The Stinger: Recent Episodes
James Montgomery
Anything involving sports betting on pro sports. Check out things to look for and why to bet certain teams and which ones to stay away from. Looking at the sharps and square sides of betting. As well as an occasional rant on some really poor coaching decisions.
Previewing Round 2
Open division:
Yellow -3 vs. Green
Red -2 vs Orange (I'd bet orange +2)
Womens Plus
Green vs yellow -6
Blue vs Red -1
Open Division Matchup review
(1) Yellow vs. (8) Pink 11am
(2) Teal vs. (7) Orange 11am
(3) Red vs. (6) Purple 8am
(4) Blue vs (5) Green 8am
Week 8 ended with a bang. Teal seals up the 2 seed with a blowout win over green. Red gets the 3 seed with a walk off TD to get the 3 seed. Blue wins by 16 to land the 4 seed. While the other 4 teams are tied for 5th. It will be interesting to see how the league breaks the tie,
Sit down with Ed English
Mayhem has ensued when everyone in the PGFFL open division is tied for 2nd at 3-4 but yellow who is still undefeated at 7-0.
Tie breakers and potential matchups.
1 correction: I said if pink beats blue they would end up the 4 seed but they would actually be the 2 seed if teal beats green which is the assumption. Because they beat teal head to head.
Interview with Priscilla from the red team. Week 7 matchups and updated power rankings.
Interview with Monica on Red. Finally have some numbers to go off. Overview of points per game and points against per game. Really even across the board.
Starting off with this week's power rankings going into week 4 for the open division.
Post game interviews/rants with Yellow (David, Tim and Marcus), Lisa (Womens plus/blue team), Bree (womens plus/green team), and Blue team (Chay, Theo and Enrique).
Reviewing week 2 and previewing week 3 of the pgffl season. Shout outs to women plus players: #20 (qb) on yellow, #4 on yellow, #4 on teal, and qb on purple. I will have a guest next week. Open division Power rankings going into week 3 at the end.
Guests: Mia and Sara
Review of week 1: Overall feeling of how the season is going to go.
Guest: Pablo, Review of week 1
Plus Studs and Stallions of the week:
Bobby: Dark Blue
Jose: Teal
Adam
Marcus
Tyrell
Brandon Staley getting fired is a prayer that has been answered for many.
160-126 overall (14-8 last week)
58-36 on miney lines (3-1 last week)
55-35 on Money line bets. Hitting a bit of a cold streak. But going back to basics. 146-118 overall.
Why tanking doesn't happen:
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Players don't want to embarrassed on National television
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You have 1 shot at being a pro athlete, they don't waste it.
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Your always on tape and can be picked up by anyone
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If you don't play hard you can get hurt.
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Young players have something to prove.
Why sign stealing isn't the reason Michigan has beaten Ohio state the last 2 years.
Bets:
Money lines on the year: 40-24 (10-3 last two weeks), 106-80 overall. 18-14 last two weeks on bets.
College football is very uninteresting and the 12 team playoff wont solve it completely. Cowboys and Dolphins observations. The achilles tendon
sources:
Web MD: Jabeen Begum "Achilles Tendon Injuries"
Mayo Clinic: "Achilles tendon Rupture"
Maxim.com: "German Volume Training"
The trade of the year: Lamar Jackson/Mccaffrey/Adams/charkfor: Etienne/Goff/Lamb/Garret WilsonBets: 79-57 on the year, 13-6 this week. Money lines 28-13 on the year. This week: 7-1
Niners and Eagles
Bets: money lines 21-12 on the year
This week Money Lines
Detroit, Jacksonville, KC, Panthers, Titans, Vikings, Ravens, Dolphins.
All stats brought to you by Profootball-reference.com
Comparing Purdy and Prescott.
Deep dive on Historic defenses.
Betting thoughts. 56-44 on the year, Saints unders blew up last night. Is the niners and eagles loss signs of things to come or just an anamoly.
Going through Lions and Niners schedule to see who will get to the #1 seed.
Talking fantasy football trade scenarios. What you should be looking for, and various scenarios,
47-37 on the year in bets.
10-8 last week: Big wins {Jacksonville +5.5 and the under in saints games (5-0 in saints games unders)}
Big losses: 2x3 leg parlays, houston money line, Cowboys +3.5, tennessee money line.
Open with hot take and move into notable games and fantasy plays. Best bets to finish. 37-29 on the year. 8-5 last week.
Going over must start fantasy tight ends and coming to terms with 6-10 pts. being what you are looking for. There are a lot of Tight ends that are as good as other's.
Bets: 29-24 on the year
Money lines (8-5)
Going over best money lines, Potential parlays, Unders I like this week. Bengals Joe burrow can't get the ball down field for a reason.
Greg Cosell reference.
Justus Adams reference.
The Patriots and my fantasy team commonalities. Why you will never see the 85 bears defense again. Two way players aren't real. A critical, cowboy observation.
24-15 on bets this year (7-7 last week, 2-0 this week so far, i've only lost two money lines this year: Bengals week 2 and steelers week 1)
Just an fyi: Bengals have a backup qb
15-8 on bets last week. Doubled my money. The wife is happy, hopefully this week continues. Big losses: Pittsburgh money line and Colts +4.5
Looking ahead to the nfl fantasy season
Teams schedules matter: Saints play 14 games indoors, Atlanta plays a lot of backup and first time starting qb's they are going to be better than you think record wise, The Jets are going to have a losing record after 5 weeks and the Giants early schedule is brutal. The draft isn't as important as you think. Just make sure not to reach for someone you like a lot.
WR Tier's
Tier: Elite
Tyreek Hill
Davontae Adams
Justin Jefferson
Cooper Kupp
Kelcee
Jamar Chase
Tier 1: Don't want to play
Stefon Diggs
Aj Brown
DK Metcalf
Deebo Samuel
Mark Andrews
George Kittle
Terry Mclaurin
D Hopkins
DJ Moore
Amari Cooper
Cedee Lamb
Jalen Waddle
Mike Evans
Tier 2: #1's
Keenan Allen
Mike Williams
Tee Higgins
Amon Ra St. Brown
Tier 3: Reliable/Explosive
Michael Pittman
Zack Ertz
TJ Hockenson
Chris Godwin
Tyler Locket
Diante Johnson
Calvin Ridley
OBJ
Christian KIrk
Drake London
Marquise Brown
Brandon Ayiuk
Chris Olave
Dallas Goedert
Kyle Pitts
Jerry Jeudy
Not gonna waste time talking. Reviewing playoff games. And Dwayne tells his incredible story.
Playoff first 2 rounds preview. Conversation with Nick and Johnny. Johnny shares his story about 14 minutes in. They both share how they met.
Reviewing all teams scenarios and where they land in the final rankings based on outcomes. Games to watch: red (4 seed currently) vs green (6 seed currently) at 815am. Black (2 seed currently) vs purple (3 seed currently) 1145.
Talking about insights/tips into being a captain or board member. History of the league. As well as insights into all the teams. Willy gives his underrated players on every team. Disclaimer: Willy’s voice is quiet in this one and you will have to turn your volume up a bit when he is talking.
Get to know the pink team of the 2023 Spring PGFFL season: going over what happens behind the scenes with travel teams. What to expect for the rest of the season. Opinions on everyone's underrated player.
League talk: draft strategy, underrated players, sleeper teams and insight into one of the best qb’s in our league.
Talking most valuable players on our teams. Recovery and working out talk. How much should you workout and when should you not?
Conversation with Tristan Tyler and his experience in our league. His insights on drafting and our most underrated players.
Talking with Raquel about our experience together and from her point of view what has been beneficial for team Fahrenheit in our league. Top women newbies according to Raquel. With her most underrated players.
Reviewing this weeks games. Talking about why we enjoy football, mental health.Talking our favorite aspects of the league. The last ten minutes a mix up in the power rankings after this weekends games. New comers and someone falling out.
Brady in Review
Teams that I look forward to watching next year because of....
Decisions by coach's I respect and don't
Defensive coach's are black and White. Offensive coach's get today's athlete.
Pro betters are on Buffalo, Las Vegas, Chicago, Indianapolis, Denver. I am 31-30-1 on the year. So you may listen to them. But I like short home dogs. Going by the book this week.
Fantasy Season overview and Playoff philosophy.
Unignorable loss of Respect for Bill Belichick.
Shanahan is has arrived at the great coach category.
Bets: 30-26-1 on the year, 5-1 last week.
Atanta +7.5@Baltimore
Washinton +7.5 @SF
Under 36.6 Denver/LAR
Under 44.5 Tennessee/Houston
Over 49 GB @Miami
Spread bets this year: 25-25-1 on the year
But 2-0 this week
Indy +4.5 won (Lost by 3 Thursday at minnesota)
Over 42 in Buffalo and Miami (scored 61)
Atlanta +3.5 at New orleans
NYJ and Detroit under 44
Tennessee and LAC under 47
Arizona and Denver under 36
24-20-1 in bets on the year
This week:
Cleveland +6 @Cincy
Kansas city =9 @Denver
Under 37.5 in Tampa and SF
Over 51.5 in LAc and Miami
Arizona +1.5 vs. New England
Carolina +3.5 @ Seattle
Special guests: Pablo and Kevin. Talking fantasy trades and mistakes on the season. Talking in game parlay bets and what to look for. “Look to the future And play money ball, fantasy football is not real football.”-Pablo. The advice from the fantasy pro to ex football players. Hahahahaha
Fantasy top 3 starts and sits per position
Bets: 20-18-1 on the year
This week:
Over 54 in Buffalo and Detroit (indoors)
Under 35 in Denver and Carolina
Under 39 in Indy and Pitt
Arizona +4.5 vs. LAC
Minnesota -2.5 vs. NE
Tennessee +1.5 vs. Cincy
Bets: 19-14-1 on the year
Betting lines week 11 with Fantasy Sits and Starts
Went 25/31 correct picks on fantasy starts and sits last week
Week 10 Fantasy Starts and sits (good and bad from last week)
Betting: 17-11-1 on the year
Qb Starts: Goff Vs. green Bay, Rodgers vs. Detroit Sits: Tom Brady and Matt Stafford
RB Starts: R. White TB vs Rams, E. Benjamin Vs. Seattle (If connor doesn't play) Alghier Atlanta Vs. LAC Sits: Drake Baltimore, Fournette TB, Foreman Carolina
WR starts: Lazard GB at Detroit, Duvernay baltimore @New orleans, Jacksonville receivers vs raiders SitsL G, Davis Buffalo, Pittman @ NE, DJ Moore @ Cincy.
TE Starts: Tonyan (GB) Vs Detroit, Engram (Jax) vs. Raiders Sits: Waller (LV) @ Jacksonville, Conklin NYJ vs. Buffalo
D/St starts: Cincinatti vs. Carolina, New Orleans Vs. Baltimore Sits: GB @ Detroit, Seattle @ Arizona
Week 9 Bets (14-10 on the year): Detroit +3.5 Vs. Greenbay, Over 49.5 in Greenbay @ detroit, Under 41 in Indianapolis and New England, Cincinatti -7 vs. Carolina.
Qb Starts: Tua (Miami), Carr (LV), Goff (Detroit) Qb Sits: Stafford (LAR), Brady (TB), D. Prescott (Dallas)
RB Starts: D Pierce (Houston), J Williams (Detroit), Mostert (Miami) RB Sits: C. Akers (LAR), Zeke (dallas), Montgomery (Chicago)
WR starts: Evans (TB), Pittman (Indy), Lockett (Sea) WR sits: B. Cooks (Houston), Mooney (Chicago), Cooper (Cleveland)
TE Starts: T. Hill (NO), G Kittle (SF) TE Sits: D Goedert (Philly), Ertz (Arizona)
D/St Starts: Niners Vs Rams, NE vs NYJ, Baltimore Vs TB D/st sits: NYG @ seattle, Arizona @ Minnesota, TB vs. Baltimore
Bets (Odds provided by ESPN): 13-6 on the year, last week 2-3
Won: Washinton +5 vs. Greenbay (won by 2), Steelers +7 @ Miami (lost by 6)
Lost: Under 42 in Greenbay @ Washington (44 pts scored), Atlanta +6 @ Cincy (Lost by 23), Over 45 in Baltimore and Cleveland (43 pts scored)
This week: Under 39 in Denver @ Jacksonville, Under 42.5 in Chicago @ Dallas, Detroit +3.5, Arizona +3.5 @ Minnesota, Chicago +9 @ Dallas
Week 7
QB Starts: Mariota Atlanta, Murray Arizona. Sits: Goff? Detroit, M. Ryan Indy
RB Starts: L. Murray Denver, D Hilliard Ten. Sits: M. Gordon Denver, D. Montgomery Chicago, Boone Denver.
WR Starts: M. Gallup Dallas, Duvernay Baltimore, Chark Detroit, R. Moore Arizona. Sits: Mooney Chicago, Jeudy Denver
TE Starts: H. Hurst
D/St Starts: Denver Sits: New Orleans
Bets: 11-3 on the year
2-2 last week: Won: Under of 38 Washington and Chicago (19 pts scored), Seattle +3 vs. Arizona
Lost: Jacksonville +2 @INdy and Miami +3.5 VS. Minnesota
This week: Washington +5 vs. GreenBay, Steelers +7 @ MIami, Under 40 in Greenbay and Washington, Atlanta +6 @ Cincy, Over 45 Cleveland and Baltimore
QB starts: G. Smith (Sea) vs Arizona, Stafford (LAR) Vs. Carolina, Brady (TB) @ Pittsburgh. QB sits: Aaron Rodgers (GB) Vs. Jets, Joe Burrow (cin) at New Orleans.
WR starts: C. Kirk (Jax) @ colts, Pickens (pit) vs. Tamp bay, J. Meyers (NE) @ Cleveland. WR sits: Broncos Wideouts
RB Starts: M. Boone (den) @LAC, R Stevenson (NE) @ Cleveland, K walker (sea) vs. Arizona. RB sits: M. Gordon (den), A Gibson (wash), Z. Elliot (dal)
TE Starts: Engram (Jax) @ colts, R. Tonyan (GB) vs. Jets. TE sits: Freiermuth (pit) vs. Tampa bay
D/st Starts: (Jax) @ Colts, *(Packers) vs. Jets. D/st sits: Denver @ LAC, NYG vs Baltimore, NE @ Cleveland
Bets: 9-1 on the season (week 4 start)
4-1 last week (Wins: Under Indy @ Denver 21 pts. scored, NYG +8 vs. Packers in London Giants won by 5. Dallas +4.5 at LAR, Dallas won by 12. Under 43 pts. in Dallas and Rams, 32 pts. scored. Losses: Seattle +5.5 at New Orleans, Seattle lost by 7)
This week: Under 38 in Washington at Chicago (Thursday Night), Seattle +3 vs Arizona, Miami +3.5 vs Minnesota, Jacksonville +2 @ Indianapolis
Fantasy Football: Top sits and starts
(QB) Starts: Lawrence (JAX), Bridgewater (Miami), Goff (Det) (QB) sits: Stafford (LAR), Rodgers (GB), Murray (Arizona)
(RB) Starts: Boone (Denver), Huntley (Atlanta), Herbert (Chicago) (RB) Sits: Connor (Arizona), M. Gordon (Denver), Pierce (HOU)
(WR) Starts: Pickens (Pit), C. Davis (NYJ), Gallup (Dal) (WR) sits: Mooney (Chicago)
(TE) Starts: Engram (Jax), Tonyan (GB), M. Alie Cox (INDY) (TE) sits: Pitts (Atl)
(D/ST) starts: Jacksonville (JAX), Denver (Den), Detroit (Det) (D/ST) sits: Cincinatti (Cin)
Spread picks:
Last week 5-0 (Tennessee +3.5 at indy won by 7, Atlanta +1.5 vs Cleveland won by 3, New England +10.5 at Green bay lost by 3, Under 39 in NYG vs. Chicago scored 32 pts, Under 42.5 in Indy vs. Tennessee scored 41 pts.).
This week (under 43 pts in Indy at Denver Thursday night, New York Giants +8 neutral field Green Bay, Seattle +5.5 at New Orleans, Under 43 in Dallas At LA Rams and Dallas +4.5 at LAR).
Fantasy football strategy and Betting Lines
Betting for the average person. You should wait a few weeks to get data, before putting money on the line.
Top 5 bets of the week (0-0)
Tennessee +3.5 at Indianapolis
New England +10.5 at GreenBay
Atlanta +1.5 vs. Cleveland
Under of 39 in NYG and Chicago
Under of 42.5 in Indianapolis and Tennessee
The Coach and the qb together make it happen. Ranking Current NFL coach's and tiering out NFL qb's and wide receivers.
QB Tiers:
SB Chance: Brady, Mahomes, Allen, Stafford, Burrow, Rodgers, Wilson, Herbert*
Talent Anamoly: Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson, Kyler Murray
Tier 1.5 (Take less money and win a SB): Garrapolo/Carr (Clutch), Prescott/Cousins/Tannehill (Stats)
Bridge QB's: Ryan, Mayfield, Tua, Wentz, Trubisky, Tyrod Taylor, Winston, Jalen Hurts, Heinecke
Unknown: T. Lance, T. Lawrence, Z. Wilson, J Fields, D. Mills
Backups and future Philanthropists: Goff, Darnold, Rudolph, Gabbert, Foles, Dalton, D. Jones
Bets last week: Went 0-5
40-35-1 on the year (30-21-1 on pro bets)
Las Vegas +5.5 (Lost by 7 to Cincy), Pittsburgh +12.5 (lost by 21 to KC), New England +4.5 (Lost by 31 to Buffalo), Over of 46 in Las Vegas/Cincy (45 pts. scored), Over of 49.5 in Dallas/San Francisco (40 pts. scored).
Talking about Cowboys debacle, Raiders over achievment, Kliff Kingsbury over achievement as a pro coach, Colts/Chargers robbed all NFL fans from a better wild card weekend.
Covering potential bets and Playoff matchups. Rants on Why the colts missed the playoffs and Brandon Staley. What did their loss really rob all of us of? (A Josh Allen/Justin Herbert Playoff Game).
30-16-1 on the year (Pro Picks) 41-30-1 overall
Week 17 Picks: 3-2
Wins: Tennessee -3.5 vs Miami (Won 34-3), Pittsburgh +3.5 vs. Cleveland (won 26-14), Under 37.5 in Carolina Vs, New Orleans (28 pts scored)
Lost: Detroit +7.5 vs. Seattle (lost 51-29) and Denver +7.5 vs LAC (lost 34-13)
Talking about where i went right to start the year to what actually happened. Right mostly but whiffed big on a few teams. (Unless you were a fan of the team: No body guessed, Cincinatti, Philly and Arizona were going to be this good.) Maybe you guessed Philly (Mike Scarlett). I did have Seattle out of the playoffs to start the year, but did not think they would be this bad.
Betting This year 37-28-1 overall (27-14-1 on pro bets)
Last week: 4-0-1
Won: Colts +5, Miami +3 or -2.5 whatever number you got, Under 39.5 in Miami/New Orleans game (23 pts), Under 42 in Las Vegas/Denver (30 pts)
TIed: Detroit +4 (lost 20-16 to Atlanta)
Acknowledging things i was wrong about. Staley and Harbaugh comparison.
33-28 on the year (23-14 on pro bets). Removed Washington +9.5 from bets due to Covid
Last week:
Won: Houston +4 against Jacksonville
Lost: Atlanta +9.5 (lost 33-13, with two red zone eggs), New England +2.5 (Went with the squares and lost, 1-3 on square bets this year: LAR October 31st -14.5 vs. Houston), Under 41.5 in Miami/New York Jets (scored 55 pts.)
Learned my lesson having 7 bets on the board. Trimmed it to 5. Pro vs. Joe game insight. Why I'm taking the Joe side and the sharps just overthink this one. (NE/Indy)
Year:32-25 (22-11 pro bets)
Last week: 3-4 (All Pro)
Won: Seattle -7.5 vs Houston (33-13), Over of 53 in Buffalo/TB, Under of 44 in New York Jets/New Orleans
Lost: Buffalo +3 vs. Tampa (lost 33-27 in OT), Las vegas +10 at KC (lost 48-9: worst bet of the year), Detroit +9.5 against Denver (lost 38-10), Lost the under of 43.5 in Denver/Detroit
Sean Mcdermott, Brandon Staley, Vic Fangio. Everyone has given too much respect to Andy Reid. And because of Tom Brady's success without Belichick. Forgot about him and that's a mistake.
29-21 on the year (19-7 pro)
Pro Picks Last week: 5-1
Won: Detroit +7.5, Arizona -7, Over 45 in Philly/NYJ, Over 48 in Cincy/LAC, Miami -2.5
Lost: Denver +9.5
Went 4-4 last week, 24-20 on the year, 14-6 pro picks, 10-14 college picks. I am done betting college, I do not watch the games enough to pick them accurately and will stay away unless there is one that stands out to me.
Lost:
Rutgers +1.5 got blown out by Maryland, UNLV +18 got blown out by Airforce, UTEP +13.5 got blown out by UAB, Steelers +4.5 got blown out by The Bengals
Won:
Cincinnati (Bearcats) -14, The Over of 45 Steelers and Bengals (51 pts. scored), Buffalo -5.5, Denver +3
20-16 on the year (10-5 pro picks).
Wise guys were right about Houston and Pittsburgh. Two bets i would have stayed away from. I'm 1-2 on "square" bets so far. So If I bet square, don't bet it.
Last week went 4-4
Won: MIami -3.5 over New York Jets (Miami won 24-17), Indianapolis +7 over Buffalo (Indy won 41-15), Minnesota +1.5 over Greenbay (Minn won 34-31), Umass +37 over Army (UMASS Lost by 16, 33-17).
Lost: New York Giants +12.5 over Tampa bay (NYG Lost 30-10), New Orleans +3 over Philly (New Orleans lost 40-29), SMU +10.5 over Cincinnati (SMU Lost 48-14), Michigan State +19 against Ohio State (MSU lost 56-7).
Covering betting lines for NFL week 11. Sitting at 16-12 on the year, coming off a 5-2 week. (2-1 college, 3-1 pro). Auburn (-5.5 lost) lost to Mississippi state, Michigan state (-12 won) beat Maryland by 20, East Carolina (+5.5 won) beat Memphis by 1. Atlanta (+9 lost) got smoked by 40 against dallas. Carolina (+10.5 won) beat Arizona by 24, Jacksonville (+10.5 won) lost to Indy by 6. Detroit (+8 won) tied Pittsburgh.
So far 11-10 on the year. Went 3-4 last week. 2-1 pro and 1-3 college. Won: Oklahoma state -3.5 vs. West Virginia, Green bay +7.5 vs KC, Won Tennessee (Titans) +7.5 Vs. LA Rams Lost: Airforce -2.5 Vs. Army (lost straight up), Ohio State -12.5 to Nebraska (won by 9), Navy +21 vs Notre Dame (lost by 24) This week I took 4 pro games (all dogs, 3 sharp/1 square bet) and 3 college: Jacksonville +10.5 @Indianapolis, Detroit +8@ Pittsburgh, Carolina +10.5@ Arizona, Atlanta +9 @ Dallas (Square bet)
Vrabel, Payton and Reid. Things do well and things they don't do well. Betting lines for pro and college. What to look for when you're betting. Currently 8-6 on record.
Last week went 2-1 pro (Tampa bay -5: Lost to New Orleans, Giants +10: lost by 3, LA Rams -14.5: beat Houston)
Went 2-2 in college (Stanford -2: lost to UW, Fresno +1.5: Won by 10, Buffalo -12.5 lost to Bowling green by 12, Tulane +25.5: lost by 19 to #2 Cincy).
Bowling green was an anomaly and hadn't scored more than 27 all year. Ok to lose that one.
The Titans bring the lost art of physicality to the modern game. The reason the game has been so finesse is one man, the man who came up with the air raid offense. Covering all pro betting lines and which games to stay away from and why. College lines that have value.
Talking about specific current cocah's:
Andy Reid: Why are the Chiefs so bad right now?
Jon Gruden reaction
Urban Meyer reaction
Matt Nagy is probably the most underrated coach in the NFL.
Why is Kingsbury having success as a pro coach and not a college coach?
Top 15 Coach's list re done with Jon Gruden exiting.
Ranking NFC and AFC teams top to bottom. 3 teams at this point in time will represent AFC and NFC west divisions in the playoffs. Whose left out and why. Finishing with the Top 15 NFL coach's according to James. Music Provided by: Deorro (featuring Chris Brown): "Five more hours" Borgeous and DVBBS: "Tsunami"
Talking about every AFC team to some degree. Who do we think will make the playoffs. Not as surprising as NFC because the AFC is easy to predict. Unless of course you're a Raiders or Broncos fan. Good luck! Though Derek Carr is like 12th best in the world at what he does. unfortunately, that's not good enough.
Every year in the NFL there are good teams that end up bad, and bad teams that end up good. Our thoughts and some commentary on all the NFC teams. A lot of talking about Green Bay and the competitive NFC west.
Ever wonder why your team's defense can't stop anyone? Well it might be because of the way they use their cap space. Every team is allowed to spend 220 million dollars for their 53 man roster. It's what makes the NFL great and why the cowboys don't win the superbowl every year, because they would have more money than anyone and buy the best players. It's why Jacksonville might be good again, or they wouldn't be able to pay anyone because their market is one of the smallest in the league. Pablo and I break down the NFL cap space and it may not be so surprising why the final four teams are who they are. Reviewing new coaching hires and pre season predictions, how we were right and wrong. All stats courtesy of spotrac.com
Top 5 kickers and punters according to a kicker. Talking buccaneers and playoffs, each game broken down as well as last 8 coach’s argued and ranked.
Talking 2020 season playoff predictions all the way through to who will be in the Super Bowl. Listen to Sean’s radio show @ Kazual Sports Radio Network or @ksrnaz.com
How much of a bummer would it be to see an 11-5 team miss the playoffs. Going into week 17 of the 2020 NFL season. We may just see that. A team as good as the Colts, would be a real shame to not see them get a crack in the post season. Talking predictions and possible scenarios for the Colts to get in. Comparing Rivers 2020 season to other sub par superbowl winning Qb's from the past.
Discussing Week 17 matchups, Predictions and players to watch out for. Discussion on Potential playoff matchups and what we are looking forward to seeing.
The NFC east went from winning 2 games outside the division through 9 weeks. To posting a respectable 11 wins by season's end. Still finishing as the worst division in the league with the winner guaranteed a losing record. We also are talking playoff scenarios. And asking why the NFL decided to flex the Washington/Philly game into Sunday night rather than AZ/LAR. Philly has nothing to play for and the Rams and Arizona need to win. Scratching my head on that.
Looking ahead into Fantasy Football championship week. NFL season week 16 and we have gotten most of our predictions right. Creason is coming into his finals and he got 2 of 4 teams to the finals. Notable sleepers: Marcus Mariota if he starts. Giovanni Bernard and Tee Higgins of Cincinnati find a way to produce, despite a dire situation. They have the 30th ranked defense in Houston this week. Emmanuel Sanders as New Orleans #1 receiver with Michael Thomas out this week. Surprise sits: Josh Allen coming off a huge high after winning the division for the first time in 25 years (He wasn't born the last time the bills won the division) and facing The patriots. The only team to hold him under 15 fantasy points all season. Saints Defense against a stout Vikings offense as another surprise sit.
Going into the mind of a Broncos fan. The standard in Denver is that you win superbowls and over the last 25 years they have won 3. the only team that can say they have won more is New England. Pittsburgh fans be like: "we've been to 4" but they have only won 2. Cole has a theory of why Denver has not been to the playoffs since their superbowl in 2015 with Peyton Manning. Also talking current playoff predictions. the AFC is loaded and ultimately we don't think it matters cause of the Chiefs. But it will be interesting who gets in. there will be a really good team sitting at home in January. Will it be the Colts? The Titans? The Ravens? The upstart Browns? The Dolphins? Not all of them will get in. NFC is a little more wide open but Guaranteed you have The Packers, The Rams, The Seahawks, The Bucs, and The Saints. In no particular order. Who are gonna be the other three teams? Vikings and Bears play a pseudo playoff game this week, loser is essentially out. The Eagles and Cardinals are playing for their lives in different situations. Should be really exciting in the last 3 weeks. Will the Washington/Philadelphia game week 17 be for the division?
Talking about situations you could be in going into playoffs and some random guys to look out for. People could be on COVID reserve or injured. Look out for Ronald Jones (COVID reserve, Matt Stafford hurt last game.) you are going to need some fill in players for big wholes in your roster in crunch time. Notable starts: Jalen Hurts is a must start until the league catches up to him, and Baker Mayfield vs. the Giants and Jets the next two weeks. Also a sleeper at Running back: The Miami back field is depleted due to Covid and Injury monitor this but Lynn Bowden (RB and WR) had 7 catches fir 82 yards who is similar to a dual threat player like Robert woods or Corderelle Patterson for Chicago, Miami may need to get creative offensively. Notable sits: AZ running backs Vs. the Eagles top 10 run Defense and playing inspired (thank God the Eagles are watchable). QB Justin Herbert as he is trending down as the season closes (3 TD's 4 INT in last 2 games). Though he has a favorable matchup (Las Vegas, #22 vs the pass), it is a division opponent on a short week and feels very much like a 21-17 low scoring almost unwatchable affair.
Should be noted. Pablo loves high powered passing offenses and James Loves offensive line play. Games like the Patriots and Baltimore were highlights to the season for James. Pablo fell asleep. Talking NFC east top to bottom and playoff predictions. We have a really interesting take on a sleeper team in the NFC. Should be interesting on that side of the bracket. We still think that the Chiefs are the best team and will win the superbowl but the rest of the teams in the AFC playoff picture are good and should make it entertaining but shouldn't effect the outcome. Bill Calihan is currently the Browns offensive line coach and was the cowboys offensive line coach when Zeke was relevant. Oh yeah and he was the offensive line coach for the Redskins when Alfred Morris had 1000 yard season. Coincidence to why the browns have the #1 O line in the league and are dominating at the line of scrimmage with the best running back duo in the NFL. I think not. Have fun people.
What we did right (Cam scored 25 pts, Beasley may have saved someone from losing the 1 seed) what we did wrong (Tight ends are impossible to predict, we picked all of them wrong Kamara looks like he will still get volume before week 15). Top sleepers and sits. Notable sits: New England is giving up an average of 11 catches a game to wide receivers. Be cautious with the Rams receiving core. though really good all the time. Do not be surprised if they surprise you with a rough week, not knowing who will get the targets of the 3. Notable starts: Look for Cam to continue to produce in fantasy, Darnold and Crowder may be throwing for the lives the rest of the season, don't be surprised if their high fantasy numbers continue having to play catch up the rest of the year. Talking playoffs throughout. Praying for Kyler Murray this week.
Bantering with a die hard Chiefs fan about who they think could beat the Chiefs. I might get buried but I think the Vikings are going to make the playoffs and represent the NFC in the Super bowl. Kirk Cousins could ruin it, but they are a lot like the Titans. Can run the ball with the second best running back (as long as he doesn't get hurt). QB is not as good as Tannehill but comparable. Defense is average. Vrabel is a better coach in my opinion but they wont have to play the Chiefs until the Superbowl, Whereas the Titans will have to beat the Chiefs to get to the Superbowl. Minnesota is Greenbay's Cryptonite and if the Pack end up with the 2 seed and the Vikings the 7. That is not a game the Packers want to play. Similar to the Raiders and Chiefs. Fortunately for the Chiefs, The AFC is loaded and a 9-7 or 10-6 Raiders team most likely will miss the playoffs. Colts are a team to look out for, despite getting worked by the Titans while missing their best D lineman (Colts note: Only team to hold the Chiefs to under 20 points in the last two seasons). Buffalo can't run the ball effectively enough to be a threat to the Chiefs in my opinion but should win their first playoff game under Sean Mcdermott (Currently my favorite coach in the NFL, not the best coach, just favorite). A Packers/Chiefs Superbowl would be fun to watch for everyone. But can the Packers get out of the NFC? Should be fun to watch as the season comes to a close.
What we got right, what went side ways. Can someone say Derek Carr! Top sleepers and top sits going into week 13. Any qb playing on Miami against the bengals is a must start. Latavius Murray looks like a better option than kamara as the saints prepare for a playoff push starting week 15 against the chiefs. Murray scored 25 points, and looks to compliment the offense with taysom hill better than kamara’s pass catching elusive back style of play.
Talking the bow tie vs the neck tie game that is the titans and colts. Should be a brawl to the bitter end to take sole control of the AFC south. Both teams look like contenders. Talking what other teams could be good as well.
Ranking the top quarterbacks in the NFL, most impactful position in sports. Hope you enjoy! Disclaimer there is noise in the background.
Listing all top sleepers and sits at every position. Notable sits: L Jackson coming in against a really good Pitt defense. D Johnson against Baltimore defense, held to 1 catch for 6 yards last outing. Notable sleepers: Tua playing the jets, Gallman vs. the Bengals.
Ranking the teams that could beat the chiefs and why. Talking AFC and NFC separately. AFC has 9 really good teams and two will be sitting at home, come play off time. Who do you think they will be? Are the rams really the biggest threat to the chiefs in the NFC? Sean’s rankings after the chiefs. AFC: 1. Tennessee 2. Buffalo 3. Indy 4. PITT 5. LV 6. Cleveland 7. Baltimore 8. Miami. NFC: 1. LAR 2. New Orleans 3. GB 4. TB 5. AZ 6. Seattle 7. Minnesota. Listen to Sean’s radio show @ Kazual Sports Radio Network or @ksrnaz.com
- Kansas City,: has become more balanced to protect hits on Mahomes but can obviously still sling it when needed. Skill players for days, arguably best qb tight end combo ever (Gronk and Brady). Best offensive coaching. Hard to argue. 2. Arizona: currently leading nfl in offensive stats. Have a top 5 qb, have a bunch of really good role players and a top 5-10 running back combo. Weak spot, below average offensive line. Coaching is suspect at times. 3. Saints: solid all around, top 3 running back, top 5-10 o line. Qb is limited but still slings it. Offensive coaching is superb, probably second behind Andy Reid. 4. Buccaneers: have the Goat at qb, have a top 10 o line, have a solid offensive coach, elite #1 receiver and a bunch of #2 best players on any team. 5. Packers: top 3 qb, top WR/QB combo, top 10-12 o line, top 5 running back tandem. 6. Seahawks: top 3 QB, above average o line, play calling is top 10, yardage is top 5, running backs are suspect, top 3 WR tandem. 7. Bills: probably a top 5 QB, brown and diggs are in my opinion too 3 WR tandem, coaching is superb. 8. Titans: solid all around, note: Luwan goes out and they are 1-3 since. Offensive line top 10, top 10 QB, top 2 RB, play calling is suspect at times. 9. Minnesota: top RB, manageable QB 19/40 probably, o line is improving, play calling below average, receivers and tight end A-. 10. Pittsburgh: Big Ben top 15 QB, 3 wide receivers might be the best in the league. O line top 5, coachingA+.
Updates on top performers and top sleepers and sits going into week 11. Identifying struggles of the Seattle defense. Identifying that Ronald Jones big day on the ground against Carolina might of been an anomaly. Keep an eye on players like Hines from Indianapolis and Kirk from Arizona to have good weeks!
Top sits and sleepers going into week 10. Look for Richie James for San Francisco to cool off die to other receivers returning and crowding targets, sit Jackson for LAC and keep an eye on any defense playing: Arizona, Green Bay, Kansas City, Seattle and Minnesota.
Buffalo has looked like an average football team over the past few weeks and have beaten a couple bad teams close. Look for Miami to push for the division but also potentially be setting themselves up for a potential qb with a top 5 pick they have from Houston in next years draft. To see what they have with Tua. Pats and jets are bad and the jets may only have a chance to beat the patriots with who is left on their schedule. It looks quite bleak.
Reviewing this weeks top performers. Then giving up to date stats and big time sleepers and sits and why going into week 9. Discussion with Creason Jones holding a fantasy 25-7 record.
Talking the most comical division in the NFL. And have a lot to say about the playoffs and who we think is going to get in, in the NFC. And who will smash the eagles in the first round😂. We do think the Greenbay packers are good but won’t get to a Super Bowl. Saints could beat out Tampa for the division and get a top 3 seed. While the loser will play and beat the eagles. Have fun!
Talking sleepers and fantasy philosophy with fantasy owner Creason Jones. Owns four teams with a 22-6 record. How do you find success with uncertainty and what should you be looking for? Especially in unpredictable fantasy numbers
Discussing one of the most interesting and comical situations in the NFL. The despite a tough schedule down the stretch, the Eagles being the front runner of the worst division in football, maybe in History. The 2020 NFC east currently totaling only two wins outside of the division. The giants are steadily improving but plays like Daniel Jones tripping over himself, sum up a bad football team. Washington has the opportunity vs cowboys to make their presence known. The cowboys though have everything insight, with reports of unrest in the locker room between players and coach’s, may be too much for this team to overcome.
AFC: 1. KC 2. Pittsburgh 3. Tennessee 4. Baltimore 5. Buffalo 6. LV 7. Indy 8. Cleveland 9. NE/Miami. NFC: tier 1: Tampa and Seattle, tier 2: Greenbay, Chicago, New Orleans, SF, LAR, Arizona tier 3: Carolina
The AFC west is an underrated division in the NFL. And is slowly improving. Despite tremendous injuries. Raiders have a top 5 O line with a top 2 or 3 O line coach....they can win the line of scrimmage and the number two spot in this division is theirs to lose. (The game is won with the O line.) The broncos and chargers are better than the records and should play well down the stretch. The next 5 games will give a fans an idea if the chargers are going into a complete rebuild to build around Herbert or if they are going to hang on to what they have for now. There next 5 games are manageable. We will see if they can make a playoff push. Their o line is bottom 5 in the league and that is why their record is what it is. KC is obviously the best team in this division but I do think second place will get competitive.
Ranking the bottom 12 teams, using stats but primarily point differential and viewing intrigue. General manager perspective/coach perspective.
Talking the worst division in football. The entire division has 2 wins against teams outside of the division. A total of 4 wins 15 losses and 1 tie. The Eagles play the Ravens and can easily lose that. Cowboys play Arizona in an even match up and the Washington football players play the Giants so someone has to win unless they tie. The whole thing is quite comical. We predict the cowboys to win the division ultimately due to their soft schedule. Only 3 remaining current winning teams left on their schedule.
Listing all 32 head Coach’s based on credentials and eye test. 1. Belicheck (GOAT) 2. Andy Reid (2 SB appearances, SB champ 2020, 8 ct appearances, 15-9 POR) 3. Pete carrol (2 SB appearances, SB champ 2013, 12-10 POR) 4. John Harbaugh (SB champ 2012, 10-7POR) 5. Mike Tomlin (2 SB appearances, SB champ 2008, 8-7 POR) 6. Sean Payton (SB champ 2010, 8-7 POR) 7. Doug Pederson (SB champ 2017, 4-2 POR) 8. Kyle shanahan (SB appearance) 9. Sean Mcvay (3/3 ws, SB appearance) 10. Mike Vrabel (2 PO wins, ct appearance, 2 ws) 11. Ron Rivera (3-4 PO record, SB appearance) 12. Mike Zimmer (4 PO appearances, ct appearance, 2 po wins) 13. Bruce Arians (ct appearance) 14. Matt La fleur (ct appearance) 15. Sean McDermott (2/3 PO appearances) 16. John Gruden (SB champ 2000, 5-4 POR) 17. Frank Reich (1 PO win) 18. Matt Nagy (PO appearance) 19. Mike McCarthy (10-8 Po record 2011 SB champs) 20. Anthony Lynn (2/3 ws , 1 po win) 21. Brian Flores 22. Rahim Morris (1 winning season) 23. Romeo crennel (1 winning season) 24. Doug Marrone (ct appearance, 2 po wins) 25. Adam gase (1 po appearance) 26. Kevin stefanski 27. Kliff kingsbury 28. Matt Rhule 29. Zac Taylor 30. Vic fangio 31. Joe judge 32. Matt Patricia
Run down of AFC south and predictions for the rest of the season. What to expect. 9-10 overall record. Minshew and Watson having really similar seasons
Discussion on AFC North overall records and seen as second toughest division in football. 13-5-1 as compared to the NFC west 14-6. Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Cleveland all legitimate Super Bowl contenders. Cincy is coming up with an joe burrow
Used to be one of the most interesting and competitive divisions in football. Atlanta, Carolina and New Orleans all have been to a super bowl within the last 10 years. Atlanta should have broken up after the day of infamy. ( I hope we all know which day that was). They just have a dark cloud hanging over them and it won’t leave till they end it.
The NFC east debacle: 3 wins, 1 win in division. 2 wins actually. 1 win because the cowboys got an onside kick against the falcons who finds way to lose all their games. And 1 win against a injury riddled SF team who despite popular belief. Kyle Shanahan doesn’t really win a lot without Jimmy Garrapolo