Weather With Enthusiasm: Recent Episodes
Simcha L
Listen to "weather enthusiast" Simcha as he shares his passionate love and knowledge about weather. Most of these podcasts are focused on delivering a weather synopsys of the United States. In addition many times this acts as a springboard to discuss interesting topics. Please provide feedback especially if there are any inaccuracies so that they can be corrected.
Midwest Weather Brief — Sunday, August 9, 2026
Chapter Timestamps:
00:00 — Cold open (Glass Beads pre-roll)
00:05 — 1. Intro & three big stories
00:40 — 2. NWS Chicago AFD (read verbatim)
03:46 — 2b. Severe Weather Watch + Two-Round Storm Outlook
05:17 — 3. Jargon translation
06:06 — 4. Bermuda High
07:00 — 5. Heat dome & 500 mb heights (NWS LOX, NWS SLC sourced)
09:02 — 6. 80° dew points + NHC Atlantic TWO
10:57 — 7. City forecasts (LSX, LWX, PHI, OKX)
12:14 — 8. Chicago sun / zmanim (Agudas Yisroel WRP)
13:19 — 9. Sunday family activities + indoor backup
14:29 — 10. Inspirational close & sourcing statement
15:21 — Glass Beads post-roll
15:26 — End
Hashtags:
MidwestWeather #ChicagoWeather #NWSChicago #SevereThunderstormWatch #SevereWeather #FlashFlood #BermudaHigh #HeatDome #FourCornersRidge #500mb #CornSweat #Zmanim #WestRogersPark #JewishChicago #NavyPier #HydeParkArtCenter #WeatherPodcast #SundayFamilyChicago
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
TITLE
Storms, Shortwaves & the Bermuda High — Chicago Weather Brief, Aug 9, 2026
CHAPTER TIMESTAMPS (Total runtime: 15:21)
00:00 Cold Open / Show Intro
01:06 NWS Chicago Forecast Discussion (Severe Storms)
02:56 Jargon Translation (Shortwave, MLCAPE, PWAT, Shear)
04:12 The Bermuda High — What It Is & Why It Matters
05:31 Heat Dome & 500 mb Geopotential Heights (KS/NE/MO)
07:19 80° Dew Points, Corn Sweat & the Atlantic Tropics
09:23 City Forecasts — St. Louis, Baltimore, Lakewood, NY
11:06 Chicago Sunrise, Sunset & Full Zmanim (West Rogers Park)
13:33 Family Activities in Chicago Area
14:34 Inspirational Close
HASHTAGS
ChicagoWeather #MidwestWeather #SevereWeather #NWSChicago #HeatDome #BermudaHigh #CornSweat #StLouisWeather #BaltimoreWeather #NewYorkWeather #LakewoodNJ #KansasWeather #NebraskaWeather #WestRogersPark #Zmanim #JewishChicago #ShabbosTimes #Meteorology #WxTwitter #WeatherPodcast #StormPrep #RingOfFire #SundayForecast #WeatherBrief #ClimateAware
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Heat Dome Out West & Severe Risk Back East — a full weather deep-dive for Chicago and beyond, recorded the evening of Thursday, August 6, 2026, covering through Shabbos.
We read through the entire National Weather Service Chicago forecast discussion line by line, defining every technical term along the way, then zoom out to the Midwest synoptic setup, the intense Southwest heat dome with 500mb heights in decameters, the Kansas heat outlook for the week of August 9, the Bermuda High driving conditions in Baltimore, New York and Lakewood, Jerusalem's building sharav, extreme weather around the globe, and family activities around Chicago for the weekend.
CHAPTERS
00:00 - Cold open
00:05 - Opening & Hebrew date
01:10 - Chicago Zmanim
02:45 - NWS Forecast Discussion (part 1)
05:22 - NWS Forecast Discussion (part 2)
09:18 - Aviation Forecast & TAF terms
12:03 - Midwest Synoptic Setup
14:15 - Heat Dome & 500mb Heights
16:26 - Kansas Extreme Heat Outlook
19:08 - Bermuda High + Baltimore, NYC & Lakewood
24:44 - Jerusalem Forecast & Sharav
27:29 - Extreme Weather Worldwide
32:44 - Chicago Kids Activities
34:59 - Closing Recap & Shabbos Times
CHICAGO ZMANIM (ZIP 60645)
Sunset Thursday Aug 6: 8:03 PM
Alos HaShachar Friday: 4:13 AM
Misheyakir: 4:45 AM
Sunrise: 5:50 AM
Sof Zman Shma (MGA/GRA): 8:47 AM / 9:23 AM
Sof Zman Tefila (MGA/GRA): 10:10 AM / 10:34 AM
Chatzos: 12:56 PM
Mincha Gedola: 1:32 PM
Mincha Ketana: 5:05 PM
Plag HaMincha: 6:33 PM
Sunset Friday: 8:02 PM
CANDLE LIGHTING (20 min before sunset): 7:42 PM
Sunset Saturday: 8:01 PM
HAVDALAH (50 min after sunset): 8:51 PM
Hebrew date: 23-24 Av 5786. Parashas Re'eh. Shabbos Mevorchim Chodesh Ellul — Rosh Chodesh Ellul falls Thursday-Friday, August 13-14.
SOURCES
NWS Chicago Area Forecast Discussion: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOT&issuedby=LOT&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0
WPC Extended Forecast Discussion: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd
NWS Wichita AFD: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=ICT&issuedby=ICT&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0
NWS Dodge City AFD: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=DDC&issuedby=DDC&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0
NWS Baltimore/Washington AFD: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LWX&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0
NWS New York AFD: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly AFD: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0
500mb heights (GFS via Open-Meteo): https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast
Zmanim: https://www.hebcal.com/
Phoenix July 24 record: https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/local/arizona-weather/2026/07/25/phoenix-heat-records/
Phoenix August 1 record: https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/phoenix-ties-1972-record-high-116-degrees-extreme-heat-warning
India monsoon toll: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/5/indias-severe-monsoon-season-causes-more-than-100-deaths
Assam flooding: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/5/death-toll-rises-to-87-in-indias-flood-stricken-assam
Kenya March flooding: https://www.thestar.com.my/news/world/2026/03/29/death-toll-from-kenyan-floods-rises-to-108-police-say
Ivory Coast flooding: https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/floods-ivory-coast-kill-59-people-government-says-2026-07-01/
South Korea heat record: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/2/south-korea-has-hottest-day-on-record-amid-extreme-weather-globally
Typhoon Dolphin: https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/typhoon-dolphin-china-damaging-winds-flooding.amp
Marine heatwave data: https://www.euronews.com/green/2026/08/06/el-nino-could-unleash-ocean-heat-that-sends-2026-into-record-territory
All weather data current as of the evening of Thursday, August 6, 2026. Forecasts change — verify against live NWS sources before relying on them for planning.
ChicagoWeather #NWSForecast #HeatDome #KansasHeat #BermudaHigh #NYCWeather #LakewoodNJ #JerusalemWeather #Zmanim #ParshasReeh #WeatherPodcast
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
TITLE:
Chicago Weather Briefing: Fog This Morning, Storm Chances Tonight & an Active Week Ahead
DESCRIPTION:
A plain-language reading and explanation of the National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville Area Forecast Discussion issued Friday morning, August 7, 2026.
This episode covers the dense fog advisory affecting parts of northeastern Illinois and northwest Indiana this morning, the uncertain potential for thunderstorms and locally damaging winds tonight, and the return of warmer, more humid conditions with possible severe-weather opportunities Sunday and Monday.
Technical forecast language is defined along the way, including ASOS/AWOS observations, radiation fog, low-level jets, shortwaves, cold pools, mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), and convection-allowing models (CAMs).
CHAPTERS:
00:00 — Introduction: NWS Chicago/Romeoville forecast discussion
00:20 — Dense fog, low visibility, and the morning advisory
01:35 — Storm activity near St. Louis and the low-level jet
02:30 — Cold front arrives: setup for afternoon and evening storms
04:00 — MCS potential and the risk of strong to damaging winds
05:20 — Why storm chances remain uncertain tonight
06:15 — Saturday: stalled front and temperatures in the 80s
06:45 — Sunday through early next week: heat, humidity, and severe-weather potential
07:20 — Current dense fog advisories and closing
HASHTAGS:
ChicagoWeather #NWSChicago #WeatherBriefing #ForecastDiscussion #SevereWeather #Thunderstorms #DenseFog #NorthernIllinois #NorthwestIndiana #WeatherPodcast
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Friday, August 7, 2026 | Zmanim, NWS Chicago and More
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
HEBREW DATE & PARSHA
24 Av 5786 | Parashat Re'eh
Shabbat Mevarchim Chodesh Elul | Molad: Thursday, 8:15 AM
TODAY'S ZMANIM
Alos HaShachar: 4:13 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:44 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:50 AM
Latest Krias Shma: 9:23 AM
Latest Tefila: 10:34 AM
Chatzos: 12:56 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:31 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:01 PM
WEATHER SUMMARY
Dense Fog Advisory this morning (southeastern half of CWA until 8 AM CDT). Dry and low-to-mid 80s this afternoon. Cold front tonight: 25-35% chance thunderstorms with possible strong winds and small hail. Active pattern continues weekend into early next week — keep monitoring. NWS Chicago, forecaster Yack, 3:28 AM CDT.
WEATHER HISTORY
August 7, 1980: Hurricane Allen bottomed out at 899 mb (26.55 inHg) in the Yucatan Channel with 190 mph sustained winds — the second lowest pressure ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere at that time.
KIDS ACTIVITIES TODAY
• McHenry County Fair — all day, Woodstock. $10/$5.
• A Year With Frog and Toad — 10 AM, Marriott Theatre Lincolnshire. From $18.75.
• West Chicago Fun Fridays (Traveling World of Reptiles) — 11 AM, Reed-Keppler Park. FREE.
• Train w/Matt Nathanson — 6:45 PM, Credit Union 1 Amphitheatre, Tinley Park.
• Movies Under the Stars (Air Bud) — 8:15 PM, Veterans Memorial Park, Westmont. FREE.
TOMORROW'S ZMANIM (Shabbos, August 8)
Alos HaShachar: 4:14 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:46 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:51 AM
Latest Krias Shma: 9:23 AM
Latest Tefila: 10:34 AM
Chatzos: 12:56 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:31 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:00 PM
SHABBOS TIMES
Hadlakas Neiros (Candle Lighting): 7:41 PM Friday (20 min before sunset, Chicago minhag)
Havdalah: 8:50 PM Saturday (50 min after sunset)
Morning forecasts at 7 AM every day on Spreaker, plus a historical weather deep-dive every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT.
Support the show: $5/month
#weather #zmanim #Chicago #NWS #morningbriefing #forecast #Jewishtime #WestRogersPark #Shabbos #ParashatReeh
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
White Hurricane: The Great Lakes Storm of 1913
In November 1913, two storm systems phased over the Great Lakes into a meteorological bomb sailors still call the White Hurricane, the Big Blow, and the Freshwater Fury. Hurricane-force gusts, 35-foot seas, and whiteout snow sank about a dozen freighters and killed an estimated 250 people — the deadliest natural disaster in recorded Great Lakes history.
This Weather With Enthusiasm episode walks the meteorology day by day, the Lake Huron six-hour catastrophe, land impacts from Cleveland to Port Huron, and what a modern NWS/NOAA model reconstruction reveals about winds and waves the captains faced without radar, satellites, or shipboard radio.
Chapters:
• Cold open — three names for one storm
• Mild November setup and the race to finish shipping season
• The Pre-Storm (Nov 7–8)
• Sunday’s meteorological bomb (Nov 9)
• Winds, fetch, and 35-foot seas on Lake Huron
• Lake Carriers Association testimony
• Ships lost and the human cost
• Cleveland blizzard and shoreline impacts
• Forecasting limits of 1913
• Modern NWS/NOAA reconstruction
• Lessons for Great Lakes November weather
Music: “Our Names Engraved” by Blue Dot Sessions (CC BY-NC) — sessions.blue
AI-assisted narration disclosed.
WeatherWithEnthusiasm #WhiteHurricane #GreatLakes #1913Storm #FreshwaterFury #BigBlow #LakeHuron #MaritimeHistory #NWS #NOAA #Blizzard #NovemberGale #Shipwreck #WeatherHistory #Meteorology #ClevelandSnow #BombCyclone #GreatLakesShipping #WeatherPodcast #HistoricalWeather
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
This episode includes AI-generated content.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
A full national weather briefing covering the Chicago NWS forecast discussion, synoptic pattern across the U.S., heat dome and ring-of-fire mechanics, Wisconsin storms and St. Louis rain delays, the Bermuda High, extreme dew points, global heat in South Asia and the Persian Gulf, and ocean water temperatures.
Segments:
- NWS Chicago-style forecast discussion with plain-language term definitions
- U.S. synoptic setup region by region
- Heat dome, ring of fire, and tornadoes
- Wisconsin storms and St. Louis rain delays
- The Bermuda High
- Extreme dew points and global heat
- Ocean water temperatures: Persian Gulf, Caspian Sea, and Gulf of Mexico
Background music:
- Glass Beads by Blue Dot Sessions
- Our Names Engraved by Blue Dot Sessions
- Music licensed under Attribution-NonCommercial (Creative Commons)
- https://www.sessions.blue
This episode was produced with AI-assisted narration.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Deep-dive weather briefing for Sunday, July 26, 2026 (cutoff ~3:15 AM CDT).
Full National Weather Service Area Forecast Discussions for Chicago and Baltimore with every technical term defined
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Recorded with an information cutoff of 12:53 PM Central Time on Friday, July 17, 2026.
This episode reads and explains the National Weather Service Chicago Area Forecast Discussion, follows Canadian wildfire smoke through Great Lakes forecast discussions, and examines extreme heat and humidity in the United States, Canada, Europe, Israel, Iran's Lut Desert, and the Persian Gulf. It closes with the Storm Prediction Center severe-weather outlook and a plain-language explanation of ridges, heat domes, the Bermuda High, and 500-millibar geopotential heights. Forecasts are time-sensitive and can change.
CHAPTERS
00:00 Cold open, cutoff, and AI disclosure
01:56 Chicago Area Forecast Discussion
18:21 Canadian wildfire smoke
26:52 Extreme heat: United States and world
29:20 Israel spotlight
31:25 Lut Desert: myth versus reality
33:53 Persian Gulf humidity
36:47 Severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center
40:51 Synoptic science: ridges, heat domes, and 500-millibar heights
43:24 Recap and sign-off
PRIMARY SOURCES
NWS Chicago: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOT&issuedby=LOT&product=AFD&format=txt&version=1&glossary=0
NWS Green Bay: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GRB&issuedby=GRB&product=AFD&format=txt&version=1&glossary=0
NWS Marquette: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MQT&issuedby=MQT&product=AFD&format=txt&version=1&glossary=0
SPC Day 1: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
SPC Day 2: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
Israel Meteorological Service: https://ims.gov.il/en/Warnings
Copernicus Climate Change Service: https://climate.copernicus.eu/intense-heatwave-brings-hottest-june-western-europe-month-ranks-second-warmest-globally
MUSIC
"Glass Beads" and "Our Names Engraved" by Blue Dot Sessions, used with separate commercial permission confirmed by the publisher.
https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Blue_Dot_Sessions/The_Balloonist/Glass_Beads/
https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Blue_Dot_Sessions/Duck_Lake/Our_Names_Engraved
The calm Atlantic-style production bed was created specifically for this episode.
AI DISCLOSURE
This episode was produced with artificial-intelligence assistance, including research, drafting, artwork, and narration. Weather information came primarily from official government and meteorological sources at the times stated; a few secondary or commercial observations are clearly labeled in the episode. This program is general information and not a substitute for official warnings.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
This episode includes AI-generated content.
Was Camp Agudah Midwest Girls actually rainier and hotter than normal during its June 24 to July 16, 2026 session in South Haven, Michigan? This episode of Weather With Enthusiasm examines observations from the nearby South Haven Regional Airport, NOAA climate normals, National Weather Service storm reports, and NOAA Lake Michigan buoy data. It compares rainfall totals and timing, temperature and dew-point thresholds, heat index, unusually cool days, severe weather, and lake-water temperatures.
The statistical verdict: through departure morning, 3.20 inches of rain fell, approximately 47% above the completed-day normal, while completed days averaged 3.7°F above normal for daytime highs. The session included four 90°F days, a peak calculated heat index near 105°F, a July 3 squall line, and a 1.73-inch daytime rain event on July 5.
Methodology note: July 16 observations were partial through approximately 10 a.m. EDT. Completed-calendar-day climate comparisons therefore use June 24 through July 15, while event totals extend through departure morning July 16.
No camp-specific illness outbreak, private-beach connection, or attributable camper quotation was verified, so none is presented as fact.
This episode contains AI-generated narration and production elements. Research and source review were completed for Weather With Enthusiasm.
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
This episode includes AI-generated content.
A dense plume of wildfire smoke from Ontario and northern Minnesota is spreading across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes today, July 16, 2026.
This episode examines Chicago’s dangerous air quality and reduced visibility, the cities experiencing the worst smoke, how far south the surface plume may travel, and whether smoke will lower afternoon temperatures. It also explains the difference between elevated and near-surface smoke and provides practical steps for reducing exposure.
Conditions are based on information available around 9:20 AM CDT and may change quickly.
Check current conditions: https://fire.airnow.gov/
Music: “Glass Beads” by Blue Dot Sessions, from The Balloonist. https://www.sessions.blue/
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
This episode includes AI-generated content.
Canadian Wildfire Smoke: A Comprehensive Forecast (July 15, 2026) Timestamp Breakdown:* 00:00 Introduction: Tracking the Canadian wildfire smoke plume. * 00:30 Key message: Ground-level impact of smoke and health risks. * 00:58 Forecast overview: Where the smoke is now, where it's going, and weekend improvement. * 01:12 The big picture: Weather patterns driving smoke south. * 01:50 Elevated vs. surface smoke: Understanding the difference in impact. * 02:16 Understanding PM2.5 and the Canadian Blue Sky Smoke model. * 02:50 Model limitations and current severe conditions. * 03:19 Southern Ontario's poor air quality and US plume spread. * 03:50 Thursday's forecast: Upper Midwest and Great Lakes concerns. * 04:29 Thursday's forecast: Northeast and Mid-Atlantic impact. * 05:05 Specific areas highlighted for Thursday's poor air quality. * 05:36 Friday's forecast: Plume extension and potential for improvement. * 06:05 Important consideration: Heat and air quality. * 06:30 Weekend outlook: Chance for improvement with rain and wind. * 07:05 Smoke forecast confidence beyond 48 hours. * 07:25 Understanding the United States Air Quality Index (AQI). * 07:48 AQI categories and their health implications. * 08:05 Canada's Air Quality Health Index (AQHI). * 08:25 Actionable steps to reduce smoke exposure. * 08:50 Indoor air quality tips and respirator use. * 09:15 Recognizing symptoms of smoke exposure and seeking medical help. * 09:30 Where to find current air quality information. * 09:57 Recap of highest risk areas and overall outlook. * 10:20 Final recommendations: Check AQI and stay weather aware.
20 Hashtags:1. #CanadianWildfires 2. #WildfireSmoke 3. #AirQualityAlert 4. #PM25 5. #GreatLakesSmoke 6. #NortheastSmoke 7. #MidAtlantic 8. #OntarioSmoke 9. #AirNow 10. #EnvironmentalHealth 11. #WeatherForecast 12. #SmokeForecast 13. #PublicHealth 14. #BreathingClean 15. #ClimateChangeImpact 16. #Heatwave 17. #StaySafe 18. #AirQualityIndex 19. #HealthAdvisory 20. #WeatherAware
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Title: The North American Heat Dome Explained Timestamp Breakdown:
* 00:00 - Introduction to the heat dome
* 00:05 - Defining characteristics and historical measurements of the heat dome
* 01:07 - Meteorological effects and impact of the heat dome
* 02:09 - Geographic spread, future outlook, and comprehensive understanding of the heat dome
20 Hashtags: #HeatDome #WeatherExplained #NorthAmerica #ExtremeHeat #ClimateChange #WeatherPattern #AtmosphericScience #JetStream #RecordTemperatures #Meteorology #Drought #Wildfires #SummerHeat #HotWeather #TemperatureRecords #WeatherPhenomenon #AirPressure #UpperAir #WeatherForecast #Heatwave
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New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
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Title: North American Heatwave: Extreme Temperatures & Humidity Timestamp Breakdown
00:00 - Introduction to the Widespread Heatwave
00:05 - Record-Breaking Temperatures in US & Canada
01:08 - Dry vs. Humid Heat: Regional Differences
02:12 - Heat Index vs. Humidex & Distinct Extremes
20 Hashtags: #Heatwave #NorthAmerica #ExtremeWeather #ClimateChange #RecordHighs #DeathValley #CanadaHeat #USWeather #HeatIndex #Humidex #SummerHeat #WeatherAlert #ClimateCrisis #DangerousHeat #TemperatureRecords #MontanaHeat #MissouriHeat #TexasHeat #MidwestHeat #WeatherPhenomenon
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New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
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Title: Understanding Extreme Humidity: Genuine vs. Misleading Readings Timestamp Breakdown
: 00:00 - 00:05: Introduction to foreign humidity
00:05 - 01:07: US humidity extremes and misleading automated readings
01:07 - 02:13: Canadian humidity and contributing factors
02:13 - 02:27: Summary of verified maximums and misleading readings
20 Hashtags: #Humidity #Weather #DewPoint #Extremes #Climate #USA #Canada #Missouri #NorthDakota #Manitoba #WeatherReport #Meteorology #DataAnalysis #SensorError #Atmosphere #HeatWave #SummerWeather #WeatherObservations #CornBelt #Midwest
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Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
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Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
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Canada's Extreme Dew Points & Expanding Heat Dome
* 00:00-01:02: Introduction to an unprecedented and serious heat situation developing in southern Canada and the upper Midwest, featuring world-record dew points in the 80s, comparable only to the Persian Gulf.
* 01:02-02:06: Emphasis on Canadian dew points peaking in the 80s, highlighting the shock value on wet bulb globe temperature maps, particularly for Winnipeg, Manitoba.
* 02:06-03:10: Further details on Winnipeg's dew points reaching the low 80s, along with a mention of slow internet preventing full map display but reiterating extremely high dew points and temperatures.
* 03:10-04:15: Discussion of extreme heat in terms of pure temperature, with Montana and North Dakota reaching 108°F and 107°F, and the redeveloping, stronger, and more northern heat dome.
* 04:15-05:18: The heat dome's expansion into Canada (600 decameter), questioning lower forecasts by other meteorologists, and explaining how high humidity (dew points) will make heat indexes much higher.
* 05:18-06:21: Environmental Canada's humidex warnings for Winnipeg, forecasting 45°C (113°F) or higher, indicating that southern Canada will experience the overall hottest conditions.
* 06:21-07:26: Explanation of the "Ring of Fire" around a closed heat dome, its contrast to last week's heat dome, the long daylight hours in northern regions, and potential for severe thunderstorms.
* 07:26-08:35: Doubts about current low-90s forecasts for the Midwest, asserting that solid mid-90s to over 100°F are more likely, even with potential model overestimation, and the impact of long days and solar insolation.
* 08:35-09:16: Conclusion emphasizing the extreme danger and the belief that forecasters are underestimating the severity, encouraging listeners to stay informed via official weather services.
20 Hashtags: #ExtremeHeat #CanadaHeatwave #DewPointRecords #HeatDome2026 #MidwestWeather #GlobalWarmingImpact #UnprecedentedWeather #WinnipegHeat #ManitobaWeather #HumidexWarning #WeatherAlert #ClimateChange #DangerousHeat #Summer2026 #NorthAmericanWeather #WetBulbTemperature #RingOfFire #WeatherForecast #HeatRisk #ClimateCrisis
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Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
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The Galveston Hurricane of 1900: A Catastrophic Miscalculation Time Stamp Breakdown:* 00:00 Introduction to the Galveston Hurricane of 1900 * 01:03 Galveston's prominence as a major city in 1900 * 02:04 Galveston: The "City of Firsts" and its vulnerable elevation * 03:07 Galveston's unusually high dew points and its place in weather history * 04:07 Galveston's past wealth and concerns about storms * 05:17 Isaac Cline: Chief Meteorologist and his optimistic views * 06:24 The controversy surrounding Isaac Cline's role * 07:23 Cline's main argument: Hurricanes curve away from Texas * 08:28 The concept of recurvature and why Cline's understanding was flawed * 09:36 The "warm bathtub" effect and Texas's vulnerability * 10:39 Cline's second mistake: Misunderstanding storm surge in shallow water * 11:42 The impact of shallow water on storm surge * 12:43 Cline's third mistake: Believing surge would spill past the city * 13:47 The reality of total submersion during the hurricane * 14:04 Cline's fourth mistake: Underestimating the strength of Texas hurricanes * 15:52 Reasons for Cline's misjudgment: Incomplete science and motivated reasoning * 17:59 The Weather Bureau's institutional arrogance and its impact * 18:51 Cline's ironic quote and the tragic outcome for his family * 19:10 Cline's transformation into a cautious expert after the disaster * 20:23 Excerpts from Cline's special report on the Galveston Hurricane * 23:12 The unusual weather signs leading up to the hurricane * 24:13 Isaac Cline's brother's warning and the initial telegram * 25:16 Detailed account of wind shifts and increasing hurricane velocity * 26:18 Barometer readings and the hurricane's intensity * 27:27 Heroic efforts to record weather data during the storm * 28:35 Timely storm warnings and their limited impact * 29:37 Isaac Cline's personal experience during the storm and his family's rescue * 31:49 The rapid rise of water and the destruction of Cline's home * 34:00 The aftermath: Widespread destruction and loss of life * 35:06 Estimates of homes destroyed and lives lost * 36:10 Economic impact and determination to rebuild Galveston * 38:15 Lessons learned and the importance of a seawall * 39:16 List of other affected towns and the human cost * 39:51 Letter of praise to Isaac Cline and his assistants * 41:44 Concluding thoughts on resilience and future weather predictions
20 Hashtags: #GalvestonHurricane #1900Disaster #TexasHistory #IsaacCline #WeatherCatastrophe #StormSurge #HurricaneHistory #NaturalDisaster #GalvestonIsland #ClimateAdaptation #Meteorology #HistoricalEvents #DeadliestStorm #USHistory #WeatherForecasting #BarrierIsland #GulfCoast #Tragedy #Resilience #WeatherLessons
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New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
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Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
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The Great Chilean Earthquake — Valdivia, 1960 | Magnitude 9.5
Episode 14 of Weather With Enthusiasm
On May 22, 1960, at 3:11 PM local time, the largest earthquake ever recorded by modern instruments struck the coast of southern Chile. What followed would reshape how humanity thinks about seismic risk, tsunami warning, and the terrifying reach of the natural world.
KEY FACTS:
• Magnitude: 9.5 Mw (USGS) — the largest instrumentally recorded earthquake in history
• Time: 3:11 PM local (19:11 UTC), May 22, 1960
• Location: Off the coast of southern Chile near Valdivia
• Fault rupture: ~1,000 km, from Lebu to Puerto Aisén
• Shaking duration: ~10 minutes
• Depth: ~25 km
FORESHOCKS:
• May 21, 1960: Magnitude 8.1 hit Concepción — 125 dead, third of buildings destroyed before the main event even struck
TSUNAMI IMPACTS:
• Chile: Waves up to 25 meters (82 ft)
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Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
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Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
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Morning Briefing — Tuesday, July 7, 2026 | Zmanim, NWS Chicago and More
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
HEBREW DATE: 22 Tamuz 5786 | Parashat Pinchas
TODAY'S ZMANIM (ZIP 60645):
- Alos HaShachar: 3:31 AM
- Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:09 AM
- Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:22 AM
- Latest Krias Shma: 9:09 AM
- Latest Tefila: 10:24 AM
- Chatzos: 12:55 PM
- Earliest Mincha: 1:33 PM
- Shkiah (Sunset): 8:28 PM
WEATHER SUMMARY (NWS Chicago AFD, issued 6:11 AM CDT, forecaster Petr):
Surface high pressure is locked in overhead, bringing a genuine break from the stormy pattern. Low to mid-80s today, 70s near the lake with onshore breeze. Dry through Wednesday. Important: NWS is watching a potentially significant rain event Thursday-Friday. PWATs near climatological max
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When the Sun Lies: Shawn Hunter and the Decision That Put Players First
Episode 4 | Weather With Enthusiasm | July 5, 2026
The sky was blue. The radar was empty. Not a cloud in sight. And Impact Field's July 5th game was canceled anyway.
This is the story of antecedent soil moisture, the limits of engineering, and one owner who chose safety over revenue — twice in the same afternoon.
WHAT HAPPENED:
The Chicago Dogs vs. Winnipeg Goldeyes game, scheduled for 3:00 PM with a delayed start of 4:45 PM, was ultimately canceled at 5:15 PM. The infield was deemed unplayable despite completely clear skies. The only puddle in the entire stadium was the one two-year-old Mookie created when he spilled his water cup.
THE SCIENCE — ANTECEDENT SOIL MOISTURE:
The U.S. Soil Conservation Service defines three antecedent moisture conditions:
- Condition I: Dry (wilting point) — soil absorbs rain aggressively
- Condition II: Average — normal after several dry days
- Condition III: Wet (field capacity) — soil profile is full
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Impact Field: Field Science — Shawn Hunter, The Man, The Drainage System, The Decision
Episode 3 | Weather With Enthusiasm | July 5, 2026
It's 4:04 PM at Impact Field in Rosemont, Illinois. The sun is out. Not a cloud in the sky. And the game has been delayed nearly two hours. This episode explains why — and why that's actually a testament to smart engineering and even smarter leadership.
WHAT YOU'LL HEAR IN THIS EPISODE:
🏟️ WHY THE OUTFIELD IS SAFE (BUT THE INFIELD ISN'T)
The outfield grass is structurally sound — turf traction holds even when wet. The infield skinned dirt is a different story: clay-heavy soil loses its structural integrity when saturated from below. Cleats punch through. Players fall. That's why kids are freely playing catch in the outfield while the infield crew is working overtime.
🔧 THE 5-STEP CONDITIONING PROCESS
What you're watching on the infield right now:
1. Leaf blowers blast surface water away
2. Rake and drag open the surface
3. Calcined clay broadcast across the dirt
4. Work the clay into the surface
5. Tamp and test firmness — repeat until safe
💧 CALCINED CLAY: THE SCIENCE
Calcined clay is kiln-fired at 1,200–1,400°F (per Turface specifications — not 1,800°F as sometimes misreported). The firing creates 74% pore space. That pore structure pulls moisture from the surface, firms the top layer, and gives cleats something to grip. Under good conditions: 45–90 minutes to effectiveness.
🚰 THE 16,000 GPM PUMP STATION
Metropolitan Industries installed a 4-pump submersible system with 12-inch discharge piping and an emergency generator. It was spec'd for this specific site because Rosemont has a flood history going back to the village's founding in 1956 — when Willow Creek flooded so badly that rowboats were a household necessity. The pump station moves 16,000 gallons per minute. It's been running.
🌧️ ROSEMONT'S FLOOD HISTORY
Incorporated 1956. Village's own Instagram: "From a tiny flood-plagued corner of Cook County..." September 3, 2018 — Impact Field's first season — 2.5 inches fell in 25 minutes. Fans were evacuated. The field flooded. The drainage system spec (1 inch per 25 minutes handling capacity) was designed by Roger Bossard BEFORE that game, not after.
📊 HOW MUCH RAIN FELL
Official O'Hare (KORD) data: July 2: 1.64", July 3: 1.71", July 4 storm event: approximately 3". Month-to-date through July 4: 3.53" at O'Hare. Field-level in Rosemont likely 3.5–6" given localized storm cells.
🌤️ THE RAIN FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON
NWS Chicago AFD (issued 1:52 PM CDT, forecaster Doom): "Isolated thunderstorm can't be ruled out north of I-80, but odds best prior to 3–4 PM... latest satellite trends show no distinct signs of new development." It is now past 4 PM. The window has closed. HRRR (High-Resolution Rapid Refresh, 3km model) shows dry through the evening. GFS and ECMWF agree. Rain probability: single digits. The sky is clear.
🌟 SHAWN HUNTER — THE OWNER
Shawn Hunter (S-H-A-W-N H-U-N-T-E-R) is the founder, CEO, and majority owner of the Chicago Dogs. Before baseball, he was President of the NHL's Phoenix Coyotes and EVP of the Colorado Avalanche and Denver Nuggets. He's the man who closed the David Beckham-to-LA Galaxy deal. Today, he got on the mic himself. He offered every fan a full refund. He opened the field. He put safety first. That's not a business decision — that's a philosophy.
WEATHER DATA SOURCES:
- NWS Chicago Area Forecast Discussion (LOT): https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOT
- HRRR model guidance via Windy.com
- MWRD rainfall data
- Turface/Profile Products calcined clay specifications
- Metropolitan Industries pump station documentation
New episodes every morning at 7 AM on Spreaker, plus historical weather deep-dives every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT.
Support the show: $5/month keeps Weather With Enthusiasm on the air.
Tags: weather, baseball, Impact Field, Chicago Dogs, Shawn Hunter, Rosemont, drainage, field science, NWS Chicago, HRRR, calcined clay, flood history
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Sunny. No Rain. Game Delayed.
The Field Science Behind the Delay at Impact Field — Chicago Dogs vs. Winnipeg Goldeyes, July 5, 2026
It's sunny. The radar is clean. Not a drop of rain is falling. And the game is delayed 1 hour 45 minutes.
Here's why — and why the history of this land made it almost inevitable.
=== WHAT HAPPENED ===
The Chicago Dogs owner addressed fans, offered refunds to everyone staying and free future tickets to anyone who left. Fans played catch on the field while the grounds crew applied calcined clay conditioner to firm up the surface. New first pitch: 4:45 PM CDT.
=== THE RAINFALL DISCREPANCY ===
Owner cited ~6 inches. Official NWS O'Hare CF6 record shows:
- July 2: 1.64"
- July 3: 1.71"
- July 4 storm: ~3" at O'Hare per MWRD/NWS (after morning obs cutoff)
- Month-to-date through July 4: 3.53" official
MWRD confirmed the McCook TARP system (Cook County flood control) filled 6 times this year — more than the prior 5 years combined.
Local field-level measurements at Impact Field, a low-lying site, likely exceeded the airport gauge. The real total near the stadium: 3.5–6 inches over several days.
=== WHY THE DRAINAGE SYSTEM WASN'T ENOUGH ===
Roger Bossard's celebrated drainage system handles 1 inch / 64,000 gallons on the playing surface in 20–25 minutes — from an acute single event. When the soil column is cumulatively saturated over multiple days, it reaches "field capacity" — gravity drainage stops, the subbase has no remaining capacity, and the surface loses structural support from below. The top layer looks dry. The field is sunny. But the turf will slide and give way under lateral force, creating serious injury risk.
=== THE CONDITIONER ===
Calcined clay (Turface MVP or Diamond Dry) — kiln-fired at ~1800°F, becomes highly porous and absorbs surface moisture rapidly. Addresses the top 2–3 inches only. Under a lake breeze, firms the surface in 45–90 minutes.
=== ROSEMONT'S FLOODING HISTORY ===
The Village of Rosemont incorporated in 1956 partly to address flooding. Willow Creek flooded so regularly that rowboats were a household necessity. First village president Donald Stephens made correcting flooding a founding mission. The Impact Field site sits on that same low-lying Chicago lake plain between I-294 and O'Hare.
=== 2018 FLOODING AT IMPACT FIELD ===
September 3, 2018 — the first season. 2.5 inches fell in 25 minutes. Fans were evacuated. Documented by Live Storms Media: "Insane CG barrage and flooding at Impact Field." This is why Bossard built what he built.
=== CURRENT WEATHER (as of ~3 PM CDT) ===
NWS AFD issued 1:52 PM CDT by forecaster Doom: "Latest satellite trends show no distinct signs of new development anywhere around the area — confidence to there being little to no impacts north of I-80." HRRR, GFS, ECMWF all show dry conditions at Rosemont through the evening. The 4:45 PM game should be played in sunshine.
=== SOURCES ===
- NWS O'Hare CF6: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOT&issuedby=ORD&product=CF6
- MWRD TARP storm update July 4: https://mwrd.org/news/1030-am-storm-update-mwrds-tarp-systems-manages-heavy-rainfall
- NWS Chicago AFD: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOT&issuedby=LOT&product=AFD
- Rosemont history / Willow Creek flooding: Encyclopedia of Chicago
- 2018 Impact Field flooding: Live Storms Media (YouTube, Sept 3 2018)
Tags: weather, Chicago Dogs, Impact Field, Rosemont, rain delay, baseball, field science, soil saturation, groundskeeping, calcined clay, Turface, NWS Chicago, flooding, Chicago history
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Game Day Weather: Impact Field, Rosemont, IL
Chicago Dogs vs. Winnipeg Goldeyes — Sunday, July 5, 2026 | First Pitch 3:00 PM CDT
A complete meteorological breakdown of weather conditions for today's game.
=== THE STADIUM ===
Impact Field | 9850 Balmoral Ave, Rosemont, IL 60018
Coordinates: 41.983°N, 87.874°W | ~12 miles NW of downtown Chicago
=== WEATHER SUMMARY ===
NWS Chicago AFD issued 12:23 PM CDT, forecaster Yack.
Pattern: Baggy shortwave trough over western Great Lakes. Broad surface low over southern Lake Michigan. Very saturated low levels — dew points near 68°F (tropical threshold). IFR fog and low stratus through midday.
KEY FINDING FOR ROSEMONT: Primary storm axis is near/south of the Kankakee River Valley (30-40% chance), and as a precaution north to I-80 (20-25%). Rosemont sits 20+ miles north of I-80 — in the favored DRY zone.
At First Pitch (3 PM CDT):
- Temperature: ~75-78°F
- Dew Point: ~68°F (humid but comfortable with lake breeze)
- Sky: Mostly cloudy
- Wind: NNE 10-15 mph gusts to 20 mph
- Precipitation Probability (Rosemont): ~20%
- Severe Threat: Virtually ZERO (limited wind shear, weak instability)
=== NWS TERMS EXPLAINED IN THIS EPISODE ===
- Baggy shortwave trough: Diffuse, spread-out dip in the jet stream — not a focused punch
- Shortwave trough: Small-scale dip in the jet stream driving rising air and weather
- Surface low: Low pressure at ground level drawing air inward and upward
- Very saturated low levels: Air near the surface is soaked with moisture (dew point 68°F)
- Wind shear: How wind speed/direction changes with altitude — limited today = brief pulse storms only
- Instability: Atmospheric fuel for thunderstorm updrafts — much weaker than heat dome days
- GFS, NAM, HREF, NBM: Weather models used to generate forecast guidance
- Ensemble spread: Range of solutions across multiple model runs
=== IMPACT FIELD DRAINAGE — THE SECRET WEAPON ===
Built in 2018 with one of the best drainage systems in minor league baseball.
Can absorb 1 inch of rain (64,000 gallons) and return to playable condition in 20-25 minutes.
Source: Daily Herald, 2017 pre-opening report.
=== RAIN-OUT CRITERIA (American Association / Impact Field) ===
Per Chicago Dogs official policy: Games will NOT be postponed before start time except in extreme circumstances.
American Association umpires determine delays/postponements once game begins.
Actual stoppage triggers: Standing water ≥1/4 inch in batter's box/pitcher's rubber zone, field saturation preventing cleat grip, visibility below 500 feet, OR lightning within 8 miles.
Official game: 5 innings completed (4.5 if home team leads).
No game: Fewer than 5 innings, cannot resume — must be replayed.
=== VERDICT ===
Rain-out probability at Impact Field: LOW.
- Rosemont is 20+ miles north of the primary storm zone
- Severe threat: Virtually zero
- ~20% POP in the NWS hourly forecast (8 in 10 scenarios = no rain during game)
- If a brief shower does clip the stadium, drainage allows resumption in ~25 min
- Lightning within 8 miles is the most likely cause of any delay — and the storm track argues against it
RECOMMENDATION: Go to the game. Bring a light rain jacket. Bring sunscreen. Wear comfortable shoes.
=== SOURCES ===
- NWS Chicago AFD: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOT&issuedby=LOT&product=AFD
- NWS Hourly Forecast (Rosemont): https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Rosemont&state=IL&site=LOT&textField1=41.9836&textField2=-87.8742&FcstType=digital
- Chicago Dogs Rain Policy: https://thechicagodogs.com/explore-impact/policies/
- Impact Field Drainage: Daily Herald, September 2017
- CBS Chicago morning forecast: https://www.cbsnews.com/chicago/news/chicago-weather-first-alert-weather/
Tags: weather, Chicago Dogs, Impact Field, Rosemont, game day forecast, rain delay, baseball weather, NWS Chicago
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Sunday, July 5, 2026 | West Rogers Park, Chicago
Zmanim, NWS Chicago, Chicago Dogs Game & More
=== HEBREW DATE & PARSHA ===
20 Tamuz 5786 | Week of Parashat Pinchas
=== TODAY'S ZMANIM (ZIP 60645) ===
Alos HaShachar: 3:29 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:07 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:21 AM
Latest Krias Shma: 9:08 AM
Latest Tefila: 10:24 AM
Chatzos: 12:55 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:33 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:29 PM
=== WEATHER SUMMARY ===
NWS Chicago AFD issued 7:02 AM CDT, forecaster Yack.
Foggy, murky start
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Sunday, July 5, 2026
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
Weather With Enthusiasm
📅 Hebrew Date: 20 Tamuz 5786 | Week of Parashat Matot-Masei
🕍 PARSHA
Week of Parashat Matot-Masei — read next Shabbos, July 11, 2026
Parashat Matot: Laws of oaths and vows
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Chicago Weather Deep Dive — Heat Dome vs. Thunderstorm Season
Week of July 5–11, 2026 | Weather With Enthusiasm
🌡️ WHAT JUST HAPPENED: THE HEAT DOME RECAP
From June 29 through July 4, a powerful upper-level ridge of high pressure locked over the central and eastern US, producing Chicago's most significant heat event in years. Five consecutive days with highs in the low-to-mid 90s. Dew points reached 74–76°F — what NWS meteorologist Brett Borchardt called "air you can wear." Heat index values hit 100–108°F. Overnight lows stayed near 80°F in the city — the most dangerous aspect, preventing the body from recovering from daytime heat stress. Extreme Heat Warnings were in effect for multiple consecutive days.
🌩️ WHAT BROKE THE HEAT
Upper-level short-wave troughs (dips in the jet stream) eroded the ridge late in the week. July 4 storms were organized around a Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) — a spinning mid-level circulation leftover from overnight storm clusters. Precipitable water (PWAT) approached 2" (exceptionally high for Chicago). MUCAPE reached ~3,000 J/kg (extreme instability). Rain rates exceeded 2–4"/hr. Flash flooding across Kane, DuPage, Cook, Will, and Lake (IN) counties.
📋 NWS CHICAGO AFD — KEY TAKEAWAYS
Source: NWS Chicago/Romeoville AFD issued 6:45 PM CDT Sat Jul 4 2026 — Forecasters Borchardt & Yack
☀️ WEEK AHEAD FORECAST
• Sunday July 5: Isolated storms south of I-80, far less coverage. Highs upper 70s–low 80s. Moderate swim risk (2–4 ft lake waves).
• Monday July 6: Mostly dry, high pressure building. Highs low-to-mid 80s. Very pleasant.
• Tuesday July 7: Dry and warmer, mid-to-upper 80s. Southerly winds increase moisture.
• Wednesday July 8: WATCH THIS DAY — increasing instability, storm chances return. Highs upper 80s to near 90.
• Thursday July 9 – Friday July 10: More active pattern, storm chances increase. West-southwest flow returns. Upper 80s to near 90.
🔥 HEAT DOME QUESTION: Will it return?
Not in its extreme form next week. The pattern is rebuilding toward above-normal warmth with moisture return, but current guidance does not support a repeat of the extreme heat index values of late June/early July. The brief quiet window Sun–Tue is your best weather of the next 10 days. Temperatures return to upper 80s–low 90s by Wed–Fri with storm chances — not record-breaking heat, but still above normal with humidity.
🏙️ LAKE MICHIGAN'S ROLE
With onshore northeast winds this weekend, lakefront neighborhoods will be 8–12°F cooler than inland areas at peak afternoon heating. If you can get to the lakefront Mon–Tue, those are the most comfortable days in the metro.
🌡️ CLIMATE CONTEXT
Chicago's urban heat island effect amplifies heat waves — concrete, asphalt, and steel absorb solar radiation and re-radiate it overnight, preventing rural-style cooling. The 1995 Chicago heat wave (700+ deaths) occurred under similar pattern conditions. The city's cooling center network, check-in systems, and emergency protocols have expanded significantly since 1995 — but they only work when people use them.
⚠️ SAFETY RESOURCES
• NWS Chicago: weather.gov/chicago
• NOAA Weather App: Free, includes Wireless Emergency Alerts
• Cook County Cooling Centers: cookcountyil.gov
• Signs of heat stroke: confusion, hot dry skin, no sweating — call 911 immediately
Morning forecasts every day at 7 AM on Spreaker, plus a historical weather deep-dive every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT. Support the show: $5/month.
Chicago #weather #heatdome #NWS #thunderstorm #forecast #WeatherWithEnthusiasm #ChicagoWeather #severeweather #heatwave
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Friday, July 3, 2026
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
Weather With Enthusiasm
📅 Hebrew Date: 18 Tamuz 5786 | Erev Shabbos Parashat Pinchas
🕍 PARSHA
Parashat Pinchas — Numbers 25:10–30:1
Pinchas ben Elazar ben Aharon HaKohen is rewarded with the Covenant of Peace for his zealotry on behalf of Hashem. The parsha includes the second census of Bnei Yisrael, the petition of the daughters of Zelophchad, the appointment of Yehoshua as Moshe's successor, and the laws of the Musaf offerings.
🕯️ ZMANIM — West Rogers Park, Chicago (60645)
Alos HaShachar: 3:27 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:05 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:20 AM
Latest Krias Shma (GRA): 9:07 AM
Latest Tefila (GRA): 10:23 AM
Chatzos: 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:29 PM
🕯️ SHABBOS TIMES
Hadlakas Neiros (Candle Lighting): 8:09 PM CDT (20 min before Shkiah — Chicago minhag)
Havdalah (Motzei Shabbos, Saturday July 4): 9:19 PM CDT (50 min after Shkiah — Chicago minhag)
🌤️ WEATHER SUMMARY
Hot, humid, and stormy on this pre-July 4th Friday. Heat Advisory in effect south of I-80 with heat indices reaching ~100°F. The Chicago metro area faces two storm windows: the first arriving late morning to early afternoon (11 AM–3 PM), with damaging wind potential
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Chicago Storm Alert: Severe Thunderstorm Threat July 2-4, 2026
Weather With Enthusiasm — Special Episode
A deep meteorological breakdown of the thunderstorm threat facing Chicago and northern Illinois over the next 48 hours — sourced directly from the NWS Chicago Area Forecast Discussion (3:15 PM CDT, July 2), the NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook (3:24 PM CDT, July 2), the SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook (3:00 PM CDT, July 2 — forecaster Squitieri), and the SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook (12:17 PM CDT, July 2 — forecaster Jewell).
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TONIGHT — THURSDAY JULY 2 (after 8-9 PM CDT)
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• SPC Day 1: MARGINAL Risk for Chicago | SLIGHT Risk for Milwaukee/WI corridor
• HWO: Level 1 of 5 Damaging Wind Risk (up to 60 mph) | Level 1 of 5 Large Hail (up to quarter size) | Limited Flooding Risk
• Storm type: MCS (Mesoscale Convective System) traversing WI/IL border
• Key threats: Wet microbursts, DCAPE >1,000 J/kg, elevated PWATs
• Flash flood scenario: Training convection possible if cold pools merge across far northern Illinois
• Storm spotters activated
• Activity wanes after ~4 AM Friday
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FRIDAY JULY 3 — THE BIGGER EVENT (1 PM–7 PM CDT)
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• SPC Day 2: SLIGHT Risk for Chicago — one category higher than tonight
• HWO: Level 2 of 5 Severe Thunderstorm Risk (Elevated) | Limited Flooding Risk
• Driver: More potent upper-level shortwave crossing northern Arizona Thursday → reaches northern IL/southern WI Friday afternoon
• Environment: Dew points solidly mid to locally upper 70s°F | Uncapped air mass | Modest deep-layer shear
• Storm mode: Potential line or multicell clusters traversing northern IL into NW Indiana
• Primary threat: Damaging wind gusts
• Extreme Heat Warning extended until 7 PM Friday for areas near/south of Kankakee River (Day 5 of heat wave)
• Possible improvement Friday evening — watch 5 and 7 PM NWS updates for fireworks forecast
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SATURDAY — INDEPENDENCE DAY (July 4)
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• HWO: Level 1 of 5 Severe Thunderstorm Risk | Limited Flooding Risk
• Storm location highly uncertain — range from southern Wisconsin to southern Illinois
• Mid-level wave may slow/stall over western Great Lakes
• Many dry hours expected between rounds
• Heat index near 95-100°F near/south of I-80
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SUNDAY JULY 5
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• HWO: Limited Thunderstorm Risk — no elevated severe parameters
• Drier, somewhat cooler conditions expected by mid-week
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KEY TECHNICAL TERMS EXPLAINED
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• PWAT (Precipitable Water): Total atmospheric moisture column — high values = heavy rain potential
• DCAPE (Downward CAPE): Energy available for damaging downdrafts — >1,000 J/kg = significant
• Wet Microburst: Downburst driven by precipitation weight + evaporation — 60+ mph surface gusts possible
• MCS (Mesoscale Convective System): Large organized cluster of thunderstorms
• Outflow Boundary: Gust front of cold air pushed ahead of storm clusters
• Training Convection: Multiple cells repeatedly crossing same area — flash flood setup
• HREF: High Resolution Ensemble Forecast — blended high-res model output
• Shortwave: Ripple of energy rotating through the jet stream that triggers convection
• Zonal Flow: Jet stream flowing straight west-to-east, embedding smaller shortwaves
Sources: NWS Chicago (weather.gov/chicago) | Storm Prediction Center (spc.noaa.gov)
Morning forecasts at 7 AM every day on Spreaker. Historical weather deep-dives every Tuesday and Thursday.
$5/month supports this broadcast — spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support
Chicago #SevereWeather #Thunderstorms #NWS #SPC #WeatherWithEnthusiasm #July4th #StormAlert
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Hurricane Audrey: The Night Cameron Disappeared — 1957
Episode 13 of the Weather With Enthusiasm historical weather podcast.
At midnight on June 26, 1957, water began rising in the streets of Cameron, Louisiana. By dawn, the town was gone. Hurricane Audrey arrived twelve hours ahead of schedule, while most residents were still asleep — and the storm surge that followed erased an entire community from the map.
KEY FACTS:
• Dates: June 26–29, 1957
• Landfall: Early morning June 27, 1957 — Cameron Parish, southwest Louisiana
• Category at landfall: Category 4 — 125 mph sustained winds
• Strongest June hurricane on record at landfall (held that record until 2024 — 67 years)
• Storm surge: 12–14 feet MSL in Cameron Parish
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Hurricane Hazel: The Storm That Changed a Nation — 1954
Episode 12 of the Weather With Enthusiasm historical weather podcast.
On the night of October 15, 1954, Hurricane Hazel swept through the Toronto suburb of Raymore Drive and erased it from the map. Thirty-five people died on a single street. This is the story of one of the most remarkable and deadly storms in North American history — a storm that killed across four countries, defied meteorological expectations, and permanently changed how Canada manages its rivers and floodplains.
KEY FACTS:
• Formed: October 5, 1954 | Dissipated: October 18, 1954
• Peak intensity: Category 4 — 130 mph sustained winds
• Lowest pressure: 938 mb (27.70 inHg)
• Landfall: October 15, 1954 — North/South Carolina border, near Calabash, NC
• Total fatalities: 592–1,192 (estimates vary due to Haiti)
– Haiti: 469–1,000+ killed
– United States: 95 killed
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Lakewood Morning Briefing — Thursday, July 2, 2026 | Zmanim, NWS New Jersey and More
Lakewood, New Jersey (ZIP 08701)
Hebrew Date: 17 Tammuz 5786 | Shiva Asar B'Tammuz (Tzom Tammuz — FAST DAY)
Parashat Pinchas
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FAST OF TAMMUZ — 17 TAMMUZ 5786
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Fast began: Alot HaShachar — 3:46 AM EDT
Fast ends tonight:
• Standard (42 min after sunset): 9:11 PM EDT
• Machmir (50 min after sunset): 9:19 PM EDT
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TODAY'S ZMANIM — ZIP 08701
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Alos HaShachar (Dawn): 3:46 AM
Misheyakir (Earliest Talis & Tefillin): 4:21 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:31 AM
Latest Krias Shma: 9:14 AM
Latest Tefila: 10:29 AM
Chatzos (Halachic Midday): 1:00 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:37 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:29 PM
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NWS MOUNT HOLLY FORECAST DISCUSSION
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Extreme Heat Warning in effect. Heat indices exceeding 105°F, potentially reaching 115°F.
Strong mid-level ridge over Mississippi Valley/Ohio Valley/Great Lakes.
Friday downsloping effect from westerly/northwesterly winds will intensify heat.
Slight Risk (2/5) for severe weather Friday and Saturday — damaging winds primary threat.
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KIDS ACTIVITIES — JULY 2, 2026
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Indoor/air-conditioned options strongly recommended — Extreme Heat Warning in effect:
1. Ocean County Library — Free summer programming, fully air-conditioned
2. Jersey Shore Premium Outlets (Tinton Falls) — Indoor, family-friendly shopping
3. Point Pleasant area aquarium — Indoor air-conditioned exhibits
4. Local community center indoor pools (check your shul bulletin)
5. Six Flags Great Adventure (Jackson NJ) — Go early morning before peak heat
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WEATHER HISTORY — JULY 2
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July 2, 1934: During the height of the Dust Bowl, a massive black blizzard swept across the central and southern United States. Enormous walls of dust traveled as far as Washington D.C., and fine Great Plains soil was deposited on ships hundreds of miles out in the Atlantic Ocean.
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TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — FRIDAY, JULY 3 (18 TAMMUZ)
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Alos HaShachar: 3:46 AM
Misheyakir: 4:22 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:32 AM
Latest Krias Shma: 9:16 AM
Latest Tefila: 10:31 AM
Chatzos: 1:01 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:38 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:29 PM
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SHABBOS TIMES — SHABBAT PARASHAT PINCHAS
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Hadlakas Neiros (Candle Lighting): Friday, July 3 — 8:11 PM EDT (18 min before sunset)
Havdalah: Saturday, July 5 — 9:19 PM EDT (50 min after sunset of 8:29 PM)
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ABOUT THIS PODCAST
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Morning forecasts at 7 AM every day on Spreaker, plus historical weather deep-dives every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT.
$5/month keeps this going — support the show at spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support
Tags: weather, zmanim, Lakewood, New Jersey, NWS, morning briefing, forecast, Jewish times, Ocean County, Tzom Tammuz
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Borough Park Morning Briefing — Thursday, July 2, 2026 | Zmanim, NWS New York and More
Borough Park, Brooklyn, New York
Hebrew Date: 17 Tammuz 5786 | Shiva Asar B'Tammuz (Tzom Tammuz — FAST DAY)
Parashat Pinchas
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FAST OF TAMMUZ — 17 TAMMUZ 5786
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Fast began: Alot HaShachar — 3:41 AM EDT
Fast ends tonight:
• Standard (42 min after sunset): 9:12 PM EDT
• Machmir (50 min after sunset): 9:20 PM EDT
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TODAY'S ZMANIM — ZIP 11219
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Alos HaShachar (Dawn): 3:41 AM
Misheyakir (Earliest Talis & Tefillin): 4:17 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:29 AM
Latest Krias Shma: 9:10 AM
Latest Tefila: 10:24 AM
Chatzos (Halachic Midday): 12:52 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:30 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
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NWS NEW YORK FORECAST DISCUSSION
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Issued: 8:26 AM EDT | Forecaster: DR
Extreme Heat Warning extended through Saturday for all NYC-area zones.
Heat indices exceeding 105°F, potentially reaching 115°F in urban areas.
594dm ridge aloft
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Thursday, July 2, 2026 | Zmanim, NWS Chicago and More
West Rogers Park, Chicago
Hebrew Date: 17 Tammuz 5786 | Shiva Asar B'Tammuz (Tzom Tammuz — FAST DAY)
Parashat Pinchas
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FAST OF TAMMUZ — 17 TAMMUZ 5786
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Fast begins: Alot HaShachar — 3:26 AM CDT
Fast end times (ZIP 60645):
• KINS / Bnei Reuven: 9:00 PM CDT (30 min after sunset)
• Young Israel: 9:12 PM CDT (42 min after sunset)
• Yeshiva / 50 min: 9:20 PM CDT (50 min after sunset)
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TODAY'S ZMANIM — Thursday, July 2, 2026 (17 Tammuz 5786)
ZIP 60645 | CDT
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Alos HaShachar (fast begins): 3:26 AM
Misheyakir (earliest Talis & Tefillin): 4:05 AM
Netz HaChama (sunrise): 5:19 AM
Latest Krias Shma: 9:07 AM
Latest Tefila: 10:23 AM
Chatzos (halachic midday): 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (sunset): 8:30 PM
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TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Friday, July 3, 2026 (18 Tammuz 5786)
ZIP 60645 | CDT
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Alos HaShachar: 3:27 AM
Misheyakir: 4:05 AM
Sunrise: 5:20 AM
Latest Krias Shma: 9:07 AM
Latest Tefila: 10:23 AM
Chatzos: 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Sunset: 8:29 PM
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SHABBOS TIMES
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Shabbat Parashat Pinchas
Friday, July 3 — Hadlakas Neiros (candle lighting): 8:09 PM CDT
(20 minutes before sunset of 8:29 PM — Chicago minhag)
Saturday, July 4 (Independence Day) — Havdalah: 9:19 PM CDT
(50 minutes after Shabbos sunset of 8:29 PM)
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NWS CHICAGO WEATHER FORECAST
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Issued: 6:48 AM CDT, Thursday July 2, 2026 (Forecaster Kluber)
EXTREME HEAT WARNING in effect through midnight CDT tonight.
TODAY (Thursday, July 2):
• High: low to mid 90s°F
• Dew points: low to mid 70s (tropical moisture)
• Heat index: 100–105°F
• Thunderstorm risk: possible organized MCS from NE/IA line late tonight/overnight
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Here's a timestamp breakdown:* 00:00 Morning Briefing & Fast Information * 01:10 Weather Setup & Extreme Heat * 02:14 Storm Chances & Severe Weather Risk * 03:23 Supporter's Club & Call to Action
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Jerusalem Morning Briefing — Thursday, July 2, 2026 | Zmanim, IMS Israel and More
HEBREW DATE: 17 Tamuz 5786 | Tzom Tammuz | Parashat Pinchas (Israel cycle)
⚠️ TODAY IS TZOM TAMMUZ — The fast commemorates the breaching of the walls of Jerusalem before the destruction of the Second Temple.
Fast begins: 4:10 AM (Alot HaShachar)
Fast ends: 8:23 PM Israel time
ZMANIM — Thursday, July 2, 2026 (Jerusalem):
• Alos HaShachar (Fast begins): 4:10 AM
• Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:38 AM
• Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:37 AM
• Latest Krias Shma: 9:10 AM
• Latest Tefila: 10:21 AM
• Chatzos: 12:43 PM
• Earliest Mincha: 1:18 PM
• Shkiah (Sunset): 7:48 PM
• Fast ends: 8:23 PM
WEATHER SUMMARY (IMS / Multiple Sources):
Sunny and warm in Jerusalem. High: 29°C (84°F). Low: 18°C (64°F). Humidity: 25-30% at peak afternoon. UV index: 11 (Extreme). West-northwest sea breeze develops by early afternoon, winds 25-30 km/h. Classic summertime Eastern Mediterranean ridge of high pressure — clear, hot, dry conditions persist through the holiday weekend.
5-DAY OUTLOOK: Sunny and dry through at least Monday. High temperatures in the upper 20s Celsius throughout.
WEATHER HISTORY — July 2nd:
• 1934: A massive dust storm swept across the central and southern United States during the height of the Dust Bowl, part of the worst single year of that environmental catastrophe. Walls of dust traveled as far as Washington, D.C.
FAMILY ACTIVITIES IN JERUSALEM TODAY:
1. Israel Museum — Dead Sea Scrolls, Second Temple Model, air-conditioned | Open daytime
2. Tower of David Museum — Summer at the Tower programming | Check hours
3. City of David — Hezekiah's Tunnel guided tours | Open daytime (cool inside)
4. Mahane Yehuda Shuk — morning stroll through Jerusalem's famous market | Morning
5. Post-fast walk on Old City walls / Ben Yehuda pedestrian street (after 8:23 PM)
TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Friday, July 3 / 18 Tamuz:
• Alos HaShachar: 4:11 AM
• Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:38 AM
• Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:38 AM
• Latest Krias Shma: 9:10 AM
• Latest Tefila: 10:21 AM
• Chatzos: 12:43 PM
• Earliest Mincha: 1:18 PM
• Shkiah (Sunset): 7:48 PM
SHABBOS TIMES — Parashat Pinchas:
• Hadlakas Neiros (Candle lighting): 7:08 PM Friday (40 min before sunset — Jerusalem minhag)
• Havdalah (Motzaei Shabbos): 8:38 PM Saturday (50 min after sunset)
Morning forecasts at 7 AM every day on Spreaker. Historical weather deep-dives every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT. $5/month keeps this going.
weather #zmanim #Jerusalem #Israel #IMS #morningbriefing #forecast #Jewishtimes #Yerushalayim #TzomTammuz #Pinchas
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Wednesday, July 1, 2026 | West Rogers Park, Chicago
Zmanim, NWS Chicago and More
HEBREW DATE: 16 Tamuz 5786 | Parashat Pinchas
⚠️ TOMORROW IS TZOM TAMMUZ (17 Tamuz) — Fast begins before sunrise, ends at 9:12 PM Chicago time.
ZMANIM — Wednesday, July 1, 2026 (ZIP 60645):
• Alos HaShachar: 3:25 AM
• Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:04 AM
• Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:19 AM
• Latest Krias Shma: 9:06 AM
• Latest Tefila: 10:22 AM
• Chatzos: 12:54 PM
• Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
• Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
WEATHER SUMMARY:
Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect through midnight Thursday. Another dangerously hot day with temperatures in the lower-to-mid 90s and heat indices between 100 and 110°F this afternoon. Dew points in the mid-to-upper 70s — extremely humid. Thunderstorm chances increase Thursday night into the Fourth of July weekend. Some storms may be severe with heavy rainfall.
WEATHER HISTORY — July 1st:
• 2024: Hurricane Beryl became the earliest Category 5 hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic basin.
• 1776: Thomas Jefferson began keeping a daily weather diary in Philadelphia.
KIDS ACTIVITIES TODAY:
1. Fourth of July Crafts — Chicago Public Library, Garfield Ridge | 11 AM–3 PM | FREE
2. Peggy Notebaert Nature Museum — Butterfly Haven, RiverWorks | 10 AM–4 PM | Admission required
3. Mentos Explosions — Vodak-East Side Library | 6 PM | FREE
4. Family Fun Night: Nature Night — Dunning Library | 6–7:30 PM | FREE
5. Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres — Wrigley Field | 1:20 PM
TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Thursday, July 2 / 17 Tamuz (Tzom Tammuz):
• Alos HaShachar: 3:26 AM (Fast begins)
• Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:05 AM
• Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:19 AM
• Latest Krias Shma: 9:07 AM
• Latest Tefila: 10:23 AM
• Chatzos: 12:54 PM
• Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
• Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
• Fast ends: 9:12 PM
Morning forecasts at 7 AM every day on Spreaker. Historical weather deep-dives every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT. $5/month keeps this going.
weather #zmanim #Chicago #NWS #morningbriefing #forecast #Jewishtimes #WestRogersPark #heatwave #TzomTammuz
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
The 1995 Midwest Heat Wave: America's Deadliest Heat Disaster
In July 1995, a stagnant high-pressure system settled over the central United States and refused to move. What followed was one of the deadliest weather disasters in American history — a four-day heat siege that killed more than 739 people in Chicago alone and over 1,021 across the region.
KEY FACTS:
- Dates: July 12–16, 1995
- Peak temperature Chicago: 106°F (41°C)
- Peak heat index at Midway Airport: 124–125°F
- Official NWS heat index at O'Hare: 119°F
- Appleton, WI air temperature: 101°F (38.3°C)
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
The Great Smog of London: December 1952
Weather With Enthusiasm — Episode 11
Historical Extreme Weather Series
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EPISODE SUMMARY
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Five days in December 1952 turned London into a death trap. A stalled high-pressure system — an anticyclone — trapped millions of tonnes of coal smoke, sulfur dioxide, and acid particulates over the city in a dense, yellow-green fog that reduced visibility to near zero and killed thousands. This episode covers the meteorology, the human toll, the government cover-up, and the law that changed the world.
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KEY FACTS
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Dates: December 5–9, 1952
Location: London, England
Death toll: ~4,000 (1952 government estimate) | ~12,000 (modern research, 2004)
Injuries/illnesses: ~100,000
Duration: 5 days
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METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS
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• December 4: anticyclone settled over windless London — created a temperature inversion
• Cool stagnant air trapped below warmer air — zero wind to disperse pollutants
• Daily pollutant output during the smog: 1,000 tonnes smoke particles, 140 tonnes HCl, 14 tonnes fluorine compounds, ~370 tonnes SO2 (converted to ~800 tonnes H2SO4)
• Sulfuric acid formed in fog droplets — effectively acid fog breathed by millions
• Coal sources: home fireplaces, Fulham/Battersea/Bankside/Greenwich/West Ham power stations, diesel buses, steam locomotives
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GOVERNMENT RESPONSE & LEGACY
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• Initial government report (never finalized) attributed deaths to influenza
• E.T. Wilkins, Atmospheric Pollution officer, found ~12,000 total deaths through mortality tracking
• Feb 1953: Labour MP Marcus Lipton raised 6,000 deaths + 25,000 sickness claims in Parliament
• 1956: British Parliament passed the Clean Air Act — world's first comprehensive national air pollution law
• Established smoke-free zones, restricted coal burning, offered grants to switch to gas/oil/electricity
• Updated in 1968 — became global template for environmental regulation
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SOURCES
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• Wikipedia: Great Smog of London — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Smog_of_London
• Britannica: Great Smog of London — https://www.britannica.com/event/Great-Smog-of-London
• National Geographic: The Great Smog woke the world to coal dangers — https://www.nationalgeographic.com/history/article/great-smog-of-london-1952-coal-air-pollution-environmental-disaster
• London Museum: The Great Smog of 1952 — https://www.londonmuseum.org.uk/collections/london-stories/the-great-smog-of-1952/
• Met Office: The Great Smog of 1952 — https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/learn-about/weather/case-studies/great-smog
• Texas A&M GeoNews: London Fog 1952 research — https://geonews.tamu.edu/news/2016/11/london-fog-1952.php
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HASHTAGS
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GreatSmog #London1952 #WeatherHistory #AirPollution #CleanAirAct #ExtremeWeather #WeatherWithEnthusiasm
New episodes every Tuesday and Thursday.
Morning forecasts every day at 7 AM on Spreaker.
Support the show: $5/month
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Tuesday, June 30, 2026
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
Weather With Enthusiasm
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HEBREW DATE & PARSHA
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15 Tamuz 5786
Parsha: Pinchas (read Shabbos July 4, 2026 / 19 Tamuz 5786)
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TODAY'S ZMANIM — West Rogers Park, ZIP 60645
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Alos HaShachar (Dawn): 3:25 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:04 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:18 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:06 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:22 AM
Chatzos (Solar Noon): 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
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TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Wednesday, July 1
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Alos HaShachar: 3:26 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:04 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:19 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:06 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:22 AM
Chatzos: 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
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⚠️ WEATHER — EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT
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NWS Chicago (LOT) — Forecaster Ratzer, issued 6:23 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
Extreme Heat Warning: Most of northern IL and NW Indiana — through midnight Thursday night.
Dangerous heat continues today through at least Thursday:
• Heat index values 105–110°F expected every afternoon Mon–Thu
• 500 mb heights ~5,960 m (14.77 inHg) — locked heat dome over Ohio Valley
• 925 mb (27.32 inHg) temps: +26–27°C — driving dangerous surface heat
• 700 mb (20.67 inHg): +13°C — strong capping inversion suppresses storm development
• 800–850 mb (23.62–25.10 inHg) subsidence inversion limits mixing depth
• Dew points upper 70s–80°F expected despite afternoon mixing — tropical humidity
• Record highs to watch: June 30 = 99°F (1953)
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Tuesday, June 30, 2026 | Heat Dome Deep-Dive, NWS Lincoln IL, Zmanim & More
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
=== ZMANIM — Tuesday, June 30, 2026 (15 Tamuz 5786) ===
Hebrew Date: 15 Tamuz 5786 | Parsha: Chukat-Balak
Alos HaShachar: 3:25 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:04 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:18 AM
Latest Krias Shma: 9:06 AM
Latest Tefila: 10:22 AM
Chatzos: 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
=== TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Wednesday, July 1, 2026 ===
Sunrise: 5:19 AM | Sof Zman Shma: 9:06 AM | Sof Zman Tefila: 10:22 AM
Chatzos: 12:54 PM | Mincha Gedola: 1:32 PM | Shkiah: 8:30 PM
=== WEATHER SUMMARY ===
An extreme and historic heat dome grips the Midwest today. A 596 decameter (dam) closed upper-level ridge — one of the strongest ever recorded over this region — is centered over the Ohio Valley, pumping oppressive heat and moisture into Chicago and surrounding areas. Highs in the lower 90s°F with dew points near 80°F are expected, producing heat indices of 105-110°F. An Extreme Heat Warning is in effect through Thursday.
=== NWS LINCOLN IL DISCUSSION (Barnes, 5:22 AM CDT) ===
596 dam closed contour heat dome over Ohio Valley — historically rare signature. NBM model running 2-4°F too warm; actual highs likely lower 90s rather than mid/upper 90s. Heat index exceeds 105°F through Thursday. SW winds gusting 25 kt.
=== NWS CHICAGO LOT DISCUSSION (Ratzer, 2:02 AM CDT) ===
H5 ~5960m (~596 dam). Extreme Heat Warning through Thursday. 80°F dew points observed Monday afternoon in southern CWA. Heat index 105-110°F. Lake Michigan water temps: Chicago Shore 66°F, Wilmette 62°F, Chicago Crib 61°F.
=== 1995 HEATWAVE COMPARISON ===
The 1995 Midwest heat wave remains the benchmark. St. Louis hit a dew point of 83°F on July 14, 1995. Appleton, WI recorded a 90°F dew point — the probable Western Hemisphere record — with a heat index of 153°F. The 1995 wet bulb temperature reached approximately 85°F (29°C). The 500mb ridge in 1995 peaked around 594-596 dam over the Great Plains; today's ridge matches or exceeds that at 596 dam over the Ohio Valley.
=== CLOSED CONTOUR HEAT DOME SCIENCE ===
A "closed contour" means the 500mb height lines form complete loops — no open pathways for cooler air to enter. Most heat domes do NOT produce closed contours; a closed 596 dam contour is extremely rare and represents an exceptionally locked, stagnant ridge. Not all heat domes are closed contour events.
=== CORN BELT MOISTURE SCIENCE ===
Corn fields act as natural evapotranspiration engines. A single mature corn plant transpires 50+ gallons of water per growing season. With millions of acres of corn in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa all in active growth phase, the atmosphere is loaded with moisture from below — supplementing Gulf of Mexico moisture streaming northward. This is why Midwest dew points can spike to 80°F+ even without direct Gulf influence.
=== WET BULB / WBGT SCIENCE ===
Wet bulb temperature (WB) measures what your body actually feels when sweating. At 92°F air temp with 80°F dew point, the wet bulb approaches 84-85°F — near the physiological survivability limit for even healthy adults with shade and hydration. Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) adds solar radiation load; WBGT >32°C (89.6°F) is considered the military/OSHA "extreme danger" threshold.
=== ORTHODOX COMMUNITY FORECASTS ===
• St. Louis, MO: Mid-upper 90s, heat index 100-110°F. Extreme Heat Warning through Friday. NWS LSX.
• Lakewood, NJ: Low-mid 90s, heat index 98-105°F. NWS PHI.
• Borough Park, Brooklyn NY: Upper 80s-low 90s, humid. Heat Advisory. NWS OKX.
• Baltimore, MD: Lower 90s, heat index 100-107°F. NWS LWX.
• Philadelphia, PA: Lower-mid 90s, heat index 100-108°F. Heat Warning.
• Atlantic City, NJ: Upper 80s-low 90s, sea breeze influence moderate.
=== ISRAEL & DEAD SEA ===
Jerusalem: 40-43°C (104-109°F), typical summer ridge. Low humidity (15-25%). Dead Sea: air temps 40-47°C; water temp ~31°C (88°F). Record at Sedom: 51°C. Mediterranean sea breeze provides relief to coastal Tel Aviv but Jerusalem's inland elevation (~750-800m) retains heat without sea-breeze relief.
=== INDIA EXTREME HEAT / WORLD RECORD DEW POINTS ===
India's Gangetic Plain and Rajasthan experience dew points of 85-90°F during peak monsoon onset with heat indices routinely above 130°F. The probable world record dew point: 95°F (35°C) at Dhahran, Saudi Arabia on July 8, 2003, with an air temp of 108°F (42°C) — producing a heat index of approximately 172°F.
=== NAM vs GFS MODEL ACCURACY ===
NAM (North American Mesoscale): Higher resolution (3-km), better at capturing local dew point pooling and mesoscale details. GFS: Global model, coarser, tends to underestimate extreme dew point events in the corn belt. For this event, NAM dew point forecasts of 78-82°F appear more accurate than GFS's 74-76°F projections.
=== EPISODE FOOTER ===
Morning forecasts air at 7 AM every day on Spreaker. Historical weather deep-dives every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT. $5/month supports the show.
Tags: weather,zmanim,Chicago,NWS,morning briefing,forecast,Jewish times,West Rogers Park,heat dome,extreme heat,dew point,1995 heatwave,wet bulb
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Title: Midwest Heat Dome 2026:
Anatomy of an Extreme Summer Threat
Timestamp Breakdown by Chapters:
Chapter 1: The Midwest Under Pressure (00:00 - 03:25)
* 00:00: Introduction: Midwest Heat Dome Overview
* 00:05: Chicago Area: 90s Heat, Lake Effect Mitigation
* 01:18: Inland Temps & Gary, IN: Unverified 95°F
* 02:22: St. Louis: 94°F, Below 2012 Record
Chapter 2: The Humidity Factor (03:25 - 06:27)
* 03:25: The Real Story: Dangerous Dew Points (75°F+)
* 04:34: Peak Dew Points: Central IL & Upper Mississippi
* 05:37: Ozark Plateau Effect: Dew Point Suppression
Chapter 3: Anatomy of the Heat Dome (06:27 - 11:47)
* 06:27: Heat Dome Strength: Comparing to 1995 Event
* 07:30: Anomalous Timing: Late June vs. Mid-July
* 08:33: NWS Lincoln: Deep Subsidence & Convection Suppression
* 09:34: NWS Lincoln: 105-110°F Heat Index, Cumulative Risk
* 10:37: NWS Lincoln: Heat Wave End & Tropical-Style Rain
Chapter 4: Planetary Connections (11:47 - 17:30)
* 11:47: System Drivers: Merger of Two High-Pressure Systems
* 12:51: Bermuda High: Strong IVT & Tropical Suppression
* 14:17: North Atlantic Cold Blob: AMOC Weakening Link
* 15:25: Teleconnections: Cold Blob & US Heat Ridges
* 16:27: Moisture Sources: Gulf Air, Corn Evapotranspiration, Great Lakes
Chapter 5: Local Impacts & Forecast (17:30 - 25:35)
* 17:30: Mississippi River: Minor Humidity Contributor
* 18:30: St. Louis Cardinals: Future Games in Extreme Heat
* 19:29: 7-Day Forecast: Midwest Peak, Eastward Shift
* 20:32: Wind Effect: Heating vs. Cooling in Extreme Temps
* 21:37: Stedman's Research: 95°F Wind Threshold
* 22:28: NWS Heat Index: 5-Knot Wind Assumption
* 23:29: 1995 Comparison: Similarities & Warning Improvements
* 24:34: Warning Infrastructure: Dramatically Better Post-1995
* 25:35: Climate Context: Warmer Oceans, Rising Dew Points
20 Hashtags: #MidwestHeat #HeatDome2026 #ExtremeHeat #ClimateImpacts #DewPointDanger #WeatherAnomalies #ChicagoHeat #StLouisHeat #NWSWarnings #PublicHealthCrisis #BermudaHigh #ColdBlob #CornBeltHumidity #AtmosphericScience #HeatStress #ClimateEmergency #Teleconnections #WeatherForecast #HeartlandHeat #GlobalWeather
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Monday, June 29, 2026
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
Weather With Enthusiasm
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HEBREW DATE & PARSHA
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14 Tamuz 5786
Parsha: Chukat-Balak (double portion)
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TODAY'S ZMANIM — West Rogers Park, ZIP 60645
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Alos HaShachar (Dawn): 3:24 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:03 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:18 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:06 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:22 AM
Chatzos (Solar Noon): 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
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TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Tuesday, June 30
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Alos HaShachar: 3:25 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:04 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:18 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:06 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:22 AM
Chatzos: 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
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⚠️ WEATHER — EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT
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NWS Chicago (LOT) — Forecaster Ratzer, issued 1:59 AM Monday June 29, 2026
Extreme Heat Warning: Cook County — noon today through 10 PM Wednesday.
Heat Advisory: All other Chicago metro counties — same period.
Dangerous heat this week:
• Heat index forecast over 100°F, up to ~105°F or higher, every day Mon–Wed
• 850 mb (25.10 inHg) temps: +20–22°C today, rising to +23–25°C Tue–Wed
• 500 mb heights near 600 dam (14.77 inHg) — anomalous heat dome signature
• Strong capping: 700 mb (20.67 inHg) temps at +12°C or higher — suppresses storms
• Surface low 996 mb (29.41 inHg) over northeast Colorado overnight
• Overnight lows in the 70s — little relief for the urban core
• Record highs to watch: June 29 record 97°F (1954)
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
* 00:00-01:01: Introduction to the "Weather with Enthusiasm" episode, focusing on the unusual heat moving into Chicago, hotter than St. Louis, and especially significant in Wisconsin. * 01:01-02:03: Discussion of the developing heat wave, high dew points in Wisconsin (forecasted to hit 80 degrees), and the hidden danger of high dew points making temperatures feel much warmer. * 02:03-03:06: Explanation of wet bulb temperatures, their dangerous levels (84-86 degrees, with wet bulb globe temperatures possibly hitting 88-90 degrees), and the 95-degree wet bulb temperature as the upper limit of human survival. * 03:06-04:10: National Weather Service guidance on wet bulb temperatures and human survival, historical comparisons of high wet bulb temperatures in Texas, India, and the Persian Gulf, and the rare occurrence of 95-97 degree dew points. * 04:10-05:10: Comparison of the current heat wave to typical St. Louis summer weather and the 1994 heat wave, noting higher heat indices this time (close to 110 degrees), and the unique situation in central Wisconsin with 80-degree dew points and 105-degree heat indices despite lower air temperatures. * 05:10-06:22: Reasons for lower temperatures in some areas (thunderstorm development, cloud cover, "Ring of Fire" effect), comparison to the 1995 heat wave, and the impact of water temperatures (Mississippi River, Lake of the Ozarks) on dew points. * 06:22-07:25: Geographic areas with highest dew points (cornfields of southwest Indiana, southern Illinois, Mississippi River area between Iowa and Illinois), lack of impact from Ozark Plateau breeze, and expected conditions for St. Louis and Chicago. Mention of Baltimore's drier dew points but more efficient solar heating leading to triple-digit heat. * 07:25-08:27: The heat dome reaching a record geographical height (600 decameters), comparison to the 1995 heat wave (which was stronger in terms of temperatures and humidity), and the "biggest shocker" being Wisconsin's 80-degree dew points. * 08:27-09:33: Reflection on previous podcasts and the "spark of enthusiasm," mentioning the "cold blob" in the Atlantic Ocean, and the strengthening of the heat dome affecting Chicago more definitively than initially thought. * 09:33-10:33: The Baltimore National Weather Service's insights and the common pattern of intense storms breaking the heat dome, especially in St. Louis. Importance of heat safety tips and resources from the National Weather Service. * 10:33-10:44: Closing remarks, wishing listeners a good day.
20 Hashtags:
1. #HeatWave
2. #WeatherEnthusiasm
3. #WisconsinWeather
4. #ChicagoHeat
5. #DewPointDanger
6. #WetBulbTemperature
7. #HeatDome
8. #ClimateChange
9. #ExtremeWeather
10. #HumanSurvival
11. #NationalWeatherService
12. #MidwestHeat
13. #GulfCoastHeat
14. #WeatherUpdate
15. #HeatIndex
16. #SummerHeat
17. #WeatherForecast
18. #HeatSafety
19. #UnusualWeather
20. #PhenomenalHeat
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
The Heat Dome — A Deep-Dive Into America's Most Dangerous Heat Wave | June 28, 2026
One of the most significant heat events in recent American memory is now underway across the eastern United States. This episode goes deep into the meteorology: the architecture of the heat dome itself, the Bermuda High connection, dew point geography across the corn belt vs. wheat belt vs. East Coast, wet bulb and wet bulb globe temperature science, water temperatures, and a city-by-city breakdown of NWS discussions from Baltimore, St. Louis, and Chicago.
PLUS — a detailed comparison to the 1995 Chicago heat wave, which killed 739 people. How do the 500 millibar geopotential heights compare then vs. now?
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EPISODE HIGHLIGHTS
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🔥 THE HEAT DOME
- 500mb geopotential heights approaching 600 dam over the Ohio Valley
- Bermuda High expanded and strengthened, acting as southern anchor
- Self-reinforcing system: ridge blocks storms, no clouds = maximum solar heating
🌽 DEW POINT GEOGRAPHY
- Corn belt (IL, IN, IA): dew points 75–80°F from crop evapotranspiration (4,000 gal/acre/day)
- Oklahoma wheat belt: fields harvested, dew points 55–65°F — dry oven heat
- East Coast (Baltimore/DC): Appalachian downslope drying reduces dew points vs. Ohio Valley
🌡️ CITY-BY-CITY NWS BREAKDOWN
Chicago (NWS Romeoville, issued 6:15 PM CDT):
- Extreme Heat Warning: Cook County, noon Mon–10 PM Wed
- Heat index up to 105°F
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
The Heat Dome — A Deep-Dive Into America's Most Dangerous Heat Wave | June 28, 2026
One of the most significant heat events in recent American memory is now underway across the eastern United States. This episode goes deep into the meteorology: the architecture of the heat dome itself, the Bermuda High connection, dew point geography across the corn belt vs. wheat belt vs. East Coast, wet bulb and wet bulb globe temperature science, water temperatures, and a city-by-city breakdown of NWS discussions from Baltimore, St. Louis, and Chicago.
PLUS — a detailed comparison to the 1995 Chicago heat wave, which killed 739 people. How do the 500 millibar geopotential heights compare then vs. now?
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
EPISODE HIGHLIGHTS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔥 THE HEAT DOME
- 500mb geopotential heights approaching 600 dam over the Ohio Valley
- Bermuda High expanded and strengthened, acting as southern anchor
- Self-reinforcing system: ridge blocks storms, no clouds = maximum solar heating
🌽 DEW POINT GEOGRAPHY
- Corn belt (IL, IN, IA): dew points 75–80°F from crop evapotranspiration (4,000 gal/acre/day)
- Oklahoma wheat belt: fields harvested, dew points 55–65°F — dry oven heat
- East Coast (Baltimore/DC): Appalachian downslope drying reduces dew points vs. Ohio Valley
🌡️ CITY-BY-CITY NWS BREAKDOWN
Chicago (NWS Romeoville, issued 6:15 PM CDT):
- Extreme Heat Warning: Cook County, noon Mon–10 PM Wed
- Heat index up to 105°F
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Sunday, June 28, 2026 (Full AFD Edition)
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
Weather With Enthusiasm
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HEBREW DATE & PARSHA
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14 Tamuz 5786
Parsha: Pinchas (read Shabbos July 4, 2026)
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TODAY'S ZMANIM — West Rogers Park, ZIP 60645
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Alos HaShachar (Dawn): 3:23 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:02 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:17 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:05 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:21 AM
Chatzos (Solar Noon): 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Monday, June 29
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Alos HaShachar: 3:24 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:03 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:18 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:06 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:22 AM
Chatzos: 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ WEATHER — EXTREME HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
NWS Chicago (LOT) — Sunday June 28, 2026
Extreme Heat Watch: Cook County — Monday afternoon through Wednesday evening
Heat Advisory: Remainder of Chicago metro forecast area — Mon–Wed
Dangerous heat this week:
• Heat index 100–110°F every day Mon–Wed
• Overnight lows near 80°F in urban core — little recovery
• 850 mb (25.10 inHg) temps exceeding 25°C Mon–Wed
• 500 mb heights near 600 dam (14.77 inHg) — anomalously strong ridge
• Lake breezes NOT expected — ridge too strong
• No significant storm relief until possibly Thursday
Today: Possible afternoon storms from decaying MCV (Mesoscale Convective Vortex)
tracking from SD/NE — sweet spot for organized convection near Chicago.
Also: wake low may produce gusty SE winds even without storms.
COOLING CENTERS: Call 311 for locations throughout Chicago.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
WEATHER HISTORY — June 28
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
June 28, 1924 — Lorain, Ohio F4 Tornado
85 killed, 300+ injured — deadliest tornado in Ohio history.
June 28, 1975 — Lightning struck Lee Trevino at Western Open, Oak Brook, IL.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
KIDS ACTIVITIES — Sunday June 28
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. Chicago Pride Parade — Free, steps off 11 AM at Montrose & Broadway
2. Logan Square Arts Festival — Free (suggested donation), through today
3. Millennium Art Festival — Free, 180 N Stetson Ave, through today
4. Grant Park Music Festival — Free, Jay Pritzker Pavilion, 6:30 PM
5. Field Museum PlayLab PlayDate — 11 AM–noon, with admission
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ABOUT THIS PODCAST
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Morning forecasts every day at 7 AM on Spreaker.
Historical weather deep-dive every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT.
Support the show: $5/month
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Sunday, June 28, 2026
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
Weather With Enthusiasm
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
HEBREW DATE & PARSHA
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
14 Tamuz 5786
Parsha: Pinchas (read Shabbos July 4, 2026)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
TODAY'S ZMANIM — West Rogers Park, ZIP 60645
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Alos HaShachar (Dawn): 3:23 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:02 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:17 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:05 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:21 AM
Chatzos (Solar Noon): 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Monday, June 29
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Alos HaShachar: 3:24 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:03 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:18 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:06 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:22 AM
Chatzos: 12:54 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:32 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ WEATHER — EXTREME HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
NWS Chicago (LOT) — Sunday June 28, 2026
Extreme Heat Watch: Cook County — Monday afternoon through Wednesday evening
Heat Advisory: Remainder of Chicago metro forecast area — Mon–Wed
Dangerous heat this week:
• Heat index 100–110°F every day Mon–Wed
• Overnight lows near 80°F in urban core — little recovery
• 850 mb (25.10 inHg) temps exceeding 25°C Mon–Wed
• 500 mb heights near 600 dam (14.77 inHg) — anomalously strong ridge
• Lake breezes NOT expected — ridge too strong
• No significant storm relief until possibly Thursday
Today: Possible afternoon storms from decaying MCV (Mesoscale Convective Vortex)
tracking from SD/NE — sweet spot for organized convection near Chicago.
Also: wake low may produce gusty SE winds even without storms.
COOLING CENTERS: Call 311 for locations throughout Chicago.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
WEATHER HISTORY — June 28
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
June 28, 1924 — Lorain, Ohio F4 Tornado
85 killed, 300+ injured — deadliest tornado in Ohio history.
June 28, 1975 — Lightning struck Lee Trevino at Western Open, Oak Brook, IL.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
KIDS ACTIVITIES — Sunday June 28
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. Chicago Pride Parade — Free, steps off 11 AM at Montrose & Broadway
2. Logan Square Arts Festival — Free (suggested donation), through today
3. Millennium Art Festival — Free, 180 N Stetson Ave, through today
4. Grant Park Music Festival — Free, Jay Pritzker Pavilion, 6:30 PM
5. Field Museum PlayLab PlayDate — 11 AM–noon, with admission
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ABOUT THIS PODCAST
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Morning forecasts every day at 7 AM on Spreaker.
Historical weather deep-dive every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT.
Support the show: $5/month
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Title: The Mysterious Cold Blob & the Looming Heatwave
Timestamp Breakdown:
00:00 Introduction: The Washington Post article on heat domes and a cold blob.
00:58 How the cold blob connects to weaker jet stream winds and European heat domes.
02:02 Shifting focus to the upcoming US heatwave, potentially Chicago's worst in 14 years.
02:59 Deeper dive into the North Atlantic cold blob and its potential impact on ocean currents (AMOC).
04:15 Explaining the AMOC's critical role in northern European climate.
05:07 The "cold blob" as a potential sign of AMOC weakening and its national security implications (50 below zero winters!).
06:21 Research on AMOC weakening, the IPCC's medium confidence, and the cold blob's significance.
07:46 Natural climate patterns (AMO) and human-driven warming contributing to the cold blob.
09:16 Climate models predict the cold blob will linger, but the "doomsday scenario" is still uncertain.
09:56 Why the Washington Post isn't covering the upcoming US heatwave more prominently.
11:03 The Strawberry Moon and the difficulty finding US heatwave info in the Washington Post.
11:59 European computer model shows Chicago south of the 588 line – extreme heat for the Midwest.
13:00 Forecast details for Chicago: 90s, high dew points, and the "Ring of Fire" possibility.
14:04 High dew points and potential 14-year record heatwave for Chicago.
15:06 Heat indices for Monday and Tuesday in the Midwest (above 100-105 degrees).
16:03 The complex effect of wind on heat index and very high temperatures on the East Coast.
17:09 Forecasted triple-digit heat for Washington D.C. (106-109 degrees) and the extended nature of the heatwave.
18:18 Continuation of heat in the Desert Southwest and a massive European heat dome.
18:48 Acknowledging the blessing of AC and the overlooked health benefits of heat (with caution).
19:35 Mississippi River and Lake of the Ozarks water temperatures as heat indicators.
20:10 Outro and preview of "Weather with Enthusiasm."
20 Hashtags: #ColdBlob #Heatwave2024 #ClimateChange #WashingtonPost #AMOC #NorthAtlantic #JetStream #EuropeanHeatwave #MidwestHeat #ChicagoWeather #NationalSecurityRisk #ExtremeWeather #GlobalWarming #OceanCurrents #ElNino #WeatherForecast #HeatDome #TripleDigitHeat #ClimateScience #WeatherEnthusiasm
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
St. Louis Morning Briefing — Friday, June 26, 2026
Weather With Enthusiasm
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HEBREW DATE & PARSHA
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
12 Tamuz 5786 — Erev Shabbos
Parsha: Chukat-Balak (read this Shabbos, June 27)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
TODAY'S ZMANIM — St. Louis, MO (ZIP 63132)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Alos HaShachar (Dawn): 3:55 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:30 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:38 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:21 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:35 AM
Chatzos (Solar Noon): 1:04 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:41 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
SHABBOS TIMES — Parshas Chukat-Balak
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Hadlakas Neiros (Candle Lighting): 8:12 PM Friday (18 min before sunset — all customs)
Havdalah Young Israel: 9:12 PM Saturday (42 min after sunset)
Havdalah Agudah: 9:15 PM Saturday (45 min after sunset)
Saturday Sunset: 8:30 PM
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Shabbos, June 27
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Alos HaShachar: 3:56 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:30 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:38 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:21 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:36 AM
Chatzos: 1:04 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:41 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
WEATHER SUMMARY — NWS St. Louis (LSX)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Issued: 6:28 AM CDT June 26, 2026 | Forecaster: Kimble
⚠️ FLOOD WATCH in effect through 7 PM CDT today
Counties: St. Louis City, St. Louis Co., St. Charles, Jefferson, Franklin,
Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Gasconade, Iron,
Lincoln, Madison, Moniteau, Montgomery, Osage, Pike, Reynolds,
Ste. Genevieve, Warren, Washington MO; + multiple IL counties
Key Hazards Today:
• Stationary front along I-70 — showers/storms along and south of it
• PWAT ~2 inches — very heavy rainfall efficiency
• MCV (spinning storm vortex) from eastern Kansas arrives midday — could focus severe risk
• Damaging winds and isolated tornado possible if MCV fires storms
• Flash flooding primary concern — training storm risk
Weekend/Next Week:
• Warm front lifts Saturday — additional storm chances overnight/Saturday morning
• Sunday: heat builds, heat index into 90s
• Monday–Thursday: heat index 100–110°F daily — Heat Advisory likely Sunday,
Excessive Heat Warning possible
• 850 mb (25.10 inHg) temps rise 5°C Saturday→Sunday
• Overnight lows near 80°F in urban core — dangerous for heat stress recovery
• No clear end date; possible relief around July 4th weekend
Mississippi River at St. Louis: 77°F / 25.1°C
Lake of the Ozarks: ~76°F (seasonal peak ~86°F in late July/August)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
WEATHER HISTORY — June 26
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
June 26, 2008 — South Dakota Severe Weather Outbreak
A compact upper-level low triggered three tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and
wind gusts of 124 mph at Onida airport — 4th highest wind speed ever in South Dakota.
WAPA transmission towers were completely toppled; winds estimated at 130–140 mph.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
KIDS ACTIVITIES — Greater St. Louis
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. Saint Louis Zoo — Always free, Forest Park, 9 AM–5 PM
2. Saint Louis Science Center — Free for MO residents, Oakland Ave
3. Missouri Botanical Garden — Free for STL residents (walk-up), 4344 Shaw Blvd
4. Laumeier Sculpture Park — Free, Sunset Hills, 105 acres
5. Children's Garden Club — Free w/ registration, stlouiscountymo.gov
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ABOUT THIS PODCAST
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Morning forecasts every day at 7 AM on Spreaker.
Historical weather deep-dive every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT.
Support the show: $5/month
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Morning Briefing — Friday, June 26, 2026
West Rogers Park, Chicago (ZIP 60645)
Weather With Enthusiasm
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
HEBREW DATE & PARSHA
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
12 Tamuz 5786 — Erev Shabbos
Parsha: Chukat-Balak (read this Shabbos, June 27)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
TODAY'S ZMANIM — West Rogers Park, ZIP 60645
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Alos HaShachar (Dawn): 3:22 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:01 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:16 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:05 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:21 AM
Chatzos (Solar Noon): 12:53 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:31 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
SHABBOS TIMES — Parshas Chukat-Balak
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Hadlakas Neiros (Candle Lighting): 8:10 PM Friday (20 min before sunset — Chicago minhag)
Havdalah: 9:20 PM Saturday (50 min after sunset)
Saturday Sunset: 8:30 PM
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Shabbos, June 27
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Alos HaShachar: 3:23 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:02 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:17 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:05 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:21 AM
Chatzos: 12:53 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:31 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30 PM
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WEATHER SUMMARY — NWS Chicago (LOT)
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Issued: 6:13 AM CDT June 26, 2026 | Forecasters: Kluber / Ratzer
West Rogers Park stays DRY today — rain confined south of I-80.
Dangerous heat wave builds next week: heat index 100°F+ every day starting Monday.
Key Points:
• Rain/storms south of I-80 today, heaviest south of US-24
• Saturday: gradual clearing, highs ~80°F
• Sunday: heat builds, heat index into the 90s
• Monday–Thursday: heat index 100–110°F daily, overnight lows near 80°F in metro core
• 850 mb (25.10 inHg) temps rise 5°C Saturday→Sunday — dramatic warming signal
• Ridge centers over lower Ohio Valley — classic heat dome
• No clear end date for heat; possible relief by July 4th weekend
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WEATHER HISTORY — June 26
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June 26, 2008 — South Dakota Severe Weather Outbreak
A compact upper-level low collided with an unstable air mass over western/central South Dakota.
Three tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and a peak wind gust of 124 mph at Onida airport —
the 4th highest wind speed ever recorded in South Dakota. WAPA transmission towers were
completely collapsed by winds estimated at 130–140 mph.
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KIDS ACTIVITIES — Friday June 26
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1. Logan Square Arts Festival — Free (suggested donation), June 26-28
2. Grant Park Music Festival — Free, Jay Pritzker Pavilion, 6:30 PM
3. Movies in the Parks: Zootopia 2 — Free, Chopin Park, 8:45 PM
4. Live on the Lake — Free, Navy Pier, 3:00–9:30 PM
5. As You Like It (Shakespeare) — Free, Chicago Women's Park & Gardens, 6:00 PM
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ABOUT THIS PODCAST
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Morning forecasts every day at 7 AM on Spreaker.
Historical weather deep-dive every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT.
Support the show: $5/month
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
St. Louis Morning Briefing — Thursday, June 25, 2026
Kol Simcha Productions | Weather With Enthusiasm
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HEBREW DATE & PARSHA
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11 Tamuz 5786 — Parsha: Chukat-Balak (read this Shabbos, June 27)
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TODAY'S ZMANIM — St. Louis, MO (ZIP 63132)
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Alos HaShachar (Dawn): 3:55:34 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:29:38 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:38:12 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:21:12 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:35:32 AM
Chatzos (Solar Noon): 1:04:12 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:41:22 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30:12 PM
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TOMORROW'S ZMANIM — Friday, June 26, 2026
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Alos HaShachar: 3:55:59 AM
Earliest Talis & Tefillin: 4:30:01 AM
Netz HaChama (Sunrise): 5:38:33 AM
Sof Zman Krias Shma: 9:21:29 AM
Sof Zman Tefila: 10:35:47 AM
Chatzos: 1:04:24 PM
Earliest Mincha: 1:41:34 PM
Shkiah (Sunset): 8:30:16 PM
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SHABBOS TIMES (Chukat-Balak)
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Hadlakas Neiros (Candle Lighting): 8:12 PM Friday (18 min before sunset — all customs)
Havdalah (Young Israel): 9:12 PM Saturday (42 min after sunset)
Havdalah (Agudah): 9:15 PM Saturday (45 min after sunset)
Saturday Sunset: 8:30:18 PM
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WEATHER SUMMARY — NWS St. Louis (LSX)
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⚠️ FLASH FLOOD WATCH in effect 1 PM CDT today through Friday morning
Counties: St. Louis City, St. Louis County, St. Charles, Jefferson, Franklin,
Boone, and many additional MO/IL counties
Key Hazards:
• Damaging winds possible this afternoon (MLCAPE 1000-2000 J/kg, deep layer shear 25-35 kt)
• PWAT near 2 inches — heavy rainfall, training storm risk
• QPF: 3-5 inches possible southern MO tonight → flash flooding
• Heat wave building Sunday through next week
• 850 mb (25.10 inHg) temps mid-20s°C + 500 mb heights >590 dam
• Upper-level ridge (Bermuda high) amplifying through weekend
Mississippi River at St. Louis: 77°F / 25.1°C
Lake of the Ozarks: 76°F (seasonal peak ~86°F in late July/August)
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WEATHER HISTORY — June 25
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June 25, 1953 — Udall, Kansas Tornado
A powerful tornado struck the small town of Udall, Kansas, killing 80 people
and destroying 90% of the town — making it the deadliest tornado in Kansas history.
The storm struck after midnight, giving residents almost no warning.
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KIDS ACTIVITIES — Greater St. Louis, Thursday June 25
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1. Missouri Botanical Garden — Free for St. Louis residents (walk-up), 4344 Shaw Blvd
2. Children's Garden Club — Free, registration required, stlouiscountymo.gov
3. Saint Louis Science Center — Free for Missouri residents, Oakland Ave
4. Saint Louis Zoo — Always free, Forest Park, 9 AM–5 PM
5. Laumeier Sculpture Park — Free, Sunset Hills, 105 acres of outdoor art
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ABOUT THIS PODCAST
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Morning forecasts air every day at 7 AM on Spreaker, plus a historical weather
deep-dive every Tuesday and Thursday at 7 AM CDT.
Support the show: $5/month
Kol Simcha Productions | Weather With Enthusiasm
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Extreme Midwest Heatwave: Heat Index 115°F for St Louis Missouri this Monday, June 29th 2026.
00:00 - Introduction to the phenomenal heatwave 01:03 - Comparing St. Louis heat to Corpus Christi and Persian Gulf 02:04 - Post-Monday forecasts and Chicago's heat 03:04 - Heat dome intensification and decameter thresholds 04:07 - Summary and warning about Monday's extreme humidity
#Heatwave #Midwest #StLouis #Chicago #ExtremeWeather #Humidity #DewPoint #HeatIndex #NationalWeatherService #Summer #Danger #ClimateChange #WeatherUpdate #Forecast #Safety #RingOfFire #HeatDome #IntenseHeat #USWeather #StaySafe
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
This is for the week of Monday June 29th 2026
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Weather with Enthusiasm is produced by Kol Simcha Productions.
New episodes drop daily (B'N)— a morning forecast at 7 AM and historical deep dives Tuesdays and Thursdays.
Contact: kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com
Historical content is thoroughly researched and factually verified. After it has been factually verified it often will say so in the description. Should you find any mistakes, please email kolsimchaproductions@outlook.com so we can look into it and correct it.
Not affiliated with any government agency or academic institution. Presented for educational and entertainment purposes — with meaning.
Support the show — exclusive bonus episodes available to subscribers for just $2/month at spreaker.com/organization/kol-simcha
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Imagery shows polar vortex right over Illinois tonight 11/9/2025. 500mb temps to -42°F. This is coldest in planet and will help energize lake effect snow and will help with its unique placement over Chicago. This episode was episode 1 which many times tends to be most accurate.
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Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
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Arctic Front and First Snowfall
The Chicago area is under a Winter Storm Watch for late Sunday night into Monday due to an Arctic front and lake-effect snow potential. Rain is expected Saturday evening, transitioning to snow overnight, with the heaviest snow likely from midnight to 8 a.m. Monday. (Or 10am).
Temperatures will drop sharply, with highs in the 30s Sunday and Monday, and wind chills in the teens Monday morning.
Snowfall Amounts
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service (NWS) indicate 2–8 inches for Cook County, but localized totals could be higher (possibly double-digit amounts where intense bands set up). Some models suggest up to 15 inches in certain spots, though placement is uncertain.
Snowfall rates of 2–3 inches per hour are possible in the most intense bands.
Lake Michigan Water Temperature
Lake Michigan surface water temperatures in early November typically range 45–52°F. But currently they are in low to mid 50s which is warm for this time of year.
Lake-Effect Snow Dynamics
Strong temperature contrasts between the lake and the 850 mb level (around 5,000 ft) are necessary for Lake-effect snow. It requires a difference of roughly 23°F or more.
Northeast winds usually occur at the start of a storm for Chicago. This creates enhanced lake-effect snow for Chicago. However for winds to be off the lake as a storm departs and Arctic air arrives is uncommon for Chicago. This is what causes lake effect snow. It's also uncommon for this to happen in November due to warm Lake changing precipitation to rain.
Buffalo 2022 Comparison
The Buffalo storm in November 2022 produced over 80 inches of snow in some areas, with snowfall rates up to 6 inches per hour and thundersnow. Comparing this event to that event is reasonable in terms of dynamics, though Chicago’s totals will be far lower.
Timing: Heaviest snow expected overnight Sunday into Monday morning, tapering by late morning Monday.
Wind Gusts: Up to 35 mph, causing blowing snow and reduced visibility.
Chicago: 8.6-9.8 inches
Cicero: 9.8 inches
Oak Lawn: 5.4 inches
Harvey: 6.4 inches
Tinley Park: 5.8 inches
Oswego: 0.3 inches
Plainfield: 0.8 inches
Wheaton: 1.5 inches
Schaumburg: 1.8 inches
Palatine:1.9 inches
Evanston 8.2
These totals are for 12 hour period from 10 pm Sunday night 11/9 to 10am Monday 11/10/25.
They assume a 10 to 1 snow to water ratio and follows the High resolution rapid refresh model as advertised on Windy.com
I used this computer model because it is high resolution which is essential for lake effect snow and seems to be better than the NAM model regarding lake effect snow events from. What I've seen.
It should be noted that while at times the snow to water ratio will be 10 to 1 due to warm Lake, but lake effect often takes on a powdery snow. Should snow to water ratio be double, then amounts could potentially be double whatever listed here in some spots.
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Summer heat overtakes the Midwest despite the fact that it's October. This wave of heat will last several days and will be followed by a cooler area of high pressure. Following the high pressure will be a return to another summer heat wave for much of the Midwest, but some of the Midwest may be right along the front seeing well above normal temperatures but not quite a heatwave. Either way rain will be limited during this holiday of succos, but there is a chance for rain Monday night and again Thursday night with minimal impacts. Temperature should remain within room temperature throughout most of the holiday but briefly dropping into the middle 50s for a couple nights in the mid part of the week. If temperatures do exceed 86° during the holiday it would occur towards the end. Until then - 86° heat or higher could be expected until the holiday starts.. this episode covers the most recent Midwest heatwave and covers some of the cities which received temperatures in the 90s for three consecutive days. Some say that this heat is connected to a marine Heat Wave taking place in the North Pacific.
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Alaskan hurricane, Summer heat in the midwest flooding in the desert Southwest, periods of rain and thunderstorms across the southeast and so much more is covered in this episode. This episode also covers the Succos holiday weather.
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Powerhouse Storm develops in the Gulf of Alaska. Late season heatwave overtakes the Midwest due to the remnants of a tropical storm over the Southeastern portions of the United states. This brings compressional warming into the midwest. We have a hurricane expected to become a major hurricane category 3 by the mid portions of next week. This hurricane may impact the coastal areas of the Eastern portions of the United States as early as Thursday October 2nd. What watches are in effect across the desert southwest. And a blast of heat may impact Israel a week from Sunday and the day before succos. This episode includes the forecast for the holiday of Succos, for Chicago and other nearby areas for the first several days. It's a general outlook.
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Focus on Jerusalem with a rare heatwave, rare showers, and most impressive humidity. Recorded August 13th 2025.
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Okay, here's a chapter breakdown with timestamps:
(00:00:10) Introduction: Extreme Heat in Israel - Overview of the current weather event.
(00:01:17) Intensity and Comparison - Comparing the heat to the Persian Gulf and discussing heat warnings.
(00:02:21) Jerusalem's Humidity - Details about dew points and temperatures in various locations.
(00:03:24) Forecasted Temperatures - Discussing forecasts from different weather models.
(00:04:24) Dew Point Accuracy - Addressing the reliability of dew point measurements.
(00:05:27) Humid Heat Wave - Contrasting this heat wave with typical dry desert heat.
(00:06:28) Thunderstorm Prediction - Analyzing a European model's thunderstorm forecast for Jerusalem.
(00:07:31) Dew Points and Humidity Levels - Discussing the definition of humidity and expected dew points.
(00:08:35) Temperature Extremes - Predictions for high temperatures and lack of nighttime cooling.
(00:09:50) Regional Comparisons - Comparing the heat and humidity to conditions in the Persian Gulf and the US.
(00:11:04) Excessive Heat Warnings - Emphasizing the dangerous heat levels across Israel.
(00:12:13) Event Confirmation and Causes - Confirming the ongoing heat wave and the search for explanations.
(00:13:15) Closing Remarks - Mentioning potential droughts in the Midwest and ending the podcast.
(00:14:12) Outro
Okay, here's a chapter breakdown with timestamps:
(00:00:10) Introduction: Extreme Heat in Israel - Overview of the current weather event.
(00:01:17) Intensity and Comparison - Comparing the heat to the Persian Gulf and discussing heat warnings.
(00:02:21) Jerusalem's Humidity - Details about dew points and temperatures in various locations.
(00:03:24) Forecasted Temperatures - Discussing forecasts from different weather models.
(00:04:24) Dew Point Accuracy - Addressing the reliability of dew point measurements.
(00:05:27) Humid Heat Wave - Contrasting this heat wave with typical dry desert heat.
(00:06:28) Thunderstorm Prediction - Analyzing a European model's thunderstorm forecast for Jerusalem.
(00:07:31) Dew Points and Humidity Levels - Discussing the definition of humidity and expected dew points.
(00:08:35) Temperature Extremes - Predictions for high temperatures and lack of nighttime cooling.
(00:09:50) Regional Comparisons - Comparing the heat and humidity to conditions in the Persian Gulf and the US.
(00:11:04) Excessive Heat Warnings - Emphasizing the dangerous heat levels across Israel.
(00:12:13) Event Confirmation and Causes - Confirming the ongoing heat wave and the search for explanations.
(00:13:15) Closing Remarks - Mentioning potential droughts in the Midwest and ending the podcast.
(00:14:12) Outro
Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/weather-with-enthusiasm--4911017/support.
Here's a chapter breakdown with timings:
* 0:00 - 1:08: Introduction: Intense Heat in Israel (Setting the stage with the unusual and dangerous heatwave)
* 1:09 - 2:11: Coastal Humidity: Tel Aviv and the Mediterranean (Focusing on the high dew points along the coast)
* 2:12 - 4:19: Jerusalem's Triple-Digit Heat and Humidity (Highlighting the rare combination of heat and humidity in Jerusalem)
* 4:20 - 5:22: Overnight Lows and the Dead Sea (Discussing the lack of nighttime relief and extreme conditions near the Dead Sea)
* 5:23 - 6:25: Dead Sea Extremes (Elaborating more on high humidity and temperatures near the Dead Sea)
* 6:26 - 7:27: Tel Aviv Forecast (Going back to Tel Aviv's conditions)
* 7:28 - 8:32: The Jerusalem Thunderstorm Mystery (Addressing the surprising and unlikely thunderstorm forecast)
* 8:33 - 9:50: Model Discrepancies and the Lack of Forecast Discussions (Discussing the differences between models and the information gap compared to the US)
* 9:51 - 11:58: Global Heat Hotspots: Las Vegas, Death Valley, and Baghdad (Shifting focus to other areas experiencing extreme heat)
* 11:59 - 14:09: Iran's Sizzling Heat and the Importance of Forecast Discussions (Highlighting the extreme temperatures in Iran and reiterating the value of forecast discussions)
* 14:09 - End: Conclusion and Impact (Concluding with a summary and the potential impact of the heatwave)
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Here is a table of contents summarizing the weather podcast, focusing on extreme weather events and conditions globally, with a special emphasis on heatwaves and high dew points, and ending with the songs that played in the background.
Chapter 1: Introduction and Extreme Heat in the Persian Gulf (00:08)
The podcast begins by highlighting extreme weather conditions, particularly the phenomenal dew points and wet bulb temperatures in the Persian Gulf, where dew points reach the upper 80s and wet bulb temperatures are expected to hit 90 degrees, potentially reaching the upper limits of human tolerance. Temperatures in Iran's Great Salt Desert are forecasted to soar, with surface temperatures possibly exceeding the official record due to a lack of weather stations. Shuster, Iran, is mentioned as a city where temperatures frequently reach the 130s, although official records may not reflect this due to the distance of the nearest weather station.
Chapter 2: Heat Dome in the US and High Dew Points (03:19)
The discussion shifts to a strengthening heat dome in the US Midwest and East Coast, with forecasts indicating it will intensify over the next two weeks. High dew points are noted not only in the Persian Gulf but also in the United States, especially around the Gulf of Mexico and the Midwest corn belt, creating swamp-like conditions. The air originates from the Gulf of Mexico, traveling over a thousand miles, and the corn belt enhances the humidity levels.
Chapter 3: Extreme Heat in Dubai and the Caspian Sea (04:28)
The podcast revisits the United Arab Emirates, focusing on Dubai, where temperatures remain consistently in the mid-90s, driven by high dew points leading to heat indices approaching 130. The conversation then turns to the Caspian Sea in Russia, where unusually high ocean water temperatures, similar to those in the Gulf of Mexico, lead to very humid conditions. The possibility of weather phenomena similar to Tornado Alley in the US occurring near the Caspian Sea is speculated due to the presence of both humid and dry air masses.
Chapter 4: Global Weather Observations and the Lack of Hurricanes in July (08:43)
The podcast notes intense warmth in the Arctic regions of northern Canada and Alaska, with temperatures expected to reach the 80s. Intense heat is also observed on the West Coast of the US, particularly on the eastern side of the Cascades. The lack of hurricanes in July, despite warm ocean temperatures, is attributed to the plume of Sahara dust that interferes with hurricane development.
Chapter 5: Heat Advisories and Closing Remarks (10:54)
Heat advisories are in effect across the northern states of the Midwest, with a large area of excessive heat warnings covering much of the Midwest and South Central states. The heat dome is expected to center over the mid-Atlantic area later in the week, bringing super hot weather. The podcast concludes with encouragement to stay healthy and hydrated.Chapter 6: Songs Played During the Podcast (12:30) The podcast concludes by identifying the songs played in the background, including "Journey through the Desert" by Trace Way, and several Blue Dot Sessions tracks such as "Skyway", "Borrow", "Molly Molly" and "Glass Beads", ending with a track listed as "L I T E 20, saturation 25".
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Major heat dome settles itself over the Midwest including the upper Midwest the Northeast Mid-Atlantic area and the Great lakes area for the next several days some places for the next two weeks. Extremely high humidity and temperatures well into the 90s and 100s could be expected area wide.
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108° in South Dakota This Thursday, 80° Dew Point in Tennessee this Saturday evening. Extreme humidity over spreads New York, Philadelphia and Baltimore as well. 79° dew point in Minneapolis. 102°F for Detroit. Major 6+ day heatwave in Chicago. Highs from 93° - 100°. Dew points 72° - 77°. Many other cities are included in heat wave. A 597 decimeter heat dome combined with marine heat wave is the scientific culprit. Hashem is real culprit.
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This episode discussed a rare atmospheric setup bringing record heat near the Arctic circle and rare nor'easter to East Coast. There is divrei hisor'e'rus at the end to accommodate the the 24/6 platform that this podcast is available on..
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107° - 111° yesterday in hottest parts of Israel. Some reports included a 115° reading. This week we prepare for yet again another multi-day severe weather outbreak in Midwest. St.Louis is included in this. As of Sunday evening May 18th a tornado watch and severe thunderstorm watch covered a very large portion of the plains.
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This is a weather trailer for "Weather With Enthusiasm"
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This episode grades the accuracy of yesterday's podcast, speaks about the severe weather outbreak potential for today and its location along with the most effective way to stay up to date and the importance of doing so. It discusses a little bit of the Divine along with an intense is really Heatwave expected to happen tomorrow this Shabbos. Happy Lag Ba'Omer! Enjoy!
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Fire Weather Watch in effect and High severe weather Risk along with near record heat for today
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Fire Weather Watch in effect and High severe weather Risk along with near record heat for today
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Information contained in this episode comes from the National Weather Service forecast discussions of several Midwest and southern cities. Information regarding the geographical heights of the heat domes, the strength of the upper Midwest storm system and the international heat discussion comes from the European computer model as advertised on windy.com 12pm CDT Wednesday May 14th. Temperatures are given using the faranheit system. For point of reference- 113°F = 45°C. 90°F = 32°C and 122°F = 50° C. And the mention of Caspian Sea is referring to the countries to the east of Caspian Sea. This episode was made Wednesday May 14th, 2025 and is the 3rd episode to cover the Midwest weather for Thursday 5/15/25 regarding both heat and severe weather potential. It's also the 3rd episode to cover the Texas heatwave. The following is an overview:
An enhanced severe weather risk has been issued by the Storm prediction center for a significant portion of the Great lakes area for Thursday, severe weather outbreak in an area in the Midwest is expected on Friday and a severe weather outbreak expected areas to the south of that on Saturday but less significant. Major Heat is expected in Texas today and temperatures reach 90° for the first time for many cities from New Orleans Louisiana all the way to Chicago along with many cities in between and to the north. Extreme heat is expected to overtake the entire country of Israel this Shabbos and very intense Heat for today for areas to the east of the Caspian Sea, areas along the India Pakistan border and this heat will redevelop later on in the next two week forecast cycle. Details regarding all of this could be found in this episode along with details involved in the overall powerhouse storm system moving along the Minnesota and Dakota's border for tomorrow. Enjoy! Thank you for your interest.
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In this episode we discuss the record-breaking heat in the Northern plains, the extreme severe risk Heat in South Texas, the temperature is going well into the 100th and 110s and other parts of texas, we discussed the potential for severe weather outbreak along with temperatures in the 90s for Wednesday and Thursday over portions of the midwest. And then a significant tornado outbreak possible in Wisconsin on thursday. We also discussed the possibility of the remaining dry over parts of Chicago Thursday evening and St Louis as well. And we go through many many states in the Midwest and talk about the weather for the next several days enjoy. This episode is recorded May 13th 2025.
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The podcast discusses a heatwave affecting various regions in the US, with temperatures soaring into the 90s and even reaching 100 degrees in some places. The heat is attributed to a heat dome and downslope winds. Texas is expected to experience extreme heat, with temperatures in the mid-110s. Severe weather is also forecasted, with a focus on the Illinois-Iowa border for potential tornado activity. St. Louis may not be affected by storms until Friday due to the Pacific front being dry. This podcast also mentions music tracks used and provides temperature updates for Rapid City and Cherry, Nebraska.
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This May 11th episode of Weather With Enthusiasm, Simcha Lefton delivers a high-energy briefing on a volatile week of U.S. weather. From a major severe weather outbreak in the Midwest—including possible tornadoes Thursday—to a record-shattering heat dome cooking the Southern Plains and Gulf Coast, this episode has it all.
Highlights include:
Heat indices approaching 110°F in Texas
A potential 593 dm heat dome over the Gulf of Mexico
Triple-point setup fueling severe storms from Iowa to Illinois
Fire weather warnings across the Plains and western High Plains
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A record breaking low pressure system of 28.8 moves across the Midwest on Purim Day (3/14). This powerful Spring Storm system will have triple digit heat on its warm side along with severe weather including long lasting tornadoes (not in same areas). Powerful Blizzard develops in upper Midwest. Wind Storm will follow this system and become a widespread event for Shabbos (Saturday 3/15) Shushan Purim. Chicago will see roller coaster weather this weekend into next week with accumulating snow possible by Wednesday night. Details are discussed in this dynamic weather episode with an authentic passionate delivery. National Weather Service is the source for much of the information in this episode. The Washington Post is referenced as well. Computer model information comes from windy.com. Enjoy. I wish everyone a freiilach Purim.
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More thorough discussion regarding this week's winter storm to hit the Midwest including Chicago. In this episode we explain what the upper limit potential is in both qpf and snow to water ratio. We also touch upon the upcoming weekend storm. The imagery shows 8 day snow totals for Chicago according to European computer model Sunday evening 2/9. The 8 day period covers Monday 2/10 - Monday 2/17/25.
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2 out of the next 3 Winter storms have access to copious amounts of Gulf moisture (Gulf Of America). All 3 ingredients necessary for a major 6+ inch snow storm are forecasted to come together mid-week. Storm to bring a widespread impactful snow to Chicago and other Midwest cities.
A similar storm will track across the Midwest this weekend impacting similiar areas. Imagery is Sunday evenings (2/9/25) European computer models showing Chicago snow totals for this Wednesday night system.
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Shabbos Major 6 inch Snow Possible Chicago or Milwaukie. Details of what will energize this storm is discussed in this episode along with another system around tu beshvat next week, mid-week. Very significant system could also impact more Southern portions of Midwest next week.
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Global models are in consistency regarding a historical winter storm moving through the Midwest around 2/11/25. Stay tuned for further updates.
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Low pressure of 29.6 tracks from the Southern High Plains to Mid-Atlantic area. Precipitation of a convective nature is occurring even on its cold side bringing thundersnow to areas that don't normally see this. Portions of Kansas will be seeing it's heaviest snowfall in 60 years as 12+ inches falls within a relatively short period of time. Storm starts to develop a negative tilt as it brings in strong Arctic air on its back side while copious gulf moisture feeds into the system. Areas that receive 0.5 inches of ice or more could expect to see at least some power outages. This storm will impact many major cities across states in the central U.S. to Mid-Atlantic. This includes St.Louis, Cincinnati, Baltimore and even Washington D.C. where 5 to 10 inches is currently forecasted. This episode discusses all this in more detail. In addition this episode discusses an impactful lake effect snow event that may set itself up over portions of the Chicago area and Southeast Wisconsin tonight and tomorrow Monday 1/6. Stay safe. And to our weather enthusiasts and snow lovers- enjoy! Children from Kansas to Washington D.C. will likely celebrate as all schools are likely to be canceled. This is due to this being a relatively southern storm- impacting cities that are not as equipped to handle these snowfall totals (as opposed to Chicago).
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Cincinnati snow forecast.
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An airport not far from Carrizo Springs, Texas reaches 99°F (37°C) today 12/30/24. Arctic Outbreak Next Week Is Forecasted to impact the Gulf Coast. This brings accumulating snow and/or ice to South Texas. This episode discusses this along with a winter storm early next week which could produce a 6+ inch snow total from the Midwest to potentially New York City. Some areas may receive significantly higher amounts. Details are discussed in this episode.
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Words from 6 National Weather Service Forecast offices are shared on this episode regarding next week's winter storm.
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Winter weather pattern takes over on January 1st or a few hours before. This pattern is expected to last for the remainder of the 2 week forecast cycle. A storm is expected to develop in the southern plains Saturday evening and bring a major snowfall to portions of the state of Missouri on Sunday 1/5/24. The system might fall apart for places East of the Mississippi. There is also a chance it could strengthen. The forecast becomes very difficult for places East of the Mississippi River. This episode discusses the state of Missouri where there currently is consistency between the 2 global models. Cities like St.Louis, Kansas city and Columbia are included. Enjoy!
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Extended 10 Arctic Spell Over spreads Midwest This Week Bringing Several Clipper Systems Next Week.
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Wind Storm Moves across Much of Country, Blowing Snow Tuesday 11/19/24 for North Dakota
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An impactful winter storm has developed over Colorado. In fact, the National Weather Service is calling this a historical storm. The development of this storm has been the question of the week for forecasters and its development is an exciting moment for weather enthusiasts. Blizzard warnings have been issued for parts of Colorado. A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for Denver.
This past Sunday we did an episode on this podcast that mentioned the European computer model forecasting 6 -12 inches for areas well to the South East of Denver and 6 inches for Denver. The National Weather Service said in most likelihood an Impactful Winter Storm will not develop. That was Sunday.
Well it's now Thursday. The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm warning and is currently forecasting 6 - 14 inches for Denver with over 3 feet in other parts of the state.
In this episode we give this storm an enthusiastic acknowledgement and discuss a few more details.
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Blizzard impacts Northeast Prince William Sound Alaska this Tuesday. Denver, Colorado has an uncertain significant snow in their forecast. Winter weather pattern takes over Cheyenne, WY and Scottsbluff, Nebraska but 1st a wind storm moves through Tuesday. Heavy rain maker with unseasonable warmth impacts Chicago Monday night 11/4/24, with the high risk severe weather risk from the Southern Plains to mid-Mississippi moving east for Monday and Tuesday. Extreme heat redevelops over 2 different parts of Australia this week. Some of these weather events were discussed in more detail in the previous episode and vise versa. Enjoy!.
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Extreme Heat in Australia, very heavy rainfall amounts in Midwest, a week of winter in Wyoming, significant snow for Denver, powerhouse storm in Alaska, unseasonably warm and humid in Chicago. All happening this week of November 3rd 2034. This episode includes the writings of Meteorologist Heavier who works for the Boulder Colorado National Weather Service and speaks with excitement and passion. Enjoy!
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This discusses a very unusual late season heatwave occurring in the South western portions of the United States in the desert areas.
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This episode of "Weather with Enthusiasm" discusses a notable cool down expected to last for a few days for the Midwest and Northeas. The discussion extends to global heat events, particularly in Israel and the Persian Gulf, highlighting extreme temperatures and heat indices.
Moreover, the episode delves into a surprising drop in Atlantic Ocean water temperatures and its potential impact on hurricane formation. The Arctic's unusual heatwave earlier this year, with record-breaking temperatures, is also explored, along with insights into the factors contributing to these extreme weather conditions.
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This episode of "Weather with Enthusiasm" discusses a notable cool down expected to last for a few days for the Midwest and Northeas. The discussion extends to global heat events, particularly in Israel and the Persian Gulf, highlighting extreme temperatures and heat indices.
Moreover, the episode delves into a surprising drop in Atlantic Ocean water temperatures and its potential impact on hurricane formation. The Arctic's unusual heatwave earlier this year, with record-breaking temperatures, is also explored, along with insights into the factors contributing to these extreme weather conditions.
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This episode discusses the heatwave that swept through the Arctic from August 5th to August 9th 2024. Temperatures soared to record highs, with Little Chicago in the Canadian Arctic hitting a staggering 97 degrees Fahrenheit, the hottest ever recorded in the region. We explore some of the factors behind this intense heat, including the synoptic weather setup.
This episode discusses a heatwave that affected the Northwest Territories Of Canada including the Arctic along with Fort Yukon and Deadhorse Alaska. This was a 4 day heatwave which brought all-time record highs to some cities in the Arctic.
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This episode discusses a heatwave that effected the Northwest Territories Of Canada including the Arctic along with Fort Yukon and Deadhorse Alaska. This was a 4 day heatwave which brought all-time record highs to some cities in the Arctic.
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This episode discusses the heatwave that swept through the Arctic from August 5th to August 9th 2024. Temperatures soared to record highs, with Little Chicago in the Canadian Arctic hitting a staggering 97 degrees Fahrenheit, the hottest ever recorded in the region. We explore some of the factors behind this intense heat, including the synoptic weather setup.
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This episode starts off discussing the impressive synoptic weather setup and surface temperatures in Phoenix along with Wet-Bulb Globe Temperatures. A discussion of Chicago's Hot Monday occurs along with a Synopsis for the South Central states and heat forecasts for the Mid-Atlantic area. Tropical Storm D4 will impact the weather this week. This episode is the same as the previous one but does not include background music.
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This episode discusses extreme heat that is taking place in several locations including death valley's hottest July ever on record along with very hot temperatures expected in Phoenix Arizona this Sunday and the extreme heat over the world Olympics and Paris France along with other cities.
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Podcaster Simcha, Weather Enthusiast is Interviewed in winter 2023
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Tornado Risk As Tropical Storm Heads To Texas.
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Intense Russian heatwave week following July 4th
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Weather 7/4/24: Russia & Arctic you might have missed.
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6/30/24: Weather Extremes in Heat, Water & Night and Day
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St.Louis: 103° Breaks 72 Year old Record! 6/25/24
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Saint Louis, Missouri, University Weather 6/25/24
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Quick Review and Shabbos Forecast for St.Louis and Chicago
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6/21/24:St.Louis and many other topics
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6/19/24:Record Heat materializes over New England. Tropical Storm to dump 4 to 15 inches of rain in Texas etc!
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This episode consists of all 3 parts made Friday 6/14/24.
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Will Lake Erie Water Temperatures Become Tropical? What Impacts Will This Have?
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6/14/24:Arctic Heat Update With Details
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Powerful Heat Dome Impacts Much Of U.S. Including New York, New England, Detroit etc.
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6/11/24: Explosive Heat Intensifies And Expands Next Week Reaching New York By Thursday 6/20/24.
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Intense Mexico Heat Puts Wild Life At Risk
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5/28: Why Is It So Hot In Mexico? And Explaining Why Summer Heat Is Expanding North Into Russia.
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This episode includes a discussion about the weather conditions in the helicopter crash in Iran. The following topics are also discussed: India Heat, Midwest Tornadoes. We also discuss heat advisories issues for parts of Israel and the spread of summer heat frrom the Caspian Sea into Poland.
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This episode includes a discussion about the weather conditions in the helicopter crash in Iran. The following topics are also discussed: India Heat, Midwest Tornadoes. We also discuss heat advisories issues for parts of Israel and the spread of summer heat frrom the Caspian Sea into Poland.
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U.S., India, Persian Gulf Heatwave 10 Days. 5/17/24
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Reviewing Heatwave temperatures, dew points and smoke in Texas.
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Extreme Texas/Mexican Heat 5/9/24
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Record Heat From Mexico To New England
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34°C W.B.T. for Texas & Mexico Heatwave Wednesday and Thursday. 46°C /115°F
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110°/43°C heads to Zapata, Texas 5/9/24
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First Heatwave of season arrives this week in the United States. Long term forecasts for Summer is discussed
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Extreme Heat In India With WBT of 35C°/95°F to finish April
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Record Heat April 25th over Telaviv. Followed by songs from end up Passover sedar (based upon request)
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This episode is a slight update from the previous 1. It includes 2 extracts from episodes made in the Summer of 2021 about the nighttime heat in Dubai along with Flood warnings issued due to their cloud seeding program
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This episode has been updated from the previous episode. It now includes international units, more details on rain fall accumulation, sound effects, an extract from the United Arab Emirates Meteorological Department Cloud Seeding program and an amazing 1 minute extract from last year's Fort Lauderdale flood episode which was made 2023 on April 16th amazingly. This episode was made April 17th and 18th 2024 regarding the floods that happened primarily on April 16th 2024. Imagery is of Iran.
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This episode focuses on one of the most fascinating places in the world for a heart and humidity enthusiast. As humid as the Gulf Of Mexico is (along with its surrounding states) it's power doesn't hold a candlestick to the Persian Gulf. This episode discusses some of the water temperatures that occur in the Persian Gulf. We discuss the impact this had on the historical floods that took place in parts of Iran, Onan and the United Arab Emirates. The main focus is the United Arab Emirates because it's easier to find weather information about the UAE and they also have a fascinating cloud seeding program. We discuss cloud seeding and the different approaches UAE uses vs. Israel. It should be noted that the highest widespread totals of rain may have occurred in Iran with several cities of 10+ inches. The source for that is AccuWeather. Nonetheless in this episode the main focus is the United Arab Emirates for the reasons mentioned above.
Was Cloud Seeding A Factor?
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Four waves of thunderstorm potential move through Chicago over the next 24 hours. Round 2 & 4 are the only one’s expected to materialize. Round 2 has the most significant severe risk but for lakeside counties it will be wave 4 including West Rogers Park. This episode discusses the details.
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Four waves of thunderstorm potential move through Chicago over the next 24 hours. Round 2 & 4 are the only one’s expected to materialize. Round 2 has the most significant severe risk but for lakeside counties it will be wave 4 including West Rogers Park. This episode discusses the details.
In Iowa wave 3 will pose the most significant weather threat. Wave 2 will also have a severe weather potential. Wave 1 is from warm front, Wave 2 is from fading dry line, wave 3 is from outflow of wave 2 and wave 4 is from systems cold front.
Dust Storm possible in Kansas over areas that do not receive precipitation.
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Four waves of thunderstorm potential move through Chicago over the next 24 hours. Round 2 & 4 are the only one’s expected to materialize. Round 2 has the most significant severe risk but for lakeside counties it will be wave 4 including West Rogers Park. This episode discusses the details.
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This episode discusses some of the variables needed for a dust storm. We discuss where thisvis occuring today and where this might occur tomorrow 4/16/24.
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This episode discusses the variables that will be coming together in the Plains to produce blowing dust today and tomorrow 4/16/24. We also touch upon dust storm safety and why it's necessary to take your foot off the break. Also, never put emergency lights on during a dust storm. We make brief mention of the " Black Blizzard" which was the world's worst dust storm in history which also occured in the Plains and in the month of April back in 1935, the date was April 14th. For more information regarding this dust storm along with safety see the national weather service webpage. Search for the headlines of 88th anniversary (of dust storm) to see the imagery and to read about the synoptic weather setup that led to this event. (Note the similarities between then and now along with a difference).
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Severe Weather Overspreads Midwest Monday night and Tuesday 4/6/24
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Info in this episode comes from the National Weather Service, Weather Prediction Center , NASA and other sources.
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4/7/24: Exceptional Wind Storm in Plains & Rockies This episode discusses a strong dynamic and complex storm that developed in the Plains during the start of the weekend. Dust storms, wild fires, Blizzard and Severe storms developed as a result of this. All of this is discussed in this episode a long with the solar eclipse Monday April 8th.
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This episode discusses the impressive techniques that Israel has used to adapt to its climate. We include some information regarding climate changes impact on Israel and some information on how Israel has gone about in figuring this out. Most of the information presented here comes from the climate branch of the Israel Meteorological Society. This information is being presented by weather enthusiast Simcha Lefton and is a 10 minute review of a previous episode on "Reflections on Weather". There is a 2 minute segment at the end taken from "Weather With Enthusiasm". Enjoy!
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Winter Storm Midwest 4/2/24
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Severe weather outlook April 2nd 2024
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This episode discusses a rapidly intensifying late season Major Winter Storm expected to impact Wisconsin and nearby portions including Illinois.
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3/27/24: Impacts of Colorado Low & Clipper, Israel, India, New England, Florids, Arctic, Texas, Chicago. This episode discusses the Colorodo Low, last week's clipper and developing heatwaves in India, Texas and Israel. Chicago 7 day forecast is included. The Arctic and New England are briefly touched upon a long with a freeze warning and frost advisory. Wednesdays severe weather outlook is discussed as well along with some hazards on Florida beaches.
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Winter storm warnings expand into Texas March 25th 2024
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This episode discusses what severe weather risks are at play, when will it occur and where. It also discusses the synoptic weather setup.
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This episode discusses the impacts a Colorado Low will have on the holiday of Purim to the upper Midwest and Southern Plains.
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A clipper will bring 5+ inches of snow in its bulls eye. We discuss when and where this will occur. Then a powerful winter storm will bring heavy snow early next week. We discuss how this will happen and where this will happen. Finally, a 3rd system is discussed which is likely to impact similar areas late next week.
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In this episode we discuss the details of a weather system that will be bringing a late season snowstorm to the upper Midwest (of the United States). We discuss what type of system this is and whether this particular storm is unique. Learn about whether Chicago, “the windy city” is included in this. Learn about the impacts this system will have on other Midwest cities such as Milwaukee Wisconsin, Minneapolis Minnesota and Bismarck North Dakota. We discuss how this system will impact the East Coast with a focus on New England. We discuss which part of Canada this system originated from. We speak about the storm's moisture feed and whether it's from the Gulf of Mexico or the Pacific Ocean. Heavier snowfall rates will happen in some areas and we learn about this connection to frontogenesis. The number of frontogenesis-induced snowfall associated with this system is discussed.
In the 2nd part of this episode we discuss similar details regarding a powerhouse storm forecasted to develop early next week. Learn about what the Jewish Holiday “Purim” will be like in Minneapolis this Sunday due to this intense storm.
We leave off with a mention of the extraordinary heat that continues in South Sudan and the impact this has had on schools. We make a quick mention of the extended outlook regarding this heatwave.
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A strong upper level low brought an end to record heat, and provided Denver its second earliest measurable snowfall on record. Numerous heat records were set leading up to the snowfall, and several new snowfall and cold records were also broken in this abrupt bout with winter.On September 5, 2020, Denver set its all time record high for September, reaching 101 degrees during the afternoon. This was also the latest date a 100 degree reading has ever been observed in Denver. Another daily record high was then tied on September 6 when Denver hit 97 degrees. September 7th was the last day of heat across the eastern plains of Colorado, when Denver's high temperature reached 93. That tied us for the record for the number of 90 degree days for a year (73), and was also the warmest temperature ever recorded before a day of measurable snowfall.By the evening of September 7th, a series of cold fronts progressed southward from Wyoming into Colorado, dropping the temperature down to the low 30s by early Tuesday morning. Snow developed across the Front Range and foothills overnight, while a mix of rain and snow developed along the I-25 metro corridor. A few locations picked up light snow accumulations in the morning. Accumulating snow was mostly confined to the higher elevations much of the day Tuesday, before spreading across the plains during the late afternoon and evening. Snow spread across the far eastern plains overnight, and tapered off by Wednesday morning. Total snowfall accumulations were 1 to 3 inches across much of the eastern plains, 3 to 6 inches for cities along the mountains (including Boulder and the western portions of Fort Collins), and 4 to 10 inches for the mountains and foothills of the Front Range. A total of 5.6 inches of snow was measured at the NWS Boulder office, while Denver officially measured a total of 1.0 inches. (From the National weather service)
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This episode discusses the snow totals that occured along and east of the Colorado mountain range in the March 13 - 15 2024 snow storm. There is a focus on the larger metropolitan city of Denver. Find out which cities received 5 feet of snow and if AccuWeather's forecasted snowfall max was accurate. As usual, much of the information from this episode comes from the National Weather Service. Usually it's directly from their website but in this case it comes from the newspaper that tends to gather much information from the National Weather Service, the Washington Post. You will learn why despite seeing an enormous snow total of 2 feet in Denver, this storm will likely be quickly forgotten.
For more information regarding the development of this storm listen to the previous episode that discussed the forecasting of this storm. That episode includes the place it originated from, the various ingredients that needed to come together to produce such a storm. Topics such as upsloping, moisture feed along with what makes this storm really unique is all discussed. Learn about how the uniqueness of this storm created difficulty in forecasting the weather for places on the west side of the mountain range. All this info is inside the episode on forecasting this storm. Info from that episode comes from the National Weather Service and the various computer models as advertised on Windy.com.
It should be pointed out that although this episode discusses the general snow totals of this storm as reported on March 15th, there was some snow that fell afterwards for many of these cities but that snow was light. Enjoy!
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South Sudan Heat (less than 4 minutes) . Made 3/16/24. Revised 3/17/24.
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EXTREME HEAT SOUTH SUDAN WITH RECORD SNOW (3/16/24).
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2/27/24: Severe Weather Risk Includes Chicago, then snow followed by return of Unseasonably Warmth
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2/10/24- next 10 days
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2/4/24: In Depth Discussion Of Pattern Change (Chicago)
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2/4/24: In Depth Discussion Of Pattern Change (Chicago)
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2/4/24: Next 10 Days- Record Warmth? And then...
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1/29/24 weather episode 2024
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1/12/24 storm and more
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Our Next Winter Storm Friday 1/12/24. Baltimore 1/16/24?
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Hurricane Hunters flew into the storm system in the Gulf of Alaska on Friday 1/5/24 and gathered information about this storm to improve the forecasting accuracy. This storm reached the Pacific coast Saturday night. It moved South along the California coast on Sunday 1/7/24 as mentioned in this episode. This storm in combination with the trailing Alberta Clipper behind it will be responsible for a major weather pattern change bringing winter from Montana into the Plains and the Midwest. The storm system crosses the Rockies and redevelops on Monday over the Texas panhandle into a stronger low-pressure system of 29.4. The storm becomes negatively tilted as it undergoes rapid intensification. The storm intensifies to category 1 hurricane strength by Wednesday morning of 28.9 as it moves into the Eastern Great Lakes. The track of the storm heads to Interstate 44 in Missouri from Texas and then Interstate 70 in Illinois. The system then moves Northeast passing south and east of Lake Michigan. Summer heat and humidity develop in south Texas along with an enhanced severe weather risk. At the time of this episode, the risk was a 3 but as of early Monday morning, the risk has increased to a 4 out of 5, especially for areas near southeast Louisiana. This means there is a 40% chance for severe weather within a 25-mile radius in this area or more accurately 40% coverage. This risk includes tornadoes, damaging (58+mph) wind gusts, and damaging hail (1+ inch in diameter). This storm system and especially its abundant moisture is the result of the El Nino weather pattern. As is typical in El Nino years there is minimal phasing between the subtropical and polar jet stream. As a result, the air will not be that cold behind the system. Nonetheless, the combination of evaporative cooling and dynamic cooling along with it being the coldest time of year will help the precipitation fall as snow, especially during the heavier precipitation rates. In addition, thundersnow is likely to develop in parts of Northern Missouri and nearby areas. Chicago lies in the most difficult part of this storm to forecast. In this episode, we speak all about this storm along with the Chicago forecast which will likely see 3 to 6 inches. The official amounts will likely be closer to 6 but unofficially the amount on the ground might be closer to 3 or 4 due to possible melting along with the witness of the snow. This El Nino weather pattern will take upon a new twist starting Thursday the first day of the Lunar month Shvat as an Arctic air mass finally makes its into the midwest behind an Alberta clipper. This will be the 1st of 3punches of Arctic Air. Snow will likely fall with each Arctic front. Gulf moisture will likely be ingested into system number 2. This episode contains more information about this active weather pattern.
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12/24/23: Midwest Weather
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12/24/23: Midwest Weather
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Midwest Blizzard/Record Warmth 12/25/23
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12/17/23: Arctic Blast for Monday With South Bend Winter Storm
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It's Mid December. We are in the midst of a heavy snowfall in one of our most southern states. The Texas Panhandle is under a Winter Storm Warning for 4 - 8 inches of snow. All eyes now turn to the formation of a Gulf Low. It's forecasted to intensify as it moves up the coast. Snow enthusiasts would ordinarily be ecstatic, especially those that live from the Mid-Atlantic area northward. However, the forecast does not match up to what our ears hear. It's snowing in Texas but there is no Arctic air in sight. And the East Coast forecast has no mention of snow. Why? This episode deals with some of this. Answers to these questions are dealt with in many of the episodes made this week.
Unique December Warm Coastal Storm Follows Our Ongoing Texas Heavy Snowfall
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Entertainment edition With Real Weather 12/13/23
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12/13/23:Texas snow develops as Canadian warmth from the Pacific heads to the Northeast
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Recording of Live session
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National Weather Service "dismisses" European model on Midwest Chanuka Storm because it is too "outrageous"
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12/2/23: This Weeks storms, next 10 days
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Snow totals November 26th, storm summary
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Snow totals November 26th, storm summary
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11/26 Chicago forecast: Colorado Low brings 1 - 6 inches of snow to Midwest Followed by Arctic Air.
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Snowfall totals in Chicago & Midwest 11/26, Arctic Air Follows
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Entertainment Edition, made for those with short attention spans..
Enthusiastic delivery of 7-day weather synopsis with likely improved accuracy due to better communication about the weekend system. This episode makes reference to several National Weather Services throughout the country. This includes New York, Buffalo, St.Louis, Kansas City, Chicago, Midland TX Bismark, N.D. In addition, this episode contains info from the National Weather Service in Holley, N.J., New Orleans, South Bend, Cleveland, Norman, OK, Detroit, Milwaukie, and Duluth (or whichever one includes Lake Superior). Several other forecast discussions from additional forecast offices were used in preparation for this podcast. This includes Omaha, Des Moines, Green Bay, Wisconsin, Anchorage, Amarillo, TX, Ohio (the one that covers Cincinnati), and additional offices. Additional resources used in preparation for this episode were 3 weather articles in the Washinton Post. The computer models advertised on Windy.Com were also used in preparation, especially the European model. This is used together with the guidance offered from the forecast discussions of various national weather services. The long-term weather forecasters mentioned in this episode are believed to be from AccuWeather. This episode incorporates previous knowledge that is known to the Podcaster from being a weather Enthusiast from the time he was three. Some of that information comes from meteorologists Dave Murray and Tom Skilling. Occasionally the New York Times. The enthusiasm expressed in this episode comes from the podcaster's natural love for weather and fascination with forecasting (as do all the episodes). Some of this love was transmitted from the human voice on the NOAA weather radio. The material in the Washington Post is frequently written by Mathew Cappucci. This one includes information from Dan Stillman and possibly others, especially Jason Samenow. This episode adds clarification and has some additional info including a small discussion about El Nino. We discuss Google's new Forecasts made through artificial intelligence. It's more accurate than the European model. We make some comparisons between this week's weather pattern and a pattern back in January 2021 (and December 2019 and 2020).
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Enthusiastic delivery of 7-day weather synopsis with likely improved accuracy due to better communication about the weekend system. This episode makes reference to several National Weather Services throughout the country. This includes New York, Buffalo, St.Louis, Kansas City, Chicago, Midland TX Bismark, N.D. In addition, this episode contains info from the National Weather Service in Holley, N.J., New Orleans, South Bend, Cleveland, Norman, OK, Detroit, Milwaukie, and Duluth (or whichever one includes Lake Superior). Several other forecast discussions from additional forecast offices were used in preparation for this podcast. This includes Omaha, Des Moines, Green Bay, Wisconsin, Anchorage, Amarillo, TX, Ohio (the one that covers Cincinnati), and additional offices. Additional resources used in preparation for this episode were 3 weather articles in the Washinton Post. The computer models advertised on Windy.Com were also used in preparation, especially the European model. This is used together with the guidance offered from the forecast discussions of various national weather services. The long-term weather forecasters mentioned in this episode are believed to be from AccuWeather. This episode incorporates previous knowledge that is known to the Podcaster from being a weather Enthusiast from the time he was three. Some of that information comes from meteorologists Dave Murray and Tom Skilling. Occasionally the New York Times. The enthusiasm expressed in this episode comes from the podcaster's natural love for weather and fascination with forecasting (as do all the episodes). Some of this love was transmitted from the human voice on the NOAA weather radio. The material in the Washington Post is frequently written by Mathew Cappucci. This one includes information from Dan Stillman and possibly others, especially Jason Samenow. This episode adds clarification and has some additional info including a small discussion about El Nino. We discuss Google's new Forecasts made through artificial intelligence. It's more accurate than the European model. We make some comparisons between this week's weather pattern and a pattern back in January 2021 (and December 2019 and 2020).
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Low Pressure of 29.6 moves across the Midwest Monday and Tuesday and affects the East Coast into Wednesday. Severe Weather risks to the south a solid rain for Chicago Monday night. This is a complex system. The complexity can interfere with the accuracy.
The effects this system has in New York depends upon if/when a piece of energy gets ejected from the southwest states.
A secondary low will develop off the Mid-Atlantic Coast this week.
A dry weak cold from affects Chicago Thursday Evening.
Arctic air moves in behind a low-pressure system next weekend. Snow showers along the front are a good possibility but there are a lot of unknowns with this system.
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Complex Weather Pattern For Week Of November 19th.
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Australian Heatwave (Late November 2023)
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11/17/23: Weather Next 9 Days
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Halloween Thundersnow Chicago 2023. National Weather Service nailed it.
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Day before Thunder snow hit Chicago recorded October 30th 2023
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Cohost AI (made with A I. Not edited)
Episode Description
Ever wondered why, despite the bone-chilling cold, the first snowfall of the season feels magical? Get ready to accompany us on a weather journey where you'll learn about the nitty-gritty of the upcoming winter season in the upper Midwest. We'll guide you through the first significant snowfall, clarifying puzzling terms like the National Weather Service's hazardous weather outlook. We’ll reveal the synoptic setup - it might not be as severe as it sounds – and outline the forecast for Chicago. We’ll help you prepare for when to expect the snowfall and how to stay cozy in the chilly temperatures.
Let's move on to understand the influence of atmospheric weather setup on the city of Chicago. We'll uncover the three critical moments for snowfall, and brace yourself for 7pm - yes, it's going to be a snowy evening! Intriguing, isn't it? Plus, stay tuned for a glimpse into next week, when a storm might brew, possibly turning into a northeaster monster, according to European computer models. As we wave goodbye to October, we'll review the winter weather that's just arrived, accompanied by the descending cold Arctic air. But wait, there's a silver lining - our weekend forecast hints at temperatures possibly rising into the 60s. So, buckle up for an exciting weather ride this week, and remember, safety first!
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10 Day Forecast For United States
The following description was made with A.I. and has not been edited.
Brace yourselves as we embark on an exhilarating journey through a meteorological spectacle, tracking a bone-chilling cold front sweeping across the country. Ever wondered how it feels when temperatures plunge from a balmy 80s to a frosty 40s within a day? Tune in as we decode the dramatic shift in the weather scene of Rio Grande Village, Texas, and the return of the zonal flow across the nation. Don't forget to pack your winter woolens as we head to Minneapolis and Chicago, with temperatures bobbing below 40 degrees. Snow lovers, get ready, because we've got the forecast on snowfall accumulations for the upper Midwest. And for those in Los Angeles, prepare for the arrival of the Santa Ana winds.
As we steer the conversation global, prepare to be spellbound by the extremes mother nature has to offer. Imagine waking up to feet of snow in Japan or bracing yourselves against temperatures soaring over 104 degrees. Listen close as we dive into the impact of these extreme weather conditions and arm you with tips to stay safe during these wild shifts. Let's also take a moment to marvel at the spectacle of thunder and lightning, and perhaps find a rainbow in the sky. Hop on for this rollercoaster weather ride and embrace your inner weather enthusiast. The forecast has never been more fascinating!
Episode link: https://play.headliner.app/epi...
(video made with https://www.headliner.app)
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Polar Vortex heads into the U.S.
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Unseasonably Warm...then...Unseasonably Cold..25 inches of snow for Cook City, Montana
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Weather For Week of 10/22 With Entertaining Sound Effects. Winter synoptic weather setup overtakes the Midwest, Rockies and Pacific Northwest To East Coast. But 1st an extended Warm Spell Including Chicago.
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10/22/23: United States Weather Next 7 days
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9/28/23: 100° Heat heads to Midwest, 80's & 90's this weekend.
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Inspirational Extended Warmth Locks Into Midwest to End September and October (Early). (Made 9/26) Extended Heatwave by the end of this week.
A Powerhouse Heat Dome of 591 decimeters settles over Southern Missouri and Illinois on Saturday 9/30/23. Heat Dome weakens slightly on Sunday to 588 but remains stationary through Midweek next week. This will bring widespread 80's across all 10 Midwest States + South Central States as well. Some isolated spots of 90s will take place. Due to the Easterly component of the wind around the Mississippi River going eastward, temps will be cooler near the Lake in Chicago. This weather pattern is known as an Omega Block. In an Omega Block, All Cold Air From Canada is Directed to the West Coast. This Cold air is forecasted to make it to the Midwest bringing snow to parts of the Great Lakes and Iowa by the end of October. However, the GFS model has this happening as early as October 8th (the Simchat Torah holiday). Stay tuned for later updates. 90° Heat heads to Omaha. Highs from 77° - 86° (25 - 30° C) for Chicago. High's 80' for Most Midwest with 50' and 60's at night.
Warm and Dry weather arrives in time for The Holiday Of Succot providing Ideal conditions for Both sleeping and Eating Outside in the Succa (hut with no rain protection). This includes ALL cities in the Midwest
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Extended Heatwave by the end of this week. But 1st a cut off low pressure storm system which originated from the pacific Ocean continues to bring heavy rain with storms across Minnesota and it's surrounding states to the South and East. This Cut Off low is difficult to forecast because it does not have the jet stream associated with it. In fact it will be the high pressure ridge that will eventually push this low out of here. Until it does there are approximately 2 waves of precipitation that may impact the Chicago area on Tuesday 9/26/23. The 1st is for the morning rush hour and the 2nd is for the evening rush hour. The storm's impact on St.Louis will be dependent upon a surge of Gulf moisture which most models keep it East of The Mississippi. Therefore this system is not currently forecasted to have a significant impact in St.Louis. However, there is a marginal risk for severe weather for parts of both Missouri and Illinois. Cloud to ground lightning, large hail and even a couple of damaging tornadoes remains possible even in Chicago.
In between the system and the ridge there could be isolated lake effect rain showers near parts of Lake Michigan. All rain shuts down and Friday onward no rain for many days. Powerhouse Heat Dome of 591 decimeter settles over Southern Missouri and Illinois on Saturday 9/30/23. Heat Dome weakens slightly on Sunday to 588 but remains stationary through Midweek next week. This will bring widespread 80's across all 10 Midwest States + South Central States as well. Some isolated spots of 90s will take place. Due to the Easterly component to the wend around the Mississippi river going eastward, temps will be cooler near the Lake in Chicago.
This weather pattern is known as an Omega Block. In an Omega Block All Cold Air From Canada is Directed to the West Coast. This Cold air is forecasted to make it to the Midwest bringing snow to parts of the great lakes and Iowa by the end of October. However, the GFS model has this happening as early as about October 8th (Simcha's Torah holiday). Stay tuned for later updates. 90° Heat heads to Omaha. High's from 77° - 86° (25 - 30° C) for Chicago. High's 80' for Most Midwest with 50' and 60's at night. Warm and Dry weather arrives in time for The Holiday Of Sukkot providing Ideal conditions for Both sleeping and Eating Outside in the Succa (hut with no rain protection). This includes ALL cities in Midwest
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Extended Heatwave by the end of this week. But 1st a cut off low pressure storm system which originated from the pacific Ocean continues to bring heavy rain with storms across Minnesota and it's surrounding states to the South and East. This Cut Off low is difficult to forecast because it does not have the jet stream associated with it. In fact it will be the high pressure ridge that will eventually push this low out of here. Until it does there are approximately 2 waves of precipitation that may impact the Chicago area on Tuesday 9/26/23. The 1st is for the morning rush hour and the 2nd is for the evening rush hour. The storm's impact on St.Louis will be dependent upon a surge of Gulf moisture which most models keep it East of The Mississippi. Therefore this system is not currently forecasted to have a significant impact in St.Louis. However, there is a marginal risk for severe weather for parts of both Missouri and Illinois. Cloud to ground lightning, large hail and even a couple of damaging tornadoes remains possible even in Chicago.
In between the system and the ridge there could be isolated lake effect rain showers near parts of Lake Michigan. All rain shuts down and Friday onward no rain for many days. Powerhouse Heat Dome of 591 decimeter settles over Southern Missouri and Illinois on Saturday 9/30/23. Heat Dome weakens slightly on Sunday to 588 but remains stationary through Midweek next week. This will bring widespread 80's across all 10 Midwest States + South Central States as well. Some isolated spots of 90s will take place. Due to the Easterly component to the wend around the Mississippi river going eastward, temps will be cooler near the Lake in Chicago.
This weather pattern is known as an Omega Block. In an Omega Block All Cold Air From Canada is Directed to the West Coast. This Cold air is forecasted to make it to the Midwest bringing snow to parts of the great lakes and Iowa by the end of October. However, the GFS model has this happening as early as about October 8th (Simcha's Torah holiday). Stay tuned for later updates. 90° Heat heads to Omaha. High's from 77° - 86° (25 - 30° C) for Chicago. High's 80' for Most Midwest with 50' and 60's at night. Warm and Dry weather arrives in time for The Holiday Of Sukkot providing Ideal conditions for Both sleeping and Eating Outside in the Succa (hut with no rain protection). This includes ALL cities in Midwest
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Inspirational Extended Warmth Locks Into Midwest to End September and October (Early). (Made 9/26) Extended Heatwave by end of this week. Powerhouse Heat Dome of 591 decimeter settles over Southern Missouri and Illinois on Saturday 9/30/23. Heat Dome weakens slightly on Sunday to 588 but remains stationary through Midweek next week. This will bring widespread 80's across all 10 Midwest States + South Central States as well. Some isolated spots of 90s will take place. Due to the Easterly component to the wend around the Mississippi river going eastward, temps will be cooler near the Lake in Chicago. This weather pattern is known as an Omega Block. In an Omega Block All Cold Air From Canada is Directed to the West Coast. This Cold air is forecasted to make it to the Midwest bringing snow to parts of the great lakes and Iowa by the end of October. However, the GFS model has this happening as early as about October 8th (Simchat Torah holiday). Stay tuned for later updates. 90° Heat heads to Omaha. High's from 77° - 86° (25 - 30° C) for Chicago. High's 80' for Most Midwest with 50' and 60's at night. Warm and Dry weather arrives in time for The Holiday Of Succot providing Ideal conditions for Both sleeping and Eating Outside in the Succa (hut with no rain protection). This includes ALL cities in Midwest
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9/26/23: Heat Dome Heads TO Midwest for Weekend of October 1st
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9/24/23: Extreme Texas Heat Continues Into Fall
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9/21/23: 6-12 inch snow for Montana, flooding in upper Midwest
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Weather headlines and earthquakes
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Weather Trailer
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9-10: Next 7 Days, Atlantic Hurricane, Widespread Heat Internationally, Alaskan T- Storms, Chicago
9-10: Next 7 Days, Atlantic Hurricane, Widespread Heat Internationally, Alaskan T- Storms, Chicago
7 Day Midwest outlook: Fall Air Mass to Anomalous 595 Decimeter Heat Dome for Labor Day Weekend (made 8/30/23)
Sound effects are For Heat Lovers. Tropical Storm Hits California As Intense Heat Expands Into Upper Midwest
Extreme Heat for Jerusalem,Israel & Iraq, Russia, Louisiana, Caspean Sea then a Washington Surprise! Arctic Heat Ends!
The latest version of this episode now includes entertaining sound effects including the famous sports announcer for both the Saint Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs Harry Carey (especially his famous "holy cow"). In this episode we first hear about severe storms in Arizona. We hear from 4 year old YZ about Chicago weather. We then hear weather headlines across the country and even the world. Headlines include potential hurricane development and information on solar cycle with it's impact on internet outages. New York city weather is included. Iraq heat along with it's associated power outages are mentioned. We discuss 90° heat in Alaska, Heat intensification over Dallas, heat breakdown over Phoenix and a quick return of heat at end of week for St.Louis. The final segment discusses an unprecedented marine heatwave occuring in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of Florida, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico which brought water temperatures to bathtub levels of 101° in Everglade National Park. The Washington Post tells us that this along with the 102° reading that occured in 2017 might be the hottest water temperature globally. Normally, hottest water temps are in Persian Gulf including Iran and the Red Sea. ( The Dead Sea in Israel has seen hotter water temperatures ). Enjoy!
In this episode we hear from 4 year old YZ about Chicago weather. We discuss 90° heat in Alaska, Heat intensification over Dallas, heat breakdown over Phoenix and a quick return of heat at end of week for St.Louis. The final segment discusses an unprecedented marine heatwave occuring in the Atlantic Ocean off the coast of Florida, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico which brought water temperatures to bathtub levels of 101° in Everglade National Park. The Washington Post tells us that this along with the 102° reading that occured in 2017 might be the hottest water temperature globally. Normally, hottest water temps are in Persian Gulf including Iran and the Red Sea. ( The Dead Sea in Israel has seen hotter water temperatures ). Enjoy!
138° in Iran 7-14-23. Everglades Water temp 98°F. Extreme Heat Warning-Arctic Environmental Canada. Italy Heat Dome 110's ° F. Phoenix at 15 consecutive days of 110°F+ and counting. 125° Heat Index in Oklahoma on Thursday. 110° H.I. in Miami Florida with a historical marine heat wave.
Extreme Heat Warning in Arctic is currently in effect. 105° in Russia & 135° today in Iran 7-7-23
Can you imagine stepping into another era, experiencing the torrid temperatures of a dust bowl year, all while standing in the heart of St. Louis? The GFS and HRRS Computer models are doing an excellent job at "imagining" such a scenario for tomorrow June 29th 2023 in St.Louis with forecasting highs in the 110's as a dry line develops. We're venturing a stationary heat dome, thunderstorms circling its edges like a 'ring of fire', and the brewing complexities that could cause a forecast bust in the forecast for the Chicago and St Louis National Weather Services. We invite you to unravel the enigma of the GFS computer model's vision for St Louis - an extreme dust bowl year scenario with temperatures spiking into the 110s. An intense atmospheric mix, plummeting dew points, and a potential dry line all conspire to create this extraordinary weather portrait. But will the reality match the prediction? Our discussion debates the climate credibility of this dramatic scenario while also considering the fascinating interplay between the stationary heat ridge and the ‘ring of fire.' So, brace yourself for an enlightening journey through these enthralling weather phenomena in the Midwest!
Get ready to embark on an expedition.
Starting with the air quality deterioration in Chicago, we highlight a hazardous effect of temperature inversion especially when combined with Canadian wildfire smoke. Witness how Asia sweats with extreme heat reaching a staggering 128 degrees Fahrenheit in Iran and how the Lut Desert, possibly the hottest place on earth, withstands surface temperatures of up to 177 degrees. Then, we zoom over to the United States, where temperatures in Texas scorched tod at 114 degrees. We wrapped up with the day's highest temperatures in Africa and Europe. Tune in and develop a newfound appreciation for the world's weather conditions.
Get ready to embark on an expedition.
Starting with the air quality deterioration in Chicago, we highlight a hazardous effect of temperature inversion especially when combined with Canadian wildfire smoke. Witness how Asia sweats with extreme heat reaching a staggering 128 degrees Fahrenheit in Iran and how the Lut Desert, possibly the hottest place on earth, withstands surface temperatures of up to 177 degrees. Then, we zoom over to the United States, where temperatures in Texas, Oklahoma and Arizona scorched today with 109° - 114 degrees heat and 8 cities reached 100°+ in Louisiana with high humidity. We wrapped up with the day's highest temperatures in Africa and Europe. Tune in and develop a newfound appreciation for the world's weather conditions.
Get ready to sizzle as we bring you the scorching details of the heat wave forecasted for Taft, Missouri, with highs forecasted to go to 103° Friday but possibly reaching a sweltering 109 degrees according to the European Model! Cape Girardeau Missouri will already reach 100° today and Rio Grande Village is expected to tie it's hottest day on record today at a sizzling 120°! We'll break down the National Weather Service and Accuweather predictions and discuss the factors that will influence the high temperatures in the region. Did you know that Texas is experiencing some of its hottest temperatures ever?
But that's just the tip of the iceberg, as we also explore the possibility of a severe weather outbreak across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys which will initially include strong tornadoes.
Get ready to feel the heat as we dive into the sizzling heat wave sweeping across parts of the United States! Uncover the science behind the heat dome, with its astounding heights of 594 decimeters, and the extraordinary heat indices it's bringing along for the ride. Find out how to keep yourself and your furry friends safe during these scorching times.
Athletes, listen up: discover how wet bulb temperature can guide you through safety guidelines for practice and competition in these extreme conditions. We break down the North Carolina High School Athletic Association's five categories of wet bulb temperatures and share the recommended breaks and precautions for each. Learn why athletes in humid places like St. Louis will feel more uncomfortable than those in drier conditions like Phoenix.
Lastly, we delve into the warning signs and symptoms of heat-related illnesses, such as heat stroke, heat exhaustion, heat cramps, sunburn, and heat rash. Arm yourself with tips on how to prevent these illnesses and stay safe in extreme heat, including wearing sunscreen, avoiding hot and heavy meals, replacing salt and minerals, and keeping your pets hydrated. Don't miss this scorching episode that will keep you informed and safe during this unprecedented heat wave sweeping across the nation!
6-18-23: Heatburst, Unbearable W.B.G.T., Heat Safety, Understanding Heat Domes Texas & Great Lakes.
Can you handle the heat? Texas is experiencing a scorching heat wave. Discover how cities like Kingsville and Corpus Christi are dealing with phenomenal temperatures soaring into the upper 99slow 100s, dew points in the low 80s, and heat indices reaching a staggering 123 degrees.
As the temperatures continue to rise in the Lone Star State, we examine this extreme heat wave. Plus, if you're in the Dallas area, stay tuned for our forecast from the National Weather Service and find out if this heat wave is headed your way. Join us as we explore the rare and extreme weather conditions taking place in Texas right now, and learn why these sweltering situations are usually only seen on the Persian Gulf or the Midwest Corn Belt. Don't miss out on this heated conversation!
Current Texas/Louisiana weather conditions 6-16-23 12:15pm and forecasts during this heatwave
Ever wondered why Boulder, Colorado, is a hail hotspot even during summertime? Join us as we unravel the mysteries of extreme weather, beginning with the recent hail storm that battered Boulder, leaving behind a trail 1 - 2 inches of dome size hail. We'll dive into the atmospheric freeze level at 13,000 feet and storm clouds that towered up to 30,000 feet, while also sharing insights about the 4.02-inch of rainfall accumulation Monday.
But hold on to your sun hats, because we're about to switch gears and ride into the upcoming Texas heatwave! We discuss the sweltering temperatures predicted to go into the triple digits and even 110's and how the National Weather Service stepped in to ensure accurate forecasts. Learn how this heatwave will cause the moisture in the soil to evaporate and find out the precautions you can take to stay safe during these extreme weather conditions. Don't forget to check out the YouTube safety features we've shared to help you stay weather-wise and enjoy the elements with enthusiasm!
100°+ (for Dallas) 110°+ to it's West. Baseball hail possible this Evening. Hurricane in India
Are you ready to feel the heat? What about some nice entertainment? Join us in this sizzling episode of Weather with Enthusiasm, where we explore soaring temperatures across the northern hemisphere, from Canada and the U.S. reaching into the 90s, to Russia getting up to the low 100s. We'll discuss wildfires, smoke, and the Oklahoma Department of Environmental Quality's ozone alert – along with simple measures you can take to keep ozone levels healthy.
But it's not all about the heat; we've got floods to talk about too. Discover warnings across the U.S. (from Reno, Nevada due to snowmelt and increased reservoir releases to Amarillo, Texas as a result of excessive rainfall), and the potential impact of high elevation snowmelt in the Salt Lake City, Utah region. We'll share crucial advice from local officials to keep you safe during these natural disasters, so remember our mantra: "turn around, don't drown" when facing flooded roads.
Finally, we'll take you to the Midwest, where an Omega block is forming a dome of heat and affecting drought areas, increasing the potential for dust storms. We'll also dive into how the high-pressure system in Canada is pushing the heat westward. Join us on this wild weather journey, and stay informed about the extreme conditions happening across the globe.
42°C/108°F + possible in the Arctic (at some point) with stagnant air due to high solar insolation
Solar Insolation - Explaining Why It's Hotter North Of Tropics In Summer & How It Can Get Hot By Arctic Circle. This is the 2nd part of the previous episode.
Ever wondered why some regions are hotter than others, and how heatwaves can reach as far north as Siberia? In this fascinating episode, we uncover the science behind summer temperatures and reveal how the tilt of the Earth is connected to the recent heatwave in Siberia. Join us as we explore the differences between tropical and subtropical climates, and venture into the scorching Death Valley, California, an ideal geographical location for soaring temperatures. We also take a deep dive into the complex dynamics of the sun's ability to heat temperatures in the northern latitudes. With the help of the solar insolation chart from the National Weather Service, we investigate how the length of the day and the sun's angle in the sky can affect temperatures at the Arctic Circle and North Pole—even when there's no nighttime! Discover why temperatures in the Arctic can be hotter than in the southern parts of the world, and how an air mass at 44 degrees north latitude can impact other latitudes. Lastly, we delve into the historical heatwaves and the role of greenhouse gases in causing extreme heat in the northern latitudes. Learn about the Earth's response to the sun's increasing heat and how it can affect temperatures over a three-to-four-week period. We also discuss the disproportionate warming of the Arctic and its impact on the jet stream, and the vital importance of contrast in temperatures. Don't miss this enlightening and informative episode that will change the way you think about summer temperatures and heatwaves
We've got some mind-blowing weather news to share with you! The El Nino has arrived and it's even stronger than predicted, with potential impacts on our climate for the upcoming year. On this thrilling episode of Weather with Enthusiasm, we'll also discuss other weather headlines like scorching heat, air quality challenges from wildfires and volcanic eruptions, and the shocking Siberian heat wave. Plus, we'll touch on the unusual excessive heat warnings in San Juan, Puerto Rico - something that's rarely seen!
Don't miss out on this fascinating episode of Weather with Enthusiasm, where we'll delve into the hottest topics literally!
Ever experienced a sudden temperature change that left you baffled? Join us as we explore an extraordinary weather event in Oregon where the temperature fluctuated drastically within just 25 minutes. And if that's not enough, we'll dive into recent heatwaves that reached historical status as old records were shattered.
We will talk about Cyclone Mocha, one of the strongest cyclones on record in the Bay of Bengal.
Together we will journey into the world of extreme ongoing/recent weather events, from a blinding dust storm in Illinois to scorching temperatures soaring into the low 120s in Pakistan/Iran.
Inspirational Heat Continues Expanding North and Smoke continues expanding South...with Ozone
mid 90s for Illinois Iowa border, widespread 30°C - 35°C for many days in Midwest and corresponding Canada to the Gulf Coast (Upper 80s to low 90s will be common)
This episode mentions the IPCC report in regards to the importance of keeping the average global temperature at 1.5c° or lower. We discuss how there will likely be a temporary rise above this level due to an El Nino that is in the process of developing. It should be pointed out that since this rise will only be temporary it likely will not pose the threat that the IPCC mentions will happen. We discuss how and why greenhouse gasses are increasing at least a double rate in Alaska and how this is connected to the permafrost. We discuss how the impact that global warming will have on the many places in the world is not clear. For example it is possible that while storms will be more potent it is possible that dust will decrease the number of storms. The quick pace of the warming arctic might also decrease the number of storms based upon the way this interacts with the jet stream. We also mention that there are different opinions on this. Rising sea levels are therefore the greatest threat to humanity in most likelihood.
We discuss the significant role trees and soil have in regards to reducing greenhouse gasses. We discuss a very unique tropical storm that formed in the upper latitudes in mid January and the possibility of tropical storm development within the next 2 or 3 weeks according to AccuWeather.
Week of May 14th (2023) extreme heat will be developing or is ongoing in many locations.
This episode also references 3 other heatwaves that took place over the past month. 2 of these were historic. The details of at least 1 of these is discussed along. The synoptic weather setup that produced all 3 heatwaves is included.
Topics Discussed: Hurricane Mocha, Extreme Heat in India, Pakistan, United Arab Emirates and nearby areas, Heat Advisories in Israel (forecasted) and a rare Illinois Dust Storm with Blinding visibility on May 1st 2023.
(2 min) Hurricane/Cyclone Mocha was a category 5 hurricane with 175mph sustained winds. It made landfall May 14th as a category 4 hurricane with 130mph sustained winds. Very heavy rain continues.
Sudden Nightime Warmth with "Heat Burst" Intensity Occurs In Oregon Saturday Night May 13th 2023. The National Weather Service explains why.
Summer expands into South Illinois next week as Spring warmth overtakes even West Rogers Park on May 9th
May 1st Weather Next 7 days. This podcast is half "Weather With Enthusiasm" and half "Weather From The National Weather Service"
The Unprecedented Care a Midwest Meteorologist is Able To Provide and the millions of lives that are saved annually because of Meteorologists. The numbers only get better as forecasting becomes more accurate and tecnology allows for efficient instant communication.
This is not a typical episode that you would find on "Weather With Enthusiasm". It is experimental and will likely be taken off unless it turns out to be popular.
Severe weather outbreak for many states in the midwest Friday March 31st 2023 this includes Chicago
3-28-23: Severe Weather updated map for March 31st. This episode is meant to go along with imagery on YouTube. All information comes from the National Weather Service.
3-14-23: Covers Los Angeles, Boston, New York and etc. West Storm, Nor'easter and Midwest Storm.
I recommend this movie because it is clean entertainment (at the very end there is a kissing scene) is educational about weather and grief. It is a heart racing movie. "What happens when you take Steven Spielberg, John Williams, the movie Twister and throw it in a blender? You get the audacious film Supercell from first time filmmaker Herbert James "Jamie" Winterstern starring Anne Heche in one of her final film roles. Raised on a steady diet of Amblin, Jamie wears his influences on his sleeve (but in the best possible way). The film sort of needs to be seen to be believed and you will be left wondering how the filmmaker managed to make such an amazing-looking and sounding film on such a modest budget. And while Supercell may seem like just a movie about modern day storm chasing (which legitimately brings in thrill seeking tourists dollars to the region every year), it is at its core a human story about the grief of a young man searching for his identity. The film is set for PVOD release from Saban Films on March 17 and also stars Skeet Ulrich, Daniel Diemer, newcomer Jordan Kristine Seamón, and Alec Baldwin."
This is the same podcast as the previous one (which is available with subscription) but contains entertaining sound effects 3-5-23: Made 13th of Adar.
Made March 5th 2023: Forecast Bust in Chicago, Waste deep hail, 2 Midwest Winter storms For Wisconsin, Coastal later .
A deepening storm system will move from the southern plains through the Ohio valley later this week. This storm system will have the 3 ingredients necessary to produce a major snowstorm over the Midwest. These ingredients consists of copious amounts of Gulf moisture, deep low pressure and cold high pressure on the back side. This major storm system has Chicago in it's vicinity. Climatologically speaking, winter storms which result from the southern stream (like this one) that pass close to the Chicago area have a tendency to bring between 3 - 6 inches of snow to the Chicago area (6 - 12 inches in it's bullseye) with some of it falling as rain. There are many many exceptions to this. Currently the European computer model (as advertised on windy.com as of early Tuesday morning February 28th) brings 8 - 14 inches of snow snow into the Chicago area with Kenosha, Wisconsin in the true bullseye receiving 15 inches. The GFS model has Chicago receiving the most snow (and not Kenosha) with approximately 12 inches accumulation. National Weather Service warns us to be careful with guidance this far in advance. The Milwaukee National Weather Service has extra special interest in this storm as the models are now advertising a more northern track. Therefore in addition to Chicago, a major snowfall is currently projected to fall in Milwaukee according to the European model. This storm system will bring severe weather on the southeast side along with unseasonably warm air. A major snowfall is ongoing this morning in the New York and New England area with up to a foot of snow expected in some locations. Johnstown, New York can expect 5 to 10 inches today. The heavy snow will fall Friday afternoon with strong winds. This impactful storm will effect the east coast as well.
A deepening storm system will move from the southern plains through the Ohio valley later this week. This storm system will have the 3 ingredients necessary to produce a major snowstorm over the Midwest. These ingredients consists of copious amounts of Gulf moisture, deep low pressure and cold high pressure on the back side. This major storm system has Chicago in it's vicinity. Climatologically speaking, winter storms which result from the southern stream (like this one) that pass close to the Chicago area have a tendency to bring between 3 - 6 inches of snow to the Chicago area (6 - 12 inches in it's bullseye) with some of it falling as rain. There are many many exceptions to this. Currently the European computer model (as advertised on windy.com as of early Tuesday morning February 28th) brings 8 - 14 inches of snow snow into the Chicago area with Kenosha, Wisconsin in the true bullseye receiving 15 inches. The GFS model has Chicago receiving the most snow (and not Kenosha) with approximately 12 inches accumulation. National Weather Service warns us to be careful with guidance this far in advance. The Milwaukee National Weather Service has extra special interest in this storm as the models are now advertising a more northern track. Therefore in addition to Chicago, a major snowfall is currently projected to fall in Milwaukee according to the European model. This storm system will bring severe weather on the southeast side along with unseasonably warm air. A major snowfall is ongoing this morning in the New York and New England area with up to a foot of snow expected in some locations. Johnstown, New York can expect 5 to 10 inches today. The heavy snow will fall Friday afternoon with strong winds. This impactful storm will effect the east coast as well.
A rapidly deepening storm system will move from the Southern Plains into the Ohio Valley towards the end of the week. As this storm heads into New England a secondary Low pressure system is likely to form south of Long island. This coastal storm will be occuring at the same time a blocking High develops over Greenland. This will send cold High pressure into southeast Canada which will provide the ingredient that's been missing all winter for the coastal systems this winter.....cold air. Ordinarily, by this late in the season the cold/warm boundary would remain far enough out at sea to allow the storm to track far enough East to bring heavy snow to the coastal cities. However, warmer than normal ocean water temperatures may push the storm track further west...which would bring the heavier snow further inland staying west of Boston. The pace of the storm will help determine whether this will be a 6 to 12 inch snow or a more typical nor'easter of 12 to 24+ inches. Although Baltimore is not completely out of the woods....at this time guidance has the snow further west than Baltimore...or North. The placement of the secondary Low pressure system could end up being further South. Many times it forms off the coast of North Carolina..should this happen, the heavy snow will be brought further south...significantly. stay tuned.
A rapidly deepening storm system will move from the Southern Plains into the Ohio Valley towards the end of the week. As this storm heads into New England a secondary Low pressure system is likely to form south of Long island. This coastal storm will be occuring at the same time a blocking High develops over Greenland. This will send cold High pressure into southeast Canada which will provide the ingredient that's been missing all winter for the coastal systems this winter.....cold air. Ordinarily, by this late in the season the cold/warm boundary would remain far enough out at sea to allow the storm to track far enough East to bring heavy snow to the coastal cities. However, warmer than normal ocean water temperatures may push the storm track further west...which would bring the heavier snow further inland staying west of Boston. The pace of the storm will help determine whether this will be a 6 to 12 inch snow or a more typical nor'easter of 12 to 24+ inches. Although Baltimore is not completely out of the woods....at this time guidance has the snow further west than Baltimore...or North. The placement of the secondary Low pressure system could end up being further South. Many times it forms off the coast of North Carolina..should this happen, the heavy snow will be brought further south...significantly. stay tuned.
Late winter Heat Wave severe weather along with a 2-ft snow storm and ice storm week of February 19th 2023. 99° Heat for Zapata Texas --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
The year was 2021 and the date was February 14th. The historical Arctic Outbreak within subtropical areas of the Gulf Coast from two years ago --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Severe weather outbreak Wednesday and Thursday (includes Ohio), record warmth, another winter storm. Podcast made Tuesday February 14th 2023. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
National Weather Service in Chicago has issued a winter storm watch for Thursday February 16th --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Two Winter storms of 6+ inch snows to track across Midwest This Week. In addition a multi-day Severe Weather outbreak in the South is expected along with unseasonable warmth for the majority of the Midwest.. 70s in Missouri and record Warmth even in Wisconsin. This is only a 1 minute extract from the full 20 minute February 12th podcast. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Coastal Eastern cities may see snow... finally as we wait for the full domino effect of an SSW (forecast to happen about 2/15/23) to play out for the final Month of Winter. An SSW can unleash Arctic air in as early as 1 week, but others say 2. Based on observations of recent years it can take 3 or even 4 weeks especially for Norh America. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Made 2/12/23: Major winter storm with a severe weather outbreak tracks across the Midwest for the 5th consecutive week. A severe weather outbreak is expected on the Southeast side. On seasonably warm weather is expected prior to the snow in some locations. A sudden stratosphere warming of 60° is expected according to the Washington Post this week. This may unleash major Arctic air within one or two weeks which could lead to an end to the snow drought for the East Coast cities next month. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
2-9-23: Active pattern: European model forecasts big Midwest storm late next week around 2-16-23. Chicago might end up on the snow side. Significant snow this weekend in the southeast. An additional storm as well next week for Midwest. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Summary of Midwest Hazards for today and tomorrow 2-8-23 --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
February 7th podcast: Severe outbreak -flooding and Heavy Snow and damaging wind storm in Midwest Developing in 24 hours --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Heat Bursts! What are they? --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Frostquakes develop due to the Arctic cold in the New England area. In addition tree explosions --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
2-3:Extreme arctic cold followed by unseasonable warmth followed by a major nor'easter next weekend. This was made February 3rd 2023. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
An Amazing Major Winter Storm Is To Develop In The Deep South With No Cold Air Mass Feeding Into It. January 23rd 2023. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
1-22-23: At Least Two Winter Storms cross the Midwest over next 10 days --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
1-18-23 snow forecast followed by the actual snow totals of 1-20-23 --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
snow totals of Nebraska nearby areas from the January 18th to January 19th 2023 snowstorm --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
NWS Update: Up To 20 Inches For Nebraska 1-18-23 --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Updated winter storm warning for cities in Nebraska from the National Weather Service --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
This podcast consists of extracts from the March 23rd and March 24th podcast in the year 2022. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Major winter storm to impact Nebraska National Weather Service forecast discussion along with associ --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with...
Winter storm watch for Omaha Nebraska this includes the National Weather Service forecast discussion --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with...
1:15:23: Midweek Midwest Snow, Stratosphere prepares for a return of Arctic into Midwest in 3+weeks but mild until then --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
Impressive Warmth heads into Midwest and consecutive days for East Coast (made December 25th) --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
12-18-22- Forecast covers Erev Shabbos Chanukah. Holiday weekend. Blizzard Friday December 23rd. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/weather-with-enthusiasm/support
12-18-22Pre Shabbos Chanuka & holiday Blizzard For Chicago ( & Milwaukee) ....and snow in most Midwest
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December 14th part 3 (9min)
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December 14th podcast: Part 2 (12 min)
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Part 1 of December 14th Podcast: (4min)
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From the National Weather Service: White Chanuka? This is the final minute of a previous podcast. This was added on Thursday 12-15-22
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12-14-22: Historical Arctic Outbreak possible next week (final 15 min of previous podcast.
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12-14-22: Current Weather Setup Is A Precious Jewel
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From tornadoes the blizzards to backwards weather for the week of Tuesday December 13th
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Blizzard Warnings . Severe weather outbreak Tuesday 12-13-22
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Big Changes Next Week December 14th
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This podcast consists of the extracts from December 2nd -4th podcasts that are still relevant combined with the December 5th podcast.
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12-5: Spring Weather Pattern Develops as warm, humid air penetrates Northward and brings flooding.
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Week of December 4th Weather
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Colorado Low to effect Midwest Next Weekend (12-11-22 for Chicago and upper Midwest)
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December 2nd Summer With Mysterious Consistency Returns for the South.
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December 1st Podcast
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WITH SOUND EFFECTS! This was part of a live broadcast that was made Tuesday night in response to several Tornado warnings that were issued. The tornadoes are no longer relevant and we're therefore taken out. What remains is all the Winter Advisories.
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Severe weather outbreak in the South and snow in the North
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Tornadoes,Tuesday in Mid-South, 6+inch snow-upper Midwest-damaging wind gusts in Ohio Wednesday
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Updated Trailer
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A Lake effect snow event lasting over 100 hours continues (as of 11-20-22) in Western New York. Snow fell at the rate of 3 - 5 inches an hour at times Saturday night. Snow will continue for the rest of today 11-20-22 falling at the rate of 3 inches an hour in some locations. 77 inches of snow reported so far in Orchard Park. On Friday, Orchard Park received 60 inches within 24 hours. This breaks the previous 24 hours record for New York by 10 inches!
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6 foot snows for the New York snow belt. several more feet on the way for Oswego county by Monday
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November 13th podcast
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November 13th podcast
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7am EST update on Nicole. (2 minutes) (5 things to strengthen your home in a hurricane can be seen in the image)
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11-7-22 Podcast- From Record Warmth to Blizzard to Below Zero to Tropical Storm to Alaskan Storm
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11-2-22: Unseasonable Warmth replaced with heavy Snow (or continues). Entire U.S. synopsys. In this podcast we mentioned Cincinnati ohio, Tampa Florida, St Louis Missouri, chicago, Scottsbluff Nebraska, Palm springs California, Fairbanks Alaska, Valdez Alaska, Salt Lake City Utah, Shreveport Louisiana, the Plains, Minnesota, the Midwest, the Northeast, the southeast, the desert Southwest, the Pacific Northwest, Alaska.. We discuss the 80° temperatures in the plains the record heat taking place in Florida and the Midwest. Record consistency of warmth may be happening in many cities. The very cold air behind the front will disappear as it moves East. Consistent warmth in the East. Roller coaster for the west and the plains. Over 3 ft of snow in South Alaska. Severe Weather Outbreak over louisiana, texas, and Arkansas for this Friday afternoon and Friday night. An intense wind storm expected in the plains this weekend including blowing snow for Scottsbluff nebraska. More of these details (and more) are discussed in this podcast. Enjoy!
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October 23rd: Blizzard with Summer Heat in Midwest
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October 23rd: Blizzard with Summer Heat in Midwest
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1 minute Trailer Weather With Enthusiasm
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1 minute Trailer Weather With Enthusiasm
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Unseasonably warm St.Louis Shabbos Breishis (10-22,23)includes Des Moines, North Platte, Chicago
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Unseasonably warm St.Louis Shabbos Breishis (10-22,23)includes Des Moines, North Platte, Chicago
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Milwaukee Warming Trend, Up to Saturday October 22nd
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Milwaukee Warming Trend, Up to Saturday October 22nd
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Tropical Storm Outlook made Tuesday night October 18th
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Tropical Storm Outlook made Tuesday night October 18th
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10-18-22: Big U.S.Warm-Up followed by Powerhouse System with Severe Weather in Midwest and more.
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10-18-22: Big U.S.Warm-Up followed by Powerhouse System with Severe Weather in Midwest and more. 0:02 Tuesday October 18 Matsuyama. You're listening to weather with enthusiasm? Well, we are now in the midst of a warming trend that has overspread this Chicago area that we'll be overspreading much of in the Midwest. I have right in front of me. Five computer models which show the forecast highs for the next couple of days. The GFS model for tomorrow forecasting a high of in the upper 40s With sunshine. High temperatures on Thursday going into the mid 50s With sunshine. Highs Friday low 70s With sunshine. Highs on Shabbos amazing mid 70s With sunshine. Saturday afternoon October 22 GFS model showing highs in the mid 70s. With not a cloud in the sky by 4pm. Winds out of the south to Southwest 12 miles per hour. That's the GFS model. That's the National Weather Service forecasts not the more accurate model. We're going to go over to the European computer model. High temperatures Wednesday, October 19 With sunshine highs in the mid 40s. Slightly cooler than the GFS high temperatures Thursday mid 50s. Sunshine about the same as the GFS high temperatures Friday, mid to upper 60s as the European computer model, about four degrees cooler than the GFS model and high temperatures on Saturday on Shabbos. With sunshine high is going up to around 69 degrees, which is not quite the 75 degree reading that we have. According to the GFS model the European computer model does show an easterly component to the wind. Saturday afternoon this for Mount Rushmore for Skokie, Illinois. We now take you over to the German computer model for Wednesday October 19 for Wednesday afternoon partly sunny skies. Highs in the mid 40s. Thursday afternoon partly sunny skies Highs in the mid 50s. Friday afternoon sunshine highs very close to 70 degrees and Saturday afternoon with sunshine and easterly component again develops to the wind but winds remain out of the south with highs again just about 70 degrees. Highs about 69 degrees this is for Skokie, Illinois. Now the most accurate model when it comes to temperatures is the following model in video blue model, which is the Switzerland computer mouse sunshine for Wednesday October 19. Highs in the mid 40s. Thursday, Sunshine highs around 57 degrees. Friday winds become Southwest and it's warm sunshine highs in the low 70s. And for Chavez sunshine winds out of the south a slight a slight Lake component to the wind that high temperatures going into the low 70s. According to the Switzerland mount now we have the following model is the most accurate model when it comes to thunderstorms, especially within 24 hours in advance. So we have sunshine. For today, October 19. This is the North American meso scale model. High temperatures reaching 47 degrees now. High temperatures 47 degrees, Thursday sunshine highs near 53 degrees. And that's all we have for the North American missile skill model. Now the when we get into the high resolution Rapid Refresh model, we don't even have highs ready for Thursday afternoon. Just the time resolution but all we have for tomorrow is cloudy skies. Highs around 40 degrees. That's the high resolution Rapid Refresh model that puts us the coldest it's the only one which is showing clouds over our area
5:01 that's moving right along let's head over into the St. Louis area into university city.
5:35 This is the St. Louis County this is University City, Missouri. We have the GFS model reporting. Partly sunny skies tomorrow. Temperatures are actually slightly warmer in Chicago. Maybe not Highs low 50s for the St. Louis area for tomorrow according to the GFS model. High is upper 60s near 70. Thursday afternoon with sunshine. Friday afternoon sunshine highs near 80 degrees with Southwest winds. And then Saturday afternoon we have more clouds with highs around 77. That's the GFS model. European computer model that's the most accurate sunshine for Wednesday October 19. Highs near 50 degrees. Thursda
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Chicago Succos Weather October 9th onward
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Chicago Succos Weather October 9th onward
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Local West Rogers Park, Chicago, Illinois Weather 10-6-22. Transitioning From Warm To Cold
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U.S.A takes a break from significant Atlantic hurricanes as wind shear develops from Bermuda High. This is a relaxed version of the October 2nd podcast.
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This trailer consists of various extracts taken from this podcast.
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International Weather Forecast Highlights for next 7/8 days.
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Powerhouse Hurricane Ian Heads into Florida Wednesday September 28th, 2022
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11pm EDT 9/27 Update on current Major Catagory 3 Hurricane Ian as it approaches Florida.
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This is the most popular podcast: 9-24 (10:00pm) Latest on Developing Hurricane Ian...may impact parts of West Florida by Midweek
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Hurricane Fiona and another one hits Florida on Wednesday
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Extracts from 9-19 & 9-20( Hurricane Fiona in screenshot)
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This podcast discusses the developing heatwave over the Central and Southern Plains this weekend and how it will impact the Midwest this upcoming week. (Week of September 18th 2022)
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Made September 13th, 2022: 5+ day Warm/Hot Spell for Chicago, St.Louis, South Bend and beyond..95°+ Plains, Corn belt.
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9-12-22:Autumn weather with it's pattern takes over the United States
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Weather podcast September 5th 2022
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Hurricane drought continues....lengthy Phoenix discussion.
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Phoenix Arizona, hurricane drought, tropical storm, Midwest forecast in humidity , Northwest Pacific heatwave
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United States Weather (all the fun) :made August 9, 2022
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Tropical Humidity Continues in Phoenix and Redevelops in Midwest
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Starts with phoenix and ends with phoenix with all different cities in between. Same info as July 27th podcast but in its its natural form and without musical interruptions.
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July 27th podcast ... Phoenix, St. Louis, Astrakham Russia,East coast, Northwest, Milwaukee.....
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July 24th Heatwave in detail
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New York city Heat
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Brutal Heat waves across U.S, Europe and Iran (134°)
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Extreme Heat in Oklahoma, Ukraine, Iran and Russia.
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Weather podcast made July 12th Tuesday for the United States
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111° F sizzles Nebraska (podcast made 7-11-22)
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90s in Arctic as seen in the image. This podcast was made just before the 90s were discovered. It speaks about an Alaskan heat wave forecasted by the National Weather Service for this week and the Northwest Pacific Heat Wave early this week. It also covers the unseasonably cool weather in Northern Texas. The heavy rain for the Northeast on Monday and the dust storms for the desert Southwest. Other weather for the U.S. is included as well.
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Record Heat For Lower to Middle Mississippi river valley For Saturday 6-25-22. Especially Memphis
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Recap of yesterday's humidity and Heat St Louis
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Hottest weather in 27 years takes over the southern Midwest today providing fuel for severe weather up north.
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Its not the weather alone that drives the weather enthusiast. Its the awareness made possible by forecast models and forecasters that create the main driving force. Awareness is key. When this awareness is publicized through forecasts being presented to the public by human beings with emotions, the number of weather enthusiasts greatly increase. This refers to the broadcasts made on the weather radio and not T.V. presenters.
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Intense heat over spreads the Midwest Tuesday June 14th. Mid 90s in Chicago. 10 + days of 90s + for St.Louis, including 100 -105 ° heat. Hi. 110+
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Heatwave for U.S. from desert southwest to Midwest
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Heatwave gradually expands from Texas then Arizona then Louisiana. Amplified High Pressure Ridge responsible for 95-122° heat expands and includes St.Louis by Tuesday. Low 90s expand into the Midwest mid week next week.
Temps in 110's over Texas moves into Arizona. Temps will peak in Phoenix around Sunday. 120°+ Heat possible in Death Valley. Intense heat will collide with very humid air over Eastern and Central Texas. This will lower Temps to 97 - 104 with heat index 105 - 110° possible. 105°+ Heat Index will effect Louisiana and areas northward reaching St.Louis by Tuesday. Very warm weather will overspend Illinois and surrounding states.
A moderate in depth look at what happened this week. Made June 2nd.
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See podcasts screenshot which was made 5 days ago: A wild forecast for Boston Massachusetts especially in comparison with Poughkeepsie, New York. This wild forecast proved to be accurate. The GFS model informed us last week to only have confidence in the European computer model through Tuesday. The warmth in the Midwest ends later today the 90s on the East Coast also ends today (as the GFS model forecasted but not the European) except for the mid- Atlantic area southward. Baltimore will have one more day with highs well into the 90s. Severe weather risk today in Midwest.
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Made May 30th: Record heat for Poughkeepsie New York expected tomorrow. Cool winds off the Atlantic develop tomorrow afternoon in Boston. GFS and Euro model both have their share in accuracy. GFS brought the hurricane into awareness last week. Dew points under 70° despite high soil moisture in Missouri. Very dry soil in Massachusetts may play a role in 90° heat for tomorrow, but backdoor cold front off 55° ocean drops temps towards 60 or lower in Boston. Strong storm system in Dakotas brings precipitation with storms some strong or severe across Midwest this evening and again tomorrow evening. Storms tomorrow evening in Chicago. Cold front moves through Midwest tomorrow night ending the 86°+ warmth. 86° - 96° heat continues tomorrow out east and for Baltimore even on Wednesday. Temps closer to 86 in Midwest and closer to 96 close to Baltimore next to the downslope winds. In theory 96° would also develop in the dry soil of Massachusetts. Hurricane discussion is not included on this podcast. Hurricane Agatha will move into Mexico tonight and fall apart as it passes through the mountain range. As the weak system moves into the Gulf of Mexico there is potential for tropical storm formation to occur but doesn't look to be strong at this time. The system will likely move northeast into Florida by this weekend.
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This podcast discusses the hot to very hot weather occurring in the desert southwest and northern intermountain region, how the severe weather potential over the Midwest moves to the east coast on Friday, the 4 consecutive days of highs from 86° (over soil moist grounds but climatology supports 90° for St.Louis despite soil moist grounds) to 96° (mid 90s where downslope winds occur or larger cities or lower dew point air (Baltimore and Philadelphia are the cities in mind) over the Midwest and east coast, connection between soil moisture and little if any climate change, how soil moisture is having a clear impact on dew point this year and how this will reduce temperatures in midwest for the upcoming heat, upslope winds increase temperature for Baltimore, the backdoor cold front that may overtake Boston on Tuesday (see podcast picture) or Wednesday but heat returns for Thursday (even Boston), the large contrast in temperature over North Dekota expected Tuesday, the severe weather outbreak for North Dakota expected Saturday. This podcast comes with background music which in order to enhance the experience of "suspense" and an entertaining song at the end. It will be interesting monitoring the temperatures in Massachusetts next week especially since both the coldest and possibly even the hottest temp may occur in that state. Hope you all enjoy!
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May 24th Weather Synopsys. Topics included are solar insolation, soil moisture and its impact on dew point, a formula to get the European model to fit with climatology when it is forecasting extremes, a discussion about the 100° heat that is being forecasted for early June in Massachusetts and nearby areas according to European model, developing extended heat spell for Midwest and East Coast, severe weather risk over Midwest, parts of Plains and South Central states, heat and humidity for India, the impact of the Bermuda High on the jetstream, the 1 day warm wave that will effect Idaho through the Western parts of Dekotas, landspouts over Northern Illinois and Indiana, snow for Wyoming, near record heat for Amarillo Texas, spike in heat on Thursday and Friday for Phoenix which then moves to Rio Grand Village over the weekend and the warm temperatures in International Falls Minnesota.
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This is part of an educational awareness series on different topics of weather. This podcast discusses a Severe Thunderstorm Warning that was issued over a potential snow squall.
From these podcasts there is an awareness that a passion of a hobby, even if not mainstream, can be at least on par with sport fans. Having such an awareness is also educational and benefits society. In the same way that a robotic sports announcer robs the human from a way of self expression, the robotic weather reporter robs the weather enthusiast from his/her self expression.
Current "insane" active pattern becomes blocked next week allowing for a full fledged heatwave to develop in Midwest
Unknown 0:01
Good morning, everyone. It is Sunday, April 24, very early Sunday morning, you've had quite interesting weather that's taking place over this country over the past couple of days. We're going to focus on North Platte, Nebraska over the past couple of days. Let's go back to Friday. High temperature in North Platte, Nebraska says the National Weather Service was a sizzling 97 degrees. That's something absolutely amazing. We also had a relative humidity really low at that time. But the winds were very high. If you look at the National Weather Service, the climatological data that will show that the heat index was only 91 degrees. That's because of the very low relative humidity the very low dew points to temperatures in the upper 40s. However, there is one very important thing to point out over here is that the winds were 31 miles per hour out of the south, that's the sustained winds for 31 miles per hour from the south, it's the 31, the 31 mile power that's very significant here, and that that changes everything, the heat index would have been lower than the temperature as the National Weather Service says based upon the humidity alone. The heat and humidity, the heat index chart is based upon winds assuming the winds are 5.6 miles per hour approximately. So if you were to have that you were to have light winds in North Point in Nebraska on Friday, the temperature would have actually felt like 91 degrees. And that's talking about at a time, that's a time when it was 96 degrees. So when it was 97, let's say the heat index probably was 92 degrees. But there's something else that's not well known. And that's when the winds are really strong, and the temperatures are 95 degrees or higher. The winds will actually make it feel hotter than what it actually is, unless the relative humidity is really high. Or we should say the humidity is really high. If the humidity isn't 100%, the winds will still make it feel cooler, winds ordinarily make it feel cooler, the winter still make you feel cooler, if the relative humidity is really high. It's really complex, because the heat index is going to be way up there, because the relative humidity is really high or you should say the humidity, but the winds are actually going to make that heat index lower than what it would have been. But in a situation when it's dry when the relative humidity is under 40%. Which in North Platte, Nebraska, it was probably around 20% a 30 mile per hour wind is actually going to make it feel hotter outside. Let's go ahead and say for now the temperature probably felt about what it was 97 degrees, maybe it's like 98 degrees. It certainly felt one or two degrees warmer than what the heat index is being reported from the National Weather Service. That heat index again is based upon the heat and humidity. The question is, was it one or two degrees warmer than the temperature or was a one or two degrees warmer than the heat index, that heat index would have been 92 degrees that would have made the new heat index or the real field temperature 94 degrees or was viewfield temperature 98 degrees or 99 degrees that's something that is needs to be looked into currently in North Dakota right now we have a blizzard warning in effect, there's heavy snow that's falling all over the place. We also have an ice storm taking place in that part of the region. This is phenomenal stuff that's going on. The closed LO is filling in therefore the conveyor belt of moisture feeding into the storm system is being caught off right now. However there still is plenty of moisture on the backside of the storm system reports the National Weather Service so the precipitation rates will remain heavy for the remainder of the night through at least mid morning. Snowfall accumulations are going to be way up there for many locations. There's already been a foot of snow in some areas as a 930 This evening earlier this evening. Another 10 to 15 inches is forecasted by mid morning in the storms bull's eye. Before the precipitation starts to die down low pressure system is weakening. But it was a powerhouse. And we're still feeling the effects of that in the heavy precipitation rates. There also has been power outages reported across North Dakota and perhaps even parts of South Dakota and Montana as well. Elsewhere in the country.
Unknown 4:39
We'll just quickly talk about the east coast we have some really warm air making it up into the mid Atlantic area. This will be affecting Washington DC as temperatures rise into the 80s later today. Baltimore Maryland has a chance also of seeing 80 degree warmth. The thing is however, there is a high pressure system There's two of them. One high pressure system is situated over off the coast of the Mid Atlantic area, perhaps like North Carolina or so. The other one is off the coast of perhaps New Jersey, especially by this afternoon, Sunday afternoon. And depending on what flow Baltimore ends up in, that's going to determine their temperatures are going to be warm weather conditions will be warm by late afternoon or not. And the question is, Will Baltimore managed to hit 80 degrees before the cooler flow? It's the city. I think it will. But not all forecasts agree. Washington DC has a much higher chance of seeing temperatures soar into the mid 80s. But Baltimore, I think will also get into the low 80s. But that is the that's the wildcard Baltimore's forecast is probably the most complex on the East Coast. When you go further north of Baltimore temperatures remain in the low 60s. They will be impacted by that cooler high pressure system up off the Atlantic coast, the northern part of the coast instead of the southern part of the course. Given the potential for thunderstorms they'll move through the Chicago area later on this morning with a possible severe weather risk. Any area along the front is that front moves through the Midwest this morning. Temperatures will likely go into the 70s before the cooler air moves through over a large portion of the Midwest. Temperatures returning into the 80s for Cincinnati, Ohio. Thank you for listening. I wish everyone a wonderful day.
This transcript was generated by https://otter.ai
Unknown 0:01
Good morning, everyone. It is Sunday, April 24, very early Sunday morning, you've had quite interesting weather that's taking place over this country over the past couple of days. We're going to focus on North Platte, Nebraska over the past couple of days. Let's go back to Friday. High temperature in North Platte, Nebraska says the National Weather Service was a sizzling 97 degrees. That's something absolutely amazing. We also had a relative humidity really low at that time. But the winds were very high. If you look at the National Weather Service, the climatological data that will show that the heat index was only 91 degrees. That's because of the very low relative humidity the very low dew points to temperatures in the upper 40s. However, there is one very important thing to point out over here is that the winds were 31 miles per hour out of the south, that's the sustained winds for 31 miles per hour from the south, it's the 31, the 31 mile power that's very significant here, and that that changes everything, the heat index would have been lower than the temperature as the National Weather Service says based upon the humidity alone. The heat and humidity, the heat index chart is based upon winds assuming the winds are 5.6 miles per hour approximately. So if you were to have that you were to have light winds in North Point in Nebraska on Friday, the temperature would have actually felt like 91 degrees. And that's talking about at a time, that's a time when it was 96 degrees. So when it was 97, let's say the heat index probably was 92 degrees. But there's something else that's not well known. And that's when the winds are really strong, and the temperatures are 95 degrees or higher. The winds will actually make it feel hotter than what it actually is, unless the relative humidity is really high. Or we should say the humidity is really high. If the humidity isn't 100%, the winds will still make it feel cooler, winds ordinarily make it feel cooler, the winter still make you feel cooler, if the relative humidity is really high. It's really complex, because the heat index is going to be way up there, because the relative humidity is really high or you should say the humidity, but the winds are actually going to make that heat index lower than what it would have been. But in a situation when it's dry when the relative humidity is under 40%. Which in North Platte, Nebraska, it was probably around 20% a 30 mile per hour wind is actually going to make it feel hotter outside. Let's go ahead and say for now the temperature probably felt about what it was 97 degrees, maybe it's like 98 degrees. It certainly felt one or two degrees warmer than what the heat index is being reported from the National Weather Service. That heat index again is based upon the heat and humidity. The question is, was it one or two degrees warmer than the temperature or was a one or two degrees warmer than the heat index, that heat index would have been 92 degrees that would have made the new heat index or the real field temperature 94 degrees or was viewfield temperature 98 degrees or 99 degrees that's something that is needs to be looked into currently in North Dakota right now we have a blizzard warning in effect, there's heavy snow that's falling all over the place. We also have an ice storm taking place in that part of the region. This is phenomenal stuff that's going on. The closed LO is filling in therefore the conveyor belt of moisture feeding into the storm system is being caught off right now. However there still is plenty of moisture on the backside of the storm system reports the National Weather Service so the precipitation rates will remain heavy for the remainder of the night through at least mid morning. Snowfall accumulations are going to be way up there for many locations. There's already been a foot of snow in some areas as a 930 This evening earlier this evening. Another 10 to 15 inches is forecasted by mid morning in the storms bull's eye. Before the precipitation starts to die down low pressure system is weakening. But it was a powerhouse. And we're still feeling the effects of that in the heavy precipitation rates. There also has been power outages reported across North Dakota and perhaps even parts of South Dakota and Montana as well. Elsewhere in the country.
Unknown 4:39
We'll just quickly talk about the east coast we have some really warm air making it up into the mid Atlantic area. This will be affecting Washington DC as temperatures rise into the 80s later today. Baltimore Maryland has a chance also of seeing 80 degree warmth. The thing is however, there is a high pressure system There's two of them. One high pressure system is situated over off the coast of the Mid Atlantic area, perhaps like North Carolina or so. The other one is off the coast of perhaps New Jersey, especially by this afternoon, Sunday afternoon. And depending on what flow Baltimore ends up in, that's going to determine their temperatures are going to be warm weather conditions will be warm by late afternoon or not. And the question is, Will Baltimore managed to hit 80 degrees before the cooler flow? It's the city. I think it will. But not all forecasts agree. Washington DC has a much higher chance of seeing temperatures soar into the mid 80s. But Baltimore, I think will also get into the low 80s. But that is the that's the wildcard Baltimore's forecast is probably the most complex on the East Coast. When you go further north of Baltimore temperatures remain in the low 60s. They will be impacted by that cooler high pressure system up off the Atlantic coast, the northern part of the coast instead of the southern part of the course. Given the potential for thunderstorms they'll move through the Chicago area later on this morning with a possible severe weather risk. Any area along the front is that front moves through the Midwest this morning. Temperatures will likely go into the 70s before the cooler air moves through over a large portion of the Midwest. Temperatures returning into the 80s for Cincinnati, Ohio. Thank you for listening. I wish everyone a wonderful day.
This transcript was generated by https://otter.ai
Unknown 0:01
Good morning, everyone. It is April 21. Thursday. Yeah, Thursday morning. And we have something phenomenal which will be taking place over the next couple of days and I'm not referring to the storm system developing often the Dakotas are actually developing just to the west of that pushing into South Dakota, which will be likely bringing perhaps a snow storm up six to 12 inches for the second half of the weekend. A rain or ice storm, perhaps flooding as well for the first half of the weekend. We're not referring to that, referring to the dew points to the humidity. Take a look at Nebraska for tomorrow we have the dry line which is situated somewhere in Nebraska from the eastern part of the state to the western part of the state. You have the dry line in between. We have dew points in North Platte, Nebraska, going down into the low to mid 20s for tomorrow afternoon. But dew points in the east part in Nebraska in the low to mid 60s, low 60s, perhaps mid 60s. So you wonder how could temperatures in North Platte Nebraska get into the 90s? Well, that's why the air is so dry, the sun is super efficient and heating things up. In eastern Nebraska, we also might see temperatures very close to 90. What's going on in eastern Nebraska is a lot more impressive. Really, once you look at the dew point, it's a lot more impressive than what's going on in western Nebraska. You have dew points in the low 60s. And still temperatures are forecast to make it very close to 90 degrees. Even though dew points are 40 degrees higher in eastern Nebraska. That's something really phenomenal. You know, if you look at let's take a city in the summertime like St. Louis, Missouri, and you look at the days when it hit that say 104 degrees such as August 17, back in 2003, or 2004, I believe. You take a look at that and you'll see 2003 2003 Let's say you take a look at that. And you'll see how temperature the dew point temperatures were in the 60s in the morning, temperatures were whatever they were. And right before as the temperatures were going way up to 104. The dew points were dropping quickly, probably about one or two degrees per every degree Fahrenheit went up. So perhaps even two degrees. So you have it's very significant. Dew point is a form of energy just like temperature, so the dew point drops, all that energy gets transferred into the temperature, the temperature goes up so you have a 40 degree difference in dew point, you would think there would be an enormous difference in temperature as well. You would think it would be something like what happens in Texas, Houston, Texas, you'll have highs in the mid 90s Rio Grande village, Texas you have a high about 110 degrees. Sometimes even hotter, you have a 15 degree difference between the two cities. One city is getting blasted with humidity off the Gulf of Mexico and talk about being blessed with humidity. The real city that gets blasted with humidity is Galveston, Texas and Corpus Christi, Texas, when it gets humid, those are really the most though the humidity in those places is really top notch in this country even higher than South Florida on the weather map tomorrow. Even in Florida dew points are only going to be around 60 degrees, that until you enter the Miami area, then you start to approach 70 degrees. If you look at the Midwest, it's not just eastern Nebraska, the whole Midwest, even Louisiana, two points in the low 60s, low 60s. That's what it shows on the windy.com European computer model, whatever version of European computer model that is, that's what it shows for the dew points for tomorrow, that thing tends to be pretty accurate. That's what I've noticed. So you have the dew points down there, right around 60 degrees. I don't know why they're so low, perhaps the water temperatures just haven't heated up yet. Or maybe the wind flow is not really off the Gulf yet, although they it will be so but in any case, you have dew points in the low 60s by the Gulf states those dew points, the air moves north and the dew points remain in the low 60s, even by St. Louis and it remains in the low 60s, even for eastern Nebraska. But actually it's even higher my draycote We're holding on a higher level than that. Because the dew points actually don't just remain in the low 60s. When you get north of St. Louis the dew points actually start to rise into the mid 60s. You'll see dew points 6667 degrees in an actually corresponds to the Corn Belt, the Midwest Corn Belt. Now what's shocking to me the big finish over here. What's the shocker roo there's a tremendous shocker over here, or is there even corn this time of the year is there corn being grown in the fields yet? I don't know. I don't really know. In the summertime This is a normal occurrence. If you have air off of the Gulf of Mexico affecting Iowa, the dew points are going to be highest in Iowa in this country. Dew points go way up. You have dew points. The only area you can get dew points in the 80s in this country besides every now and then in Galveston, Texas, or you know once in a while here and there on the Gulf Coast. In Iowa you'll get dew points well past 80 degrees sometimes
Unknown 5:00
This past summer a dew point hit 86 degrees in some city in Iowa. That's Persian Gulf stuff. This is Persian Gulf territory where the water temperatures in the Persian Gulf are in the mid 90s. So you have air blowing off of that water, you have dew points in the mid 80s. But the cornfields, the cornfields really push those dew points up, because the cornfields are not restricted by water temperature, and therefore, it can go up and up and they transmit an enormous amount of moisture into the air. The question is, what about now? Are there cornfields? Right now? Why are the dew points higher in Iowa, in places right around the Corn Belt, according to tomorrow's weather map? Why is that? So? Perhaps if there were cornfields dew points would be even higher. But maybe there's, I don't know, I don't know why the dew points are higher, but you have dew points of 60 degrees, which will be going up even into Minnesota by the time you get the Shabbos. And the dew points start to drop in the St. Louis area. By the time you reach up, it's not big time, just slightly lower dew points in the upper 50s. And the East Coast never really makes it into the 60s and dew points in the 60s for the East Coast. By the way for the East Coast. You have really warm weather coming to you for Friday. That's the weather that's over here in the Midwest for especially. Yes, that's the weather here in the Midwest, in the Midwest shot in this weather, the explanation, this weather? You know, there's a strong question that someone could ask a cold front just went through in the Chicago area. So why in the world is it 10 to 15 degrees warmer than it was yesterday? So the answer one answer is that the Yeah, the cold air aloft temperatures, meteorologists love to measure temperatures that 5000 feet above the surface, because the computer models seem to have an accurate picture of that. That's what the many of the National Weather Service Forecast discussions. I've seen that before. But the problem is, how does that translate to surface temperatures. So when you have a strong sun like you do today, the ultraviolet index in Chicago is a seven powerful sun. So you're gonna get temperatures which are gonna go way up to 70 degrees, even warmer than that, perhaps. And on the East Coast. That's what's headed to the East Coast tomorrow. If you should get a downslope wind in the Baltimore area downloads, the Blue Ridge Mountains, you're gonna get temperatures even warmer than whatever those computer models say that happens sometimes. I've been there when that happened when you have temperatures that are forecast to be low 70s. I think it was a day in December, actually, if the winds come off the mountains and just the right way, for Baltimore, it has to be just the right way. Temperatures actually went up into the low 80s. So you see stuff like that. Anyways, then we have a little bit of a cooldown for the east coast on Shabbos. Not too bad, but the real warmth comes in on Sunday, temperatures go well into the 80s for many locations, for especially Virginia, Washington, DC, Baltimore, it's I think it's gonna go into the ad Sunday, but there are other forecasts for Baltimore, winds may come in off the ocean and bring those temperatures down for areas and coastal cities. You know, I think if that doesn't happen, I think it's gonna happen after Baltimore's already reached 80 degrees, at least for Sunday. And then you have that front that is going to move through associated with a strong storm system up in the Dakotas, which might even the barometric pressure of that storm might even drop below 29 At some point, so it's really strong. You have temperatures in the 80s for South Dakota on Friday, within just a few miles of the area, which is getting a foot of snow, and even the area getting a foot of snow in the Black Hills, maybe even more than a foot of snow verse, Saturday night and Sunday, even for that area. Temperatures still reaching the 60s, Friday afternoon. That place is jam packed with snow. They have a snowpack already heavy snowpack all over the place over there. And it's really quite interesting. The whole situation that's going on in the Dakotas is as fascinating as can be a storm after storm affects that area. You know, if you're living there, hopefully you love the snow.
Unknown 9:20
But you know, if you don't, if you don't realize it is April and things change just like that, and they are changing just like that. You have places which are just like that going into the 60s, even though there's enormous amounts of snow on the ground. If it wasn't for the snow, those temperatures would be in the 80s they would be in the 80s If it wasn't for the snow.
Unknown 9:41
You know, I It's the snow in a certain way. It's ruining the media headlines.
Unknown 0:00
Good morning everyone. It is Thursday morning April 21. And an update on the storm system that's going to be affecting North Dakota over the weekend we have two to three waves of precipitation that's going to be moving through. The first one comes in tonight, which would be generally light frozen precipitation for Northern locations, Southern locations, probably some light rain, maybe also some frozen precipitation then we have some light drizzle that moves through for the rest of the day. That one doesn't really count for an area of precipitation. Or at least that's not what I was referring to. Then we have two bands to different waves of precipitation that move through each one potentially if it would fall as snow each one would be six to 12 inches. However the first one is not expected to fall as snow. The first one is either going to be a rain or freezing rain situation. So there's a potential ice storm which would have great impacts for North Dakota on Shabbos on Saturday, we also have a severe weather outbreak possible Friday night as well for South Central North Dakota and also South Dakota. The primary threat is large hail, there also could be a tornado or two especially in South Dakota. Precipitation that changes over to snow. By Saturday evening by shavitz evening. Spedition rates could be heavy winds are going to be strong. Winds will come strong Saturday night. The winds become strong when this transition to snow takes place. And the chances are six to 12 inches sounds like a very reasonable forecast. Considering you're on the backside of a system that's producing around two inches of rain. So the first half the first inch of rain is not falling and snow. But you figure the second half you get another inch which produces six to 12 inches of snow blizzard or near blizzard conditions expected for Saturday night. This is a major impact event should an ice storm develop on Saturday. The strong winds significantly add to the severity of the impact Saturday night as ice accumulates on trees and power lines. Elsewhere in the Midwest, we have a really warm air that's making its way into the Midwest. Tomorrow we're going to see temperatures in the 80s for the southern Midwest and for the Western Midwest. In fact, even South Dakota temperatures going into the 80s perhaps even low 90s for some locations especially in Nebraska. And then on Shabbos that warm air moves east was north and east affecting Minneapolis, Minnesota, Chicago, Illinois, South Bend Indiana St. Louis will already be under the warm air for from Friday onward. That warmer heads East affecting the east coast by Sunday bringing temperatures well into the 80s perhaps even 90 degrees for Virginia 80s from Washington DC and Baltimore 70s or 80s depending on where they are in regard to the sea breeze where that sea breeze is. I wish everyone a good granteth Have a good weekend. Thank you for listening
This transcript was generated by https://otter.ai
Unknown 0:00
Okay good morning everyone. It is very early Wednesday morning here in the Midwest and we have really such active weather and especially if you're in North Dakota places like North Dakota it's really amazing what the state has just gone through it considering last week that three they Blizzard, which was a historic Blizzard have broke many records across the state. For snowfall accumulations. We had one area that got 36 inches of snow. That town didn't break a record Believe it or not because the official amount was only 20 inches of snow it was but the 36 inches of snow was considered valid. And we had many places which were anywhere between 24 and 36 inches. Some areas got several feet of snow drifts. The pictures are just unbelievable. There's pictures of doors which you open up the door the whole thing is snow you can't even get out. Now, that area so they got a massive blizzard last week with 60 mile per hour wind gusts. Another major snowstorm moved through Sunday night Sunday Sunday night in some areas got about eight inches of snow in North Dakota again places like Leeds North Dakota they got eight inches of snow this place kavaler North Dakota, eight inches of snow. Grand Morales Minnesota, 7.3 inches of snow Devils Lake North Dakota, six inches of snow Duluth, Minnesota, 5.8 inches of snow we're holding in April, they already broke a record. Bismarck North Dakota broke a record for the snowiest April on record. I think it's the previous record was 21.8 inches. Currently they're holding a 21.9 inches, with still 13 days left to go for April at the time this record was broke. Now, there is a major major snowstorm
Unknown 2:02
a major storm system and impactful storm system, which will be pushing up the Dakotas this weekend. This will have major impacts for all over the country really. But for North Dakota, another winter weather event is possible in North Dakota in the northern half of North Dakota. The European computer model has just brought the strong track further north than what it was saying earlier tells us the National Weather Service for Bismarck. And you know the rain, it's gonna be a tricky call for at least the first half probably rain snow, probably mostly rain really. But when you get into Sunday, so when you're already on the backside of the storm, that's really when there's very high potential for death. Certainly the western parts in the Northwest parts of North Dakota to be seeing snow, perhaps even all snow. Now before we get in, that's going to be a significant storm as well. It's a solid at least six inches. There might be a lot more than that. We already have a winter storm warning which goes into effect this morning at 7am. For places in Minnesota, not Duluth, Minnesota but very close to Duluth, Minnesota, six to 10 inches of snow expected in areas over there. That's a low pressure system which is pushing off to the northeast. You know the Northeast also. They got also areas got 18 inches of snow. That was on Tuesday between Monday. That was on Monday actually, by Tuesday morning already. There are places which were getting a foot even more of snow there were places which have there's videos of Thundersnow just very beautiful stuff going on. You have places this is a rarity to see places with the flowers blooming. But the snows coming down hard also there was lots of power outages some of the counties up there report that they've never seen so many trees down ever. So there's really a lot going on up there. The cold air Believe it or not, it's not we're not done with it. We're really not done with it. And it's I can't believe it. The National Weather Service here in Chicago says that there's a chance for snow a little bit beyond the seven day forecast cycle. This is really something phenomenal sub we have another record breaking cold air aloft coming in to the Dakotas for the weekend. That's on top of an unprecedented snowpack, which not only is it very deep snow, but also the moisture content is very high. And regardless of what type of precipitation falls this weekend, there's a risk of flooding. You know areas which are getting rain two inches of rain is expected to fall over in North Dakota. Two inches of water equivalent. Some of that falling as snow some of it falling is rain. You know temperatures Believe it or not you know you go into South Dakota, Nebraska on Friday highs going into the mid 90s. In Nebraska and North Platte Nebraska is expecting a record high the previous records 92 degrees, forecasts high Friday 93 degrees.
Unknown 5:13
This is a strong storm system. It's bringing in summer heat summer heat ahead of the system on Friday and you know those 90s Go up South Dakota, South Dakota areas in the 80s. If temperatures in the 80s for South Dakota, it wouldn't be so surprising to get a 90 degree reading over there. When you see how far north those 80s are going. But North Platte, Nebraska it's not and it's going well into the 90s over there. You have it North Dakota Of course it's just south it's just north of South Dakota. Camera is getting pretty mild there for this in the south east parts of North Dakota and not the 80s maybe the 60s or something like that. But when you get to the northwest part of North Dakota, you have temperatures in the 30s maybe even colder than that. We're going to you know last week it's something similar to what happened last week, perhaps not quite as extreme maybe when you had a temperature in Omaha, Nebraska, 91 degrees, five o'clock pm then you had a temperatures somewhere in the Dakotas of 19 degrees in Spearfish spirit Spearfish. I think it was, I think that's the city Spearfish. 19 degrees at five o'clock pm the teens in one area that 90s in another area. You know, the Fahrenheit system allows is a much media friendly system. The Fahrenheit system is very media friendly. And you can have a headline 90s and the Braska teens in the Dakotas. Also the North Dakota South Dakota thing is very media friendly because teens in the Dakotas 90s. In Nebraska, they border each other once North Dakota once South Dakota, it's 1991. You know, it's like, but either even without those headlines, even with even if you go to the Celsius system, you're still looking 32 degrees Celsius, maybe even 33 degrees Celsius 33 degrees Celsius in Omaha, Nebraska, and then you go into that town in North Dakota. So if you're looking at a temperature of 90 degrees Fahrenheit, that's about nine eight, that's about 918.
Unknown 7:17
Celsius that's colder than 14 degrees Celsius, that's probably 13 or 12 degrees Celsius, no colder than 14 billows. That's probably what would it be to 1112 degrees below zero Celsius. It's really cold. That's really cold at 19 degrees over there. So even without the media friendly Fahrenheit system, and even without the jumbling up North Dakota and South Dakota into one big word, the decoders, even just looking at the facts, It's so unbelievable. It's really amazing. When you have teens and 90s coming together, in this weekend storm system, we're gonna see something pretty similar. I don't know about the blizzard. I don't know about the blizzard, the Blizzard has the first half might be falling as rain, but there still could be some very significant stuff happening in the second half. We also have to deal with this time of the year as the solar insolation solar insulation. It's i n s o l a t IO n. That's the amount of solar the amount of the sun's rays it's hitting the ground. It's It's really high this time of the year. We have an ultra violent index on Thursday here in Chicago forecast to be the seventh, you go out into the Dakotas where you have snow covered ground, that ultraviolet index is going to be higher than a seven. You have the clouds that lowers it. Even on a cloudy day. Still here in Chicago, we're getting an ultraviolet index of three that's equivalent to what it is on a sunny day in South Padre Island, Texas in December, might even get more ultraviolet rays than that. We're talking about strong sun this time of the year the National Weather Service in Bismarck, North Dakota informs us or this might be in Duluth, Minnesota informs us. It's Duluth, Minnesota for tomorrow, that even though temperatures will be below 32 in the area of the winter storm warning, and it's cloudy and it's snowing, there still could be some melting. And there could even It could even affect the precipitation type. Some of the precipitation might start to fall over. As far as rain, it might fall as rain even though the temperatures are below 32. Only just because of the solar installation. It's really an you know, when you get the heavier precipitation rates, that's when you get the dynamic cooling. That pretty much guarantees when you have temperatures that cold. You're pretty much guaranteed with the heavier precipitation make the presentation with falling as snow. That's what's been going on in the East Coast whenever it was Monday, Tuesday, Sunday night even that's what's been going on heavier precipitation rates is when the precipitation changes the snow Oh, in some areas forecasted only rain. But if the precipitation falls down heavily enough, you can start to get snow even though temperatures are well above 32. It's more common this time of the year to see stuff like that, to see temperatures well above 32 and precipitation falling and snow, I have noticed in the month of April, it is a lot more common when you go back into November and December, the precipitation falls as rain usually when temperatures are in the upper 30s, sometimes even mid 30s. But this time of the year, mid and upper 30s, when the cold enough for the precipitation to fall snow, if you're in the backside of the storm system. The area's on the major cities on the East Coast got pretty much a cold rain, there could have been some thunder and lightning, often the probably Cape Cod or so in the Massachusetts area, we have a severe weather risk........
Unknown 0:01
Good afternoon everyone it is Sunday afternoon and today's date is May 23. The exciting summer weather pattern continues across our country, especially the eastern part of the country. Temperatures are going into the low even some mid 90s have been reported and across especially Delaware. That seems to be a hotspot. But there's something almost like an emergency hotspot. Which is in Russia for the temperatures today hit 100 degrees, unbelievable. 100 degrees in the city. It starts with an N A no vo e n sc. I think it's an old VO au and au vieux U. and s no, and o VOUZYEN. sk, there might be other ways to pronounce the city. But that's the way the city is spelled on AccuWeather temperature hit 102 degrees over there just unbelievable heat for Russia. I don't know exactly how far north so it is it is further south than Moscow probably on par with the Winnipeg, Canada. And it's so it is further north than Chicago. One of the ways to determine that is to look at the sunrise and sunset information for that city. If the days are very long, it is further north than the Chicago area. But also looking at just a road map you could easily see how far north of that city is. And that's certainly unbelievable heat. What's even more amazing is that if you look at the temperatures over the past week, temperatures are in the 70s normal high for that city today is 71 degrees. And again, the high temperature there was 100 degrees and the low temperature was 70 or 71 degrees. Let's come back here to the Chicago area actually quickly speak about yesterday, high temperature yesterday at eight degrees. That's in terms of who was the most right, they all were within three degrees. So some of the forecasts said 85. Some said 86. That was one version. The other version was 91. So they both were off by a few degrees. So who's to say one was better than the other. The high temperature was 88 degrees. And that was what we dealt with yesterday, certainly felt really warm outside. Today we have that humidity from the Gulf of Mexico that's really starting to take over the Chicago area, as dew points are going into the mid 60s. Now these types of dew points would not really be considered humid if this was mid summer. But this is one of our first exposures to humidity and because of that it does feel a little bit humid. But if you go into the cornfields of West Wisconsin and into Iowa, on the Big Sky weather map, you will see that the dew points are ranging from 72 to 70, even 74 degrees, that is really humid, that is on par with what we are seeing right now in Texas around Corpus Christi, Texas, is just about on par. There are some isolated 77 degree dew points in Texas. But it's just amazing to see those high dew points on the big sky or some states that dark sky weather map. The strange thing about the whole thing is that AccuWeather is not reporting these high dew points in Wisconsin, they're saying that some of these cities have a dew point of 59 degrees. It's quite interesting that I don't know how to explain that. But it could be that AccuWeather is getting their information from the local airport. And the dark skies actually has weather stations in the cornfields itself. And perhaps that's one of the differences. Minnesota is really humid as well, dew points are in the 70s just really, really humid. It's really amazing to actually see it happen this early in the season, to see that the two most humid spots in this country are in Texas, and Louisiana and up into the upper Midwest in Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa. Believe it or not, Florida has a little bit of low humidity. dew points in Florida are down into the 60s which is really unusual for this time of the year. And we don't even see those temperatures reflect that when you have dew points that low, the sun becomes really efficient at heating things up. So you would think those temperatures would be going into the mid and even Upper 90s. In fact, with dew points that low in Florida and not that it's dry. It's not a desert heat. That is basically what the dew points are here in Chicago right now.
Unknown 4:47
But one would think that there would be cities which are hitting 100 degrees. It could be there are but as far as I know, if you look on the weather map, you'll just see basically 80s maybe a couple of low 90s For, for Florida, their peak heating right now is occurring again over Delaware as this high pressure system has been pushed westward, possibly because of a tropical storm. There actually was that on Friday we were speaking about two different low pressure systems that had the potential to become a tropical storm. And one of them did the one by Bermuda the one which was over cool water officially the waters supposed to have to be 80 degrees in order to produce a tropical storm. But you know, that must mean a hurricane. It has to be hitting degrees for a hurricane apparently, because we had a tropical storm. It's the first one of the season so I don't know, I think it's Anna, I think that's the name of the tropical storm. The one by Texas never did develop into a tropical storm. But Texas is getting a lot a lot of rain. They will be drying out within a couple of days. A lot of that moisture continues to hang out around the Gulf Coast and that area in Louisiana and the floods continue for those places. Another spot here in this country, which is getting severe weather for today is the northern plains and the central plains where a few tornadoes are possible along with some large hail. Chicago is right within this area of high pressure. And the environment is somewhat kept, somewhat kept, which is preventing precipitation from forming. Although we do have some clouds forming it, we are in the we are in the process of watching a lake cold front, the back to a cold front developing it has not moved through the area yet. Temperatures are really warm right now not as warm as they thought it would be. but temperatures will likely go crashing within a couple of hours. Those temperatures are going to warm right back up for tomorrow Tom skilling once again sing a high near 90 degrees for tomorrow. And temperatures will remain for highs in the 80s all the way through Wednesday. That will be make it seven consecutive days he has lowered those temperatures for highs, highs only of 89 not 91 anymore. Other forecasts are saying about 86 for the next few days. And that's what we have over here. One of the most amazing things to me is not just the heat in Russia, but it's the fact that nobody's talking about it. I went through the whole Washington Post and that they're not talking about it. How could this be? It's hitting 100 degrees in the month of May in Russia? How could it be that no one's talking about it? They media could be going wild on this and they're not. And it's really strange to me, it's like, it's really weird. But in any case, nobody's talking about it. And maybe there are some other papers talking about it. But it's 100 degrees in Russia. This is like mind boggling stuff that even in July, it's mind boggling stuff for it to be 100 degrees in Russia. You know, it's like an Anchorage, Alaska, you know, in Alaska, maybe you hit 100 once and I actually looked in the Big Sky weather map. And I actually saw some cities where it's actually it was 103 degrees. And some of those cities, I don't know why the that robot which I'm not going to say the name because it's gonna mess up this whole recording. Why that robot which is connected to AccuWeather. It says the highest temperature in Russia Today was 100 degrees. When I saw on the big site weather map temperatures of 103. But you know they might be getting their information from different weather stations across the world. Right now we have very few places that are reporting dew points in the low 80s. As usual, we have that one city in Mexico that continues to flirt with 80 degrees. Sometimes it's 79. Sometimes it's 80 degrees. And we have places out in India, I don't think there were places that were at 80 degrees quite close, but not 80 degrees. We do have a tremendous storm, which is when it's a Tuesday morning at 6am. The precipitation from this storm is going to move into India. And then by Wednesday 6am it's going to really start to overspread. It looks like it's the north east part of India. This is really heavy stuff. Eight to 12 inches of rain.
Unknown 9:23
This is a tropical storm, not just a tropical storm. This is equivalent to a category three hurricane, that's what they're expecting to happen on the coast of India. So you know on with tremendous wind. So that whole stagnant air situation that's been taking place in India, which some say that's been a major issue with the COVID situation. So this might be on one hand good news in terms of that the stagnant air will be going away in India the hurricane season they don't call it hurricanes I but the Hurricanes Season is right before the monsoon season and right after the monsoon season so right before the southwest monsoon season which starts June 1, and right after the month, the southwest monsoon season. Anyways, that's the weather for today. I I will be signing off now, I wish everybody a great day and everyone enjoy this beautiful summer weather that we have, which is going to continue through Wednesday after Wednesday temperatures will probably be dropping here in Chicago into the upper 60s. And remember that the lake water temperatures are in the 50s and any water temperature under 77 degrees is considered cold according to AccuWeather
This transcript was generated by https://otter.ai
Unknown 0:06
Good evening, it is February 3, and welcome to a recap discussion of the storm. This storm is a dangerous storm right now it's an ice storm, lots of ice storm warnings, especially for places in Texas that had a very profound impact for those places going really highways, which cover from Texas all the way into the Northeast. And however, we're not going to be focusing so much on that we're going to be focusing more on the fun part of the storm.
Unknown 0:35
The fun part of this storm, right? The fun part of the storm is the snow part of the storm. And let's just go back to Monday, it was a complex storm. And that's why I wanted to just it's a unique storm, something that we don't usually get here in the Midwest, it happens but it's not the usual type of storm. So let me just explain the usual type of storm system that affects us the big storms that affect us here in the Midwest, the ones that produce more than six inches, and the ones which are forecasted to produce a widespread six inch plus
Unknown 1:08
are those low pressure systems that develop over let's say Oklahoma or so. And then they kind of dip a little bit south into Texas, this is called the Panhandle hook, it collides with lots of Gulf moisture, and then it also collides with an Arctic airmass. Low pressure generally a lot of times is under 1000 MB, which means it's about 29.5 or less, a lot of times 29.4. I remember in 2008, that winter, maybe 2009 29.4 Low pressure brought 14 or 15 inches of snow to Milwaukee. Now realize when you're trying to figure it out the storms intensity from just the barometric pressure
Unknown 1:46
to major forecaster for to the AccuWeather pointed out that for the East Coast, a good indicator to know whether a storm is going to produce a foot or more or not, is does the storm have a barometric pressure of 29.2 or lower. If it's not 29.2, then usually a foot will not be forecasted for the East Coast. Here in the Midwest, I would imagine we have different standards here because it's not so common to get a low pressure of 29.2. But you know, at the same time, the winter storms don't seem to be as big here in the Midwest. Anyways, we had a low pressure system, which was not really so much no Gaya, this it's not really so much connected to the snow. But I'm just going to mention it because it did have the barometric pressure at 29.2. And it actually did play a major role in getting this whole thing started. So that was the low pressure that was located just north of the Minnesota or North Dakota area in southern Canada. And if you looked on the map, it really looked intense. It had a lot of spin to it. 29.3 it was 29.3. On Monday, it moved northeast, they think now I think it intensified to 29.2. Tuesday as well. You might have actually was in just north of North Minnesota in Minnesota on Tuesday, and then it headed northeast. Now the way these low pressure systems work is that they were they were counter clockwise, the winds go counter clockwise around the low pressure. So areas to the east of the low pressure have Northwind of South winds and areas to the west of the low pressure have Northwind. So it brings in all the warm air to the east, which was many areas here in the Midwest, especially the southeast. A lot of times the warm air doesn't quite make it up in the Northeast because it tends to go over the colder air at the surface. But here in Chicago, we were on the warm in the warm sector of the system, in fact, much warmer or at least a little bit warmer than what was forecasted to happen. Temperatures in parts of Chicago area actually had 50 degrees on Tuesday, just amazing. 50 degrees in parts of the Chicago area on Tuesday, and precipitation moved in as well. That's because we had lots of golf moisture this was visible on any weather map you looked at from days ago days ago already was well advertised. The moisture available with the system was well advertised all over the place. You can look at a newspaper, weather map anywhere you could see even the precipitation it's precipitating in throughout the Gulf of Mexico. There's a front south of Miami that was on Tuesday and the precipitation around the Miami area. And you could see there's rain all over the place and the Flash Flood Watches for Texas, lots of moisture even without looking in a professional meteorological weather map even without that it was clear that there was lots of moisture available with the system. If you wanted to look at it with more depth you could look at the National Weather Service. The QP F which is the amount of water available with the system was approaching two inches or was two inches forecasted to be two inches in the St. Louis area and looks like that would be about the peak now. The general there is a
Unknown 5:00
A rumor or a rumor, and maybe it's true, we're going to talk about it that the general snow to water ratio is 10 to one. Now, meteorologist Tom Skilling set for here in Chicago on average, it's 12 to one. So in two inch or two inch of water equivalent, if that would fall as snow, you will have 24 inches of snow. Now with this system, phase number one was forecasted to be a 10 to one ratio, phase number two was forecast to be a 13 to one ratio, so you would average around 11 or 12. To one, if the whole thing would fall as snow, you would end up with about 20 inches in St. Louis, Missouri. Now, we're going to go ahead and talk about what exactly happened here. So this 29.2, low pressure system, this strong one in moves by 29.2 to 29.3, it drags a strong cold front, a cold front, all of these systems have a cold front associated with it. And this front was huge. This front went all the way from the Hudson Bay to Texas. Not only that, it's still doing it, the things still keeps moving this storm system up in Canada, it's still moving east. And the front just keeps getting longer and longer. It's like you have
Unknown 6:16
the front isn't going away from Texas, it just keeps extending and extending like an extending rod, the front just keeps getting longer and longer. So the front just gets bigger, and the front is barely moving. That strong system up in Canada is moving, but the front is just getting longer and longer. So that's how is it possible for the storm system with an associated cold front, connected to it? How could the storm move east without the cold front moving is it's very simple. The front just keeps getting longer and longer. Now the front is moving a little bit towards the south east. Usually, this is the type of setup that I know I read about pretty frequently in the summertime you have a front that actually situates itself across the mid part of the country from the Southern Plains or even the central plains into the Midwest to the Mid Atlantic area. A lot of times it's just north of Baltimore, it separates New York City from Baltimore. It certainly separates. We don't use the word certainly anymore, actually. But we go from Baltimore to Providence, there were a lot of times be a front separating the two Chicago to St. Louis. There's a fun, it's the same front. So here we have a front now this front is it is winter. So we do have the Jetstream is further south. And this front is situated well to the south of St. Louis. It even goes south A Little Rock, Arkansas, and even the front is at this point already south of Texas. And you have the stationary front that became stationary north of New Orleans. They're still in the warm air. Miami, of course is just beautiful and warm. And that front front always have a very difficult time. Nothing's ever always but in. But they have a hard time in the winter. As I pointed out in the past fronts. Even in the winter, they do make it through Miami, but a lot of times you'll see they stall just north of Miami. Eventually it makes it through or they just vanish. So you can look at the map today.
Unknown 8:13
We have a series of maps that's y'all just come skilling does a great job in the Tribune and you could just see this front. You see the day to day progress of this fronto. Tomorrow the front is hasn't even made it into Florida yet. on Shabbos. The front is making it into northern Florida. On Sunday. The front it looks like it's right over Miami on Monday. The front is just to the south east of Miami. And on Tuesday, it is starting to possibly move back north as a warm front and on Wednesday. The front is still around Miami. So this is a fun that's moving very slowly and it will be becoming stationary either just south of Miami maybe along Miami it would be interesting to see what the weather forecast what those temperatures are forecast to be in Miami. That's the front that we have. Okay, so along this front we have we had two main waves of low pressure, different impulses, waves of low pressure that traveled along the front. There was no intense storm system and a normal situation here in the Midwest. meteorologist Dave Murray. He retired. He's expert channel two in St. Louis KTVA. He retired and moved to Hawaii but he continues to forecast the weather for St. Louis. But in any case, he's has always said that in order for the Midwest to have a major winter storm, certainly for the St. Louis area no more certainly. For the St. Louis area. There's three ingredients necessary. You need deep love. Deep, low pressure. You need copious amounts of moisture, more copious amounts of Gulf moisture. It could be any moisture bill in the Midwest. All of our moisture comes from the Gulf.
Unknown 9:52
Again, the word all is difficult in recent times, I've noticed we sometimes managed to get Pacific stuff over here
Unknown 10:00
But the Gulf of Mexico is a primary is the main source of moisture around here. And the Arctic here, they collide this low pressure, I pretty sure it's deep, low pressure. But you know, in this case, we did not have the deep low pressure, and yet forecasts called for more than six inches of snow. And major winter storm is defined as more
Unknown 0:01
Good afternoon, everybody. This Thursday afternoon. This is a quick recap : (several minutes later), the O'Hare Airport, the official recording session, we see it 5.6 inches.
(Several minutes later 8:00?)
. Now I would like to read some of these snow totals that this comes from the National Weather Service. And this is from six o'clock pm Central Standard Time on Tuesday, February 1 through 8am today, so let me just read you the top. The top totals from various states Arkansas, Bella Vista, three miles northwest of Bella Vista. That's what the recording session is. They got nine inches of snow. That's an Arkansas, Colorado 14 Garland 13.3 miles east of Fort garland got 22.4 inches of snow. It looks like that is the top amount. I'm just going to tell you six miles northeast of Denver that's considered Denver. They got 13.6 inches of snow into Illinois. The top of Mount was Macomb, the Macomb County where the recording station is one mile south east of Macomb. 14.5 inches. Also Lewis town in Illinois. 14.4 inches. Peoria, Illinois.
Unknown 9:43
The recording session is three miles northwest of Peoria 12.1 inches Bloomington, Illinois. The weather station. There's 2.7 miles northeast of Bloomington. They got 12 inches Cantin 12 inches to another state. in Peoria, another Peoria one hour north of Peoria. 12 inches Quincy, one mile west of Quincy. 11.5 inches. I know he said one city per state but we have to put Illinois. I mean this is Illinois. I mean, Vermont, Illinois 11.3 Midway Airport. 11.0 inches. 11 inches. Normal Illinois also 11 inches in the Chicago Romeoville National Weather Service office 10 inches. Now we go into Indiana, Cedar Lake Indiana, 12.5 inches, the same for Miss Miss Shaohua aka Michelle Walker. I'm not sure if I'm pronouncing it right. They also got 12.5 inches. Akron, 12.0 Bowling prairie 4.0 Logan Port 11, Michigan City 11 Morocco 11. Well in 11, South Bend Indiana, the recording station is two miles east of South Bend. They got 10.3 as early this morning, and really there's not much more expected for today. In fact, the National Weather Service is saying just to trace you go into Iowa the highest amount Iowa was motor mo dar one mile south southwest of that city, five inches. Kansas the highest amount was climax. Climax Kansas Kansas nine inches. You go into Topeka, Kansas 4.6 Michigan, St. Joseph Michigan 13.8 inches and go into Missouri New London, Missouri. 12.2 inches Annabelle 11.5 inches. Columbia Missouri reporting stations six miles south east of Columbia 9.7. Springfield, Missouri seven inches St. Louis 6.5 Kansas City 3.8 New Mexico got bombarded with snow cannon Plaza 21 inches, Tahoe ski Valley 20 inches and Santa Fe 3.5 inches. The weather station there's 2.7 miles East northeast in Ohio so far, Ohio is much further east so we're probably still waiting for further snow totals over there but so far as of this morning, Montpelier, Ohio 6.5 inches and similar amounts for the other cities in Ohio mentioned Oklahoma highest amount 6.2 inches and Tulsa Oklahoma, Pennsylvania so far, you know there's not much there yet. The probably will be a lot more Erie, Pennsylvania. 2.7 inches. Texas. Turpin, Texas eight eight inches beaver six inches Groover six inches fritch 5.5 Amarillo Texas that's my favorite city so three miles north of Amarillo Texas 5.1 inches going into Wyoming Cheyenne Wyoming seven inches and I here we have selected preliminary oh so all of those all of those amounts that have so one second year selected preliminary storm total snowfall in inches. Selected pruners. Alright, continuing again. This is I don't know. Okay. I don't know the difference. Oh, total sleet This is the sleet accumulations Arkansas, Otter Creek two inches. Illinois. Carbondale 1.8 inches Kentucky in Henderson attempt of an inch Missouri Shrewsbury one inch Oklahoma. Sup Soper point eight inches. Texas Sweetwater 1.5 This is the sleet Okay, now we go to freezing rain. This is the real dangerous stuff.
Unknown 13:48
Mulberry Arkansas half an inch along with Pine Bluff. And then you have other areas got a quarter of an inch a quarter of an inch device or more is considered Winter Storm Warning criteria and Illinois have three tenths of an inch for outmanned Illinois, Indiana Floyds knobs and Newberg all received a quarter of an inch of ice Kentucky and Benton and Cadiz quarter of an inch or more Benton got point three eight Mississippi all the way down there Nesbitt four miles northwest of there. Three tenths of an inch Missouri pressed in a quarter of an inch St Charles point one five inches. Ohio strat there is a quarter of an inch Oklahoma tahina, half an inch hand no BIA point three eight Finley a quarter of an inch and same with Hugo, Texas, Texas. This is Texas got hit the hardest. It looks like Mason, Texas three quarters of an inch of freezing rain yula a quarter of an inch junction a quarter of an inch and then the other places are less than a quarter of an inch which falls a 10th of an inch. I'm just gonna read this paragraph here additional freezing sleet and snow accumulations are expected across the southern plains lower middle Mississippi Valley and into the Ohio and Tennessee Valley to tonight, with a few additional inches of snow and a swath of impact from potentially damaging freezing rain accumulations of a quarter of an inch to half an inch or locally higher forecast just to the south of the snow axis as the front continues to slowly track eastward snow and ice potential increase across the northern Mid Atlantic and northeast today and tonight before ending later tomorrow. snow totals for the interior northeast are likely to exceed a foot while freezing rain accumulations of over a 10th of an inch and locally exceeding a quarter of an inch should stretch from much of Pennsylvania and southern parts of New York and New England. The next storm summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction Center at nine o'clock pm tonight. And that's what it is written over here. So we have I wonder if there is any city again that was in the bullseye for both systems. It doesn't seem like there is or there was we'll find out more tomorrow. But despite the fact that there wasn't no such city, we still managed to get some areas that got more than a foot of snow. Even just from wave number one, as pointed out earlier, was in Illinois, Macomb 14.5 Lewiston, 14.4 Bluff springs 12.6, Peoria point okay 2.1. We mentioned all these things. I want to point out one other thing this was brought up actually a couple of days ago, that for some areas this is especially true in Indiana. The beginning part of the storm actually took place some temperatures were above freezing and grounds were also wet. Therefore some of the snow I think it was actually the St. Louis National Weather Service that pointed this out. Some of the snow actually melted by the time this warm liberals were taking some of that snow already melted. So even though you had recorded officially in the book, let's say for a place like South Bend, you have 10.3 inches. Okay. Someone Someone told me it looks more like eight inches. So it could be that there was a couple inches that have melted through the process. I don't think in Chicago we had any of that. I think all of it whatever was recorded stayed. By the time the morning came already temperatures were well below 32. And the snow is falling quite heavily. But when you go over into Indiana, those places where they were in the transition zone between rain and snow and I think the amount of snow that is actually seen and what people are actually experiencing are a couple inches less than what the official totals are. Everybody, I wish you a great day. Thank you for listening, stay safe and enjoy the snow for those places that are getting it and in regards to the ice. Ice is a serious Sakana and people just be careful. You know people down south are more familiar with these ice storms than up here. In Chicago. A lot of times the Mid Atlantic area gets these ice storms. I see that I've been talking for 18 minutes And
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Unknown 0:01
everyone it is Monday evening, January 31. I wish everybody a good thing. Clay desh was Scottish other. We are in the midst of just a day before that storm we spoke about last Thursday several days ago, we mentioned that there's going to be a Arctic airmass colliding with copious amounts of Gulf moisture. The gates to the Gulf of Mexico have opened up and all of its moisture is streaming right along the front. In fact, we have A Flash Flood Watch in effect for the Texas area. The storm we spoke about Thursday we mentioned it's going to be getting together organizing itself in the mid part of the country, bringing one to two feet of snow in the bull's eye, nothing has changed. That's the forecast I wanted two feet in the bull's eye, there is more clarity in regards to where this storm is going to be going. It's going to be south of Chicago, South Bend, Indiana will be the bullseye. That's what I think 12 to 24 inches, I think more than 12 inches for South Bend. 1516 inches, maybe even more. More than that maybe 1516. Springfield, Illinois wanted two feet as well. It's hard to say one to two feet, there also could be some freezing rain and sleet over in that area, the beginning of the precipitation might start off as rain even in South Bend, that's not really going to dampen the snow too much, though, a Thursday is going to be really the main powdery heavy snow, that's when the soda water ratio will be 13 to one. As the colder air comes in, the flakes become fluffier, and they pile up quicker. Also, despite the fact we don't have any intense low pressure over here, very strange. We have the arctic air we have the Gulf moisture, usually in the Midwest, in order to produce a major winter storm which is defined to six inches or more, you need a deep low pressure system. You know, I searched and searched I checked the GFS model, I checked the European computer model, and I see an intense low pressure in southern Canada. But that has nothing to do with this. The only thing that has to do with this is that's going to be responsible for bringing in the cold air. It's the front associated with that low pressure in Canada, that's going to bring in the cold air, that's going to cause the precipitation to change to snow rather quickly. But the main precipitation, the main moisture, which is in the hole, all the moisture involved in the systems coming out of the Gulf of Mexico. And it kind of you know, its revolves around this 29.7 low in Texas, if even that that low pressure system then opens up into the Tennessee Valley. Eventually we do find this a 29.7 low pressure system, which moves across the Tennessee or Ohio Valley on Thursday, making its way to the East Coast affecting cities like Buffalo, New York, Syracuse, New York, Providence, Rhode Island as well. Those cities also could get heavy snowfall from this as well wanted to feed again in the bullseye going south of Chicago, Springfield, Illinois, South Bend, Indiana, there also could be some lake effect on the backside, the lake effect snow could also be affecting Chicago. That's really a big wild card over here how much snow is going to be falling Thursday from the lake effect snow, and also the the initial stage, which happens through over running, I think that will affect the Chicago area, bringing several inches of snow and that initial stage the overriding it's really this main system itself. That's the question for the Chicago area. We have arctic air very dry air just to our north, it's going to cause a lot of the snow to evaporate before it touches the ground for the Chicago area, especially areas north of Chicago. And that's why the Chicago area might not get much snow from the system itself. But before that arctic air comes that close to Chicago, we will see some snowfall Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning America, Cheyenne, it's possible the snow might even fall heavily for it time. And then you know, then when As that arctic high gets closer and closer, some of that precipitation might start to evaporate before it touches the ground. And then we get the lake effect snow on Thursday, we still could get heavy snowfall accumulation from this when all is said and done. realize this is a 48 hour event. So it would certainly not be surprising to see snowfall accumulations higher than six inches, even here in the Chicago area and four areas by the lake on Thursday. That's always a wild card. But the system itself the main system, which is on Wednesday evening, you know, Wednesday, Wednesday evening, that's going to be going south of us through Springfield, Illinois, South Bend Indiana up to Buffalo, New York, Providence Rhode Island areas just to the north of Interstate 70 in the St. Louis area. We have
Unknown 4:47
that the interesting part there just isn't that deep low pressure I hope if I'm wrong, you know I I can't find it. I searched and searched because I thought all of these things have to have a deep low pressure right but This one is just the the front is the main force behind this. And the first the stage one, it's kind of going to hit in two stages. Stage one, we're going to have a snow to water ratio of 10 to one and then stage two as the air gets much colder 13 to one is what could be expected. The winds are really going to pick up this whether there's intense low pressure or not, as that really strong Arctic high tries to move in the gradient between the two pressure systems, whatever low pressure there is, we'll be producing stronger winds on Thursday with lots of blowing snow. I think there'll be blowing snow, the National Weather Service's questioning it. Okay. In any case, enjoy. Everyone Have lots of fun, you know, what shortage is all about any scotches. Snow also is all about any scotches. It's really Mama's perfect timing. Also realize LoL is the muzzle of in a half circle. So really anything could happen. Things could always turn around. And, you know, maybe we'll have a change in the swamp track but that's what my current thinking is. Everyone enjoy the weather. Especially by the way, this is the first widespread snow event for the South Bend area, which is not connected to Lake Effect, I believe. I think I think the first significant snow so you know, the snow lovers must be really thrilled over there. really thrilled
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This podcast is both a rough draft and a final draft. It's purpose is to try to share with the public an appreciation for the upcoming forecasted winter storm in the Midwest which includes a record warmth component to it on its Eastern side. I can not promise that all the details in this podcast are 100% accurate.
Unknown 0:04
Good evening, everyone. It is Sunday, November 14. We're going to start off with the most dynamic, exciting weather that's taking place here in the United States. And that's in the Alaska panhandle. They're getting ready for a week full of snowstorms for many of those cities over there. And by the time you get to the final snowstorm, the entire Alaska Panhandle will be affected by that. The Alaska panhandled doesn't always get snow storms, a lot of times it's just too warm. And for the first few snowstorms, that's going to be a big question mark, and it's probably not going to affect the entire panhandle. The final storm six to 12 inches which will be affecting the entire pan and each system will be bringing up probably about well, you know, some of them will be bringing about two to five inches of snow there will be rain mixed in some of them three to six, probably one or two of us six to 12. But when all is said and done, probably I would guess no more than 20 inches and the one particular spot. The precipitation over there tends to change usually terrain for a little bit by each storm. But when you head up into the central parts of Alaska by Fairbanks, Alaska, boy is it cold it is extremely cold when you go up in Fairbanks, Alaska, Arctic Village, Alaska. And the wood that is burning is producing major air quality alerts. We have temperatures dropping to 20 below. And even during the day that temperatures are not even hitting zero in the city. It's only November. And that's just quite phenomenal stuff that's going on over there. We got to hope that it doesn't come down here. All the other stuff is coming down here those storms that are developing in the Gulf of Alaska that came down here just this morning. It came raced it raced down here with fastest can be and it brought accumulating snow too much of the Upper Midwest which we'll hear more about that for tomorrow. The big story here in the lower 48 states is the storm system. It's over in the Pacific Northwest which has an affiliated cold front and the cold front a strong cold front which looks like it's going to be affecting the entire country unless you live in the deep south such as Key West Florida. The cold front will bring a dynamic change in temperatures especially to a city like Amarillo, Texas, or high temperatures on Tuesday will be in the mid 80s. Highs later. The next day highs only in the mid 50s with temperatures dropping into the 20s and 30s. West Virginia is another city which we'll be seeing tremendous temperature differences between one day to the next after the passage of this cold front. There is this forecast is quite easy to remember the cold front will be moving past the west coast on Monday night. Peak warmth therefore will be occurring on Monday. For the West Coast. Peak warmth will be occurring on Tuesday for the plains, probably the Rockies as well. Peak warmth will be occurring on Wednesday for areas on the same longitude as the Chicago area, which is much of the Midwest at least the eastern Midwest and then the East Coast we'll be having peak warming occurring on Thursday. Cold Front we'll be moving through the area the evening or afternoons of the peak warming. Temperatures might even hit 60 degrees here in the Chicago area. And again Amarillo, Texas mid 80s We certainly expect to see 90s In some areas of Texas as well. Rio Grande village is holds the record this week for the largest temperature differences between night and day. There will be some days for there will be a 40 to 50 degree difference between night and day. The Stanley Idaho situation has calmed down a lot. And there's no longer a 52 week temperature difference between night and day precipitation will likely follow along this fun for it is a strong cold front part of that fun, we'll be touching the Gulf of Mexico, it seems. So I would imagine there is moisture associated with this cold front. And that brings this podcast to an end. I do want to mention cities. I don't know if I mentioned it yet, but we have cities which you normally would not be going into the 70s this time of the year on the east coast will be going into the 70s on Thursday, such as Philadelphia and probably all the other big cities as well. I don't know about Boston. I wish everybody a wonderful night. And I wish the people in Fairbanks had slug or Rabat in dealing with the bitter, bitter cold. I do want to point out one amazing thing however about the cold in Fairbanks is that if you look at the wind speeds, the wind speeds are between zero and one miles per hour. So it that's a true blessing to have to fly inside.
Unknown 5:00
I've never heard of such a thing here in Chicago. And it's for an extended period just the winds are just really, really minor. And that is playing a major role in the radiational cooling that's taking place at night. Especially since the days are only six hours long over there. Hauling 18 hour nights with with radiational cooling that's just off the charts are very high up on the chart. You can't get better than that with clear skies, no wind and in Chicago and we say no in that that means light wind, but in this city, no wind means no wind. It is quite amazing to see stuff like that. Everyone Have a good night and enjoy
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Unknown 0:09
Good evening, everyone. It is November 10. Wednesday evening and we are in the midst of a developing rapidly intensifying storm system. Here in the Midwest. This is called a November which these storms tend to blow up in the Midwest in the month of November, especially around the Great Lakes area due to the warm water temperatures. In fact, we've had storms that were so intense they were almost like a hurricane. And there have been ships that have actually sunk in like Michigan and Today's the anniversary of one of those ships that song ever since then the storms that develop here in the upper Midwest and the Great Lakes have the get the terminology November which that certainly is what's gonna be happening now tonight and tomorrow through Friday as a storm system with a barometric pressure of 29.7 over in the Kansas area moves into Iowa, and then into Wisconsin reaching a barometric pressure of 29.4 By daybreak tomorrow morning, but it's going to continue to intensify to a powerful 29.2 low pressure system as it moves into Canada. This storm system will be bringing heavy snowfall accumulations for areas in the Upper Minnesota area and in Northeast North Dakota along with southern Canada. In fact, some of the computer models show 15 inches of snow can be expected for areas over there, along with frequent whiteout conditions even for areas which are only getting one to two inches of snow in North Dakota. The very strong wind behind the cold front associated with the storm system will still be capable of producing white out conditions even over there. The cold front associated with a storm system is going to be moving through the Chicago area for tomorrow and then move on East rather quickly actually in clear clearing off the east coast by Friday night. The one front associated with this system will also be moving through the Chicago area tonight and then moving through the Detroit Michigan area for tomorrow morning. We cetaceans possible along that warm front but the precipitation. Yeah, precipitation is possible. Around that one front and cold front to our morning for there's about a three hour window when Chicago could see precipitation or more like three hours of precipitation for tomorrow. Then we kind of dry out tomorrow evening. High temperatures here in Chicago in many places in the Great Lakes area are going to reach their high tomorrow morning. Temperatures are going to drop into the 40s during the afternoon we dry out tomorrow night. And then Friday is when the snow comes in, especially Friday afternoon for the Chicago area. But we have something much more interesting than that, which I'm going to be speaking about in just a moment. I want to make sure that we gave this storm the proper coverage that it deserves. And we did not because there's a major severe weather outbreak taking place this afternoon and this evening in Oklahoma. In fact, I've seen the live weather videos of from Oklahoma City and there are definitely severe weather that has been occurring as a severe thunderstorm watch in effect for that area. We also have a risk for tornadoes as a possibility along with large hail and damaging winds. This includes Arkansas or perhaps even as far east as Nashville, Tennessee, northern Louisiana is included. Dallas, Texas is included in this severe weather outbreak and as severe weather risk. Dallas, Texas is included. We of course have temperatures very warm ahead of the cold front and South Texas temperatures in the 80s. I would imagine that we've seen some 90s today as well. We also have on the backside of the storm. As mentioned before we have very strong winds
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Unknown 0:00
There's a major severe weather outbreak taking place this afternoon and this evening in Oklahoma. In fact, I've seen the live weather videos of from Oklahoma City and there are definitely severe weather that has been occurring as a severe thunderstorm watch in effect for that area. We also have a risk for tornadoes as a possibility along with large hail and damaging winds. This includes Arkansas, or perhaps even as far east as Nashville, Tennessee, northern Louisiana is included Dallas, Texas is included in this severe weather outbreak in the severe weather risk. Dallas, Texas is included. We of course have temperatures very warm ahead of the cold front, and South Texas temperatures in the 80s. I would imagine that we've seen some 90s today as well. We also have on the backside of the storm. As mentioned before, we have very strong winds. Now another thing that we have to discuss when it comes to this storm is the place where this storm originated from. This storm originated from the Pacific Ocean. And this was another Bama Genesis, so the storm was strong from the beginning, but then it became stronger, and it became stronger at such a pace that a qualifies to be called a Bama Genesis, it intensified 30 millibars using the normal metric system, the system that the rest of the world uses everyone except for the United States 30 millibars within a 24 hour period. And to qualify for Obama Genesis, you just need a raise of 24 millibars within a 24 hour period. That strong was Obama Genesis and that means the storm intensified quickly. And it was intense. So it it should it shoots out the air like fumes fumes it out in the middle of the storm, it fumes it out and it becomes a vacuum, the air has to come in to replace the air that is fumed out. So the storm becomes much like a vacuum. And the way these storms work due to the Earth's rotation here in the northern hemisphere is that it rotates counterclockwise. So as it rotates counterclockwise, there's a stream of moisture, which comes from the deep, deep tropics, up to the northwest Pacific area, or because of this storm. That is called an atmospheric river. Now an atmospheric river contains all of its moisture in a certain part of the upper atmosphere. And it tends to be warmer than storms which don't have an atmospheric river. So therefore, this snow snow will be falling at much higher elevations than a normal storm system. When there's an atmospheric river because it's coming from the tropics, the snow will be falling to be reserved and confined to the higher latitudes, even higher latitudes than normal. There's been enormous amounts of precipitation occurring in the northwest Pacific, this precipitation also went a little bit further south than usual. I went even into Central California, northern California. In fact, not only have it has there been precipitation, but there was a tornado warning that was issued. And the tornado warning was sent out even to cell phones, the people that lived in Seattle, Washington, and they were very confused by it because they did not see any tornado. I'm not sure exactly where the tornado was. But I don't know why the cell phones in Seattle, Washington showed the tornado warning because it wasn't really for them. But maybe it was someplace close by but there was some type of tornado which was somewhere in the Pacific Northwest. And perhaps some of you have more information in regards to that. Heading moving along with this system, so what happens is these strong storm systems, they fall apart as they cross the Rockies. And sometimes they the energy, which is whatever's left over usually actually develops into another storm system. Sometimes you get two storm systems a piece of energy breaks off to the north, another one to the south. It could be that's what happened here too. But the one that we're focused on is the one that's really developing in Kansas, but some National Weather Service's are forecast just they discussed their forecast discussion at the point when the storm is already in Iowa. So the storm is in Kansas, it's moving into Iowa, and then moving into over the into Wisconsin and then into Canada. So the original storm was actually off in the Pacific.
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Unknown 0:09
Good evening, everyone. It is November 10. Wednesday evening and we are in the midst of a developing rapidly intensifying storm system. Here in the Midwest. This is called a November which these storms tend to blow up in the Midwest in the month of November, especially around the Great Lakes area due to the warm water temperatures. In fact, we've had storms that were so intense they were almost like a hurricane. And there have been ships that have actually sunk in like Michigan and Today's the anniversary of one of those ships that song ever since then the storms that develop here in the upper Midwest and the Great Lakes have the get the terminology November which that certainly is what's gonna be happening now tonight and tomorrow through Friday as a storm system with a barometric pressure of 29.7 over in the Kansas area moves into Iowa, and then into Wisconsin reaching a barometric pressure of 29.4 By daybreak tomorrow morning, but it's going to continue to intensify to a powerful 29.2 low pressure system as it moves into Canada. This storm system will be bringing heavy snowfall accumulations for areas in the Upper Minnesota area and in Northeast North Dakota along with southern Canada. In fact, some of the computer models show 15 inches of snow can be expected for areas over there, along with frequent whiteout conditions even for areas which are only getting one to two inches of snow in North Dakota. The very strong wind behind the cold front associated with the storm system will still be capable of producing white out conditions even over there. The cold front associated with a storm system is going to be moving through the Chicago area for tomorrow and then move on East rather quickly actually in clear clearing off the east coast by Friday night. The one front associated with this system will also be moving through the Chicago area tonight and then moving through the Detroit Michigan area for tomorrow morning. We cetaceans possible along that warm front but the precipitation. Yeah, precipitation is possible. Around that one front and cold front to our morning for there's about a three hour window when Chicago could see precipitation or more like three hours of precipitation for tomorrow. Then we kind of dry out tomorrow evening. High temperatures here in Chicago in many places in the Great Lakes area are going to reach their high tomorrow morning. Temperatures are going to drop into the 40s during the afternoon we dry out tomorrow night. And then Friday is when the snow comes in, especially Friday afternoon for the Chicago area. But we have something much more interesting than that, which I'm going to be speaking about in just a moment. I want to make sure that we gave this form the proper coverage that it deserves.
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Unknown 0:06
Good evening, everyone. It is Wednesday, November 3. And as always, we have excitement on the weather map. But this time, this is excitement that everybody's going to enjoy. Believe it or not. We have unseasonably warm temperatures headed for the southern Midwest and the Great Lakes area. We also have unseasonally warm temperatures heading into the Texas area. In fact, in many cases, it's the same places. The very same places they got hit the hardest with the snow, places like North plate Alaska, that's a 5.8 inches of snow going down to 30 actually went down into the 20s. They're going to see high temperatures soar into the low 70s. By the early beginning part of next week already going down into Amarillo, Texas, temperatures expected to go down into the upper 20s tonight. I don't know if they got some snowflakes or not. It certainly is reasonable to think that they may have gotten one snowflake. But even if they didn't temperatures, afternoon highs in the low 40s. Next week, we're going to be seeing high temperatures, mid 80s 86 degrees for Amarillo, Texas, temperatures are going into the 90s. For other parts of Texas, there's no question, this is a really warm air mass, we have temperatures going well into the 70s for the St. Louis area. I know forecasts for St. Louis are not quite up to that yet. But you'll see they will go up and we will see high temperatures even if they don't go up you'll see we'll have high temperatures low to mid 70s. First St. Louis, that's and then going into even into the Chicago area up north over here in Chicago, you know, we have a tendency to have a warm front Deficit Disorder. A warm front Deficit Disorder over here in Chicago has a serious issue with getting warm fronts. And this, we really have a serious issue, no matter what is forecasted those fronts come just about to Chicago, but they never quite make it to Chicago. And that's the big, that's one of the huge differences between St. Louis and Chicago when it comes to the winter is that St. And St. Louis see some major up and down at temperatures sometimes go into the 60s, even 70s in January. And Chicago just doesn't quite make it there at all. And it's a true rarity when it does the ups and downs of Chicago or 40s. And then teens and stuff like that a completely different type of ups and downs. But this weekend, tempered the beginning part of next week, temperatures are headed into the 60s for the Chicago area. That's Sunday, Monday, especially Monday, Monday we're gonna see that warm front push up in over the Cleveland area. In fact, already Sunday night and you buy the warm front, the warmer air comes in even before the flood comes in. That's one of the big mysteries of warm fronts that I can never figure out. The way it's explained. The way the meteorologists get out of the issue is they just say well, a warm fronts not well defined, and a cold front is well defined. So some of the warmer air tends to go north of the warm front. But you know, that doesn't really explain it. But that's the reality. The reality is there's going to be a warm up already in Cleveland, starting on Sunday, but the warm front doesn't move through until Monday. The real warm air the south coming in on South winds, there's several there's three reasons why we're going to be warm next week, three reasons that I was able to figure out if someone could figure out more than that's wonderful. I think the number one reason might be because we have a high pressure ridge that's building in from the west, it's building overhead. And whenever there's a high pressure ridge, that's the high pressure, generally it's at 500 millibars, up about 1800 18,000 feet up from the atmosphere, we're going to have high pressure over there. And when you have those ridges, that's when you get the bulging the Jetstream going north, that's when temperatures really start to warm up. Generally, there's also high pressure on the surface. The high pressure ridge is an extension of Surface high pressure, they don't always vertically stack up. And in this case, we're going to be seeing high pressure moving off the coast it could very well be it's this Arctic high pressure. This is an Arctic airmass. The MS that we have over the area right now, which we'll talk about in just a minute. It's this arctic air moving over to New England by Chavez said weakening to 30.3 then off the coast, probably also on Chavez and the south winds are going to come in around that high. There might be an additional high pressure in the right here.
Unknown 4:44
Probably they probably will be here in the just on the East Coast, maybe even the southeast. The Southeast is the best we can get high pressure in the southeast. Nothing can be better than that. That's that resembles a summertime weather pattern. And if we can Get that that would be amazing. So I don't know if we're gonna have that or not. But we are going to have those southerly winds off the backside of the high pressure system. And we're going to have that high pressure ridge, we also have south winds developing ahead of a storm system, which is going to stay in the Upper Midwest, it's gonna stay in the upper Midwest. Now for St. Louis ins. They don't even have to deal with this storm system in the upper Midwest. But you know, in Chicago, those words are not so simple. It's basically that simple, but not quite. There is a possibility that there could be some type of precipitation that moves into the Chicago area because of that strong system up in the upper Midwest. Or certainly some clouds, which might move into the area on Shabbos pushing temperatures slightly lower. But that's about it. The upper midwest might be losing out on this warm air, I have a feeling that they will. And we're you know, as we speak, it's snowing up there, they're getting lake effect snow, some places already had eight inches of lake effect snow as the Arctic air moves over the warm like Michigan water, lakes, Great Lakes water, the water temperatures are unusually warm. But nonetheless, it's that's actually helping the lake effect snow it's it's serious arctic air and parts of New York as well, Western New York, as well as seeing some heavy lake effect snow as we speak. And I don't know if the warm air is going to be making it that far north or not. But that storm system up there will be responsible for the continuation of southerly winds, or more accurately, it will be responsible for for supporting those southerly winds, which already would have been there from the backside of the high. And that high pressure ridge is going to help ensure that those temperatures actually do warm up. And that's what we're seeing. And that's what Texas is going to be getting. We already have seen heights in the 90s in Texas. Yesterday is a part of Texas had an afternoon high of 92 degrees. We have some places on the west coast, the coldest temperature in the US was five degrees. And that was someplace on the west. In the West someplace in the West. That's what we have. We have those storm systems that continue to move on to the northwest Pacific, that monster storm in the Gulf of Alaska producing 10 to 25 feet of snow which the Washington Post loves to write articles on this stuff for probably certain reasons. But it's wonderful. It's wonderful when they do because they really explained things well. So they're still updating their articles in regards to the Gulf of Alaska storm and the storm systems that are coming in on to the Pacific northwest Pacific, which will be affecting us as Tom Skilling. We will be getting colder air over there next week. And eventually that colder air will be making it here into the Midwest. By the end of next week. Tom Skilling said that on television on television, he said that so now he he must have some some type of confidence in that. But until we get there we're going to be see seeing well above normal temperatures. With temperatures again in the 60s here. 70s. In St. Louis 80s For much of Texas, temperatures peaking in the 90s. At zero, you just there's such a temptation to say that there will be some city, some city in Texas, if there is a city that hits 100 degrees, it will be Rio Grande village, Texas. That's if there's a place that hits 100. Next week, I am not sure that there will be but if there is it would be Rio Grande village, Texas. But if it doesn't, Falk in like Texas might end up being the hottest city in Texas. Next week with probably there will be a day or two at highs in the mid or upper 90s. So everyone has this to look forward to not everyone but to the people to my audience over here, which tends to be people in Illinois recently, we got an audience from Missouri. And there's also an audience in Indiana. There's also an audience in Russia and an India and all these other countries. But in terms of the United States,
Unknown 9:28
from the information I'm getting, my audience is pretty localized. We recently got an audience in Brooklyn, New York. So we will have to start to include New York weather for more of an emphasis on in New York and the India is it for a while I was speaking about India, we might have to go to that. But soon we're entering Australia season Australia heatwave season, and that stuff is a lot of fun. So we will be talking about that. Pretty soon by the end of November or December, and with that, we will be ending off in I you know the South, the South states are going to be the last to feel this warm. We're going to actually see temperatures warmer in St. Louis, perhaps even warmer in Chicago than Atlanta, Georgia for a couple of days. But eventually the warm air will be making it to the south east. I assume. I don't know if it's going to be any warmer there than it is here in the Midwest. With that tonight will be the coldest night. Last night and tonight is when the cold weather reaches its peak here in the Midwest and Great Lakes. It's no longer going to expect it to be tomorrow night. Tomor
Unknown 0:07
Good evening everyone. It is Tuesday evening November 2. I wanted to get this done in five minutes the 23 Minute weather podcast I just gave him just gonna do a summary and try to get everything in within five minutes and the l start. Canadian cold front has moved across the United States and installed somewhere just south of Dallas. This cold front goes all the way from the Texas area all the way to the northeast. Temperatures ahead of the front are quite warm temperatures are in the 80s when you head off to Houston, Texas, and in the south Texas with hemorrhages behind the front are only in the 50s and many locations most locations only in the 40s. A strong storm system will be developing at the edge of this front over the Texas area. That's where the contrast that temperatures is most intense. copious amounts of Gulf moisture is also going to be put into the system the system is going to slowly move through the Gulf Coast, producing a long duration heavy rain event with three or more inches of rain over many locations. On the backside of the system, some snowflakes and they get mixed in especially over the Oklahoma Panhandle, possibly also the Texas panhandle as well. No snowfall accumulation is expected at this time. The low pressure system that was over in Nebraska that brought 5.8 inches of snow to North plate Nebraska, and also several inches of snow to other locations west of Lincoln, Nebraska and parts of Wyoming has moved off to the east and has been mainly a rain producer. But some areas in the Appalachian Mountains have seen snow and it has not been a significant system. However, there are winds that are coming off of Lake Michigan and the Great Lakes in general that are expected to bring probably between four and seven inches of snow for places close to Buffalo and Syracuse, New York, or Syracuse and also places in Michigan as well. This is
Unknown 2:05
the nor'easter that was affecting the United States last week, the powerful nor'easter the first one has moved off into the Atlantic and unbelievably it became a named storm and named a tropical subtropical storm. And today it became a named tropical storm. This is really quite unbelievable, really remarkable for a system to originally get its energy from contrast and temperatures. And then to transition over to a storm system that gets all of its energy from the water. And there's no longer a contrast in any temperatures. This is more common when you have hurricanes that turn into nor'easters. They weaken when they hit land and then they run into a cold front. And they reignite and they turn into a nor'easter. But this is quite unique. For this to happen. The North Pacific storms, those storms by the Bering Sea and the Gulf of Alaska. Those are very intense, low pressure systems, which for whatever reason don't seem to have any names to them. But one would think that perhaps they should have names if the ones in the Atlantic have names. But speaking of those systems, we have a powerful storm system over there right now over in the Gulf of Alaska, which is producing very heavy snow and heavy rain over in the Anchorage Alaska area. And places around their forecasts call for more than 10 feet of snow expected in the mountain areas over just a couple day period with some forecasts, it says in the National Weather Service up to 28 feet.
Unknown 3:40
Just unbelievable. Also, more than 10 inches of rain is expected over in that area. There actually was a record broken over there for eight inches of rain for two days, two consecutive days. And that's the farthest north we've ever had a city have eight inches of rain for two consecutive days. I believe that happened in Anchorage, Alaska. There are certainly are parts of that storm mature unprecedented. And that's one of them.
Unknown 4:07
A parade of storms will continue to move on to the northwest Pacific which is good news for them because they have these drought conditions. And it is those intense storms in the North Pacific that are responsible for a lot of spin pushing these spins of low pressure impulses onto the northwest Pacific and many of them become a quite intense storm. The system in Alaska actually has an atmospheric river which is why there is so much precipitation falling out of that system. Those systems don't always get an atmospheric river but this one does.
Unknown 4:43
This Canadian cold front has an air mass which really originated possibly as far north as the Arctic but it is a shallow cold airmass and temperatures are a little bit more moderate than one would expect this time of the year when you're getting a cold
Unknown 5:00
From the Arctic. The one exception is those places which saw the snowfall where high temperatures are only going to be in the 30s. Nonetheless, it looks like the growing season will be coming to an end over many places this week. One example is St. Louis, Missouri, which will be under freeze warnings for at least one or two nights. And Chicago also, I believe it's under a freeze warning for tonight. This is a two punch cold air. The second front is colder than the first. The timing of it is somewhere between Monday and Wednesday, the cold air from number front number one, which moved through on Sunday comes in on Monday. And I believe that the cold air comes in on Wednesday. Many cities though, will not get the second call there until Thursday. That's when it will be reaching its peak for many other cities.
Unknown 5:47
Possible storm system might develop over the weekend. If it does, though. There will be colder air that comes in behind the front. The following that indications are that we're going to have an above normal weather pattern possibly in the 60s in St. Louis already by midweek next week, but that is a far way off. Thank you for listening. I wish everybody a wonderful night.
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Unknown 0:03
Good evening, everyone. It is Tuesday evening, November 2, and we have entered the month of for the Great Lakes area. This is the stormiest month of the year. This is a month where storms intensify rapidly. And that's because of the Great Lakes, we have pretty strong storm systems that move across the area. Similar to what we see in March. I think in March, the stronger the storms are stronger. But when the Great Lakes, the effects of the Great Lakes have on storms, that doesn't happen in March, the Great Lakes, the water temperatures are warm, the air rises, and it really intensifies those storms. So we've had some powerhouse storms here in the Chicago area for the month of November. If you look on the weather map, actually, you will see this, you will see that the weather map is reflective of this. We don't see any strong storms in the United States. But we own the ocean area. We just witnessed something unbelievable to me. And nor Easter last week nor Easter, he gets its energy from contrast and temperatures. That thing moved off to the Atlantic Ocean. And it became a named sub tropical storm, a named sub tropical storm.
Unknown 1:23
I think
Unknown 1:28
I appreciate the excitement in the crowd this evening, very, very much. And we'll be able to continue on with that. But not only that, it also moved into the tropics. So today it's a tropical storm. It's it's a regular tropical storm, the type of thing that comes off of Africa, nobody would think and no one would have a half a million and a billion years that this thing came from a North Eastern, we've seen the opposite. We've seen these tropical storms, they move on to the coast over here in the country, and then they develop into a north east or they run into a front they pull away from the warm waters and that thing starts to fall apart then it runs into a front and it kind of reorganizes it turns into a nor'easter that we've seen before. I've never seen this. I don't know. It's, it's so why haven't I seen this before? It's anyways, the sub tears, the big caution, the really big question is, as of 2002, apparently, as the 2002, we started to named sub tropical storms, it's an official thing, we start to name these sub tropical storms, I assume the criteria for a sub tropical storm is the same thing for a tropical storm. I think it's when a storm reaches maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour. It gets its name. That's what I believe. So whatever it does in the tropics, that's what it does in north north of the tropics and sub tropical areas. What's phenomenal about this storm, before we get to my question is that this storm, it's not even over such warm waters. And it's getting its energy from the water. It's a tropical system. So it's really interesting stuff. But this is something that probably is a no November deal. This is a special November deal. Because a lot of things are relative. That's the truth. The rising air is really relative, even zero degree air, I think they will start rising is if it's warm air, if it's 30 below zero all around it. So you have to deal with that. Yeah, the waters are cooler. They're not really so warm. But it could very well be that the air is rising at a rapid pace. Apparently it is because this thing has developed into developed initially into a subtropical storm now into a tropical storm. The other thing that's unique over here is that it's not hitting land. This thing wouldn't be making any headlines at all the except for the fact that it is except for the fact that it wouldn't be making any headlines because it's not hitting in any area. And you know, for those storm lovers, for those people who hate the storm lovers, because they think maybe that the storm Lovers don't care about humanity because people get hurt and stuff. Well this is the one time the storm lovers get to express themselves like never before. Because this is like never before because this is not hitting any land and show everyone show everyone that it was small. We love storms because of the strongest not because anyone gets hurt. That's a that's very, very sad that people get hurt. So what do we have to say about these storms? What do we have to say?
Unknown 5:28
Not oh man, how come I'm not getting any?
Unknown 5:32
This crowd is a really funny crowd. We have over a year, four more years of storms, four more years of storms. That's what the crowd saying we want to hear more and more and more. And it's certainly where you want it to be on land. Because once it's on land, we get to see it with our own eyes, we get to see what's going on. If it's not on land, who they could say anything, people could say anything and we were forced to believe it. So we have that storm out in the tropics, the big Kasha is what about these North Pacific bombs and their bombs in many ways. First of all, the system is powerful. It's intense. It's the barometric pressures 29.0 or less. This subtropical storm, the barometric pressure was 29.2, it was weaker. But not only that, this storm has intensified such a rapid pace. It qualifies for the official definition of abama abama. Genesis Palma Genesis, that's what it is. And are they getting names? I've never heard of them getting names. Maybe they are? I've never heard of it. I don't know, just because I haven't heard of it doesn't mean doesn't mean much. Although you would think after reading all these articles that that's a big thing they forgot to put in if these storms are getting named.
Unknown 6:46
I've read so much stuff about those storms, if they're getting named, and everyone just forgot to add that point. That's a that's quite a coincidence. Sure. It's possible. Anyways, those are the storms that are you know, they head off to the northwest Pacific either it's them themselves that are going to the northwest Pacific, or it's the spin that they produce. That's that spinning around, these impulses come off of them and send them to the northwest Pacific. At least three are headed there this week, at least three probably another parade next week without a doubt. Okay, so they're getting their parade of storms. That's wonderful for them because they were under a drought. And we have in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean powerhouse stuff is going on. So if you're a boater, you should pay attention to the situation over there. If you're a boater, that storm system is moving north east and to cooler waters. You know, one would think that it should weekend but again, the whole thing developed in cooler water so
Unknown 7:46
but one would think that it should weaken as it moves into cooler waters. We have here in the United States, what we have is an arctic cold front. Now I want to be careful about the terminology here. We have there's three different types of fronts that could affect us. We have the polar front, the Pacific front and the arctic front. And there's different types of Arctic fronts. It's been very hard for me to figure out whether this is an arctic front or a mere Canadian front. We have top experts, reliable experts. The Washington Post is way up there. And they are calling this an arctic front. The St. Louis National Weather Service, the forecaster said straight out. The air mess behind this front is coming from not the North Pole. That would be a polar front, but it's coming from close to the North Pole. It's coming from northern Canada, just north of the Arctic Circle. I'm throwing those words in just north of the Arctic Circle. And I think that that's an arctic front. That's an arctic front. Okay, people in Texas, they're calling it an arctic front. Others are just calling it a Canadian front. Now.
Unknown 9:00
The three major ingredients you need for a major winter storm of six inches or more of snow is an Arctic a solid Arctic airmass deep low pressure and copious amounts of Gulf moisture. We're gonna have that starting tonight as a storm system develops over Texas. And that storm system is going to continue and be in that area for the next several days as it moves to the east coast. So we're gonna have heavy rains two to three inches of rain, perhaps even more areas of thunderstorms, really warm temperatures to the south east of the system. Usually the heaviest snow falls in the northeast part of the system. The only thing is that in this situation, since it is early November, the air is not going to be quite cold enough for snow in the northeast part of the system. We're going to have to get to the backside of the system before the precipitation is actually cold enough for snow. So any snow that does fall is likely going to be falling in the Northwest
Unknown 10:00
Part of the system that greatly reduces any snow accumulation, that there would be if there's any snow accumulation. I would imagine a place like Amarillo, Texas and the Texas panhandle. That city is known for wild, total wild wildness just up and down and a half ago. That's the type of city I would think we're gonna have a few snowflakes from at least. We saw yesterday a low pressure system, as weak as it was. It existed produced five, I think it was 5.8 inches of snow 100 miles away from Lincoln, Nebraska. And that was around 12 o'clock yesterday. So we also had places in Wyoming that saw several inches of snow. So but Nebraska, I think, actually North plate Alaska at the 5.8 inches North plate Alaska, that that city is a city, anyone who's interested in wild weather, they must put that city into their app. I remember that city was doing wild stuff all the way back in spring, that city in Amarillo, Texas, these are cities that you want to have in your weather app to just if you want to increase your heart rate and get your happiness and get your day going without a cup of coffee. Those are the cities that you need to put in. We have the again this is a the the storm system seems to be taking a track, which will go along the Gulf Coast and out into the Atlantic Ocean. If it does. So. There is limited snow that i
Unknown 0:03
Good evening, everyone. It is Tuesday evening, November 2, and we have entered the month of for the Great Lakes area. This is the stormiest month of the year. This is a month where storms intensify rapidly. And that's because of the Great Lakes, we have pretty strong storm systems that move across the area. Similar to what we see in March. I think in March, the stronger the storms are stronger. But when the Great Lakes, the effects of the Great Lakes have on storms, that doesn't happen in March, the Great Lakes, the water temperatures are warm, the air rises, and it really intensifies those storms. So we've had some powerhouse storms here in the Chicago area for the month of November. If you look on the weather map, actually, you will see this, you will see that the weather map is reflective of this. We don't see any strong storms in the United States. But we own the ocean area. We just witnessed something unbelievable to me. And nor Easter last week nor Easter, he gets its energy from contrast and temperatures. That thing moved off to the Atlantic Ocean. And it became a named sub tropical storm, a named sub tropical storm.
Unknown 1:23
I think
Unknown 1:28
I appreciate the excitement in the crowd this evening, very, very much. And we'll be able to continue on with that. But not only that, it also moved into the tropics. So today it's a tropical storm. It's it's a regular tropical storm, the type of thing that comes off of Africa, nobody would think and no one would have a half a million and a billion years that this thing came from a North Eastern, we've seen the opposite. We've seen these tropical storms, they move on to the coast over here in the country, and then they develop into a north east or they run into a front they pull away from the warm waters and that thing starts to fall apart then it runs into a front and it kind of reorganizes it turns into a nor'easter that we've seen before. I've never seen this. I don't know. It's, it's so why haven't I seen this before? It's anyways, the sub tears, the big caution, the really big question is, as of 2002, apparently, as the 2002, we started to named sub tropical storms, it's an official thing, we start to name these sub tropical storms, I assume the criteria for a sub tropical storm is the same thing for a tropical storm. I think it's when a storm reaches maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour. It gets its name. That's what I believe. So whatever it does in the tropics, that's what it does in north north of the tropics and sub tropical areas. What's phenomenal about this storm, before we get to my question is that this storm, it's not even over such warm waters. And it's getting its energy from the water. It's a tropical system. So it's really interesting stuff. But this is something that probably is a no November deal. This is a special November deal. Because a lot of things are relative. That's the truth. The rising air is really relative, even zero degree air, I think they will start rising is if it's warm air, if it's 30 below zero all around it. So you have to deal with that. Yeah, the waters are cooler. They're not really so warm. But it could very well be that the air is rising at a rapid pace. Apparently it is because this thing has developed into developed initially into a subtropical storm now into a tropical storm. The other thing that's unique over here is that it's not hitting land. This thing wouldn't be making any headlines at all the except for the fact that it is except for the fact that it wouldn't be making any headlines because it's not hitting in any area. And you know, for those storm lovers, for those people who hate the storm lovers, because they think maybe that the storm Lovers don't care about humanity because people get hurt and stuff. Well this is the one time the storm lovers get to express themselves like never before. Because this is like never before because this is not hitting any land and show everyone show everyone that it was small. We love storms because of the strongest not because anyone gets hurt. That's a that's very, very sad that people get hurt. So what do we have to say about these storms? What do we have to say?
Unknown 5:28
Not oh man, how come I'm not getting any?
Unknown 5:32
This crowd is a really funny crowd. We have over a year, four more years of storms, four more years of storms. That's what the crowd saying we want to hear more and more and more. And it's certainly where you want it to be on land. Because once it's on land, we get to see it with our own eyes, we get to see what's going on. If it's not on land, who they could say anything, people could say anything and we were forced to believe it. So we have that storm out in the tropics, the big Kasha is what about these North Pacific bombs and their bombs in many ways. First of all, the system is powerful. It's intense. It's the barometric pressures 29.0 or less. This subtropical storm, the barometric pressure was 29.2, it was weaker. But not only that, this storm has intensified such a rapid pace. It qualifies for the official definition of abama abama. Genesis Palma Genesis, that's what it is. And are they getting names? I've never heard of them getting names. Maybe they are? I've never heard of it. I don't know, just because I haven't heard of it doesn't mean doesn't mean much. Although you would think after reading all these articles that that's a big thing they forgot to put in if these storms are getting named.
Unknown 6:46
I've read so much stuff about those storms, if they're getting named, and everyone just forgot to add that point. That's a that's quite a coincidence. Sure. It's possible. Anyways, those are the storms that are you know, they head off to the northwest Pacific either it's them themselves that are going to the northwest Pacific, or it's the spin that they produce. That's that spinning around, these impulses come off of them and send them to the northwest Pacific. At least three are headed there this week, at least three probably another parade next week without a doubt. Okay, so they're getting their parade of storms. That's wonderful for them because they were under a drought. And we have in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean powerhouse stuff is going on. So if you're a boater, you should pay attention to the situation over there. If you're a boater, that storm system is moving north east and to cooler waters. You know, one would think that it should weekend but again, the whole thing developed in cooler water so
Unknown 7:46
but one would think that it should weaken as it moves into cooler waters. We have here in the United States, what we have is an arctic cold front. Now I want to be careful about the terminology here. We have there's three different types of fronts that could affect us. We have the polar front, the Pacific front and the arctic front. And there's different types of Arctic fronts. It's been very hard for me to figure out whether this is an arctic front or a mere Canadian front. We have top experts, reliable experts. The Washington Post is way up there. And they are calling this an arctic front. The St. Louis National Weather Service, the forecaster said straight out. The air mess behind this front is coming from not the North Pole. That would be a polar front, but it's coming from close to the North Pole. It's coming from northern Canada, just north of the Arctic Circle. I'm throwing those words in just north of the Arctic Circle. And I think that that's an arctic front. That's an arctic front. Okay, people in Texas, they're calling it an arctic front. Others are just calling it a Canadian front. Now.
Unknown 9:00
The three major ingredients you need for a major winter storm of six inches or more of snow is an Arctic a solid Arctic airmass deep low pressure and copious amounts of Gulf moisture. We're gonna have that starting tonight as a storm system develops over Texas. And that storm system is going to continue and be in that area for the next several days as it moves to the east coast. So we're gonna have heavy rains two to three inches of rain, perhaps even more areas of thunderstorms, really warm temperatures to the south east of the system. Usually the heaviest snow falls in the northeast part of the system. The only thing is that in this situation, since it is early November, the air is not going to be quite cold enough for snow in the northeast part of the system. We're going to have to get to the backside of the system before the precipitation is actually cold enough for snow. So any snow that does fall is likely going to be falling in the Northwest
Unknown 10:00
Part of the system that greatly reduces any snow accumulation, that there would be if there's any snow accumulation. I would imagine a place like Amarillo, Texas and the Texas panhandle. That city is known for wild, total wild wildness just up and down and a half ago. That's the type of city I would think we're gonna have a few snowflakes from at least. We saw yesterday a low pressure system, as weak as it was. It existed produced five, I think it was 5.8 inches of snow 100 miles away from Lincoln, Nebraska. And that was around 12 o'clock yesterday. So we also had places in Wyoming that saw several inches of snow. So but Nebraska, I think, actually North plate Alaska at the 5.8 inches North plate Alaska, that that city is a city, anyone who's interested in wild weather, they must put that city into their app. I remember that city was doing wild stuff all the way back in spring, that city in Amarillo, Texas, these are cities that you want to have in your weather app to just if you want to increase your heart rate and get your happiness and get your day going without a cup of coffee. Those are the cities that you need to put in. We have the again this is a the the storm system seems to be taking a track, which will go along the Gulf Coast and out into the Atlantic Ocean. If it does. So. There is limited snow that i
Unknown 0:00
Good afternoon, everyone. It is Tuesday afternoon, November 2, November is the month where the most intense storms develop here, certainly in the Great Lakes area, which is a novelty to me, it's a big shocker to me, because to me, I would have thought that it's the month of March. How could you get better than March where you have tremendous solar insulation, combined with Arctic coal that is just about at its peak, only a couple months away from its peak, the sun is as hot as can be not at least in the tropics it is. But no, November actually is the month where the storms are most intense. And we are seeing this on the weather map today. In weather map last week, especially with the bomb, the bomb, that cyclone, that storm that bombed out, they moved into the Northwest. And then there was this North Easter that moved off the coast. And this is the latest. This North Easter that moved off the coast later last week then became into a named subtropical storm. It's unbelievable a named subtropical storm.
Unknown 1:13
Thank you crowd. I just love the energy in the room so much energy.
Unknown 1:30
It's just such a pleasure to Yeah, named tropical storm. And you know what, in this situation, we have no reason not to celebrate. This storm is not going to be hitting land anywhere. That's amazing. This storm is not going to be hitting land. That's just wow, do we have? How come the audience is not saying Hooray to that? No, I can't figure that one out. Well, I don't know why the audience is not saying already to that. It's quite amazing to me, because, you know, we have all these devastating things and they all seem to hit land. But this time around, it's not hitting land. But we reached a new milestone today as that sub tropical storm turned into a tropical storm, an actual tropical storm I believe in made its way into the tropics, I believe that's what it means. The other possibility is that it now has the traits of 100%. A tropical storm system, that's for sure the system is getting all of its energy from the water. Quite amazing to have a nor Easter a system a storm system that gets its energy from contrast and temperatures to then move on to the Atlantic and be like a hybrid, and then eventually become a complete tropical storm where there's no difference in air temperatures at all. And all of the energy is coming from the warm water temperatures. And the water temperatures are not even that warm. We have a barometric pressure as of yesterday was 29.2 I believe it was a strengthening system. This is just a powerhouse thing. And it's unique. And it's something I've we've heard of the other. We've heard the other version, the backwards version where you have tropical storms then move on to the east coast and they combine with a front and then turn into a nor'easter. That is something that we've heard of before. But for this nor Easter to turn into a named Tropical Storm is absolutely it's very noteworthy and remarkable. And one has to ask a big cash over here, a very strong question is why is it that the North Pacific bombs, the North Pacific powerful low pressure systems under 29.0, which also strengthen at such a rapid pace? It's also considered a Bama Genesis. That's the official word. Why don't they have names? Why are there no names over there? So that's a question that we all have to ask. But this is the month of November, we certainly are seeing the storms out in the ocean. We're seeing this but the question is what about here in the Midwest and the South states and the East Coast? Where are the storms around here? Well, we don't have any November storm systems around here. But we do have a storm system. It's just not of November quality. We have a front The Washington Post is calling it an arctic cold front. There are other forecasters from national weather services that are also calling this an arctic cold front as the St. Louis National Weather Service. One of the forecasters pointed out this was on Friday that the high pressure system is originating pretty close to the North Pole. That sounds like it is north of the Arctic Circle. It also is coming from Canada. If it would be coming from the North Pole. I believe it's a polar front and it's not as cold as an arctic front.
Unknown 4:49
So but on the other hand, we do have others that are just calling this a Canadian cold front. Either way, we do have air that's pushing into this country with was cold enough to produce five to six inches of snow at least in Nebraska as a noon yesterday, that's the amount of snow that fell also parts of Wyoming as well. They certainly got snowfall, and I don't even think it was such a major low pressure system, this low, low pressure system, whatever it wasn't moved to East. I don't really think it affected Chicago, but it moved east and fell basically as rain and but until it hit the Appalachians, it's starting to fall as snow again. So going into the mid Atlantic area, that's what I imagined. I imagined that setting the Mid Atlantic here, we have another spot which is probably going to be getting between six and seven inches of snow. That's areas around Buffalo, New York, I don't know buffalo is going to be getting in also areas around us, Syracuse, Syracuse, New York, and also parts of Michigan, from lake effect snow, these types of setups usually produce between six and seven inches of snow in those areas. There's a lot of variables that have to come together this time of the year to produce that because the lake water temperatures are unusually warm, just unusually warm. Moving right along we have the big talk for this week is really the the difference between the European computer model and the GFS computer model that has been well advertised monster forecast discussions for the past several days, the European computer model has had us and had this country with a colder airmass than the GFS model. And forecasters were going with European computer model, at least in St. Louis, they were since this high pressure is originating close to the North Pole. And one of the there's a few reasons why the European computer model was forecasting what it was, I'm not going to go through all the reasons one of them is because of the trough is positively tilted. And when that happens, it allows the cold air to come further south and west than it normally would. Therefore, that seems to be what happening what's happening the European computer model did get it right. And we have cold air going all the way down all the way down into deep Texas. This is going to be unusually cold temperatures even for Houston, Texas, temperatures about 20 to 25. below zero for areas in the southern plains, Amarillo, Texas might also be getting some snowflakes, the storm systems developing today How could it not the the contrast and temperatures is over Texas copious amounts of golf moistures feeding into the system, there's this is really an ideal setup for a storm system. But the swamp systems barely going to move the front isn't really going to move much the storm system isn't really going to move much. And it's going to slowly move towards the east, eventually making it to the east coast by Wednesday night and Thursday. And because of its slow movement, and because of the copious amounts of moisture, we're going to end the intensity of the storm, we're going to see heavy rain accumulations of two to three inches or more throughout much of the gulf coast areas. on the northwest side of the storm system, we'll be getting snowflakes. In regards to snowfall accumulation, probably not much, maybe even nothing. Usually, the area of heaviest snow is the northeast part of the storm system. But in this system, they we're gonna have to go over to the coldest part of the storm, which is the northwest part of this storm, before the precipitation starts to fall as snow. There could be some snowflakes really anywhere as far north, probably even Chicago, here and there. But generally the precipitation is going to be staying to ourselves. So we have a number of systems first system has gone by already. The second systems developing tonight into tomorrow. The third system is on Thursday, Wednesday night into Thursday. And then we have a parade of powerful storms coming on to the northwest Pacific. The one thing that has to be mentioned is that there is a most powerhouse storm ever.
Unknown 9:02
I know there are parts of the storm that really are unprecedented says in the National Weather Service in Anchorage, Alaska, and this forecast. And this is unbelievable. Unbelievable. Up to 28 feet 28 feet of snow will be falling in parts of southern Alaska. And in fact, the National Weather Service says some people say they think it's been over estimated but there are no snow gauges that go that high. Therefore there's nobody nobody who's able to to figure out how much snow actually fell. So they're leaving it at that. So even if it doesn't be it's not only 80 Nobody's gonna know the difference anyways, some places got over 10 inches of rain, and that breaks records. It's the farthest north place that there has ever been two consecutive days of more than eight inches of rain the Washington Post blames manmade climate change. And, you know, sometimes it feels almost like they're putting in these weather articles, because the minute agenda, this agenda to speak about manmade climate change. So in that case, I'm just so happy that they have manmade climate change, because these articles are just awesome articles, they're written really well. And that's why they mentioned arctic front and I give heavy weight to those words, those meteorologists really, they their articles are well written. They're not written in such a way that it's going there, like fluffy, bogus stuff, like you might find some other weather articles that are written in such a way to grab your attention. These are really sophisticated articles that are thorough and really, really well written. M
Unknown 0:00
Good afternoon, everyone. It is Tuesday afternoon, November 2, November is the month where the most intense storms develop here, certainly in the Great Lakes area, which is a novelty to me, it's a big shocker to me, because to me, I would have thought that it's the month of March. How could you get better than March where you have tremendous solar insulation, combined with Arctic coal that is just about at its peak, only a couple months away from its peak, the sun is as hot as can be not at least in the tropics it is. But no, November actually is the month where the storms are most intense. And we are seeing this on the weather map today. In weather map last week, especially with the bomb, the bomb, that cyclone, that storm that bombed out, they moved into the Northwest. And then there was this North Easter that moved off the coast. And this is the latest. This North Easter that moved off the coast later last week then became into a named subtropical storm. It's unbelievable a named subtropical storm.
Unknown 1:13
Thank you crowd. I just love the energy in the room so much energy.
Unknown 1:30
It's just such a pleasure to Yeah, named tropical storm. And you know what, in this situation, we have no reason not to celebrate. This storm is not going to be hitting land anywhere. That's amazing. This storm is not going to be hitting land. That's just wow, do we have? How come the audience is not saying Hooray to that? No, I can't figure that one out. Well, I don't know why the audience is not saying already to that. It's quite amazing to me, because, you know, we have all these devastating things and they all seem to hit land. But this time around, it's not hitting land. But we reached a new milestone today as that sub tropical storm turned into a tropical storm, an actual tropical storm I believe in made its way into the tropics, I believe that's what it means. The other possibility is that it now has the traits of 100%. A tropical storm system, that's for sure the system is getting all of its energy from the water. Quite amazing to have a nor Easter a system a storm system that gets its energy from contrast and temperatures to then move on to the Atlantic and be like a hybrid, and then eventually become a complete tropical storm where there's no difference in air temperatures at all. And all of the energy is coming from the warm water temperatures. And the water temperatures are not even that warm. We have a barometric pressure as of yesterday was 29.2 I believe it was a strengthening system. This is just a powerhouse thing. And it's unique. And it's something I've we've heard of the other. We've heard the other version, the backwards version where you have tropical storms then move on to the east coast and they combine with a front and then turn into a nor'easter. That is something that we've heard of before. But for this nor Easter to turn into a named Tropical Storm is absolutely it's very noteworthy and remarkable. And one has to ask a big cash over here, a very strong question is why is it that the North Pacific bombs, the North Pacific powerful low pressure systems under 29.0, which also strengthen at such a rapid pace? It's also considered a Bama Genesis. That's the official word. Why don't they have names? Why are there no names over there? So that's a question that we all have to ask. But this is the month of November, we certainly are seeing the storms out in the ocean. We're seeing this but the question is what about here in the Midwest and the South states and the East Coast? Where are the storms around here? Well, we don't have any November storm systems around here. But we do have a storm system. It's just not of November quality. We have a front The Washington Post is calling it an arctic cold front. There are other forecasters from national weather services that are also calling this an arctic cold front as the St. Louis National Weather Service. One of the forecasters pointed out this was on Friday that the high pressure system is originating pretty close to the North Pole. That sounds like it is north of the Arctic Circle. It also is coming from Canada. If it would be coming from the North Pole. I believe it's a polar front and it's not as cold as an arctic front.
Unknown 4:49
So but on the other hand, we do have others that are just calling this a Canadian cold front. Either way, we do have air that's pushing into this country with was cold enough to produce five to six inches of snow at least in Nebraska as a noon yesterday, that's the amount of snow that fell also parts of Wyoming as well. They certainly got snowfall, and I don't even think it was such a major low pressure system, this low, low pressure system, whatever it wasn't moved to East. I don't really think it affected Chicago, but it moved east and fell basically as rain and but until it hit the Appalachians, it's starting to fall as snow again. So going into the mid Atlantic area, that's what I imagined. I imagined that setting the Mid Atlantic here, we have another spot which is probably going to be getting between six and seven inches of snow. That's areas around Buffalo, New York, I don't know buffalo is going to be getting in also areas around us, Syracuse, Syracuse, New York, and also parts of Michigan, from lake effect snow, these types of setups usually produce between six and seven inches of snow in those areas. There's a lot of variables that have to come together this time of the year to produce that because the lake water temperatures are unusually warm, just unusually warm. Moving right along we have the big talk for this week is really the the difference between the European computer model and the GFS computer model that has been well advertised monster forecast discussions for the past several days, the European computer model has had us and had this country with a colder airmass than the GFS model. And forecasters were going with European computer model, at least in St. Louis, they were since this high pressure is originating close to the North Pole. And one of the there's a few reasons why the European computer model was forecasting what it was, I'm not going to go through all the reasons one of them is because of the trough is positively tilted. And when that happens, it allows the cold air to come further south and west than it normally would. Therefore, that seems to be what happening what's happening the European computer model did get it right. And we have cold air going all the way down all the way down into deep Texas. This is going to be unusually cold temperatures even for Houston, Texas, temperatures about 20 to 25. below zero for areas in the southern plains, Amarillo, Texas might also be getting some snowflakes, the storm systems developing today How could it not the the contrast and temperatures is over Texas copious amounts of golf moistures feeding into the system, there's this is really an ideal setup for a storm system. But the swamp systems barely going to move the front isn't really going to move much the storm system isn't really going to move much. And it's going to slowly move towards the east, eventually making it to the east coast by Wednesday night and Thursday. And because of its slow movement, and because of the copious amounts of moisture, we're going to end the intensity of the storm, we're going to see heavy rain accumulations of two to three inches or more throughout much of the gulf coast areas. on the northwest side of the storm system, we'll be getting snowflakes. In regards to snowfall accumulation, probably not much, maybe even nothing. Usually, the area of heaviest snow is the northeast part of the storm system. But in this system, they we're gonna have to go over to the coldest part of the storm, which is the northwest part of this storm, before the precipitation starts to fall as snow. There could be some snowflakes really anywhere as far north, probably even Chicago, here and there. But generally the precipitation is going to be staying to ourselves. So we have a number of systems first system has gone by already. The second systems developing tonight into tomorrow. The third system is on Thursday, Wednesday night into Thursday. And then we have a parade of powerful storms coming on to the northwest Pacific. The one thing that has to be mentioned is that there is a most powerhouse storm ever.
Unknown 9:02
I know there are parts of the storm that really are unprecedented says in the National Weather Service in Anchorage, Alaska, and this forecast. And this is unbelievable. Unbelievable. Up to 28 feet 28 feet of snow will be falling in parts of southern Alaska. And in fact, the National Weather Service says some people say they think it's been over estimated but there are no snow gauges that go that high. Therefore there's nobody nobody who's able to to figure out how much snow actually fell. So they're leaving it at that. So even if it doesn't be it's not only 80 Nobody's gonna know the difference anyways, some places got over 10 inches of rain, and that breaks records. It's the farthest north place that there has ever been two consecutive days of more than eight inches of rain the Washington Post blames manmade climate change. And, you know, sometimes it feels almost like they're putting in these weather articles, because the minute agenda, this agenda to speak about manmade climate change. So in that case, I'm just so happy that they have manmade climate change, because these articles are just awesome articles, they're written really well. And that's why they mentioned arctic front and I give heavy weight to those words, those meteorologists really, they their articles are well written. They're not written in such a way that it's going there, like fluffy, bogus stuff, like you might find some other weather articles that are written in such a way to grab your attention. These are really sophisticated articles that are thorough and really, really well written. M
Unknown 0:03
Good afternoon, everyone. It's Friday afternoon, October 29. And we have some really exciting stuff to talk about. We have the second Noor Easter, which is taking place here on the East Coast for this afternoon. And really, I think it's the low pressure system that's going to be developing tomorrow and off the North Carolina coast, that one is going to really pick up an intensity that was not able to really become that strong today as the as they usually do. Usually, the secondary areas of low pressure, which developed close to the primary area of low pressure strengthen quite rapidly. But in this case, the primary low pressures just too strong. And it's going to take a little while before the secondary low pressure system starts to develop. In any case, there's going to be lots of rain and flooding rains along with lots of photo of lots of coastal flooding as well. And high wind watches and wind advisories in effect for places along the coast for today. This is also because of a buildup of what's been going on over the past week really even though this nor'easter is not as strong as the one earlier this week was. But nonetheless it is a major event. Note so of course is forecasted with this one there is just not enough cold air. Should this be a system that would be taking place in the winter, this would be a monster snowstorm. Without a doubt, this system pulls out the sea into the mid Atlantic area. And unbelievably so the New York Times tells us that this storm system has a chance of getting a named a tropical storm. How does that make sense? I don't know if we're nowhere near the tropics. But somehow it's doing it. I don't know how the you know, the storm systems in the North Pacific those bombs, they never get any names. They have no names at all. The only names you ever hear about are those names to the winter storms that the Weather Channel, they have their own names. But I don't know how this system could possibly be getting a name when it's so far north. But the New York Times mentioned it I don't know if they're right or not. But that's something which is certainly noteworthy to put in over here. We have here in the Midwest, we have a cold air cooler air that's going to be filtering in behind the storm system. But behind the cool air, we have a big warm up taking place. And this is really impossible not to notice when you look at the weather map today. impossible not to notice the 60s and 70s all over the Rockies and that's an that is reflective of a another powerhouse storm that's moving into the northwest Pacific that transports lots of southerly wind and warm air out ahead of it. So we have all of that warm air, those storms are going to continue to move on to the Pacific Northwest. And those storms are a result of low pressure impulses that are spinning off of a very intense area of low pressure that you could see on the weather map, which is remaining stationary somewhere in the Northern Pacific. It looks to me like it's in the Gulf of Alaska. But maybe it's not. That's what the weather map that I looked at. That's what it showed a lot of spin over there. And there's little systems that are spinning off of that one running into an atmospheric river. Without a doubt each one and we have lots of precipitation, the radar picked up a lot of precipitation in the Northwest today. Also lots of precipitation taking place here in the Chicago area here in the Midwest. And then the third area of precipitation that I remember seeing on this map was off on the East Coast. We have the main focus, I think this week is going to be the arrival of what some are calling the first Arctic airmass of the season. Computer models do not know what to do with it, especially the second punch of cold there. We have a cold front that's going to be coming in on Sunday. Temperatures on Sunday for some of the cities are going to be warmer after the front moves through, such as in the city of St. Louis than they were before. So Sunday's temperatures might even be warmer low 60s, that might be the warmest day of the weekend for a city like St. Louis. Now the reason for that is because there's a little bit of a lag between the time the timing of the front and the timing of when the actual cold air arrives. So the real cold air won't be coming in until Monday and in a certain way, Tuesday for people living on the Texas panhandle. Like Amarillo, Texas, that city you know, it goes up to 78 degrees on Sunday. Highs in the 40s for Tuesday. You know some of the weather maps actually showed Amarillo Texas getting between three and four inches of snow Sunday night this week or Sunday night or perhaps it was Monday night for Amarillo, Texas, other places in the Texas Panhandle might be picking up the seven inches of snow.
Unknown 5:02
And you know, for me to start talking about snow, I just realized I skipped a step over here. And that's why people might be like wondering what, what in the world is he talking about? It's Is it snowing yet in Texas? In Texas and Oklahoma? Nebraska? Well, here's the thing. Well, I don't know, why should the air be so cold that it would snow all the way down south for that first front, you know, but the second front, I could certainly defend such a forecast. That second foreign, which comes in later in the week that the second punch, meteorologists are taking the we have different computer models, some are saying more moderate temperatures, and some are saying colder temperatures. But what some of the forecasters in St. Louis have done, they have pointed out that listen, they say like this, we have a record breaking Ridge, up in Northwest Canada, that means the Jetstream is going all the way up into northwest Canada, all the way up there. And then there's a trough down here, down here by the East Coast, by the East Coast, but it's not really by the East Coast, it actually is going to end up being the Gulf of Mexico, in response to a strong storm system that's gonna sit there forever, in the Gulf of Mexico, right by Texas, in fact, it's going to be going this way in that way backwards and forwards then, then a twin low pressure system developed right next to it, two strong low pressure systems in Texas, just constantly going this way. And that way, well, the low pressure systems kind of bring the Jetstream down. So the trough usually would take place on the east coast. But this time, it's gonna eventually come over here and to Texas. Now what's happening here. So if you have, if the Jetstream would not be going that far up north, then we would have just a mediocre Canadian air mess, a rinky dink cold front, just something like that some air comes out of Canada, and it cools us off. But the air over here can't it cannot come out of Canada, this air cannot originate from Canada, it can't, because that arrow has been blocked off. This has to be coming from the North Pole. It has to be coming from the north pole or very close to the North Pole. I don't know what connection this has to the polar vortex. I really don't know. But in any case, it has to be coming from the north pole. So the meteorologist said, you know, in St. Louis, they said, Listen, I usually doesn't get this cold this time of the year. So we would ignore the computer models that are forecasting it to be so cold. But on the other hand, look at where this is coming from look at look at the weather map. Look what's going on. It's impossible not to ignore the colder temperatures. It's impossible not to ignore them. It's impossible to ignore them. I mean, it's impossible to ignore them. And if you look at the weather map, that weather map without knowing the temperatures, it's a heart racing map. It's a map that that like wow, it's the first we're already transitioning into winter in the first week of November. This is classic snowstorm stuff. Arctic air is coming down south deep, low pressure developing over in the southern plains. Even better yet. It's in the Gulf of Mexico, the ultimate Gulf flow. Nothing can be better than the Gulf flow. Read the books on weather. What would they have to say about snowstorms? You know, the strongest snowstorms here in Chicago have all been Panhandle hooks. They've all been Panhandle hooks, what are Panhandle hooks, they're low pressure systems, they develop on the Texas and then southern Colorado area. Then they take a deep hook they make like a hook they deep they they lower themselves into Texas before they move back up northeast. And when they lower themselves into Texas a little bit onto the Texas panhandle. That's when they get copious amounts of moisture. They move north east, those are the classic storms. Those are the strong storms. Because there are so many of them. It happens to be that Chicago's strongest storms, the real blizzards were all a result of that. But there's actually it's a storm which is even stronger than that. The only reason why we don't have any of those on the record books is because they are so rare. That is called the golf low. Now we had some golf flows last winter. In fact, I thought it was unusual that there were so many golf flows. Chicago didn't really get them, but they remain down in the south. And you know, this has been going on for months already. Even in June, there was just these golf lows that just stayed around there. Last winter. If you remember, even before the polar vortex, there were snow storms bombarding the state. There were snow storms, two feet of snow fell in January in the Rio Grande the Big Bend area of Texas, the even how I don't know how because how can it go from?
Unknown 9:54
How could it be colder down there? There it is. How could it be? It's not cold enough for snow above it. But uh They all the air comes from up north, but it is cold enough in Texas, there's answers to that there's something called dynamic cooling, there's evaporative cooling. So it is possible to get when if you have heavier precipitation rates in a storm, then that
Unknown 0:16
Good afternoon, everybody. It is Friday, October 15. Then we have, we're going to discuss the weather synopsis for the United States.
Unknown 0:25
We're going to start off there's four different air masses that are influencing our country at big time. Let's start off with number one high pressure systems situated over Georgia this afternoon, we'll be continuing to move south east right off of the coast by tomorrow morning. This high pressure system is pumping a South flow of warm and even humid air off the east coast bringing well above normal temperatures. In fact, this is unseasonably warm heat, double In fact, this is a late summer season weather pattern that's happening on the East Coast today. Temperatures might be breaking records south of the Mid Atlantic area, perhaps in North Carolina or South Carolina. But when you go up further north records probably will not be broken but it will be warm. With high temperatures in Baltimore, mid May be Upper 80s, Washington DC, mid 80s. Philadelphia, probably low 80s. And tomorrow, we're even going to continue to see temperatures probably low 80s for Baltimore, even 80 degrees for Philadelphia tomorrow, but as seabreeze will develop in Atlantic City highs only in the mid 70s. Let's go back to today because I just want to know what is the audience feel? What What do you feel about temperatures being in the 80s? Those on the East Coast?
Unknown 1:45
It's like late summer it's like not too hot, but it's just amazing. What do you guys feel? That is complainer response? That's what I thought because that's what I would feel. It's alrea for sure. But you know, in Baltimore I want to know, oh, this is
Unknown 2:13
but how do you guys feel in Baltimore over the fact that it's almost going to be warm enough to break a record? but not quite. Yeah, I love breaking records. And that's just too bad that we don't get to break a record. But it's gonna be warm as we said, nonetheless. I want everybody to realize the following this is a very unique in the Chicago Tribune. It said the cold this temperature yesterday was eight degrees and it occurred. I get ready for this. Get ready for this one. It occurred 37 miles south east of this little town in Utah. The newspaper I don't remember. But the newspaper mentions the little town. Now I want to know. Like if it's if it reached if the warmest temperature. Yesterday was in St. Louis, with the newspapers say the warmest temperature was 300 miles southwest of Chicago, Illinois. It would just say the actual town. So why does it say 37 miles south east? Why would it do that? Again, no wouldn't do that by Chicago or St. Louis. Why would it do that then? Isn't that strange? That really is strange. That needs a tremendous explanation. Where who has this weather station isn't someone's on someone's roof? Like what? Where is it? What How come this place doesn't have the name of a town. The Chicago Sun Times agrees but the temperature the coldest temperature in the US was eight degrees. But it says it wasn't body Park, California. They actually have some clarity. I know it's so nice to have clarity. But you know what is nice to do is to have clarity. It's so awesome to have humor to have humor that Chicago Tribune 37 miles Don't you want to check that requires like an investigation and I hope you're listening to the instruments in the background because you know, it's definitely requires an investigation and those that those instruments the experience over here, don't they? Now let's go ahead and pull ahead with the warmest temperature in the US now that we mentioned the coldest the warmest temperature was in Falcon Lake, Texas once again. Falcon Lake Texas with a high temperature
Unknown 4:58
of I completely forgot what the high temperature was. I think it was 102 degrees. If it was 102, what is the audience feel about that? About a being 102?
Unknown 5:24
No response. No response, I guess why should that get a response anyways, it was just it was 102 degrees. That's maybe wasn't under into, but I'm pretty sure it was. As again, we have that unseasonally warm air on the East Coast chances of showers and thunderstorms off in the southeast part of this country, especially Florida. Periodic showers also up in the New England area, higher chances occur in the western parts of the area. But by tomorrow, we're going to see showers and thunderstorms develop all across the East Coast. However, the instability is not as intense as it usually is when a vigorous cold front goes by. But nonetheless, rain and possibly even heavy could occur. That's what's going on today, we have a strong storm system located off in the East Central Illinois. And that storm system has a barometric pressure of 29.7, it's going to be moving to just north of Cleveland, today, it's going to be strengthening to 29.5 as it does, and then continue into southern Ontario, into Canada, strengthening to 29.3, that's actually considered rapid intensification of a storm system. I know I also love it when storms intensify so rapidly, that's just I definitely love it when it does that. So I'm glad the crowd agrees in the on that along the storm system along the way. associated with the storm system, we have a cold front going all the way down into South Texas temperatures ahead of the front or in the 90s in Houston, Texas. But most areas are in the 80s for the southern part of the US ahead of the front and the 70s. When you head to the northern parts of the United States ahead of the front, behind the front, we have temperatures in the 50s for the northern half of the US in the 60s for the southern half. But then you when you go down into Texas temperatures are in the 70s. So it's certainly a 20 degree difference. But heading to the front and behind the front. The one of these articles pointed out that people should be on the lookout for the heavy rains associated with this fun and storm system. Especially because waterlogged trees, waterlogged trees. I know who's ever heard of this waterlogged trees might may fall on powerlines. And people may use lose electricity. I've heard of snow covered trees falling, especially with leaves. I've heard of wind blowing down trees or tornadoes, but waterlogged trees falling down on the powerlines. I hope the audience is not laughing at the fact that people are going to be losing power. Because that, I mean, what is the audience feel about that? Thank God, so I still have people with sensitivity in my audience. That's wonderful weather enthusiasts with sensitive sensitivity. It's just the waterlogged the trees. I'm
Unknown 8:49
not even sure exactly who were laughing at. I don't know if we're laughing at but something's funny. I
Unknown 8:57
just don't know what, in any case. Okay. In any case, that's really what they're saying. People should be careful about that. Is that one of the results of climate change that we're seeing an increase of waterlogged trees over the years.
Unknown 9:20
Now, I don't really mean to make fun of climate change. It's just it's just something other people do. So I decided to do it. But it's funny nonetheless, even you know, you could take climate change seriously no issue with that at all. We could have spoken about that on different podcasts. In any case. Moving right along over here. We have the this is a good one. Actually. When you go into Indiana in places to the east, this Storm Prediction Center has put those areas in a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms. That means a 10% chance for severe weather within a 25 mile radius. The only problem is the National Weather Service says they really don't know if there's enough instability to even produce a storm. So there's very little chance for a thunderstorm, chances of a severe weather are higher than a thunderstorm. That's just impossible. So let's just assume there's a 10% chance for both. But I don't really think that's true either. It's probably there's probably just people are expressing their chances differently. And that's perhaps what's going on over here. But the moving Okay, we covered the East Coast we covered in the system here in the US. Let's go over now to the west coast and discuss the developing situation over in Los Angeles. Santa Ana winds are developing perhaps because of a high pressure system located on the border of Idaho, Montana and Wyoming. That high pressure system is going to be moving into Texas tomorrow, but let's stay focused on to the list.
This transcript was generated by https://otter.ai
Unknown 0:04
Good evening, everyone. It is right now.
Unknown 0:08
modes a shot is right now. I'm just going to explain the previous podcasts got cut off in the middle because it was getting close to Chavez. But the second half of that podcast is going to be on this podcast I'm putting it on right now. And I hope everybody enjoys.
Unknown 0:27
Please enjoy. And
Unknown 0:31
yeah.
Unknown 0:46
Santa Ana winds are developing perhaps because of a high pressure system located on the border of Idaho, Montana and Wyoming. That high pressure system is going to be moving into Texas tomorrow. But let's stay focused on to the south east California.
Unknown 1:02
The East winds regardless of why there are East winds, winds are coming out of the East we have Santa Ana winds. The thing about these winds are that they're more easterly than usual more easily than usual means there's more down sloping involved. And when there's more down sloping, temperatures are warmer. And that's when we reach our peak. We are in mid October, temperatures expected to go into the low 90s in Los Angeles today and tomorrow. The newspapers are not forecasting that but I don't know why they're saying low to mid 80s. But low 90s and Los Angeles. Temperatures in Phoenix, Arizona are going to be cooler than that mid 80s. What is the audience feel? I want to know about heat. It's not comfortable, right? It's a heat but do I have real weather enthusiasts but love it the heat like I want to know
Unknown 2:08
all the audience loved that. I can I can tell we heard B bells. We had guns yet cameras people taking pictures up. So I see we do love heat. That's wonderful. That means I do not have a normal audience in front of me. We have true weather enthusiasts, but I do want to know, what does everyone feel about those severe storms? Well, what does everyone feel about the rain? Let's start off with that. What do people feel about the rain?
Unknown 2:43
Really?
Unknown 2:45
Yeah, I guess cuz. Boring, right? It just rain.
Unknown 2:50
What if there's Thunder added to that rain?
Unknown 2:56
Thunder added to the rain. I don't hear a response.
Unknown 3:00
I don't need a response. That's amazing. What if it's almost a severe thunderstorm?
Unknown 3:10
Because it's almost there, but not quite right. What is the audience feel?
Unknown 3:15
Your comms what is the audience feel about severe thunderstorms meaning you already have to do deal with it. There's already precipitation falling its falling so now you have a severe storm you get to watch trees blow down onto on to
Unknown 3:38
I'm glad you got that array and first because you pulled down onto power lines. What is a? What is that?
Unknown 3:48
Now I hope people are not hurrying I mean I already know I have a sensitive audience in front of me. So but the whole Ray must have been at the whole site the whole site maybe they pull down on the power lines and everyone's safe you lose power. It's so exciting. Right? Isn't that what it was? I mean, what do people feel about?
Unknown 4:12
Whoa, it's down. Come on.
Unknown 4:15
Down.
Unknown 4:20
They took a picture.
Unknown 4:22
Okay, anyways,
Unknown 4:24
moving right along over to the northwest part of our country. That's what we have significant stuff we have that hypothesis in the high pressure is centered right over the area that got the heaviest snow from the blizzard earlier this week on the Idaho Montana Wyoming border, perhaps high pressure I mean not perhaps high pressure is attracted to cold air because cold air sinks and high pressure sinks. So it could develop real quick when it's over cold there. Perhaps there's so much snow there. It's coldest there. You know, it's probably it's probably everything. They have higher elevation. That's why they got so much snow plus they have a lot
Unknown 5:00
The snow and there's a high pressure in the area anyways, so it decided to center itself right over that area. That makes a lot of sense. But anyways, it's bringing very cold air down the between, you know in front of the high you get north winds. And then until you get to those down sloping winds in Los Angeles 90 degrees. But then you have that storm system of in Missouri moving to Cleveland moving into Ontario with its front in that low pressure system is also causing a circulation of strong North North West winds behind that. So we're bringing down really cold air from the north. Temperatures are actually highs are in the mid 40s for the northern Minnesota area. And you know, temperatures are even only in the middle. It goes up into the mid 50s from Minneapolis, back down into the mid 40s for Cheyenne, Wyoming. But then when you go about 100 miles west of the afternoon highs are only in the 30s in the 30s what is
Unknown 6:07
you guys don't like 30s? Right?
Unknown 6:12
I don't know what that means. That's above my head.
Unknown 6:16
Anyways.
Unknown 6:18
Now which state which state has the most ridiculous temperature?
Unknown 6:26
What status?
Unknown 6:28
Well, we have the largest contrast and temperatures over a couple of states. Arizona goes from the 50s in the North 6070s 80s in the south, Texas does something very similar. New Mexico does something almost similar. But what state has an absolutely crazy situation.
Unknown 6:55
It is the state of Montana. High temperatures are in the 60s in north central Montana. And highs are only in the 30s in south central Montana. And then it goes 40s 50s
Unknown 7:09
totally backwards
Unknown 7:15
I know everyone laughs You know why people laugh? It's not because it's funny. It's because there's it's a moat there's something that needs to be expressed. And we don't even have that emotion available. The closest thing is laughter
Unknown 7:30
because when things are backwards and upside down, usually it's humor me left. This one doesn't quite fit the humor. I don't know why. But the laughter is the closest
Unknown 7:43
one what are the people in north central Montana think about the temperature temperatures are in the 60s
Unknown 8:02
I hope I said north central Montana that's also a big go also goes into Canada Believe it or not. Anyways, that high pressure as we mentioned a long time ago slides into Texas southeast into Texas. And then we get the south winds and boy does it warm up over there
Unknown 8:22
what what is it warm up to some areas in the Pacific? I don't I don't know the exact cities. What is it gonna be you know, but they had a blizzard this week. temperatures were down to eight degrees 37 miles southeast of this little town in Utah.
Unknown 8:39
What are the temperatures going to be after warms up.
Unknown 8:49
temperatures expected to go into the low 70s by Sunday. That's right ahead of the next storm system coming off the Pacific. This is a potent storm as an atmospheric river going right into it. It's gonna bring lots of rain to the northwest. The atmospheric river breaks down as it goes over the mountains as usual, but not completely. Even areas on the eastern part of the mountains will continue to get at least light rain. And there's a two to three hour period they could get heavy rain. Amazing heavy rain. That's what this atmospheric river but there's another variable that's coming together to bring that heavy rain just for a two to three hour period. There's going to be high elevation mountain snows and I'm going to say another thing over here. This is a new fall weather pattern. Finally a fall weather pattern. What do people think about
Unknown 9:43
I know I really wanted that summer weather pattern. Chicago dew points have been above 60 for the month of October all the way through the 11th from October 1 to October 11. The temperature never dropped under 61 degrees and temperatures still have never dropped under
Unknown 10:00
60 degrees.
Unknown 10:08
But you know, temperature did manage to drop under 61 degrees the day after October.
Unknown 10:19
I know if only we could have kept the record going. But tonight temperatures are expected to finally drop into the mid 40s. That whole summer situation of overnight lows in the 60s for 11 days, and then back into the 60s this week, that's all going to be ending next week, we're gonna forget the booth for now, because let's just go on over here, the Pacific Northwest actually is going to benefit because they're going to start to get rain and that area has had a drought, it's also going to be good for the mountain snows Another potent storm system moves into the Pacific Northwest by the middle part of next week. And the third one for the following weekend. The one for the next weekend. However, the computer models, they all agree on the timing, which is amazing. But they disagree on the strength of the storm. And that's something that's gonna have to be
Unknown 11:11
I know they all agree in that time. And, you know, what if?
Unknown 11:16
What if they're all wrong and the timing?
Unknown 11:21
Yeah, that would be a real interesting one, I think that the dumping is the correct emotion when it comes to those waterlogged trees. It's not an hour. And in Montana, that whole situation 60s in the North 30s in the south, that also really is a bit dumb change.
Unknown 11:43
Anyways,
Unknown 11:44
so we get a fall weather pattern, a parade of storms. And it looks like here in the Midwest, we're also going to be affected by it. But the further east you go, the less affected you're going to be by the fall temperatures. In fact, from for the week after next, it's going to be above normal everywhere East in the country, all except for maybe the southeast where temperatures are going to be near normal. But we're talking about normal above normal temperatures all over the East Coast. And then we go into the then it becomes very above normal when you head into the upper Midwest and the plains, even Montana, that whole area. And the below normal is reserved for southeast California the very spot where temperatures are in the
This podcast discusses the 29.2 deep low over the Dekotas that is responsible for a large variety of weather for the Plains, Inter Mountain West, Midwest, Texas and Southwest. Hurricane Pamela and it's associated flooding is included. The warm High Pressure Ridge on the East Coast is included. The ACE measurement to measure tropical storm energy for Pacific and Atlantic Ocean is included. New Storm System in the Northwest is included. The impact the hurricane will have on both cotton and corn is included. 1 variable in how long term hurricane forecasts is explained along with some info on how computer models forecast weather each season.
Unknown 0:10
Good evening, everyone, it is Wednesday, October 13. And here is the weather synopsis for the United States. And first, I want to say that if anyone's interested in hearing just a quick weather synopsis with the forecast for Chicago, you can go to my other podcasts, it's just called Quick weather synopsis. And you can hear that it's was made this morning, this is more of an in depth discussion.
Unknown 0:35
That's what's gonna be going on on this podcast right now. We have probably the most dynamic part of this weather or the the system that's creating the most significant weather over the largest part of this country is a deep low pressure system located in South North Dakota. barometric pressure is 29.2, it certainly is a deep low pressure and the storm system is moving in a unique path, it's moving directly north and is headed into Canada, Manitoba. The system is going to weakened slightly but remain a deep low pressure system, it's going to weaken to 29.3. And it's going to continue to move directly north. It's not moving northeast, north, north east, slightly northeast, but really, it's taking the most intense track possible to produce heavy snow. This is what the North Eastern a lot of times do. There's also a call flow which moves right up the Mississippi River. And when that happens in the winter time, that's when the heaviest snowfall occurs. So there's no question we have cities also that have responded to this their cities in Montana. But as of this morning, one city got 28 inches of snow, another one. That's somewhere in the 20s others in the upper teens, and I believe the snow is still falling with an additional eight to 12 inches expected in some spots, the names of those cities, you could look up, I had the names, but it's going to create too much of apsic in this podcasts going to create an interruption here, so I'm just gonna leave it at that. And we also that low pressure system is producing other hazards as well. As I mentioned this morning, as severe weather outbreak is also on the side of that system on the south east side is it usually is now originally the Storm Prediction Center put Chicago and a marginally
Unknown 2:34
chance for severe weather about a 10% chance. But that line moved further west. Now here's what's happening over here, because there was something that changed the major variable that changed, which is very much no gear has tremendous connection to the Chicago weather. And it's the exact opposite of what happened this past Sunday. And I want to explain that as well, because that requires an explanation. And I'll tell you why it requires an explanation in just a minute. The low pressure system earlier today, that storm system had a lot of forcing to it and the storms were developing right along where the warm front and the cold front came together. And that also where there was a lot of forcing a lot of energy in the upper atmosphere producing thunderstorm development, lots of lightning report in Missouri and in Iowa, the thunderstorm development continued moving east and Northeast away from where the most intense forcing is away from the intense low pressure system. And therefore the thunderstorms gradually reduced the gradually weekend. And they continue to weaken. And that's why that's one reason why as it reaches Chicago, we may not even have too much thunder, although there probably will be a little bit of thunder. The other thing is that it's going to be the system is moving much slower than originally thought both the warm front is moving slower and the cold front and the warm front, the warm air isn't going to get here until tonight. And then the cold front comes tonight. So the whole system is arriving in the middle of the night. The middle of the night is not an ideal time for thunderstorm development. Nonetheless, there could be thunderstorms in our area here in Illinois. And as you go further east, though, the chances for storms kind of decrease. Except it's already moving so slow, that part of it might not be hitting Indiana until tomorrow. So that has to be looked into because the areas which we'll be getting the system during the day, I would imagine there's a higher chance for thunderstorm development, perhaps even a strong storm out of this system. It certainly is a powerful low pressure system. When you go on to the backside of its associated cold front. There's very strong winds covering many many states which was mentioned each state was mentioned this morning in the podcast that I did it on
Unknown 5:00
In a different podcast as mentioned before, there is an area experiencing possible hurricane force wind gusts, and IV
Unknown 5:14
Oh, where's that?
Unknown 5:16
Okay, anyways, it was mentioned this morning.
Unknown 5:24
The areas with high wind warnings, which really you could expect 40 to 60 mile per hour wind gusts include all of South Dakota, all of Nebraska, all of Kansas, most of Oklahoma, except for the southeast quarter, and a large part of the Texas Panhandle, all of New Mexico in the south. Everything except for the Northeast third of Colorado and much of the western half of Wyoming, almost all of Arizona except for the Southwest area. Now within that area, there's also a spot which will be getting between 60 to 80 mile per hour wind gust just outside of Denver, but part of this also is in southeast Wyoming South West Nebraska, extreme north east and north central Colorado, including central Colorado and South Central Colorado, and that it goes down into New Mexico just outside Albuquerque. There's a small area in Arizona that also hurricane force wind gusts, possibly even up to 80 miles per hour.
Unknown 6:24
The severe storms again are going to be have that line has been reduced to the west.
Unknown 6:33
And perhaps it's even over by now perhaps probably Iowa has the best chance for that occurring, probably eastern Iowa. And that probably was earlier today. But that would need an update because the the pace of the storm system was slowing down earlier today. Now, here's something that would be useful to have an explanation for. There's a concept or a theory, whatever you want to call it, not a theory. But this is just the fact that by each season, the computer models tend to be off by the same amount. So you'll have some winters where the computer models tend to always overestimate the snow. Other winters where they underestimate the snow, sometimes you'll have a season where the computer models can say that this storm is arriving at this time, but it's it arrives much quicker. So then the forecasters know for the next few storms that that keeps happening. That's going to be the pattern for the rest of the season for to ever The reason is this particular season. The computer models are not handling it well. But they are consistent. So forecasts are made based around that. So on Sunday, we had clouds that were expected to maybe make it into the northwest part of the county warning area, but probably not even there. It ended up moving into the Chicago area. So the system went quicker than anticipated. And today it went slower than anticipated. So the question is, which one is it? For forecasters? What do they do in the future? So the thing is, there's a difference between the two systems. And that's important to point out the system the system today, because of its intensity, those tend to move slower. It's the intensity so this is it's not necessarily a certain pattern that the computer models are picking up on or something like that. The system is a different type of a system and that could be why it is moving. It was slowly so we spoke about some of the hazards we spoke about the snow storm the severe weather and the high winds. One good thing that's happening is the drenching rain over drought areas like North Dakota and Minnesota. Some areas are getting an inch and a half of water equivalent or an inch and a half of water of rain in that area. We also had By the way, Thunder snow that occurred earlier today and yesterday.
Unknown 8:56
And that was quite that's always a beautiful sight
Unknown 9:03
to have thundersnow it's always really nice. Having I just think it's beautiful. A Blizzard warnings were in effect for much of the area. Now let's go on and discuss something also very interesting that is going on. I find it interesting. Maybe tomorrow. I won't find it interesting. I don't know. But But here's the thing. There's a tropical storm, it's going back and forth. Pamela Pamela It was a hurricane in the Pacific Ocean. It went over water temperatures which were 85 to 87 degrees and it went over an area with little wind in the upper atmosphere that means nothing would have prevented it from exploding from becoming a very intense storm. Forecasters actually were forecasting it to become a high end category to almost a category three hurricane. The only issue is there was no high pressure system next to it. No
Unknown 10:00
ridge of high pressure in the upper atmosphere. If there would have been a strong one that would have intensified the exhaust fumes, so to speak of the hurricane, and that would have allowed more evaporation more warm, moist air to push into the system, and it would have intensified. It that didn't happen. I believe the system was a tropical storm. It went to a
0:39
Good evening everyone. It is Sunday, October 10 And I just wanted to give a summary of the previous podcast which contained 34 minutes of weather. I'm going to try to get this done in five minutes 15 minutes max. On the weather map but the most significant thing that's taking place right now is a low pressure system that has dived from the northwest or actually this low pressure system was part of a piece of energy that went into reach to the Rockies split into two. One of them became a strong storm system that moved up into North Dakota and brought a severe weather outbreak yesterday. It's possible that that system is bringing some severe weather into northeast Minnesota and parts of Wisconsin this evening, but a more significant storm system, which also came out of this piece of Energy has moved into the southern Colorado area or into Kansas, the southeast part of this storm system is where we have the severe weather outbreak, Oklahoma, it really is the center of all of this severe weather there's a Tornado Watch in effect until 10 o'clock pm for much of Oklahoma and north Texas, North Central Texas, also some parts of Southeast West southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri and Western Oregon's also have a very good chance of seeing severe weather. The highest chance for tornadoes are going to be this evening and then the damaging the most damaging part of these storms is going to roll onto, it's gonna change over to damaging wind as we go through the night, there's a good chance that these thunderstorms which are hitting this right now are going to develop into a squall line later on tonight bringing damaging winds up to 80 miles per hour, possibly even 90 miles per hour in some locations Flash Flood Watch has also an effect for parts of Oklahoma where very heavy downpours is expected and that could cause flash flooding on the other hand, only one to two inches of rain of widespread rain is expected over there but, which is heavy rain but the flash flooding will likely be a result of rainfall accumulations that are higher than one to two inches, large hail to the size of baseballs is also a possibility with some of this severe weather one of the highest dangers with this situation right now is the fact that it's going to be occurring in the night, and that's always more dangerous situation and when these tornadoes occurred during the day the safest place to be would be in a basement away from windows that would be the safest place to sleep. If you are in one of those areas. This low pressure system then move on to the Great Lakes, tomorrow and severe, and the Ohio Valley that's going to be affected by the severe weather tomorrow, chances for severe weather aren't just a possibility there's also a possibility for tornadoes even in the Chicago area, but much less of a possibility than what has been happening in Oklahoma. But there is one thing, extra that's going to be happening in Chicago that is the storms are going to be moving really quickly 50 to 60 miles per hour, which means once a tornado warning is issued if it is issued, there will not be much time to prepare for the most likely damage severe threat in the Chicago area is going to be damaging wind, strong winds just above the surface, 50 to 60 miles per hour is what's going to be pushing these storms, but thunderstorms tend to bring winds down to the surface. So those are the types of winds that might be coming down to the surface whenever you have strong winds, there's always a chance for large deal as well. So there is a possible chance for severe weather for places like St. Louis, Missouri Chicago Illinois Detroit, Michigan, and Cedar Rapids, Michigan as well. And I am not sure about Indiana. I know Northwest Indiana and one would think this would include Indiana, but there was one map I saw in regards to something that excluded in northeast Indiana and I don't know if this is what it is.
4:45
Anyways, a cold front comes through as well tomorrow evening. Tomorrow we're going to be headed the front so temperatures are likely going to hit 80 degrees, it seems like clouds popped up today with some precipitation which prevented temperatures from any 80 degrees, at least during the main part of the day if temperatures did hit 80 degrees here in Chicago would have been much later in the day. Tomorrow we do you have a chance of hitting 80 degrees the humid conditions continue, and then two more nights when that cold front moves through well above normal temperatures continue even after that cold front moves through we see temperatures in the 70s Tuesday, all the way through Friday, really, and then temperatures finally drop into the low 60s by Schabas overnight lows remaining in the low 60s For most of the week possibly upper 50s low 60s Thursday night even temperatures dropped into the upper 40s to low 50s Finally, that's gonna be the first time this month we're gonna have a temperature drop below 60 degrees, probably also the first time this month, we're gonna have a dew point drop below 60 degrees will probably happen sometime on Thursday, low pressure system currently over in the northwest Pacific it's already on land with a strong cold front going all the way from northern Montana into the West Central California area is going to be responsible that storm system is going to be responsible for a major severe weather outbreak over the mainly the Kansas area but also Oklahoma as well. Also in Nebraska parts of Missouri as well. Perhaps even more significant defend the one tonight, this severe weather outbreak is going to be taking place on the southeast side of the storm system has unusually is on the backside of the storm system blizzard conditions
6:18
are expected in the Colorado Rockies. The Rocky Mountains aren't just Colorado, actually the main area that's going to be getting hit the hardest is going to be Wyoming and Montana were 12 to 18 inches of snow, some say 18 to 24 inches of snow as possible AccuWeather max of 30 inches as well. This is also going to be bringing that cold front along that front after the front moves through even before the front moves through already. There's going to be strong winds ahead of the front and then strong winds behind the front high wind warnings were in effect today and in effect, especially for tomorrow through even parts of Tuesday, wind speeds up to 75 mile per hour wind gusts over the Los Angeles County mountains. Powerful winds the National Weather Service is recommending to keep both hands on the steering wheel. And be very careful on driving and to drive slow. Also, The best place to be is in the basement away from windows until the wind storm has passed, stay away from trees and certainly forest areas, or the high winds will be affecting Arizona and Nevada. These are all areas that are included in the high wind watch HIGH WIND WARNING especially Las Vegas, Nevada, temperatures are going to fall 20 to 30 degrees below normal after the front move through. We have overnight lows dropping to three degrees in Stanley Idaho, Stanley Idaho those happen to be one of the coldest places in this country. Recently it's been Peter sees Utah. And I just wonder if fear things Utah is going to be dropping below zero. That's what my prediction is that we're going to be seeing the coldest temperature in the United States for a couple days this week, probably right around zero or even below zero and Peterson's Utah, or just above zero in Stanley Idaho areas of rain and snow probably accumulating only an inch in the Stanley Idaho despite the fact that it will be an extended period of snow when temperatures are going to be above the 32 for much of the daytime, so plenty of melting evaporative cooling will keep the precipitation probably frozen for the most part, even though temperatures will go into the low 40s During the day, it's a large contrast in temperatures 40 to 80 difference between night and day, but usually in the past couple of weeks actually Stanley Idaho's and 50 degree temperature differences between night and day, there has already been a 12 to 18 inch snowfall apparently in someplace in the northwest and it affected a marathon where they had to shut it down in the middle. The temperatures are gonna remain cold after that another storm system will be moving across the Pacific Northwest. In the mid part of the week. This one is not expected to be as strong, but it will bring another shot of cold air, and that is going to be the storm system that that cold front associated with that strong system that's going to be the clear that finally, we'll be able to bring the dew points over here under 60 degrees, and eventually even under 50 degrees temperatures are going to drop under 60 degrees, temperatures under 60 degrees for the first time this month after that second storm system moves through. Temperatures will remain above normal even after that cold front moves through for our area, despite the fact that we have blizzard conditions that the first drone system bringing blizzard conditions, up into the Northwest, that will not be bringing cold air to our area and the that system is also producing of blinding dust storms in the desert southwest dust storms also can cause air quality issues and breathing issues if precautions are not taken, there's a low pressure system that may turn into a tropical storm but it's really unlikely at this point, that's off the coast of North Carolina, moving really slow two to four inches of rain expected in North Carolina. Any area along these coasts, will have the possibility of coastal flooding from Miami all the way up to Boston, I'm not sure what happens north and Boston, but the areas which have a coastal flood warning are Delaware and New Jersey, those areas, people are advised not to park their car in flood prone locations for an extended period because floodwaters, one to two feet above ground level could happen at any time in fact that is what's expected, we ha
The Western U.S., Plains, Midwest, Great Lakes and Mid Atlantic areas are in the midst of an active weather pattern this week. There severe weather of all types over much of this country. From 0° winter weather in parts of Utah and Idaho to 110° heat indices in Rio Grand Village Texas this podcast covers it all. From the blinding blizzards in the inter mountain areas of the northwest to the blinding dust storms in the deserts to the baseball size hail in Oklahoma and coastal flooding with tornadoes this podcast covers it all. The Midwest is in unprecedented consistency in humidity with warm nights for the month of October. Records are being broken daily. To find put about all this and more listen to this podcast. This podcast is delivered with feeling. There are also questions asked along with possible answers. Its 34 minutes of weather. If you are interested in the weather part ONLY then proceed to the following podcast which is 18 minutes shorter. It is common for there to be 2 minute songs at the end of each podcast. This podcast might contain advertisements.
Unknown 0:31
Good afternoon, everyone. It is Sunday, October 10. And we are in the midst of living through an unprecedented event for the month of October for us who come from the Midwest. We're actually going to this event is going to intensify as the week goes on. We have not dropped below 60 degrees yet this month of October, it's already October 10. Temperatures have failed to fall below 60. Now, why have they failed to fall below 60. So someone might want to say that. You know why? Because the daytime highs were around 80. Well, you know, if the daytime highs were around 80, then we would be talking about another unprecedented event for temperatures to be 80 degrees for the first 10 days of October. Certainly the temperatures were 80 degrees i We could hear why The overnight lows did not drop below 60. But when you look back last week, and you see those daytime highs are 68 degrees, 67 degrees, 69 degrees. And then you look at the overnight lows, 65 degrees, different 60 This degrees and 60 degrees, you have to wonder what is going on here, we have the nights are 13 hours long, temperatures start dropping even before skier even before sunset, the temperature start dropping, so we have 15 hours of dropping temperatures. So 15 hours of dropping temperatures we had one day the high was 68. The low was 65. But that was so okay, that doesn't. Let's say the high was 68. And that night, let's say it was 63. Let's just say I think it might have even been less than five degrees, you have five degrees within 15 hours. So we're talking about
Unknown 2:16
dropping one degree every three hours. So a third of the degree in our What can possibly be causing that a third of the degree in our? Well, the answer is the dew points, the dew points, the humidity, the humidity is tremendous insulation here in the city and the temperatures are just not dropping, they can't drop below the dew point and the humidity stays. Now why is there so much humidity and why so much consistency. I don't even know if we see such consistency in July. And we do we do see consistency in July. But even in July, we do get these Canadian air masses every now and then we're dew points dropped into the 50s. In fact, at the very end of July this year, dew points dropped into the 40s. But we've seen such consistency like this is just 10 days temperatures have not dropped below 60 Dew points have remained above 60 degrees.
Unknown 3:10
And the question again is why? So I've read in an article something very interesting. It's because the sun is so weak, the wetness of the ground is just not evaporating and significant pace and therefore the dew points remain high. It is the weakness of the sun that is causing all the warmth right now, we still have vegetation all over the place, the growing season is coming to an end for many places out west. Even in the southwest, hard freeze warnings are in effect. And the National Weather Service leaves off with the forecast discussion they sign off with. And this brings the growing season to an end. It's like it's sad words to hear. Because once the growing season comes to an end over there, and it comes to an end in the northwest Pacific and all around us to the west and eventually to the north. Then the humidity starts to die down once the humidity starts to die down over there, even though the humidity continues over here. But the jet stream is going to gradually start to move south. That's what's going to start to happen. There's a question, there's a major question. Is it cold? Because the Jets is the reason why we're warm? Let's say the reason why we're warm. Is it because the jet stream is above us? Or is the reason why the Jetstream is above us because we're warm. And they say nobody knows. It's like asking what came first the chicken or the egg? Nobody knows. And it's really kind of like a combination of the two. It's a combination of the two. So in a certain way I think it is the humidity that is keeping the Jetstream further north. In fact humid, humid air is lighter than dry air. I know it doesn't feel like that. But if someone hits a baseball and humid air that baseball is going to go much
Unknown 5:00
Further, there'll be more home runs, and human there, especially in Denver, Colorado, there's going to be more home runs humid air than in dry air. So the air expands, the air rises quicker, these air masses expand, they have the ability to push the Jetstream up north. And we are benefiting from that. I think that's what's keeping the Jetstream. Up north. It's the area where there's the starkest the strongest contrast in temperatures within the shortest distance within the compressed with the, there's some other word, but it's the, that's the area where the Jetstream is going to develop. So we are right now south of that area. In fact, even areas much further north of us still, the leaves are barely changing colors, they're still well into the growing season. And it looks like many areas in this country, especially to our west, and even our Southwest. We'll be seeing an end to the growing season this week.
Unknown 6:01
What makes this week even more remarkable than the previous weeks, is that a cold front from us potent storm system from the northwest Pacific, it's going to be moving through our area, in fact, two of them, and the dew points are still going to remain above 60.
Unknown 6:19
Like, even in July, dew points were dropped below 60. If you have these, if you know what's going on in the Pacific Northwest, these are blizzards. This is really cold air coming into the Pacific Northwest. Temperatures in Stanley, Idaho are dropping to three degrees for several nights, three degrees, four degrees, there's five degrees, it actually goes five degrees, four degrees, three degrees, something like that. We have temperatures, we already got down I think to nine degrees in some city in California yesterday. It was definitely the single digits. And I think the number was nine. And it was in the state of California. That was the coldest temperature in this country. That was clear progress, perhaps for the first time that summer. That doesn't happen in the summer. So I've seen 20s in the summer we see 20s Now, but on the other hand, we have Rio Grande village came in at 107 degrees yesterday, heating the high temperatures in Rio Grande village. And this is a different Rio Grande Village. This is not even the hot Rio Grande village, high temperatures today 103 degrees with heat indices of 110 degrees. We do not get that often even in the summertime, it is not common to have heat indices of 110 degrees no matter where you are. When you combine the temperature and the humidity together, maybe the real field temperatures can hit 110. But the heat index, even in Phoenix, Arizona, the heat index on that official chart, maybe it's meaningless for them, because the winds make it feel hotter and the sun makes it feel hotter. But the heat index is several degrees lower than the temperature at least for the first half of the summer. I think for the second half, the dewpoint start to creep up and they start to have a little bit of a heat index but that's when the temperatures start to go down. So we see tremendous heat taking place in Rio Grande village, Rio Grande, even the Rio Grande City also there's tremendous heat going on over there. So it's almost like we're in summertime manage. It's really weird. With we're living in an unpress here in Chicago. This is unprecedented, which that's another way of saying we are in record breaking territory. We broke the record we continue to break the record. And we even have a cold in a cold front in the month of October coming from a winter storm system, a winter like storm system. And there's going to be a second one too. And even then, forecasts continue to forecast overnight lows remaining above 60 degrees I think Thursday night 59 degrees. Finally a front moves through on Friday, temperatures are expected to go down to 50 degrees. Friday night it's going to take that it's going to take that for the temperatures actually dropped to 50 degrees in regards to the East Coast. All of this is vanishing before it reaches the East Coast. The cold air is pretty much vanishing before it hits us. I think Shabbos we're gonna start to feel it high temperatures on the high temperatures only in the low 60s.
Unknown 9:28
You know if we have low dew point air low 60s that it's gonna feel much cooler than what the mid and upper 60s felt last week and higher dew point air. We might start to feel the fall weather by this upcoming Chavez that's certainly a possibility. There's pictures that many National Weather Service's they're taking in the state of Maine, just taking a picture of the trees this year comparing it to last year and just you just see how the the colors are just not changing. It's like we're still in summer. They're start
This podcast needs some corrections. The word "spring" should be replaced with "fall", the word "flash flood watch" is reserved for desert southwest, in Michigan it is a "flood watch" (not flash). "Hudson Bay" should be replaced with "Galveston Bay".
Unknown 0:02
Good morning everyone. It is very early Friday morning August 27. We have a lot going on on the weather map today. First of all, we have a tropical storm Idaho that formed earlier Thursday morning. This system is expected to reach at least category one hurricane strength before affecting the Louisiana State of the southern portions of Louisiana and Mississippi. In fact, the National Weather Service has issued a hurricane watch, which is in effect for those areas Sunday morning through Monday morning. And people should prepare really, they say people should prepare as if there's a category two hurricane hitting that area. But as of now forecasts call for a hurricane strength category one with sustained winds of 60 to 80 miles per hour. now realize that sustained hurricane force winds are 74 miles per hour and National Weather Service is expecting 10 to 15 inches of rain. AccuWeather Max is 20 inches of rain. For many of those locations. This is a very serious storm. This will again be affecting the area Sunday through Monday morning. Now, the thing about this storm is that it's going to be going over an area and the Gulf of Mexico. And there's a certain term for this area. But I do not remember what exactly the term is. But this area in the Gulf of Mexico is very deep, warm water. Now sometimes you might see this word it as it's going over very warm, deep water. But I think really the word very should be on the word deep, very deep, warm water. The water is warm, the water is not any warmer over here than it is anyplace else. The waters in the mid 80s. water temperatures throughout the Gulf of Mexico are in the mid 80s. I was a little bit surprised I was expecting to see some upper 80s. But I see mid 80s. But the water is a there's an area in the Gulf of Mexico where the water is very deep. And it's in the mid 80s. Very deep into the mid 80s. It's in the mid 80s deep. Now what difference does that make? You might think? Well, here's the difference. It's because when there is in the process of the storm developing, the water does there's up swelling and the if you don't have warm water underneath the water on the surface, eventually it will at least delay the strengthening of the storm until the Hurricanes able to move into warmer waters once again. But this time around, that's not going to be happening. Usually when hurricanes move over this type of this type of situation in the ocean. It goes through rapid intensification. It has not moved over this area yet but it's expected to and that's when it's expected to develop into a hurricane. And again, this is headed for Louisiana and Mississippi. The strong track also has a going up into Tennessee as well. And obviously it's going to be much weaker by the time it hits Tennessee and then moving off to the east, northeast, as it does. So
Unknown 2:54
the question is what's going to be happening behind this hurricane? What type of airmass Are we going to have? As of right now, if you look at the country right now, you can't tell really, at least in my part of the country and in much of the country where people are living, you really can't tell that we're in the last week of august about to go into September. It is just really hot and humid, humid. That's really the main word over here is humidity. The humidity is just so high all over the place. I was looking at the for the Chicago area, or Joliet To be more exact, exact, I was looking at what the humidity trend has been in general throughout the summer. And you know, it's the first six days of June, we didn't really get much humidity. But starting from June 7 onward, there's certainly been an upward trend, especially in the consistency of the humidity there. There was a couple breaks in June a six day break after the first I think we had the first several days of tropical humidity were Gulf Coast humidity of dew points of 70 degrees or higher. We had a six day break, but I think that was the largest break we've seen all summer. That was all the way back in June. That was before summer even started that was before June 21. Before the equinox the summer solstice that's that was the largest six day break that we had. After that it's just been humid, very humid. And we've had some breaks here and there we had a few days toward the end of June, the beginning of July, another three days in the middle of July, another three days at the end of July, a couple days from the beginning of August. We had a few days in the middle of August, but since August 17 it's really been tropical humidity every single day. Even with there might have been a two day might have been two day exception to that. But even within that period, we still had human conditions for much of the time. So we are in the midst of very humid here. I know out in the East it's also very humid. Some of this is actually blamed on some of the heat is being blamed on Hurricane and tropical storm Henry that left behind an air of an area of sinking air compressing air, which magnified the intensity of the heat. We have heat advisories in effect for portions of the East Coast up in Providence, Rhode Island, hidden disease expected to go into the mid and upper 90s for later on today, also for Northern Connecticut and parts of Massachusetts as well. We also have heat advisories in effect for portions on Missouri in areas around there, some of the surrounding states are heating the seas are expected to approach 105 degrees. excessive heat warnings in effect for the desert southwest. Once again, temperatures are expected to approach 110 degrees or higher in some locations up to 115 degrees. In some areas. This Chicago area continues to remain under a hot and humid weather pattern. And it's gonna stay that way for the next several days. We're looking at Afternoon highs for tomorrow szabist and Sunday calling all those days highs in the low 90s. That front, it's as if it's like unbeliev it's amazing because, okay, we have a front that pushes through kind of pushes through and you know, Monday, it's already August 30. So it makes sense that we should finally start to see a fund kind of push through, but it doesn't really make it through and even by September 1, it kind of makes it through for Chicago. So Chicago, we're going to have, perhaps some of us might be aware that you know what, we're not going to be aware of it at all, we are going to be north of the front, but the humidity stays behind here in the Chicago area. It remains humid, even on Wednesday, that looks like Tuesday will be even Tuesday, Monday is that day, Monday is that day, we're gonna might seek some less humid conditions on Monday, the front doesn't get south of us for Tuesday and Wednesday. But it's more of a classic July set up for that front doesn't really go too far down south, and looks like it's just gonna head right back up north. That's what it kind of looks like. But we're gonna have to see really what happens. I know there are some forecasts which are starting to throw in some 70s when you go beyond the seven day forecast cycle, but you know, those seven days had been there for a while every beyond the seven day forecast cycle, they keep throwing in 70s. But at the last minute, it ends up that the front actually never does make it south of Chicago, or doesn't make it far enough South that we actually get into the cool and Canadian Air. So this is certainly an unsafe and unusually humid, summer really,
Unknown 7:41
I would say very humid summer. And we've seen dew points in the 70s for 75% of the days in August, I think I think we've seen dew points in the 70s. And it's a similar situation for the month of July. In June, probably about 50% of the days in June, we were seeing we were influenced by Gulf Coast Air, we were under the influence of a Bermuda high in one shape or form of another. And again that rises about 75% for July and August. That's according to the statistics that I saw from the Joliet weather station pretty close to the Chicago and anyways, I think that will cover it for right now. The highlights over here are the excessive heat developing in the desert southwest, the hurricane that is expected to form and affect the Louisiana and Mississippi area. And the heat advisories which are going to be expiring Friday evening which are now for the St. Louis area and Missouri and some of the surrounding states along with Providence, Rhode Island but a little bit less intensity over there. As they finish up with their very humid conditions. We have cooler air coming in for the East Coast for the weekend and next week, but it's possible that only the New England area is going to get a real feel for the cooler air. That's what it seems like most of the East Coast is not really going to get in on the action at all. And probably will see more heat and humidity returned to the region after the hurricane Idaho moves off weekends in this country and moves off the sea. Everyone stay safe. Those who are in Louisiana probably just evacuated if you're in Louisiana and Mississippi, but the storm has not intensified yet. So I wish everybody a wonderful night and have a great weekend and have a wonderful szabist
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Unknown 0:02
Good afternoon, everyone. It is Friday afternoon August 13. And we have the highlight of the weather map today is that brutal heatwave that's taking shape off in the Pacific Northwest. Another highlight is Tropical Storm Fred. Right now it's a tropical depression but it's expected to turn into a tropical storm probably within the next 24 hours. And then it will be headed off to the West Florida coast, the panhandle area of Florida by perhaps Sunday night or early Monday morning. It's not expected to become a hurricane as of now just a tropical storm bringing phenomenal amounts of rain. Dry thunderstorms on the other hand, thunderstorms with no precipitation at all moving across the Pacific Northwest. Lots of smoke and lots of heat and fire temperatures well into the hundreds. That heat then moves into the upper plains by tomorrow at Bismarck North Dakota, which has been
Unknown 1:01
drenched in beautiful pleasant weather temperatures in the 80s. Highs will be in the low hundreds for tomorrow and Sunday. And then that nice weather comes back. That hot weather continues moving east. Now we have the Canadian high pressure system bringing although summer weather but it is much cooler and drier and it feels more comfortable and pleasant. It's going to be here in the Chicago area and much of the Midwest for the next several days. High temperatures in the lower and mid 80s unless you're by the late or highs will only be in the 70s. But my feeling is that even though Highs will be in the 70s by the lake, it will remain swimming weather because dew points will not have that autumn feel to it. It's still gonna feel like summer, not humid, but dewpoints probably mid 50s to low 60s. I think you could probably still go swimming in that. So we're going to have high temperatures mid or upper 70s near the lake low to mid 80s. Inland that's for all of Northern Indiana, Illinois, parts of Wisconsin as well. And then that heat as we mentioned that Pacific Northwest heatwave, that heat moves into the upper plains. Some of that energy continues moving east and it's going to translate into pushing a front which is going to be a warm front, that front with all the heat and humidity which is south of that front right now. That's going to be making a comeback on Tuesday already Tuesday already that's going to start to at least flirt with the area. But we're chances are we're certainly going to feel an increase in humidity by Wednesday. And by Thursday, we're already considered in an elevated or somewhat unlimited actually excessive heat risk officially were considered in an excessive heat risk on Thursday, but the unofficial forecasts from like such as meteorologist Tom skilling temperatures going back into the 90s already by Wednesday, and humidity will be increasing already by Tuesday. But we do have a four day break really today The sun is already out right now it just came out but it's out. So today Sunday szabist Sunday and Monday we have these four days, can I get a correspond to the other five days which were the warmest August 7 to 11th. Easy to remember 711 August 7 to 11th. The third warmest on record since 1950. The fifth warmest, we have some some of the warmest ones occurred back in the 1800s. Believe it or not, but we this at least was the third warmest part. Some of it's due to the high dewpoint air although the the thunderstorms did reduce temperatures, but we ended up having an average an average temperature of 79.5 degrees. That's the new average out the nighttime lows in the daytime highs. The hot and humid air makes a comeback as we have mentioned high temperatures. Many forecasts are still saying mid 80s for Tuesday or next week. But the really the point is is that we're going to be in a hot weather pattern for the middle part of next week. Call it for whatever you want to call it for mid 80s. Upper 80s low 90s. I don't know why anybody would say the mid 80s. Mid 80s is like that's when we're in a warm weather pattern. Mid 80s is Canadian stuff. So Upper 80s Wednesday onward. That's what makes the most sense to me. Tom skilling is saying highs in the low 90s for Wednesday and Thursday. Certainly sounds fine with me. National Weather Service's calling it for upper 80s by Thursday, and Wednesday is a question mark. There's other forecasts, I think AccuWeather already which isn't even going into the upper 80s. So but anyone who's not going into the upper 80s I think they need more of a defense than those who are forecasting Upper 80s because we are going to be south of that front and we're going to be in the hot and humid air. Now it may not hit 90, but that's because of those pop up thunderstorms. The environment, the atmosphere is not expected to be as capped as it was last time around. Now, last time around, it wasn't so capped either. But it was capped enough to give us many hours of daytime heating each day, which allowed temperatures to rise to 90 degrees. So we did see some severe weather outbreaks this time around, there's going to be two differences. Number one, we're going to have more pop up thunderstorms. But number two, the thunderstorms are not going to be as intense. That's what the current thinking is right now, that thunderstorms will not be as intense, but there will be more of those pop up thunderstorms, less stability, more clouds in the afternoon. That's why the chances of reaching 90 or less, as of now they're less this far out, the chances of severe weather are also less.
Unknown 5:57
Anyways, upper 80s. And upward is what I think makes the most sense of your upper 80s. Or you can go along any any temperature pass Upper 80s, you can anything but Upper 80s, low 90s. And then if there's a change in that cloud cover a change in the humidity levels, anything like that those temperatures could rise even higher than that. But mid 80s is Canadian. That's child play stuff that's we don't that's like that's like a September version of summer or an October version of summer or something. So I think those forecasts are going to change. And then after this little heat, the National Weather Service's informing us that there will be an end to the heat by next weekend. But the outlook which has been published in the tribune shows above normal temperatures from August 18 through August 23. For this part of the country here in the Midwest, and for New England, much above normal, much above normal for New England. The Pacific Northwest will be cooling off by the beginning of next week. I wish everybody a good job as well. So I'm gonna try to do that mission again. I bought some Iris never all on the rule was created with 10 utterances 10 things ma Tom Alomar What does this Teach us how lava mama aka doclet borrows wasn't able to create the world with just one mimer Allah Li poro minara shime shama abdeen, si alum but it's the paid back those that are wicked would destroy the world should never boss sir My morrows Hashem could say he Assam created it took him so much time it took him so much he stabbed us 10 my morrows to create the world and you're destroying it. If it was only one mimer then the resign won't be able to get such a severe punishment or there wouldn't be such a claim against them. The leading scar toadlets a deacon and it gives more reward to the deacon shemekia yaman. So lunch never bought sort of models, but it's a deacon are keeping this world exists in existence, which was created intended my morrows this mister definitely needs to hesper it sorry, it needs an explanation as to what exactly it's saying I am certain it seems something of a lot more depth than when I just read. And I hope I'll be able to have a shot on that. I'm not sure when hopefully soon. I wish everybody good. Chavez, thank you for listening. And hope you enjoyed. I'm just gonna add on one more thing. Temperatures went into the low 100 and 20s. In Europe, I believe it was in Italy, which breaks the record over there that the hottest temperature ever recorded. I think it was either 121 or 122 degrees and the old record I think was 118 degrees. We will possibly have more information in regards to that heat wave that's been around there in perhaps an upcoming podcast. everyone have a great job.
Unknown 10:07
He's so sad so far away trying to think about me sometimes and remember the good times
Unknown 10:28
remember all the fun we have together the silly songs and funny things we said we thought it was the movie sleeping in your car What can I say? You are to me like children. I will miss you. So each moment will remember that I
Unknown 11:10
love you and I'm proud.
Unknown 11:11
I wish you the best with all my heart. So try to think about sounds good. Oh, look at disappearing by kV by talking.
Unknown 12:42
No country I see. I feel like I just lost my best friends in the whole wide world.
Unknown 12:56
Yeah, me too shall embarrass me too. But, you know, I have a sneaking suspicion that we haven't really seen the last of those two. I don't know exactly when. And I don't know exactly where. But I just know we're going to see them again someday.
Unknown 13:53
Good job is everyone. Have a great weekend. Thank you for listening.
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0:02
Good morning everyone. It is August and then it's in the late morning and today is finally here an exciting day because it is extremely humid outside and the dew points are really really high. This is a rarity here in the Chicago area. Right now the state of Illinois is the most human state in the country and we're seeing dew point, the maximum dew point in the past 12 hours was a sauna like 84 degrees. It's reporting on one website. Dark Sky says that parts of the Chicago area currently have a dew point of 81 degrees. The National Weather Service weather app says the dew point 78 degrees. Other sources say that the dew point the official dew point in Chicago 76 degrees. Midway according to one side says the dew point 74 degrees. So we certainly been a hard time trying to figure out what the dew point is here in the Chicago area. But either way, probably the strongest indicator that we actually do have dew points currently in the Upper 70s and even low 80s low 80s. Imagine that low at dew point is from the National Weather Service Forecast discussion, where it says the dew points today will remain in the Upper 70s and low 80s remain meaning they have gone up into the upper 70s and low 80s accuweather.com is reporting maximum dew points to be occurring late this afternoon at 79 degrees, and they have their models a little bit off for right now though what do they say the dew point at noon will be 71 degrees, but it's already in the Upper 70s. But either way, perhaps there are places in Chicago where the dew point is only in the low 70s. And perhaps each weather station is reporting a different viewpoints. But by late afternoon dew points will be in the upper 70s. And the National Weather Service has pointed out that there will even be some locations with dew points in the low 80s. This is as high as it can possibly get. The record for Chicago has a dew point of 83 degrees. That's the highest dew point ever recorded in Chicago. So we are approaching record territory here. And what's amazing about this is that it's not just we're approaching record territory, but it also the highest dewpoints in the country are occurring right over the Chicago area. Now South Bend Indiana also is having very high dew points a little bit less than the Chicago area. dew points between 75 and 76 degrees. dew points will likely go a little bit higher as the day progresses. He didn't afternoon he didn't disease top out between 95 and 105. For South Bend, Indiana. He didn't he's expected to be around 110 area wide in the Chicago area. Heat advisories in effect for Chicago possibly for South Bend as well until 7pm this evening. Now the one variable that is might mess up this heat is if thunderstorms develop this afternoon. As of now the thunderstorms are expected to hold off until this evening. Some of those storms could be severe, especially with damaging wind 55 to 65 mile per hour wind gusts with an AccuWeather max of 80 miles per hour. There also could be an isolated tornado and large hail. But the main thing will be the damaging winds with these storms. And it's unbelievable the amount of humidity obviously the amount of humidity these storms are dealing with is the highest in the world. This is as intense as it gets really probably on par with the monsoon in India. Just about you know for a week the dew points for between 80 and 81 degrees in New Delhi, India. We're seeing two points here that are places currently dew points are in the low 80s. And parts of Illinois as we speak. And the maximum dew point I don't know if this is official or unofficial was 84 degrees within the past 12 hours here in Illinois. dew points elsewhere in the country it is very difficult to find an 80 degree dew point unless you go down into Galveston, Texas or Corpus Christi, Texas, otherwise plenty of Upper 70s. Lots of Upper 70s. For dew points. There's an 80 degree dew point here and there in the Iowa area.
4:16
dew points of 80 degrees and temperatures feel approximately 20 degrees warmer than what they actually are when the temperature is 90 degrees. Here in Chicago. I think it's safe to say that you know the other week we had dew points. Tom skilling reported a dew point of 78 degrees here in Chicago. If you look in the dark sky weather map was 76 degrees. It makes sense once one thing happens in a summer the pattern continues and we see those dew points again it would certainly make sense to see dew points between 76 and 78 degrees today. that pushes the hidden disease at 16 degrees warmer it is dew point 78 would make the temperature field 16 degrees warmer than it actually is afternoon high 92 degrees heat index 108 But AccuWeather is calling for 79 degrees, which would make the temperature feel 18 degrees warmer than they actually are, which would put the heat index at 110. And, and the National Weather Service is doing the exact same thing because they're calling for heat indices around 110. That's the peak index this afternoon, around 110 degrees. And will I buy, we'll have to see whether dew points are in the low 70s, upper 70s? That's a question right now, depending on where you are, but by late this afternoon, we'll get a real feel people who want to feel what it what it's like in India, and places like that, although we're not going to have the excessive heat temperatures only 90 degrees. And I see all the clouds, who knows if it's even going to make it that hot. But we will be having sauna like conditions later on today, for sure. In parts of the Chicago area, at least parts of the area are already experiencing sauna like conditions, and this is borderline record territory. And for the state of Illinois, there could be it could be there have been records broken already. In regards to the humidity, I prepared for extremely strong thunderstorms. The amount of energy these storms have to work with, obviously is off the charts. There's many, many other variables that go into the to the development of a thunderstorm and those other variables perhaps are not off the charts. So but the dewpoints certainly, I wouldn't say they're off the charts, but they're very high up on that chart. And do humidities on temperature as a form of energy, but so is humanity. That's also a form of energy. And it's not just temperature, not just air temperature, which is the form of energy. dew points also are both of them transmit energy. They both can energize the thunderstorm, so we're dealing with both high air temperatures and high dewpoints. Therefore, there certainly is room to say that we could be getting some strong storms later on today. I wish everybody a wonderful day. And the heat is here through Thursday. By the way it's not going to be as humid but continued hot and very humid. Just not extremely humid through Thursday. He didn't disease 100 to 106 each day through Thursday. Another extreme heatwave is developing up in the Pacific Northwest record he'd no doubt about it. Temperatures will be breaking the record by at least five degrees for many cities. 105 for Portland, Oregon later on this week. What 98 degrees for Seattle, Washington that will be breaking the old record of 92 degrees. These 90s and hundreds go all the way up into southern Canada. Just boiling hot air up in the Pacific Northwest. I wish everybody a great day. Have a wonderful week.
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This Podcast can be split into 3 parts. Each part is approximately 10 minutes (give or take a minute or two). The information presented in the final part might be needed to fully understand the 1st part and 2nd part for some individuals. The information presented in the 2nd part helps develop a greater appreciation for the information being presented in the 1st part. One can therefore argue that this podcast is out of order. Perhaps it is for non-weather enthusiasts but for weather enthusiasts all of the excitement is in the 1st part. A weather enthusiast can turn this podcast off after 12 minutes. However some might find the 2nd part a little entertaining.
This podcast talks about some of the significance of dew points. Dew point is defined in this podcast. This podcast also discusses the most spectacular (my opinion) weather variable (and its even man made) in regards to humidity. We talk about the Midwest corn fields. The transcript is as follows:
Unknown 0:08
Good morning, everyone. It is Monday August 2. I wish this could be part of the humidity podcast. But that one is just too long already. I wanted to just discuss, why is it so rare to have at Dewey dewpoints in this country? Why? Why do we not experience the yet the other countries on by the Red Sea in the Persian Gulf, they do experience 80 degree dew points well into the 80s. And we don't what's wrong over here? We have the Gulf of Mexico. So what exactly is wrong, the Gulf of Mexico is really, really warm waters. So first, I, maybe I should explain what dew point is, like I did in the previous podcasts, a couple other podcasts. vouchsafed very quickly, the dew point is the most accurate way to measure humidity in the air, it's the temperature at which the environment would become saturated. So again, we have a large jar holds more water than a small jar, heat expands. So the warmer it is, the larger the air molecules are, the more water vapor it could hold. Relative humidity is how much water vapor is the air holding compared to what it could hold. So what you end up with is 90 degrees with a relative humidity of 50%. Relative humidity of 50% mix is a usually the dew points about 20 degrees lower than the temperature. It's that's not 100%. exactly correct. It depends on what the temperature is. But if you have an air temperature of 90 degrees, relative humidity, 50%, that's holding as much water vapor at 70 degrees could hold. So the relative humidity of 100%. When the temperature 70 would produce a relative humidity of 50% when the temperature is 90. And a lot of times by the way, and 90 degree heat in the afternoon, drops to 70 at night. So it's not uncommon to see the relative humidity close to 100% in the morning, and then drop the 50% in the afternoon. It's not that the humidity is dropping the humidity staying the same. The only differences is the relative humidity relative humidity is important. More so I think it's more important for weather forecasters. And dealing with the environment how much the what are the chances that the precipitation will be evaporating before it touches the ground. And it's more important for forecasters, it doesn't play To my knowledge, it does not play a significant role. And for our purposes, in terms of how the air feels, the only time it would play a significant role is when we're dealing with borderline humidity. So dew points of 60 or higher are considered humid, dew points of 70, or higher or 72 or higher, are considered oppressive, sometimes maybe even Upper 60s. So when dew points are in the 70s, it's going to feel humid, no matter what, when dew points are in the 60s, it's gonna feel humid. But when temperatures get really hot, it's not gonna feel humid, it's gonna feel more dry, there still will be a heat index of a degree or two, but it's gonna feel a little bit more dry, the relative humidity is so low in the morning, it's gonna feel humid. And when dew points are in the 60s, I think you do need a higher relative humidity in order for it to feel for it to have that moist feeling. And I think if if it's in the Upper 50s with the relative humidity of 100%, I think it's also going to have that moist feeling as well. So I think that's where the relative humidity plays a role and comfort level in when dew points are in the 60s, and also in the winter in terms of that damp feeling. But again, we go back to our question is why are dew points higher than 80 so rare here in this country. Now one thing you have to realize is that the temperature always has to be higher than the dew point. So the only time dew points of 80 degrees could occur is if the basically the nighttime lows are going to be 80 degrees. I mean, the two points with the Germans will prevent high dew points will prevent the temperatures from dropping too low at night. The temperature the air temperature might be able to drop the dew point by a degree or two but they will prevent those temperatures from dropping.
Unknown 4:45
So what you need to have an 80 degree dew point. Basically what you need is a body of warm water. The coastal cities I've noticed on the Gulf of Mexico tend to have dew points which are 10 degrees lower than the water temperature Now why should that be? Why can't it be they have dew points which are equivalent to the water temperature, the air temperatures that come off of the water are about the same as the water temperature. So if you have the water temperatures at eight degrees in the Gulf of Mexico, the wind comes in off the water, and nighttime, that air temperature will be, I guess, since it's night, will be a little bit less than 88. Maybe at the coast, maybe 86, something like that. And during the day, because the sun is out a little bit higher, let's say 90, well, what about in terms of the moisture level, you have air coming in off of a body of water, hundreds of miles of a body of water, which has been 88 degrees. So let's say the dewpoint should be pretty close to 88, maybe 80, maybe also 86 or something like that. I think the that the human? Well, I know that humidity human airs is lighter than drier air. I know we don't tend to think like that. But it is. So a baseball will fly higher in the human air mass than in a dry air mass. it's counterintuitive, but that's the way it is. So that humid air rises above dry air. So I think the real humid air goes a little bit above the surface. And then on the surface, we're left with very humid air, but not as humid as what just came off of the water. That's what I think. But in any case, it's about 10 degrees lower than the water temperatures. So the water temperatures, for example, today, 86 degrees in one part of Texas 89 degrees in a different part. And then off the coast of Florida, it's very similar. There's one part which is 85. And I would imagine Miami, it's probably close to 90 by now maybe even 90. I think maybe one time I've heard of a 91 degree water temperature, but the water temperatures tend to be in the Upper 80s. So the dew points right on the coast are going to be in the Upper 70s, they're not really going to hit 80. On occasion, they might hit at the there's so why are dew points in the 70s so common, it's because we have a clear mechanism in this country to produce 70 degree dew points. We have it's just a natural phenomenon. When winds coming off the Gulf of Mexico, we're gonna have 70 to 70 degree dew points, there's only one variable needed winds off of the Gulf of Mexico, that's all you need. And then you have 70 degree dew points. That's it. To produce 80 degree dew points, you need at least two variables. You need winds coming in off of the Gulf of Mexico and they continue blowing and blowing and blowing into Iowa. If you can get those winds to go into the cornfields of Iowa and there's no drought, it's a year of a successful corn crop. That's when we get two points in the 80s the cornfields or they are able to bring the dewpoints higher into the 80s cornfields are like a the most ideal. Nothing could be greater than a cornfield, to raise the dewpoint there's like nothing that could possibly exist, that can raise the dewpoints so high, no matter what is going on. The cornfield will always be able to raise the dewpoint. And the reason is because corn fields produce enormous amount of its starts with the T but we'll just call it that the plants are EVAP they are sweating, plants sweat forgot it's there's a word for it. And that sweat is evaporating, it doesn't produce quite as much as the ocean does. Not quite as much. But remember the fact that the oceans 5000 feet deep, that doesn't increase the evaporation rate, you just need a little bit of water on the surface for there to be evaporation. So the oceans producing evaporation the cornfields also producing enormous amounts of evaporation. The thing with the cornfield is that the cornfield is just as hot as the air temperature. So therefore the dew points could go much higher. The maximum dew point ever coming off the Gulf isn't can't be higher than the water temperature. It can't be higher than the air temperature.
Unknown 9:21
So I think the highest dew point ever recorded in this country was the dew point in 90 degrees which occurred in Louisiana and in Wisconsin. So probably there was water temperature of 90 and that particular time somehow the dew point ended up being 90. That air did not end up going higher than the surface it ended up being on the surface 90 degrees. So the cornfield can raise the dew points of about to raise it usually around five degrees. And then if you have solid vegetation with moisture in the soil, going all the way from Louisiana. There's no drought to Oregon so you can maintain the 78 three dewpoint coming in off the Gulf of Mexico, it could man pain could remain 78 probably dropped a little bit into Missouri 75 but then hits the cornfields and it goes up from 78 to 83 degrees, sometimes even from 75 to 83 degrees. When you have places by the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea, so there you have the water temperatures are hotter, and therefore the dew points are higher dew points are in the 80s because the water temperatures are in the 90s. And if they would have cornfields there as well, those corn fields would also raise the dewpoint by five degrees. They don't have corn fields over there as far as I know. So you have the dewpoints coming in off the water in the low 80s, sometimes mid 80s, but usually low 80s. If there would be a cornfield there, you would have dew points approaching 90 degrees over there. Maybe there are some type of cornfield, I don't know. But they don't have the cornfield. So dew points in the 80
This podcast speaks about the heat of Dubai In the United Arab Emirates. It speaks about the humidity as well. This podcast compares the current humidity in Dubai to the humidity in New Dehli India. This podcast briefly mentions the heavy to VERY heavy to EXTREME heavy rains in India.
0 -3:30 Baltimore weather
3:30 - 8:15 - Dome of Heat in Northern Plains
8:15 - 8:30 Desert Southwest
8:30 ?
8:40 Chicago/St.Louis Weather
9:25 Review
10:30 Smoke's effect on temperature within Heat
11:25 Drought Monitor Illinois
12:15 -13:50 climatological data Chicago
13:50-15:30 South Bend discussion of Sunset Part 1
15:30 ?
15:50 wave heights/ air quality
16:30 - 17:20 hottest/ coldest temperatures in U.S./ Russia
17:20 Chicago weather (while we wait)
18:40 shkia south bend part 2
19:25 - 21:10 South Bend weather
21:10 conclusion of Podcast
21:30 - song
0 -3:30 Baltimore weather
3:30 - 8:15 - Dome of Heat in Northern Plains
8:15 - 8:30 Desert Southwest
8:30 ?
8:40 Chicago/St.Louis Weather
9:25 Review
10:30 Smoke's effect on temperature within Heat
11:25 Drought Monitor Illinois
12:15 -13:50 climatological data Chicago
13:50-15:30 South Bend discussion of Sunset Part 1
15:30 ?
15:50 wave heights/ air quality
16:30 - 17:20 hottest/ coldest temperatures in U.S./ Russia
17:20 Chicago weather (while we wait)
18:40 shkia south bend part 2
19:25 - 21:10 South Bend weather
21:10 conclusion of Podcast
21:30 - song
This is the breakdown:
6 minutes on Midwest, Chicago and South Bend weather
2.5 minutes revisiting my summer forecast for Midwest made in June.
2.5 minutes revisiting the statistic of 1x every 4,476 years
2 minutes on east coast.
2 minutes on desert southwest.
3 minutes on Pacific northwest.
The End
2 minute song
This podcast focuses on Chicago initially and South Bend Indiana. It then goes on to speak about the current weather for Midwest and the outlook in rainfall this week and temperature outlook for next week. Next topic covers an update on the long term forecast that was made on this podcast back in June in regards to the Midwest. The Heat of the Pacific Northwest is briefly tied into this.
About 11 minutes into the Podcast we finally move on to the East Coast and discuss the 2 day heatwave. Baltimore/ Washington D.C.. Is singled out. Next topic covers the tropical storm of Florida and its expected impact on the east coast.
Then we finally move on to discuss a strong heatwave that is developing in the desert southwest. Temps might break records in some areas. The monsoon moisture is discussed along with sandstorms and dry lightning.
The next topic is the Pacific northwest. The departing heat dome is discussed along with the arrival of the next heatwave spreading into the area from the desert southwest by the weekend. Wild fires are discussed.
Finally, temperature outlook is given for the Pacific northwest for next week where we find out whether this heat will be sticking around or not.
Unknown 0:06
Good afternoon, everyone. It is Shiva also Thomas. It is Sunday, June 27. Early in the afternoon, and we have monitored for real, like an unbelievable weather pattern, an unbelievable weather situation that's taking place up in the Pacific Northwest and in southwest Canada. In fact, it is so unbelievable. There's a meteorologist and perhaps even more than one Cliff maths who said that if it wasn't for the fact that every single computer model is forecasting the same thing, this forecast would be completely dismissed. It's just completely outrageous what's going on. You know, it's kind of like what it was forecast in Denver many months ago. According to the GFS computer model, where they were forecasting more than 50 or 60 inches of snow, the meteorologist just dismissed it because it's just not possible. It's like totally outrageous. They went ahead and went with the other computer models which were forecasting much less either way, it was a major snowstorm. But sometimes you'll have a computer model which is forecasting something outrageous, and the meteorologists know just ignore it that for whatever reason, that particular model is forecasting something really weird. In this case, the it is totally outrageous what is being forecasted. The only thing is, is that every single model is forecasting the same things, even some of the European computer models, which is completely different. It's made up of completely different material, completely different sensors completely different everything from the GFS model, it's still reaching the same conclusions as the GFS model and other models in regards to the Pacific Northwest and southwest Canada, there's this is probably the they say this is the strongest dome of heat that has ever occurred. And this is also a KERS once every 4776 years, that's on average, those are the chances of something like this happening is one in every 4776 years. There are different opinions in regards to how much of this is connected to climate change or not. We have Cliff mass who feels that this heatwave would be happening regardless of manmade climate change. This is just so so intense, that even without the manmade climate change, he says we would still have an extreme event, he thinks that it perhaps there's climate change that is contributing to a couple degrees, making it a couple degrees warmer than what it ordinarily would it would have been otherwise. But even without the climate change, this is what had happened. And it would have been an extreme event. We have other meteorologists and climatologists who claim otherwise, they say that this completely storm of heat, the whole thing probably would not be happening if it wasn't for manmade climate change. But I would assume nobody really knows, I would assume that it's just going to leave it off as a my focus is different of opinions, different approaches as to how much of this is connected to manmade climate change, if any of it is but in any case, we do have a an an unbelievable thing. Unbelievable dome of heat that's taking place up in the Pacific Northwest. Temperatures are expected to hit 110 degrees and Seattle Washington today.
Unknown 3:37
I do want to acknowledge that, based upon an article that I read, it could be implied that temperatures do reach 110 Every now and then at least for areas along the Cascades and eastward. But for temperatures to reach 110 degrees west of the Cascades, that's basically unheard of. We have temperatures that hit 108 degrees. I think it was in Portland, Oregon, or very, very close to that yesterday. Temperatures, I believe went up to 102 and Seattle, Washington yesterday. These are all records temperature of 110. Today that beats the old record by 19 degrees. The previous record was 91 degrees. Who's ever heard of such a thing, breaking a record by 19 degrees? You know, we almost came close to stuff like that back in the March heatwave of 2012. That also was something that was just so outrageous what went on were temperatures were in the upper 80s for 10 consecutive days, over a very large part of the country, including Chicago. The lake breeze did not affect us. I think there might have been one day might have been one day where Lake breeze developed. And there was one day where I got slightly cooler with temperatures only in the 70s back then. Back then we had record shattering temperatures of at least 10 degrees. We had the old records in the new It's 70s. And the new records were in the mid 80s. That was definitely something that broke every meteorological rule in the book. That was back in March 2012. This might even be more intense than that. We're seeing record shattering temperatures in Seattle 19 degrees, it's breaking the record again by 19 degrees. However, I want to zero in on the city, which is just off the charts. It's just, it's mind boggling what's going on in the city. The city is in Canada. And I took a picture of it and I have to get to the picture because I don't exactly remember the name of the city. The city is Abbotsford British Columbia, Canada. It currently is 94 degrees there. But what I want to actually that was a couple hours ago, it was 94 degrees there. The interesting thing about the city that I get, I get it from so the interesting thing about this city, first of all, temperatures are expected to go up to 116 degrees there. I think that's on Monday. Is that Monday or Tuesday? Do I have it here? I didn't take a picture of that. But temperatures are expected to go up to 116 degrees there. This is a city in Canada. But here's the real thing is there it's going to be human, not just humid, very humid. AccuWeather is calling for dew points between 63 and even 70 degrees. I think it's by tomorrow 4pm or so we'll have dew points in the low 70s. For this city and the city again, the name is Abbott's.
Unknown 6:49
Abbott's Abbotsford British Columbia in Canada. That means we're going to be seeing he didn't exist. Where's the humidity coming from? I don't know, because I'm not familiar with that city or the land, the exact geographic geographical area on there, but it's expected to be human. Now I just want to point something out here. I don't know if this has ever happened before in the United States. If this has happened before. It would be in Yuma, Arizona. Have we've ever had a city here in this country. Certainly Canada. I mean, it's never happened in Canada, that's for sure. This is something which has never happened before. This is unprecedented. This is dangerous. This is This is unprecedented. For real. This has never happened before. So the only city if we've ever had such intense desert, like temperatures combined with Gulf Coast humidity, if that has ever happened in this country, it would have been it would have happened in the city, you might Arizona that would have been the city that this would have happened in I don't know if that has ever happened. These are the types of weather conditions that take place in countries like India, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, places on the Persian Gulf over there, you even get higher humidity than 70, you can get a dew point of 80 degrees. But for this to be happening in southwest Canada, for a forecast high of 116 degrees, and a dew point of 70 degrees hot and humid. How How, how is it happening? Humidity makes the sun less efficient at heating the temperatures. So just to give you an idea of probably how high the temperatures would be, if that dew point would be desert, like if it would be in the 30s or 40s temperatures would probably be about eight degrees, maybe even more eight degrees warmer than that probably 124 degrees. I have noticed that the heat index seems to me to be a good indicator of what the temperature would have been had this have been a desert heat. That's what it seems like to me. So usually, let's say in St. Louis during a major Heatwave, afternoon highs are around 95 degrees with a heat index of 105. In the year 2012, where there was very little humidity, the actual air temperature was 105. So pretty much if you want to know what the actual temperature would have been had this have been a desert a dry heat. That is what the heat index would be now in Canada, the environmental Canada, which is the weather service over there, it doesn't call it heat index. Apparently they call it human index. But so the human index is expected to go into the low to mid 100 and 20s. Up in southwest Canada. Only 30% 60% of people do not have air conditioning over there. That's what I read. 60% of people do not have air conditioning. Temperatures are going to remain hot and humid throughout the night with temperatures remaining in the 80s and humid conditions unbelievable hot and humid throughout the night. Again, temperatures dropping into the low 80s for Abbotsford British Columbia. We're also seeing temperatures scorching heat across the Washington, Oregon area. And I don't know about the humidity over there. I know there is an area in Idaho where they're also expecting humidity. And I don't know, the exact area, the big hello here, the big mystery is why are temperatures just as hot in the cities which will be humid as they are in the cities which will be dry. And that's something which is quite a mystery. But again, we're seeing high temperatures of 116 degrees. That's in Canada, Southwest Canada 116 degrees. With Gulf Coast humidity, this dome of heat, according to the various articles that I have seen is warming up temperatures in every single layer of the atmosphere. This is a high pressure which is going way, way, way up. And some of the numbers which are being shown are numbers that I have not seen before. I'm not even familiar with them. So I can't tell you personally, exactly how rare this these types of numbers are on this type of high pressure system on the way they they measure domes of heat. But I can tell you what they are saying they are saying this is outrageous. The words are insane. And t
Unknown 0:07
Good afternoon, everyone. It is Friday afternoon, June 25. I wish everyone good Shabbos Kodesh.
Unknown 0:13
We have a an A for real an unprecedented event that this has been called an unprecedented heatwave by three National Weather Service's at least the Seattle National Weather Service, the Portland, Oregon and the Spokane, Washington National Weather Service. They're all about to break many, many records, the largest number of hundreds of days where temperatures were in the hundreds for a calendar year for Spokane, Washington is six that occurred in July of 1928. The most consecutive days of temperatures of 100 or higher, was also six, which occurred also in July 1928, the Spokane, Washington now that city is about to see six, possibly even seven consecutive days of 100. Currently Sunday through Friday of next week, those six days are expected to be over 100 degrees in Spokane, Washington, there's a chance that tomorrow also might be at 100 degrees, which would make it seven consecutive days. So that's Spokane, Washington, this is a real rarity, and only 30%, there's 30% of the people do not have air conditioning in Oregon and Washington, those numbers I have to check, I have to look those up one more time. But there's a large percentage of people that do not have air conditioning in these areas. And one of the reasons is because when it gets even when it does get hot during the day, which you can get into the 90s many times, but it gets cold in night temperatures drop into the 50s. In this situation, the National Weather Service says the temperatures inside homes will be in the 80s and 90s. That's because overnight lows are only dropping into the 70s. So there's not really going to be much released at all. And this is really dangerous for people out there where there's very little air conditioning. This is even worse for Canada, where temperatures according to the map that I saw that they published in The Washington Post, everything's published in Celsius. So you see, there's this one city at 45 degrees Celsius, which is 113 degrees Fahrenheit. And it's not so far south in Canada, it's significantly many, many miles north of the border. And this is really something which is quite impressive. There's a lot of explanations being given to how this is happening. And the one interesting thing, there's many interesting things. But one thing is that when you hear the forecasts when you look into the forecasts, and you really think about the forecasts, it sounds so much like a blizzard, in terms of how they're how the forecasters are handling it, how they say that the numbers keep going up and up, the models keep going up and up like is it like originally it was six to 12 inches. Now the model is saying 12 to 18, the storm is strengthening. Now it's 18 to 24 inches. Usually we don't hear that type of stuff. At least I've never really heard that type of stuff when it comes to a heatwave, you can have like temperatures are going a little bit up and stuff like that, like instead of the mid 90s. Now we think it's going to be in the upper 90s Because maybe there's not going to be that much humidity. But in general, we don't really hear things like this. In this situation. It sounds like there was a one of these articles that said there's a complication that some of the forecasters are having. The complication is the fact that the air is so dry. What the forecasters have a good handle on is what the temperatures are going to be in the upper atmosphere about 850 M D above the ground with those temperatures are going to be the difficulty is trying to figure out what will that translate into on the surface. And the models keep going up and up. Up and up. We have some forecasts for Seattle, Washington that are forecasting, this is for Seattle, Washington 110 degrees, I think Sunday or Monday 110 degrees, I just want to point out however, the National Weather Service is forecasting a high 99 or 100 or so they're not at 110 yet but there are forecasts which are putting highs of 110 degrees. We have another thing happening within this airmass there's a low there's a low pressure area underneath the high pressure. So now it this is interacting with each other to prevent any sea breeze from developing. The sea breezes might be there today. It's gone. Not only that, it's gonna be gone for a long time. This it's called a thermal trough which is developing underneath the ridge. This ridge the sprawling high pressure Er which is acting as a heat dome, a dome of high pressure these domes of heat will cause all clouds in this case, even simple clouds will are not allowed to come into this area. They are being redirected outside of this area. And the storm of heat is strong. I believe I read it's the strongest on record that has ever happened. And it's developing north of the border. This is the it's centering itself in Canada, and it's not moving, it's going to be there day after day. These temperatures are sizzling hot. These winds are coming from the north off the Cascades north and northeast winds. It's a it's like a self made the sun is brutal this time of the year, no matter where you are, the days are super long. The grounds are as dry as can be, there's a drought there as well, they're worried about the drought and the fire hazard that will increase those risks may increase. And later in the week, it looks like there might be some dry thunderstorms that might move into the mountain areas.
Unknown 6:03
As there are some dry thunderstorms, which all that means is clouds with it basically means a box of matches will be moving across the area. That's all it is. It's just a it's a way to start forest fires. That's just a cloud that just ignites trees on fire. That's what it is. It's a dry thunderstorm, it's just a cloud with lightning. And anything it touches is going to be on fire. That's how. That's how these forest fires start that's going on right now in the West, there's not much precipitation, even when there is precipitation, these forest fires start anyways, but there is a drought in the northwest. This is again, it is unprecedented. I know there are those that have told me that it does get hot in Spokane, Washington. And I've even said that it does get to 110. So I can just say that, I don't know where that information is coming from because maybe it gets hot, maybe temperatures are in the 90s. Maybe there's like AccuWeather real feel temperatures. You know, the sun AccuWeather says that when you're out in the sun, it increases the the real field temperature increases by 15 degrees. Maybe that's where this confusion is coming from. Maybe it hits the mid 90s, it could hit 95 The real fuel temperature is 110. Speaking of real fuel, there's one other thing that is mysterious to me. And that is so we have all of these National Weather Service's Boise, Idaho all these places is they're all in this excessive heat warning, and they're focused on temperatures and the warm nights. Now in this case, there could be two reasons why the nights are warm one is because you have high humidity. Number two is that it's just so hot during the day. Even though you don't have humidity, it's still it's just not going to get that cold at night, at least around here. In Africa, they have a different story. Somehow it drops into the 40s a night even though it's 113 During the day, I don't understand, but that doesn't happen around here. So in any case, so they have these warm nights because temperatures are so hot during the day. But there are two national weather services and one of them is in Canada. One of them is environmental Canada, that for one particular area they have it's not called heat index, they called it the human index or something like that. They said temperatures will be 38 degrees Celsius or so with the human index of above 40 degrees, which mean the heat index I assume will be above 40, which is above 104 degrees. That's heat advisory criteria. And to me it sounds like there's humidity over there. There's one National Weather Service in Idaho that they said most cities they just said the hot temperatures will create a situation where heat illness will be possible. But there was an area where they said the combination of heat and humidity will create this will create this dangerous situation. I want to know this is I want to know is this true? Is there really an area in Idaho? It's humid in why where's the coming from? There's no call for Mexico. There's no end if it is humid there. Why is it not human anyplace else? All the articles are focused on dry it's so dry. In fact, that's where the difficulty is coming from. Because it's so dry. And when it's dry, the temperatures can vary greatly. And the sun could a lot of times be even more efficient that heating things than the models even think and that's why you find many times especially in the winter, where they might be forecasting they get the unseasonably warm part correct that part they know they know. It's February in St. Louis, let's say it's February we haven't unseasonably mild air mass coming in too high temperatures are forecast to be in the low 60s. At the end of the day, the high temperature was 74 degrees in St. Louis. So they're 12 degrees off. But they got the unseasonally warm part, right? It's just that the sun was just a lot more efficient that heating things than what they thought. Now, we would never have such a thing around here in the summertime in the Midwest, you would never have a high forecast highs, low 90s. Actual high 104. The only way you would have that is if the reason why the temperature was only going to be in the low 90s was because of thunderstorms. And those storms never developed. Or you're dealing with a city where there was forecast to be a lake breeze and it wasn't the lake breeze. But to have the forecast you're forecasting, the whole forecast came true. There was a airmass there was a dome of heat, there's no Lake breeze
Unknown 0:04
Good afternoon, everyone. It is Wednesday, June 11. And we have some phenomenal things going on in our country right now. The newest thing, which we're going to be speaking about later on in this podcast is that the plume of dust which has developed and develops every year above Africa, and pushes over into the Atlantic Ocean is currently headed into the South Florida area. Dust does inhibit thunderstorm development along with shower development. And as a result, the temperatures might actually start to get hotter in the Florida area, and eventually this dust may actually make it further into the United States if what happens last year, what happened last year happens this year. But more importantly, this dust may prevent some of those hurricanes from forming. Once the dust starts, it pretty much sticks around here until mid August. So this gives us a chance for heatwave development domes of heat to develop without any interruption whatsoever. Once they get started. Now, we do have some tropical storm potential over the next week. So let's give it another week or so before solid dome of heat will finally get set up here in the United States in the Midwest, the Great Lakes area even and parts of the East Coast. I do think we're going to be seeing a hot summer this year. And whatever we saw last week and the end of the week before is an indicator of what we're in for this summer unless hurricanes interfere but now that we have this dust coming in from the Sahara Desert, the chances are we will be I'm not sure what type of effect that's going to have on the hurricane season. But it could be that we're going to phase out of the hurricanes until mid August. And at least after next week, and if that should happen we're going to see a solid dome of heat especially considering the fact that the Upper Midwest has drought conditions going on. So the sun is very efficient heating things up. Today temperatures have gone into the hundreds in Kansas Nebraska and Denver Colorado. Highs in the low hundreds North Dakota highs in the South Dakota highs in the hundreds. Phoenix Arizona expecting a high of 116 degrees today. 118 degrees today. For tomorrow. Las Vegas, Nevada rarely gets 215 degrees Believe it or not, but 115 I think it only hit 115 27 times in the past. However many years since record keeping began. But today 115 degrees is expected temperatures reaching even hotter for tomorrow. 116. Over there Palm Springs California seems like it's one of the hottest cities 116 Today 119 degrees for tomorrow. Death Valley California going up to 126 degrees today. It's very serious heat it's there for an extended stay off in the desert southwest. Very serious stuff. Temperatures are in the 100 and teens over a large area. Temperatures are in the hundreds as well over a large area, including much of Oklahoma expecting highs in the hundreds much of Kansas and places further north than that as well. Headed over into the Midwest temperatures have already hit 97 in Missouri. Temperatures are likely going to go into the hundreds later on today in Missouri. Temperatures going up to 101 degrees in St. Louis, Missouri this upcoming Friday. triple digit heat happens every single year pretty much in St Louis, but it is not a common phenomena and especially not in the month of June. triple digit heat is not common in the month of June at all in St. Louis. Usually there's an encounter of it or two in the month of July or August. But it's rare for this to take place in June. Temperatures in the 90s are common in St. Louis but if the temperature does hit 101 That is more of a rarity. Temperatures here in the Chicago area will be going up into the mid 90s Tomorrow says Tom Skilling and low 90s On Friday, but Friday we're gonna see lower humidity and high pressure system comes out of the Canadian region for next week in temperatures cool off highs only in the 80s I think we are eventually going to see a return of that a dome of heat especially after the these tropical storms and hurricanes are put at rest. If this sand stuff does it does its trick. And then we're gonna see that heat expand from the west coast into the Midwest and the East Coast but the site get ahead of ourselves because we'll just speak about reality right now we have the Jetstream dipping down into the mid Atlantic area for these coasts bringing cooler temperatures their temperatures will remain that way for the next week. And we have
Unknown 5:01
The following situation down south we'll be having some issues as a storm system which might develop into a tropical storm moves into that area shortly I wish everybody
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Unknown 0:01
Good morning, everyone. It is, is Monday morning March 22. And the big story for today really in the world, I think from what I've seen is this strong cold front that's going to be moving across Eretz Israel across Israel for tomorrow. That's the country Israel, where we have a really strong cold front moving through based upon what I've read, it seems like those types of things happen when there are deep, low pressure systems that move across the East Mediterranean Sea. I have no idea if this cold front in this situation is a result of that. But it certainly would seem to fit what I've been reading about the climate over there. But in any case, this cold front is going to help produce strong south winds for tomorrow before they become North later in the day. For places like a lot, it's going to increase the dew points to actually humid, somewhat humid as dew points rise from the low 40s into the low 60s. This is for tomorrow, though, that's when the south winds are going to start to take place the weather service for Israel says at about 10am the winds are really going to pick up and continue until about two or three. I think they're going to continue even after that, because if you look@wunderground.com you can see the barometric pressure continues to drop about point two per hour and the pressure drops actually increased during the afternoon. And the pressure increases in the evening. And the greatest pressure increase is actually going to be occurring in the evening. So what based upon that, I would think we're going to be seeing south winds pretty strong south winds 15 to 25 miles per hour, and then they will kind of die down and then winds will turn around and become North westerly or north and probably stronger increase to 20 to 30 miles per hour, or maybe even stronger than that. But in any case, the National Weather Service there the Israel Weather Service says that there is they're expecting sandstorms to develop across southern Israel tomorrow. There also is the possibility of precipitation. Now I thought this was quite amazing. If you look at the weather service over there, the forecast their forecasts, listen to this. The following cities are expecting thunderstorms. This is every single city I'm about to read every single city that's on this list over here. I'm sure there's more than just this, but this is what are being these are the major cities. So you should live in Jerusalem. They're expecting rain today. rain today high temperatures 28 degrees Celsius. So that's about the low 80 not low. Yeah, yeah, low 80s high temperatures in the low eight
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Unknown 0:00
There was a North bomb in a Pacific and Northern Pacific bomb last week. 27.1 barometric pressure in the North Pacific, it's not a hurricane. Who's ever heard of such a thing? 27.1 parametric pressure these days what's going on in the world with a record high pressure in Manitoba. This within the same within a day or two of this record low pressure, feet of snow are falling in Japan, there's unbelievable stuff going on in the world, there's a ripple effect. Not only that, the temperature rose over 100 degrees in the stratosphere, it's 18 miles up above the surface. This has nothing to do with the surface. There's no connection to the surface temperatures. I don't know how it happens, the satellite imagery picked up an enormous amount of ozone. I don't know if ozone is connected to this at all. But it went over 100 degrees, which is almost certain to weaken the polar vortex and it did weaken the polar vortex and the polar vortex split. Once that happens, the arctic air spill South off so you would think that here in the United States, we're going to get real cold. But no all of a sudden in El Nino weather pattern develops By the way, this is not no Nino year. This is a La Nina year. But El Nino weather pattern develops blocks off the arctic air. All arctic air goes down to Europe. They're getting clobbered Eastern Asia, places like that. They're getting all the polar air. There's questions that this polar vortex might even split into three. And probably within two weeks. Europe, no, it might even be at the end of next week already. There already could be big changes in our weather pattern, these things will finally start to be felt right over here. And that's what we all have to pay attention to those that love active weather winter weather. Don't get worried that we're going to waste another winter not humble enough, like last winter. You know last winter also in the stratosphere, temperatures went way up, not not over 100 degrees, but they were forecasting the polar vortex to weaken after that. How could it not but it never did. The polar vortex remains strong. And if the polar vortex is strong, the arctic air remains locked up. And the winter remains relatively mild. That's what happened last winter. This winter. We are hoping meaning meteorologists and weather buffs and people who love nature and love all this stuff. We are hoping for a real winter this year. We haven't had one yet here in Chicago, Texas has been bombarded in Oklahoma. They here in Chicago, we haven't had it Baltimore hasn't had it. So we're waiting. We're waiting. And the we're about to go through a week of like eerie stillness of just nothingness. And it's almost like I'm hoping it's like the calm before the storm. That's what I'm hoping because big changes. The National Weather Service, by the way, pointed this out, that big changes lie ahead. They did not use those words to be honest with you. They did not use those words. But they did say that the indications are that the weather pattern will become more active and colder towards the end of next week, or they said at least a little bit beyond our current forecast cycle. The current forecast cycle is seven days based upon the things that I read about the polar vortex so I I love to go into fantasy mode. And I love to be optimistic. But optimistic by me means storms. It doesn't mean storms. That's what it means to have a week of quiet weather. We are sad on this podcast. It's sad. It's not a time of happiness. on here we celebrate when there's intense weather that's a time of celebration. I'm not talking about hurricanes or devastating stuff. I'm talking about beautiful blizzards, heat waves, just mind boggling stuff that's going on in Australia right now day after day after day. This is this is the type of stuff where we celebrate. We celebrate that stuff over here.
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Unknown 0:31
Here's a forecast for A developing storm system which we bringing heavy snow to the Texas area with possible Thunder snow. Some of these areas have not seen snow in years such as Dallas Texas has not seen a significant snowfall in years, two to four inches expected over there some other parts of Texas six to 12 inches possible. Snow may also fall in the Houston area especially just north of Houston. It's been years since Southeast Texas has seen snow. The areas to the southern Texas may get severe thunderstorms associated with this low pressure system. This system is going to really develop intensify when it hits the Galveston Texas area and picks up tons of Gulf moisture. But even before then the situation is going to be quite intense. This is coming from the northwest Pacific system will slightly fall apart as it moves over the Colorado Rockies, producing only one to three inches of snow over Denver, Colorado and two to four inches of snow over Colorado Springs system then moves to Northwest Mexico tomorrow and then in southeast Mexico by tomorrow evening. And over to the east Texas area system then moves into the Tennessee area and then continues to the North Carolina coast. snow is expected for all of those states but much, much less snow, maybe one to two inches or something like that. And by the time it hits the East Coast, there might not even be enough cold air left for there to be any snow. It might be falling as rain. It's gonna be a quick it's gonna be a tricky forecast. Baltimore does have a chance of getting snow on Tuesday. That probably will be as far north as the precipitation will go. Anyways, everyone in Texas should enjoy all the snow lovers. We This is another Texas storm. It's hitting different cities though. So there are going to be a lot of people that are going to be very excited about this because they don't get to see snow much at all. And snowfall rates are expected to fall one to two inches an hour. According to the Amarillo National Weather Service. People should enjoy and stay safe over the weekend. There's no real reason to be driving, I think. But you know, anyways, just stay safe and enjoy the weather. Have a wonderful day, and a wonderful weekend. And great
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Unknown 0:00
Quick little weather synopsis storm system situated off in the southeast part of the United States continues to bring heavy winter precipitation over to those states and Georgia, parts of South Carolina and North Carolina, parts of eastern Tennessee, even northern Arkansas had winter storm warnings in effect earlier today, three to five inches of snow for much of that area. This storm system had the possibility of touching Washington DC earlier in the week, there was a talk about it, pretty much everyone agreed from the start that it wasn't going to do a thing to Washington DC. And that's basically what is going to be happening. The thing is moving out to see the next low pressure system for the snow lovers. We have snow lovers in this country. And the snow lovers are this year, they better be living in Texas and Oklahoma because those places are getting hit very hard this winter, Texas got two feet of snow southwest Texas got two feet of snow, just last week, and then Oklahoma has been getting snow storms since October to tell you the truth. That's what I have in my head. But the rest of the country, although a lot of the country is also getting snow. But some places out in the East Coast. There are snow lovers that are really, really sad right now, because these storms are just moving off onto the Atlantic and they're not affecting cities like Baltimore, New York got blasted with heavy snow. So they already got their share, although it melted quite quickly. So all eyes turn to the next system, Monday and Tuesday's system of next week. That's a low pressure system that's going to be moving probably over to the North Carolina area, and then possibly develop into a storm system as it tracks North East, the system is going to pull away once again off of the Atlantic seaboard. And it isn't even gonna touch Boston,
Unknown 1:50
there's a chance that it will. But it's not. That's the forecast, it's not going to be touching Boston, New York, we're barely beginning anything if it gets anything. But Baltimore, again, Baltimore has a chance this one Baltimore has a chance of getting snow, possibly even heavy snow whenever you're dealing with a coastal low. So there's always a chance of the situation becoming into a heavy snowstorm. The main issue with this system, the main problem with this system is that it's lacking a solid dome of arctic air, we don't have that on the north part of this system. And that's going to create some problems. First of all, it may reduce the intensification of the storm, the storm may not intensify properly, it might not. And the other thing is that it also well, we'll deal with the storm track in a minute. But it also may not be cold enough for snow. Now being there, it's January. And if you put enough of the dynamic cooling into effect, which is the cooling that takes place because of evaporation, which is very effective when you're dealing with a dry air mass. So if there's strong high pressure in the area, that's when you really get dynamic cooling or when you have heavy precipitation, you could also get evaporative cooling. So those types of things could make the temperatures cold enough for snow, even if really it's not cold enough for snow. And then once the snow covered grounds are there, temperatures get even cooler, and then you get cold enough for snow once again. So that's something that meteorologists are gonna have to look at on that disturbance really, that might be turning into a storm system. But really the only reason why people are paying attention to it is because people are just so desperate for snow already. In the Washington DC in the Baltimore area, Washington DC has had absolutely nothing this winter so far. Now, here's the thing. So in the Midwest, we have a quiet week. It's kind of spooky or kind of eerie. It's so quiet. And so just how could it be so quiet. There was a North bomb in a Pacific and northern Pacific bombed last week. 27.1 barometric pressure in the North Pacific, it's not a hurricane. Who's ever heard of such a thing? 27.1 parametric pressure, these things what's going on in the world with a record high pressure in Manitoba. This within the same within a day or two of this record low pressure, feet of snow are falling in Japan. There's unbelievable stuff going on in the world. There's a ripple effect. Not only that the temperature rose over 100 degrees in the stratosphere. It's 18 miles up above the surface. This has nothing to do with the surface. There's no connection to the surface temperatures. I don't know how it happens. The satellite imagery picked up an enormous amount of ozone. I don't know if ozone is connected to this at all. But it went over 100 degrees, which is almost certain to weaken the polar vortex and it did weaken the polar vortex and the polar vortex split. Once that happens the arctic air spill South off so you would think that here in the United States we're going to get real cold Pinto all of a sudden, an El Nino weather pattern develops. By the way, this is not no Nino year. This is a La Nina year. But El Nino weather pattern develops blocks off the arctic air. All arctic air goes down to Europe, they're getting clobbered eastern Asia, places like that. They're getting all the polar air. There's questions that this polar vortex might even split into three. And probably within two weeks, Europe, no, it might even be at the end of next week already. There already could be big changes in our weather pattern, these things will finally start to be felt right over here. And that's what we all have to pay attention to those that love active weather, winter weather. Don't get worried that we're gonna waste another winter, not enough, like last winter. You know, last winter also in the stratosphere, temperatures went way up, not not over 100 degrees, but they were forecasting the polar vortex to weaken after that, how could it not, but it never did. The polar vortex remains strong. And if the polar vortex is strong, the arctic air remains locked up. And the winter remains relatively mild. That's what happened last winter. This winter. We are hoping meaning meteorologists and weather buffs and people who love nature and love all this stuff. We are hoping for a real winter this year. We haven't had one yet here in Chicago, Texas has been bombarded in Oklahoma, they here in Chicago, we haven't had it Baltimore hasn't had it. So we're waiting. We're waiting, and the robot to go through a week of like eerie stillness of just nothingness. And it's almost like I'm hoping it's like the calm before the storm. That's what I'm hoping, because big changes. The National Weather Service, by the way, pointed this out, that big changes lie ahead.
Unknown 6:49
They did not use those words, to be honest with you. They did not use those words. But they did say that the indications are that the weather pattern will become more active and colder towards the end of next week, or they said at least a little bit beyond our current forecast cycle. The current forecast cycle is seven days based upon the things that I read about the polar vortex so I I love to go into fantasy mode. And I love to be optimistic. But optimistic by me means storms. It doesn't mean storms. That's what it means. So that's what we're hoping that those who are attracted to this little podcast, the people that are supposed to be attracted to this podcast are not people that like safe driving and they like to drive when there's no snow and stuff like that. If you want that you have to listen to 788 w BBM. Listen to something else because you're not going to get that here. It's when we have a week of quiet weather. We are sad on this podcast. It's sad. It's not a time of happiness. If you want to celebrate with other people who are happy you have to go elsewhere. This is not the place for you. On here we celebrate when there's intense weather that's a time of celebration. I'm not talking about hurricanes or devastating stuff. I'm talking about beautiful blizzards, heat waves just mind boggling stuff that's going on in Australia right now. 112 degree heat day after day after day. This is this is the type of stuff where we celebrate we celebrate that stuff over here.
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Unknown 0:01
Welcome, we are going to start off with some amazing stuff going on in the Africa area. I have some music in the background, which actually might make it sound like we are in Africa right now this might make it easier to remember. And in Africa going into Central African Republic and bank guasa. Low temperature Saturday night, 46 degrees, high temperature Sunday, 113 degrees. That's a 67 degree temperature rise, going down to 46 degrees again, Saturday night. 6070. temperature drop, high Sunday 100. Highs Sunday, 113. Low Sunday night 47. High Monday 111. Low Monday night 49. High Tuesday 113. Low Tuesday night 51. Hi, Wednesday, 113. And I have to tell you, that is such a cute little beautiful forecast, that it's almost like humerus, and we actually have to play a song that actually describes the situation. So I think the point is of that song, not the song. I think, like you can do a little dance over there. And we have music for this little dance. Despite the fact that it's 113 during the day and 46 at night, you could still do a little dance, not at night, it's too cold to do the dance at night. It's too hot to do the dance during the day. But you can do it in the morning. You could do it in the evening and get this there are no bugs over there. Because there they have gone three consecutive days of low temperatures in the low 50s. Therefore there are no bugs. So you can go dancing outside with no bugs. And that's why we have some dance music on. That's why I put the dance music on now we're going to go back over to the beaches of South Texas and speak about that. We have phenomenal heat headed into South Texas and midwinter. Temperatures going into the low 90s. Over in Falcon Lake Texas. Temperatures might even hit 90 degrees at the beach says the National Weather Service high temperatures between 80 and 90 degrees at the beach, 90 degrees officially. Ocean water temperature is 66 degrees. The ultraviolet index is a six which is high. And these are things that you are going to be going to the beach, enjoy yourself. The only downside is that cold water temperature of 66 degrees but other than that Thursday would be a great day to go. It is just a little bit. It's a little bit windy. It's expected to be a little bit windy over there. Now in terms of are we going to get into there's another city. This is a city in Mexico that I've spoken about that has phenomenal stuff going on. We'll just play a little bit of some Mexican music. And we'll get into the city over here. The name of the city is we have to get to it here. Where's it least we have that music to listen to all right. The name of the city. Here it is backwall as Del Carmen Mexico and in this city temperatures going down into the mid 30s. Saturday night highs in the low 80s. Sunday lows in the mid 30s. Sunday night now yesterday the forecast called for temperatures dropping into the 20s Saturday night with highs in the 80s lows Sunday night in the 20s highs Monday in the 80s. But they've updated that. So it's not quite as intense as it was before. If we want to go into some other places, you know, we have there are no more fires to be put out. So we don't need to hear sounds like this, which really is the sound of putting out a fire and we also are not going to be giving the forecast for any place in Japan. That is Japanese music apparently. So we're not going to be doing that. But we could go over to Florida, Florida used to be a tropical rainforest. And this is a special tropical rainforest music and in Florida they have a windchill advisory in effect for Orlando Believe it or not. That's also something a little bit humorous but a little bit sad temperatures dropping to 35 Windchill is going down 28 to 33 degrees. Hypothermia could develop says the National Weather Service people should wear their winter coats hat and gloves as National Weather Service and try to find a place a sheltered warm place for homeless people and people who don't have heat in their house. I think uh, hopefully if everyone stays safe, we won't have to hear sounds like this. That was the sound of a car crashing costs for kalila. Should
Unknown 4:56
we hear sounds like that. There is a chance for thunder snow in the news. York area. That is a possibility for thunder snow. We'll have to see what happens. But regardless of whether it happens in New York, where they're expecting 12 to 24 inches of snow in Scranton, Pennsylvania as well, and the complications in the forecast for Providence and Boston because of that rain snow line, also New Jersey where you have Atlantic City with a high wind warning, but only a couple inches of snow but northern New Jersey 18 to 24 inches of snow Lakewood, New Jersey, two to eight inches of snow, Baltimore, three to six inches of snow. But there is a big time storm coming up this week. And that's because of the tremendous contrast and temperatures from that 90 degrees out in the out by the southern Texas area that's pumping up into the storm. And then much colder conditions, temperatures below zero to the northern part of the storm. They're going to see some thunderstorms over in the south east. And people by the way, on the east coast, the schools, they will not be hearing those bells. But here in Chicago, they got to hear those school bells today. Even though the cars were snowed in. They still had school. Plenty of pictures were taken here in Chicago. Less than 10.8 inches fell officially at O'Hare Airport 20 11.5 and West Rogers Park 12.4 in Evanston. Evanston is definitely a beautiful place right now with snow all over the trees. I was there yesterday. The title rave bridge, the rave waves were not as high as I thought because there's a lot of snow and ice but I did take pictures while I was there. And I think we're just going to end off with this side. We're going to end off with a little dance and that brings our forecast to an end everyone. Stay safe and enjoy your night.
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