The EMA Weekend Podcast: Recent Episodes
Patrick
Each week has a different theme and usually includes introductory comments, expert views and commentary from guests, vcpmi guided instructions and closing comments. Each also offers a new daily perspective on the application for the week.Sessions are led by Patrick MontesDeOca, CEO of Equity Management Academy, and by guest presenters.
Summary
- The war in Ukraine continues to put stress on global food and commodity supply chains.
- The mainstream media does not appear to be giving this issue enough attention.
- Just as supply chain issues caused by the pandemic were beginning to ease, now the war in Ukraine is causing more supply chain issues.
- This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Mean Reversion Trading. Learn More »
Summary
- The Russia-Ukraine situation is still unclear.
- Russia is making various demands, such as demanding rubles for their oil and gas.
- A soft landing: Unlikely.
- With inflation and shortages, we could be seeing a runaway market in commodities.
- This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Mean Reversion Trading.
Summary
- The latest news on the Russian invasion of Ukraine is that Ukraine is urging China to denounce Russia’s war in Ukraine.
- The invasion of Ukraine means that a great deal of commodities are being lost to the world supply.
- The metals markets are beginning to react to the crisis in Ukraine, but inflation is also having an effect.
- We are buying Hecla because of the potential shortage in silver that is on the horizon.
- This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Mean Reversion Trading.
- Russia has recognized two separatist regions, which is causing increased tensions.
- The UK has issued various restrictions to banking in relation to the regions.
- Russia already has troops in what was Ukrainian territory, so the invasion has already begun, it is just a question of whether it will expand.
- This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Mean Reversion Trading.
Summary
- If Fed Funds are raised, then bonds go down, stocks go down, mortgage rates go up and housing prices go down.
- The rest of the decade is going to be very low interest rates and tons of money printing.
- This is the path to a major debt crisis.
- This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Mean Reversion Trading.
Summary
- Interest rates are affecting the market with the Fed meeting this week.
- The question is whether it will be a quarter or half a point, possibly signaling to the market that they are serious about controlling inflation.
- It's hard to see how this debt bubble can be maintained by raising interest rates.
- For governments, inflation is the best thing that can happen for heavily-indebted countries.
- This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Mean Reversion Trading.
- Three interest rate hikes this year are highly unlikely, although one is highly probable.
- Gold is near levels where it is an excellent area to add to your gold long positions.
- Bitcoin is in an area where it is a good chance to add to your long positions.