. In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, Middle East expert Pierre Boussel explains the latest challenges of the conflict.
GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein and Teresa Nogueira Pinto, a leading expert on African affairs, discuss how to tap into the region’s potential.
Peru is in crisis, with political and economic instability threatening to plunge the country into chaos. In this episode of Unconventional Knowledge, we talk to Latin American affairs expert John Polga-Hecimovich about the root causes of the crisis and the possible outcomes for Peruvians.
China’s economy will certainly rebound, but the question is how long growth will last. Chinese affairs expert Dr. Junhua Zhang explains what economic policies Xi Jinping is most likely to implement.
Dr. Emmanuel Martin explains the importance of accountability in politics and gives examples of what can go wrong when there is an accountability deficit in political systems.
Counterinsurgency expert Dr. Federica Saini Fasanotti shares her thoughts about a recent trip to Iraqi Kurdistan, and explains the complicated geopolitical trends at play in the region.
Eurozone banks must reinvent themselves in an era of near-zero growth rates, soaring inflation and geopolitical instability, explains economic policy expert Professor Elisabeth Krecké.
Recent years saw a rapid deterioration of ties between China and Australia. But the new administration in Canberra could smooth things over to a degree, believes Riley Walters, deputy director of the Hudson Institute Japan Chair.
GIS Founder and Chairman Prince Michael of Liechtenstein and national security expert Dr. James Jay Carafano discuss the most crucial geopolitical events of 2022 and the most likely scenarios for 2023.
The African Union provides a much-needed framework for African countries to cooperate. But the organization will be increasingly challenged, explains African affairs expert Teresa Nogueira Pinto.
In developed economies, insufficient skills among the youth will take a heavy toll on economic growth. Enrico Colombatto, professor of economics at the University of Turin, looks at the state of labor markets in this episode of Unconventional Knowledge.
With inflation approaching 100 percent, cost of living in Argentina has soared beyond what most citizens can afford. Latin American affairs expert Ines de Marcos explains what likely lies ahead for Argentines in this episode of Unconventional Knowledge.
Does artificial intelligence have the potential to solve some of the most complex problems facing the energy sector? Energy expert Dr. Carole Nakhle, founder and CEO of Crystol Energy, answers in this episode of Unconventional Knowledge.
Can the EU function with Ukraine and Moldova as members? Dr. Michael Leigh, former director-general for enlargement at the European Commission, answers in this episode of Unconventional Knowledge.
With a global energy crisis looming as winter approaches, can the U.S. work more closely with North African countries? Foreign policy expert Dr. James Jay Carafano of the Heritage Foundation answers in this episode of Unconventional Knowledge.
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations, known as ASEAN, has long been an influential regional actor in Asia. Now, however, Professor Thitinan Pongsudhirak believes the organization is threatened by deepening geopolitical fault lines.
Long-standing friction between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo appears to be resurfacing. If violent clashes continue, the two countries could soon be at war, argues African affairs expert Teresa Nogueira Pinto.
It appears increasingly likely that Sweden and Finland will join NATO. Stefan Hedlund, professor of Russian studies, explains how this could influence security in Northern Europe.
Switzerland’s inflation rate remains low while many other European countries have seen prices spiral out of control. Professor of economics Henrique Schneider explains why.
It appears highly likely that the Black Sea will play a key geopolitical role in years ahead. But who will be the most influential players in the region? Security expert Dr. James Jay Carafano answers.
How can we determine what will happen next in Russia’s war with Ukraine? Counterinsurgency expert Dr. Federica Saini Fasanotti argues that by analyzing Russian military tactics in Libya, we can predict Moscow’s next moves on the Ukrainian front.
Can North Africa replace Russia as a gas supplier for Europe? This question has been on many policymakers minds. Energy economist Dr. Carole Nakhle, founder and CEO of Crystol Energy, answers in this episode of Unconventional Knowledge.
Are you the sort of person who reads the news and thinks – there’s got to be something more to the story? Then you are in the right place.
This is “unconventional knowledge” where we look at one event and ask an expert to explain what journalists are missing. Information is an iceberg, and most often we are only shown the tip.
We want to bring our listeners the whole picture. That’s why every episode, we reach out to a different expert from Geopolitical Intelligence Services and ask them to answer one question in their specific area of expertise.
Welcome to the GIS podcast!
Are you the sort of person who reads the news and thinks – there’s got to be something more to the story? Then you are in the right place.
This is “unconventional knowledge” where we look at one event and ask an expert to explain what journalists are missing. Information is an iceberg, and most often we are only shown the tip.
We want to bring our listeners the whole picture. That’s why every episode, we reach out to a different expert from Geopolitical Intelligence Services and ask them to answer one question in their specific area of expertise.