Insights & Indicators: Recent Episodes

Carlyle

Join Jason Thomas, Carlyle’s Head of Global Research & Investment Strategy, as he brings guests from across the firm to share observations and opinions on the economic landscape, as well as insights from research being conducted by the Carlyle team.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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In this episode, Meg Starr, Global Head of Corporate Affairs, joins Jason for a discussion about the firm’s sustainability efforts, notable highlights and trends, and this year’s ESG report. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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What’s the state of credit markets in 2024? Mark Jenkins, Head of Global Credit, joins Jason for a discussion about the opportunities in credit markets, what’s driving demand, and bank disintermediation. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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Investors are familiar with decarbonization, but what exactly are energy pathways? Jeff Currie, Chief Strategy Officer of Energy Pathways, joins Jason for a discussion about commodity markets, the importance of policy in the energy transition, and what the changing landscape means for energy companies. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers

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What’s on investors’ minds in 2024? Jeff Nedelman, Global Head of Distribution, joins Jason for a discussion about trends he’s hearing from limited partners and investors. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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How are price increases related to the global pandemic? How will an election year impact rate cuts? In this month’s episode, Jason reflects on the stories and anecdotes behind the economic numbers we’re watching. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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As we head into a New Year, what are some of the most pressing questions facing investors? In our first episode of 2024, Jason shares his thoughts. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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With the Fed holding steady on rates, and signaling the potential for rate cuts in 2024, what does this mean for investors? Jason shares his thoughts as we wrap up 2023. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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Despite economic strength around travel, tourism and experiences, office attendance remains stuck below 2019 levels. What’s the outlook for this market? Rob Stuckey, Head of U.S. Real Estate, joins Jason for a discussion on this space.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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Artificial Intelligence (AI) has already entered the public consciousness, but what does it mean for investors? Michael Wand, Co-Head of Carlyle Europe Technology Partners and Co-Head of Europe Private Equity, joins Jason for a discussion on AI and its downstream implications. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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As recent rate hikes pause, Jason shares his thoughts on the current economic outlook, monetary policy, and what implications this has for private markets. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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As interest rates and inflation remain high, Alex Popov, Head of Private Credit and Head of Carlyle Credit Opportunities, joins Jason for a discussion on the private credit landscape. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers

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In light of the growth of the Japanese economy over the past decade, Kazuhiro Yamada, Co-Head of Carlyle Japan, joins Jason for a discussion on Japan’s future economic growth. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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In light of recent market dislocation, Chris Perriello, Carlyle’s Global Head of Secondaries, joins Jason for a discussion on the evolving secondaries market. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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Mark Jenkins, Carlyle’s Head of Global Credit, joins Jason and shares his perspective on the relative position of private credit in the current investment landscape. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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As banking concerns continue to impact financing, Lauren Basmadjian, Carlyle’s Co-Head of Liquid Credit, joins Jason for a discussion on commercial real estate, yields, and the outlook for defaults. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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As banks and interest rates continue to be a focal point of the market, Brian Lindley, Carlyle’s Global Head of Capital Markets, joins Jason for a discussion on financing, Silicon Valley Bank, and the role of private credit in the current market environment. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers

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From rate hikes over the course of 2022 to disinflation and growth in the current market environment, Carlyle’s Head of Global Research, Jason Thomas, unpacks economic trends in the latest installment of our Insights & Indicators podcast.

Our research disclosure is available at: https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers

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Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research at Carlyle, discusses the resilience the global economy demonstrated in November including robust “experiences” spending in the U.S. and Europe’s ongoing policy response to the energy crisis.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers

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Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research at Carlyle, discusses recent rate hikes and the data behind the U.S. economy's recessionary behavior.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers

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Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research at Carlyle, discusses the increase in forward interest rates and the third quarter GDP data in the US.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research at Carlyle, discusses U.S. consumer spending habits, the energy landscape in Europe, and his outlook on China for the remainder of 2022. Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research at Carlyle, discusses the economic contractions occurring globally, as well as opportunities for growth and improved financial conditions ahead.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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Jason Thomas, Head of Global Research at Carlyle, shares his take on some surprising results from the Q1 Department of Commerce report on US GDP, along with what he’s seeing in other geographies.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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We sat down with Jason Thomas, our Head of Global Research, to break down a recent report from the U.S. Department of Labor that showed inflation climbed 8.5% from last March. Listen to Jason’s key takeaway from the March consumer price index report and hear his perspective on how the Fed might respond over the next couple of months.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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Any exploration of the investment environment in early 2022 would be incomplete without a focus on China. In this episode of Insights and Indicators, our Head of Global Research, Jason Thomas, will help you understand the drivers of historical growth in China and what to keep your ears and eyes focused on in 2022.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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In our first episode of Insights and Indicators for 2022, we sat down with Jason Thomas, our Head of Global Research at Carlyle, to explore how digital transformation trends could impact the investment environment in 2022 and beyond. Specifically, we discuss:

  • What sectors might emerge as winners because of the “digitized virtual future” the pandemic caused us to imagine,
  • The indicators that will help us observe the degree of technology adoption this year, and
  • The impact of digital transformation on valuations.

Sources for data referenced in this episode:

  • Data on spending on software, data, digital, and related R&D comes from Carlyle, BEA, December 2021.
  • Productivity analysis of the 1990s comes from “US Productivity Growth, 1995-2000: Understanding the contribution of Information Technology relative to other factors,” McKinsey Global Institute, 2001.
  • Survey of CEOs on top risks comes from AlixPartners, Survey Conducted December 2021.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.

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We at Carlyle understand how much information and analysis you sift through to develop your perspectives on what trends are most important to follow and explore at the intersection of the macroeconomic and investment environment. We want to help you understand this increasingly changing world in a shorter amount of time. Insights and Indicators offers you the opportunity to hear our Head of Global Research, Jason Thomas, break down a specific and prevailing trend in the global economy each month. His insights will be based on the combination of aggregated Carlyle portfolio company data and thorough analyses of reports on employment, inflation, and productivity.

Our research disclosure is available at https://www.carlyle.com/notices-and-disclaimers.