The Real Investment Show (Full Show): Recent Episodes
Lance Roberts
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CyberSecurity #InternetScams #IdentityTheft #FinancialPlanning #PersonalFinance
Thursday, August 20, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #AgingInPlace #LongTermCare #PersonalFinance #Retirement
Thursday, August 20, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Investing #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Technology #FinancialPlanning
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #Bonds #MarketOutlook FinancialPlanning #MarketOutlook
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #Bonds #PortfolioManagement #RetirementPlanning #AssetAllocation
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MomentumInvesting #MarketOutlook
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #Investing #TaxPlanning #WealthManagement
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #TechStocks #PortfolioManagement
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FederalReserve #StockMarket #Investing #FinancialPlanning #QAWednesday #StockMarket #MarketRotation #Investing #SP500 #PortfolioManagement
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #RiskManagement #ValueInvesting #RiskTolerance #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #Investing #MarketAnalysis
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TrumpAccounts #FinancialPlanning #FinancialLiteracy #Investing #RetirementPlanning
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #EarningsSeason #Investing #SpaceX #ElonMusk #GrowthStocks
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #OilPrices #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #Investing #StockMarket #PersonalFinance #WealthBuilding #LongTermInvesting
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #Semiconductors #RiskManagement #PersonalFinance #WealthBuilding #LongTermInvesting
Thursday, August 6, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #SP500 #VIX #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #RetailInvesting #BehavioralFinance #Investing #WealthBuilding
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #RothIRA #DividendInvesting #TaxPlanning #FinancialPlanning
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Semiconductors #Nvidia #MarketOutlook #Investing #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #Semiconductors #OilPrices #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Semiconductors #OilPrices #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BehavioralFinance #LongTermInvesting #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #OilPrices #Semiconductor #MarketBubbles #BehavioralFinance #RiskManagement
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #BoomerangGeneration #PersonalFinance #AdultChildren #FamilyFinance
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Premarket #SP500 #Semiconductors #Investing #YieldCurve #Recession #RiskManagement
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #Semiconductors #BeforeTheBell #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #FinancialPlanning
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #ArtificialIntelligence #Semiconductors #Investing #RiskManagement #PonziScheme #InvestmentFraud #ScamAwareness #RetirementPlanning #FinancialEducation
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Investing #EarningsSeason #MarketOutlook #SP500 #MarginDebt #Investing #MarketAnalysis #FinancialPlanning
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SocialSecurity #WidowsPenalty #RetirementPlanning #EstatePlanning #FinancialPlanning
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #InterestRates #Investing #MarketOutlook #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #Investing #FIFA #USMT
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #MarketOutlook #401k #RetirementPlanning #IRA #Retirement #FinancialPlanning
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Semiconductors #Micron #Investing #MarketOutlook #Inflation #MiltonFriedman #FederalReserve #Economics #Investing
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Micron #Semiconductors #StockMarket #EarningsSeason #Investing #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #Semiconductors #Micron #Investing #MarketOutlook #Micron #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #Gasoline #CrudeOil
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Micron #Semiconductors #StockMarket #EarningsSeason #Investing #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #MarketOutlook
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #PortfolioManagement #MarketVolatility #Investing #RiskManagement #PortfolioProtection #RiskManagement #RetirementPlanning #InvestingStrategy #WealthManagement
Saturday, July 18, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #Investing #Semiconductors #FederalReserve #AlanGreenspanDeath #KevinWarsh #MarketAnalysis
Saturday, June 20, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #BlackSwanEvents #SpaceX #FinancialPlanning #Investing
Saturday, June 20, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #StockMarket
Saturday, June 20, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#OilPrices #CrudeOil #StockMarket #Inflation #Investing #FederalReserve #EconomicOutlook #WealthManagement
Saturday, June 20, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #MarketUpdate #Investing #ArtificialIntelligence #SectorRotation #SpaceX #ElonMusk #IPO #Bonds #Annuities #KevinWarsh
Saturday, June 20, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #SP500 #MarketCorrection #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BullMarket #MarketCorrection
Saturday, June 20, 2026:https://streamyard.com/watch/WauFUig8HFtb---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #AgingAlone #LongTermCare #RetirementIncome #FinancialPlanning
Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon:https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #MarketCorrection #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BeforeTheBell
Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon:https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Investing #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #MarketValuations #WealthManagement #SoftwareStocks #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #MarketAnalysis
Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon:https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #PortfolioProtection #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy #StockMarket #RetirementPlanning #Investing #RetirementIncome #FinancialPlanning
Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon:https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #Investing #RothIRA #FinancialPlanning #StockMarket
Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon:https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #Semiconductors #SP500 #MarketRisk #Semiconductors #ArtificialIntelligence #AIStocks
Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon:https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS---Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN---Subscribe to SimpleVisor :https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new---Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketBreadth #Investing #FederalReserve #QandAWednesday #FinancialPlanning
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Betting on Resurgence37:53 - The Biggest Risk for 2026 - Reduction of Inflationary Burst39:51 - The Circular Dynamics of AI Infrastructure41:36 - The Typical Over-allocation and Mis-allocation of Capital43:24 - The US Will Benefit from out of control Regulation in the EU👉 Key takeaway: Monetary policy has unhinged markets from fundamentals, creating an illusion of stability that could fracture once liquidity fades.📈 Subscribe for more interviews and market insight from Lance Roberts and RIA Advisors:https://www.youtube.com/@RealInvestmentShow#Economy #Markets #Investing #DanielLaCalle #LanceRoberts
How do you make every dollar work harder for you? Richard Rosso breaks down the Hierarchy of Smart Savings Strategies — a smart, structured approach to prioritize where to save and invest for maximum growth and minimum taxes. This simple yet powerful framework helps you build wealth efficiently, protect against taxes, and optimize your financial future.0:19 - Foundational Basis & Economic Conundrum8:05 - Prioritizing Saving Money - Pay Yourself First12:58 - How to Create a Tax Management Wave15:50 - The Triple Tax Benefits of HSA's18:39 - After-tax Contributions to 401k21:04 - Investing & Spending23:55 - Life Insurance applications👉 Subscribe for daily market insights and portfolio strategy updates.Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Calm Before the Crack? Fragile Markets Keep Rising Anyway,” is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_kRTrefFWI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Recession & Bonds: What Happens When the Next Downturn Hits?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jRiri1PY2Sg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SavingsStrategy #TaxEfficientInvesting #WealthBuilding #FinancialPlanning #InvestSmart#FinancialPlanning #InvestingAdvice #Investing #Money
A recession usually means falling inflation and lower bond yields — good news for bond investors. But what if this time is different?Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how the next recession could flip the bond trade from bullish to bearish — and why government policy and fiscal stimulus may once again distort the relationship between inflation, yields, and bond prices.0:19 - US Dollar Impact on Multi-national Companies3:32 - Expectations for Market Reversal9:45 - The AI Chase & Circular Money Flow13:17 - Investments are Based on Hopeful Future Demand 16:28 - The Question of The How & The When19:12 - The Nvidia - AMD - OpenAI Conundrum20:07 - Natural Gas is the Only Answer for next 5-years22:02 - Markets Are Chasing Whatever Goes Up24:24 - The Lesson for Diversifying26:15 - Do Bonds Protect Investors in the Next Recession?32:18 - Preview of Daniel LaCalle Interview35:38 - Gold is Fueling Dollar Debasement39:43 - All Asset Classes will Reverse Eventually43:33 - Is This Time Different?50:06 - Coming Attractions👉 Subscribe for daily market insights and portfolio strategy updates.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in This Video:"Bear Market Losses – A Dangerous Illusion"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bear-market-losses-a-dangerous-illusion/"Promised Recession…So Where Is It?'https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/promised-recession-so-where-is-it/"Bubble In AI: Echoes Of The Past, Lessons For The Present"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bubble-echos-of-the-past-lessons-for-the-present/-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jRiri1PY2Sg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Calm Before the Crack? Fragile Markets Keep Rising Anyway,” is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_kRTrefFWI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Markets, Money & Mindset: Live Q&A with Lance Roberts," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpF43_Iqu1g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestorSentiment #PreMarketAnalysis #RiskManagement #Recession2025 #BondMarket #TIPSvsNominal #InflationOutlook #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAdvice #Investing #Money
Join Lance Roberts for a live open Q&A on markets, money, and investing.We’ll cover what’s on your mind—from market melt-ups and Fed policy to portfolio positioning and economic risks. No scripts, no fluff—just real talk and real answers about what’s moving markets and shaping investor behavior.0:19 - Markets are Absorbing Money4:14 - Profit Taking in Bitcoin9:15 - YouTube Poll - The #1 Thing on Your Mind About Markets10:09 - How Do You Invest Right Now? 12:23 - Liquidity is King18:05 - You WILL Mind a 5% Down Market20:39 - #1 Concern - Liquidity in Markets27:37 - The Problem w Markets is Narratives29:34 - Economic Data Not Dramatically Changing33:06 - The AI Story, Tesla Robots, & Productivity35:48 - Employees Are Not Fun39:32 - Coming Attractions - Daniel LaCalle Interview👉 Subscribe for daily market insights and portfolio strategy updates.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in This Video:"Bear Market Losses – A Dangerous Illusion"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bear-market-losses-a-dangerous-illusion/"Promised Recession…So Where Is It?'https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/promised-recession-so-where-is-it/"Bubble In AI: Echoes Of The Past, Lessons For The Present"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bubble-echos-of-the-past-lessons-for-the-present/-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpF43_Iqu1g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dollar Breakout & Bitcoin Pullback - What It Means for Markets,” is here: http://bit.ly/4h03GxP-------Our Previous Show, "7 Midlife Money Traps That Destroy Wealth," is here:https://youtube.com/live/YGY5Z_j2r8I?feature=share-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Markets #Finance #WealthManagement #PersonalFinance #SmartInvesting #Bitcoin #USDollar #InvestingAdvice #Investing #Money
In your 30s, 40s, or 50s, life gets busy—and money decisions get complicated. Many professionals fall into the same midlife financial traps that quietly erode their future wealth. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn unpack seven common midlife money mistakes that can derail your long-term goals—from lifestyle creep and poor diversification to credit card debt and get-rich-quick schemes. Learn how to stay focused, protect your growing assets, and build financial independence while managing the real pressures of midlife.0:19 - Taco Tuesday & Gov't. Shutdown Day-74:23 - Is the Rising Trend Line About to End?10:53 -Mid-life Crises & Dealing w Debt17:31 - Christina's Amazon Budget & Nutcracker Fetish 19:40 - Mission Creep & Budget Leakage24:20 - The Danger of Using Credit Cards for Points29:09 - Hard Money Lending & Usury32:51 - Trade Your Way to Wealth & Other Get-rich-quick schemes36:06 - Inflation's Effects on Purchasing Power37:58 - Markets Can Make You Appear Smarter than You Are39:06 - Get Debt Free41:17 - Why You Should Never, Ever, Never, Ever Borrow from Your 401k47:15 - The Truth About Bankruptcy49:09 - Coming Attractions👉 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and share for more financial education and investing insights.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in This Video:"Bear Market Losses – A Dangerous Illusion"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bear-market-losses-a-dangerous-illusion/"Promised Recession…So Where Is It?'https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/promised-recession-so-where-is-it/"Bubble In AI: Echoes Of The Past, Lessons For The Present"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bubble-echos-of-the-past-lessons-for-the-present/-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://youtube.com/live/YGY5Z_j2r8I?feature=share--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Highs & Hidden Risks: Why This Rally Feels “Too Easy,” is here: http://bit.ly/48oJ7cl-------Our Previous Show, "Bear Market Losses: The Dangerous Illusion Investors Fall For," is here:https://youtube.com/live/Oo1Ny37IaEs?feature=share-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #InvestingPsychology #MarketRally #MidlifeMoney #FinancialFreedom #WealthManagement #PersonalFinance #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Investing #Money
Investors often believe that when markets “recover,” their portfolios do too — but that’s a dangerous illusion. In this episode, Lance Roberts breaks down why percentage losses and gains are not symmetrical, and how a 50% loss requires a 100% gain just to break even.We’ll discuss why bear market math destroys long-term returns, how emotional investors get trapped in the “illusion of recovery,” and why managing risk during drawdowns matters more than chasing every rally.0:19 - The First Full Trading Week of October - Action4:11 - Markets - Overbought & Overconfident?9:27 - Where is the Promised Recession?12:06 - What is Supporting the Market? 15:53 - The Overall Liquidity Base is Still Flush19:19 - Annual vs Intra-year Returns Comparison22:18 - Understanding Losses in Bear Markets - not symmetrical27:02 - The Math of Loss29:32 - The Importance of Understanding the Difference Between Points & Percentages33:49 - Why Markets Do Not Compound34:19 - The Function of Time on Investments39:26 - Six Strategies That Work When Markets Don't46:48 - Preview: Trading Guide Rules from Master Investors👉 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and share for more financial education and investing insights.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in This Video:"Bear Market Losses – A Dangerous Illusion"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bear-market-losses-a-dangerous-illusion/"Promised Recession…So Where Is It?'https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/promised-recession-so-where-is-it/"Bubble In AI: Echoes Of The Past, Lessons For The Present"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bubble-echos-of-the-past-lessons-for-the-present/-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://youtube.com/live/Oo1Ny37IaEs?feature=share--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets on Edge: Too Much Speculation?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YNnoh1BBpvQ-------Our Previous Show, "Protecting Your Family's Future: Financial Basics You Cannot Ignore" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ig3oPFrUpSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketUpdate #StockMarketNews #InvestingInsights #MarketCorrection #VIXVolatility #BearMarket #InvestingStrategy #PortfolioRisk #MarketVolatility #FinancialEducation #InvestingAdvice #Investing #Money
Protecting your family starts with the right financial basics. In this video, we break down the must-have estate planning tools, insurance coverage, and financial safeguards every household needs.From wills and trusts to life insurance, disability coverage, and guardianship designations, we’ll cover how to ensure your loved ones are secure no matter what happens. We’ll also dive into digital assets, medical directives, and children’s financial planning — the often-overlooked steps that protect families from unnecessary risks.✅ Learn the financial documents every family should have✅ Avoid common mistakes that leave families unprotected✅ Build peace of mind with a plan that covers all bases0:20 - Green on the Screen on Day-3 of Government Shutdown4:05 - Risk Management thru Estate Planning7:28 - Basic Estate Planning Documents You Need to Have9:48 - Powers of Attorney18:19 The Document Repository21:03 - Post-mortem Plans - Trusts vs Wills28:23 - Designating Beneficiaries36:11 - Disability & Long Term Care Insurance Considerations42:43 - Letters of Intent👉 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and share for more financial education and investing insights.Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisors, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ig3oPFrUpSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hit All-Time Highs: October Tailwinds Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ItZKs7kgaEU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Who Needs the BLS? Shutdown Silences Jobs Report," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXFBE2eso9A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FamilyProtection #EstatePlanning #FinancialBasics #MoneyTalk #WealthPlanning #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money
The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026?0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again.9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It?17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications24:03 - BLS vs ADP27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High?35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026?46:58 - The Resilience of the Market👉 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and share for more financial education and investing insights.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Miran Says Rates Are Too High: Politics Or Reality?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/miran-says-rates-are-too-high-politics-or-reality/"Kimonos For Bitcoin: 150 Year Old Company Goes Crypto"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kimonos-for-bitcoin-150-year-old-company-goes-crypto/"Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises"by Charles P. Kindleberger"RSI (Relative Strength Index): Timing The Next Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/rsi-relative-strength-index-timing-the-next-correction/"Slowdown Signals: Are Leading Indicators Flashing Red?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/slowdown-signals-are-leading-indicators-flashing-red/"Markets Detached From Economic Fundamentals"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/markets-detached-from-economic-fundamentals/--------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXFBE2eso9A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hit All-Time Highs: October Tailwinds Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ItZKs7kgaEU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Government Shutdown Begins: What It Means for Markets & Investors" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GsT9A54aNrs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #Finance #GovernmentShutdown #Economy #InvestorRisks #MarketVolatility #AI #AIConstruntion #BLS #JobsReport #GovernmentShutdown #StockMarket #Economy #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money
The U.S. government shutdown has officially started. What does this mean for the economy, markets, and your investments? Lance Roberts covers the immediate fallout from the shutdown on federal spending, workers, and services ; how markets have historically reacted during shutdowns—and what to expect this time; the risk to GDP, delayed economic data releases, and consumer confidence.This shutdown is more than politics—it’s a real test for the economy and financial markets. Stay informed and prepared.[*NOTE: YouTube sustained severe streaming issues during this morning's live feed. This is a separate recording of the show.]👉 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and share for more financial education and investing insights.0:19 - Government Shutdown Risks to Market1:35 - Don't Be Surprised by an October Correction6:32 - What the government Shutdown Really Means13:50 - The History of Shutdown Drama19:15 - The Dot Com Bubble Then vs AI Now21:01 - MicroStrategy, Marusho Hotta, & BitCoin23:40 - The Long Island Ice Tea Saga26:36 - Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises29:48 - The Oracle Future Contract33:38 - Bubbles Can Last a Very Long Time37:08 - AI-related Stocks in S&P 50039:16 - The Chase for Nuclear Stocks - Betting on the Come43:11 - Where Will AI Construction Funding Come From? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Kimonos For Bitcoin: 150 Year Old Company Goes Crypto"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kimonos-for-bitcoin-150-year-old-company-goes-crypto/"Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises"by Charles P. Kindleberger"RSI (Relative Strength Index): Timing The Next Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/rsi-relative-strength-index-timing-the-next-correction/"Slowdown Signals: Are Leading Indicators Flashing Red?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/slowdown-signals-are-leading-indicators-flashing-red/"Markets Detached From Economic Fundamentals"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/markets-detached-from-economic-fundamentals/--------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GsT9A54aNrs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "October Rally or Correction? Markets Enter Seasonally Strong Period" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=29ryGh1oGPw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Why Do We Invest? 10 Powerful Reasons Explained" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OAZFiVQoJYU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #Finance #GovernmentShutdown #Economy #InvestorRisks #MarketVolatility #AI #AIConstruntion #Oracle #MicroStrategies #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money
Why do we invest? The answer goes far beyond just making money. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn, Two Dads on Money, break down the most important reasons people put their money to work in the markets.Lance and Jon also show why investing is not just for Wall Street professionals—it’s for everyone.Whether you’re just starting out or refining your long-term strategy, this episode will give you a clear framework for why investing is essential for financial freedom and peace of mind.0:19 - Quarter-end Rebalancing & Potential Gove't Shutdown6:14 - Pay Attention to the US Dollar12:49 - Why & How We Invest: Real Estate & FOMO18:41 - Trade Like a Pro - Not a Gambler23:27 - Dealing w Emotions as Investors25:28 - When Life Happens - Car Batteries & Tires31:53 - The Major Reason We Invest: Growing Savings Faster than Inflation37:28 - Market Compounding is a Myth38:49 - Why Money Sitting in Cash for Opportunity41:06 - Next Week's Show Preview👉 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and share for more financial education and investing insights. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"RSI (Relative Strength Index): Timing The Next Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/rsi-relative-strength-index-timing-the-next-correction/"Slowdown Signals: Are Leading Indicators Flashing Red?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/slowdown-signals-are-leading-indicators-flashing-red/"Markets Detached From Economic Fundamentals"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/markets-detached-from-economic-fundamentals/--------Watch today's video on YouTube: --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dollar Reversal Ahead? What a Rally Could Mean for Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9QpnNyekoE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Is the Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) Flashing Caution?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iZnwfZjUTLI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SP500 #StockMarketUpdate #PreMarket #MarketCorrection #RSI #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketCorrection #StockMarket #WhyInvest #InvestingForBeginners #StockMarketEducation #WealthBuilding #FinancialFreedom #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money
Lance Roberts examines one of the most reliable technical analysis tools investors use to measure market risk: the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI helps identify when markets are overbought, oversold, or diverging from price action.While RSI is not a perfect “buy or sell” signal, it is a powerful guardrail for risk management. History shows that overbought conditions can persist much longer than expected, but when momentum fades, corrections can arrive suddenly.👉 If you’re serious about navigating the next correction with discipline, don’t miss this deep dive into RSI and timing the markets.SEG-1a: Month-end and Year-end Market PrepSEG-1b: The Bullish Trend Remains IntactSEG-2a: Hair Shave DaySEG-2b: How Does the Current Economy Impact Markets?SEG-2c: Opinions & Narratives vs DataSEG-2d: Leading Economic IndexSEG-2e: When the Yield Curve Un-invertsSEG-2f: The Percentage of Total Employees Working FulltimeSEG-2g: Consumer Sentiment & Confidence IndexSEG-2h: Forward Expectations vs DataSEG-2i: Momentum Can Carry Markets Longer Than You ThinkSEG-2j: Can You Time a Correction?SEG-2k: What RSI is SayingSEG-2l: What About a Government Shutdown?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"RSI (Relative Strength Index): Timing The Next Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/rsi-relative-strength-index-timing-the-next-correction/"Slowdown Signals: Are Leading Indicators Flashing Red?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/slowdown-signals-are-leading-indicators-flashing-red/"Markets Detached From Economic Fundamentals"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/markets-detached-from-economic-fundamentals/--------Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iZnwfZjUTLI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Market Targeting 7,000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9QpnNyekoE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "College Planning 2025: FAFSA, Scholarsships, & Smart Funding Tips," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u6hCm4D4et4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SP500 #StockMarketUpdate #PreMarket #MarketCorrection #RSI #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketCorrection #StockMarket #Investing #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money
College planning season is here — and the last quarter of 2025 brings critical deadlines for students and parents. Jonathan Penn and Sarah Buenger break down what you need to know about FAFSA, scholarships, and smart funding strategies for higher education.🎓 Topics Covered:Applications: Why applying to multiple in-state schools boosts negotiating power.FAFSA 2025–26: Key deadlines, why it’s required (even if you don’t qualify for aid), and how it impacts merit-based scholarships.Appeal Process: How a simple email to admissions could mean thousands in additional aid.Scholarship Season: Deadlines, organization tips, and tools to stay ahead.Policy Updates: Tuition freezes in Texas & Indiana, Supreme Court rulings on admissions, and new LOWER student and parent loan caps.Whether you’re a parent preparing for college costs or a student looking to maximize scholarship opportunities, this guide will help you navigate the education planning landscape with confidence.👉 Subscribe for more financial education tips and stay ahead of upcoming deadlines.SEG-1a -Intro and Market AnalysisSEG-1b: Clients' Concerns - Portfolio OnboardingSEG-1c: What to Do if All in Cash?SEG-1d: Planning for College Funding in Present MarketSEG-1e: College Admission & Aid AppealsSEG-1f: Filling Out FAFSASEG-1g: Targeting ScholarshipsSEG-1h: Loan Limits & Tuition LocksSEG-1i: Never Sacrifice Your Retirement for Your Children's CollegeSEG-1j: Trade School vs Four-year DegreesSEG-1k: Account Structuring for College MoneyHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Accommodative Or Restrictive? Decoding The Fed’s Latest Move"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/accommodative-or-restrictive-decoding-the-feds-latest-move/--------Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/u6hCm4D4et4--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Pullback or Just a Pause?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYd7d13Iu1Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Accommodative or Restrictive? Decoding the Fed's Latest Move" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDHV6eIWGlI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarketToday ##FAFSA2025 #CollegePlanning #ScholarshipTips #StudentLoans #FinancialPlanning #StockMarketAnalysis #DecodingTheFed #FederalReserve #FedDecision #InterestRates #MarketOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Federal Reserve’s latest move has investors asking: Is policy turning more accommodative or staying restrictive? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz decode the Fed’s decision, cut through the jargon, and explain what it means for markets, rates, and your money.We’ll cover:What the Fed actually signaled last weekThe difference between accommodative and restrictive policyHow markets typically react to these shiftsKey risks for stocks, bonds, and the economy going forwardStay tuned as we unpack the Fed’s message and put it into plain language for investors navigating uncertain markets.SEG-1a: On becoming "vintage" and Irrational ExuberanceSEG-1b: Markets Appear to be Pulling BackSEG-2a: Jerome Powell's "Fairly Valued" Market AssessmentSEG-2b:The Virtual Circle of the Markets & EconomySEG-2c: Quad Chart: Is the Fed too Easy or too Restrictive?SEG-2d: Markets Are Always Searching for a NarrativeSEG-2e: AI Impact - A Double-edged SwordSEG-2f: What Credit Spread Compression is Telling UsSEG-2g: How We Manage in the Markets NowSEG-2h: The Fed Jargon TestHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Accommodative Or Restrictive? Decoding The Fed’s Latest Move"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/accommodative-or-restrictive-decoding-the-feds-latest-move/--------Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDHV6eIWGlI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Pullback or Just a Pause?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYd7d13Iu1Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Strange Recession Signals: What Markets & Odd Indicators are Telling us" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKIv4RZn6sE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarketToday #PreMarketUpdate #MarketPullback #EnergyStocks #StockMarketAnalysis #DecodingTheFed #FederalReserve #FedDecision #InterestRates #MarketOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
9-24-25 Strange Recession Signals - What Markets & Odd Indicators are Telling Us by Lance Roberts
Not all financial advisors are created equal. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the biggest red flags you should watch out for before trusting someone with your financial future. From hidden fees to pushy sales tactics, we’ll show you how to separate the pros from the pretenders.Whether you’re interviewing a new advisor or reviewing your current one, these insights will help you protect your money and make smarter decisions.📺 Watch now to learn:The most common warning signs of a bad advisorHow to ask the right questions when hiring oneThe difference between fiduciary vs. non-fiduciary advisorsWhy transparency is the #1 thing you should demandMarriage Tips from Two Dads: How to Say No to Your WifeSEG-1a: The Nothing Can Stop the Markets NarrativeSEG-1b: The Clues in Negative DivergencesSEG-1b: Markets Continue Elevated AdvanceSEG-2a: Quarterly Reporting Move to Semi-Annual?SEG-2b: Trapped in the NarrativesSEG-2c: When Do You Really Need a Financial Advisor?SEG-2d: Financial Advisors' Role as EducatorSEG-2e: Advisor Interviews & CredentialsSEG-2f: Transparency & Fees - Bernie Madoff was a FiduciarySEG-2g: Don't Write a Check to MeSEG-2h: Fund Custodians - Who is Pershing?SEG-2i: Two Dads' Marriage Tips📺 Subscribe for daily insights on markets, risk management, and smart investing strategies:https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShowHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube: --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Divergences: Rally Setup or Pullback Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTVnBz3OZFk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Stock Market Outlook: Bullish or Bearish?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0aFDmQTsOQw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #MarketUpdate #Investing #OilPrices #EnergyStocks #SP500 #MarketRally #FinancialAdvisor #MoneyTips #InvestingEducation #FinancialPlanning #MoneyManagement #BernierMadoff #Fiduciary #Fidelity #Pershing #MarriageTips #TwoDadsOnMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are markets set to keep climbing, or are we staring down the next pullback? Lance Roberts breaks down the bullish vs. bearish case for stocks, exploring what could fuel the rally—and what risks could trip it up.From the Federal Reserve’s latest moves, to earnings trends, market breadth, and money flows, we’ll cover the key factors driving sentiment. Whether you lean bullish or bearish, this analysis will help you understand the forces shaping today’s market.Also in this show, commentary on Lance's daughter's first college exam, Donald Trump's Tik Tok dealing: Who will benefit? SEG-1a: All Bull Markets End in a Bear MarketSEG-1b: Markets Continue Elevated AdvanceSEG-2a: Take Caution in Over Bought MarketsSEG-2b: Citadel Securities - No Free LunchSEG-2c: Market Tension Between Expectations & RealitySEG-2d: The Bull CaseSEG-2e: The Bear CaseSEG-2f: The Narrow Market SEG-2g: What Investors Should Do Now📺 Subscribe for daily insights on markets, risk management, and smart investing strategies:https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShowHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0aFDmQTsOQw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Melt-Up: Why Mean Reversion Is Inevitable," is here: http://bit.ly/3Vu1KUo-------Our Previous Show, "Gold, Jobs & the Fed: Axel Merk’s Market Outlook" is here:https://youtu.be/YeciboacIW0-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Markets: Bullish Vs Bearish Case"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-outlook-bullish-vs-bearish-case/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #MarketCorrection #InvestingTips #RiskManagement #StockMarketOutlook #BullishVsBearish #MarketVolatility #TikTok #DonaldTrump #Oracle #Sequia #Murdoch #Investing2025 #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
From the Fed’s next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today’s biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed’s lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios.0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments 2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest negative revision to jobs in history.4:20 - William Poole's explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention.6:13 - Herbert Hoover's belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers.8:19 - The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not.9:35 - How the Fed intervenes10:55 - Kevin Walsh Fed candidate: The Fed needs more real-time data. They're always too late.12:24 - Preview of September Fed meeting: The Fed should cut rates.14:20 - What monetary policy is and/or should be (and what it is not)16:36 - Correlation of asset classes...and not.18:55 - How the Fed looks at inflation & asset prices (Gold & Gold Miners)21:55 - Active Management is counter-cyclical22:52 - Gold & Gold Miners as an asset class: Due for correction? 24:41 - The impact of passive investing driving asset prices; Index Investing & Price Distortion26:29 - Rapidly depleting asset investments (Gold)28:30 - Active Management Matters: Invest in management teams30:14 - Importance of understanding the fundamentals of companies in which to invest32:29 - Venture Capital-lite: Who Gets the Money?34:42 - What Worries You Now? Having no investment process; a mediocre process is better than nothing 35:33 - If you can sleep with what you have... 37:25 - Why Technical Analysis works well in Gold space40:20 - Risk Management in Good Times: The Value of Good Analysis42:29 - The Value of Contrarian Views & Skin in the Game45:29 - There is No Such Thing as an Investing in the End of the World; there's always the day after48:07 - The Best Investment Advice Ever: Invest in YourselfHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/YeciboacIW0--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwqWqisbCyQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "No Risk-free Path for the Fed" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sC5i-sZm73o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/"Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AxelMerk #JobsReport #FederalReserve #GoldInvesting #MarketOutlook
It’s Fed Day – the most anticipated event for markets this month. The Federal Reserve’s rate decision and Jerome Powell’s press conference could shape the direction for stocks, bonds, and the economy heading into year-end.Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down: • What the Fed is likely to announce today • The impact on interest rates, inflation, and growth • How markets ($SPY, $QQQ, bonds, gold) typically react to Fed decisions • Why risk management matters as volatility rises around policy changesStay tuned for clear insights on how today’s FOMC meeting could set the tone for investors into Q4.📌 Subscribe for more daily market commentary and investing insights: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShowSEG-1a: The Great Asset ChaseSEG-1b: Market Movement MutedSEG-1b: The Risk for DisappointmentSEG-2a: What Does the Data SaySEG-2b: How Far Can the Deviation Stretch?SEG-2c: What if Markets Melt-up?SEG-2d: Replacing Assets with Gold?SEG-2e: Tariffs & Tax CutsSEG-2f: What Will AI Do for Employment?SEG-2g: A Tale of Two EconomiesSEG-2h: How to Get Back Into the Market?SEG-2i: All Bull Markets EndSEG-2j: We Love All AssetsSEG-2k: The Market Breadth ThrustSEG-2l: The Great Thing About MomentumSEG-2m: The Unknown CatalystHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cm9vskxwzNA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Fed Risk, Options Expiration & Market Volatility Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SajUOqbbVQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Invest or Index? 5 Smart Strategies Explained," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FO5yZGFOPk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=101s-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/"Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FederalReserve #StockMarketToday #FedRateCuts #OptionsExpiration #AIStocks #BondYields #SP500 #FedDecision #FederalReserve #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #FOMC#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Federal Reserve cut rates on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 — but the path forward is anything but risk-free. Markets had already priced in much of the move, leaving investors to wonder if Powell’s guidance will calm volatility or spark fresh uncertainty.Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz look at what the Fed’s latest decision means for stocks, bonds, and the economy.Why Powell’s words may matter more than the rate cut itself.The risks of inflation, slowing growth, and financial instability in the months ahead.📈 Whether you’re an investor, trader, or just watching the markets, understanding the implications of Fed policy is critical.SEG-1a: Something for Everyone from the FedSEG-1b: Markets Sell-off and Rally to Break-evenSEG-2a: The Fed's "Risk Management" MoveSEG-2b: Is the Fed Too Restrictive or AccommodativeSEG-2c: Nvidia + Intel Market BoostSEG-2d: Dealing w Bad DataSEG-2e: Is the Economy Okay?SEG-2f: Cap-ex vs Consumer SpendingSEG-2g: The Fed's Quarterly ProjectionsSEG-2h: Fed Outlook not Good for Risk AssetsSEG-2i: There is No Real Safe Place in the MarketsSEG-2j: Market Momentum - Is this Like 1929?SEG-2k: Keeping Things in Context - Why We Rebalance👉 Stay ahead with daily market analysis and strategy. Subscribe now and join the conversation:https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShowHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube: --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwqWqisbCyQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Big Day: Fed Day," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cm9vskxwzNA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/"Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketVolatility #FedCut #SP500 #OptionsExpiration #StockMarketToday #FedRateCut #FederalReserve #StockMarket #InterestRates #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Should you invest actively or stick with indexing? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five different strategies investors use to build wealth, reduce risk, and stay ahead of the market. From active stock picking to index fund simplicity, we’ll explore the pros, cons, and real-world applications of each approach so you can better understand how they fit into your financial plan.📺 Subscribe for more insights: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShowSEG-1a: Fed Cuts & Commentary, Buy Back Window ShutsSEG-1b: Market Movement MutedSEG-2a: Tesla Shares & Elon's CompensationSEG-2b: The S&P 493SEG-2c: Bond Yield BehaviorSEG-2d: Overall Bullish Backdrop is not at RiskSEG-2e: The Only Thing that Matters (Forward Earnings)SEG-2f: What Wall St. is Expecting in 2026SEG-2g: The Problem w Wall Street's ForecastsSEG-2h: The Most Important Indicator to WatchSEG-2i: PCE, CPI, & % of Full Time WorkersSEG-2j: Why the Fed is Behind the CurveSEG-2k: Market Earnings Growth By Sector comparisonSEG-2l: Why Watt St. Exuberance is at Odds w EconomyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2FO5yZGFOPk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=101s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Three Key Influences Driving Markets into December," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNd7D4lz7FU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "Earnings Slowdown Ahead - Jobs Data Sends Warning," is here:https://youtu.be/XHMHkOAWRIc-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/"Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #AIStocks #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The jobs market isn’t just about employment—it’s a leading signal for corporate earnings. In this episode, we explore how recent employment data revisions and slowing job growth are flashing caution for corporate profits.Here’s what you’ll learn:Why employment trends often lead earnings resultsHow slowing payroll growth may impact revenue and marginsKey sectors most at risk from weaker labor demandWhat this signal could mean for the stock market outlookPortfolio considerations as corporate profits face pressureUnderstanding the link between the labor market and earnings is critical for investors positioning ahead of the next quarter.SEG-1a: Fed Cuts & Commentary, Buy Back Window ShutsSEG-1b: Market Movement MutedSEG-2a: Tesla Shares & Elon's CompensationSEG-2b: The S&P 493SEG-2c: Bond Yield BehaviorSEG-2d: Overall Bullish Backdrop is not at RiskSEG-2e: The Only Thing that Matters (Forward Earnings)SEG-2f: What Wall St. is Expecting in 2026SEG-2g: The Problem w Wall Street's ForecastsSEG-2h: The Most Important Indicator to WatchSEG-2i: PCE, CPI, & % of Full Time WorkersSEG-2j: Why the Fed is Behind the CurveSEG-2k: Market Earnings Growth By Sector comparisonSEG-2l: Why Watt St. Exuberance is at Odds w EconomyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All Time Highs on Muted Moves," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNd7D4lz7FU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our Previous Show, "The Essential Hierarchy of Money Goals ," is here:https://youtu.be/XHMHkOAWRIc-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/"Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketComplacency #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AllTimeHigh#WallOfWorry #20DMA #CorporateEarnings #JobsReport #StockMarketOutlook #RecessionRisk #MarketAnalysis #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Where should your money go first? Too often, people skip ahead to investing or wealth strategies before laying the right foundation. Richard Rosso and Matt Doyle break down the essential hierarchy of money goals—a clear order of priorities to help you stay on track.From emergency savings and debt reduction to investing, wealth protection, and legacy planning, this framework shows you exactly how to progress step by step.By focusing on the right goals at the right time, you’ll reduce stress, improve financial security, and set yourself up for long-term success.Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://youtu.be/XHMHkOAWRIc--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Trade is Back," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our Previous Show, "There Ain't No Inflation," is here:https://youtube.com/live/KuvJ7KcQU_0?feature=share-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/"Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MoneyGoals #FinancialPlanning #WealthBuilding #PersonalFinanceTips #FinancialFreedom #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets and the Fed keep talking about inflation, but what’s really happening? Lance Roberts previews the upcoming CPI, PPI reports, and real-world data to explain why the official numbers don’t always match what you're feeling. From wages and rents to energy prices--is inflation is truly under control, or just hiding in plain sight.Discover how “disinflation” differs from “deflation,” why Wall Street’s narrative matters for stocks, and what it means for your portfolio.SEG-1a: Inflation Day - Will Tariffs' Effects Appear?SEG-1b: What Bond Yields Are Telling About Interest RatesSEG-2a: Will Markets Have Another 20% Year?SEG-2b: Inflation Estimates & CPI ComponentsSEG-2c: Wrapping the Quarter - Buy Backs & PositioningSEG-2d: The Risk Range Report ExplainedSEG-2e: Dealing with Bearish BiasHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Trade is Back," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/"Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AI #Nvidia #Oracle #Tech #Bonds #BondYields #20DMA #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPI #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are we standing at the edge of a recession? Economic data is showing cracks: slowing job growth, weakening consumer spending, and tightening credit conditions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s policies continue to weigh on growth.In this episode, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key signals flashing caution, what they could mean for corporate earnings and market performance, and how investors should think about risk management in the months ahead; plus bonus content: Sourdough bread and marriage tips. SEG-1a: Jobs Revision and Economic RealitySEG-1b: Money Flows & Inflation PreviewSEG-2a: Sourdough Baking w Christina & MichelleSEG-2b: Are We In a Recession - YouTube PollSEG-2c: What Does Recession Mean?SEG-2d: Instead of Predicting, Start PreparingSEG-2e: When Everyone Agrees...SEG-2f: Don't Over-react to "Recession"SEG-2g: What Can You Control?SEG-2h: Understanding the Risk of SpeculationSEG-2i: What About "Cash on the Sidelines?"SEG-2j: The Math of Loss vs CompoundingSEG-2k: Don't Forget to SaveSEG-2l: Cash Gives OptionsSEG-2m: Happy Wife, Happy LifeHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Money Flows Bolster Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/"Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MoneyFlows #RelativeStrength #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #Recession #Cash #Economy #StockMarket #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #SourdoughBread #MarriageTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Thinking about buying Bitcoin but not sure of the best approach? You’re not alone. With so many options—crypto exchanges, ETFs, custodians, and even payment apps—the path can feel overwhelming.In this episode, we break down the smartest ways to buy Bitcoin while considering security, fees, custody, and long-term investing strategy. Should you buy directly on an exchange, use a crypto wallet, or stick to regulated investment vehicles like ETFs? We’ll walk through the pros and cons so you can make an informed decision that fits your goals.Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned investor curious about crypto, this guide will help you navigate the choices and avoid costly mistakes.📺 Watch now to learn the best ways to safely and effectively buy Bitcoin.He’ll break down:Why diversification no longer offers the same protection.How passive investing drives market distortions.The hidden risks behind “set it and forget it” strategies.What investors need to consider when building resilient portfolios today.SEG-1a: Economic Trends Continue to WeakenSEG-1b: Negative Divergence ContinuesSEG-2a: The Ugly Reason Behind Portfolio DiversificationSEG-2b: The Correlation of OneSEG-2c: What's in Your ETF?SEG-2d: 7-Rules for Portfolio ManagementSEG-2e: Diversification is HogwashSEG-2f: Bashing Keynesian Economic TheoriesSEG-2g: The Trouble with Fed Intra-meeting Rate CutsSEG-2h: Dollars Needed to Generate GDP📈 Don’t miss this deep dive into the structural shifts affecting markets and your portfolio.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviations Continue to Grow," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Cbs8NgQjDM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our Previous Show, "Why is diversification failing investors in the age of passive investing?," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/"Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #Gold #Yields #Treasuries #Bitcoin #RiskManagement #Gold #Oil #Yields #20DMA #BitcoinInvesting #CryptoTips #BitcoinStrategy #InvestSmart #CryptoInvesting #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts explores how the rise of passive index funds and ETFs has reshaped markets, leading to higher correlations across asset classes and eroding the traditional benefits of diversification. Once considered the cornerstone of portfolio risk management, diversification now struggles as capital floods into passive vehicles—concentrating money in the same stocks and sectors.He’ll break down:Why diversification no longer offers the same protection.How passive investing drives market distortions.The hidden risks behind “set it and forget it” strategies.What investors need to consider when building resilient portfolios today.SEG-1a: Economic Trends Continue to WeakenSEG-1b: Negative Divergence ContinuesSEG-2a: The Ugly Reason Behind Portfolio DiversificationSEG-2b: The Correlation of OneSEG-2c: What's in Your ETF?SEG-2d: 7-Rules for Portfolio ManagementSEG-2e: Diversification is HogwashSEG-2f: Bashing Keynesian Economic TheoriesSEG-2g: The Trouble with Fed Intra-meeting Rate CutsSEG-2h: Dollars Needed to Generate GDP📈 Don’t miss this deep dive into the structural shifts affecting markets and your portfolio.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Negative Divergence Continues to Concern" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PIeIdX4aXas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our Previous Show, "Financial Planning Secrets: Why Your Advisor Should Do More Than Pick Stocks," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QXgmAXNATeU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6QSPJnekS6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/"Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #Gold #Oil #Yields #20DMA #PassiveInvesting #Diversification #IndexFunds #StockMarket #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Too many people think financial planning is just about picking investments—but it’s much more than that. A great plan is a living, breathing roadmap that evolves as your life changes. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty uncover what makes the perfect financial planning experience—from getting your head straight, to gathering the right documents, to partnering with a fiduciary advisor who looks beyond just returns.You’ll learn: • Why real planning goes far deeper than investments. • The documents and data you need to start your journey. • How advisors help with behavioral rebalancing—keeping emotions in check. • The difference between accumulation and distribution strategies. • Why a fiduciary, holistic advisor adds real value to your financial life.If you want your plan to stay relevant—and not just collect dust in a binder—this episode is for you.1 - Why Financial Planning is a Loss-leader for most firms2 - Focus on What You're Doing Right3 - Coaching the Young4 - Your Financial Documentary5 - Trust Fund Baby's & Nepo's6 - Taking off the Pressure for Your Family7 - Smaller Estate Tax Exemptions are One President Away 8 - Financial Planning is a Partnership9 - How AI is Changing FP10 - When All Financial Plans Lead to Annuities11 - The Health Metric in Financial Planning12 - Aging in Place with Rosie the Robot13 - Financial Plans Must Change with Your Environment14 - hat is the Most Importance Part of a Financial Plan for You? (Poll)15 - Financial Planning w Children & Dearth of Financial Literacy16 - Financial Planning & Investment Management17 - Stress-testing Your Financial PlanHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6QSPJnekS6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Bullish Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OPN3UX4VjI8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our Previous Show, "Stock Market Bubble? Extreme Valuations & What Investors Should Know," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QXgmAXNATeU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/"Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #RetirementPlanning #BehavioralFinance #MoneyMatters#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Stock valuations are at extreme levels — some call it a bubble, while others argue the bull market has more room to run. So, who’s right? And more importantly, what should YOU do as an investor?Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz expose the conflicting market narratives and explain why selling everything may not be the smartest move. Instead, they’ll explore how active investing, technical signals, and disciplined risk management can help you capture gains while protecting your portfolio if the tide turns.👉 Learn why valuations matter but don’t tell the whole story👉 See how to balance opportunity and risk in a bubble-like environment👉 Discover the tools to navigate uncertainty with confidenceIf you’re feeling anxious about today’s market extremes, this discussion will give you the clarity you need to make smarter financial decisions.SEG-1a: The Problem with BLS Employment NumbersSEG-1b: Markets Moving Sideways - Prelude to Pullback?SEG-2a What is an Option?SEG-2b: Calls & Puts: The Tesla ExampleSEG-2c: Calls & Puts: What Do You Want to Achieve?SEG-2d: Why Leveraged ETF's Don't WorkSEG-2e: 1-Option = 100-sharesSEG-2f: The Nvidia Trade - A Case StudySEG-2g: Options Are a Binary BetSEG-2h: How to Get Into Trouble in OptionsSEG-2i: Options Are a Function of SentimentSEG-2j: Options Are BinarySEG-2k: One More Geeky Thing - Betting on Implied VolatilitySEG-2l: Income ETF's - What You Get vs What You Give UpSEG-2m: Market Valuations as ToolsSEG-2n: Dealing with Fear-mongeringHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QXgmAXNATeU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Bullish Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OPN3UX4VjI8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our Previous Show, "10 Reasons You Shouldn't Retire (but what to do if you do)...," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHA4ZE7kuHo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/"Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #StockMarketBubble #MarketValuations #InvestingStrategy #BullVsBear #ActiveInvesting #OptionsTrading #Calls #Puts #Volatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Thinking about retirement? Think again. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff present 10 powerful reasons you shouldn’t retire too soon—from financial stability to maintaining purpose and health. But if you do decide to retire, they’ll also show you exactly what steps to take to protect your money, lifestyle, and long-term security.SEG-1a: How ChatGPT Saved Google in Anti-trust CourtSEG-1b: Why the 50-DMA is KeySEG-2a: Looking Ahead to Employment RevisionsSEG-2b: Portfolio Risk Management Amid Investor ComplacencySEG-2c: Traders' Performance & Baseball GreatsSEG-2d: Honor Thy StoplossSEG-2e: Tariffs + Markets Looking for Reason to Cool OffSEG-2f: Day Trading is Not a Good Career ChoiceSEG-2g: Retirement vs The Big CorrectionSEG-2h: Making Mistakes Too Close to RetirementSEG-2i: What to Do With Debt Prior to RetirementSEG-2j: Running a Financial PlanSEG-2k: YouTube Poll - Biggest Concern About RetirementSEG-2l: Retirement RealitiesSEG-2m: Health in RetirementSEG-2n: Bonus Segment - Lance's Cheat MealSEG-2o: Bonus Segment - The Empty Nester'sHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHA4ZE7kuHo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Tuesday's Market Drop the Start of Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J09F1Ldd6Lk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our Previous Show, "DIY Investing & Why Swing Trading Isn't Long-Term Wealth," is here:https://youtu.be/9MJOE0l7L9Q-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/"Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #RetirementPlanning #FinancialIndependence #RetireSmart #MoneyManagement #WealthBuilding #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Think you can outsmart the market? Many DIY investors fall into the same traps: chasing hype, trying to time the market, concentrating in one hot sector, or lacking patience. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five of the biggest mistakes DIY investors make — and why they can derail your financial future. They'll also explore swing trading vs. long-term investing: How short-term trading chases quick wins with high risk. Why long-term investing builds wealth through discipline, diversification, and compounding.* The bottom-line difference: Are you surfing market waves or planting financial trees?If you want to avoid costly missteps and grow wealth the smart way, this discussion is for you.SEG-1a: Employment Expectations & Revision RepercussionsSEG-1b: Market Correction Could Rapidly Unwind Risky PositionsSEG-2a: Graduation parties & Food TrucksSEG-2b: DIY Investing - Meme MarketsSEG-2c: The FOMO Factor & Following the HerdSEG-2d: First Time Investing Mistakes - Bitcoin, Palantir, & AmazonSEG-2e: When the Herd is Right AND WrongSEG-2f: You Cannot Time the MarketSEG-2g: The Goal of InvestingSEG-2h: Don't Be Afraid to SellSEG-2i: Portfolio Management & TaxesSEG-2j: Investing is About PatienceHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisors, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://youtu.be/9MJOE0l7L9Q--------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing #InvestingMistakes #DIYInvestor #SwingTrading #LongTermInvesting #WealthBuilding #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Why do investors struggle when it comes to selling stocks? Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle look at the psychology of investing—exploring concepts like loss aversion, behavioral finance traps, and the emotional biases that make it so hard to hit the sell button. Whether you’re a DIY investor or managing money professionally, understanding why we hold on too long is critical to protecting and growing your wealth. Why fear and regret drive poor sell decisions The role of loss aversion in behavioral finance Strategies for setting disciplined sell rules How the best investors overcome emotional biases* Learn how to take the emotion out of investing and make smarter, more profitable decisions.👉 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and share if you found this valuable.1 - Tax Phobia - Why Investors are Reluctant to Sell Stocks2- The Challenge of Capital Gains3 -Younger Investors are Not Afraid to Sell4 - You Can Always Buy it Back5 - Gains Are Good - Passing Them Along to Heirs6 -Linking Positives to the Gains7 - Taking Advantage of Normal Progression of Companies8 - Utilizing Charitable Intent w Gains9 - Donor Advised Funds & Private Foundations10 - The Zen of Why We Invest11 - A discussion on Oil & Gas Investing12 - Dealing with Money GuiltHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwYPTOh0PBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Low Volatility Begets High Volatility" is here: http://bit.ly/4fTiayV--------Our previous show, "Is the Taylor Swift Engagement a Market Event?" can be viewed here:&t=5s--------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestorPsychology #BehavioralFinance #StockMarketTips#InvestingMistakes #WealthBuilding #Taxphobic #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Nvidia reported earnings with strong overall results, but Wall Street was not impressed. Despite solid forward guidance, a data center revenue miss rattled investors and sent the stock lower. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia’s earnings highlights, why guidance failed to wow the bulls, and what this means for tech stocks going forward; the ongoing soap opera that is the Federal Reserve: Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, and dovish vs hawkish monetary policy stances; a discussion of the evolution of markets and investing as "entertainment." Nvidia’s Q2 2025 earnings breakdown Why data center revenue is the market’s key focus How Wall Street is reacting to Nvidia’s guidance What this could mean for broader tech sector momentum📊 Whether you’re a DIY investor or market pro, tune in for insights on what’s next for Nvidia stock (NVDA) and the tech sector.SEG-1a: Nvidia Disappoints, Chiquita SlipsSEG-1b: Markets are Fine; Beware Small- & Mid-CapsSEG-2a: Nvidia Reflections & Forward-looking GuidanceSEG-2b: "Days of Our Lives" at the Federal ReserveSEG-2c: Valuations & Gamification of MarketsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pCET5x3Y2E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Gold is Liquidity Source for Stocks" is here: http://bit.ly/47QZT3k--------Our previous show, "Is the Taylor Swift Engagement a Market Event?" can be viewed here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwYPTOh0PBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Fueling AI Data Centers: Behind The Meter Solutions- Part 1"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fueling-ai-data-centers-behind-the-meter-solutions-part-1/"Behind The Meter Solutions Investment Guide- Part 2"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/behind-the-meter-solutions-investment-guide-part-2/"Momentum Strategies And Physics: Mass And Velocity Matter"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/momentum-strategies-and-physics-mass-and-velocity-matter/“Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategy…For Nowhttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buy-every-dip-remains-the-winning-strategyfor-now/"Market Valuations Don’t Matter…Until They Do"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuations-dont-matter-until-they-do/-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Gold #LiquiditySource #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #Nvidia #StockMarket #EarningsReport #TechStocks #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Taylor Swift’s engagement has captured global attention—but does it matter for investors? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine why celebrity headlines dominate financial chatter, what it says about investor psychology, and why distraction often shows up near the peak of speculative markets.✅ How celebrity news becomes a market “story”✅ Why investors chase hype instead of fundamentals✅ The risks of distraction during late-stage bull markets✅ What Taylor Swift’s engagement says about sentiment-driven investingMarkets move on emotion as much as data—and when Wall Street obsesses over pop culture, it often signals froth. We’ll show you why this cultural buzz might be less about Taylor Swift and more about where we are in the market cycle.SEG-1a: The Meme Market: Investing for EntertainmentSEG-1b: Market Complacency Setting Up for CorrectionSEG-2a: Taylor Swift Engagement & Influence on MarketsSEG-2b: The Cracker Barrel CapitulationSEG-2c: Nvidia Earnings PreviewSEG-2d: The Government Takes a Stake in IntelSEG-2e: Lance Agrees with Danny. Twice!SEG-2f: Hot to Trade Collapse of French GovernmentHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwYPTOh0PBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Low Volatility Begets High Volatility" is here: http://bit.ly/4fTiayV--------Our previous show, "Are Robo Advisors All They're Cracked Up to Be?" can be viewed here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c1ZZOzPLRME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Momentum Strategies And Physics: Mass And Velocity Matter"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/momentum-strategies-and-physics-mass-and-velocity-matter/“Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategy…For Nowhttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buy-every-dip-remains-the-winning-strategyfor-now/"Market Valuations Don’t Matter…Until They Do"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuations-dont-matter-until-they-do/-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BullishTrend #LowVolativity #HighVolativity #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #NASDAQ #20DMA #TaylorSwift #StockMarket #MarketPsychology #Speculation #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
New investors often believe that higher risk equals higher reward—but that’s not always the case. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn explore why newbie investors take on more risk than experienced ones, the common investing mistakes beginners make, and how risk management strategies can protect long-term wealth.From portfolio allocation to investor psychology, we’ll compare how experienced vs. beginner investors approach risk and why discipline matters more than luck. If you’re starting your investing journey, this discussion will help you avoid the traps that cost new investors money.👉 Learn how to build smarter strategies for wealth building and avoid costly errors.SEG-1a: How The Fed Line Up May ChangeSEG-1b: Market Internals WeakenSEG-2a: When a Low-cost Advisor Works for YouSEG-2b: Robo Advisors Eliminate the EmotionSEG-2c: Focusing on Fees Should be Last ConsiderationSEG-2d: The Problem w Multiple Investment AccountsSEG-2e: Investor Know Thyself - Investing UnemotionallySEG-2f: The Change to "Meme Markets"SEG-2g: If I Could Go Back in TimeSEG-2h: Put Your Investment Strategy on PaperHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c1ZZOzPLRME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Internals Weaken" is here: https://youtu.be/oYjR_cIL3Yo--------Our previous show, "Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategy…For Now," can be viewed here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-3XZo7LbCY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2046s--------Articles mentioned in this report:“Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategy…For Nowhttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buy-every-dip-remains-the-winning-strategyfor-now/"Market Valuations Don’t Matter…Until They Do"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuations-dont-matter-until-they-do/-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BullishTrend #MarketTechnicals #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #InvestingTips #BeginnerInvestors #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding #InvestorMindset #TwoDadsOnMoney #RoboAdvisors #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
“Buy every dip” has been the mantra of this bull market — and so far, it has rewarded investors. Lance Roberts explains why the buy the dip strategy continues to work in today’s market, even as valuations stretch and risks build beneath the surface.Lance looks at how investors are approaching stock market pullback investing, what history tells us about short-term market trends versus long-term risks, and the potential turning points that could challenge the strategy. More importantly, we’ll outline how to incorporate risk management in volatile markets so portfolios aren’t caught off guard when the trend inevitably shifts.SEG-1a: NVIDIA PreviewSEG-1b: Why Markets Hit All-time HighsSEG-2a: Investors Aren't Worried About CorrectionSEG-2b: How EFT's Are Distorting the MarketsSEG-2c: Why the Buy the Dip Strategy Has WorkedSEG-2d:Market Valuations Don't Matter Until They DoSEG-2e: Markets Will Eventually Have a Mean-reverting EventSEG-2ee: Rules for Managing Portfolios - Optionality of CashSEG-2f: Focus on High Quality NamesSEG-2g: Adding Tactical HedgesSEG-2h: Avoid High LeverageSEG-2i: Portfolios Are EtherealSEG-2j: Be Willing to SellSEG-2k: The Negative Equity Sentiment IndicatorHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-3XZo7LbCY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2046s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' All-time Highs...but" is here: http://bit.ly/4lPbQtR --------Our previous show, "Raising Money Smart Kids - How to Teach Kids About Money & Saving," can be viewed here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvLHCd84WNw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:“Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategy…For Nowhttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buy-every-dip-remains-the-winning-strategyfor-now/"Market Valuations Don’t Matter…Until They Do"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuations-dont-matter-until-they-do/-------Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#JeromePowell #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #MarketRally #MarketBreadth #MarketTechnicals #BuyTheDip #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #RiskManagement #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Raising money-smart kids is one of the most valuable lessons you can give them for life. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down how to teach kids about money, from saving and budgeting to making smart financial decisions early on.You’ll learn practical strategies for financial literacy for children, including:Simple ways to explain money to kidsHow to teach kids to save money and set goalsSmart money habits that last a lifetimeReal-world lessons for raising financially responsible kidsWhether you’re a parent, grandparent, or educator, these tips will help you set the foundation for your child’s financial future.1 - Financial Literacy Starts in the Home2 - The Danger of On-line Shopping3 - The Marshmello Experiment on Delayed Gratification4 - The Dilemma of the Four Quarters5 - The Four Categories of Money Scripts6 - The Disney Trip7 - The Problem with Under-spending8 - When Your Advisor Gets Stale9 - Know Yourself: Your Kids are Like Columbo10 - Allow Your Kids to Learn from Your Mistakes11 - Money Books We RecommendHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP , w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvLHCd84WNw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bad News is not New News" is here: https://bit.ly/4lwwFtH--------Our previous show, "Speculative Frenzy - Fading or Re-fueling?," can be viewed here:https://bit.ly/4mrXcJW--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Five Ways to Raise Money-Smart Kids: Part One"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/five-ways-to-raise-money-smart-kids-part-one/"Raising Money-Smart Kids: Part Two"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/raising-money-smart-kids-part-two/-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MoneySmartKids #FinancialLiteracy #TeachKidsMoney #SmartMoneyHabits #KidsAndMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are showing signs of a speculative frenzy once again—but is the fire burning out or just getting started? Danny Ratliff & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest stock market speculation, shifts in investor sentiment 2025, and the risks of a potential market bubble forming. We’ll look at how speculative trading trends are driving prices higher, what this means for long-term investors, and where financial market volatility could take markets next.If you’re looking to understand whether the rally is sustainable—or if risk is quietly building beneath the surface—this discussion will give you the insights you need to stay informed and positioned wisely.1 - Retailers Are Seeing Diminished Consumer Spending2 - What Sector Rotation is Telling Us3 - Speculative Bull Markets Can Go On for a Long Time4 - The Fed is Contending With Weak Employment5 - The Full Impact of Tariff is Still Unknown6 - Jackson Hole & the Rate Cut Conundrum7 - The Truth About Fed Meeting Minutes8 - Lisa Cook & The Politicization of The Fed9 - Fed Rate Cuts - 50 or 25?10 - The Starbuck's Indicator of Consumer Sentiment11- The Surprising Side Benefits of Paying with Cash12 - Looking at the Positives13 - Keeping Perspectives on Interest Rates14 - Mortgage Rates vs Treasury Rates15 - What Lowerd Rates Might Imply16 - UPS: Value or Value Trap?Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://bit.ly/4mrXcJW--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bad News is not New News" is here: https://bit.ly/4lwwFtH--------Our previous show, "John Tamny - Money is Ruthless," can be viewed here:https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q --------Articles mentioned in this report:"Greg Mankiw's Solutions Would Expand Federal Debt"https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2025/08/12/greg_mankiws_solutions_would_expand_federal_debt_1128148.html-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #LisaCook #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #AIstory #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #StockMarket #InvestorSentiment #MarketBubble #SpeculativeTrading #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts interviews John Tamny, author, economist, and editor of RealClearMarkets. Tamny’s provocative new book, Deficit Delusion, reframes how we think about debt and growth. He makes a bold case: Trump-style protectionism and fear-driven immigration policies are economically self-defeating—even for conservatives.Trade is the greatest foreign policy mankind has ever devised, plus it's great for workers as is any scenario that expands the division of labor. $36.1 trillion Government Debt is not a crisis—it’s a sign of U.S. strength & investor confidence about the U.S.'s future, it’s not weakness.1:55 - Will the Debt Spiral spark a financial crisis?4:03 - What is the debt relative to economic growth? 5:18 - The Uber Analogy & Expectations of Debt8:40 - What are we NOT doing because of Excessive Government Debt?12:30 - The Premise of Productive Debt & Economic Growth 16:33 - The Danger of Government Spending Cuts 18:40 - The Dark Side of the Flat Tax 22:25 - GDP: The Most Fraudulent Number in Economics25:58 - What is the "right" tax rate?28:46 - We Need to Fund the 'nut jobs'31:09 - Why taxes should be cut for everyone33:33 - How long before the first, one-man "unicorn" $1B company?37:13 - The Debt Crisis Isn't the Thing to Worry AboutHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w John Tamny, Editor/Real Clear MarketsProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q --------Articles mentioned in this report:"Greg Mankiw's Solutions Would Expand Federal Debt"https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2025/08/12/greg_mankiws_solutions_would_expand_federal_debt_1128148.html-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#JohnTamny #GovernmentDebt #DeficitDelusion #Budget #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Do you really need a local financial advisor to manage your money? Geography doesn’t matter anymore when it comes to building wealth and securing your financial future.Lance previews this week's Jackson Hole consortium; what will Jerome Powell Infer? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover the conundrum of local vs virtual financial advisors; how college students are lured by credit card offers, and the dangers of credit accounts. This leads to a discussion of personal budgeting, and how deceptively easy it is to begin a culture of savings; the "B-word" is Budget; the importance of controlling discretionary spending and leakage of money; Lance shares an example by working with an income of only $50k; the surprising result of pre-tax contributions and their impact on income; 401k's vs Roth; the benefits of speaking with a "coach" about money, i.e., a financial advisor.SEG-1a: Jackson Hole Preview - What's the Fed going to do?SEG-1b: Negative Divergences are IncreasingSEG-2a: Local vs Virtual Financial AdvisorsSEG-2b: Do You Need a Financial Advisor?SEG-2c: Getting Started So You Can Save & InvestSEG-2d: Stay Away from Credit CardsSEG-2e: Everything's on a Payment PlanSEG-2f: Addressing the "B-word" (Budgeting) SEG-2g: What's Your Number?SEG-2h: Controlling Your Discretionary SpendingSEG-2i: Budgeting w $50kSEG-2j: 401k's vs Roth'sSEG-2k: Why Should You Speak With a Financial Advisor?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yNJaSxQqghA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=6s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/"Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is Bitcoin Telling Us Now?" is here: http://bit.ly/463MS4b -------Our previous show is here: "Ten Rules for Navigating Excessive Market Bullishness"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #FinancialAdvisor #VirtualAdvisor #OnlineFinancialPlanning #InvestingTips #PersonalFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are investors too optimistic right now? Lance Roberts breaks down ten rules for navigating excess market bullishness so you can protect your portfolio while still participating in market gains. Also in today's show: Lance's assessment of earnings season so far, and the role Nvidia will play in determining market moods. We've got a special interview segment planned for Wednesday's (8/20) show [Premier link is below]; Lance reveals yet another saga by the Roberts' children, and how we can learn from our mistakes, whether we're dishwashers or investors. The reason markets look great can be traced to 7-stocks. The inherent risks of the future; the double edged sword of margin debt, and what's really driving earnings growth. Lance reviews his Ten Rules for Navigating excess bullishness in the market, earnings growth forecast justification, and why retail investors are the last resort for Wall Street.SEG-1a: Earnings Season is Almost DoneSEG-1b: Nvidia is one of the Last Supports for MarketsSEG-2a: John Tamny Interview Tease [ https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q ]SEG-2b: Bullish Sentiment for the Young & Lance's DaughterSEG-2c: Learning from Our MistakesSEG-2d: Investors' Ability to Forget PainSEG-2e: Things Look Great...but only because of 7-stocksSEG-2f: The Spread Between Market Cap vs Equal Weight Indexes SEG-2g: The Risk of Not Knowing Crypto, AI futureSEG-2h: Margin Debt is a Double-edged SwordSEG-2i: What/Who's Really Driving Earnings GrowthSEG-2j: The CoreWeave StorySEG-2k: Ten Rules for Navigating Excess Market BullishnessSEG-2l: Proper Position Sizing in PortfoliosSEG-2m: Behind the Scenes with Economic GrowthSEG-2n: Justifying Earnings Growth ForecastsSEG-2o: You're the Cannon Fodder for Wall StreetSEG-2p: Smart Money vs Dumb MoneySEG-2q: Bullish Market Sentiment Driven by Narrow Framework Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/"Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Risks are Posed in AI Story?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXO6sFR3mCc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOXqIaMP8RY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=3s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #StockMarketRisk #InvestorPsychology #MarketSpeculation #PortfolioStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Becoming a millionaire at a young age (take Sydney Sweeny. Please.) is an incredible achievement—but keeping and growing that wealth is a whole different game. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires—the proven strategies high net worth young investors use to safeguard their money, build lasting wealth, and avoid costly mistakes.Everything from wealth protection for young investors, asset protection strategies, and tax planning for young wealthy individuals, to the critical mindset shifts needed to grow your net worth in any market...whether your success came from business, investing, or inheritance, this guide will help you protect your wealth for decades to come.If you’re a high net worth millennial or a young investor ready to play the long game, this is your roadmap.1 - Sydney Sweeney's Worth "only" $40-Mil2 - Taylor Swift's Financial Plan3 - Health & Wealth4 - Basic Trust Planning5 - Tax Planning & Strategies6 - The Most Important Decision You Can Make7 - Estate Tax Planning8 - Trust Planning & Taylor Smith 9 - Where There's a Will... 10 - Charitable Giving & Linda Blair11 - Investing in Opportunity Zones12 - Final Wishes & Abandoned AssetsHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOXqIaMP8RY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Cut Rates NOW??"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#WealthProtection #YoungInvestors #HighNetWorth #AssetProtection #FinancialPlanning #SydneySweeny #TaylorSwift #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed’s hand and what it means for your portfolio. Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week?SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear?SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to AppearSEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut?SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" InflationSEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff InflationSEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut?SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten CompaniesSEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles? SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick?SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-CapsSEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio ToolsSEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & NvidiaHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Index Isn’t Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/"US Economic Growth Shows Cracks"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/"Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Many investors unknowingly take on portfolio concentration risk—placing too much money in one stock or sector. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why concentrated stock portfolios can be dangerous, how lack of investment diversification can magnify losses, and what smart risk management investing looks like.Whether you’re building long-term wealth or protecting what you’ve earned, understanding the hidden dangers of over-concentration is critical. We’ll share practical tips to improve your stock diversification strategy, reduce downside risk, and strengthen your portfolio’s resilience in volatile markets.SEG-1a: CPI Print Offers Hope for September Rate CutSEG-1b: Small- & Mid-Cap PerformanceSEG-2a: Blood Tests & CaffeineSEG-2b: Market Capitalization ConcentrationsSEG-2c: Is there an Ideal Number of Stocks for a Portfolio?SEG-2d: What is the Goal?SEG-2e: Over-weighting or Under-weighting PositionsSEG-2f: The Pain Trade SEG-2g: What Happens Next w Sector Rotation?SEG-2h: Portfolios Are Like NASCARSEG-2i: What is Your Goal?SEG-2j: Investing Without a Plan is Like Throwing Darts in the DarkSEG-2k: Portfolio Construction for Returns & TaxesSEG-2l: YOLO vs PlanningSEG-2m: Importance fo Risk ManagementHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"US Economic Growth Shows Cracks"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/"Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Internals Remain Weak," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3v7e03zkoWs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Meme Stock Trading & Jesse Livermore's Timeless Rules for Speculation,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVH-DHO81pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #PortfolioRisk #Diversification #StockMarketTips #InvestingStrategy #WealthManagement #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Meme stocks meet Jesse Livermore’s timeless trading rules — Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn discover how classic speculation strategies apply to today’s market frenzy. Lance preview's today's CPI print and a Goldman Sachs report on who exactly is shouldering the increased costs of tariffs; a look at markets' up/down pattern, and weakness within; Lance and Jonathan discuss meme stocks, speculative risk, and what the Old Masters of investing had to say about it. Also commentary and guidance for younger investors and those who would like to begin investing: How to get the discipline started.SEG-1a: CPI Preview - It's Always .2%SEG-1b: Who's Footing the Bill for Tariffs?SEG-2a: Meme Stock FrenzySEG-2b: Speculative Trading Index ExaminedSEG-2c: Two Old Dudes' Pudding & Protein PaksSEG-2d: The Risk of Speculative TradingSEG-2e: Benjamin Graham on RiskSEG-2f: Jesse Livermore on Market Dynamics & Risk SEG-2g: Ten Rules for InvestingSEG-2h: Think AheadSEG-2i: Needs vs Wants for Younger GenerationSEG-2j: First Apartments, First PhonesSEG-2k: Getting Started w Savings PlansSEG-2l: Time FliesSEG-2m: What Index Investing TeachesSEG-2n: It's a Different Game for 40-50-year oldsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVH-DHO81pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"US Economic Growth Shows Cracks"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/"Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Watch the Weakness in the Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2kE4pk9IMA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "US GDP Shows Cracks - Why You Should Pay Attention"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fszx_pdp-sA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #NASDAQ #MemeStocks #StockMarketTrading #JesseLivermore #TradingStrategy #MarketSpeculation #JesseLivermore #BenjaminGraham #NeedsWants #SavingMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
August may be a seasonally-weaker month for markets, but for Summer Weather in Texas, it's hot! Lance shares weekend wedding events, and previews this week's economic data reports: Will inflation stoked by tariffs appear in the numbers? The only question that matters to investors his how the news will affect forward earnings estimates. There is now a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut by September; much will hinge on this week's CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales data. Lance reviews the similarities and differences between the Dot Com bubble and the AI boom. (Lance's ADD is triggered by a story on a TV monitor about adult pacifiers.) Revenues are key to economic growth, and employment is critical. Commentary on debts, deficits, and student loan defaults. Markets are sitting in a contraction zone: 80% of market is not growing. Global growth forecasts are dismal; debt is not the problem. Debts and deficits are a feature of the economy, not a bug.SEG-1a: August Weather & Weddings in TexasSEG-1b: CPI, PPI, & Retail Sales: Will Tariff Inflation Show Up?SEG-2a:The Only Question That Matters - How Does it Affect Earnings?SEG-2b: AI Today is a Lot Like 1999SEG-2c: Adult Pacifier DistractionSEG-2d: Revenue is What Generates EarningsSEG-2e: Wage Growth Isn't IncreasingSEG-2f: IMF Growth Projections SEG-2g: The Debt & Deficits Problem Isn't What You ThinkHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fszx_pdp-sA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"US Economic Growth Shows Cracks"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/"Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Set Up for Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajVPyWtMA9I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What Would a 20% Social Security Reduction Mean for Your Retirement?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eRpXL4yYQI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #MarketRally #AllTimeHighs #USDollar #Gold #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #MarketOutlook #GDPTrends #RecessionRisk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Could your Social Security check be slashed by 20%? With trust fund depletion looming, many retirees could face harsh income cuts sooner than expected. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down what a 20% Social Security reduction would mean for your retirement lifestyle, how to prepare now, and smart income strategies to fill the gap. Whether you're already retired or nearing retirement, this is a must-watch.1: Social Security should be considered a stipend 2: Social Security Shores-up Your Financial Plan3: The Myth of Breaking-even4: Family Dynamics & Spousal Benefits5: Calculating Benefit Loss from Taking early Retirement6: If Social Security Goes Away...7: Paying More Taxes to Shore Up Trust Fund8: Giving Up More by Taking SS Early9: Ignore the Media HypeHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eRpXL4yYQI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-7-25 Is the Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Low Beta Boom: Sidestepping The Dot-Com Bust"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW8-B15zzCk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SocialSecurityCuts #RetirementPlanning #FinancialSecurity #SocialSecurity2025 #IncomeStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
How can low beta stocks help savvy investors sidestep the pain of the Dot-Com Bust? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz reveal why that lesson matters today...what low beta investing means, how it works in bear markets, and how it can protect your portfolio from bubbles and volatility. Lance reviews market reaction to tariffs coming completely online, and Apple's commitment to re-shore manufacturing to the US; the multiplier effect of domestic manufacturing. A look at Eli Lilly's successful completion of trials for its GLP pill; markets continue to hover along the 20-DMA. Lance and Michael discuss the AI phenomenon; what it really means when we're talking about "the market;" what is the cycle that is sustaining the stock market? How will younger investors' habits imprint market dynamics. What will trigger a crisis of confidence in the market; Lance and Michael discuss the importance of continuous risk management.SEG-1: Tariffs Are Fully in Effect - Market Response SEG-2a: Markets Continue to Defy Dire NewsSEG-2b: Is the AI Bubble the Same as the Dot-com Bubble?SEG-2c: Commentary on the Concentration on AI StocksSEG-2d: What Do We Mean when We Say, "Market?"SEG-2e: The Virtuous Cycle Lifting Markets HigherSEG-2f: Impact & Influence of Younger Investors' HabitsSEG-2g: What Will Be the Crisis of Confidence?SSEG-2h: The Importance of Risk ManagementHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW8-B15zzCk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-7-25 Is the Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio | What to Buy & What to Avoid in 2025 "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #LowBetaStocks #DotComBubble #RiskManagement #StockMarketCrash #DefensiveInvesting#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are you building an investment portfolio but unsure what assets belong—and which ones to avoid? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff demonstrate how to build a diversified portfolio, the critical assets every investor should consider (stocks, bonds, ETFs), and the common portfolio mistakes that could hurt your long-term returns. How to know the correct investment tool to use; the good and bad sides of mutual funds; why you should be caustius about private equity and alternative investment opportunities. Annuities: Three questions to ask about yourself; can you "Be Your Own Bank?" Lance describes his personal annuity and insurance plans. Why you should never put all your money into anything. If you want to be wealthy, do what wealthy people do.SEG-1: Markets' Response to Earnings are Muted SSEG-2a: Using the Correct Tool to Structure Your PortfolioSEG-2b: Wall Street Will Sell You Anything You WantSEG-2c: Why Mutual Funds Get a Bad RapSEG-2d: Mutual Funds Will Always Underperform an IndexSEG-2e: Be Cautious of Alternative Investments & Private EquitySEG-2f: Opportunity Zone Investments?SEG-2g: Three Tests for AnnuitiesSEG-2h: Can You "Be Your Own Bank?"SSEG-2i: How Lance's Annuity WorksSEG-2j: Never Put ALL Your Money in AnythingSEG-2k: Do What Wealthy People DoHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful with Technical Analysis" is here: ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qNJPwrh0f4E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Where Do Millennials Get Financial Advice? | Two Dads on Money Talk Smart Money Moves"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CeRptptzCU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TechnicalAnalysis #StopLoss #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #PortfolioBuilding #InvestmentStrategy #DiversifyYourPortfolio #FinancialPlanningTips #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
In this episode of Two Dads on Money, Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn dive into how Millennials find financial advice in today’s digital world. From TikTok influencers to YouTube financial experts, and from Reddit forums to traditional financial planners, where should Millennials really turn for smart money guidance?Lance reviews Monday's Market action, Eurozone vs U.S. economic growth expectations, and Palantir's earnings report. Millennials are getting a lot of financial information from AI, which is nothing more than GroupThink. Why the F.I.R.E. movement failed; retirement is boring; entrepreneurism and the realities of running your own business. Pro's & con's of Capitalism (it's not broken).SEG-1: Markets Stage Two 1% Moves in Two Days SEG-2a: Two Dads on Money - Where Millennials Get Financial InfoSEG-2b: Making Money on The InternetSEG-2c: Legal Liabilities Behind Financial AdviceSEG-2d: Beware of Get Rich Quick AdvisorsSEG-2e: Social Media Advice Purveyors Do Not Know You SEG-2f: The Rise & Fall of the FIRE MovementSEG-2g: Myths & Realities of Starting Your Own BusinessSEG-2h: Why Businesses FailSEG-2i: The Need for Financial EducationSEG-2j: Find a MentorSEG-2k: Capitalism Isn't BrokenHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CeRptptzCU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Regain Footing at 20-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1ewHonE7Mw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Bull Streak Ends as August Begins"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IKtxyXbfikM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1223s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Palantir #Capitalism #FinancialEducation #FIREMovement #MillennialMoney #20DMA #StockMarket2025 #BullMarketEnds #AugustStockTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The historic stock market bull streak has finally come to an end as August kicks off, raising concerns about seasonal weakness, rising volatility, and technical breakdowns. Lance Roberts breaks down what triggered the reversal, how meme stock speculation is adding risk, and what the August-September period historically means for investors.Lance Roberts discusses the latest earnings reports, and provide insights on how to navigate the market correction risks, why investors should be wary of excessively high valuations; managing portfolios for risks today. Lance also covers the aspect of time investors have to recover from adverse results; it's different for a 60-year old vs a 30-year old. Markets are sailing on tailwinds now, but hat if...? Commentary on monopolies, duopolies, and how big is too big?SEG-1a: Our New Digital Format & Housekeeping SEG-1b: Market Commentary - High Beat RatesSEG-2a: New Show Format explainerSEG-2b: The Big Trick with ValuationsSEG-2c: Investor Sentiment, Valuations, & FOMO SEG-2d: Managing Portfolios for Risks TodaySEG-2e: How Much Time Do You have?SEG-2f: Market Tailwinds & What-if'sSEG-2g: Ad Spending on Meta & GoogleSEG-2h: A Brief History of Monopolies & Gov't RegulationSEG-2i: Markets Are Being Driven by only 6 CompaniesSEG-2j: Be CautiousHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Reflexive Rally on the Way Today?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PFQOOnWZxI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Herd Mentality Could Be Costing You Big"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkyUUEPAlWY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #BreakingTrendLine #20DMA #StockMarket2025 #BullMarketEnds #AugustStockTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Why do investors so often buy high and sell low? Jonathan Penn & Matt Doyle expose the dangers of herd mentality in the stock market, how FOMO (fear of missing out) drives bad decisions, and what behavioral finance teaches us about avoiding costly investing mistakes. Learn how to recognize crowd behavior—and how to protect your portfolio from emotional traps. Jon & Matt also cover market response to new tariffs, and whether markets will catch a breather. Transitioning from an accumulator to a distributor in terms of cash flow in retirement. An interesting comparison between Ricky Arnaz & Lucille Ball and Lance & Christina Roberts. How RIA crafts a retirement fund distribution plan; more commentary on our last Radio episode, and a preview of our next Candid Coffee [see registration link below]. Is the Roth decision right for you now? * NOTE: Today was our final terrestrial Radio broadcast, as we transition to an all-digital platform starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1a: Last Radio BroadcastSEG-1b: Market Reactions to "Sweeping" New TariffsSEG-2: Will Markets Take a Breather?SEG-3a: Ricky & Lucy and Christina & LanceSEG-3b: Transitioning from Accumulation to DistributionSEG-4a: Last Broadcast & Savvy Social SecuritySEG-4b: Distribution Cash Flow StrategiesHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkyUUEPAlWY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Consider the Risk" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8aJBb1QNpg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Fed Holds Firm"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v09W8vpagMw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#HerdMentality #InvestorBehavior #MarketMistakes #FOMOInvesting #BehavioralFinance #RetirementFunds #RothConversion #RequiredMinimumDistribution #KSEV #LastRadioShow #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady in its latest policy meeting, signaling a firm stance amid inflation concerns, and despite unchecked market bullishness. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed's decision means for investors, the economy, and your portfolio. AI datacenter buildouts are showing up in economic data...but, the 3% GDP print has a more dire undertone: Strip out the build outs, and the economy is weaker than it appears. Is dissention among Fed governors politically motivated, or being economically cautious? Home prices are declining; housing is like an economic pyramid (NOT a pyramid scheme!) The AI buildout is skewing economic data. The bulk of market positivity bs being driven by only a few, large companies; any iss by Amazon or Apple reported today could sway markets tomorrow. 🔍 Topics covered:• Federal Reserve interest rate policy• Market reaction to Fed news• Inflation vs. growth outlook• Stock market and Fed dynamics* NOTE: Today was Lance Robert's final Radio broadcast, as we transition to an all-digital platform starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1a Leaving Radio & ThanksSEG-1b Fed Holds Rates, Markets Sell-offSEG-2: GDP RealitiesSEG-3: Fed Meeting Results vs What the Markets HeardSEG-4: Microsoft, & Meta - Wait for Retracement to BuyHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v09W8vpagMw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Consider the Risk" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8aJBb1QNpg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Effectively Hedge Against Inflation"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXwvTN34YI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Apple #Amazon #Comcast #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedDecision #StockMarketUpdate #MonetaryPolicy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's a mega-earnings report day, and a Fed Meeting day, to boot; the notion among some investors that 20% returns are normal is scary. The Fed is expected to hold steady on interest rates, but there is dissention in the ranks of Fed Governors. Inflation erodes your purchasing power—are you prepared? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down smart strategies to hedge against inflation and protect your wealth. Lance and Danny commiserate on kids home for the Summer and then off to college. You've got to have inflation for economic growth; the best hedge against inflation, historically, is still stocks. The only benchmark for portfolios is the rate of inflation. Investing strategies are only wrong if they don't work. Adjusting retirement for inflation and lifestyle.* NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega Earnings Reports & Fed Day PreviewSEG-2a: Kids Home for Summer & Off to CollegeSEG-2b: Currency Debasement & InflationSEG-3: Emotional Aspects of Inflation (bias)SEG-4: Adjusting Retirement for Inflation & LifestyleHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXwvTN34YI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Capturing Rotation in Market Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #InflationHedge #ProtectYourWealth #SmartInvesting #InflationProtection #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets continue their bullish trend; Infrastructure build-out for AI is beginning to show up in data. Money flows return to US markets. Lance shares the bet he has with his dog; Lance & Jon share their "Two Dads" wisdom for fresh college grads' job searched & career choices, and offer three pillars for success: ○ Grit: Passion + perseverance. Stick through setbacks, stay committed, believe effort matters more than innate talent. ○ Grind: The value of hard work—late nights, travel, dedication. Equally important: know your limits and prioritize recovery to avoid burnout. ○ Glam: Pursue purpose and passion. Finding meaning in your work keeps the grind worthwhile.* NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: The Bullish Market Remains IntactSEG-2a: Dog BetsSEG-2b: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.1: GritSEG-3a: Going DigitalSEG-3b: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.2: GrindSEG-4: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.3: Glam Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Stocks Appreciate Money Flows" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVphLBnAmaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Big Tech Earnings"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s -------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MoneyFlow #Gold #EmergingMarkets #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #CareerAdvice #CollegeGrads #StartYourCareer #FinancialPlanning #NewGradTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance reviews the Big News from the weekend, the trade accord between the US and the European Union, and previews the data that will drive markets this week: PCE report and a Fed meeting on tap. What will move markets? Commentary on the non-impact of Tariffs: Markets have already priced-in any change, as markets adapt. What the Fed says about QT/QE will matter. Lance shares another family drama episode, with retail therapy and a "people-cott" on Ulta make up. There is no reason to be overly bearish on markets for now; more people are calling for correction now (which means it will only be delayed further) as markets grind higher. Lance addresses YouTube Chatroom questions on an oversold market, and what to do with excess cash; money doesn't leave the market, it just moves around.* NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: The Most Important Thing in Earnings Reports12:02 - Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentarySEG-2: The Real Impact of Tariffs & Market Movers SEG-3a: Roberts Family Drama & The Ulta Guy SEG-3b: Will Correction Be Delayed by More Expectations?SEG-4: Chat Q & A: Oversold markets & What to do with Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s -------Articles mentioned in this report:"Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prelude to Pullback" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhyvfiwBPG8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are You a Meme Stock Mania DORK?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=3&t=185s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #BigTechEarnings #TechStocks2025 #EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is your portfolio full of DORKs? Jonathan Penn and Jonathan McCarty unpack the return of meme stock mania and four speculative favorites: DNUT (Krispy Kreme), OPEN (Opendoor), RKLB (Rocket Lab), and KSS (Kohl's). These retail-loved names are soaring again—but should you follow the hype or stay grounded? We'll discuss why these stocks are rallying, the behavioral finance behind retail speculation, and the portfolio risks in chasing "lottery ticket" trades. Jonathan & Jonathan also memorialize Ozzy Osborne and Hulk Hogan; how college-grads' first jobs' earnings are not as rosy as expected, and the valueof a trade education is looking up; it's time to start thinking about portfolio housekeeping and RMD's as year-end approaches. How to manage inherited IRA's & wealth transfers; beneficiaries & estate planning.* NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Investor Appetite for SpeculationSEG-2a: RIP, Ozzy & HulkSEG-2b: Portfolio Returns & Meme Stock to AvoidSEG-2c: First Job Prospects for College GradsSEG-3a: Wrestle Mania MemoriesSEG-3b: College Education Expense ROI vs Trades & ApprenticeshipsSEG-4a: Candid Coffee & Web TeaseSEG-4b: Portfolio Housekeeping & RMD's Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors Jonathan Penn, CFP, & Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How AI is Driving the Market"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/"AI Is Powering Markets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MemeStocks #DORKportfolio #CollegeROI #TradeSchool #Apprenticeship #HulkHogan #WrestleMania #OzzyOsborne #IRA #RothIRA #RMD #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Artificial intelligence is no longer the future—it’s the engine behind today’s market moves. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how AI and machine learning are reshaping investing strategies, influencing algorithmic trading, and transforming financial analysis. Lance looks at earnings season and Tesla's results; there's nothing wrong with the markets, but all the ingredients are in place for a market reversion; what will be the catalyst? Lance corrects himself on Tesla comments; Lane and Michael hash over the impact of AI on market trading, and the pro's and con's of algorithmic trading; AI can tell you what to buy, but what about when to sell? Jerome Powell is in a pickle with an over-budget Fed Building redux and an unhappy Boss (DJT). What would a Powell removal do for markets? Lance's notes on our switch to pure-digital August 4th; is the government missing an investment opportunity in the AI infrastructure buildout? * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Earnings Season Results to DateSEG-2a: Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentarySEG-2b: AI vs Dot-com Revolutions SEG-3: Fed Froth & Powell Fed Building BungleSEG-4a: Going DigitalSEG-4b: The AI Investment Buildout Opportunity Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Are Stocks Going Up?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/"AI Is Powering Markets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #CreditSwaps #CreditSpreads #AIMarkets #AIInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarketTrends #MachineLearningFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Stocks are rallying despite weak fundamentals. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the real reasons behind the 2025 market surge. Malcom Jamal-Warner and Ozzy Osborne pass; they always come in three's: Who's next? Trumps tariff deal with Japan moves markets momentarily; Meme stocks are back. Negative divergences while markets on the rise signal more potential for market correction (not crash!) Lance & Danny discuss why stocks are up and where the money is coming from. The Roberts' Family Saga - the tale of the new mattress - continues. Why's the market going up: Markets move on speculative activity & narratives (don't watch the news during the day!) Lance & Danny discuss how the news affects forward earnings (think: Enron), and why we have Sarbanes-Oxley. How we manage our portfolios; the Schiller CAPE-10 explained, and mean reversion cycles. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Jamal-Warner, Ozzy, & Meme Stocks are BackSEG-2: Why Are Stocks Up - Where the money comes fromSEG-3a: The Roberts' Mattress Saga SEG-3b: Why is the Market Rallying?SEG-4: How Does the News Affect Forward Earning Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Warning Signs in Negative Divergences," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9Yu1BZPLw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Rent or Buy?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t68v7YNraes&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/"Company Buybacks Are Surging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #Momentum #WhyAreStocksUp #StockMarketRally #InvestorSentiment #MarketMystery #Stocks2025 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Renting vs Buying a Home – Which Makes More Sense in 2025? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn, Two Dads on Money, ponder whether, with rising mortgage rates and stubbornly high rents, is it better to rent or buy right now? * What are the true costs of homeownership vs renting? What are the hidden fees most people overlook? What are the financial pros and cons of both options?Home ownership is often styled as the "American Dream," thanks to marketing by the National Association of Realtors (what's their vested interest??) For the unprepared, home ownership can become a nightmare. Avoid the anchoring effect in determining whether your house purchase was a gain or a loss (expenses of ownership). Housing is not unaffordable; your expectations may be, however. Before you sign that lease or lock in a mortgage, listen in! 🏠* NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Retail Sales Run Flat - What's it mean?SEG-2: Two Dads on Money - Home Ownership MythsSEG-3a: All-digital ExplainedSEG-3b: Two Dads on Money - Is Home Ownership Affordable?SEG-4: Two Dad's on Money - The Downside of Home Ownership Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t68v7YNraes&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bonds Are Trapped in a Trading Range," is here: https://youtu.be/TYCtn9zlFKU-------Our previous show is here: "Big Questions for Big Tech,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnE_SxbFc0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/"Company Buybacks Are Surging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #GDP #Inflation #RentVsBuy #HomeBuyingTips #RealEstateAdvice #RentOrBuyDecision #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Can the AI boom sustain current valuations, or is a reckoning coming? Lance Roberts examines how AI and Big Tech investing trends are shaping portfolios, whether rising interest rates will derail Tech stock market outlook, and the growing risks of regulation impact on Big Tech from Washington to Brussels. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs. Lance shares the latest Roberts Family Saga, and his Coldplay strategy. Is investor exuberance getting out of hand? Options expiring within 24-hours are at an all-time high: This is not hedging, this is pure betting. Lance discusses anticipated spending for AI, and identifies associated debt as productive (think, Hoover Dam) vs non-productive (entitlements), which is dis-inflationary. Buuy backs are a poor (non-productive) use of capital.* NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega-cap Earnings PreviewSEG-2a: Another Roberts Family Saga & ColdplaySEG-2b: Market Exuberance is Getting Out of HandSEG-3a: Paramount & Colbert Kill The Late ShowSEG-3b: No Concerns for Market Correction...yetSEG-4: Productive Debt vs Stock Buy Backs Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnE_SxbFc0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw-------Our previous show is here: "Money Scripts & Credit Scores,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/"Company Buybacks Are Surging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BigTech #TechStocks #ArtificialIntelligence #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle host Rich's last live Radio-episode* and reveal the reason for Matt's recent absence from the show. Airport Security parameters; strong start to Earnings Season; references to '80's TV sit-coms; market futures, Lance's charts, the ultimate Death Cross; Richard previews Saturday's (7/19) Candid Coffee, and the genesis of the partnership with Lance Roberts; understanding Money Scripts; Netflix & streaming services; Gen-Z and Social Media. Rich and Matt discuss the possibilities of Mrs. Roberts' bakery/coffee shop; Retail Sales report analysis: People are still spending. The Paradox of Thrift, Fed meetings and a brief history of the Federal Reserve Banking System. Rich reviews American Express' report, debt to income ratios and Money Scripts (Brad Klontz); how childhood location bears on credit scores in later life. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Matt's Back (and leg) & some market commentarySEG-2a: Candid Coffee PreviewSEG-2b: Money Scripts & Financial SuccessSEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Coffee Shop & Retail SpendingSEG-3b: Retail Sales SummarySEG-4: AmEx reports, Money Scripts, & Managing Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw-------Our previous show is here: "The Magnificent 7 Are Mediocre,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MoneyScripts #CreditScoreTips #FinancialMindset #CreditHealth #MoneyBehavior #EarningsSeason #RetailSales #Inflation #ParadoxOfThrift #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are the Magnificent Seven losing their magic? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz get the real story behind Magnificent Seven stocks performance and what it means for your investment strategy. Lance reviews this week's PPI report (flat) showing little to no effects from tariffs. Yet. The make up of the US economy (80% services) is such that corporations will primarily pay tariffs, and likely not pass along much of the additional cost. Earnings Season continues to roll along as markets enter the seasonally-weaker period of the year. Lance and Michael discuss PPI and what the Fed might be thinking next. The Question de Jour is what is happening with bonds. NOTE: Lance reveals more details about our upcoming programming changes; pay attention! Lance & Michael discuss how we manage Bonds; the surge in retail speculation and the performance (?) of Mag-7 stocks (meh). Michael discusses the two forms of Volatility, and Lance preaches to the YouTube Chat choir.SEG-1: PPI Comes in Flat - Markets Prepare for CorrectionSEG-2: What is the FEd Thinking Now?SEG-3a: Show Changes ComingSEG-3b: How We Manage Bond PortfoliosSEG-3c: Has the Mag-7 Lost its Magic?SEG-4a: YouTube ChatSEG-4b: S&P 500 Realized vs Implied Volatility Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw-------Our previous show is here: "SPAC's are Back!,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BondPortfolio #MagnificentSeven #StockMarketUpdate #TechStocks #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
SPAC's (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies) are making headlines again. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why SPAC investing is back in 2025, what’s driving the latest SPAC market trends, and what investors need to know before jumping in. Are these deals a golden opportunity or another speculative bubble? Earnings Season continues with Banks' reports and the effects of stock buy backs beginning to wane. Tuesday's CPI print had something for everyone; will PPI finally show effects of tariffs? We're preparing for 3-5% correction by mid-August or September. Will President Trump replace Jerome Powell at the Fed? What really matters is what markets wants: An independent Fed. Should the Fed be cutting rates now? (The Fed is always late.) Lance & Danny discuss who really pays tariff fees (producers); eating out and budget leakage. Wall Street will sellyou anything you want, even when you don't know what it is yet: SPAC's are back, along with a voracious appetite for risk. When investors are all-in, that sets up for correction. Danny describes new challenges to Roth Conversions under the Big Beautiful Bill...and impromptu revelation of grade school antics and interpersonal relationships...and commentary on speculative risk returning to the market.SEG-1: Bank Earnings Review, PPI Preview, and Contrarian IndicatorsSEG-2: Will Trump Replace Powell?SEG-3: SPAC's are Bank - Will St. Will Sell You What You WantSEG-4a: Roth Conversations Under the Big Beautiful BillSEG-4b: If Lance Was a BullySEG-4c: Speculative Risk Returns to the Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Turtle Trading""Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/"Relative Returns Or Absolute. What’s More Important?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bullish Sentiment is a Contrarian Indicator," is here: https://youtu.be/4k2AfV8moZ8-------Our previous show is here: "Two Dad's on Money,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rm-FNuRdgB0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #BullishSentiment #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #SPACs #SPACInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestingNews #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What kinds of traps and pitfalls could younger investors be falling into? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn provide advice from Two Dad's on Money in today's episode: Nvidia is shipping its H-20 chips to China; Lance previews this week's CPI and PPI reports; earnings season is underway, stock buy backs have dominated, surging higher than ever, but will taper; Markets prepare for sector rotations. Lance & Jonathan discuss the differences betweem trading and speculating, the Math of Loss, and the cost of starting over. How to successfully speculate with little money (there are some caveats!) High risk vs low risk; The one thing you cannot squander: Time. The power of saving.SEG-1: Nvidia Ships Chips; CPI, PPI PreviewsSEG-2: The Difference Between Investing & SpeculatingSEG-3: How to Successfully SpeculateSEG-4: The One Thing You Must Not Squander Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rm-FNuRdgB0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Turtle Trading""Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/"Relative Returns Or Absolute. What’s More Important?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set for Rotation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=diYGZ_-lLMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Relative Returns Or Absolute: What’s More Important?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbuyQ4mMSas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1-------Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketRotation #Transportation #Technology #Industrials #AI #AIbuildOut #ArtificialIntelligence #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #FinancialAdviceForKids #MoneyLessonsFromDad #TeachingKidsMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings Season has commenced with lowered expectations, meaning higher "beat" rates for companies, thanks to the lowered bar. Market react mildly to Mexican & Canadian 30% Tariffs; a warning for this week's CPI Report: The past four reports have been lower than expected, so a much higher number may be printed this time around. A three-month preview of market probabilities shows 50-50 chance of continued bullish activity; BUT, markets are over bought, and the odds are even for a correction of as much as 5% back to the 6,000 level. Lance shares his family's weekend exploits with Tex Mex food and Mrs. Roberts' new penchant for sourdough bread making. Lance reviews his weekend piece on Absolute vs Relative Returns, the consequences of both, and three things required for market predictions. We are naturally negatively biased; why market compounding is a myth; average vs compound returns are very different; what really caused the Dot-com Crash. NOTE: There are BIG changes coming to The Real Investment Show; if you're not subscribed here, you could miss out. Comparing Trade War outcomes: 2017 vs 2025. The risk to markets now: Trump vs Powell tiffs; the markets want an independent Fed; the risk to be aware of. "Con" is short for "Confidence Game.:SEG-1: Earnings Season BeginsSEG-2a: Tex-Mex & SourdoughSEG-2b: Absolute vs Relative ReturnsSEG-3: Dealing with Our Naturally Negative BiasSEG-4a: Big Changes ComingSEG-4b: Maybe this Trade War Really Isn't that Different Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbuyQ4mMSas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/"Relative Returns Or Absolute. What’s More Important?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risks Ahead of Earnings Season," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUggnhse9kk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What the Big Beautiful Bill Means for Your Money & Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juL4OhaFgbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=114s-------Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #RelativeReturns #AbsoluteReturns #InvestmentStrategy #PortfolioPerformance #InvestorEducation #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What is the impact of the recently-passed Big Beautiful Bill on your money and retirement plans? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty plumb the depths of the legislation to find the good--and the bad--effects it will have. Richard review the latest round of tariffs on Canada (markets don't care), and AI is promising to be a game changer in the middle management job market. The Big Beautiful Bill has benefits and drawbacks: there are caps and limitations, as well as enhancements for charitable giving; there is no "no taxes" on Social Security; changes in SS for future generations will likely be phased-in; remembering Gilligan's Island and coconut adaptations; the reality of "no tax on tips;" accelerated depreciation for business and higher SALT deductions; the Trump Savings Account for kids; a preview of our January 2026 Economic Summit.SEG-1: Canadian Tariffs' Market Impact - mehSEG-2: The Big Beautiful Bill's Caps & LimitationsSEG-3a: Candid Coffee TeaserSEG-3b: The Big Beautiful Bill - Tax Brackets & Social SecuritySEG-4a: Gilligan's Island, & Policy PolarizationSEG-4b: SALT Deduction & Trump Savings Accounts Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juL4OhaFgbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=114s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/"Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Will Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BigBeautifulBill #FederalBill2025 #MoneyAndPolicy #LegislationImpact #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #TrumpSavingsAccount #SALTdeduction #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
As inflation remains elevated and the Federal Reserve begins to shift its tone, markets are asking: Will lower interest rates actually bring prices down — or make them worse? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz unpack the delicate balance between monetary policy, consumer behavior, and price pressures: The historical relationship between rate cuts and inflation Why inflation may be more “sticky” than expected How consumer demand and debt loads are reshaped by lower rates The unintended consequences of looser policy on asset prices* What this means for investors and retirees going forwardSEG-1: Why Economists Expect Higher Growth by 2026SEG-2: Growth is Back in VogueSEG-3a: Like & Subscribe tease - changes comingSEG-3b: Can Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices?SEG-4a: Coffee Cafe, ChatGPT, & Economic HaikuSEG-4b: Earnings Season Preview: Tariff Effects? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/"Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement From Inflation,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #InterestRates #InflationControl #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #PriceStability#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
More Tariff trouble on the horizon, but markets have seen this movie before (The Stick & Carrot Show). Market risk remains, as markets are highly deviated. Sentiment remains positive; there's a large gap between market performance and economic data, however. Deviations tend to resolve themselves to the downside. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff reveal how to shield your retirement savings from decades of inflation: The necessity of Inflation and how to deal with it (inflation is a function of economic growth); the mistake of being too conservative, fear of The Black Swan that never appears. Lance reveals his memory challenges; living thru market downturns, and lessons learned. Market downturns don't happen over night. Treasuries vs Equities: What's the proper blend? Passive Investing is an oxymoron. Risk management is essential for fighting inflation.SEG-1: Tariff Threats Return, Market Risk RisesSEG-2: The Necessity of Inflation and How to Deal With ItSEG-3a: Lance's Dementia TestSEG-3b: Living thru Market DownturnsSEG-4: Inflation-proofing Retirement - Treasuries vs Equities RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risk is Rising," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "ETF's Are Eating the World,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InflationProtection #RetirementSavings #FinancialFreedom #SmartInvesting #InvestingStrategies #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings season is upon us; will volatility pick up? A bigger question will be how tariffs may affect corporate earnings. Employment numbers are dipping into contraction zone as the economy slows. Markets sell off on renewed tariff news. Crude oil prices are creeping back up. No one is expecting correction...which is when they usually appear. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have exploded in popularity—driving a massive shift from active to passive investing. But is this trend distorting markets and concentrating risk? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn explore how ETF growth may be reshaping price discovery, liquidity, and investor behavior: Why do investors choose single-stock ETF's? Leverage. But that cuts both ways, when stocks are going up as well as going down. Lance and Jonathan examine FUnd performance vs Indexes over time. The irony of ETF's: They're passive, but being traded like stocks because of a "get-rich-quick" mentality. Speculation leads to broken markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the US Dollar and why it remains the default reserve currency of the world, even as the mix of currencies evolves. Lance advises when it's time to be bearish.SEG-1: Earnings Season Prelude - No Fear of CorrectionSEG-2: Astro's & ETF's - It's All About LeverageSEG-3: The Irony of ETF'sSEG-4: Dealing with the Dollar RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Fear of Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtaKUHTNq-Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Bull Market is Alive and Well"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtaiG62GGL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=141s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #OilPrices #Tariffs #ETFs #PassiveInvesting #MarketTrends #InvestingStrategies #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance is back from vacation, and the markets did not crash in his absence! On the contrary, they're doing very well. President Donald Trump's Big Beautiful Bill has been signed into law; still to be seen: its impact on earnings. We express our sentiments for the families and friends of loved ones lost in the Central Texas Flash Floods over the July 4th Weekend. Investor greed is a record levels, along with technical indicators, meaning markets are primed for a correction or consolidation; all that's needed is a catalyst. There's nothing wrong with the markets; how to properly prognosticate: Correction is coming. Lance and Brent commiserate on Monday's studio technical challenges. Looking for a better risk-reward proposition in markets; understanding retail investor enthusiasm: Where is the money coming from? A comparison, 2020 vs 2025. Lance reviews his UK trip to visit his son: Is America Unfair? Lance visits a Bath liquor store; eating the tariffs in order to compete. The Penny Stock fraud.SEG-1: BBB Passes - What's the Impact on Earnings?SEG-2: There's Nothing Wrong w the marketSEG-3: Looking For a Better Risk-Reward RatioSEG-4a: Is America Unfair?SEG-4b: Penny Stock Fraud Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtaiG62GGL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=141s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Greed Is At Extreme Levels," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lneFe1hqJc4-------Our previous show is here: "The Bulls Are Back in Town"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are annuities always a bad deal? Not so fast.In today’s episode, Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty tackle the myths and misconceptions around annuities. From income guarantees to tax-deferred growth, find out how annuities can actually support your retirement strategy—if used the right way. Jonathan shares his changed life as a new father, and a discussion of investor confirmation bias, who's likely to be the replacement for Jerome Powell, and the Shado Fed, tariffs, inflation, and political bias in investing. Rich and Jonathan address the growing impact of AI on the labor market and the velocity of AI. The concept of annuities and life expectancy: How AI can extend your life. Rich's insight to the Texas State Fair and an intriguing business opportunity; Texas History and good music; spending in retirement with stable-income vs variable-income sources. Why most annuities are sold and not planned for. The job of a financial advisor is to be unbiased; origins of the retirement crisis without pensions.SEG-1: Daddy Duty & Investor Confirmation BiasSEG-2: The Velocity of AI in Financial PlanningSEG-3: Retirement Spending w Stable vs Variable IncomeSEG-4: Why Annuities Get a Bad RapDirector of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvoAQJShFsU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this show:"Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/"The Dollar’s Death Is Greatly Exaggerated"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/"Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/"The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Next Mistake,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AnnuitiesExplained #RetirementPlanning #InvestSmart #AnnuityEducation #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is the Fed setting the stage for another policy blunder? As inflation pressures linger and economic growth slows, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the risks of the central bank's next move—and what it could mean for your money on this morning's episode of #TheRealInvestmentShow. The Market Rally is ON, yet oil prices are telling a different story about the economy. President Trump could be picking a successor to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sooner than later. Lance and Michael expose the Fed's political "independance," and it's proclivity for financial socialism. The Fed is always late...and always wrong. The true role of the Fed is to protect its member banks. Jerome Powell doesn't mind being late. The ill-fated push to lower bank's minimum reserve requirements. Again. (Did we not learn from the past?)SEG-1: Vacation Prelude - The Rally is OnSEG-2: The Folly of the Fed & Financial SocialismSEG-3: Economic Data Shows Weaking - Will the Fed be too late?SEG-4: The Fed is Always WrongRIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8wHxhOOWMQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this show:"Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/"The Dollar’s Death Is Greatly Exaggerated"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/"Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/"The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Bulls Are Back in Town,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InflationOutlook #RecessionRisk #FedMistake #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #IranIsraelConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Market speculation is at an all time high, yet there are economic surprises in store that could shake things up. There is now an illusion of economic strength. Lance discusses the recent reversal of the Death Cross in the S&P and NASDAQ; the Gold Cross is at an all time high. Lance and Danny address the new push to make private equity investing available for "the little guy," and the illusion of limited volatility. Beware the "good deals;" Wall Street will always find something to sell you if you want to buy it. The fallacy of "above average" gains in private equity; you never hear about the deals that go sour. A political sidetrack into the supposed fate of the Big Beautiful Bill and Term Limits. Danny and Lance review a Vanguard report on the average balances of 401k's (beware "average" comparisons!).SEG-1: Market Speculation Has Gone BonkersSEG-2: The Private Equity PushSEG-3: The Fallacy in "Above Average" GainsSEG-4: How Does Your 401k Compare to National Averages?RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this show:"Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/"The Dollar’s Death Is Greatly Exaggerated"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/"Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/"The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Trajectory Remains Bullish," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRzdiS6C1vc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Is WW III Off the Table?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #BullishMarket #BuyTheDip #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #401k #PrivateEquity #PrivateEquityETF #SpaceX #SuperSavers #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is the threat of World War III finally off the table? Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in global conflict and what they mean for financial markets. From oil prices and defense stocks to safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries, we’ll unpack how investors should think about geopolitical risk now. Are markets too complacent—or is the worst truly behind us? Is Apple dead? Lance addresses a YouTube Chatroom query with analysis of how Apple continues to do well, despite a paucity of innovation; why 420 ETF's all own Apple; the evolution of the smartphone. Why you need Apple in your portfolio. What is the next narrative of the Summer? Is the Fed trapped (again)?SEG-1: Markets & The End of WW3SEG-2 Is Apple Dead (It's not growing...)SEG-3: Why You Need Apple in Your PortfolioSEG-4: Cease Fire Violations & Summer's Next NarrativeRIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this show:"Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/"The Dollar’s Death Is Greatly Exaggerated"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/"Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/"The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Bullish Prelude to July," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiUwcZ7ujqU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "U.S. Strikes Iran: How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #BullishMarket #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Over the weekend, the U.S. launched strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities. Of course, for Americans and the financial markets, the response from not only Iran but also Iran’s allies will be critical. Lance Roberts describes a process of logical evaluation and portfolio risk management when markets experience turmoil: What matters most to investors? What do these attacks mean for earnings? How might geopolitics affect EOQ activity? [NOTE: Lance is on vacation next week, 6/30-7/4] Remembering the Japanese Carry Trade blow up vs Iran Bombings: There is not the same sense of urgency this time; markets have already moved-on. How will the Israel-Iran conflict play out? Watch "Top Gun." Likely outcomes will be higher oil prices, a stronger dollar, and weaker equities. SEG-1: Bombings in Iran: What Matters Most?SEG-2a: Lance's Summer Vacation PreviewSEG-2b: Where's the Sense of Urgency?SEG-3: How the Iran-Israel Conflict Will Play OutSEG-4: Watching for Pickup in VolatilityRIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this show:"Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/"The Dollar’s Death Is Greatly Exaggerated"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/"Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/"The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Respond to Iran Bombings," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yWM3nfbeF2I-------Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Preview: Will They or Won't They?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#OilPrices #CrudeOil #Gold #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It’s Fed Day! Will the Federal Reserve finally cut rates—or kick the can again? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what’s at stake, what markets are pricing in, and what it means for your money. Thursday is Juneteenth, markets are closed, and so are we. Lance reviews the track for crude oil prices and the likely effect on inflation as the Iran-Israel conflict continues. What will Jerome Powell say following today's Fed meeting? Fed grammar matters. Danny and Lance review elements of the Big, Beautiful Bill as it bounces between the House and Senate; contents subject to change. Lance points out the insane irony of the Dept. of Agriculture's stance on feeding wildlife vs. feeding the masses. Danny and Lance review a Barron's article depicting a dilemma of wanting to retire early on limited savings, and live to 98. Hilarity ensues.SEG-1: Juneteenth & Fed DaySEG-2a: Fed Meeting Preview & Market SentimentSEG-2b: The BIg, Beautiful Bill - Pt.1SEG-3: The Big, Beautiful Bill - Pt.2SEG-4: Can You Afford to Retire?RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mention in this show:"The Bull Rally Continues"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/"The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Oil Prices Are On the Rise," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4O6HNmfPPb4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What's the Difference Between Fixed Income and "Stable" Income?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#OilPrices #CrudeOil #Inflation #SupplyDemand #FedDay #FederalReserve #FedRateDecision #FOMC #InterestRateCut #JeromePowell #FinanceNews #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #BigBeautifulBill #DeptAgriculture #ParksWildlife #SNAP #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What's the difference between fixed income and "stable" income? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the key differences between Dividend Stocks vs fixed income investments like bonds and annuities, and other strategies often labeled as stable income; how each performs in various market environments, the risks you may not see, and what every retiree or income-focused investor should consider. Lance and Jon also address the #1 Thing that homeowners regret about their houses, and a special "Two Dad's on Money" episode about whether your college grad kid should move back in with Mom & Dad.SEG-1: Retail Sales Preview, Where Market Risk RemainsSEG-2: Are Dividend Stocks "Stable" or Fixed?SEG-3a: How to Calculate (and understand) Dividend RiskSEG-3b: Homeowners' #1 RemorseSEG-4: Two Dad's on Money - Should Your College Grad Move Back Home?RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mention in this show:"The Bull Rally Continues"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/"The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Where Downside Risk Remains," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIyoblbtIdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "How the Iran-Israel Conflict Could Shock Global Markets,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#PensionFund #DownsideRisk #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #TwoDadsOnMoney #CollegeGrads #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in the Iran-Israel conflict and what they mean for global markets, oil prices, and investor sentiment. With tensions rising in the Middle East, we explore how geopolitical risk is shaping the outlook for the S&P 500, energy stocks, safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries. Lance touches on the impact of Middle East conflicts on the stock market, how oil prices typically respond to geopolitical tension, and what sectors may benefit or suffer from the crisis. Lanec also addresses investor strategies during geopolitical uncertainty, with a look at historical market reactions to major conflicts.SEG-1: Iran-Israel - What's the next Catalyst?SEG-2: Market Effects of Iran-Israel ConflictSEG-3: Bifurcated Investing by Political PersuasionSEG-4: The Return of TINARIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mention in this show:"The Bull Rally Continues"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/"The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Bullish Despite Weekend Events," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMnSNn4v7Yo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is a College Degree Really Worth It?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is a college degree still worth the rising cost?As student loan debt climbs and tuition skyrockets, more families and young adults are asking whether a traditional four-year education offers a worthwhile return on investment. In this episode, we break down the financial data behind college costs, degree value by major, and explore growing alternatives like trade schools, certifications, and apprenticeships.Richard Rosso & Susan Buenger posit whether higher education is still the smart path — or if it's time to rethink the college equation. SEG-1: Initial Market Response to Israeli Attack on IranSEG-2: The Best College Major ROISEG-3a: Israeli Raid & Market VolatilitySEG-3b: Expectations & College Preparation - When to Start the ProcessSEG-4: Competition & Planning for CollegeRIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY-------Articles mention in this show:"Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Inflation Cools"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #HigherEducation #TradeSchoolAlternative#CollegeWorthIt #StudentDebt #EducationROI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
May CPI surprised with a "cooler" print on inflation, begging the question of what the Fed will do next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the CPI report, reveal what’s driving the slowdown in some consumer prices, and explore what it means for interest rates, your portfolio, and the broader economy. Who's going to end up "eating" the tariff-related increases? A clue may appear in the PPI reading. April saw a massiv surge in stock buy backs; that window will soon close. Lance and MIchael discuss the initial effects of tariffs on the economy; consumer choice is a factor that should not be ignored. For investors, the key is focusing on what really matters (earnings) vs the popular narratives de jour. Markets have all the information, but investors sometimes allow sentiment to take control.SEG-1: CPI & PPI - Who's Eating the Tariffs?SEG-2: Parsing CPI: What Did Tariffs Really Affect?SEG-3: Why All That Matters is EarningsSEG-4: How to Manage Risk BestRIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s-------Articles mention in this show:"Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "CPI Day - Will Inflation Hold Steady?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #MarketPullback #StockBuyBacks #Puts #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today is CPI Day, and all eyes are on the Consumer Price Index report for May. What will today’s CPI data mean for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path and future market volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the implications for stocks, bonds, and consumer sentiment. Lance questions the data the government is providing, and examines the Small Caps' performance of late. What will be the impact of tariffs on CPI? Why now is a "normal" interest rate environment. Nobody cares about economic date revisions. Danny tackles the question of whether you should disclaim a $5-Million inheritance; hilarity ensues with an anecdote about Lance's son's request for money. No. Impossible Meat goes "Flexitarian;" more hilarity ensues. Danny & Lance discuss the sticky wicket of stock and land inheritances; CPI preview: No expectation of a hot print.SEG-1: What Difference Does a One-Tenth Percent Inflation Make?SEG-2: Inflation Expectations vs Real LifeSEG-3: Should You Disclaim an Inheritance?SEG-4a: Beyond Meat & Flexitarian'sSEG-4b: Land Inheritances & Liquidity IssuesSEG-4c: CPI PreviewRIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s-------Articles mention in this show:"Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Small Caps on a Tear...but," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaVrimYakns&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Private Equity is Coming for Your Money,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn uncover how private equity investments are no longer just for the ultra-wealthy...but is that the best plan? With Wall Street's latest push, retail investors are now being targeted as the next frontier for capital. From alternative investments in 2025 to the growing trend of private equity entering 401(k) plans, we break down what you need to know about the risks of private equity, the lack of transparency compared to public markets, and what this shift could mean for retail investors. Don't miss this deep dive into why Wall Street is coming after your retirement savings—and what you can do about it.SEG-1: Industrials Lead the WaySEG-2: The Private Equity Story - Why Am I So Lucky?SEG-3: The Private Equity Story - The Democratization of Private EquitySEG-4: The Private Equity Story - Everyone's Looking for an EdgeRIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s-------Articles mention in this show:"Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Preparing for a Pullback," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoKv2jBDwNs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Buy the Dip--Technically Speaking,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuySignal #Tariffs #MarketNarrative #PrivateEquity #AlternativeInvestments #RetailInvestors #WallStreetWatch #FinancialFreedom #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are you waiting for the perfect moment to "buy the dip" but unsure how to spot it? Lance Roberts reveals how to identify smart entry points using technical analysis. From recognizing key support levels and reversal patterns, to understanding what oversold indicators are really telling you, we’ll walk you through the tools, charts, and signals that professional investors rely on.Whether you're a seasoned trader or a long-term investor trying to fine-tune your entry, this episode will help you buy with more confidence when markets pull back. Plus, we’ll share insights on how to avoid common pitfalls, manage risk, and ride the recovery wave effectively.SEG-1: Market Upsides Outweigh the DownsidesSEG-2: How to Know When to Buy the Dip or NotSEG-3: Two Key Tools - Sentiment & PriceSEG-4a: Futures CommentarySEG-4b: Preparing for Next Earnings SeasonRIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mention in this show:"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "This is Not a Bear Market Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15oEA1pEwQE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is 70 the New 65? Reshaping Retirement in America,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BearMarketRally #MarketCorrection #BuySignal #RisingRelativeStrength #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Should the new retirement age be 70? Richard Rosso explores the financial, social, and personal implications of delaying retirement. What does working longer mean for your retirement planning in 2025 and beyond? Is it a necessity—or a trap? Whether you're nearing retirement or decades away, understanding how changes to the retirement age could affect your benefits and financial independence is critical. Listen or watch to hear what raising the Social Security age could mean for you and why 70 might become the new 65.We introduce another of our Summer Interns, Parker McGill, from the University of Tennessee; the aftershocks of the Trump/Musk feud; retirement savings trends are improving; Denmark has raised its retirement age to 70; should the US take a cue? A preview of today's Government Jobs Report: Will bad news (lower employment) be good news (Fed incentive to cut rates)?SEG-1: Polymarkets Bets on Trump, Musk, & RecessionSEG-2: Jobs Report Preview & Raising SS Retirement AgeSEG-3: Saving for Retirement & Financial IndependenceSEG-4: Jobs Numbers: Bad News is Good News?Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Summer Intern, Parker McGill (University of Tennessee)Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mention in this show:"Buying Stocks Is Always Hard"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/"The Narratives Change. Markets Don’t."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/"Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "S&P 7,000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8b98kV23Ao&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Fed Rates Cuts Do Not Equal Inflation,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4BgEM6uejWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=155s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementAge #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #FinancialIndependence #WorkingLonger #DonaldTrump #ElonMusk #RetirementSavings #JobsNumbers #ADP #BLS #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are investors wrong to assume that rate cuts will automatically tame inflation? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz challenge the belief that the Fed’s rate cuts always translate into lower inflation. Using historical data and current economic conditions, we explore how monetary policy really interacts with price pressures—and why rate cuts may actually stoke inflation under the wrong conditions. Specifically, Lance and Mike address the real impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation, why cutting rates doesn’t always reduce inflation, and some lessons from past economic cycles. What today’s investors should expect in 2025📈 Stay ahead of the curve with real data, real analysis, and real investment insight.SEG-1: No Reason to be Negative About MarketsSEG-2: Should the Fed Cut, Raise, or Hold?SEG-3: What Is a Reasonable Interest Rate?SEG-4a: Sharp's Law & Inflation PerspectivesSEG-4b: Narratives Are Explanations for the UnknownHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4BgEM6uejWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=155s-------Articles mention in this show:"Buying Stocks Is Always Hard"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/"The Narratives Change. Markets Don’t."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/"Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "S&P 7,000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8b98kV23Ao&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will There Be a Summer Swoon?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_d45otgA4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FedRateCuts #InflationDebate #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates2025 #EconomicOutlook #SP7000 #MarketRally #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #SummerSwoon #StockMarketTrends #MarketForecast #Investing2025 #SeasonalInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is a summer swoon looming in the stock market for 2025? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff explore the historical performance of the S&P 500 and major sectors during the summer months—June through August, and examine whether investors should brace for a seasonal pullback, looking at historical June-to-August returns and volatility trends, what typically drives a summer slowdown in stocks, and sector-by-sector analysis: What holds up best in weak seasonal periods? How do global macroeconomic conditions and slowing growth shape investor behavior? Lance and Danny also discuss how markets listen and absorb news...and adapt. The US is NOT going broke; Lance again discusses the economic benefits of needful government spending on infrastructure projects and the multiplier effect. Danny and Lance also parse a potential bill to ban sitting Congresspersons from investing in markets.SEG-1: Sell in May, or Go Away?SEG-2: Why June Isn't Always a Loser Month for MarketsSEG-3: The More Markets Hear, the More They AdaptSEG-4a: Is the US Going Broke?SEG-4b: Should Congress Be Banned from Trading?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_d45otgA4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mention in this show:"Buying Stocks Is Always Hard"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/"The Narratives Change. Markets Don’t."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/"Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sell in May & Go Away?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0JoZpN0_40&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Reports of the Death of American Exceptionalism are Greatly Exaggerated,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SellInMay #MarketRally #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #SummerSwoon #StockMarketTrends #MarketForecast #Investing2025 #SeasonalInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is America’s global leadership really fading? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn reveal the truth behind the “decline of American exceptionalism” narrative, and why the U.S. continues to lead in economic strength, innovation, and global influence. Today's show also features several bonus elements, including a recap of Mrs. Robert's trip to the Vegas Bitcoin Expo and convention robots; an exposition on the alleged death of American Exceptionalism, and a follow-up to the story of Mrs. Roberts' instant pickle recipe. Lance & Jonathan opine with chatroom participants about their first PC's, and Jonathan critiques a ChatGPT-created SWAN Portfolio. Parents have apparently failed an entire generation, if a survey of Google search terms is to be believed; Lance and Jonathan expose homeowner "wilding" as reason enough for HOA's, and Lance closes with the promise of opportunity. And amore focused show tomorrow.SEG-1: Be Careful of Negative NarrativesSEG-2a: Convention RobotsSEG-2b: The Death of American ExceptionalismSEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickles, Pt-2SEG-3b: First PC's & AI MultipliersSEG-3c: The SWAN PortfolioSEG-4a: Google Searches & Parental FailuresSEG-4b: Wilding HomeownersSEG-4c: Opportunities are ComingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s-------Articles mention in this show:"Buying Stocks Is Always Hard"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/"The Narratives Change. Markets Don’t."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/"Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Beware of Anti-US Narratives ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5p7sa_q0rI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Buying Stocks is Always hard,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AmericanExceptionalism #USEconomicResilience #USGlobalLeadership #AmericasFuture #DebunkTheDecline #Dollar #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #ForeignCurrency #MoneyFlows #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #Innovation #ArtificialInetlligence #AI #BitCoin #Robots #SWANPortfolio #HomeOwnership #Wilding #HOA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Why does the stock market test our patience and nerve? Lance Roberts looks at the psychology of investing, how to master long-term strategies, and ways to navigate market volatility with confidence! Today is National Leave Work Early day...but before you do, make sure to tackle Lance's Monday Mandatory Reading list (links are provided below); Lance shares another tender moment from the Roberts' kitchen, and his essay on why buying stocks is hard any way you look at it (yet investors still do!) and a review of Ten Investing Rules to live and invest by.SEG-1a: National Leave Work Early DaySEG-1b: Wrapping Up MaySEG-2: Monday Mandatory Reading ListSEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickle RecipeSEG-3b: Why Buying Stocks is HardSEG-4: Ten Investing Rules for Navigating Volatile MarketsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mention in this show:"Buying Stocks Is Always Hard"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/"The Narratives Change. Markets Don’t."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/"Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "6-2-25 Don't Get Greedy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClTgBtG0z3g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is This the Year for Your Roth Conversion?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is 2025 the ideal time for a Roth conversion? RIchard Rosso considers future tax rates potentially on the rise and retirement goals in focus, and why converting to a Roth IRA could be a smart move. We’ll break down the rules, potential tax implications, and key strategies to maximize your tax-free retirement income. Whether you’re planning for retirement or looking to optimize your wealth, don’t miss this essential guide to Roth conversions in 2025 and beyond![NOTE: Due to technical issues, the missing first segment will be reposted in a separate clip.]SEG-1: Markets, Tariffs, & Corporate Concerns (The Lost Segment can be viewed here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oCeEyCktR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 )SEG-2a: Young Interns & '70's Crime DramasSEG-2b: Dealing with DecumulationSEG-3: The Problem of Under-spending in RetirementSEG-4: PCE Preview & Needed Tweaks in Social SecurityHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w A&M University Intern, Will LewisProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s-------Articles mention in this show:"The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/"Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Death of Narratives"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RothConversion #TaxFreeRetirement #RothIRA2025 #RetirementStrategies #TaxPlanning #MarketNarratives #SocialSecurity #RothIRA #Roth401k #PCE #Inflation #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
President Trump's tariffs are being negated by Trade Courts, and markets feel inspired. Nvidia reports earnings, and is poised for a 6% gain today; we're still on the cusp of all that AI can do. Lance and Michael discuss the importance of recognizing and shutting out the narratives that distract investors; why we all seem to need a reason "why" things are as they are. Commentary on Nvidia's technology "moat;" comparisons to Apple's growth curve. How narratives matter (and do not); fundamentals are still long-term market drivers. The relationship between deficits and interest rates explored; beware of being too attached to any narrative. "The End of American Exceptionalism?" Don't you believe it. Consumer confidence...what is the Money Supply doing.SEG-1: Nvidia Earnings & Cusp of AI Growth SEG-2: Shifting Narratives & Reasons WhySEG-3: Fundamentals Drive Markets Long-termSEG-4: Why Tariffs are NOT InflationaryHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s-------Articles mention in this show:"The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/"Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Nvidia Day!"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CorrectionOver #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MarketNarratives #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's “Nvidia Day!” The Big Dog in the Tall Grass for AI reports earnings after the closing bell today. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff delve into the anticipation surrounding Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, set to be released after today's market close. We'll explore market expectations, potential impacts on NVDA stock, and the broader implications for the AI and semiconductor sectors. Also a discussion about the inimitable Mrs. Roberts, and the profound changes AI is poised to wrought on global industries. Is the 4% Rule dead or just being updated? Lance bemoans the bots in our X and YouTube channels, and he and Danny review the changes afoot in advisors' recommendations for retirement savings drawdowns.SEG-1: EOM & Shifting SentimentSEG-2a: Lance' Wife is ScarySEG-2b: Is AI the Next Leg of Industrial Revolution?SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment teaserSEG-3b: Death of the 4% Rule?SEG-4a: Twitter Bots & ChatroomsSEG-4b: Changing the 4% RuleHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mention in this show:"The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/"Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is the Risk to Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "The Anchoring Problem & How to Solve It"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#NvidiaDay #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Discover the hidden influence of anchoring bias on investment decisions and learn actionable strategies to overcome it. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn share behavioral finance concepts and provide practical solutions for navigating cognitive pitfalls in today’s markets. Lance and Jon examine the literal ramifications of anchoring (example: real estate prices); why headlines are to be avoided; Lance's Calculus anecdote; secrets clients don't tell advisors. Lance provides a Nvidia Earnings Preview and a look at building AI factories; how deficit trajectories can be changed by higher industrial output; how much money is lost in corrections; what is your time frame for savings.SEG-1: Waiting on NvidiaSEG-2: Solving the Challenge of AnchoringSEG-3: Headlines are MeaninglessSEG-4: Changing the Trajectory of DeficitsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mention in this show:"The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Today's the Day to Reduce Risk," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gbbRIpFRqE-------Our previous show is here: "Are There Warts on The One Big Beautiful Bill?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLSBdKV-eO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=152s-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are there hidden flaws in the One Big Beautiful Spending Bill? Danny Ratliff & Jonathan Penn expose what they're not telling you, diving into the fine print of the 2025 federal spending bill. Is it as beautiful as they claim—or are there costly warts hidden beneath the surface? Danny & Jon break down the economic risks inherent in the politics and pork.SEG-1: Will Investors Pause for Memorial Day Weekend?SEG-2: Wart on the One Big Beautiful BillSEG-3: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 1SEG-4a: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 2 SEG-4b: Is Now the Time to Add Bonds?Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:-------Articles mention in this show:"Death Of The Dollar: An Eternal Tale"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/death-of-the-dollar-an-eternal-tale/"Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/"USA Versus JNJ"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/"Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pullback We Needed ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Bonds Are Cheap?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SpendingBill2025 #DebtAndDeficits #FiscalPolicyWatch #EconomicRealityCheck #LegislativeImpact #Bitcoincash #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #BondMarket #InvestingInBonds #FixedIncome #InterestRates2025 #MarketOutlook #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are bonds cheap?Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss whether or not bonds are a good buy now, with a composite bond market outlook, and the relationship of interest rates and bond prices.SEG-1: Hurricane Season & Market PullbackSEG-2: Bond Auction Reality - What did the dealers do?SEG-3: Debunking the Narratives & Bad, Scary ChartsSEG-4: Why Bonds Are a Good Buy NowHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mention in this show:"Death Of The Dollar: An Eternal Tale"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/death-of-the-dollar-an-eternal-tale/"Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/"USA Versus JNJ"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/"Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pullback We Needed ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Has the Correction Started?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD_sgSpa4Go&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Bitcoin #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #BondMarket #InvestingInBonds #FixedIncome #InterestRates2025 #MarketOutlook #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is this the beginning of a market correction—or just a healthy pullback? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down recent volatility, key technical signals, and what smart investors should be watching right now; a review of Target & WalMart's earnings reports. Lance rebuts claims by Fisher Investments that stock buy backs do not affect markets. Convincingly. A review of Jamie Dimon's market complacency warnings, and Lance and Danny discuss on line shopping pro's and con's. Danny backs into a preview of our upcoming Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop, how to build and grow wealth, and how Lance plans to distribute his inheritance to his kids.SEG-1: A Retail Tale of Have's & Have-notsSEG-2: Is This the Start of a Correction?SEG-3a: The Buy Back Factor in MarketsSEG-3b: Jaime Dimon's Warning of Market ComplacencySEG-3c: Retailers, Tariffs, & Online ShoppingSEG-4a: Succession Planning for BoomersSEG-4b: Retirement Income Empowerment previewSEG-4c: The First Step to Building Wealth & Self PreservationHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD_sgSpa4Go&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s-------Articles mention in this show:"Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/"USA Versus JNJ"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/"Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Market Sectors Are Telling Us," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsVVT2IzJuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are Markets Too Complacent?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicCommentary #BasicMaterials #Communications #Utilities #Transportation #Energy #AI #RealEstate #MarketCorrection #StockMarket2025 #InvestorInsights #BearMarketWatch #RiskManagement #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are investors dangerously ignoring risk? Despite signs of slowing economic growth, elevated valuations, and geopolitical uncertainty, markets continue to trend higher with remarkably low volatility. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn address whether or not markets too complacent, remembering wedding anniversaries, and whether the ratings agencies are to be believed: Why even rate Treasuries at all?A look at bad headlines (If it bleeds, it leads), and whether now is a terrible time to retire; the reality that markets don't really care about anything but forward earnings guidance.We’ll explore why investor sentiment appears disconnected from fundamentals, what past periods of complacency have taught us, and how to identify the early warning signs of risk being mispriced. If you're concerned about market bubbles, overconfidence, or “this time is different” thinking, this episode offers important context — and caution.SEG-1: Moody Downgrade, CBO Projections, & Buy the DipSEG-2a: Happy Anniversary - TomorrowSEG-2b: Why Have Ratings on Treasuries?SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment tease (registration link below)SEG-3b: Bad Headlines, Retirement Timing, & AC/DC-Squirrel!SEG-4: All Markets Care About is Forward Earnings GuidanceHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s-------Articles mention in this show:"USA Versus JNJ"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/"Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Patience, Grasshopper," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEQXlux8Yfg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UP8yVn_65v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestorPatience #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #RetirementPlanning #RetireSmart #InflationAndRetirement #FinancialFreedom #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What does a lower credit rating mean for investors, interest rates, and the broader economy?Lance Roberts examines the implications of Moody’s recent U.S. debt downgrade, historical precedents, market reactions, and potential consequences for fiscal policy and the bond market.🔑 Topics Covered:• Moody’s credit rating downgrade• U.S. debt crisis and fiscal outlook• Bond market reaction and yields• Investor strategies after a downgrade📌 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more market insights.SEG-1: Markets Rally from Liberation Day LowsSEG-2: Does Moody's Debt Downgrade Really Matter?SEG-3: Debt to GDP & US StabilitySEG-4: Consequences of Debts & DeficitsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UP8yVn_65v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mention in this show:"Moody’s Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare for Pullback," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hAR6Dr4E-UE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What is Up with Yields Now?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025:https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What if your Social Security benefits were no longer taxed?A new bill in Congress could make that happen — but is it real policy or just political posturing?Richard Rosso unpacks the proposal to eliminate federal income tax on Social Security, what it could mean for retirees, and the fiscal reality behind the promise.🧾 What’s in the proposed legislation💸 How it could impact retirement income⚖️ The budget math Congress doesn’t want to talk about👉 Subscribe to stay ahead of retirement policy changes that affect your wallet.SEG-1: Shopping at WalMart Ain't What it Used to BeSEG-2: Social Security Calculations & Economic AwarenessSEG-3: Taxless Social Security - Dream or Delusion?SEG-4: Dealing with TDS - Tariff Derangement SyndromeHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rRfLLZLnUOs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Articles mention in this show:"The Wealth Effect Is Not Always Virtuous"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-wealth-effect-is-not-always-virtuous/"A Bear Market Rally?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is the Time to Not Be Greedy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdJgbyS_PkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What is Up with Yields Now?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TaxFreeSocialSecurity #SocialSecurityReform #RetirementRelief #EndSocialSecurityTaxes #FinancialPolicy 2025 #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are rising yields a warning sign, or are they reflecting renewed economic strength?Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz dive into the latest movements in bond yields and what they signal for markets, the Fed, and your portfolio. Lance and Mike analyze the shape of the yield curve, interest rate forecasts, and what it all means for investors in 2025:* Why the 10-year Treasury yield is making headlines * Is the inverted yield curve still relevant? * What to watch from the Fed and inflation data * How bond market signals impact equity pricesStay informed. Stay ahead.➤ Subscribe for more market insight and financial commentary.SEG-1: If You Don't Raise Cash, You Can't Buy the DipSEG-2: Inflation Continues to Modulate LowerSEG-3: Markets Are Driven by Trading DynamicsSEG-4: The Problem with the Buffett IndicatorHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkCQucjucCo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2-------Articles mention in this show:"The Wealth Effect Is Not Always Virtuous"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-wealth-effect-is-not-always-virtuous/"A Bear Market Rally?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is the Time to Not Be Greedy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdJgbyS_PkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Equity Chase is On"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BondYields #InterestRates #YieldCurve #MarketUpdate #TreasuryYields #MarketRally InvestorGreed #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
As markets climb higher, investors are rushing back into stocks. But is the chase for equity returns grounded in fundamentals—or just FOMO? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dive into the sudden surge in equity markets and the renewed appetite for risk. Is this rally sustainable—or are investors simply chasing performance at the top? What’s fueling the stock market rally in 2025, how is sentiment shifting, and why chasing returns in bull markets can be dangerous without a disciplined investment strategy. Lance & Danny also explore portfolio positioning and risk management tips that can help you stay grounded amid the hype. How to get back into the market? Is a bid to offer 4 X leverage for retirement accounts a good idea? What changes our thesis about Bonds? Whether you’re managing your own money or working with an advisor, now’s the time to revisit your equity exposure and prepare for what comes next.SEG-1: Do We Sell in May & Go Away?SEG-2: How Do We Get Back In?SEG-3: 4 x Leverage for 401k?SEG-4: What Changes our Thesis on Bonds?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mention in this show:"A Bear Market Rally?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Turn Positive for the Year...barely" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dp2bd5BsGmE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is Tariff-driven Volatility Over?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5U_4ulK_Pw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Tariffs rattled markets. Then… silence. Are we in the clear—or is another shock coming? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn tackle the question: Is Tariff Volatility Over? The reversal of tariffs is only a 90-day reprieve; markets are very over bought, and after Monday's rally are due for some pullback (sooner or later); be patient and bide your time before jumping into the fray. Lance and Jonathan discuss why contrarian investing is smart. Preview of today's inflation print; the danger of not doing proper research before investing: Know what you own. Wondering where to invest next? What do you use on an everyday basis?Watch now and subscribe for more real-world investing insight.SEG-1: This is Inflation WeekSEG-2: Why Contrarian Investing is ImportantSEG-3: The Danger of Not Doing the ResearchSEG-4: The Importance of Understanding What You OwnHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5U_4ulK_Pw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mention in this show:"A Bear Market Rally?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It Pays to Be Patient" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtbRbUJF0L8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Deal with a Bear Market Rally"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uTZmVaVMzpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays #TariffVolatility #GlobalMarkets #StockMarket2025 #TradeWarAftermath #RealInvestmentShow #MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Lance Roberts' 60th birthday, and the birthday faery made an early visit to the studio. Markets will be boosted today by news of an agreement between the US and China over tariffs. Is the recent market rebound a sign of recovery—or just a classic bear market trap? Lance Roberts breaks down what defines a bear market rally, why investors often get whipsawed by false hope, and how to position your portfolio amid short-term optimism and long-term uncertainty. With earnings season in full swing and rate cuts still in question, we'll explore whether this bounce has legs or is setting up for another leg lower. Lance is looking for a classic truck and has his eye on a '71 International Scout; interestingly, commentary on valuations, and the prices people are willing to pay. A history lesson on market corrections, recessions, and bottoms (with charts); why it's important to not ignore bear market signs.SEG-1: 60th Birthday, Mother's Day & Bear Market RallySEG-2a: Bidding on a '71 ScoutSEG-2b: Valuations Are What People Are Willing to PaySEG-3: Bear Market Rallies and Market BottomsSEG-4: Do Not Ignore Bear Market SignsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uTZmVaVMzpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mention in this show:"A Bear Market Rally?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "S5-12-25 Do You Want to Make Some Money?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngmFyV6B9TY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will Tax Reform Stall?" and "Money Advice for Single Moms on Mother's Day:"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_0Zpmbtb-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2sWatch the first-hour of the show here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwfW2yddsWI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #RayDaleo #JohnHuntsman #PEterSchiff #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Being a single mom means wearing every hat—and that includes the CFO of the household. In this special Mother’s Day edition of Financial Fitness Friday, Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle offer tailored financial planning advice for single moms, covering essential strategies for budgeting, building an emergency fund, managing debt, and long-term investing. Rich and Matt also cover market trends, tariff news, and Qualified Charitable Deduction Strategies.SEG-5: Will the Tax Bill Pass - How to PrepareSEG-6: Memory Care & Tax Changes ComingSEG-7: Qualified Charitable Deduction StrategiesSEG-8: Money Advice for Single Mom's on Mother's DayHosted by RIA Advisors DIrector of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_0Zpmbtb-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2sWhat the first-hour of the show here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwfW2yddsWI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rqKH5pCCtr8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Fed Stays Hawkish"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SingleMomFinance #MothersDayMoneyTips #FinancialIndependenceForMoms #SmartMoneyForMoms #BudgetingForSingleMoms #TaxReform2025 #CapitalGainsTax #CorporateTaxChanges #TaxPolicyUpdate #CongressionalGridlock #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
With a new administration in Washington and control of Congress shifting, tax reform is once again a high-stakes issue for investors and business owners. Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle analyze what’s on the table—proposals to adjust capital gains rates, reduce or expand corporate tax burdens, and modify personal income brackets. We’ll break down where negotiations stand, what’s likely to change, and how gridlock could delay progress. This episode is a must-listen for anyone trying to position their portfolio ahead of potential tax legislation.SEG-1: Why It's Never "Really Different This Time"SEG-2: The American Pope & Mother's Day SpendingSEG-3: Tax "Reform" May Not Look Like You WantSEG-4: When Roth vs Pre-Tax Works BestHosted by RIA Advisors DIrector of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwfW2yddsWI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1What the second-hour of the show here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_0Zpmbtb-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rqKH5pCCtr8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Fed Stays Hawkish"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TaxReform2025 #CapitalGainsTax #CorporateTaxChanges #TaxPolicyUpdate #CongressionalGridlock #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Federal Reserve kept its stance firmly hawkish at their latest FOMC meeting — but what does that mean for stocks, bonds, and the economy? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed’s latest interest rate decision, Jerome Powell’s comments, and the immediate market reaction, covering key sectors impacted, investor sentiment shifts, and the Fed’s outlook for inflation, growth, and monetary policy going forward. Lance and Michael discuss why Fed Head Jerome Powell was surprised by the Trump Tariffs, the relative strength of the dollar, and how the economy is "normalizing" with "higher" interest rates. Lance and Michael also discuss the merits of Ai with Apple & Google, and the multiplier effect artificial intelligence will produce for supporting industries; the importance of identifying and investing in companies poised for generating earnings growth. Don’t miss this critical update as the Fed’s tough tone shapes the path ahead for portfolios and financial markets.SEG-1: Fed Day Snoozer; Earnings Season WrapsSEG-2: Why It's Okay to Run a Trade DeficitSEG-3: The Economy is Actually NormalizingSEG-4a: Apple vs Google-AiSEG-4b: Investing in Companies Generating Earnings GrowthHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9m45eTIyu0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Storm Before The Calm"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-storm-before-the-calm/“Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/"Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/"Economic Decline Gains Momentum"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/"Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the Market Continue to Build?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e00bUJpRZZc-------Our previous show is here: "China Blinks"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=5s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #FederalReserve #InterestRate #HawkishFed #InvestingOpportunity FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting concludes this afternoon; expect some volatility. As the U.S. pushes forward with new tariffs and a tougher trade stance, China appears to blink — signaling potential cracks in its economic armor. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff dive into the latest developments in the U.S.–China trade conflict, why China is making strategic concessions, and what it means for global markets, supply chains, and future negotiations. Danny reviews his trip to South Africa, and they discuss the possible impact of AI on employment; market dynamics are being pulled by two forces: older, more bearish investors, and youthful, more bullish types; dealing with investor exhaustion. The first fallout from the GLP-1 craze is Weight Watchers' bankruptcy; health = wealth.SEG-1: Fed Day Preview - China BlinksSEG-2a: Speaking Like Alpha's & Danny's TravelogueSEG-2b: China Returns to the TableSEG-3a: What Is Overall Impact of AI?SEG-3b: Market Dynamics - Where Are Investors Going?SEG-4: GLP-1 Fallout - Weight Watchers' BankruptcyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:“Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/"Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/"Economic Decline Gains Momentum"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/"Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rqKH5pCCtr8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "No Free Lunch: The Hidden Costs of 'Free' Investment Advice"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-dNIEwh8Coc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketSellOff #20DMA #50DMW #200DMA #InvestingOpportunity #FinancialAdvice #SmartInvesting #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Think you're getting "free" investment advice? Think again. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn uncover the hidden costs behind so-called "free" financial services. Lance reveals the toughest jobs in America, and a look at the end of markets' winning string. Learn how mutual fund share classes — A shares vs. B shares — reveal how advisors get paid, and why front-end and back-end loads can quietly erode your returns.If you're not sure who's paying the fees, it's probably you. Lance and Jonathan take on the great AI debate: Whose jobs will be eliminated? Why Target Date Mutual Funds are the worst financial product on the planet.SEG-1A: The Toughest Jobs in AmericaSEG-1B: Markets End Winning StringSEG-2: Pre-show Planning & No Free LunchSEG-3: The Great AI Debate: Whose Jobs Will Be Replaced?SEG-4: Target Date Mutual Funds: The Worst on the PlanetHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-dNIEwh8Coc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/"Economic Decline Gains Momentum"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/"Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Sell Off" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NDfokdu8Bo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Doing Debt the American Way"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_8BLk9Ewn6k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketSellOff #PeakOil #OilPrices #OilProduction #DrillBabyDrill #20DMA #50DMW #200DMA #InvestingOpportunity #InvestmentFees #NoFreeLunch #MutualFunds #FinancialAdvice #SmartInvesting #StockMarket #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
May begins and stock buy backs return; earnings season has been okay, on lowered expectations. Employment report is stronger than expected, but showing slippage. Lance Roberts explores why resistance levels are challenging both bulls and bears in today’s volatile market. Over the past two weeks, the market has had a furious nine-day rally, the longest winning streak in 21 years. However, there are two takeaways from such a historic advance. First, it is “bullish” as investors return to the market. However, investors should also recognize that if the rally is the longest in 21 years, then previous such rallies failed. As shown in the chart below, there have been longer rallies, with 14 trading days being the peak. But in every case, it is worth remembering the following:“Record levels’ of anything are records for a reason. It is where the point was reached where previous limits existed. Therefore, when a ‘record level’ is reached, it is NOT THE BEGINNING, but rather an indication of the MATURITY of a cycle.”SEG-1: May Begins & Stock Buy Backs ReturnSEG-2: Why Wall Street Doesn't Want You to Hold CashSEG-3: Parsing the Employment Report: Resistance is FutileSEG-4: There is No Magic Wand in InvestingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-dNIEwh8Coc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/"Economic Decline Gains Momentum"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/"Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Has the Market Rally Peaked?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MeqfgKzbwJk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Doing Debt the American Way"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_8BLk9Ewn6k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #BullMarket #BearMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketNormalization #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Why are Americans drowning in debt? In today’s episode, Jonathan McCarty and Matt Doyle uncover the real story behind 'Doing Debt the American Way.' Jonathan and Matt discuss the financial implications to Buy-now/Pay-later plans, how to save money at home, and the choices consumers are making to make ends meet.SEG-1: China's Long Game with TariffsSEG-2: Debt American Style SEG-3: How to Save Money at HomeSEG-4: First Time Investing for the Younger CrowdHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_8BLk9Ewn6k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Path Ahead: Soar, Stall, Or Plummet"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-path-ahead-soar-stall-or-plummet/"Interest Rate Swaps: Plumbing Of The Financial System"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/interest-rate-swaps-plumbing-of-the-financial-system/"A Rare Zweig Breadth Thrust Provides Optimism"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-rare-zweig-breadth-thrust-provides-optimism/"Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/"Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Corrections are Investing Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4baHmCJqfYU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "What Is Up with Yields?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXH5dCkquaI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1827s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AmericanDebt #DebtCrisis #FinancialHealth #ConsumerDebt #MoneyMatters #BondYields #InterestRates #YieldCurve #MarketTrends #InvestingInsights #MarketCorrection #InvestingOpportunity #Gold #Oil #Liquidity#StayTheCourse #InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #LongTermInvesting #FinancialPlanning #TakeProfits #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketNormalization #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Bond yields are rising — but why now, and what does it mean for your investments?In this episode, we break down what's driving Treasury yields higher, how the Federal Reserve and inflation expectations are playing a role, and what the risks (and opportunities) are for stocks, bonds, and the broader economy.Stay ahead of market shifts with expert insights and practical strategies for the changing rate environment."SEG-1: Meta & MSFT Results to Float all BoatsSEG-2: What's Up with Yields, Pt-1 - The Inputs to CPISEG-3: What's Up w Yields, Pt-2 - Debt Refinancing MythsSEG-4: What's Up w Yields, Pt-3 - Margin, Liquidity, & Volatility RiskHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXH5dCkquaI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1827s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Interest Rate Swaps: Plumbing Of The Financial System"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/interest-rate-swaps-plumbing-of-the-financial-system/"A Rare Zweig Breadth Thrust Provides Optimism"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-rare-zweig-breadth-thrust-provides-optimism/"Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/"Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Corrections are Investing Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4baHmCJqfYU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Why is the Trade Deficit at Record Levels?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXH5dCkquaI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1827s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BondYields #InterestRates #YieldCurve #MarketTrends #InvestingInsights #MarketCorrection #InvestingOpportunity #Gold #Oil #Liquidity#StayTheCourse #InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #LongTermInvesting #FinancialPlanning #TakeProfits #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketNormalization #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Why is the trade deficit at record levels?Lance Roberts breaks down the record-setting U.S. trade deficit and its far-reaching implications. From global trade imbalances and currency pressures to the potential impact on interest rates and inflation, we unpack what this growing deficit could signal for the U.S. economy in 2025.Lance Roberts explores: How the trade deficit affects GDP and growthWhether trade surpluses or deficits are “bad” for the economyKey sectors driving the imbalanceWhat investors need to watch going forwardSEG-1: Be Careful in May (and don't go away)SEG-2: The Problem with Buy Now-Pay LaterSEG-3: The Truth about "Tariff-fueled" InflationSEG-4a: What Markets Really Care AboutSEG-4b: Market Open PreviewHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXH5dCkquaI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1827s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"A Rare Zweig Breadth Thrust Provides Optimism"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-rare-zweig-breadth-thrust-provides-optimism/"Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/"Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Normalizing?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IgzHlYeVdYM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=6s -------Our previous show is here: "Should You "Stay the Course" Now?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtRcKMkKoFQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StayTheCourse #InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #LongTermInvesting #FinancialPlanning #TakeProfits #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketNormalization #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Should you stay invested during today's market volatility? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn dive into why staying the course could be your best long-term strategy — and when it might make sense to rethink your plan. Whether you're worried about a market correction or planning for the future, we'll help you navigate through the noise with smart, practical advice. Lance and Jonathan also address how to define risk, the Math of Loss, and how liquidity gives you options. The emerging issue of AI interviews for job openings; why leverage is not a bad thing, and why the rich have no aversion to debt.SEG-1: Why Inflation Fears are UnfoundedSEG-2: The Problem with Buy & HoldSEG-3: Why Warren Buffett is Holding CashSEG-4a: Interviewing AI ApplicantsSEG-4b: Why Rich People Have no Aversion to DebtHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtRcKMkKoFQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"A Rare Zweig Breadth Thrust Provides Optimism"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-rare-zweig-breadth-thrust-provides-optimism/"Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/"Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Start taking Profits " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nlVXku2L9ow&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Correction Continues - How Risk Management Protects Your Portfolio"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zo7ij56aoBM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StayTheCourse #InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #LongTermInvesting #FinancialPlanning #TakeProfits #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The market correction continues, and understanding the value of risk management is more critical than ever. Lance Roberts breaks down why market volatility is a normal part of investing, how risk management strategies protect your portfolio, and practical steps you can take today to stay disciplined. Learn how to navigate downturns, control emotions, and plan for long-term success.Key Topics:• Market correction insights• Importance of managing investment risk• Risk management strategies during volatility• How to avoid emotional investment decisionSEG-1: Correction Likely to ContinueSEG-2: Now is a Good Time to Reduce RiskSEG-3: For Every Buyer there's a SellerSEG-4: The Probabilities of ArmageddonHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zo7ij56aoBM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Correction Continues – The Value Of Risk Management"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/correction-continues-remain-cautious/"Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Rally We've Been Looking For" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrau1crd3LM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Wouldn't You Rather Roth?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1U-OXgzj4g4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/ -------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are you contemplating a Roth IRA conversion in 2025? With potential tax rate increases on the horizon, now might be the optimal time to act. Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty delve into: The benefits of converting to a Roth IRA before 2026 Strategies to minimize taxes during conversion How Roth conversions can impact your retirement planning The role of Roth IRAs in estate planningRich and Jonathan explore how a Roth IRA can offer tax-free withdrawals, eliminate required minimum distributions (RMDs), and provide greater flexibility in retirement. We'll also discuss the implications of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act expiring in 2026 and how that affects your decision-making.SEG-1: Why China Needs the U.S.SEG-2: Roth EvangelismSEG-3: Planning for Longevity in RetirementSEG-4: The Joy (and Strategy) of GiftingHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1U-OXgzj4g4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Path Ahead: Soar, Stall, Or Plummet"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-path-ahead-soar-stall-or-plummet/"The Death Cross And Market Bottoms"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/"Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Middlin Momentum" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA6HUOOge7Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: The Path Ahead: Soar, Stall, Or Plummet?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mx2LIiXrMlc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RothIRA #TaxPlanning #RetirementStrategies #RothConversion #SmartMoneyMoves #EconomicTrends #StockMarketFuture #BullOrBear #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #DonaldTrump #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Will the market soar to new heights, stall in uncertainty, or plummet into correction?Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the key drivers that will shape the economy and stock market in the months ahead. From Federal Reserve policy shifts to earnings forecasts, geopolitical risks to liquidity conditions—this is your investor’s guide to what's next. Whether you're managing a portfolio or planning your financial future, this episode offers data-driven insights and strategic foresight you won't want to miss.SEG-1: The Burrito Economic IndicatorSEG-2: Three Paths Forward for MarketsSEG-3: Bear Market vs Bull Market: Putting Markets in ContextSEG-4: Is a Liquidity Crisis Brewing?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mx2LIiXrMlc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Path Ahead: Soar, Stall, Or Plummet"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-path-ahead-soar-stall-or-plummet/"The Death Cross And Market Bottoms"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/"Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Middlin Momentum" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA6HUOOge7Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Trump vs. Powell: Should the Fed Chair Be Fired?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wk1oFwfzi90&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#OilPrices #OilDemand #ConsumerDemand #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestorForecast #EconomicTrends #StockMarketFuture #BullOrBear #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #DonaldTrump #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
On today's show, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dig into the growing tensions between Donald Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Should Trump fire Powell? What would it mean for interest rates, inflation, and market stability? Join me as we explore the politics behind the Fed, the potential fallout for investors, and what history tells us about presidential pressure on the central bank.SEG-1: The Economy IS SlowingSEG-2: Trump vs PowellSEG-3: Tariffs & Consumer CHoiceSEG-4: Tariffs Are Never a PositiveHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wk1oFwfzi90&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Death Cross And Market Bottoms"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/"Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Taking Risk Off the Table" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7E7r7Qx48Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "If Spock Was Your Financial Advisor"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmqBwxAEAmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #DonaldTrump #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We're not exactly going where no man has gone before, but a recent piece in Forbes.com caught our eye, and it's worth...exploring. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn blend a little pop culture with personal finance on today's episode: What if logic—not emotion—guided your financial decisions? How might the legendary Vulcan's rational mindset be applied to modern investing. From avoiding behavioral biases to making objective portfolio decisions, we break down what it truly means to invest like Spock. Whether you’re a die-hard Star Trek fan or just looking for smarter money habits, this episode blends pop culture with practical financial wisdom. Live long—and invest logically.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior FInancial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Market Tariff Turmoil, Trump -Powell FeudSEG-2: Dealing with Dire Headlines vs RealitySEG-3: Investing Lessons From a VulcanSEG-4a: Dealing w the Dollar or Going with Gold?SEG-4b: How Much Money You Need for Retirement - debunkedHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's video on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmqBwxAEAmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Death Cross And Market Bottoms"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/"Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Mimicking 2022?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d88hmC6Ipjs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #LogicalInvesting #SpockFinance #VulcanWisdom #RationalInvestor #MoneyMindset #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is the dreaded death cross a warning sign—or a buying opportunity?In this episode, I break down what the death cross really signals for the stock market and whether it reliably marks a market bottom or just more volatility ahead. We’ll look at historical patterns, technical analysis indicators, and investor behavior during past bear markets. If you're trying to navigate through the noise and make smarter investment decisions, this episode is for you. We also deal with an electrical power outage in the third segment, resulting in a truncated show.SEG-1: Markets Are Working Thru RetestingSEG-2: Be Careful of RationalizationSEG-3: The Death Cross Explained (w thunder crash)SEG-4: Campfire TalesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Death Cross And Market Bottoms"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/"Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBl6GOYthE8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets could experience volatility today as options expire; healthcare stocks are also being sympathetic to UnitedHealthCare's unhealthy quarterly report and performance of weight loss drug makers' stocks. Markets are recovering from recent lows: Did the "Death Cross" mark the bottom? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks criticizing President Trump's tariff policies, highlighting their potential to exacerbate inflation and slow economic growth has reignited tensions between Powell and Trump, reminiscent of their earlier disputes during President Trump's first term. UnitedHealthCare is struggling with Medicare and Medicaid costs; drug stocks are part of a sector rotation story that includes weight loss pills and clinical trials; Lance and Michael discuss the relative relevance of the Dow vs the S&P, sector rotations, and the danger of listening too closely to negative narratives in the media. SEG-1: Options Expirations to Generate Market VolatilitySEG-2: Powell vs Trump: Liquidity ProblemsSEG-3: The Saga of UnitedHealthCareSEG-4: Dealing with the Dow vs S&P: Sector RotationsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mt6uvwuEjCQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Swaps And Basis Trades Warn Of Mounting Liquidity Problems"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/swaps-and-basis-trades-warn-of-mounting-liquidity-problems/“Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/"The Dollar And Inflation: Don’t Believe The Hype"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/"Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/"Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBl6GOYthE8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TrumpVsPowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Election2025 #MonetaryPolicy #MarketLow #EconomicActivity #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #MarketLow #TariffImpact #JeromePowell #DonaldTrump #FederalReserve #RecessionReady #FinancialPlanning #EconomicDownturn #MoneyTips #RecessionProof #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts' opening monologue covers Easter prep, DMA Death Crosses, and rising recession risk; an earnings season update (so far, okay), the lack of forward guidance, and negative earnings revisions (except in the Russell 2000); the significance of the 50-DMA crossing below the 200-DMA: Know the context. Event-driven vs. Construct-driven corrections; Scott Bessent and tariffs, tax cuts, and deregulation; what if the US and China reach an accord? Defining Bear Markets vs Corrections; what to do to prepare for Recessions; what comes next, after tariffs? Is now the best time to take RMD's, or wait until EOY? Tariffs are "The Art of the Deal." Charitable ways to take RMD's. Donuts, 8-Balls, & Tax Planning: strategies for buying & selling; the danger of being overly negative.SEG-1: Recession Risk RisesSEG-2: When the Death Cross OccursSEG-3: Bear Market vs Correction - How to Prepare for RecessionSEG-4: Strategies for Buying and SellingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:“Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/"The Dollar And Inflation: Don’t Believe The Hype"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/"Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/"Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Death Cross Signals Consolidation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9A7En3WnClw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "It's Tax Day!"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYhGAfYYmZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #TariffImpact #RecessionReady #FinancialPlanning #EconomicDownturn #MoneyTips #RecessionProof #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Tax Day 2025 — are you ready? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn review last-minute tax tips, filing strategies, and how to avoid costly IRS penalties. But frankly, if you haven't gotten it done by today...There are market benefits from Tax Day, as some tax return money finds its way back into play; stock buy back will also supply some support to markets. In an event-driven market (tariffs), have we passed the markets' low? How the US Dollar is dealing with pressure. Last-minute tax tips include HSA advice, and shwat diversification is not. Treasury Sec'y Scott Bessent and Bond Market turmoil: Is it beginning to taper? Will there be a battle between the Treasury and the Fed? Lance and Jonathan review HSA's and 72-T rules & penalties. Volatility in the market: There's nothing really wrong. Portfolio management mistakes: You don't really make money until you sell. Everything reverts to the mean; how markets work; dealing with loss avoidance; what goes up must come down.SEG-1: Have We Passed the Market Low?SEG-2: Last Minutes Tax Day TipsSEG-3a: More Tax Tips: HSA's & 72-T'sSEG-3b: Volatility in the Market - Why Hedge?SEG-4: You Don't Make Money Until You SellHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYhGAfYYmZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Dollar And Inflation: Don’t Believe The Hype"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/"Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/"Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Dollar Under Pressure," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_C0sBBJ9EPE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp7qlAhspWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TaxDay2025 #TaxTips #IRSDeadline #LastMinuteTaxes #FileYourTaxes #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #InternationalTrade #YieldSpreads #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #YieldCurve2025 #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #NAFTA #BillMaher #DonaldTrump #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are we heading toward a recession in 2025?In this episode, Lance Roberts explores why yield curve inversions and widening credit spreads suggest the risk isn’t over yet, what the bond market is telling investors, and how these indicators have predicted past recessions and what it could mean for your portfolio. Lance covers: The Tariff impact on Apple The mistake of confusing trade deficits with tariffs Markets' relief rally Tariffs paused not likely to return Yield curve inversion and economic signals * Credit spreads and financial stress Implications for the stock and bond markets The Fed's hands are not tied The dark side of NAFTASEG-1: After Moratorium, Will Tariffs Return?SEG-2a: Bill Maher & Donald TrumpSEG-2b: The Importance of Yield SpreadsSEG-3: The Fed's hands Are Not TiedSEG-4: YouTube Bans & The Dark Side of NAFTAHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp7qlAhspWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/"Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Get Tariff Relief," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToBQdtd1Ydg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Best Tariff Tactic May Be a Roth Conversion "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cp4VjyYxIGg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#YieldSpreads #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #YieldCurve2025 #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #NAFTA #BillMaher #DonaldTrump #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Quarterly reporting season is upon us, with JP Morgan setting the tone for earnings, as the tariff tango with China continues; how are advisors handling the turmoil? Consumer front loading pulling forward future demand will lead to economic irregularities later. Richard and Matt discuss dealing effectively during corrections and taking advantage of tax efficiencies; creating a "loss bank;" paying taxes means you're making money. cutting through the headlines and the negative influence of social media; the evolution of work in America: Where did all the jobs go? Rich and Matt point out the value of having a financial plan in place during tumultuous times like these; dealing with the psychological shift that comes with retirement; the opportunity for Roth conversions; making"Tikie-Tokies." The Social Security tax torpedo and The Retirees First Act; Rich & Matt discuss taxing Socia lSecurity and the three forms of US taxation; Yellen vs Greenspan.SEG-1: JP Morgan Sets Tone for Earnings SeasonSEG-2: Managing Money Effectively During CorrectionsSEG-3: The Value of a Financial Plan in Times Like TheseSEG-4: The Social Security Tax TorpedoHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cp4VjyYxIGg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Trumps Economic Revolution: Unraveling A Blessing And A Curse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-economic-revolution-unraveling-a-blessing-and-a-curse/"Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/"Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reverse All Losses," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLHne8xJaHs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Monster Rally or market Bottom?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpK9eML4BM4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RothConversion #TaxStrategy #RetirementPlanning #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #MarketRally #InvestingInsights #BullOrBear #FinancialTalk #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What really happened behind the scenes as President Trump seemingly performed an about-face on tariffs, sending markets zooming on Wednesday: Markets enjoyed their 3rd best performance since WW-2, erasing all the losses since tariffs were first announced last week. Lance reviews the Basis Trade terror, not tariffs, that caused the turn about. The correction cycle is likely not over, however; markets are challenging resistance. Lance reviews what RIA bought and sold. Lance and Michael discuss how we avoid the next financial crash, and the impact of leverage on the Basis Trade. Where do we go from here? Dealing with Bond Risk. Tariffs add pressure to the economy, and the goal is to lower inflation and interest rates to better manage excessive debt. What is the Fed likely to do next? The market is based on moral hazard; there's too much debt, and too much leverage. Should hedge funds be limited on amount of leverage? Looking at the 3rd largest day on Wall Street since WW-2: Nobody talks about the ten-worst days in the market;don't be impulsive: Use rules to guide portfolio moves.SEG-1: Markets Erase LossesSEG-2: The Impact of Leverage on Basis TradeSEG-3: The Whole Market is Based on Moral HazardSEG-4: Nobody Talks About the Ten Worst Days in the MarketHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpK9eML4BM4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Trumps Economic Revolution: Unraveling A Blessing And A Curse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-economic-revolution-unraveling-a-blessing-and-a-curse/"Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/"Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reverse All Losses," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLHne8xJaHs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Liquidity Cracks"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_zfOuvXVw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2705s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket2025 #MarketRally #InvestingInsights #BullOrBear #FinancialTalk #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
China retaliates to Trump's retaliation to China's tit-for-tat response to tariffs; downward pressure continues as markets trying to recalibrate with a moving tariff target; there are cracks appearing in the treasury market from the basis trade; what will the Fed do? Lance explains the latest gyrations in markets and the sharp rise in bond yields. Basis trade explained; appears to be at 20X leverage: Is someone getting margin calls and liquidating? Tariffs are not the issue here; will the Fed step in? Wall Mart reports earnings, but cannot provide guidance until tariff trouble is resolved. How much money does it take to move markets one-point? Slowing economy = less demand = high unemployment. It's going to get worse before it gets better. There is an alarming trend of 401k early withdrawals; "leakage" has been a problem for a while. Lance and Danny examine the eruption in the bond market; don't over react. The VIX has spiked, but is moderating. What will the Fed do? The best tariff trade is the Roth conversion.SEG-1: Tit-for-tat on TariffsSEG-2: What is the Basis Trade?SEG-3: It's Going to Get Worse Before It Gets BetterSEG-4: Eruption in the Bond MarketHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_zfOuvXVw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2705s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/"Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Yields Belie Market Instability," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnT6n_NY_tY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally; What's Next?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLv00PZtAHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #CreditCrunch #FedWatch #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #ETF #Liquidity #StockMarketRally #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInsights #FinanceNews #EconomicTrends #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets jumped on a false report of a 90-day wait on tariffs, and took investors on a roller-coaster ride Monday.ance Roberts & Jonathan Penn explore the possibilities, plus why should shouldn't even LOOK at your portfolio right now...also, is a recession coming? That is the billion-dollar question investors now face. One gauge to help us answer the question is corporate bond yield spreads. When the yield differential between corporate bond yields and risk-free Treasury bonds widens significantly, it signals that bond investors are taking a risk-averse stance. Simply, they are pricing higher odds of corporate defaults, typical when economic growth slows, especially during recessionary periods. Lance and Jonathan also cover more tariff talk, and Lance's preferred path, a brief interlude (but no spoilers) about Taylor Sheridan's "1923" finale episode (there is a connection), and a review of the Five Laws of Stupidity (link is provided below).SEG-1: Earnings Season ReconvenesSEG-2: The Two Camps of InvestorsSEG-3: What Credit Spreads are Telling UsSEG-4: Five Laws of StupidityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLv00PZtAHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/"Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Ready to Rally?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxKBXB4s4Vg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Market Crash - Hope in the Fear"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUFhH72D1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarketRally #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInsights #FinanceNews #EconomicTrends #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are markets close to a short-term bottom? The response to the unexpected magnitude of tariffs creates pain and anxiety, as markets reprice valuations and trade negotiations begin. Some markets suspend short-selling; US markets are over-sold; bonds are doing well; the Fed is expected to cut rates five times. Lance discusses markets' hope and fear (charts); lessons investors can learn from the Coog's vs Duke (Lance's wife is not amused). Wall Street will find a narrative to rally markets, and then sell. A look at our Fear/Greed indicator (and how it differs from others'); probabilities vs possibilities, the risk range report. Looking for a reflex rally now; what we're going to do.SEG-1: Markets Respond to TariffsSEG-2: Markets' Hope & FearSEG-3: Coogs vs Duke: Dealing with the UnexpectedSEG-4: Probabilities & PossibilitiesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUFhH72D1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/"The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Fishing for a Bottom," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPQ16u0rgr0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Will Tariff Turmoil Cause Retirement Revisions?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJXH8JLD6Fg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2329s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets scuttled over 5% following President Trump's initial reveal of intended tariffs on trading partners he says have been trading unfairly with the U.S. The fallout continues today, and Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty examine Tariffs and Retirement Planning, the rise of protectionism vs globalism, and how tariffs affect the economy. Bonds are playing an important role in a 60/40 portfolio, and here are some possible Retirement Portfolio Strategies for the rest of 2025. Rich and Jonathan also discuss Market Volatility and Retirement and the Trade War's Impact on Investments. Does this week's market rout provide buying opportunities? It's unwise to completely ignore your portfolio, just as it is dangerous to execute knee-jerk changes in response to news headlines. Rich & Jonathan also discuss the Tax Cut and Jobs Act, which they believe will either sunset or drastically change. SEG-1: Markets Get a Tariffic HeadacheSEG-2: Bonds Are Doing Their Job in a 60/40 PortfolioSEG-3: Will Tariff Troubles Cause Retirement Plan Revisions?SEG-4: Looking at the Mega Roth OptionHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJXH8JLD6Fg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2329s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Trump's Puzzle"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-puzzle/"Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/"Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L7DmJ4JA8M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Markets' Tariff Tizzy"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uAO2xjOt-w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #MarketVolatility #TradeWar2025 #FinancialFreedom #TradeTensions2025 #TariffTalk #GlobalMarkets #EconomicUpdate #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #TariffTerror #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
President Donald Trump's tariff terrors were revealed Wednesday afternoon, and markets were not enthused. At all. The worse than expected tariff rates are the highest ever. Trade policy is still uncertain, however, as the tariffs are seen as a negotiating tactic, and subject to revision. But this makes it difficult for companies to re-calculate forward looking estimates of earnings. And as the ripple effects of higher expenses are felt in the economy, the risk of recession rises. Lance takes a break to extol his wife's virtues as a basketball savant; Lance and Michael discuss the likely Fed response to higher tariffs and slower economic growth, review a chart of the VIX (more volatility on the way), and emphasize the importance of context and perspective before reacting to the tariffs' effects. Markets are not not red or blue; disallow political influences when making investment decisions. Lance and Michael reveal the silver lining behind the tariffs' effects; narratives will drive markets for the next few weeks until fresher economic data is seen. With the imposition of these tariffs, will Trump be emboldened to talk tax cuts? SEG-1: Trump Tariffs: Worse Than ExpectedSEG-2: The Risk of Recession RisesSEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts Basketball SavantSEG-3b: What Will Fed's Response to Tariffs Be?SEG-4: The Bad News/Good News About TariffsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uAO2xjOt-w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Trump's Puzzle"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-puzzle/"Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/"Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L7DmJ4JA8M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Failure At The 200-DMA – Correction Continues"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kkazRwbURU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2402s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TradeTensions2025 #MarketVolatility #TariffTalk #GlobalMarkets #EconomicUpdate #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #TariffTerror #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Liberation Day arrives: Clarity about tariffs should help markets. What will be the impact on economic growth: Will consumers pay higher prices or choose alternatives? There are too many variables to calculate the true economic impact. Market performance this year is all about diversification of assets within portfolios...and what's working this year may not work next year. Avoid complacency! Before the bell, downside risk still remains. RIP, Val Kilmer. Today is "Liberation Day" (from what?) Have markets already priced-in the effects? This is a difficult market to hedge: Do you bet on the Mag-7 or the other 493? The best thing to do today is...nothing. The truth about tariffs: Foreign nations have been charging the US tariffs all along (40% of US Corporate profits come from exports); Trump just wants to equalize the playing field. The unknown variable is Consumer Choice: No one knows what folks will choose to purchase. Lance looks at interest rates, what drives them, and where they're likely going. Tariffs do lead to slower economic growth, but current economic data does not support bear porn. Increased costs = reduced demand. Inflation expectations are parsed by political proclivities. SEG-1: Liberation Day: Downside Risks RemainSEG-2: Liberation from What?SEG-3: The Truth About TariffsSEG-4: Where Are Interest Rates Going - What are the Drivers?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kkazRwbURU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2402s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/"Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risks to Markets Remain," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZ06pEvG38E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Failure At The 200-DMA – Correction Continues"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ao2ScUuK-Oo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2722s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Investors must remember that we're coming off two years of exceptional market returns, and that market corrections must be viewed in their proper context...and expected. Lance discusses the positive and negative impact of Mag-7 stocks on markets due to their weighting; meanwhile, the First Quarter has ended with institutional buyers acting in the final minutes of Monday's trading day, boosting stocks to a less than 1% gain at the close. Markets give signals, but context is needed. Corrections are generally buying opportunities. Lance shares a tale of his wife's candy stash and an example of her "largesse" in sharing same; plus a spoiler alert fo the 1923 TV series. How should investors act after a correction? So far, there are no signals indicating a shift from bullish to bearish trends. Lance and Jonathan discuss what "reducing exposure" in a portfolio really means, and lessons learned from 2008. Commentary on BlackRock's Larry Fink (a.k.a Darth Vader) plans to open private investing to Main Street investors, and why it's a horrible idea. Why is Hooters filing for bankruptcy? We keep abreast of the story. SEG-1: Keep Market Corrections in ContextSEG-2: Corrections are Buying OpportunitiesSEG-3a: Christina's Hoard & 1923 Spoiler AlertSEG-3b: Lessons from 2008: What Reducing Exposure Really MeansSEG-4: Blackrock's Making Private Markets PublicHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ao2ScUuK-Oo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2722s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Teeter over Tariffs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMynEDDoNhY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Saleable Rally or "Buy the Dip?""https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
There are no discernable signs of economic stress...yet, bu tconsumers are concerned about wages and job security. The question begging to be asked: When is the Fed going to step in (Fed purview: Employment and price stability...AND by extension, consumer confidence). How will markets react to Liberation Day (4/2)? Corporate buy backs will resume 3rd week of April. Markets pulled back on Friday (mimicking four similar pull backs last year.) Make no changes just yet; wait for the next market bounce. Can corporations pass along the expense of increased tariffs? When will the Fed act? Goldman is cutting its earnings expectations for 2025, and valuations are beginning to fall. Lance explains the relevance of Consumer Confidence to PCE, which contributes 70% of GDP. A decline in Consumer Confidence results in a decline in PCE...and earnings. Turmoil in the markets: Don't panic; this, too, shall pass. Tariffs are a tax corporations pay; consumer choice is a big factor: choose to not buy, or purchase for less elsewhere. Market declines have nothing to do with tariffs; tariffs are not a black swan event. Lance shares about the Roberts' blended family, and how he's making his kids independent in the face of a report showing 50% of parents are supporting their adult children in some fashion. SEG-1: How Might Markets React to Liberation Day?SEG-2: When Will the Fed Act?SEG-3: Tariffs Are Not a Black Swan EventSEG-4: When Parents Support Adult ChildrenHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Sell Before the Bounce ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will Healthcare Expenses Outpace Your Retirement Savings?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEvPkwCQ3GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=31s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard Rosso and Matthew Doyle discuss rising healthcare costs and their impact on retirement healthcare planning: What would happen if you were to outlive retirement savings...and how to successfully initiate financial planning for medical expenses so you can better manage healthcare inflation in your retirement years. There's also conversation about Tariff Terror and the markets' dislike for uncertainty; what would a Spam tariff look like? Bond pricing and the viability of tariffs if the economy continues to weaken; Seniors living along is on the rise: "Un-partnered." Is America going the way of Japan demographically? Richard's concept for a retirement "village:" Dead Ends. How technology helps Seniors age in place (FiveWishes.org) Richard & Matt discuss Gene Hackman's estate and financial/estate planning foibles of the rich & famous; estimating healthcare expenses in retirement (Richard's birthday is this weekend: What Medicare package will he choose?) The value of nutrition in retirement. SEG-1: Tariff Terror & Market UncertaintySEG-2: Bond Pricing & Tariff TalkSEG-3a: Candid Coffee previewSEG-3b: Seniors Living AloneSEG-4a: Gene Hackman's EstateSEG-4b: Estimating Healthcare Costs in RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEvPkwCQ3GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=31s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is The Correction Over?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Tariff Talk Tatters Traders," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "When Economic Forecasts Diverge,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qizvC5xxIX0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1409s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#HealthcareCosts #RetirementPlanning #FinancialWellness #MedicalExpenses #MoneyMatters #EconomicForecasts #GDPNow #Nowcast #MarketOutlook2025 #RecessionOrRecovery #InvestingInUncertainty #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Tariff talk is giving markets a fit, unable to price equities or make reasonable earnings estimates amidst the on-again, off-again tariff threats. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow economic forecasting tool predicts an imminent recession, which is fueling investor angst. However, the New York and St. Louis Feds’ Nowcast economic forecasts predict continued economic growth in the first quarter.Confused?Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore the GDPNow and Nowcast models to understand the recent forecast divergences. How do these affect economic forecasts for 2025? How do they align with recession predictions vs growth outlook and the Federal Reserve interest rate outlook? What should investors do when presented with conflicting economic indicators, and how should you factor-in market uncertainty analysis? Also a look at the impact of Gold on the trade deficit, and a look at the Debt Ceiling and X-Date. SEG-1: Tariff Talk & Sentiment ShiftSEG-2: Bear Porn NirvanaSEG-3: GDP Now & Nowcast DivergenciesSEG-4a: Impact of Gold on Trade DeficitSEG-4b: The Debt Ceiling and X-DateHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qizvC5xxIX0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1409s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is The Correction Over?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Tariff Talk Tatters Traders," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Risk of Recession Rising?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLfl-tzH17k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1984s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#EconomicForecasts #GDPNow #Nowcast #MarketOutlook2025 #RecessionOrRecovery #InvestingInUncertainty #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is the risk of recession rising? Consumer sentiment is flagging following last week's market correction. Investors cannot dismiss sentiment and money flows. Everything that drives the market gets down to earnings. The next round of earnings reports will commence in a couple of weeks. It appears the Dollar has bottomed, and markets are setting up for a rally short term. Lance and Danny address misinformation about recession vs stagflation; there does not yet appear to be evidence of recession, but markets are pretty good predictors. Lance addresses the hard realities of losses, and the quickest way to solve them is to accept them and move on. No one is going to swoop in and save you. A discussion on investor psychology, telling the truth about what you really want. SEG-1: Is the Risk of Recession Rising?SEG-2: Recession vs Stagflation?SEG-3: The Hard Reality of Accepting LossesSEG-4: Investor Psychology and Realistic ExpectationsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLfl-tzH17k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1984s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is The Correction Over?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "From Correction to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6GspLUM6fA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Rally On1"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gmp6NjUIwoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Recession2025 #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance launches today's show with Tariff Talk: the sticks and carrot strategy to gain more favorable trade conditions for the U.S.; the threat of tariffs and their impact are weighing on markets. Meanwhile, the Mag-7 and Mag-10 stocks continue to provide life to markets. Money flows have turned positive, and the MACD momentum signal has issued a buy signal. Portfolio managers rebalancing this week will create more volatility. Lacen stays up late to watch "Greyhound;" Is the correction over, or is there more to come? Lance discusses the signs from investor sentiment, Bollinger bands, money flows, pricing and breadth as buyers return to the markets. Lance previews 12 Investing Rules by Gerald Loeb; egg and orange juice prices are now falling and could become deflationary; Lance and Jonathan discuss the importance of knowing what you own, how to read a brokerage statement, and who's buying bonds now. How we know consumers are in stress. The 23 & Me bankruptcy is rich fodder for discussion; how you know when you have a bad board of directors. When to take profits (and what does it mean?) Same thing as selling losers. How much to trim? Market volatility and the velocity of trading are different now; how we do that voodoo that we do. SEG-1: Tariff Talk & Mag-7 MondaySEG-2a: Tom Hanks' "Greyhound"SEG-2b: Is the Correction Over, or Coming Again?SEG-3: Eggs, OJ, & Market SentimentSEG-4a: 23 & Me BankruptcySEG-4b: How Do You Know When to Take Profits?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gmp6NjUIwoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is The Correction Over?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "More Volatility Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQZDS8mnRyc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Correction Over?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gTe3Q7Sopk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1068s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are wrapping up the final week of March, dealing with the uncertainty of the on-again, off-again tariffs. Manager are prepping for the end of the quarter, and will be rebalancing portfolios that are under-weight in stocks; the corporate buy back window is closed, removing a source of buyers. The markets' sharp 10% decline over three weeks appears to have abated, momentum is about to trigger a MACD buy signal; money flows are turning positive. Doing nothing in times like these is hard, but often the best course to take. Lance examines whether or not you should own Tesla. Markets provide opportunities for fixing or change mistakes; buying when others are selling is hard to do. A look at the rates of decline in U.S. Birth rates, and why younger people are not marrying, or producing families; we're copying Japan. demographics are destiny. The Way We Were - job expectations then and now; it's all about managing expectations, and why some will succeed and some will not: All about work and tenacity (example: The Savanna Banana's). SEG-1: TheOn-Again, Off-Again TariffsSEG-2: Why Doing Nothing Sometimes is BestSEG-3: U.S. Birth rates Decline - Demographics are DestinySEG-4: The Way We Were - First Jobs Expectations Then & NowHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gTe3Q7Sopk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1068s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is The Correction Over?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Worst of the Correction May be Past" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=phCEDnX0zVA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Financial Advice We Love to Hate"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzAfW3NVAPg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Sometimes the best financial advice isn't always the most palatable. And sometimes the things we like turn out to be bad Financial Advice. Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty explore common Money Mistakes and offer sound Financial Planning Tips, expose Personal Finance Myths, and caution about Money Advice to Avoid. SEG-1: Impact of DOGE on Government EfficiencySEG-2a: Social Security Anti-fraud MeasuresSEG-2b: Financial Advice We Love to Hate (Preview)SEG-3: Financial Advice We Love to HateSEG-4a: Market Futures & Tariff TalkSEG-4b: More Financial Advice We Love to HateHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzAfW3NVAPg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/"Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/"Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/“Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Entering Bigger Corrective Cycle?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0w_atbcFfo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Fed Put Back?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsEnQg-8Zvo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BadMoneyAdvice #FinancialFreedom #MoneyMyths #SmartMoneyMoves #FinanceTips #FinancialFitnessFriday #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Turns out "Forever 21" isn't, with its bankruptcy filing; it's the first day of Spring, with blue bonnets and yellow pollen. Emerging economic data seems to be okay with nothing alarming...yet. Buy back window will close as preparations begin for next earnings season. The FEd reactivates the "Fed Put" with comments at this week's meeting, which creates a bit of moral hazard for investors. The Fed issued its quarterly and long-term projections (which are never correct); Stagflation defined; High inflation defined; the Fed Put defined. Lance opines on the demise of the Dept. of Education; an analysis of the latest Fed meeting: no rate cut for now, with the possibility of two rate cuts in 2025; the first steps in east quantitative tightening; markets are too used to the Fed bailing out risky behavior. Why Ray Dalio (and most headlines) are usually wrong. Lance revisits the Roberts' Beaver Creek vacation with insight on automated McDonald's order kiosks; the future of work and the fallacy of a minimum wage. SEG-1: Still No Sign of Recession...yetSEG-2: Defining the Fed PutSEG-3a: The Demise of Dept. of EducationSEG-3b: When the Fed Steps InSEG-4: The Future of WorkHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsEnQg-8Zvo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/"Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/"Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/“Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Entering Bigger Corrective Cycle?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0w_atbcFfo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Recession or Slowdown?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhlr3L6iqV8&t=10s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FedPut #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #InvestingTrends #FederalReserve #Recession2025 #EconomicSlowdown #StockMarketTrends #FedPolicy #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
UCLA issues its first "Recession Watch" since the 1950's as the media hype ramps up ("If it bleeds, it leads.") Fed meeting preview: No rate cut expectations, but comments regarding Quantitative Tightening will be key for markets. Tuesday's sell off part of the process of markets' finding a bottom. Bonds continue to provide a hedge against stocks. Lance and Danny discuss Lance's demise and how to provide important instructions for the family. Is the market correction a foreshadowing of Recession? The CNBC Fed Survey hikes expectations of Recession: Cannot have higher inflation and Recession; slower economic growth results in lower inflation. Reduction of government spending will reduce economic activity. The genesis of the current banking system. Lance discusses bonds and how debt issuance works, and the alleged "death" of the Dollar.SEG-1: UCLA Issues Recession WatchSEG-2a: I'm Sorry I'm DeadSEG-2b: Recession or Economic Slowdown?SEG-3: CNBC Survey - Hiking Recession ExpectationsSEG-4: How Debt Issuance WorksHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhlr3L6iqV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/"Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/"Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/“Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Sloppy Trading Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuaWsLFLRnQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Retail Investors Buy The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJJkzLT34qA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3245s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Recession2025 #EconomicSlowdown #StockMarketTrends #FedPolicy #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets launch into the second half of March, with the closing of the buy back window in sight; economic numbers include Retail Sales (not bad, but not great): Is a Recession near? (Setting the stage for "lyabetes.") Consumers are slowing down, but egg prices are falling ahead of Easter. The markets' value-rally is approaching resistance at the 200-DMA. Bitcoin is a levered proxy for stocks. Gold is doing well as a risk-off trade. Lance shares the latest about his beloved dog, Gunner. Retail investors are buying the dip, despite overall bearish mood. FOMO of the market bottom; this is a generation of investors who have never seen a market crash. Warren Buffett is amassing cash, but for what? Lance and Jon discuss how Buffett "nibbles." Looking for a rally in the Dollar; previewing this week's Fed meeting (they're always wrong). What the Fed say about Quantitative Easing; pause or not?SEG-1: The Second Half of March - Buy Backs End SoonSEG-2a: Gunner, the Stupid DogSEG-2b: Investors Buy the Dip Despite Bearsh BearishnessSEG-3: Warren Buffett's "Nibbles"SEG-4a: Looking for a Dollar RallySEG-4b: Fed Meeting PreviewHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJJkzLT34qA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3245s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/"Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/"Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/“Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Assaults 200-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=--4rEMEeoeo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj--------Our previous show is here: "Recession Fears Emerge"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-CH6au_1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #MarketRally #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets last week ripped through one of the fastest 10% corrections ever; that's what happens when markets are over bought. Media headlines whip investors into a frenzy with Recession talk, ignoring the fact that in order for a moving average to remain the average, markets must ebb and flow, above and below, in order to provide the average. The Government is shedding non-essential employees (which begs the question of why they were hired in the first place; Congress passess another Continuing Resolution, which only adds fuel to the government spending fire. Lance recounts his dealings with the DST change and an awkward launch of his Spring Break vacation. A discussion about Recession and what really drives markets: Earnings. The "hard" data and "soft" data in the Economic Composite Index; slow growth vs recessionary growth. Why Brent uses RIA haircare and groOming products (and it shows). Trump tariffs: Is he wrong? The mistakes that are being made: Keep it steady. What the markets need most: Stability.SEG-1: The Fastest 10% CorrectionSEG-2a: Dealing w DST & Roberts Family Vacation TalesSEG-2b: Will We Have Recession this Year?SEG-3: Understanding the Economic Output Composite IndexSEG-4: The Mistakes in Trump TariffsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CUebmMHDIf8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3160s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/“Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Sell Off is Normal" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CUebmMHDIf8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "There is More to College Funding than Meets the Eye"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-CH6au_1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We introduce Sarah Buenger, CFP, our in-house college funding expert and Professor of Financial Planning at Texas A&M University. Richard discusses diversification in portfolios vs "sext" stocks, sector rotation, and the Fed's Jobs preview; sentiment doesn't match the markets. Tariff s vs protectionism: disruption is what markets dislike the most. A discussion about social security, and DOGE vs SSA: What is likely to happen? Setting SSA COLA to GDP-E for Seniors; the wisdom in waiting to take SS. Planning for college; FAFSA, Learning Credits, and scholarships. Never fully fund college savings 100%; what to do with left over college fund money? The benefits of taking dual-credit courses in high school. Review AP Classes: Not all universities treat these the same. Not all scholarships require SAT/ACT scores; sports scholarships are typical fractional to pull in more athletes. Finding/applying for scholarships should be a full time summer job for Juniors.SEG-1: Portfolio Diversification vs Sexy StocksSEG-2: DOGE vs SSA: What Will Happen Next?SEG-3: College Funding Tactics: Learning Credits & ScholarshipsSEG-4: Dual Credits & AP Classes: Not all Universities are EqualHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Sarah Buenger, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-CH6au_1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Never Let A Crisis Go To Waste"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/never-let-a-crisis-go-to-waste/"Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/"CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/"CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets to Retest 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r57nK-lMtQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CollegeFunding #StudentLoans #FinancialAid #529Plan #DebtFreeCollege #EmploymentReport #AtlantaGDP #TariffTurmoil #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingInsights #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #Tariffs #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance is preparing for Spring Break Vacation next week (3/10-14); Market rallied Wednesday on possible delays of tariff impositions on Automobiles. Lance reviews potential new tax deductions like we used to have. Deportation forecasts: Previous events did not crash markets. Investor and positioning sentiment are still very negative. (At this point in the broadcast, our streaming connection was lost; the complete audio can be heard on our various audio podcast platforms, listed below.) Is the economy slipping, or are the markets just anxious? Lance and Michael talk about he Atlanta Fed GDP Now report; what will be the next crisis: the Debt Ceiling? Will the Fed halt Quantitative Easing (QT)? How the repeal of Rule 157 resulted in fantasy valuations vs Mark to Market. "This is Water"SEG-1a: Market Rally on Possible Delay of Tariffs on AutosSEG-1b: Before the Bell Complete AudioSEG-2:Is the Economy Slipping or Just Anxious (Complete Audio)SEG-3: Assessing the Atlanta Fed's GDP Now ReportSEG-4: Never Let a Good Crisis Go to WasteHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Never Let A Crisis Go To Waste"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/never-let-a-crisis-go-to-waste/"Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/"CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/"CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets to Retest 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r57nK-lMtQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Tariff Turmoil,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Retest200DMA #EmploymentReport #AtlantaGDP #TariffTurmoil #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingInsights #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #Tariffs #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
President Donald Trump's speech last night kept us up late, running nearly two-hours outlining his plan to offset lower tax revenues with tariffs on other countries. A discussion on reciprocal tariffs; how markets work; where earnings growth comes fromn. Markets are now re-pricing the impact of tariffs (Chart of stock valuations heat map). Lance and Danny discuss the ebb and flow of the U.S. Dollar, and buzzword headlin-generators: The latest is Stagflation. Most do not know the three elements required: Low growth, high inflation, and high unemployment. The Tru-flation index has collapsed, and markets are re-pricing the effects of tariffs. Lance and Danny address the importance of managing emotions and investor behavior/psychology. Why sometimes, the best thing to do is to do nothing. Why eggs prices have nothing to do with inflation. The Value of a Financial Advisor: To make sure income growth exceeds inflation growth. Lance & Danny discuss the viability of international and emerging markets stocks.SEG-1: Trump Speech & Bearish SentimentSEG-2: The Truth About TariffsSEG-3: Ebbs & Flow of US Dollar & TariffsSEG-4: The Value of a Financial AdvisorHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/"CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/"CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Have Markets Found the Bottom?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXM-nqDppmI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What To Do When Everyone is Bearish."https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qCTzhxdR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TariffTurmoil #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingInsights #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #Tariffs #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Tariffs take effect as markets are in mid-correction; investors are extremely bearish. Tariffs only impact production side; consumers may choose not to buy at elevated prices. Lance and Jonathan discuss avocados vs mangos. Markets continue to trade in a broad, large range; markets are seeking an interim bottom. Markets are over sold, and money flows are reversing. Is Christina Lance's Agent 99? Trade Wars, Tariffs, & Inflation: Trade War II effects (charts); Bullish sentiment is at lowest level since 2022; loss aversion psychology. A look at diversification and the role of Bonds; how we build our portfolios (more charts). WWWBB: What would Warren Buffett buy (or sell); why 13-F's are revealing reading (but remember, they're only updated quarterly!) A discussion of portfolio weighting theory; Turtle Trading; nibbling on developed international stocks? All are on the brink of recession. SEG-1: Tariffs Take EffectSEG-2: Get Smart, Trade Wars, & InflationSEG-3: Diversification & Bonds: SEG-4: What Would Warren Buffett Buy?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7qCTzhxdR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/"CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/"CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Adjust for Tariffs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnxrpS-GXw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will Markets March Ahead?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjvhaHHDQvs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=6s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding#MarketTrends #MarketRally #Tariffs #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #GetSmart #WarrenBuffett #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Will Donald Trump's Crypto-reserve translate into a boon for tech stocks and cryptocurrencies? The Atlanta Fed GDP shows negative growth: This does not mean recessionary. Front loading of purchases ahead of tariff imposition will result in pullback from anticipated purchasing later in the year, affecting profits. March is a seasonally strong month. A look at the market rally and rotation trades; the economy is not bad, but pullbacks are coming from DOGE cuts in government spending and job losses, and the impact of fewer immigrants for hiring. (Where are most jobs now being created?) The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is in contraction. Removing government bloat is not without consequence. Don't under-estimate the impact of government policy and hiring on the economy. Lance next discusses the elevated risk appetite of Gen-X investors, who have never known anything but an ever-climbing market climate; the impact of financial crisis & dealin with risk. Lance reviews his essay, "CAPE-5: A Different Measure of Valuation." Valuations reflect sentiment; is "easy-street" for investors coming to an end?SEG-1: Trump's Crypto Reserve: Rally in Tech?SEG-2: Market Rallies & Rotation TradeSEG-3: Don't Underestimate Impact of Gov't HiringSEG-4: CAPE-5: A Different Measure of ValuationHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjvhaHHDQvs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/"CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Negative Sentiment will Fuel Market Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnxrpS-GXw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Instant Results Coming from Social Security Fairness Act"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg6iAmcB7hE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Rich & Matt share thoughts about the late Gene Hackman, followed by market commentary and Bitcoin's behavior: It's NOT a diversifier, but quite speculative. Observations about market performance during the first year of a new presidency. Rich shares his childhood wardrobe prompts (Gene Hackman), and talks PCE preview and the price of eggs. A look at the Social Security Fairness Act provisions that appear to provide back pay to some retirees, effective immediately. Some are in for a windfall as a result of the elimination of the Windfall Elimination Provision in the Social Security Fairness act. Rich and Matt discuss Social Security Reform Updates, Windfall Elimination Provision is Explained, along with Government Pension Offset Changes, and how some retiree benefits could increase almost immediately. A few choice words about the SSA and IRS computer systems. Health is connected to wealth; the Taste of Texas acquires an amazing artifact; Lance publishes his tome on CAPE-5 Valuation. Richard addresses the creation of a personal rate of return you need to know; Bitcoin is not going to bail out your weakened portfolio. Be realistic in your forward-looking estimates. SEG-1a: Gene Hackman ObitSEG-1b: Why Bitcoin is Not a DiversifierSEG-2a: Wardrobe Cues from Gene HackmanSEG-2b: Core PCE Preview & Egg InflationSEG-2c: Social Security Fairness Act ImmediacySEG-3: Health, Wealth, & CAPE-5 ValuationSEG-4: Creating a Personal Rate of ReturnHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg6iAmcB7hE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Consumers Are Losing Confidence"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/consumers-are-losing-confidence/"Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/estimates-by-analysts-have-gone-parabolic/"Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Beats - What Now?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcDdE867HOo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Nvidia Beats - What Now?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr9yuEqtyZE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SocialSecurityFairness #RetirementReform #SocialSecurity #FinancialJustice #WeDeserveBetter #MarketRally #BitCoin #ContrarianIndicator #BondMarket #EggPrices #FederalReserve #ReflexiveRally #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings season is all but done after last night's Q4 Report from Nvidia, which beat estimates, but did not inspire markets. The next dynamic to affect markets will be the closing of the buy back window ahead of Q2 Earnings reporting season. Investor behavior and market psychology is as bearish as ever. We're now seeing risk-off rotation; Lance revisits the effective use of stop-loss settings, and the importance of allowing market activity to mature. Nvidia underwhelms despite beating estimates; this is why fundamentals matter. Could Nvidia become the next "cash cow," a la Apple? RIP, Gene Hackman. Lance and Michael discuss creating liquidity out of debt, and the Fed's Reverse Repo tool. Recent Fed minutes hint at tweaking liquidity ahead of debt ceiling adjustments. Investor psychology and levels of bearishness not unlike pre-crash mentality. This may be the year with high volatility and markets go nowhere. How to be more rational? Adjust views of markets in varying time-spans (weekly, monthly) vs hourly and daily. Double-down or get out? Avoid anchoring on purchase price.SEG-1: Markets Unimpressed w Nvidia BeatSEG-2: Nvidia Beats: Why Fundamentals MatterSEG-3: RIP Gene Hackman; Creating Liquidity from DebtSEG-4: Behavioral Economics: Managing Your Inner VoiceHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr9yuEqtyZE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Consumers Are Losing Confidence"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/consumers-are-losing-confidence/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcDdE867HOo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "How to Avoid an Inheritance Nightmare"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #BitCoin #ContrarianIndicator #BondMarket #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #MarketVolatility #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Nvidia Day today; no matter what happens on Wall Street, tomorrow's activity will hinge on tonight's report. PCE revealed on Friday: This is the one the Fed watches, and it's expected to be weaker. Interestingly, Bonds have outperformed stocks, YTD, so far. Lance discovers RentTheChicken.com; hilarity ensues. Markets take out the 100-DMA, but rally forward; a discussion on stop-losses and knee-jerk reactions. Lance and Jonathan discuss their wives' proclivities based on the latest TikTok video: Chickens, fainting goats, and ducks. The Nvidia story: Is AI going to be "the next Internet?" Nvidia's forward guidance tonight will be all that matters; the consequences of improper estate planning; dealing with mortality. The interpretation of Consumer Confidence Surveys: what's the database? They're more a sample of psychology than economics; the economy IS slowing, but it's not recessionary, but more of a return to pre-pandemic "normal." What is the impact of Federal employee firings? Drill-down into the data; What is the source? Sentiment surveys and expectations are skewed by political preferences. The concern about tariffs: Can companies pass along the increased costs to consumers?SEG-1: Nvidia Day w Markets in Corrective PhaseSEG-2a: Chickens, Goats, & Ducks on TikTokSEG-2b: Nvidia and "the Next Internet"SEG-3: Consequences of Improper Estate PlanningSEG-4: Interpreting Consumer Confidence SurveysHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Due for a Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJZdgesfEqc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #EstatePlanning #InheritanceTips #WealthManagement #FinancialLegacy #TrustsAndWills #RaisingChickens #RentaChicken #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index falls to -4.3: Looks like the data is catching up with reality. Excess Savings Metric: Most are in no better financial shape than before the pandemic; implications to companies' earnings that the bottom 90% are beginning to struggle. Markets challenged the 50-DMA and failed on Monday; likely to be in a corrective phase for a while. "If I were President, the first thing I would do..." Lance and Jonathan solve all problems: Cleaning up D.C. first, and the changes are not going to be without pain. Analysts are extremely optimistic in their earnings estimates for 2026; investors should be careful about over-paying for stocks priced based on these estimates. What Valuation really means: Sentiment. The Schiller CAPE Ratio vs Lance's 5-yar CAPE Ratio (coming attraction!) Investing like Tiger-21 investors: High Net-worth investors' portfolio allocations; key to success is in assets that are not correlated to smooth out volatility. What is true diversification. Why NOT put assets (Gold, Real Estate) into an IRA? Lance and Jonathan provide sound advice here. Is the DOGE Dividend a good idea? Better ways to maximize fat-cutting savings without igniting more inflation.SEG-1: Economic Data is Catching Up w RealitySEG-2: Cleaning up D.C. & Optimistic AnalystsSEG-3a What Valuations Really Mean SEG-3b: High Net-worth Investors & Private EquitySEG-4a: Why Not Put Assets in IRA?SEG-4b: The DOGE Dividend: Best PracticesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/estimates-by-analysts-have-gone-parabolic/"Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets In Corrective Phase," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w_Qnw3WH9qU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "New Coronavirus Discovery Shakes Markets"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1hXd_Jg4mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #FederalReserve #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #CoronavirusDiscovery #StockMarketForecast #AnalystEstimates #ParabolicStocks #EarningsSeason #MarketTrends #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #WuhanLab #CoronaVirus #OptionsExpiration #ReflexiveRally #50DMA #COVID #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #CoronavirusDiscovery #MarketShakeup #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard & Jonathan discuss market activity for the week; the price of admission that investors must pay. Consumers (and companies) do not have a lot of pricing power. The European Conundrum: What happens when the US drops Ukraine support? Tariff talk & pressure on small cap companies; why we don't have to be invested in every asset class (where diversification really came from). Dad pants, Build-a-Bear, learning to give up some stocks, and a bear market mood. The impact of tariffs and the velocity of Trump agenda. Market trepidation; William Shatner should've been hired to pitch Conn's. Phobias: Ketchup, heights, & Sansabelt pants; more market commentary and planning around Sunset Laws. Dealing w Roth IRA vs Roth 401k rules differences. The flaw in investing to avoid paying taxes (hint: If you're paying taxes, you're making money.) Tax planning should occur all year long. Gifting custodial accounts. Richard & Jonathan are covering the 7am CST hour for the host of our terrestrial Radio partner; think of it as a bonus show: Markets aren't Red or Blue, per elections, but Green; learning from mistakes we made curing COVID; deflation and price consciousness; why tariffs will not be inflationary;; consumers will make product substitutions. Why Social Security has become the defacto pension; notes from William Shatner's "Wrath of Khan" presentation: How to plan for outliving your money. living to 100. How to properly claim Social Security; plan for "break-even." Thinking of Social Security as a longevity annuity. Al Pacino Cappucino and how Taylor Swift dodged a bullet. UnitedHealthcare's irregular medicare billings; Medicare Advantage vs MediGap coverages. Financial Planning & Having Kids; Retirement is all about income. Is a guaranteed income a "license to spend?" A look at how retirees spend; tariffs will not create inflation, but will reduce earnings & profits for companies.SEG-1: The Price of Admission Investors Must PaySEG-2: Why We Don't Have to be Invested in Every Asset ClassSEG-3: Financial Planning for Sunset LawsSEG-4: The Flaw in Tax Avoidance InvestingSEG-5: Markets Aren't Red or Blue; They're GreenSEG-6: Williams Shatner & Planning for LongevitySEG-7: UnitedHealthCare & Irregular Medicare BillingSEG-8: Retirement is All About IncomeHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Im4-UkJTRuM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BearMarket #StockMarketCrash #RecessionProof #MarketVolatility #InvestWisely #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance has come up with a new business model for a Help Desk subscription service. It works on anything. The problem with margin debt; there's no appetite for IPO's. What Wall st. is doing instead. market sell off on Friday more the result of volatility around options expiration than Wuhan Lab news of the second coming of Covid. Don't expect any reflex rally today to hold. Economic indicators continue to hint at weaknesses; be aware of the content feeding sentiment surveys. There is a Republican and Democrat dynamic to the data and its interpretation. Two expectations feed into term Premium. Coming this week: The second revision to Q4 GDP (as opposed to China's one-and-done reporting. Or else.) PCE inflation report preview. Will markets ever never focus on Data next-day-ism? (no.) Lance recounts his first exposure to investing, 'Learning from Mr. Lehman." Reading the WSJ, the news was days-old, and average stock holding period was 7-years; contrast with velocity of information today, and average stock holding period not is 4-months. Markets have become like casinos (and the house always wins). What does all of this have to do with margin debt? Short-termism & Market casinos: knowing the rules. Margin debt vs stock prices. The velocity of increase in margin debt is alarming: It provides buying power on the way up, but also adds fuel for selling power on the way down. Margin calls create mandatory selling.SEG-1: Market Correction Not UnexpectedSEG-2: Economic Indicators Continue to Show WeaknessSEG-3: Learning from Mr. LehmanSEG-4: Short-termism, Market Casino's, and Margin DebtHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1hXd_Jg4mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets' Reflex Rally Hold?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I41LvgZmcZc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "When Bears Come Out of Hibernation"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #WuhanLab #CoronaVirus #OptionsExpiration #ReflexiveRally #50DMA #COVID #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #CoronavirusDiscovery #MarketShakeup #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends#InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard & Jonathan discuss market activity for the week; the price of admission that investors must pay. Consumers (and companies) do not have a lot of pricing power. The European Conundrum: What happens when the US drops Ukraine support? Tariff talk & pressure on small cap companies; why we don't have to be invested in every asset class (where diversification really came from). Dad pants, Build-a-Bear, learning to give up some stocks, and a bear market mood. The impact of tariffs and the velocity of Trump agenda. Market trepidation; William Shatner should've been hired to pitch Conn's. Phobias: Ketchup, heights, & Sansabelt pants; more market commentary and planning around Sunset Laws. Dealing w Roth IRA vs Roth 401k rules differences. The flaw in investing to avoid paying taxes (hint: If you're paying taxes, you're making money.) Tax planning should occur all year long. Gifting custodial accounts. Richard & Jonathan are covering the 7am CST hour for the host of our terrestrial Radio partner; think of it as a bonus show: Markets aren't Red or Blue, per elections, but Green; learning from mistakes we made curing COVID; deflation and price consciousness; why tariffs will not be inflationary;; consumers will make product substitutions. Why Social Security has become the defacto pension; notes from William Shatner's "Wrath of Khan" presentation: How to plan for outliving your money. living to 100. How to properly claim Social Security; plan for "break-even." Thinking of Social Security as a longevity annuity. Al Pacino Cappuccino and how Taylor Swift dodged a bullet. UnitedHealthcare's irregular medicare billings; Medicare Advantage vs MediGap coverages. Financial Planning & Having Kids; Retirement is all about income. Is a guaranteed income a "license to spend?" A look at hour retirees spend; tariffs will not create inflation, but will reduce earnings & profits for companies.SEG-1: The Price of Admission Investors Must PaySEG-2: Why We Don't Have to be Invested in Every Asset ClassSEG-3: Financial Planning for Sunset LawsSEG-4: The Flaw in Tax Avoidance InvestingSEG-5: Markets Aren't Red or Blue; They're GreenSEG-6: Williams Shatner & Planning for LongevitySEG-7: UnitedHealthCare & Irregular Medicare BillingSEG-8: Retirement is All About IncomeHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Weighted Indexes Drive Markets Once Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9YgTKhf0IU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BearMarket #StockMarketCrash #RecessionProof #MarketVolatility #InvestWisely #WeightedIndexes #Mag_7 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #SmallCap #LargeCap #EmergingMarkets #InternationalStocks #AllTimeHighs #BitcoinVsDollar #CryptoDebate #BitcoinFuture #DigitalCurrency #FiatVsCrypto #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
he latest Fed Meeting Minutes are out with a bit of insight; Trump's economic policies appear to be deflationary, as consumer strength is weakening; WalMart and Costco are tempering their forward guidance in anticipation. Palantir CEO is selling LOTS of shares as the Defense Dept. is being pushed by DOGE to cut spending. Market pullbacks may offer investors' opportunity; markets continue to do well, but there's a dichotomy between weighted indexes and those with less concentration of Mag-7 stocks. Money flows are still positive, with a surge into the survivors of the SPAC craze phase: More speculative mood. And then there's the "Alien ETF..." Can the Fed stop QT while debt ceiling is under consideration; the the Fed isn't saying about driving liquidity by pausing QT. Cane's vs KFC (we're now identifying generational preferences for fried chicken??) Is the Fed handcuffing itself with the stickiness of inflation vs rising yields? The Fed is setting its own trap with no two-way street on interest rates. Why the Fed needs to keep its mouth shut! The US dollar is the only lawful money in the United States. While some think Bitcoin can supplant the dollar, they fail to acknowledge that it has significant flaws, which we believe are critical to understanding why Bitcoin should not be lawful money. Lance and Michael discuss Bitcoin vs US Dollar, Cryptocurrency and Fiat Currency, and the concept of Bitcoin as Legal Tender, plus the future of Bitcoin and USD, and Digital Currency vs Traditional Money. Why Bitcoin will not replace the Dollar; the supply of money is important; the issue of value volatility: Bitcoin pricing is not dependable. To have a dynamic economy, a dynamic currency is required; Dollars still make the world go round. Currency must correlate with markets.SEG-1: Deflationary Trump Policies & Weakening ConsumersSEG-2: Money Surges into SPAC VeteransSEG-3a: Cane's vs KFCSEG-3b: Is the Fed Handcuffing Itself?SEG-4: Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the DollarHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's full show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace The Dollar"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-bitcoin-will-not-replace-the-dollar/"Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Weighted Indexes Drive Markets Once Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9YgTKhf0IU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What You Should Do with a Severance Package,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l4vQ5lspQU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#WeightedIndexes #Mag_7 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #SmallCap #LargeCap #EmergingMarkets #InternationalStocks #AllTimeHighs #BitcoinVsDollar #CryptoDebate #BitcoinFuture #DigitalCurrency #FiatVsCrypto #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The New York Fed Reports an improving economy, and Nvidia cues up its next quarterly report after recovering from the DeepSeek dip. The Fed is on hold, and positive money flows abound on Wall Street. There are no real indicators we're on the cusp of destruction...for now. 2026 EPS estimates are insanely optimistic. Markets pull out another all-time high on Tuesday afternoon. What is the Economy? As thousands of government workers are being invited to leave, and Chevron offers severance packages to a swath of its employees, what's the best strategy if you're offered an opportunity to retire? Take a lump-sum or annuitize the dollars? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff offer helpful suggestions if you're facing "permanent furlough" with severance package advice and suggestions on how to invest severance pay; how to manage a severance package and severance pay tax strategies; and, what to do after job layoff. The DOGE deep dive into Social Security is getting interesting. Should SS benefits be taxed or not? How to best reform SS? Lance's pre-ski vacation diet and more discussion on the proper way to reform and sustain Social Security. Reports on 401k plan participation are deceiving.SEG-1: NY Fed Reports Some Improvement; NVIDIA Recovers from DeepSeek DipSEG-2: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-1SEG-3a: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-2SEG-3b: DOGE & the Social Security ChallengeSEG-4: How to Reform Social SecurityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l4vQ5lspQU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All-Time Highs Generate All-Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pexErGgTA6A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Retail Exuberance Sets Up Market for Correction,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SloppyMarkets #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #SeverancePackage #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAfterLayoff #WealthManagement #CareerTransition #SocialSecurity #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It is the 90th anniversary of the establishment of Social Security; amazingly, some recipients over the age of 150 are apparently still receiving benefits (!). Could there be a clue here on how to help shore up the fund? Just sayin... Nvidia earnings are on the way; Meta has and a 20-day winning streak, not one down day for the pat6 20-trading days. Its performance as one of the Mag-7 stocks is what has helped, in part, keep markets elevated. The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and “buy the dip.” In our recent Bull Bear reports, we discussed the push by retail investors, but looking at retail sentiment is quite remarkable. Since the pandemic, retail investors have never been this bullish on the stock market. Such is amazing, given that their mailboxes are not being stuffed with government stimulus checks.” Retail investors are expected to become more bullish about increasing equity exposure when markets rise. However, the more extended markets become, the more confident investors are about increasing speculative risk. In other words, “success breeds confidence.” Lance reviews the dynamic between margin debt and free cash (w/charts); Lance and Jonathan examine the in's and out's of private equity fund investing; a discussion of the 60/40 portfolio rule viability; FOMO vs the fear of loss.SEG-1:The 90th Anniversary of Social SecuritySEG-2: Looking at margin Debt vs Free CashSEG-3: Private Fund Investing Pro's & Con'sSEG-4: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Assets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4l0shh-hCog&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What If You Live to 100?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jao-pXxZ46U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SocialSecurity #MagSeven #Nvidia #Meta #RetailExuberance #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #TooMuchMoney #TooFewAssets #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketCorrection #RetailInvesting #MarketCrashAlert #StockMarketBubble #MarginDebt #FreeCash #FOMO #PrivateEquityFund #60_40_portfolio #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard is in rare form for Valentine's Day with his unique analysis of latest economic numbers: Expect revisions to lowe the data points. There's no reason for the Fed to lower rates. How we're dealing with stubborn, sticky inflation; price deflation would be a bigger problem; companies have no pricing power. A discussion of egg alternatives and the sources of inflation; higher credit card balances; customer substitutions of goods. Market resiliency: The Mag-7 isn't quice as magnificent this year. Financial planning for living to 100 and how long you plan to live; longevity is a result of combination of genetics & lifestyle (Jack LaLanne). Our next Candid Coffee is detailed (registration link is below); Karen's self-driving car and Tesla setting we'd like to see. Planning against longevity risk & aging in place. How to manage Social Security & cash flows in retireement. The SS Fairnet Act impact on RMD's; your base line for planning is going to be the RMD you must take. The significance of ROth money: Leave it in place for as long as you can. A brief discussion of the complications with Trusts & Estates and inherited income. The Rothfication act.SEG-1: VD Jokes & Economic Analysis: Inflation vs DeflationSEG-2a: Egg Alternatives & Inflation SourcesSEG-2b: Financial Planning for Living to 100SEG-3a Candid Coffee promo & Tesla Driver SettingsSEG-3b: Planning Against Longevity RiskSEG-4: Impact of the SS Fairnes Act on RMD'sHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's show video here:-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bull Bear Report – Technical Update"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Reciprocal Tariffs Sink the Ship?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afaw7jcibbc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Inflation On the Rise: What Does it Mean?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyk6E8QUz3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #LongevityFinance #WealthForLife #LiveTo100 #FinancialFreedom #Inflation2025 #EconomicTrends #PersonalFinanceTips #InvestingDuringInflation #MarketOutlook #GARPInvesting #StockMarketTips #GrowthStocks #ValueInvesting #TrumpTariffs #ReciprocalTariffs #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance's Valentine's Day PSA (the short version) & Jerome Powell's annual Congressional testimony: Everything is volatile; headline generator. Cracks in the economy are emerging: Jobs numbers are full of "seasonal adjustments:" Indicators that employment and Labor Market are weakening. The impact of hot CPI: Markets hold support and price compression; in a wait-and-see mode. Trump reciprocal tariffs coming. Lance & Michael discuss where inflation comes from (with charts!), noting that January numbers generally tend to run "hot." The second half of February tends to be weak. Jerome Powell's annual congressional testimony: The Fed does not control mortgage rates (but the Fed DOES have mortgage-backed securities on its balance sheet). The Fed is dovishly hawkish; depends more on PCE Inflation metrics. Lance explains CPI, PPI acronyms. Michael's commentary on truflation, which leads CPI by 45-days. Lance & Michael discuss Growth vs Value and the world according to GARP.SEG-1: Cracks in the Economy are EmergingSEG-2: Where Inflation Comes FromSEG-3: The Fed is Dovishly HawkishSEG-4: Truflation Commentary & Investing According to GARPHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyk6E8QUz3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bull Bear Report – Technical Update"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Reciprocal Tariffs Sink the Ship?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afaw7jcibbc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "CPI Day,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-enFoz6wQPw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Inflation2025 #EconomicTrends #PersonalFinanceTips #InvestingDuringInflation #MarketOutlook #GARPInvesting #StockMarketTips #GrowthStocks #ValueInvesting #TrumpTariffs #ReciprocalTariffs #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today's market activity will hing upon this morning's CPI Print (which showed consumer prices rising higher than expected). WEven more telling will be tomorrow's PPI numbers showing input costs. The question to be answered by investors is what the trend of inflation is, and what the Fed will do next. Will companies be able to pass along higher costs to consumers? What is driving inflation? Oil price increases are a short-term indicator, but have a 90-lag in data. Lance delivers his annual Valentine's Day Public Service Announcement. Lance and Danny review questions from this past weekend's Candid Coffee episode [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qy0IzfJ7fkI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=95s]: Outisde of treasuries and US government bonds, there are no "safe" investments. Dividend Yields and bond durations; what about SPY t=for tax efficient income: What are you giving up? Covered calls & puts: Options have the highest risk. It's all or nothing. Alternative Investment Funds: Private Crddit Real Estate Fund is coming; the challenge of liquidity in alternative investing, exit strategies. Dealing with annuities: They're not for everyone or everything. The importance of diversification.SEG-1: Markets at Make-or-Break MomentSEG-2a: Valentine's PSASEG-2b: Candid Coffee Q&A: There is No Risk-free InvestmentSEG-3: Candid Coffee Q&A: Investing Duration, Options All or NothingSEG-4: Candid Coffee Q&A: Alternative Investing & DiversificationHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-enFoz6wQPw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bull Bear Report – Technical Update"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Response to CPI " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VZqy-WMDZG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "FOMO is Alive & Well,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwV3l8JgHk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are coming to grips with that Trump Tariffs really mean, and are adapting through sector rotations. Lance & Jonathan discuss the prices of eggs & milk and grocery dates. The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and “buy the dip.” Retail sentiment is quite remarkable. Since the pandemic, retail investors have never been this bullish on the stock market. Such is amazing, given that their mailboxes are not being stuffed with government stimulus checks. Lance and Jonathan discuss FOMO investing trends from the stock market's fear of missing out, a look at the best stocks for FOMO investors, and how to avoid investment FOMO; a look at market bubbles and investor psychology, and we'll also cover questions we didn't get to on last Saturday's Candid Coffee episode.SEG-1: Markets Adapt w Sector RotationSEG-2a: Eggs, Milk, & Grocery DatesSEG-2b: FOMO Returns to Wall St.SEG-3a: Chart Chat CommentarySEG-3b: Candid Coffee Q&A: How to Generate Income in RetirementSEG-4: Candid Coffee Q&A: Measuring Yields and "Safe" Alternative InvestmentsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwV3l8JgHk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bull Bear Report – Technical Update"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Investors Exhausted?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vsalh2Md7a4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Super Bowl Indicator,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cqBThNomYo4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3034s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#PortfolioRisk #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Tiring of overconsumption and desirous of paying off debt, more and more Americans are participating in the "no buy 2025" trend to reduce spending. Rich and Jonathan discuss strategies for improving household budgets, Money Saving Tips and Frugal Living Hacks, with Financial Discipline Strategies and Spending Freeze Guidance, plus tax traps to avoid as a result of the Social Security Fairness Act, and the challenges from inherited IRA's.3:13 - Jobs Report Preview & Debunking Tariff Myths14:46 - Candid Coffee Preview & SS Benefits Taxation30:35 - The No-Buy in 2025 Trend44:40 - Mall Shopping, No-Buy, & Consumer PrioritiesHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Tariffs Roil Markets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Defy Disappointing News," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXK2lxRVwhg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Where Money Comes From,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzBlKb1Bi4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #BondYields #EconomicWeakness #NoBuyChallenge #SaveMoneyTips #FrugalLiving #FinancialFreedom #SmartSpending #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Sunday's Super Bowl LIX delivered a lickin' to Kansas City at the hands of Philadelphia; what does the "Super Bowl Indicator" portend for markets (and does it really matter) Lance Roberts examines the veracity of the Super Bowl Indicator and other Stock market predictions, Financial market trends, Investment strategies, and Economic indicators. We also address the threatened Trump Tariffs next on Aluminum & Steel: more sticks & carrots? Lance recaps his visit to Vancouver and assessment of Canadian healthcare, UK healthcare, and the level and accessibility of healthcare in the US. Commentary on Media bias and the importance for investors to recognize it as such, and not be misled. The issue of employment reports & revisions thereof; Lance's flight to Vancouver (not being deported); will corporations be able to pass along higher costs due to tariffs on Aluminum and steel? The issue of consumer choice (and how ChatGPT is wrong about tariffs). Lance's earnings roundup, S&P's 2026 Earnings Forecast, and why valuations continue to rise; understanding PE and PEG.SEG-1: Super Bowl Indicator & Metal TariffsSEG-2a: Lance's Vancouver Recap & Canadian HealthcareSEG-2b: Recognizing Media Bias as InvestorsSEG-3a: Flying to VancouverSEG-3b: Trump Tariffs: Can Corporations Pass them Along?SEG-4: Earnings Roundup & Understanding PE RatiosHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE:https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cqBThNomYo4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3034s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Tariffs Roil Markets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Fight the Urge to Do Something Now ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYEhJFpQ0Ck&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Taking the No-Buy Challenge,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1ksGLmwfiw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SuperBowlIndicator #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #KansasCItyChiefs #PhiladelphiaEagles #SuperBowl #NFL #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets remain in a bullish trend for the moment, despite disappointing economic news in the Trade Deficit and the ISM Services Index. Improving relative strength is also providing lift for the market. Technically, everything is fine despite disappointing news from AMD, Google, and others. Money flows continue to creep upward with continued buying. Lance and Michael spend the remaining segments of the show discussing money, currencies, and concepts of money supply management: All money is lent into existence. The Federal Reserve or the government does not print money. Those two facts are vital to understanding our lead question: where does money come from? Furthermore, knowing who does and doesn’t print money and the incentives and disincentives that change the money supply are critical to inflation forecasting. On this morning's episode, Lance and Michael share how money is created, monetary policy and Federal Reserve money supply are explained, along with the Banking system and money creation. Understanding Fiat Currency; ; the theory of BitCoin value; the hyper-inflation of the Weimar Republic; currency vs money. Understanding the "plumbing" of money, and how deficit spending has helped buoy the economy. What is the most readily-accepted medium of exchange = The Dollar (not gold). How high-income earners invest into assets.SEG-1: Wrapping Earnings Season & Economic DataSEG-2: Understanding Where Money Comes FromSEG-3: Understanding Fiat CurrencySEG-4: Understanding Money PlumbingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzBlKb1Bi4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Tariffs Roil Markets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Defy Disappointing News," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXK2lxRVwhg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What the Bond Market is Telling Us About Trump 2.0"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rGxP5qqoTV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #BondYields #EconomicWeakness #AMD #Google #BondMarket #MoneyCreation #FinancialEducation #EconomyExplained #MoneyMatters #Currency #USDollar #FiatCurrency #WeimarRepublic #TrumpEconomy #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #FinancePodcast #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are recovering from tariff troubles on Monday; a brief history of Trump's past trade wars & results; Google's earnings miss & correction; earnings have been okay, but expectations are slipping. The China Trade War retaliation begins; it's all about posturing. Markets rally from Monday; if you're worried about the volatility, there's too much risk in your portfolio. Lance razzes Danny "Bulldog" Ratliff about his absenteeism and polo shirt choices. Lance reviews market performance during Trump's trade wars 2017-2019 (charts); looking for more volatility this year. Beware Financial Media headlines; what the Bond Market is saying about Trump 2.0; commentary on volatility spikes, and buying opportunities. Ignore the Media hype; what is the Bond market saying about Trump's second term? We're coming out of an artificially-stimulated economy. What happens to short-duration bonds when rates fall? What is the context for owning bonds? Lowering volatility risk. Lance & Danny talk about Uber rides and driverless-taxis; a preview of this weekend's Candid Coffee presentation; a look at alternative investing opportunities. What a well-balanced portfolio should look like.SEG-1: Markets' Recover from Tariff TroubleSEG-2a: Book Signings & Financial FashionistasSEG-2b: A Brief History of Trump Trade WarsSEG-3: Beware of Financial Media HeadlinesSEG-4a: Ubers & Driverless Taxis, Candid Coffee teaseSEG-4b: Alternative Investmenting OpportunitiesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rGxP5qqoTV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Tariffs Roil Markets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "If Volatility is Causing Too Much Worry, You Have Too Much Risk," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-rJ0bt8P6M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Trade War is Over!"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAoIjRUJJPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BondMarket #TrumpEconomy #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #FinancePodcast #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #BullishCross #InaugurationRally #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #Uber #DriverlessTaxi #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Well that was fast.Over the weekend, President Trump announced tariffs of 25% on both Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% tariff on China. The announcement of tariffs set the market on its heels Monday morning as media writers quickly pushed narratives about the potential impacts. However, as suggested on the “Real Investment Show” before the market opened on Monday, the best thing to do would be “nothing.” We stated the market’s opening would likely be the worst level of the day, so any “panic selling” of positions early in the morning would likely be a mistake. Early in the day, both Canada and Mexico blinked, and the trade war the media predicted would cause a massive inflation surge was over before it started. The market immediately rebounded from the early morning lows, leaving “panic sellers” in the dust. Such is why it is crucial to turn off the media when managing your portfolio to reduce emotional mistakes. Meanwhile, markets are flirting with resistance, and need some muster to rally above the 50-DMA. Lance and Jonathan discuss how Trade Wars can generate buying opportunities; a look at the Palantir story; look for sell offs as opportunities to buy. Lance reviews past Trade War history of the S&P (charts); volatility will result as trade wars are waged. Potential effects of a China trade war. Managing portfolios with concentrated stock holdings; the value of diversification. Commentary on NFIB and CEO Confidence surveys: Sentiment vs data.SEG-1: The World's Shortest Trade WarSEG-2: How Trade Wars Create Buying OpportunitiesSEG-3: Managing Concentrated Stock PositionsSEG-4a: Portfolio Management Tips: The Value of DiversificationSEG-4b: The Return of Bullish ExuberanceHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAoIjRUJJPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Tariffs Roil Markets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Rally Back Above the 50-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W148_c8iFdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Tariff Trouble"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbITdlcUswI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's the first week of February; Quarterly Reports Preview: About 80% of S&P will have reported by week's end, and the Buy Back Window more fully opens next week, providing additional market support. President Trump's 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico may be short-lived (indeed, following this morning's show, Mexico blinked, promising to send troops to the border, and Trump's tariff was suspended for 30-days). The difference between the 2017 Tariffs and now: No tax cuts in place this time around. Watch for more market volatility in the wake of tariff talks. Living w Mrs. Roberts & the neighborhood HOA. Lance reviews the ins, outs, and possibilities of the Trump Tariffs: What is the ultimate goal? The Texas Economy vs Canada's. Will companies be able to pass along increased tariff costs to customers? Consumer choices drive the economy. Expectations for corporate earnings growth are already excessively high; what happens when tariffs take a bite? Goldman sees tariffs short-lived; JP Morgan expects more lasting, negative effects. Two outcomes possible: Price rise and consumers stop buying, or companies eat the difference. Chances for recession are back on the table. Our advice for today: Step away, and allow markets to work it through. Is this the start of a new catalyst?SEG-1: Watch for More Volatility from TariffsSEG-2: Tariff Talk: What is the Goal?SEG-3: False Assumptions vs Realities fo TariffsSEG-4: Tariff Impacts on MarketsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbITdlcUswI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/"The Clock Has No Hands"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Down in Response to Tariffs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L3ALjJcELsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Tips & Traps You Need to Know for Tax Season"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjGEGF0TuLI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Apple's outlook will set the tone for today's market action; the January effect will be set by the end of the day. Rich & Matt discuss tariffs & volatility; Mexico and Canada are targets. Inflation data due today with the PCE report. The Fed's target is still 2%, and there's no reason to lower rates for now. This is forcing markets to shift focus; why a little inflation is a good thing. The US Tax Code can make you cry like Selena Gomez: Rich & Matt discuss inflation-adjusted tax brackets and standard deduction changes; Qualified Charitable Donations, Quarterly estimated tax payment requirements, and avoiding underpayment penalties. Are itemized deductions even worth the trouble? IRA contributions & avoiding pre-tax and after-tax fund mingling. Catchup contributions & HSA's: They're like a healthcare IRA. The retirement spending smile vs stairstep spending; planning and goal-scooping in retirement. Planning for more volatility in 2025, dealing with portfolio assets that go up and down.SEG-1: Apple Sets the Tone; Why Some Inflation is GoodSEG-2: The US Tax Code Will Make You CrySEG-3: Avoid Mixing Pre-tax and After-tax DollarsSEG-4: Tracking the Retirement Spending SmileHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjGEGF0TuLI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/"Meme Coins Do Not Create Wealth: They Destroy It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-coins-do-not-create-wealth-they-destroy-it/"DeepSeek Deep Sinks Bullish Exuberance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/"Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/"Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Options Data is Off the Hook," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qc1OMnQvUgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Watching the Mega-Cap Earnings Parade"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XH68Ot3zIsQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TaxSeason2025 #TaxTips #TaxDeductions #IRSUpdates #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPolicy #Options #CallOptions #PutOptions #SpeculativeMoney#EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's the end of the month, and the determining day for the January Barometer is tomorrow. Markets knee-jerked all over the board following yesterday's Fed announcements to hold firm at current rates. Economic news was not encouraging, with export up, imports down, suggesting the economy is weaker than thought; labor and demand dynamics. There is a lot of speculative money pouring into markets; nobody is buying stocks anymore. It's all in options, which will end badly for many because it's very speculative. Lance recounts the latest reports from Magnificent-7 member companies; Michael explores data center dynamics, the DeepSeek effect of cheaper processing, and Tesla's big plans. An admonition to be careful about following headlines; the one thing China is good at: Stealing the work of others'. Lance's favorite day is Thursday; economic data is not good; what the Fed thinks now and commentary on Labor; What the Atlanta Fed said; trying to control inflation from the Executive Branch. How did DeepSeek do it? Michael preaches on the fallacy of Meme Coins, and why they're destroyers of wealth; the role of influencers. SEG-1: January Barometer & EOM; Nobody's buying Stocks AnymoreSEG-2: MAG-7 Round up and Data Center DynamicsSEG-3: Cheat Meals & Fed NewsSEG-4a: How DeepSeek Did ItSEG-4b: How Meme Coins Destroy WealthHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XH68Ot3zIsQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Meme Coins Do Not Create Wealth: They Destroy It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-coins-do-not-create-wealth-they-destroy-it/"DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/"Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/"Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Options Data is Off the Hook," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qc1OMnQvUgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Watching the Mega-Cap Earnings Parade"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPolicy #Options #CallOptions #PutOptions #SpeculativeMoney#EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today is Mega-cap earnings Day, and there's also a lot of economic data to be revealed. Plus, this afternoon will see the latest announcement from the Federal Reserve. Expectations are for the Fed to hold firm on rates this time. Interestingly, despite Monday's selloff, money flows have continued to come into the markets. In fact, on Tuesday (1/28) the QQQ had its biggest inflow since 2021. Monday's market action was NOT the watershed event the bears were trying to make it out to be. Markets are not overbought yet; we're still on a solid buy signal. That's not to say a pullback can't happen; remember the lesson from December...and why it's important to pay attention to money flows, either direction. Educational scores in America and the AI race; IBM, Meta, Microsoft, & Tesla to report this afternoon: What will be IBM's excuse for missing estimates? By next Friday, 80% of S&P companies will have reported, and their earnings will drive volatility over the next several days.SEG-1: Earnings Season & Money FlowsSEG-2: Mega-Cap Earnings PreviewSEG-3: The White House's House Cleaning & Dark Side of TechSEG-4: Fed Meeting Preview & Importance of Money Flow MonitoringHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Articles mentioned in this report:"DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/"Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/"Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CWhat Money Flows Are Telling Us," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The DeepSeek Knee Jerk"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yptp-x-epIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The race is on for dominance in the artificial intelligence arena with China's release of DeepSeek. Markets initially nose-dived Monday, but ended up slightly higher (with the exception of Nvidia). This volatility underlines the necessity for portfolio diversification. The pullback in an oversold market was not unexpected. The news resulted in the biggest single-day market cap loss for Nvidia, due in part to its massive market cap. Lance discusses what may be the positive results of thie "Sputnik moment" for the US. The markets' response also underscores the importance of Bonds in overall portfolio management. Lance & Jonathan discuss the fallacy of high-watermark comparisons in portfolios, and how to properly review portfolio performance. A discussion on how stocks are actually traded, on and off the exchanges, and the proper use of stop-loss settings in a portfolio. SEG-1: Markets' Response to DeepSeekSEG-2: The Positive Results of DeepSeekSEG-3: How to Properly Review Your PortfolioSEG-4: How Stocks Are Traded & Stop LossesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yptp-x-epIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/"Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/"Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CDeepSeek Reaction: Why Diversification Works ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79j625dkoiM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "DeepSeek or Deep Sink?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeOnaj5-VsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1045s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The unfolding of China's DeepSeek technology, and history's shortest trade war (with Colombia) highlighted the weekend. What are the investing opportunities from DeepSeek? Too soon to tell; allow markets to sort it out today, and make no rash moves. What DeepSeek means to markets; what's the difference from AI? Lance compares the 1960's space race to the AI technology competition today: Is this America's "Sputnik Moment?" Lance provides a concise primer on all things DeepSeek. Faster, cheaper chips upset the technology race: We knew this day would come (just didn't think it would be over the weekend!) The Open Source advantage; the need to unleash America's best and brightest. Commentary on the decline of American educational rankings. DeepSeek is a wake-up call. SEG-1: The DeepSeek Reveal & Shortest Trade War EverSEG-2: DeepSeek vs AI: What does it mean?SEG-3: What is DeepSeek?SEG-4: We Knew This Day Would ComeHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeOnaj5-VsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1045s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/"Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Caution is the Watchword," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Using Drone Mentality for Financial Success"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-lH90rMzCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #SputnikMoment #MarketCatalyst #CautionWatchword #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard and Jonathan discuss markets' response to initial flurry of activity from the Trump White House; commentary on TrumpCoin and turbo-charged crypto: It's all about marketing. Richard reveals his penchant for scratch-offs (with discretionary money). Jeff Bezos, the CEO of Amazon, made big media headlines by suggesting that drones will be used to deliver light packages in the future, as opposed to the normal, albeit boring, methods we know now. Financial security is also automated from fifty thousand feet above your wallet. Cutting out that extra latte will not make you wealthy; placing as many good money habits as possible on autopilot is the key to financial stability. Rich & Jonathan explore ideas for achieving financial success with a drone mentality. How the RIS is cracking down on private sales on FB Market, eBay and other gig-related enterprises (how do they know??) $5,000 is the threshold above which you'll get a lovely 1099-K in the mail. Producer Brent advocates for deduction for hours spent in 1040 Prep and filing. Do your tax planning now. Our next Candid Coffee is planned for February 8; details soon. Speculation and Gold Bugs, and no taxes on Social Security; how to fill-in the zero's for Social Security; All in the Family & planning for survivors; the importance of coordinating benefits.SEG-1: Markets' Response to Trump & Turbo-charged CryptoSEG-2: IRS Crackdown on Gig SalesSEG-3: Speculation & Gold BugsSEG-4: Filling in the Zero's for Social SecurityHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-lH90rMzCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Use Drone Mentality to Financial Success"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/"It's the Dollar, Stupid!"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/its-the-dollar-stupid/"Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?"https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful of Chasing at All Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "It's the Dollar, Stupid!"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pT38gvYnsXc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TaxTime #SocialSecurity #DroneMentality #FinancialSuccess #StrategicWealthPlanning #MindsetForSuccess #AllTimeHigh #FOMO #EntryPoint #Volatility #InvestorSentiment #USDollar #GlobalEconomy #ForexMarket #CurrencyTrends #FinancialTalk #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #ArchieBunker #EdithBunker #AllInTheFamily #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What does the $500-B Stargate announcment really mean for the economy (remember Carrier's "on-shoring" of jobs)? Lance recounts the benefits and innovations that came out of the US Space Race. Markets are back at all time highs; choose your entry point wisely. Lance & Michael review the concepts of trimming portfolios and taking profits; how to properly weight portfolios. What is your objective? Portfolio weighting = risk management. Lance previews an upcoming, virtual economic summit. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss the recent strong correlation between the appreciating dollar and rising yields and the reasons for the relationship, covering the US Dollar Impact on Economy, Global Currency Trends for 2025, and Dollar Strength and Investments. Lance & Mike will also touch on Foreign Exchange Markets Analysis and USD vs Global Currencies. Importing edflation, exporting inflation; fundamentals vs sentiment. FOMO and Term Premiums. Why Bond Vigilantes are not the good guys. Lance & Michael's Fed Meeting Preview; the problem of CPI Shelter component; New Rents will take months to show up in calculus.SEG-1: What the $500-B Stargate Announcement Really MeansSEG-2: How to Trim Portfolios & Take ProfitsSEG-3: It's the Dollar StupidSEG-4: Curbing Expectations to Manage RiskHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, wProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pT38gvYnsXc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"It's the Dollar, Stupid!"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/its-the-dollar-stupid/"Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?"https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful of Chasing at All Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are Returns Expectations For 2025 Too High?,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEKNkfsiB4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AllTimeHigh #FOMO #EntryPoint #Volatility #InvestorSentiment #USDollar #GlobalEconomy #ForexMarket #CurrencyTrends #FinancialTalk #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It isn’t just Wall Street analysts who are optimistic about 2025 returns. Retail investors are the most optimistic about higher stock prices in 2025 by the most on record. Unsurprisingly, that sentiment resulted in the psychological rush to overpay for assets, pushing forward 1-year valuations sharply higher. Lance returns from Houston's winter freeze with commentary on Donald Trump's flurry of executive orders and the importance of the velocity of implementation: Continued government spending (albeit in different areas) effect on the economy, and the impact of immigrant deportations on the labor force. With markets on an upswing, now is a good time to rebalance portfolio risk. Lance relates the story of Mrs. Roberts chasing their dogs chasing rabbits through the snow and muck at 4am. Why businesses and investors are overly optimistic (charts). Lance explores the difference between sentiment vs reality, and how most of the good news is already price-in by markets. How markets are outgrowing the economy (charts). How will government investment influence consumer behavior? Curbing expectations to better manage portfolio risk; Lance reviews historic performance of specific sectors (charts).SEG-1: Post-Freeze, Trump Exec OrdersSEG-2a: Chasing Rabbits w Mrs. RobertsSEG-2b: The Difference Between Sentiment vs RealitySEG-3: Why Markets are Outperforming the EconomySEG-4: Curbing Expectations to Manage RiskHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fh09Y8e72pI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------Articles mentioned in this report:"Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?"https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is a Good Time for Portfolio Rebalancing ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwx-EcTqEY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What Fiduciary Advisors Can Learn from Jimmy Carter,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEKNkfsiB4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance and Michael interpret the latest CPI, PPI, PCE, and GDP numbers: Which one is most-meaningful to the Fed? Earnings Season continues with Big Banks reporting; JPMorgan kills it, but how are regional banks faring? Stock buy backs this time around are expected to exceed $1-Trillion. mostly benefitting large cap stocks. Markets cling to 100-DMA, and aim for the 50-DMA to set up to rally. Michael discusses portfolio management, and Lance previews his re-release on portfolio gardening. Revealing analysis of "spikey data" in CPI and PPI calculus. Inflation remains sticky at high levels. CPI data is flawed by Shelter component; Airline Fares are "super-spikey." The Fed 2% Inflation number is a "round-down" number. Effects of the Barter Trade: Will slow inflation...AND the economy. The "No-Buy" economy effects on delivery drivers. Lance and Michael discuss insurance companies' changes due to catastrophic losses; Michael provides a content preview of his presentation at this weekend's economic summit, elements affecting bond yields, and "term premium." The Bond Vigilantes are not like Paul Revere; they're not the do-gooders, but opportunists profiting on sentiment. Greedy shorts.SEG-1: CPI, PPI, GDP, PCE: Which Matters Most to the Fed?SEG-2: How to Deal with Super-Spikey DataSEG-3: Insurance Changes from Catastrophic LossSEG-4: Why Bond Vigilantes Are Not Do-GoodersHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDMhEOXvkBg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Technical Analysis Is Not Voodoo, Its Vital Context"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-analysis-is-not-voodoo-its-vital-context/"Consolidation Continues"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/"Investor Resolutions For 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H1UMyISH7Rg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "CPI: The Big Reveal,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MK0pfosuxMk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketInsights #TradingStrategies #InvestmentTips #FinancialEducation #CPIReport #PPI #SpikeyDate #InflationUpdate #EconomicTrends #FederalReserveNews #CPIAnalysis #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's CPI Day (December Core Inflation clocked-in at a lower than expected .2%) so let's pin it all on the Fed. Weaker PPI & Higher Trasnportation costs; Used car prices are keeping inflation elevated, thanks to storm and fire loss replacement demand. Markets flirting w 100_DMA, holiding support; what a weaker CPI print may mean. Lance pranks Danny with book sales for "Bull Dog" Ratliff; the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index surge, post-election; The concept of an 'Exeternal Revenu Service' vs reality; sentiment-driven surveys vs reality. Sentiment and outlooks vs stock price expectations; why the Fed does QE. Lance and Danny review new rules for IRA Catch-ups; adopt the Roth; what to do with funds? The Hierarchy of Savings: Live easy now, hard later vs hard now, easy later. SEG-1: CPI Day PreviewSEG-2: Danny "Bull Dog" Ratliff & The Markets' Big PictureSEG-3: The External Revenue ServiceSEG-4: IRA Catch-ups & The Hierarchy of SavingsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MK0pfosuxMk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Consolidation Continues"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/"Investor Resolutions For 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CPI Encourages Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDUULX4m3Wo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Tactically Bearish As Risks Increase,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CPIReport #InflationUpdate #EconomicTrends #FederalReserveNews #CPIAnalysis #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #ExternalRevenueService #Tariffs #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
PPI & CPI Preview: Earnings season is about to commence, followed by the opening of the Buy Back window. Higher yields (and term premiums) are weighing on markets. Term premiums are just a measure of sentiment; watch what companies say, impacted by higher yields. Markets rally to just above the 100-DMA. Lance reviews investor sentiment, credit spreads, and market valuation (which charts). Noting the (limited) impact of taffis on a service-oriented economy. Being “tactically bearish” does NOT mean we are expecting a bear market or a severe market crash. Regarding portfolio management, the difference between being “tactically bullish” or “tactically bearish” is the level of equity risk we take in client portfolios. Over the last two years, we have been “tactically bullish” and have held more significant weightings in equities that have benefitted from market momentum and investor sentiment. However, shifting toward a “tactically bearish” position would suggest rebalancing exposure to more fundamental, value-oriented, dividend-paying companies that will reduce overall portfolio volatility. It also may mean owning less equity exposure and increasing cash levels. Lance & Jonathan review how parents have failed Gen-Z in preparing them for the rigors of life, like changing light bulbs. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio strategies.SEG-1: PPI, CPI PreviewsSEG-2: Investor Sentiment, Credit Spreads, & Market ValuationsSEG-3: Gen-Z DIY'ers, Mowing the Lawn, & Building WealthSEG-4: Highwater Marks & Portfolio CompartmentalizationHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cob96R2cIfw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Consolidation Continues"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/"Investor Resolutions For 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "PPI Disappoints," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSS21fO4Pho&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Investor Resolutions for 2025,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BearishMarket #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Cleveland Fed's expectations for increased inflation; Oil prices rise on increased Russia sacntions (thanks, Joe Biden); economic impact of California wildfires & the Broken Window Theory: There will be a short-term uptick from rebuilding activity. Markets point lower on hawkish Fed tone; current correction process is normal. There is not data to support investor sentiment on inflation sparked by tariffs; how we really create inflation. Employment increases inflation. Companies are front-running tariffs. Rising interest rates lead to valuation reversals. Every year, Dalbar Research publishes an extensive study that repeatedly shows three primary reasons for investor failure. The key issues are a lack of capital to invest and psychology. Lance Roberts examines nine irrational investment behavioral biases specifically, and suggests investing resolutions for the new year, including the Top Investment Strategies 2025,Financial Planning Resolutions, Smart Money Habits for 2025, Wealth Growth Tips, and Retirement Savings Goals.SEG-1: Economic Impact of Cali FiresSEG-2: No Data to Support Current SentimentSEG-3: Investor Resolutions for 2025, Pt-1SEG-4: Investor Resolutions for 2025, Pt-2Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Consolidation Continues"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/"Investor Resolutions For 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Low Can Markets Go?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CoFcgImM--k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What the Social Security Fairness Acts Means for Your Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrToO7K7Fsg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2236s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard and Jonathan discuss the narratives that are driving the markets, and the fear factor for bond investors. Is the response to tariff threats an over-reaction? How to deal with emotions in investing. Menwhile, job satisfaction is highest among the 60+ crowd: The group has been working longer, and understands the value of socialization; retirement planning shold include qualitative elements. A look at Gen-z Worth Ethic. The Social Security Fairness Act is now the law of the land, signed on Sunday by President Biden. It promises to erase rules that penalized some retirees by eliminating two federal policies that barred employees with a public pension from collecting their full benefits under the federal retirement program and that reduced benefits for those workers' surviving spouses and family members. What about the depletion effect? Taxation of SS benefits is double taxation...and wrong. A look at the United Van Lines' Moving Destination survey; understanding the Wash Sale Rule (which has nothing to do with laundry soap); Do not depend on government clarity to interpret its own rules! A word about end-of-year tax-loss harvesting.SEG-1: Breaking down the narratives that drive the marketsSEG-2: Higher Job Satisfaction Among Workers 60+SEG-3: Social Security Fairness Act - Implications & PaybackSEG-4: Understanding the Wash Sale RuleHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrToO7K7Fsg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2236s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Why Are Bond Yields Rising?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bond-yields-rising/"Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Crossovers Are Not a Death Knell," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCfM5mTOJBc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Are Bond Yields Rising?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hx9jVRa0-gc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SocialSecurityReform #FairRetirement #SocialSecurityFairnessAct #RetirementPlanning#FinancialSecurity #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets barely achieved a positive close on Wednesday, to create a string of positive action for the first five trading days in January. (Markets are closed today in honor of the late President Jimmy Carter.) There's a market consolidation underway, with the 20-DMA and 50-DMA about to cross. Lance & Michael discuss the Fed's sentiment shift about inflation, and the non-corellation between interest rates and inflation. The Fed may have cut interest rates, but markets have raised them; the actual effects of Fed rate cuts are deflationary. Fed policy is still restrictive; economy is back to "normal" with higher rates. Lance & Michael discuss interest rates: The cost of money. Unlike short- and medium-term gyrations in stock prices, which are often due to changes in investor sentiment, the bond market has a much more fundamental grounding. Interest rates, representing the cost of money, strongly impact economic activity and inflation in a highly leveraged economy like ours. Thus, economic growth, inflation, and Treasury bond yields are highly correlated. The death-defying Dollar as fiat currency (what is currency?) Gold is not a currency; the Dollar vs the Euro. What is driving sentiment? a.) Deficits & Debt, and b.) inflation. NOTE: 1/3 of inflation is shelter costs, data collection for which is flawed.SEG-1: Markets Eke Out Winning First Five Days of JanuarySEG-2: The Fed's Sentiment Shift About InflationSEG-3: Explaining our Fundamental Bond ModelSEG-4: The Death-defying US DollarHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hx9jVRa0-gc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Why Are Bond Yields Rising?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bond-yields-rising/"Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Crossovers Are Not a Death Knell," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCfM5mTOJBc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Market Reversal: Implications Now,"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=56z2LmMIvrQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
With Friday's December Employment Report waiting in the wings, it's fair to ask what happened to the December JOLTS Report. Investors are questioning whether we'll see continued growth from December. What does Q4 GDP at 2.7% really mean? Understanding the data and reading the January Barometer (so far). Lance shares his screen in commenting on sector rotations. Dan Niles' predciton of a 20% correction this year: Lance's reality check. Crash vs correction. Lance discusses the importance of an investing process: Rules to offset emotional bias. Fundamentals matter over the long term. SEG-1: What Happened in the December JOLTS Report?SEG-2: Sector Rotations: What's Hot, What's Not, & Why SEG-3: 20% Correction by Summer: Possible or Probable?SEG-4: The Most Important Lesson for InvestorsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=56z2LmMIvrQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the January Barometer Broken?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YLsfGRv_8pI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Curb Your Enthusiasm"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRg1uqnrYH4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#JanuaryBarometer #Finance2025 #InvestSmart #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
As we enter 2025, the financial markets are optimistic. That optimism is fueled by strong market performance over the last two years and analyst’s projections for continued growth. However, as “Curb Your Enthusiasm” often demonstrates, even the best-laid plans can unravel when overlooked details come to light. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn discuss five reasons why a more cautious approach to investing might be warranted in 2025, plus client questions and viewers' emails. Economic data coming out this week for last month will be revised by March; what's the effect of less Government hiring/spending on the economy in 2025? Lance & Jonathan recap Christmas past; earnings expectations for the new yar are very elevated; curb your enthusiasm. The challenges to fundamental investors: No one knows what's going to happen this year; markets run in two modes: Expansion or contraction. Valuations/expectations must come down to match economic growth. Lance & Jonathan discuss the EFT Effect, the FOMO Effect, and the Bitcoin Effect on investor psychology.SEG-1: What Happens When Economic Numbers are RevisedSEG-2: Why You Should Curb Your Enthusiasm in 2025SEG-3: The Challenge to Fundamental InvestingSEG-4: The ETF Effect, FOMO Effect, & Bitcoin EffectHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRg1uqnrYH4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Complacency Risk is On the Rise," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1sZGQPh4TLA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Santa Was a No-show"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NONYWlJFI6M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Finance2025 #InvestSmart #EconomicOutlook #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We're baaack from our Winter Break, and it seemed as if Santa arrived on Christmas Eve, pushing the markets back above the important 50-DMA. However, by the end of the year, it seemed investors were naughty this year and received a “lump of coal,“ with markets selling off back toward recent lows. Despite Friday’s impressive reflexive rally, the market fell about 0.5% short of rallying enough to save the “Santa Rally.” What does this mean for markets this year? Higher than average returns aren't normal; it's not often to get back-to-back 20% earnings years (charts). Lance discusses the potential impact of Tariffs in 2025, based on past experiences; Wall Street is going to provide whatever people are willing to buy, at a price. Company earnings will matter in 2025; where will the risk be? Crdit Spreads are the "early warnings system" of leading indicators. Risks this year will be a) an increase in volatility and b) disappointing earnings (a return to normal).SEG-1: What Does a No-show Santa Mean for Markets?SEG-2: Higher than Average Returns Aren't NormalSEG-3: The Thing About Tariffs in 2025SEG-4: Why Earnings Will Matter in 2025Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NONYWlJFI6M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/"Permabull? Hardly."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/"Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Investor Watchword: Curb Your Expectations," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRomsXjIE70&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What the Trump Win Means for Your Taxes"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nwAIudzT9gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AverageReturns #NormalReturns #ETFinflows #LeveragedETFs #DecemberMarkets #NoSantaRally #StockMarket2025 #HolidayInvestmentTrends #SantaClausRally #SantaRallyFail #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We're on vacation for the next two-weeks starting Monday (12/23); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. The House's Continuing Resolution fails to pass muster, thanks to pressure from president-elect Donald Trump and the emerging D.O.G.E. team. Meanwhile, the Fed cuts rates, as expected, but adds a hawkish slant to their language, and markets shed 3% on Wednesday. Lance & Michael discuss whether the Fed has stolen Christmas in this fashion, dealing with the lag effect, and whether the Fed has inflation under control. Is the Fed going to suddenly pivot to a dovish stance in the first half of 2025? The restrictive policy of the Fed, and short-term investing in bond yields; is Jerome Powell making a mistake? The world is in a recession; why should we care? Because of the globalization of trade. Lance examines the correlations of US GDP to other countries'. Is the US GDP growth normal, or will the US have to catch-down to other economies? We are still experiencing the residual effects of government spending in our economy.SEG-1 Fed Cuts Rates, Adds Hawkish ToneSEG-2: Did the Fed Steal Christmas?SEG-3: Jerome Powell's Balancing Act: Is He Making a Mistake now?SEG-4: Will the US Catch-down to the Rest of the World?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjZ21RSDn14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/"Permabull? Hardly."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/"Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Fed is Never Right," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h87m6yGM_M8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Dump the 60/40 for 100% Stock Retirement Portfolio?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FederalReserve #HolidaySpending2024 #ChristmasEconomy #InterestRatesImpact#EconomicOutlook#RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement#StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Fed Day with it's much anticipated rate cut; what will matter more is the Fed's dot-plot and comments on expectations for 2025. Meanwhile on Wall Street, sloppy trading continues as fund manager rebalance portfolios. Markets are sitting on the 20-DMA and holding firm. The Healthcare Sector is the year's worst performer: Will it offer the most opportunity in 2025? This sector tends to perform better AFTER elections. Lance reveals a new temptation on his route to work each morning; Lance and Danny comment on the notion of dumping the traditional 60/40 portfolio in favor of 100% stocks for retirement, with charts and graphs. More commentary on those who would think they can beat the market, and what's in store if the show goes straight to YouTube (no filter). Old maxims about investing no longer hold true with the velocity of information and distortion of the markets. Why does no one want Value Stocks anymore? Lance and Danny recall reading encyclopedias as youths. The thing about Roth conversions...what are the chances taxes will go lower?SEG-1: Fed Day - What Will They Say?SEG-2: Dumping the 60/40 Portfolio?SEG-3: So You Think You Can Beat the Market?SEG-4: Why No One Wants Value StocksHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w SSenior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP,Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Permabull? Hardly."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/"Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Opportunities Ahead in Beaten Down Stocks?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HqWOpYV_Qs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "This is Nuts"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement#StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Retail Sales numbers this week will feed into expectations for 2025. Fed meeting tomorrow: Cut and pause, or cut and slow? Employment revisions are also due, but markets won't care. The stock market is still hitting all time highs, but that's not necessarily the case, sector by sector: Basic Materials, Industrials, Financials, and Energy are not mirroring the S&P 500; the Magnificent 7 is responsible for the bulk of growth. It's a very narrow market. “When you sit down with your portfolio management team, and the first comment made is “this is nuts,” it’s probably time to think about your overall portfolio risk. On Friday, that was how the investment committee both started and ended – “this is nuts.” Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn will also discuss where investors are thinking of investing their money next year, and some common "themes" on the minds of investors who find themselves struggling with not making "knee-jerk" reactions.Lance and Jonathan reveal the inner workings of our investing philosophy, and why Lance is not a permabull...or bear. Looking at event-driven markets. Navigating markets up's and downs: how to break down portfolio risks. Our audio mea culpa and four-day growth. Strategies for high-wealth individuals: Don't wait to do RMD's! Roth IRA's and backdor conversions: Are they worth the trouble? Why you should over-fund life insurance policies; managing tax risks. SEG-1: S&P 500 vs Everyone ElseSEG-2: Is Lance a Permabull?SEG-3: Navigating markets' Ups & DownsSEG-4: Roth IRA's & Back Door ConversionsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP,Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Permabull? Hardly."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/"Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Market Really Doing That Great Outside of the Mag 7?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUe60JWmpzM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s-------Our previous show is here: "Why NFIB Optimism Matters"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTJNZ1ndXpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Microstrategies joins the S&P 100 (just in time to crash?) Bitcoin continues to climb. The FEd will cut rates on Wednesday, but it's commentary and outlook are what will really count. Look for more volatility heading into the Fed meeting; the current rally may end by the 18th. Oil prices have been struggling, thanks to slowing economic growth = less demand. Gold is over-bought, working through sell signals. Meanwhile, the US dollar is like a rocket ship. Why the NFIB Small Business Index matters (and what it is saying); the NFIB Confidence Index; expectatinos vs actual sales; they always fall short of expectations. Why tariffs are a benefit to small businesses. Outlook is very positive following Trump re-election (most small business owners are conservatively oriented.) Lance reviews how the Economic Cycle works; if economy continues to grow at 3%, inflation will remain sticky. Likely no 30% returns in 2025; what are the causes for concern: When everyone agrees on a positive outlook. A YouTube viewer accuses us of using fake data: The DATA is what the markets pay attention to. Why YOU'RE to blame for Bed, Bath & Beyond's failures & other store closings. Why our childrens' expectations are too expensive. How funky mortgages increase house prices. Why the minimum wage is really zero.SEG-1: Oil, Gold & the US DollarSEG-2: Why the NFIB Small Business Index MattersSEG-3: How the Economic Cycle WorksSSEG-4: Our Data is Fake??Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTJNZ1ndXpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Continue to Struggle," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFaqEHbneAw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Looking Ahead to 2025: Realize Gains ro Change Exposure?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N64pdQl_lJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are setting up for a Santa Claus Rally; inflation pressure remains. What will the Fed do next week, and what will Powell SAY? The impact of tariffs may not be too dire; optimism abounds on Wall Street. Danny & Matt discuss end of year RMD's and how to best handle non-spousal Inherited IRA distributions. Constant changes in IRS rules are difficult to follow; delaying distributions might not be a wise choice. The current tax code could sunset in 2026. Danny & Matt discuss one-time lump-sum gifts: No one wants to pay a death tax, but few are able to touch the $14-million ceiling on such The lack of basic financial education; the importance of having The Talk about money with family during the holidays. The pro's and con's of charitable giving to Donor-advised funds vs charitable foundations; A discussion of tax rates vs effective rates when deductions are applied; the SALT deductions: What happens to them?SEG-1: Market Commentary: Setting Up for Santa Claus RallySEG-2: End of Year RMD's & Non-spousal IRA'sSEG-3: One-time Lump-sum GiftsSEG-4: Donating to Charitable Funds vs Donor-advised FundsHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N64pdQl_lJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"CPI Was On The Screws: The Fed Has The Green Light"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cpi-was-on-the-screws-the-fed-has-the-green-light/"Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/"2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pressure is On the Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxcoj_-jaAY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "CPI Gives the Fed a Green Light for Rate Cut"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPkzTXYsmk0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2331s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Investment2025 #StockMarketOutlook #PortfolioStrategy #CapitalGains #WealthManagement #FederalReserve #RateCut #CPI #Inflation #EconomicPolicy #InterestRates #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance reviews a recent report about generational wealth transfers, and notes that his kids get NOTHING. Wednesday's CPI report was seemingly the last hurdle for the Fed to cut interest rates. With the CPI index matching Wall Street forecasts, the Fed Funds futures market now implies a 97% chance the Fed will cut rates next Wednesday. The data was OK but elicits fears that the downward price progress has stalled. Lance & Michael discuss the precarious premise behind Microsystem's Bitcoin strategy, what makes for value, and what happens when there's no more buyers. How did the Hunt Brothers' silver gambit differ from Microsystems Bitcoin bid? CPI Recap: Inflation is sticky at current levels because that's where the growth is. Plowing through the final, lame duck weeks of the Biden presidency; there are still some Federal Covid Stimulus funds to be distributed to states, keeping inflation fires stoked. What's happening with Canada and the rest of the world? Economic growth attracts capital; next year may hold surprises for the bullish crowd. Bitcoin is the epitome of The Greater Fool Theory.SEG-1: Generational Wealth Transfers, CPI , PPI, & Santa Claus RallySEG-2: Microsystems, Bitcoin, & Convertible DebtSEG-3: What If We Don't Meet 2025 Expectations?SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting & RMD's - Do It NowHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPkzTXYsmk0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2331s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"CPI Was On The Screws: The Fed Has The Green Light"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cpi-was-on-the-screws-the-fed-has-the-green-light/"Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/"2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pressure is On the Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxcoj_-jaAY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Re-balancing & High Valuation Risks"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nASrF7t64kY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FederalReserve #RateCut #CPI #Inflation #EconomicPolicy #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketValuations #RiskManagement #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Post-election consumer confidence is rocketing higher. Inflation Data is coming: CPI & PPI which will be digested in time for next week's Fed meeting. Inflation numbers are likely to tick up from YOY comparisons. Portfolio re-balancing commences. What does financial success look like? Lance and Jonathan review the answers by-generations. Stocks vs Bonds: Earnings growth expectations are too high; what happens if we don't meet them? It was easy managing money this year... A redview of Bob Farrell's Ten Investment Rules, with a focus on #9: When all experts agree... Tax-loss Harvesting & RMD's: Do it now. (Why you shoul;dn't wait until after Christmas.) Understanding the Wash-Sale Rule; speculate in taxable accounts, not IRA's and 401-k's.SEG-1: Post-election Confidence & Portfolio Re-balancingSEG-2: What Financial Success Looks Like - notSEG-3: What If We Don't Meet 2025 Expectations?SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting & RMD's - Do It NowHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nASrF7t64kY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/"2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Markets Re-balance?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Z-IVRw7qXw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Earnings Can't Outgrow the Economy"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRF6slc1bew&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#PortfolioRebalancing #MarketValuations #RiskManagement #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance's Husbands' Christmas shopping warning service; markets are now in second week of sloppy trading. Portfolios out-of-balance will trigger volatility as managers adjust weighting. There is a possible correction coming, BUT markets could continue to rally all the way into the New Year. Tesla is up 54% since the election; a plethora of ETF's: all money flows feed into underlying stocks; $1-T into ETF's this year. Where will the next Trillion come from? What's the Risk for market correction? Volatility Index is down to 13; no one is betting on a crash. Where are the money in-flows originating? When inflation is better than deflation, all over the world. Markets have factored-in a 25-bp rate cut, but NOT a Fed pause. The problem with forecasting: Predictions must be precise, actionable, and time-specific. Why we watch train wrecks: Why not mandate a 20% correction each year? (Markets are so elevated, a 20% correction would be a drop in the bucket.) What happens if we have a 50% correction?? It'd put us back to where we were in 2020. Why banks failed in 1929 vs today: Depositors would not lose their money (FDIC). 2025 earnings growth estimate are 19% (vs 9% historically). Lance looks at cycles vs trends (Lance's first bank job). Cycle context & psychology. Most cycles are too long to be practical. "We must invest for the time frame in which we have control." Trend-following is better than cyclical tracking. Lance's 60th birthday, cursive writing, and Phoenician writing. The impact of not saving each year: Time frames are critical.SEG-1: Sloppy Trading AheadSEG-2: Where's the Money Coming From?SEG-3: Why We Watch Train CrashesSEG-4: Cycles vs TrendsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRF6slc1bew&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Setting Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuRU3UTCD1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=2s-------Our previous show is here: "Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQFQg-9b9EQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2277s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz makes a rare, in-studio appearance with Lance Roberts, discussing whether another market liquidity event might be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. The ISM Services Index is showing weaknesses, and more economic reports to come this month are likely to mirrow such performance. A lack of stimulus money showing up previously in the economy are resulting in these weaker results emerging. Meanwhile, markets continue to do well, and expectations for 2025 are 19% above 2023 estimates for 2024. Bitcoin hits $100,000 thanks to President-elect Trump's appointment of a crypto-friendly chief at the SEC. As for expectations for next year, what should investors be watching out for? (Is a liquidity crisis near?) The Fed put too much liquidity into the system during Covid; those record levels of liquidity are fueling FOMO. Institutional investors are highly leveraged, which are dependant upon liquidity. The Fed's real manadate is to protect its member banks and prevent them from failing. Liquidity is now leaking. The Big Red Phone to the Fed. What if Trump really cuts government spending? Entitlement vs Mandatory spending. Looking to 2025: Extreme bullishness depends upon a strong economy; where are the risks?SEG-1: Economic Weaknesses are EmergingSEG-2: Anticipating 2025: What Should We Watch For?SEG-3a: Record Levels of Liquidity are Fueling FOMOSEG-3b: The Fed's Main MandateSEG-4a: What If Trump Really Cuts Government Spending?SEG-4b: Market Bullishness Depends on Strong EconomyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQFQg-9b9EQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2277s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"2019 Redux: Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2019-redux-is-another-liquidity-crisis-near/"Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/"Extreme Speculation Has Returned"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bitcoin Hits $100,000," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdu7qCeme94&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Time for a Portfolio Reality Check"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #PaulAtkins #SEC #TechnologyStocks #AI #LiquidityCrisis #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Russia just learned of a near-miss from a passing meteorite...TONIGHT! Lance discusses GDP estimates and other economic reports; Retail Sales are "okay," with no tell tale signs of Recession...for the moment. What will revisions to these reports show next year? What will be the impact of cutting government spending? Meanwhile, investors are very, very exuberant. What should investors expect for the rest of the year? Lance and Danny discuss old guy things: Backpain. There's a pullback coming: Time for a portfolio reality check? The challenge of portfolio rebalancing when exuberance is high; should you sell winners and buy losers now? Emerging Markets are not growing; losers are cheap for a reason. The danger of doing rebalancing willy-nilly. On being Contrarian: Markets have not rewarded those so inclined. Yet. Does not necessarily mean to be super-bearish. On being "out of consensus; the current set up is good for recession. What will cause it, we don't know. The potential risks to portfolios of reduced government spending. Lance & Danny review the recent Thanksgiving break with family and the concept of paying your own way; demographic trends, and the evolution of Generation-X as "sandwich parents." Kids coming home for the holidays vs "boomerang" kids; first paychecks and stringing Christmas lights (yeah, we were all over the place today!)SEG-1: Meteorites, Russia, & Expectations for the Rest of 2204SEG-2: Backpain & Pullbacks: Portfolio RebalancingSEG-3: On Being ContrarianSEG-4a: Thanksgiving Reminiscing & Paying Your WaySEG-4b: The Roberts Kids Home for the HolidaysHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/"Extreme Speculation Has Returned"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, 12-4-24 What to Expect for the Rest of the Year is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ixjd2EjcoZw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. Lance and Jonathan discuss these lessons from history on today's show, plus a discussion on asset diversification, and what happens when all assets become correlated, the fallacies of diversification, and overlap risk. Money mistakes made by the young; the bset stop-loss tools and strategies; the flaw in comparing portfolio performance to the S&P Index (or any index).SEG-1: Why Sentiment-driven Indexes are UpSEG-2: Lessons from History - What Excessive Leverage Teaches UsSEG-3: The Fallacies of DiversificationSEG-4a: The Best Stop-loss ToolSEG-4b: Comparing Portfolios to S&P IndexHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/"Extreme Speculation Has Returned"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Welcome back from Thanksgiving break: Is it time to initiate Christmas Bonds to help Retailers? While markts have performed well, expect some sloppiness heading into the end of the year. We'll have Black Friday and Cyber Monday results later this week. Meanwhile, markets continue to grind higher. What will be the effects of Trump Administration picks and regulatory changes? High levels of market concentration will result in more volatility from regulatory disruptions. Market complacency in the past is a present risk; Lance looks at the impact of government spending, and a revealing chart of richest/poorest states...and the D.C. A sample of THC Pizza, the Thanksgiving Effect, and stupid housing solutions from Slate. Demographics are destiny: Is the US following Japan? Expect more market volatility in 2025; markets are a function of corporate earnings. It's okay to take speculative bets, but control risk. Commentary on MicroStrategy's strategy of using convertible debt to purchase Bitcoin: What could possibly go wrong?SEG-1: Christmas Bonds & Markets Grind Ever HigherSEG-2: Market Risks for 2025SEG-3: THC Pizza & Stupid Housing SolutionsSEG-4: Expecting Volatility in 2025Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Extreme Speculation Has Returned"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It's a Good Time for Portfolio Clean-up" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Credit Spreads Matter"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43V7qFIcbWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Credit spreads can greatly assist in determining the risk of a correction or bear market by reflecting the perceived risk of corporate bonds compared to government bonds. The spread between risky corporate bonds and safer Treasury bonds remains narrow when the economy performs well. This is because investors are confident in corporate profitability and are willing to accept lower yields for higher risks. Conversely, during economic uncertainty or stress, investors demand higher yields for holding corporate debt, causing spreads to widen. This widening often signals investors are growing concerned about future corporate defaults, which could indicate broader economic trouble. Lance and Jonathan explain Credit Spreads, the impact of Credit Spreads on Investments, plus Corporate Bond Yield Analysis and Fixed Income Market Trends. Lance also updates progress on Christmas decor at La Mansion de Roberts, identifies The Most Important Indicator, and the story about Bad Stuffing. Hilarity ensues. Happy Thanksgiving, y'all!SEG-1: Post-election Optimism: Markets Touch 6,000SEG-2a: Christina's Christmas TreeSEG-2b: Is a Crash Coming?SEG-3: The Most Important IndicatorSEG-4a: Bad StuffingSEG-4b: How to Predict Future ReturnsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43V7qFIcbWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Credit Spreads: The Markets Early Warning Indicators"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/credit-spreads-the-markets-early-warning-indicators/"Market Forecasts Are Very Bullish"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Touch 6,000" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Markets Look for a Holiday Rally"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBrh3-984LU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1184s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CreditSpreads #MarketCrash #RiskOn #RiskOff #InvestmentStrategy #FixedIncome #BondMarket #FinancialEducation #HolidayRally #StockMarketTrends #InvestingSeason #YearEndStocks #FinancialMarkets2024 #SP6000 #10YearTreasuries #ScottBessent #TreasurySecretary #FiscalHawk #BadStuffing #MrsRobertsChristmasTree #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Thanksgiving week is spread out before us like a serving table laden with food: Markets will trade in a holiday-shortened week with moods of expectation for high consumer spending. Lance reveals his strategy for Christina's Christmas present. Markets' goal is to generate 50-points, targeting S&P 6,000, despite limited downside. Bond Yields are dropping with Scott Bessent's nomination as Treasury Secretary. The Dollar and Bitcoin are over-bought; correction necessary. How will a Sec'y Bessent affect the national debt? Eliminating Government Debt & Deficits will subtract from corporate profitability; eliminating government spending will trigger recession. Why short-term pain isn't a bad thing in the long-term. Everyone is not expecting recession; What about risk and the CIti Surprise Index. Lance explains Old People behaviors; the strong market outlook for 2025. Lance pontificates on Marriage; the annual profit outlook for 2025; a recap of our Thanksgiving week content schedule.3:15 - Thanksgiving Week Preview14:49 - A Fiscal Hawk in the Treasury's Hen House30:23 - Old People 32:15 - Strong Outlook for 202544:34 - Lance on Marriage52:41 - Nobody Expects RecessionHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Market Forecasts Are Very Bullish"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Market Wants to Get to 6,000 " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hfNOalW1rYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s -------Our previous show is here: "The Best thing About Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgRu1W--X-Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=976s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#HolidayRally #StockMarketTrends #InvestingSeason #YearEndStocks #FinancialMarkets2024 #SP6000 #10YearTreasuries #ScottBessent #TreasurySecretary #FiscalHawk #GovernmentSpending #GovernmentDebt #GovernmentDeficitg #DollarStrength #BitCoin #ConsumerSpending #ChristmasShopping #Amazon #OldPeopleBehavior #Marriage #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
A preview of risks on the horizon, including Trump Tariffs, interest rates, and how debt and deficits are economic drivers. What are the effects on corporate profitability?Will valuations be problematic next year? Lance revews Nvidia's stellar quarterly report and analysts' expectations for 2025. Bitcoin is tracking WITH the US Dollar, not against it as a de-dollarization asset. CNBC completely misses "first man in space" trivia question (Yuri Gagarin, not Alan Shepherd); Lance & Michael discuss Nvidia's quarterly earnings and obscene, 55% profit margin: Does the company risk losing market share to an competitor willing to work for a piece of that pie? A discussion of the anticipated Trump Tariffs, and their impact on corporate profitability; what potential offsets will exist? What choices will consumers make (potentially refusing to buy), and what is the real impact on inflation in the aggregate: The seen and unseen effects and potential retaliatory tariffs. NOTE: Hoover's tariffs are suspect in making the 1930's Depression worse. Why the US' poorest state, Mississippi, has a higher GDP than the country of France: The cost of government intervention. MicroStrategy, BitCoin, and stupid investor investments. SEG-1: Looking at the Risk-on HorizonSEG-2: Why Nvidia is Still "Cheap"SEG-3: Will Trump Tariffs Really Be Inflationary?SEG-4: Stupid Investor InvestmentsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VE5okKP_9hM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/"Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/"Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Doesn't Disappoint" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j1rOq_VH06M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Wall Street Lowers 2025 Expectations: Should You Be Concerned?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4bUAbsijBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Nvidia #MicroStrategy #BitCoin #TrumpTariffs #TradeWarImpact #EconomicOutlook #InflationRisks #GlobalTradeTrends #WallStreetForecast #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingTrends #EconomicUpdates #FinancialPlanning2025 #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Nvidia Day--markets will respond accordingly tomorrow. Expectations are high for earnings and forward guidance. Analysts are generally looking for lowered expectations in 2025, as President Trump faces a waning economy. Meanwhile, markets have had a good test of support at the 20-DMA. Volatility anticipated in a holiday-shortened trading week next week. Lance and Danny plead for planning ahead at the end of the year, so as not to pile EOY changes on at the last minute. Corporate profitability in 2025: Case studies with WalMart vs Target and the aftertaste of wokeism. Stock picking could be more profitable than ETF investing next year. What happens to retailers who cannot sell their stuff? Lance and Danny look at factors that play into corporate profitability as the rest of the world slows down: We import deflation and export our inflation. The looming battle between the White House and the Fed: What will happen to Jerome Powell?SEG-1: The Challenge for Trump in the 2025 EconomySEG-2: Give Your Financial Advisor a Break!SEG-3: WalMart vs Target - Corporate Profitability in 2025SEG-4: Retail Sales & The Battle Between the WH vs the FedHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4bUAbsijBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/"Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets End 2024 Even Higher Than Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ZUtOduj4Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Yardini & The Long History of Prediction Problems"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3srkduy24uM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#WallStreetForecast #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingTrends #EconomicUpdates #FinancialPlanning2025 #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #EconomicOutlook #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
WalMart reports it's close to profitability; expect some market chop this week; NVIDIA reports Wednesday evening, and markets will respond on Thursday. A look at the performance of the Top Ten Stocks: Everyone wants to be in on the US Markets. Markets on Tuesday dropped to bounce off the 20-DMA, and continue to run along the ever-rising trend line. Expect some volatility ahead of next month's Fed meeting and anticipated 25-bp rate cut. Watch out for a shift in language to a more dovish stance. Economist Ed Yardeni believes markets' upward momentum will continue, and has revised his long-term forecast to project that the S&P 500 will reach 10,000 by 2029. Lance and Jonathan discuss these aspects, as well as markets' "animal spirits" and consumer confidence. Borrowing from the future: Markets are outpacing what the economy can produce; rising wages vs corporate profits are incongruent; the effects of decreasing government spending and tariffs; why ebullient predictions always fail. Lance explores a new IG channel for his wife; hilarity ensues. What should you ask and expect from a financial advisor? Lance & Jon discuss the work that we do.SEG-1: Everyone Wants In the US MarketsSEG-2 New Website & Yardini RebuttalSEG-3a: Stupid Things & Watching TyspnSEG-3b: Borrowing From the Future & Problem w PredictionsSEG-4a: The Baked BakerSEG-4b: Expectations for Your Financial AdvisorHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3srkduy24uM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/"Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Doves Return to the Fed?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZBtzLJWhGg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: ""Trump Trade" Sends Investors Into Overdrive"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CvFZe_0Yf4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2754s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #EconomicOutlook #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's the last full week of trading before Thanksgiving. Expectations for US GDP growth in the new year are on the plus side of 3%, vs the EU's negative exepctations: Where do you want to put your money? First place the "Government Efficiency Department" can start is at the Department of Defense, failing its past seven audits. Risks are building in certain market areas where “Trump Trade” exuberance has likely exceeded the grasp of underlying fundamental realities. While investors were a bit skittish heading into the election, the clean Republican sweep of the Presidency, House, and Senate has sent investors scrambling to add exposure across all market assets. While the “Trump Trade” certainly has some legs, lower taxes, deregulation, and tariffs will not solve many companies’ ” sales “ problems. But that is the beauty of speculation: rising prices increase speculation, which leads to higher prices. Lance shares his weekend excurion to The Warehouse at Texas A&M; valuations as short-term tools vs long term fundamentals. Post-election optimism at an all time high; the set up for markets now is very different from 2016. Could BitCoin hit $100,000? Why we don't have it in our 60/40 portfolio: Too volatile. Understanding risk psychology; why we've got about five years remaining to make real money in the markets. SEG-1: Great Expectations for US GDP GrowthSEG-2a: An Aggie ChristmasSEG-2b: Valuations & Risks in Cutting Government SpendingSEG-3: Understanding Bitcoin & Risk PsychologySEG-4: Short-term vs Long-term Market Perspectives Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Assets Keeping You Awake? Sell 'em!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q86SaUTa5s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Math Behind the MACD"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Just ahead of the Christmas Retail Shopping Season, credit card debt is piling up; consumers are under stress. Survey: What to do when an item is too expensive? What will be the actual effect of tariffs? What economists think vs how consumers react. Meanwhile, markets sold off Wednesday, then rallied back for a positive close: Participants are unwilling to sell, expecting markets to continue to rise; Bitcoin is melting up, Gold is getting beaten up, the Russell 2000 enjoys a post-election pop. Lance covers YouTube Chat etiquette, and with Michael Lebowitz discusses the latest CPI print and the problem with homeowners equivalent rent as 40% of the CPI calculation. What about the PPI? The Fed's biggest task is calming the markets. Markets are only listening to what they want to hear. Lance shares his Top Five Technical Analysis Tools. When we discuss technical analysis in our articles and podcasts, we often examine the moving average convergence divergence indicator, better known as the MACD, or colloquially the Mac D. The MACD is one of our favored technical indicators to help forecast prices and manage risk. The MACD is the difference between a short moving average and a longer moving average. The MACD line tells us if there is a trend in place and whether its momentum is increasing or decreasing. Lance and Michael share how to use MACD in your trading strategy as part of your suite of technical analysis tools. SEG-1: Economists' Thoughts vs Consumers' ActionsSEG-2: CPI & The Problem With Homeowners' Equivalent RentSEG-3: Markets Are Only Listening to What They Want to HearSEG-4: Technical Analysis & The Math of MACDHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The MACD: A Guide To This Powerful Momentum Gauge"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-macd-a-guide-to-this-powerful-momentum-gauge/"Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Market Participants are Unwilling to Sell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJeDa7V9Z3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Annuities: Good, Bad, & Ugly"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6X1QEdhShs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2720s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #InvestingTips #InvestmentAdvice #CPI #PPI #FinancialPlanning #IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Inflation Day: Expectations are for a .3% print for October (the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported CPI rising.2%, and up 2.6% over the past 12-months). Remember, it's only a guess; why inflation is destined to rise. Stocks remain over-bought; watch for pre-Thanksgiving volatility; more than half in our Twitter poll sees the S&P at 6,200 by EOY. Why are investors expecting more rate cuts in 2025? Lance & Danny present an Annuity Primer: Why most annuities are sold, not planned for; Lance's Three Rules for Annuities; the different annuity types. Annuities often sacrifice liquidity; protect yourself from yourself. Why annuities are not for everyone. How to win: Out-live the actuarial table!SEG-1: Inflation Day ExpectationsSEG-2: The Annuity Primer, Pt.1 - Why Most Annuitites are Sold, not PlannedSEG-3: The Annuity Primer, Pt.2 - Calculating the Expenses SEG-4: The Annuity Primer, Pt.3 - Why Annuities Aren't for EveryoneHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6X1QEdhShs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2720s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the S&P Hit 6,200?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VuOdEkfM6UA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Irrational Exuberance...Again?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AnnuityInsights #RetirementPlanning #InvestmentAdvice #AnnuityProsCons #FinancialPlanning #IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings Season is winding up, and The Next Big Report to come will be from NVIDIA on 11/20. Markets are on fire for now; what will the Fed do next? We're expecting one more rate cut in December, and then a pause. This week's inflation print could be higher due to YOY comparisons. Mutual Fund Distributions are coming in December; do not be alarmed! The post-election market is on a tear: invesetors are more exuberant than ever. Everybody is betting on everything to go up. A pullback to the 20-DMA is coming, setting up the market for a rally into year end. Lance and Jonathan discuss mutual fund distributions and anticipated portfolio variations. How will markets responsd to Trump policies and government employment levels. Lance's entreprenurial son offers "boyfriends" services for Thanksgiving. Lance & Jonathan parse the pro's and con's of bond portfolios. Investors can have any of the two: Capital appreciation, safety, or liquidity. The problems with 100% bond portfolio, and the impossibility of high income with no risk. Yield is a function of risk: There is no such thing as no-risk (things companies do to stay in business). Markets' exuberance comes with a price: Policy chances will have consequences. Is the 60/40 Portfolio dead? SEG-1: Post-election Markets are on FireSEG-2: What Mutual Fund Distribution Time MeansSEG-3a: Tommy's Rent-a-Boyfriend EnterpriseSEG-3b: The Pro's & Con's of Bond PortfoliosSEG-4: There's No Such Thing as No RiskHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer So we had a software glitch during this morning's live-stream, and lost about :50-seconds of content in this recording at about the :18-minute mark.-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZtz1S3R3WQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2635s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Everybody's Betting on Everything Going Up" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AISGEpmtMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why COLA Doesn't Get Any Respect"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The markets' response to the election outcome, combined with Thursday's Fed rate cut: Markets love it, but half the country (metro areas) are not happy. Avoid knee-jerk responses; next year could be very different. What to do with Bonds: Know what your goal is. Rich & Danny discuss home-bias investing vs international markets: Where're you gonna go? Expect more volatility and more disappointment. Rich explains 'Goal Scooping:' Do it now. Markets love gridlock in D.C.; market performance with blue vs red waves. A discussion of the new Roberts' home vs the set of "Lioness..." Why COLA gets no respect; the compounding effect on COLA; why policy failures are expensive; the paucity of fiscal education today. How COLA is calculated; how to fix Social Security? Eliminate wage base. (Rich's Halloween review.) The value of a financial advisor: Grill prospective advisors; maximizing tax-effective diversification. How organized sports have become a big business...and a money grab on families' budgets.SEG-1: Avoid Knee-jerk Responses to Election ResultsSEG-2a: Home Bias Investing vs International MarketsSEG-2b: COLA & The Compounding EffectSEG-3: Why Policy Failure is ExpensiveSEG-4: The Value of a Financial Advisor: Diversification for TaxesHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Why Is Gold Surging?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/"Election Day! Plan For Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/"The Presidential Election Cometh"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Arrives!"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SocialSecurity #COLA #CostOfLivingAdjustment #Compounding #FiscalEducation #InternationalMarkets #GoalScooping #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #Halloween #Lioness #ZoeSaldana #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
In the aftermath of the 2024 Election, attention now turns to today's Fed announcement, with odds makers giving 96% chance of a quarter-percent rate cut. Meanwhile, markets are roiling as foreign investors try to position after the election. Managers are scrambling to re-risk in time for year-end reporting; Wednesday was a huge day for Small Caps. Lance and Michael discuss the frequency of Mexican Food, our up coming 2025 Economic Summit, and what investors should do in response to Tuesday's election. The results argue for the value in a diversified portfolio. Questions remain: Why was Gold getting crushed? What will Trump do? Will there be an economic surprise? A discussion of economic reporting, and prediction the NFIB Confidence Index will surge with the Trump win. Employment data, however, is slightly below average. Why is the Fed cutting rates? Watch for a wall of corporate debt coming due. We're in a "fine" economy; the Fed meeting may seem boring, but read between the lines. Will there be a Fed surprise? Half-percent rate cut vs NO rate cut? Watch for language changes in Fed statement. Trump Tariffs do not necessarily promote growth. Will we see '70's-style inflation? Can the Fed control the yield curve? (Operation Twist) Most of the Fed's sway is in what they say. SEG-1: Post-election Analysis & Fed Meeting PreviewSEG-2: Election Reaction: What Do We Do Next?SEG-3: Economic Reporting PreviewSEG-4: Fed Control of Yield Curve; Why is Gold Surging?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Why Is Gold Surging?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/"Election Day! Plan For Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/"The Presidential Election Cometh"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Trump Wins!"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#GoldSurges #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #MexicanFood #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The 2024 Election outcome is sharply affecting pre-market, with Donald Trump's election sending stocks higher. The S&P trendline is aiming for the 6000 or 6100 level. The question that remains is whether markets can sustain that trend. This time is different from the previous Trump win: Interest rates are falling and tax rates are lower now; yet, there are still plenty of questions for investors: what will Trump's tax policy be? What will be the over all impact on the economy? (The Tax Foundation predicts .8% impact to GDP.) Still to be seen in the Congress: What happens with a Republican sweep? What will the Tariff effect be? Fiscal dominance is not an issue. The Fed is likely to reverse QE to QT. What if Trump initiates a round of major infrastructure spending/investment? One thing is clear: Don't chase markets today. If you weren't already in, it will be tough do so now. What are the risks from the Fed and poor holiday retail sales? What are possible effects of a Musk-led "Government Efficiency" Dept.? Some of the things we need to fix will produce negative effect from doing so. Could reducing government trigger Recession? Avoid FOMO today; what matters will be post-inauguration. Lance and Danny discuss the importance of being able to adapt to changing policies; markets are going to do what they do. Love it or hate it, Congress is very much controlled by corporate lobbying interests. Market pullbacks will be short-lived. Buy the dips when you can. Lance explains positioning on Bonds now. SEG-1: Trump Win to Send Stocks HigherSEG-2: The What-if's of Trumpian PolicySEG-3: Don't Chase Markets TodaySEG-4: Don't Make Investing Decisions Based on Political BiasHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Election Day! Plan For Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/"The Presidential Election Cometh"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Does Trump Win Translate into S&P 6000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdiZEF5mrVc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Election Day: Plan for Volatility"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYkOUuP1e_Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact#ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #Palantir #Ferrari #SuperMicro #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Will the 2025 Election be The Most Important Election Ever? Yes...until 2028. Vote for the policy, not the personality: Child Care Credits case study. Markest are hangin' on ahead of the election, setting up for a post-election rally.Bond yields are the result of pre-election positioning; bond auction is next week. It's hard to buy when it's unpopular. Why are Small Caps having a hard time: They're not growing earnings. Most sensitive to difficult economy. Understand what gives stocks long term growth; will economic growth slow to "normal" next year? Don't expect 20% grwoth in 2025. Markets' historical post-election performance & government stimulus; why you have about six years remaining to make as much money as your can before the end of the current, bullish market cycle. Ignore emotion in the media. Expectations for a contested election & congressional gridlock: Lance review historical market performance from various election outcomes. For now, we're waiting on the Fed, expected to lower rates another quarter-point this week. Reviewing employment data for retailers ahead of holiday shopping season (What Mrs. Roberts wants for Christmas) Turkey down & The Hallmark channel. Stocks we wish we had bought: Palantir, up 200% this year. Earnings preview: Ferrari, SuperMicroSEG-1: Vote Policies, Not PersonalitiesSEG-2: Don't Expect 20% Growth in 2025SEG-3: Why You Have Six Years to Make As Much Money As You CanSEG-4: This, too, Shall Pass - Waiting on the FedHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYkOUuP1e_Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Election Day! Plan For Volatility"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/"The Presidential Election Cometh"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Table is Set for Post-election Rally" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opnKzoHrODs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Presidential Election Cometh"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isHueBB3EwY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection#FinancialTrends #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #Palantir #Ferrari #SuperMicro #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's 2024 Election-eve: Hedge funds are long on a presumed outcome; watch for a pick up in volatility. The Fed meets on the day after the election; there are still about 100 S&P Companies left to report. Reference Lance's weekend article on buy backs, Wolf in Sheep's Clothing: Apple spent $100-B on stock buy backs, when they could have purchased Intel for $99-B and produced their own chips. But, no. investors should do nothing on this day before the election; any move you make could be wrong. RIP Quincy Jones & Peanuts the Squirrel; Earnings Season Beat Rates are still elevated 80% (w charts). Roughly 10% of earnings are manufactured, and these are boosted by buy backs. Jerome Powell commentary this week will depend upon election outcome; he doesn't know yet. Lance' discussion on interest rates and debt overhang: Remember the Fed's job is to protect the banks. Lending money into existence is how economy works. Interest Rates are like a virus. Expectations are for a .25-bp rate cut. The IRS is raising the 401k max contribution ceiling by $500 to $23,500 for 2025. How "later" shows up tomorrow. Saving is a discipline.SEG-1: Markets on StandstillSEG-2: Earnings Season Beat Rates Still ElevatedSEG-3: Interest Rates Are Like a VirusSEG-4: 401k Ceilings & the Discipline of Saving MoneyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isHueBB3EwY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"10 Smart Money Moves to Make Right Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-smart-money-moves-to-make-right-now/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Do Anything Today" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ureIqdQOgyo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Ten Money Smart Things To Do Before Year's End"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GA2ZIzl8ws&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1900s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #401kCeiling #SavingsDiscipline #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
2024 isn’t over yet. So here are 10 smart money moves to make right now.Saving money should be a year-round endeavor, but life gets in the way just like anything else. So with 2024 coming to a swift, thankful end, take advantage of the fourth quarter to accelerate your financial acumen, bolster your balance sheet and successfully springboard into the new year. Danny and Matt share year-end financial planning tips , smart money moves, and tax-saving strategies for the end of the year; plus investment adjustments for year-end, and a personal finance checklist for 2024.SEG-1: Investors Are Too Focused on Near-TermSEG-2: When Will Valuations Matter Again?SEG-3: Open Enrollment StrategiesSEG-4: Year End To-do'sHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GA2ZIzl8ws&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1900s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"10 Smart Money Moves to Make Right Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-smart-money-moves-to-make-right-now/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Best Since 2018" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVTVr2sHG74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s-------Our previous show is here: "Fact-checking Paul Tudor Jones & Stanley Druckenmiller"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esqhIBreVZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#YearEndPlanning #SmartMoneyMoves #TaxSavings #FinancialChecklist#PersonalFinanceTips #EarningsSeason #LoweredExpectations #PaulTudorJones #StanleyDruckenmiller #MarketOutlook #InvestmentPredictions #HedgeFundInsights #MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings Season continues as October ends: Microsoft and Meta reports reveal lowered expectations for 2025; Microstrategy is raising stakes on Bitcoin w $42-B buy: Will prove to be either brilliant or disastrous (only 6% of Bitcoin owners are active users); Apple & Amazon results will reveal more about consumer spending. Can famed investors Paul Tudor Jones and Stan Druckenmiller, who recently proclaimed they are short bonds, thus betting on higher yields, be wrong? Looking at trends in Deficits, Debt, and their relationship to GDP; 2019 vs 2025: Is this time really different? What Money Supply is really doing.SEG-1: What Earnings Are Saying About Consumer SpendingSEG-2: Convertible Bonds & Markets Seeking PerfectionSEG-3: Can Paul Tudor Jones & Stanley Drunkenmiller Be Wrong?SEG-4: Deficits, Debt, & GDPHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esqhIBreVZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Can Paul Tudor Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller Be Wrong?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-paul-tudor-jones-and-stanley-druckenmiller-be-wrong/"Key Market Indicators for November 2024"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Best Since 2018" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVTVr2sHG74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s-------Our previous show is here: "Why this Bull Market Feels Weird"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSkBraqrjmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2989s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#EarningsSeason #LoweredExpectations #PaulTudorJones #StanleyDruckenmiller #MarketOutlook #InvestmentPredictions #HedgeFundInsights #MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Halloween preview & earnings parade; pre-election bond market auction action. Markets are hedging a bit ahead of elections. The latest JOLTS report was weaker than expected - more evidence of a slowing economy? Meanwhile, consumer confidence continues to confound, bouncing up in the latest Conference Board Confidence Index reading, especially for forward expectations for stock prices into 2025. Lance reviews International, Emerging Markets, and Dollar performance. Markets "are not doing nothin'" until after the election. Lance & Danny discuss what happens after that. Political posturing is a problem: Data vs Opinion. Why markets love gridlock, but appear to be positioning for a Trump win. How many Funds outperform the S&P (chart); this data does not show who the managers were! "I want a one-star Fund on its way to five-stars." A comment on why intrinsic value doesn't matter; bond ratings & pay-for-play. The problem with ratings systems: No real-time monitoring/reporting. What we didn't know: The Lehman story. "High Yield" is a proxy for junk. Why ETF's underperform their indexes. Why don't we sing pumpkin carols? Could raging bull John Paulson be the next Treasury Sec'y.? How thoughtful would slashing government spending be? A final tease for more complete discussion on "intrinsic value."SEG-1: Markets Are Hedging Ahead of ElectionsSEG-2a: What Happens After the Election?SEG-2b: How Many Funds Outperform the S&P?SEG-3: Bond Ratings Happen in the Rear View MirrorSEG-4: The Challenge of Cutting Government SpendingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSkBraqrjmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2989s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Key Market Indicators for November 2024"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, " Why No One is Willing to Buy or Sell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sh_WPCQ11qk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAyGMHtuS0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
A barrage of earnings reports this week reveals companies are beating lowered expectations, and revenue is down. McDonald's foot traffic is off (and interesting economic barometer); the story is surely unfolding of an economy that is slowing down. What do markets sell signals tell us? There are two ways for markets to correct: Consolidation, or pull back in prices. Lance rants on the realities of stock buy backs, and a sidebar from Jonathan on coffee habits; How will markets behave if the election is contested? Markets are very long on risk assets ahead of election; paralysis by analysis: Does not have to be "all-or-none." A look at the performance of our "all-weather" portfolio, and our bond strategies moving forward. A discussion on Gold, Gold Miners, and other commodities: Very economically sensitive and volatile. What if the economy collapses and we don't go back on Gold standard? It's all about balance (Remember the Hunt Brothers' silver fiasco). What to do about solicitation to "lock-in higher yields" in Bond accounts: Understanding high yield = junk bonds, generally NOT investment-grade.SEG-1: Earnings Are Beating Lowered Expectations (yay)SEG-2: The Ugly Reality of Stock Buy BacksSEG-3: The All-Weather Portfolio & Bond Strategy Moving ForwardSEG-4: Commodities' Economic Sensitivity & VolatilityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAyGMHtuS0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Key Market Indicators for November 2024"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Sell Signals Don't Mean Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjPmDHAR4Nw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Streaks Of Bullish Wins Are Not Sustainable"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Wrapping up the Month of October and beginning the strongest period for markets, November - April; what could throw a wrench into the works? (How about an election upset?) Markets are positioning for a specific, anticipated outcome. Life with the Roberts': Child #4 accepted at Baylor! The Halloween dress-rehearsal. Markets' positioning for election outcome: What if...? Market risks to election outcome. Treasury Bonds are the best set up for election upset; there are decent opportunities to go "long" on energy stocks. Economic data released this week: The Chicago Fed Manufacturing Index is an important indicator; what is it telling us? View that performance of the Mag-7 might reverse next year are not reasonable. Google(s) and Crocks report this week, and most of the Top 10 will have reported by week's end. Lance relates his conversation with his dog and managing risk. Article preview on Paul Tudor Jones' opinion on owning Treasury Bonds. Debts and Deficits will not lead to higher rates: The country will NOT go bankrupt: Economic growth, Wage growth, inflation growth: The terminal rate is likely around 2.5%. The thing about bonds: It's pretty much math.SEG-1: What Could Throw a Wrench into markets?SEG-2a: Life w The Roberts & Baylor U.SEG-2b: Markets Position for Election OutcomeSEG-3: Earnings Reports & Managing RiskSEG-4: Debts & Deficits will NOT Lead to Higher RatesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/"Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Election Winner" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Wz_MZaSmQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Can You Really Afford to Own a Home?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbPQLkasFFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Gold Fish are changing their name to Chilean Sea Bass, and Spam will henceforth be known as Filet Mignon; the world has gone awry, and Richard & Jonathan discuss the surprise results from Tesla, Polymarket odds for the 2024 Election, and goal scooping and setting expectations for 2025. Richard compares the Saudi's newest, biggest building in the world to the Tiny Homes trend, and Gen-Z's housing preferences (No car, no garage = no problem!) The Atlanta Fed's Home Ownership Affordability Monitor is a good gauge; the death of Elizabeth Warren's 50-30-20 Rule of Thumb. You can find affordable housing if you look, but you might not like where it is. Housing will eventually become more affordable. Comparisons of Sears' Craftsman Homes to Tiny Home enclaves (as in Independence, Texas); Michelle Bowers' "The Old House Life." Social Security's COLA for 2025 will be up 2.5%, but probably absorbed by increases in prescription drug coverage premium (funny how inflation has tapered just in time for COLA calculations!)SEG-1: Goal Scooping & Setting Expectations for 2025SEG-2: Home Ownership Affordability & Tiny HomesSEG-3: Finding Affordable HomesSEG-4: More Tiny Homes Talk & SS COLA Changes ComingHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbPQLkasFFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/"Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the Rising Wedge Pattern May Mean " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7uHTtKv5KI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3xSgmwD84s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2104s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#HomeAffordability #SocialSecurity #COLA #IRS #2025TaxRates #Boomers #Millennials #FixedIncomeStrategy #InflationImpact #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingRulesOfThumb #MACD #$SPX #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Conference Board's Economic Surprise Index gauges exactly that: How surprised economists are when things don't pan out as they expected. Like the economy doing better than they think it ought, under the current conditions. Economists are setting themselves up for disappointment; more Americans are living paycheck-to-paycheck. Lance and Michael discuss market psychology and a subset of PTSD known as memory inflation: Things were better (or worse) than they actually were, which is affecting the Bond market, and the realities of inflation vs wages. Addressing chat window commentary: Headlines vs Data: Who should you believe? What we're doing with bonds; looking for a technical bounce. Look for a revision to estimates.SEG-1: Dealing with Economic SurpriseSEG-2: Market PTSD & Memory InflationSEG-3: Headlines vs Data: Who Do You Believe?SEG-4: What We're doing w BondsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3xSgmwD84s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2104s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/"Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the Rising Wedge Pattern May Mean " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7uHTtKv5KI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Technical Analysis Techniques""https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPqRWYTO3Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2488s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MemoryInflation #BondYields #FixedIncomeStrategy #InflationImpact #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingRulesOfThumb #MACD #$SPX #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets sold off on Tuesday to break even. following six straight weeks of gains; still, markets have no fear of recession. Lance shares his personal strategy for Bonds (using his own money, not clients') When everyone is hating on Bonds is the time to buy. After the Election, the focus will return to Yields and Interest Rates. Lance next provides a primer on the Technical Analysis tools he uses at RIA Advisors: Why we use it; keeping it simple. the $SPX & Moving Averages; Rules of Thumb: When markets break, that's an alert to pay attention to; are markets breaking, or is it a dip? Is the break confirmed? Give it time. The Realtive Strength Indicator and MACD tools: Converging or diverging? SEG-1: Markets Have No Fear of RecessionSEG-2: Why & How We Use Technical Analysis (KISS)SEG-3: Rules of ThumbSEG-4: The MACD & Other Tools for Mitigating RiskHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPqRWYTO3Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Donald Trump Or Fundamentals? What's Irking The Bond Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/donald-trump-or-fundamentals-whats-irking-the-bond-market/"Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Everybody is Back to Hating Bonds Again" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-G4I_NnvR74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Stock Market Party Over?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsLwZJT9srg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingRulesOfThumb #MACD RelativeStrengthIndicator #$SPX #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What does it mean when the Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators (a predictor of the next six months' economic activity) post's a negative .5 reading...while markets seem to be able to find no ceiling? Who's right? Markets continue to be "just fine," although a potential for pullback by the end of October or beginning of November is anticipated to provide a better entry point for portfolio exposure. Lance and Jonathan answer emails, like "Is the market party over?" The biggest factor will be the shift in liquidity; that money has to go somewhere. Which is better: 9% annual return or an average of 9% over ten years; math explained. The comparison of time horizons vs actual life expectancy: No one is going to live for 124-years. Why it's not the end of the world as we know it (thank you, R.E.M.); forward returns & Valuations. The problem of earnings growth concentration among only 10-stocks; why not to hide only in cash. A financial Plan should be flexible, but it's only as good as the data. What about the Dollar? How it's backed and why it's the preferred currency of trade. Everyone is in the Prediction business; how we deal with risk.SEG-1: Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators -.5?SEG-2: Email Answers: Is the Stock Market Party Over?SEG-3: Why It's Not the End of the World as We Know ItSEG-4: What About the Dollar?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsLwZJT9srg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Market Is Doing Just Fine" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1B3kHCoNLkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Q3-Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNplygIR9HA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2475s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #VolatilityWatch #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings estimates remain exceptionally optimistic, raising the question of whether consumer spending can sustain present levels (the source of earnings!) Investors should be careful averages, and remember that records are recrods for a reason. Why we're still expecting acorrection; we've had six strong weeks in a row, and a seventh is not out of the question this week. Lance looks at where earnings are really occurring (in the Mag-7 companies); what happens if those top 10% companies cease growing? Earnings expectations are what move market prices; why Wall St. is the "sell" side, and investors are on the "buy" side. Gold is very over-bought; deviated nearly five-times above moving averages. There's nothing "wrong" with markets now; the challenge for investors is buying stocks that may be "out of favor" currently. lamnce reviews JP Morgan report on the odds of the presidential election outcomes, and what happens if the odds shift? There is a distinct risk of a pre-election sell-off. What if there is a contested election? The market is a "hive" of intelligence, and knows more than you do. A brief review of our Technical Analysis techniques.SEG-1: Why We're Still Expecting a CorrectionSEG-2: Where Earnings Growth is Really Happening (and what happens if it stops)SEG-3: Earnings Expectations Are What Move MarketsSEG-4: The Challenge of Buying What's Not In Favor NowHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNplygIR9HA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2475s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hitting Brand New Records This Year" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvjBMe7VWaU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "COLA Boost & Medicare Shifts: What You Must Know for 2025"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBwvNBeq0Bs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard & Jonathan recap their recent recruiting visit on the campus of Texas A&M University: There is hope for the next generation. Earnings season continues, discussion of Netflix and Lance's coffee rants. Anti-globalization & the China effect; the fallacy of International buys; "I love Lucy" & Vitametavegamin. Why fasting should be called slowing; Medicare Open Enrollment and changes in many plans: What happens when Medicare advantage plans go away; many supplemental benefits go un-used. Changes in Medicare prescription drug formularies. What happens if you don't make a choice ; the importance of healthcare literacy; health is connected to wealth.SEG-1: A&M & The Next GenerationSEG-2: Coffee Tawk & The Fall of GlobalizationSEG-3: Medicare Open Enrollment changes for 2025SEG-4: Healthcare Literacy & Connection to WealthHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBwvNBeq0Bs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The VIX And Market Climb: Should We Care?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-vix-and-market-climb-should-we-care/"Cava: A Hot Trend Comes At A Dear Cost To Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cava-a-hot-trend-comes-at-a-dear-cost-to-investors/"Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/"GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/"NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Will Trend Higher...Until they Don't" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUMtRETZHK4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Volatility & The Market Climb: Should We Care?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ajA-yTT_NM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=485s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#COLA2025 #Medicare2025 #RetirementPlanning #SocialSecurityUpdate #FinancialAdvice #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Retail Sales numbers today, and earnings recaps (so far) and previews; looking for an outsized seasonal adjustment to Retail Sales due to calendar anomalies; there's nothing overly concerning to markets. The big focus will be the election and it's outcome and control of House & Senate: The market hates uncertainty, and loves gridlock. Lance refutes rash of negative videos: Markets see nothing of concern. Market Bears are on parade, what does the rise in Volatility mean? The VIX is implied volatility: Will market move a lot or a little, but not in which direction. It is indicative of markets' expectations for activity. Understanding Implied Volatility: Put-call ratios vs Skew Ratios; what is this tool for? Lance eschews wife's suggestion of tea instead of coffee; Retail Sales preview & potential Fed response; The economy is strong, but weakneing, from a very high level. The Fed is trying to normalize interest rates, which are still too high and a threat to "Goldilocks Economy." SEG-1: What Really Matters to Markets in 2024 ElectionSEG-2: What Does the Rise in Market Volatility Mean?SEG-3: Understanding Implied VolatilitySEG-4: Coffee vs Tea, Retail Sales Preview & Potential Fed ResponseHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ajA-yTT_NM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=485s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The VIX And Market Climb: Should We Care?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-vix-and-market-climb-should-we-care/"Cava: A Hot Trend Comes At A Dear Cost To Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cava-a-hot-trend-comes-at-a-dear-cost-to-investors/"Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/"GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/"NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Will Trend Higher...Until they Don't" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUMtRETZHK4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "You Ain't Rich"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnNxECRmvus&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarketTrends #VIXIndex #RiskManagement#InvestorMindset #MarketVolatility #VIX #IsraelIranWar #CrudeOil #InvestmentMistakes #GreedAndLoss #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Will the strength (or weakness) of the consumer be revealed in this week's Retail Sales report? Liquidity is continuing to flow into markets; if things are so good, why all the liquidity flows? Stock buy backs resume in 10-days, adding $6-B/day of more liquidity (which is NOT a return of capital to investors.) Energy stock exposure exoansion: As interest rates rise, so have oil prices. MACD Sell signal has been triggered, and we anticipate falling oil prices through the end of the year. Lance shares another Life w the Roberts' anecdote about son, Tommy; What does it take to be rich? Dealing with the lifestyle creep, and why many families are still one paycheck away from financial disaster. Raising the Roberts' kids in reality: What was your first car? How to really count wealth: perceptions vs reality. 7 things to disucss when planning for wealth; how will you spend your time in retirement? The things clients say advisors fail to mention; the Roberts' budget and Christina & Michelle's Christmas presents.SEG-1: Why All the Liquidity (if things are so great)?SEG-2a: Life w The Roberts' - Tommy's Test TakingSEG-2b: What Does it Take to Be Rich?SEG-3a: Lance & Danny's First CarsSEG-3b: Wealth: Perception vs RealitySEG-4: Things Clients Say Advisors Never MentionHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnNxECRmvus&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/"GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/"NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Oil Prices May Continue to Decline" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-MtU1GsZy8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acqg2G62gh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2441s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#WealthInequality #MiddleClassWealth #EconomicTrends #MoneyMindset #FinancialSecurity #UpperClass #MiddleClass #BeingRich #InvestmentMistakes #GreedAndLoss #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Retail Sales figures should be interesting, as retailers were stocking up ahead of the short-lived dockworkers' strike. Lance previews Thanksgiving at the Roberts' house, featuring brisket! Earnings week continues with a string of the most negative earnings revisions in a long while. Markets operating under a seasonal buy signal and an ever-upward trend: What could possibly go wrong? Lance discusses the importance of risk management in a bull market environment. How to lose 100% of your Money? Greed is a necessity fto build wealth; also must be optimistic & willing to take risk. The trouble with trading options: All or nothing proposition. The sad saga of Christopher DeVocht vs RBC and his Tesla investments. Lance explains Means, Mediums, and Modes. The life-changing effects of money: The importance of taking profits/money off the table. Understanding greed; importance of separating emotion from investing. The three destructive forms of greed. The fiduciary responsibility of financial advisors (did DeVocht follow his advisors' admonitions?) Passive vs active investing.SEG-1: Retail Sales Preview & Impact on GDPSEG-2: Greed & The Saga of Christopher DeVochtSEG-3: The Three Destructive Forms of GreedSEG-4: The Fiduciary Responsibility of Financial AdvisorsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acqg2G62gh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2441s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/"GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/"NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "A Bull Market Can Still Be Risky" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=If6QnYwXC1U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Wall St. vs. Main St. - Who's Right?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lMcYhyo5OW8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestmentMistakes #GreedAndLoss #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Earnings Season "Rush Week" this week, with the bulk of companies reporting 3rd Quarter results; after that, the stock buy back window is prepared to re-open, providing nearlt $1-T in funds to flood the markets. The median value of stock portfolios is $250k, up from $190k. Demand for AI chips is not going away. Markets entering the seasonallt-strong period of the year after hitting new, all-time highs on Friday, triggering a buy signal. The risk of a deeper contraction is possible, but now unlikely. An analysis of the latest CPI numbers reveals a contrast between headline numbers and details in the data; there are some anomalies. Lance discusses the 8 components of the CPI & their weighting in the index. Life with the Roberts' reviews the weekend birthday of the youngest daughter, and fun with Gunner the Wonder Dog. The latest GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts. GDP vs Inflation is slowing; NFIB Confidence is on the wane: Small businesses "feel like" they're in recession. Expectations for Retail Sales vs their reality; Cap Ex plans vs Real GDP; why small businesses are not optimistic.SEG-1: Earnings Season Rush WeekSEG-2: CPI Analysis: Headline Numbers vs Details & DataSEG-3: Economic Data Does Not Support Recession...but...SEG-4: Why Small Businesses Are ConcernedHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lMcYhyo5OW8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/"NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Market Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZJ1LXlxnyo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Rising Volatility, China Stimulus, & Storms' Economic Surge: What They Mean for Portfolios"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJZp1muy9zA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
All was not hunky-dory in the recent Fed meeting, as the FOMC Meeting minutes reveal a split-decision on lowering rates by 50-bps vs 25-bps. Meanwhile, in the markets, the S&P is having its Best Year Ever since the "turn of the century." The current, rising wedge is both a bullish and bearish sign; CPI numbers will be today's trigger. Volatility in the markets, thanks to uncertainty over presidential election outcome, Israel-Iran war effect on oil prices, etc. The VIX doesn't always tell you everything. We're at the beginning of a Fed-easing campaign; the Hawkish-Dovish Fed has a bipolar problem. A look at the China trade syndrome, and rush of investment in Chinese tech sector: When everyone's on the same side of the boat, better get to the other side. We've become Pavlov's dogs, chasing China. Does China care as much about its stock market as the Fed cares about the US stock market? (no.) Why we avoid BRICS country investments; paying a premium to invest in the US where there is Rule of Law. Lance reviews the Broken Window Theory and the economic impact of hurricanes Helene and Milton. The pulling forward of consumption now will boost economic activity at the expense of an economic void later.SEG-1: FOMC Meeting Minutes: Split-decisionSEG-2: The VIX Doesn't Always Tell You EverythingSEG-3: The China (Trade) SyndromeSEG-4: Hurricanes & Broken Window TheoryHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Tales of Cobras, Windows, and Economic Promise"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tales-of-cobras-windows-and-economic-promise/"How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/"Election Outcome Presents Opportunity For Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-outcome-presents-opportunity-for-investors/"Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will CPI Report Trigger a MACD Buy Signal?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnIChkDuJnM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally: What Tuesday's Tech Stock Surge Means for Investors"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJZp1muy9zA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Hurricane #BrokenWindowTheory #ChinaInvesting #BRICS #BondMarket #BondRates #BondYields #BondOpportunities #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #FOMCMeetingMinutes #BipolarFed #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #HowardMarks #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Trauma of Hurricanes revisited: Hurricane Alicia (1983) remembered as Hurricane Milton bears down on Florida today; Lance shares his bizzare dream about aliens refuting Flat-earthers; why high interest rates are unsustainable. Fed rate cuts don't mean rates will go straight down. Why 4% rates cannot last for long. Markets rally amid price compression; what is sustaining markets, historically high, without any Fed liquidity injection. Analysts are still targeting S&P 6000 by the end of the year. NFIB members note borrowing rates at 8% are too high, and will erode economic growth and any business expansion. Lance expresses frustration with UPS over the mishandling of his expensive subwoofer shipped to FLorida for repairs. Investors have interest rate PTSD; trading bonds now; don't try to beat the market. The 2024 Election, Interest Rates, and waiting things out; rationalizing not investing now. Preparing for election outcomes, regardless of who wins. Why it's easy not to invest; investing in bonds; the potential for a larger correction; the problem with waiting; building a portfolio to generate income.SEG-1: Hurricane Trauma, Alien Dreams, & Bond OpportunitiesSEG-2: S&P Still Targeting 6000 by EOYSEG-3a: Lance's Rant: Subwoofer Repair & UPS FailSEG-3b: Investors have Interest Rate PTSDSEG-4: How to Prepare Your Portfolio for Any Election OutcomeHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJZp1muy9zA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/"Election Outcome Presents Opportunity For Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-outcome-presents-opportunity-for-investors/"Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Opportunity to Buy Bonds is Coming" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8b3G4Syzo00&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "You Can't Avoid Risk - But You Can Manage It"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVy63Ct2Azs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2864s -------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BondMarket #BondRates #BondYields #BondOpportunities #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #HowardMarks #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The key to successfully managing money is managing risk. Economnic news is absent; no 50bps rate cut in November, thanks to a strong jobs report, and markets are adjusting to that reality. One off shoot of Jobs report shows more workers seeking secondary, part time employment to make ends meet. Markets sold off on Monday, as price compresion continues. Markets may be stuck untikl earnings season provides direction. Managing risk: A function of loss; Howard Marks on Risk: there is a symmetry of risk and volatility, of gains vs losses. You cannot quantify risk; the challenge is how to best structure outcomes. The risk of missing gains; risk is deceptive. When markets feel safest, they are most-risky. Price matters more than quality. Toll roads, I don't care, Christmas Deco, & Money Flows: Where is all the money going? The Everything Market. NOT investing has risk. There will always be a 'what-if?' james Webb telescope and Aliens on the way. There are no stupid questions; this show is about Osmosis. Don't treat your advisor like a mutual fund.SEG-1: Markets Adapt to No 50bps Rate Cut in NovemberSEG-2: Managing Risk: A Function of LossSEG-3: Where Has All the Money Gone?SEG-4: There Are No Stupid QuestionsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVy63Ct2Azs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2864s -------Articles mentioned in this report:"How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/"Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility is Flashing a Caution Light" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZjtt_VxvqY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Millennial Earnings Season Begins"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0jagILd1Jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
This week marks the start of earnings season for Q; the 2024 Election and the next FOMC Meeting also add volatility to markets. Friday's Jobs report came in stronger than expected (leaving one to wonder what kind of revision to the numbers is to come). Within the report, 700k gubernment workers were added. The S&P on Friday rallied on the employment news, but that also pretty much killed any chance of a 50bps rate cut by the Fed. Markets are now in a consolidation period, setting up for a corrective cycle a head of the 2024 Election. Lance explains the bullish and bearish takes of technical analysis: Knowing when to put capital to work, and when to take it off the table. What will the market do next? Reviewing market psychology: What's moving prices? When moving averages converge and diverge; how we do technical analysis, and what we do with the data. When there's bearish undertones in a bullish market; what to do with cash. Looking for opportunity. Gardening as a metaphor for investing.SEG-1: Starting Earnings SeasonSEG-2:Technical Analysis: Bullish and Bearish ApproachesSEG-3: What Will Markets Do Next: Reviewing Market PsychologySEG-4: How We Do Technical AnalysisHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khTKuRkNs48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2078s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Preparing for a Pre-election Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vagz34iRCnA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Importance of Trusts in Financial Planning"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbZKUPyG-K4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MillenlnialEarningsSeason #MarketBullishness #MarketBearishness #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketPsychology #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Market preview & Fed possiblities as jobs numbers are releasaed today; anecdotal evidence that small businesses are making more credit inquiries to banks: A prelude to more growth? The Longshoreman's strike is suspended with a proposed 65% pay increase; raises the question of value in the cost of a college degree. The marriage of blue collar jobss to AI will present new opportunities with rewarding pay. Jon & Matt discuss aspects of financial planning, risk management, and portfolio strategy. Estate planning as a risk management tool; pecking orders & durable powers of attorney. Chips & Salsa w Guacamole in waiting rooms? Yes! How to create a turst: Living trust vs testamentary trusts. The importance of proper account styling. How Medical POA and HIPAA work together; the importance of pecking-order. The other side of risk management: Protections afforded by trusts; how often should an estate plan be reviewed? Estate planning for foreign travel. What to do/how to plan for market volatility; the risks in rental properties.SEG-1: Market Preview & Fed PossiblitiesSEG-2: Career Training & Financial PlanningSEG-3: Chips & Salsa Waiting Rooms & A Matter of TrustSEG-4: The Other Side of Risk ManagementHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbZKUPyG-K4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"A Crystal Ball Isn't Enough: The Importance Of Context"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-crystal-ball-isnt-enough-the-importance-of-context/"Tax Cuts – An Examination Of The 2017 TCJA Impact"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tax-cuts-an-examination-of-the-2017-tcja-impact/"The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/"Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Sell Signal Imminent" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndsfKpn4lJU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "When a Crystakl Ball Clouds Investor Judgement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0jagILd1Jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#DockWorkersStrike #CollegeDegree #FinancialPlanning #EstatePlanning #Trusts #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
A preview of tomorrow''s employment report an the phenomenon of "labor hoarding;" a weaker jobs report will not necessarily be recessionary. Markest are retesting support, and if it cannot hold, will trigger a sell signal. Lance's FEMA rant & JOLTS preview w Michael Lebowitz; the labor market is behaving like the housing market: no one is doing anything. What will the Fed do in response to poor jobs numbers? Interestingly, QT is conspicuously absent from latest Fed discussion notes. Market Breadth continues to soar. You can't make this up: Hurricane (James T.) Kirk: this wlll be comedy gold! Market breadth in an everything market: Too much money chasing too few stocks. Lance & Michael discuss the problem of asset selection vs ETF's.SEG-1: Why a Weaker Jobs Report is Not RecessionarySEG-2: FEMA Rant & JOLTS PreviewSEG-3: Hurricane Kirk & Asset Selections vs EFT'sSEG-4: Taking the Crystal Ball ChallengeRIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0jagILd1Jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"A Crystal Ball Isnt Enough: The Importance Of Context"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-crystal-ball-isnt-enough-the-importance-of-context/"Tax Cuts – An Examination Of The 2017 TCJA Impact"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tax-cuts-an-examination-of-the-2017-tcja-impact/"The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/"Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Sell Signal Imminent" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndsfKpn4lJU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Shutdown, Strikes, & Volatility: Safeguarding Your Portfolio Now"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2840s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#JobsReport #JOLTSReport #FEMA #UkraineAid #IllegalImmigrants #HurricaneKirk #JamesTKirk #StarTrekWeather #CrystalBallChallenge #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
A brief recap of the VP-debate; market futures are lower in search of a catalyst, and dislike the uncertainty preceeding an election. Markets have pulled backk thanks to investor exhaustion; Oil prices are on the rise amid escalation of hostilities in the Middle East, creating short-term risks until resolved. The Port Strike isn't 'the thing' that will trigger markets. Look for alternative shipping as opportunities in which to invest (Daggett makes Jimmy Hoffa look good). The Status of Social Security: What happens if SS benefits are cut? Financial planning should not include/depend upon SS. Another Roberts' Saga: Lance forgets to take out the trash. The inability of the government to pass a budget (not since Obama in office). Who really pays the most in taxes? (Article link below) Why the tax code needs changing (but beware the consequences). SEG-1: Markets Prepare to Pullback to RallySEG-2: Israel/Iran & Port Strike - This Isn't 'The Thing'SEG-3: The Status of Social SecuritySEG-4: Who Really Pays the Most Taxes?RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2840s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Tax Cuts – An Examination Of The 2017 TCJA Impact"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tax-cuts-an-examination-of-the-2017-tcja-impact/"The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/"Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility Rises as Correction Nears" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Long Can the 'Everything Market' Last?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXDkHBLrkRI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#IsraelIranWar #MiddleEast #CrudeOil #SocialSecurity #TaxCode #DockWorkersStrike #VPDebate #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #Market
It's a big news week: The Dock Workers' strike has begun, Israel is launching a land assault into Lebanon, and celebrity deaths (Pete Rose, Kris Kristofferson) top the news. And Jimmy Carter turns 100. Meanwhile, Q3 Earnings Season commences after three very strong quarters of business in what has been one the of the best presidential years since the 1950's. A correction at this point would be healthy for markets. We think there will be a 3- to 5% correction before elections, creating room for markets to rally into year's end. Lance's rant on the Coffee Pod scam, and the SEC doesn't have far to look (Congress!) for insider trading. Lance and Jon look at market performance, global money flows, and observe the 'everything market.' Commentary on potential disruption by dock workers' strike. YouTube likes & paywalls; there are two more Fed meetings in 2024; how many rate cuts to come? For inestors in search of dividend growth, the challenges are in an 'everything market:' there must be buyers AND sellers. No more T-bil & chill. Why "getting back to even" is a investor trap.SEG-1: Dock Workers' Strike & Earnings Season BeginSEG-2a: Coffee Rant & Insider TradingSEG-2b: How Long Can the Everything Market Last?SEG-3: How Big a Deal Will the Port Strike Be?SEG-4: Two More Fed Meetings to Go: How Many Cuts?RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXDkHBLrkRI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/"Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Get Ready for Earnings Season Tomorrow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2NaQU4oXC0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s-------Our previous show is here: "Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#EverythingMarket #DockWorkersStrike #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The last day of September brings the end of the month, end of the quarter, and a preview of the next round of corporate earnings. So far, no evidence of recession is appearing. Regardless of your investment thesis, money flow still matters most, and there's lots of money flowing into markets. China is most over-bought in years, thanks to Chinese government stimulus. Earnings outlooks will matter going forward. Oil prices are getting thrashed, with lots of short-selling over the last five weeks. Lance shares dog tales of Gunner & Sniper. With massive money inflows, liquidity is primary market driver. Lance discusses the components of our Greed/Fear Index; markets' pricing is based on earnings. The two measures of consumer confidence; The Conference Board and U. of Michigan; Consumer confidence and jobs vs stock prices. Expectations less Current Conditions: That's the dichotomy. Improving Market Breadth & Money Flows; when everyone is in the market, money chases money; sellers live higher, buyers live lower. SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins TomorrowSEG-2a: Gunner & Sniper Dog TalesSEG-2b: Money Inflows Continue: Liquidity is Main Market DriverSEG-3: Two Measures of Consumer ConfidenceSEG-4: Improving Market Breadth & Money FlowsRIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j8qRbIonRtU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Get Ready for Earnings Season Tomorrow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2NaQU4oXC0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s-------Our previous show is here: "Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #ConfidenceDichotomy #MicroRetirement #SocialSecurity #MarketLiquidity #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact#FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #DiversificationOfAccounts #RothIRA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Jonthan & Jonathan stand in for Danny & Rich with a preview of today's PCE report, and inklings of dissent within the Fed on the latest rate cut. The handwriting is on the wall for Savers; time to reassess strategies as interest rates fall. Ho will the election outcomes affect your financial planning? Worst-case scenario: a contested election (the markets hate uncertainty). With the ebb and flow of markets, we make adjustments on the fly, not per formula. Interest Rates & Real Estate: As rates come downm, time to buy or refinance? How Mortgage Rates and Fed Rates behave; patience is a virtue. Has the average income needed to buy a house come down? The concerpt of micro-retirement: Is it a good idea from a financial planning aspect? Younger vs older generation; consequences of micro-retirement (Brent reveals his nano-retirement). The importance of diversification of accounts; Roths & tax free withdrawals. Our end-of-year checklist: Tax planning and Roth conversions. Dealing with RMD's (required minimum distribution) and QCD's (qualified charitable donation).SEG-1: PCE Preview & Dissent at the FedSEG-2: Interest Rates & Real Estate: Is the timing right?SEG-3: Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?SEG-4: The Importance of Diversification of AccountsHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Jonathan Penn, CFP, and #Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Agency REITs For A Bull Steepener"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/agency-reits-for-a-bull-steepener/"50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/"Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Flow Trumps Thesis" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qzcif6GGmc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s-------Our previous show is here: "Bull Steepener Alert: How Agency REITs Can Supercharge Your Portfolio"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGbMCOPuPGI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MicroRetirement #SocialSecurity #MarketLiquidity #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact#FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #DiversificationOfAccounts #RothIRA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Plenty of things to move markets this week, including economic numbers and multiple Fed members' commentaries on why they did what they did last week. Are there more cuts to come? Millennial Earnings Season and no buy backs will impact markets soon. Is the AI trade dead? Don't count on it. Micron turned in a strong earnings report, and the CIA's own AI investments(?) are doing verrry well. Markets' short term Cup & Handle formation confirmed Wednesday; this is now the second-biggest year for equities inflows since 2014. However, there are negative divergences from market trends indicating the current upward trajectory may be nearing an end. The Fed's rate cut was a "normalization" cut; there are disturbing signs in the labor market. Just like real estate's "location, location, location" mantra, the market is all about "liquidity, liquidity, liquidity." There is a large divergence between markets and sentiment. Lance explains what Red Robin is (and why he's a VIP there); Rate cuts and bond yields: why they track inflation. Downward revisions to GDP will help bond yields; why paying attention to pricing (market psychology) is important; part of the cycle. Lance and Michael talk Technical Analysis and adhering to the fundamentals helps build investor discipline. What happens when too much money is chasing too few stocks. PCE news will help determine direction of the market. Yield curves and Agency REITs during steepening.SEG-1: Is the AI Trade Dead? Not hardlySEG-2: This Was the "Normalization Cut" By the FedSEG-3: Red Robin VIP, Rate Cuts, & Bond YieldsSEG-4: Why Technical Analysis Doesn't Work for Everyone...but couldHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGbMCOPuPGI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Agency REITs For A Bull Steepener"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/agency-reits-for-a-bull-steepener/"50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/"Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Flow Trumps Thesis" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qzcif6GGmc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s-------Our previous show is here: "Rate Cuts & Recession Fears: Will Politics Drive Your Portfolio Off a Cliff?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KufUmig7vX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AgencyREIT #MarketLiquidity #NormalizationCut #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact#FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Could the S&P hit 6,000 by the end of the year? Some prognosticators are saying so, hyped on exuberance, but consumer confidence is suggesting otherwise, and the foreshadowing is not great for the White House incumbent. Consumer spending & sentiment is incongruent with market expectations. Markets remain bullish, and another "Cup & Handle" formation has appeared, suggesting higher market prices in 2025. Markets, however, are extremely deviated, which is unsustainable, and correction is inevitable. Lance reviews "peak attractiveness" among the sexes and adult dating. The Fed's rate cut occur amid economic dichotomy; markets so SO exuberant, yet Conference Board confidence surveys reflect a different mood, with a drop in the Present Situation Index. Lance relates a "drive-by" hello on the jogging trail; this show is about osmosis; Lance is kind of a big deal. Consumer confidence as the economy plays out; there will be a correction of significance eventually. Expecations for economic growth vs oil price signalling slower economy in 2025. Would chat participants behave in a Chat Q & A Show (results were 51-49% positive). Lance reviews the technical indicators used in our analysis; simplest is best. Market investing is a study in psychology.SEG-1: S&P 6000 by End of the Year?SEG-2: Fed Rate Cuts Amid Economic DichotomySEG-3a: Drive-by's and OsmosisSEG-3b: Consumer Confidence FaltersSEG-4: The Technical Indicators We UseHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KufUmig7vX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/"Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Cup & Handle Runneth Over? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Btnzvlhl1nQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Who Benefits Most from the Latest Fed Rate Cut?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIQLxafhNp8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact#FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Oil prices conitnue to weaken in the face of optimism from analysts now forecasting an 18% gain in earnings in 2025. One of them is wrong. Lance and Jonathan discuss market clarity, Fed rate cuts, and the impact on the markets. Markets trade on the effective Fed rates; what's the sweet spot among market sectors when rates are coming down? Lance reviews Gold behaviors during rate cutting cycles; big surges in Gold lead to longer-term bases. Why the Math of Loss matters; corrections are really no big deal. The wisdom of managing protfolio risk along the way; don't let the fear of taxes cost you money. Would Mrs. Roberts do a podcast? Unicorns, Sasquatch, Big Foot, & Flat-earther's: Putting money in S&P funds for 40-years; time is on your side when you're young. A discussion of Recession expectations (sooner or later).SEG-1: Oil Prices Belie a Weakening EconomySEG-2: What's the Sweet Spot During Rate Cuts?SEG-3: Gold Behavior and the Math of LossSEG-4a: Mrs. Roberts' PodcastSEG-4b: Unicorns, Sasquatch & Bigfoot - Internet Narratives vs Investing RealityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIQLxafhNp8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/"Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil price dip - a signal of economic weakness?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQg8HYT2TUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will This Week's Data Support Fed Rationale for Cutting Rates?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-LV90rMRapA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact#FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We're entering the last-half of September, which is typically the weaker period of an already, traditionally weak month in the markets. Earnings seasons is about to beging, and Q3 estimates have already been slashed; this isn't 1995, though: Is the Fed's rationaled for cutting raates going to be validated by this week's economic data? Markets ended slightly lower on Friday, but still holding onto breakout level. Lance relate's Mrs. Robert's most recent holiday decor disappointment, and announces news substack channel, @lanceroberts. Shocker: The Washington Post debunks climate change data. Lance's daughter turns 18, wants to be a veterinarian; he can taste a rate cut coming. What's the Fed's rationale for it's rate cut? Charts & a history of rate cuts and reacitons. This time is NOT like last time; outcomes tend to be all the same; the negative outcomes from rate cuts. The importance if portfolio risk management; The Fed cannot save us from a bear market.SEG-1: Can Markets Hold at Breakout Levels?SEG-2a: Mrs. Roberts' Holiday DecoSEG-2b: WaPo Debunks Climate Change DataSEG-3a: Lance is Due for a Rate CutSEG-3b: What is Rationale for Fed Rate Cut?SEG-4: This Time is NOT Like the Last Time - Outcomes are always the sameHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-LV90rMRapA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Selloff Still Likely Ahead of Elections " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ZxBvl78jNI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Fed Rate Shock - How the Latest Cut Could Ignite or Crash Your Investments"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSoQ7tg1Xms&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #ShootinCandle #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Was the Fed's 50bps rate cut a "calibration?' We are still not at the Feds target for unemployment; the Fed's action was in response to conditions, not to help anyone politically. What will the Fed do next? The 50bps cut does nothing to help consumers. What is the neutral, real interest rate, now? Why a Fed rate cut is really bad news. How now to fund your goals: Time to trim exposure and move to cash, awaiting opportunities. Americans' pay has not recovered from inflation, requiring a "recalibration" of financial plans to adjust for realities. Two worst areas of inflation: Groceries & Insurance; Rich & Danny discuss Blue Bell ice cream price inflation, and Rich delivers another life lesson from Grandma Rosso.SEG-1: The Fed's Latest Rate Cut is a "Recalibration"SEG-2: Why a 50bps Drop Offers no Relief for ConsumersSEG-3: Why Your Pay Has Not Fully Recovered From InflationSEG-4: Ice Cream Inflation & Lessons from Grandma RossoHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSoQ7tg1Xms&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Trump Or Harris: Corporate Tax Winners And Losers"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/trump-or-harris-corporate-tax-winners-and-losers/"Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/"Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/"Market Risks We Are Watching"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Hold on to Breakout?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=of34bE1oBm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: What Does the Fed's 50-bps Rate Cut Mean for Your Money?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQWDEg-aQnI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=973s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FedRateCut2024 #InvestmentImpact #StockMarketVolatility #EconomicForecast #InterestRateShock #PortfolioStrategy #FederalReservePolicy #InflationAndInvestments #BondMarket2024 #FedRateChange #BlueBellIcecream #BlueBellMoment #Money #InvestingAdvice
The markets were right: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half percent on Wednesday, and markets initially climbed, then sold off to end negative for the day. But after pondering overnight, market futures indicated a strong start to Thursday's trading day. If markets rally and hold through Friday, they will be set to hit all time highs, once again. Will we see rotation into other sectors as a by product? The Fed is trying to position rates where they should be, given the current economic conditions. All Labor data now become very important. With lower rates, will there be a rash of corporate debt refinancing? (This rate cut is not likely to affect mortgage or consumer lending debt, yet. Will lower rates spark more activity, and thus become inflationary? Is the Fed rate cut good for stocks? Lance and Michael look at the history and analysis of corrections; it's easy to find reasons to NOT invest. Bear Markets & Corrections were more frequent prior to the 1990's. The dirty Truth: The Fed has become the defacto manager of the US Economy. What will other Central Banks do next? Are we entering a Global Easing Cycle? (Lance relates his Missus has been working a lot, losing sleep, and is ill-tempered this week; also comments about clocks and studio tchotchkies.) Markets look to open strong; what does the underlying data say? There is a sharp contraction in Q3 earnings estimates. Can markets today sustain the breakout? Bond yields are still too high for this economy.SEG-1: Markets Were Right About Fed's Rate CutSEG-2: What the Fed's 50-bps Rate Cut MeansSEG-3: Is the Fed Rate Cut Good for Stocks?SEG-4a: Mrs. Roberts is Cranky & Studio StuffSEG-4b: What Does the Underlying Data Say About the Economy?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQWDEg-aQnI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=973s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Trump Or Harris: Corporate Tax Winners And Losers"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/trump-or-harris-corporate-tax-winners-and-losers/"Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/"Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/"Market Risks We Are Watching"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Hold on to Breakout?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=of34bE1oBm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Fed Rate Decision 2024: Boom or Bust for Your Investments?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTRfDmSCQa4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FedRateDecision #StockMarketUpdate #InflationImpact #InvestmentStrategy #EconomicOutlook #PortfolioManagement #InterestRates #FinancialPlanning #RecessionWatch #BondMarket#Markets #Money #Investing
It's Fed Day: The big question will be answered this afternoon, 'How much the cut?' Huge bets on 50-bp rate cut; will a quarter-point cut disappoint? Meanwhile, Retail Sales continue to weaken, but August numbers were better than expected. There is no apparent data to support a 50-bp rate cut. There is a credit debt wall coming; extreme market optimism is a risk. It's make-or-break time for the S&P 500; NASDAQ not performing as well, and the rest of the market is playing catch-up. Lance notes the AI effect on Utilities and Real Estate, formerly among most-hated sectors. Lance & Danny discuss what date the Fed is looking at, and whether recession is near, per Jeff Gundlach's claims; will the Fed cut rates and wait & see? Exploding pagers and Mrs. Roberts stories; three funds to buy before the Fed cuts rates. What to do with cash? What if rates fall less than expected? (When do you need the funds?) You cannot fight technicals. Potential Election Outcomes and tax policy, which is inflationary. Good policy results in economic growth by allowing more money for consumers to spend; taxing the rich results in the rich moving their money away; eventually, consumers pay all taxes.SEG-1: Fed Day: How Much the Rate Cut?SEG-2: What is the Fed Looking At?SEG-3a: Exploding Pagers & Mrs. RobertsSEG-3b: Three Funds to Own Before Fed Rate CutsSEG-4: Election Outcomes & Tax PolicyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTRfDmSCQa4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/"Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/"Market Risks We Are Watching"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Hated Sectors Are the Most Desirable" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HB2qAVUQA4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge...Until it Doesn't"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3notXqcWLsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FedRateDecision #InvestmentOutlook #MarketVolatility #FedDecision2024 #InflationOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #InvestmentInsights #MarketAnalysis #RecessionFears #FinancialPlanning #EconomicTrends #PortfolioStrategy #InterestRateHikes#Treasuries #Dollar #Gold #Markets #Money #Investing
Today marks the start of the FOMC meeting, to be concluded with the latest interest rate announcement. Markets' expectations are for a half-percent cut; could a quarter-percent cut create disappointment on Wall Street? Microsoft announces and increase in its dividend payment (very different from a stock buy back). Kamala Harris' plans to raise taxes on corporations is in fact an crease in taxes on consumers; corporations are tax collectors for the government. Markets' rally in anticipation of Fed day tomorrow. The stock buyback window begins to close today ahead of the next earnings season, removing some of the lift to markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the pro's an con's of momentum investing (with charts); answers to chatroom and email questions on purchasing ETF's and Treasuries, and the uniquely Texan phrase, going "whole hog." Lance defends comments on the Value of the Dollar vs purchasing power of the dollar (with charts), referenced to article on "Conviction" (link is found below). Investing in Gold, pro's and con's, doesn't have to be an all-or-none proposition.SEG-1: Fed Rate Cut Decision ExpectationsSEG-2: Momentum Investing Works on the Way Up...SEG-3: ETF Purchasing Philosophy & Post-Fed TreasuriesSEG-4: The Value of the Dollar vs Purchasing PowerHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3notXqcWLsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/"Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/"Market Risks We Are Watching"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prep for Fed Day" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n6Lk71KYwyw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Market Risks We Are Watching"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MomentumInvesting #FedDecision2024 #InflationOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #InvestmentInsights #MarketAnalysis #RecessionFears #FinancialPlanning #EconomicTrends #PortfolioStrategy #InterestRateHikes#Treasuries #Dollar #Gold #Markets #Money #Investing
It's Fed week, and many are predicting a 60% chance the FOMC will drop rates by a half percent; elections are drawing nearer: How will markets behave? (Why the polls are never right) Markets' 4% loss two weeks ago followed by 4% recovery last week; reversal days tend to mark bottoms, but not always. Last weeks' reversal was very bullish, but that doesn't mean we cannot have another correction. One risk is oil prices. XLE is over sold. The three risks we're watching include oil; discussion on the true meaning of inflation. Prices vs rate of change are two different things. The linkage of the economy to oil prices. Lance describes the Roberts' Roomba behavior. Hilarity ensues. Inflation's effects on small businesses, per the NFIB Small Business Survey, a look at Sales Expectations vs actual sales. A brief explanation of our Radio commercials; the impact on earnings by economic activity. Resume Builder survey: Why Gen-Z are most difficult to work with.SEG-1: Fed Week & Oil Price CluesSEG-2: Three Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-1SEG-3a: The Roberts' RoombasSEG-3b: Risks We're Paying Attention to, Pt-2SEG-4a: Why We Play CommercialsSEG-4b: Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-3SEG-4c: Why Gen-Z is Difficult to Work WithHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Market Risks We Are Watching"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Belie Economic Weakness" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVKUNA8mTG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Create a Retirement Blueprint"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDHDI0ulqcc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #FinancialInsights #PortfolioManagement #MarketForecast #RecessionWarning #InterestRateHikes #WealthBuilding #MarketStrategy #EconomicAnalysis #FedPolicyUpdate #StockMarketTrends #EconomicRecession #InflationRisk #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #FederalReserveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing
Ratliff, but first a review of the markets: It's all about the Fed, and the grate debate is about rate. How much will they cut, and how many times? Watch for elevated volatility heading into the election; a divided-congress yields the best environment for markets. Who will have the best policies for the economy? What will your retirement look like? Commonalities vs net worth differences among peers; the need to set your own parameters. The importance of having paid-off debt. Components of a Retirement Blueprint: Needs, Wants, Wishes. "The New Retirement Mentality," by Mitch Anthony; dealing with distribution mode in retirement: Reality. Danny and Rich share clients' tales on over-spending in retirement. What will you do in retirement? The Return on Life equation (shopping for books in antique stores); how you know 'it's time to retire.' The Roth Conversion conversation; what does life look like, post-retirement?SEG-1: It's All About the Fed: Debate on the rateSEG-2: The Retirement Blueprint: What will yours look like?SEG-3: The New Retirement MentalitySEG-4: The Retirement Self-assessment: What will you do?Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDHDI0ulqcc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cash-cow-clues-can-dividend-yields-forecast-interest-rates/"S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Test Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Did Inflation Change the Fed's Outlook?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gn_rLnZURQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Retirement #RetirementBlueprint #RetirementMentality #RothConversion #ReturnOnLifeEquation #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #StockBuybacks #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Policy #Taxes #Markets #Money #Investing
As we went to air this morning, Space-X astronauts are "space-walking," testing new spacesuits; is Elon Musk the real-live equivalent of Tony Stark? CPI prints cooler--but core CPI was hotter than expected. MEanwhile the NFIB Survey (showing conservative bent) shows increases in confidence wiped out as Harris capmaigns; policy matters. Markets Big Reversal on Nvidia commentary about AI chip demand; the news boosted markets to a 2.5% gain. CPI is a hot mess: Inflation is different for everyone; the important question is how CPI will affect markets. Lance and Michael discuss how CPI is calculated; what if shelter costs do not lag and remain elevated? The impact of healthcare costs and energy on CPI; oil price corellation with inflation. The Adobe Digital Price Index compares online shopping price trends. Volatility ETF's: Why don't the wrk very well? Going long with low volatility/shorting on high volatility; how we gambled and missed buy one day. Why Volatility ETF's are like Thanksgiving turkeys. Charting policy differences between Harris vs Trump campaigns. Tariffs & Taxes analysis: How do they affect productivity? Higher taxes on a smaller pie, or lower taxes on a bigger pie? Taxes remove capital from the market place, which could otherwise be spent on innovation & productivity.SEG-1: Markets' Big Reversal DaySEG-2: CPI is a Hot MessSEG-3: Volatility ETF's: Why don't they work well?SEG-4: Tariffs, Taxes, & Policy AnalysisHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gn_rLnZURQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cash-cow-clues-can-dividend-yields-forecast-interest-rates/"S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Test Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What's Really Behind Stock Market Volatility"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Nvidia #Magnificent7 #SpaceX #SpaceWalk #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #StockBuybacks #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Policy #Taxes #Tariffs #Innovation #Productivity #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing
Today marks the 23rd anniversary of the World Trade Center attacks; it's Inflation Day and post-Debate day. Market volatility tends to increase prior to Presidential elections; why policy matters. CPI is expected to show a .2% increase (it's ALWAYS expected at .2%!) Oil prices are a function of supply & demand. CPI will most impact markets today, and factor into the Fed's rate decision next week. Volatility is the big market driver. What inflation is telling us about the economy; why falling inflation is not good for earnings. How companies are cutting wages (without cutting wages); Danny rants on the high cost of hotel coffee. A critique of government spending, and why "The Inflation Reduction Act" was anything but; a look at sector-based bankruptcies and the Solar Energy industry. Stop investing in companies you know nothing about. Private investors and private money are more efficient than government investments: The Day Care conundrum. A word or two on the presidential debate; 6 income alternatives for falling rate environment; demand notes; Risk annuities; closed-end funds. At what point should you liquidate bonds?SEG-1: Markets Increase Volatility Pre-ElectionSEG-2: What Inflation is Telling Us About the EconomySEG-3: Why "The Inflation Reduction Act" is Mis-labelledSEG-4: Income Alternatives as Rates FallHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CPI: Will or Won't the Fed Cut Rates?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iArd3ktAw90&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Five Actions You Can Take to Minimize Risk"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDSbAB_oXtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #PresidentialDebate #InflationReductionAct #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting and rate drop predictions; 2-yr Treasury yields are reflective of rate expectations. Forward earnings revisions continue to ratchet downward; markets must reprice on expectations, impacting performance. Monday's market rally was a disappointment; MACD sell signal is still in place. There are still barriers and resistance in the way of markets moving higher. This is not a good time to buy bonds. Lance and Jon look at what happens to stocks when a company is added to the S&P 500; why you should never track to an index: They're not reality. Wall Street wants you perpetually upset because money movement and emotions create fees. Indexes do not pay fees or taxes. Five steps you can take to mitigate portfolio risk. Lance and Jon answer e-mail query about portfolio management and reasonable expectations: Can you create high yields in a low interest rate environment? SEG-1: Markets' Rally DisappointsSEG-2A: What Happens When Stock is Added to the S&P 500SEG-2B: Five Steps You Can Take to Mitigate Portfolio RiskSEG-3: E-mail Q&A: Realistic Goals of Portfolio ManagementSEG-4: Why Financial Planning is All a Big GuessHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDSbAB_oXtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Rally Disappoints" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RnurWaljp8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "A Rough Start to September"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are having a rough start for September; Will the be a correction before the election? Lance examines the buyer/seller dynamic. Markets will probably bound this week. Look for a moderate rally, which will provide opportunity to trim portfolio risk. September/October stock market volatility is expected, with markets de-risking going into the election. Will there be an economic slowdown in September? Lance answers a question from YouTube chat," Who receives the difference in profits/losses when a company sells stock? Why stock buybacks are a scam; a dividend is a return of value to stock holder, while a buyback is a share redemption. The next, great undoing of the markets has not yet been thought of. The Friday Jobs Report: Not to hot, not too cold, but definitely not just right. Lance reviews events that have led to slower job growth. Has Technology really made our lives better? In the book, "The Age of Spiritual Machines," by futurist Ray Kurzwell, written in the late '90's, 78% of predictions have come true.SEG-1: September Stock Market VolatilitySEG-2: Why Stock Buybacks Are a ScamSEG-3: What Do the Jobs Reports Really Tell Us?SEG-4: Does Technology Really Make Things Better?Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4xLdTctnLk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Bounce this Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSVpIA3cI6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Plan for Trump Tax Cut Expiration"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing
Will last month's Jobs and JOLTS reports show "normalization" of employment numbers to pre-Covid counts? What will the Fed response be, and what will that imply about the economy? Richard & Danny further explore the "sunsetting" of tax rate cuts initiated by the Trump administration, and who might be affected: Most likely, everyone will see an average 3% increase, across the board. A real look at who pays their "fair share" and more, and who doesn't. SEG-1: Jobs Numbers & JOLTS Report: Back to Pre-Covid Normalization?SEG-2: Sunsetting Tax Cuts: Who Will Be Affected?SEG-3: Impact of Tax Rate Sunset vs Real SolutionSEG-4: Retirement Most Precarious for Middle ClassHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Yield Be 4% by Friday?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Limiting Losses with Yield Curve Analysis"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TrumpTaxCuts #TaxCutSunset #MarketCorrection #TaxHike #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #YieldCurveInversion #BondYield #BullSteepening #EmploymentReroit #EconomicWeakness #NegativeRevision #Divergence #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting: There's a 50-50-chance of a 50-bp rate cut; will tomorrow's jobs report show fewer jobs than before Covid? Numbers are suspect with labor "hoarding" a potential problem; negative revisions to JOLTS report, part of a trend of negative revisions back to 2002. Will Yields be 4% by Friday? What the bond market is indicating. Living in the late 1900's; The Bond Yield Bet: Lots of stragglers to natural buying on demand; depending on the Fed to cut rates. Corporations are shorting Treasuries ahead of their own bond issuances: Corporate debt hedging. There are lots of divergences; Market Data is detached from economic reality. Has the yield curve "normalized?" The differential between 2-yr vs 10-yr Treasuries; what causes behaviors: The Fed. Michael Lebowitz explains the yield curve inversion in charts & graphs. Bull Steepening Periods Average Returns; how to use yield curve signals to mitigate loss.SEG-1: The Next Fed Meeting: 50-50- Chance of 50-bp Rate CutSEG-2: The Bond Yield BetSEG-3: Has the Yield Curve "Normalized:" Bond Yield BehaviorsSEG-4: Bull Steepening ExplainedHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I7oP6xRCGN0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Yield Be 4% by Friday?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Big Down Day"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #YieldCurveInversion #BondYield #BullSteepening #EmploymentReroit #EconomicWeakness #NegativeRevision #Divergence #Markets #Money #Investing
The S&P 500 sank 2.1%, the Nasdaq lost 3.3%, and while the tech sector led stocks into the red, the Dow wasn't excluded from the bad day either, shedding over 600 points for a 1.5% loss. What's next? The Tuesday market dump was accompanied by weak manufacturing reports suggesting the economy is weakening. The Yield Curve actually un-inverted briefly, and then re-inverted. Markets sold off more sharply than expected for no apparent reason, led by semiconductors and The Most Significant Stock in the market, Nvidia. However, after the dust settled, it was learned (by the rest of us) Nvidia was served with a DOJ subpoena investigating "monopolistic" behavior AFTER the closing bell. Wonder how they knew that? The risks to the market remain: Polling suggests policy after the election WILL matter: What polices will actually be enacted, and how will they affect markets? Corp tax rates, 2017 tax cut expiration, healthcare costs; Lance waxes eloquent on his dietary restrictions, sugar in bacon (and other foods), and reading food labels. Assets in Leveraged and Exchange Traded Funds; the speculative nature of investors today. How leverage is a double-edged sword.SEG-1: Why Markets Took a DumpSEG-2: How Did They Know??SEG-3: Risks to the Markets: Why Policy MattersSEG-4A: Sugared Bacon & Food LabelsSEG-4B: The Speculative Nature of Investors TodayHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOJonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Market Correction Continue?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Jx2J6xfbRg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Past Performance is No Guarantee..."https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJ1a845sbL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #Nvidia #DOJSubpoena #TechSector #PolicyMatters #2017TaxCuts #AffordableCareAct #ObamaCare #CorporateTaxCuts #MarketReturns #MarketBullishness #PastPerformance #NoGuarantee #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioComparison #HighYieldBond #Markets #Money #Investing
It's a holiday-shortened trading week to kick off the new month: September & October tend to be weaker trading months. Look for light volume and the impact of the corporate buy back window open and closing; markets tend to de-risk ahead of elections. Markets closed Friday at July's all-time high amid much bullish optimism. Markets today could retest 20- 50-DMA for support. despite a loss of momentum, take caution to not become overly negative. Lance and Jonathan address viewer emails about searching for investment research platforms (a la Morningstar), and the meanings of stock ratings (who is the customer?)"Past performance is no guarantee of future results..." A more important "P" question is one of Philosophy of a firm. Look for survivability over time. Why you cannot ignore past performance; making up losses is not the same as making money. Why does Wall Street create more indexes? "Comparison is the root of all unhappiness." Moving money creates fees. The cost of swapping strategies (comparing performances). The difference in returns the difference in investors' place in life. Question about building a 5.1% return portfolio; looking at markets' true returns. What happens when "high yield" bonds mature? Dealing with risk in portfolios; looking at variable returns. 8% is great...until the market makes 11%. SEG-1: Markets Close at July Highs - Can they Keep it?SEG-2: Why Past Performance is No GuaranteeSEG-3: Comparison Is the Root of All UnhappinessSEG-4: What Happens When "High Yield" Bonds Mature?Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJ1a845sbL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break Higher or Lower?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ojxEbzU9heE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Clawback Your Payments?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG5OqhPFss4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketResiliency #MarketReturns #MarketBullishness #PastPerformance #NoGuarantee #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioComparison #HighYieldBond #Markets #Money #Investing
Market Resiliency: It's always about the Fed. Nvidia and the AI story is still alive; Treasuries are overbought; Dollar General and Big Lots are struggling, surprisingly; where are the cracks in the economy? THe unwinding of the Tech sector, and how Google lets you know you're fired. The push to working longer; more and more are depending more and more on Social Security. legislation introduced to prevent SS clawbacks after 3-years: Is it a good idea? Why small towns are paying people to move there; living in a Dollar General, old food & Twinkies. How to boost credit scores without borrowing money; Zillow credit reporting for rent payments; how the credit scoring formulas are changing; how FICO figures credit scores. Credit building strategies w FinTech credit cards. Dating questions, credit scores, and dating apps; the trend towards renting; credit builder cards; Credit breaches & Cyber Security.SEG-1: Market Resiliency - It's Always About the FedSEG-2: Is Limiting Social Security Clawbacks a Good Idea?SEG-3A: Getting Paid to Move to Small TownsSEG-3B: Boosting Credit Scores Without Borrowing MoneySEG-4: Credit Building Strategies that WorkHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG5OqhPFss4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/"Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/"Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Knocks the Cover off the Ball " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2e1WEWVHDKs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is Nvidia Priced for Perfection?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtS6mftSN0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketResiliency #Nvidia #PrivateEquity #AIcompanies #FinancialMarkets #TechnologyInvestment #PublicCompanies #FutureTechTrends #InvestmentRisk #Opportunities #TechBirth #MarketEntry #Innovation #InvestmentAdvice #NextBigCompany #FederalReserve #InterestRates #SocialSecurity #PaymentClawbacks #DollarGeneral #BigLots #CreditScores #CreditCards #FinTechCards #FICO #Zillow #Renting #Markets #Money #Investing
Looking ahead to September; why election polling is wrong; policy differences between Harris and Trump, and potential impact on markets. Nvidia earnings report rundown and stock buy back announcement. Nvidia owns 80% of market share for GPU's for data centers, with a new Blackwell chip on the way. Syppy & demand will be key to pricing. Groth expectations and market weighting; Nvidia valuation is extremely expensive: Priced for perfection, but difficult to deliver. How long can current marings hold, and who will compete w Nvidia? Picking the "next" Nvidia is impossible to know. The benefits from AI are different from company to company. Update on the Roberts' Home Remodel: Kitchen Aide mixer & Coffee maker; The Fed: No doubt about cutting rates, just how much, how fast? Recession is the question (when)? Taking rates to zero would imply recession; we're in a record-long stretch of Yield Curve inversion; un-inversion is due. Recession indicators; pay attention to what the Bond Market and Yield Curves are saying. Dollar General's "cratering demand," and Klarna's AI-fueled layoffs.SEG-1: September Forecast & Nvidia ReportsSEG-2: Priced for Perfection, Hard to DeliverSEG-3A: The Roberts' RemodelSEG-3B: The Fed: No Doubt About Cutting RatesSEG-4: Recession Indicators: What the Yield Curve SaithHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtS6mftSN0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/"Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/"Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Knocks the Cover off the Ball " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2e1WEWVHDKs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Stop Worrying About Taxes"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9tNkglBWHs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Nvidia #PrivateEquity #AIcompanies #FinancialMarkets #TechnologyInvestment #PublicCompanies #FutureTechTrends #InvestmentRisk #Opportunities #TechBirth #MarketEntry #Innovation #InvestmentAdvice #NextBigCompany #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets and Investors await today's earnings report from Nvidia, which has been tagged, 'The Most Important Stock in the World.' Expectations are VERY high, so there is little room for marginal results: There is more risk of disappointment than odds of exceeding expectations. Markets continue to hang on following the mini-correction last week, followed by sharp market recovery. For now, correction is over if Nvidia delivers. Dollar pressure continues; consumer confidence is on the rise. Why worry about paying taxes on investments? If you owe taxes, you MADE money. The danger of turning gains into losses in the quest for no taxes. The fruits of investing and the Fruit of the Loom; what are the goals for your money? Dealing with Capital Gains in real estate; the need for a financial advisor, accountant, and tax lawyer. Vacation home sales strategies. Signs you know your day will be a bad one. Only 8% of pre-retirees plan to wait until age 70 to draw social security: Lance & Danny discuss strategies.SEG-1: Why Nvidia is The Most Important Stock in the worldSEG-2: Why Worry About Taxes, Pt-1SEG-3: Why Worry About Taxes, Pt-2SEG-4A: How You Know You're Going to Have a Bad DaySEG-4B: Why Only 8% of Works Plan to Wait Until 70 for Social SecurityHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9tNkglBWHs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/"Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/"Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hang on Nvidia's Report" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Xt7UeGJx2g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Overbought Conditions Set up for Correction"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTQ7Ij7AOQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Nvidia #USDollar #Currency #CarryTrade #Taxes #FinancialPlanning #TaxMitigation #GrowMoney #SmartInvestments #ReduceTaxes #FinancialMistakes #TaxStrategy #TaxAdvice #FinancialGrowth #TaxEfficiency #InvestmentStrategy #MoneyManagement #FinancialAdvice #SmartWaysToReduceTaxes #TaxSavingTips #FinancialGoals #WealthBuilding #Markets #Money #Investing
Today's show is all over the place: Durable Goods take a big jump...unless you remove Aircraft. Astronauts stuck in space: Elon Musk to the rescue. Markets are overbought; risk remains in Carry Trade. Market correction will likely be short and shallow. What if: Nvidia's report tomorrow. Stocks are setting up for correction: Stocks on sale? Fallacies about the Dollar and where best to store currency. Viagra, Blue Chews, Him's/Her's: Demographics and the birthrate. Dating apps falling off a cliff. Demographics are destiny; the economics of dating. The family unit is the basis of the economy. The demise of society w/emergence of social media. Houston has a problem with scammers: Jonathan relates his daughter's recent run-in with the "Safe harbor Hotel" scam.SEG-1: Durable Goods, Stuck in Space, Overbought MarketsSEG-2: Stocks Are Setting Up for CorrectionSEG-3: Blue Chews & Destiny in DemographicsSEG-4: The Safe Harbor Hotel ScamHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTQ7Ij7AOQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/"Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction Will be Shallow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zh1I1CVJqdI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Risk Management Still Matters"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AptzKfSc2Bw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #OverBought #Oversold #DurableGoods #Aircraft #Nvidia #ElonMusk #RiskRangeReport #USDollar #Currency #CarryTrade #Viagra #BlueChew #DatingApp #Demographics #Birthrate #DatingEconomics #SocialMedia #SafeHarborScam #Markets #Money #Investing
Jerome Powell says interest rate policy is due for a change; market future predict four rate cuts by the end of the year. Rate cuts, the election, and dollar weakness all remain risks to the market, as well as a bit of over hang from the carry trade fiasco earlier this month. Nvidia to report this week; anything could happen. Markets again nearing all time highs, bur becoming very over bought. Gold behavior is interesting, and price peaks generally herald a correction soon after. Markets are fine, even bullish, but it's still easy to find bearish headlines. Markets are coincident: When everything goes up all at once, everything will come down all at once. Looking at possibilities vs probabilities. The Four Rules for Risk Management: Raise portfolio cash levels to lower volatility and align with your risk tolerance.Reduce equity risk, particularly in areas highly dependent on economic growth. Add or increase the duration of bond allocations, which tend to offset risk during risk-off events. Reduce exposure to commodities and inflation trades as economic growth slows.SEG-1: Jerome Powell - The Time For Policy Change is NowSEG-2: When All Assets Rise Together, All Assets Fall TogetherSEG-3: Four Rules for Risk Management, Pt-1SEG-4: Four Ruels for Risk Management, Pt-2Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AptzKfSc2Bw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why is Everyone Long on Gold?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKdsebkKe-o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Prepare for Recession (even when there isn't one)"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5EF1EGrugUw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FederalReserve #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #Inflation #Deflation #JobsRevision #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Joy #AlmondJoy #Mounds #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are again approaching all-time highs, with the NASDAQ exhibiting a most v-like recovery, up 11% in ten days. Markets' response to the largest (818-k) negative Jobs revision since 2009: Shrugs. FOMC meeting minutes indicate the time is "appropriate" for the Fed to lower rates. French women apparently have the longest life expectancy; Lance & Michael review FOMC meeting minutes and mentions of "appropriate time" to lower rates is now. So, far no leaks prior to Jackson Hole meeting. How WalMart is using AI to manage real-time sales/inventory data. The Fed knows jobs data is wrong. Is Jerome Powell Pinky or The Brain? There's personal inflation and then there's data the market looks at. The Fed doesn't want deflation, and 2% inflation is healthy for stable economic growth. SEG-1: Jobs Report Negative Revision & After EffectsSEG-2: Life Expectancies & FOME: Appropriate TimeSEG-3: Jerome Powell = Pinky & The BrainSEG-4: Technology Evolution, Food Expirations, & Price DynamicsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0s6NonA6ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Fed Funds Futures Offer Bond Market Insights"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-funds-futures-offer-bond-market-insights/"Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/"Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bullish Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zg46dMB14Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Your Portfolio Performance Sucks"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eno3BQhPGi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FederalReserve #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #PinktAndTheBrain #Inflation #Deflation #JobsRevision #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts examines the cause and effect phenomenon of public policy and outcomes, rhetoric and promises; who'll control the House & Senate have more bearing on future legislation promised vs passed. Market breadth is expanding, which bodes well for bullish trends. Most of markets' lift is coming from stock buy back activity. Interesting observation about the category luanches of ETF's: Most are derivative-based, adding risk for investors. Why your portfolio performance may be disappointing (how we screwed up the financial system). Lance and Danny discuss the performance gap between retail investors and the big funds: It's all about weighting. Markets today are built for pricing momentum. Focusing on risk mitigation to protect your portfolio from negative impacts over time. When someone promises you'll double your money...or not? There are promises and then there's reality. In answer to a YouTube chat comment, Lance discusses the false concept of market compounding.SEG-1: Market Breadth ExpandsSEG-2: Why Portfolio Performance Sucks (How We Screwed Up the Financial System)SEG-3: The Performance Gap Between Investors vs FundsSEG-4: Double Your Money...or notHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eno3BQhPGi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/"Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Effect of the Zweig Breadth Thrust" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnvEjAwTBbY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Shall the Young Secure (Their Finances)"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-OidFl3g4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing
Investors are waiting for this week's Jackson Hole confab, and will respond accordingly; when will markets take a breather? The DNC begins with economic nonsense. You cannot fix poverty by giving money away. Markets' rally straight up for eight days; pullback is coming: This is no time to chase stocks. Why the correction is over; three elements of economic uncertainty. Lance answers an email about helping youth prepare financially; the financial order of operations. Say no to credit card debt! You don't need it for a good credit score. Truth About Credit Scores: Do You Really Need Credit Cards? Pay your bills on time and have the money talk with your kids. What Lance would do if he was younger: aggressive saving early. Max out your 401K every year for financial growth! Invest in S&P 500 index and watch your savings grow. Start early!SEG-1: Waiting for Jackson Hole - Markets Will RespondSEG-2: Three Elements of Economic UncertaintySEG-3: How Shall the Young Secure (Their Finances)SEG-4: What I Would Do if I Was YoungerHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-OidFl3g4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/"Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-20-24 This is No Time to Chase Stocks" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpTrQgCZPPY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Unpacking Kamalanomics and Economic Cycles in America"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-elSd8FHQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#KamalaHarris #PriceGouging #Kamalanomics #FinancialSecurity #CreditCards #CreditScore #UtilityBills #Rent #CarNote #FinancialAdvice #Parents #YoungAdults #Conversations #MoneyManagement #FinanceTips #Maximize #401KContribution #SP500Index #DollarCostAveraging #FullMatch #FinancialPlanning #LongTermInvestment #RetirementSavings #401KStrategy #FinancialAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Previews of the DNC Convention and Jackson Hole meeting previews, plus four Fed speakers on tap this week; Monkey Pox & Covid on the upswing ahead of election season. Markets stage a phenomenal recovery over the past five days; could interest rates reverse? Kamalanomics: A historical perspective on Economic Cycles: Why Prices Controls will exacerbate inflation; the myth of price gouging; the Tytler Cycle revisited. SEG-1: Phenomenal Market Recovery - Could Interest Rates Reverse?SEG-2: Kamalanomics, Pt. 1: Fixing Inflation w Price ControlsSEG-3: Kamalanomics, Pt.2: The Myth of Price GougingSEG-4A: Academy Carts & Anniversary RoombasSEG-4B: Kamalanomics, Pt. 3: This is Nothing New: The Tytler Cycle (You are Here)Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-elSd8FHQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is An Interest Rate Reversal Coming?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4p5FFDk7aA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Buy Dividend Stocks"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpYHGC8wAvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#KamalaHarris #PriceGouging #Kamalanomics #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EconomicData #EconomicCycle #HistoricalPatterns #RepeatedProcesses #AmericanEconomy #HistoryOfEconomics #EconomicTrends #FinancialCycles #EconomicRepetition #EconomicHistory #FinancialHistory #EconomicProcesses #CyclicalTrends #Markets #Money #Investing
July CPI clocks-on on-target for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, as it indicate inflation is trending downward. This would set-up the Fed for up to four rate cuts by the end of the year, but not so great for stocks. Watch for seasonal adjustments to Retail Sales reports. Markets will challenge 50-DMA, and could end its correction today. Your personal experience with inflation is not the same as Government calculations, which is what markets look at. CPI was on the money, and the trend is lower. Economic data can fluctuate monthly. Focus on trends for a clearer picture! Lance and Michael answer an email question about investing in Dividend Stocks; what does the Yield infer? Looking at the Peg ratio, and what indicators about a company matter. Dividend stocks vs growth stocks. What makes for a better bond: Coupon vs Yield (how did the yield get there)? Lance and Michael address YouTube Chat question about Covered Call ETF's vs Dividend ETF's.SEG-1: CPI On-Target for Fed Rate CutsSEG-2: Why We Have to Live with Government NumbersSEG-3: How to Evaluate Company DividendsSEG-4A: What's a Better Bond - Coupon vs YieldSEG-4B: Covered Call ETF's vs Dividend ETF'sHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpYHGC8wAvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Stealth QE Or Rubbish From Dr Doom?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stealth-qe-or-rubbish-from-dr-doom/"Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/"Market Crash – Is It Over?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is This Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azi3cmQKk54&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Looking for Rate Cut Clues in CPI Data"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYcQKsvQ1W0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#PPI #CPI #Inflation #EconomicData #SeasonalAdjustments #Trends #YearOverYearGrowth #ThreeMonthAverages #SixMonthAverages #DataFluctuations #StateReporting #DataGlitch #EconomicAnalysis #UnderstandingTrends #MonthToMonthData #AccurateInterpretation #EconomicIndicators #DataInterpretation #DividendStocks #CoveredCallETF #DividendETF #BondYield #BondCoupon #FinancialAdvice #StatisticalMethods #CarefulAnalysis #Markets #Money #Investing
The PPI number came in weaker than expected with lower input prices. Today's CPI report (a 0.2% monthly increase = 3.2% annual rate) weakness could spur the Fed to lower rates, although to what extent remains unknown. The upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Summit could also provide impetus for the Fed's action in September. Meanwhile, markets on Tuesday cleared the 100-DMA, and are looking for confirmation at the 50-DMA. Will he or won't he? Danny's coaching decision remains to be seen. Why market remain resilient after the sell-off. YouTube Chat Q&A: Dealing with Teacher Retirement Fund taxation & fees; the retirement plan variables: What to do with a 401k at Retirement? How 401k's killed pensions (a very bad idea). What to do with 401k when changing jobs. Why pensions should go away vs 401k's; 401k vs IRA flexibilities.SEG-1: No Reason to Be BearishSEG-2: Why Markets Remain Resilient After Sell-offSEG-3: What to Do w Your 401k at RetirementSEG-4: Pensions vs 401k's - A Bad Idea?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYcQKsvQ1W0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/"Market Crash – Is It Over?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Reason to be Bearish" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ED2D8OXTC-0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Four Reasons Mega-Caps Are Not Dead Yet"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTqIghDtTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#PPI #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #RetirementFunds #401k #Pension #IRA #RithIRA #Bonds #MegaCaps #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing
It's economic report week, with previews of today's PPI, tomorrow's CPI, and Thursday's Retail sales numbers for July; will weaker consumer spending appear? Stock buybacks have returned. Markets to re-test 100-DMA, and set up to move up to the 20-DMA. Are the “Mega-Cap” stocks dead? Maybe. But there are four reasons why they could be staged for a comeback. The recent market correction from the July peak certainly got investors’ attention and rattled the more extreme complacency. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio turnover and tax implications: If you're paying taxes, you made money! Never buy a stock for its dividend. Lance corrects the YouTube chatroom on companies; longevity; Lance & Jonathan discuss bonds, coupons, discounts, and total costs. Coupons vs Yield: The only aspect of a bond that matters. "Yield worst vs yield to maturity.SEG-1: PPI, CPI, & Retail Sales PreviewsSEG-2: Why Mega-Caps Are Not DeadSEG-3: Portfolio Turnover & Tax ImplicationsSEG-4: The Only Aspect of Bonds that MatterHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTqIghDtTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/"Market Crash – Is It Over?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retesting Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBVD9H91LGA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Be Careful of Market Predictions "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N69vpdabuoU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Bonds #MegaCaps #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing
Laying the groundwork for Fed rate cuts: Will they or won't they in September, and by how much? 80% of S&P companies have reported; stock buy back windows are back open for business; Q-2 earnings summary: Not great, not terrible. Is consumer spending slowing (and will earnings estimates fall)? Last week's market volatility: Still in the process of correction. Sell-off was recovered by Friday. After a muted open today, use any rally to reduce risk and raise cash. Lance jumps into the unpredictability of the market and challenges common assumptions. Discover why what you think you know might not be true: The importance of questioning market assumptions; the unpredictability of market behavior; why the market has already priced in expected events; the real-time nature of markets; common misconceptions about market crashes. What is happening as hedge funds de-gross and re-gross their holdings; why they have to invest in mega-cap companies. What are markets' inflation expectations? High volatility companies are hard to trade; is an 8% market return reasonable?SEG-1: Use the RallySEG-2: What Caused the CrashSEG-3: Is This the Death of AI?SEG-4: Inflation Expectations: CPI, Retail Sales PreviewsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N69vpdabuoU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Market Crash – Is It Over?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prepare to Retest & Rally " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FHZrcyost8I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "What Kind of Inheritance Will You Leave Behind?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Mo4nvubJ_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing
With the turmoil of the past week, now is a good time to reassess your portfolio, and rebalance the risk. What is the deal with stocks advertising on TV? Wealth transferrence & Inheritances: How common is it for children to meet with parent and financial advisor? If there's money left... How RMD's can calter inheritances; how gift-giving works. Lance's kids are 'off the payroll.' Are you planning to receive an inheritance? How life-long gift-giving can work; what are the tax implications? Using gifting as an opportunity to teach about money & stewardship. Estate Planning prep: When do you need a trust? (Implications in the event of divorce.) Don't let the documents talk; have a conversation with your kids about the money. Dealing with tax torpedos in Social Security; taxation and Roth's: The Rothification of America.SEG-1: Market Commentary: Now is a Good Time for Portfolio RebalancingSEG-2: Gift-giving Your Inheritance EarlySEG-3: Planning for (Receiving) An InheritanceSEG-4: Estate Planning Prep: When Do You Need a Trust?Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Mo4nvubJ_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Confidence Is The Underappreciated Economic Engine"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/confidence-is-the-underappreciated-economic-engine/"The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-sahm-rule-employment-and-recession-indicators/"Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/"Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Exuberance Reverses" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj--------Our previous show is here: "Trapped Longs Take the Exit"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHVg-HJq5Gs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Inheritance #FinancialPlanning #RothConversaions #TaxTorpedo #SocialSecurity #EstatePlanning #Stewardship #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
Economic Reports affected by Hurricanes Beryl & Debbie; market sell off continues. Inflationary data is still there; unwinding of Yen Carry Trade continues w/volatility. Lance recites a brief history of market crashes, causes & effects. The market correction actually started in July at peak; trapped-longs sold into market rally as exuberance reverses. Earnings Season has delivered a mixed back; 92% of companies have reported, opening buy back windows for business. Consumer sentiment feedback loop affects Fed decision-making; what the Yen Carry Trade does for market moods. The differential in interest rates between the Yen & the Dollar is shrinking. The Fed is reactive...and trapped. Lance & Michael discuss the Sahm Rule recession indicator: This time may be different. Recessions are back-dated by as much as 12-months. Is the economy weakening or normalizing? Indicators are often at odds with one another. YouTube Chat Q&A: Estate Tax Exemptions & Bonds; Is it too soon to short TLT? Eli Lilly & Yen Carry Trade: Where did all the "fast" money go? Liquidity Indicators in conflict: How to accurately measure? Fear dries-up liquidity.SEG-1: A Brief History of Market Crashes; the Correction Started in JulySEG-2: The Feedback Effect of Consumer SentimentSEG-3: The Sahm Rule: Maybe Not This TimeSEG-4: YouTube Chat Q&A: Shorting TLT, Liquidity IndicatorsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHVg-HJq5Gs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Confidence Is The Underappreciated Economic Engine"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/confidence-is-the-underappreciated-economic-engine/"The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-sahm-rule-employment-and-recession-indicators/"Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/"Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Exuberance Reverses" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj--------Our previous show is here: "Is the Crisis Over?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZWdk9bCH5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TrappedLongs #SahmRule #RecessionIndicator #MarketCorrection #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
Is the crisis over? Too soon to tell, but the Nikkei did rebound, the Yen is coming down, and the BOJ is hold steady on rates. Earnings season continues; and it's too soon to suume the market has found the bottom. Admonition to be wary of the narratives. Market rally into the 100-DMA, buyt unlikely to test resistance the 50-DMA just yet. Understanding the Yen Carry Trade; risk management vs greed. Diversification worked on Monday. The Fed soesn't even know what they're going to do; they're behind the curve. How we created inflation, and expecting recession. Remembering Texas' gasoline lines in the '70's. Harry Dent's perpetual doom & gloom: If market decline 94% we'll have more to worry about than stocks. Will your financial plan survive the next crash? The Ernon and WorldCom debacles; what risk management really means. Investor sentiment & the Sahm Rule: This time IS different. General market sentiment remains extremely bullish. FOMO of market bottom; Monday's bottom is likely not The Bottom of the market.SEG-1: Markets Rally & Retest 100-DMASEG-2: Why Diversification Worked During Monday's CrashSEG-3: What Risk Management Really EntailsSEG-4: Why Monday's Bottom is Likely NOT The BottomHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZWdk9bCH5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/"Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Bounce Back after Monday's Crash" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8I2RvwFcN5w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Selling Over?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=De_ft6IWTq8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrection #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
August begins with weaker employment and the Fed hinting at the possiblity of a 1/2% rate cut; The Japanese Carry Trade blos up: What is it and why does it matter? Look for the largest spike in volatility since the pandemic. Be careful amid emotional headlines; Markets have already been over sold and now need to bounce. Anything that is a risk assett will be affected; bonds are over bought: Today is a day to do nothing. Lance's movie reviwe of Deadpool & Wolverine: Not for the faint of heart or kids. Risks to the market from an exogenous, unexpected event, a consequence of the collapse of the Carryt Trade. What will happen when the Fed cuts rates? When the Yield Curve inversion reverses, get ready for Recession. Lance answers YouTube chat questions: Everything risk-related will be douns; the only "safe" investments are cash and U.S. Treasury Bonds. Don't panic; expect a little bit of buying by the end of the day, buying the dip[. SEG-1: The Carry Trade Blows Up: What is it?SEG-2: Putting Things Into Perspective: Don't PanicSEG-3: Two Risks to Markets NowSEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Gold, Buying the Dip, Next MovesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jD8NT01ii28&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell," 8-5-24 Why The Carry Trade Matters" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ec2AkoS2O_I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is inflation Beating or Benefiting You?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Markets #Money #Investing
Richard and Danny discuss the week's market moves, and how bad news is actually bad news now; Intel's poor performance should be no surprise to astute investors; sometimes "value" stocks are value traps. Understanding (and avoiding) the day-to-day media hype. How to use "Money Buckets" to balance risks and demands on retirement funds; 2024 looks to be a mirror of 2023, with weaker economics. How to balance two sides of the economy. People are "making more money than ever before, and feeling more broker..." What happens in a deflationary environment, and why a little inflation is healthy. We're looking for low-growth muck in 2025; households are hurting. A tale of two economies. Looking at demographics and the value of having kids. Dealing with the RMD 10-year rule: It's an art form to take out funds. RMD eliminates desirable flexibility. It's a ticking tax time bomb. Taking advantage of current tax rates while they're "low."SEG-1: Bad News IS Bad NewsSEG-2: Money Buckets in Troubled TimesSEG-3: Why a Little Inflation is GoodSEG-4: The Pre-Tax IRA is the Fatted CalfHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is There Value In Small Cap Value Versus Large Cap Growth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-is-there-value-in-small-cap-value-versus-large-cap-growth/"Bullish Years Often Have Corrections"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/"Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-1-24 Market Bull Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79762x_wVdU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Inflation Drops Below Fed's 2% Goal, Signaling Weakening Economic Pressures "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_fLAZCwJa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#ValueStocks #ValueTraps #RMD #MoneyBuckets #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #Inflation #Deflation #YearOverYear #FedTargetRate #InflationaryPressures #Receding #EmploymentCostIndex #RealWageGrowth #YearOverYearWageGrowth #PricePresure #BondMarket #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #JanetYellen #Treasury #Markets #Money #Investing
Jerome Powell's presser was a snooze-fest, with the Fed's stance on interest rates remaining unchanged (at least they didn't hint of more rate hikes!) Markets also responded to clarifications on chip bans and performance reports from AMB & MSFT. The "AI is Dead" narrative is way too early; largest growth in data center construction is in the US. Rewards for beating earnings estimates have been mild. Managers have been "de-grossing" portfolios, will now revert to "grossing-up" holdings following earnings season. Powell says pricing and inflation pressures are "equal;" concerns now turn to employment, which is about at the level before the pandemic (Powell already has Friday's employment numbers). Fed is poised to cut rates in September. Lance and Michael discuss the latest inflation data and its implications for the economy; analysis of the recent drop in the inflation index to 1.5%, and the absence of significant wage growth pressures: Inflation index falls below the Fed's 2% target rate; inflationary pressures receding on various fronts; employment cost index slightly down; no substantial real wage growth pressures observed; year-over-year wage growth on the decline. Lance & Michael also discuss the bond market's bearishness; Are we out of the woods yet with bonds? This bear market is the longest since 1790! Economic slowdown and low inflation are driving yields down. The biggest problem facing Bonds is the deficit; Janet Yellen wants to keep rates as low as possible to better manage debt. Lance addresses Bond Yield question about holding to maturity.SEG-1: Markets Respond to Nothing New from the FedSEG-2: Powell Presser: Price & Inflation Pressures Now EqualSEG-3: Is the Bear Market in Bonds Finally Over?SEG-4: Is the Treasury Manipulating Markets w Their Offerings?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_fLAZCwJa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is There Value In Small Cap Value Versus Large Cap Growth"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-is-there-value-in-small-cap-value-versus-large-cap-growth/"Bullish Years Often Have Corrections"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/"Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-1-24 Market Bull Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79762x_wVdU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Navigating Financial Freedom on Your Own Terms"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #Inflation, #YearOverYear #FedTargetRate #InflationaryPressures #Receding #EmploymentCostIndex #RealWageGrowth #YearOverYearWageGrowth #PricePresure #BondMarket #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #JanetYellen #Treasury #Markets #Money #Investing
It's Fed Day, and Lance Roberts previews potential outcomes to be announced Thursday afternoon. Earnings season continues, with MSFT reporting revenue of only 29% for the quarter vs the anticipated 30% growth. Shucks. Our take on what to take from the NASDAQ correction: Opportunity. Markets are "flirting w disaster" around the 50-DMA: what will be the Black Swan Event (and why would anyone wish for it)? The illusion of wealth in America; Lance and Danny discuss the importance of questioning financial assumptions and societal expectations; how these expectations can lead to unnecessary financial strain: Challenging the notion of "have to" when it comes to financial decisions; the pressure to spend large amounts on weddings and college education; questioning the necessity of certain expenses; the importance of evaluating financial priorities; encouraging viewers to make informed financial choices based on their unique circumstances. SEG-1: Fed Day Preview & NASDAQ CorrectionSEG-2: Flirting w Disaster at the 50-DMASEC-3: The Illusion of Wealth in AmericaSEG-4: Bankrupting Your Retirement for Your Children?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:Bullish Years Often Have Correctionshttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/"Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "NASDAQ Correction: Here's Our Take" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ea9nQUqvgMw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Market Comparisons Can Hinder Your Portfolio's Performance "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdP-essdjaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FinancialPlanning #FutureFinancialFreedom #WeddingExpenses #CollegeExpenses #FinancialPriorities #Budgeting #FinancialDecisions #FinancialGoals #FinancialResponsibility #MoneyManagement #FinancialIndependence #FinancialSecurity #FinancialStress #FinancialExpectations #FinancialObligations #FinancialTradeOffs #FinancialSacrifices #FinancialChoices #FinancialMindset #Markets #Money #Investing"
Earnings season continues with 39% of S&P reporting this week; by week's end, 79% of companies will have shared results...and the buy back window opens anew. The Fed meeting begins today, with a slim chance for a surprise rate cut; a more dovish tone will encourage markets, however, and anticipate rate cut by September. Commentary on markets' 3% correction & Japanese Yen carry trade effects. Addressing the correct response to correction: Average returns are not the norm; risk on/off behaviors. Anchoring life events: What's the best anchoring for portfolios? Lance and Jon discuss a common mistake investors make when evaluating their portfolio performance, and explains why comparing your returns to the overall market is not always the best approach: The worst thing investors do is compare their portfolio to the market; media pundits often tout market returns, making investors feel inadequate; beating the market is not always the right goal for every investor; your portfolio allocation to stocks and bonds affects your performance; avoid the temptation to chase market returns and stick to your plan. Parsing the bad advice: How much do you need to retire (the 'What's your number' game). The biggest chunk of wealth comes from how much you can save. Could we have a 60% correction? Not likely, but we'll see it coming.SEG-1: Earnings Season Continues & Fed Meeting TodaySEG-2: The Correct Response to CorrectionSEG-3: Market Comparisons Hinder Portfolio PerformanceSEG-4: Parsing the Bad Advice: What's Your Number?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdP-essdjaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:Bullish Years Often Have Correctionshttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/"Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Was the Rally For Real?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUMHfGa5BLg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What Does the Fear and Greed Index Mean for Investors? "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sx2iFNOqqig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1490s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#PortfolioValue #MarketComparison #AssetAllocation #Stocks #Bonds #MarketPerformance #BeatingTheMarket #MediaInfluence #UnrealisticExpectations #InvestmentStrategy #PersonalFinance #FinancialAdvice #InvestorBehavior #EmotionalInvesting #LongTermPerspective #Diversification #RiskManagement #FinancialGoals #WealthBuilding #FinancialMedia #Markets #Money #Investing"
Markets prepare to wrap July; what will the Fed do this week? McDonald's Quarterly Report showing consumer pullback. Article tease on trying MMT and the Sam Altman experiment. Market correction last week followed by rally bounce; sell-signals are still in place, indicating the correction isn't over. Commentary on Olympic Sacrilege and electric karma; will there be a deeper correction? Lance explains the shifts in investor sentiment from fear to greed using a unique Fear Greed Index based on allocations. How do these changes impact market behavior and current trends? The basis of our weekly Fear Greed Index and how it differs from the CNN Fear Greed Index; historical investor allocations and their implications; current high allocation levels and market implications; the overall positive outlook in investor sentiment. UBI argument rebuttal and commentary on taxation; the impact of negative revisions to earnings; YouTube behavior & market preview: Expectations for no July rate cut...but it could happen. What employment numbers are telling us. SEG-1: Wrapping July: What Will the Fed Do This Week?SEG-2: Understanding the Fear and Greed Index: What Does It Mean for Investors? SEG-3A: UBI Rebuttal & Taxation TheorySEG-3B: The Impact of Negative Revisions to Earnings EstimatesSEG-4: Market Expectations for No Rate Cut in JulyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sx2iFNOqqig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1490s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr61HU_sQ6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Should You Tap Your Home Equity for Retirement Income?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOut1Zp-y0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FearGreedIndex #InvestorSentiment #Allocations #CNNversion #SP500 #Newsletter #BullishSide #LowAllocations #HighAllocations #InvestingTrends #MarketSentiment #OctoberAllocations #WeeklyIndicator #InvestorBehavior #UniversalBasicIncome #UBI #EarningsSeason #NegativeRevisions #FederalReserve #RateCutExpectations #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
Rich & Danny recap Danny's recent accident; Rich's market summary includes a preview of today's PCE release. Markets are awaiting confirmation of a trend. Dealing with the election fallout on your money; markets have already priced-in everything you know. PCE will move markets today; there is still $500-billion in unspent government funds from the Inflation Reduction Act. Dealing with data breaches. Retirees' biggest worry is about income: What is the biggest source of income for most Americans? Their house & home equity...and SS, a forced pension. Benefits of a HELOC--get one early, and don't touch it. The best use of "buffer assets." Thinking of HELOC's and reverse mortgages as "unfreezing" liquidity in the frozen asset of your home. Retiremnent is about depleting assets; you're no longer in savings mode. Strategies for placing a HELOC, and coordinating with other retirement strategies. Commentary on Dave Ramey's Financial Peace University--it's not just for poor folk.SEG-1: Market Summary: Waiting for Confirmation of a TrendSEG-2: Election Fall-ou for Your Money; PCE PreviewSEG-3: Reverse Mortgage LOC: Get It but Don't Touch ItSEG-4: Retirement IS About Depleting AssetsHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOut1Zp-y0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Interest Rates Are Too High – Blame The Mythical R Star"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-high-blame-the-mythical-r-star/"Irrational Exuberance Then And Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/"The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/"Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/"Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Correction Reach 5%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jhduZnaAuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Your Confidence Can Boost or Break the Economy"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpMR4QMJitc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#HomeEquity #ReverseMortgage #BufferAssets #PCE #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #FinancialSituation #MarketImpact #Economy #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerSentiment #InvestorSentiment #PortfolioPerformance, #EconomicBehavior #FinancialMarkets #SpendingHabits #MarketDecline #Financial Health #EconomicSentiment #FinancialDecisions #InvestmentConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #MarketSentiment #EconomicImpact #SpendingPatterns #FinancialImpact #Markets #Money #Investing
The S&P Global Services Index is "great," in contradiction to other eocnomic metrics; the first estimate of Q2 GDP is released today (up 2.8%); this will be revised. Important to note the behavior of GDP prior to past recessions, which are always back-dated. 350-days without a 2% correction, until Wednesday. Bill Dudley is calling for lower interest rates now; Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain the crucial link between consumer confidence and economic performance. Learn how sentiment drives markets and impacts your personal finances: The relationship between financial confidence and spending habits; the effects of market decline on consumer behavior; how sentiment influences economic performance; the role of confidence in personal financial decisions; why sentiment is a key factor in market dynamics. High School photos, Peter Frampton, and mullets; market commentary on watermarking portfolios; to Michael, the market feels like it's "blowing up:" someone is being forced to liquidate positions.SEG-1: 350-days Without Correction...untilSEG-2: Confidence is Key for a Thriving EconomySEG-3: Markets Can Stay Irrational Longer Than You Can Stay SolventSEG-4: The Error in Watermarking PortfoliosHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpMR4QMJitc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Interest Rates Are Too High – Blame The Mythical R Star"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-high-blame-the-mythical-r-star/"Irrational Exuberance Then And Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/"The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/"Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/"Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Correction Reach 5%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jhduZnaAuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Invest - or not - in a Presidential Election"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLclO1Y9stI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Confidence #FinancialSituation #MarketImpact #Economy #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerSentiment #InvestorSentiment #PortfolioPerformance, #EconomicBehavior #FinancialMarkets #SpendingHabits #MarketDecline #Financial Health #EconomicSentiment #FinancialDecisions #InvestmentConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #MarketSentiment #EconomicImpact #SpendingPatterns #FinancialImpact #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts provides a preview of Q2 GDP results, Temp hiring is tapering, and rising credit card delinquencies (because of unemployment) suggesting economic stress. A three year experiment in Universal Basic Income is an epic failure. Google earnings beat estimates, but YouTube's $1B revenue disappoints(!); Tesla puls back 7% on earnings results. Correction is near, but not today. Danny's accident and Life Challenges as investing lessons: Life is cyclical; theimportance of optimism & risk management. Investing in an election cycle: Trump policies & record vs unknowns about Kamala. Markets will quickly adapt to election outcomes and money will flow into apparent areas of beneficial trades. What happens in House and Senate is also key: Markets love gridlock. Tariff talk. Why you don't want to be in Small- and Mid-caps in Recession. Transitioning from saving to spending in retirement: What's your plan? What are your goals? Planning for the eventuality of higher taxes. Having a strategy for spending your retirement nest egg.SEG-1: Universal Basic Income Fail & Markets Flirt w SupportSEG-2: How to Invest During Election CyclesSEG-3A: Why You Don't Want to Be in Small- or Mid-caps During RecessionSEG-3B: Transitioning from Accumulation to Spending in RetirementSEG-4: Having a Plan for Spending Your Retirement Nest EggHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLclO1Y9stI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/"Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/"Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-24-24 Markets Are Flirting with Support" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pi6OS2UxDu4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Bull market Just Getting Started?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eQG_R6DJWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #2024Election #ElectionCycle #UniversalBasicIncome #Google #Tesla #Q2GDP #Unemployment #CreditCardDelinquencies #SmallCap #MidCap #Recession #Retirement #RetirementNestEgg #RetirementPlanning #RetirementSpending #Markets #Money #Investing
Measures of inflation are beginning to come down: Shelter costs are expected to decline over the next six-months; jobless claims and consumer delinquencies are on the rise. Markets rally after a three-day correction, retesting the 20-DMA, and back up again, thanks to mega-caps. The current Sell-signal may limit upside. Is the bull market just getting started? Lance explains w charts & graphs. Understanding the importance of safety when investing in corporate bonds. Choose wisely to avoid defaults. The types of corporate bonds considered to be "money good;" the importance of a company's cash balance for interest payment; portfolio disclosure on owning corporate bonds. What's the criteria for avoiding "zombie" companies. The need for a catalytic event to impact bond investments. Lance and Jonathan examine the relationship between inflation, interest rates, and bond prices: The effect of decreasing inflation on loan demand; how slower economic activity impacts interest rates; the correlation between inflation and interest rates; explanation of longer duration bonds; the inverse relationship between bond yields and pricesSEG-1: Inflation Measures Coming Down; Markets CorrectSEG-2: Is the Bull Market Just Getting Started?SEG-3: How to Invest in High Safety Corporate Bonds SEG-4: How Inflation Impacts Demand for Loans and Interest Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eQG_R6DJWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/"Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/"Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Successfully Retest the 20-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdPxfq2puVs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Analyzing the Potential Impact of a Kamala Harris Presidency "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD5zUs1trJk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2619s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CorporateBonds #Investment #HighSafety #CatalyticEvent #Portfolio #MoneyGoodCompanies #CashBalanceSheet #InterestPayments #BondOwnership #ZombieCompanies #FinancialStrategy #CorporateBondSelection #RiskManagement #BondMarketInsights #InvestorConsiderations #Disclosure #CorporateFinance #FinancialHealth #InterestCoverage #BondSelectionCriteria #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance discusses the markets' potential reaction to Biden's exit from Presidential race, and whether markets' rotation out of mega-cap stocks is sustainable; a rewind to February market conditions compared to now: A correction is expected before the election. Commentary on keeping market corrections into context; the mega-cap rotation and fewer medium- and small-cap companies from which to choose: 40% of these are unprofitable companies. As companies complete their quarterly reports, buy back will again be enabled, and that activity will add to market volume. Lance explores the potential impact of a Kamala Harris presidency. What sectors could benefit from her leadership and policies? An overview of Harris’s potential presidency and expected policy focus areas; implications for clean energy, Student loan forgiveness initiatives, and the broader Democratic policy continuations Regional Banks are reporting this week, encumbered by collateral and commercial real estate. Company stock buy back will resume following quarterly reports. Market expectations are for three rate cuts this year; the Fed now hints at only two. Lance discusses the importance of Credit Spreads as early indicators for credit market health. VIX Behavior.SEG-1: Markets' Response to Biden WithdrawalSEG-2: Putting Market Corrections into ContextSEG-3: Market Impact of Buy Back Resumption;SEG-4: Earnings Preview; Credit Spreads as Risk BarometerHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD5zUs1trJk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2619s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/"Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZC2yyhOkxw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Has the Economy Put Your Retirement Plans on Hold?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48O-tkQ685Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2145s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#KamalaHarris #Presidency #2024Election #CleanEnergy #StudentLoanForgiveness #SocialisticPolicies, #Democrats #MarketFutures #MarketSectors #PublicPolicies #BidenAdministration #Politicalanalysis #Government #Economy #SocialIssues #RenewableEnergy #EducationReform #PoliticalFuture #AdministrationFocus #DemocraticParty #PolicyImpact #PoliticalLeadership #USpolitics #Markets #Money #Investing
Richard Rosso opines on Houston driver, CrowdStrike IT fail, and why he's changed his tune in thinking now might be a good time for the Fed to slip in a rate cut. Does the Fed have performance anxiety? Take care in benchmarking risk; market pullbacks are like a "Thanksgiving Oven," keeping things warm to use later. Study shows Gen-X'ers more likely to delay retirement because of economic anxiety. The importance of self-value in post-retirement; the retirement clock. YouTube query: How do we look at inflation and budget as planners? Managing inflation by by adjusting the inputs: "When life gets in the way, your financial plan needs to be able to pick up the pieces." Dealing with less relilance on companies, more upon our own self-reliances (thanks, Emerson!) Studying inflation as "permatory" vs transitory, and how to best calculate your withdrawal rate. When volatility can be your friend; the importance of guaranteed income in retirement...and planning. The importance of having reserves. Why is Congress making it easier to tap retirement funds (leakage)?SEG-1: Market Preview & CrowdStrike IT FailSEG-2: Economic Anxiety & Gen-X Retirement PlansSEG-3: How We Look at Inflation as Financial PlayersSEG-4: The Importance of Guaranteed Income and Financial PlanningHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48O-tkQ685Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2145s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Irrational Exuberance Then And Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/"Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/"The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/"Put Options – Nobody Wants Them"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Astronomical Rotation from Large to Small Cap" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yFSeF0LxIk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Irrational Exuberance Then & Now"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUbIu4YZlO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #RetirementDelay #EconomicConcerns #EconomicWeakness #EconomicAnxiety #CrowdStrikeOutage #SelfReliance #Emerson #FederalReserve #CenterpointEnergy #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Hey, kids--what day is it? Lance reorients himself and shares foreigners' perspectives of the U.S. Advice: Avoid the negativity and don't feed the fear. Looking at astronomical rotation from Large- to Small-cap stocks over the past five days: Russell 2000 is elevated by 4.4 standard deviations from its moving average. Markets needed a healthy rotation, and this is actually bullish in creating more breadth in markets. Bad Coffee & YouTube audio; What are the odds for a Fed rate cut in September? Michael Lebowitz joins the conversation: Is inflation "back in the range?" Markets are giving the Fed a green light to cut rates. Are we back to a pre-Covid economy with 5% rates? It's important to separate our personal views from what the markets pay attention to (Government numbers). Is sentiment shifting? Markets are very reflexive. Is the Small-cap chase sustainable? Markets are not responding to Trump/Vance: it's about excess liquidity looking for someplace to go. Michael review's Alan Greenspan's "Irrational Exuberance" thesis then vs now. The internet DID change the world and affected economic growth. What will AI outcomes be? Lance intones the importance of credit spreads as leading indicators; their pick up is worth paying attention to.SEG-1: Others' Perspectives of the US, Markets' Perspective of Astronomical Rotation?SEG-2: Are We Back to a Pre-COVID Economy?SEG-3: Is the Small-cap Chase Sustainable?SEG-4: Are Markets Re-experiencing Irrational Exuberance?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUbIu4YZlO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Irrational Exuberance Then And Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/"Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/"The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/"Put Options – Nobody Wants Them"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Astronomical Rotation from Large to Small Cap" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yFSeF0LxIk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Avoiding the Sexy Stock Plays"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBh7AGlIQsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AlanGreenspan #IrrationaExuberance #MarketRotation #AI #CreditSpreads #PortfolioBalance #SexyStocks #MagnificentSeven #2024Election #MonetaryPolicy #JeromePowell #JamieDimon #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
ay-3 of the RNC convention: Markets are already beginning to shift in anticipation of a presumed presidency and policies, with an eye on taxation and monetary policy. Donald Trump has said he will allow Jerome Powell to finish his term as Fed Chair, with Jamnie Dimon as Treasury Secretary. Meanwhile, we're watching major moves in the Russell 2000 with rotational trades in anticipation of election outcome. Will there be an October Surprise? Market Futures are sharply down ahead of this morning's open. Lance's Air BNB, mew house, and Hurricane aftermath. Avoiding the sexy trades, the Mag-7 effect, and concentrated portfolio risks. What does the Buffett Indicator tell us (a horrible, short-term indicator)? The value in maintaining balance with "boring" stocks. Cathie Woods' tweet on tax losses as assets; Retail Sales analysis & raw NSA numbers are weaker than expressed; watch for downward revisions. 40% of Russell 2000 are unprofitable companies, heavily indebted, and unable to generate stock buy backs. What to do when a company stock falls out of favor: avoiding psychological traps. Remembering dividend performance; how to tell if a company is strong.SEG-1: Markets Prepare for Presumed PresidencySEG-2: Effects of Mega-Caps & Avoiding sexy tradesSEG-3A: Cathie Woods' Tax Losses & AssetsSEG-3B: Retail Sales & RAW NSA NumbersSEG-4: What to Do When Stocks Fall Out of FavorHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBh7AGlIQsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/"The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/"Put Options – Nobody Wants Them"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Rotation Continues " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6m1gmdLmwuU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Relationship Between Fed Rate Cuts and Treasury Yields Explained"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bnFVM2_njAE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#PortfolioBalance #SexyStocks #MagnificentSeven #2024Election #MonetaryPolicy #JeromePowell #JamieDimon #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts begins with an earnings and economic reports preview; there is now a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates sooner than later, and odds-makers now expecte three rate cuts. Small- and Mid-cap stocks are now three standard deviations above their averages; might be time to take profits. Lance explains the correlation between Fed funds rate adjustments and bond performance, the relationship between Fed rate cuts and bond performance; analysis of the ten-year treasury versus the Fed funds rate; high correlation between Fed fund cuts and falling ten-year treasury yields; expected trends when the Fed starts cutting rates; implications for investors during a rate cutting environment. More economic previews; Lance and Jon discuss advisor fees and what you're getting (no not). SEG-1: Earnings & Retail Sales Preview: Time to Take Profits?SEG-2: Chances for a Rate Cut?SEG-3: Invesetor Mistakes: There Are No Permanent AssetsSEG-4: The Question of Fees & What You're Getting - or notHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bnFVM2_njAE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/"The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/"Put Options – Nobody Wants Them"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Take Profits?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sM-c7jumqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
That was the week that was: Hurricane Beryl, celebrity deaths, Trump assassination attempt, & Lance's Vacation. PPI show inflation trending downward, setting up for a Fed rate cut: July or September? Investor sentiment remains positive as markets continue to grind higher; investor eschew put-options, which are very cheap now...just like this time, last year. Bears are like a ‘broken clock,’ they are right twice a day.” While that may seem true during a rising bull market, the reality is that both “bulls” and “bears” are owned by the “broken clock syndrome.” The statement exposes the ignorance or bias of those making such a claim. If you invert the logic, such things become more evident. “If ‘bears’ are right twice a day, then ‘bulls’ must be wrong twice a day.” In the investing game, the timing of being “wrong” is critical to your long-term goals. Want to maximize your cash by timing market moves? Lance Roberts shares key insights on portfolio management tactics in this video. Strategies for buying shares at better prices; Understanding the importance of portfolio management; The challenge of knowing when to exit the market; Difficulties in identifying the right time to buy the dip; Realistic expectations for market timing.SEG-1: Markets Continue to Grind HigherSEG-2: The Broken Clock SyndromeSEG-3: How to Be an Eagle in the MarketSEG-4: Markets' Anticipated Response to Trump ShootingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/"Put Options – Nobody Wants Them"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back on a Buy Signal" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQYxWAxGEKI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "WHy Berkshire Hathaway's 100-Year Strategy Won't Work for You"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#HurricaneBeryl #DonaldTrump #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
The saga of the Roberts' Rental house concludes, at the cost of a coffee maker and other electrical appliances. How much will it cost to feed your hoard on July 4th? Market Commentary: light volume expected for the remainder of the holiday-shortened week. Adam Taggart, Jon Huntsman analysis: Symptoms vs reality. The importance of doing your own due diligence and sticking to an investing discipline. Lance and Danny discuss concentration risk and the Enron debacle; Fintech's false promises to investors. Why individuals cannot invest like Warren Buffett & Berkshire Hathaway: Buffett's investment horizon is 100-years. SEG-1: Feeding on the Fourth for $71 - Market CommentarySEG-2: The Hunt Brothers' Silver Saga & Copper Commodities TodaySEG-3: The Importance of Investing DisciplineSEG-4: Investing Like Warren Buffett?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Earnings Bar Lowered As Q2 Reports Begin"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-bar-lowered-as-q2-reports-begin/"The Confidence Dichotomy"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Movers Before the 4th" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4lTPrUdWRY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Beat Earnings Estimates"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bG6OzGjibtM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway #!00YearStrategy #Investment #HoldingPeriod #LongTermPlanning #Legacy #FinancialStrategy #HewlettPackard #Longevity #BusinessPhilosophy #Visionary #SustainableGrowth #CorporateContinuity #FutureProofing #DurableInvestments #AssetManagement #CompanyLifespan #WealthPreservation #EarningsGrowth #FinancialCrisis #LoweredEarningsBar #CompanyPerformance #Expectations #StrongEarnings #QuarterResults #FinancialAnalysis #EarningsEstimates #Inflation #Deflation #FinancialAdvice #FinancialAdvisorValue #PortfolioManager #RentalProperty #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance previews Q2 GDP estimates: The lag effect is showing up in GDP Estimate revisions, as the economy slows. The difference betweeen Inflation vs Deflation: The rate of change is slowing, but prices are remaining high. Commentary on interest rate behavior at end of Quarter; quarter-end rebalancing and dividend payments. The next chapter in the saga of the Roberts' Rental house; kudo's to Abacus Electrical, raspberries to Centerpoint Energy. The best way to beat earnings estimates: Lower the bar for expectations. The normal beat rate is about 75%. What is the true value of a financial advisor? Not to be confused with a portfolio manager (Doctors vs Coaches). A brief discussion of Tex-Mex, BBQ, and Houston as a food mecca; the value of a financial planner to a family. SEG-1: Inflation vs Deflation - Which Way, Interest Rates?SEG-2A: The Roberts' Rental Saga, Pt-2SEG-2B: How to Beat Earnings EstimatesSEG-3: The Value of a Financial Advisor, Pt-1SEG-4: The Value of a Financial Advisor, Pt-2Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bG6OzGjibtM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Earnings Bar Lowered As Q2 Reports Begin"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-bar-lowered-as-q2-reports-begin/"The Confidence Dichotomy"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Interest Rates are a Function of Inflation and Economic Growth" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NuGhZlS_1J0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Confidence Dichotomy"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QF2-xOKv68c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#EarningsGrowth #FinancialCrisis #LoweredEarningsBar #CompanyPerformance #Expectations #StrongEarnings #QuarterResults #FinancialAnalysis #EarningsEstimates #Inflation #Deflation #FinancialAdvice #FinancialAdvisorValue #PortfolioManager #RentalProperty #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing
Why are Markets and the real economy mal-aligned? A tale of two parties in how Americans are faring financially. Re-thinking frivolous spending: How we blew through our savings. If you're in the market, you're loving it: 31-days of all-time highs (so far) in 2024. Rich and Matt discuss decision-making when approaching retirement: The myths about taking Social Security early. Rich & Matt ponder who'll be the next James Bond; timing your retirement, and consideration of spousal benefits: Calculating the difference in delaying Social Security. The goal of Social Security: What if you live? Visualizing lifestyle, money scripting, and longevity. What is the optimum time for financial planning? It's never too soon. 3:18 - A Tale of Two Parties - How Americans Are Fairing Financially14:40 - How We Blew Our Saving- Re-thinking Frivolous Spending30:26 - Timing Your Retirement44:43 - The Goal of Social Security - What If You Live?Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Ten Steps, Ten Years to Retirement"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ten-steps-ten-years-to-retirement/"Why Economists And Citizens Have Different Inflation Realities"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-economists-and-citizens-have-different-inflation-realities/"S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/"Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Is Wall Street Selling off Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Market Downtrend: Understanding Snowball Effects & The Role of the Fed"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=syNCKJpl16Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SocialSecurity #ClaimingDecision #YoungerSpouse #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #SignificantOther #EarlyBenefits #PayGap #RetirementIncome #SocialSecurityBenefits #FinancialStrategy #Study #DecisionMaking #Markets #Money #Investing
The Supreme Court strikes down the Chevron Deference that allowed government agencies to dictate policy, bypassing Congress. This may be the biggest decision since their relegation of abortion policy back to the states in striking down Roe v Wade. Meanwhile, markets end the 2nd quarter somewhat sloppily, but still positive for the year, possibly portending a positive finish for the year. This does not, however, exclude the possibility of correction this summer, and August, September, & October in an election year are typically weak. Lance retells his weekend rent house experience as an underscore endorsing renting over homeownership for most folks. Shocking. A look at the dichotomy of confidence: Expectations for market gains this year do now square with our feelings about the economy (and where do earnings come from?) The tale of the Roberts' celebrity dogs; why the NAR pushed for adjustable rate mortgages...and why they're a horrible idea for nearly everyone.SEG-1: SCOTUS Chevron Deference - Markets Prep for 2nd HalfSEG-2A: The Shocking Saga of the Roberts' Rent HouseSEG-2B: Why this is not a market to be keeping up withSEG-3: The Confidence DichotomySEG-4A: Checking-in the Roberts' Dogs at a HotelSEG-4B: Homeownership & Adjustable Mortgages: A Bad IdeaHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QF2-xOKv68c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Confidence Dichotomy"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prepare for Second Half" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ks5GW3xJgtg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=2 -------Our previous show is here: "Ten Steps, Ten Years to Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fullI_3AecY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SCOTUS #ChevronDeference #RoeVwade #2ndQuarter #MarketCorrection #ElectionYear #InvestorConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #EarningsEstimates #RentalProperty #NationialAssociationRealtors #AdjustableRateMortgages #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing
Wrapping up the month of June, and the start of a new Quarter in July: Expect market volatility. Micron's miss will weigh on tech sector. Analysts' estimates have dropped by $5/share for Q3, lowering the bar in anticipation of next reporting season. Final Q1 GDP revision due today. Moving closer to July Fed meeting and possible rate cuts? Jobless claims are climbing. Options markets begin to bet on Presidential election outcome. Why is Wall Street selling off Nvidia now? Debate preview & potential drinking games thereof; July Fed meeting preview; it's a boring Fed for now. Banks passing their stress tests (is this a joke?) There is greater stress on collateral due to higher interest rates. What are the implications of dirt cheap sales of commercial real estate, backed by banks? Distressed debt. What's wrong in Japan, selling $63-B in bonds over 9-months is meaningless. Two options: Keep a lid on interest rates, or keep the Yen from falling. Central Banks & Gov'ts work together. Why it's in everyone's best interest to keep the US Dollar as liquid as possible. Dedollarization & Petrodollar nonsense, concern for higher rates, and the long view is for lower rates. Lance & Michael discuss the potential impact of AI, and the market's current downtrend and its potential to escalate into a larger financial concern. He highlights the importance of monitoring market signals and the role of the Federal Reserve.SEG-1: Why is Wall Street Selling Off Nvidia?SEG-2: Banks Pass Stress Tests & Real Estate Deals Done Dirt CheapSEG-3: What's the Worry About Japanese Bond Sales?SEG-4: The Impact of AI & Behind the Scenes in a Bullish MarketHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=syNCKJpl16Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Why Economists And Citizens Have Different Inflation Realities"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-economists-and-citizens-have-different-inflation-realities/"S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/"Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Is Wall Street Selling off Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Irony in Consumer Confidence"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketDowntrend #MarketVolatility #InvestorComplacency #Shorts #SnowballEffect #Fed #InterestRates #CutRates #FederalReserve #MarketDeterioration #FinancialTrends #Investing #Economics #Potential #Increase #Stocks #MarketSignals #FinancialStability #EconomicIndicators #FinancialAnalysis #SurpriseRateCut #MarketBehavior #MarketTrends #Markets #Money #Investing
Pre-debate, Consumer Confidence, and a rally for Nvidia: earnings preview & market commentary: How long can markets remain over-bought? Investors' common mistakes: Acting too soon, and over-reacting. Markets can remain over-bought for a long time; a function of market momentum. Consumer confidence has been trending lower; the dichotomy of consumer expectations vs market performance. Vacation Theory & Consumer Confidence: what policies were in place? CNBC Economists: 2nd Trump term would re-heat inflation? Why tariff;s lead to inflation (and how consumers get aroun them.) 44% of inflation is in housing; don't mix politics w investing. Market behavior under Republican vs Democrat majority. Nvidia dominates AI-chip market (for now); what happens when competition comes into the market. Computers w lab-grown "organoid" brains.SEG-1: How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?SEG-2: The Irony in Consumer ConfidenceSEG-3: Don't Mix Politics w InvestingSEG-4: Who'll Compete w Nvidia?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/"Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is S&P 6,300 Outside the Realm of Possibility?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Investors #Households #FullyInvested #Buying #Corporations #SamStovall #SP500 #MarketInvestment #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentTrends #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerIrony #Nvidia #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Organoids #Markets #Money #Investing
Fed speakers are out this week, talking the same game. Lance examines corellation between the Chicago Fed National Activity Index and economic growth, and what posts to X (formerly known as Twitter) are to be called. Who does the Fed depend upon for data? There are many divergences in the data; Nvidia's bad day(s): Stock split and 13% drop is a correction, not a crash. Doing the math to S&P 6,300 and looking at the range of possibilities. We address the common investor's desire for a perfect low-risk, high-reward investment. Lance & Jon discuss the unrealistic expectations and the growing demand for such ideal investments in today's market and economy: The search for a magic pill investment; expectations versus reality in market investments; economic uncertainty driving demand for low-risk options; the illusion of high upside with minimal downside; practical advice for cautious investors. Know what you own; best college degrees for money managers? SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy"SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets DivergeSEG-3: The Search for Elusive, Perfect, Low-Risk InvestmentsSEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is DerivedHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/"Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What to do with Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Avoid These Common Trading Mistakes"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Investors #PerfectInvestment #LowRisk #MarketUpside #MinimalDownside #MagicPill #Economy #MarketConcerns #Demand #RiskManagement #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicUncertainty #StockMarket #FinancialSecurity #InvestmentDemand #MarketRisk #EconomicTrends #FinancialPlanning #InvestmentChallenges #DownsideProtection #SafeInvestments #MarketFluctuations #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #SafetyNets #Markets #Money #Investing
Market volatility closed out last week, as investors prepare to wrap June and Q2 business. Triple-witching Friday added to the excitement, and markets remain extremely over bought. The Conference Board's Leading Indicator Index has been negatice for 27-mos in a row; always a precessor of Recession. Lance discusses investors' two common mistakes when markets negatively diverge (w charts). A look at Market Cap Weighting vs Equal Weighting in porfolios; is it time for a clean-up? The problem with Economic Data and how it's derived: Sentiment surveys are not hard data points. Separate emotion from investing; measuring and managing risk. Lance's commentary on the week ahead.SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy"SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets DivergeSEG-3: Market Cap Weighting vs Equal WeightingSEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is DerivedHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlAv5bqFHWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Over-bought" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_N5nG1kXUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Could Tax Policy Shrink the Economy?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TradingTips #CommonMistakes #Overreacting #ActingTooEarly #RSP #SPY #NegativeBreath #InvestingStrategies #MarketAnalysis #TradingPsychology #InvestmentMistakes #CarefulTrading #FinancialAdvice #Reversion #BuyingAndSelling #MarketBehavior #EmotionalTrading #CautiousInvesting #PortfolioManagement #TradingDecisions #MarketTrends #StockMarketTips #TradingStrategy #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are performing the job of the Fed; is the economy stronger? Rich & Jon look at the "Olive Garden economic indicator: Who's dining out, and who is staying in? How to unravel high restaurant prices 9and everything else, too!) Baby Boomers are still spending. Candid Coffee preview (egistration link below); Investor complacency is troubling. The Genworth settlement = 100% increase in premiums. Financial Dust Bunnies. Nvidia performance cannot continue indefinitely; the data the markets are ignoring. Social Security COLA adjustments to reverse; unrest is whoing up in election results; we are in the Fourth Turning; keep a global perspective. Both political parties are way off on tax policy; the truth about small business margins: They're razor-thin. Tariffs instead of taxes will not work; taxes generate more revenue than tariffs. Planning for higher taxes with Roth options. We don't have a tax revenue problem; we have a congresional spending problem. Why the Roth is never going away. What happens when current tax rates expsire; the Roth is NOT an emergency savings account.SEG-1: Gauging the Economy w the Olive Garden IndicatorSEG-2: Investor Complacency & Date the Markets are IgnoringSEG-3: How Tax Policy Could Shrink the EconomySEG-4: Why the Roth is Here to StayHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/"Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Debunking Dollarization: Why the Dollar Is Stronger Than Ever"https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1138s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TaxPolicy #DonaldTrump #JoeBiden #MarketCycles #FedRateCuts #EconomicTrends #InvestmentStrategies #MarketPerformance #FinancialPlanning #MarketAnticipation #EconomicCycles #FinancialAdvice #FederalReserve #RateCutsImpact #MarketTiming #LongTermInvesting #EconomicForecast #FinancialMarkets #StockMarketBehavior #MarketAnalysis #FinancialPredictions #EconomicOutlook #MarketDownturn #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialCycles #Markets #Money #Investing
Will markets exhibit the typical summer weakness? Prepping for the election outcomes; correction coming now and later. Preview of housing numbers and initial jobless claims; market breadth is on the decline. The increasing gap between the S&P 500 and equal-weighted indexes. Lance discusses the relative strength of the Dollar vs other currencies. Petro-dollar fears and how you're being sold by Wall Street. Our narrative should be how to make money. The "demise" of the petro-dollar; keeping currencies all relative within a range is important for Trade. The Gold/Dollar dynamic; why the world transacts business in dollars: The need for a deep and stable currency...and safety. The importance of Rule of Law: How policy choices can errode trust in the dollar. The divergence between energy stocks and the underlying commodities; the cycle of commodity prices; a recession will cause the next price crash.Seasonality in the month of June; wrapping the Quarter + buy back blackout = market headwinds. Rebalancing is coming. The Ozympic conundrum.SEG-1: Summer Weakness for Markets?SEG-2: The Petro DollarSEG-3: The Divergence Between Energy Stocks & CommoditiesSEG-4: Seasonality in the Month of June; Weight-loss DrugsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1138s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/"Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Retail Sales Disappoint"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uo6SSkYzr8I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Dollar #Dollarization #Dedollarization #Misconception #Currency #StrongerDollar #CurrencyComparison #FinancialAnalysis #Economy #ExchangeRates #WeakeningDollar #GlobalCurrency #FinancialArticles #CurrencyTrends #PetroDollar #EnergyStocks #Commodities #Divergence #MarketSeasonality #Markets #Money #Investing
Wall Street is closed today in observance of Juneteenth; we predict markets will be flat today. Retail Sales disappoint. Our analysis: Economy is slowing. Nvidia is now The Biggest Company; iShares rebalancing at the end of the month. Apple will swap places w Nvidia in index. Remember, Wall St.'s job is to sell you stocks, not to provide accurate information. Lance & Brent discuss Death Wish Coffee, dancing dogs, and opposable thumbs. Why investors must buy Nvidia; performance differentials. Lance defends his love of dogs; there is nothing wrong with the markets for now, but they will eventually correct. Trying to avoid a crash will cost you more than investing and riding-out a crash. What's the risk of change for Nvidia? Economic data is pointing to a slow down; retail sales will feed into services sector. Higher costs = no more Grub Hub. Lance addresses government waste: PPP fraud, Medicare fraud, $42-B for high-speed internet no one has received. Increased cost of healthcare insurance is directly due to advent of ObamaCare, and allowing sick people into the coverage pool. To fix what's wrong, track the money.SEG-1: Juneteenth Markets Will Be FlatSEG-2: Why Investors Must Buy NvidiaSEG-3: Nvidia's Risk & Watching Slowing Economic DataSEG-4: Fixing Government Waste: Follow the MoneyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uo6SSkYzr8I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/"Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Makes Correction Pain Worse?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is Bullishness on the Rise?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7bl0kL73VM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2235s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Nvidia, #Investment #Necessity #IndexFund #SP500 #PortfolioManagement #Benchmark #PortfolioManager #IndexPortfolio #BuyingStocks #MarketStrategy #FinancialDecision #StockPerformance #EconomicTrends #MarketAnalysis #Juneteenth #RetailSales #EconomicSlowing #GovernmentWaste #ObamaCare #HighSpeedInternet #HealthcareInusrance #MedicareFraud #PPPfraud #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are trading in a holiday-shortened week, thanks to the Juneteenth Holiday Wednesday. 50% of companies are now in stock buy back blackout period. Retail Sales report preview; a function of Consumer sentiment. Five Fed speakers out and about today; markets started weakly, then rallied 1%. Volume and breadth are weakening; markets are very over-bought and extremely deviated from DMA's; when correction comes... Is consumer sentiment on the rise? How best to balance portfolio mix (charts). When will the "Next Big One" come along? Query about going from 90/10 portfolio to 100% equities; you can always find a reason not to invest. Bonds vs T-bills vs Equities; What to do when there are no high-yiled, low-risk options? How to manage risk in volatile rate environment; why you should look at your portfolio only once a quarter; separate emotion from your investments.SEG-1: Markets Are Over Bought & Extremely Deviated from DMA'sSEG-2: Is Consumer Sentiment & Investor Bullishness on the Rise?SEG-3: Managing Risk Before the "Next Big One" Comes AlongSEG-4: What Happens When There Are No High-yield, Low-risk Options?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Sr. Fianncial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7bl0kL73VM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2235s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/"Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Makes Correction Pain Worse?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Interest Rates: Is a Multi-Decade Increase on the Horizon?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hFJaamK_m4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #InvestorBullishness #ConsumerSentiment #InterestRates #MarketCorrection #Homeowners #BorrowingCosts #Economy #JamesGrant #CyclicalPattern #MultiDecadePeriod #Consumption #HigherRates #EconomicImpact #HousingMarket #FinancialTrends #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing
Will "Sell in May & Go Away" repeat this summer? Will Wall Street 'de-risk" ahead of presidential election? Economic data continues to weaken and consumer sentiment takes a sharp drop; is this a trend-change? Markets return to over bought conditions; such extreme deviations from 20- and 50-DMA cannot last for long. Breadth is very narrow; market driven by only a few stocks. Import prices drop; inflation remains sticky. Persistent inflation will force the Fed to lower rates; when? Meanwhile, James Grant insists rate will cycle higher; Lance discusses the impact of higher interest rates on the economy and shares insights from an interview with James Grant: Discover how cyclical patterns and rising rates can shape the future; impact of higher interest rates on homeowners; borrowing costs and their effect on consumption; economic implications of rising rates; Grant's perspective on cyclical interest rate patterns; potential multi-decade rise in interest rates. Beware scare tactics and doomsday headlines (what are they trying to sell you??) All roads lead to inflation.SEG-1: Will Wall St. De-risk Ahead of Presidential Election?SEG-2: Inflation Print Keeps Fed on Track to Cut RatesSEG-3: Is James Grant Correct About Rates Going Higher?SEG-4: What Are They Trying to Sell You?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hFJaamK_m4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Corrective Action is Inevitable" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hU7Wh4i51TE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Dealing With the "Squishy" Side of Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XdRXLssiy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InterestRates #Homeowners #BorrowingCosts #Economy #JamesGrant #CyclicalPattern #MultiDecadePeriod #Consumption #HigherRates #EconomicImpact #HousingMarket #FinancialTrends #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing
Parsing the economic data; Bonds vs ETF's; how bond pries and interest rates move; couting on the income. Danny & Jonathan address YouTube chatroom questions on Bond Yields and Buy/Sell dynamics; Dialing for Petro Dollars: A discussion of the US Dollar's strength, and whether it will still be the world's reserve currency in the future. Four good reasons to keep the Dollar. Transitioning into retirement, from accumulator to distributor, and dealing with the "squishy" side of retirement; finding purpose; activities together vs alone; planning spending allocations. The Dead Air nightmares; why Chick-Fil-A is closed on Sunday; the RIA Advisors Studio Orchestra; Roth conversions now against higher taxes later; crafting a strategy with Backdoor Roths.SEG-1: Parsing the Data; Bonds vs ETF'sSEG-2: Dialing for Petro DollarsSEG-3: Dealing w the Squishy side of RetirementSEG-4: Dead Air, Blue Laws, & Roth ConversionsHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XdRXLssiy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Dollar's Death: Not So Fast"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-dollars-death-not-so-fast"Four Reasons The Dollar Is Here to Stay- Part 2"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/four-reasons-the-dollar-is-here-to-stay-part-2"Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/"It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/"Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Federal Reserve and BLS Labor Data Discrepancies Explored"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Retirement #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #PetroDollars #RothConversions #BackdoorRoth #SquishyRetirement #RetirementPlanning #FinancialAdvisor #EmployerBenefits #RetirementStrategy #Working #FinancialPlanning #RetirementValue #MaximizingBenefits #RetirementAdvice #EarlyRetirementPlanning #FinancialAssistance #LongTermPlanning #RetirementGoals #RetirementSavings #FinancialHealth #AdvisorBenefits #Proactive Planning #RetirementSecurity #FuturePlanning #FinancialStrategies #RetirementHelp #Markets #Money #Investing
June is half-over, and the stock buy back blackout begins today, removing that source of activity from the market. Economic data points continue to weaken, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell wants to see "more good data." There is an alternative universe of debt; the Fed wants weaker economy so they can lower rates. The S&P 500 sets another new, all-time high; Apple, Miscrosoft, & Nvidia are driving the market. There is an ever-widening performance gap between the S&P 500 and everyone else. Mrs. Roberts' Roomba and an FOMC Meeting recap; the economy is "normalizing." Jerome Powell's humility; interest rates are restrictive; the problem with being data-dependent. Elon Musk's pay package; markets are still being driven by fewer and fewer stocks; buy backs' influence on market performance; was Apply buying back shares to bolster reaction from Apple Intelligence rollout? What happens when correction comes; what will trigger. Chocolate chip cookies & Cinnabons; the Bond market is picking up as consumer spending slows. there's plenty of room for downside in bonds; Gold's response to real rates. Speculation is driving gold. Private Credit opportunities and trends. Buy now pay later companies' credentials are very opaque; are you being rewarded for the risk you're taking on? SEG-1: Lopsided Market Response to FOMC Meeting/InflationSEG-2: FOMC - The Economy is NormalizingSEG-3: Markets' Driven by Fewer Stocks - What Happens When Correction Comes?SEG-4: CPI & Employment Data is Belying Deeper ProblemHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/"It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/"Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Managing Risk & Returns with Individual Treasury Bonds"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#LaborMarket #Overstated #BLSdata #FederalReserve #Employment #ElectionCycle #JobStatistics #EconomicIndicators #DataDiscrepancies #UnemploymentRates #MarketDataAnalysis #LaborStatistics #JobMarket #EmploymentReports EconomicDataReliability #Markets #Money #Investing
It's Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed's Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers' questions about owning Bonds vs Treasuries vs ETF's. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium's leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we're buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk.SEG-1: Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple IntelligenceSEG-2: Outlook for Owning BondsSEG-3: Swimming in Oil & The Saga of PredictionsSEG-4: How We Manage RiskHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------Articles mentioned in this report:"It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/"Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Apple?" is here: https://youtu.be/3HXblWzZ5S4-------Our previous show is here: "How the 60/40 Investment Strategy Works for You"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AppleIntelligence #FOMC #FederalReserve #Inflation #RiskManagement #Portfolio #TreasuryBonds #YieldMaximization #HurdleRates #InvestmentStrategy #RiskHedge #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #BondInvestment #IndividualBonds #PortfolioManagement #ReturnCalculation #FinancialAdvice #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are essentially in stasis until after tomorrow's conclusion of the FOMC meeting. Market enthusiasm is similar to that seen in 2000, but there are a few differences this time around. Will Apple AI tailor a better product for users; can AI actually deliver? Crude Oil in a MACD buy signal from very low levels: Time to buy? How Generation-Z is making blue collar jobs cool; implications of power demands for AI and requirements for building out power grid to meet AI demand. Is it time to re-think the 60/40 portfolio? The finite value of bonds vs equity market risk. You can always adjust ratios to match your appetite. The basic economics of interest ates & monetary velocity. Looking at Media-driven narratives vs real data: dealing withi emotions in investing. Gold vs lead: Know your narrative. Importance of knowing how to make money with your money; copper commodity cycles; oil prices.SEG-1: Markets Meander; Time to Buy Oil?SEG-2: Gen-Z Making Blue Collar Jobs Cool AgainSEG-3: Is It Time to Re-think the 60/40 Portfolio?SEG-4: Media-driven Narratives vs Real Data in InvestingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/"Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Crude Oil?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-XpND3aEVE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Rising Unemployment Rate: A Possible Recession Indicator?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#60_40_Allocation #Interest rates #EconomySlowing #BondPrices #Economics #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #StockBondMix #InvestmentPortfolio #MarketConditions #Recession #EconomicDownturn #InterestRateImpact #BondMarket #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialInsights #PortfolioManagement #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing
Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins.SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMASEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic WeaknessSEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic RealitySEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust CycleHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing
The D stands for Donuts: It's International Donut Day; Buc-Cee's Donuts & Jerky; Can a Texas Stock Exchange survive? JR weighs in. NYC's economic suicide; the Roaring Kitty live-stream; Candid Coffee returns (6/29); AI stocks & narrative economics: Will AI not be the savior we'd hoped? How to maximize your severance package; when a layoff is a blessing in disguise. Goldfish & dietary habits; Severance package strategies: Maximizing HSA's; lumps-sum or annutize? Model it out.SEG-1: National Donut Day, Nvidia Split, Jobs Report PreviewSEG-2: NYSE vs Texas Stock Exchange & Civil MigrationSEG-3: Candid Coffee Preview, Narrative Economics & AI StocksSEG-4: Goldfish, Diets, & Severance StrategiesHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Investments For The Coming Power Grid Expansion- Part 3"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investments-for-the-coming-power-grid-expansion-part-3/"Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/"Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znjG3-cP3-8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SeverancePackages #HighDeductibleMedicalPlan #HSA #HealthSavingsAccount #PreTaxGrowth #TaxDeferred #QualifiedExpenses #CompanyContributions #SeveranceDate #FinancialPlanning #MaximizeHSA #BenefitsOfHSA #DannysFavoriteMedicalPlan #Living expenses#HSALimits #MedicalSavings #RetirementPlanning #TaxBenefits #SeveranceStrategy #EmployeeBenefits #MaximizingSavings #TexasStockExchange #NvidiaStockSplit #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #NarrativeEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing
D-Day commemorations top the day; ISM report shows a big jump, but input prices and employment weakened. The data does not (yet) support thesis for Recession. Nvidia topped $3-Trillion in market capitalization, surpassing Apple for #2 slot in the S&P. Nvidia is now 3x over its 50-DAM. The coming power grid expansion will offer investing opportunities; how viable are alternative energy investment propositions? What are the implications of government subsidies required by alternative energy companies? Political realities to be considered. The next Fed meeting: will they cut rates; how many times? Market performance history vis a vis Fed rate activity. Small caps and mid caps may become favorable investments in the future, especially after a period of slow economic growth or recession when excess stimulus has been absorbed. Lance & Michael break down the crucial moments to consider for small and mid-cap stocks: Current state of mid caps and small caps; Earnings performance of small caps; Economic indicators impacting small caps; Timing for small cap investments; Effect of economic growth or recession on small caps.SEG-1: D-Day and Data (Does Not Support Recession Thesis)SEG-2: Investing in Power Grid Expansion & Alternative Energy PlaysSEG-3: The Fed Doesn't Do 'Token' Rate CutsSEG-4: Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic SlowdownHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znjG3-cP3-8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Investments For The Coming Power Grid Expansion- Part 3"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investments-for-the-coming-power-grid-expansion-part-3/"Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/"Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Could Roaring Kitty's Wealth Top $1-Billion?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#DDay80thAnniversary #Nvidia #MarketCap #Apple #FederalReserve #PowerGridExpansion #AlternativeEnergy #SmalCaps #MidCaps #Earnings #EconomicData #Exposure #InvestmentOpportunities #SlowEconomicGrowth #Recession #FutureInvestments #MarketTrends #EconomicCycles #StockPerformance #Markets #Money #Investing
More weak economic data from the Atlanta Fed; semiconductors are outperforming software stocks, 3:1; look for consolidation in that sector. Domestic stocks are outperforming all other markets. A fairly big correction in Oil Prices over the past few days is now setting up an opportunity for investors to take profits and rebalance energy portfolios, which are by necessity tied to the price of their underlying commodity. Curious about Roaring Kitty's extraordinary journey in the stock market? Discover how his wealth skyrocketed from $53,000 to nearly $300 million; Roaring Kitty's rise to fame in the financial world; the ups and downs of his public visibility; the SEC's perspective on Roaring Kitty’s actions; Key financial milestones and achievements; the potential for his wealth to reach $1 billion. Why elected officials should not be allowed to invest in the market; preparing your finances for recession: Warning flags are signaling trouble ahead. Using proper risk management. How bad will the next correction be? The trigger will be some credit related event; where will we go from there?SEG-1: Weaker Economic Data Continues; Will Crude Oil Rally?SEG-2: The Saga of Roaring KittySEG-3: Preparing Your Finances for RecessionSEG-4: How Bad Will the Next Correction Be?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/"Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "THow High Will Crude Prices Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO4--VWfnsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RoaringKitty #Reddit #Wealth #SEC #StockMarket #GameStop #Investment #FinancialJourney #Spotlight #BillionDollarPotential #KeithGill #MemeStocks #WallStreetBets #TradingStrategies #FinancialSuccess #Risk #Reward #OnlineForums #LegalScrutiny #RetailInvestors #MarketInfluence #InternetSensation #FinancialTransformation #Markets #Money #Investing
Launching June market trading and looking ahead; the continuing saga of E*Trade and Roaring Kitty, GameStop. Economic data continues to weaken; expectations for Fed rate cuts this year are now back up to two. Markets' morning selloff, afternoon rally back into the green pattern continues, thanks to EOD institutional buying; all activity against the backdrop of a sell signal. Why Berkshire went to zero; markets' extreme deviation continues. Should you wait until after the Presidential Election to invest?Are you considering market timing as a strategy? Lance Roberts breaks down the pitfalls and risks of trying to predict the market: Challenges of predicting market trends months in advance; Consequences of sitting out of the market until a specific event; the trap of waiting for the perfect moment to invest; How market run-ups can leave you behind; The psychological cycle that keeps investors indecisive. New AI chips are coming; the AI Chase is on. Chips are in, software is out. Intel is playing catch-up; should you have an AI portfolio? A Space portfolio? The allure of private equity: Use caution!SEG-1: Economic Data Conitnues to Weaken; Rate Cut Expectations RiseSEG-2: Berkshire Goes to Zero & Markets' Extreme DeviationSEG-3: Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose OutSEG-4: The AI Chase & The Allure of Private Equity InvestingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/"Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The 50-DMA is the Line in the Sand" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjuzAS5Oxdo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Momentum Chase is On: What Happens Next? "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketTiming #RiskyStrategy #Marketprediction #ElectionImpact #MarketTrends #FinancialDecisions #StockMarket #EconomicEvents #MarketFluctuation #InvestmentTiming #FinancialRisk #MissedOpportunities #marketrunUp #BuyingTheDip #InvestorPsychology #EconomicUncertainty #MarketAnalysis #MarketTraps #InvestmentStrategy #LongTermInvesting #MarketBehavior #CyclicalNature #MarketCycles #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets start the month with support sustained at the 20-DMA, although consumer spending is weakening, with retrenchment in Restaurants. Inventories are high while spending is slackening. The cure for inflation is high prices. Markets break thru 20-DMA on Friday, but rally before the close. Sell signal is restricting upside. The market momentum chase is on...which is fine until the music stops. Noting investing cycles vs market cycles and the problem with dividend investing strategy. Public Debt: Productive vs non productive: Can the AI boom bail us out? Why James Grant is wrong about debt and interest rates (a preview). How AI could save us from "bad" debt with electric grid infrastructure improvements. A note about forecasting GDP & Interest Rates.SEG-1: Setting the Table for JuneSEG-2: Surviving the Momentum ChaseSEG-3: Investing Cycle, Market Cycles. & Dividend StrategiesSEG-4: Why James Grant is Wrong about Debt and Interest RatesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL-48uLmZfA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Should You Borrow Against Your 401k?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MomentumInvesting #ValueInvesting #InvestmentStrategy #Timing #MarketTrends #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #TradingStyles #InvestingApproaches #MarketTiming #InvestmenTiming #FinancialMarkets #InvestmentTypes #InvestingPrinciples #InvestmentOpportunities #StrategicInvesting #TimingMatters #MarketAnalysis #Markets #Money #Investing
With weaker economic data trickling in, are Fed rate cuts coming sooner than later? What's the deal with 401k's? The best way to take money out of a 401k; executing an "in-service rollover;" tax implications and fund seasoning details you need to know; remember fees and expense ratios. What about Roth's: pre-tax funds & retirement; making too much money? Dealing with shifts in RMD's: The government wants its revenue sooner than later. Dealing with hardship withdrawals; what is and isn't exempted. The folly of borrowing against a 401k (Hint: Don't do it!) What about collateralizing 401k funds? (See previous comment) 401k leakage and retirement shortfalls. Is there wisdom in going to Gold? Pro's & con's discussion: Gold is not spendable.SEG-1: Are Rate Cuts Coming in the Wake of Weaker Economic Data?SEG-2: What's the Best Way to Take Money from a 401k?SEG-3: What About Roth's?SEG-4: Collateralizing 401k's and the Lure of GoldHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Sr. Relashipship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/"No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ -------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Benefit from the Coming Power Grid Expansion"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementPlanning #401k #Gold #RequiredMinimumDistribution #Roth #InServiceRollover #TaxImplications #401kLeakage #Collateralizing401kFunds #RetirementShortfalls #GoingtoGold #Markets #Money #Investing
Houston is finally #1 in something: Home Foreclosures; Q1 economic data suggests conflict with narrative the economy is doing fine vs anecdotal evidence. The Fed's Beige Book summary shows not as much concern for inflation as for weakening consumer demand. Weaker stock pricing is also emerging; Can markets hold the 20-DMA? Risk assets are momentum-based trade (Bitcoin); also beginning to weaken. Hedge funds are long semiconductors and AI-related stocks: the AI theme seems to be narrowing. The difference between the Dot-com bubble and AI companies is that AI is making money. What will be the side-benefits AI generates? Note how Nvidia performs: 80% of earnings from AI Data Centers; the power requirements for supporting AI Data Centers. What will power the grid with more AI & EV demands? How will AI affect productivity? Where will the power come from & how will it be transmitted? Traditional & alternative sources. What will be the demand from AI Data Center & Bitcoin mining? What will fuel these plants? Gas, Coal, Nuclear as well as some alternative sources. Transporting fuels and transmitting power; this is opportunity for productive debt/investment, a la the Hoover Dam. Q! GDP adjustments are starting to show signs of weakening. How accurate is the data? Employment numbers will be key.SEG-1: The Economy is Weaker than Headlines SuggestSEG-2: Looking at the Side-benefits of AISEG-3: Where Will the Power Come From?SEG-4: Signs of a Weakening Economy EmergeHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFARatliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/"No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ -------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Corporate Greed is Not the Cause of Inflation"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#BitcoinMining #PowerGrid #EconomicBenefit #AIDataCenters #NaturalGas #Unproductive #PowerConsumption #EnergyImpact #MiningStatistics #EconomicUpside #Markets #Money #Investing
It's all about the Fed, never mind the fundamentals. markets have gone essentially nowhere, driven almost entirely by Nvidia. Markets are close to a short-term sell signal. It's time to rebalance portfolios. Corporate Greed does not cause inflation: The simple truth. 401k rollowver problems; why few receiving required 402(f) notifications; the tax implications of rollovers. If you've lost a 401k, Beagle.com may be able to help you find it. Why compounding doesn't work in the market; creditor protection for retirement funds. Hampton Inn merch: Waffle socks & fanny packs; Buc-Cee's, Cracker Barrel, Johnson Howards, & Stuckey's; Keeping all your 401k in company stock: The Enron Error.SEG-1: The Market Driver remains Nvidia: Time to Rebalance?SEG-2: Corporate Greed Does Not Cause InflationSEG-3: The 401-k Rollover ProblemSEG-4: Waffle Merch & Enron ErrorsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ -------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Rebalance Portfolios with NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vwuqllrc7iI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What If I Get Names Executor of an Estate?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #Nvidia #PortfolioRebalancing #CorporateGreed #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CrackerBarrel #Buccees #HamptonInn #HowardJohnson #Stuckeys #SupplyAndDemand #EconomicBasics #Economy #MonetarySupply #CreditCards #PopulationGrowth #Government #PrintingMoney #Economics #SlowingDownEconomy #DemandReduction #MoneyCirculation #FinancialMisconceptions #Fallacy #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicTheses #CreditConsumption #EconomicGrowth #InflationFall #MoneySupply #EconomicImpact #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets falter; Nvidia and Cracker Barrel keeping up with the times; the Fed's impact on Markets: Could rates actually go back up? How spending habits are shifting; the need for a Sell Discipline when bad news is good news. Caution against investing emotionally because of politics. What happens when you're the executor: Business decisions vs family/emotional issues. The Graceland financial fiasco: An executor's nightmare. How many generations does wealth last? How Elvis got Graceland.SEG-1: What Nvidia & Cracker Barrel Have in CommonSEG-2: THe Need for a Sell Discipline When Bad News is GoodSEG-3: What Happens When You're the Executor?SEG-4: The Presley Mansion Financial Fiasco - An Executor's NightmareHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/"Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Who Will Profit Most from the Next Tech Boom?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #NVIDIA #CrackerBarrel #ChocolateFountain #CheeseFountain #PresidentialElection #Politics #Graceland #ElvisPresleyEstate #ExecutorResponsibilities #ExecutorLiability #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets sold off on release of the latest FOMC Meeting minutes, which are a sanitized, finely-crafted version of what went on behind closed doors. The hawkishness seems to be continuing; Deflation seems to be a bigger risk to the economy than inflation. There's too little demand, resulting in price cuts to move inventory. Insight on why we reduced our stake in Nvidia before its report was released, which attests to the growth potential of AI buildouts. One cloud on the horizon: Wall Street's ever-optimistic expectations for continued growth. How does innovation impact the economy, and who will be the next Levi Strauss? The problems facing the power grid from AI & EV's. The power grid needs 40- NYC's. Natural Gas will be a big winner as a cheap, clean energy source. Water consumption estimates by 2023; issuing debt for productive purposes. FOMC Minutes are a little "wishy-washy" about interest rates: The Fed doesn't really know what it's doing. Stocks & bonds went nowhere after minutes' release. Fed governors are all on the same page about sticky inflation remaining longer.SEG-1: Markets Sell off on FOMC Minutes' Continued HawkishnessSEG-2: NVIDIA Report Attests to Growth of AI Build OutSEG-3: Power Grid Challenges from AI & EV'sSEG-4: Why FOMC Minutes were "Wishy-washy"Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/"Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why the Dot-com Crash Feels Like a Distant Memory to Investors"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #AI #EV #CaliforniaGoldRush #LeviStrauss #Nvidia #Profit #Miners#Denim #HeartyPants #LongRun #AMD #Microsoft #Google #ProfitMost #Obvious #RunUp #NextLeviStrauss #Markets #Money #Investing
All eyes are on NVDIA's quarterly report: Why did we trim our position? How might this company disappoint investors? It's all about the guidance. FOMC Meeting Minutes also could trigger markets, based on what they reveal about the Fed's interest rate intentions. Markets are at all-time highs, trading in a tighter range. Markets have gone 315-days without a 2% correction; we think they're primed for a pullback. Lance's wife is home; hilarity ensues. Millennials' 'quiet vacation' ploys. Is recession coming? Most investors and economists think not. (We are still within the window of opportunity following yield curve inversion). Trying to eliminate recession from the business cycle; why recessions are needed. American's favorite investments vs Mattress Mac's investment philosophy. Where Dave Ramsey is right...and wrong. Remember the.com crash? Many young investors today never experienced a financial crisis like 2008. It's important to learn from history to navigate market uncertainties.SEG-1: Will NVDIA Report Trigger Correction to 20-DMA?SEG-2: Millennials' Quiet Vacationing & Other Work Avoidance PloysSEG-3: Why Most Investors & Economists Believe No Recession is ComingSEG-4: What is America's Favorite Long Term Investment?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Correct Back to the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MraQkqRJQFQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Risk of Relying on Benchmarking"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #WageDisparity #DotComCrash #MarketDecline #PeakToTrough #ReduceRisk #Recession #RobinhoodTrading #Investors #MarketRally #OptionsTrading #2008FinancialCrisis #BarackObama #MarketExperience #Post2008, market thesis, investing history, market opportunities, financial downturn, trading experience #FinancialCrisis #Markets #Money #Investing
During ripping bull markets, investors often start benchmarking, comparing their portfolio’s performance against a major index; most often, the S&P 500 index. While that activity is heavily encouraged by Wall Street and the media, funded by Wall Street, is benchmarking the right for you? Why does Wall Street want you to compare your performance to a benchmark index? Lance discusses Fed speakers' remarks: Sticky inflation means no rate cuts anytime soon. The 20-DMA crossed over the 50-DMA: A very bullish signal; we're expecting a pullback at some point. SEC debates whether to approved Ethereum EFT. Comparisons are motivation by Wall Street to move money so they can charge you fees. Nothing stays at the top for long; what are your investing goals? Why do we invest? Benchmarking pro's & con's; the difference between an index and you. Corporate greed & how we got stock buybacks. Labor vs business ownership: Business owners are deserving of their earnings because they've taken the risk. Where do stock buybacks come from...and where does the money go? How to fix wage disparity: Eliminate buybacks; pay will be limited to cash a company can generate.SEG-1: Fed Speakers' Recap: Sticky Inflation = No rate cut soonSEG-2: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-1SEG-3: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-2SEG-4: Corporate Greed & Wage DisparityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Ethereum ETF Sustain Market Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qz34OdB55LI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Disinflation Remains The Bigger Risk"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #Disinflation #Benchmarking #CorporateGreed #StockBuyBacks #WageDisparity #MinimumWage #Lehman #Shares #GM #Portfolio #Index #Rebalance #MarketCapitalization #Price #SharesOutstanding #Underperform #ContributeMoney #Markets #Money #Investing
NVDIA & Fed speakers are in the spotlight this week; stock buyback are running higher than normal. The risk of recession; when will the Fed cut rates? Durable Goods are in deflation; Services are seeing higher inflation, tied to discretionary spending. Markets finish previous week at all time highs; when will they pull back? Wathcing for a bullish cross of the 20- and 50-DMA. AI can now lie and cheat; bad economic news is good news; the majority of earnings growth is coming from ten stocks; the impact of retail sales, debt ratios, and falling consumer spending. The connection between retail sales, CPI, PCE, & GDP; NFIB Inflation stats. Stocks are rallying in anticipation of Fed announcement, not stock buyback action. Power outages & Kolaches; Zoom and Palo Alto to report this week. Note the barriers to entry in considering a company's stock.SEG-1: NVDIA & Fed Speakers in SpotlightSEG-2: Teaching AI to Lie & Cheat; Bad News is Good NewsSEG-3: The Connection between Retail Sales, CPI, PCE, & GDPSEG-4: Power outage, Kolaches, & Barriers to Entry to ConsiderHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Prepared for a Bullish Cross" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cvqdSYAkSI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 #BullishCross #MarketPullBack #InvestingAdvice-------Our previous show is here: "How Long Will You Live?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #TeachingAItoCheat #RetailSales #Inflation #Disinflation #Markets #Money #Investing
Houston hit with tornadic storms; everything is going up: Stocks, Bonds, Gold...The Crypto Proposition: Brokers are like lemmings. Every investment is a story: Tech & Cryptocurrency; wrapping rules around your portfolios. The danger of over-confidence. Investing perspective is important. Avoid investing based on politics; the psychology of investing. Should you get out of the market? Baseball cards, G.I. Joe's, and Mortuary Museum: Planning for how long you'll live. Using life expectancy in portfolio & retirement planning. Social Security is longevity insurance. (www.livingto100.com) When to best claim Social Security.SEG-1: Houston Storm Recap & The Crypto Investment PropositionSEG-2: Every Investment is Story: Wrapping rules around your portfolioSEG-3: Avoid Investing Based on PoliticsSEG-4: Baseball Cards, Mortuary Museums, & Planning for LongevityHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/"Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/"Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "It's a Mistake to Be Entirely Out of Equities"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #CryptoCurrency #PortfolioRules#OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets hit all-time highs with softer CPI: The biggest contributor was decline in Homeowners' Equivalent Rent. Markets are now anticipating two rate cuts this year. Consumers are showing signs of weakening; hardest hit are Gen-Z & Millennials. Stocks & Bonds rally on weaker CPI; markets are extremely over bought. Look for a re-test of the 50-DMA with market corrective action anticipated. WalMart has decent earnings; consumer spending is what drives the economy. Quality of Employment numbers matter: Full Time vs Part Time Jobs; Why the Government's Employment formula is bogus. How we calculate Inflation now (also bogus). The Risk is never zero. Answering emails: When will the market crash? Being out of the market; more money is lost trying to avoid a crash than is lost during a crash. Market Correction is coming, Debt .will eventually matter (but we'll all be dead by then), a la Japan. Leanring from mistakes getting out of the market. The perils of sitting in cash: Find the other bull market. It's a mistake to be entirely out of equities. The markets' bullish trend has not been broken since March 2009.SEG-1: Markets' Rally on Softer CPISEG-2: The Risk is Never ZeroSeg-3: Debt Will Eventually Matter (but we'll all be dead by then)SEG-4: Market Mistakes Learned the Hard WayHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/"Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/"Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "WIll Bitcion Rise to $420,000?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldxIgLe-YuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #PPI #CPI #MarketSuccess #OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing
Roaring Kitty is back with resurgence of GameStop stock; the insanity returns. Jerome Powell already knows the CPI numbers for tomorrow: What are markets expecting vs what he will say? Citi Surprise Index showing more signs of economic weakness; evidence the consumer is slowing down. Markets flopped around Monday but earned another green candle. We're expecting a pullback to test the 50-DMA; there is risk in economic data from the lag effect. Markets typically lead the economy by 6 to 9-months. More Coffee talk, living in Europe, and why we don't invest internationally (where can you make the most money?) NFIB Report preview: Shop local small businesses. The folly of tapping 401-k funds. The backlash against "wealthy" Boomers; living on cash.SEG-1: Roaring Kitty & Market ExpectationsSEG-2: Why Markets Lead Economy by 6-9 Months SEG-3: Coffee, Europe, & Email: Why We Don't Invest InternationallySEG-4a: NFIB Report PreviewSEG-4b: The Flaw in "Borrowing" from 401-k'sHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZV_c2piH5Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/"Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Hotter CPI Trigger Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vx2GXMK7SD0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Bounce Back Ends April Correction"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #StockMarket #RoaringKitty #GameStop #AMC #MemeStocks #JeromePowell #CPI #PPI #Inflation #BorowingFrom401k #NFIBReport #SmallBusiness #SellSignal #RiskRangeReport #BeCautious #SP500 #InvestmentTiming #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets' bullish trend continues; no reason to be sitting in cash now. Economic data is proving to be a mixed bag. Consumers' creativity for accessing funds they shouldn't be touching for continued spending. Markets are back to overbought; wait for a pullback to add exposure. What's moving markets: The Fed or AI? When the Fed supplies liquidity, fundamentals take second chair. Fundamentals, however, will save you in a market downturn. Will AI be a game changer? "Ready Player One" is the ultimate outcome of AI. There are now emerging energy concerns for powering AI. Imperative to know what narratives are driving markets to best plan investing strategy. Earnings are a function of economic growth: S&P growth to slow as company earnings slow. Stock buybacks are used to engineer better earnings and are not sustainable. The health benefits of coffee. CPI coming Wednesday w .4% expectations. April Retail Sales may be okay with Tax Refund spending, but after that... Lance's new TikTok series, GoPro on a Dog.SEG-1: Markets' Bullish Trend ContinuesSEG-2: Will AI Be a Game Changer?SEG-3: Why Earnings Growth is a Function of Economic GrowthSEG-4a: The Elixir of YouthSEG-4b: CPI PreviewHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Over Bought Markets Pull Back?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-0-l1HDXmg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will Social Security Last Past 2035?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #StockMarket #GenerativeAI #TrillionDollarOpportunities #PrivateEquity #Funding #Iinvestment #ArtificialIntelligence #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing
Earnings preview & economic reports: The wisdom of writing a market journal. Will markets produce an 8th day of gains? Current trading strategioes; the animal spirits are shifting. Soupy Sales' 'Send a Dollar;' CEO Neutrality, getting back to the basics of business. Will Social Security last past 2035? There are some surprising, positive notes in the latest SS Trustees' report. Why we run financial plans without SS. Financial Dust-bunnies: Medicare Lunch & Learn; why the big push for Medicare Advantage? (Because that's what pays brokers the most.) Crafting retirement income is an art: Is the 4% Rule too safe? There is no set number: There are too many variables. "The Woods" retirement plan; the Annuities discussion; protecting against emotional decisions.SEG-1: Will Markets Produce an 8th Positive Day?SEG-2: CEO Neutrality & Getting Back to the Basics of BusinessSEG-3: The Financial Dust-bunnies of MedicareSEG-4: Retirement Income is an ArtHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Finding the Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #StockMarket #SocialSecurity #MedicareAdvantage #CEONeutrality #FinancialDustBunnies #RetirementIncome #ActuarialBalance #CombinedFunds #Crisis #BenefitsCut #RetirementAge #SocialSecurityCap #CareerPoliticians #Electability #FinancialConditions #PositiveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing
Is the pig really out of the python? (Excess savings are gone.) Who is still spending, and how? Government spending and consumer credit card usage; buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) plans being used to buy groceries and make ends meet. There are no stats to determine credit risk presented by BNPL companies. Markets sell-off, rally, and end at break-even. The correction is over...for now. No earnings growth outside the Magnificent Seven or top large-cap companies. Companies not rewarded greatly, but brutally punished. Uber, Shopify, Starbucks bellwethers of consumer spending. McDonald's, Five-Guys, inflation impact. Warren Buffett's challenge to find Apple; could he use his cash better? Inflation Report preview: Rents make up 40% of CPI; prices are still high. Why their inflation will be zero. CPI is a black box. Q1 strengths attributed to Seasonal Adjustments. Consumers will start weakening. Sentiment vs Inflation: All the market cares about is government data, regardless of how you feel. High prices will remain, but if unchanged next year, inflation will be zero. Markets are distorted from the fundamentals; valuations still matter. SEG-1: The Pig's NOT Out of the PythonSEG-2: Analyzing Earnings: No Growth Outside Magnificent-7SEG-3: Inflation Report Preview: Impact of Rents on CPISEG-4: Sentiment vs Inflation: What the markets look atHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Difference Between the Price You See vs the Price You Pay is Growing"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EarningsGrowth #MagnificentSeven #NegativeEarningsGrowth #TopStocks #TwitterChart #Markets #Money #Investing
The Citi Surprise Index: When economists are disappointed in estimated numbers; that index is now at a low ebb. An uneventful earnings season is wrapping up with fair results; the only companies seeing margins grow are large caps. Markets eke out gains for 4th straight day; the benefits of a market pullback; CTA's have money to spend, plus resumption of stock buy backs. Old Shows & Actors; the great un-bundling of fee has created fees on fees; tipping & charges-per-squirt(!): Budget leakage. Buying Made in USA. AI Golf robots, Robocop, & Skynet; the worst financial mistake some families make: Living on a single paycheck. Balancing the equation with a stay-at-home parent; dealing with the skills gap; the impact of rising childcare costs, and what caused it (gov't. stimulus). Planning for College & Career Choices; five jobs with most potential to produce millionaires. The process of good financial habits. "It's not about how much you make, but how much you save."SEG-1: Analyzing the Citi Surprise IndexSEG-2: Surprise Fees are GrowingSEG-3: The Worst Financial Mistake Some Families Can MakeSEG-4: Five Jobs Most Likely to Produce MillionairesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Powell Sparks a Buying Frenzy"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPodLCUQ4sw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #CitiSurpriseIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #SurpriseFees #WorstFinancialMistakes #FiveJobsProducingMillionaires #EconomicPredictions #CashlessSociety #RisingFees #BusinessCosts #DigitalPayments #ConsumerImpact #EconomicChallenges #UnbundlingFees #AffordabilityIssues #Markets #Money #Investing
Economists' 'rush-to-judgement' vs the lag effect catching up w economic data. Consumer spending and loan demand are waning as excesses in money supply are normalizing. The data re beginning to refute the "no recession" theme. Market correction is now over, bullish trend to resume. The challenge of NOT expecting recession; what the data is starting to show; not a lot of risk in credit markets...yet. That's where trouble will show up first. Geopolitical conflicts do mot matter to markets for long; world wars do. Spreads between corporate bonds vs treasuries are at an all time low (90bp). There's no stress in the economy...so far; pay attention to credit risk. 20th Anniversary of 2008 Financial Crisis is approaching. Letters from the IRS and a $34-B tax bill; the rich need to pay their "fair share;" defining "fair" (charts). The portability of wealth will be a factor when taxes rise too high. How about Congress spending LESS? Swiss Army to make knife with no blade for UK. Residual Seasonality in economic data: Always skewed by seasonal adjustments. SEG-1: The Lag Effect is Catching up w Economic DataSEG-2: Is Credit Risk the Canary in the Coal Mine?SEG-3: Defining "Fair Share"SEG-4: Knives without Blades; Residual SeasonalityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What is Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBullishness #CreditSpreads #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EconomicPredictions #ShockEffect #MarketPsychology #EonomicHealth #FinancialConfidence #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing
There are three possible paths for markets, moving forward. Markets are at a critical juncture at the 50-DMA; earnings "beat-rate" has been low, and earnings misses have been severely punished. Looking at the Fed's liquidity strategies; the markets' possible direction from this point. In dealing with inflation, which data measurement matters? Him's, Her's, & Botox: The rise in Gen-Z use of cosmetics for better selfies. What is Stagflation, and do we really have it? Inflation tracks economic growth; stagflation = high inflation, low economic growth, & high unemployment. We currently have record low unemployment, inflation is about average, not high, and there is decently strong economic growth. This is not That '70's Show. YouTube chat response: You cannot double-count inflation.SEG-1: Markets Are at a Critical Juncture at the 50-DMASEG-2: Three Paths for Markets Moving ForwardSEG-3: Is There Really Stagflation?SEG-4: You Cannot Double-count InflationHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Critical Resistance at 50-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFiJNHKMRm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#EconomicGrowth #EconomicStagflation #GDP #PCE #PriceIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing
Apple's results + the Biggest Buyback Ever: Are iPhones becoming a high-tech toaster? Labor/Jobs Report preview; what the Fed may do. It is surprising the market is now down more than 5%. This has been a government-driven economy. Janet Yellen is a Marxist. Who will win the tax cut battle? We'll all lose. It's apsneding problem, not a revenue problem. Why are taxing lines drawn at $400k? The life of a WalMart manager; tax dollars go to waste. New Department of Valuations. Next Lunch & Learn preview: Medicare. Are advisors giving conflicting advice on Social Security? No one wants to address Medicare; get a second opinion before taking SS early. The surge in interest in annuities; Gen-Z would rather have insurance than stocks: Stable income from annuities. Gen-Z living frugally: The differing attitudes of younger generations.SEG-1: Apple Results & The Biggest Buyback EverSEG-2: Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle?SEG-3: Are Advisors Giving Conflicting SS Advice?SEG-4: Why Gen-Z Would Rather Have Inusrance than StocksHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Powell Holds Pat"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#AppleStockBuybak #iPhoneSalesDrop #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #JaneetYellen #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing
Market volatility returns amid earnings season, with McDonald's, KFC, and Starbuck's reporting weak earnings, suggesting tru impact of inflation on consumers, wjho are becoming more price-conscious. Markets perform a pump & dump on Wedesnday, with stock retesting the 20-DMA...and failing. Pelaton earnings disappoint; the Fed holds rates steady; everything is fine, but they're not cutting rates. Discussion of what this means for markets, liquidity, and reduction of Fed balance sheet. The Treasury's Bond Strategy. Pelaton Drama: CEO Exit; what the Fed said; markets have already priced-in the plan. The Fed sees the economy is gradually slwoing, and wants to get ahead of recession. Underlying data is weaker than headline numbers. Powell says, "no stag, no flation." Apple earnings preview, flip-phones, '90's music, & The Rolling Stones. Warren Buffett says no eye-popping returns in store. Apple is not a high-growth company. Too many companies are buying back stocks at too high a price. Buybacks will provide some support for large-cap companies. The challenge is going to be economic growth: Will earnings estimates come down?SEG-1: Market Volatility ReturnsSEG-2: Peloton Earnings & Fed Holds Rates SteadySEG-3: Peloton Drama & What the Fed SaidSEG-4: Apple Flip Phones, '90's Music, & The Rolling StonesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What Happens When Companies Miss?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #GoldilocksEconomy #RealRateOfFedFunds #RestrictiveRate #InflationaryConcerns #Markets #Money #Investing
Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers' elective surgeries are impacting insurors' actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the 'Metaverse' fading? Lance's Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers' different takes w/policy trial balloons. There has been no conversation about not cutting rates. (Markets and the Fed only pay attention to Government economic numbers.) Markets are now expecting only one rate cut and are up 8%: Is there really a need to cut rates? Markets will key-in on when rates are to be cut, and the relative dovishness of Jerome Powell. The Perfect Investment/revisited: The value of cash in portfolio holdings. SEG-1: Fed Day & Dovish Expectations, Market CorrectionSEG-2: Earnings Review: What happens when companies miss?SEG-3: FOMC Preview: Price Inflation Stickier than ExpectedSEG-4: The Perfect Investment & The Value of CashHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Normality of a 10% Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #Markets #Money #Investing
Fed Meeting preview; earnings season contiunes, buybacks about to resume. What's up the the Yen? Corporations are the net buyers of stocks; the correction is done: There's lots of underlying support for markets; after two good market days, closing above 20-DMA, moving to re-test 50-DMA, but likely to fail, dependent upon Fed comments. Lance & Jonathan discuss the Astro's, dance team tryouts, and the problem with investor negativity. Similarities with AI and Dot-coms: Will this be the next crash? What will create a credit-related event? Why the current correction is done...for now. The ipact of stock buybacks; investing the contrarian way. Lance & Jonathan answer an email about The Perfect Investment: 10-yr. Treasuries vs Annuities; the three components of investing (you only get any two). SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview & The YenSEG-2: Astro's, Dance Teams, & The Problem w Investor NegativitySEG-3: Why the Current Correction is DoneSEG-4: The Perfect InvestmentHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Market Pullback Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Te4b0zqK2NA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Markets #Money #Investing
Market performance in election years is marked by investor anxiety over the outcome, and the potential for outlying risk. The FOMC Meeting this week: will the Fed halt plans for cuts, and possibily even hike rates? Expectations for strong employment numbers. Markets rally on PCE report, beginning to build a new, bullish trend. This will be a busy earnings week. When the correction comes, how you will play? The liquidity boost from tax receipts in April & October. Retail sales details: Are things as strong as they seem: Paying more to buy the same. Is AI the wave of the future for cargo shipping? The AI conundrum and the future of work: What happens to all those displaced? The economic impact of AI: Shrinking middle class, expanding lower class, concentration of wealth among the ultra-high class. SEG-1: Market Performance in Election YearsSEG-2: When the Correction ComesSEG-3: The Devil in the Details in Retail SalesSEG-4: The AI Conundrum & Future of WorkHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Building a New Bullish Trend?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0vWNP7EeBQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #SuckerRally #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #Shipping #Labor #FutureOfWork #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets & Earnings Recap, PCE Preview: What is the Fed going to do? Tesla takes it on the chin; Mortgage rates and home prices are on the rise; are homeowners feeling trapped? How far will your money go in retiremetn? Higher taxes are coming; who'll pay the most? Training for Retirement: How to flip the switch from accumulation to de-cumulation; living without that paycheck. Budgeting and spending planning: Where does the money go? Compounding only works if the principal remains untouched. Automating savings. Putting underwear on a payment plan; the ugly truth about automobile financing. Wall Street exists to sell you product. Current tax code expires at the end of 2025; are you prepared to pay higher taxes? Who's really paying their "fair share?" What happens to capital gains rates? What about unrealized capital gains? SEG-1: PCE Preview: What Will the Fed Do?SEG-2: Training for RetirementSEG-3: Putting Underwear on a Payment PlanSEG-4: Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes?Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFO, w Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/"Economic Warning From The NFIB"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/"Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TaxBurden ##TaxCutsAndJobsAct #2024Election #TaxCodeExpiration #GovernmentInaction #TaxBrackets #IncreasingPercentages #Retirement #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance is Back! What is really happening in Commercial Real Estate: Getting distressed inventories off the books at deep discounts. Market performance recap: Nice bounce off the 100-DMA; PCE coming: What it means & why it's important.Economic strength is keeping inflation high; can it last? After markets' nice sell off, downside risk still remains. Paying attention to economic reports and supply & demand; looking at Q1 GDP estimates; market review: Tesla & Meta: Narratives are fine, but look at the technicals. Bond auction narratives have been all over the place. Lessons for investors from the NFL: Avoid over-confidence. The difference between college & pro ball = retail vs pro investors. "Zig then the others Zag," Warren Sharp. "Groupthink = group stink," Doug Kass. Markets vs headlines; economic data vs polls; the steakhouse crowd vs the pubs; prices are the problem. The wealth gap plays havoc with inflation, which no one can really measure. SEG-1: What's Really Happening in Commercial Real EstateSEG-2: Economic Reports vs Supply & DemandSEG-3: Lessons for Investors from the NFL DraftSEG-4: Steakhouse Crowds, Pubs, and PollsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/"Economic Warning From The NFIB"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/"Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
Was Lance Roberts eaten by cannibals? (He will return tomorrow!) How Tesla fell out of the Magnificent Seven; Tesla's storage technology vs cheaper Chinese EV's & the future of EV's. The true environmental impact of building EV's. The RIA 8-Ball predictions for PCE. What does realistic retirement look like? The impact of inflation, the Retirement Clock, & you. A discussion on the need for guaranteed income; how Gen-z will retire & the DNA of Super-savers. Educational goals and vocational training. Candid Coffee recap; the public are the best economists. Professional vs Trade careers & new hires' earnings; the impact of AI on personal skills. SEG-1: Tesla Falls off the Magnificent SevenSEG-2: What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?SEG-3: How Gen-Z will Retire: The DNA of Super-saversSEG-4: Why the Public Are the Best EconomistsHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Economic Warning From The NFIB"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/"Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Five Financial Mistakes to Avoid if You're Retiring Within Five Years"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RealisticRetirement #VocationalEducation #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
Market Commentary: Are there more declines to come? What is the path forward for 5% Bonds? PCE and more earnings reports coming; How to crossover from accumulation to de-cumulation; topic teases: Keeping more of your inheritance; how to increase your inheritance. How to manage funds qwith legacy intent in mind. The important of financial planning before retirement; what is the rate of return you need? The importance of budgeting; financial mistakes you should avoid within five years of retirement; dealing with the rule changes. Dealing with and planning for Social Security. What is the income threshold for converting from pre-tax to Roth IRA? SEG-1: Market Commentary: Are the more declines to come?SEG-2: How to Manage Funds with Legacy Intent in MindSEG-3: Five Financial Mistakes You Should Avoid Before RetirementSEG-4: Dealing with & Planning for Social SecurityHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Economic Warning From The NFIB"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/"Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "We Are Likely Not Done with Correction"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#LegacyFunds #SocialSecurity #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing
After six days of market declines, is the Correction done? Election risk scenarios & market volatility; markets do not like uncertainty. PCE preview (the inflation gauge the Fed pays attention to). Markets break the 50-DMA, and are now sitting on the 100-DMA. The unsurprising uptick in inflation and the impact of higher raates; why commodities matter. Higher for longer, for not much longer: Rates must come down; NFIB preview. Hey, what happened to all the Ukraine aid US taxpayers propvided? Inflation is a function of supply & demand; where is the higher demand going to come from? Looking ahead to this week's PCE number, expecting the markets to bounce: Sell into the rally. SEG-1: Is the Correction Done?SEG-2: The Unsurprising Uptick in InflationSEG-3: Higher for Longer, not much longerSEG-4: Economic Warnings from the NFIBHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Economic Warning From The NFIB"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/"Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets respond to Israel attack on Iran; Procter & Gamble disappoints; markets are in a churning phase. Fed rate decisions & market behaviors. How much do you really need to survive in retirement (What's your number?) Managing expectations, spending habits, and dependency on Social Securituy; the scinece & art of financial planning; retirement realities. The intimate process of deliverying financial plans; Candid Coffee preview. The three phases of retirement: Go-go, Slow-go, & No-go. Real Investment "'Shrooms." Tax Foundation survey: Do you pay your fair share of federal taxes? SEG-1: Markets' Respond to Middle East TensionsSEG-2: How Much Do You Really Need to Reitre?SEG-3: Delivering Financial Plans & Real Investment ShroomsSEG-4: Do You Pay Your Fair Share?Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/"Immigration And Its Impact On Employment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/"Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/"Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are We On Japan's Path to Stagnation?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#PayingTaxes #FairShareOfTaxes #TaxFoundation #MiddleEastTension #IsraelAttacksIran #FinancialPlanning #ThreePhasesofRetirement #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Husband Appreciation Day, Mother's Day, cooling Middle East tensions; the is the Fed allowing the system to percolate? Inflation remains sticky. Markets in correction mode; what happens when the 50-DMA breaks? What to do when the market bounces. Is Fd policy tight enough? The market and the Fed are, for once, on the same page. Foreign buyers' participation in auctions is good; markets are too driven by headlines and algorithms. Gen-Z "discoveries" and remakes of '80's movies; commentary on the good music of the late 1900's. Is higher inflation sustainable? The give and take in inflation metrics; CPI is mostly about shelter prices; the problem with CPI data. Caitlin Clark/WNBA pay vs NBA pay: The economics of sports. Where salaries come from, and understanding what's behind the headlines. Retail Sales in Feb vs Mar; full time vs part time jobs; the impact of immigration on employment. SEG-1: The Fed is Allowing the System to PercolateSEG-2: Is Fed Policy Tight Enough?SEG-3: Messing with Movies & Music; Is Higher Inflation Sustainable?SEG-4: NBA vs WNBA & The Economics of SportsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/"Immigration And Its Impact On Employment"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/"Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/"Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Screw Up Retirement in 12 Easy Steps"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#JapansEconomicStagnation #ReflationTrade #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #GenZDiscovery #80sMusic #WNBA #NBA #CaitlinClark #SportsEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing
Market Recap, Jerome Powell on rate cuts and stickier inflation; commodities on the rise = inflation. The CRB Index correlation with W. Texas Crude; no rate cuts until Fall? Markets break the 50-DMA; might be time to trim and rebalance for risk. Jury Duty and the Reflation Trade; Easter + Spring Break impact on March retail sales were underwhelming, following similar disappointment with February & Valentine's Day sales. How long can "buy-now, pay-later" last? How to screw up your retirement; the only way to wealth is by saving money; investing is for protecting wealth against inflation. The HODL Plan (hold on for dear life); avoid speculation. The demographic line of demarcation in saving for retirement; paying off credit cards, saving 30% of income; fully-fund 401-k. SEG-1: No Rate Cuts Until Fall?SEG-2: Reflation Trade is the New Bullish ThemeSEG-3: How to Screw Up Your RetirementSEG-4: Retirement's Demographic Line of DemarcationHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/"Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It May Be Time to Rebalance Risk" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYegngcRPlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Cracks Appear in the Market's Bullish Armor"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#ReflationTrade #Retirement #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Tax Day woes and audit fears; earnings season commences; What are companies saying? No corporate buybacks, removing major buyers of assets; pay attention to companies' guidance. Markets last week failed at 20-DMA, and tested 50-DMA as momentum slowed. Is not the time to sell? Use any bounce to rebalance risk, but avoid any knee-jerk reactions. Could this be a "buy-the-dip moment?" Lance's favorite bowl is like the market: There's a hairline crack. Inflation has been stickier, and higher-for-longer interest rates have been too high for too long. Preview: Tuesday's article on the Reflation Trade; how can every other country in the world have deflation while the U.S. continues to have inflation? Productive debt sv non-productive debt. Get ready for Tax Season impact on the market; more Americans are owing money this year. More IRS Agents = More audits = more returns/refunds delayed. The possibility of escalation in the Middle East; Legos for Adults (AFOL) SEG-1: Tax Day Woes & Earnings Season StartsSEG-2: Could This Be a Buy-the-Dip Moment?SEG-3: Cracks in the MarketSEG-4: Tax Day Woes, Middle East Foes, & Adult LegosHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Sell?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpOOSOWZewk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Deal with Financial Stress"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TaxDay #EarningsSeason #FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
CFP testing results & commentary on professional credentialling; the importance of the Health/Wealth connection; the importance of continuing education (CE); a brief history of JP Morgan and "too big to fail." Inflation is permatory, not transitory. Profit margins are not great because costs are up. Jerome Powell is trying to put out a fire with a water pistol; how many ate cuts now? There is still too much money in the system to really tame inflation. Real Wages have peaked: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?" What clients "think" about portfolios is the toughest thing for advisors to manage. If Trump is elected, he will have to deal with the next recession. April is stress-awareness month; why we don't sleep. Rosso's Brooklyn paper route, Candid Coffee preview, & dealing with Financial Stress. Intimidating financial topics: Cryptocurrency, Investing, & Budgets. Cryptocurrency is very speculative, very volatile. Budgets are like financial vegetables. Learning money management & writing your money script; tipping trends; the "Waiting" movie; shy we don't use Door Dash. SEG-1: CFP Test & Credentialing, Importance of Health to WealthSEG-2: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?"SEG-3: Rosso's Paper Route & Dealing w Financial StressSEG-4: Learning Money Management & Writing Your Money ScriptHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/"Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/"Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble. SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than ExpectedSEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: NormalisticallySEG-3: The Risk in Momentum LossSEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/"Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/"Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
It's CPI Day (with m/m inflation clocking in with a .4% increase, and a y/y gain to 3.8%, hotter than expected). Sheila Jackson-Lee's science experiment; the NFIB Survey does not bode well for small businesses:Sentiment falls to a new low based on poor sales. There remains a dichotomy between headline economic news and what's happening behind the scenes. Markets break below the 20-DMA, but regain support. Why what really matters is the data the Fed looks at. Portfolio Spring Cleaning; Five or six ways to save Social Security (but first, a history of SS); the mathematical realities. Why Pensions face the same problems; how to fix it; lock it off. Any viable solution is un-electable. The IPO saga of Truth Social; IPO behaviors. Never buy an IPO out of the gate. DJT still has much to prove. If only you'd invested in Microsoft back then...no one knew. SEG-1: CPI Day, She-jack's Science, Markets Hang onSEG-2: The Data the Fed Looks AtSEG-3: Five Ways to Save Social SecuritySEG-4: The Saga of Truth Social & IPO BehaviorsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/"Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hang Onto Support...barely" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9K1zTxVBKu0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Margin Debt Surges as Bulls Leverage Bets"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SocialSecurity #HotterInflation #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Some are disappointed the eclipse did not herald the Rapture; markets are holding firm at 20-DMA. NFIB preview vs CEO Confidence; why small business' mood matters. Interest Rates in different states; no change in bullish market trend (why not to knee-jerk react to market); but trend weakness is become more apparent. Consumer confidence vs Valuation (w/charts); why margin debt is like dynamite. Correction is coming, and will feel worse due to greed. The cost of margin debt as rates rise. Earnings Season preview: Are Regional Banks in trouble? Q1 guidance has been lower: What happens if interest rates do not fall? The magic number: $1.4-Million & The Flawed Math of Retirement; why Dave Ramsey is wrong; what realistic rates of return should be; Luxury goods vs S&P; rare whiskey vs colored diamonds. SEG-1: Eclipse Recap, Markets Hold FirmSEG-2: Consumer Confidence vs ValuationSEG-3: The Cost of Margin DebtSEG-4: The Flawed Math of RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/"Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Bullish Trend Weakening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg2KiRn3wBE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Inflation Scare Overblown?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCV8FsVyw_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=37s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SolarEclipse #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Eclipse-mania is out of control. Fed speakers confirm they'll cut rates, but in no rush to do so. Jobs numbers tantalize markets; the impact of immigration on employment. Boomers & Gen-Z plans to splurge on groceries in 2024. Markets takeout the 20-DMA; will the break be confirmed this week? Putting Inflation into proper perspective; the three measures of inflation. The economic basics of Supply & Demand (and their impact on inflation). Your personal inflation is not the same as mine. What markets pay attention to (CPI). How to fix the power grid: Productive vs un-productive debt. Forgiving student loan debt doesn't make the debt go away; taxpayers will shoulder the burden of the unpaid debt. SEG-1: Solar Eclipse Day; Markets Test 20DMASEG-2: The Three Measures of InflationSEG-3: Inflation & The Basics of Supply & DemandSEG-4: Debt Issuance & Economic ActivityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCV8FsVyw_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=37s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Confirm a Break of the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnA1TqbUguY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are You Really Ready for Tax Day?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYfjniJpIkc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SolarEclipse #MarketsTest20DMA #ThreeMeasuresofInflation #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Market and economic data preview: How to respond in current environment. The U.S. is still the best house in a bad neighborhood. Fed folks now saying it's possible to have no rate cuts this year. Are you really ready for Tax Day? Danny & Jonathan run through some tips and strategies. The advantages and distinctions of IRA's vs Roth's: Tax liability now or later? What are the odds of taxes going up in the future? How to handle being retired and going back to work. How does this affect RMD's? How to think ahead strategically about taxes in retirement. Rather Roth for younger workers. The advantages of HSA's. How to pay for weddings: Vendors vs gifting; wedding cakes vs photos. How to deal with Social Security clawbacks. Market futures, gold, and oil commentary.es vs photos. How to deal with Social Security clawbacks. Market futures, gold, and oil commentary.SEG-1: A Tale of Two Economies: The Have's & Have-not'sSEG-2: Are You Really Ready for Tax Day?SEG-3: Back to Work & RMD'sSEG-4: How to Pay for Weddings & Deal w Social Security ClawbacksHosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYfjniJpIkc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Japans Lost Decades: Are We On The Same Path"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japans-lost-decades-are-we-on-the-same-path/"Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/"Q1 Earnings Season Approaches"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecmypMh1FPI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is America Mirroring Japan's Lost Decade"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTNuUiRW5fo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#TaxDay2024 #SocialSecurityClawbacks #WeddingExpenses #TaxLiablity #TaxesInRetirement #JapansLostDecade #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketVolatility #MarketComplacency #AlanStanford #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisruption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
In this week's Fedapolooza, Fed spokespersons seem to be growing less hawkish about rates. Inflation is simply a function of supply & demand. There is a high correlation between GDP/CPI and interest rates. When inflation comes down, so will rates. Watching tomorrow's employment report: ADP is a poor predictor of BLS data. The Bernie Madoff trendline remains intact in markets; bullish sentiment is very high; bear sightings on Wall Street are rare. Technical trends of inflation are falling as the economy slows; comparisons of Japanese and U.S. economies; discussion on the economic impact on younger generations. Central Bank dominance: Control of markets destroys capitalism. Capitalism is eroding. Discussion of Capitalism vs Socialism and excessive government intervention: What the public demands. Inflation is the spark for public demand for fiscal support. Transportation and health services costs are up; housing is down (but lagging). 7% inflation was a supply/demand problem, which has been resolved. Supply-side and demand-side are both normalizing. Does the BLS report really matter anymore (because of the way it is calculated)? The "unemployed" can make more working for Uber than on unemployment benefits. Bernie Madoff, Alan Stanford, and the perfection of the 20-DMA; the saga of the Bernie Madoff whistleblower. Why markets are no longer based on fundamentals. The Madoff Line and the Wealth Gap.SEG-1: This Week's FedapoloozaSEG-2: Japanese Economics: From the Rubble to the BubbleSEG-3: Capitalism vs Socialism & Government InterventionSEG-4: Bernie Madoff, Alan Stanford, & 20-DMA PerfectionHosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTNuUiRW5fo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Japans Lost Decades: Are We On The Same Path"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japans-lost-decades-are-we-on-the-same-path/"Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/"Q1 Earnings Season Approaches"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecmypMh1FPI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Could Powell Eclipse Market Expectations"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loIQra4zl7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#JapansLostDecade #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketVolatility #MarketComplacency #AlanStanford #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisreuption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
The JOLTS survey rate continues to slow, coincident with a slowing economy; interestingly, retail hiring has dropped sharply, despite increased retail demand (another example of divergent indicators). The data might not be as strong as we think. The difference between Fed promises and predictions can be vast. Markets remain in a "perfect" trend channel; what happens when the 20-DMA is broken? Commentary on the coming solar eclipse, and markets' historic behavior following. What matters is what happens for the 12-months after such an event. Correction is coming. Answering emails: Stocks vs Bonds in current environment; managing risk is key. What happens to those in all-cash positions when rates fall? Gold & Silver may be doing very well, but are detached from current market reality; they will correct. Taiwan earthquake effects on semiconductor sector: A potential disruption could be coming. Baltimore bridge disruption. South Korea exports as economic indicator; dental floss & Kroger points: The struggle is real.SEG-1 The Difference Between Fed Promises & PredictionsSEG-2: How Stocks Perform Following EclipsesSEG-3: Email Answers: Stocks vs Bonds in Current Environment?SEG-4: Potential Impact of Taiwan EarthquakeHosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loIQra4zl7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/"Q1 Earnings Season Approaches"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Markets' Unstoppable Rally Reaching its Conclusion? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNQ2U7sRi9M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Market Corrections Matter More than You Think"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUOXdv6rOo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisreuption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets delivered a post-April Fool's drop, while manufacturing metrics moved back into the expansion zone. Markets have now dropped the chances of a June interest rate cut to 50%; markets continue to trade in a particular range. The April 15 Tax Day bump may not materialize this year with the expiration of previous tax law. Gold is on a catch-up trade; will rotation trades continue? Investor sentiment remains high. The bullishness of Ken Fisher; Gains vs Declines: Market Math explained. The Truth about promised returns vs reality; market math & investor longevity. Markets always revert. No reason not to be bullish now; who expects to be richer in 2024? Gen-Z women are most optimistic. US College Majors with highest un-employment rates: Art History.SEG-1: Markets Drop Chances of Fed Rate Cut to 50%SEG-2: Gains vs Declines: Market Math ExplainedSEG-3: The Truth About Promised Market ReturnsSEG-4: Who Expects to Be Richer in 2024?Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUOXdv6rOo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/"Q1 Earnings Season Approaches"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Miss the Tax Day Bump?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AzLHu1gSp44&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What to Look for in Q1 Earnings"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srlOrEXPoTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
PCE Inflation is weaker, yet consumer spending remains robust; the Atlanta Fed is forecasting 2.3% GDP for Q2. Is this period nirvana for the Fed? The Relative Strength Index is stuck at 70. Markets continue a low-volatility advance, seemingly floating higher. The current environment typically leads to market correction. The next round of earnings commences next week; it will be unsurprising that to see a high percentage of companies “beat” Wall Street estimates. (The high beat rate is always the case due to the sharp downward revisions in analysts’ estimates as the reporting period begins.) Are investors paying more for less? California's new $20.hr minimum wage goes into effect today; cast study to come. The realities of the cost of labor; at what point do consumers say, "enough." What are the upper limits of the minimum wage (that was never intended to be a living wage)?SEG-1: Is Now Nirvana for the Fed?SEG-2: Financial Conditions vs Borrowing ConditionsSEG-3: ATM Cash & Kids; Are Investors Paying More for Less?SEG-4: California's Higher Minimum Wage vs Economic RealityHosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srlOrEXPoTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Q1 Earnings Season Approaches"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Set for All-time Highs. Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYuFjLIoi8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "When Financial Conditions Butt Heads With Borrowing Conditions"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RxZpMp64N1Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Consumer confidence for stock prices remains high, despite mixed econonic data. Asset prices are rising faster than earnings, as optimism is extremely elevated. Equal Weight Index is underperforming the S&P; Bond prices are improving. If Fed Chairman Jerome Powell doesn’t appreciate the difference between financial and borrowing conditions, we must assume most investors do not either. The current combination of easy financial conditions and tight borrowing conditions makes monetary policy difficult for the Fed to balance. Markets' advance for past 5-months begs the question, what's next? The risk is liquidity, which trips up banks, which trips of the economy. Stocks are becoming "crowded." The challenge of working with Gen-Z, recently cited as the least reliable employees. Why employee productivity matters.SEG-1: Mixed Economic Data; Setting Up for BondsSEG-2: Financial Conditions vs Borrowing ConditionsSEG-3: The Liquidity RiskSEG-4: The Challenge of Working w Gen-ZHosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RxZpMp64N1Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Financial Conditions Butt Heads With Borrowing Conditions"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/financial-conditions-butt-heads-with-borrowing-conditions/"Technical Measures And Valuations: Does Any Of It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-measures-and-valuations-does-any-of-it-matter/"Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-crisis-faces-government-and-corporate-pensions/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "A Bullish Set-up for Bonds," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RuKvGsaXmk4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Wall Street Wants to Save Your Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=34W7b1txFIc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MixedEconomicData #SettingUpForBonds #FinancialConditions #BorrowingConditions #FederalReserve #LiquidityRisk #WorkingWithGenZ #EmployeeProductivity #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
The Sentiment Index is hanging in, despite weakening regional surveys; economists see no recession in sight; bank reserves have been rising since October 2022. End of quarter rebalancing is generating some activity; after three-days of selling, market futures are positive this morning. Watch markets' steep angle of ascent; this is not sustainable, and correction will result sooner or later. Lance's unique inflation indicator... Markets still act like there's a flood of liquidity when there's not; markets are bifurcated; Houston real estate is insane. Can Wall Street save your retirement? Larry Fink thinks so, or at least wants you to think he can; Blackrock & Merrill want to hold your money forever. Creation of Merrill's Target Date Fund. Why Annuities are so lucrative; three reasons why you should have one. A look at the origins of 401k's and how we screwed them up. The dearth of financial education.SEG-1: Economists See No Recession in SightSEG-2: The Bifurcated Market & Houston Real EstateSEG-3: Larry Fink's "Solution" for the Retirement CrisisSEG-4: Three Reasons Why You Should Have an AnnuityHosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=34W7b1txFIc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Technical Measures And Valuations: Does Any Of It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-measures-and-valuations-does-any-of-it-matter/"Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-crisis-faces-government-and-corporate-pensions/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Steep Ascent is Unsustainable," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TE7VKucDYJk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Do Technical Measures & Valuations Matter?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKNtRTENGiI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RetirementCrisis #Blackrock #MarketValuations #MarketTechnicals #MarketBubblePsychology #MarketCorrectionIsComing #SocialSecurity #LarryFink #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Baltimore Harbor is closed following the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, hit by an out of control freighter. Weaker Regional Economic Surveys are in contrast to economists ratcheting-up growth expectations: No one is expecting a recession. Liquidity continues to boost bullish mood on Wall Street. The market has steadily climbed for past 5-months, creating record deviations; for now, no fear. Valuations are a measure of market psychology: "If everybody has bought, who is left to buy?" - Sam Stovall. When Technicals & Fundamentals align (the problem for most investors is that they're too slow). All elements are now present for a reversion to the mean; just need a catalyst. What will turn buyers into sellers? The impact of more, earlier retirees on actuarial tables and Larry Fink's paycheck. Capitalism & The Wealth Gap; the decline in EV sales; why more people aren't saving more.SEG-1: Regional Economic Surveys WeakenSEG-2: Valuations Are a Measure of Market PsychologySEG-3: When Fundamentals & Technicals AlignSEG-4: Retiring Too Early and Living Too LongHosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKNtRTENGiI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Technical Measures And Valuations: Does Any Of It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-measures-and-valuations-does-any-of-it-matter/"Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-crisis-faces-government-and-corporate-pensions/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Will Retest the 200-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdsIUq3U-Lk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are Market Bubbles a Function of Psychology?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LzgkNEySf6I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketValuations #MarketTechnicals #MarketBubblePsychology #MarketCorrectionIsComing #FederalReserveRateCuts #FedDotPlot #ContinuingResolution #SocialSecurity #LarryFink #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Stop the re-makes of '80's movies (Roadhouse)! Markets are going into 5th straight month of gains, remaining over-bought and trading in a very narrowly-defined trend channel. Money going into cryptocurrency (Memecoin) is indicative of late-cycle market speculative mood. The Coffee Maker saga continues; Market Bubble Psychology: What defines a market bubble. No two market bubbles are a like (w charts). The Fed's Dot Plots are worthless. How will the latest CR be funded? (More debt.) The mechanics of Social Security: more retirees earlier than expected. The things that always get paid when the government shuts down. The Baloney Bill is full of non-performing spending.SEG-1: '80's Movie Re-makes & Market Correction's a-comin'SEG-2: Coffee Maker Saga, Pt.2; Market Bubble Psychology, Pt.1SEG-3: Coffee Pots & Marital Advice; Three Factors of Market BubblesSEG-4: Don't Pay Attention to the Fed's Dot PlotHosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LzgkNEySf6I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Risk is Building for a Correction...at some point" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2r6Il5U7oM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Beware the Risks in Medicare Advantage 2024"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvLFl9iD9GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketBubblePsychology #MarketCorrectionIsComing #FederalReserveRateCuts #FedDotPlot #ContinuingResolution #BaloneyBill #GovernmentShutDown #SocialSecurity #MandatorySpending #NonProductiveSpending #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
What do the Three Stooges and the Fed's rate cut plans have in common? Risk appetites are on the rise with the Reddit IPO; what if inflation heats up and the Fed cannot cut rates? We're living in a government-driven economy. The challenges to withdrawal rates: Goal-harvesting. Goal shifting when retirement guardrails change. The Reddit IPO: Let the euphoria burn away. Risks to Medicare Advantage plans in 2024: Pre-existing clauses. We now have to deal with reinvestment risks as rates begin to fall; alternatives to getting away from high fixed-income earnings.SEG-1: The Three Rate Cut StoogesSEG-2: Retirement Goal-harvestingSEG-3: Risks in Medicare Advantage 2024SEG-4: Medicare Advantage Risks & Reinvestment Risks as Rates Begin to DropHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Advice, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvLFl9iD9GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/blackout-of-buybacks-threatens-bullish-run/"Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/"Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Follow the Bouncing 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Will the Fed Rate Announcment Affect You?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WRlC2YWWsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#RisksInMedicareAdvantage2024 #FedRateAnnouncement #2024ChildTaxCredit #JeromePowell #MarketsBullishTrend #FederalReserve #Quantitat
Markets respond to the Fed rate announcement, indicating at least three rate cuts this year, the first one coming as soon as June. Danny & Jonathan discuss Bond behaviors in the aftermath and investor response to the Fed rate announcement. Changes to the Child Tax Credit for 2024 (it's not a deduction, but a credit against the tax you owe); caveat: It's not indexed for inflation. What about using insurance products as an investing tool. Danny & Jonathan discuss the evolution of annuities and the best approach for determining their usefulness; how to determine how much to invest in an annuity; the value of long term care policies.SEG-1: Economic Report Preview; Fed Rate PredictionsSEG-2: Investor Response & Reaction to Fed Rate AnnouncementSEG-3: Child Tax Credit for 2024SEG-4: The Evolution of Annuities: What's the Best Approach?Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WRlC2YWWsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/blackout-of-buybacks-threatens-bullish-run/"Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/"Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Follow the Bouncing 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is Your Ex Worth More Dead than Alive?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OsrCFm8pfPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#FedRateAnnouncement #2024ChildTaxCredit #JeromePowell #MarketsBullishTrend #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #MortgageRates #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
There's a definite correlation between changes in stock buybacks and changes in market performance. With the closure of the stock buyback window by the blackout period, the effects will be interesting, especially with the prevailing attitudes in an over-extended market. We also notice Bitcoin is having an excellent correction. Lance and Michael discuss the Fed's Dot Plot and plans for Quantitative Easing: Which problem is easier to fix: Creating recession or inflation? Bank of Japan is ending it's policy of negative rates; what will be the effect on the US? What's the risk to the currency carry trade? Japan's demographic problem. Is the Fed formulating a new type of QE? What QE does; is it inflationary? What the Fed can do; the stealth form of QE: Will it provide liquidity to markets?SEG-1: The Correlation Between Buybacks and Market PerformanceSEG-2: The Fed's Dot Plot & Plans for QESEG-3: Bank of Japan Ends Negative RatesSEG-4: The Fed's New Form of QEHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVHBhdRcTus&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/blackout-of-buybacks-threatens-bullish-run/"Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/"Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Follow the Bouncing 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Bull Market Trend is Showing Some Cracks"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-ll-IYbDKA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketsBullishTrend #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #TheFedsNewQE #BankofJapan #TheFedsDotPlot #Markets #Money #Investing
During the week we were off for Spring Break, absolutely nothing changed: There is still no reason for the Fed to cut rates, and markets have finally re-aligned with the Fed's "Dot Plot." The share buyback blackout window is imposed starting on Friday, which has been an important factor in the markets' rally. Yet the bullish trend continues; watch Apple as it implements Goggle's Gemini AI into iPhone O/S. Markets continue in their complacency: Watch for a break of the 20-DMA, and for the algo's to kick-in; that will likely signal a market correction. Why Lance's coffee is cold this morning (always read the reviews!) The recession countdown warning is on; the difference between full-time & part time employment numbers & the Economic Cycle; the Tyson Foods employment fiasco; why the economy isn't booming, as advertised; there's a market correction coming (and we need it); the National Association of Realtors (NAR) lawsuit settles, with possible consequences.SEG-1: Markets' Bullish Trend (and complacency) ContinuesSEG-2: The Recession Countdown WarningSEG-3: The Economy Isn't Booming as AdvertisedSEG-4: Correction is Coming (and we need it)Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-ll-IYbDKA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Articles mentioned in this report:"Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/"Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Watch for a Break in the 20-DMA for Correction Trigger," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bv5Bhtu-Klg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Holding Long-term Bonds, but not to Maturity"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tunq-ysXXHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#MarketsBullishTrend #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #RecessionCountdownWarning #MarketCorrection #EmploymentAsRecessionIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing
Market Commentary: When will rate cuts hit? Biden's SOTU Address: Get ready for higher corporate taxes and an inflation fight. The Death of the 4% Rule? Not yet...the impact of lower interest rates on a viable distribution plan; how to create one as Recession looms. Dealing with durations: Holding long-term bonds, but not to maturity. Credit risk in bonds, and the importance of portfolio fluidity. Distribution planning and timing: What are appropriate benchmarks for portfolio performance? Is the 60/40 portfolio dead? (No.) Why we may be at the peak of rate hike cycle; proactivity is the key. Is bailing on market volatility a loser's game? Setting reasonable expectations for portfolio risk; what to do when the fundamentals are skewed. (Getting more "likes" than Lance.) Looking at Bond ETF's and the risk from mass redemptions.SEG-1: Market Commentary: When Will Rate Cuts Hit?SEG-2: Creating Distribution Plans as Recession LoomsSEG-3: What Are Appropriate Benchmarks for Portfolio PerformanceSEG-4: Should You Bail on Market Volatility?Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFPLebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tunq-ysXXHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Liquidity Problems Are Closer Than You Think"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/liquidity-problems-are-closer-than-you-think/"Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/"Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Being Complacent About the Market is Dangerous," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPSkUju2wG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Liquidity Problems Are Closer Than You Think"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXVK_PSMGOg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#LiquidityProblems #MarketLiquidity #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #PresidentialElection #JoeBidenSOTUAddress #CorporateTaxIncrease #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #Markets #Money #Investing
Earnings growth are a function of economic growth; the US Economiy is de-coupled from the rest of the world, which economy is poor. The danger of deficits (that are funding our economic growth); SOTU Preview: "The economy is great." Market continues trading in a very tight range, but ever upward; this is when complacency sets in. The market is setting up for correction as the election draws nearer. Are we in a bubble or the market top; how to justify valuations. Cisco vs Nvidia: What is Nvidia worth now? The correlation between Bank reserves and the market. Powell says the Fed's next move will be a rate cut by EOY. Stocks in the news with less liquidity in the market, yet, financial (lending) conditions are easing? Borrowing activity is at an all-time low: Conditions are very tight. Why the Fed won't act now; the Banks own the Fed, and Jerome Powell's boss is really Jamie Dimon. If the Fed sees liquidity shrinking, does the market know? Employment & Quit Rate/hiring Rate dichotomies; ADP vs BLS: Data skews make it difficult to tell, but there's no real growth. Being "Bougie Broke:" continuing to buy using buy now/pay later programs: How long can that last? SEG-1: Earnings Are a Function of Economic GrowthSEG-2: Market Bubble or Market Top?SEG-3: Who Really Owns the Fed (and who's Jerome Powell's real boss)?SEG-4: Being Bougie Broke: How long can Buy-now, Pay-later last?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXVK_PSMGOg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Liquidity Problems Are Closer Than You Think"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/liquidity-problems-are-closer-than-you-think/"Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/"Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Being Complacent About the Market is Dangerous," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPSkUju2wG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Inflation is Affecting the Economy"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3l692sxS5g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#LiquidityProblems #MarketLiquidity #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #SuperTuesday #PresidentialElection #GovernmentMatchTo401ks #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing
Super Tuesday seems to have locked-up the next Presidential contest pairing; economic data is not so good, yet market exuberance continues. Fed speakers abound today ahead of the Fed's blackout period. A record-setting Yield Curve Inversion is underway, still without recession. Markets continue to trade in a narrow range, like clockwork; volatility actually declined. Are we at the top, and not a bubble? Correction this year is very likely; Bitcoin joined by Gold as a speculative asset. The proposed government match to 4-01-k's: Nice idea, but few will be able to take advantage; and what about the unintended consequences? the effect of inflation on the economy. Why cap savings? IF the economy is doing so great, why do we feel so bad about it? The Hunger Games & the Kellogg's boycott.SEG-1: Super Tuesday & Market Divergence from EconomySEG-2: Are We at the Top or in a Bubble?SEG-3: The Government Match to 401-k'sSEG-4: If the Economy is so Great, Why Do We Feel so Bad?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3l692sxS5g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/"Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why No One is Hedging Portfolios," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8AyO87zRqE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Valuation Metrics Suggest Investor Caution"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVRpyk74gSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1243s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#HowInflationAffectsEconomy #SuperTuesday #PresidentialElection #GovernmentMatchTo401ks #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing
Economic Data releases and Fed speeches today will resonate with a rising commentary of no rate cut(s) this year, thanks to sticky inflation. Target's earnings show the consumer is still spending; markets continue in 4-month advance, longest since 1970. Preceding a correction? Markets are operating in a narrow trend channel, with money rotating out of Magnificent Seven Stocks and into meme stocks. Markets are in the midst of bullish exuberance; Lance's emails are the best contrarian indicator. Valuations are an indicator of sentiment; why FOMO trumps Fundamentals; rationalization and the numbers game: Making up metrics to rationalize valuation: We're still paying too much for equities. Bitcoin & ETF's: The Dark Side of the Coin. Shorting ETF's adds an additional layer of volatility. Peter Schiff: ETF's are the tail wagging the Bitcoin dog. There's more volatility to come in cryptocurrencies. Jeff Bezos now the richest man; what's a few more zeros?SEG-1: Markets in the Midst of Bullish ExuberanceSEG-2: Valuation Metrics Suggest Investor CautionSEG-3: Why FOMO Trumps FundamentalsSEG-4: The Dark Side of ETF'sHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVRpyk74gSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1016s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/"Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Markets' Four-Month Advance," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNHX7Ni-R6Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Warren Buffett's Cash Dilemma"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h15FiMIsVwg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=132s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are entering the three strgonest months of the year; what if interest arwets aren't cut? February was unusually strong for a "weak" month; what happens during Presidential Election years? Looking at Volatility risk. Markets have been up for 16 of the past 18-weeks; such activity generalluy heralds a correction. Warren Buffett's annual letter: What do to with $160-B in cash? The dilemma of cash and valuations; cash held by corporations is at an all-time high; Buffett's favorite metric is Market Capitalization to GDP Ratio. Why it's hard to find "reasonably priced" companies. When investing becomes gambling; the risk of market correction coming. Dumb Money vs Smart Money: Teaching kids to invest, not gamble.SEG-1: Entering Three Strongest Months of the YearSEG-2: Warren Buffett's $160-B Cash PileSEG-3: When Companies are Strikingly Over-pricedSEG-4: Dumb Money vs Smart MoneyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h15FiMIsVwg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=132s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Chase is Fueling Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqVO5HqcW9A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Plan for the Social Security Income Cap"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TGn5ICWStj0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #WarrenBuffetsCashDilemma #StockBuyBacks #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #BerkshireCashDilemma #BullTrendContinues #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #InvestingVsGambling #MarketCorrection #DumbMoney #SmartMoney #Markets #Money #Investing
We're living in the "sticky zone" of inflation; the next shoe to drop will be in Regional Banking; the "Made in USA" tax credit proposal: giving money away to people again? Why 40-somethings don't like Dave Ramsey; how COVID changed the game for Gen-Z; "doing Dave Ramsey" without the mallet. What Dave Ramsey IS right about: 15-year mortgages, real estate, and debt snowball. Carrying debt intelligently; "everything now" is the problem; cultural problem feeds into fiscal problem. Rant; Why Social Media is bad for society. Propaganda about Social Security going away: Taking off the income cap as a fix? How the SS formula works today.SEG-1: Living in the Sticky Zone of InflationSEG-2: Why Gen-Z Doesn't Like Dave RamseySEG-3: Dave Ramsey is Right About Real EstateSEG-4: Carrying Debt Intelligently; How SS Works TodayHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TGn5ICWStj0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Apple's Magic- Are Buybacks Worth Paying Up For?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/apples-magic-are-buybacks-worth-paying-up-for/"This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/"Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/"Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Heading Towards Reversion in Stock Prices," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2cbaFDuxc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=15s-------Our previous show is here: "Are Buybacks Worth Paying Up For?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2R68Md9VPkw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #StickyInflation #RegionalBanking #WhyDaveRamseyIsRight #WhyDaveRamseyIs Wrong #RealEstateMortgages #DebtRelief #IntelligentDebt #SocialSecurityViability #SocialSecurityIncomeCap #Markets #Money #Investing
Stock buyback activity is on pace to reach new, all-time highs (and it's only the end of February!) One reason for the gap between large-cap companies and small- and mid-caps is bigger companies' ability to pour cash into buybacks. Will election season cause Wall St. to reduce risk? GDP and Consumer Sentiment numbers all revised downward, but confidence remains high in markets' ability to perform. Lance & Michael discuss volatility in portfolio performance within complacent markets (volatility is negatively correlated with markets.) Indicators are never perfect; avoid basing portfolio on just indicators. Examining the pace of stock buybacks: Are they really of value? Why pay a premium? Buybacks increase share price, not value. Apple vs Tesla: There has been no real innovation from Apple to warrant expensive stock price. Companies buy back stocks at the expense of R&D investment = innovation. PCE preview & commentary: it's a one-month number. What's the trend show?SEG-1: Stock Buybacks on Pace for New All-time HighsSEG-2: Volatility vs ComplacencySEG-3: Are Stock Buybacks Really a Value?SEG-4: Why Are Apple Valuations High w/out Innovation?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2R68Md9VPkw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Apple's Magic- Are Buybacks Worth Paying Up For?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/apples-magic-are-buybacks-worth-paying-up-for/"This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/"Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/"Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Heading Towards Reversion in Stock Prices," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2cbaFDuxc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=15s-------Our previous show is here: "11 Pearls of Investing Wisdom from Warren Buffett"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w42zyOime0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=29s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #StockBuyBacks #ConsumerSentimentDownwardRevision #PresidentialElectionSeason #MarketRisk #AppleInnovation #TeslaInnovation #StockSharePrice #StockValuation #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets continue to trade sideways as the latest earnings season draws to a close. Stock buy-backs will continue for the next three weeks, and then halt in preparation for the NEXT round of earnings reporting. Warren Buffett on buy-backs: Need to occur when companies are under-valued relative to markets for optimal effect; companies are now buying back at high prices. Company stocks are still trading despite 40% reporting negative earnings. What happens when men get sick; Lance answers an email about struggles with higher expenses, despite zero debt; Lance & Danny discuss families' cost-cutting strategies. Wendy's experiments with surge pricing; investing wisdom from Warrenn Buffett: What's he going to do with all that cash? The temptation for "catching-up" in portfolios, and the lure of outsized gains; scam artist, catfishing, and pig butchering.SEG-1: Earnings Season Wraps as Markets Trade SidewaysSEG-2: When Men Get Sick; How to Trim ExpensesSEG-3: Costs of Kids' Activities & Surge Pricing at Wendy'sSEG-4: Catching-up & the Lure of Outsized GainsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2cbaFDuxc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=15s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/"Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/"Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Small- and Mid-cap Stocks Playing Catch-up? is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn0Jg9v6U_s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "This is Nuts - An Entire Market Chasing One Stock"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w42zyOime0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=29s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #WarrenBuffettInvestingWisdom #EarningsSeasonEnds #StockBuyBacks #WendysSurgePricing #LureOfOutsizedGains #Markets #Money #Investing
Preparing for this week's economic data releases; what the Fed looks at for Inflation; earnings season concludes with good beat-rate...on lowered expectations. Dow Theory theory and Amazon's joining the S&P 500: When does Nvidia enter the index? Analysts are raising targets for the S&P to 5800 by the end of the year, based on performance of Nvidia and other tech stocks: This is nuts. Markets continue to trade within narrowly-defined trading range based on rising 20-DMA. Marriage Rules are nuts; Nvidia's price-to-sales ratio is un-attainable and un-sustainable. Nvidia's market share gains are other stocks' market share losses. Wall Street's perceptions of the economy vs the rest of us; the dichotomy between headline economics and reality. Why food is taking a bigger bite out of our budgets. Current economic growth is being sustained by debt, public and private. Why childcare has become so expensive. Markets function on Gov't. economic data, despite the disconnect with street reality.SEG-1: Analysts Raising Targets for S&P 5800 by EOY SEG-2: Marriage Rules & Nvidia's Price to Earnings: NutsSEG-3: Nvidia's Market Share Gains are Others' LossesSEG-4: Headline Inflation vs Economic RealityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w42zyOime0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=29s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/"Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/"Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "20-DMA Remains Key Support for Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3xwpy4vnP3c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Small Cap Stocks May Be at Risk"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cvcv-PgF2Yg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #NvidiaStock #PriceToEarningsRatio #S&P5800 #EconomicSlowdown #HeadlineInflation #Markets #Money #Investing
Stretching February to the absolute limit this week, as earnings season winds down. Next up: Economic activity metrics. Why are economists giving up on Recession, now evexcting 2% growth? The difference between what's ahppening in the economy and the stock market. Recession may be off the table for this year, but it's still coming. There is still no reason to be overly bearish about the market. Why small cap stocks may now be at risk; are all things equal? The case for (or against) small cap stocks: We're not beyond the risk of economic slowdown; be cautious of narratives. Why now is a good time to trim risk.SEG-1: Wrapping up Reporting Season & FebruarySEG-2: Why Small Cap Stocks May Be at RiskSEG-3: We're Not Beyond the Risk of Economic SlowdownSEG-4: Pre-market Commentary: Why It's a Good Time to Trim RiskHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cvcv-PgF2Yg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/"Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens If We Take Out the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tU8I7FSiYOk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What to Do When You Regret Retirement?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H73b2Frkhs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #SmallCapStocks #RiskOfRecession #EconomicSlowdown #Markets #Money #Investing
Is Nvidia more than a market darling, and has it entered the "tulip stage?" (We don't know when the tulip will die.) How to invest with the maddening crowd without going mad. Candid Coffee preview (registration link is below!) Couples, Money, & Communication: Make it fun (Amazon shots?) Pensions vs Social Security: the confounding Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) and Government Pension Offset (GPO) rules. Why you cannot (fully) take both SS and Pensions. What to do when you regret retiring; even transition to retirement is a regret. Why small business owners sabotage their transition. Failing to prioritize health in retirement; the new Score dating app. Why retirees have regrets; How to leave a legacy without heirs. The importance of physical excercise for mental health & wellness. The increasing role of grandparents in family dynamics.SEG-1: Is Nvidia in the Tulip Stage? SEG-2: Couples, Money, & Communication; Social Security, WEP, & GPO RulesSEG-3: What to Do When You Regret RetiringSEG-4: How to Remain Healthy, Happy...and Married in RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H73b2Frkhs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/"Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Rally Remains Intact," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are the Magnificent Seven Stocks in a Bubble?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpXr_ftZR_U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #TulipStage #CouplesMoney #MoneyTalk #MoneyCommunication #RetirementPlanning #RetirementRegrets #TransitionPlanning #WindfallEliminationProvision #GovernmentPensionOffset #Markets #Money #Investing
Has Nvidia become the world's most-valuable company? The S&P is aiming at more all-time highs, but can they hold? Fed minutes reveal no rush to cut rates. The disconnect with markets' expecting more cuts. Will the Fed reduce QT as money flows into markets? Meanwhile, markets continue to test rising trendline at 20-DMA, as consolidation continues. No reason to be bearish on markets...yet. What markets missed from Fed Minutes: the quantity of rate cuts to come. An unexpected risk: Effects of balance sheet run-off as Fed adjusts QT to manage liquidity. The unstoppable market: What is happening to Fed's repo program; the Fed Liquidity Index. Have we returned to a bubble in Magnificent Seven stocks (and are they worthy of current valuations)? The hard part about managing portfolios: How does the Japanese Nikkei hit an all-time high for the first time in 34-years, even as Japan's economy is in recession? How bubbles start: When Prices and Valuations rise faster than the economy.SEG-1: Nvidia: The World's Most-valuable CompanySEG-2: No Reason to Be Bearish on Markets...yetSEG-3: The Can't Stop/Won't Stop MarketSEG-4: Japanese Nikkei Hits All-time High...finallyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpXr_ftZR_U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/"Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Rally Remains Intact," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will Nvidia Break the Market?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPzraJEgjfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #NvidiaEarnings #MarketTrendLine #NegativeDivergence #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #FederalReserveLiquidityIndex #JapanNikkeiHitsAllTimeHigh #Markets #Money #Investing
It's Nvidia earnings reporting day, and as tech companies have driven markets of late, the results, and the company's forward guidance, could have a huge effect. Earnings expectations are extremely high; risk of disappointment is high. The S&P is testing a rising trendline at the 20-DMA, against a negative divergence in relative strength. The dichotomy is unsustainable. The Conference Board releases latest survey of leading economic indicators, down for a 23rd consecutive month (but no one is expecting Recession!) What is keeping us out of Recession is remaining liquidity from government cash injections. No Recession because of "strong consumer spending," but is it, really? Spending more at the store, but buying the same or less. WSJ survey shows grocery spending as % of income at a 30-year high. The economic surge of 2021-22 is reversing. New student loan forgiveness schemes = more liquidity to spend. Palo Alto Networks' performance: Know the percentages. An over-valuation correction is coming: why forward guidance matters.SEG-1: Nvidia Day & Risk EvaluationSEG-2: What's Keeping Us Out of Recession?SEG-3: Why Food Spending is at 30-year HighSEG-4: Why an Over-valuation Correction is ComingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPzraJEgjfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/"Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Protect from the Coming Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0p2G5Y7jcfY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Don't Fear the All-time Highs"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VYXS-Ed4Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #NvdiaForwardGuidance #WhatsKeepingUsOutOfRecession #MarketTrendLine #NegativeDivergence #GroceryPriceInflation #FoodPriceInflation #ConferenceBoardLeadingIndicators #SpendingMoreBuyingLess #PaloAltoNetworksPerformance #KnowThePercentages #Markets #Money #Investing
There are "Dow Days" and "NASDAQ Days;" CPI inflation is still transitory; emerging influence of presidential election on Congress' ability to manage debt & spending, M-2 as % of GDP. There is little expectation for earnings growth this year. Markets remain in bullish trend, but a negative day today could trigger MACD Sell-signal. Time to reduce portfolio risk and wait until correction to put capital back to work. Instead of fearing market exuberance, understanding what drives it can provide you with insight and opportunity. A look at Employment data and the frustration of college grads unable to find jobs. The Immigration connection to it all: Why we need (merit-based) immigration: Demography is destiny.SEG-1: Dow Days vs NASDAQ Days: Correction ComingSEG-2: Understanding All-time HighsSEG-3: Employment Data & The Immigration ConnectionSEG-4: Why We Need to Have (Merit-based) Immigration TodayHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VYXS-Ed4Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/"Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain in Bullish Trend," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aype3sudCwk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Should I Delay Social Security?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_oLzjApvS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #TransitoryInflation #DowDays #NASDAQDays #ReducingPortfolioRisk #MarketCorrection #UnderstandingAllTimeHigh #EmploymentDynamics #MeritBasedImmigration DemographicsAreDestiny #Markets #Money #Investing
The Fed is in no rush to lower rates, based on the latest economic data; we've gone from transitory to permatory inflation; rents are not going to fall, but rates are not going to go up. Fed Gov. Bostick: Rates are not going down until later, based on Labor data. Candid Coffee preview: The problem with Financial Infidelity; does it pay to delay taking Social Security? (It depends...) What's the best claiming strategy? Rich & Danny critique AI-generated Candy Hearts; why RMD's are going to be trickier; the benefits of delay; impact of Roth conversions. What happened to the stretch-IRA?SEG-1: No Rush for Fed to Lower RatesSEG-2: The Problem of Financial Infidelity; Does it Pay to Delay taking SS?SEG-3: AI-generated Candy Hearts; Why RMD's are Going to be TrickierSEG-4: Best Strategies for Company Stock & NUA'sHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_oLzjApvS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is Toyota The Next Tesla?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-toyota-the-next-tesla/"Divergences And Other Technical Warnings"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/"This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/"Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/"Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retail Sales Dip .8%," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is Toyota the Next Tesla?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bcTBUuxKO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=502s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #LoweringInterestRates #FederalReserveBostick #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #FinancialInfidelityProblem #DelayingSocialSecurity #TakingSocialSecurity #AIGeneratedCandyHaerts #RMDStrategies #CompanyStockSales #CouplesMoneyHabits #Markets #Money #Investing
The post-Valentine's Day afterglow; Markets are not behaving like it's February (typically a weaker month), so far. The NFIB Small Business Survey belies weaker conditions and negative sentiment; there is a correlation between the NFIB and Small Cap Index. Markets continue to do well, despite weaker economic activity; bonds showing promise; NVIDIA captures 3rd place in S&P 500, unseating Amazon & Google. Commentary on pending legislation to reclassify Homelessness as a Healthcare issue; economic data preview: Retail Sales could be weaker; PPI and weaker regional manufacturing reports; the impact of Government Debt is a drag on economic growth; the continuing effects of fiscal stimulus. The Components of CPI: Homeowners Equivalent Rent/Shelter vs PCU (what the Fed looks at); the flaws in sampling data: Focus on trends, not monthly data. The consequences of too much debt, with Japan as an example, now in recession. China, Germany, and Japan are all in recession, yet the US remains immune? Toyota vs Tesla: 9% of US car sales are hybrid. The next advance in battery technology: Solid state Lithium batteries. Toyota is in the lead; Tesla is working on version 2.0 of current battery (no pun intended).SEG-1: Markets Aren't Behaving Like it's FebruarySEG-2: Reclassification of Homelessness; the Impact of Government DebtSEG-3: Looking at the Components of CPISEG-4: Is Toyota the Next Tesla?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bcTBUuxKO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=502s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is Toyota The Next Tesla?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-toyota-the-next-tesla/"Divergences And Other Technical Warnings"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/"This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/"Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/"Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retail Sales Dip .8%," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "It's CPI Day! - the impact that gas prices may have"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #RetailSalesDisapploint #WeakerEconomicActivity #ReclassificationOfHomelessness #ToyotaVsTesla #HyrbridAutomobileTechnology #SolidStateLithiumBattery #Markets #Money #Investing
Valentine's Day Google searches; January CPI came in a little hotter than hoped, triggering market correction. How does this set up a buying opportunity for Bonds? The primary factor in CPI this time was in Homeowners' Equivalent Rent. A market correction is not a crash. Valentine's Day safe practices at the Ratliff household. Why wannabe retirees might not be as ready to retire as they think. The mistake of getting out of the market. The realities of Retirement and financial planning. Discussion on Market's one-day shock over CPI, and that pesky, sticky inflation creating a rate cut conundrum for the Fed. What a Recession would cure (why Recession is not a bad thing).SEG-1: CPI Triggers CorrectionSEG-2: Valentine's Day Safe Practices & Wannabe RetireesSEG-3: The Realities of Retirement & Financial PlanningSEG-4: Sticky Inflation & the Fed's Rate Cut ConundrumHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vl4bDbH-JBE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Divergences And Other Technical Warnings"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/"This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/"Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/"Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, " Corrections Within Bullish Trends are Short-lived," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dhxv68xEcZM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "It's CPI Day! - the impact that gas prices may have"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SP5000 ##CPI #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #Retirees #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/13/24) It's CPI Day (the Consumer Price Index increased .3% in January; on an annualized basis, CPI dropped from December 3.4% to 3.1% for January.) Actors, do not lie on your application (especially involving roller skates and the Super Bowl Halftime!) Amazon hit with class action lawsuit over upcharge for ad-free viewing. Markets start Monday flat, spike a bit, and end flat. Correction is one day closer today than yesterday; why managing risk makes sense. That doesn't mean going all to cash. Romance scams abound for Valentine's Day; how might gasoline prices factor into today's CPI print? SEG-1: CPI Day, Rollerskates, & Amazon Prime snafuSEG-2: Why Managing Risk Makes Sense NowSEG-3: Why Not Go to Cash Now?SEG-4: Romance Scams & CPI ExpectationsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Divergences And Other Technical Warnings"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/"This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/"Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/"Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Small- and Mid-Cap Stocks Starting to see some Love?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y2aSvgfzZKo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Homes Are About to Get Less Affordable"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Be7BroXeQbI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SuperBowl #SP5000 #SP400 #MarketPullback #PortfolioRebalancing #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/12/24) Markets reached the magical 5,000 mark on Friday, and momentum will continue to carry investors forward, but for only so long; how we're preparing for the eventual pullback. A correction of between 2% and 5%, and up to 10% would not be out of the realm of possibility, and normal in any year. The cost of housing remains a hot-button topic with both Millennials and Gen-Z. Lance runs the charts to demonstrate market dynamics and cause-and-effect of Fed manipulations; why Sen. Elizabeth Warren's recipe for lower rates is a disaster in the making. Lowering interest rates is not the solution to lowering housing prices. Lower interest rates would bring more buyers into a market already short inventory, thereby increasing home prices. The Fed's inflation expectations will be put to the test with this week's economic releases. Watch Airbnb as proxy for spending, and Zillow as proxy for Housing. Commentary on portfolio rebalancing for risk.SEG-1: S&P 5k: Riding the Momentum, Preparing for the PullbackSEG-2: Why Home Affordability is About to Get Worse, Pt-1SEG-3: Why Home Affordability is About to Get Worse, Pt-2SEG-4: The Fed's Inflation Expectations vs This Week's Economic ReportsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Be7BroXeQbI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/"Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Remember 1973?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uB74FuZka4U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Your Social Security is Taxed"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nOyz4MLNtzo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=354s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SuperBowl #SP5000 #MarketPullback #PortfolioRebalancing #AffordableHousing #SenElizabethWarren #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #HomeMortgage #HomeAffordability #UnaffordableHousing #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/9/24) Rich & Danny prepare for today's market action & economic releases; the notion that markets believe the Fed should lower rates is un-believable. Labor and unit costs will ultimately be the determining factor. Tesla is dropped from the Magnificent-7, replaced by Eli Lilly; should it be the "Sexy-7?" Mutant wolves roam Chernobyl; Taylor Swift & the Super Bowl: she is the epitome of the American Dream. Why Taylor Swift won't have to worry about IRMAA charges. New SS COLA and tax implications; why diversification of accounts matters. How your Social Security is taxed. IRMAA & the Five-Year Rule; FIFO (first-in, first-out) in Roth. How to manage Roth if retirement is a few years away.SEG-1: Market & Economic Numbers Preview: Fed Rate PolicySEG-2: Taylor Swift, Mutant Wolves, & The American DreamSEG-3: New SS & Medicare IRMAA RulesSEG-4: IRMAA, The Five-Year Rule, & Financial SeasoningHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/TJz2bu2Xn9Hu--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nOyz4MLNtzo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=354s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"S&P Index Set To Hit 5000 As Bull Run Continues"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-index-set-to-hit-5000-as-bull-run-continues/"We Are Not On The 1970s Inflation Rollercoaster – Part Four"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/we-are-not-on-the-1970s-inflation-rollercoaster-part-four/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Internals Tell a Different Tale ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbDq654nLvI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why the 2020's Aren't the 1970's"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kTOnEY4qdJE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=880s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:Retirement Savers Are Piling Into Stocks. Is That A Good Idea?https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-savers-are-piling-into-stocks-is-that-a-good-idea/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SocialSecurity #Medicare #IRMAA #TaylorSwift #SuperBowl #JanetYellen #Retirement #Roth #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/8/24) Fair warning, fellas: Valentine's Day is one week away; Lance's annual safety PSA. What do all the numbers and charts really mean about the economy? Financial Obligation Ratio's look great for the upper 10%, but for the rest of the population, they're pretty dire. The markets don't care. Are we over-paying for equities? Market internals are very different from the headline data. The S&P almost hit 5,000, thanks to the EFT draft effect. Will "good" economic data thwart the Fed's rate policy? Bonds feed on inflation and where the market thinks inflation is going to be. Are we looking for a reprisal of 1970's style inflation? (Why now is not then.) Money Supply affects inflation, and inflation begets inflation. The Fed "gets it," but the government does not.SEG-1: Valentine's PSA; What the Charts & Numbers Really MeanSEG-2: Will "Good" Economic Data Thwart the Fed?SEG-3: Bond Strategies During the Inflation RollercoasterSEG-4: Will We Have 1970's Inflation All Over Again?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/TJz2bu2Xn9Hu--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kTOnEY4qdJE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=880s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"S&P Index Set To Hit 5000 As Bull Run Continues"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-index-set-to-hit-5000-as-bull-run-continues/"We Are Not On The 1970s Inflation Rollercoaster – Part Four"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/we-are-not-on-the-1970s-inflation-rollercoaster-part-four/-------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Internals Tell a Different Tale ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbDq654nLvI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Smartest Money Move You Can Make Right Now?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QANmxsX-WIg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:Retirement Savers Are Piling Into Stocks. Is That A Good Idea?https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-savers-are-piling-into-stocks-is-that-a-good-idea/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #Retirement #bearmarket #BullMarket #confidence #earnings #economy #Fed #financialmarkets #financialplanning #interestrates #investing #market #Recession #retirement #risk #SP500 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #stockbuybacks #Stocks #valuations #warnings #Fed #debt #supply #prices #government #productivity #union #inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/7/24) Early morning coffee snafus: That's no way to start the day. Headline economic data is not comporting with on-the-ground reality: Credit Card and Auto Loan delinquencies are on the rise because borrowers are out of money; there's been a drop in Labor Force participation. Under the surface, things are not that good. Are Valuations really that cheap? A look back at market performance: The S&P is hitting all-time highs, NASDAQ driven by Tech, but Russell 2000 of Small- and Mid-cap companies are still in Bear mode. Danny hangs out w Larry Fink. Is Suze Orman's best money moves: Why it's bad advice. Dealing with short-term money vs long-term money; the Budget Talk at home. Home Contractors woes & FAFO: Release the Kraken! The divergence between positive economic headlines and reality: Layoffs are beginning; how we deal with clients who've been let go. Creating a timeline and checklist. Doing the basics of Financial Planning: Wills & Medical Directives. Why are more American's so down on the economy? A clue may be seen in the latest numbers from YUM Brands (KFC, Pizza Hut, & Taco Bell); the Pizza Hut Break-up Pizza. Weaker sales on lowered expectations. The higher cost of eating out is the result of higher minimum wages and increased costs of doing business.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Headline Economic Data vs On the Ground RealitySEG-2: Hanging Out w Larry Fink; Suze Orman's Best Money AdviceSEG-3: Contractor Woes, FAFO, How to Deal with Laid-off ClientsSEG-4: Wills, Medical Directives, & The Basics of Financial Planning You Need Now-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/TJz2bu2Xn9Hu--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QANmxsX-WIg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why the Russell Index is Still in Bear Market Mode," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T6buYFRgBEQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Bull Run Continues: S&P 5000?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNVQm0Phzhc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:Retirement Savers Are Piling Into Stocks. Is That A Good Idea?https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-savers-are-piling-into-stocks-is-that-a-good-idea/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #Retirement #bearmarket #BullMarket #confidence #earnings #economy #Fed #financialmarkets #financialplanning #interestrates #investing #market #Recession #retirement #risk #SP500 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #stockbuybacks #Stocks #valuations #warnings #SuzeOrman #LarryFink #FAFO #LaborMarket #LaborForceParticipation #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/6/24) Market Behavior in a Presidential Cycle: Markets are positioning for a GOP win in November; Jerome Powell is now more inclined to NOT cut rates any time soon. Markets now need a narrative to support their current thesis, but it's only fundamentals that really matter. The Apple Vision goggle phenom. Markets sell-off, but knocking on the door of 5,000 in the S&P 500: now dealing with gravitational pull. Yields are reversing. NYC giving freebies to immigrants a la MMT: the flaws in that theory. Non-productive debt creates weaker economic growth. ISM Services index edge up into expansion; the quest to S&P 5000; Eli Lilly performance; why we own the stocks we own: We have to make money for our clients, and that's where the action is. How long can the Magnificent-7 continue to rise? When will it change (and why??) The problem with passive investing is that it ignores the fundamentals. Technology stocks are now "priced for perfection," with no margin for error.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Market Behavior During Presidential CyclesSEG-2: NYC Immigrants & MMT: The Flaws in the TheorySEG-3: The Quest for S&P 5000SEG-4: Why We Own the Companies We Own-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/TJz2bu2Xn9Hu--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNVQm0Phzhc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Primed to Reach 5k," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ppqQMesMbqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Stocks Are a Popular Hedge for Future Retirees:"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Bq-hOZP95U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:Retirement Savers Are Piling Into Stocks. Is That A Good Idea?https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-savers-are-piling-into-stocks-is-that-a-good-idea/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #Retirement #bearmarket #BullMarket #confidence #earnings #economy #Fed #financialmarkets #financialplanning #interestrates #investing #market #Recession #retirement #risk #SP500 #stockbuybacks #Stocks #valuations #warnings#Markets #Money #Investing
(2/5/24) Getting February underway with an "amazing" Employment Report (with seasonal adjustments!) Full Employment is trending downward; where did 4-million people go?? Interest Rate cuts have been pushed farther out in the year. Markets don't care about economic reports' details. Why Markets continue to do better: They're focused only on the headline data. February is typically a weaker month: Will there be negative rates of return? A visit to Costco illustrates the bifurcated economy: The have's vs the have-not's. Almost all large-cap companies have reported Q4 earnings, and doing "well" (thanks to stock buy-backs). Lowered earnings per share estimates have resulted in higher "beat rates," but no one cares. Why stocks are popular hedges for retirees (with charts: See link below for full article); risking retirement in the markets because the gains are too large to resist. Understanding the Markets' Secular Cycles. How long will the current cycle continue? Gen-Z's "Loud savings" trend on Tik Tok: Being very vocal about things that do not fit within their budget. Dealing with peer pressure to spend money; post-pandemic revenge spending.Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, SEG-1: Getting February Underway; Markets Don't CareSEG-2: Economics vs Reality: The Costco IndicatorSEG-3: Why Stocks are a Popular Hedge for Future RetireesSEG-4: Understanding the Secular Cycles in the Market-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/TJz2bu2Xn9Hu--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Bq-hOZP95U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Really Don't Care About Economic Reports," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Ix8w3gJHp0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Having the Money Conversation with Kids"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xLj4b6hAiQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:Retirement Savers Are Piling Into Stocks. Is That A Good Idea?https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-savers-are-piling-into-stocks-is-that-a-good-idea/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/2/24) King Cakes, Ground Hog's Day, & Meta results: finally paying a dividend to investors. Fed commentary: will the labor markets crack? Will the Fed continue to move the goal posts? Our next Candid Coffee is February 24 (registration link is below): Couples' money communication; children are Trustees in training. Having the Money Conversation with kids; (The Ground Hog predicts an early Spring). Going back to work after retirement; the Buc-cee's segment; Retirees returning to work; the reluctance to use a financial advisor; the struggle for men in retirement; why many retirees return to work. The value of a blended portfolio; how to grade your financial advisor: What should be on the report card? Why health and lifestyle matter in retirement.SEG-1: King Cakes, Ground Hog's Day, & Meta ResultsSEG-2: Candid Coffee Tease & Couples' Money CommunicationSEG-3: The Buc-cee's Segment & Retirees Returning to WorkSEG-4: The Struggle for Men in Retirement-------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024:https://streamyard.com/watch/TJz2bu2Xn9Hu--------Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xLj4b6hAiQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Respond to Fed Intentions," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u078dl2n5no&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Living Longer Will Impact Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ryhr0G27PpE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:The Pandemic Inflation Rollercoaster – Part Threehttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pandemic-inflation-rollercoaster-part-three/“Theory Of Reflexivity” And Does It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/theory-of-reflexivity-and-does-it-matter/"Money Market “Cash On The Sidelines” – A Myth That Won’t Die"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/money-market-cash-on-the-sidelines-a-myth-that-wont-die/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #Meta #MoneyHabits #ReturnToWork #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/1/24) Amelia Earhart was lost 83-years ago, and her missing plane may have been located in the Pacific Ocean, solving the mystery of her disappearance. The mystery of how the Fed operates, however, remains an enigma. And in 2024, there political implications the Fed must also consider (could Kennedy "Perot" the election?) Markets sold off after Jerome Powell promised no rate cuts anytime soon, but bonds had a good day as Treasury shifted stance in favor of longer-termed bonds. Elon Musk could move to Texas from Delaware just in time for Texas to secede. The markets' response to Jerome Powell's promise of no rate relief anytime soon; could Apple, Amazon, & Meta reports and subsequent performance could alter the dynamics of the Magnificent-7 to the Super-6 or Fab-5? What about the other un-magnificent 493? Expect more volatility ahead w Employment numbers in the mix: Will inflation "stabilize" at 3%? Amazon Prime raises rates, adds ads; is the Fed being pressured into rate cuts for political gain? Why Zero rates aren't good for the economy (and why you cannot trust the Fed.) Powell's statement was bond-bullish. The problem of debt service expense in the budget. Looking at the economic date & revisions; Powell just took the Goldilocks narrative away. The economy is NOT well, according to the underlying data, and the Biden Administration doesn't get it.SEG-1: The Mysteries of Amelia Earhart, Jimmy Hoffa, & The Federal ReserveSEG-2: Elon Musk Moves to Texas, Texas Secedes, & The Fed Breaks Doves' HeartsSEG-3: Amazon Prime Rates & The Fed's ConundrumSEG-4: Taking Away the Goldilocks NarrativeHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xtm8XF_0xgc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Respond to Fed Intentions," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u078dl2n5no&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Living Longer Will Impact Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ryhr0G27PpE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:The Pandemic Inflation Rollercoaster – Part Threehttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pandemic-inflation-rollercoaster-part-three/“Theory Of Reflexivity” And Does It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/theory-of-reflexivity-and-does-it-matter/"Money Market “Cash On The Sidelines” – A Myth That Won’t Die"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/money-market-cash-on-the-sidelines-a-myth-that-wont-die/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #MarketCorrection #BondYield #BondPrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #JeropmePowell #InterestRates #2024Election #Recession #ElonMust #AmeliaEarhart #Texas #Delaware #AmazonPrime #Apple #Meta #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/31/24) Earnings season continues, with AMD, Google, Microsoft, and NVDIA expected to fall after turning in their reports: Earnings have been okay, but not as good as expected. After "good" reports, watch for increased volatility and rotation from the NASDAQ into the Dow. Bond prices are on the rise, yields are dropping, as Treasury announces a smaller than expected debt issuance. There's a Trojan Horse in the proposed Childcare Tax Credit bill: a huge disincentive to work; the ugly truth about falling rates of inflation: Prices do not go back down. CPI-W vs CPI-E and how COLA is calculated. Danny's home rehab update. "You Earned It, You Keep It" Act: what if could mean for retirees. SS Tax Repeal explainer; the evolution of SS, and repeal of SS earnings tax. Let's fix the climate by having fewer kids (and how that's working out SO well for China.) Will Elon Musk move to Texas? Market preview & earnings commentary: What the Jobs Numbers mean to the Fed; Consumer Confidence is highest in three years, but last month's take is revised downward. Retirement planning for living longer: If we live to 120, will Retirement Age change? How will living longer impact investing strategies?SEG-1: Fed Day Preview & Prospects; market volatility to returnSEG-2: The Child Tax Credit Trojan HorseSEG-3: The Evolution of Social Security & Repealing the SS TaxSEG-4: How Living to 120 Changes Retirement PlanningHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ryhr0G27PpE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Disappointing Earnings Could Spark Volatility," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6Zh-e2OEIE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Was George Soros Right About Bubbles?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3d7ofQV-mo4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:“Theory Of Reflexivity” And Does It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/theory-of-reflexivity-and-does-it-matter/"Money Market “Cash On The Sidelines” – A Myth That Won’t Die"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/money-market-cash-on-the-sidelines-a-myth-that-wont-die/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #MarketCorrection #BondYield #BondPrices #FederalReserve #GDP #Inflation #EarningsSeason #ChildCar
(1/30/24) Mega-cap Earnings reporting continues with Microsoft reporting today; companies are meeting (lowered0 expectations, but not blowing the doors off. Valuations & Reflexivity Theory teaser, FOMC Meeting preview: Will the Fed begin to cut rates sooner? Markets set another all-time high. Housing dynamics: Pricing & Size and living on $30k/year. Why the cost of Housing has risen as a result of Fed policy & mortgage rule changes. Why Elizabeth Warren is pushing Jerome Powell to lower rates "to expand affordable housing" vs how to really do it. How the Patriot Party ruined a perfectly good name; George Soros' Theory of Reflexivity & economic bubbles; predicting the future: change comes gradually. Markets are good at reflecting reality, and all markets care about now is the Fed.SEG-1: Markets Setting New, All-time HighsSEG-2: Housing Dynamics & Living on $30k a YearSEG-3: Patriot Party & George Soros' Theory of Reflexivity, Pt.1SEG-4: George Soros' Theory of Reflexivity, Pt.2Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3d7ofQV-mo4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The All-time Highs Continue," is here: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator-------Our previous show is here: "Money Market Myths that Won't Die"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNSG69aydLo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2689s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:“Theory Of Reflexivity” And Does It Matter?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/theory-of-reflexivity-and-does-it-matter/"Money Market “Cash On The Sidelines” – A Myth That Won’t Die"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/money-market-cash-on-the-sidelines-a-myth-that-wont-die/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MoneyMarketMyth #Reflexivity #GeorgeSoros #FederalReserve #GDP #Inflation #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/29/24) Markets look to wrap up January on an upward trend, but this week's FOMC meeting could affect that slope. the problem w economic data on the surface: Increasing GDP growth by adding debt. Who will provide the best policy mix to create stronger growth? Markets continue to rally as lowered earnings estimates and bigger beats provide support. Deviations from averages are difficult to maintain; look for market correction in the weaker month of February. Mega-cap companies are set to report this week and may sell-off. The myth of cash on the sidelines: Where does that money come from? Credit markets & the Federal Reserve: What could happen as more and more Americans own stocks? Buying Blue Chips cheap: the price we're willing to pay has accelerated (watch for article this week on "The Theory of Reflexivity). The Fed is a market manipulator par excellence; there will be payback eventually. You cannot run an economy on monetary manipulation & debt expansion. How markets are like a hive of human intelligence.SEG-1: Wrapping Up Januaryt: The Problem with Surface DataSEG-2: The Myth of Cash on the SidelinesSEG-3: Credit markets & The Federal ReserveSEG-4: Buying Blue Chips CheapHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNSG69aydLo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2689s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Trim Portfolios? is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4j2RciIkewo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Tax Changes for 2024 You Need to Know"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wR1pGhFVhOw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2583s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Money Market “Cash On The Sidelines” – A Myth That Won’t Die"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/money-market-cash-on-the-sidelines-a-myth-that-wont-die/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MoneyMarketMyth #SidelineCash #FederalReserve #GDP #Inflation #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/26/24) Market exuberance and benchmarking could create disappointment (it's why they're called "variable assets.") All-time highs in a flat market...and you're two years older. Have the Magnificent 7 become the Sexy 6? Microsoft Outlook Blues & Market preview: "We're Smidgy." Investors' narrative whiplash; we're in the Winter of The Fourth Turning. Tax changes you need to know, thanks to Secure Act 2.0: Rise in Retirement Age, effects on retirement accounts, effects on Roth's. Grandma Ros' Italian Meatballs, Lance Roberts is "ChartMan," the Secure Act & Roth 5-year Rules.SEG-1: GDP Expectations - It's just an estimateSEG-2: Changes in Fed Stance: Will there be any regret?SEG-3: Is 3% Inflation the Camel's Nose Under the Tent?SEG-4: Three Fed Scenarios Markets are Pricing-inHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wR1pGhFVhOw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2583s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Trim Portfolios? is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4j2RciIkewo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Netflix & the Phenomenal NASDAQ Decade"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bE-qPLaTMQ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"All-Time Highs For Stocks As Bitter Economic Headlines Persist"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/all-time-highs-for-stocks-as-bitter-economic-headlines-persist/"Deficit Spending Keeping The Economy Out Of Recession"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-spending-keeping-the-economy-out-of-recession/
(1/25/24) The first estimate of Fourth Quarter GDP is released today: It's only a guess, but expected to be slightly above 2%, which would be the slowest rate of growth since 2023, and coming off Q3 growth of 4.9% (NOTE: The actual number, released after this show aired, is 3.3%, still a significant slowdown from the previous quarter). The connection between GDP growth and earnings; valuations matter. The markets' rally continues; is correction coming? The Fed changes stance: will there be regrets? The Fed's #1 Goal is financial stability. The Fed is great at lighting fires, but not so good at putting them out. Is the Fed prepping for crisis? Fahrenheit 451 and The New Truth: cursive writing & The Constitution. Is 3% inflation the camel's nose under the tent? What inflation really means, and why the Fed needs it at 2% (why debt matters). What if the Fed knows inflation will be lower in 6-months? "Tru-flation." What rents are saying: The new tenant index = 2%. The Fed's big fear is deflation: declining prices delaying purchases. Markets are pricing-in three scenarios: Will the Fed or won't they? Time will resolve the differences. Will the Fed and Administration send more checks to households?SEG-1: GDP Expectations - It's just an estimateSEG-2: Changes in Fed Stance: Will there be any regret?SEG-3: Is 3% Inflation the Camel's Nose Under the Tent?SEG-4: Three Fed Scenarios Markets are Pricing-inHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PId6u9Z94Eg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Trim Portfolios? is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4j2RciIkewo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Netflix & the Phenomenal NASDAQ Decade"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bE-qPLaTMQ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"All-Time Highs For Stocks As Bitter Economic Headlines Persist"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/all-time-highs-for-stocks-as-bitter-economic-headlines-persist/"Deficit Spending Keeping The Economy Out Of Recession"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-spending-keeping-the-economy-out-of-recession/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #GDP #Inflation #EarningsSeason #Economics #Rents #NewTenantIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/24/24) Netflix dominates the streaming space, once again; coming up: more rate increases. At what point do subscribers say, 'enough,' and revert to bundling? For Netflix, what is the customer acquisition cost? The Richmond Fed Index disappoints; Commentary on Bonds' day-to-day moves: It's just noise. Yields are not over bought. Danny Ratliff relates his home rehab hell and dealing with insurance adjusters (it's a racket). The "joys" of home ownership. Netflix & the phenomenal NASDAQ decade; is this a "sus" market? HSA expansion plans & triple-tax benefit (if you can get it).Should all healthcare plans be high-deductible? How companies are reducing healthcare expenses. Japan's just=in-time inventory management vs the US; No concern about supply chain disruptions from shutdowns. This year's debate: Inflation vs deflation vs stagflation: What will the Fed do about it? Frivolous spending & why we need Dave for President.SEG-1: Netflix Dominates, but at What Point do Subscribers say, 'Enough!'SEG-2: Danny's Rehab Hell & the 'Joys' of Home OwnershipSEG-3: HSA Expansion Plans: Great if you can get itSEG-4: Just In Time Inventory ManagementHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bE-qPLaTMQ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Market Exuberance to be Trusted?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqjcr-to9i8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why Majority of Americans Are Bummed-out By the Economy"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OpCPHdgTArs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=69s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"All-Time Highs For Stocks As Bitter Economic Headlines Persist"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/all-time-highs-for-stocks-as-bitter-economic-headlines-persist/"Deficit Spending Keeping The Economy Out Of Recession"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-spending-keeping-the-economy-out-of-recession/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Netflix #NASDAQ #EarningsSeason #Economics #HomeownersInsurance #HealthcareInsurance #HSA #HealthSavingsAccount #JustInTime #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/23/24) Expectations for volatility to pick up, as the risk of earnings warnings rise. Leading economic indicators have been negative for 21-months, yet where's the Recession? What is the risk to outlook in earnings? The most stupid chart on the planet: All-time highs come in clusters (y'think?) Yep, and we'll likely get another one today. How can markets be hitting all-time highs, and the majority of the public is quite pessimistic? Axios' poll: The country is bummed out by the economy. Bitcoin performance, post-EFT? Increased volatility & net drawdowns. Give it a little more time.SEG-1: Earnings Season Marches On: What is the risk to earnings going forward?SEG-2: Event Tease | All-time Highs in a Bifurcated MarketSEG-3: The Disconnect Between Markets and Most AmericansSEG-4: Newsmax Article Tease; The Bitcoin EFTHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OpCPHdgTArs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=69s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All-time Highs Come in Clusters," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tn6sezntxt8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why the Next Election Will Be About Economics"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGzs0a8qzMY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"All-Time Highs For Stocks As Bitter Economic Headlines Persist"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/all-time-highs-for-stocks-as-bitter-economic-headlines-persist/"Deficit Spending Keeping The Economy Out Of Recession"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-spending-keeping-the-economy-out-of-recession/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketHigh #EarningsSeason #AllTimeHigh #BifurcatedMarkets #Economics #Bitcoin #BitcoinETF #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/22/24) Earnings season continues with the bulk of S&P companies reporting this week: This should provide a clearer picture of how businesses are really doing. Why the Fed did QE according to Ben Bernanke: So Americans would feel better about the economy (never mind the fundamentals). Optimistic consumer confidence is now based on the guess that the Fed will cut rates this year. Markets achieve all-time high on Friday...but are now just .9% above break-even from two years ago. Watch markets set up for correction. All-time highs are like a magnet: How far can this momentum go? Commentary on the impact of AI on businesses, and the problem with AI replacements. Which companies are best able to take advantage of AI? Which companies will drive further development of AI, and how will this drive markets? Will long-term stock holding become shorter and shorter, as markets mimic casinos? The difference between political expediency vs fiscal responsibility: If the economy is doing so well, why are tax revenues down? Preview: Lance's Newsmax article on the economy vs markets; lack of financial education: Schools aren't teaching practical money skills. The problem w Buy Now/Pay Later schemes. How economic data is skewed, disparity between those who are doing well and those who are not. (Mrs. Roberts' Eyes) The election will be about the economy.SEG-1: Big Earnings Week: How Companies are really doingSEG-2: All-time Highs are Like MagnetsSEG-3: Which Companies are Best Able to Take Advantage of AI?SEG-4: The Economy vs Markets: Why they don't comportHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGzs0a8qzMY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reach All-time High on Friday," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=794JXvE2OhE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Debunking Davos' Bucketnomics"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGPUqRHXXWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=32s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Deficit Spending Keeping The Economy Out Of Recession"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-spending-keeping-the-economy-out-of-recession/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketHigh #EarningsSeason #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #BenBernanke #AI #Technology #2024Election #Economics #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/19/24) Richard and Danny debunk the just-concluded Davos World Economic Forum and the foolishness spewed therefrom, including "bucket-nomics." Davos, Schmavos. Markets have been wishy-washy to date. United Van Lines' recent survey of moving to- and from- trends is an interesting trend to note. The benefits of guaranteed income in retirement; Why Ken Fisher hates annuities: "stocks solve every problem?" The right way/wrong way to use annuities: Doing the annuity math. The pure definition of "annuity: Check for Life. The problem with Pension-linked Emergency Savings Accounts (PLEASA's).SEG-1: Bucket-nomics & Davos CommentarySEG-2: United Van Lines' Moving Survey; The Benefits of Guaranteed IncomeSEG-3: The Right Way/Wrong Way to Use AnnuitiesSEG-4: The Faulty Logic behind PLESA'sHosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGPUqRHXXWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=32s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Near-term Downside Risk to Gold Prices Surfaces," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=58Ffry66aR8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s-------Our previous show is here: "Is the End of Quantitative Easing Near?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BV1bMWuuaxU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Q4 Earnings Season Gets Underway With Low Expectations"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/q4-earnings-season-gets-underway-with-low-expectations/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Davos #WEF #Bucketnomics #Annuities #KenFisher #PLESA #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/18/24) Texas Weather's extreme mood-swings are on display; markets are in bore-mode until the stock buy back window opens again in two weeks; a look at Bitcoin, Gold, & Bonds; Is the Fed about to close down its quantitative easing play? The Yield Curve has invert, but is it about to un-invert? The Fed has a liquidity problem that is rising to the top: There's not enough collateral in the market, and the Fed's is about to take away liquidity: What do they see that we do not? How much leverage is still in the system? Michael's FNMA story; Banks are leveraged 10:1 today, underscoring the importance of overnight markets for survival. The potential of stopping QT to provide needed liquidity. Why interest rates cannot go higher: Too much leverage all the way around. Will the Magnificent-7 ride again? Markets have added 4% in valuations since 2008, but is that sustainable? No one is really willing to pop the leverage bubble. What is going to blow up next?SEG-1: Texas Weather & Boring MarketsSEG-2: Is the End of QT Near?SEG-3: Are There Cracks in the FInancial System We Cannot See?SEG-4: Will the Magnificent-7 Ride Again?Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=58Ffry66aR8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Near-term Downside Risk to Gold Prices Surfaces," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nTMOz5XHM10&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will Chilly Weather Heat Up Economic Data?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BV1bMWuuaxU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Q4 Earnings Season Gets Underway With Low Expectations"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/q4-earnings-season-gets-underway-with-low-expectations/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Bitcoin #Gold #Bonds #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #InterestRates #Liquidity #Magnificent7 #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/17/24) Texas and most of the nation are thawing out from the latest polar vortex: How will this impact economic numbers with the additional spending/expenses associated with cold weather? Will there be a spike in economic activity? The latest fad for kids: Scrawlish is a "new" way to write (and looks suspiciously like shorthand). Markets continue to work off over bought conditions. A preview/review of Q4 earnings so for: How estimates have shifted; a realistic look at valuations with a historical context; the way markets work & the fallacy in financial media. The theme of this year's World Economic Forum, "Rebuilding Trust." Good luck with that. Retail banking is now a write off for the nation's Big Banks, of which only and handful now hold 80% of banking customers. Why a proposed "fix" for bank overdraft fees is a bad idea.SEG-1: Texas Weather, Scrawlish, & The Magnificent 7 SEG-2: Q4 Earnings Review: How earnings estimates changeSEG-3: A real look at valuations & The Fallacy in Financial MediaSEG-4: How Banks Make MoneyHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BV1bMWuuaxU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Magnificent-7 be Magnificent Again?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMDXwQuinrM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Avoid the Retirement Income Death Spiral"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NNUAuf4jHaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Q4 Earnings Season Gets Underway With Low Expectations"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/q4-earnings-season-gets-underway-with-low-expectations/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #WinterWeather #EconomicData #TexasWeather #Scrawlish #Q4Earnings #EarningsEstimates #FinancialMedia #Valuations #BigBanks #BankFees #OverdraftProtection #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/12/24) Prepping for the Freeze, Earnings Season is already getting ugly, and looking at alternatives to hedge funds. Big Banks' earnings disappoint: Does this set up for an opportunity for investors? What is BlackRock seeing that we're not? The sexier the offer (Alt's), the greater the risk. Why even own an alt fund: Correlation with Bonds at 3X cost. How to handle Bitcoin ETF's. There's nothing behind Bitcoin; what is the product; where is the value; what is the asset? Investing during speculation: BackRock knows where the trend is going. What kind of asset is Bitcoin? Living on Social Security - redux: How to properly get out of the market? Avoiding principal deterioration and the Retirement Income Death Spiral (with sound effects). Retirees are in a headwind for returns; making proper adjustments to withdrawal rates. Accumulations vs Distributions; over-confidence and paralysis by analysis most stymie investors.SEC-1: Prepping for the Freeze, Ugly Earnings SeasonSEG-2: Do Disappointing Earnings Make for Opportunity?SEG-3: What's the Value Behind Bitcoin?SEG-4: Avoiding the Retirement Income Death SpiralHosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NNUAuf4jHaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are in Limbo Working Through Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WGu2pPTVB80&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Spot ETF's for Bitcoin Launch Today"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ZyhKIyseuc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"2024 Market & Economic Outlook According To Twitter"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/2024-market-economic-outlook-according-to-twitter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SocialSecurity #Retirement #BankEarnings #EarningsSeason #BitcoinETF #AltFunds #BlackRock #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/11/24) It's Inflation Day (CPI clocked-in at +.03% month-over-month: How will the Fed React, and how might markets respond? Will the Fed end QT in May, and restart QE by Q3? Bond allocations & Media Trust. Q4 earnings season commences with a steep decline in earnings estimates. Spot ETF's for Bitcoin launch today, thanks to SEC clearance. How much Bitcoin will actually be owned by ETF's, and what will this do to the supply-demand dynamic? ETF options will add another layer of risk. How will markets react to increase in CPI? How will the Fed respond to the increase? Largest component is housing costs. Why the Fed is so bad at managing inflation. [Weather warning: Hard freeze coming to HouTx on Monday-Tuesday: We may be on Memorex!] Market expectations for interest rate easing and reversal; The Fed Repo Program = excess liquidity: what happens when that runs dry? There is no sign of recession in economic data...for now.SEG-1: Inflation Day: What Will Markets Do?SEG-2: BitCoin ETF's & How We Got the SECSEG-3: How Will the Fed Respond to CPI?SEG-4: Weather Warning & Market Expectations for Interest RatesHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BCJtCN2kek&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prepare for the Q4 Earnings Parade,"is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5lpw9STGzHI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Could You Live Solely on Social Security?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ZyhKIyseuc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The Goldilocks Narrative Reigns For Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-goldilocks-narrative-reigns-for-now/"2024 Market & Economic Outlook According To Twitter"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/2024-market-economic-outlook-according-to-twitter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #EarningsEstimates #CPI #Inflation #Recession #InterestRates #Bitcoin #ETF #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/10/24) Lance Roberts condemns those who would phish our clients; markets are holding above 20-DMA. A look at mortality (like sands through an hourglass...) Cold Snaps in Texas; living on Social Security is not a good plan for retirement; warnings against bankrupting retirement for our kids; the future of Social Security and the perils of taking SS too soon. The Days of Our Lives alumni. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Phishing PSA, Markets Trade SidewaysSEG-2: Mortality, Cold Snaps, Retirement, & Living on SS, Pt.1SEG-3: Living on SS, Pt.2SEG-4: The Future of SS & Days of Our Lives--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ZyhKIyseuc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are in Limbo Working Through Correction,"is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WGu2pPTVB80&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Can Markets Defy Bearish Expectations?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpPOCfwlB-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"2024 Market & Economic Outlook According To Twitter"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/2024-market-economic-outlook-according-to-twitter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #SocialSecurity #Retirement #Recession #InterestRates #DaysOfOurLives #Phishing #Markets #Money #Investing
1/9/24) Wall Street begins a new round of quarterly earnings, looking at the results of Q4; estimates for 2024 are allready falling. What are you really paying for earnings? Why we have to be in ETF's, even though we don't like them. There is evidence of an uptick in inflation this year. Markets miss achieving January Trifecta by .13%, despite tax gain selling pressure. Will January be similarly weak? We polled our viewers/listeners for their takes on what 2024 will hold: Polling the People includes commentary on S&P 500 Seasonality and bullish sentiment, and where the markets may end in 2024. There's an expectation for negative returns, higher inflation, slower economic growth and Real GDP; higher unemployment, higher interest rates, and the odds for recession.Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Q4 Earnings Season BeginsSEG-2: Polling the People, Pt.1SEG-3: Polling the People, Pt.2SEG-4: Markets Within 1% of All-time Highs--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpPOCfwlB-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Missed It "By That Much"" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ra4-I32Ir1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=81s-------Our previous show is here: "Keep An Eye on Bankruptcies"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P8nFis1l8Xw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"2024 Market & Economic Outlook According To Twitter"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/2024-market-economic-outlook-according-to-twitter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #Inflation #Recession #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/8/24) What is up with airplane parts falling off in flight? Meanwhile, the first private sector lunar lander is launched in decades: The beauty behind "Hidden Figures" movie; looks like the January Trifecta could be short-lived; working off December's excesses. How deep will the pullback be? Congress' is enmeshed with another continuing resolution battle instead of mandated budgeting; that's how D.C. does business now. The conundrum of capital allocations in 2024: Wall St. doubles-down on bonds; will the Magnificent-7 lead again, or will last year's underperformers? What if interest rates come down but inflation stabilizes at 3%? no push for the Fed to act (not what's expected). What about the "in-between outcome?" Audacy bankruptcy and how best to spend ad dollars; broadcast vs social media. Keep an eye on bankruptcies; markets are now completely discounting recession, even though the risk remains. Insurance costs are on the rise, thanks to more cash sloshing around the economy, not because of increased disaster claims.Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Airplane Doors, Space Travel, & JanuarySEG-2: Continuing Resolutions, Budgets, and Kicking CansSEG-3: The Conundrum of Capital AllocationSEG-4: Audacy Bankruptcy, Media Revenues, & Insurance Rate Hikes--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P8nFis1l8Xw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Sector Rotation Be the Theme for 2024?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q4gpChz0Rw8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Be Resolute in 2024"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PtadzU_n_RE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Will 2024 Be The Year Of The Other 493?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-2024-be-the-year-of-the-other-493/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #Bankruptcy #CapitalAllocation #Audacy #ContinuingResolution #FederalBudgetDeficit #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/5/24) Richard and Danny are reunited for the new year: Lessons from last year: You cannot get enough out of stocks; if "Goldilocks" is already baked-in (with 6-rate cuts), what happens when cocaine bear appears? Greg Valliere background; Resolving to Be Resolute in 2024: Marking realistic milestones; why you don't have to save everything for retirement later. Classic Cars & phone chargers; improving your human capital; why stocks are not the be-all, end-all solutions for retirement income; the proper place for stocks, bonds, and other types of investments; stocks vs ETF's. Stop the competition.Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Lessons from Last YearSEG-2: Resolving to be Resolute: Marking milestonesSEG-3: Classic Cars & Phone Chargers; Improving Human CapitalSEG-4: The Proper Place for Stocks & Bonds--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PtadzU_n_RE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Sector Rotation Be the Theme for 2024?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohaE8nQ1nHQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What the Latest Fed Meeting Minutes Mean"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aol1v6hfATk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Will 2024 Be The Year Of The Other 493?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-2024-be-the-year-of-the-other-493/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #2024Resolutions #RetirementIncome #HumanCapital #GregValliere #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/4/24) Santa fails to deliver at Broad & Wall Street; Economic data is coming: Is employment softening? January declines decimate December's gains: This is the correction we needed, but stocks are still trading above their 50-DMA. Fed Meeting minutes: What about QT or a taper? The Fed seems to be looking for moderation to keep things from getting out of control. The Fed is alluding to seeing something no one else does, but not saying what. Hunting on the border with Starlink ; pressure for market sell-off on large stocks; what about the other 493 stocks in the S&P? Is the shift temporary? Market Champions & Super Bowl Teams: Rarely repeat back-to-back wins. Customer defections from streaming services: Could this be the next leading economic indicator? The flaws in "the data:" looking at the veracity.Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Santa Fails to Visit Broad & WallSEG-2: Fed Meeting Minutes: What about QT?SEG-3: Hunting w Starlink; the Other 493 StocksSEG-4: Customer Defections from Streaming Services--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aol1v6hfATk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Sector Rotation Be the Theme for 2024?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohaE8nQ1nHQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Take January With a Grain of Salt "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hapop8fM5Lc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Will 2024 Be The Year Of The Other 493?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-2024-be-the-year-of-the-other-493/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #SantaClausRally #MarketDeclines #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #Starlink #StreamingServices #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/3/24) Millennials' Bare Minimum Monday's could produce some unexpected results; setting up for January market performance in a Presidential cycle; will the Magnificent 7 produce a repeat performance in 2024? Markets on Tuesday corrected to bounce off the 20-DMA, with high tech names under pressure. Buy-signals triggered for Bonds. Rich Dad/Poor Dad Czar Kiyosaki's debt philosophies and how to properly leverage debt. Home Sales & inventory: Are we seeing the start of trouble in the sector? Wall Street axioms & The January Trifecta; take them with a grain of salt. Mistakes in portfolio & market perspectives, year to year. Social Security COLA for 2024; making choices to fix SS are vote killers for politicians. Retirement planning & Monte Carlo simulations; the future is not going to be the past.Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Bare Minimum Mondays, Millennials, & MarketsSEG-2: Rich Dad/Poor Dad - Good Debt/ Bad DebtSEG-3: Wall St. Axioms & January TrifectaSEG-4: SS COLA & Monte Carlo Retirement Planning--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hapop8fM5Lc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the Market Correction Go Deeper?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0SP5r9WS3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Investor Resolutions for 2024"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuRuGa8oR-k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=53s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #JanuaryTrifecta #SocialSecurity #COLA #RobertKiyosaki #LeveragingDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/2/24) 2023 Market Returns & News Review: S&P up 24% for 2023. Important to recognize the macro narrative is not always as dire as it appears. Will last year's market exuberance carry thru? Market returns for 2024 start at zero; the Santa Claus Rally continues; wait a bit for investing opportunity. Looking at Liquidity: What is needed for market corrections? Something no one expects. If you're thinking about it, the market has already priced it in. It will be something to which markets cannot quickly adapt. Fireworks and dogs, January historical performance; three reasons for investor shortfalls; Investor resolutions for the new year. Reviewing Market Performance for 2023: It's okay to pay taxes; means you made money. Three Rules for Investors: Homework, homework, homework.Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Macro Narratives Are Not as Dire as They SeemSEG-2: Looking at Liquidity: What's needed for a market downturnSEG-3: Three Reasons for Investor Shortfalls in 2023SEG-4: Investor Resolutions for 2024--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuRuGa8oR-k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=53s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Returns Reset to Zero," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElUW-ujcYcI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What do the Super Bowl & the Stock Market Have in Common?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAYKPk8GQso&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=645s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #2024InvestorResolutions #SantaClausRally #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/21/23) It's the final live-show of 2023: We look at New Year's market indicators, the Super Bowl & the Bandwagon Effect; someone will be wrong next year. Economic data is starting to improve, which will be problematic for the Fed. The "worst market sell-off since September(!)" Simmer down; this has been expected. Market gains were "Gone in 120-minutes," less time than the movie. The dash for trash: FOMO & the bandwagon effect. What does the Fed know that they're not telling? Some turbulence ahead: Expect a soft landing to be "bumpy." Headwinds will come from the lag effect of the Fed's liquidity injections. Watch for volatility, epecially if the Fed has to raise rates to combat rising inflation; what happened to home sales? From Enron to the SPAC's: Where were the auditors? How the SEC consistently fails to effectively intervene. The Fannie Mae story; the problem with FASBE Rules, and the revolving door between the SEC and Wall Street.Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Market Indicators in the New YearSEG-2: The Dash for TrashSEG-3: The Bandwagon EffectSEG-4: From Enron to SPAC's: Where were the Auditors?--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAYKPk8GQso&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=645s--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Correction Finally Comes," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j7SeUMBTBOw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the 'Soft-landing' Scenario Dangerous?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=culaZn8jBVc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SoftLanding #SuperBowl #Recession #FederalReserve #MarketCorrection #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/20/23) What are we to do between Christmas and New Year's? Santa Claus is coming to Broad & Wall (on the Tuesday after Christmas); economic growth estimated now at 3%; defining 'recession;' Small-caps vs Large-caps. Rally Thesis: The Fed will cut rates on 2024;buy-now, pay-later expansion into Wal-Mart; the Gen-X wealth gap; the soft-landing scenario; Jerome Powell didn't pivot in his statement, but in long-term projections for 2024; the consumer hasn't slowed down...yet. The flaw in the 'soft-landing' scenario; Apple accessories & chargers; earnings aren't growing to match the market; earnings 'expansion.' Where will the next market rotation be? Why returns can be deceptive; importance of comparing annual rates of return; your investing success depends upon when you start. Jobs without a college degree.Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: What do we do between Christmas & New Year's?SEG-2: The Thesis Behind the Soft-landing ScenarioSEG-3: The Flaw in the Soft-landing ScenarioSEG-4: Why Returns Can Be Deceptive; Jobs without college degrees--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=culaZn8jBVc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Large Caps Will Lead in 2024," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MuKmKt2bxIo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How to Respond to the Powell Pivot"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDP9vDNYJ8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SoftLanding #Recession #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #MarketCorrection #Immigration #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/19/23) Markets are winding-down to the Christmas hoiday; trading volumes will be light. We've seen record inflows to S&P 500 ETF's as markets have rallied = too much exuberance. Forgetting the basisc: Buy under-valued, sell over-valued. How the Dollar drives markets. Counting out the 12-days of Christmas: Why so many birds? Sell cash, buy stocks, as Powell pivots; how government intervention (the Fed) affects investor psychology: Did we get our money's worth? Where did all that money go?? the disconnect of markets from the economy; market rescues funded on debt. Pre-market commentary; holiday spending: more money, less stuff; Lance's weekend on the border; earnings preview: Shipping & freight commentary; don't expect a big crash. Yet. Unexpected, exogenous events are catalysts of catastrophe. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Markets Winding-down to Christmas; Dollar Effects in the new YearSEG-2: 12-Days of Christmas Recounted; Sell Cash, Buy StocksSEG-3: Where Did All that Money Go?SEG-4: Weekend on the Border; Not Looking for a Crash. Yet.--------Watch today's show video here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDP9vDNYJ8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What a Dollar Rally Could Do for the Markets ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Z7tW5UWVms&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Has Market Exuberance Gotten Out of Hand?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4tWjBhk9Ac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=188s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #USDollar #ChristmasShopping #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #TexasBorder #Immigration #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/18/23) It's the week before Christmas and on Broad & Wall, though Lance's shopping list is empty, he's not hitting the mall! Did markets mistake what Jerome Powell really said last week? The current market rally is long in the tooth: 7-weeks running a buying stampede; correction is inevitable. 46% of S&P is at all-time highs. Will markets drift higher through the end of the year? Santa Claus Rally defined (it extends into January). Has market exuberance gotten out of hand? How much more salary would make you happy? What Dave Ramsey IS right about: Getting out of debt. Stock ownership is on the rise: Almost back to where it was pre-1999.Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive ProducerSEG-1: Correction is ComingSEG-2: Has Market Exuberance Gone Too Far?SEG-3: More money, less debtSEG-4: Christmas Rules, Chinese Buffet, & Stock Ownership--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Santa Claus Rally Arrives Ahead of Schedule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7d8Ke2jCTg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Much Will You Spend on Your Pet (and other pet peeves) in 2024?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4tWjBhk9Ac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=188s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/"The 'American Dream' Isn’t Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #ChristmasShopping #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #StockOwnership #DaveRamsey #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/15/23) Forget the Santa Claus rally: After this week's Fed announcement, it's the Jerome Powell rally. Don't fight the Fed. Darden Restaurants & Ruth's Chris Steakhouse; reactions to Fed statement; Does Jerome Powell wear a Santa suit? Has owning a pet become a luxury? Financial Planning for Pets: $2,640 avg. annual expense; making emotional decisions about money. The benefits of pet ownership and caring for pets. Pet Sitters & IRS rules for 1099 reporting personal transactions vs side gigs. What happens when you start taking SS early? Knowing the thresholds: Were The Little Rascals in on a welfare scam? SEG-1: The Jerome Powell RallySEG-2: Has Owning a Pet Become a Luxury?SEG-3: Pet Sitters & IRS RulesSEG-4: What Happens When You Take SS EarlyHosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4tWjBhk9Ac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Santa Claus Rally Arrives Ahead of Schedule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7d8Ke2jCTg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Fed Pivots"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njWj-nMpjxs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/"The 'American Dream' Isn’t Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FOMC #JeromePowell #PetCare #PetSitter #IRSrules #SocialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/14/23) Throwing caution to the wind, a dovish FOMC takes the bearish stance away from markets; markets are forming a cup-and-handle pattern, suggesting a rally to record-highs; but that does not preclude a 3- to-5% correction. Bond yields are to fall. Out of control tipping; how the Fed trained investors to expect backup; the Fed's pivot to dovishness: What do they know that we do not? The benefits of lower rates vs risk of more inflation; financial conditions are easing. Look for a huge short-cover rally, and then get ready for correction. But first, more record-highs. Bullish vs bearish commentary; a look at the FRED database; the key phrase is "effective rate." Excess liquidity is leaving the system; where will the Fed turn when it needs more money? THe Fed is still doing QT, reducing liquidity. Economic data remains weak; is the Fed attempting to micro-manage the economy to a soft-landing? The Fed really doesn't know what it's doing.SEG-1: FOMC Throwing Caution to the WindSEG-2: Tip-shaming & How the Fed Trained InvestorsSEG-3: After the Rally, Get Ready for CorrectionsSEG-4: Is the Fed Micro-managing the Economy?Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njWj-nMpjxs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Santa Claus Rally Arrives Ahead of Schedule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7d8Ke2jCTg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Elf on the Shelf & The American Dream"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DSERk7Bn1vI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/"The 'American Dream' Isn’t Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FOMC #CPI #Inflation #BondYield #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/13/23) CPI came in right on the money, and now attention turns to the Fed meeting today, and tomorrow's comments from Chairman Jerome Powell. What does the Fed want: Inflation vs deflation vs disinflation; yields need to come down; meanwhile markets continue to climb setting new highs, but not new record-highs. The Elf on the Shelf explained; embodiment of The American Dream; cost now more than ever, unless you create it; what the American Dream is NOT; the value in learning a trade; defining your personal American Dream; how to beat the high cost of the American Dream (The Millionaire Next Door); baby cribs, diamond rings, & funeral costs.SEG-1: CPI on the Money; Fed Day RevealSEG-2: The Elf on the Shelf & The American Dream, Pt. 1SEG-3: The Elf on the Shelf & The American Dream, Pt. 2SEG-4: Buying the American Dream (and beating the costs)Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny RatliffProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DSERk7Bn1vI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Haven't Generated Record Highs. Yet," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3Dqb8-jTpc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are Markets Front-running Rate Cuts?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi7ygBOQt2c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/"The 'American Dream' Isn’t Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #AmericanDream #ElfOnTheShelf #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/12/23) It's CPI Day, and November inflation clocked-in at an expected rate of .1%, which now begs the answer to tomorrow's question: Will the Fed do? A review of market performance vs portfolio performance: What metric are you using to measure success? Market history vs current market dynamics, and the investor conundrum" How "this time" could very well be different. We have seen a classical conditioning of the markets: The Fed always comes to the rescue. All you need to know about QE from Ben Bernanke in 2010. Al Gore is up in arms over no elimination of fossil fuels (which are necessary for life as we know it). Tik-Tok news and "adult" discussions; Poll: Are economic conditions getting worse? Data sources. Composites of the CPI: What matters more--CPI or Core CPI (what the Fed looks at). Markets are betting the Fed is done...but, the Fed has not said: Wants lower asset prices, slower economic growth and higher unemployment and disinflation. Market pre-open commentary; changes in market psychology.SEG-1: CPI Day & Fed PreviewSEG-2: The Fed's Classical Conditioning of the MarketsSEG-3: Are Economic Conditions Getting Worse?SEG-4: Composites of the CPIHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi7ygBOQt2c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Measuring Markets By Equal-weighting Better?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wU88QqvjKqc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Ten Steps to Achieving the 'American Dream'"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpGNCtFVKvk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2449s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The 'American Dream' Isn’t Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPause #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/11/23) Friday's employment report was not great: comprised pf mostly striking workers returning to the job; factor out anomalies, and it was a very weak report: Weak enough for markets to hope for Fed to further pause rate hikes? What will the Fed say on Wednesday? The risk of correction from a hawkish Fed. Markets set new highs for 2023 but remain at zero for the past 22-months. The end of the buyback window; when the buying stampede is over. Managing money is a game of inches. Is the 'American Dream' really dead? Ten steps to achieve the 'American Dream;' age discrimination in the extreme.SEG-1: Why the Employment Report DisappointedSEG-2: Managing Money is a Game of InchesSEG-3: The 'American Dream' is not DeadSEG-4: Ten Steps to Achieve the 'American Dream'Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpGNCtFVKvk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2449s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set New 2023 High," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xzvIyAAvdbE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "When the Fed's "Wait-and-See" means "Pause""https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The 'American Dream' Isn’t Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EmploymentReport #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPause #AmericanDream #Capitalism #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/8/23) Markets and the Fed are at odds in interest rate expectations; AMD vs NVDIA in the chip wars; why markets are pulling back: Setting up for a Santa Claus rally. Will Jobs numbers line-up with market expectations? T-Bill & Chill? Putting cash to work in a 5% world. Bankers are betting you're going to be lazy; what will you do when rates go back down? What will be the next "Magnificent-7?" S&P predictions for 2024; how we make the sausage;. Healthcare costs in retirement: The value of an HSA. THe Medicare enrollment maze. End of year chores; charitable contributions & Long Term Care; new rules for 529 Plans: What if the money isn't used? Moving money to Roth IRA (within limits).SEG-1: Will Jobs Numbers Line-up w Market Expectations?SEG-2: Putting Cash to Work in a 5% WorldSEG-3: What are the Next Magnificent-7?SEG-4: Dealing w Healthcare Expenses in RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors' Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=442R_6H1Iac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the VIX is Saying" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfoZlCvRcrY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "#Bitcoin Back in the Headlines"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The Fed Pauses: What Comes Next?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-pauses-what-comes-next/"Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/"Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #FedPause #BondMarket #Jobs #FederalReserve #MagnificentSeven #NVDIA #AMD #ChipWars #Retirement #Healthcare #HSA #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/7/23) Markets are hoping for a Santa Claus rally; Jobless claims and employment numbers preview: What will the Fed do? What the VIX is telling us; low level of volatility will reverse; Oil Prices continue to correct, but over-sold; Bitcoin back in the headlines, but technically overbought. Narratives have taken hold of Bond prices; if the Fed wants a soft-landing, taking it off auto-pilot, and lower rates now. The repercussions of lower rates; MTV Debut, new rules for major banks' reserve; either go completely under government control, or exist as independent private business, and be allowed to fail without bailouts. Why the government wants to force banks to hold more reserves: Buy more bonds. Bitcoin: Why is Jamie Dimon so opposed? The alternative to banking. The difference between Bitcoin vs Blockchain; Crypto is the ultimate fiat currency, backed by nothing. Why Dimon should fear blockchain.SEG-1: Hoping for a Santa Claus RallySEG-2: Why the Fed Should Cut Rates NowSEG-3: Pearl Harbor, MTV, & New Banking RulesSEG-4: Banking Rules & Blockchain FearsHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mG6OntjdyFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=226s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the VIX is Saying" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfoZlCvRcrY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will 2024 See a Soft-landing, Recession...or Worse?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The Fed Pauses: What Comes Next?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-pauses-what-comes-next/"Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/"Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPause #BondMarket #Blockchain #Bitcoin #MTV #BankingReserves #JamieDimon #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/6/23) Will there be a soft-landing, recession, or worse in 2024...or not until 2025? There is still lots of liquidity sloshing around the system. Focus on risk management & timing management; markets cannot seem to break out of present trading range; stock buyback window closes on Friday. End of year maneuvers should include RMD's, charitable giving, HSA's, and tax-loss harvesting; don't ignore the wash rule! Why jobs matter: Yield curves are inverted; when they un-invert will herald recession: The big question is when?? Markets have had zero-returns over past two years. Why time in the market matters--especially if you're young. Risk management is more important when you're older; the 50/20/30 Rule.SEG-1: Recession 2024 or 2025?SEG-2: End of Year ManeuversSEG-3: JOLTS & Jobs: Why Employment MattersSEG-4: Why Time in the Market MattersHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens When Buybacks Go Away " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qO6Q-jBIrzg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is There Hope for 2024?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edbQ1Zq94GE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/"Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EconomicRecession #MarketCorrection #Inflation #RiskManagement #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/5/23) There have been fewer declining economic surprises of late as the economy weakens. We're noting a surge in use of buy-now/pay-later services; Economic data is artificially inflated: GDP vs GDI. One problem with weaker economic growth: 2024 Earnings estimates will be hard to meet. Markets sold off Monday, with bouts of buying; year-end window-dressing is underway. Why analysts are always bullish (85% of the time, markets ARE). The Big Business of Wall Street: Who's really important to Wall Street. How IPO's really work. Analysts' actual performance revealed vs what they're p[redicting fro 2024. The problem with self-checkout & retail theft; creation of more inflation; Gen-Z's five-finger discount habit.SEG-1: Optimistic Share Price Forecasts May Be hard to MeetSEG-2: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-1.SEG-3: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-2.SEG-4: Self-check, Retail Theft, & InflationHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edbQ1Zq94GE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Begin Year-End Gyrations" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9IV8Jl3yxgw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=4s-------Our previous show is here: "Is the 'Everything' Rally Over? "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZ9mG16LQIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2086s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #InvestorOptimism #AnalystPositivy #AnalystPerformance #2024EarningsEstimates #RetailTheft #SelfCheckout #GenerationZ #FiveFingerDiscount #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/4/23) Welcome to the first full week of December trading; a review of Mrs. Roberts' Birthday Weekend; market-wise, the stock buy back window is closing; expectations for a hawkish Fed statement next week; mutual fund distributions are coming; be cautious about being overly bullish. Rotations from the Magnificent Seven are beginning; the 'Everything' Rally went too far, too fast. We're back where we were in July; losses were mitigated by the Magnificent Seven. Chasing last year's leaders is not a good idea. As we wrap up 2023, we believe December will be more muted, barely positive. Recession talk has not abated, slower growth is expected, which is why the Fed had paused. Jerome Powell is not in as good a position as before, saying it is "premature to conclude when policy might ease." The Fed is willing to increase rates again to avoid deflation. Indicators still say Recession is likely. Earnings season wrap up, economic numbers preview; a reminder to do your RMD's NOW!SEG-1: Be Cautious About Being BullishSEG-2: Is the 'EVerything' Rally Really Over?SEG-3: Why Recession Talk Has Not AbatedSEG-4: Earnings Season Wraps; Economic Numbers PreviewsHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZ9mG16LQIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2086s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Sell-off Nigh for the Magnificent Seven?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=maJXM79poJ4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will You Be Visited by Ghosts of Financial Mistakes-past?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHQ-vptVe1k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Context And Facts Expose Bearish Bond Narratives"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/context-and-facts-expose-bearish-bond-narratives/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #NASDAQ #MagnificentSeven #EverythingRally #Recession #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/1/23) The next James Bond movie should be called, "Convexity," starring Michael Lebowitz; looking at the Climate Summit: What's on Bill Gates' agenda? ESG is a farce; it's all about big business; eating bugs and drinking beetle juice. How to execute Thematic Investing; what are the rules needed to manage? The Magazine of Wall Street: How times have changed. Financial Ghosts-past: learning from your mistakes. Calculating your personal debt-to-income ratio, and our recommendations; the wisdom of waiting; wants vs needs. Careful of using online tools to calculate debt ratios (know the source!) "Standard Rules" vs reality. Home affordability and the trend toward smaller houses. Money Scripts & the $5 test: The Ratliff Safe (TM)SEG-1: Convexity & Climate SummitsSEG-2: Thematic Investing & The Magazine of Wall StreetSEG-3: Financial Ghosts: Learning from your mistakesSEG-4: Using Online Budgeting Tools & The Ratliff SafeHosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHQ-vptVe1k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Need a Breather" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMOtmA1IJ8w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Doing the Bond Math Amid Fiscal Dysfunction"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sFql9LaclI0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Context And Facts Expose Bearish Bond Narratives"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/context-and-facts-expose-bearish-bond-narratives/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #BondInvesting #ClimateSummit #ESG #ThematicInvesting #FinancialGhosts #DebtRatio #MoneyScripts #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/30/23) Face-off Movie, Bond Math, and Market Preview: How does the Consumer continue to spend? Texas' Christmas spending habits = $817/avg. Budgeting for Christmas w price pressure in mind. Will interest rates be but next year (why wouild the Fed do that)? Michael Lebowitz helps crunch the Bond Math: What price changes mean in the Bond Market. What is the credit risk to consider? How will you be paid? Recession is inevitable; how long do you want to hold a bond? Discounts vs Yields: doing the bond math (Bondilocks) factoring duration in getting paid; the higher the yield, the shorter the duration. Narrative Economics & The Federal Debt: what is happening to debt service? Is the US Fiscally-dysfunctional? Slwer Growth, less wealth, deflation are the results. It's the interest expense that's killing us. debt to GDP is declining...for now: The Government can't fix the deficit, but it CAN lower interest rates. SEG-1: How Does the Consumer Continue to Spend?SEG-2: Crunching the Bond MathSEG-3: Inside Lance's Head ; Discounts vs YieldsSEG-4: Narrative Economics & The Federal DebtHosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sFql9LaclI0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Need a Breather" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMOtmA1IJ8w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What Would Charlie Munger Do?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Hd51fQl49A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=387s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Context And Facts Expose Bearish Bond Narratives"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/context-and-facts-expose-bearish-bond-narratives/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #BondMath #FiscalDysfunction #InterestRates #DeficitSpending #ConsumerSpending #Yields Markets #Money #Investing
(11/29/23) Berkshire Hathaway #2 man, Charlie Munger has passed at age 99; Danny & Jon review his greatest quotes & investing philosophies; Mark Cuben divests his majority stake in the Dallas Mavericks; market & economic numbers commentary; chances for rate cuts by June are on the rise; Cyber Monday sales up +9%, but consumers purchased fewer items. Quoting Charlie Munger: Understanding what you own, sitting & thinking, wealth = independence, importance of continually learning, passion vs brains. Where's Lance? Peppermint patties & frozen Twinkies; financial to-do list: checking beneficiaries, reviewing estate plan, do the will, check annuities; also, RMD's, tax-loss harvesting, last minute contributions to charity, HSA vs FSA, and Roth conversions.SEG-1: Mark Cuban divests, Charlie Munger dies; Market review, economics previewSEG-2: Favorite Quotes & Quips from Charlie MungerSEG-3: Where's Lance & Year-end Things To DoSEG-4: Financial Prep for 2024Hosted by RIA Advisors' Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Hd51fQl49A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=387s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Need a Breather" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMOtmA1IJ8w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "If You Think You Made Too Much Money this Year..."https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn5EV_97zQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"S&P 500 Market Returns And Why Your Performance Is Worse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-market-returns-and-why-your-performance-is-worse/"Complacency Seems Overly Complacent"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/complacency-seems-overly-complacent/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CharlieMunger #BerkshireHathaway #MarkCuban #ConsumerSpending #RothIRA #Roth401k #FSA #HSA #EstatePlan #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/28/23) After a protracted Thanksgiving break, Danny and Jonathan preview markets and economic releases this week, along with Fed minutes & holiday spending trends: Thanksgiving wasn't cheap, and Christmas is going on credit cards. The rate of inflation may be lower, but prices are still going up. Holiday chaos, hippie cookies (sorry, Michelle), and what to do with extra cash? Will rates be lower next year? Defining the Yield Curve (and wy it matters); The Hierarchy of Savings; what's your number? Taxes are about to change (revert higher) in 2025; What's the difference between a Roth IRA & Roth 401k? SEG-1: Market Review, Economic Preview, Christmas on CreditSEG-2: Holiday Chaos, Hippie Cookies, & Extra CashSEG-3: Defining the Yield Curve; What's Your Number?SEG-4: Roth IRA vs Roth 401k: What's the Difference?Hosted by RIA Advisors' Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn5EV_97zQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Need a Breather" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMOtmA1IJ8w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why the S&P is Up 17% and You're Not"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xfns3GpZZ2Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"S&P 500 Market Returns And Why Your Performance Is Worse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-market-returns-and-why-your-performance-is-worse/"Complacency Seems Overly Complacent"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/complacency-seems-overly-complacent/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #HolidaySpending #ChristmasCredit #Inflation #YieldCurve #RothIRA #Roth401k #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/21/23) Earnings Season continues with NVIDIA set to report this evening after the bell: expectations are high, and if there's a miss, markets may punish. Markets have become very elevated only a month after everyone was so pessimisti. The Bond Market continues to surprise with a stellar acution of 20-year bonds. Will there be a Recession, a soft-landing, or no Reccession in 2024? Who knows?? Markets are over bought and need to take a breather at this point. The Recovering Californian & real turkey; the annual performance comparison: Don't make this mistake! Why your portfolio hasn't kept up with the S&P this year; the problem with comparisons; the origin of Turduckens; the truth about Home Sales numbers.SEG-1: Recession, Soft-landing, or No Recession in 2024?SEG-2: Why the S&P is Up 17% and You're NotSEG-3: The Evil of ComparisonsSEG-4: Thanksgiving Eve eve, Turduckens, & Home SalesHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xfns3GpZZ2Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Need a Breather" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMOtmA1IJ8w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Year of The Magnificent Seven"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=blvFign-AWA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"S&P 500 Market Returns And Why Your Performance Is Worse"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-market-returns-and-why-your-performance-is-worse/"Complacency Seems Overly Complacent"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/complacency-seems-overly-complacent/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #NVIDIA #AI #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/20/23) A look at the highest-grossing horror films of all time, and holiday week markets: July's market exuberance was followed by a predicted decline into October, which was entirely normal for any given year. Now markets are over bought, and another pullback is imminent, likely between now and next week. Meanwihle, with many traders on holiday, silly season has descended upon Wall street. Portfolio managers will be rebalancing for end-of-year reporting and distributions. How will 2024 fare? Consumer Spending will be the driver. Automobiles & airfares are cheaper than one year ago; can these help create an "updraft" for the economy? There's no slowdown in activity...yet. Coming will be holiday retails sales & Black Friday; the Roberts' Christmas Wish Lists. Market preview; Gold trading sideways; oil prices are due for a rise; NVIDIA earnings expected to be high (but could disappoint); Retail sales data released this week will be for October: Look for commentary on foot traffic and consumption patterns.SEG-1: Horror Films and Holiday MarketsSEG-2: Silly Season Has ArrivedSEG-3: Holiday Travel, Inflation , & Making Ends MeetSEG-4: Market Preview: What Retail Sales will SayHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Not-so-Bad News is Good" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VqHz--Lwcy0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Defining "Safe" Retirement Spending: Is the 4% Rule Back?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iR6uRWwmEY8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Complacency Seems Overly Complacent"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/complacency-seems-overly-complacent/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketPullback #HolidayTrading #SillySeason #RetailSales #HolidayTravel #Inflation #EconomicSentiment #Thanksgiving #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/17/23) Richard Rosso's adventures in Houston traffic, market seasonality, and stock-bond correlation: Why would the Fed cut interest rates now? WalMart's results: What are companies going to do during deflation? Richard calls the Butterball Turkey Hotline; spending survey results for 2023 & Consumer Sentiment indexes: Why are American's still spending? The WalMart Parking Lot Indicator. Withdrawal Rates & Recency Bias: Why Dave Ramsey is wrong about withdrawal rates. MorningStar: Dealing with higher fixed-income rates: not here to stay. Why the 4% Withdrawal Rate is back...for now. Sequence of Returns & Guaranteed Income when the withdrawal rate is not constant.SEG-1: Driving in Houston & Market SeasonalitySEG-2: Butterball Turkey Talk Line & Spending Results for 2023SEG-3: Withdrawal rates & Recency Bias: Ramsey is WrongSEG-4: Sequence of Returns Risks & Guaranteed IncomeHosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iR6uRWwmEY8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Not-so-Bad News is Good" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdv5qsINM00&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Year of The Magnificent Seven"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=blvFign-AWA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Employment Is Sending Signals: Recession Or Normalization?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/employment-is-sending-signals-recession-or-normalization/"Speculator Or Investor? What’s The Difference?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculator-or-investor-whats-the-difference/"Bond Rates Drop As Recession Fears Return"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #RetirementSpending #4%Rule #Inflation #EconomicSentiment #ButterballTurkey #Thanksgiving #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/16/23) This will be The Year of the Magnificent Seven--those dominant stocks that have powered the markets, responsible for 112% of this year's gains. Markets are working through earnings season; Target & WalMart: A tale of Two Retailers. Markets are returning to overbought conditions, ripe for a pullback. Best opportunities to add exposure will likely be post-Thanksgiving. The problem with easing financial conditions for the Fed: heighten exuberance leads to more spending & inflation. 20- Fed speakers this week made no mention of this. Recession will occur when employment turns sour. Fed guidance to markets: Not saying anything for a while, positioning to be "right," regardless of outcome. Why would the Fed cut rates? That's the Fed's conundrum. What does the Fed know that they're not telling the rest of us? Comparing 2016-19 to now: The Fed managed rate changes and the lag effect, saving the hedge funds. What happens in an economy dependent upon credit? Higher rates creating stress in the system.SEG-1: The Year of the Magnificent SevenSEG-2: The Fed's Problem w Easing Financial ConditionsSEG-3: The Fed's Inflation ConundrumSEG-4: What Does the Fed Know They're not Telling Us?Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=blvFign-AWA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Not-so-Bad News is Good" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdv5qsINM00&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Fed IS Done Raising Rates"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fC87RoUuH3w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=42s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Employment Is Sending Signals: Recession Or Normalization?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/employment-is-sending-signals-recession-or-normalization/"Speculator Or Investor? What’s The Difference?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculator-or-investor-whats-the-difference/"Bond Rates Drop As Recession Fears Return"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FAANGstocks #MagnificentSeven #FederalReserve #CPI #Inflation #EconomicSentiment #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/15/23) What if Congress conducted its business in the fighting ring? Democracy is now Idiocracy. Market response to weaker CPI numbers results in a rally, and the Fed is done with raising rates. But...lower inflation numbers will be an encouragement for more sonsumer spending and elevate market moods, resulting in inflation. Markets rally through the 100-DMA, becoming key support. Markets are now over bought after retracing 78.6% of losses from the highs of Summer. PPI Preview & Christmas Shopping free for wall; don't be surprised by a market stall; bond yields are bouncing around; don't count the consumer down and out just yet. Understanding market sentiment through technical analysis. The need for confirmnation; the Death Cross in the Dow: Headlines and false narratives. Toyota's hybrid Camry; Secure Act 2.0 and changes to 529's: What if the money's not used? Defininf "college expenses," accountable to the IRS. The value of harvesting grant money for college; hiring a grant consultant.SEG-1: Market Response to Weaker CPISEG-2: Never Rule-out the ConsumerSEG-3: Understanding Market Sentiment thru Technical AnalysisSEG-4: Changes to 529 Plans under Secure Act 2.0Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fC87RoUuH3w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=42s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Watch for Pullbacks Toward the 100-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bd5I57xSvoo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Economy Slowing More than We Know?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr0oq5N4m3Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Speculator Or Investor? What’s The Difference?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculator-or-investor-whats-the-difference/"Bond Rates Drop As Recession Fears Return"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #EconomicSentiment #College529 #SecureAct2 #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/14/23) This is the last, full week of trading before the holidays hit; What will drive today's CPI number: Home owners' equivalent rent. Can the S&P exceed Friday's high? Markets are turning resistance into support, still no the backs of large cap companies; market is bifurcated vs mid- and small-cap companies. Oil Prices are under pressure; Gold is trading in a flat range. Markets are shrugging off bad news; spending bill needs to be done by Friday; Lance's budget commentary, and what really happens when the government shuts down. Why Home Depot is a bellwether for consumer spending; The economy is likely slowing down even more than we know. Self-checking groceries in inflationary times: Shrinkage goes from 2% to 4%. The collision of what you need vs what you can afford. Shopping on Amazon. If spending is slower, lower earnings and yields will result. The dynamic of economic sentiment and presidential elections. Financial Times poll: Are you better off now? 35% yes/65% no. 82% see rising prices as stressors. What to do about inflation? Stop spending money in Washington. SEG-1: Last Full Week of Trading Before HolidaysSEG-2: Markets Shrugging off Bad NewsSEG-3: Home Depot: The Bellwether for Consumer SpendingSEG-4: Economic Sentiment & Presidential ElectionsHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr0oq5N4m3Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Under Pressure" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7QOZ3OImww&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Recession Fears Return as Bond Rates Drop"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZvwtGypsLQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=31s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Speculator Or Investor? What’s The Difference?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculator-or-investor-whats-the-difference/"Bond Rates Drop As Recession Fears Return"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #HomeDepot #EconomicBellwether #CongressionalSpending #CongressionalBudget #EconomicSentiment #PresidentialElection #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/13/23) CPI for October comes out tomorrow; PPI is released on Thursday; we're looking at sloppy trading until after Thanksgiving; how much will the resumption of student loan payments impact consumer spending for the holidays? Bond Yields are dropping in anticipation of recession. Markets on Friday retreated, then tested and surpassed 50-DMA, onward to the 100-DMA. Some stalling expected today; use subsequent rally to reduce portfolio risk. The next Congressional spending battle looms; how to cut spending: Adopt a budget. No budget in place since Obama. We could use a good government shut down for about 45-days or so. 60th Anniversary of The Improv (when comedians were clean AND funny). 2024 Economic Preview: Recession coming? The Employment Conundrum: There have been no new jobs added, just re-hires of pandemic-layoffs. The Door Dash Story: No more customer service. Lance's next gig: Dog Psychologist.SEG-1: CPI/PPI PreviewSEG-2: The Next Spending BattleSEG-3: 2024 Economic Preview: Recession or No?SEG-4: Door Dash, Customer Service, & Pet PsychicsHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZvwtGypsLQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=31s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Using the Rally to Rebalance Risk" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1NYrwVgUNvg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "What Would You Give Up to Ensure SS is Around for You? "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jIl7mL-W5gg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Bond Rates Drop As Recession Fears Return"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Recession #BondYields #Employment #CongressionalSpending #CongressionalBudget #SoftLanding #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/10/23) The markets' kabosh: Every word the Fed says moves the mood; the Fed is likely to tighten once more in 2024; real wages are down; wage growth matters; Where's Ratliff? Bankrate.com survey on consumer debt & credit card usage on the rise; putting together a Christmas spending budget; how much a visit to Santa's Wonderland costs Richard; looking at US inflation & China deflation. How to properly take distributions from HSA's; treat HSA funds like a retirement 401k: Should be the last account from which to draw down funds. Talking to your adult kids about Open Enrollment. The plight of pet owners and veterinary expenses; Social Security insolvency: What would you give to save it for future generations? Raising the Retirement Age.2:45 - The Markets' Kabosh: The Fed Will Tighten One More Time14:02 - Consumer Debt & Christmas Spending30:07 - How to Take Distribution From Your HSA44:06 - What Would You Give Up to Save Social Security?Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Testing 100-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aa2FoDMtCDI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What's Up with Bonds?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXoGYSewzLE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"2020 vs 2023: Are Economists Making The Same Mistake?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/2020-vs-2023-are-economists-making-the-same-mistake/"Bond Bear Market. Is It Dead, Or Just Hibernating?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-bear-market-is-it-dead-or-just-hibernating/"Job And Retail Sales Data: Always Good Until They Aren’t"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/job-and-retail-sales-data-always-good-until-they-arent/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SocialSecurity #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerDebt #CreditCardDebt #HealthSavingsAccount #MarketRally #JeromePowell #FederalDeficit #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Recession #SoftLanding #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/9/23) Markets continue their winning ways, elongating a string of positive closes; Fed Chair Jerome Powell is slated to speak today: What effect will his words have on Bonds? Why do the debt and deficits matter so much now? (Keep in mind the narrative...) Have financial conditions eased or reversed? What will the Fed do next? Meanwhile, Markets to test resistance at 100-DMA. How Robinhood lost its luster, and why there should be commissions on all trades (nothing is free). Meanwhile, DraftKings has kept up: What's the difference between gambling on sports vs stocks? Did Robinhood user ever really know what they were doing? The mistake of assigning value to stock price. The Fed's 'Wait & See' approach will be further revealed in Jerome Powell's speech today. Changing the face of finance with an ever-present Fed; Goldman's Forecast doesn't bear up under scrutiny: Are economists making the same mistake all over again? How to forecast a recession vs 'soft-landing;' we WILL have a recession: The only question is the timing.SEG-1: Why Do Debts & Deficits Matter Now? (when they didn't before)?SEG-2: The Demise of Robinhood & "Free" TradingSEG-3: The Fed's 'Wait-and-See' Approach Effect on BondsSEG-4: How to Forecast RecessionHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXoGYSewzLE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Testing 100-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aa2FoDMtCDI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1And here's Wednesday's "Before the Bell" edition, "Trapped," as referenced in this video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuDcsA-5pNE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Should You Borrow from Your 401k Plan?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7rpSbyLfl4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s --------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"2020 vs 2023: Are Economists Making The Same Mistake?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/2020-vs-2023-are-economists-making-the-same-mistake/"Bond Bear Market. Is It Dead, Or Just Hibernating?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-bear-market-is-it-dead-or-just-hibernating/"Job And Retail Sales Data: Always Good Until They Aren’t"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/job-and-retail-sales-data-always-good-until-they-arent/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #JeromePowell #FederalDeficit #FederalReserve #Robinhood #DraftKings #InterestRates #Recession #SoftLanding #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/8/23) Markets have strung together the longest series of back-to-back gains since 2021: Expect a pullback next. Credit Card and Auto Loan delinquencies are on the rise. Everything is more expensive. The strong rally in the dollar: watch for a pullback and effects on oil prices. A discussion of the proper and improper use of a 401k (or any retirement funds!) Millennials' 'soft-saving' trend is no savings at all. Alternatives to pillaging your retirement funds. Why the FIRE Movement is going up in flames; Has Warren Buffett really 'done more' to education investors? Being careful of short-term narratives. Markets' longest string of back-to-back gains since 2021; why we still own Apple, just not as much of it; getting paid on YouTube; is a 'soft-landing' really possible?SEG-1: Expecting a Market PullbackSEG-2: Why You Should Not Take a Loan from Your 401kSEG-3: The FIRE Movement Goes Up in FlamesSEG-4: Is a 'Soft-landing' Really Possible?Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7rpSbyLfl4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We're Now Trapped Between the 100- & 200-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuDcsA-5pNE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is This the End of the Bond Bear Market?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4LanrwUVR4s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Bond Bear Market. Is It Dead, Or Just Hibernating?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-bear-market-is-it-dead-or-just-hibernating/"Job And Retail Sales Data: Always Good Until They Aren’t"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/job-and-retail-sales-data-always-good-until-they-arent/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #Delinquencies #401kLoan FIREmovement #Apple #EmploymentReport #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Recession #SoftLanding #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/7/23) How did WeWork go from $47-B to Bankruptcy? Beware the days' 'narrative of the moment' in interest rates, AI. Market performance ahead, pre- and post-Thanksgiving. Is the Bond Bear market dead or just hibernating? Are bon yields doing the Fed's dirty work now? WeWork is a symptom. Yields are a function of debt and economic growth = Bond Math. Don't be distracted by the media. Why the Fed wants higher rates; the risk of recession in 2024: It will not be THE economic event of the year, thanks to existing liquidity and minimum layoffs. Balancing the possibilities vs the probabilities. A brief market preview; reading the emails: Understanding the fundamentals. Why we trimmed Apple: They're not growing revenue. What is a Moving Average and what does it do? Takes the volatility out of pricing. Looking at Bollinger Bands; investor psychology: You cannot make money if you're bearish all the time. Investors need optimism.SEG-1: WeWork is Now WeBrokeSEG-2: Is This the End of the Bond Bear Market?SEG-3: Why a 2024 Recession Will Not Be THE Big Financial EventSEG-4: Why We Trimmed AppleHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4LanrwUVR4s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Retest Today?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cg-NOraPNew&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why You Cannot Invest Like Warren Buffett"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=joE1n-XJZYY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Bond Bear Market. Is It Dead, Or Just Hibernating?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-bear-market-is-it-dead-or-just-hibernating/"Job And Retail Sales Data: Always Good Until They Aren’t"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/job-and-retail-sales-data-always-good-until-they-arent/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #BondMarket #WeWoke #Apple #EmploymentReport #FederalReserve #InterestRates #BlackFriday #ConsumerConfidence #BankFailure #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/6/23) Friday's employment report was weaker than expected, as expected; there's always no recession in sight...until it is. How long will it take for the lag effect to appear? Black Friday preview; market rallied to 6% after previous week of disappointment. Markets ran through resistance, and are now over bought; looking at Bonds' tough year. The Fed says yields are doing its work; there's no safe place to hide. Consumer confidence is key, and creates inflation; the trap the Fed is now in. Citizen Bank failure; higher interest rates are begining to take a toll. Why the FIRE movement is dead; the problem with retiring too early: Loss of skill; "Soft Saving" is now in: More relaxed attitude about retirement and savings, living in the moment. Berkshire Hathaway Quarterly report reveals hoardes of cash: Why you cannot invest like Warren Buffett, but watch what he doeds with cash: Buying Treasuries. We're still dealing with effects of financial stimulus in the system.SEG-1: Employment Report Weaker Than Expected...as expectedSEG-2: No Safe Place to Hide?SEG-3: Higher Rates Are Beginning to Take a TollSEG-4: Why You Cannot Invest Like Warren BuffettHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=joE1n-XJZYY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the Market Rally Continue? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PQ0J54xPu9Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What If Your Financial Plan Fails?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZIezlwntXc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Job And Retail Sales Data: Always Good Until They Aren’t"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/job-and-retail-sales-data-always-good-until-they-arent/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EmploymentReport #FederalReserve #InterestRates #BlackFriday #ConsumerConfidence #BankFailure #Recession #BerkshireHathaway #WareenBuffett #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/2/23) Childrens' birthdays & the circle of life; after three good days of rally, markets are close to triggering a buy signal; what markets need is to surpass and maintain levels at 200-DMA. Still to come: ADP & Jobs reports, which do not jive. The run up in Gold (thanks, Hamas) and the coming spin down in BitCoin: Take profits now. Earnings preview, and a review of Jerome Powell's non-news: Holding rates firm, with the off-chance of another rate hike. Why the Fed cannot say when rates will come down; debt vs economic growth: Issuing debt to pay off det: Is this a good idea? Not all issuance results in spending. Looking for clues of consumer pullback: Target groceries and Eli Lilly COVID sales (Zero). Was exceptional growth in the third quarter a fluke?SEG-1: What Markets Need NowSEG-2: Earnings Preview, Fed ReviewSEG-3: Issuing Debt to Pay off DebtSEG-4: Was Q3 Growth an Anomaly?Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wz3SbetpmLg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Markets Must Achieve This Week" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kpEZTBQs9p4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "It's Fed Day"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJJgkhVOG94&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=119s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Why Target Date Funds Fail Investors: A $3 Trillion Delusion"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-target-date-funds-fail-investors-a-3-trillion-delusion/"Possibilities Versus Probabilities"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Q3Earnings #ConsumerSpending #EconomicData #Gold #BitCoin #IsraeliWar #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/1/23) It's Fed Day: Will Jerome Powell hold firm in statements made last week, and refrain from raising interest rates, while retaining the possibility of one more hike? The Great Data Divergence: The real economy is weaker than employment and inflation data would infer. Commission Collusion in Real Estate; setting up for EOY rally on Wall St.; three consecutive negative months = good buying opportunity. Economic preview; what the Fed already knows. Forward earnings estimates for Q4 are already sliding; Fast Food is no longer cheap; the Ratliff's Halloween Candy tax; what makes the market correction so confusing. Journalism: Simplify & exaggerate; no record market high since January 2021; how money works vs index; signs of pending recession: increase in Junk Yields (trailing data); nothing but bad news on TV. WeWork bankruptcy: the fundamental flaw; Lingering Inflation: Keeping data in line with reality; why the Fed doesn't want deflation/recession; attitudes are sour, and leading indicators suggest recession next year. The problem with Data; The lag effect & revisions.SEG-1: Fed Day Preview: Divergence of DataSEG-2: What the Fed Already KnowsSEG-3: What's Making the Markets so Confusing?SEG-4: Lingering Inflation: Keeping Data In Line with RealityHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJJgkhVOG94&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=107s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Due for a Rally" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06cUp7UoumQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "5% to 10% Correction is Expected in Markets"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=68Jaa6Rq-eI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Possibilities Versus Probabilities"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Recession #InterestRates #Q3Earnings #ConsumerSpending #EconomicData #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/31/23) Halloween Traditions & the FOMC Meeting starts today: It's not likely the Fed will raise rates; what happens when stock prices fall? Expectations are for the Fed to hold firm until Summer, and then will have to cut rates. Markets rallied 1% Monday; will there be follow-through to confirm the movement? Resistance now at 200-DMA/4,250. "I told you so in June:" 5% to 10% correction expected in markets, and investors become bearish; the importance of perspective in investing: Corrections are a necessary factor (Possibilities vs Probabilities). How to build wealth: Save money. Looking at the Bell Curve of possibilities, when will this all be over? When the Fed cuts rates; the possibility of WW-III (review: "Band of Brothers") Caterpillar reports earnings, benefits from stimulus funding for construction projects: 'What will you do for me next?' What will be the next driver for expansion/sales at CAT? Pfizer; Getting bitten by weaker COVID sales; what will they come up with next to boost sales? Bud Light/AB alliance w UFC; Yum brands; Is Q3 really the "earnings trough?"SEG-1: Will the Fed Hold Rates Firm Until Summer?SEG-2: I Told You So in JuneSEG-3: Making Mistakes w Blanket DecisionsSEG-4: Earnings Preview Round-upHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=68Jaa6Rq-eI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Monday Market Rally: Was It Trick or Treat?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pkDuLs1l_CU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Wrapping Up October"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XkelCMkbVOc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Possibilities Versus Probabilities"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Recession #InterestRates #Q3Earnings #ConsumerSpending #EconomicData #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/30/23) Pre-Halloween & Candy Inflation, Pre-Fed Meeting; SoFi Banjk tightening lending restrictions; forecasts for negative Q4 growth; small businesses now having difficulty getting cash/loans. Markets took out support at 200-DMA; look for a reflexive rally, likely following this week's Fed meeting. Texas' Seasons & Mrs. Roberts' blankets; earnings season, Microsoft vs Google: Companies being penalized for slightest flaws; stock have been priced for perfection. Businesses can no longer pass along input costs, reducing margins; will consumer's slow spending? Banks tightening credit, beginning the downward spiral from effects of 11 rate hikes. The fiscal feedback loop; companies are starting to see the effects of higher interest rates on consumers. There is false security in this round of quarterly reporting: Companies are banking on no recession; always "great" economic data just before recession; did not know it until months after recession; (What is 'economic activity/GDP?') Paying more in interest rates detracts from consumer spending; consumer debt is worsening. Is it any coincidence the next FOMC meeting commences on Halloween? Will it be Trick or Treat from Jerome Powell? Is the Fed always wrong? Transitory inflation higher for longer? Crddit Card rates are +4% since 2022. The effective Fed rate is not +6%. A resilient economy threatens work to reduce inflation; why the Fed wants higher rates to cool spending and economic growth. This will also slow earnings growth.SEG-1: Forecasting Negative Q4 Growth?SEG-2: Will the Consumer Slow Down?SEG-3: The False Security in Q3 ReportsSEG-4: Trick or Treat from Jerome Powell?Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XkelCMkbVOc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Over-sold Markets are Under Pressure" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eLg0zUIQNxo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Reaching Your Hurdle Rate"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBDVtnTDAbI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Recession #InterestRates #ConsumerSpending #EconomicData #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/27/23) Market Futures & Fed Meeting preview; concensus is no rate hike in November, but possible in December. Dealing w Halloween candy inflation, controlling risk by utilizing bonds; planning to achieve your "hurdle rate." Planning for when you can retire; when do investment dollar reach "critical mass?" How to restructure assets for tax advantages. Roth Conversions: Why they're not for everyone. What is the best-timing for taking Social Security? How to take advantage of higher interest rates; the reinvestment risks in short-term treasuries: What happens when rates come back down? Dealing with Year of Death RMD's.SEG-1: Market & Fed Meeting PreviewSeg-2: Halloween Candy Inflation; Making Managing Risk a PrioritySEG-3: Planning for When You Can RetireSEG-4: What's the Best Timing for Taking Social Security?Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Jon Penn, CFP, & Jonathan McCarty, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBDVtnTDAbI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Confirm the Break of the 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKXG1bfgj20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Real Rates Drive Stock Prices"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cC5qe2kFcuI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=19s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Real Rates Drive Stock Prices"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/real-rates-drive-stock-prices/"The Pain Trade Is Higher Into Year-End"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-into-year-end/"Surging Deficits – The Bear’s New Meme"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #HurdleRate #ManagingRisk #FederalReserve #InterestRates #SocialSecurity #ConsumerSpending #Employment #EconomicData #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/26/23) Q3 GDP grew at an annual rate of 4.9% in the 3rd Quarter: It's not uncommon to see an economic uptick in economic activity prior to a recession; however, not all is rosy: bankruptcies are surging. Wednesday was not a pretty day in markets, with confirmation of a break of support at the 200-DMA. Market expectations for GDP and the effects of inflation; what are the ramifications? The regional bank problem was a problem for all banks. Banks matter because we are a credit-driven economy. Lag effects generally take 5 to 9 quarters to emerge. A Zero-deficit = negative GDP. Government debt and deficits reduce economic growth. Market correction is underway, as predicted, and there is concern for markets for 2023. How best to reposition portfolios; what earnings are telling us. Bond vs stocks, Value vs Growth stocks next year? The Fed is predicted to do nothing at next week's meeting; high interest rates are doing the Fed's work. Bill Gross: Economic deterioration is worse than people think; what are economists seeing? Pay attention to more recent data, like credit card spending and jobless claims. The problem with inflation is how it is measured.SEG-1: Q3 GDP PreviewSEG-2: Why Banks Matter; A Credit-driven EconomySEG-3: What Corporate Earnings are Telling UsSEG-4: Previewing PowellHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cC5qe2kFcuI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=19s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Confirm the Break of the 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKXG1bfgj20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are Gloom & Doom Scenarios Correct?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xkkkIJacQWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Real Rates Drive Stock Prices"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/real-rates-drive-stock-prices/"The Pain Trade Is Higher Into Year-End"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-into-year-end/"Surging Deficits – The Bear’s New Meme"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ConsumerSpending #Employment #EconomicData #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/25/23) Google's Earnings Report & Cloud Revenue weakness dampen markets' mood; there remains a dichotomy between the performance of the Mega-cap & and the rest of the market, particularly in mid- and small-caps. If the economy is "doing so well," why aren't these businesses? Markets are hanging on after breaking support at 200-DMA; what's important is how we end the week. Measuring the Data in Retail Sales: Consumers are spending more cash, but buying the same or less quantities of goods. Jobs gains are in low-wage positions; we're "jostle-ating." Are doom & gloom scenarios correct? A look at the Bell Curve; assigning the probabilities to the possibilities; Analyzing the data: How we do what we doo; still al lot of Program dollars floating around the system. The importance of balancing your views with opposing opinions; the most-dire consequences often do not happen. Why Jerome Powell changed his opinion.SEG-1: Dichotomy in the Mega-cap 7SEG-2: Measuring the Data in Retail SalesSEG-3: Doom & Gloom: Assigning the Probabilities to PossibilitiesSEG-4: Analyzing the Data: How We Do What We DoHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xkkkIJacQWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Hanging On..." is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QW1d0lV2tkQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Pain Trade Higher?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOs1ro97dXY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Real Rates Drive Stock Prices"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/real-rates-drive-stock-prices/"The Pain Trade Is Higher Into Year-End"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-into-year-end/"Surging Deficits – The Bear’s New Meme"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #MegaCap7 #Microsoft #Google #FederalReserve #ConsumerSpending #Employment #Manufacturing #EconomicData #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/24/23) Microsoft & Google report earnings today, and by next week 80% of the S&P will have checked-in w Quarterly results; the Fed enters blackout period before the next FOMC meeting, as corporate buyback window open; have yields reached their terminal peak? Markets break 200-DMA, but be cautious until confirmed. Where's the risk; why do prices go lower: Buyers unwilling to buy at a given price (this is the flaw in passive investing theory). The long stretch of downward pressure on stock, and why to expect higher prices as EOY draws nearer. What Retail Sales figures aren't telling us (lagging indicator) and the pre-Recession warning in employment numbers: growth is not in areas of high-paying jobs. The psychology of consumer spending. An earnings preview: high beat-ratio on lowered estimates. Economic Data preview: No strong results in numbers; not jiving with other economic indicators: Why aren't manufacturing numbers booming? Digging past the headlines; the importance of investor psychology.SEG-1: Earnings Season Continues: A PrimerSEG-2: Where's the Risk?SEG-3: What Retail Sales Don't Tell UsSEG-4: When the Data Doesn't JiveHosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOs1ro97dXY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Reduce Risk?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yTfjlNVWpfY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Year-End Rally in Jeopardy?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PVeI0ISM7LE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"The Pain Trade Is Higher Into Year-End"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-into-year-end/"Surging Deficits – The Bear’s New Meme"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #Microsoft #Google #FederalReserve #StockBuyBacks #ConsumerSpending #Employment #Manufacturing #EconomicData #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/23/23) Markets are wrapping up October with seasonal weakness, as the Israel War continues and rates remain high, weighing on sentiment. There's a Fed meeting next week, as well. Markets are working within a corrective phase. A short story about cooking w Mrs. Roberts; What Jerome Powell had to say last, and what's in store for next week's Fed meeting; Higher rates on 10-yr Treasuries are doing the Fed's dirty work: the trend for inflation is lower, and there have been very different changes in Fed narratives. All else is not equal: addressing the myths of "budget deficits" (with lots of charts). THings have never been this bad before: Quotes and notes from 1957 compared to now. Things may be dire, but we will survive: have to have Hope.SEG-1: How the Year-end Rally Could Be in JeopardySEG-2: Parsing Powell's Dovish MessageSEG-3: All Else is Not EqualSEG-4: Geopolitics & Domestic Policies: Never This Bad Before?Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PVeI0ISM7LE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Current Market Weakness is Normal...but..." is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZzRKHQoCPDU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The RMD Nightmare on Elm Street"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rd-GMs5PHI8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Surging Deficits – The Bear’s New Meme"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #Treasuries #IsraelWar #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/20/23) A bit of flavored coffee commentary to launch the show, 10-yr Treasuries hit 5%, and investor psychology hits the markets. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell says inflation is still too high; the MIddle East War is going to get worse. We're in The Fourth Turning, and interest rates will be raised again in 2024. Mini-book review: "The Fourth Turning" and "Constellations." The issue of entitlement vs the feeling that comes from doing good for others. The RMD landmine; the IRS can't even define charitable contributions consistently; the puzzle of inherited non-spousal IRA's. Bond Yields cannot remain at these levels forever. (Fun w candy corn pumpkins) Why does no one want to buy long-duration bonds? Why would the Fed lower rates? It's a good time to build a bond portfolio. Retirement realities and the next Candid Coffee preview; Who own's Brach's Candy (Ferrara Candies)? Roth Inherited IRA's; market preview; Middle East War commentary: It's gonna get worse.SEG-1: Coffee Commentary & 10-Yr. TreasuriesSEG-2: The Fourth Turning review; RMD NightmaresSEG-3: Good Times for Building Bond PortfoliosSEG-4: Roth Inherited-IRA's & Middle East WarHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jon Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rd-GMs5PHI8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Traders Trapped?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CN-EZwjOIw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What Will Powell Say Next?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKF0Ikh9MWk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Consequences Are Always Unintended"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consequences-are-always-unintended/"October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #Treasuries #RMD #BondYields #TheFourthTurning #MiddleEastWar #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/19/23) Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is on the prowl this week: Will it be 'higher for long,' more rate hikes, or have higher interest rates done enough? Those are the big questions to be answered this afternoon. Markets sold off on Wednesday; Netflix & Abbott reported strong earnings (on lowered estimates!) but the Israeli War and Oil Price performance trapped investors between the two (oil prices are not spiking due to War. Interest rate momentum and Fed strategies' impact on markets; we're a leveraged society affected by rates. Who is the Fed protecting now? The flaw in a WSJ story about student loan repayments and Fed commentary on its effects on economy: We run the math. Bond Math and Treasuries; Yield and Price are functions of duration; duration is linear. When investor psychology becomes important; poking holes in the narrative.SEG-1: Markets Sell Off Amid TurbulenceSEG-2: Who is the Fed Protecting now?SEG-3: Student Loan Payments, The Fed, & Basic MathSEG-4: Poking Holes in the NarrativeHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKF0Ikh9MWk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Traders Trapped?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CN-EZwjOIw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is 'The Crash of a Lifetime' Coming?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ruR9XJGuRFY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Consequences Are Always Unintended"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consequences-are-always-unintended/"October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #StudentLoanDebt #BondMath #FedMath #Treasuries #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/18/23) Retail Sales doubled in September...but, on non-retail store sales; non-seasonally adjusted sales were acutally down 5%. All nuymbers are subject to revision. This is how we formulate government economic policy, on backwards-looking, lagging data. Markets started lower in Tuesday, but rallied before the close to end essentially unchanged on the day. There's not much concern in earnings reports. Harry Dent's dire predictions of an 80% drop in the markets next year. Are we in The Fourth Turning (Neil Howe)? What is the risk of correction? Bond Traders betting on treasuries are expecting dazzling returns with little risk. We take a look at historic data and charts. Gotta have charts.SEG-1: Retail Sales Double on Non-Retail SalesSEG-2: Harry Dent's Crash of a LifetimeSEG-3: Drafting Mrs. Roberts, & Correction RisksSEG-4: Bond Math & ChartsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CKLpCph-nvI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Late-day Buying Sustains Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFyAmfTFjJg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Consequences Are Always Unintended"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ruR9XJGuRFY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Consequences Are Always Unintended"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consequences-are-always-unintended/"October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCrash #HarryDent #MarketCorrection #RetailSales #EconomicRecession #BondMath #Treasuries #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/17/23) Earnings Season is in full swing, with Big Banks reporting this week. More interesting than earnings results will be forward outlooks. The unknown is the unintended consequences of COVID-era government funding that has yet to be spent: Those funds could prevent a recession, and even provide the mythical "soft landing" or NO landing the Fed would like to see. Meanwhile, markets continue to consolidate, not going anywhere in a hurry. Three reasons investors under-perform: The Law of Unintended Consequences. A look at the Valuation to Volatility Ratio, and exceptions to the rule. Are consumers still committing "revenge spending" in a post-pandemic economy? Earnings results will ultimately depend upon employment. The slide to 2% inflation doesn't mean prices will come down; the risk of predictions.SEG-1: Why Forward Guidance Matters More than EarningsSEG-2: The Law of Unintended ConsequencesSEG-3: Valuations, Volatility, and Thomas the TrainSEG-4: Revenge Spending & Corporate EarningsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ruR9XJGuRFY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Managers' Repositioning to Drive Markets to Year's End" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eKhAebIm9J8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Fear & Loathing on Wall Street"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CEdbEYdVao0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Consequences Are Always Unintended"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consequences-are-always-unintended/"October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #IsraelWar #UkraineWar #MarketSentiment #Employment #Geopolitics #EconomicRecession #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/16/23) The Israel & Ukraine wars are creating international fear, while domestically, US consumer sentiment is sinking as economic realities of higher interest rates and student loan payments resume. Big Banks' earnings season beginning this week; generally, earnings are down about 3% when Tech and Energy are not included; market futures are flat this morning after declining performance last Thursday and Friday; year-end repositioning is getting underway; the impact of geo-political outlooks; economic reports & sampling methodology; the smaller the sample, the less-reliable the results. ADP Employment Report vs BLS shows large divergences: Which one is correct? WW3: possible, but how probable? Will there or Won't there be a recession? Target vs Dollar General: Consumer spending stratified; the bottom 80% of consumers are struggling. what are the smartest guys in the room saying? The risk of following the analysts: What if they're wrong? Navigating markets w conflicting data; the fallacy of passive investing. What happens when sellers aren't willing to sell...until prices go up. What makes markets work. Too fearful = near the bottom; too greedy = near the top. Dichotomies of Stapes vs Discretionary, algorithm-driven markets; headlines vs market positioning.SEG-1: Fear & Loathing on Wall Street: Israel, Ukraine, & Domestic EconomicsSEG-2: The Impact of Geopolitical OutlooksSEG-3: Recession: Will there or won't there?SEG-4: The Difficulty of Navigating Markets w Conflicting DataHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CEdbEYdVao0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Managers' Repositioning to Drive Markets to Year's End" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eKhAebIm9J8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "When Life Gets In the Way of Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=81e323A2kv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #IsraelWar #UkraineWar #MarketSentiment #Employment #Geopolitics #EconomicRecession #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/13/23) The value of delayed gratification is observed in the orgy of early holiday decorations and Rich's self-control involving candy corn math; a discussion of CPI, inflation, and sticky prices. Breakfast cereal inflation, candy corn pumpkins, and recovering from financial shocks in Retirement: Rethinking allocations. Interest rates and Bond pricing; safe havens: Where are all the crypto fans now? The DAD Retirement Plan (and living inside Lance's head); more than half of retirees are working in retirement. Re-defining Retirement & the value of older workers. Working longer is not a death-sentence.Social Security COLA +3.4% vs Medicare premium increase = +6%. 9 surprises in Retirement: Taxes, healthcare expenses, and more.SEG-1: Holiday's, Candy Corn Math, & Delayed GratificationSEG-2: Breakfast Cereal & Candy Corn Math; Recovering from Financial Shock in RetirementSEG-3: The DAD Retirement Plan (re-defining Retirement)SEG-4: 9 Surprises in RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=81e323A2kv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Supply Build Causes Oil Price Drop" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LDaVn-TQ7M0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Has the Fed Shifted Tone?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6olv5z7fy-c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:Janet Yellen Suggests Much Lower For Much Longerhttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/janet-yellen-suggests-much-lower-for-much-longer/"Bond Valuations Are Cheap"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-valuations-are-cheap/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------Watch our past Candid Coffee:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Retirement #Healthcare #SocialSecurity #PPI #CPI #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/12/23) Healthcare, Israel, & Fed Minutes: Anticipating today's CPI report (clocking-in at a hotter-than-expected .4%); the sharp changes in oil prices and interest rates; CPI Preview: The Monthly Moment. PPI hotter than expected .3%; Fed minutes reveal nothing new. The need for EOY performance: Career preservation for managers. Changes in financial tightening and oil prices are a result in shifts in Fed tone. Markets are moving into seasonally strong period of the year. Falce narrative: No one wants our debt. Why China has to use the dollar.SEG-1: Healthcare, Israel, & Fed MinutesSEG-2: The Subtle Shift in Fed ToneSEG-3: Markets Move Into Seasonally strong Period of the YearSEG-4: Birkenstocks: Trend or Fad? Why Yields Are Going UpHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6olv5z7fy-c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Supply Build Causes Oil Price Drop" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0XhS6bpASeU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LDaVn-TQ7M0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Israel Conflict Ignites Flight to Safety"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1PA85k5RgM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:Bond Valuations Are Cheaphttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-valuations-are-cheap/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER for our next Luinch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3416958364820/WN_Gl2MmDeYR3CrRA11NmC1dQ-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Healthcare #ObamaCare #IsraelWar #FederalReserve #PPI #CPI #Inflation #OilPrices #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/10/23) A brief look at the correlation between Israeli conflict and markets' flight to safety in US bonds. Markets could target 4,300; earnings season kicks off today. Potential Spam calls; the thing about Bonds: They're the simplest, yet least-understood investment. What interest rates mean; Sin stocks, ESG, & FAANG stocks: knowing the narrative. Stocks vs Bonds & relative valuations (with charts!) What Howard Marks said; Why interest rates and bond yields go up and down; psychology is a difficult factor in portfolio management. RFK, Jr. & The Perot Effect in the 2024 election; preview of our 2024 Economic Summit (January 27, 2024) A discussion on Mortgage-backed Securities in portfolios (you're basically buying someone's mortgage). How high rates create opportunities: mortgage refinancing. NAR letter to the Fed: "Lower rates so we can sell houses."SEG-1: Israeli Conflict Ingnites Flight to Safety in US BondsSEG-2: Marital Affairs, Potential Spam, & The Thing About BondsSEG-3: Sin Stocks, EGS, & Faang Stocks vs BondsSEG-4: RFK, Jr., & The Perot Effect; Mortgage-baked Securities in PortfoliosHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1PA85k5RgM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Impact of the Israeli Conflict" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LDaVn-TQ7M0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Disconnect Between Pre-retirement & Reality"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kaEEQktBjcw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:Bond Valuations Are Cheaphttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-valuations-are-cheap/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER for our next Luinch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3416958364820/WN_Gl2MmDeYR3CrRA11NmC1dQ-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #IsraelConflict #FlightToSafety #USTreasuries #Bonds #MortgageBackedSecurities #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/6/23) Elvis Rosso: Yields, Yields, Yields; American's are spending like there's no tomorrow; why we recommend "The Millionaire Next Door;" How to vacation post-pandemic; camping in Buc-cee's. The downside of the lockdown; credit card rate survey; vacation spending vs money scripts: Money is emotional. Money needs shift when children arrive; talking to kids about money. Creating savings buckets for specific needs; noting the frugality of Gen-Z. Camping in Buc-cee's and ditching the boyfriend; Pre-retirement vs reality: more American's are concerned about impact of Inflation on retirement plans; the 4% Rule doesn't work; matching spending to retirement reality. Wrestling in the studio w Brent; playing the Lottery & Candy Corn; preview: Transitioning to Medicare Lunch & Learn; Switching-strategies with Social Security: Don't confuse the SS workers.SEG-1: How to Vacation Post-pandemicSEG-2: How Money Needs Shift When Children ArriveSEG-3: Pre-retirement vs RealitySEG-4: Switching-strategies with Social SecurityHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP.Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kaEEQktBjcw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Flirt w 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LcFbmAvj678&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz-------Our previous show is here: "2% Inflation is a Misnomer"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J5tdltYCgDg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------REGISTER for our next Luinch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3416958364820/WN_Gl2MmDeYR3CrRA11NmC1dQ-------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #PreRetirement #SocialSecurity #Medicare #PostPandemic #MoneyScript #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/5/23) A sharp slide in gasoline demand and credit card spending could be early evidence of the lag-effect from Fed rate increases finally hitting the economy. The dollar trade has reversed. What happens if Friday's employment report is weaker? Markets are flirting with the critical 200-DMA support level. What Mrs. Roberts is really watching on TikTok; '90's Hairdo's and LTCM: The Yield curve is deeply inverted; what matters is what happens when it un-inverts. What really happened in 1998; we will have a crisis. What will matter is how quickly the Fed will react, not who fails. The Fed's 'Higher for Longer' attitude: bailouts today will be exponentially larger because of the exponentially larger debts involved. Why this week's sell-off felt like the unwinding of someone in trouble (was the Fed up to something?) Inflation vs Deflation & the Fed's intolerance of low stock prices. Why interest rates can only go so far: Higher for longer until something breaks. The common misnomer about 2% inflation; the Fed wants a clear and steady trajectory to 2% inflation. Oil pricing vs gasoline pricing: All forms of Energy make up only 7% of CPI; Housing impact on CPI is nearly half, at 40%.SEG-1: Early Evidence of Lag Effect EmergesSEG-2: Baby Goats, '90's Hairdo's, & LCTMSEG-3: The Fed's 'Higher for Longer' AttitudeSEG-4: The Common Misnomer about 2% InflationHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J5tdltYCgDg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Flirt w 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LcFbmAvj678&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz-------Our previous show is here: "Is Something in the Financial System Beginning to Break?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5p1TdEe2Q5o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=35s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"From LTCM To 1966. The Perils Of Rising Interest Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/from-ltcm-to-1966.-the-perils-of-rising-interest-rates/"Government Shutdown Averted. But Is That A Good Thing?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-shutdown-averted-but-is-that-a-good-thing/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #HigherForLonger #LagEffect #Deflation #Energy #Gasoline #Oil #Housing #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/4/23) There's a new job opening in Congress: Speaker of the House can be filled by any US citizen. We recommend Newt Gingrich or Judge Ted Poe (likely neither want the gig). Was yesterday's market action a 'liquidation event?' JOLTS data within a downward trend; market sell off to test the 200-DMA. This is a normal correction underway; could it go lower? Homeless Pirates now the scourge of Northern California (where's Capt. Phillips?); speeding tickets, water bills, and banking. Pre-holiday Jobless Claims & a stronger JOLTS in a downward trend. Duct Tape & Bondo; Why are bond yields going up? Looking at liquidation event = $50b in one week; is something in the financial system beginning to break? Bond Yields explains; Yield & Coupons are different thing; coupons = interest rate. Girl Math vs Guy Math. There's blood all over the Bond Market; what happens next?SEG-1: Job Opening in Congress & Testing the 200-DMASEG-2: Homeless Pirates, Stronger JOLTS in a Downward TrendSEG-3: Duct Tape, Bondo, & BondsSEG-4: Bond Yields ExplainedHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5p1TdEe2Q5o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=35s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Could the Market Correction Go Deeper?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5mfL46pjm8A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Will October Provide a Trick or Treat for Investors?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C_qZ0uUXpFc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"From LTCM To 1966. The Perils Of Rising Interest Rates"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/from-ltcm-to-1966.-the-perils-of-rising-interest-rates/"Government Shutdown Averted. But Is That A Good Thing?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-shutdown-averted-but-is-that-a-good-thing/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #LiquidationEvent #ISM #Employment #JobOpenings #JOTLSreport #BondYields #HouseSpeaker #NewtGingrich #JudgeTedPoe #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/3/23) Investors are looking for stronger economic data; positioning is beginning to emerge for End-of-year; 2024 will be different, with companies' debt maturing and refinancing at higher rates. VIX has been on the rise since September, seeming now to peak. What happened to all those "de-dollarization" stories? The currency is over-bought following a dollar rally. What the ISM is telling us; cycles are sentiment-based. Look for a bounce in sentiment surveys after negativity eases. Data is coming indicating an uptick in economic activity, thanks to Halloween, Thanksgiving, and Christmas spending: Short term optimism. There is greater risk of weaker economic activity in 2024. The problem with narratives: Takes our focus off what's really happening. The greater reluctance to quit jobs: Jobs Opening data is confounding; "job creation" boasts are not true. "Now Hiring sign: "Baby boomers need only apply." Full Time employment is only now back to pre-pandemic levels. Recession in 2024 likely to mild and short-lived (6-mos.) How many job openings are there, really? New headline economic data is on the way: look for a bounce in the markets as earnings season returns. bounces are part of the cycle; markets are setting up for a counter-trend rally, at least. Commercial Real Estate remains under pressure w continue of work-from-home trend. What to do w all the empty office buildings and malls? Is the commercial Real Estate paradigm changing? A particular investment structure is not always the best forever.SEG-1: Positioning for EOYSEG-2: What the ISM is Telling UsSEG-3: Why Job Openings Data is So ConfoundingSEG-4: Is the Commercial Real Estate Paradigm Changing?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C_qZ0uUXpFc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "De-Dollarization Goes Bust" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3jfOu1CVsYE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Congress Kicks the Can Down the Road (again)"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=laCyaMLhV0o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #ISM #Employment #JobOpenings #DeDollarization #CommercialRealEstate #EndOfYear #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/2/23) Free the Pumpkins, it's October 2nd! Student Loan payments resume, and markets prepare for another earnings season. Expectations have declined, and markets are setting up for a technical rally into 2024. Market futures are flat following the aversion of government shutdown with (another) continued resolution. Why CR's are not good for the economy; mandatory spending explained (it's 2% of GDP). Mandatory Spending = 113% of revenue collected: More debt required each time. There's no good reason/excuse for operating without a budget. A history of government shutdowns & why a long government shut down might not be a bad thing. The issues of "direness" is for media's benefit. Lance's liberal cousin, Duane, comes to call: Utah, Beer, & BBQ; The Roberts' rental home; Target leaving New York City; Black Rifle Coffee Company: Duane goes to TSA "Special Line." Market Preview: 1st day of the new quarter; market volatility no surprise; end-of-year dynamics & Santa Claus rallies; is the Fed done? (Yes, but not saying so). Interest rates remain key conundrum for markets.SEG-1: Earnings Expectations Decline as Reporting Season BeginsSEG-2: Crisis Averted? Mandatory Spending = 113% of RevenueSEG-3: A Visit from Lance's Liberal Cousin, DuaneSEG-4: End-of-Year Dynamics & Santa Claus RalliesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=laCyaMLhV0o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Setting up for a Year-end Rally" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fxss0c0xcxw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "The Flaws in Secure Act 2.0"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEK1LnhPYQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CongressionalSpending #GovernmentShutdown #EarningsSeason #LoweredExpectations #BlackRifleCoffee #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/29/23) Candy Corn martini's & market commentary; why Larry Fink won't be surprised with higher structural inflation: Permatory inflation. No one is ready for rates to be higher for longer. The uptick in 401-k loans and why we can't save: More credit card debt, car payments, and mortgage payments. Flaw in Secure Act 2.0: Elimination of some catch-up provisions. Boosting the Roth: Paying taxes now before taxes increase, which they will. Mrs. Roberts' Halloween decorations; old westerns & Medicare marketing; the pitfalls of Medicare Advantage plans; Open Enrollment strategies: Always shop Park-D. Candid Coffee preview; How to take Social Security survivor benefits: The folly of taking SS too soon, and effects on spousal benefits.SEG-1: Why No One is Ready for Higher Rates for LongerSEG-2: Flaws in Secure Act 2.0 & Why We Can't SaveSEG-3: Old Westerns & Medicare MarketingSEG-4: Candid Coffee preview; How to Take SS Survivor's BenefitsHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jEK1LnhPYQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Quarter-end May Mean for Investors" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Ej2gT3uvR8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Fed in a Trap?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AyWalCLIvgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s --------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #SecureAct #Retirement #Medicare #MedicareAdavantage #OpenEnrollment #SocialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/28/23) The second Republican debate, Halloween decorations, and a scary market: Understanding what drives the economy. Reviewing oil price history & how commodity prices are driven; markets cycle over time. the VIX & Market volatility: weaker prices = higher volatility. Looking for a reversal in the index as quarter-end rebalancing occurs. GDP Revision: How strong is the economy, really? GDP vs GDI: divergence is a prelude to recession. GDP revisions are rear-view data: Is the Fed in a trap? 7% interest rates are ludicrous; putting "crisis" into perspective. Why things WERE different in 1995: The Yield Curve was not inverted, and did not invert until 1998. Market commentary: Tough week for markets with few drivers and "programmic" selling. Markets are in position to boom ahead of weaker performance next year. Price drives performance and narrative; what's tomorrow's narrative going to be? Group think vs group stink.SEG-1: What's Driving the Markets NowSEG-2: Revising GDP: Is the Fed in a Trap?SEG-3: Why Things WERE Different in 1995SEG-4: Price Drives the Narrative: What's tomorrow's narrative going to be?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AyWalCLIvgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Quarter-end May Mean for Investors" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Ej2gT3uvR8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are We Heading for 7% Interest?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ll2W1gh-70g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"A Crisis Is Coming: Who Is Swimming Naked?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-crisis-is-coming-who-is-swimming-naked/"That 70s Show"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/that-70s-show/"Economic Data Points Diverge"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-data-points-diverge/"Compound Market Returns Are A Myth?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/compound-market-returns-are-a-myth/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #GDP #GDI #VIX #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #EconomicSlowdown #InterestRates #JamieDimon #YearEndFinancialPlanning #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/27/23) Is Costco's quarterly earnings report is cause for alarm? Consumer Confidence may be waning; Pessimism is returning as an early sign of economic slowdown. The past 8-sessions have been brutal, but within the "normal" range of an expected 5- to 10% correction. Market is up 11% for the year, driven by 7-stocks; without those stocks, markets are flat. Jamie Dimon's claim for 7% interest is foolish, but he is correct in that the world isn't ready for 7% rates. Higher interest rates increase the risk for financial failures. Inflation, Deflation, Stagflation: Impact of oil prices, energy prices on economy. What happens when consumers absorb price increases: Prices never go back down. This is not like the '70's. Focus on the market drivers and ignore the headlines. Bank of America survey: 70% expect a soft landing without recession in 2024; 20% expect no recession (so recession will probably occur!) The 7 Deadly Sins of End-of-Year Financial Planning include sand-bagging returns, missing RMD's, Gift Tax Exclusions, and Tax Loss Harvesting. Jeff Gundlach's 7% Returns: Beware private bond offerings. Re-defining "Balanced" Allocation; utilizing the Permanent Portfolio Theory.SEG-1: Early Signs of Economic SlowdownSEG-2: Jamie Dimon's FoolishnessSEG-3: 7 Deadly Sins of Year-End Financial PlanningSEG-4: Redefining "Balanced" AllocationsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ll2W1gh-70g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Set for Reflexive Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ms8tSZWck6U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Are Compound Market Returns a Myth?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rYYLdjRRcn0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"That 70s Show"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/that-70s-show/"Economic Data Points Diverge"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-data-points-diverge/"Compound Market Returns Are A Myth?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/compound-market-returns-are-a-myth/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EconomicSlowdown #InterestRates #JamieDimon #YearEndFinancialPlanning #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/26/23) Some market volatility due to quarter-end rebalancing of portfolios. Some downside risk remains. Markets are in search of a catalyst, and trading at the mercy of rebalancing activity. Compounding Market Returns: Mythical or real? Albert Einstein called compound interest the 8th Wonder of the World. It's not the same with market returns (charts for illustration). Calculating yield and coupons for bond investors; understanding investing dynamics and what drives returns. Stocks vs Bonds vs Real Estate: companies can fail, but land will always have value. Life in a mid-century neighborhood. Examining the realities of a government shutdown: Don't let the news media fool you (or scare you)! Non-discretionary payments will continue, and a shutdown will not cause a recession. Avoid the noise in the media. Fatalism vs Optimism.SEG-1: Markets In Search of CatalystSEG-2: The Myth of Compounding Market ReturnsSEG-3: Bond Talk & Understanding Investing DynamicsSEG-4: The Realities of Government ShutdownHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rYYLdjRRcn0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Retest the Downside Today?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xxoI_gLGYsk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Be Wronger for Longer?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7lvIqqmYun8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles Mentioned in this Show:"Economic Data Points Diverge"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-data-points-diverge/"Compound Market Returns Are A Myth?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/compound-market-returns-are-a-myth/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketReturns #CompoundInterest #ALbertEinstein #Bonds #Coupon #GovernmentShutdown #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/25/23) How Taylor Swift and Beyonce moved the GDP needle; wrapping up September and the next earnings season preview; can corporate profit margins be maintained? Will the Fed continue to be wrong? The Risk of testing the 200-DMA: there's always a downside. Setting up for October: MACD to turn positive. 25-yrs ago, the demise of Longterm Capital Management: The beginning of "Too Big to Fail." Every time the Fed raises rates, something breaks. What's wrong with bailouts? Companies aren't allowed to fail. Good bankruptcy vs bad: Restructuring vs liquidation, and the financial system becomes weaker as a result. Financial Failures & Forest Fires: the necessity of culling the herd. The realities of Social Security: Bankrupt by 2031? Debt Ceiling & Gov't. shutdown as they kick the can down the road. Again,. Invest in things you can control. The next big thing to grapple: The end of the Government fiscal year, and the associated threats of government shutdown: The problem with Continuing Resolutions: there's no control on federal spending. It's a blank check + 8%. The ugly truth behind "strong" employment numbers: most new jobs are in the government sector.SEG-1: Will the Fed Be Wronger for Longer?SEG-2: The Beginning of Too Big to FailSEG-3: Financial Failures & Forest FiresSEG-4: The Next Big Thing: End of Gov't. Fiscal YearHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7lvIqqmYun8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Hold the Line?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T7BcDDgztq0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What to Do When Trump Tax Cuts Expire"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Fu2u6TwToM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #EarningsSeason #ProfitMargins #TooBigToFail #GovernmentShutdown #DebtCeiling #ContinuingResolution #TaylorSwift #Beyonce #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/22/23) The Oscar Meyer Weinermobile is returning; Jerome Powell & the shrinking market; the resilience of the consumer is weakening, cooling down. Candid Coffee preview of Progression Planning presentation: Having the Conversation; Trump Tax Cuts are expiring in 2026; what you need to do now; the Roth Solution. Autumn onset; family funds & tax planning; the use of life insurance: Making sure your money goes to family instead of the government. How inflation is affecting financial planning; your advisor must be a student of inflationSEG-1: Oscar Meyer Mobile & Shrinking MarketSEG-2: Candid Coffee Promo/PreviewSEG-3: BlackRock and Tax Cut ExpirationsSEG-4: Autumn Onset & Family Fund Tax PlanningHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Fu2u6TwToM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Post-Meeting Fed = Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pv9TgvqoRY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Is the Fed Too Hawkish Now?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLEarr1D2-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #TrumpTaxCuts #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #FOMC #interestRates #JeromePowell #SoftLanding #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/21/23) The markets' response to Wednesday's FOMC meeting and comments from Jerome Powell were the same as the past eight such announcements. The unspoken question: When will the Fed begin to cut rates? Preparation for Q4 is underway as earnings season wraps; markets are close to end of current corrective phase, and volatility is beginning to warm up. The Fed offered no hope or magical language for Markets. Higher for Longer will be the theme, with no material change from previous statements. The Fed's economic projections are never correct. We're expecting negative revisions to previous GDP numbers. Are higher interest rates here to stay? Does the "neutral rate" reflect what's happening or what's lagging? Demographics are destiny. What the Fed didn't say: What's coming will drive policy; a "soft-landing" is not the Fed's base-line expectation. The Fed WANTS Recession.SEG-1: Market Response in FOMC AftermathSEG-2: What the Fed SaidSEG-3: Higher Interest Rates Forever?SEG-4: What the Fed Didn't SayHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLEarr1D2-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Post-Meeting Fed = Opportunity" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pv9TgvqoRY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "The Way You Invest in Bonds is WRONG!"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IOGmhwnntw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Is This Time Different- Unpacking Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-this-time-different-unpacking-bond-yields/"October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/"Bond Vigilantes And The Waiting For Godot"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-vigilantes-and-the-waiting-for-gadot/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FOMC #interestRates #JeromePowell #SoftLanding #Demographics #NeutralRate #BondYields #GDP #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/20/23) It's FOMC Day: Rate decision and economic forecasts + the Powell presser. Two questions remain: Is the Fed done, and when will the rate cuts begin? Are we doing Bonds wrong? A discussion based upon an article in MarketWatch: Why investors seeking stability always go for US Bonds vs international debt? FedEx reports = barometer on retail sales; General Mills & the Creal Index: the cost of feeding kids at breakfast; Danny pays his kid for fly balls & Christina Robets' money tree. The new Retirement Bill: take risk in taxable accounts. Can the Fed achieve a "soft-landing," what is that, anyway? Pandemic effect on employment & investing. The challenging year; who'll cave first in congressional budget talks?SEG-1: FOMC Day PreviewSEG-2: Are We Doing Bonds Wrong?SEG-3: FedEx Barometer for Retail Sales, and Feeding KidsSEG-4: Can the Fed Achieve a "Soft Landing?"Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Close to Trigger Point?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OBV-ToNbB-E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------Our previous show is here: "Waiting for the Fed"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TEOlkyTLTAc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/"Bond Vigilantes And The Waiting For Godot"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-vigilantes-and-the-waiting-for-gadot/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FOMC #interestRates #GovernmentShutdown #Bonds #ForeignDebt #FedExBarometer #CerealIndex #RetailSales #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/19/23) What's wrong with prepping for Halloween...in September? Fed meeting preview; earnings season is all but done, oil prices are creeping up, most over-bought commodity, so look for a pullback; Dovish Fed & Market consolidation continues w suppressed volatility. Will there be weakness in October to set up for run into the end of the year? (Charts & graphs) Why Fed GDP growth projections are too high (and never correct). Lower inflation gives Fed room to not raise rates yet; odds of market shock are low. The problem with data is the lag effect: It's all early guesswork. Are ETF's good for the markets, long-term? Why issue an ETF as a loss-leader? (How do issuers make money on ETF's?? Liquidity in Order-flow (there's no free lunch). At what point does market distortion by EFT's become a problem?SEG-1: Preparing for October & Fed Meeting PreviewSEG-2: October Weakness Before Year-end Rally?SEG-3: The Problem with Lag Effect in DataSEG-4: What Will Be the Unintended Effects of EFT's?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TEOlkyTLTAc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Close to Trigger Point?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SQ4D3lSgGAU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "The Economy Trifecta This Month"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NH8jO8-aapQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"October Weakness Before The Year-End Run?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/october-weakness-before-the-year-end-run/"Bond Vigilantes And The Waiting For Godot"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-vigilantes-and-the-waiting-for-gadot/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #UAWstrike #GovernmentShutdown #StudentLoanRepayment #BondVigilantes #PizzaSales #ManCave #GirlMath #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/18/23) Last week's market pressure came from economic numbers; this week, it's the Fed meeting, and the 'will they, won't they' question about raising rates. Most likely, the Fed will hold steady with not rate hike this month. There is an economic trifecta bearing down on markets: The resumption of student loan payments, the UAW strike, and the renewed threat of a government shutdown. September seems to be a month of significance: Historically, the Lehman failure, 9/11... Markets closed down +1% on Friday thanks to extreme options expirations. Man Cave Weekend & Girl Math; Why the UAW Strike isn't the end of the world, but will impact economic activity. Resumption of student loan repayments and government shutdown have more risk to economy. Pizza Sales indicator; the pay disparity myth: it's a job-choice issue. The Myth of Bond Vigilantes; how looking for a recession has morphed into looking for a soft landing; when all the experts agree, something else happens. The Fed is expected to hold firm on rates. There's been only one soft-landing since the end of WW2. The data is flawed: We don't know what we don't know.SEG-1: The Significance of SeptemberSEG-2: Man Cave Weekend & Girl Math; The Economic TrifectaSEG-3: The Myth of the Bond VigilantesSEG-4: Four Threats Against a Soft LandingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NH8jO8-aapQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Will Buying Power Return? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGrGUnh6oC4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "When Your 90-Year Old Parent Moves-in"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGPpBMhoPVE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2664s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Bond Vigilantes And The Waiting For Godot"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-vigilantes-and-the-waiting-for-gadot/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #UAWstrike #GovernmentShutdown #StudentLoanRepayment #BondVigilantes #PizzaSales #ManCave #GirlMath #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/15/23) Predictions are for no more rate hikes for a while; UAW Strike is on: What do you do if you need a car now? How to plan for taking care of elderly parents. At what age are best financial decisions made? Financial literacy peaks at 54; "eureka moment" at 45. What happens when your 90-year old parent moves-in? How to talk about aging and finances: When it's time to take away the financial keys; planning ahead to avoid animosity. The documentation you need: Wills, Directives, TOD's, & Trusts; Fidelity FidSafe, online access to accounts. What do you do with all that junk...er, those heirlooms?SEG-1: The UAW Strike: What if You Need a Car?SEG-2: The Best Age for Making Financial DecisionsSEG-3: How to Talk About Aging & FinancialsSEG-4: What Do You Do With the Junk?Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eGPpBMhoPVE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2664s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What's Likely to Trigger the Next Round of Volatility?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jypMhluou3s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "What's Up with Inflation?"v=3UG4e75gfbM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2731s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Lag Effect Unveiled"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lag-effect-unveiled/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #UAWstrike #ElderlyParents #Eldercare #FinancialKeys #FinancialDiscussion #FinancialLiteracy #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/14/23) The ARM IPO debuts today at $51/share; why IPO's aren't a good deal. PPI preview; CPI review: Inflation up on fuel prices and housing costs; the Fed is on hold for now. Market Volatility is very low on a deep sell signal; potential triggers could be the UAW Strike at midnight tonight, government shutdown fears in October, and the reimposition of student loan payments sucking revenue from retail sales. The impact of oil prices on inflation is negligible compared to shelter costs (accounting for over 1/3rd of CPI). Don't expect a large bump in inflation from energy costs. Core Inflation vs Headline Data: Why inflation is calculated this way. What will the Fed do next? They're not saying in order to avoid a market rally. Job Creation planning is at an 8-year low. No more payroll growth = no economic expansion; employment levels now returning to "normal." Traffic tickets & home-life discussions at the Roberts'; market preview & EOY investing strategies; market performance YTD; the need for portfolio managers to "play catch-up" to preserve their jobs. Look for a reversal of stock buyback suppression; 2024 may be "The Year of Value."SEG-1: Is the Fed on Hold?SEG-2: Interpreting InflationSEG-3: What Will the Fed Do Next?SEG-4: Traffic Tickets, Homelife Discussions, & EOY Investing StrategiesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3UG4e75gfbM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2731s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What's Likely to Trigger the Next Round of Volatility?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jypMhluou3s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How Mortgage Lenders Created Unaffordable Housing"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGh81vUL7Aw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2--------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Lag Effect Unveiled"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lag-effect-unveiled/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Register for our next Candid Coffee:https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg-------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #PPI #EnergyPrices #Shelter #Volatility #ARMIPO #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/13/23) Markets rallied into Apple's iPhone reveal, then sold off yesterday; who can afford an iPhone 15? CPI for August to be released this morning (3.7% vs anticipated 3.6%). Lenders are now rolling out a 1% down payment program in hopes of reviving their business. The thing about home ownership: It's always something. How do mortgage lenders do it? They eat part of the rate up front, but YOU will pay for it on the back end. What does a larger (20%) down payment say about financial ability? The cost of home ownership goes beyond being able to afford a mortgage payment; home prices are a function of supply & demand. No one wants to sell into a housing market with 7% mortgage rates. The tricks home builders use; How "good" do Baby Boomers have it (and why)? Time to invest, bull markets; thought processes about money, managing expenses. What is an IPOP all about: It's NOT selling at a discount. (Fiscal responsibility doesn't sell products) What do 20% of Gen-Z's want to be? Social Media influencers. Switching from spending to saving mode.
SEG-1: The Apple Reveal: Who Can Afford an iPhone? SEG-2: Is the 1% Down Payment a Win-win? SEG-3: The Cost of Home Ownership: Why Prices are Too High SEG-4: Why Baby Boomers have it So "Good"
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGh81vUL7Aw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Rising Bottoms & Declining Tops" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DK_yt7qpT20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "When Bad News Spells Opportunity" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iEgjm3cLQEI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=14s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Oil Price Inflation & Interest Rates. What Is The Link?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/oil-price-inflation-interest-rates-what-is-the-link/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #Apple #CPI #Inflation #MortageRates #AffordableHousing #DownPayment #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/12/23) The markets have gone 95-days since any correction of at least 1.5%; today is Apple day: Where did the hype all go? Tomorrow's CPI report is expected to show inflation a tad higher, but not enough to trigger another Fed rate hike. Yet. Weakness in the Labor market is becoming more apparent. Options traders are piling into Zero-DTE's, essentially gambling on the market. Volatility has calmed, a precursor for higher volatility. The Fiscal Year for the Federal Government is coming to a close (again) with no budget since Bush was in office. Remembering how government spending used to be: One item, one bill (pre-WW2). Temporary mass-spending bills are now the norm. What does the threat of "Government Shutdown" really entail? There is no risk of debt default or SS non-payment. 5th Circuit Court rules on internet censorship and collusion between Biden administration & social media platforms to violate 1st Amendment. Dealing w mis-information; why opposing views are important. The "Global Warming" narrative has evolved into "Climate Change;" follow the money. Market futures; Raytheon's 16% drop on engine recalls; why it pays to be contrarian. Bad news can sometimes mean opportunity.
SEG-1: Where'd the Hype Go at Apple? SEG-2: What Does a Gov't Shutdown Really Entail? SEG-3: What the Internet Should Be All About SEG-4: When Bad News Spells Opportunity
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iEgjm3cLQEI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=14s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Zero-DTE Options: Gamble or Good?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGF6yshrJ7s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Biggest Head-scratchers This Year" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pm3PgLBY76g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=57s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Oil Price Inflation & Interest Rates. What Is The Link?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/oil-price-inflation-interest-rates-what-is-the-link/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/3016835714744/WN_zCk25t5QThq7CG5NHH4UIg
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #Apple #CPI #Raytheon #MarketVolatility #Options #GovernmentShutdown #Internet #1stAmemendment #ClimateChange #Inflation #Deflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/11/23) Football Season returns (yawn); CPI/PPI Preview, Oracle's earnings; how will uptick in oil prices affect CPI calculations? (not much); Apple takes a 6% hit on China iPhone ban, but no real impact on NASDAQ. Remembering 9/11 22-years later. One of the big head-scratchers this year is why we haven't had a recession. A look at the Citi Surprise Index; when economic data points diverge. How the economy works: What comes first, Production or Consumption; is there really job-creation or just re-hiring of those laid off in the pandemic? Hostess & Smucker's to merge: Looking at the possibilities; will higher oil prices create surprise inflation (makes up on 7% of CPI)? The problem with lags in economic data; GDP will have to "catch-down" to GDI.
SEG-1: Economic Reports - What Makes Up the CPI? SEG-2: Remembering 9/11; When Economic Datapoints Diverge SEG-3: Chicken or Egg; Production or Consumption? SEG-4: Smucker's & Hostess Marriage & Offspring Combinations; Oil Prices, & Fed Stance on Rates now
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pm3PgLBY76g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=57s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Apple's Big Bite Means for Markets " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=slpBNFB8Nm0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "6 Medicare Landmines to Avoid" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xnl-e0orht0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this report: "Oil Price Inflation & Interest Rates. What Is The Link?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/oil-price-inflation-interest-rates-what-is-the-link/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #Apple #CPI #OilPrices #9_11 #EconomicDivergence #Production #Consumption #Inflation #Deflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/8/23) Spending Lottery winnings; no more drilling = higher fuel prices; Candid Coffee tease; A flounder markets: Odds of Fed pause increasing; the threat of government shutdown & market ripples? Congress as "Animal House:" Oil Prices & Apple; market dynamics & touch psychology: Managing expectations. Healthcare premium increases for 2024 = 6.5%: Dealing w realities of Inflation. Zip Lock Bags & Canned goods; Medicare landmines to avoid: importance of pre-Medicare planning; will your doctor accept Medicare? Medigap/supplemental coverage window. Silly climate activists; more Medicare landmines: dealing w enrollment & underwriting; what happens if you go back to work?? HSA's vs Medicare.SEG-1: Flounder Markets & Government Spending BattlesSEG-2: Managing Expectations in Tough TimesSEG-3: Ziplock Bags & Medicare LandminesSEG-4: More Medicare LandminesHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xnl-e0orht0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why We Sold TLT" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5O_KdxR2kQY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Why We Did a Big Bond Swap"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RA4t87EVRuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Risk Free Government Debt – Fact or Fiction?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risk-free-government-debt-fact-or-fiction/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Medicare #Medigap #FederalReserve #GovernmentShutdown #GovernmentDebt #HealthSavingsAccount #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/7/23) Earnings season is wrapping up, just in time to get ready for the NEXT quarter's earnings reports! What do Parking Lot Reports and the markets have in common? Not much going on. Waiting for the lag; rising oil prices; markets sold off, and about to give a pullback, a normal function. Apple iPhones restricted in China: Is this an opportunity for more exposure? Market correction in a bullish trend. Preview of next Fed Meeting (9/20): One more look at Inflation. Prediction: Fed will do nothing as inflation normalizes. Economy IS slowing, recession IS coming, but lag effect not hitting for 6-moths? Effects of higher rates will take longer to be felt. The Big Bond Swap: Why we sold TLT. All economic markers for the next 20-years are downward; looking to futures & what if's. Advantages of bonds include guaranteed payback of principal; guaranteed income stream. Government Bonds and Risk-free Debt: Is it, really? Why higher interest rates are unsustainable; economy is debt-dependent. The myth of "Bond Vigilantes;" what happens when interest rates become an impediment to the economy.
SEG-1: Parking Lot Reports & Market Activity SEG-2: Next Fed Meeting Preview SEG-3: The Big Bond Swap SEG-4: Is Government Debt Really "Risk Free"
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RA4t87EVRuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why We Sold TLT" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5O_KdxR2kQY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "7 Investment Types You Should Avoid" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1NYwasSS0A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Risk Free Government Debt – Fact or Fiction?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risk-free-government-debt-fact-or-fiction/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #BondSwap #OilPrices #InterestRates #BondYields #FederalReserve #GovernmentDebt #RiskFree #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/6/23) All those Jobs numbers deserve a look under the hood: Are we really creating new jobs or just replacing the ones that went away? NOTE: Following each Jobs Report, revisions are made to previous numbers; this year's revisions are the most negative since the financial crisis. Are Jobs numbers a Recession indicator? The Risk remains. Markets in Correctional Period, VIX suppression vs history; investors have no apparent fear of Recession. Sleeping-in & Zip-lock bags; everyone is convinced no Recession is coming. All indicators say otherwise. How the bottom 80% are living. Investment types you should avoid: Speculative assets (ex.: Irani Dinar craze); Private REIT's: Why are they being offered to YOU?? Liquidity is key: When do you get your money back? Who is making the money on the deal? I-bonds: No one understands them. Any investment you don't understand. "High Yield" Bonds = High risk. Leverages ETF's: Risky; Commodities: are really options w decay of premium, and subject to boom/bust cycles.SEG-1: Jobs Picture May Not Be So RobustSEG-2: Sleeping Late, Ziplock Bags, No Recession?SEG-3: Investment Types You Should Avoid, Pt-1SEG-4: Investment Types You Should Avoid, Pt-2Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Investors Have No Fear of Recession" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wO8bZRTgK0w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Can Mega-caps Continue to Lead?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AkGxDBzOJNE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Downside of Diversity" (WSJ)https://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/05/world/americas/05iht-diversity.1.6986248.html"Mega-Cap Stocks Continue To Dominate. But Why?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/mega-cap-stocks-continue-to-dominate-but-why/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JobsReport #Employment #Recession #ZipLockBags #Cereal #InvestmentTypes #SpeculativeAssets #REIT #IraqiDinar #Liquidity #iBonds #HighYield #JunkBonds #LeveragedETF #Commodities #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/5/23) Markets are entering the "weak" month of September, the home of when things fall apart; barring any catastrophe, the month should prove to be flat. August Jobs Report shows higher unemployment = slower spending = lower inflation, the Fed's goal. Popcorn shrinkflation at Costco. Why Mega-cap stocks continue to lead the market: Growth of ETF's, and money must be invested for safety & liquidity. Why the Deficit declined: reduced spending; deficit now doubling due to more spending, which has again deferred Recession. The widening gap between spending and revenues; inflation is always a monetary phenomenon (fiscal policy). Government money now being spent on non-productive debt. The Fed's role in Government debt; circular logic in government math & accounting. The downside of Diversity: What is the benefit of DE&I (Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion): When diversity is higher, charitable donations and cooperation decline; why are companies pushing DE&I? Employees are less-inclined to unionize. The Value of Social Capital.SEG-1: Market Rally ContinuesSEG-2: Will Mega-caps Continue to Lead?SEG-3: Government Math & Circular Accounting LogicSEG-4: The Downside of DE&IHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AkGxDBzOJNE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Where Money is Hiding" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=npFqaJnJZjM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "How We're Fighting Inflation Now"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldE2JtxJ_54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"The Downside of Diversity" (WSJ)https://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/05/world/americas/05iht-diversity.1.6986248.html"Mega-Cap Stocks Continue To Dominate. But Why?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/mega-cap-stocks-continue-to-dominate-but-why/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #MegaCap #JobsReport #Unemployment #Shrinkflation #Deficit #GovernmentMath #DEI #Diversity #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/1/23) Anticipating Jobs Report (187k vs 170k estimated); bad news is good news. Inflation is here to stay; wage growth is slowly cooling; Lending Club survey on living paycheck to paycheck & non-essential spending. The "winter" of society is here; Neil Howe's "The Fourth Turning is Here;" the need for household financial rules; the geopolitical risk seems higher than at anytime in our lifetimes. The need for a financial vulnerability cushion. The manipulation by the media. The foolishness of allowing political sentiment to guide investment. Preview of our next Candid Coffee, Financial Fitness Podcast, and show swag; Changes in 529's and what to do with left-over money; filling out the FAFSA; the FAFSA Simplification Act. How grandparents can contribute to college education. Advantages of going to trade school. What is a university's ROI? Thrift Store Finds & Old Homes' Walls; the Secure Act should be called the "Rothification Act of America;" what happens in 2026?? Forced catch-up in Roth implications & tax rule sunset.SEG-1: Inflation is Here to StaySEG-2: Living Paycheck to Paycheck & Non-essential SpendingSEG-3: Coming Changes in 529's & FAFSASEG-4: Thrift Store Finds; the Rothification of AmericaHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldE2JtxJ_54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will September Weakness Return?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6H_9akXBRrU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Has the Fed Already Broken Something?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jWmqq-Eqr2o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Inflation And Deficits And QT, Oh My -Part 2"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-and-deficits-and-qt-oh-my-part-2"10 Best Days – A Meme For Every Bull Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-best-days-a-meme-for-every-bull-market/"Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JobsReport #Inflation #InterestRates #TheFourthTurning #PaycheckToPaycheck #529 #FAFSA #GeopoliticalRisk #Roth #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/31/23) Markets prepare to move into September, with weaker ADP report, downward revision to GDP, and a large gap between GDP vs GDI (Gross Domestic Income). GDP is on the rise, GDI is declining; what will revisions show? The deviation between income vs production must be rectified. Market rally continues; September may not be as weak as historical averages suggest, thanks to August action. Is GDP actually lower than reported? Defining the Fed's "Neutral Rate;" Powell holding firm on 2% inflation goal. The real impact of more debt on economic growth: There is a negative multiplier. Hurricane Idalia & The Broken Window Theory; pulling forward consumption. Earnings & Economic Report previews; noting the shift from "Meta" mentions to "AI" in earnings reports. Parsing Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech: blaming Ukraine war for inflation, with no mention of inflationary effect of stimulus money flooding the economy. The arsonist gets the Nobel Prize for putting out the fire. Has the Fed already broken something? Dollar General reports 16% decline: Has Dollar General become the 84-cent Store? The Lag Effect is evident in consumer spending; there are two stories: Gov't Data vs on the street data. Resumption of Student Loan payments & Sally Mae notices. What happens to small- and mid-cap companies when loans come due in a higher-rate environment? Investors are hiding in mega-cap companies flush w cash and low-rate debt.SEG-1: GDP on the rise, GDI in DeclineSEG-2: Defining the Fed's "Neutral Rate"SEG-3: Earnings & Economic Reports Preview; Jerome Powell's blame for InflationSEG-4: Dollar General drops 16%: Lag Effect is EvidentHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jWmqq-Eqr2o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will September Weakness Return?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6H_9akXBRrU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------Our previous show is here: "Markets Cleared Resistance"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1UKs7gc6TE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s--------Articles mentioned in this report:"Inflation And Deficits And QT, Oh My -Part 2"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-and-deficits-and-qt-oh-my-part-2"10 Best Days – A Meme For Every Bull Market"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-best-days-a-meme-for-every-bull-market/"Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #HurricaneIdalia #EconomicImpact #MarketRally #InterestRates #NeutralRate #Inflation #BrokenWindowTheory #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/30/23) There will be some short-term economic benefit from the landfall of Hurricane Idalia in Florida--a momentary boost from damage repairs spending. Economic data has been coming in better-than-expected (because estimates had been lowered); bad news is good news again, in hopes the Fed will lower rates. Markets on Tuesday cleared resistance at the 20- and 50-DMA's; mid- and small-company bankruptcies are on the rise as lag effect of higher interest rates sets in. A recent survey reveals 25% of young respondents' life goals are to be a "social media influencer." What would you do with a financial windfall? Economic report preview; there's been no gain in the market ex- the 7 stocks driving activity. Bankruptcies are on the rise in smaller companies; there are 10 prescription drugs up for price negotiation with Medicare. Look for hidden details in the Inflation Reduction Act (like a disable switch for EV's!) Old Cars, Old Guys, and Retirement. 8 things you need to know about Estate Planning, including how to divvy-up the assets, two kinds of accounts, life insurance, and long term care.
SEG-1: The Short-term Economic Impact of Hurricane Idalia SEG-2: What Do You Want to Be When You Grow Up? SEG-3: Economic Report Preview: Old Cars, Old Guys, & Retirement SEG-4: 8 Things You Need to Know About Estate Planning
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1UKs7gc6TE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Hopeful as Data Declines" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1ozy4sE7LA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The "Do Whatever it Takes" Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FvIarQfZHOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Best Days – A Meme For Every Bull Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-best-days-a-meme-for-every-bull-market/ "Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #HurricaneIdalia #EconomicImpact #MarketRally #InterestRates #Inflation #EstatePlanning #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/29/23) Hurricane Idalia is bearing down on Florida; will there be epic adventure stories from Florida Man? Will markets "catch-up" to economic data, or will the data begin to prove-out market optimism? Will there be a recession (still) or a soft-landing? Market rallies; more positive action to come? Challenging the 20- and 50-DMA: Have markets achieved highs for 2023? Factors that drive markets: Politics, geo-politics, economics, sentiment; What will be the impact of Student Loan Payment resumption? AI is estimated to replace 300-million jobs; what will be economic impact? What are the arguments driving markets? Markets are voting machines & weighing machines. Money in motion creates fees; long-term investors vs traders; importance of knowing the difference. The weight of reality vs FOMO & investor sentiment; when does the weight start to set-in? Debt service is diverting revenue from economic growth. The Fed is stuck between high rates and high inflation. How home builders are revising house plans to meet buyer realities. As goes China, so goes others' economies. Example of economic failure: China's empty cities & transportation systems = artificial growth. No one is using them. The "beauty" Socialism and Communism is always undone by human nature. Do we really want a "Do Whatever it Takes" economy? Why Baby Boomers are the luckiest generation alive: slotted into time period with remarkable market gains. Why are we afraid of recession?
SEG-1: Hurricanes & Florida Man; Will Markets Catch-up to Economic Data? SEG-2: Has the Market Hit its High for the Year? SEG-3: The Weight of Reality vs FOMO & Investor Sentiment SEG-4: Do We Really Want a "Do Whatever It takes" Economy?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FvIarQfZHOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Have Markets Set the High for the Year?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AbzKie4F5Kk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Will September Be Better than August?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d2Mq_Rp1_yA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s
Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Best Days – A Meme For Every Bull Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-best-days-a-meme-for-every-bull-market/ "Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #HurricaneIdalia #MarketRally #FOMO #InvestorSentiment #Socialism #Communism #HumanNature #BabyBoomers #InterestRates #Inflation #China #LAgEffect #ESG #Blackrock #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/28/23) AOC to ban Donald Trump Mug shot glasses? Capitalism at its best. The NVDIA aftermath. More supplemental funding for vaccines: Follow the money. Defining capitalism. Markets having a sloppy month: is better performance ahead? Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech: Blaming Ukraine war for inflation (!) A review of how we measure core inflation. What Powell left out of his speech; "Navigating under cloudy skies." Still plenty of risk despite market performance. No significant downturn ahead (the problem with lagging indicators. Things to watch out for: 3-5% correction was needed, to be followed by rally. Earnings expectations are coming down for 2024. China's impact on US economy. Biden's curbs on Chinese chip components. (That we're talking about these possibilities means markets are already adjusting for these.) The lag effect of Fed rate hikes are still to be felt; September is typically a weak month, but not as much if August is weak also. More ESG nonsense: The number of ESG ideas owned by Blackrock are becoming fewer; companies in ESG movement are not doing well. Disney is now trading at a 9-year low; Busch, Target: Not selling what consumers want. Visiting Disney: No crowds!
SEG-1: Donald Trump Mug shot glasses & Capitalism: Follow the money! SEG-2: Jerome Powell's Nothing Burger: Rate Hikes ending sooner than later SEG-3: Things to Watch Out For: What Could Cause Problems? SEG-4: More ESG Nonsense
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d2Mq_Rp1_yA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Better Market Performance Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXXP8QjlbKk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Five Steps to Retirement in Five Years" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lEmSHUz_658&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this report: "Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #China #LAgEffect #ESG #Blackrock #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/25/23) Markets await comments today from Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole confab; inflation is not going away, and is affecting financial planning: What is your risk tolerance now? Five steps to retirement in five years: What's your number? Healthcare expenses; Medicare mistakes to avoid; Reducing debt (what is your debt costing you?); What are your savings rates? Budgeting and knowing income stream sourcing. Why and when are more workers calling-in sick? Managing guaranteed income, and ramping up risk. Refining retirement goals; discovering what retirement really looks like. Should you put funds in Roth 401k?
SEG-1: Inflation Is Not Going Away SEG-2: Five Steps to Retirement in Five Years, Pt-1 SEG-3: Five Steps to Retirement in Five Years, Pt-2 SEG-4: Calling in Sick; Managing Money in Retirement
Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lEmSHUz_658&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Battle with Cluster of Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QQeitp8yzQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Will Jerome Powell Address Markets at Jackson Hole?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgaYJ7Hfdk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Bond Traders And Their Bearish Stories" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-traders-and-their-bearish-stories "Stock Market Rally Coming? And Investing In 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-market-rally-coming-and-investing-in-2024/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #Retirement #Roth #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/24/23) NVDIA's earnings report blows off the doors; market action will be driven by this news today. But NVDIA outlook is for slower growth moving forward. The company is fast on track to be as big if not bigger than Microsoft. Meanwhile, Wall Street is starting to ratchet down estimates for 2024, approaching reality. Can the S&P clear 4,400 with seasonal weakness still ahead? The Jackson Hole Preview: former Fed Gov. Bullard sees economic growth as a threat, requiring higher interest rates; Fed forecast; Higher for Longer. Will Jerome Powell address the "Neutral Rate" (2%) thesis? The Fed always expects stronger growth, but... Bond Bulls vs Bears: Debt creates growth as it is spent, but becomes a net drag on economic growth; the trend of growth is slowing. Markets are hopeful for a positive Fed, with rate cuts next year. What will be the impact of AI on productivity and the economy? Same effect as the World Wide Web: Productivity growth continues to slip; the threat of AI: Replacing high-wage earning jobs, reducing labor multiplier effect. The markets' rally is narrow; where do we go from here? The Mega Cap differential; how higher rates will affect earnings. Will Powel address the stock markets; is 3% inflation "good enough?"
SEG-1: NVDIA Blows Off the Doors SEG-2: Jackson Hole Preview SEG-3: What's the Impact of AI on Economy & Productivity? SEG-4: The Narrow Market Rally: Where do we go from here?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgaYJ7Hfdk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Battle with Cluster of Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QQeitp8yzQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "What Do Rising Treasury Yields Mean?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oQzn4n7QHjw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Bond Traders And Their Bearish Stories" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-traders-and-their-bearish-stories "Stock Market Rally Coming? And Investing In 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-market-rally-coming-and-investing-in-2024/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #NVDIA #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #AI #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/23/23) It's NVDIA Report Day: The NVDIA Drinking Game: How many times will they mention, "AI?" Economic data & the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Manufacturing data is not improving; what happens on the Services side? Dick's, Nike, Target, et al earnings and outlooks not good; WalMart & Kohl's are okay. Markets rally and sell-off Tuesday. The Barbie Movie: To see or not to see? What's the implication behind rise in Treasury yields: higher real rates & expectations for direction in rates; expectation for no recession and stronger economic growth for next several years (are they right?) Refilling the SPR: How will that affect inflation? (It won't): How CPI is calculated. The cost of electric & water utilities: How we measure personal inflation. Are we spending too much on our kids' extra-curricular activities? Parents spending themselves into bankruptcy, and then must rely on children for support in retirement. Former Fed Gov James Bullard believes stronger economic growth will require higher interest rates.
SEG-1: The NVDIA Drinking Game & Economic Data SEG-2: The Barbie Movie & The Meaning Behind the Rise in Treasury Yields SEG-3: Inflation & The SPR, and the Cost of Keeping Cool SEG-4: Why Kids Are Expensive; James Bullard Goes for Broke
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oQzn4n7QHjw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Hold Onto Highs?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=76sWZr6xbYE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "What's in Store for 2024?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTfxWEwyWpk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Stock Market Rally Coming? And Investing In 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-market-rally-coming-and-investing-in-2024/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #NVDIA #TreasuryYields #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #CPI #PersonalInflation #BarbieMovie #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/22/23) All eyes are on NVDIA's report and the fulfilment(?) of 50% sales increase promises. Sustainability of growth numbers will be key. Fed governors are holding Jackson Hole prelude meetings. VIX has been creeping upward; markets correction of 5%; higher close on Monday, but no buy signal yet triggered. Expect another pullback prior to setting up for October rally; commodities are a concern. What's in store for 2024: A history of normal market oscillations. Volatility is the toll we pay for investing. The set-up for a market rally is in place, but there's no guarantee it will occur. Where best to invest in 2024: How sectors roll in- and-out-of-favor. Winners & Losers this year: Where might they be next year? Logical rotation into interest rate-sensitive sectors: Laggards to leaders, leaders to laggards. Earnings preview, economic data preview: Consumer-focused stocks. Strong results vs what the government says. Outlook going forward (and holiday shopping) will be key. Existing Home Sales: What the numbers really mean; the problem with annualized numbers. The real worry will be deflation.
SEG-1: Can Earnings Growth Rate Be Sustained? SEG-2: What's in Store for 2024? SEG-3: Where Best to Invest in 2024 SEG-4: Earnings & Economic Data Preview; The Problem with Annualized Numbers
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTfxWEwyWpk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Setting Up for October Action" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-xekP5Q3tQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=2
Our previous show is here: "Should Parents Pay for Kids' Vacations?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wnhtsmE4Pqo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this report: "As Rates Rise, Why I Personally Doubled Down On Bonds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "A Recession Is Coming, Or Is It?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-recession-is-coming-or-is-it/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #MarketRally #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/21/23) Back to School & The Rocky Racoon Saga comes to a close; Jackson Hole preview: Will Powell change his stance? Could the Markets correct some more? MACD Oscillation is consistent with bullish market trend. Should parents pay for kids' vacation? The difference between sense of entitlement and sense of responsibility. The 401k Millionaire Report: Up 13%. A look at the numbers (reality): 1% of 401k are $1-Million+; average balance is $112k; median balance is $65k. Market Preview: Reflexive rally = opportunity to trim risk; we're still awaiting the impact of The Lag Effect of interest rate hikes, and the bite it's going to take out of the economy. The Greater Fool Theory: the willingness of buyers to pay a higher price...until they're not. Why NVDIA is over-priced for now.
SEG-1: Back to School & Jackson Hole Preview SEG-2: Should Your Parents Pay for Your Vacation? SEG-3: Why "More" 401k Millionaires is no big deal SEG-4: Waiting on the Lag Effect & The Greater Fool Theory
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wnhtsmE4Pqo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Finding Opportunity in Market Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WFyFGs-MIxY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Are Mandatory Savings Ahead?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0wBfWpCvQmo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this report: "As Rates Rise, Why I Personally Doubled Down On Bonds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "A Recession Is Coming, Or Is It?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-recession-is-coming-or-is-it/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #LagEffect #401kMillionaires #Vacation #Entitlement #Responsibility #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/18/23) Market over-exuberance is now letting off steam; high interest rates are likely here to stay for a while. WalMart results reflecting more traffic from upper-income households suffering impact of inflation. The Peak-65 retirement trend shows less than half of retirees have less than $100k in investible funds; states moving to automatic savings into Roth IRA's; the downside of state-sponsored savings plans: Who administers/custodian? Looking for deflation: Prices aren't coming down, but the rate of increase is slowing; the Fed likely has two more rate hikes in store. "Shift-up:" More unemployment claims coming from upper-income earners. How long can this last with the chipping away of fiscal responsibility? Impact on investors: frustration in diversified portfolios. Why you need a 10% pullback in markets (and what has happened to all the AI hype-narratives?) Pet Medical Care & Willingness of 78% to go into debt for pet health. The importance of setting up pet healthcare goals in financial plans. Pet care insurance (Healthy Paws) and importance of understanding stipulations & how to handle claims. I have no idea why we ended up talking about Brittney Spears' divorce at the end. That's just bizarre. SEG-1: Over-exuberant Markets Letting off Steam SEG-2: Mandatory Retirement Savings; Boon or Bust? SEG-3: The Shift-up in Higher Income Unemployment SEG-4: Pet Medical Care & Pet Debt
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0wBfWpCvQmo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Flirting with Moving Averages" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CFhjvXPbEW4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Are We There, Yet?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GI4qz_yWo1s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this report: Government Bonds Or Stocks? Which Is A Better Choice Now? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-bonds-or-stocks-which-is-a-better-choice-now/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #RetirementSavings #PetHealthcare #Unemployment #Peak65 #RetailSales #FedTarget #Bonds #USTreasuries #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/17/23) The Atlanta Fed is now predicting GDP growth at 5.8% for the 3rd quarter, and another rate increase is expected as liquidity continues to move through the system. The S&P needs to get above 50-DMA; correction is normal, and the bullish trend continues. Target vs WalMart: A tale of two retailers. Consumer sentiment is better; no Recession coming? FOMC meeting minutes reveal more rate hikes to come, but Fed's views are mixed. Keeping a hawkish tone while allowing lag effect to play out. What will be a Black Swan Event? The saga of the Roberts' Racoon continues; the Yeti casket; why have markets been rallying? Does this now set-up for Recession? The Lag Effect is real. Consumers and Corporate were preparing for higher rates by buying houses at low rates and borrowing when money was cheap. The Lag Effect is more "laggy" than expected. Important to pay attention to warning signs, like credit spreads. Will the Fed raise rates again? What's the best long-term strategy for investors? Is this time different for bond holders, as Economy is climbing out of declines? No: Too much unproductive debt outstanding.
SEG-1: GDP Growth Predictions = 5.8% SEG-2: Fed Views are Mixed: Hawkish but Waiting SEG-3: Rocky Racoon, Yeti Caskets, the Lag Effect is Real SEG-4: The Ingredients of Recession
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GI4qz_yWo1s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Flirting with Moving Averages" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CFhjvXPbEW4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Raise Inflation Target to 3%?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cXKZz7QHTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles mentioned in this report: Government Bonds Or Stocks? Which Is A Better Choice Now? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-bonds-or-stocks-which-is-a-better-choice-now/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #RetailSales #FedTarget #Bonds #USTreasuries #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JacksonHole #EarningsSeason #Recession #FinancialCrisis #WealthInequality #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/16/23) The continuing saga of Rocky Racoon at the Roberts' house; Retail Sales are still strong; the Atlanta Fed's GDP forecast calls for 5% growth = Inflation is still present, so no rate cuts from the Fed: Markets sell off. Will the Fed raise its Inflation Target to 3%? Economic Data sees no Recession, and more rate hikes are possibility. Markets break the 50-DMA and need to recover by week's end. Market & Data report preview: Bob Doll's Five Questions answered by Lance & Danny. Bullishness vs Bearishness; Bonds & Interest Rates; will there be a soft landing or recession; is this a bank-buying opportunity? A new tune from a listener (thanks, Sean Smith!) Still looking for a market pullback; how to minimize downside risk. Longterm outlook & what to do with cash? Cutting Social Security: it's a demographics & math problem. We need population growth thru having more kids & merit-based immigration. Dealing with the gap between how we think we should be living vs how we ought to be living.
SEG-1: Racoon Saga, Retail Sales, & New Fed Target? SEG-2: Eco Data Preview; Bob Doll's Five Questions SEG-3: Still Looking for a Market Pullback: How to Minimize Risk SEG-4: Cutting Social Security: Demographics & Math
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cXKZz7QHTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Setting Up to Rally" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei2UQVm7wt8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Are Bonds a Better Choice Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VBG76wVGnfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles mentioned in this report: Government Bonds Or Stocks? Which Is A Better Choice Now? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-bonds-or-stocks-which-is-a-better-choice-now/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #RetailSales #FedTarget #Bonds #USTreasuries #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JacksonHole #EarningsSeason #Recession #FinancialCrisis #WealthInequality #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/15/23) Texas Heat & a trapped racoon (the saga continues...) Is Inflation on the rise again? Earnings estimates growth are predicated on no Recession; could the Fed raise its target inflation rate to 3%? Markets bounce off the 50-DMA, again; what is the risk from Jackson Hole meetings? What's the best bet for investors, now: Stocks or Bonds? Why own bonds now: The disconnect between the markets and the economy cannot last. What Bonds to buy? Retail Sales expected to show .2% gain (x 12-months = 2.3% inflation expectations. There's still lots of liquidity in the system, so any recession (inevitable) is going to take time. Winding up earnings season; economic data is not strong.
SEG-1: Texas Heat & Trapped Racoons; Is Inflation on the Rise Again? SEG-2: Best Bet: Stocks or Bonds? SEG-3: Why Own Bonds? SEG-4: What Bonds to Buy? Winding Up Earnings Season
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VBG76wVGnfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk Ahead of Jackson Hole?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvwK7uluIGE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why the Fed Will Cut Rates" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lL8L9O9ZP-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles mentioned in this report: Government Bonds Or Stocks? Which Is A Better Choice Now? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-bonds-or-stocks-which-is-a-better-choice-now/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #Bonds #USTreasuries #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JacksonHole #EarningsSeason #Recession #FinancialCrisis #WealthInequality #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/14/23) August means hot weather in Texas, and the conclusion of earnings season, with a re-focusing on economic data. A burning question at the upcoming Jackson Hole rich guys' confab: What will it take for the Fed to lower rates? Profit margins are lower, but holding; Markets test 50-DMA and bounce. The real Fed funds rate; why the Fed would cut rates: Recession or crisis (the Fed WILL cut rates, just needs a reason). The Saga of the Roberts' Racoon; What happens next with a data-dependent Fed? Data is little more than guesses; statistical samples are taken as gospel. The trend of data is more important than The Number. A discussion of wealth inequality vs personal financial responsibility: How to build wealth 1.) start a business, grow it, and sell it; 2.) Savings. Rule #1.: Never borrow from retirement savings. SEG-1: Refocusing on Economic Data SEG-2: Jackson Hole Confab Preview SEG-3: Roberts' Racoon; The Fed's Next Move SEG-4: Wealth Inequality vs Personal Financial Habits: How to Build Wealth
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lL8L9O9ZP-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Bounce Back?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrYwLlbxHUk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Minimizing the Chances of Dying Poor" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LNSSuF6uJ94&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JacksonHole #EarningsSeason #Recession #FinancialCrisis #WealthInequality #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/11/23) The Summer Malaise (and associated heat) continues, with no Recession: Looking for a market pullback. This is not a normal economic cycle; what will holiday spending reveal? The impact of AI on productivity. Preparing against the worst possible outcome: Are you Spick or Kirk (or George Costanza)? Why the 4% Rule is wrong. The Wisdom of William Bernstein; minimizing the chances of dying poor. The new PE Ratio: Price to Emotion; dealing with longevity risk. Podcast preview and summer heat: Secure Act changes to IRA's: Why Roth is important to the IRS: They want your money now. Seg-1: Summer Malaise & No Recession SEG-2: Are You Prepared for the Worst? SEG-3: Minimizing Chances of Dying Poor SEG-4: Podcast Preview; Secure Act Changes to IRA's
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LNSSuF6uJ94&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Bonds Are Best Bet" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrYwLlbxHUk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "What Happens if Inflation Ticks-up?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hI8G4pWDMr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #Retirement #SecureAct #DyingPoor #LongevityRisk #WilliamBernstein #AI #Productivity #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/10/23) CPI Day: What happens if Inflation ticks-up? No expectation of Fed to react w rate hike; the housing component of CPI, Home Owner Equivalent Rent, lags by 3-months. Tomorrow's PCE report may provide more clarity in direction Fed is likely to go. Markets sell of as correction continues, now down 3%; why bonds are the best bet for now. The Jobs Opening & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) vs Employment numbers: it's all a calculation. Workers are willing to leave their jobs if "Return to Work" is enforced. With a low (3.2%) employment rate, where will they go (and what is the veracity of the data)? What happens when the economy really does slow, and more workers are shed? Why "work at home" may go away: The Commercial Real Estate factor. Biden did not create new jobs; workers returned from pandemic layoffs. Washington Redskins name-change to "Commanders;" now petition to change it back! Cancel the cancel culture. Beyond Meat ingredients, Cola & Cigars and the key to long life. Expectations for inflation at .2% ; Disney/Hulu rates to increase to cover amusement park losses. Fed reaction to higher inflation: No rate hikes, but higher rates for longer. SEG-1: CPI Day: What Happens if Inflation Ticks-up? SEG-2: JOLTS vs Jobs Numbers & Return to Work SEG-3: Washington Redskins vs Cancel Culture: Follow the Money SEG-4: Beyond Meat, Cola, & Cigars; Expecting .2% Inflation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hI8G4pWDMr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Bonds Are Best Bet" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrYwLlbxHUk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why Interest Rates Cannot Go Higher" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e1DyM6T4Hy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #CPI #Bonds #JOLTS #Employment #EconomicWeakness #FederalReserve #BeyondMeat #WashingtonCommanders #CancelCulture #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/9/23) The Market Sell-off continues, even as Europe takes its August break; reward for companies beating lowered earnings estimates has been muted; NFIB Report (50% of economy is small businesses w 1-5 employees): Seeing an uptick in sentiment and cap-ex spending. Tuesday's Market sell-off takes out previous low, trending to the 50-DMA. The NASDAQ bounces back to 50-DMA: Can Apple get its act together? Mega-cap stocks have been the market drivers; small- and mid-cap stocks are going nowhere. Still no evidence of Recession; the market has been running ahead of economy fot 6- to 9-months; results are starting to appear. Declining data has been telling us the economy was "sick," no surprise now that it is "feeling better." Look at the data trend and rate of change. Has Stagflation (high inflation w slow growth) virtually gone away? Economy is being resilient w 2-3% growth; no recession. Defining "Job Creation." Deficit spending to continue; what is the destiny for interest rates? The source of inflation was not organic (stimmie checks). CBO Debt Report: Government cannot issue new debt in a rising interest rate environment: Why rates WILL come down. We do not have a normal bond market, thanks to Fed monetizing debt to keep rates low. Bonds are most over-sold. Cannot have economic growth in high interest rate environment; why bonds will be he best investments for a while. SEG-1: Market Sell-off Continues (Europe is Closed for August) SEG-2: The Economy is "Feeling Better" SEG-3: The Source of Economic Resiliency SEG-4: Why Interest Rates Must Come Down
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e1DyM6T4Hy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Apple Get its Act Together?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eCEubkh0FlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Are Markets Pricing-in Better Times Ahead?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6mtkRBB_TNQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #Bonds #Stagflation #EconomicWeakness #FederalReserve #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/8/23) The risk for uptick in Inflation: Is the Fed done? Markets fail test of 20-DMA; expect markets to trend sideways. How markets tend to lead the economy; pricing-in better times ahead? The Market Cycle: is there a move to the upside? Market Predictions for economic recovery: Recession in an election year: The incumbent loses. Incentives for Government to prop up economy until after an election. The stages of the economic cycle. What it takes to buy a home as a percentage of income; the economy will cycle through. Beyond Meat & others' earnings; AMC Theaters and post-pandemic theatergoing vs streaming; CPI Report preview: The hope for a continued decline to 2% inflation. Jackson Hole preview: Markets hoping for a Fed pivot; why interest rates must come back down. The new normal will be the Fed owning more and more of the Bond Market to keep interest rates low . SEG-1: The Risk of Uptick in Inflation SEG-2: Is There More to Go on the Upside? SEG-3: Market Predictions for Economic Recovery SEG-4: AMC Theaters & Post-pandemic Behaviors
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6mtkRBB_TNQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Fail to Test 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJfnApyPwGY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Rates Can Go Only One Way (Down) " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79A7KBLcwtY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Articles mentioned in this report: The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #Recession #Correction #EconomicWeakness #FederalReserve #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/7/23) Wrapping up earnings season: 80%+ of major companies will have reported by week's end, with many "beats" of lowered earnings estimates. Meanwhile, economic data is showing signs of concern, but nothing terrible. Employment data is showing a slowing; markets continue their corrective ways: How long can this correction last? Year-over-year math of Inflation: About to enter period in which computed inflation goes back up. What is the potential for Fed to raise rates again as inflation heats up? CPI Report on Wednesday; NASDAQ is detached from economic reality. Government Debt & Debt Ceiling fights (there's been no budget since Obama in office.) Why did Fitch downgrade US Debt? No fiscal restraint. The point at which debt finally matters (we're there). It's all about public policy. Explaining the appeal of Socialism over Capitalism by the unschooled. CBO: Trend of debt issuance is not good. "Gray Rhino Event:" plenty of warning signs, which go unheeded. Futuristic Movie Timeline: We're somewhere between "Soylent Green" and "Children of Men." Economic Preview: Rates don't matter until they do; rates can only go one way (down) because debt levels are unsustainable. SEG-1: Wrapping Up Earnings & Signs of Concern SEG-2: How Long Can Correction Last? SEG-3: Why Fitch Downgraded US Debt SEG-4: Futuristic Movie Timeline; Rates Don't Matter Until They Do
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79A7KBLcwtY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Correct," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrQytvzdNCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "What Gen-X Needs to Retire" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RY6HAOJASiE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2652s
Articles mentioned in this report: The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #FitchRatings #Recession #Correction #Japan #EconomicWeakness #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/4/23) Digesting the Fitch Ratings downgrade: Defining "safety." The Degeneration of American Culture is accelerating; are we becoming Japan? Robert Shiller's "Narrative Encounter;" AI & Productivity: what it means for companies. Does today's workforce even have the skills to utilize AI? Why common sense must be taught (the ill-effects of pandemic lock-down).Corporate culture is a sewer. New rules for Roth in the Secure Act: They want your money now. What will be ultimate outcome of Fitch Ratings downgrade? How will Gen-X Retire (what Gen-X needs). Preview: End of Life Planning presentation; Jobs Report preview; What will be the Black Swan Event that triggers markets? Long Term Care Insurance misunderstood. SEG-1: Digesting the Downgrade; What it means to companies SEG-2: AI & Productivity & Decline of American Culture SEG-3: New Rules for Roth: They want your money now SEG-4: Misunderstanding Long Term Care Insurance
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RY6HAOJASiE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2652s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Work off Steam," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6wrnCJSqPvU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why the Fitch Ratings Downgrade Doesn't Really Matter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTHkQPBtaJs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Stocks Versus Bonds: Allocating For The Next Ten Years" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stocks-versus-bonds-allocating-for-the-next-ten-years "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #Retirement #GenerationX #FitchRatings #Recession #Correction #Japan #CorporateCulture #BondRatings #EconomicWeakness #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/3/23) Earnings season is seeing unusual reward & punishment for results. Is dis-inflation and 2% growth coming? Earnings beats have lifted markets, bullish sentiment is rising sharply without the benefit of liquidity support. The Market correction begins: breakout of 20DMA is no big deal, but watch the 50DMA. Fixing Government spending and the Fitch Ratings downgrade: It's a joke. Explaining US Debt to Income Ratio; A look at the veracity of ratings agencies (Caution: Don't buy bonds on ratings alone). The difference between corporate and government debt. Where else are you going to go? Timing is everything: Will the Fitch downgrade trigger market correction and creation of buying opportunity for investors? Is the US becoming Japan? There's a 30-year lead on the US; the impact on stock prices. A brief history of ratings downgrades: The example of 2011; this is the Lag Effect. SEG-1: Reward & Punishment for Earnings SEG-2: Government Spending & Fitch Downgrade: It's a Joke SEG-3: Timing is Everything: SEG-4: A Brief History of Ratings Downgrades
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTHkQPBtaJs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Work off Steam," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6wrnCJSqPvU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Six Signs You're Ready to Retire" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztaZOBnpqeU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Stocks Versus Bonds: Allocating For The Next Ten Years" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stocks-versus-bonds-allocating-for-the-next-ten-years "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #FitchRatings #Recession #Correction #Japan #BondRatings #EconomicWeakness #TaxReceipts #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/2/23) Despite claims of no Recession imminent, tax receipt declines and other indicators belie an emerging weakness in the economy. The timing of a Recession, however, is still uncertain. The NASDAQ remains the winner this year, but negative divergences are beginning to appear. The index has rallied back to January's highs without the benefit of additional stimulus. Fitch Credit Rating Downgrade preview (tune in tomorrow!) Six signs you're ready to retire: the negative impact of social media as a news source: Gauging the impact of future, lower interest rates on retirement savings; looking at the reality of Retirement spending. How much money has been saved against unexpected expenses? Where is that money kept: Diversification of assets. Where is the retirement income source? The Social Security factor (impact of demographics). Healthcare expenses, importance of HSA's and FSA's. Getting rid of debt; the difference between "good" debt and bad. SEG-1: Timing of Recession Still Uncertain SEG-2: Six Signs You're Ready to Retire, Pt-1: Impact of Interest Rates on Retirement Savings SEG-3: Six Signs You're Ready to Retire, Pt-2: Diversification of Assets and Retirement Income SEG-4: Six Signs You're Ready to Retire, Pt-3: Healthcare Expenses & Debt Elimination
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztaZOBnpqeU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why a Correction Now Would Be Healthy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_169z6iAwu4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Markets Summer Heat in Full Swing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t00ufC9aedY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #Recession #Correction #Retirement #NASDAQ #EconomicWeakness #TaxReceipts #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/1/23) Summer is in full-swing, and markets are matching the heat with extreme bullish sentiment. What is the cost of hedging your portfolio over time? No one believes a correction is coming (so it probably will). Companies are receiving no reward for beating (lowered) estimates; the number of companies achieving beats is declining. 3% - 5% correction in August should come as no surprise. Bullishness in S&P 500: Everyone can't wait to get in; wait for most-favorable risk/reward dynamic when market corrects. How to increase economic prosperity? Growing the economy, reducing debt. The current US Debt to GDP ratio is 180%! There is no easy fix for our debt problem. Pre-market commentary: Employment numbers and the 2023 Jackson Hole Central Bankers' confab is coming; why wouldn't the Fed hold firm at 5% rates when markets/economy seem to be doing fine? Pricing-in any rate cut could be premature. The dynamics of inflation, year-over-year measurement, and dis-inflation. Monetary normalization is far from complete: The risk still exists that the Fed will not pivot anytime soon. SEG-1: Markets Match Summer Heat SEG-2: No Reward for Earnings Estimates SEG-3: How to Increase Economic Prosperity SEG-4: Why Pricing-in a Rate Drop May Be Premature
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t00ufC9aedY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Correction in August?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BoYkSwT_5OM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Is the Bull Market Unstoppable?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3s_0JPku5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2100s
Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #EarningsEstimates #LagEffect #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/31/23) Investors prepare for August with the "rarity" of market performance: entering the seasonably weaker months of summer with 90% of stocks trading above their moving average; there is a high likelihood they will come back down. Earnings Season continues with the bulk of performance reports negative: We're getting more earnings "beats," but less of a beat than usual and on lowered estimates!) What are you really paying for? NVDIA valuation is problematic at 40-times price to sales; most over-valued stock in the S&P 500. The Lag-effect of what? Where's the Recession? Beware Fed Funds in Excess of Nominal GDP Growth. Government spending hasn't stopped. What happens after earnings season ends? The expectations for stronger earnings growth: What is the risk? The folly of a one-sided bet. The professional managers' index now at 110%. SEG-1: Defining Market Rarity as We Enter August SEG-2: Lowering Earnings Estimates for Better Beats: What are you paying for? SEG-3: The Lag Effect of What? (Where's the Recession?) SEG-4: What Happens After Earnings Season?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3s_0JPku5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2100s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Moving Averages Act Like Gravity ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CyFoTE0-tuE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Still No Recession?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqRA0UPAUPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=45s
Articles mentioned in today's show: “Beating Estimates” – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #EarningsEstimates #LagEffect #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/27/23) An overview of the current earnings reporting reveals profit margins have declined to pre-pandemic levels. Markets' flat response to Jerome Powell post-FOMC meeting presser The effects of shrinkflation are beginning to fade; no 2% inflation expected until late 2025. Will rate cuts return by then? Markets don't have a friendly Fed; a huge concern for impact of the Lag Effect; still possible for yet another rate increase of .25 to .50% by September. Market expectations vs Consumer Sentiment: Could there still be a "soft" landing? Is 3% inflation good enough? Powell says drop in headline inflation will encourage consumers--counter-productive for flagging inflation. Core Inflation is a better gauge of economic reality. Still no Recession? Why Chipotle is the world's most expensive burrito, and a good mid-level economic indicator. Why Technical Analysis is not voodoo; Recession still coming: 6-mos from now or late 2025? The Lag Effect Factor; the fallacy of MMT has come to pass.
SEG-1: Mega Cap Earnings Review SEG-2: Was This the Last Fed Rate Hike? SEG-3: Falling Headline Inflation Works Counter-Intuitively Against the Fed SEG-4: The World's Most Expensive Burrito
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqRA0UPAUPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=45s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Winning Streak Keeps Going" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ppk8LAZyLus&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Is This the Last Rate Hike?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgjXnLjDtQA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles mentioned in today's show: “Beating Estimates” – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHike #EarningsSeason #MegaCap #Estimates #Inflation #ChipotleIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/26/23) Why would the Fed cut rates at a time when the markets are rallying, and the economy is doing well? Will this be the final rate hike? Microsoft's report has weaker guidance, Google's very positive outlook includes AI. Markets are approaching a new, 52-week High. Mega Cap preview for today; the Chipotle Indicator, Union Pacific & Transportation stocks; Questions we missed in the last Candid Coffee (see details below)
SEG-1: Is This the Last Rate Hike? SEG-2A: Mega Cap Earnings Preview & Chipotle Indicator SEG-2B: Candid Coffee Q&A: ESG Ratings, Carbon Credits, Overseas Investors SEG-3: Candid Coffee Q&A, con't.: Fed Outlook, Home Prices, Fixed Income Investing, Recession Anxiety SEG-4: Candid Coffee Q&A, con't.: Demographics are Destiny; the Odds of Improving Economy; Treasuries' Risk, Investing for Outcomes
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgjXnLjDtQA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Approach 52-Week High" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ppk8LAZyLus&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How Wall St. Cooks the Books (and how you can tell)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEwmc4CZeIg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=168s
Articles mentioned in today's show: “Beating Estimates” – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHike #EarningsSeason #MegaCap #Estimates #Inflation #ChipotleIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/25/23) Mega Cap companies report earnings today; recession still seems a long way away. Transportation, Materials, and Airlines are all doing well, despite some economic indicators to the contrary. The positive effect from equity inflows will eventually end; this rally is not surprising, but not sustainable: Has the lag effect been pushed back further? How may the Presidential Election Cycle impact economic dynamics and market performance? Moving averages are sloping upwards. How are companies beating earnings estimates? Capitalism is not broken: Who do analysts really work for? How Wall Street cooks the books (and how you can tell). The dark side of stock-based compensation. How much money does it take to "feel comfortable?" Determined by your lifestyle: You'll need to generate 100% of your income in retirement; there is no magic number.
SEG-1: Mega Cap Earnings Preview SEG-2: How Companies Are Beating Estimates SEG-3: How Wall Street Cooks the Books SEG-4: How Much Does it Take to "Feel Comfortable?"
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEwmc4CZeIg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=168s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Moving Averages Are Sloping Higher" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QAGiPKsAnhU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Earnings Parade Continues" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ar-el_kbdCc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: “Beating Estimates” – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #MegaCap #Estimates #Inflation #StockBasedCompensation #EconomicIndicators #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/24/23) Will market volatility return with a rebalancing of the NASDAQ and Index Funds: Where will the money go? The Barbenheimer Weekend; GDP & Debr-driven liquidity: The problem of debt servicing. Earnings parade continues: Preview w Domino's Pizza as economic indicator; the importance of understanding earnings & estimates. Are you really getting everything you're paying for? Example: Apple is 1/8th US GDP: How can growth estimates be sustained in slow economy? Can the pace of growth continue to justify the price? Same question applies to MSFT and NVDIA. Texas border crisis: How about an immigration tax? How the stock market has become detached from the economy. The correlation between earnings and economic growth. What's next: How can extreme deviations be sustained? Tipflation: It's out of control. How companies can extract more revenue from customers, and not have to raise wages. There's been no recession (yet) because consumers are meeting increased demand; how much more can companies get? Fed inflation data does not include tipping.
SEG-1: Market Volatility Returns after Barbenheimer Weekend SEG-2: Earnings Preview & The Domino's Pizza Economic Indicator SEG-3: Texas Border Issues Stock Market Detachment from Economy SEG-4: Tipflation & Why There's no Recession...yet
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ar-el_kbdCc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the NASDAQ Rebalance Matter?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mBSwcE8Iwhw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How to Demolish Your Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fk47pi935lM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #Estimates #Inflation #EconomicIndicators #DominosPizza, #NVDIA #MSFT #TexasBorder #ImmigrationTax #Barbenheimer #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/21/23) Are you happy with the markets? You can't fight the tape; the slowdown of the consumer has yet to occur; transcripts of earnings calls have not been dire. How to deal with IRS Rules changes for IRA's. If the government is taking your money like this now, what will they do next? Why they're pushing Roth's: they want your money now. Inherited IRA's vs Roth's: Roth conversions as legacy strategy. (Why all the delay and confusion with RMD Rules?) The impact of caregiving on retirement plans.
SEG-1: Happy with the Markets? SEG-2: Rule Changes for IRA's SEG-3: Inherited IRA's vs Roth's SEG-4: Impact of Caregiving on Retirement
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fk47pi935lM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Does Market Retracement Spell Return to All-time Highs? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NN8k5kM7TcE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Living With the Lag Effect" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8w_xn1j5y1I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: The End of an Era for Stocks, Warns the Fed https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-end-of-an-era-for-stocks-warns-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #Inflation #EconomicIndicators #Retirement #Caregiving #Roth #IRA #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/20/23) Earnings season continues with Regional Banks' performance, "so far, so good," but related concerns persist. Markets have retraced over 78% of their decline from January 2022 all-time highs; are new, all-time highs about to he achieved? Are banks presently enjoying a perfect economic environment? Are companies pricing-in growth that cannot be delivered? Sector rotation impact; looking at the lag-effect; how to higher interest rates affect the US Treasury? Debt interest expense increases. (Teenager Blessings) Companies' ability to pass along price increases to consumers is easier when inflation is high; how will margins be affected? The Lag Effect affects us all, but differently.
SEG-1: Regional Banks Earnings Update: So far, so good SEG-2: Markets Can't Stop/Won't Stop Mentality SEG-3: Looking for the Lag Effect SEG-4: Companies' Ability to Pass-on Inflation to Consumers
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8w_xn1j5y1I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Does Market Retracement Spell Return to All-time Highs? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NN8k5kM7TcE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Conundrum of Early Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxcTJJ5TVoc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: The End of an Era for Stocks, Warns the Fed https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-end-of-an-era-for-stocks-warns-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #LagEffect #Recession #Inflation #EconomicIndicators #RegionalBanks #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/19/23) Investors' return to exuberance: Is the worst behind us? More to come in August and September. Markets are still hoping for a rate cut; is that realistic? Markets may be getting ahead of themselves as earnings season continues; at 3-standard deviations above the averages, upside potential is limited. Regional Banks have priced-in bad news; why the democratization of finance is not necessarily a good thing. Who really benefits? In peer-to-peer lending, if it's too good to be true, it probably is . The conundrum of early retirement: Three things you should know. Janet Yellen now says, 'No recession;' better buckle up. Economic data vs Market sentiment.
SEG-1: Investors' Return to Exuberance SEG-2: Earnings Preview; The Democratization of Finance SEG-3: The Conundrum of Early Retirement SEG-4: Janet Yellen: No Recession?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxcTJJ5TVoc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Market Upside Limited?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_pc1n-0egAQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Investing Around Political Landmines" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HF3tiP2Am8I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: The End of an Era for Stocks, Warns the Fed https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-end-of-an-era-for-stocks-warns-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #EarlyRetirement #MarketExuberance #EarningsSeason #FinanceDemocratization #JanetYellen #Recession #EconomicIndicators #FiscalPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/18/23) Bank earnings reports continue to bolster optimism: Will bailout facilities be enough? Manufacturing Indexes turn positive after too long in negative mode; looking for an upturn in the business cycle. Higher retail sales are expected; what will be the reality? Watch for signs of pullback in discretionary spending; Market rally and rising trendlines confirm bullish bias. The Baltimore Build: Productive vs Non-productive debt; choices and consequences of public policy. The crumble of the ESG facade: ESG goals were un-measurable; pressure by Blackstone for companies to be "ESG Compliant" proven hypocritical w appointment of Saudi Aramco CEO to Blackrock board. Larry Fink admits EGS is a "political landmine." How will the expiration of the Student Loan Debt repayment moratorium affect retail sales this Christmas? We do the math. Divorce and societal choices affect population/GDP growth.
SEG-1: Bank Earnings & Optimism SEG-2: The Baltimore "Build:" Productive vs Non-productive Debt SEG-3: The Crumble of the ESG Facade SEG-4: How Will Student Loan Debt Repayment Impact Christmas Retail Sales?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show, "Investing Around Political Landmines" on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HF3tiP2Am8I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Look at Rebalancing Risk," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JJI-ypOQKVs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why Should the Fed Lower Rates Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lq5Cn-7cIrc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: The End of an Era for Stocks, Warns the Fed https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-end-of-an-era-for-stocks-warns-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #ESGInvesting #Blackrock #LarryFink #SaudiAramco #CorporateEarnings #Expectations #RetailSales #EconomicIndicators #FiscalPolicy #ProductiveDebt #DivorceParty #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/17/23) Markets are doing what they do: Can Earnings live up to expectations, going forward? Inflation (as measured) is coming down, but prices paid have not. There is competing data: Optimism vs Pessimism. Earnings results are not as important as what companies are saying about forward outlooks. Are Regional Banks in trouble? Has the risk of Recession lessened? If markets price-in recession, it won't happen; conversely, when it's not expected... That's how contrarian investing works. Tax Receipts are economic indicators, and they're not looking good. Looking at leading economic indicators in normal business cycles; the economy can slow only so much before oscillating to the upside. Look beneath the surface of media headlines, expect a pullback and buy into it. Outcomes are functions of choices, but no one wants to take responsibility for them. Example: Europeans are becoming poorer because of policy decisions over past few decades; the good and proper use of debt; non-productive debt is a wase of money. What's happening in the EU now will follow to the US: Political policies matter.
SEG-1: Can Earnings Live Up to Expectations? SEG-2: Tax Receipts as Economic Indicator: Has Recession Risk Lessened? SEG-3: The Economy Can Slow Only so Much Before Oscillating SEG-4: Outcomes are Functions of Choices
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5wHmPOWzeFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Net Interest Income is Off the Charts," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xAdmBmtHWjc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why Should the Fed Lower Rates Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lq5Cn-7cIrc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: The End of an Era for Stocks, Warns the Fed https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-end-of-an-era-for-stocks-warns-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #CorporateEarnings #Expectations #TaxReceipts #EconomicIndicators #FiscalPolicy #ProductiveDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/13/23) Elon Musk's ChatGPT challenger, xAI, is the source of an order boom for NVDIA chips. Meanwhile, markets respond to a cooler-than-expected CPI print. Social Media Influencers & Human Bait; Digesting CPI: The difference bweteen YOY and MOM numbers. What's the Fed's next move? Why would/should the Fed lower rates now? Why the Fed will do what it takes to save the banks; saving their rate "cushion" for a rainy day. What about risk from Commercial Real Estate? What are the Big Banks thinking? Margins are at risk, at lowest levels in 30-years. Regional Banks' stories will be more interesting; banks' Loan Loss Reserves are key. They Fed says it's the end of an era for stocks: Corporate profits of late have relied heavily on low taxes and interest rates. What does that infer going forward about continued corporate and GDP growth? The problem with higher-than-normal valuations; Bonds' alternatives; the impact (or not) of stock buy backs.
SEG-1: Elon's xAI = NVDIA Chip Order Boom SEG-2: Digesting CPI: The differency between YOY & MOM SEG-3: What's the Fed Doing Next? SEG-4: The Fed: The End of an Era (for Stocks)?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Does CPI Change Fed's Rate Hike Views?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ga0EkmNE7CQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How to Avoid Fatal Flaws in Modern Financial Planning" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qKIfpOqAENM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: The End of an Era for Stocks, Warns the Fed https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-end-of-an-era-for-stocks-warns-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #ElonMusk #xAI #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/12/23) Markets' anticipation of inflation would result in a moderate decline (in fact, June CPI printed at .2% for a 3% inflation rate). Meanwhile the NFIB report reflected improving moods among small businesses, and other data shows consumers are more confident about spending money = more inflation. How do companies protect profit margins? Cut costs and/or raise prices = inflation. Speculative mood is returning to markets. Charlie Munger: The first $100k is the toughest. avoid distractions from long-term goals by short-term narratives. Things rich people do: Shopping with coupons (remember S&G Green Stamps?) The significance of your savings rate. Choosing to build wealth (avg. work week = 34.5/hours vs entrepreneurs' work habits). Savings strategies & priorities and avoiding the lifestyle creep. There are no shortcuts to building wealth: Saving 30% of income, for starters. The flaws in modern financial planning include unrealistic gains and ignorance of negative returns: Why pensions fail. Managing need, wants, wishes.
SEG-1: CPI Day: Markets Anticipation of Inflation SEG-2: How to Make Your First $100k SEG-3: Savings Strategies & Priorities SEG-4: Fatal Flaws in Modern Financial Planning
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qKIfpOqAENM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell , "Why We've All Become Bettors Against the CPI," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dlsvcU1JnIA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Surplus Cash is Ending" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pd02kgURCXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: Q2 Earnings Season Begins – Will It Support The Bulls? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #BuildingWealth #FinancialPlanning #Savings #ConsumerSpending #Economy #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/11/23) The next CPI report is on the way: What will the Fed say? Why Core Inflation matters; investors are dancing from one form of FOMO to the other. NFIB report preview; defining the rally: A bullish stampede followed by correction. Average credit card payments are higher than ever, thanks to interest rate hikes; the effect on car loans and credit cards. Surplus cash is ending. How much longer before consumer spending slows? Is Recession still coming? Why companies are "hoarding" employees. Stock Risks: Infinite damnation vs finite cost. Beating the index is a con game. Market futures; NASDAQ Index rebalancing preview as fund managers prepare. The markets' ability to absorb news and risk. This is a different environment than 2020, but eventually, fundamentals will matter. The problem of refinancing debt (the market already knows and has priced in the event.)
SEG-1: CPI Preview: What's the Fed to Do? SEG-2: Credit Card Debt & The Fed's Wage/Price Spiral SEG-3: Beating the Index: The Biggest Con on the Markets SEG-4: NASDAQ Index Rebalancing Preview
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pd02kgURCXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Can Markets Do No Wrong?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J-oU-DajfGE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Inside the Q2 Reports: Why Sales Matter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BrLi52A6CA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: Q2 Earnings Season Begins – Will It Support The Bulls? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #ConsumerSpending #Economy #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/10/23) NVDIA sets the tone as Earnings Season begins. Companies this time need to achieve a double-beat on earnings as well as sales. Banks & Financials will lead the way this week: What will Loan Loss Reserves foretell? Employment report missed estimates for the first time in 14-months. Has the market sell-off begun? Examining the relationship between the markets and the economy: Why Sales matter (and the problem with depending on Operating Earnings). The impact of stock buy-backs (and associated accounting gimmicks) on earnings; just how profitable are companies, really? The downside of buy-backs and the need for bailouts. What if the Recession is still out there? Preview of the NFIB Small Business Report: Why no one pays attention. Is the trough of economic weakness behind us, or more to come? The Roberts' Family weekend; still a lot of bullish attitudes in the markets; FOMO is back. Investors are more focused on fewer stocks; the Fed is caught between the markets and inflation. Earnings estimates do not support what is happening in most companies. If you missed the boat, another one is coming.
SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins: Beware NVDIA SEG-2: The Markets vs The Economy: Why Sales Matter SEG-3: NFIB Small Business Preview SEG-4: Robert's Family Weekend; FOMO is Back
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BrLi52A6CA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Will the Market Sell-off Continue this Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Tv1HWX0XWQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Shifting from Accumulation to Distribution in Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V0FtoN-4dZw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Articles mentioned in today's show: Q2 Earnings Season Begins – Will It Support The Bulls? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #SalesResults #Employment #Economy #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/7/23) The Fed's Trillion-dollar question is whether they can thread the needle between a strong market and economic data and the need to control inflation; the market must realize the Fed's not done yet. Market resiliency remains surprising. Who will play the part of Elon Musk in biopic film? Our next Candid Coffee teaser: Mid-year Economic Review. Stock exposure in late-stage portfolios: Shifting from accumulation to distribution mode. Avoiding the black hole of retirement; being initially conservative. Portfolio allocations are meant to be fluid. Variables like maxed-out SS, life expectancy; respecting the retirement guardrails. How do Millionaires spend their money? No processed food: Health = wealth; no cheap stuff; buy in the middle. Look for dependability in durable goods purchases.
SEG-1: The Fed's Trillion-dollar Question SEG-2: The Big Shift: Accumulation to Distribution in Retirement SEG-3: The Big Shift, Pt-2 SEG-4: How Millionaires Spend Money
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V0FtoN-4dZw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Bond Prices are Telling us About the Economy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDypZ7rQbHg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Employment Report Preview" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLxNlWup0xM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #Retirement #Distribution #Accumulation #Millionaire #Employment #Economy #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/6/23) What to watch for this earnings season: What is the quality of earnings--are companies selling more stuff? Is corporate outlooks still strong? Employment Report tomorrow (7/7) is markets' focus. Pressure is on for Long-term Bonds. Janet Yellen goes to China; Is the whole Employment calculation being done incorrectly? If employment is strong, improvement in services resulting in expansion = inflationary: This is not an environment for cutting rates. The emergence of "Greedflation:" Is it just limited supply in the face of demand? No one thinks about companies' input costs. Now, as prices are starting to fall, how will this affect earnings estimates? The Cure for Inflation is Inflation. Problems occur when government interferes with economic process. Interest rates are a function of economic strength: The Physics of Economics.
SEG-1: What to Watch for This Earnings Season SEG-2: Is the Employment Calculation Wrong? SEG-3: Greedflation or Economics 101? SEG-4: The Physics of Economics
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLxNlWup0xM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Bond Prices are Telling us About the Economy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDypZ7rQbHg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Welcome to the Second-half of 2023" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mp6FP4Jx1Ds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=30s
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Treasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-yield-curves-is-this-inversion-different
Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #Employment #Inflation #Jobs #EarningsSeason #CorporateEarnings #BondYields #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/5/23) Welcome to the second-half of 2023: Q2 earnings season is revving up, as markets' performance divergence from economic indicators creates the question: Who's right, and where to now? What about the Wealth Gap, the Wealth Effect, and Consumer Confidence? Earnings season commences with massive cuts in earnings estimates (so that the beat rate will be high!) What about the Quality of earnings and revenue? Reported earnings since the pandemic are up +500%, while revenue is up only +100%; how is that possible or sustainable? NVDIA's predictions are not supportable: 40X price-to-sales ratio in a market where there are other players (AMD); valuations do not support growth. Apple has 8x price to sales with 25% market share. The story of Lance's Laundry and today's shirt choices. The continuing saga of the Roberts' Real Estate; did increasing home values feed The Great Resignation? Correlation and Causation are not always connected. Spurious Correlations and a look at real Employment/Unemployment vs "The Numbers:" 40-million are not working...and not being counted, either.
SEG-1: Q2 Earnings Season Begins SEG-2: Earnings Estimates Decline: What About Quality of Earnings & Revenue? SEG-3: Lance's Shirts & Roberts' Home Sales Saga SEG-4: Spurious Correlations & Real Employment Numbers
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mp6FP4Jx1Ds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=30s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Will Economic Data Catch Up with Market Sentiment?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j1Zl-TPrYtE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Lessons from the Luling Watermelon Thump" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4C0g2xXwOGE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Treasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-yield-curves-is-this-inversion-different
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #Employment #UnEmployment #GreatResignation #HousingMarket #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/30/23) Markets appear to be breaking out of the malaise; when does the market train run out of steam? Lessons from the Luling Watermelon Thump (IYKYK): a.) Don't eat all of the chicken all at once; b.) Don't owe nothing to nobody; c.) The heat won't kill you until it does; d.) Hay is gold; e.) Small amount of quality over a stack o' nothing (buy in the middle); f.) The past has a place, but don't forget the present; g.) You can fool yourself, but the pigs will still laugh at you. Mid-year Economic Review preview (it's July 22nd); How to boost your retirement income by 29% with annuities; must be planned for, not sold to. The 4% Rule is done.
SEG-1: When Does the Market Train Run Out of Steam? SEG-2: Lessons from the Luling Watermelon Thump, Pt-1 SEG-3: Lessons from the Luling Watermelon Thump, Pt-2 SEG-4: How to Boost Retirement Income
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4C0g2xXwOGE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Risk-Reward in the Markets is Limited" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9EBMcx3r3KA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Is a Recession Yet to Come?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ProPPk4AvOw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Treasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-yield-curves-is-this-inversion-different
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #MarketExuberance #FinancialAdvice #RetirementIncome #Annuity #LulingTexas #LulingWatermelonThump #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/29/23) Yankee pitch a perfect game, as Bank Stress tests all reveal perfect scores(!); no bailout required. Yet. Markets are still betting on lower rates, but liquidity remains. Money market accounts are in high-demand. Yield curves suggest Recession is still to come. The economy is based on debt: New Debt and Old Debt. Jerome Powell says more rate hikes to come. The Yankee's perfect games (4): all pitchers' names begin with "D." Who's right: Markets or the Fed? Debt generates growth; banks' customer base enables loan-making. Debt to GDP ratios now at 4x. Yield Curve un-inversion is what matters. Recessions typically follow 16-months after yield curve inversion; it's been only 12. The Fed doesn't want to raise rates but is happy to keep them where they are. The Death of the Dollar? Collapse of diamond prices and decline in Gold. No fear in the markets w surge in consumer confidence: the Fed's conundrum. When the market is bullish, invest for today. Why should the Fed cut rates if the economy is humming along?
SEG-1: Perfect Games and Bank Stress Results SEG-2: Has the Havoc Already Happened? SEG-3: Who's Right: Markets or the Fed? SEG-4: Markets are Bullish: Invest for Today
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ProPPk4AvOw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Risk-Reward in the Markets is Limited" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9EBMcx3r3KA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why Lower Interest Rates Are NOT Coming Back" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lwgXEy5xfc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Treasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-yield-curves-is-this-inversion-different
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #FederalReserve #EconomicGrowth #YieldCurve #Recession #BankStress #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/28/23) Consumer confidence is on the rise, along with company expectations; the Fed says, "Drat!" Rising markets ease economic conditions, which will bring inflation back into the economy. Trade sanctions against China could deflate markets; AI has been the "new theme" this year. Danny's Canadian travelogue. Why low interest rates are NOT good for the economy; rates are always a function of economic growth. Howard Marks on interest rates. The problem with financing debt; living in the alternative universe of Apple's VR. When helping adult children financially hurts, them AND you. The benefit of making kids learn early to pay taxes. Learning to use debt strategically. Paying back the student loans working at Sam's Club. According to the VIX, there's no volatility in the market. How to boost retirement income by 29% with annuities (they're not for everyone!)
SEG-1: Consumer Confidence & Expectations on the Rise; The Fed: "Drat!" SEG-2: Why Lower Interest Rates are NOT Coming Bank SEG-3: When Helping Your Adult Children Hurts--Them and You. SEG-4: Paying Back Debt; No Volatility; Boost Retirement Income 29%
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lwgXEy5xfc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "US Sanctions Against Chip Sales to China Deflate Stocks" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VwG1fzY5p5s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Could "Revised" Economic Data Drive Rates Higher?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nPPvClZxJ78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bull Trap Or A Bull Market?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bull-trap-or-a-bull-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #FederalReserve #EconomicGrowth #AdultChildren #StudentLoanDebt #MarketVolatility #RetirementIncome #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/27/23) The Quarter's end nears and markets face increased selling pressure as portfolio managers rebalance holdings. There is still room for a 5- to 10% correction this summer. MACD Sell signal is now in place, with $26-B worth of potential selling on the line. There is now a bigger risk from inflation data revisions; is there too much market exuberance? Whoa--Larry Fink has a change of heart about ESG? The scam that is ESG. For real change, boycott the companies (Blackrock) that invest in "woke" businesses; literally move your money away from Blackrock. Is this a Bull Market or a Bull Trap? A word about Fibonacci magic; the importance of staying focused on investment rules; markets are bullish now so act accordingly. YouTube Q&A segments on purchasing used vs new cars; how do you want to be taxed: Property taxes vs sales taxes in Texas; Preparing for the annual "adjustments" to economic data, which we suspect will have negative ramifications, and could alter Fed stance on raising rates sooner than later.
SEG-1: Selling Pressure Increases on Markets at Quarter's End Nears SEG-2: Larry Fink's ESG Change of Heart SEG-3: Bull Market or Bull Trap, and Fibonacci Magic SEG-4: YouTube Q&A - Is now a good time to buy a car? SEG-4b: Property Taxes vs Income Taxes: How do you want to be taxed? SEG-4c: Preparing for Economic Revisions to Inflation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nPPvClZxJ78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Revised Inflation Data: Not to Be Ignored " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bsQjTovqnA8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Is FOMO Back as Markets Correct?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u38xjcVeKpE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bull Trap Or A Bull Market?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bull-trap-or-a-bull-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #SecondQuarterResults #MarketCorrection #Inflation #DataRevisions #Blackrock #LarryFink #ESGinvesting #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/26/23) Weekend recap: The coup that was over before it started; everyone is now a deep-sea exploration expert. Thanks, Internet. End of Quarter dynamics are toying with markets: What will be seen in Q-2 results? Portfolio rebalancing by fund managers create sector rotation & selling pressure. Markets will re-test 20-DMA. Buy signals drive markets; when sell signals are triggered two things may happen: a.) market consolidation sideways, or b.) correction back to support. July & August produce weaker price performance. An application of Pascal's argument on God's existence to stock ownership risks over time. 90% of fund managers underperform the index. Markets are still betting on a "New Bull Market." Last October's lows appear to have been validated. Markets are still dealing with AI "bubbleliciousness." Why prices move: The market is just one big auction. Why Technicals matter more than Fundamentals: Technicals measure sentiment; what is the market saying? Prices are falling as markets correct; FOMO is back. The impact of higher interest rates on smaller companies. Learning to live with higher rates; Bonds vs Stocks. The average maturity dates of junk bonds is shrinking; the risk of default rises over time. The bond market is all about math.
SEG-1: What Will Be Seen in Q-2 Results? SEG-2: Does Stock Ownership Risk Decline Over Time? SEG-3: Markets Still frothy with AI Bubbleliciousness SEG-4: The Impact of Higher Rates on Smaller Companies
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u38xjcVeKpE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Are Driven by Buyers" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRV-ZYprfUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How You, too, Can Retire at 55" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bkFfgAVwzLU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculation In A.I. May Face Challenges" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculation-in-a-i-may-face-challenges/
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(6/23/23) HOUR ONE: Stories from Texas families; Market commentary: The Fed's Kabosh on Inflation: Muckflation; slow-grinding stagflation as liquidity is drained from the system. Why Roths are the J. G. Wentworth for the Gov't.; Tax benefits of a Roth; dodging the tax torpedo. Scarlet & Flo: Bring back 'Kiss my Grits;' the most-popular US migration destination cities; Why did Darden purchase Ruth's Chris' as affluent shoppers flock to Dollar Tree? Emerging Retirement Trends: Tiny Home Villages, early retirement by 55; nobody wants their parents' home; healthcare insurance will be a challenge; NO debt is key.
HOUR-TWO: (Live Q&A from Radio listeners & YouTube audience) Money Dates: Couples becoming more engaged in money decisions. The Zuckerberg-Musk cage-match: Are we living in the Babylon Bee? Financial advisors become mentors for wealth, health, & emotions. The Mid-Year Economic Review preview; The Percentage of Americans w Financial Advisors; Successful financial planning vs emotion & instant gratification. The importance of placing bonds in a portfolio: What's driving yields? (Hint: It's not the Fed). US Bonds: We're the cleanest pig in the pen. Barbelling Bonds. Picking a Financial Advisor is like choosing a personal physician; The Millionaire Next Door & The Wealthy Barber; holistic approaches to building wealth. How Millionaires actually spend money; spend in the middle.
HOUR-ONE: SEG-1: The Fed's Kabosh on Muckflation SEG-2: Don't Be a Sloth: Use a Roth SEG-3: How the Affluent Really Live SEG-4: Emerging Retirement Trends & Early Retirement @ 55
HOUR TWO (Live Q&A): SEG-5: Zuckerberg vs Musk: Are We Living in the Babylon Bee? SEG-6: Successful Financial Planning vs Emotion & Instant Gratification SEG-7: The Importance of Placing Bonds in Portfolios SEG-8: How Millionaires Actually Spend Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bkFfgAVwzLU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Looking for Excuse to Pull Back" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQS7K5dLEzY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Nirvana Moment" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONZwVaP1aD0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculation In A.I. May Face Challenges" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculation-in-a-i-may-face-challenges/
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(6/22/23) HOUR ONE: Investor sentiment vs Consumer sentiment: This is problematic for the Fed; a re-acceleration of Inflation? Housing is beginning to stabilize, with shallow inventory keeping prices high. What is moving Markets: Swiss & UK interest rate increases; Inflation is NOT coming down. the Fed's not done, despite falling headline inflation. YOY inflation may be at zero, but prices remain high. Core inflation remains high; when will the lag effect appear? What the Fed needs: Mild recession with high unemployment. Jerome Powell's comments; looking at Recession indicators. Why would the Fed cut rates now?? The risk of bank failures: Higher rates jeopardize bank holdings. What the Fed does affects only the short-end of the curve: Two-years max. The demand for bonds from money market funds. The Fed is trying to engineer a recession. The problem with jumping into things: Are annuities right for you? Always ask, 'what comes next?' There is a downside to annuities.
HOUR-TWO: (Live Q&A from Radio listeners & YouTube audience) Market pre-open commentary; pensions are going away; Is Advanced Auto Parts a 'wide-moat' company? (No.) Bond investment strategies. investing in precious metals & mining gold. Durations in Portfolios: Owning actual bonds vs TLT Funds. S&P 500 vs Equal Weight? Will higher unemployment help increase housing supply? (Yes.) Stock/Bond allocation recommendations; Who pays for new housing projects? Home Builders. more multi-family housing projects are facing a coming blowback: Too many being build. How do insiders invest? A peek through SimpleVisor tools. Market futures commentary: Nothing new from Jerome Powell expected today. Will the Fed stop hiking rates if unemployment rises? (Yes.) Economy is 70% consumption; production has to also be reduced. Markets are not cooperating. Reduce demand by reducing work. @-yr vs 30-year Bond Yields? (There will be some math involved.) Why 20-yr yields run higher than 10-yr. Separate Dividend stocks vs ETFs? Go for the stock. Pensions vs S&P 500.
HOUR-ONE: SEG-1: Investor & Consumer Sentiment Problematic for the Fed SEG-2: The Fight for Inflation SEG-3: The Fed's Nirvana Moment SEG-4: The Good & Bad Sides of Annuities HOUR TWO (Live Q&A): SEG-5: Market Commentary/Investing for Retirement SEG-6: Bond Investing Strategies, S&P 500 vs Equal Weight SEG-7: Stock/Bond Allocation Recommendations SEG-8: The Fed's Unemployment Goals; Calculating Bond Yields Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONZwVaP1aD0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Looking for Excuse to Pull Back" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQS7K5dLEzY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Will Student Loan Repayments Choke the Economy?" https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculation In A.I. May Face Challenges" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculation-in-a-i-may-face-challenges/
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(6/21/23) HOUR ONE: Two days of Fed speak commence today: Will markets even notice? Liquidity is still rising, easing economic conditions the Fed is trying to tighten. Update on the Titanic Sub Search; The ESG Scam: Does nothing for the environment. Is ESG behind us? Are we targeting the wrong companies with boycotts? Don't buy Black Rock stocks; why enrich Larry Fink? Rolling recession and market resiliency: What could alter this dynamic? Student Loan Debt Repayments to resume, pulling $12-Billion in consumer spending from the economy. Is this a Bull Trap or a Bull Market?
HOUR-TWO: (Live Q&A from Radio listeners & YouTube audience) The $300-Million public school in Cambridge, MA: How to buy ISD Bonds? Why there is high-demand for such "Money-good" bonds: They get paid. Caveat: The challenge of trying to avoid paying taxes vs making money with investments. Lance' pre-market commentary; How to invest in Prison Bonds; from Germany, a question about investing Euro savings into US Dollars; a discussion of the most-common investor mistake(s); Options Credit Spreads and selling Puts to buy stocks; advise against borrowing from 401k; Investing with Vangard S&P 500 Fund; Strategies for saving and building wealth; Zero Days to Expiration Options; investing in foreign distressed debt (Hint: It's "distressed" for a reason).
HOUR-ONE: SEG-1: Two Days of Fed Speak: Will Markets Pay Attention? SEG-2: Is ESG Behind Us? SEG-3: The Potential Impact of Student Loan Repayments SEG-4: Is this a Bull Trap or Bull Market? HOUR TWO (Live Q&A): SEG-5: How to Buy ISD Bonds? SEG-6a: How to Buy Prison Construction Bonds? SEG-6b: How to invest Euro Savings in the Dollar? SEG-6c: What is the Most-common Investor Mistake? SEG-7a: Options Credit Spreads SEG-7b: Selling Puts to Buy Stock SEG-7c: Borrowing from IRA to Buy House SEG-7d: How o Use Insurance to Buy Real Estate (example) SEG-8a: Should you borrow from your 401k? SEG-8b: The Vangard S&P 500 Funds SEG-8c: Zero Days to Expirations Options SEG-8d: Should you invest in distressed foreign debt? Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Has the Buying Stampede Been Reigned-in?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFFge2nod2U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why AI is Little More than BS " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K5_N965M6rc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculation In A.I. May Face Challenges" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculation-in-a-i-may-face-challenges/
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InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #TitanicSub #ESG #ESGScam #BleckRock #LarryFink #RollingRecession #StudentLoanDebt #MunicipalBonds #ISDBonds #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/20/23) HOUR ONE: It's the start of a holiday-shortened trading week, and the end of the Quarter is near. Sentiment reports from Consumers and Home Builders, plus leading economic indicators, which have been negative for the past 13-months. A turn in these signals could prove that we've seen (and passed) a trough in economic numbers. Roberts' Family Travel plans will NOT include deep sea dives to shipwrecks; What's driving the AI chase? What is the thesis that's driving prices in the AI space (NVDIA)? Why do you think NVDIA is preparing to sell stock now (while prices are at an unsustainable high)? This is not unlike the DotCom bubble. Challenges from competition will cut into sales and profits. Roger McNamee: AI is a BS generator. Economic Indicators: Fed-Ex earnings preview; What is up with the Winnebago craze? Interesting economic indicator of high-income discretionary spending. KB Homes/Home Builders, Steelcase/Office & Commercial Real Estate & Return to Work; are we seeing improvements in economy that match Wall St earnings expectations? Cali High Speed Rail/Texas HSR: Betting against investing in Cities (WSJ); the Houston Donut: Crime.
HOUR-TWO: The Future of AI and Surveillance Capitalism: What's the benefit? Are we better off now for Social Media? Will we be better for AI?? Covered call strategies;v what is the possibility of Recession? What happens to the economy when Student Loan Payments resume (removing some spending)? What to do with NVDIA? Is there a case for buying dividend stocks? What about REITS? What will Recession's effects be? Avoid Commercial Real Estate and multi-family REITS. We like Public Storage REITS, Healthcare & Medical REITS. Looking at 401k strategies: Consider ROTHS for younger savers. SimpleVisor tools you can use.
HOUR-ONE: SEG-1: Tracking Economic Indicators: Where's the Trough? SEG-2: What's Driving the AI Craze? SEG-3: Roger McNamee: AI is a BS Generator SEG-4: Earnings Previews & Economic Indicators
HOUR TWO: SEG-1: The Future of Generative AI SEG-2: What Happens to Economy When Student Loan Payments Resume? SEG-3: What Will Effects of Recession be on REITS? SEG-4: 401-k Strategies Between Jobs; The Sector Rotation to Come Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K5_N965M6rc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Can the Market Sell-off Continue?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0lDdCNcfZro&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "What Happens to Fixed Income/Bonds if Fed Continues to Hike Rates?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hZ3JnTJlgZ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculation In A.I. May Face Challenges" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculation-in-a-i-may-face-challenges/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Internet #DotComCrash #RealEstate #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/19/23) [HOUR-2] When will real estate turn? It may take longer; will work from home become the new nor,? Valuations vs Sales: Explaning Chipotle. Excess liquidity is distorting valuations. What happens to Fixed Income/Bonds if the Fed cotninues to Hike rates? Father's Day Recap & The Math of Being Wrong. Impact of student loan debt; why the Bears have been Wrong. SEG-1: When Will Real Estate Turn? SEG-2: Valuations vs Sales SEG-3: Fixed Income: What Happens if the Fed Continues to Hike Rates? SEG-4: Why the Bears Have Been Wrong Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hZ3JnTJlgZ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Fed Pauses...at least for now" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RPL8c4Q9Qtw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Strategies for Managing High-balance Credit Cards" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dRh8AF8v4io&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bullish Markets And The End Of Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #ConsumerConfidence #FederaReserve #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Internet #DotComCrash #RealEstate #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/19/23) [HOUR-1] Consumer Confidence improves based on recent sales numbers; this would appear to be thwarting the Fed's plans to reign-in spending. End of the Quarter Rebalancing underway w AI effects preeminent. A note about Texas Heat; Boomers are stuck on Stocks; is this the prelude to a bust? How the Internet changed the world; what happens when expectations for exponential growth never occurs. Similar potential for same disruption from AI. As competition increases, prices (and earnings) must fall. Will AI be a repeat of the Dot-com era? Same type of valuation problems throughout the market: The example fo McDonald's: Sales fo hamburgers and fries do not justify valuations at 9 x earnings.
SEG-1: Consumer Confidence Improves, Fed's Plans Thwarted SEG-2: Texas Heat & Boomers Betting on Stocks SEG-3: Prelude to a Bust? SEG-4: Will AI Create a Repeat of Dot-com Era? Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hZ3JnTJlgZ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Fed Pauses...at least for now" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RPL8c4Q9Qtw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Strategies for Managing High-balance Credit Cards" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dRh8AF8v4io&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bullish Markets And The End Of Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #ConsumerConfidence #FederaReserve #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Internet #DotComCrash #RealEstate #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/16/23) Fathers Day weekend & Dad jokes abound; everything AI; Jerome Powell says there's still work to be done on taming inflation. Why is Gen-Z reverting more to cash? Cash is King! A discussion on the importance of building credit; NerdWallet.com list of best credit cards for 2023. Why even carry a credit card balance? Strategies for managing high-balance credit cards. Why we (not us, you) don't like financial plans; a little bit of worry is good. The proliferation of small houses and tiny homes. The importance of reviewing insurance every year: Car, home, personal injury, etc. The benefits of bundling. 30-60-25 minimum is not always sufficient. It pays to shop around.
SEG-1: Jerome Powell: There's a lot of Work to be Done SEG-2: Cash is King (again) SEG-3: Why We Don't Like Financial Plans SEG-4: Saving Dollars by Bundling
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dRh8AF8v4io&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Fed Pauses...at least for now" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RPL8c4Q9Qtw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Is the Fed Done?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jf52TKKVu4A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Relative Rotation – Unlocking the Hidden Potential Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/relative-rotation-unlocking-the-hidden-potential-part-1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FederaReserve #JeromePowell #Inflation #CashIsKing #TinyHomes #Insurance #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/15/23) How long can the markets' buying stampede continue? The markets' reaction to Fed rate pause announcement: Meh. The next logical point for correction is to 4,000. Markets didn't blink on less-than-dovish comments by Jerome Powell: Two more rate hikes are possible this year, but no commitment to do so in July. And why would the Fed cut rates, unless there's a problem? (Has the market mis-read the Fed?) The Fed calculates inflation in myriad ways. We've yet to see the full impact of rate hikes. Jeff Gundlach: Valuations are not in synch with Companies' performance. Markets are being driven by only a few stocks. Retail sales resist slowing down: Consumers are paying more but getting less. Inflation screws around w economic indicators. Johnson Red Book show retail sales flat; the phenomenon of labor hoarding.
SEG-1: Markets Don't Blink at Fed Decision SEG-2: The Fed's Hawkish Pause SEG-3: Jeff Gundlach commentary: Valuations are Not in Sync w Companies' Growth SEG-4: Retail Sales Resist Slowing Down, Confounding the Fed
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jf52TKKVu4A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Fed Pauses...at least for now" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RPL8c4Q9Qtw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Are Higher Rates Here to Stay?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vEJN810ihY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Relative Rotation – Unlocking the Hidden Potential Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/relative-rotation-unlocking-the-hidden-potential-part-1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FOMC #InterestRates #Inflation #JeffreyGundlach #Valuations #RetailSales #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/14/23) Inside the CPI Report: What will the Fed do & say? The only reason to cut rates would be because the economy's gone sour; Higher Rates are here to stay; higher for longer could trip up markets. Why does Congress need fancy, expensive uniforms for one game of softball a year (and who's paying for all that)? Using debt and leverage to build wealth. How much does it take to BE wealthy vs FEEL wealthy? Why it's a mistake to shield kids from adversity (how else will they learn how to deal)? Summer School Procrastination at the Roberts' house. The importance of financial literacy, to be taught first in the home. Venmo hate notes with car note payments; Luchi & Joey's Tacos; Markets' premise: The Fed will pause. Why this time IS different: Markets have already declined through rate hike cycle. Are we in Recession? The beginning signs of sector rotation.
SEG-1: Inside the CPI: What Will the Fed Do and Say? SEG-2: Congressional Softball, Tax Returns, and Feeling Wealthy SEG-3: The Importance of Non-procrastination & Financial Literacy SEG-4: Car Notes and Hate Notes and Signs of Recession
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2vEJN810ihY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Will the Fed's News Today Mean for Markets Tomorrow?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2z1eeh17gBM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Herd is Generally Wrong at Market Tops & Bottoms" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dHAFefLpTgQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Relative Rotation – Unlocking the Hidden Potential Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/relative-rotation-unlocking-the-hidden-potential-part-1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #BullMarket #FOMC #Inflation #FinancialLiteracy #Wealth #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/13/23) It's CPI Day, and important factors will be the lag effect of Fed rate hikes and Home Owners' Equivalent Rent figures. Markets are hoping for a weaker print because it will mean a further pause in rate hikes, and one step closer to rate cuts. Markets could pull back to the moving averages; investors' panic moves happen at the worst possible moment. Why market technicals are more bullish: We're wired to forget pain. Example: Meme Stocks are back (where investors were beat up last year). The heard is generally wrong at major turning points (market tops and bottoms). The Fed says rates will rise until inflation trends back towards 2%. Another Roberts Family Story; Markets have a clearly bullish bias, some sector rotations may not occur until 2024. Markets now trading above 200DMA, with the 50DMA crossing above, typical of a bull market. Buy the dips. A brief history of the SEC, the SEC Stabilization Act and the saga of Gary Gensler.
SEG-1: CPI Day: Markets Hope for Weaker Print SEG-2: The Herd is Generally Wrong at Market Tops & Bottoms SEG-3: Why We're Still Stinging from 2022 SEG-4: A History of the SEC, Banks, & Wall St. Chumminess
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dHAFefLpTgQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Are More Than 10% Above the 200-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_tK-7LH-TY0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How Can Markets Be Bullish as Economy Slows?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OadFwDcY8CQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Relative Rotation – Unlocking the Hidden Potential Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/relative-rotation-unlocking-the-hidden-potential-part-1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #BullMarket #HerdMentality #FOMC #Inflation #SEC #GaryGensler #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/12/23) Texas Summer & FOMC Preview, plus Quadruple Witching on Friday; Retail buyers return to the market: Will it continue? We're back into a "new" bull markets, up 20%; the NASDAQ is up 20% above 200-DMA; with extreme deviation, correction is imminent. How can markets be bullish with a slowing economy? Beware bullish commentary: much evidence to suggest the decline is over, but markets' advance will soon slow. (Sidebar: Despite Elon Musk's loss in Twitter, gains in Tesla have made the Twitter deal virtually free.) Seven tech stocks responsible for most of markets' gains this year. Narrow markets are not healthy and will correct. Technical indicators say recession is near. Inflation hits the nail salons (another Roberts Family Saga). The Economy will continue to be a challenge for investors. What it will take to get to Recession (going below sea level.) Economy must offset excess, artificial liquidity. CPI news this week: key will be non-headline inflation data & sticky prices. Will the Fed hike rates or pause? Markets are better prepared for pause than for rate hike. Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC): We're already there. Being able to better monitor (and manage) cash flows is handy tool for Treasury. Poll results: More than half don't have an opinion/are ignorant of CBDC; 34% oppose.
SEG-1: We're Back in a "New" Bull Markets SEG-2: How Can Markets be Bullish as Economy Slows? SEG-3: Inflation Hits the Nail Salons; The Challenging Economy SEG-4: To CBDC or Not to CBDC?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OadFwDcY8CQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is the NASDAQ Due for Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bo2wE4l0ECA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Beware of Cryptocurrency Scams" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x7usjxMSvHI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2672s
Video Mentioned in Today's Show: S&P 4300: Bulls For The Win? Or Time To Take Profits? | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a6GCt7N9kc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #BullMarket #FOMC #QuadrupleWitching #NASDAQ #ElonMusk #NailSalon #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/9/23) Carvana's crash: Who wants to buy a car from a vending machine? Personal Financial Strategies and habits; from everything-Bitcoin to everything-AI. The fastest Shrinking Jobs in America: McDonald's kiosk revolution; "Soylent Green" and "The Purge" in real life? Financial losses in elder fraud are on the rise; cryptocurrency scams. Subscription purchase scams. The explosion of AI. Moderation in Technology use: Gen-x moving away from smartphones to flip phones. Economists expect the Fed will pause and remain on hold. Danny's tales of kids' lemonade stand plans, ice cream trucks, and Richard's new "Donuts and Dolls" food truck idea. Teaser for next Candid Coffee Mid-year Economic Review.
SEG-1: Personal Financial Strategies & Habits SEG-2: The Fastest-shrinking Jobs in America SEG-3: Moderation in Technology & The Fed on Hold SEG-4: Kid Business: Lemonade Stands & Ice Cream Trucks Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x7usjxMSvHI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2672s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2asRoGHK6Xs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Markets' Bet: No Recession" " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8uvPN2nT0pc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: Relative Rotation – Unlocking the Hidden Potential Part 1 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/relative-rotation-unlocking-the-hidden-potential-part-1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #CryptoCurrencyScams #PersonalFinance #JobLosses #Technoloy #FederalReserve #LemonadeStands #IcecreamTrucks #BlueBunny #BlueBell #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/8/23) Markets' bet on Small Caps: No Recession? Next FOMC Meeting: Higher rates to come? Sector rotation may have short shelf life; Why are Friday's the best trading days of the week in 2023? The difficult dichotomy between markets & data. The surge in credit card debt, even as rates rise. Markets are momentarily "calm" as the Fed allows tighter bank lending standards to dampen economic growth. Meanwhile, the Fed has a "transitory" problem: policy is now more about politics. Market expectations vs reality: What is the market telling us about recession? What is Sector Rotation activity telling us? Options volume is off the charts; What is the VIX measuring? Is the VIX broken (it's a statistical metric)? "Passive" investing is not an accurate term; is "passive" becoming active? Speculation is a function of excess liquidity: The Fed is a factor in the market.
SEG-1: Markets' Bet on Small Caps: No Recession SEG-2: Momentary Calm in Markets as Fed Allows Banks to Buffer Growth SEG-3: What is Sector Rotation Activity Telling Us? SEG-4: Is the VIX Broken? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8uvPN2nT0pc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Will Sector Rotations Provide Opportunity for Investors?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2asRoGHK6Xs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Are We in a Cardboard Box Recession?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTMfOCXgCPA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: Relative Rotation – Unlocking the Hidden Potential Part 1 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/relative-rotation-unlocking-the-hidden-potential-part-1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #Recession #SmallCaps #SectorRotation #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/7/23) The Cardboard Box Recession = real time indicator of less spending on items requiring boxes and cartons (The Corrugated Index). Noting Small Cap and Mid Cap behaviors that cannot last. On Recession Watch: Services sector vs Manufacturing sector performance; for Investors, Recesssion means lower earnings. Why Recessions really aren't bad: Cleansing of the system. Impending recession will be more of a downturn because we've already handled "crises" in banking & housing; the latest Crisis de Jour is the re-funding of the Treasury General Account. Suzie Ormand's "people are scared" comment the result of idiotic media headlines and stupid politicians. What ever happened to John Krasinski's "Good News?" Fear is not to be discounted as unimportant, but keeping a balanced perspective is vital. Why Bonds are now under-priced for the market: "best opportunity for investors in 14-years"?
SEG-1: The Cardboard Box Recession SEG-2: What Recessions Aren't Necessarily Bad SEG-3: The Latest Crisis de Jour: Re-Funding the TGA SEG-4: The Best Bet is On Bonds Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTMfOCXgCPA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Which Stocks Will Be Most Affected by Economic Slowdown?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t3jGx_8WaqI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "What Does Market Breadth Tell Us?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=05URMbQSNb4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Breadth Not As Strong As Advance-Decline Suggests" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/breadth-not-as-strong-as-advance-decline-suggests/ "Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/ "CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cbdc-navigating-pros-and-cons-to-ease-apprehensions
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #Recession #Treasuries #Bonds #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/6/23) The Service-based part of our economy represents 70%, and the ISM Service Index is on the cusp of correction, and indication of pending recession. Oil prices have sold off, and are under pressure; Gold prices are soft. Market Breadth is narrow (and why it matters); Why didn't Apple evening mention AI in Monday's Investor Day (coded-as "machine language")? Market growth of late has been fueled by AI-hype. UFO Whistleblower: We are not alone. Expectations or earnings never realized: NVDIA & AI: Price of entry for most companies is too high; opportunity for low-cost competitor to enter the fray. NVDIA cannot grow fast enough to sustain rate; cost of acquisition will fall. Overbought markets may be stuck until next catalyst; Jun Fed meeting? Any Fed rate cut is being pushed further and further back; timing of Recession. Growth has been declining, but is still positive.
SEG-1: When Services Activity Weakens SEG-2: Why Market Breadth Matters SEG-3: Extraterrestrials & Market Expectations SEG-4: Will the Fed's June Meeting Be the Next Market Catalyst? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=05URMbQSNb4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Overbought: Is Correction Near? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VW29t5XPtRA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Anticipating the Fed: Will They Hike or Hold?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tDtsyTYPldk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=27s
Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Breadth Not As Strong As Advance-Decline Suggests" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/breadth-not-as-strong-as-advance-decline-suggests/ "Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/ "CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cbdc-navigating-pros-and-cons-to-ease-apprehensions
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #Treasuries #Inflation #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/5/23) Stock Buyback Blackout: Monetary impact exits market for now; predicted sector rotations fueled markets to three standard deviations above 50-DMA; prepare for pullback! OPEC Production cuts spike oil prices; Headline Employment Report beats expectations...again. What will the Fed do next week? Very large Birth/Death ratio adjustment; BLS vs Household Surveys: Number of self-employed declines. Cannot have recession without higher unemployment (interestingly, almost all jobs created were part-time.) The Fed wants higher unemployment; next meeting next week: Will the Fed Hike or Hold rates? Depending upon tighter bank lending rules to curb spending, slow inflation; markets have begun to price-in another rate hike. The Fed doesn't need to cut rates. Re-Funding the Treasury General Account (TGA): Where's the money going? What is the risk to equity markets? Money Market Funds own short-term Treasuries.SEG-1: Sector Rotation Fuels Market RallySEG-2: Jobs Report Beats EstimatesSEG-3: Anticipating the Fed: Will They Hike or Hold?SEG-4: Re-funding the TGA: Where's the Money Going?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tDtsyTYPldk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=27s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Can Markets Follow Thru on Friday's Rally? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BNHCNbU97zY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "What Will Today's Employment Numbers Mean for Rates? "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ng1FWTqOp_Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/"CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cbdc-navigating-pros-and-cons-to-ease-apprehensions-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #Treasuries #Inflation #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/2/23) The Senate has passed the Debt Ceiling Bill, passing the buck for another two years. Employment numbers due today will impact the Fed's next decision on rates. Why your steak/BBQ beef is so expensive; Yield Curve dynamics; On-line banks vs brick & mortar facilities; Why the Yield Curve matters, and CD strategies to take advantage of. Financial Tips for college grads: Roth IRA's & savings strategies; Rent, Cars, & Salary + Benefits.
SEG-1: Debt Ceiling, Employment, & Fed Plans SEG-2: Why is Your Steak so Expensive? SEG-3: Why the Yield Curve Matters SEG-4: Good Financial Advice for College Grads Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senrio Fianncial Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ng1FWTqOp_Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The May Employment Report May Move Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZyByuuLtlI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why the Debt Ceiling Bill Won't Matter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KaDnzCk_Hw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:" https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw
Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/ "CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cbdc-navigating-pros-and-cons-to-ease-apprehensions
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #Inflation #Steak #BeefPrices #YieldCurve #CDs #CollegeGrads #FinancialLiteracy #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/1/23) Setting up for June; the key point of the Debt Ceiling Bill: Unlimited Government Spending until 2025 (after the elections). What the Treasury must do next: Issue more debt. Watch for reverse in liquidity, rates to rise, and a drag on markets. We're moving into the "weaker" months of Summer, with a relaxation of the rally. "Taking profits" doesn't mean selling everything. Market anticipation ahead of Debt Ceiling Bill and sloppy T-bill auctions as liquidity leaves the markets. FOME Meeting preview: Hike or Pause? The Fed's conundrum: Sticky inflation & strong employment. Investors must be prepared to "call an audible." Tightening bank lending standards are defacto rate increases. The true impact of the lag effect is unknown. The Family Feud Murder conviction; market behavior: low bullish sentiment in rally, climbing a "wall of worry," but not worried about the Debt Ceiling. Market sector divergence; watch for rotations.SEG-1: The Key to Debt Ceiling Bill: Unlimited Gov't. SpendingSEG-2: The Next Step for Debt Ceiling BillSEG-3: FOMC Preview: Hike or Pause?SEG-4: How Bullish Markets Climb a "Wall of Worry"Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=at5qCh1fkp0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The May Employment Report May Move Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZyByuuLtlI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Why the Debt Ceiling Bill Won't Matter"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KaDnzCk_Hw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/"CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cbdc-navigating-pros-and-cons-to-ease-apprehensions-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #Inflation #BullMarket #BondTraders #StudentLoanDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/31/23) The Debt Ceiling bill advances to the House, which the CBO deems will cut spending $1.3-B over 10-years (the CBO is never correct). Markets need to take a break; pullback to 50-DMA likely. Sector rotations coming; time to take profits. Corporate earnings are showing improvement, but where do earnings come from? Sales. Why is the economy doing better than expected; what happens when student loan payments return? Fed futures expecting rates up to 5.3%; bond traders disagree. The Debt Ceiling Bill isn't a debt deal: will NOT cut spending. Current debt service requires more revenue than is being received. The impolitic reality of spending cuts: McCarthy only dealing with 15% of budget. Higher debt means slower economic growth. 2% growth required for "escape velocity."SEG-1: Markets Need to Take a Break; Sector Rotation ComingSEG-2: Why is the Economy More Buoyant than Expected?SEG-3: Why Wall St. Analysts are More Bullish (and bond traders are not)SEG-4: Why the Debt Ceiling Bill Won't Really MatterHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KaDnzCk_Hw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The NASDAQ Gap is Unsustainable" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TPcVQAwvP8A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Continue to Defy the Bears"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=io9y3reKWDM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/"CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cbdc-navigating-pros-and-cons-to-ease-apprehensions-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #Inflation #BullMarket #BondTraders #StudentLoanDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/30/23) Markets begin the holiday-shortened week on an upbeat note, thanks to an impending Debt Ceiling deal; markets are challenging the Jan '22 Lows. Friday's PCE Report revealed Inflation remaining sticky, which the Fed will have to address. The Debt Ceiling deal is not a "done-deal" yet; if passed as-is, spending will actually increase in 2024. Next Debt Ceiling discussion will be pushed out to 2025, beyond the next election. The risk of market price increases exists as debt ceiling talks continues; Congress uses fuzzy math. What the Fed may do about more inflation; prices are not getting cheaper; increased consumer sending expected to continue, foiling the Fed's plans. Rate hikes aren't working, and markets are beginning to price-in another rate increase at the June 16 Fed meeting. Consumer sentiment indicates also an expectation for higher prices to continue. There's a "new" flu. How markets are defying the bears.SEG-1: PCE Report: Inflation Remains Sticky - more rate hikes in store?SEG-2: The Debt Ceiling Deal - Not Done YetSEG-3: What the Fed May Do About More InflationSEG-4: Markets Continue to Defy the BearsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=io9y3reKWDM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Too Late to Get Into AI Trades?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9uN009ZF1WM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "The Big Bust for Small Investors"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahLlS_JOsHg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #Default #Inflation #PCE #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/24/23) Why Debt Ceiling Talks are falsely being compared to the Y2K conflagration; we will not default. Sovereigns are crumbling, the US just not as rapidly; gold and dollar avoidance. Candid Coffee preview; portfolio diversification and real estate: The Big crash that will hurt small investors. The impact of higher rates on real estate investors; The Timber Ridge Pat. failure in Houston; the ugly truths about multi-family real estate investments. How to invest when liquidity is drying up: The DDA Acres communal tiny house project (Don't Die Alone); the dangers of illiquid investments. Take caution as a syndicator investor; veery few rights. How Not to Get Into RE Investing. Food and Healthcare planning for retirement.SEG-1: Debt Ceiling Talks: We Will Not DefaultSEG-2: Portfolio Diversification & Real Estate: Beware!SEG-3: How to Invest When Liquidity is Drying UpSEG-4: Healthcare Planning for RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahLlS_JOsHg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Too Late to Get Into AI Trades?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9uN009ZF1WM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Why a Good (White-collar) Job is Hard to Find"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yztDFUdeo3Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Headwinds To Lower Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/headwinds-to-lower-bond-yields"The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-ai-revolution-a-repeat-of-history/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #Default #RealEstateInvesting #Inflation #Liquidity #Healthcare #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/23/23) Richard's new home-delivery food service: Donuts, Eggnog, & Seclusion; the mucky market and media scare tactics: Default is not in the cards. Saudi's warning to oil short-sellers: Global oil supplies are to tighten further. The Sixth Sense you need when considering private capital investing; transparency is key. The FTX fiasco: The correct question asked by Taylor Swift. Issues of liquidity in private infesting; the Stanford Pitch. The risk in Commercial Real Estate; why a good white-collar job is hard to find; employment trends. Quiet quitting vs employe loyalty; from passion to apathy. The next Candid Coffee preview; market preview; Loew's report; restaurant spending & holiday travel; What would retirement overseas look like for you?SEG-1: Media Scare Tactics: Default Is Not In the CardsSEG-2: The Sixth Sense You Need in Private Capital InvestingSEG-3: Why a Good (White-collar) Job is Hard to FindSEG-4: What Retirement Overseas Looks Like for YouHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yztDFUdeo3Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Too Late to Get Into AI Trades?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9uN009ZF1WM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Why is Generation-X the Least-prepared for Retirement?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAr_siHk4WY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Headwinds To Lower Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/headwinds-to-lower-bond-yields"The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-ai-revolution-a-repeat-of-history/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #WhiteCollarJobs #Retirement #OverseasRetirement #DebtCeiling #PrivateCapitalInvesting #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/22/23) Debt Ceiling talks are to resume this week; PCE numbers released later this week could create an inflation conundrum or the Fed, and markets are unsure how to react. Ai is creating mindless momentum: No one really knows what it is. Candid Coffee preview & Summer Songs: What will markets do next? When to get back into the market? Meta fined for data transfer, will appeal; sweet irony. The problem of buying high and selling higher; The Triple-P of investing: Patience, Position-sizing, & Persistence. Why is Generation-X the Least-prepared for Retirement? How Retirement Lifestyle has changed; "Outlive" book by Peter Attia; Livingto100.com; 23 & Me: The Intersection of Healthcare & Retirement. True age vs biological age. The Gallery blood test for cancer propensity.SEG-1: This Week's PCE Number: A Conundrum for the Fed?SEG-2: When is the right time to get back into the market?SEG-3: Generation-X is Least Prepared for RetirementSEG-4: How Not to Outlive Your RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAr_siHk4WY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Too Late to Get Into AI Trades?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9uN009ZF1WM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "IS ESG Investing Bad?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4zpbNF_feEE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Headwinds To Lower Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/headwinds-to-lower-bond-yields"The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-ai-revolution-a-repeat-of-history/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #GenerationX #Retirement #Inflation #PCE #FederalReserve #AI #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/19/23) Market performance vs economic data: This is a White-collar Recession; the AI narrative has created a positive fever in Tech stocks. Janet Yellen's Only Fans plan; Where do you place your money now for the least risk? The importance of Financial Plan Matching. Is there industry pressure for ESG? Need for Investment Policy Statement to include, "no ESG." Book: "Capitalist Punishment;" "Green Smuggling" noted by Committee to Unleash Posterity; financial managers pushing for political agendas over profits for customers. Is your portfolio being "greenwashed:" no product change, but higher "ESG" fees? How a charitable giving strategy would work w ESG; Candid Coffee preview; Touring Texas; "Easy Riders" redux: "ESG Rider?" Activities w Kids, and a generation that's moving away from social media (Generation Alpha).SEG-1: This is a White-Collar RecessionSEG-2: Janet Yellen's Only Fans & Financial Plan MatchingSEG-3: Is ESG Investing DOA?SEG-4: Charitable Giving Strategies & ESG InvestingHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4zpbNF_feEE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Too Late to Get Into AI Trades?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9uN009ZF1WM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Have We Already Gone Through a Recession that Didn't Register?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q-PJcFnut-Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Headwinds To Lower Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/headwinds-to-lower-bond-yields"The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-ai-revolution-a-repeat-of-history/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Recession #ESG #WhiteCollarRecession #ESGInvesting #CharitableGiving #FinancialPlanMatching #JanetYellen #AI #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/18/23) Markets rallied to top of their trading range, thanks to better-than-expected results from Target and anticipated from Walmart. The AI Revolution is driving markets upwards with just a few stocks; the impact of AI on Jobs and profit margins still to be seen; there is real potential for productivity increases. Is it real, or is it AI? Which jobs are at risk, and where will new jobs be created? Target & WalMart wins: What recession? Excluding inflation, stocks are down, and there are still recession warnings from Home Depot and Target. Have we already gone through a recession that didn't register? Inflation masks the data. Market expectations vs History: Rate cuts expected in first half of 2024; Fed Funds futures remain bullish; market performance will be very dependent upon jobs.SEG-1: Markets Lifted to Top of Trading RangeSEG-2: Speculating on the AI RevolutionSEG-3: How Inflation Masks the DataSEG-4: Market Expectations vs HistoryHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q-PJcFnut-Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Too Late to Get Into AI Trades?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9uN009ZF1WM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "The Debt Ceiling Debate: Will We Really Default?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNboprBa9xg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summerhttps://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Headwinds To Lower Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/headwinds-to-lower-bond-yields"The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-ai-revolution-a-repeat-of-history/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Recession #RetailSales #Target #HomeDepot #Walmart #ArtificialIntelligence #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/17/23) Markets continue to go nowhere. Interestingly, one day after Home Depot's disappointing report, Target's results exceeded expectations. Retail Sales' core numbers continue to trend upward, refuting calls for economic downturn. Pay attention to retailers at the lower end of economic spectrum for clues as to how consumers are really faring. The Debt Ceiling Debate: Will we really default? have we ever had a Debt Ceiling Disaster? No. Government spending = 8% of GDP. Hyberbole is worse than reality, but results in investors doing the wrong thing with money. Money Stress & Important Value trends: Focus shifting from social fulfillment to Money; the rich aren't necessarily happier. The proper place of Money in Life; planning what to do in Retirement; The man on sick leave for 15-years & Employee Reviews; IRA's, Roth's, & Annuities.SEG-1: Markets Continue to Move SidewaysSEG-2: What Happens After a Debt Ceiling Disaster?SEG-3: Money Stress & HappinessSEG-4: Planning What to Do in RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNboprBa9xg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Target vs Home Depot: The Dichotomy of Retail Sales" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_HD2jD99rZo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Artificial Intelligence is Like the Industrial Revolution"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEDXeznhBOE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summerhttps://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"Headwinds To Lower Bond Yields"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/headwinds-to-lower-bond-yields"The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-ai-revolution-a-repeat-of-history/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #RetailSales #EconomicDownturn #DebtCeiling #Target #HomeDepot #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/16/23) Markets have endured a sideways pattern for the past month and a half, and are now in a wait-and-see mode, ahead of economic data. Retail Sales for April were up a less-than-expected .4% in April, belying a fundamental weakness in the economy. Markets are also in suspense over the Debt Ceiling discussions this week; price compression continues, as well; what will be the next trigger? The Atlanta Fed Wage-growth Tracker may be seeing the first signs of an economic downturn; a sharp drop in employment from higher-than-normal levels; the NY Fed Manufacturing Index is also a key indicator; it will take longer to get to Recession from elevated levels. Artificial Intelligence is a continuation of the Industrial Revolution, and has been underway for past ten years; where is the value? The Ai Era will end over valuations; the impact of Ai and Tech stocks on markets; economic preview of Retail Sales; why is Home Builder sentiment still high?SEG-1: Retail Sales Preview: Markets in a wait-and-see moodSEG-2: First-signs of an Economic DownturnSEG-3: Ai is a Continuation of the Industrial RevolutionSEG-4: How the Ai Era Will End: ValuationHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEDXeznhBOE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Retail Sales Reveal Cracks in Economy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CU18es76H4U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Is a Surge in Unemployment Coming?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZImk_7Lp08&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summerhttps://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Article Mentioned in Today's Show:"The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-ai-revolution-a-repeat-of-history/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #RetailSales #EconomicDownturn #ArtificialIntelligence #IndustrialRevolution #Valuation #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/15/23) Markets have gone nowhere for past 45-days; Debt Ceiling discussions resume this week, providing possible impetus. Is Ai the next dot-com phenomenon? The latest NFIB Confidence Index: Markets ignoring howe people feel. The NFIB latest survey says... Is the economy slowing? Why is Markets' view not negative? Markets tend to lead the economy by 6-to-9-months; economic data should improve by late summer. There's always buyers and sellers, and one of them is right. Is a new economic wave about to hit; and what will trigger it? The Inflation "Reduction" Act is not performing as advertised. Is a surge in unemployment coming, a confirmation of economic downturn? The impact of the 2020 shut down is still being felt; Labor hoarding vs terminations: Employers holding onto workers longer than usual. Still lots of liquidity floating around in the system; how to invest?SEG-1: Debt Ceiling Discussions ResumeSEG-2: NFIB Survey Says...SEG-3: Is the Economy Slowing? Aligning Data with SentimentSEG-4: Lingering Impact of 2020 Shutdown: Labor Hoarding vs terminationsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZImk_7Lp08&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Make or Break Week for Debt Ceiling" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kloxWw0VkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Where (Not) to Move in Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJw3Yp3boiQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summerhttps://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Unemployment #DebtCeiling #NFIBSurvey #InflationReductionAct #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/12/23) Janet Yellen & Jerome Powell to not always agree; the Physical Longevity Test; Jimmy John's underwear reprise, and getting used to inflation; As go Regional Banks so goes the market; the danger of investing to headline news; there are not crises of confidence; Wall Street is a marketing machine: The noise of Bitcoin, Artificial Intelligence, and Regional Banks. Money Malaise preview; the best states for Retirement do not include Texas: It's all about cash-flow in retirement; making proper priorities in spending. The connection between Money & Mental Health; organizing finances and priorities.SEG-1: Yellen & Powell, Jimmy Johns Underwear, & Getting Used to InflationSEG-2: As Go Regional Banks, So Go the MarketsSEG-3: Best States for RetirementSEG-4: The Connection Between Money & Mental HealthHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJw3Yp3boiQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Are Banks Already Broken?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qMfglvEsulg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation Eases...Will the Fed?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8fQJRS5CwQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s--------Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summerhttps://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Inflation #Retirement #CashFlow #RegionalBanks #ArtificialIntelligence #JanetYellen #JeromePowell #JimmyJohns #TommyJohns #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/11/23) Markets are beginning to resolve higher; the NASDAQ will drag the S&P along. Upside, however, is limited. Positive bias to stock prices remains, despite calls for Recession; the passive indexing effect. What will be the next sector rotation, and what will be its cause? What's the Fed going to do next? Jul-Aug-Sep CPI will matter most, ex housing/rent component; why would Fed cut rates? Stimulus cash is still in circulation. When will Recession be here? Job Satisfaction up 32%? Labor market is tighter, but without wage increases; there will be no recession without higher unemployment. Investor psychology: Why investors don't want to be in the market. Is the banking sector broken? Investor conundrum over issues that distort markets. FOMO has not truly left the market.SEG-1: Why a Positive Bias to Markets RemainSEG-2: What Will the Fed Do Next?SEG-3: When Will Recession Arrive?SEG-4: Why FOMO has not totally left the MarketHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8fQJRS5CwQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Are Banks Already Broken?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qMfglvEsulg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: ""Minimum Wage & The Fed’s Biggest Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/minimum-wage-the-feds-biggest-fear/"Debt Ceiling Non-Crisis And The Fed’s Last Rate Hike"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/debt-ceiling-non-crisis-and-the-feds-last-rate-hike/"Risk and Return Imaging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risk-and-return-imaging-------Our previous show is here: "Inflation Increased .4% in April"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EJulVWQhbp8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Inflation #CPI #PPI #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/10/23) It's Inflation Day: This morning's CPI Report recorded a .4% inflation increase in April (this show was broadcast prior to the numbers' release). The pressure is on to raise the debt ceiling to avoid "dire" results; the 2011 debt debacle resulted in a momentary market dip, follow by an upward surge; meanwhile NFIB Confidence is at a low ebb; The Debt Ceiling Dance: Dire or no? Why Bill Gross isn't worried. Why the gloom from Warren Buffett & Charlie Munger? Americans living beyond their means; Debt is robbing from our future to have it now. The ugly truth behind "buy now, pay later" plans. NFIB survey at lowest point since 2009; fallacies in the Jobs Report: Birth/Death Adjustment is a joke. Why Stanley Druckenmiller thinks we'll eventually be in Recession; where will investment opportunities lie? The negative effects of Work From Home: Commercial Real Estate takes a hit on reduced occupancy.SEG-1: Inflation Report Expectations, give or takeSEG-2: The Debt Ceiling DanceSEG-3: Buffettpalooza Aftermath: Why so Negative?SEG-4: NFIB: The State of Small Business is Not GoodHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EJulVWQhbp8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Will Markets Move on CPI?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J4TZ4owfrfg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: ""Minimum Wage & The Fed’s Biggest Fear"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/minimum-wage-the-feds-biggest-fear/"Debt Ceiling Non-Crisis And The Fed’s Last Rate Hike"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/debt-ceiling-non-crisis-and-the-feds-last-rate-hike/"Risk and Return Imaging"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risk-and-return-imaging-------Our previous show is here: "What Will Tomorrow's CPI Behold?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ls6in3aXAUM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Inflation #CPI #WarrenBuffett #CharlieMunger #NFIB #SmallBusinessSentiment #DebtCeiling #Federal Reserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/9/23) Wednesday's (5/10) CPI report on inflation will likely be The Market Moving report of the week: However, NFIB data is similarly important, although less-reported. the Bank Lending Standards report tends to underscore banks' doing the Fed's bidding in tightening credit. The sugar rush is over; Money printing vs asset swaps; liquidity is still in the system, which is why the economy is remaining resilient. The Broken Window Fallacy applied; the Inflation Reduction Act is still pumping liquidity into the system = Inflation. An illustrated explanation why Markets continue to perform bullishly; it may be easy to be bearish, but markets are telling us differently: A time line of how we got here.SEG-1: CPI will be the market-moving report of the week SEG-2: The Impact of Liquidity on Economic ActivitySEG-3: Why Markets Continue to Perform BullishlySEG-4: It's Easy to Be Bearish: A Brief Timeline of How We Got HereHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ls6in3aXAUM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Was the Fed's last rate hike The Last Rate Hike?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EC2rh0poL9o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "COT Extreme Positioning Suggests The Bears May Be Wrong"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cot-extreme-positioning-suggests-the-bears-may-be-wrong/"Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/-------Our previous show is here: "What Happens If the Debt Ceiling Is Not Raised"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpMadT3SqH8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Inflation #CPI #EconomicActivity #BullishMarket #BearishMarkets #Liquidity #Federal Reserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/8/23) Our obligatory Mother's Day alert; no recent bank fail (yay); Employment report beat estimates for 13th straight month; market rallies 2% on Friday, but ends with a down week; markets moving sideways despite higher interest rates, bank failures, and weakening economy (or is it?); the two types of default, and why no one is going to repossess the US. Janet Yellen is wrong about the Debt Ceiling; what happens if the Debt Ceiling is not raised. The opportunity to buy long-dated securities. Why is Warren Buffett so gloomy? Estimates for earnings are pessimistic; Charlie Munger says get ready to make less money on investments. Meanwhile, markets continue to function. Which jobs will be replaced by AI? What will the global impact of AI? ("Don't Worry About It" is a bad analysis.)SEG-1: Employment Reports Beat Expectations for 13th Straight MonthSEG-2: Why Janet Yellen is Wrong About the Debt CeilingSEG-3: Why The US Government Will Not Default on DebtSEG-4: Which Jobs Will Be Displaced by Artificial Intelligence?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpMadT3SqH8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Who Should You Believe: Data or Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6JOR-JZCRsk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "Are We Already in Recession?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/-------Our previous show is here: "Why Affordable Healthcare is an Oxymoron"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4ANpW32l0U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #JanetYellen #EmploymentReport #GovernmentDebt #WarrenBuffett #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/5/23) Will there be a mass-exodus from bank stocks in the wake of the latest round of bank failures? It's hard to tell the baby from the bath water. Getting out of the market vs the price of reinvestment risk: the perils of financial quicksand. short-term vs long-term debt: What are the rates telling us? What does the Fed really control? Apple, GI Joe, & Barbie: Why everything you buy has velcro. Why Affordable Healthcare is an oxymoron; shorting the banks, Squishmallows, and more mistakes to avoid in your 401k: never rebalancing, too many ways to take money out (first time home buyers), collecting too many old 401k's: Left behind.SEG-1: The Mass-exodus from Banking StocksSEG-2: What Does the Fed Really Control?SEG-3: The Velcro Factor: It's attached to everything you buySEG-4: Shorting Banks, Squishmallows, & 401k MistakesHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Darth Powell Says No Rate Cuts Coming" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DhgiBgg6WL4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "Are We Already in Recession?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/-------Our previous show is here: "Is the Fed Done?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c0x_HPHqWYg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #BankFailure #Velcro #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/4/23) The Fed hikes rates...again...and markets pull back; tighter bank lending standards are defacto constraints on the economy. The burning questions are, 'is the Fed done,' and 'when will the Fed cut rates?'Jerome Powell's word salad results in more market volatility; Jobs numbers and CPI will factor into to market moves next week. Instead of rate cuts, sticky inflation could actually result in more rate increases. Jerome Powell is forecasting a "mild" recession (The Most Forecast recession in history). Regional bank issues are creating a transition from FOMO to FOMOB; inflation data does not support rate cuts. Bank deposit outflows are creating a self-fulfilling prophecy for regional banks, but their real problem is in real estate loans: Where will the opportunities be for investors? Banking is a "con-game," a game of confidence. Wait fo the FDIC to bail out banks, then cherry-pick the remains. Where will the Fed draw the line between winner- and loser-banks?SEG-1: Fed Moves & Banking News: Is the Fed Done?SEG-2: Jerome Powell's Word SaladSEG-3: Forecasting a "Mild" RecessionsSEG-4: Bank Deposit Outflows Become Self-fulfilling PropheciesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c0x_HPHqWYg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Darth Powell Says No Rate Cuts Coming" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DhgiBgg6WL4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "Are We Already in Recession?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/-------Our previous show is here: "Are We Already in Recession?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jvRD4kut8Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/3/23) Markets have stagnated somewhat in anticipation of this afternoon's Fed announcement, anticipating a 25-bp interest rate hike. What matters more will be the language from Jerome Powell relating the Fed's mood and future direction. Oil prices are now falling on weakening demand: What if we're already in Recession? A key indicator is oil prices, which have fallen on weakening demand. Meanwhile, expectations of a market disaster have failed to materialize; a pause in rate hikes would not necessarily bode well for markets (why would the Fed pause or lower rates??) Indications of bottoming mf market cycle; restocking of inventories could provide some market support. Key Indicators of Recession: Falling oil prices; the market conundrums: narrowing breadth, with only a few stocks doing well. This is not your father's stock market. Are you leaving money on the table by not being in a 401k?SEG-1: Fed Decision Day: What Comes Next?SEG-2: Why a Pause in Rate Hikes is Not Necessarily a Good ThingSEG-3: Key Indicators of Recession: Is It Already Here?SEG-4: Are You Leaving Money on the Table with Your 401k?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jvRD4kut8Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Will Jerome Powell Say Today?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OA4zTW4_Aw0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/-------Our previous show is here: "How to Choose Careers AI Cannot Replace"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbPXNNGAbKo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #OilPrices #Recession $401k #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/2/23) The FOMC meets today with their interest rate announcement tomorrow afternoon; most important will be the language in the Fed's statement. With sticky, stubborn inflation still rampant, no rate cut is in sight, but the Fed could decide to pause after a final 25bp rate hike tomorrow. Joe Biden's Good Credit Mortgage Penalty program begins; the unintended consequences; why housing is really unaffordable; the ObamaCare case study; increased government regulation never has good outcomes. Choosing careers Artificial Intelligence cannot replace: Menial labor, grounds maintenance, skilled trades; at risk are general office admins, architects, lawyers, and investment advisors; the downside of Ai. Jenny Craig's Bankruptcy; Subway Sandwiches sinks; Jobless Claims preview; mild upticks, but no spikes in unemployment. Investors must take economic data at face value because that's what the market is doing. The goal is to win more than you lose, looking at markets from a risk-based perspective instead of a fear-based view.SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview: Higher Rates Likely, with a PauseSEG-2: Why Housing is Really UnaffordableSEG-3: How to Choose Careers Artificial Intelligence Cannot ReplaceSEG-4: Risk-based vs Fear-based InvestingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbPXNNGAbKo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Trading at February's Highs" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U0uLfsVOUnc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/-------Our previous show is here: "Who's Really Holding the Bag for First Republic Bank?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ehya-ZesW_8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #ArtificialIntelligence #JoblessClaims #MortgageEquity #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/1/23) First Republic Bank failure; assets scooped up by JP Morgan; who got the liabilities? Ignore the headlines to see what's really happening; 64% of S&P companies have reported, markets rally on the news. Market response to 3rd bank failure this year; be careful of negative sentiment/headlines; the risk to pay attention to is credit risk, which is not happening...yet. The First Republic failure did not seize-up credit markets. Sentiment vs Data: Negative vs Positive with narrower than normal market breadth. Avoiding the cost of being human; a look at Conviction; the pro's & con's of "Buy & Hold." Earnings boost strategies: Is Ai the Dot-come of the times? 58% of performance in S&P generated by 7 stocks. What about sustainability? What comes Next? What about profitability? Beside reducing costs, how will Ai affect productivity & wage growth?SEG-1: First Republic & JPMorgan: Who's left holding the bag?SEG-2: Market Responses to Bank Failures: Credit Risk MattersSEG-3: Avoiding the Cost of Being HumanSEG-4: Is Artificial Intelligence the next Dot-com Craze?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ehya-ZesW_8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Will the Fed Hike Rates Again This Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aPwiHmMiaQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "Sell May In April And Go Away?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-may-in-april-and-go-away/-------Our previous show is here: "10 Mistakes in Your 401k You Should Avoid"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VuAw1b9QEmE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CreditCrisis #FirstRepublicBank #JPMorgan #ArtificialInelligence #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/28/23) With the apparent, increasing socialization of banks and markets, what's the best play for investors? Preview of our upcoming Lunch & Learn, "Transitioning to Medicare:" Medigap vs Medicare Advantage; implications of early retirement on your Medicare plan. Powerball Lottery winner lifestyle: What would you do first? Poking Lance; 10 Mistakes you should avoid in your 401k; why a Roth 401k is better for younger savers; the problem with target dated funds.SEG-1: Socialization of Banks & MarketsSEG-2: Transitioning to Medicare: Medigap vs Medicare AdvantageSEG-3: Powerball Winning LifestylesSEG-4: Poking Lance & 10-mistakes in Your 401kHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VuAw1b9QEmE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Microsoft & Apple to Expand Stock Buy-backs?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LbOzeDAnOYc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "Sell May In April And Go Away?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-may-in-april-and-go-away/-------Our previous show is here: "Using Good Credit to Subsidize Poor Credit"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q35KIBS8AJg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #401k #Roth401k #Medicare #Medigap #PowerballLottery #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/26/23) The Big Debate is whether the economy is stronger than expected, owing to pockets of consumption, or if warnings from transportation sector of a slowing economy are to be heeded. The evolution of Technology and Ai: What do Tech earnings say about the economy; At work communication mis-fires: The future of working from home. Implications of Ai technology on worker productivity: What jobs cannot be replaced by Ai? Will Ai be the equivalent, next "industrial revolution?" Where are the investing opportunities (and what's going away) because of Ai?SEG-1: The Big Debate: Pockets of Consumption vs Slowing in ManufacturingSEG-2: Evolution of Technology: What Tech Earnings Say About the EconomySEG-3: At Work Communication vs Work From HomeSEG-4: Implications of Ai Technology on Worker ProductivityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ARkHW1erjRc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Microsoft & Apple to Expand Stock Buy-backs?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LbOzeDAnOYc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "Sell May In April And Go Away?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-may-in-april-and-go-away/-------Our previous show is here: "Investing is like Chess: Thinking One Step Ahead"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HscHt73SlrU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1168s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #Technology #ArtificialIntelligence #IndustrialRevolution #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/25/23) Joe Biden announces run for re-election, and markets continue regardless, awaiting the end of earnings season and the next Fed meeting. More importantly, what will companies say about the months ahead? Markets are stuck in mid-air; sell in April instead of May, and go away? Despite negative news and the Fed's hiking rates, markets continue to exhibit signs of stability; until employment rises, economy will remain flat. As markets defy bad news, are they already looking ahead? Investing is like Chess: You have to think one step ahead. The Debt Ceiling debate & The Beauty of Bonds. Sam Zell and Commercial Real Estate Crisis: companies w now empty commercial space will come back; there's no substitute for doing business in-person.SEG-1: Markets are Stuck in Mid-airSEG-2: The Importance of Employment Data SEG-3: Waiting for the other economic shoe to dropSEG-4: Dealing with Debt Ceiling & The Beauty of BondsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HscHt73SlrU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1168s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Has It Really Been Such a Terrible Bear Market? is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cUFUsrYjVbg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "Sell May In April And Go Away?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-may-in-april-and-go-away/-------Our previous show is here: "Upending the Fair Housing Act of 1968"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49Dl-8Gfthc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=43s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #EmploymentData #CommercialRealEstate #Markets #Money #Investin
(4/24/23) Earnings Season begins to wrap, as stimulus spending unwinds; when will the economic cycle trough? Earnings estimates for 2024 are starting to ratchet-up again; prepare for the weaker months of Summer; the "crash magnet" is October. The new Biden FHA Mortgage Rule will penalize borrowers with "good" credit with a 1% fee to subsidize borrowers with less-than-optimal credit, helping place them into homes they likely cannot really afford (did we not learn this lesson before??) How is this not a violation of the Fair Housing Act of 1968, and discrimination against borrowers w good credit scores? Earnings Preview: Forward guidance will be critical to markets. Everyone expects Recession; have markets adjusted? What's behind the numbers & annualized data. Preview of "Conviction:" Be careful to not be convicted to ideas backed by flawed analysis). A discussion of Gold: It is not money, it is a commodity.SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins to WrapSEG-2: The New Biden Mortgage Rule (how is this not discrimination?)SEG-3: Earnings Preview: Guidance is CriticalSEG-4: Caution Against Conviction to Flawed AnalysisHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Earnings Season Kicks-in to Top Gear" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJI36WnOEek&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "The Cash Hoard Of 2023 (And The Sideline Money Myth)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-cash-hoard-of-2023-and-the-sideline-money-myth/"Four Reasons The Dollar Is Here to Stay- Part 2"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/four-reasons-the-dollar-is-here-to-stay-part-2-------Our previous show is here: "To Roth or Nor to Roth?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n56gMNbiJ9k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2661s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #FHAMortageRule #FairHouseingAct1968 #LendingDiscrimination #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/21/23) Markets are rationalizing; this will be a White Collar Recession; economic metrics are 'whacked-out;" no "Fed Pivot" by summer: Inflation is here to stay. Twinkies are shrinking. Elon Musk & Space-X launch: Why the extreme criticism? To Roth or Not to Roth: they may not be for everyone. Lunch & Learn preview; Buc-ee Beaver archaeology. Should you avoid a Roth? labor market trends: Job losses coming in a "White Collar Recession;" are you expecting a severance package? Common mistakes to avoid: What about a lump sum?SEG-1: Market Rationalization: Looking for a White Collar RecessionSEG-2: Elon Musk & Space-X Launch; To Roth or Not to Roth-1SEG-3: Lunch & Learn, Buc-ee's Beaver, To Roth or Not to Roth-2SEG-4: Labor Market Trends: Are You Receiving a Severance Package This Year?Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n56gMNbiJ9k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2661s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Buy Signal Getting Long in the Tooth" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQBDIaGgJqo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "The Cash Hoard Of 2023 (And The Sideline Money Myth)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-cash-hoard-of-2023-and-the-sideline-money-myth/"Four Reasons The Dollar Is Here to Stay- Part 2"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/four-reasons-the-dollar-is-here-to-stay-part-2-------Our previous show is here: "Word of the Day: "Rehypothecate""https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TzPRBgB0Mk4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketRationalization #Recession #WhiteCollarRecession #FedPivot #FederalReserve #ElonMusk #SpaceX #RothIRA #LaborMarket #SeverancePackage #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/20/23) Regional Banks seem to be fine as their earnings reports continue to roll-out this week, indicating the turmoil created around SVB and Credit Suisse were a one-off event, and not necessarily a systemic crisis. The interesting correlation between risk-on/risk-off rotation and market performance; we're looking for companies with poor earnings but good stock performance. Is the Worst behind us? Markets remain entrenched in a bullish trend. What can Transportation stocks tell us about the economy? Dow Theory as Economic Indicator; are "leading indicators" really leading? (Service Sector is lagging indicator vs Transportation as leading indicator). Our word of the day is "Rehypothecate." Inflation, Deflation vs Dis-inflation. M2 Money Supply as % of GDP; Money Supply + Velocity = Inflation. Is this time really different? Break-even inflation vs other asset classes. What is Break-even Inflation telling us now? Inflation is a function of demand; Break-even inflation is what the market thinks about inflation. Bank Earnings report indicate SVB was a one-off event; Zion's Bank missed estimates, but not fatally. Markets continue pattern of opening weak, finishing strong; not terrible, but not great, either. New Biden Administration rule requiring borrowers with excellent credit scores to pay a fee for subsidizing mortgages for borrowers with less-than-perfect scores! SEG-1: Earnings Season ContinuesSEG-2: Dow Theory as Economic IndicatorSEG-3: What is Break-even Inflation Telling us Now?SEG-4: Why Gen-Z isn't Working Out at WorkHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TzPRBgB0Mk4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Buy Signal Getting Long in the Tooth" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQBDIaGgJqo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "The Cash Hoard Of 2023 (And The Sideline Money Myth)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-cash-hoard-of-2023-and-the-sideline-money-myth/"Four Reasons The Dollar Is Here to Stay- Part 2"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/four-reasons-the-dollar-is-here-to-stay-part-2-------Our previous show is here: "Could Markets Run Out of Gas?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6hqy-0q82c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #Inflation #BreakEvenInflation #MarketCorrection #Bullishness #Rehypothecate #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/19/23) Despite the past "rolling disasters" repeatedly hitting markets, the bullish mood persists. Could markets run out of gas? A normal, 10% correction is not out of the question. How the Government is wasting your tax dollars; the most important strategies for Retirees now; how higher interest rates are impacting retirement, both good and bad. What does retirement even look like, anymore? Locking in returns w Treasuries at higher rates. Dalbar investor behavior: 30% underperform markets by 4% or more. Movie nights w Netflix and the Blockbuster Air BNB; moving your money for higher returns; how sweep accounts work; Schwab vs Fidelity; Apple Pay and Goldman.SEG-1: Are Markets Running Out of Gas?SEG-2: How the Government Is Wasting Your Tax DollarsSEG-3: How Higher Interest Rates are Impacting Retirement, for better or for worseSEG-4: Movie Nights & Netflix; Moving Money for Higher ReturnsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6hqy-0q82c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Are Higher Prices on the Way?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJNjCT6L6nE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "The Cash Hoard Of 2023 (And The Sideline Money Myth)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-cash-hoard-of-2023-and-the-sideline-money-myth/-------Our previous show is here: "There's No Such Thing as Money on the Sidelines"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tIyIm16dZb0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #Bullishness #GovernmentWaste #TaxDollars #Retirement #RollingRecession #InventoryManagement #RetailSales #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/18/23) Banks boost stocks as earnings season continues; markets remain in a trading range. Expect a pullback. Volatility Index (VIX) significantly down, closing Monday at 17. Rolling Recession vs The Big Event. Mounds of Cash: Who really owns it? Where does it come from (and where does it go)? The explosion of Money Market Funds in 2020: There is no such thing as "money on the sidelines." In the markets, for every buyer there is a seller. Who owns the cash? Institutional holdings of money market funds (money used to conduct business, make payroll, etc.); not for investing in stock market. If everyone used 'buy-and-hold,' markets would flat-line. Earnings Preview: Is the Banking Crisis over? Netflix: Is content compelling enough to attract new subs? How China derives GDP numbers: Are they to be believed? Was the Banking Crisis a one-off event, or is there more pain to come? Lockheed-Martin beats estimates, but what about earnings? The Best Book to read about investing.SEG-1: Earnings Parade Marches On: Banks Boost StocksSEG-2: There's No Such Thing as 'Money on the Sidelines'SEG-3: Who Owns the Cash?SEG-4: Should China's GDP Numbers Be Believed?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tIyIm16dZb0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Volatility Index Sending a Message Not to Be Ignored " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EFDDYvIKQwI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "The Cash Hoard Of 2023 (And The Sideline Money Myth)"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-cash-hoard-of-2023-and-the-sideline-money-myth/-------Our previous show is here: "Why Hasn't the Fed Panicked Yet?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qw2Lbe0IPvs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MoneyOnTheSidelines #MoneyMyths #EarningsSeason #RegionalBanks #Recession #RollingRecession #InventoryManagement #RetailSales #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/17/23) Earnings Season is underway, and the reports we receive from regional banks could reveal a more accurate picture of the economy from a localized perspective. CEO Confidence was not good at the end of 2022; what will Q-1 statements reflect? Markets continue trend of bottoming higher: Why? Liz Ann Sonders/Charles Schwab posits we are seeing a "rolling recession" instead of a sudden, bottom fall out recession. Why hasn't the Fed panicked yet? There aren't too many catalysts for market upside. The Rolling Recession is the result of markets processing and absorbing news as it comes. Retail Sales miss the mark for the first real hit to economic data' the consumer is under increasing stress. Major appliance sales drop as stimulus and cash evaporate, and consumption was pulled-forward. The battle of Supply & Demand is why we have inflation. The phenomenon (and failure) of 'just-in-time' inventory management: What happens when the supply chain fails. 'Just-in-case' inventory implications: Higher costs will weigh on earnings. Reverse FOMO = FOBO: Fear of Missing the Bottom. It's always wise to consider your view of markets could be mistaken.SEG-1: Earnings Season & Bank Reports: What the Numbers May RevealSEG-2: Why Hasn't the Fed Panicked Yet?SEG-3: The Rolling RecessionSEG-4: Has "Just-in-Time" become "Just-in-Case " Inventory Management?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qw2Lbe0IPvs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is This a "Rolling Recession?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ncXmkhxeMYM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "The Dollars Death, Not So Fast"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-dollars-death-not-so-fast"Raising Money-Smart Kids: Part Two"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/raising-money-smart-kids-part-two/-------Our previous show is here: "Is Social Security About to Go Bankrupt?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kBFRLNGHaPw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #RegionalBanks #Recession #RollingRecession #InventoryManagement #RetailSales #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/14/23) Big Banks quarterly reporting headlines today's financial news; what's the best use for a brick & mortar bank in your personal finances? The challenges to small businesses, CPI stickiness means no Fed pivot. Refinancing Treasueries will expose more cracks in the economy with higher cost of debt. Why this will be a "White-collar Recession." the OAISD Report on Social Security solvency; France' pension protests, and the demographic challenges for US Social Security. Will SS be there for the young? Envisioning the future, and how to make up the shortfall. Sacrificing retirement to bailout the kids; Lunch & Learn recap & preview; romancing the gold vs ditching the dollar. SEG-1: The Best Use of a Brick & Mortar BankSEG-2: This Will Be a White-Collar RecessionSEG-3: Will Social Security Be Around for the Young?SEG-4: Romancing the GoldHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kBFRLNGHaPw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Can You Ever Make Up What You Lost? | Before the Bell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kuDQK39ebT4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here are articles mentioned in today's show: "The Dollars Death, Not So Fast"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-dollars-death-not-so-fast"Raising Money-Smart Kids: Part Two"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/raising-money-smart-kids-part-two/-------Our previous show is here: "The De-Dollarization of Reserve Currency"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wVK-xtPpg4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/7516747839784/WN_yEQ0iBgwQ2WdIexCLAdpPQ-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SocialSecurity #Bankrupt #Gold #CPI #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/13/23) March Inflation seemed to soften, but a look at core inflation metrics shows higher prices are still pretty sticky, providing no evidence the Fed will be inclined to pause rate hikes, much less cut rates. FOMC minutes reveal discussion of a "mild" recession. That's like being "mildly" dead. The significance of the NASDAQ being where it was 2-years ago: No gains. The March CPI Report: Nothing Burger or ham on rye? "Sticky core prices remain very sticky. Higher gasoline prices are offsetting declines in services prices. Housing/Homeowners Equivalent Rent declines have a 3-month lag; expectations are for another 25bp increase at next Fed Meeting. Is the Dollar dead as a reserve currency? The de-Dollarization: three reasons why it won't happen anytime soon. Will Gold return as an alternative for fiat currency? What's wrong with the Dollar: Over-leveraged & mis-managed. China/Brazil deal in Yuan; use of Dollar has diminished, but volume remains high. The Central Bank Digital Currency phenomenon: Why no government will allow it to replace currency. Florida outlaws CBDC; the reality of digital commerce vs using cash.SEG-1: The CPI Nothing BurgerSEG-2: Inflation: Nothing a Recession Can't CureSEG-3: The De-Dollarization of Reserve CurrencySEG-4: What's the Future Hold for CBDC?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Can You Ever Make Up What You Lost? | Before the Bell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kuDQK39ebT4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here is an article mentioned in today's show: "Bullishness Remains Missing, Which Is A Good Thing:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullishness-remains-missing-which-is-a-good-thing/-------Our previous show is here: "Why Are Banks Losing Money on Mortgages?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HRtOEK0iYcU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "What's New with Social Security?"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747818184/WN_1UI2lJqsSSS3N5r8lmWovg-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CPI #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/12/23) With many investors heavily shorted in the market, today's Inflation Report could spell success or failure (CPI clocked-in at a cooler-than-expected 5% rate of inflation, year over year). Chances for volatility are high in today's trading session as markets near the upper end of the current rally. Oil price increases have yet to appear in CPI numbers, generally three months behind. Gold is very over-bought. NASDAQ is overbought. A discussion of investing philosophies and clients' needs: the difference between philosophies and views; how to avoid confirmation bias. How to change your wife's philosophies. Correcting Warren Buffett: FDIC/SIPC are funded by depositors/tax payers. Why are banks losing money on mortgages? Real Estate locality; the expense of getting a mortgage is higher as home affordability increases. Seniors sacrificing retirement to bail out kids; the difference between assistance and enabling; bad luck or bad behavior?SEG-1: Inflation Day as Markets Near Upper End of RallySEG-2: The Difference Between Investing Philosophies & ViewsSEG-3: Why Banks Are Losing Money on MortgagesSEG-4: Sacrificing Retirement: Bad Luck vs Bad BehaviorHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HRtOEK0iYcU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "March Inflation Lower Than Expected" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43qkX6wqRw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here is an article mentioned in today's show: "Bullishness Remains Missing, Which Is A Good Thing:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullishness-remains-missing-which-is-a-good-thing/-------Our previous show is here: "Will Inflation Weaken Enough to Cause a Fed Pause?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ns_oRAzqWBE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "What's New with Social Security?"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747818184/WN_1UI2lJqsSSS3N5r8lmWovg-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MortgageBanking #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #RateCuts #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/11/23) Lots of Fed speakers are on deck this week, along with data releases with the latest measure of inflation: Will numbers indicate a weakening sufficient to cause the Fed to pause rate hikes? Markets continue to do well; why we trimmed out positions in the NASDAQ; Why did PC sales take a dive? Markets may be a bit ahead of reality. Why a lack of bullishness in the markets is a good thing; markets returns expectations vs reality; avoiding market downturns is more important than making market gains; we do the math. The Dalbar Survey: Why most American's aren't saving money. Avoiding Bad Financial Mistakes; how parents enable instead of help their children. Survey: When should children pay their own way?SEG-1: Will Inflation Be Weak Enough to Cause a Fed Pause?SEG-2: What Markets Are Doing vs What We Think Markets Should DoSEG-3: Avoiding Market Downturns is More Important Than Making Market GainsSEG-4: Bad Financial Mistakes (And How to Avoid Them)Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ns_oRAzqWBE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is it Time to Trim NASDAQ Exposure?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IYMRNLm9og&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Here is an article mentioned in today's show: "Bullishness Remains Missing, Which Is A Good Thing:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullishness-remains-missing-which-is-a-good-thing/-------Our previous show is here: "What a Fed Rate Cut Would Really Mean"hhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4QP_DY2j1X4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "What's New with Social Security?"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747818184/WN_1UI2lJqsSSS3N5r8lmWovg-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #Bullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateCuts #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/10/23) Anticipated data in the week ahead should bolster the position of the Fed in not cutting interest rates anytime soon; labor participation rates are still not up to pre-pandemic levels; inflationary pressures on markets remain. Markets are betting on no recession and the Fed to cut rates, but fail to recognize the ramifications of the Fed needing to cut rates. "Millennial" ratings season begins: Everyone gets a trophy. S&P expectations for 2024 earnings to equal those of 2022, without stimulus or inflation. Analysts' initial earnings estimates are generally 30% higher than reality; looking for lots of earnings "beats." How the markets have become dependent upon liquidity and Fed intervention; this is not capitalism, and it's not good for markets. Companies are not winning the capital game (the things that really matter to businesses.) The fallacy of boycotts and protests; the true cost of debt. The challenge of investing in a no longer free market. A booming stock market is not necessarily good for the economy: Look at teh results of three bull markets, with 29% of population still expected to need more than $1-mil to retire. Markets will not make you rich; wealth will come from what you save.SEG-1: There's No Indication of a Fed Rate CutSEG-2: Millennial Earnings Season BeginsSEG-3: Market Dependency on Liquidity and InterventionSEG-4: Why a Booming Market's Not Good for EconomyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4QP_DY2j1X4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "This Week Begins Earnings Season" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sncC32vQfE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Put Too Much Money in the System?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_j-67FkGiuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s--------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "What's New with Social Security?"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747818184/WN_1UI2lJqsSSS3N5r8lmWovg-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #BigBanks #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateCuts #Liquidity #MarketIntervention #FreeMarket #Capitalism #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/6/23) Why do Jobless Claims Matter? What do to about Gold? Chipotle's Peppergate and Bud Light's marketing gaffe: No such thing as "bad ink?" The CitiGroup Economic Surprise Index is on the rise: Data is coming in stronger-than-expected, which is not such a surprise considering all the doom and gloom last year. Analysts are optimistic, but first signs of trouble may show up in Jobless numbers; Markets may not be a strong as thought (thanks to impact of ETF's). Market indicators are still predicting recession, but market behavior is incongruent. Researching market behavior following history of Fed pauses in rate hike; what happens when the Fed does nothing? The Fed's reverse-repo program: Is there too much money in the system? SEG-1: Why Jobless Claims MatterSEG-2: Chipotle Peppers, Bud Light bust, and Economic SurprisesSEG-3: Incongruity of Market Predictions to Market BehaviorSEG-4: Did the Fed Put Too Much Money in the Economy?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_j-67FkGiuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Does All That's Golden Glitter?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyM2JJqIi8I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Just Float a Rate Hike Trial Balloon?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DpmgX-BEwME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Market Bottomed In October. Now What?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-bottomed-in-october-now-what/"Bills, Notes, or Bonds?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bills-notes-or-bonds-------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "What's New with Social Security?"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747818184/WN_1UI2lJqsSSS3N5r8lmWovg-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JoblessClaims #EconomicSurprise #InterestRates #Inflation #ChipotlePepper #BudLight #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/5/23) Markets sell-off, as predicted; Jobs data disappoints, with more to come from ADP & Labor Dept.: Could this be the first cracks in economic data? Market dichotomy of good performance with weak economic data. Are markets predicting a turn? Why are markets rallying on hopes of a Fed pivot (and what such pivot would indicate about the economy)? Markets are resting on support, retesting the 50-DMA. Why do majority of Gen-Z get their news from TikTok? The results of confirmation bias, and lack of challenging viewpoints.The dynamic of fund flows into Fed Repurchase programs; what happens when banks don't "share the wealth." The Fed has created an environment in which investors now have a choice. Tax deadline looms; ADP & Jobs reports could determine Fed's next move. Cleveland Fed Pres. Loretta Meister says more rate hikes to come: Is that a trial balloon?SEG-1: Jobs Data Disappoints - Is this the first crack in economy?SEG-2: Gen-Z News Sources & Confirmation BiasSEG-3: How the Fed Gives Investors a Choice Over BanksSEG-4: Did Loretta Meister Just Float a Rate Hike Trial Balloon?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DpmgX-BEwME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Retest the Breakout," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ryhlhNtlPm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Was October's Low the Markets' Bottom?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNC_H77I_14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Market Bottomed In October. Now What?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-bottomed-in-october-now-what/"Bills, Notes, or Bonds?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bills-notes-or-bonds-------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "What's New with Social Security?"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747818184/WN_1UI2lJqsSSS3N5r8lmWovg-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JobsReport #InterestRates #LorettaMeister #BullMarket #BearMarket #Inflation #FedPivot #FederalReserve #TikTok #GenZ #ConfirmationBias #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/4/23) The Credit Suisse shareholders' meeting is not likely to be a fun one. Markets are showing signs of exhaustion; there's nothing much standing in the way (do far) of markets achieving 4,200, despite contrary economic conditions. Markets have continued to establish higher lows since October. What to do when Climate Activists break-in to your house. Opposing market views & psychological biases. How personal biases affect investment outcomes; the market is a weighing machine over time; was October's low the markets' bottom? RIA Rules for investing (see article link below).SEG-1: Markets Showing Signs of ExhaustionSEG-2: Nightlights & Climate Activists; Opposing Views & Psychological BiasesSEG-3: Was October's Low the Markets' Bottom?SEG-4: Navigating What Comes NextHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNC_H77I_14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Oil Prices Surge," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bK0Q4IfuERw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Will Oil Roil the Markets?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OdD_ayLqNGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Market Bottomed In October. Now What?"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-bottomed-in-october-now-what/-------Register for our next Lunch & Learn: "What's New with Social Security?"https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747818184/WN_1UI2lJqsSSS3N5r8lmWovg-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #BullMarket #BearMarket #OctoberLow #SP4200 #Inflation #FederalReserve #MobilePhoneApps #Millennials #Productivity #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/3/23) April marks the launch of another earnings season cycle and the start of Q2 with a decidedly positive market bias. OPEC+ production cuts hikes oil to $80bbl, fueling more inflation = more Fed rate hikes. Analysts are now expecting Q1 to have been the trough, q2 to show economic improvement: Not good for the Fed, creating a battle between what the Fed wants and what the markets are thinking. It's important to note the significance of oil price averages, and the deviation from the 200MDA: Price highs and lows are required to create an average: Oil prices are a function of supply and demand; recessions result in decreased demand. The US needs to decide whether it's going to be oil-dependent or oil-independent. The truth about Lance's Tweets; survey: Where mobile phones derive the most income: Gaming apps. What would Einstein think? How Millennials choose to spend money; the trend towards working fewer hours = lower productivity. Charting genetics, productivity, and success.SEG-1: The Battle Between What the Fed Wants and What Markets ThinkSEG-2: Will Oil Roil the Markets?SEG-3: Mobile Phone Apps & Millennials' ProductivitySEG-4: Productivity, Success & GeneticsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OdD_ayLqNGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Oil Prices Surge," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6JeByrzYLJM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "More Than 50% of Americans are Under-prepared for Retirement"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MJ7rLjYkE4U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2837s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Looking to ‘Unretire?’ Four Important Steps to Consider."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/?s=the+great+unretirement-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #OilPrices #OPEC #Inflation #FederalReserve #MobilePhoneApps #Millennials #Productivity #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/31/23) April Fools' realities and cartoon disclaimers: the stupidity risk in the banking sector when the government backstops everything: the markets have essentially been socialized. How long before the Fed pivot; inflation is here to stay. There's a difference between retirement care and long term care; retirees are getting younger: 55 is the new 40. American preparedness for retirement is bleak; more than half are under-prepared. How we got Candid Coffee (thanks, pandemic).Living to 100 calculator; in the future, your financial advisors will become your life coach. Vegas & Baretta TV shows; cursing cockatoo's; pending adjustments to Social Security earnings thresholds; Senior Citizens' League & the Great Un-Retirement.SEG-1: The Stupidity Risk in Banking SectorSEG-2: Vital Tools for Retirement PlanningSEG-3: How We Got Candid Coffee; Financial Preparedness for RetirementSEG-4: Vegas, Baretta, & Cursing Cockatoo's; Adjustments to SS Earnings ThresholdsHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MJ7rLjYkE4U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2837s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Most-hated Stocks Lead the Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=htbKARZWhf0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Pivot? Be Careful What You Ask For"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mcpLoJ0DdOM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2066s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Looking to ‘Unretire?’ Four Important Steps to Consider."https://realinvestmentadvice.com/?s=the+great+unretirement-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Retirement #LongTermCare #RetirementPlanning #SocialSecurity #EarningsThreshhold #Unretirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/30/23) Markets continue to do well, led by tech and technology stocks. The NASDAQ, up 20% from its lows, is now officially in a bear market. Much of the rally is based on the idea of a Fed Pivot, but based on market history, that might not be a good thing. The importance of investors being flexible and able to "call an audible," if needed. Dogs' internal clocks adjust to DST; market performance has been improving since October, despite economic indicators screaming for trouble ahead; the dichotomy between markets & economy, the NASDAQ vs Russell 2000; where should investors place their bets? Can we have a market rally during Recession? Trading w China: Does this spell the end of the US Dollar? Take care to not react to news headlines; there is still no reasonable alternative to the US Dollar; dealing with the now.SEG-1: The Focus of the Markets: Fed Pivot?SEG-2: A History of Fed Rate Cuts & The Fear of Missing OutSEG-3: The Internal Clock of Dogs; Can Markets Rally in Recession?SEG-4: Trade w China & The End of the Dollar?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mcpLoJ0DdOM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2066s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Most-hated Stocks Lead the Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=htbKARZWhf0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Did Congress Get Something Right?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VGcIYdGrVNo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Recession Indicators Say The Fed Broke Something"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recession-indicators-says-the-fed-will-break-something/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FedPivot #Recession #InterestRates #USDollar #ChinaYuan #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/29/23) Markets are doing just fine, pricing-in current issues; by 2024 earnings estimates are expected to be a same level as 2022 when artificial liquidity was introduced. The triple tax benefits of Health savings Accounts: What congress may actually get right. how to effectively use an HSA; the benefits of high-deductible healthcare plans. The inevitabilities of Social Security: Higher retirement ages, earnings tests; the challenge of taking SS properly. Long Term Care Candid Coffee, April 1. Living Not in the USA: Mis-conceptions of healthcare abroad; earnings here vs there.SEG-1: Markets Are doing Fine - Headlines vs RealitySEG-2: The Triple Tax Benefits of HSA'sSEG-3: The Inevitabilities of Social SecuritySEG-4: Living Not in the USA: Misconceptions About Healthcare AbroadHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VGcIYdGrVNo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Struggle at 50-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9uh-mir7sQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Who Will Pay for Bank Failures?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rAH97seo3lE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Recession Indicators Say The Fed Broke Something"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recession-indicators-says-the-fed-will-break-something/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #2024EarningsEstimates #TaxBenefits #HealthSavingsAccount #HSA #SocialSecurity #RetirementAge #MeansTesting #Healthcare #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/28/23) Who is going to really pay for the FDIC coverage of failed banks? You will, through higher bank fees. Regional Bank shares are beaten up: Is there potential upside? Markets tested resistance Monday and failed; there are two zones in which to rally. Banks beginning to tighten lending standards has same result as rate hikes. Elon Musk's Twitter charging for verified accounts: $8/mo cost in terms of wealth building; how much money is wasted on wants vs needs? Minimum Wage vs Living Wage and setting living standards. Living in the current economic environment. Lance's early days in Radio. What markets are doing vs what you want them to do; anticipating what the markets anticipate; What are the risks of Recession for 2023? Markets price-in these things; the spoiled milk lesson. As markets try to price-in what's happening, what is the 'What if?' risk? Markets aren't priced for Recession; factoring in multiple market dynamics and the importance of conviction.SEG-1: Who Pays for FDIC Coverage of SVB Fail? (You do)SEG-2: Needs vs Wants & Wasted MoneySEG-3a: Lance & Early Days of RadioSEG-3b: What Markets are Doing vs What You Think they ShouldSEG-4: The Risk of 'What If?'Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rAH97seo3lE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Face Real Resistance above the 50_DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=30GFrqrR2qg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Will Commercial Real Estate be the Next to Fall?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNMgUcqGS-s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Recession Indicators Say The Fed Broke Something"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recession-indicators-says-the-fed-will-break-something/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FDIC #Bailout #RateHike #MarketRisk #Twitter #ElonMusk #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/27/23) In the aftermath of the bank fail and bailout fiasco, the Fed's QT is essentially being negated by bond buys; despite that, markets are setting a rising trend. Gold buyers read real interest rates; stock buyers read earnings estimates. While the Fed continues to focus on inflation, markets are pricing-in a 110-bp rate cut by Summer's end. 15-years after Bear-Stearns, the component missing for full financial crisis is a lack of faith in the system. It's all about stability, but risk remains of breaking something this year. The fallacy of the Fed's Bank Stress Tests; a simple explanation of what went wrong at SVB; the next area of risk will be in commercial real estate. Multi-family real estate also at risk because of origins of construction loans; too much supply, not enough demand. The use of buy-now, pay-later schemes; why Millennials and Gen-Z cannot save: Instant gratification vs delayed gratification. SEG-1: While Fed Focuses on Inflation, Markets Price-in 110-bp rate cut by summerSEG-2: The Missing Component for Full Financial CrisisSEG-3: After the Banks, the Next Area of RiskSEG-4: Financial Habits of Millennials & Gen-ZHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNMgUcqGS-s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Continue to Establish Higher Bottoms," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NESVV0o89Rg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuiwiJLZ3oP_26MezKj1bhsu&index=1&t=1s-------- Our previous show is here: "Why SVB Failure is Not Likely a One-off Event"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HhFuxky6gIw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Recession Indicators Say The Fed Broke Something"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recession-indicators-says-the-fed-will-break-something/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #SiliconValleyBank #Bailout #RateHike #CommercialRealEstate #MarketRisk #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/17/23) Bank math is a lot like Abbott & Costello math; the main issue with banks is lack of mark-to-market; SVB problem was it's the tech-darling, whose product was sub-prime business loans based on "social credit." (See "The Panic of 1907"). How diversity and equity nearly crashed the economy (NY Post). Is the Fed's 2% inflation target realistic? The ECB continues to raise rates; what will the Fed do? Credit Suisse and First Republic: Euphoria vs reality? Why more Americans under-estimate Social Security benefits. Including sequence of returns in financial planning; everything is rosy at brokerage firms, and the answer for every question is stocks. The "S" in ESG is stinky. The luck of retirement in the economic cycle; the 4% Rule is a lie. Janet Yellen calls Jamie Dimon; hilarity ensues; Credit Suisse bail out vs realization that some things cannot be fixed; Labor & Demographic trends: Effects of inflation, prices are not going backwards; seniors going back to work. IQ vs EQ (emotional quotient).SEG-1: SVB, Abbott & Costello, and Bank MathSEG-2: How Diversity and Equity Nearly Crashed the EconomySEG-3: Under Estimating Social Security BenefitsSEG-4: Janet Yellen Call to Jamie Dimon; Inflation that Cannot be FixedHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j8TBR2hYgDM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=7s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Credit Suisse Gets a Bailout" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNDbCAHOmZ4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=5s-------- Our previous show is here: "Why the Credit Suisse Bailout is Significant: SIFI"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T0eVQW2MQWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s --------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Bank Runs. The First Sign The Fed “Broke Something.”"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bank-runs-the-first-sign-the-fed-broke-something/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CreditSuisee #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #SiliconValleyBank #Bailout #RateHike #BankRegulation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/16/23) Credit Suisse secures a $50-B loan from the Swiss National Bank: Is this only the first bailout? Why markets have really gone nowhere; this is why context matters. It's important to keep a proper perspective as an investor: Ignore the TikTok experts and look at the data; a longer-term view is best. Why the Fed will not cut rates next time; expectations are for a 25-bp increase. The culprit is sticky high inflation; Banks are about to tighten credit. Sorting thru the risks; the ECB announces policy today; looking for a "short and shallow" recession. Credit Suisse is not SVB; it's another Lehman: A SIFI (Significantly Influential Financial Institution), with counter-party risks to other banks. The ESG's in SVB: Why ESG investing is a scam; ESG is unquantifiable; focus on what matters; is a company making money? Concerned about the E in ESG? Go plant a tree.SEG-1: Is Credit Suisse' Bailout the first of Many?SEG-2: Why Banks Are About to Tighten CreditSEG-3: Why the Credit Suisse Bailout is Significant: SIFISEG-4: SVB & ESG: Why ESG Investing is a ScamHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T0eVQW2MQWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Credit Suisse Gets a Bailout" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNDbCAHOmZ4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=5s-------- Our previous show is here: "There Is Not Enough Money in the FDIC to Cover Everyone"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HhFuxky6gIw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Bank Runs. The First Sign The Fed “Broke Something.”"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bank-runs-the-first-sign-the-fed-broke-something/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CreditSuisee #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #SiliconValleyBank #Bailout #RateHike #BankRegulation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/15/23) Despite Tuesday's CPI print of 6%, core inflation remains very high and very sticky. The realities of CPI and the fallout from SVB Failure are the context for The Great Debate: Will the Fed Hike or Pause? Was SVB an Event or a prelude to more trouble? Expectation for Tuesday's rally to be erased today; will bears take charge again? The SVB failure was an issue of falling collateral value and the velocity of money through mobile banking. Regional banks are also facing aftereffects; what is "too big to fail?" What are the realities of remaining risk in the system? Is a limitation on mobile banking coming? Will the Fed hike rates next week? Hotter CPI numbers do not indicate a pause; the collateral problem for banks is blamed on inflation. Are taxpayers eventually going to pay for bank bailouts? (We already have). There is not enough money in the FDIC to cover everyone. Is Credit Suisse the next domino to fall?SEG-1: The Realities of CPISEG-2: Dissecting the SVB FailureSEG-3: How Will the Fed Act Next?SEG-4: Will Taxpayers Fund Bailouts?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9tbwPBJ2JYU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Credit Suisse Making Ripples in the Pond" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=omxC5PZbt3k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Day-Two of Bank Bailout Week"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HhFuxky6gIw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Bank Runs. The First Sign The Fed “Broke Something.”"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bank-runs-the-first-sign-the-fed-broke-something/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CreditSuisee #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #SiliconValleyBank #Bailout #RateHike #BankRegulation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/14/23) It's Day-Two of Bank Bailout Week, with still-inflationary CPI numbers adding to the mix of woes and worries for the Federal Reserve. The failure of Signature Bank and SVB underscore what happens when regulations are defanged, and Rule 157 is repealed, allowing fuzzy math to prevail. Are banks really too big to fail? The irony of the co-author of the emasculated Dodd-Frank legislation, Barney Frank, sitting on the board of defunct Signature Bank; the differences between Big Banks and Regional Banks. Don't Panic; a look at regional banks' comparative lack of flexibility in troubled times. The new immediacy of deposit withdrawals; The Fed now risks credibility, caught between battling inflation and bailing out banks. Markets have priced-in a massive Fed pivot; why SVB is likely not a one-off event, as previous rate hikes being to impact economy; banks will make loan requirements more stringent, effectively tightening credit; banks will be forced to clean up their balance sheets.SEG-1: What Happens when The Fed Fights Banking Event?SEG-2: Too Big to Fail, or Not?SEG-3: The Fed's Risk of CredibilitySEG-4: Why SVB Failure is Not Likely a One-off EventHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HhFuxky6gIw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Banking Sector Begins Recovery" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pw_9AgZ969g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=2-------- Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Finally Break Something?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAAMXRetCSc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Bank Runs. The First Sign The Fed “Broke Something.”"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bank-runs-the-first-sign-the-fed-broke-something/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #SiliconValleyBank #Bailout #RateHike #BankRegulation #DoddFrank #FractionalReserveBanking #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/13/23) The Fed raised rates until something broke: SVB/Silicon Valley Bank is taken into receivership over the weekend, a victim of poor management and weakened banking regulations allowing fractional reserve banking; why this is not technically a bank bailout; a brief history of Dodd-Frank regulation. SVB failure is a collusion of bad timing. There is now a rising possibility the Fed will not raise rates in March; is this the pivot point? The Fed's "Ah-ha moment;" you have to let capitalism work; the decision is whether to continue doing what we've done or allow weak banks to fail. How the Fed's non-bailout will affect markets: Is this a "Bear-Stearns moment?" Watch for money moves out of banking and into technology. Why the SVB failure is not a prelude to 1930; the need for more strict banking regulation, at the cost of bank profitability. Need for return to serious bank regulations, and a return to mark to market accounting.SEG-1: The Problem with Fractional Reserve BankingSEG-2: The Fed's "Ah-ha Moment"SEG-3: Where the Money's Going NextSEG-4: Why This is Not Like the 1930'sHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAAMXRetCSc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Silicon Valley Bank Placed Into Receivership" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CLk3BXsI8dM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Wait Until 70 to Retire?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahZtKL1TMVY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Resources mentioned in this podcast:www.OlderAdultNestEgg.comwww.LivingTo100.com-------Video's referenced in this broadcast:"Raising Money Smart Kids" | Richard Rosso & Danny Ratliffhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ly-09fRehKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1---------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #SiliconValleyBank #Bailout #RateHike #BankRegulation #DoddFrank #FractionalReserveBanking #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/10/23) The US Economy added 311k more job in February, and the Unemployment rate rose to 3.6%, despite a resilient economy despite inflation and high interest rates. Are we falling into the abyss? What's the difference between a "hard" and "soft" landing? Legislation being proposed would raise the minimum retirement age to 70: Can you hold out until then? More than half of the population depends upon Social Security for more than half of retirement income. Changing the words doesn't change the outcome. The problem of out-living your money. the emerging trend of single retirees; the wage gap for never-married women; how to avoid financial exploitation of your nest egg.SEG-1: Anticipating Employment Numbers [NOTE: This show aired prior to data release]SEG-2: Wait Until 70 to Retire?SEG-3: The Emerging Trend of Single Retirees; Wage gap for Never-Married WomenSEG-4: How to Avoid Financial ExploitationHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahZtKL1TMVY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Bulls Cling to Support" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtuCYEAKVzo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s-------- Our previous show is here: "Has the Fed Run Out of Room?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AUf6WMBM2pI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------Resources mentioned in this podcast:www.OlderAdultNestEgg.comwww.LivingTo100.com-------Video's referenced in this broadcast:"Raising Money Smart Kids" | Richard Rosso & Danny Ratliffhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ly-09fRehKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1---------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #RetirementAge70 #Employment #WageGap #SingleRetirees #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/9/23) Market response to two days of Jerome Powell's testimony promising more rate hikes: Rally on. Bulls held the line at the 200DMA; Fear sells, but markets aren't signaling that, retaining a bullish bias. How we communicate now: Most text-message; The Fed is driving blind, relying on backwards-looking data. At what point will higher rates break something, or has it already? Example: The latest JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey) report, and diminished constructio permits and starts. Is a pause as good as a pivot? markets' bullish sentiment is stronger than the Fed has expected; FOMO has come back into the markets. It will be a zig-zag market until more definitive economic numbers are seen: Next up is Friday's Employment Report. The simple formula that drives markets everyday is Suypply & Demand; the flaw in passive investing: If everyone did it, the market would flat-line. The conundrum of the Bond Market: As rates rise, money flows out of stocks; differentiating between 30-day and 30-year bonds. The inversion of the Yield Curves: We have never been as inversted without certain recession to follow.SEG-1: Is the Fed Running Out of Room?SEG-2: Communication Skills; The Fed is Driving BlindSEG-3: Pivots, Pauses, & PlayboysSEG-4: The Simple Formula That Drives Markets Every DayHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AUf6WMBM2pI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Bulls Cling to Support" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtuCYEAKVzo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s-------- Our previous show is here: "What Will Jerome Powell Break Next?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hThK1DhuA54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s --------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Speak Loudly Because You Carry A Small Stick"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speak-loudly-because-you-carry-a-small-stick-------Video's referenced in this broadcast:"Raising Money Smart Kids" | Richard Rosso & Danny Ratliffhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ly-09fRehKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1---------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/8/23) Jerome Powell testifies as expected to the Senate Banking Committee, promising more rate hikes for as long as it takes to quell inflation. There is now a 70% chance of a .5% rate hike this month; terminal rate is now anticipated to reach 5.6%. The only way to bring down inflation is to create a recession. Recap of Money Smart Kids presentation; the need for 20% down. The importance of Money Scripts and money conversations with kids. Just because people can save money doesn't mean that they will. Why limit savings accounts? The Secure Act 2.0 and re-thinking retirement; too many Americans cannot afford to save; mandatory savings to start at 3%; no more "set-it-and-forget-it." Rule of thumb: Save 30% of income; if you can't you have a spending problem, not a savings problem; the financial responsibility of Boomers. Jerome Powell & Elizabeth Warren disappoint with no fireworks, Biden's budget plans for Medicare & the political ramifications of fixing welfare spending. The Debt Ceiling elephant in the room: Government spending. The Texit Bill: A Republic once more?SEG-1: Jerome Powell is Determined to Break SomethingSEG-2: Raising Money Smart Kids, Boosting Retirement SavingsSEG-3: Rethinking Retirement SavingsSEG-4: Political Ramifications for Fixing Welfare SpendingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hThK1DhuA54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Powell: More Rate Hikes Longer?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gNQ6b2DVzVM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Waiting for the Gadot Recession"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8JkXArrsFg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Bear Trap? Market Holds Critical Support"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-trap-market-holds-critical-support/-------Video's referenced in this broadcast:"Raising Money Smart Kids" | Richard Rosso & Danny Ratliffhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ly-09fRehKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1---------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHikes #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/7/23) Markets' first test of resistance in anticipation of hawkish congressional testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell; why has there been a rally in Materials and Industrials? The effect of the Inflation Reduction Act piping money into infrastructure projects; Recession is still coming, sooner or later; probably later. Market drivers this week will be Jerome Powell and Employment numbers; is a pause as good as a pivot? (No.) Volatility ahead! Powell expected to endorse 5.5% terminal rate; no consideration of lag-effect of previous interest rate hikes; the dynamics & psychology of Inflation; markets are looking for anything to support bullish narrative; why the Recession is always 6-months away; waiting on Gadot/The Gadot Recession; an event is needed to trigger; the dynamics of mortgages, interest rates, and home sales. The end of pandemic assistance; why there will always be an impoverished segment of the population; why we have more people in poverty now than before pandemic: The inflationary effects; the flaw of UBI (Universal Basic Income) exposed.SEG-1: Markets' First Test of Resistance FailsSEG-2: Jerome Powell Testimony Preview: The Dynamics & Psychology of InflationSEG-3: It's a Gadot RecessionSEG-4: Why There Will Always Be Impoverished Among UsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8JkXArrsFg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is this a Bear Trap or Still a Bear Market?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WY6DWm0gBLg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "What will Workforce Benefits of the Future Look Like?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LFBzg9c0YIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Bear Trap? Market Holds Critical Support"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-trap-market-holds-critical-support/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #BearTrap #Recession #CPI #FOMC #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InterestRates #Poverty #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/6/23) The Month of March marks the end of the Quarter, and markets will be affected by a certain amount of quarterly window dressing, this month's FOMC meeting, Friday's employment report, and the latest CPI. It's okay to be bullish with a cautionary caveat. Recession or no recession? A very different economy today, based on services instead of manufacturing, and the false devaluation of blue collar jobs; the smaller economic multiplier of service jobs; January Jobs "Creation" was really putting people back to work laid off during pandemic. There is 100% chance of Recession at some point in the future; no one knows when. How to invest in this environment? What is a Recession? Looking at Nominal GDP; Earnings estimates are currently over-valued; when recession occurs, earnings will have to decline to match economic activity. What will Workforce Benefits of the future look like? Sabbaticals for travel & Day care for parents: What about the cost? 8 workers required to generate $1-mil in revenue in 1985; now down to 2 workers in 2022.SEG-1: March Market Preview: FOMC, Employment & CPISEG-2: The Non-Recession RecessionSEG-3: How to Invest in the Current EnvironmentSEG-4: Workforce Benefits of the Future: Who Will Pay?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LFBzg9c0YIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Are Bulls In Control of Markets Now?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7wr7voNaxgM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "How to Increase Your Social Security Check by up to 25%""https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK1MpV_LFRo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #WorkerBenefits #Employment #Recession #CPI #FOMC #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/3/23) The entrenchment of higher prices: Airline prices are out of control. How much of it will stick, and what will the Fed to do next; are they behind the curve? The new benchmark for higher prices: How long will it take for inflation to cool? Maximizing your Social Security check means delaying retirement until age 70. The avoidance of being house-poor, living in Tiny Houses. The stickiness of higher rates and home prices; calling remote workers back to the office; hybridization of the work force. Realt steps to $1-million. Taking Uncle Sam out of the retirement withdrawal equation; Roth IRS's and controlling taxes in retirement.SEG-1: The Entrenchment of Higher PricesSEG-2: Maximizing Your Social SecuritySEG-3: Living in Tiny Houses - Avoiding Being House-poorSEG-4: Taking Uncle Sam Out of Retirement WithdrawalsHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK1MpV_LFRo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Make or Break Day for the Markets at 200-DMA" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2VEa4iZqzmU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Hike 50bp?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LKvT90c5yT8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SocialSecurity #Retirement #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #AirFares #TinyHouses #Housing #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/2/23) Investors should be on alert today following yesterday's program-trading driven markets; breaking through support at the 200-DMA could spur accelerated selling by the bots. When to act? Avoid knee-jerk response, and look for the selling stampede to conclude. Hopes for a Fed pause or pivot are running into reality. The foibles of making coffee; Lance's idea for a new YouTube channel; Fed Fund futures and Treasuries are predicting a half-percent rate increase at next meeting. The Fed is running out of airstrip, and a 50-bp hike would be a mistake: The previous 4.75% worth of rate increases have yet to be felt in the economy. Just because we have not yet had a recession doesn't mean we won't, and doesn't mean the economy isn't slowing down. Bank Senior Lending Officer Survey shows reticence to lend money now. There is more debt in the system than in 2007-08; 1.2% GDP with 5% interest rates is not sustainable. Dealing with the Jobs data: Government surveys vs real time data.SEG-1: Alert Day for MarketsSEG-2: Coffee & Stupid Questions; Will the Fed Hike 50-bp?SEG-3: UFO's and "No Landings"SEG-4: Dealing with the Data: Government Numbers vs RealityHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LKvT90c5yT8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Make or Break Day for the Markets at 200-DMA" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2VEa4iZqzmU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Where Did the Stimulus Go?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ipgr-zbBOoc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s-------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The No Landing Scenario and UFOs"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-no-landing-scenario-and-ufos-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JobsReport #NoLanding #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(3/1/23) Margins are narrowing between Bull & Bear markets, as the battle between Valuations and Fundamentals continues; why the Fundamentals will eventually win. We're still in a corrective market in which Valuations have not adjusted. A brief History of Housing, and reasonable expectations for home buying; the Math of Home Ownership and Supply & Demand; where people want to live, and the Electoral College; why home prices are so high; the dissatisfaction of Millennial homeowners; why NAR drives the narrative for home sales and pricing; the demonization of blue collar jobs and the benefits of renting. Why you need 20% down on a home; the influence and impact of NAR narrative: They exist to sell you a product. Champaign taste vs Beer budgets, and the financial consequences of instant gratification; the fallacies of the Financial Media; Natural Gas pricing; lowered consumer demand from higher prices and inflation; seeing the early signs of recessionary drag. Where the Stimulus Money went: The multiplier effect. SEG-1: The Battle Between Valuations & FundamentalsSEG-2: The Math of Home OwnershipSEG-3: The Influence and Impact of NAR NarrativeSEG-4: Seeing the Early Signs of Recessionary DragHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ipgr-zbBOoc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Rate Signals Say About Treasuries" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KS8sdj6u3YI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Messages From the Yield Curve"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WSfTRfacpEQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s-------Video's referenced in this broadcast:"Raising Money Smart Kids" | Richard Rosso & Danny Ratliffhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ly-09fRehKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Capitalism Is Broken If Record Profit Margins Don’t Revert"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/capitalism-is-broken-if-record-profit-margins-dont-revert/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #StimulusMoney #HomeOwnership #Fundamentals #Valuation #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/28/23) Monday's markets closed positive, but barely; consumer confidence is low but improving. The difference between stocks & bonds and yields: Stocks do not pay yields. Analysts still expect current markets to be in a trough, but the Fed is still hiking rates, and previous 4.75bp have yet to hit markets or earnings. Making the case for an earnings trough: Profit margins are still relatively high, but they don't exist in Fairyland: the basics of costs vs sales, supply vs demand dynamics: Is Capitalism broken? 32% drop in 401k-Millionairs from 2021 to 2022; only 1% of population has $1-mil+ in a 401k. Why "fixing" Social Security is political suicide; destroying 401k value in a bear market. The invasion of the feral "Super-pigs" from Canada; Vanguard shuns ESG investing; don't let politics influence investing strategy.SEG-1: How Much Risk is in the Markets?SEG-2: Supply vs Demand: Is Capitalism Broken?SEG-3: The Incredibly Shrinking 401k MillionairesSEG-4: Canadian Bacon Invasion, Don't Allow Politics to Influence Investing DecisionsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ipgr-zbBOoc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Bull Market or Bull Trap?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W3OZQr1z_Cw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Messages From the Yield Curve"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WSfTRfacpEQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Capitalism Is Broken If Record Profit Margins Don’t Revert"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/capitalism-is-broken-if-record-profit-margins-dont-revert/-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SocialSecurity #PoliticalSuicide #BullMarket #BullTrap #Capitalism #SupplyAndDemand #401kMillionaire #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/27/23) Markets are oversold; expectations for a sellable rally; futures now predict a terminal Fed rate of 5.4%; speculative attitudes are returning to the markets; messages from the Yield Curve: A history and practical primer; getting ready for Recession vs no-landing; it's not the inversion of the Yield Curve that's the signal for Recession; the signal is when the Yield Curver un-inverts (and why it happens). Is the Yield Curve wrong? The shift from GAP Earnings to Proforma Operating Earnings: Wishful thinking. Preview: The Cocaine Bear movie; Warren Buffett's stock buybacks and economic illiteracy; how they're used by companies to juice earnings; buybacks are NOT a return of capital to shareholders (that's what Dividends are for). Bill Clinton's cap on CEO pay was genesis for changing compensation to include stock options: Why CEO's boost stock price. Warren Buffett sees no better use for cash currently than in stock buybacks.SEG-1: Messages from the Yield CurveSEG-2: Yield Curve History & PrimerSEG-3: Is the Yield Curve Wrong?SEG-4: Cocaine Bear & Buffett's BuybacksHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WSfTRfacpEQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "More Concerns About Tighter Fed Policy" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjzDdMQvm7M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Tax Tips for 2022 You Can Still Use"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gdMHTr-Y240&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #YieldCurve #FederalReserve #WarrenBuffett #StockBuybacks #CEOCompensation #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/24/23) It's "Go Texas Day," with boot-buying tips for the uninitiated; The Fed's target rate has risen to north of 5%: Be prepared to "call an audible." The good news about higher interest rates: Better yields on bonds. Tax Tips for 2022 you can still use now: deductible IRA contributions, self-employment Roth; prepare to "go back" to the old tax code with higher rates. The triple-benefits of HSA's. HSA's vs FSA's; Itemizing vs Standard Deduction; the hierarchy of savings: putting enough into HSA to get the match. Target Date Fun theory vs reality; options for annuities. SEG-1: Go Texan Day & Market Commentary: Fed Target Rate RisesSEG-2: Tax Tips You Can Still Use for 2022SEG-3: HSA's vs FSA's & The Hierarchy of SavingsSEG-4: Target Date Funds Theory vs RealityHosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jon Penn, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gdMHTr-Y240&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Consolidate: What Should You Do?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zNYwjkEDPIo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The 'No-landing' Scenario is a No-go"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HA5zXenJcjU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #2022Taxes #InterestRates #HSA #FSA #Annuities #IRA #Roth #FederalReserve #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/23/23) Markets are receiving a cluster of support; not all tech companies are alike: NVIDIA vs Intel; it is critical for markets to hold support at current levels; the Fed continuing, aggressive rate hikes have yet to affect markets: Impact on futures vs the lag effect; 475-bp increases have yet ot be felt. Don't ignore Chicago Fed Activity Index: the Fed is "dancing around" financial conditions and keeping a lid on the stock market. There is now an alternative to Zero Returns = Cash. Why cash "sitting on the sidelines" isn't necessarily going back into stocks; alternatives to stocks: "Money-good Bonds." When you're betting on junk bonds, "risk-free" is a no-brainer; what the Fed wants is a "Controlled-burn" of asset prices. Bond markets are pricing-in a Fed rate above 5%.Three options: Hard-landing, Soft-Landing, or No-landing, and No-landing isn't going to happen.SEG-1: Markets' Cluster of SupportSEG-2: Why the Fed is Keeping a Lid on the Stock MarketSEG-3: Investors' Alternative to ZeroSEG-4: Why the "No Landing" Scenario is a no-goHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HA5zXenJcjU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Consolidate: What Should You Do?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zNYwjkEDPIo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Problem with Economic Data"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v21rwpoHehE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2852s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Gold Investors Are Betting on the Fed"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-investors-are-betting-on-the-fed---------Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Raising Money Smart Kids (2/23/23):https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/8516736369321/WN_u6P-EAklT0iIgAXc1ChgrA--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Inflation #StickyInflation #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/22/23) The long-awaited market correction has arrived, begging the question of whether markets can firm-up and hold levels here. Look at correction as an opportunity for portfolio rebalancing; St. Louis Fed Pres. James Bullard says interest rates need to exceed 5% to battle inflation; markets have rallied on the notion earnings have troughed, and that the worst is behind us. Bullard admits the economy is stronger than first thought, per economic data. The problem is economic data is very "laggy," and is often revised after the fact: Not a good metric for investors. The level of liquidity in markets is still high; what do the Yield Curves say? YC-reinversion is key. The Roberts' Family saga of Thump-thump the Bunny; men vs women w advanced degrees; credit score dating, and holiday rankings; market response to Bullard commentary; Walmart & Home Depot reports: consumption is decreasing; Bed Bath & Bodyworks; Jim Cramer's Six Things that Need to Happen before the sell-off can end; why buy bonds? Pay off your mortgage with your 401-k? No. How to get better yields on cash.SEG-1: Correction Day has ComeSEG-2: When the Economy is Stronger Than First ThoughtSEG-3: Thump-thump the Bunny; James Bullard commentarySEG-4: Pre-market Commentary; Jim Cramer's Six ThingsSEG-4B: Why Invest in Bonds Now?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v21rwpoHehE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2852s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Don't Chase Stocks Quite Yet" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oxcyo-tqt4I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Is Sticky Inflation Entrenched in Economy?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ucqByxZmSPs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Gold Investors Are Betting on the Fed"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-investors-are-betting-on-the-fed---------Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Raising Money Smart Kids (2/23/23):https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/8516736369321/WN_u6P-EAklT0iIgAXc1ChgrA--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Inflation #StickyInflation #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/21/23) Is a recession in the works with the Fed still intent on raising rates? Our word of the day is "Recessionista;" what is the Fed going to break? M2 Money Supply as a % of GDP indicates liquidity still flowing through the economy, but declining. The Roberts' Family Saga: Dead Rabbit. No landing scenario, no recession, despite the data indicators: Will remaining M2 delay recession? What IS a Recession? The economy is still on monetary life support; challenge coming from pulled-forward consumption. Why betting on negative market returns could be painful; keys are timing and depth. No landing, no recession? What if the answer is, "both?" and recession doesn't occur until 2024? The Fed's big concern is that inflation is already entrenched in economy: sticky inflation.SEG-1: What Will the Fed Break?SEG-2: What is a Recession--Are We There, Yet?SEG-3: No Landing or No Recession: What If the Answer Is, Both?SEG-4: Is Inflation Already Entrenched in Economy?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ucqByxZmSPs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What To Do About Stubborn Inflation" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I4mPIKm7urQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Overly Complicated Portfolios & The Scam of the Century"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vblf0B-zubI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1---------Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Raising Money Smart Kids (2/23/23):https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/8516736369321/WN_u6P-EAklT0iIgAXc1ChgrA--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #FederalReserve #Inflation #StickyInflation #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/17/23) Will markets lose the ongoing rally? Inflation remains sticky; job mobility and dynamics; what happened to Goldman's employee coffee service? Measuring economic performance: The Buffett Underwear Indicator; insufficient retirement savings vs the retirement clock: How to play catch-up. Market/economic date preview: Retail sales report: Should markets price-in a half-point rate increase next time? The 60/40 portfolio is stil in vogue, but the roles have switched. Financial Infidelity recap: Money scripts & spending philosophies; financial dating advice: What's your credit score? New TV reality dating show idea: FICO Island. SEG-1: Will We Lose the Rally?SEG-2: The Underwear Indicator & Catching Up for RetirementSEG-3: Should Markets Price-in a Half-point Hike?SEG-4: Financial Infidelity & Money Advice for DatingHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoEfQNOmBAE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Watch for the Lag-effect of Interest Rates" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVzMd8cHEPs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Buyers Continue to Move Into Markets"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bUizW6SCn0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ---------Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Raising Money Smart Kids (2/23/23):https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/8516736369321/WN_u6P-EAklT0iIgAXc1ChgrA--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #FederalReserve #RetirementSavings #CreditReport #FICOscore #FinancialInfidelity #MoneyScript #UnderwearIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/16/23) Buyers are consistently moving into the markets, and there are two ways this can go: Trade sideways, or price declines. The Citibank Surprise Index indicates optimism may weaken; that anticipated recession is not being picked up in economic data...yet. Markets remain in rising trendline; a corrective process is needed. The Economic Conundrum: Good numbers vs Fed desire to quell economic growth leading to more inflation; there is concern this time economy is severely leveraged, and impact of rate hikes on debt service. Still to be seen is impact of higher corporate tax (15%) on earnings. Markets continue to open weak but finish strong. How much remaining economic octane is hold-over from pandemic stimulus? M-2 is still a high percentage of GDP. What if Recession is delayed until 2024 as a result of the lag-effect? Why should the Fed consider lowering interest rates if the economy is doing so well? The odds of increasing Quantitative Tightening are going up. Why does the Fed need a recession? The Fed needs consumers to stop spending. Raquel Welch passes away at 82; Markets and Investor convictions: Markets are not paying attention to the Fed or economic data. The FOMO, YOLO Risk-on appetite continues, right or wrong--it is what it is. What if markets continue upwards and are then hit with downturn--possibility of 30% loss.SEG-1: Buyers Continue to Move Into MarketsSEG-2: Economic Conundrum: Good Economic Numbers vs. Fed Desire to Quell EconomySEG-3: What if Recession is Delayed Until 2024?SEG-4: Raquel Welch & Investor ConvictionsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bUizW6SCn0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Watch for the Lag-effect of Interest Rates" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVzMd8cHEPs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "No End to Fed Rate Hikes in Sight"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3I6xtV7j-0U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s---------Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Raising Money Smart Kids (2/23/23):https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/8516736369321/WN_u6P-EAklT0iIgAXc1ChgrA--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Janet Yellen Should Focus On HOPE"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/janet-yellen-should-focus-on-hope-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EconomicConundrum #Recession #RetailSales #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #CPI #RisingValuations #DecliningEarnings #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/15/23) [NOTE Today's show was recorded-live prior to this morning's release of January Retail Sales report showing a hotter-than-expected 3% increase for January.] Big inflation news in January CPI Report, with Shelter increasing 8%; there are no signals that the Fed will be halting its interest rate increase campaign anytime soon. Markets think we're at the worst-point ever, only improvement from here. There is a disconnect between market sentiment and logic. How and where to spend the money accumulated for Retirement? Switching from accumulation to distribution mode; planning for the unexpected; the importance of a financial vulnerability cushion; the value in "practicing" for retirement. Lance's Rant #1 on making portfolios overly-complicated, and diversification mistakes. Lance's Rant #2 on the true nature of Stock Buybacks and the total scam of Carbon Credits. Poor people don't care about climate change; they can't afford carbon credits anyway; Climate Works' carbon "scrubber" vs trees.SEG-1: No End in Sight to Fed Rate HikesSEG-2: Accumulation vs Distribution: Where to Spend the Money?SEG-3: Lance's Rant #1: Overly Complicated PortfoliosSEG-4: Lance's Rant #2: Stock Buybacks & Carbon CreditsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3I6xtV7j-0U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Has the Rally Peaked?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g9BkdzIUVyE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Where Do Markets Go From Here?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xtjUNjzJ0Zg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2824s---------Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Raising Money Smart Kids (2/23/23):https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/8516736369321/WN_u6P-EAklT0iIgAXc1ChgrA--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Janet Yellen Should Focus On HOPE"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/janet-yellen-should-focus-on-hope-------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #RetailSales #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #CPI #RisingValuations #DecliningEarnings #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/14/23) [NOTE Today's show was recorded-live prior to this morning's release of CPI clocking-in at a hotter-than-expected .5% for January.] Some sage advice to investors on this Valentine's Day: Don't Forget! Why Arbor Day outpaces Father's Day spending; CPI Preview as market liquidity declines, market activity is on the rise; the divergence between market expectation and Fed intention on rates. Oscar Meyer Weinermobile vandalism; Car Chases & UFO's; the difference between a Fed pause and Fed rate cuts. Overall inflation trend is lower as stimulus funds are expended through economy; Earnings for the remainder of 2023: estimates have declined 17%, earnings expected to have bottomed, and are expected to improve with additional consumption; an improving economy flies in the face of Fed planning (and anticipated recession); Ottergrams for Valentines Day; has the Market gone too far, too fast? What would kill the "Fast & Furious" franchise? EV's. Was this Quarter the bottom for earnings?SEG-1: Valentines Investing Advice, CPI PreviewSEG-2: Oscar Meyer, Car Chases, & UFO's; Difference Between Rate Pause and Rate CutSEG-3: Wrapping Earnings SeasonSEG-4: Ottergrams, Squirrels; have Markets Gone Too Far, Too Fast?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xtjUNjzJ0Zg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2824s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Futures Pointing Higher Ahead of CPI Release" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xtjUNjzJ0Zg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2823s-------- Our previous show is here: "What to Do if You Bet Against the Chiefs"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cs-CGDYqdYw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2869s---------Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Raising Money Smart Kids (2/23/23):https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/8516736369321/WN_u6P-EAklT0iIgAXc1ChgrA--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #ValentinesDay #EarningsSeason #CPI #RisingValuations #DecliningEarnings #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/13/23) Aliens are landing, apparently, and markets are improving, despite what we may thing; the magnet for the market is the 50-DMA. As earnings season begins to wrap, the next CPI Report looms: January Credit Card use is higher; the three measures of inflation. Super Bowl anthems; Investor Convictions on thesis of market recession and dollar collapse. The problem with conviction is the issue of recency bias; anything other than that with which we agree is deemed "fake news." What do markets think they know that you do not? When markets do something counter to your convictions, you lose money. Chiefs win the Super Bowl, and bet losers can claim their losses with IRS; convictions should not make us lose perspective; the oxymoron of rising valuations as earnings decline; have earnings fallen enough to accommodate a slowing economic environment? Companies are forecasting things are going to get worse; M-2 (Velocity of Money) is falling, but still high as a % of GDP, meaning there's still plenty in the system.SEG-1: Aliens are Landing, Markets are ImprovingSEG-2: Super Bowl Anthems & Market ConvictionSEG-3: Betting on the Big Game & IRS Deductions; Convictions & RecessionSEG-4: Marty the Runaway Robot & Paying more for Declining EarningsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cs-CGDYqdYw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2869s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Will Markets Break Support at 4,000?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-YyUJNXIg8c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "What Will Your First Day of Retirement Look Like?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VanjFbZp9Ic&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2673s---------Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Raising Money Smart Kids (2/23/23):https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/8516736369321/WN_u6P-EAklT0iIgAXc1ChgrA--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SuperBowl #BettingLosses #InvestorConviction #IRS #EarningsSeason #CPI #RisingValuations #DecliningEarnings #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/10/23) Markets are stuck in the muck; the wage-price spiral Jerome Powell is afraid of; the labor force participation rate is serious; Don't Fight the Fed. Planning for pet expenses; pet insurance; the ugly truth behind cash sweeps: Your Money Market Fund may be cheating you! Your First Day of Retirement: importance of staying busy; dealing with the heightened sensitivity to spending; importance of goal setting IN retirement. The Reality of Retirement: Have a purpose, have a schedule; how to avoid becoming invisible. Life in the Villages & The Loofah Code.SEG-1: Walking in the Muck: Don't FIght the Fed.SEG-2: Pet Expenses & Pet Insurance; Beware Cash SweepsSEG-3: The First Day of RetirementSEG-4: Retirement Realities & The Loofah CodeHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VanjFbZp9Ic&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2673s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "MACD Sell Signal in Sight" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i1KdEl22hJI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Where Will Fed Rate Hikes Be Worst Felt?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=epfUzaWx2mE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2669s --------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Retirement Transition Plan: Day One"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-retirement-transition-plan-day-one/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Retirement #RetirementTransition #RetirementPlanning #PetExpenses #PetInsurance #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/10/23) Markets are stuck in the muck; the wage-price spiral Jerome Powell is afraid of; the labor force participation rate is serious; Don't Fight the Fed. Planning for pet expenses; pet insurance; the ugly truth behind cash sweeps: Your Money Market Fund may be cheating you! Your First Day of Retirement: importance of staying busy; dealing with the heightened sensitivity to spending; importance of goal setting IN retirement. The Reality of Retirement: Have a purpose, have a schedule; how to avoid becoming invisible. Life in the Villages & The Loofah Code.SEG-1: Walking in the Muck: Don't FIght the Fed.SEG-2: Pet Expenses & Pet Insurance; Beware Cash SweepsSEG-3: The First Day of RetirementSEG-4: Retirement Realities & The Loofah CodeHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VanjFbZp9Ic&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2673s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "MACD Sell Signal in Sight" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i1KdEl22hJI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Where Will Fed Rate Hikes Be Worst Felt?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=epfUzaWx2mE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2669s --------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Retirement Transition Plan: Day One"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-retirement-transition-plan-day-one/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Retirement #RetirementTransition #RetirementPlanning #PetExpenses #PetInsurance #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/9/23) Google's AI debut was marred by a fact-checking gaffe, and Alphabet stock plunged 8%; the CNN Fear & Greed Index is overwhelmingly greedy; the conundrum of technical bullishness vs fundamental bearishness; parsing Powell's pontifications vs competing market narratives; the ugly truth behind the January Jobs report: No new full-time jobs have been added since May '22. Q1 earnings have missed in aggregate with a 20% decline from estimates. Remember, earnings are about the past. Google AI debut bust; technical bullishnes vs fundamental bearishness; Jerome Powell: Employment Report underscores need for further rate hikes; there's no evidence of any rate cuts coming; we're still waiting for the effects of previous 450-bp rate increases to impact the economy; credit cards will be hardest hit. With short term, bearish fundamentals and bullish long-term technical signals, where's the best place to invest? Passive vs Active investing: What's the "audible" call? The case for high-growth companies.SEG-1: The Truth Behind January Jobs ReportSEG-2: The Truth About Q1 Earnings ReportSEG-3: The Biggest Impact of Fed Rate Hikes to Be FeltSEG-4: Passive vs Active: Where Will the Money Flow?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=epfUzaWx2mE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2669s --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "MACD Sell Signal in Sight" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i1KdEl22hJI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Timing the Markets and Getting Back to Even"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S65SAjXbwEE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2674s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Turmoil Lurks Around The Corner"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/turmoil-lurks-around-the-corner--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #InterestRates #RatePain #JobsReport #EarningsReport #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #GoogleAI #Alphabet #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/8/23) Whose comments yesterday were more impactful for you: Joe Biden's SOTU address or Jerome Powell's post-Fed clarification speech? Markets loved the latter, and on a weekly basis, the bullish trend continues as economic data becomes "less bad." Fair warning, fellas, that Valentine's Day is approaching; prepare accordingly. Which is more effective for investing: Time-IN the markets, or timing the markets? The philosophy of investing, and why we do; Timing the Market defined; the problem with "getting back to even;" Compounding Capital and what happens when you lose; what makes the best client?SEG-1: Jeers a & Cheers for SOTU Address; Jerome Powell's post-Fed speechSEG-2: Valentines & Bullies | Time IN the Market vs Timing the MarketSEG-3: Why You Never Really Get "Back to Even"SEG-4: Compounding Capital; The Best ClientsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S65SAjXbwEE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2674s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Time for the Ten Year Treasury?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tBzrWS22JUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "So Far No Signs of a Pending Crash"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gCZLCuWx5I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #JeromePowell #MarketTiming #CompoundingCapital #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #Markets #Money #Investing
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw(2/6/23) President Joe Biden delivers his second State of the Union Address: Will he touch on Inflation (and whose responsibility is that)? Will Fed Chairman Jerome Powell correct misperceptions about his comments on Monetary Conditions? What are possible market outcomes? So far, no signs of imminent crash. Market Technicals will give signals of what is to come; why it's good more investors are expecting a "soft landing" vs Recession; Jim Rickards & John Hussman: Betting on valuations that aren't there. How to counter-balance negativity and optimism. Technicals drive short-term markets; fundamentals drive long-term. Chipotle's Report from The World's Most Expensive Burrito; wrapping up most of S&P reporting this week.SEG-1: State of the Union Preview: Who's Really Responsible for Inflation?SEG-2: Technicals Say No Crash ImminentSEG-3: Market Technicals Signal What is to ComeSEG-4: Technicals vs Fundamentals for The World's Most Expensive BurritoHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gCZLCuWx5I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Time for the Ten Year Treasury?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=74nZ8bo0epc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1-------- Our previous show is here: "Will Low Unemployment Cancel the Fed's Pause?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Penlpm_WB_s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Turmoil Lurks Around The Corner"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/turmoil-lurks-around-the-corner--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #FedPause #InterestRates #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #John Hussman #JimRickards #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/6/23) The current market is not unlike that ill-fated Chinese balloon shot out of US skies over the weekend: Markets are over-inflated with insufficient technical "lift" (January Jobs report) to sustain current prices. The problem with last month's "promising" numbers is that they're subject to massive revisions. Low employment means the Fed is nowhere near a pause, much less a pivot, and markets are now predicting two additional Fed rate hikes this year. The Saga of The Roberts' Family Weekend Drama; why Jim Rickards' bearishness and worst-case scenario drama will never happen: Economics adjust and markets price-in the outcome. Biding in real estate: There is no housing crash coming; cash is cushioning end-of-the-world scenarios. Zero-DTE & Investors focusing on when the Fed may pause; fundamentals do not support current market optimism; Apple, Meta reports are of poor quality. Beyond Beyond Meat and YouGov poll on percentage of population who are vegan: Does not support business model. Valuations matter; it's easy to buy, but don't forget to sell.SEG-1: Is the Market Like a Chinese Balloon?SEG-2: Family Drama & Jim Rickards' Gloom & DoomSEG-3: The Worst Possible Outcome?SEG-4: Beyond Beyond Meat & ValuationsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Penlpm_WB_s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is the Market About to Be Shot-down?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=to8exkU-sMw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=6s--------Our previous show is here:"The Rothification of Retirement Savings"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9pd6YYK6zoQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Turmoil Lurks Around The Corner"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/turmoil-lurks-around-the-corner--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #FedPause #InterestRates #ChineseBalloon #FOMO #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/3/23) Markets have returned in one month what they lost in 2022: If you think markets will continue to return 9%/mo. this year, you're delusional; dreams of a soft-landing: Factual or fantasy? Is AARK the New NASDAQ? Dealing with sticky inflation at 4.5 - 5%; should the Fed's realistic inflation target be 3%? We're not missing out with our barbell strategy. What would Cathie Wood do? The froth in Roth's, and the "Rothification" of retirement savings. How the Secure Act 2.0 solidifies Roth's as a mainstay of retirement savings. Candid Coffee review & preview; 529's and Roth rules.SEG-1: The Dream of a Soft LandingSEG-2: Dealing with Sticky InflationSEG_3: WWCWD - What Would Cathie Wood Do?SEG-4: The Froth About RothHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mq6liz5XRdY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2733s --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "How to Trade a Goldilocks Market" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YAawFZBurrM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"How to Invest in a Goldilocks Economy"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9pd6YYK6zoQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #StickyInflation #JeromePowell #InterestRates #SofLanding #Roth #Rothification #CathieWood #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/2/23) Fed Chair Jerome Powell is more concerned about "disinflation" than financial conditions, as evidenced by the Fed's quarter-point rate increase, and shift in stance on inflation; subsequent market upside may be limited to 100-points. Disinflation vs Deflation. Ground Hog Day again, and again, and again...Fed Meeting recap: The Fed got it wrong about "transitory," and doesn't want to be wrong again. Three choices for the Fed: Hike, Hold, or Drop rates. Measuring inflation and sticky prices; how to trade markets that are not predicting recession: What if the markets are wrong? Goldilocks is the preferred forecast; theme for the year will be "Audible;" P. Phil's track record (40% correct); what market sectors are likely to perform better in a "Goldilocks" environment? Growth vs Value stocks; is the market skewing more passive vs active investing?SEG-1: The Fed's Big ShiftSEG-2: Ground Hog Day & Fed Meeting RecapSEG-3: P. Phil's Prediction; Is the Market Wrong About Goldilocks?SEG-4: P. Phil's Track Record, Market Sectors to Seek in Current ClimateHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9pd6YYK6zoQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "How to Trade a Goldilocks Market" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YAawFZBurrM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"How Hawkish Will Jerome Powell Be?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RrYLoQDK41g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to SimpleVisor:https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #HawkishFed #InterestRates #GoldilocksMarket #GroundHogDay #PunxsutawneyPhil #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/1/23) It's Fed Day--just how hawkish will Jerome Powell be at this afternoon's presser? We review a brief history of financial conditions that have driven past Fed decisions. One risk to keep in mind: None of the previous Fed rate hikes have yet to show up in the financial data, and even markets are operating ahead of reality. Markets are currently behaving in a fashion that historically would be considered bullish. What you should know about moving your retirement money when you move to a new job; 401k vs IRA? Lance and Danny duke it out. More sage advice for buying eggs on the down-low; How to avoid penalties for fund withdrawals before retirement age. McDonald's Happy Meals for adults...with adult toys?SEG-1: Fed Day: How Hawkish Will Jerome Powell Be?SEG-2: Markets Are Doing Things Historically Considered BullishSEG-3: Moving Jobs & Retirement AccountsSEG-4: Buying Eggs & Retiring Without PenaltyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RrYLoQDK41g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Bullish or Bearish: Treating the Market for What it Is " is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KeVgfYjzUKo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"It's Pre-Fed Meeting Day"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XArJkHRlfTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2677s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #HawkishFed #InterestRates #BullMarket #BearMarket #ReitrementAccount #401k #IRA #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/31/23) It's pre-Fed Meeting Day, and all eyes on Jerome Powell's comments tomorrow: Markets are predicting a much lower interest rate increase than the Fed has said. "Don't fight the Fed" has been thrown out the window. FOMO now is the fear of missing the market bottom. The Fed's challenge is navigating the economy without going too far and causing recession. Markets are anticipating the Fed will give up the fight. The US Dollar is not going away; look for a Dollar rally; how it will impact Gold, Commodities, and International Markets. The Dollar provides liquidity, stability, and rule of law vs. Bitcoin, which is too volatile.The Houston housing market continues to defy national trends; Lance is outbid on a house on the market only three-days (it had a chicken coop out back!) The fact and fiction behind raising chickens for fun and profit; the real impact of inflation.SEG-1: What if the Fed Makes a Move Too Soon?SEG-2: Markets Hope the Fed Will Give up the FightSEG-3: Dealing With the DollarSEG-4: Buying Houses & Raising ChickensHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XArJkHRlfTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2677s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is the Dollar Set to Rally Again?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Li9UTRlvrM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuiwiJLZ3oP_26MezKj1bhsu--------Our previous show is here:"Will the Fed Disappoint on Wednesday?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ukCFBGZaMGA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Inflation #FederalReserve #USDollar #InterestRates #Housing #RealEstate #ChickenCoops #RaisingChickens #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/30/23) As January comes to a positive close, investors face a wall of worry: A cluster of moving averages are trending upward, a near-record level of cash in money markets, and what if the Fed cuts rates in July? Ah-ha, but what if the Fed raises rates this week by a half-point instead of a quarter?? What will Jerome Powell say? Philadelphian's climbing greased poles to celebrate Eagles' advance to Super Bowl 57; Louisiana Senator John Kennedy's advice on the debt crisis; the big risk to markets this week is what the Fed will say after its Wednesday meeting. Earnings Season rolls-on with typical results from lowered bars to exceed. Key question: What is the quality of earnings? Stocks w missed earnings are doing better than the over-achievers. The key inflation gauge = Money Supply (M2). Monetary Velocity = M2/GDP: How fast is money moving through the economy? Many pundits anticipating a "soft landing," vs making the case for recession. Greenspan: Wages and prices continue to rise, but at a slower pace.SEG-1: Anticipating Jerome Powell's FedSEG-2: Greased Light Poles & Emergency Measures to Pay BillsSEG-3: What Really Matters this Earnings SeasonSEG-4: Money Velocity & Prescient PunditsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ukCFBGZaMGA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Bullish Despite Negative Signs" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0QES_TCZSUs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Is Working From Home Really More Productive?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqqiabMxRHc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2672s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Inflation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #WallofWorry #M2 #MoneySupply #VelocityOfMoney #SenJohnKennedy #DebtCeiling #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/27/23) Oil is the new Tech; is the Fed making a mistake with .25bp rate increases instead of .50? Is this still the 'Year of the Bond'? Richard Rosso's Davos Song; Medicare Advantage messiness; Tiny Homes on the On-Ramp; living outside the city and Texas Hill Country land prices; Working remote and productivity; termination by email; work from home time savings; "Transitory" returns to the media vernacular; inflation, eggs prices, and playset chicken coops; inflation & wage growth w little productivity.SEG-1: Is This Still the 'Year of the Bond'? SEG-2: The Song of Davos; Medicare Advantage MessinessSEG-3: Work From Home Pro's & Con'sSEG-4: Inflation & Wage Growth w Little ProductivityHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqqiabMxRHc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2672s--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Bullish Despite Negative Signs" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gUnNXjBj1k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"The Unintended (Awful) Consequences of ETF Investing"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1czNgdAhPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Contrarian Trade. Everyone Remains Bearish"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/contrarian-trade-everyone-remains-bearish/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #WorkFromHome #Productivity #BondMarket #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Inflation #MedicareAdvantage #TinyHomes #Davos #WorldEconomicForum #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/26/23) What happened to the Market selloff? If the Fed goes "dovish" next week, the subsequent rally will be ON, and you'll have only one chance to catch it. The challenges of stock-picking in 2023 because of passive indexing. The conundrum of market volatility and the VIX "Fear Gauge;" the Zero-DTE activity surge is not measured in the VIX. The danger in next week's Fed Meeting: What Powell says afterwards. Rate hikes are expected to peter-out by May; market evolution and value investing: stretching the meaning of "Value." Unintended consequences of ETF investing is market distortion. Can a shift to more conservative portfolio's improve valuations?SEG-1: Will the Fed Go Dovish Next Week?SEG-2: Zero-DTE & the Conundrum of Market VolatilitySEG-3: Will Rate Hikes Peter-out by May?SEG-4: The Unintended Consequences of ETF InvestingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA --------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4rvzbZw9NEg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is the Dollar Over Sold" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o7GfNgRcmZQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"How to Pay Zero in Taxes Without Cheating"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pxgz5Gzz9Tc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Passive Value Investors Are Not Value Investors"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/passive-value-investors-are-not-value-investors--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #ETFInvesting #ValueInvesting #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InterestRates #DovishFed #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/25/23) What happens at Microsoft following this week's earnings report will be very telling: Pay attention to the outlook commentary, not so much the numbers: are companies pricing-in a soft-landing vs Recession? Markets tend to "trough" 6-9 months before companies' earnings do; Corruption in Ukraine: War is profitable, peace is not. Layoffs are expanding beyond the Tech sector; the aftermath of over-hiring during pandemic. How to pay less in taxes; filing early vs amended returns; Venmo, Pay Pal 1099-k's, and paying taxes on side-hustles. How to pay zero taxes without cheating; why many have stopped working and are now "working" the system. States w highest no-income benefits. Cali is chasing taxes to Texas. Buzz Aldrin takes Bride #5 at age 93; Carson's Exes; planning ahead with proper account types; The NYSE Glitch; ChatGPT will change the world.SEG-1: Planning for "Soft Landing," Not RecessionSEG-2: Layoffs Expand; How to Pay Less TaxesSEG-3: How to Pay Zero Taxes Without CheatingSEG-4: Buzz Aldrin's Marriage at 93, NYSE Glitch, & ChatGPT will Change the WorldHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP --------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pxgz5Gzz9Tc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Where Does the Dollar Go From Here?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8m_smnXj8Ec&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Carbon Credits Are the Scam of the Century"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1czNgdAhPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=501s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #IncomeTax #ZeroTax #Microsoft #MSFT #SoftLanding #Recession #BuzzAldrin #ChatGPT #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/24/23) There's too much bearishness in the markets, which reminds us of a lyric from Loverboy, "Everyone's watching to see what you will do..." Markets have traded sideways since June 2022. Earnings Season is underway in earnest; what companies say is more important than the numbers they report; The WEF: It's really all about keeping the Rich rich; offsetting effects of private jet travel by buying carbon credits, the scam of the century. What if we replace income tax and the IRS with a National Sales Tax? The reality of corporate taxes, and who really pays them. Why Bill Gates is investing in Farmland. The Contrarian Trade: Everyone is bearish; Twitter poll: 75% say markets will be as is in 2023...or lower. Bob Farrell's Ten Investment Rules, #9: When all the experts and forecasts agree, something else is going to happen. When Mattress Mac makes a bet.SEG-1: The "Loverboy" MarketSEG-2: Carbon Credits and National Sales TaxSEG-3: Why Bill Gates Buys FarmlandSEG-4: The Contrarian TradeHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO --------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1czNgdAhPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Bullish Despite Negative Signs" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gUnNXjBj1k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Why Small Businesses Are More Optimistic"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mGWC75wV3nY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Contrarian Trade. Everyone Remains Bearish"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/contrarian-trade-everyone-remains-bearish/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CarbonCredits #NationalSalesTax #Davos #WorldEconomicForum #ESG #BillGates #BobFarrell #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/23/23) Despite a Fed focused on hiking rates beyond 5%, Treasury Markets are calling for a different scenario, which could result in a softer approach by the FOMC. What is the impact on Google, Microsoft, and Bing from ChatGPT? Markets are forming bottoms with higher lows. What's the linkage between increasing middle-aged suicides and not going to church? what happens with a negative view and no hope. NFISB survey: why business expectations are improving; how bad will recession really be? The Debt Ceiling showdown this week & the $1Trillion coin: the issue of default is ludicrous. The problem with minting more money: Inflationing Inflation (what was the original intent of a debt ceiling?) LNG and Climate Change: Carbon Credits are the modern-day equivalent of Catholic Indulgences; ESG's: Virtue is great until you get to the bottom line. Preview of our next rant: The Effect of Income Tax on Corporations, and who really pays.SEG-1: Managing Expectations: Treasury Market vs the FedSEG-2: The Risk in One-sided BetsSEG-3: Debt Ceiling Showdown vs $1-Trillion CoinSEG-4: Carbon Credits & Catholic IndulgencesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO --------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mGWC75wV3nY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Will Markets Break Above the Downtrend?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zn6PzGI3PhM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Digesting the Secure Act 2.0"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoxfL-yp3Tc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=771s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Treasury Bonds FAQ:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-bonds-faq"The “Pain Trade” Is Higher For Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-for-now/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #DebtCeiling #InterestRates #RateHikes #Recession #Inflation #NFISB #CarbonCredits #ESG #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/19/23) The Fed Whisperer says there are more rate hikes coming, despite the weight of inflation on markets & the economy. Retail Sales in December were off more than 1% (and 70% of the economy is consumer-driven). Stil to come will be the recessionary effect on earnings, as well as the lag effect of rate hikes. Debt Ceiling Deadline: There will be no default; the Crypto crunch; meanwhile, the same Fed rhetoric: More Rate Hikes to come. When will the Fed stall, and for how long, before the "pivot?" Where to invest as the Fed continues? The Value of the US Dollar: A weaker dollar is better for Commodity purchases; bonds and stocks are pricing-in a Goldilocks environment; stocks vs ETF's? The issue of volatility is what hampers Crypto-currency; the Yen and Yuan swing +/- 2% in one day! Gold vs Dollar theories.SEG-1: The Fed Whisperer: More Rate Hikes ComingSEG-2: Why There Will Be No DefaultSEG-3: Where to Invest as the Fed Continues Rate HikesSEG-4: Is the End of the Dollar Impossible?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WRBozglgA_Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Has Inflation Already Been Beaten?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HxKWW2vFu7U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"ETF's vs Stocks: Where are the Investing Opportunities this Year?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UkOoIAE7EV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Treasury Bonds FAQ:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-bonds-faq"The “Pain Trade” Is Higher For Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-for-now/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #USDollar #InterestRates #RateHikes #Recession #Inflation #InvestingOpportunities #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/18/23) Markets are doing exactly the opposite of what the Federal Reserve would like, creating an investor dichotomy: Investors are optimistic, despite worrisome economics; earnings and outlooks are weaker. The "new" 60/40 Portfolio; the Bank of Japan's economic theories clash with reality; what's the possible effect on oil from China's GDP "results?" Deciding between Stocks and ETF's in a volatile market; College classes for stock picking are teaching gabling, not investing; financial literacy in Florida; new math vs old math and metric cars. Where are the opportunities for investors this year? China's Demographic Challenge; some "non-electable" solutions for Social SecuritySEG-1: Investor Dichotomy: Markets Defy the FedSEG-2: BOJ Economic Theory vs RealitySEG-3: Stocks vs ETF's, Financial Literacy, Math, & CarsSEG-4a: Where Are Investing Opportunities this year;SEG-4b: China's Demographic ChallengeSEG-4c: What's Wrong w Social Security?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: youtube.com/watch?v=UkOoIAE7EV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Futures Pointing Higher this Morning," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kzyZrpSH4Mo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"The Truth About the Debt Ceiling"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uAZsLKX8boA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Treasury Bonds FAQ:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-bonds-faq"The “Pain Trade” Is Higher For Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-for-now/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #InvestingOpportunities #FinancialEducation #BankOfJapan #Demographics #ChinaGDP #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/17/23) Markets continue to rally despite the Fed's intentions; will the next FOMC Meeting spell the last of the Fed's rate hikes? Raising the Debt Ceiling (hey, why even have one??) vs government shutdown, and why that wouldn't be such a bad thing, really; the pain trade and statistical precedent; the truth behind government debt and the political kabuki theatre that is the Debt Ceiling argument. Again. Watch for accounting tricks as Big Banks report quarter to quarter: What happens to loan loss reserves when they're not as bad as predicted? Why we call it "millennial" earnings season: Lowering the bar to beat, and participation trophies all around.SEG-1: Will the Next FOMC Meeting Set the Last Rate Hike?SEG-2: The Pain TradeSEG-3: Debt Ceiling & Political Kabuki TheatreSEG-4: Millennial Earnings SeasonHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uAZsLKX8boA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The Pain Trade is Higher," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dewNN-MUh68&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"The 118th Congress: A Return to the Basics?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N58UFyUmhjI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The “Pain Trade” Is Higher For Now"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-for-now/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #PainTrade #FOMC #InterestRates #PoliticalKabukiTheatre #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/13/23) "At the end, all we are are our stories:" A deep-dive into the process of starting and completing an Estate Plan. It's not for you, it's for your family. Bank earnings & interest rates; what's parked in your financial garage? The lives & deaths of the rich & famous: Jeff Beck, Lisa Marie Presley, Aretha Franklin's estate (non)planning: How to achieve immortality. What about your online legacy? Prince Harry's astounding book sales; The basics of Estate Planning: How to begin? The Best Toys in childhood: Appliance boxes. Investors' regrets from 2022: the January Fakeout. Inflation will be "sticky" for a while. The problem of investing in Crypto: What are the fundamentals?SEG-1: Bank Earnings, Estate PlanningSEG-2: What's Parked in Your Financial Garage?SEG-3: Prince Harry & Estate Plan BasicsSEG-4: Investors' Regrets from 2022Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N58UFyUmhjI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2--------The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Today's CPI Print Means," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NwSJhlnAXzc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Anticipating CPI and the Fed's Reaction"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=godP5FLO3sU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s --------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Three Paths for 2023"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/three-paths-for-2023"The Lag Effect Of The Fiscal Pig & Economic Python"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lag-effect/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #EstatePlanning #InvestorRegrets #JanuaryFakeout #PrinceHarry #JanetYellen #JeffBeck #LisaMariePresley #ArethaFranklin #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/12/23) A positive start to January completes a bullish trifecta for markets, including a modest Santa Claus rally and negative returns for 2022. Anticipation of today's CPI print (clocking in with a 6.5% increase over last year, but a 0.1% decrease from the prior month) sets the stage for the Fed's next move...and markets' response. The Fed wants to see a trend towards 2% inflation. Why a pivot is different from a pause. There are three potential responses by the Fed. What about a "soft landing?" Why would the Fed cut rates if things are "fine?" The two factors of inflation; factors driving commodity prices; where do investors go next? Be prepared for an "audible" call, because 'crazy' happens all the time. Defining "Value:" trading cheap. Where to invest in case of Recession: comparing McDonald's to our 'mystery company' (Amazon); understanding Value & value-traps. The dark side of ETF's.SEG-1: The Financial Trifecta vs What the Fed Wants to SeeSEG-2: A Pivot is Different from a PauseSEG-3: What About a "Soft Landing?"SEG-4: Where to Invest in Case of Recession?Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=godP5FLO3sU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s --------Today's installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Today's CPI Print Means," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NwSJhlnAXzc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"How the IRS is Helping You Cope with Inflation"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JjaN_zvTl40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Three Paths for 2023"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/three-paths-for-2023"The Lag Effect Of The Fiscal Pig & Economic Python"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lag-effect/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/11/23) Fed Head Jerome Powell's expected speech in Sweden Tuesday underwhelmed on content, creating impetus for markets to rally; think: Why would the Fed cut rates now if things are "fine"? The new Congress is considering de-funding all those additional IRS Agents; meanwhile, the IRS is helping cope with Inflation by raising the standard deduction: Do you know your effective tax rate? Who really pays taxes...and who doesn't? Why the US has the highest rate of wealth redistribution. How much does it take to be "rich?" How the Secure Act 2.0 helps. Healthcare Expenses in Retirement vs. being rich: How to hedge for healthcare; the theory vs reality of Term Life Insurance; Inflation hits Guinness prices.SEG-1: Jerome Powell's Nothing-burgerSEG-2: The 118th Congress & How IRS is Helping Cope w InflationSEG-3: What Does it Take to Be Rich?SEG-4: How to Hedge for Healthcare in RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JjaN_zvTl40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2668s--------Our new feature, Before the Bell: "Why Markets Could Rally Today," is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=69Os8fdH8oY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuiwiJLZ3oP_26MezKj1bhsu--------Our previous show is here:"Reverting to pre-Obamain Rules in Congress"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PuzcZVPecjc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1903s --------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Lag Effect Of The Fiscal Pig & Economic Python"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lag-effect/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #IRS #JeromePowell #InterestRates #Inflation #Recession #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/10/23) As goes January, so goes the year on Wall St. Will Fed Chair Jerome Powell disappoint investors with this week's presentation? A correction with no more stimulus should be no surprise, but it's not the end of the world, either. As the stimulus bolus works its way through the alimentary canal of the economy, where do you want to be (and where is the contrarian place to be)? What the McCarthy Speakership was really all about: reverting to pre-Obamamian rules in Congress. No more omnibus bills, and no more stimmie checks, either. There's a viable risk for lower earnings this year. The implications of a "soft landing," and the challenges of managing money in 2023. Why "value stocks" are over-valued; what happens if consumers contract? The battle between the Bulls & the Fed (breaking New Year's Resolutions and dropping Twitter-bombs). The Powell speech, and what a "pivot" is not.SEG-1: Jerome Powell's Market Smack-down DaySEG-2A: The Fiscal Pig in the Economic PythonSEG-2B: The Real Issue Behind the McCarthy House SpeakershipSEG-3: The Big Challenge for Managing Money in 2023SEG-4: The Battle Between the Bulls & The FedHosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PuzcZVPecjc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1903s --------Our new feature, "Will Jerome Powell Smack-down Investors Onve Again?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQ1DRvc2C1I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Three Paths Ahead for the Fed"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9shGqH4PX_U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Lag Effect Of The Fiscal Pig & Economic Python"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lag-effect/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InterestRates #Inflation #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/6/23) Labor Trends are troubling, especially among younger workers; what makes a good employee? A preview of our next Lunch & Learn, the need for pre-marital financial counseling; digesting the Secure Act 2.0 and the confusion in Required Minimum Distributions (RMD); Why the Roth is not going away; excess 529 transfers to Roths; Moving to Texas; remaining social in retirement.SEG-1: Labor Trends w Younger WorkersSEG-2: Pre-marital Financial PlanningSEG-3: Digesting the Secure Act 2-0SEG-4: Remaining Social in RetirementHosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hh58lKnK560&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2--------Our new feature, "Before the Bell: Is it Time to Take Profits in Gold?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4XYnPlhKtOQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"The 2023 Word of the Year"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HwdszsVBG64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2674s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Three Paths for 2023"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/three-paths-for-2023"The Elephant In The Room -QT"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-in-the-room-qt/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SecureAct2_0 #Jobs #Employment #YoungerWorkers #RMD #RothIRA #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/5/23) The Santa Rally was tardy and tawdry, and markets must make a decision soon whether to move higher or lower; what will the Fed do next? What the MACD is telling us: Take care to be more risk-averse. Is there opportunity for profits in Gold? Market headwinds this year will come from the Fed. The Roberts' Vacation: Being an A-list'er at Red Robin; parsing the latest Fed meeting minutes: How will the Fed lower stock prices without panicking markets? Karma for Mrs. Roberts; The Fed's trajectory, and the difference between pausing rate hikes and dropping rates. a brief history of rate hikes and rate cuts. How markets can surprise despite headwinds; looking for more market volatility this year. "Prepare for the worst, hope for the best; what happens will be somewhere in between." The 2023 Word of the Year may be, "Audible;" be prepared with multiple play options.SEG-1: The Santa Claus Rally was Tardy and SmallSEG-2A: How to Be an A-lister at Red RobinSEG-2B: How to Lower Stock Prices w/out Panicking Wall St.?SEG-3A: Karma & Mrs. RobertsSEG-3B: The Fed's TrajectorySEG-4: How Markets Can Surprise Despite HeadwindsChief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HwdszsVBG64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2674s--------Our new feature, "Before the Bell: Is it Time to Take Profits in Gold?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4XYnPlhKtOQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"How to Plan for Higher Taxes in 2023"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSKOkfKc73Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Three Paths for 2023"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/three-paths-for-2023"The Elephant In The Room -QT"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-in-the-room-qt/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #MACD #BondYields #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/4/23) Santa ditched Wall St. in December, quantitative tightening by the Fed continues, as markets look to the Fed's first pivot; Lance regales with tales of the annual Roberts' Christmas Vacation (the Griswold's have got nothing on Lance!) Planning for 2023: How to get through the next 12-months? Higher Taxes are on the way; how should you plan? The solution for climate change: Mating with short people. What might the Fed to next? Meeting Minutes released this week; not a pivot, so what's the plan? What are bond yields telling us about interest rates? Are we already in Recession?SEG-1: No Santa Visit to Broad & WallSEG-2: The Roberts' Christmas Vacation; How to Get Through 2023?SEG-3: Mating w Short People; What Does the Fed Do Next?SEG-4: The Value of LLC's; What Are Bond Yields Telling Us?Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSKOkfKc73Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s--------Our new feature, "Before the Bell: Setting Expectations for 2023" is here:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz --------Our previous show is here:"Financial Resolutions that Actually Stick"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSdh_Tr1ePM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2694s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Elephant In The Room -QT"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-in-the-room-qt/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #2023Resolutions #SantaClausRally #LLC #FamilyLimitedPartnerships #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #BondYields #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/3/23) The watchword for 2023: "Muck." Predictions for the markets: A tough year ahead; making financial resolutions: What can you control in your household? There will be new taxes this year. Where have all the go-getters gone? Act your wage; not finding worth in work. some families can collect six-figure incomes by staying home; waking up early & making your bed; setting up an emergency fund; Secure Act 2-0: Incentivizing savings; RMD Ages increases; expectations for workers to work longer into old age. The Fed is the foe; passive investing will lose its allure; using Secure Act to take advantage of tax law; The most expensive vehicle this year will be the shopping cart; penalties for missing RMD's; database for lost IRA's is a retirement fund lost & found; Clothespins, Duct tape, & Buzz Muck Year; indexing inflation for savings accounts; rules for managing longevity risk.SEG-1: Financial Resolutions - What Can You Control in Your Household?SEG-2: Acting Your WageSEG-3: RIA Education: Missing RMD'sSEG-4: Encouraging Savings w Secure Act 2-0Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSdh_Tr1ePM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2694s--------Our previous show is here:"Four Things To Do if You Lose Your Job in 2023"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RjsU8egviN8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2683s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Forward Returns Will Disappoint Compared To The Past Decade"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/forward-returns/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #2023Resolutions #SecureAct2_0 #NewTaxes #RetirementSavings #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/20/22) Where is Santa Claus this year? Japan tinkers with yield controls; the truth about "lowered" deficits; the Japanification of America: 2023 may be a tough year. Merry freaking Christmas, and you'd better like it! Japan tinkers with yield curve control: The problem with artificial interest rates and impact on rate/risk dynamic; Modern Monetary Theory fizzles; the grand idea of issuing more debt = inflation; the gap between BLS and Household surveys; watch for revisions to jobs numbers. Why are millennials opting out of working? 50% living with parents: It's too easy to work the system and live on Gov't programs. Stanford University's list of words you can no long use; the problem w non-working millennials; where's the money come from?SEG-1: Where's Santa This Year?SEG-2: Merry Freaking Christmas; Japan Tinkers w Yield ControlSEG-3: The Failure of MMTSEG-4: Words You Cannot Use; Where's the Money Come From?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6bNU_Lg6UF4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Setting the Stage for Santa " is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F07OhECCfV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Is Elon Musk Serious About Quitting?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cYOsLi0G2xw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #SantaRally #BondYields #YieldCurve #YieldControl #Japanification #ModernMonetaryTheory #2023Economy #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/19/22) Twitter CEO Elon Musk polled his peeps over the weekend as to whether he should stay or go. Larger group says buh-bye; so who's next? Market Commentary: Light trading ahead this week; SBF opts for extradition from The Bahamas to US; the problem with prison. Dealing with bad behavior, Harry & Megan. Pre-market commentary: Can we just get this year over with? 2023 will be dealing with consequences of 2022's rate hikes. Missing the bottom may be better than a bad trade; dealing with the "unknowns" of Fed policy. Softer retails sales results not seen in last report: Spending more to buy less, and spending less on that. The Great Debate for 2023: Recession or no recession? The Lance Roberts Effect.SEG-1: Will the Chief Twit Quit?SEG-2: SBF & the Problem with Prison, Here vs ThereSEG-3: 2023 Preview - Outcome of Rate Hikes are Still to ComeSEG-4: 2023 Debate - Recession or No Recession?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cYOsLi0G2xw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Setting the Stage for Santa " is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSSgD8uPEsU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Four Things To Do if You Lose Your Job in 2023"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RjsU8egviN8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2683s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The 2023 Investing Outlook As The Fed Pivots – Part II"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-2023-investing-outlook-as-the-fed-pivots-part-ii/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #ElonMusk #TwitterCEO #SBF #SamBankmanFried #Bahamas #Prison #Recession #2023Economy #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/16/22) The origins of Elf on a Shelf; How American's really feel about the economy, and why we're spending less this Christmas; tougher times are coming in 2023. Picking Priorities and Pet Financing; No, no, no, Janet Yellen! It's the government's fault. Austerity be damned. Opportunities for Fixed Income in 2023. The Battle Between the White House and the Fed in 2023: Jerome Powell will be thee scapegoat. Fighting the Ghosts of Financial Past; The Underwear Recession Indicator; men's sox & underwear. End of Year Math and personal debt to income ratios. RIA Debt to Income Ratio Rules for 2023; Variable & Fixed Expenses; Money Talk at Christmas; It's just as good to Give as to Get; raising fiscally intuitive kids; Christmas songs we hate to hear. SEG-1: Why We're Buying Less This ChristmasSEG-2: Picking Priorities & Opportunities for Fixed IncomeSEG-3: End of Year Math: Debt RatiosSEG-4: RIA Debt Ratio Rules & Songs We Hate at ChristmasHosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0nj1QVTTx3A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2690s--------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Jerome Powell Releases the Krackens" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jSSgD8uPEsU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Four Things To Do if You Lose Your Job in 2023"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RjsU8egviN8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2683s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The 2023 Investing Outlook As The Fed Pivots – Part II"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-2023-investing-outlook-as-the-fed-pivots-part-ii/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHikes #JeromePowell #Recession #2023Economy #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/14/22) Inflation check-in a little weaker than expected, but CPI is still at 7.1% year over year. Markets sold off in response, but managed to stay positive. Attention today turns to the Fed's post-meeting presser at which time Chairman Powell will elaborate on future plans for interest rates; no pivot, but maybe a pause? Two weeks of bliss between now and EOY. How Hawkish will the Fed be? Fallout from the FTX scandal: How excess liquidity provided environment ripe for fraud to proliferate; easy money generally leads to fraud. Elon Musk no longer richest man in the world; is the 4% Rule back? Why $1-miilion just doesn't go as far as it once did; Looking ahead at 2023 economy; four things to do if you lose your job; Cash is NOT trash; the Financial Security cushion; why you should delay taking SS as long as possible.SEG-1: Inflation Weaker Than Expected; Markets MeanderSEG-2: The FTX FalloutSEG-3: Elon Musk Ox; Is the 4% Rule Dead?SEG-4: The 2023 EconomyHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=76zhw4Lg110&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2685s --------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "How Hawkish will the Fed Be This Time?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQ2jNTFV8JA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"The Sad Saga of FTX & Sam Bankman-Fried"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iA_8UBI1WD8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2688s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The 2023 Investing Outlook As The Fed Pivots – Part II"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-2023-investing-outlook-as-the-fed-pivots-part-ii/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHikes #JeromePowell #SamBankmanFried #FTX #Inflation #JobLoss #2023Economy #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/13/22) It's "CPI Tuesday" [and this show was aired BEFORE today's CPI release]. Expectations are for weaker numbers, which would spike markets at the open, which the Fed would hate. The Fed meeting commenced today--and they already know what the CPI number is. What happens when the reality of this year's rate hikes hit next year? Christmas shopping for Mrs. Roberts is always a challenge. PPI was hot; will CPI follow suit? What happens if... Elements in the CPI. Sam Bankman-Fried arrested overnight in Bahamas; the saga of FTX & future of crypto. Possible sentencing for SBF; who will be the next FTX to fail? Real people lost real money, and it was all they had. A review of SEC charges against SBF; civil liability + Federal criminal liability; a brief history of the SEC and regulation likely to come. Market commentary pre-CPI; Economic Data are not simple math.SEG-1: Great Expectations for CPISEG-2: Shopping for Mrs. Roberts & Elements of CPISEG-3: The Saga of Sam Brinkman-Fried & FTXSEG-4: SEC vs SBF & FTX & History of SEC RegulationHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfGi_i8xKt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "CPI: Hot or Not?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RsIw4naQcl8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"The Fed's "Controlled Demolition" of the Economy"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d_kkRIgPyxY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=2677s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The 2023 Investing Outlook As The Fed Pivots – Part II"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-2023-investing-outlook-as-the-fed-pivots-part-ii/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FTX #CPI #SamBankmanFried #SEC #Regulation #FederalReserve #Inflation #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/12/22) What will CPI say? comparing the end of November to the end of December; CPI movement. FOMC meeting on Wednesday; emails asking about getting in to 10-Yr Treasuries; you've missed that boat. Looking ahead to CPI and inflation in The 12-days of Christmas = $45,523, up 10-1/2%. Household inflation is much higher than CPI. Why is there such a disconnect? Price Inflation/Shrinkflation; why prices may not come down as rapidly (or as much) as Inflation recedes. Wall St.'s predictions are a frivolous attempt; Goldman S&P target of 5,000 did not happen. What happens in an earnings recession? Valuations are not a good market timing tool. Market math is foretelling lower pricing/valuations for 2023. What "neutral" interest rate would tame inflation, create demand destruction, yet produce a strong economy? Earnings must come down in 2023. The Fed's "controlled demolition" of the economy.SEG-A: Comparing the End of November to End of DecemberSEG-B: Inflation Hits the 12-Days of ChristmasSEG-3: Why Wall Street Predictions are a Frivolous AttemptSEG-4: What Market Math is ForetellingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d_kkRIgPyxY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2132s --------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Will Upside Pricing Be Limited??" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1Iq--THr3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index--------Our previous show is here:"Could Blackstone Trigger a Fed Pivot?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z864yvfkr7g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Estimating 2023 S&P 500 Price Targets"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/"The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #CPI #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #12DaysofChristmas #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/8/22) Will the Fed provide clarification of future plans at next week's meeting? There's still downside risk to markets; could Santa Claus skip Broad & Wall this year? Markets need to hold upward trend; Bonds' miserable year...until now. The Double-dog Dare: Evaluating investment opportunities; the problem with private investments is liquidity. Is the risk worth the return? The problem with Private REIT's: Things are great until they aren't; what happens when investment funds "gate" distributions: You can't get your money out. Blackstone investors want their money back, thanks to falling real estate prices & contagion. Blackstone is another domino in a string with FTX and UK pension funds as the Fed pulls liquidity from markets. Could Blackston trigger a Fed pivot? The Greed Cycle: Too much money chasing too few assets. The risk of financial stability would trip the Fed to pivot. As the Fed dries up liquidity, leverage also dissipates. This is what it means for the Fed to "break" something.SEG-1: NASDAQ's Worst December in YearsSEG-2: Double Dog Dares - Is It Worth the Risk?SEG-3: The Problem w Private REITsSEG-4: The Greed Cycle & Fed Liquidity Injection UnwindingHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFAProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfGi_i8xKt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is It Too Late to Buy Bonds?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZpVE9Wih1QA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"Layoffs Are Coming after Christmas"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfGi_i8xKt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=3002s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"Double Dog Dares and Equity Risk Premiums"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/double-dog-dares-and-equity-risk-premiums--------Get more info & commentary:https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #Blackstone #PrivateREIT #GreedCycle #FederalReserve #FinancialConditions #InterestRates #RateHikes #ChristmasShopping #Inflation #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/7/22) The Fed is now turning its attention to Financial Conditions as its campaign of rabid rate hikes continues unabated. Caution is the watch word for investors heading into the end of the year. A review of December Market history; why we've been reducing risk and taking profits; why we navigate the markets, not "time" the markets. Layoffs are coming after Christmas. A look at our market investing strategies going into the New Year; the problem with debt; Why own a mutual fund? Why invest in Berkshire-Hathaway? Actively managed, and crushes the indexes. Christmas Shopping with the Ratliff Kids: The Nolan Ryan jersey & baseball saga. Getting ready for EOY Tax Deadlines; how to strategically contribute to 401k's.SEG-1: The Fed's Focus on Financial ConditionsSEG-2: Navigating vs Timing MarketsSEG-3: Investing Strategies for 2023SEG-4: Christmas Shopping & Year End Tax DeadlinesHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfGi_i8xKt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Will Wall St. See Santa this Year?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SatNXNCSCf0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"The Problem with The Fed is The Fed"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zwejdp4DzKk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2672s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FinancialConditions #InterestRates #RateHikes #ChristmasShopping #NolanRyan #BullMarket #Inflation #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/6/22) The Fed is hell-bent on continuing the most aggressive interest rate hike campaign in 40-years. There is no hint of Fed softening or relenting, reinforced by comments published in the WSj to knock down spending, hiring, and inflation; Christmas shopping progress & supporting small businesses: The Houston gasoline station with Full Service pumps; how Nick Timiraos killed the market. What happens when rates rise, employment falls, and inflation returns? Shopping tips for men you need to hear. The Case for Bulls has two problems: The Fed & the Fed. Probabilities vs Possibilities: Have earnings come down enough? Saxo Bank's Outrageous Predictions for 2023.SEG-1: No Fed Pivot or Pause ForthcomingSEG-2: Christmas Shopping, Full Service Gas Stations, and Killing MarketsSEG-3: Shopping Tips for Men; The Bull Case has Two ProblemsSEG-4: Nutty New Year's PredictionsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zwejdp4DzKk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Will A Hawkish Fed Return Next Week?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lHKavltZqQ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=3--------Our previous show is here:"What a Weak Dollar Means for the Markets"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dbK9GLe0JIg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s--------Articles mentioned in this podcast:"The Bull Case Has Two Problemshttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-case-has-a-two-problems/"Diverging Sentiment Readings Raise Recession Risk"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/diverging-sentiment-readings-raise-recession-risk/--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHikes #ChristmasShopping #BullMarket #Inflation #SaxoBank #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/5/22) Welcome to the first, full-week of trading for December, and the first test of the 200-DMA; the Fed rate hikes will continue until morale declines: The Fed does not like market rallies. Look for revisions next year in jobs numbers being reported now; watch the Dollar. Mutual fund and Portfolio repositioning is part of the rally in bonds; there is nothing from the Fed of a pending pivot, but markets continue to anticipate such. Will earnings continue to grow, or will estimates be revised downward? Is the new Bull Market back?We'll only know in hindsight when the market bottom was reached; a bull market rally undermines the Fed. Are too many people calling for a Recession for recession to occur? More articles appearing calling for a "soft landing." Is there a path to "immaculate dis-inflation?" The fallacy of Jobs reporting, and the great debate: How to get to 2% inflation? Will require 2% GDP growth and 2% unemployment. End of the year dynamics & expectations: What markets feel like vs reality; a weaker dollar makes for more bullish markets.SEG-1: The Fed Rate Hikes will Continue Until Morale DeclinesSEG-2: The Big Rally in BondsSEG-3: It's too early to say 'Inflation has been conquered'SEG-4: Market Expectations Based on Hope Instead of FactsHosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dbK9GLe0JIg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s --------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets Break Following Fed Speech" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7K-r-DDok5s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"All I Want for Christmas is a Gift of Stocks"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFkR0mJGuHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #WeakDollar #InterestRates #JeromePowell #Inflation #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/3/22) Getting in the Christmas Spirit, Market Commentary, and Jobs Report preview & Fed strategy: Why does Jerome Powell want you to lose your job? Putting kids to work (and saving); 2023 RIA preview; positive savings aspects of Secure Act 2.0; Recession vs Stagflation & Tax Planning for 2023; 'tis the season for Rosso's Razzle-dazzle Eggnog; working side-gigs and SEP's; why every retirement account should have a Roth component; it's called "diversification of accounts," and now is the best time for Roth conversions. Comparing Medicare Advantage's 43 flavors to Medigap coverage.SEG-1: Christmas Spirit Tips & Expecting a Soft LandingSEG-2: Child Labor Day & Tax Planning for 2023SEG-3: Rosso's Razzle-dazzle Egg Nogg, Working Side GigsSEG-4: Medicare vs Medigap planning for 2023Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFPProduced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KUx8YDA7mpY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2--------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is the Fed Worried About Over-tightening?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LKEJHJAXIYM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"What's Jerome Powell Afraid of?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wA3NZUBTono&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2813s--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #JobsReport #Unemployment #Inflation #JanetYellen #TaxPlanning #RothConversion #Medicare #Medigap #MedicareAdvantage #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/1/22) Is the Bull Market back? Fed Chairman Powell's somewhat dovish stance on Wednesday rallied markets to an over-3% gain, begging the question: What is Jerome Powell afraid of? Meanwhile, Markets have been consolidating for the past 6-months, and so remain. What markets DIDN'T hear was that rate hikes will continue at a slower pace, but WILL continue. Concerns about over-tightening overshadowed other issues, like the price-wage spiral, and what's likely to occur in the second half of 2023; PCE vs CPI inflation. Michael Lebowitz needs a Jim Adler-esque nickname (the Maryland Mauler?) 20% market moves in either direction no longer define markets; price trends do. Technicals vs Fundamentals: the lag effects are just starting to be felt, and QT is still going on. Don't fight the Fed; questioning the JOLT numbers; anomalies are in all the data. JOLTs & SHARTs; what about this year's Santa Claus Rally? How can we not avoid Recession in 2023? The Fed may have already over-tightened.SEG-1: What's Jerome Powell Afraid of?SEG-2: What the Fed said vs What the Markets HeardSEG-3: Michael's Nickname; Fundamentals vs Technicals & The Lag EffectSEG-4: JOLTs & SHARTs; Has the Fed Already Over-tightened?Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer--------Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wA3NZUBTono&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 --------Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is the Fed Worried About Over-tightening?" is here:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LKEJHJAXIYM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1--------Our previous show is here:"All I Want for Christmas is a Gift of Stocks"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFkR0mJGuHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1--------Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/--------SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow--------Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.comContact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN--------Subscribe to RIA Pro:https://riapro.net/home--------Connect with us on social:https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvicehttps://twitter.com/LanceRobertshttps://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/#InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #Inflation #MarketFundamentals #MarketTechnicals #LagEffect #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/30/22) The US beats Iran in World Soccer, and markets gird up for the last Fed speech of the year by Jerome Powell; that will be the big market mover today, in addition to economic releases of Q3 CPI and Home Sales; We looks at the concept of stock gifting for Christmas, along with the tax implications, qualified charitable donations, and end of year IRA contributions; other end-of-year hurdles include Required Minimum Distributions, and the anticipated effect of Baby Boomers' RMD's on markets; the onset of December & Mrs. Roberts' birthday; open enrollment for Medicare plans; Medicare.gov; Donor Advised funds for charitable intent; the benefits of bunching. SEG-1: Adult Kickball & Fed Speak SEG-2: Gifting Stocks for Christmas SEG-3: Clearing the Year-end Hurdles SEG-4: Onset of December & Open Enrollment Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFkR0mJGuHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "All Eyes on Powell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dKvnAJ2F3Mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "There's No Such Thing as a "Soft" Recession" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1caRvFq2mBw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2692s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #Inflation #StockGifting #RequiredMinimumDistributions #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/29/22) Who's been gaslighting investors into thinking the Fed is going to suddenly pivot from its course of hiking rates to tame inflation? The Fed doesn't like it when markets rally, and the Fed has been clear more rate hikes are to come. Key to watch the VIX; why we're reducing exposure to energy stocks. The Fed is afraid inflation will become entrenched; we take a look at the history of markets and Fed responses; investors have been trained by the Fed to expect bailouts, but the Fed is not "dimming the gas lights." Ponzi Schemes, Enron, & FTX: No one does their homework anymore beyond, 'Is the price going up?' A review of 'The Smartest Guys in the Room;' the FTX failure will flush out all the weaker players in the cyrptocurrency space. SEG-1: Gaslighting the Markets SEG-2: A Brief History of Market Performance and Fed Responses SEG-3: There's No Such Thing as a "Soft" Recession SEG-4: A Brief History of Ponzi Schemes, Enron, & FTX
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1caRvFq2mBw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2692s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Bullard: No Pivot In Sight " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JPqTsRTxJHQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Was Black Friday a Bust?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NIiWDspukko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2837s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "No Recession In 2023? Is That Possible?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-recession-in-2023-is-that-possible/ "The Next Secular Bear Market May Be Upon Us" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-next-secular-bear-market-may-be-upon-us/ "The Zero To Negative Multiplier Of Debt On Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-zero-to-negative-multiplier-of-debt-on-growth/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #SoftRecession #FederalReserve #GaslightingMarkets #PonziSchemes #Enron #FTX #Cyrptocurrency #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/28/22) Was Black Friday a bust? It's make-or-break time for Wall Street: Retail Sales numbers are nominal, and do not taking into consideration inflation impact: 78% jump in lay-away purchasing; stocks are trying to re-price-in downwardly revised earnings estimates. FOMC Meeting Minutes tend to suggest a terminal interest rate of 5.25%. Why do retail sales matter? 70% of GDP; markets are trying to price-in "reversion to normalcy;" how deep will the recession be? excess exuberance is already being wrung out. What is Goldman seeing that everyone else is missing? A history of Retail Sales data & factoring in Inflation; We're spending more, but buying less. The Saga of Mrs. Roberts' Birthday: why is everyone discounting (and why this doesn't show up in sale figures, but do appear on balance sheets). No more background checks for rental applications; businesses closing in Oregon (and elsewhere) because of high crime; the problem with decriminalizing crime & store closures: Food Deserts; another problem with "free stuff" is the pulling-forward of consumption. SEG-1: Markets' Make-0r-Break Moment SEG-2: Why Retail Sales Matter SEG-3: Mrs. Roberts' Birthday: Spending More Buying Less SEG-4: De-Criminalizing Crime & The Problem with Store Closures
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NIiWDspukko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2837s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Will the Thanksgiving Rally Continue?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ROX59eThXyc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Warnings Are Still Falling, Just Not as Badly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nivvLPzvJQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=2776s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "No Recession In 2023? Is That Possible?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-recession-in-2023-is-that-possible/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #RetailSales #BlackFriday #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #Crime #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/23/22) The Big Conundrum for next year is, 'what's going to happen?' It's important to leave portfolios open to the possibility of Recession, even though, if so, it would be The-Most-Anticipated Recession in history. What will FOMC Meeting Minutes reveal, and what is the "terminal rate" that ends Fed rate hikes? The cost of Thanksgiving is going up, and Black Friday spending will be an economic "tell" for the future. Is the 60/40 portfolio strategy no longer viable? adjust portfolios to the data; on the "Millennial Investor Podcast," nothing is working. Losing money is part of the portfolio process. Black Friday preview: Toys for Boys & Girls; Saga of the Roberts' Kids: Getting speeding tickets. The Life360 tracker; Inflation for the holidays: Paying more for the same amount of stuff; earnings are still falling, just not as badly; Credit Cards vs Layaway; Needs vs wants. SEG-1: The Big Conundrum of 2023 SEG-2: Is the 60-40 Portfolio Dead? SEG-3: Black Friday Preview: Toys & Speeding Tickets SEG-4: Inflation for the Holidays - Needs vs Wants
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nivvLPzvJQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2776s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Buy Backs Continue Market Support" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXOwXtoCTXo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s
Our previous show is here: "Why The Fed Wants More Unemployed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C228DvWAKb0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=14s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "More Bearish Market Action Before The Bull Can Run" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/more-bearish-market-action/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #60_40Portfolio #Thanksgiving #BlackFriday #FederalReserve #FedPivot #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/22/22) Market movement can best be described as sideways, up only 2% for November. Oil Stocks are down 20% while energy stocks are only off 5%; so why would the Fed pivot? When it does, it won't be good for equities. How is the crypto-phenomenon like the sub-prime crisis of bygone days? A discussion of what "pivot" is and is not; The Fed wants to take pressure off the labor market, and would be fine with 5% unemployment as a means of thwarting the wage-price spiral. A comparison of economics, then and now; The Fed's rate hikes this year haven't hit yet, but when they do... the "lag effect" is being under-calculated. SEG-1: Markets Not Doing Much of Anything, Moving Sideways SEG-2: Why Would the Fed Pivot? SEG-3: I Don't Think Pivot Means What You Think it Means SEG-4: What Happens When Debt Begins to Default?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C228DvWAKb0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets Going Nowhere" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E3-R0KQ-Zao&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Bob is Back (at Disney)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PvIgXfh-dN4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2646s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "More Bearish Market Action Before The Bull Can Run" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/more-bearish-market-action/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #Thanksgiving #FederalReserve #FedPivot #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/21/22) It's the Week of Thanksgiving, and up and down on the Street, traders are vacationing before Year's End they will meet. Will there be a Recession in 2023? The markets' final outcome remains to be seen. Iger's back at Disney, and the Yield Curves are spread, with hopes of a Santa Claus rally dancing in their heads. The FTX fail has raised such a clatter; will the SEC really find what's the matter? As 2022 draws to a close, the final outcome of which nobody knows.
SEG-1: Thanksgiving-shortened Trading Week SEG-2: Will There Be Recession in 2023? SEG-3: Bob is Back (at Disney); What the Yield Curves are Saying SEG-4: The FTX Saga Continues Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PvIgXfh-dN4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Have Markets Found the Bottom?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5VWtFWNcdLU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=40s
Our previous show is here: "Is FTX a 'Lehman Moment?'" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4x5_FkIYsEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2682s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Inverted Yield Curve Deepens As Recession Risks Rise" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inverted-yield-curve-deepens-as-recession-risks-rise/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FTX #SamBankmanFried #Disney #BobIger #Thanksgiving #FederalReserve #FedPivot #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/18/22) There is no Fed pivot in sight, and denial in the markets is high; repercussions of the COVID lockdown are still being felt; credit card debt, HELOC debt is on the rise. A generation of bailed-out citizens. The once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for converting IRA's to Roths; dealing with charitable donations; Was FTX worse than Enron? Stanford? Carvana's incredible demise; fear & greed never change. Conversations you should have this Thanksgiving: Long Term Care; Rosso's Eggnog Razzle-dazzle.
SEG-1: No Fed Pivot in Sight SEG-2: The Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity for IRA Conversions SEG-3: The SBF Chia Pet; Scheisters, and Roth Conversions SEG-4: Pumpkin Pie & Long-Term Care Conversations Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B--cHSKtL48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "The Fed's Anti-Inflation Campaign is Good for Bonds " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoq2ESFdaeI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Is FTX a 'Lehman Moment?'" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4x5_FkIYsEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2682s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #Inflation #FTX #SamBankmanFried #IRAConversions #RothConversions #FederalReserve #FedPivot #TaxRates #interestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/17/22) There's a problem with market rallies: The Fed doesn't like 'em. Estimates for Q4 GDP = 4.4% The tell will be Christmas sales; what are valuations telling us? Price must adjust for lower earnings. Things are starting to crack in financial markets; things we see during boom times vs bust times corrections: The Fed's Goal is to pull excess out of the markets. No question the Fed will pivot: But When?? FTX is not a "Lehman Moment." When the Fed pivots, things will not be good; the Fed is scared and wants 1% of workers to lose their jobs. Investing in an uncertain market; are Bonds a safe bet? What the Fed is doing is bond-friendly.
SEG-1: Why the Fed Doesn't Like a Market Rally SEG-2: Things Are Starting to Crack in Financial Markets SEG-3: What is a Pivot, Ross? SEG-4: Are Bonds a Safe Bet in an Uncertain Market? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4x5_FkIYsEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2682s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "The Fed's Anti-Inflation Campaign is Good for Bonds " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoq2ESFdaeI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Wake-up Call for Wall Street?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bYB38yoUrtQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2941s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #Inflation #ContrarianInvestor #FTX #LehmanMoment #BondMarket #FederalReserve #FedPivot #RossGeller #Friends #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/16/22) What does 2023 hold in store for investors? Everyone's bearish, no one is bullish, and it's a perfect time for contrarian investors. The adverse impact of California's stimmie checks on October Retail Sales report. Impact of on-line learning on students' test score (the tale of Tommy Roberts' testing side-gig); do Amazon's layoffs portend Recession? (No) The good news in Congressional gridlock; the psychology of investing. What Amazon's layoffs really mean; markets are like fish out of water (Garry Shandling reference). Yellowstone Season 5 premiers; Lance's wife is like 'that' character. The effect of Midterms on Taxes and why Congressional gridlock is good; estate taxes, capital gains taxes; charitable donations. The historic irony of Artemis-I.
SEG-1: A Perfect Time for Contrarians SEG-2: Online Learning & Student Scores; Economic Review review SEG-3: What Company Layoffs Really Mean (It's not as bad as it seems) SEG-4: Yellowstone Premier, Scary Wives, & Midterm Effects on Taxes
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bYB38yoUrtQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2826s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Retail Sales & False Confidence" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ChJSu_oNPTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The FTX Fiasco & Bankruptcy - A Sign of the Times" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wu0wDff5Iyw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2669s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #RetailSales #Inflation #ContrarianInvestor #CaliforniaStimulus #YellowstoneSeason5 #AmazonLayoffs #MidtermElecton #CongressionalGridlock #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/15/22) The FTX fiasco and ensuing bankruptcy is symptomatic of the times; professionals are no better than amateur investors at this point in valuations and performing due diligence. The truth behind the "Santa Clause Rally," and what's really happening; get ready for sloppiness in December. FTX shenanigans & repercussions: How we got the SEC, Sarbanes-Oxley, & other regulations; "Stakeholder Capitalism" and corporate "responsibility" to take care of the world, because you're too stupid to take care of yourself: The experiment of COVID lockdowns: who's compliant? Pepsi's Points for a Harrier Jump-jet on Netflix; the Miami Heat cools on FTX's naming rights deal, and Bang Bros. wants in. Yellowstone, Tulsa King, Mayor of Kingston; Amazon layoffs: "It takes a lot of people to censor stuff." FedEx Freight furloughs: The economy is most certainly slowing down.
SEG-1: What Ever Happened to Due Diligence & Valuation? SEG-2: FTX Shenanigans & Repercussions SEG-3: SBF, FTX, & Stakeholder Capitalism" SEG-4: Pepsi Points & Porn Sites' Naming Rights
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wu0wDff5Iyw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2669s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Will Inflation Data Pump Market Momentum?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=611sSZdQnlk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show is here: "How to Lose a Billion Dollars in Crypto" youtube.com/watch?v=JtOCMd2ywu4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #Cryptocurrency #PPI #Inflation #FTXBinance #StakeholderCapitalism #SamBankmanFried #PepsiPoints #MiamiHeat #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/10/22) Markets sold off following 'meh' midterm results, and Binance pulled out of a FTX-bailout. Despite a disappointing 10-yr Treasury auction, the bond market saw a bit of a boost from the FTX-Binance fallout; who's looking for Q4 GDP = 4%? Will Sam Bankman-Fried go from Billionaire to Inmate over the FTX fiasco? FTX is why we have the SEC; Crypto will eventually be regulated by the government. Who takes the hit from the FTX fail, and whatever happened to investor due diligence? (Could blockchain solve election polling woes?) CPI expectations vs reality [NOTE: October CPI clocked-in at a cooler-than-expected 7.7%] The Fed will keep hiking rates until they break something. Pressure from news events will slacken as holidays approach; more are considering skipping the holidays because of inflation; as Tech layoffs continue, the economy is rapidly slowing. There's lots of manipulation in the CPI numbers, which are, in fact, lagging indicators. The saga of Peloton and co-founder John Foley's new "Ernesta" venture of customized designer rugs.
SEG-1: Meh Midterms, Binance Backs-off SEG-2: The FTX-Binance Financial Fizzle SEG-3: Who Takes the Hit from the FTX Fail? SEG-4: The Flaw in the CPI & John Foley's "Ernesto" Rugs
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y2RN6IJVzwM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Did FTX-Binance Bust Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbnUsWnT53E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How to Lose a Billion Dollars in Crypto" youtube.com/watch?v=JtOCMd2ywu4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #Cryptocurrency #CPI #Inflation #FTXBinance #Peloton #JohnFoley #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/9/22) The election is past; time to move on: Why Markets can now be optimistic. Stocks tend to perform well in the 12-months following a midterm election. With stock buybacks, Thanksgiving, and end of year maneuvering, markets will see uptick in activity., but it's going to be sloppy. Disney streaming disappoints: Too much competition, not enough good content. The Crypto-crash of FTX; Sam Bankman-Fried fries his fortune, losing 94% of net worth. The problem with crypto currency is extreme volatility. 17% of Americans say they're spending less for the holidays. Having brisket for Thanksgiving. What happened to the economy in August-September? This Recession vs 2012: Tech is down, industrials & manufacturing keeping the economy afloat, but cracks in that foundation are appearing. Impact of Fed rate hikes are still to come; look at staples vs discretionary. Markets Futures & Election Outcomes: essentially gridlock in Congress. No new spending, but the government will continue with Continuing Resolutions, heaping debt upon debt. Why government spending "that pays for itself" never does; why the CBO is wrong.
SEG-1: Why markets Can Be Optimistic SEG-2: How to Lose a Billion Dollars SEG-3: More are Spending Less for the Holidays SEG-4: Why the CBO is Never Right
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: youtube.com/watch?v=JtOCMd2ywu4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Will We Get Gridlock? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0GEhFE6-ExY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Election Day & Powerball Delay" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iC-4A-5PNiE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2985s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #MidTermElections #Cryptocurrency #CongressionalGridlock #StockBuyBacks #HolidaySpending #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/8/22) It's Mid-term Election Day, and all working American's must return to their jobs, as no one has won the Powerball Lottery. Yet. An overnight delay of the results has further stalled the outcome. Midterm election outcomes will determine the direction markets make into the end of the year. Mattress Mac MacInvale's Big Bet and Caesar's takes a hit; figuring the odds. Why "investing" in the market really is a gamble; betting on Brent vs Usain Bolt. NFIB Confidence Survey & looking at the economy through the lense of small businesses; why organic inflation is healthy; what happened in economy August-September 2022? Impact of Fed rate hikes this year are still to come in 2023. What are we voting for? Sending representatives without any real direction; economics are detached from politics. There really is no Middle Class any longer; every economy will always have the poor...and the rich. What happens when Brent wins the lottery.
SEG-1: Election Day & Powerball Delay SEG-2: Mattress Mac's Big Bet vs Investing on Wall Street SEG-3: Looking at the Economy Through the Lense of Small Businesses SEG-4: Kitchen Table Economics and What We're Really Voting For
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iC-4A-5PNiE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets Focus on Midterm Outcomes" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=76R4LVpVx7U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=8s
Our previous show is here: "It's Midterm Election Eve" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hKlmelhn40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2677s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "There Really Is No Middle Class Any Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/there-really-is-no-middle-class-any-longer/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #Powerball #MidTermElections #FederalReserve #HawkishFed #CPIreport #MattressMac #HoustonAstros #NFIBSurvey #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/7/22) It's Mid-term Election Eve (fixing the clocks for CST). Markets' response to hawkish Fed statements by testing resistance at 50-DMA today. All bets are off until after the midterm elections; re-testing of markets lows are coming; why businesses' tapping of credit lines are not a good omen. What shook the markets: Headline data vs underlying details; household surveys vs government reports (lagging indicators). Economic weaknesses will eventually show up on the surface. Markets want a Fed pivot; what will cause the turn? The Fed says it can fix it. Precursors to conditions sufficient to flip the Fed include credit spreads in Bonds = stress in credit markets, and Yield Curves, 60% of which are now inverted = economic stress. Recessions are historically not well-predicted; everyone is calling for one now. "Economists have predicted 9 of the last 3 recessions." Pre-election commentary: "The heart of democracy is at stake..." except, we're a Republic, not a Democracy. It's not fundamentals that matter now; it's "what's the Fed going to do?" Markets tend to perform well in the 12-months following mid-term elections.
SEG-1: Markets' Response to a Hawkish Fed SEG-2: Headline Economic Data vs Underlying Details SEG-3: What Will Cause the Fed to Pivot? SEG-4: Pre-election market commentary
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hKlmelhn40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2677s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "What Will Drive Markets Next?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NiD1TFYkAn8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s
Our previous show is here: "The Fed Really Doesn't Know What It's Doing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fAHVpug7w7s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #MidTermElections #HawkishFed #CPIreport #LaggingIndicators #CreditStress #YieldCurve #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/4/22) The souring economy is causing corporations to take pause, cutting staff and dealing with increased cost of debt, thanks to interest rate hikes. We've been here before; it just feels worse now. Halloween recap, Thanksgiving inflation and making menu choices; the change in I-Bond rates: Still a good deal? No new toys for Christmas; do you need a family CFO? Planning ahead for end-of-life. Guidelines for lending money to family and friends: Be willing to lose what you've lent; put it in writing. End of Year checklist; 9 things every retiree should do.
SEG-1: Companies Take a Pause SEG-2: Thanksgiving Inflation & Menu Options; I-bond Changes SEG-3: No Bling for Christmas; Do You Need a Family CFO? SEG-4: Guidelines for Lending to Family & Friends
Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZX1krBuFkAc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Powell: It's Okay If the Fed Breaks Something" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fAHVpug7w7s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s
Our previous show is here: "The Fed Really Doesn't Know What It's Doing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fAHVpug7w7s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #Inflation #Thanksgiving #Retirement #FamilyCFO #LendingToFamily #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/3/22) After an initial surge following Wednesday's Fed Meeting, markets took a dive with Fed Chairman Powell's hawkish remarks that inflation has not yet abated, and more rate hikes are to come. The result was The Most Volatile 90-Minutes in Market History; there was nothing good in Powell's comments, and with lots of cash held by managers that needs to be put to work before year's end, tumultuous times are to come. Twitter is set to fire half of its employees on Friday, a consequence of going private and needing to become profitable quickly. Mattress Mack places another bet on the Houston Astros winning the World Series. Jerome Powell holds the line until something breaks, and then he'll "fix" it with the same tools as last time. Looking for new Godzilla movie; Rents is a driver of inflation; Powell has gotten it wrong every time, with CPI and PCE favored metrics; Powell is missing the turn in the data. Remember, the Fed doesn't know what it's doing. Markets are re-calibrating post-rate hike; where are Dollar, VIX, and Bonds going? Numbers to watch: Jobless Claims: How accurate will they be?
SEG-1: The Most-Volatile 90-Minutes in Market History SEG-2: Mattress Mac's Astros Bet; Powell Holds the Line SEG-3: New Godzilla Movie; The Fed Doesn't Know What It's Doing SEG-4: Markets Are Re-calibrating: Be Cautious of the Numbers
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Powell: It's Okay If the Fed Breaks Something" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDsASyehyyw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show is here: "Stock Buybacks Don't Really Benefit Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UAEaCOFMvA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InterestRateHike #Inflation #VolatilityIndex #MattressMac #HoustonAstros #WorldSeries #Twitter #ElonMusk #Godzilla #TopGun #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/2/22) Understanding Gold: Worst performance since 1869; what drives gold? Real Interest Rates. it's the Day of the Fed: What will be said matters more than today's rate decision; how will markets and yield curves respond? Why FAANG Stocks aren't dead. Pro's and Con's of taxing the rich: Why we have stock buybacks, and why they really don't benefit investors. Why gasoline prices are high: Lack of refining capacity, reluctance to invest in new refineries. Why companies cut dividends: Response to tough economic times; why companies with the highest dividend yield = greatest risk.
SEG-1: Understanding Gold & Markets SEG-2: The Day of the Fed: What Will Be Said? SEG-3: Who Do Stock Buybacks Really Benefit? SEG-4: Dividends: The Devil's in the Details
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UAEaCOFMvA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Fed Meeting Today - Another 75-Basis Points?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3h4udxX1Dw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why 79% of Americans Think Things Are Out of Control" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6w9ko5N7rnQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2743s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #Inflation #DividendStocks #Gold #OilPrices #WindfallProfits #TaxTheRich #FAANGStocks #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/1/22) The Roberts' Halloween Recap; What is the Fed watching for: Inflation and Employment (and their rates of change); the velocity of money is slowing; CEO Confidence is falling; No Powerball Winner; winners usually lose; Markets commentary: Use any rally to raise cash ahead of repricing of earnings; things change: What is the "Cure de Jour" the Fed will use next? Why doesn't the Fed make changes in anticipation of problems to come? 79% of Americans think everything is out of control; people vote with their pocketbook but cannot explain why. economics is not about math; it's about psychology & consumers. Whomever is in office gets the blame. In November, managers want to get assets on the books; BP earnings showing huge profits, thanks to high energy prices. If there are taxes on windfall profits, why aren't there credits for "windfall" losses? Even ESG's require petroleum; the problem of draining the SPR and filling w more expensive oil. 79% look to public sector instead of government to solve problems.
SEG-1: Day of the Dead & What the Fed Said SEG-2: Powerball Winners & Losers and the Fed's Cure de Jure SEG-3: Why 79% Think We're Out of Control SEG-4: Why Aren't There "Windfall" Credits for Losses? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6w9ko5N7rnQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2743s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Can Markets' Rally Continue in November?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c5bhByDPu1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Shrinkflation in Halloween Candy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBWCmn4Z-Oc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #OutOfControl #Inflation #OilPrices #WindfallProfits #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/31/22) Market action has been a textbook case of achieving support with no resistance up to 4,100; we're advising selling into the rally and prepare for a negative market trend into the end of the year; The Dow is up 14% for the year; it's the best year of performance since 1938. Watch for the Fed to announce a slowing of its rate hike pace, but not a pivot. Shrinkflation in Halloween candy: Prices are up 30% over last year. Consumer Spending is measured by prices paid, not quantities purchased; a false report. There's no such thing as "excess savings." 60% of consumers now living paycheck-to-paycheck. The concept of taxing the rich by tapping unrealized gains; will they allow the inverse operation: providing loss write-offs for unrealized losses? How to truly measure your portfolio's performance, year-over-year vs longer-term windows of examination. Where is the best place to put money next year? The best-performing sectors for the past two years typically become the worst performers; what are the worst-performing sectors now, before the cycle resets? SEG-1: A Textbook Re-test of Support SEG-2: Halloween Shrinkflation, the Flaw in Consumer Spending Numbers SEG-3: Tricks for Taxing the Rich: Unrealized Gains SEG-4: How to Truly Measure Portfolio Performance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Preparing for the Recession of 2023" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAg5r3PiBso&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Big Cap Companies Getting Spanked on Poor Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEGSAOZZEt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2745s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #Halloween #Shrinkflation #DowPerformance #ConsumerSpending #Inflation #PaycheckToPaycheck #TaxingTheRich #UnrealizedGains #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/28/22) Crypto is a risk-on trade: Using Ethereum performance as a leading indicator of the crypto-sector; Meta vs Amazon; Exxon surpasses expectations; the process and practice of trimming profits; risk management in a portfolio. What IS the Metaverse? Did Zuckerberg make a mistake? How Student Loan Forgiveness funds will be used; Houston Astros in World Series & Hater-fans; credit card debt is at highest levels in 20-years; assuming existing mortgages at lower rates; why the latest GDP numbers aren't all that great. How can the economy be fixed? How to manage retirement in ten steps.
SEG-1: Using Ethereum as a Leading Indicator on Crypto SEG-2: Meta vs Exxon: A Look Under the Hood SEG-3: Sports Fans, Haters, & Economic Survival SEG-4: Why the Latest GDP Isn't as Great As It Sounds Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H-NBIN2-HoQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2712s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Earnings Disappointments Put Market in a Struggle" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=et9eMhVM24g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Big Cap Companies Getting Spanked on Poor Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEGSAOZZEt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2745s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Ten Steps, Ten Years to Retirement" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ten-steps-ten-years-to-retirement/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #GDP #EarningsSeason #Ethereum #Exxon #HoustonAstros #WorldSeries #Meta #MetaVerse #Google #Amazon #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/27/22) As markets wrap up October's business, the generals' earnings reports are not at all encouraging: Meta's was only okay, tempered by Mark Zuckerberg's all-in bet on the future of the Metaverse. Markets did end higher than they started, but there remain two levels of resistance to overcome. The Fed's "Operation Twist" and treasury liquidity; the demand for short-term T-bills is outpacing longer-term instruments; Liquidity matters; there's high risk in the Fed stoking inflation with QE; the imbalance between buys and sellers of bonds; voters will decide elections with their pocketbooks as their guide; there is a growing possibility of Recession by 2023; investors want a quick fix, avoiding any pain; yield curve behaviors & signal as telling us it's coming. The problem with Inflation is it's reflected in lagging numbers; cheating fishermen plead not-guilty; beating up the generals; higher growth companies are more susceptible to high interest rates;
SEG-1: Wrapping Up October: The Generals Report SEG-2: The Fed's "Operation Twist" & Treasury Illiquidity SEG-3: Throwing Jerome Powell Under the Bus SEG-4: Cheating Fisherman & Beaten-up Companies Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEGSAOZZEt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2745s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Earnings Disappointments Put Market in a Struggle" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=et9eMhVM24g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why Americans' Savings Rates Have Fallen Off a CLiff" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeA_MleihDU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2704s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "A Balanced Portfolio Promises a Better 2023" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-balanced-portfolio-promises-a-better-2023 "MBS, Convexity Vortex, and a Silver Lining for Bonds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/mbs-convexity-vortex-and-a-silver-lining-for-bonds
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Meta #MetaVerse #Google #Amazon #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/26/22) October historically marks the markets' low point for the year; we're looking to hold on at 3,800, and "softer" language from the Fed next will help. Microsoft's guidance is a disappointment, and Amazon's AWS will, too. Crypto-alert: this is going nowhere. When markets sell off, how much can be recovered? The US Strategic Cheese Reserve (that's a thing); food inflation hitting Thanksgiving menus hard; why American's savings rates have fallen off a cliff; the ugly truth behind retail sales numbers; why the markets cannot outgrow the economy, which is the true source of revenue; tax-loss harvesting strategies.
SEG-1: October Marks Markets' Annual Low Historically SEG-2: US Strategic Cheese Reserve; Food Inflation SEG-3: Why the Markets Can't Outgrow the Economy SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting Strategies Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeA_MleihDU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2704s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Was Google's Bad News Already Priced-In? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sriPjev3L_0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show is here: "We're Back Where We Were in June (but it feels worse now)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m3LTO8Lp7J0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2688s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #SavingsRate #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CongressionalGridlock #StrategicCheeseReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/25/22) As October winds-down, the earnings revelations continue, with some better-than-expected results, but the pain trade is higher; the stock buy back window opens for business on Friday with $5 Billion in daily activity potential being added to the markets; will the Fed make moves to taper rate increases? Recession is a distinct possibility in 2023. Markets historically under-perform head of midterms and out-perform for 12-months following midterm elections. The Fed Effect; potential midterm outcome: Congressional gridlock (which markets love). The F-150 EV vs gasoline version; why Stanly Druckenmiller believes we're in for a "flat" period for the next decade; any Fed intervention will make valuations difficult to justify; the bust in Beyond Meat and the fake steak offering.
SEG-1: Earnings Revelations Continue; Pain Trade is Higher SEG-2: Market Performance Pre- and Post-Mid Term Elections SEG-3: What's the Value in Valuation? SEG-4: Beyond Meat Bust Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m3LTO8Lp7J0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2688s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Any Good News Would Be Welcome?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2yHjPLNm7hk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show is here: "The Difference Between Inflation and the Cost of Living" hhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NqtqwhHcnNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2670s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Druckenmiller: A Decade Of No Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/druckenmiller-a-decade-of-no-returns/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #MidtermElection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CongressionalGridlock #StanlyDruckenmiller #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/24/22) Comcast Cable outage coincides with Astro's weekend watch parties as the home team advances to the World Series. Again. Market Commentary: Setting up for some nice action to end the month, with a possible change in Fed stance on interest rates. The top concerns this election season: Inflation and the economy. The problems from un-educated voters; Nancy-nomics, Inflation, and the cost of living. Is the Fed thinking about talking about a change in interest rate stance? There is no middle class. Don't forget to sell into the rally; there's no place to hide. Odds for a sector rotation in 2023, and the importance of being willing to sell.
SEG-1: World Series & Comcast Outage; Markets Set up for Action SEG-2: The Danger of Being an Un-educated Voter: Nancy-nomics SEG-3: Is the Fed Thinking About Talking About Relaxing Rate Hike Pace? SEG-4: Pre-Open Market Commentary; When There's No Place to Hide Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NqtqwhHcnNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2670s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Can Markets Muster Continuation of the Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pfhB8hM2yjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Next Crisis" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAGKcQyfCas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Recession Fatigue” As Consumers Begin To Break" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recession-fatigue-as-consumers-begin-to-break/
Video's referenced in this broadcast: "Who Will Blink First? The Fed, The Bond Market, Or The Bears?" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-KL-MO36Wn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #MidtermElection #Inflation #CostOfLiving #NancyPelosi #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RecessionFatigue #HoustonAstros #WorldSeries #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/19/22) We are well into another "Millennial Earnings Season," where companies are rewarded for lowering estimates in order to beat earnings estimates; everyone gets a participation trophy! A real tell will be Consumer Retail Sales results as an end-of-year measure of consumer strength. Look for market sloppiness for the next week; the none-stages of a Bear Market. Clients re sometimes useful as contrarian indicators. Markets in 2022 have had more negative days than in any other year since 1974; the advantage of adjusting market perspective from year-over-year to two-years ago, or three-years ago. There's no advantage to having a separate Financial Advisor from your Investment Advisor; defining diversification; McDonald's Adult Happy Meals; how much should you pay yourself in retirement?
SEG-1: Millennial Earnings Season & Consumer Retail Strength SEG-2: Market Sloppiness , 9-stages of Bear Markets SEG-3: The Benefits of a Broader Market Perspective SEG-4: Defining Diversification; How Much Should You Pay Yourself in Retirement? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Can Markets Hit 4100?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fhk9Jr16kS4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Chase is On" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cuHtoVIPvUs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #NineStagesofBearMarkets #EarningsSeason #ConsumerRetailStrength #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/21/22) Higher inflation is no reason to stop making contributions to your retirement savings, regardless of mode: Just alter the allocations. No Shift. What happens after the mid-terms? Inflation isn't budging; the Fed went too far, and we'll see more adverse effects in 2023. There's no place to hide but in Cash. What happens if Yields continue to rise; interest rates can only go so far. When is Inflation is a Good Thing? COLA on Social Security; the IRS Standard Deduction for couples increases to $27,700; Social Security is actually longevity insurance. "Extreme Gen-Z." The Goldman Retirement Study: How to recreate Your Paycheck; Cash flow is the lifeblood of Retirement; guaranteed income in Retirement.
SEG-1: The Positive Side of Inflation SEG-2: Why Interest Rates Can Only Go so Far SEG-3: When Higher Inflation is a Good Thing SEG-4: Recreating Your Paycheck in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NqtqwhHcnNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2670s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Buyback Blackout Window Nears the End " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXjuD0_GpfA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Next Crisis" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAGKcQyfCas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #GoodInflation #GuaranteedIncomeInRetirement #CashIsKing #MidTermElection #CongressionalGridlock #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/20/22) As the mid-term elections approach, it's important to remember markets like gridlock in Congress; markets are currently working through an earnings downturn. Look below the surface of generally positive headlines to the actual data "under the hood:" How are sales compared to last year? Will this market rally grow some legs? That time Lehman failed, and no one trusted anyone for a while; we predicted a credit crisis then, this is now: This time will be different with the same result. The Fed's next crisis will be a loss of liquidity in credit markets. The fiscal trap of No Budget: "The Devil Takes the Hindmost:" A story of the South Seas Bubble in 1611. The word, "Crisis," is not hyperbole now. Pre-market open commentary: Eventually, selling will abate. the end of the stock buyback blackout window will replace bidding in the markets. How well are companies really doing? We'll know by next Friday.
SEG-1: Will This Rally Get Legs? SEG-2: 2008: When No One Trusted Anyone SEG-3: The Fed's Next Crisis Will Be Credit Related. Again. SEG-4: The Litmus Test for Corporate Health Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAGKcQyfCas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Buyback Blackout Window Nears the End " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXjuD0_GpfA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Our previous show is here: "Market Sloppiness on the Way" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84zXzDGZ67s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2851s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #MidTermElection #CongressionalGridlock #LehmanFailure #CreditCrisis #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/18/22) Markets appear to have plenty of fuel for a rally today; tracking the 200-Week Moving Average; the Bear hasn't appeared yet; Halloween spending and pumpkin methane; the chase is on: has the rally commenced? corporate earnings season, lowered estimates, and looking good. Top two concerns of voters: Economy and Inflation. When will the Inflation Reduction Act take effect? Can markets withstand 4.5% rates? Lance's Bitcoin Alert scheme; Why more Americans don't like financial advisors; the financial advisory industry has done it to itself. Investing goal: Protect purchasing power parity for the future. Fishing Cheaters, jewel thieves on Billionaires' Row, and reorganizing Goldman; Microsoft job losses coming.
SEG-1: 200-WMA & The Bear: What Happens Next? SEG-2: When Will the Inflation Reduction Act Take Effect? SEG-3: Lance's Bit-Alert; Why American's Don't Like Financial Advisors SEG-4: Fishing Cheaters & Reorganizing Goldman Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cuHtoVIPvUs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Can Markets Hit 4100?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79zPRrxNUZ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why We're Not In a Bear Market...Yet" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mo1ZORTvldo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2548s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #ChasingTheBull #InflationReductionAct #ReorganiztingGoldman #BitCoinAlert #FinancialAdvisors #EarningsSeason #BearMarket #BullMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/17/22) Halloween is the second-biggest retail shopping event of the year; earnings season begins today; markets continue to hold onto bottoms, with lots of volatility. After mid-term elections, watch for negative revisions to economic reports. The Roberts' House-hunting begins; the Fed's Third Mandate: Jacking-up asset prices with a litany of actions to boost equities. What happens when stocks outgrow what the economy can generate? Is there such thing as "too much savings?" Why we're not in a bear market...yet. What the technicals show; Emily the Criminal & student loan debt; the efficacy of college degrees; the motivation of fear; the Four Fears of Life.
SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins Today SEG-2: The Roberts' House-hunting & The Fed's Third Mandate SEG-3: Why We're Not In a Bear Market...Yet [Video referenced in this segment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Opj1Au5o9c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2] SEG-4: "Emily the Criminal" & Efficacy of College Degrees Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bzLrlDVvSmo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2849s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "What to Do If the Market Hits 3900" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NLQEoQlDaBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Whole World is Over-leveraged" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiOIPyomVa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #BearMarket #BullMarket #FederalReserve #FedsThirdMandate #EmilyTheCriminal #CollegeDegree #CollegeLoanDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/14/22) September CPI is less than August, but still over 8%: is less-bad news now good news? Calculating Halloween Inflation: Trick or Treat? Why are some are delaying retirement: Economics or Boredom? Dealing with inflation: Couponing & Fuel Points. The 8% COLA for Social Security vs means testing and taxation of benefits. Why a drop in Medicare premiums might not make up for last year's increases. Is what you're paying your financial advisor worth the cost?
SEG-1: Is Less-bad News Really Good? SEG-2: Delaying Retirement: Economics or Boredom? SEG-3: The SS COLA for 2023 SEG-4: Is Your Financial Advisor Worth It? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bzLrlDVvSmo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2849s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: s the Fed Creating Another Problem for Itself?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Opj1Au5o9c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Whole World is Over-leveraged" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiOIPyomVa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #SocialSecurityCOLA #FinancialAdvisor #ManagementFee #DelayingRetirement #Markets #Money #Investing
10/13/22) CPI did come in hotter-than anticipated; the Fed's conundrum with QE vs QT; The whole world is over-leveraged; UK pension funds are drowning in it. Collateral calls, when models fail, and banks' stress tests don't mean much; the pension funds in the UK will be a social crisis that creates a financial crisis world wide. Boeing's Dreamlifter nightmare; many financial articles are being written by those who've never lived through a bear market; why experience is important in times like these. There is no more FOMO, no more TINA. Why Jerome Powell is fighting 20-years of bad fiscal policy
SEG-1: CPI Preview & The Fed's Continuing Conundrum (this segment is truncated due to technical issues with Wirecast this morning;l for a complete AUDIO recording of the segment, please go to our Soundcloud podcast: SEG-2: The Whole World is Over-leveraged SEG-3: Why Experience Matters in Times Like These SEG-4: Bernanke's Nobel Prize & Powell's Fighting 20-years of Fiscal Mistakes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mdIbOp_ZPnk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: s the Fed Creating Another Problem for Itself?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Opj1Au5o9c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Inflation Report Preview Episode" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mdIbOp_ZPnk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2685s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #QuantitativeTightening #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/12/22) Janet Yellen tells CNBC essentially, "What, me worry?" Will the Recession be as "mild" as expected? Consumption will eventually slow down; "good" employment numbers are a lagging indicator AND subject to revision. Greta endorses nukes for electricity; the challenge of creating financial stability during transitional times. The Inmate Money Scammer; finding financial security in the U.S.; what happens with a strong dollar; all countries manipulate their currencies to adjust to the Dollar. Markets will stop panicking when Central Banks begin to panic. Germany is in trouble this winter; PPI preview; the co-dependency of global markets
SEG-1: Why We May Not Be in Recession...yet SEG-2: Trendline Belies Persistent Bullishness SEG-3: Inmate Financial Scammer, Janet Yellen's not Worried SEG-4: The Co-Dependency of Global Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The 200-WMA is the Markets' Line in the Sand" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6eb0OGIZ6Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "This is not the 1970's Inflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7He3U0TrU8g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #PPI #Inflation #Recession #JanetYellen #JoeBiden #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/7/22) Big Jobs numbers come out today amid a growing climate of negativity on the part of CEO's, anticipating layoffs in coming months; workers are essentially receiving pay cuts, thanks to effects of wages failing to keep up with inflation. Why older workers make better employees. Pandemic Homebuyers are having buyer's remorse; another example of lizard-brain investors not thinking-through a transaction; more and more American's are being priced out of the housing market; Sellers' "Endowment Bias" on home pricing; the Anti-Cramer ETF; the 4% Rule is based on faulty assumptions; the importance of creating a guaranteed source of income in retirement; another look at reverse mortgages. SEG-1: Looking for Layoffs SEG-2: Pandemic Homebuyers' Remorse SEG-3: The Anti-Cramer ETF SEG-4: The Faulty Assumptions in the 4% Rule
(10/11/22) Is Jamie Dimon correct in predicting a recession by 2023? 263k jobs number is great, but part of a declining trend. The Paradox of Savings makes for a weaker economy; earnings season is coming with estimates still too high. CEO confidence is at record lows, anticipating layoffs, starting with work-at-home employees. Employment growth is trending negatively. The Fed WILL make a policy mistake, and there is clear evidence Recession will come sooner than later. What kind of inflation is this? Driven by artificial increase in liquidity; the fallacy of Biden's stimulus and poverty; '70's inflation was driven by production, and organic, upward trend. The Volker Mistake; the Fed is operating on lagging indicators. Political divisions are rooted in economic inequalities, and financial "freebies" don't solve problems. Ben Bernanke's Nobel Prize in Economics: was he a firefighter or the arsonist? Why we should have followed the rule of law in 2008 and allowed failing banks to go bankrupt. SEG-1: How the Paradox of Savings Weakens the Economy SEG-2: Is Jamie Dimon Correct About Recession? SEG-3: What Kind of Inflation IS this?? SEG-4: Ben Bernanke - Firefighter or Arsonist? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7He3U0TrU8g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: WIs Inflation Cooling?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNFnFQi7I24&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show is here: "What Happens When the Financial Models Break?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2qsW-51p78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #Inflation #Recession #Jobs #JamieDimon #BenBernake #NobelPrize #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/6/22) Gasoline prices are back on the rise with OPEC's production cuts; Joe Biden's solution: Tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as winter looms, and demand for fuel oil will increase, resulting in greater expenses for an already strapped consumer. Markets are oversold with a drop in negative sentiment; yet no Fed pivot in sight. Will the Fed continue until something breaks? There are now $60-T in derivatives hanging out, all based on historical models that don't always predict everything. What happens when the models break? The Sub-prime fiasco was derivatives based on derivatives. Oil prices are on the rise, creating more financial pressure for consumers. The US is still a net-importer of oil. What happens when the US bids to replenish the SPR? Financial Stress and the Risk of Recession: The Fed's murky path. Is this the real Fed, or a Halloween mask? Is the Fed playing an economic game or a political one? SEG-1: Gasoline Prices are Back on the Rise SEG-2: What Happens When the Financial Models Break? SEG-3: The Politics of Energy SEG-4: Financial Stress & The Fed's Murky Path Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2qsW-51p78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does OPEC's Production Cuts Mean for Oil Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42zRvXF7K-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "THe House Price Plunge: Opportunity for Cash?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GX00_CHT2qo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2690s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #OPEC #OilPrices #StrategicPetroleumReserve #GasolinePrices #EconomicRecession #FederalResserve #MidTermElections #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/5/22) With home prices falling at the fastest pace since The Great Depression (and the resulting ramifications for the real estate market and the economy), one wonders whether the Fed is really paying attention. The VIX is moving up as selling pressure increases; watch for "performance chasing" by fund managers and portfolio managers. There is no indication the Fed is near pivoting on its inflation-fighting gambit. Markets are grinding higher in a tradeable rally. The continuing saga of The Roberts' kids & used cars; the home price plunge, recession fatigue, and opportunities for cash. The "Rosso-segment:" Candy corn, McDonald's, & Botox Parties; there is not guarantee of a Fed pivot...yet. The Transitory Camp to the Persistent Camp to the Transitory Camp again; Why the Mid-terms could create the gridlock markets love; why the Kardashian's? SEG-1: Is the Fed Really Paying Attention? SEG-2: The House Price Plunge: Opportunity for Cash? SEG-3: There's No Guarantee of a Fed Pivot...yet SEG-4: How the Mid-term Elections Might Affect Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GX00_CHT2qo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2690s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rally +6% - Is There More to Come? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RismnCpdstQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Will the Next Crisis be Credit-related?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MtMoI1ozqG0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=256s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #HousePricePlunge #CashOpportunity #FedPivot #MidTermElections #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/4/22) Will companies be able to pass along increased costs to consumers? As the prelude to earnings season begins to rev-up, CEO confidence is down; what will their outlooks reveal? Has the bounce begun? The short squeeze we predicted has arrived; expect rally to 3,800 to 3,900; Q3 GDP could provide some life to markets. While 70% of companies surveyed by KPMG say ESG has improved their earnings, 59% are pausing or reversing their ESG stance. How concerned is the Fed about Pension funds? The BOE's margin call loop: When Pension funds run out of collateral (a financial crisis doesn't have to be credit-related). Investment decisions are based upon models (see "Margin Call," the movie). Why this is not like 2008: More persons are working longer; what happens if/when they all pull their pension funds; could that create a "run" on Pensions? Market Commentary; is it unnerving that everyone sees a Recession coming, because no one ever sees a Recession coming. Bitcoin crimes & The Silk Road. The effects of drug use on society. SEG-1: Earnings Season Prelude SEG-2: The Financial Crisis Doesn't Have to be Credit-related SEG-3: Why This is Not Like 2008--But It Is SEG-4: The Recession No One Sees Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MtMoI1ozqG0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Be Careful: We're Not Out of The Woods Yet" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XO84WpHov5I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Nowhere to Go But US Dollar & Treasuries" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0UdZf34LihM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s
Articles mentioned in this report: "ESG Underperformance Will Be Its Undoing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-underperformance-will-be-its-undoing/ "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #FinancialCrisis #ShortSqueeze #EconomicRecession #EarningsSeason #PensionFund #PensionRun #BitCoin #TheSilkRoad #Markets #Money #Investing
(10/3/22) Don't let a bear market force you into making bad investing decisions. When will the real risk of recession occur? Any rally back to 4,000 is a good opportunity to "fix" your portfolio. When will the Fed begin to taper rate hikes? Today's special, un-scheduled Fed Governors meeting; dealing with recession fatigue; the real risk will be in 2023; the lagging effect of Fed rate hikes; Why are American's already tired of recession? Bankrate.com; there have been no incentives for saving. What's at stake in the mid-term elections? Any economic downturn will likely be over by the time the Presidential election occurs...unless something REALLY gets screwed up. What happens when the Fed and markets tighten liquidity at the same time? The biggest risk is a lack of liquidity in treasury markets; everything is a fiat currency, backed by faith and credit of individual governments; why there's not a United States of Europe; why there's no place else to go than US Dollar and Treasuries. Contraction of liquidity in US Treasuries poses a global risk. One more rate hike is going to break something. SEG-1: When Will Real Risk of Recession Occur? SEG-2: Dealing with Recession Fatigue SEG-3: What Happens When Markets & The Fed Tighten at Once? SEG-4: The Biggest Risk to Markets
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0UdZf34LihM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Keep an Eye on the 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qz2XgsC0oaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Broken Window Theory is Flawed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nsRTlN4RKC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=8s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #RecessionFatigue #InflationFatigue #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/30/22) Thursday was a rotten-apple day in a tumultuous week for the markets; recapping Hurricane Ian damage. Financial storms for the Dollar & Bond Markets: All gains from the last 10-years have been eliminated. The 60/40 allocation is the most painful ever. Why the Treasury market gets no respect; if you have cash on hand, begin putting together a list of target stocks to buy when th etiming is right. Moving from Cali to Texas; when Texan's visit abroad...in Vermont. The importance of a Money Script; taking the Brad Klontz Money Script Test; Money Vigilance vs Money Avoidance.
SEG-1: Recapping Hurricane Ian SEG-2: Dealing w Inflation with Bonds SEG-3: How We Write Our Money Scripts SEG-4: Money Vigilance vs Money Avoidance
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fnKqJNA0UYQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2401s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: BOE Bailout Fuels Rally " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cmBY9ZetGY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show is here: "The Broken Window Theory is Flawed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nsRTlN4RKC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=8s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Klontz Money Script Inventory-Revised (KMSI-R)" https://www.bradklontz.com/moneyscriptstest
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #BondMarket #MoneyScript #HurricaneIan #MovingToTexas #MoneyVigilance #Money Avoidance #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/29/22) Hurricane Ian pounded Florida overnight; recovery and repairs will contribute economic activity to the area, but the "Broken Window" theory has some flaws and mirrors the relationship between stimulus and inflation. The Bank of England caved to pressure, repeating what caused inflation in the first place; the realization that high valuations cannot be maintained; bond market in biggest bear mode in history; Bond's role in with loss of ability to manage risk. What is a Bond? What is a Coupon? The difference between equities & bonds is in the return of principal. Why Buy Bonds; how is the rate calculated? What is the real yield? The lower risk in bonds: no loss of principal. The Fed is manufacturing recession.
SEG-1: Hurricane Ian & The Broken Window Theory SEG-2: The Loss of Ability to Manage Risk SEG-3: Why Buy Bonds? SEG-4: What to do When the Fed is Manufacturing Recession
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nsRTlN4RKC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=8s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: BOE Bailout Fuels Rally " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cmBY9ZetGY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show is here: "Five Places to Put Cash" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rWKhgoMPTpA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #BondMarket #BondCoupon #HurricaneIan #QuantitativeEasing #Bankof England #BrokenWindowTheory #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/28/22) The Bank of England caves to the risk of inciting market instability and resumes its quantitative easing program of bond purchases. Oil Prices may be poised to move higher; Millennials are making more trades than any other demographic; the problem of anchoring; there are benefits to holding cash; the genesis of mutual funds; 29% of Americans are withdrawing from savings for everyday expenses; survey of what women want: more financial security for their household. Five places to put cash, including paying off high-interest debt, money market accounts; pick two out of three: Liquidity, safety, or returns: That's what investors get; the problem with i-Bonds: Did you miss this opportunity?
SEG-1: The Bank of England Blinks SEG-2: The Genesis of Mutual Funds & Benefits of Holding Cash SEG-3: What Women Want: Financial Security for Households SEG-4: Five Places to Put Cash
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rWKhgoMPTpA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bank of England Blinks - Is the Fed Next?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PWJfRHcwQg4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Most-forecast Recession in History" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQk8gpEJeeY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #QuantitativeEasing #Bankof England #CashHolding #MoneyMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/27/22) Are markets preparing for a big Short-squeeze? Just a month ago we were talking about rampant market bullishness, and now there's a high level of fear and angst in the markets. The dollar's strength has created more inflation overseas, at three standard deviations above the 50-DMA; that cannot last. We're looking for a relief rally. Could the Fed begin dollar-intervention? Why climate-plays are being reconsidered: They're too expensive. Why does the Fed using lagging indicators to drive future policy? A historic look at market performance: Setting up for a reflexive rally; a 2008 analogy and the velocity of rate hikes. The "mild" recession everyone is forecasting; looking for lower asset prices. Don't be surprised if any rally today is short-lived. The short-term memory of investors. What happened to Beyond Meat?
SEG-1: Where Did All the Bullish Exuberance Go? SEG-2: Driving the Fed in the Rear-view Mirror SEG-3: The Big Short-squeeze is Coming SEG-4: The "Mild" Recession Everyone is Looking For
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQk8gpEJeeY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Dollar Boost the Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9cOBo5_Kur0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show is here: "The Fed has Gone Too Far" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-6fXttAf9Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestingAdvice #EconomicRecession #BullishMarkets #BearishMarkets #MarketExuberance #FederalReserve #BeyondMeat #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/26/22) Markets on Friday held onto June bottoms and are expected to rally back to 3,900; there were a record number of put-options placed on Friday, as well, indicating investors are hedging against a market crash. Could Italian national elections installing a fiscal conservative by an overwhelming majority be a precursor to US Mid-terms? Current challenges in the auto market: Few used cars available, prices at a premium; long term result of Obama-era "Cash for Cars" program, lengthening of financing terms; watching for reversion in car prices. Market commentary: The Fed has Gone too Far. The Fed's focus on inflation creating a stronger dollar abroad, which in turn, replicates inflation there; the Fed's currency intervention (manipulation) options to keep trade stable; adding to debt service expense; the Fed always breaks things: How to navigate through. What is The One Asset for investing during inflation/deflation? The trick of transferring in and out of Treasuries; more rate hikes affect more than just interest rates; what is really "Fair Value" without Fed intervention?
SEG-1: Setting Up for October's Historical Market Bottom SEG-2: Buying Cars w The Roberts' Kids SEG-3: Navigating the Fed's Focus on Inflation SEG-4: The One Asset for Investing During Inflation & Deflation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-6fXttAf9Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2655s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will We Re-challenge June's Lows?3" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZawY7axSI3c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Just Break the Economy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7vhjai_U5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1835s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #UsedCarShopping #InterestRateHike #FOMC #BondInvesting #Inflation #Deflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/24/22) Markets did not respond well to Jerome Powell's statements following this week's FOMC meeting and rate hike. The question now is how far the Fed will go in its inflation fight. What does going long on Treasuries by Institutional investors tell us now? ESG underperformance is causing headaches for Calpers; what happens when political agendas run afoul of investing agendas. Study: Companies with high value also tend to have high carbon footprints. Jamie Dimon's 180 on Cryptocurrency: Decentralized Ponzi Scheme. The importance of Money Scripting in raising money smart kids: Save, Share, Spend. Investing with the Beave: That time Ward taught Wally & Beaver about investing, and that rascal, Eddie Haskell. Linking investments to real-life; Custodial Roth IRA's.
SEG-1: How Far will Powell Go? SEG-2: ESG Performance: What Happens When Social Agendas Collide w Investing Agenda SEG-3: Raising Money Smart Kids - The Problem w One-click Purchases SEG-4: Investing with The Beave Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RTm7h9sVbYE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2523s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Higher Rates are Here to Stay Until 2023" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWe17gAeUgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Just Break the Economy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7vhjai_U5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1835s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #JeromePowell #FOMC #BondInvesting #Inflation #MoneyScript #LeaveItToBeaver #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/22/22) It's a Trifecta Thursday with the onset of Autumn and the Death of the Roberts' Duber; the Fed raises rates 75-basis points, as expected, but shocks markets by saying higher rates are here to stay through 2023...unless something occurs to cause a change in stance. The Fed's "good intentions" vs reality; markets are now on the same page. The impact of higher rates on Bonds: TINA, FOMO, & YOLO in the Bond market; the importance of differentiation in bonds; bonds are a function of economic activity & inflation; Dollar strength is relative; what other currencies are doing, and why the Dollar is the Reserve Currency of the world; are we losing the advantage of the Rule of Law? Bank of Japan's intervention.
SEG-1: Thursday Trifecta, Fed Rate Hike SEG-2: The Fed's Intentions vs Reality SEG-3: TINE, FOMO, & YOLO and Bonds SEG-4: Why the Dollar is The Reserve Currency of the World Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7vhjai_U5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1835s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Higher Rates are Here to Stay Until 2023" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWe17gAeUgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Could Interest Rates Remain High through 2024?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cicHhGnamI8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2464s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Tail Risk and Persistent Inflation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tail-risk-and-persistent-inflation
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #FOMC #InterestRateHike #JeromePowell #BondInvesting #Inflation #ReserveCurrency #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/21/22) The Fed is expected to hike interest rates another 75-basis points today. Meanwhile, the Dot Plot, consisting of the FOMC voting members' positions on interest rates, suggests rates will be at 4.25% by 2023, and remain there into 2024. Bonds are extremely cheap relative to stocks. This is debunking the TINA (There Is No Alternative) syndrome. As rates rise, those with pensions must consider whether taking monthly distributions or a lump sum is in their best interest. The fallacy of "deficit reduction;" the unintended consequences of government programs, good intentions, and bad outcomes.
SEG-1: FOMC Meeting Preview & Dot Plot Predictions SEG-2: The Inflation Calculations Behind the Fed's Rate Hikes SEG-3: Pensions & Lump Sum Options - Why Interest Rates Matter SEG-4: Unintended Consequences of Government Programs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cicHhGnamI8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2461s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Treasuries Respond to Fed's Rate Hike Binge" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5QUp-riVZOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why Jerome Powell is Okay with "Below Trend" Growth" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_eE2iVEa8Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-reduction-is-it-reality-or-a-mirage-2/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #FOMC #InterestRateHike #JeromePowell #BondInvesting #PensionPayout #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/20/22) It's turning into a sloppy September for markets, even though support held at May's lows on Monday. Today marks the start of the FOMC meeting, with markets anticipating the group's next move upward on rates by 75bp. Why is Jerome Powell okay with "below trend" economic growth? The trap of investors' "anchoring;" the Fed's view of markets is the only one that counts. Some economic pain is okay...the Fed is going to act in a way that is not friendly to markets. Why the Fed might NOT cut rates; the Fed's actions and chain of events; does the Buffett Indictor indicate a coming market crash? Buy My House (Shark Tank for Real Estate); why Open Door is losing money; this is how you know you're at the top of a market. Zillow's iBuying is geared for volume selling, not profitable deals. Why you really DON'T have to own a house.
SEG-1: Sloppy September & Markets' Expectations SEG-2: Why Jerome Powell is Okay with "Below Trend Growth" SEG-3: Is The Buffett Indicator Predicting a Market Crash? SEG-4: How You Know You're at the Top of a Market (Real Estate) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_eE2iVEa8Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2683s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Rates Reach 4%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50DsLuo5gv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Our previous show is here: "Is a 75bp Rate Increase Already Baked-in?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ok76LzsOFTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FOMC #InterestRateHike #JeromePowell #EconomicPain #BelowTrendEconomicGrowth #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/19/22) A bit of distraction to start the morning with all eyes on the State Funeral of Queen Elizabeth II; the next meeting of the FOMC is on Wednesday, with expectations for a 75-basis point rate increase already "baked into the cake;" there is concern the Fed could go for a 1% rate hike. Goldman is predicting rates at 4 to 4.25% by the end of the year--hopefully the point at which the Fed will halt rate increases. The Stock Buy-back Blackout period is about to commence, and that activity has made up about 40% of Markets' total return since 2011. Federal Express's earnings miss was accompanied by a negative outlook; the Fred Smith Story; when will Amazon be pre-Prime? Is year-over-year portfolio performance comparison a long-enough perspective/
SEG-1: Navigating with The Fed (using lagging data) SEG-2: Why Stock Buy-backs are NOT a Return of Capital to Investors SEG-3: FedEx Fallout SEG-4: Gauging Performance w Proper Perspective
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ok76LzsOFTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Happens When Buy-backs Go Away" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jU185LOQkJ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show is here: "How High Will Fed Rates Need to Go?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlru4UOaWiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=934s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FedEx #FOMC #AmazonPrime #BuyBack#Blackout #FredSmith #WalMart #QueenElizabeth_II #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/16/22) FedEx's dire predictions are echoing concern of others on the true health of the economy; delivery services are a bellwether of a coming recession. The Fed is in a box; Wal-Mart: If you want deals, we're giving you deals. James Taylor, "Inflation is Dead;" Identifying the Tax Torpedo; the bridge strategy of Tax Torpedo diffusion; when companies get hammered, and the opportunity that's created; America slips in the Global Retirement Index; Lance's Last Chart NFT.
SEG-1: What FedEx's Dire Report Means SEG-2: The Tax Torpedo SEG-3: Diffusing the Tax Torpedo SEG-4: When Companies Get Hammered (and create opportunity)
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIXksrKaFUE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2936s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could Oil Rally to $95-barrel?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CsTiQCB9-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How High Will Fed Rates Need to Go?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlru4UOaWiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=934s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #TaxTorpedo #Retirement #FederalReserve #FedEx #WalMart #JamesTaylor #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/15/22) Markets remain in a broad trading range, even as the Fed prepares for next week's FOMC Meeting: We're witnessing bear market behavior, grinding down investors. The VIX "fear gauge" is remarkably tame. Oil prices could rally to a range of $90-$95/bbl; Michael Lebowitz' motto shifts from "Don't Fight the Fed" to "Follow the Fed," and note its bullish- or bearish-stances. The Fed today (9/15) begins its quantitative tightening. There's no perceptible change in Fed stance: Get rates as high as needed as fast as possible; today's inflation is not the same as in the '70's; the problem with trailing indicators; What will the Fed do next (and note that they don't have to wait until the next meeting to move rates.) Investor navigation is a matter of recognizing the trends.
SEG-1: Fed-Speak Preview, Volatility, & Bear Market Behavior SEG-2: Follow the Fed SEG-3: Next FOMC Meeting: How high, How fast? SEG-4: How to Navigate Fed Waters
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlru4UOaWiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=934s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could Oil Rally to $95-barrel?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CsTiQCB9-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How CPI Will Impact Social Security COLA" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-skrZRueDQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Biden’s Stimulus Will Cut Poverty By 40% – For One Year." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/ "Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-reduction-is-it-reality-or-a-mirage-2/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CPI #Inflation #CrudeOilPrices #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/14/22) With the latest CPI print at 8.3%, the odds of bigger interest rate increases by the Fed just got better; markets are still within a rising bottom trendline against a declining line of bullishness: Decision time is coming this week, as volatility remains confined. Inflation actually slowed from this time last year; what if you could get more for your money? Lump-sum Pension or long-term payout? How CPI will impact Social Security COLA adjustments; how inflation will hasten Social Security insolvency; the difference between CPI-W & CPI-E and why it matters. Is Social Security welfare or entitlement? Why solutions for "fixing" Social Security are unelectable. The $96-T un-funded liability. The problem w student loan forgiveness. How Joe Biden's Stimmie Checks fulfilled our poverty prophecy; dancing across the poverty line. Pre-market commentary; FAFSA Lunch & Learn preview.
SEG-1: The Odds of More Aggressive Rate Hikes Just Increased SEG-2: What If You Could Get More on Your Money? SEG-3: How Inflation Accelerates SS Insolvency SEG-4: Dancing Across the Poverty Line
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-skrZRueDQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2673s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Financial Media Goes Nuts Over CPI" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2qW7paPBP1g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "8.3% Inflation: Thinking Ahead of the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXvSzlIiwCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Biden’s Stimulus Will Cut Poverty By 40% – For One Year." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/ "Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-reduction-is-it-reality-or-a-mirage-2/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #StudentFinancialAid #FAFSA #CollegeLoans #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/13/22) All eyes are on today's CPI Report (clocking-in at 8.3% Inflation) and its effects on the economy: What are the numbers within the number, and why does it matter? What will be the Fed's response, and what will it take for the Fed to ease up on rate hikes? The dichotomy of views among Bears vs Bulls: the problem of timing and duration; after 3 Bull Markets, why are 80% of Americans still broke? The White Multi-millionaire Minority. Dealing with short-term market-cycles, and thinking ahead of the Fed: What's the best strategy for Recession? Markets FOMO on potential Fed pivot; trade the market for what it is, not what we wish it was. CPI Preview: Too hot not good for stocks: Fed will continue rate hikes. Has the deficit really been reduced as claimed?
SEG-1: The Numbers Within the CPI Number SEG-2: The Dichotomy of Bearish & Bullish Views SEG-3: Thinking Ahead of the Fed SEG-4: CPI Preview; Has the Deficit Been Reduced, as Claimed?
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXvSzlIiwCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: August Hotter Than Expected" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCEwcUlPicw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The "Cash on the Sideline" Myth" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bICNrkKrAF8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2742s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Five for Friday: Staples Worth Following" https://simplevisorinsights.com/five-for-friday-staples-worth-following [NOTE: SimpleVisor registration required] "Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-reduction-is-it-reality-or-a-mirage-2/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #EnergyCosts #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/12/22) Markets are working off excesses--most companies are currently doing okay, CEO's hoping for a "soft landing." The rising bottoms and declining tops are creating a wedge markets will have to painfully resolve. Why there is no such thing as "cash on the sidelines," but there is a dearth of buyers or dearth of sellers. We're now seeing seller exhaustion; looking at a rally within bearish bias. Animal Sleep Patterns; the unseen impact of energy costs, government bailouts, and the EU economy; the feedback of consumption trends; CEO's at Goldman Retail Conference see no recession before 2023; effects of Fed's rate hike series still to be felt in markets. dealing with the complexity of markets; the difference between college and experience.
SEG-1: The Pain Trade Seems to Be Higher SEG-2: There's No Such Thing as "Cash on the Sidelines" SEG-3: Dealing With the Unseen in the Markets SEG-4: Why Experience is a Better Teacher than College
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bICNrkKrAF8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2742s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Pain Trade is Higher" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJUjbf-z9u4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The True Cost of Aging Exposed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hlIlJKC7WY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Five for Friday: Staples Worth Following" https://simplevisorinsights.com/five-for-friday-staples-worth-following [NOTE: SimpleVisor registration required] "Markets Hold Support As Bulls Defy The Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/markets-hold-support-as-bulls-defy-the-fed/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #MarketMyth #PainTrade #MarketImpact #InterestRates #EnergyCosts #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/9/22) Why Meghan cannot be Queen; The Janet Yellen Economic Roadshow: taxes must return to "norms;" inflation and the "Fair" economy; energy diversification; Brookings Institute: Unemployment must go higher. Understanding the US economy in COVID; Janet Yellen's EV's; the fiscal fight; why having cash is not a bad thing; market preview: Gerber Insurance; The Elder Index & cost of Aging; demographics and changes to work habits; the importance of good health in retirement; living single in retirement; The Viral Queen; FAFSA preview; "It's Complicated" financial dust bunnies; your end of life plan for your pets; pet trusts.
SEG-1: Janet Yellen on Taxes, Inflation, & "Fair" Economy SEG-2: Understanding the US Economy in COVID SEG-3: Market Preview; The True Cost of Aging SEG-4: End of Life Planning for Pets
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Sr. Risk Management Consultant, Chris Liebum LUTFC Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hlIlJKC7WY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2756s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Death Cross & Oil Prices" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kyr2i7vyvmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Currency Swap Line" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ex09Bn_9UD4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2643s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Consumer Staples vs. Discretionary" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-staples-vs.-discretionary "Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-decline-likely-more-to-go-before-we-are-done/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestingAdvice #QueenElizabeth #JanetYellen #CostOfAging #Inflation #ElderIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/8/22) Markets continue through a holiday-shortened week; use any rally to reduce portfolio risk; the Fed is not backing-off its hawkish stance, but markets are holding support...so far. The Fed's hawkish talk--75bp, with more to come, targeting the 4% range. The ECB is dealing with the same issues as the Fed, plus much higher energy costs. Dealing with the feedback-loop of central bank moves; why dollar strength is a problem for the EU; all currencies are fiat--nothing is "backed" by anything. Liquidity is key; when the dollar tightens, there's a ripple effect for the entire world; the Fed's currency swap-line; with the Russian incursion and higher energy prices, the best way to help the EU is with a stronger Euro; inflation is the bane of bond holders.
SEG-1: What if the Market Breaks Through Support? SEG-2: Dealing with the Fed's Feedback Loop SEG-3: The Ripple Effect of Fed Tightening SEG-4: The EU, Bonds, & Russian's Impact
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Death Cross & Oil Prices" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kyr2i7vyvmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Should You Jump Into an EV?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t1ioJ5JfHqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2459s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Consumer Staples vs. Discretionary" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-staples-vs.-discretionary "Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-decline-likely-more-to-go-before-we-are-done/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #Eurozone #HighEnergyPrices #StrongDollar #FiatCurrency #EnergyPrices #Inflation #Rusia_Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/7/22) September markets are underway with buying and selling stampedes; use any rally to reduce risk. If you're worrying too much about your portfolio, you're holding too much risk! Looking forward, earnings expectations are still too elevated, and valuations have to come down. A side-by-side look at the ISM vs S&P PMI; geopolitical decisions affect markets. Europe is imploding over high energy costs (thanks, Vladimir!) As the US exports inflation and imports deflation, effects will be felt here. Markets are likely to re-test 50-DMa; Cali power woes is the price of shifting too quickly to "green" energy sources, before a bridge between "dirty" and "clean" energy.
SEG-1: Buying & Selling Stampedes SEG-2: The Problem with Divergent Data SEG-3: The Risk of Betting on a Bear Market Crash SEG-4: The Unintended Consequences of Jumping Into EV's
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t1ioJ5JfHqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2679s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: When Will Markets' Stampede End?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D9Ak0IrBIsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "What's the Half-life of a Biden Fist-bump?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IawOTGD3n_c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2655s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Consumer Staples vs. Discretionary" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-staples-vs.-discretionary "Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-decline-likely-more-to-go-before-we-are-done/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #SellingStampede #Eurozone #HighEnergyPrices #GreenEnergy #EarningsExpectations #ExcessiveValuations #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/6/22) The best thing about this week may be that it's only four-days long! Liz Truss is the new UK PM, already embattled; the death of BBY CEO; OPEC's production cut & the half-life of a Biden fist-bump; Russia's weaponization of natural gas to Europe; Europe's response to inflation: Do the same things again that caused it; the move from capitalism to more socialistic practices; market valuations and the shift from GAP to Forward Operating Earnings, a.k.a 'what we wish they were.' There's no forthcoming reprieve from Fed interest rate hikes.
SEG-1: Liz Truss, BBY SEO Death; The Half-life of a Biden Fist-bump. SEG-2: The Unwinding of the Economy that Created America's Wealth SEG-3: When Will Things get Back to Normal? SEG-4: The Fed's Jenga Game
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IawOTGD3n_c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2655s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rally Despite OPEC Production Cuts" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=93RNDdSzkqI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Start Paying More Attention to Employment?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fpkDXstPvM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Bull Rally Fails As Bears Regain Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bull-rally-fails-as-bears-regain-control/ "Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-decline-likely-more-to-go-before-we-are-done/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InvestingAdvice #OPEC #OilPrices #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #JoeBiden #JeromePowell #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/2/22) In the kind of market where bad news is good news, where do we go from here? The dark side of not allowing business cycle to complete: Recession = Bad; so the market has outrun the economy. Why the Medicare Advantage TV ads have disappeared; the games medical/healthcare delivery companies play; why we prefer Medigap to Medicare Advantage plans. Market Tailwinds have tunred to headwinds: Is now a bad time to retire? Reviewing withdrawal rates over three-year rolling average; Cartoons & Me.TV; will SOcial Security benefits be tax-free by 2023? SEG-1: The Bad News is Good News Market SEG-2: Medicare Advantage & Healthcare Delivery Games SEG-3: Is Now a Bad Time to Retire? SEG-4: Will Social Security be Free by 2023
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_rsI83VX7M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2885s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: It Was a Bear Market Rally, After All" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJnKkzlPFGQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Start Paying More Attention to Employment?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fpkDXstPvM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestingAdvice #SocialSecurityBenefits #MedicareAdvantage #MedigapCoverage #RetirementTiming #Markets #Money #Investing
(9/1/22) What would happen if markets break through the 50-DMA? We're treating any market rally as an opportunity to sell and reduce equity risk; parsing Jerome Powell's post-Jackson Hole comments; bringing pain to households and businesses, and the beginning of the Price-Wage spiral; will the Fed start to pay more attention to employment numbers? The stats on the Great Resignation--there's a little remorse. The dynamics of house prices, and response to Fed rate hikes; payments and psychology in house buying. The biggest risk to markets is a Fed policy mistake: moving interest rates higher based on lagging economic data, with delayed results by as much as 12-months. Why the Fed should set rates and "let it sit." Quantitative Tightening is the elephant in the room: What interest rate will break the economy? SEG-1: What if Markets Break the 50-DMA? SEG-2: Parsing Jerome Powell & the Beginning of Price-Wage Spiral SEG-3: Is this a Housing Recession or Correction? SEG-4: The Biggest Risk to Markets: A Fed Policy Mistake
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fpkDXstPvM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: It Was a Bear Market Rally, After All" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJnKkzlPFGQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "What CEO Confidence is Saying" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K2kUZhfJ8uk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Market Sell-Off As Jackson Hole Leans Hawkish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-sell-off-as-jackson-hole-leans-hawkish/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestmentAdvice #EmploymentReport #QuantitativeTightening #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing #BattleshipTexasFoundation
(8/31/22) Considering the Fed's Quantitative Tightening and what CEOs' confidence is saying about the economy; confidence on the wane as the economy weakens (which is the intent of the Fed); dire predictions of a "whopper" recession in 2023; why isn't the Fed looking at M-2? Investor psychology and Pavlov's dog: The Fed's QE is the bell; a succinct history of Exogenous Events; moving the Battleship Texas; Warren Buffett's investing advice at 92. SEG-1: The Fed's QT: What CEO Confidence is Saying SEG-2: The 2023 Recession Will Be a Whopper SEG-3: Investor psychology and a Brief History of Exogenous Events SEG-4: Battleships and Warren Buffet at 92.
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K2kUZhfJ8uk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Break 50-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2giYJuL4n_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin & NFT Trading Has Crashed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l8g-w2x8uyA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2567s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Market Sell-Off As Jackson Hole Leans Hawkish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-sell-off-as-jackson-hole-leans-hawkish/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestmentAdvice #EmploymentReport #QuantitativeTightening #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing #BattleshipFoundationGroup
(8/30/22) Markets are on sell-signals, so use any rally to sell-into and raise cash, rebalance portfolio risk; the impact on credit spreads by rising interest rates will reverberate through the economy. We are likely not through the corrective period. 60% of Americans living paycheck to paycheck--down from 61%! Is the pain worth the fight on inflation? why investing doesn't work as advertised. America exports inflation and imports deflation; what happens when the EU does the same? Top Things Workers Want from Their Jobs; arranging for permanent time off. SIUB: Suck It Up Buttercup and get back to work being productive; Why Bitcoin and NFT trading has crashed. Bitcoin is the "Pet Rock" of the 2020's; Pet Rocks were the NFT's of the '70's. Meghan Markle got the royal shaft; Markets need a reflexive rally; still trying to price-in what the Fed will do. The feedback loop of economic pain = slower economic growth = lower corporate earnings = more job losses & pain. Why the economic recession will be worse than we're being told. SEG-1: Credit Spreads & Interest Rates SEG-2: Is the Pain Worth the Fight on Inflation? SEG-3: SIUB - Return to Work; NFT's the Pet Rocks of 2020 SEG-4: Meghan Markle's Royal Shaft; Why the Economic Recession Will Be Worse Than Expected
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l8g-w2x8uyA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2566s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will a Hold at the 50-DMA Level Continue? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2giYJuL4n_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Filling the Holes in Jackson, WY" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9qwKU7HyTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Market Sell-Off As Jackson Hole Leans Hawkish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-sell-off-as-jackson-hole-leans-hawkish/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestmentAdvice #InterestRates #BitCoin #Inflation #ReturnToWork #EmployeeBenefits #PetRock #NFT #MeghanMarkle #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/29/22) The summer drought is revealing strange discoveries; there's no Powell pivot in sight, post-Jackson Hole; the fallacy of college debt forgiveness; Pew charts disappointment by political parties and the effect on markets; Powell's restoration of price stability, rebalancing supply & demand; curbing inflation will likely result in curbing economic growth, pain for households & businesses; more importantly 9and was ignored) was what the ECU said at Jackson Hole; the impact of impending Italian election; no one is paying attention to European energy shortages; bitcoin miners in Texas requesting more power; paying the consequences of flawed economic theories (MMT, Green New Deal); a few diversions: Emotional support gator, sports memorabilia sales, hidden treasures, Aussie spiders, snakes, & Google searches; Market pre-lude & commentary; why Russian sanctions aren't working; impact of nat gas prices in Europe. SEG-1: Drought Discoveries & No Pivot From the Fed SEG-2: Rebalancing Supply & Demand SEG-3: Filling the Holes at Jackson WY SEG-4: Diversions & Discussion: Markets, EU Energy, & Russian Sanctions
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9qwKU7HyTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Dow Dumps in Response to Powell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ToPv98MdGc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show is here: "Will Jerome Powell Disappoint?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ow_8wNY6aYw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2675s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Market Sell-Off As Jackson Hole Leans Hawkish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-sell-off-as-jackson-hole-leans-hawkish/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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InvestmentAdvice #JacksonHole #InflationReductionAct #InterestRates #CollegeDebtRelief #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/26/22) Does everything hinge around Jackson Hole? Will Jerome Powell disappoint the hawks? the impact of energy prices on inflation; California's EV gambit; how the drought will impact food prices & inflation. How the Inflation Reduction Act will cap prescription drug prices--eliminating the Medicare donut hole; Drug Holidays, the Anxiety in Retirement Planning; Medicare Confusion; A Dr Pepper a Day, and putting coke back into Coke; How to not out-live your retirement. SEG-1: Will Jerome Powell Disappoint? SEG-2: The Silver Lining in the Inflation Reduction Act SEG-3: What Women Fear Most About Retirement SEG-4: How Not to Outlive Your Assets in Retirement
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ow_8wNY6aYw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2675s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: All Eyes on Jackson Hole" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYcqKcfYODA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Price-Wage Spiral" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGM0x6vAYXQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestmentAdvice #JacksonHole #InflationReductionAct #InterestRates #MedicareDonutHole #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/25/22) The Jackson Hole Symposium launches today; Is the Fed going to pivot? NVIDIA forecasting lower earnings; the good news/bad news about student loan forgiveness and the problem with "free" money; Cracker Barrel's veggie sausage; challenges for the Jackson Hole in the wall gang: Transitioning to a new, lasting reality w Inflation and the price-wage spiral; Fed presidents looking for a "softer" landing (softer than what??) Encyclopedias & the Copy & Paste Fed; are we seeing signs of a housing recession? The effects of monetary policy and policy lag; past-due power bills' impact on Municipal Bonds; de-globalization and the end of abundance in the EU; impact of slower European economy on the US, where 40% of corporate earnings come from spending abroad. SEG-1: Jackson Hole Prelude: Is the Fed Going to Pivot? SEG-2: The New, Lasting Reality of Inflation SEG-3: Encyclopedias & The Copy-and-Paste Fed SEG-4: The End of Abundance
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGM0x6vAYXQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: All Eyes on Jackson Hole" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYcqKcfYODA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Scary Consequences of Student Loan Forgiveness" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QzIFrI3Ubo8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestmentAdvice #StudentLoanForgiveness #PriceWageSpiral #JacksonHole #EndOfAbundance #AggressiveFed #InterestRates #InflationReductionAct #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/24/22) Markets have a laser-focus on upcoming Jackson Hole conference; is the Fed going to get more aggressive in dealing with inflation? Expectations for a more persistent level of inflation The Housing market is in the early stages of recession. Dennis Rodman's trek to Russia to bargain for Brittney Griner's release; what could possibly go wrong? Joe Biden's student loan debt forgiveness gambit; unintended consequences--it's a taxable event. The history of student loans; the resulting inflation will more than negate the effects of the "Inflation Reduction Act;" the stats of student loans; Fat kids and Global Warming; how to adjust your stock & bond portfolios. SEG-1: Jackson Hole Prelude: Will the Fed Get More Aggressive? SEG-2: Dennis Rodman to the Rescue; Biden's Student Loan Forgiveness SEG-3: Unintended Consequences of Student Loan Forgiveness SEG-4: 20-Ideas for Adjusting Stock & Bond Portfolios
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QzIFrI3Ubo8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Targeting 4,000 to 4,160 as We Head Into Jackson Hole" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFOsI9EkRjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How to Navigate Through Stagflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3xUDJ328DU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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InvestmentAdvice #StudentLoanForgiveness #JacksonHole #AggressiveFed #InterestRates #InflationReductionAct #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/23/22) Markets slice through the 100-DMA; potential impact of the coming Jackson Hole extravaganza; We export inflation and import cheap stuff; how to navigate through stagflation; back to college, self-checking at Walmart, Full-service filling stations; the saga of Meme Stocks; don't try to always make money in the market; outperforming a down market is key to success. Watch for slower economic growth as Fed continues to tighten; how Zoome became ubiquitous for online meetings; fundamental evaluations matter; the success of "House of the Dragon." SEG-1: How to Navigate Through Deflation SEG-2: Back to College & Saga of the Meme Stocks SEG-3: Can Markets Still Make Positive Returns in 2022? SEG-4: Taking the Zip out of Zoom
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3xUDJ328DU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Slicing Through Support Levels" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URswcY8N3mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Reddit Run-up on AMC Stock" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZKPbhkFpOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2692s
Article mentioned in today's show: "Five for Friday" from SimpleVisor.com: https://simplevisorinsights.com/five-for-friday-closed-end-fund-mlps-trading-at-a-discount
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InvestmentAdvice #StagflationNavigation #MemeStocks #BearMarket #AMC #APE #Apple #Meta #Microsoft #Tesla #Zoom #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/22/22) The Roberts' House Squirrel Infestation; Historic stats on Bear Market Rallies: 30% of the 17% market gain is on the backs of four stocks: Apple, Meta, Microsoft, & Tesla; Why 40% of executives are rescinding job offers; why we'll be lucky to hit 1% GDP in 2023; check out our "Five for Friday" report; comparing stock fundamentals to ETF performance; what's going to happen when ETF's sell-off? How Reddit ran up the price of AMC; going APE for AMC stock. Will we end up with only ONE movie theater chain? SEG-1: Dogs, Squirrels, & Blood Bath & Beyond SEG-2: What Jobs Markets Really Says About the Economy SEG-3: The Challenges of Fundamentals vs ETF's SEG-4: Going APE over AMC
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZKPbhkFpOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2692s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Has the 9-week Rally Ended?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KUTOnNcToY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Moderation" is "Recession"? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pfxqhd7835c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2713s
Article mentioned in today's show: "Five for Friday" from SimpleVisor.com: https://simplevisorinsights.com/five-for-friday-closed-end-fund-mlps-trading-at-a-discount
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Investment_Advice #Bear_Market #Blood_Bath_and_Beyond #AMC #APE #Apple #Meta #Microsoft #Tesla #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/19/22) Why the markets are feeling very "beary;" Fed pivot talk is ridiculous; future Jobs cuts are going to be more white-collar; spending habits are shifting; The cost of raising children should be birth control enough; What happens when the Bank of Mom & Dad helps kids with mortgages; Texas food addictions; Lending guidelines for the Bank of Mom & Dad; thinking like a loan officer; who in the world wants to work for the IRS? Tax implications for lending to kids; lending vs gifting to children; the question of balance: How much "skin-in-the-game" do the kids have? SEG-1: Why the Markets Feel Very "Beary" SEG-2: What it Really Costs to Raise Your Kids SEG-3: Food Addictions; Guidelines for the Bank of Mom & Dad SEG-4: Tax Implications for Family Loans [NOTE: Our live-stream failed during the fourth segment; you can listen to the complete show audio here: ]
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A6lP2m6v6HE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: FOMC Meeting Minutes: Fedspeak Translation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qOVqNotzoyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Moderation" is "Recession"? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pfxqhd7835c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2713s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Investment_Advice #Bear_Market #Cost_of_Raising_Children #Bank_of_Mom_and_Dad #Family_Loans #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/18/22) It's College Move-in Week; parsing the latest meeting minutes of the FOMC: Markets rally despite economic backdrop; why retail sales numbers aren't what they seem: We're spending more, getting less; the lag-effect of Fed policy; How FOMC Meeting minutes are "crafted" for release; Hawks and Doves: There's something for everyone. Code words the Fed uses. Ice cream vs Bagels; Cheeseburgers vs salads; health in retirement; Gravity Payments CEO Quits; Entry level jobs/pay; minimum wage vs living wage; the problem with brining semiconductor production onshore; "Friend-shoring" to Vietnam; re-shoring of production to US is unfeasible; the false paradigm that everyone deserves a living wage; the minimum wage is actually zero--you're paid what you're worth. Why we have inflation: We want too much. SEG-1: College Move-in Season; FOME Meeting Minutes De-coded. SEG-2: "Moderation" is a Polite Term for "Recession" SEG-3: Ice cream, Healthy Food, & Retirement SEG-4: Lance's Rant: The False Paradigm of Minimum Wage
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pfxqhd7835c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2713s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: FOMC Meeting Minutes: Fedspeak Translation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qOVqNotzoyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Should You Be "All-in" Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33nOdDCrqpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2549s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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(8/17/22) Retailers' earnings reports and forecasts are painting a gloomy picture in contrast to Wall Street's cheerleaders: Target's earnings (and what they did to liquidate surplus inventory) is a cautionary tale. FOMC Meeting Minutes will be released today, expected to reveal the Fed's proclivities about future rate hikes. If you assume we're in a Bear market, you must also presume there has to be a rally. Should you be al-in, or not? How Consumers' buying habits are changing: Wal-Mart & IHOP; How do you Define a Bear Markets vs a Bull Market? Where do you think you rank in priority for your Broker's attention? Making the transition from Uber Bear to Uber Bull. Understanding Homebuilders' reports; the trend away from single family to multi-family construction; rental vs home ownership: How you know when you can (or cannot) afford to buy a house. SEG-1: Retail Earnings - Target's Case Study SEG-2: Should You Me "All-In" Now? SEG-3: How Your Broker is Really Incentivized SEG-4: How You Know You Can Afford to Buy a House...or not
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33nOdDCrqpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2549s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the FOMC Meeting Minutes Reveal a Dovish Stance?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OgZpQvfTzhE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Biden bill Will Cause HIGHER Inflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kQLvdxK6jM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2656s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Bull_Market #Bear_Market #Retail_Sales #Target #WalMart #Home_Builders #Renting_vs_Home_Ownership #Stock_Broker #Broker_Incentives #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/16/22) We might not yet be in Recession, but the stage is being set for one; if the Fed has to cut rates, the underlying reason will not bode well for markets. What has happened to demand? Biden bill to reduce inflation will not have much effect, but will cause higher inflation, negative GDP, and job losses; will also result in more IRS audits for middle class. Congress can defund in 2024. SEG-1: In Search of Markets' Higher High: Correction to Come? SEG-2: We're Not In a Recession...Yet SEG-3: Dive Bar Ice Cream & Chasing Tesla: Unintended Consequences SEG-4: Why Beefed-Up IRS Might Not Last
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kQLvdxK6jM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2656s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Market Correction Would Be No Surprise" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uDKCEWyf3yE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why Earnings Estimates Don't Matter Any More" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9pC2IcULsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2687s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Bull_Market #Bear_Market #Stock_Valuations #Federal_Reserve #Interest_Rate_Hikes #Inflation_Reduction_Act #Unintended_Consequences #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/15/22) Will the impact of inflation on household budgets spur the Fed to back-off rate hike campaign? The bigger question is when might the Fed not just stop the hikes, but reverse the direction of rates? Technical commentary on the Bull vs Bears Battle Royale: How does a bull market continue amidst overwhelming, negative indicators? What could possibly go wrong with the IRS hiring armed agents with the ability to use deadly force? The unintended consequences of sending checks to households = high inflation; Ford CEO comments on EV's and coincidental price $8,500 price increase as Inflation Act extends $7,500 tax credit for EV's. The gap between government reporting and household surveys will likely close following November elections and data "revisions;" Is the current rally a stop along the way to lower levels? the biggest challenge to stocks going forward is valuations. Earnings were "okay" as better-than-expected, but better be better next quarter. Better to be long on the market than short, but that will change. SEG-1: When Will the Fed Start Reducing Rates? SEG-2: The Bullish- Bearish-Battle Royale SEG-3: The Unintended Consequences of the "Inflation Reduction" Act SEG-4: Why Earnings Estimates Really Don't Matter
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9pC2IcULsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2687s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Are Bullish on a Short Term Basis" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qCxqUtCLSYE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Are Prices "Stickier" Than We Think?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dGTtx0sMZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Bull_Market #Bear_Market #Stock_Valuations #Federal_Reserve #Interest_Rate_Hikes #Inflation_Reduction_Act #Unintended_Consequences #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/12/22) Markets' counter-trend rally despite no changes fundamentally; "Inflation" and "easing" shouldn't be in the same sentence; Janet Yellen as "Grand Theft Granny:" Why the IRS needs armed agents; now is the time for all good men to trim equity exposure; why "The Flintstones," "Bewitched," and "Leave it to Beaver" could never be produced today; why Long Term Returns Are Unsustainable; the perfect economic storm; demographics are deflationary; the state of Social Security; long term care and why you need insurance before you need insurance. SEG-1: Markets' Counter-trend Rally: The fundamentals haven't changed SEG-2: Grand Theft Granny & IRS Agents; Time to Trim Equities Holdings? SEG-3: Flintstones vs PC TV; Demographics are Deflationary SEG-4: Why You Need Insurance Before You Need It
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1T3SdVtqkqY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2716s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Inflation Lower Than Expected" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQzrfShRYzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Are Prices "Stickier" Than We Think?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dGTtx0sMZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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CPI #Inflation #IRS #Counter_trend_rally #JanetYellen #TrimmingEquities #Deflation #LongTermCareInsurance #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/11/22) Markets' aftermath of a flat CPI print: Has inflation peaked? Markets' 50% retracement of previous decline: What's the difference between a bear market and a correction? World Record Ghost Pepper eater; Markets' response to 0% inflation print (and what this really means); the Fed is tricky--the fallacy of "core" inflation; Are prices "stickier" than we think? The challenge of an unstable economic environment; the fallout from pandemic: Two forms of Fed "backing-off." The time to buy stocks is when the Fed cuts rates. Earnings Season recap: What happened at Disney? The real risk to markets is a drop in earnings from loss of consumer spending as inflation saps finances. SEG-1: CPI Fallout - Has Inflation Peaked? SEG-2: Is the Fed Losing the Case for Rate Hikes? SEG-3: Digesting CPI: Two Forms of Fed "Backing-off" SEG-4: When is the Best Time to Buy Stocks?
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dGTtx0sMZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Inflation Lower Than Expected" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQzrfShRYzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Anticipating Today's CPI" hhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b49f7-NNs54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2658s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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CPI #Inflation #StickyPrices #CoreCPI #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/10/22) Going back to school in a Recession: July CPI anticipation [NOTE: At 7:30a CDT, CPI reported "cooler" than expected, at 8.5% year over year], and watching the Yield Curve; NFIB sales expectations are plummeting; workers becoming less productive as wages rise; higher prices are being passed on to consumers; childhood diseases & garden hose immunity; Market Commentary: betting on the Fed to pivot; stock analysis: who's down 20%? CPI math: Measuring month-to-month vs year-to-year indexes. Where were we a year ago? What will Fed speakers subsequently say? Health is wealth: issues of mortality and long-term care insurance. SEG-1: Anticipating CPI; NFIB's Not So Great Expectations SEG-2: Are Markets Betting on a Fed Pivot? SEG-3: CPI/Inflation Math Explained SEG-4: Health is Wealth
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b49f7-NNs54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2658s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Waiting on the Inflation Print" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q1q6ReEi7_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Pandemic Effect" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oLxQYLplFi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2659s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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CPI #Inflation #NFIB_Sales_expectations #Recession #FedPivot #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/9/22) Bemoaning the death of Olivia Newton-John and the loss of our youth; markets' behavior because there's no pressure on the Fed to pivot. Yet. Why flat beer may be the next thing: CO2 shortage, The Roberts' Family vacation: Driving in Italy and Yacht price inflation; hypocrisy of Millennials decrying capitalism on iPhones; NVIDIA & Peloton performance: The post-pandemic effect; lower expectations reflect return to "normal;" factors that support higher market prices; a colder winter coming, per Farmer's Almanac; why stocks are rallying on not-as-bad-as-expected information, and a look at the history of stock market rallies. SEG-1: No Pressure on the Fed to Pivot SEG-2: CO2 Shortages, Italian Driving Skills, and Mega-Yachts SEG-3: The Pandemic Effect SEG-4: The Farmer's Almanac & Stock Rally on Not-as-bad News
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oLxQYLplFi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2659s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Fed Close to the End?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q8pizJ3_dZA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "When Inflation Reduction Becomes Climate Change" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uy3FXT7Y8sc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=648s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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OliviaNewtonJohn #FedPivot #MegaYacht #Inflation #NVIDIA #Peloton #PandemicEffect #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/8/22) The so-called "Inflation Reduction" Act gets a fresh skin, but it's the same old wine, and its impact on inflation will be to exacerbate the problem further. The newly re-named the "Climate Change & Tax Act" is the same old tax & spend bill as before; the devil is in the details. How the math really works, and why inflation will be lower in 2023, but not down to the Fed's 2% target. 10% of the bill will fund hiring 87k new IRS employees. Stock buy-backs have helped keep stock prices elevated; how new bill's tax buy backs will affect markets. Corporate taxes will be passed on to consumers. SEG-1: Back to School: Why the Tax Act Will Increase Inflation SEG-2: Impact of the new Tax & Spend bill SEG-3: The Genius Behind Democrats' Inflation Reduction Act SEG-4: Too Early to Say We're at Markets' Bottom
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uy3FXT7Y8sc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=648s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Markets' Bullish Mood Just Hype?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bTPJbbNJ7M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show is here: "Credit Card Use is Off the Charts" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SnPN2sLy50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InflationReductionAct #ClimateChangeBill #TaxBill #StockBuyBack
ExciseTax #FederalReserve #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/5/22) Today's Jobs Report should shed some light on what companies have been thinking as the economy wanes; are there more layoffs to come? The Inflation Reduction Bill will have unintended consequences; how inflation is hitting back to school expenses; dealing with the question of IRA Conversions; the exceptions to the rule: 72-T. How to leave a legacy with IRA's; investment scams we're seeing; how to keep more of your money and avoid the coming higher taxes. SEG-1: Jobs Report Preview: Why the Inflation Reduction Act Won't SEG-2: Back to School Expense & Best Uses of IRA's & Roths SEG-3: Dealing with IRS's & Exceptions to the Rule SEG-4: Investment Scams, Avoiding Taxes, and Keeping More of Your Money
RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ozgtJXo_eRg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Has a New Bull Market Started?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8gvC9J66PMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Credit Card Use is Off the Charts" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SnPN2sLy50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #InflationReductionAct #JobsReport #BackToSchool #IRA #Roth #RetirementSavings #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/4/22) With too many bears in the markets, and no won left to sell, markets needed a rally to suck bulls back in for one, last ride before The Recession. The unbelievable tone-deafness of SF Fed President Mary Daly; what the increase in credit card usage means; how aggressive will the Fed be in raising rates ahead of Recession? Dueling Farmer's Almanacs differ on the severity of the coming Winter; cooking on the hood of your car in Texas; regardless of the financial media, what's your gut tell you about the markets? SEG-1: The Three Phases of a Bear Market SEG-2: The Tone-deaf Fed SEG-3: How Aggressive Wil the Fed Be? SEG-4: Dueling Farmer's Almanacs & What Your Gut Tells You
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SnPN2sLy50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Has a New Bull Market Started?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8gvC9J66PMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The Upper Middle Class is Feeling the Squeeze" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tNEgOoiQBeg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2728s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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BullMarket #Recession #FederalReserve #Layoffs #RateHikes #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/3/22) So we may NOT be in a Recession just yet: There could be positive economic growth in the 3rd and 4th quarters, but afterwards, look out! Robinhood's layoffs could be the prelude to more upheaval in the Jobs market. The economic squeeze on the upper-middle class; Curb-feelers, Mad Max, Cali, Utah, and the Americanization of Mexico; the significance of behavior in M-2 Money Supply. The impact of debt, and changes coming from the Secure Act 2.0; Why Fed Gov. Bullard wants 3.5% rates for a Fed "soft landing;" Equifax credit reporting gaffe; traveling on CC points, and the trouble with airlines. SEG-1: Why We May NOT Be in a Recession...yet SEG-2: What the Robinhood Layoffs May Be Heralding SEG-3: Changes Coming from Secure Act 2-0 SEG-4: Equifax Credit Scores and Traveling on CC Points
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tNEgOoiQBeg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2728s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can Markets Sustain July's Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uJ_NeHXvnOw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "When We Think the Recession Will Hit" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSHaA05E-Ds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2618s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Recession #Robinhood #Inflation #Deflation #FederalReserve #Layoffs #Mexico #Markets #Money #Investing
(8/2/22) Economists' historic definition of "recession" is now being challenged by social media fact-checkers; the Roberts Family meets the neighbors: diversity on parade; market commentary: What August holds for investors; ESG Investing is unraveling; how the government creates more problems than it solves; the economic cycle will take care of itself. The behavior of Treasuries: What happens when the Fed finally pivots; why analysts are revising estimates downward; what happens when you reduce the "E" in P/E ratios; why we think the Recession will hit in 2023 (when no one's looking). SEG-1: Redefining Recession SEG-2: The Roberts Meet the Neighbors + Market Commentary: MACD on the Rise SEG-3: Solving Problems by Causing Other Problems SEG-4: When the Fed Finally Pivots...
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSHaA05E-Ds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2618s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will July's Strength Carry On to August?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9XugyT6Sok&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show is here: "August Begins: Bull or Bear?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SuH8wwwghu8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2752s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Recession #Inflation #Deflation #FederalR
(8/1/22) August begins with The Roberts Family in new digs (who's idea was it to move during Houston's hottest summer, ever??) What will the Fed be expected to do in their meeting this month? The Roberts' kids get their independence; shooting down the new PACT Act Spending Bill; how we got from millions to trillions; What happens when the co-pilot leaves the aircraft early; the market conundrum for bears: dealing with contrarian-indicator clients; the thick of earnings season: Why would markets rally amidst so much negativity? And what happens when things get too negative? Companies are moving from SEG-1: End of July, Start to August SEG-2: The Roberts' Kids Leave Home; How We Got to Trillions in Spending SEG-3: The Market Conundrum for Bears SEG-4: Consumer Spending: Not What You Bought, but How Much You Had to Pay
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SuH8wwwghu8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2752s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "No Bad vs Good"" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A6IuBkTLPVU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Welcome to the Pain Trade Zone" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wapMLlxss-0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Recession #Inflation #Deflation #FederalReserve #CPI #ConsumerSpending #Cash #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/29/22) Richard Rosso channels his inner Janet Yellen with her declaration of "no recession;" Crypto-millionaires and their luxury watches; dealing with sticky inflation. The "recovery" is over; life lessons from Ivana Trump and dealing with ageism; how to plan to age-in-place; Lotto Tickets, cheap entertainment, and funding long term care; why reverse-mortgages should be a last-case option; how to take advantage of cash. SEG-1: There is No Recession SEG-2: The Recovery is Over SEG-3: Money Lessons from Ivana Trump SEG-4: Lottery Tickets & Long-Term Care
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SuH8wwwghu8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2752s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fed Hikes Rates Again--What Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h1qK8VB9PQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Welcome to the Pain Trade Zone" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wapMLlxss-0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Recession #Inflation #JanetYellen #InvanaTrump #CryptoMillionaires #Recovery #AgeInPlace #LongTermCare #LotteryTickets #ReverseMortgage #Cash #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/28/22) With the Fed's announced 75-bp rate hike, investors are now in Pain Trade Territory, acting on the FOMO principal of not wanting to miss the markets' bottom when the Fed pivots. Democrats' new plan for $400-billion in government spending to be paid for by imposing a new corporate minimum income tax: The Inflation Fighting Plan, using inflationary tactics in the process. House Speaker Pelosi's husband liquidated chip maker stocks ahead of the CHIPS Bill. What did Jerome Powell really mean vs what the markets heard. The shock news: the Fed will cease providing forward guidance, and can adjust the frequency/size of rate adjustments; earnings season continues: What do Amazon, WalMart, and Apple's reporting suggest about the economy going forward? SEG-1: Fighting Inflation with Inflationary Tactics SEG-2: Lance's Rant: Nancy Pelosi's Insider Trading SEG-3: The Fed Rate Hike: What Markets Really Heard SEG-4: Apple, Amazon, & WalMart: What Poor Performance Portends
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wapMLlxss-0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fed Hikes Rates Again--What Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h1qK8VB9PQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Surprise or Pivot?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfZdvnXJk70&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
FederalReserve #PainTrade #InterestRates #Inflation #CorporateTax #InsiderTrading #NancyPelosi #JeromePowell #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/27/22) The Federal Reserve later today is to make an announcement about interest rates, expected to boost the overnight lending rate by 75 basis points...but could Powell & Co. cave to political pressure and pivot towards a kinder, gentler interest rate? In fact, there's a reason higher interest rates are healthier for the economy and individuals' financial well-being; there is a dark side to low interest rates, which prevent the natural economic cycle from performing. What we should be doing to take care of long term economic health; what WalMart's report on lower foot traffic really means. SEG-1: Will the Fed Surprise or Pivot? SEG-2: Why Higher Interest Rates are Good for You SEG-3: The Dark Side of Low Interest Rates SEG-4: What WalMart's Q2 Performance Portends
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfZdvnXJk70&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Bottom In for Microsoft & Google?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bzLHrUOTFU0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "The "No Recession" Myth is Nonsense" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-IsIs91N-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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FederalReserve #InterestRates #WalMart #JeromePowell #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/26/22) Treasury Sec'y. Janet Yellen says there's no recession in sight, but yield curve performance would challenge that assessment. WalMart and UPS warnings it's no longer cheap to go to McDonald's. Watching Retailers' reports to reveal how American's are spending money. White House Tweets about gasoline prices and average American families; how the other 80% live on savings and credit cards: There's no pile of cash. There is a correlation between stock price growth and economic growth. The three sure measures of Inflation; why the Fed's efforts to fight inflation may well trigger Recession. Markets are behaving as if the worst is behind us: The Bullish vs Bearish cases. Investors' fear of missing the bottom is not realistic. SEG-1: What Yield Curves are Saying About Recession SEG-2: How the Other 80% Live SEG-3: The Three Sure Measures of Inflation SEG-4: Why the Fed's Inflation Fight Could Trigger Recession
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-IsIs91N-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Invesntory Buildins & Declining Store Traffic" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-IsIs91N-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Buy-back Blackout Ends" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XV6cMu95AOk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Recession #Inflation #YieldCurve #JanetYellen #JeromePowell #EarningsSeason #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/25/22) It's a busy week of earnings reporting as July comes to an end, and the lifting of the blackout on corporate stock buy backs stands to free up $11-billion of daily activity. How did Markets react to inflation of the '60's vs now? S&P has potential to touch 4,180. Q2 GDP estimates begin to emerge. Looking for companies that miss earnings (by less than forecast), and show stock gains. Bad news is already baked-in. There is a difference between a bottom in stocks and the bottom of the market; have we seen peak inflation? Why we're not committing fully to this rally...yet. The excuse generator; the invisible hand of the Fed; will Powell be Biden's scapegoat for inflation? SEG-1: How Markets are Adjusting to Inflation SEG-2: In the Belly of the Earnings Season Beast SEG-3: Why We're Not Committing Fully to this Rally...Yet SEG-4: The Invisible Hand of the Fed
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XV6cMu95AOk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Who's Right--Stocks or Bonds?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x0DDtGYXMok&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Hasbro, Target, & Wal-Mart's Inventory Surpluses" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=68wKg4t04_E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Inflation #EarningsSeason #StockBuybacks #BondYields #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/22/22) There's an emerging dichotomy between employment and workers' demands/desires for working from home; the effects of inflation on all aspects of life. Dealing with Texas' heatwave: Creative cooking. Life hacks for inflation: How much to tip? The Hierarchy of Saving and what to do to get ahead; dealing with credit cards; the Gig Economy, Swimply, and pool rentals; early retirement with T-72; would you drink this beer? Looking for ways to recreate a paycheck in retirement; the difference between Mutual Funds and ETF's. SEG-1: The Effects of Inflation on Employment & Retirement Planning SEG-2: Texas Heat & Life Hacks for Inflation SEG-3: Life Hacks for Inflation: Credit Cards & Gig Economy SEG-4: Retiring Early vs Planning to Not Retire
Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XV6cMu95AOk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the S&P Reach 4,170?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDbBlTeYn38&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Hasbro, Target, & Wal-Mart's Inventory Surpluses" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=68wKg4t04_E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Inflation #Recession #LifeHacks #Employment #GigEconomy #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/21/22) Will the Fed cave to inflation and pivot on its interest rate hike course--and what will the effects be on markets? Will Markets' recent bottoms hold? Negative sentiment prevails--much of the recent rally has been driven by short-selling. With inflation and mounting debt, this time it IS different; Hasbro, Target, Wal-Mart's inventory surpluses; when will the Fed shift focus from inflation to financial stability? The Roberts' Family Move; the psychology of a Fed pivot & our dependence on debt; Where we are right now: Expecting Recession (so, will it happen?) everything goes back to liquidity and valuation. SEG-1: Will the Fed Pivot on Interest Rates? SEG-2: This Time it IS Different SEG-3: Creating a Stock Pickers' Market SEG-4: Liquidity & Valuations - The cornerstones of investing
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=68wKg4t04_E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the S&P Reach 4,170?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDbBlTeYn38&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Could Millennials Sink the Mortgage Market?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GY8aBIvklOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2358s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The “Bullwhip Effect” Will Frustrate The Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bullwhip-effect-will-frustrate-the-fed/ "Liquidity and Valuations – The Cornerstones of Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/liquidity-and-valuations-the-cornerstones-of-investing
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
FedPivot #Inflation #InterestRates #Liquidity #Valuations #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/20/22) Mortgage demand is at a 22-year low; that's not the only reason house prices are falling; technical charts don't lie. The market is down less than 20% for the year; has FOMO become FOBO--the fear of missing the bottom? There is a risk that this time it IS different, for all the wrong reasons. Cathie Wood's Transparency Fund fail; could the Chinese mortgage meltdown happen here? The risk of Millennials' balking on mortgage payments. National Hot Dog day, summer beer; the danger of RMD's depleting your savings nest egg. The Human Fund. SEG-1: What Technical Analysis Tells Us About the Market Bottom SEG-2: What if the Indicators are Wrong? SEG-3: Is the Chinese Mortgage Crisis Contagious? SEG-4: Hot Dogs, Beer, & RMD's
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GY8aBIvklOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2358s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Have We Reached the Bottom Yet?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d-vvRw1yeTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why Home Ownership is Warped by Lending" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FEcS1Ua0ux8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "ESG Underperformance Will Be Its Undoing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-underperformance-will-be-its-undoing/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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MarketBottom #MortgageCrisis #Millennials #RMD #Savings #TheHumanFund #MarketNegativity #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/19/22) The ugly truth behind ESG Funds--and why they won't survive; Market commentary: Monday's rally fails (thanks, Apple); things are so negative, it's positive. Investors' "fear of missing out (FOMO)" has become a "fear of missing the bottom (FOBO);" this market performance isn't as bad as post 2008 or post-Lehman markets; the "American Dream" of home ownership has been warped by lending gimmicks; Markets' reaction to Apple hiring freeze--there's bad news and not-as-bad news. SEG-1: Why ESG Funds are failing; market rally fails SEG-2: Why We're Really Not in a Bear Market SEG-3: Redefining the American Dream SEG-4: Bad News vs Not as Bad News
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FEcS1Ua0ux8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Apple Announces Hiring Freeze--Others to Follow?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rAeSvb5j3vM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Why There is No Middle Class in Italy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJKdcRR0qUc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "ESG Underperformance Will Be Its Undoing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-underperformance-will-be-its-undoing/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
ESGfundFails #Apple #BearMarket #AmericanDream #HomeOwnership #Nightmare #MarketNegativity #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/18/22) Lance returns from Vacation: No Market crash while he was away! Why Markets are ripe for a Rally; Investors' FOMO is aimed at a Market Bottom. Earnings Season continues apace: Q1 Estimates becoming Q2 Results: Watch changes in valuation from start of Quarter to the end of Quarter; What Yield Curves are saying about the economy, and why investors don't want to commit long-term; Jobs Report: The only increase was in people with multiple jobs: More income needed to keep up with inflation. The Roberts Family Vacation recap: Pompeii and inflation in the Eurozone; why Capitalism remains superior to Socialism. There is no middle class in Italy. SEG-1: Markets' Opportunity for a Significant Rally SEG-2: Q1 Warnings Become Q2 Results SEG-3: Why No One Wants to Invest Long-term SEG-4: Economic Structure & Inflation in the Eurozone: Capitalism vs Socialism
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJKdcRR0qUc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Earnings Season Has Arrived--More Disappointments Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X5scO3hAMas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Higher Taxes are Coming: What You Can Do About it Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMHVB-B858&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
MiddleClass #MarketRally #EarningsSeason #YieldCurve #ForwardGuidance #Capitalism #Socialism #Vacation #Pompeii #Italy #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/15/22) Are we in an Earnings Recession? With sticky price-inflation, is 2% inflation even achievable? How people are changing habits; the recovery will likely take longer this time. Where should you park your money? Cash is King w Online Banking; don't be seduced by yields. The Rise & Shine Act exposed; Mental accounting & the hierarchy of Savings. SEG-1: Is 2% Inflation Achievable? SEG-2: How Inflation is Changing Habits SEG-3: Cash is King & Online Banking SEG-4: Mental Accounting & Hierarchy of Saving
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iCMHVB-B858&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Is it Time to Shop in Thrift Stores?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQVbVJQt7J8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2637s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Don't Fight the Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fight-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #EarningsRecession #EconomicRecovery #OnllineBanking #CashIsKing #Annuities #Bonds #RiseAndShineAct #FloydLawson #AndyGriffith #BlueBellIcecream #Whataburger #NanaClara #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/14/22) Richard Rosso's West Texas ERCOT Ditty; Inflation reality and Nana Clara's recipe for saving money; Demand destruction + Supply Disruption; shopping at Thrift Stores; the significance of JPMorgan's share buyback suspension; dealing with inflation on all levels; Let's put Salma Hayek on the $100-dollar bill; the similarities and differences of JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley's estimate misses; what late filings may mean. SEG-1: The Fed's 2% Inflation Nirvana SEG-2: How Big Banks Are Preparing for the Storm SEG-3: Texas Heat and Dollars en Fuego SEG-4: What Are Yield Curves Telling Us?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQVbVJQt7J8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2637s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How to Look at Your 401k Without Freaking Out" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpIbaivTY9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2583s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Don't Fight the Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fight-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #ThriftStores #Recession #Dollar #SalmaHayek #YieldCurve #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/13/22) COVID fallout continues around the world: Travel delays and limitations at London Heathrow; what will Fed rate hikes mean for small businesses? Legislative changes for employee benefits; what are the benefits of Benefits? Is high inflation the "new normal?" NFIB Confidence at historic low ebb; what's in the Retirement Plan spectrum, and what's in it for employers? How the Benefits Industry has evolved; the hierarchy of needs vs retirement plan spectrum; What's in it for business owners? avoid the mistake of not contributing to 401k. SEG-1 What Will Fed Rate Hikes Mean for Small Businesses? SEG-2 The Need for an Employee Champion SEG-3 What Benefits to Offer & How Do They Work? SEG-4 How to Look at Your 401k Without Freaking Out
Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen, AIF, QKA, CFPA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpIbaivTY9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2583s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "What if the Fed Doesn't Bail out Investors?" Pt-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iYwMSuSNhYQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=3s Pt-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y1m2Hf8Q2gA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=335s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Don't Fight the Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fight-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
EmployeeBenefits #401k #RateHikes #FederalReserve #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/12/22) The saga of Twitter vs Elon Musk continues; there's not enough fear in the markets, yet; true Bear Markets are a process; The Inflation Nation ditty; Ice Pops allow you to "eat the rich;" Red States outperforming in Jobs recovery; Luling BBQ & Melon Thump; Living in The Villages of Florida; market feelings; Chris talks to people; recency bias, The Fed; what Dollar erosion? Market preview; Retiring into the headwinds: Inflation & Shrinkflation; managing risk vs market timing. SEG-1: Twitter is a train-wreck; Bear Markets are a Process SEG-2: Inflation Nation, Ice Pops: "Eat the Rich" SEG-3: What If the Fed Doesn't Bail Out Investors? SEG-4: Retiring Into a Headwind
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Chris Behan, Business Development Officer.
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: Pt-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iYwMSuSNhYQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=3s Pt-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y1m2Hf8Q2gA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=335s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "How to Survive in a Down Market" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JHyjHz_SCbk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2564s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Don't Fight the Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fight-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
BearMarket #Twitter #InflationNation #FederalReserve #Bailout #Deflation #Shrinkflation #ElonMusk #Twitter #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/11/22) Lance remains on vacation; Elon Musk vs. Twitter, this week's economic preview: Down market Survival Guide; Optimism for Opportunity; CPI preview; retirement expenses & five surprises you don't want to have; inflation and housing expenses; healthcare expenses; the "Retirement Smile." Dealing with longterm care expenses in retirement; dealing with child-in-crisis expenses and inter-family loans; Know where you stand--read your statements; the mistake of suspending 401k contributions; taking control of retirement date; working in retirement; when should you begin taking distributions. SEG-1: Optimism & Opportunity in a Down Market SEG-2: Five Surprises in Retirement You Don't Want SEG-3: Alien Rescue & Longterm Care Expenses SEG-4: How to Survive in a Down Market
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Jonathan Penn, Senior Relationship Manager
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JHyjHz_SCbk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Is Becoming an Ex-Pat the Best Way to Blunt Inflation?" v=TOhFfAXqajk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Don't Fight the Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fight-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Retirement #DownMarket #Healthcare #LongtermCare #ChildInCrisis #Markets #Money #Investing
(7/1/22) Remember the 1970's--things were so much simpler then, right? Is this really a bear market, about which we're in denial? The Truth Comes from the Data. The Fed is raising rates so they can lower them again; Richard Rosso's Summer Reading List (preview); who's living paycheck-to-paycheck now? American Epidemic: Living Beyond our Means. Tire Terrorists; how much have Boomers saved for Retirement? What ever happened to the E*Trade Baby? Will Social Security COLA go up 10%? Senior Citizens League working to lower Insulin costs; the health/wealth dynamic in Retirement. SEG-1: Do We Need to Go Back to 1970? SEG-2: The Epidemic of Living Beyond Our Means SEG-3: Tire Terrorists & Retirement Reality SEG-4: The Health-Wealth Dynamic in Retirement
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qtbkQxRpDJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2612s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: "Is Becoming an Ex-Pat the Best Way to Blunt Inflation?" v=TOhFfAXqajk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Don't Fight the Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fight-the-fed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Retirement #SocialEscurity #COLA #Healthcare #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/30/22) Markets have worst start to the year since dirt; will the second half be any better? What does it mean when 31% of persons working in the Financial sector today have never witnessed a bear market; what separates a bad start from a bear market? Why loss aversion can lose worse than the loss you're trying to avoid; what makes for YouTube success; what happens when the Fed hits the brakes (their foot is on the pedal now)? Don't fight the Fed; that's who has the money. Adulting with the Roberts kids; Jobless Claims are climbing as Recession looms. That the Fed looks at: PCE. Earnings vs Expectations; American's are receiving an effective 3% pay cut, thanks to inflation. SEG-1: Where Do Markets Go From Here? SEG-2: The Danger of Dealing with Loss Aversion & Anchoring SEG-3: All Roads Lead to the Federal Reserve SEG-4: Why the Top 33% Are so Pessimistic
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOhFfAXqajk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: Can Recession Be Avoided? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HzltEgnx9To&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=160s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Don't Fight the Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fight-the-fed
Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "Sell Into This Week's Strength? Probably A Good Idea" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart youtube.com/watch?v=ol-9dUp-t4g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #Recession #PayCut #ConsumerSentiment #FoodPrices #SavingsGap #Deflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/29/22) Does LeBron James' $170M salary make him inflation proof? Why the rich are weathering the weakening economy better than the rest of us; rising wages vs the rise of robots in the workplace. Inflation hits July 4th groceries; American side-hustles; can recession be avoided? Inflation & the savings gap: $6k/yr in debt to maintatin standard of living. SEG-1: Measuring Consumer Sentiment SEG-2: Why Inflation Doesn't Hurt the Wealthy (as much) SEG-3: Hot Dogs, Inflation, & Side-hustles SEG-4: Inflation & The Savings Gap
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HzltEgnx9To&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will June's End Provide Lift to Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AaPk8S3MP0A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show is here: Pt.1: The Bullwhip Effect https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iWUzF01b1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 Pt.2: What is Needed for Stable Energy Pricing is Stable Energy Production https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O1DgopbUOxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=30s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Earnings Recession Coming As Fed Hikes Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-recession-coming-as-fed-hikes-rates/
Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "Sell Into This Week's Strength? Probably A Good Idea" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart youtube.com/watch?v=ol-9dUp-t4g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #Recession #ConsumerSentiment #SideHustle #FoodPrices #SavingsGap #Deflation #Recession #EnergyPolicy Markets #Money #Investing
(6/28/22) Calls for regulating Cryptocurrency are echoing our sentiments two years ago; Monday's market response was partially affected. This is not the bottom...yet. The Fed is "hard at work" fighting inflation, while should be focused on economic growth; inflation will cure itself. How the "bullwhip effect" will hurt. The problem with MMT and "free" money. House prices are falling as interest rates rise; we're seeing inflation's prelude to deflation; the effect on commodities & Dr. Copper. The Fed is in a trap, and using lagging data. The Fed is about to make a big policy mistake, hiking rates too fast instead of allowing inflation to take care of itself. But you can't fight the Fed. Fact Checkers' demands for censorship because their videos are garbage. Why does the Biden administration pattern its energy policy's after Germany's? How's what working out for them? What is needed for stable energy pricing is stable energy production (oil). SEG-1: Regulating Crypto & Effects on Markets SEG-2: The Fed Hard at Work & The Bullwhip Effect SEG-3: The Fed's Policy Mistake SEG-4: You Tube Censorship & Green Energy Foibles
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: Pt.1: The Bullwhip Effect https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iWUzF01b1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 Pt.2: What is Needed for Stable Energy Pricing is Stable Energy Production https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O1DgopbUOxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=30s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can Markets Continue Momentum at Quarter's End?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b7w2mnXFudY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Affordable Care Act Was Neither Affordable or Healthcare," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-74hJNiGWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Earnings Recession Coming As Fed Hikes Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-recession-coming-as-fed-hikes-rates/
Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "Sell Into This Week's Strength? Probably A Good Idea" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart youtube.com/watch?v=ol-9dUp-t4g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
BullwhipEffect #MarketRally #FedMistake #Inflation #Deflation #Recession #EnergyPolicy Markets #Money #Investing
(6/27/22) The end of June signals end of quarter rebalancing; if we're going to have a Recession, it will have been The Most Forecast Recession Ever. How much higher can markets rally? Investors have been trained (by the Fed) to believe markets cannot go down. Running in Houston Heat; the impact of healthcare on Retirement planning; healthcare costs are high because of demand on the system; The Affordable Care Act was neither affordable or caring; Sitting is the new smoking. Stocks shrug off ignorant comments from Congress and hawkishness of the Fed; there's a need for a bear market rinse cycle on Wall Street. SEG-1: The Most-forecast Recession in History SEG-2: How Much Higher Can Markets Rally? SEG-3: The Impact of Health on Retirement SEG-4: The Need for a Bear Market Rinsing
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-74hJNiGWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Dust Settle This Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AugBq93GC9k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Fighting Elizabeth Warren," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhjGYdhEm9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s
Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "Sell Into This Week's Strength? Probably A Good Idea" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart youtube.com/watch?v=ol-9dUp-t4g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Recession #MarketRally #BearMarket #Healthcare #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/24/22) Washington Word Salad & Transitioning: Gasoline Prices, markets' anemic rally; that is the Bond market saying? What in the world is the Fed trying to do? What will markets do without "Fed Juice?" Is a Roth conversion really in your best interests? Depends on what your tax status will be. Janet Yellen's transformative weekend greeting; Secure Act 2.0 gets another iteration; financial literacy and the hierarchy of savings. SEG-1: What the Hell is the Fed Doing? SEG-2: The Cleansing of Recession; should Cryptocurrency be Regulated? SEG-3: Roth Redo & Calculating All the Variables SEG-4: Yellen's back; Secure Act 2.0 & Financial Literacy
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0S4ifVF9OSo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2660s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Have Markets Priced-in Recession?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3oh5QfrxQuc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Fighting Elizabeth Warren," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhjGYdhEm9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #Jerome Powell #FederalReserve #ElizabethWarren #Recession #JanetYellen #Taxes #SecureAtct2_0 #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/23/22) The end of June--and end of the Quarter looms: Can markets continue to rally despite a defined downtrend? Political Season is coming; populace votes according to pocketbook; solution to high energy prices is in the need for creating an environment more conducive to oil production: Stop villainizing oil companies. Houston Heat & Landscape; Jerome Powell vs Elizabeth Warren; difference between recession & depression; running the economy over a cliff; a bear market will make you want to get out of the market; the importance of exposure to equities all the time. Risk management vs risk aversion. SEG-1: Market Potential for Rally, Remain in Defined Downtrend SEG-2: Oil Prices & Politics SEG-3: Jerome Powell's Battle w Inflation & Elizabeth Warren SEG-4: What Bear markets Make You Want to Do
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhjGYdhEm9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Have Markets Priced-in Recession?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3oh5QfrxQuc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Who Sets the Price for Gasoline You Pay?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zm24yVS5eG8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #Jerome Powell #FederalReserve #ElizabethWarren #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/22/22) Markets rallied +2% following a three-day weekend; gasoline prices took a slight slide, while mortgage rates spiked. Who sets the price you pay for gasoline? Not the major oil companies; why a gas tax "holiday" won't work; the real oil company profit margin story. The truth about home ownership, and why Millennials can't afford a house (Netflix has nothing to do with it.) Houses are not assets; financialization of everything, and where mortgage rates ought to be. Summer travel plans & Savings myths; lining up for Jerome Powell's "soft" landing; if the Fed would just stop... SEG-1: Markets' Post-holiday Rally SEG-2: Gasoline Tax Holiday Realities SEG-3: Why Millennials Can't Afford a House SEG-4: Softer Summer Travel Plans
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zm24yVS5eG8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Happens to Oil Prices After Big Spikes?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ROFhlaCmI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Is the Fed Determined to Make Another Policy Mistake" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycqSp0gcwS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1814s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Oil Price Reversions – The Inevitable Outcome Of Recessions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/oil-price-reversions-the-inevitable-outcome-of-recessions/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
GasolinePrices #ProfitMargins #HomeOwnership #Millennials #Boomers #Netflix #Jerome Powell #FederalReserve #PolicyMistakes #Inflation #JanetYellen #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/21/22) Markets needed the holiday break; The Crypto Story: Liquidation; Sentiment & Market correlation: As negative as it gets. Oil Stocks pull back, but they're not finished yet. Gasoline prices slip; ICE's vs EV's--the break-even point is greater than expected; how inflation hit Warren Buffett's luncheon; The Fed's dilemma: Inflation vs Financial Instability: the Fed is determined to make (another) policy mistake; Bitcoin Bites It; Dave Portnoy - the poster-child for sports gambling-to-stock-gambling; the math of market losses--why you never catch up. SEG-1: The Crypto Story: Liquidation & Negative Sentiment SEG-2: ICE's vs EV's - where's the break-even point? SEG-3: The Fed's Determined to Make a Policy Mistake SEG-4: The Math of Market Losses
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycqSp0gcwS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1814s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are Markets Near a Short-term Bottom? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TZvP5u3oTYc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Did the Fed Just Guarantee a Recession?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49-4SCSOUIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Oil Price Reversions – The Inevitable Outcome Of Recessions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/oil-price-reversions-the-inevitable-outcome-of-recessions/
Videos mentioned in this show: https://www.ted.com/talks/graham_conway_the_contradictions_of_battery_operated_vehicles
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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FederalReserve #PolicyMistakes #Cryptocurrency #Inflation #JanetYellen #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
Mon(6/17/22) Richard Rosso channels his inner Janet Yellen; markets have lost all confidence in the Executive Branch and the Federal Reserve; money tips for a bear market: Household liquidity is key for survival; examine spending, and hold off on major purchases; a Recession is necessary for restoring value to the system; recognizing the difference between a reflexive rally & a bullish trend. The Financial Efficacy of Solar Panels; ESG's are about to bite investors on the backside; Wall St. will exploit anything for a buck; the Anti-ESG Fund = The S&P 500; The most important area consumers need to see relief: Food & Gasoline; It's Hot; cold coffee brews, Father's Day; living in Retirement in Troubled times; guaranteed income will replace stocks & bonds in investor appeal. SEG-1: Channeling Janet Yellen SEG-2: Knowing the Difference Between Reflexive Rally & Bullish Trends SEG-3: Why ESG's Are About to Bite Back SEG-4: It's Hot; Cold Coffee, Father's Day; Living in Retirement in Troubled Times
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YJ_rMAazIY8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fed Hikes Rates 75bp - What now? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b5_MCVSOag&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Did the Fed Just Guarantee a Recession?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49-4SCSOUIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
BearMarket #MoneyMistakes #Inflation #JanetYellen #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
(6/16/22) The Fed boosts rates by 75-bp; Joe Biden takes on Big Oil, and Big Oil responds; Retail Sales are measured in dollars, not in volume (what happens when you're paying more for less); Markets as predictor of where economy is heading. The Fed's rate hikes are politically motivated; why the "Headline Number" is so called; Jerome Powell is lying about the economy; Regional Fed's and U. Mich Sentiment are closer to reality. Joe Biden isn't totally to blame for high energy prices...but he's not helping, either. Ten Things to lower oil prices. SEG-1: Biden vs Big Oil: Measuring Retail Sales in Dollars, Not Volume SEG-2: The Fed's Rate Hikes are Politicized SEG-3: It's Not All Biden's fault, but He's Not Helping SEG-4: Blame ESG's for High Gasoline Prices
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49-4SCSOUIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fed Hikes Rates 75bp - What now? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b5_MCVSOag&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Should You Move to Mexico to Escape Inflation?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xu-ifsc52ig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #FederalReserve #RateHike #GasolinePrices #JoeBiden #RetailSales #Markets #Money #investing
(6/15/22) What will the Fed do? Between the heat, high prices, wars, and uncertainties, it seems to be the Summer of Apocalypse. The Fed is set to raise interest rates (50 vs 75 basis points?) How will the Fed fight inflation? A more pressing problem is Financial Instability; the impact of inflation; high oil prices tend to cure high prices; the Fed's mistake is in trying to extend the business cycle; dealing w inflation by moving to Mexico; the root of unrest is economic inequality; the dilemma of inflation vs deflation (which is out of the Fed's control). When we get to the point of buying equities, you're not going to want to. SEG-1: Summer Apocalypse: What's the Fed's Biggest Problem? SEG-2: Trying to Control Economic Outcomes has Bad Outcomes SEG-3: Dealing w Inflation: Moving to Mexico SEG-4: What Inflation Will Be Like 12-months from Now
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xu-ifsc52ig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Happened to Cryptocurrencies?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9yb6IliilQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "What's the Best Measure of Inflation: CPI, PPI, or PCE?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_YO9VSoXnZ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2801s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Inflation #FederalReserve #Cryptocurrency #RateHike #BearMarket #BullMarket #SummerApocalypse #Mexico #2012Movie #Markets #Money #investing
(6/14/22) Markets technically enter bear territory, but a longer perspective belies the angst; gauging the markets' response to inflation (which will reverse); what the Fed Whisper says about a 75-bp rate hike; the faster the Fed raises rates, the higher the volatility; CPI, PPI, or PCE: What's the best measure of inflation? When will inflation end? Senior gifts; stock buy-back blackout period; Lance's Narci-drone; the love affair w Cryptocurrency: The Thrill is Gone. SEG-1: Markets "Technically" Enter Bear Territory SEG-2: What the Fed Whisperer Says About Interest Rates SEG-3: CPI, PPI, & PCE: Measuring Inflation SEG-4: How Stock Buy-back Blackout Impacts Markets
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_YO9VSoXnZ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2801s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Should You Buy the Rip?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hQKHViTPWAg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Consumer Sentiment at Lower Levels Now than in Financial Crisis," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSFzZvG4IW8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Consumer is Getting Squeezed:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-consumer-is-getting-squeezed InvestorProtection.org
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #Gasoline #PPI #PCE #FedWhisperer #Markets #Money #investing
(6/13/22) Inflation is hotter than expected--IRS increasing mileage allowance in mid-year; largest inflation gauge is Homeowners' Equivalent Rent--w a 3-mo lag; Bitcoin sustained a 25% bloodbath over the weekend; inflation is hitting everything: Lottery Tickets, gasoline, Beer, Costco Peanut butter; Biden polling at all time lows; consumer sentiment at lower levels than in Financial Crisis; McDonald's quest for profitability; job hopping at restaurants; fallacies of oil companies' profits: inflation breaks things; markets' biggest problem is lack of clarity; bear markets don't end while everyone still wants to buy. Inflation is driving everything; GAO: 20% of PPP payments were fraudulent; Geico's lawsuit loss; Demand for random crap as indicator. SEG-1: Hotter Inflation & Bitcoin Bloodbath SEG-2: Lottery Tickets, Gasoline, & Beer: Inflation everywhere SEG-3: McDonald's Better Bad Choices for Profitability SEG-4: Inflation & the Demand for Random Crap
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSFzZvG4IW8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Fed Be More Aggressive?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pjhj5Ai7Yyo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How the Consumer is Getting Squeezed," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S82YQo2N_vA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Consumer is Getting Squeezed:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-consumer-is-getting-squeezed InvestorProtection.org
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #Gasoline #Peanut_butter #Geico #McDonalds #Markets #Money #investing
(6/10/22) Markets took it on the chin, and stocks that flourished during the pandemic are not being punished; CPI and Inflation all point to stagflation in the economy and a need for economic cleansing with turbulence in every asset class; Texas ranks among the top three states for elder fraud, with funeral scams, telemarketers, and pigeon drops; from the "Rise & Shine Act" to our own "Stacked Waffle Act," the creative titling of proposed retirement reform legislation belies the state of retirement preparedness. Economic devastation to come from higher and higher energy prices; the hard choices lower income earners must make. SEG-1: Pandemic Stocks Get Spanked SEG-2: Dealing with Elder Fraud SEG-3: Creative Titles for Retirement Legislation SEG-4: Inflation vs Stagflation: Economic Devastation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tf6Xvysz5Lg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Stuck Ahead of CPI," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWpkksv101k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How the Consumer is Getting Squeezed," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S82YQo2N_vA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Consumer is Getting Squeezed:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-consumer-is-getting-squeezed InvestorProtection.org
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Stagflation #Inflation #CPI #Gasoline #ElderAbuse #RetirementLegislation #Markets #Money #investing
(6/9/22) Texas Heat may be approaching par with inflation and gasoline prices; markets shed 1% on comments from SEC Chair Gensler on dropping Payment-for-Order-Flows. Is Janet Yellen nuts: Where inflation really comes from. There is zero appreciation for consumers by government economists. How to make Wall St. a "fairer" place; follow the money. Consumers are running out of means to pay as inflation rages. Target, Amazon, & WalMart are economic "canary in the coal mine." Calculating Core CPI. SEG-1: Texas Heat, Gasoline Prices, and Nowhere Markets SEG-2: What's Up w Janet Yellen? SEG-3: Why Payment-for-Order-Flow Isn't Going Away SEG-4: The Consumer is Getting Squeezed
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S82YQo2N_vA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Stuck Ahead of CPI," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWpkksv101k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Problem w Joe Biden's $3.5-T Tax Plan," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GcP5a4MJyls&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1239s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Consumer is Getting Squeezed:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-consumer-is-getting-squeezed
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #CPI #Gasoline #JanetYellen #Free_Trades #Robinhood #Citadel #ConsumerSpending #Markets #Money #investing
(6/8/22) The problem with Joe Biden's $3.5-T tax plan; why Janet Yellen is always wrong: Transitory vs Permanent Inflation; Markets Rally after negative open; wash, rinse, repeat; what Joe Biden's wet blanket tax plans mean for investors; how to help American's save more; electricity rates and the pay-off for solar panels; current tax credits are for things most people cannot afford (Tesla's & Solar Panels); why not tax incentives for saving? Consumer Credit on the rise; Target's Results & Excess Inventory; Slowing Economy, rising rates, and Fed tightening; Velveeta Nails; What's going on sale? SEG-1: Transitory vs Permanent Inflation: Yellen is Always Wrong SEG-2: Why Biden's Tax Hike Plan is a Wet Blanket on the Economy SEG-3: How to Solve America's Savings Dearth SEG-4: Target's Results & Consequences of Inflation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GcP5a4MJyls&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1239s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What to Do When Markets Are Stuck in a Trading Range," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZtJsfFrB_Kg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Rise & Fall of Free Trades," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoCUauUPkVQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
JoeBiden #TaxHikes #Inflation #JanetYellen #SavingsRate #TaxIncentives #Markets #Money #investing
(6/7/22) Investor fear vs Doing Anything About it: Why we're still not yet in a Bear Market--no one is really wiling to sell anything. Interesting dichotomy in latest NFIB report: Plenty of job openings, but no one is hiring. "Free" trading platforms promote more frequent trades, and lower stock holding times; ultimate result is a losing proposition from investors; enhances payment for order flow phenomenon. (This will never go away beause it benefits Wall St.) Friday's CPI: Has Inflation Finally Peaked? Results will take a while to burn off, but high prices will remain. How the government stoked the flames of inflation with "free" money...and wants to do it again. SEG-1: Why We're Still Not in a Bear Market SEG-2: The Rise & Fall of Free Trading SEG-3: Has Inflation Finally Peaked? SEG-4: Stupid Things the Government Does
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoCUauUPkVQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is it Time to Take Profits in Energy Stocks?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSNn-wTdkBc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Dimon Warning Against Economic Hurricanes," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2NV4Qqu_6Tk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
BearMarket #FreeTrades #CPI #Inflation #Markets #Money #investing
(6/6/22) ChaseBank CEO Jamie Dimon is warning against "economic hurricanes," which, as we on the Texas Gulf Coast all know, can be prepared for, and that hurricanes often do not hit their expected target. With market sentiment so heavily negative, every rally should be sold in to. ESG investing exposed for the great money heist that it is: S&P Energy Index performance vs. anti-energy ESG funds. The ugly truth about the green movement; The need for gradual transition; current result is "greenflation." There is no such thing as "ESG." The best cure for high prices is high prices. Inflation is an imbalance in Supply/Demand dynamic. There is no stability in prices. The importance of skilled labor, irreplaceable by automation. SEG-1: Preparing for Economic Hurricanes SEG-2: The Case for a Short-Term Bullish Rally SEG-3: ESG investing: The Great Money Heist SEG-4: How to Cure high Prices
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2NV4Qqu_6Tk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Downtrend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPoLYJTcNiQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Coming Era of QT," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URUYDjaejak&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
EconomicHurricane #MarketRally #Market Sentiment ESGinvesting #Greenflation #LaborCosts #Automation #SkilledLabor #Markets #Money #investing
(6/3/22) Elon Musk is so concerned about the economy he's considering cutting his workforce by 10%; how Lebron James became NBA's first billionaire while still playing; National Donut Day & Shipley's; Faux Financial Plans: When everyone is recommending the same thing; understanding what you own; Difference between A-, B-, and C-funds; Financial planning using a CPA: How much will you save over a lifetime? Going from successful to significant in life. Think inflation's bad here? Turkey has it at 70%; buying gasoline at Kroger; wage growth vs inflation; when CAN you retire? Essentials of Estate Planning: Managing Risk & Powers of Attorney. SEG-1: Markets Respond to Jobs Numbers SEG-2: Beware Faux Financial Planners SEG-3: The Difference Between Successful and Significant SEG-4: Retiring Amidst Inflation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w w Sr. Relationship Manager, Jon Penn, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mHceLFicUGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2595s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Fail at Resistance," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhVZcQ-tmYc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Coming Era of QT," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URUYDjaejak&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
JobsNumbers #Inflation #Retirement #ElonMusk #LeBronJames #FinancialPlanning #EstatePlanning #Markets #Money #investing
(6/2/22) Markets took to heart a quasi-retraction from Fed Gov. Bostic on possible halt to Fed tightening later this Summer, pulling back to previous lows. Regardless, markets are still in a buying mood, and this will be the wash-rinse-repeat pattern for the next several weeks; too many investors are predicting a bear market for it to occur. Queen Elizabeth-II marks her 70th year on the throne; can the monarchy last? The Fed's method of quantitative tightening can be partially accomplished by attrition; Securitization of Mortgages explained; With markets under pressure, is there still more downside to come? The reason bear markets happen: No one's expecting it. Individuals and investors are generally wrong at extremes. Working from Home to be a thing of the past? Corporate stock buy backs--Is it the most efficient use of capital? How companies manipulate number to meet Wall Street's estimates. SEG-1: Markets Walk Back Rally: Wash, Rinse, Repeat SEG-2: Queen Elizabeth-II Jubilee; The Coming Era of QT SEG-3: The Reason Bear Markets Occur SEG-4: Working From Home & The Games Corporations Play
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URUYDjaejak&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Fail at Resistance," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhVZcQ-tmYc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Bullish or Bearish...or Somewhere In Between?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PwDMdEj0AvI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
BearMarket #FedTightening #Inflation #StockBuyBacks #CorporateEarnings #Gasoline #Markets #Money #investing
(6/1/22) Summer Markets could provide opportunity for investors; 25% of Americans are delaying retirement because of inflation--meaning, they weren't ready to retire in the first place. How Biden/Powell are fighting inflation; the solution for high gasoline prices is more oil. California lifeguards earning 6-figure incomes; how The Great Resignation has shifted to The Great Re-hiring; how we're handling inflation & the Savings Paradox; Bearish or neutral, or bullish to neutral: best place may be to shift to neutral; where interest rates are going; financial solvency. SEG-1: Summer Markets Preview SEG-2: Cali Lifeguards & The Great Resignation becomes Great Rehiring SEG-3: Market Commentary: Moving to Neutral SEG-4: The Davos Solution for Thee, but not We
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: "Bullish or Bearish...or Somewhere In Between?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PwDMdEj0AvI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could Markets Rally All the Way into Summer?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ZxVJ70WpiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "What Markets Are Trying to Tell the Fed," is here: youtube.com/watch?v=nI4hgabk8pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s "Student Loan Forgiveness is a Nightmare" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQymauDEgrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
SummerMarket #Retirement #NeutralStance #Cash #Bullish #Bearish #GreatResignation #Inflation #Gasoline #Markets #Money #investing
(5/31/22) Markets prepare to wrap up May, and enter the final month of the Second Quarter, and how investors can take advantage; why inflationary pressures remain; how Washington's idiocy made inflation worse...and some Senators want to repeat the process. Oil Company margins are no better now, thanks to inflation of labor and materials, and higher costs of extraction. How trapped-longs can finally get out; why the Fed is behind the curve in preparing for the next recession; Iran's "secret" tunnels; The new Delorean; Why Student Loan Forgiveness is a fundamentally flawed concept.
SEG-1: Use the Rally to Rebalance Risk SEG-2: Top Gun, Redux, Washington Idiocy, Elizabeth Warren's Mis-guided Economics SEG-3: Markets Are Trying to Tell the Fed: No More Rate Hikes SEG-4: The Flawed Reasoning Behind Forgiving Student Loans
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show, "What Markets Are Trying to Tell the Fed," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nI4hgabk8pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ...and "Student Loan Forgiveness is a Nightmare!" here: https://studio.youtube.com/video/JQymauDEgrg/edit?c=UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can the Rally Last?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GBjuuoSd0-s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Unintended Consequences of Taxing the Rich," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
InterestRates #Inflation #FederalReserve #ElizabethWarren #TopGunMaverick #IranTunnels #Delorean #StudentLoanForgiveness #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/27/22) Will the Memorial Day weekend see lots of "revenge travel?" Never under-estimate the ability of a bear market to suck you in one more time; a reflexive rally is not an all-clear sign for investors. Listen to screeching sound of a dead-cat bounce; how are companies responding; how long can a reflexive rally last? ESG funds are just S&P funds in a green skirt. Target Date Funds: The Rule of Dumb. Why Target Date Fund dates mean nothing; Cheese dreams and pizza portfolios; the glory of Velveeta. Changes coming to Social Security; Soylent Green & Estate Planning.
SEG-1: Why the Reflexive Rally is Not an All-Clear SEG-2: The Dead Cat Bounce & Greenwashing ESG's SEG-3: Target Date Funds, Cheese Dreams, & Pizza Portfolios SEG-4: Changes Coming to Social Security & Estate Planning
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8zo8cYq67jU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2585s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Much Room Does the Market Have?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nl79wxkNCoI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "2022: The Toughest Year Ever," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPmbKGvJZTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Snap Goes the Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/snap-goes-the-economy
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
ReflexiveRally #MemorialDay #SocialSecurity #EstatePlanning #Cheese #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/26/22) 2022 is turning out to be one of the roughest years ever for market investors; where investors are most likely to make mistakes; how aggressive will the Fed be on interest rates? No one is surprised at Meta's fraud issues; the question of blockchain integrity; software security will be an ongoing business & investing opportunity; what will the Fed's next action mean for markets? The Fed looks at markets differently than do investors; too much money chasing to few deals: What's the fate of SPAC's? Positive market signs are emerging: Are we ready for a reflexive rally? SEG-1: The Toughest Year Ever SEG-2: How Aggressive Will the Fed Be? SEG-3: Meta Fraud & Blockchain Integrity SEG-4: The Fate of SPAC's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TAIKsfiA7VA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Much Room Does the Market Have?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nl79wxkNCoI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Unintended Consequences of Taxing the Rich," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Snap Goes the Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/snap-goes-the-economy
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Bonds #InterestRates #FederalReserve #Meta #Blockchain #SPAC #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/25/22) Selling pressures continue in the markets, stringing together the most losing weeks since 1928, underscoring the importance of bonds as markets shift from inflation to growth priorities. Correlations and Causations of the Uvalde Shootings: coincidence of increased violence with growth in social media; the velocity of information makes it too easy to react & respond. Why catfish live longer; the rich who want to raise taxes...and the unintended consequences for the less-affluent. Are credit spreads forecasting a Fed-engineer soft-landing? How the Fed views Markets: Cycle to Cycle. SEG-1: Importance of Bonds as Markets Shift Priorities SEG-2: Uvalde: Correlation & Causation SEG-3: Noodling, Catfish, Multi-millionaires & Tax Hikes SEG-4: How the Fed Looks at the Market vs the rest of us Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1n-MUHuVuw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2576s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bonds Are Turning a Corner," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8nL3K0gZWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Our previous show, "Dealing with Negative News in a Positive Way," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Bonds #InterestRates #Stocks #TaxTheRich #UvaldeShooting #SoftLanding #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/24/22) Thanks to Snapchat and Mega, and their impact on FAANG stocks, markets sold off last week's gains. Price action remains negative; is relief on the horizon? LA Port activity smoothing out. Bad geopolitical news further weighs on markets, investors, and advisors: How to handle negative news in making investing decisions. At Davos 2022, Ray Daleo says "cash is trash;" why does the Dollar continue to strengthen" We're the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry. The value of having a financial advisor--and what an FA is. Will the S&P make it 8-in a row? Why true investors must think of doing the "uncomfortable." SEG-1: Markets in Need of a Reflexive Rally SEG-2: How to Manage Negativity for Positive Investing Outcomes SEG-3: The Value of a Financial Advisor (Behind the Scenes Look) SEG-4: Investing Inside vs Outside of Recessions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Chris Behan, Business Development Officer
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Give Up All of Monday's Gains?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_aFa-LZJTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Wht the Recession Will Be Later than Expected," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSOqv7k7R7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
MarketCorrection #BearMarket #Recession #SnapChat #Mega #Geopolitical #RayDaleo #Davos2022 #CashIsTrash #DollarStrength #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/23/22) The Dow is now stringing together 8-weeks of losses--its worst performance since the 1920's. Contrary to media claims of a bear market, the 20% drop is but a correction on the road to Bubblization: This will be The Most Forecasted Recession in history. Graduation Weekend at the Roberts' house; Davos 2022 = Pinky & The Brain. When all the experts agree, something else is bound to happen; why buy & hold doesn't work at the wrong end of market cycle. NABE Report: increased expectations for inflation and recession. The Bullwhip Effect in retail inventories will be deflationary. The Roberts' Pool Project & Sugar Rush pricing; the next hurdle will be Labor and coming layoffs. Recession may not be averted, but will occur later than expected. Corresponding trends with Monkey Pox: Is God trying to tell us something? If the Apostles had cellphones...The Elephant in the room is the Demographics of Social Security (and why Obamacare is a failure): Demographics are Destiny. SEG-1: Markets' Minor Correction on Road to Bubblization SEG-2: High School Graduation; When Experts Agree, Something Else is Bound to Happen SEG-3: NABE & The Bullwhip Effect; The Roberts' Pool Project SEG-4: Monkey Pox & The Destiny in Demographics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSOqv7k7R7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why a 20% Correction Does Not a Bear Market Make," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKhlF7Qj_cM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "Dealing with Healthcare Costs in Retirement," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up-mCl0M8sI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/
Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "If Bible characters had iPhones" w/ John Crist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nt5k_tO6768
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
MarketCorrection #BearMarket #Recession #NABE #BullwhipEffect #Demographis #SocialSecurity #Obamacare #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/20/22) Waiting for the Bounce: Some people just aren't cut out to invest in stocks; Richard Rosso's Investing Opera; Why does Elon Musk want Twitter? Musk says ESG is a scam; ORFN--the anti-woke fund; the truth about Bitcoin; the positives of a Bear Markets: needed cleansing. How we're managing against inflation. Why you shouldn't benchmark to the top. Gasoline prices & biking in Houston; Healthcare costs in Retirement; using HSA's as a confidence-builder. COLA increases for Social Security coming this fall; How many R's in withdrawal, Recession; Scooby-Doo's annudities. Why the 4% Rule worked...in the '90's. SEG-1: Waiting for the Over-sold Bounce, Rosso Opera SEG-2: The Positives of a Bear Market SEG-3: Gasoline Prices, Biking, Inflation Impact on Retirement SEG-4: SS COLA Increases Coming This Fall Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up-mCl0M8sI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Warnings from Target Sink Stocks," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Wydnvl3gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ECTIXYsO4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
ESGInvesting #GasolinePrices #Inflation #Retirement #Healthcare #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/19/22) Retailers' earnings reports are offering sobering insights to how the economy is really doing, and analysts are finally waking up to the realities. Is the Recession near, or is it already here? The benefits of Bonds is now more apparent than ever. The Markets' downward track, and the classic recession cycle at WalMart; why the Fed is using rhetoric instead of rates to address inflation. The Horror on Wall St. & Negative investor sentiment; the need to reset excesses. How the government has become part of the economic cycle (and that's not a good thing). Defining companies' health: ESG Funds & Virtue signaling; We question that Apple is ESG-friendly. ESG investing is a flawed thesis. Investors are going to chase the money; money is going to chase returns. SEG-1: What Retailers Are Telling About Inflation SEG-2: The Fed's Use of Rhetoric vs Rates to Address Inflation SEG-3: You Cannot Repeal Recessions SEG-4: Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ECTIXYsO4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Warnings from Target Sink Stocks," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Wydnvl3gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Consumer Sugar-rush is Over - What To Do Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMA8HHyMwdI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-wins-again-as-esg-scam-infiltrates-retirement-plans/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Target #WalMart #ESGInvesting #Amazon #GasolinePrices #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/18/22) What misses by Amazon, Target, and WalMart are telling us about the state of the consumer, which is the backbone of the economy. Markets remain in a well-defined downtrend, but are working off an over-sold status. All the free money that came into the economy is gone--here comes the post-sugar rush crash. The part of Keynesian Economics that everyone misses; Why proprietary investment vehicles might not be a good idea: No transferability = highly illiquid. Inflation is a monetary phenomenon, not the Russians. What inventory problems at Target & WalMart are signaling; the brilliance of Container Store. SEG-1: Why Target Missed the Red Bull's Eye SEG-2: When Consumers Come Down from Their Sugar Rush SEG-3: The Problem w Propriety Investment Products SEG-4: The Monetary Phenomenon of Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMA8HHyMwdI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Reflex Rally Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQV7948NgeQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Year of Shortages & High Inflation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MhJdOkKpejc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2638s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
EarningsMisses #Target #WalMart #Amazon #GasolinePrices #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/17/22) Congress is investigating UFO's while the economy is running off the rails and inflation rages. Market performance and "cash on the sidelines;" the worst start to the year for markets since The Great Depression; the Year of Shortages and high prices now includes a baby formula shortage that was self-inflicted; negative sentiment is so prevalent, it has crept into consumer behavior; why Ben Bernanke didn't want to "shock" the markets--but should have; the dis-inflationary impact of Fed policy. Is Bitcoin nothing but a scam? Why QE is actually dis-inflationary and a wealth transfer mechanism. Politicans' sending checks caused inflation. Things that make you happy: Sex, exercise, & gardening? The rich are not who we think they are. SEG-1: Markets Having Worst Start to the Year Since The Depression SEG-2: Baby Formula & The Year of Shortages and High Inflation SEG-3: Newtonian Economics: For Every Fed Action There is a Negative Reaction SEG-4: What Really Makes You Happy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Use Market Rally to Reduce Risk is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0A1U7qyg84&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Time to Reconsider Bitcoin?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A69ZDaGLq6s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=999s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/
Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YKxFp04dsPo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=1s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #UFO #FederalReserve #BenBernanke #MarketShock #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/16/22) Markets' performance last week would tend to set-up for an opportunity to rally--but will it stick? Analysts' earnings estimates are still way too high; comparing nuclear explosions, road trip cuisine vs gas station food; what we don't want to see today. Markets are doing their best to frustrate investors; use the coming rally to correct mistakes. The saga of Chicken Salad Chick; Why Joe Biden's Deficit Reduction plan will fail; fun with Math, California doubles down on inflationary policies; why we have inflation. Why the pandemic Bike boom is going bust; The Bitcoin price collapse: reconsider your thesis. Will advisors embrace cryptocurrency as an investment asset? SEG-1: Why the Market is Like Kim Kardashian's Butt SEG-2: Nuclear Explosions, Gas Station Food, & What We Don't Want to See Today SEG-3: Joe Biden's Deficit Reduction Plan SEG-4: Bike Boom Goes Bust; The Cryptocurrency Crusades Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A69ZDaGLq6s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=999s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What do Kim Kardashian & The Market Have in Common?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqRelnC2oZs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Inflation: The Hotter the Better?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efklhOarIxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #Stablecoin #MarketBottom #KimKardashian #JoeBiden #BikeBoom #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/12/22) Inflation is running hotter than the Fed would like; the major indexes are masking the reality of underlying stocks' plight; dealing with margin debt is playing a role in market's performance; 4 out of 8 CPI sectors were elevated in April--oddly, Energy was not one of them. Month/Month and Year/Year comparisons actually showed a decline; former Fed'er Bill Dudley continues to call out the FOMC for its "handling" of the economy; the NFIB survey is at it's lowest ebb ever. No one is immune to emotion; understanding the dynamics between Inflation & Economic Growth; why being long on the dollar has been among the best investments this year; Cryptocurrency: Why it's NOT a fiat currency; Bitcoin is basically an asset, to be traded like at ETF. Luna, Terra, and Stablecoin. SEG-1: Inflation Is Running Hotter than Expected (by the Fed) SEG-2: The Math Behind CPI--It's Impossible to Calculate SEG-3: What Kind of Bear Market Are We In? SEG-4: The Thing About Cryptocurrency Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efklhOarIxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Cryptocoins Under Pressure," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFyiWgEuxgA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Beware of Recency Bias," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5proelkbBI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #CPI #Bitcoin #FederalReserve #BuyingTheBottom #Cryptocurrency #Stablecoin #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/11/22) Utopia vs Dystopia is like theory vs reality: Why the Government's solution for fighting inflation never works; Should you buy the dip? Why buy the market bottom is a bear trap for investors; the best investment I ever made; what advisors are telling people that's good and bad; recency bias and investor psychology; contrarian investing strategies; Benchmarking progress over a two-year span; Why you should get out of the market now. SEG-1: Why Gov't. Solutions for Inflation Don't Work SEG-2: Buying the Bottom: The Bear Trap for Investors SEG-3: The Best Investment I Ever Made SEG-4: Contrarian Strategies and Active Portfolio Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5proelkbBI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will CPI Be Sticky?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-cpP0UMoUM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Relentless Fed" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7a_llwpuVLU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2587s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #BuyingTheBottom #BearTrap #PermanentLifeInsurance #ContrarianInvesting #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/10/22) Monday's market Capitulation actually smelled like margin calls coming home to roost; as financial conditions continue to tighten, the Fed is relentless in its squeeze. The inflation now was caused by "free" money (which isn't); the best course for the Fed now is to do nothing, and allow inflation to run its course in curing itself. Low volatility begets high volatility, and investor sentiment now is so bearish...it's bullish. Corporate Reporting Preview; look to buy value today--why Uber is not; TeleDoc, Peloton vs Amazon.
SEG-1: Capitulation in the Markets; Smells Like Margin Calls SEG-2: The Fed's Best Course to Sure Inflation is to Do Nothing SEG-3: Why Investor Sentiment is So Bearish it's Bullish SEG-4: Don't Allow Short-term Fear to Deter Investing Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7a_llwpuVLU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2587s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Sentiment is so Bearish, It's Bullish" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7r462uDqp0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "What Will Inflation Tell Us This Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJCHf2LRHsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Capitulation #BearishSentiment #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/9/22) The psychological pressure on investors created by inflation is very real, and makes folks prone to making mistakes. Inflation's interesting comparisons, April to April; Inflation numbers are not reflective of what we're actually living; Consumers' resort to credit card debt to pay bill. The metrics of inflation vs reality; the fallacy of a Fed "soft landing;" signs we are at or near inflation's peak; Rich Strike & Market Investing; average hold time down from 6-8 years to about 6-months; Making "bests" with best odds over time; markets are pressuring people to do the wrong thing and the wrong time. Wrapping up earnings season; companies allowing us to do things more conveniently, but not showing a profit, which cannot last.
SEG-1: The Psychological Pressure on Investors SEG-2: Comparing April to April Inflation Metrics SEG-3: The Fallacy of a Fed "Soft Landing" SEG-4: Horse Racing & Stock Investing: Rich Strike? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJCHf2LRHsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are We Near the Bottom?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17wiq3djd8o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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FederalReserve #Inflation #SoftLanding #RichStrike #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/6/22) Despite all the gyrations on Wall Street this week, the S&P is still above Monday's close; just about the time you think you know what's going on, the market proves otherwise. There is no better time to create a financial plan; The Fed and Administration are truly tone-deaf to what the rest of America is dealing with; Why K-mart's clothes were really high-quality; dealing with drought the "natural way;" speedbumps and potholes in the Secure Act 2.0; performing surgical Roth conversions. The Best uses of Bitcoin: Should Cryptocurrencies be in 401(k)'s? Bitcoin is a speculative asset; agreeing with Elizabeth Warren; We're all foam and no beer.
SEG-1: The Market is the Great Humiliator SEG-2: The Market is Like Amber Heard & Johnny Depp SEG-3: Fertilizer, Drought, & Secure Act 2.0 SEG-4: Cryptocurrency in 401-k; Best Uses of Bitcoin
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=83Mmx32PmN8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2589s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: No surprises from Fed - where do we go from here?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USUgD_eZ_v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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FederalReserve #Cryptocurrency #Administration #SecureAct_2_0 #Bitcoin #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/5/22) The Fed is raising rates by 50-basis-points, but tapering its balance sheet at a slower pace than expected, causing great jubilation on Wall Street, and a 3% rally after the announcement. The narrative the Fed feeds does not always comport with reality; how Jerome Powell "walks the line." Is the Fed looking at the economy in the right way? Economic data are telling a different story; is the market actually bottoming--or could it go even lower from here? Why companies are always slow to hire and slow to fire. The impact of passive investing; Elon Musk vs Cathie Wood; Blackrock, Vanguard, and voting virtue with EFT's; Have ETF's taken away the voice of individual investors? How Engine No.1 wound up with two seats on Exxon's Board.
SEG-1: The Fed Meets Expectations SEG-2: The Narratives the Fed Conveys vs Reality SEG-3: What the Economic Numbers Really Say SEG-4: The Negative Impact of Passive Investing
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: No surprises from Fed - where do we go from here?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USUgD_eZ_v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "What Will Today's FOMC Meeting Reveal?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoGa5yu9IP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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FederalReserve #FOMC #RateHike #QuantitativeTapering #PassiveInvesting #BlackRock #Vangard #ETF #EngineNo1 #Exxon #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/4/22) Today's FOMC meeting will reveal what Jerome Powell & Co really think about the economy, and how the Federal Reserve intends to address inflation: Corporate earnings are decent, but forward guidance is sucky. What we mean when we say we're "taking profits;" how to adjust your portfolio strategy for risk, and why cash is king. Don't confuse narratives for returns: Indexes paint a different view than what's really happening in the markets; the guaranteed returns of Bonds; the surprising proclivity of cryptocurrency investors to gambling; housing valuation compared to stock markets; the impact of the velocity of information; why a buy-and-hold strategy does not work.
SEG-1: FOMC Wednesday Preview SEG-2: What it Means to 'Take Profits' & Adjusting Portfolios for Risk SEG-3: The Guaranteed Return of Bonds SEG-4: Why Crypto Investors Develop Gambling Habits
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoGa5yu9IP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Will Today's Fed Meeting Impact Your Money?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hgj2t-qfIco&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Will Markets Rally Following the Fed Meeting?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84eNp-LfMAk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1094s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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FederalReserve #FOMC #PerfectPortfolio #RateHike #QuantitativeTapering #Cryptocurrency #InvestorPsychology #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/3/22) The FOMC meets tomorrow, and while many are anxiously awaiting the Fed's pronouncements on Thursday, in reality, markets may have already "baked-in" its expected 50-basis point rate hike and $90-B balance sheet taper to begin in June. Dragons are real; How Investors are positioning for the rest of the summer; YouTube influencers and the end of bad advice; S&P earnings estimates continue to climb, even as corporate forecasts predict dire changes; watch investor pyschology.
SEG-1: FOMC Pre-Meeting & Earnings Commentary SEG-2: Dragons and Investor Positioning SEG-3: The End of Bad Advice SEG-4: Why Estimates are Going Up Despite Dire Corporate Forecaasting
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84eNp-LfMAk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1094s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Will the Fed Say Tomorrow?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fNuCgrXebRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show, "Is a Bigger Bear Market Coming?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuxJ__MWvZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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FederalReserve #FOMC #RateHike #QuantitativeTapering #YouTubeInfluencers #InvestorPsychology #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/2/22) Will April's showers bring a flowering to the markets in May? Comparing 2021 to now--is a bigger bear market coming? (Anything the Fed says next can tilt markets one way or the other.) The potential for a short-term rally is likely; use it to rebalance risk in portfolios. Wall Street's golden plateau is "buy & sell;" the velocity of news can destroy market caps overnight; Warren Buffett: "Markets are a Casino." Expectations for shrinkage in Fed balance sheet by mid-June; we may actually be closer to end of market carnage; why we cannot have a bear market: Everyone is expecting it. Avoiding making emotional investment decisions; know when to leave the table. The trouble with comparisons.
SEG-1: Is a Bigger Bear Market Coming? SEG-2: Warren Buffett - Markets Are a Casino SEG-3: Why The End of Market Carnage is Near SEG-4: Avoiding Emotional Trading Decisions
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuxJ__MWvZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why Now Would Be a Really Good Time to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qGvFOOqqV4w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why Facebook/Meta's Earnings Matter," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXFJsdZGHTE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
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BearMarket #FederalReserve #WarrenBuffett #MarketCasino #EmotionalDecisions #MarketComparisons #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/29/22) Turns out Inflation wasn't as "transitory" as some had hoped; the bigger question now is whether or not Inflation is structural. Ramifications of China's slowing economy. Robinhood has been "Friar Tucked." How to mitigate risk w life insurance; Housing Demographics & Affordability Index; buying vs renting; the "American Dream" vs homeownership reality. Coco the Robot; Retirement vs work: Distribution vs accumulation. Sequence of Returns rule change. Coco the Robot, Grandma Rosso, asset allocation and tactical portfolio strategies. Everyone is going to deal with inflation and volatility in retirement. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP
SEG-1: The Nature of Inflation SEG-2: Mitigating Risk w Insurance; Homebuyer demographics SEG-3: Coco the Robot; Retirement vs Work - Distribution vs Accumulation SEG-4: Grandma Rosso & Tactical Portfolio Strategies
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7EGG7GUeKuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by Facebook's Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK8Ylncrx8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why Facebook/Meta's Earnings Matter," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXFJsdZGHTE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Inflation #NegativeGDP #Retirement #TacticalPortfolioStrategies #Homebuyer #Demographics #SequnceOfReturns #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/28/22) It's been a tough week for the markets; Facebook's earnings report showed lower revenues but heightened user counts; why a Facebook/Meta rally matters--and the opportunity it will afford investors. What the Atlanta Fed has in store in GDP report; how Russia will impact companies' forward guidance, effects on China. Inflation beginning to impact companies through reduced consumer spending: We're spending more to get the same or less. Why we reduced exposure to Apple but not MSFT. Dr. Fauci says COVID's ovah. Watching Twitter's earnings and the ongoing social media meltdown. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
SEG-1: How Facebook's Earnings Report Could Lift Markets Today SEG-2: GDP Preview & Russia's Impact on Forward Guidance SEG-3: Inflation's Impact on Amazon & Consumer Spending SEG-4: Watching the Twitter Meltdown
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXFJsdZGHTE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by Facebook's Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK8Ylncrx8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Have Great Expectations Turned to Pip Squeaks?", is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=254z8Hcy7FM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Facebook #Meta #Apple #MSFT #Twitter #ElonMusk #BondMarket #AARK #Inflation #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/27/22) Markets are still going nowhere, as bonds begin to emerge as investors' savior. We're looking for a short-term reflexive rally. The article MarketWatch likes so much, they ripped it off; Inflation, Title 42 vs COVID, and the appeal of Bonds; Elon Musk's purchasing power--how he acquired Twitter. Who pays the most in taxes? How Cathie Wood's AARK Investments sprung a leak; when things seem too good to be true, they are. Is Bitcoin a Fiat Currency? How Robinhood makes money. The worst things to happen to markets: Free Trades and Decimalization. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
SEG-1: Looking for a Reflexive Rally SEG-2: The Appeal of Bonds SEG-3: How Elon Did It SEG-4: The Sinking of the AARK
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=254z8Hcy7FM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Have Markets Bottomed, or More Losses to Go?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piwO2RQ7Vfk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show, "Elon's Poison Pill," Parts 1 & 2, is here: Pt-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHm3mBr3gOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=797s Pt-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xs4kJw_jRR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1220s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
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Twitter #ElonMusk #BondMarket #AARK #Inflation #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/26/22) Elon Musk is bidding to buy Twitter, and the board decides it's not such a bad deal after all; did Elon over-pay? The Problem with taking Twitter private; the culture of Twitter, and how Elon can make money on it. Public reaction to the sale from Trump, Bezos; Chinese access to the towne square; who decides what's disinformation? Why Twitter never forgets; platforms that share opinions and confirmation bias. Why it's always important to read that with which you do not agree. Ford's electric F-150, GM's electric Corvette. Possible changes at Twitter; Why there's no place to hide from the bear; why bond bull market is impending. Nicolas Cage/National Treasure: What did the FBI take from Finders Keepers? The Stupidity of Government; why we're bullish on Bonds. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
SEG-1: Elon's Poison Pill Dilemma SEG-2: What Hath Elon Wrought? Twitter Never Forgets SEG-3: Investors have Nowhere to Hide from the Bear SEG-4: National Treasure & Government Stupidity
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: Pt-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHm3mBr3gOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=797s Pt-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xs4kJw_jRR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1220s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Market Sell-off Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKQ6gXCRQ_I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why You Should Buy What Everyone Hates," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOL5PtgylRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2593s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Twitter #ElonMusk #SocialMedia #China #Bearmarket #BullMarket #BondMarket #Inflation #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/25/22) Markets have essentially gone nowhere since the first of the year. Will Netflix' crackdown on password sharing backfire (after promoting the idea early on...)? Disney's Wokeness cost $34-B in earnings; Twitter now considering Musk's bid to buy. Markets have already had it rough--companies below the surface are struggling; Why Markets are under pressure; why monetary policy takes so long to be felt; why you should buy what everyone else is hating. What's not to love about a two-day office work week; implications for commercial real estate; the downside of working from home. Market commentary: Fed Language Matters. Why Paying taxes Triggered BLM; the problem with paying taxes is how they're used; what happens to tax revenue; We need another "Dave." Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
SEG-1: Netflix Password Sharing, Disney's $34-b Bumble SEG-2: Why You Should Buy What Everyone Hates SEG-3: Demographic Risks to Commercial Real Estate SEG-4: Tax Triggering BLM
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOL5PtgylRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2593s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Where are the Opportunities in a Market Sell-off?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xl5D4T3V2OE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "The Invisible Market Crash," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=we8i2Dn5TMM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1529s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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EconomicRecession #CorporateEarnings #Netflix Disney #CommercialRealEstate #Taxation #InterestRates #QuantitativeTightening #QuantitativeEasing #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/22/22) Jerome Powell's comments on inflation and interest rates are taking on a harsher tone; have we reached "peak inflation?" How inflation is affecting financial planning and stock market performance; planning for future realities instead of past performances; why many are leaving retirement to return to work. Financial distress is here to stay. Food & Bacon, a preview of our next event; Secure Act for Retirement 2.0: Rothification and Annuitization; why the Roth is not going away. HOA's, Karen's, and Ken's; Secure Act 2.0: Preservation of guaranteed income; student loan payment matches and options. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
SEG-1: Have We Reached Peak Inflation? SEG-2: Why the Stock Market Ain't What it Used to Be SEG-3: Secure Act 2.0: Rothification & Annuitization SEG-4: Secure At 2.0: Preservation of Guaranteed Income
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CEotUwFp60&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2732s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Lance's Best Bets for Investing Today," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DU8dHQic1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Invisible Market Crash," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=we8i2Dn5TMM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1529s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/series-i-bonds-at-7-its-hard-to-go-wrong https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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BearMarket #SecureAct #Retirement #PeakInflation #InterestRates #QuantitativeTightening #QuantitativeEasing #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/21/22) Despite the positive headline news from big market players, there's been a literal market crash below the surface. Markets have essentially made no progress since last Fall, and valuations remain unreasonably high. Quantitative Tightening is The Next Thing. How demographics are affecting housing supply & demand dynamics. The effects & consequences of Quantitative Tightening; how to harness inflation with i-Bonds. Adventures with Steve the Donkey; Pro's & con's of i-Bonds and investor psychology; investing for Instagram within Facebook. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA.
SEG-1: The Rolling Bear Market Continues SEG-2: What Will the Fed Do Next? SEG-3: Truth & Consequences of QT SEG-4: Pro's & Con's of i-Bonds
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Lance's Best Bets for Investing Today," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DU8dHQic1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Would You Rather Pay Tax Now or Later (when they're higher)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwGXS9zkR8o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2559s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/series-i-bonds-at-7-its-hard-to-go-wrong https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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BearMarket #CorporateEarnings #Inflation #Tesla #QuantitativeTightening #QuantitativeEasing #iBonds #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/20/22) The Q1 Earnings Parade continues; the conundrum for Netflix, bundling vs a la carte--it's an issue of too many providers for a paucity of quality content. What's really important this earnings season is what companies will be saying about forward guidance. A 20% correction is not impossible. QE vs QT: Quantitative Easing did not cause inflation--"free" money from the Government did. You wanna avoid paying taxes, or make money? Taxes are bound to go up to finance government debt. The strategic benefit of tax-loss harvesting: Pay it now or pay it later. Why the 4% Withdrawal Rate in financial planning is outdated. Why $1-mil isn't going to generate enough income in retirement. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP.
SEG-1: Netflix, Bundling vs a la cart, Over-crowded space SEG-2: QE vs QT; What's Really Important this Earnings Season SEG-3: Paying taxes, Now or Later SEG-4: Why the 4% Withdrawal Rule is Outdated
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Here's What to Look for In Earnings Reports" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=35BuZ_dVKN0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Is a Bear Market Lurking?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TqOuIIOnYKA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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CorporateEarnings #ForwardGuidance #Netflix, #QuantitativeEasing #QuantitativeTightening #Inflation #Deflation #TaxLossHarvesting #FinancialPlanning #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/19/22) Does an inverted Yield Curve necessarily mean the Recession is over? (No.) The problem in trying to predict onset of a bear market--we don't usually know until 9-months or so later. Bear markets are fast and fierce; bull markets last longer. Negative investor sentiment generally correlates with market bottom. The Fed has not yet begun to taper! Why more people are using Google to diagnose illnesses; Acceptance of Risk is key to planning for a bear market. No one HAS to invest; it's okay to be in cash. Why Cryptocurrency is still a fiat currency. Grammar counts; no more masks (yay!) Elon Musk & Twitter's poison pill.
SEG-1: Is a Bear Market Coming? SEG-2: The Problem of Predicting Bear Markets SEG-3: Dr. Google & Cryptocurrency SEG-4: Grammar, Masks, & Twitter
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are markets Setting up to Rally, or More Selling to Come?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jsx8ugStfks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How We're Dealing with Inflation Squared" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4KEAf8ZRsug&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=607s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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BearMarket #BullMarket #Recession #InvestorSentiment #ElonMusk #Twitter #DrGoogle #Cryptocurrency #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/14/22) Wednesday's market action provided a good example of how to best implement stop losses in your portfolio. When the market breaks below a moving average, there is sometimes a market bounce, and an improperly placed stop loss would cut you out of that rally. Wait for confirmation that the break of the 50_DMA is legit. Pay attention to sell signals relative to the market's over-sold or over-bought conditions. The retest and failure of the 50-DMA is the validation you're looking for. The key is not to react immediately to a break in the moving average; let the market tell you it's for real. You may risk more upside, but at the expense of less emotional stress as you navigate the markets.
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news...
Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ztjGikMozE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
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MarketBounce #StopLoss #PortfolioManagement #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/13/22) Big Banks lead off the next round of Q-1 earnings reports with a confounded perspective of heightened earnings expectations with haltered profit margin forecasts. Are valuation declines a risk for later in the year? Last-minute tax tips and a gentle correction of our host...but wait, there's more corrective action to be heard. How Elon Musk triggered Twitterers. Inflation is causing demand destruction in housing and used cars. The dynamics of inflation, pricing, and have we seen inflation peak already?
SEG-1: Earnings Season Commences as Expectations are Heightened SEG-2: The Tax Man Cometh (and Correcteth Lance) SEG-3: Correcting the Correction & Last Minute tax Tips SEG-4: Inflation & Demand Destruction; Inflation has likely Peaked
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will an Over-sold Market lead to a Bounce? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1mMvLjMFn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Rising Fuel Prices - Did Biden Go Too Far?" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2114s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/
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Inflation #CPI #EnergyPrices #CorporateEarnings #ProfitMargins #ValuationDeclines #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/12/22) The Easter holiday weekend gives you three days to file your 2021 Tax Return, due this year on April 17. Lance Market commentary and CPI Preview. How Joe Biden has run afoul of environmentalists as he contorts to control the rising fuel price fiasco he caused. The Millennial Narcissism epidemic, and how market metrics affect investor psychology; the substitution effect; just because interest rates are, doesn't necessarily mean they'll go up; why affordability really hasn't changed. If Albert Einstein came back (what would he think?) unintended consequences of bank de-regulation.
SEG-1: Tax Filings & Market Aftermath SEG-2: Biden & Environmentalists vs Prices at the Pump SEG-3: Millennials and Metrics that Affect Market Psychology SEG-4: If Albert Einstein Returned
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Interest Rates' Effect on Investor Psychology" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hy3YQu_a9hc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why Everyone is Obsessed with Recession" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsmXtYCZ348&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2689s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #CPI #EnergyPrices #JoeBiden# MillennialNarcissism #MarketPsychology #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/11/22) Earnings season is about to re-convene: What companies say about forward looking guidance will be key. This is a holiday-shortened trading week with Good Friday. We've been in a major bear market, despite what the main stream media says. What does it mean when everyone is talking about Recession? A discussion of Yield Curve(s) behaviors; how you know we're at the peak of a business cycle. The problem with lagging indicators. King Richard & Will Smith, perseverance, and mentoring.
SEG-1: Holiday-shortened Week; Earnings Season Returns SEG-2: Recession Obsession SEG-3: What Freight tallies are Telling About the Real Economy SEG-4: The Importance of Mentors to Investors Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsmXtYCZ348&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Light Trading Ahead of Easter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3D5bTKx-Z1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=6s
Our previous show, "How Markets Are Responding to a Faster Fed" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M--VHw6bxOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Recession #EarningsSeason #BearMarket #BusinessCycle #KingRichard #WSillSmith #SerenaWilliams #VenusWilliams #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/8/22) What corporations are saying about inflation & future earnings. Creativity in the Peep-dom: Richard discovers alternatively-flavored marshmallow Peeps; Wal-Mart's $100k truck drivers. Annuities in retirement; where's the target on target-dated funds (on your back). How to Quell Retirement Fears vs reaching retirement goals; what is the real definition of "retirement plan?" Achieving retirement nirvana vs under-funded plans.
SEG-1: Creativity in the Peepdom: What Corporations Say About Inflation SEG-2: Where's the Target on Target-date Funds? SEG-3: How to Quell Retirement Fears: Defining 'Retirement' SEG-4: Retirement Nirvana vs Underfunded plans Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OvTpwxGZlq0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2411s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Interest Rates Really Respond to the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0URKrkgslo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How Markets Are Responding to a Faster Fed" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M--VHw6bxOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Retirement #Annuities # RetirementNirvana #RetirementPlan #AOC #Peeps #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/7/22) Now that the Fed's more rapid rate hike cat is out of the bag, markets celebrated with a Wednesday sell-off; at this point, it's instructive to note the history of market activity around such hikes; earnings growth will be challenged by higher rates, higher borrowing costs; Coffee Talk: Taking the Caffeine our of the Markets; markets have priced-in the Fed's rate hikes. The Fed's talking the talk, and hoping markets will do the heavy lifting. Equity Portfolio critique; Why we took Amazon out; companies to be hit by higher transportation costs.
SEG-1: A History of Market Responses to Fed Rate Hikes SEG-2: Taking the Caffeine out of the Market SEG-3: Why the Markets are Like Mogadishu SEG-4: S&P Heat Map & the Market Iceberg Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2youIddsfQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Interest Rates Really Respond to the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0URKrkgslo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Will the Markets' Reflexive Rally Remain?" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2youIddsfQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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LaelBrainard #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #Commodities #Liquidity #DeathWishCoffee #Margins #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/6/22) The Fed's Lael Brainard is calling for a faster run-off of its balance sheet in a more rapid application of quantitative tightening; this will not create any more inventory, but will reduce buyers. Margin Calls and the problem with bailouts; why the weak should be allowed to fail. The ferocity of downward trends; the conundrum of margins in commodity markets. How liquidity kills you quickly. Watch for the Fed to return to QE. Will the markets' reflexive rally remain? Catalysts & Concerns; playing the conservative game, waiting for markets to say which way they'll go.
SEG-1: Lael Brainard's Rapid-er Run-off of Fed Balance Sheet SEG-2: The Problem with Bailouts SEG-3: Could Commodities be The Next Big Thing? SEG-4: Catalysts & Concerns: Which Way Will Markets Go? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2youIddsfQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Where Will Markets Go in April?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSsHJmmJhHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s
Our previous show, "Anatomy of a Bear Market" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April?
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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LaelBrainard #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #ElonMusk #Twitter #Commodities #Liquidity #Margins #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/4/22) Elon Musk knows how to combat Twitter, scooping up a 9% stake in the company; April is a stronger month for markets, but could the Fed's activity make for a sloppy summer of trading? Jobs Act 4.0 & How Wall St. extracts capital by changing "accredited investor" definition. More Life with the Roberts, the worst thing you can do for kids; anatomy of a bear market. Best Ice Cream Flavors, on-boarding back into the markets, the problem of market timing vs risk management.
SEG-1: June Bugs, Twitter & Elon Musk, Moving into April SEG-2: The Things We Do Over and Over SEG-3: Workouts, Party Dresses, & Bear Market Anatomy SEG-4: Ice Cream Lists & On-boarding Back into the Market Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j5pM2l9xhSo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Where Will Markets Go in April?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSsHJmmJhHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "Will the Fed Hike Rates Eight Times?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-market-anatomy-revisiting-russell-napiers-work-annotated/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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BearMarket #FederalReserve #ElonMusk #Twitter #JobsAct #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/31/22) "The Smartest Guys in The Room," the story of Enron and Video streaming juxtaposed with the launch Tuesday of CNN+; why a market correction is needed to work off excesses. It's a good time to be an agnostic: Neither Bull or Bear. So how many times will the Fed raise rates (before something gets broken)? The Carbon Credits scam and "green gas premiums; the adverse consequences from the quest for "green" energy. How to capture pig gas (ew).Market fundamentals & Valuations; buying value stocks now.
SEG-1: Enron to CNN+, Market Commentary: Correction Needed SEG-2: Markets Move into April: A Good Time to Be Agnostic SEG-3: It's Not Easy Being Green: The Carbon Credit Scam SEG-4: Market Fundamentals & Buying Value Stocks Now Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Continue Their Bullish March?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9OezBEZymMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Biggest Risk to markets Now" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhDFG8PrOM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-liquidity-drain-is-coming https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketCorrection #Inflation #Quarter_End_Selling #Enron #CNN+ #CarbonCredit #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/30/22) York Peppermint Patties & Coffee Prices, and the market rally continues, courtesy of a feigned pullback by Russia in Ukraine; why rallies like this only occur in bear markets. The Wisdom of Weddings on Birthdates (and other holidays); What happens after this rally? At what point does the Fed break something? When everyone is suddenly talking about the Yield Curve; Elizabeth Warren vs Elon Musk and taxing the rich; the Budget Bill that's DOA. Higher taxes are a'comin', with changes to SS and Roth IRA's. Why America needs an economic enema.
SEG-1: The Market Rally Continues (as only it can in a bear market) SEG-2: Marriages, Anniversaries, Birthdays & The Biggest Risks to the Market SEG-3: Elizabeth Warren vs Elon Musk & Higher Taxes Coming SEG-4: Taxes vs Revenues & An Economic Enema Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhDFG8PrOM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What the Largest Rally Since 1932 Means for Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5Pbdh8j2Pc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Markets Stuck in Wash, Repeat, Rinse Cycle" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-kSAeHvxyp4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketRally #BillionaireTax #Russia #Ukraine #SocialSecurity #RothIRA #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/29/22) Quarter-end selling continues; how we allow psychology to affect investing decisions; what happens when inflation is artificially imposed. How debt deters economic growth. Why negativity is a contrarian indicator, and why we sold (some) stocks; Markets are in a Wash, Rinse, Repeat Cycle; Why headlines do not affect all stocks equally; Only 2% of Nestle income derived in Russia. Important of Health & Nutrition in Retirement; Berkshire-Hathaway & Dairy Queen; changing "workout" to "sex," because no one wants to "work." The irony of Oscar flap over Will Smith bitch slap; the limitations of stock buy-backs: do it enough and the company goes private. The fallacy of "the Rich don't pay taxes:" Elon Musk's $11-Billion dollar tax bill.
SEG-1: How Psychology Affects Investing Decisions SEG-2: Negative Sentiment is a Contrarian Indicator SEG-3: Berkshire-Hathaway's Better-bad Choices & Dairy Queen SEG-4: Driving the Length-challenged Bus, Oscars, Violence, & Movies SEG-4B: The Limitations of Stock Buy-backs Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-kSAeHvxyp4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Beasr Squeeze or Bull Rally?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=synp76dN564&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "What Happens with No Penalty for Failure" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbHw6kWyJzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #Quarter_End_Selling #ContrarianIndicator #Berkshire_Hathaway #Dairy_Queen #Oscars #WillSmith #BillionaireTax #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/28/22) The Oscar Slap heard 'round the world; The Billionaires' Tax explains, and why it won't pass muster; How the Flu was eliminated by COVID, and now...the impact of legislation, and why the Fed uses Quantitative Easing. The moral hazard for investors, and what happens when there's no penalty for excess; the "new" method for dealing with Recession: Don't let them occur. Emergency Assistance and whose at fault when investments for wrong? The rising dependence on government bailouts...why capitalisms isn't allowed to work the way it should.
SEG-1: Oscar Slap, Billionaire Tax, & The Inflation Equation SEG-2: Senioritis, Net Worth Assumptions, & Why the Fed Does QE SEG-3: Investors' Moral Hazard: What Happens w No Penalty for Failure SEG-4: The Consequences of Rising Government Dependancy Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbHw6kWyJzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Quarter End - Is it Time to Rebalance?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3b837raDt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Rate Hike Episode, Pt.1 & Pt.2" is here: Part-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smOKh-aoEHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s Part-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-dCmyjIf48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1722s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Inflation #BillionaireTax #QuantitativeEasing #Retirement FederalReserve #InterestRates #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/25/22) How do you adequately plan your financial future with a Fed that is as outdated as a rectal thermometer? Their answer to every problem is sending a check. Gasoline Prices & Animal House; inflation and the "significant passage of time." What happens when your financial plan isn't working? Social Security COLA, tracking inflation's impact on your financial goals; dealing with volatility in distribution-mode. Improving credit scores for young Americans; medical billing & collections.
SEG-1: Houston Traffic & The Outdated Fed SEG-2: What Happens When Your Financial Plan Isn't Working SEG-3: Tweaking Financial Plans Against Inflation SEG-4: Improving Credit Scores Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGmLowz81c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2585s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets to End March Bullishly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TB149ckvhTA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Rate Hike Episode, Pt.1 & Pt.2" is here: Part-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smOKh-aoEHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s Part-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-dCmyjIf48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1722s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #Retirement SocialSecurity #COLA FederalReserve #InterestRates #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/24/22) Markets' recent rally providing nice relief; bullish appetite for stocks remains, despite Ukraine, Interest rates, and inflation concerns. What happens when the Fed "prints" money; at what point will the Fed have gone too far? Life w The Roberts'; why Recessions aren't a bad thing; gasoline rebates are financial lunacy. Implications and consequences of 3% interest rates; how debt allows excessive lifestyles; Gov't. not allowing economic cycle to function normally. Why Energy Co's. are in a no-win situation.
SEG-1: Markets to Rally Out of March; No guarantees for Q-2 SEG-2: At What Point Does the Fed Go Too Far? SEG-3: Life w The Roberts'; Why Recessions Are not a Bad Thing SEG-4: The Problem w 3% Interest Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: Part-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smOKh-aoEHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s Part-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-dCmyjIf48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1722s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets to End March Bullishly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TB149ckvhTA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Who's Afraid of the Yield Curve?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXOlv-vcoqM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/btfd-or-stfr-which-is-it/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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YieldCurves #Bonds #InterestRates #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/23/22) Lance's mystery Peppermint Patty source; investor sentiment remains negative, but there are technically constructive signs providing portfolio relief; concerns over geopolitics, energy, and food shortages are valid, but they're driving emotional responses by investors. Yield Curves and the story Bonds are telling; the impact of higher rates on pensions; you could be working for free; the reality of retirement now; the consequences of poor financial education & importance of delayed gratification.
SEG-1: Peppermint Patties & Signs We're Near a Short-term Bottom SEG-2: Who's Afraid of Yield Curves? SEG-3: How You're Losing Money in Retirement SEG-4: The Reality of Retirement Now Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXOlv-vcoqM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is the Bear Market Already Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=onPy5MoARYs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Sanctions Stink, but Markets Perform Despite Geopolitics" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YqOnk_cB0FU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/btfd-or-stfr-which-is-it/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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YieldCurves #Bonds #InterestRates #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/22/22) Markets continue to perform remarkably, despite geopolitical distractions and Fed meddling; there seems to be no demand destruction from high energy prices. Yet. The conundrum is markets' readiness to rally amidst negative sentiment. Jerome Powell's "hope for supply-side healing" belies headlong rush to raise rates again. And again. Impact of Russia-Ukraine war; Sanctions also hurting the rest of us. Why "rare earth" minerals are so called; The deals we make with ourselves harm us the most: Failure to execute.
SEG-1: Markets' Performance Despite Geopolitics, Fed Interventions SEG-2: Jerome Powell's 'Hope for Supply-side Healing' SEG-3: Why Sanctions Against Russia Really Hurt the Rest of Us SEG-4: The Deals We Make w Ourselves that Hurt Us Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YqOnk_cB0FU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is It Time to Buy Bonds Yet?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GnxJu06GEk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show, "Why Today's Inflation is Not Like the '70's" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sQgLCMqWv4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/btfd-or-stfr-which-is-it/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/21/22) Markets decided to goose the index 6% while we're on vacation, and the Fed raises rates 25-basis points, as expected. Cash is now trash, thanks to inflation; why this is not like the '70's. The Greatest Generation and American Manufacturing strength; why CNN is wrong about solving inflation; Permanent DST, Congress' stealth pay raise, Bloomberg's $300k inflation threshold; the Fed is expected to continue to raise interest rates.
SEG-1: Markets Rally Like a Scalded Ape SEG-2: Cash is Trash; Why We Now Have High Inflation SEG-3: Midway, The Greatest Generation, Inflation Now vs Then SEG-4: Permanent DST, The Fed's Biggest Problem Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "6% Market Rally - Markets Over-bought" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BO32VBAZFl8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Who's Really to Blame for High Energy Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E-AK04azW0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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CrudeOil #Ukraine #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/11/22) Markets are in a coiled-spring state, like the bear in "The Revenant," waiting to pounce. What the Fed says next week could change everything--one way or the other. Why not solve the Russian-Ukraine War with a cage match between Putin and Zelensky? The money lessons we teach our kids should be taken to heart by adults. The importance of including inflation in retirement planning cannot be under emphasized. How we're handling higher gasoline costs; the ugly truth about Medicare Advantage.
SEG-1: The Revenant Market SEG-2: Money Lessons for Kids - and adults SEG-3: Planning for Inflation in Retirement SEG-4: More Money Lessons for Kids & The Problem with Medicare Advantage Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Equities Markets Opening Strong...Commodities, meh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s
Our previous show, "Who's Really to Blame for High Energy Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E-AK04azW0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/looking-to-unretire-four-important-steps-to-consider/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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CrudeOil #Ukraine #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/10/22) Next Week's Fed Meeting and monetary policy are front and center...but tightening is already occurring, thanks to higher energy prices. Will the Fed back off inflationary stance--and protect financial markets, or go full-speed ahead with higher interest rates? The Amazon 20:1 stock split AND $10-B stock buy-back--a defacto move for larger companies. Who's really to blame for high energy prices? The consequences of virtue signaling and ESG investing...how the government shames the companies it's tried to regulate out of business. When the Fed meets next week, will they hike rates because of inflation (this morning's 7.9% CPI print will feed into that decision); how inflation is measured. The Fed is faced with a market in trouble, and an economy that is already slowing because of the drag from higher energy prices. Tik-Tok blows out video database...Why one-day rallies are normal...for bear markets.
SEG-1: Market Pressures, Amazon's Stock Split & Buy-back SEG-2: Lance's Rant: High Energy Costs, ESG Investing, & Virtue Signaling SEG-3: Fed Meeting & CPI Preview: SEG-4: Tik-Tok Fail; What's Driving Markets Higher Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Outsized Rallies Continue to Fail " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPOOHey3Mtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Did Ukraine Eliminate COVID?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2591s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/9/22) The news moves markets, and as the Russian invasion of Ukraine remains in the headlines, COVID has been all but eliminated! After sanctions on Russian oil were put in place, oil futures shed 2%. NFIB Survey shows sentiment waning, wage expectations falling, and anticipated sales down. The Fed bet: raise rates or hold firm? Nickel trading suspended until Friday; what then? Manipulation of commodities markets--nothing new. Markets' next hurdle will be next week's Fed meeting. New Retirement Legislation on the way--why are there limits on saving? The demographics and math of retirement; why 401k's were a bad idea. The dynamics of stimulus checks combined with bad financial habits; how long will this inflation last? The cure for high prices is high prices.
SEG-1: How Ukraine Eliminated COVID SEG-2: Commodity Market Manipulation & The Fed Bet SEG-3: Why 401k's Were a Bad Idea SEG-4: Stimulus Checks & Bad Financial Habits Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Equities Markets Opening Strong...Commodities, meh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s
Our previous show, "Is Recession on the Way?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfSHdce7zhM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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CrudeOil #Ukraine #COVID #GasolinePrices #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #401k #Retirement #StimulusChecks #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/8/22) The cost of filling your tank just got real, and it's effectively pulling liquidity out of the market, and slowing down economic growth. Earnings Estimates are too optimistic with consumers having less to spend as a result of higher energy costs. This could bring on Recession before the end of the year. Just because NASDAQ has declined 20% does not make it a bear market--it's the trend that counts. We're primed for a reflexive rally. Do you want to boycotting & virtue signal, or do you want to make money? A commentary on market futures: Buying is easy--selling is the hard part. How will the Russia/Ukraine war impact future earnings of companies like Apple, P&G, etc.? We have likely seen the peak of earnings growth for 2022, as effects of inflation shrink margins and profits.
SEG-1: The Cost of Filling-up (w/charts) SEG-2: Have Oil Prices Peaked? (w/charts) SEG-3: The Reality of Boycotts & Virtue Signaling SEG-4: How Will Russia-Ukraine Impact Future Earnings? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfSHdce7zhM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2582s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "How to use Rallies to Lower Risk " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4UxuCoufoY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Crude Oil Price Inflation Isn't Over" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QN-pJWzqglk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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CrudeOil #Inflation #Recession #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/7/22) It might take a short-term loan for your next fill-up: Crude Oil price inflation isn't over; are we seeing the death of ESG investing in the face of fiscal reality? The flaw in investor anchoring--and market perspective. Why high oil prices are essentially tightening money supply; the true cause of inflation, per Milton Friedman (it's Washington's fault); Word of the Day: "Slowbalization." There are two sides to every trade--don't forget to sell. Russia vs Ukraine by the numbers; the exogenous event; Elon Musk--building nukes and ramping up oil production. How will you be positioned at war's end?
SEG-1: Crude Oil Price Inflation & The Death of ESG Investing SEG-2: How High Oil Prices are Tightening Money Supply SEG-3: Slowbalization and The Real Cause of Inflation SEG-4: Preparing Positioning for War's End Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QN-pJWzqglk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2598s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Control Your Emotions During Market Turmoil" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HmkMm7AxLqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1944s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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CrudeOil #Inflation #FederalReserve #Slobalization #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/4/22) Girl Scout Cookie Season returns with a vengeance; selling techniques & economic impact. Market performance continues to baffle,. Why is everyone's side-job selling Real Estate? the importance of teaching kids the value of money and delayed gratification; money saving lessons for today from the Great Depression: eliminating recurring charges, lowering credit card rates, paying with cash, keeping up with automobile maintenance, Raising insurance deductibles, using online banks, and ditching banks with fees.
SEG-1: Girl Scout Cookies & Market Performance in Troubled Times SEG-2: Money Scripts & The Value of Delayed Gratification SEG-3: Saving Money in Inflationary Times, Pt.1 SEG-4: Saving Money in Inflationary Times, Pt.2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Markets Need to Rally " youtube.com/watch?v=kBVJfVaw4mQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "MThe Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1944s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-market-strategies-are-you-ready https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #FederalReserve #Oil #Gasoline #GirlScoutCookies #DelayedGratification #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/3/22) Markets seem to be doing great, but most of the support is coming from corporate share buy-backs, now at record high levels. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's first day of testimony was well-received on Wall St. Energy makes up 7% of GDP, but actually touches all aspects of daily life. Pricing Gasoline at 9/10ths Gallon; Bear Market Strategies, and what Volatility means. There's no direct link between Quantitative Easing and stock prices--just there to boost investor sentiment.
SEG-1: The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market SEG-2: Why Oil Prices Are the Biggest Indicator of Real Inflation SEG-3: Gasoline Pricing & Bear Market Strategies SEG-4: The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Markets Need to Rally " youtube.com/watch?v=kBVJfVaw4mQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "March Off to a Weak Start - Will We Recover?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FNufDfJKGTY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-market-strategies-are-you-ready https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Russia #Ukraine #BearMarket #Inflation #FederalReserve #Oil #Gasoline #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/2/22) Markets commence the month of March in weak fashion as the Atlanta Fed reports GSP growth at 0.0%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to address Congress and the tone of his comments could sway markets bullishly or bearishly. Joe Biden's State of the Union addressed problems facing the country, but no realistic solutions to economic challenges. The good thing about oil prices; the only cure for high prices is...high prices. Q1 Earnings commentary: Watch for softening corporate outlooks; earnings estimates are still too high. We're in Investor Purgatory, and it's time to right-size portfolios.
SEG-1: Markets Get March off to a Rough Start SEG-2: State of the Union Commentary & Critique SEG-3: The Good Thing About High Oil Prices SEG-4: Investor Purgatory: Watch for Softer Outlooks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FNufDfJKGTY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Jerome Powell Take a Dovish Perch?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pVrCSOBO40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Oil Stocks Get a Boost from Russian Invasion" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DQAC3wBcJpo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2561s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Russia #Ukraine #SOTU #Inflation #FederalReserve #Oil #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/1/22) Markets are holding-up, despite the distractions of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, but still remain in a downward trend. There is still possibility of Russian default on debt, with implications for Banking system. Markets are still skittish over liquidity, and looking for a reason to reflexively rally. Cryptocurrencies are being asked to block Russian transactions. Green agenda is being derailed as oil prices hit $100/bbl. Energy independence is a long-term security issue. The Houston Rodeo & Fat Tuesday; Now is the time to take profits in Energy Sector; why Technologies are next Big Thing. Preview & Commentary on Q-1 Reporting season.
SEG-1: The Potential for Russian Debt Defaults, Banking Impact SEG-2: It's Not Easy Being Green SEG-3: Fat Tuesday, Rodeos, & the Consequences of Conflict SEG-1: The Potential for Russian Debt Defaults, Banking Impact Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DQAC3wBcJpo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What is the VIX Telling Us About a Rally in March? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QngsQcEUIz0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Economic Consequences of Putting the Squeeze on Putin" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jgnuj3xILj4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Russia #Ukraine #Energy #Oil #SWIFT #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/28/22) Russia's ill-advised invasion of Ukraine is having international repercussions, as domestic markets experience the biggest downturn since 2020. Oil prices are up $4/bbl as OPEC declines to boost production, and Russia is placed in time-out by SWIFT. Commodity prices are surging to 1973 highs, and interestingly, Cryptocurrencies are flailing in the crisis. SWIFT removal creates counter-party risk; market sentiment remains bearish. What happens when Russia pulls out of Ukraine? The collapse of the Russian Rouble, and what causes hyper-inflation.
SEG-1: Will Market Drawdown Deter Fed Action? SEG-2: Why Russian Removal from SWIFT Matters SEG-3: The Russian Rouble Turns to Rubble SEG-4: Squeezing Putin & 30 Russian Oligarchs Hosted by RIA Advisors hief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jgnuj3xILj4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Swift Response to Russian Invasion" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wgTZ4DwftWw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show, "How Will the Fed Respond to Russian Invasion?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zc6o5LCR53Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2597s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Russia #Ukraine #Rouble #SWIFT #RussianOligarchs #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/25/22) Markets' surprising close on Thursday (2/24) proves how emotional investors can be; how economic effects will be felt in the U.S. The Fed's reaction and response: "We will not be dissuaded from hiking rates." We'll see. Retirees are looking anew at Social Security as a bridge alternative for annuities; critical examination of taking Social Security at 64 or 67 instead of holding out until 70.
SEG-1: Coffee Spills & The Russian Ripple Effect SEG-2:The Fed's Response to Russia SEG-3: Using Social Security as a Retirement Bridge SEG-4: Claiming Strategies for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TMhtZfVY8cs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Russian Invasion of Ukraine Impacts Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7GHaIWOcMo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=5s
Our previous show, "How Will the Fed Respond to Russian Invasion?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zc6o5LCR53Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2597s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/24/22) Russia Invades Ukraine--what's next? The Big Question for the US is what the Federal Reserve is likely to do in response--pausing rate hikes and balance sheet shuffling? The key point for investors is to not overreact as markets capitulate. The political implications of Russia-Ukrainian conflict-out comes unknown. It is interesting to see the effects on Gold and Bitcoin.
SEG-1: How to React to Russian Invasion SEG-2: Fiscal Fallout of Russian Invasion: Historical Perspective SEG-3: Fed Calculations of Geopolitical Risk? SEG-4: Political Ramifications of Russian Invasion Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1EQKA8Sr6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Russian Invasion of Ukraine Impacts Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7GHaIWOcMo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=5s
Our previous show, "Is Consumer Buying About to Go Bust?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1EQKA8Sr6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2602s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #Inflation #Oil #GOLD #Commodities #BitCoin #VladimirPutin #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/23/22) Geopolitical tensions, Inflation, and the spectre of rising interest rates may already be providing the Fed with enough gravity to fight inflationary pressures: Might the Fed be able to avoid a rate hike? Why Hindsight Bias and Anchoring are two bad habits that can thwart your portfolio performance during market downturns; why it's too late to buy into the oil surge; if you're buying what everyone else is, you've already missed the advantage. What do "Wag the Dog" and "Charlie Wilson's War' have in common with present day news?
SEG-1: Is the Fed Already Getting Economic Tightening? SEG-2: Two Investor Traps You Should Avoid SEG-3: The Value of Buying When There's Blood in the Streets SEG-4: Wagging the Dog in Ukraine? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1EQKA8Sr6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Use the Coming Correction to Your Advantage" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zeX4A_Hv3Kg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "What Markets Already Know About Vladimir" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P818DxB48M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Russia #Ukraine #Inflation #HindsightBias #Anchoring #Oil #Commodities #PhilMickelson #SaudiGolf #WagTheDog #Risk #FederalReserve #VladimirPutin #MakingAnna #ElizabethHolmes #Greed #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/22/22) Russian President Vladimir Putin used the long weekend to stage troops in pro-Russian separatist regions bordering Ukraine...have markets already foreseen this--and more? What Putin needs in order to "save face..." Consumers do not like geopolitical risks. What Anna Delvy & Elizabeth Homes have in common with investors: Greed. What is The Fed Put, and at what point can or will the Fed step in to "manage" the economy?
SEG-1: Markets' Response to Russia-Ukraine Escalation SEG-2: What Markets Already Know About Russia- Ukraine SEG-3: Making Anna and Dealing with Greed SEG-4: What is The Fed Put? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P818DxB48M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2587s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Prepare for Russian Invasion of Ukraine" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEw0h87pmKE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "Fed & Furious Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Russia #Ukraine #FedPut #FederalReserve #VladimirPutin #MakingAnna #ElizabethHolmes #Greed #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/18/22) The Fed is acting like a fire department that shows up on the scene and watches a house burn down. BlackRock's Larry Fink learns not to mess with Texas' Pension Fund; the difficulty of retiring "cold turkey;" Planet of the Apes calls into question, 'What's normal?' anymore. The outcome from taking early retirement vs benefits of delaying until age-70. Volatility in Retirement, and why the 4% Rule doesn't work; advantages of charitable intent.
SEG-1: The Fed & House Fires: Where's the Beef? SEG-2: Texas Pension Fund vs BlackRock: Unretirement SEG-3: Planet of the Apes: What's Normal? SEG-3: Planet of the Apes: What's Normal? Hosted by RIS Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HLhykRSFCg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Our previous show, "Fed & Furious Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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FederalReserve #Un_Retirement #Volatility #TexasPensionFund #BlackRock #EarlyRetirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/17/22) The escalation of geopolitical risk continues to toy with the markets. The CDC is leaning towards dropping masking; getting back to normal will be good for the economy. Retail sales headline numbers vs reality (without seasonal adjustments). FOMC Meeting minutes suggest Fed is pulling back from hawkishness. Why we spend more time shopping on line for the best price, but do exactly the opposite when buying stocks; the problem of beating the Index. SimpleVisor and how we manage risk; the importance of risk-sizing in portfolios.
SEG-1: Why Moving Back to the Office is Good for the Economy SEG-2: FOMC Minutes Review SEG-3: The Dichotomy of Buying Stuff vs. Stocks SEG-4: How We Manage Risk--the importance of risk sizing Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Our previous show, "The Negative Psychology of Bonds" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdbDNuGBxQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2578s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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FOMC #InterestRates #ManagingRisk #BackToWork #Masking #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/16/22) Today we explore the psychology of investing, the negative psych-out that Bonds receive, and explainer of how they can work to your advantage as a hedge against all the things that scare you; Bonds are not always an "intuitive" choice. Energy Stocks' dynamics; the differential between 1970's economics and now. The Shortest Recession in history, and the relationship between interest rates and inflation; Living in the Carter years, and Paul Volker's mistake. WHy demographics can be economy-killers.
SEG-1: The Negative Psychology of Bonds SEG-2: The Argument for Buying Bonds: An explainer SEG-3: The Shortest Recession in History SEG-4: Why Deflation Will Be a Greater Danger than Inflation Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdbDNuGBxQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2578s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why Buying Bonds Makes Sense Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLQZ_dkit7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken (yet)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4f_BltGq68&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1652s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Bonds #Psychology #Deflation #Inflation #HedgingRisk #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/15/22) Russia's Mexican standoff with Ukraine has ended with a whimper, and markets love it. Earnings Season is also ending, with forward guidance the key for investors. Inflation's effect is already apparent. The Zoom phenomenon and a potential ban on Congressional stock trading, a.k.a insider trading. The negative impact of Work-at-Home on Commercial Real Estate; pay differential with in-office workers. The history of market pullbacks, a possible 50% correction in a market that's up 120% in two years. What will crash the markets THIS time? Basic rules to remember: Ignore the Index, and invest for yourself. Why Bonds are the only true buy-and-hold instrument: Guaranteed return of principle + interest. The importance of knowing where we are in the investing cycle.
SEG-1: Russia Blinks SEG-2: Bear Market or Market Pull-back: A Historic Perspective SEG-3: Hotels & Resorts As Market Barometer SEG-4: The Weekly Angst: What Will Crush Markets THIS Time? Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRtyvUdMubc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2608s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Russia Backs-off, Markets Surge" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKgHt3etjVE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken (yet)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4f_BltGq68&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1652s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Russia #Ukraine #EarningsSeason #Inflation #Zoom
Markets #Money #Investing
(2/14/22) Now that The Big Game has passed, it's time to collect on those bets! Russia, Ukraine, the European Union, NATO, and Markets' response; Markets will probably re-test previous lows. If they hold, markets will be set for next rally up. The effectiveness of the truckers' Freedom Convoy; Why the Supply Chain isn't broken--it was shut down. How to deal with a hyper-active Fed. What will be the next Minsky Moment? Inflation is a monetary phenomenon created by government spending. With earnings season winding down, AutoZone and Advanced Auto Parts are good barometers of how the economy is faring. Prices are not going down, even as inflation cools.
1:50 - Post-Super Bowl Snackapolooza; The Russia Situation Explained 13:11 - Russia-Ukraine, Freedom Convoys, the Investor Guess-Right Ratio 29:21 - Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken 43:06 - What AutoZone & Advanced Auto Parts Can Tell Us About the Economy RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Sell-off on Russia News" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbPkAsFhfvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "Where's the Value in 'Value Stocks?'" is here: youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2613s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-time-is-different-the-feds-next-minsky-moment/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Truckers #SupplyChain #Russia #Ukraine #FreedomConvoy #Inflation #SuperBowl
ValentinesDay #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/11/22) With the bigger than expected 7.5% inflation print on Thursday, the next logical question is what will the Fed do? Why Inflation is going to be "sticky" for a while: Energy policy, public policy; when will price elasticity return? Is there an upside to Inflation: recession mentality, inflation mentality--similar to depression mentality of the '30's. The onset of Consumer Austerity. IRS Life Expectancy Tables have changed; what this means for your retirement; what happens when current tax law sunsets in 2025? Lunch & Learn recap, Retirement Right Lane preview; the economics of Valentine's Day.
SEG-1: What's the Fed Going to Do Next? SEG-2: The Bright Side of Inflation SEG-3: What Changes in IRS Life Expectancy Tables Mean for You SEG-4: Lunch & Learn recap, Retirement Right Lane preview; Valentine Economics RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zq5Etjr8O8Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2950s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Today's Inflation Numbers Mean for Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k_YjVxMKns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "Where's the Value in 'Value Stocks?'" is here: youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2613s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #CPI #Retirement #LifeExpectancy #EnergyPolicy #PublicPolicy #ValentinesDayEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing
What was first supposed to be a peaking rate of inflation---how inflation is calculated; The rate of inflation will come down because of the rate of change--but high prices will remain high. Why there is little value in 'value stocks' today--the biggest cause: Passive Investing; the Proctor & Gamble gamble; how well are corporations represented in a mutual fund? Why investors are buying 'value' in name-only.
SEG-1: Why Some Prices Will Remain "Sticky" Regardless of Today's CPI Print SEG-2: Why You Really Can't Measure Inflation SEG-3: Why There is Little Value in 'Value Stocks' SEG-4: When the Next Downturn Occurs...
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2653s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Today's Inflation Numbers Mean for Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k_YjVxMKns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "The Congressional Stock Trading Ban Gathers Steam," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ob4Nc5gzouw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/value-stock-funds-are-lacking-value
Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Inflation #CPI #ValueStocks #MarketDownturn #Markets #Money #Investing
Recipients of the Child Tax Credit have a surprise from the IRS; the Congressional stock trading ban gathers steam; Amazon's base salary hike, and how to really fix the compensation gap. Why Markets haven't gone anywhere since October; pat attention to the generals; the importance of portfolio risk sizing. Why Texas outperformed the rest of the nation in GDP during the pandemic; SMA's and Tax Management tracking errors; "Uncle, Lance, where did mutual funds come from?"
SEG-1: Child Tax Credit, Congressional Stock Trade Ban, Amazon Base Pay Hike SEG-2: Markets Going Nowhere Fast: The Importance of Risk Sizing SEG-3: The Economic Impact of Masking & Staying Home: Texas vs The Rest of Us SEG-4: Uncle, Lance--Where Did Mutual Funds Come From?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ob4Nc5gzouw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2627s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Get a Boost from Inflation Numbers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA2wGYLhzh0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The New Way of Defining Bear Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQ2a8adGojo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2581s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/?s=what%27s+wrong+with+gold%3F
Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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CongressionalStockTradingBan #PortfolioRisk #Masking #EconomicImpact #MutualFunds #Markets #Money #investing
Could Facebook pull out of Europe? Tech stocks weighed on markets as a result; the qunadry of used car prices; oh, those magical Inflation numbers! 2022 growth expectations are still "off the hook." The new Way of Defining a Bear Market; What'll happen when the Fed raises rates? remember 2017? The Law of Large Numbers; what happens when the liquidity's gone. Effect on the Dollar from War in Ukraine. YouTube Q&A: Would Fed jawboning be enough? (no.) Darth Facebook vs Parlor Skywalker.
SEG-1: Facebook Weighs on Markets; 2022 Growth Expectations SEG-2: Putting the Genie Back in the Bottle SEG-3: What Happens When the Fed Raises Rates? SEG-4: The Rising Risk of Recession, Joe Rogan Rumbles, & Wall St. Sales
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qTTteoqraI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: s Bond Sentiment Shifting from Bearish to Bullish?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HBguQl26oX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show, "The Good News & Bad Behind the Jobs Report" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qTTteoqraI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2580s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/disinflation-is-a-bigger-threat-than-inflation/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-50-decline-will-only-be-a-correction/
Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
BearMarket #BullMarket #FederalReserve #MarketRisk #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing
There's good news & bad news in the latest Jobs Report, which will force the Fed to make a move. ADP vs BLS--Who's right?? Retirement reality as retirees return to work. The Fed is the biggest, most-visible risk to markets. The Fed's Liquidity Trap, and a history of fiscal missteps; publicity money can't buy; why 2022 will be a year of disappointment; businesses will use automation to fight inflationary effects; what can we do to bring more jobs to America? Can't with workers' unrealistic expectations. Socialism is a great way to be like everybody else in the world. Look more more volatility later this year as inflation subsides. You can make gains any time, but it's more difficult to make up for losses.
SEG-1: Good News & Bad Behind Jobs Report SEG-2: The Biggest Risk to Markets: The Fed SEG-3: Why 2022 Will Be a Year of Disappointment SEG-4: Are We in a Bear Market or Bull? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qTTteoqraI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Are At a Standstill--Watch & Wait" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZhgNWmjtAxk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Child Tax Credit 1040 Sticker Shock" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XbFEWJWU0I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5OS4FHBz_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=2s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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BearMarket #BullMarket #FederalReserve #MarketRisk #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing
Why Facebook's faceplant earnings report brought down there markets, and the risk to investors in social media platforms; Groundhog Day, Texas Weather, Washington Commanders, Markets' reflexive rally, and Facebook is the party buzz kill; when companies miss. How will Facebook's performance impact other social media platforms; why inflation is scaring the Fed to death; raising rates ahead of the coming recession; the coming bear market as monetary policy tightens worldwide.
SEG-1: Winter PTSD, Faceflop, and Risk to Markets SEG-2: Groundhog's Day, Texas Weather, Washington Commanders; When Companies Miss SEG-3: How Facebook Affects the Market; Don't Fight the Fed SEG-4: Are We Approaching a Bear Market? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9aykSPZxF4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-put-is-powell-repealing-it
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Facebook Earnings Take Down Market" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aRqUVlI8gSc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Child Tax Credit 1040 Sticker Shock" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XbFEWJWU0I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Facebook #SocialMedia #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #MarketRisk #BearMarket #Markets #Money #investing
Earnings have been better-than-expected from companies like Google, AMD, and Exxon; implications of Google's 20:1 stock split; Energy vs ESG's, and what happens in dis-inflation. What happens at tax time to recipients of the boosted Child Tax Credits last year? Why the rich are the only one's really saving any money; The problem with going to cash is the getting back in; managing risk is a game of inches; what IS safe? Is Bitcoin the "new" gold? When the mainstream financial media takes one side of a trade, you should be on the other.If you're going to buy Gold... Q&A from our recent Candid Coffee.
SEG-1: Finding Companies that Do Well in Dis-inflationary Times SEG-2: The Child Tax Credit 1040 Sticker Shock SEG-3: The Problem with Going to Cash SEG-4: Q&A from Candid Coffee - Where is a safe place to invest? - What DPI (Disposable Personal Income) numbers tell us - The importance of financial planning - The role of permanent insurance in growing wealth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Correction Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7GcOWob6Im0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "January's Gone, February's On" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3BftiBb17po&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=363s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Disinflation #ChildTaxCredit #Cash #PermanentInsurance #FinancialPlanning #Markets #Money #investing
What happens following the "Trifecta of Disappointment:" the Santa Claus Rally failed, the first five days of January failed, and the month of January failed--in years in which these occur, markets are down for the year. The odds of the size of a Fed Rate Hike are beginning to drop: Will the the FOMC be as aggressive as we've been led to believe? Will we see $90 Oil? Chasing Hard Assets & Commodities; News that boggles the mind; money flows indicate the market bottom is in.
SEG-1: January was Brutal, RCA's 45's, & Vinyl LP's SEG-2: Will the Fed Be as Aggressive as Advertised? SEG-3: Chasing Hard Assets & Commodities SEG-4: Picking on Cali; The Market Bottom is In Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-hikes-risks-of-financial-instability-part-ii/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Market Bottom In?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5tHCd1FkOxA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why the Fed is Wrong (and what you can do about it)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C10wUG3jDMA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2959s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TrifectaOfDisappointment #FederalReserve #MarketRally #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing
As goes January, so goes the year for markets...or so they say. The Fed is in fight-mode against inflation, despite deflationary 1% GDP growth; Less liquidity = less demand = less productivity; the theoretical benefits of blockchain technology, and why the Gov't. wants to regulate; what will the next CPI print show? Why the Fed is wrong--and what you must do to protect your portfolio.
SEG-1: January Axioms; The Fed's Inflation Fight SEG-2: Pro's & Con's of Blockchain: Why the Gov't. Wants Control SEG-3: Fed Rate Hikes & Financial Instability SEG-4: Why the Fed is Walking Into a Trap Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-hikes-risks-of-financial-instability-part-ii/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will The Friday Rally Falter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How to Invest with a "Sooner, Faster" Fed?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHhXF21u3Mo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2585s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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FederalReserve #Inflation #Blockchain #Deflation #InterestRates #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing
Given the markets' performance this week, it's important for investors to maintain a sense of humility; How Apple kicked butt; Fed de-toxification: No longer coddling investors. Social Media & A World w/out Twitter; does the Fed have the backbone to allow Recession? The importance of opposing views, and avoiding confirmation bias; preparing for inflation, & importance of investing rules; the problem with sticky inflation; how to properly execute qualified charitable donations from IRA's; Twitter comments; best state to which to retire.
SEG-1: The Process of Fed De-Toxification SEG-2: Does the Fed Have the Backbone to Allow Recession? SEG-3: The Problem w Sticky Inflation SEG-4: Twitter comments; Best States to Which to Retire Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does the Fed's "Sooner & Faster" Stance Mean for Markets?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33gjT08SLsE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=21s
Our previous show, "How to Invest with a "Sooner, Faster" Fed?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHhXF21u3Mo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2585s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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FederalReserve #Recession #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #Retirement #Twitter #Apple #SocialMedia #Markets #money #investing
Did the Fed just create the 472nd sequel to the Fast & Furious franchise with its "Sooner & Faster" pronouncement? Markets will be more volatile this year; the Fed basically told the markets what they already knew; the sincerity of Jerome Powell. 2022 will be The Year of Volatility; how large cap companies will cope. How the YOLO investing mentality turned sour; managing fear and greed in 2022.
SEG-1: The Sooner, Faster Fed's Policy Error SEG-2: The Fed Threads the Needle SEG-3: 2022: The Year of Fear and Greed...and trading...and volatility SEG-4: How to Invest in 2022: Manage Your Fear, Manage Your Greed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does the Fed's "Sooner & Faster" Stance Mean for Markets?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33gjT08SLsE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=21s
Our previous show, "Is Deflation the Watch-word?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xa3XxH_tJDM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fear-and-greed-an-investors-two-worst-enemies
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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FederalReserve #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #YOLO #FearAndGreed #Markets #money #investing
Will the Fed be as aggressive with rate policy in the aftermath of market performance of late? Why MSFT is the best-operating company on the planet; The Fed's challenge: What to do ahead of the next recession? Headwinds for the Fed: No more liquidity; watchword will be deflation. Why do people want free stuff from the Government? How much negativity has entered markets courtesy of ETF's? "Buy Beta" will shift to buying alpha with quality and conviction.
SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview: Will the FOMC Remain Aggressive on Policy? SEG-2: This is Where Fundamentals Matter SEG-3: Why Do People Want Free Stuff from the Gov't.? SEG-4: The Headwinds for Rate Hikes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Futures Higher Ahead of Today's Fed Meeting" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Employment & Jobs: Is There More to the Story?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KlvX5tEeTzE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2586s
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rate-hikes-the-fed-wont-hike-nearly-as-much-as-expected/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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FederalReserve #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #BuyingAlpha #Markets #money #investing
The Fed's conundrum, and markets call its bluff; Inflationary pressure is coming; inflation now & then (1970's); what happens when the Fed becomes more active; the employment & participation picture; how we count workers counts; the Market as Barometer for the Presidency; the Fed is a political animal.
SEG-1: Market Recap: The Fed's Conundrum SEG-2: Inflation Then & Now: What Happens When the Fed is Active SEG-3: Employment & Job Participation: There's more to the story SEG-4: Why the Fed is a Political Animal Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Calling the Fed's Bluff:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJPedVrUvJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How Do You Know When Inflation Has Peaked?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zjWsNU8A4jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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FederalReserve #Inflation #Disinflation #InterestRates #Employment #JobParticipation #Markets #money #investing
Is the sell-off over? Certain signs that Inflation has peaked--will there be a counter-trend rally? Rotation from the commodity inflation trade; Bond prices indicate deflation a bigger risk. Removal of Liquidity weighing on markets; the challenge of navigating short-term periods of volatility; Friday's $3.3-T options expiry; Grocery shopping and shortages; are opportunities coming to buy stocks cheaper?
SEG-1: How Do You Know When Inflation Has Peaked (Here's Your Sign) SEG-2: Why The Fed's Rate Hike(s) could be a "One-and-Done" deal SEG-3: What if the Fed Soft-pedals Inflationary Caution? SEG-4: Shopping at Costco; the Transition from Meme Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could We Have Another 35% Sell-off?" Could We Have Another 35% Sell-off?
Our previous show, "Is the Fed Too Late to the Game?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEGnBbQ66K8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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FederalReserve #SupplyChain #Inflation #Disinflation #InterestRates #Costco #WalMart #MemeStocks #Markets #money #investing
2022 is not starting out the way a lot of investors expected; will this be the year of Investor Comeuppance? What is true value? Taking profits in Tech, and the Island of Misfits; Why rising interest rates are poison to speculative investors, The myth of living debt-free with a paid-off mortgage; Why Cash Flow is the primary consideration in Retirement; best-selling home sizes.
SEG-1: Will 2022 Be the Year of Comeuppance? SEG-2: Taking Profits in Tech & Island of Misfits SEG-3: Why Rising Rates are Poison to Speculative Investing SEG-4: Dealing with Debt in Retirement
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is It Time to Short the Vaccine Makers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z9mnVB4JaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Is the Fed Too Late to the Game?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEGnBbQ66K8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Retirement #DebtFree #MortgageDebt #FederalReserve #VaccineMandate #Inflation #Disinflation #RepricingRisk #ValueStocks #Markets #money #investing
The impact on markets of dropping mask and vaccine mandates--and is the Fed too late to the game? How we're getting "back to normal--"what ever that is; the Fed is in a no-win position: How will it re-price risk? the difference between inflation and dis-inflation; what's the difference between conservative company and a conservative stock? Is value coming back into style? How to find a "value stock" that's not a value trap? How to invest for 2022?
SEG-1: Is it Time to Short the Vax-makers? SEG-2: How We're Getting "Back to Normal" SEG-3: The Difference Between Inflation & Dis-Inflation: Will the Fed Re-price Risk? SEG-4: Will "Value" Be the Place to Be for 2022?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is It Time to Short the Vaccine Makers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z9mnVB4JaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Time to Resize Oil Stock Allocations?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_FyedtX8Y-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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FederalReserve #VaccineMandate #MaskMandate #Inflation #Disinflation #RepricingRisk #ValueStocks #Markets #money #investing
Earnings Season is off and running in earnest, w companies reporting 4Q results; more interesting will be 2022 Outlook under the specter of up to four interest rate hikes this year. The impact of Vax Mandates in the workplace and on profits; masking and commercial real estate; inflation vs market correction: Which can be more easily tolerated? Looking for a counter-trend rally before rebalancing.
SEG-1: Earnings Season Commences Amid expectations for 4 rate hikes this year SEG-2: Vax Mandates & Wage Pressure: How Will Companies Cope? SEG-3: How Pandemic Shaped How we Work & Profit SEG-4: Peloton & Panic Selling: Where Will Future Demand Exist?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Sell Signals Becoming More Over-sold--Yet Markets Remain Under Pressure:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ntxNt2g0vHY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s
Our previous show, "The Fed's No-win Fight on Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7kcl-RZ6z5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2553s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
What in the hell does climate change have to do with the Fed's primary mandates? Meanwhile, Americans' financial confidence index continues to slide, and financial wellness surveys dip lower; when you meet with a "financial planner," what is their real role? Holding Cash for double-digit Returns--pipedream or emotional snuggie?
SEG-1: Market Commentary, The Fed, & Climate Change SEG-2: American Financial Wellness & Confidence Survey Results SEG-3: What Does Financial Planning Really Mean? SEG-4: Holding Cash like an Emotional Snuggie
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Use the Rally to Rebalance--but to where?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mnjBFAUTV0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Fed's No-win Fight on Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7kcl-RZ6z5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2553s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
Are academians about to learn the lesson of "no free lunch? What 7% CPI really means in terms of real wages vs inflation; How do you decrease inflation? The political mistake of giving people money instead of supporting the creation of productivity; Jewemy Siegel and The Minksy Momen re-defined; Real assets vs stocks; Bonds vs Stocks--and why we own bonds.
SEG-1: What 7% CPI Really Means SEG-2: How Do You Decrease Inflation? SEG-3: Jeremy Siegel: Too much Money Chasing Too Few Goods? SEG-4: Jeremy Siegel: Real Assets vs Stocks
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Use the Rally to Rebalance--but to where?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mnjBFAUTV0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Does One-Size Really Fit-All? Parts-1 & 2?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9rRGGyQS73A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1799s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
Jerome Powell now thinks it's time to raise rates and clear the Fed's balance sheets, seeming to ignore the past effects of $5-Trillion in artificial liquidity pumpedinto the economy. A discussion on craft-label coffees; the likely impact on markets of the Feds crusade to raise rates and trim liquidity; how companies are likely to fare in a pst-pandemic world; One-size-does-not Fit-All.
SEG-1: Jerome Powell says time to raise rates and increase Fed Taper SEG-2 Death Wish, Black Rifle Coffee, Starbucks; SEG-2.1: The Fed's Aggressive Rate Hike Campaign - and impact on Markets SEG-3: Post-Pandemic Spending & Prudent Assett Allocation SEG-4: Vangard's Target Date Funds for Younger Investors; Self Directed IRA's; Gold in IRA? No!
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Aggressive-Sounding Fed Rate Policy Juices Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How High Will Markets Bounce...or flounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-hs1WASwNCA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
Has Inflation Begun to Erode Earnings? Rising Wages are showing up at lower end of wage scales; pay differentials for work from home vs work at office; Passive Investing and the bear market mirage; What happens when all this reverses? Markets are fine--until liquidity shifts; The Fed has no ability to really control economy, and has failed for years. Will this be a rotation back to Value? SEG-1: The Impact of Passive Indexing on this Market SEG-2: What Happens when the good times Reverse? SEG-3: Why Do We Have So Much Faith in the Fed, which continually errs in its direction? SEG-4 How Big a Bounce Will We Get?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are Tech Stocks Ready to Rally?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bnyx0yHdld0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Inflation is The Big Game Changer for 2022" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gRKAdyFnelY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2598s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
How to keep proper perspective as liquidity begins to drain, and dealing with obscenely lofty earnings expectations for 2022. The FaceBook name change does not change its stripes--or fundamentals; How ETF's rehash liquidity; What will next crisis catalyst be? Why Tesla market cap + all other automakers markets caps cannot be the same. SEG-1: Keeping Proper Perspective as Liquidity Unravels SEG-2: Inflation Is the Big Game Changer for 2022 SEG-3: The Impact of Passive Investing; Will Next Catalyst be Credit Related? SEG-4: Things that Change the World - Bitcoin, Beyond Meat, Tesla
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Watch today's full video of this show here: youtube.com/watch?v=dKmF_Ut0hS4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2556s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Are Under Pressure--Can We Hold December's Lows? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SMShgBu8iQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "Why Does the Fed Always Raise Rates at the Wrong Time?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3_05oO7xhg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2585s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
As the Fed prepares to pull back liquidity, what expectations should be set for market behavior? Is the "F-word" being used way too much? SEG-1: Setting Expectations for 2022 SEG-2: What "Fiduciary Really Means SEG-3: Tex-Mex, Queso, & Roth IRAs SEG-4: Flexibility in Retirement
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's full video of this show here: youtube.com/watch?v=dKmF_Ut0hS4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2556s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Was Wednesday's Market Sell-off All That Bad?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jn6FAhBi1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why Does the Fed Always Raise Rates at the Wrong Time?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3_05oO7xhg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2585s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility
The Markets' Wednesday reaction to Fed Minutes on Raising Rates was the worst on record--but was it justified? Will the Fed's panic attack result in another colossal policy blunder? A long term look at Automobile sector and chip fiascos. Is the Fed's "normalization" the right approach? SEG-1: Market Reaction to Fed: Worst Response on Record? SEG-2: Will the Fed Panic into Another Policy Mistake? SEG-3: How Does the Fed Clear Its Balance Sheet? SEG-4: The disparity between The Fed in December and Now.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's full video of this show here: youtube.com/watch?v=dKmF_Ut0hS4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2556s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Was Wednesday's Market Sell-off All That Bad?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jn6FAhBi1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why Does the Fed Always Raise Rates at the Wrong Time?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3_05oO7xhg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2585s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
What Happens when Biden Child Tax Credit Leaves? Will 2022 be a year of higher volatility? What happens as liquidity leaves the market and things return to "normal?" Why does the Fed always raise rates at the wrong time? SEG-1: The Aftermath of Excess Liquidity SEG-2: Will Liquidity and Speculation Define 2022? SEG-3: What Happens When the Liquidity Leaves? SEG-4: Being Responsive, not Reactive to Markets
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Return to a Familiar Pattern" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g67UMaRXWGQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Investor Resolutions for 2022 is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79bAUv0sssY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2591s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
Market commentary on the first 5-days of January, and why 4Q prints should be great; the Fed's challenge is how to raise raises 4x this year. Investor resolutions and secrets of the Gymnasium biz; good resolutions require sacrifice; markets' high flyers take a tumble; hard to take Wall St. seriously amid portfolio re-jiggering. SEG-1: Market Performance for 1st 5-Days of January SEG-2: Gymnasium Business & Investor Resolutions SEG-3: Investor Resolutions are a Function of Habit SEG-4: It's hard to Take markets Seriously While still Repositioning Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Are Bonds Doing While Stocks Rally to all-time highs?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gkbdouXqGvk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "2022 Preview Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fPKNnth9pkw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2317s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #Birth_Death_JobCreation #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
Our New Year Market preview, and the funny thing about averages; will bullish trend continue? Geopolitics, mid-terms, and policy changes; warning against recency bias; how job births & deaths impact reality; NFIB reporting vs small cap stocks' performance; why small cap business confidence matters. SEG-1: Will 2022 Be a Year of More Market Volatility? SEG-2: Will Bullish Mood Continue? SEG-3: Birth & Death & Job Creation SEG-4: Small Businesses are the Drivers of the Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What's In Store for 2022?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tZnk0D5VEJU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Biggest Risks in 2022 (Hint: It's not the Fed)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BqWkABX5z8c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
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MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #Birth_Death_JobCreation #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
Markets' assault on the 50- and 20-DMA achieve better support for rally-mode, albeit on weaker volume and strength; will 2022 be 2020, too? The dirty little secret about Tesla batteries; the hypocrisy of taxing the rich; Zappo CEO & proper estate planning; Christmas traditions; preparing for returns in 2022. SEG-1: Has the Santa rally Begun? SEG-2: Replacing Tesla Batteries: Elon vs Cherokee Liz SEG-3: Christmas Movies, Viking Burials, & Proper Estate Planning SEG-4: Planning for Returns in 2022 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Did the Santa Rally Commence?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Co_mHvDfM4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Biggest Risks in 2022 (Hint: It's not the Fed)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BqWkABX5z8c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketRally #SantaClausRally #MarketVolume #MarketBreadth #ElonMusk #ElizabethWarren #TaxingTheRich #TeslaBatteries #ChristmasMovies #EstatePlanning #Zappo #Verizon #Apple #Markets #money #investing
Omicron Tests w dire warnings of death, and the temporary defeat of the BBB Bill are NOT why Markets skidded Monday; news headlines are bigger risks than the Fed because of emotional impact; importance of risk management protocol in place; recalibration of CPI and inflation; Michael Lebowitz' "Speculation Index." SEG-1: When will the Selling Stop? SEG-2: Why the Fed is Not Investors' Biggest Risk SEG-3: Will Value vs Growth Be Back in Vogue in '22? SEG-4: What Will Disrupt Bullish Mentality? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Keep Their Rally Today??" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0OKa22kMfo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "How Supply Chain Disruptions Stole Christmas" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketSellOff #MarketRally #FedTaper #Omicron #Inflation #CPI #BullishMentality #Markets #money #investing
It's a holiday-shortened trading week with Christmas on Saturday; will Santa show on Broad & Wall, or no? The BBB (Build Back Better bill) is DOA; how supply chain interruptions have impacted Christmas and cars; economic cycle explained: Supply vs Demand & demand & Demand; the problem w depending on government to solve "You" problems; Investor Psychology & ignoring emotion; SEG-1: There's No Guarantee Santa is Coming to Broad & Wall SEG-2: It's a Back-order Christmas SEG-3: From Whom Does the Government Borrow? SEG-4: The Psychology of Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is Santa Coming or Not?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZOx2jh99jPE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The REAL Reason Jerome Powell is Protecting the Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7xEbQhXOe8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2668s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SantaClausRally #SupplyChainDisruption #BuildBackBetter #GovernmentSpending #EconomicCycle #SupplyVsDemand #InvestorPsychology #Markets #money #investing
The Joy of Chocolate; Markets' response to Fed announcement; 10 Financial Resolutions for 2022; How businesses are dealing with inflation; Louis L'Amour & Leon Hale; Conversations about money are gifts; What's your Money Story?
SEG-1: 10 Financial Resolutions for 2022 SEG-2: Dealing with Inflation for the Holidays SEG-3: Conversations About Money are Gifts SEG-4: Five Wishes for Your Family Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_MQKo8T2dw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2564s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by the Market Rally on Fed News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVJ2z7mgZg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The REAL Reason Jerome Powell is Protecting the Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7xEbQhXOe8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2668s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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FinancialResolutions #Inflation #MoneyStories #FiveWishes #Holidays #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets respond positively to Fed plans for three rate hikes in 2022...and more to come; What's Jerome Powell really doing? Wrapping up 2021 & prepping for '22: Headwinds we're seeing next year; why stronger dollar will stunt economic growth.
SEG-1: What the Fed Said; What the Markets Did; What's next SEG-2: Why Jerome Powell is Really Protecting the Markets SEG-3: How to Position Your Portfolio for 2022 SEG-4: Why a Stronger Dollar Will Actually Hurt Economic Growth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by the Market Rally on Fed News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVJ2z7mgZg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "As the Fed rolls out its plan, what's the best way to use your cash?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=931QbeeWTgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=989s
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketRally #Liquidity #LargeCap #Markets #Money #Investing
As the Fed rolls out its latest plans, what's the best way to use your cash? Is the Fed repeating the mistakes of the past? A look at the metamorphosis of Jerome Powell, and an examination of Retail vs Internet Sales this holiday season.
SEG-1: The Fed is About to Do Nothing Unexpected SEG-2: Why The Fed is Doing It Backwards SEG-3: Candid Coffee 1/15/22 Preview SEG-4: A Roberts Christmas SEG-5: The Evolution of Jerome Powell SEG-6: Retail vs Internet Sales Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Set Stop Limits" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6fqcaTwVA8M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Fed to make statement on Monetary Policy tomorrow as markets beginning to look more unhealthy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketRally #Liquidity #LargeCap #Markets #Money #Investing
The Fed is set to make a statement on Monetary Policy tomorrow as markets have begun to feel the lessening of liquidity injections; markets' meteoric performance is being sustained by a handful of large-cap companies: behind the scenes, it's bleak.
SEG-1: What Happens When the Fed Steps on the Brakes? SEG-2: The Market Wipe-out Behind the Scenes SEG-3: Investing for Liquidity: What Happens When There are No Buyers? SEG-4: Why the Market is NOT Healthy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bitcoin down two standard deviations below 50-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XUeQ2i-8bTs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why Changing CPI Calculations Matter" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AjmW5VnESEE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2566s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketRally #Liquidity #LargeCap #Markets #Money #Investing
Options Expirations on Friday and the Fed's discussions this week on rate hikes will make for sloppy markets; Signs of Market Exuberance; How IPO's really work; What Inflation will do next; changing CPI calculations; Jackson-5 Index; why we don't own gold...yet.
SEG-1: Why Rate Hikes DO Matter...at some point SEG-2: Signs of Market Exuberance SEG-3: Why CPI Doesn't Match Reality SEG-4: Why We Don't Own Gold Now
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets This Week Might Be Set Up for Sloppy Trading" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SO5M4xqgq3s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "The Number-one Problem This Week..." is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zVL3uDNh1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketRally #MarketExuberance #Rebalancing #Inflation #CPIcalculation #Markets #Money #Investing
Still Christmas Shopping?? Give it up...implications of re-opening the economy w wage inflation; short covering into a rally; Bad financial advice usually involves money in motion to create fees; how to tell good advice from bad; 30-yr mortgages, Roth conversions, and lending to family.
SEG-1: Re-opening the Economy & Wage Inflation SEG-2: Money in Motion Creates Fees SEG-3: How Can You Tell Bad Financial Advice from Good? SEG-4: Why a 30-Year Mortgage is a Bad Idea
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the "Short-Term" Rally Here to Stay?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HpV3-GWzZzM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Number-one Problem This Week..." is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zVL3uDNh1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketRally #ChristmasShopping #BadInvestingAdvice #Rebalancing #30_YearMortgage #RothConversion #Politics #Insurance #Cash #Markets #Money #Investing
The Markets' sell-off has not been unexpected; there are now as many NASDAQ stocks down 20-50% from their highs as there were in Dec 2018, in mid-Taper Tantrum--thanks to Apple, Google, Microsoft, & NVDIA. Market Predictions & Problems; when Liquidity leaves.
SEG-1: Why We Expected the Market Sell-off SEG-2: It's the Most Wonderful (Prediction) Time of the Year SEG-3: The Number One Problem...this week (now, it's inflation) SEG-4: What Happens When the Liquidity Goes Away?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Market Rebound Continues" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_KRN74ZX5UE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Should You Be Taking Profits Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrYJxZGk1to&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2574s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketSelloff #MarketPrediction #MarketLiquidity #Inflation #Unemployment
Markets #Money #Investing
Value Stocks have been performing because they haven't worked this year; The liquidity Issue, Managing Risk, and lowering expectations for returns; the Math of Losing Money; why outlooks are always optimistic; don't be afraid to take profits!
SEG-1: The Liquidity Issue & Managing Risk SEG-2: Sell Something! SEG-3: Wrapping the Year & 2022 Outlook
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is it Time for Value? Risk-off Shift Into Value Stocks Takes Hold" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nXjOavdQf9Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "What Gold is Telling Us About Real Rates" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtdbvxU5O5A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketLiquidity #SellSomething #ValueStocks #Taking Profits #SizingPortfolio
Markets #Money #Investing
Inflation is running more rampant than Government reports reflect; what we're recommending for our clients; The demographics of Social Security are unsustainable; how to plan for how much (or how little) you'd get; Long Term Care planning is a necessity; Medicare vs Medigap coverage: Which is best?
01:29 - Watching Inflation Run 12:20 - The Demographics of Social Security 28:19 - Lance Roberts Action Figures 29:25 - Planning for Long Term Care 42:18 - YouTube Trolls; Long Term Care is a Full Time Job 46:11 - Medicare vs MediGap
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=inMgCUnQf9A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is There More Selling To Be Done?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICmN4p2IUjA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "What Gold is Telling Us About Real Rates" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtdbvxU5O5A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #SocialSecurity #LongTermCare #Medicare #MedicareGap #MedicarePartB
Markets #Money #Investing #Speculation
After the run-up and market correction, now's the time to reposition portfolios for optimal risk management; low-priced stocks are priced low for a reason; investing vs speculation; the Omicron Correction; what Gold's behavior says about real rates; why the hit in Tech? When the ARKK springs a leak
SEG-1: The Reality of Risk vs Reward, Investing vs Speculating SEG-2: What Gold is Telling us About Real Rates SEG-3: How do You Fix a Leak in the ARKK?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtdbvxU5O5A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-stock-market-crash-like-2000-possible
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is There More Selling To Be Done?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICmN4p2IUjA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How To Know the Right Time to Buy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sEZ9z8XGuAs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketCorrection #MarketSellOff #Gold #Risk #Reward #TechStocks #ARKK
Markets #Money #Investing #Speculation
Preparing for the market correction is about to pay off: Start making your list of possible buys; watching the technicals for the right time to buy; is a Roth the right choice for you? Demographics are Destiny: What happens to Social Security? The story behind oil prices; the story behind iBonds.
SEG-1: How to Put Money Back to Work SEG-2: To Roth or Not to Roth? SEG-3: What's Up with Oil Prices?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w/Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sEZ9z8XGuAs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-stock-market-crash-like-2000-possible https://realinvestmentadvice.com/?s=traders+are+pushing+oil+rates
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is The Sell-off Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KllVV-9n8g4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "Has Jerome Powell Changed His Mind?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iasciUGbKTc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=330s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketCorrection #RothIRA #OilPrices #JeromePowell #FedTaper #HigherTaxes #SocialSecurity
Markets #Money #Investing
The maker of the world's most ugly car (Renault) is now making the world's most ugly flying car; Jerome Powell swings both ways; there's too much money chasing too few deals; Tesla's Model-Y gets trashed; how automakers change consumers' tastes; most-shorted stocks in S&P.
SEG-1: Flying Renaults, Jerome Powell's Dovish Twist SEG-2: How Too Much Liquidity has Distorted Markets SEG-3: Trashing Tesla's Model-Y, and Why Market Fundamentals Matter
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iasciUGbKTc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-correction-before-the-santa-rally-has-started/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/black-friday-plunges-as-covid-variant-rattles-markets/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/could-the-fed-trigger-the-next-financial-crisis/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is There an End in Sight to this Market Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jFqRgdmuYrY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Our previous show, "Are Oil Prices Too Volatile to Handle?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LuEttbKhn8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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JeromePowell #Omicron #MarketCorrection #Tesla_Y #MutualFundDistribution
Markets #Money #Investing
The shift in making kids pay for college; Will Politicians again shut down economies to thwart Omicron Variant of COVID? the impact of Mutual Fund distributions on Wall St., Value vs Growth in Oil Stocks; Demographics are Destiny in Addressing Social Security.
SEG-1: Reaction & Response to Omicron Variant SEG-2: Impact of EOY Mutual Fund Distributions; Pricing Oil SEG-3: The Demographic Challenge of "Fixing" Social Security
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LuEttbKhn8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/black-friday-plunges-as-covid-variant-rattles-markets/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/could-the-fed-trigger-the-next-financial-crisis/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Omicrom Variant Shakes Wall Street" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_8GBFywUl0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Is a Fed Taper GOOD for Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei4PGkqUpjo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Omicron #COVID #OilPrices #SocialSecurity #MarketCorrection #MutualFundDistribution
Markets #Money #Investing
Is a Santa Claus Rally coming? COVID Test results & JFK Papers delayed; Turkey Talk & a critique of the Build Back Better bill & porkfest; Vegas tryouts are capitalism incarnate: It's supply & Demand; Why the economy is dependent on low interest rates; what happens next?
SEG-1: COVID Test Results, Santa Claus Rally, & Understanding Options SEG-2: Turkey Talk & Build Back Better Bill Critique SEG-3: Vegas Tryouts, Houston Cabbies, & the Rate-dependent Economy
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei4PGkqUpjo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/santa-claus-rally-is-coming-but-will-markets-correct-first/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rising-interest-rates-matter-to-the-stock-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-taper-will-awaken-the-sleeping-bond-bull-market/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is a Jerome Powell 2nd Term a Bad Thing for Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-gB0yd84vmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Is a Fed Taper GOOD for Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei4PGkqUpjo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SantaClausRally #BuildBackBetter #InterestRates #MarketCorrection #CallOptions #PutOptions #Reconciliation #SALTtax #Markets #Money #investing
At what interest rate will markets say, "enough?" The Instability of Stability is Markets' biggest risk; What is the Fed's taper-rate? Markets predict two rate hikes in 2022; Just because seasonality is here, don't be unwary; concern over return of capital, not return on capital.
SEG-1: What is the Interest Rate Threshold for Market Correction? SEG-2: What is the Fed's Real Taper-rate? SEG-3: Christmas Trees, Turkeys, Going to the Dr.; Return of Capital
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei4PGkqUpjo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rising-interest-rates-matter-to-the-stock-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-taper-will-awaken-the-sleeping-bond-bull-market/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is There Any Upside Left?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nss5ObXv_D4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Will Inflation Become Stagflation?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMzlIUxns3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=41s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InterestRates #BondMarket #StockMarket #FedTaper #Inflation #ThankgivingFoodPrices #ChristmasTrees #MarketSeasonality #Markets #Money #Investing
The Holidays are upon us, Thanksgiving preparations, Christmas spending budgets, and Tax Turbylence Period; Long Term Care vs Medicare; Working at Macy's Thanksgiving Parade; analyzing Medicare Advantage; the future of Blood Rx.
SEG-1: The Tax Turbulence Period SEG-2: Long Term Care vs Medicare SEG-3: Working at Macy's; Medicare Trends SEG-4: Analyzing Medicare Advantage
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMzlIUxns3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Aew We Due for a Santa Claus Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Wj4yD4Sdyg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show, "Will Inflation Become Stagflation?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMzlIUxns3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=41s
Our most-recent Candid Coffee can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aueA_Gkq64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1&t=38s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Medicare #Medigap #MedicareAdvantage #Retirement #Thanksgiving #TaxTurbulence #ChristmasShopping #SpendingBudget
Starbuck's & McDonald's are luring customers with free stuff for the holidays, even as prices inflate; the political toll from a poor economy; how inflation becomes stagflation; The Fed's Bazooka; what Joe Biden doesn't know about oil commodity pricing.
SEG-1: Starbuck's & Inflation in Your Cup SEG-2: The Fed's Bazooka Gone Awry SEG-3: How Oil Prices Really Work
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMzlIUxns3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Aew We Due for a Santa Claus Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Wj4yD4Sdyg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show, "Build Back Better Bust: Why the spending package ISN'T paid for, as promised," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4fKWFd3yZh0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Our most-recent Candid Coffee can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aueA_Gkq64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1&t=38s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #Stagflation #OilPrices #Starbucks #McDonalds #JoeBiden #FedBazooka #CommodityPricing #Markets #Money #investing
Markets are quietly going sideways ahead of Thanksgiving; we're looking for the potential for a Santa Claus Rally; Janet Yellen is wrong; Build Back Better Plan is not paid for; reinstatement of SALT deduction; Questions & Answers from Candid Coffee; Outlook for Taxes in 2022; where to best invest?
SEG-1: Market Commentary: All is Quiet before Thanksgiving, but then... SEG-2: Tax Changes coming for 2022: The Truth About the SALT Deduction SEG-3: Where are the best places to invest in 2022? SEG-4: Asset Allocation in an Under-Performing Market
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4fKWFd3yZh0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Stocks or Bonds? How to Invest When Correlations are High" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BXuvFMFLKag&lc=UgwY5mCBV0aWhGxLy7h4AaABAg
Our previous show, "Investors Who Ignore Excess Valuations Suffer the Pay-back" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=flzlNfDOE8Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our most-recent Candid Coffee can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aueA_Gkq64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1&t=38s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketTrading #BuildBackBetter #2022Taxes #SALTDeduction #JanetYellen #AssetAllocation
Markets #Money #investing
How to trade in a bull market? we look at the role of excess valuations, and what they can tell us about future rewards; even the Fed is warning about valuations; there will be pay-back; the role of stock buy-backs in market dynamics; what happens when the rich are hit with a tax on UNREALIZED Capital Gains?
SEG-1: Managing Risk & Reward in Every Market Scenario SEG-2: What Valuations Tell Us: There Will be Pay-back SEG-3: Unintended Consequences of Unrealized Capital Gains Taxation
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=flzlNfDOE8Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Trade in a Bull Market" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q6JD4YOYNVc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Being "Green" is Great - But Who's Going to Keep the Lights On?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PlFUhsuJig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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MarketValuation #MarketCorrection #TaxTheRich #ElonMusk #Capitalism #BillionaireTax #Inflation #ClimateChange #FinancialStabilityReport #Markets #Money #Investing
Why we're write-in voting for Elon Musk for President: It's the economy, stupid; the Infrastructure Bill will exacerbate inflation; paying more to "be green" is running headlong into keeping the lights on; Christmas Tree saga continues; the Fed's stock market valuation warnings--crying "uncle?"
SEG-1: Is it Time for A Billionaire's Tax? SEG-2: The Real Impact of Inflation: Being Green vs Having Lights SEG-3: The Fed's Stock Market Valuation Warning
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=flzlNfDOE8Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Record Level of Call Options Out--and they're expiring this week!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZI83loprKg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "CPI is "en fuego" --What does it mean for Investors?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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ElonMusk #Capitalism #TaxTheRich #BillionaireTax #Inflation #ClimateChange #FinancialStabilityReport #Markets #Money #Investing
Johnson & Johnson's announced division into three entities offers interesting options for investors; what happens if you retire in-debt? Rosso's Inflation Station Blues; Transitioning from portfolio accumulation- to withdrawal-mode in retirement; the thrift philosophies of Grandma Rosso.
SEG-1: What Opportunities Does a J&J split offer investors? SEG-2: What if you retire in debt? SEG-2B: Richard Rosso's Inflation Station Blues SEG-3: Shifting from Accumulation to Withdrawal Mode in Retirement SEG-4: Grandma Rosso's Thrift Philosophy
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Sr. Relationship Mgr., Jon Penn, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Smacked Down by Higher Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKTnsX3XhyU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s
Our previous show, "CPI is "en fuego" --What does it mean for Investors?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Retirement #Debt #Johnson&Johnson #Portfolio #Accumulation #Withdrawal #Inflation #Thrift #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets take a breather with the revelation that Inflation is running 6.2%, and not going away; the real rate of inflation most of us are experiencing is much higher; the financial missteps that got us here (started in the '70's); the reason Elon Musk doesn't pay taxes (yet).
SEG-1: The Real Rate of Inflation SEG-2: 6.2% Inflation: How We Got Here SEG-3: Why Elon Musk Doesn't Pay Taxes
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Smacked Down by Higher Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKTnsX3XhyU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s
Our previous show, "What If Rates Rise?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWuoofmIUrA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #MonetizingDebt
Markets dipped with Elon Musk's informal stock-sale poll, and the Fed is clearly more concerned about stock valuations than inflation; is the 60/40 Portfolio a dinosaur? What can you do when interest rates rise?
SEG-1: Changes Coming to IRA's and Social Security SEG-2: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? SEG-3: What Happens When Rates Rise (and what you can do about it)
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWuoofmIUrA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Further Correct?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bctNxnZxw1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show, "Good vs Bad Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhPVloTC98s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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MarketCorrection #60/40Portfolio #Testa #ElonMusk #FederalReserve
MarketValuation #InterestRates
5 Signs Market Investors are too Bullish: even the Fed is noting valuations that are way out of sight! The Difference Between "Good" vs Bad Inflation--and how you can tell them apart; General Electric's Three-way; forget bulls vs bears--it's devils vs angel markets.
SEG-1: High Market Valuations Even the Fed Cannot Ignore SEG-2: Gaslighting Inflation SEG-3: GE, Exxon, & Shell Response to Activist Investors
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhPVloTC98s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
NOTE#2: Okay, we know the sound and video aren't in synch. Not even close. We're working on it. Close your eyes and imagine you're listening to the radio in the olden days...or put on some cheap sunglasses and pretend your watching one of those mis-lipsynced Japanese Godzilla Movies. We're working on it. Really.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fear Gauge is Up: Should You Re-size Your Portfolio Positions?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ckg0OcqtZEQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Should Elon Musk Sell Some Stock?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uBxhpkuTd30&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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MarketValuations #FederalReserve #Inflation #Gaslighting #GoodInflation #BadInflation #GeneralElectric #ExxonMobile #RoyalDutchShel #ActivistInvestors
Christmas shopping could be harrowing with supply chain disruptions and merchandise shortages this season; The Roberts' Christmas Tree saga continues; has the Fed setup the Markets to crash? Inside the Infrastructure Bill; Poll: Should Elon Musk sell some stock? End-of-year mutual fund posturing; How Meme stocks altered Wall St.
SEG-1: Supply Chains & Christmas Shopping SEG-2: Did the Fed set Markets to Fail? SEG-3: Elon Musk's Great Stock Sale Poll SEG-4: Mutual Fund positioning for EOY & Meme Stocks
NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uBxhpkuTd30&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Up for 18-Days Straight: What Does This Mean for Investors?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeo8cPPy0XY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Dealing With Transient Inflation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuYsW5YqDtk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
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ElonMusk #InfrastructureBill #Inflation #ChristmasShopping
EndOfYearPositioning #MutualFunds #MemeStocks
Consumer Spending frenzies are evaporating as inflation continues to climb; Year-end money moves include max-out HSA contributions, Replenish Savings, Roth Conversion, Drain Flex-spending account, check beneficiaries on ALL accounts; toy shortages for Christmas, and alternative gifts of Experience; Suppository Inflation defined.
SEG-1: Spending Frenzy Fizzles as Inflation Rages SEG-2: Smart Money Tips to Do Before Year's End SEG-3: Suppository Inflation and Toy Shortages SEG-4: Christmas Gift Alternatives & Draining Flex-spending Accounts
NOTE: You can watch this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3H2_VLvlb64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: After the Fed Announcement, What Markets are Doing," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAJbKgirqFc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "Dealing With Transient Inflation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuYsW5YqDtk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Inflation #SmartMoney #ToyShortages #SupositoryInflation #TransientInflation #RothConversions #FlexSpendingAccount #HouseholdBudget
Markets' response to Fed "tapering" is non-existent, because of Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish stance on interest rates; The Two Presidential Economic Poisons; How to Define "Full" Employment and measure Inflation; Did we get "played" by the Fed?
SEG-1: How Will Banks Behave w Fed Tapering? SEG-2: What is Real Unemployment? SEG-3: How Should We Measure Inflation? SEG-4: How the Fed "Played" Their Announcement
NOTE: You can watch this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuYsW5YqDtk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: After the Fed Announcement, What Markets are Doing," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAJbKgirqFc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "Why Stocks are Hitting Highs as Yield Curves Flatten," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eoJ8FPOnAbM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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FederalReserve #FedTaper #InterestRates #Inflation #FullEmployment
Economic ramifications from the mid-term elections, Market optimism isn't squaring with Yield Curve trajectories; the "Greenwashing" of America & ESG investing; what 12-years of Fed intervention has gotten us: bigger wealth disparities; Dumb & Dumber ideas from COP-26.
SEG-1: Astros/Braves, Mid-term Elections, & Economic Ramifications SEG-2: CFA Pass-rate; Stock performance vs Yield Curve Proof SEG-3: ESG Investing, "Greenwashing," & Fiduciary Duty SEG-4: Dumb Ideas from COP-26
NOTE: You can watch the video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eoJ8FPOnAbM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Investor Speculation Returns:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hps4cakV9oQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "Market Forecasting for 2022: Too Good to Be True?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KanNkWIDk-k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=48s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
MarketOptimism #YieldCurve #MidTermElection #ESGinvesting #Greenwashing #StockBuyBacks
Inflation #Investing #Money
Markets moving through earnings season; how Energy has turned the corner; the realities of ESG investing; earnings ultimately drive market growth, but they're dependent upon economic growth; the hard truth about stock buy backs.
SEG-1: What Happens when Meme Stocks de Jour Lose Their Luster SEG-2: Economic Outlook for 2022 SEG-3: Earnings are a Function of Economic Growth
NOTE: You can watch the unabridged version of this video of this show here: https://youtu.be/ThUs-gTEAJc
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Market Winners & Losers:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YrotkC8rafU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "More Signs of Market Optimism," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LlPtTo8ir0g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAug2RC69jzUXs0gWz2P5wBE5&index=1&t=13s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
MarketOutlook #EarningsForecasts #EconomicReality #ESGinvesting #StockBuyBacks
Inflation #Investing #Money
Markets are positioning for the end of the year, remaining a bit irrational at the outset; the NFT market is the poster-child for investor speculation with too much liquidity in the market. Why ESG investing is dangerous; holiday travel forecast. [This is our first show from our newly-renovated studio. We had some hiccups, but we think you'll like what you see.]
SEG-1: More Signs of Market Optimism SEG-2: The Danger in ESG Investing SEG-3: Troubling Trends in Retail Sales
NOTE: You can watch the video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XLMyrEXESI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=75s
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Continue to Rally..." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XLMyrEXESI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=75s
Our previous show, "Bitcoin, Profits, & Economic Collapse," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VYmgiGwcbYI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
MarketSentiment #BullishMarket #ESGinvesting #AmericanAirlines #SouthwestAirlines
Investing Challenges in Joe Biden's Tax & Spending Plans; Why Women are Better Investors; why ESG Funds and "Woke" 401(k) requirements are a terrible idea; The RIA Advisors Investing Manifesto.
SEG-1: The Yolk's on You: Why Biden's Tax & Spending Bill Won't Pass SEG-2: Why Women Are Better Investors SEG-3: "Woke" 401(k): A Terrible Idea SEG-4: The RIA Investing Manifesto NOTE: You can watch the video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGQ645A16Lk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Third Quarter Earnings Pageant Continues," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vkkOTOGLjRk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=154s
Our previous show, "Bitcoin, Profits, & Economic Collapse," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VYmgiGwcbYI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
TaxIncrease #BidenSpending #Woke401k #EnergySector #OilPrices #WomenInvestors
MenVsWomen #ESGinvesting #RIAinvestingManifesto
Why Joe Biden's Infrastructure Package might not happen; M2 Money Supply Inflation will resolve to Deflation in 2022; Futures-futures, Bitcoin vs Gold, and Oil Futures Contango; Earnings Expectations & Economic Growth, why retail sales are "up."
SEG-1: Prelude to the Next Debt Ceiling Debate SEG-2: Bitcoin vs Gold, & Futures Futures SEG-3: What the Atlanta Fed's Real-time GDP Shows SEG-4: The Real Reason Retail Sales Numbers are Up NOTE: You can watch the video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VYmgiGwcbYI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Third Quarter Earnings Pageant Continues," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vkkOTOGLjRk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=154s
Our previous show, "How to Invest in a Disrupted World," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4nZ3aMp04o0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/persistent-inflation-poses-a-real-threat-to-stock-prices https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bullish-bearish-market-case/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/
Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
BitCoin #Profits #EconomicCollapse #BitcoinETF
BitcoinFutures #Inflation #Deflation
Markets #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility
The Bitcoin Futures ETF (BITO) debuted strong; Supply Chain Disruptions are the result of a 1970's decision, and are likely to remain an issue through 2023; Bonds are foretelling a different economy than stocks; stock buy backs'adverse market effect.
SEG-1: How Long Will Supply Chain Disruptions Be a Factor for Wall St.? SEG-2: Where Did It Come From? SEG-3: What Bonds Are Foretelling About the Economy SEG-4: Corporate Stock Buy Backs are Still Market Manipulation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Why Stocks & Bonds Do Not Agree," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y6B7Eqn8u8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "Navigating Bull vs Bear Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ooeQMsWQdtw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bullish-bearish-market-case/
Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
BitCoin #SupplyChain #SupplyChainDisruption #Inflation #Deflation
Markets #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility
Whether Markets are Bullish or Bearish--how do you navigate? Volatility will be Bitcoin's friend. Markets are in post-rally, bullish mode. Investors' job is not to predict, but to manage risk. Issuing debt to finance climate change; government intervention never works out well.
SEG-1: How to Navigate Markets, whether Bullish or Bearish SEG-2: Addressing the Challenge of Putting Money Back to Work SEG-3: Playing Poker with Wall Street SEG-4: The Problem with Government Interventions
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Stocks to Watch as the Earnings Parade Continues" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KgBSGXS0vpQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Where's the Market Liquidity Coming From--and Going?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QLa9568M1CU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bullish-bearish-market-case/
Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
BullishMarket #Bitcoin #ClimateChange #BitcoinETF #MarketLiquidity #Markets #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #Cybercurrency #CurrencyVolatility
Halloween is the second-biggest retail season of the year; will this year's sales be a trick or treat? The first Bitcoin futures-based ETF is blessed by the SEC; will cryptocurrency gain wider acceptance? Where's the market liquidity coming from...and where is it not going?
SEG-1: Bitcoin ETF for Halloween: Trick or Treat? SEG-2: Where's the Money in the Markets Coming From? SEG-3: Where the Money in the Markets ISN'T Going SEG-4: Can Markets Still Correct: What the Indicators Say
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will You Trade the First Bitcoin ETF?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QOuIbHxTaZ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "Why the Fed Taper Matters," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypANI7DffiQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Bitcoin #BitcoinETF #MarketLiquidity #Markets #Halloween #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #Cybercurrency #CurrencyVolatility
Inflation is the driver for the Fed, and Grinchonomics may steal Christmas this year; how Grandpa & Grandma Rosso dealt with inflation; the expense differential of going to work vs working from home; key to survival is conservation; transient vs sticky inflation;
SEG-1: Grinchonomics, Brandonomics: The End Result is Inflation SEG-2: How Grandpa & Grandma Rosso Dealt with Inflation back in the day SEG-3: Will Inflation Bring the Winter of Our Discontent? SEG-4: Transient vs Sticky: How to Be Inflation Aware
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in today's show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/what-causes-transitory-inflation-to-become-persistent https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-must-ends-its-love-affair-with-the-markets/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Sustain Key Support," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9EuTwzQKMKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=14s
Our previous show, "Why the Fed Taper Matters," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypANI7DffiQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #Grinchonomics #Markets #TransientInflation #StickyInflation #Conservation #Investing #Savings #FinancialPlanning
Price Inflation is leading to lower consumption, causing poorer earnings and a stagflation feedback loop; accounting gimmicks that make earnings appear better than they are; Super-savers and the Math of Loss; how you can triple your income, working from home!
SEG-1: The Feedback Loop of Inflation SEG-2: Earning Season: Better Living Through Accounting Gimmicks SEG-3: The Ugly Truth About Super-Savers SEG-4: How to Triple Your Income this Year
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Fed Taper Sooner & Harder?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KfEe1BT_dYg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous show, "Does Market Risk to Investors Remain?" is here: youtube.com/watch?v=CnhMwaX_QUY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Inflation #Stagflation #EarningsSeason #Markets #SuperSavers #WorkFromHome #TripleIncome
The Debt Ceiling rises $400-B to allow Congress to pay its bills; what can reverse spending addiction? Q3 Earnings Season begins w impact of inflation & supply chain disruptions effects on margins; paying attention to risk; Short-term vs Long-term warning signs.
SEG-1: How to Solve Washington's Spending Problem SEG-2: The Risks to Earnings and Looking Ahead SEG-3: Headwinds & Challenges Facing Investors Now SEG-4: Short Term Upward Bias vs Long Term Warning Signs
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-risk-of-a-bigger-correction-over/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-5000-year-view-of-rates-the-economic-consequences/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can Markets Maintain Support?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yAzhKlczWP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How $80 Oil Adds in Inflationary Twist to Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=892_9HJuGT0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
DebtCeiling #Inflation #SupplyChainDistruption #Markets #Risk #RiskManagement
Q3Earnings #EconomicIndicators #ArtificialStimulus
$80-oil and Supply Chain disruptions are feeding into inflation, despite government manipulation of CPI and PCE to dampen measurements. Investors' dilemma of how to put money to work, despite data saying otherwise; markets' warning signs: Weekly vs Monthly buy signals.
SEG-1: The Consequences of Creating Artificial Demand SEG-2: Investors' Battle of Putting Money to Work vs Contrary Data SEG-3: Why Markets' "Check Engine" light is lit
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Real Impact of $80 Oil," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMilX0Dntf0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s
Our previous show, "Have We Gone Off the Fiscal Cliff?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5P4DnYYrXU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=335s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
$80_Oil #Inflation #Markets #CPI #PCE #EconomicIndicators #ArtificialStimulus
Elon Musk Moves to Austin with the slogan, "Don't Mess with Tesla;" Why employees are discovering higher costs this Open Enrollment season; Mistakes that can cost you College money on FAFSA; Why College Isn't for Everyone; Permanent Life Insurance for Retirement;
SEG-1: Tesla Moves to Austin; Open Enrollment Season Begins SEG-2: Fun with FAFSA: Why Mistakes Can Cost You $$$ SEG-3: More Fun with FAFSA: Why College isn't for Everyone SEG-4: Tax Tips for Retirement; Life Insurance; College vs Trade School?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Sr. Risk Management Consultant, Chris Liebum LUTFC
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rise on Debt Ceiling Increase," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKSFf9AqDFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=70s
Our previous show, "Have We Gone Off the Fiscal Cliff?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5P4DnYYrXU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=335s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Tesla #FAFSA #Markets #CollegeFunding #EducationCosts #Retirement #LifeInsurance #TradeSchool #Capitalism #WorkerProductivity #FiscalReality
Economic growth estimates are being revised; the "Fiscal Cliff" is actually fiscal reality; wealth inequality is caused by the Fed; the fallacy of equality; how to make population more productive; why handouts don't work; Why Debt Ceiling hike is not a win for Democrats; Allow Capitalism to work.
SEG-1: Mrs. Roberts & ACL; The Fiscal Cliff vs Fiscal Reality SEG-2: Kids, College, & Senioritis; Why Handouts Don't Work SEG-3: Why Raising the Debt Ceiling is not a Win for Dems
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rise on Debt Ceiling Increase," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKSFf9AqDFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=70s
Our previous show, "How Coming IRA Changes Could Affect Your Money," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TkMhUMoMoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-debt-ceiling-non-crisis-why-rates-will-fall/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
DebtCeiling #FiscalCliff #Market #Capitalism #WorkerProductivity #FiscalReality
Congress WILL pass a new Debt Ceiling, so here's what Investors need to know in strategizing portfolio management; Significant IRA Changes are also coming, including new Roth rules; Lance's strategies for being his own banker you can use.
SEG-1: Debt Ceiling Strategies for Investors SEG-2: Changes Coming for IRA's SEG-3: How to Be Your Own Bank
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets' Rocky Start to Q4," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ev7i2qOydEI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=75s
Our previous show, "Market Rebound Episode," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B4nO8BR972Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-debt-ceiling-non-crisis-why-rates-will-fall/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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DebtCeiling #IRAChanges #BeYourOwnBanker #RothIRA #InvestingStrategy #RothIRA #PermanentLifeInsurance
Markets are over-sold on a short-term basis; risk is a function of controlling outcomes; have we seen market highs for the year? Oil prices facing extremely cold winter; 'just in time' inventory management fails; good time to evaluate risk in portfolio.
SEG-1: Have We Seen Market Highs for the Year? SEG-2: The Fallacy of 'Just in Time' Inventory Management SEG-3: The Best Way to Manage Portfolio Risk
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can Markets Rally, post-Manic Monday?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72YZOGpOEUI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "The Great Bear Market Episode," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ehNgiKtj29g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/as-expected-stocks-snap-6-month-win-streak-10-01-21/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketRally #PortfolioRisk #SupplyChainDisruption #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Why Members of Congress and other Financial Overseers should not be allowed to trade on their inside information; Solving the Debt Crisis with a single coin; dire circumstances of restaurants; Ill effects on Q-3 Earnings; risk strategies you need to know.
SEG-1: Who's Trading on Inside Information? SEG-2: Solving the Debt Crisis with a $1-Trillion coin SEG-3: Setting up for Poor Q-3 Reporting
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Bear Market Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWvrPc0Wj-0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2
Our previous show, "Market Response to Congressional Spending," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQier7zUXSQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/as-expected-stocks-snap-6-month-win-streak-10-01-21/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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InsiderTrading #DebtCeiling #Q3Earnings #$1TrillionCoin #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Inflation is affecting everything you do (or buy); Tax Rates vs Tax Brackets: calculating for "Provisional Income in Retirement;" to Roth or not to Roth? Programs we use to plan for You; Why Insurance is the wisest investment to make.
SEG-1: Why Tax Rates Matter More than Tax Brackets SEG-2: How We Do that Voodoo for You SEG-3: Life Insurance: The Greatest Investment EVER
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Play the Debt Dodging Game " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5HNUOCSvyeY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Market Response to Congressional Spending," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQier7zUXSQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Inflation #TaxRates #TaxBrackets #SocialSecurity #RetirementIncome #ProvisionalIncome #LifeInsurance #401k #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Why San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly's call for "equality" is not the outcome she thinks: Equality vs Equality of Opportunity have different results; Why a Government Default was never going to happen; Socialism vs Capitalism & Economics of Politics.
SEG-1: Equality vs Equality of Opportunity SEG-2: The Debt Ceiling Threat SEG-3: The Politics of Economics
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/china-plays-the-long-game-while-the-us-blows-bubbles https://realinvestmentadvice.com/filing-for-college-aid-here-are-the-mistakes-that-will-cost-you/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Play the Debt Dodging Game " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5HNUOCSvyeY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How Congress Could Alter Your Retirement ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAfliLsSj1g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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DebtCeiling #SpendingBill #GovernmentShutDown #MaryDaly
Equality #EqualityOfOpportunity #Socialism #Capitalism #Corporatism #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Fed Taper #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
What if the Debt Ceiling discussion could be resolved with a baseball game? Will government changes in retirement provisions jeopardize your plans? The realities of ESG investing may shock you. Is your Roth IRA about to go away??
SEG-1: Congressional Baseball & The Great Resignation SEG-2: The Truth About ESG Plans SEG-3: Will the Roth Go Away??
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen, AIF, QKA, CFPA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Rates Spike & Stocks Plunge" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dczzA8WJOsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=85s
Our previous show, "The Debt Ceiling Episode," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u8TCunQAM7E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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DebtCeiling #SpendingBill #ESGFund #GovernmentShutDown #Retirement #RothIRA #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Fed Taper #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Raising the Debt Ceiling isn't going as planned for Dem's; Government Shutdown Tragedy vs Truth; why $1-million isn't very much anymore; why "Buy Now, Pay Later" plans don't save you money; Socialism is running rampant all over the world.
SEG-1: Government Shut Down: Fact or Fiction? SEG-2: The Economy Works for Everyone SEG-3: The Fallacy in "Buy Now, Pay Later"
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Spot Bond Buying Opportunities" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3STlUeVjMg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How Financial Media is Killing Your Money " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hXUDclSHC38&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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DebtCeiling #SpendingBill #GovernmentShutDown #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Fed Taper #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Two main issues will drive markets this week: The Fed's timeline for tapering liquidity, and Nancy Pelosi's drive to fund "infrastructure" spending. Bad advice from Financial Media will hurt you; competitive investing, and the risk from sequence of returns--it's a real thing.
SEG-1: Passing the Bill to Pass the Buck SEG-2: Fed Taper Timeline SEG-3: Bad Advice from Financial Media SEG-4: Understanding Sequence of Returns Risk
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dow-40000-a-huge-disappointment-of-promises/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Set Up for Rally" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Gc8p60rc7w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Market Response to the Fed Put" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LsRzv8FauY4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1375s
Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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FedTapering #SpendingBill #Dow_40000 #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #HomeEconomics #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
The contrast in cryptocurrency policies is stark: China vs El Salvador; Congress wants your money, capping Roth Conversions; Open Enrollment season w ACA Premium inflation, and Medicare changes; Estate Tax Rule Changes & Trust issues in financial planning.
SEG-1: China's Bitcoin Ban & "LanceCoin" SEG-2: Roth Conversion & Medicare Open Enrollment SEG-3: How to Deal with Estate Tax Rule Changes SEG-4: Aliens & Irrevocable Living Trusts
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is Now the Time to Buy Stocks?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lk6s9reRcqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Market Response to the Fed Put" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LsRzv8FauY4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1375s
Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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Cryptocurrency #ChineseBan #TrustIssues #FinancialPlanning #TaxImplications #RothConversions #OpenEnrollment #Medicare #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
The Fed says liquidity tapering is coming, but unclear on exactly when; Debt Ceiling negotiations are really political theatre; why Jerome Powell is the power behind the Federal Reserve; why rate hikes in current economic environment won't work;
SEG-1: Trans-Vaccinated, The Debt Ceiling & Political Theatre SEG-2: Who Has Power at The Fed? (and why this matters) SEG-3: How Hiking Rates Affects Inflation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/when-will-transitory-overstay-its-welcome https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-speaks-loudly-and-carries-a-featherg-inflation-measure-is-bull
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is Now the Time to Buy Stocks?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lk6s9reRcqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Fed Taper Conundrum Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJSpsF9u8lc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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FedMeeting #FedTaper #BudgetReconciliation #TaxImplications #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Congress is dithering over whether or not to raise the debt ceiling, and the FOMC is teetering on tapering...or not. What are the risks to your retirement in the current market? Why Understanding Bears is important; tax implications are coming to a 1040 near you.
SEG-1: Debt Ceiling Myths & FOMC Meeting Preview SEG-2: Retirement Risks from a Prolonged Market Pullback SEG-3: Why It's Important to Understand Bear Markets SEG-4: You Can't "Buy Low" if You Didn't "Sell High"
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: FOMC Pre-Taper Market Review" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zCZKhjokF2o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "March Market Mayhem Redux?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-3D2YkNtT9Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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FOMC #FedTaper #ManagingRisk #FedMeeting #BudgetReconciliation #TaxImplications #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Monday's market "meltdown" achieved the predicted, eventual 5% correction; what's next? Why investors should move slowly from here--sell into the rally & don't panic. Previewing Fed Outlook & Expectations; The Risk of Government shutdown EOM.
SEG-1: Market Mayhem & Realities of Managing Risk SEG-2: Fed Meeting Preview SEG-3: Government Shutdown, Twitter Settlement, Pelosi Hypocrisy
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-market-cracks-as-bulls-failed-to-show/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Follow Up to Market Mayhem" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GPkXrFPP9rI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Why You Should do Nothing Today," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8yiVf2M38Tw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=214s
Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
MarketTurmoil #ManagingRisk #FedMeeting #Evergrande #BudgetReconciliation #InsiderTrading #FedTaper #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates
Why today's Market action will be bloody; what is China's next move with Evergrande; liquidity is the key. What will the Fed do this week? Why everything in the budget bill is called "human infrastructure;" Richard Kaplan's double standard for insider trading.
SEG-1: Possible Aspects of the Evergrande effect SEG-2: The Budget Bill: Reconciliation or Bust! SEG-3: The Double Standard of Insider Trading
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-deficit-deniers-40-years-of-economic-erosion/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/expecting-stimulus-household-credit-explodes-higher/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets in Turmoil" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7DLLYI8o-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "How to Increase Spending Power in Retirement," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WRC8-6iP5mU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s
Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
MarketTurmoil #BloodyMonday #Evergrande #BudgetReconciliation #InsiderTrading #FedTaper #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Having more money to spend in retirement requires proper planning; how to combat "withdrawal anxiety;" micro-budgeting ahead of retirement; assign each dollar a job; cutting expenses in retirement; Social Security is an annuity; guaranteed income is a license to spend.
SEG-1: Withdrawal Anxiety in Retirement SEG-2: How to Have More Money to Spend in Retirement SEG-3: Guaranteed Income: A License to Spend
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/5-ways-to-increase-spending-in-retirement/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Three Hot Stocks We're Watching" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5AYjRHDw8M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our previous show, "When Market Algorithms Rule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3PvakE4SfM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
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Retirement #RetirementIncome #MoreMoney #WithdrawalAnxiety #GuaranteedIncome #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
What happens when the Fed's "transient" inflation isn't? What if the market drops again--and what IS the 50-DMA, exactly? The rule of market algorithms; why Apple's iPhone 13 presentation underwhelmed; will Evergrande fail? Fed meeting preview.
SEG-1: The Rule of Algorithms SEG-2: Will Evergrande Be Allowed to Fail? SEG-3: What Will the Next Fed Meeting Reveal?
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-speaks-loudly-and-carries-a-featherg-inflation-measure-is-bull
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Three Hot Stocks We're Watching" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5AYjRHDw8M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Our previous show, "FOMO or Fear of Failure?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NqsfN1wT_H8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
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Apple #iPhone13 #MarketAlgorithm #MarketCorrection #Evergrande #FOMO #CPI #Inflation #Markets #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Markets continue on their upward trend, despite last week's <2% "correction." Meanwhile, inflation as measured in CPI seems softer, which is hoped will keep the Fed from tapering; The fear of missing out (FOMO) vs fear of failure by investors.
SEG-1: Will "softer" inflation keep the Fed from tapering? SEG-2: The Truth About CPI vs Reality SEG-3: FOMO vs Fear of Failure
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/shedlock-inflation-other-wildly-believed-economic-nonsense/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/when-is-the-next-bear-market-3-things-will-tell-you/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can "Buy-the-Dip'ers" Drive Markets Higher?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y16XwZyu-Wc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=9s
Our previous show, "Market Crash = Great Expectations" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5AYjRHDw8M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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MarketCorrection #FOMO #CPI #Inflation #Markets #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Your taxes are going up to "pay for" Congressional wish-list spending; Janet Yellen's financial crisis she said we'd never see (in her lifetime); why we're creating structural fragility in financial markets; Why bank bailouts continue.
SEG-1: Political/Economic Analysis: Congress' Fuzzy Math SEG-2: That Financial Crisis Janet Yellen Said Would Never Come SEG-3: Why the Next Crisis Will Happen
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-too-many-bears-looking-for-a-correction/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: 9 out of 10 Bears say Market Correction Coming:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGF_mXGrQZs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=114s
Our previous show, "How Wall Street Leverages Market Trends" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2EuipFK5nA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=2s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TS_Nicholas #Taxation #JanetYellen #CPI #Inflation #Markets #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
TS Nicholas is about to rain havoc on the Texas Gulf Coast, which will create a sort of economic stimulus with resulting repairs; the mid-term elections are also weighing on markets; the truth behind "ESG" friendly companies; Wall St. capitalizing on trends; taxation tactics they ought to consider.
SEG-1: Economic Impact of TS Nicholas, mid-term elections; SEG-2: The Magic of the ESG Narrative SEG-3: How Wall St. Capitalizes on Trends SEG-4: The Ugly Truth About Taxation
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/whats-wrong-with-gold-absolutely-nothing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-the-insecurity-of-social-security/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets in Turmoil" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6EpfohjAWA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Will El Salvador Be the Bitcoin Savior?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATqURMI4Gx0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TS_Nicholas #Taxation #ESG_Funds #CPI #Inflation #Markets #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Markets know the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI data are manipulated to hide true inflation numbers; Inflation calculation then vs now; using hedonics to depress impact of price increases; Where can investors put money ahead of inflation and a market correction.
SEG-1: The Ugly Truth Behind the BLS Lies SEG-2: Inflation is the Topic de Jour SEG-3: Why the Market is Starting to Question the Fed SEG-4: Where to Invest Ahead of Inflation, Correction
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-wall-street-sets-its-sights-on-sp-5000/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bls-housing-inflation-measure-is-bull
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Prepare for Market Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VeNxxL_Uixw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Will El Salvador Be the Bitcoin Savior?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATqURMI4Gx0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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BLS #CPI #Inflation #Markets #RentInflation #HomePrices #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Bitcoin is adopted by El Salvador as legal tender: There are significant problems with the theory in actual practice; Joe Biden's Tax Plans, & Why Congress Doesn't Have a Budget...yet. Why the Rich Love the Tax System; who really pays taxes? Tax the Rich! Double taxation!!
SEG-1: The Problem with Bitcoin Transactions & Trade SEG-2: Taxing the Rich & Double Taxation SEG-3: Why the Rich Support Current Tax Structure SEG-4: Market Crash or Correction: Not If but When
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-wall-street-sets-its-sights-on-sp-5000/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bls-housing-inflation-measure-is-bull
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Problem With El Salvadors's Bitcoin" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki0oHg1nkz4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=41s
Our previous show, "S&P 5000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki0oHg1nkz4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=41s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Bitcoin #Markets #El_Salvador #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
Markets have seemed oblivious to weakening economic numbers, lingering at all-time highs, but troubling Jobs reports and ever-rising inflation may tip the Fed's hand to taper its liquidity program; ESG funds scrutinized by SEC; The Shipping Container Shortage; China's Lehman moment may have arrived.
SEG-1: Will the Market Melt-up to S&P 5000? SEG-2: Early Christmas Shopping, Economic Reality, and Mattress Mac SEG-3: ESG's Exposed: Why the SEC is nosing around now SEG-4: Container Homes, Public vs Private Schools, and The Fed's Moral Hazard
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-wall-street-sets-its-sights-on-sp-5000/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ https://nypost.com/2021/09/04/nyc-house-made-of-shipping-containers-sells-for-5-million/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets' Continuous Climb" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xrLS_z3_mKg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=114s
Our previous show, "Labor Day Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlRlHecpXQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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FedTaper #SP_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
Markets steel themselves for today's Jobs Report; Has the Real Estate market peaked? The dynamics of Labor, Wages, and Transitional Unemployment; Portfolio management with concentrated investments; budgeting worksheets & software; Medicare Advantage vs Medigap.
SEG-1: Has the Real Estate Market peaked? SEG-2: The Benefits of Trimming Portfolios SEG-3: Budget Helps; Medicare Advantage vs Medigap
Hosted by RIA Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuations-are-extreme-even-with-rose-tinted-glasses
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Stocks on the Move" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWrHKGNkVvc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "Derailing Fed Tapering" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iOlngmXqPL0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic #MedicareAdvantage #Medigap
Why supply chain disruptions may be the Grinch that steals Christmas 2021. How will El Salvador's Bitcoin currency experiment fare? How San Francisco ruined itself; the myths of "economic equality;" The Fed's biggest problem: Inflation.
SEG-1: Bitcoin as a Savings Vehicle SEG-2: Can Bitcoin Save El Salvador? SEG-3: How Public Policy Ruined San Francisco
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuations-are-extreme-even-with-rose-tinted-glasses https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-they-dont-want-you-to-see/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Stocks on the Move" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWrHKGNkVvc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "Deraling Fed Tapering" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iOlngmXqPL0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
Speculation over this week's Jobs Numbers; Weak manufacturing indexes do not bode well for the Fed; evidence abounds that the rate of economic growth is stalling here and in China. Who buys the debt issued by the Fed? What was the real reason for Quanititative Easing. How San Fransico ruined itself; the myths of "economic equality;" The Fed's biggest problem: Inflation.
SEG-1: Why Jobs Reports Matter to the Fed SEG-2: The Correlation between China and US Manufacturing Indexes SEG-3: What Really Happens to the Deficit? SEG-4: How Public Policy Ruined San Francisco
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuations-are-extreme-even-with-rose-tinted-glasses https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-they-dont-want-you-to-see/
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Stocks on the Move" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWrHKGNkVvc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous show, "Will It Be a September to Remember?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OiXLUHcKUMs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
Markets remain over-valued, with Apple making up an inordinately large percentage of the market; How half-penny trading may further the "gamification" of retail trading; how will El Salvador's Bitcoin currency experiment fare? How to reform Social Security--and why we'll never vote for it.
SEG-1: Valuations Are Still Extremely High SEG-2: Half-penny Trades & Gamification of Trading SEG-3: El Salvador's Bitcoin Currency Experiment SEG-4: How to Reform Social Security
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pqm82_5-Duo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Fed Taper Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ALZaXTLV_8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
The Market is staged to set a seventh month of gains...unless it crashes today. "If I was the Fed..." Chances are great they'll make a mistake; the negative-multiplier effect of deficits; Investors are "in" thanks to rising prices, not valuations; The Fed's inflation "concerns;"
SEG-1: If I was the Fed... SEG-2: The Fed's Conundrum SEG-3: Crack-dealing Federal Reserve
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lct6PuOFU6s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=81s
Our previous show, "Christmas Preview Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c8cSRdwrUvQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=159s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bulls-warn-the-fed-not-to-taper/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
Have you started your Christmas shopping yet? Supply chain disruptions may be the Grinch that steals Christmas 2021. No surprise from The Jackson Hole Summit: No tapering, yet; Consumer Sentiment is at lows seen at the start of COVID Pandemic; Will the Fed repeat the same policy mistakes?
SEG-1: Aftermath of Hurricane Ida & Toy Shortages at Christmas SEG-2: Bitcoin as a Savings Vehicle SEG-3: The Jackson Hole Summit Recap SEG-4: Policy Mistakes the Fed Keeps Making
Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y90fuhfPmK4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous show, "Financial Fitness Friday" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2WdzhtUS74g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japanization-the-sp-500-is-tracking-the-nikkei-of-1980/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-says-taper-is-coming-bulls-hear-no-taper-now-08-27-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/when-is-the-next-bear-market-3-things-will-tell-you/
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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DeltaVariant #FedTaper #JacksonHoleSummit #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic #Christmas #ToyShortage #HurricaneIda
The Jackson Hole virtual summit convenes to solve the problems of the world. Not. Risk Management vs Risk Dilution: It's a thing. The Myth of Diversification & Reality of post-pandemic consumer spending; the cost of healthcare; our 4th-Quarter Financial Checklist.
SEG-1: The Myth of Diversification SEG-2: Eating Your Way to Longevity & The Cost of Healthcare SEG-3: 4th Quarter Financial Checklist
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0qztHlVV8Ns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=42s
Our previous show, "Delta Variant Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zccmnQ4knO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=32s
Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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DeltaVariant #FedTaper #JacksonHoleSummit #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
Is America's withdrawal from Afghanistan the Black Swan Event that will trigger a market correction? The Jackson Hole Summit goes virtual thanks to the Delta Variant of COVID; inflation and interest rates are Jerome Powell's conundrum; Fed governors want to taper sooner than later; a new house band replaces Leo Moracchioli; Stevie Nicks pulls out of ACL Fest, Stock Buy Backs are back!
SEG-1: Is Delta Variant an Excuse to Delay Taper? SEG-2: Delta Variant, Real Inflation, & Jerome Powell's Conundrum SEG-3: Stevie Nix & The Bollinger Band, and Shutting Down the World
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0qztHlVV8Ns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=42s
Our previous show, "The Meme Stocks Episode" is here: hhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WKtIKO-cjds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-they-dont-want-you-to-see/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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DeltaVariant #FedTaper #JacksonHoleSummit #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
The COVID Pandemic has forced many into early retirement; the Child Tax Credit increase has been a windfall--what happens when it goes away? What do Miami Strippers & Fiscal Elephants Have in Common? Pro's & Con's of taking Social Security early;
SEG-1: Is Pandemic Forcing More into Earlier Retirement? SEG-2: What Happens When Higher Child Tax Credit is Gone? SEG-3: What Happens When You Take Social Security Early?
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: youtube.com/watch?v=WKjZKcyt52k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous episode, "Pet Rocks & Other Signs of Rich Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FkVbkkDQ8vI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-pet-rocks-other-signs-of-a-rich-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-they-dont-want-you-to-see/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #ChildTaxCredit #SocialSecurity #EarlyRetirement #Pandemic
President Joe Biden mistakenly attributes market jubilance to FDA approval of the Pfizer jab; what happens when markets revert to the norm with lack of liquidity; The Pet Rock phenomenon & rich markets; Understanding Valuation; The difference between investors & speculators; needs vs wants.
SEG-1: Post-Stimulus: Reversion Back to the Norm SEG-2: Pet Rocks & Signs of a Rich Market SEG-3: Understanding Market Valuation SEG-4: The Difference Between Investors & Speculators
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xPX7bb_EH0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous episode, "When the Economy Shuts Down" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IVRQ1iXrqI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=43s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-pet-rocks-other-signs-of-a-rich-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-more-stimulus-and-the-2nd-derivative-effect/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
Markets Double Value in the fastest period, ever! What happens when economies shut down...and they start up again? Supply chain management is key: Will inventory deficits result in over production and surpluses? Consumer Confidence Crisis, and the real cost of hiring workers.
SEG-1: What Happens When the Economy Shuts Down (and starts up again) SEG-2: Fastest Doubling of Markets Ever SEG-3: The Crash in Consumer Confidence Collides w The Fed SEG-4: What it Really Costs to Hire Workers
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuKwGGmYw_Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Our previous episode, "Markets' No Time to Die Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qc-7LN7qnN8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fastest-bull-market-in-history-as-sp-500-doubles/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-blinks-on-taper-bulls-buy-the-dip-again/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
Markets continue to defy reality, as preparations are underway for next week's Jackson Hole meeting, possibly to reverse easy-money policies. Estate Planning w Daniel Craig & Tanya Roberts; Garlic and Beneficiaries; the importance of estate planning.
SEG-1: No Time to Die for Markets: Prepping for Jackson Hole SEG-2: David Craig's non-inheritance SEG-3: Tanya Roberts, Holographic Wills, & Estate Planning SEG-4: Grandma Rosso: Garlic & Beneficiaries
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our previous episode, "Markets, Fed, & Don McLain Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rA-RGVNhN7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #EstatePlanning
What do Markets, the Fed, & Don McLean have in common? Fed Governors are baking their own American Pie with talk of tapering; the ugly truth why the Fed really uses Quantitative Easing; why are market valuations outrageously high? The story of Robinhood's Dogecoin disaster.
SEG-1: Don McLean + The Fed = The Day the Market Died SEG-2: Why the Fed Really Uses QE SEG-3: Why Markets are so far above reasonable valuations SEG-4: Robinhood's Dogecoin Disaster
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCz1EsKnQ3k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s
Our previous episode, "Markets' COVID Booster?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drhBfEAo8hg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1844s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
Markets are asymptomatic to any boost from COVID vaxxing, as economic data shows slowing, and consumer confidence is falling; The FOMO effect on Markets vs investor risk, as retail investors are cannon fodder for Wall St., only a huge shock will deter risk-taking investors.
SEG-1: COVID Boosters and an Asymptomatic Market SEG-2: FOMO vs Market Risk; Will SALT Deduction Return? SEG-3: The Retail Investor is Cannon Fodder for Wall St. SEG-4: Market Volatility & Market Shocks
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wHzElzTpdQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s
Our previous episode, "Markets Trapped Between Inflation & Weakening Economy?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gk9ectq-dcs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1098s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
Markets rallied to another, all-time high on Monday, but there's an undercurrent of consumer dissatisfaction, as we're paying more for things and buying a little less; The Fed is caught between inflation & a weakening economy; could Fed tapering come sooner than later? The cycles of supply and demand are always evolving; inflation is eating into family budgets.
SEG-1: Markets Say the Fed is Trapped Between Inflation & Weak Economy SEG-2: Retail Sales: Buying Less and Paying More SEG-3: Inflation is Eating Into Family Budgets
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4MLTZAzM3G0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=31s
Our previous episode, "Why Markets Won't Teeter on the Taliban" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4GJQmtEd6bk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
Kabul falls to the Taliban, but markets have already priced-in the news. The real upset may come when the Fed announces it's going to taper QE; The Fed's Liquidity Trap & Liquidity Alarms; The Three Things that will tell you it's time to get out of the markets,
SEG-1: Markets are Built on Confidence & Stability SEG-2: The Liquidity Alarm SEG-3: Three Things That'll Tell You to Get Out of the Market
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tqsxle6AmOQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Afghanistan #Kabul
How will you be funding your children's education? 529's are great, and there are myriad ways they can be funded--even over-funded. Now that you have kids, here are a few tips; why EDG Funds are not a good value for investors: Traps to avoid!
SEG-1: Having Babies & Funding Education SEG-2: Creative Funding of 529's SEG-3: The Ugly Truth Behind ESG Funds
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our previous episode, "Is Inflation Still Hot?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YRy3G2dmh7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #529
Is all of the Inflation talk over-inflated? Why are inflated gasoline prices-short term not directly connected to oil prices? It's all Supply & Demand, and the CPI is a flawed metric. The Great Gasoline Price argument; Socialism vs Capitalism.
SEG-1: Is Inflation Talk Getting Inflated? SEG-2: Is there actually a moderation in inflation? SEG-3: The Economic Consequences of Inflation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ehNTkyvXotQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=77s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-a-test-of-the-200-dma-is-coming/
Our previous episode, "Three Signs of a Market Bubble," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NVIxLA7umgQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=143s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets
Surprises in the Infrastructure Bill include funds for projects that will have low or no ROI; signs we're in a market bubble include Crypto Currency schemes, NFT's, and digital art; Three signs the market is about to turn: Fed QE Taper, rising rates, and inverted yield curves; how to invest new money; are crypto currency and vaccine passports preludes to cashless society?
SEG-1: 5 Things You Didn't Know are in the Infrastructure Bill SEG-2: How You Can Tell We're in a Bubble SEG-3: Big Brother is Coming for Your Money
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: youtube.com/watch?v=92djvbURPgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-a-test-of-the-200-dma-is-coming/
Our previous episode, "The Real Truth Behind the Infrastructure Bill," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCHm2zJZhm0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets
New Job Openings and Jobless Claims numbers put the Fed in a box ahead of the Jackson Hole meeting, with growing calls for tapering Quantitative Easing. Congress' "Infrastructure" Bill is a pork-laden monstrosity that will further encumber the economy and generations to come with more debt. Markets are continuing to test the 200-DMA during one of the longest periods without a market correction. Something's gotta give.
SEG-1: How "Great" Jobs Numbers Put the Fed in a Box; Consumer Credit Concerns SEG-2: The Ugly Reality of the Infrastructure Bill SEG-3: Testing the 200-DMA: Is Your Portfolio Ready?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9GgIWCnjCc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-a-test-of-the-200-dma-is-coming/
Our previous episode, "Climate Change Winners & Losers," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mg1u7bM-xlk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets
Who really benefits from Climate Change? Look who's controlling the agenda. The concept of de-growth through population control and reduction of rate of population growth; becoming more energy efficient and consuming less, lowering the standard of living for all: A race towards socialism. Fun with Delta-variants and Hurricane Names; COVID is here to stay. The "war" on home ownership--who is controlling the agenda?
SEG-1: De-Growth and Who Really Benefits from Climate Change SEG-2: Delta Variant, Hurricane Names, and Setting an Agenda: Who Profits? SEG-3: What AMC Should've Done w $53-Million
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2sq6Hw3wlA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/was-that-the-peak-of-economic-growth-earnings/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
Retirement success could be risked by Mega-IRA Legislation; why today's Jobs Report may not agree with what Bond Markets are saying; Virtual Real Estate Investing is a sign of Market Tops; What threatens your IRA?
SEG-1: Jobs Report Preview; What the Bond Market Says SEG-2: Virtual Real Estate Investing: A Sign of Market Topping SEG-3: IRA Threat: What Does Mega Mean? SEG-4: Five Steps to Successful Retirement = Re-wirement
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0XWTY0KxNqA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s
Our previous episode, "Why COVID & The Rolling Stones Will Never Die," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cjp8N2P8hCs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2269s
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Rolling Stones & Economic Impact of COVID SEG-2: Calculating CPI & Fed's Misplaced Priorities SEG-3: The Jackson Hole Preview SEG-4: The E-mail that Stumped Us; Recommended Reading List
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/amc-foolishness-comes-at-a-dear-cost/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-past-performance-is-a-guarantee/
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://youtu.be/0XWTY0KxNqA
Our previous episode, "Eviction Moratorium," is here: https://youtu.be/FvlwbKEfeRE
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Eviction Moratorium: Pro's & Con's SEG-2: The Landlord Dilemma & The Stealth Shutdown SEG-3: How to Make $19-M in the Market SEG-4: Economic Impact of "Socially Acceptable" Lifestyles
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/amc-foolishness-comes-at-a-dear-cost/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-past-performance-is-a-guarantee/
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://youtu.be/8qvqWzdeS0s
Our previous episode, "How China is Cracking-down on Capitalism" is here: https://youtu.be/PLwD-7CmkOQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Show Prelude; Market Performance Now Showing Weakness SEG-2: How China Will Beat the US SEG-3: Will America Become a Nation of Renters? SEG-4: Why Artificial Stimulus Does Not Create Economic Growth
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-past-performance-is-a-guarantee/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-grossly-defective-product-how-strong-is-the-economy-really/ https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/qe-bond-purchases-decrease-government-debt-maturity-by-raghuram-rajan-2021-08
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://youtu.be/A8RwK5SMmiY
Our previous episode, "Is COVID The New Cold War Weapon?" is here: https://youtu.be/8agBvKXOoEk
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Why August is the Worst Month of the Year SEG-2: COVID, Transveganism, & Stunting Economic Growth SEG-3: How to Resist COVID; The Afterpay Indicator SEG-4: What Works for Investors 100% of the Time
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-rally-continues-as-earnings-beat-estimates-07-30-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-grossly-defective-product-how-strong-is-the-economy-really/
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://youtu.be/cefcKBNVe-g
Our previous episode of "Financial Fitness Friday" is here: https://youtu.be/iY8YoAW2PeU
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Market Commentary/Changing Concept of Retirement SEG-2: Will Social Security Be There for You? SEG-3: The Friar Tucking by Robinhood; IRA Dad Talk SEG-4: Coming Events, "Bollinger," the RIA Mascot; COLA Changes
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our previous episode on "What Olympics, Delta-variant, & Fed Have in Common" is here: https://youtu.be/EALC7F7ElgY
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Olympic Tapering vs Fed Tapering SEG-2: What the Fed Said SEG-3: Why Does the Fed Matter So Much? (They never get it right) SEG-4: Shifting From Inflation to Deflation
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/just-how-transitory-is-inflation/
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/igNv3eRKb0k
Our previous episode on "What Follows the Pandemic Boom" is here: https://youtu.be/OkP0geZBsWs
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Masking, Markets, & Minsky Moment SEG-2: Corporate Earnings Parade: What Happens When Economy Slows? SEG-3: Simone Biles & Investing Mentality SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Valuations & What to Do w Cash? Fed Extraction from QE
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/just-how-transitory-is-inflation/
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/ckjQRx_uRvY
Our previous episode on "How Stability Creates Instability" is here: https://youtu.be/AExVWcd8_kw
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Earnings Week Continues SEG-2: The Risk of Low Market Volatility SEG-3: Implications of Cali Power Limitations SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Capitalism vs Socialism Economics; Gold Prices; Fed Rate Supression?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/3-reasons-why-there-really-is-no-housing-shortage/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-markets-next-minsky-moment/
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/3BOI7SrY-wk
Our previous episode on "Corporate Earnings Olympics" is here: https://youtu.be/b7qJJAQtBO4
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Simone Biles, Olypmics, & Earnings Estimates SEG-2: Back to School & Delta Variant: Markets' Likely Response SEG-3: Market Valuations & Minksy Moment SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: How to Put Cash to Work; Passive Investing Problems
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/yGZhH-fW9qA
Our previous episode on "Happy Money" is here: https://youtu.be/7pxOK3OuWKw
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: The Good & Plenty Market SEG-2: Medicare COLA vs Bidenflation SEG-3: Richard's Nana & Buying Happiness SEG-4: How We Will Fund Future Social Security
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Our previous episode on "Fed Power" is here: https://youtu.be/aHvAXDzeVak
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Market Rallies & Efficacy of QE SEG-2: Crocs' Comeback & The Power of the Fed SEG-3: The True Source of Wealth Inequality SEG-4: The Epic Mistake of The Fed
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show (with special thanks to PBS' "Frontline"): https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/film/the-power-of-the-fed/
Our previous episode on "Markets' FOMO Infection" is here: https://youtu.be/GDtm_i2XlpM
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/DTTkBADAAw8
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Market Maneuvers in the Dark SEG-2: The Risk from a Private Market Pre-IPO SEG-3: How Do You Buy the Dip if You Don't Know Where the Bottom Is? SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Swimly, Ferrari's, & Capital Gains
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-hedge-funds-ramp-up-exposure/
Our previous episode on "Markets' FOMO Infection" is here: https://youtu.be/UbE6TjzglPc
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/C3N8ArdjDuY
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Jeff Bezos, Dr. Evil, & Jim Cramer SEG-2: The Psychology of Quantitative Easing SEG-3: World's Shortest "Recession" Ever SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Jim Cramer Rids Speculators, Crude Oil Pricing
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-hedge-funds-ramp-up-exposure/
Our previous episode on the Delta Variant Hits Markets is here: https://youtu.be/kb-bwe6NsF4
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/xK-eDob09b8
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Markets Suffer Sell-off SEG-2: This is not a Crash, a Correction SEG-3: Investing vs Gambling: The Demise of Retail Investing SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Delta-variant Markets; What More Can the Fed Do?
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/knowledge-vs-experience-why-most-investors-wind-up-losing/
Our previous episode on the new Child Tax Credits is here: https://youtu.be/RBoGMvRdHZg
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Why the Stock- and Bond Markets Do Not Agree SEG-2: Car Crashes & Child Tax Credits SEG-3: How to Live in a Cashless World SEG-4: How to Create Retirement Income Paychecks
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Jerome Powell's CPI Calculations SEG-2: What Bonds & Yield Curves Are Saying SEG-3: What the Fed Should Really Be Doing (and nothing else!) SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Transitory Inflation
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/bQWGk_fuxgE
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/undermining-capitalism-with-unreal-values-and-crass-distortion/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: When the Power of Compounding Doesn't Work SEG-2: Risking Retirement Savings w Fed's Moral Hazard SEG-3: Communism & Socialism vs Capitalism SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: SS Cola Changes, Bonds & TLT, How Does this End?
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/bQWGk_fuxgE
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bubbles-are-evident-after-they-pop/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Dow 35,000? SEG-2: Q2 Earnings Season: Pay Attention to Revenues SEG-3: #SustainableLiving & Market Bubbles SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Consumer Confidence, Gov't Spending, Communism Myths
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/PJ0bbETQ0iI
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bubbles-are-evident-after-they-pop/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Why Q2 Year Over Year Comparisons will be Easy SEG-2: TikTok Ban on Financial Services SEG-3: Infrastructure Spending: Could Be Good, But It Won't Be SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: What the Fed Can and Cannot Do
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/PJ0bbETQ0iI
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/infrastructure-spending-could-be-good-but-it-wont-be/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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SEG-1: The Important Messages Bond Yields are Sending SEG-2: What Wells Fargo's Credit Cancellation Means to You SEG-3: Long Term Care & Destiny Demographics SEG-4: How to Trigger Lance
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/GjxTh1GPS6s
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-bond-yields-send-an-economic-warning/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: The Risk-off Thursday Move to Safety SEG-2: What the Fed is Really Saying SEG-3: Setting Up for an August Taper SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: The Fed Debt Trap, Negative Multiplier of Gov't. Spending
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/k027Urb0ZLk
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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SEG-1: What Treasury Yields are Telling Us SEG-2: Why Peter Thiel's Roth IRA Matters to You SEG-3: Changing the Rules on Tax-deferred Savings SEG-4: The Essential Attack on Capitalism
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-capitalism-does-not-equal-corporatism-pt-1/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-capitalism-does-not-equal-corporatism-pt-2/ https://youtu.be/UYEJsfgWYaQ
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Kicking off Second Half of 2021 SEG-2: Where Do Investors Get Their Advice? SEG-3: What's the Best Market Performance Comparison? SEG-4: YouTube Q & A: Buybacks, Investor Psychology, Fed Hypocrisy
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-retail-investor-rampage-over/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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SEG-1: Profits vs Earnings: YOY Comparisons SEG-2: To Taper or Not to Taper? SEG-3: What Will Trigger Markets this Summer? SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Fed Debt, Bank Lending, Delta Variant
- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lifeline-of-markets-liquidity-defined/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
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SEG-1: America: Still the Cleanest Dirty Shirt SEG-2: Long Term Care vs Medicare Advantage SEG-3: Vacation/Job Trends post-Pandemic SEG-4: Financial Lessons from George Washington
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g
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SEG-1: Profits vs Earnings: YOY Comparisons SEG-2: To Taper or Not to Taper? SEG-3: What Will Trigger Markets this Summer? SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Fed Debt, Bank Lending, Delta Variant
- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lifeline-of-markets-liquidity-defined/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Living in a post-Coronvirus World SEG-2: PPP: Where Did All the Workers Go? SEG-3: Short-termism & the Challenge of Navigating Markets Today SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Looking for Opportunities, Dollar Strength, Interest Rates
- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warnings-from-behind-the-curtain/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Rick & Morty's "Mortiplicity" in the Markets SEG-2: Warnings from Behind the Curtain SEG-3: Investors in an Alternative Universe SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Tapering Impact, Stops, Job Openings
- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warnings-from-behind-the-curtain/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Why Sister Wives' Janelle Brown is Living in an RV Down by the River SEG-2: The Truth Behind ESG Investing SEG-3: Capitalism Does Not Equal Corporatism, Pt-1 SEG-4: Infrastructure Spending & Government's real responsibilities
- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-capitalism-does-not-equal-corporatism-pt-1/
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SEG-1: Demographics are Destiny SEG-2: John McAfee Suicide & Great Expectations SEG-3: Recency Bias Feeds Market Expectations SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Home Ownership, Market Bubbles, & Risk Management
- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
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SEG-1: Getting Back to Work SEG-2: The Challenge of Hiring Post-pandemic Workers SEG-3: Small Business Cost/Benefits Trade-off SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Small Business Employees & Tax Deductions
- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen, AIF, QKA, CFPA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/business-owners-max-tax-deductions-improve-employee-loyalty/
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SEG-1: Have We Seen the Top of the Market for 2021? SEG-2: Bulls vs Bears: Experience is a Tough Teacher SEG-3: Why "Record Highs" Are Just That SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Fed, Banks, & Gold
- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-cot-report-shows-stage-set-for-volatility/
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SEG-1: Fed Talk is Cheap SEG-2: Is the Market Correction Beginning? SEG-3: True Infrastructure Spending Requires no Gov't. Incentives SEG-4: YouTube Algorithms & Reverse REPO
- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
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SEG-1: Inflation, Deflation, Stagflation, or Disinflation SEG-2: A History of Inflation SEG-3: The Fed's Real Goal: Boosting Asset Prices SEG-4: The "Limitations" of the Fed
- Hosted by Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, Senior Relationship Manager, Jon Penn, CFA, & Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Why the Fed is Wrong About Rates SEG-2: Fed Meeting Takeaway; Jackson Hole Prelude SEG-3: What Happens When We Taper SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Money Flow Signals, SPY Puts - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-running-hot-inflation-wise-and-humane/
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SEG-1: Corporatism vs Capitalism SEG-2: Fed Meeting Day Preview SEG-3: Inflation Management Strategy for Investors SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Bear vs Bulls, News Impact, & WTI Pricing
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-slowly-at-first-then-all-at-once/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Demographics are Destiny SEG-2: Retail Sales & the Two Faces of Inflation SEG-3: Slowly at First, Then All at Once SEG-4: Moving to Montana; Stagflation Explained
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-slowly-at-first-then-all-at-once/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Conspiracy Theories Come True; Were Stimmie Checks Necessary? SEG-2: The G-7 Farce; QE is Permanently in Fed Tool Box SEG-3: How Companies Respond to Inflation; Benchmarks & Indexes SEG-4: Seasonality, Cycles, and the Coming Market Correction
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reviewing-market-signals-as-warnings-increase-06-11-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-starting-campaign-to-taper-its-asset-purchases/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Tax Fraud and Inflation Explodes SEG-2: The Fed's 2% Solution for Everything SEG-3: Feeding the FOMO SEG-4: Cash, Valuations, and The Rosso Indicator
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/three-ways-to-teach-your-kids-to-invest-smart/
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00:00 - Historic Correlation of Inflation to Valuation 10:00 - Signs of Late-stage Market Exuberance 23:00 - How the Fed Has Distorted Markets 35:35 - Who Owns the Stock Markets?
Hosted by Lance Roberts, CIO, RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist with Michael Lebowitz, CFA, Portfolio Manager
_________
Articles mentioned in this show: ➢ Two Pins Threatening Multiple Asset Bubbles: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/two-pins-threatening-multiple-asset-bubbles-part-ii/ ➢ Technically Speaking: Warning Signs A Correction Is Ahead: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/
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SEG-1: Early Christmas Shopping; Market Commentary SEG-2: Raising Kids, Dubers, & Financial Education SEG-3: Why We Don't Like 401-K Plans SEG-4: CPI Index in Economic Recoveries
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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00:00 - Why Global Taxation is a Non-issue 10:00 - Headlines, Vaccines, & Economics 23:00 - Why Markets are Ripe for Correction 35:32 - Costs & Consequences of Killing the Oil Industry
Technically Speaking Tuesday hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts.
_________
Articles mentioned: ➢ Technically Speaking: Warning Signs A Correction Is Ahead: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/ ➢ MacroView: Yellen & The Big Push To Offshore US Labor: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-yellen-the-big-push-to-offshore-us-labor/
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SEG-1: Why Global Taxation is a Non-issue SEG-2: Headlines, Vaccines, & Economics SEG-3: Why Markets are Ripe for Correction SEG-4: Costs & Consequences of Killing the Oil Industry
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-yellen-the-big-push-to-offshore-us-labor/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Janet Yellen's Pro-Inflation Stance SEG-2: The Post-COVID Jobs Conundrum: Getting Workers Back to Work SEG-3: Hiring Workers: Salary-plus? SEG-4: Benefits vs Liabilities of Offering a 401-K
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen, AIF, QKA, CPFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/have-stocks-already-priced-in-the-economic-boom/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: The Consequences of Financial Alchemy SEG-2: Financial Snuggies & Draining Retirement Funds SEG-3: Tough Love and Money SEG-4: Building a Bridge to Retirement
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/three-ways-to-teach-your-kids-to-invest-smart/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Weaknesses that Pose Risk [clean audio] SEG-2: Thinking About Thinking About Tapering SEG-3: The Fed & The Bond Market SEG-4: Return to Work & Corporate Profits
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/two-pins-threatening-multiple-asset-bubbles/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-are-sell-signals-useless-in-mania-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Cyber Attacks: How the Next World War is Fought SEG-2: The Biden Budget: Analysis & Critique SEG-3: How Tax Hikes Hurt (all of us) SEG-4: The Fed's Inflation Conundrum
- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts,CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/two-pins-threatening-multiple-asset-bubbles/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-are-sell-signals-useless-in-mania-markets/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Infrastructure Plan: Next Hope for Economic Stimulus SEG-2: What 'Taking Profits' Means in Portfolio Management SEG-3: Investing Isn't a Competition SEG-4: Recovering from COVID
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts,CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-are-sell-signals-useless-in-mania-markets/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
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This is our Memorial Day compilation episode--a collection of segments from the past weeks' shows:
SEG-1: Restaurants Re-opening; C of C says "No More Stimulus" SEG-2: Inflation Concerns: Transitory or Sustained? SEG-3: Home-buying Warning for Millennials SEG-4: Stock Buy-backs, Corporatism, & Capitalism
Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
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Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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SEG-1: Memorial Day Weather & Biden's Budget/Spending Plan SEG-2: Finding the Excitement in Life Insurance SEG-3: Life Insurance & Tax Implications SEG-4: Claiming SS After 70
Hosted by Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
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SEG-1: School's Out; To Taper or Not to Taper? SEG-2: The Difference Between High-inflation & Hyper-inflation SEG-3: Transitory vs Permanent Inflation SEG-4: The Economics of the New New-normal
Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
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SEG-1: Kids Earning Their Keep; Summer Market Preview SEG-2: Why is the Fed Surprised by Inflation; Infrastructure Defined SEG-3: The Fed's True Mandate; Rates vs. Taper Talk SEG-4: Crypto Currency, Crypto Taxes, & Getting People "Banked"
Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw
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SEG-1: BitCoin and How Markets Find the Bottom SEG-2: Inflation Concerns: Transitory or Sustained? SEG-3: Picking Up Pennies in Front of a Steamroller SEG-4: Amazon + MGM: Streaming Content Wars
Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-picking-up-pennies-in-front-of-a-steamroller/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: School's Out; Erosion of Investor Psychology SEG-2: Dollar Strength vs Crypto Currency Volatility SEG-3: Home-buying Warning for Millennials SEG-4: Fiction Becomes Reality; the Everything Shortage
Hosted by RIS AdvisorsChief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hiking-corporate-taxes-wont-improve-economic-outcomes/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: The Oncoming Inflationary Storm SEG-2: Kissing Poultry & Spanking SPAC's SEG-3: Changes Wrought from the Pandemic SEG-4: The "Third Act" of Retirement
Hosted by RIS Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
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00:00 - China's Restriction of Crypto Currency 10:00 - Impulse Shopping & Financial Planning 23:00 - The Jeopardy of "Free" Trades 35:30 - The Efficacy of Government Bailouts
Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, with Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
_________
Articles mentioned: ➢ Foreseeing The “Flation” Knuckleball & Investor Implications https://realinvestmentadvice.com/foreseeing-the-flation-knuckleball-investor-implications/
_________
➢ Candid Coffee: Financial Mid-Year Review 5/22/21 8am (CT) Learn about the best accounts to save for healthcare, retirement, and emergency reserves. Submit your questions to be answered on the show! REGISTER for this free/live event: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
_________
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➢ Listen to The Real Investment Show every morning on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757
➢ RIA Newsletter: Subscribe to our free newsletter for market updates, analysis, financial tools and more: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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_________
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00:00 - The Negative Correlation of Gold to Bitcoin 10:00 - S&P 4500...or 3800? 23:00 - What "Valuation" Means 35:40 - Stock Buy-backs, Corporatism, & Capitalism
Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts.
_________
Articles mentioned:
➢ Technically Speaking: Yardeni – The Market Will Soon Reach 4500: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-yardeni-the-market-will-soon-reach-4500/
➢ Technically Speaking: Is BofA Right About A Market Drop To 3800?: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-bofa-right-about-a-market-drop-to-3800/
_________
➢ Candid Coffee: Financial Mid-Year Review 5/22/21 8am (CT) Learn about the best accounts to save for healthcare, retirement, and emergency reserves. REGISTER for this free/live event: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
_________
➢ Watch The Real Investment Show LIVE every morning on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
➢ Listen to The Real Investment Show every morning on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757
➢ RIA Newsletter: Subscribe to our free newsletter for market updates, analysis, financial tools and more: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
➢ RIA Pro: 30 Day Free Trial: Sign up for in-depth analysis, research, portfolio models, and more: https://riapro.net/homeand more: https://riapro.net/home
_________
GET IN TOUCH: Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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LanceRoberts #TheRealInvestmentShow #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Inflationary Trends Emerge in Economic Numbers SEG-2: Fed Minute Fireworks SEG-3: Market Correction & Crypto Currency Instability SEG-4: Lance's Investing Psychology Experiment
Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/foreseeing-the-flation-knuckleball-investor-implications/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: China's Restriction of Crypto Currency SEG-2: Impulse Shopping & Financial Planning SEG-3: The Jeopardy of "Free" Trades SEG-4: The Efficacy of Government Bailouts
Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/foreseeing-the-flation-knuckleball-investor-implications/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1 The Negative Correlation of Gold to Bitcoin SEG-2 S&P 4500...or 3800? SEG-3 What "Valuation" Means SEG-4 Stock Buy-backs, Corporatism, & Capitalism
Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts.
_________
Articles mentioned:
➢ Technically Speaking: Yardeni – The Market Will Soon Reach 4500: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-yardeni-the-market-will-soon-reach-4500/
➢ Technically Speaking: Is BofA Right About A Market Drop To 3800?: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-bofa-right-about-a-market-drop-to-3800/
_________
➢ Candid Coffee: Financial Mid-Year Review 5/22/21 8am (CT) Learn about the best accounts to save for healthcare, retirement, and emergency reserves. REGISTER for this free/live event: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
_________
➢ Watch The Real Investment Show LIVE every morning on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
➢ Listen to The Real Investment Show every morning on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757
➢ RIA Newsletter: Subscribe to our free newsletter for market updates, analysis, financial tools and more: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
➢ RIA Pro: 30 Day Free Trial: Sign up for in-depth analysis, research, portfolio models, and more: https://riapro.net/homeand more: https://riapro.net/home
_________
GET IN TOUCH: Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
SOCIALS: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
LanceRoberts #TheRealInvestmentShow #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Weighing-in on Education Equity & Meritocracy SEG-2: The IRS Cometh for Cryptocurrency Profits, too! SEG-3: Is the Fed Our Own Worst Fiscal Enemy? SEG-4: How You Know Earnings Season is Nearly Over
Hosted by RIS Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-most-profitable-company-in-the-world-isnt-who-you-think/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Are We Almost Back to Normal? SEG-2: Where Social Security Came From...and is going SEG-3: Changes in Health Savings Accounts SEG-4: The IRS & Crypto Currency Income
Hosted by RIS Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: How Long Will Inflation Remain? SEG-2: How Do We Know It's Transitory? SEG-3: Forecasting the Weather & Economics SEG-4: The Most Important Employment Number
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/soar-above-overconfidence-to-fortify-your-wealth/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-if-everyone-sees-it-is-it-still-a-bubble/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Working for a Living, Hoarding, & Job Shortages SEG-2: Social Media and Investing Discipline: Stop Losses SEG-3: Texas Energy & Secession; Investing for Inflation SEG-4: Inflation, Commodities, and Ways & Means
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-if-everyone-sees-it-is-it-still-a-bubble/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: The Year of Innovation: Markets' Money Flows SEG-2: Tuesday's, Tebow, & Technically Speaking SEG-3: The Problem of Margins SEG-4: Eating Racoons & Roadkill Boots; Gen-Z in the Army
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-if-everyone-sees-it-is-it-still-a-bubble/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Markets #Money #Investing
SEG-1: Mother's Day Recap; C of C: No More Stimulus! SEG-2: Colonial Pipeline, Dependency on Technology, & Next World War SEG-3: Unexpected Impacts of Semiconductor Shortage SEG-4: Being Better Business People
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-problem-of-pulling-forward-sales-revenue/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Markets #Money #Investing
SEG-1: The Nap Station, Janet Yellen, Stimmie Spending SEG-2: Childhood Crushes & Medicare SEG-3: Sleeping with Dogs; Demographics & End of Life Survey SEG-4: End of Life Survey, Pt.2
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Employment Report Preview SEG-2: Janet Yellen Was Right (the first time)! SEG-3: Semiconductors: Paying the Price for Outsourcing SEG-4: The Crypto Conundrum
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-adverse-consequences-of-a-15-hour-wage-hike/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/noah-didnt-yield-to-fomo-neither-should-you/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Special thanks to CBS News/60-Minutes: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/semiconductor-chip-shortage-60-minutes-2021-05-02/
Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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SEG-1: Cinco de Mayo & Markets Respond to Janet Yellen SEG-2: To Vax or Not to Vax? SEG-3: The Difference Between Warren Buffett & You SEG-4: Is There Inflation in the System?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-doug-kass-50-laws-of-investing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-adverse-consequences-of-a-15-hour-wage-hike/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/noah-didnt-yield-to-fomo-neither-should-you/
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8116197301309/WN_h4MY0zq5SUS0zHlJhKJ_ng
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
Special thanks today for our Mariachi interlude, "Jalisco,"from Mariachi Real De México: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPwsqUtIEvY ...and to the Black Rifle Coffee Company's "Sh_t Texans Don't Say:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N7bvAxSPeRo
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SEG-1: Star Wars Day; Gates Divorce; Market Risk in May SEG-2: Joe Biden's Taxes and Rising Costs SEG-3: More Adverse Consequences of a Higher Minimum Wage SEG-4: Deep Impact, Cryptocurrency, & First Steps of Encroachment
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-doug-kass-50-laws-of-investing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-adverse-consequences-of-a-15-hour-wage-hike/
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Special thanks today for the Star Wars musical interpretations by Ben & Luks: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dE3lXCeTxVM
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SEG-1: The Studio Renovation; Sell in May & Go Away? SEG-2: Janet Yellen & The Cobra Effect SEG-3: The Adverse Consequences of a Higher Minimum Wage SEG-4: The Inconvenient Truth About EV's
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-adverse-consequences-of-a-15-hour-wage-hike/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/all-inflation-is-transitory-the-fed-will-be-late-again-04-30-21/
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SEG-1: What Bonds Are Telling Us Now SEG-2: Will SS Still be There? IRA Rules SEG-3: The Brannick Device; Market Bubbles SEG-4: How Higher Taxes Alter Behaviors
Hosted by Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-battle-royale-stocks-vs-bonds-which-is-right/
Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8116197301309/WN_h4MY0zq5SUS0zHlJhKJ_ng
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SEG-1: Joe Biden's Blue-collar America SEG-2: Fed Review: A "Watershed" Meeting SEG-3: Stocks, Bonds, Devils & Angels SEG-4: What Are Interest Rates Telling Us?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-battle-royale-stocks-vs-bonds-which-is-right/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stocks-vs-rates-which-one-is-most-likely-right-04-24-21/
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SEG-1: Opening Up & Basic Economic Law SEG-2: Market Update; Un-SOTU Preview SEG-3: Tax Hikes, Inflation, and Paying More to Get Less SEG-4: Census Results & Market Reaction to Tax Policy
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-forward-returns-continue-to-fall/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/low-future-returns-requires-a-real-bear-market/
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SEG-1: Markets Price-in Economic Expansion vs Recovery SEG-2: Oscars, Census Winners & Losers: Demographics are Destiny SEG-3: Fed Meeting Preview: CPI & Inflation SEG-4: Myths in the Market: Forward Returns Continue to Fall
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-forward-returns-continue-to-fall/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/low-future-returns-requires-a-real-bear-market/
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SEG-1: Markets Price-in Economic Expansion vs Recovery SEG-2: Expectations for Economic Recovery Well Ahead of Reality SEG-3: Low Future Returns Requires a "Real" Bear Market SEG-4: Bill Maher is Right: Thinking Independently
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/low-future-returns-requires-a-real-bear-market/
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SEG-1: Markets React to Biden American Families Plan SEG-2: How to Build the Best Employee Retirement Plan SEG-3: Dog Beer, Social Security Webinar Review SEG-4: Matchbox EV's; The Right Financial Tool for the Job
Hosted by Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen, AIF, QKA, CFPA
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SEG-1: How We Get Policy; The Fed's View on Employment SEG-2: Market Exuberance & Re-hypothecation SEG-3: Retirement Roulette & Why Crashes Matter SEG-4: Setting Expectations for Managing Risk
Hosted by Lance Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-you-playing-roulette-with-your-retirement/
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SEG-1: Texas Bluebonnets & Markets' No Safe Place SEG-2: Market Pullbacks and Crying in the Corner SEG-3: The Downside of Stimmie Checks; No Free Lunch SEG-4: When Cash-producing Assets Go Wrong
Hosted by Lance Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-you-playing-roulette-with-your-retirement/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Tesla Crash & Taking Profits SEG-2: Is B of A Right About a Market Drop? SEG-3: The Nature of Averages & Fibonacci Sequences SEG-4: When Markets are "Priced for Perfection"
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-bofa-right-about-a-market-drop-to-3800/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: How Long Can Market Exuberance Last? SEG-2: Soaring Sentiment: Debt not the Cure--it's the Cause SEG-3: Deli's, Dogecoin, & Companies w No Profits SEG-4: Exuberance, Greed, & Teenaged Day Traders
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/there-is-no-way-this-bull-market-doesnt-end-very-badly/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Where Does All the Liquidity Go? SEG-2: Cryptocurrency is Here to Stay; Being All-In? SEG-3: Being Aware of Financial Vulnerability SEG-4: Planning & Re-planning for Retirement
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Retirement: Qualitative vs Quantitative SEG-2: Dealing with Inflation in Retirement SEG-3: Jerome Powell: Sell vs Taper? SEG-4: Target Date Funds; Crypto currency & CoinBase
Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w/Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-making-the-complex-simple-part-2/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: What's Driving Inflation vs. Deflationary Pressure SEG-2: Coinbase IPO & The Race to the Bottom SEG-3: NFIB Report Review: Economic Exuberance vs Reality SEG-4: Economic Reports; Congress' Access to Information
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/payment-for-order-flow-the-fleecing-of-the-retail-investor/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-making-the-complex-simple-part-2/
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00:00 Are We Really Growing that Much? 10:00 When the Fed Tries to Taper 29:59 A History of Earnings & Millennial Soccer 35:29 The Fed Depends Upon You Not Being Crazy
Hosted by Lance Roberts, RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist
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Articles mentioned in this show:
➢ Fundamentally Speaking: Earnings Optimism Explodes: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fundamentally-speaking-earnings-optimism-explodes/
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➢ (4/22/21 12pm) Virtual Lunch & Learn: What Boomers Need to Know About Social Security This is a FREE event that takes place over ZOOM. Register here: https://riaadvisors.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=46
00:00 Stimmie Checks--then, what?? 9:53 Jerome Powell & The Missing Jobs 22:55 Expectations for Economic Growth vs Reality 35:28 There's No Benefit to 'Beating the Index'
Hosted by Lance Roberts, RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist
_________
Articles mentioned in this show:
➢ March Jobs Report – Millions Missing From The Roles: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-jobs-report-millions-missing-from-the-roles/
➢ Market Surges Back To Overbought As Investors Go “All In”: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-surges-back-to-overbought-as-investors-go-all-in-04-10-21/
➢ MacroView: Debt Fueled Spending Won’t Create Growth: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-debt-fueled-spending-wont-create-growth/
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➢ Financial + Tax Planning Survival Guides (Free Download): Your must-have finance and tax planning strategies in unprecedented times: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/financial-survival-guides/
_________
Upcoming Events:
➢ (4/22/21 12pm) Virtual Lunch & Learn: What Boomers Need to Know About Social Security This is a FREE event that takes place over ZOOM. Register here: https://riaadvisors.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=46
SEG-1: Coffee Infrastructure, Chucky-Cheese Birthdays, & Post-Pandemic Planning SEG-2: Looking at Retirement Through a Different Lens SEG-3: Working at Buc-cee's; Why Dave Ramsey is Wrong SEG-4: Working Post-pandemic
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-post-pandemic-retirement-survival-guide-part-1/ https://youtu.be/rMBdk576JL8 (This is the Randy Lemmon "Revive Your Garden" webinar) https://www.ramseysolutions.com/retirement/401k-vs-pension-for-retirement (This is the article we critique in today's show)
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Raising Taxes to Pay for Spending...Riiight SEG-2: The Indirect Bailout of Banks SEG-3: Inflation: Making the Complex Simple SEG-4: Earnings Growth Estimates vs Reality
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-making-the-complex-simple-part-1/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: The Two Ways to Remedy Over-Valuation SEG-2: Corporate Tax Myths SEG-3: Higher Market Valuations Lead to Lower Earnings SEG-4: Debt is a Cancer on Economic Growth
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-making-the-complex-simple-part-1/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: The Thing About All-time Record Highs SEG-2: Two Ways to Make Employment Numbers Look Better SEG-3: The Know-nothing Market SEG-4: Investing During a Period of High-valuations
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-despite-correction-investors-are-exuberant/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/increasing-equity-exposure-as-money-flows-turn-positive-04-02-21/
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SEG-1: Life in Semi-Rural Suburbia; Market Commentary SEG-2: March Employment Report Review SEG-3: Why We're Increasing Equity Exposure SEG-4: The Blind Leading the Blind
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/survey-of-retail-investors-shows-the-blind-lead-the-blind/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/increasing-equity-exposure-as-money-flows-turn-positive-04-02-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-investors-desktop-guide-to-trading-part-i/
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SEG-1: The Market is Rigged: Who Pays the Price? SEG-2: Coming Tax Increases No One is Talking About SEG-3: Royer's Pie Haven; Everything Feeds the Beast SEG-4: Bulls are Bulls Because They Have Something to Sell
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: The Folly of Infrastructure Spending; Market Summary SEG-2: Fed Grammar Matters; What is the Market Priced For? SEG-3: Investing & Managing Money in a High-risk Environment SEG-4: What is Fair Value?
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/zen-and-the-art-of-risk-management/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Fiction vs Real Life, Building Better Back (or Bust) SEG-2: The Impact of Infrastructure Spending: Stiglitz vs Summers SEG-3: Who Really Pays for Infrastructure Spending? SEG-4: Burrito Day, Voltzwagen, Chipto-currency, & Taxes in Retirement
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/zen-and-the-art-of-risk-management/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/
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SEG-1: The Paradox of Thrift vs Stimulus SEG-2: Why Stimulus Won't Cure Poverty SEG-3: Technically Speaking: Where's All the Money Going? SEG-4: Why Biden Infrastructure Spending Creates Bad Debt
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-run-as-liquidity-floods-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/
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SEG-1: Preview Biden Stimulus Plan; Market Commentary: Volatility SEG-2: An Omen for America: "If I Were the Devil" SEG-3: Debt is a Tool of the Devil SEG-4: A Brief History of Fiscal & Financial Calamity
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/
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SEG-1: "Positive" Economic Indicators vs Labor Market Reality SEG-2: How the Fed Sells Confidence SEG-3: The Biggest Problem with Our Economy: Debt (and how we use it) SEG-4: Advice for Investing in Inflationary Times
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/what-interest-rate-triggers-the-next-crisis/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/willful-blindness-societal-rift-death-of-the-dollar/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: What Happens When Taxes Rise SEG-2: More Vacation Saga's; Where's the Stimmie Checks?? SEG-3: Vacuum Cleaner Valentines, Flesh-eating Robots, Health in Retirement SEG-4: Shopping for Furniture & Investing in Context of Stimulus
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-end-of-the-value-trade-near/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Two Conditions for MMT to Work SEG-2: Technical Disclaimer; The Devastation of Debt SEG-3: How the Fed Forces Investors to Take on More Risk SEG-4: Who Really Benefits from Government Spending?
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-end-of-the-value-trade-near/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-has-forced-investors-to-take-on-excess-risk/
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[NOTE: Our studio was flooded while we were away. This week's shows are being produced under less-than optimal conditions. Portions of this morning's live stream did not include audio; that issue has been corrected in this post. Thanks for your patience and support!]
SEG-1: Market Commentary: Two Things You Should Know SEG-2: Lance's Spring Break 2021 Saga SEG-3: The "Great" Economy is on Life Support SEG-4: Sexiest Accents and Private Equity Investing
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-has-forced-investors-to-take-on-excess-risk/
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SEG-1: What Will Post-pandemic "Normal" Look Like? SEG-2: CB Radios & Social Media; Post-pandemic Behaviors SEG-3: How to Achieve Retirement Nirvana SEG-4: Rethinking Retirement in Post-pandemic World
- Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP
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SEG-1: Investor Optimism over Coming Economic Growth(!) SEG-2: The Cost of Debt SEG-3: The Economy's Achille's Heel SEG-4: The Fed Trap of Benchmarks
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-time-to-do-the-twist-again/
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SEG-1: The "Most-Reformative" Spending Package Since The New Deal? SEG-2: Throwing Bad Money (Debt) After Bad SEG-3: Baby Boomers in the New, New Normal SEG-4: Going to Disney (How do they do it??)
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: The Bull Market is on Shaky Ground SEG-2: Conspiracies, Flawed Democracies, and Socialist Policies SEG-3: The Correct Correction in the Market SEG-4: The Wealth of Nations
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
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Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bull-market-is-on-shaky-ground/
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SEG-1: Stimmie Checks Explainer: Market Response SEG-2: Unprecedented Spending: The Challenge of Confidence SEG-3: Debt, Deficits, & Hyperinflation SEG-4: Great Expectations: What Really Happens to Stimulus
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
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Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-investors-are-long-confidence-and-short-experience/
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SEG-1: A Good Economy is not Good for the Stock Market SEG-2: Are You Saving in All The Wrong Places? SEG-3: Taxable vs non-Taxable: The Perfect Mix SEG-4: YouTube Q&A, Collectibles, & Lance's Charts
- Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
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Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/outliers-four-ways-they-can-change-our-lives-part-2/
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SEG-1: All Eyes Are on The Fed SEG-2: The "Operation Twist" Trial Balloon SEG-3: Two Elephants in the Room SEG-4: Economic Recovery? This Ain't 2011
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-plinko-the-best-the-fed-can-do/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/outliers-four-ways-they-can-change-our-lives-part-2/
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Stocks #Money #Investing
SEG-1: Will We See Surge in Pent-up Demand? SEG-2: Investing at The Peak SEG-3: Investor Experience Survey Review SEG-4: When Speculation Gets Out of Control: Options Trading
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: Head, Shoulders, Knees, & Toes SEG-2: Viruses, Vaccines, and Getting Back to Work SEG-3: What's So Special About SPAC's? SEG-4: Tik-Tok Investing: What Could Possibly Go Wrong?
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-topping-patterns-popping-up-everywhere/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/
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SEG-1: A New Month, a New Vaccine SEG-2: Stimulus Expectations vs Impact in Economy SEG-3: The Stimulus Sugar Rush SEG-4: Stimulus, Capitalism, Socialism, & MMT
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-monthly-valuation-analysis-review-02-28-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/despite-the-fed-the-bond-market-is-hiking-rates-02-26-21/
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SEG-1: The Pandemic Panic SEG-2: What's 'Back to Normal?' SEG-3: Outliers, Black Swans, & Bonds SEG-4: Liquidity in Retirement
- Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/outliers-four-ways-they-can-change-our-lives-part-1/
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Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Expectations vs Reality of Inflation SEG-2: A History of Interest Rates and QE SEG-3: Changing the Rules & Moving the Goal Posts SEG-4: Relative Value vs Real Value
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-is-juicing-stocks/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-go-crazy-drive-the-bear-out-of-hibernation/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-blowing-up-the-everything-bubble/
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SEG-1: Market Sell-off on Interest Rate Fears (poor audio) SEG-2: Free Isn't Free: Robinhood vs Public.com SEG-3: Fat Content in Latest Stimulus Bill SEG-4: Taxing Income from Working Remotely
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-go-crazy-drive-the-bear-out-of-hibernation/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-blowing-up-the-everything-bubble/
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SEG-1: What Technical Indicators Won't Tell You SEG-2: Being Allowed to Take the Risk SEG-3: What We Learned from the Texas Shutdown SEG-4: Implications of Blowing-up the Everything Bubble
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-blowing-up-the-everything-bubble/
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SEG-1: Back from The Freeze; Positive Market Trends Have Not Changed SEG-2: The Stimulus Story SEG-3: The Importance of Education SEG-4: What Happens When We Get Back to "Normal"
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-only-reason-to-be-bearish-is-no-one-is-bearish/
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0:00 SEG-1: Market Commentary: The Push for Stimulus 9:30 SEG-2: The Impact of Stimulus 22:13 SEG-3: The Fed's Never-ending Conundrum 34:39 SEG-4: Are You Really Getting Your Money's Worth? (Here's Your Sign...)
Market Commentary and Analysis by Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: Technically Speaking: COT – Dollar & Rates Issue A Warning: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-cot-dollar-rates-issue-a-warning/
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SEG-1: Are We In the Biggest Bubble Ever? SEG-2: What "Additional Stimulus" Doesn't Mean SEG-3: Speculation is Part of the Game SEG-4: Debt Doesn't Matter...to MMT
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/covid-19-and-womens-finances-4-money-ideas/
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SEG-1: The Undertones of Minimum Wage SEG-2: Fried Chicken Gizzards, Cable TV, and Women's Finances SEG-3: Why Companies Are in "Constant Recession" SEG-4: Cooking for Valentines, and Money Locusts
- RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/covid-19-and-womens-finances-4-money-ideas/
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SEG-1: Valentine's Public Service: The Real Unemployment Rate SEG-2: Jerome Powell vs BLS: Unemployment is Really 10% SEG-3: Everyone's Offering SPAC's SEG-4: MMT: Debt Doesn't Matter (Until it does...)
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-the-fed-both-tap-on-the-brakes-and-floor-the-gas/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/covid-19-and-womens-finances-4-money-ideas/
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SEG-1: Are We In the Biggest Bubble Ever? SEG-2: Ecology vs Economy: It Isn't Easy Being Green SEG-3: "Just Get Me In" vs "Just Get Me Out" SEG-4: What Happens When Stimmy Money Goes Away
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-the-fed-both-tap-on-the-brakes-and-floor-the-gas/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: The Push for Stimulus SEG-2: The Impact of Stimulus SEG-3: The Fed's Never-ending Conundrum SEG-4: Are You Really Getting Your Money's Worth? (Here's Your Sign...)
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-cot-dollar-rates-issue-a-warning/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Speculation is Back SEG-2: Janet Yellen's "Go Big" Promise SEG-3: Extraordinary Delusions & Return of Speculation SEG-4: Confirmation Bias & The Problem w Good News
- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/extraordinary-popular-delusions-the-madness-of-crowds/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-review-bull-mania-the-charge-of-the-light-brigade/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-wins-again-as-gamestop-becomes-game-over-02-05-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-zombies-the-pathway-to-japanification/
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SEG-1: The Good Thing About Paying Taxes (You Made Money) SEG-2: Why SPAC's Aren't So Spectacular SEG-3: Rationality vs Euphoria in Investing SEG-4: Joe Biden's Plans for Your Retirement
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-game-stop-fairy-tale-and-its-lesson/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Morning Rallies and Afternoon Sell-offs SEG-2: Transitory Inflation & Proper Use of Debt SEG-3: Draftkings, Superbowl, & Stimulus SEG-4: Why Short-sellers Are Needed
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-game-stop-fairy-tale-and-its-lesson/
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SEG-1: Media Lines Up With Wall St. Against Robinhood & GameStop SEG-2: Speculation is Part of the Game SEG-3: Taxing the Rich SEG-4: Precious Metals, Economic Growth & Function of Price
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-a-larger-correction-coming/
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SEG-1: Short Squeezes and Blue Language SEG-2: How to Create Real Growth in an Economy SEG-3: The Segment About Nothing SEG-4: Expensive Burritos and Speculation & SPAC's
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-a-larger-correction-coming/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Setting Up for February-based on January Weakness SEG-2: The Saga of GameStop & The Redditors SEG-3: The Difference Between GameStop & Silver SEG-4: Janet Yellen & The Japanification of America
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-zombies-the-pathway-to-japanification/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-2021-a-disappointment-of-growth-and-disinflation/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-investors-stage-riot-against-wall-street-01-29-21/
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SEG-1: Why the GameStop Fiasco is all about Sex SEG-2: The Proper Role of Speculation SEG-3: The Twilight Zone of Investing SEG-4: Trends from the Pandemic
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: How We're REALLY Doing? SEG-2: Is Becoming an Investor the New "American Dream?" SEG-3: The Psychology of Investing SEG-4: Gamestop, Elon Musk, and the Virtual Flashmob
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-why-we-reduced-risk-last-week/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-yellens-arranged-marriage-to-the-fed/
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SEG-1: Removing Risk in Over-extended Markets SEG-2: The Arranged Marriage of The Treasury & The Fed SEG-3: Why Stimulus Spending is Creating Deflation SEG-4: When Hedge Funds Blow-up...
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-why-we-reduced-risk-last-week/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-yellens-arranged-marriage-to-the-fed/
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SEG-1: Things Are Getting a Bit Exaggerated SEG-2: When Expectations Exceed Market Performance SEG-3: Kitchen Aide as Status Symbol, and Liquidity Problems SEG-4: The Plus Side of XL Pipeline Cancellation
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Consolidation & Looking for Next Catalyst SEG-2: Impact of Social Security on Retirement Planning SEG-3: Potential Changes to Medicare in Bidenomics SEG-4: How Portfolios Should Rebalance for Retirement
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rossos-2020-reading-list/
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SEG-1: Markets Prepare for Correction SEG-2: Why No One Wants the Fed's Money SEG-3: Economic Expectations & Velocity of Money SEG-4: Why The Fed is Playing with Fire
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-feds-inconvenient-truth-inflation-is-m-i-a/
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Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Inauguration Day: What's In Store? SEG-2: Economic Growth & The Problem With UBI SEG-3: Yield Curve Control SEG-4: The Value of a College Degree
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-feds-inconvenient-truth-inflation-is-m-i-a/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deconstructing-bitcoins-zeal-into-an-investible-thesis/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/eric-lytikainen-the-gold-bull-market-is-just-getting-started/
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SEG-1: Earnings Week Commences: Expectations are High SEG-2: Why "Free" isn't Free SEG-3: The Arranged Marriage of Janet Yellen SEG-4: The Problem with Government Stimulus
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-signs-of-exuberance-warn-of-correction/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/nfib-survey-trips-economic-alarms/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Positive Trend Remains Intact SEG-2: The Importance of Small Business in the Economy SEG-3: Great Expectations Are Sometimes Foiled SEG-4: Fiction Becomes Reality: You Are What You Eat
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/nfib-survey-trips-economic-alarms/
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SEG-1: Could We Be Fiscally Over-stimulated? SEG-2: 401-k Foibles SEG-3: Retirement Account Leakage SEG-4: Risks from Inflation vs Stagflation
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: Joe Biden's $2-Trillion Stimulus Plan SEG-2: Fiscal Stimulus: Cause & Effect SEG-3: MMT in Action SEG-4: Free Money: There's Always a Cost
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-inflation-in-your-best-interest-or-the-feds/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-2021-investor-resolutions-january-stats/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yes-virginia-there-is-a-stock-market-bubble/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bulls-loving-the-heads-i-win-tails-i-win-market-01-08-21/
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SEG-1: Great Expectations from Biden Policies SEG-2: Why CPI (and Measuring Inflation) is All Wrong SEG-3: Tax Implications from Stimulus Checks SEG-4: Go-Fund-Me Foibles & 401-K Loan Fails
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-inflation-in-your-best-interest-or-the-feds/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-2021-investor-resolutions-january-stats/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yes-virginia-there-is-a-stock-market-bubble/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bulls-loving-the-heads-i-win-tails-i-win-market-01-08-21/
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SEG-1: The Markets & Social Media SEG-2: How to Really Hurt Twitter SEG-3: Parler vs Amazon: David vs Goliath? SEG-4: The 1999 Bubble and Now
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-2021-investor-resolutions-january-stats/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yes-virginia-there-is-a-stock-market-bubble/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bulls-loving-the-heads-i-win-tails-i-win-market-01-08-21/
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SEG-1: The Great Twitter Purge SEG-2: The Problem with Market Bubbles SEG-3: More Stimulus on the Way SEG-4: The Value of the Dollar vs BitCoin
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yes-virginia-there-is-a-stock-market-bubble/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bulls-loving-the-heads-i-win-tails-i-win-market-01-08-21/
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SEG-1: Fundamentals & Expectations for 2021 SEG-2: Deathwish Coffee; Resolutions, Habits, and Goals SEG-3: Helicopter Money and Changes to Medicare SEG-4: How to Go on a Financial Diet
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-is-juicing-stocks/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-500-trading-at-historical-extremes/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/so-far-the-bulls-are-disappointed-in-santa-full-version/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-there-is-literally-no-cash-on-the-sidelines/
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SEG-1: Setting the Markets' Tone for 2021 SEG-2: Wall Street's Response to D.C. Unrest SEG-3: The Biden Presidency & The Fed SEG-4: Not Enough (Tax) Revenue in the World
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-is-juicing-stocks/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-500-trading-at-historical-extremes/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/so-far-the-bulls-are-disappointed-in-santa-full-version/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-there-is-literally-no-cash-on-the-sidelines/
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SEG-1: Georgia Run-off Results: What it Means SEG-2: Christmas Recap/Election Recap: Impact on Investors SEG-3: How to Handle Inheritances/The Fed in the Box SEG-4: Challenges for 401-K's from New Washington Policies
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-is-juicing-stocks/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-500-trading-at-historical-extremes/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/so-far-the-bulls-are-disappointed-in-santa-full-version/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-there-is-literally-no-cash-on-the-sidelines/
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SEG-1: Market Sell-off Wipes out December Gains SEG-2: Georgia On My Mind: Implications of the Run Off SEG-3: How Moving Averages Are (and Are Not) Like Gravity SEG-4: Moon Pods, Dog-Sized Lizards, & Macro Trends for 2021
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-500-trading-at-historical-extremes/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/so-far-the-bulls-are-disappointed-in-santa-full-version/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-there-is-literally-no-cash-on-the-sidelines/
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SEG-1: Setting Up for Market Correction SEG-2: The Definition of Insanity in 2021 SEG-3: GDP Growth: What the Numbers Really Say SEG-4: Why Wall Street is a Criminal Enterprise
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/so-far-the-bulls-are-disappointed-in-santa-full-version/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-there-is-literally-no-cash-on-the-sidelines/
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Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: There's a Lot of Corporate Debt Coming Due SEG-2: The Argument for Means Testing for Stimulus Checks SEG-3: The Dark Side of Funding Relief: Where's It Coming From? SEG-4: Pricing Beyond Perfection; SPAC's Explained
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-the-second-stimulus-wont-have-much-economic-impact/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-charting-2020-a-year-of-speculative-mania/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-major-support-for-asset-prices-has-reversed/
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SEG-1: Stimulus Bills & The Problem with Congressional Spending SEG-2: Demographics are Destiny; Technology Impact on Labor SEG-3: Will Tesla Really Be the Next Big Thing? SEG-4: What Happens When No One Reads Legislation They Pass
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-charting-2020-a-year-of-speculative-mania/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-major-support-for-asset-prices-has-reversed/
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SEG-1: The Smell of Bacon in the Morning & Tesla SEG-2: What's in Congress' COVID Relief, Pt-1 SEG-3: What's in Congress' COVID Relief, Pt-2 SEG-4: The Downside of COVID Vaccines; The Tesla Effect
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-major-support-for-asset-prices-has-reversed/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Recap: Great Expectations from Vaccines & Stimulus SEG-2: Tax Tips for Changes in Biden Administration SEG-3: Tax Shelter Strategies w/the CARES Act SEG-4: Whatever Happend to Taxes on an Index Card?
Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Special Guest, DoerenMayhew Shareholder/Tax Lead, Rolando Garcia, CPA
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/worried-about-taxes-consider-these-ideas/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/financial_survival/tax-planning-guide/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Virtual Learning, Cheating, and Permanent QE SEG-2: If the Economy was a Cancer Patient SEG-3: Speculating in Bitcoin SEG-4: The Cost of Money Makes the World Go Round
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/worried-about-taxes-consider-these-ideas/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/financial_survival/tax-planning-guide/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/judah-spinner-how-should-investors-approach-investing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-we-trust-mr-markets-booming-economic-outlook/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-will-santa-claus-visit-broad-wall/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-roaring-20s-the-fundamental-problem-of-the-bullish-view/
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SEG-1: Reindeer Food & Federal Stimulus SEG-2: The Winning System on Wall Street SEG-3: Why the Markets are Like Vegas SEG-4: What it Really Takes to Retire
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-will-santa-claus-visit-broad-wall/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-the-bulls-remain-in-control-12-11-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-roaring-20s-the-fundamental-problem-of-the-bullish-view/
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Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Santa Claus Rally or 2020 Grinch? SEG-2: The Muted Effectiveness of Stimulus SEG-3: Is the Economy Headed in the Right Direction? SEG-4: Janet Yellen & Magazine Cover Phenomenon
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-will-santa-claus-visit-broad-wall/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-the-bulls-remain-in-control-12-11-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-roaring-20s-the-fundamental-problem-of-the-bullish-view/
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Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Markets Prepare for Santa; Gone to Texas SEG-2: COVID Vaccine & Marvel Movies SEG-3: Christmas Shopping w Lance & EOY Optimism SEG-4: Unintended Consequences: Crime & Stimulus
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-the-bulls-remain-in-control-12-11-20/
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SEG-1: Squishy Markets: Waiting for Something to Happen SEG-2: Christmas Decor & Blowies: The Year of the IPO SEG-3: Things You Didn't Know Your HSA Could Do SEG-4: Retro Christmas Cards; 401-k Options Pro & Con
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: What to do Under Uncertain Times SEG-2: Inflation Then & Now: Where Do You Go to Find Yield? SEG-3: Spending and Tipping During COVID SEG-4: Santa Claus Rally & More Stimulus Coming
Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: Christmas Shipping, Tiny Houses & Hookers SEG-2: Headphones & Mom Jeans: A Problem with Innovation? SEG-3: Could the Dollar Be the Next Catalyst for Correction? SEG-4: What Happens When Tesla Joins the S&P 500
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/half-truths-are-half-lies-by-definition/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-margin-debt-confirms-market-exuberance/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-roaring-20s-the-fundamental-problem-of-the-bullish-view/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-is-it-the-light-or-a-train/
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Stocks #Money #Economic
SEG-1: The Un-ending Cycle of Stimulus SEG-2: The Priorities of Businesses SEG-3: The Importance of Small Business to the Economy SEG-4: Market Pricing Dynamics: Exuberance vs Liquidity
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-margin-debt-confirms-market-exuberance/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-roaring-20s-the-fundamental-problem-of-the-bullish-view/
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Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Christmas Shopping, Music, and Markets SEG-2: Why Markets are Like Sex SEG-3: Christmas Movies, Rush to Vaccination, Rush to Stimulus SEG-4: Sex Dolls & Darwinism; Debt Foregiveness vs Reality
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-roaring-20s-the-fundamental-problem-of-the-bullish-view/
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SEG-1: Markets, Masks, & Cheater Glasses: Employment in Pandemic SEG-2: Financial Literacy in a Global Economy SEG-3: Looking at 2020 in Rear View Mirror: What Did We Learn? SEG-4: Budgeting, Savings, & A Christmas Poem
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Markets Ongoing Rally on Stimulus Plans SEG-2: The Stimulus Trap SEG-3: Janet Yellen & The Bifurcated Economy SEG-4: The Relation of Inflation to Interest Rates
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-profits-driving-market-narratives-and-hyperbole/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-narrative-all-priced-in/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-vaccine-wont-cure-the-20-year-widow-maker-trade/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-risk-elevated-heading-into-distribution-season-11-27-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/markowski-sentiment-anomalies-market-downturns/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Exuberance: How You Can Tell SEG-2: Christmas + Birthdays & Year End Tax Planning SEG-3: The Undoing, The Fed, & 2021 Tax Hikes SEG-4: Is There a Real Need for More Stimulus?
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-narrative-all-priced-in/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-vaccine-wont-cure-the-20-year-widow-maker-trade/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-risk-elevated-heading-into-distribution-season-11-27-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/markowski-sentiment-anomalies-market-downturns/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Is the Narrative Already Priced-in? SEG-2: Justifying What We Pay For SEG-3: The Gravitational Pull of Moving Averages SEG-4: Why 'Next Year' will Always Be Bullish
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-narrative-all-priced-in/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-vaccine-wont-cure-the-20-year-widow-maker-trade/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-risk-elevated-heading-into-distribution-season-11-27-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/markowski-sentiment-anomalies-market-downturns/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Impacts of Year-end Distributions SEG-2: The Sandwich Generations SEG-3: End of 2020: Technology Changes SEG-4: How Amazon is Saving Marriages
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-vaccine-wont-cure-the-20-year-widow-maker-trade/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-risk-elevated-heading-into-distribution-season-11-27-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/markowski-sentiment-anomalies-market-downturns/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Turkey, Stuffing, & Target-date Funds SEG-2: OCD Folding vs Rolling; Post-COVID Realities SEG-3: The Fear of Running Out of Money; GBU of Annuities SEG-4: Year-End Planning Primer
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-go-ballistic-time-to-reduce-risk/
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SEG-1: Welcome to The (SPAC's) Club House SEG-2: The One Ingredient for a Correction SEG-3: The Dichotomy of Economic Recovery sans Stimulus SEG-4: What Happens When You Know You Can't Lose
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moneyshow-investing-when-markets-detach-from-the-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: The Problem w Paying-off Student Loan Debt SEG-2: Value vs Growth: How to Find Value in a Company SEG-3: Do You Feel Lucky? SEG-4: The Dark Side of Stimulus
Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, with Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA.
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/youve-got-to-ask-yourself-one-question-do-i-feel-lucky/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-go-ballistic-time-to-reduce-risk/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/buffett-indicator-why-investors-are-walking-into-a-trap/ Florida Money Show presentation: https://youtu.be/QhP91THbVbA
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8727986384468951308?source=Real+Investment+Advice+website
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Investing #Stocks #Money
SEG-1: Janet Yellen in the Hen House SEG-2: Will The Fed Set Fiscal Policy? SEG-3: The Stock Market has Become a Casino SEG-4: Headwinds and Tailwinds on the US Dollar
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts W Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moneyshow-investing-when-markets-detach-from-the-economy/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-investors-go-all-in-without-a-net/
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SEG-1: Pre-Thanksgiving Market Activity SEG-2: The One Ingredient for a Correction SEG-3: The Dichotomy of Economic Recovery sans Stimulus SEG-4: What Happens When You Know You Can't Lose
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moneyshow-investing-when-markets-detach-from-the-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Markets Eat the Turkey Before You Do SEG-2: Markets' Focus Without Stimulus; Pandemic Fatigue SEG-3: The Fear of Running Out of Money; GBU of Annuities SEG-4: Year-End Planning Primer
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/annuities-the-good-bad-ugly/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/youve-got-to-ask-yourself-one-question-do-i-feel-lucky/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-go-ballistic-time-to-reduce-risk/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Exuberance Followed By Selloff SEG-2: Value vs Growth: How to Find Value in a Company SEG-3: Do You Feel Lucky? SEG-4: The Dark Side of Stimulus
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/youve-got-to-ask-yourself-one-question-do-i-feel-lucky/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-go-ballistic-time-to-reduce-risk/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/buffett-indicator-why-investors-are-walking-into-a-trap/ Florida Money Show presentation: https://youtu.be/QhP91THbVbA
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8727986384468951308?source=Real+Investment+Advice+website
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SEG-1: Vaccine Manufacturers: Who's Got More Efficacy? SEG-2: Betting on a Sure Thing SEG-3: Where Do We Spend our Money in Preventing Covid? SEG-4: When We Come Out of This Pandemic -- Who's Going to Win?
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/youve-got-to-ask-yourself-one-question-do-i-feel-lucky/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-go-ballistic-time-to-reduce-risk/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/buffett-indicator-why-investors-are-walking-into-a-trap/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8727986384468951308?source=Real+Investment+Advice+website
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Stocks #StockMarket #Money
SEG-1: Economic Damage Has Been Done SEG-2: Market Vaccine--Better than Stimulus! SEG-3: Debt to Income Illusions SEG-4: Joe Biden & The Evolution of Labor Unions
Market Commentary and Analysis with Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-go-ballistic-time-to-reduce-risk/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/buffett-indicator-why-investors-are-walking-into-a-trap/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8727986384468951308?source=Real+Investment+Advice+website
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Stocks #StockMarket #Economics
SEG-1: Moderna's Vaccine Announcement SEG-2: The Economy Will Be Different, Post-pandemic SEG-3: Hen Talk Hair Cuts: Changes in Economy SEG-4: Problems the Vaccine Will Not Cure
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/buffett-indicator-why-investors-are-walking-into-a-trap/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-breaks-out-on-vaccine-hopes-as-cases-surge-11-13-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-is-the-fed-stuck-with-forever-stimulus/
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SEG-1: The Epic Battle Between NASDAQ & Dow SEG-2: OCD, Epilogues, & Candid Coffee Mugs SEG-3: 30-Years in Financial Services SEG-4: Significance of Fiduciary in Retirement Planning
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cobras-windows-and-executive-compensation-part-ii/ https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/11/biden-covid-advisor-says-us-lockdown-of-4-to-6-weeks-could-control-pandemic-and-revive-economy.html https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-market-surges-on-vaccine-hopes/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-is-it-the-light-or-a-train/
Candid Coffee 11/14/20 Post-Election Presentation: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/5111985110383104271?source=YouTube
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: How Another COVID Shutdown Will "Revive" the Economy (it won't) SEG-2: The Silence of the (Fed) Lambs SEG-3: The Trouble with Corporate Incentives SEG-4: Cheerleading at The Federal Reserve
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cobras-windows-and-executive-compensation-part-ii/ https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/11/biden-covid-advisor-says-us-lockdown-of-4-to-6-weeks-could-control-pandemic-and-revive-economy.html https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-market-surges-on-vaccine-hopes/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-is-it-the-light-or-a-train/
Candid Coffee 11/14/20 Post-Election Presentation: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/5111985110383104271?source=YouTube
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: The Paradox of Zombie Companies SEG-2: The Problems with Stimulus SEG-3: Tax Implications of Work From Home SEG-4: Economic "Recovery" Aligning w Economic Reality
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-market-surges-on-vaccine-hopes/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-is-it-the-light-or-a-train/
Candid Coffee 11/14/20 Post-Election Presentation: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/5111985110383104271?source=YouTube
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Markets' Pfizer Rally Pfizzles SEG-2: Thanksgiving Strategies & Knee Jerk Reactions SEG-3: How to Get the Economy Moving SEG-4: Beyond Meat is Beyond Belief
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-market-surges-on-vaccine-hopes/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-is-it-the-light-or-a-train/
Candid Coffee 11/14/20 Post-Election Presentation: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/5111985110383104271?source=YouTube
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Markets Respond to Pfizer Vaccine SEG-2: Veteran's Day Prelude; Pfizer's Good News SEG-3: Cooking in Yellowstone; Time to Buy Mink Coat? SEG-4: Retail Performance in Pandemic: How COVID Changed Behaviors
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investors-ignore-evidence-at-their-financial-peril/
Candid Coffee 11/14/20 Post-Election Presentation: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/5111985110383104271?source=YouTube
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market's Take a Breather SEG-2: Election Year Investing: All-in or All-out? SEG-3: Medicare Open Enrollment Season SEG-4: Every Investment is a Leap of Faith
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/medicare-advantage-a-couple-of-things-to-consider/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-rules-to-navigate-a-contentious-election/
Candid Coffee 11/14/20 Post-Election Presentation: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/5111985110383104271?source=YouTube Candid Coffee 10/24/20 Encore Presentation: https://youtu.be/0SiYbLR3l8Y
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: The Post-Election Hangover: Policies Over Politics SEG-2: The Implications of a Gridlocked Congress SEG-3: No Sweeping Reforms, But Higher Taxes Likely SEG-4: Why Markets Like a Split Congress
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-rules-to-navigate-a-contentious-election/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-drops-as-traders-head-for-the-pre-election-exit-10-31-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/neel-kashkari-is-the-definition-of-moral-hazard/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/policies-over-politics-investing-for-the-election/
Candid Coffee 11/14/20 Post-Election Presentation: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/5111985110383104271?source=YouTube Candid Coffee 10/24/20 Encore Presentation: https://youtu.be/0SiYbLR3l8Y
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Election 2020: The Markets' Predictive Abilities SEG-2: Future Value Determined by Policies of Next 4-years SEG-3: Rules to Navigate a Contentious Election SEG-4: Why Failure Needs to Be Allowed
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-rules-to-navigate-a-contentious-election/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-drops-as-traders-head-for-the-pre-election-exit-10-31-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/neel-kashkari-is-the-definition-of-moral-hazard/
Candid Coffee 11/14/20 Post-Election Presentation: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/5111985110383104271?source=YouTube
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: October Living Up to Its Reputation SEG-2: What Happens Post-COVID? SEG-3: Consequences of COVID/What if Your Candidate Doesn't Win? SEG-4: The Importance of Investing Rules (and following them...)
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Candid Coffee 10/24/20 Encore Presentation: https://youtu.be/0SiYbLR3l8Y
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Housing Supply Shortage? Nah... SEG-2: What Happens When Stimulus Runs Out SEG-3: Ways & Means of Coming for Your Money SEG-4: Raising Taxes on "the Wealthy..." & everyone else
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-its-coming-a-huge-bond-buying-opportunity/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-debt-to-income-ratios-are-worse-than-they-appear/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-no-stimulus-market-bounces-with-headlines-10-23-20/
Candid Coffee 10/24/20 Encore Presentation: https://youtu.be/0SiYbLR3l8Y
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Big Sell-off Monday SEG-2: Earnings Hits & Misses: No Forgiveness SEG-3: Expectation of Blue Wave Evaporating SEG-4: The Bifurcated Recovery
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-its-coming-a-huge-bond-buying-opportunity/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-debt-to-income-ratios-are-worse-than-they-appear/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-no-stimulus-market-bounces-with-headlines-10-23-20/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Weaker Opening w No Stimulus & Blue Wave fading SEG-2: Katy vs Cinco Ranch; Percentages Are Always Deceiving SEG-3: The Predictability of Financial Markets SEG-4: A Cautionary Tale of Surveys & Polls
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-debt-to-income-ratios-are-worse-than-they-appear/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-no-stimulus-market-bounces-with-headlines-10-23-20/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Winter's Coming, Earnings, & Pandemics SEG-2: Retirement Fears Stoked by Pandemic SEG-3: Too Old to Trick or Treat; The Dynamics of Aging SEG-4: Retirement Planning Mistakes to Avoid
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Lance's Liberal Cousin; Ramp Up to 2020 Election SEG-2: Trump vs Biden Policies & Predictions SEG-3: Vote for Lance & Michael to Reduce Debt,Increase Productivity [NOTE: Re-Edited, Full Version] SEG-4: Which Candidate's Policy Moves us Forward?
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/trump-vs-biden-on-the-economy-fed-and-markets/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-market-bulls-are-all-in-again/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: More Stimulus/No Stimulus? SEG-2: Tax Plans & Unintended Consequences SEG-3: Zoom is a Verb: Where Does Future Growth Come From? SEG-4: Stimulus vs Debt Payback
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/trump-vs-biden-on-the-economy-fed-and-markets/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-market-bulls-are-all-in-again/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/neel-kashkari-is-the-definition-of-moral-hazard/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-recessions-are-a-good-thing-let-them-happen/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-stumbles-as-stimulus-hopes-fade-10-16-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Market Exuberance Despite Poor Performance SEG-2: The Real Problem with Higher Tax Rates SEG-3: Where Stimulus Money is Actually Needed SEG-4: Stimulating Millennials
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-market-bulls-are-all-in-again/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/neel-kashkari-is-the-definition-of-moral-hazard/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-recessions-are-a-good-thing-let-them-happen/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-stumbles-as-stimulus-hopes-fade-10-16-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Two Weeks to Election: What's the Market Risk? SEG-2: The Moral Hazard of the Federal Reserve, Pt-1 SEG-3: The Moral Hazard of the Federal Reserve, Pt-2 SEG-4: Nancy Pelosi's Stimulus Deadline
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/neel-kashkari-is-the-definition-of-moral-hazard/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-recessions-are-a-good-thing-let-them-happen/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-more-stimulus-and-the-2nd-derivative-effect/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Talk of Stimulus (Again) Revives the Market SEG-2: The Truth About Medicare Advantage SEG-3: The Impact of Inflation on Healthcare & Medicare SEG-4: COVID & The Cobbled-together Economy
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/medicare-qa-with-aetnas-chris-ciano/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: The Right Thing To Do: Let Capital Markets Work SEG-2: The Side Effects of No More Stimulus SEG-3: The Impact of Passive Investors SEG-4: Distorting the Markets: The Fed's Best Intentions vs Reality
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-invisible-guardrails-are-missing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-cot-everyones-back-in-the-pool-q3-2020/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-k-shaped-recovery-a-v-for-some-not-for-most/
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SEG-1: The Job of the Supreme Court SEG-2: Demographics are Destiny SEG-3: The Importance of Fundamentals SEG-4: Economic Vitality Essential to Public Health
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-invisible-guardrails-are-missing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-cot-everyones-back-in-the-pool-q3-2020/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-k-shaped-recovery-a-v-for-some-not-for-most/
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SEG-1: Two Weeks Later: Nothing's Changed SEG-2: What the Stock Market Tells Us (a leading indicator) SEG-3: Allowing Recessions to Happen SEG-4: Preview: Swinging Into Earnings Season
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-cot-everyones-back-in-the-pool-q3-2020/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-k-shaped-recovery-a-v-for-some-not-for-most/
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SEG-1: Market Risks: Where Can You Hedge? SEG-2: The Importance of Estate Planning (RIP, Eddie Van Halen) SEG-3: Michael Lebowitz: Is the Fed Gaslighting America? SEG-4: Stocks are NOT Replacements for Bonds BONUS SEG-5: ESG Funds & Wall St. Marketing
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-federal-reverse-is-gaslighting-america/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Appeasing Wall Street SEG-2: Gauging the Economic Consequences of COVID SEG-3: Politics vs Policy: The Promise of Additional Stimulus SEG-4: Retirement Realities: How to Adjust for Market Headwinds
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-income-planning-truth-with-jim-otar-part-1/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-federal-reverse-is-gaslighting-america/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Politics, Policies, & Pandemic Relief SEG-2: Technical Difficulties, V, W, & K-shaped Recoveries SEG-3: Michael Lebowitz: Is the Fed Gaslighting America? SEG-4: Michael Lebowitz: Sports Gambling vs Wall Street; "The K-Portfolio"
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-federal-reverse-is-gaslighting-america/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Everything Escalates Quickly SEG-2: Eddie Van Halen (RIP) & Importance of Planning Ahead SEG-3: Biden vs Trump: Preparing for Tax Hikes SEG-4: Best Cities in Which to Retire; Buying a New Car
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Where Can You Hedge? SEG-2: Stocks Are Not Replacements for Bonds SEG-3: Fixed-rate Annuities: True Compounding w/out Risk SEG-4: ESG Funds & Wall St. Marketing Machine
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Presidential COVID & Market Response SEG-2: We're All in the Economic Soup SEG-3: Social Security: Medicare Advantage on the Road SEG-4: Social Security: How to Avoid Being Broke in Retirement
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: Joe Mannix Market Commentary SEG-2: Mike Cannon & Where NOT to Live in Retirement SEG-3: Politics vs Policy: Don't Take it Out on Your Money SEG-4: Real Inflation vs Globalization; Retirement Literacy
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/close-but-no-cigar-bulls-fail-to-capture-market-highs-08-14-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-future-promise-of-value-versus-the-allure-of-growth/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-market-realized-no-help-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pre-election-correction-continues-is-it-over-09-18-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/value-margin-of-safety-the-art-of-doing-nothing/
Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: An Orderly Sell-off: Markets Aren't Done SEG-2: The Largest Pull-back Since March; What Comes Next? SEG-3: Has Jerome Powell "Done All [He] Can"? SEG-4: Implicating the Fed: We Never Plan for Recession
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/close-but-no-cigar-bulls-fail-to-capture-market-highs-08-14-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-future-promise-of-value-versus-the-allure-of-growth/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-market-realized-no-help-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pre-election-correction-continues-is-it-over-09-18-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/value-margin-of-safety-the-art-of-doing-nothing/
Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: Morning Commentary: Continuing Resolutions Continue SEG-2: The Value of a Business SEG-3: CBO Report: More Debt = Less Growth SEG-4: Teaching Kids Value of Work; Healthcare Expenses in Retirement
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-future-promise-of-value-versus-the-allure-of-growth/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-market-realized-no-help-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pre-election-correction-continues-is-it-over-09-18-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/value-margin-of-safety-the-art-of-doing-nothing/
Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: Are Markets Ready to Rally? SEG-2: The Bifurcation of Wealth SEG-3: What Everyone Wants to Wknow From the Bail-out King SEG-4: Maybe the Fed's Not the Answer
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-market-realized-no-help-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pre-election-correction-continues-is-it-over-09-18-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/value-margin-of-safety-the-art-of-doing-nothing/
Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: Markets Impacted by SCOTUS Selection SEG-2: The Efficacy of Social Media Platforms as Investments SEG-3: Investment Strategy for Presidential Election Years SEG-4: The Art of Doing Nothing
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pre-election-correction-continues-is-it-over-09-18-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/value-margin-of-safety-the-art-of-doing-nothing/
Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: Market Trade Evolves from Shelter-at-home SEG-2: Realtor Tales & Financial Advice SEG-3: Household Retirement Shock SEG-4: Nat'l Cheeseburger Day, Balding, and the Next COLA Increase
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: Market Response to What the Fed Didn't Say SEG-2: How the Fed's New "Inflation Averaging" Policy Works (It Doesn't) SEG-3: The Fed Punts to the White House SEG-4: The Snowflake IPO & Speculative Nature of the Markets
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this Podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/growth-or-value-take-our-blind-taste-test/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-everything-priced-in/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/correction-makes-speculators-even-more-speculative-09-11-20/
Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview: The Fed's Problem Child SEG-2: Most-popular YouTuber's; 2020 Election Preview SEG-3: Trump vs Biden Tax Policies: What's at Stake SEG-4: The Social Dilemma feedback; Financial Teachers' Flaws
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this Podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-everything-priced-in/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/correction-makes-speculators-even-more-speculative-09-11-20/
Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: 45-Days to Election Day: Is Everything Priced-in? SEG-2: Our Social Dilemma: The Hidden Threat, Pt-1 SEG-3: Our Social Dilemma: The Hidden Threat, Pt-2 SEG-4: The Changing Face of Energy Investing; WFH Stats: Shocking.
Is everything priced-in? Managing risk in the election outcomes; Over-bought/Over-sold market conditions have been worked-off; short-term bounce is likely. Measure & monitor your porfolio risk.
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this Podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-everything-priced-in/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/correction-makes-speculators-even-more-speculative-09-11-20/
Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: The Bifurcated Economy: Jobs & Working from Home; The Coffin Confessor SEG-2: Social Justice and Wealth Transfer Potentials SEG-3: Softbank, Options-trading, Wework, & NVIDIA: Why to Investors Still Buy? SEG-4: Moving to the Maldives; Fed's New Inflation-averaging Plan
Despite last week's correction, speculators continue to buy; expecting a rally to the 20-DMA; Fed Meeting at Jackson Hole; what to watch: Dollar, Gold, & Oil
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this Podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/correction-makes-speculators-even-more-speculative-09-11-20/
Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Where Do We Go From Here? SEG-2: Legacies Lost to COVID; Succession Planning SEG-3: 529 Plans: Facts, Fictions, and Foresight SEG-4: National 401-k Day--yay!
The lasting impact of COVID to be felt for years; smart money and smart usage of 529 plans; NASA to create Moon Rock Market; Changes coming to 401-K's; Remembering 9/11.
Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: SCOTUS Picks, Less COVID Relief; Markets Rally & Bounce SEG-2: Lance's Liberal Cousin; Pulling Forward Consumption SEG-3: Common Core Math, Cursive Writing, Correction within bullish market SEG-4: Going to the Movies; Careful with Statistics
Market rallies & normal corrections: How to reduce risk; rally to 20-DMA & failure: There's still downward pressure despite long term positive trend.
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tending-the-portfolio-garden-as-winter-approaches-08-21-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-to-find-value-in-an-upside-down-world/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Just Another 'Normal' Correction SEG-2: Back to School & The Knock-off Effects of COVID on Economy SEG-3: This Show is No Fun: Dieting Math SEG-4: "Skinny Stimulus: Bailouts vs Personal Responsibility
A 5% correction is not unexpected, but the rapidity of the decline is causing some concern; markets are sitting on the 50-day moving average; how to use the rally to rebalance and manage volatility from the upcoming election.
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-1998-correction-the-run-to-the-peak/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Market Commentary: Is It 1998 All Over Again? SEG-2: The Problem With Purchasing Options Contracts (Hint: They expire) SEG-3: Election Season: How Politicians are Going to Fix Things "This Time" SEG-4: Things That We Vote For...and the consequences
Markets opening post-Labor Day a bit on the weak-side: Are markets setting up for additional correction with over-bought conditions? When & Where? Noting Money flow sell-signals turning negative, and increased NASDAQ options speculation. There's a nasty little problem of Options Expirations
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-1998-correction-the-run-to-the-peak/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Market Exuberance - The Bear Got Poked SEG-2: The Best Investment for Retirement is No Investment SEG-3: Boneless Chicken Wings & Trump's Payroll Tax Deferral SEG-4: COVID Off-shoot: The Super-saver Class
What happens on the Friday following a down-market Thursday; the best investment for retirees is NO investment, but delayed SS withdrawal; the truth behind boneless chicken wings and Trump's Payroll Tax Deferral; How COVID created a super-saver class.
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fpc-do-you-have-a-financial-vulnerability-cushion/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-ignore-these-retirement-mistakes-part-1/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-ignore-these-retirement-mistakes-part-2/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-dose-of-reality-about-the-labor-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-margin-debt-confirms-bull-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/winter-is-coming-is-it-time-for-value-to-shine-08-28-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Exuberance - Nothing Like it Since 1999 SEG-2: The Stock Market is the Economy as Consumers Spend...or Don't SEG-3: How Wall Street Really Makes Money SEG-4: Where the Money Flows
A look at Market Exuberance: The Liquidity Melt-up, Volatility vs VIX History, and Fear/Greed Index Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-dose-of-reality-about-the-labor-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-margin-debt-confirms-bull-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/winter-is-coming-is-it-time-for-value-to-shine-08-28-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: The Fallout from CDC's "No Evictions" SEG-2: What Happens When the Government Pays SEG-3: The Positives and Pitfalls of ROTH IRA's SEG-4: Annuities - The World's Most Mis-Understood Investment
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-worlds-most-misunderstood-investment-part-1/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-worlds-most-misunderstood-investment-part-2/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-margin-debt-confirms-bull-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/winter-is-coming-is-it-time-for-value-to-shine-08-28-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Used Car Values & August Market Performance SEG-2: Drone Season; How Weaker Economic Data Affects Election SEG-3: Teens in the House; The Margin Debt Indicator SEG-4: Zoom Video and Reactionary Investors
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-margin-debt-confirms-bull-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/winter-is-coming-is-it-time-for-value-to-shine-08-28-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Best August in Financial Markets Since 1986 SEG-2: Solving Pandemic Problems w Politics...or not SEG-3: Extreme Market Valuations: What Happens w Correction? SEG-4: Getting Too Used to the Data
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/winter-is-coming-is-it-time-for-value-to-shine-08-28-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: It's Jerome Powell's World (We just live in it) SEG-2: Fed-sparked Inflation: Will it Float? SEG-3: Moonjars and ROTH Conversions SEG-4: The Waffle House Index & Post-election Planning
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-first-trillion-is-always-the-hardest-analyzing-apple-mania/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-why-this-isnt-1920-valuations-returns/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tending-the-portfolio-garden-as-winter-approaches-08-21-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tytler-cycle-why-more-government-help-leads-to-less/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: The Masked Weatherman; The Jackson Hole Meeting SEG-2: The Fed's New Tool! SEG-3: The Negative Effect of Interest Rates on Economic Growth SEG-4: Apple vs Amazon
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-first-trillion-is-always-the-hardest-analyzing-apple-mania/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-why-this-isnt-1920-valuations-returns/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tending-the-portfolio-garden-as-winter-approaches-08-21-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tytler-cycle-why-more-government-help-leads-to-less/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Momentum Doesn't Translate into Economic Growth SEG-2: Bump Music; Politics & Promising the Moon SEG-3: The Expiry of Federal Stimulus SEG-4: Allowing Inflation to "Run Hot"
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-first-trillion-is-always-the-hardest-analyzing-apple-mania/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-why-this-isnt-1920-valuations-returns/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tending-the-portfolio-garden-as-winter-approaches-08-21-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tytler-cycle-why-more-government-help-leads-to-less/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Transformation of Dow Index from "Industrials" SEG-2: Hurricane Preparedness & HEB; Changes in the Dow SEG-3: The Root of Wealth Insecurity SEG-4: 1920 vs 2020: Valuation & What We Pay
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-why-this-isnt-1920-valuations-returns/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tending-the-portfolio-garden-as-winter-approaches-08-21-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tytler-cycle-why-more-government-help-leads-to-less/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Hurricanes, COVID, and Costco--O, my! SEG-2: Universial Basic Income & The Problem of Productivity SEG-2: Universial Basic Income & The Problem of Productivity SEG-4: Hurricanes & Oil Prices; Protesting in Tennessee
Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tending-the-portfolio-garden-as-winter-approaches-08-21-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: The Consequences of a Fed-Fueled Market SEG-2: The Next Generation of Investors SEG-3: How Much to Retire - Where It Goes Farthest SEG-4: DOL: How Much Cash from 401k?
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Democracy in Jeopardy? SEG-2: Is Apple Worth All That & A Bag of Chips? SEG-3: The Deviation Between Growth & Value Stocks SEG-4: The Best Way to Manage Risk
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fundamentally-speaking-earnings-dont-support-bullish-thesis/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-why-siegel-is-wrong-about-end-of-bond-bull-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tytler-cycle-why-more-government-help-leads-to-less/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-why-soros-just-called-the-market-a-bubble/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/close-but-no-cigar-bulls-fail-to-capture-market-highs-08-14-20/
Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Markets Can't Hit New All-time highs: What to do about it SEG-2: Q-2 Earnings & Explicatives: Are You Getting What You're Paying For? SEG-3: The Mirage of Economic Growth SEG-4: Amazon, USPS, and the Erosion of Investor Confidence
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fundamentally-speaking-earnings-dont-support-bullish-thesis/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tytler-cycle-why-more-government-help-leads-to-less/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-why-soros-just-called-the-market-a-bubble/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/close-but-no-cigar-bulls-fail-to-capture-market-highs-08-14-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: The COVID Vaccine is Coming Soon--You Go First SEG-2: The Problem with Taxing the Rich SEG-3: Government is Never About Spending Less, But Taxing More SEG-4: The Seven Scariest Words
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tytler-cycle-why-more-government-help-leads-to-less/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-why-soros-just-called-the-market-a-bubble/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/close-but-no-cigar-bulls-fail-to-capture-market-highs-08-14-20/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Creative COVID Masking & The Fed's COVID Backdrop SEG-2: Euphemisms for Delivering Bad News; Short-Term vs Long-Term Focus SEG-3: Economic Reality vs Market Reality SEG-4: Facing Retirement Risks; Payroll Tax Deferrals
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Back-to-School Economic Impact Under COVID SEG-2: Michael Lebowitz - Markets vs Economic Reality SEG-3: Michael Lebowitz - Debt & Deficits Heading Into Elections SEG-4: Michael Lebowitz - A Dime Ain't Worth a Nickel Anymore
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-decade-long-path-ahead-to-recovery-part-2-depression/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-is-it-the-light-or-a-train/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bulls-chant-into-a-megaphone-all-time-highs-08-08-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/justifiable-bullishness-or-is-it-willful-blindness/
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SEG-1: When Liquidity Ends, What Happens Next? SEG-2: The Rise in Inflation SEG-3: Secrets of Dollar Hedging Strategy SEG-4: The Stock Split Myth
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-decade-long-path-ahead-to-recovery-part-2-depression/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-is-it-the-light-or-a-train/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bulls-chant-into-a-megaphone-all-time-highs-08-08-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/justifiable-bullishness-or-is-it-willful-blindness/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Russia's COVID Vaccine, Back to School, Market Commentary SEG-2: Markets Are Not Fully Participating SEG-3: Markets' Pricing-in Perfection SEG-4: The Inaccuracy of Economic Data Today
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-sp-3750-is-it-the-light-or-a-train/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bulls-chant-into-a-megaphone-all-time-highs-08-08-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/justifiable-bullishness-or-is-it-willful-blindness/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: What You See is Not What You Get SEG-2: Executive Orders: Fact vs Fiction, Pt-1 SEG-3: Executive Orders: Fact vs Fiction, Pt-2 SEG-4: The Economic Impact of Giving Money Away
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bulls-chant-into-a-megaphone-all-time-highs-08-08-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/justifiable-bullishness-or-is-it-willful-blindness/
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SEG-1: Market Preview & Impact of COVID on Households SEG-2: Post-COVID Retirement Changes SEG-3: The Challenge of Women in Retirement SEG-4: Tax Questions & Lifestyle Changes in Retirement
RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Markets Within 2% of All Time Highs on Five Stocks SEG-2: Michael Lebowitz - The Fed & Inflation: Hot or Not? SEG-3: Michael Lebowiyz - Good Economics vs Bad Economics SEG-4: Michael Lebowitz - The Power of The Fed to Run (Ruin) the Economy
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-difference-between-good-economics-and-bad/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Kodak & The SEC; Markets Testing All-time Highs SEG-2: Holiday on the Baltic, Virtual Fans, Negotiating Stimulus SEG-3: Investing in Your 401k & The Coming Tax Hikes SEG-4: Financial Stress & The Liquidity Trap
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Register for the next Right Lane Retirement preparation class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/392145628329789454?source=RIA+Website
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SEG-1: The Congressional Stalemate on COVID Aid SEG-2: The Dark Side of the Equation SEG-3: The Benefit of Cash Right Now SEG-4: Microsoft & Tik Tok; The Rock & XFL
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insanely-stupid-to-chase-stocks-as-economy-plunges-07-31-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-universal-basic-income-is-not-an-economic-savior/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/safety-liquidity-or-return-why-cash-is-an-important-hedge/
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SEG-1: The Next Phase of COVID SEG-2: Stimulus or Not---What Happens Next? SEG-3: Living in Bailout Nation SEG-4: What Not to Do with Your 401k
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insanely-stupid-to-chase-stocks-as-economy-plunges-07-31-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-universal-basic-income-is-not-an-economic-savior/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/safety-liquidity-or-return-why-cash-is-an-important-hedge/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Analysis & Amazon Prime Prime (Celebrity Deliveries) SEG-2: The Ongoing Costs of COVID SEG-3: KFC Crocs, Right Lane for Retirement SEG-4: Accounting for COVID in Your Financial Planning
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: Signs of Economic Weakness Are Emerging SEG-2: Michael Lebowitz - Sports ex-Fans; Kodak - Who Knew What When? SEG-3: Michael Lebowitz - The Ugly Truth Behind PPP SEG-4: MIchael Lebowitz - The Roberts Family Vacation Curse; Selling Gold
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/shedlock-62-million-people-had-no-pay-last-week/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-sending-confounding-messages/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-looking-for-a-sellable-rally-to-reduce-risk/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Fiscal Manifestations of COVID-19 SEG-2: Gold's Expectation of Inflation SEG-3: What it Takes to Be "Wealthy" SEG-4: Value Investing is Coming Back
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts with Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
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SEG-1: Big Week for Earnings, High Beat-rate w Lower Estimates SEG-2: The Trap of Federal Stimulus SEG-3: Dr. Don Rich Preview; SEG-4: Why Gold is Not a Good Buy Today...
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tech...
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SEG-1: Saturday Every Day; Import of Onset of August & Economic Expectations SEG-2: Back-to-School, Grammar, and History SEG-3: Retirement Confidence Wanes SEG-4: Fed Stimulus Creates The Cobra Effect
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-stimulus-has-created-the-cobra-effect-07-24-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-confidence-declined-despite-a-surging-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Economic Response to COVID Vaccine? SEG-2: The Level of Cluelessness of the Fed SEG-3: The 4% Rule is a Sham SEG-4: Triscuit Crackers, Sugar-free Gummy Bears, & Math Still Matters
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Corporate Insiders Need Your Help; The "S&P-5" SEG-2: Michael Lebowitz - Bailing Out the States SEG-3: Michael Lebowitz - Everything Gets Paid For, Now or Later SEG-4: Michael Lebowitz - What We Spend Tax Dollars For; MLB Opens
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-15-bullish-beliefs-or-not-for-the-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/volatility-is-more-than-a-number-its-everything/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Market Commentary; Deviation between NASDAQ vs S&P 500 SEG-2: Danny's Diet & Eating During Pandemic SEG-3: Retirement Strategies w S&P 500 SEG-4: Back-to-School Planning, Juicing, Junk Food & Wine Pairings
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-15-bullish-beliefs-or-not-for-the-market/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
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SEG-1: Market Commentary; Why Payroll Tax Deferrals Won't Work SEG-2: Late Adopters & Electric Muscle Cars SEG-3: How to Build a Billion Dollar Brand SEG-4: The Rising Demand for a Socialist Economy
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-15-bullish-beliefs-or-not-for-the-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stocks-struggle-as-the-bull-market-in-virus-cases-rises-07-17-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-theory-of-mmt-falls-flat-when-faced-with-reality-part-i/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-theory-of-mmt-falls-flat-when-faced-with-reality-part-ii/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-odds-are-stacked-against-investors-in-a-post-covid-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: COVID vs Flu Seaon SEG-2: Expectations for More Free Stuff from Congress SEG-3: The Consequences of MMT SEG-4: The Reality of Real Housewives of NYC, et al
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stocks-struggle-as-the-bull-market-in-virus-cases-rises-07-17-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-odds-are-stacked-against-investors-in-a-post-covid-economy/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Trading w The Chad Zone, Mask of the Week, Market Commentary SEG-2: Candid Coffee, Early Retirement, Employment Mosaic SEG-3: Mortgage Rates >3%, Hoarding Cash, Soft Scrub & Downy Dollars SEG-4: What to Do With Your Severance Package
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SEG-1: Twitter Hack, Banksy Smack, Re-opening Reversals SEG-2: Michael Lebowitz - Redskins' Name Change & Prelude to an Election SEG-3: Michael Lebowitz - Abuse of Economic Theory SEG-4: Michael Lebowitz - The Ugly Side of Passive Investing Strategy
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/passive-fingerprints-are-all-over-this-crazy-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-golden-cross-arrives-are-the-bulls-safe/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-death-of-fundamentals-the-future-of-low-returns/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-will-never-stop-qe-as-interest-rates-cant-rise-ever/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: The Golden Cross & other bullish signs SEG-2: How Companies Are Beating Estimates SEG-3: The Beat Rate: Be Careful What You Pay For SEG-4: The Problem with 401k's, Saving & Financial Education
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-golden-cross-arrives-are-the-bulls-safe/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-again-reducing-risk-as-tech-goes-1999-07-11-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-will-never-stop-qe-as-interest-rates-cant-rise-ever/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Earnings Season Amid COVID SEG-2: The Downside of Digital Currency SEG-3: This is Nuts: What Will Forward Guidance Say? SEG-4: The Problem w Expectations of V-Shaped Recovery
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-again-reducing-risk-as-tech-goes-1999-07-11-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-will-never-stop-qe-as-interest-rates-cant-rise-ever/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Irregardless, S&P is Over-heated; Return to Quarantine SEG-2: How Are Lives Are Being Changed by COVID SEG-3: The Local Renaissance in a Post-COVID World SEG-4: Higher Taxes Coming: Use the Back-door ROTH
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Economic Impact of Back to School SEG-2: Michael Lebowitz - COVID, Power-washers, & the Few Stocks Driving Markets SEG-3: Michael Lebowitz loses a bet; Fed Intervention in Markets SEG-4: Michaael Lebowitz - Have We Permanently Distorted Markets?
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/teslas-moonshot-how-high-can-it-go/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Back to School w COVID, Canada, & China SEG-2: Down the Rabbit Hole of Socialism SEG-3: Market Capitalization: Not a Good Measure of Value SEG-4: Forget Hopes for V-Shaped Recovery- Atlanta Fed
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-death-of-fundamentals-the-future-of-low-returns/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/teslas-moonshot-how-high-can-it-go/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-theory-of-mmt-falls-flat-when-faced-with-reality-part-i/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-theory-of-mmt-falls-flat-when-faced-with-reality-part-ii/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Earnings Seasons Greetings SEG-2: Why Markets Have Already Price-in COVID SEG-3: Are You Over-paying for Your Investments? SEG-4: Beware Promises of Chickens in Every Pot
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bullish-test-comes-as-earnings-season-begins-07-03-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-death-of-fundamentals-the-future-of-low-returns/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-theory-of-mmt-falls-flat-when-faced-with-reality-part-ii/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Back from Vacation Recap; As the Economy Re-opens SEG-2: Fireworks and Beirut; Why July is Good for Markets SEG-3: Why We Can't Just Go Back to Work SEG-4: The Political Play for Markets
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bullish-test-comes-as-earnings-season-begins-07-03-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-theory-of-mmt-falls-flat-when-faced-with-reality-part-ii/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Unemployment Issues Continue; What to look for next SEG-2: Vacation Reading; The Recovery Process SEG-3: A Revolution in Household Finances SEG-4: Candid Coffee; RIA Methodology; Mental Math Tricks
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/we-are-in-the-winter-of-household-finances/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: COVID Vacationing; SEG-2: The Impact of the Belief the Fed Will Bail Us Out SEG-3: The Stephanie Kelton Book Report Preview SEG-4: Hottest COVID Investment Trends: Obesity
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: The COVID Summer SEG-2: The CARES Act & 401k's SEG-3: Risk Management & Hedging SEG-4: Candid Coffee; Why Forward Guidance Will Be Key
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/nowhere-to-hide-2/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-unicorns-rainbows-fully-invested-bears/ Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
[SPECIAL NOTE: Today's live feed was interrupted by technical issues during the first segment. This audio has been edited to eliminate the gaffe]
SEG-1: More Testing = More COVID Cases SEG-2: Jim Mosquera Interview Preview, Pt-1: The Omni-bubble SEG-3: Jim Mosquera Interview Preview, Pt-2: Yield Curves & Unexpected Events SEG-4: Why Human Nature Always Skews the Curve
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-unicorns-rainbows-fully-invested-bears/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-it-1999-or-2007-retail-investors-flood-the-market/ Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: More Testing = More COVID Cases SEG-2: Jim Mosquera Interview Preview, Pt-1: The Omni-bubble SEG-3: Jim Mosquera Interview Preview, Pt-2: Yield Curves & Unexpected Events SEG-4: Why Human Nature Always Skews the Curve
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-unicorns-rainbows-fully-invested-bears/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-it-1999-or-2007-retail-investors-flood-the-market/ Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Bread and Circuses SEG-2: Why History Matters to Investors...and everyone else SEG-3: The Role of Investor Psychology SEG-4: "Yeah, but the Fed..."
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-holds-200-dma-bulls-remain-in-control-for-now-06-19-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-it-1999-or-2007-retail-investors-flood-the-market/ Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22
SEG-1: Father's Day & Financial Planning During the Pandemic SEG-2: The Moral Hazards of The Federal Reserve SEG-3: The Republic of SOML (Stay Off My Lawn) SEG-4: Random Act of Poetry; The Risks of Longevity
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22 Find Gary Colins/The Simple Life: https://www.thesimplelifenow.com/
SEG-1: Monetary Policy & Yield Curve Control SEG-2: Proper Pricing-in of Risk SEG-3: The Fed Tells us How Things Should Be SEG-4: Pro Sports, COVID-19, & The Shrinking Odds of a V-shaped Recovery
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Porfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-next-iteration-what-is-yield-curve-control/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-bears-square-off-at-the-line/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-rationalizing-high-valuations-wont-improve-outcomes/
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SEG-1: Father's Day PSA; Retail Sales & The Problem w Percentages SEG-2: Candid Coffee; Portfolio Management as Markets Gyrate SEG-3: Will There Be a Second Wave? SEG-4: Adjusting to the New Realities of the CARES Act
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-bears-square-off-at-the-line/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-rationalizing-high-valuations-wont-improve-outcomes/ Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://register.gotowebinar.com/rt/1959782027202558734?source=Ria+Website%22 Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SEG-1: Why is the Fed Boosting Bonds? SEG-2: The Speculative Excess on Wall Street SEG-3: The Republic of CHAZ vs Reality SEG-4: The Liquidity Strategies of the Fed
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-bears-square-off-at-the-line/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-rationalizing-high-valuations-wont-improve-outcomes/ https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts/status/1272842235416117253 Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SEG-1: When Deficit Spending is Good SEG-2: Testing the Process of Re-Opening SEG-3: The Special Benefits of Financial Insiders (and who they are) SEG-4: The Perils of Margin Debt & Leverage
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SEG_1: Reality vs Fantasy Trades; Robinhood in Reverse-land SEG-2: #MoreStimulus - Do Not Forsake Bonds SEG-3: The Fine Line Between Trading & Investing SEG-4: What Do You Do With a Windfall?
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SEG_1: Fed Meeting Summary; Psychics & Meteorologists vs Fed's Quarterly Previews SEG-2: No Surprises in Fed's Monthly Statement SEG-3: What the Job of The Fed Should Be SEG-4: Volleyball Ping Pong & Buying Bankrupt Company Stocks
RIA Advisors Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-feds-monetary-animal-house/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-its-time-to-take-on-defensive-positioning/ Pedro da Costa Interview: https://youtu.be/czAcqNIpuag Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SEG_1: Market Commentary: The Ongoing Error at the BLS SEG-2: The US Pension Crisis SEG-3: Educational Declines, Pensions, and 401k's SEG-4: What Should Really Happen in Bankruptcy
RIA Advisors Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-feds-monetary-animal-house/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-its-time-to-take-on-defensive-positioning/ Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SEG_1: Market Commentary: Dumb-money rally; smart-money biding time SEG-2: The Incredible, Disappearing Coronavirus: Hype vs Reality SEG-3: Forget De-funding Police: De-fund Big Banks SEG-4: How Capitalism is Broken on the Upper End
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-its-time-to-take-on-defensive-positioning/ Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SEG-1: What Change is Desired/to be Achieved by Riots? SEG-2: What Drives an Economy is Confidence SEG-3: What Drives an Economy is Full-time Employment; Jobs Numbers Examined SEG-4: Speculative Fervor is Back
RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts contends expectations for a "V-shaped" recovers are likely to disappoint.
Articles Mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-is-back-markets-charge-as-economy-lags-06-05-20/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/20-20-economic-projections-will-leave-everyone-disappointed/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-rationalizing-high-valuations-wont-improve-outcomes/ Subscribe to our Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
SEG-1: Market Commentary & Investors w Lizard Brains SEG-2: Being Counter-intuitive; Economic Cookies SEG-3: Richard's Chocolate Fantasies & Broccoli Reality SEG-4: The Simpson's Investment Portfolio; What SS Will Become
RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Certified Financial Planner, Danny Ratliff, CFP Get More Info & Commentary: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Seg-1: When Antifa gets pounded in the 'burbs; Seg-2: Michael Lebowitz on the Moral Hazard of the Federal Reserve; Seg-3: Yelp Survey: 7% of restaurants reopened; how long will it take? QE actually harms economy; Seg-4: The Connection Between Debt & Lack of Economic Growth; ______________ RIA Advisors: Lance Roberts, CIO w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Get More Info & Commentary: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Articles Mentioned Today: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-the-recovery-will-fall-short-of-forecasts/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/riots-across-america-are-about-more-than-george-floyd/
Good News: COVID's off the Headlines, thanks to Civil Unrest; Market Commentary: Weak bounces off marginal, skewed Gov't. Economic Data; Why You Don't Steal a Rolex; Folex & Weddings; Candid Coffee Tease; Article Tease: How the Market recovers, post-COVID; Erosion of economic posterity b/c debt and demographics; COVID binge-watching favs: Friends, The Office; WSJ: Bond purchases lagging expectations: If Bond Money is smart money, what is it saying? Beware complex securities; Why You Don't Want the Military in the Streets;
It's 1968 all over again; The Broken Window Fallacy; Are we looking at 50% decline in GDP? Spontaneous Riots w pre-positioned brick pallets; Riots in states w gun control; Pandemic revealed weakness in the economy; opportunity to make change, not repeat past policy mistakes; How Much Would You Pay for a Good Night's Sleep? Nothing new driving markets; not addressing real problems; Why investors think current market trend will never end; Over-bought market creates possibility of 5% correction; Media Mantra: Recession, correction is bad; Fed has prevented healthy market corrections.
Summertime on Wall Street; COVID-case counts; wrestling with this longer than first expected; slower economic recovery; Atlanta Fed: 51% GDP Decline in Q2; Riots are About More than George Floyd; the rising divergence between the Have's and the Have-not's; every thing, every issue has a Group; we are a country divided; How the Media is missing the Bigger Point in George Floyd's death & Repercussions; Social Media, Censorship, and Freedoms of Speech: The Responsibility of Social Media; What we give up for convenience today may haunt us in a socialist future;
Market Commentary; Economic effects of Pandemic; 42% of Layoffs will be permanent job losses; wages no longer "sticky;" CARES Act is here to stay; Math Can Save Your Household: Ratio's & Radical Downsizing; resetting expenses; assume you're not going to get a raise; What if Unemployment hits 6% w 4% inflation? Why not allow business cycle to operate? Congress using pandemic to benefit constituents; Rules for Fiscal Health;
Power outages & Cherry Cobbler; Watching the economic numbers as the recovery begins; Michael Lebowitz on Baseball players' salary cuts, shortened season, optics; What's happening in America; NFL Status; Initial uptick in economic activity from pent-up demand: Is it repeatable? Amount of outstanding debt & size of Fed response; Pedro da Costa commentaries; the Fed's first priority; the Fed as enabler: "Stable markets?" Forward guidance from the Fed; setting up for next Depression; Why We Need a Recession/Reset; who are we bailing out?
The Recessionary Outcomes of COVID-19; Consumer psychology & media narratives; Big deviation between markets & economy; Media Scares; listener e-mail: Dr. J.: Seasonal Flu vs COVID-19; take precautions, continue to live; Let's not be stupid; Working--or not--during COVID-19; Whether to Tap Your 401k; Needs, Wants, Wishes; Fallacies of Borrowing from 401k's; MLB Salary Squabble; Buying Online & Amazon Returns; Shirts & Masks; Space-X Launch, NASA, Gov't. involvement: High Speed Rail, Student Loans; the un-intended consequences of rush-to-action;
Social Distancing on Memorial Day; restarting the return to "normal;" why economy may not come back as before; Science Fiction portrayals of history, dystopian future; European Commission recommendation to eat insects (while the rich consume beef): globalist agenda, save the planet, widen the wealth gap; wealth transfers; Social Distancing, Media shaming, Save the Planet; Hopes for Covid cure by EOY; no vaccine for Flu; repeating same policy mistakes; pulling forward future consumption; Bugs vs Beef, Tex-Mex on the food pyramid; great expectations for pre-pandemic growth;
Global economy is so bad, China's not even reporting GDP lies; The M-word; Houston's missing Oilers, Astrodome, KLOL Radio; Retiring at 65--Pipe Dream or Reality? How Things Have Changed under COVID-19: Drive-by Graduations; Masks in Schools; Gen-Z's flexibility to adapt to change; Webinar Replay tease; Debt-to-Income Ratio Reality; Financial Rules: Total Mortgage Debt Ratios; Houses as expenses, not investments; Dress for Success on the Cheap;
Market Response to Fed Minutes' release; definitions of Bear and Bull markets; Newsroom/"America Isn't Great Anymore;" The importance of Capitalism = economic prosperity; Michael Lebowitz - Fed's light-speed activities; Why recessions are needed; The Fed's problems: Liquidity Continuance and Credit Markets; Record Levels of Corporate Debt, slowed economic growth; Why Companies should be allowed to fail; Surviving Stay-at-Home Orders; Moderno stock; Coming up with Vaccines; valuations matter--what's the market worth? Forebearances & Delinquencies
Lance Roberts' all-American rant: We're already Communist America; The Great Moderno Stock Offering scam; Free Government Money; The Folly of Corporate Tax Cuts; Gov't is run by corporations; Ayn Rand: "We're Doomed." Is Biden the best that we can get? How Congress really works; How to fix the wealth-gap & debt problems; Webinar recap: What to do w 401-K's; the death of the stretch IRA;
KSEV Fire--why we weren't on the air; Market re-cap: buoyancy from more Fed liquidity, Moderna COVID vaccine trials; COVID vs Flu: How we behave; The Challenge of Balancing Risk: Where/When/Why markets surprise investors--at extreme highs/lows; What is the Risk if we DON'T get a recovery? Congressional spending bill: Operating in Constant Crisis-mode; No Budget, No Plan, No Strategy for getting out of Debt; Consequences of basic income; When We Re-open: DeutscheBank Survey; potential for shift to more work at home--impact to comm'l real estate and economy;
Preparing for Memorial Day--holiday from lock-down? Jerome Powell on 60-Minutes; Market recap & Negative GDP estimates; Rules for Re-Entry; Jerome Powell excerpt; Economic Recovery--what is Recession; JC Penny bankruptcy is what should happen; Jerome Powell--printing money digitally; Why the Fed Needs a Crisis; if we're re-opening, the crisis is past; Why There's No Desire to Cut Federal Spending; interest rates a function of supply & demand; Why Fed may "cap" rates; wealth transfer; consequences of spending bill on Landlords
Back in the (pre-COVID) day; LA Closes indefinitely; Market performance defies logic amid record unemployment; no historic connections between pandemic and economic failure; The Effects of Quarantine: Families, Marriages, Businesses; Paradox of Thrift; Jerome Powell describes the unemployed: "Shadow;" Medicare Enrollment; Sunspots, Spring, and mosquitoes that look like Betty Grable; Managing Risk
Covid Traffic; Biggest Risk to Recovery is Secondary Infections; the Fed's temporary fixes vs long-term solutions; Michael Lebowitz: The Bond Market is working better than Stocks; Did the Fed over-react to Covid? The Fed as ultimate arbiter of fixed rates vs free market; long term consequences; The Ides of May; heading into summer months; what we're doing w portfolios; compression of treasury yields;
Los Angeles shut down another 90-days; Market Response; CPI Deflationary despite jump in grocery prices; Nancy Pelosi's Trillion-dollar Giveaway (US Deficit/GDP now bigger than Greece's); Great Reset Webinar tease: Retires & Under-employed; Pelosi spending is MMT in action; Economic Shutdown & CPI: How inflation affects retirees; CPI-W vs CPI-E explainer; How We Calculate Inflation; Real CPI is +6%; Social Distancing, floor decals, standing on the x; Why Changes Must Come to SS (but no one wants to); Decision to take SS early vs benefit of wait until 70;
Global Warming and Stay-at-Home; Dr. Fauci's Stark Warning & The Second Wave; no vaccine/therapy until late 2021; Re-opening the Economy; George Carlin on Germs, Immunizations, and Immunity; Credit vs Stock Markets; how the Fed has intervened; no problem with Investment-grade (IG) Bonds; how Boeing solved its own problem; Sports Addicts, NASCAR, Baseball, Little League, NFL; going back to school, school taxes; Treasury making up for tax revenue shortfall; Lance's Dad/Surviving the '60's; How the Fed will buy bonds; Cronyism at The Fed: Powell, Mnuchin, Fink/Blackrock; the arrangement to never end.
Mother's Day & Social Distancing; Jobs Report & Lessening Need for Comm'l Real Estate, Workers; post-Covid Retail Sales; The Stock Market Isn't the Economy? Correlation Between Economic Growth and Stock Valuation; the Staggering Unemployment Report; Jump in NILF Numbers; How We Got here: NYT front page; Calculating Jobs w/out Population Growth; Who's not being counted; the Credibility of the WHO; Tanzanian Covid Test; "The Black Mirror" and tracking kids w apps; Data scams; cannot have Financial, privacy security and convenience.
Market Commentary as Consumers are taken out at the knees by pandemic and draconian government responses; Everyone is going to live smaller; how to appropriately invest; Mask-Match dating; The Great Reset Webinar tease; financial needs; the definition of "Under-employment;" Webinar tease; What We Were Being Told--financial advisors now changing their tune; Financial Cushions; CARES Act will be with us forever; Take-home Tips: Pen and Pad to Make a Budget; re-prioritize spending; no longer buying new; Paradox of Thrift; slower pace of living;
Jobless Claims preview; Small Businesses/Dallas a la Mode Salon owner jailed; Jobs Report will be staggeringly bad; Market Breadth has been very poor; Michael Lebowitz - Spring in MD; Blue Angels & Beck's Prime - Restaurants in Recovery; Growth is different from Absolute Numbers; Record High vs Record low Employment; Jobs, Job losses, Consumer Spending & Savings Rates; inability to spend; Gov't Data skewed by top 5-10%; Drop in Tax revenues; Government Spending vs income; Explaining the Dollar Shortage; China Trade Tensions Growing; Who buys the debt the Fed is creating? Japan as microcosm - GDP static since 1990.
Cinco de Mayo re-cap: Back in the Bars; businesses opening up, no vaccine yet; The Risk of a Second Wave; non-productive debt; Danny Ratliff: Blue Angles/LSFM Flyovers' Stay at Home: Save the Planet; Jobs Numbers Preview; NILF Older Americans Ventriloquist dogs, fun w dog collars during Covid-lockdown; Economic impact of shutting down; more to come in Summer; Mother's Day Spending predictions; Neologisms; Webinar Tease; Economic Numbers skewed by Pandemic; consumer Behavior when we're not confident; ADP Estimates;
Cinco de Mayo + Taco Tuesday; Blue Angels' Houston Flyover; Unemployment Expectations worst ever; Blue Angels' Flyover correction; Lone Star Flight Museum; Wages for Bottom 80%; Monetary Policy protects the wealthy; biggest losers are Millennials; The Growing Wage Gap exacerbated by Crony Capitalism; Top 10% own 80% of Market; Concentration of Wealth actually slows economic growth; Article Tease: Testing Market Lows; Study: 40% Americans will continue Social Distancing; Economy is not roaring back; Behavior is key driver of economics
Pre-Cinco de Mayo; Judge Hidalgo's heavy-handedness & How we're responding; no recovery until 2021; Warren Buffett's Virtual Investment Summit; The Great Pandemic - What We'll Tell Our Grandchildren; How will Vaccine/Therapy affect Consumption/Economy? The Paradox of Thrift; The Pilgrimage to Buffet's Annual Investment Event--On line this year; What Warren Buffett is Doing Differently; the importance of time-frame & duration; Giant Asian Murder Hornets - the importance of Bees; 2020 Election, Recovery, and Fickle Voters; Recovering from 15% unemployment and Pay Cuts by November?
Market Commentary: It's a Bear Market now - no company is immune; Amazon, Apple, Clorox; brand-name vs generic buys; The Federal Grill re-opens - impact and repercussions in a post-Covid World; Social Distancing = lost business; Price inflation + wage growth stagnation, suppression of 401-k Matches; Things We'll Do Differently - Webinar Tease - How The Great Depression mirrors what's to come in The Great Reset; how markets out-perform the economy (The Market is not the Economy); Hey, Boomer! answers to YouTube queries; Bitcoin vs Gold; RIA Pro Teaser; Financial Friction in Families; growing importance of Estate planning; don't forget the words behind the legalese.
Re-opening for Business; Q1 GDP includes only two weeks' business in March; Q-2 missing 1/3 Q-business from April; Expect 30-40% drop in Q-2 GDP; Michael Lebowitz - What the Fed Said; +5% Unemployment for a while; CB intervention = 29% of GDP; Fed is not achieving goals, making recovery more difficult; Jobless numbers preview; Making Socialism Attractive: making more money on unemployment; PPP went to only 5% of intended businesses; Re-opening economy: What People will do differently; Fed can do anything it wants until real inflation shows - only cure is less money circulating
Stormy Weather in Texas; Tollway Fares Resume; Booking Airfares; Tommy's Stimulus Check; Dwayne's Boycott app; Education in Quarantine; the Result of Gov't Takeover of Public Education & Common Core Performance; China = 15% on Education, 2% on Housing vs US 15% on Housing, 2% on Education; Incentivizing performance at Schools, Enron, Wells Fargo; Re-Opening America @ 25% capacity; Pandemic Impact to Employment; rehiring skeleton crews; comparison to Spanish Flu; "I Bought It for the Dividend;" Faulty strategy - cannot control dividend, CAN control price to Buy/Sell; Capital Preservation;
Re-Opening Texas after Covid-19; Easiest Job & Most-difficult; Market Commentary - meager volatility; Congressional Hoopla over States & Municipalities' Needs: Should they go bankrupt? New Attitudes about debt; Fed expansion of role, lowering the bar; Students ready for Back-to-School; Central Bank Interventions & Consequences: 2% Growth, no inflation, productivity suppression; President after 2024 election will be socialist; Fed Meeting Preview: What Can They Say? Most aggressive monetary policy in history; doing the same as Japan, expecting different outcome; When Fed owns 80% of Market, market no longer exists.
Poll: Liquor Stores are Essential Businesses; Reopening America's small businesses: Re-cycling tax dollars to put people to work; debt used for non-productive purposes; Adley Stump/Coronavirus Clarifications, Pt-1; Keynes & Recession; Just because rates are low doesn't mean debt doesn't matter; Adley Stump. Pt-2; Cutting taxes at the wrong time; Debts & Assets and the issue of pay-back; Wiping out debts & assets; Adley Stump, Pt-3; Rising levels of deficits & debt; Fiscal Conservatism; Bail-outs for all vs bankruptcy for the weak
How we're adjusting to working in pandemic; markets response; Keeping emotions in-check; Danny's in Time-out; The Great Depression Mind-set Today; The Paradox of Thrift; Coronavirus impact on Houston Energy Co's; the importance of ROTH IRA's; Social Security as America's Pension - not what was intended; How to calculate primary benefits; How to make up the difference when benefits are cut; The Black Hole of Retirement: Pandemic is a foretaste;Re-thinking American Business, Globalism, & the Cost of Living; How we invest will be different;
AOC on Working 70-hrs/wk; Oil Prices & Money Flow Indicator: How We're Managing Risk; Michael Lebowitz, Covid-free & Kickin': Oil Prices are a function of futures contract, not necessarily driven by demand; Historic Levels of Supply; US looking for others to cut production while we continue to drill & produce; Zombie companies should be allowed to fail; Harvard's about-face on TPP $; JP Morgan & Big Banks, FNMA FDMC: It's another banking bailout cloaked in something else.
The Senate passes more money for small businesses, as state clamor to re-open, and a record number of new coronavirus cases are reported; there's no fiscal responsibility in Washington; Washing your food; Good Things Come from Bad Situations; Saving Money & Looking for deals; What Happens When Businesses Re-open? Who Are the Most Attractive Hires? How earnings estimates impact portfolios, and how S&P is getting it wrong. Rothschild 80-20 Rule
TV Shows and Quarantine; Oil Prices & Trading: Running Out of Storage is bigger problem; Commodities have been foretelling of weaker economy; the Earnings Crash; What Constitutes a Rally? (If things were really better, everyone would be involved). Money flow into markets is still weak; That's Capitalism - The Coming Earnings Crash; Credit Markets are Absorbing Fed Liquidity; Winners win, Losers lose--until 2008; now public bails them out. June Oil Futures; Energy as important component of economy: Ex. N. Dakota Drilling; This is not just a virus; Markets need to be allowed to function.
On Re-opening the Economy--we may not yet have reached the peak; Fed programs only redistribute wealth; the story of El Arroyo; the True Worth of Teachers and Healthcare Workers; Federal Bailouts - exacerbation of Wealth Gap; How much is a Trillion Dollars? Debt & Deficits Heading into Recession; The Millionaire Next Door; 96% of Tax Revenue going to mandatory payments before pandemic; Why Large Co Bankruptcy isn't a bad thing; Corporate Cronyism; CARES Act allows for borrowing from 401-K: Don't Do It!
How we're working during social distancing; some companies will never come back; other will be permanently altered in The Great Reset; TV News remote on Richard's front lawn; Things Won't Be the Same in a post-Covid world; Avoiding Covid scams; Disaster Fraud Hotline: 866-720-5721; How Healthcare Costs May Change in a post-Covid environment; No Companies are Too Big to Fail
Dining in The Kitchen; Jobless Claims at Highest in History; Recovery will be slower than usual; Michael Lebowitz - Home School Economics & Social Security; The Best Use of Bankruptcy; Why can't airlines raise their own cash instead of taking bailout? Low interest rates encourage bad behavior; Big Banks vs Regional Banks; How to Unwind the Debt Bubble; Hedge Funds' inability to borrow now qualifies as Crisis; Socialism for the Rich - Capitalism for the Poor; IMF Debt Jubilee; Jobless Claims Predictions; What's the Fed's End-game? What Will Recovery Look Like? Where are opportunities to invest? Running out of eggs.
President Trump teases opening the Economy--and barbershops; How long before a Vaccine? Best 15-days in Markets since 1933 (what happened after that??) Danny Ratliff on Why Baby Boomer's Can't Retire; Coronavirus is trigger at Peak of Market Cycle; Opportunity coming to buy-in cheaply; best opportunities will be in Energy, Gold, and Commodities; Federal Reserve is going to create Inflation
Tavi Costa interview release tease; Market Preview: Expectations for second wave of COVID-19 Infections; Q-1 Earnings Season commentary; Working at Home survey - Changing Habits & The Paradox of Thrift; Tavi Costa audio cuts on Coronavirus, reliance on central banks, the socialization of loss; Gov't injections of capital into economy; How debt and deficits suppress economic growth; The Truth About 2% GDP Growth; Stay at Home Reality TV; What happens when Quarantine is lifted? What shape will economic recovery take - L, V, U, W? How did we ever survive our childhoods?
The Sadness of Quarantine: NBA Players streaming Virtual HORSE; Market Commentary: 2008 is Best Example of What's Happening Now; The Problem w Analog Charts; Why Every Crisis in History is Different; This is now a Credit Event, not a Virus Event; What the Fed is Doing to Enable Credit Markets to Function; What Markets and the Media Are Missing; Animals Rule; Where We Are on the Coronavirus Curve; Hopes for V-Shaped Recovery are Wishful Thinking; What We Did Wrong.
It's a good Friday because markets are closed; Why the Post-Covid Economy will not come roaring back; How Bear Markets Behave; Businesses will be redefined; CARES Act is here to stay; How Coronavirus Impacts Your Financial Plan; Monitoring the Likelihood of Success; Creating a Financial Vulnerability Cushion
It's Like 1974 All Over Again; Pandemic & Savings Paradox; Market Rally--What's Next? Michael Lebowitz - Jobless Claims numbers are hard to rationalize; JP Morgan rant vs What Good Companies are Doing; Theme Songs; MMT-Lite; The V-Shaped Recovery; JP Morgan, Wells Fargo criminal enterprises; The Risk of a Second Wave; Getting Back to Where We Were; Paradox of Thrift & Changes in Behavior
Why Drive-by Birthday Parties are a thing; Market Commentary: When Social Distancing Ends; St.Louis Fed Forecasting 30% Unemployment; Danny & The Beard; Dealing w Risk & Recession; More Boomers Still Working; High Taxes are Virtually Guaranteed; Some jobs and Co's are never coming back; YouTube Commentary: ROTH Conversions; Coronavirus is Opportunity for Gov't to Change Taxation Landscape; Teasing Richard; Baseball's return; Good Outcomes from Social Distancing vs Economic Impacts
Essential Traffic; Market Consolidation as Fed buys SBA Loans; financing 100% of US Debt: We are Japan; Virtual Birthday Parties; Tom Clancy/The Division-II; Buying food close to The End: EU approves bugs as food; Names e-mails; Coronavirus updates; possible outcome of disease for economy; What Happens After Pandemic? Tommy Roberts' Life in Germany--the New Car; Deficits/Debt Emerging from Pandemic; We will not get stronger rates of growth w higher levels of debt.
What We're Doing During Quarantine' Lance's Banking Rant; Market Preview; "Dark Waters" movie review; Article Tease: "Impact of Stock Buy-backs;" Privatizing gains, Socializing Losses is supplanting Capitalism; banks should be allowed to fail; incentivizing executives; Covid & Corona baby Names; Spring Breakers; Company Draw-downs on Revolving Credit lines; Most-affected sector = Hospitality & Entertainment = Millennials; Difficulty of managing money w +/1 1,500-pt swings daily; We have not yet bottom.
It's Not Too Late to Re-adjust to New Bear Market; The Care Act & Roth Conversions; Covid-19 Stimulus; Making Higher Charitable Contributions; How We Can Help: Financial Summit, Right Lane Classes; How Coronavirus Attacks Productivity; The Great Re-Set; Staying Healthy Through the Apocalypse; Holographic Wills; Post-covid World: A New Dawn on Financial Situation.
Losing our options w COVID-19; Markets sustain worst quarter losses in (120-yr) History; Michael Lebowitz: Domestic Situation No One Has Seen in Our Lifetime; Worsened by too much debt; Coronavirus is catalyst; Fed's Response; Commodity Prices are Tell-Tale Signs of Weak Economy; Credit Markets are Broken, but not not-functioning; Why Carnival Cruise Lines is Dead Man Walking.
The Virtual Happy Hour & Shopping w Shipt; Economic Data is About to Get Really Bad; Danny Ratlif on How To Respond to Economic Crisis; What Financial Advisors are Telling You Now (What you should and should not do); The Fastest Bear Market in History; Energy News is not looking good.
What if they made a Coronavirus Movie? What a Comeback Will Look Like; How We're Coping with Covid-19; Previewing Jobless Claims vs Continuing Claims; The Spike in Unemployment; Timing is Key; How Covid-19 is Impacting Quarterly Reporting; Feedback Loop on Economy; On-line Happy Hour; Pre-Covid Fads; Coronavirus shake-out of Weakest Businesses; Covid-19 is the Catalyst We Warned You About
When we emerge from our Coronavirus Caves; Netflix and Johnny Tiger; Federal Stimulus aid going to the wrong places; Easter Bunny Unemployed; First Time Unemployment Claims; CEO Confidence & the discovery of streamlining; "Virtual Investment Summit tease; "This Time It's Different?" No banks have failed; What's in Capital One's Wallet? Your tax dollars; Coronavirus & Oil Prices; Energy Debt = High Risk = Triple-C; the Sweet Spot for Oil Prices = $40-60/bbl.
Living in Quarantine; Managing Portfolios in Troubled Times; The Paradox of Thrift; The Tailwinds of Stock Buy Backs are Gone; Economic Summit tease; Working From Home; Re-Defining Net Worth; Opportunities for People w Cash; Responses & Reactions to Covid-19; Bear Stair-stepping Down; Paradox of Thrift on Corporate Side
The Coronavirus-15; The Fed's Re-inflation of Bubble as markets form a temporary bottom; Virtual Economic Summit tease; Michael Lebowitz - Where Money Comes From, and where does it go? What QE Does; Will additional debt be Investment-grade or Junk? QE is all about inflating asset prices; what about confidence? Where Do Investors Go from Here? Downsides and Upsides; anticipation of Unemployment and Jobless Claims like it's 1930 again.
On Being Essential; Market Rally is Opportunity to rebalance; Why the Stimulus Bill will not work as intended; It's 2008 All Over Again; Danny's Theme Music; How We Handle Quarantine & Working at Home; Coronavirus Stimulus Bill critique; more Crony Capitalism; (Teasers for Virtual Economic Summit, RIA Right Lane Seminar)What to Do When You're Out of Work; You Are Where You Are--what to do next; What We Agree On; We Have Become Japan; Limited Options for Investors; Texas' Gun Ownership Rankings; There's no dress-code when working from home.
When can we get back to work? Market Review: Are We Near the Bottom? A Brief History of Bailouts; What We're Buying: Full Impact of Coronavirus yet to be felt; Jeff Tennery/CEO, Moonlighting: Hot Jobs During Corona Crisis; Michael Lebowitz: What is the Fed Doing? Using the Crisis to Bailout Large Firms: Will There Be a Debt Jubilee?
How Bad will the Recession Be? The Problem w Bailouts; Online Schooling; Neighbors Helping Neighbors; Accept Where You Are--Forget Where you Were; Dr. Ito Pezutto/Is Coronavirus Data Trustworthy; The Economic Fallout; Recovery Dependent Upon Speed of Therapy/Vaccine Development; The Scramble for Liquidity; Fiscal Stimulus Blunted by Increased Deficit and Debt
Market Commentary: What the Bear Looks Like; The Fed & Liquidity in the Market--doesn't matter if you don't need the money now; How to make 401-K changes; Getting "all out?" Day/Nite Pajama Tips; Feeding the Tiger; backlash against companies seeking bailouts who bought back shares; Drive Thru Covid-19 Testing; Companies Hiring; Tax Payment extensions; What To Do While Quarantined.
ECB Launch of more Debt; Why people are upset w Crony Capitalism; Margin Calls; Michael Lebowitz on Junk Bond Behavior; The Credit market lock-up is not a C-V issue; Covid-19 Mortality; Where Does Money Come From--and where does it go when it's gone? If Banks were healthy... How C-V is changing how business is conducted, and the dynamics of Commercial Real Estate; What happens when pent-up demand hits again?
Grocery Deliveries, Job Stats, and how Work is being redefined by Covid-19; Did the Fed move too soon to inject more liquidity? No idea where the bottom is. Danny's Theme Song; Where's the bottom? Take action but be careful; Debt markets to be downgraded, selling into illiquid market; Why Helicopter Money won't work; Controlling Risk in a Frozen Market; Protection of Capital; Watch out for Annuity Salesmen; Annuities should be planned for, not sold. Tom Brady: Walk Away; We don't know where the bottom is; what's happening in markets is not as important as Credit Spreads; What happens if Quarantines last more than a month? What happens next?
Shut-down Tuesday: Implications of Restaurants and School Closings (for the rest of the semester); Even a little risk is too much risk; We're in a Recession Now; Goldman stats on Covid-19; Managing expectations between hope and reality; McDonald's playgrounds to close (probably ground zero in Wuhan was a McDonald's playground!) A Function of Fairness in Bailouts; Disco Lance; Muni Bonds and Interest payments; how to be sure your muni bonds are sound.
With schools and businesses closed for the near term, the full impact of Covid-19 has yet to be measured; shopping at Costco; Fed Cuts Rates to Zero and adds QE; Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA joins RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts on Hunkering Down, and what the Fed may do next; Global Recession coming; How employment will look after Covid-19; investment ideas, and the consequences of rescue; Market Strategies at the open; Credit Instability still exists; Going to Money Heaven.
Sticking to the basics in troubled times; Variable Assets and Risk; Passive Investing doesn't mean "safe;" Managing Your Portfolio in Difficult Times; Black Swan Events; Porn Hub freebies for quanrantinees; , Spec's, Shopping, Restaurants, Traffic; Why asking your advisor questions is okay; Live Your Life; Coronavirus will bankrupt more people than it kills.
Market Responses to Donald Trump's Coronavirus Measures; Fastest Correction in Market History; What will the Fed do? Michael Lebowitz on anticipated market response; how credit line access creates a banking problem; lack of testing; Millennials' YOLO attitude as danger; The Silence of the Fed; Deficit to go to $2-T; Fear is more powerful than Greed;
Up/Down Markets w dash of volatility; the impact of coronavirus; Danny Ratliff: Making Poor Decisions Amid Coronavirus Craze; Market Volatility, Mnuchin & Plunge Protection Team; the Toothless Fed; Retirement Class Tease; After-effects of Coronavirus - Business Spending, Travel Industry Losses are Permanent
Black Swan Monday and the Energy Sector; Robinhood crashes; Payroll Tax cuts/Coronavirus risks--why tax cuts won't work; Thomas Thornton podcast preview; Urban Air Mobility; the pro's and con's of low oil prices
Please end the twice-yearly time change! OPEC Price Drop & effect on Houston economy, Pt-1; Buying Gasoline at Buc-cee's; OPEC & Houston economy, Pt-2; What OPEC wants; The Risk of Passive Investing, and the surge of ETF's; Market Preview & Current Strategy; Don't Dump at Market Open; Joe Biden's gaffs.
The Stoics' Four Virtues: Temperance in Investing; the Sixth Sense about Coronavirus; Temperance & Business lost vs Business postponed; importance of bonds; Spanky & Our Gang; Roadrunner Market vs Wile Coyote investors; The Poltergeist of Investing; low rates = best time to buy/refi; Nashville Tornadoes & Gibson Gives; CFP Board disclosures; who is your advisor paid?
The fallout from Super Tuesday is now being reckoned with; what's happening to Healthcare stocks; historic market volatility; Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA: two-weeks of 500+ point moves; 80-100 is the new 5-10; Europe and Japan are showing us what's coming; Bernie Sanders' shrinking odds; Fed's 'emergency' rate cut unwarranted; why do we want to be like other countries? Fed is telegraphing Fear; OPEC production cuts; a question of trust in the Fed; Treasury yields vs stock valuations.
Super Tuesday Outcome & Fed "Emergency" Rate Cut; Market Response: Rate Cut or Biden? Coronavirus Councilwoman; Flying to Indiannapolis; Financial Planning Corner: The Proper Place for Annuities; Fed Rate Cut Fallout.
Super Tuesday, Monday Market Rally--a strategy going forward; Progressive Movement winding up with two old, white guys; Coronavirus & Neil Diamond; more older Americans using pot; Bernie Sander's economically destructive platform; Socialism's Wealth Gap; G-7 Meeting fails to deliver anti-Coronavirus plan; recap of market point-loss/gain.
It's Coronavirus Monday: Significance of last week's losses; The Narrative Behind the Narrative; Market Volatility Before Super Tuesday; The Risk to Passive Investing; Coronavirus code-name, "Thanos;" Impact on economic activity; Bernie Sanders' Summer Camp; Market Thesis for today: "Calm Down."
Gunfighter Ballads & High Noon on Wall Street: This is not a financial crisis; Welcome to Rosso's World (no handshakes, no kisses, no leaving the house): Coronavirus is not a breakdown in the system; The Benefits of Planning Ahead can now be appreciated; What to do now; Living in Forest Lawn; Johnny Crawford and The Elephant in the Room: Long Term Care.
Donald Trump's Coronavirus Presser; Market Analysis: Use bounce to re-balance; Michael Lebowitz: ESG Funds are a sham; Warren Buffett's hypocrisy, the Real Threat of Coronavirus; Market as Metric of Trump Economic Success; Is Coronavirus Inflationary or Deflationary? Investment Ideas from Covid-19; Japanese Economic impact of Coronavirus; China's contact-less Food Delivery
Impact of Covid-19 on markets; historical comparison to past conflagrations; Low Interest Rates are Not a Sign of a Healthy Economy; Tolerance for Risk During Troubled Times; high probability we've seen markets' highs for the year (2020); Low Consumer Confidence puts markets at risk; Beards, the Battle of Midway, and The Greatest Generation; how post-war years set up for 50's economy based on pent-up demand and creation of Baby Boom Generation; Markets are close to wiping out gains of 2019; Importance of Goal Rate, Hurdle Rate, Re-balancing Strategies, and Exit Strategies; Nike's Memo from 40-years ago.
Coronavirus vs SARS and the economic comparisons; the issues the Fed faces; Chelsea Mitchell vs CLAC; SW Airlines & Bad Behavior; Darwin Award nominiees & Mad Mike Hughes; Poll: How American's Leave Work; Financial Crisis, Mortgage Fraud, & Wells Fargo today.
Older Americans (Brent) and Technology; Markets & Coronavirus; 700-years of Interest Rates; How Politics Affects Money; Bloomberg's debate performance; No one can handle a normal correction any longer; When Corrections Occur: De-Toxification of Portfolios by Fed; Long Term Care Insurance; Why Dave Ramsey is Wrong About Life Insurance.
Lance contracts Coronavirus-lite; The Fed admits Concern; Moving Averages are like Gravity; Pine Box & Estate Planning; Smart Refrigerators & Smart Houses; Translating Financial Advisor Language; Michael Lebowitz on Fed Speak, Modified Meeting Minutes, Monetary Policy, and Market Exuberance vs Risk; Morgan Stanley to buy E-Trade; Financial Services consolidations; Federal Reserve & REPO; why low rates and low growth are correlated; The Economy is Great--for the upper 20%.
Why China is making the Coronavirus worse; Could Inflation Result? Full Impact of Coronavirus; shortage of goods; What Makes You More Happy Than Money? Why Dave Ramsey is Wrong on Life Insurance; Dave Ramsey is Wrong, Pt-2; Dem's Plans for Raising Taxes (and what you can do about it)
Markets start lower following President's Day holiday; Apple forecast to miss Q1 guidance, thanks to Coronavirus impact on supply chains; markets have not yet priced in disappointment to earnings because of virus impact; Astro Lawsuit for diminished value to season tickets; Coronavirus expansion cannot be contained; risk to economy equal to 1% GDP? Risk in the Market; stupid things we did as kids; investors buy because 'everyone else is;' Hallmarks of Investment Cycle peaks; regulators loosen requirements;
The impact of Coronavirus, and why it puts asset prices at risk; The Macroview - Fiscal Conservatism vs MMT; Money Heist-5: Toilet Paper in China; Michael Bloomberg's SS Plan; Republicans are no longer fiscally conservative; Democrats are not Ready for 2020
Valentine Spending Habits, Cry Me a Cockroach, Market Commentary; Taste of Texas Salad Bar, GoldBelly.com Market Commentary-Where Does the Fed Go Next? Can Owning a House De-rail Your Retirement? Valentine's at Spec's, Singles Night at Grocery Stores, Right Lance Class Pitch, Taxes in Retirement
Pre-Friday festivities; Valentine's Day PSA; Covid-19 impact on markets; US Productivity; Alien Contact; TV Ratings/streaming screentime survey and US Productivity; Tommy in Germany; Valentine's Day Trees; London Diversity advertising; Michael Lebowitz on The Fed as An Enabler; what is 'aggressive' action; have we built up immunity to QE? Covad-19 impact on markets; response is not normal; Fed response.
Bernie Wins NH and The Growing Appeal of Socialism; the Economic Necessity of Corrections; Consumer Debt, Credit Scores, New FICO Formulae; Medicare, HSA's & FSA's--How to invest these funds; Coronavirus Update: Drinking Cow Urine; Postal Delivery, Supply Chain Disruptions; Baltic Dry Index Drops;
Taylor's New Car; Tom Steyer's $22/hr Minimum Wage; Commodity Pricing and Market Optimism in the face of Coronavirus; Jerome Powell's likely strategy to extend liquidity and continue to lower rates; Jet Stream Travel, Marathon Men; the Aftermath of Tax Cuts; the Wuhan Theorem; Global Economic Impact of Coronavirus.
The absolute importance of Valentine's Week; Coronavirus update; How big will he economic impact be? Hyman Minsky; Donald Trump's $4.8-Trillion spending budget; How economic growth actually works; AOC and "Milton" Keynes; what government is supposed to provide; the cost to the economy; the next Minky Moment; AOC's Bootstraps; if our president was Chinese; Consumerism run amok; How to create wealth.
Adulting Merit Badges, Texan Parking; Market Commentary; Cold Snaps, Mosquitos, & Lizard Ranching; The Imperfect Perfect Retirement Plan; Spec;s Merit Badge; Danny's Daddy-Daughter Dance; Jobs Report; You Are All Economists; Ham Radio, CB Radio as first social media; Death of Stretch IRA; the Retirement Income Masterpiece.
No impeachment; Kirk Douglas' film legacy; Coronavirus vaccine; Adulting Merit Badges; the Fed's Great Betrayal; Hedonic Adjustments to inflation; Inflation on Gilligan's Island; Why the Gov't. manipulates Inflation numbers; Consumer confidence levels between young and old invert. The consequences of bad public/monetary policy, and the danger of perpetuation.