Macro Musings with David Beckworth: Recent Episodes
Mercatus Center at George Mason University
Hosted by David Beckworth of the Mercatus Center, Macro Musings is a podcast which pulls back the curtain on the important macroeconomic issues of the past, present, and future.
Gianluca Benigno is a professor of economics at the University of Lausanne. Previously, he was a senior economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and an economist at the Bank of England. Gianluca returns to the program to discuss financial r-star, the changing landscape of central bank balance sheets, the unique challenges facing the Swiss National Bank, how stablecoins could affect Treasury markets and the demand for reserves, the return of nonlinear inflation, its implications for monetary policy, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 22nd, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Gianluca Benigno on X: @BenignoGianluca
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:41 - R-Double-Star 00:04:10 - Central Bank Balance Sheets 00:09:22 - Swiss National Bank 00:32:05 - Working Paper on the Regulation of Stablecoins 00:45:41 - Inflation 00:53:19 - Outro
Barry Eichengreen is a is well known author, economist, and economic historian from the University of California, Berkeley. Paul Blustein is a former Washington Post and Wall Street Journal journalist who has authored several acclaimed books on global economic institutions. Brendan Greeley is a veteran journalist from the Financial Times and current PhD student at Princeton studying monetary history. They all return to the show for a special roundtable discussion where they discuss the history of dominant currencies, whether we will always end up with a single reserve currency, whether monetary sovereignty is earned or given, the question of exorbitant privilege, what there is to do about a second China Shock, the future of dollars in the digital age, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 11th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Barry Eichengreen on X: @B_Eichengreen
Follow Paul Blustein on X: @PaulBlustein
Follow Brendan Greeley on X: @BHGreeley
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:01 - On Each Author's Book
00:11:12 - Globally Dominant Currencies
00:25:37 - Single Reserve Currency
00:28:34 - Fed's Control Over Global Dollar System
00:38:39 - Exorbitant Privilege
00:46:30 - China Shock 2.0
00:49:23 - Future of the Global Dollar System
00:58:16 - Outro
David Wessel is a senior fellow in economic studies at Brookings and is the director of the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy. In David's first appearance on the show, he discusses stories of the Greenspan Fed, what is was like in Europe when the euro was adopted, the legacy of the Powell Fed, his thoughts on the great man theory, the outlook for the Kevin Warsh Fed, the ongoing challenge of Fed independence, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 15th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow David Wessel on X: @DavidMWessel
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:48 - David's Career
00:19:30 - Legacies of Fed Chairmans
00:31:51 - Kevin Warsh Fed
00:43:34 - Fed Independence
00:55:13 - Outro
Sam Lyman is the head of research at the Bitcoin Policy Institute and formerly was a senior advisor and speechwriter for Treasury Secretary Bessent. In Sam's first appearance on the show, he discusses Secretary Bessent's secret skill, the competition in the digital payments space between the US and China, why the strategic Bitcoin reserve is important, what the future of Bitcoin holds, where things stand with the CLARITY Act, the Q Day conundrum, whether Satoshi Yakamoto is alive or dead, where Sam thinks the anti-AI sentiment is coming from, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 21st, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Sam on X: @SamLyman33
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:49 - Sam's Career
00:05:37 - Nation-States and Digital Payments
00:14:40 - Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
00:18:29 - Future of Bitcoin
00:24:27 - Bitcoin vs. Dollar-Based Stablecoins
00:38:32 - Update on the CLARITY Act
00:44:48 - Quantum Computing
00:49:34 - Satoshi Yakamoto
00:52:20 - Foreign Campaign Against AI
00:57:44 - Outro
Stephan Luck is a Financial Research Advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. In Stephan's first appearance on the show, he discusses how the 2008 Great Financial Crisis shaped his career, how he and his coauthors leverage LLMs to comb through massive amounts of historical data, what this data can teach us about responding to bank failures, what people get wrong when they try and make historical analogies to the GENIUS era, the lessons we can learn from the German hyperinflation, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 1st, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:55 - Stephan's Career
00:11:21 - Bank Failures
00:28:19 - Policy Implications of Bank Failures
00:37:21 - National Banking System
00:46:30 - German Hyperinflation
00:57:06 - Outro
Barry Eichengreen is well known author, economist, and economic historian from the University of California, Berkeley. In Barry's first appearance on the show he discusses a career in untangling the world's monetary history, the origins of his new book Money Beyond Borders: Global Currencies from Croesus to Crypto, the first uses on currencies in the 7th Century BC, the unexpected start of the dollar, how we landed on the central bank model, the dollar's rise to global reserve currency, which if any currencies as poised to take on the dollar, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 27th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Barry on X: @B_Eichengreen
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:17 - Barry's Books
00:10:14 - Money Beyond Borders
00:17:17 - Lydia and Greece
00:20:46 - Renaissance of Credits
00:23:36 - Spanish Silver
00:28:26 - The Emergence of Central Banks
00:38:11 - British Empire vs. Roman Empire
00:43:34 - Dollar as One of the Dominant Reserve Currencies
00:56:29 - Outro
Yesha Yadav is a professor of law, the Milton R. Underwood Chair, the Associate Dean & Robert Belton Director of Culture & Community, and the Co-Faculty Director, Master of Laws (LL.M) Program at the Vanderbilt University Law School. Chris Odinet is a professor of law, Mosbacher Research Fellow, and Affiliate Professor of Finance at Texas A&M University School of Law. Andrea Tosato is professor of law at the Southern Methodist University Dedman School of Law. Yesha, Chris, and Andrea join the show to discuss their avenues into stablecoin regulation, their four-part definition of moneyness (nature of the claim, safety, discharge capacity, and negotiability), how Tether and Circle stack up to these definitions, the stablecoin bankruptcy conundrum, the progress the GENIUS Act made on closing legal loopholes, their prescriptions for policymakers, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 20th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Chris on X: @ChisOdinet
Follow Andrea on X: @Andrea_Tosato
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:26 - Career Backgrounds of Chris, Yesha, and Andrea
00:02:35 - Background on the Paper
00:06:52 - Structure of Money
00:17:33 - Moneyness: Nature of the Claim
00:22:37 - Moneyness: Safety
00:23:45 - Moneyness: Discharge Capacity
00:30:50 - Moneyness: Negotiability
00:31:55 - How Stablecoins Currently Hold Up in Moneyness
00:58:18 - Recommendations to Policymakers
01:10:51 - Outro
Jeffrey Lacker is the former president of the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank and is a senior affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center. Jeff returns to the show to discuss the history of the Fed Treasury Accord, the state of fiscal dominance, his five proposals for a new Fed Treasury Accord, his calls for reform around the discount window, a memorial to his friend and colleague Charlie Plosser, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 20th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:56 - Fed Treasury Accord
00:18:26 - Fiscal Dominance
00:22:05 - Jeff's Five Proposals
00:49:05 - Charlie Plosser
00:55:49 - Outro
Nik Bhatia is an author of two economics books, a visiting fellow at the Bitcoin Policy Institute and the founder of The Bitcoin Layer. In Nik's first appearance on the podcast, he discusses his niche in the Bitcoin community, the role of Bitcoin as a transaction asset, the threat or lack thereof of quantum computing on Bitcoin, his issues with the current eurodollar market, his new proposal to use stablecoins as statecraft, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 5th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Nik X: @Timevalueofbtc
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:49 - Nik's Career and Background
00:12:32 - Crypto Assets for Transactions
00:18:28 - Quantum Computing and Bitcoin
00:24:08 - Stablecoins as Statecraft
00:58:36 - Outro
Bryan Cutsinger is an assistant professor of economics at the College of Business at Florida Atlantic University. Peter Ireland is a professor of Economics at Boston College. Will Luther is an associate professor of economics at the College of Business at Florida Atlantic University and is the director of the American Institute for Economic Research's Sound Money Project. Bryan, Peter, and Will return to the show to discuss the big takeaways from the 2025 Fed framework review, the flip flopping of FIT to FAIT back to FIT, the biggest lessons from the 2020 Fed framework review, the case for NGDP targeting at the Fed, hope for future reviews, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 6th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Bryan X: @BryanPCutsinger
Follow Peter X: @PIrelandecon
Follow Will X: @WilliamJLuther
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:51 - Origins of Bryan, Will, and Peter's Paper
00:03:40 - Big Takeaways
00:06:14 - The Fed's 2020 Framework Review
00:12:43 - Lessons Learned from 2020 Review
00:14:38 - Nominal GDP Targeting and Productivity Shocks
00:26:59 - Reviewing the Fed's 2025 Framework Review
00:57:20 - Hopes for the Future
01:03:06 - Outro
Brendan Greeley is a veteran journalist from the Financial Times and current PhD student at Princeton studying monetary history. In Brendan's first appearance on the show, he discusses why he went for a PhD after being a journalist for 20 years, why the dollar's history goes far beyond America's founding, when America actually achieved a currency union, the untold origins of the dollar, how Herbert and Lou Hoover's date nights played a role in the history of the dollar, the crucial importance of Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz in understanding the dollar's history, the happy accident of Eurodollars, what the future of dollars looks like, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 4th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Brendan X: @BHGreeley
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:12 - Brendan's Career
00:06:27 - How Old Is the Dollar?
00:25:24 - Where Did the Dollar Start?
00:38:11 - The Modern Dollar
00:57:08 - Future of the Dollar
01:01:59 - Outro
David Zaring is legal scholar and professor at the University of Pennsylvania. In David's first appearance on the show, he discusses the role the Great Financial Crisis played in FinReg scholarship, how he came up with the term "skinny" in the new skinny Fed master accounts, the tumultuous road of Custodia vs. the Fed, a reimagined way to look at federal bank charters, whether commerce and banking are actually still separate, Fed independence and how it functions in a more corporatist model, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on April 24th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow David Zaring X: @ZaringDavid
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:04 - The Great Financial Crisis and FinReg Scholarship
00:04:58 - David's Experience with Fintech Charter Litigation
00:17:18 - Skinny Charters
00:37:16 - How to Govern the Fed
00:55:10 - Outro
Bill Beach is the former commissioner of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and the current executive director of the Fiscal Lab on Capitol Hill. In Bill's first appearance on the show he discusses a career in and around public service, the important niche his new organization fills, the frightening fiscal outlook of the United States, exactly how long we have before Social Security runs out, why he believes it will take lots of small changes instead of a big one to fix our fiscal outlook, the important role of the BLS, why our statistical methods needs reform, the most underrated economic statistical indicators, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on April 15th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Bill Beach X: @BeachWW453
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:25 - Bill's Career
00:10:11 - Fiscal Lab on Capitol Hill
00:17:23 - Fiscal Challenges of the United States
00:30:05 - Surveys from Bureau of Labor Statistics
00:43:12 - Challenges to Survey Work
00:52:13 - Outro
Tyler Goodspeed is the former chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors and is currently a chief economist in the private sector. In Tyler's first appearance on the podcast he discusses his new book highlighting a different way of looking at recessions, the challenge of breaking away from the human inclination of ascribing patterns to random phenomena, whether recessions are more Dorian Gray or Peter Pan, what history and stories like Jay Cooke tell us about recessions, how to evaluate supply side shocks and the 2008 Financial Crisis, why Milton Friedman's Plucking model might be the best we have at modeling recessions, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on April 15th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:43 - Recessions
00:07:07 - Epiphanies or Apophanies
00:26:40 - Peter Pan vs. Dorian Gray
00:33:40 - Jay Cooke and the Railroad
00:39:00 - Models of Recessions
00:47:55 - Supply Shocks
00:50:12 - Recessions in Different Places
01:00:25 - Outro
Recorded live in front of the Wharton Financial Regulation Conference, former guest Peter Conti-Brown joins David Beckworth as a Macro Musings co-host on this week's episode. Peter and David discuss the inflection point of 2008 in FinReg scholarship, how Macro Musings has become just as much a show about financial regulation as about macro, what to make of the Trump administrations changes to bank supervision, whether we should be enthusiastic about the GENIUS Act and digital assets, the true identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the crisis that could become Claude Mythos, why networks and Substacks are becoming more important, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on April 10th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:29 - History of Financial Regulation
00:04:23 - Monetary Policy vs. Financial Regulation
00:07:48 - Bank Supervision
00:11:59 - Digital Assets
00:22:48 - Claude Mythos and Banking
00:30:35 - The Market Argument for the Discount Window
00:35:44 - Academia vs. Real-World Impact
00:40:28 - Audience Q&A
00:54:16 - Outro
Basil Halperin is an assistant professor of economics at the University of Virginia. In Basil's first appearance on the show he discusses the famous but flawed Citrini essay, why Silicon Valley's growth expectations aren't showing up yet in interest rates, the impact of Less Than Zero by George Selgin, what the true frictions in the economy are, the differences between Calvo and menu-cost pricing, the impact of transformational AI on emerging economies and the housing market, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 27th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Basil Halperin on X: @BasilHalperin
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:20 - Global Intelligence Crisis
00:07:04 - Transformative AI and Interest Rates
00:21:05 - Optimal Monetary Policy Under Menu Costs
00:48:13 - Transformative AI and its Macro Implications
00:55:41 - Outro
Rich Clarida was the vice chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and is currently a professor of economics at Columbia University and a managing director at PIMCO. Rich returns to the program to discuss whether we give the Fed too little credit for its soft landing, the problem of persistent inflation, how the Fed should respond to rapidly succeeding negative supply shocks, the case for nominal GDP, the state of the Fed's balance sheet, why a synthetic FOMC could help the real FOMC, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 31st, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:03:59 - Persistent Inflation
00:11:14 - Inflation Expectations
00:18:34 - Responding to Negative Supply Shocks
00:29:38 - Nominal GDP
00:34:59 - Fed's Balance Sheet
00:45:20 - Synthetic FOMCs
00:51:36 - Outro
Kris Mitchener is a professor of economics at Santa Clara University and is an economic and monetary historian. In Kris's first appearance on the show, he discusses how he fell in love with building data sets out of old dusty archives, the origins and fall of bimetallism, the pros and cons of the gold standard, the problem of operating losses on the Fed's balance sheet, what truly anchors the price level, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 4th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:33 - Kris' Career Path
00:06:32 - What Is Bimetallism?
00:14:41 - The Gold Standard
00:28:55 - Disinflation Policies and Central Bank Finances
00:49:25 - What Anchors the Price Level
00:55:22 - Outro
Steve Kamin is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and was previously the director of the Division of International Finance at the Federal Reserve Board. Mark Sobel is the US chairman of the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum and is a veteran of the US Department of Treasury. Steve and Mark return to the show to discuss the status of dollar dominance, the future threats to dollar dominance, the role or lack thereof that stablecoins will play in dollar dominance, the new findings in the Treasury Foreign Exchange Report, the current state of tariffs, whether we are in a second China shock, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 5th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Steve Kamin on X: @Steven_Kamin
Follow Mark Sobel on X: @Sobel_Mark
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:26 - Termites Eating Away at Dollar Dominance
00:16:52 - Future Threats to Dollar Dominance
00:19:47 - Stablecoins and Dollar Dominance
00:33:40 - Treasury Foreign Exchange Report
00:44:28 - Tariff Policy
00:53:25 - Second China Shock?
01:00:38 - Outro
Ruth Judson is a monetary economist, economic historian, and veteran of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. In Ruth's first appearance on the show she discusses her career at the Fed, field trips tracking counterfeit dollars around the global, how we know how much currency is held overseas, why money doesn't matter anymore, the problem with cashless societies, how to understand TIC data, the promise of dollar backed stablecoins, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 4th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:13 - Ruth at the Fed
00:08:09 - Currency
00:31:29 - Counterfeits
00:39:00 - TIC Data and Safe Assets
00:44:18 - Dollar-Based Stablecoins
00:49:55 - Outro
Bill Nelson is a chief research officer and chief economist at the Bank Policy Institute. In Bill's 10th appearance on the show he discusses his infamous email list, the ratchet effect from QE, his congressional testimony, the BPI's Bank Treasurers Survey, how he thinks the Fed should shrink the balance sheet, whether the Fed is profitable, and much more.
Watch the full length video on our new YouTube Channel!
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 3rd, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:00 - Quantitative Easing Ratchet Effect
00:16:31 - Bill's Congressional Testimony
00:31:12 - BPI's Bank Treasurers Survey
00:37:37 - How To Shrink the Balance Sheet
00:48:44 - The Fed's Profits
00:54:50 - Outro
Subscribe to the new Macro Musings YouTube Channel!
Neha Narula is the director of the Digital Currency Initiative which is based out of the Media Lab at MIT. Anders Brownworth is veteran software engineer in the crypto space and is a Senior Research Advisor at DCI. Daniel Aronoff is Research Affiliate in the MIT Department of Economics and a Collaborator at DCI. Neha, Anders, and Daniel join the show to discuss their work at DCI, the current state of stablecoins, their paper on the hidden plumbing of stablecoins, the basic mechanics of stablecoins, the technical and operational risks of stablecoins, the implications for the treasury market, interoperability between blockchains, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on February 27th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Neha Narula on X: @Neha
Follow Anders Brownworth on X: @Anders94
Follow Daniel Aronoff on X: @DanAronoff
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:41 - Background of the Group
00:03:11 - Digital Currency Initiative
00:05:36 - State of Stablecoins
00:10:42 - Hidden Plumbing of Stablecoins
00:15:42 - Basic Mechanics of Stablecoins
00:26:07 - Technical and Operational Risks of Stablecoins
00:39:09 - Implications for the Treasury Market
00:48:18 - Business Model of Stablecoins
00:49:24 - Interoperability Between Blockchains
00:52:53 - What's the Deal with Tether?
00:56:23 - Outro
Subscribe to the new Macro Musings YouTube Channel!
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde is a professor of economics at the University of Pennsylvania. Jesús returns to the show to discuss his rise on X, how to frame global demographic decline, the three accelerants of demographic decline, the role of housing in family size, how AI will play a role in global demographics, what we know about AGI, the question of dollar dominance, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on February 20th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Jesús Fernández-Villaverde on X: @JesusFerna7026
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:07:22 - Demographics
00:39:28 - Artificial Intelligence
00:54:07 - Currency Dominance
01:03:20 - Outro
Subscribe to the new Macro Musings YouTube Channel!
Chris Meissner is a professor of economics at University of California at Davis and is the author of the recent book One from the Many: The Global Economy Since 1850. In Chris's first appearance on the podcast he discusses the historical bend towards greater globalization, how we should really define the global economy, the impact of the Great Financial Crisis on globalization and populism, the scope of globalization from the 1820's to today, the validity of the China Shock, the United States' current move away from globalization, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on February 19th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Chris Meissner on X: @CmicMeissner
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:50 - History Tends Toward Globalization
00:05:55 - What Is the Global Economy?
00:19:08 - Great Financial Crisis
00:22:15 - First Wave of Globalization: 1820–1914
00:29:42 - Interwar Period: 1918–1938
00:40:51 - Post-War Bretton Woods Arrangement
00:49:36 - The China Shock
00:55:40 - Detour from Globalization
00:59:44 - Outro
Subscribe to the new Macro Musings YouTube Channel!
Raghuram Rajan is a finance professor at the University of Chicago and leads the Group of 30. Previously he was the chief economist at the IMF and the governor of the Reserve Bank of India. In Raghuram's first appearance on the show, he discusses his famous 2005 Jackson Hole speech, how he righted the ship on India's emerging economy, the consequences of zero-sum thinking, the differences between being a policymaker and an academic, the ratcheting effect of QE on the Fed's balance sheet, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 20th, 2026
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:58 - Raghu's Career
00:22:20 - Policymaker Versus Academic
00:29:00 - Ratcheting Effect of Quantitative Easing
01:01:06 - Outro
Andrew Martinez is a former Treasure economist and currently is an assistant professor of economics at American University. In Andrew's first appearance on the show, he discusses his career as a forecaster, the current state of forecasting, the intersection of AI and forecasting, the role of the SEP and monetary policy surprises, his work with David on the NGDP Gap measure, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 13th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:20 - Andrew's Career
00:08:36 - State of Forecasting
00:20:19 - AI and Forecasting
00:29:34 - The SEP and Monetary Policy Surprises
00:41:07 - Nominal GDP/Expectations Gap
00:54:56 - Outro
Dan Awrey is a professor of Law at Cornell University and the author of the new book Beyond Banks: Technology, Regulation, and the Future of Money. Dan returns to the show to discuss his new book, the shadow monetary system, the case for markets to correct this problem, Gresham's new law, his proposals for fixing the payments system, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 13th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Dan Awrey on X: @DanAwrey
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:16 - Beyond Banks
00:16:04 - Shadow Monetary System
00:26:07 - Can't Markets Solve Payment Problems?
00:28:16 - Gresham's New Law
00:40:27 - Dan's Proposal for Money and Payments
00:55:51 - Outro
Scott Sumner is the Ralph G. Hawtrey Chair Emeritus of Monetary Policy and the founder of the Monetary Policy Program at Mercatus. Scott returns to the show, to discuss his life post Mercatus, nominal GDP counterfactuals of the pandemic and the Great Financial Crisis, the role of QE in inflation, the fears about Fed independence, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 15th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:34 - Scott's Life Post Mercatus
00:05:28 - Nominal GDP Targeting
00:19:53 - Quantitative Easing
00:38:28 - Fed Framework Review
00:42:36 - Fed Independence
01:04:33 - Outro
Tyler Muir is a professor of finance at UCLA. In Tyler's first appearance on the show, he discusses how he became a leading scholar on quantitative easing, what things the Fed can learn in responding to crises, why QE matters, how QE transformed the bond market, the new "Tyler Rule", QE's role in the COVID Pandemic, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 8th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Tyler Muir on X: @TylerMuir
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:33 - Tyler's Background
00:08:36 - Financial Crisis and Risk Premium
00:14:40 - Intermediaries and Asset Prices
00:22:18 - QE and Why It Matters
00:28:40 - QE and the Bond Market
00:32:38 - The Tyler Rule
00:37:51 - When Selling Goes Viral
00:41:01 - QE During COVID
00:49:26 - Shrinking the Fed's Balance Sheet
00:55:03 - Outro
Richard Berner is the former director of the Office of Financial Research and was a counselor of the Treasury Secretary. In Richard's first appearance on the show, he discusses a career that included public service and Wall Street, the fragility of global liquidity, the implications of fiscal dominance, the expansion of private credit, the 2023 SVB banking turmoil, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 7th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:57- Dick's Career
00:07:46 - Fragility of Global Liquidity
00:17:29 - Post-GFC Regulations
00:25:29 - Fiscal Dominance
00:36:23 - Private Credit
00:48:09 - Banking Turmoil of 2023
01:01:149 - Outro
Aaron Klein is a senior fellow in economic studies at the Brookings Institution. Aaron returns to the show to discuss his paper with George Selgin calling for real time payments, the inequality caused by the Fed's current payment processes, the results of Covid time QE, recommendations for dealing with future crises, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on December 11th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Aaron Klein on X: @AarondKlein
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:06- Faster Payments
00:29:09 - Fed Governance
00:30:35 - Quantitative Easing and Housing Inflation Post-COVID
00:52:16 - Fed Assets
01:01:149 - Outro
Per Åsberg Sommar is a senior advisor in the markets department at the Swedish central bank. In Per's first appearance on the show, he discusses his career as a central banker, the history of the Riksbank, evolutions in inflation targeting at the Riksbank, changes in the Sweden's central banks operating system, its new tool called the Deposit Requirement Facility, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on December 12th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:08 - Per's Career
00:04:02 - Riksbank
00:09:07 - Inflation Targeting at Riksbank
00:11:56 - Riksbank's Operating System
00:15:39 - Certificate of Deposits
00:33:42 - Quantitative Tightening
00:36:42 - The Deposit Requirement Facility
00:45:38 - Other Central Banks and Demand-Driven Systems
00:58:16 - Outro
David Beckworth and producer Sam Alburger dive into the last year of Macro Musings. They discuss David's foray into Substack, their favorite episodes of the year, the most popular episodes of 2025, David's push for NGDP targeting, this year's most hotly contested episode, how the year 2025 will be remembered in macro history, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on December 10th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:16 - Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
00:12:24 - David's All-Star AI FOMC
00:14:46 - Most Entertaining Economist Debate
00:16:46 - Underrated or Favorite Episodes
00:24:30 - Most Popular Episodes
00:26:15 - The Push for Nominal GDP Targeting
00:32:10 - Accountability at the Fed
00:36:23 - Bitcoin Policy Summit
00:40:28 - Macro Musings at the Atlanta Federal Reserve
00:44:32 - Review of 2024 in Macro
00:47:17 - Macro in 2025
00:51:40 - Thank You
00:55:48 - Outro
Veronique de Rugy is the George Gibbs Chair in Political Economy and a Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. In Veronique's first appearance on Macro Musings she discusses her career as a think tanker's think tanker, what the difference is between classical liberals and libertarians, how America's mindset has shifted on trade and immigration, the fiscal health of the United States, the US's impending debt crises, solutions for fixing the fiscal health of the United States, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on November 18th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Veronique on X: @VerodeRugy
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:18 - Vero's Career
00:17:35 - Vero's Career
00:24:32 - Fiscal Policy at Mercatus
00:40:59 - Steps Toward a Sustainable Fiscal Path
00:48:34 - Flattening the Debt Curve
00:59:13- Outro
Martha Gimbel is the executive director and co-founder of the Budget Lab at Yale. In Martha's first appearance on the show, she discusses the missing BLS job market data, the consequences of losing two months of labor market data, the impact of AI on the labor market in the short and long term, why it is hard to determine which job sectors AI will impact first, why people will keep learning foreign languages, the future impact tariffs will have on the economy, why US treasuries might get left for the hometown guy in a Hallmark Christmas movie, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on November 19th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Martha on X: @MarthaGimbel
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:48 - The Budget Lab at Yale
00:05:34 - Missing Government Data
00:14:21 - Artificial Intelligence
00:44:49 - Trade Wars
00:54:51 - Outro
Laurence Bristow is a former staffer at the Reserve Bank of Australia and currently is a Vice President and Research Associate at the Bank Policy Institute. In Laurence's first appearance on the show, he discusses the differences between the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Fed, The RBA's change in operating systems, what a demand driven system actually looks like, the motivation for the RBA to make this change, calls for changes to the operating system within the Fed, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on November 20th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:22 - Laurie's Career
00:05:15 - Reserve Bank of Australia
00:11:33 - RBA's New Monetary Policy Implementation System
00:17:28 - What Is a Demand-Driven System?
00:26:02 - Interbank Market
00:31:33 - Motivations for a Demand-Driven System
00:40:10 - Bank Policy Institute Money Market Symposium
00:52:36 - Outro
Austin Campbell runs Zero Knowledge Group, a consulting and advising firm in the digital assets space and is an adjunct professor at New York University's Stern School of Business. In Austin's first appearance on the show, he discusses what comes next after the GENIUS Act, the debate with interest-on-reserves when it comes to stablecoins, the future of Tether, Governor Waller's proposal of skinny master accounts, the larger macro implications of stablecoins in Europe and the global South, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on November 14th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Austin on X: @CampbellJAustin
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:38 - Austin's Career
00:04:10 - What Comes After GENIUS?
00:7:26 - Interest and Stablecoins
00:12:30 - Tokenized Deposits
00:17:01 - Future of Tether
00:29:27 - Skinny Master Account
00:35:23 - Stablecoin Regulation
00:48:46 - Macro Implications
00:54:58 - Future of the Financial System
00:57:58 - Outro
Mike Bird is the Wall Street editor for The Economist magazine and is the author of The Land Trap: A New History of the World's Oldest Asset. Mike returns to the show to discuss the conclusion of Abenomics, the origins of land as an asset, the surge in housing prices during the COVID-19 Pandemic, the unsuspecting story of Wolf Ladejinsky, how housing impacted Japan's lost decade, the modern history of land in China, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on November 4th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Mike on X: @Birdyword
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:27 - Abenomics
00:04:32 - Motivations for The Land Trap
00:7:58 - Land as a Different Kind of Asset
00:14:55 - COVID-19 Housing Prices
00:20:42 - Land as an Enduringly Important Asset
00:24:34 - Wolf Ladejinsky
00:37:14 - Japan from 1980s Onward
00:47:28 - Land in China
00:56:36 - Henry George
01:00:42 - Outro
Lukasz Rachel is a former Bank of England economist and currently is an assistant professor of economics at the University College of London. In Lukasz's first appearance on the show he discusses his big career breaks, the implications of secular stagnation in the industrialized world, what is next for R-star, what non-Ricardian macro policy looks like, his policy prescriptions for the US, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on October 29th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Lukasz on X: @LukaszRachel
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:42 - Lukasz's Career
00:07:30 - Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World
00:21:08 - What Next for R-Star?
00:36:11 - Brothers in Arms: Monetary-Fiscal Interactions
00:49:53 - Policy Recommendations
00:51:03 - Outro
Tara Sinclair is a professor and chair of the economics department at George Washington University. Tara returns to the show to discuss her ambitious paper simulating an FOMC meeting before it happens with LLM models, the process of building sim FOMC members, the importance of publicly funding economic data, the future of AI and macroeconomics, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on October 27th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Tara on X: @TaraSinc
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:44 - Data and Policymaking
00:05:28 - Federal Forecasters Conference
00:08:01 - FOMC in Silico
00:32:56 - Future Applications
00:38:29 - Broader Implications
00:42:57 - Central Bank Governance and AI
00:51:40 - Outro
Bryan Cutsinger is a monetary historian and an assistant professor of economics at Florida Atlantic University. Bryan returns to the show to discuss how we think about deflation, the history of growth driven deflation, the connection between the postbellum period and today, the potential of rapid productivity growth from AI, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on September 23rd, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Bryan on X: @BryanPCutsinger
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:04:41 - Rethinking Deflation
00:35:48 - Rapid Productivity Growth from AI
00:46:35 - Tolerating Deflation
00:55:28 - Outro
Will Roberds is an economist emeritus of the research department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Steve Quinn is a professor of economics at Texas Christian University. In Will and Steve's first appearance on the show they discuss the historical significance of the Bank of Amsterdam, The use of ledger at the Bank of Amsterdam, It's use of repo and open market operations, it's connection to central banking today, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on September 23rd, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:53 - Bank of Amsterdam
00:10:31 - Bank of Amsterdam's Ledger
00:32:09 - Motivations
00:36:49 - Seven Years' War
00:40:53 - The Repo Versus the Open Market
00:56:30 - Outro
Jim Clouse is a veteran of the Federal Reserve System and is currently a fellow at the Andersen Institute. In Jim's first appearance on the show, he discusses the evolution of monetary rules at the Fed, what happened at the Fed during Y2K, 9/11, the Great Financial Crisis, and the COVID Pandemic, the ever changing stigma of the discount window, Ted Cruz's calls to end interest on reserves, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on September 11th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:03:16 - Jim's Career
00:05:38 - Monetary Rules at the Fed
00:09:12 - Increasing Transparency at the Fed
00:17:25 - Y2K and the Fed
00:26:19 - Discount Window
00:32:21 - Global Financial Crisis
00:39:10 - Covid Pandemic
00:46:10 - Jim's Current Research
01:00:31 - Outro
Manmohan Singh is the editor-in-chief of the Journal of Financial Markets Infrastructure. Manmohan returns to the show to discuss whether money still matters, the impacts of the GENIUS ACT, the lobbying show down over stablecoins in the US, stablecoins impact on the Eurodollar market, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week's episode, now with links.
Recorded on September 10th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:12 - Does Money Still Matter?
00:10:33 - Stablecoins
00:37:53 - Stablecoins and the Eurodollar Market
00:53:15 - Outro
Raphael Bostic is the president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. In President Bostic’s first appearance on the show, he discusses his love of birding, what that teaches him about central banking, the unique role of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, switching for FIT to FAIT back to FIT, what to do about inflation, the importance of globalization, rising fiscal pressures, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on September 23rd, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow President Raphasel Bostic on X: @RaphaelBostic
Follow the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta on X: @AtlantaFed
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:34 - Birding
00:06:07 - Birding's Connection to Central Banking
00:09:05 - Atlanta Fed
00:15:27 - Fed Framework Revisions
00:24:31 - Inflation
00:32:23 - Forecasted Long-Run Federal Funds Rate
00:37:43 - Globalization
00:39:13 - Fiscal Pressures
01:03:39 - Outro
Jon Hartley is a macroeconomist and affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center. Jon returns to the show to discuss the most recent Hoover Monetary Conference, the legacy of John Taylor, why central banks should be using his new measure of r-star, the status of debt management at the US Treasury, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on August 26th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Jon Hartley on X: @Jon_Hartley_
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:05:56 - John Taylor’s Contributions to Economics
00:34:10 - Better Measure of R-Star
00:48:11 - The Government’s Debt Management Policy
01:03:39 - Outro
Marc Giannoni is a managing director and the chief US economist at Barclays Capital. In Marc’s first appearance on the show he discusses working on the 2020 Fed Framework Review, the troubling issues of Fed independence and fiscal dominance, the future of long rates and r-star, his influential 2006 paper about what good monetary policy looks like, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on August 28th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:35 - Marc’s Career
00:06:41 - Fed’s Framework Review
00:20:46 - Fed Independence
00:27:12 - Long-Term Rates
00:43:39 - Has Monetary Policy Become More Effective?
00:55:48 - Outro
Samim Ghamami is former SEC economist. Samim returns to the show to discuss the fiscal trajectory of the US, the outlook of interest rates, the US Treasury market’s impact on inflation, potential reforms to the Treasury market and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on August 5th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Samim on X: @GhamamiSamim
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:42 - Fiscal Trajectory of the US
00:3:55 - Interest Rates
00:21:28 - Inflation
00:39:53 - Treasury Market Reform
00:48:05 - Outro
Jerry Dwyer is a professor emeritus of economics at Clemson, a vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta and is currently a senior fellow at the Bitcoin Policy Institute. In Jerry’s first appearance on the show, he discusses what it was like having Milton Friedman as a mentor, the history of free banking, the status of cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on July 22nd, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Jerry on X: @GPDwyer
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:24 - Jerry’s Career
00:12:01 - Free Banking Period
00:28:37 - Bitcoin and Stablecoins
00:55:44 - Outro
Hester Peirce is a current commissioner at the Securities and Exchange Commission and serves on its crypto task force. Hester returns to the show to discuss her time and role at the SEC, the SEC evolving role in the regulation landscape, the problems with our current state of the financial surveillance, the state of crypto for a regulator’s perspective, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on August 11th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Hester on X: @HesterPeirce
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:56 - Hester’s Career
00:07:57 - Peanut Butter and Watermelon
00:17:37 - Crypto Mom
00:20:49 - GENIUS Act and CLARITY Act
00:22:47 - Crypto Task Force
00:24:04 - Feedback
00:26:53 - Being an SEC Commissioner
00:31:24 - Lane Drifting
00:37:31 - Dissent
00:40:20 - SEC Moving Forward
00:47:03 - Outro
Robin Brooks is a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Robin returns to the show to discuss his previous appearance in March of 2020, life at a think tank, the changing or not-so-much status of the dollar, Trump’s trade war, the current landscape of geoeconomics and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on August 7th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Robin on X: @Robin_J_Brooks
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:50 - Looking Back at the Pandemic War and Fiscal Dominance
00:07:07 - Robin’s Career: From Wall Street to Think Tank
00:18:53 - The Status of the US Dollar
00:27:28 - The Trade War
00:32:40 - Deglobalization
00:39:29 - Geoeconomics
00:47:28 - Secondary Sanctions
00:55:23 - Outro
Aditi Sahasrabuddhe is a political scientist at Brown University and the author of the new book, Banker’s Trust: How Social Relations Avert Global Financial Collapse. In Aditi’s first appearance on the show, she discusses how central bankers’ relationships in the 1920’s impacted the global economy, how the ending of those relationships played a part in the Great Depression, how we can apply those principles to the Great Recession and the present, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on July 30th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:50 - Aditi’s Intellectual Journey
00:03:57 - Louis Franck at the National Bank of Belgium
00:05:46 - Relationships and Crisis
00:11:07 - Central Bank Club
00:17:06 - Central Bankers and the Butterfly Effect
00:22:33 - Montagu Norman and Benjamin Strong
00:32:06 - Émile Moreau
00:34:48 - Japan
00:38:11 - Benjamin Strong and the Great Depression
00:48:55 - Great Financial Crisis
00:51:18 - India
00:55:25 - Jerome Powell the Central Banker
00:58:23 - Outro
Will Luther is an associate professor of economics at Florida Atlantic University and a fellow at the Bitcoin Policy Institute. Josh Hendrickson is a professor of economics and the chair of the economics department at the University of Mississippi. Josh is also a fellow at BPI. Will and Josh return to the show to defend the idea of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, discuss the future of Bitcoin, and contend with the problem of Bitcoiners, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 25th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Will Luther on X: @WilliamJLuther
Follow Josh Hendrickson on X: @RebelEconProf
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:39 - Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
00:23:33 - Future of Bitcoin
00:45:07 - Scaling Bitcoin
00:50:46 - Outro
Rashad Ahmed is a former Treasury and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency financial economist and is currently an economist at the upstart Andresen Institute for Finance and Economics. In Rashad’s first appearance on the show, he discusses the real-world impacts of the GENIUS Act, what US stablecoin regulation means for the rest of the world, the state of crypto adoption, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 27th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Rashad Ahmed on X: @VARshad_
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Bumper
00:00:31 - Intro
00:01:44 - Rashad’s Career
00:07:33 - Global State of Crypto
00:23:48 - Stablecoins and Safe Asset Prices
00:40:00 - Sovereign Default Risk and Cryptocurrency Adoption
00:56:51 - Outro
Paul Kupiec is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. In Paul’s first appearance on the show, he discusses life at a think tank, the insolvency of the Fed, theories on how to fix the Fed’s balance sheet, Ted Cruz’s call to end interest on reserves, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 24th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:14 - Paul’s Career
00:08:12 - Think Tanks
00:10:42 - Current State of the Fed’s Balance Sheet
00:20:22 - The Federal Reserve and Gold
00:23:04 - The Fed’s Unique Accounting
00:39:28 - Ending Interest on Reserve Payments to Banks
00:50:08 - Outro
Check out David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus for a special 500th episode post!
George Hall is a professor of economics at Brandeis University and formerly worked as an economist at the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank. George returns to the show to discuss the current fiscal status of the US, how the Big Beautiful Bill will impact the fiscal outlook going forward, the history of running deficits in the US, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 24th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow George on X: @George_J_Hall
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Bumper
00:00:29 - Intro
00:01:55 - Current US Fiscal Status
00:05:45 - What Is Inflation?
00:10:18 - Fiscal Consequences of the US War with COVID
00:23:21 - World War COVID
00:25:05 - Before and After War
00:34:02 - Financing with Inflation
00:38:47 - World War II Period vs. Today
00:38:47 - World War II Period vs. Today
00:44:19 - Who Bears the Fed’s Losses?
00:47:14 - How to Foot the Big, Beautiful Bill
00:52:10 - Outro
Ben Harris served in numerous high-ranking roles as a public sector economist and is now the vice president and director of economic studies at the Brooking Institution. In Ben’s first appearance on the show, he discusses the fiscal health of the US government, including the rising primary deficient, the impact of the Big Beautiful Bill, the proposition of stablecoins and AI as a solution to our debt, his love of basketball and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 18th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Ben on X: @econ_harris
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:01 - Ben’s Career
00:05:18 - Fiscal Health of the United States
00:07:57 - Big Beautiful Bill
00:12:15 - Debts and Deficits
00:14:47 - Costs and Risks of the Rising US Debt
00:37:05 - Stablecoins as a Potential Solution to US Debt
00:41:49 - Debt Ceiling
00:50:02 - AI and the Economy
00:54:58 - Outro
Luis Garicano is a former member of the European Parliament and a professor at the London School of Economics. In Luis’s first appearance on the show he discusses his new book, Crisis Cycle: Challenges, Evolution, and the future of the Euro, the ever-changing landscape of digital money, his suggested reforms to the Euro, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 18th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Luis on X: @lugaricano
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:55 - Future of Money
00:08:46 - Bank Regulation
00:12:51 - Stablecoins
00:23:35 - Crisis Cycle
00:56:05 - Outro
Mark Blyth is a professor of international economics at Brown University. In Mark’s first appearance on the show, he discusses his new book Inflation: A Guide for Users and Losers, the concept of angrynomics, a new way to look at price controls, demographic decline, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 4th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Mark on X: @MkBlyth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:50 - Angrynomics
00:03:56 - Motivation for ‘Inflation: A Guide for Users and Losers’
00:08:27 - Five Things They Don’t Tell You About Inflation
00:14:32 - Good, Bad, and Ugly Inflation
00:18:14 - Interest Rates and Inflation
00:21:33 - Price Controls
00:26:13 - Stories About Inflation
00:35:03 - Hyperinflation
00:42:24 - Pandemic Inflation
00:58:00 - Disinflation, China, and Demographic Decline
01:00:30 - Recommendations for Policymakers
01:02:00 - Outro
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl is a senior vice president and the senior advisor to President Lorie Logan of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Sam returns to the show to discuss recent macroeconomic conferences in the context of changes in the Treasury market and with central bank operating systems around the globe.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 27th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Bumper
00:00:20 - Intro
00:01:19 - Monetary Policy Conferences
00:03:15 - Role of Nonbank Institutions in the Treasury and Money Markets
00:07:48 - Central Clearing
00:33:19 - Operating Systems in Central Banks
00:49:52 - Outro
Andy Levin is an advisor to many central banks around the world and professor of economics at Dartmouth College. Andy returns to the show for a special bonus episode to discuss his pervious appearance and accompanying policy brief where he calls for an independent inspector general at the Federal Reserve.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on June 10th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:48) – Federal Reserve and an Independent Inspector General
(00:06:50) – Palace of Versailles on the Mall
(00:16:20) – Accountability of the Fed
(00:19:21) – Outro
Sign up for the Bitcoin Policy Summit with our special Macro Musings Discount Code!
Matthew Pines is the executive director of the Bitcoin Policy institute. Matthew returns to the show to discuss the future of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, US stablecoin regulation, geopolitics under Trump, monetary policy at the Fed, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 16th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Matthew Pines on X: @Matthew_Pines
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:54 - Matthew’s Career Path and BPI
00:03:28 - Bitcoin and National Security
00:06:41 - Bitcoin Policy Summit
00:09:24 - State of Crypto Legislation
00:13:13 - Geoeconomics
00:24:17 - The Dollar’s Future
00:31:56 - Stablecoin Use Cases
00:39:29 - Future of Money
00:45:50 - Future of Monetary Policy
00:52:27 - Outro
Peter Conti-Brown is a historian and legal scholar of the Federal Reserve System, and an associate professor at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. Sean Vanatta is a senior lecturer in financial history and policy at the University of Glasgow. Peter and Sean join the show to discuss their new book titled: Private Finance, Public Power: A History of Bank Supervision in America, as well as how powerlifting can be analogized in macroeconomics, and the implications of Trump v. Wilcox.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 27th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:02 - Powerlifting
00:06:17 - Trump v. Wilcox
00:12:27 - Private Finance, Public Power
00:15:18 - Supervision vs. Regulation
00:22:52 - Banking in the Early Republic
00:36:10 - Consolidation of Regulators
00:41:06 - Focus of the Fed
00:45:00 - The Great Depression
00:56:10 - When to Let a Bank Fail
01:02:47 - Outro
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus at the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute, as well as the author of the new book titled False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery, 1933-1947. George returns to the show to discuss the complicated economic history of the Great Depression, how that history has led us to the macro-events of 2008, 2010, and 2020, how we can apply lessons from the Great Depression to macroeconomic policy to the current moment, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 13th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Follow George on X: @GeorgeSelgin
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:25 - Welcoming George Selgin and False Dawn
00:03:25 - Why Another Book on the Great Depression?
00:06:37 - The New Deal’s Role in Recovery from the Great Depression
00:08:50 - Myths About the New Deal Overview of the Great Depression
00:12:30 - Measuring Unemployment
00:16:42 - The Gold Standard and the Great Depression
00:27:05 - Helpful: Suspension of the Gold Standard and the Bank Holiday
00:35:47 - Unhelpful: Reconstruction Finance Corporation
00:38:02 - Helpful: Creation of the Home Owners Loan Corporation
00:42:31 - Unhelpful: The National Recovery Administration
00:48:42 - Unhelpful: Fiscal and Monetary Policy and Ignoring Keynes
00:57:17 - Lessons for Today: Uncertainty
01:00:56 - The Lesson of Level Targeting
01:06:42 - Breaching Contracts
01:11:40 - Outro
Daniel Bunn is the president and CEO of the Tax Foundation. In Daniel’s first appearance on the show, he discusses the history of tax models, the threat that tariffs make to the US economy, where we currently stand with budget reconciliation, how he would fix the tax code if he was president, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on May 2nd, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Follow Daniel on X: @DanielBunn
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:01) – Daniel’s Background and the Tax Foundation
(00:03:35) – Tax Foundation’s Model
(00:7:38) – History of Tax Models
(00:14:26) – Fiscal Condition of the United States
(00:19:24) – Tariffs and Revenue
(00:35:55) – Budget Resolution
(00:45:43) – Daniel’s Proposed Solutions
(00:49:10) – Outro
Luca Fornaro is a senior researcher at CREI and professor at both UPF and the Barcelona School of Economics. In Luca’s first appearance on the show, he discusses his expansive work on, hysteresis, stagnation traps, endogenous growth, aggregate demand policies, the medium run, population growth and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on April 23th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Follow Luca on X: @LucaFornaro3
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:00:51) – Luca’s Background
(00:03:19) – Hysteresis
(00:7:23) – Why Talk About Hysteresis Now?
(00:10:55) – Stagnation Trap
(00:16:07) – The Medium Run
(00:22:25) – Managing Expectations with Automatic Stabilizers
(00:28:48) – What About Population Growth?
(00:31:47) – The Empirical Side
(00:39:24) – Directing Capital Flows
(00:42:30) – The Scars of Supply Shocks
(00:48:57) – The Nominal GDP Targeting Solution
(00:51:28) – Fiscal Stagnation
(00:59:21) – Outro
Adam Ozimek is the Chief Economist at the Economic Innovation Group. Adam returns to the show to discuss the importance of reforming the high-skilled immigration process, the main bottlenecks with our current green card system, the glory days of economics blogging, how to revitalize the American heartland, Trump’s current trade war, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on April 15th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Follow Adam on X: @ModeledBehavior
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:00:50) – Blogging Days
(00:02:33) – How to Fix High-Skilled Immigration
(00:27:08) – Busting the Myths
(00:33:58) – Additional Parts of Adam’s Immigration Proposal
(00:40:13) – Trump’s Trade War
(00:58:25) – Outro
Skanda Amarnath is the executive director of Employ America. Skanda returns to the show to discuss the standing of Humphrey’s Executor, the prospects for the Fed’s Framework Review, the case for NGDP Targeting, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on April 16th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Follow Skanda on X: @IrvingSwisher
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:02:01) – Humphrey’s Executor
(00:12:35) – The Fed’s Framework Review
(00:37:18) – Fed’s Communication
(00:47:36) – Productivity
(00:59:07) – Outro
Andy Levin is a professor of economics at Dartmouth College and longtime advisor to many central banks. Andy returns to the show to discuss his policy brief on holding the Fed accountable for its spending practices.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on April 9th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:00:50) – Andy’s Professional Background
(00:02:07) – Overstaffed or Overworked?
(00:04:09) – The Fed’s Extraordinary Independence
(00:10:10) – Inspector Generals and the Fed
(00:20:33) – The Fed’s Workers and Payroll
(00:37:35) – Updates to the Fed’s Headquarters
(00:48:24) – Other Fed Challenges
(00:56:26) – How to Improve the Fed
(00:58:24) – Outro
Kathryn Judge is a law professor at Columbia University and a legal scholar of the Federal Reserve and financial policy. Kathryn returns to the show to discuss the Fed’s Emergency Lending Facilities, or 13(3) and current happenings at the Federal Reserve.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 27th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Kathryn Judge on X: @ProfKateJudge
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:43) – History of Section 13(3)
(00:03:55) – Increasing Use of 13(3)
(00:06:55) – Unusual and Exigent Circumstances
(00:08:53) – Changes to 13(3)
(00:13:17) – Classification of the Facilities
(00:21:13) – Should the Fed Be Doing Emergency Lending?
(00:25:42) – Feature or Bug?
(00:33:19) – Fed Independence
(00:47:45) – Regionalism of the Fed
(00:55:23) – Outro
Paul Blustein is a former Washington Post and Wall Street Journal journalist who has authored several acclaimed books on global economic institutions. In Paul’s first appearance on the show, he discusses the historical rise of the dollar, it’s present-day power, how it compares to other global currencies, current challenges to its power, the rise of crypto, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 26th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Paul Blustein on X: @PaulBlustein
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:00:52) – Paul’s Books
(00:05:08) – Motivations for King Dollar
(00:09:02) – History of the Dollar
(00:12:57) – Nixon Shock of 1971
(00:23:36) – Paul Volcker
(00:33:14) – Dollar Dominance and Statecraft
(00:40:46) – What About the Euro?
(00:44:42) – Cryptocurrency as a Rival to the Dollar
(00:47:54) – Drawbacks of Dollar Dominance
(00:57:03) – Outro
Bill Nelson is a Chief economist and an executive vice president at the Bank Policy Institute. Bill returns to the show to discuss the changes at many central banks around the world from a supply-driven floor system to a demand-driven floor system and how the Fed has been resistant to this change.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 6th, 2025
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:35) – Trend Toward a Demand-Driven Ceiling System
(00:07:32) – Will the Fed Follow Suit?
(00:13:11) – Bank of England’s New Policy Implementation Framework
(00:21:33) – Bill’s Suggestions for the Fed’s Implementation Framework
(00:39:18) – Responding to Lorie’s Case for the Floor System
(00:59:11) – Outro
Subscribe to David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Scott Lincicome is the vice president of general economics and trade at Cato. Scott returns to the program to discuss the past, present, and future of Trump’s trade war, the impact of tariffs on the US consumer, myths about globalization, the state of globalization worldwide, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on March 19th, 2025
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Scott Lincicome on X: @ScottLincicome
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:01) – Cato’s Trade Center
(00:04:06) – Current State of Trump’s Trade War
(00:14:09) – Trade War Strategy
(00:20:48) – Break in the Globalization Trend
(00:29:51) – Bilateral Trade Deficit View
(00:54:01) – Comparative Advantage
(01:00:30) – How to Support Free Trade
(001:01:44) – Outro
Sign up for David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Lyman Stone is a demographer and the director of the Pronatalism Initiative at the Institute for Family Studies. In Lyman’s first appearance on the show, he discusses demographic and marriage decline, the fallacy in the thinking of degrowthers, the benefits of pronatalist policy, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on February 13th, 2025
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Lyman Stone on X: @LymanStoneKY
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:02:04) – Lyman Stone’s Career Path
(00:04:54) – Demography as a Discipline
(00:10:41) – Demographic Decline
(00:15:28) – Decline of Marriage
(00:32:24) – Degrowthers
(00:43:15) – Possible Policy Solutions
(00:54:50) – Outro
Sign up for David's Substack: Macroeconomic Policy Nexus
Athanasios Orphanides is a professor at MIT, formerly served at the Federal Reverse for 15 years, and was the Governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus. In Athanasios’s first appearance of show he discussed real-time monetary policy rules, their implication on the Fed’s framework review, his natural growth target, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on February 18th, 2025
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Substack Announcement
(00:00:49) – Intro
(00:02:24) – Athanasios’ Career Journey
(00:06:08) – Real-Time Policy Rules
(00:23:36) – Potential Drawbacks of Monetary Rules
(00:28:46) – Natural Growth Targeting Rule
(00:37:31) – Federal Reserve’s Framework Review
(00:57:02) – Outro
Dean Ball is a research fellow at the Mercatus Center. In Dean’s first appearance on the show, he explains the AI revolution, current AI developments, policy implications of the AI boom, and the future of AI.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on February 19th, 2025
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Follow Dean on X: @Deanwball
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:03) – Dean’s Background in Artificial Intelligence
(00:03:32) – Recent AI Events
(00:22:03) – Policy Implications
(00:33:58) – AI and the Future
(00:56:34) – Outro
Liya Palagashvili is a senior research fellow and director of the Labor Policy Project at the Mercatus Center. In Liya’s first appearance on the show she explains federal and state level changes to labor regulations, who makes up the gig economy workforce, the role women play in the independent workforce, the novel concept of portable benefits, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 31st, 2025
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Follow Liya on X: MissLiyaP
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:37) – Liya’s Background and Interest in Labor Economics
(00:03:18) – Labor Policy Project and Labor Market Matters
(00:07:32) –Independent Contractors and the Gig Economy
(00:17:20) – Independent Work as a Buffer from Shocks
(00:23:40) – Women and Independent Work
(00:31:01) – Men in the Independent Workforce
(00:35:23) – Myths Surrounding the Gig Economy
(00:39:36) – Portable Benefits for Independent Workers
(00:49:48) – Port Strikes and Dynamic Labor Markets
(01:02:36) – Outro
Evan Koenig is a former senior aide to the president of the Dallas Fed. Evan returns to the show to discuss, the ins and outs of nominal GDP targeting, the practical applications of NGDP targeting, the reasons the Fed should consider it for the framework review, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on October 29th, 2024
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:06) – Evan Koenig at the Fed
(00:02:04) – Nominal GDP Targeting
(00:06:22) – Why the Fed Didn’t Consider Nominal GDP Targeting
(00:17:25) – How to Explain Nominal GDP Targeting to the Public
(00:23:10) – Main Arguments for Nominal GDP Targeting
(00:33:52) – Practical Applications of Nominal GDP
(00:47:19) – Nominal GDP Targeting and the Fed’s Upcoming Framework Review
(00:50:57) – Outro
Steven Kelly is the associate director of research as the Yale Program on Financial Stability. Steven returns to the show to discuss his new model, the Treasury Equity Model of the Federal Reserve’s emergency lending.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 23rd, 2025
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Steven Kelly: @StevenKelly49
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:00:47) – The Discount Window and Its Current Momentum
(00:03:22) – Evaluating the Treasury-Equity Model of Fed Emergency Lending
(00:07:33) – The Fed’s Section 13(3) Facilities
(00:12:54) – Creation of Section 13(3)
(00:16:46) – Currency Swap Lines
(00:18:36) – Beginnings of the Treasury-Equity Model
(00:28:16) – Treasury-Equity Model During COVID-19 Pandemic
(00:40:12) – Banking Turmoil of 2023
(00:46:15) – Advice for the Fed
(00:47:50) – Outro
Pat Toomey is a former senator from the state of Pennsylvania and served on the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. In Pat’s first appearance on the show he discussed his career in public service, Fed master accounts, the future on monetary policy, his quest for Fed accountability, the looming debt issue, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 23rd, 2025
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Pat Toomey: @SenToomey
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:09) – Senator Toomey’s Committee Work
(00:21:21) – Federal Reserve Master Accounts
(00:27:07) – Accountability of the Fed
(00:30:07) – Monetary Policy
(00:45:19) – Debts, Deficits, and Fiscal Policy
(00:57:22) – Outro
Brian Albrecht is the chief economist for the International Center for Law & Economics and is the coauthor of the economics newsletter Economic Forces. In Brian’s first appearance on the show, he discussed the data behind business dynamism, the notion of greedflation, the recent developments in antitrust, the update Econ 101 needs to make in regard to tariffs, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 6th, 2025
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Brian Albrecht: @BrianCAlbrecht
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:00:51) – Brian’s Education and Career
(00:08:03) – Market Structure and Business Dynamism
(00:31:07) – Greedflation
(00:45:25) – Trump and Tariffs
(00:55:51) – Outro
On this special greatest hits compilation episode our host David Beckworth primes listeners for the Fed Framework Review by highlighting the best snippets from past shows discussing nominal GDP targeting. This episode includes Mary Daly’s thoughts on NGDP targeting, Evan Koenig on the basics of NGDP targeting, George Selgin on Powell’s hesitations with NGDP targeting and how it responds to supply shocks, Jim Bullard on the financial stability of NGDP targeting, Eric Sims on the New Keynesian argument for NGDP targeting, Carola Binder on the benefits of NGDP targeting, Charlie Evans on the prospects of NGDP target, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:02:31) – Mary Daly on Nominal GDP Targeting Considerations for the 2024-25 Fed Framework Review
(00:06:13) – Evan Koenig on the Basics and Preferred Structure of a Nominal GDP Targeting Framework
(00:14:17) – George Selgin on Chair Powell’s Concerns About Nominal GDP Targeting
(00:21:35) – Jim Bullard on the Financial Stability Argument for Nominal GDP Targeting
(00:24:12) – Eric Sims on the New Keynesian Rationale for Nominal GDP Targeting
(00:28:23) – Carola Binder on Two Major Benefits of Nominal GDP Targeting
(00:33:40) – George Selgin on How Nominal GDP Targeting Would Handle Supply Shocks
(00:46:55) – Charlie Evans on the Prospects for Nominal GDP Targeting During the 2024-25 Fed Framework Review
(00:50:57) – Bonus Segment: Enhancing the Nominal GDP Targeting Framework
(00:53:08) – Gauti Eggertsson on the Merits of a Cumulative Nominal GDP Level Target
(00:55:50) – Scott Sumner on Targeting a Nominal GDP Futures Contract
(01:04:25) – Outro
Peter Conti-Brown is a historian and legal scholar of the Federal Reserve System and an associate professor at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. Peter returns to the podcast to discuss the state of Federal Reserve leadership under the incoming Trump administration, expectations for Fed independence, a new proposal for limiting stigma at the discount window, stories about a life lead by faith, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Recorded on January 10th, 2025
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Peter Conti-Brown on BlueSky: @PeterContiBrown
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:23) – Reaching Audiences Through Various Forms of Media
(00:10:30) – Federal Reserve Under Trump 2.0
(00:21:33) – Jerome Powell
(00:25:56) – Michael Barr
(00:34:52) – New Discount Window Proposal
(00:40:27) – Faith Life
(00:56:28) – Radical Uncertainty
(01:00:15) – Outro
David Bahnsen is a Wall Street veteran and currently is the managing director of The Bahnsen Group. In David’s first appearance on the podcast, he talks through multiple questions about the incoming Trump Administration, the problem with the growing indebtedness of the US government, shifts in the Republican party, the notion of financialization of the US economy, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Follow David Beckworth on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow David Bahnsen on X: @DavidBahnsen
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:50) – David Bahnsen’s Career Path
(00:04:39) – Shifts in the Republican Party
(00:12:20) – Trump Administration 2.0 and Growth, the Fed, and the Financial Sector?
(00:33:38) – Financialization and Missed Boats
(00:54:02) – Outro
Marijn Bolhuis is an economist in the World Economic Studies Division of the IMF’s research department. In Marijn’s first appearance on the podcast he discusses his new paper, which introduces the idea of a fiscal r-star, and expands on another paper which helps economists understand why consumer sentiment is so depressed, despite relatively low unemployment and inflation coming back to target.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow Marijn on X: @MA_Bolhuis
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:38) – Marijn Bolhuis’ Career Path
(00:06:02) – Fiscal R-Star
(00:45:30) – Cost of Money and Consumer Sentiment
(00:51:43) – Outro
David Beckworth and producer Sam Alburger dive into the last year of Macro Musings. They pick their favorite episodes, discuss how the year 2024 will be remembered in the macroeconomic history, highlight stories about the making of the show, combine David’s love for basketball and economics, and much more.
Check out the transcript for this week’s episode, now with links.
Follow David on X: @DavidBeckworth
Follow the show on X: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Subscribe to David's new BTS YouTube Channel
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:18) – Year in Review
(00:11:48) – New Macro Musings Content
(00:15:13) – NGDP Level Targeting vs. FAIT
(00:18:43) – Preparing for Macro Musings Interviews
(00:24:23) – Macro Musings and AI
(00:26:17) – Looking Back at 2024 in Macroeconomic History
(00:30:27) – Combing David’s Love for Economics and Basketball
(00:34:34) – Thank You’s
(01:00:13) – Outro
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute. George is also a returning guest to the program, and he rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about crypto, strategic Bitcoin reserves, and the Fed’s framework review. Specifically, David and George also discuss George’s outlook for a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the US, the significance of the debanking problem, the path to adopting a nominal GDP targeting framework, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The ‘Digital Gold’ Fallacy, or Why Bitcoin Can’t Save the US Dollar by George Selgin
The Fed’s 2024-25 Framework Review: Optimizing the Dual Mandate Through Nominal GDP Level Targeting by David Beckworth
Building a Better Fed Framework – A monetary policy conference hosted by the American Institute for Economic Research (AIER)
Caitlin Long’s X thread on debanking
David Marcus’s X thread on how Libra was killed
Does Sovereign Default Risk Explain Cryptocurrency Adoption? International Evidence from Mobile Apps by Rashad Ahmed, Stephen Karolyi, and Leili Pour Rostami
Digital Gold: Evaluating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve for the United States by the Bitcoin Policy Institute
Trump Likes the Idea of a Federal Bitcoin Reserve. Don’t Laugh. by Tyler Cowen
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:34) – Evaluating the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and Digital Gold
(00:26:22) – George’s Outlook for the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
(00:34:16) – The Significance of the Debanking Problem and the Case of Libra
(00:43:18) – Building a Better Fed Framework: George’s Takeaways
(00:49:16) – The Path to Nominal GDP Targeting: Incremental vs. Radical
(00:54:10) – Characterizing a Fed Framework Consensus
(01:00:13) – Outro
Joey Politano is an economist and a commentator who writes a popular Substack newsletter on economics. Joey is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he rejoins David to talk about the AI investment boom and broader economic growth trends. Specifically, David and Joey also discuss generational differences in economic perspectives, the increased demand for nuclear energy, the importance of AI in driving scientific research, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Joey’s X: @JosephPolitano
Joey’s Bluesky: @josephpolitano.bsky.social
Joey’s Substack
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The AI Investment Boom by Joey Politano
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:03:09) – The Competition Between X and Bluesky
(00:10:55) – The Generational Differences in Economic Perspectives
(00:16:23) – Breaking Down the AI Investment Boom
(00:23:55) – Have We Left Behind the World of Secular Stagnation?
(00:27:47) – Did ChatGPT Kickstart the Next Chapter of Growth?
(00:34:35) – AI and Increased Demand for Nuclear Energy
(00:39:45) – The Importance of AI in Driving Scientific Research and Growth
(00:44:34) – The Current State of Economic Growth
(00:53:40) – Outro
Jeffrey Lacker is a senior affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center, and he previously worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, where he served as its president from 2004 to 2017. Jeff is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about the history of the Federal Reserve’s credit policy, as well as a recent Shadow Open Market Committee conference.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Jeffrey’s website
Jeffrey’s Mercatus profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
A 50-Year Retrospective on the Shadow Open Market Committee and its Role in Monetary Policy — A conference hosted by the Hoover Institution
From the “Lender of Last Resort” to “Too Big to Fail” to “Financial System Savior”: Federal Reserve Credit Policy and the Shadow Open Market Committee by Jeffrey Lacker
Last Resort Lending: Classical Thought vs. Modern Federal Reserve Practice by Jeffrey Lacker
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:47) – The Shadow Open Market Committee and its Contributions Throughout Time
(00:05:32) – Highlights from the Recent Shadow Open Market Committee Conference
(00:10:17) – From FAIT Back to FIT?
(00:14:07) – Federal Reserve Credit Policy and the Shadow Open Market Committee: Motivation and Summary
(00:16:05) – Breaking Down the Difference Between Credit Policy and Monetary Policy
(00:22:10) – The Four Doctrines of Fed Lending: The Monetary Stability Doctrine
(00:28:56) – The Four Doctrines of Fed Lending: The Real Bills Doctrine
(00:34:49) – The Four Doctrines of Fed Lending: Warburg’s Mercantilism
(00:39:11) – The Four Doctrines of Fed Lending: Too-big-to-fail and the Reluctant Samaritan
(00:47:45) – Solutions for Improving the System Moving Forward
(00:55:25) – Outro
Zachary Mazlish is an economist at the University of Oxford, and he joins David on Macro Musings to explain some recent and important macroeconomic developments, specifically the inflation linkages to the 2024 presidential election and the macroeconomic implications of transformative AI. David and Zach also discuss transformative AI’s impact on asset pricing, optimal monetary policy in world of high growth, the causes of the slowdown in trend productivity, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Zach’s Twitter: @ZMazlish
Zach’s Substack
Zach’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Yes, Inflation Made the Median Voter Poorer by Zachary Mazlish
Transformative AI, Existential Risk, and Real Interest Rates by Trevor Chow, Basil Halperin, and Zachary Mazlish
Decomposing the Great Stagnation: Baumol’s Cost Disease vs. “Ideas Are Getting Hard to Find” by Basil Halperin and Zachary Mazlish
The Unexpected Compression: Competition at Work in the Low Wage Labor Market by David Autor, Arin Dube, and Annie McGrew
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:04:03) – Inflation Made the Median Voter Poorer: Comparing Periods of Wage Growth
(00:15:26) – Inflation Made the Median Voter Poorer: The Median Change in the Wage
(00:22:19) – Assessing the Feedback to Zachary’s Article
(00:25:05) – The Significance of Transformative AI and its Double-Edged Sword
(00:27:02) – The Impact of Transformative AI on Asset Pricing and its Policy Challenges
(00:38:07) – The Broader Macroeconomic Effects of Rapid Growth
(00:41:05) – Optimal Monetary Policy in a World of High Growth
(00:43:19) – Exploring the Causes of the Productivity Slowdown
(00:49:21) – Outro
Ellen Correia Golay is an advisor in the Markets Group at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, focusing on the US Treasury market. She also helped lead an interagency working group report and a recent conference on the Treasury market. Ellen joins David on Macro Musings to talk about these and other Treasury-related developments. Ellen and David also discuss her career journey and role at the New York Fed, the current and future challenges in the Treasury Market, necessary areas for reform, and more.
DISCLAIMER: Ellen Correia Golay’s views are her own, and they do not represent those of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Register now for Building a Better Fed Framework: The AIER Monetary Conference.
Ellen’s LinkedIn profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Enhancing the Resilience of the U.S. Treasury Market: 2024 Staff Progress Report by the Inter-Agency Working Group on Treasury Market Surveillance (IAWG)
The 2024 U.S. Treasury Market Conference — An event hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:03:09) – Ellen’s Career Journey and Role at the New York Fed
(00:17:13) – Breaking Down the Treasury Market
(00:20:38) – Current and Future Challenges in the Treasury Market
(00:29:54) – How Would Central Clearing Impact the Fed and the Treasury Market?
(00:31:47) – Explaining the Treasury Department Buyback Program
(00:36:12) – Commencement of Data Dissemination on Individual Nominal Coupon Treasury Transactions
(00:38:29) – Requiring the Reporting of Non-Centrally Cleared Bilateral Repos
(00:41:26) – The 2024 U.S. Treasury Market Conference
(00:43:50) – Future Areas for Reform in the Treasury Market
(00:46:43) – Outro
Emil Verner is an associate professor of finance at MIT Sloan and is a research fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research. Emil has written widely on financial stability, banking panics, and credit booms, and he joins David on Macro Musings to talk about these issues. Specifically, David and Emil also discuss the causes and policy implications of bank failures, the shortcomings of the Diamond-Dybvig model of bank runs, how financial crises spur the rise of populism, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Register now for Building a Better Fed Framework: The AIER Monetary Conference.
Emil’s Twitter: @EmilVerner
Emil’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Failing Banks by Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner
Banking Crises Without Panics by Matthew Baron, Emil Verner, and Wei Xiong
Financial Crisis, Creditor-Debor Conflict, and Populism by Gyozo Gyongyosi and Emil Verner
Fragile by Design: The Political Origins of Banking Crises and Scarce Credit by Charles Calomiris and Stephen Haber
Going to Extremes: Politics After Financial Crises, 1870-2014 by Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick, and Christoph Trebesch
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:03:45) – Why Do We Care About Banking Panics and Financial Stability?
(00:05:42) – Breaking Down the Causes of Bank Failures and its Policy Implications
(00:13:38) – Exploring the Historical Banking Data
(00:15:59) – Failing Banks: Key Findings and Takeaways
(00:24:00) – Banking Crises Without Panics
(00:28:05) – Responding to the Diamond-Dybvig Model of Bank Runs
(00:33:29) – Applying the Bank Solvency Story to the Great Financial Crisis
(00:36:16) – The Impact of Credit Booms
(00:40:56) – What Are the Necessary Policy Prescriptions?
(00:43:08) – Why is Diamond-Dybvig So Popular?
(00:47:01) – Financial Crisis, Creditor-Debtor Conflict, and Populism
(00:52:55) – How Do We Stem the Tide of Populism in the Future?
(00:54:36) – Outro
Loretta Mester was president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland from 2014 through June of 2024, and she is a 39-year veteran of the Federal Reserve System. Loretta is also currently an adjunct professor of finance at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. She joins David on Macro Musings to talk about her time Fed president and a recent paper she delivered on the Fed’s operating system. David and Loretta also discuss the ongoing battle against inflation, what to expect from the upcoming Fed framework review, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Register now for Building a Better Fed Framework: The AIER Monetary Conference.
Loretta’s Cleveland Fed profile
Loretta’s Wharton profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Fed’s Ample Reserves Monetary Policy Operating Framework: It Isn’t as Simple as it Looks – Remarks by Loretta Mester for the Panel on The Conduct of Monetary Policy: Evolution from Free Reserves to the Corridor and Floor Systems at the Shadow Open Market Committee 50th Anniversary Conference
Reserve Demand Elasticity (RDE) by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:02:18) – Loretta’s Career Path and Tenure at the Cleveland Fed
(00:10:42) – The Ongoing Battle Against Inflation
(00:17:53) – Evaluating FAIT and What to Expect from the 2024-25 Fed Framework Review
(00:26:03) – Corridor vs. Floor: The Evolution of the Fed’s Operating System and its Policy Implications
(00:41:31) – Estimating the Demand for Bank Reserves
(00:45:57) – Addressing Over-reliance on the Fed in the Interbank Market
(00:52:45) – Loretta’s Thoughts on Central Clearing and Increased Use of the Discount Window
(00:55:23) – Outro
Jon Hartley is a macroeconomist and affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center, and he is also the host of a Hoover Institution podcast titled, Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century. Jon joins David on Macro Musings to talk about the Hoover Institution’s recent monetary policy conference, A 50-Year Retrospective on the Shadow Open Market Committee and its Role in Monetary Policy as well as some of his own related work. Specifically, Jon and David also discuss the origins, purpose, and influence of the Shadow Open Market Committee, the tension between the fiscal theory of the price level and Fed policy, the significance of government debt management, and more.
DISCLAIMER: The views expressed herein are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the IMF, its Executive Board, or its management.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Register now for Building a Better Fed Framework: The AIER Monetary Conference.
Jon’s podcast: Capitalism and Freedom in the 21st Century
Jon’s Twitter: @Jon_Hartley_
Jon’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
A 50-Year Retrospective on the Shadow Open Market Committee and its Role in Monetary Policy - An event hosted by the Hoover Institution
The International Public Debt Valuation Puzzle: Testing the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Across Countries and Time by Jon Hartley, Matyas Farkas, and J.R. Scott
Does Government Debt Management Matter? High Frequency Identification from U.S. Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcements by Jon Hartley and Lorenzo Rigon
The U.S. Public Debt Valuation Puzzle by Hanno Lustig, Zhengyang Jiang, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Xiaolan
The Real Effects of Monetary Expansions: Evidence from a Large-scale Historical Experiment by Nuno Palma
Chronicle of a Deflation Unforetold by Francois Velde
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Bumper
(00:00:41) – Intro
(00:04:50) – The Origins, Purpose, and Influence of the Shadow Open Market Committee
(00:13:18) – Why Has Money Fallen Out of Favor?
(00:22:31) – How Well Does the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Hold Up?
(00:34:58) – The Tension Between the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level and Fed Policy
(00:40:58) – Does Government Debt Management Matter?
(00:51:10) – The Floor System, Quantitative Easing, and the Keys to Economic Growth
(00:59:41) – Outro
Tara Sinclair is a professor of economics and international affairs at George Washington University, where she also directs the George Washington Center for Economic Research. From 2022 to 2024, Tara also served as the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Macroeconomics in the Office of Economic Policy at the US Department of Treasury. Tara joins David on Macro Musings to talk about her time at Treasury, real-time economic analysis, the Fed framework review, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Tara’s Twitter: @TaraSinc
Tara’s website
Tara’s GWU profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Real Time Economics: Tales from the Trenches - Remarks by Tara Sinclair at the 2024 RTE Conference
Labor Shortages and Job Mismatch - Remarks by Tara Sinclair at the 66th NABE Annual Meeting
The Fed’s Strategic Approach to Monetary Policy Needs a Reboot by Mickey Levy and Charles Plosser
The Inflation Surge of the 2020s: The Role of Monetary Policy by Gauti Eggertsson and Don Kohn
Monetary Policy Strategies to Foster Price Stability and a Strong Labor Market by Michael Kiley
Did the Federal Reserve’s 2020 Policy Framework Limit Its Response to Inflation? Evidence and Implications for the Framework Review by Christina Romer and David Romer
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:25) – Working as a Deputy Assistant Secretary at the Treasury Department
(00:06:31) – Building a Better Economic Database
(00:10:15) – Breaking Down Real-time Economics and Real-time Data
(00:16:06) – Real Time Economics: Tales from the Trenches
(00:21:37) – Solving Our Current Data Challenges
(00:24:36) – Labor Shortages and Job Mismatch
(00:32:08) – Breaking Down the Upcoming Fed Framework Review
(00:37:56) – Addressing the Concerns and Issues Surrounding the Fed’s Framework
(00:42:50) – Unpacking the Dual Mandate and the Fed’s Broad and Inclusive Goal
(00:53:45) – Could AI Define Maximum Employment in the Future?
(00:56:13) – Outro
Joseph Gagnon is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a former senior Fed staffer, and a returning guest to the podcast. Joe rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about the unholy trinity behind the COVID inflation surge and what history can teach us about the unusual inflation experience of that period. David and Joe also discuss the inflationary lessons from the Korean War, the Fed’s upcoming framework review, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Joseph’s Twitter: @GagnonMacro
Joseph’s PIIE profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
What Caused the U.S. Pandemic-Era Inflation? by Ben Bernanke and Olivier Blanchard
Understanding U.S. Inflation During the COVID Era by Laurence Ball, Daniel Leigh, and Prachi Mishra
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:02:46) – Predicting the Post-Pandemic Inflation Surge
(00:06:39) – Assessing the State of the Bond Market and Inflation Expectations After the Inflation Surge
(00:16:14) – What Caused the U.S. Pandemic-Era Inflation: Breaking Down the Literature
(00:23:45) – The Trinity of COVID-Era Inflation in G7 Economies
(00:32:55) – Why Did Inflation Rise and Fall So Rapidly? Lessons from the Korean War
(00:42:06) – Inflation, FAIT, and the Upcoming Fed Framework Review
(00:49:18) – Why Should the Fed Consider Nominal GDP Targeting?
(00:53:04) – Responding to the Measurement Issue Surrounding Nominal GDP
(00:57:40) – Outro
Emilio Ocampo is a professor of finance and economic history at UCEMA. He has written widely on the Argentine economy and has advised President Javier Milei on economic policy. Emilio joins David on Macro Musings to talk about the current state of the Argentine economy, the present and ongoing reforms of President Milei, and the prospects for dollarization in Argentina.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Emilio’s Twitter: @ocampo_emilio
Emilio’s Substack
Emilio’s UCEMA profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Commitment Devices with Time Inconsistency Disease and Institutional Anomie: The Case of Argentina by Emilio Ocampo
Dollarization: A Solution for Argentina by Emilio Ocampo and Nicolas Cachanosky
Argentina Scrapped Its Rent Controls. Now the Market is Thriving by Ryan Dube
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:03:58) – Assessing Argentina’s Progress on Lowering Inflation
(00:11:12) – Exploring the Causes of Argentina’s Poor Economic Performance
(00:15:20) – Commitment Devices with Time Inconsistency Disease and Institutional Anomie
(00:26:29) – Javier Milei’s Plan to Revive Argentina
(00:31:39) – The Next Steps for Argentine Economic Reform
(00:39:56) – Defining Dollarization and Exploring its Historical Cases
(00:49:33) – Transitioning to Dollarization in Argentina
(00:55:12) – Dollarization Concerns and the Prospects for Dollarization Moving Forward
(00:58:48) – Outro
Jonathon Hazell is an assistant professor of economics at the London School of Economics and is a returning guest to the podcast. He rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about the costs of inflation, the Phillips curve Debate, and the lessons learned from the post-pandemic inflation surge.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Jonathon’s Twitter: @JADHazell
Jonathon’s website
Jonathon’s LSE profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Why Do Workers Dislike Inflation? Wage Erosion and Conflict Costs by Jonathon Hazell, Joao Guerreiro, Chen Lian, and Christina Patterson
Do Deficits Cause Inflation? A High Frequency Narrative Approach by Jonathon Hazell and Stephan Hobler
Jonathon Hazell on Phillips Curves, Wage Rigidity, and How to Measure R-Star by Macro Musings
The Dominant Role of Expectations and Broad-Based Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation by Paul Beaudry, Chenyu Hou, and Franck Portier
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:05:27) – Breaking Down the Costs of Inflation
(00:08:45) – Why Do Workers Dislike Inflation? Wage Erosion and Conflict Costs
(00:21:12) – Outlining the Policy Implications
(00:27:24) – The Recent Phillips Curve Conversation: What Have We Learned?
(00:34:43) – Do Deficits Cause Inflation? A High Frequency Narrative Approach
(00:46:39) – Navigating the Alternative Macroeconomics Perspectives
(00:51:33) – Evaluating the Supply vs Demand Story for the Post-Pandemic Inflation
(00:55:09) – Outro
Thomas Drechsel is an assistant professor of economics at the University of Maryland. He joins David on Macro Musings to talk about the political pressure on the Fed and the new ways to measure monetary policy shocks. Thomas and David also discuss fiscal and monetary dominance, the impact of political pressure on inflation, why we should care about central bank independence, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Thomas’s website
Thomas’s Twitter: @td_econ
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Estimating the Effects of Political Pressure on the Fed: A Narrative Approach with New Data by Thomas Drechsel
Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks: A Natural Language Approach by S. Boragan Aruoba and Thomas Drechsel
Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic Performance: Some Comparative Evidence by Alberto Alesina and Lawrence Summers
Narrative Sign Restrictions for SVARs by Juan Antolin-Diaz and Juan Rubio-Ramirez
Threats to Central Bank Independence: High-Frequency Indentifcation with Twitter by Francesco Bianchi, Thilo Kind, and Howard Kung
A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications by Christina Romer and David Romer
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:04:47) – Why Should We Care About Central Bank Independence?
(00:08:01) – Fiscal and Monetary Dominance
(00:12:41) – Estimating the Effects of Political Pressure on the Fed
(00:27:14) – Breaking Down the Research Results
(00:36:46) – The Impact of Political Pressure on Inflation
(00:43:07) – Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks: Background, Methodology, and Results
(00:59:45) – Outro
Matthew Pines is the director of intelligence for SentinelOne Strategic Advisory Group and is a veteran of the national security world. Matthew is also the author of several papers on cryptocurrencies and their implications for national security, including a recent one titled, Great Power Network Competition & Bitcoin, and he joins David on Macro Musings to talk about these linkages. Specifically, David and Matthew also discuss the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve proposal, the problems with our current network approach to national security, how digital currency can enhance dollar dominance worldwide, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Matthew’s Twitter: @matthew_pines
Matthew’s Bitcoin Policy Institute profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Great Power Network Competition & Bitcoin by Matthew Pines
National Security in the Digital Age: Bitcoin as a Tool for Modern Statecraft by authors Matthew Pines, Ben Kincaid, Robert Malka, James McGinniss, Lee Bratcher, Pierre Rochard, Lindsey Daley, Gabriel Royal, Thomas Wood, Ian Gaines, and Kyle Schneps
Global Discord: Values and Power in a Fractured World Order by Paul Tucker
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:35) – Matthew’s Journey into the National Security Space
(00:07:56) – Evaluating the Current Level of Defense Expenditures
(00:12:17) – An Executive Summary of Great Power Network Competition & Bitcoin
(00:16:11) – Problems with Our Current Network Approach to National Security
(00:26:24) – The Intersection of Monetary Policy and National Security
(00:29:55) – How Can Digital Currency Enhance Dollar Dominance Across the Globe?
(00:38:32) – Breaking Down the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Proposal and Its Implications
(00:48:13) – The National Defense Authorization Act and the Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena Disclosure Act: Basics and Implications
(00:57:29) – Outro
Travis Hill is the Vice Chairman of the FDIC Board of Directors, and he joins David on Macro Musings to talk about discount window and bank liquidity, receivership funding, and the tokenization of financial assets. Specifically, David and Travis also discuss the push for pre-positioning at the discount window, how the FDIC funds receiverships, the impact of tokenization on the future of banking, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Travis’s FDIC profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Reflections on Bank Regulatory and Resolution Issues – Remarks by Vice Chairman Travis Hill at the American Enterprise Institute
Banking’s Next Chapter? Remarks on Tokenization and Other Issues – Remarks by Vice Chairman Travis Hill at the Mercatus Center
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:02:36) – The Unique Role of the FDIC and the Vice Chair
(00:10:58) – The Push for Pre-Positioning at the Discount Window
(00:20:19) – Addressing the Current Issues Relating to the Discount Window
(00:28:44) – How Does the FDIC Fund Receiverships?
(00:35:41) – Breaking Down the Federal Financing Bank
(00:40:10) – Discount Window Stigma and Uncollateralized Fed Funding
(00:45:44) – Tokenization and Its Impact on the Future of Banking and Cross-Border Payments
(00:54:40) – Outro
Catherine Pakaluk is an Associate Professor of Social Research and Economic Thought at the Bush School of Business at the Catholic University of America. Catherine is also the author of a new book titled, Hannah’s Children: The Women Quietly Defying the Birth Dearth, and she joins David on Macro Musings to talk about it. Catherine and David also specifically discuss the facts of demographic decline, the women who are pushing back against this trend, its broader implications for the economy and society, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Catherine’s Twitter: @CRPakaluk
Catherine’s website
Catherine’s CUA profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Hannah’s Children: The Women Quietly Defying the Birth Dearth by Catherine Pakaluk
Why Americans Aren’t Having Babies by Rachel Wolfe
No One Left: Why the World Needs More Children by Paul Morland
Promises I Can Keep: Why Poor Women Put Motherhood Before Marriage by Kathryn Edin and Maria Kefalas
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:03:16) – Hannah’s Children: The Women Quietly Defying the Birth Dearth
(00:08:30) – The Facts of Demographic Decline
(00:12:48) – The Implications of Demographic Decline
(00:20:28) – Breaking Down the “Chain of Infinity”
(00:23:15) – The Forces Driving Demographic Decline
(00:32:18) – The Influence and Impact of Paul Ehrlich
(00:38:16) – The Motivation and Background for Hannah’s Children
(00:43:29) – Why Are Women Having Larger Families?
(00:52:18) – Exploring Pronatal Policy Recommendations
(00:57:03) – Outro
Stephen Miran is a former senior advisor to the US Treasury Department, a senior strategist at Hudson Bay Capital, and a fellow at the Manhattan Institute. Stephen is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about his recent paper with Nouriel Roubini titled, Activist Treasury Issuance and the Tug-of-War Over Monetary Policy, as well as his thoughts on what a second Trump presidential term would mean for the Fed and financial markets.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Stephen’s Twitter: @SteveMiran
Stephen’s Manhattan Institute profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
ATI: Activist Treasury Issuance and the Tug-of-War Over Monetary Policy by Stephen Miran and Nouriel Roubini
Trump Wants a Weaker Dollar But Wall Street Doubts He’ll Get One by Saleha Mohsin and Carter Johnson
Trump Allies Draw Up Plans to Blunt Fed’s Independence by Andrew Restuccia, Nick Timiraos, and Alex Leary
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:49) – Breaking Down Activist Treasury Issuance and the Tug-of-War Over Monetary Policy
(00:21:33) – Responding to Criticism from Janet Yellen and Others
(00:28:21) – Addressing Trump’s Push for a Weaker Dollar
(00:38:24) – Can We Weaken the Dollar While Still Ensuring Its Use?
(00:43:07) – What a Second Trump Term Would Mean for Fed Independence and Crypto
(00:49:19) – Outro
Carola Binder is an associate professor of civic leadership and economics at the University of Texas at Austin, and she is the author of a new book titled, Shock Values: Prices and Inflation in American Democracy. Carola is also a returning guest to the podcast, and she rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about this book and some recent work she has done on the Fed’s framework review. David and Carola specifically discuss the history of inflation in the US, the advantages of adopting a nominal GDP targeting regime, what to expect from the Fed’s upcoming framework review, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Carola’s Twitter: @cconces
Carola’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Shock Values: Prices and Inflation in American Democracy by Carola Binder
Why Do We Dislike Inflation? by Stefanie Stantcheva
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:03:42) – Nominal GDP Targeting: Lessons from Recent History
(00:12:18) – NGDP Level Targeting: Looking Through Supply Shocks and Policy Communication
(00:17:16) – Shock Values: Prices and Inflation in American Democracy
(00:21:44) – The History of Inflation and Deflation in the US
(00:30:30) – Key Lessons from the Revolutionary War and Civil War Periods
(00:35:37) – The Impact of Price Controls During World War II
(00:40:42) – The Emergence of Price Stability: From the Great Inflation Period to the Present
(00:46:24) – The Direction of the Fed’s Framework Review
(00:49:22) – Outro
Samim Ghamami is an economist at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), where he has been working on reforming the US Treasury market, and he joins David on Macro Musings to talk about these efforts. Samim and David also discuss the long run path of interest rates, the basics of the Treasury market, Samim’s outlook for Treasury market reform, and much more.
DISCLAIMER: Samim’s views are his own and do not represent those of his SEC colleagues, the commissioners, or the Chair.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Samim’s Twitter: @GhamamiSamim
Samim’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:00:58) – Samim’s Journey to the SEC
(00:05:47) – Breaking Down the Size and Composition of the Treasury Market
(00:10:25) – Explaining the Long Run Path of Interest Rates
(00:18:48) – The Key Segments of the Treasury Market
(00:28:25) – Central Clearing as a Treasury Market Reform
(00:34:40) – Picking the Most Effective Treasury Market Reform
(00:37:39) – Samim’s Future Outlook for Other Treasury Market Reforms
(00:43:46) – Addressing Risk Concentration Concerns
(00:48:26) – Outro
Kyla Scanlon is the founder of Bread, a financial education company where she brings economics to a wide and often younger audience, and is also the author of the book, In This Economy? How Money and Markets Really Work. Kyla joins David on Macro Musings to talk about a wide range of economic issues, including the case nominal GDP targeting, the basics of the “Vibecession” and the vibe economy, how to further build American wealth, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Kyla’s Twitter: @kylascan
Kyla’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
In This Economy? How Money and Markets Really Work by Kyla Scanlon
Less Than Zero: The Case for a Falling Price Level in a Growing Economy by George Selgin
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:06) – Kyla’s Academic and Professional Path
(00:15:20) – Flipping the Macro Musings Script: David’s NGDP Targeting Pitch
(00:30:52) – Breaking Down the “Vibecession” and the Vibe Economy
(00:34:41) – The Housing Side of a Vibe Economy
(00:38:54) – The Path to Growing American Wealth
(00:41:40) – The Issue of Population Growth
(00:44:15) – Gen Z’s Interest in Macroeconomics
(00:47:52) – How Should We Think About Labor Market Indicators?
(00:50:51) – Outro
Sam Schulhofer-Wohl is the Senior Vice President and the Senior Advisor to the President of the Dallas Fed, Lorie Logan. Sam is a longtime veteran of the Federal Reserve System and has also previously served at the Minneapolis and Chicago Federal Reserve banks. Sam joins David on Macro Musings to talk about Treasury market resiliency issues, the floor system, the Friedman Rule, bank deposits, the monetary policy implications of labor migration across the United States, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Sam’s Dallas Fed profile
Sam’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Customer Settlement Risk Externality at US Securities Central Counterparties by Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
Deposit Convexity, Monetary Policy, and Financial Stability by Emily Greenwald, Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, and Joshua Younger
Understanding the Long-Run Decline in Interstate Migration by Greg Kaplan and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
Is a Treasury Central Clearing Mandate the Path to Increased Central Clearing? by Marta Chaffee and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
The Netting Efficiencies of Marketwide Central Clearing by Michael Fleming and Frank Keane
Ample Reserves and the Friedman Rule - A speech by Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan at the 2023 European Central Bank Conference on Money Markets
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:31) – Sam’s Wide-Ranging Career Path
(00:11:08) – The Customer Settlement Risk Externality
(00:14:30) – Breaking Down the Treasury Market
(00:18:38) – The Importance and Effectiveness of Central Clearing
(00:26:50) – The History and Role of FICC
(00:32:27) – All-to-all Trades as a Path to Reforming the Treasury Market
(00:36:52) – The Future Timeline for Central Clearing
(00:39:07) – Ample Reserves and the Friedman Rule
(00:46:52) – Deposit Convexity, Monetary Policy, and Financial Stability
(00:52:21) – The Importance of Labor Migration for Monetary Policy
(00:59:42) – Outro
Nicholas Anthony is a policy analyst at the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives, a fellow at the Human Rights Foundation, and is also a returning guest to the podcast. Nick rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about a new book he has authored titled, Digital Currency or Digital Control: Decoding CBDC and the Future of Money. Specifically, Nicholas and David discuss the history of CBDCs, their challenges and drawbacks, Nick’s recommendations for the future, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Nick’s Twitter: @EconWithNick
Nick’s Cato profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Digital Currency or Digital Control: Decoding CBDC and the Future of Money by Nicholas Anthony
Nicholas Anthony on the Current Prospects and Legislative Developments Surrounding CBDC by Macro Musings
Macroeconomic Modelling of CBDC: A Critical Review by Ulrich Bindseil and Richard Senner
Ulrich Bindseil on Central Bank Operating Systems by Macro Musings
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:50) – The Future Prospects of CBDC: From Congress to the White House
(00:07:35) – The History of CBDCs
(00:11:19) – Breaking Down the Three Types of CBDCs
(00:17:22) – The Challenges and Drawbacks of CBDCs
(00:25:42) – The Buffer Between CBDCs and Privacy
(00:31:00) – Wholesale CBDCs, Real-time Payments, and Cross-border Payments
(00:41:06) – The Potential Destabilizing Effects of CBDCs
(00:46:12) – The Pros and Cons of a CBDC for the Fed
(00:53:23) – Responding to Pro-CBDC Arguments
(00:59:05) – Recommendations for the Future of CBDCs
(01:01:92) – Outro
James Bullard was the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis from 2008 to 2023, and he is currently the dean of the Mitchell E. Daniels Jr. School of Business at Purdue University. James is also a previous guest of the show, and he rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about his time at the Fed, FAIT, and the upcoming Fed framework review. Specifically, James and David also discuss how to improve the FOMC’s economic reporting, the case for implementing nominal GDP targeting, the future of R-star, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
James’s St. Louis Fed bio
James’s Purdue University profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
R-Star Wars: The Phantom Menace - A presentation by James Bullard at the 34th Annual National Association for Business Economics (NABE) Economic Policy Conference
Demand Shocks as Technology Shocks by Yan Bai, Jose-Victor Rios-Rull, and Kjetil Storesletten
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:03:10) – Defining the St. Louis Fed and Bullard’s Fed Tenure
(00:09:58) – Comparing FAIT and Nominal GDP Targeting
(00:15:55) – Assessing the Current FAIT Framework
(00:25:37) – Evaluating the Recent V-Shaped Recovery
(00:29:28) – What to Expect from the Upcoming Fed Framework Review
(00:33:31) – Improving the FOMC’s Economic Reporting
(00:37:46) – The Case for Nominal GDP Targeting
(00:50:24) – The Future of R-Star
(00:53:52) – Outro
Josh Lipsky is the senior director of the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center. Josh joins David on Macro Musings to talk about the tools of financial statecraft, how they have evolved over the years, and their implications for digital currencies moving forward. Specifically, David and Josh also discuss how financial statecraft would be applied to a possible conflict with China, the current state of the cross-border payments system, the future of wholesale CBDC in the US, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Josh’s Twitter: @joshualipsky
Josh’s Atlantic Council profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Sanctioning China in a Taiwan Crisis: Scenarios and Risks by Charlie Vest, Agatha Kratz, Juliana Bouchaud, Josh Lipsky, Kimberly Donovan, Charles Lichfield, and Niels Graham.
The Geopolitical Imperative to Upgrade the Dollar by Jordan Bleicher and Josh Lipsky
Stablecoins and National Security: Learning the Lessons of Eurodollars by Timothy Massad
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:04:02) – The Russia Sanctions as an Example of Financial Statecraft
(00:10:14) – The Financing of the Russia-Ukraine War
(00:14:08) – The Delicacy of Legal Precedents and the REPO Act
(00:19:10) – Breaking Down the Tools of Financial Statecraft
(00:22:08) – Applying Financial Statecraft to a Possible China Conflict
(00:28:52) – Cross-border Payments and the Global Status of the US Dollar
(00:34:05) – Breaking Down the Development and Geopolitical Importance of mBridge
(00:38:34) – The Future and Importance of Wholesale CBDC in the US
(00:43:28) – Private Sector Alternatives to CBDCs
(00:45:05) – Where is the CBDC Conversation Headed?
(00:49:25) – Closing Thoughts: The 80th Anniversary of Bretton Woods and the Future of Dollar Dominance
(00:52:48) – Outro
Steven Kelly is the Associate Director of Research at the Yale Program on Financial Stability and is also a returning guest to the podcast. Steven rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about the financial stability implications of the discount window. David and Steven also discuss the issues with FHLBs, how to fix the challenge of reporting requirements, restarting the term auction facility and committed liquidity facilities, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Steven’s Twitter: @StevenKelly49
Steven’s blog: Without Warning
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Domestic Liquidity Provision During Potential Crises - a panel discussion featuring Steven Kelly, Bill Nelson, Susan McLaughlin, and Luc Laeven at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s 2024 Financial Markets Conference
Weekly Fed Report Still Drives Discount Window Stigma by Steven Kelly
The New Bagehot Project - an initiative by the Yale Program on Financial Stability
Forward Guidance: Something Old and Something New: Two Potential, Beneficial Discount Window Facilities by Bill Nelson
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:02) – The Yale Program on Financial Stability and Steven’s Role
(00:07:04) – Building a Resilient Regulatory Framework
(00:12:45) – Addressing Issues in the Discount Window
(00:21:37) – Responding to Criticism of Liquidity Regulations
(00:27:22) – Fixing the Challenge of Reporting Requirements
(00:33:29) – Restarting the Term Auction Facility and Committed Liquidity Facilities
(00:37:24) – Addressing the Issue with FHLBs
(00:45:26) – Additional Thoughts from the Atlanta Fed Conference Panel
(00:50:59) – Could Increased Use of the Discount Window Cause a Shift in the Fed’s Operating System?
(00:54:44) – Outro
Ernie Tedeschi is the Direct of Economics at the Budget Lab and is a visiting fellow at the Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy. Recently, Ernie was a chief economist at the White House’s Council of Economic Advisors, and he is also a returning guest to the podcast. Ernie rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the CEA and some of his recent work on the political risks to the US safe harbor premium and R-star. David and Ernie also discuss the benefits and healing properties of a high employment economy, Ernie’s favorite measures of the labor market, the current and past trends in the path of R-Star, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Ernie’s Twitter: @ernietedeschi
Ernie’s Budget Lab profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Political Risks to the U.S. Safe Harbor Premium by Ernie Tedeschi
Recent Movements in [R-star]: The Most Important Interest Rate That You have Never Heard Of by Ernie Tedeschi
The 2024 Economic Report of the President by the White House Council of Economic Advisers
The Fed Governor Who Proved Larry Summers Wrong by Nick Timiraos
Summers, Blanchard Say Waller’s ‘Soft-Landing’ Paper Has Errors by Craig Torres
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:49) – Ernie’s Experience at the CEA
(00:09:15) – The Benefits and Healing Properties of a High Employment Economy
(00:15:28) – Ernie’s Favorite Measures of the Labor Market
(00:20:17) – The Broader Debate Surrounding Labor Market Measures
(00:24:07) – The Basics of a US Safe Harbor Premium
(00:28:56) – Political Risk vs. Exorbitant Privilege
(00:33:46) – Debt Ceiling Crises as a Political Risk Scenario
(00:37:01) – Fiscal Dominance as a Political Risk Scenario
(00:43:25) – Outlining the Distinction Between Different R-Stars
(00:48:39) – Past and Current Trends in the Path of R-Stars
(00:54:46) – Assessing the Sources of High Productivity
(00:58:22) – Outro
Jeffrey Lacker is a senior affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center, but has also previously worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond from 1989 to 2017, serving as its president from 2004 to 2017. Jeff is also a returning guest to podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about Fed governance issues and the lessons learned from the recent inflation surge. Specifically, David and Jeffrey also discuss the issue of maximum employment, how the Fed could reform its governance structure, what the central bank should address during the next framework review, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Jeffrey’s Mercatus profile
Jeffrey’s website
Jeffrey’s Richmond Fed archive
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Governance and Diversity at the Federal Reserve by Jeffrey Lacker
What Lessons Should the Federal Reserve Learn from the Recent Inflation Surge? Presentation by Jeffrey Lacker at the 2024 UC San Diego Economics Roundtable Lecture Series
Central Bank Undersight: Assessing the Fed’s Accountability to Congress by Andrew Levin and Christina Parajon Skinner
Reform the Federal Reserve’s Governance to Deliver Better Monetary Outcomes by Dan Katz and Stephen Miran
Don’t Audit the Fed, Restructure It by Michael Belongia and Peter Ireland
Restoring the Promise of Federal Reserve Governance by Peter Conti-Brown
Jim Hamilton on Econometrics, Energy Markets, and Low Interest Rates by Macro Musings
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:04:35) – Jeffrey’s View on “Monetary Federalism”
(00:10:01) – Reducing the Number of Regional Fed Banks
(00:13:11) – Addressing Peter Conti-Brown’s Proposals for Fed Governance Reform
(00:18:23) – Addressing Andy Levin and Christina Skinner’s Proposals for Fed Governance Reform
(00:23:07) – Altering the Fed’s Responsibilities as a Bank Regulator
(00:29:21) – What Lessons Should the Federal Reserve Learn from the Recent Inflation Surge?
(00:36:14) – The Issue of Maximum Employment
(00:46:38) – Evaluating the Fed’s Response to the Recent Inflation Episode
(00:50:45) – What Should the Fed Be Addressing During the Next Framework Review?
(00:55:01) – Outro
Mickey Levy is Chief Economist for the Americas and Asia for Berenberg Capital Markets, a Wall Street veteran, and a longstanding member of the Shadow Open Market Committee. He and his co-author, Charles Plosser, also have a new paper out titled, The Fed’s Strategic Approach to Monetary Policy Needs a Reboot. Mickey joins David on Macro Musings to discuss this paper and its implications for the upcoming Federal Reserve framework review. David and Mickey also discuss the impact and importance of a flat Phillips curve, the Fed’s policy mistakes in the wake of its new flexible average inflation targeting (FAIT) framework, recommendations for how the central bank should approach the next framework review, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Mickey’s Twitter: @mickeylevy
Mickey’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Fed’s Strategic Approach to Monetary Policy Needs a Reboot by Mickey Levy and Charles Plosser
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:50) – Mickey Levy’s Career Path and Takeaways from the Most Recent Hoover Monetary Policy Conference
(00:07:24) – What Shaped the First Framework Review?
(00:11:56) – The Fed’s Addition of “Symmetric” Inflation
(00:16:32) – Price Level Drift, Deflationary Fears, and Inflation Expectations at the Fed
(00:23:33) – The Impact and Importance of a Flat Phillips Curve
(00:27:34) – Breaking Down the Elements of FAIT and the Fed’s Policy Mistakes
(00:42:11) – Recommendations for the Fed’s Upcoming Framework Review
(00:57:54) – Outro
Lars Christensen is a founding member of the market monetarist tradition, an entrepreneur in the AI space, and is also a returning guest to Macro Musings. Lars rejoins the podcast to talk about AI and its implications for the economy and for monetary policy. David and Lars also discuss the basics and implications of dynamic pricing, AI’s growing use within econometric analysis, how AI will impact the Fed and its policymaking, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Lars’s Twitter: @MaMoMVPY
Lars’s blog
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
From Merchants to Quants: The Digital Revolution in Retail by Lars Christensen
Less Than Zero: The Case for a Falling Price Level in a Growing Economy by George Selgin
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:16) – Lars’s Move from Macro to AI
(00:08:02) – The Basics and Implications of Dynamic Pricing
(00:16:17) – Using AI for Econometric Analysis
(00:23:54) – The Implications of AI for the Economics Field
(00:35:45) – How Will AI Impact the Federal Reserve and its Policymaking
(00:38:55) – Deflation as a Response to an AI Driven Productivity Shock
(00:52:08) – Outro
Photo Credit: Nordnet Bank
Ryan Bourne is the R. Evan Scharf Chair for Public Understanding of Economic at the Cato Institute, and he is also the editor and contributor to a new book titled, The War on Prices: How Popular Misconceptions about Inflation, Prices, and Value Create Bad Policy. Ryan joins Macro Musings to talk about this new book, and specifically, the history and functionality of rent and price controls, the basics of dynamic pricing, the root causes of inflation, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Ryan’s Twitter: @MrRBourne
Ryan’s Cato profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The War on Prices: How Popular Misconceptions about Inflation, Prices, and Value Created Bad Policy by Ryan Bourne et al.
I, Pencil by Leonard Read
Forty Centuries of Wage and Prices Controls: How Not to Fight Inflation by Robert Schuettinger and Eamonn Butler
Shock Values: Prices and Inflation in American Democracy by Carola Binder
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:05) – The Background Motivation for “The War on Prices*
(00:06:32) – The Definition and Importance of Prices
(00:12:41) – The Parable of “I, Pencil”
(00:18:39) – Rationing on Quality or Quantity: Rent Control
(00:26:39) – The World War II Experience with Price Controls
(00:32:58) – Price and Wage Controls During the Nixon Administration
(00:35:48) – The Effects of a Minimum Wage
(00:38:38) – The Basics of Dynamic Pricing
(00:44:03) – Defining Inflation and Establishing its Sources
(00:56:08) – Was the Recent Inflation Surge Actually Optimal?
(00:59:51) – Outro
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute. George is also a frequent guest of the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about some of the recent developments in the monetary and fiscal policy space. Specifically, David and George discuss recent updates regarding Fed master accounts, the problematic aspects of the Fed’s balance sheet, why a second Trump term would threaten central bank independence, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Caitlin Long’s tweet regarding the Fed’s special treatment for approving master accounts
Public comments on the Proposed Guidelines for Evaluating Requests for Accounts and Services by George Selgin
Custodia Bank Inc v. Federal Reserve Board of Governors Court documents from the Wyoming District Court
Annual Report on Open Market Operations (2023) by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Trump Allies Draw Up Plans to Blunt Fed’s Independence by Andrew Restuccia, Nick Timiraos, and Alex Leary
Trump Advisers Discuss Penalties for Nations That Move Away From the Dollar by Saleha Mohsin, Jennfier Jacobs, and Nancy Cook
Hayek versus Keynes on How the Price Level Ought to Behave by George Selgin
The Menace of Fiscal QE by George Selgin
George Selgin on False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery** by Macro Musings
Timestamps:
(00:01:36) – Intro
(00:06:26) – Updates on Fed Master Accounts and the Custodia Case
(00:17:57) – Problematic Aspects of the Fed’s Balance Sheet
(00:22:50) – The Importance of the Overnight Unsecured Interbank Lending Market
(00:34:26) – Responding to the Jared Bernstein Incident
(00:46:33) – Donald Trump, Central Bank Independence, and Dollar Dominance
(00:56:54) – Outro
Roberto Perli is the manager of the System Open Market Account (SOMA) and a senior leader in the New York Fed’s Markets Group. In his role, Roberto is responsible for implementing monetary policy at the direction of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Roberto is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about a recent speech he made titled, Balance Sheet Reduction: Progress to Date and a Look Ahead. Specifically, David and Roberto discuss the Fed’s recent balance sheet activities, the basics and functionality of the overnight reverse repo facility, the importance of slowing down the Fed’s balance sheet runoff, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Roberto’s NY Fed profile
Roberto’s Twitter: @R_Perli
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Balance Sheet Reduction: Progress to Date and a Look Ahead - Remarks by Roberto Perli at the 2024 Annual Primary Dealer Meeting, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:04:49) – Breaking Down the Role of SOMA Manager
(00:08:43) – Recapping the Fed’s Balance Sheet Activities
(00:11:04) – How to Think About Quantitative Tightening
(00:13:19) – Breaking Down the Overnight Reverse Repo Facility
(00:20:42) – Slowing Down the Runoff and the Future of QT
(00:26:48) – How to Determine the Critical Level of Reserves
(00:33:03) – The Structural Demand for Bank Reserves Over Time
(00:38:55) – The Advantages of the Floor Operating System
(00:47:49) – Reserve Supply Focus Moving Forward
(00:49:44) – Outro
Mary Daly is the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), and is also a 28-year veteran of the Federal Reserve System. President Daly joins David for this special live episode of Macro Musings to talk about her non-linear career path to the world of monetary policy, the long-term economic impacts of AI, the future outlook for Fed policy and the Fed’s framework, and much more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Mary’s Twitter: @MaryDalyEcon
Mary’s San Francisco Fed profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Facts, Fears, and Functionality of NGDP Level Targeting by David Beckworth
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:01:30) – Mary Daly’s Background
(00:06:09) – Recent Inflationary Trends and the Future of Fed Policy
(00:15:39) – The Trajectory of R-Star Over the Medium to Long-Run
(00:19:06) – The Long-Term Economic Impacts of AI
(00:29:51) – Expectations for the Upcoming Fed Framework Review
(00:33:35) – Prospects for Nominal GDP Targeting at the Fed
(00:36:58) – Fed Policymaking During an Election Year
(00:38:16) – Audience Q&A Period
(01:01:09) – Outro
Dan Katz and Stephen Miran are former senior advisors for the US Treasury Department and are currently adjunct fellows at the Manhattan Institute. Dan and Stephen have also written a new paper titled, Reform the Federal Reserve’s Governance to Deliver Better Monetary Outcomes, and they join Macro Musings to talk about this paper and the proposed reforms for the Federal Reserve outlined in it. Specifically, Dan, Steve, and David discuss the ever-expanding reach of the Fed, its role as debt manager and bank regulator, the current issue with the central bank’s personnel, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Stephen’s Twitter: @SteveMiran
Stephen’s Manhattan Institute profile
Dan’s Twitter: @DanielScottKatz
Dan’s Manhattan Institute profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Reform the Federal Reserve’s Governance to Deliver Better Monetary Outcomes by Dan Katz and Stephen Miran
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:04:20) – The Fed’s Issue of Picking Winners and Losers
(00:09:17) – The Fed’s Role as Bank Regulator
(00:12:53) – The Ever-Expanding Reach of the Fed
(00:17:50) – The Fed as a Debt Manager
(00:23:33) – What Should the Fed Do in a Zero Lower Bound Environment
(00:27:26) – Personnel is Policy: The Issue with Fed Personnel
(00:29:55) – Options for Personnel Reform at the Fed
(00:38:22) – Making the Fed President Selection Process More Robust
(00:47:28) – The Nature of Debate at the Fed
(00:50:53) – The Scope for Change at the Fed
(00:53:21) – Outro
Richard Clarida is a professor of economics at Columbia University, a managing director at PIMCO, and was most recently the Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Richard rejoins David for this special bonus segment to talk about his interest in music and his first studio album, Time No Changes.
Richard’s Federal Reserve profile
Richard’s PIMCO archive
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Time No Changes by Richard Clarida
Richard Clarida on FAIT, R-Star, and the Future of the Fed’s Framework by Macro Musings
Richard Clarida is a well-known academic and policymaker who most recently was the Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Richard is currently a professor of economics at Columbia university and is also a managing director at PIMCO. Richard joins David on Macro Musings to talk about his academic and policy work, as well as his outlook for FAIT, the Fed’s framework review, the future of R-Star, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Richard’s Federal Reserve profile
Richard’s PIMCO archive
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
How the Bundesbank Conducts Monetary Policy by Richard Clarida and Mark Gertler
The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective by Richard Clarida, Jordi Gali, and Mark Gertler
Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory by Richard Clarida, Jordi Gali, and Mark Gertler
Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence by Richard Clarida, Jordi Gali, and Mark Gertler
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:03:04) – Richard Clarida’s Background
(00:11:37) – Bridging the Gap Between Academic Economics and Real-World Markets
(00:21:50) – Richard’s Journey Through the Policy World
(00:36:29) – Constructing the Fed’s FAIT Framework
(00:40:53) – Evaluating the Results of the FAIT Framework
(00:54:17) – The Future of the Fed’s Framework
(00:57:08) – The Future of R-Star
(01:00:50) – Outro
Saleha Mohsin is a senior Washington correspondent for Bloomberg News, where she covers policy, politics, and power in Washington, DC. Saleha is also the author of a new book titled, Paper Soldiers: How the Weaponization of the Dollar Changed the World Order, and she joins David on Macro Musings to talk about it. Specifically, David and Saleha also discuss the intelligence and enforcement tools of the US Treasury, the basics and importance of SWIFT, the effectiveness of US sanctions, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Saleha’s Twitter: @SalehaMohsin
Saleha’s Bloomberg archive
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Check out our new AI chatbot: the Macro Musebot!
Join the new Macro Musings Discord server!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Paper Soldiers: How the Weaponization of the Dollar Changed the World Order by Saleha Mohsin
The Big Take hosted by Saleha Mohsin
Timestamps:
(00:00:00) – Intro
(00:03:43) – The Weaponization of the Dollar on the Global Stage
(00:08:55) – The Intelligence and Enforcement Tools of the US Treasury Department
(00:13:10) – Breaking Down SWIFT and Its Importance
(00:18:27) – Sanctioning Russian Oligarchs
(00:22:42) – The Importance and Significance of Robert Rubin
(00:25:29) – The George W. Bush of the Treasury Department
(00:37:42) – Breaking Down the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
(00:41:06) – The Trump Administration, China, and the Rise of Populism
(00:45:30) – Evaluating the Effectiveness of the Russia Sanctions
(00:51:18) – Threats to the US in the Future
(00:52:48) – Outro
Josh Hendrickson is the chair of the department of economics at the University of Mississippi and is the author of a new paper that looks at dollar dominance through the broad historical perspective of what is called the “Treasury Standard.” Josh is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he rejoins the podcast to talk about this paper and the Treasury Standard concept. David and Josh also discuss the state’s monopoly over money, the path to global dollar dominance, the path dependency of the dollar system, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Josh’s Twitter: @RebelEconProf
Josh’s Ole Miss profile
Josh’s joint Substack
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Treasury Standard: Causes and Consequences by Joshua Hendrickson
If Things Are So Great, Why Don’t People Think So? by Josh Hendrickson
The Cost of Money is Part of the Cost of Living: New Evidence on the Consumer Sentiment Anomaly by Marijn Bolhuis, Judd Cramer, Karl Schulz, and Lawrence Summers
On a Correct Measure of Inflation by Armen Alchian and Benjamin Klein
Julia Coronado is the president and founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, a Wall Street research firm. Julia was also recently the president of the National Association of Business Economists, and she has served as an economist on Wall Street and at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Julia is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and she rejoins the podcast to talk about the prospects of a productivity surge, the Fed’s journey to a soft landing, the state of the commercial real estate market, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Julia’s Twitter: @jc_econ
Julia’s MacroPolicy Perspectives profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Isabel Schnabel is a Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, and she joins David on Macro Musings to talk about the ECB and its new operational framework. Specifically, David and Isabel also discuss the structure, operations, and monetary policy instruments of the ECB, the history of its operating framework, the details surrounding its new regime, and more.
Transcript for this week's episode.
Isabel’s Twitter: @Isabel_Schnabel
Isabel’s ECB profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Eurosystem’s Operational Framework - Speech by Isabel Schnabel at the Money Market Contact Group meeting
Slides for The Eurosystem’s Operational Framework by Isabel Schnabel
Back to Normal? Balance Sheet Size and Interest Rate Control* - Speech by Isabel Schnabel at an event organized by Columbia University and SGH Macro Advisors
Slides for Back to Normal? Balance Sheet Size and Interest Rate Control by Isabel Schnabel
Andy Levin is a professor of economics at Dartmouth University and a former senior staffer at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Christina Parajon Skinner is a legal scholar at the University of Pennsylvania and formerly was legal counsel to the Bank of England. Andy and Christina have co-authored a new article titled, Central Bank Undersight: Assessing the Fed’s Accountability to Congress, and they rejoin David on Macro Musings to talk about it. Specifically, they discuss the Fed’s power under a constitutional authority, the three sources of Fed undersight, proposals for reform, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Andrew’s Twitter: @andrewtlevin
Andrew’s Dartmouth profile
Christina’s Twitter: @CParaSkinner
Christina’s UPenn profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Central Bank Undersight: Assessing the Fed’s Accountability to Congress by Andrew Levin and Christina Parajon Skinner
Andrew Levin on the Costs and Benefits of QE4 and the Future of the Fed’s Balance Sheet by Macro Musings
Anat Admati is a professor of finance and economics at Stanford University and is the coauthor of the 2013 book, The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong With Banking and What to Do About It. Anat is also a returning guest to Macro Musings and she rejoins the podcast to talk about the 2024 expanded edition of the same book, as well as the most recent developments in banking. David and Anat also discuss the effectiveness of post-financial crisis regulations, the design and impact of Basel III Endgame, the fallout from the most recent regional banking crisis, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Anat’s Twitter: @anatadmati
Anat’s Stanford profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong With Banking and What to Do About It – New and Expanded Edition by Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig
The Parade of Bankers’ New Clothes Continues: 34 Flawed Claims Debunked by Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig
Anat Admati on Debt, Equity, and Financial Instability by Macro Musings
Anat Admati on the Perils of Corporate Debt and How COVID-19 Relief Efforts Have Gone Wrong by Macro Musings
Why the Innocent Plead Guilty and the Guilty Go Free: And Other Paradoxes of Our Broken Legal System by Jed Rakoff
Steven Kamin is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, was previously the director of the Division of International Finance at the Federal Reserve Board, and is a returning guest to the podcast. Mark Sobel is the US Chairman at the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum, and he previously served at the US Department of the Treasury for nearly four decades, including as Deputy Assistant Secretary for International Monetary and Financial Policy from 2000 to early 2015. Also, from 2015 through 2018, Mark served as a US representative at the IMF. Steven and Mark join Macro Musings to talk about dollar dominance and whether or not it is here to stay. Specifically, Steven and Mark also discuss current debates surrounding dollarization, the threat that China poses to dollar dominance, the weaponization of the dollar in the global economy, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Steven’s Twitter: @steven_kamin
Steven’s AEI profile
Mark’s Twitter: @sobel_mark
Mark’s CSIS profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Dollar Dominance is Here to Stay for the Foreseeable Future—the Real Issue for the Global Economy is How and Why by Steven Kamin and Mark Sobel
Steven Kamin on the Global Influence of Fed Policy and the U.S. Dollar by Macro Musings
US Sanctions Reinforce the Dollar’s Dominance by Michael Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter Garber
Peter Williams is a managing director of macroeconomic research at 22V Research and was formerly at the IMF and the World Bank. Peter joins David on Macro Musings to provide a market perspective on interest rates, Treasury markets, and monetary policy. Specifically, David and Peter discuss the dos and don’ts of estimating term premiums, the importance and future of R-star, the usefulness of inflation expectations, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Peter's Twitter: @peterdwilliams
Peter’s LinkedIn profile
Peter’s 22V bio
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
A Macroeconomic Approach to the Term Premium by Emanuel Kopp and Peter Williams
Reading the Stars by Peter Williams, Yasser Abdih, and Emanuel Kopp
Inflation Expectations in the U.S.: Linking Markets, Households, and Businesses by Peter Williams
Bill Nelson is the chief economist and an executive vice president at the Bank Policy Institute. Bill previously was a deputy director of the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board, where his responsibilities included monetary policy analysis, discount window policy analysis, and financial institution supervision. Bill also worked closely with the BIS working groups in the design of liquidity regulations. As a returning guest to Macro Musings, he rejoins David to talk about the recent proposals to improve the Fed’s lender of last resort role via the discount window, as well as recent developments related to the Fed’s balance sheet.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Bill’s BPI profile
BPI’s Twitter: @bankpolicy
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Comment on the New G30 Report by Bill Nelson
Bank Failures and Contagion: Lenders of Last Resort, Liquidity, and Risk Management by the Group of Thirty
Eric Leeper is a professor of economics at the University of Virginia, a former advisor to central banks around the world, and a distinguished visiting scholar at the Mercatus Center. Eric is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about his work on the fiscal accounting of the COVID inflation surge. Specifically, David and Eric discuss fiscal dominance during the pandemic period, how the fiscal theory of the price level explains inflationary trends, the backward and forward-looking fiscal accounting exercises, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Eric’s Twitter: @EricMLeeper
Eric’s UVA profile
Eric’s Mercatus profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
A Fiscal Accounting of COVID Inflation by Eric Leeper and Joe Anderson
Fiscal Dominance—What It Is and How It Threatens Inflation Control by Eric Leeper
Three World Wars: Fiscal-Monetary Consequences by George Hall and Thomas Sargent
The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level With a Bubble by Markus Brunnermeier, Sebastian Merkel, and Yuliy Sannikov
George Hall on the History of the U.S. National Debt and Government Financing by Macro Musings
Jeffrey Lacker is a former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, where he served as its head from 2004 to 2017. Jeffrey is now a senior affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center and is also a returning guest to the podcast. He rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about a wide range of Fed governance issues, including the evolving nature of governance at the Fed, the increasing politicization of the central bank, its continuing relationship with Congress, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Jeffrey’s Mercatus profile
Jeffrey’s website
Jeffrey’s Richmond Fed archive
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Governance and Diversity at the Federal Reserve by Jeffrey Lacker
Some Questions About the Fed’s Monetary Policy Operating Regime by Jeffrey Lacker
The Legacy of Bennett McCallum and Lessons for Monetary Policy Today an event hosted by the Mercatus Center
Ed Nelson on the Life, Work, and Legacy of Bennett McCallum by Macro Musings
What Can the Fed Do About the Deficit? Nothing by Greg Ip
Mark Koyama is an associate professor of economics at George Mason University and is a senior fellow with the F.A. Hayek Program for Advanced Study in Philosophy, Politics, and Economics at the Mercatus Center. Mark is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about his recent book that he co-authored with Jared Rubin titled, How the World Became Rich: The Historical Origins of Economic Growth. Specifically, David and Mark discuss the key drivers of long-run economic growth throughout history and what we might be able to expect in the future.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Mark’s Twitter: @MarkKoyama
Mark’s GMU profile
Mark’s Mercatus profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
How the World Became Rich: The Historical Origins of Economic Growth by Mark Koyama and Jared Rubin
Gauti Eggertsson is a professor of economics at Brown University and is the author of several recent papers on the causes of the 2021-22 inflation surge and the lessons to be drawn from it for monetary policy going forward. Gauti is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he rejoins the show to talk about these papers and their findings. Specifically, David and Gauti discuss the role of the Fed’s FAIT framework in the post-pandemic inflation surge, the return of the non-linear Phillips curve, the merits of nominal GDP targeting and average nominal output targeting, Gauti’s policy suggestions for the Fed, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Gauti’s Twitter: @GautiEggertsson
Gauti’s website
Gauti’s Brown University profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Inflation Surge of the 2020s: The Role of Monetary Policy by Gauti Eggertsson and Donald Kohn
It’s Baaack: The Surge in Inflation in the 2020s and the Return of the Non-Linear Phillips Curve by Pierpaolo Benigno and Gauti Eggertsson
The Slanted-L Phillips Curve by Pierpaolo Benigno and Gauti Eggertsson
A Toolkit for Solving Models with a Lower Bound on Interest Rates of Stochastic Duration by Gauti Eggertsson, Sergey Egiev, Alessandro Lin, Josef Platzer, and Luca Riva
The Fed’s New Policy Framework: A Major Improvement but More Can Be Done by Gauti Eggertsson, Sergey Egiev, Alessandro Lin, Josef Platzer, and Luca Riva
The Princeton School and the Zero Lower Bound by Scott Sumner
Temporary Price-Level Targeting: An Alternative Framework for Monetary Policy by Ben Bernanke
Jonathon Hazell is an assistant professor of economics at the London School of Economics. Jonathon joins Macro Musings to talk about Phillips curves, R-stars, and nominal wage rigidity. Specifically, Jonathon and David also discuss the how to view the recent inflation experience, how to measure the natural rate using natural experiments, the downward nature of wage rigidity, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Jonathon’s Twitter: @JADHazell
Jonathon’s website
Jonathon’s LSE profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Natural Rate of Return on Capital: Replication Package by Jonathon Hazell, Veronica Backer-Peral, and Atif Mian
The Slope of the Phillips Curve: Evidence From US States by Jonathon Hazell, Juan Herreno, Emi Nakamura, and Jon Steinsson
Measuring the Natural Rate Using Natural Experiments by Veronica Backer-Peral, Jonathon Hazell, and Atif Mian
Downward Rigidity in the Wage for New Hires by Jonathon Hazell and Bledi Taska
National Wage Setting by Jonathon Hazell, Christina Patterson, Heather Sarsons, and Bledi Taska
The Unemployment Volatility Puzzle: Is Wage Stickiness the Answer? by Christopher Pissarides
Skanda Amarnath is the executive director of Employ America, a think tank that promotes full employment in the American economy, and Preston Mui is also a senior economist at Employ America. Skanda and Preston join Macro Musings to talk about U.S. disinflation and the debates surrounding it, as well as what we can expect from Fed policy in 2024 and beyond, and finally, the Fed’s framework review that is set to begin later this year.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Skanda’s Twitter: @IrvingSwisher
Skanda’s Medium archive
Preston’s Twitter: @PrestonMui
Preston’s Github profile
Skanda and Preston’s Employ America bios
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Ten Thoughts on the Tribal “Transitory” Debate as We Enter 2024 by Skanda Amarnath
Three Motivations for Interest Rate Normalization: A Playbook for Fed Policy in 2024 by Preston Mui and Skanda Amarnath
Jerome Powell’s Opening Remarks at Monetary Policy Challenges in a Global Economy, a policy panel at the 24th Jacques Polak Annual Research Conferences, hosted by the IMF
Claudio Borio is the head of the Monetary and Economic Department at the Bank for International Settlements, or BIS. Claudio is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about central bank operating systems and the challenge of large balance sheets at central banks. David and Claudio also discuss the basics and uniqueness of the scarce reserve system, the arguments in favor of an abundant reserve system, the politics of large central bank balance sheets, the possibility of a tiered reserve system, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Claudio’s BIS profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Getting Up From the Floor by Claudio Borio
Why Central Banks Should (but Might Not) Keep the Market Flooded With Money by Jon Sindreu
Corridor, Floor, Other: Are Operating Frameworks Fit for the Future? by Daniel Hinge
Colby Smith is the US economics editor for the Financial Times, Steven Kelly is the Associate Director of Research at the Yale Program on Financial Stability, and Gerard DiPippo is the Senior Geoeconomics Analyst at Bloomberg. For this special year-end episode of Macro Musings, Colby, Steven, and Gerard join David to talk about the major surprises, themes, and underreported as well as overreported stories of the past year. They also discuss their prediction outcomes throughout 2023, the economic and political landscape ahead for 2024, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Colby’s FT profile
Colby’s Twitter: @colbyLsmith
Steven’s Substack: Without Warning
Steven’s Twitter: @StevenKelly49
Gerard’s Twitter: @gdp1985
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Sunk Costs: The Difficulty of Using Sanctions to Deter China in a Taiwan Crisis by Gerard DiPippo and Jude Blanchette
Getting Up from the Floor by Claudio Borio
Tyler Cowen is a professor of economics at George Mason University, and is the co-author of the popular economics blog, Marginal Revolution. Tyler has also published widely in the field of economics, and he is the author of numerous books, including his most recent one titled, GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of All Time, and Why Does it Matter? As a returning guest to show, Tyler rejoins Macro Musings for this special holiday episode to break down who should be considered the greatest economist of all time. David and Tyler also assign awards to the best performing macroeconomic theories of the past decade, in addition to discussing Tyler’s view on recent deflationary trends, the Fed’s framework, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Tyler’s Mercatus profile
Tyler’s blog: Marginal Revolution
Tyler’s Twitter: @tylercowen
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Donate to Macro Musings!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of All Time and Why Does it Matter? by Tyler Cowen
Tyler Cowen on the Culture of Big Business in the United States by Macro Musings
Nicolas Cachanosky is an associate professor of economics at the University of Texas at El Paso, and he, along with Emilio Ocampo, are the authors of a recent book titled, Dollarization: A Solution for Argentina. Nicolas joins Macro Musings to talk about the potential dollarization of Argentina, including what it would require and mean for the country. Specifically, David and Nicolas also discuss Argentina’s hyperinflationary experience, the three necessary steps for dollarization, the differences between dollarization and currency boards, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Nicolas’s Substack: Economic Order
Nicolas’s Twitter: @n_cachanosky
Nicolas’s website
Nicolas’s UTEP profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Donate to Macro Musings!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Dollarization: A Solution for Argentina by Nicolas Cachanosky and Emilio Ocampo
How to Dollarize Argentina by Nicolas Cachanosky
Pro Dollarization by John Cochrane
Argentina Dollarization Is Medium-Term Goal, Caputo Tells Bankers by Ignacio Olivera Doll
Charles Evans was a 31-year veteran of the Federal Reserve System, serving as a researcher, vice president, and, ultimately, president and CEO of the Chicago Fed from 2007 to 2023. Charles joins Macro Musings to talk about his past and ongoing work on US monetary policy. Specifically, Charles and David discuss his work as a regional bank president and a member of the FOMC, the creation and adoption of the Evans rule, the current path of R-Star, the future of the Fed’s framework, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Charles’s Chicago Fed profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Donate to Macro Musings!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Implications for the Federal Reserve’s MP Framework in the Future by Charles Evans
Matteo Maggiori is a professor of finance at Stanford University and a returning guest to the podcast, and Jesse Schreger is an associate professor of economics at Columbia University. Matteo and Jesse, along with Christopher Clayton, have recently authored a paper titled, A Framework for Geoeconomics, and they join David on Macro Musings to discuss it. Specifically, Matteo, Jesse, and David also discuss the basics, core concepts, and real world examples of geoeconomics, the key elements of a global hegemon, the future of the discipline, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Matteo’s Twitter: @m_maggiori
Matteo’s Stanford profile
Matteo’s website
Jesse’s Twitter: @JSchreger
Jesse’s Columbia profile
Jesse’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Donate to Macro Musings!
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
A Framework for Geoeconomics by Christopher Clayton, Matteo Maggiori, and Jesse Schreger
My Economic Statecraft Syllabus by Daniel Drezner
A Model of the International Monetary System by Emmanuel Farhi and Matteo Maggiori
National Power and the Structure of Foreign Trade by Albert Hirschman
Bucking the Buck: US Financial Sanctions and the International Backlash Against the Dollar by Daniel McDowell
Matthew Raskin is the US head of rates research at Deutsche Bank and was formerly a senior staff member of the Federal Reserve System. Matthew joins David on Macro Musings to talk about interest rates, QE, QT, and the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. David and Matthew also discuss the inside story behind the Fed’s shift in operating system, Matthew’s framework for long-term interest rates, how to improve the liquidity and stability of the Treasury market, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Matthew’s LinkedIn profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Financial Market Effects of the Federal Reserve’s Large-Scale Asset Purchases by Joseph Gagnon, Matthew Raskin, Julie Remache, and Brian Sack
David Papell is a professor of economics at the University of Houston and has published widely on monetary policy rules. David joins Macro Musings to talk about his recent paper, Policy Rules and Forward Guidance Following the COVID-19 Recession, as well as the origins, past uses, and current applications of monetary policy rules.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
David’s Twitter: @DavidPapell
David’s University of Houston portal
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Fed Approaches the End of the Rate Hiking Cycle by David Papell and Ruxandra Prodan
Policy Rules and Forward Guidance Following the COVID-19 Recession by David Papell and Ruxandra Prodan
Policy Rule Legislation in Practice by Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, David Papell, and Ruxandra Prodan
Policy Rules and Economic Performance by Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, David Papell, and Ruxandra Prodan
Rachel Siegel is a reporter for the Washington Post, where she covers the Federal Reserve and also reports on the domestic economy more broadly. Rachel joins Macro Musings to talk about the current Fed beat as well as her work on other economic issues, including how the Fed deals with physical cash, the precarious state of the commercial real estate market, the potential issues facing voters heading into the 2024 election, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Rachel’s Twitter: @rachsieg
Rachels Washington Post profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Two Blocks from the Federal Reserve, a Growing Encampment of the Homeless Grips the Economy’s Most Powerful Person by Rachel Siegel
The High-tech, Super-secure Government Warehouse Where Old Cash Dies by Rachel Siegel, Joy Sharon Yi, Hannah Yoon, and Emily Wright
How the ‘Urban Doom Loop’ Could Pose the Next Economic Threat by Rachel Siegel
Austin’s Office Market is Exploding. But No One is Moving in by Rachel Siegel
Remote Work Guru Nick Bloom Thinks We’ll Never Go Back to the Office Full-time – But ‘Maintaining Discipline is Important’ by Geoff Colvin
Will Bateman is an associate professor and associate dean of research at the Australian National University College of Law. Will has recently authored a paper titled, The Fiscal Fed, which takes a close look at the Fed’s fiscal functions during the two World Wars, the Great Depression, the Cold War, the global financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Will joins Macro Musings to talk about this paper, the origins and evolution of the Fed, the implications for policymakers, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Will’s ANU profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Fiscal Fed by Will Bateman
The Law of Monetary Finance Under Conventional Monetary Policy by Will Bateman
PJ Glandon is an associate professor of economics at Kenyon College, where he also serves as chair of the economics department. PJ joins David on Macro Musings to talk about his recent co-authored article, Macroeconomics Research: Present and Past. David and PJ also more broadly discuss the state of macroeconomics as a discipline, both in terms of research and pedagogy.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
PJ’s Twitter: @pjglandon
PJ’s Kenyon profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Macroeconomics Research, Present and Past by PJ Glandon, Ken Kuttner, Sandeep Mazumder, and Caleb Stroup
Let’s Close the Gap: Updating the Textbook Treatment of Monetary Policy by Jane Ihrig and Scott Wolla
Ed Nelson is a senior advisor in the Monetary Affairs Division of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Ed has also previously been a professor of economics at the University of Sydney and has worked at the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as well as the Bank of England. Most importantly, however, Ed was also a former student of, and co-author with, the late Bennett McCallum, and he rejoins David for this special live episode of Macro Musings to talk about Bennett McCallum’s life, his work, and his legacy within the field of monetary economics.
Check out the entirety of the Bennett McCallum Monetary Policy Conference!
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Ed’s website
Ed’s Federal Reserve profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Sam Hammond is a senior economist at the Foundation for American Innovation and is non-resident fellow at the Niskanen Institute. Sam is also a previous guest of the show, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about artificial intelligence and the future of the state. Specifically, David and Sam discuss the current AI environment, how private AI may replace functions of the state, key moments in the techno-feudalistic future of AI, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Sam’s Twitter: @hamandcheese
Sam’s FAI profile
Sam’s blog
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
AI and Leviathan: The Institutional Economics of an Intelligence Explosion by Sam Hammond
AI and Leviathan: Preparing for Regime Change by Sam Hammond
AI and Leviathan: A Timeline of Our Techno-Feudalist Future by Sam Hammond
Attention is All You Need by Ashish Vaswani et al.
Marc Goldwein is the Senior Vice President and Senior Policy Director for the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), where he guides and conducts research on a wide array of topics related to fiscal policy and the federal budget. Marc joins Macro Musings to talk about the US government budget, its structure, its challenges, and its long-term trajectories. David and Marc also discuss the basics of government shutdowns and the budgetary process, how the most recent inflationary episode unfolded, how to fix the US budget over the long run, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Last chance to register for the Bennett McCallum Monetary Policy Conference!
Marc’s CRFB profile
Marc’s Twitter: @MarcGoldwein
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Government Shutdowns Q&A: Everything You Should Know by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget
Retirees Face a $17,400 Cut if Social Security Isn’t Saved by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget
Amid GOP Confusion, U.S. Braces for ‘First-ever Shutdown About Nothing’ by Jeff Stein
Lev Menand is an associate professor of law at Columbia University and Josh Younger is a senior policy advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and a lecturer at Columbia Law School. Lev and Josh also recently co-authored a paper titled, Money and the Public Debt: Treasury Market Liquidity as a Legal Phenomenon. They are also returning guests to Macro Musings, and rejoin the podcast to talk about this paper and its implications for the Treasury market. Lev, Josh, and David also discuss the transition from bank to market financing, whether an increasing level of debt is leading to more instability, the impact of recent regulations on the primary dealer system, how to restore the balance between public debt and money creation, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Register now for the Bennett McCallum Monetary Policy Conference!
Josh’s Columbia Law profile
Lev’s Columbia Law profile
Lev’s Twitter: @LevMenand
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Money and the Public Debt: Treasury Market Liquidity as a Legal Phenomenon by Lev Menand and Josh Younger
The Fed Unbound: Central Banking in a Time of Crisis by Lev Menand
Thomas Hoenig is a distinguished senior fellow with the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, where he focuses on the long-term impacts of the politicization of financial services as well as the effects of government-granted privileges and market performance. He was formerly the vice chair of the FDIC from 2012 to 2018 and the 20 years prior to that, he was president of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank. Tom is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he rejoins to talk about the Treasury market, public debt sustainability issues, and the state of banking in the United States. David and Tom also discuss the history of Tom’s influence on the Jackson Hole Conference, the growing size of the US current account deficit, the Fed’s role as the primary Treasury market backstop, the dangers of risk-weighted capital regulation, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Register now for the Bennett McCallum Monetary Policy Conference!
Thomas’s Twitter: @tom_hoenig
Thomas’s Mercatus profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Housing IS the Business Cycle by Edward Leamer
Understanding the Greenspan Standard by Alan Blinder and Ricardo Reis
Living with High Public Debt by Serkan Arslanalp and Barry Eichengreen
Has Financial Development Made the World Riskier? by Raghuram Rajan
Resilience Redux in the US Treasury Market by Darrell Duffie
Meet the Man Making Big Banks Tremble by Jeanna Smialek and Emily Flitter
Robert McCauley is a senior fellow at the Global Development Policy Center at Boston University, an Associate Member of the Faculty of History at the University of Oxford, and was formerly at the Bank of International Settlements for 25 years and the New York Federal Reserve Bank for 14 years. Robert is also a returning guest to the show, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about his recent article titled, Bond Market Crisis and the International Lender of Last Resort David and Robert also discuss the basics of a bond market run, the policy reaction and implications of the 2020 “Dash for Cash”, the possible concerns with corporate bond facilities, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Register now for the Bennett McCallum Monetary Policy Conference!
Robert’s Boston University profile
Robert’s BIS archive
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Bond Market Crises and the International Lender of Last Resort by Robert McCauley
Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises, 8th Edition by Robert Aliber, Charles Kindleberger and Robert McCauley
Robert McCauley on the Global Domain of the Dollar and Threats to its Dominance by the Macro Musings Podcast
Joe Gagnon is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and was formerly a senior staffer at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Joe is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he rejoins the podcast to talk about Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Specifically, Joe and David talk about the future direction of r star, what current inflationary trends mean for the Phillips curve, the Fed’s commitment to a two percent inflation target, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Register now for the Bennett McCallum Monetary Policy Conference!
Joe’s Twitter: @GagnonMacro
Joe’s PIIE profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve Around the World by Joe Gagnon, Kristin Forbes, and Christopher Collins
Fed Chair Powell’s Message in Jackson Hole: Two Means Two by David Wilcox
Why the Era of Historically Low Interest Rates Could Be Over by Nick Timiraos
Nicholas Anthony is a policy analyst at the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives and works on issues relating to financial privacy, cryptocurrencies, and the use of money in society. Nicholas joins Macro Musings to talk about central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and the recent developments surrounding CBDCs at the Fed and in Congress. Specifically, David and Nicholas discuss the arguments for and against CBDCs, the preemptive, behavioral, and punitive applications of these currencies, who would benefit from the development of CBDCs, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Nicholas’s Twitter @EconWithNick
Nicholas’s Cato Institute profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Central Bank Digital Currency: Assessing the Risks and Dispelling the Myths by Nicholas Anthony and Norbert Michel
CBDC Legislation Recap by Nicholas Anthony
House Hearing and FOIA Reveals Fed’s Stance on CBDC by Nicholas Anthony
The Fed’s Questionable CBDC Campaign by Nicholas Anthony
Who Really Benefits from CBDCs? It’s Not the Public by Nicholas Anthony and Norbert Michel
Questions of CBDC Cronyism Emerge as Fed Launches Pilot by Nicholas Anthony
Nigerians’ Rejection of Their CBDC is a Cautionary Tale for Other Countries by Nicholas Anthony
Nigeria’s CBDC Was Not Chosen. It Was Forced by Nicholas Anthony
The Risks of CBDCs: Why Central Bank Digital Currencies Shouldn’t Be Adopted by Norbert Michel and Nicholas Anthony
The Digital Euro: A Solution Seeking a Problem? by Martin Arnold and Sam Fleming
John Coates is a professor of law and economics and the deputy dean of the Harvard Law School. John is also the author of a new book titled, The Problem of Twelve: When a Few Financial Institutions Control Everything, and he joins Macro Musings to talk about it. David and John also discuss the basics and beginnings of index funds, how they may undermine capitalism, the issues with private equity, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
John’s Harvard Law School profile
John’s publications archive
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Problem of Twelve: When a Few Financial Institutions Control Everything by John Coates
House Republicans Probe BlackRock, Vanguard on Their ESG Policies by Steven Dennis
BlackRock Offers a Vote to Retail Investors in its Biggest ETF by Brooke Masters
Zac Gross is a senior lecturer at Monash University and was formerly an economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia. Zac joins Macro Musings to talk about the Australian central bank and the recent review of its framework. Specifically, David and Zac also break down Australian monetary policy over the past few decades, the RBA’s yield curve control experiment, the future of its operating system, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Zac’s Twitter: @ZacGross
Zac’s website
Zac’s Substack
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Assessing Australian Monetary Policy in the Twenty-First Century By Isaac Gross and Andrew Leigh
An RBA Fit for the Future by Gordon de Brouwer, Renee Fry-McKibbin, and Carolyn Wilkins
Larry White is a professor of economics at George Mason University and is the author of a new book titled, Better Money: Gold, Fiat, or Bitcoin? Larry is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he rejoins the podcast to discuss this book and the comparison among those monetary standards. David and Larry specifically discuss the bottom-up vs. top-down theories of money, the basics and functionality of a gold, bitcoin, and fiat standards, the future of money, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Larry’s Twitter: @lawrencehwhite1
Larry’s Mercatus profile
Larry’s GMU profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Better Money: Gold, Fiat, or Bitcoin? by Lawrence White
Larry White on Stablecoins, Money Market Funds, and the History of Free Banking by Macro Musings
Ricardo Reis is a professor of economics at the London School of Economics and is the co-author of a new book titled, A Crash Course on Crises: Macroeconomic Concepts for Run-ups, Collapses, and Recoveries. Ricardo is also a previous guest of Macro Musings and he rejoins the podcast to talk about his new book as well as his overall assessment of the inflation surge of the past few years. David and Ricardo specifically discuss what constitutes a bubble, the Eurozone crisis as a story of capital inflows and misallocation, shadow banking and systemic risk during the 2008 financial crisis, Ricardo’s view of the Phillips curve, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Ricardo’s Twitter: @R2Rsquared
Ricardo’s LSE profile
Ricardo’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
A Crash Course on Crises: Macroeconomic Concepts for Run-Ups, Collapses, and Recoveries by Ricardo Reis and Markus Brunnermeier
Ricardo Reis on Central Bank Swap Lines, Fiscal Sustainability, and Outlooks for Inflation by Macro Musings
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute. George is also a frequent guest on Macro Musings, and he rejoins the podcast to talk about some of the recent developments in the monetary and financial policy space. Specifically, David and George discuss the history and present developments surrounding FedNow, the future of real-time payments, how to revise the Fed’s operating system, whether the Fed is currently delivering on a soft landing, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George Cato Institute profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
George Selgin on False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery** by Macro Musings
Getting Up From the Floor by Claudio Borio
Opening a Federal Reserve Account by Julie Hill
From Cannabis to Crypto: Federal Reserve Discretion in Payments by Julie Hill
Fiscal Arithmetic and the Global Inflation Outlook by Peder Beck-Friis and Richard Clarida
Bryan Cutsinger is an assistant professor of economics at Angelo State University and Louis Rouanet is an assistant professor of economics at the University of Texas, El Paso. Bryan and Louis join Macro Musings to talk about the French Revolution, France’s public finances, its bout with hyperinflation, and finally, the implications of this experience for macroeconomic theory today. Specifically, David, Bryan and Louis also discuss the creation and widespread dissemination of assignats, the emergence guillotine-backed currency in France, the state vs. market theories of money, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Bryan’s Twitter: @BryanPCutsinger
Bryan’s website
Bryan’s ASU profile
Louis’s Twitter: @LouisROUANET
Louis’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Assignats or Death: The Politics and Dynamics of Hyperinflation in Revolutionary France by Bryan Cutsinger, Louis Rouanet, and Joshua Ingber
Macroeconomics Features of the French Revolution by Thomas Sargent and Francois Velde
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde is a professor of economics at the University of Pennsylvania and is the co-director of the Business, Economic, and Financial History Project at the Wharton School of Business. Jesus is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about recent macroeconomic developments, the demographic issues facing the world, and AI’s implications for economic growth. Specifically, David and Jesus also discuss whether we needed the fiscal and monetary stimulus of 2021, the European Inflation Story, South Korea as a case study for global demographic trends, how quantum computing will may impact macroeconomics in the future, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Jesus’s UPenn profile
Jesus’s NBER archive
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Demographic Future of Humanity: The Trends by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde
The Demographic Future of Humanity: Economic Challenge by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde
The Demographic Future of Humanity: Social Change by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde
Dynamic Programming on a Quantum Annealer: Solving the RBC Model by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Isaiah Hull
Chris Conlon is an associate professor of economics at the NYU Stern School of Business where he focuses on industrial organization economics and econometrics. Chris joins David on Macro Musings to help shed light on the 2021-2023 inflation surge from the perspective of an IO economist. Specifically, David and Chris discuss the great markup debate within IO economics, the shaky foundation of greedflation, the cost anticipation story of higher prices, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Chris’s Twitter: @conlon_chris
Chris’s website
Chris’s NYU profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Rising Markups, Rising Prices? by Chris Conlon, Nathan Miller, Tsolmon Otgon, and Yi Yao
Chris’s Twitter thread on the recent inflationary episode
The Rise of Market Power and the Macroeconomics Implications by Jan De Loecker, Jan Eeckhout, and Gabriel Unger
How Much Have Record Corporate Profits Contributed to Recent Inflation? by Andrew Glover, Jose Mustre-del-Rio, Alice von Ende-Becker
Tim Lee is an independent journalist who formerly worked for the Washington Post, Vox, and Ars Technica, where he covered tech policy, blockchain issues, the future of transportation, and the economy. Tim currently produces the newsletter, Understanding AI, and is also a returning guest to Macro Musings. He rejoins the podcast to talk about AI, automation, and its implications for the macroeconomy and policy. Specifically, David and Tim also discuss the singularism vs physicalism debate, the possible threats posed by AI, how the regulatory landscape will be affected by AI, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Tim’s Twitter: @binarybits
Tim’s newsletter: Understanding AI
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The AI Safety Debate is Focusing on the Wrong Threats by Tim Lee
Congress Shouldn’t Rush Into Regulating AI by Tim Lee
The Death of Self-Driving Cars is Greatly Exaggerated by Tim Lee
I Ordered Robot Takeout on Two Campuses with Wildly Different Results by Tim Lee
Why I’m Not Worried About AI Causing Mass Unemployment by Tim Lee
US Air Force Says it Did Not Run Simulation in Which AI Drone ‘Killed its Operator’ by Tom Vanden Brook and Kim Hjelmgaard
Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity by Daron Acemoglu and Simon Johnson
Steven Kamin is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and previously was the director of the Division of International Finance at the Federal Reserve Board. Steve joins David on Macro Musings to talk about the US dollar and its implications for policy and the economy. Specifically, David and Steven discuss the effects of Fed policy on emerging markets, the factors that are driving a higher global equilibrium real interest rate, how to reconcile the domestic and international impacts of Fed policy, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Steven’s Twitter: @steven_kamin
Steven’s AEI profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Will the Strong Dollar Trigger a Global Recession? by Steven Kamin
How Do Rising US Interest Rates Affect Emerging and Developing Economies? It Depends by Steven Kamin, Carlos Arteta, and Franz Ulrich
Are Higher US Interest Rates Always Bad News for Emerging Markets? by Steven Kamin, Jasper Hoek, and Emre Yoldas
Chris Hughes is a senior fellow at the Institute on Race, Power, and Political Economy at The New School, and he is also the co-founder of the Economic Security Project and a senior advisor at the Roosevelt Institute. Previously, he was also the publisher of The New Republic and is a co-founder of Facebook. Chris joins Macro Musings to talk about his work on Arthur Burns’ tenure as Fed Chair and the lessons we can learn from it as applied to today’s inflation experience. Specifically, David and Chris also discuss Arthur Burns’ view of the economy and inflation, how his perspective on business psychology impacted these views, Burns’ view of fiscal and industrial policy as a tool for combating inflation, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Chris’s Twitter: @chrishughes
Chris’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Rethinking Arthur Bruns, the “Worst” Fed Chair in History by Chris Hughes
Digital Dollars: Critical Design Choices and Effects of a Central Bank Digital Currency by Chris Hughes
Peter Stella is the former head of the IMF’s Central Banking Division and has researched and written extensively on safe assets, collateral, and central bank operations. He now hosts the website, Central Banking Archaeology and continues to consult with the IMF on central bank balance sheet issues. Peter is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the quasi-fiscal implications of central bank crisis intervention over the past few years. David and Peter also discuss the losses on the Fed’s balance sheet, using market value versus the par value of debt, the Fed’s debt management issues with mortgage backed securities, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode.
Peter’s Twitter: @Stellar_Consult
Peter’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Quasi-Fiscal Implications of Central Bank Crisis Interventions: Case Studies by Peter Stella, John Hooley, and Claney Lattie
Do Central Banks Need Capital? by Peter Stella
Exiting Well by Peter Stella
Christina Skinner is a legal scholar at the Wharton Business School at the University of Pennsylvania and was formerly legal counsel to the Bank of England. Christina is also a returning guest to the podcast, and she rejoins Macro Musings to talk about central bank digital currency and its legal implications for the state, individuals, and the Fed itself. David and Christina also discuss recent developments in CBDC policy rhetoric, the privacy issues surrounding CBDC, the potential interest bearing nature of CBDC, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode
Christina’s Twitter: @CParaSkinner
Christina’s Wharton profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Central Bank Digital Currency as New Public Money by Christina Parajon Skinner
A New Coin of the Realm? Central Bank Digital Currency as New Public Money by Christina Parajon Skinner (coming soon)
Gianluca Benigno is a professor of economics at the University of Lausanne and was formerly a senior staffer and economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, an economist at the Bank of England, and worked at the London School of Economics. Gianluca joins Macro Musings to talk about financial conditions in r, his work on The Dollar’s Imperial Circle, and more. David and Gianluca also discuss the importance of liquidity in a New Keynesian framework, the origins and purpose of the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index, the “Global Financial Resource Curse,” and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode
Gianluca’s Twitter: @BenignoGianluca
Gianluca’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The Dollar’s Imperial Circle by Gianluca Benigno, Ozge Akinci, Serra Pelin, and Jon Turek
The Financial (In)Stability Real Interest Rate, R** by Gianluca Benigno, Ozge Akinci, Marco Del Negro, and Albert Queralto
Interest, Reserves, and Prices by Gianluca Benigno and Pierpaolo Benigno
The Financial Resource Curse by Gianluca Benigno and Luca Fornaro
The Global Financial Resource Curse by Gianluca Benigno, Luca Fornaro and Martin Wolf
Dan McDowell is an associate professor of political science at Syracuse University, and he is the author of a new book titled, Bucking the Buck: US Financial Sanctions and the International Backlash Against the Dollar. Dan joins Macro Musings to talk about this new book and the prospects for de-dollarization around the world. David and Dan also discuss the mechanics and effectiveness of financial sanctions, the renminbi as a rival to the dollar, Russia and Turkey as case studies, and more.
Transcript for this week’s episode
Dan’s Twitter: @daniel_mcdowell
Dan’s website
Dan’s Syracuse University profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Bucking the Buck: US Financial Sanctions and the International Backlash against the Dollar by Dan McDowell
What’s Driving Dollar Doomsaying? by Paul Krugman
Renminbi’s Share of Trade Finance Doubles Since Start of Ukraine War by Hudson Lockett and Cheng Leng
Jeanna Smialek is a reporter who covers the Federal Reserve and the economy for the New York Times, and is the author of a new book titled, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On a New Age of Crisis. Jeanna is also a returning guest to Macro Musings and rejoins the podcast to talk about her book and its implications for the future of the Federal Reserve system. David and Jeanna also discuss the credit allocation vs. liquidity support debate, the Fed’s definition of price stability, the Bank Term Funding Program, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode
Jeanna’s Twitter: @jeannasmialek
Jeanna’s New York Times profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes on a New Age of Crisis by Jeanna Smialek
Nathan Tankus is a popular writer for a newsletter titled, Notes on the Crises and is the research director of the Modern Money Network. Nathan is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he rejoins the podcast to talk about modern monetary theory and the debt ceiling. Specifically, David and Nathan discuss the future of MMT, the case for minting the trillion dollar coin, the prospects of issuing Federal Reserve securities, the history of the Fed’s operating procedures, and a lot more.
Transcript for this week’s episode
Nathan’s Twitter: @NathanTankus
Nathan’s Substack, Notes on the Crises
Nathan’s Modern Money Network profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Join the Macro Musings mailing list!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch!
Related Links:
The New Monetary Policy: Reimagining Demand Management and Price Stability in the 21st Century by Nathan Tankus
Federal Reserve Issued Securities: Not Such A Crazy Idea After All by Nathan Tankus
The Federal Reserve’s Monetary Policy Operating Procedures Have Come Full Circle: What Does That Mean for the Post-SVB FOMC Meeting? by Nathan Tankus
An MMT Response on What Causes Inflation by Nathan Tankus, Rohan Grey, and Scott Fulwiler
Issues Raised by the Credit Crunch and Global Recession by Janet Yellen
Brian Sack was recently the Director of Global Economics at the D.E. Shaw Group, and prior to that, he was the manager of the System Open Market Account or SOMA and the head of the Markets Group at the New York Federal Reserve bank, where he managed the Fed’s balance sheet. Brian joins Macro Musings to talk about the central bank’s balance sheet, its operating system, and his work at the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee. Specifically, David and Brian discuss the current state of the Fed’s balance sheet, Brian’s theory of QE, how to improve the effectiveness of the floor system, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Brian’s LinkedIn profile
Brian’s Google Scholar archive
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Monetary Policy with Abundant Liquidity: A New Operating Framework for the Federal Reserve by Joseph Gagnon and Brian Sack
Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Lower Bound: An Empirical Assessment by Ben Bernanke, Vincent Reinhart, and Brian Sack
Mark Calabria was the Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency and prior to that, he was formerly a chief economist for Vice President Mike Pence. Mark is also a previous guest of Macro Musings, and he rejoins the podcast to talk about his new book titled, Shelter From the Storm: How a COVID Mortgage Meltdown Was Averted. Specifically, David and Mark discuss Mark’s time as the director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the relief programs his agency ushered through during the peak of the COVID crisis, the history and handling of Fannie and Freddie, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Mark’s Twitter: @MarkCalabria
Mark’s Cato Institute profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Shelter From the Storm: How a COVID Mortgage Meltdown Was Averted by Mark Calabria
George Hall is a professor of economics at Brandeis University, and was formerly an economist at the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank. In this bonus segment from the previous conversation, George rejoins the podcast to talk about how the US handled the surge in debt resulting from World War II, how COVID changed government financing, his thoughts on the debt ceiling crisis, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
George’s Twitter: @George_J_Hall
George’s Brandeis profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Brief History of US Debt Limits Before 1939 by George Hall and Thomas Sargent
Financing Big US Federal Expenditures Surges: COVID-19 and Earlier US Wars by George Hall and Thomas Sargent
Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections by George Hall and Thomas Sargent
George Hall is a professor of economics at Brandeis University, and was formerly an economist at the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank. George has written widely on the history of U.S. public finance, and he joins Macro Musings to talk about the history of the U.S. national debt, including the most recent surge resulting from the pandemic. David and George also discuss how a government goes about funding itself, two different models of expenditure financing, the Revolutionary War and Civil War as case studies, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
George’s Twitter: @George_J_Hall
George’s Brandeis profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Financing Big US Federal Expenditures Surges: COVID-19 and Earlier US Wars by George Hall and Thomas Sargent
Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections by George Hall and Thomas Sargent
Three World Wars: Fiscal-monetary Consequences by George Hall and Thomas Sargent
Bill Nelson is a chief economist and executive vice president of the Bank Policy Institute and was previously a deputy director of the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board, where his responsibilities included monetary policy analysis, discount window policy analysis, and financial institution supervision. He also worked closely with the BIS working groups on the design of liquidity regulations and is a previous guest of the podcast. Bill rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the Fed’s balance sheet, and in particular, the impact that the Fed’s response to the recent banking turmoil has had on its size, as well as the role being played by the Overnight Reverse Repo Facility. David and Bill also discuss the changes in collateral treatment brought about by the banking crisis, the invocation of 13(3) for the Bank Term Funding Program, the recent volume of discount window lending, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Bill’s BPI profile
BPI’s Twitter: @bankpolicy
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Why is the Federal Reserve Abetting a Drain of Deposits from Banks? by Bill Nelson and Greg Baer
I Don’t Know Why She Swallowed a Fly by Bill Nelson
The Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet: Costs to Taxpayers of Quantitative Easing by Bill Nelson and Andy Levin
Kate Judge is a professor of law at Columbia Law School and the editor of the Journal of Financial Regulation, and Peter Conti-Brown is an associate professor of financial regulation and the co-director of the Wharton Initiative on Financial Policy and Regulation at the University of Pennsylvania. Both are also returning guests to the podcast, and they rejoin Macro Musings to talk about the banking panic of 2023 and the lessons learned so far. Specifically, Kate, Peter, and David discuss how the scene was set for this recent banking crisis, the quality of the policy response, how to reform the banking system moving forward, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Kate’s Twitter: @ProfKateJudge
Kate’s Columbia Law profile
Peter’s Twitter: @PeterContiBrown
Peter’s UPenn profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Towards an Administrative Law of Central Banking by Peter Conti-Brown, Yair Listokin, and Nicholas Parrillo
Money Market Funds Swell by More Than $286bn Amid Deposit Flight by Brooke Masters, Marriet Clarfelt, and Kate Duguid
’The Fed Has Mishandled This About 7 Different Ways’: SVB Rescue Sparks Backlash by Victoria Guida
Scrap the Bank Deposit Insurance Limit by Lev Menand and Morgan Ricks
Brian Riedl is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute where he focuses on budget, tax, and economic policy issues. Previously, he worked for six years as chief economist for Senator Rob Portman of Ohio and as staff director of the Senate Finance Subcommittee on Fiscal Responsibility and Economic Growth. He also served as director of budget and spending for Marco Rubio’s presidential campaign and was the lead architect of the 10-year deficit reduction plan for Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign. Brian joins Macro Musings to talk about the outlook of US public finance and the tough choices ahead. Specifically, David and Brian also discuss the surging US debt to GDP ratio, the shortfalls of Republican and Democratic plans for budget reform, Brian’s preferable policy path forward, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Brian’s Twitter: @Brian_Riedl
Brian’s Manhattan Institute profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Biden’s Promises on Social Security and Medicare Have No Basis in Reality by Brian Riedl
Biden Is Set to Detail Nearly $3 Trillion in Measures to Reduce Deficits by Jim Tankersley
Steven Kelly is a senior research associate at the Yale Program on Financial Stability and is a previous guest of the podcast. Steven rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the recent bank collapses at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature, the government response, and what this means for financial stability policy in the present and future. David and Steven also discuss the role that interest rate risk and macro policy played in SVB’s failure, the debate over the systemic nature of this crisis, the implementation and use of the Bank Term Funding Program, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Steven’s Twitter: @StevenKelly49
Steven’s Substack: Without Warning
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Steven Kelly Twitter thread on SVB
Daniela Gabor Twitter thread on SVB
Was This a Bailout? Skeptics Descend on Silicon Valley Bank Response by Jeanna Smialek and Alan Rappeport
Monetary Tightening and U.S. Bank Fragility in 2023: Mark-to-Market Losses and Uninsured Depositor Runs? by Erica Jiang, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski, and Amit Seru
Derek Tang is the CEO and co-founder of LH Meyer, and is part of the research team based in Washington, D.C. where he forecasts Fed policy developments, provides bespoke policy analysis to institutional investors, and also closely monitors and forecasts the Fed’s balance sheet. Derek joins David on Macro Musings to talk about Fed policy, Fed politics, and what to expect in 2023 and 2024. Specifically, David and Derek discuss numerous personnel changes at the Fed, the future of the central bank’s balance sheet, the upcoming Congressional agenda for the Fed, what the next framework review has in store, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Derek’s Twitter: @macroderek
Derek’s LH Meyer bio
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
The Federal Reserve’s Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment by Janice Eberly, James Stock, and Jonathan Wright
The Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet: Costs to Taxpayers of Quantitative Easing by Andy Levin and Bill Nelson
Joey Politano is an economist and commentator who writes regularly on his Substack newsletter titled, Apricitas Economics. Joey is also a previous guest of the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the state of the US economy, inflation, Fed policy, and much more. Specifically, David and Joey discuss the results of the Fed’s ongoing rate hikes, the narrative that higher rates may lead to higher inflation, conducting monetary policy in a supply constrained economy, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Joey’s Twitter: @JosephPolitano
Joey’s Substack: Apricitas Economics
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
America’s 2022 Slowdown by Joey Politano
The US Labor Market Was Stronger Than We Thought by Joey Politano
Peter Conti-Brown is an associate professor of financial regulation and legal studies at the University of Pennsylvania and is a non-resident fellow at the Brookings Institution. Peter is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and rejoins the podcast to talk about some of the big legal and regulatory issues facing the financial and monetary policy space today. Specifically, David and Peter discuss the debt ceiling crisis, Fed master accounts, the current state of cryptocurrency, the implications of the Federal Reserve Accountability Act, and the most significant court cases facing the central bank today.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Peter’s Twitter: @PeterContiBrown
Peter’s UPenn profile
The Wharton Initiative on Financial Policy and Regulation’s website
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
The Contingent Origins of Financial Legislation by Peter Conti-Brown and Brian Feinstein
Let Crypto Burn by Stephen Cecchetti and Kim Schoenholtz
Mint the Coin? Buy Back Bonds? 7 ‘Gimmicks’ for Dodging the Debt Limit by Jeff Stein
Peter Conti-Brown’s Bonus Segment with David Beckworth
David Wilcox is a non-resident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and is the Director of Economic Research at Bloomberg Economics. Previously, David served for many years on the staff of the Federal Reserve Board, as deputy director from 2001 to 2011 and as director from 2011 to 2018 of the Division of Research and Statistics. In the latter role, he functioned as the chief economist of the division, a senior advisor to three successive chairs of the board, and the division leader for strategic direction as well as chief manager. David joins Macro Musings to talk about a recent article he wrote titled, The Cost of the US Going Over the Fiscal Cliff is Trauma, Then Unending Pain. David and David also discuss the debt ceiling issue more broadly, including the severity and timing of a technical default, the two big economic shocks that would result from a default, the possible solutions to pursue in the face of the this debacle, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
David Wilcox’s Twitter: @D_W_Wilcox
David Wilcox’s PIIE profile
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
The Cost of US Going Over Fiscal Cliff Is Trauma Then Unending Pain by David Wilcox
Fiscal Policy Under Low Interest Rates by Olivier Blanchard
Mint the Coin? Buy Back Bonds? 7 ‘Gimmicks’ for Dodging the Debt Limit by Jeff Stein
Julie Hill is a professor of law at the University of Alabama’s School of Law and she specializes in the study of the regulation of financial institutions. Julie also has a new paper out titled, Opening a Federal Reserve Account, and she joins Macro Musings to talk about the history and recent developments surrounding Fed master accounts. David and Julie also discuss the legal basis for these accounts and the numerous case studies surrounding them, including the Narrow Bank, Reserve Trust, Custodia, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Julie’s Twitter: @ProfJulieHill
Julie’s Alabama Law profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Opening a Federal Reserve Account by Julie Hill
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute. George is also a frequent guest on Macro Musings and he rejoins the podcast to talk about some recent developments in the monetary and fiscal policy space. Specifically, David and George discuss new narratives around shadow banking and the financial crisis, the fiscal cost of large central bank balance sheets, the return of secular stagnation, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
A Monetary Policy Primer: Parts 1-12 by George Selgin
Why Shadow Banking Didn’t Cause the Financial Crisis by Norbert Michel
The Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet: Costs to Taxpayers of Quantitative Easing by Andy Levin and Bill Nelson
The Monetary Executive by Christina Parajon Skinner
Secular Stagnation is Not Over by Olivier Blanchard
The Hard Road to a Soft Landing: Evidence from a (Modestly) Nonlinear Structural Model by Randal Verbrugge and Saeed Zaman
Brazil and Argentina to Start Preparations for a Common Currency by Michael Stott and Lucinda Elliott
Floor Systems for Implementing Monetary Policy: Some Unpleasant Fiscal Arithmetic by Aleksander Berentsen, Christopher Waller, and Alessandro Marchesiani
Fallen Heroes: Central Banks Face Credibility Crisis as Losses Pile Up by Johanna Treeck
SNB Will Shrink Balance Sheet After Record Loss, Citigroup Says by Bastian Benrath
George Selgin on False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery** by Macro Musings
Michael Strain is the Director of Economic Policy Studies and the Arthur F. Burns Scholar in Political Economy at the American Enterprise Institute and is a returning guest to Macro Musings. Michael rejoins the podcast to talk about the looming debt ceiling crisis and his recent article on the issue titled, Averting a Debt-Ceiling Disaster. David and Michael specifically discuss the background, history and recent events leading up to the current crisis, how to impose fiscal discipline in a low interest rate world, solutions the US government could pursue, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Michael’s Twitter: @MichaelRStrain
Michael’s website
Michael’s AEI profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Averting a Debt-Ceiling Disaster by Michael Strain
House Republicans Prepare Emergency Plan for Breaching Debt Limit by Jeff Stein, Leigh Ann Caldwell, and Theodoric Meyer
Extraordinary Measures by the Bipartisan Policy Center
John Roberts is a 36-year veteran of the Federal Reserve Board and mostly recently was the Deputy Associate Director in the Division of Research and Statistics, overseeing the board’s domestic macroeconomic modeling efforts. From 2017-2019, John also served as a special advisor to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, where his responsibilities includes preparation of speeches, providing advice on monetary policy, macroeconomic forecasting, and regulatory attending FOMC meetings. John joins Macro Musings to talk about his time at the Fed, macroeconomic modeling at the institution, his work on the zero lower bound, and current Fed policy. Specifically, David and John also discuss the art of interpreting the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, the future of modeling for policymakers at the Fed, the state of FAIT at the central bank, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
John’s blog
John’s paper archive
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World by Michael Kiley and John Roberts
Monetary Policy Strategies for a Low-Rate Environment by Ben Bernanke, Michael Kiley, and John Roberts
Unconventional Monetary Policy According to HANK by Eric Sims, Jing Cynthia Wu, & Ji Zhang
Paul Tucker is a 33-year veteran of the Bank of England, where among other positions, he served as both a member and deputy governor of the Monetary Policy Committee. Currently, Paul is a research fellow at the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard. He is also a returning guest to the podcast, and rejoins Macro Musings to talk about his new book, Global Discord: Values and Power in a Fractured World. Specifically, David and Paul also discuss China’s push for reserve currency status, how to sell international legitimacy to the general public, the geopolitical advantage of trade deals, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Paul’s Harvard profile
Paul’s website
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Global Discord: Values and Power in a Fractured World Order by Paul Tucker
Unelected Power: The Quest for Legitimacy in Central Banking and the Regulatory State by Paul Tucker
Quantitative Easing, Monetary Policy Implementation, and the Public Finances by Paul Tucker
Biden Needs Allies to Keep China and Russia in Check. Here’s How to Do it. by Sebastian Mallaby
Victoria Guida is an economics reporter for Politico where she covers monetary policy and financial regulatory policy. Victoria is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and she rejoins the podcast to talk about the big developments at the Fed and in the financial regulatory policy space in 2022 and what we can expect in 2023. Specifically, David and Victoria discuss personnel changes and trading scandals at the Fed, the debate surrounding Fed Master Accounts, how to improve the Liquidity of the Treasury market, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Victoria’s Politico profile
Victoria’s Twitter: @vtg2
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Victoria Guida on the Politics of Monetary Policy by the Macro Musings podcast
Martin Chorzempa is a senior fellow with the Peterson Institute for International Economics and is the author of a new book titled, The Cashless Revolution: China’s Reinvention of Money and the End of America’s Domination of Finance and Technology. Martin joins Macro Musings to talk about this book as well as the history of Chinese fintech development, the basics of super apps in China, challenges to the Chinese fintech revolution, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Martin’s PIIE profile
Martin’s Twitter: @ChorzempaMartin
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
The Cashless Revolution: China’s Reinvention of Money and the End of America’s Domination of Finance and Technology by Martin Chorzempa
Letter From Apple Supplier Foxconn’s Founder Prodded China to Ease Zero-Covid Rules by Keith Zhai and Yang Jie
For this special end of the year edition of Macro Musings, Heather Long, Ryan Avent, and Cardiff Garcia rejoin the podcast to reflect on the biggest economic surprises and stories of the past few years, while giving their outlook and predictions for the future. Heather Long is an editorial writer and columnist for the Washington Post, Ryan Avent is the trade and international economic editor for the Economist Magazine, and Cardiff Garcia is a veteran journalist for the Financial Times and NPR as well as the host of the New Bazaar podcast and the co-founder of Bazaar Audio. Specifically, this returning panel of guests discuss the major economic themes throughout the pandemic, the most overrated and underreported stories that have dominated the headlines over the past few years, what issues are primed for prominence within the next decade, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Support the podcast by making a donation during this holiday season!
Heather’s Washington Post profile
Heather’s Twitter: @byHeatherLong
Ryan’s Economist profile
Ryan’s Twitter: @ryanavent
Cardiff’s Twitter: @CardiffGarcia
Bazaar Audio’s website
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Measuring Monetary Policy: the NGDP Gap by David Beckworth
Danger Zone: The Coming Conflict with China by Hal Brands and Michael Beckley
David Beckworth on the Facts, Fears, and Functionality of NGDP Level Targeting by the Macro Musings Podcast
Ryan Avent, Cardiff Garcia, and Heather Long on Lessons from the Great Recession by the Macro Musings Podcast
Tomas Hirst is a macro analyst in the Strategy and Allocation division at LMI and formerly worked at Credit Sights, an independent fixed income research company, where he led the European strategy team covering Euro and sterling credit markets. Prior to that, he also worked at Bloomberg and the World Economic Forum in Geneva. Tomas joins David on Macro Musings to talk about the Eurozone economy, the ECB, and the future of the Euro project. Specifically, David and Tomas discuss the macroeconomic state of post-pandemic Europe, the rationale behind the ECB’s rate hikes, the inflation expectations conundrum within the Eurozone, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Support the podcast by making a donation during this holiday season!
Tomas’s blog
Tomas’s Twitter: @tomashirstecon
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
The ECB’s New Inflation Target One Year On by Ursel Baumann, Christophe Kamps, and Manfred Kremer
Joe Gagnon is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and was formerly a senior staffer at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Joe is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to take a look back on the past few years and to discuss his new paper on excess unemployment over the past 25 years. Specifically, David and Joe also discuss the movement of the natural rate of unemployment over time, alternative explanations for the flattening of the Phillips curve, policy implications for the Fed moving forward, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Support the podcast by making a donation during this holiday season!
Joe’s PIIE profile
Joe’s Twitter: @GagnonMacro
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
25 Years of Excess Unemployment in Advanced Economies: Lessons for Monetary Policy by Joseph Gagnon and Madi Sarsenbayev
The Slope of the Phillips Curve: Evidence form U.S. States by Jonathon Hazell, Juan Herreno, Emi Nakamura, and Jon Steinsson
The Macroeconomics of Low Inflation by George Akerlof, William Dickens, and George Perry
Measuring Monetary Policy: the NGDP Gap by David Beckworth
Noah Smith is a former columnist for Bloomberg and is now a popular writer at his own Noahpinion Substack. In this bonus segment from the previous conversation, Noah rejoins the podcast to talk about the nuts and bolts of macroeconomic modeling. Specifically, David and Noah discuss why macroeconomics is still in its infancy, how we can improve macro modeling moving forward, how to spot “nutty” macroeconomic theories, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Noah’s Substack: Noahpinion
Noah’s Bloomberg archive
Noah’s Twitter: @Noahpinion
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here!
Related Links:
Macroeconomics is Still in Its Infancy by Noah Smith
Nutty Macroeconomic Theories Will Ruin Your Country’s Economy by Noah Smith
Noah Smith is a former columnist for Bloomberg and is now a popular writer at his own Noahpinion Substack. Noah is also a returning guest to the podcast, and rejoins Macro Musings for a wide ranging discussion on some of the recent issues he’s been covering on his Substack, including China, social change in the US, recent macro developments, and much more. Noah and David also discuss the façade of Xi Jinping’s leadership, the elite overproduction hypothesis, how Fukuyama’s End of History thesis can be applied today, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Noah’s Substack: Noahpinion
Noah’s Bloomberg archive
Noah’s Twitter: @Noahpinion
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
The Elite Overproduction Hypothesis by Noah Smith
Danger Zone: The Coming Conflict with China by Hal Brands and Michael Beckley
Book Review: “Danger Zone” by Noah Smith
Is China Heading Toward Another Tiananmen Square Moment? by Lili Pike and Tom Nagorski
Hugh Rockoff is a professor of economics at Rutgers University and has done extensive work in U.S. monetary history. He joins the show to discuss the criteria for an ideal monetary union and argues that the U.S. didn’t really become an optimal currency area until the 1930s. David and Hugh then discuss whether a present-day example, the Eurozone, fits these criteria. They also talk about interesting chapters in U.S. monetary history, including the Civil War, the Free Banking Era, and the bimetallism debate of the late 1800s.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here, and use the promo code NGDP for 10% off!
Hugh’s Rutgers profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
History of the American Economy by Hugh Rockoff and Gary Walton
How Long Did It Take the United States to Become an Optimal Currency Area? by Hugh Rockoff
"The Wizard of Oz" as a Monetary Allegory by Hugh Rockoff
The Free Banking Era: A Re-Examination by Hugh Rockoff
Hugh Rockoff is a professor of economics at Rutgers University and has done extensive work in U.S. monetary history. He joins the show to discuss the criteria for an ideal monetary union and argues that the U.S. didn’t really become an optimal currency area until the 1930s. David and Hugh then discuss whether a present-day example, the Eurozone, fits these criteria. They also talk about interesting chapters in U.S. monetary history, including the Civil War, the Free Banking Era, and the bimetallism debate of the late 1800s.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here, and use the promo code NGDP for 10% off!
Hugh’s Rutgers profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
History of the American Economy by Hugh Rockoff and Gary Walton
How Long Did It Take the United States to Become an Optimal Currency Area? by Hugh Rockoff
"The Wizard of Oz" as a Monetary Allegory by Hugh Rockoff
The Free Banking Era: A Re-Examination by Hugh Rockoff
Hugh Rockoff is a professor of economics at Rutgers University and has done extensive work in U.S. monetary history. He joins the show to discuss the criteria for an ideal monetary union and argues that the U.S. didn’t really become an optimal currency area until the 1930s. David and Hugh then discuss whether a present-day example, the Eurozone, fits these criteria. They also talk about interesting chapters in U.S. monetary history, including the Civil War, the Free Banking Era, and the bimetallism debate of the late 1800s.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here, and use the promo code NGDP for 10% off!
Hugh’s Rutgers profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
History of the American Economy by Hugh Rockoff and Gary Walton
How Long Did It Take the United States to Become an Optimal Currency Area? by Hugh Rockoff
"The Wizard of Oz" as a Monetary Allegory by Hugh Rockoff
The Free Banking Era: A Re-Examination by Hugh Rockoff
In this special episode of Macro Musings, David Beckworth and Patrick Horan join guest host Carola Binder to discuss their newest paper, The Fate of FAIT: Salvaging the Fed’s Framework. Patrick Horan is a research fellow in the Mercatus Center’s Monetary Policy Program and Carola Binder is an associate professor of economics at Haverford College as well as a visiting scholar at the Mercatus Center. In addition to their paper, Pat and David also talk about the basics of flexible average inflation targeting, how it compares to temporary price level targeting, the differences between the Fed’s old and new frameworks, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here, and use the promo code NGDP for 10% off!
Patrick’s Twitter: @Pat_Horan92
Patrick’s Mercatus profile
Carola’s Twitter: @cconces
Carola’s Haverford site
Carola’s Mercatus profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
The Fate of FAIT: Salvaging the Fed’s Framework by David Beckworth and Patrick Horan
2020 Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors
Fed Framework Holds Central Bank Hostage by Mohamed El-Erian
Nominal GDP Targeting and the Taylor Rule on an Even Playing Field by David Beckworth and Josh Hendrickson
Ethan Ilzetzki is an associate professor of economics at the London School of Economics and a research fellow with the Center for Economic Policy Research. Ethan is also a returning guest to the show, and he rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about the international implications of Fed Policy and the strong dollars as well as Ethan’s thoughts on business cycle theory in light of the recent inflation surge. David and Ethan also discuss Ethan’s takeaways from the UK crisis, how to evaluate and contextualize monetary policy shocks, the contemporary applications of the fiscal theory of the price level, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Check out our new Macro Musings merch here, and use the promo code NGDP for 10% off!
Ethan’s Twitter: @ilzetzki
Ethan’s website
Ethan’s LSE profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
UK Financial Crisis of 2022: Retrospective Diagnosis and Policy Recommendations by Ethan Ilzetzki
Exchange Arrangements Entering the Twenty-First Century: Which Anchor Will Hold? by Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff
Inflation as a Fiscal Limit by Francesco Bianchi and Leonardo Melosi
The Global Financial Cycle by Helene Rey and Silvia Miranda-Agrippino
Megan Greene is a senior fellow at the Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs at Brown University and is the global chief economist at Kroll. Megan is also a contributing editor and columnist for the Financial Times and is a returning guest to the podcast. She rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about a recent article she has written titled, UK Market Turmoil is a Harbinger of Global Events to Come. David and Megan also discuss the basics of what caused the UK’s recent crisis, how persistent inflation continues to impact the global economy, the current outlook for international energy production, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Megan’s website
Megan’s Kroll profile
Megan’s Twitter: @economistmeg
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
UK Market Turmoil is a Harbinger of Global Events to Come by Megan Greene
The World is Starting to Hate the Fed by Edward Luce
Yesha Yadav is a law professor and associate dean of Vanderbilt Law School. Yesha works on banking and financial regulation, securities regulation, the law of money and payment system, and is a returning guest to the podcast. She rejoins Macro Musings to talk about recent developments in the Treasury market and the prospects for reform. David and Yesha also discuss the future of CBDC in the US, the recent economic crisis in the UK, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Yesha’s Vanderbilt Law profile: https://law.vanderbilt.edu/bio/yesha-yadav
Yesha’s Google Scholar archive: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=Dn5cmSQAAAAJ&hl=en
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
The Failed Promise of Treasuries in Financial Regulation by Yesha Yadav and Pradeep Yadav
The Broken Bond Market by Yesha Yadav and Jonathan Brogaard
Markets Didn’t Oust Truss. The Bank of England Did. by Narayana Kocherlakota
Treasuries Liquidity Problem Exposes Fed to ‘Biggest Nightmare’ by Liz McCormick
Yellen Flags Potential for Buybacks of Treasury Securities by Christopher Condon
The Squeeze That Has the US Treasury Thinking About Buying Back Bonds by Alexandra Harris
Hedge Funds Facing Tighter SEC Clearing Rules for Treasuries by Lydia Beyoud and Alexandra Harris
Geithner-Led Group Faults Fed for Slow Work on Treasuries Market by Liz McCormick
All-to-All Trading in the U.S. Treasury Market by the New York Fed staff
Toby Nangle on What We Just Learned From Gilt Market Madness by Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal
Yesha Yadav is a law professor and associate dean of Vanderbilt Law School. Yesha works on banking and financial regulation, securities regulation, the law of money and payment system, and is a returning guest to the podcast. She rejoins Macro Musings to talk about recent developments in the Treasury market and the prospects for reform. David and Yesha also discuss the future of CBDC in the US, the recent economic crisis in the UK, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Yesha’s Vanderbilt Law profile: https://law.vanderbilt.edu/bio/yesha-yadav
Yesha’s Google Scholar archive: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=Dn5cmSQAAAAJ&hl=en
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
The Failed Promise of Treasuries in Financial Regulation by Yesha Yadav and Pradeep Yadav
The Broken Bond Market by Yesha Yadav and Jonathan Brogaard
Markets Didn’t Oust Truss. The Bank of England Did. by Narayana Kocherlakota
Treasuries Liquidity Problem Exposes Fed to ‘Biggest Nightmare’ by Liz McCormick
Yellen Flags Potential for Buybacks of Treasury Securities by Christopher Condon
The Squeeze That Has the US Treasury Thinking About Buying Back Bonds by Alexandra Harris
Hedge Funds Facing Tighter SEC Clearing Rules for Treasuries by Lydia Beyoud and Alexandra Harris
Geithner-Led Group Faults Fed for Slow Work on Treasuries Market by Liz McCormick
All-to-All Trading in the U.S. Treasury Market by the New York Fed staff
Toby Nangle on What We Just Learned From Gilt Market Madness by Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal
Peter Ganong is an associate professor at the Harris School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago. He joins David on Macro Musings to talk about his work on the dynamism and resiliency of the US economy. Peter and David also discuss the income convergence story in the US, how to address increased housing costs, the economic effects of pandemic response measures, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Peter’s Twitter: @p_ganong
Peter’s UChicago profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
Why Has Regional Income Convergence in the U.S. Declined? by Peter Ganong and Daniel Shoag
Why Do Borrowers Default on Mortgages? A New Method for Causal Attribution by Peter Ganong and Pascal Noel
Liquidity Versus Wealth in Household Debt Obligations: Evidence from Housing Policy in the Great Recession by Peter Ganong and Pascal Noel
Spending and Job Search Impacts of Expanded Unemployment Benefits: Evidence from Administrative Micro Data by Peter Ganong, Fiona Greig, Pascal Noel, Daniel Sullivan, and Joseph Vavra
Housing Demand and Remote Work by John Mondragon and Johannes Wieland
Household Income & Spending Research by the JPMorgan Chase Institute
Bill Nelson is the chief economist and executive vice president at the Bank Policy Institute. He previously worked as a deputy director of the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board, where his responsibilities included monetary policy analysis, discount window policy analysis, and financial institution supervision. Bill has also worked closely with the BIS working groups on the design of liquidity regulations and is a returning guest of the podcast. He rejoins David on Macro Musings to talk about his new note that is titled, Bank Examiner Preferences are Obstructing Monetary Policy. David and Bill also discuss how the Fed’s forward guidance is affecting recent market turmoil, how to change the mindset of bank examiners and the public, why the Fed should look into establishing a committed liquidity facility, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Bill’s BPI profile
BPI’s Twitter: @bankpolicy
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox
Related Links:
Bank Examiner Preferences are Obstructing Monetary Policy by Bill Nelson
Quantifying the Costs and Benefits of Quantitative Easing by Andrew Levin, Brian Lu, and Bill Nelson
FRED Graph: Liabilities and Capital: Liabilities: Earnings Remittances Due to the U.S. Treasury: Wednesday Level
The Global Financial Cycle by Silvia Miranda-Agrippino and Helene Rey
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute and is also a long-time returning guest of Macro Musings. In this bonus segment from the previous conversation, George rejoins the podcast to talk about his new book project on the Great Depression titled, False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery. Specifically, David and George discuss the broad contours of the Great Depression, including its causes as well as the pros and cons of the New Deal solutions that followed.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
Macro Musings: Jason Taylor on the Great Depression, World War II, and “The Big Push”
Macro Musings: Doug Irwin on the History of US Trade Policy
Macro Musings: Sebastian Edwards on FDR, Gold, and the Great Depression
American Default: The Untold Story of FDR, the Supreme Court, and the Battle over Gold by Sebastian Edwards
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute. George is also a frequent guest of the podcast, and he rejoins David on Macro Musings once again to discuss their top three articles from the past few weeks related to macroeconomics and monetary policy. Specifically, David and George talk about Jerome Powell’s recent criticism of nominal GDP targeting, Lael Brainard’s recent comments regarding FedNow and real-time payments, the debate surrounding the Fed’s campaign against inflation, and a lot more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
A Conversation Between Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and Peter Goettler via the Cato Institute
The Return of Inflation Makes Deficits More Dangerous by Greg Ip
Jerome Powell’s Dilemma: What if the Drivers of Inflation Are Here to Stay? by Nick Timiraos
Primer: What is a Real-time Payments System, and Who Should Operate it? by Thomas Wade
Facts, Fears, and Functionality of NGDP Level Targeting by David Beckworth
Anchors Aweigh: The Transition from Commodity Money to Fiat Money in Western Economies by Angela Redish
Bill English is a professor at Yale University, a former senior Fed staffer, and a veteran of the Bank for International Settlements. Bill joins Macro Musings to talk about his time at the Federal Reserve, recent Fed developments, and a paper he co-authored titled, “What If the Federal Reserve Books Losses Because of Its Quantitative Easing?” David and Bill also discuss the Fed’s recent low-inflation mandate, the QE effectiveness debate, and why we should and shouldn’t be concerned about Fed balance sheet losses.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Bill’s Yale profile
Bill’s Federal Reserve profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
What if the Federal Reserve Books Losses Because of its Quantitative Easing? by William English and Donald Kohn
Macro Musings: Donald Kohn on Fed Policy from the 1970s to Today
Think of Powell as Volcker’s Wannabe Second Coming by John Authers
Andrew Levin is a professor of economics at Dartmouth College and a former long-time Fed official. Andy is also a previous guest of Macro Musings and rejoins the podcast to talk about the costs and benefits of the Fed’s QE4 program. David and Andy also discuss the Fed’s recent record on inflation, QE4’s impact on market functioning, the present and future of the Fed’s balance sheet, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Andrew’s Dartmouth profile
Andrew’s NBER archive
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
Quantifying the Costs and Benefits of Quantitative Easing by Andrew Levin, Brian Lu, and William Nelson
Incorporating Scenario Analysis into the Federal Reserve’s Policy Strategy and Communications by Michael Bordo, Andrew Levin, and Mickey Levy
What if the Federal Reserve Books Losses Because of its Quantitative Easing? by William English and Donald Kohn
Steven Kelly is a senior research associate at the Yale Program on Financial Stability. Steven joins David on Macro Musings to discuss his work on financial stability and the role the Federal Reserve plays in it. Specifically, David and Steven discuss the Fed’s evolving role in niche financial markets such as commodities and derivatives markets, what Section 13.3 of the Federal Reserve Act says about the Fed’s basis to engage in financial markets, proposals to improve the Fed’s Standing Repo Facility (SRF), the future of stablecoins and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) in financial markets, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Steven’s Twitter: @StevenKelly49
Steven’s Substack: Without Warning
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
The Reserve (podcast) hosted by Kaleb Nygaard
New Bagehot Project, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS)
“The Fed As Derivatives Dealer of Last Resort?” by Steven Kelly
“Could the Fed Rescue Commodities Markets?” by Steven Kelly
“Improving the Standing Repo Facility” by Steven Kelly
“Unappropriated Dollars: The Fed's Ad Hoc Lending Facilities and the Rules that Govern Them” by Lev Menand
The Fed Unbound: Central Banking in a Time of Crisis by Lev Menand
“Larry Ball on the Lehman Brothers Collapse and Its Role in the Great Recession”, Macro Musings podcast episode (2018)
Scott Sumner is the Ralph G. Hawtrey Chair of Monetary Policy at the Mercatus Center. Scott joins David on Macro Musings to look back on his contributions to monetary policy research with the Mercatus Center and elsewhere, as well as discuss his upcoming book, Alternative Approaches to Monetary Policy. In particular, Scott and David discuss how the Fed’s monetary policy mistakes in 2008 impacted the direction of Scott’s research, the theory and prospects for a nominal GDP futures contract, the future of monetary policy in the Eurozone and whether the ECB has gotten more hawkish, how changing macroeconomic conditions across history help explain the changing popularity of particular policy models, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Scott’s Twitter: @ScottSumnerTMI
Scott’s blog
Scott’s Mercatus profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
“Nominal GDP futures targeting” by Scott Sumner
“A Market-Driven Nominal GDP Targeting Regime” by Scott Sumner
“Using Futures Instrument Prices To Target Nominal Income” by Scott Sumner
“The Impact of Futures Price Targeting on the Precision and Credibility of Monetary Policy” by Scott Sumner
Hanno Lustig is a professor of finance at Stanford University and a senior fellow at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. Hanno is also a former guest on Macro Musings and rejoins the podcast to talk about fiscal dominance, global inflation, interest rates, wealth and equality, and Eurozone challenges. David and Hanno also discuss how to reconcile Treasury yield movements with impending fiscal dominance, why we’re seeing a long-term decline in real interest rates, the early trends in post-pandemic inflation, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Hanno’s Twitter: @HannoLustig
Hanno’s Stanford profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
What Drives Variation in the U.S. Debt/Output Ratio? The Dogs that Didn’t Bark by Hanno Lustig, Zhengyang Jiang, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Xiaolan
US Government Debt Valuation Puzzle by Hanno Lustig, Zhengyang Jiang, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Xiaolan
Monetary Science, Fiscal Alchemy by Eric Leeper
Hanno Lustig is a professor of finance at Stanford University and a senior fellow at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. Hanno is also a former guest on Macro Musings and rejoins the podcast to talk about fiscal dominance, global inflation, interest rates, wealth and equality, and Eurozone challenges. David and Hanno also discuss how to reconcile Treasury yield movements with impending fiscal dominance, why we’re seeing a long-term decline in real interest rates, the early trends in post-pandemic inflation, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Hanno’s Twitter: @HannoLustig
Hanno’s Stanford profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
What Drives Variation in the U.S. Debt/Output Ratio? The Dogs that Didn’t Bark by Hanno Lustig, Zhengyang Jiang, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Xiaolan
US Government Debt Valuation Puzzle by Hanno Lustig, Zhengyang Jiang, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Xiaolan
Monetary Science, Fiscal Alchemy by Eric Leeper
Josh Younger is currently a managing director and global head of ALM research and strategy at JP Morgan, and previously spent over a decade as a senior market strategist focused on interest rate and money markets. Josh joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the current state of the Treasury market and various reforms that have recently been proposed for it. Specifically, Josh and David discuss the history and evolving structure of the Treasury market, the emergence of high frequency trading firms over the past decade, the factors behind the 2020 dash for cash, current stresses on the Treasury market, as well as potential reforms for the market going forward.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Carola Binder is an associate professor of economics at Haverford College and is currently a visiting scholar in the Monetary Policy Program at the Mercatus Center. She is also an associate editor at the Review of Economics and Statistics and the Journal of Money Credit and Banking. Carola rejoins Macro Musings to talk about inflation expectations and uncertainty. Specifically, David and Carola discuss why we should care about inflation expectations, which survey measures are most important, how policymakers should respond, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Carola’s Twitter: @cconces
Carola’s Haverford site
Carola’s Mercatus profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
Consumer Inflation Uncertainty Is Rising by Carola Binder
Stuck in the Seventies: Gas Prices and Consumer Sentiment by Carola Binder and Christos Makridis
Inflation Expectations and Consumption: Evidence from 1951 by Carola Binder and Gillian Brunet
How Do Americans View Higher Inflation? by Frank Newport
Inflation Expectations and Consumer Spending: The Role of Household Balance Sheets by Lenard Lieb and Johannes Schuffels
Inflation Expectations and Readiness to Spend: Cross-Sectional Evidence by Rudiger Bachmann, Tim Berg, and Eric Sims
A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications by Christina Romer and David Romer
Jeffrey Lacker is a former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, where he served as its head from 2004 to 2017, and more recently served as a distinguished professor of economics at the Virginia Commonwealth University School of Business through 2022. Currently, Jeff serves on the Shadow Open Market Committee. He joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the traditions of the Richmond Fed, the history of the Federal Reserve’s implicit inflation target prior to 2012, the two percent inflation target the Fed formalized in 2012, the more recent transition to an average inflation target, what the Fed should consider during its next comprehensive framework review, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Jeffrey’s website
Jeffrey’s Richmond Fed profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
A Look Back at the Consensus Statement By Jeffrey Lacker
Money Market Fund Reform: Dealing with the Fundamental Problem by Jeffrey Lacker
Gerard DiPippo is a senior fellow with the economics program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Previously, he spent 11 years in the US intelligence community as a deputy national intelligence officer for economic issues at the National Intelligence Council and as a senior economic analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency. In this bonus segment from the previous conversation, David and Gerard discuss the recent Senate report which details the Chinese Government’s decade-long campaign to infiltrate the US Federal Reserve System. Gerard brings his expertise in both national security and monetary policy to this conversation with David to shed some light on this news story.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Gerard’s Twitter: @gdp1985
Gerard’s CSIS profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
China Targeted Fed to Build Informant Network and Access Data, Probe Finds by Kate O’Keeffe and Nick Timiraos
China targets Fed to Gain Influence, Senator Charges, Drawing Powell Rebuke by Kate Davidson
China’s Threat to the Fed: Chinese Influence and Information Theft at U.S. Federal Reserve Banks Minority Staff Report, Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs
Gerard DiPippo is a senior fellow with the economics program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Previously, he spent 11 years in the US intelligence community as a deputy national intelligence officer for economic issues at the National Intelligence Council and as a senior economic analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency. Gerard joins Macro Musings to talk about the Russia Sanctions, the global monetary system, demographics, and other economic issues viewed through the lens of national security. He and David also discuss the lessons from the Russia sanctions, dollar dominance as a disciplinary tool, the implications of global population decline, why economic security means national security, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Gerard’s Twitter: @gdp1985
Gerard’s CSIS profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
Strangling the Bear? The Sanctions on Russia After Four Months by Gerard DiPippo
Deterrence First: Applying Lessons From Sanctions on Russia to China by Gerard DiPippo
Global Population Growth Hits Lowest Rate Since 1950 by Valentina Romei and Alan Smith
Tom Graff is the head of investments for Facet Wealth and has several decades leading fixed income departments. Tom joins David on Macro Musings to provide his thoughts on the recent FOMC meeting, the Q2 2022 GDP numbers and their implications for the economy, and the future path of Fed policy. Specifically, David and Tom discuss the recent GDP numbers from Q2 2022, the merits of public concerns over a recession, takeaways from the July FOMC meeting, interest rate theory and implicit forecasts of inflation, the fiscal theory of the price level, the continued importance of the Fed’s framework, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Tom’s Twitter: @tdgraff
Tom’s Facet Wealth profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
Real GDP Numbers updated for Q2 2022
Federal Open Market Committee: July 26-27, 2022 FOMC Meeting
Ellen Meade is a research professor of economics at Duke University and a veteran of the Federal Reserve System. Most recently, Ellen served as a special advisor to the board and Vice Chair, Richard Clarida. Ellen joins David on Macro Musings to discuss her research on monetary policy and her work at the Federal Reserve. Specifically, Ellen and David discuss the prospect of central bank independence at the Fed and the specter of fiscal dominance, the recent history of secrecy and transparency at the Fed and how that impacts the incentives to dissent, the effect of the Fed’s forward guidance on recent policy events, what lessons from the past two years the Fed should incorporate into its next framework review, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Ellen’s Vox EU profile
Ellen’s Research Gate archive
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
The Evolution of Central Bank Governance Around the World by Ellen E. Meade and Christopher Crowe
Central Bank Independence and Transparency: Evolution and Effectiveness by Ellen E. Meade and Christopher Crowe
Publicity of Debate and the Incentive to Dissent: Evidence from the US Federal Reserve by Ellen E. Meade and David Stasavage
Randal Quarles is the executive chairman of the Cynosure Group and the former Vice Chair of Supervision for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Randy also served as an official in the US Department of Treasury, and he joins Macro Musings to talk about his time at the Federal Reserve and his thoughts on current issues facing the institution. David and Randy also discuss how the Fed fell behind the curve on inflation, how he sees the balance sheet reduction process playing out, the central bank’s shifting focus toward climate change, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Randal’s Cynosure profile
Randal’s Federal Reserve profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
Between the Hither and the Farther Shore: Thoughts on Unfinished Business by Randal Quarles
Kathy Jones is managing director and chief fixed income strategist for the Schwab Center for Financial Research, and she has spent many years on Wall Street, covering bond markets and foreign exchange. Kathy joins Macro Musings to talk about the present outlook for the economy, the state of markets, and Fed policy. Specifically, David and Kathy discuss the story behind the recent economic slowdown, why equity markets are behind the recessionary curve, Kathy’s sense on QT moving forward, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Kathy’s Twitter: @KathyJones
Kathy’s Charles Schwab profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Michael Dooley is a chief economist for Figure Technologies and a 20-year veteran of the Federal Reserve System and the IMF. Michael is also a professor emeritus in the department of economics at the University of California, Santa Cruz, and he joins Macro Musings to talk about the international monetary system and the future of the dollar. Specifically, David and Michael also discuss the original and revised Bretton Woods systems, the Fed’s role as a monetary superpower, and what this means for the US as a provider of safe and unsafe assets.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Michael’s UC Santa Cruz profile
Michael’s NBER archive
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
US Sanctions Reinforce the Dollar’s Dominance by Michael Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter Garber
Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold? by Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff
Dilemma Not Trilemma: The Global Financial Cycle and Monetary Policy Independence by Helene Rey
The Global Financial Cycle by Helene Rey and Silvia Miranda-Agrippino
Brian Knight is the Director of Innovation and Governance at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. Brian’s research focuses on numerous aspects of financial regulation, including the creation of pro-innovation regulatory environments, the role of federalism in fintech regulation, the use of digital assets for financial transactions, the role of regulation for credit markets and consumer protection, and the provision of capital to businesses. Brian joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the politicization of finance and its implications for policy. Specifically, Brian and David discuss the concept of reputational risk and its relevance for financial regulation, the extent and limits of ESG concerns in financial regulation, whether financial regulators are too political or not political enough, the present state as well as the future of ‘woke capitalism’, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Brian’s Twitter: @BrianRKnight
Brian’s Mercatus profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
How Financial Regulatory Tools are Used Against Law-abiding Americans – and How to Fix It by Brian Knight
Climate Change is a Risk for Banks but it's Not the Only One by Brian Knight
Are Financial Regulators Too Political or Not Political Enough? by Brian Knight
Lev Menand is an associate professor of law at Columbia University Law School and writes widely on legal issues surrounding the Federal Reserve. Lev rejoins Macro Musings to talk about his new book titled, The Fed Unbound: Central Banking in a Time of Crisis. Specifically, David and Lev discuss why the Fed can be considered unbound, the history of the Fed’s engagement with the shadow banking system, and Lev’s solutions for reform.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
Lev’s Twitter: @LevMenand
Lev’s Columbia Law profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
The Fed Unbound: Central Banking in a Time of Crisis by Lev Menand
Unappropriated Dollars: The Fed’s Ad Hoc Lending Facilities and the Rules That Govern Them by Lev Menand
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute. He is also the most frequent guest on Macro Musings, now appearing for his 12th time. In this episode, George and David identify and discuss their top three articles from the past few weeks related to macroeconomics and monetary policy. Specifically, George and Selgin discuss Lael Brainard’s recent speech defending the Fed’s prospects of issuing central bank digital currency, Janet Yellen’s concession about the path that inflation has taken, the governmental accounting of Federal Reserve losses and whether they amount to a net taxpayer burden, why the Dollar remains firm as the dominant currency in global markets, how an orthodox corridor system defaults into a floor system during times of crisis, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here.
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato profile
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings
Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!
Related Links:
No, Fed, Unrealized Losses are Real Losses for Taxpayers by Bill Nelson
Preparing for the Financial System of the Future speech by Lael Brainard at the 2022 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum
What if the Federal Reserve Books Losses Because of its Quantitative Easing? by Willam B. English and Donald Kohn
From Burns to Powell, a Macro Musings podcast episode with Guest Donald Kohn and host David Beckworth
Treasury Secretary Concedes She Was Wrong on 'Path That Inflation Would Take' By Kevin Liptak and Paul LeBlanc
How Monetary Policy Got Behind The Curve And How To Get Back: A Policy Conference Hoover Institution, Stanford University
Jack Dorsey is Wrong. The Dollar is Still a Global Reserve Currency by Mark Copelovitch
A Model of Credit, Money, Interest, and Prices by Saki Bigio and Yuliy Sannikov
Christine McDaniel is a senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center where she focuses on trade and intellectual property rights issues. Christine previously held several positions in the US government, including deputy assistant secretary at the Treasury Department and senior trade economist in the White House Council of Economic Advisors. She has also worked in the economic offices of the US Department of Commerce, US Trade Representative, and the US International Trade Commission. Christine rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the economic sanctions applied to Russia, and their implication for the Russian economy and globalization more generally. Specifically, David and Christine also discuss the structure and effectiveness of the Russia sanctions, the war’s heavy impact on food shortages, the role of dollar dominance in geopolitics, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Christine’s Twitter: @christinemcdan
Christine’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/christine-mcdaniel
Related Links:
We’ve Never Seen a Country Go Backwards as Quickly as Russia by Christine McDaniel
https://thehill.com/opinion/international/3487291-weve-never-seen-a-country-go-backwards-as-quickly-as-russia/
Estimating the Economic Effects of Sanctions on Russia: An Allied Trade Embargo by Kornel Mahlstein, Christine McDaniel, Simon Schropp, and Marinos Tsigas
https://cadmus.eui.eu/bitstream/handle/1814/74493/RSC_WP_2022_36.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Potential Economic Effects of Sanctions on Russia: An Allied Trade Embargo by Kornel Mahlstein, Christine McDaniel, Simon Schropp, and Marinos Tsigas
https://voxeu.org/article/potential-economic-effects-allied-trade-embargo-russia
US Sanctions Reinforce the Dollar’s Dominance by Michael P. Dooley, David Folkerts-Landau, and Peter M. Garber
https://www.nber.org/papers/w29943#:~:text=Recent%20sanctions%20on%20the%20use,shock%20absorber%E2%80%9D%20for%20international%20payments.
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Manmohan Singh is a senior economist at the International Monetary Fund and works on rehypothecation, shadow banking, the plumbing of the monetary system, and more. Manmohan joins Macro Musings to talk about stablecoins, central bank balance sheets, central bank digital currencies, and their broader implication for central banks. David and Manmohan specifically discuss the role and structure of stablecoins, the impact of collateral within the financial system, how the Fed have looked to address plumbing issues within this system, and more.
Take the Macro Musings listener survey here.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Manmohan’s VoxEU profile: https://voxeu.org/users/manmohansingh0
Manmohan’s Risk.net archive: https://www.risk.net/author/manmohan-singh
Related Links:
Interoperability of Stablecoins by Manmohan Singh, Caitlin Long, and Charles Kahn
https://www.centralbanking.com/fintech/7892256/interoperability-of-stablecoins
How to Stop Stablecoins from Hoarding Precious Collateral by Manmohan Singh and Caitlin Long
https://www.risk.net/comment/7948696/how-to-stop-stablecoins-from-hoarding-precious-collateral
Money is Privacy by Charles Kahn, James McAndrews, and William Roberds
https://www.jstor.org/stable/3663561
Investors Withdraw Over $7 Billion from Tether, Raising Fresh Fears About Stablecoin’s Backing by Ryan Browne
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/17/tether-usdt-redemptions-fuel-fears-about-stablecoins-backing.html
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Bill Nelson is the Chief Economist and an Executive Vice President at the Bank Policy Institute. Bill previously was a deputy director at the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board where his responsibilities included monetary policy analysis, discount window policy analysis, and financial institution supervision. He also worked closely with the BIS on the design of liquidity regulation. Bill joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the Fed's balance sheet, its reduction plans and how the Fed fell behind the curve. Specifically, David and Bill get into whether the Fed regretted its premature tightening period from 2015 to 2018, how the Fed’s focus on the baseline outlook left it not resilient to alternative developments, how concerns over another taper tantrum impacted the Fed’s decision-making, the Fed’s handling of its FAIT framework, and much more.
Take the Macro Musings listener survey here.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Bill’s Bank Policy Institute profile: https://bpi.com/people/bill-nelson/
Bill’s American Banker archive: https://www.americanbanker.com/author/william-nelson-ab3618
Related Links:
“Plane Crashes and Falling Behind the Curve” by Bill Nelson
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/plane-crashes-falling-behind-curve-bill-nelson/?trk=articles_directory
“Guest post: A former Fed insider explains the internal debate over QE3” by Bill Nelson
https://www.ft.com/content/254befb7-10f8-3f2c-a9a8-bc6226a6f1db
"The Potential Ineffectiveness of Policy at the Zero Bound" (Memo to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors) by Bill Nelson and Brian Sack
https://www.dropbox.com/s/fv21og7vpx1izml/BillNelsonMemo.pdf?dl=0
“Interpreting the Significance of the Lagged Interest Rate in Estimated Monetary Policy Rules” by William B. English, William R. Nelson, and Brian P. Sack
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=314425
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Josh Hendrickson is Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Mississippi and Chair of the Economics Department. Josh joins David on Macro Musings to discuss US monetary policy and US defense policy. Specifically, Josh and David discuss the coordination of fiscal and monetary policy and what Milton Friedman would think of it today, the Fed’s responsibility for modern inflation trends, state capacity and how it impacts economic growth, the role of national defense in the context of state capacity and economic growth, and much more.
Take the Macro Musings listener survey here.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Josh’s Twitter: @RebelEconProf
Josh’s Ole Miss profile: https://economics.olemiss.edu/joshua-hendrickson/
Related Links:
Central Banks are Inflation Creators, Not Inflation Fighters by Joshua R. Hendrickson
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/central-banks-are-inflation-creators-not-inflation-fighters
Evolution, Uncertainty, and the Asymptotic Efficiency of Policy by Brian C. Albrecht, Joshua R. Hendrickson, and Alexander William Salter
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3251917
The Coronavirus and Lessons for Preparedness by Josh Hendrickson
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/covid-19-crisis-response/coronavirus-and-lessons-preparedness
Preventing Plunder, Military Technology, Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth by Brian C. Albrecht, Joshua R. Hendrickson, and Alexander William Salter
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3025548
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Peter Ireland is a professor of economics at Boston College, a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a member of the Shadow Open Market Committee. Peter has also been a visiting scholar at numerous Federal Reserve Banks and is a returning guest to the podcast. He rejoins Macro Musings to talk about U.S. monetary policy during the pandemic and what the path forward looks like for the Fed and the policy landscape. David and Peter also discuss the current state of macroeconomics, including the most influential and popular business cycle theories, the present direction of policy macro, and whether or not the Fed’s current framework should shoulder blame for its pandemic policy missteps.
Take the Macro Musings listener survey here.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Peter’s Twitter: @PIrelandEcon
Peter’s Boston College profile: https://www.bc.edu/bc-web/schools/mcas/departments/economics/people/faculty-directory/peter-ireland.html
Related Links:
The Continuing Case for Nominal GDP Level Targeting by Peter Ireland
http://irelandp.com/papers/somc202204.pdf
Targeting Nominal Income Under the Zero Lower Bound: The Case of the Bank of England by Michael Belongia and Peter Ireland
https://centerforfinancialstability.org/amfm/studies/ukngdp2021.pdf
Strengthening the Second Pillar: A Greater Role for Money in the ECB’s Strategy by Michael Belongia and Peter Ireland
http://irelandp.com/papers/eurongdp.pdf
Facts, Fears, and Functionality of NGDP Level Targeting: A Guide to a Popular Framework for Monetary Policy by David Beckworth
https://www.mercatus.org/system/files/beckworth-ngdp-targeting-mercatus-special-study-v2.pdf
How to Ensure That Inflation Will Remain at the Federal Reserve’s 2 Percent Target by Robert Hetzel
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/how-ensure-inflation-will-remain-federal-reserve%E2%80%99s-2-percent-target
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jens van 't Klooster is a political economist at the University of Amsterdam's Department of Political Science. Jens rejoins David on Macro Musings to discuss the changes taking place at the European Central Bank. Specifically, Jens and David talk about the ECB’s recent commitment to a gradual process of monetary tightening, the prospect and limitations of market neutrality in setting monetary policy, the rise of technocratic Keynesianism and questions surrounding the political legitimacy of the ECB’s recent policy decisions, as well as the politics surrounding the ECB’s approach to government debt.
Take our listener survey here.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jens’s Twitter: @jvklooster
Jens’s website: https://jensvantklooster.com/
Related Links:
The Myth of Market Neutrality: A Comparative Study of the European Central Bank’s and the Swiss National Bank’s Corporate Security Purchases by Jens van ’t Klooster and Clément Fontan
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13563467.2019.1657077
Technocratic Keynesianism: A Paradigm Shift Without Legislative Change by Jens van ’t Klooster
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13563467.2021.2013791
The Politics of the ECB’s Market-Based Approach to Government Debt by Jens van ’t Klooster
https://academic.oup.com/ser/advance-article/doi/10.1093/ser/mwac014/6554757
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Colin Grabow is a policy analyst at the Cato Institute’s Center for Trade Policy Studies, and he joins Macro Musings to talk about US trade policies, the Jones Act, and the consequences of this harmful maritime statute. Specifically, David and Colin also discuss the counterfactual world of TPP, the future of international trade, and how to fix the myriad of problems caused by the Jones Act.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Colin’s Twitter: @cpgrabow
Colin’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/colin-grabow
Related Links:
Cato’s Project on Jones Act Reform: https://www.cato.org/project-jones-act-reform
The Jones Act: A Burden America Can No Longer Bear by Colin Grabow, Inu Manak, and Daniel Ikenson
https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/jones-act-burden-america-can-no-longer-bear
Rust Buckets: How the Jones Act Undermines U.S. Shipbuilding and National Security by Colin Grabow
https://www.cato.org/policy-analysis/rust-buckets-how-jones-act-undermines-us-shipbuilding-national-security
The Progressive Case for Jones Act Reform by Colin Grabow
https://www.cato.org/study/progressive-case-jones-act-reform#:~:text=The%20Jones%20Act%20is%20unwise,repeal%2C%20of%20this%20odious%20law
Candy-Coated Cartel: Time to Kill the U.S. Sugar Program by Colin Grabow
https://www.cato.org/policy-analysis/candy-coated-cartel-time-kill-us-sugar-program
5 Years Later and the United States is Still Paying for Its TPP Blunder by Colin Grabow
https://www.cato.org/blog/5-years-later-united-states-still-paying-tpp-blunder
The Cato Trade Team’s 2022 Policy Wish List by Scott Lincicome, Inu Manak, Gabriella Beaumont-Smith & Colin Grabow
https://www.cato.org/blog/cato-trade-teams-2022-policy-wish-list
For Inflation Relief, the United States Should Look to Trade Liberalization by Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Megan Hogan, & Yilin Wang
https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/inflation-relief-united-states-should-look-trade-liberalization#:~:text=For%20inflation%20relief%2C%20the%20United%20States%20should%20look%20to%20trade%20liberalization,-Gary%20Clyde%20Hufbauer&text=With%20US%20inflation%20running%20at,calls%20anticompetitive%20behavior%20by%20corporations
Biden’s Frozen Trade Policy by Anne Krueger
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/trump-trade-policy-frozen-in-place-under-biden-by-anne-o-krueger-2022-02?barrier=accesspaylog
Clashing over Commerce: A History of US Trade Policy by Douglas Irwin
https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo24475328.html
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Nick Timiraos is a Chief Economics Correspondent for the Wall Street Journal and rejoins Macro Musings to discuss his new book titled, Trillion Dollar Triage: How Jay Powell and the Fed Battled the President and a Pandemic and Prevented Economic Disaster. Specifically, David and Nick discuss Jay Powell’s background and early career in law and finance, his unique path to being nominated as Fed Chair, how Powell’s character has aided him in his eventful tenure as Fed Chair, how he was uniquely suited to usher in the change to the Fed’s operating framework, and much more.
Check out the Conversations with Tyler episode featuring David Rubenstein.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Nick’s Twitter: @NickTimiraos
Nick’s Wall Street Journal profile: https://www.wsj.com/news/author/nick-timiraos
Related Links:
Check out the Conversations with Tyler episode featuring David Rubenstein: https://conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/david-rubenstein/
Trillion Dollar Triage: How Jay Powell and the Fed Battle the President and a Pandemic and Prevented Economic Disaster by Nick Timiraos
https://www.littlebrown.com/titles/nick-timiraos/trillion-dollar-triage/9780316272810/
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Joey Politano is an economist and a commentator who writes and publishes on a Substack newsletter named, “Apricitas Economics,” where he covers a wide range of subjects on a number of economic topics. Joey joins Macro Musings to talk about inflation, monetary policy, and the issues surround them. Specifically, David and Joey discuss the outlook for services and durable goods inflation, the indicators of tightening financial conditions, lessons learned from monetary policy over the past decade, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Joey’s Twitter: @JosephPolitano
Joey’s Substack: https://apricitas.substack.com/
Related Links:
Inflation Hits 7.9%, and Things are Likely to Get Worse Before They Get Better by Joseph Politano
https://apricitas.substack.com/p/inflation-hits-79-and-things-are?s=r
Financial Conditions are Tightening as the Fed Raises Rates by Joseph Politano
https://apricitas.substack.com/p/financial-conditions-are-tightening?s=r
Understanding the Fed’s Hawkish Pivot by Joseph Politano
https://apricitas.substack.com/p/understanding-the-feds-hawkish-pivot?s=r
Biden’s Deep State is on Substack by Alex Thompson, Tina Sfondeles, and Max Tani
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2022/01/10/bidens-deep-state-is-on-substack-495668
Powell Says ‘Inflation is Much Too High’ and the Fed Will Take ‘Necessary Steps’ to Address by Jeff Cox
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/21/powell-says-inflation-is-much-too-high-and-the-fed-will-take-necessary-steps-to-address.html
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Eric Leeper is a professor of economics at the University of Virginia, an advisor to the Swedish and German central banks and a former Fed economist. Eric has written widely on the links between monetary policy and fiscal policy and joins David on Macro Musings to discuss these links and their implication for the price level. Specifically, Eric and David discuss the relationship between fiscal authorities and monetary authorities as it relates to fiscal dominance and monetary dominance, how the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) enhances our understanding of these relationships, how the FTLP can be applied to contemporary economies, what our expectations of fiscal policy should be moving forward, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Eric’s UVA profile: https://economics.virginia.edu/people/profile/eml3jf
Eric’s NBER archive: https://www.nber.org/people/eric_leeper?page=1&perPage=50
Related Links:
Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic by Neil Wallace and Thomas J. Sargent
https://www.minneapolisfed.org/research/quarterly-review/some-unpleasant-monetarist-arithmetic
Equilibria under 'Active' and 'Passive' Monetary and Fiscal Policies by Eric M. Leeper
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/4907434_Equilibria_Under_'Active'_and_'Passive'_Monetary_Policies
Monetary Science, Fiscal Alchemy by Eric M. Leeper
https://www.nber.org/papers/w16510
The Fiscal Theory of Price Level with a Bubble by Markus K. Brunnermeier, Sebastian A. Merkel, and Yuliy Sannikov
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27116
Liquidity Premiums on Government Debt and the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level by Aleksander Berentsen and Christopher J. Waller
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2943241
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Alex Nowrasteh is the director of Economic and Social Policy Studies at the Cato Institute where he writes widely on US immigration policy. He also has several books on the topic, including his recently co-authored book, Wretched Refuse? The Political Economy of Immigration and Institutions. Alex joins Macro Musings to talk about immigration in the United States and its implications for economic growth and policy. Specifically, David and Alex also discuss the current trends in population growth and immigration, the consequences of falling birthrates, Alex’s rebuttals to the most common arguments against immigration, and more.
Check out Conversations with Tyler: https://conversationswithtyler.com, and subscribe to Conversations with Tyler on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Alex’s Twitter: @AlexNowrasteh
Alex’s Cato profile: https://www.cato.org/people/alex-nowrasteh
Related Links:
Wretched Refuse? The Political Economy of Immigration and Institutions by Alex Nowrasteh and Benjamin Powell
https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/wretched-refuse/47A037EB552CDB16DC77906072A590AB
The Most Common Arguments Against Immigration and Why They’re Wrong by Alex Nowrasteh
https://store.cato.org/products/the-most-common-arguments-against-immigration-and-why-theyre-wrong
The Ultimate Resource by Julian Simon
https://www.amazon.com/Ultimate-Resource-Julian-Lincoln-Simon/dp/0691003696
Low-Skilled Immigration and the Labor Supply of Highly Skilled Women by Patricia Cortes and Jose Tessada
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/app.3.3.88
The Puzzle of Falling US Birth Rates Since the Great Recession by Melissa Kearney, Phillip Levine, and Luke Pardue
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.36.1.151
More From Less: The Surprising Story of How We Learned to Prosper Using Fewer Resources – And What Happens Next by Andrew McAfee
https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/More-from-Less/Andrew-McAfee/9781982103583
One Billion Americans: The Case for Thinking Bigger by Matthew Yglesias
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/636499/one-billion-americans-by-matthew-yglesias/
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Kaleb Nygaard is a senior research associate at the Yale Program on Financial Stability and runs the website Centralverse, a place where all things central banking are made clear. Kaleb is also a former Chicago Fed staffer. Kaleb joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the governance and institutional details of the Federal Reserve System. Specifically, Kaleb and David get into President Biden’s nominations to the Fed Board of Governors, the nomination process at the Fed, what is driving the short tenures of Fed Governors in recent years, how regional bank presidents get elected, how social media has impacted the problem of groupthink at the Fed, and much more. Check out Ideas of India: https://www.discoursemagazine.com/tag/ideas-of-india-podcast/, and subscribe to Ideas of India on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Kaleb’s Twitter: @KalebNygaard
Kaleb’s website: https://kalebnygaard.com/
Related Links:
Restoring the Promise of Federal Reserve Governance by Peter Conti-Brown
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/restoring-promise-fed-governance
Board Diversity Matters: An Empirical Assessment of Community Lending at Federal Reserve-Regulated Banks by Brian D. Feinstein, Peter Conti-Brown, and Kaleb Nygaard
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4000110
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Bill Nelson is a chief economist and an executive vice president at the Bank Policy Institute. Bill was previously a deputy director of the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board, where his responsibilities included monetary policy analysis, discount window policy analysis, and the analysis and financial institution supervision. He also worked closely with the BIS working groups on the design of liquidity regulations. Bill is also a previous guest of the podcast, are rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the outlook for US monetary policy, the future of the Fed’s balance sheet, and its implications for the Fed’s operating system and bank regulations. David and Bill also discuss the Fed’s response to current macroeconomic events, the stigma surround the standing repo facility, and how to think about exogenous risks to the US banking system.
Check out Conversations with Tyler: https://conversationswithtyler.com, and subscribe to Conversations with Tyler on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Bill’s Bank Policy Institute profile: https://bpi.com/people/bill-nelson/
Bill’s American Banker archive: https://www.americanbanker.com/author/william-nelson-ab3618
Related Links:
The Fed is Stuck on the Floor: Here’s How It Can Get Up by Bill Nelson
https://bpi.com/the-fed-is-stuck-on-the-floor-heres-how-it-can-get-up/
More Taxis Sitting Idle by Bill Nelson
https://bpi.com/more-taxis-sitting-idle/
Systematic Monetary Policy and the Effects of Oil Price Shocks by Ben Bernanke, Mark Gertler, and Mark Watson
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/1997/01/1997a_bpea_bernanke_gertler_watson_sims_friedman.pdf
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Matthew Klein is the author of The Overshoot, a newsletter that helps readers make sense of the global economy. Matthew also closely follows Eastern Europe and Russia, has written on the economics of the Russian-Ukraine War, and is a returning guest to the podcast. Matthew rejoins David on Macro Musings to discuss this conflict and its broader economic implications. Specifically, Matthew and David discuss the historical context dating back to the Soviet Union and leading up to this conflict, how Russia’s economy has been historically linked to Ukraine’s, the consequences of Europe’s reliance on Russian fossil fuel exports, and the implications of global sanctions against Russia for dollar dominance, globalization, and inflation.
Check out Ideas of India: https://www.discoursemagazine.com/tag/ideas-of-india-podcast/, and subscribe to Ideas of India on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Matthew’s Twitter: @M_C_Klein
Matthew’s Substack: https://theovershoot.co/about
Related Links:
Trade Wars or Class Wars by Matthew C. Klein and Michael Pettis
https://www.amazon.com/Trade-Wars-Are-Class-International/dp/0300244177
Russia Was Already Cutting Off Europe's Gas Before Invading Ukraine. What Can Be Done? by Matthew Klein
https://theovershoot.co/p/russia-was-already-cutting-off-europes?s=r
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Emily Hamilton is a senior research fellow and director of the Urbanity Project at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. Emily’s research focuses on urban economics and land use policy, and she joins Macro Musings to talk about housing in the United States. Specifically, David and Emily discuss many of the issues present within the American housing market, why we should care about rampant housing shortages, and the most effective avenues we can pursue for largescale reform.
Check out Conversations with Tyler: https://conversationswithtyler.com, and subscribe to Conversations with Tyler on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Emily’s Twitter: @ebwhamilton
Emily’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/emily-hamilton
Related Links:
Light Touch Density: A Series of Policy Briefs on Zoning, Land Use, and a Solution to Help Alleviate the Nation’s Housing Shortage by Edward Pinto, Tobias Peter, and Emily Hamilton
https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Light-Touch-Density-Compiled-FINAL-1.12.2022.pdf?x91208
2019 Survey of Consumer Finances by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors
https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/scfindex.htm
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
William Diamond is an Assistant Professor of Finance at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania. Will joins David on Macro Musings to discuss safe assets, convenience yields, bubbles and public debt and the implications for policy. Specifically, David and Will get into competing theories of interest rates and the rise of New Keynesian thinking, the role of the dollar in the global financial system, the drivers behind the growth in US debt, how the construction of risk-free interest rates unaffected by convenience yields on safe assets can improve our understanding of the financial system in times of stress, and much more.
Check out Ideas of India: https://www.discoursemagazine.com/tag/ideas-of-india-podcast/, and subscribe to Ideas of India on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Will’s Twitter: @wdiamond_econ
Will’s Wharton profile: https://fnce.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/diamondw/#research
Related Links:
Threats to Central Bank Independence: High-Frequency Identification with Twitter by Francesco Bianchi, Thilo Kind & Howard Kung
https://www.nber.org/papers/w26308
Safety Transformation and the Structure of the Financial System by Will Diamond
https://faculty.wharton.upenn.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/modelwriteupnew23.pdf
From World Banker to World Venture Capitalist: The US External Adjustment and the Exorbitant Privilege by Helene Ray and P.O. Gourinchas
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=788428
Rational Bubbles and Public Debt Policy: A Quantitative Analysis by David Domeij and Tore Ellingsen
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304393218301909
Liquidity Premiums on Government Debt and the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level by Aleksander Berentsen and Christopher J. Waller
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2943241
Risk Free Interest Rates by Jules H. van Binsbergen, Will Diamond, and Marco Grotteria
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3242836
Risk-Free Rates and Convenience Yields Around the World by Will Diamond, Peter Van Tassel
https://faculty.wharton.upenn.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/newdraft_11132021formatfix.pdf
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Amanda Rose is a professor at Vanderbilt Law School where she works as a scholar on securities law and the institutional design of the regulatory regimes enforcing those laws. Amanda joins Macro Musings to talk about the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), its work and role in promoting financial stability, and her research on the SEC. Amanda and David specifically discuss the politics, governance, and politicization of the SEC, the mission of the agency, and the major issues that it must face moving forward.
Check out Conversations with Tyler: https://conversationswithtyler.com, and subscribe to Conversations with Tyler on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Amanda’s Vanderbilt Law profile: https://law.vanderbilt.edu/bio/amanda-rose
Related Links:
Calculating SEC Whistleblower Awards: A Theoretical Approach by Amanda Rose
https://scholarship.law.vanderbilt.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2143&context=faculty-publications
SPAC Mergers, IPOs, and the PSLRA’s Safe Harbor: Unpacking Claims of Regulatory Arbitrage by Amanda Rose
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3945975
A Response to Calls for SEC-Mandated ESG Disclosure by Amanda Rose
https://openscholarship.wustl.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=6545&context=law_lawreview
Should the Securities and Exchange Commission Adopt a Mandatory ESG-Disclosure Framework? by Amanda Rose
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/financial-markets/should-securities-and-exchange-commission-adopt-mandatory-esg
SEC Announces Enforcement Results for FY 2021 by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2021-238
The Chickenshit Club: Why the Justice Department Fails to Prosecute Executives by Jesse Eisinger
https://www.sandmanbooks.com/book/9781501121371
Can NFTs Be Securities? The SEC Says Yes by PYMNTS
https://www.pymnts.com/nfts/2022/pymnts-nft-series-can-nfts-be-securities-the-sec-says-yes/
Crypto Exchanges Will Face More Scrutiny, Says SEC Chair by Rahul Nambiampurath
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-exchanges-face-more-scrutiny-150149395.html#:~:text=SEC%20Chair%20Gary%20Gensler%20has,world%20are%20scrutinizing%20crypto%20exchanges.
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Dan Alpert is an investment banker and a founding Managing Partner of Westwood Capital. He also regularly writes and speaks on big macro-structural issues. Dan joins David on Macro Musings to discuss recent macroeconomic events. Specifically, Dan and David discuss a post-Keynesian account of the global safe asset shortage, the impact of the US policy response to COVID-19, whether inflation will remain a problem heading into 2022, what’s driving the ‘Great Resignation’, whether capital assets are overvalued, and much more.
Check out Ideas of India: https://www.discoursemagazine.com/tag/ideas-of-india-podcast/, and subscribe to Ideas of India on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Dan’s Twitter: @DanielAlpert
Dan’s Westwood Capital profile: http://www.westwoodcapital.com/ourpeople/daniel-alpert/
Related Links:
The Age of Oversupply: Overcoming the Greatest Challenge to the Global Economy by Dan Alpert
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/312886/the-age-of-oversupply-by-daniel-alpert/
Glut, The US Economy and American Worker In The Age Of Oversupply by Dan Alpert
https://www.thirdway.org/report/glut-the-u-s-economy-and-the-american-worker-in-the-age-of-oversupply
Inflation In The 21st Century by Dan Alpert
https://scholarship.law.cornell.edu/facpub/1740/
The Way Forward: Moving from the Post-Bubble, Post-Bust Economy to Renewed Growth and Competitiveness by Dan Alpert, Robert C. Hockett, and Nouriel Roubini
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1987139
Marc Lavoie on Canadian Central Bank Policy, Real-time Payments, and the Post-Keynesian Tradition
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/02032020/marc-lavoie-canadian-central-bank-policy-real-time-payments-and-post
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Lubos Pastor is a professor of finance, and Elisabeth Kempf is an associate professor of finance, both at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business. They join David on Macro Musings to talk about their recent paper, Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics. Lubos, Elisabeth, and David specifically discuss the scope, design, and findings of their study, the theory behind QE’s impact on output and inflation, the career implications of QE research, and more. Check out Conversations with Tyler: https://conversationswithtyler.com, and subscribe to Conversations with Tyler on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Lubos’s University of Chicago profile: https://www.chicagobooth.edu/faculty/directory/p/lubos-pastor
Lubos’s NBER archive: https://www.nber.org/people/lubos_pastor?page=1&perPage=50
Elisabeth’s University of Chicago Profile: https://www.chicagobooth.edu/faculty/directory/k/elisabeth-kempf
Elisabeth’s website: https://sites.google.com/site/elikempf/
Related Links:
Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics by Lubos Pastor, Elisabeth Kempf, Brian Fabo, and Martina Jancokova
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w27849/w27849.pdf
The Federal Reserve System’s Influence on Research in Monetary Economics by Lawrence H. White
https://econjwatch.org/File+download/90/2005-08-white-invest_apparatus.pdf?mimetype=pdf
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute and is also a long-time returning guest of Macro Musings. In this bonus segment from the previous conversation, George rejoins the podcast to talk about the Fed’s near-term plans to shrink its balance sheet, the impact of the standing repo facility on demand for reserves, the potential benefits of returning to a corridor operating system, and more.
Check out Ideas of India: https://www.discoursemagazine.com/tag/ideas-of-india-podcast/
Subscribe to Ideas of India on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin
Related Links:
Floored! by George Selgin
https://www.cato.org/working-paper/floored
The Menace of Fiscal QE by George Selgin
https://www.cato.org/books/menace-fiscal-qe
Churning at the Fed by Milton Friedman
https://miltonfriedman.hoover.org/internal/media/dispatcher/214260/full
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute and is also a long-time returning guest of Macro Musings. He rejoins the podcast to talk about central bank digital currency, stablecoins, and the future of the Fed’s balance sheet and operating system. Specifically, David and George also discuss the challenges presented by CBDC and Fed accounts, how they could create financial instability, George’s proposal for wholesale CBDC, and more. Check out Conversations with Tyler: https://conversationswithtyler.com, and subscribe to Conversations with Tyler on your favorite podcast app.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin
Related Links:
Central Bank Digital Currency as a Potential Source of Financial Instability by George Selgin
https://www.cato.org/cato-journal/spring/summer-2021/central-bank-digital-currency-potential-source-financial-instability#old-fashioned-bank-runs
Money and Payments: The U.S. Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors
https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/files/money-and-payments-20220120.pdf
George Selgin on the Past, Present, and Future of a Real-Time Payments System
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/11112019/george-selgin-past-present-and-future-real-time-payments-system
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Henry Curr is the economics editor for the Economist Magazine and a returning guest to the show. Henry has a new working paper out titled, “Money Printers Go Grrrr: Three Myths and Three Uncomfortable Truths about Quantitative Easing.” Henry joins Macro Musings to discuss these three myths and uncomfortable truths about QE. Specifically, David and Henry discuss the continued relevance of quantitative easing as a policy tool, QE’s relationship to financial markets and its effect on the banking sector, whether we can estimate the magnitude of its effect on interest rates, whether QE necessarily boosts the monetary base, and much more.
Check out Ideas of India, another Mercatus original podcast: https://www.discoursemagazine.com/tag/ideas-of-india-podcast/
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Henry’s Twitter: @Henry_Curr
Henry’s Economist profile: https://mediadirectory.economist.com/people/henry-curr/
Henry’s website: http://www.henrycurr.com/
Related Links:
Money Printers Go Grr: Three Myths and Three Uncomfortable Truths about Quantitative Easing by Henry Curr
https://spe.org.uk/reading-room/ryb-essays/2020-21-rybczynski-prize-essay/
Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics by Brian Fabo, Martina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf and Ľuboš Pástor
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27849
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Lorie Logan is an executive vice president in the Markets Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. In that role, she’s the manager of the System Open Market Account (SOMA), for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), and she is also the head of the market operations, monitoring, and analysis. Lorie joins Macro Musings to talk about the operations side of monetary policy and her work at the New York Fed. Specifically, David and Lorie discuss the “dash for cash” during the March 2020 Treasury market crisis, the Fed’s new standing repo facility, the future of the central bank’s balance sheet, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Lorie’s New York Fed profile: https://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/orgchart/logan
Lorie’s Fed in Print archive: https://fedinprint.org/search?facets[]=authors_literal_array:Logan%2C+Lorie
Related Links:
Monetary Policy Implementation: Adapting to a New Environment by Lorie Logan
https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/speeches/2021/log211014
Liquidity Shocks: Lessons Learned from the Global Financial Crisis and the Pandemic by Lorie Logan
https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/speeches/2021/log210811
Recent Disruptions and Potential Reforms in the U.S. Treasury Market: A Staff Progress Report by the Inter-Agency Working Group
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/IAWG-Treasury-Report.pdf
U.S. Treasury Markets: Steps Toward Increased Resilience by the G30 Working Group on Treasury Market Liquidity
https://group30.org/publications/detail/4950
Report of the Task Force on Financial Stability by Glenn Hubbard et al.
https://www.brookings.edu/research/report-of-the-task-force-on-financial-stability/
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Paul Krugman is a Nobel Laureate in economics, a columnist at The New York Times, and a Distinguished Professor of Economics at the Graduate Center of the City University of New York. He rejoins David on Macro Musings to discuss the great inflation surge of 2021 and its implications for policy. Specifically, David and Paul discuss the state of public opinion surrounding inflation, whether the level of aggregate demand or its composition is the more important driver, what the state of the economy would be if the Fed had more aggressively countered inflation, whether the Fed squeeze is the appropriate response, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Paul’s Twitter: @paulkrugman
Paul’s NYT profile: https://www.nytimes.com/column/paul-krugman
Related Links:
The Year of Inflation Infamy by Paul Krugman
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/16/opinion/inflation-economy-2021.html
It's Baaack: Japan's Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap by Paul Krugman
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/1998/06/1998b_bpea_krugman_dominquez_rogoff.pdf
The Princeton School and the Zero Lower Bound by Scott Sumner
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/princeton-school-and-zero-lower-bound
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
In this special end-of-the-year episode of Macro Musings, David Beckworth joins guest host David Andolfatto of the St. Louis Fed to discuss a wide range of macroeconomic topics, including podcast highlights from the whole of 2021. More specifically, both Davids talk about the similarities and differences between average inflation targeting and NGDP targeting, the recent inflation puzzles that have plagued the macroeconomy, David’s safe asset theory of inflation, and more.
Want to support the show? Visit donate.mercatus.org/podcasts
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David Beckworth’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
David Beckworth’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/david-beckworth
David Andolfatto’s Twitter: @dandolfa
David Andolfatto’s St. Louis Fed profile: https://www.stlouisfed.org/about-us/leadership-governance/bank-officers/executive-bios/david-andolfatto
Related Links:
The Safe Asset Shortage and the Low Inflation of 2010-2019: A Money Demand View by David Beckworth
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3992846
The Prospect of Fiscal Dominance in the United States: A New Quantity Theory Perspective by David Beckworth
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3969473
The Fiscal Theory of Price Level with a Bubble by Markus Brunnermeier, Sebastian Merkel, and Yuliy Sannikov
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27116
Talmon Smith is an economics reporter for The New York Times and joins David on Macro Musings to talk about the great inflation surge of 2021 and its implications for policy and politics. Specifically, David and Talmon discuss the potential drivers and implications of the great inflation surge that has taken place in 2021, the current and future state of supply chains, the impact of COVID-era stimulus, the state of the labor market, the political implications of the inflation surge, and much more.
Want to support the show? Visit donate.mercatus.org/podcasts.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Talmon’s Twitter: @talmonsmith
Talmon’s New York Times profile: https://www.nytimes.com/by/talmon-joseph-smith
Related Links:
One-year jump in energy prices is a big factor in inflation’s jump by Talmon Smith
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/12/10/business/inflation-cpi-stock-market-news#one-year-jump-in-energy-prices-is-a-big-factor-in-inflations-jump
Americans’ Pandemic-Era ‘Excess Savings’ Are Dwindling for Many by Talmon Smith
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/07/business/pandemic-savings.html
President Biden's job approval sinking on inflation, crime and COVID: POLL By Brittany Shepherd
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/president-bidens-job-approval-sinking-inflation-crime-covid/story?id=81701113
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Yesha Yadav is a law professor and associate dean at the Vanderbilt University Law School, where she works on banking and financial regulation, securities regulation, and the law of money and payment system. Yesha has written a recent paper titled, The Failed Regulation of US Treasury Markets, and she joins Macro Musings to discuss it. Specifically, David and Yesha talk about the implications of the 2020 Treasury market collapse, the fragmented nature of the Treasury market’s regulatory structure, solutions for reform, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Yesha’s Vanderbilt Law profile: https://law.vanderbilt.edu/bio/yesha-yadav
Yesha’s Google Scholar archive: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=Dn5cmSQAAAAJ&hl=en
Related Links:
The Failed Regulation of U.S. Treasury Markets by Yesha Yadav
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3365829
Fragile Financial Regulation by Pradeep Yadav and Yesha Yadav
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3685404
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Carola Binder is an Associate Professor of Economics at Haverford College, and Christina Parajon Skinner is an assistant professor at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Both are returning guests to Macro Musings and they rejoin the podcast to talk about populism at the Fed and its implications for policy. Specifically, they discuss rising technopopulism at the Fed, the effect of populist pressures on its legitimacy, the importance of balancing experimentation and intellectual freedom with managing risks of politicization at the Fed, as well as their thoughts on the recent bouts of inflation.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Carola’s Twitter: @cconces
Carola’s blog: https://carolabinder.blogspot.com/
Carola’s Haverford profile: https://carolabinder.sites.haverford.edu/
Christina’s Twitter: @CParaSkinner
Christina’s Wharton profile: https://lgst.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/skinnerc/
Related Links:
Cato Institute 39th Annual Monetary Conference: Panel 1: The Populist Challenge to Fed Independence
https://www.cato.org/multimedia/events/39th-annual-monetary-conference-panel-1-populist-challenge-fed-independence
Technopopulism and Central Banks by Carola Binder
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3823456
Technopopulism: The New Logic of Democratic Politics by Christopher J. Bickerton and Carlo Invernizzi Accetti
https://oxford.universitypressscholarship.com/view/10.1093/oso/9780198807766.001.0001/oso-9780198807766
Central Bank Activism by Christina Parajon Skinner
https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/Microsites/fmlg/files/2021/Skinner_Central%20Bank%20Activism.pdf
Laboratories of Central Banking by Carola Binder and Christina Parajon Skinner
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3956845
Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics by Brian Fabo, Martina Jančoková, Elisabeth Kempf, and Ľuboš Pástor
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27849
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Matthew Klein is the author of The Overshoot, a newsletter that helps readers make sense of the global economy. Matt is also a returning guest to the podcast, and rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the hot topic of inflation and its outlook. Specifically, David and Matt discuss what is driving trend inflation, Matt’s decomposition of the CPI, whether or not we should be worried about inflationary trends, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Matthew’s Twitter: @M_C_Klein
Matthew’s Substack: https://theovershoot.co/about
Related Links:
The Case for Patience on Inflation by Matthew Klein
https://theovershoot.co/p/the-case-for-patience-on-inflation
What’s Going On With Interest Rates? (Part 1) by Matthew Klein
https://theovershoot.co/p/whats-going-on-with-interest-rates
Fed Policy Must Adjust for Inflation by Martin Wolf
https://www.ft.com/content/dc3bedc7-5694-4868-8b86-f9a215966f52
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Markus Brunnermeier is a professor of economics and the director of the Bendheim Center for Finance at Princeton University. Markus is also a nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Markus joins Macro Musings to discuss his new book, titled “The Resilient Society,” as well as his work on safe assets and their implications for inflation. Specifically, David and Markus discuss the implications of the fiscal theory of the price level for inflation, the role of the Fed in stabilizing money markets, what is meant by “resilience” compared to “robustness” in economies, and much more.
Transcript can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Markus’s Twitter: @MarkusEconomist
Markus’s Princeton profile: https://scholar.princeton.edu/markus/home
Related Links:
The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level with a Bubble by Markus Brunnermeier
https://scholar.princeton.edu/markus/publications/fiscal-theory-price-level-bubble
The Resilient Society by Markus Brunnermeier
https://bcf.princeton.edu/the-resilient-society/
What Makes US Government Bonds Safe Assets? by Zhiguo He, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Konstantin Milbradt
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.p20161109
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Ajmal Ahmady is the former acting governor of the Central Bank of Afghanistan and is now a senior fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government. Ajmal joins Macro Musings to talk about his experience as a central bank governor in Afghanistan and the challenges now facing the nation’s economy. Specifically, David and Ajmal discuss his unique role as the country’s central bank chief, the structure of the Afghan monetary system, the state of the nation’s economy moving forward, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Ajmal’s Twitter: @aahmady
Ajmal’s biography: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ajmal_Ahmady
Related Links:
Ajmal’s Twitter thread about Afghanistan’s collapse:
https://twitter.com/aahmady/status/1427265049668636674?lang=en
Why Afghanistan Fell: An Insider’s Account of What Went Wrong by Ajmal Ahmady
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/afghanistan/2021-10-11/why-afghanistan-fell
Severe Drought Adds to Afghanistan’s Woes, Endangering Millions as Economy Collapses by Sune Engel Rasmussen
https://www.wsj.com/articles/severe-drought-adds-to-afghanistans-woes-endangering-millions-as-economy-collapses-11633872935#:~:text=Severe%20Drought%20Adds%20to%20Afghanistan's,Millions%20as%20Economy%20Collapses%20%2D%20WSJ&text=The%20drought%20has%20compounded%20the,Taliban%20overthrew%20the%20previous%20government.
Regional Power Back Aid for Afghanistan as Russia Hosts the Taliban by Aljazeera
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/10/20/russia-hosts-taliban-for-talks-but-warns-no-recognition-for-now
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Peter Stella is the former Head of the IMF Central Banking division and has researched and written extensively on safe assets, collateral and central bank operations. Peter now hosts a website Central Banking Archeology. Peter joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the role of money and its relationship to inflation as well as its relationship to the payment system. Specifically, David and Peter discuss the fiscal theory of the price level, how rising indebtedness can signal higher inflation in the future, the implications of the fiscal theory for contemporary fiscal and monetary policy going forward, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Peter’s Twitter: @Stellar_Consult
Peter’s website: https://www.centralbankarchaeology.com/
Peter’s Voxeu profile: https://voxeu.org/users/peterstella0
Peter’s Research Gate archive: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Peter_Stella
Related Links:
Some Incredible Monetarist Arithmetic by Peter Stella
https://www.centralbankarchaeology.com/post/some-incredible-monetarist-arithmetic
Some Alternative Monetary Facts by Peter Stella, Manmohan Singh, and Apoorv Bhargava
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2021/01/08/Some-Alternative-Monetary-Facts-49975
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Robert Orr is a policy analyst at the Niskanen Center where he focuses on welfare, healthcare, and labor market policy. Robert joins Macro Musings to talk about one of the more important sectors of the US economy, healthcare, and some of the biggest supply side bottlenecks the industry faces. Specifically, David and Robert discuss the uniqueness of the US healthcare system, the reason for massive spending within the healthcare industry, and how to fix the supply bottlenecks that have emerged.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Robert’s Twitter: @Robert_t_Orr
Robert’s Niskanen profile: https://www.niskanencenter.org/author/robert-orr/
Related Links:
The Planning of U.S. Physician Shortages by Robert Orr
https://www.niskanencenter.org/the-planning-of-u-s-physician-shortages/
The U.S. Has Much to Gain from More Doctors by Robert Orr
https://www.niskanencenter.org/the-u-s-has-much-to-gain-from-more-doctors/
Unmatched: Repairing the U.S. Medical Residency Pipeline by Robert Orr
https://www.niskanencenter.org/the-u-s-has-much-to-gain-from-more-doctors/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
George Selgin is the director emeritus of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives and is a returning guest to Macro Musings. George rejoins David on the podcast to discuss cryptocurrency, stable coins, CBDCs, and a push for a higher inflation target. Specifically, George and David discuss the category of ‘synthetic commodity money’ and how bitcoin is a potential example, the current state of Bitcoin amidst El Salvador’s transition to Bitcoin as its legal tender, the role of fintechs in the potential future of a Fed central bank digital currency, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin
Related Links:
Synthetic Commodity Money by George Selgin
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2000118
The Denationalization of Money by F.A. Hayek
https://www.amazon.com/Denationalization-Money-Analysis-Concurrent-Currencies/dp/0255360878
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Peter Conti-Brown is a legal scholar and financial historian at the University of Pennsylvania and is a nonresident fellow in economic studies at the Brookings Institution. Peter’s scholarship focuses on the legal and historical issues of the Federal Reserve system, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the many facets of Fed governance. David and Peter specifically discuss the Federal Reserve’s recent trading scandal, the Fed Chair nomination process, the central bank’s role in fighting climate change, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Peter’s Twitter: @PeterContiBrown
Peter’s Brookings profile: https://www.brookings.edu/author/peter-conti-brown/
Peter’s Wharton profile: https://lgst.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/petercb/
Related Links:
Technocratic Pragmatism, Bureaucratic Expertise, and the Federal Reserve by Peter Conti-Brown and David Wishnick
https://www.yalelawjournal.org/feature/technocratic-pragmatism-bureaucratic-expertise-and-the-federal-reserve
Restoring the Promise of Federal Reserve Governance by Peter Conti-Brown
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/restoring-promise-fed-governance#:~:text=In%20%E2%80%9CRestoring%20the%20Promise%20of,it%20was%20designed%20to%20be.
Peter Conti-Brown on Restoring the Promise of Federal Reserve Governance: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/01062020/peter-conti-brown-restoring-promise-federal-reserve-governance
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Scott Sumner is David’s colleague and the Ralph G. Hawtrey Chair of Monetary Policy at the Mercatus Center. Scott is also a returning guest to the podcast and joins David on Macro Musings to discuss his new book, The Money Illusion: Market Monetarism, the Great Recession, and the Future of Monetary Policy. Specifically, David and Scott discuss common misconceptions about the 2008-09 Recession, why bubble narratives too often miss the mark when explaining rising asset prices, whether the Fed’s adoption of average inflation targeting signals that it is moving toward a level target, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Scott’s Twitter: @ScottSumnerTMI
Scott’s blog: https://www.themoneyillusion.com/
Scott’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/scott-sumner
Related Links:
The Money Illusion: Market Monetarism, the Great Recession, and the Future of Monetary Policy
By Scott Sumner
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/money-illusion-market-monetarism-great-recession-and-future-monetary
Eight Centuries of Global Real Interest Rates, R-G, and the ‘Suprasecular’ Decline, 1311–2018 by Paul Schmelzing
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3485734
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Chris Russo is a post-graduate research fellow in the Monetary Policy Program of the Mercatus Center at George Mason University and is a former economist at the New York Federal Reserve Bank. He re-joins Macro Musings to talk about the growing concerns over the US debt ceiling, what it could mean for the economy, and how to fix the issue.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Chris’s Twitter: @RussoEcon
Chris’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/christopher-russo
Chris’s Github site: https://christopher-russo.github.io/about/
Related Links:
Permanently Suspend the Debt Limit by Christopher Russo
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/553827-permanently-suspend-the-debt-limit
What the Fed Will Do if Congress Doesn’t Fix the Debt Ceiling by Christopher Russo
https://www.barrons.com/articles/inside-the-feds-playbook-for-a-dollar-default-51622055588
America’s Need to Pay Its Bills Has Spawned a Political Game by Jim Tankersley
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/26/business/economy/america-debt-limit-political-game.html
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Hanno Lustig is a professor of finance at Stanford University, and a senior fellow at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. Hanno joins David on Macro Musings to discuss his work on dollar safety, safe assets, convenience yields, and more. More specifically, Hanno and David discuss the dollar dominance in global financial markets, how the US’s status as the world’s safe asset provider reinforces its exorbitant privilege in money markets, whether the countercyclical demand for safe assets can help explain why US inflation has been so low this past decade, how years of low interest rate policy might have contributed to the growing wealth gap, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Hanno’s Twitter: @HannoLustig
Hanno’s Stanford profile: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/faculty/hanno-lustig
Related Links:
Dollar Safety and the Global Financial Cycle by Zhengyang Jiang, Arvind Krishnamurthy, and Hanno Lustig
https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/working-papers/dollar-safety-global-financial-cycle
Mind the Gap in Sovereign Debt Markets: The U.S. Treasury basis and the Dollar Risk Factor by Arvind Krishnamurthy and Hanno Lustig
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3443231
Manufacturing Risk-Free Government Debt by Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Z. Xiaolan
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3646430
US Government Debt Valuation Puzzle by Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, and Mindy Z. Xiaolan
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3333517
The Fiscal Theory of Price Level with a Bubble by Markus K. Brunnermeier, Sebastian A. Merkel and Yuliy Sannikov
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27116
Debt As Safe Asset: Mining the Bubble by Markus K. Brunnermeier, Sebastian Merkel, and Yuliy Sannikov
https://scholar.princeton.edu/markus/publications/debt-safe-asset-mining-bubble
The Safety Trap by Ricardo J. Caballero and Emmanuel Farhi
https://www.nber.org/papers/w19927
Financial and Total Wealth Inequality with Declining Interest Rates by Daniel Greenwald, Matteo Leombroni, Hanno Lustig, and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3789220
The Saving Glut of the Rich by Atif Mian, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi
https://scholar.harvard.edu/straub/publications/saving-glut-rich-and-rise-household-debt
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Megan Greene is a senior fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government and was formerly the global chief economist at Manulife John Hancock Asset Management. Megan is also a returning guest to the podcast and rejoins David to talk about the prospects of central bank digital currency as well as how to conduct climate change policy from a central banking angle.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Megan’s Twitter: @economistmeg
Megan’s website: https://economistmeg.com/about/
Megan’s Financial Times archive: https://www.ft.com/megan-greene
Related Links:
Central Banks Need to Go Slow on Digital Currencies by Megan Greene
https://www.ft.com/content/21e3affe-8c57-4bac-b9c5-21b645e93d7c
Adapting Central Bank Operations to a Hotter World: Reviewing Some Options by the Network for Greening the Financial System
https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/media/2021/06/17/ngfs_monetary_policy_operations_final.pdf
Megan Greene and Eric Lonergan on Dual Interest Rates and the Prospects of Average Inflation Targeting
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/10052020/megan-greene-and-eric-lonergan-dual-interest-rates-and-prospects-average
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Joseph Wang is a former senior trader on the open market desk at the Federal Reserve Bank in New York and the author of the book Central Banking 101. He also blogs at fedguy.com and is active on Twitter. Joseph joins Macro Musings to discuss what has happened at the Fed from the operational side, and we consider its implications for money markets. Specifically, Joseph and David discuss recent events from the perspective of the Federal Reserve trading desk, Joseph’s conception of a two-tiered monetary system, continued dollar dominance in global money markets, whether the Fed’s overnight repo facility is truly a temporary facility or trending towards a permanent one, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Joseph’s Twitter: @FedGuy12
Joseph’s website: http://fedguy.com/
Related Links:
QE Zombifies Money Markets by Joseph Wang
https://fedguy.com/qe-zombifies-money-markets/
The Gravitational Pull of Zero by Joseph Wang
https://fedguy.com/the-gravitational-pull-of-zero/
RRP At The ZLB by Joseph Wang
https://fedguy.com/rrp-at-the-zlb/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Philippa Sigl-Glöckner is the director of the German think tank Dezernat Zukunft, or the Institute for Macrofinance, and was formerly a part of the German Federal Ministry of Finance. Philippa joins Macro Musings to talk about fiscal policy in Germany, as well as her new paper, A New Fiscal Policy for Germany. Specifically, David and Philippa discuss the historical context for German fiscal policy, the three big economic challenges for Germany, and how the country can achieve full capacity utilization in the future.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Philippa’s Twitter: @PhilippaSigl
Philippa’s website: http://philippasigl.com/
Philippa’s Forbes profile: https://www.forbes.com/profile/philippa-sigl-glockner/?sh=383fb0233d30
Related Links:
A New Fiscal Policy for Germany by Philippa Sigl-Glöckner, Max Krahe, Pola Schneemelcher, Florian Schuster, Viola Hilbert, Henrika Meyer
https://dezernatzukunft.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/A-new-fiscal-policy-for-Germany.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jennifer Murtazashvili is an associate professor of political science at the University of Pittsburgh and directs the Center for Governance and Markets. Jennifer is also an expert on all things Afghanistan, given her experience working there and advising governments and international organizations on issues related to Afghanistan. She also has a new book titled, Land, the State, and War: Property Institutions and Political Order in Afghanistan, and joins the show to talk about it. Jennifer and David also discuss the recent developments as well as long-term developments in the country and lessons for state capacity building.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jennifer’s Twitter: @jmurtazashvili
Jennifer’s University of Pittsburgh profile: https://gspia.pitt.edu/faculty-and-staff/jennifer-brick-murtazashvili
Related Links:
Land, the State, and War: Property Institutions and Political Order in Afghanistan by Jennifer Murtazashvili and Ilia Murtazashvili
https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/land-the-state-and-war/A7B8C98CB24780A3CC0EA1CD265D888A
Informal Federalism: Self-Governance and Power Sharing in Afghanistan by Jennifer Murtazashvili
https://academic.oup.com/publius/article-abstract/44/2/324/1873292
The Politics of Land Property Rights by Meina Cai, Ilia Murtazashvili and Jennifer Murtazashvili
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3393160
Bring the Afghans to America by Benjamin Powell and Alex Nowrasteh
https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/homeland-security/568964-bring-the-afghans-to-america?rl=1
Inside Afghanistan’s Cryptocurrency Underground as the Country Plunges into Turmoil by MacKenzie Sigalos
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/21/bitcoin-afghanistan-cryptocurrency-taliban-capital-flight.html
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Bill Nelson is a chief economist and an executive vice president at the Bank Policy Institute. Bill previously was a deputy director of the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board where his responsibilities included monetary policy analysis, discount window policy analysis, and financial institution supervision. Bill also worked closely with the BIS working groups and the design of liquidity regulations. Bill rejoins David on Macro Musings to discuss his article titled, “I Don't Know Why She Swallowed a Fly,” which looks back at the significant growth of the Federal Reserve, both in its reach and in its size, since the Great Recession of 2007-09. Additionally, Bill and David discuss steps the Fed could take to return to a reasonably sized institution, conducting policy with a light imprint on financial markets.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Bill’s SIFMA profile: https://www.sifma.org/people/bill-nelson/
Bill’s BPI archive: https://bpi.com/tag/bill-nelson/
Bill’s American Banker archive: https://www.americanbanker.com/author/william-nelson-ab3618
Related Links:
I Don’t Know Why She Swallowed a Fly by Bill Nelson
https://morningconsult.com/opinions/i-dont-know-why-she-swallowed-a-fly/
Why Do We Need Both Liquidity Regulations and a Lender of Last Resort? A Perspective from Federal Reserve Lending during the 2007-09 U.S. Financial Crisis by Bill Nelson, Mark Carlson, and Burcu Duygan-Bump
https://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/feds/2015/files/2015011pap.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Arthur Turrell is the deputy director at the data science campus for the UK Office of National Statistics (ONS). Arthur is also a former researcher at the Bank of England and a nuclear fusion scientist. He joins Macro Musings to talk about his work at the Bank of England, the future of economic data, and his new book on nuclear fusion titled, The Star Builders: Nuclear Fusion and the Race to Power the Planet.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Arthur’s Twitter: @arthurturrell
Arthur’s website: http://aeturrell.com/
Arthur’s Bank of England profile: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/research/researchers/arthur-turrell
Related Links:
The Star Builders: Nuclear Fusion and the Race to Power the Planet by Arthur Turrell
https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/The-Star-Builders/Arthur-Turrell/9781982130664
Coding for Economists by Arthur Turrell
https://aeturrell.github.io/coding-for-economists/intro.html
Why Software Is Eating The World by Marc Andreessen
https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424053111903480904576512250915629460
Solving Heterogeneous General Equilibrium Economic Models with Deep Reinforcement Learning by Edward Hill, Marco Bardoscia, and Arthur Turrell
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2103.16977.pdf
Princeton’s Net-Zero America Project: https://netzeroamerica.princeton.edu/?explorer=year&state=national&table=2020&limit=200
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Kathryn Judge is a professor of law at Columbia Law School and editor of the journal of Financial Regulation. Anil Kashyap is a professor of economics and finance at the University of Chicago and is a member of the Bank of England's financial policy committee. Kate and Anil join David on Macro Musings to discuss their work on the Task Force on Financial Stability that recently released a report on how to improve financial stability in the US. Specifically, they discuss the origins of the Task Force on Financial Stability, the dynamics of the Treasury Market over the past year, why money market funds are still vulnerable despite an evolving set of regulations, the importance of rich and timely data for regulatory bodies and Congress, normalizing a financial stability mandate across regulatory bodies, the outlook of financial stability over the next decade, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Kate’s Twitter: @ProfKateJudge
Kate’s Columbia Law profile: https://www.law.columbia.edu/faculty/kathryn-judge
Anil’s UChicago profile: https://www.chicagobooth.edu/faculty/directory/k/anil-kashyap
Anil’s NBER archive: https://www.nber.org/people/anil_kashyap?page=1&perPage=50
Related Links:
Report of the Task Force on Financial Stability:
https://www.brookings.edu/research/report-of-the-task-force-on-financial-stability/
Financial Stability Considerations and Monetary Policy by Anil K. Kashyap and Caspar Siegert
https://www.ijcb.org/journal/ijcb2002_5.htm
The Impact of Treasury Supply on Financial Sector Lending and Stability by Arvind Krishnamurthy and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304405X15001518
Reforming the Macroprudential Regulatory Architecture in the US by Kathryn Judge and Anil Kashyap
https://voxeu.org/article/reforming-macroprudential-regulatory-architecture-us
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Larry White is a professor of economics at George Mason University and is a returning guest to the show. He rejoins Macro Musings to talk about stablecoins, the history of free banking, and money market funds reform. Specifically, David and Larry also discuss the critiques levied against stablecoins, their impact on the banking system, and why stablecoins could be considered the new version of money market mutual funds.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Larry’s Twitter: @lawrencewhite1
Larry’s GMU profile: https://economics.gmu.edu/people/lwhite11
Larry’s Alt-M profile: https://www.alt-m.org/author/white/
Related Links:
Should We Fear Stablecoins? by Larry White
https://www.alt-m.org/2021/06/24/should-we-fear-stablecoins/
Taming Wildcat Stablecoins by Gary Gorton and Jeffery Zhang
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3888752
Overview of the Recent Events and Potential Reform Options for Money Market Funds by the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets
https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/PWG-MMF-report-final-Dec-2020.pdf
Larry White on India’s Demonetization and Austrian Macroeconomics: https://macromusings.libsyn.com/47-larry-white-on-indias-demonetization-and-austrian-macroeconomics
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jerusalem Demsas is a policy reporter for Vox and joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the state of housing in America and its implications for policy. Specifically, Jerusalem and David discuss the current state of the housing market, whether there is a housing bubble, how the housing shortage creates avenues for discrimination, the dynamics of racism in the US housing market, the impact of zoning laws, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jerusalem’s Twitter: @JerusalemDemsas
Jerusalem’s Vox archive: https://www.vox.com/authors/jerusalem-demsas
Related Links:
Housing Constraints and Spatial Misallocation by Chang-Tai Hsieh and Enrico Moretti
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/mac.20170388
Is There a Housing Bubble? by Jerusalem Demsas
https://www.vox.com/22464801/housing-bubble-market-crash-supply-shortage-great-recession
Stuck! The Law and Economics of Residential Stagnation by David Schleicher
https://www.yalelawjournal.org/article/stuck-the-law-and-economics-of-residential-stagnation
The Housing Shortage Makes Housing Discrimination Much Easier by Jerusalem Demsas
https://www.vox.com/2021/5/26/22453293/housing-supply-shortage-discrimination-real-estate-cover-letters
America's Racist Housing Rules Really Can Be Fixed by Jerusalem Demsas
https://www.vox.com/22252625/america-racist-housing-rules-how-to-fix
The Fight Over Housing Segregation is Dividing one of America's Most Liberal States by Jerusalem Demsas
https://www.vox.com/22335749/housing-prices-connecticut-segregation-zoning-reform-democrats-adu-parking-minimum
Why Does it Cost so Much to Build Things in America by Jerusalem Demsas
https://www.vox.com/22534714/rail-roads-infrastructure-costs-america
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Scott Sumner is the Ralph G. Hawtrey Chair of Monetary Policy at the Mercatus Center. Scott joins David on Macro Musings to discuss Milton Friedman's views and what he might say about some of the recent developments in monetary policy. Specifically, Scott and David talk about nominal interest rates as indicators of the stance of monetary policy, fiscal austerity as means of reducing excessive aggregate demand, Friedman’s critique of the Phillips curve and wage and price controls, what Friedman might have said about the recent inflation numbers, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Scott’s automated Twitter: @MoneyIllusion
Scott’s blog: https://www.themoneyillusion.com/
Scott’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/scott-sumner
Related Links:
Friedman's Smashing Success by Scott Sumner
https://www.econlib.org/friedmans-smashing-success/
Inflation is a Nominal Phenomenon by Scott Sumner
https://www.econlib.org/inflation-is-a-nominal-phenomenon/
The Role of Monetary Policy (1968) by Milton Friedman
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-1-349-24002-9_11
What Would Milton Friedman Have Thought of Market Monetarism? by Scott Sumner
https://oxford.universitypressscholarship.com/view/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198704324.001.0001/acprof-9780198704324-chapter-15
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Skanda Amarnath is the executive director of Employ America and a former hedge fund economist. He rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the fate of the Phillips Curve, the inflation outlook, the Fed’s new framework, and his vision for a better monetary policy future. David and Skanda also discuss the Fed’s flawed assessment of maximum employment, how to modify the central bank’s Summary of Economic Projections, and the significance of capacity constraints vs labor utilization.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Skanda’s Twitter: @IrvingSwisher
Skanda’s Employ America archive: https://employamerica.org/author/skandaamarnath/
Skanda’s Medium profile: https://medium.com/@skanda_97974
Related Links:
Beyond the Phillips Curve: A Dynamic Approach to Communicating Assessments of 'Maximum Employment' by Skanda Amarnath and Alex Williams
https://employamerica.medium.com/beyond-the-phillips-curve-a-dynamic-approach-to-communicating-assessments-of-maximum-employment-c3eff48b2fcf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Agustin Carstens leads the Bank for International Settlements or the BIS in his role as general manager and previously served as the governor of the Bank of Mexico. He also served as the deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund. Agustin joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the new BIS 2021 annual report. Specifically, David and Agustin discuss the macroeconomic developments of the past year, the distributional footprint of monetary policy, the evolving role of central banking, and the outlook for central bank digital currency (CBDC).
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Agustin’s BIS profile: https://www.bis.org/author/agust%C3%ADn_carstens.htm
Related Links:
Annual Economic Report 2021 by the BIS
https://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2021e.htm
U.S. Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle* by Silvia Miranda-Agrippino and Hélène Rey
https://academic.oup.com/restud/article/87/6/2754/5834728?login=true
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jason Furman is a former chair of the Council of Economic Advisers and is currently a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Jason is also a professor at Harvard University and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about overheating, the inflation outlook, and the right way to think about fiscal policy in an era of low interest rates.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jason’s Twitter: @jasonfurman
Jason’s Harvard profile: https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty/jason-furman
Jason’s PIIE profile: https://www.piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/jason-furman
Related Links:
A Reconsideration of Fiscal Policy in the Era of Low Interest Rates by Jason Furman and Larry Summers
https://www.hks.harvard.edu/centers/mrcbg/programs/growthpolicy/reconsideration-fiscal-policy-era-low-interest-rates-jason
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Steffen Murau is a political economist at the Global Development Policy Center at Boston University and specializes in international money and finance. He joins Macro Musings to talk about the Eurozone, its role within international monetary architecture, and the future of the dollar zone. They also discuss balance sheet hierarchies, the roles of European banks compared to their American counterparts, and the fiscal ecosystem present within the Eurozone.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Steffen’s Twitter: @steffenmurau
Steffen’s website: https://steffenmurau.com/
Steffen’s GDPC profile: https://www.bu.edu/gdp/profile/steffen-murau/
Related Links:
A Macro-Financial Model of the Eurozone Architecture Embedded in the Global Offshore US-Dollar System by Steffen Murau
https://www.bu.edu/gdp/files/2020/07/Murau-Eurozone-architecture.pdf
The Hierarchy of the Offshore US-Dollar System: On Swap Lines, the FIMA Repo Facility and Special Drawing Rights by Steffen Murau, Fabian Paper, and Tobias Pforr
https://www.bu.edu/gdp/files/2021/02/Steffen-Murau-GEGI-Study-2-Feb-2021.pdf
The Evolution of the Offshore US-Dollar System: Past, Present, and Four Possible Futures by Steffen Murau, Joe Rini, and Armin Haas
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-institutional-economics/article/evolution-of-the-offshore-usdollar-system-past-present-and-four-possible-futures/B36ED9082CECE54F3F5B8E8F40D15148
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Dan Smith is an associate professor of economics at Middle Tennessee State University and directs the Political Economy Research Institute at MTSU. Alex Salter is an associate professor of economics at Texas Tech University. Dan and Alex join David on a special live episode of Macro Musings to discuss their new book, Money and the Rule of Law: Generality and Predictability in Monetary Institutions. Specifically, they discuss knowledge and incentive problems in setting monetary policy, what is meant by “rule of law,” how to make monetary policy accountable, centralized versus decentralized forms of digital currencies, thoughts on free banking, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Alex’s Twitter: @alexwsalter
Alex’s website: https://www.awsalter.com/
Alex’s Free Market Institute profile: https://www.depts.ttu.edu/freemarketinstitute/people/salter.php
Daniel’s Twitter: @smithdanj1
Daniel’s website: http://www.danieljosephsmith.com/about.html
Daniel’s MTSU profile: https://www.mtsu.edu/faculty/daniel-j-smith
Related Links:
Seigniorage in a Cross-Section of Countries by Reid W. Click
https://www.jstor.org/stable/2601207
Money and the Rule of Law: Generality and Predictability in Monetary Institutions by Peter J. Boettke, Alexander William Salter, and Daniel J. Smith
https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/money-and-the-rule-of-law/C825E982EDE5BD2BE41A99464DC885DB
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David Andolfatto is a vice president for the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank and has published widely in the field of monetary economics. David also blogs at MacroMania and is a returning guest to the podcast. He rejoins Macro Musings to talk about his thoughts on macro theory, plumbing issues, central bank digital currency, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
David’s Twitter: @dandolfa
David’s St. Louis Fed profile: https://www.stlouisfed.org/about-us/leadership-governance/bank-officers/executive-bios/david-andolfatto
Related Links:
Some Thoughts on Central Bank Digital Currency by David Andolfatto
https://www.cato.org/cato-journal/spring/summer-2021/some-thoughts-central-bank-digital-currency
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee: April 27-28, 2021 by the Fed
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20210428.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Mark Carney served as the governor of the Bank of Canada from 2008 until 2013, and as the governor of the Bank of England from 2013 to 2020. Mark also was the chairman of the Financial Stability Board from 2011 to 2018. Mark is currently the Vice Chairman and Head of Impact Investing at Brookfield Asset Management, as well as a UN Special Envoy for Climate Action and Finance. Mark joins David on Macro Musings to discuss his new book Value(s): Building a Better World for All**, as well as his career in central banking. Specifically, they discuss Mark’s experience at the Bank of Canada during the Great Recession, nominal GDP targeting and average inflation targeting as central bank frameworks, the future of central bank digital currencies, dollar dominance and the shadow banking system, the role of central banks and the financial sector in combating climate change, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Mark’s Twitter: @MarkJCarney
Mark’s Brookfield profile: https://www.brookfield.com/about-us/leadership/mark-carney
Related Links:
Value(s): Building A Better World For All by Mark Carney
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.ca/books/669023/values-by-mark-carney/9780771051555
The Growing Challenges for Monetary Policy in the Current International Monetary and Financial System by Mark Carney (speech given at Jackson Hole Symposium 2019)
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/speech/2019/the-growing-challenges-for-monetary-policy-speech-by-mark-carney.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
George Selgin is the director of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives and is a returning guest to the podcast. He rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the Fed’s recent calls for comments on opening up Fed accounts to fintechs and other non-bank financial firms. George and David also discuss monetary plumbing issues, the state of fiscal QE, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin
Related Links:
Keeping Fintech’s Promise: A Modest Proposal by George Selgin
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/552614-keeping-fintechs-promise-a-modest-proposal
Central Bank Digital Currency as a Potential Source of Financial Instability by George Selgin
https://www.cato.org/cato-journal/spring/summer-2021/central-bank-digital-currency-potential-source-financial-instability
Federal Reserve Board Invites Public Comment on Proposed Guidelines to Evaluate Requests for Accounts and Payment Services at Federal Reserve Banks by the Fed
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20210505a.htm
Aaron Klein on Real-time Payments and Financial Regulation
https://macromusings.libsyn.com/aaron-klein-on-real-time-payments-and-financial-regulation
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Adam Posen is the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Previously, Adam was on the monetary policy committee of the Bank of England. He has also worked at the New York Fed and has advised many central banks and governments. Adam is also a returning guest to the podcast and re-joins Macro Musings to discuss his new article, “The Price of Nostalgia: America's Self-Defeating Economic Retreat.” Specifically, David and Adam discuss the Fed’s new framework, secular stagnation, the economic impact of demographic changes, the China shock, and how the new political consensus on trade, growth, and the American middle class is short-sighted and self-defeating.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Adam’s Twitter: @AdamPosen
Adam’s PIIE profile: https://www.piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/adam-s-posen
Related Links:
The Price of Nostalgia: America's Self-Defeating Economic Retreat by Adam Posen
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2021-04-20/america-price-nostalgia
Hysteresis and the Business Cycle by Valerie Cerra, Antonio Fatás, and Sweta Saxena
https://faculty.insead.edu/fatas/hysteresis.pdf
The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States by David H. Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.103.6.2121
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Judge Glock is an economic historian, a scholar at the Cicero Institute, and a returning guest to the podcast. Judge rejoins Macro Musings to talk about the origins of the US mortgage market as detailed in his new book, The Dead Pledge: The Origins of the Mortgage Market and Federal Bailouts, 1913-1939. David and Judge also discuss the emergence and evolution of the national US mortgage market, the price parity movement, the history of federal land banks, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Judge’s Twitter: @judgeglock
Judge’s blog: https://judgeglock.medium.com/
Related Links:
The Dead Pledge: The Origins of the Mortgage Market and Federal Bailouts, 1913-1939 by Judge Glock
https://cup.columbia.edu/book/the-dead-pledge/9780231192538
The “Riefler-Keynes” Doctrine and Federal Reserve Policy in the Great Depression by Judge Glock
https://read.dukeupress.edu/hope/article-abstract/51/2/297/137129/The-Riefler-Keynes-Doctrine-and-Federal-Reserve?redirectedFrom=fulltext
Housing Finance at a Glance by the Urban Institute
https://www.urban.org/policy-centers/housing-finance-policy-center/projects/housing-finance-glance-monthly-chartbooks
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Christina Parajon Skinner is a legal scholar at the University of Pennsylvania, and formerly was a legal counsel to the Bank of England. Christina joins David on Macro Musings to discuss her work on central bank activism. Specifically, David and Christina discuss comparisons between the Fed and the Bank of England, tensions between central bank independence and executive override, contemporary examples of central bank activism, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Christina’s Twitter: @CParaSkinner
Christina’s Wharton profile: https://lgst.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/skinnerc/
Related Links:
Executive Override of Central Banks: A Comparison of the Legal Frameworks in the United States and the United Kingdom by Michael Salib & Christina Parajon Skinner
https://www.law.georgetown.edu/georgetown-law-journal/in-print/volume-108-issue-4-april-2020/executive-override-of-central-banks-a-comparison-of-the-legal-frameworks-in-the-united-states-and-the-united-kingdom/
Menace of Fiscal QE by George Selgin
https://www.cato.org/books/menace-fiscal-qe
Central Bank Activism by Christina Parajon Skinner
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3817123
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Robert McCauley is a Senior Fellow at the Global Policy Center at Boston University and a Senior Research Associate of the Global History of Capitalism project at the Oxford Center for Global History. Robert also worked at the Bank for International Settlements for 25 years and the New York Federal Reserve Bank for 14 years, and he joins Macro Musings to discuss questions surrounding the global domain of the dollar. Specifically, Robert and David talk about how the US currency rose to prominence internationally in the 1950s, the size and influence of the global dollar zone, dilemmas imposed by dollar demand worldwide, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Robert’s Boston University profile: https://www.bu.edu/gdp/profile/robert-mccauley/
Robert’s BIS archive: https://www.bis.org/author/robert_n_mccauley.htm
Related Links:
The Global Domain of the Dollar: Eight Questions by Robert McCauley
https://www.bu.edu/gdp/files/2021/02/McCauley2021_Article_TheGlobalDomainOfTheDollarEigh.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Antonio Fatás is a professor of economics at INSEAD, an international business school with campuses in Singapore, France, and Abu Dhabi. Antonio joins David on Macro Musings to talk about hysteresis and the business cycle. Specifically, David and Antonio discuss the history of the academic literature on business cycle and trend, the impact of the Kydland and Prescott model, and how endogenous growth models play into hysteresis.
Support Macro Musings and get a free NGDP targeting mug:
https://donate.mercatus.org/mug/?utm_source=shownotes&utm_medium=hyperlink&utm_campaign=mug
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Antonio’s INSEAD profile: https://faculty.insead.edu/fatas/
Antonio’s Twitter: @AntonioFatas
Related Links:
Hysteresis and the Business Cycle by Valerie Cerra, Antonio Fatás, and Sweta Saxena
https://faculty.insead.edu/fatas/hysteresis.pdf
Time to build and aggregate fluctuations by F.E. Kydland and E.C. Prescott
https://www.jstor.org/stable/1913386?seq=1
The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances by Olivier Jean Blanchard and Danny Quah
https://www.jstor.org/stable/1827924?origin=JSTOR-pdf&seq=1
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Matteo Maggiori is an associate professor of economics at Stanford University and joins David on Macro Musings to talk about global capital flows, reserve currencies, and the international monetary system. Specifically, David and Matteo also discuss the details of the Global Capital Allocation Project, the US and its status as banker to the world, the possibility we could see a major run on the dollar in the near future, and more.
Support Macro Musings and get a free mug:
https://donate.mercatus.org/mug/?utm_source=shownotes&utm_medium=hyperlink&utm_campaign=mug
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Matteo’s Twitter: @m_maggiori
Matteo’s website: https://www.matteomaggiori.com/
Matteo’s Stanford profile: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/faculty/matteo-maggiori
Related Links:
The Global Capital Allocation Project: https://www.globalcapitalallocation.com/
The Rise of the Dollar and Fall of the Euro as International Currencies by Matteo Maggiori, Brent Neiman, and Jesse Schreger
https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/maggiori/files/mns_pandp.pdf
A Model of the International Monetary System by Emmanuel Farhi and Matteo Maggiori
https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/farhi/files/ims.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Scott Skyrm is the Executive Vice President in Fixed Income and Repo at Curvature Securities. Scott joins David on Macro Musings to discuss REPO markets, where they have been and where they are going. Specifically, Scott and David discuss the role of broker-dealers like Curvature Securities in the repo market, how repo markets are tied to treasury markets and government deficit financing, why repo rates have recently entered negative territory, potential reforms to the repo market, and much more.
Support Macro Musings and get a free mug:
https://donate.mercatus.org/mug/?utm_source=shownotes&utm_medium=hyperlink&utm_campaign=mug
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Scott’s Twitter: @ScottSkyrm
Scott’s Bio: http://curvaturesecurities.com/our-team/#1540493883550-e8ec7543-62d3
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Ed Nelson is a Senior Advisor in the Monetary Affairs Division of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Ed has also previously been a professor and has worked at the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, as well as the Bank of England. Returning to the podcast, Ed re-joins Macro Musings to talk about his new book, Milton Friedman and the Economic Debate in the United States: 1932-1972. Ed and David specifically discuss the life and work of Milton Friedman, as they explore his journey into monetarism, his contributions to the quantity theory of money, how he envisioned a money supply growth rule, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Ed’s website: https://sites.google.com/site/edwardnelsonresearch/
Ed’s Fed profile: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/edward-nelson.htm
Related Links:
Milton Friedman and the Economic Debate in the United States, 1932-1972: Volume 1 by Edward Nelson
https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/M/bo47674126.html
Milton Friedman and the Economic Debate in the United States, 1932-1972: Volume 2 by Edward Nelson
https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/M/bo47674466.html
A Monetary and Fiscal Framework for Economic Stability by Milton Friedman
https://www.jstor.org/stable/1810624?seq=1
Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic by Neil Wallace and Thomas Sargent
https://www.minneapolisfed.org/research/quarterly-review/some-unpleasant-monetarist-arithmetic
Money Mischief: Episodes in Monetary History by Milton Friedman
https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/261872
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Dan Awrey is a professor of law at Cornell Law School, a financial markets regulation scholar, and the editor of the Journal of Financial Regulation. Dan joins David on Macro Musings to discuss how to promote greater financial innovation, financial inclusion, and alleviate the “too big to fail” problem by safely unbundling banking, money, and payments in our financial system. Dan and David also go on to discuss tensions in the global shadow banking system, the history of how banks evolved to play such a central role in our financial system, how the law has reinforced this bundling of the banks’ roles, and much more.
Transcript of the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Dan’s Twitter: @DanAwrey
Dan’s Cornell Law Profile: https://www.law.columbia.edu/faculty/daniel-awrey
Related Links:
Unbundling Banking, Payments and Money by Dan Awrey
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3776739
Brother, Can You Spare a Dollar? Designing an Effective Framework for Foreign Currency Liquidity Assistance by Dan Awrey
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2955763
The Money Problem by Morgan Ricks
https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/M/bo22438821.html
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Chris Russo is a Monetary Policy Program Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University and has previously worked at the New York Federal Reserve Bank. He joins Macro Musings to talk about the work he is doing on tensions between the Fed and the Treasury’s management of their respective balance sheets. Specifically, David and Chris discuss what these tensions are and what fixes can be implemented to ameliorate the existing plumbing issues.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Chris’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/christopher-russo
Chris’s Github site: https://christopher-russo.github.io/about/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Saule Omarova is a professor of law and the director of the Jack Clarke Program on the Law and Regulation of Financial Institutions and Markets at Cornell University. Saule joins Macro Musings to talk about the prospects of an emergency fiscal facility, as well as a broader vision for a National Investment Authority. Specifically, Saule and David discuss the need for a third public finance agency, what the mandate of such an authority would be, and how the agency would be structured and held accountable. Saule also answers common objections to her vision such as the potential institutional redundancies, as well as how to prevent cronyism and excessive politicization.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Saule’s Twitter: @STOmarova
Saule’s Cornell profile: https://www.lawschool.cornell.edu/faculty/bio_saule_omarova.cfm
Related Links:
Data For Progress: A National Investment Authority
https://www.dataforprogress.org/a-national-investment-authority
Why We Need a National Investment Authority by Saule Omarova
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3566462
The People’s Ledger: How to Democratize Money and Finance the Economy by Saule Omarova
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3715735
What Kind of Finance Should There Be? by Saule Omarova
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3544103
White Paper: A National Investment Authority by Saule Omarova and Robert C. Hockett
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3125533
The Money Problem by Morgan Ricks
https://www.amazon.com/Money-Problem-Rethinking-Financial-Regulation/dp/022633032X
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Pat Parkinson is a senior fellow at the Bank Policy Institute and a 30-year veteran of the Federal Reserve system, where he served as director of the Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation. During that time, he was also a member of the Basel Committee on Banking and advised Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, and Tim Geithner on financial market issues. Pat joins Macro Musings to discuss the treasury market meltdown in March 2020, as well as what we can do moving forward to avoid this issue from happening again. Specifically, David and Pat outline the implementation of a standing repo facility, changes to the supplemental leverage ratio, expanded central clearing, and increased data collection as possible solutions to this problem.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Pat’s BPI profile: https://bpi.com/people/pat-parkinson/
Related Links:
Enhancing Liquidity of the U.S. Treasury Market Under Stress by Nellie Liang and Pat Parkinson
https://www.brookings.edu/research/enhancing-liquidity-of-the-u-s-treasury-market-under-stress/
US Treasuries: The Lessons from March’s Market Meltdown by Colby Smith and Robin Wigglesworth
https://www.ft.com/content/ea6f3104-eeec-466a-a082-76ae78d430fd
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Kathy Bostjancic is the chief US financial economist at Oxford Economics and joins Macro Musings to discuss the outlook for monetary and fiscal policy in 2021 as well as in financial markets. Specifically, David and Kathy discuss the prospects for Fed policy and personnel under the Biden Administration, immediate concerns facing the Fed as the COVID pandemic continues into 2021, what steps the Fed can take to make their new AIT framework credible, how large scale asset purchases have impacted asset prices and the real economy, and much more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Kathy’s Twitter: @BostjancicKathy
Kathy’s Oxford Economics profile: https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/about-us/staff/267824/kathy-bostjancic
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Ricardo Reis is a professor of economics at the London School of Economics and a returning guest to the podcast. Ricardo rejoins Macro Musings to talk about central bank swap lines, the importance of fiscal sustainability, and the outlook for inflation in advanced economies. David and Ricardo also discuss safe asset alternatives, and how to think about inflation, debt, and deficits in a more nuanced way.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Ricardo’s Twitter: @R2Rsquared
Ricardo’s LSE profile: https://personal.lse.ac.uk/reisr/
Related Links:
Central Bank Swap Lines by Saleem Bahaj and Ricardo Reis
https://voxeu.org/article/central-bank-swap-lines
Central Bank Swap Lines During the Covid-19 Pandemic by Saleem Bahaj and Ricardo Reis
https://personal.lse.ac.uk/reisr/papers/20-covicbswaps.pdf
The Constraint on Public Debt When r < g but g < m by Ricardo Reis
https://iepecdg.com.br/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/mpkrg-201112.pdf
Inflating Away the Public Debt? An Empirical Assessment by Jens Hilscher, Alon Raviv, and Ricardo Reis
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w20339/w20339.pdf
The New Global Financial Safety Net: Struggling for Coherent Governance in a Multipolar System by Beatrice Weder di Mauro and Jeromin Zettelmeyer
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2946452
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Robert Kaplan is the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Previously, he was a professor and Associate Dean at Harvard Business School, and prior to that was a Vice Chairman of Goldman Sachs. Robert is a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to discuss the Fed's new framework, inflation, interest rates and more. Specifically, David and Robert talk about COVID’s impact on FOMC operations, how demographic trends are impacting productivity, the Fed’s expanding balance sheet, its average inflation targeting framework, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Robert’s Twitter: @RobSKaplan
Robert’s Dallas Fed profile: https://www.dallasfed.org/en/fed/bios/kaplan.aspx
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Daniel Griswold is a senior affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center and a nationally recognized expert on trade and immigration policy. Dan is also a returning guest is to the podcast, and joins Macro Musings to talk about immigration policy and the outlook for trade policy with the new Biden Administration. Specifically, David and Dan discuss the major demographic decline in the US, and how greater levels of immigration and can solve many of America’s economic concerns.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Dan’s Twitter: @danielgriswold
Dan’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/daniel-griswold
Related Links:
More Immigration Needed to Offset COVID-19 and America’s Demographic Decline by Daniel Griswold
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/trade-and-immigration/more-immigration-needed-offset-covid-19-and-america%E2%80%99s-demographic
Half a Million Fewer Children? The Coming COVID Baby Bust by Melissa Kearney and Phillip Levine
https://www.brookings.edu/research/half-a-million-fewer-children-the-coming-covid-baby-bust/
World Population Prospects 2019: Highlights by the Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division at the United Nations
https://population.un.org/wpp/Publications/Files/WPP2019_Highlights.pdf
The Next Hundred Million: America in 2050 by Joel Kotkin
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.ca/books/298866/the-next-hundred-million-by-joel-kotkin/9781101195703
Fertility, Mortality, Migration, and Population Scenarios for 195 Countries and Territories from 2017 to 2100: A Forecasting Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study by Stein Emil Vollset et al.
https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140-6736(20)30677-2/fulltext
Clashing over Commerce: A History of US Trade Policy by Douglas Irwin
https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo24475328.html
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Sam Bell is the policy director of Employ America, a think tank dedicated to having the economy run at full employment levels. Sam is also known on FOMC Twitter as an influencer when it comes to nominations for the Board of Governors. Sam returns to Macro Musings to talk about what 2021 likely has in store for the Fed. Specifically, Sam and David discuss Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida’s vision for temporary price level targeting, the prospects of Jay Powell and Lael Brainard (and others) for the next Fed chair, the significance of Janet Yellen’s treasury secretary appointment, and the political pressures facing the Fed in 2021.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Sam’s Twitter: @sam_a_bell
About Employ America: https://employamerica.org/about/
Related Links:
Monetary Policy Strategies for a Low-Rate Environment by Ben Bernanke, Michael Kiley, and John Roberts
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/pandp.20191082
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Caleb Watney is the director of innovation policy at the Progressive Policy Institute (PPI) and he joins Macro Musings to talk about his recent piece, Cracks in the Great Stagnation and the reasons why we should all be techno-optimists. Specifically, David and Caleb discuss greater skilled immigration, further government R&D spending, innovative energy solutions, and more as ways to help repair an economy plagued by secular stagnation.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Caleb’s Twitter: @calebwatney
Caleb’s PPI profile: https://www.progressivepolicy.org/people/caleb-watney/
Related Links:
Cracks in the Great Stagnation Caleb Watney
https://www.agglomerations.tech/cracks-in-the-great-stagnation/
The Egghead Gap by Caleb Watney
https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/the-egghead-gap
Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find? by Nicholas Bloom, Charles Jones, John Van Reenen, and Michael Webb
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20180338
Is the Rate of Scientific Progress Slowing Down? by Tyler Cowen and Ben Southwood
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1cEBsj18Y4NnVx5Qdu43cKEHMaVBODTTyfHBa8GIRSec/edit
The Productivity J-Curve: How Intangibles Complement General Purpose Technologies by Erik Brynjolfsson, Daniel Rock, and Chad Syverson
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w25148/w25148.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Scott Sumner is the Ralph G. Hawtrey Chair of Monetary Policy at the Mercatus Center and a returning guest to Macro Musings. He joins the podcast today to talk about his ongoing work on the Princeton School of Macroeconomics as well as his thoughts on monetary policy in 2021. Specifically, David and Scott discuss the economic contributions of various different Princeton economists as well as how the central bank can overcome inflationary fears and establish further institutional credibility.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Scott’s automated Twitter: @MoneyIllusion
Scott’s blog: https://www.themoneyillusion.com/
Scott’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/scott-sumner
Related Links:
It’s Baaack: Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap by Paul Krugman, Kathryn Dominguez, and Kenneth Rogoff
https://www.brookings.edu/bpea-articles/its-baaack-japans-slump-and-the-return-of-the-liquidity-trap/
Great Expectations and the End of the Depression by Gauti Eggertsson
https://www.jstor.org/stable/29730131?seq=1
The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy by Gauti Eggertsson and Michael Woodford
https://www.brookings.edu/bpea-articles/the-zero-bound-on-interest-rates-and-optimal-monetary-policy/
Methods of Policy Accommodation at the Interest-Rate Lower Bound by Michael Woodford
https://kansascityfed.org/publicat/sympos/2012/mw.pdf
Bernanke’s No-arbitrage Argument Revisited: Can Open Market Operations in Real Assets Eliminate the Liquidity Trap? By Gauti Eggertsson and Kevin Proulx
https://www.nber.org/papers/w22243
Japanese Monetary Policy: A Case of Self-Induced Paralysis? by Ben Bernanke
https://www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/bernanke_paralysis.pdf
Implementing Optimal Policy through Inflation-Forecast Targeting by Lars Svensson and Michael Woodford
https://www.nber.org/papers/w9747
Escaping from a Liquidity Trap and Deflation: The Foolproof Way and Others by Lars Svensson
https://www.nber.org/papers/w10195
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Josh Galper is the managing principal at Finadium, an independent consultancy in capital markets, and is deep in the trenches of the money markets, as well as the financial regulatory space. As a returning guest to the podcast, Josh rejoins Macro Musings to talk about some of the big changes we might see in financial regulation, especially as it relates to climate issues under the new Biden administration. David and Josh also discuss the prospects of negative interest rates in the US, the influence of the Financial Stability Board, and how to deal with Treasury and repo market stress in the future.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Josh’s Twitter: @Finadium
Josh’s Finadium profile: https://finadium.com/josh-galper-mba/
Related Links:
Fed Joins Central Bankers Backing Paris Climate Goals by Martin Arnold
https://www.ft.com/content/008a12d2-7736-4db0-af9c-e063a0bcdd7a
Managing Climate Risk in the U.S. Financial System by the Climate Market Risk Subcommittee, Mark Risk Advisory Committee of the CFTC
https://www.cftc.gov/sites/default/files/2020-09/9-9-20%20Report%20of%20the%20Subcommittee%20on%20Climate-Related%20Market%20Risk%20-%20Managing%20Climate%20Risk%20in%20the%20U.S.%20Financial%20System%20for%20posting.pdf
Fixing Financial Data to Assess Systemic Risk by Greg Feldberg
https://www.brookings.edu/research/fixing-financial-data-to-assess-systemic-risk/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
As a tumultuous, virus-stricken 2020 comes to an end, David is joined by Macro Musings producer Marc Dupont to discuss the highlights of the show throughout the past year. Specifically, they talk about the big macroeconomic themes and takeaways from the last 12 months, which guests and topics were most popular among listeners, what 2020 may have in store for monetary policy, and more.
A special thank you to all of the Macro Musings listeners around the globe who continue to tune in to the show week in and week out, especially during these tough and uncertain times. Stay tuned for more exciting content as we turn a new page in 2021.
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Marc’s Twitter: @marc_c_dupont
Related Links:
Top 10 Macro Musings Episodes in 2020:
Adam Tooze on Dollar Dominance, the Eurozone, and the Future of Global Finance - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/adam-tooze-on-dollar-dominance-the-eurozone-and-the-future-of-global-finance
Jim Tankersley on the State of the Middle Class and How to Boost Economic Growth - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/jim-tankersley-on-the-state-of-the-middle-class-and-how-to-boost-economic-growth
Eric Sims on New Keynesian Modelling and the Future of Macroeconomics in a Low Interest Rate Environment - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/eric-sims-on-new-keynesian-modelling-and-the-future-of-macroeconomics-in-a-low-interest-rate-environment
Paul Schmelzing on the ‘Suprasecular’ Decline of Global Real Interest Rates - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/paul-schmelzing-on-the-suprasecular-decline-of-global-real-interest-rates
Nathan Tankus on Public Finance in the COVID-19 Crisis: A Consolidated Budget Balance View and Its Implications for Policy - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/nathan-tankus-on-public-finance-in-the-covid-19-crisis-a-consolidated-budget-balance-view-and-its-implications-for-policy
Brad Setser on Addressing the Global Dollar Shortage and COVID-19’s Implications for Worldwide Trade Imbalances - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/brad-setser-on-addressing-the-global-dollar-shortage-and-covid-19s-implications-for-worldwide-trade-imbalances
Matthew Klein on Global Trade, Inequality, and International Conflict - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/matthew-klein-on-global-trade-wealth-inequality-and-international-conflict
Jim Bianco on Policy Responses to the Coronavirus: Details, Implications, and Concerns Moving Forward - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/jim-bianco-on-policy-responses-to-the-coronavirus-details-implications-and-concerns-moving-forward
Jon Sindreu on Global Financial Flows and the Balance of Trade - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/jon-sindreu-on-global-financial-flows-and-the-balance-of-trade
Scott Sumner on How Central Banks Should Respond to the Coronavirus Threat - https://macromusings.libsyn.com/scott-sumner-on-how-central-banks-should-respond-to-the-coronavirus-threat
Jeanna Smialek covers the Federal Reserve and the economy for The New York Times, and joins Macro Musings to recap and summarize the highs and lows of US monetary policy during 2020. Specifically, David and Jeanna discuss the recent histories of Federal Reserve rate hikes and the persistence of low inflation, the nascent optimism about the economy at the start of 2020, the Fed’s policy response to COVID, and what lessons the Fed will be taking into the future.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jeanna’s Twitter: @jeannasmialek
Jeanna’s New York Times archive: https://www.nytimes.com/by/jeanna-smialek
Related Links:
Janet Yellen's Lift Off (CMFA Working Paper No. 001) by George Selgin
https://www.alt-m.org/2020/12/04/janet-yellens-lift-off-cmfa-working-paper-no-001/
Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants by Kathryn Holston and Thomas Laubach
https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/wp2016-11.pdf
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Ethan Ilzetzki is an associate professor of economics at the London School of Economics and a research affiliate with the Centre for Economic Policy Research. Ethan is also a returning guest to the show, and he re-joins Macro Musings to talk about the European Central Bank’s big strategy review, the future of the Euro, and whether change is afoot in our international monetary system.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Ethan’s Twitter: @ilzetzki
Ethan’s website: https://www.ilzetzki.com/
Related Links:
Why Is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight? by Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff
https://www.nber.org/papers/w26760
Will the Secular Decline in Exchange Rate and Inflation Volatility Survive COVID-19? by Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff
https://www.brookings.edu/bpea-articles/will-the-secular-decline-in-exchange-rate-and-inflation-volatility-survive-covid-19/
Centre for Macroeconomics Panel of Experts Surveys: https://cfmsurvey.org/surveys
Register for the AEA’s 2021 Virtual Annual Meeting: https://www.aeaweb.org/conference/
Ethan Ilzetzki on the US Dollar as an Anchor Currency
https://macromusings.libsyn.com/56-ethan-ilzetzki-on-the-us-dollar-as-an-anchor-currency
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Governor Benjamin Diokno is the current head of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, or BSP, which is the central bank of the Republic of the Philippines. The Governor joins David on Macro Musings to shed light on the art and science of central banking from an emerging market perspective, as seen through the experience in the Philippines. Specifically, Governor Diokno and David discuss the structure, mandate, and operating system of the BSP, how the BSP has managed to avoid the zero lower bound, the prospects of a Philippine central bank digital currency, and how a flexible exchange rate has helped the BSP hedge against dollar volatility.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Gov. Diokno’s Twitter: @GovBenDiokno
Gov. Diokno’s World Bank profile: https://live.worldbank.org/experts/benjamin-e-diokno
Related Links:
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas website: https://www.bsp.gov.ph/SitePages/Default.aspx
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Sam Hammond is the director of poverty and welfare policy at the Niskanen Center and Brink Lindsey is vice president and director of the Open Society Project at the Niskanen Center. Both are returning guests to the podcast, and they join David again on Macro Musings to talk about their new pro-growth report titled, Faster Growth, Fairer Growth: Policies for a High Road, High Performance Economy. Specifically, they detail a number of different policies the US government could adopt to achieve faster and fairer economic growth, including social insurance modernization, child allowances, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Sam’s Twitter: @hamandcheese
Sam’s Niskanen profile: https://www.niskanencenter.org/author/samuel-hammond/
Brink’s Twitter: @lindsey_brink
Brink’s Niskanen profile: https://www.niskanencenter.org/author/brink-lindsey/
Related Links:
Faster Growth, Fairer Growth: Policies for a High Road, High Performance Economy by Brink Lindsey and Sam Hammond
https://www.niskanencenter.org/faster-growth-fairer-growth-policies-for-a-high-road-high-performance-economy/
Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find? by Nicholas Bloom, Charles Jones, John Van Reenen, and Michael Webb
https://web.stanford.edu/~chadj/IdeaPF.pdf
How Asia Works by Joe Studwell
https://groveatlantic.com/book/how-asia-works/
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Bilal Hafeez is the CEO and Founder of Macro Hive and previously worked at JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank and Nomura. Bilal joins Macro Musings to discuss recent economic developments and the outlook for inflation after the COVID-19 crisis. Specifically, Bilal and David discuss the prospects for a K-shaped US recovery, COVID-19’s impact on the Eurozone and the UK, how the launch of the EU’s recovery fund has fared, and how the pandemic has impacted the outlook for the services sector, inflation, and the US dollar.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Bilal’s Macro Hive profile: https://macrohive.com/researcher/bilal-hafeez/
Bilal’s website: http://bilalhafeez.com/
Bilal’s Twitter: @bilalhafeez123
Related Links:
The True Economic Consequences of the COVID Peace by Bilal Hafeez
https://macrohive.com/hive-exclusives/the-true-economic-consequences-of-the-covid-peace
EU Enjoys ‘Outrageous Demand’ for First Covid-related Bond by Tommy Stubbington
https://www.ft.com/content/e3553b68-22c8-487c-a7c0-7e1c6dc0ec4b
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Adam Ozimek is the chief economist for Upwork, a global remote freelancing platform, and a returning guest to the podcast. Adam rejoins Macro Musings to talk about some of the lasting impacts of the pandemic on businesses; specifically its influence on remote work. David and Adam also discuss the results of the payment protection program, why the prime age employment to population ratio should become the most important employment measure, the economic geography of remote work, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Adam’s Twitter: @ModeledBehavior
Adam’s website: https://adamozimek.com/
Related Links:
The Future of Remote Workby Adam Ozimek
https://www.upwork.com/press/releases/the-future-of-remote-work
COVID-19 and Remote Work: An Early Look at US Data by Erik Byrnjolfsson, John Horton, Adam Ozimek, Daniel Rock, Garima Sharma, and Hong-Yi TuYe
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27344
Where Remote Work Saves Commuters Most by Adam Ozimek
https://www.upwork.com/press/releases/where-remote-work-saves-commuters-most
When Work Goes Remote by Adam Ozimek
https://www.upwork.com/research/when-work-goes-remote
How Many Jobs can be Done at Home? by Jonathan Dingel and Brent Neiman
https://bfi.uchicago.edu/wp-content/uploads/BFI_White-Paper_Dingel_Neiman_3.2020.pdf
How Many U.S. Jobs Might be Offshorable? by Alan Blinder
https://www.princeton.edu/~ceps/workingpapers/142blinder.pdf
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Alan Cole is a senior economist at the Joint Economic Committee of Congress. Alan joins David on Macro Musings to discuss his work with the JEC and his thoughts on the economy. Specifically, Alan and David discuss the high savings rate during the COVID-19 crisis, the track record of US monetary policy from the 2008 financial crisis to the 2020 COVID-19 crisis, why the Fed’s commitment to average inflation targeting is an incremental step toward level targeting, and suggestions for the Fed moving forward.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Alan’s Twitter: @AlanMCole
Related Links:
The JEC’s Social Capital Project: https://www.jec.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/republicans/socialcapitalproject
Saving and COVID-19 by Alan Cole
https://www.jec.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/republicans/analysis?ID=754B52C6-04CD-458B-8755-98D1219398F1
Stable Monetary Policy to Connect More Americans to Work by Alan Cole
https://www.jec.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/republicans/analysis?ID=051267FC-0147-4E31-BE80-946E0543AF82
Bullard May Be More Right Than Wrong by Tim Duy
https://blogs.uoregon.edu/timduyfedwatch/2020/09/28/bullard-may-be-more-right-than-wrong/
The Fed’s Mistake by Adam Ozimek and Michael Ferlez
https://www.economy.com/home/products/samples/2018-11-20-Feds-Mistake.pdf
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
David French is a senior editor of The Dispatch and has written widely on American politics. David has a new book out on the polarization in the United States titled, Divided We Fall: America’s Secession Threat and How to Restore our Nation. He joins Macro Musings for another special presidential election episode to discuss this book as well as what political polarization means for the election, this country, and the economy. Specifically, both Davids talk about the political geography of polarization, the national red state versus blue state dynamics, and how instituting more federalism might be the solution.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
David French’s Twitter: @DavidAFrench
David French’s Dispatch archive: https://thedispatch.com/people/5849328-david-french
Related Links:
Divided We Fall: America’s Secession Threat and How to Restore our Nation by David French
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250201973
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Michael Strain is the Director of Economic Policy Studies at the American Enterprise Institute, and a previous guest of the show. Michael joins Macro Musings for a special presidential election episode to discuss President Trump's economic record and what a Biden presidency might mean for the economy compared to a second term for President Trump. Specifically, David and Michael discuss the presidential candidates’ past records and campaign goals for trade, taxes, regulations, immigration, and more.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Michael’s Twitter: @MichaelRStrain
Michael’s AEI profile: https://www.aei.org/profile/michael-r-strain/
Related Links:
The Mercatus Center’s RegData databse:
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/regulation/regdata
The triumph of the Trump tax cuts by Joshua McCabe
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/522813-the-triumph-of-the-trump-tax-cuts
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Matt Yglesias is the co-founder of Vox, a senior correspondent who focuses on politics and economic policy, and a returning guest to the podcast. Matt once again joins Macro Musings to discuss his new book, One Billion Americans: The Case for Thinking Bigger. Specifically, David and Matt talk about how to reinvigorate the economy; through enacting better housing and transportation policies, dramatically increasing immigration, reviving America’s forgotten cities, and more. Finally, they also discuss the Fed’s new average inflation targeting regime, and what kind of direction the Fed will take over the new few years.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Matt’s Twitter: @mattyglesias
Matt’s Vox profile: https://www.vox.com/authors/matthew-yglesias
Matt’s podcast: https://www.vox.com/the-weeds
Related Links:
One Billion Americans: The Case For Thinking Bigger by Matt Yglesias
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/636499/one-billion-americans-by-matthew-yglesias/
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Shruti Rajagopalan is a Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center where she leads the programs Indian Political Economy Research and the Emergent Ventures India. Shruti joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the past, present and future of the Indian economy. Specifically, Shruti and David discuss India’s mid-20th century experiment with socialism, subsequent reforms from 1980 through the 2000s, and how further reforms to manufacturing and to land and labor markets can accelerate its economic development.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Shruti’s Twitter: @srajagopalan
Shruti’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/shruti-rajagopalan
Shruti’s podcast, Ideas of India: https://www.discoursemagazine.com/tag/ideas-of-india-podcast/https://www.mercatus.org/tags/ideas-india
Related Links:
India Grows at Night by Gurcharan Das
https://www.amazon.com/India-Grows-At-Night-Liberal/dp/0670084700
In India, Don’t Hate the Matchmaker by Shruti Rajagopalan
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-08-02/netflix-s-indian-matchmaking-is-only-too-accurate
It’s Chiefly Rent Seekers Who Oppose Our Farm Reforms by Shruti Rajagopalan
https://www.livemint.com/opinion/columns/it-s-chiefly-rent-seekers-who-oppose-our-farm-reforms-11601304066126.html
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Roberto Perli is a partner and the head of global policy at Cornerstone Macro and is formerly a senior staffer at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Roberto joins Macro Musings to discuss the Fed’s new average inflation targeting framework and what it means for monetary policy, markets, and the economy going forward. Specifically, David and Roberto also discuss the current vague nature of FOMC forward guidance, the challenges and credibility concerns of AIT, and how to further improve the Fed’s framework in the future.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Roberto’s Twitter: @R_Perli
Roberto’s Cornerstone Macro profile: https://www.cornerstonemacro.com/people/
Related Links:
FOMC September meeting press release: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20200916a.htm
Temporary Price-level Targeting: An Alternative Framework for Monetary Policy by Ben Bernanke
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/ben-bernanke/2017/10/12/temporary-price-level-targeting-an-alternative-framework-for-monetary-policy/
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Megan Greene is a global economist and Senior Fellow at Harvard University School, and Eric Lonergan is an economist and macro fund manager at M&G Investments. Both Megan and Eric are returning guests of the show, and they re-join Macro Musings to discuss dual interest rates and the potential power it brings to central banks. Specifically, they discuss the current constraints on central banks’ toolkit, how the example of the ECB targeting TLTRO’s illustrates the potential of dual interest rates, why the concern over fiscal versus monetary policy is misunderstood, and whether the Fed’s new average inflation targeting mandate can be successfully implemented.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Megan’s Twitter: @economistmeg
Megan’s website: https://economistmeg.com/about/
Megan’s Financial Times archive: https://www.ft.com/megan-greene
Eric’s Twitter: @ericlonners
Eric’s blog: https://www.philosophyofmoney.net/
Eric’s M&G Investments profile: https://www.mandg.co.uk/investor/fund-managers/eric-lonergan/
Related Links:
Dual Interest Rates Give Central Banks Limitless Firepower by Eric Lonergan and Megan Greene
https://voxeu.org/article/dual-interest-rates-give-central-banks-limitless-fire-power
A Misplaced Faith in the Power of Central Banks by Greg Ip
https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-misplaced-faith-in-the-power-of-central-banks-11583256163
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Thorvald Grung Moe is a 30 year veteran is of the Norges Bank, the central bank of Norway, and has also worked in the Norwegian Ministry of Finance, the World Bank, and the IMF. Thorvald joins Macro Musings to talk about Marriner Eccles and a paper he has written on him title, Marriner Eccles in the 1950 Treasury-Federal Reserve Accord: Lessons for Central Bankers. David and Thorvald specifically discuss Eccles’ views on countercyclical monetary policy and government finance, his role in reforming and centralizing the Fed, and the many other lessons that can be learned from his life, particularly in the realm of macroeconomics.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Thorvald’s Twitter: @finstab
Thorvald’s Levy Economics Institute profile: http://www.levyinstitute.org/scholars/thorvald-grung-moe
Related Links:
Marriner S. Eccles and the 1951 Treasury – Federal Reserve Accord: Lessons for Central Bank Independence by Thorvald Grung Moe
http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp_747.pdf
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Carolyn Sissoko is an associate professor of economics at the University of the West of England, and she has written widely on shadow banking, money markets, and the plumbing of the financial system. Carolyn joins Macro Musings to talk about the evolution of money markets over the past few decades, and its implication for both monetary and fiscal policy. Specifically, David and Carolyn discuss the collateral supply effect, the consequences of moving from LIBOR to SOFR, and solutions to other money market concerns.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Carolyn’s Twitter: @csissoko
Carolyn’s UWE Bristol profile: https://people.uwe.ac.uk/Person/CarolynSissoko
Related Links:
The Collateral Supply Effect on Central Bank Policy by Carolyn Sissoko
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3545546
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Robin Harding is the Tokyo Bureau chief for the Financial Times. Until 2015, he was based in Washington D.C., covering the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Treasury, and the IMF for the Financial Times. Robin Macro Musings to talk about the Japanese economy, Abenomics, and the evolution of monetary policy in advanced economies over the past decade. Specifically, Robin and David discuss what the Bank of Japan’s point inflation target has in common with the Fed’s average inflation target, how the Bank of Japan found itself on the frontlines of innovation in monetary policy, and what the legacy of Abenomics portends for the future of monetary policy.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Robin’s Twitter: @RobinBHarding
Robin’s Financial Times profile: https://www.ft.com/robin-harding
Related Links:
Six Abenomics Lessons for a World Struggling with ‘Japanification’ by Robin Harding
https://www.ft.com/content/9f4b1656-95a2-41e0-9c86-70f5b063796d
Abe’s Tenure Marked by Trade Successes and Thwarted Ambitions by Robin Harding
https://www.ft.com/content/125378c8-073c-41b6-9aef-42b985c24784
Leave Public Debt Worries for Another Day by Robin Harding
https://www.ft.com/content/691cb9f4-b53d-4429-bba4-03ca623c0077
Methods of Policy Accommodation at the Interest-Rate Lower Bound by Michael Woodford
https://www.kansascityfed.org/publicat/sympos/2012/mw.pdf?sm=jh083112-4
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
George Selgin is the director of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives and is a returning guest to Macro Musings. He joins again to talk about his views on the Fed’s new framework and his recent book titled, The Menace of Fiscal QE. Specifically, David and George discuss the Fed’s quantitative easing evolution, and how the move to a floor system helped pave the way for fiscal QE to become a more popular policy in the present.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin
Related Links:
The Menace of Fiscal QE by George Selgin
https://www.cato.org/books/menace-fiscal-qe
Mission Creep at the Fed by Greg Ip
https://www.wsj.com/articles/mission-creep-at-the-fed-11598461446
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Macro Musings is back with another bonus episode, as Sam Bell and Skanda Amarnath (Employ America) are joined by Julia Coronado (Macro Policy Perspectives) and David Beckworth (Macro Musings) to talk through the announcement of the Fed’s framework transition towards average inflation targeting. Specifically, this panel of guests discuss the implications of moving to an average inflation targeting regime, whether the shift may cause credibility problems for the central bank, how to continue to improve the Fed’s toolkit, and more.
Special thanks to the Employ America team for allowing us to use their webcast audio for this special Macro Musings bonus content.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Employ America’s Twitter: @employamerica
Employ America’s website: https://employamerica.org/
Sam Bell’s Twitter: @sam_a_bell
Skanda Amarnath’s Twitter: @IrvingSwisher
Julia’s Twitter: @jc_econ
Julia’s Macro Policy Perspectives profile: https://www.macropolicyperspectives.com/team
Related Links:
A New Way to Manage Inflation by David Beckworth
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/new-way-manage-inflation
By Doubling Down On Inflation Targeting, the Fed Is At Risk of Forgetting Lessons from 2008 & 2011 by Skanda Amarnath
https://medium.com/@skanda_97974/by-doubling-down-on-inflation-targeting-the-fed-is-at-risk-of-forgetting-lessons-from-2008-2011-f877f78acba2
Securing Macroeconomic and Monetary Stability with a Federal Reserve–Backed Digital Currency by Julia Coronado and Simon Potter
https://www.piie.com/system/files/documents/pb20-4.pdf
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Scott Lincicome is a senior fellow in Economic Studies at Cato Institute where he writes on international and domestic economic issues, including international trade, industrial policy and manufacturing and global supply chains. Scott joins David on Macro Musings to discuss what we've learned so far about the so-called China shock and where we are today in the trade war. Specifically, David and Scott discuss the historical rise of Chinese exports, its impact on US labor markets, how certain policies make it harder for US workers to adjust, and whether the Trump administration marks a genuine regime shift in international trade.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Scott’s Twitter: @scottlincicome
Scott’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/scott-lincicome
Related Links:
Testing the ‘China Shock’: Was Normalizing Trade with China a Mistake?”by Scott Lincicome
https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/testing-china-shock-was-normalizing-trade-china-mistake#:~:text=However%2C%20champions%20of%20the%20emerging,with%20China%20for%20particular%20scorn.&text=It%20finds%20that%20PNTR%20and,that%20PNTR%20critics%20now%20repeat.
Clashing over Commerce by Douglas Irwin
https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo24475328.html
Audaciously Hopeful: How President Obama Can Help Restore the Pro‐Trade Consensus by Dan Ikenson and Scott Lincicome
https://www.cato.org/publications/trade-policy-analysis/audaciously-hopeful-how-president-obama-can-help-restore-protrade-consensus
The 'China Shock', Exports and U.S. Employment: A Global Input-Output Analysis by Robert Feenstra and Akira Sasahara
https://www.nber.org/papers/w24022
Executive Incentives, Import Restrictions, and Competition by Brian Blank
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/trade-and-immigration/executive-incentives-import-restrictions-and-competition
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Jim Tankersley is a tax and economics reporter for the New York Times and has written a new book on the middle class titled, The Riches of This Land: The Untold, True Story of the American Middle Class. Jim joins Macro Musings to talk about this book, and the state of the middle class in the US. David and Jim also discuss the history and golden era of the middle class as well as the steps policymakers can take to ensure we return to a path of robust economic growth.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jim’s Twitter: @jimtankersley
Jim’s New York Times archive: https://www.nytimes.com/by/jim-tankersley
Related Links:
The Riches of This Land: The Untold, True Story of the American Middle Class by Jim Tankersley
https://www.publicaffairsbooks.com/titles/jim-tankersley/the-riches-of-this-land/9781541767836/
The Allocation of Talent and U.S. Economic Growth by Chang-Tai Hsieh, Erik Hurst, Charles Jones, and Peter Klenow
https://www.nber.org/papers/w18693
Populism in Place: The Economic Geography of the Globalization Backlash by J. Lawrence Broz, Jeffry Freiden, and Stephen Weymouth
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3501263
Testing the ‘China Shock’: Was Normalizing Trade with China a Mistake? by Scott Lincicome
https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/testing-china-shock-was-normalizing-trade-china-mistake
The China Shock: Learning from Labor-Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade by David Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon Hanson
https://economics.mit.edu/files/12751
The Complacent Class: The Self-Defeating Quest for the American Dream by Tyler Cowen
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250108708
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Vincent Grossmann-Wirth is the Deputy Head of Monetary Policy Implementation Division at the Banque de France. Vincent joins Macro Musings to discuss the European Central Bank’s response to the COVID-19 crisis and what may lie ahead for the central bank. Specifically, Vincent and David discuss how the ECB’s structure and operating system compares to the US Federal Reserve System, the various dimensions of the ECB’s response to COVID-19, and what the ECB’s review of its operating framework portends for the future of monetary policy.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Vincent’s Twitter: @VinceGW
Vincent’s Banque de France profile: https://www.banque-france.fr/en/economics/economists-and-researchers/vincent-grossmann-wirth
Related Links:
Monetary policy measures taken by the Eurosystem in response to COVID-19 by Vincent Grossmann-Wirth
https://blocnotesdeleco.banque-france.fr/en/blog-entry/monetary-policy-measures-taken-eurosystem-response-covid-19
What Monetary Policy Operational Frameworks in the New Financial Environment? A Comparison of the US Fed and the Eurosystem Perspectives, 2007–2019 by Vincent Grossmann-Wirth
https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/ijpoec/v48y2019i4p336-352.html
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
David Schleicher is a professor at Yale Law School, and as a returning guest to Macro Musings, he joins to talk about the historical role that the federal government has played in responding to state and local budget crises, including the municipal trllemma it faces. This trilemma says the federal government can only avoid two of the three following harms: (1) moral hazard for state budgets; (2) worsening recessions; (3) reducing future state and local infrastructure investment. Specifically, they discuss this trilemma as well as its implications for the COVID-19 crisis.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
David’s Twitter: @ProfSchleich
David’s Yale profile: https://law.yale.edu/david-n-schleicher
Related Links:
Stuck! The Law and Economics of Residential Stagnation by David Schleicher
https://www.yalelawjournal.org/article/stuck-the-law-and-economics-of-residential-stagnation
Hands On! Part I: The Trilemma Facing the Federal Government During State and Local Budget Crises by David Schleicher
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3649278
David Schleicher on Local and State Regulation and Declining Mobility by Macro Musings
https://macromusings.libsyn.com/58-david-schleicher-on-local-and-state-regulation-and-declining-mobility
The Future of Remote Work by Adam Ozimek
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3638597
States Continue to Face Large Shortfalls Due to COVID-19 Effects by Elizabeth McNichol and Michael Leachman
https://www.cbpp.org/research/state-budget-and-tax/states-continue-to-face-large-shortfalls-due-to-covid-19-effects
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
Jon Sindreu is a reporter for the Wall Street Journal where he covers financial markets and the global transportation industry for the Heard on the Street column. Jon joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the role of global financial flows in driving global trade patterns. Specifically, Jon and David discuss the Bernanke view, loanable funds view, and money view of global financial system, as well as the implications for policy.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jon’s Twitter: @jonsindreu
Jon’s Wall Street Journal profile: https://www.wsj.com/news/author/jon-sindreu?mod=rsswn
Related Links:
Trade Wars Are Class Wars by Matthew Klein and Michael Pettis
https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300244175/trade-wars-are-class-wars
Wages of Destruction by Adam Tooze
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/295490/the-wages-of-destruction-by-adam-tooze/
Capital Flows, Asset Prices, and the Real Economy: A "China Shock" in the U.S. Real Estate Market by Zhimin Li, Leslie Sheng Shen, and Calvin Zhang
https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/ifdp/capital-flows-asset-prices-and-the-real-economy-a-china-shock-in-the-us-real-estate-market.htm
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
In this special Macro Musings episode, David is back in the spotlight, as he is interviewed by Claudia Sahm, director of macroeconomic policy at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, as a guest on her Stay-at-Home Macro Podcast. David and Claudia discuss nominal GDP targeting at length, as they dive into what it is, why it’s important, and how it could be implemented in the wake of COVID-19. They also talk about the communication problems related to introducing NGDP targeting as well as David’s proposal for reforming the Fed’s current policies.
Special thank you to Claudia for letting us air this episode as a part of the Macro Musings catalog!
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
David’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/david-beckworth
Claudia’s Twitter: @Claudia_Sahm
Claudia’s Equitable Growth profile: https://equitablegrowth.org/people/claudia-sahm/
Related Links:
Link to the original podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1rHBQ-o8vDA
Homepage for Claudia’s podcast: http://macromomblog.com/sahmpodcast/
Facts, Fears, and Functionality of NGDP Level Targeting by David Beckworth
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/facts-fears-and-functionality-ngdp-level-targeting
Measuring Monetary Policy: the NGDP Gap by David Beckworth
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/measuring-monetary-policy-ngdp-gap
COVID-19 Pandemic, Direct Cash Transfers, and the Federal Reserve by David Beckworth
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/covid-19-policy-brief-series/covid-19-pandemic-direct-cash-transfers-and-federal
NGDP Targeting and the Public by Carola Binder
https://www.cato.org/cato-journal/spring/summer-2020/ngdp-targeting-public
Bill Nelson is a Chief Economist and Executive Vice President at the Bank Policy Institute, and formerly a Deputy Director of the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board, where his responsibilities included monetary policy analysis, discount window analysis, and financial institution supervision. Bill also worked closely with the Bank for International Settlements on liquidity regulations. Bill is a previous guest of Macro Musings, and he returns to the podcast to discuss the Fed’s increasing role in credit policy, the prospects for yield curve control and negative interest rates, and why makeup policy would be uniquely suited to the challenges presently facing the economy.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Bill’s SIFMA profile: https://www.sifma.org/people/bill-nelson/
Bill’s BPI archive: https://bpi.com/tag/bill-nelson/
Bill’s American Banker archive: https://www.americanbanker.com/author/william-nelson-ab3618
Related Links:
Live Live Jay Powell, the New Monarch of the Bond Market by Robin Wigglesworth
https://www.ft.com/content/5db9d0f1-3742-49f0-a6cd-16c471875b5e
Federal Reserve’s “Strategies for Targeting Interest Rates Out the Yield Curve” prepared by David Bowman, Christopher Erceg, and Mike Leahy, with contributions from William English, Edward Nelson, David Reifschneider, Nathan Sheets, and David Wilcox of Board staff and Brian Sack, Spence Hilton, Allan Malz, Frank Keane, Matt Raskin, Julie Remache, Josh Frost, Nate Wuerffel, Angela O’Connor and Richard Dzina of FRBNY staff
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20101013memo08.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jens Van’t Klooster is a postdoctoral fellow at KU Leuven and is also a member of the research group, A New Normative Framework for Financial Debt at the University of Amsterdam. Jens has recently coauthored an article titled The Myth of Market Neutrality: A Comparative Study of the European Central Bank’s and Swiss National Bank’s Corporate Security Purchases. He joins Macro Musings to talk about this article and some of his other work on central bank purchases and what it may mean for the Fed’s purchase of corporate bonds.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jens’s Twitter: @jvklooster
Jens’s website: https://jensvantklooster.com/
Related Links:
The Myth of Market Neutrality: A Comparative Study of the European Central Bank’s and Swiss National Bank’s Corporate Security Purchases by Jens Van’t Klooster and Clement Fontan
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13563467.2019.1657077
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Matthew Klein is an economics commentator at Barron’s and is the author of a new book with Michael Pettis titled, Trade Wars are Class Wars: How Rising Inequality Distorts the Global Economy and Threatens International Peace. Matthew is a returning guest to Macro Musings and he joins once again to talk about his book and the domestic roots of international trade conflicts – in the past as well as today. Specifically, David and Matthew also discuss the history of how industrialized strategies, in countries such as China, have set the stage for trade conflicts in the present day.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Matthew’s Twitter: @M_C_Klein
Matthew’s Barron’s profile: https://www.barrons.com/authors/8566
Related Links:
Trade Wars Are Class Wars: How Rising Inequality Distorts the Global Economy and Threatens International Peace by Matthew Klein and Michael Pettis
https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300244175/trade-wars-are-class-wars
The Great Rebalancing: Trade, Conflict, and the Perilous Road Ahead for the World Economy by Michael Pettis
https://press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691158686/the-great-rebalancing
The Man Who Knew: The Life and Times of Alan Greenspan by Sebastian Mallaby
https://www.cfr.org/book/man-who-knew
Imperialism: A Study by John Hobson
https://oll.libertyfund.org/titles/hobson-imperialism-a-study
Communist China’s Capitalism: The Highest Stage of Capitalist Imperialism by Kenneth Austin
https://www.worldeconomics.com/Journal/ViewArticle.aspx?AID=455
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Stephen Kirchner is a program director for trade and investment at the United States Center at the University of Sydney, and he was written widely on financial markets and economy policy in Australia. Stephen joins Macro Musings to talk about the journey of monetary policy in Australia that has transpired throughout the last few decades. Specifically, David and Stephen discuss the structure of the Reserve Bank of the Australia, the history of its inflation target, how Australia was able to avoid the worst of the Great Recession, and the actions they have taken to in response to the COVID crisis.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Stephen’s Twitter: @insteconomics
Stephen’s US Studies Center profile: https://www.ussc.edu.au/people/stephen-kirchner
Stephen’s Substack page: https://stephenkirchner.substack.com/
Related Links:
Money Too Tight to Mention: The Reserve Bank of Australia’s Financial Stability Mandate and Low Inflation by Stephen Kirchner
http://www.institutional-economics.com/images/uploads/EAP.pdf
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning against the Wind by Trent Saunders and Peter Tulip
https://rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2019/2019-05.html
Twenty-five Years of Inflation Targeting in Australia: Are There Better Alternatives for the Next 25 Years? by Warwick McKibbin and Augustus Panton
https://www.brookings.edu/research/twenty-five-years-of-inflation-targeting-in-australia-are-there-better-alternatives-for-the-next-25-years/
The RBA Needs a New Post-virus Monetary Policy Game by Richard Holden, Warwick McKibbin, and John Quiggin
https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/the-rba-needs-a-new-post-virus-monetary-policy-game-20200505-p54ptw
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Daniela Gabor is a professor of economics and macrofinance at the University of West England at Bristol, where she works on shadow banking, capital markets, and transnational banking. Daniela is also a returning guest to the podcast, and she has a new paper out on the burgeoning field of critical macrofinance and how it sheds light on the past great financial crisis (2007-2009) and the present COVID-19 crisis. She re-joins Macro Musings to discuss this paper and how it can offer important insight into the current global economic environment.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Daniela’s Twitter: @DanielaGabor
Daniela’s UWE Bristol profile: https://people.uwe.ac.uk/Person/DanielaGabor
Related Links:
Critical Macro-Finance: A Theoretical Lens by Daniela Gabor
http://financeandsociety.ed.ac.uk/article/view/4408
The Role of Time-Critical Liquidity in Financial Markets by David Marshall and Robert Steigerwald
https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/economic-perspectives/2013/2q-marshall-steigerwald
The Growth of Financial Banking by Anna Youngman
https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/251239?mobileUi=0&
Daniela Gabor on Safe Assets and Shadow Banking
https://macromusings.libsyn.com/103-daniela-gabor-on-safe-assets-and-shadow-banking
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Darrell Duffie is a professor of finance at Stanford University, and he joins Macro Musings to discuss the treasury market problems that emerged in March 2020 and what can be done to avoid them in the future. Specifically, Darrell and David lay out the current state of financial markets, the ability of treasury markets, as currently designed, to handle demand shocks, and how central banking reforms can better ensure financial stability in the future.
Register here for the Cato Institute/Mercatus Center Webinar Series - A Fed for Next Time: Ideas for a Crisis‐Ready Central Bank: https://www.cato.org/events/fed-next-time-ideas-crisis-ready-central-bank
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Darrell’s Twitter: @DuffieDarrell
Darrell’s website: https://www.darrellduffie.com/
Darrell’s Stanford profile: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/faculty/darrell-duffie
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Darrell:
https://youtu.be/0Y3MTjgbP74
Pass-through Efficiency in the Fed’s New Monetary Policy Setting by Darrell Duffie and Arvind Krishnamurthy
https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/publications/passthrough-efficiency-feds-new-monetary-policy-setting
The Failure Mechanics of Dealer Banks by Darrell Duffie
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.24.1.51
Still the World’s Safe Haven? Redesigning the U.S. Treasury Market after the COVID-19 Crisis by Darrell Duffie
https://www.brookings.edu/research/still-the-worlds-safe-haven/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Peter Stella is a former IMF official, where he led the Central Banking and Monetary and Foreign Exchange divisions, and he now hosts a webpage titled Central Bank Archeology. Peter is also a former guest of Macro Musings, and rejoins to talk about the COVID-19 crisis, central bank balance sheets, and more. David and Peter also discuss the dangers and challenges of the Fed’s off-balance sheet transactions, how the government should approach crisis financing, and who should be managing the country’s public debt.
The transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Peter’s Twitter: @Stellar_Consult
Peter’s Voxeu profile: https://voxeu.org/users/peterstella0
Peter’s Research Gate archive: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Peter_Stella
Related Links:
Peter's Central Bank Archaeology website: https://www.centralbankarchaeology.com/
Macro Musings: Peter Stella on Debt, Safe Assets, and Central Bank Operations
https://macromusings.libsyn.com/144-peter-stella-on-debt-safe-assets-and-central-bank-operations
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Adam Tooze is a professor of history at Columbia University, and is the author of many books, including his popular account of the 2007-2009 crisis, titled Crashed: How a Decade of Financial Crisis Changed the World. Adam joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the COVID-19 crisis, the Eurozone, and the future of central banking. Specifically, Adam and David break down recent events and risks in the global financial system, the future of the dollar as reserve currency, and the implications of the recent German-Franco debt deal for the Eurozone.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Adam’s Twitter: @adam_tooze
Adam’s Columbia profile: https://history.columbia.edu/faculty/adam-tooze/
Adam’s website: https://adamtooze.com/
Related Links:
How Coronavirus Almost Brought Down the Global Financial System by Adam Tooze
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/apr/14/how-coronavirus-almost-brought-down-the-global-financial-system)
The Death of the Central Bank Myth by Adam Tooze
https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/05/13/european-central-bank-myth-monetary-policy-german-court-ruling/
Still the World's Safe Haven? by Darrell Duffie
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/WP62_Duffie_updated.pdf
Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold? by Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth S. Rogoff
https://www.nber.org/papers/w23134
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Alp Simsek is an associate professor of economics at MIT, and joins Macro Musings to talk about the link between financial markets, uncertainty and the COVID-19 crisis. Specifically, David and Alp discuss the dual absorption problem within financial markets, how supply shocks and demand shocks have inescapably become interwoven phenomenon, and why we should look to using macroprudential policy in the future.
The transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Alp’s Twitter: @alpsimsek_econ
Alp’s MIT profile: https://economics.mit.edu/faculty/asimsek
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Alp: https://youtu.be/eoGxYcWmH9E
A Risk-centric Model of Demand Recessions and Speculation by Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek
https://www.nber.org/papers/w23614
A Model of Asset Price Spirals and Aggregate Demand Amplification of a ‘COVID-19’ Shock by Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek
https://www.nber.org/papers/w27044
Prudential Monetary Policy by Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek
https://www.nber.org/papers/w25977
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Thomas Hoenig is a former vice chair of the FDIC, former president of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, and is currently a distinguished senior fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. Tom’s research has focused on the long-term impact of the politicization of financial services, as well as the effects of government grant privileges on market performance. Tom joins David on Macro Musings to talk about COVID-19, the Fed's response to its economic impact, and the current state of banking in the United States.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Thomas’s Twitter: @tom_hoenig
Thomas’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/thomas-hoenig
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Thomas: https://youtu.be/CrA1WRtu0jc
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Scott Sumner is the Ralph G. Hawtrey Chair of Monetary Policy at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, Professor Emeritus of economics at Bentley University, and a research fellow at the Independent Institute. As a returning guest to the podcast, Scott joins Macro Musings to give his latest thoughts on the COVID-19 crisis and its implications for monetary policy. Specifically, David and Scott discuss how the Fed can conduct more aggressive monetary policy, what a level targeting regime should look like in the future, and the current progression toward negative interest rates.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Scott’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/scott-sumner
Scott’s blog: https://www.themoneyillusion.com/
Related Links:
Scott's bonus segment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8DXU_1oIsg&feature=youtu.be
Reforming the Fed’s Toolkit and Quantitative Easing Practices: A Plan to Achieve Level Targeting by Scott Sumner and Patrick Horan
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/covid-19-policy-brief-series/reforming-feds-toolkit-and-quantitative-easing-practices
Negative Interest Rates and Negative IOER by Scott Sumner
https://www.econlib.org/negative-interest-rates-and-negative-ioer/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Lev Menand is a legal scholar at Columbia Law School and has previously worked for the New York Fed, the US Treasury Department, and the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC). Lev Joins Macro Musings to talk about his new paper, Unappropriated Dollars: The Fed’s Ad Hoc Lending Facilities and the Rules that Govern Them. Specifically, David and Lev discuss opening up public Fed bank accounts, the importance of liquidity and credit facilities, and how Congress is using the CARES Act to skirt the Fed’s current legal mandates.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Lev’s Twitter: @LevMenand
Lev’s Columbia Law profile: https://www.law.columbia.edu/faculty/lev-menand
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Lev: https://youtu.be/N9qndjjju9A
Unappropriated Dollars: The Fed’s Ad Hoc Lending Facilities and the Rules That Govern Them by Lev Menand
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3602740
FedAccounts by Morgan Ricks, John Crawford, and Lev Menand
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3192162
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Martin Hellwig is the director of the Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods, and he joins Macro Musings to talk about the Eurozone and the implications of the recent German Constitutional Court (GCC) ruling for the future of the monetary union. David and Martin specifically discuss the background of the perceived Eurozone crisis, the power struggle between the GCC and the European Court of Justice, and how this case may lead to a total breakdown of the Eurozone.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Martin’s MPI profile: https://www.coll.mpg.de/martin-hellwig
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Martin: https://youtu.be/1POrO_8VcM0
The Leverage Ratchet Effect by Anat Admati, Peter DeMarzo, Martin Hellwig and Paul Pfleiderer
https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/working-papers/leverage-ratchet-effect
German Court Has Set a Bomb Under the EU Legal Order by Martin Sandbu
https://www.ft.com/content/79484c01-b66b-4f81-bdc6-fd4def940821
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Nathan Tankus is the director of research at the Modern Money Network, and a research fellow at the Global Institute for Sustainable Prosperity. Nathan is also the author of a number of articles on the Fed's recent activity at his Substack page titled “Notes on the Crises.” Nathan joins Macro Musings to talk about the post-Keynesian view of money, central bank independence, and the consolidated view of public finance, as well as evaluate the policy responses by the Fed and Congress to COVID-19.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Nathan’s Twitter: @NathanTankus
Nathan’s Substack page: https://nathantankus.substack.com/
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Nathan: https://youtu.be/VPl0LYgttYI
*Monetary, Credit, and Fiscal Policies: A Collection of Statements Submitted to the Subcommittee on Monetary, Credit, and Fiscal Policies by Government Officials, Bankers, Economists, and Others (specifically a comment made by Albert G. Hart) by the Joint Committee on the Economic Report
https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/files/docs/historical/congressional/1949jec_mcfpstate.pdf#page=332
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Anat Admati is a professor of finance and economics at Stanford University, and is well-known for her work on leveraging debt in our financial system and how it makes our economy more susceptible to shocks. She’s also a co-author of the popular book, The Banker’s New Clothes: What Went Wrong with Banking and What to Do About It. Anat joins Macro Musings again to talk about the COVID-19 crisis from the debt perspective, how the Fed and Congress have responded so far, and how their relief efforts should have been focused differently.
The transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Anat’s Twitter: @anatadmati
Anat’s website: https://admati.people.stanford.edu/
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Anat: https://youtu.be/4xHmmgoURqg
The Banker’s New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking and What to Do about It by Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig
https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691162386/the-bankers-new-clothes
The Leverage Ratchet Effect by Anat Admati, Peter DeMarzo, Martin Hellwig, and Paul Pfleiderer
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/jofi.12588
Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts by Oscar Jorda, Mortiz Schularick, and Alan Taylor
https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/wp2016-23.pdf
*Coronavirus Crisis Lays Bare the Risks of Financial Leverage, Again” by Martin Wolf
https://www.ft.com/content/098dcd60-8880-11ea-a01c-a28a3e3fbd33
House of Debt: How They (And You) Caused the Great Recession, and How We Can Prevent It from Happening Again by Atif Mian and Amir Sufi
https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/H/bo20832545.html
Collateral Frameworks: The Open Secret of Central Banks by Kjell Nyborg
https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/collateral-frameworks/DE8BACD87F364A66DD496F601BE92FE7
Bankruptcy for Banks: A Sound Concept That Needs Fine-Tuning by Mark Roe and David Skeel
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/17/business/dealbook/bankruptcy-for-banks-a-sound-concept-that-needs-fine-tuning.html
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Kathryn Judge is the Harvey J. Goldschmid Professor of Law at Columbia Law School, the editor of the Journal of Financial Regulation, and an expert on financial markets, financial regulation, and regulatory architecture. Kathryn joins Macro Musings to discuss the CARES Act, the Fed's role and its limitations regarding COVID-19 relief efforts, and the political implications of relief effort performance.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Kathryn's Twitter: @ProfKateJudge
Kathryn's Columbia profile: https://www.law.columbia.edu/faculty/kathryn-judge
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Kathryn:
https://youtu.be/iFub37lpq2c
The Design Flaw at the Heart of the CARES Act by Kathryn Judge
https://www.forbes.com/sites/kathrynjudge/2020/04/20/the-design-flaw-at-the-heart-of-the-cares-act/#21495f0e6bed
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde is a professor of economics at the University of Pennsylvania, a research associate with the National Bureau of Economic Research, a research affiliate with the Center for Economic Policy Research, and a returning guest to the podcast. Jesus specializes in macroeconomic modeling and economic history among other topics, and he joins Macro Musings to talk about COVID-19, central bank digital currency, and developments in the Eurozone. David and Jesus also discuss the history of central banks and the interacting public, how threatening inflation could become a useful tool for a central bank, and the value economic modeling could add to the epidemiological field.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jesus’s UPenn profile: https://www.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/
Jesus’s NBER archive: https://www.nber.org/people/jesus_fernandez-villaverde
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Jesus: https://youtu.be/CA6y9LqjDwQ
Estimating and Simulating a SIRD Model of COVID-19 for Many Countries, States, and Cities by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Charles Jones
https://web.stanford.edu/~chadj/sird-paper.pdf
Central Bank Digital Currency: Central Banking For All? by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Daniel Sanches, Linda Schilling, & Harald Uhlig
https://bfi.uchicago.edu/working-paper/central-bank-digital-currency-central-banking-for-all/
Central Bank Digital Currency in a Nominal World by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Daniel Sanches, Linda Schilling, & Harald Uhlig
https://www.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/CBDC_Nominal.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
George Selgin is the Director of the Cato Institute Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives and a returning guest to Macro Musings. He joins David to break down recent policy actions by the Federal Reserve and some of the resulting challenges, as they break down the Treasury’s recent $454 billion backstop on Federal Reserve lending, the complex array of new Fed lending facilities in response to COVID-19, and the Fed’s evolving role in the global economy.
The transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato profile: https://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin
Related Links:
Bonus segment with George: https://youtu.be/Q73pWOeldf4
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Mehrsa Baradaran is a professor of law at the University of California Irvine and researches banking law, financial inclusion, inequality, and the racial wealth gap. Her scholarship includes the books, How the Other Half Banks and The Color of Money: Black Banks and the Racial Wealth Gap. Mehrsa joins Macro Musings to talk about the impact of COVID-19 and how existing wealth conditions and financial access challenges are exacerbating the crisis. David and Mehrsa also discuss the historical context for the racial wealth gap, why banking deserts are so consequential, and how a postal savings system may be a solution to the financial inclusion problem.
Transcripts for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Mehrsa’s Twitter: @MehrsaBaradaran
Mehrsa’s UCI profile: https://www.law.uci.edu/faculty/full-time/baradaran/
Related Links:
Link to bonus segment with Mehrsa: https://youtu.be/AcH3c89ZtKY
How the Other Half Banks: Exclusion, Exploitation, and the Threat to Democracy by Mehrsa Baradaran
https://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674983960
The Color of Money: Black Banks and the Racial Wealth Gap by Mehrsa Baradaran
https://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674237476
The U.S. Should Just Send Checks – But Won’t by Mehrsa Baradaran
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/04/the-us-should-just-write-checksbut-wont/609637/
Rethinking Financial Inclusion: Designing an Equitable Financial System with Public Policy by Mehrsa Baradaran
https://rooseveltinstitute.org/rethinking-financial-inclusion-equitable-financial-system-public-policy/
The Coronavirus Will Be a Catastrophe for the Poor by Derek Thompson
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/coronavirus-will-supercharge-american-inequality/608419/
Link to Aaron Klein Macro Musings episode: https://macromusings.libsyn.com/aaron-klein-on-real-time-payments-and-financial-regulation
Link to Mapping Inequality from the Digital Scholar Lab at the University of Richmond: https://dsl.richmond.edu/panorama/redlining/#loc=5/40.464/-94.592
JPMorgan Research: Racial Gaps in Financial Outcomes
https://institute.jpmorganchase.com/institute/research/household-income-spending/report-racial-gaps-in-financial-outcomes#finding-1
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Nicholas Bloom is a professor of economics at Stanford University and a leading scholar on management, productivity, innovation and economic uncertainty. Nick is a previous guest of Macro Musings and returns to share his thoughts on COVID-19 and what it means for the US economy, both in the short-run and in the long-run. David and Nick also discuss the impact of the virus on the future of urban living, on the economics profession as a whole, and who will bear the biggest brunt of these impacts.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Nick’s NBER archive: https://www.nber.org/people/nick_bloom
Nick’s Stanford profile: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/faculty/nicholas-bloom
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Nick: https://youtu.be/q2M0TLwV_Xw
COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty by Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, and Stephen J. Terry.
https://www.nber.org/papers/w26983
U.S. Economic Activity During the Early Weeks of the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak by Daniel J. Lewis, Karel Mertens, and Jim Stock.
https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr920
Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk-Taking? by Ulrike Malmendier and Stefan Nagel.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1369049
Managing with Style by Marianne Bertrand and Antoinette Schoar.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=376880
Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find? by Nicholas Bloom, Charles I. Jones, John Van Reenen, and Michael Webb.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3039019
Does Working from Home Work? Evidence from a Chinese Experiment by Nicholas A. Bloom, James Liang, John Roberts, Zhichun Jenny Ying
https://nbloom.people.stanford.edu/sites/g/files/sbiybj4746/f/wfh.pdf
How Many Jobs Can be Done at Home? by Jonathan I. Dingel and Brent Neiman.
https://bfi.uchicago.edu/wp-content/uploads/BFI_White-Paper_Dingel_Neiman_3.2020.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Brad Setser is a senior fellow for international economics at the Council on Foreign Relations, where he works on macroeconomics, global capital flows, and financial crisis issues. Brad has previously served as the deputy assistant secretary at the U.S. Treasury, working on Europe’s financial crisis, currency policy, financial sanctions, commodity shocks, and Puerto Rico’s debt crisis, and was the director for international economics on the staff of the National Economic Council and the National Security Council. As a returning guest to the show, Brad joins Macro Musings once again to discuss dollars swap lines and other solutions to the global dollar shortage, the recent implications of COVID-19 on global trade imbalances, and how China should respond to the effects of this crisis.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Brad’s Twitter: @Brad_Setser
Brad’s CFR profile: https://www.cfr.org/expert/brad-w-setser
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Brad Setser:
https://youtu.be/YsdynQgWHFg
Addressing the Global Dollar Shortage: More Swap Lines? A New Repo Facility for Central Banks? More IMF Lending? by Brad Setser
https://www.cfr.org/blog/addressing-global-dollar-shortage-more-swap-lines-new-fed-repo-facility-central-banks-more-imf
Why the Dollar Crunch is (mostly) a Rich World Problem by Claire Jones
https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2020/03/24/1585041854000/Why-the-dollar-crunch-is--mostly--a-rich-world-problem/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Alex Tabarrok is a professor of economics at George Mason University and a research fellow at the Mercatus Center. Alex joins David Beckworth on the podcast to discuss how best to deal with COVID-19 and what lessons we can learn from it moving forward.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Alex’s Twitter: @ATabarrok
Alex’s GMU profile: https://mason.gmu.edu/~atabarro/
Related Links:
Bonus segment with Tabarrok: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQUnnumgXvw&feature=youtu.be
Pandemic Policy in Developing Countries: Recommendations for India by Shruti Rajagopalan and Alex Tabarrok
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/covid-19-policy-brief-series/pandemic-policy-developing-countries-recommendations-india
Chad Brown’s PIIE archive, which include a series of articles related to COVID-19 and its impact on trade: https://www.piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/chad-p-bown
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Ashoka Mody is a professor of international economic policy at Princeton University, has formerly worked at the IMF and the World Bank, and is a returning guest to Macro Musings. In this episode, he joins David to discuss the global economic implications of COVID-19 and what it specifically means for Europe and the Eurozone.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Ashoka’s Twitter: @AshokaMody
Ashoka’s Princeton profile: https://scholar.princeton.edu/amody/home
Related Links:
Cover of Ashoka's new paperback book: https://i.imgur.com/1IYWBAk.jpg
Bonus segment with Ashoka Mody: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZsAetHdzjA&feature=youtu.be
Charting the Crisis by Ashoka Mody
http://econbrowser.com/archives/2020/03/guest-contribution-charting-this-crisis
Euro Tragedy: A Drama in Nine Acts by Ashoka Mody
https://global.oup.com/academic/product/eurotragedy-9780199351381?cc=us⟨=en&
Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008 by Alan Taylor and Moritz Schularick
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.102.2.1029
European Monetary Unification by Barry Eichengreen
https://www.jstor.org/stable/2728243?seq=1
Pandemics Depress the Economy, Public Health Interventions Do Not: Evidence from the 1918 Flu by Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3561560
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Peter Conti-Brown – a legal scholar and financial historian at the University of Pennsylvania, as well as a Nonresident Fellow in Economic Studies at the Brookings Institution – returns to Macro Musings to discuss the new Fed-Treasury relationship that is emerging in the wake of the war against COVID-19. Peter and David breakdown the CARES Act, the aggressive and extensive policies recently taken by the Fed, and the implications for monetary policy moving forward.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Peter’s Twitter: @PeterContiBrown
Peter’s Brookings profile: https://www.brookings.edu/author/peter-conti-brown/
Peter’s Wharton profile: https://lgst.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/petercb/
Related Links:
Explaining the New Fed-Treasury Emergency Fund by Peter Conti-Brown
https://www.brookings.edu/research/explaining-the-new-fed-treasury-emergency-fund/
What’s the Fed Doing in Response to the COVID-19 Crisis? What More Could it Do? by Jeffrey Cheng, Dave Skidmore, and David Wessel
https://www.brookings.edu/research/fed-response-to-covid19/
The Foreign Affairs of the Federal Reserve by Peter Conti-Brown and David Zaring
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3169870
Longer-Run Economic Consequences of Pandemics by Oscar Jorda, Sanjay Singh, and Alan Taylor
https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/wp2020-09.pdf
Bonus segment featuring Peter Conti-Brown: https://youtu.be/GJF2RlQ8po4
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Skanda Amarnath is the Director of Research and Analysis at Employ America, Yakov Feygin is the Associate Director of the Future of Capitalism program at the Berggruen Institute, and Elizabeth Pancotti is a research assistant at the National Bureau of Economic Research and at Tufts University. Together, they have put together proposals on how to better address the challenges of the COVID-19 crisis at the state and local level. They join Macro Musings today to discuss these proposals, a municipal bond market and expanded unemployment insurance, as well as what it all means for making the US economy more of an optimal currency area.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Skanda’s Twitter: @IrvingSwisher
Skanda’s Medium profile: https://medium.com/@skanda_97974
Yakov’s Twitter: @BuddyYakov
Yakov’s Berggruen Institute profile: https://www.berggruen.org/people/yakov-feygin/
Elizabeth’s Twitter: @ENPancotti
Elizabeth’s website: https://sites.google.com/view/elizabethpancotti/home
Related Links:
The Fed Can and Should Support State Government Efforts to Respond to COVID-19 Right Now by Skanda Amarnath and Yakov Feygin
https://medium.com/@skanda_97974/the-fed-can-and-should-support-state-government-efforts-to-respond-to-covid-19-right-now-5e5ecf7b7ed8
Unemployment Benefit Expansions: A Guide for Policy Responses in the Wake of COVID-19 by Elizabether Pancotti
https://medium.com/@employamerica/unemployment-benefit-expansions-a-guide-for-policy-responses-in-the-wake-of-covid-19-ec3da6e8701
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jim Bianco, of Bianco Research, joins Macro Musings to discuss the latest on the economic impact from the coronavirus. David and Jim discuss the details and implications of the $2 Trillion Relief bill, the possibility of higher inflation, renewed threats to Fed independence, and implications for the Eurozone.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Jim’s Twitter: @biancoresearch
Jim’s Bloomberg archive: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/authors/ABvwE0aTOvg/jim-bianco
Related Links:
The Fed's Cure Risks Being Worse Than the Disease by Jim Bianco
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-27/federal-reserve-s-financial-cure-risks-being-worse-than-disease
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Robin Brooks is a chief economist at the Institute of International Finance and has previously worked for Goldman Sachs and the IMF. Robin joins Macro Musings to talk about the global economic implications of the novel coronavirus. David and Robin also discuss what is happening to output gap measures, where the global dollar cycle stands today, and the importance of dollar swap lines for emerging markets.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Robin’s Twitter: @RobinBrooksIIF
Robin’s IIF profile: https://www.iif.com/About-Us/Our-Leadership
Related Links:
Federal Reserve Announces Extensive New Measures to Support the Economy
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20200323b.htm
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Stan Veuger is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute where he specializes in political economy and public finance. Stan joins us today to discuss his co-authored proposal to save American businesses and American jobs as well as his thoughts on how Europe is handling the crisis. Specifically, David and Stan discuss the Federal Reserve’s ability to support targeted business loans, how the crisis has been panning out in Europe, and the timeline to global recovery.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Stan’s Twitter: @stanveuger
Stan’s AEI profile: https://www.aei.org/profile/stan-veuger/
Related Links:
How to Help American Businesses Endure and Jobs Survive by Stan Veuger and Steven Hamilton
https://www.aei.org/economics/how-to-help-american-businesses-endure-and-jobs-survive/
Throwing a COVID-19 Liquidity Life-Line by Markus Brunnermeier, Jean-Pierre Landau, Marco Pagano, and Ricardo Reis
https://scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/files/markus/files/covid_liquiditylifeline.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Claudia Sahm is the Director of Macroeconomic Policy at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth and formerly was a section chief at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Claudia specializes in macroeconomics and household finance, and joins the show today to talk about what the Fed has recently done and what fiscal policy can do in response to the economic meltdown caused by COVID-19. Specifically, David and Claudia discuss sending out direct payments to individuals, what the Fed’s remaining toolkit may look like, and how the freshly minted Sahm Rule may be of paramount importance as this crisis continues to develop.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Claudia’s Twitter: @Claudia_Sahm
Claudia’s Equitable Growth profile: https://equitablegrowth.org/people/claudia-sahm/
Related Links:
The Case for a Big Coronavirus Stimulus by Jason Furman
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-case-for-a-big-coronavirus-stimulus-11583448500?mod=rsswn
Go Big Or Go Home by Tim Duy
https://blogs.uoregon.edu/timduyfedwatch/2020/03/16/go-big-or-go-home/
COVID-19 Pandemic, Direct Cash Transfers, and the Federal Reserve by David Beckworth
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/covid-19-pandemic-direct-cash-transfers-and-federal-reserve
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s Blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
James Sweeney is the chief economist at Credit Suisse and joins us today as a part of our ongoing special coverage to talk about the coronavirus or COVID-19 and its implications for the economy. Specifically, David and James discuss what this pandemic means for the plumbing of the financial system, interest rates, and the type of recession we might experience.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
James’s Credit Suisse profile: https://www.credit-suisse.com/microsites/conferences/aic/en/speakers/cs-experts/james-sweeney.html
Related Links:
Global Money Notes #27: Covid-19 and Global Dollar Funding by Zoltan Pozsar and James Sweeney
https://plus.credit-suisse.com/rpc4/ravDocView?docid=V7k0P32AC-WEqAJ7
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Megan Greene is a senior fellow at Harvard University’s Kennedy School and a senior fellow in international economics at Chatham House. Formerly, Megan was a chief economist on Wall Street and she currently has a bi-weekly column in the Financial Times on global macroeconomics. She joins the show today to talk about the coronavirus and the appropriate policy response to it as well as the future countercyclical macro policy in the United States. David and Megan also discuss the Fed’s future framework, arguments against the recent 50 basis point rate cut, and why the Fed should consider following the ECB’s lead on TLTROs as well as negative interest rates.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Megan’s Twitter: @economistmeg
Megan’s website: https://economistmeg.com/about/
Related Links:
Coronavirus May Be Worse Than Wall Street Is Wagering by Megan Greene
https://www.ft.com/content/44c9391c-5489-11ea-a1ef-da1721a0541e
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Ben Moll is a professor of economics at the London School of Economics, and is well known for his work on income and wealth distribution in macroeconomics and its implications for policy. Ben joins the show today to talk about this work and provide a look into the growing field of heterogeneous agent models. David and Ben also discuss the history of macro thought, the implications of different transmission mechanisms of monetary policy, and what HANK models mean for forward guidance and other more general makeup policies.
The transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Ben’s Twitter: @ben_moll
Ben’s LSE website: https://benjaminmoll.com/
Related Links:
Monetary Policy According to HANK by Greg Kaplan, Ben Moll, and Giovanni Violante
https://www.princeton.edu/~moll/HANK.pdf
Household Balance Sheet Channels of Monetary Policy: A Back of the Envelope Calculation for the Euro Area by Jiri Slacalek, Oreste Tristani, and Giovanni Violante
https://cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=14245
Heterogeneous Agents Macroeconomics Has a Long History, and it Raises Many Questions by Beatrice Cherrier
https://beatricecherrier.wordpress.com/2018/11/28/heterogeneous-agent-macroeconomics-has-a-long-history-and-it-raises-many-questions/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Scott Sumner is the Ralph G. Hawtrey Chair of Monetary Policy at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, and a returning guest to Macro Musings. Scott joins the show today to talk about the recent market turmoil caused by the COVID-19 coronavirus and its implications for monetary policy. David and Scott also discuss how the Fed should respond to a possible pandemic, why monetary policy is preferable to fiscal policy during a crisis, and how to approach the central bank credibility problem.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Scott’s blog: https://www.themoneyillusion.com/
Scott’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/scott-sumner
Related Links:
It’s Time for the Fed to Take On the Coronavirus Threat by David Beckworth
https://www.nationalreview.com/2020/02/its-time-for-the-fed-to-take-on-the-coronavirus-threat/
The Era of Fed Power is Over. Prepare for a More Perilous Road Ahead. by Greg Ip
https://www.wsj.com/articles/shrinking-influence-of-central-banks-ends-decades-of-business-as-usual-11579103829?mod=rsswn
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Paul Schmelzing is an economic historian, a visiting scholar at the Bank of England and a postdoc at the Yale University School of Management. Paul has written an influential new paper on the long history of interest rates titled, "Eight centuries of global real interest rates, R-G, and the ‘suprasecular’ decline, 1311–2018." Specifically, Paul and David discuss the implications of this paper’s findings for secular stagnation theory, Thomas Piketty’s inegalitarian wealth spiral, and for macroeconomic policy more generally.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/macro-musings
Paul’s Twitter: @paul_schmelzing
Paul’s Harvard profile: https://scholar.harvard.edu/pfschmelzing/bio
Related Links:
- Eight Centuries of Global Real Interest Rates, R-G, and the ‘Suprasecular’ Decline, 1311–2018* by Paul Schmelzing
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/working-paper/2020/eight-centuries-of-global-real-interest-rates-r-g-and-the-suprasecular-decline-1311-2018
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Ernie Tedeschi is a policy economist and the head of fiscal analysis at Evercore ISI, a macro advisory firm. He is also an occasional contributor to The Upshot section at The New York Times. Previously, Ernie was a senior advisor and an economist at the US Department of Treasury. His research interests include the federal budget, monetary policy, and labor markets. Ernie joins the show to talk about output gaps, full employment, labor markets, and the state of the economy. Specifically, Ernie and David discuss Ernie’s recent articles titled Participation in the Hot Labor Market and Pay is Rising Fastest for Low Earners, One Reason? Minimum Wages.
Transcript for the episode can be found here: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/tags/monetary-policy
Ernie’s Twitter: @ernietedeschi
Ernie’s blog: https://medium.com/bonothesauro
Related Links:
Participation and the Hot Labor Market by Ernie Tedeschi
https://medium.com/@employamerica/participation-and-the-hot-labor-market-a84ef77a3bb1
Pay is Rising Fastest for Low Earners. One Reason? Minimum Wages. by Ernie Tedeschi
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/03/upshot/minimum-wage-boost-bottom-earners.html
Labor Force Participation: Recent Developments and Future Prospects by Stephanie Aaronson, Tomaz Cajner, Bruce Fallick, Felix Galbis-Reig, Christopher L. Smith, and William Wascher
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2495029
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Brent Skorup is a senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center where he specializes in transportation technology, telecommunications, aviation, and wireless policy. Brent also serves on the FCC’s broadband deployment advisory committee and the Texas Department of Transportation’s autonomous vehicle task force, and he has recent spoke on the topic of airspace design at the Global Air Traffic Management Conference in Dubai. He joins the show today to talk about the future of transportation, including flying cars and highways in the sky. Brent and David also discuss the concept of auctioning airspace, the macroeconomic implications of technological innovation, and how to build or improve infrastructure for autonomous vehicles in the future.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/02102020/brent-skorup-autonomous-vehicles-flying-cars-and-airspace-scarce-resource
Brent’s Twitter: @bskorup
Brent’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/brent-skorup
Related Links:
Your Flying Car Will Be Here Sooner Than You Think by Brent Skorup
https://www.wsj.com/articles/your-flying-car-will-be-here-sooner-than-you-think-1542327046
Auctioning Airspace by Brent Skorup
https://www.mercatus.org/system/files/skorup-auctioning-airspace-mercatus-working-paper-v1.pdf
Smart Cities, Dumb Infrastructure by Korok Ray & Brent Skorup
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/technology-and-innovation/smart-cities-dumb-infrastructure
Auto Purchase Trends, Mobility as a Service, and Autonomous Vehicle Adoption by Brent Skorup
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/auto-purchase-trends-mobility-service-and-autonomous-vehicle-adoption
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Marc Lavoie is a professor of economics at the University of Ottawa and an author a recent article on the Bank of Canada’s operating system. Marc is also the coauthor of a popular textbook titled, Monetary Economics: An integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income, Production, and Wealth. He joins the show today to talk about these works and more. David and Marc also discuss differences between post-Keynesian and mainstream macroeconomics, the history and defining characteristics of Canada’s corridor operating system, and what ideal central bank policy might look like for Canada in the future.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/02032020/marc-lavoie-canadian-central-bank-policy-real-time-payments-and-post
Marc’s University of Ottawa profile: https://uniweb.uottawa.ca/members/942/profile
Marc’s Institute for New Economic Thinking archive: https://www.ineteconomics.org/research/experts/mlavoie
Related Links:
A System with Zero Reserves and with Clearing Outside of the Central Bank: The Canadian Case by Marc Lavoie
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09538259.2019.1616922
Monetary Economics: An Integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income, Production and Wealth by Wynne Godley and Marc Lavoie
https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-1-137-08599-3
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Joseph Gagnon is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and formerly, a senior staffer at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Joseph is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he joins the show today to discuss his recent policy brief titled, “Are Central Banks Out of Ammunition to Fight a Recession? Not quite.” Specifically, David and Joseph discuss the variety of monetary policy tools available to central banks to combat the next recession (with special emphasis on the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Bank of Japan). Joseph also makes the case that the ECB should adopt a formal review of its monetary policy framework.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/01242020/joseph-gagnon-central-banks%E2%80%99-ability-fight-next-recession
Joseph’s Twitter: @GagnonMacro
Joseph’s PIIE profile: https://www.piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/joseph-e-gagnon
Related Links:
Are Central Banks Out of Ammunition to Fight a Recession? Not Quite. by Joseph Gagnon & Christopher Collins
https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/are-central-banks-out-ammunition-fight-recession-not-quite
Priorities for Review of the ECB’s Monetary Policy Strategy by Jeremie Cohen-Setton, Christopher Collins, and Joseph Gagnon
https://www.piie.com/commentary/speeches-papers/priorities-review-ecbs-monetary-policy-strategy
How Did Quantitative Easing Really Work? A New Methodology for Measuring the Fed's Impact on Financial Markets by Ramin Toloui
https://siepr.stanford.edu/sites/default/files/publications/19-032.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Title: Macro Musings Producers’ Special – A Recap of 2019 and a Glimpse into the Future
Description:
To accompany the new year, David Beckworth is joined by the producers of Macro Musings, Marc and Carter, to talk about the highlights of the podcast throughout 2019, including their personal favorite episodes and the top episodes according to listener statistics. They also discuss some of the most important macroeconomic issues and events of the past year, including the yield curve inversion and ensuing recession speculation, the secular decline of interest rates, the Fed’s big 2019 review, and more.
A massive thank you to all of our listeners who have tuned in over the past few years, and we hope you continue to tune in for more exciting content as we navigate through 2020.
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Related Links:
Producers’ Top 3 Episodes:
Robert Graboyes: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/05132019/robert-graboyes-monetary-history-small-coins
Bryan Cutsinger: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/03292019/civil-war-and-economics-seigniorage
Salim Furth: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/06242019/land-use-regulations-rise-nimbyism-and-options-reform
Listeners’ Top 3 Episode:
Peter Stella: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/02182019/peter-stella-debt-safe-assets-and-central-bank-operations
Tyler Cowen: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/07222019/tyler-cowen-culture-big-business-united-states
Michael Strain: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/03042019/populism-mmt-and-billionaires
David’s Top 3 Episodes:
Donald Kohn: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/02012019/burns-powell
Paul Tucker: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/03252019/paul-tucker-central-bank-independence-and-unelected-power
Alex Tabarrok: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/09092019/alex-tabarrok-elements-economic-growth-and-decline-dynamism
Eric Sims is the chair of the economics department at the University of Notre Dame and is a research associate with the National Bureau of Economic Research and the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. Eric, along with his colleague, Cynthia Wu, have a number of recent papers addressing monetary policy in low interest rate environments, including a keynote paper presented this past summer at the Chicago Fed Conference that was part of the Fed's big review this year. He joins the show today to talk about this work, focusing on the latest developments in New Keynesian modelling and the current state of macroeconomic research. Specifically, David and Eric discuss the Four Equation New Keynesian Model, the Desirability of NGDP Targeting, and the welfare and cyclical implications of moderate trend inflation.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/eric-sims-new-keynesian-modelling-and-future-macroeconomics-low-interest-rate
Eric’s Notre Dame profile: https://www3.nd.edu/~esims1/
Eric’s NBER archive: https://www.nber.org/people/eric_sims
Related Links:
On the Desirability of Nominal GDP Targeting by Julio Garin, Robert Lester, & Eric Sims
https://www.nber.org/papers/w21420
The Four Equation New Keynesian Model by Eric Sims & Jing Cynthia Wu
https://www.nber.org/papers/w26067
Raise Rates to Raise Inflation? Neo-Fisherianism in the New Keynesian Model by Julio Garin, Robert Lester, & Eric Sims*
https://www.nber.org/papers/w22177
On the Welfare and Cyclical Implications of Moderate Trend Inflation by Guido Ascari, Louis Phaneuf, & Eric Sims*
https://www.nber.org/papers/w21392
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Peter Conti-Brown is an assistant professor at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and a nonresident fellow at the Brookings Institution. Peter is also a historian and a legal scholar specializing in the study of the Federal Reserve and is a returning guest to Macro Musings. He joins the show today to talk about his new paper, Restoring the Promise of Federal Reserve Governance. Specifically, David and Peter discuss the institutional history of the Federal Reserve Board, the lack of transparency in the Fed appointment process, and why we should consider raising Fed governor salaries in the future.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/01062020/peter-conti-brown-restoring-promise-federal-reserve-governance
Peter’s Twitter: @PeterContiBrown
Peter’s Wharton profile: https://lgst.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/petercb/
Related Links:
Restoring the Promise of Federal Reserve Governance by Peter Conti-Brown
https://www.mercatus.org/system/files/conti-brown-fed-governance-mercatus-working-paper-v1.pdf
John Williams May Be One of the Best Central Bankers – But That Doesn’t Mean He Should Run the New York Fed by Peter Conti-Brown
https://www.brookings.edu/research/john-williams-may-be-one-of-the-best-central-bankers-but-that-doesnt-mean-he-should-run-the-new-york-fed/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Josh Galper is the managing principal of Finadium, an independent consultancy in capital markets based out of New York City. He joins the show today as part of a two week special on the Fed and repo markets, as he helps us take a look at recent repo market stress from the private sector. Specifically, David and Josh discuss the current state of US repo markets, key bottlenecks that have arisen in 2019, and a balanced proposal to restoring stability in capital markets.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/12232019/josh-galper-current-state-repo-markets-key-bottlenecks-and-balanced
Josh’s Twitter: @Finadium
Josh’s Finadium profile: https://finadium.com/josh-galper-mba/
Related Links:
Finadium’s homepage: http://finadium.com
Finadium’s magazine: http://securitiesfinancemonitor.com
US Repo at Year-End 2019: The Hard Choices Ahead by Josh Galper
https://finadium.com/finadium-us-repo-at-year-end-2019-the-hard-choices-ahead/
Are New Repo Participants Gaining Ground? by Adam Copeland, Ira Selig, & Anya Tarascina
https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2019/04/are-new-repo-participants-gaining-ground.html
Repo week episode one: George Selgin on Repo Market Stress, Fed Balance Sheet Volatility, and a Standing Repo Facility
https://macromusings.libsyn.com/george-selgin-on-repo-market-stress-fed-balance-sheet-volatility-and-a-standing-repo-facility
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
George Selgin is the director of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives and is a returning guest to the Macro Musings podcast. He joins the show today as part of a two week special on the Fed and repo markets, as he helps us take a look at recent repo market stress from the Fed’s perspective. Specifically, David and George discuss the basics of the Fed’s balance sheet, the problematic nature of the Treasury General Account and foreign repo pools, and how George would tweak standing repo facility proposals to more directly address balance sheet volatility.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/12162019/george-selgin-repo-market-stress-fed-balance-sheet-volatility-and-standing
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato profile: https://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin
Related Links:
Stop the Presses! Or, How the Fed Can Avoid Reserve Shortages without Bulking-Up, Part 1 by George Selgin
https://www.alt-m.org/2019/11/12/dtop-the-presses-or-how-the-fed-can-avoid-reserve-shortages-without-bulking-up-part-1/
Stop the Presses! Or, How the Fed Can Avoid Reserve Shortages without Bulking-Up, Part 2 by George Selgin
https://www.alt-m.org/2019/11/14/stop-the-presses-or-how-the-fed-can-avoid-reserve-shortages-without-bulking-up-part-2/
David’s Twitter thread on George’s proposal: https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth/status/1202364853480017920
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Robert Samuelson is an economics columnist for the Washington Post and spent several decades working at Newsweek, where he wrote on various economic topics. Robert is the author of several books, including The Good Life and Its Discontents: The American Dream in the Age of Entitlement and The Great Inflation and Its Aftermath: The Past and Future of American Affluence. He joins the show today to talk about the latter and its implications for today. David and Robert go in-depth about the Great Inflation, as they discuss the disagreement within macroeconomics during the 60s and 70s, the history and significance of the period, and how Ronald Reagan and Paul Volcker sought to end the inflation.
Tributes to Paul Volcker:
Remembering Paul Volcker, The Man Who Tamed Inflation by Scott Sumner
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/473963-remembering-paul-volcker-the-man-who-tamed-inflation
Paul Volcker’s Legacy by Scott Sumner
https://www.econlib.org/paul-volckers-legacy/
How Paul Volcker Beat Inflation and Saved an Independent Fed by Roger Lowenstein
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/how-paul-volcker-beat-inflation-and-saved-an-independent-fed/2019/12/10/7e58d7ae-1b64-11ea-87f7-f2e91143c60d_story.html
Paul Volcker Was Inflation’s Worst Enemy by John Taylor
https://www.wsj.com/articles/paul-volcker-was-inflations-worst-enemy-11575937617
Paul A. Volcker, Fed Chairman Who Waged War on Inflation, Is Dead at 92 by Binyamin Appelbaum and Robert D. Hershey Jr.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/09/business/paul-a-volcker-dead.html
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/12112019/robert-samuelson-paul-volcker-and-great-inflation
Robert’s Washington Post profile & bio: https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/robert-j-samuelson/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.6e300b47761d
Related Links:
The Great Inflation and Its Aftermath: The Past and Future of American Affluence by Robert J. Samuelson
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/160295/the-great-inflation-and-its-aftermath-by-robert-j-samuelson/9780812980042/
The Good Life and Its Discontents: The American Dream in the Age of Entitlement by Robert J. Samuelson
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/160294/the-good-life-and-its-discontents-by-robert-samuelson/9780679781523/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jim Bianco is the president of Bianco Research, a provider of data-driven insights into the global economy and financial markets, and is also a columnist for Bloomberg. Jim has 30-plus years of experience on Wall Street, and he joins the show today to talk about Fed policy, negative interest rates, and inflation. David and Jim also discuss the possibility of extending the yield curve, the Fed’s recent forays into the repo market, and what low interest rates mean for the economy moving forward.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/12092019/jim-bianco-negative-interest-rates-low-inflation-and-yield-curve-expansion
Jim’s Twitter: @biancoresearch
Jim’s Bloomberg profile: https://www.bloomberg.com/authors/ABvwE0aTOvg/jim-bianco
Related Links:
A History of Interest Rates by Dick Sylla and Sidney Homer
https://www.wiley.com/en-us/A+History+of+Interest+Rates%2C+4th+Edition-p-9780471732839
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Claudia Sahm is the director of macroeconomic policy at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, and was formerly at the Board of Governors as a section chief in the Consumer Community Affairs Division as well as serving on the staff macro forecast. Claudia specializes in macroeconomics and household finance, and she joins the show today to talk about some of her work. David and Claudia also discuss her experience working at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, the conception of the Sahm Rule, and the importance of big data for economic research and policymaking.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/12022019/claudia-sahm-sahm-rule-and-using-big-data-inform-policymaking
Claudia’s Twitter: @Claudia_Sahm
Claudia’s Equitable Growth profile: https://equitablegrowth.org/people/claudia-sahm/
Related Links:
Recession Ready: Fiscal Policies to Stabilize the American Economy by the Brookings Institution
https://www.brookings.edu/multi-chapter-report/recession-ready-fiscal-policies-to-stabilize-the-american-economy/
Direct Stimulus Payments to Individuals by Claudia Sahm
https://www.brookings.edu/research/direct-stimulus-payments-to-individuals/
Are We in a Recession? Experts Agree: Ask Claudia Sahm by Kate Davidson
https://www.wsj.com/articles/are-we-in-a-recession-experts-agree-ask-claudia-sahm-11572789602
From Transactions Data to Economic Statistics: Constructing Real-Time, High-Frequency, Geographic Measures of Consumer Spending by Aditya Aladangady, Shifrah Aron-Dine, Wendy Dunn, Laura Feiveson, Paul Lengermann, and Claudia Sahm
https://www.nber.org/chapters/c14267
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Carola Binder is an assistant professor of economics at Haverford College and is an associate editor of the Journal of Money, Credit, and Central Banking. Carola is also a member of the CEPR Research and Policy Network on Central Bank Communication, and joins the show today to discuss her work on central banking and populism. David and Carola also discuss the link between central bank credibility and popularity, the twin deficits of central banking, and why NGDP targeting could be an easy transition point from current inflation targeting regimes.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/11252019/carola-binder-political-pressure-and-twin-deficits-central-banking
Carola’s Twitter: @cconces
Carola’s blog: https://carolabinder.blogspot.com/
Related Links:
Political Pressure on Central Banks by Carola Binder
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3244148
Whose Expectations Augment the Phillips Curve? by Carola Binder
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2789750
Federal Reserve Communication and the Media by Carola Binder
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2835574
Comment on “Central Bank Accouncements: Big News for Little People” by Michael Lalma and Dmitri Vinogradov by Carola Binder
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304393219301461
We Asked Fed Watchers to Rate the Fed’s Communications – Here’s What We Found by Peter Olson and David Wessel
https://www.brookings.edu/research/we-asked-fed-watchers-to-rate-the-feds-communications/
The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target by Kenneth Rogoff
https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/rogoff/files/51_qje85.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Binyamin Appelbaum is the lead writer on business and economics for the editorial board of The New York Times, and he was previously a Washington correspondent for The Times covering the Federal Reserve and other aspects of economic policy. Binyamin is also a returning guest to the show, and joins today to talk about his new book, The Economists’ Hour: False Prophets, Free Markets, and the Fracture of Society. David and Binyamin also discuss Milton Friedman’s influence on economic thought during the postwar era, the history of the emergence of supply side economics, and the consequences that have arisen from committing too strongly to free market principles.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/11182019/binyamin-appelbaum-economists%E2%80%99-hour-false-prophets-free-markets-and
Binyamin’s Twitter: @BCAppelbaum
Binyamin’s New York Times profile: https://www.nytimes.com/by/binyamin-appelbaum
Related Links:
The Economists’ Hour: False Prophets, Free Markets, and the Fracture of Society by Binyamin Appelbaum
https://www.littlebrown.com/titles/binyamin-appelbaum/the-economists-hour/9780316512329/
Secrets of the Temple: How the Federal Reserve Runs the Country by William Greider
https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Secrets-of-the-Temple/William-Greider/9780671675561
More from Less: The Surprising Story of How We Learned to Prosper Using Fewer Resources - and What Happens Next by Andrew McAfee
https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/More-from-Less/Andrew-McAfee/9781982103576
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
George Selgin is the director of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives and is a returning guest to the Macro Musings podcast. Today, George joins the show to talk about recent developments in the payment system. Specifically, George and David discuss the history of attempted payment system solutions, the challenges and costs facing the implementation of a real-time payment system, and why we should care about this issue today.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/11112019/george-selgin-past-present-and-future-real-time-payments-system
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin
Related Links:
Federal Reserve Announces Plan to Develop a New Round-the-clock Real-time Payment and Settlement Service to Support Faster Payments - Federal Reserve press release
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/other20190805a.htm
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Henry Curr is the economics editor for The Economist magazine, and the author of a special report by the magazine on the phenomenon of low inflation now facing the global economy. Henry joins the show today to outline this report and the big questions surrounding low inflation. David and Curr also discuss the persistent low inflation of the present around the globe, why the Phillips Curve has broken down as a policy tool, and how technology may be causing inflation to miss its target set by central banks.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/11042019/henry-curr-inflation-phillips-curve-and-new-monetarism
Henry’s Twitter: @Henry_Curr
Henry’s Economist profile: https://mediadirectory.economist.com/people/henry-curr/
Related Links:
Inflation is Losing its Meaning as an Economic Indicator A Special Report by Henry Curr (note that this link includes many of the various pieces discussed during the episode)
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2019/10/10/inflation-is-losing-its-meaning-as-an-economic-indicator
Alexa, How Much is it? Technology is Making Inflation Statistics an Unreliable Guide to the Economy by Henry Curr
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2019/10/10/technology-is-making-inflation-statistics-an-unreliable-guide-to-the-economy
Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies: Evolution, Drivers, and Policies Edited by Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose, and Franziska Ohnsorge
https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/publication/inflation-in-emerging-and-developing-economies
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Diego Zuluaga is a policy analyst at the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives where he covers financial technology and consumer credit, and before joining Cato, Diego was head of financial services and tech policy at the Institute of Economic Affairs in London. He joins the show today to talk about his work within this policy area. David and Diego also discuss the future of cryptocurrencies, the fragmented nature of the US banking system, and the growing importance of fintech in our daily lives.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/10282019/diego-zuluaga-libra-real-time-payments-and-legacy-community-reinvestment
Diego’s Twitter: @DiegoZuluagaL
Diego’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/diego-zuluaga
Related Links:
New York’s Bank: The National Monetary Commission and the Founding of the Fed by George Selgin
https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/new-yorks-bank-national-monetary-commission-founding-fed
Fintech, Regulatory Arbitrage, and the Rise of Shadow Banks by Greg Buchak, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski, and Amit Seru
https://www.nber.org/papers/w23288
Of Libras and Zebras, Part One: What Are the True Financial Risks of the Facebook-Led Digital Currency? (Systemic Risk) by Diego Zuluaga
https://www.alt-m.org/2019/07/11/of-libras-and-zebras-part-one/
Of Libras and Zebras, Part Two: What Are the True Financial Risks of the Facebook-Led Digital Currency? (Monopoly Risk) by Diego Zuluaga
https://www.alt-m.org/2019/07/16/of-libras-and-zebras-part-two/
Of Libras and Zebras: What Are the True Financial Risks of the Facebook-Led Digital Curency? (Part III: National Security Risk) by Diego Zuluaga
https://www.cato.org/blog/libras-zebras-what-are-true-financial-risks-facebook-led-digital-currency-part-iii-national
The Community Reinvestment Act in the Age of Fintech and Bank Competition by Diego Zuluaga
https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/community-reinvestment-act-age-fintech-bank-competition
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Frances Coppola is a former banker, financial writer, and an author of a recent book titled, The Case for People’s Quantitative Easing, and she joins the show today to talk about it. David and Frances also discuss the overall potential effectiveness of helicopter drops, how they would be deployed during future recessions, and the criticisms and concerns that have been levied against them.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/10212019/frances-coppola-macroeconomics-helicopter-drops
Frances’s Twitter: @Frances_Coppola
Frances’s website: http://www.coppolacomment.com/
Related Links:
The Case for People’s Quantitative Easing by Frances Coppola
https://www.wiley.com/en-me/The+Case+For+People's+Quantitative+Easing-p-9781509531301
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
In this special episode of Macro Musings, the roles are reversed, and David Beckworth joins guest host Cardiff Garcia, host of NPR’s “The Indicator from Planet Money”, to talk about his newest paper, Facts, Fears, and Functionality of NGDP Level Targeting: A Guide to a Popular Framework for Monetary Policy. David and Cardiff conduct a deep dive into the plumbing of this potential monetary regime, as they discuss some of the most the important questions surrounding it. Some of these questions include: what is nominal GDP level targeting, and how does it differ from the Fed's current inflation targeting framework? How does NGDP targeting deal with economic downturns and in a more effective manner than inflation targeting? How can this framework be properly communicated and explained to the public? David answers these questions and addresses further concerns and criticisms of NGDP targeting in this unique installment of Macro Musings.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/10182019/david-beckworth-facts-fears-and-functionality-ngdp-level-targeting
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/
David’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/david-beckworth
Cardiff’s Twitter: @CardiffGarcia
Cardiff’s NPR profile: https://www.npr.org/people/567164716/cardiff-garcia
Related Links:
Facts, Fears, and Functionality of Nominal GDP Level Targeting: A Guide to a Popular Framework for Monetary Policy by David Beckworth
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/facts-fears-and-functionality-ngdp-level-targeting
The Financial Stability Case for a Nominal GDP Target by David Beckworth
https://www.cato.org/cato-journal/springsummer-2019/financial-stability-case-nominal-gdp-target
Srinivas Thiruvadanthai is a managing director and the director of research at the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center. Sri joins the show today to talk about the sectoral financial balance approach to macroeconomics as well as the safe asset supply challenge. David and Sri also discuss the fallacy of composition in macroeconomics, post-Keynesianism and how it differs from mainstream economic thought, and potential solutions to help ease the cost of being the banker to the world.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/10172019/srinivas-thiruvadanthai-sectoral-financial-balance-approach-macroeconomics
Sri’s Twitter: @teasri
Sri’s JLFC profile: https://www.levyforecast.com/about-us/srinivas-thiruvadanthai/
Related Links:
Monetary Economics: An Integrated Approach to Credit, Money, Income, Production and Wealth by Wynne Godley and Marc Lavoie
http://dl4a.org/uploads/pdf/Monetary+Economics+-+Lavoie+Godley.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Bill Nelson is a chief economist at the Bank Policy Institute and was previously a deputy director of the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board, where his responsibilities included monetary policy analysis, discount window policy analysis, and financial institution supervision. Bill has written widely on the Fed’s operating system, and he joins the show today to talk about it, as well as the recent turmoil in money markets. David and Bill also discuss the possibility of the Fed moving back to a corridor system, the stigma surrounding banks using the discount window, and the story of recent supply and demand dislocation in repo markets.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/10072019/bill-nelson-repo-market-stress-feds-operating-system-and-prospects-standing
Related Links:
Link to supply and demand curves mentioned in the episode: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/2019/09/the-repo-man-cometh.html
Two Little-Noticed and Self-Inflicted Causes of the Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Implementation Predicament by Bill Nelson
https://bpi.com/two-little-noticed-and-self-inflicted-causes-of-the-feds-current-monetary-policy-implementation-predicament/
Fed at a Crossroads by Bill Nelson
https://bpi.com/fed-at-a-crossroad/
Bank Regulations and Turmoil in Repo Markets by Francisco Covas & Bill Nelson
https://bpi.com/bank-regulations-and-turmoil-in-repo-markets/
What Just Happened in Money Markets, and Why it Matters by Bill Nelson
https://bpi.com/what-just-happened-in-money-markets-and-why-it-matters/
Impending Money Market Volatility Prompts Warning Light for LCR Tune-Up by Bill Nelson & Brett Waxman
https://bpi.com/impending-money-market-volatility-prompts-warning-light-for-lcr-tune-up/
Design Challenges for a Standing Repo Facility by Bill Nelson
https://bpi.com/design-challenges-for-a-standing-repo-facility/
A Former Fed Insider Explains the Internal Debate over QE3 by Bill Nelson
https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2018/02/16/2198845/guest-post-a-former-fed-insider-explains-the-internal-debate-over-qe3/
Get Up Off The Floor By Bill Nelson
https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/cochranepalermotaylor_currencies_ch9.pdf
FOMC Go Home by Bill Nelson
https://bpi.com/fomc-go-home/
Understanding the Fed’s Implementation Framework Debate by Bill Nelson
https://bpi.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Understanding_the_Fed’s_implementation_framework_debate_Review05.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jim Dorn is the Vice President for Monetary Studies at the Cato Institute and is the director of Cato’s annual Monetary Policy Conference. Jim has written widely on Federal Reserve policy and monetary reform, and has also edited more than 10 books including The Search for Stable Money and The Future of Money in the Information Age. He joins the show today to talk about the history of monetary policy in Washington D.C. over the past four decades as well as some of his own recent work. David and Jim also discuss the issues covered at the most recent Cato Institute monetary policy conference, the recent mystery of low inflation, and Jim’s idea of an optimal monetary policy regime.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/10022019/jim-dorn-history-monetary-policy-washington-dc-and-its-future
Jim’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/james-dorn
Related Links:
Registration for the Cato Institute Monetary Policy Conference: https://www.cato.org/events/37th-annual-monetary-conference
The Search for Stable Money: Essays on Monetary Reform edited by James Dorn and Anna Schwartz
https://www.amazon.com/Search-Stable-Money-Essays-Monetary/dp/0226158292
The Future of Money in the Information Age edited by James Dorn
https://www.amazon.com/Future-Money-Information-Age/dp/1882577523
the Political Economy of Inflation by Fritz Machlup
https://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/1983/5/cj3n1-3.pdf
Has Monetarism Failed? by Karl Brunner
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/803d/c8632bec26142f4c6b54f9e692c6acf2fe72.pdf
Should the Fed Be Constrained? by Jeffrey Frankel
https://www.cato.org/cato-journal/springsummer-2019/should-fed-be-constrained
Improving the Monetary Regime: The Case for U.S. Digital Cash by Michael Bordo and Andrew Levin
https://www.cato.org/cato-journal/springsummer-2019/improving-monetary-regime-case-us-digital-cash
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Gregg Gelzinis is a policy analyst at the Center for American Progress where he focuses his work on financial institutions, financial markets, consumer finance policy, and financial regulation more broadly, and he joins the show today to talk about these issues. David and Gregg also discuss the Financial Stability Oversight Council’s (FSOC) inception, the tradeoffs between financial regulation and capital requirements, how the Fed could improve its stress testing.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/09232019/gregg-gelzinis-reforming-fsoc-and-how-limit-future-financial-crises
Gregg’s Twitter: @FinGregg
Gregg’s Center for American Progress profile: https://www.americanprogress.org/about/staff/gelzinis-gregg/bio/
Related Links:
Strengthening the Regulation and Oversight of Shadow Banks: Revitalizing the Financial Stability Oversight Council by Gregg Gelzinis
https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/economy/reports/2019/07/18/471564/strengthening-regulation-oversight-shadow-banks/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Soumaya Keynes is the US economics editor for The Economist magazine, and she is also the co-host of Trade Talks, a podcast on all things trade, including trade policy, trade wars, and the future of trade. Soumaya joins the show today to talk about the general topic of trade, but also some other recent economic developments. David and Soumaya also discuss dollar dominance, the effects of trade policy on economic uncertainty, and the highlights, and major themes of the Kansas City Fed’s Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/09162019/soumaya-keynes-trade-dollar-dominance-and-highlights-jackson-hole
Soumaya’s Twitter: @SoumayaKeynes
Soumaya’s website: https://soumayakeynes.com/
Soumaya’s Economist profile: https://mediadirectory.economist.com/people/soumaya-keynes/
Related Links:
Soumaya Keynes Says Trump Trade Tweets Have Unleashed 'Bigger Uncertainty' Beyond Tariffs
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/soumaya-keynes-says-trump-trade-tweets-have-unleashed-bigger-uncertainty-beyond
Trade Talks Podcast hosted by Soumaya Keynes and Chad P. Brown (PIIE)
https://www.piie.com/trade-talks
18th Street Singers Website
http://www.18thstreetsingers.com/
Riders on the Storm by Oscar Jorda and Alan M. Taylor
https://www.kansascityfed.org/~/media/files/publicat/sympos/2019/20190806taylorjorda.pdf?la=en
Discussion of “Riders on the Storm” by Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor by Kristin Forbes
https://www.kansascityfed.org/~/media/files/publicat/sympos/2019/forbes_remarks_jh_2019_08_23.pdf?la=en
Mind the Gap in Sovereign Debt Markets: The U.S. Treasury Basis and the Dollar Risk Factor by Arvind Krishnamurthy and Hanno Lustig
https://www.kansascityfed.org/~/media/files/publicat/sympos/2019/ak%20jacksonhole%20conference%20paper%20on%20sovereign%20debt%20markets%20krishnamurthylustig.pdf?la=en
U.S. Monetary Policy and International Risk Spillovers by Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
https://www.kansascityfed.org/~/media/files/publicat/sympos/2019/jh_paper_final_sep6.pdf?la=en
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Alex Tabarrok is a professor of economics at George Mason University and holds the Bartley J. Madden Chair in Economics at the Mercatus Center. Alex has written widely on long run economic growth and joins the show today to talk about it. David and Alex also discuss how capital relates to economic growth, the impact of regulation on dynamism, and the important distinction between “catch-up” and “cutting edge” growth.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/09092019/alex-tabarrok-elements-economic-growth-and-decline-dynamism
Alex’s Twitter: @ATabarrok
Alex’s Mercatus profile: https://asp.mercatus.org/alexander-tabarrok
Alex and Tyler’s blog: https://marginalrevolution.com/
Related Links:
Modern Principles of Economics by Alex Tabarrok and Tyler Cowen
https://www.macmillanlearning.com/college/us/product/Loose-leaf--Version-for--Modern-Principles-of-Economics-4E--FlipIt-for-Survey-of-Economics-Six-Months-Access-4E-Online/p/131909872X
Is Regulation to Blame for the Decline in American Entrepreneurship? by Alex Tabarrok and Nathan Goldschlag
https://academic.oup.com/economicpolicy/article/33/93/5/4833996
Population Growth and Technological Change: One Million B.C. to 1990 by Michael Kremer
https://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~walker/wp/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/kremer1993.pdf
Why are the Prices so Damn High? by Alex Tabarrok and Eric Helland
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/healthcare/why-are-prices-so-damn-high
The Value of Health and Longevity by Kevin Murphy and Robert Topel
https://www.nber.org/papers/w11405
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Judge Glock is an economic historian and a scholar at the Cicero Institute in San Francisco. Judge’s research is focused on the Great Depression, and he has recently published a paper on an important idea shaping Federal Reserve policy during this time; the Riefler-Keynes Doctrine. He joins the show today to talk about this paper and the Great Depression. David and Judge also discuss the key ideas behind the Riefler-Keynes Doctrine, how it differs from the Real Bills Doctrine, and how this relates to the Fed’s response to the Great Depression.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/09022019/judge-glock-riefler-keynes-doctrine-and-monetary-policy-during-great
Judge’s Twitter: @judgeglock
Judge’s AIER profile: https://www.aier.org/staff/judge-glock
Related Links:
The ‘Riefler-Keynes’ Doctrine and Federal Reserve Policy in the Great Depression by Judge Glock
https://read.dukeupress.edu/hope/article-abstract/51/2/297/137129/The-Riefler-Keynes-Doctrine-and-Federal-Reserve?redirectedFrom=fulltext
Pressuring the Fed is No Surefire Electoral Solution, Says Economic Historian by Frank Fuhrig
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/pressuring-fed-no-surefire-electoral-solution-says-economic-historian
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Thomas Hoenig was vice-chair of the FDIC from 2012-2018 and in the 20 years prior to that he was also president of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank. Thomas is currently a distinguished senior fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University where he focuses on the long-term impact of the politicization of financial services, as well as the effects of government granted privileges and market performance. He joins the show today to talk about his career and some of the current issues in banking. David and Thomas also assess the effectiveness of quantitative easing, the advantages and disadvantages of opening up the Fed’s balance sheet to the public, and the debate between establishing an orderly liquidation authority vs a bankruptcy code.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/08262019/thomas-hoenig-federal-reserve-and-state-banking-us
Thomas’ Twitter: @tom_hoenig
Thomas’ Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/people/thomas-hoenig
Related Links:
"Enormous" Pressure in Next Recession for Wider QE Purchases, Former FOMC Voter Predicts by Frank Fuhrig
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/%E2%80%9Cenormous%E2%80%9D-pressure-next-recession-wider-qe-purchases-former-fomc-voter-predicts
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Chris Crowe is head of economic research at Capula Investment Management, a London-based hedge fund, where he covers global economics, primarily the G10 countries plus China. Chris was previously UK economist at Barclays and prior to that he worked at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). He joins the show today to give us the perspective of a macroeconomist from inside a hedge fund on markets, Brexit, and other current events as well as some of his own research. David and Chris also discuss central bank independence, the overall economic impacts of Brexit, and the implications of Jay Powell’s testimony at the Humphrey Hawkins.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/08192019/chris-crowe-hedge-fund-perspectives-and-economic-implications-brexit
Related Links:
Safe Asset Supply Failing to Meet Demand, Economist Crowe Says by Frank Fuhrig
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/safe-asset-supply-failing-meet-demand-economist-crowe-says
The International Impact of the Fed When the United states is a Banker to the World by David Beckworth and Christopher Crowe
https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/rulesforinternationalmonetarystability-ch2.pdf
Central Bank Independence and Transparency: Evolution and Effectiveness by Christopher Crowe and Ellen Meade
https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2008/wp08119.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Aaron Klein is the director of the Center on Markets and Regulations at the Brookings Institution where, among other things, he focuses on financial regulations and real time payments. Aaron has written widely on real time payments and he joins the show today to talk about this issue, as they discuss the definition of real-time payments, how they could have a positive impact on limiting income inequality, and why the Fed is now interested in setting up its own real-time payments system. David and Aaron also discuss banking reform after the recession, the shadow banking system, and why a lack of bank failures may be a worrying signal.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/08122019/aaron-klein-real-time-payments-and-financial-regulation
Aaron’s Twitter: @Aarondklein
Aaron’s Brookings profile: https://www.brookings.edu/experts/aaron-klein/
Related Links:
Is China’s New Payment System the Future? by Aaron Klein
https://www.brookings.edu/research/is-chinas-new-payment-system-the-future/
Round One: What Role Should the Federal Reserve Play in Developing a Faster Payments System? Symposium featuring James Angel, Aaron Klein and George Selgin
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/round-one-what-role-should-federal-reserve-play-developing-faster-payments-system
Round Two: What Role Should the Federal Reserve Play in Developing a Faster Payments System? Symposium featuring James Angel, Aaron Klein and George Selgin
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/round-two-what-role-should-federal-reserve-play-developing-faster-payments-system
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
In this special bonus episode of Macro Musings, David Beckworth joins Employ America and several other monetary policy enthusiasts on the day of the July FOMC meeting to discuss what would be an historic event – the first interest rate cut executed by the Fed since December 2008, and the market reactions to this event. In addition to their discussion of this eventual rate cut, David and the other Fed watchers also get a chance to talk about Judy Shelton’s nomination to the Fed Board of Governors, the significance and aftermath of the recent Humphrey Hawkins hearing, how the Fed’s decision to cut parallels the European Central Bank, and more.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/08072019/bonus-episode-watch-party-fed%E2%80%99s-historic-interest-rate-cut
Related Links:
Employ America’s home page: https://employamerica.org/
Sam Bell’s Twitter: @sam_a_bell
Skanda Amarnath’s Twitter: @IrvingSwisher
Sam & Skanda’s bios: https://employamerica.org/about/
Soumaya Keynes’ Twitter: @SoumayaKeynes
Soumaya’s website: https://soumayakeynes.com/
Soumaya’s Economist profile: http://mediadirectory.economist.com/people/soumaya-keynes/
Ryan Avent’s Twitter: @ryanavent
Ryan’s Economist profile: https://mediadirectory.economist.com/people/ryan-avent/
Nick Bunker’s Twitter: @nick_bunker
Nick’s Indeed profile: https://www.hiringlab.org/author/nbunker/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Evan Koenig is a senior vice president and a principal policy advisor for the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where he has been since 1988. Evan joins the show today to talk about his time at the Fed and some of his research. David and Evan also discuss where the Federal Reserve’s review is going in the next six months, Evan’s preferred version of nominal GDP targeting, and how important the yield curve is relative to other credit indicators.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/08052019/evan-koenig-feds-review-period-monetary-regimes-and-yield-curves
Evan’s Dallas Fed bio: https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economists/koenig.aspx
Evan’s research profile: https://ideas.repec.org/f/pko435.html
Related Links:
Like a Good Neighbor: Monetary Policy, Financial Stability, and the Distribution of Risk by Evan Koenig
https://www.ijcb.org/journal/ijcb13q2a3.pdf
Credit Indicators as Predictors of Economic Activity: A Real-Time VAR Analysis by N Kundan Kishor and Evan Koenig
https://econpapers.repec.org/article/wlyjmoncb/v_3a46_3ay_3a2014_3ai_3a2-3_3ap_3a545-564.htm
Methods of Policy Accommodation at the Interest-Rate Lower Bound by Michael Woodford
https://www.kansascityfed.org/publicat/sympos/2012/mw.pdf?sm=jh083112-4
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Ulirch Bindseil is currently the director general of the Directorate General Market Operations at the European Central Bank (ECB), and in November he will become the director general of Market Infrastructure and Payments at the ECB. Ulrich has written widely on central banking operative frameworks, including a textbook, and is considered one of the world’s leading authorities on operating systems. He joins the show today to talk about these frameworks and much more. David and Ulrich also discuss the debate between floor and corridor systems, the principles for evaluating operating frameworks, and the big lessons central bankers have learned from the past decade.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/07292019/ulrich-bindseil-central-bank-operating-systems
Ulrich’s ECB paper archive: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/research/authors/profiles/ulrich-bindseil.en.html
Ulrich’s ResearchGate profile: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Ulrich_Bindseil
Related Links:
Evaluating Monetary Policy Frameworks by Ulrich Bindseil
https://www.kansascityfed.org/~/media/files/publicat/sympos/2016/econsymposium-bindseil-paper2.pdf?la=en
Central Banking Before 1800: A Rehabilitation by Ulrich Bindseil
https://global.oup.com/academic/product/central-banking-before-1800-9780198849995?prevNumResPerPage=60⟨=en&cc=gb
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Tyler Cowen is a professor of economics at George Mason University and is the co-author of the popular economics blog, Marginal Revolution. Tyler has published widely in economics and is the author of numerous books including his 2017 book, The Complacent Class: The Self-Defeating Quest for the American Dream. As a returning guest to the show, however, he joins today to talk about his newest book, Big Business: A Love Letter to an American Anti-Hero. David and Tyler also discuss many aspects of big business, including its common critiques, the fallacy of the monopoly in America, and how income inequality has become tied to the firm.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/07222019/tyler-cowen-culture-big-business-united-states
Tyler’s Twitter: @tylercowen
Tyler’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/tyler-cowen
Tyler and Alex’s blog: https://marginalrevolution.com/
Related Links:
Big Business: A Love Letter to an American Anti-Hero by Tyler Cowen
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250110541
The Complacent Class: The Self-Defeating Quest for the American Dream by Tyler Cowen
https://read.macmillan.com/lp/the-complacent-class/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Joe Gagnon is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics where he has been since September 2009. Previously, Joe worked for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors as a senior economist and the associate director of both the Division of International Finance and the Division of Monetary Affairs, and he has also served at the US Treasury Department. Joe is a returning guest to Macro Musings and joins the show today to talk about the growing interest among U.S. politicians in managing the currency to help facilitate trade imbalances. David and Joe also discuss the policy implications of trade imbalances, the new Libra currency, and how to us countervailing currency intervention to combat currency manipulation.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/07152019/currency-manipulation-trade-imbalances-and-libra
Joe’s Twitter: @GagnonMacro
Joe’s PIIE profile: https://www.piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/joseph-e-gagnon?author_id=653
Related Links:
Currency Conflict and Trade Policy: A New Strategy for the United States by Joe Gagnon and Fred Bergsten
https://www.piie.com/bookstore/currency-conflict-and-trade-policy-new-strategy-united-states
The Financial Market Effects of the Federal Reserve’s Large-Scale Asset Purchases by Joe Gagnon, Matthew Raskin, Julie Remache, and Brian Sack
https://www.ijcb.org/journal/ijcb11q1a1.htm
A Plan for Economic Patriotism proposal by Elizabeth Warren
https://medium.com/@teamwarren/a-plan-for-economic-patriotism-13b879f4cfc7
Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold? by Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart, and Kenneth Rogoff*
https://www.nber.org/papers/w23134
Did France Cause the Great Depression by Douglas Irwin
https://www.nber.org/papers/w16350
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Heather Boushey is the executive director at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, a think tank founded to accelerate cutting edge analysis into whether and how structural changes in the US economy affect economic growth. Heather recently co-edited a book titled, Recession Ready: Fiscal Policies to Stabilize the American Economy, and she joins the show today to discuss it. David and Heather also discuss income inequality, automatic stabilizers for fiscal policy, and how monetary policy intersects with these issues.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/07082019/income-inequality-and-automatic-stabilizers
Heather’s Twitter: @HBoushey
Heather’s Equitable Growth profile: https://equitablegrowth.org/people/heather-boushey/
Related Links:
Equitable Growth’s funded research page: https://equitablegrowth.org/elevating-research/funded-research/
Recession Ready: Fiscal Policies to Stabilize the American Economy by Heather Boushey, Ryan Nunn, and Jay Shambaugh
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/ES_THP_AutomaticStabilizers_FullBook_web_20190513.pdf
Public Infrastructure Investments, Productivity and Welfare in Fixed Geographic Areas by Andrew Haughwout
https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr104.html
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Jeffry Frieden is a professor of government at Harvard University where he specializes in the politics of international monetary and financial relations. Jeff is the author of many articles and books including Currency Politics: The Political Economy of Exchange Rate Policy and Lost Decades: The Making of America’s Debt Crisis and the Long Recovery. He joins the show today to talk about some of his work. David and Jeff also explore what has led to the recent rise in populism across the nation, the difficulty of interregional labor mobility and its economic effects, and current issues within the Eurozone.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/07012019/rise-populism-labor-mobility-and-eurozone
Jeff’s Twitter: @jafrieden
Jeff’s Harvard profile: https://scholar.harvard.edu/jfrieden
Related Links:
Currency Politics: The Political Economy of Exchange Rate Policy by Jeffry Frieden
https://press.princeton.edu/titles/10364.html
Lost Decades: The Making of America’s Debt Crisis and the Long Recovery by Jeffry Frieden
https://scholar.harvard.edu/jfrieden/publications/lost-decades-making-americas-debt-crisis-and-long-recovery
Populism in Place: The Economic Geography of the Globalization Backlash by J. Lawrence Broz, Jeffry Frieden, and Stephen Weymouth
https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/jfrieden/files/populism_in_place_v1.3_0.pdf
Wall Street is Desperate for Wonks Who Can Explain the Rise of Populism by Craig Torres
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-04/wall-street-is-desperate-for-wonks-who-can-explain-the-rise-of-populism
Why Has Regional Income Convergence in the U.S. Declined? by Peter Ganong and Daniel Shoag
https://www.nber.org/papers/w23609
Going to Extremes: Politics After Financial Crises, 1870-2014 by Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick, and Christoph Trebesch
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2688897
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Salim Furth is a senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center where he studies regional, urban, and macroeconomic trends and policies. Salim joins the show today to talk about some of his work on housing supply in the United States and its implications for policy. David and Salim also discuss the problems that arise from rigid zoning laws, the rise of NIMBYism, and possible ways to conduct regulatory zoning reform.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/06242019/land-use-regulations-rise-nimbyism-and-options-reform
Salim’s Twitter: @salimfurth
Salim’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/people/salim-furth
Related Links:
Housing Supply in the 2010s by Salim Furth
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/state-and-local-regulations/housing-supply-2010s
Do Minimum-Lot-Size Regulations Limit Housing Supply in Texas? by Nolan Gray and Salim Furth
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/urban-economics/do-minimum-lot-size-regulations-limit-housing-supply-texas
The Link Between Local Zoning Policy and Housing Affordability in America’s Cities by Kevin Erdmann, Salim Furth, and Emily Hamilton
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/urban-economics/link-between-local-zoning-policy-and-housing-affordability-america%E2%80%99s
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Sam Bell and Skanda Amarnath are a part of a new organization called Employ America, a new research and advocacy organization that aims to get better labor market outcomes. Sam is also known on “FOMC Twitter” as an influencer when it comes to nominations for the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, and Skanda is a former hedge fund economist and New York Federal Reserve research economist. Sam and Skanda join the show today to talk about gross labor income targeting and the future path of Federal Reserve policy.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/06172019/sam-bell-and-skanda-amarnath-gross-labor-income-targeting
Sam’s Twitter: @sam_a_bell
Skanda’s Twitter: @IrvingSwisher
About Employ America: https://employamerica.org/about/
Related Links:
Floor It! Fixing the Fed’s Framework with Paychecks, Not Prices by Skanda Amarnath
https://medium.com/@skanda_97974/floor-it-fixing-the-feds-framework-with-paychecks-not-prices-78171423e9c1
The Quick and Dirty Case for Cutting 50bps at the June 2019 FOMC Meeting by Skanda Amarnath
https://medium.com/@skanda_97974/the-quick-and-dirty-case-for-cutting-50bps-at-the-june-2019-fomc-meeting-c0e06616f0ad
Fed Inches Toward Rate Cut as Trade War Frays Patience by Christopher Condon and Steve Matthews
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-05/fed-inches-toward-rate-cut-as-trump-s-trade-war-frays-patience
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Daniel Griswold is a research fellow and co-director of the Trade and Immigration Project at the Mercatus Center. Dan is a nationally recognized expert on trade and immigration policy and is a returning guest to Macro Musings. He joins the show today to help get us up to speed on the latest developments in issues on the ever-expanding US trade war with the rest of the world. David and Dan also discuss the USMCA, the negative aspects and seriousness of the trade war, and US intellectual property disputes with China.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/06112019/usmca-tariffs-and-us-trade-war
Dan’s Twitter: @DanielGriswold
Dan’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/daniel-griswold
Dan’s blog: https://madabouttrade.com/
Related Links:
Trump’s China Trade War Meets the Retailpocalypse by Felix Salmon
https://www.axios.com/us-china-trade-war-retail-apocalypse-50f85f2a-e287-4f22-936c-ef1c39c8897c.html
The Impact of the 2018 Trade War on U.S. Prices and Welfare by Mary Amiti, Stephen J. Redding, David Weinstein
https://www.nber.org/papers/w25672
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Mike Bird is a Hong Kong based reporter for the Wall Street Journal covering financial markets across Asia, and he previously worked in the Journal’s London bureau. Mike is also a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he joins the show today to talk about some recent developments in the Asian economies. More specifically, David and Mike discuss Japan’s activist monetary policy, yield curve control, and recent events within the Chinese economy.
Transcript for the episode: (coming soon)
Mike’s Twitter: @birdyword
Mike’s Wall Street Journal profile: https://www.wsj.com/news/author/mike-bird
Related Links:
Japan Is Giving Up on Activist Monetary Policy by Mike Bird
https://www.wsj.com/articles/japan-is-giving-up-on-activist-monetary-policy-11556271835
The Fed Would Struggle to Match Japan’s Bond Market Control by Mike Bird
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-fed-would-struggle-to-match-japans-bond-market-control-11557480894
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Robert Samuelson is an economics columnist for the Washington Post and spent several decades working at Newsweek, where he wrote on various economic topics. Robert is the author of several books, including The Good Life and Its Discontents: The American Dream in the Age of Entitlement and The Great Inflation and Its Aftermath: The Past and Future of American Affluence. He joins the show today to talk about the latter and its implications for today. David and Robert go in-depth about the Great Inflation, as they discuss the disagreement within macroeconomics during the 60s and 70s, the history and significance of the period, and how Ronald Reagan and Paul Volcker sought to end the inflation.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/05282019/great-inflation-its-history-and-its-legacy
Robert’s Washington Post profile & bio: https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/robert-j-samuelson/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.6e300b47761d
Related Links:
The Great Inflation and Its Aftermath: The Past and Future of American Affluence by Robert J. Samuelson
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/160295/the-great-inflation-and-its-aftermath-by-robert-j-samuelson/9780812980042/
The Good Life and Its Discontents: The American Dream in the Age of Entitlement by Robert J. Samuelson
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/160294/the-good-life-and-its-discontents-by-robert-samuelson/9780679781523/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Dylan Matthews is a senior correspondent with Vox where he covers a wide array of topics including immigration policy, universal basic income, education policy, effective altruism, animal welfare, and global development. Dylan is one of Vox’s original founders and he has also previously worked for Wonkblog at the Washington Post. He joins the show today to discuss one of his most recent articles on business cycles, titled The Government Failed to Stop the Last Recession. It Can Prevent the Next One, as well as some of his other work on the subject. David and Dylan also discuss recessions at length, exploring what we know about them, why we should worry about them, and outlining 9 potential policy options to help prevent recessions in the future.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/05202019/nine-ways-prevent-future-recessions
Dylan’s Twitter: @dylanmatt
Dylan’s Vox profile: https://www.vox.com/authors/dylan
Related Links:
Why I Gave My Kidney to a Stranger – and Why You Should Consider Doing it too by Dylan Matthews
https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2017/4/11/12716978/kidney-donation-dylan-matthews
The Government Failed to Stop the Last Recession. It Can Prevent the Next One by Dylan Matthews
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/3/29/18279205/recession-unemployment-inverted-yield-curve-stimulus-policy
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Robert Graboyes is a senior research fellow and health economist at the Mercatus Center and has formerly worked for the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond and Chase Manhattan Bank. Robert joins the show today to talk about monetary history and specifically the history of small coins. David and Robert also discuss a number of different coins and the history surrounding them, ranging from civil war tokens to early Roman currencies.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/05132019/robert-graboyes-monetary-history-small-coins
Robert’s Twitter: @Robert_Graboyes
Robert’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/robert-graboyes
Related Links:
Anticipations of the General Theory? by Don Patinkin
https://www.press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/A/bo5964857.html
Notre-Dame and the Myth of Timelessness By Robert Graboyes
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/notre-dame-and-myth-timelessness
Coins discussed during the interview:
20th century token from Kopper’s Stores, a coal mine company store in West Virginia:
https://i.imgur.com/T6wBLX7.jpg
A coin from Diocletian:
https://i.imgur.com/9wZCdj2.jpg
Groat (four pence) piece from Henry VII:
https://i.imgur.com/bkxbK8j.jpg
U.S. Trade Dollar, designed specifically for use only in the Orient:
https://i.imgur.com/cXPNwr6.jpg
Civil War token, used as private coinage during the wartime inflation and metal shortage:
https://i.imgur.com/HzLlIAb.jpg
Trade token, origin unknown:
https://i.imgur.com/3LFt03B.jpg
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
David Andolfatto is a vice president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank and is published widely in the field of monetary economics. He also blogs at MacroMania, and has recently published on issues such as the zero lower bound, the symmetry of the Fed’s inflation target, a new standing repo facility, and MMT. David is a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he joins the show today to talk about these issues. David and David also discuss the safe asset shortage, average and flexible inflation targeting, and the legal, political, and economic restraint surrounding negative interest rates.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/05062019/safe-assets-symmetric-inflation-and-mmt
David Andolfatto’s Twitter: @dandolfa
David Andolfatto’s blog: http://andolfatto.blogspot.com/
Related Links:
Is Low Inflation Really a Mystery? by David Beckworth
https://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/2019/04/is-low-inflation-really-mystery.html
Why the Fed Should Create a Standing Repo Facility by David Andolfatto and Jane Ihrig
https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2019/march/why-fed-create-standing-repo-facility
David Beckworth’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Disclaimer: Anything that David Andolfatto says reflects his own personal views and not the views of the Federal Reserve.
Alexandra Scaggs is a senior writer at Barron’s covering financial markets with a special emphasis on bond markets, and she previously wrote news and commentary for the Financial Times and for Bloomberg. Alexandra joins the show today to talk about the current state of bond markets and what it means for the economy. David and Alexandra also discuss corporate debt, the inversion of the treasury yield curve, and the lasting impact of the modern monetary theory debate.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/04292019/bond-markets-and-macroeconomics
Alexandra’s Twitter: @alexandrascaggs
Alexandra’s Barron’s profile: https://www.barrons.com/authors/8576
Related Links:
Negative-Yielding Bonds Top $9 Trillion as Growth Worries Return by Adam Haigh
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-03-14/negative-yielding-bonds-top-9-trillion-as-growth-worries-return
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Andrew Park is a senior editor at S&P LCD and is one of the foremost experts on collateralized loan obligations and the leverage loan market. Andrew also writes daily on what’s going on in the collateralized loan obligations (CLO) market and his data is the basis for most of the reporting on this topic in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, and by many policymakers. He joins the show today to talk about CLOs and their implications for the financial system and, more generally, the economy. David and Andrew also discuss the leveraged loan market, the differences between CDOs and CLOs, and the Fed’s most recent rate hikes.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/04222019/andrew-park-loans-financial-system-and-economy
Andrew’s Twitter: @apark_
Andrew’s Forbes profile & archive: https://www.forbes.com/sites/spleverage/people/andrewparksp/#18bc9eb1102d
Related Links:
Wall Street’s Billionaire Machine, Where Almost Everyone Gets Rich by Tom Metcalf, Tom Maloney, Sally Bakewell, and Christopher Cannon
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2018-collateralized-loan-obligations/
U.S. Leveraged Loan Market: Plenty of Risk, But Not Systemic by Beth MacLean
https://www.pimco.com/en-us/insights/viewpoints/us-leveraged-loan-market-plenty-of-risk-but-not-systemic/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Eric Lonergan is macro hedge fund manager, and economist, and a writer. He has written for Foreign Affairs, the Financial Times, and has authored the book Money (The Art of Living). More recently, Eric has also co-authored a new book called Angrynomics. He joins the show today to talk about how to improve policymakers’ responses to recessions. David and Eric also discuss helicopter drops, dual interest rates, and how governments can make monetary policy more direct.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/04152019/how-respond-recessions
Eric’s Twitter: @ericlonners
Eric’s blog: https://www.philosophyofmoney.net/blog/
Related Links:
Money: The Art of Living by Eric Lonergan
https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/money/486535FC2BE6ADB342A82A668584AE71
Fixing the Euro Zone and Reducing Inequality, Without Fleecing the Rich by Eric Lonergan and Mark Blyth
https://hbr.org/2015/01/fixing-the-euro-zone-and-reducing-inequality-without-fleecing-the-rich
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Yair Listokin is a professor of law at Yale Law School and is the author of a new book titled, Law and Macroeconomics. He joins the show today to talk about the book as well as some of his new work. David and Yair also discuss sovereign wealth funds, the legal limits of central banks, and how to expand fiscal policy while making it more effective.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/04082019/law-and-macroeconomics
Yair’s Yale Law School profile: https://law.yale.edu/yair-listokin
Related Links:
Law and Macroeconomics: Legal Remedies to Recessions by Yair Listokin
http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674976054
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Bryan Cutsinger is an economist affiliated with Angelo State as well as Texas Tech University and recently published an article titled Seigniorage in the Civil War South. He joins the show today to talk about this article, the monetary history of the Civil War, and the economics of Seigniorage. David and Bryan also discuss how both the North and the South financed the war and why the South made some counterintuitive decisions in how they conducted monetary policy.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/03292019/civil-war-and-economics-seigniorage
Bryan’s website: https://www.bryancutsinger.com/
Bryan’s George Mason profile: https://economics.gmu.edu/people/bcutsing
Related Links:
Seigniorage in the Civil War South by Bryan Cutsinger and Joshua Ingber
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0014498318300470
The Gold Standard as a Rule: An Essay in Exploration by Michael Bordo and Finn Kydland
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0014498385710194
Financial Failure and Confederate Defeat by Douglas Ball
https://www.amazon.com/Financial-Failure-Confederate-Defeat-Douglas/dp/0252017552
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Paul Tucker is a 33-year veteran of the Bank of England where he served as both a member and deputy governor of the Monetary Policy Committee. Currently, Paul is a senior fellow at Harvard and a chair at the Systemic Risk Council. He has also recently authored a book, Unelected Power: The Quest for Legitimacy in Central Banking and the Regulatory State and joins the show today to discuss talk about it. David and Paul also discuss central bank independence and justifications for the existence of a regulatory state as well as Paul’s “principles for delegation” criteria.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/03252019/paul-tucker-central-bank-independence-and-unelected-power
Paul’s website: http://paultucker.me/
Paul’s Harvard University profile: https://ces.fas.harvard.edu/people/001970-paul-tucker
Related Links:
Unelected Power: The Quest for Legitimacy in Central Banking and the Regulatory State by Paul Tucker
https://press.princeton.edu/titles/11240.html
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
James Broughel is a senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center and an adjunct professor of law at George Mason University Law School. James specializes in state and federal regulatory procedures, cost-benefit analysis, and economic growth. He joins the show today to talk about a recent symposium he hosted on the social discount rate; what it is, its uses, and the controversy surrounding how to measure it. David and James also discuss cost-benefit analysis in the regulatory world and why the social discount rate matters for policy.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/03182019/discounting-future
James’ Twitter: @JamesBroughel
James’ Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/james-broughel
Related Links:
The Social Rate of Time Preference and the Social Discount Rate by Mark Moore and Adam Vining
https://www.mercatus.org/system/files/moore_and_vining_-_mercatus_research_-_a_social_rate_of_time_preference_approach_to_social_discount_rate_-_v1.pdf
The Appropriate Measure of the Social Discount Rate and Its Role in the Analysis of Policies with Long-Run Consequences by David Burgess
https://www.mercatus.org/system/files/burgess_-_mercatus_research_-_the_appropriate_measure_of_the_social_discount_rate_and_its_role_in_the_analysis_of_policies_with_long-run_consequences_-_v1.pdf
The Unsettled Matter of Discounting the Future by James Broughel
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/regulation/social-discount-rate/unsettled-matter-discounting-future
Equity or Efficiency? The Battle for the Soul of Benefit-Cost Analysis by James Broughel
https://www.mercatus.org/publications/regulatory-analysis/equity-or-efficiency-battle-soul-benefit-cost-analysis
Amazon link to James’ former band Levy: https://www.amazon.com/Levy/e/B001LHXCE2/ref=dp_byline_cont_music_1
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Ryan Avent is an economics columnist with The Economist magazine and is a previous guest of Macro Musings. He joins the show today to talk about some of his recent columns including work on hyperinflation, the Green New Deal, and Fed policy. David and Ryan also discuss the growing popularity of Modern Monetary Theory, the Fed’s dovish change in direction, and why hyperinflation is so devastating to a nation’s economy.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/03112019/hyperinflation-and-mmt
Ryan’s Twitter: @ryanavent
Ryan’s Economist profile: http://mediadirectory.economist.com/people/ryan-avent/
Related Links:
Hyperinflations Can End Quickly, Given the Right Sort of Regime Change by Ryan Avent
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2019/01/31/hyperinflations-can-end-quickly-given-the-right-sort-of-regime-change
Taking the Fed at its Word: Direct Estimation of Central Bank Objectives using Text Analytics by Adam Shapiro & Daniel Wilson
https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/wp2019-02.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Michael Strain is the director of economic policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute. Previously, Michael worked in the Center for Economic Studies at the U.S. Census Bureau and in the Macroeconomics Research Group at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He joins the show today to talk about recent developments in U.S. economic policy and some of his work on that topic. David and Michael also discuss the consequences of rising populism, MMT’s impact on tax policy, and the issues Americans should be most worried about.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/03042019/populism-mmt-and-billionaires
Michael’s Twitter: @MichaelRStrain
Michael’s AEI profile: https://www.aei.org/scholar/michael-r-strain/
Related Links:
Economic Shocks and Clinging by Michael Strain and Stan Veuger
https://ideas.repec.org/p/aei/rpaper/1004842.html
Wealth Inequality in the United States Since 1913: Evidence from Capitalized Income Tax Data by Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman
https://gabriel-zucman.eu/files/SaezZucman2014.pdf
Going to Extremes, Politics After Financial Crisis: 1870-2014 by Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick, and Christoph Trebesch
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2688897
Modern Monetary Theory is a Joke That’s Not Funny by Michael Strain
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-01-17/modern-monetary-theory-would-sink-u-s-in-debt
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
George Selgin is the director of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives, professor emeritus of economics at the University of Georgia, and a returning guest to show. For this special live episode, George joins Macro Musings to talk about his new book, Floored: How a Misguided Fed Experiment Deepened and Prolonged the Great Recession. David and George also discuss the liquidity coverage ratio, the Fed’s transition from a corridor to a floor system, and the arguments for and against such an operating system.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/02252019/floors-and-corridors
George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin
George’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin
Related Links:
The Fed Marches On by George Selgin
https://www.alt-m.org/2019/01/31/the-fed-marches-on/
Balance Sheet News blog post by Stephen Williamson
http://newmonetarism.blogspot.com/2019/02/balance-sheet-news_21.html
David Beckworth’s Twitter thread on the Fed’s decision to stick with a floor system:
https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth/status/1098956723501576192
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Peter Stella is the managing director of Stellar Consulting and was formerly an IMF official where he led the central banking and monetary and foreign exchange divisions. Peter has researched and written extensively on safe assets, collateral, and central banking operations, and he joins the show today to discuss this work. David and Peter also discuss the Fed’s large scale asset purchases, money and payment systems in advanced economies, and why the U.S. Treasury should start issuing bills to the Fed.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/02182019/peter-stella-debt-safe-assets-and-central-bank-operations
Peter’s Voxeu profile: https://voxeu.org/users/peterstella0
Peter’s Research Gate archive: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Peter_Stella
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Rohan Grey is a legal scholar and the research director of the Digital Fiat Currency Institute. He joins the show today to make the case for digital legal tender. David and Rohan also discuss privacy issues related to digital currency, getting the public onboard with a digital currency proposal, modern monetary theory, and how it is different than mainstream economics.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/02112019/future-digital-fiat-currency
Rohan’s Twitter: @rohangrey
Rohan’s Cornell profile: https://www.lawschool.cornell.edu/admissions/degrees/graduate-legal-studies/JSD-Student-Profiles-Rohan-Grey.cfm
Related Links:
Central Bank Digital Currency and the Future of Monetary Policy by Michael Bordo and Andrew Levin
https://www.nber.org/papers/w23711
Winds of Change: The Case for New Digital Currency by Christine Lagarde
https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2018/11/13/sp111418-winds-of-change-the-case-for-new-digital-currency
The Case for Digital Legal Tender: The Macroeconomic Policy Implications of Digital Fiat Currency by Rohan Grey and Jonathan Dharmapalan
https://www.ecurrency.net/static/resources/201802/TheMacroeconomicImplicationsOfDigitalFiatCurrencyEVersion.pdf
Banking in a Digital Fiat Currency Regime by Rohan Grey
https://custom.cvent.com/20310C03166C4C11B1AA63B0D6300264/files/Event/6230e8320cad4d97a45b8dcdc6c44200/aaeeabdc5cee41f5a8ad0a7e869faed8.pdf
Mobile Finance in Developing Countries: Macroeconomic Implications and Potential by Rohan Grey
http://www.binzagr-institute.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/WP-116.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Donald Kohn is a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and currently serves as an external member of the Financial Policy Committee at the Bank of England. Donald is also a 40-year veteran of the Federal Reserve System, serving previously as a governor and then as vice-chair of the Board of Governors from 2002 to 2010. He joins the show today to talk about his journey through the Federal Reserve System in addition to some of his recent work. David and Donald also discuss Fed policy during the ‘80s, expanding the types of assets the Fed could purchase, and the challenges it faces today.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/02012019/burns-powell
Donald’s Brookings profile: https://www.brookings.edu/experts/donald-kohn/
Donald’s Federal Reserve History biography: https://www.federalreservehistory.org/people/donald_l_kohn
Related Links:
The Anguish of Central Banking by Arthur Burns
http://www.perjacobsson.org/lectures/1979.pdf
Secrets of the Temple: How the Federal Reserve Runs the Country by William Greider
https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Secrets-of-the-Temple/William-Greider/9780671675561
Keeping At It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government by Paul Volcker
https://www.publicaffairsbooks.com/titles/paul-volcker/keeping-at-it/9781541788299/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Kevin Erdmann is an independent researcher and blogger at Idiosyncratic Whisk, where he explores economic and financial topics such as housing, investment, and speculation. He is also the author of an upcoming book titled, Shut Out: How a Housing Shortage Caused the Great Recession and Crippled Our Economy, and he joins the show today to discuss it. David and Kevin also break down the housing shortage problem, as they explore how the limited supply of housing in close access cities may have helped fuel the Great Recession.
NOTE: Although stated in the episode, Kevin's book was renamed to Shut Out. Locked Out was simply the working title at the time of the recording.
Link to the book: https://rowman.com/ISBN/9781538122150/Shut-Out-How-a-Housing-Shortage-Caused-the-Great-Recession-and-Crippled-Our-Economy
Discount code: 4S18MERC30
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/01282019/were-we-all-wrong-about-great-recession
Kevin’s Twitter: @KAErdmann
Kevin’s blog: http://idiosyncraticwhisk.blogspot.com/
Related Links:
A Slide Deck on the Bubble and Crisis by Kevin Erdmann
http://idiosyncraticwhisk.blogspot.com/p/a-slide-deck-on-bubble-and-crisis.html
Housing: Part 238 – Home Price Changes Over Time by Kevin Erdmann
http://idiosyncraticwhisk.blogspot.com/2017/06/housing-part-238-home-price-changes.html
Why Do Cities Matter? Local Growth and Aggregate Growth by Enrico Moretti & Chang-Tai Hsieh
https://chicagounbound.uchicago.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1045&context=housing_law_and_policy
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Christine McDaniel is a senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center and was previously the deputy assistant secretary at the U.S. Treasury Department and senior trade economist in the White House. Christine is a returning guest to Macro Musings and joins the show today to talk about recent trade developments. David and Christine also discuss the details of the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement, how Brexit affects trade issues in Europe, and the possibility of blowback from Trump’s trade policies.
Transcript for episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/01212019/china-usmca-uk-and-more
Christine’s Twitter: @christinemcdan
Christine’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/christine-mcdaniel
Related Links:
“Tariff man”: https://imgur.com/a/fcBuvKy
A Weakened China Tries a Different Approach With the U.S.: Treading Lightly by Keith Bradsher, Alan Rappeport and Glenn Thrush
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/12/business/china-trade-war.html
Scholars Respond: New Trade Deal with Mexico, Canada by Christine McDaniel and Daniel Griswold
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/scholars-respond-new-trade-deal-mexico-canada
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Craig Torres is a reporter for Bloomberg News where has earned several rewards for his reporting on Fed policy. Previously, Craig also served as the chief of the Wall Street Journal’s Mexico City bureau, where his work on the collapse of the peso in the mid 90’s made him a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize in international reporting. He joins the show today to discuss some the stories he has written while reporting on the Fed and the economy. David and Craig also discuss the Fed’s increase in transparency under Jay Powell, the current state of U.S. monetary policy, and effects of automation on demographics and the economy.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/01112019/war-stories-fed
Craig’s Twitter: @ctorresreporter
Craig’s Bloomberg archive: https://www.bloomberg.com/authors/AElDlyQuDPM/craig-torres
Related Links:
New Blue-Collar Jobs Will Survive the Rise of AI by Craig Torres
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-01/new-blue-collar-jobs-will-survive-the-rise-of-ai
Housing and Monetary Policy by John Taylor
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/83de/849c0eaaa1eaa720427e1e1ac0c4782bf693.pdf
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Julia Coronado is the president and founder of Macro Policy Perspectives, a Wall Street research firm. Previously, she was a chief economist for Graham Capital Management and a senior economist at BNP Paribas. Julia also served on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for over a decade, and she joins the show today to talk about the Fed’s latest rate hikes and other recent economic developments. David and Julia also discuss the Fed’s recent financial stability report, why inflation has been persistently low, and ways to improve communications between the Fed and the market.
Julia’s Twitter: @jc_econ
Julia’s Macropolicy Perspectives profile: https://www.macropolicyperspectives.com/about/
Related Links:
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/01072019/micro-foundations-macro-questions(link forthcoming)
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Brian Goff is the distinguished professor of economics at the Gordon Ford College of Business at Western Kentucky University. He is the author of the Econosports blog at Forbes and most recently the author of a new book titled, Sports Economics Uncut. Brian joins the show today to talk about the economics behind professional and collegiate sports across the United States. David and Brian also discuss stadium subsidies, the relationship between salary caps and dynasties, and why there may need to be serious reform at the collegiate sports level.
Brian’s blog: https://www.forbes.com/sites/briangoff/#393eb9d01647
Brian’s WKU profile: https://www.wku.edu/economics/staff/brian_goff
Related Links:
Sports Economics Uncut by Brian Goff
https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/sports-economics-uncut
*eBooks link: https://www.ebooks.com/96329982/sports-economics-uncut/goff-brian/
Football Still Americans’ Favorite Sport to Watch by Jim Norman
https://news.gallup.com/poll/224864/football-americans-favorite-sport-watch.aspx
Happy 10th Birthday to the Most-Subsidized NFL Stadium in America by Anne Philpot and Michael Farren
https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/happy-10th-birthday-most-subsidized-nfl-stadium-america
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Felix Salmon is a financial journalist at Axios and the host of the Slate Money podcast. In this special holiday episode, Felix joins the show to discuss the economics of charitable giving and one of his other favorite topics, sovereign debt. David and Felix also discuss debt contract innovations, effective altruism, and ways to improve charitable giving across the U.S. and the globe.
Felix’s Twitter: @felixsalmon
Felix’s website: http://www.felixsalmon.com/
Related Links:
Axios Edge newsletter: https://www.axios.com/newsletters/axios-edge
Recipe for Disaster: The Formula that Killed Wall Street by Felix Salmon
https://www.wired.com/2009/02/wp-quant/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Matt Mitchell is the director and senior research fellow at the Equity Initiative at the Mercatus Center. He joins the show today to talk about rent seeking and how it affects long term economic growth and prosperity. David and Matt also discuss regulatory capture, the rise of patent trolls, and the economics of public choice theory.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/12172018/macroeconomics-rent-seeking
Matt’s Twitter: @MattMitchell80
Matt’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/matthew-mitchell
Related Links:
Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty by Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson
https://scholar.harvard.edu/jrobinson/publications/why-nations-fail-origins-power-prosperity-and-poverty
The Political Economy of the Rent-Seeking Society by Anne Krueger
https://www.jstor.org/stable/1808883?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents
Entrepreneurship: Production, Unproductive, and Destructive by William Baumol
https://www.jstor.org/stable/2937617
Uncontestable Favoritism by Matt Mitchell
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3210953
40 Years of Research on Rent Seeking by Roger Congleton, Arye Hillman, and Kai Konrad
https://www.springer.com/us/book/9783540791881
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Josh Galper is the managing principal of Finadium, an independent consultancy in capital markets with unique expertise in securities, finance, collateral, and derivatives. He joins the show today to talk about money markets, overnight interest rates, and some of the big issues in this area. David and Josh also discuss the Lehman Brothers collapse, the “Narrow Bank,” and what we should know about key interest rates; namely the repo rate, LIBOR, interest on excess reserves rate, and SOFR.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/12072018/plumbing-monetary-policy
Josh’s Twitter: @Finadium
Josh’s Finadium profile: https://finadium.com/josh-galper-mba/
Related Links:
Finadium’s homepage: http://finadium.com
Finadium’s magazine: http://securitiesfinancemonitor.com
Second Report of the Alternative Reference Rates Committee by the New York Fed
https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/Microsites/arrc/files/2018/ARRC-Second-report
The SOFR Transition: Benchmarks, Futures, and P&L by Finadium
https://finadium.com/finadium-report-desc/sofr-transition-benchmarks-futures-profit-loss/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Victoria Guida is a reporter for Politico where she covers monetary policy and financial regulation, including extensive coverage of the Federal Reserve, the FDIC, the Treasury Department, and Congress. She joins the show today to talk about some of the big developments in monetary policy and financial regulation over the past few years and what kind of policy changes may be on the horizon. David and Victoria also discuss the Financial CHOICE Act, the accomplishments and failures of the current lame duck Congress, and what to expect from the new appointees at the Fed.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/12032018/victoria-guida-politics-monetary-policy
Victoria’s Twitter: @vtg2
Victoria’s Politico profile: https://www.politico.com/staff/victoria-guida
Related Links:
Big Banks, Feeling Unloved in Trump’s Washington, Shake Up Lobbying by Zachary Warmbrodt
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/07/09/banks-lobbying-donald-trump-669706
A Bank’s Activities, Not Its Assets, Should Decide Regulatory Status by Thomas Hoenig
https://www.americanbanker.com/opinion/a-banks-activities-not-its-assets-should-decide-regulatory-status
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Neil Irwin is a senior economics correspondent for the New York Times and was formerly a columnist at the Washington Post. He is the author of the book, The Alchemist: Three Central Bankers and a World on Fire, and he joins the show today to talk about his work as an economics correspondent. David and Neil also discuss the invisible recession of 2016, how monopsony power affects labor market wage setting, and the political fallout from the Great Recession.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/11262018/economic-journalism-recession-economics-and-international-monetary-policies
Neil’s Twitter: @Neil_Irwin
Neil’s New York Times profile: https://www.nytimes.com/by/neil-irwin
Related Links:
The Alchemists: Three Central Bankers and a World on Fire by Neil Irwin
https://www.amazon.com/Alchemists-Three-Central-Bankers-World/dp/0143124994
The Policymakers Saved the Financial System. And America Never Forgave Them by Neil Irwin
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/12/upshot/financial-crisis-recession-recovery.html
The Most Important Least Noticed Economic Event of the Decade by Neil Irwin
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/29/upshot/mini-recession-2016-little-known-big-impact.html
Are Superstar Firms and Amazon Effects Reshaping the Economy? by Neil Irwin
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/25/upshot/big-corporations-influence-economy-central-bank.html
Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold?
https://www.nber.org/papers/w23134.pdf
What Recovery? The Case for Continued Expansionary Policy at the Fed by J.W. Mason
http://rooseveltinstitute.org/what-recovery/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Adam Ozimek is a senior economist at Moody’s Analytics where he covers U.S. labor markets and demographics while actively blogging and tweeting about a wide range economic issues. He joins the show today to discuss mistakes in Fed policy and demographics. David and Adam also discuss the role demand played in the Great Recession, the link between population growth and inflation, and why the economy is experiencing weak productivity growth.
Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/11192018/adam-ozimek-inflation-migration-and-productivity
Adam’s Twitter: @ModeledBehavior
Adam’s blog: https://www.economy.com/dismal/analysis/datapoints
Adam’s website: https://www.adamozimek.com
Related Links:
If you would like access to The Fed’s Mistake, you can email Adam at Adam.Ozimek@moodys.com to request the paper.
Population Growth and Inflation by Adam Ozimek
https://www.economy.com/getlocal?q=a7c139c0-2b8c-4abf-9b65-bd8b11392939&app=eccafile
Declining Business Dynamism in the United States: A Look at States and Metros by Ian Hathaway and Robert Litan
https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/declining_business_dynamism_hathaway_litan.pdf
The role of Entrepreneurship in US Job Creation and Economic Dynamism by Ryan Decker et. al
http://econweb.umd.edu/~haltiwan/JEP_DHJM.pdf
The Migration Accelerator: Labor Mobility, Housing, and Aggregate Demand by Greg Howard
http://economics.mit.edu/files/12236
Aging and the Productivity Puzzle by Mark Zandi, Adam Ozimek, and Dante DeAntonio
https://www.economy.com/dismal/analysis/commentary/300374/Aging-and-the-Productivity-Puzzle/
David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
This week, Scott Sumner joins David Beckworth at the University of Texas at Austin for the Financial Crisis Symposium: “Ten Years Later: What Does the Data Say?” hosted by the Center for Enterprise and Policy Analytics at the McCombs School of Business. In this special live episode, Scott offers his thoughts on what the data tells us about the 2008 Financial Crisis from a monetary policy perspective. David and Scott also discuss using markets to guide monetary policy, why the Fed should conduct retrospective analyses, why we may want to replicate Australian monetary policy, and more.
Transcript to this week's episode
Scott’s Mercatus profile
Scott’s blog
Related Links:
Pause Interest-Rate Hikes to Help the Labor Force Grow by Neel Kashkari
David’s blog
David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Audio recording provided by the LAITS Audio Development Studio at the University of Texas at Austin
Mike Derby is a reporter for the Wall Street Journal who covers the Federal Reserve. He joins the show today to talk about his coverage of recent developments in the economy and in Fed policy. David and Mike also discuss the future of the Fed’s operating framework, what an inversion of the Treasury yield curve portends, and the normalization of monetary policy after the 2008 Financial Crisis. Mike’s Twitter: @michaelsderby Mike’s Wall Street Journal archive: http://www.wsj.com/news/author/8347 Related Links: * Fed’s Evans: U.S. Economy ‘Firing on All Cylinders’ by Michael Derby https://www.wsj.com/articles/feds-evans-u-s-economy-firing-on-all-cylinders-1536930039 Derby’s Take: Watch Out, There’s a Fedspeak Storm Coming by Michael Derby https://www.wsj.com/articles/derbys-take-watch-out-theres-a-fedspeak-storm-coming-1538386200 Derby’s Take: Fed Rate-Range Settings Could See More Tweaks by Michael Derby https://www.wsj.com/articles/derbys-take-fed-rate-range-settings-could-see-more-tweaks-1538127000 Bank Sues New York Fed Over Lack of Account* by Michael Derby https://www.wsj.com/articles/bank-sues-new-york-fed-over-lack-of-account-1536185523 Transcript for the episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/michael-derby-goes-behind-scenes-recent-fed-news David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Don Boudreaux is a professor of economics at George Mason University as well as the co-director of the Program on the American Economy and Globalization at the Mercatus Center. He joins the show today to talk about the future of trade and globalization. David and Don also discuss the history of protectionism in the US, President Trump’s trade policies, and why the China Shock thesis may signal bad economics. Don’s blog: https://cafehayek.com/ Don’s Mercatus Profile: https://www.mercatus.org/donald-j-boudreaux Related Links: Clashing over Commerce: A History of U.S. Trade Policy by Doug Irwin https://www.press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo24475328.html Tariffs, Immigration, and Economic Insulation: A New View of the U.S. Post-Civil War Eraby Cecil Bohanon and Norman Van Cott https://www.jstor.org/stable/24562083?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade by David Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon Hanson https://www.nber.org/papers/w21906 David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Nick Bunker is an economist at the Indeed Hiring Lab where he focuses on the U.S. labor market and was previously a senior policy analyst at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, an economics think tank. Nick joins the show today to talk about the U.S. labor market and how the government measures unemployment. David and Nick also discuss the decreasing trend of male participation in the labor force, declining labor mobility, and the importance of a larger public database for labor data. Nick’s Twitter: @nick_bunker Nick’s Indeed profile: https://www.hiringlab.org/author/nbunker/ Related Links: Labor Force Participation: Recent Developments and Future Prospects by Stephanie Aaronson et al. https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Fall2014BPEA_Aaronson_et_al.pdf The Long-Term Decline in Prime-Age Male Labor Force Participation by the Council of Economic Advisers https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/page/files/20160620_cea_primeage_male_lfp.pdf David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Rob Kaplan is the President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Previously, he was a professor and associate dean at Harvard Business School and a vice chairman at Goldman Sachs. Rob joins the show today to talk about his career, the Dallas Fed, and U.S. monetary policy. David and Rob also discuss the inner workings of the FOMC, the future of the Fed’s operating system, and lessons to be learned from the 2008 Financial Crisis. Rob also shares his thoughts on alternative monetary regimes, including nominal GDP targeting. Rob’s Twitter: @RobSKaplan Rob’s Dallas Fed profile: https://www.dallasfed.org/en/fed/bios/kaplan.aspx David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Transcript to this week's episode: https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/commentary/robert-kaplan-fomc-dallas-fed-and-lessons-great-recession
Jared Bernstein is a senior fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities and previously served as chief economist and economic advisor to Vice President Joe Biden in the Obama Administration. Jared also writes regularly for the Washington Post. David and Jared discuss a wide range of topics including fiscal stimulus, the relationship between fiscal and monetary policy, subsidized employment programs, Trump’s trade agenda, and the direction of economic policy after the 2018 midterm elections. Jared’s Twitter: @econjared Jared’s Washington Post profile: https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/jared-bernstein/?utm_term=.23a83717b1c3 Related Links: Populism and the Economics of Globalization by Dani Rodrik https://drodrik.scholar.harvard.edu/files/dani-rodrik/files/populism_and_the_economics_of_globalization.pdf Going to Extremes: Politics after Financial Crises, 1870-2014 by Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick, & Christoph Trebesch https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/1115_eer_slides_sep2016_short.pdf The New Rules of the Road: A Progressive Approach to Globalization by Jared Bernstein and Lori Wallach http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/The-New-Rules-of-the-Road.pdf Crashed: How a Decade of Financial Crises Changed the World by Adam Tooze https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/301357/crashed-by-adam-tooze/9780670024933/ David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Will Luther is an assistant professor of economics at Florida Atlantic University and is the director of the Sound Money Project at the American Institute for Economic Research. Will is also an adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute and is a returning guest to Macro Musings. He joins today to talk about a recent debate over the future of cash and the current state of cryptocurrencies. David and Will also discuss the implications of issuing “supernotes” (like $500 and $1000 bills), the existence of stable coins as cryptocurrencies, and opening up the Fed’s balance sheet to the general public. Will’s Twitter: @WilliamJLuther Will’s website: http://www.wluther.com/ Related Links: Cash, Crime, and Civil Liberties, A collection of essays by J.P. Koning, Joshua Hendrickson, Will Luther, and James McAndrews https://www.cato-unbound.org/issues/august-2018/cash-crime-civil-liberties Moneyness, J.P. Koning’s blog http://jpkoning.blogspot.com/ The Stable Coin Myth by Barry Eichengreen https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/stable-coins-unviable-cryptocurrencies-by-barry-eichengreen-2018-09 David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Sam Hammond is a policy analyst and covers topics in poverty and welfare for the Niskanen Center. Sam is a previous guest on Macro Musings, and he joins the show today to talk about his new article in National Review which addresses Senator Elizabeth Warren’s new proposal, the Accountable Capitalism Act, and its potentially negative effects. David and Sam also discuss the problematic stereotypes surrounding ‘corporate bigness’, the positive and negative features of co-determination, and why we need universal safety nets. Sam’s Twitter: @hamandcheese Sam’s Medium profile: https://medium.com/@hamandcheese Related Links: Elizabeth Warren’s Corporate Catastrophe by Sam Hammond https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/08/elizabeth-warren-accountable-capitalism-act-terrible-idea/ Big is Beautiful: Debunking the Myth of Small Business by Robert Atkinson and Michael Lind https://mitpress.mit.edu/books/big-beautiful Concentration in US Labor Markets: Evidence from Online Vacancy Data by Ioana Marinescu, Marshall Steinbaum, Bledi Taska & Jose Azar https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3133344 David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Brad Setser is a senior fellow for international economics at the Council on Foreign Relations where he works on macroeconomics, global capital flows, and financial crises. Brad also served as a deputy assistant secretary at the U.S. Treasury Department from 2011 to 2015 where he worked on Europe’s financial crisis, currency policy, financial sanctions, commodity shocks, and Puerto Rico’s debt crisis. Brad joins the show today to talk about global economic imbalances and why we should care about them. David and Brad also discuss emerging market tensions in Turkey, the implications of running current account deficits, and the economic dangers accompanying the existence of a monetary superpower. Brad’s blog: https://www.cfr.org/blog/Setser Brad’s Twitter: @Brad_Setser Related Links: Putin’s Unlikely Ally in His Standoff With the West: His Central Banker by Anatoly Kurmanaev https://www.wsj.com/articles/putins-unlikely-ally-in-his-standoff-with-the-west-his-central-banker-1534773380 Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold? by Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart, & Kenneth Rogoff http://www.nber.org/papers/w23134 David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Want to get your hands on a signed copy of Tyler Cowen’s new book Stubborn Attachments before it hits bookstores on October 16th? Rate and review your favorite Mercatus podcast, including Macro Musings, Conversations with Tyler, the Hayek Program Podcast, or the Mercatus Policy Download on Apple Podcasts and you’ll be entered to win: get.mercatus.org/podcastcontest/
Adam Posen is the president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics and was formerly senior fellow at the Bank of England, helping set monetary policy between 2009 and 2012. Adam has also worked at the New York Federal Reserve, has advised many central banks and governments, and is an accomplished scholar in the field of macroeconomics. He joins the show today to discuss some of his research as well as the work of the Peterson Institute. David and Adam also discuss central bank independence, trade policy under the Trump regime, and the differences between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. Adam’s Twitter: @AdamPosen Adam’s Peterson Institute profile: https://piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/adam-s-posen Related Links: Inflation Targeting: Lessons from the International Experience by Ben Bernanke, Thomas Laubach, Frederic Mishkin, & Adam Posen https://press.princeton.edu/titles/6380.html The Post-American World Economy: Globalization in the Trump Era by Adam Posen https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2018-02-13/post-american-world-economy David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Sebastian Edwards is a professor of economics at UCLA, and is a former chief economist for the World Bank. He joins the show today to talk about his new book, American Default: The Untold Story of FDR, the Supreme Court, and A Battle over Gold. Sebastian and David also discuss Roosevelt’s plan to ease the U.S. off the gold standard, his attempts to fix the banking sector, and the details and implications of the Gold Clause Cases. Sebastian’s UCLA profile: http://www.anderson.ucla.edu/faculty/sebastian.edwards/ Sebastian’s NBER archive: http://www.nber.org/people/sebastian_edwards Related Links: American Default: The Untold Story of FDR, the Supreme Court, and A Battle over Gold by Sebastian Edwards https://press.princeton.edu/titles/11230.html David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Tim Duy is a professor of economics at the University of Oregon, a columnist for Bloomberg, and a former economist at the U.S. Department of Treasury. Tim is also a widely read Fed watcher and a returning guest to Macro Musings. He joins the show today to talk about yield curves, Federal Reserve policy, and the future of the Jay Powell Fed. David and Tim also discuss the economic implications of a yield curve inversion, the possibility of new monetary regimes being introduced during Powell’s tenure, and how to combat groupthink at the Fed. Tim’s Twitter: @TimDuy Tim’s blog: http://economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/ Related Links: Kashkari Isn’t Buying ‘This Time Is Different’ for Yield Curve by Jeanna Smialek https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-07-16/kashkari-isn-t-buying-this-time-is-different-for-yield-curve Sorry, Mr. Trump, But You Had Your Chance for A More Dovish Fed by Adam Ozimek https://www.forbes.com/sites/modeledbehavior/2018/07/22/sorry-mr-trump-but-you-had-your-chance-for-a-more-dovish-fed/#78eb6c206f76 John Williams May Be One of the Best Central Bankers – But That Doesn’t Mean He Should Run the New York Fed by Peter Conti-Brown https://www.brookings.edu/research/john-williams-may-be-one-of-the-best-central-bankers-but-that-doesnt-mean-he-should-run-the-new-york-fed/ The Fed’s Striking Lack of Diversity and Why it Matters by Aaron Klein https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/the-feds-striking-lack-of-diversity-and-why-it-matters/ David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Josh Hendrickson is an associate professor of economics at the University of Mississippi, where he specializes in monetary economics. He also writes for his blog, The Everyday Economist. Josh is a returning guest to the show, and he joins today to talk about his new paper, Monetary Policy as a Jobs Guarantee. David and Josh discuss how monetary policy can be better outsourced to the market as well as the Fed’s past mistakes, and what it can do to improve in the future. Josh’s Twitter: @RebelEconProf Josh’s blog: https://everydayecon.wordpress.com/ Related Links: Monetary Policy as a Jobs Guarantee by Josh Hendrickson https://www.mercatus.org/publications/monetary-policy/monetary-policy-jobs-guarantee What Measure of Inflation Should A Central Bank Target? by Greg Mankiw and Ricardo Reis https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp170.pdf?5a6c189e978749a5299b76ab370771e5 David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Tim Lee is a senior reporter for Ars Technica covering tech policy, blockchain technologies, and the future of transportation. Tim was formerly with Vox, where he covered tech issues and the economy. He joins the show today to discuss technological innovation, economic growth, and implications for policy. David and Tim also discuss the radical changes coming to transportation, the uncertain future of productivity growth, and how society should respond to the structural changes that may accompany further technological advancement. Tim’s Twitter: @binarybits Tim’s Ars Technica profile: https://arstechnica.com/author/timlee/ Related Links: 9 Radical Changes that are Coming to Transportation by Tim Lee https://www.vox.com/new-money/2017/4/26/15363592/tesla-uber-google-waymo-spacex-innovation Self-driving Technology is Going to Change A Lot More Than Cars by Tim Lee https://arstechnica.com/cars/2018/05/self-driving-technology-is-going-to-change-a-lot-more-than-cars/ Electric, Self-flying, Vertical Takeoff Taxis are Coming to New Zealand by Tim Lee https://arstechnica.com/cars/2018/03/flying-taxis-backed-by-larry-page-could-come-to-new-zealand-in-3-years/ The Productivity Paradox: Why We’re Getting More Innovation but Less Growth by Tim Lee https://www.vox.com/new-money/2016/10/24/13327014/productivity-paradox-innovation-growth The End of the Internet Startup by Tim Lee https://www.vox.com/new-money/2017/7/11/15929014/end-of-the-internet-startup The Complacent Class: The Self-Defeating Quest for the American Dream by Tyler Cowen https://read.macmillan.com/lp/the-complacent-class/ David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Kevin Erdmann is an independent researcher and blogger at Idiosyncratic Whisk, where he explores economic and financial topics such as housing, investment, and speculation. He is also the author of an upcoming book titled, Locked Out: How the Shortage of Urban Housing is Wrecking our Economy, and he joins the show today to discuss it. Contrary to popular belief, Kevin argues we built too few houses not too many, during the housing bubble. David and Kevin break down this housing shortage problem, as they explore how the limited supply of housing in closed access cities may have helped fuel the Great Recession. Kevin’s Twitter: @KAErdmann Kevin’s blog: http://idiosyncraticwhisk.blogspot.com/ Related Links: A Slide Deck on the Bubble and Crisis by Kevin Erdmann http://idiosyncraticwhisk.blogspot.com/p/a-slide-deck-on-bubble-and-crisis.html Housing: Part 238 – Home Price Changes Over Time by Kevin Erdmann http://idiosyncraticwhisk.blogspot.com/2017/06/housing-part-238-home-price-changes.html Housing Constraints and Spatial Misallocation by Enrico Moretti & Chang-Tai Hsieh https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/mac.20170388&&from=f David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Morgan Ricks is a law professor at Vanderbilt University and studies financial regulation. Between 2009 and 2010, he was a senior policy advisor and financial restructuring expert at the U.S. Department of Treasury, where he focused primarily on financial stability initiatives and capital market policy in response to the Financial Crisis. Morgan is a returning guest to Macro Musings, and he joins the show today to discuss his most recent paper, Central Banking for All: A Public Option for Bank Accounts. David and Morgan also discuss the features and changes that come with Fed bank accounts, how these accounts would positively affect low income families, and how this system could be created. Morgan’s Twitter: @MorganRicks1 Morgan’s Vanderbilt profile: https://law.vanderbilt.edu/bio/morgan-ricks Related Links: Central Banking for All: A Public Option for Bank Accounts by Morgan Ricks, John Crawford, and Lev Menand https://greatdemocracyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/FedAccountsGDI.pdf David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Ashoka Mody is a professor of international economic policy at Princeton University and formerly worked at the IMF and the World Bank. He joins the show today to discuss his new book, EuroTragedy: A Drama in Nine Acts. David and Ashoka also delve deep into the history of the Euro, as they discuss its complicated political origins and why its creation may have been a mistake. Ashoka’s Twitter: @AshokaMody Ashoka’s Princeton profile: https://scholar.princeton.edu/amody/home Related Links: EuroTragedy: A Drama in Nine Acts by Ashoka Mody https://global.oup.com/academic/product/eurotragedy-9780199351381?cc=us⟨=en& EMU and International Conflict by Martin Feldstein https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/europe/1997-11-01/emu-and-international-conflict David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Monica de Bolle is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and an associate professor at Johns Hopkins University. Monica is published widely on the subject of Latin American economies, and she joins the show today to explain some of the recent financial and economic developments in Argentina and Venezuela. David and Monica also analyze the political atmosphere and policy environment that led to Argentina’s current economic hardships and discuss where the country might be if they had not pursued such policies. Monica’s Twitter: @bollemdb Monica’s PIIE profile: https://piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/monica-de-bolle Related Links: Argentina: Back to the Brink by Monica de Bolle https://piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/argentina-back-brink David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Mark Copelovitch is an associate professor of political science at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and studies the politics of international trade, money, and finance. He joins the show today to discuss the politics of the global recession and the Eurozone Crisis. David and Mark dive deep into these topics, as they examine how policymakers failed during the Great Recession, and how effects of the Eurozone crisis varied across Europe. They also discuss whether the recent Italian elections can be viewed as a consequence of Eurozone failures. Mark’s Twitter: @mcopelov Mark’s University of Wisconsin-Madison profile: https://polisci.wisc.edu/people/faculty/mark-copelovitch Related Links: This Time Should Have Been Different: The Causes and Consequences of Macroeconomic Policy Failure in the Great Recession by Mark Copelovitch https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3059991 The Monetary Policy Origins of the Eurozone Crisis by David Beckworth https://www.mercatus.org/system/files/Beckworth-Eurozone-Crisis-v1.pdf A Plan to Save the Euro by Jeffry Frieden https://voxeu.org/article/plan-save-euro Going to Extremes: Politics After Financial Crises, 1870–2014 by Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick & Christoph Trebesch https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0014292116300587 David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Dan Griswold is a research fellow and co-director for the Program on the American Economy and Globalization at the Mercatus Center. He is a nationally recognized expert on trade and immigration and is a previous guest on Macro Musings. He joins the show today to discuss his recent policy brief, The Benefits of Immigration: Addressing the Key Myths in addition to some of his other work on the issue. Some of the topics Dan and David explore include immigration’s positive effects on economic growth, the importance of immigrants in maintaining demographic stability, and other false narratives surrounding their perceived fiscal impact. Dan’s Twitter: @DanielGriswold Dan’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/daniel-griswold Related Links: The Benefits of Immigration: Addressing the Key Myths by Dan Griswold https://www.mercatus.org/publications/benefits-of-immigration-key-myths The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration by the National Academies of Sciences https://www.nap.edu/catalog/23550/the-economic-and-fiscal-consequences-of-immigration The Integration of Immigrants into American Society by the National Academies of Sciences https://www.nap.edu/catalog/21746/the-integration-of-immigrants-into-american-society Reforming the U.S. Immigration System to Promote Growth by Dan Griswold https://www.mercatus.org/publications/reforming-us-immigration-system-economic-growth Immigrants and Conservatives are Cut from the Same Cloth by Dan Griswold https://townhall.com/columnists/danielgriswold/2018/04/25/immigrants-and-conservatives-are-cut-from-the-same-cloth-n2474499 What the June Rate Hikes Mean for the Future of the Fed by David Beckworth https://www.mercatus.org/bridge/podcasts/06262018/what-june-rate-hikes-mean-future-fed?utm_source=soundcloud&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=macromusings David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Larry Ball is a professor and department chair of economics at Johns Hopkins University. He is published widely in the field of macroeconomics and joins the show today to discuss his new book, The Fed and Lehman Brothers: Setting the Record Straight on a Financial Disaster and its implications for potential future crises. David and Larry also dive deep into the events leading up to the Lehman collapse, the effects it had on the broader economy, and the lessons that can be learned from the fallout ten years later. Larry’s Johns Hopkins profile: http://econ.jhu.edu/directory/laurence-m-ball/ Larry’s NBER archive: http://www.nber.org/people/laurence_ball Related Links: The Fed and Lehman Brothers: Setting the Record Straight on a Financial Disaster by Laurence Ball https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/fed-and-lehman-brothers/14BE6C2AD579DC4782EC27F2A6AF2FA6 David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Nick Timiraos is a national economics correspondent for the Wall Street Journal and covers topics relating to the Federal Reserve. He also covered the housing bust and the government’s response to the mortgage crisis during the Great Recession as well as the government-sponsored enterprises, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Nick joins the show today to discuss the long and controversial history surrounding the two GSEs on the 10 year anniversary of their conservatorship. David and Nick also discuss the evolution of the U.S. housing market as well as the advent and characteristics of securitization. Nick’s Twitter: @NickTimiraos Nick’s Wall Street Journal profile: https://www.wsj.com/news/author/5585 Related Links: The U.S. Mortgage Market: Chart Edition by David Beckworth (includes the market share chart referenced at 25:20 during the episode.) http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/2018/05/the-us-mortgage-market-chart-edition.html David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Brian Blackstone is a Switzerland bureau chief for the Wall Street Journal and previously covered the European Central Bank from the Wall Street Journal’s Frankfurt office as well as the Federal Reserve during the financial crisis. He joins the show today to talk about the Swiss referendum on sovereign money in addition to his insights on the European Central Bank. David and Brian also discuss the effects of an enlarged balance sheet at the Swiss National Bank, whether they should be the only national entity in control of money creation, and how the Swiss economy has fared since the Great Recession. Brian’s Twitter: @Blackstonebrian Brian’s WSJ profile: https://www.wsj.com/news/author/7515 Related Links: How Switzerland Lost a Currency Battle, but Won the War by Brian Blackstone and Pat Minczeski https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-switzerland-lost-a-currency-battle-but-won-the-war-1524216601 Why Italy is Flirting with Euro Exit and Spain Isn’t by Greg Ip https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-italy-is-flirting-with-euro-exit-and-spain-isnt-1528040526 David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Christine McDaniel is a senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center with the Program on the American Economy and Globalization. Christine previously held several positions within the U.S. government including deputy assistant secretary at the Treasury Department and senior trade economist in the White House Council of Economic Advisors. She joins the show today to talk about the issues of intellectual property and trade. David and Christine also discuss the importance of reviving the Trans-Pacific Partnership, problems with patent systems across the globe, and the history and current scale of intellectual property theft. Christine’s Twitter: @christinemcdan Christine’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/christine-mcdaniel David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Sam Hammond is a poverty and welfare policy analyst for the Niskanen Center and has recently published a new paper titled, The Free-Market Welfare State: Preserving Dynamism in a Volatile World. He joins the show today to discuss the paper along with some of his other research. Sam and David also discuss the repercussions of the China shock, how to reform America’s welfare system, and the design characteristics that would define an ideal social insurance state. Sam’s Twitter: @hamandcheese Sam’s Medium profile: https://medium.com/@hamandcheese Related Links: The Free-Market Welfare State: Preserving Dynamism in a Volatile World by Sam Hammond https://niskanencenter.org/blog/the-free-market-welfare-state-preserving-dynamism-in-a-volatile-world/ From Tiananmen to Outsourcing: the Effect of rising Import Competition on Congressional Voting Towards China by John Seungmin Kuk, Deborah Seligsohn, & Jiakun Jack Zhang https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10670564.2017.1363024?journalCode=cjcc20 Populism and the Economics of Globalization by Dani Rodrik https://drodrik.scholar.harvard.edu/files/dani-rodrik/files/populism_and_the_economics_of_globalization.pdf Food Stamp Entrepreneurs by Gareth Olds https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Publication%20Files/16-143_2cf7ba14-5bfa-4c34-85d9-0edc0ddc7ce6.pdf If You Want to Rebuild Civil Society, Don’t Abolish Welfare – Decentralize it by Sam Hammond https://niskanencenter.org/blog/rebuild-american-community/ Diversity and Crowd-Out: A Theory of Cold-glow Giving by Daniel M. Hungerman http://www.nber.org/papers/w13348.pdf It Takes a Nation by Rebecca Blank https://www.amazon.com/Takes-Nation-Rebecca-M-Blank/dp/0691004013 Filthy Lucre: Economics for People Who Hate Capitalism by Joseph Heath https://www.amazon.com/Filthy-Lucre-Economics-People-Capitalism-ebook/dp/B0058DTHNU David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Michael Darda is a chief economist and market strategist at MKM Partners. Michael is also a frequent guest on financial television and radio and is routinely quoted in “The Wall Street Journal”, “The New York Times”, “Barron’s”, and other financial publications. He joins the show today to talk about his work conducting macroeconomic market research as well as his views on the market itself. David and Michael also discuss his shift from supply-side economics to market monetarism, the Fed’s performance during and after the Great Recession, and the potential effects of a flattening Treasury yield curve. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Michael’s MKM Partners profile: http://www.mkmpartners.com/research/ Michael’s Bloomberg profile: https://www.bloomberg.com/research/stocks/private/person.asp?personId=48822180&privcapId=40334090
Razeen Sally is an associate professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore and formerly taught at the London School of Economics. He is also the Chairman of the Institute of Policy Studies, the main economic policy think tank in Sri Lanka and a senior advisor to Sri Lanka’s Minister of Finance. Today, he joins the show to discuss the state of international economic affairs and how it specifically relates to Asia. Razeen explains why he believes the U.S. should stay engaged within Asia and also shares his thoughts on China’s demographic problem as well as the effects of the Trump administration’s increased protectionism. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Razeen’s Lee Kuan Yew profile: http://lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/our-people/our-faculty/faculty-profile/razeen-sally Razeen’s Twitter: @razeensally Related Links: Why Global Order Still Needs America in Asia by Razeen Sally http://ecipe.org/app/uploads/2017/07/Razeen-Sally-Quadrant-July-2017.pdf
David is the Vice President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, and has published widely in the field of monetary economics. He also writes for his blog, MacroMania, where he covers a multitude of economic topics. David joins the show today to discuss the economics behind the Phillips Curve, and to help provide a greater understanding of the debate surrounding it. They also discuss the mystery of low inflation in the United States, the excess money demand problem, and the important role debt plays within international monetary policy. David Beckworth’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth David Andolfatto’s Twitter: @dandolfa David Andolfatto’s blog: andolfatto.blogspot.com
Jim Hamilton is a professor of economics at the University of California-San Diego and the author of Time Series Analysis, a popular graduate-level econometrics textbook. Today, Jim joins the show to discuss his work in econometrics as well as his research on the role oil plays in the U.S. economy. He also shares his thoughts on how oil will continue to shape the economy in light of the rise of clean energy. David and Jim also discuss recent U.S. monetary policy and why interest rates have been so very low. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Jim Hamilton’s UC San Diego profile: http://econweb.ucsd.edu/~jhamilton/ Jim Hamilton’s Twitter: @JHamilton _UCSD Jim Hamilton's blog: http://econbrowser.com/ Time Series Analysis by James Hamilton https://www.amazon.com/Time-Analysis-James-Douglas-Hamilton/dp/0691042896
Daniela Gabor is a professor of economics and finance at the University of West England at Bristol and a monetary economist. She specializes in shadow banking, capital markets, and transnational banking. Today, she joins the show to discuss her new paper, Chasing Unicorns: The European Single Safe Asset Project. David and Daniela also discuss merits of equity-based banking, elements of the shadow banking system, and Europe’s quest for a safe asset. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Daniela’s Twitter: @DanielaGabor Daniela’s UWE Bristol profile: https://people.uwe.ac.uk/Person/DanielaGabor Related Links: Chasing Unicorns: The European Single Safe Asset Project by Daniela Gabor http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1024529418759638 Inside Safe Assets by Anna Gelpern and Erik Gerding https://scholarship.law.georgetown.edu/facpub/1831/ The Growth of Financial Banking by Anna Youngman https://www.jstor.org/stable/1817326?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents The Repo and Reverse Markets by Marcia Stigum https://books.google.com/books/about/The_Repo_and_Reverse_Markets.html?id=wJ6OZlHFYDoC The New York Money Market: Origins and Development and The New York Money Market: Uses of Funds by Margaret Myers et al. https://books.google.com/books/about/The_New_York_Money_Market_Origins_and_de.html?id=InFaAAAAYAAJ https://books.google.co.uk/books/about/The_New_York_Money_Market_Uses_of_funds.html?id=cXVaAAAAYAAJ&redir_esc=y
Morgan Ricks is a law professor at Vanderbilt University. Previously, he was a senior policy advisor and financial restructuring expert at the U.S. Treasury Department where he focused primarily on financial stability initiatives and capital market policy in response to the financial crisis. Today, he joins the show to discuss his new paper, Money as Infrastructure where he contrasts what he calls the “intermediation paradigm” of banking and the “money paradigm.” Morgan also shares his thoughts on the government’s role in money, the history of free banking, and current-day banking regulation. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Morgan’s Twitter: @MorganRicks1 Morgan’s Vanderbilt profile: https://law.vanderbilt.edu/bio/morgan-ricks Related Links: Money as Infrastructure by Morgan Ricks https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3070270 The Money Problem by Morgan Ricks http://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/M/bo22438821.html
Ioana Marinescu is an assistant professor of economics at the University of Pennsylvania and a faculty research fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research. Today she joins the show to highlight her work on the concept of a Universal Basic Income (UBI). David and Ioana discuss how a UBI would work and how it compares and contrasts with Milton Friedman’s related negative income tax proposal. They also discuss the economic and social effects of a UBI, some experimental evidence of the policy, and the political feasibility of such a program. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Ioana’s Twitter: @mioana Ioana’s website: http://www.marinescu.eu/ Related Links: No Strings Attached: The Behavioral Effects of U.S. Unconditional Cash Transfer Programs by Ioana Marinescu http://www.marinescu.eu/Marinescu_UBI_review_2017.pdf The Labor Market Impacts of Universal and Permanent Cash Transfers: Evidence from the Alaska Permanent Fund by Damon Jones and Ioana Marinescu http://home.uchicago.edu/~j1s/Jones_Alaska.pdf
Macro Musings is celebrating its 100th episode, and for this special occasion, we have an all-star panel of guests joining the show! Heather Long is an economics correspondent for the Washington Post and formerly was a senior reporter at CNN. Ryan Avent is a columnist for the Economist Magazine and author of several books including his most recent work, The Wealth of Humans: Work, Power, and Status in the Twenty-first Century. Cardiff Garcia is the co-host of NPR’s The Indicator from Planet Money and was formerly with the Financial Times. Today, they join the show to discuss the top economic issues and lessons in last 10 years since the Great Recession, and what predictions they’ve made that haven’t come true. They also discuss the current trends of stagnant wage growth, the economic insecurity of the American workforce, and the dramatic change in the structure of labor markets. [To sign-up for Mercatus’ NGDP prediction market, go to get.mercatus.org/ngdppredictions/. Just answer a few simple questions, and you’ll receive an email invitation to start forecasting!] David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Ryan’s Twitter: @ryanavent Ryan’s Economist profile: http://mediadirectory.economist.com/people/ryan-avent/ Ryan on a previous Macro Musings: https://soundcloud.com/macro-musings/ryanavent Cardiff’s Twitter: @CardiffGarcia Cardiff’s NPR profile: https://www.npr.org/people/567164716/cardiff-garcia Cardiff on a previous Macro Musings: https://soundcloud.com/macro-musings/cardiffgarcia Heather’s Twitter: @byHeatherLong Heather’s Washington Post profile: https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/heather-long/?utm_term=.26c78de4a68e
Ed Nelson is a senior advisor at the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and formerly worked at the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank and the Bank of England. Today, he joins the show to discuss his research on the role of money in business cycles. David and Ed also discuss nominal income targeting, Milton’s Friedman’s influence on monetary economics, and Australia’s successful monetary policy performance. [To sign-up for Mercatus’ NGDP prediction market, go to get.mercatus.org/ngdppredictions/. Just answer a few simple questions, and you’ll receive an email invitation to start forecasting!] David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Ed’s Federal Reserve profile: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/edward-nelson.htm Related Links: Tobin’s Imperfect Asset Substitution in Optimizing General Equilibrium by Javier Andrés, J. David López-Salido, and Edward Nelson https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/46d3/a4a1f1b5a6b08158f06edd6c7122fbc23c7f.pdf Nominal GDP Targeting and the Taylor Rule on an Even Playing Field by David Beckworth and Josh Hendrickson https://www.mercatus.org/publications/nominal-GDP-targeting-taylor-rule
Daniel Griswold is a Mercatus Center Senior Research Fellow and Co-Director of the Program on the American Economy and Globalization at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. He joins the show to discuss the theory of trade, dating back to Adam Smith, and his work on current US trade policy. Daniel and David discuss some of the misconceptions surrounding trade and why Americans should embrace free trade instead of protectionism. This episode was originally aired on May 1, 2017. [To sign-up for Mercatus’ NGDP prediction market, go to get.mercatus.org/ngdppredictions/. Just answer a few simple questions, and you’ll receive an email invitation to start forecasting!] David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Daniel Griswold’s blog: madabouttrade.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Daniel Griswold’s Twitter: @DanielGriswold Related links: “Plumbing America’s Balance of Trade” by Daniel Griswold www.mercatus.org/publications/ame…balance-of-trade Mad About Trade: Why Main Street America Should Embrace Globalization by Daniel Griswold www.amazon.com/Mad-About-Trade-A…ion/dp/193530819X “The China Shock: Learning from Labor-Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade” by David Autor, David Dorn, & Gordon Hanson www.ddorn.net/papers/Autor-Dorn-…son-ChinaShock.pdf
Noah Smith is a Bloomberg View columnist and formerly a professor of finance at Stony Brook University. Today, he joins the show to talk about his journey into the economics blogosphere and some of his recent work on immigration into the United States. . David and Noah discuss some of the false narratives surrounding immigration as well as the impact of immigration on native workers’ wages, labor markets, and the broader economy. [To sign-up for Mercatus’ NGDP prediction market, go to https://get.mercatus.org/ngdppredictions/. Just answer a few simple questions, and you’ll receive an email invitation to start forecasting!] David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Noah’s Bloomberg View archive: https://www.bloomberg.com/view/contributors/AR3OYuAmvcU/noah-smith Noah’s blog: http://noahpinionblog.blogspot.com/ Noah’s Twitter: @Noahpinion "The Economics and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration," National Academy of Science https://www.nap.edu/catalog/23550/the-economic-and-fiscal-consequences-of-immigration
Kevin Hassett is the chair of President Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers, a former scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, a professor at Columbia University, and a Fed Economist. Kevin has also advised John McCain, George W. Bush, and Mitt Romney on their presidential campaigns. Today, he joins the show today to outline some of the big issues of the past and present facing the U.S. economy. Kevin argues that Obama administration policies exacerbated the sluggish nature of the recovery from the Great Recession and explains how he thinks President Trump’s policies on taxes, deregulation, and infrastructure will lead to stronger economic growth. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Kevin’s AEI profile: https://www.aei.org/profile/kevin-a-hassett/ Kevin’s White House profile: https://www.whitehouse.gov/cea/staff/ Related Links: 2018 Economic Report of the President https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/growing-american-economy-economic-report-president/ Obama Inconsistent on Pace of Economic Recovery by Kevin Hassett and Glenn Hubbard https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/obama-inconsistent-on-pace-of-economic-recovery/2012/08/14/45533a3c-e627-11e1-936a-b801f1abab19_story.html?utm_term=.684bf28b0d63
Brink Lindsey is the Vice President and Director of the Open Society Project at the Niskanen Center, and Steven Teles is a Professor of Political Science at Johns Hopkins University and a Senior Fellow at the Niskanen Center. Today, they join the show to discuss their new book, The Captured Economy: How the Powerful Enrich Themselves, Slow Down Growth, and Increase Inequality. For Lindsey and Teles, slow growth and inequality are “twin melees” that are harming the economy. They discuss some of the issues at the root of these problems, including excessive occupational licensing laws and zoning regulations, as well as some ways to fix them. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Brink’s Twitter: @lindsey_brink Brink’s Niskanen profile: https://niskanencenter.org/blog/staff/brink-lindsey/ Steven’s Niskanen profile: https://niskanencenter.org/blog/staff/brink-lindsey/ Related links: The Captured Economy: How the Powerful Enrich Themselves, Slow Down Growth, and Increase Inequality by Brink Lindsey and Steven Teles https://global.oup.com/academic/product/the-captured-economy-9780190627768?cc=us⟨=en&
George Selgin is the Director of the Cato Institute Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives and Professor Emeritus of Economics at the University of Georgia. Today, George joins the show to discuss the shrinking of the Fed’s balance sheet, the difference between corridor and floor systems in monetary policy, and the Fed’s practice of paying interest on excess reserves. David and George also discuss the issues of legality surrounding interest on reserves as well as why the Fed prefers a floor system to a corridor system and why George doesn’t! David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth George’s Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin George’s Alt-M Archive: https://www.alt-m.org/author/selgin/
Mike Konczal is a fellow at the Roosevelt Institute where he works on financial reform, unemployment, inequality, and a progressive vision of the economy. He has also recently co-authored a paper with J.W. Mason titled, “A New Direction for the Federal Reserve: Expanding the Monetary Policy Toolkit.” Today, Mike joins the show to discuss the progress of financial regulation, the Federal Reserve’s performance over the past decade, and new tools the Fed could utilize to better stabilize the economy in the present and future. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Mike Konczal’s Twitter: @rortybomb Mike Konczal and J.W. Mason’s Paper: http://rooseveltinstitute.org/expanding-monetary-policy-toolkit/
Neel Kashkari is President and Chief Executive Officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, and Ron Feldman is the first vice president and chief operating officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Today, they join the show to describe the Minneapolis Plan to End Too Big to Fail, the Minneapolis Fed’s proposal to end the problem of systemic risk to the economy posed by excessively large financial institutions. Neel also shares his thoughts on improving Fed transparency and monetary policy. Disclaimer: Unfortunately, we had some audio problems during the recording, but because this conversation is so important and interesting we wanted to bring it you anyway. And, if you prefer, we’ve also made a transcript, which is linked to below. Transcript of today’s conversation https://www.mercatus.org/podcasts/neel-kashkari-ron-feldman-minneapolis-plan-monetary-policy-reform The Minneapolis Plan to End Too Big to Fail https://www.minneapolisfed.org/publications/special-studies/endingtbtf Neel Kashkari’s Twitter: @neelkashkari Ron Feldman’s Twiiter: @ronjfeldman Minneapolis Fed’s Twitter: @MinneapolisFed Neel Kashkari’s Medium: https://medium.com/@neelkashkari David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth
Ángel Ubide is a Managing Director at Goldman Sachs and formerly was a Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Today, he joins the show to discuss his new book The Paradox of Risk: Leaving the Monetary Policy Comfort Zone. Ángel argues that the Federal Reserve has become too afraid to take risks when implementing new policies. Instead, he offers alternative proposals aimed to move monetary policy out of its comfort zone. David and Ángel also discuss the Eurozone crisis, the ECB, and using more effective communication, accountability, and greater transparency to minimize biases within monetary policy. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Ángel Ubide’s Twitter: @AngelUbide Ángel Ubide’s book: https://cup.columbia.edu/book/the-paradox-of-risk/9780881327199 “The Latest Central Bank Fad: Asymmetric Inflation Targeting” by David Beckworth(Bull’s Eye images of symmetric and asymmetric targets) http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/2016/01/the-latest-central-bank-fad-asymmetric.html
Jesse Eisinger is a senior reporter and editor at ProPublica as well as a Pulitzer Prize winner. Today, he joins the show to discuss his new book The Chickenshit Club: Why the Justice Department Fails to Prosecute Executives. Jesse argues that in recent years, the U.S. Justice Department has become excessively timid in prosecuting white collar crime on Wall Street and in the financial sector. David and Jesse discuss why this is a problem for the rule of law as well as some ways to reform the system. [To rate and review this podcast, go to: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/macro…d1099277290?mt=2 Then, leave your information at: www.mercatus.org/macromusings ] David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Jesse Eisinger’s Pro Publica Profile: https://www.propublica.org/people/jesse-eisinger Jesse Eisinger’s Twitter: @eisingerj Related links: The Chickenshit Club: Why the Justice Department Fails to Prosecute Executives http://www.simonandschuster.com/books/The-Chickenshit-Club/Jesse-Eisinger/9781501121364
Sarah Binder is a professor of Political Science at George Washington University and a Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution. She research focuses on Congress, Congressional development, and political parties. Mark is the founder and chief investment officer at Potomac River Capital LLC, and formerly was with the World Bank. Today, they join the show to discuss the history and politics behind the creation of the Fed as well as their new book, The Myth of Independence: How Congress Governs the Federal Reserve. [To rate an review this podcast, go to: itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/macro…d1099277290?mt=2 Then, leave your information at: www.mercatus.org/macromusings ] David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Sarah Binder's Brookings profile: https://www.brookings.edu/experts/sarah-a-binder/ Sarah Binder's Twitter: @bindersab Mark Spindel's Twitter: @potomac Related links: The Myth of Independence: How Congress Governs the Federal Reserve by Sarah Binder and Mark Spindel https://press.princeton.edu/titles/11123.html
Mike Bird is a reporter for The Wall Street Journal and covers global economics and markets from the Journal’s London office. Today, he joins the show to discuss recent developments in central banking across the world. David and Mike discuss how the Eurozone has dealt with some of the serious turmoil it has faced in recent years as well as Japan’s “Abenomics” program geared toward raising inflation and implementing structural reforms. Finally, Mike shares his thoughts on the Fed’s plan to reduce its balance sheet and what impact that will have on the global economy. [To rate an review this podcast, go to: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/macro-musings/id1099277290?mt=2 Then, leave your information at: https://www.mercatus.org/macromusings ] David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Mike Bird’s WSJ archive: https://www.wsj.com/news/author/8326 Mike Bird’s Twitter: @Birdyword Related links: “ECB Taper Promises to Set Off Ripples Across Many Markets” by Mike Bird https://www.wsj.com/articles/ecb-stimulus-unwind-could-have-broad-knock-on-effect-1508670002 “A Decade After the Crisis, King Dollar is the World’s Tyrant” by Mike Bird https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-decade-after-the-crisis-king-dollar-is-the-worlds-tyrant-1511697601
(REBROADCAST EPISODE) In this week’s special episode, David compares and contrasts the economics of the Star Wars and Star Trek universes. He is joined by Zachary Feinstein, an Assistant Professor at Washington University in St. Louis, and Manu Saadia, author of Trekonomics. Topics include the economic fallout from the destruction of the Death Star, the absence of money in Star Trek, and whether a universe can really eliminate scarcity. Original episode: https://soundcloud.com/macro-musings/feinsteinsaadia David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Manu’s Trekonomics website: trekonomics.tumblr.com/ (you can order the book, Trekonomics, here as well) Manu’s Twitter: @trekonomics Zach’s faculty profile: sites.wustl.edu/fictionomics/ Zach’s Twitter: @FictionomicsWU Related links: “It’s a Trap: Emperor Palpatine’s Poison Pill” by Zachary Feinstein arxiv.org/pdf/1511.09054.pdf “The Case for the Empire” by Jonathan Last www.weeklystandard.com/the-case-for-…/article/2540
(REBROADCAST EPISODE) In this week’s special episode, David discusses the economics of Christmas with Laura Birg, a post-doctoral researcher at the University of Goettingen, and Anna Goeddke, a professor of economics at the ESB Business School at Reutlingen University. Topics include the dead-weight loss of gift-giving, Christmas’ effects on seasonal GDP, increases in alcohol consumption, and the effect of secularization on Christmas celebrations. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Original episode: https://soundcloud.com/macro-musings/birggoeddeke Anna’s VoxEU profile: voxeu.org/users/annagoeddeke0 Anna’s Twitter: @annagoeddeke Laura’s University of Goettingen profile: www.uni-goettingen.de/en/362254.html Related links: “Christmas Economics – A Sleigh Ride” by Laura Birg and Anna Goeddke (2014) papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?a…stract_id=2526055 “The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle” by Robert Barsky and Jeffrey Miron (1988) www.nber.org/papers/w2688 “The Business Cycle Effects of Christmas” by YI Wen (2001) www.discuto.io/sites/default/fil…christmas2010.pdf We Wish you a Merry Christmas Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
Ricardo J. Caballero is a professor of economics at MIT and is widely published in the fields of macroeconomics and international economics. Today, he joins the show to discuss his work on the “Safe Assets Shortage Conundrum” and why this is important to macroeconomic growth and stability. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Ricardo Caballero’s MIT profile: https://economics.mit.edu/faculty/caball “The Safe Asset Shortage Conundrum” by Ricardo J. Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas http://www.jstor.org/stable/44321278?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents “Safe Asset Scarcity and Aggregate Demand” by Ricardo J. Caballero, Emmanuel Farhi, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.p20161108 “On the Macroeconomics of Asset Shortages” by Ricardo J. Caballero http://www.nber.org/papers/w12753
Stephen Williamson is a professor of economics at the University of Western Ontario and formerly served as a vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Today, Steve joins the show to discuss his work on “New Monetarism,” a research agenda emerging out of the monetarist tradition associated with Milton Friedman. David and Steve also discuss “Neo-Fisherism,” a counterintuitive view that higher interest rates may actually lead to higher inflation. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Stephen Williamson’s University of Western Ontario profile: http://economics.uwo.ca/people/faculty/williamson.html Stephen Williamson’s blog “New Monetarism”: http://newmonetarism.blogspot.com/ Stephen Williamson’s Twitter: @1954swilliamson Related links: “New Monetarist Economics: Models by Stephen D. Williamson and Randall Wright https://www.minneapolisfed.org/research/sr/sr443.pdf “Neo-Fisherism: A Radical Idea, or the Most Obvious Solution to the Low-Inflation Problem?” by Stephen D. Williamson https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/regional-economist/july-2016/neo-fisherism-a-radical-idea-or-the-most-obvious-solution-to-the-low-inflation-problem Macroeconomics* by Stephen D. Williamson https://www.amazon.com/Macroeconomics-5th-Stephen-D-Williamson/dp/0132991330
William A. Barnett is the Oswald Distinguished Professor of Macroeconomics at the University of Kansas and Director of the Center for Financial Stability. Today, Bill joins the show to discuss his work on better measurement of monetary aggregates in the economy. David and Bill also discuss Bill’s book Getting It Wrong, which argues that old simple-sum aggregates of the money supply are obsolete and that more sophisticated aggregates (called Divisia aggregates) are more appropriate in making decisions related to monetary policy. In Bill’s view, better financial data and better measurement of monetary aggregates would have averted the recent financial crisis. Finally, Bill also explains how he went from being a rocket scientist to a macroeconomist! David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth William Barnett’s University of Kansas profile: https://economics.ku.edu/william-barnett The Center for Financial Stability homepage: http://www.centerforfinancialstability.org/ Getting It Wrong: How Faulty Monetary Statistics Undermine the Fed, the Financial System, and the Economy by William Barnett https://mitpress.mit.edu/books/getting-it-wrong
Caroline Baum is an economics columnist at MarketWatch and formerly was a writer for Bloomberg and Dow Jones. Today, she joins the show to discuss how she became a financial journalist as a non-economics major as well as her recent columns on monetary policy and what Treasury bond yields are predicting about the future. She also shares her thoughts on why the debt ceiling should be abolished. Finally, Caroline and David discuss Jerome Powell and Fed leadership in the age of Trump. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Caroline Baum’s MarketWatch archive: https://www.marketwatch.com/topics/journalists/caroline-baum Caroline Baum’s Twitter: @cabaum1 Related links: “Bonds are from Venus; Stocks are from Mars” by Caroline Baum https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bonds-are-from-venus-stocks-are-from-mars-2017-11-14?mg=prod/accounts-mw “It’s Time to Get Rid of the Debt Ceiling” by Caroline Baum https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-time-to-get-rid-of-the-debt-ceiling-2017-09-07 “Fed Flunks Econ 101: Understanding Inflation” by Caroline Baum https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fed-flunks-econ-101-understanding-inflation-2017-10-18 “The Federal Reserve is Peddling ‘Tinkering Economics’ " by Caroline Baum https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-federal-reserve-is-peddling-tinker-bell-economics-2017-09-19
Nicholas Bloom is a professor of economics at Stanford University and is the co-director of the Productivity, Innovation and Entrepreneurship program at the National Bureau of Economic Research. Today, Nick joins the show to discuss his work on the causes and effects of economic uncertainty as well as how to measure uncertainty in an economy. David and Nick also discuss why productivity has slowed down in recent decades and why Nick is not especially optimistic that productivity will really improve anytime soon. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Nick Bloom’s Stanford University profile: https://people.stanford.edu/nbloom/ Related links: The Economic Policy Uncertainty Index http://www.policyuncertainty.com/ “Fluctuations in Uncertainty” by Nicholas Bloom http://www.nber.org/papers/w19714.pdf “Why has US Policy Uncertainty Risen since 1960?” by Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Brandice Canes-Wrone, Steven J. Davis, and Jonathan Rodden https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.104.5.56
Jeffrey Rogers Hummel is a professor of economics at San Jose State University and writes on macroeconomics and economic history. Today, Jeff joins the show to discuss his work on the Fed’s interventions during the Great Recession. He also dispels some myths about the extent to which the Fed really influences interest rates. Finally, he explains why he believes that cash plays an important role in society and why recent proposals to abolish cash are misguided. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Jeff Hummel’s San Jose State University profile: http://www.sjsu.edu/economics/faculty/jeff.hummel.html Related links: “Central Bank Control over Interest Rates: The Myth and the Reality” by Jeffery Rogers Hummel https://www.mercatus.org/publications/central-bank-control-interest-rates “Ben Bernanke vs. Milton Friedman: The Federal Reserve’s Emergence as the U.S. Economy’s Central Planner” by Jeffrey Rogers Hummel http://www.independent.org/publications/tir/article.asp?a=824 “The War on Cash: A Review of Kenneth Rogoff’s The Curse of Cash” by Jeffrey Rogers Hummel https://econjwatch.org/articles/the-war-on-cash-a-review-of-kenneth-rogoff-s-the-curse-of-cash
Douglas Irwin is a professor of economics at Dartmouth College and a leading expert on trade economics. Today, he joins the show to discuss his new book, Clashing over Commerce: A History of US Trade Policy, which examines the history of American trade policy from the late 1700s to the present. Doug explains how US attitudes toward trade evolved over time and how free trade became the postwar consensus. Specifically, Doug argues that the history of US trade policy has been guided by the “three R’s: revenue, restriction, and reciprocity.” Finally, David and Doug discuss some of Doug’s work on the gold standard and the Great Depression. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Douglas Irwin’s homepage: www.dartmouth.edu/~dirwin/ Douglas Irwin’s Twitter: @D_A_Irwin Related links: Clashing over Commerce: A History of US Trade Policy by Douglas A. Irwin http://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo24475328.html “Steve Bannon’s Bad History” by Douglas A. Irwin https://www.wsj.com/articles/steve-bannons-bad-history-1505861920 The Truth About Trade: What Critics Get Wrong About the Global Economy” (Foreign Affairs) by Douglas A. Irwin www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2016…h-about-trade Free Trade Under Fire (Princeton University Press, fourth edition 2015) by Douglas A. Irwin www.amazon.com/Free-Trade-under-…rth/dp/0691166250
Norbert Michel is the director of the Center for Data Analysis at the Heritage Foundation. Today, Norbert joins the show to discuss a new book of collected essays, which he edited, titled Prosperity Unleashed: Smarter Financial Regulation. Norbert pushes back against the narrative that deregulation caused the 2008 financial crisis and argues that excessive regulation hinders growth and actually makes the financial system less safe. He and David discuss policy recommendations made in the book, including reforming the Federal Reserve’s last-resort lending practices, converting the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) into a commission, and more. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Norbert Michel’s Heritage profile: http://www.heritage.org/staff/norbert-michel Norbert Michel’s Twitter: @norbertjmichel Related links: Prosperity Unleashed: Smarter Financial Regulation edited by Norbert J. Michel http://www.heritage.org/prosperity-unleashed “Reforming Last-Resort Lending: The Flexible Open-Market Alternative” by George Selgin http://www.heritage.org/markets-and-finance/report/reforming-last-resort-lending-the-flexible-open-market-alternative “Reforming the Financial Regulators” by Mark Calabria, Norbert Michel, and Hester Peirce http://www.heritage.org/markets-and-finance/report/reforming-the-financial-regulators “Money and Banking Provisions in the Financial CHOICE Act: A Major Step in the Right Direction” by Norbert Michel http://www.heritage.org/markets-and-finance/report/money-and-banking-provisions-the-financial-choice-act-major-step-the
Karl Smith is the director of economic research at the Niskanen Center. He joins the show to discuss his thoughts on increasing market power (the ability of firms to influence prices) in the United States. Karl argues that this is at least partially due to what he calls the “Great Variation,” the desire many Americans have had for more individualized consumer goods since the 1960s. Finally, Karl also shares his thoughts on some of President Trump’s choices for Federal Reserve chair. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Karl Smith’s Niskanen profile: https://niskanencenter.org/blog/staff/chief-economist/ Karl Smith’s Twitter: @karlbykarlsmith “Modeled Behavior”: https://www.forbes.com/sites/modeledbehavior/#661385b4a824 Related links: “Mark-Ups and Market Power” by Karl Smith https://niskanencenter.org/blog/markups-market-power/ “The Great Variation” by Karl Smith https://niskanencenter.org/blog/notes/the-great-variation/ https://niskanencenter.org/blog/notes/just-say-no-kevin-warsh/
Binyamin Appelbaum is an award-winning correspondent for the New York Times and covers the Federal Reserve and other aspects of economic policy. Today, he joins the show to discuss his work on covering the Fed and some ideas to improve Fed transparency. Binyamin also shares his thoughts on who President Trump may choose to fill vacancies on the Federal Reserve. Finally, Binyamin and David discuss what Trump’s trade policies may mean an increasingly globalized world. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Binyamin Appelbaum’s New York Times archive: https://www.nytimes.com/by/binyamin-appelbaum Binyamin’s Twitter: @BCAppelbaum Related links: “U.S. Inflation Remains Low and that’s a Problem” by Binyamin Appelbaum https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/24/us/politics/us-inflation-remains-low-and-thats-a-problem.html “Yellen and Cohn to Be on Shortlist to Lead Federal Reserve” by Binyamin Appelbaum https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/23/business/yellen-and-cohn-said-to-be-on-shortlist-for-new-head-of-the-fed.html?rref=collection%2Fbyline%2Fbinyamin-appelbaum&mtrref=www.nytimes.com&gwh=92BA8BF1D73950AA0455B7DF58B5E2FB&gwt=pay “A Look at Airbus’s Epic Assembly Line” by Binyamin Appelbaum and Christopher Payne https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/03/magazine/a-look-inside-airbuss-epic-assembly-line.html “American Companies Still Make Aluminum. In Iceland” by Binyamin Appelbaum https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/01/us/politics/american-companies-still-make-aluminum-in-iceland.html “Minorities Seen More Likely to Pay High Mortgage Rates” by Binyamin Appelbaum and Ted Millnik http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2005-09-03/news/0509030121_1_rates-for-mortgage-loans-interest-rates-lending-process
Olivier Blanchard is the C. Fred Bergsten Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and the former Director of Research at the International Monetary Fund. Today, he joins the show to discuss working at the IMF in the midst of the 2008 financial crisis and Great Recession. He also shares his thoughts on the limitations of current-day macroeconomic models as well as some suggestions to improve them. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Olivier Blanchard’s MIT profile: https://economics.mit.edu/faculty/blanchar Olivier Blanchard’s PIIE profile: https://piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/olivier-blanchard Olivier Blanchard’s Twitter: @ojblanchard1 Related links: “Do DSGE Models Have a Future?” by Olivier Blanchard https://piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/do-dsge-models-have-future “On the Need for (At Least) Five Classes of Macro Models” by Olivier Blanchard https://piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/need-least-five-classes-macro-models “Will Interest Rates Lead to Fiscal Crisis?” by Olivier Blanchard https://piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/will-rising-interest-rates-lead-fiscal-crises “Getting Serious About Wage Inflation in Japan” by Olivier Blanchard and Adam Posen https://asia.nikkei.com/Viewpoints-archive/Viewpoints/Getting-serious-about-wage-inflation-in-Japan “Monetary Policy: Science or Art?” by Olivier Blanchard https://economics.mit.edu/files/742
JW Mason is an assistant professor of economics at John Jay College and a fellow at the Roosevelt Institute. Today, he joins the show to discuss his recent paper, “What Recovery? The Case for Continued Expansionary Policy at the Fed?” JW argues that the recovery from the Great Recession was unusually weak. Furthermore, the American economy is still not at full employment, and, as a result, potential GDP is continually underestimated. In order to get the economy back to full employment, JW argues greater monetary expansion is needed. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth JW Mason’s website: http://jwmason.org/ JW’s Twitter: @JWMason1 “What Recovery? The Case for Continued Expansionary Policy at the Fed?” http://rooseveltinstitute.org/what-recovery/
Caroline Freund is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE). Previously, she served as the chief economist for the Middle East and North Africa at the World Bank. She joins the show to discuss her career in trade policy and her work on the slowdown in global trade since the Great Recession. Finally, she also shares her thought on President Trump’s trade policies. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Caroline’s PIIE profile: https://piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/caroline-freund?author_id=906 Caroline’s Bloomberg archive: https://www.bloomberg.com/view/contributors/AQnL_eq2K8M/caroline-freund Caroline’s Twitter: @CarolineFreund Related links: Rich People, Poor Countries: The Rise of Emerging-Market Tycoons and Their Mega Firms by Caroline Freund (assisted by Sarah Oliver) https://piie.com/bookstore/rich-people-poor-countries-rise-emerging-market-tycoons-and-their-mega-firms “The Global Trade Slowdown and Secular Stagnation” by Caroline Freund https://piie.com/blogs/trade-investment-policy-watch/global-trade-slowdown-and-secular-stagnation “Invest in minds, not miners” by Caroline Freund and Christine McDaniel https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-06/the-u-s-needs-to-invest-in-minds-not-miners “U.S. Needs Trade Deals, Not ‘Remedies’” by Caroline Freund https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-08-14/u-s-needs-china-trade-deals-not-remedies “The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade” by David H. Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon H. Hanson http://www.nber.org/papers/w21906 "Trump's Trade Pullout Roils Rural America" by Adam Behsudi http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/08/07/trump-tpp-deal-withdrawal-trade-effects-215459
Lawrence Summers is the Charles W. Eliot University Professor and President Emeritus of Harvard University. Previously, he served as U.S. Treasury Secretary under President Bill Clinton and Director of the National Economic Council under President Obama. In today’s episode, he joins the show to discuss his work as both an academic and a policymaker. He also shares his thoughts on monetary and fiscal policy since the recent financial crisis and Great Recession. Finally, he explains why he has recently become more open to nominal GDP targeting. You can read the transcript to the full interview here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/sya7syeqgjp1gxq/Summers_transcript.doc?dl=0 David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Lawrence Summers’ website: http://larrysummers.com/ Larry Summers’ Washington post archive: https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/lawrence-summers/?utm_term=.2cf6f67e2ce9 Larry Summers’ Twitter: @LHSummers Related links: “Inflation and Activity – Two Explorations and Their Monetary Policy Implications” by Olivier Blanchard, Eugenio Cerutti, and Lawrence Summers https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2015/wp15230.pdf “The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidation” by Antonio Fatas and Larry Summers http://www.nber.org/papers/w22374 “5 Reasons Why the Fed Might Be Making a Mistake” by Larry Summers https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/06/14/larry-summers-5-reasons-why-the-fed-may-be-making-a-mistake/?utm_term=.3e48ce5bd142 *** [Also, be sure to subscribe to Mercatus’ “Conversations with Tyler” podcast, hosted by Tyler Cowen. Tyler also interviewed Larry Summers and discussed a wide range of topics, including trade policy, immigration, asset-pricing, monopolies, and even table tennis. You can listen to that conversation here: https://soundcloud.com/conversationswithtyler/28-larry-summers-on-macroeconomics-mentorship-and-avoiding-complacency You can also find previous episodes of “Conversations with Tyler” at https://medium.com/conversations-with-tyler]
Eric Hilt is a professor of economics and economic historian at Wellesley College. Today, he joins the show to discuss his new journal article Economic History, Historical Analysis, and the “New History of Capitalism,” which examines the growing debate between economic historians and historians of capitalism over issues such as slavery and economic growth. Eric also shares his thoughts on the “Cliometric Revolution,” which transformed the way many economic historians conduct their analysis. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Eric Hilt’s Wellesley profile: http://www.wellesley.edu/economics/faculty/hilte Related links: Economic History, Historical Analysis, and the “New History of Capitalism” by Eric Hilt. Journal of Economic History, June 2017. https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/E17BEA48B930F6F25F328B5A79332A6E/S002205071700016Xa.pdf/economic_history_historical_analysis_and_the_new_history_of_capitalism.pdf Economic Effects of Runs on Early 'Shadow Banks': Trust Companies and the Impact of the Panic of 1907 by Carola Frydman, Eric Hilt, and Lily Y. Zhou. NBER, July 2012 http://www.nber.org/papers/w18264 Time on the Cross: The Economics of American Slavery by Robert Fogel and Stanley Engerman https://www.amazon.com/Time-Cross-Economics-American-Slavery/dp/0393312186 Railroads and American Economic Growth: Essays in Econometric History by Robert Fogel Old South, New South: Revolutions in the Southern Economy since the Civil War by Gavin Wright https://www.amazon.com/Old-South-New-Revolutions-Southern/dp/0807120987
JW Verret is an associate law professor at the Antonin Scalia School of Law at George Mason University and a senior affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center. Previously, he served as the chief economist on the House Financial Services Committee. Today, he joins the show to discuss his experience working on Capitol Hill and his thoughts on the CHOICE Act, the current legislation designed to replace the Dodd-Frank Act. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth JW Verret’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/j-w-verret JW Verret’s GMU profile: https://www.law.gmu.edu/faculty/directory/fulltime/verret_jw Related links: “Demystifying the Foggy Haze of Federal Reserve Policymaking” by JW Verret http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/finance/341412-demystifying-the-foggy-haze-of-federal-reserve-policymaking
Adam Millsap is an assistant director at the L. Charles Hilton Center at Florida State University and a senior affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center. Today, he joins the show to discuss how different regional economies can lead to business cycles at the regional and state levels, rather than the federal level. This creates difficulty for monetary policy at the federal level as looser monetary policy may be appropriate for states like West Virginia, but may not be appropriate for states like California. He and David also discuss the decline of inter-state labor mobility and how bad regulation deters people from moving to areas with better job prospects. Description: David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Adam Millsap’s website: http://adammillsap9.wixsite.com/personal Adam Millsap’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/adam-millsap Adam Millsap’s Twitter: @AA_Millsap Related links: “Recessions Don’t Have the Same Impact on Every City” https://www.forbes.com/sites/adammillsap/2016/07/19/recessions-dont-have-the-same-impact-on-every-city/#58f3a28478d2 “State Fiscal Rankings https://www.mercatus.org/statefiscalrankings
Betsey Stevenson is an associate professor of public policy at the University of Michigan and previously served as the chief economist at the U.S. Labor Department. Today, she joins the show to discuss her experience working at the Labor Department at a time of high unemployment as well as her more recent research on challenges in the U.S. labor market. Specifically, she talks about the problem of decreased male labor force participation and why “manly men need to do more girly jobs.” David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: https://macromusings.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Betsey Stevenson’s University of Michigan profile: http://fordschool.umich.edu/faculty/betsey-stevenson Betsey Stevenson’s Twitter: @BetseyStevenson Related links: “Manly Men Need to More Girly Jobs” by Betsey Stevenson https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-12-07/manly-men-need-to-do-more-girly-jobs “Want to Help the Economy? Learn to Trust” by Betsey Stevenson https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-07-05/want-to-help-the-economy-learn-to-trust “Trust in Public Institutions over the Business Cycle” by Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers http://users.nber.org/~bstevens/Papers/TrustinPublicInstitutions.pdf
Greg Mankiw is a professor of economics at Harvard University and served as the chair of the Council on Economic Advisers under President George W. Bush. Today, he joins the show to discuss the history of macroeconomics and how macroeconomists function as both scientists, who formulate and test theories, and as engineers, who set out to solve real world problems. Greg also shares his thoughts on the debate between the New Keynesian School and New Classical School and how that debate has shaped how we think about economics. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: macromusings.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Greg Mankiw’s Harvard profile: https://scholar.harvard.edu/mankiw/home Greg Mankiw’s blog: https://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/ Related links: “The Macroeconomist as Scientist and Engineer” by Greg Mankiw https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/mankiw/files/macroeconomist_as_scientist.pdf Macroeconomics by Greg Mankiw https://www.amazon.com/Macroeconomics-N-Gregory-Mankiw/dp/1464182892
Edward Harrison is a consultant with Global Macro Advisers and founder of the investment news blog Credit Writedowns. Today, he joins the show to discuss the political forces that led to the establishment of the Eurozone and the turmoil that has plagued it since the Great Recession. Edward also shares his thoughts on whether the Eurozone will survive. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Macro Musings podcast site: https://macromusings.com/ Edward’s blog: https://pro.creditwritedowns.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Edward Harrison’s Twitter: @edwardnh Related links: “Macron Will Need to Target Reforms Like a Laser” by Edward Harrison http://www.businessinsider.com/macron-will-need-to-target-reforms-like-a-laser-2017-5 “Some Pre-European Debt Crisis Signs are Popping Up Again” by Edward Harrison http://www.businessinsider.com/some-pre-european-debt-crisis-signs-are-popping-up-again-2017-4
In this week’s episode in front of a live audience, Scott Sumner, the director of the Program on Monetary Policy at the Mercatus Center and blogger at The Money Illusion, returns to the show to share his thoughts on the Federal Reserve’s performance from the Great Recession to the present. Scott explains how forecast targeting and price level targeting could have mitigated the economic decline in 2008 and 2009. He also shares his thoughts on how the cognitive biases of central bankers can cause them to make mistakes in evaluating the stance of monetary policy and offers some solutions to address this problem. Note: this episode was recorded as part of a special Mercatus Center event in June 2017. David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Scott’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/scott-sumner Scott's blog: www.themoneyillusion.com/ Related links: The Midas Paradox: Financial Markets, Government Policy Shocks, and the Great Depression by Scott Sumner https://www.amazon.com/Midas-Paradox-Financial-Government-Depression/dp/1598131508 “Nudging the Fed Toward a Rules-Based Policy Regime” by Scott Sumner https://www.mercatus.org/publication/nudging-fed-toward-rules-based-policy-regime “Demystifying the Fed” by Scott Sumner https://www.usnews.com/opinion/economic-intelligence/articles/2017-07-10/the-federal-reserve-needs-to-learn-from-its-monetary-mistakes “Inflation Forecasting Targeting: Implementing and Monitoring Inflation Targets” by Lars Svensson http://www.nber.org/papers/w5797
Lisa Cook is an Associate Professor of Economics at Michigan State University and formerly served as a senior economist at the Council of Economic Advisers under President Obama. Today, she joins the show to discuss her work on how the Great Recession affected households in the U.S. She also shares her thoughts on the prospects for economic development in Africa. Finally, she and David also discuss the U.S. patent system and whether the system is in need of reforms. (Note: We experienced some technical difficulties during the record of this episode. You’ll notice a slight change in audio quality around the 5 minute mark.) David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Lisa Cook’s profile: https://msu.edu/~lisacook/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Lisa Cook’s Twitter: @drlisadcook Related links: “Consumer Finance and the Financial and Economic Crises: Implications from Household Surveys in Michigan” by Lisa Cook https://msu.edu/~lisacook/mich_cons_fin_jconed_022511.pdf “Were the Nigerian Banking Reforms of 2005 A Success ... And for the Poor?” by Lisa Cook http://www.nber.org/papers/w16890 “Violence and Economic Activity: Evidence from African American Patents, 1870-1940” by Lisa Cook http://lisadcook.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/pats_paper17_1013_final_web.pdf
Ryan Cooper is a national correspondent at The Week. He joins the show to discuss how bad economic policy has hindered strong economic recovery from the Great Recession. Furthermore, Ryan argues economic anxiety stemming from the Great Recession has given rise to populist and even extremist political movements throughout the world. Finally, Ryan and David discuss the folly of limiting population growth as a means of combating climate change and how slowing population growth presents many long-term economic challenges. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Ryan Cooper’s The Week archive: http://theweek.com/authors/ryan-cooper David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Ryan Cooper’s Twitter: @ryanlcooper “The Great Recession Clearly Gave Rise to Right-Wing Populism” by Ryan Cooper http://theweek.com/articles/685813/great-recession-clearly-gave-rise-rightwing-populism “The Federal Reserve is Still Wrecking America” by Ryan Cooper http://theweek.com/articles/696914/federal-reserve-still-wrecking-america “Why America is About to Start Freaking Out about Babies” by Ryan Cooper http://theweek.com/articles/625705/why-america-about-start-freaking-about-babies
Stephen Matteo Miller is a Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. He joins the show to discuss his work on the history of financial crises as well as the evolution of the U.S. banking system since the late 1800s. Steph stresses the importance of capital requirements (how much capital or equity a bank holds relative to its liabilities) in combating financial crises. Furthermore, he argues that higher and simpler capital requirements, rather than more regulation, are the keys to a more market-disciplined banking system. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Stephen Miller’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/stephen-matteo-miller David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Stephen Miller’s Twitter: @SMatteoMiller Related links: “Ending Too-Big-to-Fail May Require More Than the Minneapolis Fed Too-Big-to-Fail Plan” by Stephen Miller https://www.mercatus.org/publications/too-big-to-fail-minneapolis-fed “A Primer on the Evolution and Complexity of Bank Regulatory Capital Standards” by Stephen Miller and James Barth https://www.mercatus.org/publications/primer-bank-regulatory-capital-standards “To Establish a More Effective Supervision of Banking”: How the Birth of the Fed Altered Bank Supervision by Eugene White http://www.nber.org/papers/w16825.pdf
Ricardo Reis is a professor of economics at the London School of Economics and the editor of the prominent Journal of Monetary Economics. He joins the show to discuss the state of macroeconomics, which has recently come under attack from many commentators who claim the discipline lacks empirical rigor and has failed to accurately forecast economic conditions. Ricardo gives a nuanced defense of macroeconomics, arguing macroeconomic research is, indeed, quite vibrant and empirical. Furthermore, he argues that although there have been shortcomings, macroeconomics has greatly improved over the past few decades in its ability to forecast and inform policy debates. David Beckworth’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Ricardo Reis’s LSE profile: http://personal.lse.ac.uk/reisr/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth “Is Something Really Wrong with Macroeconomics?” by Ricardo Reis http://personal.lse.ac.uk/reisr/papers/17-wrong.pdf “Achieving Price Stability by Manipulating the Central Bank's Payment on Reserves” by Robert Hall and Ricardo Reis http://www.nber.org/papers/w22761 “When Economics Failed” by Noah Smith https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-04-04/when-economics-failed
Matt Yglesias is a columnist and editor for the news website Vox, which he co-founded in 2014. Today, he joins the show to talk about the politics shaping Fed policy. Matt discusses why he thinks President Barack Obama’s biggest policy failure was in failing to appoint members to the Fed's Board of Governors. He also shares his thoughts on where the Left and Right currently stand on monetary issues. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Matt Yglesias’s Vox archive: https://www.vox.com/authors/matthew-yglesias David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Matt Yglesias’s Twitter: @MattYglesias Related links: “Obama’s Biggest Economic Policy Mistake” by Matt Yglesias https://www.vox.com/2014/9/17/6219247/obamas-biggest-economic-policy-mistake “Fed Up” by Matt Yglesias (Feature in Democracy: A Journal of Ideas) http://democracyjournal.org/magazine/20/fed-up/
In this week’s episode, David is joined by two guests, who make a case for economic optimism. Michael Mandel, chief economist at the Progressive Policy Institute, and Bret Swanson, president of Entropy Economics and visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, are the co-authors of the new paper, “The Coming Productivity Boom: Transforming the Physical Economy with Information.” Michael and Bret argue that, despite the slowdown in productivity of the last few decades, innovations in information technology such as artificial intelligence are going remake our economy for the better. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Michael Mandel’s homepage: http://www.progressivepolicy.org/author/mmandel/ Brett Swanson’s homepage: http://www.bretswanson.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Michael Mandel’s Twitter: @MichaelMandel Bret Swanson’s Twitter: @JBSay Related links: “The Coming Productivity Boom: Transforming the Physical Economy with Information” by Michael Mandel and Bret Swanson http://www.techceocouncil.org/clientuploads/reports/TCC%20Productivity%20Boom%20FINAL.pdf
Steven Horwitz is a professor of economics at Ball State University and a senior affiliated scholar at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. He joins the show to discuss monetary disequilibrium (the condition when the supply and demand for money are not aligned, which leads to either inflation or deflation). David and Steve also examine Austrian Business Cycle Theory – a theory of how “malinvestment” caused by bad policy leads to an unsustainable boom and inevitable bust. Steve also explains how monetary disequilibrium led to the Great Recession and offers some solutions for minimizing business cycles in the future. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Steve Horwitz’s personal website: http://myslu.stlawu.edu/~shorwitz/ Steve Horwitz’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/steven-horwitz David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Related links: Microfoundations and Macroeconomics: An Austrian Perspective by Steven Horwitz https://www.amazon.com/Microfoundations-Macroeconomics-Perspective-Steven-Horwitz/dp/0415569575 “An Introduction to U.S. Monetary Policy* by Steven Horwitz https://www.mercatus.org/publication/introduction-us-monetary-policy
Matt Klein is a columnist for the Financial Times and blogger at FT Alphaville. Today, he joins the show to discuss his work on the Eurozone, optimal currency areas, and safe assets. David and Matt examine the monetary policy problems and debt burdens facing the Eurozone area and Greece, in particular. They also chat about the possibility of the United States becoming less of an optimal currency, which would make Fed policy more challenging. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Matt Klein’s bio: https://ftalphaville.ft.com/meet-the-team#matthew-c-klein David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Matt Klein’s Twitter: @M_C_Klein Related links: “Is the United States Becoming Less of an Optimal Currency Area?” by David Beckworth http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/2017/05/is-united-states-becoming-less-of.html “Will Nevada Ever Recover from the Housing Boom?” by Matt Klein https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2017/03/06/2185515/will-nevada-ever-recover-from-the-housing-bust/ “The IMF Implies Greece Should Have Left the Euro Long Ago” by Matt Klein https://ftalphaville.ft.com/2017/02/07/2184043/the-imf-implies-greece-should-have-the-left-the-euro-long-ago/
Jay Shambaugh is a professor of economics and international affairs at The George Washington University and a former member on the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA). Today, he joins the show to discuss his work on the “Macroeconomic Trilemma” (or “Impossible Trinity”): the problem that a country cannot maintain a fixed exchange rate, free movement of capital, and an independent monetary policy all at once. He also shares stories from his time at the CEA as well as thoughts on current monetary policy both for the U.S. and the Eurozone. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Jay Shambaugh’s GW profile: https://www2.gwu.edu/~iiep/about/faculty/jshambaugh/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Jay Shambaugh’s Twitter: @JayCShambaugh Related links: “The Euro’s Three Crises” by Jay C. Shambaugh https://www.brookings.edu/bpea-articles/the-euros-three-crises/ “Financial Stability, the Trilemma, and International Reserves” by Maurice Obstfeld, Jay C. Shambaugh, & Alan M. Taylor http://www.nber.org/papers/w14217
David Schleicher is an Associate Professor of Law at Yale Law School and is an expert in election law, land use, local government law, urban development, transportation, and local regulation of the sharing economy. He joins the show to discuss his new journal article, “Stuck! The Law and Economics of Residential Stability,” which argues that government regulations, such as occupational licensing and land-use laws, have led to a significant decline in inter-state mobility. Schleicher describes the negative macroeconomic implications of this trend and explains how we can reverse it. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David Schleicher’s Yale profile: https://law.yale.edu/david-n-schleicher David Beckworth’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth David Schleicher’s Twitter: @ProfSchleich Related links: “Stuck! The Law and Economics of Residential Stability” by David Schleicher https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2896309
Paul Krugman is a Nobel Laureate in economics, a columnist at The New York Times, and a Distinguished Professor of Economics at the Graduate Center of the City University of New York. He joins the show to discuss his work on liquidity traps, Japan’s Lost Decade, and lessons from the Great Recession. Paul also explains how Isaac Asimov’s science fiction inspired him to become an economist. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Paul Krugman’s CUNY profile: https://www.gc.cuny.edu/stonecenter/Paul-Krugman Paul Krugman’s blog: https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/ Paul Krugman’s NYT archive: https://www.nytimes.com/column/paul-krugman David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Paul Krugman’s Twitter: @paulkrugman Related links: “It’s Baaack: Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap” by Kathryn M. Dominguez, Kenneth S. Rogoff, and Paul R. Krugman https://www.brookings.edu/bpea-articles/its-baaack-japans-slump-and-the-return-of-the-liquidity-trap/ "Debt, Deleveraging, and the Liquidity Trap: A Fisher-Minsky-Koo approach" by Gauti Eggertsson and Paul Krugman https://www.gc.cuny.edu/CUNY_GC/media/LISCenter/pkrugman/The-Quarterly-Journal-of-Economics-2012-Eggertsson-1469-513.pdf “The New York Economic Geography, Now Middle-Aged” by Paul Krugman https://www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/aag.pdf Global Inequality: A New Approach for the Age of Globalization by Branko Milanovic http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674737136
Ethan Ilzetzki is an assistant professor of economics at the London School of Economics and a research affiliate at the Centre for Economic Policy Research. He joins the show to discuss exchange rate regimes, anchor currencies, and the new Triffin dilemma. Ethan points out how the U.S. dollar is connected to a staggering 70 percent of global GDP. David and Ethan discuss what the dollar’s dominant role in the global economy means for U.S. monetary policy, both at home and abroad. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Ethan Ilzetzki’s LSE profile: http://personal.lse.ac.uk/ilzetzki/index.htm/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Ethan Ilzetzki’s Twitter: @ilzetzki Related links: “Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold?” by Ethan Ilzetzki (with Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff) http://personal.lse.ac.uk/ilzetzki/index.htm/Research/Ilzetzki&Reinhart&Rogoff.pdf “How Big (Small?) are Fiscal Multipliers?” by Ethan Ilzetzki (with Enrique G. Mendoza and Carlos A. Vegh) http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030439321200116X
Daniel Griswold is a Mercatus Center Senior Research Fellow and Co-Director of the Program on the American Economy and Globalization at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. He joins the show to discuss the theory of trade, dating back to Adam Smith, and his work on current US trade policy. Daniel and David discuss some of the misconceptions surrounding trade and why Americans should embrace free trade instead of protectionism. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Daniel Griswold’s blog: https://madabouttrade.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Daniel Griswold’s Twitter: @DanielGriswold Related links: “Plumbing America’s Balance of Trade” by Daniel Griswold https://www.mercatus.org/publications/american-balance-of-trade Mad About Trade: Why Main Street America Should Embrace Globalization by Daniel Griswold https://www.amazon.com/Mad-About-Trade-America-Globalization/dp/193530819X “The China Shock: Learning from Labor-Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade” by David Autor, David Dorn, & Gordon Hanson http://www.ddorn.net/papers/Autor-Dorn-Hanson-ChinaShock.pdf
Josh Zumbrun is a national economics correspondent for the Wall Street Journal. David and Josh discuss what seems to be the diminished status of economists in a populist era and what role economists will play in the Trump Administration. Josh also shares his thoughts on life as an economics journalist in the digital age. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Josh Zumbrun’s WSJ archive: http://topics.wsj.com/person/Z/josh-zumbrun/7972 David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Josh Zumbrun’s Twitter: @JoshZumbrun Related links: “How to Restore Faith in Economics” by Noah Smith https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-03-15/how-to-restore-faith-in-economics “Donald Trump’s Cabinet Won’t Include Chairman of CEA” by Josh Zumbrun https://www.wsj.com/articles/donald-trumps-cabinet-wont-include-chairman-of-cea-1486670755?tesla=y
In this week’s episode, Jim Bullard, the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, joins the show to discuss his work as a Federal Reserve executive and as a researcher in monetary policy. Bullard shares his thoughts on why inflation has been so persistently low since 2008 and whether the Fed should pursue a more symmetric inflation target. He and David also discuss the Fed’s plans for monetary policy in 2017. In Bullard’s view, the Fed should focus on reducing its balance sheet before it turns to raising rates further. (Note: this episode was recorded on April 5, 2017) Interview transcript: https://www.mercatus.org/podcasts/04172017/macro-musings-53-james-bullard-federal-reserve David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Jim Bullard’s Federal Reserve profile: https://www.stlouisfed.org/from-the-president David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth St. Louis Fed’s Twitter: @stlouisfed Related links: “Comments on the FOMC's Amendments to Its Statement on Longer-Run Goals” by James Bullard https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2016/february/bullard-comments-fomc-amendments-statement-longer-run-goals “Current Monetary Policy, the New Fiscal Policy and the Fed’s Balance Sheet” by James Bullard https://www.stlouisfed.org/~/media/Files/PDFs/Bullard/remarks/Bullard_Economic_Club_of_Memphis_24_Mar_2017.pdf?la=en “Everything the Market Thinks About Inflation Might be Wrong” by Jon Sindreu (Wall Street Journal) https://www.wsj.com/articles/everything-the-market-thinks-about-inflation-might-be-wrong-1488796206 “As Debate Rages, Simple Analogy Shows How Fed Controls Inflation” by David Beckworth (The Hill) http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/economy-budget/324054-as-debate-rages-simple-analogy-shows-how-central-banks-still-control The Dallas Fed Trimmed Mean Inflation Rate https://www.dallasfed.org/research/pce
Tyler Cowen is a professor of economics at George Mason University as well as the general director of the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. He joins the show to discuss his new book, The Complacent Class: The Self-Defeating Quest for the American Dream. Tyler argues that restlessness and willingness to take risks have been key traits throughout American history. However, in the last few decades, American society has become more risk-averse. While we may have become more comfortable with less risk-taking, this complacency has led to less innovation and dynamism in the economy. Such stasis is causing economic stagnation and other woes throughout the United States. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Tyler Cowen’s blog: http://marginalrevolution.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Tyler Cowen’s Twitter: @tylercowen Related links: The Complacent Class: The Self-Defeating Quest for the American Dream by Tyler Cowen https://www.amazon.com/Complacent-Class-Self-Defeating-Quest-American/dp/1250108691 How Complacent Are You? Take the Quiz! http://tylercowen.com/complacent-class-quiz/ “Why the Global Shortage of Safe Assets Matters” by David Beckworth http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/2011/12/why-global-shortage-of-safe-assets.html "The Making of Hawks and Doves: Inflation Experiences on the FOMC" by Ulrike Malmendier, Stefan Nagel, and Zhen Yan http://www.nber.org/papers/w23228
George Selgin, director of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives, returns to Macro Musings to discuss his new proposal to reform how the Fed conducts open-market operations. He proposes abolishing the current primary dealer system and expanding the Fed’s number of counterparties. David and George also discuss the Fed’s plans for 2017 and whether it will seek to reduce its large balance sheet. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ George Selgin’s Cato archive: www.cato.org/people/george-selgin George Selgin’s Alt-M archive: https://www.alt-m.org/author/selgin/ (contains George’s monetary policy primer posts) David’s Twitter: twitter.com/DavidBeckworth George Selgin’s Twitter: twitter.com/georgeselgin Related links: Money: Free and Unfree by George Selgin https://www.amazon.com/Money-Free-Unfree-George-Selgin/dp/1944424296 “Reforming Last-Resort Lending: The Flexible Open-Market Alternative” by George Selgin (as part of Prosperity Unleashed: Smarter Financial Regulation published by the Heritage Foundation) http://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2017-02/13_ProsperityUnleashed_Chapter13.pdf
Steve Hanke is a professor of applied economics and co-director of the Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise at The Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. He is also a senior fellow and director of the Troubled Currencies Project at the Cato Institute. Steve joins the show to discuss his work on the history of hyperinflations. David and Steve discuss what exactly constitutes hyperinflation as well as historical examples of hyperinflation from 1940s Hungary to present-day Venezuela. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Steve Hanke’s Cato profile: https://www.cato.org/people/steve-hanke David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Steve Hanke’s Twitter: @steve_hanke Related links: Venezuela Enters the Record Book: the 57th Entry in the Hanke-Krus World Hyperinflation Table (contains full list of world hyperinflations) https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/articles/hanke-sae-december-2016.pdf
Jeffrey Frankel is a professor and economist at Harvard University and the director of the Program in International Finance and Macroeconomics at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). He joins the show to discuss serving on the NBER’s Business Cycle Dating Committee, which officially declares the start and end of recessions. David and Jeff also discuss the monetary history of the Plaza Accord, an international agreement in 1985 to devalue the U.S. dollar. Jeff also shares his thoughts on globalization in the past few decades and current-day challenges facing it. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Jeff Frankel’s Harvard profile: https://www.hks.harvard.edu/about/faculty-staff-directory/jeffrey-frankel Jeff Frankel’s NBER publications: http://www.nber.org/authors/jeffrey_frankel David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Related links: “Globalization of the Economy” by Jeffrey Frankel https://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/jfrankel/NyeGlobWPwFigPost.pdf “Globalization and Chinese Growth: End of Trends” by Jeffrey Frankel http://scholar.harvard.edu/frankel/publications/globalization-and-chinese-growth-ends-trends “The Plaza Accord: 30 Years Later” by Jeffrey Frankel https://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/jfrankel/PlazaAccord-PIIE2016.pdf
Jason Furman is a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Previously, he served as the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers under President Obama. He joins the show to reflect on his time in the Obama Administration. Among other things, Jason and David discuss the efficacy of fiscal policy, the fiscal multiplier, and whether the platinum coin was ever seriously considered. They also discuss the problem of declining male labor force participation, its causes, and possible solutions. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Jason Furman’s PIIE profile: https://piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/jason-furman David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Jason Furman’s Twitter: @jasonfurman Related links: “The New View of Fiscal Policy and Its Application” by Jason Furman http://voxeu.org/article/new-view-fiscal-policy-and-its-application “The Long-Term Decline in US Prime-Age Male Labor Force Participation” by Jason Furman http://voxeu.org/article/long-term-decline-us-prime-age-male-labour-force-participation-and-policies-address-it
Larry White is a professor of economics at George Mason University and has written widely on monetary theory, free banking, and the Austrian School of Economics. Today, he joins the show to discuss the recent demonetization efforts in India to crack down on corruption. White argues that India’s efforts to end the circulation of large notes and begin the circulation of new notes is having pernicious effects on the Indian population. He and David also discuss Austrian Business Cycle Theory, how this theory was developed by great economists such as Ludwig von Mises, and how the theory may have played a role in the lead up to the Great Recession. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Larry White’s GMU profile: http://economics.gmu.edu/people/lwhite11 Larry White’s Alt-M archive: https://www.alt-m.org/author/white/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Larry White’s Twitter: @lawrencehwhite1 Related links: “India’s Currency Cancellation: Seigniorage and Cantillon Effects” by Larry White and Shruti Rajagopalan https://www.alt-m.org/2016/11/28/indias-currency-cancellation-seigniorage-and-cantillon-effects/ Free Banking in Britain: Theory, Experience and Debate 1800-1845 by Larry White https://www.amazon.com/Free-Banking-Britain-Experience-1800-1845/dp/0255363753 The Clash of Economic Ideas: The Great Policy Debates and Experiments of the Last Hundred Years by Larry White https://www.amazon.com/Clash-Economic-Ideas-Debates-Experiments/dp/110762133X The Theory of Money and Credit by Ludwig von Mises https://www.amazon.com/Theory-Money-Credit-Ludwig-Mises/dp/1442175958
Tim Duy is a professor of economics at the University of Oregon and a widely read “Fed Watcher.” Today, he joins the show to discuss writing on the Federal Reserve and how to interpret statements from Fed officials. In particular, Tim stresses the importance of the Fed Chair’s post-FOMC meeting press conferences. He also warns against taking too much stock in FOMC minutes. David and Tim also discuss the proper role of the Fed’s balance sheet in stabilizing monetary policy. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Tim Duy’s homepage: http://pages.uoregon.edu/duy/ Tim’s “Fed Watch” blog: http://economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/ Tim’s Bloomberg archive: https://www.bloomberg.com/view/contributors/AC6KX2KfHjM/timothy-a-duy David’s Twtter: @davidbeckworth Tim’s Twitter: @TimDuy
Hester Peirce is a Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University and director of Mercatus’ Financial Markets Working Group. She joins the show to discuss the new Mercatus book, Reframing Financial Regulation: Enhancing Stability and Protecting Consumers, which she coedited. The book examines the problems with the United States’ current financial regulation regime (including the Dodd-Frank Act) and offers alternative policies that rely less on a centralized regulation and more on market discipline. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Hester’s Mercatus profile: https://www.mercatus.org/hester-peirce David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Hester’s Twitter: @HesterPeirce Reframing Financial Regulation: Enhancing Stability and Protecting Consumers edited by Hester Peirce and Benjamin Klutsey https://www.mercatus.org/publications/reframing-financial-regulation
Sebastian Mallaby is a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a contributing columnist for the Washington Post. Today, he joins the show to discuss his new book, The Man Who Knew: the Life and Times of Alan Greenspan, a biography of the former Fed Chairman. Sebastian describes Greenspan’s humble origins, his rise to power, and his public career that spanned several decades. David and Sebastian discuss the degree to which Greenspan should be praised for the economic stability of the Great Moderation and blamed for the Great Recession. They also chat about Greenspan’s musical talents, his relationship with Ayn Rand, and his reputation as a “ladies man.” David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Sebastian’s bio: http://www.cfr.org/experts/financial-crises-regional-security-economics/sebastian-mallaby/b4452 Sebastian’s Washington Post archive: http://www.cfr.org/experts/financial-crises-regional-security-economics/sebastian-mallaby/b4452 David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Sebastian Mallaby: @scmallaby The Man Who Knew: the Life and Times of Alan Greenspan by Sebastian Mallaby http://www.cfr.org/international-finance/man-knew/p37530
Eswar Prasad is the Tolani Senior Professor of Trade Policy and Professor of Economics at Cornell University and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. He joins the show to discuss his new book, Gaining Currency: The Rise of the Renminbi, which examines the rise of China’s currency, the renminbi (RMB), and its role in global finance. Prasad argues that the RMB is on the road to becoming a reserve currency, but it will not challenge the US dollar’s dominance as a safe haven currency. David and Eswar also discuss China’s interesting history as the first country with paper money and a fiat currency. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Eswar’s Cornell homepage: http://prasad.dyson.cornell.edu/ Eswar’s Brookings homepage: https://www.brookings.edu/experts/eswar-prasad/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Eswar’s Twitter: @EswarSPrasad Related links: Gaining Currency: The Rise of the Renminbi by Eswar S. Prasad https://global.oup.com/academic/product/gaining-currency-9780190631055?cc=us⟨=en&
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde is a professor of economics and director of graduate studies of economics at the University of Pennsylvania. He joins the show to discuss both his extensive work in economic history as well as macroeconomic modeling. David and Jesus discuss the economic history of Germany in the 1920s and 1930s and the events that led to the rise of the Nazis as well as more recent events such as the struggles facing the Eurozone. They also discuss debates surrounding the usefulness of current-day macroeconomic models. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Jesus’ webpage: http://economics.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Related links: “The econometrics of DSGE models” by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde http://economics.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/econometricsDSGE.pdf “Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences and Stochastic Volatility” by Dario Caldara, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Juan Rubio-Ramirez, and Wen Yao https://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/2012/201204/201204pap.pdf “The Trouble with Macroeconomics” by Paul Romer https://paulromer.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/WP-Trouble.pdf
Gauti Eggertsson is a professor of economics at Brown University. Previously, he worked at the research departments at the International Monetary Fund and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He joins the show to discuss his work on the history of liquidity traps and extremely low and even negative interest rates. He and David discuss examples from the Great Depression to Japan in the 1990s to today. Gauti also shares his thoughts on the Fed’s quantitative easing (QE) program and why it failed to return the economy back to normal. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Gauti’s Brown University homepage: https://sites.google.com/site/gautieggertsson/home David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Related links: “The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy” by Gauti Eggertsson and Michael Woodford https://www.brookings.edu/bpea-articles/the-zero-bound-on-interest-rates-and-optimal-monetary-policy/ “Great Expectations and the End of the Depression” by Gauti Eggertsson https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/sr234.pdf “The Fed’s Dirty Little Secret” by David Beckworth http://people.wku.edu/david.beckworth/fed_dirty.pdf “Japan’s Trap” by Paul Krugman https://www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/japans_trap.pdf
Anat Admati is the George G.C. Parker Professor of Finance and Economics at Stanford University’s Graduate School of Business and co-author of the book, The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking and What to Do About It. She joins the show to discuss her book, which argues that America’s banking system continues to be dangerously fragile even in the aftermath of the Dodd-Frank Act. Anat argues that banks take on too much leverage and that they should be required to hold more equity. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Anat’s Stanford profile: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/faculty/anat-r-admati David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Anat’s Twitter: @anatadmati Related: The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking and What to Do About It by Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig http://bankersnewclothes.com/ Anat’s paper, “It Takes a Village to Maintain a Dangerous Financial System” http://bankersnewclothes.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Takes-a-Village-May-2016.pdf
In this week’s special episode recorded in front of a live audience, David interviews the renowned monetary economist, Allan Meltzer. Meltzer, a professor of political economy at Carnegie Mellon University and one of the founders of the monetarist school of thought discusses his long career in academia and policy. David and Allan also discuss current central bank policy, both in the United States and abroad, and how monetary policy can become more rules-based. Finally, Allan also argues many of our current economic problems are real, not nominal, and he hopes a Trump Administration can address some of these woes. Note: this episode took place before the December 2016 interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Allan Meltzer’s bio: http://tepper.cmu.edu/our-faculty-and-research/about-our-faculty/faculty-profiles/am05/meltzer-allan David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Related links: “A History of the Federal Reserve (Volumes I and II)” by Allan Meltzer (University of Chicago Press) http://www.press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/H/bo3634061.html http://www.press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/H/bo6887672.html “Keynes’s Monetary Theory: A Different Interpretation” by Allan Meltzer (Cambridge University Press) https://www.amazon.com/Keyness-Monetary-Theory-Different-Interpretation/dp/0521022754
Ylan Mui covers White House economic policy for the Washington Post. Previously, she covered the Federal Reserve. Today, she joins the show to discuss what it is like to attend Fed press conferences and write on the technical nuances of Fed policy. David and Ylan also discuss what a Trump Administration might mean for economic issues ranging from trade to infrastructure spending to monetary policy. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Ylan’s archive: https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/ylan-q-mui/ David's Twitter: @davidbeckworth Ylan's Twitter: @ylanmui
In this week’s special episode, David discusses the economics of Christmas with Laura Birg, a post-doctoral researcher at the University of Goettingen, and Anna Goeddke, a professor of economics at the ESB Business School at Reutlingen University. Topics include the dead-weight loss of gift-giving, Christmas’ effects on seasonal GDP, increases in alcohol consumption, and the effect of secularization on Christmas celebrations. [Note: We will be taking a break next week for the holidays, but we will be back the following Monday, January 2, with the Washington Post’s Ylan Mui!] David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Anna’s VoxEU profile: http://voxeu.org/users/annagoeddeke0 Anna’s Twitter: @annagoeddeke Laura’s University of Goettingen profile: https://www.uni-goettingen.de/en/362254.html Related links: “Christmas Economics – A Sleigh Ride” by Laura Birg and Anna Goeddke (2014) https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2526055 “The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle” by Robert Barsky and Jeffrey Miron (1988) http://www.nber.org/papers/w2688 “The Business Cycle Effects of Christmas” by YI Wen (2001) https://www.discuto.io/sites/default/files/christmas2010.pdf We Wish you a Merry Christmas Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/
In this week’s special episode, David compares and contrasts the economics of the Star Wars and Star Trek universes. He is joined by Zachary Feinstein, an Assistant Professor at Washington University in St. Louis, and Manu Saadia, author of Trekonomics. Topics include the economic fallout from the destruction of the Death Star, the absence of money in Star Trek, and whether a universe can really eliminate scarcity. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Manu’s Trekonomics website: https://trekonomics.tumblr.com/ (you can order the book, Trekonomics, here as well) Manu’s Twitter: @trekonomics Zach’s faculty profile: https://sites.wustl.edu/fictionomics/ Zach’s Twitter: @FictionomicsWU Related links: “It’s a Trap: Emperor Palpatine’s Poison Pill” by Zachary Feinstein https://arxiv.org/pdf/1511.09054.pdf “The Case for the Empire” by Jonathan Last http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-case-for-the-empire/article/2540
Peter Conti-Brown is an Assistant Professor at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He joins the show to discuss his new book, The Power and Independence of the Federal Reserve, which exams the evolution of the Federal Reserve and what central bank independence really means. Peter also shares his thoughts on what a Trump presidency might mean for monetary policy. David’s bio: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Peter’s UPenn bio: https://lgst.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/30645/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Peter’s Twitter: @PeterContiBrown Related links: The Power and Independence of the Federal Reserve by Peter Conti-Brown https://www.amazon.com/Power-Independence-Federal-Reserve/dp/0691164002 America’s Bank: The Epic Struggle to Create the Federal Reserve by Roger Lowenstein https://www.amazon.com/Americas-Bank-Struggle-Federal-Reserve/dp/1594205493
JP Koning is an economic consultant and writer. He joins the show to discuss fascinating stories in monetary history in Libya, Zimbabwe, and Switzerland. He also shares his thoughts on Blockchain technology and Fedcoin, a hypothetical cryptocurrency stabilized by the Federal Reserve. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ JP’s blog “Moneyness”: http://jpkoning.blogspot.com/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth JP’s Twitter: @JP_Koning Related links: “What Happens When a Central Bank Splits in Two?” by JP Koning http://jpkoning.blogspot.com/2016/06/what-happens-when-central-bank-is-split.html “A Modern Example of Gresham’s Law” by JP Koning http://jpkoning.blogspot.com/2016/11/a-modern-example-of-greshams-law.html “Fedcoin” by JP Koning http://jpkoning.blogspot.ca/2014/10/fedcoin.html
Mark Calabria is the director of Financial Regulation Studies at the Cato Institute. Before joining Cato in 2009, he worked as a member of the senior staff of the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. He joins the show to discuss working on Capitol Hill amidst the 2008 financial crisis. Mark also discusses his recent Cato paper where he argues insights from behavioral economics suggest monetary policy should be more rules-based. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Mark’s Cato Institute profile: https://www.cato.org/people/mark-calabria Mark’s Alt-M archive: http://www.alt-m.org/author/calabria/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Mark’s Twitter: @markcalabria Related links: “Yes, the Fed has a Diversity Problem” by Mark Calabria https://www.cato.org/blog/yes-federal-reserve-has-diversity-problem “Behavioral Economics and Fed Policymaking” by Mark Calabria https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/2016/9/cj-v36n3-6.pdf
Roger Farmer is a Distinguished Professor of Economics at UCLA. He joins the show to discuss his new book, Prosperity for All: How to Prevent Financial Crises. He and David also discuss his criticism of the natural rate of unemployment hypothesis, an important proposition in mainstream macroeconomics. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Roger’s personal website: http://www.rogerfarmer.com/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Roger’s Twitter: @farmerrf Related links: Roger’s UCLA profile http://www.econ.ucla.edu/faculty/regular/Farmer.html Prosperity for All: How to Prevent Financial Crises by Roger Farmer https://global.oup.com/academic/product/prosperity-for-all-9780190621438?cc=us⟨=en& “The Natural Rate Hypthesis: An Idea Past Its Sell-by Date” by Roger Farmer http://www.nber.org/papers/w19267
Mark Koyama is an Assistant Professor of Economics at George Mason University and a Senior Fellow at George Mason University’s Mercatus Center. He joins the show to discuss his research on the economic history of ancient Rome from the rise of the Roman Republic to the transition to the Roman Empire to the Empire’s eventual fall. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Mark’s Medium page: https://medium.com/@MarkKoyama Mark’s GMU profile: http://economics.gmu.edu/people/mkoyama2 David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Mark’s Twitter: @MarkKoyama Related links: “The Roman Market Economy” by Peter Temin (2012, Princeton University Press) http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9896.html “Peter Temin and the Malthusian Hypothesis for the Limits of Roman Growth” by Mark Koyama https://medium.com/@MarkKoyama/peter-temin-and-the-malthusian-hypothesis-for-the-limits-of-roman-growth-12489edce93a#.ijytapey2 “Why did the Roman Economy Decline?” by Mark Koyama https://medium.com/art-marketing/why-did-the-roman-economy-decline-225deada66ea#.xnwksin86
Rüdiger (Rudi) Bachmann is a Stepan Family Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Notre Dame. He joins the show to discuss the economic history of his native Germany. David and Rudi also discuss how the German approach to macroeconomics is distinctly different from the approach taken in the United States. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Rudi’s Notre Dame webpage: https://www3.nd.edu/~rbachman/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Related links: Rudi on his work on economic uncertainty: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6XDlzBgf1uE NYT Upshot Article: “How Economists Came to Dominate the Conversation” http://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/24/upshot/how-economists-came-to-dominate-the-conversation.html?_r=0 Peter Bofinger’s Vox EU article: “German Macroeconomics: The Long Shadow of Walter Eucken” http://voxeu.org/article/german-macroeconomics-long-shadow-walter-eucken
Narayana Kocherlakota is the Lionel W. McKenzie Professor of Economics at the University of Rochester, and he previously served as president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. He joins the show to discuss to discuss what it is like working as a Fed president and a member of the Federal Open Market Committee. He also shares some of his thoughts on the drawbacks of current proposals on establishing monetary rules. David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Narayana’s website: https://sites.google.com/site/kocherlakota009/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Narayana’s Twitter: @kocherlakota009 Related links: Narayana’s profile, speeches, and articles as Fed president: https://www.minneapolisfed.org/about/more-about-the-fed/presidents-of-the-minneapolis-fed/narayana-kocherlakota Narayana’s Bloomberg archive: https://www.bloomberg.com/view/contributors/APvwpZqjDaA/narayana-kocherlakota/articles Narayana’s Brookings article: Rules vs. Discretion: A Reconsideration https://www.brookings.edu/bpea-articles/rules-versus-discretion-a-reconsideration/ Responses to the Brookings article by John Taylor and George Selgin: https://economicsone.com/2016/09/17/kocherlakota-on-the-fed-and-the-taylor-rule/ http://www.alt-m.org/2016/09/22/rules-discretion-audacity-critique-kocherlakota/
Izabella Kaminska is a writer for the Financial Times at its premier blog, FT Alphaville. She joins the show to discuss her work on blockchain technology as well as current proposals on monetary and fiscal policy. Finally, Izabella and David, who are both big sci-fi fans, talk about economics in the Star Trek and Star Wars sagas. David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Izabella Kaminska’s Twitter: @izakaminska David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Izabella Kaminska’s FT bio and archive: http://ftalphaville.ft.com/meet-the-team/izabella-kaminska/ Related links: “You see, money doesn’t exist in the 24th century” – Izabella Kaminska http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2015/10/12/2142030/you-see-money-doesnt-exist-in-the-24th-century/ Even lower rates? “Thanks but no thanks” say banks everywhere – Izabella Kaminska http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2016/07/11/2168870/even-lower-rates-thanks-but-no-thanks-say-banks-everywhere/ Trekonomics: The Economics of Star Trek – Manu Saadia https://www.amazon.com/Trekonomics-Economics-Star-Manu-Saadia/dp/1941758754 It’s a Trap: Emperor Palpatine’s Poison Pill – Zachary Feinstein https://arxiv.org/pdf/1511.09054.pdf
Claudio Borio is the director of the monetary and economic department at the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). He joins the show to discuss his career in monetary policy, banking, and macroprudential regulation. In particular, he and David discuss problems afflicting the Eurozone and how to address massive financial imbalances across the world. David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Claudio’s bio and research: https://www.bis.org/author/claudio_borio.htm David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Related links: “Revisiting Three Intellectual Pillars of Monetary Policy” by Claudio Borio http://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-journal/2016/5/cj-v36n2-1.pdf
Andrew Levin is a professor of economics at Dartmouth College and a former Federal Reserve Board economist. For two years, he worked as a special adviser to Chairman Ben Bernanke and Vice Chair Janet Yellen. He joins the podcast to discuss his experiences at the Fed and the need for more accountability. His ideas include increasing transparency, setting term limits, and fostering diversity of thought and background among its members. David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Andy Levin’s Twitter: @AndrewTLevin David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Andy Levin’s bio: http://www.dartmouth.edu/~alevin/ Related links: Dartmouth College Q&A with Professor Andy Levin http://www.thedartmouth.com/article/2016/09/qa-with-economics-professor-andrew-levin How Andy proposes to reform the Fed: http://www.businessinsider.com/andrew-levins-4-radical-fed-changes-2016-4 http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-04-11/former-yellen-adviser-proposes-sweeping-reform-of-fed-system http://www.wsj.com/articles/former-fed-adviser-activists-lay-out-a-plan-for-change-at-the-fed-1460400788 https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomchistorical2008.htm
Morgan Ricks is a law professor at Vanderbilt University and an expert on financial regulation. From 2009-2010, he was a senior policy adviser at the U.S. Treasury Department where he focused on financial stability initiatives. Morgan joins the show to discuss his new book, “The Money Problem: Rethinking Financial Regulation,” which argues that shadow banking institutions create large sums of private sector money through issuing short-term debt. This rapid expansion creates instability to the financial system and to the broader economy. To solve this problem, Morgan proposes that only properly chartered, FDIC-insured banks be allowed to issue short-term liabilities. Although there may be more bureaucracy in insuring the financial system under this proposal, Morgan argues there would be less need for higher capital requirements and other regulations. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Morgan Ricks’ Vanderbilt profile: http://law.vanderbilt.edu/bio/morgan-ricks David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Morgan Ricks’ Twitter: @MorganRicks1 Related links: The Money Problem: Rethinking Financial Regulation https://www.amazon.com/Money-Problem-Rethinking-Financial-Regulation/dp/022633032X David’s review of The Money Problem in National Review (gated) https://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2016-09-12-0100/morgan-ricks-the-money-problem “A Simpler Approach to Financial Reform” by Morgan Ricks http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2316900 “A Former Treasury Adviser on How to Really Fix Wall Street” by Morgan Ricks in The New Republic https://newrepublic.com/article/98659/wall-street-term-out-panic
Ryan Avent is an economics columnist for The Economist and author of the new book, The Wealth of Humans: Work, Power, and Status in the Twenty-First Century. He joins the show to discuss his new book, which explores how the Digital Revolution is dramatically changing the economy and our lives. He also discusses how he previously worked at the Bureau of Labor Statistics and as a private sector consultant before moving to journalism. Finally, David and Ryan talk about economic angst both in the United States and abroad as well as some sound macroeconomic policies to address this. David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Ryan Avent’s Twitter: @ryanavent Ryan Avent’s website: http://www.ryanavent.com/blog/?page_id=6 Related links: http://www.economist.com/ https://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Humans-Status-Twenty-first-Century/dp/1250075807
Michael D. Bordo is a professor of economics and the director of the Center for Monetary and Financial History at Rutgers University, a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution, and a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. He has also been a visiting scholar at numerous central banks across the world. Michael, a prolific scholar, joins the show to discuss a long career in monetary economics, including his research with the legendary Anna Schwartz. He shares his thoughts on the Great Recession and how it compares with the Great Depression. Additionally, he challenges the notion that financial crises like the 2007-2009 crisis are necessarily followed by slow recoveries. David and Michael also chat about the history of American banking law and how restrictions on interstate-branch banking until the 1990s hindered economic growth. Finally, Michael gives some advice about how to be a successful monetary historian! David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Michael Bordo’s homepage: https://sites.google.com/site/michaelbordo/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Related links: Michael Bordo in The Wall Street Journal: “Financial Recessions Don’t Lead to Weak Recessions” http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10000872396390444506004577613122591922992 “A Lesson from the Great Depression that the Fed Might have Learned: A Comparison of the 1932 Open Market Purchases with Quantitative Easing” http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/S01_P1_Arunima-Sinha.pdf “A Fiscal Union for the Euro: Some Lessons from History” http://www.nber.org/papers/w17380 “Under What Circumstances can Inflation be a Solution to Excessive National Debt: Some Lessons from History” http://docplayer.net/6583440-Under-what-circumstances-can-inflation-be-a-solution-to-excessive-national-debt-some-lessons-from-history.html
Peter Ireland is the Murray and Monti Professor of Economics at Boston College, a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a member of the Shadow Open Market Committee. He joins the show to discuss his experience as a student at the University of Chicago as well as the nuts and bolts of how the Federal Reserve sets out to achieve its short-, medium-, and long-term objectives. David and Peter also discuss the role of monetary aggregates in monetary policy. Economists largely don’t pay much attention to the traditional simple-sum measures of the money supply anymore, but Ireland argues that more complex measures of money, called Divisia indices, can teach us a lot about the stance of monetary policy. [To learn more about the upcoming conference, Monetary Rules for a Post-Crisis World, co-hosted by the Mercatus Center and the Cato Institute, and register, please click the link below. You can also watch the conference online by clicking the link.] http://mercatus.org/content/register-monetary-rules-post-crisis-world David’s blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Peter Ireland’s personal website: https://www2.bc.edu/peter-ireland/ Peter Ireland’s Boston college profile: http://www.bc.edu/schools/cas/economics/faculty-and-staff/faculty-listing/peter-ireland.html David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Peter Ireland’s Twitter: @PIrelandatBC Related links: The Shadow Open Market Committee http://shadowfed.org/ A “Working” Solution to the Question of Nominal GDP Targeting by Peter Ireland and Michael Belongia https://dlib.bc.edu/islandora/object/bc-ir:103357/datastream/PDF/view
Hugh Rockoff is a professor of economics at Rutgers University and has done extensive work in U.S. monetary history. He joins the show to discuss the criteria for an ideal monetary union and argues that the U.S. didn’t really become an optimal currency area until the 1930s. David and Hugh then discuss whether a present-day example, the Eurozone, fits these criteria. They also talk about interesting chapters in U.S. monetary history, including the Civil War, the Free Banking Era, and the bimetallism debate of the late 1800s. [To learn more about the upcoming conference, Monetary Rules for a Post-Crisis World, co-hosted by the Mercatus Center and the Cato Institute, and register, please click the link below. You can also watch the conference online by clicking the link.] http://mercatus.org/monetaryconference?utm_source=MacroMusingsPodcast&utm_medium=link&utm_campaign=MonetaryRules David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Hugh Rockoff’s homepage: http://econweb.rutgers.edu/rockoff/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Related links History of the American Economy by Hugh Rockoff and Gary M. Walton https://www.amazon.com/History-American-Economy-Economics-Titles/dp/1111822921 “How Long Did It Take the United States to Become an Optimal Currency Area?” (National Bureau of Economic Research) http://www.nber.org/papers/h0124 “The Wizard of Oz as a Monetary Allegory” (The Journal of Political Economy) https://www.unc.edu/~salemi/Econ006/Rockoff.pdf The Free Banking Era: A Re-Examination (Dissertations in American Economic History) https://www.amazon.com/Free-Banking-Era-Re-Examination-Dissertations/dp/0405072155
Douglas Irwin, professor of economics at Dartmouth College and author of Free Trade Under Fire (Princeton University Press, 2015), joins the show to discuss the economic arguments for free trade and the reasons for the heated politics surrounding trade. He describes the history of U.S. trade policy from the Embargo Act of 1808 to the Smoot-Hawley Tariff of 1930 to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Finally, he and David discuss the role of the inter-war gold standard during the Great Depression. [To learn more about the upcoming conference, Monetary Rules for a Post-Crisis World, co-hosted by the Mercatus Center and the Cato Institute, and register, please click the link below. You can also watch the conference online by clicking the link.] http://mercatus.org/monetaryconference?utm_source=MacroMusingsPodcast&utm_medium=link&utm_campaign=MonetaryRules David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Douglas Irwin’s homepage: https://www.dartmouth.edu/~dirwin/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Douglas Irwin’s Twitter: @D_A_Irwin Related links: “The Truth About Trade: What Critics Get Wrong About the Global Economy” (Foreign Affairs) https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2016-06-13/truth-about-trade Free Trade Under Fire (Princeton University Press, fourth edition 2015) https://www.amazon.com/Free-Trade-under-Fire-Fourth/dp/0691166250 “The Welfare Cost of Autarky: Evidence from the Jeffersonian Trade Embargo,” 1807-09. Review of International Economics. http://www.dartmouth.edu/~dirwin/docs/Embargo.pdf “Did France Cause the Great Depression?” (NBER Working Paper) http://www.nber.org/papers/w16350
Nick Rowe is a professor of economics at Carleton University in Ottawa, a member of the CD Howe Institute’s Monetary Policy Council and of Carlton University’s Centre for Monetary and Financial Economics, and a popular blogger at "Worthwhile Canadian Initiative." He developed an interest in macroeconomics as he came of age in the United Kingdom during the high inflation period from the late 1960s to 1970s. Nick joins the show to discuss some of the basics of monetary economics and argues that money is the critical factor that distinguishes macroeconomics from microeconomics. He also shares his thoughts on helicopter money, which he thinks is “small beer” or not as big a deal as commentators make it out to be. Finally, David and Nick also discuss some helpful analogies Nick has used to illustrate economic concepts including “Milton Friedman’s thermostat” – how a good thermostat works like a good central bank! David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Nick Rowe’s blog: http://worthwhile.typepad.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavdBeckworth Nick Rowe’s Twitter: @MacRoweNick Related links Centre for Monetary and Financial Economics (homepage) http://carleton.ca/economics/research/cmfe/ “What Makes a Central Bank? Asymmetric Redeemability and the Will to Act as One.” http://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2009/10/what-makes-a-bank-a-central-bank.html “Helicopter Money is Small Beer, and Normal” http://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2016/05/helicopter-money-is-small-beer.html “Is Money a Liability?” http://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2012/03/is-modern-central-bank-money-a-liability.html “Milton Friedman’s Thermostat” http://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2010/12/milton-friedmans-thermostat.html
Jason Taylor, professor of economics at Central Michigan University and editor-in-chief of "Essays in Economic & Business History," is an expert in U.S. economic history, particularly during the Great Depression and World War II. He joins the show to discuss the causes of the Great Depression and the policy responses under Herbert Hoover and Franklin D. Roosevelt. David and Jason look at policies ranging from the international gold standard to the National Industrial Recovery Act. They also explore the possibility that large public spending during the New Deal and World War II may have facilitated a “Big Push” that helped modernize the American South. Finally, Jason and David also examine parallels between the Great Depression and the Great Recession. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth Jason’s webpage: https://sites.google.com/site/taylo2je/ Jason's article, "Did New Deal and World War II Public Capital Investments Facilitate a "Big Push" in the American South? https://www.jstor.org/stable/40752762?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents
J. Bradford DeLong – professor of economics at UC-Berkeley, research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a deputy assistant secretary of the U.S. Treasury during Bill Clinton’s presidency – joins the show to discuss his new book, “Concrete Economics: The Hamilton Approach to Economic Growth and Policy.” Brad’s book, co-authored with Stephen Cohen, argues that rather than relying on abstract theory, Hamilton economics is based on facts that demonstrate how the American economy has benefited from pragmatic government policies throughout its history. David and Brad also discuss Brad’s education at Harvard and how he is a “speed reader”! David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Brad DeLong’s blog: http://delong.typepad.com/ Brad DeLong’s UC Berkeley profile https://www.econ.berkeley.edu/faculty/812 David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Brad DeLong’s Twitter: @DeLong Related links "Concrete Economics: The Hamilton Approach to Economic Growth and Policy (2016)" by Stephen S. Cohen and J. Bradford DeLong https://www.amazon.com/Concrete-Economics-Hamilton-Approach-Economic/dp/1422189813 "The End of Influence: What Happens When Other Countries Have the Money" by Stephen S. Cohen and J. Bradford DeLong (2010) https://www.amazon.com/End-Influence-Happens-Other-Countries/dp/B004MKLS28 Brad DeLong’s Journal of Economics article, “The Triumph of Monetarism?” (2000) https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.14.1.83
David Andolfatto is a vice president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank and a professor of economics at Simon Fraser University. He joins the show to discuss life at the St. Louis Fed, equity-based finance as a means of averting financial crises, and challenges in using monetary policy to drive nominal growth. Finally, David also clarifies some of the misconceptions surrounding Blockchain technology and explains what this technology may mean for Federal Reserve policy. David Beckworth’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth David Beckworth’s Blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David Andolfatto’s Twitter: @dandolfa David Andolfatto’s Blog: http://andolfatto.blogspot.com/ Related links The Diamond-Dybvig Model on bank runs: https://www.macroeconomics.tu-berlin.de/fileadmin/fg124/financial_crises/literature/Diamon_Dybvig_Bank_Runs__Deposit_Insurance__and_Liquidity.pdf David Andolfatto on “A Dirty Little Secret” about monetary policy: http://andolfatto.blogspot.com/2014/11/a-dirty-little-secret.html
Robert Hall, professor of economics at Stanford University and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, has written on macroeconomic issues since the 1960s. Bob is also the chairman of the National Bureau of Economic Research’s Committee on Business Cycle Dating, which maintains the chronology of U.S. business cycles. He joins the show to discuss the difficulties of measuring gross domestic product and dating the beginning and end of recessions. David and Bob also talk about the pros and cons of nominal GDP targeting and price level targeting. Finally, Bob shares his thoughts on why our economy has performed so lethargically since the Great Recession. David’s Twitter: @davidbeckworth David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Keywords: interview, macroeconomics, Federal Reserve, Great Stagnation, GDP Related links: Robert Hall’s bio: http://stanford.edu/~rehall/ Robert Hall's list of publications: http://www.stanford.edu/~rehall/All_publications.htm Robert Hall and Gregory Mankiw on nominal GDP targeting: http://www.stanford.edu/~rehall/Nominal%20Income%20Targeting%201994.pdf (Photo Credit: Peter Tenzer)
In this week’s episode, David speaks with Mark Thoma, professor of economics at the University of Oregon and author of the popular blog, “Economist’s View.” Mark discusses his journey into econometrics and the application of econometric techniques to macroeconomic and monetary issues. Looking back at the 2008 crisis, Mark makes the case that fiscal stimulus should have been much stronger. He and David also discuss the role of monetary policy and financial regulation during this time. Finally, Thoma also explains some of his work on political business cycles: instances where politicians affect policy to increase the likelihood of being reelected. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Mark Thoma’s blog: http://economistsview.typepad.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Mark Thoma’s Twitter: @MarkThoma Related links Mark Thoma’s Webpage: http://pages.uoregon.edu/mthoma/ Mark Thoma’s CBS archive: http://www.cbsnews.com/search/author/mark-thoma/ Mark Thoma’s Fiscal Times archive: http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Authors/T/Mark-Thoma David’s first blog post: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/2007/08/liquidityholics-of-world.html
As a Federal Reserve official, Joseph Gagnon played a critical role in providing the intellectual justification for the Fed’s quantitative easing (QE) programs. Now a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, Joe joins the show to discuss the events leading up to the decision to implement QE and its consequences. He and David also discuss how the Fed’s QE compares and contrasts with the QE implemented by the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank. Finally, Joe shares some of his thoughts on Brexit’s wider implications. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Joseph Gagnon’s biography: https://piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/joseph-e-gagnon David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Joseph Gagnon’s Twitter: @GagnonMacro Note: this recording was taped before the Brexit vote on June 23. Related Links “Large-Scale Asset Purchases by the Federal Reserve: Did They Work?” https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/sr441.pdf “Quantitative Easing: An Underappreciated Success” https://piie.com/system/files/documents/pb16-4.pdf
What is money and where does it come from? Will Luther, assistant professor of economics at Kenyon College, joins the show and explains the two competing theories on the origins of money. The first theory posits governments are needed to provide credibility for money as a medium of exchange. The second theory, the spontaneous order theory, argues market actors will arrive at an acceptable medium of exchange on their own. David and Will discuss historic examples of both public and private money, including the Somali shilling and the brief use of vodka as a form of currency in Russia in the 1990s. Will also explains how Bitcoin and other forms of cryptocurrency work and how cryptocurrency may affect future macroeconomic policy. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Will Luther’s webpage: http://www.wluther.com/ David’s Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Will Luther’s Twitter: @WilliamJLuther Related links: “Synthesizing State and Spontaneous Order Theories of Money” http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2140208 “The Monetary Mechanism of Stateless Somalia” http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2047494 “Regulating Bitcoin: On What Grounds?” http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2631307 “On the Origins of Money” https://mises.org/library/origins-money-0
Robert Hetzel is a senior economist and research advisor at the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank where he has worked since 1975. He joins the show to discuss the rise of monetarism and how Milton Friedman, his dissertation advisor, shaped his thinking on macroeconomics. Monetarism challenged the conventional Keynesian consensus in the 1970s and caused Keynesians to reformulate their views into a new doctrine called, “New Keynesianism.” However, in the wake of the Great Recession, “Old Keynesianism” has made a comeback. Hetzel pushes back against the Keynesian resurgence and explores other explanations of the 2008 crisis. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David's Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth Robert Hetzel's biography: https://www.richmondfed.org/research/economists/bios/hetzel_bio Related links: https://www.richmondfed.org/~/media/richmondfedorg/publications/research/economic_quarterly/2012/q2/pdf/hetzel.pdf https://www.richmondfed.org/~/media/richmondfedorg/publications/research/economic_quarterly/2009/spring/pdf/hetzel2.pdf https://www.amazon.com/Program-Monetary-Stability-Milton-Friedman/dp/0823203719
Lars Christensen, an internationally renowned Danish economist and Senior Fellow at London’s Adam Smith Institute, discusses the poor monetary policy that has plagued the Eurozone. Christensen, the coiner of the term “market monetarism,” argues that Europe from the beginning was not an optimal region for its members to share a single currency and that the European Central Bank’s decisions have greatly worsened the Eurozone’s economic pain. This suffering, consequently, has led to the rise of extremist movements throughout the region. Lars and David also turn their conversation to the lesser-known “dollar bloc,” the group of countries that either use the U.S. dollar or peg their currencies to the dollar. David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Lars Christensen’s blog: https://marketmonetarist.com David’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth Lars Christensen’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/MaMoMVPY
Josh Hendrickson, assistant professor of economics at the University of Mississippi, joins the show to discuss whether money matters anymore. It may come as a surprise to the layman, but most monetary economists don’t pay close attention to the money supply. Instead, they prefer to look at economic slack, inflation, and interest rates when considering monetary policy. Hendrickson pushes back against this view by making the case that money does still matter both theoretically and empirically. He shows how new modeling approaches and better money measurements point to an important role for money. The run on the shadow banking system during the crisis and the subsequent collapse in its money supply are used to illustrate these points. Finally, Josh and host David Beckworth discuss the importance of Twitter and blogging in building a professional brand. David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Josh Hendrickson’s blog: https://everydayecon.wordpress.com/ David’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth Josh Hendrickson’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/RebelEconProf Links from today’s show: http://www.amazon.com/Optimum-Quantity-Money-Other-Essays/dp/0202060306 http://economics.olemiss.edu/files/2013/05/Mismeasurement5b.pdf http://www.centerforfinancialstability.org/getting_wrong.php
Can trying to be safe actually be dangerous? Greg Ip, chief economics commentator of the Wall Street Journal, says yes in his new book, Foolproof: How Safety Can be Dangerous and How Danger Makes Us Safe. When we try to be too safe, we become complacent. Ip argues that the stability of the ‘80s and ‘90s made us take risks that culminated in the 2008 disaster. Being too safe can also explain non-economic problems such as forest fires and football injuries. Ip also shares his thoughts on Fed policy and the possibility of a “helicopter drop” of money. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth Greg Ip’s WSJ archive: http://www.wsj.com/news/author/8223 Greg Ip’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/greg_ip Links from today's show http://www.amazon.com/Foolproof-Safety-Dangerous-Danger-Makes/dp/0316286044 http://www.amazon.com/Little-Book-Economics-Economy-Profits/dp/0470621664 http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/ http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2016/03/21/the-time-and-place-for-helicopter-money/
George Selgin, director of the Cato Institute’s Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives, makes the case that central banks, rather than focusing on the price level or inflation rate, should instead allow inflation to reflect changes in productivity growth. According to this productivity norm, deflation can actually be a good thing if it reflects improved productivity. Selgin examines the Great Deflation of the late 1800s and dispels some of the popular myths surrounding that period. He also discusses what the Fed got wrong in the lead-up to the recent financial crisis. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth Georg Selgin’s Cato archive: http://www.cato.org/people/george-selgin George Selgin’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/georgeselgin Links from today’s show: http://www.iea.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/files/upldbook98pdf.pdf https://www.minneapolisfed.org/research/sr/sr331.pdf http://voxeu.org/article/historical-look-deflation http://hope.dukejournals.org/content/27/4/705.full.pdf+html (subscription required)
National Review senior editor Ramesh Ponnuru discusses his adventure into monetary economics. He shares his thoughts on some of the current-day misconceptions surrounding Federal Reserve policy and makes the case for a more nuanced, yet rules-based approach toward monetary policy. *Note: The host and guest briefly mention 2016 presidential candidate Ted Cruz and Cruz's views on monetary policy. This episode was recorded before Cruz suspended his presidential campaign. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David's Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth Ramesh Ponnuru's NRO archive: http://www.nationalreview.com/author/ramesh-ponnuru Ramesh's Twitter: https://twitter.com/rameshponnuru Links from today's show: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/27/opinion/subprime-reasoning-on-housing.html https://www.nationalreview.com/nrd/articles/300951/monetary-regime-change https://www.nationalreview.com/nrd/articles/378042/right-goal-central-banks http://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2015-08-14/fallible-fed-needs-a-few-good-rules https://newrepublic.com/article/97013/obama-federal-reserve-inflation-loose-money
Miles Kimball, professor of economics at the University of Michigan and blogger at “Confessions of a Supply-Side Liberal,” joins the show to discuss negative interest rates. Kimball explains how the natural rate of interest can go below zero and why central banks should act accordingly. He also makes the case for higher equity requirements for financial institutions. David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Miles Kimball’s blog: http://blog.supplysideliberal.com/ David’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth Miles Kimball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/mileskimball Links from today’s show: http://blog.supplysideliberal.com/post/56311827170/the-medium-run-natural-interest-rate-and-the https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2015/wp15224.pdf https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/19721014/National%20Institute%20Economic%20Review-2015-Kimball-R5-R14.pdf http://bankersnewclothes.com/
Cardiff Garcia, the US editor of the Financial Times blog, Alphaville, discusses the world of economics journalism, the 2008 crisis, and current monetary policy, both in the United States and abroad. He also shares his thoughts on the demand for so-called “safe assets” in a time of crisis and the difficulties of inflation-targeting. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ http://ftalphaville.ft.com/ David's Twitter: https://twitter.com/DavidBeckworth Cardiff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/CardiffGarcia
In this episode, John Cochrane, senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and blogger at The Grumpy Economist, discusses his journey into economics and finance with host David Beckworth. They also discuss the controversial fiscal theory of the price level, which argues that fiscal policy, not monetary policy set by central banks, primarily determines inflation. David’s blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ John Cochrane’s blog: http://johnhcochrane.blogspot.com/ John Cochrane’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/JohnHCochrane Links from today’s conversation: http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/john.cochrane/research/papers/Campbell_Cochrane_By_Force_of_Habit_(JPE).pdf http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/john.cochrane/research/papers/New_Structure.pdf http://isites.harvard.edu/fs/docs/icb.topic500592.files/sargent%20wallace.pdf
John Taylor of Stanford University and the Hoover Institution joins host David Beckworth to discuss Taylor's famous monetary rule for central banks in setting interest rates in response to changes in inflation and output. They discuss how Taylor discovered the rule and how it has performed over time. Taylor also shares his thoughts for improving current Federal Reserve policy. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com John Taylor's blog: http://economicsone.com/ Links from today's conversation: http://web.stanford.edu/~johntayl/Papers/Discretion.PDF http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/yellen20120606a.htm http://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/jmcb_lecture.pdf http://www.hoover.org/press-releases/hoover-press-getting-track-how-government-actions-and-interventions-caused-prolonged https://huizenga.house.gov/uploadedfiles/3189.fed.reform.section.by.section.pdf
Welcome to Macro Musings, a new podcast exploring the important macroeconomic issues of the past, present, and future. In the inaugural episode, Scott Sumner joins host David Beckworth to talk about Scott's new book The Midas Paradox, which advances a bold new explanation of what caused the Great Depression. They also discuss Scott's path into macro and monetary economics as well as what the Fed got wrong in 2008. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Scott's blog: http://www.themoneyillusion.com/ Links from today's conversation: http://www.amazon.com/The-Midas-Paradox-Government-Depression/dp/1598131508 http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/27/opinion/subprime-reasoning-on-housing.html?_r=0