Forecast Direct: Recent Episodes

UCLA Anderson Forecast

We introduce our monthly Forecast Direct series as a podcast/video. Every month, we bring in guest speakers who bring their unique insight on topics affecting the US and California economies.

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One of the most important questions today is about increasing inequality within the economy and society at large.

In this episode, we’re pleased to feature Mordecai Kurz, Joan Kenney Professor of Economics Emeritus at Stanford University, who will discuss his book The Market Power of Technology: Understanding the Second Gilded Age. Professor Kurz moves beyond the simple economic description of an economy comprised of labor and capital to a more complex one that includes technology and monopolization to uncover the important dynamics of inequality and the implications for an increasingly technological economy in the future.

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After the meeting between President Biden and President Xi in San Francisco in November 2023, there has been a halt in the worsening of U.S.-China relations.

In this episode, we are joined by Martin Chorzempa, senior fellow from the Peterson Institute for International Economics, to talk about the latest developments in U.S.-China relations. Our discussion also covers the effects of the U.S. restrictions on semiconductor components on China over the past year, as well as the future prospects of this policy. We also explore the implications of China’s newly implemented data flow regulations for international businesses operating within the country.

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This month, we feature Zhiyun Li hosting a conversation with Jesse Gourevitch on climate risk and property overvaluation in the U.S. Jesse Gourevitch is a postdoctoral fellow on the Economics Team at the Environmental Defense Fund. His research focuses on the economic impacts of climate change and adaptation to climate risks. We discuss his recent research exploring the magnitude, geographic distribution, and driving factors of unpriced flood risk in the U.S. housing market.

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This month, we feature Zhiyun Li hosting a conversation with Ioana Marinescu and Mark Curtis on their paper about green jobs in the United States. Ioana Marinescu is an Associate Professor at the University of Pennsylvania School of Social Policy and Mark Curtis is an Associate Professor at Wake Forest University. Their recent research focuses on the the growth of renewable energy and how it benefits U.S. workers.

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This month, we feature a conversation with Leo Feler and Mine Senses on immigration and the provision of public goods. Mine Senses is an Associate Professor of International Economics at the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) at Johns Hopkins University. Her current research focuses on the consequences of globalization on the labor market, with emphasis on quantifying the heterogeneous costs and benefits experienced by different segments of the population.

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This month, we feature a conversation with Rebecca Diamond. Rebecca is Class of 1998 Professor of Economics at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. We discuss her research from a series of papers she wrote about food deserts and nutritional inequality.

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This month, we feature a conversation with David Dorn about the China shock, and what was its immediate effect on the U.S. Labor market. David is the UBS professor of globalization and labor markets at the University of Zurich.

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This month, we feature a conversation with Oded Galor about his book, The Journey of Humanity. Oded Galor is the founder of unified growth theory. His book describes the history of human evolution, from stagnation to growth, and the origins of inequality.

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Jerry Nickelsburg, Director, UCLA Anderson Forecast

Brad DeLong, Professor of Economics, University of California, Berkeley

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Leo Feler, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast John List, Kenneth C. Griffin Distinguished Service Professor in Economics, University of Chicago

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Leo Feler, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast

Severin Borenstein, Professor at the Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley

This month, our podcast features a conversation with Severin Borenstein. We discuss oil markets and gasoline prices.

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Leo Feler, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast

Gregor Schubert, Assistant Professor of Finance, UCLA Anderson School

This month, our podcast features a conversation with Gregor Schubert. We discuss patterns of migration during housing boom and bust cycles and the role policy plays in some of the patterns.

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Featuring:

Jerry Nickelsburg, Director, UCLA Anderson Forecast Vince Iacopella, Executive Vice President, Alba Wheels Up Leo Feler, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast

This month, our podcast features a conversation with Vince Iacopella, Executive Vice President of Alba Wheels Up. We discuss supply chains and ocean shipping.

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This month, our podcast features a conversation with Stuart Gabriel, UCLA Anderson Distinguished Professor of Finance, Arden Realty Chair, and Director of the UCLA Ziman Center for Real Estate. We discuss housing prices, interest rates, and housing supply.

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This month, our podcast features a conversation with Professors Jerry Nickelsburg and Emily Oster regarding research on parenting decisions, COVID school closures, student achievement during the pandemic, and correlation versus causality.

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This month, our podcast features a conversation with Kenan Fikri, Research Director at the Economic Innovation Group. We discuss entrepreneurship and opportunity zones.

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This month, our podcast features a conversation with Vernon Henderson, Professor of Economic Geography at the London School of Economics. Professor Henderson is one of the world’s leading urban economists. We talk with him about the future of cities.

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This month, our podcast features a conversation with Leo Feler and Ioana Marinescu regarding research on how enhanced unemployment insurance affected job search and employment during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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This month, our podcast features a conversation with Leila Bengali, Nora Pankratz, and Jisung Park regarding their recent work on how climate change and weather affects labor supply.

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This month, our podcast features a conversation with UCLA Anderson Economist, Leila Bengali, and Professors Fiona Burlig, Louis Preonas, and Matt Woerman, regarding their recent paper on groundwater use in California agriculture.

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For this edition of Forecast Direct, Leo Feler has a conversation with Leah Boustan, Professor of Economics at Princeton University about American Immigration. Following is an edited summary of our conversation. Condensed transcript and full video of our conversation are available here

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For this edition of Forecast Direct, UCLA Anderson Forecast director Jerry Nickelsburg has a conversation with Emil Verner, Assistant Professor of Finance at MIT Sloan on whether pandemics or public health interventions depress the economy.   Summary of the conversation and full video are available here:

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April 2021

For this edition of Forecast Direct, UCLA Anderson Forecast senior economist Leo Feler and Kathryn Edwards of RAND have a discussion about trends in income, the gig economy, and unemployment insurance. A transcription of the conversation and full video of our conversation are available here, and Professor Edwards’ research is available here.

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March 2021

For this edition of Forecast Direct, Jerry Nickelsburg has a conversation with Jane Olmstead-Rumsey of Northwestern and Titan Alon of UCSD on the differential impacts of the pandemic recession on women and men’s employment and roles. Condensed transcript of our conversation is available here.

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January 2021

For this edition of Forecast Direct, we discuss economic history and comparisons to the current recovery with Professor Martha Olney from UC Berkeley. Professor Olney’s articles are available here. Condensed transcription of the conversation is available here.

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February 2021

For this edition of Forecast Direct, Leo Feler has a conversation with Professor Robert Gordon, from Northwestern University, about his book “Rise and Fall of American Growth” and what he sees as the likelihood for faster productivity and economic growth in the coming decades. Be sure to read to the end, where Professor Gordon talks about the best ways to ensure faster growth going forward, through more early-childhood education, more immigration, and affirmative action policies to level the playing field so our society can benefit from the full potential of all individuals. Condensed transcript and Full video are available here.

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November/December 2020

For this edition of Forecast Direct, Leo Feler discusses economic policy and the recovery with Dr. Gbenga Ajilore, Senior Economist at the Center for American Progress. Dr. Ajilore is an expert on regional economic development, macroeconomic policy, and issues of diversity and inclusion. His articles are available here. Condensed transcription and full video are available here.

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October/November 2020

For this issue of Forecast Direct, Leo Feler, Senior Economist at the UCLA Anderson Forecast interviews Benjamin Keys, Associate Professor at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania regarding Professor Keys’ recent paper on how climate change affects housing markets. Condensed transcription and full video of this conversations available here. Professor Keys’ article on the topic can be found here: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w27930/w27930.pdf.

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September 2020

We have reintroduced our monthly Forecast Direct series to provide a summary of insights on topics affecting the US and California economies. This month, Jerry Nickelsburg, Director of the UCLA Anderson Forecast, interviews Leo Feler, Senior Economist at the UCLA Anderson Forecast, about Proposition 22 and the reclassification of Uber and Lyft drivers as employees versus independent contractors. A summary of their conversation is available here.