Wins Above Fantasy

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about the recently-released PLV Projections for 2025.

PLV Projections are here!
Kyle Bland's Primer
Process
Hitter Standouts
Yordan Alvarez
Brent Rooker
Kerry Carpenter
Lawrence Butler
Jake Burger
Tyler Fitzgerald
Trea Turner
Michael Harris II
Mark Vientos
Pitcher Standouts
Blake Snell
Bryce Miller
Bryan Woo
David Festa
Shane Baz
Paul Skenes
George Kirby
Hunter Brown

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the starting pitching landscape and look at early 2025 ADP data.

Baseball Halloween!
WAF Listener League shout out
PL Mock Draft SP Comparison: 2024 vs 2025
Early SP ADP for 2025
Approaching pitching injury risk
Pitchers to target and avoid
PL Pods Mock Draft

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the keys to having a good preparation process during the offseason as well as the Pitcher List Podcast Mock draft for 2025

Offseason preparation
Using projections
Noise of the postseason
Other tips and tricks for offseason prep
PL Pods Mock Draft

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look back at their predictions and assess their takes from the 2024 season.

Marcell Ozuna
Jung Hoo Lee
AJ Puk
Bobby Miller
Lane Thomas
Hunter Greene
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Francisco Alvarez
Esteury Ruiz
Adley Rutschman
Christopher Morel
Cedric Mullins
Gunnar Henderson
Dylan Cease
CJ Abrams
Brandon Pfaadt
Grayson Rodriguez
Shane Baz
Paul Skenes
Nick Pivetta
Ben Rice
Oneil Cruz
Dansby Swanson

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look back at some of their favorite moments and players from the 2024 season.

Elly De La Cruz
Oneil Cruz
Kyle Bland's Hitter Eligibility App
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Manny Machado
Gunnar Henderson
Ketel Marte
Seiya Suzuki
Kyle Schwarber
Riley Greene
Kerry Carpenter
Tyler O'Neill
Bailey Ober
Reynaldo Lopez
Jack Flaherty
Luis Gil
Shota Imanaga
Mason Miller
Ryan Walker
Lucas Erceg

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look for bounce back hitters for 2025 using three-year average wRC+.

Michael Harris II
Adley Rutschman
Paul Goldschmidt
Austin Riley
Jose Altuve
Gleyber Torres
Marcus Semien

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss hitters who have been on the rise in the second half and look to identify the reasons for their breakouts.

Lawrence Butler
Brent Rooker
JJ Bleday
Matt Wallner
Eugenio Suarez
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Merrill
Corbin Carroll
Tyler Fitzgerald

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss pitchers who have been on the rise in the second half and look to identify the reasons for their breakouts.

Spencer Arrighetti
Bowden Francis
Spencer Schwellenbach
Bryce Miller
Yusei Kikuchi
Ryne Nelson

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look to the waiver wire to see low-rostered players who can help fantasy teams during the season's final month.

Eugenio Suarez
MJ Melendez
Matt Wallner
Kerry Carpenter
Andrew Vaughn
Jesus Sanchez
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Jose Caballero
Victor Robles
Josh Lowe
Dylan Crews
Parker Meadows
Masataka Yoshida
Geraldo Perdomo
Masyn Winn
Ben Lively
David Festa
Osvaldo Bido
DJ Herz
Mitchell Parker
Joe Boyle
Manuel Rodriguez
Tyler Kinley
Ben Joyce
Jason Foley
Porter Hodge

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss end-game strategy for the last few weeks of the 2024 fantasy baseball season.

Bowden Francis
Bobby Miller
Javier Assad
Ben Lively
Jameson Taillon
Jeffrey Springs
Hayden Birdsong
Spencer Torkelson
Jake McCarthy
Eugenio Suárez
Whit Merrifield
Brendan Rodgers
Michael Toglia

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) take their first look to 2025 as they give their picks for 2025 first rounders.

Shohei Ohtani
Bobby Witt Jr.
Aaron Judge
Gunnar Henderson
Jose Ramirez
Kyle Tucker
Juan Soto
Mookie Betts
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Julio Rodriguez
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Tarik Skubal

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look for rest-of-season waiver wire heroes with a head-to-head matchup twist.

Matt Wallner
Nolan Schanuel
Dylan Moore
David Festa
Hayden Birdsong
Grant Holmes
Ty France
Xaiver Edwards
Josh Lowe
Ryne Nelson
DJ Herz
Spencer Schwellenbach

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) breakdown the rest of season strength of schedule and look for favorable fantasy matchups.

Favorable schedules: Cubs, Yankees, Giants, Braves, Tigers, Padres, Rangers
Ben Brown
Dansby Swanson
Matt Shaw
Gleyber Torres
Clarke Schmidt
Tyler Fitzgerald
Jorge Soler
Nacho Alvarez
Jarred Kelenic
Eddie Rosario
Justyn-Henry Malloy
Randy Vasquez
Tyler Mahle
Michael Lorenzen
Jon Gray

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) give bold predictions for the second half as well as check in on their pre-season "chalkboard" picks as the All-Star Break winds down.

Nick Pivetta
Paul Skenes
Ben Rice
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Oneil Cruz
Pablo Lopez
AJ Puk
Jung-Ho Lee
Marcell Ozuna
Bobby Miller
Francisco Alvarez
Lane Thomas
Hunter Greene
Esteury Ruiz
Adley Rutschman
Framber Valdez

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the biggest surprises from the first half, as decided by the Pitcher List Discord.

Rockies OF to Own: Brenton Doyle
Seth Lugo Surprise Ace of 1H
Steven Kwan and the Guardians Surprise Power
More Surprise Pitchers: Cole Irvin, Tanner Houck
Breakout Hitters: Alec Burleson, CJ Abrams
Wyatt Langford and Jackson Holliday's Rollercoaster Seasons
Will we Buy Back in on Spencer Torkelson?
Still Want to Buy Low on Pablo Lopez?
What the Discord Missed: Nolan Arenado, Paul Goldschmidt, Aaron Judge, Elly De La Cruz

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about pitchers who have the potential for big second halves.

Grayson Rodriguez can become an ace
Ben Brown a pitcher to watch
Stash Jeffrey Springs
Can Taj Bradley continue his dominance?
Shane Baz finally back
Brandon Pfaadt has figured out lefties? Eric Samulski's article on topic.
Ryan Pepiot is worth holding on to

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss impressive first-half hitting performances relative to ADP.

Gunnar Henderson
Marcell Ozuna
Jarren Duran
Jurickson Profar
Brice Turang
William Contreras
Alec Bohm
Josh Naylor
Heliot Ramos

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss pitchers to target in trades.

RIP Willie Mays
Foolish Baseball Video on "The Catch"
Pablo Lopez
Jordan Montgomery
Jesus Luzardo
Framber Valdez
Joe Musgrove
Bailey Ober
Kevin Gausman
Carlos Rodon
Reynaldo Lopez
Hunter Brown
Miles Mikolas

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss hitters to target in trades plus answer your mailbag questions.

Trade season is here
Sky Kalkman's Article on Trading Techniques
Eno Sarris' "Secret Sauce" to find hitters to buy
WAF's own "Secret Sauce"
Jurickson Profar
Ezequiel Tovar
Christian Walker
Matt Olson
Corbin Carroll
Cubs Hitters
Mail Bag Questions!
Little Piranha: When to use limited add resources
@PeepMySlashLine: Where to find Wins & Ryan Bliss's viability
Goon Squad: What is wrong with 1B?

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss players who have improved over the course of April to May.

Month-over-month improvers
Steve's Spreadsheet
K-BB% improvers
Seth Lugo
Michael King
Stuff+ Improvers
Brandon Pfaadt
Carlos Rodon
wRC+ Improvers
Barrel% Improvers
JJ Bleday
Nolan Gorman
Ty France

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Kyle Bland (@blandalytics) to discuss the new bat tracking metrics as well as some struggling hitters and believing in the process and underlying data.

What Kyle is working on at Pitcher List
Kyle's Bat Tracking App
Importance of Bat Acceleration
Wyatt Langford intrigue
The State of Offense in 2024
Steve's offensive struggles
Christopher Morel: Trust The Process
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. Return to First Round Form?
Jo Adell Breakout or Flash in the Pan?
Lars Nootbaar Always One Step Away
Will Jake Burger Bounce Back?

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Lance Brozdowski (@LanceBroz) to talk pitching

Lance's background
Lance's Substack
Lance's most recent YouTube Video: The Dodgers & High Fastballs
Breaking down pitchers with Lance
Tarik Skubal
Garrett Crochet
Kevin Gausman
David Festa
Quick Hits for Lance

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) dissect the new Bat Tracking Leaderboard on Baseball Savant.

Bat Tracking Overview
Navigating signal and noise with new metrics
Fast Swing Rate
Squared Up Rate
Blasts
Custom Charts
Bat Speed Distribution Comparisons

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Thomas Nestico (@TJStats) to discuss under-valued and under rostered starting pitchers.

Paul Skenes
Christian Scott
Reese Olson
JP Sears
Hayden Wesneski
Jack Leiter
Taj Bradley
Erik Fedde
Chris Paddack
Thomas' favorite under-the-radar pitchers

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) use rest-of-season projections and underlying process stats to find buy-low hitters.

Process to find buy lows: projections and underlying stats
Link to Google Sheet
Check in on the Offensive Environment
Randy Arozarena
Corey Seager
Alex Bregman
Bo Bichette
Spencer Torkelson
Gleyber Torres
Xander Bogaerts

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look at year-over-year improvers in Statcast and batted ball metrics.

Importance of stabilization rates (Russell Carleton Article)
Year-over-year Barrel % improvers
Elly De La Cruz
Salvador Perez
Maikel Garcia
Jake Cronenworth
Riley Greene
Amed Rosario
Bryan De La Cruz
Barrel per PA standouts
Ryan O'Hearn
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Tyler O'Neill
Brenton Doyle
Ty France

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss hitters off to slow starts and analyze why they could be good buy-low options.

Francisco Lindor
Julio Rodriguez
Corbin Carroll
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Paul Goldschmidt
Cody Bellinger
Nolan Jones
Nick Castellanos
Jordan Walker
Christian Encarnacion-Strand

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look for interesting low-rostered pitchers to replace high-end starters who recently went down with injuries.

Keaton Winn
Jordan Hicks
Spencer Turnbull
Nick Martinez
Michael Wacha
Ranger Suarez
Luis Severino
Zack Littell
Ryne Nelson
Clarke Schmidt
Steven Matz
Cody Bradford

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) react to interesting performances from the first week of baseball games.

Maikel Garcia
Christopher Morel
Will Benson
Brendan Donovan
Jung Hoo Lee
Jose Siri
Taylor Ward
Jared Jones
Jason Foley & Abner Uribe
Nick Pivetta
Garrett Crochet

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) give their "chalkboard" picks -- 3 targets and 3 fades -- for the 2024 season and welcome on PitchCon Prize winner James Geary.

Marcell Ozuna
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Bobby Miller
Esteury Ruiz
Jung Hoo Lee
Adley Rutschman
Lane Thomas
A.J. Puk
Francisco Alvarez
Shota Imanaga
Framber Valdez
Hunter Greene
Christopher Morel
Dylan Cease
Cedric Mullins
C.J. Abrams
Gunnar Henderson
Adley Rutschman

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) review the players they have drafted the most heading into the 2024 season.

Assessing the Risk of Mike Trout
We Love Yoshinobu Yamamoto
A.J. Puk's Spring Dominance as a Starter
Willi Castro Late Speed Option
Kerry Carpenter
Paul Goldschmidt & Brendan Donovan Rebounds
Van is still in on Nick Pivetta
Francisco Alvarez's Upside
Joe Boyle's Exciting Stuff
Xander Bogaerts and Masataka Yoshida good, "boring" picks

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about their favorite sleepers post-pick 200.

Dylan Cease to San Diego
Luis Gil
Brayan Bello
Jack Suwinski
Jackson Merrill
Nestor Cortes
Jack Flaherty
Triston McKenzie
Austin Wells
Reese Olson
Victor Scott
Miguel Andujar

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) buy or sell players based on their new March ADP.

James Wood
Wyatt Langford
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Shota Imanaga
Cole Ragans
Tarik Skubal
AJ Puk
Jackson Merrill
Chris Sale
Miguel Andujar

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) recap the WAFxOTW listener league and review their favorite picks from the draft.

4:30 Listener League Draft Takeaways
10:08 A Team Build We Loved
17:09 Van's Team Breakdown
19:03 Steve's Team Breakdown
25:30 Nolan Gorman
31:48 Elly De La Cruz
37:08 Tyler Wells
42:22 Jorge Soler & Masataka Yoshida
49:05 Josh Naylor
55:41 Alex Verdugo

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk 2024 first-rounders and the pros and cons of each player taken there by ADP.

5:33 - 1st Round Thoughts
12:01 - Ronald Acuna
15:22 - Bobby Witt Jr. & Julio Rodriguez
22:59 - Mookie Betts
32:25 Corbin Carroll
39:37 Kyle Tucker
42:51 Freddie Freeman
53:00 Fernando Tatis Jr.
58:08 Spencer Strider
1:02:15 Aaron Judge, Juan Soto & Yordan Alvarez
1:09:40 Trea Turner
1:17:10 Shohei Ohtani

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the starting pitcher market and pick their favorite targets in each ADP range

Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Spencer Strider
Zach Eflin
Eury Perez
Nick Pivetta
Shane Baz
Michael King
Hunter Brown
Ryan Pepiot
Emmet Sheehan
Shota Imanaga
Mason Miller
James Paxton
Hurston Waldrep

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look at ADP risers and fallers from November to December.

6:35 - Jung Hoo Lee
14:55 Jackson Chourio
20:37 Jeimer Candelario
26:44 Yoshinobu Yamamoto
33:12 Shota Imanaga
39:11 Corbin Carroll
47:43 Pablo Lopez
52:55 Bobby Miller
57:28 Sonny Gray
1:01:45 Bryan Woo
1:05:57 Other Notables

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss position cliffs and players to target after tier drop-offs.

2:33 Approaching Position Cliffs
10:13 Catcher Depth?
17:49 First Base Front-loaded
26:41 Second Base Needs a Plan
36:08 Shortstop Scaries?
43:48 Third Base Fades FAST
51:49 Outfield Outpays the Rest
59:12 Pitcher Values vs. “Position Cliffs”

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) dive into draft season recapping the Pitcher List Mock Draft and some early hoy stove news.

Hot Stove: Sonny Gray & Luis Severino
2024 Draft Early Trends/Takeaways
Van’s Favorite Mock Picks
Steve’s Favorite Mock Picks
1st reactions: who are our likely SP1s?
Jose Altuve
Zach Eflin
Bobby Miller
Emmet Sheehan
Kodai Senga
Lane Thomas
Shane Baz

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Wins Above Fantasy / On The Corner

Nick Pollack reviews Van Burnett's 2024 Mock Draft. Van picked from the 1st spot in this draft

Head to factormeals.com/waf50 and use code WAF50 to get 50% off

Full Draft Board

"League" info:
Standard Yahoo H2H Category 5x5 scoring format
12-teamer, 23 rounds
C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, 3 OF, 2 UTIL, 9 P, 4 Bench
One-Way Ohtani (two separate players for DH and SP)

Van's picks:
1 - Ronald Acuña Jr
2 - Pete Alonso
3 - Rafael Devers
4 - Blake Snell
5 - Christian Yelich
6 - Jesus Luzardo
7 - Marcell Ozuna
8 - Logan Gilbert
9 - Ha-Seong Kim
10 - David Bednar
11 - Dansby Swanson
12 - Paul Sewald
13 - Bailey Ober
14 - Sawyer Gibson-Long
15 - Willson Contreras
16 - Chas McCormick
17 - Emmet Sheehan
18 - Noelvi Marte
19 - Nick Pivetta
20 - Thairo Estrada
21 - Chase Silseth
22 - Graham Ashcraft
23 - Brendan Donovan

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss some impressive second-half pitching performances.

Corbin Burnes
Blake Snell
Tyler Glasnow
Freddy Peralta
Tarik Skubal
Grayson Rodriguez
Kodai Senga
Bobby Miller
Cole Ragans
Michael King
Nick Pivetta
Yusei Kikuchi
Chase Silseth

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) review their bold predictions and chalkboard picks from last season.

Shohei Ohtani
Vinnie Pasquantino
Aaron Judge
Nico Hoerner
Six with 40+ Steals
Max Muncy Pop
Kevin Gausman
Hunter Greene
Taylor Ward
Randy Arozarena
Lars Nootbaar and Brendan Donovan
Ryan Noda
Oscar Colas
Jesse Winker
Matt Olson
Kevin Gausman (again)
Bobby Witt Jr.
Ozzie Albies
Hunter Greene (again)
Nico Hoerner (again)
Jake McCarthy
Adley Rutschmann

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) being the offseason by looking at the impact of the rule changes, the new run environment as well as some of the biggest values and busts.

2023 Year End Recap
League-wide Stat Trends
Assessing Steals & Future Targets
Biggest Busts
1st Round Misses
Pricey Catchers
Eloy & Goldie
Early Pitching Coinflips

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) break down impressive second-half hitting performances and look to see if they will carry over into 2024.

9:20 Michael Harris II
17:45 Triston Casas
27:12 Gunnar Henderson
34:06 Juan Soto
39:48 Francisco Lindor
47:58 Cal Raleigh

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss what lessons they learned playing fantasy baseball this year and how to apply them going forward.

We were on it
Trust the process on guys you like
Hit the mighty middle on pitching
Be wary of big contract-pressing
Overreacting to 2nd-half splits
Be in on buying low
Industry league learnings
Waiver wires well-beyond spring

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss their biggest surprises of the year.

Sandy Alcantara
Trea Turner's down and up year
Cristian Javier
Corbin Carroll
Matt Olson
The Cardinals
Other Surprises

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100.

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Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply.

Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) start to look to 2024 by discussing their predictions for the 2024 first round.

9:10 Ronald Acuna Jr.

16:20 Shohei Ohtani

25:16 Bobby Witt Jr.

32:35 Mookie Betts

38:29 Fernando Tatis Jr.

43:30 Julio Rodriguez

49:24 Aaron Judge

54:06 Kyle Tucker

59:38 Corbin Carroll

1:07:07 Freddie Freeman

1:13:06 Yordan Alvarez

1:18:13 Jose Ramirez

1:23:28 Luis Robert Jr.

1:27:30 Round 1 SPs?

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss players who they think will help win your H2H playoff matchups.

7:15 Steve’s Playoff Process

9:45 Van’s Playoff Tips

11:15 Marcell Ozuna

14:18 Kerry Carpenter

17:20 Spencer Torkelson

20:37 Wilmer Flores

24:00 Cole Ragans

29:59 Ryan Pepiot

34:30 Jose Quintana

37:30 Graham Ashcraft

44:22 Javier Assad

47:30 Matt Brash

50:00 Jake Burger

54:02 Harold Ramirez

55:25 Osleivis Basabe

56:50 Logan O’Hoppe

59:46 These Rockies Bats

1:02:54 White Sox

1:05:16 Tigers

1:07:09 Astros

1:11:36 Twins

1:14:39 Padres

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Pitcher List's Christopher Weber aka Shewbsi (@shwebsi) to give their rest-of-season bold predictions.

2:15 Welcome Shwebsi!

14:44 CJ Abrams

19:21 Lance Lynn

25:22 Nolan Jones

34:10 Max Muncy

40:25 Michael Massey

46:03 Pete Alonso

53:20 Brandon Pfaadt

59:17 Chase Silseth & Logan Allen

1:02:18 Bryce Miller

1:07:50 Jackson Holliday

1:10:05 Masyn Winn

1:12:06 Jordan Lawlar

1:13:09 Pete Crow-Armstrong

1:13:42 Ben Brown

1:16:52 Angels Bullpen

1:18:03 Aroldis Chapman

1:19:42 Tiger Bullpen

1:23:09 Max Kepler

1:24:00 Edouard Julien

1:25:49 Matt Wallner

1:25:02 Ezekiel Tovar

1:27:39 Tork & Kerry Carpenter

1:29:04 Tommy Pham

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss under-the-radar targets for potential adds as the fantasy stretch-run approaches.

5:15 - Chase Silseth

10:28 - Cole Ragans

16:47 - Jameson Taillon

20:57 - Kutter Crawford

25:06 - Ross Stripling

29:25 - Brandon Williamson

35:57 - Michael Massey

40:18 - Brice Turang

43:30 - J.P. Crawford

49:18 - Davis Schneider

54:37 - Matt Wallner

57:36 - Nolan Jones

1:00:51 - Freddy Fermin

1:03:33 - Ryan Jeffers

1:06:00 - Rookie Stashes

1:11:57 - Saves

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss recent breakout pitchers and their short- and long-term sustainability as fantasy assets.

4:50 Jesus Luzardo

14:39 Andrew Abbott

20:51 Kyle Bradish

26:51 Tyler Wells

34:02 James Paxton

38:03 Jose Berrios

42:40 Zach Eflin

48:45 Bailey Ober

54:05 Tanner Bibee

1:02:20 Yusei Kikuchi

1:08:00 Aaron Civale

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss recent breakout hitters and their short- and long-term sustainability as fantasy assets.

Nolan Jones - 7:03

Chas McCormick - 18:24

Christopher Morel - 24:04

Cody Bellinger - 33:18

CJ Abrams - 42:18

Mickey Moniak - 53:21

Josh Naylor - 59:46

Bryson Stott - 1:05:32

Ha-Seong Kim - 1:09:01

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look for favorable matchups for the second-half

9:00 - White Sox: Jake Burger & Eloy Jimenez

17:36 - Twins: Eduard Julien & Alex Kirilloff

24:47 - Tigers: Spencer Torkelson, Kerry Carpenter & Reese Olsen

35:49 - Astros: Chas McCormick & Deep SPs

42:30 - Cubs: Seiya Suzuki , Nico Hoerner & Jameson Taillon

48:00 - Mariners: Eugenio Suarez, J.P. Crawford & Jared Kelenic

52:46 - Rangers: Travis Jankowski, Leody Taveras & Jon Gray

57:11 - Braves: Eddie Rosario & Orlando Arcia

1:01:55 - Cardinals: Lars Nootbaar? Tyler O'Neill? Anyone?

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) give their "all value" fantasy All-Star teams.

2:00 WAF “Fantasy Value” All-Stars

7:57 Jonah Heim

11:45 Sean Murphy

14:21 Yandy Diaz

18:13 Christian Walker

21:45 Luis Arraez

25:24 Ketel Marte

28:07 Josh Jung

31:07 Spencer Steer

37:15 Elly De La Cruz

39:37 Wander Franco

42:52 Ronald Acuna Jr.

45:32 Christian Yelich

49:33 Lane Thomas

52:35 Adolis Garcia

57:25 Kevin Gausman

1:02:38 Last Call on 7th Inning Stretch!

1:04:18 Pablo Lopez

1:06:46 Mitch Keller

1:13:57 Zach Eflin

1:17:01 Alexis Diaz

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) record during their Underdog 7th Inning Stretch draft with some WAF listeners.

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about June performances and prep for the 7th Inning Stretch tournament on Underdog Fantasy.

5:50 - Join the WAF Underdog League!

10:40 7th Inning Stretch Format

17:36 Players to Target for the Format

24:57 June Standouts

26:40 Eddie Rosario

31:30 Corey Seager

34:27 Ketel Marte

40:05 Jordan Walker, Michael Harris II, Lane Thomas

43:30 Upcoming Bouncebacks for Streaky Slumpers?

50:05 Braxton Garrett

51:00 Blake Snell & the Ol’ Changeup

53:15 Eury Perez

56:03 Dylan Cease, Ranger Suarez, Reid Detmers

1:02:40 Pablo Lopez Buy Low

1:06:14 Tanner Bibee

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look at recent performances of rookies and potential summer call-ups.

4:00 Eovaldi Velo Dip

10:20 Check Out Underdog Fantasy

15:20 Gavin Williams

22:45 AJ Smith-Shawver

29:45 Emmet Sheehan

35:25 Yainer Diaz

40:37 Henry Davis

43:20 Bo Naylor

47:20 Maikel Garcia

51:10 Luis Matos

57:10 Christian Encarnacion-Strand

1:02:15 Jordan Westburg & Colton Cowser

Join Underdog Fantasy today with promo code PITCHERLIST and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100. Once you're signed up, check out Underdog Fantasy’s 7th Inning Stretch Tournament, where you can build your dream team and compete against your friends for the $30,000 grand prize! Must be 18+ (21+ in MA & AZ, 19+ in AL & NE) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org AZ: 1-800-NEXT-STEP (1-800-639-8783) or text NEXT-STEP to 53342 NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) use analysis inspired by Immaculate Grid and look at interesting combos of underlying metrics to find underperformers.

2:47 Van’s Coyote Scare

4:47 Immaculate Grid is AMAZING

6:55 Our Immaculate Key Metrics

10:36 Low Barrels, High FB/LD EV

13:30 Austin Riley, Andrew Vaughn, Zach Neto

20:00 Lars Nootbaar, Brett Baty, Jordan Walker & Maikel Garcia

26:06 Barrels, EV & Plate Discipline

30:33 Spencer Torkelson, Eugenio Suarez and Max Muncy

35:30 Ryan Noda and Ryan O’Hearn

38:00 Hard Hit and Plate Skills

41:12 Kyle Tucker Buy Low

43:30 Andrew McCutchen Contributions

48:09 Blast Rate > Barrel Rate

49:33 Yandy Diaz, Josh Lowe & Josh Jung

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss interesting pitchers who have made changes to their pitch mix.

2:20 Elly De La Cruz

9:00 Finding Pitch Mix Changes

13:52 Jon Gray

20:05 Mitch Keller

25:43 Mike Clevinger

30:42 Griffin Canning

34:50 Jose Berrios

39:45 J.P. France

42:20 Comparing Andrew Abbott

45:40 Ryne Nelson

49:03 Logan Webb

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) begin to prep for 2023 by discussing some eye-opening steamer projections.4:57 Overviewing Projections8:12 Trea Turner 13:30 Michael Harris II19:55 Gunnar Henderson24:30 Oneil Cruz31:18 Vinnie Pasquantino36:10 Ozzie Albies41:00 Christian Walker45:33 Shohei Ohtani50:34 Hunter Greene vs. Cristian Javier54:57 Alek Manoah59:26 Julio Urias1:03:02 Joe Musgrove1:07:24 Nick LodoloSubscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSSConnect: Twitter | WinsAboveFantasy@gmail.com | Join PL+Get PL+ and join our community!: https://www.pitcherlist.com/plusLearn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) review their bold predictions and the process behind them from the 2022 season.

3:25 Getting Burnt on Bold Predictions

6:00 PL Mock Pods with Nick Pollack

12:00 Level-Set on Bold Predictions

14:00 Byron Buxton

19:55 Joey Votto

22:10 Dylan Cease

27:40 Yasmani Grandal

30:30 Francisco Lindor

36:06 Jorge Soler

40:35 Shane McClanahan & Trevor Rogers

43:50 Blake Snell

46:55 Brendan Rogers & Ryan McMahon

50:19 Giancarlo Stanton

54:50 Andrew Vaughn

57:20 Connor Joe

58:24 Steven Kwan

1:00:12 Gerrit Cole

1:02:35 Jordan Montgomery

1:05:18 Hunter Renfroe

1:06:58 Trea Turner

1:08:35 Aaron Civale & Jack Flaherty

1:11:52 Robbie Ray

1:13:20 Steve Wins the Bet!

1:17:00 Steve in ’23: Nick Lodolo

1:18:30 Van in ’23: Lars Nootbaar

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) assess whether strong 2022 performances will be "tricks or treats" in 2023. Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist

6:00 Nathaniel Lowe

12:10 Dansby Swanson

16:15 Brandon Drury

20:20 Christian Walker

26:00 Andres Gimenez

34:20 Framber Valdez

39:30 Tyler Anderson

45:25 Alek Manoah

49:59 Martin Perez

53:30 Luis Severino

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) start prep for 2023 by discussing the #PLmock2023.

1:00 2023's First PL Mock Draft

3:20 The Hot Seat with Nick Pollack

4:56 Steve & Van’s Draft Slot

8:15 Listing Off 2023 First Rounders

11:00 Let’s Talk Mike Trout at 9

13:00 Van Likes Jose Ramirez 1.1

15:45 Juan Soto at 10

19:00 Pay For Power at the Corners

20:40 Bobby Witt Jr. a First-Rounder

23:45 The Hitting Depth of Round 2

26:45 Is Round 3 Pitcher-Palooza?

29:25 Steve’s Early 2023 Draft Approach

34:30 Steve’s Value Gamble on Michael Harris II

37:40 Van’s Chasing the Ascent of Dylan Cease & Spencer Strider

42:10 Surprising Picks: Mike Trout, Gunnar Henderson, Corbin Carroll & More

45:15 Top Relievers Regressing to the Pack?

46:30 Where Wander Franco & Dansby Swanson Went

49:30 Cristian Javier is Strider Lite

52:00 Zac Gallen a Bargain SP1

55:00 Catcher’s Lookin’ Up!

56:45 Where We Got Sniped

58:30 Pitchers > Hitters Picks ~90-140

1:09:00 Steve’s Favorite Draft (Non-WAF)

1:11:00 Van’s Favorite Draft (Non-WAF)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) wrap up the 2022 fantasy season by reviewing their chalkboard picks and taking a deep dive on a listener question regarding defining a good process.

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3:00 Magic of Fall Baseball

8:08 Listener Q: Process vs. Results

17:15 The Chalkboard Intro

19:38 Dylan Cease

25:45 Joey Votto

31:00 Wander Franco

35:25 Yasmani Grandal

40:00 Shane McClanahan

44:35 Blake Snell

49:15 Steven Kwan

53:32 Blake Treinen

54:00 Randy Arozarena

58:40 Shane Bieber

1:02:23 Mitch Haniger

1:04:25 Salvador Perez

1:08:35 DJ LeMahieu & Jake Cronenworth

1:12:17 Jazz Chisholm

1:14:28 Myles Straw

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about the biggest surprises, both negative and positive, from the 2022 season.

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5:08 - Surprises of the Season

7:27 Brady Singer

17:00 Triston McKenzie

22:25 Lucas Giolito

31:18 J.D. Martinez

39:35 Andres Gimenez

45:15 Anthony Santander

51:38 Nick Castellanos

56:29 Brief Ronald Acuna Jr. Mention

57:13 Merrill Kelly

1:00:05 Adolis Garcia

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss some impressive second-half performances with an eye on the impact on 2023 drafts.

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7:52 Michael Harris II

17:15 Eugenio Suarez

22:45 Daulton Varsho

26:35 Willy Adames

31:22 Jake McCarthy

36:50 Brayan Bello

40:53 George Kirby

43:43 Drew Rasmussen

50:02 Carlos Carrasco

54:45 Nick Lodolo

1:00:30 Justin Steele

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look back at previous episodes from 2022 to review some of their advice and processes throughout the year.

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2:36 Steve’s Wife Loves This Topic

3:17 The WAF Accountability

4:30 Bo Bichette Turning It Around

7:33 Spencer Torkelson Worth an Add

11:33 Oscar Gonzales Power & Flyballs

15:00 Our March 17th Breakouts & Busts

17:53 Arozarena & Adolis Defied K%

22:05 Our April 14th Early Buys & Sells

24:24 We Nailed the Pitch Mix Changers

28:15 Our June 30th 2nd Half Bouncebacks

32:00 Healthy Trevor Rogers Figured It Out

33:14 Where’s Soto Go in 2023 Drafts?

35:11 Great Finds in July 7th K-BB & Barrel Risers

42:55 Our July 21st 2nd Half Schedule Targets

47:00 Talking Eloy Jimenez’s Awesome Slash Line

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) start to reflect on the 2022 season and give their biggest lessons learned from the year.

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3:47 Steve’s Overall Hindsight

6:38 Van’s Big Picture Review

8:40 Don’t Overreact to 2nd Halves

12:57 Play Early Draft Rounds Safer

18:18 Go with Youth at the Right Cost

22:27 Still Wait with Steve on SPs

24:20 Van’s Out on Very Top of SPs

27:34 Draft Talent Despite “Innings Concerns”

31:20 Steve Paid Too Much Too Late for Trades

36:25 Don’t Be a Prisoner to ADP

42:30 Be Patient with Veteran Hitters

46:35 Don’t Hold On Too Long to Late Picks

49:15 Be Aggressive on the Wire Early On

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss recent and impending call-ups and determine who can have positive impacts in the month of September.

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4:30 Call-Up Considerations
11:05 Corbin Carroll
17:36 Gunnar Henderson
23:38 Hunter Brown
28:25 Triston Casas
32:07 Ken Waldichuk
36:09 Michael Toglia
39:26 Spencer Torkelson
42:10 Miguel Vargas
46:03 Garrett Mitchell
48:45 Sean Bouchard
52:20 Yainer Diaz
56:16 Jeremiah Estrada

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Wins Above Fantasy – Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) is joined by Pitcher List's Christopher Weber (@shwebsi), who is filling in for the traveling Van Burnett (@Van_Verified). They discuss interesting pitching performances that may have been flying under the radar recently.

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7:10 Does Shwebsi believe in the Mets?
12:00 Justin Steele and the model for finding under-the-radar pitchers
17:35 George Kirby's elite fastball and command
23:57 Alex Wood ran out of Giant's magic
29:56 Ross Stripling's new pitch mix
37:10 Aaron Civale and his devastating curveball
42:18 Josiah Gray is a year away
45:30 Matt Manning's impressive run
49:50 JT Brubaker is frustrating
54:01 Jose Suarez provides some value
59:22 Austin Voth's breakout with the O's
1:08:10 Braxton Garrett a name to remember for 2024

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the breakout of Vinnie P and the underlying numbers that foreshadowed the results while trying to identify some hitters who can provide hidden value over the last two months of the season.

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1:30 The next Vinnie P Exercise
8:45 Vinnie Pasquantino
12:50 How Vinnie Scores on this Exercise
14:15 JJ Bleday
18:43 Trent Grisham
22:00 Lars Nootbaar
24:59 Kyle Tucker
30:15 Ketel Marte
36:30 Jeimer Candelario
39:09 Tyler O’Neill
45:42 Cody Bellinger
49:25 Taylor Ward
53:30 Gleyber Torres

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about some big-name players who are struggling and finding their replacement on the wire as well as overall end-of-season strategies.

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2:00 Home Stretch Mentality
8:38 Sour Drop on Patrick Sandoval
12:41 Headache-Inducing Aaron Ashby
17:58 Mitch Keller
23:42 Justin Steele
28:00 Aaron Civale
31:00 Graham Ashcraft
34:44 Dane Dunning
39:55 Kyle Gibson
45:20 Matt Manning
48:10 Jose Suarez
51:15 Struggles for Tyler O’Neill & JD Martinez
53:45 Nick Gordon
56:35 Thairo Estrada
58:30 Jake McCarthy
59:55 Lars Nootbaar
1:04:50 Michael Massey
1:06:44 Elehuris Montero
1:09:17 Josh Donaldson
1:11:29 Paul Dejong
1:15:53 Felix Bautista - The Mountain
1:16:25 Alexis Diaz
1:18:13 Vaughn Grissom
1:18:44 Josh Jung
1:19:00 Joey Meneses

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about the trade deadline and the fantasy impact of a busy day of trades as well as the long-term upside of Gavin Lux.

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1:11 Steve’s Reaction to the Deadline
4:35 How Years of Control Impacts Trades
7:00 Van’s Homer Take on Cardinals Moves
10:00 Cardinals’ Confidence in Dylan Carlson
12:00 Jordan Montgomery & Harrison Bader
19:25 Listener Question on Gavin Lux’s Ceiling
26:10 Listener CALLS THE SHOT on Montgomery
27:30 Does Monty’s Value Go Up?
33:00 Opportunity for Jose Barrero
36:28 Brighter Days Ahead for the Reds
38:20 Michael Massey Worth the Watch List
42:30 Make the Move for Miguel Vargas
47:00 David Peralta Platoon Help with Rays
50:03 Jose Siri Another Ray Who Could Rise
52:48 Joey Gallo Just Enough Hope
54:27 Any Hope for Eric Hosmer?

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about some highly available players to add for the last two months of the season.

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1:15 Getting Through the Grind
6:15 Alec Bohm’s Batting Average
10:20 Bryson Stott’s Gettin Hot
14:05 Carson Kelly Bounceback Catcher
18:14 Cal Raleigh Can Offer Pop
22:25 Josh Naylor No Longer Ignored
25:17 Jeimer Candelario Flash or For Real?
30:59 Steven Kwan Back on the Rise
34:20 Ramon Urias Exploding on the Scene
37:43 Luis Rengifo Keeps On Hitting
41:10 Nico Hoerner Now a Fixture?
44:33 Desperate Speed: Victor Robles & Magneirus Siera
47:55 Cole Irvin’s Value Could Climb
50:59 Mitch White the New Ross Stripling
53:22 Mitch Keller May Finally Be Doing It
56:11 Janson Junk 80-Grade Name
58:08 Braxton Garrett Getting Ks
1:01:47 Reid Detmers Return of the Slider

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look at teams with advantageous second-half schedules and identify players to stream and target for the stretch run.

Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 4:05 Targeting Schedule Matchups 9:15 Matchups to Round Out Rotations 11:40 Fangraphs Tool on Strength of Schedule 14:04 Bonus Topic: Michael Harris II NL ROY? 16:00 Opportunity vs. Weakest Hitting Teams 20:15 Texas Strong Pitching Matchups 22:42 Spencer Howard Deep SP Help? 24:00 Houston Strong Pitching Matchups 25:00 Jake Odorizzi Could Offer SP Support 26:39 Lance McCullers Jr. an IL Stash 27:24 White Sox SPs - White Hot Target 29:30 Vintage Volume from Johnny Cueto 33:15 Opportunity vs. Weakest Pitching Teams 35:40 LA Angels Strong Hitting Matchups 36:10 Luis Rengifo Stuff & Things Potential 39:40 Some White Sox Hitters to Target 42:20 Astros Bats You May Want to Add 48:20 Cardinals Hitters Could Crush This Schedule Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS

Fangraphs' Playoff Odds with ROS SOS

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) name their first-half fantasy All-Star, both overall and "all-value" teams, and provide insight into buying or selling their performances for the second half.

Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 2:35 Our Take on All-Star Break 7:30 All-Star Catchers: Willson Contreras 13:00 Alejandro Kirk 16:52 1st Base: Paul Goldschmidt 21:35 CJ Cron 25:45 2nd Base: Jose Altuve 29:44 Tommy Edman 36:45 Shortstop: Trea Turner 39:55 Dansby Swanson 44:00 3rd Base: Jose Ramirez 46:20 Brandon Drury 51:50 Outfield: Aaron Judge 55:53 Mookie Betts 57:23 Yordan Alvarez 59:33 Kyle Schwarber 1:02:14 Julio Rodriguez 1:03:43 Adolis Garcia 1:06:36 Pitchers: Shane McClanahan 1:09:42 Corbin Burnes & Gerrit Cole 1:10:50 Sandy Alcantara 1:12:16 Justin Verlander 1:14:50 Shohei Ohtani 1:17:35 Value All-Star SPs Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) divide the first half of the season into "quarters" and look at pitchers who have improved their strikeout minus walk rate as well as barrel rate gainers to identify players with underlying skill gains.

Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist :55 Kyle Schwarber’s Killing Van 2:55 “Quarterly Splits” 5:20 Our Riser Spreadsheet List 10:40 Charlie Morton Again! 15:50 Logan Webb & Tony Gonsolin 22:52 Taijuan Walker 27:18 Shane Bieber, Sandy Alcantara & Yu Darvish 36:26 Hope for Jose Berrios Struggles? 42:45 Ian Anderson’s Control Slide 46:40 Kyle Hendricks Post-IL Stream Target 48:48 Yusei Kikuchi, Aaron Ashby, Hunter Greene, Jose Quintana 55:19 The Down Arrow: Eric Lauer, Kyle Wright & More 1:01:00 Barrel Risers 1:02:00 Adam Duvall 1:05:30 Jesse Winker 1:09:32 Nathaniel Lowe 1:12:52 Francisco Lindor Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS

Eno Sarris on Barrel Rate Gainers

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) take a look at some struggling players and assess their chances of bouncing back in the second half

Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist 2:30 Freddie Freeman Agent Drama 5:30 Assessing 2nd Half Bouncebacks 9:39 Mailbag: Sell High Process / Charlie Morton 18:29 Max Muncy 25:15 Joey Votto 32:45 Jonathan India 38:40 Juan Soto 44:18 Nelson Cruz 49:18 Trevor Rogers 56:57 Lucas Giolito 1:02:48 Nick Castellanos Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Pitcher List's Scott Chu (@ifthechufits) to discuss xStats and their limitations as well as the interworkings Scott's Hitter List.

Get 10% off your first month of therapy on us! - BetterHelp.com/pitcherlist :30 Welcome Scott Chu 2:15 Steve on Scott’s xStats take 7:13 How & why to be cautious 9:45 The Christian Walker Case Study 12:00 More context with xWoba 14:30 Pull rate factors & Juan Soto 18:10 xStats with “the new environment” 25:00 Using rolling charts 26:28 Inflated MLB-wide xBA 31:15 Cushion xStats analysis 33:40 xStats once “the shift” is banned 37:50 The Hitter List and how to use “lists” 42:30 How Scott makes “The Hitter List” 49:50 Balancing upside and track record 53:00 Understanding risers & fallers 57:00 Consider player “archetypes” 1:06:15 The List can help with trades Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss players who have gotten hot over the last few weeks and look back at some early-season recommendations.

Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. 3:20 WAF Heat Checks with Nathaniel Lowe & Santiago Espinal 9:15 Cold Starts That Heated Up: Marcus Semien & Trevor Story 17:00 Kyle Farmer Deep League Stuff & Things 21:00 Adam Duvall Primed for Power Surge 25:50 Joey Votto Somehow Still Out There 29:48 Garrett Cooper Sleepy Floor & Ceiling 33:33 Christopher Morel Speed AND Plate Skills? 37:40 Brendan Donovan Cardinal Devil Magic 40:15 Michael Harris II 44:00 Gavin Lux Value Looks Different 47:40 Jon Berti Back at It 49:54 Graham Ashcraft Ks Should Come 52:45 Hunter Greene Has Leveled Up 55:18 Spencer Strider a Must Add SP Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look back at "draft day biases" to confirm or deny the market trends from the preseason and discuss what lessons have been learned so far in 2022.

Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. 1:00 Papa Gesuele 4:00 Learning from 2022 Draft Trends 8:00 Assessing 1st Base Depth 14:25 Is 3rd Base a Wasteland? 21:40 Catcher Market Crash 29:50 Speed vs. Power Scarcity 40:40 Has SP Draft Advice Worked? 41:35 Top SP ROI Issues 44:19 Profit on Upper Middle-Class SPs 52:10 Dreams Coming True with SP “Darts” 57:30 Factoring Unexpected SP Breakouts 1:04:00 Was Closer Inflation Worth It? Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | TuneIn | Google Podcasts | Audacy | RSS

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk all things trades: good trade etiquette, how to get deals done, and who to target.

Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. 4:15 How to Make More Trades 6:45 Communication is Key 7:50 Know Your League Makeup 9:00 You Get Out What You Give 10:45 Look at Roto Stats & Needs 13:00 Roster Depth & 2-for-1s 15:30 Where to Start: Statcast vs. Team Needs 19:50 Tough to Part with Arms? 27:35 Willy Adames & Dansby Swanson 32:45 Difficulty of “Challenge Trades” 34:20 Steve’s a Trade Counselor 36:25 Buxton Trades 42:45 Gleyber Torres & Jake Cronenworth 45:30 Speed-for-Pop: Harrison Bader & Jorge Soler 48:00 Walker Buehler Buy Low 51:00 Considering Carlos Rodon 55:00 Top-End Talks for Vlad & Acuna 57:45 What to Think of Whit Merrifield

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk prospects with a redraft league focus. They discuss the potential impact of recent call-ups and what players you should be stashing.

Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Adley Rutschmann gets the call (4:15) How good can Nolan Gorman be (11:00) Alek Thomas flying under the radar in the desert (18:00) Matthew Liberatore getting a shot with the Cards (21:00) Get excited about Roansy Contreras (24:44) Grayson Rodriguez: the best pitching prospect in baseball (33:10) Bobby Miller is a name to watch in LA (36:40) Could Brayan Bello get a shot with the Red Sox (39:40) Royce Lewis learning new positions (43:15) Oneil Cruz has nothing left to prove (47:10) Getting hyped for Corbin Carroll (50:36) Miguel Vargas putting up impressive numbers in AAA (53:50) Michael Bush another awesome Dodger prospect (56:45) All Vinny Pasquantino does is hit (59:00)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) follow up last week's hitter breakout episode and discuss pitchers who are taking or poised to take the next step by looking at some advanced metrics.

Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. The process of finding breakout pitchers and year-to-year leaderboards (5:30) Say it with me now: Shane McClanahan is an ace (12:20) Ohtani, yeah he's an ace too (19:00) The maturation of Freddy Peralta (23:45) Tarik Skubal is taking the next step (30:10) Nasty Nestor Cortes is for real (37:20) The time to buy Alex Cobb is now (43:20) Steven Matz is better than the surface numbers indicate (47:1) Justin Steele and Keegan Thompson are sleepers in Chicago (52:20) Griffin Jax is an intriguing long reliever (57:25)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) are joined by Pitcher List's Grant Washburn (@throwing_gasse) to discuss his recent Going Deep Article on Pavin Smith and find other potential breakout hitters using Statcast data.

Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Grant's article, analysis, and process (6:08) Pavin Smith making improvements (11:05) Christian Yelich: Back (18:30) Buying low on Tyler O'Neill and his improved plate skills (25:35) Jonah Heim could be valuable in 1C leagues (31:04) Christian Walker a must add? (38:59) Trey Mancini and the new Camden Yards (44:58) Can Rowdy Tellez keep this up? (49:58) Don't give up on Spencer Torkelson (54:49) Gleyber Torres back to his old self and more? (58:46) Jorge Mateo showing a solid bat (1:01:20) Ryan McMahon should be a buy (1:05:38) Jean Segura's impressive start (1:07:57) Deep name to keep an eye on: Cooper Hummel (1:11:25)

Grant's Article on Pavin Smith

Grant's Article on Tyler O'Neill

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players off to hot and cold starts and how to handle them: who to sell high, buy low, and everything in between from April performances.

Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Ranting about the ball (2:00) Joe Ryan is better than we thought (11:02) Kyle Wright looks here to stay (20:58) Buying Eric Lauer? (26:59) Nolan Arenado back to his old self in STL (34:50) Finding it hard to buy into Eric Hosmer (40:33) Anthony Rizzo taking advantage of Yankee Stadium (47:10) What to do with Tyler Mahle (53:30) Where did Trevor Roger's whiffs go? (58:50) Charlie Morton battling father time (1:04:02) Marcus Semien is pressing (1:09:12) Trevor Story's poor start in Boston (1:13:35) Tyler O'Neill's improved plate skills (1:17:00) Holding Joey Votto through the pain (1:20:35)

Jay Jaffe on Eric Hosmer

Randy Holt on Anthony Rizzo

Dan Szymborski on Joey Votto

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players they are looking to add and the potential for long-term value for lesser rostered players off to hot starts.

Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Van is back from Portugal (0:30) Live jinx of Aaron Ashby's no-hitter (2:30) Daniel Vogelbach's hot start (9:40) Eric Hosmer producing despite ground ball rate (13:52) Nathaniel Lowe producing in Texas (17:24) Bringing the Sheldon Neuse (19:35) Josh Naylor hits the ball hard (24:42) Jonah Heim emerging as a viable catcher option (29:38) Jorge Mateo's league-winning speed (33:48) Jurickson Profar post-post-post hype breakout (38:30) Max Kepler: Statcast Darling (42:31) Seth Beer's power and plate skills (46:48) Once again asking you to add Santiago Espinal (49:59) Chris Paddack: Back? (51:53) Don't drop Aaron Ashby (56:39) Michael King should provide values in all formats (1:02:18) Glenn Otto has nasty stuff (1:05:40) Daniel Lynch's solid start (1:08:00) Humberto Castellanos: poor man's Nestor Cortes? (1:11:37)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Adam Howe (@Eightygrade), filling in for Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) joins Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) to discuss early season FAAB takeaway and insights

Go to birddogs.com and use promo code PITCHERLIST for a free Birddogs hat with your pair of Birddogs. Adam has filled in for 3 WAF honeymoons (1:00) General early FAAB strategy (2:10) Streaming players vs big game hunting (7:00) How to manage FAAB for multiple leagues (11:45) What players to target early in the year (18:40) Importance of "labeling" your bench (20:00) How to determine who to bid on using metrics (26:30) Importance of looking at schedules (28:20) Streaming stolen bases (31:05) Focusing on pitchers early (35:50) Overpays and bargains from the first three FAAB periods (37:50) Speculate but don't over speculate (54:00) Always have backup bids (55:20) There may not be "FAABapalooza" this year (59:30) Who we are adding this week (1:03:40)

Razzball SB Streams

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the first week of action and take a look at meaningful stats in small samples to give insight on early-season moves.

Sign up for Trade coffee: drinktrade.com/pitcherlist Metrics that matter early in the season (8:00) Plate discipline and Steven Kwan's historic start (11:45) Seiya Suzuki's plate discipline is legit (20:40) Ian Happ's hot start (23:25) Go grab Connor Joe (26:04) Giancarlo Stanton is reaching more (31:00) Concerned about Bobby Dalbec (34:08) Jorge Soler struggling to make contact in Miami (37:22) Not concerned about Jo Adell...yet (39:45) Max Exit velocity standouts (43:15) Keep an eye on Nate Lowe and Santiago Espinal (47:50) Fastball velocity gainers (49:45) Tylor Megill's impressive two starts (51:20) Logan Gilbert's velo bump (52:30) Velocity decliners and concern about Bieber and Urias (53:15) Pitch mix changers and interest in Kyle Wright (1:02:30) Justin Steele as a potential streamer (1:04:25) Is a Merrill Kelly breakout incoming? (1:06:00) Corbin Martin's increased slider usage (1:09:00) Bailey Ober threw more siders, too (1:10:25) Shane McClanahan looks great (1:12:40) Closer speculation (1:13:32)

Max Freeze Small Sample Size Stabilization

Mike Podhorzer Velocity Gainers Article

JonPGH SubStack

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) celebrate Opening Day by updating you on everything you need to know for the start of the 2022 season. The guys talk about spring training standouts, prospect call ups, closer battles, and under-the-radar names to keep an eye on for the early waiver wire. How to approach early-season moves (3:28) Spring Training standouts (8:40) Kevin Smith, Keston Hiura, Bobby Dalbec, and Paul DeJong's hot springs (8:57) Obligatory Steven Kwan talk (17:15) Impressive pitching performances from the spring (19:45) MacKenzie Gore is back? (20:05) Nick Lodolo to make his debut after a good spring (22:40) Jordan Montgomery's improved stuff (23:45) How long of a leash for Cody Bellinger? (27:36) Willy Adames' and Nelson Cruz's slow spring (32:15) Prospects getting the call (36:45) Matt Brash was the hot item on waiver wires (37:40) Bryson Stott has an opportunity in Philly (40:50) Mickey Moniak is a name to add to watch lists (43:00) Cautiously optimistic about Hunter Green (44:15) Add Jhoan Duran and Diego Castillo to watch lists (45:52) Closer jobs to keep an eye on (50:30) Robert Suarez has the job in SD? (51:00) Art Warren and Anthony Bender have the skills (52:00) Why hasn't Texas named Joe Barlow the closer? (53:15) The fallout from the Dodgers-White Sox trade (53:45) Gavin Lux to see increased playing time? (54:45) Miguel Vargas is a prospect to watch (56:45) 6-man rotation watch: hold Aaron Ashby (59:00) Back-end Braves starters to watch: Davidson, Strider (1:00:00) High-volume plays to start the season (1:03:30) Dave Swan's SP schedule article(1:06:00) Carlos Hernandez, Eric Lauer, Tylor Megill matchups (1:07:00) Nestor Cortes' scheule post- Blue Jays (1:10:00) Justin Dunbar's pitchers to target early in the season(1:11:50) Zack Greinke a good Opening Week stream (1:12:30) Listener question on late-round picks (1:14:40)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) make their picks for their "chalkboard": players they are picking to be 20% better or worse than their ADPs at year-end. They also review their bold predictions for the 2022 season. Steve's Love for Dylan Cease (8:00) Van Votes for Votto (12:15) Concerns with Bieber Goes Beyond his Shoulder (18:00) Randy Arrozarena's Trouble With Offspeed (23:57) Wander Franco Breakout Incoming (28:00) Yasmani Grandal's Important Swing Change (34:30) Sal Perez Can't Possibly Repeat, Right? (42:35) Mitch Haniger's Downside (46:13) Shane McClanahan Ready for Acedom (51:00) Blake Snell's Encouraging Second Half (54:26) A Lot Has to go Right for Jazz Chisholm Jr. (58:00) Concerns about DJ LeMahieu (1:00:50) Steve's Crush on Steven Kwan (1:05:05) Blake Treinen's Nasty Stuff (1:10:00) Myles Straw's Playing Time Risk (1:15:05) Jake Cronenworth Might Not be Worth It (1:19:30) Bold Predictions review (1:24:25)

Steve's Bold Predictions

Van's Bold Predictions

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the biggest risers and fallers in ADP since the lockout was lifted. Value of Post-Lockout ADP (6:55) When Should You Grab Tatis Jr.? (10:25) Chris Sale Going as Late as 200 (16:21) Is Jack Flaherty Falling Too Far? (19:50) Still Buying the Shane Baz Discount (22:40) Don’t Question the Questionable Zac Gallen (25:30) McCullers ADP Bottoming Out (28:00) Zack Wheeler 3rd Round Discount (29:10) Will Lucas Sims Still Close For Cinci? (31:34) The Case For & Against Yusei Kikuchi (34:25) Greinke Late Value For Volume (38:08) Seiya Suzuki’s Surging Power Speed (40:18) Clayton Kershaw Confident About Health (44:30) ADP Ceiling for Kris Bryant at Coors (46:40) Rodon’s ADP Rising Fast (49:20) Nelson Cruz at 170 as a National(51:18) Is Now the Time For Nick Senzel? (53:50) A’s Kevin Smith’s Deep Power Speed (56:20) Twins’ Sonny Gray Going Too Late? (1:00:00) Chris Bassitt Great Oatmeal on the Mets (1:02:20) Matt Olson May Still Be Undervalued (1:04:13) Cristian Javier’s Going Way Too Late (1:05:08) Closer Value: Colome, Finnegan, Wick, Barnes, Kittredge, Trivino, Treinen (1:06:57)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look to identify 2022's breakouts and busts by using last year's surprising players as a template. Hot Stove Reaction (3:55) The Concept of Breakouts & Busts (12:22) Way Too Early to Write Off Jared Kelenic (14:50) Eloy Jimenez Feels Due for a Vlad Ascent (21:00) Steve LOVES Tanner Houck & Patrick Sandoval (25:15) Michael Kopech Could Pull a Freddy Peralta (30:20) Steve’s Can’t Resist a Keston Hiura Breakout(35:00) Van Believes In Harrison Bader (38:25) Why Jo Adell Fits the Tyler O’Neill Build (41:00) Cristian Javier’s Shot with a Rotation Spot (45:40) Tyler Mahle May Move Out and Move Up (48:45) Ryan Mountcastle Could Breakout with Better K% (50:40) Ryan McMahon Reduced Ks with the Rockies (53:40) Volume Speculation for Patrick Sandoval (57:17) Carlos Rodon Could Go Deeper with the Giants (58:55) Trevor Story May Have a Rough Chapter (1:03:1o) Mookie Betts May Be Too Pricey (1:08:53) Randy Arozarena Rough Outlook (1:11:29) Adolis Garcia Not to Be Trusted (1:14:45)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players they are targeting at each position in the later rounds of drafts: players they are targeting when they miss out on a tier ("Parachute Players") and who they are relying on to fill weaknesses in the later rounds. Eric Haase as a non-catcher catcher (6:40) Mike Zunino's power floor (13:18) Frank Schwindel's late breakout (17:55) Rowdy Tellez & Yoshi Tsutsugo as CI options (22:45) Enrique Hernandez's playing time upside (29:00) Kolten Wong as a cheaper source for speed (33:35) Mike Moustakas is a bounce-back candidate (37:55) Justin Turner's steady value (41:40) Ramon Urias as a deep MI option (44:15) Elvis Andrus a super deep option for steals (48:30) Steve gushes over Steven Kwan...again (52:57) Dear Rockies, please play Connor Joe (57:50) Rafael Ortega a late "stuff and things" guy (1:00:15) Adam Wainwright should still defy father time (1:03:20) Adbert Alzolay is a pitch mix change away from a breakout (1:07:57) Tony Gonsolin should bounce back in 2022 (1:10:40) Guardians' next pitching success: Cody Morris? (1:14:53) Jake McGee may still be the closer in SF (1:17:30) Paul Sewald has the stuff to be an elite closer (1:19:42)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about their Razzslam and TGFBI drafts, their overall takeaways & strategies, and players they are targeting. Plus, a game of Draft This, Not That! Van & Steve’s Razz Slam & TGFBI (10:15) Steve’s Draft Trends & Takeaways (21:15) Van’s Draft Trends & Takeaways (28:31) Steve’s Rant on Drafting Closers (36:15) Steve Risking Mondesi and/or Buxton (41:50) Steve’s Here for Jordan Montgomery (45:25) Van Still 100% on Josiah Gray (48:00) Draft Adam Duvall not Joey Gallo (49:25) Draft McCullers not Manoah? (52:33) Draft Robert not Betts (56:30) Draft Josh Bell not Jose Abreu (1:02:30) Draft Brendan Rodgers not Lemahieu (1:05:30) Draft Willy Adames not Corey Seager (1:09:15)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Ariel Cohen (@ATCNYC) of FanGraphs, CBS, and Rotoballer joins Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) to talk about ATC projections, game theory, and how to quantify risk. Useful Ariel Links: ATC Projections and Minimizing Risk, Game Theory Article Ariel’s Draft Approach (3:55) Explaining ATC Projections (6:46) How Projections Adjust for Lockouts or Free Agency (8:20) How Ariel Scores the Best Projections? (12:28) Advice on Using Projections as Draft Prep (21:00) New ATC Risk Metrics (26:35) Francisco Lindor Safe but Pricey? (44:52) Adam Duvall ATC’s #1 Bargain?! (52:58) Aaron Judge Surprisingly Safe (55:09) Ke’Bryan Hayes Safe for Late, Scarce Categories (58:30) Franmil Reyes a Bargain Despite DH (1:03:05) Luis Robert Pricey Do-It-All Player (1:05:00) Jazz Chisholm More Bust Than Boom (1:08:22) Ryan Mountcastle’s Curious Case (1:14:30) Sandy Alcantara’s Outlook From Ariel (1:19:00) Starling Marte’s Speed and Balance (1:23:00) Is Myles Straw’s Running Worth the Risk? (1:26:53)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Alex Chamberlain (@DolphHauldhagen) of FanGraphs joins Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) to talk about Verticle Approach Angle (VAA): what it is and how we can use it for fantasy purposes. Useful Alex Links: VAA Article, VAA PitchCon Presentation, Pitch Leaderboard, Similarity Scores Alex "Oxlade" and Googling yourself (3:40) What is VAA and its importance (6:44) What influences VAA (10:00) How to contextualize VAA and what pitches it is useful for (13:43) Using VAA(AA) to identify good fastballs (18:00) Relationship between VAA and other pitching metrics (29:20) How pitchers control contact quality and launch angle for hitters (32:30) The curious case of Shane Bieber (35:30) How we can use VAA for Fantasy and Chris Paddacks issue with the fastball (43:00) Alex's similarity tool and getting excited for Shane Baz (44:30) Josiah Gray's location issue (56:45) Logan Gilbert and the "buffet line" of pitching metrics (1:02) Is Michael Kopech's fastball truly elite? (1:04:35) Brady Singer's unique sinker (1:07:50) Adbert Alzolay should end up on Pitching Ninja a lot in 2022 (1:09:40) Van's obligatory question on Ranger Suárez (1:12:20) Putting a bow on VAA (1:16:00) What Alex is working on (1:20:00)

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Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss this year's projections that they find interesting and look for players being overvalued and undervalued by projection systems. PitchCon is on YouTube! (3:25) PL 7 is here! (5:48) How we use projections (8:00) Expectations for Bryce Harper (14:56) Can Cedric Mullins repeat? (21:02) Christian Yelich's (bounce) back (28:05) Xander Bogaerts is being underrated? (32:25) Buying Matt Olson's gains (36:40) What to expect from Brandon Lowe (40:53) Jonathan India made the adjustments (44:03) Lucas Giolito is an underrated SP1 (46:37) How many innings to expect from Julio Urias (50:02) Is Lance Lynn being overlooked? (51:15) Kevin Gausman's move back to the AL East (54:10) Ranger Suarez for real? (57:17)

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Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players they like ahead of their current ADP: an early version of "our guys" for 2022.

2:07 PitchCon recap

5:32 Steve's predictions article

9:50 Players We Like More than the Market: Byron Buxton (ADP 65)

15:23 Giancarlo Stanton being slept on (ADP 94)

21:30 Dylan Cease breakout is coming (ADP 79)

25:50 Yasmani Grandal's top C potential (ADP 100)

32:30 Jordan Montgomery as another breakout SP (ADP 206)

37:19 Brendan Rodgers made quite improvements (ADP 165)

42:58 Andrew Vaughn's solid year while learning a new position (ADP 194)

47:00 Harrison Bader power-speed combo(ADP 239)

54:08 Steven Kwan an OF to remember late in drafts (ADP 537)

59:33 Josiah Gray's nasty stuff cannot be ignored (ADP 260)

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Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss early draft season strategy including tips for best-ball drafts, ADP risers, and potential position cliffs.

2:40 High-level tips for early draft season

5:50 Best-ball strategies and takeaways from Van's draft

11:37 Importance of position eligibility

17:30 Utilization of roster spots and handcuffs

19:00 Importance of ADP in early draft season

22:00 ADP risers and "getting ahead"

25:00 Already on the rise: Trevor Rogers, Justin Verlander, Ke'Bryan Hayes, Oneil Cruz, Seiya Suzuki

31:30 Potential ADP risers

47:06 Catcher cliff

53:28 First Base cliff

56:35 Second Base cliff

1:00:52 Third Base cliff

1:05:33 Shortstop cliff

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Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss players who had promising second halves in 2021 and try to find potential bounce-back candidates for 2022.

7:45 Steve's Article on Hot 2nd Half Pitchers

13:40 Will Dylan Cease be a Fantasy Ace in '22?

21:12 Don't Sleep on Tanner Houck & Patrick Sandoval

26:00 Justin Dunbar's Article on Hot 2nd Half Hitters

26:30 Brandon Lowe's K-rate Gains

37:52 Buying a Bellinger Bounce-back?

50:18 Josh Bell's Sneaky-Good Second Half

57:00 It Can't Get Any Worse for Gleyber Torres

1:06:10 Joey Votto: Power Hitter

1:11:00 Hunter Renfroe Could Rake in Milwaukee

1:14:46 Jorge Soler's Resurgent Second Half

1:19:26 Bargain Bin Pop: Suarez vs. Donaldson vs. Dalbec

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Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) welcome special guest Paul Sporer (@Sporer) of Fangraphs to discuss early NFBC ADP takeaways and interesting player debates and trends.

5:20 OK with Trea? Should Trea Turner be going first overall?

9:50 “1A” SP Bouncebacks– Aaron Nola (40) vs Jack Flaherty (61)

16:55 Short Value: Fransisco Lindor (46) vs Wander Franco (47)

26:00 Buying Breakouts: Tyler O'Neill vs Austin Riley

36:55 Where are you comfortable taking Byron Buxton?

39:00 Vet vs New Toy: Alex Bregman (95) vs Bobby Witt Jr. (92)

45:45 Better SP Value: Yu Darvish or Blake Snell

52:54 Jesse Winker: Bargain or Bust

56:00 Snag a SS: Corey Seager, Carlos Correa, Dansby Swanson

48:03 Return to Acehood: Justin Verlander, Zac Gallen, Luis Severino

51:50 Ray's Risers: Shane McClanahan vs Shane Baz

1:01:50 The Right White Sox: Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn, Dylan Cease

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Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) take a look at the free-agent singings through a fantasy lens and discuss the impact the deals will have on their value for 2022.

3:30 Jon Becker's (@jonbecker_) Free Agent Tracker

5:40 Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to Texas

18:05 Javier Baez becomes even riskier in Detroit

23:45 Max Scherzer wants to win with NYM

26:30 Will Robbie Ray keep his command in Seattle?

30:50 Kevin Gausman returns to the AL East with the Jays

35:24 Starling Marte, the Nelson Cruz of Steals, to NYM

41:20 Eduardo Rodriguez heads to a pitcher's park

44:00 Marcus Stroman and his elite ground ball rate is a Cub

48:03 Chris Taylor should have more playing time with the Dodgers

51:50 Raisel Iglesias has a closer job in staying with the Angles

54:16 Jon Gray the next breakout candidate outside of Coors

57:00 Avisail Garcia takes his talents to South Beach

1:00:00 Taking a flyer on Justin Verlander?

1:02:10 Steven Matz to Van's Cards

1:02:10 Anthony DeScalfani stays with the Giants

1:02:10 Will Syndergaard finally break out with the Angels?

1:02:10 Corey Kebel to close in Philly?

1:02:16 Other deals worth mentioning

1:14:26 Potential Landing Spots

1:14:56 Carlos Correa

1:16:59 Freddie Freeman

1:16:45 Kris Bryant

1:19:20 Trevor Story

1:20:50 Nick Castellanos

1:22:25 Kyle Schwarzer

1:23:15 Carlos Rodon

1:25:05 Michael Conforto

1:26:07 Nelson Cruz

1:27:05 Clayton Kershaw

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Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) welcomes guest Adam Howe (@EightyGrade) to talk top SP2s looking ahead to 2022. Comparing the PitcherList mock draft with some of Adam's early real drafts, they run through overall SP draft strategy and player breakdowns in the SP2 range.

6:45 Hot Stove: Jose Berrios & Noah Syndegaard Fantasy Impact

17:30 Adam’s Overall SP Approach

26:45 Lance Lynn - Risky or Glue SP2?

32:30 Carlos Rodon - Fading in Mocks

38:30 Julio Urias - Hinging on Innings

43:50 Freddy Peralta - Worth the Upside?

48:45 Kevin Gaussian - Solid If He Stays SF…

54:20 Lucas Giolito - A Lot to Still Like

59:25 Jack Flaherty - Van’s Homer “Case for Jack Flaherty”

1:05:15 Max Fried - “Meh” or Money?

1:10:30 Luis Castillo - The Warm-Weather SP2

Pitcher List Mock Draft Board

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Van and Steve take a look at the top starting pitchers for 2022 using the recent draft results from the Pitcher List Mock draft as an ADP guide.

Rundown

3:20 The Top SP Landscape

10:05 2022 SP Sweet Spots

17:30 Corbin Burnes

22:55 Gerrit Cole

28:45 Walker Buehler

34:12 Max Scherzer

37:00 Brandon Woodruff

40:35 Jacob DeGrom

44:50 Shane Bieber

50:00 Zach Wheeler

54:30 Chris Sale

56:25 Sandy Alcantara

59:50 Robbie Ray

1:05:00 Aaron Nola

Pitcher List Mock Draft Board

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Van and Steve enter the fantasy baseball offseason by wrapping up their thoughts on the Pitcher List Mock Drafts. Then part two of their 2022 first-round break down.

Rundown

3:44 Steve’s mock strategy

6:00 Steve’s injury risk/reward

11:05 How early to take Acuna Jr.?

13:45 Van’s mock strategy

20:00 Interesting league-wide picks

20:15 Liam Hendriks in 2nd Round?

22:11 Chris Sale goes at 40

24:45 Michael Conforto still at 85

28:30 Dansby Swanson WAY late

30:25 Where Yelich, Gleyber & Rizzo went

36:30 Notable Snipes for Van & Steve 41:00 Van & Steve’s Best Draft Awards

44:35 Hitters Drafted After “First Round Locks”

45:00 Mookie Betts (11)

46:40 Kyle Tucker (12)

48:50 Ozzie Albies (13) & Marcus Semien (16)

53:30 Freddie Freeman (18)

54:45 Luis Robert (19)

58:00 Rafael Devers (22)

30:40 Aaron Judge (23)

64:00 Cedric Mullins (24)

Pitcher List Mock Draft Board

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Van and Steve enter the fantasy baseball offseason by discussing the first part of the Pitcher List Mock Draft and their general takeaways after participating from the one and two slots. Then part one of their 2022 first-round break down with their potential first overall picks and first-round "locks".

Rundown

1:00 Welcome to the big leagues/main feed

4:00 Takeaways from mocking early in the offseason

7:26 Pitching going later in this mock and the risk in early-round starters

15:30 Breaking down Van's mock draft picks

17:03 The first round of 2022 the pending decisions with early picks

18:04 The status of Ronald Acuña Jr. coming off ACL surgery, Tatis' shoulder

22:35 Is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. the safest first-round pick in 5x5 even with lack of speed?

27:51 Juan Soto's walks are a "problem" in average leagues but 1OA in OBP

30:24 Trea Turner throws his name in the conversation for first overall pick

33:00 The duality of Shohei Ohtani; how high can you take the hitter Ohtani?

40:26 First Round locks: Jose Ramirez- the "oatmeal" of the first round

44:17 Mike Trout's "fall" to the middle of round one

46:28 The newly underrated Bryce Harper

49:00 The rise Bo Bichette: Fantasy Superstar

Pitcher List Mock Draft Board

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Van and Steve look back and review some of their predictions from earlier in the season including their "chalkboard" picks, second-half bouncebacks, and over under while applying the lessons learned to the upcoming draft season.

Rundown

1:00 Pitcher List Podcast League finals

6:55 What went wrong with Steve's process for chalkboard picks

14:00 Where are you drafting Anthony Rendon next year?

16:45 Van's incredible Marcus Semien call

21:48 How to balance upside and risk

26:02 No dog treat for Van, thanks Luzardo

29:40 The argument for Juan Soto 1OA

32:00 Lindor quietly bounced back

34:35 Prime Goldy showed up in the second half

41:18 Pitchers who bounced back

46:00 Second half disappointments

57:00 Over/under review

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Van and Steve start to take a look back at the 2021 season by recapping the MVPs and busts from draft season. The guys take a high-level look at what the industry got right and what it got wrong and how we can use that to help us going forward.

Rundown

4:35 General takeaways from looking back at ADP

12:28 How high does Trea Turner go in drafts next year?

16:15 Jose Ramirez continues to return first-round value

19:33 Vlad and Ohtani at tops of drafts next year?

27:03 Harper is still underrated

31:27 Sal Perez and Marcus Semien: league winners

41:40 Buying the Austin Riley breakout?

45:30 Cedric Mullins is insane

48:48 Pitchers who performed

52:50 What we got wrong in drafts last year

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Van and Steve take a look at pitchers who have improved in the second half and see which starters have made a pitch mix change that has led to more success

Rundown

2:45 Why September matters

5:54 Past September performances

10:33 Frank Schwindel's hot streak

19:42 AJ Alexy's and Taylor Hearn impressing in Texas

27:00 Thairo Estrada: the lastest piece to the Giants run

29:55 Tommy Edman putting together another nice late-season run

35:16 Buying Ian Happ?

38:16 Bailey Ober: command artist

41:00 Bobby Dalbec has cut down the Ks

45:48 Edmundo Sosa's improving launch angle

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Van and Steve take a look at pitchers who have improved in the second half and see which starters have made a pitch mix change that has led to more success

Rundown

1:00 Van's home league update

4:15 How to find changes in pitch mix and its importance

14:25 Marco Gonzales' increased changeup usage

19:25 Casey Mize is still tinkering

26:00 Skubal getting lucky with new pitch mix?

31:00 The Logan Webb breakout is real

36:20 Frankie Montas found the splitter again

40:56 Robbie Ray: two-pitch pitcher

46:11 Max Fried has made adjustments

50:28 Cal Quantrill's new slider/cutter

53:50 Shane McClanahan has Steve excited

57:58 Blake Snell finally ditched his changeup

61:20 Steven Matz's renaissance with the Jays

64:05 Tyler Anderson's new mix with his new team

65:40 Shohei Ohtani changed his pitch mix and looks like an ace

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Van and Steve review the schedule for the final six weeks of the season to come up with teams you should target for both pitching and hitters with favorable matchups.

Rundown

3:00 Home League Playoff Pushes

8:10 Hot and cold offenses since 7/1

12:30 Hot and cold pitching staffs since 7/1

16:45 Red's schedule and players to target

22:30 Astros' schedule and players to target

31:30 Twins' schedule and players to target

36:25 Cleveland's schedule and players to target

41:00 Phillies' schedule and players to target

49:18 Short-term Blue Jays matchups?

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Van and Steve are joined by Trevor Hooth of Prospects Live (and formerly of Pitcher List) to talk prospects with a focus on which under the radar minor league players can help you in redraft leagues this year. Plus an overall discussion on what to look for when scouting prospects and what tools Trevor focuses on most for fantasy prospects. Finally, a bonus "Trevor's Guys" to keep an eye on in the minors.

Rundown

3:04 Trevor introduction & current projects

7:50 Flooish Baseball's inspiration and stat line scouting

9:39 How to look for peripheral prospects

13:00 Trevor's process and tools translating to stats

15:11 Stats to look for when looking for prospects and

18:51 Age and difference in levels in the minors

23:33 The importance of hit tool

28:40 Potential Prospect impacts: Jake Meyers (HOU)

33:18 Jose Barrero (CIN)

38:30 Jacob Robson (DET)

42:19 Michael Stefanic (LAA)

46:35 MJ Melendez (KC)

51:45 Khalil Lee & Mark Vientos (NYM)

56:00 Lars Nootbar (STL)

57:40 Andre Jackson (LAD)

61:45 Glenn Otto (TEX)

67:00 Tobias Myers (TB)

69:18 Ryan Pepiot (LAD)

73:00 Trevor's "guys"

Follow Trevor on Twitter: @HoothTrevor

Statline Scouting w/ Foolish Bailey

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Van and Steve go over their tips and strategies for the stretch run of the fantasy baseball season. Plus, they review who you should be dropping and who to add for the final few weeks.

Rundown

5:45 Being aggressive as the calendar turns to August

8:50 Paying attention to playing time

12:20 Looking at schedules

13:10 H2H and Roto advice

21:16 Staying smart with FAAB

22:45 Who to Drop: Raimel Tapia

26:13 Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s struggles

29:30 Wil Myers playing time may become an issue

31:50 Matt Chapman's still hurting

34:10 Bye-bye Bader?

37:17 Zach Plesac's tough stretch

40:22 Avoid JT Brubaker's blowups

43:15 Time to cut Kershaw?

47:00 Who to add: Carlos Hernandez

49:42 Triston McKenzie has figured out his walk problem

52:57 Lewis Brinson post-post-post-post hype

56:50 Lorenzo Cain can provide some speed

59:25 Anthony Santander is heating up

61:52 Jorge Mateo in Baltimore

63:32 Rafael Ortega's insane two months

66:05 Finally Hilliard time in Colorado?

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Van and Steve recap some of the surprising moves from the trade deadline, including some of the big names in the Max Scherzer & Trea Turner trade. Then the guys take a look at players who had misleading July's who could be useful down the home stretch.

Rundown

2:40 Rizzo to the Yankees

6:20 Scherzer trade recap

9:40 Advice for end of the season

13:05 Soler Power heating up in ATL

18:23 Jonah Heim is viable in 1C leagues

24:24 IKF due for a bounce-back?

28:55 Gallo has gone cold in the Bronx

33:40 xStat differences: Bellinger, Conforto

42:27 JD Martinez and Nelson Cruz will be fine

44:27 Dylan Carlson heating up

48:00 Will Suarez finally get some batted ball luck?

51:00 Kelenic's new old stance

53:35 Unlucky July pitchers

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George Bissell of NBC Sports Edge joins the pod to "play GM" and speculate on what a Max Scherzer trade will look like. Plus, Van and Steve breakdown all of the trade deadline news and rumors.

Rundown

2:30 Uniqueness of a Scherzer deal

8:35 Scherzer landing spots: Padres potential package

18:35 Dodgers' pitching depth to deal from

27:09 Should the Giants go all in?

34:30 Mariners' deep prospect pool to deal from

44:30 Blue Jays a sleeper team for a Mad Max deal?

50:57 Trade deadline news and rumors

53:43 Paul Sewald and Abraham Toro are now fantasy relevant?

60:57 Jose Berrios potentially on the move?

67:00 What lefty are the Yankees looking to add to their lineup?

Follow George on Twitter: @GeorgeBissell

George's Scherzer Article

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Van and Steve intro live from Steve's wedding! Then jump to the real show for breakdowns on hot starts after the All-Star Break, trade deadline rumors and over/unders rest of season.

Rundown

0:45 Live Intro from Stav’s Wedding

4:30 Van’s Recap of a Fantasy Baseball Jersey Wedding

7:20 Stav Weighs in on the WAFfle Bar at the Wedding

10:45 Luck vs. Draft vs. In-Season Mgmt

17:46 Hot Starts Post All-Star Break

18:12 Willy Adames Brewer Breakout

22:45 Soto

26:30 Josh Harrison

29:00 Starling Marte

32:29 Nelson Cruz

35:50 Add AJ Pollock Anywhere

42:22 Ben Gamel Power Changes?

45:00 Goldie heating up

46:13 Rest of Season Over/Unders

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Van and Steve review their All-Stars from the first half of the season. The guys provide their traditional overall choices as well as the "value" all-stars for each position.

Rundown

6:00 Catcher: Salvador Perez, Buster Posey

14:151B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Jared Walsh

20:19 2B: Whit Merrifield, Chris Taylor

24:54 3B: Rafael Devers, Justin Turner

29:30 SS: Fernando Tatis Jr., Marcus Semien

35:33 OF: Acuna, Mullins, Castellanos, Garcia, Martinez, Winker

50:45 UTIL: Shoei Ohtani, Nelson Cruz

55:25 SP: Degrom, Gausman, Woodruff, Cole

63:31 SP: Peralta, Wheeler, Descafani, Rogers

69:00 RP: Hader, Kimbrel, Hendricks, Barnes

72:35 Chalk Board Check-in

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Van and Steve break down everything you need to know to get a leg up on your competition for the second half. The guys go over their second half "cheat sheet" and discuss their favorite prospect stashes, potential closers, schedules to take advantage of plus a few sneaky waiver wire adds, and more!

Rundown

3:06 General second-half strategy

7:25 Vidal Brujan gets the call

12:02 Prospects to stash: Josh Lowe

15:18 Encouraged by Luis Patino's last MLB outing

21:05 Jarren Duran may be up sooner than you think

27:01 Jarred Kelenic is tearing up AAA

32:40 Trade deadline value improvers: David Bednar

36:28 Will Garrett Hampson ever get full playing time?

39:10 Rowdy Tellez to MIL and an impact on Hiura

42:35 Joey Gallo and Jonathan Schoop as trade targets

46:21 Waiver wire watch: Anthony Bender

48:34 Harrison Bader as a cheap source of power and speed

54:44 Is Andrew Vaughn breaking out?

57:35 Jose Suarez' move to the rotation

60:53 Gavin Sheets on a nice little run

63:08 Don't forget about these guys: IL stashes

67:59 Schedules to target

73:22 Twitter question: Is Yonathan Daza the real deal?

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Van and Steve take a talk about players they like as bounce-back candidates for the second half. Including Chrisitan Yellich, Fransisco Keston Hiura, Kenta Maeda, and much more. Plus Van fills Steve in on some breaking WAF news regarding his on-air wedding invite.

Rundown

3:15 This should've been expected for Juan Soto

8:00 Concerns with Christian Yelich

14:30 Can Cody Bellinger stay healthy?

19:07 Fransico Lindor will be fine

24:55 Is Rendon finally getting right?

29:08 DJ Lemahieu is rounding into form

31:10 Matt Chapman is heating up

32:45 Paul Goldschmits struggles

37:45 Where is Pete Alonso's power?

41:00 Keston Hiura is back

44:30 Joey Gallo showing flashes of 2019

48:15 Gary Sanchez back to being a solid catcher option

50:45 Akil Baddoo's impressive plate discipline

56:03 Can Gerrit Cole remain elite without the sticky stuff?

61:30 Is Luis Castillo back to ace form?

66:48 Kenta Maeda looks healthy again

70:10 Julio Urias is a buy after a rough June

72:33 Max Fried bounced back after a rough April

75:40 Is Kyle Hendricks back to his normal form?

78:40 More Chris Paddack concerns

82:30 Eduardo Rodriguez is a great buy-low

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Van and Steve answer mailbag questions including a strategy for saves, their rest-of-season top five, favorite pitching prospect stashes and struggling players to target. Plus a potential WAF meetup at Steve's wedding?

Rundown

3:20 Trading closers in roto leagues

8:40 Where does Jesse Winker go in a rest of season redraft?

23:28 Who becomes fantasy relevant at the MLB trade deadline?

39:20 What fantasy expert would you co-manage an NFBC team with?

43:55 Best pitching prospect to stash?

50:55 Top struggling players to target in a trade?

62:25 WAFfle bar at Steve's wedding?

64:15 Is this the Chris Paddack resurgance we have been waiting for?

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Van and Steve take a look at interesting names that may be on the waiver wire and decide who they like best in a game of would-you-rather.

Rundown

2:55 Jonathan India vs. Kolten Wong

7:58 Willi Castro vs. Tony Kemp

11:50 Billy McKinney vs. Myles Straw

14:52 Kyle Schwarber vs. Jorge Soler

20:10 CJ Cron vs. Ty France

25:11 Josh Bell vs. Dominic Smith

30:24 Patrick Sandoval vs. Vladimir Gutierrez

36:20 Matt Manning vs. Jackson Kowar

44:00 Tony Gonsolin vs. Ross Stripling vs. Jake Odorizzi

54:16 Joey Lucchesi vs. Drew Smyly

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Van and Steve take a look at monthly splits from April and May and look at what hot performances were sustained over the first two months, who fell off, and who got back on track.

Rundown

5:24 Vlad Jr. is amazing no matter the month

10:06 Winker and Castellanos stay red hot

22:24 Bryant and Judge are healthy and raking

27:33 Rafael Dever's and Xander Bogaerts are still underrated

31:12 Will Jarred Walsh keep this up?

36:00 Chirs Taylor is quietly putting up amazing numbers

41:47 Nelson Cruz's injury-riddled May

47:21 Justin Turner will be just fine

49:48 Nick Solak and Yermin Mercedes-- flashes in the pan?

58:24 Is Nate Lowe Droppable?

62:05 Kyle Tucker and Marcus Semien bounced back in big ways

71:05 Austin Meadow's power binge

76:18 Hunter Renfroe and Josh Rojas providing value

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Steve is joined by Pitcher List writer and On The Wire Co-Host Adam Howe (@EightyGrade) filling in for Van this week. Steve and Adam breakdown the ADP from this past weekend's Second Chance Leagues over at NFBC reviewing risers, fallers, and updated player values.

Rundown

1:22 Adam Intro

6:20 General updated market takeaways

15:15 Carlos Rodon as an SP1

20:35 Trevor Rogers' rise

26:46: Is Alex Wood a top 50 pitcher ROS?

33:38 Adolis Garcia fantasy superstar

43:35 Need for Speed: Chisholm, Falefa, Mullins

62:40 Closer market update

73:40 When to take the risk on injured players

78:30 Kenta Maeda's fall from grace

83:56 Are you still buying Luis Castillo?

91:04 Patrick Corbin's struggles

94:45 Any hope for Hiura or Frazier?

Follow Adam on Twitter: @EightyGrade

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Van and Steve talk trade strategy including how to find ways to make consistent, good trades and why trading is so important for team building. The guys also look at players that may be on the trade block including buy lows and buy highs.

Rundown

2:15 Trade strategy

10:50 Buy-lows: Luis Castillo

20:30 Buy-lows: Blake Snell

25:00 Buy-lows: Dinelson Lamet

30:20: Buy-lows: Anthony Rendon

37:20 Buy-lows: Fransisco Lindor

42:15 Buy-lows: Ozzie Albies

46:14 Buy-lows: Michael Conforto

48:50 Auto-buys: Freddie Freeman, Paul Goldschmidt, Juan Soto, Bryce Harper

52:40 Gone Fishin': Trading for Mike Trout

55:00 Buy-high: Trey Mancini

56:57: Buy-high: Austin Riley

60:05 Buy-high: Aaron Judge

63:20 Buy-high: Max Muncy

67:45 Buy-high: Alex Verdugo

70:40 Buy-high: Brandon Woodruff

72:40 Buy-high: Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez

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Van and Steve break down the pitching landscape across the league including the high strikeout and lower run environment thus far in 2021. The guys also take a look at pitchers off to hot starts and some struggling arms.

Rundown

9:15 The Freddy Peralta breakout is real

14:53 Trevor Rogers looks legit

20:08 Carlos Rodon is finally here

25:42 Kevin Gausman's nasty splitter

33:20 Can Kyle Gibson keep this up?

37:40 Luis Castillo rides the struggle bus

44:40 What's wrong with Kenta Maeda?

50:07 Buy low on Lucas Giolito

53:00 Shane Bieber is....struggling?

58:50 Game log guys: Patrick Corbin

61:23 Frankie Montas' blow up starts

64:04 Zach Plesac's issues with the White Sox

67:37 Brady Singer is steadily improving

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Frank Stamplf (@Roto_Frank) of CBS Fantasy and host of Fantasy Baseball Today podcast joins Van and Steve to talk about Van's skills on the mic, expectations for Jarred Kelenic, choose between players off to hot starts, and buy or sells. Plus a few interesting names to buy low and why Kyle Tucker is the best player to target.

Rundown

1:50 Van's hidden talent

5:48 Franks' early season process and results

11:05 Expectations for Jarred Kelenic

19:24 Take Your Pick: Kris Bryant or Byron Buxton

24:26 Take Your Pick: Isiah Kiner-Falefa or Nate Lowe

28:23 Take Your Pick: Ryan McMahon or Jesse Winker

31:31 Buying the John Means breakout

44:00 Can Adolis Garcia keep this up?

49:15 Yordan Alvarez is healthy and raking

55:28 Where does Shohei Ohtani get taken if we draft today?

60:37 Buy low candidates: Austin Meadows

63:47 Marcel Ozuna's slow start

66:10 Charlie Blackmon's encouraging underlying numbers

69:36 Go get Kyle Tucker

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It's dropping season. Van and Steve take a look at real-life examples of players who have been dropped in their leagues and discuss if they are worth adding or should be left on the wire.

Rundown

4:00 Griffin Canning is worth an add

9:30 Where did Joey Gallo's power go?

15:40 Victor Robles' lack of speed

24:30 Keston Hiura demoted

28:25 Gary Sanchez a cut in 1C leagues

31:37 Taylor Trammell's time running out

34:55 Kyle Schwarber's slow start

39:10 Casey Mize has the stuff to break out

45:45 Hunter Dozier is turning it around

48:54 Ian Happ's strong underlying numbers

52:10 Eugenio Suarez a good buy low?

57:07 Time to rage quit on Jesus Luzardo?

63:50 Chris Paddack's fastball spin

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Van and Steve look for buying opportunities by using expected stats to see who has been unlucky through the first month of the season. Plus, the guys break down the K-BB% leaderboard and look for starters off to strong starts that could be for real.

Rundown

4:40 JD Martinez as a top 20 player ROS

8:55 Rhys Hoskin's strong start

12:50 Death, Taxes and Jesse Winker off to a hot start

17:20 Buying Bo Bichette and Byron Buxton

23:42 Using Expected Stats to find buy lows

23:55 Nick Senzel's strong underlying numbers

27:25 Charlie Blackmon's slow start

30:40 Dom Smith, Michael Conforto, and the Mets' offensive struggles

36:57 Hunter Dozier a drop candidate?

40:40 Pick up Pavin Smith

43:10 Power surge coming for Tyler O'Neill

45:40 Interesting names from the K-BB% leaderboard

47:00 Tyler Glasnow's new pitch and improved walk rate

49:30 Eduardo Rodriguez is perpetually underrated

52:25 Danny Duffy's strong start for real?

56:00 Brady Singer breakout

59:33 Adam Wainwright renaissance tour

61:55 JT Brubaker is breaking out, too

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Van and Steve see if players off to hot starts will just be "flashes" or fixtures in fantasy lineups going forward. Plus, the guys look ahead and try to find players who will be popular waiver wire targets next week. Way too early victory laps and walk of shames.

Rundown

1:50 The resurgence of Joey Votto

6:55 Alex Wood's Giant debut

9:40 Michael Fulmer's bounce back

12:50 Avisail Garcia's hitting the ball hard

17:43 Jakob Junis' new cutter

22:15 Nick Solak power-speed potential

26:15 JT Brubaker's breakout

30:22 Danny Duffy's boost in velocity

32:20 Tony Disco in San Fransisco

34:00 Next Week Now: Tejay Antone, Jared Kelenic, Michael Kopech, Domingo German, Deivi Garcia, Adolis Garcia

48:02 Way too early victory laps and walks of shame

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Van and Steve discuss the early takeaways from the new baseball being used and what to consider about those changes when looking at Statcast data. The guys also discuss players off to hot or slow starts and look for buy low and sell high opportunities.

Rundown

2:48 The new bouncier ball with more drag and the impact on max exit velocity

10:27 Sandy Alcantara: safe to start anywhere?

17:10 The Vlad Guerrero Jr. breakout is happening

22:30 Take your pick: Akil Baddoo, Jonathan India, and Zack McKinstry

37:45 Tyler Naquin: breakout or flash in the pan?

42:49 Freddy Peralta is really good

47:54 Casey Mize and Trevor Rogers strong starts to the season

53:19 Back at it again with Matthew Boyd

57:00 More than a streamer: Huascar Ynoa

59:18 Gauging potential buying opportunities: Anthony Rizzo, Dylan Moore, and Charlie Blackmon

67:00 Time to worry about Chris Paddack and Patrick Corbin?

70:50 Updates on slow starts for Keston Hiura and C.J Cron

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Van and Steve talk about which stats become meaningful in a short sample and apply them to players off to hot or cold starts to try to see what is sustainable and what is noise a week into the season. The guys then take a look at pitchers who had strong first starts and determine who is more than just a streamer.

Rundown

2:19 News & Notes: Tatis, Bellinger, Olson, Gallen

11:47 Max Exit Velocity: meaningful in small samples

13:08 Hot starts with high Max EVs for Nate Lowe, Kyle Isbel, and Nick Castellanos

23:28 Buying the bounceback for JD Martinez?

26:33 Whit Merrifield's power surge and improved Statcast numbers

29:26 Eric Hosmer still has a ground ball problem

32:08 Plate discipline changes: Joey Gallo, Keston Hiura, Christian Yelich, and Yoan Moncada

47:18 Impressive first starts for Yusei Kikuchi, John Means, Joe Musgrove, Jordan Montgomery, and Carlos Rodon

61:25 More than a streamer? Steven Matz, Danny Duffy, Jose De Leon, and Matt Shoemaker

67:02 Closer Chaos

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Van and Steve look for early season pitching matchups to target and discuss players they are adding to their "watch list" as opening day approaches. "Put Our Names On It Pt. II" where Van and Steve each give two players they like to finish 20% above or below their ADP for the 2021 season, and Fantasy TL:DR: Ethan Moore's Quality of Stuff (QOS+).

Rundown

4:18 Analyzing early-season pitching schedules

5:10 Reds, Padres, and Giants favorable early schedules

8:45 Logan Webb's juicy matchups and new changeup

11:30 Pitchers to target: Christian Javier, Griffin Canning, Jordan Montgomery

13:42 Early season waiver wire targets and watch list

19:50 Casey Mize

22:36 Akil Baddoo

25:35 Jose Rojas

27:40 Kolten Wong

30:53 Tyler O'Neill

34:30 Anthony DeSclafani

37:15 Kyle Isbel

40:55 Put Our Names On It Part II: players we like to finish 20% above or below their ADP

42:10 Steve Target: Chris Paddack (107 ADP)

45:18 Van Target: Marcus Semien (127 ADP)

48:59 Steve Fade: Ozzie Albies (35 ADP)

52:04 Van Fade: Alex Verdugo (130 ADP)

54:46 Steve Target: Nick Senzel (241 ADP)

58:47 Van Fade: Eugenio Suarez (63 ADP)

64:56 Steve Fade: Zach Plesac (76 ADP)

69:25 Van Target: Raimel Tapia (238 ADP)

74:23 Quick home league recaps

80:15 Fantasy TL;DR: Quality of Stuff

Ethan Moore's QOS+

Nick Pollack's Early Season Pitcher Matchups

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Van and Steve recap the Pitcher List Podcast Fantasy draft where they are competing versus 13 other Pitcher List podcasts in a 5x5, weekly moves, head-to-head league. The debut of the "Put it in Ink" segment where Van and Steve give players that they like to finish 20% above or below their ADP cost at year's end. Plus the return of Fantasy TL;DR on Command+.

Rundown

4:00 Fernando Tatis Jr. shoulder scare

5:30 Zac Gallen's forearm injury

9:30 Kirby Yates headed for TJ. Jordan Romano as a saves target?

12:18 George Springer grade 2 oblique strain

14:50 Pitcher List Podcast Network Fantasy League draft recap

61:05 Put it in Ink: scoreboard for players we like to finish 20% above or below their ADP

62:36 Steve Target: Nolan Arenado (40 ADP)

65:24 Van Target: Anthony Rendon (41 ADP)

68:50 Steve Fade: Zack Wheeler (99 ADP)

71:48 Van Fade: Cavan Biggio (64 ADP)

76:07 Steve Target: Clint Frazier (178 ADP)

79:02 Van Target: Marcus Stroman (207 ADP)

82:24 Steve Fade: Dansby Swanson (105 ADP)

85:56 Van Fade: Jesus Luzardo (102 ADP)

89:49 Fantasy TL;DR: Command+

Eno Sarris on Command+

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Van and Steve are joined by George Bissell of NBC Sports Edge and Pitcher List to discuss several of George's key spring training takeaways including players he is ranking higher than the industry. Also, a game of "What's the Better Bet" on some interesting stat lines and takes for the 2021 season. Plus a breakdown of how George goes about his process for analyzing players.

Rundown

1:35 News & Notes

12:36 America's Sleeper: Tejay Antone

17:17 Tony Gonsolin's role with LAD

21:00 Yusei Kikuchi a late pitching target?

25:08 Tim Anderson is still being slept on

33:33 What does Casey Mize need to do to break out?

39:38 Freddy Peralta's role in 2021

48:57 Ke'Bryan Hayes: a future top 50 hitter?

57:25 What's the Better Bet: Schwarber 35 HRs vs. Strasburg 150 IP

61:40 Jared Kelenic 25 HRs & 10 SB vs. Yusei Kikuchi ERA under 3.25

65:03 Tim Anderson .300 w/100 runs & 20/20 vs. Trevor Story 30/30

70:07 Who cracks the top 100 in ADP in 2020: Aaron Civale vs. Tyler Mahle

73:30 Joey Gallo hits above .230 vs. Tommy Pham going 20/20

79:44 What makes good analysis?

Follow George on Twitter: @GeorgeBissell

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Van and Steve discuss the latest set of MLB news including Jake Odorizzi to the Astros, recent ADP risers, and players who are off to a hot start in spring, and some who are not. Pitcher List's Christian Mack joins the show for Fantasy TL;DR breaking down his latest metric: Ideal Plate Approach (IPA).

Rundown

2:01 Forrest Whitley may need Tommy John

3:35 Jarred Kelenic grade two adductor strain in left knee

5:18 Nate Pearson unlikely to be ready for opening day with groin strain

6:38 Framber Valdez' fractured finger

8:13 Jake Odorizzi signs in Houston

12:18 Jackie Bradley Jr. to the Brewers

15:50 Is the new ball being used in Spring Training?

18:12 ADP Risers (C.J. Cron, Tejay, Antone, Tyler Mahle, Jose Urquidy)

28:44 Promising Spring Starts

44:15 Spring warning signs

51:10 Van's NFBC Satellite draft recap

55:48 Steve's TGFBI draft recap

62:45 Fantasy TL;DR: Ideal Plate Approach with Christian Mack

Follow Christian on Twitter: @jchristianmack

More About Ideal Plate Approach:

An Introduction to IPA

IPA Tableau Leaderboard

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Van and Steve discuss how to determine what is spring training news versus noise and breakdown the latest set of headlines across the MLB, which prospects to target in redraft leagues, the current state of saves, and Fantasy TL;DR on the most predictive ERA indicator: pCRA.

Rundown

5:10 Spring training news vs. noise: how to determine what is useful

16: 28 The return of the alternate sites

17:56 Brandon Woodruff's back stiffness

19:52 Xander Bogaerts' shoulder MRI

22:27 Shohei Ohtani's impressive bullpen session

22:33 Fantasy Faceoff: Brandon Nimmo vs. Aaron Hicks

29:06 Prospects to target in redraft leagues

44:22 How to approach saves

53:18 Early takeaways from Steve's TGFBI draft

64:56 Fantasy TL;DR: pCRA

Conor Kurcon's pCRA metric

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Van and Steve breakdown the latest set of MLB transactions including Fernando Tatis Jr.'s new mega-deal and talk about a few players whose projections they disagree with including Kyle Hendricks, Kenta Maeda, and Giancarlo Stanton. The debut of Fantasy Faceoffs segment - a debate between players with similar ADP's. This week's Industry TL;DR (too long, didn't read): an explanation of Alex Chamberlian's Blast metric.

Rundown

4:49 Fernando Tatis Jr. contract extension

11:03 Trevor Rosenthal to the A's

13:40 Taijuan Walker heads to Queens

15:40 Jake Lamb to the Braves potential impact on Austin Riley's playing time.

18:33 Colorado enters the Cron Zone: C.J. Cron signs with the Rockies

22:40 Puzzling Projections: Kyle Hendricks

27:30 Puzzling Projections: Kenta Maeda

33:30 Puzzling Projections: Lance Lynn

37:40 Puzzling Projections: Giancarlo Stanton & Lance McCullers

42:43 Fantasy Faceoffs: Aaron Nola vs Luis Castillo

45:35 Fantasy Faceoffs: Paul Goldschmidt vs Anthony Rizzo

50:31 Fantasy Faceoffs: Nick Castellanos vs Yordan Alvarez

53:21 Fantasy Faceoffs: Carlos Correa vs Kris Bryant

61:56 Industry TL;DR: Blasts: A Subset o Barrels

Alex Chamberlian on Blasts: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/blasts-a-subset-of-barrels/

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The debut episode of Wins Above Fantasy, part of the Pitcher List Podcast Network! Van Burnett and Steve Gesuele discuss draft strategies including some targets and fades, finding values by comparing ADPs 2020 to 2021, James Paxton back in Seattle and Justin Turner re-upping with the Dodgers. Van and Steve also discuss the changes to the baseball and breakdown baseballs' hottest new metric: seam shifted wake.

Rundown

3:00 Draft Strategies

16:14 Targets & Fades

36:54 Finding value in year-over-year ADP fallers

44:24 James Paxton returns to Seattle

47:23 Justin Turner back with the Dodgers

49:50 Changes in the baseball and the impact on fantasy

56:06 Seam Shifted Wake: What is it and how can it help your fantasy team

Eno Sarris on SSW: https://theathletic.com/2337324/2021/01/22/seam-shifted-wake-sleeper-pitchers/

Barton Smith on SSW: https://www.baseballaero.com/2020/12/23/cliff-notes-seam-shifted-wake-post-65/

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Wins Above Fantasy trailer. Part of the Pitcher List Podcast Network.

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Wins Above Fantasy: Recent Episodes

Van Burnett, Steve Gesuele