Airline Weekly Lounge: Recent Episodes
Skift
The editors of Skift Airline Weekly discuss the most interesting developments within the commercial airline industry. In keeping with Skift Airline Weekly’s style, conversation generally centers on one question: How do you make money in this industry?
How are airlines doing as the second-quarter earnings season wraps up? Generally good, but yield and cost concerns persist. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss. Plus, Air Arabia’s impressive results. We are taking a summer hiatus for the next two weeks. Expect the next episode of the Airline Weekly Lounge on September 8. Reading List
Air Arabia Unveils World-Leading Second Quarter Profits
U.S. Airline Review: Top 10 Takeaways from Second Quarter Earnings
Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss the latest Airline Weekly profit rankings for the second quarter. Plus, the latest developments at Hong Kong's Cathay Pacific.
There was one thing in common across Air France-KLM, IAG, and JetBlue in the second quarter: Transatlantic travel demand is booming. That helped lift the first two to impressive profits. But, at the latter, it wasn't enough to offset numerous U.S. domestic challenges. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss. Reading List
JetBlue Will Pay Dearly to End its Alliance With American Airlines
Air France-KLM Looks to Spin-Off Loyalty Plan as Results Lag Peers
British Airways and Iberia Parent IAG Sees No Travel Slowdown
Both Ryanair and Alaska Airlines reported some decline in yields in the second quarter and continuing into the third. But they also made clear: Overall travel demand remains robust on both sides of the Atlantic. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss what's happening. Reading ListAlaska Airlines Sees Domestic Fares Weaken as Americans Take More International Trips
American Airlines and United Airlines just reported record second-quarter results, including double-digit operating margins. Will the magic continue through the third quarter and beyond? Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss. Reading List American Airlines Raises Outlook After Strong Second Quarter Results
United Airlines to Shrink Newark Departures 10% to Avoid Future Flight Disruptions
Delta Results Lifted by Strong Europe and Latin America Demand
Norse Atlantic Airways President Charles Duncan is optimistic, if nothing else, about the longhaul low-cost airline’s future. But even with some summer profits under its belt, he and his team still spend nine months of the year planning for the low-demand winter season. Duncan chats with Edward Russell about the airline’s strategy a year after launch, and how it plans to make the aforementioned winter work. Reading List
Long-Haul Discounter Norse Atlantic Sees London Expansion as Key to Profits
More Airlines Use Next-Gen Tech to Sell Journeys on Other Carriers or Trains
Cranky Flier Interview with Norse Atlantic President Charles Duncan
After a decade of reckless growth in the aughts, Norwegian Air made a strategically smart decision in its deal to buy regional Wideroe. The combination would, if approved by regulators, make Norwegian-Wideroe larger than SAS in terms of seats in the Nordics. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss. Plus, JetBlue is ending its alliance with American Airlines.
Reading List:
Norwegian Air Steps Up Pressure on SAS With $105 Million Wideroe Deal
What’s Next for American and JetBlue?
What’s Next for American and JetBlue After Court Rejects Alliance
Delta Air Lines held an investor day this week where CEO Ed Bastian said business was “gangbusters.” That’s what Wall Street wanted to hear but it appears also true for a company that sees significant delta ahead, and is actively working to grow high-margin tertiary businesses. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss. Plus, the operational distress in the northeastern U.S. this week. Reading List Delta Sees ‘Gangbusters’ Recovery, Downplays Industry Concerns
Delta Pins New Hopes on Gen Z and Millennials, Not Business Travelers
United’s New York Distress Shows how Weather Can Royally Mess Up an Airline’s Operations
Indian airlines IndiGo and Air India grabbed headlines with orders at the Paris Airshow this week. Can the country support all of their planned growth? Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss. Plus, the recovery for Alaska Airlines. Reading List
IndiGo’s Giant Airbus Order Will Test Its and India’s International Aviation Ambitions
Air India Seals $34 Billion in Aircraft Orders With Airbus and Boeing
Alaska Airlines CEO: No Small Cities Face Axe – Yet
Air Canada is flying double-daily high-density Boeing 777s — its equivalent of an Airbus A380 as Mark Galardo put it — to Athens this summer to meet some of the best travel demand it has ever seen. Galardo, the airline's executive vice president for revenue and network planning, joined host Edward Russell in the Lounge to chat about summer demand, Air Canada's recovery, and the evolving Canadian domestic market. Reading List Air Canada Is off to a Good Start
Airline Execs Dismiss Slowdown Fears, Say It is ‘Best Recession’ Industry Ever Faced
The mood in Istanbul at the IATA Annual General Meeting was definitely jubilant this year. Despite all the challenges airlines face — and, frankly, when do they not face challenges? — attendees celebrated strong demand, cheaper fuel, and other tailwinds. Will the good times continue? Edward Russell, fresh off the plane back, and Jay Shabat discuss. Plus, the industry's sustainability challenge and IndiGo's international plans.
EasyJet is making good on its recovery plan. From expanding at slot-constrained airports like Lisbon and opening new seasonal bases in Greece, the airline is on its way back to the black. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss EasyJet's results for the fiscal year that ended in September. Plus, the Air India-Vistara merger.You can read more about EasyJet at Skift. For in-depth coverage of aviation, subscribe to Airline Weekly.
Airlines want more planes to meet travel demand but, with supply chains backed up, there are few new models to go around. That's good news for aircraft lessors with more than 90 percent of leases being renewed, up from around 60 percent historically, Air Lease Corp. Executive Chairman Steven Udvar-Hazy said at the Skift Aviation Forum. Listen to Airline Weekly Editor Edward Russell's discussion with Udvar-Hazy at the forum.
Thanksgiving travel in the U.S. is back, said Airlines for America President and CEO Nicholas Calio. But while it will be as busy as it was three years ago, it will also be different as more people take blended trips and make it a Thanksgiving week. Calio and Edward Russell discuss the holiday outlook, plus the U.S. industry's recovery, operations, and air traffic control staffing. For daily coverage of the airline industry follow along at https://airlineweekly.com/aw-daily. For deep coverage of the airline industry, subscribe at https://airlineweekly.com/.
Turkish Airlines had a blowout third quarter. The airline's revenues and capacity are way up from 2019 with no pause in sight. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss Turkish's outlook. Plus, Ryanair's cautious outlook despite surprisingly robust travel demand. Get more aviation insights and subscribe to Airline Weekly. Read more about airlines at Skift.com.
Air France-KLM wants TAP Air Portugal, but so does International Airlines Group. IAG also wants Air Europa, and maybe even EasyJet. And the Lufthansa Group is back in play for ITA Airways. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss the outlook for Europe's Big Three airline groups and their latest merger machinations. Plus, the outlook from Emirates. Get more aviation insights and subscribe to Airline Weekly. Read more about airlines at Skift.com.
Who would have thought three years ago that we'd be talking about the bright future for Norwegian Air? One restructuring and pandemic later, and the discounter is profitable and taking corporate travel share from competitor SAS. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss the news from the Nordics, plus Hawaiian Airlines' continued struggles. Get more aviation insights and subscribe to Airline Weekly. Read more about Norwegian Air at Skift.com.
Latin American airline executives are mostly bullish on the near-term outlook but, given their exposure to the strong U.S. dollar and other macro pressures, are cautious about what the new year may hold. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss the forecast from the ALTA Leaders Forum in Buenos Aires this week, plus American and United's third quarter results.
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Delta Air Lines CEO Ed Bastian claimed this week, after his airline reported a robust third quarter profit and sees seemingly unsated demand, that travel is "countercyclical" to the economic winds. And he's not alone, International Airlines Group and United Airlines have separately said they see no signs of travel demand waning. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss Bastian's prognosis, plus what's up in Amsterdam.
What's the ado with Austin, Cancun, Ho Chi Minh City, Paris Orly, and Riyadh? All of the airports are seeing tremendous growth above pre-pandemic levels. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss why. Plus, Boeing's 737 Max: the good news and bad news.
The "real revenue growth" at American Airlines is in blended trips, or travel that includes both business and personal aspects, Chief Commercial Officer Vasu Raja said at the Skift Global Forum earlier in September. Nearly half of the airline’s revenues now come from these blended trips. What’s more, this new classification of trip is driving the carrier’s revenue growth more than anything else today. “What the pandemic really unlocked, and the recovery from it, is the great merging,” Raja said. “People don’t need to keep need to keep a work life for five days, personal life for two days, and carve out two weeks a year for vacations.” Listen to Skift Founder and CEO Rafat Ali and Raja's fascinating discussion at the forum in full.
The "real revenue growth" at American Airlines is in blended trips, or travel that includes both business and personal aspects, Chief Commercial Officer Vasu Raja said at the Skift Global Forum earlier in September. Nearly half of the airline’s revenues now come from these blended trips. What’s more, this new classification of trip is driving the carrier’s revenue growth more than anything else today. “What the pandemic really unlocked, and the recovery from it, is the great merging,” Raja said. “People don’t need to keep need to keep a work life for five days, personal life for two days, and carve out two weeks a year for vacations.” Listen to Skift Founder and CEO Rafat Ali and Raja's fascinating discussion at the forum in full.
The "real revenue growth" at American Airlines is in blended trips, or travel that includes both business and personal aspects, Chief Commercial Officer Vasu Raja said at the Skift Global Forum earlier in September. Nearly half of the airline’s revenues now come from these blended trips. What’s more, this new classification of trip is driving the carrier’s revenue growth more than anything else today. “What the pandemic really unlocked, and the recovery from it, is the great merging,” Raja said. “People don’t need to keep need to keep a work life for five days, personal life for two days, and carve out two weeks a year for vacations.” Listen to Skift Founder and CEO Rafat Ali and Raja's fascinating discussion at the forum in full.
The U.S. travel recovery is strong, and maybe nearly complete. If there is one airport that epitomizes the strength of the leisure-first recovery, it is Orlando where seemingly endless domestic demand before the pandemic has translated to much the same post-pandemic. Listen to Edward Russell discuss the state of the industry with moderator Racquel Asa, chief marketing officer at Beep, at an event marking the opening of the airport's new $2.8 billion Terminal C. Also, chilaquiles.
Is Indian aviation's moment here? Air India under Tata ownership has a deal for new airplanes, while the country's largest airline, IndiGo, keeps growing and several new startups are adding new competition to the market. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss, plus the Tijuana Airport's Cross Border Xpress bridge to the U.S. and how its changing California-Mexico travel.
Chinese airlines struggled mightily during the first half of the year under the country's zero-Covid policy. The Big 3 all lost money but China Eastern, based in Shanghai — which suffered several lockdowns — lost the most. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss the situation and how it may be turning around. Plus, Orlando Airport's new $2.8 billion terminal.
What does post-pandemic life like for a destination carrier like Hawaiian Airlines? CEO Peter Ingram joins Edward Russell to discuss the airline's recovery and outlook, including the long-awaited reopening of Japan. Plus, what Hawaiian might do with the new Boeing 787s that arrive soon.
Flying through London is getting a little better with the end of capacity caps at Gatwick Airport. But constraints remain in place at Heathrow until the end of October, and British Airways has already reduced its schedules through the winter. And always eager Ryanair is ready with more seats to grab market share, Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss the situation. Also, American Airlines' regional strategy.
The Lufthansa Group has spent the better part of 20 years trying to improve its fortunes through consolidation. Some deals, like of Swiss, have been winners, others, like of Austrian and Brussels, not so much. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss Lufthansa's aim, and what a potential ITA Airways deal could mean for the group. Also, what's in the Inflation Reduction Act for airlines.
Meet Steve Sisneros, the airport czar at Southwest Airlines. As vice president of airport affairs, he oversees current and future real estate at the carrier's 121 airports. Edward Russell and Sisneros chat about Southwest's new facilities in Denver and Phoenix, and the status of Terminal 0 plans in Los Angeles.
Southwest Airlines had a secret weapon in the second quarter: Its fuel hedges. That helped propel it to an impressive 17% operating margin. High oil prices pulled down the results of most other U.S. airlines during what was an otherwise strong quarter. Also, Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss what’s next for JetBlue and Spirit now that they’ve agreed to merge.
Airlines globally will need more than 41,000 aircraft over the next 20 years, according to Boeing's latest outlook. Edward Russell sat down with Boeing's Vice President of Commercial Marketing Darren Hulst at the Farnborough Air Show to discuss the outlook. Also, what is Boeing's response in the so-called middle-of-the-market that Airbus has run away with with its A321neo? Get more essential airline news at Airline Weekly.
What's travel like in the U.S. now? Busy and, in some cases, like a T.J. Maxx, The Wall Street Journal's new travel columnist Dawn Gilbertson told Edward Russell of her 11 flight, six airline "stress test" of the system over the July Fourth holiday weekend. We also chat with her about her role and her view on covering airlines and the travel industry.
Scandinavian airline SAS is in bankruptcy after years of struggles. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss how the carrier could still struggle to extract needed savings, particularly from aircraft lessors. And, will Star Alliance’s new partnership with German rail operator Deutsche Bahn really reduce carbon emissions? More coverage of SAS's woes:
SAS Joins List of Airline Failures and Bankruptcies Since Pandemic’s Start
SAS Airlines’ Bankruptcy Follows Months of a Showdown Over Aircraft Leases
Scandinavia’s SAS Files for Bankruptcy Protection in the U.S.
For those who hoped we'd have a resolution to the Spirit Airlines merger saga this week, no dice. The carrier delayed, again, a key shareholder vote on whether to merge with Frontier Airlines. Edward Russell and Jay Shabat discuss the latest turns, and why JetBlue Airways is so keen to acquire Spirit. Also, the outlook for July Fourth holiday weekend travel in the U.S.
Are profits on approach for airlines in 2023? Edward "Ned" Russell and Jay Shabat discuss IATA's updated outlook, and Director General Willie Walsh's comments at the annual general meeting in Doha. Also, SkyWest Airlines has a novel approach to expanding the pool of pilots.
Why is Wizz Air CEO Joszef Varadi "happy" to compete with Ryanair and why does he think it's the legacy carriers that should be scared? Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan, in his last appearance on the 'Lounge, discuss this and why Varadi is excited about the carrier's expansion in the Middle East. Then, the pair turn their attention on sustainable aviation fuel and what exactly "green hydrogen" may be and why the JetBlue-Spirit-Frontier saga would be a good plot line on "Days of Our Lives."
Delta Air Lines now forecasts its summer revenues will outpace 2019, a significant milestone in the U.S. airline industry's recovery. But all is not golden as costs, particularly fuel, are rising as well. Edward “Ned” Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan then head to Europe, discussing SAS' threat of a potential bankruptcy restructuring and Pieter Elbers' exit from KLM.
Just how bullish is IndiGo CEO Ronojoy Dutta on India's airline market? Very, very bullish. But Edward "Ned Russell" and Madhu Unnikrishnan note that others have predicted that India's aviation market is about to take off (Kingfisher? Jet Airways?). So what makes Dutta so confident? Listen to this week's episode to find out.
Abra, the new holding company planned by Colombia's Avianca and Brazil's Gol, would knit together South America in what Copa CEO called a spider web (although he said he's not too concerned about it). In this week's episode, Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan take a look at what the new transnational company could look like and why Copa is doing well. And then they blame Alanis Morrissete for ruining the word "ironic."
Tempers are flaring as airlines, unions, and even Congress point fingers at who's to blame for the pilot shortage. Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan discuss an innovative program at Southern Airways Express as well as why Mesa CEO Jonathan Ornstein may have a point about foreign pilots flying into the U.S. and the challenges to changing the 1,500-hour rule. Later, the pair look into the great summer ahead for the European Big Three and why Azul is having a banner year.
Airlines are sparring over Newark Liberty International Airport, as United claims the FAA is allowing low-cost-carriers to go over the 79 flight operations per hour cap. But Spirit and JetBlue refute that claim and say United should reduce its own operations if it wants fewer delays. Who's right? That's what Madhu Unnikrishnan and Edward "Ned" Russell discuss, before turning to how the lack of spare Airbus A220 parts is forcing AirBaltic to wet-lease a Boeing 737 from Ukraine International Airlines.
Edward “Ned” Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan are in the thick of first quarter earnings. The takeaway so far: demand changed for the better in March but summer may not be as rosy as many hoped, at least for travelers. Staffing concerns continue to weigh on schedules, threatening limited and pricey options for those with pent-up demand to travel.
Cape Air CEO Linda Markham warns that the U.S. industry’s every-airline-for-themselves approach to easing the pilot shortage may not be the best way to address supply. Edward “Ned” Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan discuss her comments, and our favorite spokes-seagull. Then, Delta Air Lines was the industry’s bellwether on financials with the recovery turn it saw in March apparently set to carry other U.S. airlines back to the black.
It’s that time of year again: earnings! Delta Air Lines kicked off the first quarter results season with better than expected financials that reflected the two halves of the quarter; one characterized by Omicron and the other by pent-up demand. Edward “Ned” Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan also discuss how the U.S. pilot shortage has spread to mid-size carriers Alaska Airlines and JetBlue.
In a surprise move, JetBlue Airways unveiled an unsolicited bid for Spirit Airlines, potentially derailing the latter’s deal with Frontier Airlines. But, given the potential market clout a larger ULCC could be to JetBlue, especially on busy Florida routes, maybe it’s not such a surprise. Edward “Ned” Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan discuss the merger machinations, and the word from European airlines at the recent Airlines for Europe summit.
Delta Air Lines is making a play for more premium passengers in Los Angeles. Our reporter Brian Sumers took a field trip to LAX to talk to Delta leaders to see what the airline thinks sets it apart at the country's second-largest market. Then, Brian and Madhu Unnikrishnan use the "garden center index" to gauge how far the travel recovery has come.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine initially sent oil markets into a spiral. Prices may have come back down to earth, but oil remains volatile. Yet, U.S. airline executives aren't terribly concerned. More pressing is how to hire enough pilots to operate flights. Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan report on what they learned at a recent industry conference and discuss which airlines plan to add or trim capacity this summer.
How does a country that spans 11 time zones function without long-haul aircraft? That is among the questions Russia Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan consider in this week's episode. Russia's invasion of Ukraine continues to roil the airline and aerospace industries, as lessors write off their assets in the country and a growing list of companies say they no longer will support Russia's airlines. Meanwhile, the war's economic effects are only now beginning to come into focus. And Ned learns why edible oils are critical to the the world's economy.
In this week's episode, Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan break down the many ways the Ukraine war will affect global aviation. Will lessors repossess jets by March 28? How will airlines reroute their polar flights? This global crisis has the potential to set aviation and aerospace back years. After the break, Madhu and Ned turn their attention to the growing U.S. pilot shortage and what that may mean for airline recovery.
This week, Accenture's Emily Weiss, global travel lead, and Scott Davidson, managing director-travel industry, talk to host Madhu Unnikrishnan about how different business travel may look when it returns. If the pandemic has taught the travel industry anything it's the "art of the possible," Weiss noted. Will digital nomads offset the slow return of business travel for airlines? And just how promising are eVTOLs in solving the urban mobility conundrum? Listen to this week's episode to find out.
Big news in the U.S. ultra-low-cost-carrier market this week, as Spirit and Frontier announced their plans to merge. Meanwhile, Allegiant's long-serving CEO Maury Gallagher, who helmed one of the most profitable airlines in the world, announced his retirement. Madhu Unnikrishnan and Edward "Ned" Russell. discuss the hurdles ahead for the merger, why Gallagher's retirement is significant, as well as why India's IndiGo is not concerned about a revitalized Air India.
Boeing hinted it would launch a new aircraft, and it did: The 777-8F, a freighter variant of its 777X program. Launch customer Qatar Airways put in an order for up to 50 of the new aircraft. Meanwhile, Ryanair's normally bullish CEO Michael O'Leary is less confident about summer demand. And network changes at the discounter make us wonder where the airline will put all its new Boeing 737 Maxes, or as Ryanair calls them "Gamechangers." Madhu Unnikrishnan and Edward "Ned" Russell ask why Ryanair is still trying to make "fetch" happen.
Cathay Pacific is struggling under new travel restrictions from the Hong Kong government, and the lack of any significant support from the government means it’s back in the red. Hosts Edward “Ned” Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan also discuss cargo’s continued growth in 2021, and Airbus’ plan to launch a new cargo carrier with its bulbous Belugas, and they wrap with the throughline from the U.S. Big 3’s results.
The rollout of 5G wireless technology threatened major disruptions to the U.S. air transport system until it didn’t, in a crisis that J.P. Morgan analyst Jamie Baker likened to Y2K. Hosts Madhu Unnikrishnan and Edward “Ned” Russell also discuss the pilot shortage, and what they expected from American Airlines and United Airlines 2021 results.
Airbus and Boeing have split the commercial aircraft market for a while, but analysts say Boeing could become the junior partner if it doesn't come up with something for the middle of the market. Hosts Madhu Unnikrishnan and Edward "Ned" Russell chew on Boeing's options and discuss Airbus's rather good 2021.
It should have been a great holiday season for the U.S. industry, with bookings approaching 2019 levels, but a combination of Omicron-related crew shortages and terrible weather forced airlines to cancel thousands of flights. Edward Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan dig into what happened and discuss the FAA's spat with the Commerce Department over 5G networks.
Who is Robert Isom? Madhu and Ned discuss American Airlines' new CEO, and recount retiring CEO Doug Parker’s long career. Also, Southwest Airlines is cautious for 2022, while Azul charges ahead with the bulls.
This week Edward Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan mull the new Omicron variant, and what impact it may — or may not — have on the airline recovery. Also, how EasyJet and SAS did during their 2021 fiscal years (hint: Lots of red), and the busy, yet uneventful, Thanksgiving holiday travel week in the U.S.
Like many airline chiefs, Doug Parker is “bullish” on the future, particularly after a surge in demand for transatlantic flights after the travel ban lifted on Nov. 8. But American Airlines is poised to begin 2022 as a larger airline — despite labor woes.
Speaking at Skift Aviation Forum on November 17, 2021, Parker said business travel will return to 2019 levels, at some point.
Listen now for the full interview with Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan.
Read more coverage of the aviation industry at airlineweekly.com
"We will win customers on quality,” Kirby said at the Skift Aviation Forumon November 17, 2021. And he had plenty of examples quality improvements to cite: The addition of premium-heavy “high-J” Boeing 767-300ERs that fly to Europe, the Bombardier CRJ-550 that met pilot contract rules while bringing a dual-class product to smaller cities, and a return of in-seat entertainment screens to its domestic mainline narrow-body fleet to name a few. And, while further out, United is investing in new spaces in Denver and Newark, and possibly in Washington, D.C.
Listen now for the full interview with Skift contributor Brian Sumers.
Read more coverage of the airlines industry at skift.com/airlines
This week Edward Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan chew over why optimism reigns among airline CEOs, who believe the third quarter was the inflection point, and now the recovery will be more real. CEOs say, of course, warn that no one knows how Covid-19 will play out, but they're bullish on next year. Next, Madhu and Ned discuss delivery delays at Boeing and whether Airbus will face similar problems when it ramps up production over the next couple of years.
This week in the 'Lounge, Ned and Madhu discuss the U.S. reopening for vaccinated travelers and what that means for airlines. But what caught their attention was the strong rebound Brazil's airlines have made. After a terrible second quarter marked by devastating Covid wave, Brazil's airlines are reaping the benefits of the country's strong and widespread vaccination program. Finally, Ned and Madhu mourn the Eastern Shuttle, which American is finally ending, and wonder where they can watch "Love on the Eastern Shuttle," a long-forgotten movie about the route.
Ned Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan make the water jump across the Atlantic this week, where Air France-KLM, Lufthansa, and Ryanair reported results. Optimism abounds for 2022, and competition is heating up, with Ryanair playing offense and Lufthansa defense. And in South America, Azul has its eyes on a big prize: Latam Airlines Group.
Earnings season continues, with JetBlue, Hawaiian, and Spirit rounding out the U.S. carriers. Once again, all eyes are on the fourth quarter of this year and the first quarter of next year. Ned Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan chew over why JetBlue has reason for hope. Meanwhile, the best thing that anyone can say about Boeing is that its loss narrowed, and the Airline Weekly team looks at what's going on with the airframer. Finally, Avianca had its day in court.
Ned and Madhu digest United's third-quarter earnings in this latest episode of the Lounge and observe that airline CEO predictions about the recovery run the gamut from United CEO Scott Kirby's extreme bullishiness to the more cautious optimism expressed by Southwest CEO Gary Kelly and Avianca CEO Adrian Neuhauser. And will Norse Atlantic make a go of low-cost longhaul? Find out in this week's show.
This week in the Lounge, Madhu and Ned breakdown Delta's third-quarter earnings, and take bets on whether premium leisure is the travel trend of the future that CEO Ed Bastian thinks it is. Also, Southwest burns out and United wants its Pratt & Whitney-powered 777s back for what could be a blockbuster Summer 2022 across the North Atlantic.
Airline Weekly's' Edward "Ned" Russell heard a variety of forecasts for when business travel will return at the IATA Annual General Meeting this week in Boston. He and Madhu Unnikrishnan discuss whether Emirates President Tim Clark is right that business travel will return next year or Avianca CEO Adrian Neuhauser is correct to be more pessimistic in predicting half of all business travel is gone forever. Later, the Airline Weekly team discusses sustainability and how IATA plans to reach its ambitious climate goals.
Airline Weekly's Edward Russell reports back on the annual Regional Airline Association Leaders Conference, where executives said their long-standing labor issues expanded during the crisis. Also, Madhu and Ned discuss Qatar Airways' results, and the American Airlines and Southwest Airlines pilot union objections to vaccine mandates.
This week's episode of the 'Lounge comes to you live from the TWA Hotel at New York Kennedy during the Skift Global Forum 2021. The Airline Weekly team discusses why Air France-KLM Group CEO Ben Smith was "pleasantly shocked," incoming Southwest CEO Robert Jordan's concerns about hiring, and what the Justice Department hopes to accomplish with its suit agains
This week the Airline Weekly team chews over why Australia's competition regulator denied Qantas and Japan Airlines a joint venture. Will Fly Play buck the odds and make low-cost longhaul work? And, with gratuitous references to unicorns, Sasquatches, white whales, and other mythical animals, Ned and Madhu discuss Boeing's $9 trillion aerospace outlook.
Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan talk about why Philippines Airlines Chapter 11 surprised no one. The two also discuss Porter's restart flights, and Ryanair's latest fight with Boeing.
The Airline Weekly team heads south to look at South African Airways’ restructuring and restart after an 18-month suspension. Can the notoriously poorly run airline emerge a successful carrier? We also touch on Norwegian Air’s results and the raft of budget carriers aiming to disrupt the transatlantic, again.
Airline Weekly Senior Reporter Edward Russell talks to PaxEx.Aero Founder and Editor Seth Miller about his experience onboard JetBlue's inaugural flight to London earlier this month. Can the carrier that helped reshape the New York market two decades ago, do the same on transatlantic routes to London?
How do airlines like the Boeing 737 Max now that it's been back in service for more than half a year? The Airline Weekly team consider this question as well as wondering if even more airlines will jump on the cargo bandwagon.
This week, Madhu Unnikrishnan and Edward "Ned" Russell, the team behind Airline Weekly, look at why so many Latin American carriers are buying aircraft and if the OEMs are right that airlines are just starting a massive fleet-replacement cycle. It's early days, but the U.S. Senate passed a massive infrastructure spending bill, so will that mean NextGen could finally get off the ground? And why is Mesa Air struggling with maintenance?
Stay ahead of aviation news with a subscription to Airline Weekly.
We have a special guest this week, Skift Editor at Large Brian Sumers, and he and host Madhu Unnikrishnan discuss why business travel may never be the same and question whether U.S. airline CEOs are being too optimistic when they say the market will come back in September. Is air rage more prevalent now than before the pandemic? And why did Sumers, a previously avid traveler, take his first commercial flight in more than a year and say the experience was "kinda gross?"
Stay ahead of airline news with a subscription to Airline Weekly.
U.S. airlines are maintaining their bullish recovery outlooks even as Covid-19 Delta variant cases jump and mask requirements make a comeback. Reporter Ned Russell and Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan discuss whether this is a realistic view or one tailored for shareholders. Later in the episode, they discuss the continuing U.S. travel restrictions and make their predictions on Boeing.
Stay ahead of aviation news with a subscription to Airline Weekly.
Canada's Porter Airlines, despite not having flown a single flight since last March, is reimaging itself by ordering its first jets and moving some flights into Toronto Pearson. Reporter Ned Russell and Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan talk about what that means for the quirky airline and wonder what Porter's raccoon spokescritter is named. Later in the episode, Ned and Madhu discuss what may be behind United's recent orders for new-technology aircraft (spoiler: it has nothing to do with networks). Stay ahead of aviation news at airlineweekly.com.
United made some news last week with its largest aircraft order, but there was more to the order than just the happy talk. Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan discuss why United needed to upgrade its fleet, and why no one really knows when business travel will return (despite what they say). Stay ahead of aviation industry news with a subscription to Airline Weekly.
Boeing's largest 737 Max variant, the -10, took flight. Is it enough for Boeing to take on the mighty Airbus A321neo and all its variants? Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan get into it and why Boeing may need to pull the trigger on a clean-sheet mid-market aircraft (or not). Meanwhile, American has a major pilot training bottleneck, and Europe's low-cost airline sector is mixing things up. Stay ahead of airline industry news at airlineweekly.com.
The U.S. and the EU ended a 17-year-long spat over which side provided more illegal state aid and agreed to drop tariffs, which means chocolate, wine, and exercise equipment may get cheaper. Huh? Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan get into why that is, and also chew over why JetBlue is pruning its pandemic-era schedule. Read more essential airline news at Airline Weekly.
Southwest Airlines ordered 34 Boeing 737-7 Max aircraft, a strong sign of confidence in the once troubled airline program and a spot of good news for the beleaguered airframer. Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan and Airlines Reporter Edward "Ned" Russel talk about what that means for both Boeing and Southwest and whether there is a capacity-traffic mismatch for the summer. Also, how realistic are United's plans for supersonic travel by 2029 (when Boom's overture doesn't yet have an engine)?
Read the latest at airlineweekly.com.
U.S. airline CEOs were encouraged by passenger traffic during the week's Memorial Day holiday, which marks the unofficial start of summer for the United States. But their European counterparts are less optimistic, and are hoping to avoid a second "lost" summer. Meanwhile, rumblings of mergers and acquisitions has caused no end of drama in Brazil.
Stay ahead of the news with our weekly forecast and daily updates at Airline Weekly.
David Neeleman's new airline breezes to a ticket counter near you soon, as the first flights launch next week. Edward "Ned" Russell discusses his interview with Neeleman (in the May 24 issue) with Madhu Unnikrishnan. And why is Ryanair trying to make "fetch" happen? Learn more by subscribing to Airline Weekly.
In the first segment of this episode, Accenture's Jonathan Sullivan argues that domestic business travel is coming back around the world, particularly as companies ramp up their sales pipelines. One complicating factor, though, is that it's hard to have face-to-face meetings when most employees still are remote. In the second segment, Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan talk about domestic summer demand and why Americans are falling back in love with their national parks. Stay up to date on the business of aviation at Airline Weekly.
Europe could reopen for vaccinated U.S. tourists sometime this summer, officials say. But it's already May. Will all the pieces be in place to salvage airlines' peak summer season? Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan and Airlines Reporter Edward "Ned" Russell ponder that question. Also on this episode, Ned tells us about his field trip to American's Tulsa MRO, and is the world's largest airline right to pull all stored jets out of mothballs?
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United CEO Scott Kirby says business travel is coming back, while Southwest CEO Gary Kelly says it could take years? Who's right? Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan and Airlines Reporter Edward "Ned" Russell get into it. And we also take a look at the Mexico market and why Volaris is so bullish, as well as when business travel might return.
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We're in the thick of U.S. airline first-quarter earnings, and executives almost across the board are optimistic that the industry has turned the corner. But is that optimism misplaced? Brazil, after all, offers a cautionary tale of how the virus isn't yet done with us. Stay on top of airline news with a subscription to Airline Weekly.
After not getting any aid from the Canadia government, Air Canada finally got about $5 billion in assistance. Skift Airlines Reporter Edward "Ned" Russell and Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan discuss what this might mean, why Latam is retiring its A350s, and what are they smoking at Frontier's HQ in Denver to add so many routes?
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It's a reunion for Brian Sumers, Skift editor at large, and Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan, as they debate whether there really is that much pent-up demand for travel. Airlines are banking on it. Brian thinks there is, but Madhu is skeptical. Where do you fall on the issue?
Learn more at Airline Weekly.
Georgia's controversial new elections law caused a public relations nightmare for Delta Air Lines and its CEO Ed Bastian, whose first, tepid comment on the law caused immense blowback and calls to boycott the airline. Bastian reversed course and issued a more forceful condemnation, inviting Governor Brian Kemp's fury. Airline Weekly's Madhu Unnikrishnan and Edward "Ned" Russell discuss the perils that lie in wait for companies when they weigh in on thorny social issues and why CEOs increasingly feel compelled to have an opinion on social and political matters. Stay ahead of aviation industry news at airlineweekly.com/subscribe
Qatar Airways thinks leisure and visiting friends and relatives traffic will rebound this summer, and it thinks it has the right fleet for the moment. And Eurowings is betting the same, planning its first routes in Europe than don't go through its home base in Germany. But the virus is surging in Europe, and the pace of vaccinations worldwide may not be keeping up with airlines' hopes. Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan dive into these topics and into why Wall Street is betting big on Frontier Airlines' stock market debut. Get daily updates at airlineweekly.com to better understand the industry.
U.S. airline CEOs are pretty confident that they've turned the corner. The pandemic isn't in the rearview mirror yet, but they're fairly certain travel will rebound this summer, and some think their airlines will return to profitability this year. Is that confidence misplaced? Will business travel ever be the same as it was? Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan get into it. Get more essential airline news at airlineweekly.com
In this week's episode, Airline Weekly colleagues Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan get into why going public may not be the craziest idea of an airline, despite the once-in-a-century industry-wide crisis. They also look at why Lufthansa is opening its fortress hubs at Munich and Frankfurt to its own subsidiaries. And does IATA's Alexandre de Juniac really think leisure traffic will take off this summer? Get more essential airline news at airlineweekly.com/subscribe
Much of the world is trapped at home and shopping online. Who's transporting all those goods? Airlines, and cargo. has been the one silver lining in the airline's terrible pandemic year. But it's not a savior; airlines still are losing money. Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan talk all things cargo and look at why United is buying more Boeing 737 Max aircraft. Stay informed about essential aviation news with a subscription to Airline Weekly.
Norwegian's retrenchment is providing opportunities for all sorts of airlines, like Finnair, United, and Virgin Atlantic, Airline Weekly colleagues Edward "Ned" Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan say in this week's episode. And just why is much of the media coverage of United Flight 328 wrong, when the aircraft's systems and its crew acted just as they should have in an emergency? Stay ahead of aviation news by subscribing to Airline Weekly.
United's plan to bridge the "last mile" with electric aircraft is ambitious, especially since the FAA hasn't approved any electric engines for flight yet. Meanwhile, Spirit could have its 2019 capacity back by this summer. Airline Weekly colleagues Ned Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan take a look at these issues as well as why Aeromexico's bankruptcy and Interjet's inability to pay its fuel bills might help Volaris.
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Sun Country has been planning to go public for more than a year, but it made it official now, during the worst crisis to hit the airline industry. Airline Weekly colleagues Edward Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan talk about why the low-cost-carrier is going public now, what's happening with Air Canada, and whether Copa will be a Wall Street darling again.
Stay ahead of aviation news with a subscription to Airline Weekly.
The six largest U.S. airlines have reported their fourth-quarter and full-year 2020 results, and while we knew last year was historically bad, it doesn't look like this year will be any better. Airline Weekly colleagues Edward Russell and Madhu Unnikrishnan dig into the earnings and when travel will start to rebound. Become an Airline Weekly subscriber at https://airlineweekly.com
Airbus has a winner with the A220, and airlines are just starting to discover what they can do with the aircraft’s size and range. Chris Sloan, publisher of theairchive.net joins for a discussion on the A220 and the Boeing 737 Max.
Expedia Vice President Air Partnerships Julie Kyse joins the Airline Weekly Lounge to let us know how data can help airlines recover.
We will be on hiatus until the first week of January. Enjoy your holidays, no matter how you celebrate.
Dallas Fort Worth International Airport moved quickly to safeguard public health when the coronavirus began to spread in the U.S. What changes will be permanent? CEO Sean Donohue explains in this week's episode.
To participate live in events like this, please visit https://forum.skift.com
The airline industry is just one part of the larger travel ecosystem, and no one sector has been immune to the effects of a once-in-a-century pandemic. Skift Hospitality Reporter Cameron Sperance joins us for a state-of-play on the hospitality and cruise industries.
To participate in Airline Weekly Lounge live, register at forum.skift.com.
Last week Skift and the Airline Weekly team hosted our first conference devoted to aviation. Guests including Southwest CEO and Chairman Gary Kelly, Air France CEO Anne Rigali, and Air Lease Corp. Executive Chairman Steven Udvar-Házy discussed the current state of the industry.
For today's podcast, the Airline Weekly team connects the dots between the conversations.
To participate in weekly recordings of Airline Weekly Lounge, register on our conference site.
Brett "Cranky Flier" Snyder joins Airline Weekly Lounge Live after trying Hawaiian Airlines' new rapid-response test from LAX. The process, aimed to allow travelers to avoid Hawaii's 14-day quarantine, was confusing, he said. And Cranky updates us with his latest installment of "Skeds of Airlines."
Capt. Joe DePete, president of the Air Line Pilots Association, argues that airlines are critical infrastructure, and pilots are essential workers. The industry needs more federal support in order to ensure it can bounce back when demand returns, or the economy as a whole will suffer, he says.
Join us on November 19, 2020 for Skift Aviation Forum and learn from CEOs and leaders at Delta Air Lines, Air France, Virgin Atlantic, Ryanair, and more.
Boeing's grounded 737 MAX has been in the news a bunch recently, with European regulators and some airlines predicting it will be back in the air by year's end. What regulatory steps remain before the FAA approves it for flight, and what emerged in the investigation on why the aircraft's software malfunctioned? Aviation Week Air Transport and Safety Editor Sean Broderick helps break it down.
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Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan is joined by Skift hospitality reporter Cameron Sperance to discuss the state of leisure and business travel.
Join events like this live by registering at https://forum.skift.com/mondays-airline-weekly/
PaxEx.aero founder Seth Miller joins us live from Philadelphia International Airport for an update on the passenger experience during this pandemic. The pandemic provides both opportunity and risk for airlines and their suppliers. With traffic light, now could the time to innovate, but with cash tight, do airlines and their suppliers have the wherewithal?
Few other airlines were as associated with luxury intercontinental travel than Singapore Airlines was before the pandemic. But when Covid travel restrictions went into force, Singapore's core business all but evaporated, and unlike many of its rivals, it has no domestic market at all to fall back on.
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Brian Sumers, Skift senior aviation business editor, and Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan asked just why airlines are eliminating change fees (when passengers have complained about them forever). Are airlines ready to transport vaccines?
To join events like this live, visit https://forum.skift.com
Accenture's Jonathan Keane sketches four scenarios the airline industry could face, ranging from a "remarkable return" to "the darkest days." How should airlines prepare for a very uncertain post-pandemic future?
Join future events like this at https://forum.skift.com/mondays-airline-weekly/
IATA Regional Vice President for the Americas Peter Cerdá explains the patchwork of travel restrictions that is making air travel in Latin America difficult and why governments in the region should invest more in air transport infrastructure.
Get the latest aviation industry intelligence at https://airlineweekly.com
More Europeans may be taking their summer holidays, but it still was a historically bad quarter for the continent’s airlines, especially for those that staked their fortunes on long-haul premium traffic.
Join us live for similar events at https://forum.skift.com
Skift Senior Aviation Business Editor Brian Sumers joins host Madhu Unnikrishnan to examine why the heads of four U.S. and European airlines are asking for quarantine rules to be eased. Also, how much more time do you have to fly in a passenger Boeing 747?
For more about the business of aviation, please visit https://airlineweekly.com
This week host Madhu Unnikrishnan is joined by Amy Burr, managing director of JetBlue Ventures, and Nirali Shah, director, Vantage Airport Group.
To stay on top of essential aviation industry news, please visit Airline Weekly.
How has the passenger experience changed during the pandemic? In no good way, says Seth Miller, founder and editor of PaxEx.aero. Although less-full flights mean more space, airlines are halting or limiting food service, keeping lounges closed, and changing the way IFE is delivered. These are all good and necessary measures, Miller notes, but the passenger experience as we knew it is changing.
Understand more about the airline industry with Airline Weekly.
Chris Jones, McCarran International Airport chief marketing officer, discusses the steep drop off in traffic when Las Vegas closed down and how traffic is slowly starting to recover now that many shelter-in-place restrictions are easing. Listen to how McCarran is “betting against the spread” by mandating social distancing, disinfecting public areas, and encouraging mask use.
Understand more about the aviation industry with this week"s issue of Skift Airline Weekly.
Bombardier exits the commerical aviation market, and Mitsubishi considers what comes next with the MRJ. Aerospace journalist Jon Ostrower of The Air Current joins host Madhu Unnikrishnan to explain what he calls the rapidly moving tectonic plates in the airframer world.
Dive deeper into industry news with the latest issue of Skift Airline Weekly.
Covid-19 claimed its latest airline victim with the bankruptcy of Latam. Just how did one of the largest and most successful airlines in Latin America land in such dire straits? And what does its bankruptcy filing mean for Delta, which has a significant investment in Latam, and for connectivity in South America? Join Skift Airline Weekly’s editors as they hash out what happened and for when they think shorthaul traffic might start to rebound.
Dive deeper into industry news with the latest issue of Skift Airline Weekly.
Brett Snyder, better known as The Cranky Flier, emphatically says passengers need to wear masks or facial coverings onboard aircraft. It’s not a question, Snyder says in this episode of Mondays With Skift Airline Weekly. Airlines dug themselves into a public-relations hole by promising social distancing by blocking middle seats — which doesn’t provide the necessary six-feet of separation and is financially unsustainable. So given that flights will be filling up again, passengers need to wear masks.
Dive deeper into industry news with the latest issue of Skift Airline Weekly.
Ty Osbaugh, architecture firm Gensler’s aviation lead and principal, joins Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan for a discussion on how airports need to change to handle a public-health emergency. Everything from check-in to terminal design needs to be rethought to adapt to travel’s new reality.
Dive deeper with the latest issue of Skift Airline Weekly.
The airline industry is ravaged now, but could this create an opportunity for new airlines to emerge? Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan and Seth Kaplan, Airline Weekly co-founder and current host of the Airlines Confidential podcast discuss the possibility.
Dive deeper with the latest issue of Skift Airline Weekly.
This week Skift Airline Weekly editor Madhu Unnikrishnan was joined by Skift Aviation Business Editor Brian Sumers to discuss first quarter earnings -- and why they are likely the best numbers airlines will see for all of 2020.
Dive deeper with the latest issue of Skift Airline Weekly.
This week the Skift Airline Weekly team discussed Virgin Australia’s potential demise as well as how other airlines are weathering the coronavirus fallout.
Dive deeper with the latest issue of Skift Airline Weekly.
The coronavirus pandemic is bringing the world's airlines to their knees. The Trump administration's decision on Wednesday to suspend travel between the U.S. and the European Union's Schengen area is unprecedented. But how is this shock different from the aftereffects of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks? On the one hand, the 9/11 attacks changed airports and airlines in noticeable ways, such as new security protocols and armored cockpit doors. On the other hand, the viral pandemic's effects are more widespread and universal for the world's airlines than the fallout from the 9/11 attacks.
Can all-business class airlines work? La Compagnie President Christian Vernet thinks so. But while others have failed — remember MAXJet? — Vernet said his airline's product sets it apart, and the A321 is the ideal aircraft for both the route and the on-board product. And as for the other 10 airlines that operate the Paris-New York route, including behemoths like Air France and Delta? Vernet said business class passengers on La Compagnie appreciate not waiting while "300 other passengers [are] going through the aisle … finding the economy section of the aircraft." In addition to its year-round Paris flights, the airline again this summer is planning to operate Newark-Nice flights.
Qatar Airways took a page from Etihad's book and invested in a European carrier. This elicited howls from the major U.S. airlines. They claimed this move was nothing more than a Trojan Horse strategy for Qatar to operate fifth-freedom flights to the U.S. from Europe (but not quite, since Air Italy was a European carrier). Air Italy never fulfilled its promise — or threat, depending on where you stood on the issue — and the airline is now shutting down Feb. 25. Skift Europe Editor Patrick Whyte tells us why.
A federal court is wading into the arcana of airline distribution. It's assessing whether there are antitrust issues with travel tech company Sabre's proposed acquisition of Farelogix. But what exactly is the deal? And why does the government have concerns? Skift Senior Travel Tech Editor Sean O'Neill takes us through an explainer on what Sabre and Farelogix do, why the government cares, and why you probably shouldn't sue your next employer.
French Bee President Marc Rochet is confident the airline's upcoming Newark-Orly flights will be successful, because the key to the airline's wins so far is its simplicity, he said. But will it work? Rochet said simplicity — in fleet, in network, in product — is key to why the airline is working when so many other European leisure carriers have failed.
Just what is going on in California? JetBlue is drawing down at Long Beach and dropping Oakland altogether, while United is adding flights to small California cities. Can any airline make a go of the Los Angeles Basin's secondary airports? What about the San Francisco Bay Area's secondary airports? Why is Spirit launching one of its longest flights to Oakland? Join Skift's resident Californians, Madhu Unnikrishnan and Brian Sumers, as they discuss airlines in the Golden State (and elsewhere too).
Airline Weekly talks this week to Skift Europe Editor Patrick Whyte on the news of International Airlines Group CEO Willie Walsh's retirement announcement. Walsh has been a powerhouse in the airline industry, helping transform British Airways into a pan-European behemoth. London-based Whyte walks us through the reaction in the United Kingdom. He also takes a look at what Flybe's financial problems might mean for the domestic UK market.
A single year can result in dramatic change within the airline industry, so an entire decade could see it completely transformed. After 10 years of strong profits and relatively stable oil prices in the 2010s, what does the decade ahead hold in store for the U.S. airline industry? Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan and co-founder and Senior Analyst Jay Shabat game out what might happen in the next 5–10 years — and whether Boeing ever will build the NMA.
It's that time of year again. Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan and Senior Analyst Jay Shabat look back on the year that was. It was yet another tumultuous year in this industry we love: Storied names like Thomas Cook, among others, went out of business, and the B737 MAX — one of the world's best-selling aircraft — was grounded. Can anyone make low-cost, longhaul flights work? Will Boeing ever build the new midsize airplane (NMA)? Listen to our final podcast of the year to find out.
Skeptics might say the airport of the future has always been just around the corner, but maybe the "smart airport" really is a thing. Skift Travel Tech Editor Sean O'Neill tells Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan about how advances in technology are improving the passenger experience, baggage tracking, and security. Hear what some of the world's more innovative airports are doing to implement new technologies into every part of their operations in this week's episode of the Lounge.
It's not other airlines. It's the bus. That's where Mexican ultra-low-cost carrier Volaris sees the most opportunity to grow: by poaching passengers from the country's long-distance bus network. In this episode of the Airline Weekly Lounge, Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan talks to Skift Travel Editor-in-Chief Tom Lowry about Volaris' growth strategy, how it allows passengers to pay for tickets, and why its employees are sometimes escorted out of bus stations by security.
Will there be a deal or won't there? The Indian government now says it wants to sell 100% of the state-owned carrier, but who will buy it? The airline is notoriously saddled with debt and has a restive labor force. Airline Weekly Senior Analyst Jay Shabat acknowledges Air India's problems but notes that the beleaguered carrier actually has some strengths and assets that a would-be buyer could find attractive. Will any company step forward to buy the Flying Maharajah? Listen to this week's episode to find out.
Skift Europe Editor Patrick Whyte joined Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan to share his insights on the latest in European airline news. First, of course, Whyte takes a look at why Air Europa's parent company Globalia would want to sell one of its largest business units to IAG. Is there a future for vertically integrated travel companies, especially after behemoth Thomas Cook went bankrupt?
Whyte points out, however, that parts of the bankrupt Thomas Cook's empire have lived to see another day, including Condor and the company's Nordic operations. Even the travel agencies have a new lease on life. Whyte also discussed Air France/KLM's plans for the future. Listen to the full podcast here, on iTunes, Google Play, or wherever you get your podcasts.
International Airlines Group (IAG) had a surprise for the airline industry this week: It stated its intention to buy Spanish carrier Air Europa. This wasn't a surprise to Skift Airline Weekly, however, which earlier this year reported on the rumors afloat about the acquisition.
What's in it for IAG? Skift Airline Weekly Senior Analyst Jay Shabat walked us through the rationale for the acquisition, the regulatory issues that may lie ahead, and just why Madrid may not be the next European megahub. Shabat also explained why IAG, which already owns Iberia, Iberia Express, Vueling, and Level, is getting its fifth Spanish airline.
Listen to the full episode.
Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan caught up with Anders Lindström, Norwegian's director of communications for the U.S., at San Francisco International Airport on Monday when the carrier launched San Francisco-Barcelona flights. Lindström explained why Norwegian is moving some flights from Oakland to SFO, and what routes in the U.S. are doing well for the carrier. He also talked through the third-quarter results and why he thinks the carrier has turned the corner from its tough year.
The UK government this week engages in another set of inquiries on why Thomas Cook went bankrupt, which is the perfect time to ask Skift Europe Editor Patrick Whyte, who has been covering the story, what happened. How did the "booking clerk to the empire" go belly-up after more than 150 years? Whyte explains that the company was struggling under a massive debt load and had struggled with maintaining a large number of travel agencies as booking habits changed. But Whyte noted that parts of the business remain — Condor, in Germany, and the subsidiary in the Nordic countries.
European and UK holidaymakers may see fares rise in the short term as airlines backfill the capacity hole left by Thomas Cook's bankruptcy, but Whyte believed the capacity shortfall would be filled by next summer.
Back in the aughts, Airlines for America's Chief Economist John Heimlich often showed a slide with an alarming statistic: Coffee giant Starbucks' market capitalization was more than that of the entire U.S. airline industry combined. So much has changed in the last 10 years, as the airline industry recovered from the 9/11 terrorist attacks, SARS, and oil prices of $148 per barrel, among other trials and tribulations.
Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan and Heimlich had a chance to catch up at the Boyd Group's International Aviation Forecast Summit in August. Unnikrishnan reminded Heimlich of that slide and asked him if those turbulent times could return. Heimlich explained how the industry has changed: different management, improved aircraft technology, and consolidation being among the most important factors. But he warned that the airline industry is uniquely exposed to exogenous shocks, like geopolitical turmoil, weather, and the price of oil.
The airline industry is continuing to evolve, with new aircraft technology, like the Airbus A321 XLR, making low-cost, long-haul a better business proposition, Heimlich said. But will anyone crack that low-cost, long-haul code? And what about small-community air service in the U.S. and Canada, now that airlines have retired or are in the process of retiring their smallest aircraft?
In this episode of the Skift Airline Weekly Lounge podcast, Skift Travel Senior Aviation Business Editor Brian Sumers and I discuss the interviews we did on stage at Skift Global Forum in New York City, Sept. 18–19. Air France/KLM CEO Ben Smith told us how he's trying to rationalize and simplify Air France's network (while leaving KLM largely alone). American Airlines Chief Financial Officer Derek Kerr promised the carrier would recover from a difficult summer. And Delta CEO Ed Bastian spoke about transforming the airline into a trusted global brand.
Sumers and I chew on our conversations at Skift Global Forum and wonder just why Smith's favorite aircraft is the B747. —Madhu Unnikrishnan, editor, Skift Airline Weekly
Andrew Watterson, Southwest's chief revenue officer, had a few minutes to talk to Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan and Skift Travel Senior Aviation Business Editor Brian Sumers at the Boyd Group's International Aviation Forecast Summit in Las Vegas last month. Watterson still is bullish on Hawaii and says Southwest will expand its service to the state from California. He explained why Southwest pulled out of Mexico City and how its international network is optimized to take U.S. residents to Mexican and Caribbean leisure destinations. Watterson also explained that Southwest is seen as a leisure carrier in the Eastern half of the country and a business carrier in the West.
Rosemary Vassiliadis, director of aviation for Clark County, Nevada, leads operations at Las Vegas McCarran International Airport and oversees four other airports in southern Nevada. Vassiliadis thinks airlines are flat wrong in their opposition to raising the passenger facility charge, or PFC. Airports have long argued for raising this fee to a maximum of $8.50 per passenger, up from $4.50 today, but airlines say doing so would crimp demand for travel. This isn't true, Vassiliadis argued in this interview, pointing to the many — and higher — ancillary fees that airlines already levy that haven't dampened demand. Airports are pushing for the increase, ultimately, in order to better serve the passenger, she noted.
Vassiliadis also told Skift Airline Weekly about McCarran's new air service and plans for a new airport on the California-Nevada border.
Hawaiian Airlines CEO Peter Ingram isn't too worried about increasing competition from U.S. and Japanese carriers on routes to Hawaii. During an an interview with Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan in Las Vegas on Aug. 26, Ingram said Hawaiian has been competing fiercely on those routes for 90 years, so this is nothing new, Ingram said. What is new, at least since Aloha and Go went bankrupt, is competition on inter-island routes. Southwest recently began flying limited routes between the Hawaiian islands, but Hawaiian's deep routes in the community, its long history serving what Ingram calls "the neighbor islands," and the frequency of its routes will stand it in good stead.
Ingram also admitted that he may be among the 717's last defenders, and argues that the airframe's engineering is perfectly suited to Hawaiian's needs. To hear more, listen to this week's episode of the Skift Airline Weekly Lounge.
AirBaltic was an early adopter of the Airbus A220, back when it was the Bombardier CSeries. The aircraft is perfectly designed for the Baltic carrier's missions, and CEO Martin Gauss is enthusiastic about the model. He took a few minutes to talk to Skift Airline Weekly editor Madhu Unnikrishnan and Skift Senior Aviation Business Editor Brian Sumers at the IATA Annual General Meeting in Seoul in June.
Gauss said for now AirBaltic's focus is on its region of Latvia and neighboring countries, and the airline has no plans to establish bases in Western Europe. Gauss, however, pointed to the example of Finnair, which, like AirBaltic, has a small home population but outsize international traffic. This is the kind of operation he thinks AirBaltic can grow into.
Listen for the full interview with AirBaltic CEO Martin Gauss:
Just before stepping down as CEO of British regional carrier Flybe, Christine Ourmieres-Widener took a minute to talk to Skift Airline Weekly at the IATA Annual General Meeting in Seoul.
Ourmieres-Widener’s two years at the helm of Flybe were tumultuous, she acknowledged, and culminated with the carrier’s acquisition by Virgin Atlantic. But she noted that she focused on saving the airline and getting it back on its feet, even if that meant selling it. And she pointed out that her first priority was saving jobs, and of that Ourmieres-Widener said she’s very proud.
With Ourmieres-Widener’s departure, the already small circle of women airline CEOs gets even smaller. She said the industry has to do better to attract and mentor young women as they rise through the ranks. She also said efforts have to begin earlier — at school, to encourage girls to study STEM (science, technology, engineering, and math) subjects.
Listen for the full interview with Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan
Singapore Airlines CEO Goh Choon Phong said he envies American Airlines CEO Doug Parker for the scale and potential for profitability that U.S. carriers have from a large domestic market. Parker, the chief of the U.S.’s largest carrier, once famously said the era of airlines reporting losses is over.
In its most recent quarter, Singapore Airlines reported profit margins lower than analysts expected and lower than the company had previously reported. Much of this is explained by the region in which Singapore operates. Unlike Parker, Goh said his company has no domestic market to provide a valuable feed of passengers to its long-haul routes.
Speaking at the inaugural Skift Forum Asia in Singapore in May, Goh said he is confident that the company is headed in the right direction. The group is taking steps to keep so-called CASK (costs per airline seat kilometer) down by, among other measures, hedging against fuel price volatility and managing fleet leases.
Listen for the full interview with Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan.
United Airlines President Scott Kirby issued a warning to potential new-entrant low-cost-carriers, including JetBlue founder David Neeleman’s Moxie: United will match your fares.
Kirby, speaking on stage at Skift Forum Asia in Singapore in June, said he’s heard of about 50 airlines over the years that were supposed to be created but Virgin America, founded in 2004, was the last startup airline in the United States that actually became a reality.
The low-cost airline model is predicated on the competition not matching prices, Kirby said, and unlike the situation over the last 30 years, United now has the capabilities with segmentation, including basic economy, to go tit-for-tat with the new entrants.
Listen for the full interview with Skift Editor-in-Chief Tom Lowry.
The latest edition of the Skift Airline Weekly Lounge contains an exclusive interview with Aireen Omar, AirAsia’s deputy CEO.
There was no backtracking from AirAsia in its plan to branch out into selling other airlines on its platform, financial services, and more experiences.
Asked at Skift Forum Asia in Singapore in May 2019 if becoming the Amazon of travel is overly ambitious, Aireen Omar, AirAsia’s deputy CEO, said it’s “ambitious, but I think it’s very doable.”
Another AirAsia executive recently made the declaration that the airline could become the “Amazon of travel.” In this discussion, interviewer and Skift Airline Weekly Editor Madhu Unnikrishnan gets to the core of the boast.
The Skift Airline Weekly Lounge returns with an exclusive interview with British Airways CEO Alex Cruz.
Since taking over as CEO and chairman of British Airways in 2016, Cruz has endured his fair share of criticism over some of the changes he made to the airline, particularly with regards to food on short-haul flights.
But Cruz, speaking at Skift Forum Europe in London on April 30, 2019, said the changes were necessary in turning the carrier into a more customer-focused airline as well as one that is much more financially stable.
“When we started this new phase of British Airways, there were many decisions to be taken with regards to the direction of the company, and some of those decisions that were made early on were indeed probably less welcome than others,” Cruz said.
With a new year underway, we’re thinking about what will happen in 2019—always a dicey proposition. In this episode, we consider the prospects of airlines around the world. Some, like Aeroflot and Turkish Airlines, are facing huge opportunities. Others, like Jet Airways and South African Airlines, are facing grave challenges. Will the International Airlines Group make another offer for Norwegian? Will Alitalia find a partner? Will Lion Air cancel plane orders? Will Emirates and Etihad merge? In short, what will 2019 bring? In this episode, we reluctantly offer some predictions.
After pummeling each other for years, Icelandair and Wow Air agreed to a truce in the form of a merger. But the merger fell through. Now Wow Air may be finding comfort with serial airline investor Indigo Partners. What will that mean for both airlines? Aeroflot apparently finds comfort in being big. In fact, the Russian airline is looking to nearly double its fleet size in just five years.
Meanwhile, Mexico’s airline industry nervously watches as it appears more and more likely that Mexico City’s one-third-built airport won’t be seen to fruition. What did Aegean do this summer? For one thing, it posted a Ryanair-like profit margin. Lastly, U.S. airlines are getting bullish about the fourth quarter.
More and more people are traveling by air in Mexico, but Mexico’s airlines continue to struggle. All four of its main carriers had a disappointing 3rd quarter, which is historically peak season. VivaAerobus at least made a little money. Aeroméxico and Volaris barely broke even. And, Interjet’s numbers were simply alarming.
Fortunately, oil prices have dropped so much that the outlook for airlines everywhere has changed. In the U.K., easyJet posted earnings that were strong but not nearly as good as LCC rivals Ryanair and Wizz Air. Is that a problem? LATAM is navigating economic headwinds well. AirAsia X seems to be proving that “low-cost longhaul” remains a difficult business model. Lastly, Flybe’s ongoing struggles raise this question for some: Is an acquisition in order?
Of Europe’s “Big Three” airline groups, International Airlines Group (IAG) continues to significantly outperform the other two, namely Air France/KLM and Lufthansa Group. A big part of IAG’s success is simply British Airways’ coveted slot portfolio at Heathrow. But it didn’t hurt that pretty much everything else is working too. Still, Lufthansa navigated a difficult quarter operationally to deliver a respectable 14% operating profit margin.
Air France/KLM, meanwhile, rode the seasonal strengths of its Transavia unit to a profit margin that outpaced Lufthansa’s by a fraction of a percent. Ryanair saw its Q3 profit margin drop by 7 points. But no matter—it still did better than every other European carrier reporting so far. Icelandair bought competitor WOW Air. Lastly, with Turkish Airlines looking fully mended, will it return to its fast-growth ways?
American Airlines truly set itself apart from its peers in the third quarter—and not in a good way. AA posted a dismal 7.5% operating profit margin, nearly half of Delta’s 13.9% margin. But, with good reason, management remains optimistic. United, on the other hand, has plenty to smile about right now as it offset 100% of its rising fuel costs with rising revenues.
Southwest didn’t have trouble with fuel thanks to hedges, but non-fuel costs posed a headwind. Hawaiian Airlines posted the best Q3 margin of the major U.S. carriers. But Spirit might be the biggest winner of all, vaulting itself from the middle of the pack last year to nearly the front. JetBlue and Allegiant again stumbled. And although Alaska didn’t have a great result, there are plenty of reasons it should soon rejoin the leading carriers in the U.S.
Delta is doing a remarkable job keeping pace with rapidly rising costs. Sure, the airline’s third-quarter fuel bill rose 35% year over year. But rising revenues offset enough of those costs that Delta’s operating profit margin fell only two points.
Meanwhile, what’s behind American’s recent troubles? Unfortunately, when American reports later in the month, it’s expected to be a much less happy affair. Alitalia looks like it will be restructured. Is this new direction the right direction? Canada’s WestJet announced its first Dreamliner routes, which were a little surprising—at least until you look at Air Canada’s network. Lastly, Russia’s Pobeda is proving to be an atypical success.
Sun Country is largely missing out on the golden age that U.S. carriers have been basking in since 2015. In the past 12 months (ending with the second quarter, the most recent to be reported) all the U.S. carriers posted operating profit margins ranging from a healthy 9% to an excellent 16%—except for Sun Country, which delivered a distant 4% margin.
Will Sun shine again? One airline enjoying the U.S. party is Frontier, which had a solid second quarter despite a 19% increase in operating costs. Talks of an Emirates-Etihad merger have heated up, according to a Bloomberg report. A merger might save Etihad, but who will save these other troubled airlines? South African Airways, Fastjet and Jet Airways are all facing dire straits. Lastly, JetBlue is adding a basic economy fare class. Will it be the last U.S. airline to do so?
Qantas continues to romp. In the first half of 2018, the flying kangaroo posted a 9% profit margin—one point better than in the same period last year. And with that, Qantas is working on its fourth consecutive calendar year with double-digit margins.
Despite more exposure to rising fuel prices, Air New Zealand still mostly kept pace. Virgin Australia, meanwhile, continues to miss out on Australasia’s booming airline sector. Scandinavia’s SAS appears to be having a great summer, which of course it will need if it’s going to have merely a good year. In India, Jet Airways is facing severe pressure. Qatar Airways is enduring a blockade that’s now more than a year old. Lastly, we explore this question: Have airline loyalty programs peaked?
Revenues and margins improved for Cathay Pacific in the first half of 2018, and the second half is usually better for Cathay. Still, will it be enough to lift the Hong Kong carrier out of its malaise? Fuel costs dented Singapore Airlines’ Q2 results, which were similarly mediocre to Cathay’s. VietJet’s soaring growth is helping it control unit costs and deliver solid profits.
Also delivering solid profits was Cebu Pacific, however, those profits came amid a huge margin decline. Turkish Airlines is now existing amid a currency crisis, but it’s weathering it surprisingly well. Ethiopian Airlines is making money and has plans to make more. Icelandair is feeling the chill of too much capacity in Reykjavik. And JetBlue is charting new territory in charging for bags.
Thanks to rising costs, it’s no surprise profits have declined at Air Canada and WestJet. But rising costs alone don’t explain how these Canadian carriers continue to consistently underperform their U.S. peers by a noticeable margin. Meanwhile in Europe, carriers like Ryanair, Aer Lingus, British Airways, Lufthansa, Swiss and others are putting up numbers very much like their U.S. counterparts.
Unfortunately, Air France is not one of those carriers, as that airline nearly lost money in the usually healthy second quarter, and that reduced the Air France/KLM group result to a scant 5% operating profit margin. Meanwhile, the Lufthansa group is making great strides, posting an 11% second-quarter margin, which is quite comparable to IAG’s 13.5%.
So far all U.S. carriers have reported shrinking year-over-year profits in the second quarter. But nobody’s margin decline was worse than that of JetBlue, which posted a 9% operating margin, down from 19% the year before. Allegiant had the best margin of the bunch, narrowly besting Southwest and Delta, both of which had shining quarters.
American’s quarter was marred by its mishandling of basic economy, plus it wasn’t helped by its domestic-heavy network. Alaska has been lacking the right product to take advantage of booming premium demand in the transcon market. Spirit, while still quite profitable, is learning to live in a world where big carriers now pay attention to it. Hawaiian couldn’t have been happy with its nine-point margin decline. Speaking of happy—that might describe United, which showed surprising resilience in Q2.
Rising costs aren’t keeping Delta down. Delta overcame a 33% year-over-year increase in fuel costs to produce more than $1.2b in net profits (excluding special items) and a handsome 16% quarterly operating margin. In fact, despite the increased costs, Delta almost matched last year’s 18% Q2 margin. And the airline thinks it can return to improving margins by year’s end.
Meanwhile, it’s hard to imagine Norwegian’s results being more different. Norwegian chalked up a negative 3% operating profit margin, a ghastly result for the usually strong second quarter. JetBlue ordered CS300s—except now we’re calling them A220-300s. That deal surely made Airbus and its new partner Bombardier happy. In turn, Boeing is partnering with Embraer. What does this shakeup to the aircraft manufacturer space mean?
Frontier Airlines has had one of the most topsy-turvy histories of any airline, and its first-quarter earnings report was no exception. Sporting a wild animal on each tail, the airline has been soaring in recent years.
In 2017, Frontier had the seventh best operating profit margin in the world. But something happened in Q1 2018, as its margin was cut in half. Meanwhile, Air France/KLM searches for a CEO. Also, how important is it that United Airlines—by a wide margin—gets more revenue from Asia than Delta and American? Norwegian continues to lose money and remains, for the moment, without a buyer to bail it out. But at least Norwegian isn’t Fastjet, which notched a negative 55% operating profit margin in 2017.
Things haven’t gotten better in Mexico. Although Aeroméxico is at least coping better than its domestic competitors, all of which posted negative first-quarter margins in the double-digits. To make matters worse, construction of Mexico City’s much-needed new airport might be suspended as soon as July. North of the border, Delta and Southwest are seeing more cost pressures in the second quarter.
Lastly, America is getting a new airline called Moxy. Adding to the excitement is that the man behind the project, David Neeleman, is known for inventive business models such as JetBlue and Brazil’s Azul. Sure enough, from what we know, Moxy appears to have some unique qualities.
Despite a 29% year-over-year increase to its labor costs, Ryanair still posted a positive profit margin in the first quarter. Ryan’s eastern European counterpart, Wizz Air, meanwhile faced an even more daunting 43% rise in labor costs and handled it with equal aplomb. Scandinavian Airlines is plodding along, but so are a lot of other legacy carriers in Europe. For the moment, that’s okay.
Doing much less than okay is El Al, an airline suffering a big loss in its first quarter despite Tel Aviv enjoying terrific growth in tourism. In the U.S., Delta and United say they don’t fear high oil prices or low-cost longhaul carriers. Should they? Lastly, airBaltic looks for a suitor, and Aeroflot takes a step backward.
For the moment, WestJet is the more profitable carrier. But in recent years, Air Canada has closed the gap and, in the first quarter of 2018, we see signs that Air Canada—after years of giving chase—might overtake its long-dominant rival. Emirates appears to be emerging from its malaise, but can it return to its former glory? AirFrance/KLM continues to struggle with its unions.
Lufthansa had its best first quarter in a decade. And IAG, the airline group that includes British Airways, Iberia, Vueling, Aer Lingus and Level, continues to dazzle. However, IAG’s brilliance hasn’t proven alluring enough to capture more than 5% of Norwegian.
Revenues for U.S. carriers remained terrifically healthy in the first quarter, and everybody made money. But rising labor and fuel costs generally shrunk year-over-year profit margins. United, which continues to trail Delta and American in profitability, did a pretty good job of preserving its margin. Profits slid a bit more at American, but it was especially buoyant in Latin America, where AA is the leading U.S. carrier.
One airline that saw rather grisly margin deterioration was Alaska as fuel, labor and maintenance cost increases severely outpaced revenues. JetBlue and Spirit both did okay, but one was happier than the other. Southwest and Hawaiian posted handsome 12% margins in the off-peak quarter. Meanwhile, Allegiant was in a class by itself, posting a 19% first-quarter profit margin.
For a second straight year, Delta’s operating profit margin has fallen year-over-year in the first quarter. The reason for the decline, once again, is rising costs. The good news: Rising revenues—from nearly every corner of Delta’s network—propelled the airline to a solid 8% operating profit margin. One of the rising costs is, of course, fuel.
Are fuel prices putting a damper on earnings overall? IAG seems interested in expanding its empire, having purchased a small stake in Norwegian and considering a full takeover. Lion Air, meanwhile, is purchasing planes… lots and lots of planes. In the U.S., Allegiant came under fire over safety concerns. Lastly, Frontier is adding 69 routes this month alone.
Numbers were put to the misery South African Airways has been experiencing when, last month, the airline finally reported earnings for its fiscal year ending in March 2017. Those numbers included a gut-wrenching negative 9% operating profit margin on the year. “Crisis” isn’t too strong of a word. What is SAA doing to turn things around?
Elsewhere, it’s steady-as-she-goes for Cebu Pacific, which again is sitting among the world’s profit leaders. The Indian government has solicited bids for a 76% stake in Air India. Any taker would get the surprisingly-profitable Air India Express but would also have to assume a considerable amount of debt. Plus, the comeback continues at Kenya Airways. And lastly, will Berlin’s new airport ever open?
Air France/KLM and Lufthansa have a lot in common, including the fact that both distantly trail IAG (the parent company of British Airways, Aer Lingus, Iberia and Vueling) in terms of profitability among Europe’s Big Three airline groups. What does IAG have that the others don’t? Meanwhile, Virgin Atlantic turned in a profitless 2017 partly because of hurricanes.
The fiesta has fizzled in Mexico right now as overcapacity, a weak peso and political concerns made it a miserable 2017 for the airlines there. Aeromexico can at least chase money overseas. Volaris has not been so fortunate. Hopefully, Volaris can make a comeback like Copa and Turkish Airlines. Both carriers have gone from tears to cheers in recent years.
Life is good in Australasia—especially if you’re Qantas or Air New Zealand. Both carriers are enjoying a bit of a golden age that stems from good management and some macro tailwinds. Meanwhile, Virgin Australia, seemingly unable to catch those tailwinds, drifted toward a disheartening 2% operating profit margin in 2017.
Scandinavia’s SAS, meanwhile, had a negative margin that really wasn’t disheartening, because it was a small loss (-3%) and came during the airline’s always-difficult fourth quarter. Avianca managed to profit despite a painful pilot strike. And finally, Seth Kaplan caught up with Qatar Airways Vice President of the Americas Günter Saurwein to chat about the new airline's business-class product and much more.
Not only does Ryanair keep on rolling, it seems to be gaining speed. Its full-year 2017 operating profit margin will almost certainly be the world’s best after every airline has reported. Ryan-like Wizz Air is also among the world’s profit leaders despite paying a lot more for fuel than last year. Korean Air and Asiana saw their China problem solved in Q4, and both received a lift from cargo and won appreciation.
Air Canada and WestJet are trying just about everything to compete against each other, and it’s working—for the moment. Spirit is delivering solid profits, although they aren’t Spirit-like. Meanwhile, fellow Scandinavian carriers Norwegian and Finnair likely have divergent views on 2017—one was glad to see it go, while the other likely wished it would never end.
With the bulk of U.S. airlines having now reported fourth quarter earnings, what has unfolded is largely a success story. 2017 wasn’t as good as 2015 or 2016, but it was generally good. Gone are the exhilarating margins of 25% and 27%. Instead we’re seeing healthy margins of 17% and 19%. Delta continues to set the pace for the Big Three. United continues to trail its peers, and that has led to some head-turning growth plans. American saw revenues surge in Dallas, Phoenix and its transatlantic market. Southwest overcame a fuel hedge reckoning to deliver strong results.
Alaska appears to be coming down to Earth. JetBlue, which saw some of its Caribbean markets decimated by hurricanes, nonetheless, had a good quarter. Allegiant delivered disappointing results by its standards, but the airline still bested all U.S. carriers that have reported in Q4. And while it continues to enjoy sunny results, Hawaiian may be facing more competition in 2018.
Delta’s 2017 profits were down slightly from the glory days of 2015 and 2016. But make no mistake: This airline is performing very well. Consider that fuel prices increased 23% in the fourth quarter, and the airline was still slightly more profitable in the quarter year over year. The transatlantic market is performing well. The Asian market is performing well. The South American market is performing better. And that’s all before you get to Atlanta, which is one of the most valuable pieces on the worldwide airline chessboard. For a little more color on Delta’s positioning around the globe, this episode includes an interview with Steve Sear, Delta’s President of International and Executive Vice President of Global Sales. Click here to subscribe to podcast. –Jason Cottrell Subscribe to Podcast | Listen Whenever: iTunes | Stitcher
Just a few years ago, the often-troubled SAS was merely inches away from seeing its light burn out permanently. Since then the airline has rallied. This past October the airline completed its best fiscal year in two decades. Is the airline merely surfing the buoyant European economy? Or is it building long-term success? Finnair is also enjoying a brilliant year. Icelandair is coping with growing competition. And the Air Berlin parts sale is largely settled.
In the U.S., Spirit announced that in 2019 it will again part ways with its CEO, which happened just a couple years ago. Frontier had a pretty solid 2017, but it didn’t launch an IPO. Lastly, Delta kicks off earnings season this week.
Jet Airways had a pretty mediocre third quarter. Still, there are plenty of signs of hope for the often troubled airline. In fact, Jet has posted 10 consecutive profitable quarters. India’s low-cost carrier IndiGo, meanwhile, is raking in double digit profit margins. And SpiceJet—an airline that fairly recently had buzzards circling above it—had its best third quarter ever.
Both major airlines in South Korea have seen their profits tamped down by a diplomatic spat between their country and China. Fortunately both Asiana and Korean Air enjoyed robust growth in cargo revenue, which kept things from getting too ugly. Meanwhile, Kenya Airways is quietly regaining its footing. And lastly, we take a quick look ahead to 2018.
European low-cost carrier easyJet isn’t doing as well as competing LCCs Ryanair and Wizz Air. But make no mistake: easyJet is doing well. The airline’s 20% operating profit margin for the April-through-September period puts it among the most profitable carriers in the world at the moment.
In the U.S., Delta and Alaska Airlines have been waging a battle for Seattle for years. And more recently, Delta and JetBlue are brawling in Boston. Is it possible all three airlines are making money at these highly contested airports? LATAM continues to rebound from the Brazilian recession. Avianca had a good summer despite labor strife and ending service to Venezuela. Finally, we close this episode looking at some growing and slowing airports.
The third quarter is usually a splendid time for airline profits in Europe, and this year has been no exception. Ryanair is more than surviving its recent bout of operational difficulties, having turned in a stellar earnings report. Europe’s Big Three all improved year-over-year with IAG posting its biggest quarterly profit margin to date. Air France/KLM and Lufthansa are enjoying a slowdown in encroachment by the Gulf carriers. Icelandair and Finnair are making the most of their warm months. And Norwegian at least made money—just not enough. Air Canada continues to edge out its rival WestJet, but both were highly profitable. The same could be said for rivals Japan Airlines and All Nippon, with JAL winning that competitive and profitable race. Click here to subscribe to podcast. –Jason Cottrell Subscribe to Podcast | Listen Whenever: iTunes | Stitcher
With most of the U.S. airlines having reported third-quarter earnings, it’s now clear that rising revenues aren’t keeping up with rising costs. While every U.S. airline fell victim to this condition, some are weathering it better than others. United and American Airlines were a couple of the “others” stumbling in Q3—at least compared to Delta. Neither hurricanes in Florida nor the horror in Las Vegas helped Allegiant, but it was a 19% increase in operating costs that really hurt profits.
Spirit saw $40m wiped out by hurricanes. Southwest and JetBlue both maintained margins near last year’s level, but JetBlue’s hurricane problem could be a fourth quarter story with Puerto Rico’s slow recovery. Things are good at Alaska Airlines, despite some transcontinental trouble. Lastly, Hawaiian saw year-over-year profits dip so mildly and starting from such great heights that one might think there’s no trouble in paradise. Then why did Hawaiian’s stock plummet last week?
Despite being dinged by rising costs, Delta opened the third-quarter earnings season with its customary show of strength. Revenues rose 6% on just 2% growth, and it posted a 16% operating profit margin. While things aren’t quite as good in Europe, airlines there have much to look forward to, namely the elimination—one way or another—of Monarch, Air Berlin, Czech Airlines and possibly Alitalia. Is that enough to lift other European carriers? Lufthansa seems especially confident. It’s looking to not only lose a competitor in Air Berlin but also gain planes for its Eurowings unit—and it’s placed a bid for parts of Alitalia.
Meanwhile, Bombardier might have found a solution to its Boeing problem by—wait for it—partnering with Airbus. Lastly, Southwest appears to be at last headed for Hawaii. No doubt the mai tais will be nice, but can the LCC compete there?
The food scene and the tequila are great in Mexico. The airline industry? Not so much—at least at the moment. Everybody lost money in the first quarter of 2017. In the second quarter, only one airline—VivaAerobus—did merely okay. What has happened to the usually high-flying Volaris? Even Interjet has outperformed Volaris in the first half. And despite lackluster success, these airlines are growing like gangbusters.
Meanwhile, American Airlines goes to great lengths to demonstrate that less seat pitch doesn’t necessarily mean less legroom. Frontier, despite outward appearances, is enjoying perhaps its best results ever. Some of the smaller Gulf carriers are surging. And, lastly, there’s trouble in Thailand.
Jet Airways didn’t give up the ghost. Instead, it rose from the hospital bed and plodded toward recovery, and today the Indian airline is the proud owner of a profit streak of nine consecutive quarters. How did Jet avoid its near-death experience?
Speaking of near death, Air Berlin is watching its planes get repossessed, its pilots strike and its time run short. Meanwhile, easyJet is interlining with Norwegian, WestJet and surely others to be named later. Why is this a particularly good move? Also, why are some U.S. airlines retreating from Cuba, while others are running toward it? Lastly, United is now forecasting a severely diminished third quarter, and the reasons are many—and most are solvable.
Cathay Pacific has seen all its oxygen sucked out of the room by the hyper growth of the Chinese carriers. Is there anything to be done? Sometimes waiting is the best option. Australia has two major airlines with two very different stories to tell. While Qantas is enjoying a golden age, Virgin Australia is a tragic tale in the making.
Meanwhile, Air New Zealand, taking advantage of some of the same forces lifting Qantas, had a second quarter it could be proud of despite a 21% increase in fuel costs. Air Canada and WestJet are benefiting from a strong home economy, but the aggressive growth of both airlines might be stunting profits a bit. Lastly, Allegiant is looking for profits not just in the sky, but in real estate.
After losing $300m in 2016 as a result of some horrific exposure to terrorism and political tumult, things are looking up for Turkish Airlines. In its second quarter, the airline posted a 5% operating profit margin and with that likely will turn a profit for the full calendar year. How did Turkish do it?
Other airlines facing some political duress include Korean Air and Asiana. South Korea’s two major carriers are caught in a crossfire of political tension among the U.S., China and North Korea. Nonetheless, both managed to grow second-quarter profits year over year. In Europe, Lufthansa, IAG, and Air France/KLM are all enjoying what seems to be a rising tide. But none of them is enjoying it as much as Ryanair.
United is still trailing its peers, but can it catch up? That’s the question we weigh first in this episode. In the second quarter, American Airlines bested United with a 16% operating margin versus United’s 14%. One thing that went right for AA: Latin America. One thing that went wrong for United: Asia. Meanwhile, little is going wrong for Alaska Airlines, which is enjoying life in all the right markets at the right time.
JetBlue’s transcontinental routes, which used to be a vulnerability, are now making a mint for the airline. JetBlue even beat mighty Spirit by a whisker. Allegiant did fine despite an eye-popping drop in its profit margin. And, lastly Southwest was again a profit leader with its very conservative approach.
The airline is on such a roll that not even a grouchy demagogue can stop Delta. The Atlanta-based carrier posted a better second quarter than it did last year, and it leaves Delta with at least a slim shot of having its best year ever. Low fuel prices were a defining factor for the industry during the quarter, and Delta took full advantage. But it saw success on the revenue side too.
Not all airlines were so lucky, including Norwegian, which posted a slightly negative operating margin during a quarter it really needs to be making money—a lot of money. Things are even more dire at South African Airways, although SAA has one thing Norwegian doesn’t have: a state sponsor. And Air France pilots agreed to allow the airline to create a low-cost unit. But is that even a good idea?
Terror attacks… a blockade… Alitalia… The first half of 2017 has been interesting—even against the airline industry’s high standard in that department. In just a 30-minute episode we attempt to unpack the first half of 2017. Despite a lot of excitement, the most significant story of the year—low oil prices—is really rather mundane, but still a very big deal. For instance, it means the U.S. earnings bonanza might be more sustainable.
Europe is enjoying one of its better years in recent memory. Gulf carriers are cutting capacity, which might (or might not) be the start of a seismic change in the industry. Kenya Airways is back on its feet, while South African Airways is on it back. New entrants are riding an economic resurgence in South America. Lion Air, VietJet and Air Asia are ensuring capacity remains high in the ASEAN region. And that’s all before we get to China, which continues to be the 800-pound panda in the room.
So this is happening: A major international airline faces a blockade. We admit it—this is a new one for us, with little to no history as a guide. Nonetheless, Qatar Airways faces a travel and trade embargo from four nearby countries, which overnight wiped 18 destinations off Qatar’s route map and essentially propped up a legal wall in the airspace to the south and west of Doha. This hardship—and it surely is one, despite management’s defiant swagger—comes at a time when all three major Gulf carriers are enduring a downtrend.
Qatar’s newly released 2016 results certainly lacked luster. And how will the blockade affect Emirates and Etihad? Elsewhere, Southwest, while not facing a blockade, is stepping into what appears to be a multi-party knife fight in Fort Lauderdale with the likes of JetBlue, Delta and Spirit. Lastly, with the airshow in Paris underway, we discuss a few aircraft (both real and imagined) including the B797, the B737 MAX-10 and the “A380 Plus.”
Ryanair was one of just three individual airlines in Europe to post an operating profit in the first quarter. The success came not only by way of the airline’s juggernaut of a business model, but also because Ryanair was one of the few to see a year-over-year decline in fuel costs.
One European airline had an even better Q1 than Ryanair. British Airways chalked up an 8% operating margin in the historically weak first quarter. Air France/KLM, by its own standards, had a good quarter, in part because of its operational performance. Wizz Air lost a little money, but that’s nothing to worry about as the LCC expects great success this summer. Other items discussed include the Alitalia death watch and whether terrorist attacks in the U.K. will nullify recent traffic gains.
Having just weathered a once-in-a-generation economic crisis, the airlines of South America just enjoyed a smooth first quarter. All the major South American airlines profited, and some even posted margins to brag about. But in Mexico, things were miserable. All four major carriers there lost money in the quarter, and some did so in a ghastly fashion.
In fact, Volaris, who’s been a leader of the pack in recent years, is the country’s biggest loser so far in 2017. Meanwhile, Aeromexico managed well under the circumstances. Two culprits for the Mexican malaise were the pummeled peso and Easter hopping over to the second quarter this year. Plus, we talk about the effect new aircraft are having on airlines and how profit sharing is moving the industry from a fixed-cost business at least a few inches closer to a variable-cost industry.
The earnings picture for U.S. carriers in the first quarter was much worse than last year’s Q1—but that doesn’t mean it wasn’t good. It was indeed good—and good is good. Their success comes while wrestling with rising labor and fuel costs, and fickle demand.
Allegiant continues to lead, and with confidence surely brimming, it’s buying new planes and slowing growth. American is benefiting from improving conditions in South American and at its Dallas-Fort Worth hub. Despite a big profit decline, Southwest posted a double-digit profit margin. JetBlue had a particularly bad fuel bill. Spirit is enduring an operational mess. And Alaska did just fine despite some bad weather.
Delta saw its operating profit margin slashed severely in the first quarter compared to last year’s Q1. Nonetheless there are plenty of reasons to smile—that’s how good things are at Delta right now—including beating rival United Airlines, which posted a much smaller profit. But the game isn’t over, and United has plenty of valuable cards to play, including improvements to its hub connections and operations.
Also, what do the first few earnings reports tell us about the overall U.S. airline market in 2017? Canada's WestJet, meanwhile, has announced plans for its own ultra-low-cost carrier. Is this purely a defensive move? Is it smart? Will they even go through with it? And lastly, Alitalia workers rejected a restructuring plan. Could this mean the end for Italy’s long-time flag carrier? At the very least, it’s a reasonable question.
The merger of Alaska Airlines and Virgin American is now well under way and begs the question: How is the integration taking shape? In a word: rosy. Of course, Alaska will be sacrificing the Virgin brand. But Alaska’s management says it’s finding more synergies on both the cost and revenue sides than expected. One of the more interesting moves is that Alaska won’t be joining the Big Three and JetBlue in providing a lie-flat product on transcontinental routes.
In other news, Norwegian is adding two new routes out of London Gatwick. While Virgin Atlantic reported a third consecutive annual profit in 2016, that streak might end in 2017. Lastly, Cathay Pacific reported its first annual loss since 2008 and there are, unfortunately, a few reasons that make a turnaround tough.
When is a $2 billion annual profit disappointing? Answer: When you’re a giant airline group like Lufthansa, and $2 billion amounts to a mere 5% operating margin—and that lackluster result comes despite fuel costs dropping 16% year over year. But there are a few signs of hope.
Meanwhile, American Airlines is purchasing a $200-million stake in China Southern. Frontier Airlines and Silver Airways are ending their short-lived Cuba service. And LATAM, still recovering from Brazil’s economic and currency collapse, is fighting two other battles—a cargo malaise and increased competition. Nonetheless, South America’s largest airline did enjoy improved annual profits year over year.
Once again we consider the ongoing demand problems in Turkey. The numbers are in, and they’re not pretty. Turkish Airlines posted a $300 million loss in 2016. Pegasus Airlines chipped another $50 million loss, a comparably bad number. But there are signs of hope. One of those signs could be the recent decline in oil prices. If this is the beginning of a downward trend, many—but not all—airlines around the world will rejoice, especially in the U.S. Pop quiz: What do the giant, mature airports Amsterdam and Seoul Inchon have in common? Answer: They’re both growing relatively fast. Why? Also, what does the upgauging trend mean for the A319-NEO and B737-MAX? And we close the show with a look at the weather—seriously. Click here to subscribe to podcast. –Jason Cottrell Subscribe to Podcast | Listen Whenever: iTunes | Stitcher
With its fourth quarter results and a standout 2016, IAG, the airline group that includes British Airways, Iberia, Aer Lingus and Vueling, continues to separate itself from the other two members of Europe’s Big Three airline groups. And leading the way was IAG’s still rather new acquisition, Aer Lingus, which had the highest annual operating profit margin of all the IAG units in 2016.
Posting even better numbers was Air New Zealand, which saw record profits for the year. Nearby, Qantas seems to be enjoying a golden age of its own. Meanwhile, there’s nothing golden about a weak peso for Mexican carriers, although Aeromexico clearly is weathering it better than VivaAerobus.
Air France/KLM had some good news in 2016. For one thing, its Transavia unit broke even. Also, KLM made a decent profit. But the story is rather disappointing from there, with the group posting a mere 4% operating margin for the year. Could some positive revenue trends turn 2017 around? Air Canada and WestJet together have become quite a rivalry. Depending on where you put the decimal point, Canada’s two dominant carriers tied in the 2016 profit race as Air Canada closed the gap. Finnair, Virgin Australia and Norwegian all turned in lackluster performances for the fourth quarter and 2016 overall. Meanwhile, Copa, Gol and Azul are all slowly but surely putting their Brazil problems behind them. Click here to subscribe to podcast. –Jason Cottrell Subscribe to Podcast | Listen Whenever: iTunes | Stitcher
Europe certainly has its share of struggling airlines, but Ryanair, easyJet and Wizz Air are not among them. And for Ryanair and Wizz, fourth quarter earnings simply topped off a triumphant 2016. (easyJet has yet to report on its fourth quarter.)
In the U.S., Spirit’s fourth quarter numbers were great—just not great for Spirit, as the hunter has become the hunted. Meanwhile all those LCCs and ULCCs were bested in 2016 by Alaska Airlines, a carrier that’s never been happier to call Seattle home. And in Asia, South Korea’s two biggest carriers—Korean Air and Asiana—are persevering despite a slowing home economy and competition from Japanese and Chinese carriers.
Japan Airlines is enjoying a charmed life right now. How good is it? In 2016, JAL was the most profitable of the large global airlines outside the U.S. All Nippon Airlines is also doing pretty well. ANA has narrowed the gap between it and JAL, which is still benefiting from the retrenching that followed its 2010 bankruptcy. But both are facing revenue pressures. Meanwhile, Avianca chose United as its dance partner in the western hemisphere. What that dance will look like still remains to be seen. Lufthansa is feeling good about its longhaul premium economy product.
Indigo saw profit margins cut in half but still has plenty to smile about. And Jet Airways? Well, at least they have a profit margin. And lastly, Allegiant posted a ho-hum 20% margin in the fourth quarter. That was down considerably from the year before but still will likely end up being among the best in the world.
While the revenue story has improved for U.S. carriers, the cost story has become a headwind. Still, as American Airlines demonstrated in its fourth quarter results, costs are a headwind that can be overcome. With that, AA joined Delta and United in delivering solid fourth quarters and downright strong full-year results. And things only got better from there. Southwest delivered a higher profit margin than the Big Three despite new labor contracts and higher fuel costs.
JetBlue continues to ride its strong Boston base and healthy transcontinental markets to spectacular heights. And then there’s Hawaiian Airlines—the only carrier (of those reporting so far) who didn’t see costs rise faster than revenues. It’s all smiles so far in the U.S. earnings season, but Hawaiian’s smile might be brightest.
By just a tenth of a percent, United’s fourth quarter operating profit margin bested that of Delta—and likely that of American, which reports later—making United, for the quarter, No.1 among the Big Three U.S. carriers. So, has the natural order shifted from United being a perennial laggard to leader? We’ll see. But, make no mistake, United is performing well.
Not performing well is Cathay Pacific, an airline that has in recent years been stymied by intense competition. Some job cuts notwithstanding, investors are waiting for a comprehensive turnaround plan at Cathay. Meanwhile, we introduce a new segment and pose some interesting questions such as: Why is Emirates flying Athens-Newark? Will JetBlue catch Spirit in terms of profitability? And if the U.K. follows through with a so-called “hard Brexit,” will Ryanair abandon its domestic service there?
Rising labor costs at Delta dented its fourth quarter results significantly—but not enough to prevent the airline from posting a terrific profit for 2016. And the big story within the story is that revenues have stopped falling. All in all, Delta remains bullish, which is a nice way to kick off earnings season.
Also in this episode, we consider a rumored Etihad-Lufthansa merger. One airline that certainly doesn’t need a merger is Volaris, but how worried should it be about U.S.-Mexico relations? And in India, Go Air, Indigo and now SpiceJet all have placed fairly big aircraft orders. Are they too ambitious? And is Jet Airways, which doesn’t have as many aircraft on order, being too cautious?
SAS has tried and tried to turn itself around, but to no avail—at least judging by its recent earnings report. In fact, on profits alone, the airline’s third quarter was a step backward. What’s going wrong, and can it be fixed? Meanwhile, Frontier Airlines posted a tremendous profit in the third quarter, with an operating margin among the best of the best.
And let’s consider JetBlue for a moment. Here’s an airline that for two years has been ascendant, but unlike Frontier, they aren’t pursuing a tried-and-true business model. At times JetBlue looks like a legacy carrier with a lie-flat bed, and at other times it looks like an LCC, densifying their cabin and chasing ancillaries. Is it smart to do both? Also in this episode: Delta, Transasia, Asiana, Korean Air, Spirit, Allegiant and more.
Call it our year-in-preview show. In this first episode of 2017, we look at some of the more interesting stories that are ushering in the airline industry’s new year. Of course, 2017 doesn’t promise answers to all our questions. But we can hope, can’t we?
Some of those questions: Leisure demand was one of the defining stories of 2016—will the trend continue? Is the burgeoning low-cost longhaul model for real? What about premium travel? Will Airbus and Boeing see a rebound in aircraft orders? Will the CSeries continue the momentum it saw in 2016? Will Singapore Airlines finally get out of its rut? Where will Qantas fly its B787-900s? Will Ryanair or easyJet interline? Will the Gulf carriers continue to decelerate growth? Will Air Canada continue its aggressive expansion? And in the U.S., have we finally seen a peak in the mighty earnings cycle of 2015/2016?
If anybody needed a reminder that the airline business is an interesting business, they got it last week as Air Berlin announced it will be handing over a big chunk of itself to arch competitor Lufthansa. Will Air Berlin be saved by shrinking itself? Not stopping there, Lufthansa decided it would also become the full owner of Brussels Airlines. Are either of these acquisitions a good thing for Lufthansa?
Meanwhile, Air Canada continues to treat the world like it’s a buffet, loading its plate with six new intercontinental routes last week. One thing fueling Air Canada’s aggressiveness is the B787, which, by the way, just crossed the five-year anniversary of its first delivery. Delta has set its sights on Boston, and that could spell trouble for JetBlue. And IAG has further deepened its alliance with Qatar Airways.
South African Airways finally published its fiscal year results for the 12 months ending March 2015. Yes, that’s 2015. And the result—a $442m net loss—wasn’t worth the wait. But with the Ebola scare and high oil prices now in the past, how is the airline doing today? The short answer: We’re not too encouraged. But its competitor Comair is doing pretty well.
Kenya Airways seems to be on the mend. Unfortunately, Fastjet is skidding. Meanwhile in Asia, Singapore Airlines reported some ominous load factors and Cathay Pacific continues to endure severe revenue erosion. Not nearly as severe, but still surprisingly bad, is the revenue situation in the transatlantic market, where that cash cow is now wobbling. And in the U.S., two very successful carriers, Spirit and Frontier, face a surprisingly long list of challenges.
Because Frontier Airlines is a non-publicly-traded carrier (which, for one thing, means it doesn’t have earnings calls), it’s all the more interesting to interview the airline's CEO Barry Biffle. Of course, we asked about a possible merger with Spirit or a possible IPO. Not surprisingly, we didn’t get too far there, but Biffle did open up on some interesting topics, such as Frontier’s successful second quarter, unit revenue pressures and what it takes to grow capacity 20% per year. We talked fleet plans, engines, operations, network philosophy, the labor situation and Frontier's soon-to-arrive Havana service.
Also, is there enough elbow room in the U.S. for three growing ULCCs–Frontier, Spirit and Allegiant? And how big of a threat do legacy carriers pose as they segment their seats to offer no-frills tickets at a no-frills price? No stone was left unturned. Come with us and explore Frontier!
Despite a major oil bust and the weakening currency that followed, Canada’s airlines continue to plod along. Make no mistake, macro issues are leaving a mark on the earnings reports of Air Canada and WestJet, but the story is more about resiliency than infirmity.
Meanwhile, a similar story—one that also includes an oil bust, a weak currency and nonetheless profitable airlines—is playing out in Mexico, where its four airlines of size (Aeroméxico, Volaris, Interjet and VivaAerobus) posted mixed results. We finish with three other stories of survival. Avianca is surviving exposure to the Brazilian and Venezuelan economies. Aeroflot is surviving its country’s own oil and currency bust. And Israel’s El Al is surviving competitive threats from Turkish Airlines, Aeroflot and Hainan Airlines.
Qantas reported a best-ever annual result. Not bad for a company that’s 95 years old. And not bad for a company that was barely breaking even just a few years ago. Virgin Australia, on the other hand, with a 2% operating margin, isn’t breaking any records—well, any records you’d want to break, that is.
And then across the Tasman Sea is Air New Zealand… way out there… all alone… with nothing to keep it company except a whopping 15% operating margin. From there, things take a bad turn as we check in on a number of troubled carriers in the world. Turkish Airlines, Pegasus, Gol and Nok Air all had tales of woe in the second quarter (although Gol’s tale of woe at least was a lot better than it was a year ago). Finnair is also doing better, but how good is that? And lastly, will Scott Kirby’s arrival at United give the airline enough star power to finally deliver on its vaunted potential?
Korean carriers Asiana and Korean Air are being squeezed between rapid growth from Chinese carriers and new capacity coming out of Japan. But nonetheless, the two Korean carriers posted some of the most improved earnings among widebody carriers worldwide. Japan Airlines and All Nippon, meanwhile, both regressed in their year-over-year earnings despite a strengthening yen and lower fuel costs. Dismal demand is the culprit.
In South America, LATAM is wrestling with the economic breakdown in Brazil as well as pressures to the global cargo market. Jet Airways posted its fifth consecutive profitable quarter. Cebu Pacific continues to take the world by storm. Air Berlin continues to struggle. And Garuda posted one of the worst declines in year-over-year Q2 profits. And lastly, is Delta making the right bet with its newly unveiled Delta One suite?
One of the bright spots in the Lufthansa Group’s second quarter earnings report was its Swiss unit, which bested Lufthansa mainline, the Austrian unit and even the healthy maintenance unit. Meanwhile, Eurowings was the worst performing airline of the group, with a negative one percent margin—but that was a great improvement from the first quarter.
All in all, it added up to Lufthansa underperforming IAG but outperforming Air France/KLM, a scenario that’s become a recurring storyline. In Canada, the storyline seems to be changing as Air Canada outperformed WestJet. Icelandair had one of its best second quarters ever. Panama’s Copa continues to weather economic challenges and this time with hopeful signs that the worst is behind them. Indigo is cruising with a 15% operating margin. And, lastly, we discuss Delta’s Monday malfunction.
The second quarter year-over-year profit margin improved at Air France/KLM, but only because of a huge windfall from fuel. In fact, the real story is that the airline group is largely missing out on profits that normally would come from such a lift from fuel. Another airline group, IAG (the parent company of British Airways, Iberia, Vueling and Aer Lingus), did better despite the Brexit vote. But IAG’s results were nothing like Ryanair, who actually lowered unit costs even after excluding fuel, which lowered costs further still.
In the U.S., JetBlue continued the profit parade, but it did so rather modestly compared to the giant profits of its peers. Spirit is still cruising along, but conditions in the U.S. now leave the LCC slightly outside its comfort zone. It shows when you compare its results to, say, Southwest. And then there’s Allegiant, who at the moment is certainly comfortable towering over everyone.
Earnings season is in full swing and really there’s too much to talk about within the average commute or treadmill run. So we’ll talk fast. And in this episode, our fast talk starts with American Airlines’ billion-dollar quarter and, naturally, how that compares to rivals Delta and United. Speaking of which, United posted a second-quarter operating margin that was competitive with Delta and AA (although it didn’t beat them.) Could United at last be truly closing in on its peers?
Meanwhile, Southwest and Alaska Airlines posted margins that made the legacy carriers look like a bunch of pikers and underscored that it’s been a golden age for U.S. airlines. Ah, but have the U.S. airlines peaked? And lastly, we revisit our recent conversation about Azul, as the airline reached out to us with some interesting and valuable info.
Delta Airlines gets a lot of play in this episode, but it’s not because we’re obsessed with Delta. Rather, there are two practical reasons: First, Delta is the the earliest of the big airlines to report. Secondly, with Delta’s global reach, you can learn a lot about the whole industry from this airline. What did we learn? Revenues continue dropping, but so did costs. Delta remains bullish on its West Coast and transatlantic markets.
And, its operational performance continues to dazzle. Less dazzling was Norwegian, which posted an 8% operating margin in Q2. But 8% doesn’t inspire much confidence that the low-cost longhaul carrier will have a great year. And Qatar Airways, for the first time, reported its full-year earnings. We try to unpack the Gulf carrier’s somewhat complicated report.
Brazil’s Azul is no doubt an innovative airline. But has it become too clever by half with its low-cost longhaul venture? A couple years into the experiment, we discuss it in this episode. Meanwhile, its competitor Gol is asking for relief from its bondholders. When the economy recovers, what are the prospects for both of these airlines?
Further north, a rumor has been floated that Delta is interested in buying a piece of WestJet. Etihad might be wishing it never bought into Alitalia. But everybody among U.S. carriers wants a piece of Havana, and the U.S. DOT only had so much to dole out. Malaysia Airlines has a new CEO. And we take a look ahead at the U.S. earnings reports, which will start hitting the streets this week.
Turkish Airlines and its cross-town rival Pegasus were seeing trouble in their business before the attack on Istanbul’s Ataturk International Airport. In this episode we try to assess—or at least speculate—how the attack will further hurt the two airlines’ prospects. Also, could Turkish’s business model, which relies heavily on sixth-freedom traffic, be especially vulnerable here?
But this episode isn’t all glum. In fact, we discuss new routes announced by Allegiant—currently the most profitable airline on Earth as measured by operating margin—that are a pretty big departure from its business model. Will they work? And lastly, as we’ve crossed the sixth-month mark for the year, we take a look back at the half-year-in-review. In this segment, we cover a lot of ground including the Big Three Gulf carriers, Transavia, Virgin Australia, Azul and Eurowings, to name a few.
In the wake of Brexit, will the U.K. be able to remain in the European Common Aviation Area? We don’t know. But we do know that if the U.K. is relegated to some other status, it would obviously impact airlines inside and outside the U.K. In this episode we do a quick survey of airlines such as British Airways, Virgin Atlantic, Flybe, easyJet, Norwegian and Aer Lingus and attempt to size up each of their levels of exposure to Brexit fallout.
Frontier Airlines had a terrific first quarter, but not as terrific as its peers—does that matter? Air Mauritius has returned to profitability, but is it sustainable in a region that’s likely to only become more competitive? In Canada, NewLeaf is looking to take flight in July, and WestJet appears to be well aware of it.
Wherever you go in the airline industry, you’re never too far from Singapore Airlines, a carrier that played a primary role in—count ‘em— four of the bigger storylines last week. Singapore is pulling out of Brazil. In India, Singapore will likely be a key beneficiary of the end of the 5/20 rule. Singapore and United oddly seem to be rumbling on a San Francisco route. And Virgin Australia is asking Singapore and other investors for more money.
In non-Singaporean news, United Airlines unveiled a plan to generate $3 billion in value. The U.K. is voting on whether to leave the European Union and take its enormous aviation market along with it. We talk about whether Frontier’s day-of-week-specific flying signals a change in approach for the airline. And, lastly, is Alaska really considering keeping the Virgin America brand?
Scandinavia’s SAS posted a pretty rough quarter despite huge tailwinds from its healthy home economy and cheap fuel. Fierce competition, labor concerns and operational problems all share the blame. Is SAS’s long-haul strategy the answer? Or will it take a merger?
Meanwhile in Africa, Fastjet is failing fast, posting an ugly 2015 full-year result. Clearly, it is tough to be a start-up airline on a continent rife with bureaucracy and protectionism. The turboprop carrier Flybe achieved a small annual profit, which was a big deal. Will the airline’s resurgence continue? And for U.S. carriers Delta, American, United and JetBlue, unit revenue declines haven’t stopped—there was hope they would’ve by now—and costs have stopped falling. That’s a recipe for margin pressure.
United last week revealed its new premium experience named Polaris, which includes its business class cabin. Ironically, the big design features in the cabin are all about missing the experience, because United wants its passengers to sleep right through it. But in addition to being optimized for sleep, the cabin is also optimized for something else: seat density. Does United have the right formula here?
Also, how does Polaris compare to American’s and Delta’s business classes? Low oil prices are good for airlines in general, but are they good for airlines in oil markets? In this episode we do a quick survey of oil markets around the world and how their airlines are faring. Mexico’s Interjet posted a tepid profit in the first quarter. And American Airlines made a huge change to its loyalty program that was, well, yawn inducing.
Ryanair is like a runaway train, in that nothing seems to be able to stop it. Despite unfavorable hedges, terrorism, air traffic control strikes and plenty of economic weakness, the airline still managed to turn a profit during the historically weak first quarter. A 6% operating margin never looked so good.
How did Ryanair’s performance compare to that of Wizz Air and easyJet—two airlines that also had solid off-peak quarters? Also, with all three of those airlines growing, when will they start stepping on each other’s toes? Outside Europe, China’s HNA Aviation is purchasing a piece of the struggling Virgin Australia. Is it a smart move? Plus we have an optimistic take on the important, even if not-so-interesting, TSA situation in the U.S.
Why are we seeing such different results from the two big Korean airlines? Korean Air again overcame systemic challenges to deliver a standout performance in the first quarter. And although the fuel situation certainly helped, the story wasn’t only about fuel. If you don’t believe us, just ask Korean’s chief rival Asiana, who struggled mightily in the same quarter. And although there’s no sign of a joint venture happening between Korean Air and Delta, we discuss it anyway, because that’s how we are.
Terrorism is—for good reason—on the minds of airlines around the world right now. It’s wreaking havoc on the balance sheet of Turkey’s Pegasus, which is losing a lot of money. But terrorism might be having the opposite effect for Thai Airways, which has made a brilliant return to profitability. We touch on SpiceJet, a comeback story in its own right. And, of course, we talk about what last week’s horrible crash means for Egyptair in the longer run.
Emirates last week posted an operating margin nearing 10% for its fiscal year. That’s significantly better than the 7% the year before and a whole lot better than the 5%, 4%, and 3% posted in the years prior to that. Is the airline permanently out of its funk? Turkish Airlines meanwhile is struggling in the face of serious revenue declines brought on by fears of terrorism, among other things.
To make matters worse, costs are rising too, which is particularly nasty when combined with low revenues. Still, Turkish remains undeterred if its 19% capacity growth rate is any indication. By the way, is such growth sustainable? Plus we check in on two very sick airlines, Gol and Air Berlin. And Frontier posted a mediocre Q4 in what was otherwise a terrific year.
Is growing Eurowings a safe bet? Lufthansa’s low-cost unit had a rough first quarter and that might not be the last. Eurowings is growing like gangbusters, propelling itself into the teeth of a crowded airline market and doing so with an unproven low-cost longhaul model. Lufthansa’s competitor Air France/KLM meanwhile posted a first-quarter loss, pulled down by its own low-cost unit Transavia. Perhaps a new CEO can turn things around.
Meanwhile, JetBlue presumably wants nothing to turn around as it posted a 22% operating margin in Q1, which was once considered a weak quarter in the U.S. airline industry. Nonetheless, JetBlue is reportedly considering Bombardier’s CSeries. Would it be a good fit?
Delta’s new CEO Ed Bastian thinks it’s great that the competition is trying to catch up to Delta in terms of operational performance. He also says, without hesitation, that the competition—namely American Airlines—won’t catch his airline and makes the case in this 30-minute interview. The interview covers a lot of ground and touches on Delta’s fleet philosophy, its network and its joint ventures around the world.
Other topics include online travel agencies, fuel hedging and the SkyMiles program. We even broach what some have called Delta’s arrogance, or as Bastian refers to it, the airline’s “maverick style.” And we learn the real reason Korean Air and Delta haven’t formed a joint venture—Bastian’s response was something we’ve never heard before.
While Delta, American and United have all seen both revenues and costs dropping, Southwest and Alaska just experienced the opposite in the first quarter. In fact, Southwest and Alaska rode a wave of rising revenues (say that three times fast) and rising costs to fantastic profits—and they did it in the normally sluggish Q1, no less. Speaking of American, how serious is the airline’s declining revenue, which is getting dinged by Southwest in Dallas and bruised by the economy in Brazil?
Meanwhile, United is getting roughed up in Asia and simply hammered in Houston. Continuing to underperform its peers, United is making a change to its board. Will it help? And we raise a mai tai to Hawaiian Airlines, which posted a breezy Q1 in its own right.
Here’s a simple recipe for success: Make all the right moves in all the right places. Whether overseas or in the U.S., Delta has managed to avoid the pockets of pain being experienced by its U.S. peers, who have even been successful in their own right. Also, if one of the most successful airline in the world places a CSeries order, will it change the momentum of that aircraft program?
TAP Portugal lost money in 2015—a big deal with fuel prices so low—and it’s impacting other airlines. One of those is Azul, a big investor in TAP, and Azul, being a Brazilian carrier, doesn’t need another headache right now. And through the miracle medium that is the lightning round, we look at the 2015 revenues and profitability of airlines around the world.
Is China’s slowing economy taking its toll on the country’s Big Three carriers? So far Air China, China Eastern and China Southern have held up well and posted a rather good 2015. But the fourth quarter of 2015 showed some signs of deterioration—even by the standards of this off-peak quarter. In the U.S., Alaska Airlines and Virgin America are, unlike a lot of mergers in the past, merging from a position of strength. But is that a good thing?
Delta’s upcoming first quarter earnings report will surely be terrific and begs the question: Does the U.S. airline industry have an off-peak quarter anymore? Air New Zealand has some shares of Virgin Australia they want to sell you, Air France/KLM is looking for a new CEO, and we finish the show with our first lightning round of 2016.
Alaska Airlines clearly wants to be the dominant carrier on the West Coast, and if its purchase of Virgin America goes through, it will have four focus cities—Los Angeles, San Francisco, Portland and Seattle—all clustered on the Pacific. Such a network might look very different from the network of United, Delta, or American, but that doesn’t mean it won’t work, and it actually resembles the networks of a couple of other successful carriers.
All in all, in this episode, we give our blessing to the Alaska-Virgin marriage, even if the wedding will cost a fortune. Plus, we check in on Brazil’s Gol, an airline that reported some frightful losses. And lastly, little Cebu Pacific did it again, serving up stellar profits in Q4 and making 2015 a stellar year.
If the U.S. airline market were to see even more consolidation, what kind of effect would it have? That’s one question we consider in a discussion about the possible acquisition of Virgin America by another airline. We also talk about possible consolidation in Europe, where it’s a more urgent need. There are reasonable airline pairings to be made there, including IAG tying up with Finnair. But will it ever happen?
Virgin Atlantic, meanwhile, had a decent 2015. Will the profits continue in 2016 with Norwegian breathing down its neck? And lastly, Israel’s El Al had one of its best years ever despite a host of challenges—but Israel’s open skies agreement, which ushered in more competition, doesn’t seem to be a challenge at all.
Attacks at airports are rare, and Tuesday’s bombing at Brussels Airport will no doubt have repercussions around the world. Which airlines will see the worst financial impact from the attacks? Brussels Airlines, not surprisingly, is most vulnerable. Unfortunately, the airline is not starting from a position of strength. Its 2015 earnings report released last week depicts an improving airline, but not quite a healthy one.
Lufthansa is another airline likely to see revenues suffer in the wake of the attacks. And although the Lufthansa group is certainly a strong company, its fourth quarter earnings report was a disappointment. Lastly, will the Brussels bombings usher in another wave of security measures at airports around the world?
It’s good to be a Gulf carrier—Gulf carriers are well positioned to connect the whole world. But it might be better to be a near-the-Gulf carrier like Turkish Airlines. Turkish offers a blend of service as an intercontinental carrier and also as a gateway to an entire continent. We discuss Turkish’s fleet, revenue concerns, growth plans and what kind of threat Pegasus poses. Cathay Pacific had a rather ordinary fourth quarter, but the Hong Kong carrier was likely happy to get that.
In South America, LATAM might be thinking the same thing despite very different circumstances. Ethiopian Airlines had a terrific quarter, growing revenues and notching a 10% operating margin. And Air New Zealand and United announced a joint venture just days after we discussed it on the Lounge. Coincidence?
After hitting the floor in 2013, Qantas, has—like a boomerang—come all the way back and more. In fact, the Australian carrier set an annual profit record in 2015. Despite enjoying the same advantages inherent to the Land of Oz right now, Virgin Australia has not found the same level of fortune. But in terms of operating margin, at least, there’s one airline in that corner of the world outpacing both those carriers as Air New Zealand continues to defy gravity and surprise the editors of Airline Weekly.
In Bogotá, Avianca appears to be weathering—in pretty good fashion—the economic storm that’s consuming Brazil right now. Aeroflot is doing its own bit of weathering, demonstrating its resiliency in a tough home economy. And lastly, United grapples with some shareholders who want changes to the airline’s board.
IAG, the airline group that includes British Airways, Iberia, Vueling and Aer Lingus, is continuing its run of success—a run that probably has peers such as Air France/KLM and Lufthansa feeling a bit envious. In fact, while those two companies struggle with labor pains and more, IAG just posted its most profitable fourth quarter since BA and Iberia merged in 2011. Speaking of combining airlines, the Aer Lingus acquisition is looking more and more like a smart move.
Mexican flag carrier Aeroméxico has a peso problem, but it’s managing it fairly well. And like every other airline in the world (okay, not quite) it’s planning a joint venture with Delta, and history has shown that’s usually a good thing. Meanwhile, Aeroméxico’s competitor Volaris continues flexing its ultra-low-cost muscle. And, of course, we talk about Republic Airways’ unconventional bankruptcy.
What’s it gonna take to fix Air France/KLM? The airline group has a number of problems—from labor inflexibility to a soft French economy—all in a very competitive part of the world. But there are reasons for hope: Gulf carriers could one day slow their growth, Air France/KLM still has the gold standard in joint ventures and, heck, labor concessions are always a possibility.
Air Canada improved its 2015 operating margin from 6% to 11%—no easy task in a country that’s seeing economic and currency headwinds. The bad news for Copa Airlines is that its operating margin dropped from 18% to 7%. The good news is that Copa still has a profit margin at all, as it’s an airline heavily exposed to troubled Brazil and Venezuela. And why doesn’t Virgin America want to offer a basic economy seat option?
Finnair, Norwegian and Icelandair all had rather forgettable off-peak fourth quarters, but not because of the chilly weather they are all enduring. Rather, each has a unique set of challenges and opportunities. Finnair’s challenges include exposure to Asia and transatlantic competition, but there’s hope in seat densification. Norwegian is painfully exposed to Norway’s struggling oil industry, but they have a grow-baby-grow strategy. And Icelandair is perhaps doing the most with less. After all, the airline has never had a profitable fourth quarter until 2015. Icelandair has managed to get a good portion of its revenues in strong-currency countries and keep its costs in a weak-currency country. Hint: That’s a good thing. We also consider Spirit’s ticket revenue pressures and how Hawaiian is handling an up-and-down Japanese yen.
Singapore Airlines swung back to solid profits in 2015. Does this turnaround mean the airline is returning to its former glory, not seen since 2010? Or are low fuel prices just making everyone look good? Korean Air and Asiana continue to struggle with profit margins that barely stayed in positive territory. And the two Korean carriers are facing a new threat by way of some possible deregulation from China’s government.
India’s Jet Airways is seeing a dramatic improvement in its profits—could this carrier also be returning to its former glory? WestJet managed a nice fourth-quarter profit despite currency problems and a home market vulnerable to oil prices. And lastly, we consider Delta CEO Richard Anderson’s retirement.
JetBlue’s big fourth quarter was kind of a big deal. Low oil prices essentially mean that every airline is making money right now, but JetBlue’s 21% operating margin is about more than just oil prices. The airline is changing, and the results are visible in the earnings. American Airlines set a record for annual profits in 2015—a triumph no doubt, even if the airline’s revenue picture is as ugly as a motel painting. United may have Asia’s slowdown to contend with, but American has Brazil where “crisis” is way too weak of a word. And lastly, in Japan, All Nippon (ANA) and Japan Airlines (JAL) have a bit of a rivalry of their own, with JAL posting exemplary fourth quarter earnings but ANA making great competitive strides.
Where Delta’s revenues were relatively resilient, United’s are rapidly receding, at least in the fourth quarter. In Episode 24—informally “part two” of U.S. earnings season—we discuss the sources of United’s revenue declines and the many moves the airline can make to restore them. Two other airlines, meanwhile, seem to have all the right moves.
Southwest is enjoying being safely cocooned in the healthy U.S. domestic market, and Alaska Airlines is enjoying watching new routes bear fruit almost overnight. We do manage to break out of the U.S.A., booking passage to India, where IndiGo and SpiceJet notched solid fourth quarters. In short, everybody is making money!
Delta kicked off earnings season with—yawn—another record-breaking fourth quarter highlighted by a pre-tax profit that starts with a “b” (and ends with an “illion.”) The success is coming from a lot of baskets including cheap oil, operational performance and the fact that Delta’s revenues are holding up somewhat better than United’s and American’s, who report later. We try to break down Delta’s stellar quarter.
Meanwhile, Air France/KLM, an airline group that weathered some tough headlines in 2015, appears to be feeling pretty good in 2016. In South America, LATAM, the most powerful airline in its region, tries to gain more power with two very large joint ventures. And should WestJet or Air Canada be worried about NewLeaf, the ultra-low-cost carrier that might actually fly this spring?
Regardless of whether it’s up or down, India’s airline market tends to be one of thrills and spills. And right now, we’re seeing both—IndiGo is providing the thrills, Air India the spills. Meanwhile, Jet Airways and SpiceJet are holding their own. Believe it or not, that’s a step forward. Not too long ago, it was all misery. Are we seeing the beginning of a stabilizing trend fueled by, well, cheap fuel? Or will growing competition from the likes of Vistara and AirAsia India keep it forever a tumultuous airline market? Also, we look at Korean Air’s difficult situation and offer our two cents’ worth of advice. Plus, has the U.S. market reached a bottom on ticket prices?
Ultra-low-cost carriers like Frontier Airlines are facing in 2016 a whole different animal—a beast that we call “fare compression.” In fact, America in 2016 might see a first-time experiment in which the ultra-low-cost model goes up against the forces of low fuel, a good economy and healthy legacy competition. In this week’s episode we also discuss Ben Baldanza’s departure from Spirit Airlines.
We explore ponderous questions like “Would you rather be SAS or Finnair?” and “What’s the longest turboprop route in the world?” Plus, we hear from one of the authors of the new Delta book. It was an easy “get” seeing as how he’s a permanent resident in the Lounge.
Mexico is finding joy in a low-cost carrier renaissance as Volaris, Interjet and VivaAerobus are all growing and profiting. But the profits aren’t being distributed equally. Why is one carrier performing so much better than another? Also, how long can these airlines keep growing before they run out of elbow room? North of the border, Virgin America meanwhile is shifting to a high-growth gear. Canada’s Air Transat has taken up a new strategy. And it appears Qatar Airways won’t be the launch customer for the A320neo—does it matter? Lastly, in this special double-sized holiday episode, we spend a few minutes looking back at 2015.
Shouldn’t Doug Parker be dancing in the end zone? He is, after all, the CEO of a mega-airline with mega-profits at a time of economic strength and falling fuel prices. But even this airline has challenges. In this week’s episode, we ask him how American plans to remain a profit champion in the face of new and growing competitive threats. As it happened, the interview coincided with the big announcement of American's plan for an international premium economy class, a first among the U.S. Big Three. We asked about that, as well as Parker's thoughts on alliances, fuel hedging, Gulf carriers, the big upcoming changes to the AAdvantage frequent flier plan and much more.
The number of challenges facing Korean Air could fill an A380. Nonetheless the airline remains quite profitable. Korean Air’s prime competitor, Asiana, has not been as fortunate, and we discuss the differences. Meanwhile, Aegean Airlines is doing just fine—more than fine, even—in a very tough economic environment. No stranger to a tough economic environment, Brazil’s Azul is trying to hold its own by again selling a piece of itself. Also, what’s so special about the U.K. leisure carrier Jet2.com?
Not so surprisingly, easyJet wrapped up a strong earnings season in Europe with some strong numbers of its own. We looked at what’s working for easyJet but also why it can’t quite top rivals Ryanair or Wizz Air. Then it’s pretty much all downhill from there. Most airlines can top Air Berlin right now. Thai Airways is struggling with overcapacity and political unrest.
Though things have improved significantly, Kenya Airways is still struggling with terrorism, Ebola and the fact that it’s tough to be in an emerging market right now. And LATAM and Gol are coping in the face of Brazil’s cratering economy. And lastly, desperate to end on a lighter note, we turn to Thanksgiving in America and touch on the realities (and myths!) of holiday air traffic.
More than anything, Spirit Airlines’ business model is built on low fares, which it uses to stimulate demand and fill its planes. But what happens when fuel prices drop, enabling airlines like JetBlue to drop fares too? In a wide-ranging interview, we asked Spirit’s CEO Ben Baldanza about such “fare compression.” We also asked him about the possibility of Spirit chasing corporate traffic (like Ryanair). How will A320-NEOs change Spirit’s network?
Other topics included Spirit’s pilot contract and the notion that Spirit is “stealing traffic” from other airlines. Lastly, we learned why it’s “crazy” to call Spirit a “no-frills” airline and why Baldanza loves the Tonka-truck yellow livery. This is our first CEO interview in The Airline Weekly Lounge. It went so well that we plan to make this a regular feature.
Whew! The busiest week of earnings season has us hustling. We kick off our around-the-world sprint with IAG, the airline group that is British Airways, Iberia, Vueling and more recently Aer Lingus. While IAG led Europe’s Big Three in profits, Lufthansa nonetheless posted its own all-time record, and Air France/KLM was no slouch.
Still benefiting from its restructuring, Japan Airlines had fantastic profits, while All Nippon Airways had merely a fine quarter. We also check in on China’s Big Three, Icelandair, Aeromexico and Jet Airways. Plus, why is Spirit Airlines not all that concerned about its profit margin? That’s a lot of airlines in a single podcast.
Well that didn’t last long. American Airlines, the biggest carrier in the world, set a new quarterly profit record, with a $1.9b net profit in the third quarter. Of course, there are some technicalities at play here, but it broke Delta’s two-week old record. Maybe even more astonishing was United’s $1.7b figure. Has United finally narrowed the performance gap between itself and Delta and American? Meanwhile all of these airlines look like a bunch of pikers compared to Alaska Airlines. Southwest did just fine, but not as well as Volaris (by operating profit margin anyway). Plus we check in on Tigerair, Vietnam Airlines and Norwegian.
How did Delta achieve its record-breaking quarter? We touch on some of the root causes, including Delta’s push for cheap aircraft and near-perfect operations. Also, we discuss Delta’s plan for flat or zero capacity growth in the fourth quarter.
And will Delta hold on to its shiny new earnings record for longer than two weeks? Meanwhile, contrary to a lot of other airlines, JetBlue is seeing an increase in unit revenues. And American Airlines pulled off its reservation system migration with aplomb. And lastly, we revisit the industry 30 years ago from the seat of a certain DeLorean.
Lufthansa is facing competition from Ryanair, Wizz Air, easyJet, Air Berlin, Vueling, Turkish Airlines, Emirates and probably your brother. Competition is not a new thing, but the severity is growing. Meanwhile, Air New Zealand resides in a small country in a location that’s not exactly the stuff of dreams to a network planner.
But still it makes plenty of profits. How does it do so well? American Airlines is migrating US Airways onto AA’s reservation system—no small feat. Plus we talk about capacity increases by WestJet and Air Canada in Calgary, and Spirit and Frontier in Atlanta, and capacity decreases in Brazil by LATAM and Gol. And of course, we discuss the Jennifer Aniston ad.
In airline years, Southwest is certainly old enough to be put out to pasture. Instead, the massive airline is making money like never before. Could some of its contrarian moves, like no bag fees, actually be working? Or is it something else? Oil prices are driving low fares around the world, and that is driving traffic figures despite even some sluggish economies. One airline seeing remarkable traffic numbers is Volaris in Mexico. Meanwhile, Russia’s Aeroflot saw a surprise turn of events as the plug was pulled on its absorption of troubled Transaero.
Posting a $54m profit in its second quarter, Frontier Airlines has joined the ranks of America’s most profitable airlines. Frontier and America’s other ultra-low-cost carrier, Spirit, are both highly profitable and have big growth ambitions. As long as oil prices remain low, they should go far. Meanwhile, Norwegian is taking a stab at the low-cost longhaul game in the transatlantic market. Is this for real this time, or is Norwegian simply riding a tailwind of cheap fuel and a robust U.S. economy?
Meanwhile, European carriers are bullish about their current quarter and the next one. And with the economy continuing to slide in Brazil, what does it mean for Azul’s longhaul ambitions.
Ethiopian Airlines is growing aggressively—and apparently profitably—while other African carriers are struggling. The airline’s centralized location seems to give it a big advantage over other African carriers. Meanwhile, Ethiopian doesn’t face a lot of competition within Africa. Have its fortunate location and smart business moves made it the biggest carrier in Africa?
In India, where there are way too many seats flying around to easily do business, Indigo is nonetheless making money—perhaps even more than Ethiopian. We also discuss the U.S. Export-Import Bank and, of the world’s 100 biggest airports, which are the fastest-growing and slowest-growing (if not shrinking) … and why?
Can United Airlines’ new CEO overcome the carrier’s inherent challenges? United is big, powerful and, at the moment, very profitable. But it’s also underperforming Delta and American. When United and Continental merged, it was supposed to be “checkmate.” And so far it has been—but for the wrong team. Does it matter that the new CEO is not an airline guy? He’s not the first CEO with a railroad background, but still, all the other U.S. carriers have industry veterans at the helm.
Plus, in this week’s Airline Weekly Lounge, we look at “hybrid” airlines, we digest our quarterly earnings scorecard and we discuss why Delta and American are—surprisingly—ending their interline agreement.
Canada may be a cold place, but right now its two major airlines are cruising along with comfortable profit margins. Still, what we’re seeing from WestJet and Air Canada is a far cry from what U.S. carriers are experiencing. Why is there such a disparity of results within North America?
Also, we head to the Korean peninsula to talk about Asiana and Korean Air, both of which endured a number of challenges in their second quarter, including a MERS virus outbreak and a weakening cargo industry. And if that weren’t enough tumult, China is now devaluing its currency. Plus, we touch on Finnair, Jet Airways and Air Berlin.
The creditors of bankrupt Skymark Airlines chose All Nippon Airways (ANA) as its equity partner going forward. This of course leaves Delta—again!—without a dance partner in Asia. With that news, we take the opportunity to consider the condition of Japan’s long-time duopoly. What does this mean for Japan Airlines (JAL) and Delta’s Asia business? Virgin Australia is having a tough time while Philippine Airlines is having the time of its life.
And in the Western world, Frontier Airlines is putting Humpty Dumpty back together again—profitably this time. We’ll explain in this week’s edition of The Airline Weekly Lounge.
With most European airlines having now reported second-quarter earnings, the picture is filling in. But it’s a mosaic—not a portrait. Some carriers did well. Some did lousy. One thing we learned from Ryanair and Wizz Air is that it’s good to be an ultra-low-cost carrier in Europe right now.
As for the legacy carriers, it’s not all bad—especially if your home economy is in the UK and you’re somewhat sheltered from the euro. Case in point: IAG, parent company of British Airways, Iberia and Vueling, which had a decent quarter. The Lufthansa Group plodded. Air France/KLM struggled. And Icelandair seems to be enjoying life in its own little corner of the canvas.
American Airlines doesn’t hedge its jet fuel, and now it’s enjoying the fruits of that somewhat contrarian strategy. Is AA onto something here? Is fuel hedging a smart play? Will other airlines mimic AA and reject hedging altogether? Those are some of the questions I ask Seth Kaplan in our second episode of The Airline Weekly Lounge. Also, while AA was on the right side of the fuel hedge bet, Air France/KLM was on the wrong side.
The company was also on the wrong side of the euro-dollar bet and those two forces combined to further punish the already-limping airline pair. Back in America, Spirit Airlines had a great quarter by its own standards—but mediocre by its standards. Part of its difficulty was due to a softening revenue picture. Is such heated competition in the U.S. a surprise so soon after consolidation and with high oil prices such a recent memory? Lastly, we discuss WestJet, the subject of this week’s Airline Weekly’s cover story. The Canadian airline is clearly not afraid to changes its business model. We look at WestJet’s endeavors and more in this week’s episode.
Our inaugural episode of the Airline Weekly Lounge went live today. Within it, Seth Kaplan and I discuss this golden age for U.S. aviation. Can profits get any better? Along those lines, Delta reported earnings last week. They were exemplary, of course, even despite wrong-way fuel hedges. And Norwegian released its second quarter report as well.
Norwegian is, of course, most interesting because of its experimentation with long-cost long-haul flying. It’s always interesting to hear how that’s going. And as we discussed in this week’s cover story of Airline Weekly, Emirates is facing real headwinds. In the Lounge podcast, we discuss Emirates’s situation a little more deeply. And, I asked Seth whether Turkish Airlines’s break-neck growth rate is sustainable. Our first podcast—it’s sure to be a collector’s item. So, do check it out.