Talking Heads: Recent Episodes
BNP Paribas Asset Management
The Talking Heads podcast offers in-depth insights on the topics that really matter to investors. Each week, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management, joins our investment experts to analyse the market through the lens of sustainability.
Alongside our weekly analysis, we’ll also be releasing the Uncapped Impact Series, about impact investing, every few weeks.
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Artificial Intelligence (AI) is impacting the media and advertising industries, triggering a pivot away from simply generating billable hours towards the production of higher value-added content. Matthijs Leendertse, Senior Lecturer for Media Economics at Erasmus University, Rotterdam, talks with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the development of AI and its potential future impact on our societies.
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Equities in the US, Europe, Japan and emerging markets should see strong second quarter earnings growth. As Nadia Grant, Head of Global Equities, tells Chief Market Strategist, Daniel Morris, year-to-date equity returns have been highly concentrated, notably AI-linked hardware stocks ‘at the expense of everything else, particularly software’.
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June saw particularly strong inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), taking total assets under management in UCITS ETF beyond €3 trillion for the first time. As Daniel Dornel, Head of ETF Research, explains to Chief Market Strategist, Daniel Morris, inflows were strongest in the US and Japan; European and emerging market figures were less impressive.
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Despite trebling in size since 2020, fixed income ETF (exchange-traded fund) assets remain under-bought in Europe. Luca Pagni, Head of Fixed Income ETFs, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that there is still great growth potential for bond ETFs – for a variety of reasons.
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The recent heat wave in Europe provided a unique environment for the 75,000 attendees of the London Climate Action Week. Climate Lead Thibaud Clisson tells Chief Market Strategist, Daniel Morris, that this major climate finance gathering focused on seeking concrete solutions to accelerate and finance the energy transition and climate adaptations, and on how to best channel private funding towards practical solutions.
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Dire predictions about possible catastrophic impacts of the Iran conflict on oil prices – and thus on the global economy – appear to have largely proven unfounded. Thijs Van de Graaf, Professor of International Energy Politics at Ghent University, talks with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the range of factors that have mitigated the effects of the war.
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The US high yield market has weathered recent market turbulence well, but selectivity is becoming increasingly paramount. Jack Stephenson, Senior Investment Specialist, tells Chris Iggo that the outlook for US high yield remains constructive despite widening dispersion across industry and quality segments of the market.
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Artificial intelligence (AI) models continue to get smarter and cheaper, spurring adoption and expanding the total addressable market. Pamela Hegarty and Derek Glynn, Co-portfolio Managers of BNPP AM’s disruptive technology strategy provide Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, with their expert views of the current AI industry and its investment potential, not least in supporting both training and inferencing applications.
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The geopolitical pressures forcing Europe to develop an autonomous defence capability are unrelenting. Listen to George Ferguson, Senior Analyst for Aerospace, Defence and Airlines at Bloomberg Intelligence, update Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre about prospects for the European defence sector.
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In this special edition, Sophie Dimopoulou, Head of External Distribution in Luxembourg, is joined by Professor Athanasios Platias, Professor Emeritus of Strategy at the University of Piraeus in Greece, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist at BNP Paribas Asset Management. Together they discuss how geopolitics and artificial intelligence are each effecting profound change on the global economy.
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European small cap stocks have outperformed their large cap peers so far this year. Damien Kohler, Head of European Small Cap Equities tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that small caps can prove positive for investors pursuing an active barbell strategy of a strong income-oriented approach combined with identifying underpriced potential for growth.
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China's policy for growth from hi-tech industry development is a state-organised – but not state-led – strategic effort that combines top-down industrial planning with bottom-up competition among local players. Chi Lo, Senior Market Strategist in Hong Kong, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that investment value in China is created through aligning private incentives with state goals of high-quality growth, technological self-reliance, digitalisation and national security.
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Artificial intelligence and machine learning are contributing increasingly to the process of identifying stock investment opportunities and managing portfolio risk, particularly when it comes to quantitative equity strategies that use mathematical models, algorithms and vast datasets to identify and capture the best ideas. Ram Rasaratnam, CIO for Quant Equity Strategies at AXA IM Core, part of BNP Paribas Asset Management, tells Chris Iggo, Chief Investment Officer, AXA IM Core, that AI and machine learning are revolutionising how researchers improve the models that support the firm’s analysis of a potential investee stock’s valuation, quality and future earnings trajectory.
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The Middle East conflict has triggered a surge in energy and other prices, creating a second inflation shock in four years. Elida Rhenals, a Senior Portfolio Manager in the rates and inflation team at AXA IM Core, part of BNP Paribas Asset Management, tells Chris Iggo, Chief Investment Officer for AXA IM Core, how the short duration inflation-linked bond strategy run by her team can be effective in offering protection and a real return – not just a nominal one – in a slowing growth, rising inflation environment.
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US small-cap stocks had a strong start to 2026 with the Russell 2000 index significantly outperforming the S&P 500 large cap. Geoff Dailey, Head of US Equities, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that the main driver was the artificial intelligence theme.
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With a ‘licence to roam’ fixed income markets, an absolute return approach works with a toolkit that allows it to continue to earn returns in bond markets roiled by geopolitical tension and the growth and inflation upsets that go with it. James McAlevey, Head of Global Aggregate and Absolute Return, tells Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre, emerging market bonds have emerged as ‘one of the single best opportunities’ from the current energy shock.
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Overall inflows into exchange-traded funds slowed towards the end of the first quarter as market volatility and uncertainty spiked amid the outbreak of war in the Middle East. Daniel Dornel, Head of ETF Research, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that inflation-linked products saw inflows late in the quarter as rising oil prices in particular fanned inflation concerns.
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Healthcare equities – especially in the US, by far the largest market – look set for a strong recovery in 2026. US Equities team Senior Portfolio Manager Jon Stephenson tells Investment Insights Centre Co-head Andy Craig that numerous factors should create a much more investable environment.
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While their sustainability-related credentials have sustained the appeal of green bonds over the years, recent events in energy markets have reminded investors of the need for continued progress on the energy transition and hence the need for financing for green energy projects. Johann Plé, Senior Portfolio Manager in the Euro Fixed Income team, discusses the role green bonds should play in global asset allocations.
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“The crisis that we're experiencing with the conflict in the Middle East is only going to reinforce the fact that climate will remain our clients’ and our top priority,” Jane Wadia, Head of Sustainability at AXA IM Core, tells Andy Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre. Jane foresees a new impetus for renewable energy amid accelerated efforts to reduce countries’ dependency on fossil fuels further.
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The Middle East conflict and the resulting oil price surge have left the global economy – and investors – on a knife-edge. Laurent Clavel, Global Head of Multi-Asset for AXA Investment Managers, part of BNP Paribas Asset Management, talks with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about handling multi-asset portfolios at such a volatile time.
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What do current events in the Middle East mean for the clean energy sector? How can vulnerability to fossil fuel shocks be reduced? Ulrik Fugmann, Environmental Strategies Group Co-Head, talks to Investment Insights Centre Co-Head Andy Craig about recent ‘tectonic’ shifts such as Europe’s Strategic Infrastructure Investment Fund and the possibility of US wind and solar tax credits being reinstated.
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Portfolio Manager Stef Abelli of the Euro high-yield credit team and Chris Iggo, Chief Investment Officer, AXA IM Core, discuss the outlook for high-yield corporate bonds as well as the diversification opportunities across sectors and industries and the improved quality the asset class offers. Even in the face of higher market volatility, liquidity has remained high, Stef notes, adding: “Investors are looking for yield wherever they can get it. And the asset class has matured enough to be more and more attractive to a wider range of investors.”
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Volatility in financial markets has made money market funds a preferred asset allocation tool. Investors looking for a high-quality strategy with no exposure to financials and other corporates, a stable net asset value, and strong liquidity should consider public debt constant net asset value (CNAV) money market funds.
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Given its strong performance in recent years, does the Euro corporate bond market still offer attractive opportunities or has it become too expensive? Chris Iggo, Chief Investment Officer, AXA IM Core, talks to Boutaina Deixonne, Head of Euro Investment-Grade and High-Yield Credit, about the outlook, investor demand, and promising sectors and industries.
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Increasingly, investors want to see real-world outcomes resulting from asset managers' sustainability-related efforts. Andy Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insight Centre, and Jane Ambachtsheer, Global Head of Sustainability, tackle these and other topics as they review the prospects for sustainability-related investing amid scepticism and a pushback in some areas.
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Is inclusive growth an underappreciated investment criteria when investing sustainably? Amid geopolitical tensions, rising populism and growing inequalities, assessing a business’s inclusivity matters when selecting investments.
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The range of solutions for investors to manage cash has expanded with the addition of money market exchange-traded funds. Paul Xatard-Huberlant, Head of Equity ETF & Index Management team in the Systematic and Quantitative Investment Group, explains to Andy Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insight Centre, why this development matters for investors.
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Clean energy started 2026 strongly as the investment theme rides the bullish sentiment around power demand, expanding electrification and the build-out of the digital ecosystem. The growing appetite for clean energy has also shone the spotlight on companies that own and operate essential and critical infrastructure such as AI datacentres.
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There were multiple reasons why Indian equities underperformed the rest of emerging markets in 2025 – one being the absence of a large semiconductor sector in the country. However, as Jayesh Gandhi, Head of Indian Equities, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris, its large software industry and spreading AI adoption should help brighten the prospects for 2026.
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Daniel Dornel, Head of ETF Research, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris discuss the latest trends in investing using exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Other topics include the strong Q4 2025 appeal of ETFs with environmental, social or governance aspects, marking a recovery after a spell of hesitant flows into ESG-aligned strategies.
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Ecaterina Bigos, Chief Investment Officer for Asia ex-Japan, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discuss how financial markets might evolve in 2026 and where the biggest opportunities and risks lie. In terms of developments to monitor, they weigh up topics such as the US’s ambition to produce more of what it consumes, the durability of capital spending on artificial intelligence, monetary policy, and Europe’s drive to boost competitiveness and strategic autonomy.
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The US economy is headed for a spell of slower growth in 2026 and while inflation may not fall much further, slack in the labour market should allow for additional cuts in the benchmark fed funds rate – overall, this is a favourable backdrop for US high-yield corporate bonds. Jack Stephenson, Investment Specialist for US High-Yield, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that high-yield credit is perhaps not the cheapest now, but the quality of bond issuers has improved notably.
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Geologically and meteorologically, Asia is vulnerable when it comes to the fallout from climate change. Crystal Geng, Asia ESG Research Lead, talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the factors driving Asia's push for decarbonisation, nature conservation, and greater equality.
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Emerging markets are generally in good shape, providing a supportive backdrop for EM bonds, in particular those in local currencies. On this week’s podcast, they also discuss the outlook for hard currency EM debt, particularly with an eye on expectations for the dollar, US monetary policy, trade and commodity prices.
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Economic growth in China has slowed over the past 2-1/2 years although Beijing has undertaken numerous fiscal measures to stimulate growth, encourage investment, prop up the property market and restore consumer confidence. Listen to Chi Lo, Global Market Strategist, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris, as they discuss the government’s efforts to steer the economy back on to a path of sustainable growth.
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What role can natural capital assets such as woodland, but also farmland, play in institutional investors' portfolios? Listen to our podcast with Celine Claudon, Chief Commercial Officer for International Woodland Company, and Andy Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre.
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Investing in European stocks on the basis of quality-focused criteria has gone through a rough patch, but as Carmine De Franco, Head of Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management, tells Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insight Centre, investors should not lose faith: quality has a place in diversified portfolios implementing investment factors. Over the last 25 years, three types of factor investing — quality, growth and value—have stood out due to their distinct attributes and impact on portfolio performance at different phases of the economic cycle.
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Emerging market equities have overcome the initial fallout from US tariffs on imported goods, thanks, in part, to resilient demand in the US and a weak dollar. Zhikai Chen, Head of Global Emerging Market Equities, talks with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about how the market is adapting to a new paradigm.
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Ahead of November’s COP30 climate summit, Thibaud Clisson, Climate Change Lead, explains where we stand on collective efforts to limit global warming and address the impact of climate change. What progress have stakeholders made over the past year? Can investors look forward to new pledges on topics such as climate financing for developing countries?
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Key themes in global equity markets besides artificial intelligence currently include renewable energy to power datacentres, defence, which is going through a super-cycle, and – perhaps unexpectedly – undervalued stocks in the healthcare sector. Nadia Grant, Head of Global Equities, talks Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris through these megatrends.
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Making progress on the energy transition, net zero sustainability, and inclusive growth requires an effort that transcends borders and means involving a wide range of parties including asset owners and policymakers. Jane Ambachtsheer, Global Head of Sustainability, talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the significance of this meeting, the PRI advocacy network and its principles for responsible investment, and what investors can expect from the PRI in Person in Sao Paulo, Brazil on 4 - 6 November 2025.
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Daniel Dornel, Head of ETF Research, explains to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris why the third quarter was remarkable for inflows into exchange-traded funds. Thematically, defence has remained in the lead, closely followed by artificial intelligence.
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James McAlevey, Head of Global Aggregate and Absolute Return explains how his team applies the flexibility of an absolute return approach to generate returns regardless of the overall environment in bond markets. Global bond markets are vast, composed of segments ranging from US mortgage-backed securities to emerging market debt, forgetting sovereign bonds, currencies and corporate debt.
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Overly pessimistic market sentiment towards US small-capitalisation stocks has reversed. Geoff Dailey, Head of US Equities, explains that small caps are benefiting from investor enthusiasm over legislation including investment incentives.
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Actively managed exchange-traded funds are a new generation of investment solutions. Charles Cresteil, Investment Specialist, talks to Daniel Morris, about the advantages of investing in active ETFs including ease of trading and appealing transparency.
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Companies across the food and agriculture value chain have been facing challenges ranging from changing eating habits as a result of weight loss drugs to tighter US rules on food additives. Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Agne Rackauskaite, Portfolio Manager, discuss the implications of these developments and potential winners and losers.
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After a lean period in recent years, European small-cap stocks have entered positive territory. Damien Kohler, Head of European Small Caps, talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the attractions of small capitalisation companies and their place in portfolios of investors with an appetite for income.
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The global landscape is witnessing a significant shift in sustainability strategies, influenced by political pressures and economic realities. Recent months have been a challenging period with sustainability action under considerable pressure.
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With the second half of the year now well underway, what are the prospects for the major economies and financial markets as tariffs remain very much in the headlines? On our podcast, Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, that concerns remain over US Treasuries, arguing for an overweight in European bonds versus US sovereign debt.
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Voting and engagement matter for any long-term investor. While fewer environmental and social proposals have been voted on, they still obtain widespread support.
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When it comes to digital assets, attention often centres on cryptocurrencies, but for an asset manager, digitalisation opens up a wider field of opportunities. On our podcast, Stefan Brinaru, Head of Digital Assets, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that the advantages of tokenisation include more transparency and faster settlement.
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How have investor anxieties over the impact of US tariffs on economic growth, US debt sustainability and generally volatile markets affected recent flows in exchange-traded funds? Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris talks to Daniel Dornel, Head of ETF Research, about the latest trends including flows out of – and back into – US equities and the appetite for less risky asset classes.
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With the US dollar battered by stop-start tariff policy, fiscal profligacy and questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve, where should investors turn? The dollar index, which measures the currency’s strength against a basket of six others including the pound, euro and yen, slumped more than 10% in the first half of 2025, the worst start to the year since the end of the gold-backed Bretton Woods system in 1973.
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This year’s disruptive jolt from developer DeepSeek showed that the cost of training and using AI models can be trimmed significantly. Listen to our podcast with Portfolio Manager Derek Glynn as he tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that use cases are set to expand far beyond personal assistants and chatbots to include even robotics and augmented reality glasses.
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Green bonds, whose revenues are used to fund green projects such as renewable energy, have matured. On our podcast, Arnaud-Guilhem Lamy, Head of Euro Aggregate and SRI Fixed Income, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that standards and standardisation have improved.
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Investors with an appetite for investing in themes are increasingly including private market strategies, according to the Thematics Barometer global survey of decision makers. Discussing this year’s results with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris, Christopher Dunn, Head of Investment Management for Europe for Coalition Greenwich, notes the leading themes include renewable and clean energy, and that interest in artificial intelligence is ‘really off the page’.
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What are the five human activities threatening the ocean’s health and its ability to support jobs and business and act as a carbon sink? What can sustainability-minded investors do to discourage companies from, for example, trading protected species or engaging in industrial fishing?
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How can fixed income investors tackle the uncertainty over the outlook for growth and inflation? How will concerns about government finances play out ? Where are interest rates heading? Jayesh Mistry, Absolute Return Portfolio Manager, makes the case for an absolute return approach, with flexibility to benefit from different sectors within global bond markets.
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Amid market doubts over the US’s exceptionalism, where can investors seeking diversification turn? Is a ‘re-awakened’ Europe an alternative? In this edition, Nadia Grant, Head of Global Equities, shares her views and investment ideas with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.
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Geopolitical pressures are forcing Europe to develop an autonomous defence capability. Listen to George Ferguson Senior Analyst for Aerospace, Defence and Airlines at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre talk about prospects for the European defence sector.
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Listen to Karen Azoulay, Head of Real Assets, as she tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that investing in infrastructure fits well with the efforts of the European Commission and governments to boost spending and innovation. The asset class’s stable and predictable cashflows can also offer downside protection, she argues.
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Portfolio Manager Sid Jha delves into the value of investing in environmental strategies for sustainable growth. Such strategies can provide diversification when financial markets are volatile and uncertainty over the economic outlook is rife.
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Guy Davies, CIO of Fundamental Equities and Deputy Head of Investments, talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about his outlook for equity markets amid expectations of further volatility and a persistent lack of clarity on the outlook for economies and central bank policies, notably in the US.
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Damien Fournier and Lionel Gomez, Co-Heads of Private Equity, discuss the benefits and risks of private equity, as well segments such as venture capital and distressed investments, with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist. They highlight the agility private equity brings in the current market and economic environment and discuss the opportunities in themes such as healthcare and energy transition.
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Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, sits down with Olivier De Larouziere, CIO of Fixed Income, to discuss some of the recent moves in global bond markets. Olivier reminds listeners that one things hasn't changed, namely the number one performance driver for fixed income remains carry.
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Equity flows to exchange-traded funds diverged earlier this year, with outflows from US ETFs but inflows to European, emerging market and China ETFs. These and other topics feature in our quarterly ETF podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Daniel Dornel, Head of ETF Research.
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Impact investing – making investments for a positive, measurable social and environmental impact alongside a financial return – is seeing growing interest from investors, even in a world where many types of sustainable investing face scepticism. Berenice Lasfargues, Sustainability Integration Lead, talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the features of this approach that seeks to invest in companies offering, for example, education tools for dyslexic children or affordable housing.
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A newly re-energised Europe, lifted by more concerted efforts to address lacklustre growth faces a fresh blow as US plans to re-engineer global trade threaten to sap investor and consumer confidence. Listen to Mario Pietrunti, Senior European Economist, as he explains the direct and indirect effects to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.
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A popular investment strategy targeting market-neutral exposure involves an overweight exposure to convertible bonds in combination with an underweight in the underlying equity that the bonds typically convert into. Skander discusses with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris how these strategies can appeal to investors looking for less risk and less volatility in their portfolios.
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What do the latest import tariff announcements from the Trump administration mean for emerging economies and companies around the world? Here, with a first assessment, Zhikai Chen, Head of Global Emerging Markets, shares his views on the impact for Asian and emerging market (EM) economies and companies with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.
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European securitised assets, backed by loans, mortgages and other categories of (consumer) credit as collateral, offer investors a source of diversification from other forms of credit such as corporate debt. Listen to David Favier, Head of Structured Credit, as he discusses the ins and outs of asset-backed securities and their role as a diversification asset in a broad fixed income portfolio with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.
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Several factors are reinforcing the investment case for water utilities and other water infrastructure and treatment companies. Listen to water strategy portfolio managers Justin Winter and Harry Boyle as they cover issues around scarcity and climate change as well as the growing need for ultraclean water for semiconductors and cooling applications for datacentres.
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Amid geopolitical change and shifts in the focus of public policy, private capital investments in infrastructure have a major role to play. Head of the Private Equity Infrastructure Investment Team Rodolphe Brumm tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, that this asset class benefits from robust characteristics.
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Investment decisions have centred on growth for years, but the current setting of uncertainty, geopolitical turmoil and high volatility argues for a renewed focus on ‘value’. Carmine tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that in value investing, investors should take into account both the market's overall risk appetite and trends.
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After rising in the wake of the US election, valuations of US small-cap stocks have marked a pause. Geoff Dailey, Head of US Equities, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris he expects the new US administration's focus on manufacturing in the US to boost market sentiment.
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Head of ETF Research Daniel Dornel discusses recent trends in investing through exchange-traded funds, including investors moving from ETFs with very selective ESG criteria to less selective ones to limit return deviations from the market index. He also tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, that demand for ‘active’ ETFs is picking up given they are an efficient way to integrate environmental, social and governance considerations into a portfolio.
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There is always uncertainty, particularly when it comes to the direction of bond markets in an uncertain world. James McAlevey, Head of Global Aggregate and Absolute Return explains the merits of absolute return fixed income investing in the current environment.
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The top-down view in the US on the need for a sustainable approach to business and government has shifted, but there are still signs that initiatives on greater diversity, equity and inclusion can persist. Alex tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that talk of the end of sustainable investing is premature: New solutions will be developed and existing processes refined.
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Recent stock market movements have focused attention on the risks of over allocating to an equity index dominated a small group of companies in the same sector. This is currently the case with the preponderance of 10 (tech) behemoths in the US S&P500. Raul Leote de Carvalho, Deputy Head of the Quant Research Group, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris put this concentration into context. They conclude that as long as market valuations rise in synch with profitability, the companies’ index dominance can be justified, but there's no margin for error. Raul suggests two ways of managing the related risk of high volatility.
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Demand for power in Asia could expand rapidly in the next few years as incomes rise, temperatures soar further, and calls for air quality improvements grow louder. Local phenomena including the rapid adoption of electric vehicles, electrifying India’s prolific two-wheelers and building out its urban metro networks look set to boost demand, Manish Bishnoi, Portfolio Manager for Asian environmental strategies at Impax Asset Management, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris. Equally, the rise of AI and the resulting structural change of power market dynamics will be felt across Asia.
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This year’s unknowns may look daunting. However, money still needs to be put to work. That will require strong convictions and portfolios constructed to weather whatever may happen. Here, Claire Mehu, Team Head for Balanced Solutions, and Andy Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, discuss the prospects for multi-asset portfolios.
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Investing in private credit – loans provided by institutions other than banks – is gaining ground as regulatory changes create opportunities. Listen to this episode. Stephane Blanchoz, Head of Alternative Solutions, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of Investment Insights Centre, discuss the mature US market and the opportunity-rich European market for private credit. They also go into the benefits of investing through an asset manager and the outlook for 2025.
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Will the expression “May you live in interesting times” apply to 2025? How many ‘tugs of war’ will investors face? Kicking off our 2025 podcast series, Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris revisit our investment outlook – Opportunities in a volatile world. They discuss US Treasury and corporate bonds, US, European and emerging market equities, and – a barbarous relic – gold.
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What are exchange-traded funds (ETFs)? How do they work and what are advantages do they offer? What's behind the new trend in Active ETFs? Why are they becoming so popular? We have the answers! Listen to our last podcast of 2024 with Marie-Sophie Pastant, Head of the Portfolio Management team for ETF, Index and Synthetic Strategies, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre.
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Robert Alexandre Poujade, Biodiversity Lead, updates Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, on the latest developments, including takeaways from the recent multilateral COP16 meeting and the importance of heading off systemic risks such as even partial ecosystem collapse. Robert Alexandre also discusses how BNP Paribas Asset Management is taking biodiversity into account, the recent update of our biodiversity roadmap and next steps in the fight to tackle biodiversity loss.
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Reviewing the outcome of the recent UN Climate Summit, Climate Change Lead Thibaud Clisson tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, that amid the mixed results, there was progress on greater transparency in carbon markets and measures to tackle climate change fallout in developing countries. They also discuss hopes that next year’s COP conference can make progress on commitments to transitioning away from fossil fuels.
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The arrival of a more protectionist US administration favouring deregulation and fossil fuels may be seen as hindering the energy transition and climate action. Ed Lees, Co-head of our Environmental Strategies group, explains why it is not that simple. He talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the countervailing forces such as state-level – not federal – environmental standards, the hard-to-dispute economics of green energy, and the jobs that current policies have created.
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What are the implications of Donald Trump re-entering the White House with his Republican party in control of both chambers of the US Congress? Listen to this Talking Heads podcast on these questions with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre.
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With the end of 2024 six weeks away and 2025 dawning with the promise of wide-ranging changes under a new US administration as well as further key interest rate cuts, what are the chances that US equities will continue to stand out? Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, and Christian Fay, Senior Portfolio Manager for US and Global Equities in Boston, discuss these and other questions in this week’s edition.
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While debate may rage over the feasibility of the Paris Agreement goals on containing climate change, it is clear to many investors that economies are inevitably moving towards net zero emissions and many policymakers are legislating in the realisation that the transition is coming. Jakob Thomä, Research Director at the Inevitable Policy Response, tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, that investors are taking the view climate change is a risk factor to be tackled now.
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Cedric Scholtes, Head of Sovereign Bonds, Inflation & Rates talks with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the factors that have led to the recent rise in yields of US Treasuries and what may happen next. At a time of multiple possible paths for US policy rates they discuss the state of the US labour market, how markets are evaluating future fiscal policy and the outlook for inflation.
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Capturing drivers of stock performance via ‘factors’ such as value or low volatility and investing in them systematically continues to gain ground among investors. Carmine De Franco, Head of Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, explore the advantages of quantitative investing as a source of diverse elements of performance.
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Markets are focused on the resilience of the US economy, the scope for post-election policymaking in the US and recent developments in China when reviewing the near and medium-term outlook for developed market equities. Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, discuss our latest equity update.
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The market for green and social bonds has matured in recent years. It now boasts numerous issuers from diverse sectors, a broad range of maturities and performance similar to that of traditional – corporate and government – bond markets, Portfolio Manager Arnaud-Guilhem Lamy to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the merits of green and social bonds.
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Recent interest rate cuts have added to a constellation that should allow European small-cap stocks to continue to outshine large caps, Portfolio Manager Mathieu Bernard tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris on this episode of our weekly podcast. The favourable setting includes earnings per share growth ahead of that of large caps, attractive valuations and potential for dividend growth.
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Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Jon Stephenson, Senior Portfolio Manager for the healthcare sector, and Daniel Morris, Chief Global Strategist. Jon talks about the opportunities he sees arising from healthcare innovation.
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How and why are investors using thematic investment strategies? Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Mark Buckley, Global Head of Investment Management with Coalition Greenwich, and Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre.
To read the full report, visit our 2024 Thematics Barometer page.
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Stewardship is the direct engagement between us, BNP Paribas Asset Management, as investors and the companies we invest in. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Rachel Crossley, Head of Stewardship for Europe within the Global Sustainability Centre at BNP Paribas Asset Management, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre.
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Emerging market debt has had a strong run since the start of 2024 with positive performance across the universe of sovereign issuers. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Alaa Bushehri, Head of Emerging Market Debt at BNP Paribas Asset Management, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre.
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Inequality may not be an obvious factor when assessing the prospects of a company. Yet, it is financially material, impacting productivity and well-being. As such, it can make a crucial contribution to a healthy society and stable economy. Equality Lead and ESG Analyst Sindhu Janakiram discusses these issues with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris. Static categories of winners and losers stand in the way of equal opportunity and social mobility.
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In this episode, CMO Pieter Oyens talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about fixed maturity plans which allow investors to lock in interest rates for three, five or seven years, thus capturing a regular flow of coupon payments. The plans, which can take the form of a mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund (ETF), are timely in that short-term interest rates have now peaked, and leading central banks are beginning to lower them now that economies have plateaued and inflationary pressures in job markets are wearing off.
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In this episode, Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris and Sustainability Integration Lead Berenice Lasfargues discuss the concept and practice of impact investing, which aims to generate positive social and environmental outcomes alongside financial returns. They cover the three ingredients of impact investing – intentionality, additionality, and impact management and measurement – and talk about how investors can design and implement their impact strategies.
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Mark Richards, Head of Flexible and Absolute Return in our multi-asset team, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discuss the recent market turmoil and what might come next. They start with the outlook for the US and whether there is justification for market concerns over an impending recession.
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On this week’s podcast: Mega-cap technology giants have embarked on an ‘arms race’, spending billions of dollars, as they compete for a slice of the rapidly expanding market for artificial intelligence-related products and services. Derek Glynn, Associate Portfolio Manager for our disruptive technology strategy, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris survey the AI landscape and tackle the questions that matter for investors.
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How has the leveraged loans asset class weathered the vagaries of recent years, what can it offer income-oriented investors, and is this a good time to invest in these floating rate loans? These are some of the questions Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Javier Perez Diaz, Head of Leveraged Loans, tackle on this edition. Other topics include the segment’s diversification benefits, its solid track record and its role as a hedge against inflation.
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How can investors implement strategies that align portfolios with the objective of limiting the effects of climate change while preserving or improving financial returns? Taking our recent handbook, Adjusting your approach to net zero and including our wider sustainability framework, Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, and Fabio Pinna, Portfolio Manager Systematic & Quantitative Investment, discuss ways to transition portfolios so that they contribute to net zero greenhouse gas emissions.
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With elections held in large economies such as India and the EU, and more to come elsewhere, particularly in the US, investors might be left wondering how changes of government and in the composition of parliaments would affect the ambitions of countries to mitigate and adapt to the effects of climate change. They can be reassured for the most part, Alex Bernhardt, Global Head of Sustainability Research, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.
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In a world seeking to both preserve biodiversity and decarbonise, natural capital such as forests has a lot to offer. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Maxence Foucault, ESG Specialist and Private Assets Lead, and Celine Claudon, Chief Commercial Officer at BNPP Asset Management-owned IWC. They discuss with Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, the process of producing certified wood and its use as a recyclable alternative for plastic packaging and construction steel.
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The scaling back of expectations for the number of interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve in 2024 has been a feature so far this year. In the view of Mark Richards, Head of Flexible and Absolute Return, investors should remember that the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of preserving growth and protecting jobs gives it a dovish bias. Rather than being on a mission to eliminate inflation at all costs, the Fed could move quickly if required. As Mark points out to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, such action from the Fed could boost the performance of government bonds in multi-asset portfolios, Risks to such a scenario include doubts about the sustainability of high government budget deficits. The resulting search for alternative stores of value could well continue to favour gold.
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In this edition of Talking Heads, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Luca Pagni, Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) Portfolio Manager, discuss the success of fixed income exchange-traded funds, due, as he explains, to the fact that they offer investors access to a diversified and liquid portfolio of bonds at an attractive cost. The discussion also covers innovations including fixed maturity ETFs that combine the benefits of an ETF and the characteristics of a standalone bond with a set maturity date and declining interest-rate risk over time. Another topic is a more active approach to the management of these index-related products.
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With official interest rates in the eurozone having begun their descent and the economy bottoming out, selected segments of the high-yield bond market remain, in our view, well orientated. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, and Stef Abelli, European High Yield Portfolio Manager. Among the topics their discussion covers are the merits of a short duration approach and the sectors whose prospects appear favourable.
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As global growth improves, the outlook for the eurozone with its relatively high exposure to international demand is brightening, Mario Pietrunti, Senior Economist for the eurozone, talks to Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, about the economic outlook for the euro area in this Talking Heads podcast. Further out, challenges loom: weak European competitiveness, geopolitical headwinds, productivity issues, and restrictive central bank monetary policy.
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With the bull market in bonds now behind us and investors looking for effective ways to position portfolios in fixed income, absolute return fixed income strategies offer potential. They seek to reap positive returns regardless of the direction of bond yields. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Jay Mistry, Senior Portfolio Manager on our absolute return fixed income team. He tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, that appealing features of this approach also include its focus on capital preservation and benefiting from value differences between regions, countries and markets, even if yields are moving higher.
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The prospect of rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve later this year should allow frontier market bonds to build on what has been a months-long run of robust performance according to Guy Tossou, Senior Portfolio Manager for Emerging Market Frontier Debt.Guy tells Andrew Craig, co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre, that within the asset class, there are still frontier markets where his investment team continues to see value.
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A growing number of governments and state agencies is turning to the green bond market to fund measures aimed at helping countries to adapt to and mitigate the effects of climate change or tackle issues such as social inequality.Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Malika Takhtayeva, ESG analyst, and Ilan Tamsot, Portfolio Manager, as they discuss the sovereign green bond scoring methodology of BNP Paribas Asset Management and today’s green bond market challenges with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.
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Indian equities have seen three years of solid performance amid earnings growth and political continuity. In our view, conditions are in place for further gains as this sprawling economy of 1.44 billion consumers vies to take over from China’s as the world’s second largest. Jayesh Gandhi, Head of India Equities, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, in this episode of Talking Heads that the upbeat outlook for the large services sector, further domestic growth and the reallocation of Indian assets towards equities should underpin the market. Potential risk factors to monitor include rises in energy prices and/or interest rates. Both of which could throw the economy off course.
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Marketing and media campaigns and celebrity endorsements have boosted consumer demand for anti-obesity drugs, boosting the results of the makers of these weight loss pills. Get the full picture and what it means for food sector investing from Agne Rackauskaite, Portfolio Manager at Impax Asset Management, on this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.
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With Asia accounting for half of global greenhouse gas emissions and coal responsible for almost 60% of power generation in the region, it is clear that to reach net zero targets globally, Asia needs to be on board. Jane Ho, Head of Stewardship Asia, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris, discuss the priorities for Asia when it comes to proxy voting, issuer engagement and policy advocacy.
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Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, talks to Lorraine Sereyjol-Garros, Head of ETF Business Development, about the prospects for further ‘heady growth’ in the trillion-dollar exchange-traded funds business. Current trends include the emergence of active ETFs.
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Nadia Grant, Head of Global Equities, and Investment Specialist Shazaan Gaffoor explain the compelling rationale behind investing in stocks of companies progressing towards net zero emissions from their business. An active, diversification-minded approach to evaluating a company's efforts takes into account factors including actual or likely alignment with a future low-carbon economy as well as social risk and inequality.
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On this Talking Heads podcast, Investment Specialist Thibault Malin argues that even in a scenario where interest rates will be cut, as is the consensus expectation for euro rates this year, a variable rate approach still makes sense when running money market funds. As Thibault explains to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris, apart from some seasonal redemptions, he does not expect any significant switching out of money market funds into other assets.
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Small is still beautiful and that also applies to US small-capitalisation stocks, Geoff Dailey, Head of US Equities in our Boston office, tells Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, on this Talking Heads podcast. He notes small caps are attractively valued relative to large caps which have been experiencing several months of solid gains, led by a number of US tech giants.
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In this edition of our Talking Heads podcast, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, talks to Justin Winter, Senior Portfolio Manager at Impax Asset Management, about sustainability-related investing in water, the reasons behind the inflows into this asset class and the outlook for water-related businesses in a segment that has been marked by innovation and a steady performance.
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Working out the best investment strategy en route to greater sustainability can be challenging as you strive to preserve financial returns while considering risks and goals around issues such as climate change and greater equality. On this Talking Heads podcast, Sophie Debehogne, Senior Client Solutions Manager, and Maurice Kraaijenbrink, Head of Portfolio Design on the Solutions team, set out their stall for Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.
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Markets are abuzz with the promise of artificial intelligence, but there also are concerns that the sprawl of related technology could sting via heavy demands on resources. Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre, gets an update on this and other energy transition topics from Ed Lees, Co-Head of our Environmental Strategy Group.
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Robust domestic demand, relatively low external debt and a now sound and simplified monetary policy strengthen the investment case for Turkish assets in 2024. On this Talking Heads podcast, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discusses Turkey’s prospects with Huseyin Akar at TEB Asset Management, a BNP Paribas Asset Management subsidiary.
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Investors with a penchant for yield and income should consider US investment-grade bonds, an asset class that stands to benefit from a healthy economic backdrop, lower interest rates, and robust demand. Yrieix de James, US Investment Grade Portfolio Manager, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris on this week’s Talking Heads podcast why this is the case.
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While developments in the Chinese economy are not rosy, they are not as bleak as some make them out to be; selected areas are still offering attractive opportunities. So David Choa, Head of Greater China Equities, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, on our weekly Talking Heads podcast.
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Building on a solid performance in 2023, European high-yield bonds stand to do well in 2024 given favourable macroeconomic and technical factors such as falling market interest rates and an excess of investor demand amid relatively limited supply, argues Olivier Monnoyeur, Global Head of High Yield, on this Talking Heads podcast.
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Please note that podcasts from BNP Paribas Asset Management may contain technical language. For this reason, they may not be suitable for listeners without professional investment experience. Any views expressed here are those of the speakers as of the date of publication, are based on available information, and are subject to change without notice. This podcast does not constitute investment advice. The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay. Past performance is no guarantee for future returns.
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The last three years have seen considerable market volatility caused by factors including the Covid pandemic, government subsidies, supply chain pressures, and runaway inflation. After all this, fixed income investors might be forgiven for feeling particularly challenged about how to square the latest trends and translate them into asset allocation. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast about absolute return fixed income investing with Portfolio Manager Abhijit Korde and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist. Abhijit discusses three scenarios for the US economy – a Goldilocks-like soft landing benefiting riskier investments such as corporate bonds; stickier-than expected inflation resulting in a rangebound selloff in risky assets; and a (low probability) recession favouring interest rate assets.
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Please note that podcasts from BNP Paribas Asset Management may contain technical language. For this reason, they may not be suitable for listeners without professional investment experience. Any views expressed here are those of the speakers as of the date of publication, are based on available information, and are subject to change without notice. This podcast does not constitute investment advice. The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay. Past performance is no guarantee for future returns.
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The outlook for traditional 60-40 portfolios has improved now that bonds have reasserted their value as an investment asset following a loss of appeal amid years of ultra-low interest rates.Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Sergey Pergamentsev, Head of Structured Management, as he discusses longer-term multi-asset investing with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.
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We published the first iteration of our Global Sustainability Strategy (GSS) in 2019. It laid the foundations for the implementation of sustainability across our organisation. In this podcast, Jane Ambachtsheer, Global Head of Sustainability, presents our Global Sustainablity Strategy 2023-2025. She discusses with Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, how recent developments in sustainability-related investing are reflected in the evolution of our strategy.
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The start of 2024 sees an economic environment where growth in developed economies is slowing as restrictive monetary policy makes itself felt. Tonko Gast, founder and CEO of Dynamic Credit Group and Portfolio Manager, discusses the asset class with Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre Daniel Morris in this Talking Heads podcast.
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There is value left in eurozone investment-grade corporate bonds even after a solid 2023. Scope for looser monetary policy from the European Central Bank will likely be one of the key drivers, potentially paving the way to returns of 6-6.5% in 2024, argues Victoria Whitehead, Head of Investment-Grade Credit, on this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.Continued inflows reflecting a search for yield among investors aligned with the prospect of companies issuing fewer bonds due to fewer merger and acquisition deals bode well for the segment in 2024.
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Amid growing hopes that the US economy will land softly in 2024, financial markets are pricing looser monetary sooner than expected. John Bradley, Head of Foreign Exchange, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discuss the prospects for the main developed market currencies in this environment. On this Talking Heads podcast, John highlights the likelihood of the US dollar weakening, especially against the Japanese yen, as markets anticipate changes in interest rate differentials.
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In this episode of our Talking Heads podcast, Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discuss our 2024 Investment Outlook “Stepping into a new reality.” The outlook covers the shift in the macroeconomic setting that investors can look forward to and what this means for asset allocation.
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As elsewhere, in Asia the environmental challenges created by climate change is driving a search for new ways of living and doing business. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Oscar Yang, Senior Portfolio Manager at Impax Asset Management, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.
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How can investors invest in listed equities benefiting from the transition to a more sustainable economy? On this Talking Heads podcast, Andy Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, talks to Hubert Aarts, Deputy Chief Investment Officer for listed equities and Senior Portfolio Manager at Impax Asset Management, about the outlook and the opportunities in areas from renewable energy, environmentally friendly buildings and green transportation to sustainable housing and offices.
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Among Asian emerging market (EM) equities, many investors have focused this year on what they see as an usually lacklustre Chinese economy – traditionally an EM growth engine. The reality, however, is that Beijing’s efforts to re-engineer the economy have led to a situation where support for the economy appears centred more on tackling possible systemic issues than developing new growth engines.
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Resilient domestic demand and record-high profit margins at cash-rich companies have helped shield the eurozone economy from much of the effect of higher interest rates. However, the full impact is likely to be felt in 2024. A slowdown could lead to a larger-than-expected deceleration in price pressures, potentially setting up the European Central Bank for rate cuts in the second half of 2024.
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The end of two decades of deflation and wage growth have improved the prospects of the Japanese economy and with it the outlook for Japanese equities. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Sean Park, Investment Specialist, and Junki Okamoto, Deputy Portfolio Manager.
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With market expectations for a US recession being ‘kicked down the road’, the outlook for US small capitalisation stocks has improved. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Vincent Nichols, Investment Specialist US Small Caps, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.
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For investors looking for alternative investments and new sources of income, investing in managed timber and woodland can be an attractive source of stable yields. Listen to our podcast with Otto Reventlow, CEO, and Asger Strange Olesen, Director ESG Climate and Biodiversity, at BNPP AM majority-owned International Woodland Company.
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Two factors are driving growing interest in fixed income exchange-traded funds. First, bonds are back with yields at attractive levels relative to the era of low interest rates. Investors can lock in higher yields using a low-cost instrument such as an ETF, as Lorraine Sereyjol-Garros, Head of ETF Sales, explains to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.
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Money market funds have been in favour as central banks tightened monetary policy. Investment
Specialist Thibault Malin talks to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, about the bright outlook for money markets in this Talking Heads podcast.
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Investors can help to speed climate mitigation and adaptation measures by allocating more and more actively to the protection of ecosystems and natural carbon sinks as well as other pro-climate fields, Thibaud Clisson, Climate Change Lead, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris in the wake of the latest Climate Week NYC and ahead of December’s UN COP28 meeting.
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What is the best way to actively manage an allocation to large-cap European equities? Listen to this Talking Heads podcast as Valerie Charriere details a broad-ranging assessment of the fundamentals that matter to her team, such as the structure of the industry a company operates in and competitive advantages in terms of, for example, scale or technology.
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At around 15%, financial stocks account for a significant part of European equity indices. What is the outlook for the sector now that interest rates have normalised? Jeroen Knol, portfolio manager for European Equities and a European Financials specialist, discusses perspectives with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris in this Talking Heads podcast.
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The outlook for emerging markets is brighter than it is for developed markets when it comes to growth, inflation and public debt, Jean-Charles Sambor, Head of Emerging Market Debt, tells Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, on our latest Talking Heads podcast. While China may look like the exception now, increasingly firm support from Beijing should trigger a rebound in the next few quarters from the problems of deflation and property market weakness plaguing the economy today. Compared to China, India is likely to see much stronger growth and contained inflation, while improved policies should allow Turkey to do better than it did last year.
Within the thematic investing approach, climate-focused strategies allow investors to invest in companies with a climate friendly strategy and so do good while earning a return. Such strategies can enable them manage future (climate) risk, benefit from long-term opportunities and leverage strong support from regulators and policymakers in the fight against climate change. Listen to this Talking Heads post with Martina Jung, Portfolio Manager for European equities, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist. They discuss developments since the 2015 Paris Agreement and ways to implement sustainability-related criteria in stock selection and portfolio construction.
Confira esta conversa sobre perspectivas de cenário macro entre Daniel Morris, Estrategista Chefe da BNP Paribas Asset Management e Aquiles Mosca, Head Comercial e Marketing da BNP Paribas Asset
Management Brasil.
While the question of peak US policy rates remains unresolved, it could be prudent for investors to start preparing for the time when inflation-busting policy tightening ends and slowing growth and an uptick in unemployment spur the Fed into taking rates back down to a less restrictive level. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Ken O’Donnell, Head of Short Duration, as he sets out the outlook for the US economy and the path of interest rates for Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.
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Sustainability is front and centre in all aspects for our activity as an asset manager. Each year we update investors regularly on our key sustainability objectives. These include the integration of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) considerations into our investments, the alignment of our investments with net zero goals by 2050 and conducting business responsibly as an asset manager. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Jane Ambachtsheer, Global Head of Sustainability, and Andy Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, as they discuss our annual Sustainability Report - Towards a sustainable transition.
Our Environmental Strategies Group talk to business that, regardless of their size, are making a big impact. In the third of this series we discuss the green hydrogen economy, its future applications and the wide-ranging potential of hydrogen with Andy Marsh, President and CEO of Plug Power, a global end-to-end green hydrogen provider. Is there more to the clean hydrogen ecosystem than mere hype? He thinks so, but don’t take our word for it.
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What is the outlook for equities and bonds for the second half of 2023 after six months of worry about prospects for economic growth as central banks tighten monetary policy? Is recession inevitable? Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre.
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Investing in solutions for water-related issues means investing in dealing with long-running phenomena such as climate change. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Justin who gives Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, examples of climate-related water scarcity and abundance issues.
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The study of behavioural finance and its findings on the limitations to rational decision making helps explain the role of phenomena in shaping market events. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Aquiles Mosca, Head of Sales, Marketing & Digital at BNP Paribas Asset Management Brazil and a behavioural finance teacher, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.
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Despite a slowdown in IT spending, US technology stocks are driving the recent rally in US equity markets. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Derek Glynn, Associate Portfolio Manager for information technology (IT) and communication services in the US equities team in Boston, and Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre as they discuss the outlook for secular growth and the role of technological advances further effecting profound changes in the way we live, work and play.
Achieving a positive impact and contributing to sustainable outcomes, as well as enhancing investment returns, feature as the prime reasons for investors to opt for thematic investing strategies, alongside diversification and risk reduction. On this Talking Heads podcast, Mark Buckley, Head of Investment Management at Coalition Greenwich, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris discuss the second thematic investing research report published by BNP Paribas Asset Management and BNP Paribas Corporate & Institutional Banking in partnership with Coalition Greenwich.
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While the need to transition the economy to greater sustainability is widely recognised, it is also clear that a wide range of sources are needed to finance it, including private markets. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Yann Lagalaye, Head of Ecological Transition and Impact in the Private Assets group, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.
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As growth in developed economies slows and restrictive monetary policy rates start to bite, investors looking to alternative markets for portfolio diversification and attractive returns could well consider a relatively young, little-known, but high-quality asset class: household loans. Tonko Gast, founder and CEO of Dynamic Credit Group and Portfolio Manager, discusses the asset class with Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre Andrew Craig on this Talking Heads podcast.
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Conditions in the European high-yield debt market are currently favourable for investors argues Olivier Monnoyeur, Head of High-Yield Debt. Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Olivier Monnoyeur, Head of High-Yield Debt and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris as they discuss positioning in European high-yield debt to meet the challenges ahead.
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Signals of where we stand in the economic cycle are distorted as the global economy emerges from the unprecedented combination of a global pandemic plus massive quantitative easing and fiscal stimulus. Which assets will outperform in this environment?
Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Mark Richards, Head of Flexible & Absolute Return portfolios in the Multi-Asset and Quantitative Solutions (MAQS) team, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris as they evaluate what matters currently in positioning multi-asset portfolios.
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Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Michael Herskovich, Head of Stewardship at BNP Paribas Asset Management, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, as they discuss the role stewardship plays in our asset management.
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Geoff Dailey, Deputy Head of US equities, and Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre, discuss recent trends in the US equity market in this edition of Talking Heads. Topics include the turmoil in the US banking sector and the latest earnings reports.
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Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Steve Sherman, Senior Portfolio Manager, European Equities.
Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Olivier De Larouziere, Chief Investment Officer for Global Fixed Income. He tells Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre, the focus is now on capturing the normalised yields, especially given the possibility that central banks will halt their policy tightening in the face of recession, even if inflation does not return to their targets. He sees opportunities in money market funds, but also in investment-grade corporate bonds.
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Listen to this Talking Heads podcast with Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, and Jayesh Gandhi, Head of India Equities. They discuss the case for a selective approach to emerging market investing and Indian equities in particular. Given the high correlation between GDP growth, corporate profits and equity returns, the market capitalisation of Indian equities could increase by 50-70% over the next three to five years.
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On this Talking Heads podcast, Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, Investment Director for Infrastructure Debt Stephanie Passet and ESG Specialist and Lead on Private Assets Maxence Foucault discuss the ins and outs of sustainable investing in infrastructure debt[1] in an environment where definitions are still being finetuned and the regulatory framework continues to evolve.
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On this Talking Heads podcast, Marc tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that money market funds now pay a 3-5% yield depending on the currency. He notes the investment team applies a strict selection process to ensure a low-risk exposure to resilient counterparties, while also implementing the sustainability guidelines that have been integrated into investment processes.
In this special edition of our Talking heads podcast, chief market strategist Daniel Morris asks Séverine Piquet, head of credit research, for her assessment of the developments in the financial
sector. She points to the kneejerk anxiety in markets and underlines the importance of the ‘measured backstop’ provided by the authorities.
Listen to this Talking heads podcast with Edward Lees, Environmental Strategies Group co-head, as he shares some of the opportunities he sees in environmentally focused stocks with chief market strategist Daniel Morris.
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Listen to this Talking heads podcast with portfolio manager absolute return Cedric Bernard-Villeneuve with chief market strategist Daniel Morris. They discuss the sensibility of smaller central bank rate rises and the wide opportunity set in the fixed income asset class. Cedric highlights the potential presented by short duration trades and by positioning for steeper bond yield curves.
Listen to this Talking heads podcast with Christophe Montcerisier, head of real estate debt, and chief market strategist Daniel Morris. Their topics include fundamental characteristics of real estate debt such as its role as an inflation hedge – through the floating rate coupons on the debt – and the predictability of cash flows resulting from the structure of leases.
High-yield bonds – defined as corporate bonds rated below BBB− or Baa3 by established credit rating agencies – have had a good run since the fourth quarter of 2022. Evaluating the outlook for this asset class requires taking a view on current valuations and determining how conditions in the US economy this year may impact corporate America.
In recent years, food security has become a more prominent issue for consumers and governments, alongside energy security. Beyond supply chain disruptions and more extreme weather, the war in Ukraine has increased the strains. Food security concerns not just food growing, production and processing, but access to safe and nutritional food.
Listen to this Talking heads podcast with Jane Ho, head of stewardship at BNP Paribas Asset Management for the Asia Pacific region (APAC), and chief market strategist Daniel Morris as they discuss the evolving role of our stewardship in Asia.
Listen to this Talking heads podcast with David Bouchoucha, head of private assets, and chief market strategist Daniel Morris as they discuss the strategic case for investing in private assets.
Listen to our quarterly asset allocation podcast with global head of multi-asset Maya Bhandari and chief market strategist Daniel Morris. They review the four key determinants of financial market behavior this year and the investment opportunities that follow from that assessment for the main asset classes.
Given China‘s pivotal role as the world’s second-largest economy, its recent refocusing on lifting growth should be a tailwind for other economies. The shift should support those countries benefiting from the expected pickup in Chinese travel abroad and domestic consumer spending after Beijing scrapped its stringent mobility-restricting rules to contain the spread of Covid.
Picking investable assets for a portfolio can be hard. Fundamental analysis focuses on what investors believe will happen in the future. Quantitative investing, by contrast, focuses on the facts: how historical data relationships may give us insight into future market moves, helping us to systematically select assets on the basis of signals or factors.
After a bright start, US mortgage-backed securities face a sunnier year in which this fixed income asset class could reverse part of the gloomy outcome of a challenging and volatile 2022. With the peak in inflation behind us and the end of the US Federal Reserve’s rate rising cycle in sight, investors have an opportunity to benefit for a likely bounce-back.
In what can be expected to still be volatile currency markets, the US dollar looks set to lose further ground in 2023 as its lustre as a high-yielding hedge fades. Expect the euro and the Japanese yen to pick up the baton as both economies profit from the gradual reopening of the Chinese economy now that Beijing has dropped its strict Covid-fighting regime.
We anticipate a better year for emerging market corporate debt on the back of a brighter outlook for China and the wider Asian region. However, a raft of uncertainties including those concerning inflation and geopolitics, could make for a volatile environment in 2023.
Since biodiversity loss affects large swaths of the economy, it should be front of mind for investors. Not least because, as Adam Kanzer, head of stewardship for the Americas, points out, nature loss also makes meeting the world’s climate goals harder.
Sergey Pergamentsev, head of Institutional Structured Management in the Multi Asset Quantitative and Solutions team, and co-head of the Investment Insights Centre Andrew Craig discuss recent developments in liability-driven investing (LDI), a strategy institutional investors such as pension funds use to match investments and future liabilities.
The sell-off in bond markets this year has driven yields to levels that merit closer attention, says Victoria Whitehead, senior portfolio manager for European investment-grade (IG) credit. Victoria sees eurozone IG credit as attractive on the basis that risk premia are commensurate with much higher default rates than she thinks will actually materialise.
Slower growth (and eventually, lower rates of inflation) will likely come in 2023 thanks to restrictive central bank monetary policy. What conclusions should investors draw for their allocations to equities and fixed income around the world?
Thematic environmental strategies face countervailing forces in the near term. Support may come from the ‘green shoots’ of the recent growth stock recovery, offset by the downdraft of recessionary risk. Investors with a longer-term view should stay focused on the tailwinds and enduring drivers of demand including regulatory and legislative support.
While many bond investors have felt the earth move under the feet this year as the asset class experienced the finale of a 50-year bull market, the denouement has not stripped them of opportunities, Arnaud-Guilhem Lamy, head of euro aggregate bond management strategies, tells chief market strategist Daniel Morris.
As part of its contribution to the low carbon energy transition, BNP Paribas Asset Management is taking action and implementing best practice, including in its investment strategies. This includes working with clients on decarbonisation and setting internal targets to progressively increase the share of assets under management aligned with net zero greenhouse gas emissions.
The tide is rising for water as an investment theme as it benefits from a growing awareness of both climate change and years of underinvestment, particularly in water infrastructure. This focus should have a direct positive impact on companies providing water solutions, Justin Winter, water strategy co-manager, tells Andrew Craig, co-head of the investment insights centre.
Tumultuous geopolitical and economic times may be clouding the prospects for the high-growth renewables sector now, but investors should not lose sight of the longer-term potential of areas such as solar and green hydrogen, Edward Lees, co-head of the Environmental Strategies Group, tells chief market strategist Daniel Morris on our weekly Talking heads podcast.
Thematic investing, which centres on the long-term forces that shape consumer needs and industries, is a way for investors pivot away from traditional 60-40 portfolios to a broad and diversified set of opportunities that can create market-beating returns spanning several generations.
Investors shell-shocked by the fallout from high inflation, rising interest rates and slowing economies and looking to alternative markets for portfolio diversification and attractive returns might want to consider a relatively young and little known asset class: direct small lending.
While equity markets are feeling the pinch from rising real rates, earnings reports and guidance are yet to reflect the effects of the encroaching recession. This leaves markets vulnerable to a downside correction once the message sinks in.
It is all hands on deck to deal with the current energy crisis, even if that forces countries to use more polluting fossil fuels to meet energy needs especially in the coming winter. However, that does not mean the transition to renewable resources should end up on the backburner. Instead, there is a clear case for accelerating the move to solar, wind and other sources of clean energy.
Senior secured corporate loans are debt instruments similar to high-yield bonds in that they are rated below investment-grade (Ba1/BB+). They differ from high-yield in that they are senior secured instruments, secured by all assets on a company’s balance sheet. In addition, as floating rate instruments, global loans are relatively immune to the adverse impact of rising interest rates.
The summer has seen a sharp deterioration in prospects for the the euro area economy. The cost of living crisis is hitting consumers’ pockets hard. Europe’s manufacturing sector is contracting while momentum in the services sector is slowing. To make matters worse, wholesale energy prices have soared to all-time highs in Europe as Russia throttles gas supplies.
As a broad asset class underlying the full spectrum of economic activity and a non-cyclical slant, infrastructure debt has attributes that stand out for investors. One key point is that many of the services financed with these bonds are indexed, protecting cash flows from rising inflation. Also, the debt typically has floating rate coupons that are adjusted when interest rates rise.
Base effects, lower (or less high) energy and raw materials prices and a broad economic slowdown later in the year may see eurozone inflation stabilise or retreat towards the end of 2023. However, for now, an inflation-busting ECB will likely keep its foot on the monetary policy brake and could soon even raise policy rates by a chunky 75bp rather than the more widely expected 50bp.
In the race to feed a growing world population effectively as well as develop environmentally sustainable crop protection solutions, messenger RNA technology – the basis for many successful Covid vaccines – looks particularly promising. Applications can eventually extend to biological solutions for other zoonotic diseases, but also chronic and genetic illnesses.
Senior investment specialist for global equities Ramon Esteruelas briefs chief market strategist Daniel Morris on four books he has read on climate change. The books discuss the relevance of climate change science and the reliability of projections, the availability of adaptive and mitigating solutions and breakthroughs, the long road to net zero, and the need for a rethink on growth.
Until recently, humanity has relied on chemical solutions to address its biggest challenges. For example, our ability to grow food, to defend livestock against disease and to safeguard human health, all depend in part on chemical solutions. Today is no different. Yet resistance to chemicals is rising rapidly, exacerbated by climate change and ecosystem degradation. In the second of this series, Ulrik Fugmann and Edward Lees, co-heads of our Environmental Strategies Group, talk to Andrey Zarur, CEO and co-founder of GreenLight Biosciences, about how his company is using RNA technology to create a new generation of chemical free pest control methods. They consider the benefits of such innovations including enhanced food and biodiversity security, as well as the growing role investors can play in this area. The uncapped impact series brings you up close and personal with our Environmental Strategies Group and businesses that, regardless of their size, are making a big impact.
While day-to-day ‘market noise’ may feature big in many investors’ minds, it is worth mining long-term structural trends as well for opportunities. Cloud computing is one such trend, offering many advantages to both public and private sector users of its services and to investors looking for a billion-dollar industry where growth is still in the early stages.
Listen to this Talking heads podcast with Christophe Montcerisier, head of real estate debt, and chief market strategist Daniel Morris. They discuss the absence of a direct and immediate link between higher interest rates and the performance of real estate debt and the defensive characteristics of the asset class. Among other things, its solidity derives from some of the pandemic-induced structural changes, including a shift in office use and greater demand for suburban properties.
Listen to this Talking heads podcast with senior portfolio managers David Favier and Olivier Boutoille and Daniel Morris, chief market strategist. They firstly discuss the current market environment before focusing on the advantages of investing in these floating rate instruments that offer varied risk/returns profiles for investors.
In private markets, investing in loans can offer investors attractive features including a low correlation to listed markets and opportunities for a diversified exposure. Picking loans from sectors known to be resilient to the vagaries of economic growth or that have pricing power can result in a portfolio with the potential to withstand rising interest rates and inflation.
Food security has shot to the top of the agenda for governments and economists, but also investors. The war in Ukraine has highlighted the fragility of cross-border supply chains and countries’ dependence on food imports. More localised production is one potential answer, another is vertical integration to reduce a food company’s vulnerability to the whims of external sources.
The rapid growth in sustainability investing in recent decades has bolstered the need for greater transparency as investors increasingly want to know where and how sustainably their money is invested. MiFID II and other regulations have taken on more of a sustainability focus to improve the flow of information from issuers, distributors and asset managers.u
In an investment environment laden with challenges from rising interest rates to a possible global slowdown, listed real estate comes with advantageous features such as inflation-resilient cash flows and better liquidity than bricks and mortar. As such, listed real estate is a portfolio diversifier offering investors attractive risk-adjusted returns over the long haul.
Investing with a view to a sustainable future has often focused on environmental and governance issues – the ‘E’ and ‘G’ of ESG. However, the path towards a more inclusive society means social factors should be considered more actively as well, argues Delphine Riou, ESG analyst and Inclusive Growth lead, as she points out the significance of the ‘S’ for social in achieving sustainable corporate performance.
Disruption of supply chains is just one factor investors in new technologies currently have to contend with. A fundamental reevaluation of the outlook for US interest rates and as a consequence, the pricing of growth stocks, is another. Pamela Hegarty, disruptive technology portfolio manager, talks about how the themes she sees shaping future technological trends provide her with reference points in assessing today’s opportunities and risks.
Private equity impact investing offers investors access to an attractive asset class that can help diversify a portfolio and earn attractive returns. In addition, it offers an extra-financial component by enabling them to contribute – and help finance – solutions to pressing social and environmental problems from access to healthcare to promoting a circular economy.
US small-cap stocks are trading near 10-year lows on various metrics, which disregards their typical resilience in periods of rising interest rates and slower economic growth.
In early March, Chinese policymakers announced economic growth of around 5.5% would be targeted for 2022. Since then, a number of headwinds have led to doubts China’s GDP growth will reach 5%. In this podcast, we explain why we believe Chinese policymakers have both the intention and the means to counter factors potentially slowing growth in the world’s second-largest economy.
Value investing remains a worthwhile approach, even after an extended period of underperformance. A rebound has now set in that looks sustainable. Rising interest rates should be supportive of the value style and value still looks cheap relative to growth.
Foreign exchange (FX) markets can be viewed as a derivative asset in that they tend to be driven by volatility in other asset markets. Since 2015, most of the leading currencies have traded in relatively confined ranges. With volatility rising in equity, bond and commodity markets, there are good reasons to expect a new regime in currency markets.
Inflation has bounced back vigorously from its pandemic-era lows: The headline rate for the US consumer price index has reached a 40-year high, while in the eurozone, the headline rate for the harmonised index of consumer prices is at its highest in 20 years. What does this mean for investors?
To help multi-asset portfolios cope with the geopolitical shock of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, a move into cash can be useful. At BNP Paribas Asset Management, we have implemented such an approach to ride the recent market volatility and use bounces to sell assets whose fortunes have now changed and build or expand other, more defensive positions at attractive prices.
Global bond markets already faced challenging times before the conflict in Ukraine, but they at least had a clear expectation to work with: the prospect of firm central bank action to tackle rising inflation. Geopolitical developments have upended the calculus, undermining inflation and growth forecasts and weakening the fundamentals across the board for the foreseeable future.
Global markets have seen wide swings as concerns over tighter supplies and crimped trade in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine caused investors to head for safe havens away from risk assets. However, Guy Davies, chief investment officer for fundamental active equities, advises against impulsive action and argues for a focus on cash flows when picking promising stocks.
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Heightened market volatility and uncertainty over the pace at which the ECB will unwind its bond purchases are the main tests investors in European corporate bonds have to contend with currently. Mitigating factors such as robust earnings, strong cash positions and low defaults could be negated by concerns the central bank might need to take tougher action to contain inflation.
Investing in water-related stocks means tapping into a multi-decade opportunity for growth and innovation. Demand in this segment stretches across the breadth of the economy – from tackling ageing water infrastructure to ensuring healthy drinking water and efficient waste water treatment.
Chinese equities look well set to confront the challenges that Omicron, stricter regulation and moderating growth will bring. Revised earnings expectations and valuations mean their second-half prospects are brighter. Looser fiscal and monetary policies have the potential to provide a further uplift for sentiment.
In a contrarian call, our emerging market debt team sees appealing opportunities in EM bonds. Specifically in those markets where inflation is likely to peak ahead of developed markets in which investors are having to adjust to the prospect of higher real yields. EM segments that were oversold late last year also represent areas worth investor attention as a recovery takes hold.
Our Environmental Strategies Group talk to businesses that, regardless of their size, are making a big impact. In the first of this series we speak to John Berger, CEO of Sunnova Energy International, a residential solar and energy storage company, about the energy transition and the role investors can play in fighting climate change.
The prospect of a momentous pivot in US monetary policy with gradual withdrawal of the generous provision of liquidity has left markets pondering over valuations. Investors face a challenging year in which they will need to search for assets suited to a new inflationary regime. On our Talking heads podcast, Daniel Morris, chief market strategist, and Andrew Craig, co-head of the Investment Insights centre, discuss the outlook for fixed income, the promise of emerging market debt (and currencies), the prospects for corporate bonds, and the areas of – longer-term – interest once equity valuations have normalised.
To tackle poverty, climate change and improved access to, for example, education, central banks and governments need to rethink fiscal policy and the impact of deficit spending. Trillions of US dollars are required to achieve these goals. Alex Bernhardt, global head of sustainability research, talks about how it could be done.
At first sight, tighter US monetary policy and stubbornly high US inflation does not seem an ideal mix for bonds. There’s a lot more to it than that, argues James McAlevey, head of multi-sector fixed income. By embracing a broad opportunity set, investors can benefit from the potential for attractive risk-adjusted returns offered via active allocation.
The set-up for financial markets is more challenging in 2022, especially for core government bonds and fully valued equities, given the prospect of higher interest rates. In our new Talking heads podcast, Maya Bhandari gives her analysis of what this means for asset allocation.
Stronger economic fundamentals and vaccination progress mean the 2022 outlook for Asian equities, and more broadly global emerging market equities, is rosier now than it was at this time a year ago, argues Zhikai Chen, head of Asian equities.
Leaving behind a momentous year marked by new phases of the pandemic and by sputtering efforts to re-start the global economy, we look ahead to 2022. Can we overcome the effects of issues such as disrupted supply chains and shifts in consumer demand? How can investors navigate the ‘rapids’ that will characterise the next stages of the economic recovery?
The recent UN climate change conference in Glasgow has if anything brought a broader focus on environmental issues and added to the growing awareness and momentum behind the need for positive change, argue Edward Lees and Ulrik Fugmann of the Environmental Strategies Group. Here they identify promising sectors and present their approach to sustainable investing.
The results of the recent COP26 climate change conference fall into the glass half full, glass half empty category. The onus now is on greater efforts to adapt to higher global temperatures as work on mitigating the temperature rise continues, says Alex Bernhardt, global head of sustainability research.
It has been a challenging year for investors in emerging markets – equities have lagged their developed market counterparts, EM debt has delivered a mixed performance. Covid outbreaks have hampered the economic recovery, while questions have arisen over China’s role as the engine of growth for EM exporters.
Confronted with low, but rising rates and frothy equity valuations, large investors are having to look elsewhere for investments offering both attractive long-run returns and modest to low volatility. Julien Halfon, head of pensions and corporate solutions, discusses the appeal of investing in private markets and harvesting the illiquidity premium while incorporating ESG selection criteria.
Listen to the podcast with Julien Halfon on investment solutions for insititutional investors at a time when low and rising interest rates and market volatility present challenges.
Globalisation, regulation and deregulation, digitalisation and innovation are playing an important role in reshaping economies, sectors and industries and these megatrends are creating thematic investment opportunities for investors. Koye Somefun, head of multi-asset solutions, sets out the characteristics of this approach and discusses the criteria investors should look at.
At first glance, bond markets these days may look like deserts – there is little or no yield on offer with large patches appearing barren or even offering only negative yields. That is to ignore a plethora of opportunities, argues Jean-Paul Chevé, head of the Fixed Income Insurance Team within the Specialty Fixed Income Product Group.
Investors with China exposure, or an appetite for it, face a raft of issues ranging from slower growth, which may or may not be condoned by Beijing, to toughened and expanded clampdowns on sectors. Add in persistent Sino-US tensions over geopolitics and a revitalised focus on greater common prosperity and this cocktail begs the question: How best to judge the outlook for China? Chi Lo, Senior Market Strategist APAC, puts the latest developments into context, voicing his confidence that sentiment towards the world’s second-largest economy will improve.
Convertible bonds are hybrid instruments combining bond and equity characteristics. As a result, they offer some equity upside, but with bond-like protection on the downside. If we are at the start of a cycle of rising interest rates, the option investors in these nominal assets (bonds) hold to convert to real assets (equities) could prove invaluable.
The S&P 500 stock index ended September down by 4.8%, its first monthly drop since January and the largest fall since March 2020. Vincent Nichols, investment specialist for US equities, reviews recent events and the outlook for US stocks.
At the centre of a pandemic-induced boom, stern regulation efforts and forays into new turf, the technology sector is making almost daily headlines and requires robust research to separate the possibilities from the pitfalls, argues Pamela Hegarty, lead portfolio manager with a focus on information technology and communication services.
Uncertainty over the macroeconomic landscape and the outlook for monetary policy currently combine with an awareness among investors that by many measures, valuations in public markets are on the high side. David Bouchoucha, head of our private debt and real assets team, talks about the characteristics that make private debt an attractive alternative.
What will be the consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic for the food and agriculture sector? How is the transition towards more sustainable food production and consumption affected? Agne Rackauskaite, co-portfolio manager of Impax Asset Management’s sustainable food strategy, gives investors her view on the post-pandemic outlook.
It is a win-win for companies to target the social aspects of doing business, next to environmental responsibility and proper governance, and it can be so for investors as well, argues senior portfolio manager Maria Luz Diaz Blanco.
In mid-June, Fed Chair Jay Powell pulled the rug from beneath the reflation trade by suggesting current inflation pressures were perhaps not transitory after all. Fixed income markets promptly reversed course with 10-year US Treasury yields last week trading as low as 1.25% after ending the first quarter at 1.70%. In this week’s podcast, Olivier de Larouziere, chief investment officer fixed income, explains what remains of the 2021 reflation trade.
Listen to the podcast with Olivier de Larouziere, chief investment officer fixed income
While many parts of the economy had to shut down as the coronavirus pandemic raged, the lights stayed on, water flowed from taps and internet connections buzzed. The crisis has highlighted the importance of the underlying infrastructure and, as Karen Azoulay explains, it was a useful reminder of the solidity of infrastructure debt as an asset class.
Listen to the podcast with Karen Azoulay, head of infrastructure debt.
Addressing ecosystem restoration is just as pressing as tackling CO2 emissions and can generate billions of dollars of investment opportunities, as Ulrik Fugmann and Edward Lees, co-heads of the Environmental Strategies Group, explain.
Emerging market equities offer investors a wide range of diversification opportunities across economies with a solid post-pandemic growth profile that include, but also stretch beyond, China and the wider Asian region. Quang Nguyen, head of global emerging market equities, argues the case for a broad perspective and active portfolio management.
Thanks to central bank largesse, corporate bond markets weathered the depth of the Covid crisis well. Risks to credit markets today appear low with gradually improving fundamentals, neutral central bank policy and no major supply-demand imbalances.
On account of the region’s strong economic growth, Asia has a considerable impact on climate change, but at the same time is, perhaps disproportionately, exposed to its effects. That makes engaging with companies and working with the authorities all the more important for investors such as BNP Paribas Asset Management. Paul Milon, Head of stewardship Asia Pacific, explains.
Fund flows to date have massively favoured US equities, but European equities now have considerable scope to catch up as the economic recovery broadens and investors reassess their valuations relative to their more expensive US counterparts. Peter Abbott, European equities portfolio manager, shares his views.
Climate change and pollution are among the factors reducing biodiversity. The result is considerable damage to society and the economy. Robert-Alexandre Poujade, ESG analyst at our Sustainability Centre, warns not to underestimate the consequences of biodiversity loss and underscores the role investors can play in the battle to contain and reverse current trends.
The economic recovery should broaden into a synchronised global upturn in the course of the second half of this year, favouring risky assets including commodities, equities generally and notably emerging market equities. An equity correction should be seen as a buying opportunity, argues Christophe Moulin, Head of Multi Asset.
Inflation has been quiescent in developed economies in recent years. Today, the possibility that we may be on the brink of a secular shift away from the low-flation regime is a topic of intense debate among investors. Nowhere is this more so than in the US where the abundance of fiscal and monetary support is seen by some as irresponsible in creating risks of an inflationary shock. Cedric Scholtes, Head of Global Sovereign, Inflation and Rates, discusses the outlook.
Being open to an inclusive growth approach goes hand in hand with a focus on long-term performance and contributes to a better climate for doing business and investment. As investment specialist Ramon Esteruelas and ESG research analyst Delphine Riou argue, it is also good for profitability and can help mitigate business risk.
Long-term growth trends and innovation continue to create demand for healthcare at a rate that exceeds the pace of economic growth. Jon Stephenson, portfolio manager for healthcare stocks discusses the factors behind rising healthcare expenditure, the impact of the pandemic and the outlook for the sector.
Green bonds have grown and matured as a fixed-income segment over the past decade. The need for climate action has spurred a raft of green projects and activities that combat climate change and other environmental challenges and seek to contribute to a net zero world. Felipe Gordillo and Xuan Sheng Ou Yong answer four questions on this growing market and its outlook.
The outlook for US interest rates is shifting towards a normalisation of central bank policy now that the economic recovery appears to be entrenched. Ken O’Donnell, head of short duration fixed income, discusses how investors could tackle this challenge.
Asian equities rode high early in the year amid optimism over the recovery in China, the new US administration and improved relations with China, and the advent of vaccines. The outlook for investor flows into much of the region remains positive, even after a recent valuation-related setback. Zhikai Chen, head of Asian equities, discusses the prospects for the asset class this year.
Eliminating carbon dioxide emissions over the coming decades will require multi-billion dollar investments, as well as a wide range of efforts to reduce energy consumption, increase efficiency, electrify and decarbonise processes, and nurture alternative fuels to economic viability. As Thibaud Clisson, senior ESG analyst at our Sustainability centre explains, there are more and more technologies that put the challenging promise of net zero within reach.
Applying factors when selecting corporate bonds for investment helps build a portfolio with a performance that can be shown to be resilient when markets face rising interest rates and increased volatility. Olivier Laplenie and Charles Cresteil explain.
Bond investors may well need to change tack as they navigate a positive outlook for economic growth and the implications that currently has for fixed income returns. Alex Johnson, head of multi-strategy fixed income – absolute return, explains.
The pandemic has led to greater awareness of environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues, both in a personal and business sense. This has reinforced the case for ESG investing as a way to do good while also targeting positive returns. Gabriel Wilson-Otto explains.
Massive financial support from governments and central banks during the lockdowns in 2020 underpinned valuations for European high-yield bonds. The secret to doing well this year will be a total return approach allied to a keen eye for pockets of value, argues high-yield bond portfolio manager Olivier Monnoyeur.
Market mechanisms can play an important role in managing the energy transition. In two markets, recent developments have signalled potential shifts: carbon prices appear to be heading higher in anticipation of the introduction of green hydrogen, while the cost of offshore wind could jump as competition heats up. Chief sustainability strategist Mark Lewis explains.
Markets in private debt and real assets offer investors potential for meaningfully positive returns with diversification. David Bouchoucha, head of private debt and real assets, discusses the opportunities of this alternative investment segment. He underscores how important sustainability is in constructing a resilient portfolio.
The pandemic has underscored existential problems, climate change in particular. This is spurring a wave of awareness, ambitious projects and investments in technology that will be crucial for decades to come. Edward Lees, co-portfolio manager in our environmental strategies investment group, explains.
US government spending to help the economy cope with the dire consequences of COVID-19 looks set to reach record peacetime levels, but absent a boost to inflation, it is unlikely to set in motion a push for higher interest rates anytime soon. Senior US economist Mark Allan explains.
Equities look set for a positive 2021: last year’s themes and secular change should persist with support coming from factors such as dovish monetary policies. However, risks linger, not least those related to the pandemic. Overall, this constellation makes for a stock pickers’ market, argues Guy Davies, CIO of Equities.
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A finite resource in ever growing demand, water represents a durable growth area in both developed markets suffering from underinvestment and emerging markets in need of more infrastructure. As the appreciation of quality water and improved food and health standards grows – not least in the wake of the COVID crisis – so should our endorsement of the breadth of investment opportunities the sector offers. Portfolio manager Justin Winter at Impax Asset Management explains.
Eurozone interest rates are “at the floor” of the short end of the government bond yield curve, pushing investors towards the longer end as they seek areas in fixed income that can still offer an attractive yield. Olivier De Larouziere, global head of multi-strategy group – fixed income, talks to chief market strategist Daniel Morris about the opportunities in the asset class.
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Underperformance of multi-factor equity investing in 2020 has led some investors to question the strategy. Raul Leote de Carvalho, deputy head of our quantitative research group, discusses the reasons behind the underperformance with Daniel Morris, chief market strategist.
The conversation focuses on the findings of a new research paper by the quantitative research group. This paper, entitled “Equity Factor Investing: Historical Perspective of Recent Performance” provides an extensive analysis of why we think the outlook for multi-factor investing is positive.
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How can investors navigate the next phases of the pandemic, its legacy, and the ensuing economic recovery? Can we solve the climate crisis at the same time as the world tackles the social and economic problems laid bare by the pandemic? Daniel Morris, chief market strategist, discusses BNP Paribas Asset Management’s investment outlook for 2021.
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A combination of factors is leading global bond investors towards the Chinese bond market. Jean-Charles Sambor, head of emerging market debt, and Daniel Morris, chief market strategist, discuss the rise of Chinese fixed income in our weekly podcast.
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Asian equities have come through the pandemic standing tall and the prospects are for a continued strong run as household wealth rises and economies grow. Zhikai Chen, head of Asian equities, lays out the case to Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist.
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The main factor determining the US economic outlook has been and will be the course of the pandemic, with the incoming administration’s ability to deal with its effects on the economy and business handicapped by its curtailed legislative power. Dominick DeAlto, CIO fixed income, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris discuss the implications for bond investors and pinpoint the opportunities.
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Changing awareness is driving a shift in consumers’ relationship with food, limiting their appetite for animal products and boosting their interest in the environmental, social and health aspects of what ends up on their plates. Food industry research analyst Agne Rackauskaite talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the numerous opportunities this greater consciousness is creating in food investing.
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US mortgage-backed securities (MBS) currently offer an attractive yield pick-up over US Treasuries and have even greater appeal over comparable bonds elsewhere, which in many cases bear negative interest rates. John Carey, Head of Structured Securities, talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about these high quality fixed income instruments that can help to add yield to portfolios.
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China’s stocks appear to have left boom and bust behind. After outpacing major markets since a COVID-induced dip, Chinese equity markets are on a much better footing with the recent gains propelled by a confluence of factors. David Choa, Head of BNP Paribas Asset Management’s Greater China Equities team in Hong Kong, updates Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris.
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Some three weeks ahead of the US presidential election, it is time to assess the latest polls and the implications for economic policy and financial markets of a Trump or Biden win. US economist Mark Allan talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about what investors can expect.
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The pandemic has caused a quantum leap in growth in areas such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence and automation. Yet this trend may well have much further to run. Guy Davies, CIO of Equities, talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the fundamental drivers in such disruptive technologies and about valuations which may look high, but could well be justified by current market conditions.
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The EU’s new targets for emissions reductions are realistic and achievable and should lift the price of CO2, encouraging more emitters to switch to doing business in a more environmentally friendly way. In this podcast, chief sustainability strategist Mark Lewis discusses with senior investment strategist Daniel Morris the EU’s efforts to achieve net zero emissions by 2050, the implications for the carbon market and the workings of the emissions trading system.
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Developing infrastructure assets, that is the physical structures and networks providing essential services, will be key in building the post-COVID-19 economy. Investment in infrastructure debt provides institutional investors with the potential for long-dated high-quality cash flows. These serve to match liabilities, provide a yield enhancement over other fixed income instruments and diversify a portfolio. Karen Azoulay, head of infrastructure debt, talks to senior investment strategist Daniel Morris about our approach to investing in infrastructure debt in these challenging times.
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Central banks provided economies with ample cash as the economic effects of the COVID-19 health crisis bit, driving down interest rates – and absolute returns – in the process, but as Philippe Renaudin, head of global money markets, tells senior investment strategist Daniel Morris in this interview, careful selection and diversification mean potential for competitive returns remains in this asset class.
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The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated digitalisation trends in education, healthcare and commerce. However, many citizens are at risk of being left behind in the move to a digitalised society. Anu Rames, tech and healthcare analyst for our Sustainability Centre, talks to senior investment strategist Daniel Morris about how we can reduce the risk of digital inequality.
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Stimulus measures, a bounce for the economy and attractive valuations have converged to brighten the prospects for US small caps, says Pamela Woo, head of US equities.
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Fintech - smart phones, digital payments, e-commerce - is facilitating financial inclusion in emerging markets, boosting economies and local labour markets
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Bond yields have fallen ever lower as the COVID-19 recession and disinflation have forced central banks and governments to implement whatever-it-takes measures to save jobs and industries. In doing so, they now appear to be the dominant force in fixed income markets, with significant implications for investors. Dominick DeAlto, chief investment officer of fixed income, talks to senior investment strategist Daniel Morris about these implications and where we see opportunities in fixed income today.
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Demand for energy, food and water is set to grow significantly over the next 20 years as the global population grows. Meeting this demand while reducing carbon emissions and addressing environmental challenges creates an extraordinary investment opportunity. In this week’s podcast, Edward Lees, Co-head of the Environmental Strategies Group, talks to senior investment strategist Daniel Morris about what lies ahead.
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Investors looking for alternative and resilient sources of yield as mainstream investments are held back in an environment of ‘lower for longer’ growth and inflation are increasingly eyeing private debt and real assets. In this week’s podcast, David Bouchoucha, chief investment officer of private debt & real assets (PDRA), talks to Daniel Morris, senior investment strategist, about the attractions of the asset class.
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Whatever-it-takes spending programmes by governments and central banks to prop up economies stricken by the COVID-19 pandemic have raised concerns that this wall of money will unleash inflation in the coming years. In this week’s podcast, Richard Barwell, head of macroeconomic research, discusses the prospects for inflation and the implications for investors with our senior investment strategist Daniel Morris.
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In this week’s podcast, Vincent Nichols, investment specialist for global emerging market (EM) equities, discusses the case for EM equities with Daniel Morris, our senior market strategist.
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The unprecedented crisis caused by COVID-19 has left asset allocators disorientated. Uncertainty has deepened and the outlook is now for bond and equity returns to be lower for even longer, making the hunt for yield all the more acute for investors.
In this podcast, senior investment strategist Daniel Morris and Koye Somefun, head of multi-asset & solutions in our Quant Research Group, discuss what to expect after the Great Pandemic of 2020 and the key takeaways from their latest longer-term asset allocation update.
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Our multi-factor equity strategy seeks to tilt portfolios towards value, quality, low volatility and momentum stocks. During the recent rally in developed equity markets, exposures to these factors did not perform as might have been expected. In this week’s podcast, Grégory Taieb, quantitative investment specialist, and Laurent Lagarde, head of quantitative equity portfolio management, talk to Daniel Morris, senior market strategist, about the particularities of the recent rally and the outlook for factor investing in equities.
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The rise of millennials, digital consumption and shifting demographics are among the big trends reshaping the consumer sector. How does the 2020 pandemic affect them? In this week’s podcast, Pamela Woo, head of US Equities and manager of the Consumer Innovators strategy, talks to Daniel Morris, senior market strategist, about the impact of the pandemic on consumer trends and themes.
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In this week’s podcast, Daniel Morris, senior market strategist, discusses with Julien Halfon, Head of Pension and Corporate Solutions, the role risk overlays can play in equity portfolios and the benefits they can provide.
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Both US and global healthcare stocks have outperformed their respective broader markets during the coronavirus pandemic. This is just the start of a long-term trend, says Jon Stephenson, senior portfolio manager for US equities and specialist for healthcare innovators in our Boston office. In this week’s podcast Daniel Morris, senior market strategist, discusses with Jon why healthcare stands out as the sector that may become the investment theme for this decade.
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Lockdowns have fastforwarded the digital transformation of our economies. Senior investment strategist Daniel Morris and Pam Hegarty, portfolio manager and senior equity analyst for US equities, discuss the opportunities.
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After the recent strong rally in developed equity markets, senior investment strategist Daniel Morris and Guy Davies, chief investment officer active equity strategies, discuss the outlook and where we see opportunities.
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After a rollercoaster ride in April, senior investment strategist Daniel Morris and Dominick DeAlto, chief investment officer fixed income, discuss what will matter next for developed bond markets.
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Year to date, the Chinese market is one of the best performing equity markets globally. Can such performance be sustained for the rest of 2020 and beyond? Senior investment strategist Daniel Morris discusses the outlook with Caroline Yu Maurer, Head of Greater China Equities and Chi Lo, Senior Economist for Greater China, both from our Hong Kong office.
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Senior investment strategist Daniel Morris and Denis Panel, Chief Investment Officer of the Multi-Asset and quantitative solutions team (MAQS), discuss the challenges to asset allocation in this volatile and uncertain market environment.
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Senior investment strategist Daniel Morris and Guy Davies, Chief Investment Officer active equity strategies, discuss the outlook for equity markets.
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At the end of the third week of lockdown across much of Europe, Daniel Morris, senior investment strategist, and Mark Lewis, global head of sustainability research, discuss the situation in financial markets and why we do not think this is the time to sell risky assets. Mark also considers the benefits of sustainable investing in the current environment and how the crisis could advance sustainability’s place on the policy agenda.
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As a measure of calm is restored in financial markets, Guillermo Felices, head of research and strategy for Multi-Asset and Quantitative Solutions (MAQS), and Dominick DeAlto, chief investment officer fixed income, discuss the potential opportunities and risks ahead for investors.
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After a week of unprecedented central bank interventions in financial markets, Richard Barwell, global head of macroeconomic research, and Denis Panel, chief investment officer for multi-asset and quantitative solutions (MAQS), discuss the state of markets at the opening in Europe on Monday 23 March 2020.
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After a momentous week in financial markets, our investment specialists discuss the impact of the coronavirus on equity markets, what the recent correction means for investors and how we are positioning portfolios.
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