The Tally Room: Recent Episodes
Ben Raue
Ben was joined by Mark Riboldi from UTS to preview this weekend's Farrer by-election, and what it might imply about the Coalition's bigger issues losing support to One Nation and independents.
You can now watch a video version of this podcast on Youtube.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Rob Manwaring to look over the results of last Saturday's South Australian state election, in particular the emergence of One Nation as a party polling higher than the Liberal Party.
You can now watch a video version of this podcast on Youtube.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Josh Sunman from Flinders University to run through the seats that could be in play on South Australia's election night and how preference distributions could become much more complex amidst a One Nation surge.
You can now watch a video version of this podcast on Youtube.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Intifar Chowdhury and Anthony Zougras to bring the podcast up to speed on South Australian politics before the state election on March 21. They discussed the decline in support for the Liberal Party, the emergence of One Nation, and Peter Malinauskas' dominance in the state.
You can now watch a video version of this podcast on Youtube.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
How does owning your home or renting impact on how you vote? For today's podcast, Ben was joined by Shaun Ratcliff and Josh Goddard to discuss what we know about how home ownership (or asset ownership more broadly) influences voting trends. We discuss Josh's research looking at 14 different Western democracies, and also hear from Shaun about more research closer to home.
You can now watch a video version of this podcast on Youtube.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
In last Sunday's Thai general election, voters swung strongly to current prime minister Anutin's Bhumjaithai Party, or BJT. In this podcast, Ben discusses Thai politics and the results of the Thai election with Erin Cook of the Dari Mulut ke Mulut newsletter. You can now watch a video version of this podcast on Youtube. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Donna Weeks, emeritus professor at Musashino University, to discuss this coming weekend's Japanese general election, where new prime minister Sanae Takaichi will be attempting to achieve her own mandate.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by George Hasanakos from pollster DemosAU to discuss the surge in support for One Nation, which has pushed them ahead of the combined Liberal-National vote in a number of polls, as well as the split in the Liberal-National coalition. They discuss how these two trends impact on how polls are conducted.
This podcast was recorded before the publication of polls by YouGov and Essential that continued the continuing trend.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined this week by Osmond Chiu, Per Capita research fellow and contributor editor for the Labor Left magazine Challenge, to discuss the factions of the Australian Labor Party.
Read Osmond's 2020 piece in Jacobin on the history of Labor's factions.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Sarah Cameron from Griffith University, to discuss the results of the 2025 Australian Election Study, including Peter Dutton's unpopularity, foreign policy, voter dealignment, and how the vote splits by gender, generation and whether people own their own home.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Michael Evangelidis from GovConnex to discuss the factions of the Liberal Party of Australia - how fluid they are, how they work from the branch level to federal and state party rooms, and how the factions have changed in recent years.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Frank Bongiorno and Chris Monnox to discuss the history of Australia's federal parliament being expanded, in 1949 and 1984. We discuss the motivations for these changes, the positions taken by the parties and why it happened when it did. We also discuss efforts to break the 'nexus' which links the size of the House to the size of the Senate.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Matt Dennien from the Brisbane Times to discuss the Queensland state redistribution, specifically the first round of submissions. The conversation focuses on the Labor and LNP submissions, and also run through some of the other public submissions.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 (plus GST) or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham and Chris Monnox to discuss the results of the Tasmanian state election and prospects for the formation of a new government.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss the latest Tasmanian state polls and go through Tasmania's five electorates one by one, discussing the race and possible winners in each division.
- We refer extensively to Kevin Bonham's blog post breaking down the latest DemosAu poll
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Tasmanian political observer Mike Lester to look at the state of the campaign and the announcement of candidates for the Tasmanian state election. We particularly look into the Tasmanian Nationals and the shadow-boxing around who takes the blame for the calling of the election and who has the best prospect of forming a majority government.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the collapse of the Tasmanian government just 15 months after the last election, and to look at some of the early moves for independents to find a new party home.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
For this podcast Ben interviews two scrutineers about their experience in the recounts: Adelaide, a Liberal scrutineer from Bradfield, and KJ, an independent scrutineer from Goldstein. Ben also discusses the recount procedures he saw in Bradfield last week and the latest count updates from Monday afternoon.
- Ben's blog post about visiting the Bradfield recount
- The podcast features the song 'It's a Draw' by Nick Craft.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Kevin Bonham to run through the close seats and the Senate race that have dragged out, one week after the election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss the results of yesterday's Australian federal election, which produced Labor's best result since 1943. We talk about the close seats, how multi-party politics is transforming local electorate contests and what is likely to happen in the Senate.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by Peter Brent and the ABC's Tom Crowley for the final pre-election episode of the 2025 federal election campaign. We discuss how a hung parliament might play out and the experience of riding Peter Dutton's campaign bus. For our seat of the week we discuss the NSW seat of Werriwa.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by Jill Sheppard and Emily Foley to discuss the long-term trend of the major parties losing primary votes: what is causing the trend, how it might play out in 2025 and whether they can do anything to reverse the trend. The seat of the week is Bruce in south-eastern Melbourne.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by Duncan McDonnell from Griffith University to discuss the close of rolls and nominations and the role of Gen Z voters in the election. The seat of the week is Lingiari in the Northern Territory, and we also talk about Indigenous enrolment and parliamentary representation.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson and Phoebe Hayman to discuss the role of the Greens in the federal election: the seats they are defending and are challenging for, the rivalry between Labor and the Greens and how the electoral system shapes their relationship. The seat of the week is Wills, in the inner north of Melbourne.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by journalist Rachel Withers, writer of the Crikey column 'Well Hung', to discuss the prospects for independent candidates, including teal and Muslim independents, at the 2025 federal election.
- A 2023 meme from Twitter user Pineapple Crab applying different definitions for a "teal"
- Read my 2023 paper 'Not Your Parents' Electoral System'
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by Ben Moffitt from Monash University to discuss the role of right-wing minor parties in federal politics, why it is so hard for them to work together, and chances in the Senate. We also discuss the seat of Hunter in New South Wales.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to wrap up the results of yesterday's Western Australian state election, which was a third consecutive landslide victory for Labor.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by John Carey to discuss how you design an electoral system for a new democracy - what factors are most important to producing a healthy and sustainable democracy, and how might those requirements change over time?
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson and Andre Brett to discuss which seats might fall when the Labor vote in the WA state election recedes from the high levels reached in 2021, and how the minor parties might perform under the new Legislative Council electoral system.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben is joined by Martin Drum from the University of Notre Dame to discuss the new electoral system for the Western Australian Legislative Council and to look back at the last four years of WA state politics in the lead up to next month's state election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
Ben was joined by Shaun Ratcliff from Accent Research to discuss the state of play as the federal election year kicks off. They discuss the state of polling, including the MRP polls conducted by Shaun in conjunction with Redbridge throughout 2024.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $8 or more per month. And $8 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
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Ben is joined by Leo Puglisi from 6 News and Chris Eddy from Local Government News Roundup to wrap up the Victorian council elections.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month. And $5 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
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Ben is joined by Alexis Pink from ZZZ to discuss the LNP coming to power in Queensland. We discuss the divide between north and south, the performances of the minor parties and how this new LNP government might differ from the last LNP government.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month. And $5 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
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Ben is joined by ACT historian Chris Monnox and Tasmanian psephologist Kevin Bonham to dig into the results of last weekend's ACT election, looking at the narrative, the likely shape of the new government and the close races not yet called.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month. And $5 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
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Ben is joined by Andrew Messenger from the Guardian to discuss the final stretch of the Queensland election campaign. We spend most of our time going through the key seats in each region of the state, and the issues that have dominated the campaign.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month. And $5 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
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Ben is joined by Jasper Lindell from the Canberra Times to preview the upcoming Australian Capital Territory election, with a Labor-Greens government facing the voters after 23 years of Labor government and 16 years of the Greens in the balance of power.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month. And $5 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
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Ben is joined by Dennis Atkins to preview the upcoming Queensland state election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month. And $5 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
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Ben is joined by Leo Puglisi from 6 News to analyse the results of the NSW local government elections.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month. And $5 donors can now join the Tally Room Discord server.
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Ben is joined by the Sydney Morning Herald urban affairs reporter Anthony Segaert to preview the upcoming New South Wales local government elections. We discuss some of the most interesting elections, the impact of the NSW Liberal absence and local party systems.
Sorry for the poor quality audio on my end - it seems like the recording connected to the wrong mic. Should still be clear enough.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
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Ben is joined by the ABC's Thomas Morgan to discuss the results of the NT election. We talk about the CLP's big victory, how northern Darwin has flipped back after being solidly Labor for 23 years, and the rise of the Greens and independents on Labor's left flank.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
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This is a solo episode, where Ben runs through all the key parts of the story of how and where the NSW Liberal Party failed to nominate almost a third of candidates for the NSW local government elections next month, covering the scale of the issue, what may have caused it, how it may affect the political balance in each council, the threat of legal action and what could be done to mitigate these issues for next election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
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Ben is joined by NT political historian Robyn Smith to preview the upcoming Northern Territory general election. We discuss the seats in play, the events of the last four years and what might be coming on election day.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
You can listen to an ad-free version of this podcast if you sign up via Patreon for $5 or more per month.
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Ben is joined by Chris Terry-Enescu, British psephologist from the Ballot Box podcast, to discuss the implications of the recent UK general election for the electoral system and the party system.
Chris mentioned this book: Electoral Shocks
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
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Ben is joined by Ferran Martinez i Coma from Griffith University to discuss his research on how election campaigning differs in Spain in districts electing odd or even numbers of representatives.
We end up discussing more broadly the unsual impacts odd- and even-numbered district magnitudes impact on elections in Australia, and the ways in which the use of different district magnitudes (big and small) change how an electoral system manifests in both countries.
Read Ferran's research on odd and even numbered districts.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
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Ben is joined by Murray Goot to discuss the two-party-preferred vote: the history of the metric, how it is used today, how it influences how we think about our party system, and whether it still works in the more complex party system we have today.
- Murray's journal article on the history of the two-party-preferred vote.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
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Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss the federal redistribution proposals for New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia. We discuss the process, what has been proposed, the political impact of those proposals and how it might affect preselections, and why some of the maps are drawn as they are.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
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Ben is joined by Kevin Elliott, author of the book Democracy for Busy People to discuss the value of importance of designing democratic institutions but are broad, not just deep, and make it easy for all citizens to participate. We also discuss the importance of citizens maintaining "civic skills" that give them the capacity to step in to politics when the need arises, and what institutions can make our democracy something that busy people can be a part of.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
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Ben was joined by Ruth McGowan, a candidate mentor and advocate for women in politics. We discussed the trends of increasing numbers of women being elected to public office in Australia, what barriers remain and what work is being done to get more women ready to run for parliament or council.
- Ruth's book Get Elected (available as a free PDF download)
- Pathways to Politics
- Women for Election
- The costs of (inadequate) councillor remuneration report
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Ben is joined by Kerryn Baker from the Department of Pacific Affairs at the Australian National University to discuss the recent elections in the Solomon Islands, which ended with a new prime minister, if not an entirely new government.
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Ben is joined by Sofia Ammassari from Griffith University to discuss the upcoming Indian federal election.
The world's largest democracy is going to the polls in April, May and June, with Narendra Modi's BJP looking set for a third term in office.
We discuss the electoral system, major political issues and the Modi government's recent history.
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Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to wrap up the Tasmanian state election. We discuss the close undecided races, what might come next for parliamentary negotiations, and what it means for May's upper house election.
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Ben is joined by Maggie Perry from 6 News Australia to discuss the results of council elections and by-elections in Queensland. We mostly focus on the Brisbane City Council results, and also touch on the results of the two state by-elections and other local council elections.
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Ben was joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss the Tasmanian state election. We run through the five state electorates one by one, and discuss what we'll be watching for on election night.
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Ben is joined by Alexis Pink from community radio station 4ZZZ and Andrew Messenger from the Guardian Australia to discuss the upcoming council elections across Queensland and the two state by-elections to be held on the same day.
We discuss the Brisbane City Council campaign and then touch on a number of other interesting council races and the by-elections.
- Andrew's article about uncontested council races.
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Ben was joined by Stewart Jackson from the University of Sydney and Tasmanian political scientist Mike Lester to preview next month's Tasmanian state election.
We discuss the widening field of independent candidates, political events in the last term and the issues around the 25-member House that led to the expansion of the Parliament. We also briefly touch on this weekend's Dunkley by-election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
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Ben was joined by this week by Marcus Mietzner from the Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs at the ANU, and the author of The Coalitions Presidents Make, to discuss Prabowo Subianto's clear victory in the first round of the Indonesian presidential election.
We discuss how Prabowo won, the shift in votes between 2019 and 2024, and the implications for how Prabowo will govern, as well as Prabowo's relationship with outgoing president Jokowi - past, present and future.
You can read the transcript for this podcast here.
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Ben is joined by Erin Cook from Dari Mulut ke Mulut to discuss next week's national election in Indonesia. We discuss the three candidates, the role of the outgoing president Jokowi in the race, the electoral system and the role of parties in Indonesia's democracy.
Sign up for South-East Asia news through the Dari Mulut ke Mulut newsletter.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
This podcast is sponsored by Zencastr. Use my special link to save 30% off your first month of any Zencastr paid plan.
Ben is joined by Shaun Ratcliff from Accent Research to discuss his recent report looking at differences in voting trends across the generations. We discuss how Millenials and Gen Z voters are much more left-wing than Baby Boomers, explore some theories as to why, and look at evidence as to which of those theories may be right. We then discuss what this implies for the next few decades of Australian politics.
Read Shaun's report at Accent Research.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
This podcast is sponsored by Zencastr. Use my special link to save 30% off your first month of any Zencastr paid plan.
Ben is joined by Dr Simon Hix from the European University Institute to discuss a paper he co-wrote with John Carey about finding the Electoral Sweet Spot: how low-magnitude proportional representation systems tend to combine the best of majoritarian and proportional systems.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
This podcast is sponsored by Zencastr. Use my special link to save 30% off your first month of any Zencastr paid plan.
Shane Easson has been drawing up redistribution submissions for the Australian Labor Party since 1984. This year he's not doing the Labor submission for New South Wales, although he is working on those in some other states, and he came on the podcast to talk about how it works, the things you've got to consider when writing such a submission, and whether they have any influence on the outcome.
We also discuss some of the likely outcomes of the current NSW federal redistribution and the need to change some names.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
This podcast is sponsored by Zencastr. Use my special link to save 30% off your first month of any Zencastr paid plan.
Today's podcast was recorded at the roundtable on Boundary Delimitation and Malapportionment in Asia and the Pacific held in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia on October 28-29, 2023. The event was hosted by Indonesian NGO Perludem and Malaysian organisations Bersih and Tindak Malaysia, in coordination with International IDEA.
I attended to present on Papua New Guinea's electoral boundaries and while there I recorded interviews with six of the other participants.
In this episode you'll hear from:
- Niranjan Sahoo, from India
- Heroik Pratama, from Indonesia
- Wong Chin Huat, from Malaysia
- Luie Guia, from the Philippines
- Enkhtsetseg Dagva, from Mongolia
- Adhy Aman, from International IDEA
Thanks to everyone for joining me.
Read the Kuala Lumpur Declaration on Apportionment and Boundary Delimitation.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to recap the results of the Voice referendum.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined today by Peter Brent to wrap up the referendum campaign. We discuss the state of the polls, the relative position of the states, whether the low Yes vote can really be blamed on the state of the campaign or by the fundamental referendum trends, and what data points might line up with the results on Saturday.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by James Mulrennan from The Overhang. We preview next weekend's New Zealand national election, touching on the electoral system, the state of the parties and the polls, and the potential shape of the next government.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by historian Alison Holland, who is researching the history of ATSIC, the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Commission. We discuss the history and current existence of Indigenous elected institutions around Australia, including ATSIC and its predecessors at a federal level, regional land councils and state Voices that have started to pop up.
- Alison's article in The Conversation about why those who claim that ATSIC failed have put the blame in the wrong place.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Paul Kildea and Andre Brett to discuss the history of Australian referendums. We discuss the historical origins of referendums at both the state and federal level, the dynamics of referendum campaigns, how different states tend to vote, the voters' bias towards the status quo, and discuss some of our favourite referendums.
We reference some fairly obscure referendums, including the 1928 referendum in the Australian Federal Territory on ending prohibition, the 1951 and 1965 Wool Reserve Prices referendums, the national song poll of 1977 and the unsuccessful attempt to extend hotel opening hours prior to the 1956 Melbourne Olympic Games.
- Paul's article on state and territory referendums in the Sydney Law Review
- The 2016 article "An Absent Negative" by Russell McGregor about the absence of a No campaign in the 1967 referendum on Aboriginal affairs
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by psephologist Henry Schlechta to discuss two issues of democratic reform in Victoria: the arguments around abolishing group voting tickets, and the implementation of single-member wards for urban Victorian councils. Sadly this isn't a story of Victoria improving its electoral systems - mostly they are getting worse or staying the same.
- Ben's podcast with Kevin from November 2022 discussing the problems with group voting tickets.
- Ben's estimates of who would have won seats in the Victorian upper house under different systems.
- Ben's blog post about the single-member ward reviews happening in Victoria.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by ABC chief election analyst Antony Green for the 100th episode of the Tally Room podcast to discuss the many redistributions currently underway around Australia: federal redistributions, state and territory redistributions and even local council ward redistributions.
We discuss the population trends affecting the drawing of federal boundaries, the process of drawing, and how we make estimates of margins in new electorates.
- Read Antony's most recent post about prospects for the NSW federal redistribution.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by American political scientist Jack Santucci to discuss the history of the single transferable vote electoral system and its implementation in numerous American cities in the early 20th century.
Jack's book More Parties or No Parties explores this period and advances a theory to explain why electoral system change happens when it does. We also meander into a comparison of STV and simpler proportional representation systems.
Please fill out the Tally Room survey and tell us more about what you'd like to hear.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss three upcoming by-elections in Fadden, Rockingham and Warrandyte, and for a brief update on other election news - the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters hearing on expanding the size of parliament, the potential for an early election in Tasmania and upcoming redistributions.
Please fill out the Tally Room survey and tell us more about what you'd like to hear.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Professor Steffen Ganghof from the University of Potsdam to discuss his book Beyond Presidentialism and Parliamentarism. Steffen discusses an alternative model of democracy he calls "semi-parliamentarism" which can gain the benefits of presidentialism in having a part of the legislature independent of the government, without investing executive power in a single person. And the best examples of this model can be found here in Australia.
Our conversation has relevance to debates around the role of Australia's upper houses and is a fresh outside perspective on how they improve Australia's democracy.
Please fill out the Tally Room survey and tell us more about what you'd like to hear.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by former AEC official Michael Maley, who has just returned from a trip to Timor-Leste to help with the country's recent parliamentary election. Ben and Michael discuss the constitutional structure, electoral system and party system of Timor-Leste. We also discuss the results of the recent elections, the likely shape of the new government, and the continuing dominance of the independence generation in Timorese politics.
You can read the full transcript here.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Professor Matthew Shugart from UC Davis to discuss how the electoral system influences the party system. We discuss the effective number of parties measure, and the seat product model, which uses the size of the parliamentary assembly and the district magnitude to predict the shape of the party system in each country.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by journalist Erin Cook to discuss last weekend's national election in Thailand, which saw the progressive Move Forward win the most seats and set up prospects for a coalition government made up of parties that are not supporters of the royal and military elite that has run the country since the 2014 coup.
- Subscribe to Erin's newsletter on Southeast Asian politics, Dali Mulut Ke Mulut
- Erin mentioned From Development to Democracy by Dan Slater and Joseph Wong
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson to wrap up the NSW state election, but to also discuss the news about a possible expansion of the federal parliament.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Eddie Synot to discuss the proposal for a Voice to Parliament - where it came from, the history of constitutional recognition and national representative Indigenous bodies and what it might look like.
We discuss the likely democratic structures of a Voice and why it probably won't look much like the Langton-Calma model. We also discuss some of the criticisms of the proposal from opponents.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Peter Brent to discuss the remarkable results of Saturday's Aston by-election. We discuss the context of the by-election, the potential implications and we also briefly touch on the upcoming Voice referendum.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined again by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss this weekend's federal by-election in the seat of Aston.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss the results of the NSW state election.
- Poll Bludger live results page
- My thread looking at the history of embedding the NSW electoral system in the state constitution
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
With the NSW state election coming up this weekend, Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the upper house race and what to watch for on election night.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
In today's episode Ben is joined by Peter Chen from the University of Sydney. They discuss the prospects for a hung parliament and the major campaign issues dominating the election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
The podcast is back, and Ben is joined by Rodney Smith from the University of Sydney and Michael McGowan from the Guardian to discuss the upcoming NSW state election. We discussed the election context and then focused on the prospects of minor parties and independents at the election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
For the final episode of 2022, Ben is joined by Narelle Miragliotta and Henry Schlechta to discuss the final results of the Victorian state election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss the results of the Victorian state election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Andrea Carson and Stewart Jackson to wrap up the Victorian election campaign and look forward to election night.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined today by Kevin Bonham to talk about the Victorian upper house voting system. We discuss the group voting tickets released on Sunday, the dynamics of how the electoral system plays out, why you should vote below the line and the difference that voting below the line makes, and how the system could be reformed.
- Who would've won in past elections without group voting tickets.
- How below-the-line voting changed the results in 2018.
- What the group voting tickets look like in 2022.
- Kevin's assessments of each party's position on GVT reform
- Kevin's analysis of the 2018 election result
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Benita Kolovos from the Guardian Australia and Geoff Robinson from Deakin University to discuss the upcoming Victorian state election. We set the scene, looking at the major issues which have defined the last four years and this campaign, the position of the leaders and the trends in different parts of the state.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Michael Kabuni to wrap up this year's Papua New Guinea election. We talk about levels of violence and election disruption, the highest number of seats for a single party for 40 years, and the formation of the new government.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Tasmanian psephologist Kevin Bonham to discuss the upcoming Tasmanian council elections - the electoral systems, the emergence of local tickets, and they then dive into the specific campaigns for Hobart City Council and Clarence City Council.
Check out Kevin's guides to Hobart and Clarence.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
A lot of analysis of the recent federal election used aggregate data and made assumptions about individual voting trends, but now we have some data that can actually answer these questions. Ben is joined in this episode by Shaun Ratcliff from YouGov to discuss the Australian Cooperative Election Survey, which allows analysts to make conclusions about individual voting trends.
We discuss trends in terms of income, wealth, gender, age, LGBTQI+ voters and cultural diversity.
Check out Shaun's presentation to a recent event where he presented some of the findings.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Maholopa Laveil from the University of Papua New Guinea to discuss the upcoming Papua New Guinea national election, with voting scheduled for most of July. We discuss PNG constitutional structures, election procedures, how the parties work and political geography.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to wrap up the 2022 federal election. We discuss the undecided Senate races, the close House races, and the paths to victory for the Coalition and chances for future hung parliaments.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the results of yesterday's federal election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined this week by Jill Sheppard and Peter Brent to discuss the state of the campaign, long term voting trends and the seat of Dickson in Queensland.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
We return again today to the polls, talking to two more pollsters from some of Australia's biggest political polls: Campbell White from YouGov/Newspoll and Mark Davis from Ipsos. We discuss the formation of the Australian Polling Council and what has changed since 2019.
- YouGov's methodology statements
- Ipsos methodology statements
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined today by Ben Moffitt from the Australian Catholic University to talk about right-wing minor parties and their role in the federal election, and to profile the seat of Macquarie.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Duncan McDonnell and Marija Taflaga to discuss the closing of nominations. We discuss numbers of women and Aboriginal candidates nominating at the election, and the impact of increasing ballot sizes on the House informal vote. We also discuss the electorate of Lingiari in the Northern Territory.
- Duncan's paper with Ferran Martinez i Coma on representation of women in Australian elections
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Narelle Miragliotta and Stewart Jackson to discuss the rise of the Voices independents movement, and the Victorian seat of Casey.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room’s supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Glenn Kefford from Griffith University and Rob Manwaring from Flinders University to discuss the relationship between Labor and the Greens and how it may play out in this federal election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Peter Lewis from the Essential Poll to talk about the current state of polling in the lead up to the federal election, and to discuss the federal seat of Page.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Rob Manwaring to discuss the results of last weekend's state election in South Australia.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Haydon Manning and Matt Clemow to discuss the key seats in play at this weekend's South Australian state election.
Check out the Tally Room guide to the South Australian election, now free for all to access.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
In this episode, Ben introduces the South Australian state election with Tom Richardson from InDaily.
- Check out the Tally Room guide to the South Australian election, now free for all to access.
- The abolition of the South Australian redistribution "fairness clause" was discussed in episode 30 of the podcast.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to discuss Saturday's by-elections in New South Wales, with a particular focus on how we analyse election results as increasing numbers of voters opt to use postal and pre-poll options.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben was joined by Stewart Jackson to discuss this weekend's by-elections in the NSW state electorates of Bega, Monaro, Strathfield and Willoughby.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben was joined by Osmond Chiu for the final episode of 2021 to discuss the results of the NSW council elections. We ran through a few of the more interesting big councils, as well as the interesting referendum and plebiscite results.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Roberta Ryan, Professor of Local Government at the University of Newcastle, to discuss some broader trends in NSW local government in the lead-up to this weekend's election, including council amalgamations and the role of political parties.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Alena Higgins from the Western Weekender to discuss the City of Penrith, where Labor and Liberal have mostly worked together over the last five years.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by local Ryde resident Rose Torossian to discuss the Ryde council election, with a detour into discussion of the merits of directly-elected mayors.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Nick McLaren, lead news reporter for ABC Illawarra, to discuss the council elections for Wollongong and Shoalhaven, along with a brief detour to Shellharbour and Kiama.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Today I'm joined by Allison Hore from the Inner West Review to discuss the council elections for the City of Sydney and the Inner West Council.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Tina Brown, editor of the Hornsby Ku-ring-gai Post, to discuss the council elections in Hornsby and Ku-ring-gai.
Ku-ring-gai in particular has been one of the most dramatic councils in Sydney, with a 5-5 deadlock on the council being resolved by the outcome of drawing a name out of a hat for the mayoral election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
This is the second episode in our NSW local council election series.
Today I'm joined by Anthony Caruso, political analyst for Triple H FM radio, a community radio station in northern Sydney.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
This is the first in a series of podcasts with local experts about various major local councils in New South Wales in the lead-up to December's council elections.
Today is Eric Kontos from South West Voice discussing the council elections in Camden, Campbelltown and Liverpool.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the results of Saturday's Tasmanian state election.
Check out Kevin's analysis of the late counting at his website.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger to talk about all of the recent redistributions. For further reading:
- Liveblog of Victorian and WA federal redistributions
- Post with maps of Victorian and WA federal boundaries
- South Australian final redistribution
- New South Wales draft redistribution maps
- Population numbers for upcoming Victorian state redistribution
Be sure to check out William's live results tool for the Tasmanian state election on Saturday night at the Poll Bludger.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Kate Crowley and Mike Lester to discuss the upcoming Tasmanian state election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by William Bowe of the Poll Bludger to discuss Labor's massive landslide victory in yesterday's Western Australian state election, including running through each of the six upper house contests.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
We return to the WA election today, with Ben joined by the ABC's Jacob Kagi and the University of Sydney's Stewart Jackson, who discuss the campaign and what to look out for on election night.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
We're back for 2021, and on this week's podcast Ben is joined by Christine Cunningham and Martin Drum to get us up to speed on Western Australian state politics and the early stages of the campaign for March's state election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by 4ZZZ's Alexis Pink for a quick podcast to talk about last night's Queensland election results.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Glenn Kefford and Shaun Ratcliff to discuss tomorrow's Queensland state election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben was joined by Jill Sheppard from the ANU to talk about the ACT election results, and to briefly touch on the New Zealand results.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham and Stewart Jackson to preview the upcoming election in the ACT.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by the University of Queensland's Chris Salisbury and Glenn Kefford to preview next month's Queensland election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by William Bowe from the Poll Bludger and new guest Michael Maley, formerly of the Australian Electoral Commission, to talk all about redistributions: how they work now, how they used to work and how they have changed over time.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben chatted with Stewart Jackson about the results of last weekend's NT election.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben was joined today by Duncan McDonnell from Griffith University and podcast regular Kevin Bonham to discuss tomorrow's election in the Northern Territory.
This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.
Ben is joined by Robyn Smith, historian of the Northern Territory, to discuss the upcoming NT election - recent political events, the party system, some seats to watch, and the peculiar nature of NT elections.
Robyn mentioned Weekends with Walshy, which features in the podcast feed for Territory Story.
Check out Ben's guide to the NT election.
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham to talk about next weekend's elections for the Tasmanian Legislative Council.
Apologies for lower quality audio on Ben's part - but it should still be perfectly clear.
- Tally Room guide to the Tasmanian Legislative Council
- Kevin's guides to Huon and Rosevears
Ben is joined by William Bowe, the Poll Bludger, to discuss the results of the Eden-Monaro by-election. We then digressed into a discussion of the determination of entitlements of House of Representatives seats for each state, including the abolition of the Northern Territory's second seat and long-term trends for Victoria and Western Australia.
- Antony Green's blog post about how seats are allocated to Territories
- Journal article about electoral redistributions discussed by Ben
Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson from the University of Sydney to preview this weekend's federal by-election in the seat of Eden-Monaro.
Ben is joined by Alexis Pink to wrap up the results of the Brisbane City Council election and the Queensland state by-elections, including how these elections were influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Ben is joined by Glenn Kefford and Chris Salisbury from the University of Queensland to discuss the Queensland state by-elections and the City of Brisbane election, as well as the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on these elections.
We recorded this episode remotely from each person's home so there is a few audio problems on one of the guests' tracks, but it shouldn't seriously affect the listening experience.
Ben is joined again by Alexis Pink from 4ZZZ to discuss elections for the councils surrounding the City of Brisbane: Gold Coast, Ipswich, Moreton Bay, Logan and Sunshine Coast.
You can subscribe to this podcast using this RSS feed in your podcast app of choice, but should also be able to find this podcast by searching for “the Tally Room”. If you like the show please considering rating and reviewing us on iTunes.
Ben is joined by the ANU's Jill Sheppard to discuss the Australian Election Study: the process and some of the findings.
- AES 2019 election report
- AES trends 1987-2019
- Ben's post about the Australian Election Study
This is the final episode of 2019. If you want to support this podcast to come back in 2020 please consider signing up as a donor via Patreon.
This episode is all about the March 2020 election for Brisbane City Council, the most populous council in Australia. Ben is joined by Alexis Pink from 4ZZZ's Pineapple Rebellion to discuss the context and some of the key wards.
- The Tally Room guide to the Brisbane City Council election
- Pineapple Rebellion website
Ben is joined by Peter Brent and Stewart Jackson to discuss whether it's ever possible for a single-member voting system to be "fair" in the context of the final defeat of the South Australian fairness clause, and the relative value of survey, polling and raw voting data in assessing the results of an election.
I'm joined by William Bowe from Poll Bludger to run through all of the electoral redistributions which have been conducted while we've all been thinking about other things this year: specifically Western Australia, the ACT, the Northern Territory, Brisbane City Council and the likely change in federal seat numbers in 2020.
- Ben's analysis of the draft WA boundaries
- William's margin estimates for the draft WA boundaries
- Ben's margin estimates for the final ACT boundaries
- Ben's analysis of the final NT boundaries
- Estimates of margins for final BCC boundaries
- Post about the change in seat entitlements for each state in House of Representatives
This week I'm joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the failure of Australian polls at the 2019 federal election and the limited improvements in transparency by Australian pollsters since that election.
- Kevin's website
- Discussion on polling with Katharine Murphy and Peter Lewis on Guardian politics podcast in July
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham for a quick podcast reacting to the results of the federal election.
Please consider supporting this podcast by signing up as a donor via Patreon.
Ben is joined by William Bowe and Elizabeth Humphrys to discuss anti-politics and election night - in particular what seats are worth watching and when you should expect results to come in.
Thanks to 2SER radio in Sydney for the use of their studio.
Ben was joined by Rodney Smith from the University of Sydney to discuss the surge in pre-poll voting and the key races in New South Wales.
Ben is joined by El Gibbs and Gareth Bryant to discuss the final declaration of candidate nominations for the federal election, Clive Palmer's United Australia Party and the role of housing policy in the election.
Thanks to 2SER radio in Sydney for the use of their studio.
Ben is joined by Shaun Ratcliff and Paddy Manning to discuss the latest federal polls, seats where independents are challenging the Coalition, and the conclusion of the NSW upper house count.
Thanks to 2SER radio in Sydney for the use of their studio.
Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson and Sinead Canning to wrap up the NSW election result (and discuss the ongoing upper house count), the role of One Nation preferences in the federal election, and the likelihood of the federal election being called this week.
Thanks to 2SER radio in Sydney for the use of their studio.
This morning I spoke to Osmond Chiu about the results of yesterday's NSW state election.
Ben was joined by social researcher Rebecca Huntley and the Poll Bludger's William Bowe to talk about the key issues of the state election and the seats which will decide the result.
Thanks to 2SER radio in Sydney for the use of their studio.
- Rebecca Huntley's new issue of Quarterly Essay, Australia Fair
- William Bowe's election blog Poll Bludger
Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson and Geoff Robinson to discuss the NSW state election, specifically the Greens, the moving apart of the NSW party system, and historical parallels.
Thanks to 2SER radio in Sydney for the use of their studio.
Ben was joined by Macquarie University's Ben Spies-Butcher and the Guardian's Gabrielle Chan to discuss the rural contest in the NSW state election and the impact of the recent High Court decision on election funding laws.
We discussed Gabi's new book Rusted Off.
Thanks to 2SER radio in Sydney for the use of their studio.
Ben is joined by ABC election analyst Antony Green and the ANU's Jill Sheppard in the first episode of 2019 to discuss the New South Wales state election - in particular the rule of optional preferential voting and the increasing popularity of pre-poll voting - as well as the growing number of independents running in federal Liberal seats.
In the final episode of the Tally Room for 2018, I'm joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the close races in the Victorian state election, and to run through all eight Legislative Council contests just days out from the pushing of the button in each region.
You can follow Kevin's live blog of the Legislative Council count.
Ben spoke to Paddy Manning from the Monthly and Stewart Jackson from the University of Sydney about the results of Saturday's Victorian state election, including a focus on the Greens' performance and preferences in the upper house.
In this week's podcast Ben is joined by Tom Clement from Geeklections and Tim Colebatch.
We discussed the Victorian upper house race in depth, followed by a summary of the Victorian state election campaign.
- Tom's analysis of the group voting tickets
- Ben's blog about the preference decisions
- Tim's most recent analysis of the Victorian election at Inside Story
Today is one year since the announcement of the result in the marriage law postal survey, and I have a special podcast episode focusing on that process.
I interviewed Simon Copland and Dr Liz Allen on Tuesday at a conference about the anniversary at the ANU.
- Simon's Queers podcast
- Simon's paper on the marriage survey discussed in the interview
- Liz's profile at the ANU website
Ben is joined by Kevin Bonham for a bonus episode to discuss the Tasmanian council elections, focusing on the results of the Hobart City Council race and the features of the Tasmanian council voting system.
Read Kevin's live blog from the Tasmanian council elections count
In this episode, I talk to El Gibbs and Paddy Manning about the Victorian election, with a particular focus on inner-city Greens contests.
This was the first episode recorded at the studios of 2SER radio in Sydney. Thanks to them for the help with the show.
Ben talked to Peter Brent in a mini-episode about yesterday's Wentworth by-election.
Some links if you want to read more about the by-election:
- Ben's post about Sharma's recovery on pre-poll and postal votes
- Ben's article in the Guardian about how Sharma came back from defeat on Sunday morning
- Peter's article about the significance of the Wentworth by-election.
Ben is joined by William Bowe and Georgia Tkachuk to discuss the Wentworth by-election and to begin discussing the Victorian state election.
- Ben's analysis of how preferences could decide Wentworth
- Latest published Wentworth poll
- The Tally Room guide to the Victorian state election
Ben is joined by Ben Spies-Butcher and Amanda McCormack to discuss the Wagga Wagga by-election, the state of NSW politics six months before the state election, and the federal seat of Banks.
We also discussed Ann Sudmalis' retirement announcement and Kerryn Phelps' candidacy announcement.
Links to things discussed in the show:
- Kerryn Phelps running in Wentworth
- Ann Sudmalis retires
- Tally Room guide to the seat of Banks
- Fabian Society event for book 'Whitlam's Children'
Ben is joined by Glenn Kefford from Macquarie University to discuss the new Liberal leadership, competition amongst right-wing minor parties and the Wagga Wagga by-election.
Read Glenn Kefford and Shaun Ratcliff's analysis of nativist rhetoric at the Monkey Cage blog at the Washington Post.
I was joined this evening by Stewart Jackson and El Gibbs to discuss the Liberal leadership spill and the seat of Lindsay.
Our discussion of the Liberal leadership spill focused on some of the broader issues but was conducted before the rumours of a second spill strengthened later tonight. I expect our chat will be somewhat out of date in the next few days but most of it should still be interesting regardless of who comes out on top.
Read the Tally Room guide to Lindsay
Follow El Gibbs on Twitter
Stewart Jackson's University of Sydney profile
Ben is joined by Jill Sheppard (@jillesheppard) and Osmond Chiu (@redrabbleroz) to discuss research into what candidate attributes influence voters' choices, and profile the marginal seat of Gilmore in southern NSW.
Links to things discussed in this episode:
- Research into voter preferences from Jill Sheppard and colleagues mentioned in this article
- The Tally Room guide to the seat of Gilmore
- Anne Wren's research on the political economy of the service transition
- The Human Rights Commission's report on cultural diversity in leadership
- The Brotherhood of Saint Laurence's report on youth unemployment hotspots
Ben is joined by the Poll Bludger, William Bowe, to discuss yesterday's by-elections in Longman, Braddon and Mayo. You can follow William on Twitter at @pollbludger or visit pollbludger.net
Ben is joined by Peter Brent and Amanda McCormack to discuss the upcoming by-elections in Mayo and Longman and the phenomenon of senators switching parties (and not setting up their own).
Ben is joined by Maiy Azize and Kevin Bonham to preview the federal by-elections in Braddon, Fremantle and Perth, and to discuss how we name federal electorates in light of Batman being renamed. The news segment features discussion about the result of the Darling Range by-election and the state of single-seat polling.
Ben is joined by Stewart Jackson and Megan Clement-Couzner. We discuss the latest elections news (including the Ontario provincial election and the Maine primaries, and what they tell us about voting systems) and then preview this weekend's Darling Range by-election in Western Australia and the lack of women representing the Liberal Party in parliament.