College Football Nerds: Recent Episodes
College Football Nerds
Daniel and Josh take a deep dive into college football analytics, with detailed previews of the biggest games and weekly recaps of Saturday's action. The Nerds focus on giving the most honest takes possible, using computer modeling and hard data, to give you an objective look at the college football landscape.
EP22-31 Our Playoff Rankings and Championship Week Game Discussion
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EP22-30 Championship Previews: UGA/LSU, Michigan/Purdue, Kansas St/TCU
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EP22-29 Week 13 Live Show: Michigan Stomps Ohio State, LSU Goes Down, Bama Still Has a Chance
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Week 13 Previews: Iron Bowl, The Game, USC v Notre Dame
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EP22-27 Week 12 Previews: TCU vs Tenn vs Ohio St Hypo, USC vs UCLA
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EP22-26 Week 11 Live Show: TCU beats Texas, Bama survives Ole Miss, Top 3 teams roll
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EP22-25 Week 11 Previews & Breakdown of Alabama's Defensive Issues
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EP22-24 Week 10 Previews Part I: Hilarous Iowa vs A&M Parody, Alabama vs LSU
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EP22-23 Week 10 Previews Part 1: Tennessee vs Georgia
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EP22-22 Week 9 Live Show! Let's talk all the Saturday action and a Josh Gattis rant
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EP22-21 Week 9 Previews! Penn St/Ohio State, Georgia/Florida, Kentucky/Tennessee
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EP22-20 Week 8 Live Show! Daniel's Back: Ohio St vs Iowa, Bryce Young's Struggles, CFP Talk, and Other Games
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Josh rides solo as he previews three games: Alabama vs Mississippi State, Texas vs Oklahoma State, and UCLA vs Oregon
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Our October 15 live show where we talk about the big Alabama upset, as well as all the week's big games including Michigan taking Penn State to the woodshed and Texas hanging on
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Week 7 Previews! Bama/Tennessee, Penn St/Michigan, Oklahoma St/TCU
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Alabama survives Texas AM with Jalen Milroe. Georgia romps Auburn. Kentucky goes down to South Carolina. Penn State, Ohio State, and Oklahoma St stay in our top 10. And Clemson handles business, eventually, vs Boston college.
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EP22-15 Week 6 Previews! Kansas/TCU, LSU/Tennessee, Bama/Texas A&M, Texas/Oklahoma
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Week 5 Previews! Let's talk Bama vs Arkansas, Clemson vs NC St, Oklahoma St vs Baylor.
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Josh is BACK! Let's team up and talk about all the big games of the day! Ohio State and Wisconsin will be going live while we're talking so will Texas A&M vs Arkansas. Florida v Tennessee will be wrapped.
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Let's talk three big games this week! Arkansas takes on Texas A&M in a battle of bad pass defense vs bad pass offense, Florida tries to get off the offensive mat vs Tennessee, and Wisconsin is out to prove they can get CJ Stroud and the OSU offense off schedule.
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Let's talk a somewhat quiet day of college football in week 3. Oklahoma started the day by destroying Nebraska. Georgia romped South Carolina. Florida and a bunch of other brand names barely survived against lesser competition. And Texas A&M outlasted MIami.
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Let's talk college football: Auburn taking on Penn State on The Plains, Georgia headed to Cola to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks, and Texas A&M trying to bounce back against a tough Miami squad.
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Let's recap a huge day of college football. Marshall takes down Notre Dame, Texas A&M loses to App State, and Alabama barely survives against Texas in Austin. We keep an eye on Florida/Kentucky as well.
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Let's talk Texas vs Alabama and Florida vs Kentucky
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Let's talk Utah vs Florida, Ohio State vs Notre Dame, UGA vs Oregon, and CFP expansion
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Let's talk Georgia Bulldogs vs the Oregon Ducks, and Florida State traveling to New Orleans for a match up with the Bayou Bengals.
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Josh and Daniel do their best to lay down a preseason or "week 1" top 10. There's some known quantities at the top, but after that it gets weird. What to do with a talented but under performing (last year) Clemson? Agreement on Oklahoma but not on Baylor and OK State. One of us leaves Utah off entirely and Florida makes an appearance.
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Let's talk Michigan football and Georgia football and how both teams are being somewhat overlooked by the national media. We walk through the schedules, returning players, and challenges each will face in the 2022 season.
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Let's talk Texas, Ohio State, and Alabama football. Expectations are high for all these teams, but we talk about why some might be over zealous with Texas, Ohio State's offense and defense, and how transfers are really improving Alabama's 2022 title chances.
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Let's talk about how to fix college football. We break down NIL, what it is, and what it shouldn't be. How free transfers with NIL are making the rich richer, how NIL led to super conferences, and what we can do to fix the sport.
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Let's revisit the awesomeness that was 2021, Georgia's national championship, issues with NIL & transfer portal, Ohio State football, and contenders for 2022.
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We do first round recaps of Alabama vs Cincinnati and Georgia vs Michigan as well as a deep dive on Alabama vs Georgia rematch for all the marbles. What did we learn from the first match up? How is Alabama doing with all the injuries? What did Georgia do differently vs Michigan that they might take into the Alabama game?
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Michigan is coming into this game after crushing Iowa and shattering Ohio State's playoff hopes. Can they bully Georgia the way they did those two? Or will UGA's defense win in the trenches forcing Cade Mcnamara to throw? What to make of the QB situation at Georgia after Stetson' Bennett's performance vs Bama? We talk match ups, we talk numbers, let's get it on.
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Our model shows how hard it is to predict when a good G5 plays a good P5. We try to tackle the unknown with how Alabama will match up against these Cincy corners without John Metchie. Will Jerome Ford and this Cincinnati running game get going against an elite rush defense? Who wins the battle of the QBs in Desmond Ridder and Bryce Young?
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The theme of the bowl season is conference isolation. Utah played no power 5 teams out of conference, but did have a common opponent with Ohio State in Oregon. Will CJ Stroud, Olave and Wilson put together a more efficient scoring attack? Or will this powerful Utah defense force the Buckeyes to waste a lot of yards?
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Baylor is coming off of a huge win in the Big 12 Conference Championship Game over Oklahoma State. Ole Miss handled their rivals to end the season with 10 wins. Will a healthy Gerry Bohanon benefit Baylor more than Matt Corral getting some healthy teammates back and getting healthy himself? How does conference isolation impact our predictions?
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Let's talk CFP, what happens now that Baylor won, and how Alabama was able to shock the Bulldogs.
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Oklahoma State is coming into this one sky high after defeating Oklahoma. Can they repeat their success against Baylor from game 1? Will Bohanan play, and if he doesn't, will Baylor still have a good shot at getting the W?
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Michigan is riding high after their big win over Ohio State. The data shows that Hassan Haskins and Cade McNamara may be in for a bit of a tough day offensively. But Michigan's got a powerful defense of their own. Will it be enough to win?
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Alabama comes into Atlanta with an 11-1 record but a shaky and battered offense. Will the Crimson Tide defense be enough to slow Stetson Bennett and this highly efficient UGA offensive attack? Will Bryce Young be able to find just enough points to get the win vs this nasty Bulldog defense?
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Lincoln Riley is taking his talents to USC in a crazy college football season and leaving Oklahoma fans in shock. We talk about what pushed him to make this move and what it means for both the Trojans and Oklahoma Sooner programs.
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We're talking all the action of the day - let's talk Ohio State losing to a hyped up Michigan team, and Bryce Young's come from behind win vs Auburn.
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Auburn's coming in off of a disappointing loss where TJ Finley had to take the reigns for an injured Bo Nix. Alabama lit up the score board and the stat sheet vs Arkansas, but struggled again defensively. Are Auburn fans ready to replace Harsin? Can Alabama put both offense and defense together in a game when it counts?
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Oklahoma coming into Stillwater fresh off a win vs Iowa State, while the Cowboys are looking to strengthen their playoff hopes with a win over the Sooners. Will Caleb Williams come to play or might Rattler be the better option here? Can Spencer Sanders find enough offense to survive and advance?
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CJ Stroud and this Ohio State offense are coming in to Ann Arbor off of a fresh dragging of Michigan State. Has Michigan's offense found something after putting half a hundred up on Maryland? Will that defense be able to slow Treveyon Henderson, Chris Olave, and Garrett Wilson enough to stay within striking distance for Cade Mcnamara and Hassan Haskins to do their thing?
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We're talking all the action of the day - let's talk Oregon losing to Utah, Ohio State dragging the Michigan State spartans, Alabama vs Arkansas, and the shaping up playoff and Heisman race
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Alabama coming off of a dominating win of New Mexico State, but have to face a ranked and ready Arkansas team. Will the Alabama offense we saw earlier in the year show up, or will the Alabama offense vs LSU be the one we see? How will Odom attack Bryce Young? Can Jefferson find enough offense two weeks in a row to get a win?
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Ohio State is coming off a proper pounding of Purdue while Michigan State lost to them a week prior. We talk about how just looking at those two outcomes is fool's gold when matchups win the day. Will CJ Stroud go off again in his push for a Heisman trip to NY? Can Kenneth Walker have his 2nd Heisman moment of the season?
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We're talking all the action of the day - let's talk Baylor taking down Oklahoma from the ranks of the unbeaten, Georgia cruising again vs a conference opponent, and Ohio State putting up a massive number vs Purdue
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The Big 10 finally starts to sort itself out. After trying to wrap our heads around why this isn't a ranked matchup, we then try to wrap our heads around how anyone will score. The health of Michigan players like Corum and Penn State's Clifford are a major factor.
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Georgia is still powering ahead as the #1 team in the nation. Stetson Bennett has been named the starter over JT Daniels. Can he keep this offense going against Hendon Hooker and the Tennessee Vols who look to put up an offensive number of their own?
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Ohio State is coming off of a somewhat disappointing win over Nebraska, while Purdue is riding high after taking down #3 Michigan State. Can Purdue slay another highly ranked dragon? Or will the Buckeyes keep marching toward the playoffs?
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We're talking all the action of the day - let's talk Alabama struggling vs LSU, Wake Forest and Michigan State losing their undefeated status, Oregon in a dog fight with Washington. Ohio State wins ugly vs Nebraska.
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We're talking all the action of the day - let's talk CJ Stroud and Ohio State struggling offensively vs this Penn State defense. Georgia's defense smothers the Florida Gators, and Auburn is in control vs an Ole Miss team without Matt Corral.
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Both Michigan and Michigan State roll into East Lansing undefeated. Mel Tucker may be auditioning for the LSU job, but either way he looks to move his squad to 8-0 with Kenneth Walker III leading the way. Corum and Haskins try to bolster Cade McNamara's QB player to bring another win over the Spartans back home.
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Georgia's coming into the cocktail party #1 while Florida is reeling from the LSU loss. Will Stetson Bennett be QB1 in this game or will we see the return of JT Daniels? Will Brock Bowers continue impressing in this UGA offense and find another gear? Will we see Emory Jones or will it be the Anthony Richardson show?
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Matt Corral and the Ole Miss Rebels are coming into Jordan Hare Stadium banged up and exhausted. Can they put together enough offense and defense to escape Auburn with a win? Bo Nix and this Auburn offense seem to have found something halfway through the season, will they be able to win if it turns into a track meet?
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Penn State is coming off of a crushing loss to Illinois. Ohio State absolutely handled business vs Indiana. Can CJ Stroud take the next step in evolving this Ohio State offense it a juggernaut against a great Penn State defense? Will Sean Clifford find some magic against an OSU defense that's been porous at times?
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We're talking all the action of the day - let's talk Ohio State walking Indiana. Alabama up 7 over Tennessee at the half, the big Illinois win over Penn State, Iowa dropping Oklahoma State, and Oklahoma getting pulled through by Caleb Williams
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It's college football hypo szn! We're discussing a hypothetical playoff scenario where Alabama plays Ohio State in round one and Georgia matches up against Oklahoma in round two! How much would the numbers change with the Caleb Williams factor at Oklahoma? Ohio State and Alabama both have electric offenses, who comes out on top in a Bryce Young vs CJ Stroud track meet? Is Georgia's defense so dominant that nothing else really matters?
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We talk all things firing of Ed Orgeron at LSU. A look back from our discussion 5 years ago where we predicted this as well as a discussion of potential candidates.
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We're talking all the action of the day - let's talk Georgia rolling Kentucky. Bama looking better against Mississippi State, and Iowa going down to Purdue.
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We break out the computer model to get ideas on what a game between Ohio State and Georgia would look like if they played today on a neutral field. Are great showings from CJ Stroud vs lesser competition like Maryland enough to prove the offense is legit? Can Stetson Bennett find enough offense to supplement a lights out Bulldogs defense?
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Let's talk Kentucky Wildcats vs Georgia Bulldogs! Is it the Stetson Bennett show again this week? How will Will Levis fare if the Georgia defense can shut down the high powered UK rushing attack? Can Georgia find enough offense to cover a monster 22.5 points?
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Texas A&M outlasted Alabama in a wild shootout Saturday night. Zach Calzada was out of his mind while Bryce Young made enough mistakes to not see a victory. Lines of scrimmage were where the game was won. We dive into the details and talk the path forward for both teams.
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Texas A&M wins a monster game against Alabama, Iowa outlasts Penn State, and Georgia takes care of business vs Auburn. Let's talk about it!
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The Georgia Bulldogs are rolling into Jordan-Hare Stadium on a mission to prove their womping of Arkansas was no fluke. Auburn is coming fresh of a win vs LSU on the road. Can Bo Nix keep up his sandlot magic? Will Stetson Bennett or JT Daniels suit up for the Dawgs?
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4 Penn State's rolling into town to face the #3 Ranked Iowa Hawkeyes. How will Sean Clifford and Noah Cain be able to attack this Iowa turnover machine defense? Can Petras and Goodson find some momentum at home vs a really staunch defense on the other side of the ball as well? We talk about it.
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We're talking Spencer Rattler vs Casey Thompson. Steve Sarkisian vs Lincoln Riley. Red River Showdown is here and we're gonna talk Texas and Oklahoma. Can the Oklahoma run defense show to be as legit as their numbers say? Will the Texas offense tendency to stay on schedule prove better than Oklahoma's ability to hit a shot?
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We're talking all the action of the day - let's talk Cincy's win over Notre Dame, Bama and Georgia roll, and Oregon drops one to Stanford on the road.
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Desmond Ridder led his team to victory over Indiana and has had a bye week to prepare for this Kyle Hamilton led Notre Dame defense. Will Jack Coan be healthy and ready to play? What do the computer models say about this match up? We talk about it.
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Arkansas is fresh off of a ranked win over Texas A&M and headed to a top 10 matchup vs the Georgia Bulldogs. Is KJ Jefferson going to be healthy enough to run? How will JT Daniels fare against a really good Barry Odom defense? Can Treylon Burks have a repeat performance from last week? We talk about it!
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We're talking Ole Miss traveling to Tuscaloosa to take on the #1 Alabama Crimson Tide. Can Matt Corral and the Fightin' Kiffin offense put up a number like the did vs Alabama last year? Will Alabama figure things out with their run defense? Can Bryce Young handle the pressure if this game is tight late? We talk about it.
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We're talking all the action of the day - let's talk Texas A&M vs Arkansas, Notre Dame vs Wisconsin, and all the action of the day
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We're talking Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Wisconsin badgers in this one! Notre Dame has come out of the gates sluggish, but still 3-0 after wins over FSU, Toledo, & Purdue. Wisconsin had an electric opener with Penn State but Mertz couldn't quite get it done. Who wins this one? What does the model say?
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The model makes a wild opening appearance for Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks. Josh got close with his pick for Arkansas to cover over Texas, will he pick Arkansas to win outright? What to make of Zach Calzada's improvements and KJ Jefferson's limitations?
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We're talking all the action of the day - Bama vs Florida, Clemson's struggles against Georgia Tech, Ohio State's scare vs Tulsa, and Auburn vs Penn State
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We're talking Alabama and Florida in this one. Have both the Gators and Crimson Tide been sandbagging so far with their offensive game plans? Will Anthony Richardson make an impact spelling Emory Jones? How will Florida approach this Alabama defense?
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Let's talk the NFL trend of starting rookie QBs before they're ready and why this is not only bad in the short term, but could have long term impact on guys like Trevor Lawrence.
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We're talking all things Auburn Tigers and Penn State Nittany Lions in this one. How big of an advantage for Auburn is it that Penn State had to play a real team in Wisconsin and Auburn's got no film of note yet? Will Tank Bigsby and Bo Nix be able to handle the pressure of a rowdy crowd in Happy Valley? Can Noah Cain and Sean Clifford find some mojo to put the Tigers to bed?
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We're talking all the action of the day - Ohio State vs Oregon, Texas vs Arkansas, Michigan vs Washington, Iowa and Iowa State. Get in here and talk Xs and Os and nerdy data with us!
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Arkansas and Texas both handled their business against Rice and Louisiana. Can Hudson Card show up against an SEC defense? Will KJ Jefferson be able to use his arm and not just his legs to move the ball for the Razorbacks? Why is this point spread only Texas -6? We talk about it!
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We're talking Michigan Wolverines vs Washington Huskies. UW had a rough game vs Montana in week 1. Can the offense rebound vs the Wolverines? Cade McNamara and this Michigan offense lit up Western Michigan. But with no Ronnie Bell and a tougher defensive opponent, can they keep it up? We talk about it.
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We're talking Oregon Ducks and Ohio State. Fresno gave Oregon a scare. Kayvon Thibodeaux may be out or very limited in this one, how will that impact the outcome? Ohio State might have a lot of defenders out as well. How did C.J. Stroud look in week 1 vs Minnesota? What about the Buckeye defense?
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We're talking all the action of the day - Clemson vs Georgia, UCLA vs LSU, Bama vs Miami. Get in here and talk Xs and Os and nerdy data with us!
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We're talking all things OSU vs Minnesota in here. Is Ohio State not favored more because it's CJ Stroud's first game? How does the Minnesota defense hold up? Will transfers for the Gophers play a huge role in this one? We talk about it
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The Crimson Tide is replacing a ton of experience lost to the NFL this year. Can Bryce Young come out strong in his first start? How will D'Eriq King look against this Bama defense in his first game back after injury? Will Alabama's defensive depth be able to prevent a back door cover?
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We've got a lot to talk about! Clemson and Georgia are the highlight of week 1 in college football. We talk injuries and new faces for the Bulldogs as well as what to expect from established ones for Clemson. Will DJ Uiagalelei be able to pick up where Lawrence left off? Will JT Daniels make the next evolutionary step in leading this offense? We discuss paths to victory for each team and do a quick dive on crediting both teams for scheduling such a huge game.
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It's game preview szn! We're talking all things Florida State Seminoles and Notre Dame Fighting Irish. With the tremendous turnover on Notre Dame's roster, will retaining Kyren Williams and Kyle Hamilton be enough? Can Notre Dame win without a big game from Jack Coan? If McKenzie Milton is the starter for the Noles, how big of a day does he need? With a close point spread, just how much does that say good about Florida State and bad about Notre Dame?
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Just and I walk down our week 1 top 10 rankings. There's a disagreement on Oklahoma and Alabama. And Daniel has Georgia outside of his top 5. North Carolina makes an appearance, as well as Indiana. Where do they have Ohio State?
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We do a rundown of the expectations and possibilities for Notre Dame in 2021. We talk schedule, Brian Kelly managing without Ian Book. How Jack Coan will fare at QB. And how Notre Dame gets a bad rap when it comes to comparisons against Clemson and Alabama.
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We discuss why we think OU is poised for a title run in 2021. Some key pieces got drafted last year, but we touch on why that may not be a bad thing. We do a quick rundown of the Sooner schedule and touch quickly on Spencer Rattler and the offense.
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We talk all things 2021 Georgia Bulldogs for the upcoming college football season. Will JT Daniels' presence change the expectations for Georgia this season? How does Kirby Smart manage the departure of key players to the NFL? If healthy, will George Pickens and this WR corps stretch the field in a way they previously couldn't?
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We rank the top 10 college football coaches in 2021. Ryan Day shoots up the list, with Nick Saban still #1. Daniel and Josh disagree on Dabo Swinney, while a few surprises make the list.
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Y'all keep asking so we made a video on NIL and how it could impact college football. Between Nick Saban's comments on Bryce Young, and Miami boosters pulling out that bag, we already see some potential pitfalls for NIL. We discuss the good, the bad, and how a clearinghouse could fix it all.
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We absolutely had to talk about this. Oklahoma and Texas looking to move from the Big 12 to the SEC. This is going to have a ripple effect throughout college football. The Big 10, Pac 12, and ACC will be left scrambling. We talk about it.
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There's lots of comparisons between Kirby Smart's first 6 years at Georgia to Mark Richt's first 6 years. These comparisons are entirely misplaced and we talk about why. We look at 2 loss seasons, why 10 win seasons aren't what they seem, how good the SEC is and was, and recruiting rankings for each.
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