Casual Inference: Recent Episodes

Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray

Keep it casual with the Casual Inference podcast. Your hosts Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray talk all things epidemiology, statistics, data science, causal inference, and public health. Sponsored by the American Journal of Epidemiology.

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Emily Riederer is a Data Science Senior Manager at Credit Risk Modeling Capital One. Her website can be found here: https://www.emilyriederer.com/ Follow along on Bluesky: * Emily: โ€ช@emilyriederer.bsky.socialโ€ฌ * Ellie: @epiellie.bsky.social * Lucy: @lucystats.bsky.social

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade. Edited by Cameron Bopp.

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Carly Brantner is an assistant professor of Biostatistics & Bioinformatics at Duke University and Duke Clinical Research Institute.

Resources from this episode: * multicate: R package for estimating conditional average treatment effects across one or more studies using machine learning methods * PCORnetยฎ Front Door: Access point for potential investigators, patient groups, and other stakeholders to connect with PCORnet and get support for potential research studies * Patient-Centered Outcomes Data Repository (PDOCR): De-identified data from 24 (and counting) PCORI-funded studies

Follow along on Bluesky: * Carly: @carlybrantner.bsky.social * Ellie: @epiellie.bsky.social * Lucy: @lucystats.bsky.social

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade. Edited by Cameron Bopp.

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Andrew Heiss is an assistant professor in the Department of Public Management and Policy at the Andrew Young School of Policy Studies at Georgia State University. * Vincentโ€™s โ€œWhat is your estimandโ€ section in his {marginaleffects} book: https://marginaleffects.com/chapters/challenge.html#sec-goals_estimand * Article on defining estimands: https://doi.org/10.1177/00031224211004187 * Andrew's marginal effects post: https://www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2022/05/20/marginalia/ * Andrew's post on โ€œfixed effectsโ€ and mariginal effects across different disciplines: https://www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2022/11/29/conditional-marginal-marginaleffects/

Follow along on Bluesky: * Andrew: @andrew.heiss.phd * Ellie: @epiellie.bsky.social * Lucy: @lucystats.bsky.social

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade. Edited by Cameron Bopp.

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In this episode Lucy and Ellie dig into a recently publicized paper, "Vaccination and Neurodevelopmental Disorders: A Study of Nine-Year-Old Children Enrolled in Medicaid", which has gained attention after being promoted by RFK Jr. as evidence that vaccines cause autism.

Ellie breaks down her Substack critique of the study. Together, she and Lucy discuss the methodological flaws and what a better version of this study might look like.

  • Vaccination and Neurodevelopmental Disorders: A Study of Nine-Year-Old Children Enrolled in Medicaid: https://publichealthpolicyjournal.com/vaccination-and-neurodevelopmental-disorders-a-study-of-nine-year-old-children-enrolled-in-medicaid/
  • RFK Jr is promoting a new study claiming "vaccines cause autism" but it doesn't add up. Literally [Ellie's substack]: https://epiellie.substack.com/p/rfk-jr-is-promoting-a-new-study-claiming

Follow along on Bluesky:

  • Ellie: @epiellie.bsky.social
  • Lucy: @lucystats.bsky.social

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade. Edited by Cameron Bopp.

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Vincent Arel-Bundock is a professor at the Universitรฉ de Montrรฉal, where he studies comparative and international political economy. * Vincent's website: https://arelbundock.com/ * Vincent's book "Model to Meaning: How to Interpret Statistical Models With marginaleffects for R and Python": https://marginaleffects.com/

Follow along on Bluesky: * Vincent: @vincentab.bsky.social * Ellie: @epiellie.bsky.social * Lucy: @lucystats.bsky.social

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade. Edited by Cameron Bopp.

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Noah Greifer is a statistical consultant and programmer at Harvard University.

Episode notes:

  • WeightIt package: https://ngreifer.github.io/WeightIt/
  • MatchIt package: https://kosukeimai.github.io/MatchIt/
  • Noah's awesome Stack Exchange post: https://stats.stackexchange.com/a/544958

Follow along on Bluesky:

  • Noah: @noahgreifer.bsky.social
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie.bsky.social
  • Lucy: @LucyStats.bsky.social

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade. Edited by Cameron Bopp.

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Lucy and Ellie chat about large language models, chat interfaces, and causal inference.

  • Do LLMs Act as Repositories of Causal Knowledge?: https://arxiv.org/html/2412.10635v1

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade. Edited by Cameron Bopp.

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Lucy chats with Len Testa about a recent analysis he did which combined over 150 publicly available data sources to answer a question about the affordability of Disney World.

  • Len's Deep Dive Post on the Touring Plans Blog [Blog Post]
  • Wall Street Journal Artcile, "Even Disney Is Worried About the High Cost of a Disney Vacation" [Article]

Follow along on Bluesky:

  • Len: @lentesta.bsky.social
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie.bsky.social
  • Lucy: @LucyStats.bsky.social

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade

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Alyssa Bilinski, Peterson Family Assistant Professor of Health Policy, and Assistant Professor of Biostatistics, at Brown University School of Public Health. Her research focuses on developing novel methods for policy evaluation and applying these to identify interventions that most efficiently improve population health and well-being.

Episode notes:

  • PNAS paper: https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2302528120
  • Shuo Fengโ€™s pre-print: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.04.08.24305335v1
  • Our uncertainty paper: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33475686/

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Alyssa: @ambilinski
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Edward Kennedy Associate Professor, Department of Statistics & Data Science, Carnegie Mellon.

Episode notes:

  • ehkennedy.com
  • Evaluating a Targeted Minimum Loss-Based Estimator for Capture-Recapture Analysis: An Application to HIV Surveillance in San Francisco, California: https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/193/4/673/7425624
  • Doubly Robust Capture-Recapture Methods for Estimating Population Size: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01621459.2023.2187814

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Sheree Bekker & Stephen Mumford are Co-directors of the Feminist Sport Lab and have a book coming soon: โ€œOpen Play: the case for feminist sportโ€, coming Spring 2025. Reaktion Books (UK), University of Chicago Press (US).

Sheree Bekker: Associate Professor, University of Bath, Department for Health,

  • Centre for Qualitative Research
  • Centre for Health and Injury and Illness Prevention in Sport

Stephen Mumford, Professor of Metaphysics, Durham University A

  • Author of Dispositions (Oxford, 1998), Russell on Metaphysics (Routledge, 2003), Laws in Nature (Routledge, 2004), David Armstrong (Acumen, 2007), Watching Sport: Aesthetics, Ethics and Emotion (Routledge, 2011), Getting Causes from Powers (Oxford, 2011 with Rani Lill Anjum), Metaphysics: a Very Short Introduction (Oxford, 2012) and Causation: a Very Short Introduction (Oxford, 2013 with Rani Lill Anjum). I was editor of George Molnar's posthumous Powers: a Study in Metaphysics (Oxford, 2003) and Metaphysics and Science (Oxford, 2013 with Matthew Tugby).

Episode notes:

  • Feminist Sport Lab: https://www.feministsportlab.com
  • Causation: A Very Short Introduction by Stephen Mumford & Rani Lill Anjum: https://academic.oup.com/book/616
  • Faye Norby, Iditarod champion & epidemiologist: https://www.kfyrtv.com/2024/03/28/faye-norby-finishes-iditarod-trail-womens-foot-champion/?outputType=amp

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Erick Scott is founder of cStructure, a causal science startup. Erick has expertise in medicine, public health, and computational biology.

  • info@cStructure.io
  • โ€œA causal roadmap for generating high-quality real-world evidenceโ€ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10603361/

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Nima Hejazi is an assistant professor in biostatistics at Harvard University. His methodological work often draws upon tools and ideas from semi- and non-parametric inference, high-dimensional and large-scale inference, targeted or debiased machine learning (e.g., targeted minimum loss estimation, method of sieves), and computational statistics.

  • Surprised by the Hot Hand Fallacy? A Truth in the Law of Small Numbers by Joshua B. Miller & Adam Sanjurjo: https://www.jstor.org/stable/44955325
  • Nima is on Twitter/X as @nshejazi (https://twitter.com/nshejazi) and my academic webpage is https://nimahejazi.org
  • Recent translational review paper (intended for the infectious disease science community) I was involved in describing some causal/statistical frameworks for evaluating immune markers as mediators / surrogate endpoints: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38458870/
  • The tlverse software ecosystem is on GitHub at https://github.com/tlverse and the tlverse handbook is freely available at https://tlverse.org/tlverse-handbook/
  • Dr. Hejazi annually co-teaches a causal mediation analysis workshop at SER, and notes from the latest offering are freely available at https://codex.nimahejazi.org/ser2023_mediation_workshop/

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Aaditya Ramdas is an assistant professor at Carnegie Mellon University, in the Departments of Statistics and Machine Learning. His research interests include game-theoretic statistics and sequential anytime-valid inference, multiple testing and post-selection inference, and uncertainty quantification for machine learning (conformal prediction, calibration). His applied areas of interest include neuroscience, genetics and auditing (real-estate, finance, elections). Aaditya received the IMS Peter Gavin Hall Early Career Prize, the COPSS Emerging Leader Award, the Bernoulli New Researcher Award, the NSF CAREER Award, the Sloan fellowship in Mathematics, and faculty research awards from Adobe and Google. He also spends 20% of his time at Amazon working on causality and sequential experimentation.

  • Aadityaโ€™s website: https://www.stat.cmu.edu/~aramdas/
  • Game theoretic statistics resources
  • Aadityaโ€™s course, Game-theoretic probability, statistics, and learning:
  • https://www.stat.cmu.edu/~aramdas/gtpsl/index.html

  • Papers of interest:

  • Time-uniform central limit theory and asymptotic confidence sequences: https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.06476
  • Game-theoretic statistics and safe anytime-valid inference: https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.06476

  • Discussion papers:

  • Safe Testing: https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.07801
  • Testing by Betting: https://academic.oup.com/jrsssa/article/184/2/407/7056412

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Ingrid is a doctoral student in Epidemiology at the Dalla Lana School of Public Health at the University of Toronto.

  • Winning cookie recipe

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Nick Huntington-Klein is an Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Albers School of Business and Economics, Seattle University. His research focus is econometrics, causal inference, and higher education policy. Heโ€™s also the author of an introductory causal inference textbook called The Effect and the creator of a number of Stata packages for implementing causal effect estimation procedures.

  • Nickโ€™s book, online version: https://theeffectbook.net/
  • The Paper of How: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/W2FMEESMMSJMWDEZYY8Y?target=10.1111/obes.12598
  • Nickโ€™s twitter & BlueSky: @nickchk
  • Nickโ€™s website: https://nickchk.com

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Lucy and Ellie chat about immortal time bias, discussing a new paper Ellie co-authored on clone-censor-weights. * The Clone-Censor-Weight Method in Pharmacoepidemiologic Research: Foundations and Methodological Implementation: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40471-024-00346-2 * Immortal time in pregnancy: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36805380/

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Mark van der Laan is a professor of statistics at the University of California, Berkeley. His research focuses on developing statistical methods to estimate causal and non-causal parameters of interest, based on potentially complex and high dimensional data from randomized clinical trials or observational longitudinal studies, or from cross-sectional studies.

  • Center for Targeted Learning, Berkeley: https://ctml.berkeley.edu/
  • A causal roadmap: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37900353/
  • Short course on causal learning: https://ctml.berkeley.edu/introduction-causal-inference
  • Handbook on the TLverse (Targeted Learning in R): https://ctml.berkeley.edu/publications/targeted-learning-handbook-causal-machine-learning-and-inference-tlverse-r-software
  • Mark on twitter: @mark_vdlaan

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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Ellie and Lucy kick off the season and introduce our new executive buzzer, Melita! Melita is a masters student in statistics at Wake Forest University and will be helping out with the podcast (and keeping Lucy and Ellie from using too much jargon!)

Pros & Cons of RCT paper:

  • Fernainy, P., Cohen, A.A., Murray, E. et al. Rethinking the pros and cons of randomized controlled trials and observational studies in the era of big data and advanced methods: a panel discussion. BMC Proc 18 (Suppl 2), 1 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12919-023-00285-8

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDadeEdited by Cameron Bopp

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We are re-releasing an episode from 2021 in remembrance of Ralph D'Agostino, Sr. Ellie Murray and Lucy Dโ€™Agostino McGowan chat with Ralph Dโ€™Agostino Sr. and Ralph Dโ€™Agostino Jr. about their careers in statistics, looking back at how things have developed and forward at where they see the world of statistics and epidemiology going.

Ralph Dโ€™Agostino Sr. was a professor of Mathematics/Statistics, Biostatistics, and Epidemiology at Boston University. He was the lead biostatistician for the Framingham Heart Study, a biostatistical consultant to The New England Journal of Medicine, an editor of Statistics in Medicine and lead editor of their Tutorials, and a member and consultant on FDA committees. His major fields of research were clinical trials, prognostic models, longitudinal analysis, multivariate analysis, robustness, and outcomes/effectiveness research.

Ralph Dโ€™Agostino Jr. is a professor in the Department of Biostatistics and Data Science at Wake Forest University where he is the Director of the Biostatistics Core of the Comprehensive Cancer Center. Methodologically his research includes developing statistical techniques for evaluating data from observational settings, handling missing data in applied problems, and developing predictive functions to identify prospectively patients at elevated risk for future negative outcomes. Some of his recent work includes the development of methods using propensity score models to identify safety signals in large retrospective databases.

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Ellie and Lucy chat with Dr. Cat Hicks, VP of Research Insights and Director of Developer Success Lab at Pluralsight Flow, about evidence science.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Cat: @grimalkina
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade
Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about M-Bias!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about ENAR 2023 and Targeted Learning!

Targeted Learning in R Handbook

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with #EpiCookieChallenge winner, Viktoria Gastens!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Viktoria: @VikiGastens
  • Viktoria's Lab: @PopHealthLabCH
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about confounding!

โœ๏ธ Lucy's new paper: Sensitivity Analyses for Unmeasured Confounders

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about randomized controlled trials, thinking about efficacy vs effectiveness and saftey vs safetiness.

โœ๏ธ Frank Harrell's blog post "Randomized Clinical Trials Do Not Mimic Clinical Practice, Thank Goodness"

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Maria Glymour, Professor of Epidemiology & Biostatstics at UCSF and incoming chair of the Department of Epidemiology at Boston University. Maria successfully convinces Ellie and Lucy that instrumental variables can be very useful in epidemiology.

Follow up:

โœ๏ธ Andrew Heiss's blog post on narginal and conditional effects for GLMMs

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Maria Glymour: @MariaGlymour
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about critiquing methods research, average treatment effects, and positivity violations!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Travis Gerke, Director of Data Science at The Prostate Cancer Clinical Trials Consortium (PCCTC). This episode has lots of hot takes and lots of love for logistic regression!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Travis Gerke: @travisgerke
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade
Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Travis Gerke, Director of Data Science at The Prostate Cancer Clinical Trials Consortium (PCCTC). This episode has lots of hot takes and lots of love for logistic regression!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Travis Gerke: @travisgerke
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade
Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about counterfactuals!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade
Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about counterfactuals!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade
Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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In this episode Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Enrique Schisterman, Perelman Professor and Chair of the Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics at the University of Pennsylvania, about the future of epidemiology.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Enrique: @eschisterman1
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade

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In this episode Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Enrique Schisterman, Perelman Professor and Chair of the Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics at the University of Pennsylvania, about the future of epidemiology.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Enrique: @eschisterman1
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade

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In this episode we play the audio from a recent panel discussion co-sponsored by UNC TraCS, Duke University and Wake Forest U CTSA Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Research Design (BERD) Cores. The panelists were Charles Poole (Associate Professor of Epidemiology, UNC) Lucy D'Agostino McGowan, and Charles Scales (Associate Professor of Surgery, Duke University) and it was facilitated by Marcella Boynton (Assistant Professor, General Internal Medicine, UNC/NC TraCS).

๐ŸŽฅ The video of the panel can be found here

๐ŸŽž Lucy's slides

๐Ÿ“ƒ The ASA Statement on p-values

๐Ÿ“ƒ The American Statistician issue on p-values following the SSI conference

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Sander Greenland, Emeritus Professor of Epidemiology and Statistics at UCLA.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology:ย @AmJEpi
  • Ellie:ย @EpiEllie
  • Lucy:ย @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถย Our intro/outro music is courtesy ofย Joseph McDade
Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Toyya Pujol, Operations Researcher at RAND Corporation.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Toyya: @toyyapujol
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Maggie Makar, Presidential postdoctoral fellow and assistant professor in Computer Science and Engineering at the University of Michigan.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Maggie: @Maggiemakar
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

Slide link: https://bit.ly/3DnQai5

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade
Edited by Quinn Rose: aspiringrobot.com

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Judea Pearl, Chancellor professor of computer science and statistics at the University of California, Los Angeles.

๐Ÿ“„ Judea's recent papers

๐Ÿ“– Book of Why

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Judea: @yudapearl
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

Slide link: https://bit.ly/3DnQai5

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with #EpiCookieChallenge winner, Chris Schaich about the epidemiologist John Snow. Dr. Schaich is an assistant professor at Wake Forest School of Medicine in the Hypertension and Vascular Research Center.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Chris: @Chris_Schaich
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

Slide link: https://bit.ly/3DnQai5

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about their Spotify Wrapped for Casual Inference, and Ellie Murray talks about causal inference for complex data with the University of Minnesotaโ€™s epidemiology department.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

Slide link: https://bit.ly/3DnQai5

Transcript (auto-generated): https://bit.ly/3y4OskQ

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat about the history of causal inference, tracing the origins across disciplines from statistics to economics, epidemiology, and computer science, discussing contributions from Rubin, Robins, Pearl, and more!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Hilary Parker about design thinking for data analysis, the Dunning-Kruger effect, and the potential data behind baby Yoda.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Hilary: @hspter
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Noah Haber about metascience, causal language in the literature, and more!

๐Ÿฅ‡ Causal Inference Nobel Prize Press Release

๐Ÿ“ Causal and Associational Linking Language From Observational Research and Health Evaluation Literature in Practice: A systematic language evaluation

๐Ÿ“ What Should Researchers Expect When They Replicate Studies? A Statistical View of Replicability in Psychological Science

๐Ÿ“ Design principles of data analysis

๐Ÿ“ Causal language and strength of inference in academic and media articles shared in social media (CLAIMS): A systematic review

๐Ÿ”— Reading past headlines [part 1]

๐Ÿ”— Reading past headlines [part 2]

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Noah: @NoahHaber
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Len Testa, president of TouringPlans, about solving optimization problems in travel and healthcare.

๐Ÿ“ฆ Lucy's R package with touringplans data

Len's slide on model choices:

Follow along on Twitter:

  • Len: @LenTesta
  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

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In this episode Lucy D'Agostino McGowan and Ellie Murray chat with Ashley Buchanan about causal inference with a focus on networks. Dr. Buchanan is an assistant professor of Biostatistics in the Department of Pharmacy Practice at the University of Rhode Island.

๐Ÿ”— Dr. Buchanan's website

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

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In this episode Ellie Murray and Lucy Dโ€™Agostino McGowan do a series recap and then discuss sensitivity, specificity, and appropriate messaging in the context of coronavirus rapid tests.

๐Ÿ“ Evaluation of the Abbott BinaxNOW rapid antigen test for SARS-CoV-2 infection in children: Implications for screening in a school setting

๐Ÿ“ NY Times article: One in 5,000

๐Ÿฆ Kareem Carr's tweet about omitted variable bias in randomized controlled trials

๐Ÿ“ Israeli data: How can efficacy vs. severe disease be strong when 60% of hospitalized are vaccinated?

๐Ÿฆ  A calculator that lets you estimate COVID risk [microcovid]

In the (Local) News

๐Ÿ“ฐ Will Podcasting and Social Media Replace Journals and Traditional Science Communication? No, but...

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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In this 23rd episode of Casual Inference Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat about fixed vs random effect, complete a statistics challenge, and talk about DAGs.

๐Ÿฆ Tweet from @jtc475 about fixed vs random effects terminology

๐ŸŽฒ This is Statistics March Randomness Challenge

๐Ÿ“ Lucy, Kyra, and Ellie's paper "Quantifying Uncertainty in Infectious Disease Mechanistic Models"

PeDAGogy

Here are the two Bridgerton DAGs we discussed.

  1. Tweet submitted by @IGMoore:

    1. Tweet submitted by @AlenaSorensen

    Follow along on Twitter:

  2. The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi

  3. Ellie: @EpiEllie
  4. Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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In this episode Ellie Murray and Lucy Dโ€™Agostino McGowan chat with Julia Raifman about health policy, a recent study on unemployment insurance and food insecurity, and anti racism in academia. Dr. Raifman is an assistant professor of Health Law, Policy, and Management at Boston University. Her research focuses on how health and social policies drive population health and health disparities.

๐Ÿ“ Geoffrey Rose's paper Sick Individuals and Sick Populations

๐Ÿ“Juliaโ€™s recent paper - Association Between Receipt of Unemployment Insurance and Food Insecurity Among People Who Lost Employment During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States

PeDAGogy

Come up with a Bridgerton DAG and share it with us on Twitter! Here is one for inspiration.

Me: "Hi please fund me to do innovative research"

Also me: "Sure I'll lead a DAG discussion on the @PWGTennant et al. @IJEeditorial paper... I'd like to focus on how offensively hot the guy from Bridgerton is."@mrc_ieu and @BristolTARG PhD student Mark Gibson made my day! pic.twitter.com/CFOoYhMGjt

โ€” Gareth Griffith (@Garethjgriffith) February 1, 2021

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Julia: @JuliaRaifman
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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In this episode Ellie Murray and Lucy Dโ€™Agostino McGowan chat with Ralph Dโ€™Agostino Sr. and Ralph Dโ€™Agostino Jr. about their careers in statistics, looking back at how things have developed and forward at where they see the world of statistics and epidemiology going. Weโ€™re excited to kick off the 100th year of the American Journal of Epidemiology with this episode.

Ralph Dโ€™Agostino Sr. is a professor of Mathematics/Statistics, Biostatistics, and Epidemiology at Boston University. He has been the lead biostatistician for the Framingham Heart Study, a biostatistical consultant to The New England Journal of Medicine, an editor of Statistics in Medicine and lead editor of their Tutorials, and a member and consultant on FDA committees. His major fields of research are clinical trials, prognostic models, longitudinal analysis, multivariate analysis, robustness, and outcomes/effectiveness research.

Ralph Dโ€™Agostino Jr. is a professor in the Department of Biostatistics and Data Science at Wake Forest University where he is the Director of the Biostatistics Core of the Comprehensive Cancer Center. Methodologically his research includes developing statistical techniques for evaluating data from observational settings, handling missing data in applied problems, and developing predictive functions to identify prospectively patients at elevated risk for future negative outcomes. Some of his recent work includes the development of methods using propensity score models to identify safety signals in large retrospective databases.

It also turns out they are Lucyโ€™s father and grandfather, so we have 3 generations of statisticians on the pod!

We also have Amit Sasson on to discuss the winning cookie from the #EpiCookieChallenge as well as her work in causal inference!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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In honor of the Society for Epidemiologic Research 2020 Meeting, the hosts of four epidemiology podcasts came together to record the first ever โ€œcrossover eventโ€ to talk about their experiences recording our shows and what podcasting can bring to the table for the field of epidemiology. Join the hosts of Epidemiology Counts (Bryan James), SERiousEPi (Matt Fox, Hailey Banack), Casual Inference (Lucy Dโ€™Agostino McGowan), and Shiny Epi People (Lisa Bodnar) as they engage in a fun and informative (we hope!) conversation of the burgeoning field of epidemiology podcasting, emceed by Geetika Kalloo.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat about ecological studies, the new Pfizer vaccine interim analysis, and more!

๐Ÿ“ˆ Vanderbilt University Department of Health Policy's COVID-19 Deaths in Tennessee and Adoption of Mask Requirements (h/t Peter Rebeiro)

๐Ÿ“ˆ The original masks v no masks graph

๐Ÿ—ž Pfizer's press release about the interim analysis for their vaccine trial

๐Ÿ““ Pfizer's vaccine trial protocol

PeDAGogy

Here is the DAG from our peDAGogy segment:

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat about communicating uncertainty, how air pollution policy is determined, and whether causal inference is a fad with Dr. Roger Peng from Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Roger: @rdpeng

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan talk about the causal questions linked to schools opening during the COVID-19 pandemic. Then they have Dr. Emily Oster, professor of economics at Brown University, on to discuss her thoughts on and contributions to this area.

๐Ÿ“„ Emily's Atlantic Piece Schools aren't super-spreader events

๐Ÿ“Š COVID-19 School Response Dashboard

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Emily: @profemilyoster
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan casually discuss linear versus logistic regression, prediction versus inference, generalized linear models, and more!

๐Ÿ“„Robin Gomila's paper: "Logistic or linear? Estimating causal effects on experimental treatments on binary outcomes using regression analysis"

๐Ÿฆ Robin's twitter thread about the paper

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan discuss methodological advancement in causal inference with Dr. Elizabeth Ogburn from Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

๐Ÿ“„ Wang & Blei's The Blessings of Multiple Causes paper

๐Ÿฆ  COVID-19 Collaboration Platform

๐Ÿ“ˆ COVID-19 Meta-dashboard of dashboards

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Betsy: @BetsyOgburn

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan are live for Society for Epidemiologic Research (SER) week!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan discuss community engagement, health disparities, and measure development with Dr. Melody Goodman from New York University Global School of Public Health.

๐Ÿฆ Jonathan Jackson's tweet on the importance of measures of dispersion

๐Ÿ“„ Goodman's paper Reaching Consensus on Principles of Stakeholder Engagement in Research

๐Ÿ“„ Goodman's paper Content validation of a quantitative stakeholder engagement measure

๐Ÿ“„ Goodman's paper on Community Research Training Fellows Program Training Community Members in Public Health Research: Development and Implementation of a Community Participatory Research Pilot Project

๐Ÿ“„ The Relationship between In-Person Voting, Consolidated Polling Locations, and Absentee Voting on Covid-19: Evidence from the Wisconsin Primary discussed in the peDAGogy segment

Harm reduction tips for protests

Harm reduction tips for faith-based communities

General harm reduction tips

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Melody: @goodmanthebrain

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat about coronavirus, the evidence we have about masks, and designing observational studies.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan discuss Bayesian statistics, model validation, and more, with special guest Dr. Frank Harrell from the Department of Biostatistics at Vanderbilt University.

๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธWhat does it mean to be Bayesian?

๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธHow can we decide if our models are good?

๐Ÿ“ˆFrank's COVID trial resource hub

๐Ÿ“ˆBetsy Ogburn's COVID trial protocol hub

๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐ŸซFrank's Free Biostatistics in Biomedical Research Course

๐ŸLucy's tweetorial on Type 1 error and including nonlinear terms in models

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Frank: @f2harrell

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan discuss coronavirus a bit more, focusing on mask wearing, data quality, disease modeling, and more!

๐Ÿ“ˆ IHME COVID-19 projections
๐Ÿ˜ท A quick DIY cloth mask how-to
๐Ÿ˜ท Ellie's TikTok on safe mask removal
๐Ÿงช Lucy's tweetorial on estimating prevalences from testing data
๐Ÿคทโ€โ™€๏ธ Lucy's model uncertainty tweetorial

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan discuss coronavirus with an added segment discussing current recommendations for people taking ACE inhibitors or ARBS with Andrew South from Wake Forest School of Medicine.

๐Ÿ‘Wash your hands to Splash Mountain Medley:

๐ŸŒŸ Ellie's hand washing song lyrics (to be sung twice)

Twinkle twinkle little SARS
How I wonder where you are
Are you on my hands right now?
On my face or on my brow?
Twinkle twinkle little SARS
How I wonder where you are

๐Ÿ’ƒ Ellie on TikTok

๐Ÿ”— Nephrology Journal Club information about ACEi/ARBS and coronavirus

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Andrew: @asouth_neph

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Sean Taylor from Lyft.

Here are some links to the content we talk about in this episode:

๐Ÿ“ Seanโ€™s Science paper

๐Ÿ“ฆ Prophet R package

๐Ÿ“ Book on time-varying exposures

๐Ÿ“ Lyft engineering blog

๐Ÿ“ Hormone replacement therapy overview

๐Ÿ“ Analyzing observational HRT data by emulating a trial

๐Ÿ“ฐ Local news

  • AJE Methods Corner

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Sean: @SeanJTaylor

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Whitney Robinson from the Departments of Epidemiology at University of North Carolina Gillings School of Global Public Health

Here are some links to the content we talk about in this episode:

๐Ÿ“ Jeffrey Rose article (reprint)

๐Ÿ“ Chandra Fordโ€™s public health praxis paper

๐Ÿ“ Whitneyโ€™s paper with Tyler VanderWeele on race as a cause

๐Ÿ“ Miguel Hernanโ€™s paper on well-defined interventions: Does water kill?

๐Ÿ“ NIH funding paper

๐Ÿ“ป Acadames podcast

๐Ÿ“ Miguel Hernanโ€™s AJE paper on selection bias without colliders

๐Ÿ“ฐ Local news

  • We talk about novel Coronavirus and how you can get answers to your questions
  • ๐Ÿ“We also chat about the infectious disease listserv ProMed Mail
  • ๐Ÿ“ And the BlueDot โ€œartificial epidemiologistโ€.

PeDAGogy:

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Whitney: @WhitneyEpi

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Elizabeth Stuart from the Departments of Mental Health, Biostatistics, and Health Policy and Management at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

Here are some links to the content we talk about in this episode:

๐Ÿ“ Kern et al paper on Assessing Methods for Generalizing Experimental Impact Estimates to Target Populations

๐Ÿ“ Article by Sherri Rose on Liz Stuart (baby pics!)

๐ŸŒ Liz Stuart's website

๐Ÿ“ฐ Local news

  • Naomi Distelkamp won our #EpiCookieChallenge!
  • Naomi plotted flu rates in the US
  • We discussed Alberto Cairo's book How Chart's Lie

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Liz: @LizStuartDC

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz, an epidemiologist studying at the University of Wollongong and a science communication writer for the Guardian, Observer, and more!

Here are some links to the content we talk about in this episode:

๐Ÿ“ Gideon's post on relative versus absolute risk

๐Ÿฆ Gideon's twitter account @justsaysrisks

๐ŸŽ™ Everything Hertz Podcast

๐ŸŽ™Gideon's Sensationalist Science Podcast

โœ๏ธ Gideon on Medium

๐Ÿ“ง Email Gideon for advice on getting started in Sci Comm: gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿซ PeDAGogy

  • We discussed a paper recently published in BMJ on the association between arts engagement and mortality
  • Andrew Heiss tweeted a DAG with a proposed relationship between opera and longevity

  • Robert Platt also tweeted about this, suggesting that there may be an explanation other than confounding

๐Ÿ“ฐ Global news

  • The New York Times wrote an article on the BMJ paper that we discussed in peDAGogy
  • Here is some info on the BMJ Christmas Issue
  • Lucy and Jeff Leekโ€™s clickbait-y Ted-ed lesson on clickbait

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Gid: @GidMK

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Matt Fox from the Departments of Epidemiology and Global Health at Boston University.

Here are some links to the content we talk about in this episode:

๐Ÿ“„ Paper discussing a null association between smoking during pregnancy and breast cancer risk
๐Ÿ“š Matt's textbook on quantitative bias analysis
๐Ÿ”— Bias analysis website: sites.google.com/site/biasanalysis/

๐Ÿ“ฐ Global news

  • Wang and Blei's The Blessing of Multiple Causes
  • Obgurn, Shpitser, and Tchetgen Tchetgen's Comment
  • D'Amour's Comment

In this week's global news segment we mentioned M-bias. Here is an example DAG of this phenomenon:

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Matt: @ProfMattFox

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Sherri Rose from the Department of Health Care Policy at Harvard Medical School.

Here are some links to the content we talk about in this episode:

๐Ÿ“„ Paper by Anna Zink and Sherri Rose: Fair Regression for Health Care Spending
๐Ÿ“„ The Blessing of Multiple Causes
๐Ÿ“„ Dissecting racial bias in an algorithm used to manage the health of populations
๐Ÿ“š Sherri's books on targeted learning
๐Ÿ”— Sherri's website: drsherrirose.org
๐Ÿ”— Data for Black lives: d4bl.org
๐Ÿ‘ What we're is enjoying this week: baby Yoda
๐Ÿ“ฐ Our local news: American Journal of Epidemiology article: a machine learning primer for epidemiologists

PeDAGogy segment:

In this weeks segment, Ellie describes a collider!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Sherri: @sherrirose

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸŽจ Our artwork is by Allison Horst.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan chat with Onyebuchi Arah from the Department of Epidemiology and UCLA Fielding School of Public Health about Social Epidemiology.

Here are some links to the content we talk about in this episode:

๐Ÿ“„ Study in Science Advances demonstrating the funding gap in research on the community level

๐Ÿ“„ Matt Foxโ€™s E-value study published in the American Journal of Epidemiology

๐Ÿ‘ What Lucy is enjoying this week: Normcore tech newsletter

๐Ÿ“ฐ Our local news: American Journal of Epidemiology article on obesity & neighborhoods

Here is the DAG discussed in the peDAGogy segment:

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Onyebuchi: @oacarah

๐ŸŽถ Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan try to keep it casual in the first episode of the new Casual Inference podcast. Episode 1 features special guest Miguel Hernan from Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health. Listen to learn how to improve your observational data analysis!

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats
  • Miguel: @_MiguelHernan

Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.

Here are some links to the content we talk about in this episode!

Causal Inference, What If: https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/miguel-hernan/causal-inference-book/

AJE article on applying the target trial method: https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/188/8/1569/5486454

AJE tweetorial on that article: https://twitter.com/AmJEpi/status/1171866941906026496

News report on the Economics Nobel Prize: https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/10/economics-nobel-honors-trio-taking-experimental-approach-fighting-poverty

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Ellie Murray and Lucy D'Agostino McGowan try to keep it casual in this quick teaser to introduce you to the types of things the Casual Inference podcast will include.

Follow along on Twitter:

  • The American Journal of Epidemiology: @AmJEpi
  • Ellie: @EpiEllie
  • Lucy: @LucyStats

Our intro/outro music is courtesy of Joseph McDade.