Politics Matters: Recent Episodes
Ryan Jakubowski
Everybody wants to be informed about the next election, but not everybody has the time to watch the news for hours every day. Keep up with American politics and elections like never before with Politics Matters, your spot for high-quality election analysis. Topics covered include but are not limited to redistricting, voting rights, polling data, election forecasting, and statistics.
@RyanJakubowski analyzes why Republicans performed so poorly in competitive Senate and Gubernatorial races
It's that time! @RyanJakubowski lays out his 2022 midterm predictions in-depth and explains who will win each and every Senate/Governor race this year.
@RyanJakubowski is joined by @EScrimshaw for the final time before the 2022 midterms to discuss what to expect on Election Night
@RyanJakubowski analyzes the most recent batch of early voting/mail-in voting data and explains why it's looking good for Democrats right now. Democrats also seem to have regained a bit of momentum in the polls.
@RyanJakubowski gives a bit of a more pro-Democratic outlook on the 2022 midterms than the current consensus and analyzes why the Democrats are probably in a better spot than you think - but still have a long ways to go. Listen for generic ballot talk, poll analysis, early voting information, and some brief Senate rundown.
@RyanJakubowski is joined by @EScrimshaw to discuss a few early signs for how the midterms will go, as well as some hot takes about the battle for control of the Senate
@RyanJakubowski analyzes the recent debates (Ohio, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Arizona, Georgia), looks into the (very preliminary) early vote data we have in a few swing states and what it can tell us, and lists the seats House Democrats have all but officially given up on since last week
@RyanJakubowski is joined by @GartonArthur to take a close look at the six closest governor's races (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Kansas, Arizona, Nevada, Oregon) and break down who's winning in each of them. They also discuss the fascinating polls out of Oklahoma and South Dakota and debate how much stock should be put into them.
@RyanJakubowski breaks down why, despite some curious new polling, the deep red states of Oklahoma and South Dakota will not be close this year. However, down in Georgia, Raphael Warnock's chances of reelection are looking better than ever.
(10/2/22) @RyanJakubowski is joined by @lxeagle17 to discuss this year's most competitive Senate seats. Ryan and Lakshya analyze and break down the paths for both parties across each and every important state this year, and make predictions for how the map will end up unfolding.
@RyanJakubowski details why the GOP may be in serious trouble come November, even in the House.
@RyanJakubowski discusses why the scale of the potential polling miss the GOP would need to win in November is very unlikely and talks about his current expectations for where polls will overestimate Democratic support
@RyanJakubowski discusses the eventful week we've had in politics. Listen for discussion of Katie Hobbs's debate misstep, Trafalgar's polling inconsistencies, and talk about the model built last week that shows the Democrats favored to win the House.
@RyanJakubowski and @EScrimshaw explain why in the aftermath of Pat Ryan's victory in NY-19, the Democrats are favored to win the Senate and are within striking distance of the GOP in the House
@RyanJakubowski talks about the latest polls out of Nevada and Pennsylvania and explains why they point to trouble for the GOP. He also goes through a few contested Senate and Gubernatorial elections and discusses where they're at as of today.
@RyanJakubowski takes a deep dive into this year's competitive Senate races and explains why, as of today, the Democrats seem poised to hold onto their Senate majority. Tune in for poll analysis, detailed looks at trends, and electorate forecasting.
@RyanJakubowski dives deep into the all-important Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, where Democratic AG Josh Shapiro takes on Republican State Senator Doug Mastriano. Shapiro is still the clear favorite as it stands today, and yes, Democrats should stop freaking out about this race.
@RyanJakubowski and @GartonArthur overview the most hotly contested Senate and Gubernatorial races in this upcoming election. Listen to them talk polling data, candidate quality, and rural Nevada.
@RyanJakubowski and @EScrimshaw wrap up the Zoomed In series and talk all about Arizona's absolutely critical Senate race and ask the important questions - will Hispanic turnout drop? How will Masters fare in the suburbs? What inroads can Kelly make with rural Trump voters? How many F1 TikToks will Evan quote during the podcast? Listen to find out!
@RyanJakubowski and @EScrimshaw talk about their predictions for Nevada's hotly contested Senate race and work through the paths to victory for both Laxalt (R) and Cortez-Masto (D).
@RyanJakubowski and @EScrimshaw analyze Pennsylvania's Senate race. Listen to them discuss Fetterman and Oz's respective paths to victory, the state's realignment, and what the recent polling means.
r@RyanJakubowski and @EScrimshaw dive deep into Georgia's hotly contested Senate race and get into the nuts and bolts of Raphael Warnock's path to victory. What will Black turnout look like? What can Herschel Walker expect to get from the rural areas? Will the Atlanta suburbs continue their left trend? Are Walker's scandals enough to down him? Tune in to find out our takes and predictions for Georgia in November.
Did you notice how bad the state polls were for Republicans this week? @RyanJakubowski did! Listen as he breaks down what the new Democratic leads in Michigan, Nevada, and Arizona mean, and why Republican attacks on Biden don't seem to be hitting other Democrats
@RyanJakubowski breaks down what Joe Biden's current approval rating actually means and how it will affect Democrats in the midterms. He also previews the gubernatorial map and explains why Republicans may be overshooting their chances there
@RyanJakubowski discusses the affects that the Court's ruling has on the 2022 midterms, and which races are most competitive after this. He also analyzes the question many are asking - will the ruling be enough to save Democrats this fall?
In today's episode, @RyanJakubowski is joined by everyone's favorite British politics guy, @GartonArthur. They discuss the upcoming local UK elections and how big Labour gains are expected to be, as well as where both of their House forecasts are as of right now.
@RyanJakubowski is joined by Political Election Projections (@tencor_7144) to discuss the Senate map, and whether the Democratic Party is favored to hold onto their majority position after this November.
@RyanJakubowski is joined by Evan Scrimshaw (@EScrimshaw), writer for TheLines and analyst at Scrimshaw Unscripted as they discuss the competitive Senate races of this cycle, the pathway to get Democrats to another majority in the US House, and whether Vancouver is actually a part of Canada (spoiler: it's controversial)
@RyanJakubowski breaks down some rare good news for Democrats out of Ohio and North Carolina, as well as the Republican Party's doubts about their prospects in unseating Georgia Democrat Raphael Warnock.
Join @RyanJakubowski as he discusses the confirmation of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson, the absolute chaos in the Alabama senate race with Mo Brooks and Donald Trump, a very interesting special election in South Texas, official maps in Missouri and Ohio, and a rare victory for Maryland Republicans.