Talking Data: Recent Episodes
Arbor Research & Trading
Welcome to Talking Data: A series of podcasts hosted by Arbor Research featuring Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
We will host a series of discussions which will offer timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm that produces innovative research across a broad range of global fixed-income, equity currency, and commodity markets.
For further information on Arbor Research & Trading please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will share his thoughts on CPI and the Fed Meeting.
• CPI came in less than expected.What is the takeaway?
• The Fed held steady, will they cutrates this year?
• What about the neutral rate?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins to discuss inflation, rising interest rates, and the concentrated tech rally, providing critical perspectives on managing investment risks in a volatile market.Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist of Bianco Research, joins James Connor to discuss the unprecedented challenges facing today's markets. With inflation rates sticking and bond yields soaring, Bianco breaks down why investors need to brace for a volatile second half of the year. Are the market’s biggest tech giants driving an unsustainable rally? Timestamps:00:00 - Introduction01:17 - Nvidia’s market impact05:19 - Rising interest rates impact10:00 - Concentration in tech stocks12:05 - Economic slowdown analysis18:48 - Inflation and stagflation concerns25:00 - Inflation’s economic impact27:28 - Government spending concerns30:00 - Consequences of massive spending32:39 - Interest expense and federal debt35:00 - Fed’s interest rate dilemma40:00 - ECB’s rate cuts vs Fed43:14 - Global economic trends45:00 - Rise of speculative investments48:55 - Conclusion
Jim Bianco’s conclusions from today’s Fed meeting:- “get used to 3-4% inflation & 4-5% interest rates”- no signs of U.S. recession… the theory that the actual labor market is weaker than official payrolls is WRONG (Powell referenced this theory today)- with stock market at all-time highs, it’s clear that the Fed hasn’t broken anything yet - much more! Recorded this afternoon (June 12) shortly after conclusion of Fed Chair Jay Powell’s press conference.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses his thoughts on the stateof the US deficit.
• Putting the Debt/Deficit intoPerspective
• What About Government Spending
• How Does It Get Resolved
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Private Credit, Stock Market Concentration, Bond Yield-Stock Relationship & Corporate Buybacks with Charles Payne.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jim Bianco to MacroVoices.
Erik and Jim discuss:
• Interest, Inflation Rates & Bond Yields
• Fed Rate Hikes and The Economy’s Strength
• Economic Crisis & Budget Deficits
• Oil Demand & Supply, With Focus on China
• Gold Prices & Asian Markets
• US Election & The Stock Market
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Concentration & Performance of the Market, along with potential Fed Rate Cuts with Charles Payne.
Tradier's Option Summit - Jim Iuorio & Bob Iaccino host Global Macro w/ Cameron Dawson & Jim Bianco
Timestamps:
0:00 - Intro3:15 - Commodities Supercycle6:56 - Goods Inflation8:47 - AI as a Deflationary Technology13:10 - Fed Minutes Review14:58 - Are Rates Restrictive?18:39 - National Debt/Neutral Rates/GDP26:37 - Does the Curve Steepen out?28:36 - Supply Chain Disruptions32:13 - Pizza Talk33:54 - More on Supply Chain Disruptions37:47 - Reshoring Effort40:33 - Trade Wars with China43:45 - What would you call the Current Environment?47:07 - Full Impact of Rate Hikes49:05 - Outro
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the ongoing rally in equities and crypto, why Nvidia earnings are as important as CPI and payroll numbers, where rates are heading, and what's driving the spike in crypto.
Jim Bianco discusses positioning of the WisdomTree Bianco Total Return Fund on TD Ameritrade with Oliver Renick.For more information on the fund: https://www.wisdomtree.com/investments/etfs/fixed-income/wtbn
Bianco Total Return ETF is up 2% this month. Jim Bianco discusses the outlook for treasury markets, as well as positive signs in treasuries. He also looks at the Yearly Federal spending as a percentage of nominal GDP. Tune in to find out more about the stock market today.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Economic Data Sentiment, Market Reaction After the First Rate Cut & the Bond Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco recaps the CPI Report, the Equity Market's Reaction & the 2% Inflation Target on CNBC's "The Bond Report" with Rick Santelli.
Ted Oakley interviews Jim Bianco of Bianco Research on interest rates, bond investing, stock investing, and balanced investing.Visit http://www.oxbowadvisors.com/2023-books for a complimentary copy of Ted Oakley's new book "Stay Rich with a Balanced Portfolio" Link: https://oxbowadvisors.com/balanced-po...To speak to a portfolio manager at Oxbow Advisors click this link: http://bit.ly/3Tg0YISSocial Media & YouTube Disclosure: https://bit.ly/3LJ8IRsIntro – 0:00Government & Consumer Spending - 1:21Federal Reserve – 10:00Economic Weakness & Unemployment – 14:15Effects of Work From Home – 17:12Consumer Spending – 20:20Stock Market Euphoria – 22:36Balanced Investing – 27:50Rate Outlook – 34:15Are Rate Changes Worth Chasing? – 36:26Risk vs Return Expectations – 39:10Outro – 42:03
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg Radio to discuss the Last Mile of Inflation, Rate Cuts & the Bond Market with Tom Keene & Paul Sweeney.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss the Bond Market, Rate Cut Timing & the Post-Lockdown Economy with Jonathan Ferro & Dani Burger.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Fed Rate Cut Timing, the Bond Market & Shelter Inflation with Charles Payne & Joseph Wang.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim gives his thoughts on the Fed and QRA.
· No Rate hikes is now dovish
· Tapering QT
· Thoughts on the QRA
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss the Job Market, ISM Services Data, Fed Speak/Timing & Stagflation with Rick Santelli.
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, returns to The Julia La Roche for episode 165 to discuss the current macro picture and the potential impact of inflation on the economy. In this episode, he highlights the bifurcated nature of the economy, with inflation posing a challenge for lower-income individuals. Bianco also shares his insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and the outlook for long-term interest rates. He thinks rates for the 10-year are likely headed higher to 5-5.5% and breaks down what that could mean for asset allocation, including crypto. Elsewhere, he weights in on his concerns surrounding the narrative of the Bitcoin ETF, while emphasizing the need for a comprehensive alternative financial system. Links: BiancoResearch.com BiancoAdvisors.comtwitter.com/biancoresearch Timestamps: 0:00 Welcome Jim Bianco and intro 0:59 Macro picture 1:49 Stickier inflation 4:27 Bifurcated economy6:06 Interest rate policy outlook 7:50 Fed is not partisan but it is political 9:29 Rates on the 10-year likely headed to 5-5.5% 12:00 The Fed doesn’t change policy in the summer up to election day 13:19 Implications for 10-year at 5-5.5% 19:59 Demographics 24:01 Bitcoin ETF 31:38 How Bitcoin gets to $1 million34:10 Parting thoughts
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins Ash Bennington to discuss how mixed tech earnings are propping up the market, the potential for 10-year yields to surpass 5%, and his analysis of the recent price pressure in the crypto market.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss the BOJ Yen Intervention, US Bond Market & Next Week’s Fed Meeting with Melissa Lee and the Fast Money Cast.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Economic Data, the Timing of Fed Rate Cuts and the Bond Market with Sonali Basak.
Ditch the suit and tie, it's time to head to Miami with Bobby and Jim! Buckle up for a special edition of Traders Edge, recorded at the Money Show in Miami. Buckle up for some high speed financial wisdom from special guests Jim Bianco, Tracy Shuchart, and Mitch Roschelle!https://hub.tradier.com/Jim Bianco: @biancoresearchTracy Shuchart: @chigrlMitch Roschelle: @Mitch_Roschelle
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the bond market’s year-to-date performance.
· How was the position going into the year?
· How has the year turned out so far?
· When do rates peak?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Brilliant economist, Jim Bianco of Bianco Research, joins me to talk about the economy's strength, potential recession triggers, and the puzzling behavior of gold prices. A discussion that could have gone on for a couple of more hours, excellent insights!
Recording date: April 19th, 2024
Timestamps & Chapters
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:49 - Federal Reserve Policies and Economic Outlook
00:06:33 - India's Economic Influence and Global Trends
00:16:42 - AI and Economic Productivity
00:19:42 - AI's Impact on Economic Strategies
00:25:53 - Real Estate Dynamics and Market Predictions
00:28:30 - Insights from "The Big Short" and the Subprime Crisis
00:33:15 - Lessons from the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
00:41:10 - Bond Market Strategies and Economic Recovery
00:44:22 - Conclusion and Future Economic Insights
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss “No Landing,” Inflation & the Federal Reserve with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Schwab Network to discuss the Stock & Bond Market, the Federal Reserve & Bitcoin with Oliver Renick.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.Today Jim discuss the big picture on inflation and the economy.· How is the Economy Performing vs Expectations?· What Changed in 2020?· What should we expect?Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Financial Sense Newshour engages in an insightful conversation with Jim Bianco regarding US spending, his longer-term view on inflation, interest rates moving higher, and more. Jim highlights that the US government's current expenditure amounts to approximately 6.5% of GDP annually, a level typically associated with a significant recession or financial crisis. While this expenditure aids in averting an economic slowdown, it also presents inflationary risks and significantly influences consumer psychology regarding savings and consumption patterns, which is sowing the seeds for a separate type of crisis. Listen in to hear what Jim Bianco has to say about today's markets and where he thinks things are heading.
In this episode of the Macroscopic Podcast, Alexej hosts Jim Bianco, a seasoned expert in the financial markets and the President of Bianco Research. Jim shares his profound insights on the dynamics of the U.S. economy, emphasizing the significant changes in labor and consumption patterns post-pandemic. Jim also explores the potential of cryptocurrencies as a viable solution for economies with unstable fiat currencies, particularly in developing regions thanks to its decentralized and permissionless nature.
Jim Bianco discusses the Re-Thinking of Fed Cuts and the Path of Inflation, Geopolitical Concerns, the start of Earnings Season, Consumer Sentiment & Fed Speak with Charles Payne from MoneyShow's 2024 Investment Masters Symposium.
Jim Bianco joins the 2024 Hedgeye Investing Summit hosted by Hedgeye Founder Keith McCullough.
Interest rates have increased by over 500 basis points over the past 24 months. It is a new interest rate regime, and TINA is no more. Investors should be considering capturing some of that yield in their portfolios. Jim Bianco, President and macro strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C., speaks with Barry Ritholtz about the alternatives to equity that are producing real yield.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss why interest rates matter, recent economic data supporting the "No Landing" scenario & the impact of higher bond yields on the stock market with Charles Payne.
The Bitcoin spot ETF has been the biggest narrative driver (and financial driver) in the Bitcoin space this year, but are there some hidden downsides? NLW explores this question with macro analysts (and Bitcoin and crypto bull) Jim Bianco.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. OurTalking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses managing fixed income in a world with yield.
• What is going on with interest rates?
• What is your outlook?
• How hard is it to beat a benchmark?
• How has the Index done?
• What is the current positioning?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss "No Landing," Post-Lockdown Economy & the Neutral Rate with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses how the economy changed after Covid, and how it is unique to the U.S.
· Record Government Spending
· Consumer Spending Boom
· U.S. Separates From the Rest of the World
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss the Bond Market, Inflation & Liquidity with Jonathan Ferro & Lisa Abramowicz.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss today's FOMC Meeting, No Landing & the Bond Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco, Bianco Research president, joins 'Fast Money' to discuss what's ahead for the Federal Reserve, the impact of elevated rates on bond yields, the state of the U.S. economy and more.
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the market’s reaction to the inflation data this week, the action in bond markets, the likelihood of rate cuts this year, the recent breakout in oil, and the forces driving bitcoin's pullback.
On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure to welcome back Jim Bianco. Jim Bianco is President and Index Manager at Bianco Advisors. He is also the President of @BiancoResearch.
During our conversation we covered an array of topics, including Jim's outlook on the economy, what actions Powell is likely to take, why the economy is strong but people are struggling, what no interest cuts would have on the markets and how he has positioned himself. I hope you enjoy!
0:00 - Introduction
1:47 - Economy and markets in next 6/12 months
4:00 - What would it take for Powell to cut?
6:38 - What impact does liquidity have on the FED’s actions?
9:20 - How does election provide Powell with less options?
12:55 - What are the main drivers of US economic strength?
18:38 - Economy is strong, but average person is struggling. Why?
21:30 - Boomers continuing to spend
25:05 - What trends will be driving continue economic strength?
28:30 - Onshoring in the US
30:13 - What impact would no change in interest rates have on stock market?
35:55 - Powell hedging his bets?
37:05 - What happens if Powell cuts?
39:40 - Could 3% inflation and 5% interest rates be ok?
42:08 - Fixed vs variable mortgages
43:25 - How will you position yourself?
47:00 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?
Jim Bianco is President and Index Manager at Bianco Research Advisors. He is also the President of Bianco Research LLC. Since 1990, Jim’s commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking.
Jim appears regularly on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business, and is often featured in the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Grants Interest Rate Observer, and MarketWatch. Jim has a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from Marquette University (1984) and an MBA from Fordham University (1989).
On today's episode Eric Balchunas & Jim Bianco join the show for a debate on the Bitcoin ETF impact. We discuss who is actually buying ETFs, whether Bitcoin ETF investors are passive flows vs hot money & does the ETF represent failure from the original promise of Bitcoin.
Follow Eric: https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas
Follow Jim: https://twitter.com/biancoresearch
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the Fabulous Four and the equity market rally.
· What are the Fabulous Four?
· Have we seen this before?
· What does Wall Street need?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Concentration/Sentiment in the Market, Crypto Energy Usage with Charles Payne.
Futures are lower ahead of this week’s inflation data. Jim Bianco discusses this, along with what Nvidia’s (NVDA) Friday reversal means for the overall market. He also talks about Nvidia, Meta (META), Amazon (AMZN), and Microsoft’s (MSFT) impact on the S&P 500. He then goes over how far the “Big 4” stocks can carry the current rally.
“Wall Street needs the Fed to cut rates, maybe end quantitative tightening, get the money pump going...we don’t have enough money to keep everything going.”
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Fed Policy, Stock Market Dynamics & the 2024 Election with Manus Cranny & Bob Elliott.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.Today Jim explains what’s going on with the Bitcoin ETFs.· What Are the Spot BTC ETFs?· How Big Are They?· What Are Some of the Concerns?Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Rate Cuts, Inflation Bottoming & Savings/Consumer Spending with Tom Keene & Damian Sassower.
My guest this week is Jim Bianco, the founder and President of Bianco Research. Jim is well-known on Wall Street for providing macro analysis since the nineties. Today, he takes us through his unique perspective on the economy. We start with his contrarian view on interest rates. We then cover the changes to the economy since COVID, such as remote work and the new consumer. We also talk about his new fixed-income ETF, Crypto, the Red Sea crisis, and more. Please enjoy this conversation with Jim Bianco.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Current Disconnect in the Economy, Wall Street's Growing Contrarian Sentiment & Some Concerns with the Bitcoin ETFs with Charles Payne.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome back Jim Bianco. Erik & Jim discuss inflation, fed policy, and why Jim thinks the Fed has to start cutting in May or June or else not cut at all before the November election.
On "Markets Daily," CoinDesk Markets Reporter Helene Braun speaks with Jim Bianco, president and macro strategist at Bianco Research about his contrarian take on the promise of spot bitcoin ETFs. #cryptocurrency #digitalfinance #finance #bitcoin #crypto 00:00: Cold Open00:12: Intro00:38: Federal Reserve and interest rates01:33: Impact of Fed policy on bitcoin02:27: Concerns about spot bitcoin ETFs06:40: The role of Wall Street and ETFs09:56: Centralized ownership and concentrated power
Jim Bianco, the President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, tells us why Wall Street might be very wrong about rate cuts, inflation, crypto ETFs and the bond market. Plus, he compares the rise of A.I. stocks and crypto with other frothy periods in history and explains how these usually play out. Plus, the meteoric rise of Nvidia and other chip stocks has brought out the options army in full force. They are calling for much higher prices. Will they be 'in the money'?
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss the Disconnect in the Market, Rate Cuts & Path of Inflation with Jonathan Ferro, Lisa Abramowicz & Annmarie Hordern.
Join Thomas Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, in a riveting webinar featuring Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C. With over three decades of experience, Jim is renowned for his objective and insightful analysis that frequently challenges the mainstream narrative.In this webinar, you'll discover:-Jim's unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets.-In-depth discussions on monetary policy and market-politics dynamics.-Strategies for navigating government's role in the economy.-Insights into fund flows and financial market positioning.About Jim Bianco:Jim Bianco has carved a niche as a preeminent macro strategist. His expertise stems from years of unbiased research and his ability to provide clear, incisive commentary. For nearly two decades at Bianco Research, Jim has been delivering wide-ranging analyses that span from monetary policy and economic fundamentals to the subtleties of market sentiment.Regular Media Presence:-CNBC-Bloomberg-Fox BusinessFeatured In:-The Wall Street Journal-Bloomberg News-Grants Interest Rate Observer-MarketWatchProfessional Background:-Market Strategist at UBS Securities-Equity Technical Analyst at First Boston and Shearson Lehman Brothers-Chartered Market Technician (CMT)-Member of the Market Technicians Association (MTA)Education:-B.S. in Finance from Marquette University (1984)-MBA from Fordham University (1989)Don't miss the wealth of knowledge shared in this webinar. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting, the insights offered by Jim Bianco are invaluable.Stay Connected:-Follow Jim Bianco on X: https://twitter.com/intent/follow?scr...-Follow Jim Bianco on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-bia...Subscribe to Bianco Research for the latest economic insights: https://www.biancoresearch.com/Connect with Hedge Fund Telemetry for more expert financial commentary: https://www.hedgefundtelemetry.com/
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Bond Market, the No Landing Scenario & Optimism in the Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco discusses the WisdomTree Bianco Total Return Fund ETF $WTBN with Bloomberg ETF IQ's Katie Greifeld and Eric Balchunas.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg's ETF IQ to discuss Bitcoin ETFs, $WTBN ETF & why he is Bearish on Bonds with Katie Greifeld and Eric Balchunas.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.Today Jim discusses inflation’s “last mile.” · What is the “Last Mile?”· What factors drive inflation?· How will markets take it?Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Streamed live on Feb 16, 2024Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the market’s shaky response to today's PPI print, whether the Federal Reserve can still steer the economy toward a soft landing, and the impacts of the Bitcoin ETF.
In this episode with macro strategists Danielle DiMartino Booth and Jim Bianco we discuss:- Latest inflation data vs. 'truflation'- Danielle says we're in recession, Jim says we're in a "no landing" scenario- Remote work, wage growth, and AI's impact on jobs- Extreme wealth concentration- Will the Fed cut rates?- Why are stocks booming when rates are still high?- Government spending and national debt -Powell's legacy- Bitcoin and the spot Bitcoin ETFsTimestamps:00:00 Inflation vs. "truflation"2:03 CPI, sticky inflation about 3-4%3:05 Are wages keeping up with inflation?4:53 Unemployment and jobs numbers10:23 Bitdeer Technologies Group promo11:24 Bank Term Funding Program, CRE16:19 Regional banks18:12 Recession vs. "no landing"23:17 GDP vs. GDI26:24 Fed spending to the rescue32:07 Bitcoin 2024 promo32:34 Coinkite Coldcard Wallet promo32:53 CrowdHealth promo33:23 What's happening with interest rates?36:40 End of Quantitative Tightening38:33 Fixing economic inequality42:43 Election year economics53:36 Communities protecting small businesses54:57 "Time of great change" is coming57:11 How will Bitcoin perform?
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Supercore Inflation, Consumer Spending & Gas Prices with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC Last Call to discuss Passive vs Active Investing with Brian Sullivan.
Wall Street is betting on the Fed cutting rates as well as lower borrowing costs across the credit spectrum. Jim Puplava sits down with Jim Bianco at Bianco Research to discuss how things may turn out differently than what Wall Street expects given what we see with the bond market, housing prices, and continued consumer spending.
Daniela Cambone speaks with Jim Bianco, founder and president of Bianco Research, to discuss the recent rise in Treasury yields, its impact on the economy, the state of the banking system, and the real estate market. Bianco explains that the rise in Treasury yields indicates a rejection of previous lows, setting up a base for higher yields. "It means that the economy is doing OK," he continues. However, he points out that inflation becomes a concern as the Fed may not cut rates until the summer. Additionally, Bianco states that systematic risk within the U.S. banking sector cannot be ruled out, as many smaller banks engaged in commercial real estate lending have been negatively impacted by the discounted value of office buildings. “What is an office worth today when people only go there three days a week? And the answer is we don't quite know, but we do know it's not what it was worth in 2019.” He also explains the reasons behind the current real estate recession and suggests strategies for protecting wealth in this uncertain environment. Watch the video to learn more about his insights.
Timestamps:
0:00 10-year yield and the Fed2:03 Economy4:33 Wall Street and the Fed rate cuts7:01 Wealth disparity10:10 U.S. equities outlook14:46 Election year17:25 U.S. banking system22:03 Real estate recession25:12 Gold30:09 Owning physical gold
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the "No Landing" Outlook, Rate Cuts in 24, Food Inflation with Charles Payne.
Unlock the secrets of the Fed's influence over the markets as we sit down with Jim Bianco, the respected mind behind Bianco Research, who's here to deconstruct the perplexing relationship between Federal Reserve policy and market behavior. Our conversation bridges the gap between the pandemic's economic upheaval and the resulting new norms in work culture, real estate, and the bond market's response to inflationary pressures and rate shifts. Jim's insights on the Bianco Total Return Index and its ETF, WCBN, shine a light on investment strategies that cater to the informed investor, eager to navigate the currents of economic indicators with a seasoned captain at the helm.As we traverse the financial terrain, the topic of wealth distribution and economic assistance takes center stage. Jim artfully dissects the curious case of robust corporate bond issuance amid lackluster performance in some stock sectors, emphasizing the stark disparity in asset ownership and debt across income levels. This segment of our discussion isn't just an analysis; it's a call to contemplate the intricate forces shaping market liquidity and consumer choices. Prepare to be engrossed by our examination of credit spreads, the spending habits of diverse economic strata, and the interplay between consumer behavior and inflation.The final stretch of our journey with Jim Bianco casts a spotlight on how technology and international policy shifts are redefining investment strategies. From the potential global impact of Japan's monetary policy to the prospective role of AI in finance, we tackle the pivotal questions facing today's investors. Whether you're adjusting your approach to yield management in fixed income investments or timing the launch of new ETFs, Jim's foresight offers a roadmap for the prudent investor navigating an ever-evolving fiscal landscape. Tune in and equip yourself with the acumen to thrive in the complex world of finance.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the resurgence of goods inflation.
· What’s the latest with shipping?
· How is this impacting prices?
· When do things return to normal?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
DoubleLine's 2024 Round Table Prime was hosted in front of a live audience for the first time. After panelists presented their best ideas for 2024, the audience Q&A sparked candid debate ranging from commercial real estate, geopolitics, elections, corporate debt and budget negotiations.(00:06) Bank Term Funding Program(02:01) What Upsets the Applecart?(03:49) Bank Excess Reserves(06:00) Corporate Debt
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss today’s the Ramifications of Record High Equities, today’s FOMC Meeting, Bond Market Volatility, the Bank of Japan & the Path of Inflation with Manus Cranny and Kate Moore.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Changes in the Workplace Environment & Remote Work with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco, President of market and macroeconomic research firm Bianco Research, appears Jan. 11, 2024, with hosts Jeffrey Sherman and Samuel Lau to discuss among other issues his outlook for a “no landing” U.S. economy in 2024 (1:48), sticky inflation of 3% to 4% (3:25) and his theory on Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell’s dovish turn (9:35) on Dec. 13. “The problem with the economy is there isn’t a problem,” Mr. Bianco says. “My biggest concern is too much growth and sticky inflation.” Between a hawkish Powell speech on Dec. 1 and Powell’s softened stance on Dec. 13, the data showed no change in economic fundamentals. So what changed his mind? Mr. Bianco notes (10:33) that Federal Reserve officials prefer unanimous or near-unanimous votes on monetary policy and bank regulations. He suspects “a bunch of doves” among the FOMC’s voting members let Chair Powell know they were prepared to vote in dissent, “and I think he acquiesced.” Mr. Bianco thinks the biggest change (15:26) in the economy coming out of 2020 was remote work. On economic fundamentals (21:24), he sees little case for “a macro problem with the labor market” or trouble with the consumer. He does note warning signs in credit and the potentially problematic rise of the U.S. government’s interest expense. Asked about exogenous risks (25:55), Mr. Bianco points to attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea and the consequent rerouting of 30% to 40% of the world’s cargo shipping from that critical Asia-Europe route to around Africa. Mr. Bianco warns delays will spell inventory trouble not only in Europe but in the U.S. Mr. Bianco has some criticism of the Federal Reserve (46:33). “The Fed first raised rates in March of 2022. What was the year-over-year inflation rate when they finally got to the first rate hike? It was 8.6%. Boy, they waited way, way, way too long before they got it.” Messrs. Sherman and Lau also discuss with Mr. Bianco why the bond market sometimes is “smarter at sniffing out disaster” than the stock market (51:20), the absence of recession despite protracted recessionary warnings from leading indicators (52:54) and complacency in the credit market (1:06:03).
Jim Bianco, President of Bianco Research Advisors, explains the index behind the WisdomTree Bianco Total Return Fund (WTBN) and offers perspective on interest rates and credit risk.
Join us in this interview with Jim Bianco, Bianco Research, where we dive into critical economic topics shaping 2024. In a sit down with Jeremy Szafron, Anchor at Kitco News, Bianco offers expert insights on inflation trends, housing market discrepancies, bond market shifts, and Bitcoin's turbulent journey. Don't miss his detailed analysis and predictions that could redefine your financial strategy.
00:00 - Introduction & Government vs Real Data
05:46 - Inflation Realities in 2024: Beyond the Numbers
06:14 - Housing Inflation: Gov't vs. Real Data Analysis
07:13 - Sticky Inflation and Its Impact on Rate Cuts
08:09 - Bond Market: Facing the Worst Returns Since Civil War
14:16 - Bitcoin ETFs and Market Dynamics
16:11 - Bitcoin Price Prediction: Potential Drop to $30K-$20K
21:51 - Red Sea Shipping Crisis and Its Implications on Global Inflation
Timestamps:0:00 View on Inflation7:57 The Solution to Federal Government Spending11:20 Stock-Pickers Market/Opportunities in a Rising Rates Environment17:01 Best Idea for 2024Coming together for Round Table Prime are DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; Charles Payne, author and Fox Business Anchor; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. Round Table Prime was held Jan. 11, 2024.
Jim's Comment:6:28 Best Idea for 2024Participants in DoubleLine Round Table Prime 2024 share their best trading and investment ideas for 2024. Coming together for Round Table Prime are DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; Charles Payne, author and Fox Business Anchor; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. Round Table Prime was held Jan. 11, 2024.
Jim's Comment:5:02 Stock-Pickers Market/Opportunities in a Rising Rates EnvironmentDuring the markets segment of its 2024 edition, participants in DoubleLine Round Table Prime present their outlooks on various markets and topics for 2024. Coming together for Round Table Prime are DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; Charles Payne, author and Fox Business Anchor; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. Round Table Prime was held Jan. 11, 2024. (00:29) Charles Payne discusses the state of the IPO pipeline heading into 2024 and how that pipeline has punished investors for 15, 20 years. He also shares his Word of the Year for stock investors: nimble.(5:06) Jim Bianco says the art of stock picking is very much alive, breaks down “a multi-year bear market in bonds,” talks the resilience of the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, and discusses China’s slow recovery and its impact on commodities. (10:44) Jeffrey Gundlach looks at valuations and price-to-earnings since the November start of the Everything Rally then talks about how a secular shift from a long period of declining interest rates to a period of rising interest rates will impact participants’ and prognosticators’ understanding of the markets. He also discusses the potential economic backdrop that would have him looking at EM and lower tiers of credit, and he shares why he has put money in India and doesn’t even look at it. He closes with his thoughts on mortgage spreads, high yield bond defaults and TIPS.(25:18) David Rosenberg talks about how the CPI is a flawed statistic, the S&P 500’s flat two-year performance with no improvement in valuations, how there’s so much psychology involved in the stock market, the equity risk premium, and how the soft landing is real and how historically it has served as a precursor to contraction. He also shares his thoughts on positioning and the outlook for several countries, including Japan and Canada.(42:08) The markets section concludes with Danielle DiMartino Booth discussing private markets juxtaposed against public markets and the impact of public pension funds flowing into private equity a few years ago, and speculating on who will be living in Illinois if Indiana gets rid of its state income tax.
Jim's Timestamps:27:28 Jim's view on Inflation.1:06:26 The solution to Federal Government Spending.
During the macroeconomic segment of its 2024 edition, participants in DoubleLine Round Table Prime among other issues debate the seeming failure of the most telegraphed recession in history to materialize in 2023, the intersection of Federal Reserve policy with a presidential election year and deep changes in the economy post-2020. Coming together for Round Table Prime are DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; Charles Payne, author and Fox Business Anchor; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. Round Table Prime was held Jan. 11, 2024.Topics include:(1:08) How the U.S. avoided recession despite numerous recessionary indicators and evidence the U.S. economy is far more downbeat than some widely followed economic statistics would indicate.(10:57) The condition of consumer and household financial conditions and the rapid rise of consumer borrowing delinquencies.(15:50) Possible factors behind the protracted length of the current cycle, including money supply as measured by M2, and as Charles Payne points out (27:58), the velocity of money.(30:45) Post-2020 transformations of the economy, the biggest, Jim Bianco notes, being remote work and acceleration of deglobalization, with important implications for inflation.(35:52) Federal Reserve monetary policy, including Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell’s dovish pivot Dec. 13, which Danielle DiMartino Booth thinks was timed “to get in front of the Iowa caucuses.”(45:50) The probability of recession in 2024.(50:11) Jeffrey Gundlach’s warning about the combination of the federal government running large deficits (even amid low unemployment), funded by debt, amid rising interest rates, and his outlook on the inevitability of a restructuring of the federal debt and the unfunded liabilities of American entitlement programs.
Rumors are suddenly flying fast and furious that the Federal Reserve will be soon ending its campaign of Quantitiave Tightening (aka QT). This is on top of the 3 rate cuts it recently guided the market to expect in 2024.Is the end of QT indeed imminent?If so what will the implications be?To discuss that, as well as the other major macro trends expected to impact markets most in 2024, we're fortunate to sit down with analyst Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research.Jim thinks the Fed is now scrambling to cut rates and end QT because of the brewing potential for a liquidity crisis once the Reverse Repo Program is fully drained.Follow Jim at https://www.biancoresearch.com/Or on X/Twitter at @BiancoResearch And check out his new ETF, ticker: WTBN
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Soft Landing vs No Landing, Interest Rates, the Impact of Geopolitical Conflicts on Markets & Rethinking Economic Data with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, returns to The Julia La Roche to share his macroeconomic outlook, his call for 5.5% on the 10-year Treasury, impact on the stock market, inflation, the US debt situation, and the approval of a Bitcoin spot ETF. Links: BiancoResearch.comBiancoAdvisors.comtwitter.com/BiancoResearch Timestamps00:00 Introduction and macro outlook 03:07 Call for 5.5% 10-year Treasury and impact on the stock market6:12 The pathway to 5.5%8:08 The Fed's response to inflation11:26 Soft Landing vs. No Landing15:40 Implications of 5.5% on the 10-year21:40 Why can’t we get to 2%? 28:38 Biggest worry with 5.5% on the 10-year31:16 US debt crosses $34T36:35 Bitcoin Spot ETF 44:40 Closing remarks 46:50 Consensus forecasts have been wrong
In this eye-opening episode of Wealthion, host James Connor sits down with Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist of Bianco Research (@BiancoResearch) for an insightful discussion on the 2024 economic outlook. Bianco shares his bold predictions and the rationale behind them. From the movement of the 10-year bond to an astonishing 160% rise in Bitcoin, Bianco’s views are not only thought-provoking but also potentially game-changing for investors.TIMESTAMPS:00:00 - Introduction03:16 - Bond Market Insights07:17 - Inflation and Economy09:43 - Remote Work Impact21:37 - Fed's Inflation Theory28:44 - Interest Rates Discussion29:32 - Fed Rate Cuts Forecast34:30 - November Bond Surge37:56 - Stock Market Outlook38:29 - Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies
Index Websitehttps://biancoadvisors.comETF Prospectushttps://connect.rightprospectus.com/wisdomtree/TADF/947/11?isInternalTAID=True
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss Interest Rates, Inflation & the Change in the Nature of Work with Jonathan Ferro, Tom Keene & Lisa Abramowicz.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Bitcoin Spot ETF Approval, Jobs Market & the Bond Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to give his take on Fed Rate Cuts, Bond Yields & Sticky Inflation with Melissa Lee and the Fast Money Cast.
This week, Jim Bianco Founder of Bianco Research joins the show for a wide ranging discussion into macro, crypto & what investors should expect in 2024. We discuss how to adjust to the end of the 40 year bond bull market, whether the Bitcoin ETF is a positive or negative for the permissionless ethos of crypto & Jim's outlook for the year ahead. To hear all this & more, you'll have to tune in!Timestamps:00:00 Introduction01:08 Reflecting On 202303:04 DAS London Plug04:22 The End Of The 40 Year Bond Bull Market11:44 Inflation & Real Rates In 202315:32 Jim's Outlook For 202427:28 Blockworks Research Ad28:15 The Bitcoin ETF52:19 Final Thoughts
Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist for Bianco Research, LLC. In this interview – recorded from the floor of our MoneyShow Investment Masters Symposium Sarasota – he outlines the good news...the better news...and the “not so good” news about higher interest rates. The long-time financial markets and policy expert explains that investors, governments, companies, borrowers, and retirees will all see different impacts from this new “normal” environment. In his view, it’s not a “doom and gloom” world – even as there will be some clear winners and losers from a return to 2% “real” rates and 5%-6% nominal ones. Jim goes on to discuss the other ways the economic backdrop has changed, including the newfound power labor has relative to company managements. He then pivots to the market and investment implications of these long-term, big-picture shifts. Among them: The “Index Era” will gradually fade, while active management and quality stock picking will prove increasingly rewarding. Stated another way, the markets might generate “milquetoast” returns. But investors willing to put in the work and identify key winners in sectors like technology or energy could generate much stronger ones. Don’t forget to check out our 2024 MoneyShow/TradersEXPO Las Vegas, set for Feb. 21-23, 2024, at the Paris Las Vegas. You can get the very latest insights from experts like Jim there. Click here to register: https://conferences.moneyshow.com/mon...
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss the Bond Market, Type of Landing & Path of Inflation in 2024 with Jonathan Ferro & Sameer Samana.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Bond Market, Rate Cuts, CPI/Average Hourly Earnings with Charles Payne.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jim Bianco to MacroVoices. Erik and Jim discuss:• FED’s Inconsistencies • FED Politics and Election-Year Pressure• US Economy, Inflation, and Interest Rates• FED’s Future Rate Cuts• Interest Rate Impacts on The General Population• Yield Curve Inversion and Its Implications• Potential Impact of Bitcoin ETF Approval• Government Regulation of Cryptocurrency
This week, WisdomTree will launch an ETF (ticker: WTBN) that tracks the Bianco Research Fixed-Income Total Return Index. Join us on Thursday as we introduce the index and how it fits our 2024 outlook. 2024 Outlook This outlook and the Bianco Research Fixed-Income Total Return Index* The ETF (symbol: $WTBN) that tracks our indexThe slide deck: https://biancoresearch.com/bianco/samples/2023/12/Presentation122123.pdf
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Soft Landing Narrative, Inflation & Interest Rates with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Yesterday’s FOMC Meeting, Reaccelerating Inflation & Financial Conditions with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.Today Jim discusses the return of liquidity and what it's doing to asset prices.· What's going on with rates & financial conditions?· What does it mean for market liquidity?· What does it mean for markets?Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Coming soon (expected 12/20 list date):WisdomTree Bianco Total Return Fund (ticker WTBN) – tracking the Bianco Research Fixed Income Total Return Index.https://connect.rightprospectus.com/wisdomtree/TADF/947/11?isInternalTAID=True
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins Maggie Lake to share his inflation outlook, what he expects the Fed to do at Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, and where bonds are headed in 2024. You can find more of Jim's research here: www.biancoresearch.com
Jim Bianco on Fox Business discussing No Landing Scenario, Bond Yields & the Return of Stock-Picking
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss No Landing, Real GDP Growth, Sticky Inflation & the End of TINA with Kelly Evans, Steve Liesman & Nancy Tengler.
Jim Bianco, president and macro strategist at Bianco Research, joins Jim Grant and Evan Lorenz on our podcast, Grant's Current Yield, to discuss interest rates and the new bear market in bonds.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss the Current State of the Bond Market with the CNBC Fast Money Cast.
Jim Bianco discusses External Forces on the Economy, Rate Hikes/Cuts in 2024, Impact of Interest Rates with Charles Payne on Fox Business.
Subscribe to The Meb Faber Show podcast on your favorite platform so you never miss an episode! https://pod.link/1128955736Today’s guest today is Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research and one of my favorite macro minds around. In today’s episode, Jim holds absolutely nothing back. He shares why 2020 was the biggest economic event of our lifetime, why the 40-year bond bull market is dead, and why energy is going to be weaponized going forward. We also touch on the recent labor strikes, the impact of remote work, and why it may be time for active management in both stocks and bonds going forward. To see links or read the transcript of the episode, visit us at:https://mebfaber.com/2023/11/15/jim-b...
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Consumer Spending, Growth Forecasts, Interest Rates Post QE, Bond Market Fair Value & the Chinese Recovery with Francine Lacqua.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.Today Jim discusses the big drop in yields after last week’s refunding announcement.· Why look at TLT?· What are volume and flows telling us?· How about the options market?· What does it all mean?Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
From the fate of the yen to the impact of a potential Bitcoin ETF, get ready for a deep exploration of currencies.Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, and Ram Ahluwalia, co-founder, CEO, and Co-CIO of Lumida, discuss the potential ramifications of an approved Bitcoin ETF.
Jim Bianco joins fox Business to discuss Inflation Expectations, Possible Future Rate Hikes, Interest Rates vs Earnings Reports & The Magnificent 7 with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco discusses the bond markets reaction to the October jobs report. He breaks down the October employment report. He also goes over how he thinks the economy is doing pretty well and noting that inflation has hit its bottom already. He then outlines how the Fed will react to the October jobs report. Tune in to find out more about the stock market today.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Inflation, the Bond Market & Post-Pandemic Debt Dynamics with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.Today Jim explains why we should not expect a reversion to the QE-Era.· Every Quarter – Contraction to Boom· Housing Holding On· Are Real Rates Too High?Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
10–25-23 Place Your Trades Live Twitter SpacesJoin chigrl this week with Amazing guests: @biancoresearch and @IceCapGlobal to talk all things Macro concerning the US and Canada markets! In this video, we shed light on the key factors driving these economies and offer valuable insights that will help you stay ahead in the ever-changing market landscape. Join us as we unravel the intricate details behind the economic forces shaping both nations.
Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist for Bianco Research, LLC. In this wide-ranging interview, the long-time independent researcher explains why he remains a “unique optimist” even though he believes today’s higher rate, higher volatility, and higher inflation environment isn’t going away. Jim believes the post-COVID economic and market backdrop is completely different than the 2009-2020 era, warning that those who say otherwise have their “anchoring all backwards.” He adds that today’s investors would be best served by investing like their predecessors did in the 1980s and 1990s. Back then we had higher rates, but the economy handled them just fine, and the “Peter Lynch Picking Stocks” approach worked well. Jim goes on to discuss opportunities, risks, and trends in the stock, currency, and precious metals markets. He explains why recent challenges “set up a GREAT opportunity” in one asset class that has been hit extremely hard in 2022-2023. He discusses how many old-line industries like manufacturing, transportation, and banking/finance will be disrupted in the coming years – and how investors can capitalize. Plus, he gives a sneak peek at what he’ll discuss at the Investment Masters Symposium Sarasota, set for Dec. 4-6, 2023 at the Hyatt Regency Sarasota. Click here to register: https://conferences.moneyshow.com/investment-masters-symposium-sarasota/?scode=061246
President of Bianco Research, Jim Bianco and MI2 Partners Advisor Harry Melandri discuss all things macro in this conversation filmed at the MI2 Partners Global Macro Summit in Vail on September 28, 2023.Jim highlights the importance of the labor market in a post-2020 world and all the knock-on effects of the end of the traditional 5-day work day world. "'Let's remember what the major problem is, it's a cycle shift in preferences and in the way that we view things that's really driving this, not that everything was fine and we just piled on interest rates."“Rebalance” is a code word for going back to normalizing AKA back to the 2019 cycle of regular 5-day office workday world, a neutral interest rate world. If we’re not, and 2020 marked a cycle change and work from home accelerated things.”
Learn more about Collective at https://www.the-membership.com/
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss the Post-Shutdown Economy, Real Yields & the Yield Curve with Tom Keene, Lisa Abramowicz & Katie Greifeld.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.Today Jim discusses the bond market, rates, and why everyone is still bullish.· Bond Bullishness is as strong as ever· Why The Bullishness?· What Are They Getting Wrong?Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Earnings Season, Stock Market Trend, Bitcoin & Bitcoin ETFs with Charles Payne.
Interview recorded - 19th of October 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming on Jim Bianco - President and Macro strategist at Bianco Research. On this episode we spoke about increasing yields on the long end, the new normal, why this could lead to higher inflation for longer, economic indicators that Jim believes show the new normal, assets to outperform current situation and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:19 - What is Jim currently watching?5:14 - Why would a pivot increase yields on the long end?13:44 - What level will bonds have to be for the FED to intervene?17:19 - Have economist been caught of guard by the new normal?22:04 - Current economic indicators to watch?26:19 - Will fiscal spending remain the same?29:43 - What assets outperform current scenario?36:34 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C. Since 1990 Jim’s commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking. In nearly 20 years at Bianco Research, Jim’s wide ranging commentaries have addressed monetary policy, the intersection of markets and politics, the role of government in the economy, fund flows and positioning in financial markets. Jim appears regularly on CNBC, Bloomberg and Fox Business, and is often featured in the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Grants Interest Rate Observer, and MarketWatch. Prior to joining Arbor and Bianco Research, Jim was a Market Strategist in equity and fixed income research at UBS Securities and Equity Technical Analyst at First Boston and Shearson Lehman Brothers. He is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a member of the Market Technicians Association (MTA). Jim has a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from Marquette University (1984) and an MBA from Fordham University (1989).
This is an exclusive "Hedgeye Investing Summit" interview between Jim Bianco, President of Bianco Research, and Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss the Bond Market, Fed Hikes/Cuts & Oil Prices with Jonathan Ferro & Michael Contopoulos.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss the Bond Market, Real Yields, Bank Walk, Fair Value & Government Shutdown with Jonathan Ferro and Brian Levitt.
Jim Bianco joins joins CNBC’s Fast Money to discuss the Bond & Stock Market, Inflation & Fed Policy with Melissa Lee and the Fast Money Crew.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.Today Jim discusses the neutral interest rate known as R.· What is R and what is its significance today?· Where is the proper level of R?· Does R change over time?Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Schwab Network to discuss his Q4 Outlook, Inflation/Growth Outlook, Fed Rate Hikes with Renita Young.
After this week's wrap-up, Financial Sense Newshour speaks with Jim Bianco at Bianco Research about his outlook for the market, bond yields, and where the US economy is likely headed into 2024. Topics discussed: post-pandemic economic cycle, higher interest rates, higher dollar, foreign investment, renewable energy and fossil fuel demand, Saudi strategy, electric vehicle all-in emissions profile, common theme for recent strikes, and much more.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Bond Market & Federal Reserve Policy with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss today's FOMC Decision with Jonathan Ferro, Tom Keene & PGIM's Greg Peters.
What does the 2023 bank walk mean for the broader economy and the nature of banking? How should investors, too, be thinking about the bank walks and their impact on lending and the broader economy? VettaFi financial futurist Dave Nadig sat down with Bianco Research LLC president Jim Bianco and WisdomTree global CIO Jeremy Schwartz to discuss.
Speaking at the Camp Kotok financial gathering in Maine last month, the trio addressed a series of bank-specific and broader questions. They touched on the nature of modern banking, how concerned banks should be about deposits, the impact of bank walks on the overall economy, and gauged the potential for Fed rate cuts before the 2024 election, as well.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Surging Oil Prices, the Bond Market & Post-Shutdown Economy with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Energy Prices, Post-Shutdown Economy, Inflation Expectations, Central Bank Policy and the Bond Market with Jonathan Ferro & Mohamed A. El-Erian.
Permissionless II: Do We Still Need to Worry About Macro? featuring Jim Bianco, Jurrien Timmer & Mark Yusko moderated by Jack Farley.
Welcome to a bonus episode of Finance U with our esteemed guest, Jim Bianco. Today, we’re diving deep into “The Awkward Global Economic Reboot,” navigating through the complex nuances that make up our current economic landscape.
Ever wondered about the pulse of the bond market? Or pondered which countries are in the lead when it comes to buying oil in these tumultuous times? Jim posits, and I think you’ll find this fascinating, that we’re operating in more of a unified world market than most of us are inclined to believe.
Now, let’s talk about the enigma that is the Federal Reserve. What are they really up to behind those monumental columns? And in a world that’s rapidly transforming, the ‘work from home’ culture is ushering in its own set of challenges, but it’s not the grim picture some are painting. In fact, there might be a silver lining we’re all overlooking. On the grimmer side, a distressing social trend has emerged: videos of people breaking down, unable to meet the basic costs of living. It’s a sign of the times, but how did we get here?
From the era of the ‘nifty fifty’ to today’s ‘magnificent seven,’ market powerhouses have shifted, and the influence of these giants is palpable. And before we wrap up today, we’ll touch upon the elephant in the room – the still untapped and unpredictable potential of AI on our global economy. Buckle up, folks; this is one episode you won’t want to miss.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the basis trade and bond market positioning and sentiment.
· What is the latest with the basis trade?
· What are other measures of bond market sentiment and positioning saying?
· What are the bond bulls looking for?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Bank Walk, Bankruptcy Boom & latest in the Crypto Market with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Alex Malitas of Bianco Research.
Today Alex will give us an update on 0DTE Options. · What’s going on with 0DTE nearly a year after they became popular? · Can you remind us how 0DTE options work? · How is this showing up in markets?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Join us on a riveting episode of Buy Hold Sell as we delve into the intricate world of finance with esteemed guest Jim Bianco, President, and Founder of Bianco Research. Hosted by seasoned Wall Street traders Todd M. Schoenberger and Tobin Smith, this episode goes beyond the surface, exploring the depths of the financial landscape. Jim Bianco brings his unparalleled expertise to the forefront, offering a comprehensive analysis of interest rates, Treasury yields, and a highly anticipated forecast for the August Jobs Report. Get ready to embark on an intellectual journey that uncovers the complexities of the market.
In this enlightening conversation, Jim Bianco provides deep insights that empower investors to understand the dynamics of interest rates and their impact on the broader financial ecosystem. As we navigate the terrain of economic indicators, Bianco's perspective sheds light on the nuanced interplay between Treasury yields and investment strategies. With a keen eye on the horizon, he also lifts the curtain on his anticipated forecast for the upcoming August Jobs Report, equipping listeners with a rare glimpse into the potential direction of the job market. Don't miss this opportunity to gain insider insights from one of the industry's most distinguished minds, guiding us through the multifaceted realm of finance.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Future Rate Hikes, the Bond Market, the Energy Market & China with Jonathan Ferro & Stuart Kaiser.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim updates his thoughts on the bank walk.
• Bank stocks are struggling again.
• The Bank Walk never stopped.
• Where is the Bank Walk showing up?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss the Bond Market, Long-Term Inflation Projections & Rate Cuts with Carl Quintanilla and Leslie Picker.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to recap Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole Speech, discuss an inflation roadmap, and give a China update with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to recap Powell's Jackson Hole Speech, Bond Yields & the Stock Market with Scarlet Fu and Sonali Basak.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss The Magnificent 7, a Bank Walk Update & The Bank of Japan with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins ‘Fast Money’ to talk the U.S. Bond Market, what to expect out of Jackson Hole this week and more.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss the Reasoning & Impact of Higher Bond Yields, Jackson Hole & China with Kelly Evans, Tyler Mathisen and Ron Insana.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Capitalism, Bond Yields, Mortgage Rates & the Oil Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss Treasury Inflows, Yield Curve Steepening, Inflation Reaccelerating, Recession and No Landing Scenario, Bond Auctions with Carl Quintanilla and Sara Eisen.
Jim Bianco, founder and CEO of Bianco Research, and Samuel Rines, managing director at Corbu LLC, join Jack Farley on beautiful Leen’s Lodge for the first week of “Camp Kotok.”
Follow Jim Bianco on Twitter https://twitter.com/biancoresearch Follow Samuel Rines on Twitter https://twitter.com/SamuelRines
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Re-Accelerating Inflation, Future Rate Hikes, No Landing Scenario and Bond Market Auctions with Romaine Bostick and Katie Greifeld.
Jim Bianco joins TD Ameritrade Network to discuss today's CPI Report, the Stock/Bond Relationship, the Fed's Inflation Fight & how the market will react when the Fed starts to cut rates with Oliver Renick.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will discuss the latest with the Bank Walk, and why it matters.
•The SLOOS report suggests a Recession, Corporate spreads do not. • The Bank Walk Continues. Lending Stalls. • Where do we see it in the markets?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss a Potential Soft Landing, WFH/Hybrid Work, and Second Half Stock Market Performance with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg TV's "The Open" with Jon Ferro and Sonal Desai of Franklin Templeton.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss yesterday’s FOMC Meeting & Today’s GDP Report with Maria Bartiromo.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg's Fed Special to discuss today's Rate Hike, the Fed's Inflation Fight & Decision Making with Jonathan Ferro, Tom Keene, Lisa Abramowicz, Bob Michele & Andrew Hollenhorst.
Jim Bianco joins ‘Fast Money’ to talk the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting and why he thinks the central bank won’t extend its pause on hikes this month.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question, what does the stock market see
• Breaking down the stock market in 2023 • What are other markets doing? • What does it mean?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss Inflation Base Effect, Rate Hikes & Stock Market Performance with Jonathan Ferro and Gershon Distenfeld.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss S&P 500 CEO vs NBA Salaries and the Inflation Base Effect with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco discusses the Stock Market Rally, the Relationship Between Bond Yields & the Stock Market and the new Bond Bear Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco on TD Ameritrade Network discussing the Large/Small Cap Divergence & Bank Underperformance with Oliver Renick.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss the Inflation Base Effect, the Economy, what the Fed does next with Tom Keene, Katie Greifeld and Ellen Zenter.
Julian Brigden, Co-founder & President of MI2 Partners, joins Jim Bianco to chat through markets and provide exciting details about their upcoming Global Macro Summit from Sept 26th - 29th in beautiful Vail, CO.
The Global Macro Summit will be the first macro event of its kind, designed to deepen your understanding of current and projected market dynamics.
They have a fantastic lineup of speakers with some of the best macro minds out there that MI2 Partners relies on to guide their decision-making. These global experts will share what it takes to navigate global headwinds and thrive in an increasingly volatile landscape. You'll have the chance to explore and dissect specific themes and trends in panel discussions and intimate breakout sessions with these sought-after experts.
You'll also spend time in the beautiful Vail Valley during one of the most stunning seasons and choose from various local excursions to experience with speakers. Or bring a plus one to enjoy together!
More about the venue, speakers, and VIP experiences are provided via the link below. Please note: Early Bird Pricing ends July 15th. Save $500 on your ticket before it's too late!
https://mi2partners.com/global-macro-summit-early-bird-registration/
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss a Potential Recession, Inflation Base Effects, Rate Hikes, & the Bond Market with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question, is inflation bottoming in June?
•What is the Base Effect, and what does it say about Headline Inflation? •How about Core Inflation? •How will the Fed react to this?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Inflation Base Effect, Fed Rate Hikes, Recession Gauge with Ashley Webster.
Jim Bianco on FoxBusiness discussing the July Fed Meeting, Bond/Stock Market Message, Inflation Path with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam answers the question, is the easy disinflation over?
•Underlying Price Pressure Continues
•Grocery Prices Remain Elevated
•The Housing Conundrum
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will answer the question if we will get a liquidity squeeze.
•Can funds be outside of the financial system?
•What is the size of the drain?
•What can offset it?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Future Rate Hikes, Fed Speak, the Job Market & Debt Ceiling with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Debt Ceiling, Inflation & the U.S. Economy with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question, why are markets so calm ahead of the Debt Ceiling?
•The Treasury Bill yield curve "kinks"
•What is the significance of June 15?
•What options does the President have?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins FoxBusiness to discuss Retail Sales, Regional Banks, & Charles' Favorite Fed Member.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to talk the Post-Pandemic Market, the Fed, Regional Banks, Debt Ceiling with Jonathan Ferro, Tom Keene and Lisa Abramowicz.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam talks through the oil puzzle.
• Global Demand Story
• Sweet vs Sour
• Last Piece of the Puzzle
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Fed's Senior Loan Officer Survey & Regional Banks with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins CNN to discuss the Debt Limit along with current and future market implications with Erin Burnett.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss the banking crisis & how it factors into the Fed's decisions with Melissa Lee and the Fast Money cast.
We've had the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th largest bank failures in American history in the last two months, notes Jim Bianco. He discusses what collapse of First Republic Bank (FRC) means for the overall banking systems. He highlights that all of the movement in the economy is pointing to a slowdown. He goes over how the banking system is very complicated, so the market has a habit of misunderstanding and misjudging the banks. He also notes that futures are muted Monday ahead of this week's FOMC meeting. he highlights that he thinks Powell is leaving the door open to hike and will hike again.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the latest with banking, deposits and the debt ceiling.
•What is the latest with Banking?
•What is the latest with Deposits?
•What is the latest with the Debt Ceiling?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Central Bank Influence, M2 Money Supply & WFH/Hybrid Work with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Proposed Fed Regulations on Smaller Banks & Tax Season Data with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Recessionary Risks, the PPI Report & Bank Earnings Reports with Lauren Simonetti and Joe LaVorgna.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg TV to discuss the Fed’s Inflation Target & the Work From Home/Hybrid Work Environment with Jonathan Ferro, Tom Keene & Lisa Abramowicz.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question, is a credit crunch coming?
• The latest in deposit outflows.
• Where do loans come from?
• What’s next?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam talks about the other parts of SVB.
• Areas of Concern
• Takeaways from SVB
• Long Term Implications
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Banking Crisis, Market Conditions & the Jobs Report with Maria Bartiromo.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.Today Jim discusses the banking crisis and what we have learned since.• Yield-Seekers• Bank Borrowings• Cash SurgeThank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss the Bank Crisis, Bond Market Volatility & Equity Market Performance.
The Nasdaq closed at the highest level of the year last Friday with an about 20% move off the October 2022 lows. Does this signify a bull market today? Jim Bianco says that for the moment the stock market is moving up, but bank stocks do not agree. Bonds also are in a different territory as rates are down from where they were a month ago. The stock market today is driven by FAANG stocks, Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA).
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the banking crisis and what we have learned since.
• Yield-Seekers
• Bank Borrowings
• Cash Surge
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco on Bloomberg TV discussing the latest in the Regional Banking Crisis & the Federal Reserve with Tom Keene and Lisa Abramowicz.
ELON MUSK MEET JIM BIANCO
BIANCO: DON'T SEE ANOTHER BANK FAILING
BIANCO: FLOW TO HIGH YIELDING ALTS. TO CONTINUE
BIANCO: REGIONAL BANKS MATTER COLLECTIVELY
BIANCO: BANKS PRICING IN SQUEEZE OF MARGINS
BIANCO: FED NOT THINKING OF PAUSE RIGHT NOW
Jim Bianco on Fox Business discussing Money Leaving Banks, Money Market Funds & the Future of Banking with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss what will determine the next Fed rate hike and what he would rather own - the NASDAQ or the 2-Year with Kelly Evans.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam talks about energy one year later and one year forward.
• Is Energy Still a Place to Hide?
• Impact of Rate Hikes on Oil
• 25% Returns for Oil Producers
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco breaks down the failure of Silicon Valley Bank & Federal Reserve Policy going forward on Bloomberg Markets: European Open.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the problem with surveys.
• How are payrolls collected?
• What is happening to response rates?
• What does it mean for understanding the economy?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the Future of Remote Work, a potential Four-Day Workweek & AI's effect in the Workforce with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins TD Ameritrade Network to discuss the Fed's Inflation Fight & the No Landing Scenario with Oliver Renick.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Yield Curve Inversion, March Fed Meeting, China Reopening with Jonathan Ferro, Tom Keene & Lisa Abramowicz.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Wall St vs Jay Powell, Fed's Inflation Gauge & 6% Fed Funds with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss February’s Fed Minutes & what to expect going forward from the Fed with Melissa Lee and the Fast Money Crew.
Jim Bianco talks the state of the US Consumer, "No Landing" Scenario & the Bond Market on Fox Business with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam talks about another reopening.
• Reasons for Optimism?
• Ridership in a Post-Covid World
• The Crowded Skies
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Yahoo Finance to discuss "No Landing," Fed vs Inflation & a Return to Stock Picking.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the Fed’s rate hike cycle and how far they might go.
• The market is starting to price in more than 5.25%
• What do fund managers think?
• How does inflation/economy fit into this?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg TV to discuss Sticky Service Inflation, "No Landing" & the Post COVID Economy with Jonathan Ferro, Tom Keene and Lisa Abramowicz.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the U.S. Economy, tomorrow's CPI Report & Market Evaluations with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim explains what 0DTE options are and why they are so popular.
• What are 0DTE options?
• Why are they so popular?
• How to measure it?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg TV to cover the Labor Market, Mixed Signals in Equities, Recession Timetable with Jonathan Ferro & Megan Greene.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss tomorrow's FOMC Meeting, Inflation & the Labor Market with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg TV to discuss this week's FOMC Meeting, Market Conditions in the US & Europe with Jonathan Ferro & George Goncalves.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam discusses the lingering effects of the pandemic as they show up in overlooked places.
• Healthcare Sector: Boom or Bust?
• Impact of Reopening
• Global Phenomenon
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim argues that the market is not worried about the debt ceiling right now, but check back in May.
• Why Do We Have A Debt Ceiling?
• Where Do We Stand Now?
• What Happens in June?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss what to expect from the US Economy & M2 Money Supply with Charles Payne.
This video is an excerpt from our conference call last week outlining our views on China. China is already reopened, but we still need to figure out what this means. Mobility in China has bounced back but is still well below pre-Covid levels. On top of this, the recent protests in China exhibited citizens might not be ready to return to the pre-Covid world. They are demanding change in their country. Things have changed in China. We don’t yet know exactly how. But to assume the country will immediately return to 2019 norms and its economy will rebound immediately may prove overly optimistic.
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss this morning's PPI Report, Fed Rhetoric & the Bond Market with Charles Payne.
In the third segment of Round Table Prime 2023, the panelists offer their best investment ideas for the year ahead. The panelists are host DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach, and guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; author and Fox Business anchor Charles Payne; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. The discussion, recorded Jan. 4, 2023, was moderated by DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman.
Time Stamps:
(0:13) Best investment idea for 2023.
(0:55) Thoughts on India.
(01:56) Speculation in the market is not gone.
Full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRjf4VfZm7E
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam looks at all things steak.
• Supply Projections
• Feeder-to-Steak Profitability
• Elevated Input Costs
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
In the second segment of Round Table Prime 2023, the panelists offer their outlooks across equity, fixed income, commodity and other markets. Then they are asked to share hypothetical fixed 12-month asset allocations for the calendar year. The panelists are host DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach, and guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; author and Fox Business anchor Charles Payne; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. The discussion, recorded Jan. 4, 2023, was moderated by DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman.
Time Stamps:
(0:00) Updated thoughts on DeFi.
(03:45) Calculating duration on stocks.
(05:14) Thoughts on ex-United States economies.
(06:30) Asset allocation advice.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg TV to discuss Fed Rhetoric after CPI, the US Economy & China Reopening with Jonathan Ferro and Priya Misra.
2023 could offer cyclical downturn in a landscape of secular change as the world appears on the threshold of global recession. Moreover, trends that for decades have driven economies, markets, monetary policy and governance might be staging reversals. In this first of three segments, DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman on Jan. 4, 2023, discuss the Macroeconomic State of Play with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; author and Fox Business anchor Charles Payne; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates.
Timestamps:
(0:10): Current state of the Federal Reserve.
(4:08) Where does Inflation settle out at in 2023?
(6:34) Will the Fed be successful in eradicating the Fed Put?
(9:58) China Reopening.
Full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AwEPd-jORQU
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Fed Policy, "Bad News is Good News" & the Bond Market with Charles Payne.
Bianco Research president Jim Bianco gives his take on requiring negative COVID-19 testing for Chinese travelers and weighs in on their policies on 'Making Money.'
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam looks under the hood of retail sales and holiday spending.
• Cyber Monday for the Win
• Post-Covid Spending
• Seasonal Labor Demand
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the Fed vs the markets.
• Is there a difference between the market and the Fed?
• What does the market think?
• What does the Fed think?
• What does it mean for markets?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Fed Policy, Economic Data and the latest in the FTX Scandal with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss the Bank of Japan's policy change & what it signals for other Central Banks with Tyler Mathisen and Kelly Evans
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam gives us his perspective on the housing market and what really matters.
• Perfect Storm
• Red Hot Markets Nose Dive
• Why the Turmoil Matters
• Mobility of Labor
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss Central Bank Policy, Depth of Recession, Terminal Rates with Jonathan Ferro and Rob Waldner.
"The short end of the yield curve is going to force the 10-year note higher," predicts Jim Bianco. He explains the inversion is at a 40-year extreme and that could mean trouble for the long end too.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the outlook for oil markets.
• Supply and Demand Dynamics
• Lack of a Sustained China Reopening
• Energy Constrained World
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Bianco Research president Jim Bianco and Quill Intelligence CEO Danielle DiMartino Booth discuss the state of the economy and when the Fed could start cutting rates on 'Cavuto: Coast to Coast.'
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss today's CPI Report & tomorrow's FOMC Meeting with Neil Cavuto.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss current market conditions and the SBF/FTX Fallout with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim gives his thoughts on Wall Street’s 2023 outlook.
• The outlook for 2023
• How are market players viewing it?
• What is the contrarian case for 2023?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC Fast Money to discuss Inflation, the Federal Reserve & Tomorrow’s PPI Report.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam discusses the nature of the catastrophe bond market.
• Uncorrelated Nature of the Market
• Gap Down
• Biggest Threat
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim was on Bloomberg TV this morning talking about the consensus forming around a recession in 2023. The hope ingrained in this opinion is the Fed will be forced to pivot, pushing risk assets higher. He also talked about the jobs market.
"Everyone expects a recession, and because of that, everyone expects the Fed to pivot, they'll be cutting rates in the second half of the year, everyone expects that will drive that will be falling inflation... transitory never really went away." - Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco joined Fox Business to discuss Jerome Powell's latest speech, Market's reaction to November Jobs Report, Gambling vs Investing & the FTX Fallout vs DeFi with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco joins TD Ameritrade Network to discuss the Crypto Market & China's Zero COVID Policy with Oliver Renick.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam discusses the two industries that seem to be the most important to Fed policy going forward.
• Energy vs Tech Layoffs
• A Coastal Story
• A Better Balance
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the FTX Meltdown, Crypto Ice Age & Russian Missiles in Poland with the birthday boy Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses last week's CPI Report and the market reaction.
• What did the CPI report say?
• Does it change the outlook for the Fed?
• Why such a big reaction?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss today's CPI Report, how the Fed reacts, & Midterm Elections with Neil Cavuto.
Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg TV to discuss today's CPI Report, the Federal Reserve & the Crypto Market with Jonathan Ferro.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the latest events in the Cryptocurrency Market with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim give us a midterm election update.
• What is the Generic Ballot, and what does it say?
• What are the betting markets and models saying about the House and Senate?
• What is the latest on important Senate races?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question does the Fed's reaction function now include Nick Timiraos?
• What is a Step Down?
• Why does Nick Timiraos Matter?
• Will Powell Step Down?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Charles Payne on Fox Business to recap Jay Powell's comments at yesterday's FOMC Meeting and what they mean for markets going forward.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam discusses all things currency.
• Strength of the US Dollar
• Battle of the Currencies
• Trade Dynamics
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Will The Fed Signal An End To Rate Hikes? He discusses the Fed's policy after Friday's Wall Street Journal report. He talks about how the Fed's Daly says more hikes are necessary to reach a restrictive stance. He then examines the rise in treasury yields FVX, TNX, and TYX. He also goes over what's next in the Fed's rate hike plan.
Jim Bianco discusses the latest Economic Data, the Fed "stepping down," Janet Yellen & Federal Funding with Charles Payne.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam discusses a staple that has gone under the radar.
• A Costly Cup
• Biggest Producers
• Changing Trends
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco of Bianco Research breaks down the market action. With CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Guy Adami, Dan Nathan, Karen Finerman and Jeff Mills.
Jim Bianco on the Terminal Rate, Persistent Inflation, Return to Alpha, Post-Pandemic Economy with Tom Keene and Lisa Abramowicz
Jim Bianco on the Federal Reserve looking into Raphael Bostic's trades during restricted periods on Bloomberg TV.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will answer the question what’s missing from the Fed’s argument?
• Transitory Still Lives!
• No Agreement at the Fed
• Pivot talk will not stop
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam discusses what today's OPEC+ meeting means for the oil complex.
• Production Cuts
• Spare Capacity
• Global Energy Crunch
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the rise in the 10-year yield, and historically what that means for the stock market.
• The 10-Year yield is up nine straight weeks
• What happens next?
• What does it mean?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the current state of the labor market with Neil Cavuto.
Jim Bianco joined Fox Business to discuss bear market conditions, the Fed going too far after last year's mistake, and the new era of higher interest rates with Charles Payne
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam gives us a rundown on social media and when unicorns crash.
• The Role Social Media Plays
• The Surge in Unicorns
• Valuations
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco of Bianco Research on the impact the Fed is having on the markets right now. With CNBC’s Melissa Lee.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam gives us his thoughts on the upcoming midterm elections and where markets should focus.
• The Market’s Focus
• Gasoline Matters
• Consumer Sentiment and Political Views
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Market Sentiment in a Bear Market & Confidence in the Fed with Neil Cavuto.
Jim Bianco joined BloombergTV on September 26th, 2022. Below are Jim's talking points:
1:17 - Are we going to keep repricing terminal rates until the end of the year?
2:37 - It's difficult to live with 4 or 5% interest rates for an extended period of time.
5:46 - Do we go back to the pre-COVID, zero interest rate environment?
6:57 - What breaks the positive correlation between bonds and stocks?
19:20 - Market environment in the UK.
Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss the global bond market and interest rates, and persistent inflation.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss tomorrow's Fed Meeting and when Inflation will come down with Charles Payne
MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Bianco Research founder Jim Bianco to revisit the inflation debate, and Jim says inflation isn’t going away any time soon. They also discuss the equity market outlook, precious metals, and much more.
00:00 Intro
00:38 Market Wrap
14:23 Feature Interview with Jim Bianco
57:58 Postgame - Did the Next Leg Down Begin?
Jim Bianco joins Oliver Renick to set expectations ahead of the Fed announcement Wednesday. He discusses bond yields and the effect that a baseline of 75bps rate hikes would have on the markets moving forward.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam explains how tightening monetary policy has affected the so-called zombie companies.
• Consequences of Tightening Monetary Policy
• Root Causes
• Importance of business models
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim explains why inflation will remain persistent.
• Three factors have held down inflation: Cheap Labor, Cheap Goods, and Cheap Energy.
• What about technology? Can it offset the factors above?
• Thoughts on today's CPI report
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco discussing the recent rally in Tech Stocks, Inflation at 2% or 4%, Higher Interest Rates with Neil Cavuto on Fox Business
Jim Bianco was on Bloomberg TV this morning discussing the energy market, higher interest rates/inflation, the US dollar, and the Bank of England.
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Fed Chair Powell's remarks on inflation, job growth, crypto with Charles Payne
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question, "is inflation 'fever' really breaking?"
· The consensus continues to view inflation as transitory across the globe.
· Forecasts for developed countries.
· Is this a one-time post-pandemic surge?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler atgus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam gives us a look into the return of Meme Stock Mania.
· Meme Stocks are Back
· Twitter Mentions and Stock Prices
· A Leading Indicator
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joined Fox Business to discuss back-to-work policies and the post-pandemic labor market with Neil Cavuto and Rob Luna.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim gives us a preview of the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.
• You’re only as good as your worst assumption
• Outlook for September
• When does the hiking cycle stop?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim's talking points can be found at:
1:38 - Market response to Powell's comments.
4:50 - 4% Fed Fund Rate?
9:17 - Hiking at the expense of the Labor Market.
15:23 - Investment Grade & High Yield Spreads.
19:37 - 50 or 75 BPs based off of Payroll?
20:27 - Rapid Fire: 50 or 75 BPs? Rate Cut in 2023? 3.50% Peak on the 10Yr?
Jim Bianco discusses Student Loan Forgiveness, Indications of a Recession, Asset Allocation Tactics on Fox Business with Charles Payne
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam answers the question, where’s the rain?
• Critical Role of Water
• Global Food Commodity Markets
• Investment in Water Related Resource Management
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco on Fox Business discussing the Post-COVID Labor Market & Economy, Gas Shortages in Europe
Jim Bianco joined Fox Business with Charles Payne to discuss the Fed Minutes & Jackson Hole, and how aggressive the Fed will have to stay as inflation stays sticky.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question what will it take for inflation to fall and the Fed to pivot?
· Inflation is expected to return to 2%, is transitory still alive?
· What did we learn from July Payrolls?
· Can inflation fall without wage inflation falling?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joined Fox Business to discuss the Inflation Reduction Act, Federal Reserve Rate Hikes, CPI and US Treasury Sanctions on Tornado Cash with Charles Payne.
Jim Bianco, Bianco Research, on the markets ahead of key inflation reports. With CNBC’s Brian Sullivan and the Fast Money traders, Steve Grasso, Courtney Garcia, Guy Adami and Jeff Mills.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim covers the persistent inversion of the yield curve.
• Different yield curves the market watches.
• What is a persistent inversion?
• What does it mean for the economy?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam explains why it will take time for the decline in food costs to filter through.
• Surging Food Costs
• Fertilizer Prices Back at Pre-War Levels
• What Productivity vs Output
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim takes a look at the Forward Curves.
• What are forward curves, and what are they saying?
• What is their track record?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim discusses the Fed’s priority.
• The latest on real growth
• The latest on inflation
• What is the Fed’s priority?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam looks at the collapsing crypto market.
• Collapse or Buying Opportunity?
• Crypto Coins’ Market Caps
• Wealth Effect
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim gives us an valuations and the financial sector.
• Is the stock market cheap?
• What is the message from Financials?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam gives us an update on the used auto market.
• Used Cars & Trucks Have Dominated
• Will Housing Market Pain Spread to Autos?
• Normalcy Restored or Demand Destruction?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam gives us an update on the labor market.
• Labor Market Side of the Equation
• U.S. Job-Related Search Activity
• Workplace Mobility Declines
• Wages Struggle to Keep Up
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim details the reaction of Friday’s CPI Report in the last two days.
• What happened to transitory?
• The market’s reaction.
• The Fed’s reaction.
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam details a shifting energy landscape.
• Shifts in the Global Crude Oil Market
• Diesel’s Perfect Storm
• Demand Destruction
• Is there Enough Refinery Capacity?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question of, “Is there still a Team Transitory?”
• Team Transitory Never Left
• Change in Consumption
• The Economy’s New Normal
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam gives us an update on the housing market.
• It’s All About Location
• Covid Housing Effect
• Lumber Costs Collapse
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim explains the growth of the Fed’s reverse repo facility.
• How big is it?
• Who uses it?
• What’s next?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam discusses how consumer choices have pivoted.
• Shifting Consumer Behavior or a Collapse?
• Same Store Sales
• Where are Consumers Spending
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam covers the numerous stories lurking underneath the surface.
· Strains Emerge in Tech
· Millennials and Crypto
· The Fed's Role
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentators today are Jim Bianco and Alex Malitas of Bianco Research.
Today Jim and Alex will discuss stablecoins.
• Why do we have them?
• Why are they so important?
• What are the different kinds that exist?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the strength of the U.S. Dollar.
• The U.S. Dollar and its Peers
• Significance of a Strong Dollar
• What Really Matters?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will give an update on what the yield curve is telling us.
• The four states of the yield curve
• Which states are we in now and what does it mean?
• Inconsistent/mixed messages from the Fed
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the latest in the housing market and why regions matter.
• The Texas Tech Boom
• Coast to Coast Comparisons
• Winners in the Middle
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam gives us an update on the higher end consumer through luxury goods and travel to “spontaneous” places.
• Luxury Market vs Real World
• Leasing Takes a Hit
• What Does a Return to Vegas Tell Us?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim is going to give an update on the bond market carnage.
• Detail the Losses
• Positioning and Opinions Looking For a Low
• When Do Yields Peak?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam is going to explain why it might be worth watching Sotheby’s gavel.
• Oil’s Volatility
• Correlation to Other Asset Classes
• Why Art is Intriguing
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim is going to discuss the biggest story that no one is talking about: the incredible pressure building in the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) and currency markets.
• The market is testing the Bank of Japan's Yield Curve Control. It is holding
• It is coming at a cost, the Yen is weakening fast
• What does it mean for US rates?
• How does this end?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the significance of the new, used and classic car marketplace.
· Forgotten Facts
· Why the Classic Car Market Matters
· A "Financialized" Consumer Product
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss food and inflation.
· Most Recognizable
· Impact of War in Ukraine
· Latest Search Trends
· Meat Prices Soar
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will discuss the 10-Year when the curve inverts.
· What does inversion mean?
· What does history say?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss how Bitcoin and Gold have performed as inflation hedges and/or doomsday hedges.
· Where to Hide?
· Track Record
· Whatever it Takes
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will discuss the yield curve’s message and what that message is signaling to the market.
· What do the different curves mean?
· Why are they different?
· Why inflation matters.
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the outlook for the current inflation environment with a fast Fed.
· Agreement
· Hiking into Strength
· Is this time different?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will recap Wednesday’s FOMC meeting and discuss the Fed’s Priority.
· Focus On Inflation
· Market Pricing Versus Manager Opinion
· What the Yield Curve Says
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the Fed’s announcement and it’s ties to inflation.
· The Path Forward
· Unanchored Inflation Expectations
· Stagflation?
Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will explain how supply chains and war don’t mix well.
· Blame Game
· Supply Chain Improvements?
· Compounding the Problem
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentators today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Sam will discuss “why?” the Fed must hike aggressively.
· What is the conventional wisdom?
· The market still has 6+ hikes priced in.
· The Fed only has tradeoffs.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines or Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the future consequences of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and where the spillovers are likely to occur.
· Food Costs Matter
· Economic Pain From Sanctions
· What's Next?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will discuss the recent weaponization of the financial system and the implications for both traditional finance and cryptocurrencies.
· The events of February
· Cryptos Correlation to Stocks
· A Rush out of the Ruble
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the outlook of the U.S. consumer as it relates to the global economy and markets.
· The Resilient U.S. Consumer
· Falling Consumer Sentiment
· Spending and Travel
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will discuss the yield curve’s message and what that message is signaling to the market.
· The latest market signals.
· What does it all mean?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Want to understand the likely path of inflation and consumer’s expectations for it? Look no further than the price of gasoline at the pump.
· Oil to $100?
· Where's my supply dude?
· What the trucker protest really means.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will discuss how credit trades and what it is signaling.
· The latest from credit spreads and volume.
· The cycle is buy or hedge.
· What changes this… Inflation?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentators today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Sam will discuss this morning’s CPI report and the Market Reaction.
· Thoughts on the CPI Report
· Market Reaction
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the jobs report, inflation and the Fed hike.
· Still ignoring the jobs report.
· All about inflation.
· Why 50 doesn’t matter.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will give us his thoughts on why a weaker labor market in January doesn’t really matter, and what could knock the Fed off it’s path.
· Full Employment?
· Quitting and not participating.
· Doesn’t matter.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Sam will give us their outlook for commodities.
· What are commodities? Does an index make sense?
· Energy
· Industrial metals
· Everything else
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commenter today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss the relationship between the younger generations and cryptocurrencies.
· What is the breakdown of crypto buyers by age?
· What are the potential spillover effects when cryptos collapse?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question “What ends crypto’s correlation to legacy markets?”
• How do institutional investors view cryptos?
• What breaks the correlation and what is TVL
• What is the role of Stablecoins?
• What happens when the correlation is broken?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will discuss sticky CPI, energy and cracks in the manufacturing boom.
· Flexible to the Moon
· Energy Not Through The System Yet
· Cracks in Manufacturing Boom?
As always, thank you for joining us today. If you have any questions on the mentioned topics or suggestions for future episodes, please let us know.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will answer the question, are fund managers are disconnected?
· Fund managers continue to believe the Fed will not be aggressive in tightening because inflation is transitory
· Do they fail to understand the impact inflation is having on politics and the enormous political pressure the Fed is under?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Sam Rines of Arbor Data Science.
Today Sam will be discussing the following topics: Inflation, Oil and Energy, and Housing.
· No One Believes
· Oil and Energy Are Pros
· The Problem of Housing
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will discuss the latest CPI data and how the Fed will respond.
· A run down on the latest data.
· Is the real earnings chart the most important inflation chart right now?
· How will the Fed respond?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim gives us a recap of the stock market in 2021, and what is next.
• The 2021 stock market has been a narrow rally driven by the largest stocks.
• Excess savings explains a lot of the rally since the pandemic began.
• What next?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim answers the question does the Fed have a choice?
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What is the latest with Inflation?
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What are the consequences of inflation?
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Where does this leave the Fed?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will discuss the latest on the Omicron variant.
• COVID cases are expected to spike in many parts of the world. Where are case counts at currently?
• This usually means restrictions are around the corner.
• This risks impairing the global supply chain even more, pushing supply and demand further out of whack, and fostering inflation.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Despite statements to the contrary, the supply chain is not getting better. Who will fix the shipping crisis?
• Record demand meets the limits of supply
• Shipping profits are booming
• Shipping stocks beat Bitcoin
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Stock picking has not worked for at least a decade. 2021 has been no different for stock pickers as the best strategy was buying the S&P 500 and forgetting about it.
• Stock pickers have suffered for a decade or more, even Warren Buffett
• Macro forces have dominated
• 2021 great for the S&P 500, not so much for anything else
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim covers the market’s response to
transitory retiring.
•An Extraordinary Week For the Yield Curve
•What Fed Policy Is The Market Pricing In?
•What Does It Mean?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben answer the question, what are short rates telling us?
• How far have rates moved compared to past tightening cycles?
• How are investors reacting?
• Are financial conditions primed to jump? When?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
In this installment of Talking Data, Jim Bianco and Ben Breitholtz distill Powell’s presser and the onset of the taper.
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Details on the taper
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The Fed's Flexible outlook
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Team Transitory Has Won the Battle, but Has It Won the Inflation War?
• The latest on reopening vs non-opening CPI components
• Commodities and Yields Destined to Enter Trading Ranges
• Outlook for Growth and Tapering
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will discuss the Jackson Hole meeting, Core CPI and the Dollar.
· What To Expect at Jackson Hole?
· What To Expect for Core CPI?
· What To Expect For The Dollar?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will give us an update on the supply chain, the Delta variant, and commodities.
· Supply Chain update: China's Port Congestion Worsens
· What is the latest with the Delta Variant and its impact on the workforce?
· Are Commodities the best Inflation Hedge? Thank you for joining us today.
As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Ben will give a quick inflation update and let us know if the “Everything Rally” is nearing an end.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will give us their thoughts on this morning’s CPI report.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Ben will give us an update on supply chain constraints and inflation expectations.
· When will working order for the supply chain be restored? What does it mean for Inflation Expectations?
· Rents continue to rise. How long will Shelter Inflation last?
· How are Rising Prices impacting Consumer Spending?
· What’s the latest with the Housing Market and Job Searches?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Jim and Ben will be discussing growth concerns for bond investors.
· ADP was a miss and there is potential for NFPs to undershoot. If you combine that with waning consumer intentions to spend, what does it mean for Fed policy?
· Have investors fully bought the transitory narrative?
·Inflation should have peaked in July, but what looms on the horizon?
· Where are UST yields headed?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
News flow has refocused on the virus the last several weeks as the Delta variant spreads around the world.
· How fast and where are cases growing?
· Is it cases (not hospitalizations or deaths) that drive policy and ultimately market reactions?
· No lose situation for risk assets? Simply churn between staying-in and reopening equities?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
The apartment market is the tightest on record, how high will rents go?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will discuss if growth matters more than inflation.
· Seven trading days ago 10-year yields were 1.42%. Two days ago they were 1.12%. As of this morning they were 1.32%. Now they are 1.23%.
· Will there be economic restrictions coming?
· The latest on "transitory"
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today we will hear Jim’s latest on inflation after the CPI report this morning.
· Inflation surprised to the upside again. What does it tell us about the transitory debate?
· Bond Yields have been trending lower, what does this tell us about the transitory debate?
· How do these two stories get reconciled?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today we’ll be looking at past global recoveries to find out if today’s markets are in line.
· UST yields, inflation expectations, and USD falling in line
· Global recoveries since 1960 provide guidelines for the pandemic
· Federal Reserve remains the significant odd man out
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Rents are rapidly rising, how long will it take to hit OER?
· Zillow vs Apartment List Rent Index Comparison
· Rent search activity
· Is OER expected to rise?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Ben Breitholtz and Sergio Pineda of Arbor Data Science.
Over the past few months, rising commodity prices have been a highly discussed topic in mainstream media. Super-cycle? Or super head-fake?
· Is there any precedent for the commodity rally?
· Is the commodity rally over?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
On their website, Indeed came out with a chart indicating that states ending Unemployment benefits this month have seen a decrease in job search activity. Looking at broader search activity via google searches paints the opposite picture.
· Why the discrepancy?
· What does it mean for transitory inflation debate?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will give us an update on their views of Inflation.
· Manufacturing surveys and commodities rolling over after a relentless climb since the summer of 2020.
· Which way are yields and inflation expectations leaning?
· Will the Fed blink or will team transitory prove correct?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will give us their thoughts on yesterday’s FOMC meeting.
· About Inflation?
· About Employment?
· What does it mean for the bond market?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco and Greg Blaha of Bianco Research.
Today Jim and Greg take a look at how decentralized protocols manage to borrow and lend in a permissionless manner.
· How big are these protocols?
· How to lend
· How to borrow
· Overcollateralization
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will discuss the payroll report, what it means for inflation and the outlook for yields.
· What did the payroll report tell us?
· What does this mean for inflation?
· What is the outlook for yields?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will answer the question, “what is the most important Crypto?” Is it Stablecoins?
· Size and Volume
· How Are Prices Pegged?
· The Importance of Stablecoins
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Ben will give us an update on the housing market. Is this the beginning of the housing cooldown?
· Housing growth hits the brakes
· Rental market begins to heat up
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Ben will give us on update on investor flows.
· Mobility rising above baseline and the rental market is back
· Flows surging into inflation-friendly assets
· Past global recoveries and inflation regimes favor commodities
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco and Greg Blaha of Bianco Research.
Today Jim and Greg will take a look at Automated Market Makers.
· What Is an AMM?
· Determining Prices
· AMM Risks
· How Big Are AMMs?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben ask the question: What is everyone waiting for?
· Everything is in trading range.
· What does a 10-year at 1.60% mean?
· Commodities and Cryptos are the only thing moving.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will give us an update on the Crypto selloff.
· Transformative Technologies volatility is different from the S&P 500
· What is Chain Analysis?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will be discussing the 10-Year Treasury.
· How connected are risk assets to UST yields?
· Stuck in a trading range, for how long? Why?
· Inflation (CPI / PPI) surprised, transitory or other forces at play?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will give us an update on inflation.
· The case for inflation
· The case against inflation
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will give us an update on inflation, the status of supply chains and how interest rates are reacting.
· What is the latest with inflation?
· What is the status of the Supply Chains?
· How are interest rates reacting to this?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will be discussing the changing correlation between stocks and bonds, inflation and real yields.
· The stock/bond correlation is changing positive, what does that mean.
· How does inflation play into this?
· How will this impact real yields?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Ben Breitholtz & Anthony Rizzo of Arbor Data Science.
Today Ben and Anthony will dive into the Central Bank Natural Language Processing.
· Can you give us an overview of your data and process of distilling officials' communications?
· Where have communications headed following recent economic revivals? Any divergences in sentiment?
· Have interest levels changed for cryptocurrency?
· Will the Federal Reserve stick to its guns over a transitory approach to inflation?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will be discussing the US Treasury rebound.
· Why have US 10-year note yields retreated back below 1.6%?
· Is a larger rally on the horizon due to rising COVID-19 counts, stimulus wear-off, or more?
· Does this mean the pressure will come off central banks?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will give his thoughts on the Coinbase listing and the future of Cryptos.
· Coinbase is now public and its value exceeds the NYSE. Does this make sense?
· What should people know about the world of DeFi?
· What about regulations and central banks? Can they stop this or create a central bank digital currencies to stop it?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will give us an update on inflation.
· What are the latest inflation numbers?
· What does it mean for interest rates?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Ben will be discussing credit market volatility.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will be discussing the role of Central Banks.
· Has MMT won the debate?
· What level of inflation will central banks tolerate?
· What if they get it wrong?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
In today’s installment of Talking Data, Ben discusses how inflation is overtaking the potential for tightening policy as bond investors’ big worry.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will be discussing higher rates.
· Inflation expectations are bubbling over and US 10y yields are back to 1.6%, yet the S&P 500 makes new highs. What gives?
· Are bond investors getting ahead of themselves? When do you foresee inflation running persistently higher?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will discuss the Growth versus Value rotation.
· Economists are expecting the booming growth, what is driving this?
· Stocks are exhibiting a rotation from growth to value, what is driving this?
· What about reopening versus disruptive technology stocks?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will be discussing the confusing nature of investor flows.
· Bond investors have yet to pull the ripcord as financial media goes full bear.
· Credit investors continue to buy while facing higher yields.
· Why are Equity flows heading to value and U.S. destinations during global synchronized growth?!
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today we’ll talk about the Great Rebalancing of Liquidity and Market Risks.
· TIPS supercharged by Federal Reserve’s increasing ownership (24% of outstanding!)
· Is monetary and fiscal policy tearing down liquidity premiums in credit markets just like sovereign bonds?
· When and how will near-term Treasury’s volatility expectations catch-up with other assets including commodities and equities?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call Arbor Research & Trading at 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Today Jim will explain why you should understand Cryptos and DeFi.
· What is DeFi? How is it different from bitcoin?
· Why does it matter?
· Are US citizens being shut out?
For more information on DeFi, please follow these links:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/philippsandner/2021/02/22/decentralized-finance-will-change-your-understanding-of-financial-systems/
https://youtu.be/qFBYB4W2tqU
https://youtu.be/H-O3r2YMWJ4
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today we’ll talk about the Fed and market volatility.
· What did Powell communicate during his testimonies? How did investors react?
· When will the rise in yields matter?
· How high could they go and for what reasons?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
In today's installment, Ben tackles the immense impact of Federal Reserve purchases on inflation expectations. The ‘inflation is coming’ narrative is louder than ever, but will become even more confusing thanks to base effects, inventory rebuilding, and SOMA holdings.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will discussing what rising rates mean to the market.
· Why are rates moving higher?
· What does it mean?
· What causes it to stop?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today we’ll be discussing the latest CPI report.
•What did we see in today's CPI report
•What are the markets telling us?
•What do we expect next?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Since our last podcast, the focus has been on Retail Investors and Hedge Funds, but what’s happening in U.S. Treasuries?
· How does the Treasury’s diminished borrowing estimates ($850B!) for Q1 ’21 matter for yields?
· Is the uptrend in yields still intact?
· What bumps in the road do you see? Will the Fed or investors finally get antsy?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today Jim and Ben will discuss the role of Retail Investors and their impact on the market and their role going forward.
· The Rise of the Retail Trader
- Retail performance vs. Hedge Fund gurus
· Is this the biggest short-squeeze in market history?
· Goldman Sachs non-profitable Technology Index
· Google Search topics: Bull vs Bear Bias
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today we will discuss Janet Yellen’s testimony; what to expect with stimulus and Covid relief; and “Robinhood Investors.”
· Thoughts on Janet Yellen’s testimony. 50 years?
· What should we expect with continued stimulus and Covid relief?
· Where will the “Robinhood Investors” invest?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to Talking Data which is our weekly series of podcasts in which we highlight pertinent bond and equity market themes.
I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our presenters today are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today, we will be discussing Fiat and Crypto currencies. Going into the new year, there has been a lot of discussion about the strength of the dollar.
· What is the state of the dollar against fiat currencies. What issues should investors be aware of?
· How real are cryptos? What issues do we need to consider?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and I will be your host. Our presenter today is Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
In today’s installment, Ben outlines the next set of hurdles needed to signal a lasting rise in inflation expectations.· TIPS Breakevens Underperforming Where Risk Assets Suggest They Should Reside
· Inflation or Liquidity Premiums Causing Rising TIPS Breakevens?!
· Hopes for 2.5+% YOY Back on the Radar
· Inflation Expectations Enter the Rare World of Inversion
· Global Growth Near Sweet Spot for Inflation Expectations
· Rent-Related Search Activity Nearing Bullish Shift for OER
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and I will be your host. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today we will be discussing real yields.
• What is steering extremely low real yields? Federal Reserve? Economic growth?
• Will rising nominal yields bite if real yields do not follow along?
• Is demand for inflation-friendly asset and protection overdone?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and I will be your host. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
2020 was arguably the most unusual year in market history, highlighted by the shortest bear market and fastest recovery in market history.
• What surprised and what went according to expectations?
• How about risk adjusted returns?
- How do you measure this and what surprised and what went according to expectations when viewed that way?
• What should we look for in 2021?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and I will be your host. Our presenter is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
Jim will be providing his update on the upcoming Georgia Senate race that’s now less than a week away.
• Currently, Senate seats consist of 50 Republicans, 46 Democrats, and two independents that caucus with the Democrats. A 50/50 tie would be broken by vice president Kamala Harris.
• The polls lean Democrat, but are within the margin of error
• The betting markets lean Republican
• Republicans outperformed pre-election polls in the initial election
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
• Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
• I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and I will be your host today. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
• Today, Jim and Ben will give us an update on inflation, and look into the first half of 2021.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and I will be your host.
Today Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science will be discussing TIPS, Inflation Expectations and how Owners’ Equivalent Rent may be a Game-Changer.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm that produces innovative research across a broad range of global fixed-income, equity, currency, and commodity markets. Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science are our two most prominent research offerings.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and I will be your host today. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today, Jim and Ben will answer the question - Are Risk Markets ahead of themselves?
• Is the stock market overvalued? Does this even matter?
• Is the historic rotation from growth to value justified?
• Are credit spreads too tight?
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and I will be your host today. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today, Jim and Ben will be discussing long end yields that are once again moving higher. Can it last?
• Are yields finally playing catch-up relative to past global recoveries?
– Also elevated ISM and copper/gold ratio?
• Inflation expectations are on the brink, but not yet fully committing. Why not?
• Can the Federal Reserve battle investors in the event of a material sell-off?
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and, as always, I will be your host today. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today our topic is “Are Risk Assets Melting Up?”
Topics Include:
• Vaccines, Yellen’s appointment, and rebounding Chinese growth are all boosting bullish morale.
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Investor sentiment at a bullish extreme?
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Can risk assets ignore any missteps during a potentially dark winter?
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What are the biggest risks?
• Why haven’t U.S. Treasury yields fully joined the risk-on story-line?
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and, as always, I will be your host today. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today our topic is “What Could Go Wrong?”
• The last week has seen a massive rotation from WFH to reopening. Why is this happening?
• What is the bond market signaling at 0.90%? What is its outlook?
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and, as always, I will be your host today. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today we will review the three big stories of the week: the Election, the Fed Meeting and the Payroll Report.
Topics Include:
• The latest on the election and its impact on the markets
• What is the takeaway from the Fed meeting?
• What does the payroll report tell us?
To sign up for a free trial of Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or call 800-606-1872.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and, as always, I will be your host today. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today we will recap what happened last night and how the markets will react.
Topics Include:
• What happened last night?
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Gridlock?
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Stimulus deal?
• What really matters to investors?
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and, as always, I will be your host today. Our presenters are Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Over the course of this week, we have fielded dozens of inquiries pertaining to the violent sell off in the equity markets. Today, we will offer our thoughts on the topic.
Topics Include:
• What is the catalyst? COVID, the Election or other?
• How concerned should we be?
• Why isn't the bond market reacting? Is 60/40 dead?
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to Talking Data LIVE. This is the sixteenth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research & Trading and I will be today’s host.
Our podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science. We are one week away from the big day, Jim and Ben will update you on the latest numbers and potential impact on Markets.
Topics Include:
• Updating the election "Horse Race." Why do the polls and betting markets not agree?
• Are betting markets overly biased by financial markets? - Search activity leans towards pollsters’ expectations.
• The tails will clearly impact investors most, what are the implications for financial markets of a massive blue wave versus narrow win by Biden or even Trump victory?
- What about the Senate?
For further information please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com or visit www.biancoresearch.com or www.datascience.arborresearch.com
Welcome to the fifteenth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Today’s podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science. Today we will focus on the bond market and yields.
Are we entering a Breakout?
• Yields are breaking out to the upside. If one believes lower for longer, how high will the Fed let rates go?
• Is this about a looming stimulus deal and no more? Or, is it something more?
• Questions from today’s conference call:
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Should I add to my TIPS position now, or wait until after the Election?
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There is a lot of confusion on MMT. How would that come into play based on the Election results?
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the fourteenth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Today’s podcast features Ben Breitholtz and Pete Forbes of Arbor Data Science. Ben and Pete will be discussing Alternative Data and Machine Learning.
Topics Include:
• Why is alternative data having a moment in 2020?
• What is an under-rated tool in using machine learning to predict financial markets and the economy?
• What is the biggest challenge in applying machine learning to financial markets?
• Data topics today:-Housing Market: Building permits and single family construction
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COVID-19 spread via Google Search
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Rising uncertainty among officials via NLP of press conferences
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the thirteenth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Our podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Today’s topics are Inflation, Bond Issuance and the Bond Vigilantes.
• U.S. CPI disappoints away from core commodities- Are TIPS breakevensattractive?
- When could inflation become a noteworthy story?
• The Federal Reserve is keeping a tight leash on volatility- Issuance will be ballooning, is this QE forever? See Quarles.
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Will Powell et al push purchases further out the curve before year-end?
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Has the Fed's support of credit markets run its course?
• The quest for safety or safe havens- Will U.S. Treasuries offer diversification?
- Where are investors to turn?
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
• Welcome to the twelfth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
• Our podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
Topics Include:
• Politics
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The Election
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Fiscal Stimulus
• COVID-19
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A second wave coming?
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Vaccine/Therapeutics
• The Economy
- The progress on re-opening
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
• Welcome to the eleventh edition of our podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
• Our podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
• U.S. unemployment claims remained elevated at 840,000 last week as the labor market flashes signs of a slowdown and more layoffs become permanent.
• CA can't count! How is that affecting claims?- The state currently accounts for over 28% of all initial claims in the country. Prior to the pandemic, the state typically accounted for 10%-20% of all initial claims in the country.
- Once they get rid of the fraud, will the numbers DROP?
• What does Google Search say about jobs?
- The job applications topic has retreated over the past two weeks. JOLTS job openings corroborate the slowdown, falling in August for the first time in four months.
• The reopening is slowing
- Back in June, the consensus was expecting a massive growth quarter of more than 11%. This forecast has been falling hard and is now just 3.58%. While 3.5% is a decent quarter, there are no assurances this forecast is done falling.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the tenth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Our podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
We have been asking when the bond market will wake up. Today we will be discussing if we are starting to see signs of life.
Topics Include:
• Are Long-end yields and inflation at a critical juncture?
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Will yields rise or fall into the end of 2020? 2021?
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When could inflation (core or headline) finally pierce 2% YoY?
• How will further fiscal stimulus and a Biden victory factor in?
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Do deficits matter?
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Can the Fed counter-act with dovish policy?
• Investors are already positioned/hedged for higher yields, does this matter?
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How does the Fed's QE impact rates?Investors are already positioned/hedged for higher yields, does this matter?
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How does the Fed's QE impact rates?
For more information, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com
Welcome to the ninth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
The Presidential Election is on everyone’s mind including investors. We have had the first debate, what are the changes in the Polls versus the Betting Markets?
• Biden is leading in the polls
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Betting markets see a Closer Race than the Polls
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Investors Align with the Betters
• If the Polls are Correct, this is Not Discounted in the Markets
• How do you perceive the Election is going to impact the financial markets?
- Who is better for the Markets? Trump or Biden?
• Trump’s Approval Rating and the Generic Ballot
• A Listener had a Question: What if there is not a Clear Winner?
- If it is January 20, 2021 and no one has been declared a Winner, what happens next?
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the eighth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data, which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. Our podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research.
In today’s installment, Jim will provide his insight on the second wave of COVID.
Topics Include:
• Europe is having a second wave. What does it mean?
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How bad is it and what are the changes?
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Will/can it spread to the US?
• Will a second wave stall financial markets/the economy?
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Valuations are high. The market needs faster growth that justify current levels.
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The problem is the economy is stalling and a second wave will pull back economic activity even further.
• Will any of this move interest rates?
- Higher rates implied a return on inflation and lower rates imply a serious economic downturn. Either is a problem for risk assets.
• Will a "medical bailout" save us?
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The game changer is a vaccine or treatment. But when?
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goodjudgement.io says "not before July 1."
For more information please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com
Welcome to the seventh edition of our podcast series: Talking Data, which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Our podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. In today’s installment, Jim will provide his insight on the bond market.
• How quiet is the bond market?
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Tightest range in history
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Lowest measures of volatility ever
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Ignoring commodities
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Ignoring other markets (the VIX)
• Why so low?
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The Fed's massive QE
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Promises to not raise rates for three years
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Potential yield curve control by the Fed
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Quiet inflation
• What gets it moving?
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A serious "risk off" event - on par with this spring.
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A big recovery in the economy (vaccine and return to normal)
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A rise in expected inflation
• What does more bond market volatility mean?
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If volatility comes via falling yields, a market signal that a serious economy decline is coming.
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If volatility is via rising yields, a market signal that inflation is returning... so much so that the Fed might have to reconsider no rate hikes for three years.
For further information please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the sixth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data, which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Our podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. In today’s installment, Jim will provide his insight on the state of the economy.
Topics Include:
• The Rise of Alternative Data
- What kind of data do we use?
• What does the Alternative Data say?
- Mobility/Airlines
- Restaurants
- Small Business Activity
• What do Economists think?
- Q2 and Q3 GDP forecasts
- Q4 GDP forecasts
• Other concerns
- Rising Infection Counts in Europe
- Overvalued/Manic Markets
- Election Uncertainty
For further information please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the fifth edition of our podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Our podcast features Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. In today’s installment, Jim will provide his insight on the market correction and yesterday’s Fed meeting.
Topics Include:
• Speculation in the options market
- How big has this market become?
- A Retail Mania
• Valuation in the market
- Highest since 2000
• Why Not Bearish?
- The difference now is the Fed/Government are heavily involved in the markets.
- The Fed is not going down without a fight
- Significance of the Fed meeting yesterday
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the fourth edition of our new podcast series: Talking Data which offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. In today’s installment, we will be discussing the Election and the markets.
Topics include:
• Betting Markets vs. the Polls for the U.S. Presidential Election.
• Significance of the upcoming debate.
• What is the impact on the market if we have a contested outcome. If it takes weeks or months to declare a winner, how do you think the market will react during that time frame?
• Let’s consider this scenario. It is ninety-days post-election. What do equities do with a Biden victory in comparison to a Trump victory?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the third edition of our new podcast series: Talking Datawhich offers timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
In today’s installment, I will be interviewing Jim to gain his insight on last week’s sell off in the Stock Market.
Topics Include:
• Speculation in the Stock Market.
• Is the Market Overvalued?
• Outlook: Bearish?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
In today’s installment, Jim and Ben will be discussing market prices versus economic growth and fundamentals amidst heavy monetary and fiscal policy intervention.
• Are U.S. equities in line with economic growth/ fundamentals?
• Equities versus U.S. Treasury yields, who is right? Is this the right question?
• Is the Federal Reserve fueling higher asset prices? Is there a bubble in equities and credit?
• Is the Federal Reserve distorting market signals?
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to Talking Data: A series of podcasts hosted by Arbor Research featuring Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Ben Breitholtz of Arbor Data Science.
We will host a series of discussions which will offer timely insights into macro data and its impact on the economy and markets.
Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm that produces innovative research across a broad range of global fixed-income, equity currency, and commodity markets.
Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science are our two most prominent research offerings.
In today’s installment, Jim Bianco and Ben Breitholtz are going to discuss inflation in the markets.
Thank you for joining us today. As a reminder, Arbor Research & Trading is an institutional research and brokerage firm. Our two most prominent research offerings are Bianco Research & Arbor Data Science.
For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.