Challenging Models in the Face of Uncertainty: Recent Episodes
Cambridge University
Videos from the Challenging Models in the Face of Uncertainty Conference at CRASSH, 28 - 30 September 2010
Soundbites from the first of the Mellon-sponsored Sawyer Seminars, 'Modelling Risks in Financial Markets' (16 October 2009).
Professor José Scheinkman (Economics, Princeton), 'Speculation and Bubbles'. Keynote lecture for CRASSH workshop 'Modelling Risk in Financial Markets' (16 October 2009).
Professor David Spiegelhalter (Mathematics, Cambridge) previews the 2009-10 Mellon-sponsored seminar series 'Modelling Futures: Understanding Risk and Uncertainty'.
John Abraham: Key Challenges of Pharmaceutical Development, Regulation and Public Health
Professor John Abraham (Sociology, Sussex), 'Key Challenges of Pharmaceutical Development, Regulation and Public Health'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Healthy Futures: Medical Regulation and Human Agency' (22 January, 2010). Video includes discussant, Professor Deborah Ashby (Imperial College, London).
Christl Donnelly: Collaborative Research on the Spread of 2009 H1N1 Pandemic Influenza
Professor Christl Donnelly (Medicine, Imperial College, London), 'Collaborative Research on the Spread of 2009 H1N1 Pandemic Influenza - the Experience of the MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Healthy Futures: Medical Regulation and Human Agency' (22 January, 2010).
David Coggon: Chemical and Physical Hazards in the Environment
Professor David Coggon (Chair, Committee on Toxicity, Southampton), 'Chemical and Physical Hazards in the Environment'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Healthy Futures: Medical Regulation and Human Agency' (22 January, 2010).
John Edmunds (Discussant): Epidemics session, Healthy Futures workshop (January 2010)
Professor John Edmunds (London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine). Discussant for session 2, 'Epidemics' at CRASSH workshop 'Healthy Futures: Medical Regulation and Human Agency' (22 January, 2010). The discussant was responding to the papers 'How Uncertain Should I Be?' and 'Collaborative research on the spread of 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza' both of which are available from the 'Archive' drop down menu at the top right of this page.
Jonathan Wolff: When is Cost-Benefit Analysis Morally Acceptable in Health Decision Making?
Professor Jonathan Wolff (Philosophy, University College London), 'When is Cost-Benefit Analysis Morally Acceptable in Health Decision Making (and What Should We Do When It Isn't)'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Healthy Futures: Medical Regulation and Human Agency' (22 January, 2010).
Kari Auranen: How uncertain should I be?
Dr Kari Auranen (Institue for Health and Welfare, Helsinki). 'How uncertain should I be? Experiences from Epidemiologic Modelling'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Healthy Futures: Medical Regulation and Human Agency' (22 January, 2010).
Stephen John (Discussant): Policy session, Healthy Futures workshop (January 2010)
Dr Stephen John (History and Philosophy of Science, Cambridge), Discussant for session 3, 'Policy' at CRASSH workshop 'Healthy Futures: Medical Regulation and Human Agency' (22 January, 2010). The discussant was responding to the papers 'When is Cost-Benefit Analysis Morally Acceptable in Health Decision Making?' and 'Chemical and Physical Hazards in the Environment' both of which are available from the 'Archive' drop down menu at the top right of this page.
Frank Fischer: The Risk Society
Professor Frank Fischer (Politics and Global Affairs, Rutgers), 'The Risk Society: Citizens and Experts in Reflexive Governance'. Keynote lecture for CRASSH workshop 'Managing our Future: Environmental and Natural Hazards' (12 March, 2010).
Mike Hulme: Censuring Climate
Professor Mike Hulme (Environmental Science, UEA), 'Censuring Climate: Drought, Famine and Politics of Risk in Early 1970 Sahel'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Managing our Future: Environmental and Natural Hazards' (12 March, 2010).
David Nally: Risk and the Regulation of Scarcity
Dr David Nally (Geography, Cambridge) 'Risk and the Regulation of Scarcity'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Managing our Future: Environmental and Natural Hazards' (12 March, 2010).
Keith Richards: Creating and Managing 'the largest poisoning of a people in history'
Professor Keith Richards (Geography, Cambridge) 'Creating and Managing 'the largest poisoning of a people in history'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Managing our Future: Environmental and Natural Hazards' (12 March, 2010).
David Polya: Human Health Risks Attributable to Groundwater Arsenic in Southern Asia
Professor David Polya (Environmental Geochemistry, Manchester) 'Human Health Risks Attributable to Groundwater Arsenic in Southern Asia: Models, Perception and Action in the Light of Beck's Risk Society'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Managing our Future: Environmental and Natural Hazards' (12 March, 2010).
Peter Atkins: Environmental Risk, Health and the Law
Professor Peter Atkins (Geography, Durham) 'Environmental Risk, Health and the Law: A Case Study of Groundwater Contamination in Bangladesh'. Paper delivered at CRASSH workshop 'Managing our Future: Environmental and Natural Hazards' (12 March, 2010).
Question Time: Challenging Models in the Face of Uncertainty
Chair: Mary Jacobus (University of Cambridge) and David Spiegalhalter (University of Cambridge)
Panelists: Susan Owens (University of Cambridge), William Janeway (Warburg Pincus, London, New York), Dan Kahan (Yale Law School)
Challenging Models in the Face of Uncertainty - Conference Keynote: Professor Mike Hulme (UEA): How do Climate Models Gain and Exercise Authority?
Dan Kahan (Yale Law School): Cultural Cognition and the Challenge of Science Communication
Chaired Debate: In the Aftermath of the Financial Crisis, Can We Still Model Economic Agents as Rational Actors?
Melissa Leach: Imagining and Negotiating Pathways in an Age of Anxiety and Incomplete Knowledge
Challenging Models in the Face of Uncertainty - Johan Rockström (Stockholm University): Building Resilience in an Era of Rapid Global Change
Chaired Debate: Is Building Bigger and 'Better' Climate Change Models a Poor Investment? Jonathan Rougier (University of Bristol) and Tim Palmer (University of Oxford)
Andrew Stirling (University of Sussex): From Risk Regulation to Innovation Governance: Reconciling Rationality, Progress, Precaution and Democracy