The Judgment Call Podcast: Recent Episodes
The Judgment Call Podcast
A podcast where we talk to risk takers, adventurers, travelers, entrepreneurs and simply mind bogglers.
- 00:00:20 How Maciej got started with Amtelon Capital and why he chose Iran as a primary investment target?
- 00:05:33 Why is Iran like Russia (and Eastern Europe ) in the 1990s? Is there a catalyst for Iran making it back to be connected with the rest of the world?
- 00:14:25 A short story of sanctions against Iran.
- 00:26:06 How Iranians and the regime in Iran differ? Why is the regime so successful in controlling power?
- 00:32:32 What are great businesses to invest in Iran?
- 00:48:11 How Iran avoided the 'Dutch disease' of big commodity exporters.
- 00:56:08 Is Iran starting to be a new part of an 'Axis power'? Will this hamper the participation of outside investors in the Iranian market?
Maciej Wojtal is the founder and CIO of Amtelon Capital which is focused on investing in Iranian equities. Maciej has worked with Citigroup and JP Morgan before running his own fund.
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- 00:00:23 How did Jared's path from Lehman Brothers to Internet personality develop?
- 00:05:06 How did the finance industry develop during the last 20 years?
- 00:08:18 Jared's experience on writing a novel (and how it compares to his other book)?
- 00:11:29 What is Jared's view of the deflation/ inflation debate?
- 00:17:03 Is productivity growth really as low as we assume? What role do stock buybacks play?
- 00:22:01 Is individual risk taking the key to increase productivity growth?
- 00:25:01 What are great areas of investment according to Jared?
- 00:30:01 Will DeFi eradicate banks and most of the financial industry?
- 00:34:01 Is the banking industry a good indicator for the health and competitiveness of an economy?
- 00:38:36 How consistent should financial commentators be?
Jared Dillian is the author of Street Freak: Money and Madness at Lehman Brothers, named one of the top business books of 2011 by Businessweek magazine.
Jared runs The Daily Dirtnap, LLC, which provides daily market commentary and insight to a range of institutional clients.
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- 00:00:33 How Stephen got started in the world of finance and what motivated him to write his latest book.
- 00:10:05 What is the basic premise of Stephen's analysis of financial statements (forensic accounting)?
- 00:21:01 What is the fine line between fraud and creative accounting?
- 00:27:22 What is Stephen's analysis of the Wirecard fraud?
- 00:32:27 How well do the current accounting standards actually work for provide transparency into profits/ losses of banks?
- 00:39:51 Where does all the printed money (from Central Banks) actually go? What is the best option to 'weather the current low growth environment'?
- 00:51:10 How 'money printing' at this huge scale seems to be deflationary instead of inflationary?
Stephen Clapham is a retired hedge fund partner who now trains stock analysts at some of the world's largest and most successful institutional investors. Stephen is also the author of The Smart Money Method: How to pick stocks like a hedge fund pro and hosts his own podcast.
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- 00:00:31 How Mike researched and developed his theory of a market bubble in passive investing/ index investing? Are markets about information or transactions?
- 00:08:01 Is the bubble of investing just a (bigger) change of the NIFTY fifty or the NASDAQ bubble in the 2000's?
- 00:13:53 Does Mike's theory of passive investing predict higher volatility due to the changes in market structure?
- 00:19:22 Is our low productivity growth linked to inefficient capital allocation due to passive investing skewing investments? Is the Fed to blame for the asset bubbles?
- 00:26:57 Is the Fed's own forecast model broken now that markets follow a flow model much more than a valuation model?
- 00:31:01 Is our retirement model the problem or the solution? Is a future crash inevitable? Is the small enterprise dead forever?
- 00:39:13 How should contrarian investors position themselves? How committed can one be to an 'impending bubble'?
- 00:47:45 What is America's contribution to the world? Does China now have the better approach to capitalism? Can we ever come up with companies that do things cheap and better (instead of just better)?
- 00:55:05 Are societal changes solely to blame for changes in productivity growth?
- 01:01:01 Can longevity research (and the ability to live forever) change how the world will grow?
- 01:09:01 Should we always be 'smart investors' or is 'going with the crowd' often better? What are the dilemmas of the contrarian or cataclysmic investor? How do high profile investors deal with this?
- 01:21:10 What other bubbles does Mike see in today's market and how can retail investors trade against such a bubble formation (if they choose to do so)?
- 01:26:48 Will China start a hot war in Asia in the next 15 years? Will trade (and China's trading partners) matter? How is the chess board stacked towards such a war. What are China's incentives?
Mike Green has been a student of markets and market structure for nearly 30 years. Mike works with Simplify to create ETF products that give retail investors an edge. Before that Mike has worked with Logica Capital Advisers and Thiel Macro.
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #100 Mike Green (The gravitational force of passive investing on capital allocation and geopolitics).
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- 00:01:00 How Thaddeus got into philosophy and theology in the first place?
- 00:05:45 How political pluralism should work? Is the US actually pluralistic?
- 00:12:23 Has liberalism built a super structure of metaethics on top of religions. Are religions (too) boxed in by the liberal structure? How has our consciousness already been changed by this structure?
- 00:19:13 Is the treatment of religions and reality comparable? How should philosophy deal with quantum physics?
- 00:30:03 What did postmodernism contribute to the current state of philosophy?
- 00:35:03 What did Friedrich Nietzsche really try to tell us in 'Thus Spoke Zarathustra'? How much of his depression should be attributed Christianity?
- 00:39:03 Why are so many people falling out with active Christianity? Is it connected to the different role of idolatry (the replacement of the divine) between the older Abrahamic religions and the New Testament?
- 00:45:02 What kind of love is the most fulfilling - self-centered or selfless?
- 00:51:02 How does Ayn Rand's philosophy (Objectivism) fit into the high regard that is given to selfless love by philosophers? Is altruism self love or selflessness?
- 00:53:01 Why do we have this endless potential of addiction? Is addiction a coping mechanism for reality? Does it help us reconcile long-term and short-term goals? Is it better than being stuck in place?
- 00:57:34 Is religion a system of societal error correction? Do religions give you better life goals (and free you of addictions). Have religions become too lazy and are not challenged enough? Has postmodernism shown us how uncontested religious ideas are a problem?
- 01:07:13 Is the catholic church a good model for a 'world government'?
Thaddeus Kozinski is a professor of theology and philosophy at the Divine Mercy University. He is the author of Modernity as Apocalypse: Sacred Nihilism and the Counterfeits of Logos and The Political Problem of Religious Pluralism: And Why Philosophers Can't Solve It.
You may watch this episode on Youtube - Thaddeus 'the Catholic' (Pluralism, Liberalism, Postmodernism, Idolatry, World Government).
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- 00:03:30 What regulation should we employ in the financial industry? Does it make us more safe?
- 00:10:57 How Max got into his current career and what he has learned from his interviewees.
- 00:17:01 Is the world going crazy? Is the 'attentionalism' already changing people and is the financial industry a good showcase for this? Is 'career risk' actually the most important part of financial decision making? How should 'risk taking' work in the financial industry?
- 00:27:00 What is the state of financial media? Why is holding up better than other parts of journalism?
- 00:36:01 Which opportunities are available in the finance sector? Are entrepreneurial opportunities in other sectors of the economy really harder to come by than a few decades ago?
- 00:41:16 Will machines take over everything but marketing and sales? Are humans competitive vs. machines in terms of making complex decisions?
- 00:56:16 Will we see the 'rise of independent curators' in the financial industry?
- 01:10:30 Have preferences for earning money changed? Is quality of life more important than high earnings?
- 01:20:11 Will exploring new planets (and the possibilities of discovering assets) change the society on earth forever?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - Max Wiethe (The state of financial industry and financial journalism).
Max Wiethe is an editor and journalist at Real Vision where Max hosts a weekly series of interviews with financial industry heavyweights.
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- 00:00:36 How Julio's entrepreneurial journey started?
- 00:06:29 How do opportunities for entrepreneurs in Africa stack up currently?
- 00:13:45 How knowledge based and digital content businesses are faring in coastal African countries. How staggered access to digital innovations delays opportunities outside of the US.
- 00:20:48 How to find early adopters for your startup? Can you find them in a 'non early adopter market'?
- 00:24:35 What is the 'correct idea' of a risk-taking entrepreneur?
- 00:29:01 How will we get to nine billion brains and innovating entrepreneurs in the future?
- 00:36:34 How will we deal with the enormous amount of 'cultural download'? How difficult is it to identify opportunities?
- 00:40:14 How do we identify and allocate future revenue streams (that look more like TV/film royalties)? How do we stabilize resource allocation for micro entrepreneurship?
- 00:45:01 Why the 'platform economy' is a short term 'trap' for most entrepreneurs. But is it a good intermediate stage?
- 00:54:01 How do we set the right framework and incentive to encourage and foster entrepreneurship (as an example in Mozambique).
- 01:01:01 Is valuation the only USP of an investor? Are secondary variables more important?
- 01:04:01 Is negative or positive motivation the 'better motivation' for creating the desire to 'improve the world'?
- 01:09:10 What are the best countries to invest in in Africa? Do the 'nation states' even matter much?
- 01:16:15 Is Crowdfunding a solution to the funding problem of African startups?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - Julio Maria Muhorro (Tales of Entrepreneurship in Africa).
Julio Maria Muhorro is an entrepreneur and business coach based in Mozambique and South Africa.
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- 00:00:30 How Alexander and his co-author Jan have managed to produce such an enormous (and prophetic) body of written work over the last 20 years
- 00:04:43 What Alexander thinks about postmodernism?
- 00:09:01 What are 'Netocrats'? How is the world changing due to the Internet? Who is ready for the digital future and who is not?
- 00:14:01 What is the future of (representative) democracy and politics in general? What is a 'sensocracy'?
- 00:19:30 How should a 'world government' work? How much subsidiarity will it allow? What role will 'charter cities' play?
- 00:24:15 Will we be able to switch between city state benevolent dictatorships (i.e. will countries/ cities be run like companies) as part of our life?
- 00:27:01 Why was Jesus Christ actually killed & the surprising utility of 'empires'.
- 00:30:42 How our future laws are already emerging throughout Internet.
- 00:34:31 Is competition increasing for companies? Should we react with more collaboration to improve our competitiveness?
- 00:42:31 What role do Internet platforms play? Do they actually have a monopoly?
- 00:45:21 Is marketing as a whole evil? How has it changed over the years and how it is connected to 'attentionalism'? We will abolish advertising soon to protect our 'sacred space'?
- 00:51:01 Why is productivity growth so low? Are we not daring enough? Is the focus on marketing ('useless products') to blame?
- 00:58:43 Why wars (as terrible as they are) are good measures of productivity and ideology.
- 00:59:55 After the 'Death of God' and the 'Death of the Individual' how are we now orient ourselves?
- 01:07:32 Why 'native tribes' don't see a crisis of meaning or depression currently? Why some religions are more static than others.
- 01:11:23 What is our best bet for a future religion? Is it likely to emerge or will we have to live with many parallel truths? Will we see 'weird activism' instead?
- 01:18:11 Why the world will look more like India and Singapore soon?
- 01:24:12 What surprised Alexander the most (compared to his predictions) the within the last 20 years?
- 01:26:58 What will happen in 2038? Will AGI actually emerge by itself?
- 01:31:01 Are we (co-)created by an alien intelligence? Is the multiverse theory useful? Should we investigate spacetime more thoroughly?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #96 Alexander Bard (The philosophy of everything).
Alexander Bard is a musician, author, lecturer, artist, songwriter, music producer, political activist and philosopher.
Alexander is co-author of a number of books incl. Syntheism - Creating God in the Internet Age, The Futurica Trilogy and Digital Libido.
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- 00:00:38 How Imran found his way from Wall Street to teaching option strategies at Options Insight.
- 00:09:42 What retail traders should learn before trading options. Why meme stocks options are such a 'rational choice' right now?
- 00:14:42 Where are the best opportunities for trading options to still have an edge?
- 00:24:45 What is Imran's view on the delation/inflation scenario? Are commodities a good hedge?
- 00:29:35 Why does a 'rational investor' buy negative yielding bonds (or very low yielding bonds) at all considering the inflation risk?
- 00:36:35 Did Softbank successfully manipulate the stock market for mid-tier tech stocks in 2020?
- 00:43:19 Is there a 'low risk' strategy to buy/sell volatility?
- 00:48:56 What are excellent, low risk hedging strategies for a portfolio? Can a option based 'hedge' actually make money?
- 01:03:15 What is the strong relationship between low interest rates and money losing tech companies?
- 01:08:10 Is there are place for 'value investors' left? Why does the investment world basically just 'bet on more free money' instead?
- 01:13:14 What is Imran's strategy to use options trading Bitcoin upside/ downside?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #95 Imran Lakha (How to use option strategies to improve your market edge).
Imran Lakha has been working with Citibank, Bank of America and Credit Suisse trading options. He now teaches options strategies at Options Insight.
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- 00:00:14 The short history of Erik's discovery (and theory) of faster than light speed travel.
- 00:06:20 How Faster Than Light Speed travel would actually work?
- 00:16:20 How much energy would be required for a warp drive propulsion? Is there enough energy in the universe to make faster than light speed travel feasible?
- 00:25:29 Why the 'twin paradox' will be solved with a warp drive?
- 00:32:47 Did Stargate get the 'warp' drive idea right after all?
- 00:39:13 Are Black Holes a form of cosmic pollution left over by 'misconnecting warp drives'?
- 00:44:50 Is time the same for everyone in the universe?
- 00:50:10 What compels us to be pioneers?
- 00:53:05 Do we live in a simulation?
- 01:03:43 What are other 'faster than light' phenomena in the universe?
- 01:14:34 How does 'dark energy/ dark matter' work? What do we know about it?
- 01:25:10 Are there more dimensions than the four we can easily interact with? Does time exist without a conscious observer?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #94 Erik Lentz (How to build an actual warp drive).
Apologies for the sound quality during the first few minutes - it gets much better after the initial five minutes!
Erik Lentz is a Ph.D. physicist and focuses on the theoretical, computational, and experimental aspects of searching for dark matter as well as faster than light travel.
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- 00:00:30 Thomas' experience at Wall Street (including running his own hedge fund and an insider trading investigation while working with Steve Cohen) and why he started his latest firm Hedge Fund Telemetry?
- 00:18:40 How Thomas selects themes and timeframes for his daily newsletter?
- 00:24:25 What Thomas thinks of the crypto bubble?
- 00:35:44 Is deflation or inflation the bigger issue right now? Should low income jobs be made redundant?
- 00:46:32 What it means to be a hedge fund manager? Should we aspire to become a Hedge Fund managers? How hedge funds prop up nascent 'strategy managers'?
- 01:05:02 Why and how should retail investors be exposed to as many financial instruments as possible?
- 01:08:02 What fund managers does Thomas admire?
- 01:14:02 What character types does the financial industry attract?
- 01:29:38 Why are negative (or extremely low) yielding bonds of interest to investors?
- 01:36:22 Thomas' secret love for the Grand Tour/ Top Gear shows.
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #93 Thomas Thornton (The past, present and future of Hedge Funds).
Thomas Thornton is a former portfolio manager, senior trader, and technical analyst with Level Global Investors and Galileo Capital. Thomas is writing a daily investment newsletter at Hedge Fund Telemetry.
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- 00:00:30 How did Peter get started studying intelligence and how he envisions computers and AI should become more intelligent?
- 00:06:31 What better approach can we take to build a thinking machine?
- 00:12:18 When will we have machines that can build and improve themselves?
- 00:16:50 How will the third wave of AI look like?
- 00:19:06 Is GPT-3 like magic or is it a failure?
- 00:21:06 Will we need to create a 'Free Will' to create an intelligence machine?
- 00:34:10 How self awareness and abstract concepts are a necessary predecessor to real intelligence?
- 00:39:49 Is overly logical thinking a hindrance in modelling 'social functions' in computers?
- 00:45:41 Can 'real intelligence' be an emergent property of 'dumber algorithms'?
- 00:49:09 How aigo.ai is creating a chatbot with a brain?
- 00:59:03 How does aigo.ai learn from customer interactions?
- 01:12:15 Will we all live the lifes of kings soon? What abundance can we expect from the Singularity?
- 01:21:15 How much money should be allocated 'Third Wave AI'?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - # 92 Peter Voss (How and when will we build really intelligent machines?).
Peter Voss is a serial entrepreneur and currently runs aigo.ai. The company implements a 'Third Wave of AI' with deep understanding of natural language, have short- and long-term memory, learn interactively, use context, and are able to reason and hold meaningful ongoing conversations.
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- 00:01:00 What is Convexity and how does it express itself?
- 00:02:59 Why startup founders usually enjoy positive convexity. Why bonds often come with negative convexity?
- 00:08:33 Why taking a flat fee is a good idea for money management?
- 00:14:03 Did Softbank create a 'Gamma Melt-up' buying an extraordinary amount of call options in 2020?
- 00:21:45 How to profit from increased interest rates? How to open up the upside without taking all the downside?
- 00:32:14 How the time horizon of investments has shrunk so much?
- 00:34:10 What is the state of productive carry-trades on right now? Should people look at Turkey, Mexico or Brazil?
- 00:37:43 What is ISDA and why it offers amazing way for financial contracts unavailable to retail investors.
- 00:42:59 How can retail investor get exposure to CDS (Credit Default Swaps) options through Simplify?
- 00:47:45 How big is a structural risk for a 'risk drawdown event'?
- 00:58:51 Will the Fed be able to inflate out of the current deflationary scenario?
- 01:00:17 Will the rapid rise of technology allow us to grow out of the high debt level (just after WWII)?
- 01:03:12 How much are growth rates influenced by social and political attitudes?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #91 Harley Bassman (How to become a Convexity Maven?).
Harley Bassman looks back at a checkered career of 35+ years at Wall Street and also runs Convexity Maven. Harley currently works with Simplify.
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00:00:23 How Esther got started working on the intersection between mind and body and healthy living? 00:13:32 What impact Ether’s research has on the ability to improve living conditions with autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. Are we getting to few germs and viruses so that our immune system turns on ourselves? 00:21:11 How stress and our environment impacts our body and mind and how we can model it. 00:28:01 How do we identify environments that makes us calm? Why is a view of nature seen as a ‘paradise’ universally? 00:37:13 How chronic stress impacts us? Why do right amount of stress response is so important to function? 00:40:00 What is the differential between an average performance and a properly stressed (healthy stressed) individual? 00:54:33 How does chronic stress impact life expectancy and ‘chromosomal aging’? and much more!
Esther Sternberg, MD, is internationally recognized for her discoveries in brain-immune interactions and the effects of the brain’s stress response on health: the science of the mind-body interaction. Dr. Sternberg is a Professor of Medicine in the University of Arizona College of Medicine.
She is the author of several books including Healing Spaces: the Science of Place and Well-being as well as The Balance Within: The Science Connecting Health and Emotions.
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00:00:34 What drove Bill to start minds.com back in 2011? Why minds.com is fundamentally different than other social networks? 00:07:31 Why did the ‘legacy’ social networks get so big? 00:11:22 Is there a better engagement algorithm? How ‘manipulative’ is the current engagement algorithm? 00:14:20 Why social networks all have such a similar business model and why they all struggle to keep you on the site (through emotional manipulation). 00:18:15 Are conservative media outlets really at an disadvantage on social media platforms? Why some make it and some don’t? 00:23:01 Is banning ‘offensive accounts’ by Facebook/ Twitter a good business decision? 00:29:48 How does minds.com run their backend? Can they easily be shut down by one cloud provider? 00:34:35 Could you run a whole website based on ‘blockchain web services’? 00:37:50 What should be the content moderation policy of a free speech social network like minds.com? Should ‘hate speech’ be a bannable offense? 00:52:06 Will we continue to put ‘social layers of separation’ between us? 01:02:46 Why are we all still on Facebook if we feel it is so bad for society?
Bill Ottman is the CEO and co-founder at Minds.
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- 00:00:34 What drove Joe to research and write his latest book - The WEIRDest People in the World and what it suggests about the timeline of human development
- 00:08:10 What made us these WEIRD people? Why and how did the nuclear family emerge? How did marriage rules contribute to this? How did public markets evolve to support the growth of WEIRD people?
- 00:13:46 What role did the Catholic Church contribute to the rise of the WEIRD people? How did the Orthodox Church help develop a similar approach?
- 00:17:16 How early Christianity spread mostly through women in urban areas.
- 00:20:10 What actually drives the dialectic between pleasure and moral behavior? How are religions modifying our behavior to cooperate more and behave 'less sinful'?
- 00:25:59 Is Jared Diamond (Guns, Germs, and Steel) right? Did we (the West) simply get lucky?
- 00:30:31 What should we keep in mind if we set up a new society from scratch?
- 00:34:47 What role should institutions play in a cultural development? Can they define the 'ought' but can they leave the 'how' open?
- 00:38:35 Why did other religions not copy the successful innovations of the Catholic Church? Is religion developing in a similar way of 'creative destruction'?
- 00:44:10 Does more people (with diverse backgrounds) in the same space produce the most productivity?
- 00:49:29 Is our declining birth rate a bug or feature? Doesn't it slow down or rate of innovation greatly?
- 00:52:45 What roles does polygamy and religion have in the birth rate?
- 00:59:01 is freedom a central part of a success of a civilization?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - Joe Henrich (WEIRD people and what drives a culture's success?).
Joe Henrich is a professor of human evolutionary biology at Harvard University (and formerly a professor of psychology and economics at the University of British Columbia).
He is particularly interested in the question of how humans evolved from "being a relatively unremarkable primate a few million years ago to the most successful species on the globe", and how culture shaped our species' genetic evolution.
His latest book is now available on Amazon - The WEIRDest People in the World: How the West Became Psychologically Peculiar and Particularly Prosperous.
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- 00:00:35 How Jeff got started with Amazon Web Services in the place and how innovation has been moving along briskly with Amazon AWS.
- 00:06:15 How did it feel to promise an Internet File System and promise not to loose any data? How does AWS deal internally with failure and downtime?
- 00:11:24 How did Amazon add so much transparency to their IT department?
- 00:15:46 How did EC2 get so good so quickly between 2006 - 2011?
- 00:19:35 Why Amazon AWS works without any free support for customers. Why does support cost extra?
- 00:22:25 Where is the biggest growth and excitement with AWS right now?
- 00:24:06 Why is traffic and core CPU so much more expensive with AWS (up to 1,000 times more).
- 00:29:59 How does AWS Activate work and how does AWS support start-ups with free credits (up to one million dollars!)?
- 00:41:26 What is Jeff's prediction how the cloud will develop in the next 10 years?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - Jeff Barr (The amazing story of Amazon Web Services).
Jeff Barr is the Chief Evangelist for Amazon Web Services (AWS) and has been its chief promoter since 2004.
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- 00:00:36 What great investors does Marc admire?
- 00:05:20 Why the world's policy to print money (in Japan, Europe and the US now) is misguided and prohibits innovation?
- 00:13:32 Is the 'socialist utopia' upon us? What will happen to inflation? Why do we need a 'Central Bank' in the first place?
- 00:23:48 Will we be able to escape the current malaise with exponential technology growth?
- 00:28:45 Is there a 'revolutionary period' on the horizon?
- 00:35:01 Will we see a massive bank failure like Lehman Brothers again?
- 00:42:33 How China got so successful relative to the US and Western Europe? Will these powers clash in the foreseeable future?
- 00:53:42 Is America's influence in the world a positive or negative force? Why it should lead more by example.
Marc Faber is the publisher of the GLOOM BOOM & DOOM report and is a world famous investor known for his 'contrarian' investment approach.
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #86 Marc Faber (Gloom Boom & Doom).
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00:00:35 How Matthew got started in the video game industry? 00:03:58 How the video game industry has evolved since Matthew started? 00:15:43 How video game studios elect plans for a new game? 00:21:06 How much revenue is there in video games really? Is the demographics of users changing? 00:30:23 Given the addictive potential of video games – should we emphasize the skills users learn from video games more? 00:53:49 Will we live in an ‘all simulated’ world? Is that a good or bad thing?
Matthew Karch is the CEO and co-founder of Saber Interactive (now part of Embracer).
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- 00:00:14 The origin story of Ecademy - the original social network for business.
- 00:05:19 How social networks helped us get more connected but also made us more lonely at the same time. How can we find real trust and intimacy?
- 00:12:03 How the way we 'make connections' has changed so much. Is Clubhouse a good tool to improve on that?
- 00:16:06 What Social Media could have been? What went wrong in the last 10 years?
- 00:28:28 What 'free energy' and 'free software and hardware' will change the marketplace.
- 00:34:13 How a few 'bad actors' have hacked the Twitter and Facebook algorithm.
- 00:42:53 Is loneliness a 'treatable side effect' of how we encounter our new 'social normal'?
- 00:48:01 How our life's got easier but lonelier voluntarily. Is it all related to the changes in the Facebook algorithm in 2014?
- 00:59:22 Why 'all the upside' of my life came from an Internet?! Would Nietzsche have been a more positive person with the Internet?
- 01:10:52 Hear Thomas' take on the 'Fermi paradox'.
Thomas Power is a serial entrepreneur and independent Board Director based in the United Kingdom.
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #84 Thomas Power (The Power of Social Networks).
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- 00:00:25 How Jesse has redefined 'value investing' for himself?
- 00:04:20 How momentum and trend investing has become so strong? Are contrarian investors able to tae advantage of the short cycles?
- 00:07:43 Is the 'Fed put' real? Can we slowly depreciate out of the current mania?
- 00:12:01 Are inflation expectations really rising? Is asset allocation broken?
- 00:28:10 Is energy a good investment short term / long term?
- 00:31:52 How Jesse deals with finding a catalyst for his investments?
- 00:37:12 Jesse's take on crypto currencies? Will a crypto mania create real economic growth?
- 00:47:13 How does the financial industry cope with the enormous amount of disruption? Have hedge funds outsourced their thinking to algorithms?
- 00:59:30 How humans will have to adopt to increasing complexity to stay ahead of AI in the financial industry?
- 01:01:32 Are 'Hedge Funds' still able to build 'money machines'?
- 01:08:32 Will the dollar as the reserve currency survive the next 20 years?
You may watch this episode in Youtube - #83 Jesse Felder (The state of the US economic malaise).
Jesse Felder publishes the The Felder Report and also hosts and produces the Superinvestors and the Art of Worldly Wisdom podcast.
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- 00:01:20 How Stefan's journey to 193 countries unfolded.
- 00:03:31 How 'Every Passport Stamp' provided unique advice to cross borders into countries that rarely get any visitors. What are some of the shortcuts to get into countries that make that really hard?
- 00:23:04 What are we really seeking when we travel?
- 00:27:13 Stefan's journey into the Chinese language? What he learned about China and the government?
- 00:52:33 What is Stefan's take on slow or fast travel?
- 00:58:18 Stefan's list of favorite places and trips?
- 01:14:48 What Mighty Travels Premium does and where the best departure airports for airfare deals are currently?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - # 82 Stefan Krasowski (The Rapid Chai Travel to 193 countries).
Stefan Krasowski is a public speaker, blogger at Rapid Travel Chai, and founder of Every Passport Stamp, the leading Facebook group for country collectors.
Stefan has traveled to every country in the world and is a member of the Circumnavigators Club and on the Board of Directors of the Travelers’ Century Club.
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- 00:01:34 What are the most vivid memories Jack has from his time at the CIA?
- 00:10:32 What Jack thinks of James Bond?
- 00:13:56 What is the actual toolset of the CIA? What powers can it actually use?
- 00:17:54 How dangerous is working for the CIA really?
- 00:23:43 What makes a good spy?
- 00:25:04 Why is Russia such an 'underrated enemy'?
- 00:31:23 What are the US capabilities in Cyber?
- 00:43:02 What will the next global struggle of superpowers be about?
- 00:49:01 Can we bring in one billion new Americans?
- 00:56:23 What are the roles of current US alliances? Will Europeans be able to defend themselves in a global conflict?
- 00:59:45 What is the best use of Covert Operations run by the CIA?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #81 Jack Devine (The Russian threat and the role of the CIA).
Jack Devine is a former Acting Director and Associate Director of the CIA's operations outside the United States and he spent 32 years in the CIA.
Jack Devine wrote a book about his experience in the CIA - Good Hunting and recently published a second book - Spymasters Prism.
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- 00:01:20 The genesis of the Loop device as an idea and business.
- 00:07:07 Why Loop considers itself much more a software than a hardware company?
- 00:10:56 Is hardware development going the way of software - make it once and sell it almost an unlimited time? How does one get started with developing hardware in China?
- 00:24:24 Is complexity the domain of humans? Will everything else be taken over by AI? Should everything in life be free? Is technology already delivering on this? Is work completely optional?
- 00:38:16 Are we not daring enough in the startup industry? Why did we give up on the sci-fi dreams of the 1960s and 1970s.
- 00:43:14 Is regulation and politics the real hindrance to innovation? Why do people go into extreme memes?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #80 Brian Gannon (How software is eating the Hardware industry & what's wrong with innovation).
Brian Gannon is the CEO of Loop - the easiest way to stay connected with your family. Before starting his own business Brian worked with Maxim at their hardware video acceleration unit.
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- 00:02:51 How Eric set out to write entertaining books about serious subjects.
- 00:07:53 What Eric learned from Henry Miller and Ernest Hemingway? How much of an influence is travel for his discoveries?
- 00:14:11 Has Eric found a way to recreate clusters of geniuses in his journeys?
- 00:29:55 Why are philosophers from the last few hundred years so miserable? Is pondering about the 'Big Questions' risky and it makes it harder to enjoy life?
- 00:40:24 Why philosophy is so hard to scale?
- 00:50:37 What happened to journalism? Will the 'good journalism' ever come back and be sustained?
- 01:17:18 Why do some cultures developed differently and more than others?
- 01:31:15 Is philosophy actually the science of realizing we are in a simulation?
- 01:33:54 What is Eric's next book about?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #79 Eric Weiner (One man's fascinating search for happiness, genius and wisdom through philosophy).
Eric Weiner is a former foreign corespondent and New York Times journalist and is the author of several best selling book incl. Man Seeks God, The Geography of Bliss, The Geography of Genius and The Socrates Express.
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- 00:03:37 Why the Middle East seems 'excel at conflict' the last 70 years?
- 00:14:03 How America managed to avoid ethnic strife (unlike the Middle East)?
- 00:18:02 What is actually happening in Syria? What conflicts predates the war? How does ISIS fit into the Syrian War?
- 00:33:33 Why the major world powers abuse the Syrian conflict as a proxy conflict? What does Russia in particular want?
- 01:00:00 How can we rebuild Syria? Should we abolish sanctions? Do we need a new Marshall Plan for Syria?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #78 Joshua Landis (A deep dive into the Syrian conflict).
Joshua Landis is the Director of the Center for Middle East Studies and an Associate Professor at the University of Oklahoma.
Read Joshua's opinions on his blog or follow him on Twitter @joshua_landis.
Apologies for my terrible audio in this episode. Joshua's excellent audio and video makes up for that - I hope!
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- 00:04:01 How Dubai feels during the Ramadan?
- 00:08:37 Why Dubai now gives citizenship to foreigners and allows companies to own real estate and corporations now?
- 00:16:29 Why Dubai's regulations seem to actually help businesses and individuals instead of hampering progress constantly?
- 00:24:41 Why (the talk about) socialism is so popular in the US and how it contrasts with Dubai?
- 00:33:03 How Dubai's social norms are liberalizing right now? Is the 'Islamic enlightenment' happing in Dubai right now?
- 00:48:32 How Dubai handled COVID.
- 01:01:22 How Dubai is developing a business case for vaccinations.
- 01:10:10 Has the world caught another virus of low productivity growth? How did it start? Is Dubai a place that can teach us to grow quicker?
You may view this episode on Youtube - Pablo Fetter (Dubai's economic success story, Islam's enlightenment, the art of killing a virus).
Pablo Fetter is an engineer, investment professional and education entrepreneur. Pablo's been a globetrotter all his life and calls Europe, South America, Asia and the Middle East his home.
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- 00:03:00 How should we act when we find other conscious life? How should we settle other planets?
- 00:09:01 Is there a cosmic cross pollination process?
- 00:11:01 Why are images of alien space ships always so grainy? Is there already an alien base on Mars?
- 00:14:02 Did Aliens come to earth and upgrade us over time? Does time run differently in different parts of the universe?
- 00:20:46 Do we live in a simulation?
- 00:30:23 Should we all read a lot of science fiction? Why it is like a mind lab.
- 00:37:34 How would life on Mars look like?
- 00:50:08 How will we cope with increasing technological change? Will it keep accelerating?
- 01:01:19 What is Caitlin's solution for the 'Fermi Paradox'?
- 01:15:16 Are we being 'indoctrinated by our past'?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - Caitlin McShea (Aliens, the Universe, Cosmic simulations & more).
Caitlin McShea is the director of the Santa Fe Institute’s InterPlanetary Project & host of the Alien Crash Site podcast.
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- 00:01:36 How Robert's love for Mars and space got started?
- 00:03:36 Why Robert's proposal to explore Mars was so different than other ideas? His experience pitching a Mars landing to NASA.
- 00:10:49 How Robert and Elon Musk discovered their joint interest for space exploration?
- 00:14:30 The beauty of Starship and why it can enable the settlement of Mars?
- 00:19:04 What was so interesting about the Orion spacecraft and the Mayflower concept?
- 00:22:57 What are popular appearances of a Mars colonization? When will we have a Mars base?
- 00:26:30 What role will geopolitics play in colonizing Mars?
- 00:28:44 What is the 'business model' for extended space exploration?
- 00:37:03 Is the radiation dosage a problem when colonizing Mars?
- 00:39:30 How can we terraform Mars? How long will that take?
- 00:43:08 What are the biggest open issues for colonizing Mars?
- 00:45:33 What sort of 'political regime' should rule Mars?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #75 Robert Zubrin (The Case for colonizing Mars).
Robert Zubrin is an aerospace engineer, author, and advocate for human exploration of Mars. He is the author of several books incl. The Case for Mars: The Plan to Settle the Red Planet and Why We Must and The Case for Space.
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- 00:01:46 The genesis of Neyborly and its business model.
- 00:11:41 Is 'commercial real estate' in a secular crisis? What are the reasons for that? Is it (still) to expensive?
- 00:21:44 How did Neyborly fix the issue of long-term liabilities and short term income (that almost killed WeWork)?
- 00:29:18 How did Neyborly solve the hard part of multi local marketing?
- 00:42:03 How Neyborly is fostering a real community? Why is building a community so hard?
- 00:53:22 Did COVID and the tech industry change how people interact with each other.
- 01:04:29 Why an honest, rational debate of political topics is so hard in the Bay Area (and beyond)?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #74 Ben Seidl (How to rebuild a friendlier 'Third Place'?).
Ben Seidel is the co-founder of Neyborly. He's on a mission to build a network of gathering hubs using under-utilized, urban real-estate.
- 00:01:45 The genesis of Ben's career as an entrepreneur and venture investor
- 00:18:57 Are valuations too high for seed stage Venture Capital rounds right now?
- 00:28:40 What are Ben's best investments right now and what investments is Ben looking for?
- 00:34:53 Is there a better way for entrepreneurs to match with a VC? What should they look for?
- 00:44:59 How ben honed his skill at instant 'lie detection'?
- 01:04:28 Can science fiction be an investment guide? What are Ben's favorite science fiction books?
- 01:14:22 Will AI be a huge investment theme? Or is just a hype?
- 01:27:22 Will we go to Mars? Is it a good idea?
- 01:40:12 Is our inbuilt pioneering spirit rational? Will it pay off?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #73 Ben Narasin (What makes a smart venture investor and how to find one).
Ben Narasin is a Venture Partner at NEA and early-stage investor and former entrepreneur. Ben loves hearing your investment video pitch for his upcoming seed fund at Pitch Ben.
- 00:02:08 How Jeff's journey to teaching entrepreneurship got started? How does he define entrepreneurship?
- 00:12:02 Why it is crucial to emphasize risk taking in our society.
- 00:18:48 Are the opportunities for entrepreneurs diminished? Is it the millennials' generation 'fault' or is it the way we have run the economy? Is the 'coddling of the American mind' the problem?
- 00:28:52 Is venture investment really such a positive force in risk taking in society? Has the nature of businesses changed? Are they more 'sales driven' than ever?
- 00:39:52 Is there an entrepreneurial gene? Can we all be entrepreneurs?
- 00:45:33 How is entrepreneurship related to religion? Can we extract meta rules out of religions? Why is entrepreneurship not equally distributed globally?
- 01:11:59 How has entrepreneurship evolved over the millenia? Which countries do the best job at fostering entrepreneurship currently?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #72 Jeff Cornwall (Why and how we need to foster entrepreneurship).
Jeff Cornwall is a Professor of Entrepreneurship at Belmont University. He also runs the Entrepreneurial Mind blog. He has authored nine books on entrepreneurship and was named the National Entrepreneurship Educator of the Year.
- 00:10:12 Why Europe chooses to be a late adopter (rather than an early adopter)?
- 00:16:19 Are cryptocurrencies and the blockchain a threat to traditional banks?
- 00:22:46 What impact will cheap/free education have on the world?
- 00:30:12 Why India seems to be eternally high on potential but low on promises kept.
- 00:38:02 The role of Hinduism and the caste system in India.
- 00:57:15 What is the impact of the Bengali Renaissance on India and the world?
- 01:10:03 What is the best way to protect minorities in a democracy?
- 01:13:19 Do zero percent interest rates mean we have given up on economic growth?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #71 Prabhu Guptara (Hinduism, India, the world's monetary system).
Prabhu Guptara was for many years Executive Director at WOLFSBERG – The Platform for Executive and Business Development (a subsidiary of UBS). Prabhu Guptara specializes in exploring the impact which technology has on business companies as well as on societies around the world.
- 00:01:34 We were expecting the information and we got the enragement age. What Edward thinks of our Social Media landscape?
- 00:09:02 What are surprising 'revenge effects' of technology in recent history?
- 00:14:28 How close were the Romans in developing the steam engine? What impact do social developments have on our progress?
- 00:23:23 What impact does technology alone have on innovation?
- 00:27:10 Are information overload and increasing specialization two sides of the same coin?
- 00:39:36 Will we see the return of the heroic projects (like the Suez canal)?
- 00:56:35 Why did the communist innovation of the '5-Year-Plan' succeed?
- 01:09:25 What will happen when the 'Rise of the Machines' starts?
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You may also watch this episode on Youtube - #70 Edward Tenner (The surprising relation between technology and societal changes).
Edward Tenner is an independent writer, speaker, and consultant on technology and culture incl. The Future of Unintended Consequences. His latest book The Efficiency Paradox: What Big Data Can't Do is now available on Amazon.
- 00:01:43 How Systems2 discovered a world of alternate data and how financial data companies in this space operate?
- 00:12:23 Can there be a profitable Open Source investment community?
- 00:25:53 How much time is spent developing algorithms or cleaning datasets in Matei's work?
- 00:34:11 What are surprising and low cost datasets one can acquire?
- 00:44:20 How good are predictions for actions of individuals today? Does Facebook and Google know everything about us?
- 00:58:20 Why antagonism is a great way to learn about your strength?
- And much more!
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #68 Matei Zatreanu (How alternative data is changing the world of finance?).
Matei Zatreanu is a quant, investor and entrepreneur and now heads System2.
- 00:01:53 What drove Jim to start the Ice Warrior project where he trains polar explorers.
- 00:09:16 How training for the Ice Warrior project actually works?
- 00:15:21 What sort of personalities typically succeed when Jim runs them through his Arctic training exercises?
- 00:25:30 The amazing logistics of Jim's polar expeditions.
- 00:35:30 Can you drive to the North Pole? What is the difference between the 'Magnetic Pole' and the real 'North Pole'?
- 00:40:06 Did Jim or an Ice Warrior member ever come close to loosing their life?
- 00:50:01 What role your metabolism plays in staying warm in extreme conditions?
- 00:58:03 Will we ever see Jim exploring the Himalayans?
- 01:06:23 Why do we go for such crazy challenges? Why do we need them?
- 01:16:37 What can we learn from Arctic expeditions that will help us build a Martian society or solve problems we have on earth.
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #68 Jim McNeill (What the Arctic teaches us about humanity).
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Jim McNeill is a former scientist and British polar explorer, presenter and keynote speaker and has created the Ice Warrior Project in 2001. The organization gives "ordinary" people the opportunity to become modern-day polar explorers.
- 00:02:26 What is really the difference between an incubator, accelerator and a seed stage fund? How does FoundersSpace.com work with entrepreneurs?
- 00:07:10 How Steve uses his experiences as a motivational speaker to help startups?
- 00:11:49 Can major innovation ever come from 'Big Corporations'? How should it be done? Should we break up large Internet monopoly companies?
- 00:21:08 Is there a 'mid-stage' funding desert for most startups? Can and should it be addressed?
- 00:26:12 Steve's favorite field(s) of investment right now?
- 00:31:30 Why Steve is so excited about brain computer interface technologies?
- 00:36:13 What does Steve think of the Singularity? What will happen to human jobs and activities?
- 00:56:16 How will we co-existed with intelligent machines?
- 01:04:19 Why wars (and life) resembles a 'winner-takes-all' game?
- 01:12:15 Why Steve became a digital nomad?
- 01:17:31 Why are some many billionaires so unhappy and don't use their leverage for 'the good of the world'? Or is that a myth?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #67 Steve Hoffman (Awesome venture investments, the singularity, being a modern explorer).
Steve Hoffman, or Captain Hoff, is the CEO of Founders Space. He’s a venture investor, serial entrepreneur, and author of several award-winning books including 'Make Elephants Fly' and 'Surviving a Startup'.
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- 00:01:38 What's the current state of consciousness research? Why there is a surprising amount of progress?
- 00:09:10 Is the rise of the Homo Sapiens connected to the changes in consciousness?
- 00:11:43 How does the 'attention schema' work that Michael puts forward?
- 00:15:22 How will machine intelligence adopt consciousness?
- 00:21:28 What will it take to give self-driving cars consciousness?
- 00:27:37 Is consciousness and Free Will an illusion? Does it matter for Prof. Graziano's research?
- 00:40:41 Where do the models for our brain come from? How can we be born with it despite the rather small data size of the DNA?
- 00:45:20 When will brain uploading be possible? Will it be possible at all?
- 00:53:03 What would happen to our consciousness when we multiply it?
- 01:03:03 Is the time speed of time related to our consciousness? What is the neurosciences of time? How can we travel to deep space?
- 01:08:58 Why does the structure of the DNA and computer code so strikingly similar?
- 01:11:11 Does the structure of our consciousness indicate that we are 'living in a simulation'? Is there a real reality?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #66 Michael Graziano (Can we decode consciousness soon?).
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Michael Graziano is a scientist and novelist and currently is professor of Psychology and Neuroscience at Princeton University. Michael is the author of several books including Rethinking Consciousness: A Scientific Theory of Subjective Experience and Consciousness and the Social Brain.
- 00:01:37 Are we headed for deflation/ inflation or stagflation? How does Peter read the tea leaves?
- 00:08:33 Is regulation ultimately to blame for inflation?
- 00:13:57 Is the Federal Reserve to blame for the current crisis?
- 00:23:56 How does 'yield curve' work? Why is it so important?
- 00:30:34 How can we improve government policy (and Federal Reserve policy) to increase economic growth?
- 00:34:43 Can we really withdraw from the policy of 'cheap money' that most other countries in the world follow?
- 00:38:23 Is the European Union monetary regime likely to survive the next 10 years?
- 00:42:02 Will the Singularity jumpstart our productivity growth?
- 00:46:08 Is inflation just a clever federal tax scheme?
- 00:48:40 What countries are the best suited to increase economic growth?
- 00:52:35 Are precious metals up for a great run?
- 00:58:29 What are Peter's favorite investments right now?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #65 Peter Boockvar (Inflation or Deflation/ What should the Fed do?/ Best investments right now).
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Peter Boockvar is the editor of BoockReport.com and is the CIO of Bleakley Advisory.
- 00:03:33 How Mark Burgess started to develop CF Engine.
- 00:11:22 What is the genesis of 'Promise theory'? What problems does it solve?
- 00:30:51 How Mark moved between academic disciplines over the years?
- 00:34:51 What is 'Smart Spacetime'?
- 00:44:29 Does the universe have a direction? What creates that direction?
- 00:55:26 Are emotions necessary for an artificial intelligence?
- 01:07:07 How can a machine memory mimic the human brain?
- 01:16:57 Can 'Promise Theory' be used to describe 'Intelligent Design'?
- 01:32:03 What are 'low hanging fruits' of scientific discovery in the next 20-30 years?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #64 Mark Burgess (CF Engine, Promise Theory, Semantic Spacetime).
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Mark Burgess is the creator of CF Engine. He is widely known for his work on 'Promise theory' and 'Semantic Spacetime'. He has published several books incl. Thinking in Promises: Designing Systems for Cooperation as well as Smart Spacetime: How information challenges our ideas about space, time, and process.
Find more episodes from the Judgment Call Podcast:
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In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Peter Sølling and I talk about:
- 00:01:43 the genesis of Peter's Optimal Altruism project
- 00:15:13 What set of technologies does Peter expect going into the Singularity? And in what order?
- 00:25:01 Have we just lived through a lost decade in technology adoption?
- 00:34:01 How could 'free energy' change life on earth?
- 00:48:49 Does Free Will exist? Will it be affected by the Singularity?
- 01:04:57 The amazing story of the 12th Planet by Zechariah Sitchin and Intelligent Design.
- 01:12:41 Do we live in a simulation?
- 01:32:41 What is creativity and why we need more of it? How do we enable learning based on motivation?
- And much more!
You can watch this episode on - #63 Peter Sølling (Optimal Altruism, Sentience, Our onramp to the Singularity).
Peter Sølling is the Founder of the Optimal Altruism initiative. You can follow Peter on Instagram.
Find more episodes from the Judgment Call Podcast:
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- 00:01:47 How the world has changed since Jim Rogers first published Investment Biker and Adventure Capitalist?
- 00:06:23 Are looking at another stock market crash? When will it happen? Will technology (and productivity growth) be around to save us?
- 00:12:53 Are we headed for a drop of 50-80% in stock prices?
- 00:15:24 Is the Fed responsible for the bubble?
- 00:18:07 Are we headed for inflation or deflation according to Jim? Is the dollar gonna suffer?
- 00:26:26 Is Asia the future? What indicators show us that many countries in Asia are ahead of the US?
- 00:32:53 Is America with one billion citizens a good idea?
- 00:40:55 Jim Rogers' surprising list of favorite countries to invest in.
- and much more!
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #62 Jim Rogers (When is the next crash coming/ Inflation or deflation / Jim's favorite list of countries to invest in right now).
Jim Rogers is an investor and financial commentator based in Singapore. Jim is the author of eight books including the bestselling Adventure Capitalist: The Ultimate Road Trip.
Find more episodes from the Judgment Call Podcast:
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In this episode of he Judgment Call Podcast Jonny Price and I talk about:
- 00:03:38 Why Crowdfunding is so hot right now? Why was the ban on 'consumer financing' in place for almost 100 years?
- 00:11:02 What is the rate of return (IRR) for WeFunder investments? How can you hedge your bets with Crowdfunding?
- 00:24:11 Have we missed out on innovations during the last 20 years because Crowdfunding wasn't available? Will it raise the amount of entrepreneurial activity?
- 00:29:30 Are we in a 'seed stage' accelerator bubble? How does WeFunder compete with startup accelerators? Does Crowdfunding only work if you spend heavily on marketing?
- 00:44:08 Why was kiva.org so successful and why did it stop growing eventually?
- 00:56:08 Why kiva.org re-invented a Business Credit Score and why it withdrew from general interest marketing?
- 01:07:36 How does WeFunder get rid of 'bad actors'?
You can also watch this episode on Youtube - #61 Jonny Price (Wefunder, Crowdfunding, Kiva, Online Marketing).
Jonny Price is the Director of Fundraising at Wefunder, which helps startups and small businesses raise capital through investment crowdfunding. Before that Jonny worked at kiva.org.
Find more episodes from the Judgment Call Podcast:
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In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Steven B. Smith and I talk about:
- 00:02:01 How Steven's latest book about the Virtue of Patriotism has been received? What does patriotism actually mean? Is patriotism just an emotion? Does patriotism imply a sense of superiority?
- 00:16:34 Should we start our own customized virtual countries? Is the nation state outdated and too many assumptions are 'baked into the cake' of the existing nation state?
- 00:33:29 Do we live in the best possible 'political regime'?
- 00:37:23 Is Jean-Jacques Rousseau the original 'father of socialism'? What are the advantages of his thought process and the direct democracy?
- 00:43:23 An origin story of the 'two sides' of the US political system? Are we wasting too many resources in a 'repetitive debate'?
- 00:50:43 Why are we drawn to so many false dichotomies and narratives - especially on a federal level? Are we in a crisis of representative democracy?
- 00:59:10 Is the uptick in the rate of change the reason for the return to authoritarianism? Is an authoritarian regime the 'Venture Capital' of political regimes? Does democracy need more competition?
- 01:11:43 Why has there not been a revolution in the US since 1776?
- 01:18:41 Is the 'falling out with god' the root cause of what happened in the 20th century in Europe? What was the role of Germany during the time?
- 01:25:43 How the approach to (political) philosophy in Germany and East Asia so different.
- 01:31:11 Why WWI changed European politics forever?
You may also watch this episode on Youtube - Steven B. Smith (Patriotism, What makes great political regime, socialism, European powers).
Steven B. Smith has been teaching at Yale since 1984. Steven's lecture series 'Introduction to Political Philosophy' has been viewed 700,000 times on Youtube. Steven also has been a prolific author including Hegel’s Critique of Liberalism , Political Philosophy (2012) and the Modernity and its Discontents .
His newest book "Reclaiming Patriotism in an Age of Extremes" is now available on Amazon.
Find more episodes from the Judgment Call Podcast:
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In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Patricia Fara and I talk about:
- 00:02:05 What was the most important discovery when Patricia wrote her first book about 4,000 years of scientific development.
- 00:07:34 The surprising story how modern capitalism emerged from religion.
- 00:09:35 Is the scientific revolution real? Was is just part of a much bigger ongoing process? Was there a specific event that spawned the 'cult of technology'?
- 00:16:42 Why science is less influenced by certain geniuses but byt a group of individuals making similar discoveries.
- 00:20:06 What is the right confluences between science and religion? Should science innovate in moral terms?
- 00:25:31 Does technology and science follow morals or is it the other way around? Is it 'expensive' to apply 'higher morals' or is it actually making society more productive?
- 00:34:07 Are we really living in the best time ever?
- 00:39:12 Will the age of the Polymath return?
- 00:45:09 How should we structure Basic Research?
- 00:50:53 What did Patrica find when researching Isaac Newton's last 30 years of his life?
- 00:53:45 Is a 'tough childhood' a necessary ingredient for success? What motivates us to take actual risks?
- 01:02:00 Why Isaac Newton diverged from the majority opinion on the 'Holy Trinity'?
- 01:07:01 What will most likely be fields of scientific breakthroughs? Where will they likely happen?
- 01:13:41 Is there an Intelligent Design for life on earth? Is suffering necessary to improve human behavior?
- 01:16:33 How Patricia became the President of the Antiquarian Horological Society. What role does time play and how that changed over time?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - Patricia Fara (What 4,000 years of scientific progress have taught us + Isaac Newton).
Patricia Fara is a historian of science at the University of Cambridge. She has written 12 books so far including her most recent book Life After Gravity: Isaac Newton's London Career. In 2016 she became President of the Antiquarian Horological Society.
Find more episodes from the Judgment Call Podcast:
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In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast - Aubrey de Grey and I talk about:
- 00:02:16 How Aubrey de Grey got into the 'longevity research' in the first place?
- 00:07:01 How Aubrey got the confidence to put a precise year to the 'end of aging'.
- 00:12:01 What were the biggest obstacles to overcome in persuading the public that 'aging can be ended'
- 00:13:30 Was setting up a money price for the extension of the lifespan of mice a good idea?
- 00:21:10 Why the longevity industry is burgeoning at the seams suddenly?
- 00:25:09 Will the benefit of an extended lifespan be equally available to a large part of the population?
- 00:31:01 Once aging is solved will we see a population of 100 billion on earth?
- 00:34:50 How Aubrey envisions life 'past the Singularity'?
- 00:38:30 How will our brains react to aging? Are there any drugs that we can use right now that may delay aging?
- 00:42:01 Is the the FDA to blame for the slow innovation in the healthcare industry? Has COVID changed the regulatory environment?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #58 – Aubrey de Grey (Can we finally reverse aging 'forever'?!).
Aubrey de Grey is the Chief Science Officer of the SENS Research Foundation. He has been an evangelist of longevity research for decades. He is also the author of 'Ending Aging'.
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In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Jeff Brickle and I talk about:
- 00:07:32 Jeff's experience joining the Pentecostal church including the experience of 'speaking in tongues'
- 00:13:25 The role of the 'Holy Ghost'/ 'Holy Spirit' in Christian religion and the Pentecostal church in particular
- 00:24:34 What does it actually mean 'Jesus Christ died for our sins'?
- 00:34:53 How the interpretation of the bible still adjusts to today's understanding
- 00:40:42 The role of John in the New Testament. And how it must have felt to listen to an oral recitation of the biblical verse 2,000 years ago?
- 00:55:30 Jeff's experience teaching in Addis Abeba, Ethiopia as well as Turkey.
- 01:06:07 Is there a crisis of 'organized religion'?
- 01:10:01 Why is religion (and Christianity) so underrepresented on social media?
- 01:13:43 Why did Abrahamic religions spread so quickly? How much of an innovation were they? Are we looking at a new set of religions currently?
- 01:24:24 Are Christinatity (and the viral growth) a unicorn start-up?
- 01:38:15 Why reading the bible is such an inspiring experience that should not be missed out on (irrespective of your religion).
You may also watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #57 – Jeff Brickle (Christianity, Pentecostal Church, Theology).
Jeff Brickle is Professor of Biblical Studies at Urshan Graduate School of Theology. Jeff focuses primarily on the confluence of Johannine Literature with Ancient Media Culture (orality/aurality, sound mapping, memory arts, literary and book culture, performance, spatiality, intertextuality).
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Arnaud Collery and I talk about:
- 00:01:47 How Arnaud already had (full) careers as a leadership coach, inspirational speaker, actor, comedian, investment banker and philosopher at his young age.
- 00:10:26 Why 'walking between worlds' is such a cumbersome endeavor.
- 00:17:01 Why Europeans treat risk taking so much different than the US?
- 00:21:14 How Arnauld defines happiness?
- 00:28:32 Do we need traumatic experiences in our life to find our purpose?
- 00:36:01 Why some of most the most dangerous and violent regions of the world also bring out the most joy in people?
- 00:42:45 Is there a 'happiness gene'?
- 00:49:01 Why we all want to be in 'harmony with nature'? How society deals with a much newly customized ways of life and role models.
- 01:00:01 How Arnauld has hacked Hollywood.
- 01:25:01 How to spark motivation in people? How should we motivate our children?
- 01:36:29 What Arnauld thinks about extreme sports.
You can watch this episode on Youtube - Arnaud Collery (Happiness, Motivation, the life of a modern polymath).
Arnaud Collery has spent 'many lives' as an investment banker, army lieutenant, actor, motivational speaker and stand-up comedian all around the world. He currently builds Humanava.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast George Dyson and I talk about:
- 00:01:45 The Genesis story of George's writing about the history of technology and science.
- 00:07:10 The amazing story of the Orion spacecraft.
- 00:14:50 Is the Big Stagnation real? Are we just measuring our success incorrectly?
- 00:21:30 How much did von Neumann and his contemporaries know about 'giving birth' to intelligent machines at their time?
- 00:26:40 Why is humanity so interested in technology? Are we already doomed?
- 00:36:10 The case for ethical machines. Will machines adopt ethics and religion?
- 00:43:45 How religions deal with limits to technology.
- 00:47:33 Can we all just get along without being innovative? Will we run the risk of an innovative power to sweep us away? Are we in a post-conflict society?
- 00:52:30 Is the hypothesis that we live in a simulation correct?
- 01:11:10 How we are motivated by our fathers and how we emulate them.
- 01:14:52 The history of the allied attacks on German cities of Hamburg and Dresden in WWII.
You may watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #55 – George Dyson (The amazing history of technology).
George Dyson is an author and historian of technology. He is the author of five bestselling books. His newest book is called Analogia : The Emergence of Technology Beyond Programmable Control - it is now available on Amazon.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Charles Veley and I talk about:
- 00:06:43 Is our desire to travel a product of 'Hollywood manipulation' like Indiana Jones and James Bond?
- 00:13:36 Is he desire to travel rooted in escapism?
- 00:18:43 How slow should you travel? How rewarding is country collecting compared to slow travel?
- 00:27:10 How mosttraveledpeople.com counts the places to go to in the world?
- 00:36:33 Why Charles left for a long sea voyage despite a newborn child at home.
- 00:42:21 Charles' philosophy to show children the world.
- 00:47:31 Charles' list of countries that positively surprised him.
- 00:55:29 How expectations change your perception of travel? And why it is so subtle to notice.
- 01:05:29 Is travel burn-out unavoidable? How can we keep the joy alive? Does the motivation to travel have an impact? Do fellow travelers influence us?
- 01:22:10 Has Costa Rica solved the 'dark side' of tourism? How can we solve overcrowding globally?
- and much more!
You may also watch this episode on Youtube - #54 – Charles Veley (The most traveled person in the world).
Charles Veley is a software executive and is currently the most traveled person in the world.
Charles also started and runs the mosttraveledpeople.com online community which is dedicated to help travelers to go to 949 unique places worldwide.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Noel Bagwell and I talk about:
- 00:01:41 Where do political topics and memes come from? How does 'the crowd' select and rank them? Are we being intentionally mis-directed politically?
- 00:10:55 When did the Internet get 'corrupted' from its ideals? What happened to Social Media companies?
- 00:15:30 An ode to psychopaths and sociopaths...
- 00:21:15 The short history of the emphasis on individual freedom in 'the South'.
- 00:26:01 Is the current mental health crisis a product of unrealistic expectations?
- 00:31:20 Are we missing out by not teaching children enough about philosophy and economics?
- 00:35:03 Why is the US politically so much 'on fire' now?
- 00:48:16 Why libertarianism is misguided?
- 00:57:20 What is the new role of religion? How it has changed over time especially in America.
- 01:20:22 How are wisdom and knowledge related?
- 01:32:22 Will working with AI look like following GPS directions?
- and much more!
You may also watch this episode on Youtube - Noel Bagwell (Social Media, Libertarianism, Religion, The Future).
Noel Bagwell, is President and Chief Legal Counsel of Executive Legal Professionals.
Noel runs his own podcast 'Profit from Legal'.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Jane Chen and I talk about:
- 00:02:04 The origin story of Embrace and how many babies have been saved by Jane's work.
- 00:09:35 How much of a role played the sales strategy in starting Embrace? How did that influence the company structure and funding?
- 00:15:35 Why selling in the developing world (and especially India) is so hard for Silicon Valley companies.
- 00:21:19 The challenges of moving and living in India. Why India is such a culture shock.
- 00:31:33 Why you can see so much joy despite the despair in many poor countries and neighborhoods just like India. Where does true happiness come from?
- 00:35:08 Is frustration necessary for learning?
- 00:40:10 How customized should a curriculum be?
- 00:43:11 Will the Singularity come to the Healthcare industry?
- and much more
You may watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #52 – Jane Chen (How to Embrace a warmer future).
Jane Chen is the co-founder of Embrace, a social enterprise startup that aims to help the 15 million premature and low birth-weight babies born every year, through a low-cost infant warmer.
Jane is also a TED speaker and a Young Global Leader of the World Economic Forum.
You may learn more about Jane via her website.
In this episode of the Judgment call Podcast Jim Rutt and I talk about:
- 00:02:10 A look into the distinguished life and career experience of Jim
- 00:14:04 What is GameB all about? What are the main tenets of this new operating system for society?
- 00:21:01 Is GameB setting a limit of the growth of society? Should population size be limited? Why the 'West' need to reduce resource consumption by 80%.
- 00:29:03 How Jim envisions citizens to be enticed by GameB?
- 00:35:10 Why do we see the decline in productivity growth? Is that a sign of the GameA coming to an end?
- 00:43:59 Jim's thoughts on the singularity.
- 00:51:30 What role does and did religion play in human and economic development?
- 01:07:57 What happened to the voice of the Silicon Valley CEOs in the Free Speech Debate? Why wokeism won't overcome the forces of competition.
- 01:21:01 Why the influence of the Frankfurt school has grown so visibly in the last 10-20 years? Why is the draw to socialism to strong lately?
- 01:29:21 Is an America with ONE Billion people a good idea?
- 01:33:13 'America is the best thing that ever happened to the human race'. Who said it?
- 01:38:01 Are we headed for a single global government?
- and much more!
You may also this episode on Youtube - #51 Jim Rutt (Is GameB the new operating system for society?).
Jim Rutt is the former CEO of Network Solutions. The New York Times once referred to him as “the Internet’s bad boy” due to his reputation for creative mischief. He sold Network Solutions at the peak of the Dot Com boom and then went into scientific research. Jim has been affiliated with the Santa Fe Institute since 2002, serving as Chairman from 2009 thru 2012.
Tune into The Jim Rutt Show or follow Jim on Twitter and Medium.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Yaneer Bar-Yam and I talk about:
- 00:02:22 What is the science of complex systems? How does it choose the proper layer of abstraction?
- 00:11:33 What role social media plays in modelling a 'social collective'?
- 00:14:47 Why AI is not helpful modelling the pandemic.
- 00:18:46 Is consciousness just an algorithm? Will it simply emerge if the algorithm is right?
- 00:22:01 Why humanity faces extinction in pandemics unless it organizes collective behavior according to Yaneer Bar-Yam.
- 00:22:15 Is COVID a virus that will stick around just like the flu? Is it different than diseases we suffered through over the millenia?
- 00:30:01 Can we still stop COVID? What would it entail? What role does the vaccine play?
- 00:34:13 Why we need another (real) and hard lockdown to burn out the virus according to Prof. Bar-Yam.
- 00:37:12 What is the exit strategy after a lockdown? Why no country has fully opened up yet (incl. travel restrictions).
- 00:40:00 Why travel bubbles never seem to get started (after being announced).
- 00:45:23 What we should do when a new virus hits? How we potentially stop any new virus?
Prof. Yaneer Bar-Yam is the President of the New England Complex Systems Institute. His recent work quantitatively analyzes the origins and impacts of market crashes, social unrest, ethnic violence, military conflict and pandemics, the structure and dynamics of social networks, as well as the bases of creativity, panic, evolution and altruism.
You can also watch this episode on Youtube - #50 - Yaneer Bar-Yam (Complex Systems and why we need another 'real' lockdown urgently).
He is the author of two books: a textbook Dynamics of Complex Systems, and Making Things Work, which applies complex systems science to solving problems in healthcare, education, systems engineering, international development, and ethnic conflict.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Ric Gazarian and I talk about:
- 00:04:49 Ric's motivation to go to all 193 countries and why he intends to finish the challenge.
- 00:20:01 How Ric experienced Thailand during the last 12 months with almost no tourists. Why it is such a great place (even) for experienced travelers.
- 00:22:01 Ric's surprising recommendation for an affordable, high value, safe country with culinary highlights
- 00:25:03 Why Uzbekistan is such a rewarding place for travelers.
- 00:40:23 How destinations deal with over-tourism and why the 'best places' remain in flux.
- 00:48:01 How Ric prepares and deals with potential dangerous situations in his travels.
- 01:04:21 Why the epic drive from Yakutsk to Magadan is so tempting.
- 01:08:21 Can we predict which individual will become an explorer?
- 01:10:01 How Ric got into making travel movies.
You may watch this episode on Youtube - #49 - Ric Gazarian (Why 'extreme traveler status' is worth chasing).
Ric Gazarian is the host of Counting Countries. He is the author of three books: Hit The Road: India, 7000 KM To Go, and Photos From Chernobyl. He is the producer of two travel documentaries: Hit The Road: India and Hit The Road: Cambodia. Ric is also on his own quest to visit every country in the world. You can see where he has traveled so far and keep up with his journey at GlobalGaz.com.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Blaise Aguera y Arcas and I talk about:
- What inspired Blaisee to work so close to the 'bleeding edge' of innovation and technology for so many years
- Is the missing 'explainability' of AI really a problem?
- Why the complexity of languages (and it's efficiency) is underrated?
- The impact of the 'surveillance economy' on customer perception - will it stay a 'cat and mouse game'?
- Why the protection of our privacy is "required for survival"?
- How much of an advance will GPT-5 be? Will we become 'data slaves' to AI?
- Is there room for 'personal opinions' with AIs? Will AI optimize for 'survival'? Does humanity even 'optimize for survival'?
- Why 'developed countries' have such low rates of fertility compared to 'developing countries'?
- Is 'utility' as a concept really at the core of 'How the world works'?
- Should we fear AI overlords? Or should we embrace them?
- Is 'Free Will' a useful illusion? Is empathy a necessary precursor to consciousness?
- What is the relationship between religion and AI?
You may watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #48 - Blaise Aguera y Arcas (Artificial Intelligence, Free Will and Consciousness plus Religion).
Blaise is a software engineer, software architect, and designer. His TED presentations have been rated some of TED's 'most jaw-dropping.'
After working with Microsoft for seven years he now heads Cerebra, a Google Research organization.
In this episode Boris Kester and I talk about:
- What inspired Boris to travel to all 193 countries in the world?
- What is Boris' recommendation about a great (and easily accessible) countries in Africa and Asia to travel to?
- How likely is it to get into a dangerous situation when traveling to so many 'unknown' countries?
- How Boris goes about planning his amazing trips.
- Why Madagascar is such a fascinating country.
- Will technology make travel virtual? How is technology changing travel?
- Why do we travel? Does travel make you a better person?
- Where does wisdom come from?
You can also watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #47 - Boris Kester (What traveling to all 193 countries teaches you about humanity).
Boris Kester has traveled to all UN-recognized 193 different countries. Boris maintains an amazing collection of trip reports and photos on his website traveladventures.org from his journeys. In his other life Boris works as a Senior Purser at KLM Dutch Airlines.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Patrick Smith and I talk about:
- Patrick's scariest experiences flying planes for 30+ years.
- Why is the B737 MAX a flawed plane?
- Why innovation is stuck in the airline/airframe industry?
- How the airline industry will look like post-COVID?
- Patrick's favorite airlines and places in the world.
- Why tourism has been on such a 'dark trail' before COVID happened?
- and much more!
You may also watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #46 - Patrick Smith (Where's the innovation in the airline industry?).
Patrick Smith is an airline pilot, air travel blogger and author. Patrick is the author of 'Ask the pilot' and 'Cockpit Confidential' - both available now on Amazon.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Herbert Blank and I talk about:
- Why ETFs are surprisingly similar to Mutual Funds? And why they are a great tool for retail investors.
- Does ETF trading skew the price in the close auction of public markets? How do Hedge Funds take advantage of it?
- Why the market for 'alternative data' is so hot right now? And why 'curve fitting' is an increasing problem.
- Why 'value investing' is in trouble?
- Why ETFs are intrinsically better at rebalancing your portfolio than most investors?
- and much more!
You may watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #45 – Herbert Blank (A deep dive into ETFs and alternative data).
Herbert Blank works at Global Finesse and has been a 'quant' for decades. He was als involved into the launch of iShares and the launch of the GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) ETF.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Bernard Moon and I talk about:
- What is the right amount of co-founders and how can you validate if a co-founder is a great fit? Is a seasoned entrepreneur or college drop-out the better choice?
- How SparkLabs Global Ventures found success investing in companies in Asia (especially in South Korea and Australia).
- Is attention more important than money as a startup?
- What influence does religion have on entrepreneurship?
- Are we in a simulation (and Bernard's surprising answer!)
- How to do Basic Research right.
- and much more!
You can watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #44 – Bernard Moon (Accelerator Investing gone global).
Bernard Moon is the co-founder & Partner at SparkLabs Group, which is a network of accelerators and venture capital funds that has invested in over 300 companies across 6 continents since 2013.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Melissa Hui and I talk about:
- How 'depression culture' took over our cities.
- Does money make you happy? Why are poor countries seemingly so much happier?
- Why we think of technology as our new 'hyper-religion'?
- Where do we come from and are we in a simulation?
- Is 'free will' actually real? And why it seems that we imagine it (for our own good)?
- What will education in the near future look like? How can we overcome laziness?
- How the modern state (and religions) institute the 'self improvement lifecycle of humans'.
- Why the unequal distribution of motivation is leading to outsized gains with modern technology.
- Can we trace the current depression back to the extreme deflation of 'Likes' when Facebook started to change how they give out 'Likes'?
- How Melissa discovered a crisis was in the making before COVID was around.
- and much more!
You can also watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #43 - Melissa Hui (The future of human interaction and learning).
Melissa Hui is an innovation and transformation strategist and she is the founder of context leap.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Erika Armstrong and I talk about:
- Why becoming a pilot is hard and why it may still be a great endeavour despite COVID"
- Why operating a modern airliner is such a great example for the work that will see in many places in the future.
- What are exciting new developments past the COVID crisis?
- What are the secrets of planes landing in 'zero visibility'?
- Is the 'first landing attempt' always free? And what impact do passengers have on pilot decisions in business aviation?
- My personal 'scariest flying story' ever.
- Erika's personal 'conspiracy theory' about MH370.
- How common are drone strikes and laser strikes really?
You can watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #42 - Erika Armstrong (The life of a pilot).
Erika Armstrong is a commercial pilot and aviation professor at MSU Denver. She is also the author of "A chick in the cockpit".
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Simon Anholt and I talk about:
- How Simon has helped dozens of government entities over the years and how it shaped his 'view of the world'?
- How governments and citizens define their 'country mission'? What is a country for exactly?
- What should be the right balance between competition and collaboration between nation states?
- Are humans now being perceived as pieces on a chessboard?
- How manipulated are we currently? And a surprising results of Simon's index building.
- How travel shapes the image of countries (in other people's eyes and yours).
- How Simon got to start a 'virtual nation'.
- Why it is so strange that 'Community Service' is a punishment.
- Where does progress actually come from?
- and much more!
You may watch the episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #41 - Simon Anholt (What makes a good country).
Over the last twenty years, Simon Anholt has advised the Presidents, Prime Ministers, monarchs and governments of nearly sixty countries, cities and regions. Simons's TED talks have amassed millions of views on ted.com and on Youtube. Simon Anholt is the (co)-creator of the Nation Brands Index and the Good Country Index.
Simon has written six books about countries, their images and their role in the world. His latest book, The Good Country Equation: How We Can Repair the World in One Generation is now available on Amazon.
In this episode Marci Powell and I talk about:
- How the COVID crisis revealed how unprepared schools and universities were for online education?
- Why an 'offline copy' of learning won't work online.
- What 'free content' will do to the education industry - especially outside of the US.
- How a modern curriculum should look like? How much customization will it involve?
- Is homeschooling a way to improve schooling and lower cost?
- How we will motivate the children and young adults to learn?
- What role will standardized tests play?
You may watch this episode in 4K resolution on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #40 - Marci Powell (The future of online learning).
Marci Powell is a futurist and public speaker. She has been on the forefront of distance learning for more than 20 years and in 2019 she chaired the U.S. Distance Learning Association (USDLA).
You may reach Marci via LinkedIn.
Apologies for my audio quality during this episode. Thanks to Marci for saving the day!
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Aswath Damodaran and I talk about:
- Why he started putting his lectures online as early as 1997!
- Why Aswath considers academia, journalism and the financial industry ripe for disruption and how Aswath managed to stay 'independent' during his teaching career.
- What is the Equity Risk Premium and why Professor Damodaran is so focused on it?
- Professor Damodaran's view on inflation and interest rates?
- What is source of the low productivity growth in the US? What role did the Federal Reserve in it?
- Will Tesla stay a 'trend stock'?
- Does Uber actually have a 'business model'?
- What is behind the backlash against capitalism?
- What are Professor's Damodaran best investments right now and how do these 'short squeezes' actually work?
- and much more!
You may watch this episode in 4K resolution on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #39 - Aswath Damodaran (Making economic sense of a 'crazy world').
Aswath Damodaran teaches corporate finance and valuation at the Stern School of Business at New York University.
Aswath has won many accolades for his unique ‘no BS’ teaching style and has also earned the moniker 'Dean of Valuation'.
You may reach Professor Aswath via his website.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Heidi Roizen and I talk about:
- Which role Stanford University played in Heid's life personally and how much of a role it has in spawning entrepreneurship.
- Why entrepreneurship is such an important tool to change the world (to the better).
- What are the motivations for entrepreneurship? What skills and values pay off for entrepreneurs?
- Are the public market in a state of irrational exuberance?
- Is the big stagnation is real in entrepreneurship? Have we let go of our own high expectations to improve?
- How the 'baby boomers' have corned the real estate market and why the millennials have trouble following the 'boomer model'?
- Where does Heidi stand in the Miami vs San Francisco debate?
- Do we live in a simulation? Will we be able to upload ourselves into a silicon based lifeform?
- Will we be able to 'rebuild' our ancestors from their DNA?
- Are first time entrepreneurs or 'wise' serial entrepreneurs the better choice?
- How is religion linked to entrepreneurship?
- How would 'free energy' change our life?
Watch this episode in 4K resolution on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #38 - Heidi Roizen (What makes a 'great' entrepreneur?).
Heidi Roizen is a venture capitalist at Threshold Ventures, former entrepreneur and Silicon Valley evangelist. She also actively mentors new entrepreneurs.
You may reach Heidi via LinkedIn.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Amit Mehta and I talk about:
- How the automotive industry is structured (i.e. tiered) and how innovation works in that industry
- Why Electric Vehicles (EVs) are so expensive in the US?
- Will Apple 'corner' the market for Electric Vehicles soon?
- Are autonomous vehicle 'just around the corner'?
- What is the discussion about LIDAR sensors and radar all about?
- What role will AI play in the automotive industry?
- And much more!
You may watch this episode in 4K resolution on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #37 - Amit Mehta (The future of the automotive industry).
Amid Mehta is the Head of Innovation at North American Lighting and host of the Mobility Now Podcast.
You may reach Amit via LinkedIn.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Peter Oncken and I talk about:
- How Peter got to start an airline during COVID
- How Peter got started with his amazing track record of restructuring five airlines in Europe
- Why it is so hard to make money in the airline industry?
- Why low-cost & long haul flying is so hard?
- The amazing success of Wizz Air in Europe?
- Why Peters's newest airline Aero K is starting up in South Korea.
- How Qatar Airways has stealthily become the 'World's Best Airline'?
- Who makes the most money in the aviation industry?
- Will electric aircraft take over soon? What are synthetic fuels?
You can watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #36 - Peter Oncken (How to buy/run and sell an airline anywhere).
Peter Oncken is Managing Partner of INTRO Aviation GmbH. Peter has been buying, restructuring, running and selling airlines for two decades including dba, LTU, Cityjet and Corsair.
You may reach Peter via LinkedIn.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Nick Romeo and I talk about:
- Nick's journey of becoming a journalist and philosopher and what journalism means today in the times of social media?
- Is the criticism of the millenials similar to the 'elders of Athens' criticism of Socrates?
- How much of an education should we expect from an 'average citizen'?
- Is the 'modern state' and religion a good way to improve citizens behavior subtly?
- What Plato's journey to Sicily tell us about the success of Greek asceticism.
- How intense was the exchange between the Israelites and the ancient Greeks? Why were their views on 'laws' so different?
- How are the current and ancient Greece connected?
- an much more!
You may watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #35 - Nick Romeo (The connection between ancient Greece and today).
Nick Romeo is a journalist who writes about science, culture, and ideas for a wide range of publications, including the New Yorker, the Washington Post, National Geographic, Slate, Rolling Stone, Newsweek, The Atlantic, New Republic, The Daily Beast, The MIT Technology Review, The Christian Science Monitor, The Boston Globe, and many others.
You may reach Nick via LinkedIn.
- Why travel is such an important tool for 'World Peace' - really!
- How travel will look like post COVID? How to make it sustainable without creating more 'tourist ghettos'?
- How will airline and hotel loyalty programs emerge from COVID?
- Why Qatar Airways seems to be such an extraordinary airline?
- and much more!
You may watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #34 - Henry Harteveldt -Analysis of the airline and hotel industry.
Henry Harteveldt is often called “the voice of the travel industry”. Henry regularly appears on broadcast media, including Bloomberg, CNN, and CNBC. Top-tier print media, such as The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Associated Press, The New York Times, USA Today, Travel Weekly and Tnooz.
Henry has been an travel industry analyst for more than 14 years, focusing extensively on the airline, lodging/hospitality and cruise sectors. He has published more than 125 research reports during his work at Atmosphere Research.
You may reach Henry via LinkedIn.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast James Willcox and I talk about:
- How James got into travel in the first place and why he started Untamed Borders?
- What is information arbitrage in travel?
- The best and worst of traveling to Afghanistan.
- Why 'post conflict' countries as so rewarding for travelers.
- Does Untamed Borders make use of armed guards for their tours? How does the travel agency manage security on their trips?
- Have there been 'close calls'?
- What are typical clients of an Untamed Borders tour?
- Has 'adventure travel' been getting more difficult?
- How is travel to Somalia like these days?
- What secrets does the Amazon still hold for travelers?
- How travel changed James views on religion?
You can watch this episode in Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #33 - James Wilcox (Travel to the world's most dangerous places).
James Willcox is co-founder of Untamed Borders, a travel agency that can take you safely some of the most dangerous (and most beautiful places) on earth.
James has been an avid traveler for more than a decade and has been traveling to Puntland, Somaliland, Somalia as well as Afghanistan and Pakistan and many more destinations.
You may reach James via LinkedIn.
Apologies for the sound quality of this episode on my side - various improvements are on the way!
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Nick Laqua and I talk about:
- What made Nick venture from Germany to Australia and Hong Kong?
- How Hong Kong struggles to keep its identity after the recent absorption by China.
- How airlines deal with their aging IT infrastructure? And how Cathay Pacific in particular overcame these challenges.
- What role AI will play in the corporate environment.
- Is 'Free Will' real and how AI challenges that belief.
- and much more!
You can watch this episode on Youtube - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #32 Nick Laqua (Hong Kong, IT enterprise architecture).
Nick Laqua is a technologist and specializes in IT enterprise architecture. After heading a team to change the enterprise architecture of Cathay Pacific he now works at Mox Bank Hong Kong.
You can reach Nick via LinkedIn.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Nick Shelton and I talk about:
- Why spamming yourself with marketing newsletters is a good way to start building your personal network.
- Why curiosity is a superpower.
- Why we network less in person?
- Why social networks have changed the distribution of friendships around the world?
- Has COVID changed the world of networking permanently?
- and much more about building friendships and human psychology.
You can watch this episode on Youtube in 4K resolution - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #31 Nick Shelton (How to do networking right).
Nick Shelton is an entrepreneur and author of the book An Introvert's Guide to World Domination: Become a High Level Networker and Upgrade Your Life - now available on Amazon.
You can reach Nick via his LinkedIn page.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Ted Schilowitz and I talk about:
- Is Hollywood missing 'good hacker's?
- Does 'core innovation' or 'commercialization' matter more in technological progress?
- Will Hollywood become a leader in innovation? Does it already provide a 'permissionless environment'?
- What entertainment will the iPhone 2030 edition deliver?
- What is the current state of innovation for 'wearable glasses'? Do they have a 'Newton' or an 'iPhone' moment currently?
- Why did VR not take off (yet)?
- What is the killer app for AR?
- Will Big Tech ever shrink again?
- Are Bitcoin and UBI a great idea? What are good alternatives?
What this episode on Youtube in 4K - The Judgment Call Podcast Episode #30 Ted Schilowitz (The future of the entertainment industry).
Ted started out as a Director and producer of his own films. After that he joined a number of technology companies including RED an innovative producer of high end movie cameras and after working at FOX Studios he is now futurist in residence at Paramount and an evangelist and speaker for the role of innovation in Hollywood.
You may reach Ted on LinkedIn.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Episode Greg Raiz and I talk about:
- How to manage the different timelines and motivations of angel investors, VCs and entrepreneurs?
- How Greg got started with his popular Youtube channel.
- How the 'core value' of entrepreneurship in the USA has changed over time?
- What roles does a platform play for entrepreneurship?
- Is capital less important than attention these days?
- How does risk assessment work for venture investors? And what is Greg's golden rule before asking for money?
- How will the singularity impact our lives?
- Is the 'Big stagnation' real?
- and much more!
You can watch the podcast on Youtube in 4k resolution.
Greg Raiz is the founder of Raizlabs a mobile and web application design and development.
Greg started angel investing in Boston in 2017 and has invested in over a dozen companies to date. His interests are in companies that are improving lives through technology and design. Companies that have a clear vision, mission, team and plan are most interesting.
You may reach Greg via LinkedIn.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Robert Matzkin and I talk about:
- Does surfing make you a better entrepreneur?
- How to avoid ongoing fights between co-founders.
- A better future of education in schools and universities.
- What blended learning might be the future.
- How should we deal with the reduction in equality?
- How we will deal the major new innovations like AI and Quantum computing?
- and much more!
Watch this episode in 4K on Youtube.
Robert Matzkin is a serial entrepreneur and co-founder and CEO of myquest.co. Robert also mentors others entrepreneurs to find a better work and life balance.
You can reach out to Rob via LinkedIn.
In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast Desi-Rae and I talk about:
- How these 'social media bans' actually got started.
- Why 'Big Tech is so powerful' and why it is 'eating politics' right now.
- Is the 'race conflict' and 'gender conflict' and other hot button political issues just narratives that are used to distract citizens?
- How and why did the world go so 'crazy' the last few years?
- Is the overshoot of empathy to blame for the divisiveness of today?
- What are the pros/cons of Black Lives Matter (BLM) and the impact of the movement in summer 2020 in the US.
- Do Desi-Rae's political opinions shape her artwork?
- Is Bitcoin a tool to create a better and more responsible government?
Desi-Rae is a Youtuber, Crypto enthusiast and artist. Desi-Rae started with videos she recorded while driving and she is not worried about touching sensitive topics like Race and IQ, Fascinated and Horrified.
Watch this episode on Youtube in 4K resolution.
You can reach Desi-Rae via Twitter.
In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast Arran Rice and I talk about:
- The spoils of being an entrepreneur and digital nomad
- What drove Arran to become an entrepreneur at the age of 11
- How Arran used Digital Marketing to scale his businesses
- Arran's view on the travel industry and the current crisis
- What Arran's current start-up simpleflying.com is about
- How the COVID crisis changed my own travel habits
- and much more!
View this episode on Youtube in 4K resolution.
Arran Rice is a serial entrepreneur, digital media 'wonderkind' and digital nomad.
You can reach Arran via his website.
In this episode of The Judgment call Podcast Charles-Louis Allizard and I talk about:
- What distinguishes 'Digital Nomadism' and tourism?
- Why personal travel is way to 'world peace'.
- What are the positives and negatives of 'Digital Nomadism'? Is 'Digital Nomadism' an expression of the reduced entrepreneurial opportunities in many developed economies?
- Is loneliness a necessary downside of travel? What role does fulfilling your own purpose play in that?
- What is the future of education? How does the concept of 'atomic knowledge' shape learning?
- How languages shape our thinking and awareness of things around us.
- France's legacy in Europe and in the world.
- And much more.
View this episode on Youtube in 4K resolution.
Charles-Louis Allizard is a web developer, entrepreneur, digital nomad, lecturer and is directing web documentaries in his free time.
You can reach Charles via his website.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Xavier de le Rue and I talk about:
- How Xavier find his perfect locations and mitigates the enormous risk of his hobby and profession?
- What video games and jumping off a cliff have in common?
- How Xavier grew up to be a winter sports athlete (and the surprising story of his family of athletes)?
- What to do in an avalanche?
- How Xavier's popular Youtube movies are actually being filmed.
- The joys of snowboarding in Antarctica.
- Are the Himalayas the final frontier for 'extreme snowboarding?
- Xaviers new podcast The Sustainability Dialogues Podcast
Xavier de le Rue is a World Champion of Snowboarding, Youtuber, Daredevil of Extreme Snowboarding who drops off 150 degrees from a mountain cliff before having his morning coffee. You may reach him via his website.
Xavier also hosts The Sustainability Dialogues Podcast.
Video credit for the Youtube episode:
- This is my Winter and Mission Antarctic
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Mark Saroufim and I talk about:
- Has the AI community become intellectually lazy and is there a a stagnation in progress?
- Why is AI so complicated and what are the gatekeepers in AI research right now?
- Should we expect Artificial General Intelligence soon? How predictable is the progress in AI?
- Why is there so little innovation in creating 'cheaper products'?
- The surprising libertarian roots of Lebanon.
- Why the Internet is so great of connected like-minded people.
- The future of education - revisited.
- and much more!
Mark Saroufim currently works with Graphcore and has previously worked for Microsoft, NASA and studied at UC San Diego and UC Berkeley. He is a prolific writer at Medium including his latest article Machine Learning: The Great Stagnation.
You may reach Mark via his website.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Aaron Fulkerson and I talk about:
- The very short history of information sharing inside an enterprise and open-source distributions (and Mindtouch!)
- What punk rock and entrepreneurship have in common?
- What social media does to our children?
- Did the Facebook algorithm change in 2015 start the polarization of the world we currently see?
- How Youtube has been changing the world of education already.
- Is success early in your life a curse or blessing?
- What is the best age to discover philosophy?
- And much more!
Aaron Fulkerson is a serial entrepreneur. He is the founder and former CEO of Mindtouch and is now working with ServiceNOW.
You can reach Aaron via LinkedIn.
- Why are the 'Middle Ages' often called the 'Dark Ages'?
- What were the biggest improvements in the 'Middle Ages' compared to the Roman Empire.
- Were the contemporaries of the Middle Ages drunk all the time?
- What are the most popular misconceptions about the 'Middle Ages'?
- How did the taste for popular foods change so much over the centuries?
- Why the debate about healthy food is much older than you think.
- The story about Lampreys that you never knew.
- Why monasticism is such an important part of the 'Middle Ages'.
- Why did the 'Scientific Revolution' not happen in the 'Middle Ages'?
- Did slavery delay the invention of the 'steam engine'?
- What was life like as an entrepreneur in the 'Middle Ages'?
- Did the debt cycles of modern day have parallels in the 'Middle Ages'?
- Are there parallels between the late Roman Empire and the US in the current day?
- Why was Islam so popular when it started out?
- and much more!
Professor Paul Freedman has been teaching at Vanderbilt University and at Yale since 1997. He specializes in medieval social history, the history of Catalonia, comparative studies of the peasantry, trade in luxury products, and the history of cuisine. His lecture series about the 'Middle Ages' has been viewed more than 700,000 times on Youtube.
Paul is also a prolific author about history and food including:
- Food: The History of Taste and American Cuisine: And How It Got That Way both available on Amazon.
In this episode Rubelyn (Ruby) Alcantara and I talk about:
- What is impact investing and what are the success stories?
- Where is the focus of innovation in impact investing?
- What is impact of fast Internet that is now available to most African Internet users?
- Is the individual freedom in Africa much higher than commonly perceived and what impact does it have on economic growth?
- Is the story of democracy in Africa a successful one? What are the downsides?
- Are charter cities an option for Africa?
- Is a Singapore style development a useful role model for Africa? How can economic growth be jump started?
- Can the 'Dutch disease' be avoided when using commodities as a way to jump start growth?
- What are the TOP 5 and Bottom 5 countries in terms of economic success? Is Ethiopia on the way to success?
- What is the future of energy production in Africa?
Rubelyn (Ruby) Alcantara is an entrepreneur, impact investment practitioner consultant, public speaker focused on entrepreneurship. She has lived in 16 countries through her career in UK, Europe and Africa including Tanzania, Nigeria, Madagascar and Kenya.
She runs Supivaa Advisory Group, a Canadian-African based impact investment advisory firm focused on gender-lens investing and sits as an Advisor to Uhusiano Capital, a UK-based impact investment firm. You can reach Ruby via LinkedIn.
In this episode Evan Weber and I talk about:
- How the digital marketing landscape has changed over the years?
- How affordable advertising opportunities have driven entrepreneurial success.
- What the Shopify platform has done for ecommerce sites?
- Can you derive high value traffic from TikTok?
- Will there be a 'privacy backlash' from the intrusion of our privacy by Facebook or Google?
- Did Google's / Facebook's high prices reduce entrepreneurship during the last few years?
- Why are subscription revenue businesses so hot right now?
- and much more!
Evan Weber has been breathing digital marketing for over 20 years. With his own digital marketing agency he has been working with 300+ companies to improve their marketing efforts. Evan has also been a speaker at various digital marketing industry events.
You can reach Evan via LinkedIn.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Steven and I talk about:
- What led Steven to become a student of philosophy?
- How his lecture 'Introduction to Political Philosophy' made its way to Youtube.
- How Steven decides about which books are included in the introduction course?
- What cult leaders, entrepreneurs, politicians and philosophers have in common?
- Are we creating an ever more polarizing political philosophy currently?
- What role does postmodernism play in Political Philosophy right now?
- What is the 'philosopher's curse'?
- What is the role of patriotism in the US now?
Steven B. Smith has been teaching at Yale since 1984. Steven's lecture series 'Introduction to Political Philosophy' has been viewed 700,000 times on Youtube. Steven also has been a prolific author including Hegel’s Critique of Liberalism , Political Philosophy (2012) and the Modernity and its Discontents .
His latest book is titled "Reclaiming Patriotism in an Age of Extremes," - which is now available for pre-orders on Amazon.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Hayvi Bouzo talk about:
- What makes the Middle East so special as a region of innovation, spirituality and lately turmoil and conflict?
- What Hayvi found to be true during her time growing up in Damascus, Syria.
- Why democracies tend to be better at delivering 'basic services' to their citizens.
- What are 'forces for good' in the Middle East according to Hayvi?
- The true impact of the 'Abraham Accords' in the Middle East.
- How should we deal with 'reformers' in the Middle East regime countries?
- Will the new US administration retreat further from US footprint in the world?
- Why most of the best allies of the US eventually turn into enemies?
- Is the slowing productivity growth an issue for future US geopolitics?
- Is the impact of foreign policies overstated?
- and much more!
Hayvi Bouzo is journalist, TV host, podcast host and blogger. Hayvi focuses on the Middle East and the political and cultural tension in the region.
You can reach Hayvi via LinkedIn.
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In this episode Bennet Bayer and I talk about:
- What are some of the most remarkable experiences Bennet had while working in a new country?
- Why asking the 'right Why questions' is a golden rule.
- What's advantage of being an intraprenuer instead of an entrepreneur?
- How to build the connection between technology and human emotion?
- Will 'virtual companies' with minimal operations become the norm?
- Will 'Big Tech' keep accumulating in size?
- Will we continue to move our lives into the cloud and keep retreating from the physical world?
- What are examples of technology companies with a great product but terrible marketing?
- What are examples of technology companies with great marketing but a terrible product?
- How to hire a great salesperson?
- What is the role of educational institutions in the age of the Internet?
- What are great opportunities for entrepreneurs right now?
- and much more.
Bennet has been CMO or CEO (incl. Huawei Global CMO) in a long list of companies. He has been holding management positions in a dozen different countries including Afghanistan, Indonesia and Bangladesh.
You can reach Bennet via LinkedIn.
In this episode Jay Zhao and I talk about:
- What investment opportunities Jay is currently excited about?
- Jay's favorite investment so far - Sleeper
- How can a Venture Capitalist stay honest and humble?
- How are the interests of entrepreneurs and venture capitalists aligned?
- What is the best way for founders and VC's to find a "common match"?
- Is the 'big stagnation' real? Will AI solve our GDP growth issue?
- What is the best company to start in China right now?
- Is China now 'more entrepreneurial' and 'more common-sense' than the US?
- Is China now in a similar phase as Germany was post world-war I?
- What role does the 'superiority complex' play in China, Germany or Japan.
- What are China's best cities?
Jay Zhao is an entrepreneur-turned-VC, and is currently Managing Partner at Leonis Capital, he was a Partner at T Fund (aka TCL Ventures) and Walden Venture Capital before.
You can reach Jay via LinkedIn.
In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast David Orban and I talk about:
- The forgotten story of COVID-19 spread in Europe in late 2019
- What makes a Futurist?
- What does the Fermi paradox tell us about intelligent life in the universe?
- Is Peter Thiel's 'Big Stagnation' thesis spot on?
- Why the jump in Artificial Intelligence progress (2012-2020) is so meaningful.
- What is a 'jolting technology' as introduced by David?
- Will AGI happen soon? Why 'human level' AGI is not a good comparison to look at.
- Will the 'knowledge singularity' happen in 2038 (i.e. a human level AI will be available for $1,000)?
- Why we haven't been visited by intelligence from outside the solar system?
- How can we 'colonize the universe' despite being able to travel 'just' with the speed of light.
- Are we in a simulation and how will we simulate ourselves?
- Has the world really gotten way more complicated in the last 20 years?
- Is 'string theory' flawed after all?
- The case for 'Universal Basic Income (UBI)' as per David Orban.
- What are the technologies and fields that will see exponential growth in the next 10 years?
David Orban is a thinker, investor, futurist and technophile. He has been a mentor with the Thiel fellowship for many years. He was one the first investors in Ether and early investor in Bitcoin.
You can reach David Orban via his website.
In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast Niels Pflaeging and I talk about:
- What's the prototype of a 'democratic' (flat) organization? What companies are examples of that?
- Is Mariana Mazzucato right that innovations are mostly based on taxpayer funded research?
- Why the US military is a surprising example of a 'flat organization'?
- and much more :)
Niels Pflaeging is the founder of red42, a leadership philosopher, management exorcist, speaker, author, and advisor.
Niels' latest book - Organize for Complexity: How to Get Life Back Into Work to Build the High-Performance Organization - is now available on Amazon.
In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast Daniel Gross and I talk about:
- What attracted Daniel to starting companies in the first place?
- What makes (scalable) software special for entrepreneurs?
- What are the incentives in Open Source software ecosystem?
- Is religion a major driver for entrepreneurship? What are the drivers for starting a company and where does this unending optimism come from?
- How can 'gamification' help us learn?
- How can we institute measurements for long-term consumer satisfaction?
- How 'Youtube style learning' will change the future of the next generation.
- What benefits pioneer.app offers to successful applicants?
- How Pioneer can help curate a body of knowledge in entrepreneurship.
- Is entrepreneurship an algorithm?
- Are the BIG 5 personality traits predictive in a founder success?
- Daniel's views on the 'Big stagnation'.
- Daniel's tips for the best places to start a company.
Daniel Gross is an entrepreneur and thinker and futurist who started out with Cue (a search engine). He later worked for Apple and joined Y Combinator as a partner. Daniel is also an angel investor and runs his own (remote) distributed accelerator /incubator called pioneer.app (funded by Stripe and Marc Andreessen).
You can reach Daniel on Twitter.
In this episode of The Judgment Call Podcast Peter Bordes and I talk about:
- What drove Peter to become a serial entrepreneur?
- What is the archetype of an entrepreneur composed of?
- Is the current path to success for many startups broken? Is the 'old boys network' still in charge of the IP pipeline?
- What impact does the 'death if the industrial age' have on the tech industry?
- How does Peter's investment process work?
- Peter's plan to incorporate a body of knowledge for successful entrepreneurship and building a business (the four pillars).
- Has Silicon Valley already moved into the cloud and left the local area?
- How will education work in the future? How will we motivate people to learn? How will we choose topics? What value does mentorship have?
- Are startup accelerators like YCombinator a good way for startups to grow?
- What role religion plays in entrepreneurship?
- How travel to other regions influenced Peter and what adventures he lived through.
- What is 'positive PTSD'?
- How we have all been swept up by this person-to-person proganada (in order to sell more).
- Will we have an AI that prospects us from Big Tech propaganda soon?
- What will be the outcome the media upheaval?
- Will there be a singularity of knowledge accumulation soon?
- Do we live in a simulation? Will we simulate our own minds soon?
Peter Bordes is a serial entrepreneur, executive, investor, mentor and advisor. He currently runs Trajectory Capital, TruVest and MainBloq.
You can reach Peter on Linkedin.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Bill and I talk about:
- Should seed investors only invest in companies 'that an idiot' can run?
- What role does talent play in seed rounds?
- The short history of Angel Investing and Seed Funds
- Bill's first start-up and how he got into Venture Capital
- The short history of Garage Technology Ventures and Guy Kawasaki
- The TOP 10 lies of entrepreneurs & The TOP 10 lies of investors?
- How does the VC industry help establish trust in the marketplace?
- Crowdfunding and it’s future and influence
- The problem with the monopoly of Google and Facebook in online advertising
- Are Vision Fund investments IPO pipeline deals a bad idea for IPO investors?
- Why the Federal Reserve policy and zombie companies pose a 'structural risk' for the US economy.
- Garage Technology's best and worst investments
- Has the technology adoption cycle shortened?
- Is the big stagnation in tech real?
- Should we invest more money into basic research?
- Will Artificial General Intelligence happen anytime soon?
- Will the jobs replaced by AI matter more than one's created by AI?
- Will the next 20 years see more technological progress and/or more volatility?
- Will there be another 'sucker punch' to the global economy before we start the roaring 30s?
Bill Reichert can easily be described as the 'Oracle of Palo Alto'. After grinding his teeth in his own start-ups in the 1980's and 1990s; he has been working as a seed stage investor since 1998 initially with Garage Technology Ventures and now under the roof of Pegasus Tech Ventures.
You can reach Bill on LinkedIn.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Kelly and I talk about:
- How much you should specialize early in your life.
- Should you listen to 'billionaire mentors'?
- Are military values are great basis for entrepreneurship? Is leadership training a predictor for start-up success?
- Why gretel.ai and id.me are some of Moonshot Capital's best investments.
- How did COVID change the 'deal flow' for Venture Capital firms?
- What impact will Crowdfunding have on Venture Capital?
- What impact does religion have on entrepreneurship?
Kelly is a VC, Entrepreneur, Military Veteran, Winner of Season 2 - The Apprentice, and father of twins. Kelly is the co-founder & Managing General Partner of Moonshots Capital.
You can reach Kelly on LinkedIn.
P.S. Apologies for my audio quality - this will get much better very soon!
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Mike and I talk about:
- How it feels to risk your life every day as a NAVY SEAL.
- Why and how society has moved away from the values presented and embedded by the military?
- Why the NAVY SEAL's 'Basic Training' is anything but BASIC.
- How Mike went from Atherton, CA to the military.
- How can talent be identified? What role does leadership development play in large corporations?
- Can you still be effective when selling to big corporations HR departments?
- Will AI ever be able to identify talent and how effective can it be at this?
Mike is the author of The Talent War: How Special Operations and Great Organizations Win on Talent - now available on Amazon.
MIKE SARRAILLE is a retired U.S. Navy SEAL officer, a graduate of the University of Texas McCombs Business School, and now a leadership instructor, speaker and strategic advisor for Echelon Front. Mike served fifteen years as an officer in the SEAL Teams and five years in the U.S. Marine Corps as an enlisted Recon Marine and Scout-Sniper. Mike served in SEAL Team THREE, Task Unit Bruiser alongside Extreme Ownership authors Jocko Willink and Leif Babin where he led major combat operations that played a pivotal role in the Battle of Ramadi in 2006. Mike is a recipient of the Silver Star, six Bronze Stars, two Defense Meritorious Service Medals, and a Purple Heart.
Upon his retirement from the Navy, Mike joined Echelon Front as leadership instructor, speaker, strategic advisor. He is CEO of Echelon Front Overwatch, a company that specializes in the recruiting, training and placement of U.S special operations forces veterans.
In this episode of the The Judgment Call Podcast Darren and I talk about:
- What lead Darren to become a serial entrepreneur
- The dilemma of choosing a career path and the emotional toll of being a serial entrepreneur
- Has the adoption of technology slowed down and what to expect in the next 20 years?
- How does crowdfunding work? What amounts can companies raise right now and in the near future?
- How do crypto based funding rounds work (and ICOs) compared to crowdfunding?
- What business do best using crowdfunding?
- What does issuance.com provide for startups and what's the "Going Public" show?
- What is the role of religion in entrepreneurship?
Darren Marble is the CEO of Issuance.com, the leading provider of technology and marketing solutions for Reg A+ issuers raising capital in the US and Canada. issuance.com' clients have raised over $250 million to date.
Darren is also the Executive Producer of Going Public®, a new original series that allows viewers to invest in IPOs.
You can reach Darren on Linkedin.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Steve and I talk about:
- Will AI be an existential challenge to humanity anytime soon?
- What progress AI has been making and why it has sped up in the last 10 years so much?
- Is AI already smarter than teenagers?
- Is Twitter's / Facebook AI evil?
- Why are self-driving cars such bad drivers currently? Will self driving cars be autonomous very soon?
- Are we inside a simulation and could we create one easily?
- Has AI already changed the job market to be more short-term?
- Will AI increase the quality of life?
- What opportunities are there for entrepreneurs right now?
Steve Shwartz began his AI career as a postdoctoral researcher in the Yale University Artificial Intelligence Lab. Starting in the 1980s, Steve was a founder or cofounder of several AI companies, one of which created Esperant, which was one of the leading business intelligence products of the 1990s. As the AI Winter of the 1990s set in, Steve transitioned into a career as a successful serial software entrepreneur and investor and created several companies that were either acquired or had public offerings. He is the author of “Evil Robots, Killer Computers, and Other Myths: The Truth About AI and the Future of Humanity” which will be published on February 9, 2021 by Fast Company Press and maintains a website www.AIPerspectives.com that contains a free, 400-page, online AI 101 textbook.
You can reach Steve at LinkedIn.
You can find the episode's transcript here.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Mike and I talk about:
- Why entrepreneurship is a major driver in this world to alleviate poverty, increase freedom and increase wealth
- Why entrepreneurship of the last 30 years has been different and what role large Internet platforms play in this.
- What opportunities are there for entrepreneurs in the in life sciences and healthcare field?
- Why the Opentronix platform might be a game changer?
- How to get a large enough dataset for AI analysis in life sciences?
- Should patients be able to sell their own medical data?
- Is single cell DNA analysis a big step forward?
- What role will 'injectable machines' play in the next 10 years?
- Will we all stay '28 year olds' forever?
- How is aging and income related to the number of children we have?
- Is innovation related to studying art?
- Will learning and social media be done with the help of an AI that helps us interact with the Internet AIs.
- Are we repeating the issues with cancer with COVID testing?
Originally from Toledo, Ohio, Mike graduated from the University of Toledo with a BS in Computer Science and Electrical Engineering, with a focus on Physics. Serial entrepreneur, with a focus on process improvements via technology automation and user experience design. Additionally, spent three years in leadership development, fundraising, and membership recruitment for the National Exchange Club, which was made up of ~800 clubs and ~30,000 members. Spent three years as director of technology for Pukka Headwear, completely re-writing and automating a large portion of their design, sales, and order system with a focus on the web. Spent seven years focused on processes and automation at MD Anderson, ultimately building a system that managed over 3,000 clinical trials and secures over half a million patient records. Currently serving as VP of Customer Success and Innovation at Project Ronin, a start-up with a mission of utilizing AI and Data Science to remove uncertainty from cancer patients' care and improve their outcomes. Current entrepreneurial endeavors include co-founder of a laser cutting business, a CBD company, and Pro Research Management, which is focusing on delivering clinical trials to underrepresented communities by partnering with local care givers.
You can reach Mike on LinkedIn.
You can find the episode's transcript here.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Pablo and I talk about:
- How travel and new languages shape you and the way you think.
- How Venture Capital has changed and what's the future of VC (incl. the Middle East).
- Why Dubai took off and how it can be replicated in another place?
- Why Private Education has grown all over the world so quickly.
- What is the future of K-12 education and the degrees needed?
- How memories are stored in our brain and how reliable are they?
- Did evolution give us consciousness?
- Why globalization is reversing.
- Will there be a US / Chinese conflict in the next 10 years?
Pablo is an engineer, turned investment professional (in Venture Capital, Private Equity and public equities), turned education entrepreneur. In a career spanning over a quarter century Pablo has been fortunate to live and work in seven countries in Europe, South America, Asia and the Middle East and to become proficient in four languages along the way.
You can reach Pablo on LinkedIn.
You can find the episode's transcript here.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Amit and I talk about:
- How the Internet monopolies like Facebook and Google have shaped our life and prevented upstart innovation
- How 'social-to-social commerce' works.
- How the 'data giants' usurp data from anyone without their 'expressed' consent
- What meditation does for your mind and how to think more clear
- How Awake may change we do social commerce
- How many universes there are?
- How does consciousness actually work and what makes it different than a dream?
- Do we have free will?
Amit Rathore is a 40 year old serial entrepreneur and angel investor based in San Mateo, CA. Since 2003 he has focused on AI, media, commerce, and FinTech verticals.
He is the founder of AwakeVC, a private equity holdings company focused on creating 100M jobs by enabling 10M new technology ventures globally.
You can reach Amit via email at amit@awake.vc or via LinkedIn.
You can find the episode's transcript here.
In this episode of the Judgment Call Podcast Chris Tomseth shares his view of the travel industry:
- How it feels to grow up in a dozen different countries
- The challenges facing the travel industry during COVID
- Chris' list of favorite countries
- Why some airlines can't fly where they want to fly
- Why some airlines like Qatar Airways will never make money
- What happened to Thailand's tourism economy
- What role does freedom play in economic development across the world
- Why capsule hotels are awesome (and hostels in general?!)
- A new service that makes it easier to get through an airport with children
- How airline lounges win most of their business
- How to book hotels and do good at the same time?
Chris is a multi-cultural, internationally-experienced travel executive, with over 20 years of industry experience. Chris has worked with a range of companies, from blue-chip multinationals such as Delta Air Lines, Choice Hotels International, Gate Gourmet, and Emirates, to travel technology startups and U.S. and UAE Government agencies. Chris’ functional experience includes operational, sales and marketing, product development, finance, and strategy roles.
His prior roles have included Head of Global Sales for Choice Hotels International, Interim Chief Commercial Officer with Gate Gourmet, Head of Global Strategy and Business Development for Dnata Travel Services (part of the Emirates Group) as well as Director of Strategic Development for TRX. Chris has lived and worked during his professional career in the United States, Thailand, and the United Arab Emirates.
Chris has an MBA from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University and has served on several Boards of both private and public organizations. He is currently advising and involved in several early-stage travel and hospitality companies and is resident in the Washington DC metro area.
You can reach Chris on LinkedIn.
You can download the podcast here.
You can find the episode's transcript here.
In this episode of Judgment Call I talk to David Yeskel about travel, cruises and Las Vegas.
You can follow David on Twitter at @vegasguru_ or @cruiseguru_
You can find the episode's transcript here.