THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast: Recent Episodes
Matt Russell
The Window is a sports betting podcast hosted and produced by a professional sports bettor, Matt Russell, from a Canadian perspective. Don’t let the geography fool you, Matt dives deep into NCAA sports, NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL. If you can bet on it, Matt probably has a take on it. Find out how the pros are betting the game and cashing tickets at the window. Matt’s a 2-time Supercontest cash winner, and finally he’s sharing his knowledge about sports betting and the markets. Follow him on twitter: @mrussauthentic
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down what’s happening with the podcast and why. Then he unloads the notebook on the upcoming NFL and NCAA season.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) discusses his experiences as he enters his 10th season of competing in the biggest NFL handicapping contests in the world. Matty Simo (@Vegas_Matty) of FootballContest.com joins Matt to discuss changes to the Supercontest and the two Circa Sports contests. Then Jeff Benson (@JeffreyBenson12) of Circa Sports drops by to discuss the thought process for Circa upping their prize pools to $10 million. Finally, Matt breaks down how YOU can join the “Friends of THE WINDOW” Circa Survivor entry.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the first weekend of the Tokyo Olympics, which included a big win in the pool. Then Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) joins Matt to breakdown whether Team USA is a good bet to get it together to win gold. Then the guys debate the Jalens atop the NBA Draft Board and dig into the Raptors being the key movers when it comes to betting draft props. Matt gives out a few reminders on tips for betting any draft, including why the game of ‘musical hats’ might come into play on Thursday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Drew Dinsick (@Whale_Capper) of NBC’s ‘Bet The Edge’ Podcast, as the two have a rollicking discussion about the Tokyo Summer Games. Drew gives out some gold medal count bets, including why he’s fading the host nation. Matt makes Drew put on the maple leaf, and the two find some bets to make on the Canadians looking for gold in Japan. Finally, in the “Glimpse Round”, Matt peppers Drew with some of the lesser known sports. Will Drew have all the answers?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the weekend at the British Open and how betting on historical happenings isn’t usually the best angle. Why everything fell the right way for Collin Morikawa and how he’s a lethal weapon when that happens. Then Matt brings in Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to discuss the Bucks getting to within one win of an NBA Championship, and whether there’s anything left to bet on for Tuesday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Jeff Staley (@CutmakerJeff) to help him breakdown the first British Open in two years. Jeff tells Matt the story of how he started betting on Brooks Koepka every major and the two discuss other contenders for the season’s final major. Then, Matt gives out his plays for the tournament and Game 4 of the NBA Finals with six prop bets and live-betting angles to watch for.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to discuss the first 3 games of the NBA Finals and what each team is doing to try to exploit the other, and how we should use that to bet on various props for Game 4. But first, Matt looks back at a wild EURO 2020 final that cashes Italy +800 from before the tournament, why riding with them was a value play versus a bet based on a handicap, and what recreational betting means for betting on soccer.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the last game of the NHL season, as the Lightning win the Stanley Cup in five games. Matt looks back at the pre-series handicap to evaluate how his bets did. Then Matt breaks down a profitable run in the 2021 Stanley Cup Playoffs. Then Game 2 of the NBA FINALS has Matt wondering about what will be different from Game 1, and how to bet accordingly. Finally, what to do with an Italy +800 EURO 2020 ticket? Matt decides what he’s doing for Sunday’s final.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 1 of the NBA Finals, and how the surprise return of The Greek Freak shook up the betting markets and prop bets alike. Also, with his return, how should we treat the series after Game 1. Then Matt looks at what he hopes isn’t the final game of the NHL season, even if it feels that way. Finally, EURO 2020 keeps on thrilling as Italy survives and advances - why, at this stage, it shouldn’t matter how.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Finals, as the Canadiens avoid the sweep. Why the series now feels like fair value for a 3-1 Lightning lead. Then Matt breaks down his bets for the NBA Finals, including a side and player props for Game 1. Finally, Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) makes his final appearance of the season, to discuss the semi-finals of EURO 2020, and his take on the NBA Finals.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) of the On Blast Podcast Network to break down all things NBA Finals. What are the important matchups between the Suns and Bucks, and how can we exploit the betting market in this unique series? Then Matt looks back at Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final, and whether that’s a wrap on the successful betting run on the Montreal Canadiens. Finally, Matt looks back at the quarter-finals of EURO 2020.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks waaaay back at Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Final, and how we’d view the series if the Canadiens were scoring goals the way the Lightning are. Then Matt runs through the last two nights in the NBA, and what he’s seen from the Bucks, and why betting the Suns now is worth the risk to lock in a price. Finally, a refresher on what he’s hoping for in the quarterfinals of EURO 2020.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 4 between the Bucks and Hawks, and the failed venture ‘Project Connaughton’, Giannis going down, and what to do about Game 5. Then Matt looks at tonight game between the Suns and Clippers and how everyone wants Phoenix to advance affecting the point spread. Then Matt goes off on society and how it’s reacted to Montreal losing Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final. Finally, EURO 2020, more mixed results on Tuesday and how Matt’s betting the Quarter-Final round.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game One of the Stanley Cup Final. Why there was a lot to like from the loss for Montreal, even though there are a couple fatal flaws to their game. Matt breaks down the biggest issues for the Habs going forward. Then Matt looks back at the Clippers surprising win over the Suns, and why he might be on LA for Game Six. Then Matt has a bet or two for the Bucks-Hawks Game 4 but it’s not even close to what you’d expect. Then Matt relives Monday’s insane afternoon at EURO 2020.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the big win for Montreal that put them into the Stanley Cup Final and put the podcast up over 17 units on the playoffs. Then Matt looks ahead to the Canadiens-Lightning series and the core principle for how he’ll bet this series. Then it’s Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) of the On Blast Podcast Network, to discuss the week that was in the NBA Playoffs, and what the odds might look like for the NBA Finals. Then Matt looks back at a wild weekend at EURO 2020.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne to breakdown the Knockout Stage of EURO 2020, as they discuss bets to make for all eight Round of 16 games. But first, Matt looks back Game Six between Tampa and New York, and why a shift in plans may be in order for Game 7. Then Matt looks at how you might want to freeroll the Habs against the the Golden Knights, even if he isn’t, and what to do about the NBA Conference Finals.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down what Bill C-218 should mean for the show, while the Habs win again continuing the success we’ve had planting our flag on that team. Then Matt looks back at the Suns dramatic win last night, but why his past self might have lost a bet on the game. Then Matt discusses the line moves in both the NHL and NBA games on the board. Plus, why Matt’s hoping a few teams go scoreless on Wednesday at EURO 2020.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the blowout in Tampa last night, and ahead to Canadiens-Knights on Tuesday night. Why we might not want to bet on the Habs in game 5. Then Matt takes a look at the Clippers-Suns Game 2, and breaks down how hedging a big futures win can be harder than it seems when we make the bet. Finally, Matt looks at the last six games of the Group Stage at EURO 2020 - what do we need, and what do the teams need to set themselves up for success on their path to the Championship.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to look back at the nightly chaos of the NBA Playoffs. Then Matt looks at a pair of games in Montreal over the weekend and why the Habs are performing better than their bettors could have hoped despite a brutal loss in Game 4. Then it’s a look back at the US Open as the favorite wins, but took the long route to get there. Finally, EURO 2020 gave us a pair of sweeps, both good and bad on the weekend.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives his take on Torrey Pines after round 1 of the US Open, where there might be some value atop the board. Then it’s a look back at last night in Long Island. Why attributing the Isles likelihood of winning to their building isn’t fair to them, and why Andrei Vasilevskiy is somehow still underrated. Then it’s a look at the Vegas Golden Knights as a road team, and what that means for Game 3 in Montreal. Then Matt talks about his least favorite team, the Milwaukee Bucks finally coming through, and the good news/bad news of the games on Friday night. Finally, a look ahead to the weekend at EURO 2020. Is there any shenanigans to factor in to our handicap of Monday’s games?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a big win for the podcast with the Habs cashing as big dogs in Vegas. Then Matt looks at Game 3 on Long Island between the Lightning and the Islanders. Matt looks back at one of the weirdest days in NBA history before giving out a bet that may shock you for Game 6 between the Nets and Bucks. Finally, a recap and lookahead to more games at EURO 2020.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 2 between Tampa and New York, and then look at how the series derivative markets are the place to find value between Montreal and Vegas. Then Matt looks back at a sorry effort from the Bucks, that was wholly unsurprising, as the NBA Playoffs crumble with more injuries to star players. Then Matt talks about Tuesday’s action at EURO 2020. Finally, it’s a U.S. Open preview. Who is Matt targeting at Torrey Pines?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Game 1 between Montreal and Vegas. Were the Golden Knights as dominant as we were led to believe? Tampa Bay looks to bounce back tonight, but it’s the Milwaukee Bucks that are getting our attention. Matt discusses the two other series in the NBA and if there’s anything worth betting in LAC-UTAH and ATL-PHI. Finally, Ted Ballantyne (@tedballantyne) joins Matt to discuss the next leg of games in Group play at EURO 2020.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) opens the show by looking back at the weekend at EURO 2020 - the good, the bad, and the ugly scene in Copenhagen. Matt then looks at game one in Tampa between the Islanders and the Lightning, and takes a final glance as the puck drops Monday night on Montreal-Vegas. Then Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) joins the show to discuss the last weekend in the NBA, and helps Matt figure out his bets for the coming week, and should Matt get his hopes up about the Milwaukee Bucks.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks to the newly matched Stanley Cup Semi-Finals, and previews the two series. What’s the deal with the price in the Montreal-Vegas matchup? Is Matt back on the Canadiens for a third time? What about the Islanders? Where does the value lie between Tampa and New York? Then Matt looks at the NBA games for the weekend. Did the Bucks show us anything? Still riding the Suns?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Bruins ouster at the hands of the Islanders, and wonders aloud why the Avalanche are taking money tonight. Then Matt gives credit to the Suns, while trying to steer clear from the Bucks tonight. Is Matt betting the Clippers Moneyline tonight? Or just the series price? Then Matt takes what he’s learned from yesterday’s EURO 2020 preview and gives out tournament futures and props bets along with a play for every game in the first weekend of play.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) to help get him to speed on EURO 2020. Matt picks Ted’s brain for who he thinks can surprise in the Group Stage, which of the contenders are overvalued and which dark horse teams are undervalued. The boys look at the prop markets for Golden Boot, Best Player, and who’ll score the most and least goals. Then Matt looks back at last night’s playoff action as the Avs get stunned at home, and the Canes can’t score (1:31:00). Finally, why Matt’s making his first game bet on the Bruins tonight.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Habs sweep of the Jets, and why their dominant metrics worked, but why there’s a pair of series with similar numbers that league us with some confusion. Matt then talks about the closest series on the ice, that’s the only one to be 3-1. Then Matt looks ahead to tonight’s games in both the NHL and NBA.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a wild weekend for bettors in a handful of sports. Then it’s a celebration of a big weekend for the Montreal Canadiens, and a reality check for the Avalanche. Finally, Matt is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to break down round of the NBA Playoffs, what can we expect from the Bucks now that they have another break go their way. Plus, what to make of the LA Clippers?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night’s dual overtime games in the NHL. How the Hurricanes saved the day with one goal, and why Semyon Varlamov had to wait to overtime to let in in a soft goal. Then Matt looks ahead to the games on the ice this weekend. How he’s betting the next two in the MTL-WPG series, and a now or never bet on Vegas. Then Matt feels relief to see the Blazers and Lakers put out of our misery, with a look ahead to a pair of interesting matchups starting round two this weekend.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Habs win in game one, as they slow they don’t let the Jets get off the tarmac. Then Matt basks in bets he didn’t make, that won and lost in Colorado, as the Golden Knights come up short of tying the series with the Avalanche. Then Matt looks ahead to tonight’s games in Tampa and Long Island and bets to make there. Finally, Matt laments an ugly night in the NBA and how there’s nothing predictable about the first round and why he’s avoiding the rest of it.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night’s crazy game in Denver where Damian Lillard drags his team to overtime only to get no help. With four games on the slate tonight, what bets look the best in each of those. Then Matt looks at what went wrong in Carolina for the Hurricanes again in Game 2. Finally, the Habs-Jets series drops the puck in game one, but how should we allocate our capital in a series Matt’s billed as the Hockey Handicapping Super Bowl.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Maple Leafs and Canadiens game seven and why betting on this series was more about Montreal than it was Toronto, and that the Leafs don’t need to blow up the roster in a panic. Then Matt takes the first look ahead to MTL-WPG - who should be favoured in the series? A wild one in Boston ends in a surprising way based on what we’re told about momentum. Then it’s a look at the game 2 tonight between Tampa Bay and Carolina. Finally, Matt looks how he’s playing the three series that continue tonight in the NBA.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back the weekend in sports betting. The Stanley Cup Playoffs are into the 2nd Round with the exception of the Habs and Leafs going to game seven tonight. Why Matt’s not worried about the Hurricanes, why the Avalanche continue to confirm their quality, and what to do about the Isles and Bruins on Monday night? Then Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) joins Matt to look deeper into the NBA Playoffs of the last week, and Matt runs by him a bunch of bets in the first round. Then the guys look ahead to the inevitable Nets-Bucks series in round two.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night’s action in the NHL and NBA. The Habs pull the upset at +200, and the Canes seize the series. Then it’s a look at the three second round series that start this weekend. Then Matt looks who would have won the “first round Conn Smythe” for each team, and what went right and wrong for “The Wheel” so far. Finally, the Bucks cruise but the Blazers disappoint as Matt looks to a busy basketball weekend and his plan for betting each series.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a big night for the podcast as the Islanders cash a bunch of bets: Game Moneyline, Series, and Series -1.5. Then the Wild force a game seven. Matt breaks down the anatomy of how to bet an underdog in a series throughout, and how that compares to betting one single series bet. Matt looks at tonight’s games and what he’s looking to do with a pair of elimination games. Then it’s a look back at last night in the NBA where we cashed with the Knicks. Finally, Matt looks at the pair of bets he’s making on Thursday night’s games.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night’s pair of games in the NHL. The Leafs depth overwhelms the Canadiens, the Canes play great, still end up in overtime with the Preds. Then Matt gives his plays for Wednesday night. What do with the Islanders given we’re already on the series and adjusted series bets? Trusting Spencer Knight and the Cats again? Why are the Wild +120 after being +105 in their other home games against the Golden Knights? Then Matt looks back at the NBA and why even the upsets shouldn’t be all that surprising given what we know about these teams year after year. Matt gives out his best bet for the hardwood, and a bet he kinda likes as well.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a big night on the ice for the podcast, going 3-1 on four underdog plays. Why the results may have flattered the handicapping of the games. Then it’s a look to tonight’s pair of games in the NHL, and an Oilers obit. Then Matt talks about a winning night in the NBA, thanks to some good advice and even more betting discipline.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the PGA Championship, as Phil Mickelson comes through for the fan in him, but stops his Louis Oosthuizen 65-1 bet from coming home. Then it’s a look at the weekend that was in the Stanley Cup Playoffs. How a pair of Sunday overtime’s ruined an otherwise solid weekend. Then Matt is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to get a recap of the NBA Playoffs first weekend, and what we might want to bet this week.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a wild night on the ice Thursday. How his thesis on the Montreal Canadiens proved correct in the first game of that series. Then it’s a look ahead to Friday night’s slate, where a pair of underdogs are getting our money. Then it’s NBA Playoff time, who is Matt looking to take against the spread and series as it gets going for real. Plus, some first round takes from the PGA Championship, why a bunched up leaderboard is good for live-betting, and a pre-tournament prop.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the NBA’s much better night, as closing line value bounces back for the MEM -3.5, and the Warriors-Lakers game holds up to hype. Then Matt looks back at last night in the NHL, where the Capitals trick us with their goaltending carousel, the Jets do Jets’ things, and the two big underdogs show some fight, but fail. Then it’s a preview of the Canadiens and Maple Leafs and why this series is different from the two other big mismatches. Finally, Matt’s got three plays for Thursday night in the NHL.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a weird night on the ice, as scoring was at a premium and three teams that had the majority of the play all lost. Why betting the Panthers and the Islanders down 0-2 were great bets even in a loss. Then it’s a look back at the gross efforts in the NBA play-in tournament. Finally, Matt breaks down what he expects from the PGA Championship at Kiawah Island. Why is Rory the favourite? How does course unfamiliarity affect who might excel? What are the key points on the course to keep in mind for live-betting the tournament, and who are the targets, and top-20s?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) of the On Blast Podcast network, to catch us up on the NBA’s weird regular season as we set up for betting on the NBA Playoffs. Who’s overvalued? Who’s undervalued? And who are some of the characters that we may find ourselves betting on or against in the next month or so. Matt and Sheldon guess the lines for the Play-In games, and try to look for value based on each team’s form coming into the playoffs. But first, Matt looks back at another 2-0 day in the Stanley Cup Playoffs, why the metrics are giving us the clues we need about these teams to put ourselves in a position to be profitable. Also, Matt looks ahead to Tuesday night’s game twos, as he wonders if it’s worth backing the underdogs given what we may or may not be invested in already.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the red hot start for the Stanley Cup Playoffs, and how the podcast cashed two out of three overtime wins. Then it’s a look at Monday’s slate, with two bets to make in the three games. Why “The Wheel” works to potentially help you avoid the “bet because it’s on” pitfall.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) opens the show with his bets for the Stanley Cup, along with some derivative series prices he’s looking at. Then Matt is joined by Alex Moretto (@alexjmoretto) of THE SCORE, and Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) of COOLBET CANADA to breakdown the betting angles for the eight playoff series, Stanley Cup Futures, and the CONN SMYTHE TROPHY markets. Alex discusses his fears for the Habs-Leafs series, and a big position on the Bruins. Then Kris tells us about who the sportsbook hopes wins, and who they fear might. Along with some interesting novelty props for the playoffs. Then Matt breaks down how to calculate value in the Conn Smythe trophy market for playoff MVP.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) goes through each of the eight NHL first round series to find value in how to bet a side or derivative market. What version of the Habs will the Leafs get? Can Connor keep it going? The Bruins and Caps are the headliner, but is that right? Can the Isles do it again to New York? The Lightning look to get back a pair of big guns, while the Canes should storm the Predators. Why the matchup matters out west.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a surprisingly interesting betting night with the Capitals and Bruins game turning in to a good litmus test for what pricing means to bettors, and would everyone on the Caps get away with one? Then Matt looks at what it would take to bet on the Sens one more time. Finally, a look back at our record for the season, and why under .500 still means in the green.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the last big slate of regular season games in the NHL last night. Why there’s not much to bet on tonight, and what we might see once some of the series odds get set, and how the new format might help us with any futures betting strategy. Then it’s “Tuesday’s with Ted” (@TedBallantyne) joins the show to discuss his betting Saturday with Canelo scoring a TKO, and the Man-City vs Chelsea matchup before THE matchup.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a perfect weekend in the NHL, as the regular season winds down. How a good call on one game or one can be figuratively parlayed into more than just one win at this time of the season. Then it’s a look at a busy slate in the NHL, the last big board for the regular season.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a night that was a big boon to the bankroll of anyone looking to stay aggressive in the season’s final week. Also, what “being careful” means to different people in the betting space. Matt dives deep into tonight’s games between the Stars-Lightning as both teams have standings motivation and if we can quantify that when comparing our price to the markets. Finally, Matt looks ahead to the weekend’s games - what his numbers are, and how early weekend results might affect what we’ll bet on later.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) describes the difference between sports betting talk and sports talk in the case of the Tom Wilson situation. Then Matt looks back at the games in the North and Central last night. A win with Columbus, the Sens stay hot, the Flames burn out, and the Stars have their soul stolen. Finally, Matt looks at the slate for Thursday - how to bet on the Leafs, the Oilers or the Canucks, and why it’s a bigger risk than normal to back a big underdog at this point in the season.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks at yesterday’s Champion League bets from Ted Ballantyne and how to bet those on Wednesday for Chelsea-Real Madrid. Then Matt breaks down the McDavid Prop strategy that is 3-0, and why it’s the better bet for when it loses than while it’s winning. Wednesday night has more than it’s fair share of games, but why are some ‘old reliables’ not worth a bet tonight given the context of the season? Matt breaks down the Blue Jackets bet, and why backing the Stars should be a play, but might not be. Finally, a new golf segment for the show “THE PAR 3”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Monday’s games in the North and Central Division as the podcast goes 2-2 on underdog plays for another positive night. Then it’s another example of Connor McDavid being a better bet than his team as a whole, with another matchup on Tuesday with the struggling Canucks. Finally, “Tuesday’s with Ted” has the boys discussing betting strategies for the second legs of the Champions League semi-finals.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the weekend from a betting perspective, as The Kentucky Derby was the headliner this weekend. Then it’s a recap of a profitable betting weekend in the NHL in “Let’s Do That Hockey” that was almost a big sweep. Finally, Matt puts on the lab coat to talk about building a quick model to determine final round betting value at the Valspar Championship.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the betting success of the NFL DRAFT and all the goings-on from a wild night in the NFL. From the Trey Lance leak, to Aaron Rodgers wanting out, to Jaycee Horn cashing for us as the first player taken. Matt goes through the first round looking at how teams that couldn’t keep secrets ended up without their top target and how that affected bettors and some consensus picks. Then it’s a look at the late round selections affecting the positional markets and a little controversy in defining defensive positions. Finally, the weekend lookahead in the NHL with “Let’s Do That Hockey”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) takes one last look at the extensive menu of betting options for the NFL DRAFT. Then it’s “Let’s Do That Hockey” with a look back at last night and how those games inform how we should bet the games tonight. Finally, breaking down what went wrong with a video that went viral, and why it was a bad look for sports betting media.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) takes a quick spin of the NFL DRAFT betting markets, with the “Kyle Pitts Report”, why his bet on Jaycee Horn is looking better and better, and the curious case of Trey Lance. Then it’s “Let’s Do That Hockey”. After a quick look back at last night, Matt digs into the Senators finally being favoured, why we might want to bet on Connor McDavid INSTEAD of the OIlers, and how market pricing works with moneylines, as the Leafs and Habs prices are out of whack.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night’s 4-0 sweep in the NHL, and how luck plays a part in winning just as much as it does in losing. Then a look at the board for Tuesday night with four games in the Central Division and one underdog that stands out. Then Ted Ballantyne joins the show with a pair of plays for the Champions League semis, and the two discuss the best celebration songs in sports. Plus, the “Kyle Pitts Market Report” as the line is on the move for more than just the Florida Gators Tight End.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at betting last night’s OSCARS, and how another principle tenet affected betting lines for the night’s final award. Then Matt looks at this 49ers situation - why would they even WANT the 3rd pick overall if they don’t know who to take and how Kyle Shanahan’s knowledge of the Falcons might play a role. Then it’s the weekend that was for the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model, and a look ahead to a busy Monday night on the ice.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a 2-0 night on the ice for the podcast, but how he got suckered into adding the Blue Jackets thanks to a starting goalie switch in Tampa. Then it’s a look forward to the matchups in the North and Central Division in the NHL this weekend. How do all the rematches create potential value in the moneyline prices? Plus, the Kyle Pitts betting market report.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks ahead to betting the NFL Draft. What should you be using in your research, and what should you avoid? How do you parse the information that we all get versus siphoning out what the expert talent evaluators say. Matt breaks down general tips for betting on the draft, and strategies that allow you to avoid a catastrophe should something unexpected happen. Finally, Matt gives his betting methods for enjoying the first round of the draft from a betting perspective, from start to finish. Plus, “Let’s Do That Hockey” (1:22:00).
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at another busy night in the NHL. The Canucks knock off the Maple Leafs again, bringing up more talk about the idea of narratives that we build in our heads when “handicapping” games versus relying on the pure numbers that inform us of value. The psychological element of group-think in excusing losses. Then it’s a breakdown of why a decisive win for the Hurricanes actually proves how evenly matched they and the Lightning are. Then it’s a look ahead to Wednesday night - the Predators are the same price on the road as they were at home, and what to make of the big move in the favour of the Oilers. Is this just Leafs-Canucks all over again?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a busy night in the NHL. How a skate-blade save in a shootout turned a big night into just a small profit. What did we learned from the first games that we can take into four rematches for Tuesday night? Plus, another edition of “Tuesday’s with Ted” where @TedBallantyne breaks down what is going on with this Super League in European soccer, and how it may affect our look at Euro 2020 this summer.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the weekend in sports betting. Stewart Cink runs away with the RBC Heritage - why not backing a chaser was the best strategy for the tournament. Then it’s a look to Sunday night’s game in Vancouver, and the Canucks incredible win over the Toronto Maple Leafs. Then the rest of the story of the weekend in the NHL, in the North and Central Divisions, with 6 more games on tap for Monday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night’s games in the North and Central division. Did we get lucky in Tampa? What about the big underdog bets? Is the dreaded schedule spot dead? Then it’s a look at the Canucks return to play, and how that uncertainty makes Saturday’s game a stay away. Finally, Matt discusses what rematches he likes in the Central, and what price he’s hoping to get on the Oilers in Winnipeg.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night in the NHL with an eye on Montreal’s messy performance and the Jets-Sens playing out almost exactly as how we thought it might, except for one key ingredient. Then it’s an analysis of the moneyline moves in the JETS-LEAFS game tonight, and a look at each of four games in the Central Division.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night in the NHL where 2 of 3 bets went to overtime, and the third cashed easily with an underdog in Music City. Then Matt looks at how the market may have informed bettors on how to treat the dreaded travel/no rest scheduling spot. Plus, Matt breaks down the real difference between the Jets and Senators. Finally, Bernie Madoff’s death triggers a lesson in what to believe in sports betting media.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) takes some time to look back at the results for the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model this season. While the purpose is to predict who’s going to play better than expectation at even-strength, what are the results from a +/- unit standpoint, and how has good or bad luck in the NHL’s overtime/shootout format affected those win-loss numbers. Plus, three games worth betting on Tuesday night, for three different reasons above and beyond the LDTH model’s value evaluation.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) recaps the 85th MASTERS from a betting perspective. From the best calls from the Preview Show, like Zalatoris, Harmon, and McIntyre, to the ‘missed cut massacre’, and everything up to Xander Schauffele rinsing one on 16. Then it’s a Monday edition of “Let’s Do That Hockey” where Matt looks back at the weekend’s results, and have a couple of potential plays for Monday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) talks about how THE MASTERS tournament provides a perfect example of how to understand probability in handicapping all sports. Then it’s a look at a handful of interesting games in the NHL with the Jets-Canadiens asking the question, “How low can you go?” in backing an angle that’s been almost foolproof. Double your deposit up to $200 http://cool.bet/window PROMO CODE: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Collin Wilson (@_Collin1) of The Action Network to breakdown who to back and who to avoid for THE MASTERS. Live-betting strategy, Outrights, Top 20s, derivatives and how to split your betting budget to best enjoy THE MASTERS from a betting perspective. http://cool.bet/window PROMO CODE: COOLBET
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friend of the show, Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) as the guys look back at a snoozer of a National Title Game. They review what it took to win a bracket contest, and the results might surprise you. Then it’s a first look at THE MASTERS and another edition of “Let’s Do That Hockey”. Double your deposit up to $200 at http://cool.bet/window PROMO CODE: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Saturday’s FINAL FOUR from a betting standpoint and how the UCLA-GONZAGA game reminded us why we love sports. Then Matt breaks down the case for each side, plus the over and the under, as well as his thoughts on a handful of player props for tonight’s game. Finally, Matt looks back at a 2-1 weekend in “Let’s Do That Hockey” and who he’s looking to back on Monday night. http://cool.bet/window PROMO CODE: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by TSN’s Jack Armstrong (@HelloooJack) to discuss the #FinalFour, how close he came to making the tournament as a coach, and Jack discusses the scene for a coach at the Final Four. Jack talks about the current state of the college game, and what he thinks about sports betting’s ties to the popularity of the tournament. Jack breaks down Saturday’s games and what he expects from the Raptors down the stretch. Should they be making a push for the playoffs? Then Matt gives his plays for Saturday and finishes up the show with an edition of “Let’s Do That Hockey”. http://cool.bet/window PROMO CODE: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is thrilled that it’s Opening Day for Major League Baseball, but he explains why betting on baseball for an entire season is more hassle than it’s worth. Then it’s a mini-announcement about the ‘Final Four Parlay’ at COOLBET (https://www.coolbet.com/ca/sports/match/1606193). Breaking down why Matt’s betting what he’s betting for the #FinalFour . Plus, the usual look at the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model. Double your deposit at COOLBET http://cool.bet/window PROMO CODE: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) laments the USC Trojans bet, even though it was over early. Then it’s looking at the Bruins win as the best possible result on the spectrum for UCLA. Then it’s a look back at a profitable Tuesday night with a handful of interesting games in the Central from a betting perspective, and the big line move that gave us a win with Montreal. http://cool.bet/window PROMO CODE: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Monday’s Elite Eight games and why whatever your results were, they were lucky. Then it’s a deep look into why Matt will be shocked if a bet on USC tonight doesn’t win. Then it’s a look at how the luck stops here for UCLA against Michigan. Finally, Matt digs into the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model for a busy night on the ice, and why the Oilers-Habs game is a contrast in angles, like ‘rock, paper, scissors’. http://cool.bet/window PROMO CODE: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Sweet Sixteen weekend, focusing on the idea of understanding teams’ ceiling and floors, in the case of Loyola Chicago, Florida State, Creighton and Alabama. How Alabama’s loss was the most irritating, and the disappointment of a mostly boring basketball weekend. Then it’s some “Let’s Do That Hockey” and why the variables in hockey just don’t matter as much as we think. http://cool.bet/window Promo code: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down each and every game of the NCAA Tournament’s Sweet Sixteen. Who are his best bets, how is he playing Survivor and what is he going to do for the teams in the Futures portfolio. Then Matt finishes the show with a little “Let’s Do That Hockey”. Double your deposit with COOLBET: http://cool.bet/window Promo code: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) describes how he found out the Jets beat the Canucks, and his shock to see the underlying metrics of the game. Then it’s a discussion about not how important who the starting goaltender but WHEN it’s important. Then Matt breaks down the two games he’s bet in the NHL and what price he’s looking for to bet two more. Finally, he takes a few minutes to give out his specific even-strength ratings for each team in the North and Central Division this season. COOLBET link: http://cool.bet/window to double your first deposit. Promo Code: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives a refresher on the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model after a brief hiatus. He looks back at a profitable 1-1 night in the NHL, and why the Red Wings were NOT a bet (thankfully). Then Matt gives his take on the Tim Peel situation, and why we have to lower our expectations for referees, and understand what they should actually be there for. COOLBET link to double your deposit up to $200: http://cool.bet/window Promo code: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) and Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) to review the big takeaways from the first weekend of NCAA Tournament. What we did “Good”, pointing out the “Bad” Beats, and the “Ugly” games of the first weekend.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a weird Sunday, where the podcast hit both their big bets, but it’s the other games that left a mark on Bracket and Survivor Contests alike. Then it’s a look to Monday’s games with bets on more than half the games, for a hopefully exciting slate of games. * Double your deposit with COOLBET http://cool.bet/window Promo code: WINDOW *
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a nice betting day for the podcast, going 7-3 ATS and scoring a few more units on the Round-Robin Moneyline Parlay. Matt tells you why your bracket isn’t “busted”, but that the next two days will probably take care of that. Then it’s a look to Sunday’s games, and the 5 best bets for the second round. * Double your first deposit on COOLBET http://cool.bet/window *
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Friday’s first round action in the NCAA Tournament. What went right, and what went wrong for bets, brackets and survivor entries. Then it’s the Best Bets for Saturday (25:00), and who Matt’s got going in his Survivor pool. Double your first deposit with COOLBET http://cool.bet/window Promo code: WINDOW
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down his official bracket for #MarchMadness. Then it’s his 5 bets bets for Friday, the Round-Robin Moneyline Parlay and Survivor picks for the first day of the tournament. Coolbet link: http://cool.bet/window Promo code: Window
Matt Russell (mrussauthentic) is joined by Sportsnet’s Arash Madani (@ArashMadani) to discuss the NCAA tournament. Are players in other sports locked into the Tourney? How does Arash bet the Madness? How did he get by without betting sports last year? Then Andy Molitor (@AndyMSFW) joins the show, as we look for answers about which Mid-Majors we should be backing in the NCAA Tournament. Finally, the friends of podcast drop by with their bracket and March Madness stories of years gone by. *Double your first deposit with COOLBET.com: http://cool.bet/window
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Drew Dinsick (@Whale_Capper) to discuss all things March Madness. Matt and Drew discuss tournament history, their thoughts on the brackets and how Covid has affected team metrics this season. Drew gives a few of his best bets, and who he likes to win the title. Then Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) joins the show, to talk about his March Madness betting strategy, Survivor pools, and picking a bracket from a fan perspective, but taking the tournament game by game. COOLBET Promo Link: http://cool.bet/window Promo code: WINDOW
COOLBET Promo link (http://cool.bet/window) to double your first deposit. Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sportsnet’s Brad Fay (@SNBradFay) to discuss the early days of broadcasting the NCAA tournament in Canada, and the difference between the coverage in Canada and the U.S. Brad, the host of Raptors broadcasts in Canada, talks about how he found himself hosting March Madness coverage early in it’s existence, and his love for the tournament, before giving out his Final Four. Then it’s Ted Ballantyne (@tedballantyne) with his bracket, and his unique take on the tournament. Finally, Matt looks back at a nice sweep on the ice, and looks at a pair of ‘dogs with some value tonight.
Double your deposit at COOLBET.COM (http://cool.bet/window) and use the code: WINDOW. In a surprise episode, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out some tricks on how to win your bracket contest. It’s not just who you pick, but who else is picking them. Matt also gives out his early bets for the first round, after comparing the market to his numbers. Then it’s another edition of “Let’s Do That Hockey”, how to balance the numbers with the eye test.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his immediate reaction to one of his favourite days of the year - Selection Sunday. How did the bracket pan out for the teams’ he’s invested, who was overseeded, who was underseeded, and who is set up to fail? Then Matt gives out his spread projections for all the first round and play-in games. Here’s the link for the ‘double your deposit’ offer from Coolbet.com: http://cool.bet/window
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) takes a quick look back at a day that did not disappoint in college basketball, and looks forward to some heavyweight matchups for Friday. Plus, Matt talks about the big plans for the big tournament, starting on SUNDAY night. Then, after another brutal OT loss on the ice, Matt laments a winning night on the ice.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) marks the year anniversary of the COVID sports shutdown, and is super pumped to have the best volume day of college basketball back this year. He runs through all the games in the major conferences, with the what, how and why for betting the games. Then it’s a look ahead to a busy night for the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model in the NHL.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night with Gonzaga getting a test from BYU, and looks back at the tournament history for the Bulldogs - is there any truth to the narrative about Gonzaga? Then it’s “Let’s Do That Hockey”, lamenting a profitable night that could have been a monster with a pair of big underdogs blowing leads only to lose in OT.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne (@tedballantyne) to breakdown the conference tournaments in the ACC, BIG EAST, BIG TEN, BIG12, PAC-12, SEC. Ted guesses who Matt will be betting on, and if there’s a longshot flyer to play in each tournament. Matt gives out bets for Tuesday in both college hoops, and from the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model for the NHL.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the regular season in college basketball for the podcast. A profitable season, and a loaded tournament portfolio. Then it’s recap of the weekend for the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the irony of Thursday’s rough night on the ice. The idea of bad beats in hockey, and the chaos of overtime. Then Matt is joined by Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) to learn about the East and West Divisions in the NHL so far this season, and Kris tells us about being thrown into the world of oddsmaking for... curling. Finally, Matt gives out his point spread projections for Saturday in college basketball.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Villanova and Oregon wins as capitalizing on reliability versus just betting games based on the numbers. Then it’s a look at a massive board for the Central and North divisions in the NHL.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) announces a new opportunity for the podcast, looks back at a bizarre night in college basketball with some comically bad beats. Then Matt is joined by Mark Silver (@slivatola) to talk about the future of sports betting content in Canada and his new venture called ‘THE PARLEH’ (@theParleh). Then it’s “Let’s Do That Hockey”; the stingy Lightning, and any value in the Leafs-Oilers on Wednesday night?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne to look at some of the key players on teams in the middle of the pack in college basketball that you should be weary of heading into both the NCAA Tournament and the conference tournaments. Then Matt gives out 9 bets for Tuesday’s action in college basketball. But first, it’s “Let’s Do That Hockey” after a strong night on the ice with two underdog wins, and two more dogs to bet on Tuesday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down an annoying weekend where Matt should have actually increased his volume to best take advantage of his success this college basketball season. Plus, breaking down the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model and some statistical variance getting the best the of the bets on Saturday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Thursday in the NHL where the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model goes 2-2 with a pair of underdogs getting home to cover a lacklustre night in College Hoops. The picks went 2-3, so Matt talks about a pair of games where things went wrong in the second half. Then it’s running down the board for Saturday in college hoops, Matt gives out his numbers and potential leans in advance of the lines opening on Friday evening.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down another small profit in college hoops - what happened to Disu and Pippen for VANDY!? Then it’s 5 bets for Thursday night in College Basketball. Plus, “Let’s Do That Hockey” goes 2-0 on Wednesday, but hang on to your hats for a busy Thursday night, especially as we go digging for goaltender information.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by THE SCORE’s Alex Moretto, for an emergency discussion about the Canadiens firing head coach Claude Julien and what that means for a team that’s of particular interest to the analytics-driven hockey bettors. Plus, Matt discusses Wednesday’s games in the NHL, and a 4-3 night in College Basketball, with a handful of plays for Wednesday. But first, Matt touches on the Tiger Woods news.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friend of the show, Ted Ballantyne (@tedballantyne) to discuss the latest developments for the blue bloods in college basketball and the NCAA tournament bubble. Why Duke is now a shoo-in to make the tournament, and how the “First Four” might turn into must-see TV on a Thursday night. Then it’s “Let’s Do That Hockey” for Tuesday, after a pair of wins on Monday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down another Sunday winner in golf with Max Homa +800, and why his win mixes Matt’s affinity for Homa and the priority of winning money betting on sports. Then it’s a look back at a nice college hoops Saturday where the best bets went 11-4, and how not betting some of the best numbers discussed on Friday prevented an even bigger day. Then it’s “Let’s Do That Hockey” where the model went 6-2 in predicting value, but the games went 1-7. Matt explains how that can happen.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the big game for the podcast in Eugene, Oregon between the Ducks and Colorado Buffaloes. Then he looks ahead to Saturday’s games, with a first glance at his numbers before the sports books post their lines. Matt goes on to discuss the 10 teams he thinks can win the National Championship, and how that relates to the futures market. Finally, it’s a sneaky good Friday edition of “Let’s Do That Hockey”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Andy Molitor (@AndyMSFW), director of content at BETSPERTS, and co-host of the Deep Dive Podcast, to discuss Andy’s career path to the sports betting industry. The guys discuss college basketball betting, looking forward to not just the NCAA tournament but conference tournament play. Then Matt gives his plays for Thursday night in college hoops, and a pair of bets he’s looking at on the ice, after recapping a full split on Wednesday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down Tuesday night’s bets in college basketball, and adds six more plays for Wednesday night. Then he talks about a team he’s adding to the NCAA tournament futures portfolio. Then it’s back to the ice for “Let’s Do That Hockey” with three bets to make. Plus, a note about moneyline prices - when to bet a favourite, and when to bet on the underdog, relative to the model’s numbers.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at an outstanding night in NHL betting, with the Senators pulling a big comeback as a bigger underdog. Then Matt has six bets for Tuesday night in college basketball before being joined by Ted Ballantyne for their first March Madness primer, for those just catching up on the season so far.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back to the weekend in sports betting. What we learned from the games in college basketball and hockey, and how we can use what we notice about teams to make bets beyond the framework of just picking games. Then Matt looks ahead to Monday’s games; is there anything worth betting on “Big Monday”? How many games to bet on a big slate of NHL games?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night’s big tilt on the ice in Montreal, and a solid night on the college hoops hardwood. Matt’s got more plays than he knows what to do with in both college basketball (PAC-12) and the NHL.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a rough night in college basketball, as three games go the wrong way in the last 30 seconds. Then it’s a sunnier “Let’s Do That Hockey”, with a winning night on the ice and a lookahead to Wednesday night’s big game between the Maple Leafs and the Canadiens.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) to put a cap on SUPERBOWL LV and a pair of sketchy moves around the auxiliary prop markets. But first, Matt looks back at Monday night in college hoops, and another nice win for Ohio State. Then it’s our daily edition of “Let’s Do That Hockey”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to break down the ins and out of SUPERBOWL LV, and all the perils of the props. Then it’s a Monday edition of “Let’s Do That Hockey” after a successful weekend, and a look at nice board in college hoops on Monday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down SUPERBOWL LV from a betting perspective. What’s the deal with the point spread and total? How is Matt betting the prop markets? He goes through his belief on how the game will play out with both teams strategically and gives out his bets that match those concepts. Yardage props, a Brady bet, a Mahomes bet, some dark horse MVP talk, and more action than you’ll know what to do with come Sunday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a wacky night in NCAA basketball with upsets in the top-10, and a rough night for the picks. Then it’s “Let’s Do That Hockey” for a big Thursday slate. Finally, the friends of the podcast join the show to crown Brandon as the winner of the first ever “VANIER”. The boys each give their favorite prop bet, and what food item they’re bringing to a virtual SUPERBOWL party.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night’s tough beat for Hoosiers bettors on an otherwise successful night. Getting the Hawks +150 to a coin flip but it lands tails for a split on the ice. Then Matt gives his key thoughts for how he’s going to be the SUPERBOWL this weekend.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks at the college basketball slate on Tuesday, and did he miss his chance for a big night on Monday on the hard court? Then it’s “Let’s Do That Hockey” with four plays on the ice for a busy Tuesday. Finally, Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) joins the show to talk about how he bets the SUPERBOWL and what to make of the Patrick Reed controversy over the weekend, and much more.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) still can’t believe how bad the Senators goaltending is, the latest on the ‘Ya Blew It’ theory, and why it’s a favourites night on the ice. But first, is there any betting takeaways to the Stafford-Goff trade? Plus, a look back at college basketball betting from the weekend, and is there any plays to make on “Big Monday”?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the futures board for the NCAA Tournament, looking for teams that can increase their win probability between now and Selection Sunday. Plus, a further explanation of “Ya Blew It” in “Let’s Do That Hockey”. Then Ted Ballantyne joins the podcast looking to Rumble.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a big night in college basketball but how one loss can aggravate more than 7 wins can delight. Are we making our first real foray into PAC-12 basketball? Then it’s “Let’s do that hockey” as we wonder if the Senators goaltending is going to break the model, and how another shootout loss at least has us on the right track. Finally, the best bets for the NHL on Thursday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) answers a listener question about why he doesn’t bet underdog moneylines in college basketball, but not before discussing volume in betting hoops, and does he have too many games he likes on Wednesday night? Finally, Matt closes the show with another “Let’s Do That Hockey” segment, talking about whether the model is doing what we ask it to do, and a new theory on NHL back-to-back games called “Ya Blew It”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) does an early season refresher on what it means to use a model to handicap sports, specifically hockey. Using outlier examples like the Senators-Canucks game on Monday, Matt shows how it can go wrong based on the human element of sports. Finally, Matt gives out a handful of hockey plays for the games on Tuesday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to discuss the Championship games from Sunday. The decisions by Matt LaFleur and Sean McDermott to kick field goals are the primary focus as Matt and Sheldon try to convince each other that kicking was at least defensible in each game. Plus, a quick look ahead to SUPERBOWL LV.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the best betting angles for Championship Sunday in the NFL. A tried and true strategy for the NFC Championship, and a couple players to look to back in the prop markets. Then it’s the AFC Championship game, where Matt is worried less about Patrick Mahomes head than he is his toe. How the Bills can win the game by using an offensive strategy that they once deployed in the past, and will the weather be an issue for both offences? Finally, Matt looks at the “Let’s Do That Hockey” Model for Friday with three games worth betting.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Friends of the Podcast to auction off the 4 sides and 4 totals available for NFL Conference Championship Sunday, as strategy gets cranked up looking ahead to the Super Bowl. But first, Matt breaks down a bummer night on the ice as the ‘Let’s Do That Hockey’ model goes 0-2 in part due to an unnecessary adjustment to the Oilers-Leafs, and a massive outlier game in Vancouver, with a shootout loss.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down record keeping in sports betting in the context of a hot start to college basketball season and a slow start for the ‘Let’s Do That Hockey’ model in the NHL, even after a profitable night for both. Matt gives out two plays in the NHL, with full write-up accompaniment on the Action Network. Plus, the first of a few plays in college basketball for Wednesday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a bad night for the “Let’s Do That Hockey” model in the NHL, and talks about the basics in measuring the markets reaction to teams based on preseason point totals. Then it’s another edition of “Tuesday’s with Ted” where the boys wonder what the future is for fan reactions to point spread affecting plays. Ted gives his take on the Nets, and the guys wonder what they’re supposed to believe when it comes to the Patrick Mahomes injury situation.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander), making his triumphant return to podcast to breakdown the fumble-INs and 3-yard OUTs of the NFL Divisional round. How the Rams could have covered in Green Bay. Why Josh Allen dodged the fate that befell Lamar Jackson, why rules and coaching matter in Kansas City, and the end of Drew Brees in New Orleans.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the four big NFL playoff games this weekend as part of the Divisional Round. Can the Rams hang with Rodgers? Why Lamar isn’t the one to worry about in the snow (22:10). Can the Chiefs flip the playoff switch, if there ever is one? (42:30) And, why the number in the BUCS/SAINTS game tells you all you need to know (58:56). Plus, looking back at Thursday night, and ahead to the weekend in “Let’s Do That Hockey” (1:16:15).
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friends of the podcast Brandon Lefebvre (@Tweets_Tweets19), David Pereira (@djp55) and Ashish Bharti (@PhysioGuyAB) for the second round of “THE VANIER”, where the boys will bid on all 16 sides and totals for the coming NFL playoff games this weekend, as they accumulate their 13 ‘bets’ to see who wins the first ever VANIER. Then it’s another edition of “Let’s Do That Hockey”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Alex Moretto (@alexjmoretto), Supervising Editor, Sports Betting at The Score, to discuss the upcoming NHL season. Who are the mispriced teams in the Futures markets? Who should you fade this season? Are there any good bets in the first nights of the season? Plus, Alex tells Matt who he likes against the spread in the NFL divisional round, and who he’s looking at for prop bets. But first, Alex tells his story of betting sports at a young age, and a story of getting into “trouble” that you won’t want to miss.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friend of the podcast to breakdown the Alabama National title and what it may mean for betting futures in the Covid era, along with the uncertainty of each sports’ seasons. Then Matt gets us set for the NHL season and his plan for betting regular season hockey, a change in strategy for him, with the abbreviated season. Including a look at three games on Wednesday’s opening night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back with anger at the Super Wild Card Weekend in the NFL. Matt celebrates the wins, and commiserates with the listener on the losses, breaking down some of the weekends’ most unfathomable coaching decisions that cost their teams their season, and bettors their bets. Finally, it’s a look at the College Football National Championship Game, and why Matt hasn’t made a bet yet.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down each of the six (!) wild card games, as the playoffs start in the NFL this weekend. Best bets ATS, totals, derivatives, props and live-betting strategy for each and every game in Super Wild Card weekend. BILLS-COLTS (0:00) RAMS-SEAHAWKS (34:00) BUCS-WFT (43:30) BAL-TEN (57:00) CHI-NO (1:13:00) CLE-PIT (1:26:00)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friends of the podcast; Ashish Bharti, Brandon Lefebvre, and David Pereira to partake in the first ever “VANIER”, an auction style NFL playoff pool where the participants bid for all the sides and totals for the upcoming NFL Wild Card Weekend, and subsequently for the remaining games in the playoffs up to and including the Super Bowl. What teams got the most and least interest relative to the spread this weekend? What totals are the hardest to predict? And, what’s the best strategy to use for your “WindowCoin”?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his best bets for college basketball on Wednesday, but not before an old fashioned “Don’t look back in anger” segment about Tuesday’s 4-4 split, a profitable night ruined by the Missouri Tigers meltdown at Mississippi State. Plus, is it time to hop on the Rams before it’s too late?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) takes a first look to Wild Card weekend in the NFL. Is the line too high in Buffalo? Comparing LAR/SEA to their matchup two weeks ago. How can the WFT keep up with Tompa? Buying what the Ravens are selling? The Saints ready to roll? WHAT to make of the Browns continued Covid issues? Plus, College basketball games we’re watching tonight with financial interest.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at week 17 as a close to the weird NFL regular season. Matt breaks down his season-long record; contests, best bets, the teaser bucket and the underdog moneyline parlays. He discusses the concept of luck in a short sample size relative to what your long-term baseline is. But first, we need to discuss what we watched on Sunday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his final pick for your Survivor pool, and discusses some game theory for both Survivor and ATS contests heading into Week 17. Then Matt gives out his plays for the contest as he tries to grab a piece of the cash in CIRCA MILLION and why those picks aren’t necessarily the best bets this week. Matt gives out his top plays, and runs down the board as lines move fast and furious on the season’s final Sunday morning.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) talks about the year that was 2020 for him and the birth of the podcast. Then it’s the best clips from the guests that shared their time with Matt and the listeners of THE WINDOW as part of the “From The Window to the Screen” series. Chad Millman, Dave Tuley, Drew Dinsick, Preston Johnson, Collin Wilson, Matty Simo and Kris Abbott tell various stories from their history in the betting industry.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back the Bills-Patriots game, with a theory on why that line was “only” BUF -7; why the numbers-centric bettor kept it in check. Then it’s a look ahead to Week 17 (18:00) to find which lines are artificially inflated in the NFL’s wackiest week. Finally, Matt breaks down his bets for an intensive College Football Bowl slate this week (1:01:00).
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a wild weekend in the NFL from a betting perspective. The Packers play in the snow, the Chiefs play with fire, and Jerry Jeudy plays hot potato. The Steelers save their season, while the Browns put theirs in jeopardy. What did people know about Matt Stafford’s injury and what do we know about Jared Goff’s injury replacement. Plus, JJ Watt’s leadership tactic - too little too late?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his best bets - the CIRCA MILLION plays (43-31-2) and the last cuts for the contest. Also, the Survivor plan continues with two weeks to go, who’s the play for Week 16. Then Matt breaks down the rest of the board for Sunday - Showdown games, Mow Down games, and Hoedown games in the season’s final weeks. Teaser pieces go into the teaser bucket and why a couple of underdogs might be worth a look in the round-robin moneyline parlay.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Paul Burns (@CanadianGaming) to discuss the big changes coming for Canadian sports bettors. Bill C-13 is being pushed through the House of Commons, with expectation for a change to the criminal code in 2021. Paul and Matt discuss the timing for these changes, what it means for bettors, and the benefits to the economy. Things that apply to not just Canada but various states in the USA.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) to discuss the start of the NBA season, as the boys throw a few darts at various futures markets. But first, Matt looks back at the mess that was the Steelers performance in a must-win game against the lowly Bengals, and the first look at Week 16 in the NFL. Finally, Matt breaks down the holiday schedule for the podcast.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to break down the betting situation for the Sunday games in the NFL.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) hands out his best bets - the CIRCA MILLION plays (41-28-1) and the last cuts for the contest. Plus, still alive in your Survivor pool? Matt continues to follow his map to Survivor glory, with a pick for Week 15. Then it’s a last look at the morning line moves on the board, prop bets for each game, who to tease and the round-robin moneyline parlay.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) handicaps each game in the NFL this weekend, starting with the Saturday doubleheader (10:46), then it’s a look at the board for Sunday: Bears-Vikings (26:30), Texans-Colts (37:10), Lions-Titans (42:48), Jaguars-Ravens (48:40), Patriots-Dolphins (52:50), Seahawks-WFT (57:52), 49ers-Cowboys (60:28), Bucs-Falcons (67:16), Jets-Rams (76:05), Cardinals-Eagles (80:33), Chiefs-Saints (87:04), Browns-Giants (93:35), Steelers-Bengals (99:36).
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) discusses why we have to bite the bullet and back the Chargers again, because of the value created due to the injury report. He’s got player props for the game as well - how does Keenan Allen’s injury create value for a couple of unfamiliar names? Then it’s a look ahead to Championship Weekend in College Football with a sprinkle of random regular season finales on the schedule as well. Does this setup for a big weekend for underdog moneylines?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) takes a look ahead to Week 15 in the NFL, where some value lies in the Thursday Nighter, and are there any lines to jump on for the weekend? Plus, how to deal with and what to do with some of our season-long player props bets - is it worth cashing out on one, and why the better Chiefs do the better our chances are to cash a couple other tickets, even if we don’t have any Chiefs player props tickets. But first, shouts to everyone who reached out about Kareem Hunt!
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the fiasco in MNF, but not in the way that you might think. The bad beat on the Browns pales in comparison to a prop Matt gave out on twitter on Kareem Hunt. Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) joins the show to discuss, and to breakdown the Canelo Alvarez match against Callum Smith this Saturday. Ted’s got an interesting take on the underdog.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to lament a tilting Sunday in the NFL. Do the Chiefs not want to cover a spread, and why does the NFL not want us to care? Matthew Stafford AND Chase Daniel backdoor the Packers. The Vikings opt to employ a headcase kicker. The Eagles opt for happiness. Plus, who did we learn more about on Sunday Night Football, and who to bet on Monday Night Football.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) hands out his best bets - the CIRCA MILLION plays (38-26-1) and the last cuts for the contest. Plus, still alive in your Survivor pool? Matt continues to map out the plan for Survivor victory with the easiest option for Week 14. Then it’s a last look at the morning line moves on the board, some prop bets for each game, a ton of teaser options, and the round-robin moneyline parlay.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) cheers the Rams and Cam Akers, before getting deeper in to the Sunday slate for Week 14 in the NFL - the usual menu of dirty dogs, and maybe some surprising favourites that will hit his plate this Sunday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the Thursday Nighter between the Patriots and the Rams - why a tweak to the Rams offence from their SBLIII matchup might create some value in the prop markets. Why’s the line on the move from 6.5 to 4.5? Then, Matt takes a spin through what’s left of the college football board this weekend, including a play for tonight’s game between PITT and Georgia Tech.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last night’s Ravens win over the Cowboys and how you as the bettor should react to the Cowboys effort. Then it’s the rest of the early lines in the NFL for Week 14, a slate that’s fast approaching. Finally, after a successful night in college hoops, Matt has 9 plays to keep an eye to see if we’re getting closer to “ready” for the season.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) to discuss the Monday doubleheader in the NFL, how the prop market can be a good alternative to betting a side you’re not in love with. Then the guys talk about fantasy football, how VAR is increasing penalties in soccer and some prop bets for the Cowboys and Ravens. Finally, Matt introduces the parade gif frenzy for the listeners to take part in when we have success with our bets.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to celebrate and commiserate a wild Sunday in the NFL. The best bets go 5-2 but could easily have been a sweep of the board. The guys talk about the Jets conspiracy, more Survivor close calls, and lookahead to the pair of games on Monday, as both have significant line moves.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) hands out his best bets - the CIRCA MILLION plays (35-24-1) and the last cuts for the contest. Even though the ‘Friends of the Podcast’ entry is dead for CIRCA SURVIVOR, Matt still has a play for your pool. Then it’s a last look at the morning line moves on the board, and who to play in teasers and the moneyline round-robin parlay.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down each game for Sunday in the NFL from a betting perspective. Why some big point spreads are worth taking and others are worth avoiding, how will a handful of teams adjust in a divisional rematch, and where is there some value relative to market opinion this late in the season.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Wednesday Afternoon Football game between the Ravens and Steelers as the prop bets and BAL +10.5 split the day. Then Matt touches on the 3-1 day in college hoops as we dip our toe into the big games there. Then Matt looks at the board for the college football weekend ahead - is time to stay away from the sports’ biggest names?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Champions Classic, and college basketball’s reminder that endgame is everything. Then it’s a deep plunge into the prop market for the Ravens tilt with the Steelers (17:00) - is there some value with the uncertainty this game presents?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friend of the podcast, Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) to discuss the shocking finish to the Seahawks and Eagles Monday-Nighter. Then they boys discuss the silly sports from the past weekend. Matt takes a first look at the board for Week 13 in the NFL. Is there anything that we need to bet, to avoid a Seahawks-like beat?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to break down a complete fiasco of a Sunday in the NFL. Anthony Lynn and Shane Steichen take their incompetence to unfathomable levels. Adam Gase looks on with jealousy that even he couldn’t be THAT bad. The Browns and Giants find themselves unable to impress. The Titans and Falcons are able to, making us happy. Bill flexes his coaching brain, the no QB game in Denver and KC making us wonder what exactly is going on. Plus, the NFC West Vicious Cycle continues to be profitable.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) hands out his best bets - the CIRCA MILLION plays (32-22-1) and the last cuts for the contest. Even though the ‘Friends of the Podcast’ entry is dead for CIRCA SURVIVOR, Matt still has a pair of options for your pool. Then it’s a last look at the morning line moves on the board, and who to play in teasers and the moneyline round-robin parlay.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the death of the “Friends of the Podcast Entry” in CIRCA SURVIVOR. Then Matt gets deep into the rest of the Week 12 board, breaking down the games and giving out where he sees value and games he will be betting, or has already. Why the BUCS might be a little too sharp for his liking, why the Jets might win a game, and all the other dogs that might be getting the leftover treatment this Thanksgiving weekend.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) explains a wild Wednesday where a major tech crash wipes out recording, and the guest for the Thanksgiving preview. Plus, the Ravens and Steelers gets postponed throwing a massive wrench into the ‘Friends of the Podcast’ entry in CIRCA SURVIVOR. Who will the crew take to move on, with just three teams to choose from??
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a disappointing Monday Nighter for Tampa backers, and eye test on Tom Brady. Then Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) joins the show as the boys do an ‘intro to power ratings’ as they put the NFL teams in tiers going forward. Matt explains why there is no college basketball preview THIS week, before taking a quick look at the slate for week 12 in the NFL.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to breakdown Sunday’s NFL action where the CIRCA MILLION plays went 4-0 as the public struggled on a very contrarian day. The guys discuss the Ravens struggles, getting big wins from the Texans and Broncos, the usual Anthony Lynn mess, the Joe Burrow injury and the Cowboys getting a second wind. Also, a best bet for Monday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his plays for the CIRCA MILLION contest and discusses why the Chargers are the correct pick in CIRCA SURVIVOR. Then it’s a last look at the line moves on the board, and who to play in teasers and the moneyline round-robin parlay
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down each and every game for week 11 in the NFL from a betting perspective against the spread. Why there may be value in some ugly home underdogs and translating the news and market moves that have changed the lines already, and where they might be headed for Sunday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down his play for the Cardinals and Seahawks Thursday Nighter. Then he runs through the college football schedule this weekend, looking for where value might lie. But first, looking back at not betting the NBA Draft.
It’s the return of the “FROM THE WINDOW TO THE SCREEN” series. Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) talks with Drew Dinsick (@Whale_Capper) about his journey from a sports fan in the DMV and his path to California and a second career in the sports betting industry. Drew opens up about his introduction to sports betting, the good fortune of having all his teams be good enough to also bet on, and how he used his engineering background to build models to help him handicap NFL, NBA and tennis. The guys talk about the state of the industry in 2020, how Drew met his podcast partner Andy Molitor, and the genesis of his twitter alias. Finally, Matt gets Drew’s take on the games for Week 11 and the big Thanksgiving Day decision for those in CIRCA SURVIVOR.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) to discuss the Monday monstrosity that was the Bears offence, the thin line between covering and not in the NFL even with an atrocious offence. Then Matt finds out if Ted bet Dustin Johnson to win The MASTERS and the boys chop it up about the moves made and to be made in the NBA. Finally, Matt looks forward to Week 11 in the NFL seeking out value in a couple games he’s already bet, and games he’s looking forward to betting.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to discuss the insanity of some of the finishes to the NFL games on Sunday - the Hail Murray, Chubb’s big move, Jake Luton almost being a hero, and Doug Pederson as played by Jon Hamm.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his plays in the CIRCA MILLION contest along with the other best bets for Week 10 in the NFL. Plus, who are they taking in CIRCA SURVIVOR for the “Friends of the Podcast” entry. Then Matt looks at the board and the line moves on Sunday morning. Finally, the best teaser plays and where there’s value in an underdog moneyline parlay.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Colts win over the Titans, and the pervasiveness of making excuses for losing bets online. Then it’s a game-by-game breakdown of the slate in Week 10 of the NFL. Is the block too hot for the Bengals? Is anyone going to bet the WFT-Lions game whenever a line is released for that game? Plus, why the Eagles should fly, daring the Ravens not to, and much more.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the Thursday Night Football matchup between the Colts and Titans, as the line moves, changing favourites. Matt also breaks down why betting John Rahm live was a better move than Bryson given their shaky starts. Then it’s a lookahead to the non-MACTION week in college football.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by The Action Network’s Joshua Perry (@joshuaperry22) to break down who he likes for The Masters. Who are the best value plays in the various markets, and who does Joshua think is a big fade this week. Also, can you bet on Bryson? Does anyone want to bet on Patrick Reed?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down another stressful prime time game in CIRCA SURVIVOR for the friends of the podcast entry with the Patriots win over the Jets. Then it’s a first run down of the board for Week 10, looking for value early, or waiting on a number. Finally, Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) is back for his weekly segment where he and Matt breakdown the aftermath from their betting on the election, and who should be the guest picker for ESPN’s College Gameday this Saturday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friend of the podcast and host of the ON BLAST PODCAST NETWORK, Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) to break down Week 9 of the NFL from a betting perspective. Why the Saints aren’t 35 points better than Tampa, even if it looked like they might be, why the spot was good for Buffalo, Tua’s coming out party, Luton-mania??, Alex Smith man, the TWO fades from the Chargers, and why Carolina and Dallas came up just short. Plus, Sunday’s theme - atrocious officiating, that is more than a one day thing.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his best bets for Week 9, including the 5 picks against the spread in the CIRCA MILLION contest. He looks at the most popular picks in both the CIRCA MILLION and CIRCA SURVIVOR. Then Matt reviews the board, and the line moves on Sunday morning. Finally, the best teaser plays and where there’s value on the Moneyline.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the thin line in the NFL that creates game script, and the importance of understanding that in making and grading your bets. Then it’s a key stat, matchup, or metric for each of the games on Sunday in the NFL as Matt digs for value against the spread on the way to finding his best bets for the weekend. Why the WFT and Jacksonville Jaguars are leading the way as attractive plays. Plus, Matt breaks down a game or two where his mind has changed from early in the week. Then Matt looks at why it’s not going to be as bad as last week for the Cowboys QB situation, even if they’re not a play on Sunday. Finally, the big game of the week comes to us on Sunday Night Football, and why Matt still isn’t buying the Saints.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the roster chaos for the Packers and 49ers, and why the reaction to the missing players in the Thursday Night game might be a little too drastic. Then it’s a full rundown of the weekend in college football, including a look at Notre Dame/Clemson, Georgia/Florida and BYU/Boise...
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the craziest live-betting situation he’s ever seen - and it came on a night without sports. How the live markets that nailed it in 2016, got it wrong in 2020. Plus, the NFL week 9 first look. There’s already a handful of plays Matt needs to make before the numbers change. Finally, the return of the MAC - something worth betting on in MACtion.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ted Ballantyne to discuss the growing betting markets surrounding the U.S. election. Treating it like a sports match - where is the best value on the “moneyline” and the “spread”. Plus, the best prop bets around the voting, and what the best bets are for the state-by-state markets. But first, Matt looks back at Monday Night Football after an easy win for the side, but a bad beat for those with the under.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the good, the bad, and the Sunday Night Football from Sunday’s slate in the NFL. Why the best bet he made was a momentum killer. How did we end up 3-2 on a day that seemed destined for disaster? Then, is it ALL Anthony Lynn’s fault? Finally, the play to make for Monday Night Football.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his five CIRCA MILLION plays for the week, along with the other bets worth making that didn’t make the cut. He’s got the lowdown on the CIRCA SURVIVOR contest including his pick, and what the popular plays are in that contest as well as the CIRCA MILLION. Finally, it’s a rundown of the Sunday slate, breaking down the line moves, and handing out underdog moneyline plays for a round-robin parlay, along with the best teaser plays for the day.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) previews the Sunday slate in the NFL, finding a handful of spots where it’s a “do or die” game for one of the teams, even this early in the season. Then, what to do about the Chiefs and Jets, and is it finally the week for a Cowboys cover?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) discusses the way to bet the Thursday Night game in the NFL, between the Falcons and the Panthers, and why he’s having to move up one of the podcast mainstay segments. Then it’s a look at the board in College Football, even if it means some regret on missing a few key numbers from early in the week.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a wild night both on AND off the field in game six of the World Series. Why Kevin Cash swung back too hard on relying on the analytics, and why you need to blame him not the analytics as a whole. Plus, the point that many defenders of the move to remove Snell are missing that we were all over exactly one week ago. Then, Matt goes over the division and conference futures markets in the NFL, and why it’s nearing your last chance to find some value in some unlikely places, and couple of obvious ones.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the Monday Night Football matchup, and how sometimes it takes a full week to sniff out where the value lies. Did that game create some value in Week 8? Matt looks at the board to see if there are any prices to target this week. Plus, Matt gives his take on Tua, why the Chargers could be a top-5 team, though we’ll never admit it. Then it’s “Tuesday’s with Ted” where the boys breakdown why only a couple of fans are needed at baseball games, and why Ted went too far chasing a totals trend in the Premier League.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Sunday in the NFL that had him go 4-4-1 in the best bets with a handful of bets that went sideways thanks to special teams blunders. Why the Lions were the right side all along, and two of the worst bets of the year. Finally, a look at the MNF matchup, and why a rare occurrence might be happening in the “buy low, sell high” category of the NFL market.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his five CIRCA MILLION plays for the week along with the last cuts that make the “Best Bets” list, and then he looks at the most popular plays in the Circa contests. Finally, it’s a run down of the Sunday slate- the official teaser bucket, the Underdog ML bucket and any totals, props and other derivative markets worth playing.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down an emotional night of sweating the “Friends of the Podcast” entry in Survivor with the Eagles winning thanks to a desperation win. Matt breaks down why the bet on the spread at -3.5 is one he’d make again. Then it’s the full rundown of the NFL slate in Week 7. Are the Jets live to beat the Bills? Can the Broncos “stay hot” against the Chiefs? All the leans after a week of analysis.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friend of the podcast, Brandon Lefebvre (@Tweets_Tweets19), as they make an aggressive selection for the Circa Survivor contest. Then Matt explains why he felt bad about an error of omission even amongst the pleasure of watch the Rays even the World Series. Finally, Matt runs down the largest slate we’ve seen with college football this season, with a play for Thursday night and a look to the weekend.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the decision that drowned the Rays in game one of the World Series. Why it was completely uncharacteristic of what the Rays do, and how baseball as a whole is done, in this decade. Matt points out the differences between the NFL, NHL, NBA and MLB in handicapping games using various analytics and why in some cases, they’re better used for after the result is in. Finally, is there a bet to be made for Game Two of the World Series? And would he press his bet on the Rays to win it all?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down what on earth happened in Big D(isappointment) last night. Looking back at how we handicapped both games on Monday and where we were right and where we were wrong. Then it’s a lookahead to week 7’s schedule - did Monday’s games create any value for the next week? Then it’s a reminder to bet the Rays in the World Series, and Matt pulls back the curtain on podcast production, lamenting a great “Tuesday’s with Ted” that won’t be making it to air.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) digs deep into a successful Sunday in the NFL where the best bets went 6-0, but the moneyline round-robin flew too close to the sun. Why the “analytics-based” decisions made in the NFL were in some cases better than the talking heads would have you believe, and in an other case - wasn’t an analytics-based decision at all. But first, Matt gives his take on the TWO Monday night games, including a game in Dallas that could score him a rare 5-0 in Circa Million. Finally, the bet to make for the World Series and why Matt thinks the line is wrong.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) to get the “Friends of the Podcast” CIRCA SURVIVOR pick for the week. Then Matt gives out his five CIRCA MILLION plays for the week, and looks at the most popular plays in the Contest. Then it’s a run down of the Sunday slate- the official teaser bucket, the Underdog ML bucket and any totals, props and other derivative markets worth playing.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) runs down the board for week 6 in the NFL, discussing why many of the games at this point in the season have the same theme from a market perspective. Plus, the teaser bucket moves up to Friday! But first, we rehash Thursday’s loss with Georgia State and why those type of losses are easiest to swallow. Plus, a break down of the ALCS and NLCS - what to do we make of those series going forward?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at last in MLB where the Astros were able to dodge Karma, and where the Dodgers launched balls astronomically. Then, fresh from the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers moneyline upset on Wednesday, Matt goes back to the well with a Fun Belt underdog in the lone football game Thursday. Finally, a rundown of the slate in college football this weekend where the leans are and Matt’s take on the Georgia-Alabama game.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the ALCS and Houston fighting a battle against the karmic forces of sport. How the Dodgers and Braves have a value conflict issue. Then it’s a look back to Tuesday night’s football game, and the surprise injury issue that tilted the game early. Finally, it’s a full investigation of the NFL Player Stat leader market - Passing yards leader, Rushing yards leader, and Receiving yards leader - where we find a 150-1 longshot that has some value. PLUS, a college football play for Wednesday night in Sun Belt.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a bullet dodged on Monday Night Football, and how that game informs the season as a whole. Plus, a few options for how to play the Bills-Titans in Tuesday Night Football, and an early look at the board for Week 6. Then it’s “Don’t Look Back in Anger” at Monday’s baseball games and how errors blow up a handicap. Then it’s another edition of “Tuesday’s with Ted” as the boys look back at the Sunday night football reaction and the NBA Finals.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) recaps the ups and downs of Sunday in the NFL. Why a pair of QB injury stories had a major affect on the spreads, how Philip Rivers and Tom Brady look more and more similar by the week, and how the Texans came through big for the Friends of the Podcast, but they might be even worse than we thought. But first, a pair of bets to make in the MLB Championship Series for Thanksgiving Monday in Canada.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by David Pereira (@djp55) to get the “Friends of the Podcast” CIRCA SURVIVOR pick for the week. Then Matt gives out his five CIRCA MILLION plays for the week, and looks at the most popular plays in the Contest. Then it’s a run down of the Sunday slate- the official teaser bucket, the Underdog ML bucket and any totals, props and other derivative markets worth playing.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) takes a bit of a victory lap about the Bears pick, not because it was some great call, but because of the week that lead to it. Then it’s a look at the Sunday slate in the NFL and where he’s at with the games ATS. Then it’s what to do about the Yankees big synthetic series price in game 5. Finally, who does Matt like in the NBA Finals game 5?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) goes through each series in MLB, breaking down Wednesday’s results and how to bet each game/series going forward for optimal success. Then it’s a look at the Thursday Nighter in Chicago, followed by a rundown of the board in College Football for Saturday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the MLB slate from Tuesday and how it affects his betting plan for the 4 games on Wednesday. Plus, why he would have been happy to get a win being on the wrong side with the Lakers, more than usual.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a rough Monday from a betting perspective as the NFL games went how Matt expected except for one play sending the spread result sideways. Then it’s an early look at NFL Week 5, finding some targets to bet early in the week. Then Matt gets into MLB Postseason action for Tuesday with all kinds of different moves to make in the four series, including a surprise starter for San Diego. Then, where it the value for Game 4 of the NBA Finals, and why there might be an over adjustment to the line.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a rough weekend for him personally and on the gridiron Sunday. Which bet was his worst of the year? Why you CAN’T just fade bad coaches blindly in the NFL, and having to just hope they don’t completely screw it up. Then it’s a look ahead to a pair of MNF games. Finally, a look at the Division Series in MLB, and why the favourites might be the play in the American League.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) of COOLBET.COM to get the “Friends of the Podcast” CIRCA SURVIVOR pick for the week. Then Matt gives out his five CIRCA MILLION plays for the week, and looks at the most popular plays in the Contest. Then it’s a run down of the Sunday slate- the official teaser bucket, the Underdog ML bucket and any totals, props and other derivative markets worth playing.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down how the Thursday Nighter went from bad to worse, and why if you luck yourself into a win like that, it’s best not to out yourself as being bad at sports betting. Then it’s a rundown of Sunday’s slate in the NFL. Finally, looking back at MLB action on Thursday, and are there any plays left to be made in the Wild Card round. Finally, what to do for game two in the NBA Finals, a bet that might surprise you.
Matt Russell (mrussauthentic) looks back at a monster night in The NBA Finals thanks to a near clean sweep in the props bets that Matt tweeted out on Wednesday. Then it’s a look back at the historic MLB postseason slate, and how the first and (almost) last game were just the worst. Then it’s a rundown of Saturday’s college football board - who Matt’s bet on, who he’s looking at, and at what number he wants for each game. Finally, why he hates everything about the Thursday Nighter - and it might not be why you’d think.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) has something for every series in action on Wednesday’s unprecedented slate of eight MLB Postseason games. Then it’s a belated edition of ‘Tuesday’s with Ted’ as he and Matt discuss the NBA Finals and how so much money is coming in on the Heat, that it’s creating Lakers value, including a “deal” on a certain King to win MVP.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Coolbet Canada’s Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) to discuss MLB Wild Card Series prices and where the money is going at Coolbet.com. Plus, the boys settle their win totals bet from the Regular Season preview (7.22); who got the edge on 11 win totals that they disagreed on, before the shortened season. Finally, Matt gives his plays for the series, how he’s handling futures bets, and individual game betting.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the good, the bad and the Eagles from NFL Week 3. How the games from Sunday will affect the betting for Week 4, and a play for Monday Night Football. Then it’s the rest of the story in sports - NBA, NHL, and a recap of the regular season in MLB from a betting standpoint.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Ashish Bharti to get the “Friends of the Podcast” CIRCA SURVIVOR pick for the week. Then Matt gives out his five CIRCA MILLION plays for the week, and looks at the most popular plays in the Contest. Then it’s a run down of the Sunday slate- the official teaser bucket, the Underdog ML bucket and any totals, props and other derivative markets worth playing.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the night in sports on Thursday - why he didn’t bet the Nuggets live, why the Blue Jays clinching a playoff spot creates some value in both the short and long term, and why there’s still nothing to bet in the Stanley Cup Final. Then it’s a full rundown of the week 3 slate in the NFL, and why the theme of the weekend is “the stinkier, the better”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a busy night, with the Lightning taking a lead in the Stanley Cup Final, live-betting the NBA action and why betting the series price is actually a decent idea, at +400. Then it’s a look at the Thursday Night Football game - do the Jags deserve to be favoured? By three?! Matt then looks back at another wild night on the diamond, in the daily Twins update - and why there’s something of a hedge in the air. Finally, a rundown of this week’s college football board, before Matt locks in his bets on Saturday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) talks about his own shortcomings in NBA betting, but why he’d make the losing bet he made last night every single time. Then it’s a recap of a wild night for his A.L. Futures bet, and whether he’ll hedge the Twins. Plus, a closer look at the state of the Padres NL Pennant bet and one team to add to the account and why. Then Matt touches on the Stanley Cup Final game 3, and adds two bets ATS in the NFL, explaining why in the first edition of “Wise Wednesday”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down betting a big favourite in the Stanley Cup Final, what the MNF game did for week 3 value even in a losing cause from a betting standpoint. Then it’s a quick update from the MLB division parlay we’re chasing. Finally, Ted Ballantyne joins the show to discuss his betting efforts in the NFL this past Sunday and discussion of Bryson Dechambeau and conflicting feelings about what he’s doing and “who” he is, in another edition of “Tuesday’s w/ Ted”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the Sunday games in the NFL. Why another teaser sweep wasn’t actually all that impressive, a nice 4-1 day with the best bets, and who he was most disappointed in on the field - looking at you, Pennsylvania! Then it’s an overview of the NBA playoffs after a devastating loss for the Nuggets, and what to do about the Celtics. Also, a play for game 2 in the Stanley Cup Final that has less to do with analytics and pricing than it usually does. Finally, a look back at the US Open, and why Dechambeau winning was a surprise, and how Matthew Wolff screwed Matt again. Then it’s a recap of a near mega-sweep in college football, and what Matt’s sweating in MLB for the season’s final week.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his five CIRCA MILLION plays for the week, and looks at the most popular plays in the Contest. Then it’s a run down of the Sunday slate- the official teaser bucket, the Underdog ML bucket and any totals, props and other derivative markets worth playing.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) re-visits why we call the daily segment “Don’t Look Back in Anger”, after a double barrel bad beat session from Thursday night. Then it’s on to everything but Cincinnati, for a break down of the week 2 slate in the NFL. Plus, the Stanley Cup Final is set, and Matt has run the numbers on who should be favoured and what the price should be. Does it align with the market?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down why he likes one side a lot more than you might think in the Thursday Nighter. Then it’s a play in the Eastern Conference Finals, and a look ahead to Saturday’s college football slate.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by The Action Network’s Collin Wilson (@_collin1) to take a look at the U.S. Open with an eye on live-betting the tournament. They discuss why “gambling twitter” is doing it wrong, who their live targets are in-tournament, who they’re fading, and some long-shot/+money top-20s. Matt talks Collin into a bet in the derivative market. Collin talks Matt out of the one pre-tournament outright he’s made. Plus, what to expect from Tiger and Phil. Collin talks about his start in betting, and how he made it a career, and they share their thoughts on this bizarre college football season as well. Finally, Matt looks back at a wild Tuesday night in the NBA and NHL.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a mediocre Monday in sports, then looks forward to the return of interesting NBA basketball with Tuesday’s doubleheader as he’s joined by Sheldon Alexander (@ShelAlexander) of the ON BLAST podcast network, to discuss how to bet on the games tonight, including a strong tip for the Clippers-Nuggets game. Then it’s a look back at betting on the Raptors with Ted Ballantyne (@TedBallantyne) and whether or not Matt convinced him enough to bet the Jaguars last weekend, in the latest instalment of “Tuesday’s with Ted”.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) celebrates the return of NFL Sundays, even if he didn’t like what the new “sports betting media” was dealing their followers. A game by game recap frames the value opportunities in week 2 based on the early spreads. Plus, who Matt likes in the MNF doubleheader. Then it’s the story of the rest of sports this past weekend - why Vegas’s loss to Dallas wasn’t all that alarming, and why it feels like Pennant Race SZN on the diamond.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives out his five CIRCA MILLION plays for the week, and looks at the most popular plays in the Contest. Then it’s a run down of the Sunday slate- the official teaser bucket, the Underdog ML bucket and any totals, props and other derivative markets worth playing.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down where his money is headed in week one of the NFL. Including the introduction of the teaser bucket and the moneyline bucket. Then it’s the draw for the CIRCA SURVIVOR contest - the friends of THE WINDOW get their assignments for what week they need to pick a winner. PLUS, who we’re riding in week one to avoid embarrassment. The selection might surprise you!
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the AFC East, and the big debate between the Patriots and the Bills this season. Then it’s a look at the props/futures markets. Who to bet on to get the yards, and score the touchdowns. Plus, MVP, Comeback Player of the year, Worst Record, Division winners, and everything else you can imagine. (CIRCA Contest email: Matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com / DMs open on twitter)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down what to do with the VGK-DAL series, if anything. What the next step is in the NBA after the Heat close out the Bucks and the Rockets lose on Tuesday. Along with why the Raptors are the bet in game 6. Then it’s the next step on the road to the NFL season’s start on Thursday, with the AFC North preview. (CIRCA SURVIVOR entry email: matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com/ DMs open as well)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) opens the show talking about the NBA action from Monday night - why the Raptors are the bet for game six, and why he’s had a change of opinion on the Clippers. Then it’s a mea culpa on game one of the Lightning and Isles, not because we lost a bet (we didn’t), but because one key factor got lost in the shuffle of sports chaos. Also, he reiterates the plan for Vegas-Dallas, and does a quick autopsy of the previous round’s series based on the analytics of what we now know about how those series played out. Then friend of the show, Ted Ballantyne joins Matt to discuss the AFC South (43:00) - why the Jags might not be atrocious... is the block too hot on the Colts?... is the block too cold on the Texans?... and why betting the Titans this season is betting on historic levels of offence for a second season. (CIRCA SURVIVOR CONTEST ENTRY EMAIL: matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com / DMs open as well)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down his personal betting strategy for the VGK-DAL series thanks to a game 1 win for the Stars. What do his numbers say for the Lightning-Islanders series? The NBA is heating up, even if the Heat are cooling down. Why betting an odds-on fave is a bad idea - Novak Djokovic edition. (CIRCA CONTEST email: Matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com / DMs open as well)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the two tiers of the NFC east division, liking one team in each of the tiers to outplay the other by a wide margin this season. (CIRCA SURVIVOR contest email: Matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com, Twitter DMs open as well)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the NFC South. Why each team is more interesting than it has been in a while, but why there’s nothing all that interesting from a wagering standpoint before the season starts. But first, a quick recap on Wednesday action in sports, and what we like for Thursday and golf for FRIDAY’s TOUR Championship.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the NFC North, the one division in the NFC that might have a surprise winner. But first, we need to discuss what the hell happened in the Jazz-Nuggets game, and to the Raptors ability to put the ball in the basket, along with plays for Wednesday on the court. Plus, what to do about the Dallas Stars - why a hedge sometimes is the right thing to do.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) celebrates the Lightning’s victory over the Bruins, waits for another day for Dallas, and what he’s doing for Tuesday’s games. Then it’s a look at the NBA, where our Heat get it done (and under the total!). Also, a good day in MLB. Then it’s the moment you’ve all been waiting for, the start of a division by division breakdown in the NFL, with the NFC WEST leading the way. (Email for CIRCA SURVIVOR contest entry: matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) busts out the spreadsheet to grade his handicapping of the four NHL series through 4 games, and why there shouldn’t be any reason to bet the individual games going forward. Then it’s some #betregret in the NBA. Finally, he looks back at the two different routes that DJ and Rahm took to their playoff matchup from a live-betting standpoint, and why there’s two different “winner” markets for the coming TOUR Championship. (Circa Survivor Contest Email: Matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) opens the show announcing that the podcast is creating an entry in the CIRCA SURVIVOR contest (with a million dollar guaranteed prize pool) and that YOU the listener can join in on the entry and be a guest on the podcast during the NFL season. Then we take the protest pause to take a wider view of what we have in the NHL, and why we need to tread even MORE lightly with the NBA. Finally, a quick update of the BMW Championship where guys are struggling! Email to join the CIRCA SURVIVOR ENTRY: matthew.d.russell10@gmail.com (DM’s are open on twitter as well)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by “Vegas Matty” Simo from footballcontest.com to give us an update on the NFL contest scene in Vegas, and why COVID-19 has created a massive opportunity for contestants in the CIRCA MILLION, CIRCA SURVIVOR and THE SUPERCONTEST. Then, it’s the plays for Thursday night, are we back on the Isles for game three? What about the Canucks chances? Plus, the week 5 report in MLB.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a big night on the ice, and what to do for each of the four series, with three of them in action on Wednesday. Then it’s Wednesday’s NBA slate, why a winning night in MLB left a sour taste, and then it’s a look at the Fedex Cup Standings to help breakdown the BMW Championship. Is Webb Simpson’s absence somehow the key to handicapping the PGA TOUR’s “semi-finals”?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friend of the show Ted Ballantyne (35:00) to chop it up about things like their favourite Padres nickname, who would scrap their franchise for a Vegas-like expansion deal, and other complete nonsense. But first, a breakdown of what Matt’s doing for the NHL series, why NBA coaches can’t be trusted to be consistent, and some plays in MLB.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by COOLBET CANADA’s Kris Abbott to discuss what happened in round one and what to expect from a betting standpoint in round two of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. With three game ones already in the books, where is there value with updated series prices? Plus, is the wrong team favoured between the Flyers and Islanders??
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the numbers behind the Vancouver-Vegas series, and whether the Canucks have a chance for an upset, relative to the betting market’s opinion on the series. Also, what affect, if any, does a futures ticket on Vegas have on making a bet on this series?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) gives his numbers for the series between Tampa Bay and Boston, including his true moneyline, and a bet in the derivative market. Plus, how do we measure the difference between Jaroslav Halak and Tuukka Rask between the pipes??
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) runs the numbers for the Stars and Avalanche series ahead of their surprise Saturday start BEFORE the lines come out for the game and series.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) crunches the numbers from the six completed first round series to analyze what the pre-series odds should have been based on what we know now about the 5-on-5 scoring chances that occurred and the power play opportunities each team had. But first, it’s a look back on Thursday’s action on the diamond, and on the hard court. With three plays for Friday in the NBA.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) talks a little bit about resilience after a disappointing day on Tuesday, and how nice it is to feel like a winner again. He’s got three more plays in the NBA, but nothing on the ice - and he’ll tell you why. Then it’s the Week 4 report in MLB, along with a bunch of plays for Thursday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Tuesday’s action finding a silver-lining in getting worked over by the NBA, then it’s a monster slate of NHL action after surviving the rare -190 bet with Golden Knights and the Stars being.... stars. Also, a 2-unit night in MLB helps mitigate the NBA damage, so it’s back to the diamond for more plays. Finally, we circle some targets for the Northern Trust, and why winning the tournament isn’t the most important thing for many in the loaded field.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) talks about the weird day in sports with the favourites winning at an alarming rate. Then it’s plays for day 2 of the NBA playoffs, a trio of bets in the NHL, including why laying a ton of juice is the value side with one hockey team. Then it’s the return of “Tuesday’s with Ted” (42:00 mark) as the boys admit that neither of them are prepared for this week’s segment. How could that go wrong?
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at the weekend that was. Ups on the ice and in the NBA play-in game, and downs on the course at the Wyndham Championship. We evaluate where we stand and what we’ve learned from the first half of the first round series in the NHL. Then it’s a look ahead to the NBA Playoffs after a 35-16-1 Bubble showing.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) break down Thursday’s NHL action from a betting perspective, and why uncertainty is creeping in with adjusted series prices. Also, an A+ reverse jinx snaps the Hurricanes scoring drought, and sleeping on the Flames. Finally, some important live-betting notes for the Wyndham Championship.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a busy day on the ice, with a 2-3 split salvaged in the wee hours of the night. Who’s worth pressing in the series markets, and what the best bets for Thursday? Then it’s trying to make head nor tail of what’s going in the NBA, including rolling with the Blazers. Finally, a Week 3 recap in MLB including a possible 3-team division parlay?! Sure, why not.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down what we learned from a 5OT thriller between Tampa Bay and Columbus. A recap of a win with Calgary, and why not betting on Chicago feels like a win. Then it’s a look back at Damian Lillard’s fluky three that helped our Blazers, and a VERY sketchy Wednesday board in the NBA. A quick look back at a 3-1 day in baseball and then it’s a look at who Matt has his eye on for the Wyndham Championship, including deep picks for Top-20 and live-betting targets.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) to breakdown the FIRST round series of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Can Matt top the success of the qualifying round? Will Montreal do it again? Is there a “this round’s Montreal”? Why there might be a couple of traps set by the sportsbooks, and which teams have the hunger factor in what is a razor thin tomorrow. Plus, Kris throws in a Mike Keenan story just for good measure.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at an awesome PGA Championship for the podcast, featuring Collin Morikawa’s victory, DJ’s last clutch putt, and Matthew Wolff’s storming of the leaderboard. Some Top20 tips, and a round of “I’m not mad, I’m just disappointed”. Then it’s a full betting recap of the NHL’s qualifying round, and a celebration of the Habs big upset and what metric shows they almost let it slip. Then it’s a look at the board in the NBA and MLB after solid weekends in both leagues. Even if the best bet Matt will ever make somehow lost.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) hands out his best bets for the NHL’s Eastern Conference playoffs. Using the core metrics and principles discussed in the Western Conference preview, he makes the case for the biggest underdog of the bunch, and why the numbers suggest big value on a near 50-1 shot in the East. Matt breaks down all the series, the 1-seed tournament, and why these metrics would have clued us in to some of last season’s surprises. Also, Coolbet’s Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) is back on to give us the lowdown from the sportsbook’s perspective. Will Apple keep this on the feed? (This was originally published on July 28th, but was inexplicably deleted off the Apple podcasts feed, requiring it to be republished)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at a monster Thursday with the big cash on Jason Day’s First Round Lead, great results on the ice, and yet another good night down in the Orlando bubble. Not to mention a PAIR of walk-off winners in MLB. Then it’s a look forward to SIX elimination games in the NHL, and cut day at PGA Championship, with 3 guys to live-bet early, and a strategy for finding value in the late afternoon cohort.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) quietly basks in the glory that is the Montreal Canadians SECOND upset of the Penguins. Then he breaks down the rest of the NHL story. Trying to stay hot in the NBA, but without taking the Suns??? Then it’s our weekly check-in with whatever’s going on in MLB.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) looks back at Tuesday’s action, and laments missing out on the big underdog win for Brooklyn, but celebrates the joy that is the Trail Blazers. Then it’s hockey talk, after a sketchy Tuesday. Finally, fired up and ready to fire, Matt previews the PGA Championship at Harding Park (29:30), and why the wind forecast matters in this one.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down a manic Monday from a sports betting perspective, and what adjustments are being made by sportsbooks on both moneyline prices AND totals. Then it’s a look at Tuesday’s board (35:00), and why you need to follow the twitter feed for more than just the daily plays, but also for... college basketball futures??? Then it’s the second edition of “Tuesday’s with Ted” (1:05) where the guys break down why the NBA’s bubble isn’t as interesting OFF the court as we might have thought.... yet.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) hands out his best bets for the NHL’s Eastern Conference playoffs. Using the core metrics and principles discussed in the Western Conference preview, he makes the case for the biggest underdog of the bunch, and why the numbers suggest big value on a near 50-1 shot in the East. Matt breaks down all the series, the 1-seed tournament, and why these metrics would have clued us in to some of last season’s surprises. Also, Coolbet’s Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) is back on to give us the lowdown from the sportsbook’s perspective. Will Apple keep this on the feed? Who’s to know??
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) pours over the weekend’s results, and they were FUN. Taking a minute or more to discuss a 9-1 weekend in NHL sides, and how his theory about betting all the unders except CHI/EDM worked out (spoiler alert: 9-1 as well). A 9-5 weekend in the NBA, and what teams he likes going forward, and hates... Also, some T20 drama in the PGA, and a live +850 winner with Justin Thomas. The F1 bet that was amazing, until the wheels literally came off. Finally, a long look at the board for Monday (60:00 mark).
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) hands out his best bets for the NHL’s Western Conference playoffs. Breaking down how he handicaps teams, and his core metrics he uses to determine a team’s predictive value. How perception builds the odds, and how to use the numbers to take advantage of that. Also, Coolbet’s Kris Abbott (@coolbetkris) joins the show to give listeners the sportsbook’s point of view, as well as what he thinks of the teams starting their journey to the Stanley Cup.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) does a speed recap of his positions on the Stanley Cup qualifying series and 1–seed round-robin tournament, along with his plays for the games on the weekend. Also, a recap of ‘The Wheel’, our brainless hockey betting system for entertainment. Then it’s the NBA’s slate for Friday and Saturday, and why favorites seem to be the play, more often than not.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the first full week of MLB’s restart, without mentioning the Marlins COVID situation once! Interesting stats, and why they lie this early in the season, but also why the DON’T. Thursday’s night’s card in MLB, and in NBA. Plus, why there’s no reason to do a mega preview for the NBA just yet.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by good friend and fellow Sportsnet alum Ted Ballantyne, to shoot the breeze about sports and whatever else that comes up. But first, Matt looks back at the good and bad from the 3M Open and whether his theory on how to better bet golf is worth applying this weekend in a pair of tournaments. That, and a few MLB plays for Wednesday.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the off-the-field weirdness from MLB’s opening night. Covid, Rain, Starting pitcher scratches and delisting lead to void bets all over the place. Then it’s time to get into a near full slate of baseball on Friday night. Finally, why Formula 1 race betting is suddenly a thing thanks to Netflix.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) and Kris Abbott (@CoolbetKris) toe the rubber and dig in to the batter’s box, discussing the win totals for all 30 MLB teams, who they like, who they don’t, and dinner is on the line for the teams they disagree on! A must-listen mega episode with all of Matt’s bets both on win totals, and for various divisions and a champion bet for each league.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) has seen all he needs to see from #sportsbetting twitter when it comes to betting on golf. How can we still look for a big score betting golf while limiting our exposure? Matt might have the answer as he thinks there’s a better way to bet on golf than the way you’ve been told by those looking for a “scoop”. One problem, it’s not going to result in a flashy tweet, BUT it might keep your bankroll in check while you enjoy the wild ride that is betting golf.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) has the Stanley Cup betting system for those who know nothing about hockey, or don’t know what to make of this bizarre restart. It’s a 3-pronged approach that requires no research, and no handicapping. All you have to do is watch the games, and hope for close ones. Matt breaks down a high-investment/high win probability part, a low investment/low win probability part, and a live-betting element that will have you holding your nose. Will it make money? Who’s to say. But you’ll have fun doing it.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) does a deep dive on what moneylines actually mean to both the sportsbook and the bettor from a long-term money-making standpoint. Also, he talks about how to use your handicapping to determine whether or not there’s value on a potential moneyline bet, by translating that ML number into probability percentages.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) answers the two biggest questions he gets from listeners and friends alike - “How and where do you bet on sports?” AND “How much should I be betting on games?”. For recreational bettors, novice or otherwise, the biggest hurdle to getting started with the fun, exhilarating and wild ride that is sports betting, is not knowing where to put their hard-earned cash, and how much to bet to best give themselves a chance at long-term success. Finally someone is willing to give them the specifics on how to take advantage of the sports betting space that’s handing out FREE MONEY to new users. Where to bet, and what to bet; on this episode of THE WINDOW.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) in joined by Preston Johnson (@sportscheetah), ESPN sports betting analyst. They discuss everything from 3-pointer prop bets, to Preston’s journey to ESPN, from LA to Utah to Las Vegas and back to LA, and how Preston became known as “Sports Cheetah”. Then they discuss different macro sports betting concepts, and strategies before getting into what to expect from sports in 2020, and the various potential sports betting angles for an unprecedented time.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) turns on the mic for an emergency podcast to talk about the Patriots signing of Cam Newton. What are the macro (Super Bowl, AFC, MVP) and micro (win total, division, early game ATS) implications from a betting perspective? Also, why Matt doesn’t think it’s worth making any bets on win totals this far back of the season’s start.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Chad Millman (@chadmillman), Chief Content Officer at THE ACTION NETWORK to discuss the calculated risks he made in his career in the sports betting industry. A career he didn’t know he’d have until one day he decided to take a chance on writing about some of Las Vegas’s most interesting sportsbook characters in his book THE ODDS. Chad opens up about the process in leaving a high-level job at ESPN to start THE ACTION NETWORK. All while maintaining a strong nuclear family life, and continuing to bring sports betting coverage to the mainstream media.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by venerable sports betting reporter Dave Tuley (@ViewFromVegas) to discuss Dave’s path from suburban Chicago to something of a pioneer on ESPN.com, to his current place as Senior Reporter for the Vegas Stats and Information Network. All while maintaining a stable family life for his wife and three kids. Now a thoroughbred horse-racing expert, Dave tells the story of a lucky hunch early on at the track, that might have been the catalyst for a career in handicapping horses, and many other sports, including a run to the money in the 2008 Las Vegas Supercontest.
In part two of their chat, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by “Vegas Matty” Simo to discuss the evolution of the LAS VEGAS SUPERCONTEST from the perspective of the top Proxy Service in Sin City. What is a Proxy? How do they do what they do? Matty Vegas talks about how he and his partner Toni found themselves in a career no one saw coming. Tales of guys losing their entry fee before they could sign up, and how they ended up being relied upon by legendary broadcaster Brent Musberger.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by one-half of the best Proxy service in the Las Vegas handicapping contest industry - “Vegas Matty” Simo. In part one of a two-part podcast, Vegas Matty talks about his road to starting footballcontest.com, from his youth in suburban Chicago, through Syracuse University, to a pair of laps through Las Vegas, which featured an encounter with America’s favourite 90s couple - Dennis Rodman and Carmen Electra during the height of Bulls mania.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Coolbet Canada’s Kris Abbott, to discuss Kris’s unusual journey into the sports betting industry. Kris went from calling junior hockey in Atlantic Canada, to finding himself on a plane to Estonia, and right in the middle of an online sportsbook operation. Come for the sportsbook scouting report, stay for the Damian Rhodes reference!
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) opens a new series of podcasts called “From THE WINDOW to the Screen” where he converses with personalities throughout the sports betting landscape. Before we can talk about others though, he breaks down his OWN history in sports betting - how he got into betting on sports, and his experience with a pair of runs to the money in the Las Vegas SUPERCONTEST.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is missing sports, and betting action. With nothing but time on his hands, he’s dove into the Wall Street World, trying to learn how to take advantage of a very unique time. With observations, ideas, and even a math model, Matt brings in veteran stock market enthusiast Rob Abbatangelo, and in part two of their discussion, Matt continues his “Now versus Normal” thesis, and he and Rob discuss how COVID-19 has impacted the market, and various industries. They’re both looking to attack, but in two different ways. Please note: Neither Matt nor Rob are professional financial advisors, and one is completely clueless so don’t take anything said on these podcasts as a specific recommendation
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) has no sports to bet on. With nothing but time, he’s spent the last four weeks delving deep into uncharted waters - the stock market. Matt has observations and theories about what he’s seen, day in day out, and presents his thesis of “Now versus Normal” to good friend and stock market enthusiast Rob Abbatangelo (RobTheRealtor) in Part ONE of a 2-part pod. They discuss the many similarities and key differences between sports/betting markets, and the business world/stock market. -Who is the Jim Cramer of sports? And why seeing your team’s GM or your company’s top Exec on TV is usually a bad thing. Please note: Matt nor Rob are professional financial advisors, and one is completely clueless so don’t take anything said on these podcasts as a specific stock recommendation
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the current NFL divisional futures market after some major player movement in the first week of Free Agency (AFC first, then NF at 38:00 mark). Then Ashish Bharti returns to the show as we announce the teams that made the Simulated National Championship, and the SIM National Champion, along with the winner of the Bracket Challenge (1:01:00 mark)
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by Brandon Lefebvre to discuss the results of the Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight in the Simulated March Madness Bracket Challenge.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by friend of the podcast, Ashish Bharti to reveal the results of round 2 of the Simulated March Madness Bracket Challenge. They react to round one’s results, and find out that as much as round one had it’s fair share of madness, no team was safe in round two.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) announces the first round results of the March Madness bracket simulation. Grab your highlighter and red pen, and see how you did.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) announces the rules and regulations of our Podcast’s Simulated bracket challenge (Grab the bracket off his twitter!). How does it work? How can you win? Then he and friend of the podcast Ashish Bharti make their own picks (10:00) for all the theoretical games, including their Final Four and champion! If you want to play for cash, it’s $25 CAD, sent to mattrussell10@hotmail.com, or $20 USD to paypal.me/4FIVEProductions
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) isn’t about to let the virus win. We’re doing a Bracket Challenge anyway! From filling out your bracket by pen and paper old-school style, to how the results will be created and when they’ll be available, Matt breaks down the plan that allows you to still fill out a bracket and compete. Available on his twitter page @mrussauthentic.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is sad. His favourite day of the year has been cancelled. We don’t know when sports will be back, but he hopes you’ll be back to enjoy the game behind games, with him here on The Window.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down where the value lies in the BIG TEN, THE BIG EAST, PAC-12 (6:00), BIG 12 AND THE BIG EAST (35:00) conference tournaments. Then he makes the case to Ashish Bharti for someone other than Dayton in the A-10 (1:00) as well as crowning the king of North Dakota, and a shoutout to Frisco’s ‘Get on the map’ strategy. Finally, don’t forget the game picks (1:37:00) for Wednesday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the ‘Curse of the 10-point second half lead’, and looks ahead to the betting angles in the 5 conference tournament finals on Tuesday, as well as the ACC Tournament’s start.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) recaps college basketball’s end to the regular season, then is joined by friend of the show Ashish Bharti (16:00) to break down the MAC, MAAC, MEAC, SWAC and ACC tournaments... where there’s value, teams to bet on, and contest strategy applications. Finally, it’s Monday’s slate of games (1:16:00), and plays for all the major conference tournaments, including a few longshots!
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) runs through the board for Saturday in college hoops. He’s got the 5 games you need to see to help you prepare for your bracket pool, along with all the bettable games from both the regular season finales, and the conference tournaments. Including the first two tickets getting punched to the Big Dance!
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) chats with his good friend Ashish Bharti about the Colonial, the Summit League, the America East, the SOCON and the Sun Belt as those tournaments get set to tip this weekend. As well as breaking down a 6-3 night on the regular season board, and plays for Friday night.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the bitter taste of irony, and how George Costanza inspired the FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON cover in “Don’t Look Back in Anger”. Then it’s back into the weeds for conference tournament action, and a preview of the Missouri Valley - why Sister Jean doesn’t need to make any travel plans.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) is joined by his conference tournament contest partner, Ashish Bharti, to discuss the NEC, MWC, WCC and OVC tournaments (43:00). But first, it’s a recap of Tuesday action, looking on the board for Wednesday, and finally asking Michigan State out on a date... to the dance... in the form of a future bet.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the regular season action left on the big board for College Hoops (11:40), including a handful of plays for the season finales in the Sun Belt. Then it’s conference tournament previews for The Patriot League, The Horizon League, The Atlantic-Sun, and the Big South (57:40); why not all 1-seeds are created equal and who can single-handedly drag their team to the NCAA tournament.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down another wild weekend in college hoops, and what we should be doing moving forward with regards to “situational spot plays”, and why the best team in college basketball keeps clobbering us over the head with that fact. Matt’s also got plays for the short board on Monday, as well as Back Cuts! Finally, Matt gets nerdy at the end of the podcast with a segment on using math probabilities converted to moneylines with regards to contest bets, and what it takes to have value on picking teams in contests to win their (conference) tournaments.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the early opening lines for Saturday’s action, discussing the games he’s most interested in betting. Then it’s Sunday’s projections according to his numbers.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the usual short Friday card in college hoops, including the de facto regular season championship game in the Horizon League, a weird scheduling quirk in the Sun Belt and how he’s betting on the return of a key player in the Apple Cup - basketball edition. Also, Matt breaks down the ‘off the beaten path’ contests he participates in for March Madness - which he believes starts with an epic 2 weeks of Conference Tournament action beginning on Tuesday, and runs right through a NCAA tournament ‘Survivor Pool’ that gets everyone fired up.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down the big Thursday card in College Basketball, and follows up on a messy Wednesday, that featured going over the cliff ‘Thelma & Louise’ style with Loyola (MD), and the comeback/choke ratio of Maryland/Minnesota.
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down Wednesday’s card in college basketball (40 min mark), discusses a 7-3-1 night from Tuesday and what he missed out on. Also, as conference tournaments creep up, some theories on seeding are espoused upon, and a prediction of how the next 2 weeks go for San Diego State. Finally, we might have a ‘Thelma and Louise’ situation when it comes to the Loyola Greyhounds (1:10 mark).
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) breaks down Big Monday, and the fatal flaw in the Louisville Cardinals. Also, why the numbers work for betting some teams and why they don’t for others. Finally, we’ve got plays for Tuesday!
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on twitter) breaks down the weekend’s results from a betting standpoint; What went right on the way to winning big, Florida’s value in the market, and if anything changed atop the seeds in Bracketology. Then it’s Monday’s card in NCAA basketball (50:00), why the NHL Trade deadline doesn’t matter, and why the XFL markets might be more like the College Football market than the NFL.
Matt Russell breaks down what went wrong on a rough Wednesday night in college hoops, and looks at Thursday night’s board with an eye on bouncing back. Including a handful of plays from the deep recesses of college basketball, with ‘Back Cuts’.
Matt Russell runs through the college basketball betting board for Wednesday, breaks down a juicy Tuesday, and talks about how it’s all going according to plan for Kentucky Futures, and watch out Gonzaga - Florida is coming for ya!
Matt Russell breaks down Monday’s bets in college basketball, and goes over the board for Tuesday including KU-OU and UK-LSU.
Matt Russell is on the road, but still able to give out his plays for Monday night in college hoops. The Window gets its first guest to breakdown the scene in Westwood at PAULEY Pavilion. Plus, a recap of the weekend in hoops, and how betting the whole board would have been more profitable than not on Saturday.
Matt Russell motors through his projections and possible leans for Friday, Saturday (7:00) and Sunday (37:00). Grab a pen and paper, this one is on the express lane.
Matt Russell has a blow by blow breakdown of just a brutal night in college hoops where Bad Beats were flying all over the place. Then he breaks down another big Thursday card, and fires off some Back Cuts to finish it off. Tune in to Part TWO for all the numbers and leans for the weekend
Matt Russell goes deep with Wednesday’s college hoops slate, including more than you needed to know about Citadel @ East Tennessee State. Vanderbilt gets the belt for worst beat of The Window era, in Don’t Look Back in Anger. Why Oklahoma aren’t laying too many points tonight, and why Butler are.
Matt Russell looks back with anger at a winning bet, why he may have been too quick to write off a team that can make some noise in March, and then talks about a variety of ways to look at different games on Tuesday’s college basketball board especially with the mystery that is Home Court Advantage.
Matt Russell breaks down the first monster Saturday in college hoops, including the first sneak peak at seeding and how it shapes the outlook for tournament futures including a recommendation to add to the Portfolio (35:00 mark). Also, a lesson in trusting your instincts featuring NOTRE DAME and PARASITE. Plus, a musing or two on the debut of the XFL (1.20:00). Oh, and some deep Back Cuts for Monday night (1.08:00). DEEP.
It’s an epic Friday podcast where Matt Russell breaks down why a 14-12 night on the college hoops hardwood could have been much better based on his valuation of teams. He’s got a couple plays for Friday, and then goes through ALL 147 games on Saturday. (Noon/1pm games: 15:00) (2pm/3pm games: 27:00) (4pm/5pm games: 37:00) (6pm/7pm games: 50:47) (Night games: 1.04:00). Finally, it’s time to talk about an Oscar betting conundrum and a warning to steer clear of Uncut Gems (1.16:00)
Matt Russell is playing sick, as he recaps a 17-10 night on the college hoops hardwood, why he might have to be more aggressive with making bets before the overnight number moves, and how to define value regardless of whether he wins or loses. Also... Back Cuts!
Matt Russell discusses the sports news from Tuesday and how it relates to sports betting strategy. Then it’s “Don’t Look Back In Anger” starring the Arkansas Razorbacks. After another winning in college hoops, Matt takes on the challenge of a big Wednesday card, going through he he’s bet on, and where there’s value to the number. Including seven bets on the “Back Cuts”!
Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic) takes a very cautious victory lap after a 4-0 sweep on Monday. He takes a look at Tuesday’s card with some plays that jump out at him, and then concludes the podcast by breaking down his futures “portfolio” and two teams he’s looking to add down the stretch.
Matt Russell breaks down the good, the bad and the ugly from SB LIV, how his live betting strategy worked well, and almost perfectly. Thanks Jimmy G.... Also, a look at the 2021 SB Futures, and why not to bet them. Finally, it’s a hold your nose night in college hoops with 3 smelly dogs, and “Back Cuts”!
Matt Russell details his betting strategy for the big game, including his focus on betting the game live. Also, he details the three elements of the game that is shaping his 20+ prop bets. Finally, Matt makes some long shot MVP bets. Love or hate episode one of The Window, you can follow and send feedback to Matt @mrussauthentic