Welcome to the official podcast for the National Association for Business Economics! Your one stop shop for catching up on the latest in business economics on the go.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities.
Hosts Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado break down the latest ADP data showing slowing private sector job growth and discuss what it means for the broader labor market. They explore whether AI, global trade, and immigration are playing a role in weaker hiring, and why government data remains essential for understanding employment trends—especially during a government shutdown. The hosts also preview the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, including expectations for a rate cut, and highlight NABE’s annual meeting in Philadelphia featuring Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Follow the podcast and turn on notifications so you never miss an episode! The Labor Brief drops every Monday following the employment report.
Don’t miss the 67th NABE Annual Meeting, October 12–14 in Philadelphia. Arranged around the theme Global Economy in Transition: Finding Opportunity Amid Disruption, the conference will tackle challenges from geopolitical instability and shifting trade policies to climate change and evolving labor markets. Full conference, single-day, and virtual rates are available—the advance deadline is October 8, so act soon to secure your spot.
In this episode of The Inflation Brief, hosts Greg Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton unpack the latest CPI report, which shows notable increases in both headline and core CPI. From rising food prices to the impact of tariffs, the conversation explores what’s driving the current inflation landscape—and why it’s more complicated than simple demand-pull or cost-push narratives.
Listen in as we dive into:
Greg and Laura also weigh in on the possibility of dissent within the FOMC, and why monetary conditions, supply chain shifts, and policy choices are creating some unusual inflation dynamics.
If you're curious about what bananas, coffee, and basis points can tell us about U.S. monetary policy, this is one episode you don’t want to miss.What is NABE? The National Association for Business Economics is the leading association for business economists and professionals who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has brought together top voices from business, academia, and policy—offering world-class conferences, career development, industry insights, and unparalleled networking. Past presidents include former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leadersFirst time listener and want to learn more about NABE? Visit NABE.com, connect with our LinkedIn page, or follow us on X (@nabe_econ).
Hosts Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado break down the latest jobs report, preview the upcoming BLS benchmark revisions, and discuss mounting concerns about the U.S. statistical system. They examine how policy shifts—from tariffs and immigration measures to reductions in the government workforce—are shaping employment trends across key sectors such as construction, private education, and healthcare. The conversation also takes a closer look at rising unemployment rates among some groups and the growing risks to data integrity as budget cuts and staffing pressures challenge agencies like the BLS and the quality of the statistics they produce.
Follow the podcast and turn on notifications so you never miss an episode! The Labor Brief drops every Monday following the employment report.
On this episode, Laura Rosner-Warburton is joined by special guest Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, for a deep dive into the latest inflation data and what it means for markets and the Fed. They unpack the mixed CPI report, surprising tariff pass-through patterns, the “gut punch” from core services inflation, and the blockbuster PPI print that shook expectations. The conversation also covers the recent firing of the BLS Commissioner, the risks to data integrity, and how ongoing modernization efforts could shape future economic reporting.
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Join the National Association for Business Economics, the nation’s leading network for business economists and professionals applying economics in the workplace, and gain access to premier conferences, cutting-edge research, and unmatched career development opportunities. Connect with top leaders from the Federal Reserve, industry, and academia across 20+ specialized Roundtables covering today’s most dynamic economic fields.
Hosts, Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado, unpack the latest jobs report, highlighting lower-than-expected job growth and historically large downward revisions that signal a broader economic slowdown. They examine how these developments have shifted market expectations toward a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in September, with further cuts possible by year-end. The discussion also explores sector-specific trends, inflation implications, and how external factors like tariffs may complicate the Fed's next moves.
Follow the podcast and turn on notifications so you never miss an episode! The Labor Brief drops ever Monday after the employment report.
Not a NABE member? Join now!
In this episode of ECON-versations with NABE, we bring you a special replay of the July 2025 Business Conditions Survey webinar—featuring timely insights into the current business climate and what lies ahead.
How are U.S. businesses navigating rising costs and shifting policy expectations?The July 2025 NABE Business Conditions Survey reveals a measured response from firms, with mounting pressure on hiring and investment plans, and continued increases in materials costs.
Survey Chair Selma Hepp—Senior Vice President and Chief Economist at Cotality—leads the discussion, joined by survey analysts Sara Rutledge (Founder and Chief Economist, SRR Consulting) and Lester Jones (VP of Analytics and Chief Economist, National Beer Wholesalers Association). They unpack the data and answer audience questions in this data-rich conversation.
The survey reflects responses from 63 NABE members collected between July 2–11, 2025, covering second-quarter results and near-term business outlooks. The full report is available exclusively to NABE members at NABE.com/Surveys.
This webinar occurred live on July 28, 2025.
In this episode of The Inflation Brief, Greg Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton unpack the latest CPI report, highlighting how rising energy costs and power market dynamics are pushing consumer prices higher. They explore the inflationary impact of tariffs on goods like food and beverages, and introduce a new way to track price pressures in tariff-sensitive sectors. The conversation also covers emerging disinflationary trends in shelter and travel, along with shifting consumer behavior. As inflation forecasts evolve, Greg and Laura discuss what it all means for the Fed’s policy path and the broader economic outlook.
Greg Daco, NABE Vice President; Chief Economist, EY
Laura Rosner-Warbuton, Senior Economist and Founding Partner, MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC
This episode was recorded on July 17, 2025.
Not a NABE member? Join today!
NABE is the premier professional association for businesseconomists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and careerdevelopment offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
ECON-versations with NABE's monthly series The Labor Brief, hosted byEllen Zentner and Julia Coronado, returns with a timely analysis of the latest payroll report, released just before the July 4th holiday. They unpack weaker private employment figures, a slight dip in the unemployment rate, and signs of employer caution despite solid headline numbers. The conversation turns to the Federal Reserve’s next move, with a possible September rate cut on the table, and explores how shifting immigration policies and new fiscal legislation could impact labor supply and growth.
Follow the podcast and turn on notifications so you never miss an episode! The Labor Brief drops every Monday after the employment report.
Not a NABE member? Join now!
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This is a webinar replay from June 16, 2025.
In this episode of ECON-versations with NABE, we dive into the results of the June 2025 NABE Outlook Survey. Our panel of survey analysts unpacks the top concerns weighing on forecasters, including the economic impact of tariffs, weaker-than-expected labor market gains, and a growing federal deficit. Tune in for insights into what these findings mean for businesses, policymakers, and the broader economic outlook.
Kathy Bostjancic, Survey Chair; Chief Economist and Senior Vice President, Nationwide
Martin Holdrich, Senior Economist, Woods & Poole Economics, Inc.
Mervin Jebaraj, Director, Center for Business and Economic Research, University of Arkansas
Brian Lewandowski, Executive Director, University of Colorado at Boulder
🔗 NABE members can read the full results at NABE.com/Surveys. Not a NABE Member? Join to access exclusive content and insights at NABE.com/Join.
In this episode of ECON-versations with NABE, hosts Greg Daco (Chief Economist at EY and NABE Vice President) and Laura Rosner-Warburton (Senior Economist and Founding Partner at MacroPolicy Perspectives) are joined by special guest Alan Detmeister, Senior Economist and Executive Director at UBS, for a deep dive into the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) trends and what they reveal about the U.S. economy.
Together, they unpack the recent downside surprises in inflation data, discuss the role of seasonal distortions, and explore whether tariff effects are beginning to take hold—or are still to come. The conversation also spotlights an under-the-radar shift in the BLS's data collection procedures, raising key questions about the reliability of inflation measures moving forward.
With rising geopolitical tensions and energy price volatility, the trio tackles the potential return of stagflationary pressures, what it means for core vs. headline inflation, and how the Federal Reserve might respond in an increasingly complex economic environment.
This episode was recorded on Friday, June 13, 2025.
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🎧📈 Tune in every Monday following the CPI report for a new episode with Greg and Laura!
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! In this episode, former NABE presidents Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado break down the latest trends in the U.S. labor market—exploring the implications of slowing job growth, the ripple effects of employment data revisions, what restaurant hiring reveals about the state of tourism, the role of immigration in shaping the labor force, and more.
Ellen is Chief Economic Strategist and Global Head of Thematic and Macro Investing at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Julia is President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC.
Tune in every Monday after the BLS Employment Situation release!
Registration is open for the NABE Foundation Economic Measurement Seminar! Join us for the data event of the year! With 20+ sessions, 50+ expert speakers, and 100+data series discussed, EMS is your go-to event for cutting-edge insights into data and measurement techniques that shape informed decision-making.
Returning attendee? Track B brings fresh, in-depth discussions on topics like measuring the impact of natural disasters, analyzing trade through input-output tables, and identifying key turning points in the business cycle.
Don’t miss out—visit NABE.com/EMS2025 for more details and to register today!
📊 In a world awash with numbers, understanding how economic data are built—and what they really mean—is more important than ever.
This one-hour webinar previews the 2025 Economic Measurement Seminar, the go-to event for professionals who depend on high-quality, real-time economic data. You'll get a sneak peek into key topics covered at the full seminar, including:
Whether you're shaping business strategy, doing economic modeling, or influencing policy, this preview gives you practical insights—and shows why the full EMS experience keeps attendees coming back.
Perfect for past participants and first-timers alike. Tune in and see why economic data matter more than ever.
This is a replay from a webinar held on May 19, 2025. NABE Survey Analysts dive into the results and take audience questions. The full report can be access by NABE members at NABE.com/Surveys.
Bryan Bezold, Senior Economist, Ford Motor Company
Lester Jones, CBE, Vice President of Analytics and Chief Economist, National Beer Wholesalers Association
Sara Rutledge, Founder and Chief Economist, SRR Consulting
The May 2025 NABE Business Conditions Survey report presents the responses of 63 NABE members to a survey conducted April 21-30, 2025, on business conditions in their firms or industries, and reflects first-quarter 2025 results and the near-term outlook.
Welcome back to our monthly series on inflation and the Fed! This month, hosts Gregory Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton are joined by guest Omair Sharif to break down the latest CPI and PPI reports. They explore how tariffs are affecting inflation metrics and price indices, discuss shifts in their economic forecasts, and consider what direction Fed policy might take in the coming months.
Greg is the Vice President of NABE and Chief Economist at EY. Laura is Senior Economist and Founding Partner at MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. Omair is Founder and President of Inflation Insights LLC.
Be sure to tune in every Monday after the CPI release for a new episode!
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! In this edition of our monthly labor market series, former NABE Presidents Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado break down the April employment report and explore how it aligns—or diverges—from real-time data from Indeed. Joining the conversation is Cory Stahle from the Indeed Hiring Lab, who offers insight into current wage and hiring trends and what it all could mean for the Federal Reserve’s next move.
Ellen is Chief Economic Strategist and Global Head of Thematic and Macro Investing at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Julia is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. Cory is an Economist at Indeed's Hiring Lab.
Be sure to tune in after every employment report for our labor series as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
The initial April 2025 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 41 professional forecasters. The initial survey, covering the outlook for 2025 and 2026, was conducted March 18-25, 2025. In order to capture rapidly changing economic conditions, a flash survey was conducted April 7-9, 2025, and presents the consensus 2025-2026 macroeconomic forecast of 32 professional forecasters out of the 41 initially surveyed. The NABE Outlook Survey originated in 1965,and is one of three surveys conducted by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE); the others are the NABE Business Conditions Survey and the NABE Economic Policy Survey. Founded in 1959, the National Association for Business Economics is the professional association for those who use economics in their work. NABE has over 2,800 members and 44 chapters nationwide. Kathy Bostjancic (chair), Nationwide; Martin Holdrich, Woods & Poole Economics, Inc.; Mervin Jebaraj, University of Arkansas; Tendayi Kapfidze, Wells Fargo; Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, National Retail Federation; Brian Lewandowski, University of Colorado; Caitlin Patrick, National Association for Business Economics; Rebecca Rockey, Cushman & Wakefield; and Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors of America, conducted the analysis of survey responses for this report. Edited by Kate Anderson. The views expressed in this report are those of the panelists, and do not necessarily represent the views of their affiliated companies or institutions. This report may be reproduced in whole or in part with appropriate citation to NABE.
SUMMARY: “NABE panelists lowered their forecasts for economic growth for 2025 and 2026 following the April 2nd tariff announcement,” said NABE President Emily Kolinski Morris, CBE, chief economist, Ford Motor Company. “The Flash Survey calls for inflation-adjusted gross domestic product to increase by 1.3% this year, down from 1.9% in the initial April survey. Similarly, the outlook for 2026 economic growth is 1.4%, down from 1.9%.
“In addition, half of the participants place the probability of recession in 2025 between 25% and 49%, while 37% place the odds at 50% or higher. This compares with 8% who placed the odds of recession in 2025 at 50% or higher just prior to the April 2nd tariff announcement.”
“Inflation forecasts for this year were lifted higher, while projections for next year were little changed in the Flash Survey,” added NABE Outlook Survey Chair Kathy Bostjancic, chief economist, Nationwide. “Survey respondents now forecast the consumer price index will accelerate to a 3.4% annual rate by the end of 2025, up from the estimated 3.0% annual pace in the initial April survey.
“Similarly, the estimate for the personal consumption expenditure price index was boosted to an annual 3.5% by year-end, up from 2.7% in the initial survey. Panelists did not alter the forecast path for the Federal funds rate in 2025, continuing to call for a 25-basis-point rate cut in Q3 2025 and another 25-bps rate reduction in Q4 2025.”
To download the full report, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
Welcome back to our monthly series on inflation and the Fed! Our hosts, Gregory Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton, break down the March CPI report and the latest on tariffs with Yale Budget Lab's Ernie Tedeschi.
Gregis the Vice President of NABE and Chief Economist at EY. Laurais Senior Economist and Founding Partner at MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. Ernie is the Director of Economics at The Budget Lab at Yale University.
Be sure to tune in every Monday after the CPI release for a new episode!
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On our monthly labor series, former NABE presidents Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado discuss the March employment report, how the Fed is reacting to policy shifts, and discuss the outlook with Burning Glass Institute's Guy Berger.
Ellen is Chief Economic Strategist and Global Head of Thematic and Macro Investing at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Julia is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. Guy is Director of Economic Research at The Burning Glass Institute.
Be sure to tune in after every employment report for our labor series as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to our monthly series on inflation and the Fed! Our hosts, Gregory Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton, break down the February CPI report, highlight key takeaways, assess tariff risks to the outlook, discuss the University of Michigan inflation expectations, and explore how the Fed will balance its mandate ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Greg is the Vice President of NABE and Chief Economist at EY. Laura is Senior Economist and Founding Partner atMacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. Be sure to tune in every Monday after the CPI release for a new episode!
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! Former NABE Presidents Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado discuss the February jobs and payroll report, asses the impact of federal layoffs, wrap up the NABE Policy Conference and Monetary Policy Forum, and weigh in on their outlook for the March report.
Ellen is Chief Economic Strategist and Global Head of Thematic and Macro Investing at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Julia is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. Be sure to tune in after everyemployment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures ineconomics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE includeformer Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Listen in for an in-depth analysis of the Trump Administration’s latest tariff proposals and their potential impact on global trade, U.S. industries, and the broader macroeconomy. Our expert panel examines key economic implications, including supply chain disruptions, inflationary pressures, and shifting trade alliances. We also explore the geopolitical ramifications of these policies and what they mean for businesses and consumers alike.
Joshua Bailey, Principal Global Economist, Economist Intelligence Unit
Michael Pearce, Deputy Chief U.S. Economist, Oxford EconomicsModerator: Tani Fukui, Macroeconomist and Senior Director, MetLife Investment Management
This was recorded February 20, 2025.
Don't miss the41st Annual NABE Economic Policy Conference, March 2-4, in Washington, DC! The advance deadline is Wednesday, February 26. In-person, single day, and virtual registration is available - act now!
Organized under the theme, “Global Reset? New Dynamics Facing Business and Policy Leaders,” the 2025 conference will delve into the rapidly evolving economic landscape shaped by intensifying geopolitical and trade tensions, transformative technological advancements, climate change challenges, and mounting fiscal imbalances. Through in-depth discussions and expert insights, the conference will explore how businesses and governments can navigate these pressing and persistent issues to build resilience and foster growth.
Welcome back to our monthly series on inflation and the Fed! Our hosts, Gregory Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton, discuss the "hot and sticky" CPI print, analyze core inflation components and the mixed signals in the inflation data, and how the Fed might approach the March FOMC.
Greg is the Vice President of NABE and Chief Economist at EY. Laura is Senior Economist and Founding Partner at MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. Be sure to tune in every Monday after the CPI release for a new episode.
Join us in Washington, DC for the 41st Annual NABE Economic Policy Conference! This year's conference will feature numerous sessions dedicated to analyzing the anticipated policy shifts under the second Trump administration, including the potential for tariffs, expanded deregulation, and evolving energy policies, examining their profoundimplications for economic growth, the job market, and inflation. Don't miss this unparalleled opportunity to engage with key figures, both inside and outside of the administration, and gain actionable insights during this pivotal moment for the economy.
This is a webinar replay from February 11, 2025.
California wildfires are just the latest example of how climate change is impacting households, businesses, and the environment. The economic costs are mounting, as is the public health impacts. With insurance premiums as well as accessibility to insurance products as key headwinds to mitigate risks, there is a struggle to find a way forward to rebuilding, resiliency, and an effective transition to a more stable and secure backdrop.
Speakers:
Moderator:Stuart Mackintosh, CBE, Executive Director, The Group of Thirty
NABE Policy Conference Chair Elaine Buckberg and co-host of ECON-versations Ellen Zentner unpack key themes of the conference program, spotlight sessions to watch for, cover interactive elements of the conference, and more! To register and view the full program, please visit NABE.com/PC2025.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! Former NABEPresidentsEllen Zentner andJulia Coronado sit down with Arnold C. Harberger Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago,Ufuk Akcigit, and discuss his work on the IntuitQuickbooks Small Business Index.
Ellen Zentner, Chief Economic Strategist and Global Head ofThematic and Macro Investing, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Julia Coronado, President and Founder, MacroPolicyPerspectives LLC
We hope to see you for the41st Annual NABE Economic Policy Conference March 2-4 in Washington, DC! Organized under the theme, “Global Reset? New Dynamics Facing Business and Policy Leaders,” the conference will delve into the rapidly evolving economic landscape shaped by intensifying geopolitical and trade tensions, transformative technological advancements, climate change challenges, and mounting fiscal imbalances. Through in-depth discussions and expert insights, the conference will explore how businesses and governments can navigate these pressing and persistent issues to build resilience and foster growth.
Live from San Francisco at the 2025 ASSA Annual Meeting! This episode is a recording from the NABE "Will A.I. Save Us or Destroy Us?" session on January 4, 2025.
Erik Brynjolfsson, Stanford University | Slides
Anton Korinek, University of Virginia | Slides
Hal Varian, Google | Slides
Moderator: Benjamin Leyden, Cornell University
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Live from San Francisco at the 2025 ASSA Annual Meeting! This episode is a recording from the NABE "Global Macroeconomic and Policy Outlook" session on January 3, 2025.
Maurice Obstfeld, Peterson Institute for International Economics | Slides
Alvaro Pereira, OECD | Slides
Christina Romer, University of California-Berkeley | Slides
Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley
Moderator: Charles Steindel, CBE, NABE Business EconomicsNABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is a webinar replay from the January 2025 NABE Business Conditions Survey Results webinar held on January 27, 2025. Survey Chair Selma Hepp and Survey Analysts Julia Pollak and Sara Rutledge cover the highlights of the report and take audience questions.
For more information and to download the full report, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
The January 2025 NABE Business Conditions Survey report presents the responses of 70 NABE members to a survey conducted December 30, 2024-January 13, 2025, on business conditions in their firms or industries, and reflects fourth-quarter 2024 results and the near-term outlook.
The NABE Business Conditions Survey—formerly the NABE Industry Survey—has been conducted quarterly since 1982. This survey is one of three administered by NABE; the others are the quarterly NABE Outlook and the semiannual NABE Economic Policy Survey. Founded in 1959, the National Association for Business Economics is the professional association for people who use economics in their work. Selma Hepp, CoreLogic (Survey Chair); Bryan Bezold, Ford Motor Company; Carlos Herrera, Coca-Cola North America; Lester Jones, CBE, National Beer Wholesalers Association; Brent Meyer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Caitlin Patrick, National Association for Business Economics; Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter; Sara Rutledge, SRR Consulting; Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors of America; and Laura Speake, Caterpillar Inc., conducted the analysis for this report. Edited by Kate Anderson.
Listen in as our experts provide insights on consumer trends and the outlook for 2025!
Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, Chief Economist, National Retail Federation
Michael Uhrich, Founder and Chief Economist, Seventh Point Consulting
Sarah Wolfe, Senior Economist and Strategist, Thematic and Macro Investing, Morgan Stanley
Webinar replay from January 22, 2025.
Join us in Washington, D.C. for the 41st Annual NABE Economic Policy Conference! This year's conference will feature numerous sessions dedicated to analyzing the anticipated policy shifts under the second Trump administration, including potential for tariffs, expanded deregulation, and evolving energy policies, examining their profound implications for economic growth, the job market, and inflation. Don't miss this unparalleled opportunity to engage with key figures, both inside and outside of the administration, and gain actionable insights during this pivotal moments for the economy.
Welcome back to our monthly series on inflation and the Fed!
Is inflation making its way back to pre-pandemic patterns? How do tariffs shake up CPI components? And what might the Fed do next? 🔍 Our hosts, Gregory Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton, dive into these hot topics and more in this must-listen episode.
Greg is the Vice President of NABE and the Chief Economist of EY. Laura is a Senior Economist and Founding Partner at MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. Be sure to tune in every Monday after the CPI release for a new episode.
Join us in Washington, DC for the 41st Annual NABE Economic Policy Conference! This year's conference will feature numerous sessions dedicated to analyzing the anticipated policy shifts under the second Trump administration, including the potential for tariffs, expanded deregulation, and evolving energy policies, examining their profound implications for economic growth, the job market, and inflation. Don't miss this unparalleled opportunity to engage with key figures, both inside and outside of the administration, and gain actionable insights during this pivotal moment for the economy.
Early-Bird Registration ends TOMORROW - Wednesday,January 22. Register now to save $150 off the onsite rate!
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! Former NABE Presidents Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado discuss the December jobs and payroll report, whether the labor market is on a cooling or stabilizing trend, the impact of the Los Angeles fires, and more.
Be sure to tune in after every employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to our monthly series on inflation and the Fed! On this episode, Gregory Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton analyze the latest CPI report, dive into inflation dynamics, discuss good prices and market reactions, and more.
Greg is the Vice President of NABE and the Chief Economist of EY. Laura is a Senior Economist and Founding Partner at MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC. Be sure to tune in every Monday after the CPI release for a new episode.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! Former NABEPresidents Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronadodiscuss the November jobs and payroll report, the dilemma for the Fed, the impact of immigration on the labor market, and more. Be sure to tune in after every employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the FederalReserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This is a webinar replay from November 25, 2024.
Join us as NABE Survey Analysts break down the November 2024 NABE Outlook Survey results and take audience questions. The November 2024 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 38 professional forecasters. The survey, covering the outlook for 2024 and 2025, was conducted October 29 - November 8, 2024.The NABE Outlook Survey originated in 1965, and is one of three surveys conducted by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE); the others are the NABE Business Conditions Survey and the NABE Economic Policy Survey. Founded in 1959, the National Association for Business Economics is the professional association for those who use economics in their work. NABE has over 2,900 members and 44 chapters nationwide. Kathy Bostjancic (chair), Nationwide; Martin Holdrich, Woods & Poole Economics, Inc.; Mervin Jebaraj, University of Arkansas; Tendayi Kapfidze, Wells Fargo; Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, National Retail Federation; Brian Lewandowski, University of Colorado; Caitlin Patrick, National Association for Business Economics; Rebecca Rockey, Cushman & Wakefield; and Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors of America, conducted the analysis of survey responses for this report.
For more information and to access the full report, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
Welcome to our new monthly series of ECON-versations with NABE on inflation and the Fed! Gregory Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton dive into the latest CPI report, discuss the landscape for inflation in 2025, and more.
Greg is the Vice President of NABE and the Chief Economist of EY. Laura is a Senior Economist and Founding Partner at Macro Policy Perspectives LLC. Be sure to tune in every Monday after the CPI release for a new episode!
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Weclome back to ECON-versations with NABE! Former NABE Presidents Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado discuss the October employment report, housing, and their thoughts on the Fed. Be sure to tune in after every employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Tune in to examine how escalating climate threats—like hurricanes, wildfires, and flooding—are transforming the property insurance market. Our panel will cover the sharp rise in insurance premiums, fueled by higher reinsurance costs and growing disaster risks, and the financial pressures this creates for homeowners in vulnerable areas. Listeners will learn about the evolving relationship between migration patterns, disaster risk and insurance affordability and gain insights into how these trends impact both homeowners and the economy at large.This is a webinar replay from October 9, 2024.
Speakers:Ethan Aumann, Senior Director, Environmental Issues and Resiliency, American Property Casualty Insurance AssociationSelma Hepp, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, CoreLogicBenjamin Keys, Professor, The Wharton School
Moderator:Stuart Mackintosh, CBE, Executive Director, The Group of ThirtyNABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! Former NABE President's Ellen Zentner and Julia Coronado discuss the September employment report. Be sure to tune in after every employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
On this episode of ECON-versations with NABE, Money Life with Chuck Jaffe interviews NABE Outlook Survey Chair Mervin Jebaraj on the results of the September 2024 Outlook Survey Results.
Visit NABE.com/Surveys to read the report summary and download the full report.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! Former NABE President Julia Coronado sits down with GWU Professor and former Treasury official Tara Sinclair to discuss the August employment report. Be sure to tune in after every employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado, President and Founder, MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC
Tara Sinclair, Professor of Economics and International Affairs, The George Washington University
We hope to see you for the NABE Annual Meeting September 29 through October 1 in Nashville, TN! For more information and to register, please visit NABE.com/AM2024.
The U.S. enjoys a safe harbor investment premium—a value that investors place on U.S. safety, soundness and stability. Along several different dimensions, however, U.S. political risk has risen over the last eight years, and there is some evidence to suggest that markets may be underpricing the current level of political risk in the U.S. What impact would a modest increase in risk have on U.S. bond yields -- and ultimately wealth and GDP? Join our panel for a deep dive into the repercussions of increased uncertainty and risk, and the erosion of the safe harbor advantages.
This is a webinar replay from September 4, 2024. Interested in attending a NABE webinar live? Keep up with all NABE events at NABE.com/events.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This is a webinar replay from August 19, 2024.
Join us as NABE Survey Analysts break down the August 2024 NABE Policy Survey results and take audience questions. The August 2024 NABE Economic Policy Survey summarizes the responses of 132 members of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE). Conducted semiannually, this survey was administered July 24-31, 2024. Sam Khater, Freddie Mac, Survey Chair; Elaine Buckberg, Harvard University; Jared Franz, Capital Group; Selma Hepp, CoreLogic; Lester Jones, CBE, National Beer Wholesalers Association; Ed Kean; Chad Moutray, National Restaurant Association; Pia Orrenius, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas; Caitlin Patrick, National Association for Business Economics; and Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors of America.
Survey findings may be reprinted in whole or in part with credit given to NABE. Survey results can be viewed online, including complete tabulations, at NABE.com/Surveys. This is one of three surveys conducted by NABE—the other two are the NABE Outlook Survey and the NABE Business Conditions Survey.
Join us as NABE President, Ellen Zentner, sits down with Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President and CEO Tom Barkin!
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! NABE President Ellen Zentner and former NABE President Julia Coronado discuss the July employment report. Be sure to tune in after every employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! NABE President Ellen Zentner and former NABE President Julia Coronado discuss the June employment report.
Be sure to tune in after every employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy!
Join us as Michael Horrigan, CBE, President, WE Upjohn Institute, and Adam Safir, Chief of the Division of Consumer Expenditure Surveys at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, talk about the changes we’ve seen in consumer expenditures during and after the pandemic. We tackle topics such as which expenditures declinedthe most, how spending on childcare and healthcare were affected, and how consumer behavior has changed with rising inflation – or, did you take that planned vacation?.
Want to learn more? Join us for the NABE Economic Measurement Seminar, July 15 and 16, in Washington, D.C. and online. For more information and to register, visit NABE.com/EMS2024.
Listen in as NABE President Ellen Zentner, Chief U.S. Economist at Morgan Stanley, speaks with Kyla Scanlon, author of In this Economy? How Money & Markets Really Work. You’ve heard of a “vibecession,” now hear directly from Kyla, who coined the term, on what it means. Plus, find out about inflation’s impact on households, survey methodology in the modern age, funding for statistical agencies, the Fed’s financial accounts, “buy now, pay later,” anecdotal evidence, and consumer sentiment withthe upcoming election.
You can hear more from Kyla Scanlon at the 2024 NABE Foundation Economic Measurement Seminar during her session with Joey Politano of Apricitas Economics on “The Nexus of Economic Commentary and Social Media.”
In this week's episode of Measurement Mondays we speak with Tom Howells, Chief of the Industry Economics Division at the Bureau of Economic Analysis to talk GDP! Ever wonder why the BEA releases real and nominal GDP figures? Which figures should you be using and why? Plus, there is more to GDP than just the top-line figures. Join us as we walk through the differences of BEA’s value added by industry statistics and the headline GDP measure. They should all give the same answer, but each one comes at GDP from a different angle and often using different source data. Hear Tom discuss how these measures are calculated.
Want to learn more about the data produced by the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Bureau of Labor Statistics? Check out the more than 100 data series that will be discussed at this year’s Economic Measurement Seminar, July 15-16 in Washington, DC, and online. For more information and to register, visit NABE.com/EMS2024.
Join us over the next few weeks for Measurement Mondays, a limited series of the ECON-versations with NABE podcast, where we speak to officials at the federal statistical agencies about some of their more popular data sets and the questions they get most often from economists about the data. Measurement Mondays is sponsored by The NABE Foundation’s Economic Measurement Seminar.
In the first episode of Measurement Mondays, we speak with Nick Orsini, Associate Director for Economic Programs, U.S. Census Bureau, and Katie Genadek, Labor Economist and Acting Division Chief, Economic Statistical Methods Division, U.S. Census Bureau, to discuss the innovative changes to their annual surveys and what the NEW Annual Integrated Economic Survey means for data respondents and data users. Also, when we can expect to see the results? And what new partnerships and data visualization tools are under way?
Want to learn more about the data produced by the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Bureau of Labor Statistics? Check out the more than 100 data series that will be discussed at this year’s Economic Measurement Seminar, July 15-16 in Washington, DC, and online. For more information and to register, visit NABE.com/EMS2024.
Welcome back to another episode of ECON-versations with NABE! NABE President Ellen Zentner and former NABE President Julia Coronado discuss the May employment report.Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Ellen Zentner, Managing Director and U.S. Chief Economist, Morgan Stanley
Julia Coronado, President and Founder, MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC
What is NABE?
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
We hope you can join us for the 21st Annual Economic Measurement Seminar, July 15-16, in Washington, DC! The EMS pairs expert data producers with prominent data users to provide you with insights into how statistics are compiled and how data are used to track the macroeconomy -- nearly 100 data series are covered over the course of two days! See full list here. EMS attendees also earn the Certificate in Economic Measurement. To register, please visit NABE.com/EMS2024.
This episode is a webinar replay of the May 2024 NABE Outlook Survey Results Webinar, held on May 20, 2024. NABE Outlook Survey Analysts discuss the results and take audience questions.
The May 2024 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 43 professional forecasters. The survey, covering the outlook for 2024 and 2025, was conducted April 23 – May 6, 2024. Mervin Jebaraj (chair), University of Arkansas; Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide; Beth Ann Bovino, U.S. Bank; Martin Holdrich, Woods & Poole Economics, Inc.; Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, National Retail Federation; and Ryan Sweet, Oxford Economics, conducted the analysis of survey responses for this report. The views expressed in this report are those of the panelists, and do not necessarily represent the views of their affiliated companies or institutions.
For more information and to access the full report, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
In today's society, consumer attitudes and preferences are influenced by increasing political polarization and societal division. This panel aims to explore how political views affect consumer choices and delve into the phenomenon of politically motivated purchasing and boycotts. We will examine consumers' preference for brands taking a political stance versus remaining apolitical, drawing on recent events where major retailers took a political stance. We will also look at cases where companies reported changes in sales due to their political stances or those of their endorsers.The objective of this session is to analyze the factors driving brands' decisions to take a political stance and to examine variations in responses to brand behaviors across different demographics and ideological spectrums. We will then discuss the implications of these consumer patterns on business strategies.
John Leer, Chief Economist, Morning Consult
Bruce Cundiff, Vice President, Business and Economic Insights, Visa
Moderator: Ida Johnsson, Ph.D., Associate Director, Chewy
This is a previously recorded webinar from May 9, 2023.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
NABE President Ellen Zentner and former NABE President Julia Coronado discuss the April employment report. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Ellen Zentner, Managing Director and U.S. Chief Economist, Morgan Stanley
Julia Coronado, President and Founder, MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the April 2024 NABE Business Conditions Survey results webinar, held on Monday, April 22, 2024. NABE Business Conditions Survey Chair, Carlos Herrera, discusses the results and takes audience questions alongside Survey Analysts Sara Rutledge and Michael Uhrich.
Carlos Herrera, Chief Economist, Coca-Cola North America
Sara Rutledge, Founder and Chief Economist, SRR Consulting
Michael Uhrich, Founder and Chief Economist, Seven Point Consulting
The April 2024 NABE Business Conditions Survey report presents the responses of 49 NABE members to a survey conducted April 1-9, 2024, on business conditions in their firms or industries, and reflects first-quarter 2024 results and the near-term outlook.
COMMENTS: “The April 2024 Business Conditions Survey results suggest a still-strong business environment, with more respondents than in the January survey reporting rising sales and profit margins in the previous three months,” said NABE President Ellen Zentner, chief U.S. economist, Morgan Stanley. “However, fewer panelists than in January expect their firms’ sales or profit margins to increase in the next three months.”
“The results also suggest that inflation is still with us, but may be easing,” added NABE Business Conditions Survey Chair Carlos Herrera, chief economist, Coca-Cola North America. “Almost two-thirds of panelists expect prices charged to remain unchanged in the next three months.”
To learn more about NABE Surveys, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
Former NABE President Julia Coronado sits down with Indeed's Nick Bunker to discuss the March employment report. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado, President and Founder, MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC
Nick Bunker, Economic Research Director for North America, Indeed Hiring Lab
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Immigration policy is one of the most contentious issues of our time. At the national, regional, and state levels, policymakers must review the macroeconomics of immigration, recent trends, potential reforms, and their economic impacts. Pia Orrenius, Vice President and Senior Economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and coauthor of Beside the Golden Door: U.S. Immigration Reform in a New Era of Globalization, and Jack Malde, Senior Policy Analyst at the Bipartisan Policy Center, whose immigration and workforce work has appeared in several publications including Bloomberg Law and USA Today, will discuss essential considerations of immigration policy in the context of current and projected immigration trends. Fred Treyz, CEO & Chief Economist at REMI, will be moderating this panel.
Pia Orrenius Slides
Jack Malde Slides
This is a recording from the NABE Regional Roundtable webinar on Thursday, March 28, 2024.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Celebrate Women's History Month by learning about theimpactful work being done to champion women in economics. Listen for inspiring presentations and insightful discussions with representatives from leadingorganizations committed to breaking barriers and fostering inclusive economic environments. This is a webinar replay from March 25, 2024.
Speakers:
Kasey Buckles, Professor of Economics and Concurrent Professor of Gender Studies, University of Notre Dame; Associate Chair and Director of Mentoring, AEA's Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession | Slides
Bola Olaniyan, Executive Director, The Sadie Collective; Co-Chair, NABE Diversity Roundtable | Slides
Mary Clare Peate, Senior Economic Education Specialist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | Resources
Moderator: Jessica Dill, Director, HR Business Partner, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Co-Chair, NABE Diversity Roundtable
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
In NABE’s inaugural webinar on competition in technology markets, leading experts Dr. Chiara Farronato and Dr. Alessandro Bonatti will share their research on competitive dynamics for digital platforms. Dr. Farronato will discuss how customers behave when a platform sells its own product alongside its competitors. Dr. Bonatti will discuss how digital advertising auctions impact product prices. This is a webinar replay from March 20, 2024.
Speakers:
Alessandro Bonatti, John Norris Maguire (1960) Professor and Professor of Applied Economics, MIT Sloan School of Management
Chiara Farronato, Glenn and Mary Jane Creamer Associate Professor of Business Administration, Harvard Business School
Moderator: Fraser Thompson, Principal, Economist, Keystone Strategy
NABE is the premier professional association for businesseconomists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
NABE President Ellen Zentner and former NABE President Julia Coronado discuss the February employment report alongside former Federal Reserve economist, Claudia Sahm. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Ellen Zentner, Managing Director and U.S. Chief Economist, Morgan Stanley
Julia Coronado, President and Founder, MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC
Claudia Sahm, Founder, Sahm Consulting
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is a webinar replay from February 29, 2024 presented by the NABE Tech Applications Roundtable. Listen to a wide-ranging conversation on experimentation in tech companies as we discuss what economists bring to the table, the future of experimentation platforms, and lessons that can apply to those outside of tech.
Giorgio Martini, Statistics Engineer, EppoYuzheng Sun, Data Scientist, StatsigModerator: Ayal Chen-Zion, Staff Data Scientist, Netflix; Co-Chair, NABE Tech Applications RoundtableNABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Join us as we commemorate the impactful legacy of Dr. William E. Spriggs, esteemed American economist and advocate for economic equity. In this episode, we honor Bill's contributions, celebrate his achievements, and reflect on his enduring influence in shaping our understanding of economic justice. This is a webinar replay from February 28, 2024.
Speakers:
Camille Busette, Interim Vice President and Director - Governance Studies, Director - Race, Prosperity, and Inclusion Initiative, Brookings Institution
Bethel Cole-Smith, PhD Candidate in Economics, Howard University | Slides
Eddie Gray, PhD Candidate in Economics, Howard University | Slides
Moderator: Darien Kearney, Frederick Douglass Doctoral Scholar, Howard University
This episode is a webinar replay of the February 2024 NABE Outlook Survey Results Webinar, held on February 26, 2024. NABE Outlook Survey Analysts discuss the results and take audience questions.
Mervin Jebaraj (Survey Chair), University of Arkansas
Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, National Retail Federation
Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide
Beth Ann Bovino, U.S. Bank
Martin Holdrich, Woods & Poole Economics, Inc.
Ryan Sweet, Oxford Economics
Slides
To read the full report and learn more about our four industry surveys, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
This episode is the webinar replay of the February 2024 NABE Economic Policy Survey results webinar., held on Monday, February 12, 2024. NABE Survey Analysts Elaine Buckberg and Jared Franz discuss the results.
Elaine Buckberg, Senior Fellow, The Salata Institute for Climate and Sustainability, Harvard University
Jared Franz, Economist, Capital Group
Slides
February 2024 NABE Economic Policy Press Release
To learn more about NABE Surveys, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
Welcome to ECON-versations with NABE! On today’s episode, NABE President Ellen Zentner and Former NABE President Julia Coronado, sit down with Indeed’s Svenja Gudell to discuss the January employment report and benchmark revision.
Ellen Zentner, Managing Director and Chief U.S. Economist, Morgan Stanley
Julia Coronado, President and Founder, MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC
Svenja Gudell, Chief Economist, Indeed Hiring Lab
Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the FederalReserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the January 2024 NABE Business Conditions Survey results webinar, held on Monday, January 22, 2024. NABE Business Conditions Survey Chair, Carlos Herrera, discusses the results alongside NABE Business Conditions Survey Analysts Sara Rutledge and Michael Uhrich.
Carlos Herrera, Chief Economist, Coca-Cola North AmericaSara Rutledge, Founder and Chief Economist, SRR ConsultingMichael Uhrich, Founder and Chief Economist, Seven Point ConsultingThe January 2024 Business Conditions Survey report presents the responses of 57 NABE members to a survey conducted December 28, 2023-January 9, 2024, on business conditions in their firms or industries, and reflects fourth-quarter 2023 results and the near-term outlook.The NABE Business Conditions Survey—formerly the NABE Industry Survey—has been conducted quarterly since 1982. This survey is one of three administered by NABE; the others are the quarterly NABE Outlook and the semiannual NABE Economic Policy Survey. Founded in 1959, the National Association for Business Economics is the professional association for people who use economics in their work. Carlos Herrera, Coca-Cola North America (Survey Chair); Bryan Bezold, Ford Motor Company; Brent Meyer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Martha Moore, American Chemistry Council; Sara Rutledge, SRR Consulting; Yelena Shulyatyeva, BNP Paribas; Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors of America; and Michael Uhrich, Seventh Point Analytic Consulting, conducted the analysis for this report.To learn more about NABE Surveys, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
For more information on the 40th Annual NABE Economic Policy Conference, please visit NABE.com/PC2024.
Live from San Antonio at the ASSA Annual Meeting! This episode is a recording from the NABE “Putting Economic Research into Practice at Businesses” session on January 5, 2024.
Guido Imbens, Stanford University
John A. List, University of Chicago
Slides
Moderator: Michael Luca, Harvard Business School
For more information and to register for the 40th Annual NABE Economic Policy Conference, please visit NABE.com/PC 2024.
NABE is the premier professional association for businesseconomists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Live from San Antonio at the ASSA Annual Meeting! This episode is a recording from the NABE “U.S. Debt and Deficits: Is the Path Sustainable?” session on January 5, 2024.
Karen Dynan, Harvard Kennedy School
Dana Peterson, The Conference Board
Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley
Slides
Moderator: David Altig, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
For more information and to register for the 40th Annual NABE Economic Policy Conference, please visit NABE.com/PC2024.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures ineconomics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
NABE President Ellen Zentner and former NABE President Julia Coronado discuss the December employment report. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley. Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC.
For more information on the 40th Annual NABE Economic Policy Conference and to register, please visit NABE.com/PC2024.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is a webinar replay from December 13, 2023.
Over the past decade there have been significant changes in how goods and services are delivered to consumers. As the retail landscape evolved, many firms have developed their own e-commerce platforms, fulfillment centers, and distribution networks. These changes have accelerated due to the COVID-19 pandemic and have not only impacted the retail trade sector but also other associated industries such as wholesale trade, transportation, and warehousing.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is exploring alternative measures of output and labor productivity for retail industries to expand our understanding of the changing retail landscape. This webinar will discuss the importance of productivity and explore alternative output concepts in the measurement of retail labor productivity.
Speakers:
Jennifer Kim, Economist, Industry Productivity Studies, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Jennifer Price, Economist, Industry Productivity Studies, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Ananth Raman, UPS Foundation Professor of Business Logistics, Harvard Business School
Jenny Rudd, Supervisory Economist, Industry Productivity Studies, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Moderator:
Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, Chief Economist, National Retail FederationNABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On today's episode, NABE President and Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Economist, Ellen Zentner, sits down with Indeed Hiring Lab's Economic Research Director for North America, Nick Bunker, to discuss the November employment report.
Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the December 2023 NABE Outlook Survey Results Webinar, held on Monday, December 4, 2023. NABE Outlook Survey Analysts, Kathy Bostjancic and Martin Holdrich, discuss the results and take audience questions.
Kathy Bostjancic, Chief Economist and SVP, Nationwide
Martin Holdrich, Senior Economist, Woods & Poole Economics, Inc.
Slides
The December 2023 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 40 professional forecasters. The survey, covering the outlook for 2023 and 2024, was conducted November 10-19, 2023. The NABE Outlook Survey originated in 1965 and is one of three surveys conducted by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE); the others are the NABE Business Conditions Survey and the NABE Economic Policy Survey. Founded in 1959, the National Association for Business Economics is the professional association for those who use economics in their work. NABE has over 2,900 members and 44 chapters nationwide. Mervin Jebaraj (chair), University of Arkansas; Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide; Beth Ann Bovino, U.S. Bank; Martin Holdrich, Woods & Poole Economics, Inc; and Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, National Retail Federation, conducted the analysis of survey responses for this report. The views expressed in this report are those of the panelists, and do not necessarily represent the views of their affiliated companies or institutions.
To read the full report and learn more about our four industry surveys, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
NABE President Ellen Zentner and former NABE President Julia Coronado discuss the October employment report. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley. Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the October 2023 NABE Business Conditions Survey results webinar, held on Monday, October 30, 2023. NABE Business Conditions Survey Chair, Carlos Herrera, discusses the results and takes audience questions alongside NABE Policy Survey Analysts Sara Rutledge and Lester Jones.
Carlos Herrera, Chief Economist, Coca-Cola North America; Survey Chair
Lester Jones, CBE, Chief Economist, National Beer Wholesalers Association
Sara Rutledge, Managing Director, StepStone GroupThe October 2023 NABE Business Conditions Survey report presents the responses of 52 NABE members to a survey conducted October 9-17, 2023, on business conditions in their firms or industries, and reflects third-quarter 2023 results and the near-term outlook.
The NABE Business Conditions Survey—formerly the NABE Industry Survey—has been conducted quarterly since 1982. This survey is one of three administered by NABE; the others are the quarterly NABE Outlook and the semiannual NABE Economic Policy Survey. Founded in 1959, the National Association for Business Economics is the professional association for people who use economics in their work. Carlos Herrera, Coca-Cola North America (Survey Chair); Sara Rutledge, StepStone Group; Carolyn Evans, Intel Corporation; Emily Kolinski Morris, CBE, Ford Motor Company; Lester Jones, CBE, National Beer Wholesalers Association; and Ken Simonson, Associated General Contractors of America, conducted the analysis for this report.
This is one of four surveys conducted by NABE - the other three are the NABE Policy Survey, NABE Outlook Survey, and NABE Salary Survey. To learn more about NABE Surveys, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
Welcome back to another episode of ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is a webinar replay from October 17, 2023 and is sponsored by the NABE Labor Economics Roundtable.
Labor actions have surged in 2023 both in traditionally unionized sectors like manufacturing, and in service sectors like entertainment, food service, transportation, and healthcare. The NABE Labor Roundtable hosts a conversation on the economic impacts and drivers of recent strikes and labor negotiations. Panelists: Betsey Stevenson, Professor of Public Policy and Economics, University of MichiganSam Dodini, Postdoctoral Fellow, Norwegian School of Economics
Moderator: Aaron Terrazas, NABE Labor Economics Roundtable Co-Chair; Chief Economist, GlassdoorNABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On today's episode, NABE President and Vice President, Julia Coronado and Ellen Zentner, discuss the September employment report. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides timely and unique perspectives on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries. Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Each year, NABE’s Tech Economics Conference brings together hundreds of applied economists, data scientists, academics, and graduate students for an intellectual exchange on how developments in economics and data science are impacting approaches, frameworks, tools, and techniques employed by practitioners at tech companies and other businesses. TEC2023 will also include the NABE Industry Job Fair, designed to deliver the resumes of top economics candidates to employers from leading tech firms and other firms hiring candidates with highly technical backgrounds and training in economics.
In observance of National Hispanic Heritage Month, prominent Hispanic economists discuss their career paths, their perspectives on how the economics pipeline can be expanded and diversified, and other key topics.
Speakers:
Carlos Herrera, Chief Economist, Coca-Cola North America
Luis Bernardo Torres Ruiz, Senior Business Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Marie Mora, Ph.D., Interim Provost and Economics Professor, Metropolitan State University of Denver
Moderator: Alejandra Merari Garcia Acevedo, NABE Scholar; Performance and Asset Management Economist, Colorado Department of Transportation
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This is a webinar replay from September 12, 2023.
In today's ever-evolving business landscape, both private and public companies are leveraging location data intelligence platforms to seize operational and marketing opportunities. As businesses strive to comprehensively understand their customers, location intelligence plays a crucial role in revealing consumer behaviors, competitive dynamics, trade areas, and more. This webinar will explore how location intelligence is utilized by firms to enhance decision-making processes, refine marketing strategies, optimize supply chain logistics, and streamline expansion efforts. Focusing on real-world examples in retail and customer sectors, we'll address key questions such as how businesses integrate location data into their existing frameworks? How have the trends in location intelligence evolved over the years? How is AI reshaping the landscape of location intelligence, and what does the future hold for location intelligence and its role in shaping business strategies?Speaker:Thomas Paulson, Director of Research and Business Development, Placer.ai | SlidesModerators:Mona Birjandi, NABE Consumer/Retail Roundtable Chair; Principal Economist, PetcoSarah Wolfe, NABE Consumer/Retail Roundtable Chair; Economist and Vice President, Morgan StanleyNABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is a webinar replay from September 6, 2023.
Jim Bullard, Dean of Daniels School of Business, Purdue UniversityModerator: Julia Coronado, NABE President; Founder and President, MacroPolicy Perspectives LLCNABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On today's episode, NABE President and Vice President, Julia Coronado and Ellen Zentner, discuss the August employment report. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides timely and unique perspectives on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries. Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is a webinar replay from the Opportunities for Rural America webinar, held on August 29, 2023.
As we navigate a world of slow population growth, structural impediments to higher labor force participation, unstable global supply chains, and price/wage growth, we need to consider how we maximize production from our human and physical capital. Maximizing efficient production cannot be disaggregated from where the production and people are located. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. saw both employment and population move to the most urban parts of the nation. This was not just the move away from agricultural communities that we have seen for centuries; it included movement away from smaller towns and micropolitan areas. Smaller towns and more rural areas in the aggregate continue to underperform urban areas across a number of metrics, including employment-to-population ratios, business and entrepreneurial growth, and poverty rates. Perhaps we are leaving opportunities on the table to leverage the workforce and land in rural areas to create stronger and more inclusive economic growth. Since the pandemic, low (and falling) immigration and birth rates, continued congestion and land scarcity in urban areas, and remote work opportunities, create even greater potential. But how do we engage our rural areas and improve urban-rural connectivity? Join this webinar to learn more about policies that can help us build geographically inclusive and efficient growth.
Farah Ahmad, Deputy Undersecretary for Rural Development, USDA Jim King, President and CEO, FAHE Nathan Ohle, President and CEO, International Economic Development Council David Shideler, Chief Research Officer, Heartland Forward
Moderator: Sonya Ravindranath Waddell, Vice President and Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the August 2023 NABE Policy Survey Results Webinar, held on Monday, August 21, 2023. NABE Policy Survey Chair, Mervin Jebaraj, discusses the results and takes audience questions alongside NABE Policy Survey Analyst Holly Wade.
Mervin Jebaraj, Director, Center for Business and Economic Research, Sam M. Walton College of Business, University of Arkansas; NABE Economic Policy Survey Chair
Holly Wade, Executive Director, National Federation of Independent Business Research Center
The August 2023 NABE Economic Policy Survey summarizes the responses of 167 members of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE). Conducted semiannually, this survey was administered between July 28 and August 7, 2023. Survey findings may be reprinted in whole or in part with credit given to NABE. Survey results can be viewed online, including complete tabulations, at www.NABE.com. This is one of three surveys conducted by NABE—the other two are the NABE Outlook Survey and the NABE Business Conditions Survey. Mervin Jebaraj, University of Arkansas, Survey Chair; Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac; Kathleen Navin, CBE, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Michelle Robinson, Bureau of Economic Analysis and Holly Wade, National Federation of Independent Business, conducted the analysis for this report.
To read the full report and learn more about our four industry surveys, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On today's episode, NABE President, Julia Coronado, sits down with LinkedIn Principal Economist and Head of Macroeconomics, Guy Berger, Ph.D., to discuss the July employment report. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides timely and unique perspectives on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
For more information on the 2023 NABE Annual Meeting and to register, please visit NABE.com/AM2023.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is the webinar replay of the July 2023 Business Conditions Survey results webinar, held on July 24, 2023. NABE Business Conditions Survey Chair, Carlos Herrera, and Survey Analyst, Lester Jones, CBE, discuss the Q2 2023 results and the near-term outlook.
Carlos Herrera, Survey Chair; Chief Economist, Coca-Cola North America
Lester Jones, Vice President of Analytics and Chief Economist, National Beer Wholesalers Association
The July 2023 NABE Business Conditions Survey report presents the responses of 52 NABE members to a survey conducted June 30-July 12, 2023, on business conditions in their firms or industries, and reflects second-quarter 2023 results and the near-term outlook.
To read the full report and learn about our four industry surveys, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! During this episode, NABE President and Vice President, Julia Coronado and Ellen Zentner, discuss the June employment report. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides timely and unique perspectives on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries. Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE. This episode is a webinar replay from the EMS Preview Webinar, held on June 29.
Seasonality is a common feature of economic data and if not properly addressed, it can cloud our judgment about what the data are telling us. Seasonal adjustment methodologies have been developed to remove these predictable patterns to reveal the underlying trend and cycle. When is seasonal adjustment appropriate? What are the best methods? What are the pitfalls and challenges in analyzing seasonal and seasonally adjusted data? Over the next hour, the session will look at these issues from a user’s perspective to help develop a deeper appreciation for working with economic indicators.
Speaker:
Ataman Ozyildirim, Adjunct Professor, Woods College of Advancing Studies, Boston College | Slides
Moderator:
Maurine Haver, CBE, Founder and President, Haver Analytics
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is a webinar replay from the June 27th webinar on the generative AI moment and its implications for retail and customer sectors. The panel explores the exciting and transformative potential of generative AI models in the retail and customer sectors and addresses key questions such as:
Sam Ransbotham, Professor of Analytics at the Boston College, Carroll School of Management
Daniel Rock, Assistant Professor of Operations, Information, and Decisions at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
Martin Spindler, Professor for Data Science, Statistics and Econometrics at Universität Hamburg, and Director at Economic AI
Moderator: Mona Birjandi, NABE Consumer/Retail Roundtable Chair; Principal Economist and Data Scientist, Petco
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is a webinar replay from the June 22, 2023 webinar, Climate Crisis Economics, presented by the NABE Climate Economics & Finance Roundtable.
The urgent essential race to net-zero is a race of tipping points between looming climate shifts of no return driven by rising GHG emissions and competing industrial strategies designed to support, accelerate, and multiply the linked pathways to a sustainable future. This webinar will highlight the challenges still ahead and discuss how just as climate change happens slowly then fast, so too can policy, firms, and our economies shift suddenly with the right incentives, disincentives, regulations and market responses.
Speakers:
Stuart Mackintosh, CBE, Executive Director, The Group of Thirty; Chair, NABE Climate Economics & Finance Roundtable
Michael Strain, Director of Economic Policy Studies, American Enterprise Institute
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is a webinar replay from the June 8 Economic Measurement Seminar preview webinar on economic statistics from U.S. government and industry sources. The EMS planning committee delivers an overview of the data provided by the U.S. federal statistical system with a special focus on those that will be covered during the conference. They also highlight examples of common misinterpretations of the data and the concepts to focus on in the upcoming EMS sessions.
Slides from this presentation can be downloaded here. For more information on the Economic Measurement Seminar and to register, please visit NABE.com/EMS2023.
Maurine Haver, CBE, Founder and President, Haver Analytics
Michael Horrigan, CBE, President, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research
Kenneth Kim, CBE, Senior Economist, KPMG
Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, Chief Economist, National Retail Federation
Kathleen Navin, CBE, Senior Business Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Dana Saporta, CBE, Economist
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Following the turmoil in the US, and the rushed merger of Credit Suisse and UBS, there has been some concern about the health of the European banking sector. While on the surface the regulatory regime in Europe may have been stricter to protect the banking sector, this discussion will look at how resilient the sector is and what the authorities should be looking to do in order to protect the sector and the wider economy.
This episode is a webinar replay and was recorded on June 6, 2023.
William Coen, Former Secretary General of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS)
Philip Davis, Professor of Banking and Finance, Brunel University
Moderator: Yael Selfin, Chief Economist, KPMG in the UK; Chair, NABE International Roundtable
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On this episode, Elaine Buckberg, Policy Fellow at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, sits down with Federal Reserve Bank of Bank of Philadelphia President and CEO Patrick Harker to discuss all things monetary policy. The conversation took place on June 1, 2023.
Patrick Harker, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Moderated by: Elaine Buckberg, Policy Fellow, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research
Want to views the video replay? NABE Members can access webinar replays on the Digital Archive on NABE.com.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On this episode, NABE Vice President, Ellen Zentner, sits down with Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President and CEO Tom Barkin to discuss all things monetary policy. The conversation took place on May 30, 2023.
Tom Barkin, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Moderated by: Ellen Zentner, NABE Vice President; Managing Director and Chief U.S. Economist, Morgan Stanley
Want to views the video replay? NABE Members can access webinar replays on the Digital Archive on NABE.com.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On today's episode, NABE President, Julia Coronado, sits down with Indeed Hiring Lab's Economic Research Director for North America, Nick Bunker, to discuss the May employment report.
Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronadois the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides a timely and unique perspective on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
The U.S. labor market has remained surprisingly tight, with many firms continuing to report labor shortages, even as the broader economy shows signs of cooling. Immigrants have long played an important role in labor supply growth, but the pandemic disrupted normal patterns. This webinar will bring together three leading experts to discuss what the authoritative data say about recent trends in immigration to the United States: The magnitude of flows, the pathways they arrive through, and their skills. | Slides
Alicia Ward, Statistician, Office of Immigration Statistics, U.S. Department of Homeland Security
Courtney Shupert, Economist, MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC
Jeanne Batalova, Senior Policy Analyst, Migration Policy Institute
Harry Holzer, John LaFarge, Jr. S.J. Chair and Professor, Georgetown University
Moderator: Aaron Terrazas, NABE Labor Economics Roundtable Chair; Chief Economist, Glassdoor
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the May 2023 NABE Outlook Survey results webinar held on May 22, 2023. NABE Outlook Survey chair Dana M. Peterson discusses the Q2 forecast results with Outlook Survey Analysts, Ryan Sweet, Brent Meyer, and David Bowers, and takes questions from webinar attendees.
Dana M. Peterson, NABE Survey Chair; Chief Economist, The Conference Board
Ryan Sweet, Chief U.S. Economist, Oxford Economics
Brent Meyer, Assistant Vice President and Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
David Bowers, Owner and Global Strategist, Absolute Strategy Research Ltd.
The May 2023 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 45 professional forecasters (see last page for listing). The survey, covering the outlook for 2023 and 2024, was conducted May 2-9, 2023. The NABE Outlook Survey originated in 1965, and is one of three surveys conducted by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE); the others are the NABE Business Conditions Survey and the NABE Economic Policy Survey. Founded in 1959, the National Association for Business Economics is the professional association for those who use economics in their work. NABE has over 2,900 members and 44 chapters nationwide. Dana M. Peterson (chair), The Conference Board; Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, National Retail Federation; Brent Meyer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Yelena Maleyev, CBE, KPMG; David Bowers, Absolute Strategy Research Ltd; and Ryan Sweet, Oxford Economics, conducted the analysis of survey responses for this report. The views expressed in this report are those of the panelists, and do not necessarily represent the views of their affiliated companies or institutions. This report may be reproduced in whole or in part with appropriate citation to NABE.
To read the full report and learn about our four industry surveys, please visit www.NABE.com/Surveys.
While the Chinese economy emerged relatively smoothly from its self-imposed zero-covid policy this year, it faces a number of headwinds that could make it difficult to return to the pace of growth it enjoyed prior to the pandemic. In this webinar we will discuss what the recent 'Two Sessions', the meetings by the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Conference, imply for the direction of policy, as well as the medium-term outlook for the economy, including the implications of the evolving geopolitical environment and some of the internal structural challenges it faces.
Speaker:
George Magnus, Research Associate at the University of Oxford’s China Centre and SOAS in London; Author of Red Flags: Why Xi’s China is in Jeopardy
Moderator:
Yael Selfin, Chief Economist, Partner and Chief Economist, KPMG in the UK; NABE International Roundtable Co-Chair
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On today’s episode, NABE President and Vice President, Julia Coronado and Ellen Zentner, sit down with LinkedIn Principal Economist and Head of Macroeconomics, Guy Berger, Ph.D., to discuss the April employment report.
Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides a timely and unique perspective on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries. Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences,educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! Today's podcast walks listeners through Third Way and Breakthrough Energy's recently commissioned study of US competitiveness across 10 clean energy technologies. The results are impactful because the team examined nine supply chain segments for each clean tech – and from that, ranked market size and competitiveness. Listen and learn about US competitiveness and the impact of recent legislation on our ability to compete. The slides referenced during the podcast can be accessed here.
Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, CBE, Senior Resident Fellow for Climate and Energy Program, Third Way
David Paolella, Manager, Research and Analysis, U.S. Policy & Advocacy, Breakthrough Energy
Moderator: Nekabari Goka, Principal, Corporate Strategy, Exelon
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! This episode is the webinar replay of the April 2023 NABE Business Conditions Survey results webinar, held on April 24, 2023. NABE Business Conditions Survey Chair, Carlos Herrera, discusses the Q1 2023 results and the near-term outlook with Survey Analysts, Kirti Gupta, Sara Rutledge, and Lester Jones.
Carlos Herrera, NABE Survey Chair; Chief Economist, Coca-Cola North America
Kirti Gupta, Vice President and Chief Economist, Qualcomm
Sara Rutledge, Managing Director, Head of Global Real Estate Market Research and Analytics, StepStone Group
Lester Jones, Vice President of Analytics and Chief Economist, National Beer Wholesalers Association
The April 2023 NABE Business Conditions Survey report presents the responses of 55 NABE members to a survey conducted April 4-12, 2022, on business conditions in their firms or industries, and reflects first-quarter 2023 results and the near-term outlook.
To read the full report and learn about our four industry surveys, please visit www.NABE.com/Surveys.
The consumer has been remarkably resilient in this economic cycle, continuing to spend in the face of high inflation and rising interest rates. This reflects the health of the labor market and solid household balance sheets. But there have been shifts in consumer behavior that could become increasingly evident as consumers face economic hurdles. Experiences and necessities, particularly food, have been prioritized, while bigger ticket durable items have fallen out of favor. In this webinar, the panelists will explore real-time spending insights to discuss consumer choices, understanding the what, where, and why of consumer spending, with a particularly close look at spending on food.
Carlos Herrera, Chief Economist, Coca-Cola North America
Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist US, Mastercard Economics Institute; Co-Chair, NABE Consumer/Retail Roundtable
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On today's episode, NABE President and Vice President, Julia Coronado and Ellen Zentner, sit down with LinkedIn Chief Economist, Karin Kimbrough, to discuss the March employment report and LinkedIn's State of the Labor Market newsletter. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides a timely and unique perspective on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries. Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the March 2023 NABE Policy Survey results webinar, held on March 27, 2023. NABE Policy Survey Chair, Mervin Jebaraj, discusses the results and takes audience questions alongside NABE Policy Survey Analysts Kathy Bostjancic and Holly Wade.
Mervin Jebaraj, Director, Center for Business and Economic Research, Sam M. Walton College of Business, University of Arkansas; NABE Economic Policy Survey ChairKathy Bostjancic, Chief Economist and Senior Vice President, NationwideHolly Wade, Executive Director, NFIB Research Center
The March 2023 NABE Economic Policy Survey summarizes the responses of 217 members of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE). Conducted semiannually, this survey was administered between March 2 and March 10, 2023. Survey findings may be reprinted in whole or in part with credit given to NABE. Survey results, including complete tabulations, can be viewed online at www.NABE.com. This is one of three surveys conducted by NABE—the other two are the NABE Outlook Survey and the NABE Business Conditions Survey. Mervin Jebaraj, University of Arkansas, Survey Chair; Kathleen Navin, CBE, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Sam Khater, Freddie Mac; Michelle Robinson, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Holly Wade, National Federation of Independent Business; Jan Hogrefe, Boeing Commercial Airplanes; and Kathy Bostjancic, Nationwide, conducted the analysis for this report.
To read the full report and learn more about our four industry surveys, please visit www.NABE.com/surveys.
Today's podcast is the webinar replay of the March 17th webinar on the impact of the Silicon Valley Bank fallout on financial regulations the Fed outlook, presented by the NABE Financial Roundtable. Following the downfall of Silicon Valley Bank, prudential regulators have rapidly intervened to curb the spread of its effects within the banking sector and prevent damage to the real economy. These exceptional actions carry immediate consequences for monetary policy, while also impacting the competitive landscape and systemic risk levels within the banking industry over time. Join us for a webinar that delves into these effects and explores the range of policy options that lie ahead.Speakers:Gordon Liao, Chief Economist, CircleJelena McWilliams, Managing Partner, Cravath, Swaine & Moore LLP; Former Chair, Federal Deposit Insurance CorporationCarl Tannenbaum, Executive Vice President and Chief Economist, Northern TrustModerator: Gregory Daco, Chief Economist, EY-Parthenon, Strategy & Transactions, Ernst & Young LLP
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Today's podcast is the webinar replay of the March 14th webinar on the economic impact of a binding debt ceiling, presented by the NABE Policy Roundtable. Unthinkable as it may be, there is a very real possibility that, some time this summer or fall, the US Treasury will hit its borrowing limit. What should we expect from financial markets and the economy if Treasury spending is limited to the daily cash balance at the Fed? Mark Zandi and Joseph Brusuelas have been thinking about this possibility. Join moderator Danny Bachman in a discussion about the extraordinary possibility that the US Treasury might not be able to pay its bills.
Mark Zandi, Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics | Slides
Joseph Brusuelas, Principal and Chief Economist, RSM US LLP | Slides
Moderator: Daniel Bachman, Ph.D., Senior Research Leader, Economic Forecasting, Deloitte Services, LP; Co-Chair, NABE Policy Roundtable
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On today's episode, NABE President and Vice President, Julia Coronado and Ellen Zentner, discuss the February employment report and recent news of banking funding pressures. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides a timely and unique perspective on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries. Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
On today’s podcast, we celebrate International Women’s Day by hearing from a panel of women economists in government and industry, in conversation with a NABE Scholar and University of Maryland student. Over the course of the hour, you will hear about their paths in the field of economics, their perspectives on how the pipeline can be improved, and other key topics.
Kristen Broady, Senior Economist, Economic Adviser, and Director of the Economic Mobility Project, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Juhi Dhawan, Senior Managing Director, Global Macroanalyst, Wellington Management
Kirti Gupta, VP, Economic Strategy & Chief Economist, Qualcomm
Diane Swonk, CBE, Chief Economist, KPMG US
Moderator: Anaya Truss-Williams, 2022-23 NABE Scholar; Economics Student, University of Maryland, College Park
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Today's podcast is the webinar replay of the March 1st webinar on rekindling U.S. productivity for a new era. For the past 15 years, US productivity has been lagging. A handful of states, sectors, firms, and cities have done well; others have not. Today, the country faces looming challenges that heighten the productivity imperative: debt, inflation, labor participation, an aging workforce, and the cost of the energy transition. How much is at stake for the economy if the US can restore productivity to its long term historical levels? What will it take to make it happen? Join this webinar to hear answers to these questions and more.
Slides can be accessed here.
Link to the paper here.
Charles Atkins, Partner, McKinsey & Company
Matthew Slaughter, Paul Danos Dean, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth University
Moderator: Yelena Shulyatyeva, Senior U.S. Economist, BNP Paribas
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the February 2023 NABE Outlook Survey Results webinar, held on February 27, 2023. NABE Outlook Survey Chair, Dana Peterson, discusses the Q1 forecast results with Outlook Survey Analysts, Yelena Maleyev, Brent Meyer, and David Bowers, and takes questions from webinar attendees.
Dana Peterson, NABE Survey Chair; Chief Economist, The Conference Board
Yelena Maleyev, CBE, NABE Survey Analyst; Economist, KPMG LLP
Brent Meyer, NABE Survey Analyst; Assistant Vice President and Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
David Bowers, Owner and Global Strategist, Absolute Strategy Research Ltd
The February 2023 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 48 professional forecasters. The survey, covering the outlook for 2023 and 2024, was conducted February 3-10, 2023. The NABE Outlook Survey originated in 1965, and is one of three surveys conducted by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE); the others are the NABE Business Conditions Survey and the NABE Economic Policy Survey. Founded in 1959, the National Association for Business Economics is the professional association for those who use economics in their work. NABE has over 2,900 members and 44 chapters nationwide. Dana M. Peterson (chair), The Conference Board; Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, National Retail Federation; Brent Meyer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Yelena Maleyev, CBE, KPMG; David Bowers, Absolute Strategy Research Ltd; and Ryan Sweet, Oxford Economics, conducted the analysis of survey responses for this report. The views expressed in this report are those of the panelists, and do not necessarily represent the views of their affiliated companies or institutions. This report may be reproduced in whole or in part with appropriate citation to NABE.
To read the full report and learn about our four industry surveys, please visit www.NABE.com/Surveys.
Today’s podcast is the final installment of our Black History Month series – A Conversation with Daryl Fairweather. Devin Miles and Elijah Osagie from BLK Capital Management, Corp. sit down with Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather and discus the experiences and outcomes for Black Americans in the housing space.
BLK Capital Management, Corpis a 100% black-owned and student run nonprofit that focuses on educating its members by exposing them to the field of active investment management. BLK Capital Management accomplishes this through real-time investing across the globe delivering absolute returns seeking to outperform industry standards, with the hope of creating life-long relationships between their members through education and mentorship.
Devin Miles is a host of the BLK Economics Podcast, a member of BLK Capital Management, Corp., and a student of the G. Brint Ryan College of Business at the University of North Texas. Elijah Osagie is an Equity Research Analyst at BLK Capital Management, Corp. and a student of the Providence College School of Business.
Daryl Fairweather is the chief economist of Redfin. Her insights have been featured on 60 Minutes, CBS Evening News, as well as in the New York Times and Washington Post. Prior to joining Redfin she was a senior economist at Amazon working on problems related to employee engagement and managing a team of analysts.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Today’s podcast is a replay of the February 21st webinar on disentangling rent index differences, based on a working paper from the Cleveland Fed.
Abstract: Prominent rent growth indices often give strikingly different measurements of rent inflation. We create new indices from Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) rent microdata using a repeat rent index methodology and show that this discrepancy is almost entirely explained by differences in rent growth for new tenants relative to the average rent growth for all tenants. Rent inflation for new tenants leads the official BLS rent inflation by 4 quarters. As rent is the largest component of the consumer price index, this has implications for our understanding of aggregate inflation dynamics and guiding monetary policy.
Randal J. Verbrugge, Senior Research Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland | Slides
Moderator: Mark Palim, Deputy Chief Economist and Vice President, Fannie Mae
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the February 16th webinar and second installment of the NABE Black History Month Webinar Series - Racial Disparities in the U.S. Economy. In coordination with NABE’s Diversity Roundtable and the National Bureau of Economic Research, the panel addresses racial disparities in the U.S. economy through their academic research. The panel is moderated by Julia Coronado – NABE President and President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC.
Dania Francis, Assistant Professor of Economics, UMass Boston
Trevon Logan, Hazel C. Youngberg Distinguished Professor of Economics, The Ohio State University
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode is the webinar replay of the February 9th webinar and first installment of the NABE Black History Month Webinar Series – Perspectives on Economics Careers and the Pipeline. The webinar features Black economists in academia, government, and industry in conversation with Howard University economics PhD student, Jasmine Fuller, on their respective perspectives and experiences on the field of economics and their paths.
Gerald Daniels, Associate Professor of Economics, Howard University
Dana Peterson, Chief Economist, The Conference Board
Michelle Robinson, Economist, Bureau of Economic Analysis
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
Welcome back to ECON-versations with NABE! On today’s episode, NABE President and Vice President, Julia Coronado and Ellen Zentner, sit down with ADP Chief Economist, Nela Richardson, to discuss the January jobs report and ADP employment data. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides a timely and unique perspectives on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries. Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
This episode was recorded on Monday, February 6, 2023.
This episode is the webinar replay of the February 2nd Webinar, A Conversation on Russia: How the War Fractured the Global Order. Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, Market Strategist at Confluence Investment Management and former CIA Intelligence Analyst, and Matt Gertken, Chief Strategist of Geopolitical Strategy and US Political Strategy at BCA Research, discuss the current state of the conflict, how it will unfold, and its long-term impact on the global geopolitical, economic, and investment landscape. The session is moderated by Alejandra Grindal, Chief Economist at Ned Davis Research and Co-Chair of NABE's International Roundtable.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
The NABE membership is organized into subject-oriented Roundtables including: Data/Statistics, Energy, Diversity, Financial, Health Economics, International, Manufacturing/Industry, Policy, Real Estate/Construction, Regional/Utility, Small Business/Entrepreneurship, Tech Economics, Transfer Pricing, and Transportation.
This episode is the webinar replay of the January 2023 NABE Business Conditions Survey results webinar, held on January 23, 2023. NABE Survey Analysts Sara Rutledge, Ken Simonson, and Kirti Gupta discuss the results of the survey and take questions from webinar attendees.
The January 2023 NABE Business Conditions Survey report presents the responses of 60 NABE members to a survey conducted January 4-11, 2023, on business conditions in their firms or industries, and reflects fourth-quarter 2022 results and the near-term outlook.
To read the full report and learn about our four industry surveys, please visit NABE.com/Surveys.
Live from the ASSA Annual Meeting! Today's podcast is the recording of the NABE "Causal Inference Methods and Applications in Tech" session on January 6, 2023. The presentation and discussion is moderated by Susan Athey, Professor of Economics at Stanford University. Over the next two hours, you'll hear presentations of papers from:
Susan Athey
Wenjing Zheng, Staff Data Scientist, Netflix
Joseph Cooprider, Economist II, Amazon
Eleanor Dillon, Principal Economist, Microsoft
View their abstracts here.
Discussants:
Wilko Schulz-Mahlendorf, Director of Pricing, Economics, and Data Science, Wayfair
Jeffrey Ferris, Senior Manager, Economist, Amazon
Eleanor Dillon
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
The NABE membership is organized into subject-oriented Roundtables including: Data/Statistics, Energy, Diversity, Financial, Health Economics, International, Manufacturing/Industry, Policy, Real Estate/Construction, Regional/Utility, Small Business/Entrepreneurship, Tech Economics, Transfer Pricing, and Transportation.
Live from the ASSA Annual Meeting! Today’s podcast is the recording of the NABE “Is High Inflation Here to Stay?” session on January 6, 2023. Julia Coronado, President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, engages with the panel to discuss the outlook for inflation.
Aysegul Sahin, Richard J. Gonzalez Regents Chair in Economics, University of Texas at Austin
Lutz Kilian, Senior Economic Policy Advisor, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Maximo Torero, Chief Economist, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
Ellen Zentner, Chief Economist, Morgan Stanley
Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Economics Counsellor and Director of the Research Department, International Monetary Fund
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.
The NABE membership is organized into subject-oriented Roundtables including: Data/Statistics, Energy, Diversity, Financial, Health Economics, International, Manufacturing/Industry, Policy, Real Estate/Construction, Regional/Utility, Small Business/Entrepreneurship, Tech Economics, Transfer Pricing, and Transportation.
LIVE from the ASSA Annual Meeting! This episode is the recording from the NABE Global Economic Outlook session on January 6, 2023. Julia Coronado, President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, engages with the panel to discuss their views on what's to come for the global economy and the upside/downside risks.
Raphael Bostic, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Philip Lane, Chief Economist and Member of the Management Board, European Central Bank
Mary Lovely, Senior Fellow, The Peterson Institute for International Economics
Robin Brooks, Chief Economist, Institute of International Finance
Elaine Buckberg, Chief Economist, General Motors
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities.
Welcome to ECON-versations with NABE! Live from the ASSA Annual Meeting, NABE President and Vice President, Julia Coronado and Ellen Zentner, discuss the December employment report, Fed policy, and the upcoming benchmark revision. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides a timely and unique perspective on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries. Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities.
This episode was recorded on Friday, January 6, 2023.
This episode is the webinar replay of the PhD Job Market webinar, held on September 13, 2022. Ida Johnsson, Associate Director and Economist at Chewy, engages with a panel of hiring managers and recruiters to provide tips for landing your first job in economics.
The panel includes:
Over the next hour, the panelists:
Want to view the video replay? NABE members can access webinar replays on the Digital Archive on NABE.com.
For more information on the National Association for Business Economics and what we do, please visit our website.
This episode is the webinar replay of the December 2022 NABE Outlook Survey Results webinar, held on December 5, 2022. NABE Outlook Survey Chair, Dana Peterson, discusses the Q4 forecast results with Outlook Survey Analysts, David Bowers, Jack Kleinhenz, and Yelena Maleyev, and takes questions from webinar attendees.
Dana Peterson, Chief Economist, The Conference Board; NABE Outlook Survey Chair
David Bowers, Managing Director & Head of Research,Absolute Strategy Research Ltd.
Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, Chief Economist, National Retail Federation
Yelena Maleyev, CBE, Economist, KPMG
The December 2022 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 51 professional forecasters. The survey, covering the outlook for 2022 and 2023, was conducted November 7-18, 2022. The NABE Outlook Survey originated in 1965, and is one of three surveys conducted by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE); the others are the NABE Business Conditions Survey and the NABE Economic Policy Survey. Founded in 1959, the National Association for Business Economics is the professional association for those who use economics in their work. NABE has over 2,900 members and 44 chapters nationwide. Dana M. Peterson (chair), The Conference Board; Jack Kleinhenz, CBE, National Retail Federation; Brent Meyer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Sarah House, Wells Fargo; Yelena Maleyev, CBE, KPMG; David Bowers, Absolute Strategy Research Ltd; and Ryan Sweet, Oxford Economics, conducted the analysis of survey responses for this report. The views expressed in this report are those of the panelists, and do not necessarily represent the views of their affiliated companies or institutions. This report may be reproduced in whole or in part with appropriate citation to NABE.
To read the full report and learn about our four industry surveys, please visit www.NABE.com/Surveys.
Welcome to our new podcast series, ECON-versations with NABE! On today's episode, NABE President and Vice President, Julia Coronado and Ellen Zentner, discuss the November employment report that was released on December 2, 2022. Be sure to tune in every Monday following the employment report, as we dive into the latest data and events impacting the economy.
Julia Coronado is the President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, an economic research service that provides a timely and unique perspective on the U.S. and global economy to support decision makers in financial services and other industries. Ellen Zentner is the Chief U.S. Economist for Morgan Stanley.
NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities.
This podcast is the webinar replay of the July Fireside Chat with Governor Christopher Waller of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Governor Waller sits down with former NABE President, David Altig, Executive Vice President and Director of Research at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, to discuss all things monetary policy and inflation.
Want to view the video replay? NABE Members can access webinar replays on the Digital Archive on NABE.com.
For more information on the National Association for Business Economics and what we do, please visit our website.
This podcast is the webinar replay of the June Fireside Chat with President and CEO Tom Barkin of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. President Barkin sits down with now NABE President, Julia Coronado, President and Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC, to discuss all things monetary policy and inflation.
Want to view the video replay? NABE Members can access webinar replays on the Digital Archive on NABE.com.
For more information on the National Association for Business Economics and what we do, please visit our website.