Trend Line: Recent Episodes
CTV News
A check-in on the public mood of Canadians with CTV News' pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle.
With the federal election around the corner, pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle give you everything you need to know before you speak with your friends, relatives and neighbours this weekend.
Nik and Michael talk about the important difference between the popular vote and seat distribution, key battlegrounds to watch and the vulnerabilities faced by frontrunners Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre over the course of the campaign.
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCER: Phil Hahn
EDITOR: Mike Campoli
With just under four weeks left in the federal election campaign, Nanos Research ballot numbers have the Liberals leading in every region except the Prairies, where the Conservatives continue to dominate.
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle get into what regions are driving the Liberal surge -- at the expense of not just the Conservatives, but the NDP and the Greens.They also discuss what Canadians feel about Poilievre's refusal to get security clearance -- an issue that has continued to dog him during the campaign.
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCER: Phil Hahn
EDITOR: Mike Campoli
The campaign hasn't even started but the gloves are off with Pierre Poilievre and Mark Carney hurling attack ads at each other, with the ballot question being who can best protect Canada against Donald Trump.
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle look at the ballot numbers which have become so close it's a "toss up"; and they take a deeper look into the regions which show Liberals making some significant gains in seat projections, at the expense of the Conservatives.
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCER: Phil Hahn
EDITOR: Mike Campoli
New Nanos numbers show the federal Liberals enjoying a rebound in popular support at the expense of the Conservatives and NDP, amid simmering tensions with the U.S.
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle also discuss how concern over Trump has jumped to the top issue of national concern, and what this reversal of fortunes between the Liberals and Conservatives says about the leadership of Pierre Poilievre.
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCER: Phil Hahn
EDITOR: Dell Rasmussen
The federal Conservatives have enjoyed a double-digit lead for around a year, but the latest ballot tracking from Nanos Research shows people have been shifting their support to the Liberals after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced he's stepping down.
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle look at how Trudeau's resignation, the Liberal leadership race and U.S. President Donald Trump pushing tariffs and threatening the annexation of Canada has forced Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre to find a new strategy as an inevitable election nears.
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCER: Phil Hahn
EDITOR: Dell Rasmussen
A majority of Canadians think their country's reputation on the international stage has tanked, and in fact the numbers are the worst they've ever been in Nanos Research tracking. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle also discuss the latest ballot numbers, and why the Liberals might have seen a slight bump in the past four weeks.
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCER: Phil Hahn
EDITOR: Dell Rasmussen
Pierre Poilievre has been heavily criticizing the Liberals on cost-of-living issues, and the latest Nanos numbers show his Conservatives are still in strong majority territory.
Host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss how Conservatives are making significant gains across the country, including in traditional Liberal strongholds in the Greater Toronto Area and British Columbia, according to Nanos seat projections.
Meanwhile, the Liberal government's recent economic measures, such as the GST/HST holiday and $250 payments to low-income Canadians, have been poorly received by the public. And while economic uncertainty increases in Canada amid concerns about a potential recession, the timing of the next federal election is also up in the air.
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCERS: Phil Hahn, Jesse Tahirali
EDITORS: Jesse Tahirali, Dell Rasmussen
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government rolls out a plan for tax relief and rebate cheques, but Nik Nanos calls it a ‘well-intentioned, epic failure.’ The exclusion of non-working seniors has prompted a swift backlash.
The NDP tries to gain from the Liberals’ messy roll-out, as ballot tracking shows them close behind.
Michael and Nik also discuss the latest provincial election result as premiers rush to get ahead of a possible federal election, and the impact of Donald Trump’s tariff threat.
CREDITS
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn, Jesse Tahirali and Dell Rasmussen
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
What did Trump's win say about what voters were looking for, and what can Canadian politicians learn from the U.S. election?
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle talk about the issues we have in common with our American neighbours, and who's better positioned between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre as we head closer to our own election in 2025?
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos, Nanos Research
PRODUCERS: Phil Hahn, Jesse Tahirali and Dell Rasmussen
EDITOR: Jesse Tahirali
Welcome back to our first episode since we broke for the summer. We open the show with the latest Nanos ballot tracking in which the Conservatives have not only widened their lead, but something significant has happened between the Liberals and NDP.
CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss what this could mean for the governing minority Liberals and the timing for the next election. Nik also goes region by region to share his latest seat projections -- how popular support for each party would translate into seats if an election were to be held today. There are some significant changes worth paying attention to in places like the national capital region and B.C.'s Lower Mainland.
CREDITS
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn, Jesse Tahirali and Dell Rasmussen
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
After a stunning Toronto byelection victory by the Conservatives, pollster Nik Nanos looks at what other ridings across the country -- currently in Liberal hands -- might be taken away by Pierre Poiliever's party if an election were held today.
Nik and host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are feeling right now about their economic future, and should things turn brighter before the next election, what that could mean politically for Justin Trudeau's leadership.
This is our last episode before we break for the summer. Thank you for watching, and we'll be back in the fall.
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCERS: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
EDITOR: Jesse Tahirali
With a big test for the Liberals coming up later this month in a federal byelection, host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos talk about what the results need to be to ramp up -- or tamp down -- the conservation over Justin Trudeau's leadership.
Nik and Michael also discuss a recent survey about how Canadians feel about who should lead the Liberals in the next election. And finally, will the Liberals be successful in making the capital gains tax into a wedge issue against the Conservatives?
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down the latest tracking data from Nanos Research that shows Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives continue to hold a double-digit lead over Justin Trudeau's Liberals.
But a different Nanos survey that looks into the leaders' credibility in Canadians' eyes is hardly flattering for either. In fact, Nik says the results are quite 'brutal' for both Trudeau and Poilievre.
Michael and Nik also react to the increasing combativeness and lack of decorum during question period in the House of Commons. Are the blows landing with Canadians or is the communications approach misguided?
Finally, a dim view of the economy continues to impact the popularities of leaders in both Canada and the United States. Nik says that negative consumer confidence and 'joyless prosperity' is a big problem for incumbent governments -– and it could become a big problem for U.S. President Joe Biden.
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
When it comes to Canadians' pocketbooks, pollster Nik Nanos says he hasn't seen this much pessimism in a very long time.
Nik and Trend Line host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are divided over the capital gains tax and its effect on investments, as well as how delaying the tax until end of June could result in a short-term windfall for the federal Liberals.
Also, what do the Liberals have to do to reverse their negative trend line when it comes to popular support, and what do the Conservatives have to do to keep theirs positive?
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
Pessimism and anger towards the federal government is at an all-time high, according to Nanos tracking. Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss the challenge this poses for the Liberals in the lead-up to an election. Also, what are the major issues Canadians are worried about, and did the federal budget address them?
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn, Patrick Rail
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
After months of the Conservatives enjoying a clear advantage in popular support over the Liberals, the latest Nanos ballot tracking shows Pierre Poilievre's party went from a 20-point lead to a 12-point lead.
Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss possible reasons behind the Conservative drop, and what might Quebec have to do with it?
Nik and Michael also discuss Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's war of words with the premiers over the carbon tax.
CREDITS:
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCERS: Phil Hahn, Patrick Rail
EDITOR: Jesse Tahirali
Will a soft NDP vote benefit the Liberals in the next federal election?
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss what the NDP is doing to differentiate itself from the Liberals, after two years of propping them up in Parliament. Also, why Liberal support might actually be higher than the national numbers indicate, and what the 'true' Conservative advantage is over the Liberals.
And as Canadians pay their respects to late prime minister Brian Mulroney, Nik and Michael rewind to 1988 when the Progressive Conservative leader was seeking reelection. His party was trailing the Liberals in the polls but managed to turn it around.
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos look at new numbers showing the federal Conservatives have opened up a 20-point lead over the Liberals – will it hold up?
Then, there was a federal byelection in Durham, Ont. Nik says the CPC victory was never in doubt, but we did learn something else that should be interesting to the Liberals.
Also, there’s a federal budget on the horizon – Nik says it’s another chance for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to change the channel and stem the LPC polling slump.
Finally, we have new data on how Canadians feel about the standard of living for the next generation – and the numbers are dismal.
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives increasing their support as the party Canadians would vote for, while the Liberals are in a statistical tie with the New Democrats.
Poilievre's personal numbers continue to trend sharply upwards while his party saw a 17-point advantage over the federal Liberals in the new Nanos tracking.
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn, Patrick Rail
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
Whether it's the ballot number or seat projections, latest Nanos Research data shows the Conservatives would easily win a "clear majority" if an election were held today.
Pollster Nik Nanos and Michael Stittle take a look at the growing gap between the federal Conservatives and Liberals, and the narrowing one between the Liberals and NDP. In a 'what's that about?' segment, Nik analyzes the Liberal attacks on a senior Conservative adviser and her links to the grocery sector.
And Nanos Research has done a few surveys for CTV News that look into potential strains on U.S.-Canada relations.
CREDITS
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down new data on how Canadians feel about the country's housing crisis – the Bank of Canada indicated on Wednesday that interest rate cuts are coming, but what else do Canadians want decision-makers to do?
Then, Michael and Nik take a look at the latest ballot tracking and new numbers for preferred prime minister. What to know? Nik says you should keep a close eye on the Liberal-NDP vote split.
Also, Justin Trudeau is being criticized by some for his holiday vacation, Nik says that the optics are not good for a prime minister dealing with multiple affordability crises at home.
Finally, Donald Trump has won another GOP presidential primary and Canada seems to be preparing for the possibility of a second Trump presidency. Nik thinks that the Liberals may try to link the U.S. Republican Party to Pierre Poilievre – but there may be risks to the strategy.
HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCERS: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
EDITOR: Jesse Tahirali
https://www.ctvnews.ca/nanos
Trend Line is back after a holiday break, and in this week's episode, CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down the latest the ballot numbers for the main federal parties – where do we stand at the start of the new year?
Then, Nanos Research has been tracking the ‘Mood of Canada’ for nearly two decades. Nik shares the latest data on how Canadians feel about their government and country. Finally, Michael and Nik look ahead to some of the issues concerning Canadians that will be top of mind for political leaders as they return to Parliament Hill.
CREDITS
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Editor: Jesse Tahirali
It's time to look at Nanos Research's monthly seat projections. Once again, it's bad news for the federal Liberals if an election were held today, with Conservatives either projected to win or to put up a fight in key ridings that were Liberal wins in the 2021 election.
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle do a region-by-region breakdown of these projections in our end-of-year episode. Then, they track how the parties have been trending on the ballot question, as well as the personal brands of their leaders, over the past year.
Finally, how much are Canadians willing to spend this holiday, and how are they feeling about the economy as we head into 2024?
The next episode of Trend Line will be available Wednesday, Jan. 10, 2024.
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Edited by Jesse Tahirali
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss ballot numbers we haven't seen for a long time -- we're talking since Michael Ignatieff was Liberal leader. What does this mean moving forward for the federal parties?
For the Conservatives, is there a price to be paid for doing this well in public opinion, with an election still more than a year (maybe) down the line?
And as the fortunes of the NDP begin to rise, what do you do if you're Jagmeet Singh?
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Edited by Patrick Rail
It's been months of headlines touting tanking polling numbers for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and climbing support for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. But what does a long-term look at party standings show? And, is it too late for the trend lines to turn around?
In the latest episode of CTV's Trend Line, Nanos Research founder Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle dig in to the "Nanos Party Power Index Tracking for Canada." It offers a composite picture of various public opinion metrics, from the national ballot, to which party Canadians would consider voting for, as well as the top choices for prime minister and each party's leadership qualities.
Michael and Nik also discuss Canadian's growing concerns over their personal finances, and a troubling rise in hate crimes in Canada.
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
Edited by Patrick Rail
CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos break down how Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s reversal on a carbon tax for home heating oil in Atlantic Canada is already causing political blowback in the rest of the country – where does the federal government go from here?
Then, we've got the latest ballot tracking data showing the Conservative Party continues to enjoy a significant advantage over the Liberal Party. Nik explains how that translates into seat projections and which areas pose the greatest challenge for the Trudeau government.
Finally, there's fresh data showing that Canada has likely entered a technical recession after months of high inflation putting price pressures on consumers. Nik and Michael look at polling on the issues Canadians care most about, and unsurprisingly economic concerns are at the top of the chart.
Our next episodes will be available Wednesday, Nov. 15
CREDITS:
- Michael Stittle
- Nik Nanos
- Jesse Tahirali, Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
After months of foreign relations turbulence, CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss Canada's international reputation and look at recent surveys from Nanos Research –- which has good and bad news for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberal government.
In 2015, Trudeau declared to the world that Canada was 'back,' but it's been a bumpy road for his government lately. Nik gives his take on how the prime minister has handled challenges with India, the Nazi scandal in Parliament, as well as what role Canada could play when it comes to major events like the Israel-Hamas war.
Ahead of the Bank of Canada's next planned rate decision, Nik's data shows that housing and inflation remain the top issues of concern for Canadians. Amid a raging house crisis, is the federal NDP missing an opportunity to connect with a broader swath of the voting public?
Our next episodes will be available Wednesday, Nov. 1
CREDITS:
- Michael Stittle (host)
- Nik Nanos (guest)
- Jesse Tahirali (editor); Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail (producers)
Nik Nanos has his latest ballot numbers as the Liberals see an erosion in federal support, both for the party and for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s personal brand.
Nik and host Michael Stittle then get into Nanos Research’s latest seat projections – how do the ballot numbers translate into actual seats in the House of Commons if an election were to be held today?
And some history in the making in Canada – the election of the first ever Black speaker of the House of Commons, and the election of the first ever First Nations premier of a province. Hear Nik’s take on these events, and thanks for tuning in.
Our next episodes will be available Wednesday, Oct. 18
CREDITS:
- Michael Stittle (host)
- Nik Nanos (guest)
- Jesse Tahirali (editor); Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail (producers)
We're back from our summer break and pollster Nik Nanos has the latest on where the federal parties – and their leaders -- stand after a 'roller coaster' of a summer.
Nik and host Michael Stittle also talk about how Canadians are feeling about the plans to bring in more immigrants to Canada, especially in light of the current housing crunch.
And make sure to tune in to our next episode when Nik will talk about his latest seat projections. That will be available on Oct. 4
CREDITS:
Michael Stittle (host)
Nik Nanos (guest)
Jesse Tahirali (editor); Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail (producers)
Pollster Nik Nanos has his latest House seat projections and he takes us region by region to give us a national picture of how the federal parties are doing.
Nik and host Michael Stittle then discuss a new Nanos survey for CTV News and the Globe and Mail, about how Canadians feel about special rapporteur David Johnston and whether they're happy with a formal inquiry into foreign interference. The findings might surprise you.
And with swaths of the country engulfed in wildfires and smoke, Michael and Nik put a spotlight on the environment -- which took a back seat to COVID-19 and the economy the past few years, but is starting to climb again as an issue of concern for Canadians.
This is our final episode before we break for the summer. Thank you for listening, we'll be back in the fall.
CREDITS:
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Credits: Jesse Tahirali (editor); Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail (producers)
Host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down Special Rapporteur David Johnston's decision not to recommend a public inquiry into foreign election interference.
Nik and Michael also look at the latest polling in the upcoming Alberta provincial election, where several key ridings in Calgary could decide whether NDP Leader Rachel Notley or UCP Leader Danielle Smith emerge victorious.
Then, moving on to Toronto's upcoming mayoral election, Nik explains the challenges for pollsters to quantify candidate support in municipal elections -- and why polling numbers for candidates with greater name recognition might be inflated.
We're in a tense diplomatic showdown with China. Again. And new Nanos numbers show just how tense things are when it comes to how Canadians feel about our relationship with China.
Host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos also discuss Nanos Research's latest federal ballot numbers, as well as new seat projections that show one of the major parties down everywhere in the country, except Quebec.
The PSAC strike is 'Christmas' politically for Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives, says pollster Nik Nanos. But what of the New Democrats? Nik and host Michael Stittle discuss that and the latest on the House committee inquiry on foreign interference in our elections, as well as debate over the Liberal government's gun control bill.
Nik also discusses a top issue on Canadians' minds -- clean energy, and how a certain European country wants to work closely with us and become a strong energy partner. But is Canada ready to take advantage of this opportunity?
It’s been two weeks since the federal budget and a visit from U.S. President Joe Biden -- enough time to track any movement in Liberal support. Did Trudeau's Liberals get a boost in public opinion?
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle also give a primer on Katie Telford, the chief of staff to the prime minister, as she prepares to appear before a House committee studying allegations that China meddled in our last two federal elections. And what will the Conservatives and NDP be looking for in her testimony?
Nik also gives us the latest update on the big issues facing Canadians, like health care, the environment and our economic future, a what trends are emerging in his weekly issues tracking.
The federal Liberals are trending negatively on three key measures while Pierre Poilievre has surpassed Justin Trudeau when it comes to the question of who Canadians would prefer now as prime minister, according to Nanos Research.
Host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss the troubling polling for the Liberals, and whether the federal budget and recent visit from U.S. President Joe Biden might boost the party's numbers.
Can the Liberals turn things around with a strong budget, and just how 'broken' are we?
Do Canadians feel their country is as "broken" as Pierre Poilievre says it is? Listen to pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss a new Nanos Research survey on how we're feeling about our country and our major institutions.
While Liberal support shot up with health care in the spotlight last month, there's been an opposite trend happening over the last four weeks. Nik and Michael discuss what might be driving that, as well as how the personal brands of Justin Trudeau and Poilievre are faring.
And we have a date for the federal budget: March 28. The stakes are high for the minority Liberals, who not only have to deal with the economy and a distressed health-care system, but have to worry about appeasing the NDP -- unless they want an election.
The Liberals and Conservatives have been neck-and-neck and trading leads over the past year when it comes to ballot support. But what does it look like when you project their current ballot support to actual seats in the House of Commons?
More simply, if an election were to be held today, who’d win?
Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss Nanos’ latest seat projections, as well as an election that’s actually around the corner, in Alberta, where Premier Danielle Smith is hoping to get a strong mandate for her United Conservative Party. How does the nature of her relationship with the federal Liberals help, or hurt, her cause?
Finally, Nik and Michael take the economic pulse of the nation. When it comes to how worried people are about being able to pay their mortgage or the rent, a recent Nanos survey shows an interesting and troubling trend emerging in not just how many are concerned, but who’s concerned.
With the federal health-care funding deal prominently in the headlines and concern over the state of health care towering over other issues of national concern for Canadians, Liberals seem to be enjoying a corresponding bounce in ballot support and are in a dead-heat with the Conservatives.
Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss the latest ballot numbers and how the acrimony in Parliament makes it seem like there'll be an election sooner than you might think.
Meanwhile, many Canadians continue to feel the pain financially, with a recent Nanos poll showing a troubling upward trend in the number of people worried about being able to afford housing.
Finally, the truth is out there. Somewhere. Nik and Michael discuss 3 UFOs and a Chinese balloon, and whether this strange saga in the skies might actually strengthen support for Norad.
Health journalist and CTV News contributor Avis Favaro joins Trend Line for an in-depth episode dedicated to the growing crises facing the Canadian health-care system.
Nanos Research Chair Nik Nanos brings the latest numbers reflecting Canadians' concerns, and Avis shares insight from her award-winning career spanning 30 years to break down the longstanding issues facing our health-care system, the new factors contributing to the mounting crisis and most importantly, where do we go from here?
The New Year has begun with "grim" numbers for the Liberals, according to pollster Nik Nanos on our first show of 2023. Not only is the 7% Conservative lead now outside the margin of error, but with the NDP also up, the Liberals are getting squeezed on both sides.
Meanwhile, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has been attacking the Liberals on health care, saying it’s "worse than ever" after seven years of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. But although Conservative support may be up, Poilievre isn't doing quite as well when it comes to his personal brand.
Finally, Nik and host Michael Stittle discuss Canada's reputation on the world stage (it's "not so great, actually," according to Nik's numbers) and Joe Biden is finally going to visit Canada this March. How can the Liberal government capitalize on the U.S. president's visit?
In our final episode of 2022, pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss the major federal parties – what moved the needle for them this year, and what do they have to look forward to in the New Year?
Trend Line will return in the New Year on January 18.
After weeks of 'Freedom Convoy' organizers airing their views at the Emergencies Act inquiry, how did the headlines impact ballot support for the Liberals and Conservatives, in light of Justin Trudeau's appearance before the inquiry and Pierre Poilievre being an early supporter of the protests?
Pollster Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle also discuss the now double leadership team helming the Green Party, and what they have to do to build support among Canadian voters.
We then head West, where Premier Danielle Smith has been busy, launching a new bill in an attempt to shield Alberta from federal laws, and banning any future mask mandates in schools.
Finally, in our issues tracking segment, we take the pulse on where the state of health care ranks with Canadians right now.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Chinese President Xi Jinping met briefly on the sidelines of the G20 summit, a meeting which could hardly be described as cordial. Nanos Research Chair Nik Nanos and Trend Line host Michael Stittle discuss the tense exchange and the body language -- which spoke volumes -- between the two leaders.
From chilly relations abroad to frosty relations at home -- the federal government and some of the provinces just can't seem to get along, with the recent failure of Canada's health ministers to reach a deal on health care. In Ontario, Nik discusses how the provincial government took a big hit in public opinion after Premier Doug Ford dropped the "legislative hammer" on education workers, before ultimately lifting it again. And this hit in public opinion, by the way, had federal repercussions as well on Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives.
Finally, Nik and Michael discuss what Canada's federal parties can learn from the U.S., where Democrats managed to keep control of the Senate in last week's midterm elections.
Nanos Research asks Canadians a very simple question on the regular: are your personal finances worse, better or the same? You probably know the answer, but pollster Nik Nanos explains how the most recent response to his survey broke a 14-year record. And not in a good way.
Nik and host Michael Stittle also discuss the continuing reverberations from the "Freedom Convoy" protests as the national inquiry into the government's use of the Emergencies Act continues. And how a seemingly no-win situation for the Liberals in their handling of inflation and cost of living has been like "Christmas" for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre.
Finally, it's less than a week before the consequential U.S. midterm elections. Nik breaks down a couple key races, and explains why American polling sometimes gets it wrong in places like Nevada.
Nanos Research asks Canadians every week who they prefer as prime minister of the country. Right now, Pierre Poilievre and Justin Trudeau are neck and neck. Pollster Nik Nanos breaks down why, and dives deeper into what qualities both leaders have that appeal to Canadians. (The result, as Nik puts it, is 'ugh'.)
Nik and CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle also discuss the growing movement against the federation with Danielle Smith's recent victory in Alberta. And we're revealing the results of a new Nanos survey showing a large number of Canadians would still wear masks on planes and trains, even if travel restrictions are now loosened.
With a majority win for Francois Legault's CAQ in Quebec and one for Doug Ford's PCs earlier this year, that's two of Canada's most populous provinces where provincial Liberals have been steamrolled. Pollster Nik Nanos and CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle discuss what this could mean for the federation.
You don't want to miss Nik's latest seat projections, which show Conservative support is strengthening in key battlegrounds and which ridings that were awash in Liberal red in the last election are now too close to call.
And it's been 5 years since Jagmeet Singh became leader of the NDP. Nik looks at where he and the party are now compared to back then when it comes to his party's brand, and what Canadians think of his leadership.
Correction: Seat-count projections show the Green Party winning two ridings, and 57 ridings are too close to call.
We're back from summer break, and pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle discuss Pierre Poilievre's question period debut in the House of Commons and the image he's trying to portray. Nik also breaks down the latest ballot numbers with the leading Conservatives and resurgent NDP putting the squeeze on the Liberals.
Conservatives are ‘in the driver’s seat’ with a five percentage-point lead over the Liberals in the latest ballot tracking from Nanos Research.
Pollster Nik Nanos and CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle discuss what’s driving the Liberals’ sinking numbers.
Also, in Quebec, Premier Francois Legault has made waves with his controversial Bill 96, with a provincial election on the horizon.
Finally, the U.S. midterms are approaching – could the Democrats lose control of one or both houses?
We're taking a summer break, but we'll be back in August.
You might have missed it but the prime minister this week gave an emphatic 'no' to the question of whether he'd fulfill a promise to replace our first past the post electoral system with proportional representation. So what does he want instead?
Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle get into that. Also, why is Leslyn Lewis one to keep a close eye on in the Conservative leadership race?
We also take a close look at Alberta Premier Jason Kenney and Ontario Premier Doug: a study in contrasts that conservatives really should be paying attention to. Speaking of Alberta, tune in to find out how close the numbers are between the NDP and the UCP in the province. And check out Nik's prediction on what will happen on the day after the Conservative leadership's decided -- no matter who wins.
We have a special episode of Trend Line focusing on the fallout from the Ontario provincial election.
Nik Nanos' numbers for CTV News and CP24 leading up to the eleciton were spot on, capturing that Ford's PCs were on their way to a convincing majority.
If you're a federal political party, what do you take away from Ford's victory? Nik and host Michael Stittle discuss that and more on this episode.
Falling consumer confidence numbers show we're growing more anxious about where economy's headed. It's a theme that's taken centre stage at the Conservative Party's leadership race.
And as the Russia-Ukraine war drags on and global anxiety increases, who do Canadians see as friendly faces in the world to do business with in these tense times? Nik's got some exclusive findings to share.
With his attack on the Bank of Canada, Pierre Poilievre further positioned himself as the 'anti-establishment' Conservative leadership candidate. CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss Poilievre's strategy, and how it's working for him as we're in an environment where 8 out of 10 Canadians are worried about a potential recession.
We've also got the latest analysis from the Ontario election campaign, and how the Liberal brand may be gaining traction, but their ballot numbers remain flat. Finally, what to make of Vladimir Putin's 80%+ approval rate? Nik breaks that down.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss yet another convoy heading to downtown Ottawa this weekend, this time on motorcycles. How do Canadians feel about the seemingly growing trend of convoy protests? Also, Nik breaks down how the Conservatives have opened up a lead over the governing Liberals, despite being technically leaderless.
We've also got some exclusive numbers from New Brunswick, after the People's Alliance party closed up shop. Finally, what does Elon Musks's takeover of Twitter mean for political speech in Canada?
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss why the federal Liberals aren't seeing any bump in support following the release of the 2022 federal budget. Also, Nik breaks down why the heated battle brewing between Pierre Poilievre and Jean Charest is turning into a fight for the "heart and soul" of the Conservative party.
Finally, is populism dead? Far from, according to Nik's issue tracking and poll results so far in the French election.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss whether the NDP made a catastrophic mistake by making a deal with the Liberals. Also, Nik breaks down Alberta Premier Jason Kenney's musings about the private sector.
Finally, do Canadians want our government to boost defence spending to help NATO? Nik explains.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss why 'free speech' and 'freedom' have risen to the top of unprompted issues of concern in Canada. Also, Nik breaks down whether the surging price of oil and the political windfall accompanying it are enough to boost Alberta Premier Jason Kenney's popularity.
Finally, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky addressed Canada’s Parliament this week and was very direct in what he wants: He wants Canada to back a no-fly zone over Ukraine. How's the Trudeau government handling it? Nik explains.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how Canadians generally feel about responding to crises like what's happening in Ukraine, and how our leaders are responding. Nik also breaks down how the provinces seem to be racing to relax COVID-19 restrictions.
Finally, U.S. President Joe Biden gave his State of the Union speech. Will it help boost the president's bleak approval numbers? Nik explains.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss a 'course correction' for the Conservatives over their messaging around the convoy protests, and how the People's Party of Canada has seen an increase in potential support. Also, Nik breaks down how Ontario Premier Doug Ford seems to have struck a balance in his approach to the protests.
Finally, if it's revealed a big chunk of money funding the protests comes from abroad, how will that influence the Liberals' message moving forward? Nik explains.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss why the problem for the Conservative Party of Canada runs deeper than Erin O'Toole. Also, Nik breaks down how Alberta Premier Jason Kenney is handling the protests in his province.
Finally, what does this all have to do with Donald Trump? Nik explains.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss federal ballot support, provincial elections and U.S. politics.
See more stats from Nanos Research at www.nanos.co.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss a survey that shows two out of every three Canadians are worried about meeting their financial obligations as the cost of living creeps upward.
It's also our year-in-review episode! Nik weighs in on some of the predictions he made this year and goes party by party to see what the federal political landscape will look like in 2022.
Thanks for watching! The show is on hiatus until January 2022.
CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss Canadians' feelings on the standard of living for future generations.
Also, Nik discusses why the Ontario NDP may be disappointed by some recent survey numbers ahead of the coming provincial election.
Finally, Nik discusses Canadians' perceptions on the health threat posed by Americans amid global concern around the Omicron coronavirus variant.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the status of the opposition parties ahead of Parliament's return next week, including how Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole is faring amid challenges from within his own party.
And as representatives from the U.S. and Canada are set to meet, what do the two countries have in common? Nik breaks it down for us with ten years of accumulated data.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss some surprises in the latest federal tracking numbers and whether Alta. Premier Jason Kenney is in political trouble. Also, with the COP26 summit ongoing, how do Canadians feel about taking drastic action on climate change? Nik explains some of his recent polling.
This episode used a survey from Innovative Research Group, you can find more details here: https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/CTM2109-AB-Report-Release-1-1.pdf
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how the environment has moved ahead of the coronavirus as the top unprompted issue of concern for Canadians. What does that mean for the Canadian political landscape? Nik weighs in.
Also, how long will Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stay on as leader of the Liberal Party? For Nik, there could be some signals sprinkled throughout the upcoming speech from the throne.
Trend Line is back on our regular publishing schedule. You can find us wherever you get your podcasts every two weeks.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos do a recap of the polling from the 2021 federal election and dive into where each party now stands.
Nik weighs in on whether Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should have delivered a different speech on election night, where the Conservatives go from here and what the Green Party should do after the resignation of Annamie Paul.
Trend Line will return on Tuesday, Oct. 5.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos break down the final poll numbers of the campaign and discuss what to look for tonight, when you're watching the results come in on the live special CTV NEWS: ELECTION 2021.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the daily tracking numbers and the possible outcome of the Sept. 20 election. Will it be a majority for the Liberals? That's "not out of the realm of possibility," according to Nik.
Also, what do the party leaders need to do going into the final weekend? Nik weighs in with what we should watch out for.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the daily numbers and take a closer look at a regional breakdown of party support.
As Nik explains, the numbers show the race tightening between the Liberals and Conservatives across the country, with the exception of the Greater Toronto Area and Montreal, where the Liberals hold a lead.
CTVNews.ca election night sneak peek: For those looking for the map mentioned on the show, here's the link: https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/federal-election-2019/results-map
Please note that this version of the map currently shows the results from the 2019 election. You'll be able to see the map with updated numbers as they roll in on Sept. 20.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the daily tracking numbers and if a decline in support for NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh as the preferred prime minister indicates a drop in overall support may be coming.
Also, Nik takes us through what he expects from each party as we enter the final week of the campaign.
Sept. 10: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the English-language leaders' debate and how each candidate performed.
Also, should the Conservatives and Liberals be concerned about vote splits? Nik looks at how support for the NDP and PPC could determine which party forms the next government.
Sept. 8: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the nightly tracking numbers and if the protests at some Liberal campaign events have had an impact.
Also, Nik looks ahead to the two official debates and what each candidate needs to do to shift momentum in their favour.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the nightly tracking numbers and how they now show a definite advantage for Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole. Is it too late for the Liberals to turn things around?
Also, Nik discusses a new survey that asked Canadians whether they felt this election was necessary.
Sept. 1: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how the recent economic numbers could affect the campaign.
Also, Nik shares his most surprising takeaway from a survey of residents in the Greater Toronto Area.
Aug. 30: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the daily numbers and dive into the current seat count projection ("It's basically a rocket for the Conservatives").
Also, will the NDP have a breakout moment during the debates? Nik discusses in his breakdown of the NDP trend line so far.
Aug. 27: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the latest poll numbers ("an absolute dead heat") and whether there has been a change in the preferred prime minister numbers.
Then, Nik breaks down party ballot support along gender lines. What he sees from the numbers is a "striking" difference between female and male support for the progressive parties and the Conservatives.
Aug. 25: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the latest tracking numbers: are the results from today a one-off or is there a trend emerging?
Also, with the NDP numbers dipping slightly, is there something the party can do to stop its support from shifting to the Liberals?
Finally, Nik looks ahead to the coming school year and whether that will have an impact on the campaign.
Aug. 23: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the Nanos Daily Tracking Numbers that show the federal election race is in a dead heat between the Liberals and Conservatives.
Nik also dives into a big takeaway from the preferred PM numbers: Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole has had a big jump from just a couple of weeks ago.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos dive into why housing is here to stay as a key issue on the campaign trail.
Also, what's in an image? In politics, a lot. See Nik break down each party leader and the image they're trying to portray in the early days of the election.
On this episode of Trend Line…
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the implications of the Nova Scotia election results on the federal campaign before diving into some of the issues (vaccines, the economy, Afghanistan) that could define the national political race.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos kick off another campaign with an election edition of Trend Line.
The show will publish every Monday, Wednesday and Friday to keep you up to date on all the latest news and polling. Make sure to tune in.
On this episode of Trend Line…
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss where Canada stands on vaccine passports as travel options start to open up around the world.
Also, with the prospect of an increased number of mail-in ballots being cast in a potential federal election, is there a party that stands to benefit? Nik weighs in.
Plus, the latest on the Green Party and where the Conservatives stand in the West.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos take a look at where each federal opposition leader stands going into a potential election later in the year. It's the challengers episode! (Complete with summer homework assignments.)
Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole will need to perform a balancing act between keeping his party united in the West and gaining some additional seats in Ontario. While NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh will need to take advantage of some of the goodwill he's earned from Canadians. Listen to the show for all the rest.
Finally, in our 'Upshot' segment, Nanos explains why the Liberal numbers might be 'overpriced' and why a win in a snap election might not be a sure thing for the party.
On this week's episode of Trend Line:
Nik shares his insights into how large sporting events can be associated with a positive surge in the polls for incumbent governments. Will he or won't he? We're talking about Mark Carney, of course! Nik breaks down the potential political ambitions of the former banker. Catherine McKenna has announced she is stepping back from politics. Michael and Nik discuss the legacy she'll leave in the Five Minutes of Politics segment. And there's a couple of changes when it comes to national issues of concern for Canadians: the deficit is down and environment and jobs are back up.
All that and more on this week's episode of Trend Line with CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos.
On this week's episode…
Green Party Leader Annamie Paul faces political infighting – how can she move forward on the national stage? Nik's recommendation: focus on what the party is known for.
And prime ministers often go on international tours, but is there something to read into Justin Trudeau's recent trip to the G7 and NATO summits?
Finally, a recent Nanos survey shows how Canadians feel about sending vaccinated children back to school with unvaccinated children. Is this conversation going to prompt a larger discussion about vaccine passports in the country?
That's all on this episode of Trend Line with CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos.
CTVNews.ca Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos are back with another episode of Trend Line.
On today's episode Rachel and Nik discuss how military misconduct and Canada’s vaccine rollout have intersected, and how it ranks as an issue of concern for Canadians. And, as economies around the world start to reopen, how do Canadians feel about the strength of Canada's economy?
After the break Elizabeth Dubois, a digital media and political communications professor from the University of Ottawa, joins the chat to discuss the Liberal government's Bill C-10 and other online regulation aims. How will these policies affect our lives online and will they achieve what the government intends? It's an enlightening conversation on a topic that we're sure to hear about more in the future.
A note for our listeners: Nik Nanos is an honourary captain in the Royal Canadian Navy.
During the discussion, the video streaming service Crave is mentioned. Crave is owned by Bell Media, which also owns CTV News.
For more from Elizabeth Dubois and her students you can go to www.polcommtech.ca.
CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the latest report cards on how the provinces are faring when it comes to handling COVID-19 spread and getting shots in arms, and how Canadians' mental health is holding up more than a year into the pandemic. Also, Nik weighs in on the potential impact of NACI's confusing vaccine messaging and Prime Minister Trudeau's comments towards anti-lockdown protesters.
Following is a list of links to suicide and crisis hotlines, and resources dedicated to the prevention of suicide as well as how to find counselling. National Crisis Hotlines Kids Help Phone 1-800-668-6868
Crisis Services Canada 1-833-456-4566 or text 45645
First Nations and Inuit Hope for Wellness Help Line 1‑855‑242-3310
Canada Drug Rehab Addiction Services Directory 1-888-245-6887
National Eating Disorder Information Centre 1-866-633-4220
CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how flip-flopping pandemic rules from Ont. Premier Doug Ford undermines confidence in more than just the government of the day. Also, with news that the federal government will help with the pandemic in Ontario, Nik explains why it might be a move that the Liberals won't let residents of the province forget.
Also this week: Canada's first federal female finance minister tabled the 2021 budget. Nik weighs in on how some of the policies in the document could potentially affect federal politics for decades to come.
CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the need for new messaging from politicians and health officials as virus variants continue to spread across Canada.
Also, the first federal budget in two years is set to be unveiled on April 19. What do Canadians want to see in terms of spending?
Finally, with an on-the-spot naming decision, this week's Trend Line "Bright Spot" focuses on a scene that resembles normalcy south of the border.
Special report on China with Paul Heinbecker CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos host a discussion with former diplomat Paul Heinbecker on the state of Canada-China relations. What can Canada do moving forward? Is there a way out of the situation with Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor?
Also, Nik weighs in on the Conservative Party policy convention and explains why he thinks a defeated motion on climate change will become the next Liberal attack ad.
Note: There are some audio pauses in this week's show as we were dealing with some connection issues.
CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss a new survey that shows the Liberals on top when it comes to who Canadians trust with federal finances and what exactly that means for the Conservatives and Leader Erin O'Toole. Also, do we need a vaccine PSA? Rachel and Nik reminisce about notable public service announcements of the past and when we might see something similar rolled out for COVID-19. Finally, as vaccines are administered around the world, are "vaccine passports" coming to Canada? Nik and Rachel discuss why the conversation around the controversial idea is only starting now.
CTVNews.ca’s Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the first bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and U.S. President Joe Biden. Also, we assess the impact Canada’s sputtering vaccine rollout is having on federal and provincial governments. Plus, is it time to get real about the prospect of a spring election?
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss whether Canadians believe Prime Minister Trudeau when he says everyone in the country will have access to a COVID-19 vaccine by September. Also, a report card of sorts is out: How do the feds and provinces rank on their coronavirus responses? Spoiler: there's room for everyone to improve.
A programming note from the Trend Line team: Michael Stittle will be off for the next few months. We'll be back with CTVNews.ca online politics producer Rachel Aiello.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss what could be behind Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole's preferred PM bump and the impact of regional anger on today's federal politics.
Also, former ambassador to the United States Michael Kergin joins the show to discus the new Biden administration, the prolonged border closure and what a change in the White House means for Canada's relationship with China.
This episode was recorded on Jan. 27, 2021.
Trend Line takes a look back on 12 months that nobody could have predicted.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the year that was, whether anyone emerged as a political winner amid the pandemic, and revisit some prophetic analysis.
Also, what's coming up in 2021? Tariff announcements, maybe. Hopefully they'll come during regular business hours.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the potential political fallout over the Liberal government's vaccine messaging, and if there's a divide emerging between various federal and provincial conservative parties. Also, Nik highlights some tracking numbers that show the federal NDP and Greens picking up support.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss the preliminary results of the U.S. election and how different polling methodologies performed in predicting who would come out ahead. Also, what happens when various public health officials aren’t using the same playbook? Nik weighs in on the potential impact.
It's election season! CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos get you up to speed with a U.S. election night primer: what you need to watch for and the critical different between national and state polling. Also, Nik and Michael discuss what the outcomes of two federal byelections and several provincial campaigns means for a potential general election call. It’s Trend Line time!
CTVNews.ca’s Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss how Canadians’ concerns about COVID-19 are surging again as Canada experiences a second wave of the virus; what the selection of Annamie Paul as Green Party leader will mean for federal politics; and Nik weighs in on why Joe Biden's lead may not be so comfortably large as the polls would have you believe.
CTVNews.ca’s Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss how U.S. President Donald Trump could be trying to “devalue” mail-in ballots ahead of the upcoming election. Also, Nik gives an update on the national ballot tracking numbers and discusses whether provincial governments are taking a gamble by holding elections during a pandemic.
Note: This episode was recorded on Wednesday, September 30th.
CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss what we should watch for in the upcoming Throne Speech; and what shape are the opposition parties in ahead of what could be a snap election?Also, are Erin O'Toole's ambitions to triple the Conservative caucus in Quebec realistic?
CTVNews.ca’s Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss how politicians on both sides of the border are reacting to calls for racial justice and what new Conservative Party Leader Erin O’Toole needs to do to make himself known to Canadians. Also, Nik looks ahead to what we can expect to see on election night in the U.S.
CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss whether Chrystia Freeland is now the most powerful minister since the Second World War, and if the Liberal speech from the throne will contain something that will trigger an election. Also, the pair discuss the Conservative leadership race. And, why are Canadians feeling more anger towards the federal government?
CTVNews.ca’s Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss how Canadians feel about transitioning to a green economy during the pandemic; if the recent upward trend in consumer confidence will remain after CERB ends; and did Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s testimony before a Commons committee help or hurt the Liberals?
CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how the WE scandal is impacting support for the Liberals and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau; a look at how parties try to “crowd out” the news cycle; and how recent surveys show Canadians are at a tipping point when it comes to dealing with China.
CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the government's historic fiscal snapshot that revealed a projected deficit in the hundreds of billions; why an overwhelming majority of Canadians want to keep the border closed; and latest numbers that show just how divided we are when it comes to how to fix systemic racism in the RCMP.
CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how concern over the coronavirus is fluctuating in Canada; what strong Liberal numbers mean for a possible early election call; and Nik makes a prediction on how collaborative the government will be over the next few months.
Guest host Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the calls for politicians to go beyond “pretty words” when it comes to anti-Black racism; if mixed messaging will undo the goodwill political leaders earned during the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic; and the hesitations Canadians still have to reopening the border.
CTV News' Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss why Prime Minister Justin Trudeau may keep up his regular COVID-19 press conferences and if the coronavirus is still a top concern for Canadians. Also, did someone say Stephen Harper?
Nik and Michael discuss where Canadians stand on the U.S. border; and how the economy is rebounding as a top concern. Want to see the data? You can watch Trend Line on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLLzHOgGvydCmsZNyECKYu2uhESwTTz1Rs
Nik and Michael discuss how COVID-19 is impacting consumer confidence and why some Conservative critiques of the federal government’s response might not be resonating with Canadians.
Nik and Michael talk about the ‘toxic cocktail of anxiety’ in Canada with the COVID-19 pandemic, market turmoil and how the federal government can ease Western alienation. Note: This episode was recorded on Thursday, March 12.
Nik and Michael discuss a study on how Canadians view using taxpayer money to buy Trans Mountain and how the Trudeau government has responded to blockades supporting the Wet’suwet’en Nation. Also, the Conservatives are gaining in the polls as they choose their new leader.
Nik and Michael discuss a tracking study on how Canadians are feeling about the government. And it's not good news lately for the Libs. Also, Nik reacts after Peter MacKay’s communications team abruptly ends an interview with CTV News.
Jan. 23: Nik and Michael discuss the Conservative leadership race, and why some candidates have already begun dropping out. And what's in a beard? Nik weight in on why it's of note when a prime minister sprouts facial hair.
Shortly after recording this episode Rona Ambrose announced that she would not be entering the Conservative leadership race. You can see more on her announcement here: http://ctv.news/YkE1e0C
Dec. 6: Nik and Michael break down the throne speech and take a look at what the preferred PM numbers say about Andrew Scheer's precarious position as the leader of the Conservative party. Plus, Nik reacts to the latest overseas "communications malfunction" from PM Trudeau.
Also, this episode will be the final one of the season. We'll be back in 2020!
Nik and Michael discuss how the Liberals have dug deep within their talent pool to form a new federal cabinet and whether the shuffle will be enough to heal some of the divisions in the country. Also, Nik gets into what may be behind the promotion of several MPs from Quebec.
We're back! Nik and Michael discuss the fallout from the federal election and take a look at the criticisms of Andrew Scheer's campaign. Also, reaction to May's resignation and the future of the Green Party.
Nik and Michael take you behind the scenes of CTV News' coverage of the 2019 federal election.
Oct. 21: Nik and Michael discuss the final survey before election day and if the deadlock means a minority government is all but certain. Also, Nik discusses his winners and losers of the campaign.
Note: The numbers discussed in this episode are from a survey conducted and released on Oct. 20, 2019.
Oct. 18: Michael and Nik discuss the possibility of a minority government and if strategic voting will be a factor in Monday’s vote. Also, Nik puts on his political hard hat to review how the NDP, Greens and Bloc might act in a minority parliament.
Note: While discussing minority governments and federal elections in the 2000s, Nik mentions 2010. There was no federal election in 2010, but there was a minority Conservative government at the time. The next federal election was in 2011, which gave the Conservatives under Stephen Harper a majority government.
Oct. 16: Nik and Michael discuss the record number of Canadians that voted in the advanced polls and the latest numbers from Ontario and Quebec. For the takeaway, Nik tried to pick who is going to win the election.
Oct. 7: Nik and Michael discuss what’s driving the ‘Singh surge’ and if it will translate into more NDP MPs. Also, Nik discusses what the Commons would look like if the election were held today.
For more election coverage, go to election.ctvnews.ca.
Nik and Michael discuss the number of ridings that are too close to call and if party platforms will have an impact in this election. Also, is there anything the leading parties can do to break this tie?
Look for a new episode on Monday after Nik takes a look at the numbers that came in over Thanksgiving weekend.
Nik and Michael discuss the fallout from the English-language leaders’ debate and how NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh’s brand may have been the victor. Note: Nik refers to the debate as last night, but it was of course on Oct. 7. This episode was recorded on Oct. 9.
Nik and Michael discuss ‘knock-out’ punches, the impact of debates and what Canadians might be looking for from the leaders. Also, Nik looks at where each leader will be focusing their attention.
Nik and Michael discuss the storm clouds that are on the horizon in Ontario and how voters might be reacting to secondary issues on the campaign trail. Also, where did all the Green support go?
This episode was recorded on the morning of Oct. 4.
Nik and Michael answer a question from a CTV News viewer and discuss why the best analogy for this election may be a bad hockey game. Also, Nik drills down into the latest polling from Quebec.
Nik and Michael discuss the record support for the Green Party and who's feeling the 'Greta effect' on the campaign trail.
Nik and Michael discuss the latest numbers, the party leaders attending climate protests and the new polling results from Ontario. This episode was recorded in the morning on Sept. 27.
Nik and Michael discuss why votes for the Bloc Quebecois could decide who forms the next government. We're also two weeks into the election — time for an interim report card!
Michael and Nik discuss the latest fallout from Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau’s brownface and blackface images, why it was an interesting weekend for several parties and why we can think of Ontario as ‘three provinces’ when it comes to the polling numbers.
Nik and Michael discuss how the controversy over racist images of Justin Trudeau is showing up in the polls and some of the regional races that are heating up. Nik also explains what is actually happening when NDP and Green support goes down and Conservative support goes up.
Nik and Michael discuss the latest tracking numbers, where the support for the Conservatives might be coming from and if the Liberal campaign is using a rope-a-dope strategy.
Michael and Nik take a look at the daily Nanos tracking numbers and discuss where the Conservatives may have gained support to pull ahead of the Liberals in a statistical tie.
You can find Nik's daily tracking numbers at www.ctvnews.ca and http://www.nanos.co.
Nik and Michael discuss the start of the campaign, why the NDP’s communication strategy may be on point and how Bill 21 could serve as a lifeline for the Bloc Quebecois.
Daily tracking numbers come out Saturday, Sept. 14. See them on ctvnews.ca or nanos.co
Nik and Michael go on a cross-country tour to see where each party stands. Also, Nik explains why Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer may become a familiar face in the 905 and why B.C. may keep us up late on election night.
This episode was recorded on September 3.
Nik and Michael discuss the political fallout from a bombshell report from the ethics commissioner and what it will mean in October. Also, does this situation seem somewhat familiar? We dust off the archive tape to discuss the impact of an RCMP report from 2006 that may have helped turn the tide for the Conservatives.
Michael and Nik discuss a survey that illuminates the negative sentiment felt across the country towards the federal government; Nik makes an election strategy prediction; and will the Greens benefit from the pessimism? Take that boomers!
Correction note: The podcast cites a 20-point difference for anger sentiment numbers when comparing the Prairies to the rest of Canada. The difference is actually 14 percentage points.
Nik and Michael discuss what’s driving the change in the federal Liberal polling numbers, and a survey that shows Canadians want the government to explore diplomacy to ease tensions with China. Also, what you should think about when looking at surveys. How can you trust them?
Trend Line, a new podcast from CTV News, will be publishing once every two weeks in the summer and three times a week during the upcoming federal election. Subscribe now!