Fault Lines: Recent Episodes
National Security Institute
Fault Lines examines national security and foreign policy issues with expert perspectives from across the political spectrum. This motley crew will examine national security and foreign policy issues with perspectives from across the political spectrum, finding points of agreement and – often –disagreement along the way.
Our regular cast of foreign policy experts includes Jamil Jaffer, Sarah Stewart, Carmen Medina, and Lester Munson.
Tune in to learn more about the issues dominating headlines and the news stories you may have missed.
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Today, Jess, Bishop, and Algene unpack Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Washington and his high-profile meetings with both President Trump and Elon Musk. With defense cooperation, tariffs, energy imports, and tech visas on the table, the visit signals growing ties between the U.S. and India—wrapped in a public display of political friendship.
Will this “bromance” lead to deeper defense collaboration and secure supply chains? Can India help the U.S. maintain its edge in AI and counter China’s influence? And does Musk’s meeting with Modi blur the lines between business and government?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/trump-india-modi-visit-washington-tariffs-83d5f6af65f923dc4feb3f38338c888d
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj91d3jkpvlo
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c23ndleveymo
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@lestermunson
@marthamillerdc
@NotTVJessJones
@morganlroach
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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/ndk73b3GO28
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Jess unpack the latest developments in the Middle East and King Abdullah of Jordan’s visit to Washington, D.C. With Trump’s Saturday deadline for the release of Israeli hostages looming, tensions are rising as the Arab League prepares to meet and as Egypt and Jordan weigh their response to Trump’s push for them to take in displaced Palestinians.
What impact will Trump’s threat to withhold aid from Egypt and Jordan have? Is his strategy giving Arab states flexibility or forcing their hand? And as Middle East dynamics shift, what role can U.S. allies play in addressing the humanitarian crisis?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/02/11/trump-abdullah-gaza-plan-00203602
https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/11/politics/trump-jordan-king-abdullah-gaza-plan/index.html
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/trump-wants-jordans-help-with-gaza-its-king-is-looking-for-a-way-to-say-no-0958ad69?mod=world_lead_story
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/02/11/israel-war-gaza-ceasefire-jordan-egypt-news-hamas/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@lestermunson
@marthamillerdc
@NotTVJessJones
@morganlroach
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/grrJd5Vvf2E
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Les, Martha, Bishop, and Jeffery discuss the latest developments in Sudan, where over 200,000 people have died in the ongoing conflict between government forces and the RSF. While Sudanese forces have secured Khartoum and are discussing the political future, the fight is far from over, as RSF forces still hold Darfur.
With Russia backing Sudan’s military and Iran creeping in, the battle for Port Sudan and Red Sea access has become another front in the global power struggle. Can the U.S. rally its partners to counter Russian and Chinese influence? How does Washington’s delayed response and foreign policy uncertainty impact its credibility? And with USAID in turmoil, what will happen to the humanitarian crisis on the ground?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/02/1159871
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudan-form-new-government-after-regaining-khartoum-say-military-sources-2025-02-09/
https://au.int/en/articles/sudan-suspended-african-union
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@lestermunson
@marthamillerdc
@BishopGarrison
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And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/c_VoVL9b4S4
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Martha, Morgan, and Jess break down Donald Trump’s controversial proposal for Gaza—relocating Palestinians while the U.S. oversees reconstruction. With pushback from Egypt, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia and mixed reactions in Israel, the plan raises critical questions about feasibility, diplomacy, and regional security.
Who, if anyone, is willing to take responsibility for Gaza? Could this plan derail Saudi-Israel normalization? And what does this mean for the broader regional threat from Iran—has the U.S. lost focus on the bigger strategic picture?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1887543148781461806/photo/1
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israels-defense-minister-orders-army-prepare-gaza-residents-departure-media-2025-02-06/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/02/06/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-egypt-trump-displacement/cd5ab7c2-e46e-11ef-ab83-bb30e4340014_story.html
https://apnews.com/article/israel-trump-gaza-netanyahu-169d497ac07760ccb9724bef5982338a
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
@marthamillerdc
@NotTVJessJones
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/W3o3kbH5zmw
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Jess, Martha, Les, and Morgan discuss upheaval at USAID as the agency faces sweeping changes under the Trump Administration. With the freezing of nearly all foreign assistance, most USAID employees reportedly placed on leave, and international staff ordered to return to the U.S., the future of U.S. foreign assistance is in question.
What role does USAID play in advancing U.S. interests abroad? How will the freeze on aid programs affect critical initiatives like PEPFAR and global healthcare? What are the long-term consequences of these far reaching changes on U.S. foreign policy, American businesses, and global influence?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/trump-usaid-layoffs-7e0a159d8a419c4c9388ab02e8259f23
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/03/us/politics/usaid-trump-musk.html
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/usaid-elon-musk-donald-trump-b2692144.html
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@morganlroach
@marthamillerdc
@NotTVJessJones
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/SlUrvRS4BSc
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Episode 409: Tariff Turmoil: Trump’s Trade War and Its Global Fallout
Today, Morgan, Martha, and Jess discuss President Trump’s latest move to impose sweeping tariffs using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), citing illegal migration and fentanyl as justification. The plan includes 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada and 10% on China, which has prompted retaliatory measures from U.S. trading partners.
What are the unintended consequences for American taxpayers? If the U.S. retreats from the global economic stage, who steps in to fill the void? And with past tariffs failing to bring manufacturing back, will this strategy hurt the very voters who elected Trump?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c70kn4676p4o
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/02/02/trump-tariffs-canada-mexico/
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/02/us/politics/trump-tariffs-ieepa.html
https://www.reuters.com/business/trump-stretches-trade-law-boundaries-with-canada-mexico-china-tariffs-2025-02-02/
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@morganlroach
@marthamillerdc
@NotTVJessJones
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/iLb6rTb54is
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Martha, Matt, Bishop, and Andrew break down the latest Russia-Ukraine developments, the growing pressure on Putin, and the rising costs of war. They examine the strength of the Western alliance, the effect of sanctions against Russia, the Nord Stream 2 fallout, and whether boosting U.S. energy production could curb Europe’s reliance on Russian oil. As modern warfare evolves, hybrid conflict, drone strikes, and Wagner’s war crimes are reshaping security far beyond Ukraine.
Will Russia’s mounting losses force Putin to negotiate? How strong is the U.S. and European alliance as the war drags on? Could energy shifts change the geopolitical balance? And is modern conflict entering a dangerous new phase?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/2000262/putin-russia-revolt
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2025/01/29/ukrainian-drones-flew-500-miles-and-in-a-single-strike-damaged-5-of-russias-oil-refining-capacity/
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg84r5g8d0o
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@marthamillerdc
@WMattHayden
@AndrewBorene
@BishopGarrison
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/jsytDeH8kj0
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Bishop, Amy, Marc, and Algene discuss the chilling effect and confusion created by the Trump administration’s broad pause on federal programs, including those at State, USAID, and domestic initiatives funded through federal grants. With confusion over what can move forward and what funding is on hold, the uncertainty is rippling across the government.
Given some of the uncertainty it’s created, could this move weaken America’s ability to respond to national security threats? How does cutting foreign aid impact U.S. leadership abroad? Will China and Russia step in to fill the void? And how will the freeze on domestic programs affect states and communities across the country?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://breakingdefense.com/2025/01/what-the-f-is-going-on-confusion-uncertainty-in-industry-as-army-contracts-seemingly-halted/
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/us/politics/medicaid-freeze.html
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/dc-federal-judge-temporarily-blocks-trump-plan-pause-federal-aid-spend-rcna189706
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@BishopGarrison
@amykmitchell
@Washingtonflack
@AlgeneSajery
Like what we're doing here?
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We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/NkcFNU8w5HY
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Jess, Morgan, Amy, and Matt dive into the weekend’s hot story regarding Colombia’s refusal to accept U.S. military planes carrying deported immigrants. This refusal resulted in President Trump announcing tariffs and sanctions targeting the country, Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s announcement of retaliatory tariffs, and a late night statement from the White House indicating that Bogota had accepted all of President Trump’s terms and that flights would resume.
How might this episode impact U.S.-Colombia relations moving forward? What would a trade war with Colombia have looked like? How might Trump’s early diplomatic approach highlighted here affect long-term relationships with allies?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/2025/01/26/trump-colombia-deportation-flights-migrants-tariffs/
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/americas/colombia-us-deportation-flights.html
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/colombias-petro-will-not-allow-us-planes-return-migrants-2025-01-26/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@morganlroach
@amykmitchell
@NotTVJessJones
@WMattHayden
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/ZMYKd4Jh6WE
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Morgan, Les, Marc, and Amy discuss President Trump’s decision to revoke security clearances for officials who signed the Hunter Biden laptop letter and to withdraw protective details for former officials like Mike Pompeo, Brian Hook, and John Bolton. Meanwhile, U.S. National Security Advisor Mike Waltz is reorganizing the National Security Council.
What message do these actions send to allies, adversaries, and current national security officials? Is this a practical step to reshape the NSC or a risky precedent with far-reaching implications?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/23/us/politics/trump-pompeo-security-iran.html
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2025/01/20/politics/trump-revokes-security-clearances-former-officials-hunter-biden-laptop-letter
https://thehill.com/policy/national-security/5098612-john-bolton-donald-trump-secret-service/amp/
https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/21/politics/video/john-bolton-trump-pulls-secret-service-detail-tapper-digvid
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@morganlroach
@lestermunson
@amykmitchell
@Washingtonflack
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/o90JiQRd-jg
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Martha, Les, and Jes dive into the ongoing battle over TikTok. After Congress passed bipartisan legislation forcing TikTok to divest from ByteDance, the Supreme Court upheld the decision. However, President-elect Trump’s Day 1 Executive Order paused enforcement, proposing a 50% ownership deal with 72 days for review.
Can TikTok operations truly be secured to address national security concerns? What does this proposed deal reveal about Trump’s approach to China, and how does the struggle between Congress and the Executive Branch shape this debate?
Tune in to explore the answers and what this means for the millions of Americans on TikTok.
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/trump-tiktok-ban-da11df6d59c17e2c17eea40c4042386d
https://www.reuters.com/technology/tiktok-goes-dark-us-users-trump-says-save-tiktok-2025-01-19/
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2025/01/19/donald-trump-tik-tok-ownership-united-states/77831835007/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2025/01/21/tiktok-ban-download-back/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@marthamillerdc
@lestermunson
@NotTVJessJones
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/xXxdPyxH_kA
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Algene discuss the Gaza-Israel ceasefire and hostage deal, marking a turning point 15 months into the conflict. Brokered with negotiators from both the Biden and Trump administrations, this agreement demonstrates rare unity across the political divide. With hostages and Palestinian prisoners set to be exchanged in phases, and Israeli forces withdrawing from key areas, the deal raises critical questions.
Should President-elect Donald Trump be considered “the closer” on this deal? Can the U.S. and Israel ensure Iran remains isolated? And will this deal hold through its initial phase and beyond?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-quarrel-over-final-details-of-gaza-cease-fire-2fbb837b
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/01/16/israel-war-gaza-ceasefire-hostages-news-hamas/
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-quarrel-over-final-details-of-gaza-cease-fire-2fbb837b
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@marthamillerdc
@morganlroach
@lestermunson
@AlgeneSajery
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/m2pSL8p4VSA
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Morgan, Les, Martha, and Jess discuss this week’s national security nomination hearings, happening less than a week before Donald Trump is sworn in as president. This week, Pete Hegseth, nominee Secretary of Defense, Marco Rubio for Secretary of State; and John Ratcliffe for CIA Director, are all under the spotlight. Are Trump’s choices a sign of a cultural shift in the Pentagon, what are the national security implications and how does the Senate’s performance in vetting nominees stack up?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@NotTVJessJones
@marthamillerdc
@morganlroach
@lestermunson
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/e23HnQhuoR0
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Jess, Martha, Morgan, and Amy delve into President-elect Trump’s recent comments on the strategic importance of Greenland and the Panama Canal to U.S. national security. His refusal to rule out the use of military force to secure these regions has raised eyebrows, ignited debate, and brought renewed attention to key geopolitical areas where the U.S. faces increasing competition from Russia and China.
What do Trump’s remarks signal for U.S. security priorities, particularly as Russia and China expand their influence in the Arctic and Latin America? How can the U.S. deepen its relationship with Greenland, especially as it pursues independence? What steps can the U.S. take to mitigate China’s growing leverage over the Panama Canal and its presence in the Western Hemisphere?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/01/12/trump-greenland-panama-canal-expansion/
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jan/09/greenland-prime-minister-mute-egede-calm-unity-trump-comments-denmark
https://www.npr.org/2025/01/11/nx-s1-5253910/donald-trump-greenland-panama-canal-canada
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/right-to-be-concerned-about-chinas-influence-over-the-panama-canal/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@NotTVJessJones
@marthamillerdc
@morganlroach
@amykmitchell
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/JdGjrAhpWH8
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Martha, Les, Jess, and Bishop discuss the resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau after nine years in office, leaving him as a caretaker PM until a new leader is selected. This leadership change raises questions about Canada’s future role on the global stage and its evolving relationship with the United States.
Will Trudeau’s successor be ready to navigate challenges like Trump’s potential tariffs on Canadian imports, the housing and affordability crisis, and Canada’s role as a leading energy exporter to the U.S.? Will this shift bring Canada closer to becoming “America’s 51st state”? Why is this happening now?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/justin-trudeau-canadian-prime-minister-why-he-resigned-1235227842/
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-trudeaus-resignation-compounds-economic-uncertainty-ahead-of-possible/
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-trudeau-resignation-election-call/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@NotTVJessJones
@marthamillerdc
@lestermunson
@BishopGarrison
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/mynaxu6iGeA
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Martha, Les, Jess, Matt, and Morgan reflect on the most significant foreign policy event of 2024 and explore its potential impact on global affairs in 2025. From emerging power struggles to unexpected alliances, they share bold predictions that could shake up the international stage next year.
What region or issue will dominate headlines in 2025? What’s their biggest wish for U.S. foreign policy moving forward? And which books, articles, or podcasts do they recommend for making sense of the complex year ahead?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@NotTVJessJones
@marthamillerdc
@lestermunson
@WMattHayden
@morganlroach
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/fjRBdnRvjy0
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and Martha interview Sharon Weinberger, the national security and foreign policy editor at The Wall Street Journal. She is an expert on the national security space, military science, and technology. She has published three books on military technology and weapons research, including her latest book, “The Imagineers of War: The Untold Story of DARPA, the Pentagon Agency That Changed the World.”
Why did you choose to focus on U.S. national security? How can the U.S. strengthen its defense industrial space? Why do you think more people are drawn to the national security space? Given the worldwide risks journalists face, how does your team consider these risks to journalist’s safety?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!
This marks the final episode of our special series. Tune in on January 10, 2025, when the regular programming of Fault Lines returns!
Happy Holidays and Happy New Year!
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@NotTVJessJones
@marthamillerdc
@weinbergersa
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/02R2PZZ7YqA
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Martha and Les interview Michèle Flournoy, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of WestExec Advisors, and a Co-Founder, former Chief Executive Officer, and now Chair of the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Prior to her role at CNAS, she served as the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy during the Obama administration where she was the principal advisor to the Secretary of Defense in the formulation of national security and defense policy, oversight of military plans and operations, and in National Security Council deliberations.
Should we be considered about political instability impacting our allied partners? How can we ensure the U.S. remains the leader in the emerging tech space? How do we explain the value of America’s non-defense engagement in the Indo-Pacific to the American public?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!
Stay tuned for more of the Fault Lines crew and our special episodes recorded live at RNDF! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@marthamillerdc
@lestermunson
A Special Thanks to The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & institute!
Follow them: @ReaganInstitute
Read the 2024 Reagan National Defense Survey Here: https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Morgan and Jess interview Vibhav Altekar Co-Founder and Vice President of Software at Saronic Technologies, a defense technology company dedicated to advancing naval warfare through cutting-edge technological solutions.
How has the geopolitical atmosphere changed the maritime domain? What are the reasons for the recent influx of investment into the defense sector? What are the opportunities for defense technologies moving forward?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!
Stay tuned for more of the Fault Lines crew and our special episodes recorded live at RNDF! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@morganlroach
@NotTVJessJones
A Special Thanks to The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & institute!
Follow them: @ReaganInstitute
Read the 2024 Reagan National Defense Survey Here: https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/
Like what we're doing here?
Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!
We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/6Ulz4AXgJes
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Recorded after the Reagan National Defense Forum, Martha and Les interview Amb. Robert O’Brien, the co-founder and chairman of American Global Strategies and a former National Security Advisor for the Trump Administration. Before becoming National Security Advisor, he was appointed special envoy for Hostage affairs.
What is President Trump’s “peace through strength” approach? Should America be concerned about the instability of our allies and partners? With more NATO members meeting their spending requirements, do you see a shift in how Trump interacts with NATO? How should the US prioritize its strategy to disrupt the growing Axis of Iran, China, Russia, and North Korea?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!
Stay tuned for more of the Fault Lines crew and our special episodes recorded live at RNDF! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@marthamillerdc
@lestermunson
@robertcobrien
Read Amb. O’Brien’s Foreign Affairs Article Here: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/return-peace-strength-trump-obrien
A Special Thanks to The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & institute!
Follow them: @ReaganInstitute
Read the 2024 Reagan National Defense Survey Here: https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/
Like what we're doing here?
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Morgan and Martha interview Representative Jim Himes (D-CT-4) who serves as Ranking Member of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence and as a member of the House Committee on Financial Services. Prior to serving in Congress, Himes ran the New York City branch of The Enterprise Community Partners, a nonprofit dedicated to addressing urban poverty challenges. Himes holds a Master of Philosophy in Latin American Studies from the University of Oxford, which he obtained after he was awarded a Rhodes Scholarship. He also received his Bachelor of Arts from Harvard University.
How has U.S. global leadership changed throughout the past three presidential administrations? How does the United States’ position in key global partnerships change in the near future? How should the incoming Trump Administration balance and prioritize intelligence tasking needs in the era of competing threats?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!
Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF on The Future of U.S. Global Leadership this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Morgan and Les interview Senator Kevin Cramer (R-ND), member of the Armed Services Committee and co-chair of the Defense Modernization Caucus to discuss opportunities for strengthening national security through emergent technologies.
What spurred the creation of the Defense Modernization Caucus? Are we going fast enough in our defense modernization? What can the incoming administration do to make the most impact on our defense modernization?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!
Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF on The Future of U.S. Global Leadership this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and Les interview Rep. John Moolenaar (MI-02) who serves as Chairman of the House Select Committee on China. In his role as Chairman, he leads the Committee’s work addressing strategic competition between the U.S. and China, including tackling issues such as China’s trade practices and intellectual property theft, human rights abuses, and other national security concerns.
What are the strengths and weaknesses of the U.S. defense industrial base? Is the U.S. making appropriate investments in emerging technologies and adopting them quickly enough? Does the American public understand the urgency of the threat of China?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!
Stay tuned for more of the Fault Lines crew and our special episodes recorded live at RNDF! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
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Today, Morgan, Jess, Les, and Jeffrey discuss the short-lived attempt by South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol to impose martial law on South Korea. Yoon ordered martial law Tuesday evening without warning in a speech where he vowed to eliminate “anti-state” forces. Mass protests quickly formed outside South Korea’s National Assembly where members voted to block martial law. Yoon’s Cabinet then lifted the martial law and opposition parties have put forward an impeachment motion against Yoon, with a vote expected to occur later this week.
What does this attempt mean for democracy and democratic norms globally? Why did President Yoon try to implement martial law? Why was the U.S. caught off guard?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cn38321180et
https://apnews.com/article/south-korea-martial-law-north-korea-emergency-b310df4fece42c27051f58b8951f346f
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12/03/world/south-korea-martial-law?campaign_id=60&emc=edit_na_20241203&instance_id=141182&nl=breaking-news®i_id=85184605&segment_id=184702&user_id=656d1e51a8895843517d206c45ff8da5
https://www.ft.com/content/a13a7978-6fbe-4f44-9c78-1fc066d8a88b
https://apnews.com/article/south-korea-yoon-martial-law-25a2a7c957e77a19f771b6b7c56a2173
https://apnews.com/article/korea-martial-law-yoon-president-9adbff7c7df6a2fa22b1fbf955a495fa
https://apnews.com/video/south-korea-yoon-suk-yeol-protests-and-demonstrations-north-korea-government-01e70dab69524a3d97854c0c5e196e79
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Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Jeffrey discuss the recent fall of the Syrian city of Aleppo, Syria’s second-largest city, to Al-Qaeda-linked rebel forces, reawakening the long-dormant civil war that began during the Arab Spring in 2011. Syrian and allied Russian forces have responded by launching a series of airstrikes on Aleppo and Idlib, where the rebel forces have been based.
Who exactly are the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)? Is this development in Syria good for the United States and our allies? Why is this happening now?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/syria-hts-assad-aleppo-fighting-2be43ee530b7932b123a0f26b158ac22
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce313jn453zo
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/russia-syrian-regime-strike-rebel-held-territory-as-anti-assad-forces-advance-ed84d6ae
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/12/01/syria-rebels-assad-aleppo-russia-iran/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/01/world/middleeast/syria-rebels-bashar-al-assad.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb&ngrp=mnp&pvid=EF641E37-7C9E-49F2-9147-F47D2A13030B
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Today, Jess, Morgan, Amy, and Matt discuss Salt Typhoon, a hacking group closely linked to China’s Ministry of State Security, that infiltrated U.S. telecommunications networks as part of a sophisticated cyber-espionage campaign. On Friday, telecom executives were summoned to the White House where U.S. national security and intel officials told industry leaders they needed to help prevent Chinese agents from accessing their networks.
What was the scope of China’s most recent cyber campaign? What has been the Biden Administration’s approach to Chinese hacking operations and what might be incoming President Trump’s strategy? How should the U.S. respond to adversarial states and groups like Salt Typhoon?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://cyberscoop.com/china-apt-eset-target-typhoon-mirrorface/
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/library-congress-email-system-hacked-earlier-year-foreign-adversary.amp
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/11/23/politics/chinese-cyber-espionage-telecom-execs
https://cybermagazine.com/articles/examining-the-worst-telco-cyber-attack-in-us-history
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/us/politics/chinese-hack-telecom-white-house.html
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Today, Morgan, Martha, Jeffrey, and first-time guest, Algene Sajery, discuss the decision by the International Criminal Court (ICC) to issue arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, former Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, and deceased Hamas terrorist Mohammed Deif for war crimes and crimes against humanity. The decision by the ICC to issue these warrants has divided the international community drawing condemnation from the Israeli government for the ICC's anti-semitism and the United States questioning the ICC’s jurisdiction over Israel which is not party to the ICC.
How do these charges impact Israel’s diplomatic isolation? Do these warrants diminish the ICC’s reputation further? How will the incoming Trump administration respond to the ICC?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.reuters.com/world/icc-issues-arrest-warrants-israels-netanyahu-gallant-hamas-leader-2024-11-21/
https://apnews.com/article/icc-israel-hamas-warrants-netanyahu-palestinian-arrest-73c854d072e0a1a41b19b2cb2cdd07fa
https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-arrest-warrant-international-criminal-court-war-crimes-8668a2683972297c5a22ea30164a1445
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11/21/world/israel-netanyahu-hamas-gaza
https://www.foxnews.com/world/icc-rejects-israel-appeals-issues-arrest-warrants-benjamin-netanyahu-yoav-gallant
https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-gaza-netanyahu-11-2024-intl/index.html
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Today, Martha, Jess, Andy, and Jeffrey discuss the sentencing of 45 pro-democracy activists to four to ten-year prison sentences by the Hong Kong government under the Beijing-induced national security law. This is the largest usage of the law since it was enacted in 2020 to suppress a once-thriving pro-democracy movement. This sentencing comes amidst a three-day Global Financial Leaders’ Investment Summit hosted in Hong Kong where Chinese Vice-Premier He Lifeng touted Hong Kong as an international finance hub.
Are these sentences and the national security law a blueprint for Taiwan if they were to be forcibly reunified with China? What should the United States do in light of these sentences? How can world leaders balance between financial incentives and protecting human rights?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/hong-kong-activists-sentencing-unofficial-primary-1ed13be76fa4918d83f7d3e498f2f543
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/hong-kong-47-democracy-activists-sentenced-national-security-rcna180290
https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/hong-kong-economy/article/3287105/beijings-economic-tsar-set-speak-top-hong-kong-finance-summit
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Today, Jess, Matt, Jeffrey, and first-time guest, Marc Raimondi, discuss President Biden’s decision to allow Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied missiles to strike deeper inside Russia. This comes amidst Russia reinforcing its forces with thousands of North Korean troops with the goal of reclaiming territory lost to Ukraine’s Kursk offensive.
How have the redlines by the Biden Administration impacted the war in Ukraine? How should Ukraine leverage this new capability? What does this decision mean for the incoming Trump Administration?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/biden-ukraine-long-range-weapons-russia-52d424158182de2044ecc8bfcf011f9c
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-atacms-missiles.html
https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-long-range-weapons-russia-united-states-biden/33205585.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/world/europe/trump-ukraine-russia-peace.html
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ukraine-russia-war-zelenskyy-diplomacy-trump/
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Today, Jess, Morgan, Martha, and Matt discuss this week’s COP29, an annual climate summit where world leaders, policymakers, business executives, and others meet to discuss global emissions reduction goals, and how to finance climate mitigation and adaptation efforts, especially in the developing world. This year’s summit was held in Baku, Azerbaijan, and notable heads of state not in attendance included those from the U.S., France, Russia, India, and China among others.
What’s in store for the future of COP? How does U.S. domestic attitudes impact the future of addressing climate challenges? Should we worry about China’s green diplomacy efforts?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2lknel1xpo
https://www.euronews.com/green/2024/11/08/a-total-waste-of-time-the-world-leaders-shunning-cop29-over-political-spats-and-lost-confi
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/climate/cop29-baku-azerbaijan.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/climate/trump-climate-cop-negotiations.html
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2024/11/trump-cop-china-climate/680611/
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Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Jess discuss president-elect Donald Trump’s picks for national security and foreign policy positions in the coming administration. The least surprising of which have been Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) being floated as a strong contender for Secretary of State, Representative Mike Waltz (R-FL-6) being announced as Trump’s National Security Advisor, and Representative Elise Stefanik (R-NY-21) being announced as the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations. However, in a surprise pick, Pete Hegseth, a Veteran and Fox News Weekend commentator has been announced as Secretary of Defense sending shockwaves throughout the beltway.
How will president-elect Trump’s cabinet picks impact his foreign policy? How do our adversaries and allies view these picks? Will these picks impact the War in Ukraine?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.politico.com/interactives/2024/trump-cabinet-picks-2025-tracker/
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/11/12/trump-transition-personnel-announcements-takeaway-00188936
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trumps-picks-so-far-heres-who-advising-new-president
https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/trumps-cabinet-whos-been-picked-whos-running-2024-11-12/
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/4985802-trump-cabinet-nominees-second-term/
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Today, Martha, Morgan, Bishop, and Jeffrey discuss the collapse of Germany’s ruling coalition, the Traffic Light coalition, after German Chancellor Olaf Scholz of the Social Democratic Party, fired Finance Minister Christian Lindner of the Free Democratic Party over disagreements in economic policy causing them to withdraw. This has led Germany to have a minority government with Chancellor Scholz saying he would hold a vote of confidence in January, which could pave the way for new elections as early as March.
What impacts does President-Elect Trump's return and his economic policies have on German politics? With economic recession and now political instability in Germany, will we see a further rise of the Far-Right? What are the broader implications for the U.S.?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/german-government-crisis-leaves-europe-headless-ahead-of-trumps-return-80cfbfc2
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/world/europe/germany-coalition-collapse-explained.html
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2024/11/07/how-the-german-governments-collapse-impacts-the-eu
https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-governing-coalition-collapses/live-70692143
https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/germany/
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Today, Morgan, Martha, Les, and Amy discuss the results of the 2024 presidential election and its implications for U.S. national security. Early Wednesday morning, former President Donald Trump became President-elect of the United States winning over 270 electoral votes. Alongside winning the presidency, the Republican party won a majority in the Senate and the House is still too close to call.
Did foreign policy failures during the Biden administration contribute to the former President’s re-election? How will our adversaries and allies react to a second Trump administration? Where will the focus of the second Trump administration be in foreign policy?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://foreignpolicy.com/projects/2024-us-president-election-live-updates-harris-trump/
https://apnews.com/article/election-day-trump-harris-white-house-83c8e246ab97f5b97be45cdc156af4e2
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/06/opinion/donald-trump-2024-election.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb&ngrp=mnp&pvid=A9E8BB32-1699-438A-BD40-F936DFE4E2CF
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-vs-harris-us-voters-head-polls-turbulent-campaign-concludes-2024-11-05/
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Today, Martha, Les, Jess, and Jeffrey dive into the issue of election interference by malign actors on the eve of the 2024 Presidential election. Jen Easterly, director of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, recently assured voters that “election infrastructure has never been more secure.” Yet, U.S. officials have flagged two fake videos circulating online and publicly identified by the FBI as part of a Russia-backed malign influence campaign aimed at sowing doubt about election security.
What are the implications of increasing attempts by foreign malign actors attempting to influence our elections? Are we effectively countering these attempts at influencing or undermining our electoral system? And perhaps most importantly, is the CISA’s message of a secure election reaching the American people?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/2-more-russian-disinformation-videos-targeting-u-s-election-circulating-online/
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4967613-fbi-condemns-fake-election-security-videos/amp/
https://apnews.com/article/fbi-russia-georgia-fraud-disinformation-eebea4ab200682ccd3e97fb9f164e6ca
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-01/the-us-cyber-chief-trying-to-get-americans-to-trust-the-election?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTczMDY3NTAzNSwiZXhwIjoxNzMxMjc5ODM1LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJTTTlOU1FEV1JHRzAwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiI1NjZENkIwRkY1NzQ0Qjk4QjI4QTM2QjkyOTg5QjgyRSJ9.8lvkesmpjuUKfsm5kmjL4I0a9yXcLMA--MSSK1PNU2Q
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-11-01/us-election-security-officials-brace-to-protect-ballots-people
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Today, Les, Martha, Morgan, and Jeffrey discuss recent Chinese diplomatic maneuvering. Chinese President Xi Jinping met with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to resolve a long-standing border dispute that has led to violent clashes and it set to meet with new Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba before Ishiba meets with the U.S. President. Alongside these meetings, China has lodged its increasing discontent with the growing partnership between North Korea and Russia.
What do these diplomatic maneuvers mean, and are they a break from the norm? How does the United States’ presidential election impact the framing of these moves? Is there a potential wedge between Russia and China?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/world/asia/modi-xi-putin-brics.html
https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2024/10/131421bdb5e4-urgent-japan-pm-ishiba-arranging-1st-summit-with-chinas-xi-in-nov.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/31/us/politics/russia-north-korea-troops-china.html
https://apnews.com/article/india-china-ladakh-pact-modi-xi-border-dispute-3c071f1a9bedfe453547027a84ebcf9b
https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/India-China-complete-Himalayan-troop-pullback-New-Delhi-says
https://www.voanews.com/a/china-calls-for-stable-japan-relations-after-ishiba-election-victory/7802773.html
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/has-india-made-friends-with-china-after-the-modi-xi-agreement/
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Today, Jess, Morgan, Bishop, and Jeffrey discuss Georgia’s recent parliamentary election that saw the pro-Russian ruling party Georgian Dream come out on top and keep its majority. However, Georgia’s pro-Western President Salome Zourabichvili stated that she did not recognize the results of the election, that the country fell victim to a “Russian special operation,” and protests have seized Tbilsi, the capital. A partial recount was announced yesterday.
What do we make of allegations of Russian interference in Georgia’s election? What does this election and Georgia’s bid for EU membership signify for geopolitics? What can Western countries do in response to this election?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/georgia-russia-election-european-union-8f040cb30e1d9c9e778383cbcbb7b2c1
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/georgia-conducts-partial-vote-recount-after-reports-polling-irregularities-2024-10-29/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/27/world/europe/republic-of-georgia-election.html
https://www.politico.eu/article/georgia-polling-election-showdown-dream-party-votes-europe-candidates/
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/28/georgia-election-results-georgian-dream-dispute-eu-russia-protests/
https://www.rferl.org/amp/georgia-election-protests-russia-eu/33176435.html
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Today, Martha, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss Israel’s retaliatory strikes on Iran in response to Iran's October 1st launch of over 200 ballistic missiles targeting Israel. The targets of Israel’s retaliatory strike included Russian-supplied air defenses and military infrastructure, including a secretive military base that has been linked to Tehran’s nuclear weapons program and another base tied to its ballistic missile program.
Did the Biden Administration exert any influence on Israeli targeting decisions? What does the restrained messaging from both sides in the aftermath mean? Will these strikes make Iran more dependent on its weakening proxies?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/iran-israel-attack-satellite-photos-gaza-lebanon-wars-0c6ee6a8544268612cb7d49727d8449d
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israeli-strikes-on-iran-expose-gap-in-prowess-between-two-arch-foes-aded7cf8?st=cZQewc&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/un-security-council-expected-meet-monday-over-israels-strike-iran-diplomats-say-2024-10-27/
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/satellite-photos-show-israel-hit-iran-missile-fuel-mixing-facilities-researchers-2024-10-26/
https://apnews.com/article/iran-israel-war-attack-retaliation-analysis-80a619146abd4f8aee2a7776a8f134d1
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Today, Les, Martha, Jeffrey, and Andy discuss reports that there’s evidence North Korea has dispatched 3,000 troops to Russia in a potential escalation of the nearly 3-year-old war with Ukraine. They also discuss a Wall Street Journal exclusive report that Russia through its intermediary Iran gave targeting information to Houthi rebels in Yemen who have been targeting and disrupting commercial shipping in transit in the Red Sea.
Is the presence of North Korean troops in Russia an indicator of things going well for Russia? Is the Biden Administration handling the global situation well? Does the international rules-based order lack strong leadership?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/10/24/putin-russia-north-korea-troops/
https://www.wsj.com/world/russia-provided-targeting-data-for-houthi-assault-on-global-shipping-eabc2c2b?mod=hp_lead_pos1
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-north-korea-war-735ab717dcf92a718adcb68bfbddc653
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Today, Morgan, Martha, Jess, and Les discuss the ongoing 16th annual BRICS summit hosted in Kazan, Russia. The three-day summit welcomes its newest members Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates as well as the UN Secretary-General. The Kremlin touted the summit as “the largest foreign policy event ever held” by Russia.
How concerned should the United States and our allies and partners be about BRICS’ influence? What is the incentive for countries to join BRICS? Do these countries, as well as the UN Secretary-General, attending the BRICS summit give Russian President Vladimir Putin legitimacy?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.reuters.com/world/xi-modi-discuss-ukraine-war-with-putin-brics-considers-expansion-2024-10-23/
https://apnews.com/article/russia-putin-brics-summit-china-india-d672be9b1ec2ffd0fba608e8a6aca790
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/21/world/europe/russia-china-brics.html
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/10/22/russias-brics-summit-whats-on-the-agenda-and-why-does-it-matter
https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/21/europe/putin-russia-iran-china-brics-hnk-intl/index.html
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly3ylwg4eqo
https://www.economist.com/international/2024/10/20/putins-plan-to-defeat-the-dollar
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Today, Jess, Les, Amy, and Jeffrey discuss two pivotal elections that took place Sunday in Moldova. The first was the Presidential election, where current pro-western President Maia Sandu won the first round but did not win an outright majority, setting the stage for a run-off election with a pro-Russian candidate. The second vote was on a referendum enshrining EU accession into the Moldovan constitution, which passed by a razor-thin margin.
What do elections in Moldova mean for geopolitics? Do Moldovans worry that they may become another Ukraine? Were the outcomes of these votes a surprise given Russian efforts to influence them?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/moldova-elections-eu-referendum-russia-325cb2c13beb1d76565a6e2aadef971a
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/20/world/europe/moldova-election-russia-eu.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb
https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/how-russia-targeting-moldovas-path-eu
https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russia-poses-long-term-threats-moldova%E2%80%99s-european-integration-beyond-october-elections
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/19/moldova-election-protection-biden-russia-00184429
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Today, Martha, Les, Jess, and Bishop discuss the death of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, the chief architect of last year’s attack on Israel that sparked the war in Gaza. The Israel Defense Forces killed Sinwar during a strike in Gaza, Israel’s government confirmed Thursday night. Israeli President Benjamin Netanyahu did not indicate that Sinwar’s killing signaled the climax of Israel’s assault on Gaza, as he vowed to bring hostages home. However, many hope it opens the door to peace.
What are the impacts of Sinwar’s death on the War in Gaza and potential peace talks? How will Palestinians respond to Sinwar’s death? Will there be wider regional implications due to Sinwar’s death?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/10/17/world/israel-lebanon-iran-gaza-news?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&tgrp=cpy&pvid=5DDFF1AD-803D-42D5-BA43-F761AA03A69B
https://www.politico.eu/article/israel-killed-hamas-leader-yahya-sinwar-gaza/
https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-lebanon-hezbollah-news-10-17-2024-d12ca71945313e601cf10876072f4182
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Today, Les, Jess, Martha, and Jeffrey discuss Israel’s response, or lack thereof, to Iran’s missile attack earlier this October. The Biden Administration believes it has won assurances from Israel that it will not hit Iranian nuclear or oil sites as it looks to strike back against Iran. However, the Biden Administration recently demanded that Israel take steps in the next month to improve the humanitarian situation in Gaza or face potential restrictions on U.S. military aid.
Are these demands political posturing for domestic audiences by the White House? Does the United States have any influence over Israeli actions? Is it ethical to politicize critical national security issues?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-oil-nuclear-sites-biden-f5dd702de7d990dd1d00f665e1484dee
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/15/world/middleeast/oil-prices-israel-iran-attacks.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb&ngrp=mnp&pvid=56EB71F1-82A2-4CD1-BEDA-A0531A9D115B
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-gives-israel-30-days-improve-gazas-humanitarian-situation-or-risk-aid-reports-2024-10-15/
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/10/15/letter-to-congressional-leadership-providing-an-update-on-developments-in-the-middle-east-and-the-u-s-governments-response/
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Today, Jess, Jeffrey, Martha, and Morgan discuss increasing tensions on the Korean peninsula as North Korea has accused South Korea of flying drones and dropping anti-North Korean propaganda leaflets over Pyongyang. North Korea threatened to respond with force and says its front-line army units are ready to launch strikes on South Korea if the drone flights continue.
Are these claims saber-rattling or a true escalation? Why are South Korean leaflets getting Kim Jong Un so mad? Is the timing of Kim’s fiery rhetoric and the upcoming U.S. presidential election a coincidence?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/north-korea-south-drones-attack-threat-border-d1b2e42665fba63dbf4cf2f36a96f5f5
https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/11/asia/north-korea-south-drones-pyongyang/index.html
https://apnews.com/article/north-south-korea-drones-c923535e6f414674593d74ff935adf41
https://apnews.com/article/north-korea-roads-destroy-tensions-drones-072433677101dc38e30bb65f908ec631
https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/east-asia/article/3282158/kim-jong-uns-sister-warns-south-korea-horrible-disaster
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Today, Morgan, Matt, Amy, and Jeffrey discuss the historic handover of sovereignty of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius. Backed by the White House, the United Kingdom agreed to hand sovereignty of the Chagos Islands after 13 rounds of negotiations over the former African colony. Importantly, the UK will retain control of the UK-US Diego Garcia military base for an initial period of 99 years. However, critics argue this move is a victory for Chinese interests in the Indo-Pacific.
What are the impacts of this handover on U.S. interests in the region? Will this handover set a precedent in the use of lawfare by our adversaries? How will future administrations handle the soft and hard power changes as a result of this handover?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.politico.eu/article/republicans-us-washington-chagos-islands-deal-china-security/
https://www.newsweek.com/diego-garcia-news-uk-mauritius-chagos-islands-agreement-us-base-indian-ocean-1963650
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/10/09/uk-chagos-islands-mauritius-diego-garcia-last-colony/
https://breakingdefense.com/2024/10/despite-hold-on-diego-garcia-uks-move-to-return-chago-islands-sparks-security-concerns/
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Today, Jess, Martha, Morgan, and Les discuss MI5’s latest threat report, in which the UK’s spy chief outlined that Britain is facing a “staggering rise” in attempts at assassination, sabotage, and other crimes on UK soil by Russia and Iran, as the two states recruit criminals to “do their dirty work,” amid a rise in terrorist threats to the European continent by a resurgent ISIS and Al-Qaeda.
How can the United States and our allies respond to these kinetic and active threats? What have been the failures of successive presidential administrations to address these threats? Is the global war on terror truly over?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/uk-intelligence-mi5-threats-russia-iran-936d7c24d303ffea41f6b1cef7c7b814
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uks-mi5-spy-chief-details-security-threats-facing-uk-2024-10-08/
https://www.reuters.com/world/man-convicted-hostile-reconnaissance-london-based-tv-channel-critical-iran-2023-12-20/
https://apnews.com/article/germany-russia-spying-military-officer-305ee23eb4677f3215c9e3560945a0d9
https://apnews.com/article/sweden-iran-israel-criminal-gangs-proxy-d50a17efab629a585e281854d3e11407
https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-berlin-fire-diehl-behind-arson-attack-on-factory/
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Today, Les, Martha, and Morgan discuss last week’s assault by the Chinese Coast Guard assault on 10 Vietnamese fishermen near the disputed Paracel Islands in the South China Sea. Three of the fishermen suffered broken limbs and the rest sustained other injuries, their fishing gear was damaged, and about 4 tons of their catch were sized by the Chinese.
How does this incident impact the United States’ role in the region? What are the economic ramifications of Chinese aggression? Will China change its behavior in the face of growing ties between Indo-Pacific nations in response to its aggressive actions?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/china-vietnam-paracel-south-china-sea-d86889dd2fda73499602951ef3056d32
https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/02/asia/vietnam-protest-china-attack-fishermen-intl-hnk/index.html
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/philippines-accuses-china-assaulting-vietnamese-fishermen-south-china-sea-2024-10-04/
https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3926061/allies-partners-conduct-operations-in-south-china-sea/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/10/03/south-china-sea-underwater-cables/
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Today, Jess, Martha, Morgan, and Les discuss Japan’s new Prime Minister, Shigeru Ishiba, a 67-year-old Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) backbencher, who has grand ideas for Japanese foreign policy including establishing an Asian NATO to deter China, joint management of U.S. bases in Japan, and the United States sharing their nuclear deterrence with Japan.
What does Ishiba and his foreign policy ideas mean for U.S.-Japan relations? Are any of Ishiba’s security ideas achievable? How do U.S. partners and allies in the Indo-Pacific perceive our security assurances?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.hudson.org/politics-government/shigeru-ishiba-japans-new-security-era-future-japans-foreign-policy
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/09/29/japans-prime-minister-ishiba-00181546
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/japans-newly-elected-prime-minister-shigeru-ishiba-forms-cabinet-with-emphasis-on-defense
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/incoming-japan-pm-ishibas-asian-nato-idea-test-us-diplomacy-2024-09-27/
https://apnews.com/article/japan-ishiba-us-south-korea-australia-china-73a66e7b2fce8c3847622acf314357e1
https://www.usip.org/publications/2024/08/how-fumio-kishida-shaped-japans-foreign-policy
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Today, Les, Morgan, Jeffrey, and Bishop discuss Tuesday’s missile strikes by Iran against Israel where at least 180 missiles were fired into Israel in what is said to be a retaliation for a series of devastating blows Israel has landed in recent weeks against Hezbollah and other Iranian proxy forces in the Middle East.
What happens next? What is the Biden administration’s policy in this conflict? Is Iran an effective actor?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-10-01/israel-s-devastation-of-hezbollah-puts-iran-in-a-corner
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4909053-iran-preparing-missile-attack/
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cg4qx62kkxxt?post=asset%3A4edfbeb0-ff7e-4b9c-a412-4f16fb69d23d#post
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3923320/statement-by-secretary-of-defense-lloyd-j-austin-iii-on-irans-missile-strikes-a/
https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-10-02-2024-7d93f71b7894177b4f9c303671ee55de
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Today, Martha, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the Israeli strike in Beirut, Lebanon, which killed Hezbollah's leader, Hassan Nasrallah, leaving behind a weakened leadership structure dismantled by successive Israeli attacks. Hezbollah’s acting leader, Naim Kassem, has vowed to continue fighting Israel, asserting that these strikes have not diminished their military capabilities.
What impact have these strikes had on Hezbollah’s ability to operate effectively? Has Iranian influence waned as a result? How might the upcoming U.S. election affect its influence on key actors in the region?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/lebanon-hezbollah-beirut-nasrallah-israel-airstrike-dahiyeh-7ebf675d75e4d49c7b307864cdbc7dc1
https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-09-30-2024-83ea5f243688f309754ec74850de4238
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/hezbollah-misjudged-israels-weakness-and-irans-might-b169e552?mod=world_lead_pos2
https://newlinesmag.com/argument/end-of-an-era-what-hassan-nasrallahs-assassination-spells-for-the-middle-east/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/29/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-hamas-war-news-gaza/
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Today, Morgan, Martha, Les, and Jeffrey discuss the UN General Assembly (UNGA) and High Level Week, where world leaders come together to debate global challenges.
As intractable conflict persists, including Russia’s war on Ukraine to the conflict in the Middle East is the UN equipped to handle today's issues? With despots committing atrocities with impunity, is the UN morally hollow? How can the United States improve the UN to help tackle the larger security issues we face today?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.reuters.com/world/what-is-unga-what-will-world-leaders-talk-about-2024-09-11/
https://www.un.org/en/high-level-week-2024
https://apnews.com/article/un-guterres-summit-future-global-challenges-climate-a7aff1ff5176aafa3cc562021bbf5004
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/24/us/politics/biden-unga-speech.html
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/netanyahu-address-israel-bogged-war-barrels-114067999
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Today, Les, Jess, Matt, and John discuss recent Israeli military strikes against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon following up on their recent operation that included exploding pagers, radios, and some solar panels. These strikes aim to ensure the safety and return of over 60,000 Israelis to their homes in northern Israel which were forced to evacuate due to Hezbollah rocket attacks - but others speculate this might lead to a wider conflict.
Does the United States have a strategy to respond to Iranian provocations? Are there differing visions between the U.S. and Israel in the conflict's aims? Will Iran intervene and expand the conflict into a regional war? What does this pivot mean for the hostages in Gaza?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/the-vast-hezbollah-arsenal-awaiting-israel-in-lebanon-99ce396c
https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-gaza-war-lebanonrefugees-displaced-9d4d53e808ce5f67e234789f65d1ad71
https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-hezbollah-gaza-news-09-24-2024-640a0046aceea1b5cfb395a54ff36bce
https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-violence-war-hezbollah-63a15fa390a94acf46ef886cc5fb88db
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/24/israel-lebanon-war-border-hezbollah/
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/09/24/world/gaza-israel-hamas-hezbollah
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Episode 363: Ayatollah's Algorithm for U.S. Elections
Today, Jess, Martha, Les, and Morgan discuss Iranian efforts to influence the upcoming presidential election, including Iran’s hack of the Trump campaign and its attempts to share these documents with individuals tied to the Biden campaign. The Biden Administration has moved aggressively in recent weeks to call out this and other operations in hopes of alerting Americans to foreign efforts to influence their views amidst a presidential election.
What is Iran’s level of sophistication when it comes to cyber-attacks? With the deepening ties between Russia and Iran, has Russia shared its best practices on election interference with Iran? Is the U.S. government’s transparency regarding election-related attacks beneficial?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/18/fbi-says-iran-sent-hacked-trump-info-to-biden-campaign-00179951
https://apnews.com/article/iran-fbi-hacking-trump-election-interference-2020-3631e1832a8edb549d53126585503f32
https://www.npr.org/2024/08/23/g-s1-19350/meta-iran-hacking-election-trump-harris-biden
https://apnews.com/article/iran-trump-harris-election-russia-hack-ad5886379e67710e79d83938e52360cc
https://apnews.com/article/iran-russia-china-election-disinformation-hacking-ee65e29b866852b146e75c9f3312a1ae
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Today, Martha, Jess, Les, and Jeffrey discuss this week's detonations of pagers, handheld radios, and solar panels alongside military strikes by Israel against Hezbollah that have rocked Lebanon and thrown ongoing ceasefire talks into disarray. Hezbollah has vowed retribution for these attacks and U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken expressed frustration that these attacks threaten to derail efforts to broker a cease-fire deal in Gaza.
What are the implications of these attacks on wider supply chain security? How did these attacks impact Hezbollah psychologically, and will it have any impact on the ground? Will Iran retaliate against Israel due to these attacks?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/09/19/hezbollah-pager-attack-supply-chain/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/19/israel-lebanon-attack-explosions-hezbollah/
https://apnews.com/article/israel-lebanon-exploding-devices-hezbollah-mideast-ab2436cf5bae5e2fe2dddb293671a0ac
https://www.foxnews.com/world/israel-strikes-hezbollah-targets-lebanon-after-two-rounds-device-explosions
https://apnews.com/article/gaza-blinken-middle-east-pagers-israel-4d4234bfdac2e49d3bc7c70cfb82a585
https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-iran-yemen-houthis-lebanon-hezbollah-2bf649b0127edfdc65d08e6b68aa3695
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Today, Morgan, Les, Martha, and Jeffrey discuss last Sunday’s marking of the third anniversary of the trilateral security partnership between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States, also known as AUKUS. They discussed its inception and evolution over three years to accomplish its two pillars of providing Australia with nuclear-powered attack submarines; and collaborative development of advanced capabilities in six technological areas such as AI and quantum computing.
After three years, what has gone well with AUKUS? What are the regulatory challenges to accomplishing Pillar II? How do our other allies in the Indo-Pacific feel about the impacts of AUKUS?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/on-the-third-aukus-anniversary-a-toast-to-itar-reform-and-a-call-to-keep-going/
https://breakingdefense.com/2024/09/aukus-other-agreements-likely-having-galvanizing-effect-in-beijing-aussie-ambasador/
https://asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/AUKUS-needs-more-than-submarines-to-make-its-bold-vision-a-reality
https://www.csis.org/analysis/aukus-pillar-two-advancing-capabilities-united-states-united-kingdom-and-australia
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Today, Jess, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss U.S. President Joe Biden’s upcoming trip to Angola, fulfilling an earlier promise that would make him the first U.S. head of state to visit sub-Saharan Africa since Barack Obama in 2015. Keen to counter China's massive investments in Africa, the U.S. has been supporting a project that links the resource-rich Democratic Republic of Congo to Angola's Lobito port by rail to bypass road congestion on the copper and cobalt route.
What impact, or lack thereof, does the election have on this trip? Is the United States pulling a play out of China’s playbook with the Lobito Corridor project? How can the U.S. offer a better deal than China in Africa?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-make-first-africa-visit-with-angola-trip-coming-weeks-sources-say-2024-09-13/
https://international-partnerships.ec.europa.eu/policies/global-gateway/lobito-corridor-connecting-democratic-republic-congo-and-zambia-global-markets-angola_en
https://www.usip.org/blog/2024/06/what-africas-lobito-corridor
https://afripoli.org/lobito-corridor-a-reality-check
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/09/09/joint-statement-from-the-united-states-and-the-european-union-on-support-for-angola-zambia-and-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congos-commitment-to-further-develop-the-lobito-corridor-and-the/
https://www.semafor.com/article/11/30/2023/bidens-plans-to-counter-china-run-through-angola
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the upcoming meeting between British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and U.S. President Joe Biden. They are expected to discuss whether to allow the UK to sell Storm Shadow missiles to Ukraine to strike military targets deep inside Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that “if Ukraine did fire Western missiles deep into Russia, it would mean that Russia was at war with NATO.” Russia also expelled six British diplomats from Moscow accusing them of espionage.
Is this more saber-rattling from Russia, or a genuine redline? What is the impact of the upcoming U.S. presidential election on allowing long-range weapons to be used against Russia? Is the United States slow-rolling equipment to Ukraine or in step with European allies?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.npr.org/2024/09/11/nx-s1-5108698/secretary-of-state-blinken-in-kyiv-ukraine
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/12/us/politics/biden-ukraine-weapons.html
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/09/12/europe/putin-warns-nato-missiles-hnk-latam-intl
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/09/13/russia-putin-uk-missiles-diplomats/
https://www.foxnews.com/world/putin-says-he-backs-harris-over-trump-adds-hes-ready-talks-ukraine
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Today, Les, Jess, Amy, Matt, and Jeffrey reflect on the 23rd anniversary of the September 11th attacks that began the Global War on Terror and changed the course of American history. They discuss how these attacks still shape our national security and foreign policy and how, now over two decades removed from the attacks, newer generations reflect and remember this pivotal event.
Does the changing landscape of how we obtain and learn world events impact how we view world events? Do average Americans understand the threat we still face from global terror? How do we convey the necessity of leaning forward in the world to ensure our national security where both political parties espouse retrenchment?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/sept-11-anniversary-ceremony-children-reading-names-ed7dcd42524dca1c5098b6b3364aca91
https://www.npr.org/2024/09/10/g-s1-21925/biden-harris-trump-911-ground-zero-world-trade-center-pentagon-shanksville-flight-93
https://www.911memorial.org/connect/commemoration/23rd-anniversary-commemoration
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Today, Morgan, Jamil, Les, and Jess discuss reports that the Biden administration and the Government of Iraq have reached an understanding on plans for the withdrawal of U.S.-led coalition forces from Iraq. The leaks suggest that we would see hundreds depart by September 2025, with the remaining departing by the end of 2026.
Is this withdrawal plan a sound foreign policy decision or an appeal to domestic politics? What are the regional implications of this potential withdrawal amidst the war against Hamas in Gaza and the looming threat of Iran? How will our allies and adversaries respond to this withdrawal?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-iraq-deal-would-see-hundreds-troops-withdraw-first-year-sources-say-2024-09-06/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/08/21/biden-iraq-isis-war-end-danger-president/
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Today, Les, Jess, Martha, and Jeffrey discuss the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, which is held every three years, this time in Beijing. All African nations, except the Kingdom of Eswatini due to its recognition of Taiwan, participated in the forum. China is the African continent’s biggest trading partner and arms supplier.
How does the United States’ and China’s messaging impact the effectiveness of relations with Africa? How can the United States improve its engagement with Africa? How do China’s exploitive loan program and purchase of mainly commodities impact its relations with African nations?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/world/asia/china-africa-summit.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb&ngrp=mnn&pvid=F23603F0-AF7C-46B3-BAB5-2379E201F463
https://www.reuters.com/world/china-deepen-industrial-agricultural-trade-investment-ties-with-africa-2024-09-05/
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdx6d654556o
https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/03/china/china-africa-summit-intl-hnk/index.html
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/china-africa-summit-us-xi-jinping-rcna169673
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3277371/china-vows-work-africa-nuclear-tech-satellites-and-space
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Today, Jess, Les, Martha, and Morgan discuss the latest developments in the war in Ukraine, from Ukrainian forces going on the offensive in Russia and capturing 450+ square miles of Russian territory to the recent crash of a Western-provided F-16 jet and Vladimir Putin’s state visit to Mongolia, where he was not arrested despite his outstanding ICC arrest warrant.
How does Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive impact the wider war? What are the implications of Mongolia failing to uphold its ICC obligations? How might the F-16’s recent crash impact future aid efforts?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/09/03/world/ukraine-russia-missile-strike-poltava
https://www.politico.eu/article/vladimir-putin-russia-arrest-icc-member-mongolia-prosecution-eu-ukraine/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/31/world/europe/ukraine-f16-pilot-crash.html
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/zelenskyy-ukraine-russia-territory-seized-putin-kursk-rcna169280
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Jeffrey discuss two pivotal elections - the French Parliamentary and the Iranian Presidential Election. French President Emmanuel Macron, after his party was trounced in the European Parliamentary elections, called for a snap election. In which after the first round of voting on Sunday saw Marine Le Pen’s right-wing National Rally party take first place with all eyes on the run-off on Sunday, July 9th. In Iran, elections were held in the wake of the death of President Ebrahim Raisi. After the first round of voting, two candidates remain for the Presidency - with ostensible “reformer” Masoud Pezeshkian leading over Saeed Jalili, a former nuclear negotiator for Iran who is viewed as the more hawkish of the two, and with another round of voting to follow.
How does the French election impact support for Ukraine and the wider EU? What are the implications of Iranian elections on regional stability? How should the next President prepare for the outcome of these elections?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/france-election-far-right-macron-193233ade08821a71731980d8a17eb4a
https://apnews.com/article/france-election-far-right-macron-f07061a929ed8eaad0e714e948159cab
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-legislative-election-marine-le-pen-emmanuel-macron-national-rally-jordan-bardella/
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-presidential-election-pakeshkian-jalili/
https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2024/06/29/irans-supreme-leader-is-terrified-of-people-power
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/30/world/middleeast/iran-election-president-voters.html
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Today, Jess, Les, Martha, and Matt discuss the recent violent protests in Kenya’s capital of Nairobi over a tax bill that would increase taxes on bread, fuel, and other necessities, which was aimed at alleviating the country’s massive debt burden. Protestors stormed the nation’s parliament building, setting parts ablaze, and clashes with police and military forces have left more than 300 injured and 22 dead. Kenyan President William Ruto has now abandoned the bill but vows to quash the continuing unrest “at whatever cost.”
With Kenya being recently announced as a U.S. major Non-NATO ally, how do these protests impact U.S.-Kenyan relations? What are the implications of these protests on the stability of the region and our ongoing counter-terrorism efforts? What does this unrest mean for the recently deployed Kenyan police mission to violence-stricken Haiti?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3gg30gm0x2o
https://apnews.com/article/kenya-finance-bill-taxes-protests-396382bdac0fc18dfec7cd3003ece35b
https://apnews.com/article/kenya-protests-finance-bill-33a20092285f1d663264f7b0d513e1da
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/25/world/africa/kenya-protests-tax-parliament.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/27/world/africa/kenya-protests-taxes-president-ruto.html
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Today, Les, Jess, Bishop, and Amy discuss Wikileaks founder Julian Assange's plea deal with the Department of Justice in which he agreed to plead guilty to one count of espionage, in exchange for a sentence of five years in prison, which - due to time served in the U.K. - means he is a free man. Assange also refused to set foot on the mainland United States, appearing instead in Saipan (an American territory).
Is this plea deal justice served? How does Assange’s case impact future accountability for classified leaks? Should Americans who are concerned about free speech be focusing on Assange or the imprisoned Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.wsj.com/politics/julian-assange-plea-deal-c392069c
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/25/julian-assange-plea-deal-updates/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/25/us/politics/assange-plea-deal-press-freedom.html
https://www.military.com/daily-news/2024/06/24/wikileaks-founder-julian-assange-will-plead-guilty-deal-us-and-be-freed-prison.html
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2024/06/julian-assange-plea-deal-pointless-prosecution/678787/
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Today, Jess, Les, Martha, and Jeffrey discuss two ongoing stories – increased border clashes between Israel and Hezbollah, which have raised fears in the region that the escalating tensions could turn into all-out war, as well as the Houthis ongoing attacks on international shipping in the Red Sea.
Should Israel and the United States be worried about escalation with Hezbollah? How would the group rate the Biden Administration’s diplomatic efforts in the Middle East? Has the U.S. effectively responded to the Houthi threat in the Red Sea?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/23/israel-iron-dome-hezbollah-war-lebanon
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4735840-israeli-defense-minister-gallant-us/
https://apnews.com/article/lebanon-israel-iraq-syria-hezbollah-fighters-iran-1e3359917f252862f4ed3d4b3df1d43e
https://apnews.com/article/yemen-houthi-rebels-ship-attacks-israel-hamas-war-3c1756a60efb061960b6eda1bc580834
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ship-attack-houthi-red-sea-uss-eisenhower-rcna158406
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Jeffrey discuss Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent visit to North Korea where he met with North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un, the first time President Putin has been to North Korea in over 20 years. At the end of the visit, Russia and North Korea signed a mutual defense agreement marking the strongest connection between Moscow and Pyongyang since the end of the Cold War.
What does this agreement mean for possible technology sharing between Russia and North Korea? How does this agreement impact regional security on the Korean peninsula? Will this agreement dampen Russia and China’s no-limits partnership?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/20/world/asia/china-russia-north-korea.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/06/20/russia-china-iran-north-korea-alignment/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/what-the-putin-pyongyang-axis-means-a95799c9?st=4b5epti79ncjynr&reflink=article_whatsapp_share
https://apnews.com/article/north-korea-russia-kim-jong-un-putin-military-assistance-war-d9bb8aee7eb1a692b932337578fb3e30
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Today, Jess, Les, and Amy discuss the two-day peace summit in Switzerland dedicated to forging an end to the war in Ukraine with over 90 countries attending, including Vice President Kamala Harris on behalf of the U.S. The summit concluded with a communique reaffirming Ukraine’s territorial integrity, among other things. Notably absent from the summit were Russia and China. Of those who did attend, several countries including India, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and the United Arab Emirates did not sign the communique.
Without Russia’s participation, does this summit mean anything? Are there implications of countries not re-affirming core principles, like sovereignty, for the international system? What does this summit and its communique mean for further aid to Ukraine?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/16/europe/ukraine-peace-summit-switzerland-intl/index.html
https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-switzerland-war-conference-burgenstock-568cafee5fbe9c3b19b79b041583a5d6
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/swiss-conference-ukraine-rcna157400
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Today, Jess, Les, and Bishop discuss the arrival of a Russian flotilla, including a nuclear-powered submarine to the port of Havana, Cuba. This Russian show of force comes weeks after President Biden authorized Ukraine’s use of U.S.-provided weapons for strikes within Russian territory. Amidst the arrival of Russian ships, a U.S. nuclear-powered submarine made a “routine port visit” to Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.
What do we make of the timing of Russia’s visit to Cuba? Was the U.S. sub arriving at Guantanamo Bay an intentional show of force? What is in store for future U.S.-Cuban relations?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/12/americas/russian-navy-cuba-intl/index.html
https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/06/americas/cuba-russian-ships-submarine-visit-intl-latam/index.html
https://apnews.com/article/russia-cuba-us-submarine-ukraine-bac0519f4fdbe30a5ef210447d50a671
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Today, Jess, Les, and Bishop discuss the outcome of the European Union’s parliamentary elections where 720 seats were up for grabs. After four days of voting, the centrist European People’s Party (EPP) was the biggest single winner with 186 seats. However, far-right parties are also set to win 150 seats many of which came from France, Italy, and Germany.
What are the implications of this election for the U.S.’ trans-Atlantic policy? How does this election impact Europe's support of Ukraine? Do the gains by the far-right in the European parliament foreshadow national election wins?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/10/european-parliament-election-results-takeaways/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/10/eu-parliament-election-results-france-germany/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/11/world/europe/giorgia-meloni-italy-g7.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&sgrp=c-cb
https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/european-union-vote-delivers-shift-to-right-in-blow-to-french-and-german-governments-8f1c0f23
https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/10/europe/european-elections-explainer-intl/index.html
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Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the ongoing civil war in Sudan between the Rapid Support Force (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) which has displaced over 8 million people. Most recently, the RSF assaulted Wad al-Nour village in the central Al-Jazira state on Wednesday, killing over 150 civilians, including women and children. This attack reinforces the assessment by the U.S. State Department in December 2023 that war crimes, crimes against humanity, and ethnic cleansing are ongoing in Sudan.
What are the wider regional implications of Sudan’s civil war? Why is Sudan’s stability important for U.S. national security? What are the implications of the many foreign players in the conflict?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw99plg01neo
https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/06/africa/sudanese-government-accuses-militia-massacre-intl/index.html
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudans-rsf-kills-least-100-attack-village-activists-say-2024-06-06/
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/06/05/sudan-civil-war-us-envoy-crisis-east-africa/
https://www.state.gov/war-crimes-crimes-against-humanity-and-ethnic-cleansing-determination-in-sudan/
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@lestermunson
@morganlroach
@NotTVJessJones
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Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the 80th anniversary of D-Day, which marked the beginning of the end of Nazi-occupied Europe. President Biden joined many heads of state, including Ukrainian President Zelenskyy, in France yesterday to honor and remember those who paid the ultimate sacrifice for freedom and democracy. In remarks, President Biden drew parallels between the allied fight in WWII and the need to once again defend democracy in the face of tyranny.
At the 90th anniversary of D-Day, there will likely be no living survivors of the invasion left, how does this loss of human connection to the past impact the lessons we learn? Will D-Day invigorate Western democracies to support Ukraine in the face of Russia? Should we worry that the lessons of WWII and D-Day are lost to most?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/06/world/europe/biden-dday-ukraine-russia.html
https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/06/politics/biden-d-day-american-leadership/index.html
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-u-turn-invite-russia-d-day-memorial-ceremony/
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-oil-refinery-drones-zelenskyy-9581f4f0da1b638070e6f1ca98bb03ef
https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-point-du-hoc-bc97ae35237e222caee55033ddb3588f
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@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Bishop discuss the recent developments in the War in Gaza including President Biden’s recent comments stating that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is prolonging the war to stay in power. These comments come amidst a flurry of diplomatic activity by the United States to Egypt and Qatar to hammer out a ceasefire and hostage release deal.
Why has President Biden made these public statements? How do these comments impact Israel’s policy on the war in Gaza? Were these comments tailored to appeal to President Biden’s base in a key election year? Is Prime Minister Netanyahu prolonging the war for political gain?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/06/04/world/israel-gaza-war-hamas
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/04/israel-hamas-war-news-gaza-palestine/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/03/israel-gaza-hamas-cease-fire/
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/bidens-cease-fire-plan-seeks-to-push-hamas-and-israel-into-an-agreement-neither-wants-38833ade
https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/03/politics/netanyahu-scheduled-speech-congress/index.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/technology/israel-campaign-gaza-social-media.html?unlocked_article_code=1.xU0.X-PM.i3iswn8vXE2m∣=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare&u2g=i
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Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss the recent developments on the Korean Peninsula including North Korea sending over hundreds of trash-filled balloons containing roughly 15 tonnes of waste to its southern neighbor. This was in response to South Korean activist groups sending balloons to the north containing propaganda pamphlets. The South Korean government is considering its response including resuming playing K-pop on loudspeakers across the DMZ toward the north.
How does this tit-for-tat impact North-South relations? Does this impact the U.S. strategy for the peninsula? Should China be held accountable for the actions of North Korea?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/29/north-korea-balloons-waste-trash/
https://www.wsj.com/world/asia/kim-jong-uns-balloon-barrage-bags-of-excrement-fly-into-the-south-9f19d3d6
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/02/world/asia/north-korea-trash-balloons.html
https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/02/asia/north-korea-trash-balloons-intl-hnk/index.html
https://www.voanews.com/a/us-allies-clash-with-china-and-russia-over-north-korea-s-launches-threats/7638635.html
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Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss U.S. President Joe Biden’s (limited) decision to permit Ukraine to use (some) American-supplied weapons to strike targets inside of Russia. Under pressure from European allies, the Biden administration appears—once again—to have evolved (part of) its policy for the supply and use of US weapons, but the restrictions that remain in place will likely continue to hamstring Ukraine’s effort to retake the advantage and ultimately bring the war to a successful close.
Why has the Biden administration changed its policy on the use of U.S. weapons in Russia now? Should the Biden administration provide Ukraine with the means to fight—and win—this war and, so, should it have done so earlier? What end state does the Biden administration want? A Ukrainian win or a draw that allows Russia to fade with dignity? Is either outcome even an option?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/30/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-weapons.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/30/politics/biden-ukraine-limited-strikes-russia
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy770l9llnzo
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss recent developments amidst the Israel-Hamas war. The International Criminal Court’s prosecutor has sought arrest warrants for both the leadership of Hamas as well as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. Additionally, Ireland, Spain, and Norway have officially recognized a Palestinian state leading Israel to recall their ambassadors in protest for “rewarding terror.”
What are the impacts of Western recognition of a Palestinian state? Will the ICC grant the arrest warrants, if so, will it matter? How does the ICC case and the Congressional backlash impact the Biden administration’s policy on Israel?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/05/20/statement-from-president-joe-biden-on-the-warrant-applications-by-the-international-criminal-court/
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4nn78r3w3ko
https://link.foreignpolicy.com/view/64427b64aced183da613ed70l47kv.ul4/e2af2a70
https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2024/05/20/the-iccs-threat-to-arrest-binyamin-netanyahu-has-shocked-israel?utm_medium=email.internal-newsletter.np&utm_source=salesforce-marketing-cloud&utm_campaign=espresso.US&utm_content=the-world-in-brief-may-21st-2024&utm_term=05/21/24
https://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2024/05/20/the_us_should_oppose_icc_attempts_to_target_israeli_officials_1032770.html
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss President Biden hosting Kenyan President William Ruto for a state visit - the first state visit a U.S. president has held for a president of an African nation since 2008. Last night’s state dinner also marked the designation of Kenya as a U.S. Major Non-NATO Ally (MNNA). This dinner took place during President Ruto’s three-day state visit that coincides with Kenya’s imminent deployment of forces to Haiti, as part of a U.N.-led, largely U.S.-financed effort to try to calm the ongoing humanitarian crisis.
Why has the United States designated Kenya a MNNA now? Is this elevation an attempt by the Biden Administration to make up for recent failures to engage with the continent? Can the United States do more to increase engagement?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/state-dinner-kenya-biden-african-visit-74de529133275da0a146cf61cc211d82
https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/power/2024/05/23/kenya-state-dinner-biden-obama/
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp4421nx727o
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/21/kenya-america-ruto-africa/
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/22/kenya-non-nato-ally-status-visit-00159578
https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/23/politics/biden-kenya-president-state-visit-china/index.html
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2024/05/23/a-new-military-era-for-the-us-and-kenya-kind-of-00159744
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss this week's deadly riots in the French South Pacific territory of New Caledonia where there is upheaval over a constitutional amendment passed by lawmakers in Paris expanding suffrage in the territory and diluting indigenous voting power. French President Emmanuel Macron is visiting the territory today and has deployed an additional 1,500 troops to quell the violence in the strategically important territory which is the 3rd largest nickel producer in the world.
Is France’s constitutional amendment a genuine democratic push or an attempt to wield control of resources? Is France’s strong-arm approach to the protests a good strategy? How are China, Russia, and Azerbaijan impacting the unrest in New Caledonia?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/australia-new-zealand-send-evacuation-flights-new-caledonia-2024-05-21/
https://www.wsj.com/world/behind-new-caledonias-riots-a-fight-over-vast-reserves-of-nickel-a73f6301
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/17/world/asia/new-caledonia-france-protest.html
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/15/why-riots-new-caledonia-france-voting
https://www.politico.eu/article/new-caledonia-france-brink-civil-war-nickel-gun-macron/
https://www.france24.com/en/france/20240517-why-did-france-block-tiktok-to-quell-unrest-in-new-caledonia
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss this weekend’s fatal helicopter crash in the mountainous border region between Azerbaijan and Iran that led to the deaths of both the President of Iran, Ebrahim Raisi, and Iran’s Foreign Minister, Hossein Amirabdollahian. The helicopter also carried the governor of Iran’s East Azerbaijan province, a senior cleric from Tabriz, three crew members, and a Revolutionary Guard official.
How does this crash impact the succession order of Iran's Supreme Leader? How does this accident impact Israeli policy and the wider region? Does the accident provide an opportunity for the Biden administration to change its Iran policy?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/05/19/world/iran-president-crash
https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/19/middleeast/iranian-president-raisi-helicopter-intl
https://apnews.com/article/iran-president-ebrahim-raisi-426c6f4ae2dd1f0801c73875bb696f48
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/who-is-mohammad-mokhber-irans-interim-president-2024-05-20/
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent visit to Beijing at the head of a large delegation to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping amidst the ongoing war in Ukraine and the Russian offensive toward Kharkiv. This marks the first international trip by President Putin since his recent re-election to his 5th term as President of Russia.
What message does this trip send? What role did the U.S. play in driving Russia closer to China? How does this trip impact U.S. partners and alliances?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/15/russia-vladimir-putin-china-xi-meeting/
https://www.reuters.com/world/putin-visit-chinas-xi-deepen-strategic-partnership-2024-05-15/
https://www.reuters.com/world/top-takeaways-putins-trip-china-2024-05-16/
https://www.euronews.com/2024/05/16/putins-visit-to-china-heres-what-you-should-know
https://www.ft.com/content/f77028c8-c960-4d10-b0eb-4c511924a4d5
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Bishop discuss … copper! A recent Wall Street Journal article highlights the increasing competition between China and the United States over obtaining the critical mineral, which is used in everything from electric vehicles, solar panels, to cutting-edge military equipment, and is found across Latin America and in Central Africa.
What is the Biden Administration's strategy to increase the US’ acquisition of copper? Is copper mining sustainable? How can the United States compete with China on the critical mineral front?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.wsj.com/business/why-the-world-has-gone-cuckoo-for-copper-ef8c385a
https://maritime-executive.com/article/u-s-and-china-back-competing-rail-corridors-to-zambia-s-copper-belt
https://nationalinterest.org/feature/china%E2%80%99s-pursuit-copper-changing-latin-america-210171
https://www.wsj.com/world/americas/panamas-supreme-court-rules-against-first-quantum-mine-bab0cfa2
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Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Hungary, where Xi received a warm welcome from Hungarian Prime Minister Vicktor Orban. After their meeting, Xi and Orban announced that China and Hungary had elevated ties to an “all-weather comprehensive strategic partnership” and Orban endorsed China's peace plan for Ukraine, going against the rest of the NATO alliance.
How will the deepening relationship between Hungary and China impact the NATO alliance? What does an “all-weather” partnership mean? How does Hungary endorsing China's peace plan impact wider NATO support for Ukraine?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/chinas-xi-jinping-hungary-discuss-ukraine-infrastructure-2024-05-09/
https://www.rferl.org/a/xi-hungary-orban-european-tour-pillar-new-world-order/32939244.html
https://www.foxnews.com/world/nato-ally-endorses-chinas-ukraine-peace-plan-beijing-applauds-model-european-diplomacy
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/09/world/europe/xi-jinping-china-hungary-orban.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
https://www.politico.eu/article/viktor-orban-xi-jinping-hungary-china-partnership-electric-vehicles-investments-cooperation/
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@morganlroach
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Today, Jess, Morgan, and Martha discuss the upcoming EU Parliament elections where up to 450 million people from 27 member states will elect roughly 700 parliamentary members in the world’s only directly elected transnational assembly. These elections have the power to shape the EU amid the conflict in Ukraine, rise of support for right-wing politics, and many questioning the very purpose of the European Union.
What does this upcoming election show about the health of the EU’s unity? How much concern should there be over support for far-right parties? How are China and Russia interfering in European affairs?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/eu-elections-extreme-right-climate-defense-97c6818f5b6bc12395d714021413dc32
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/09/what-are-the-eu-elections-and-why-do-they-matter
https://apnews.com/article/germany-election-violence-eu-4d09d90a6cc380aacf62ca4a69af1a64
https://www.gmfus.org/news/whats-stake-eu-elections-ukraine-aid
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@morganlroach
@NotTVJessJones
@marthamillerdc
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Today, Jess, Morgan, and Les discussed Chinese President Xi Jinping’s trip to Europe where he is visiting three countries: France, Serbia, and Hungary. On Monday, Xi met with French President Emmanuel Macron to discuss China’s unfair trade practices and China’s ongoing support for Russia, before receiving a warmer welcome in the two Eastern European countries.
Does Europe have the leverage needed to change China’s policies? Does Xi’s tour impact U.S.-EU relations? Can Europe provide a unified front when it comes to the continent’s foreign policy interests?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.wsj.com/world/chinas-xi-shouldnt-expect-an-easy-ride-in-europe-this-time-6a37e9db
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/06/world/europe/xi-macron-europe-trade-war.html
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/05/07/china-wants-to-divide-and-conquer-europe/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/07/world/europe/xi-serbia-hungary-europe.html
https://www.economist.com/china/2024/05/06/visiting-europe-xi-jinping-brings-up-an-old-grievance
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@morganlroach
@NotTVJessJones
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Today Morgan, Les, Bishop, and Andy discuss the recent rocket attack by Hamas on the Kerem Shalom border crossing in Gaza - the main entry point of humanitarian aid. This attack comes as the Biden administration reportedly withheld an ammunition shipment to Israel, and in Cairo, ceasefire and hostage negotiations are ongoing.
Does withholding the ammunition shipment demonstrate a change in policy by the Biden administration? Will this attack impede negotiations to reach a ceasefire and hostage deal? How is the November presidential election impacting the Biden administration's policy on Israel?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-799923
https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/hamas-attacks-israel-gaza-border-crossing-cease-fire-talks-continue/
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hamas-claims-responsibility-attack-israel-gaza-border-crossing-casualties-2024-05-05/
https://www.axios.com/2024/05/05/israel-us-ammunition-shipment-hold
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/05/03/us-qatar-hamas-hostages-ceasefire/
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@AndyKeiser
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Today Les, Morgan, Bishop, and Andy discussed the recent elections in the Solomon Islands in which former Foreign Minister Jeremiah Manele was elected as Prime Minister. The now-Prime Minister Manele is widely expected to continue the Solomon Islands’ shift toward closer ties with China which has included the derecognition of Taiwan and increasing security and policing ties.
Why do the Solomon Islands matter geopolitically? How has the Biden administration handled the increasing influence of China in the Indo-Pacific? How can the United States increase its influence with the Pacific Small Island States?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/solomon-islands-prime-minister-jeremiah-manale-fcf911d376d56f9ee8d235fb885c9bc6
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/05/01/solomon-islands-election-china/
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/what-to-expect-from-the-solomon-islands-new-prime-minister-on-china-the-west-and-more/
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Today Jamil, Les, Morgan, and Bishop discussed the rash of nationwide campus protests against the Israel-Hamas War, focusing on Columbia University where over 100 students were arrested after occupying a building. They also discuss rumors of arrest warrants aimed at Israeli officials from the International Criminal Court and potential U.S. responses.
What effect, if any, will the pressure from college campuses and international courts have on Israeli war policy and the U.S. role in the conflict? What can (and should) Congress do if the ICC acts? What’s likely next in the courts and on campus?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinian-campus-student-protests-war-19ed919ff6ff9573a8add4ec67e26181
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/what-is-behind-pro-palestinian-protests-us-universities-2024-04-23/
https://www.foxnews.com/live-news/april-29-campus-protest-antiemitism-israel-us-columbi
https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2024/04/30/columbia-university-protests-palestine-news/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/28/world/middleeast/netanyahu-icc-arrest-warrants-israel-hamas.html
https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-gaza-international-criminal-court-hague-palestinians-1f683a6e2e150d91c415eb1d0a19a44d
https://www.axios.com/2024/04/29/icc-congress-netanyahu-israel-gaza
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Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss the United States’ decision to begin pulling troops out of Chad and Niger after deteriorating relations with the couped states resulted in demands for U.S. troops to leave. Chad and Niger, have been key U.S. bases against terrorism in the region including Boko Haram, al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, ISIS, and affiliated groups.
Should the U.S. reprioritize Africa? Why does having bases in these countries matter for U.S. national security? Will the United States be able to negotiate with the Chadian government after their elections?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/25/us/politics/chad-us-troop-withdrawal.html
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/04/15/niger-us-africa-policy-sahel-coup-military-democracy/
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4623555-us-troops-chad-niger/
https://apnews.com/article/niger-chad-troops-coup-withdrawal-ebb05de095e3abbb08c8a1207e5cf014
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the New York Times’ report uncovering that 23 Chinese swimmers had tested positive for performance-enhancing drugs on the eve of the 2021 Olympic Games. The report also revealed that the World Anti-Doping Agency and the Chinese Anti-Doping Agency covered up these results. This report resurfaced the many Olympic scandals that have plagued China.
Will this scandal damage China’s international reputation? Will this scandal convince the general public that China is a malign actor on the world stage? How does this scandal impact the World Anti-Doping Agency’s credibility?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/21/world/asia/china-swimmers-doping-olympics-medals.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/olympics/2024/04/22/wada-china-swimmers-positive-tests/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/22/world/asia/doping-china-swimmers-olympics.html
https://www.usada.org/statement/statement-chinese-swimmers-positive-tests/
https://foreignpolicy.com/2009/03/11/thousands-of-chinese-athletes-caught-lying-about-their-age/
https://apnews.com/article/paris-olympics-ioc-russia-e08f47312dc558eb885825ed0f8874ee
https://www.france24.com/en/sport/20240417-russian-athletes-in-limbo-as-moscow-weighs-neutral-label-at-paris-olympics
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken's visit to China where he will be meeting with senior Chinese officials. On the agenda - potential sanctions against Chinese financial institutions if China continues to support Russia’s build-up of its defense industrial base, including by providing significant quantities of machine tools, microelectronics, drone and turbojet engines, and technology for cruise missiles.
Will the threat of sanctions against Chinese financial institutions change Chinese policy? Does Secretary Blinken have enough credibility on the world stage to influence policy? How can the United States change China’s policy toward Russia?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/us-china-blinken-xi-middle-east-russia-210b07bcc585b9f2de14ff71951d8743
https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/u-s-takes-aim-at-chinese-banks-aiding-russia-war-effort-fcf76dcc
https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/12/politics/china-russia-support-weapons-manufacturing/index.html
https://www.ft.com/content/0911e97e-03c8-4870-a72e-9b55f1f2405e
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss the ongoing Indian general election which began last week and goes through June 1, with over 950 million votes and a million polling places.
The ruling party, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), seeks to expand its controlling majority from 350 seats to over 400 seats in the Parliament and allow Prime Minister Narendra Modi to obtain an unprecedented 3rd term.
What role will this election play in U.S.-India relations? Will concerns of democratic backsliding worsen if Prime Minister Modi obtains his 3rd term? How does India’s role in the non-aligned movement impact the ongoing great power competition?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/18/india/india-general-election-polls-open-intl-hnk/index.html
https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20240413-india-s-mammoth-elections-nearly-a-billion-voters-44-polling-days
https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/interactive/india-elects-2024
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/16/world/asia/india-2024-election.html
https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-votes-gigantic-election-modi-seeks-historic-third-term-2024-04-18/
https://apnews.com/article/india-election-voting-begins-7ea0983c9b7bc7506c8457f44afcfd64
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss Israel’s response to the over 300 drones and missiles launched against them by Iran earlier this week. Last night Israel struck the airbases near the Iranian city of Isfahan, near where Iran’s nuclear programme is located. The IAEA confirmed that there was no damage to Iran’s nuclear sites.
Will this strike lead to further escalation? What was the message sent by Israel by the targets they picked to strike? Has Iran’s status decreased regionally as a result of these strikes?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.npr.org/2024/04/18/1245763498/israel-iran-missile-strikes
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israeli-missiles-hit-site-iran-abc-news-reports-2024-04-19/
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/04/18/world/israel-iran-gaza-war-news
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-activates-air-defenses-and-cancels-flights-27b6d416
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/19/israel-iran-hamas-war-news-gaza-palestine/
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Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss House Speaker Mike Johnson’s new strategy to pass the long-awaited aid package for Ukraine, Israel, and the Indo-Pacific and his attempts to rebuff members of his own party who seek to oust him through a motion to vacate.
What will the resulting aid package look like? What will the reputational impact for the United States be if the House fails to pass one or more of the aid bills? With an outstanding motion for Speaker Johnson to vacate the chair, will he survive passing the aid package?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4598253-johnson-ukraine-aid-ouster-threat/
https://rollcall.com/2024/04/15/piecemeal-supplemental-spending-plan-emerges-in-house/
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna147747
https://apnews.com/article/israel-ukraine-house-speaker-42a2f281a5437beaa8af4c3345987637
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss Iran’s massive drone and missile attack against Israel which occurred over the weekend. Israel, in a coordinated air defense operation with the U.S. and others, was able to intercept 99% of Iran’s missiles and drones. Israel’s war cabinet met yesterday to formulate a response, while the Biden Administration said the U.S. would not participate in a counter-strike.
Did Iran intend this attack merely as theatre or as the opening salvo of a larger escalation? How can Israel respond to this attack without escalating the conflict? How will the increasing cooperation of Israel and Arab partners impact the war in Gaza and the region long term?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-launches-drone-attack-at-israel-ff263fbb
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/biden-presses-for-diplomatic-response-to-irans-attack-on-israel-1c5452a1
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-says-it-shot-down-iranian-salvo-shoulder-to-shoulder-with-us-2024-04-15/
https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-hamas-latest-04-15-2024-05ca1ac2780defa8a1a0345754708512
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/europe-joins-us-urging-restraint-by-israel-after-iranian-attack-2024-04-15/
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israels-netanyahu-vows-victory-after-iran-strikes-fears-wider-conflict-grow-2024-04-14/
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss another ongoing fight within Congress - the reauthorization of Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, a vital national security program that allows the U.S. to gather intelligence on foreign adversaries and terrorists. Earlier this week, former President Donald Trump called on House Republicans to "Kill FISA,” leading to 19 GOP House members joining Democrats in blocking FISA legislation from moving forward.
Why is Section 702 of FISA so important to U.S. national security? Will the House pass a 702 reauthorization bill ahead of its April 19 expiration date? Why did former President Trump lobby against reauthorization when his administration voted to reauthorize it?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/house-republicans-blast-cry-wolf-conservatives-who-tanked-fisa-renewal-bill
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/10/us/politics/fisa-trump-johnson-house.html
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4588493-fisa-702-plan-b/
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4588868-jeffries-johnson-fisa-impasse/
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Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the ongoing conflicts within the U.S. House of Representatives over the $95 billion supplemental aid package for Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan. Embattled House Speaker Mike Johnson faces threats from Republican rabble-rousers to oust him if he brings Ukraine aid to vote on the House floor. There is also speculation whether House Democrats will support the White House supplemental given the ongoing war in Gaza.
How do these shakeups impact U.S. reputation abroad? Should Speaker Johnson bring the Ukraine/Israel/Taiwan aid package to the floor even in the face of threats of ouster? How does the upcoming election impact the vote on the supplemental?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4581611-johnson-gauntlet-greene-ouster-threat/
https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-congress-speaker-johnson-6ca638103f0286405144891604f92de3
https://apnews.com/article/house-speaker-johnson-marjorie-taylor-greene-e0f0271f8244598841c56502f12f38a0
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss Ecuador’s recent decision to send police officers into the Mexican Embassy in Quito to arrest former Ecuadorian Vice President Jorge Glas, who has been convicted on corruption and bribery charges. The raid has been with met international condemnation and Mexico has severed diplomatic ties with Ecuador.
Why did Mexico grant political asylum to Jorge Glas? Are there any long-term implications for Ecuador’s violation of the Vienna Convention? Was Ecuador in the right to raid the embassy?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.eurasiareview.com/08042024-biden-administration-should-demand-ecuador-immediately-release-political-opponent-illegally-kidnapped-from-mexicos-embassy-oped/
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/07/world/americas/ecuador-mexico-embassy-noboa.html
https://apnews.com/article/7276b35e8d5944e7b5ca280ab0390b26
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/07/ecuador-mexico-embassy-raid-glas-noboa-diplomacy/eb838672-f50c-11ee-9506-c8544e5c9d86_story.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/05/mexico-ecuador-crisis-diplomatica/a9d8ba10-f3c9-11ee-a4c9-88e569a98b58_story.html
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/07/latin-american-governments-condemn-ecuador-after-police-raid-mexican-embassy
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Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s second trip to China, where she will advocate for fair treatment of American workers and businesses, press Chinese counterparts on unfair trade practices, and warn of the consequences of Chinese industrial overcapacity. This trip follows a domestic tour by Secretary Yellen to key swing states selling President Biden’s economic and industrial policies to the American Public.
What is the Biden administration’s strategy when it comes to China? What does Secretary Yellen’s visit seek to accomplish? Will this visit affect any policy changes within China?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2218
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/04/heres-who-treasury-secretary-janet-yellen-is-going-to-meet-in-china.html
https://www.voanews.com/a/treasury-secretary-yellen-to-visit-china-for-high-level-talks/7555456.html
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Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss a recent joint investigation by 60 Minutes, The Insider, and Der Spiegel on Havana syndrome – a mysterious illness causing a variety of debilitating symptoms often seen in American diplomats and intelligence officials – that points the finger at Russia. This report contracts the U.S. Intelligence Community’s formal assessment from a year ago that found it was “very unlikely” that symptoms were caused by enemy operatives.
How credible is this joint investigation report? Is this a case of the politicization of U.S. intelligence? Is the U.S. intelligence community covering up Russia’s involvement to prevent escalation?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/havana-syndrome-culprit-investigation-new-evidence-60-minutes-transcript/
https://time.com/6962399/havana-syndrome-russia-u-s/
https://apnews.com/article/havana-syndrome-russia-cuba-vilnius-4839ec0e3ce0db76670832235d602a16
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/04/01/investigate-havana-syndrome-russia/
https://www.nationalreview.com/2024/04/a-havana-syndrome-cover-up/
https://www.voanews.com/a/us-not-moved-by-report-blaming-russia-for-havana-syndrome/7552401.html
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Today, Jamil, Les, Bishop, and Martha discuss the civil war in Sudan which is entering its second year with a UN report stating that Sudan needs 'immediate action' on hunger to avert widespread death due to famine. Amidst the hunger and conflict, Sudan has seen the outbreak of several deadly diseases including a Cholera outbreak which has impacted thousands.
How can the United States help resolve the humanitarian crisis in Sudan? Does Iran and Russia’s backing opposing sides of the civil war indicate that the collaboration of global repressors is more limited? How do other conflict zones around the globe impact the crisis in Sudan?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/01/sudan-hunger-war/
https://www.forbes.com/sites/janicegassam/2024/03/31/the-war-in-sudan-that-no-one-is-talking-about/?sh=6db820d9457e
https://www.salon.com/2024/03/03/irans-troubling-move-into-africa--and-the-you-havent-noticed/
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sudan-needs-immediate-action-hunger-avert-widespread-death-un-backed-report-says-2024-03-29/
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/29/sudan-slips-into-famine-as-warring-sides-starve-civilians
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Today, Jamil, Les, Bishop, and Andy discuss the recent confrontation between two Chinese Coast Guard ships and a Philippine Navy vessel near the disputed Second Thomas Shoal in the Spratly Islands that resulted in injuries to several Philippine sailors after the use of high-pressure water cannons. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. vowed to counter what he called “illegal, coercive, aggressive, and dangerous attacks” by China’s coast guard and said that the Philippines would not be “cowed into silence” about Chinese aggression.
Will the tensions in the West Philippine Sea continue to escalate? Would any conflict between China and the Philippines drag the United States into direct conflict? Is China trying to test U.S. commitments in the region?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/28/philippiness-marcos-promises-measures-after-chinas-dangerous-attacks
https://www.foxnews.com/world/china-warned-as-philippine-president-proposes-countermeasures-against-beijings-aggression
https://time.com/6960916/us-military-intervention-south-china-sea-philippines-china/
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/mar/27/inside-ring-water-cannon-attack-raises-odds-of-us-/
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/03/28/philippines-countermeasures-coast-guard-attacks-south-china-sea-marcos/
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Today, Jess, Les, Morgan, and John discuss the recent passing of a U.N. Security Council resolution calling for a cease-fire in Gaza. The United States angered Israel by abstaining from the vote, the fifth attempt to pass the resolution, which it previously vetoed leading to Israel canceling a visit to Washington by a high-level delegation.
Is the Biden administration truly breaking with Israel in policy? Will the U.N. Security Council resolution impact the situation on the ground in Gaza? Does an apparent hostile U.S. benefit Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu domestically?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/un-gaza-ceasefire-resolution-vote-ramadan-b7985fede65e5477aba2c8d2e62a6632
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-abstains-united-nations-security-council-vote-israel-hamas-ceasefire-biden-6dd91dee?mod=editorials_article_pos2
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Today, Jess, Les, Morgan, and John discuss last week’s terror attack in Moscow at the Crocus City complex, which killed more than 130 people. ISIS-K, an Afghanistan-based offshoot of ISIS, claimed responsibility for the deadliest terror attack in Russia in decades, and Russia formally charged four men on Sunday for committing terrorism.
What does this terror attack do to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s strongman image? Does ongoing the war in Ukraine leave Russia more vulnerable to terrorism? Does this attack indicate a renewed ISIS threat of global terrorism?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-mourns-victims-deadly-concert-hall-attack-2024-03-24/
https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/23/europe/moscow-attack-what-we-know-intl/index.html
https://apnews.com/article/russia-attack-concert-hall-putin-islamic-state-f6f89c4c39965da6c11c3c111053f0e2
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/25/us/politics/moscow-attack-isis.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/03/24/world/moscow-russia-attack-news
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Today, Les, John, and Morgan discuss the recent deal brokered by Russia and China with the Houthi rebels in Yemen for the safe passage of their ships through the Red Sea amidst their continuous attacks on commercial shipping in the region.
How effective have U.S. and allied strikes against the Houthis been at deterring attacks on shipping? What are the implications of the Houthi attacks on the freedom of navigation? What role does the UN Security Council play in this conflict?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-21/china-russia-reach-agreement-with-yemen-s-houthis-on-red-sea-ships
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesfarrell/2024/03/21/houthis-reportedly-strike-deal-with-russia-china-for-safe-passage/?sh=40c9d48c4a6b
https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/03/houthis-granting-china-russia-safe-passage-red-sea-centcom-says/395143/
https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-china-struck-deal-yemen-houthi-rebels-ship-safety/
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/houthi-attacks-egypt-red-sea-economy/
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Today, Jess, John, Bishop, and Morgan discuss Turkey’s upcoming local elections on March 31st, where Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party (AKP) seek to regain the key cities lost in 2019 of Istanbul and Ankara. If the AKP regains control, President Erdogan has pledged further constitutional reform.
How will these local elections impact Turkish foreign policy? What is the Biden Administration’s role in working with transactional powers such as Turkey? What are the impacts of conflicts such as the war in Ukraine and the war in Gaza on these local elections?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://foreignpolicy.com/2024/03/13/turkey-erdogan-elections-istanbul-ankara-local-akp/
https://nationalinterest.org/feature/will-us-turkey-relations-survive-wars-gaza-and-ukraine-210040
https://www.timesofisrael.com/erdogan-says-turkey-firmly-backs-terror-group-hamas-compares-netanyahu-to-hitler/
https://www.politico.eu/article/turkey-president-erdogan-upcoming-local-election-last/
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Today, Les, Jess, John, and Morgan discuss this weekend’s announcement by Niger’s junta that it was suspending military cooperation with Washington and ordering U.S. troops to leave the country. This comes upon the heels of a coup last summer in Niger, the resulting restrictions on U.S. aid to the country, and recent stories that U.S. and Western intelligence show that Niger is exploring a deal to allow Iran access to its uranium reserves.
What did last week’s visit to Niger by U.S. officials seek to accomplish? How can the United States refresh its approach to foreign policy with African states? Do the events in Niger indicate a diminishing influence of the United States in the region?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.wsj.com/world/africa/niger-once-key-u-s-counterterrorism-ally-ends-military-ties-7db66dbe
https://apnews.com/article/niger-junta-us-military-base-b70bfba835a567d5f3439a32c9c82836
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/17/world/africa/niger-orders-american-troops-out.html
https://www.voanews.com/a/niger-says-announces-end-to-military-cooperation-with-us/7530719.html
https://www.voanews.com/a/iran-says-it-is-willing-to-help-niger-overcome-sanctions/7455787.html
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/west-african-ecowas-bloc-mulls-new-strategy-towards-junta-states-2024-02-24/
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss this week’s Financial Times report that broke the news that the Biden Administration held secret talks with Iran this year to convince Tehran to use its influence to end Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea. They also discuss Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer’s calls for Israel to hold new elections.
Were Senator Schumer’s comments driven by the upcoming election? Can the United States truly have productive negotiations with Iran? Is the United States undermining a democratically elected government in Israel?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/schumer-netanyahu-israel-palestinians-elections-1ebf21e4c9c0f6f42478bb26e1db7a9b
https://www.ft.com/content/89b01990-7657-45ea-baaa-1f214b40f1cb
https://www.nbc4i.com/news/washington-dc/schumer-calls-for-new-elections-in-israel-criticizes-netanyahu/
https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2024/03/14/u-s-grants-iran-sanctions-waiver-worth-10-billion
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss Polish President Andrzej Duda’s recent visit to Washington, D.C., where he met with President Joe Biden and Congressional leaders to lobby for U.S. support for Ukraine. President Duda also sent a message to his NATO allies by suggesting that NATO members should raise defense spending to 3% of GDP, above the 2% requirement that only a third of the alliance meet.
Will President Duda’s pressure campaign sway the minds of U.S. policymakers on Ukraine aid? Will Duda’s aspirations for a more robust NATO defense posture actually deter Russian aggression? Has the West lost momentum when it comes to Ukraine aid?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/poland-us-ukraine-biden-white-house-66b04d8c3917be6fe5b9ea5e016f7f5b
https://apnews.com/article/poland-nato-defense-duda-tusk-us-visit-f6d25e41709e9757f7d40ce33add74de
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-11/poland-s-president-will-ask-biden-to-send-more-us-troops-to-protect-europe
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/biden-poland-nato-duda-tusk.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/top-polish-leaders-visit-white-house-hoping-spur-108035014
https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/11/europe/orban-trump-ukraine-intl/index.html
https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-and-ukraine-dont-listen-to-mainstream-media-predictions-on-second-term-0a7589cd
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the deteriorating situation in Haiti where criminal gangs have burned police stations, closed the main international airports, and raided the country’s two biggest prisons releasing thousands of prisoners, while acting Prime Minister and President of Haiti, Ariel Henry, remains in Puerto Rico after being unable to return to Haiti after recent trip to Kenya to build support for a peacekeeping mission.
Should the United States intervene directly in Haiti to restore order? Who will eventually come to power in Haiti? How will the situation in Haiti impact U.S. policy in the Western Hemisphere?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.wsj.com/world/americas/the-ex-convict-aiming-to-take-power-in-haiti-f97e36e2
https://www.wsj.com/world/americas/chaos-in-haiti-leaves-u-s-with-few-options-1a73b744
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/03/09/haiti-corpses-gangs/
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/blinken-talks-kenyan-president-about-haiti-crisis-says-state-dept-2024-03-09/
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/mar/10/haiti-crisis-gangs-attack-police-stations-as-caribbean-leaders-call-for-emergency-meeting
https://apnews.com/article/blinken-haiti-jamaica-prime-minister-gangs-ff6b76b6ba9a9d7b8f95fbf95a1d462c
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss President Biden’s State of the Union address, where contrary to some expectations, President Biden delivered a fiery speech beginning with references to FDR’s 1941 State of the Union speech given as war raged across Europe, and then touching upon the Russia-Ukraine war and the Israel-Hamas war.
What were the Fault Lines team’s reactions to the State of the Union speech? Did President Biden beat the team’s expectations? Did the President’s speech change the minds of Congress or American voters on aid to Ukraine?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/state-of-union-biden-gaza-ukraine-israel-1a42ff9d4ef3e0f2753e43ac8d39fc18
https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/biden-state-of-the-union-address-2024/
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/state-union-key-takeaways-biden-address-rcna140768
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2024/03/07/remarks-of-president-joe-biden-state-of-the-union-address-as-prepared-for-delivery-2/
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss Israeli War Cabinet member and former Defense Minister Benny Gantz's visit to Washington, DC. Gantz met with Vice President Kamala Harris and National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan to discuss the ongoing war in Gaza.
What does this trip mean for the unity of the Israeli War Cabinet? Does Gantz's meeting with Vice President Harris indicate a shift in the Biden administration's handling of the war in Gaza? How do the domestic political situations of the United States and Israel impact the conflict?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.axios.com/2024/03/05/israel-gaza-aid-benny-gantz-white-house
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/2902527/benny-gantz-confronts-reports-hes-in-us-against-benjamin-netanyahus-wishes/#google_vignette
https://www.jpost.com/israel-hamas-war/article-790212
https://www.timesofisrael.com/biden-aides-to-gantz-gaza-aid-convoy-disaster-shows-need-for-viable-post-war-plans/
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Today, Les, Morgan, and Jamil discuss Guyana’s recent diplomatic overtures towards Cuba amidst the ongoing Crisis between Guyana and Venezuela over the oil-rich Essequibo region.
These overtures include the Guyanese President Irfaan Ali calling for the dismantling of sanctions against Cuba, to the University systems of both countries agreeing to collaborate, among many others.
Are these diplomatic overtures a play to counter Venezuela with their ally Cuba, or is this an attempt by Guyana to cozy up to Venezuela? Is the threat of Venezuela invading Guyana real, or just domestic messaging? Should the Biden Administration be playing a more active role in the region? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://newsroom.gy/2024/03/01/president-ali-calls-for-dismantling-of-u-s-embargo-against-cuba/
https://misiones.cubaminrex.cu/en/articulo/guyanas-media-publishes-support-international-community-cuba-un
https://misiones.cubaminrex.cu/en/articulo/universities-guyana-and-cuba-agree-cooperate
https://havanatimes.org/features/cubas-curious-silence-on-the-essequibo-conflict/
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/21/world/americas/venezuela-guyana.html
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Today, Les, Morgan, and Bishop discuss the recent announcement by the Biden Administration that the Department of Commerce will begin an inquiry into the national security risks posed by connected vehicles from or containing technology from countries of concern, including the People’s Republic of China.
Is industrial policy under the guise of National Security the right approach to address this issue? Should the United States be concerned about China’s position as the largest producer of Electric Vehicles? Is this inquiry a way to implement protectionist policies against foreign automakers? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/china-electric-vehicles-privacy-personal-data-biden-844f2406512b94212ee1a92a61e5a33a
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/02/29/us-investigation-chinese-vehicles/
https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2024/02/citing-national-security-concerns-biden-harris-administration-announces
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/02/29/fact-sheet-biden-harris-administration-takes-action-to-address-risks-of-autos-from-china-and-other-countries-of-concern/
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the recent debates shaking up the European continent from French President Emmanuel Macron raising the possibility of Western troop deployment to Ukraine to German officials questioning the need of whether to acquire their own nuclear weapons.
Should the United States be concerned by President Macron’s comments? Would a deployment of Western troops to Ukraine be a redline for Russia? Can Europe act effectively without U.S. leadership? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68417223
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/macrons-ukraine-troop-talk-shakes-up-nato-allies-2024-02-27/
https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/germans-debatethe-once-unthinkable-do-we-need-nuclear-weapons-13fa7e68?mod=hp_lead_pos11
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/25/world/europe/cia-ukraine-intelligence-russia-war.html
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the recent comments made by Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski over the weekend on the held-up supplemental aid to Ukraine and the ramifications that failing to act may have on the United States’ other allies.
Is the United States an unreliable ally? Are U.S. allies right to start hedging? Should U.S. leadership be doing more to sell Ukraine assistance to the American public? Should Congress be skeptical of giving Ukraine more aid when much of Europe isn't living up to its 2 percent NATO pledge? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-23/poland-s-sikorski-warns-us-to-aid-ukraine-or-face-profound-consequences
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/polands-foreign-minister-discusses-the-war-in-ukraine
https://thehill.com/policy/international/4488444-polish-fm-to-speaker-johnson-on-ukraine-the-credibility-of-your-country-is-at-stake/
https://news.sky.com/video/polish-foreign-minister-corrects-the-record-for-russia-in-un-security-council-meeting-13080530
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the upcoming two-year anniversary of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and what the future could hold for the Ukrainian country after President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s plea for continued U.S. assistance in the war effort during an interview with Fox News’s Bret Baier.
What is the future for Ukraine in these uncertain times? What should the U.S. strategy be towards Ukraine? How can the U.S. and European allies define a Ukrainian victory? What should the Biden administration being doing to bolster support for Ukraine among Congress and the American public?
Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.arabnews.com/node/2465106/world
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/02/22/ukraine-war-pentagon-lessons-learned/
https://www.foxnews.com/media/ukrainian-president-zelenskyy-sits-down-fox-anchor-bret-baier-war-nears-two-year-mark
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Happy 300!!
Today, Jess, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss Julian Assange, the founder of Wikileaks, who is before Britain’s High Court attempting to block his extradition to the United States, where he faces 17 charges of espionage and one charge of computer misuse over the solicitation and publication of a huge trove of classified U.S. documents nearly 15 years ago.
How damaging was the Wikileaks to U.S. national security? Should Julian Assange be extradited to the United States to stand trial? How should we address the prevalent issue of U.S. intelligence leaks? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/20/uk/julian-assange-extradition-appeal-ruling-review-intl-gbr/index.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/20/world/europe/assange-us-extradition-uk-court-case.html
https://apnews.com/article/julian-assange-wikileaks-extradition-court-hearing-25a5f66df1e8d94d0db1e9d6bb323ea4
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Today, Jess, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss recent developments out of the Middle East including Saturday’s first-ever U.S. self-defense strike against a Houthi underwater drone in the Red Sea, the attempted comms takeover of an El Al flight over the Horn of Africa by unknown actors, and an alleged backing-off of proxy attacks by the Iranian government in parts of the region.
Are the Biden Administration’s efforts at deterrence working? Will the IRGC's ostensible tamp down on proxy attacks be sustained? Do underwater drones indicate an increased level of sophistication from the Houthis? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.axios.com/2024/02/19/us-houthi-strike-underwater-drone-red-sea
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-military-strikes-houthi-unmanned-underwater-vessel-red-sea/
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-787572
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/02/18/iran-proxies-middle-east/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Jess, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss recent developments out of Russia including Friday morning’s announcement that imprisoned Russian opposition politician, Alexei Navalny, has died in custody, and Chairman Mike Turner of the House Intelligence Committee vaguely warning of a serious national security threat, which has now been confirmed by the White House as Russia pursuing a nuclear armed anti-satellite system.
Will the threat of nuclear weapons in space and the potential murder of a Russian opposition leader get Congress to act? Was Chairman Turner’s announcement intentional to sway his colleagues ahead of the vote on the Senate Ukraine aid bill? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/russia-anti-satellite-weapon-threat-technology-2880f9c55122dcafe87188bc92dd6cde
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/14/house-intel-national-security-threat-russia-space-power-00141473
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/14/us/politics/intelligence-russia-nuclear.html
https://warontherocks.com/2022/09/getting-serious-about-the-threat-of-high-altitude-nuclear-detonations/
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68315943
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/jailed-russian-opposition-leader-navalny-dead-prison-service-2024-02-16/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss last Thursday’s general election in Pakistan. The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party led by jailed former prime minister Imran Khan won 93 of the 134 simple majority seats required to form a government. This led to rival parties, the Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) and the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PLM-N) party to form a coalition, returning former prime minister Shewaz Sharif to office.
What does this election mean for U.S. interests? How has the U.S. relationship with Pakistan changed following the withdrawal from Afghanistan? What role does China play in Pakistan? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/13/pakistan-election-pti-joins-religious-parties-ppp-backs-rival-pmln
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-68271462
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-13/sharif-s-party-to-pick-pakistan-pm-as-bhutto-supports-alliance
https://www.cfr.org/blog/imran-khan-denied-perhaps-not-forever-pakistans-other-parties-form-weak-coalition-government
https://www.economist.com/asia/2024/02/12/pakistans-voters-tell-the-generals-where-to-put-it
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss recent comments from former President Donald Trump criticizing NATO countries and their NATO commitments, as well Tucker Carlson’s recent interview with Russian President Vladimir Putin on topics ranging from the war in Ukraine to the cause of World War Two.
Should our NATO allies be spending more on their defense budgets? Should the U.S. uphold NATO’s Article 5 if our allies don’t spend the required amount on defense? Why did Tucker Carlson interview Vladimir Putin? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-68266447
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/02/trump-rally-nato/677426/
https://www.newsweek.com/poland-angrily-responds-putins-claims-about-hitler-world-war-ii-1868707
https://thehill.com/homenews/media/4458802-five-things-to-know-tucker-carlson-vladimir-putin-interview/
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This episode was recorded before President Zelensky dismissed Gen. Zaluzhnyi and appointed Col. Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi to lead Ukraine’s military.
Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss recent developments in the war in Ukraine with Ukrainian President Zelensky publicly confirming on Sunday that he is considering dismissing Gen. Valerii Zaluzhnyi, head of Ukraine’s military, and David Ignatuis’ recent Washington Post article highlighting the impact of technology in the Ukraine conflict and the changing rules of war.
Would President Zelensky’s potential dismissal of Gen. Zaluzhnyi make a difference on the ground? How does U.S. support factor into the current stalemate of the war? How does support from other global repressors, like Iran and China, aid Russia? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4448543-zelensky-ukraines-military-chief-dismissal/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/02/06/russia-ukraine-drone-war-technology-stalemate/
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russias-adaptation-advantage
https://www.wired.com/story/robots-are-fighting-robots-in-russias-war-in-ukraine/
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Today, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss recent shake-ups in West Africa. From Senegal postponing this month’s presidential election indefinitely, to Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso leaving the regional bloc ECOWAS, and the DoD backing away due to Congressional pressure from a planned training of troops from West African nations with coup governments and records of human rights abuses.
Does the U.S. have a comprehensive foreign policy in Africa? Is Congress restricting the United States’ ability to compete with Russia in the region? What role does France play in these shake-ups? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/01/26/pentagon-military-training-human-rights/
https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20240206-senegal-s-democratic-record-on-the-line-as-presidential-vote-delay-sparks-political-crisis
https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20240202-with-ecowas-exit-mali-burkina-faso-and-niger-leave-democratic-transition-in-limbo
https://www.theafricareport.com/336073/moussa-mara-leaving-ecowas-is-going-against-the-march-of-history/
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss the over 80 strikes against Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) Quds Force and several other Iranian proxy militia groups in response to the recent deaths of three Americans and the wounding of over 30 more servicemembers in Jordan.
Will these strikes deter further attacks by Iranian proxies? Is the United States at war with Iran? Does the Biden administration need a new Authorization for Use of Military Force? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://bbc.com/news/world-68189567
https://www.foxnews.com/world/us-begins-middle-east-airstrikes-response-deaths-three-soldiers
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-condemns-u-s-strikes-as-washington-signals-further-action-17129ceb?reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/03/politics/strikes-us-uk-houthi-yemen?
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss Wednesday’s Special Episode - NSI on the Ground: The New Hampshire Primary- where a group of New Hampshire voters shared their thoughts and opinions on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America!
Were New Hampshire voter’s views on U.S. engagement in the world different than Iowans? Were the Fault Lines crew surprised by any of the views the interviewees had on foreign policy issues? Does America need to focus on getting a win to remain actively engaged in the world? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fault-lines-special-episode-nsi-on-the-ground-the/id1481982630?i=1000643687825
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0omD3Lf6nM
https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/primaries-and-caucuses/exit-polls/new-hampshire/republican-primary/0
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/primary-results/voter-analysis
https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/
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Today, on this special episode of Fault Lines, NSI’s Founder and Executive Director Jamil Jaffer interviewed New Hampshire voters on their thoughts on the national security issues and debates shaking up America.
Do national security issues matter when voting? Should the U.S. continue to support Ukraine in its war with Russia? Are we falling behind China technologically? What is the greatest external threat to the United States? Listen to what voters had to say about these issues and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our interviews!
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/primary-results/voter-analysis
https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/
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Today, Jamil, Morgan, and Les discuss Sunday’s drone attack in Jordan by Iranian-backed militias that killed 3 U.S. servicemembers and wounded over 30 more. President Biden has vowed to respond to this attack, which was the first U.S. fatalities after months of strikes by such groups against American forces across the Middle East since the start of the Israel-Hamas war.
Was this attack only a matter of time? How should the U.S. respond to this lethal attack? How can the Biden administration effectively deter future attacks? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/28/politics/us-troops-drone-attack-jordan?cid=ios_app
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/three-u-s-troops-killed-in-drone-attack-in-jordan-b45ddb6b
https://apnews.com/article/biden-american-service-members-killed-jordan-iran-5cb774fd835a558d840ae91263037489
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/28/us-service-members-killed-drone-attack-jordan
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/01/28/statement-from-president-joe-biden-on-attack-on-u-s-service-members-in-northeastern-jordan-near-the-syria-border/
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Today, Les, Morgan, and John discuss the potential collapse of the bipartisan Senate deal to pair border enforcement measures and Ukraine and Israel aid after former President Donald Trump called on Republicans to reject any deal unless given everything regarding immigration.
Was this deal destined to fail? What are the geostrategic implications of failure to fund aid to Ukraine? Who is ultimately to blame for the collapse of the deal? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.newsweek.com/mitch-mcconnell-border-bill-trump-campaign-1863916
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/bipartisan-border-deal-trump-senate-republicans_n_65b284c6e4b0166fc7711d79
https://www.newsweek.com/maga-cant-sink-border-deal-negotiator-1864128
https://www.npr.org/2024/01/25/1226883552/bipartisan-border-deal-at-risk-of-collapse-under-pressure-from-trump
https://apnews.com/article/congress-border-security-ukraine-trump-a8601ec6629ddc5b769028ca99ad9879
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Today, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss Tuesday's Turkish parliament vote to approve Sweden’s membership bid to NATO, lifting a major hurdle to Sweden’s entry into the military alliance. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who previously linked his country’s support of Sweden to Turkey’s desire to buy fighter jets from the U.S., must still sign the protocol into law. Once signed, Hungary becomes the only NATO ally to have not ratified Sweden’s accession.
Will Congress allow the sale of F-16s to Turkey? How does the 2024 U.S. presidential election impact the NATO alliance? Will NATO’s largest military exercise since the Cold War provoke a response from Russia? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/turkey-sweden-nato-kurdish-militants-quran-ff81aa2d36160428d766579963f97fce
https://apnews.com/article/orban-invites-swedish-leader-discuss-nato-membership-32d50b876dccded5c7c2f60ca7cf204b
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/23/europe/turkey-vote-sweden-nato-intl?cid=ios_app
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/19/sweden-young-people-national-service-civic-duty-nato-war
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss last Friday’s Special Episode - NSI on the Ground in Iowa - where average Iowans gave their thoughts and opinions on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America!
Were the Fault Lines crew surprised at Iowan opinions on U.S. engagement in the world? Do we think that Friday’s conversations show U.S. policymakers need to more clearly show why national security issues matter? Did the interviews leave us feeling optimistic about American engagement with national security issues? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fault-lines-special-episode-nsi-on-the-ground-the/id1481982630?i=1000642248705
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/primary-results/voter-analysis
https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@notTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, on this special episode of Fault Lines, NSI’s Founder and Executive Director Jamil Jaffer interviewed Iowan voters on their thoughts on the national security issues and debates shaking up America.
Do national security issues matter when voting? Should the U.S. continue to support Ukraine in its war with Russia? How should the U.S. deal with Iran? Listen to what voters had to say about these issues and more in this special episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our interviews!
https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/primary-results/voter-analysis
https://www.reaganfoundation.org/reagan-institute/centers/peace-through-strength/reagan-national-defense-survey/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss the escalating situation in the Red Sea where the U.S. and allied forces have continued their campaign of strikes against Houthi rebels in Yemen, while two U.S. Navy SEALs have gone missing while interdicting a ship in the Gulf of Aden meant to deliver weapons to the Houthis, and China and Russia voted for a UN Security Council resolution calling for the immediate end to Houthi attacks on commercial shipping.
What are we accomplishing with our current approach? Can the U.S. walk the fine line of responding without escalation? Should we change our approach with the Houthi Rebels and other Iranian-backed groups? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/us-carries-new-airstrike-houthis-yemen/story?id=106414037
https://apnews.com/article/us-houthis-red-sea-jake-sullivan-yemen-ff507d06a7a44d6f3644f128e7766b3d
https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2024/01/iran-strikes-inside-pakistan-following-irgc-missile-attacks-iraq-syria
https://www.newsnationnow.com/us-news/military/us-seizes-iranian-weapons-houthis-yemen/
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/china-calls-an-end-attacks-civilian-vessels-red-sea-2024-01-14/?taid=65a3eec108e2720001fef900&utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter
https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/two-navy-seals-are-missing-after-mission-off-coast-of-somalia/
https://apnews.com/article/un-yemen-houthis-shipping-red-sea-resolution-attacks-f26262fe055c8a1e39dee0c3c0d6f7f6
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les discuss the developing situation in Guyana where on Tuesday, Venezuela’s dictator Nicholas Maduro ordered the creation of a new state dubbed “Guyana Esequiba” in the wake of the recent referendum in which Venezuelan voters overwhelmingly approved the annexation of the oil-rich land from its neighbor.
How does this impact the stability of the region? What role, if any, does the United States have in this developing crisis? Or is this just a domestic political tactic to ensure the survival of the Maduro regime? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://apnews.com/article/guyana-us-military-aid-venezuela-essequibo-cdb2b1ac1e469c7324d1be8f18c507c6
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/us-conduct-flight-operations-guyana-concerns-mount-over-border-spat-2023-12-07/
https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/06/americas/venezuelas-president-orders-creation-of-new-state-and-map-including-land-from-guyana/index.html
https://www.state.gov/secretary-blinkens-call-with-guyanese-president-ali/
https://english.elpais.com/international/2023-12-08/nicolas-maduro-stirs-up-guyana-conflict-in-an-attempt-to-corner-maria-corina-machado.html
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les assess the current situation in the Middle East. Recent U.S. strikes in Iraq, an ultimatum against Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, and attacks from Hezbollah against Israel amid its conflict in Gaza has caused increased worry over a widening conflict in the region.
Is this worry of a widening conflict justified? What role does China play in these Middle Eastern developments how do they benefit? Is the Biden Administration getting in its own way when it comes to effective policy in the region? Get the answer to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines!
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/09/hezbollah-drone-strike-hits-key-israeli-command-centre-safed
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/07/us/politics/iran-us-israel-conflict.html?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=AM%20JAN%208%20Punchbowl%20News%20AM&utm_term=Punchbowl%20AM%20and%20Active%20Subscribers%20from%20Memberful%20Combined
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/04/war-gaza-widen-biden-getting-ready-00133949
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Today, Jamil, Jess, and Les discuss U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin’s recent hospitalization and the breakdown of communication that had President Biden, National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, and Secretary Austin’s own Deputy Kathleen Hicks, who was on vacation, out of the loop. Sec. Austin’s absence occurred as the U.S. and its allies gave an ultimatum to Houthi rebels, as well as conducted a successful airstrike on the headquarters of an Iran-backed militia in central Baghdad.
Is the Secretary of Defense out of the Biden Administration’s decision-making loop? Why were key administration and Pentagon officials left in the dark over the Secretary’s hospitalization? Who ultimately should be held responsible for this breakdown?
Check out the sources that helped shape our expert's discussion!
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/07/politics/austin-hospitalization-leaders-not-informed/index.html
https://apnews.com/article/defense-secretary-lloyd-austin-hospitalized-biden-859cc79631d6c96dbdff161faf8e4f96
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/top-military-officials-were-initially-unaware-austins-hospitalization-media-2024-01-07/
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/06/pentagon-took-3-days-to-inform-white-houses-nsc-of-austins-hospitalization-00134176
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3633506/statement-by-secretary-of-defense-lloyd-j-austin-iii-on-medical-care/
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Today, Les, Morgan, and Jamil discuss the recent U.S. airstrike in Baghdad, Iraq that killed commander Abu Taqwa of Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba, an Iran backed militia group. This airstrike happened during a busy week for Middle East, with the continuation of the Israel-Hamas War in Gaza, Houthi forces’ attacks on shipping vessels in the Red Sea, and the recent ISIS bombing in Iran that killed 80 people. U.S. strikes in Iraq are a rare. While the U.S. states that the airstrike was necessary and proportional in the wake of recent attacks against U.S. forces stated in the Middle East, the Iraqi government argues that the strike is a breech of trust and sovereignty.
Is the U.S. airstrike a sign of a strengthened deterrence policy by the Biden Administration? Does the U.S. maintain credible deterrence in the region? What does the airstrike mean for the stability in the Middle East? How does this strike alter current U.S. policies and agreements with Iraq?
Check out the sources that helped shaped our experts discussion!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/01/04/us-strike-baghdad/
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/u-s-strike-kills-iran-backed-militia-leader-in-iraq-71256676
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/04/world/middleeast/us-drone-strike-baghdad-iraq.html
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/three-iran-backed-militia-fighters-killed-baghdad-drone-strike-sources-2024-01-04/
https://www.axios.com/2024/01/04/isis-iran-explosions-responsibility-kerman
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Today, Morgan, Andy, and Bishop discuss the recent attacks against shipping vessels in the Red Sea off the coast of Yemen by Houthi forces. The Red Sea plays a critical role in global trade and they discuss the implications of increasing attacks for the global economy and escalation of conflict in the Middle East. They also discuss potential U.S. responses to these attacks in light of Iran’s recent deployment of a warship to the region.
How do these attacks effect global trade? Is this an attempt at escalating conflict throughout the globe? What is Iran’s role? How does Iran’s recent deployment of a warship change the calculus for U.S. forces?
Check out the sources that helped shaped our experts discussion!
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/maersk-pauses-red-sea-sailings-after-houthi-attack-container-ship-2023-12-31/
https://jinsa.org/to-deter-houthi-strikes-in-red-sea-us-must-turn-from-defense-to-offense/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-01/iran-dispatches-warship-to-red-sea-after-us-sinks-houthi-boats
https://www.voanews.com/amp/no-sign-houthis-will-halt-red-sea-attacks-says-us/7418725.html
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jamil and John interview Trae Stephens, Co-Founder and Chairman of Anduril Industries, a defense technology company focused on autonomous systems. Trae is also a Partner at Founders Fund, a venture capital firm that was the first institutional investor in SpaceX and Palantir Technologies, as well as an early investor in Facebook.
What is the relationship between tech innovation and American national security? How well does the Department of Defense integrate new technologies and companies into the defense industrial base? Where does America stand today in tech innovation compared to rivals such as China?
Join us after the holidays, on January 3rd, when the Fault Lines team returns to get you quickly up to speed three times a week on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America!
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Les and Jess interview Shannon Clark, Senior Vice President, Federal, R+D, at Palantir Technologies, who also previously served as the Director for Counterterrorism on the National Security Council at the White House under President Obama and as an intelligence analyst in the Department of Defense.
How has the adoption of AI and other emerging technologies impacted the conflicts in Ukraine and Israel? What challenges does the U.S. national security enterprise have when adopting these emerging technologies and scaling them? How does the U.S.-China tech competition impact public-private sector cooperation?
Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF Understanding The Future of Tech Innovation and National Security! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Les and Jess interview Mara Rudman, a Member of the 2022 National Defense Commission, who also currently serves as a James Schlesinger Distinguished Professor at the Miller Center at the University of Virginia.
Can the U.S. be a global leader handling all the world’s hotspots or should we only focus on China? How can we sell the benefits of global engagement to everyday Americans? How does the United States feed the mis/disinformation produced by global repressors?
Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF Understanding The Future of Tech Innovation and National Security! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and Les interview Secretary Leon Panetta, who previously served as the 23rd Secretary of Defense and Director of the Central Intelligence Agency. Secretary Panetta is currently the Chairman of the Panetta Institute and an NSI Advisory Board member!
How has American engagement with the world changed over the last decade? Does the U.S. defense and policy-making communities have an accurate assessment of China’s power?
Should we be surprised by the increased collaboration of global repressors and what can we do about it?
Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF on Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Jess and John interview Ambassador Eric Edelman, who serves as Vice Chair of the Commission on the National Defense Strategy. Previously, Edelman served as Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, Ambassador to Turkey and Finland, and lastly, and most importantly, as Jess’ professor at Johns Hopkins SAIS.
How do policymakers and defense experts feel about the current state of geopolitics? Should the U.S. have anticipated the growing relationships between global repressors? What may 2024 have in store for the U.S. and our allies?
Stay tuned for more of the Special Series at RNDF on Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
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Recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, Les and John interviewed Matthew Pottinger. Pottinger is the current Chairman for the China Program at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies (FDD). Previously, Pottinger served in the White House for four years, in senior roles within the National Security Council, including serving as Deputy National Security Advisor from 2019-2021. Pottinger is credited with playing a key role in changing how the United States approaches China and raised awareness of the Chinese Communist Party’s efforts to influence and interfere with U.S. institutions, including academia, the tech sector, and Wall Street.
Are global repressors, including Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea, really an “axis” of rogue regimes? How far does their collaboration go? Does the U.S. and its allies have the capacity to deal with these rogue regimes as well as managing the hot spots around the globe? Can, and should, the U.S. decouple from China? If so, how far can this de-coupling go?
Stay tuned for more of this Special Series at RNDF on Confronting the New Alliance of Global Repressors this week on Fault Lines! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the upcoming Reagan National Defense Forum (RNDF). This forum brings together the top U.S. defense and national security leaders from across the country to discuss and debate how the U.S. can lead the world in an era of increasingly complex challenges and opportunities. During RNDF, NSI and the Fault Lines crew will be recording live, conducting a series of interviews with bipartisan national security and technology leaders to discuss the growing collaboration between global repressor states such as China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran, as well as the critical importance of emerging technology and innovation to American national security.
Stay tuned for Fault Lines: RNDF Global Repressors Series going live next week! These are discussions you don’t want to miss!
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the failed coup that took place in Sierra Leone on Sunday, November 26. The coup attempt comes after a contentious election in June in which President Julius Maada Bio was reelected for a second term and on the heels of increased tensions in the West African region, highlighted by the eight military takeovers since 2020, including most recently in Niger and Gabon.
Should the U.S. be worried about the high number of coups? How must and should the Biden Administration readjust foreign assistance in the region in light of these developments? Are there larger forces in play and are outside actors like Russia’s Wagner Group or China fostering regional instability?
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/28/world/africa/sierra-leone-arrests-attempted-coup.html
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-67541285
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/26/sierra-leone-curfew-army-barracks-attack
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/sierra-leone-information-minister-says-weekend-attack-was-failed-coup-2023-11-28/
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/28/sierra-leone-attacks-were-a-failed-coup-attempt-officials-say
https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/27/africa/sierra-leone-military-barracks-foiled-attack-ignites-fears-over-coup-attempt/index.html
https://www.africanews.com/2023/11/28/coup-attempt-in-sierra-leone-authorities/
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Today, Jes, Les, and Jamil discuss the Argentinian presidential elections where the self-styled “anarcho-capitalist” candidate Javier Milei rode a wave of voter anger – including over skyrocketing inflation and national poverty rate of 40% - to claim victory. Milei has proposed dollarizing the economy, ditching the central bank, shrinking the federal government, and downgrading ties with Brazil and China.
Can President-Elect Milei achieve his promises without strong allies across government? What does the election of Milei mean for democratic norms in Latin America? Can Argentina distance truly themselves from China?
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-67509691
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/11/21/argentina-milei-election-latin-america/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-11-25/milei-s-softer-tone-shows-how-much-argentina-needs-china
https://apnews.com/article/milei-argentina-president-privatization-1a87d02035511982ab620104b9feb255
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/trump-tells-argentinas-president-elect-javier-milei-he-plans-to-visit-buenos-aires
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/11/25/argentina-milei-libertarian-agenda-history/
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Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss the recent Washington Post story in which anonymous Defense Department officials express frustration with what they consider an incoherent strategy by the Biden Administration for countering attacks by Iranian proxies on US forces in Iraq and Syria. “There’s no clear definition of what we are trying to deter,” said one defense official. In an oped over the weekend, President Biden attempted to outline his foreign policy in the wake of the War in Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas War without once mentioning Iran.
What should U.S. deterrence policy look like? Is our current strategy effective at preventing a wider conflict? and How do we ensure U.S. personnel are safe overseas?
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/11/19/iranian-proxy-attacks-us-troops/
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/iranian-proxies-continue-targeting-us-troops-syria-iraq-total-since-pentagon
https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4314271-the-u-s-is-finally-hitting-back-at-irans-murderous-proxies/
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/defense-national-security/esper-us-military-strikes-against-iranian-proxies-syria
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/11/18/joe-biden-gaza-hamas-putin/
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Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss the meeting between President Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping at APEC 2023 in San Francisco, the first face-to-face meeting in over a year and Xi’s first visit to the U.S. in six years.
The talks aimed to normalize relations at a time when the relationship between the U.S. in China has been fraught with tension. Topics discussed during the summit included re-establishing military-to-military communications, stopping fentanyl precursors from being shipped to the US, and sending us more pandas!
Shortly after the summit, though, President Biden (accurately) referred to President Xi as a dictator and many issues, including Chinese threats to Taiwan and IP theft and US export controls.
Was this summit all talk, or will we see a real reset? Is China’s effort to force the US to support reunification likely to make things more tense? Should we take a harder line with China diplomatically?
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.npr.org/2023/11/16/1213401317/did-biden-and-chinas-xi-hit-a-reset-not-quite-but-they-did-agree-on-a-few-things
https://thehill.com/policy/international/4313668-xi-gets-standing-ovation-at-banquet-with-us-executives/
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/16/us/politics/biden-xi-china-power-balance.html
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/16/biden-xi-dictator-00127548
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Today, Les, Jess, and Morgan discuss the third U.S. air strike in Syria, which occurred late on Sunday. These strikes come after at least 40 attacks against U.S. and coalition troops in Iraq and Syria by Iran-backed forces in recent weeks. U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin III told reporters, "These attacks must stop, and if they don't stop, then we won't hesitate to do what's necessary, again, to protect the troops." Austin said the latest air strikes in targeted facilities used by Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps and related groups.
Will the U.S. continue or ramp up strikes against Iranian-back proxies? Will these strikes effectively deter attacks on U.S. and coalition personnel? Is the Biden Administration overly concerned with potentially escalating the conflict?
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/11/12/us-airstrikes-iran-syria/
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-hints-more-strikes-unless-iran-linked-groups-halt-attacks-2023-11-13/
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Episode 275: Beijing-Biden Bay Area Showdown
Today, Les, Morgan and Andy discuss the APEC Summit that will be taking place in San Francisco, CA. The big news is that there will be a face-to-face meeting between President Biden, and China’s President Xi Jinping. However, China has been aggressive in the South China Sea, flying within 10 feet of American pilots, distracting American pilots with lasers, and conducting aggressive cyber-attacks against the U.S, and yet the Biden administration is advocating for stronger US-China military-military (mil-mil) relationship.
Are better mil-mil communications a ‘win’ for the Biden Administration? What are the Biden Administration’s achievements with negotiating with China ahead of the APEC Summit? What will the Biden Administration be able to achieve with President Biden’s and President Xi’s face-to-face meeting?
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/world/china/what-it-took-to-get-biden-and-xi-to-the-table-b7a899c9
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/10/us/politics/biden-xi-meeting.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/08/business/economy/xi-jinping-american-business-leaders-dinner.html
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@morganlroach
@AndyKeiser
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, Morgan, and special guest John Lipsey all sit down together - in person! - to discuss America’s stolen pandas and the U.S. Development Finance Corporation’s (DFC) recent loan of $550 million to Sri Lanka to support the construction of a deep-water shipping terminal. This loan is a recent example of DFC’s efforts to support the building of global infrastructure, while also supporting U.S. foreign policy.
What’s the difference between China’s Belt and Road Initiative and America’s DFC lending? Can the US DFC compete with China’s BRI globally? Should we have let China take back our pandas?
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://nationalzoo.si.edu/news/giant-pandas-depart-smithsonians-national-zoo-and-conservation-biology-institute-for-china
https://www.dfc.gov/media/press-releases/dfc-makes-more-91-billion-financial-commitments-fiscal-year-2023
https://www.csis.org/analysis/mission-creep-development-finance-corporation
https://fortune.com/2023/11/08/us-dfc-china-belt-and-road-553m-investment-sri-lanka-colombo-port/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss Ukrainian President Zelenksy's decision to rule out holding presidential elections next year even though his 5-year term ends in March 2024. With millions displaced internally or abroad, hundreds of thousands of soldiers fighting on the frontlines, and the country under constant threat of Russian attacks, the possibility of administering a free, safe, and secure election seems nearly impossible.
Is it possible to administer an election without U.S. aid to Ukraine? Will the absence of democratic elections in Ukraine erode already decreasing support in Congress to provide more aid? Will Zelensky foes use his decision to attack him and Ukraine's commitment to democracy?
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://thehill.com/policy/international/4296123-ukraine-russia-war-volodymyr-zelensky-not-the-right-time-elections/
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-birthday-grenade-b1b82e4f84eb5a39286d1500cf49fcd1
https://www.cnn.com/videos/world/2023/11/07/exp-zelensky-ukraine-elections-110704aseg1-cnni-world.cnn
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/05/world/europe/ukraine-zelensky-elections-war.html
https://www.ips-journal.eu/topics/democracy-and-society/elections-in-times-of-war-6980/
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Episode 272: Democratic Fault Lines on Israel
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the ongoing crisis in the Middle East, the Biden Administration’s current policies in the region, and how the Israel-Hamas war may affect President Biden’s campaign in 2024. The group also discusses recent comments made by former President Barack Obama and Democratic strategist David Axelrod on the Biden Presidency and its Middle East policies.
Where does the current Democratic party stand on support for Israel? How might the Biden Administration’s support for Israel’s war against Hamas evolve as public and international support wanes? Who would even run for the Democratic nomination against President Biden?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/barack-obama-argues-all-of-us-are-complicit-in-israel-hamas-conflict-urges-acknowledgement-of-whole-truth/ar-AA1jqa5g
https://news.yahoo.com/former-obama-strategist-wonders-biden-174227003.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/11/05/israel-war-hamas-gaza-live-news-palestine/#link-YH6Y4KSRIRGUXN2E2CRBK7K5BA
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/11/05/israel-war-hamas-gaza-live-news-palestine/#link-YH6Y4KSRIRGUXN2E2CRBK7K5BA
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/11/05/world/israel-hamas-war-gaza-news
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-middle-east-67324897
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/blinken-seeks-to-balance-aid-for-palestinian-civilians-against-israeli-self-defense-b2c442ec
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss Russia’s withdrawal from the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), the global treaty banning nuclear weapons tests. Moscow says its de-ratification of the CTBT is merely designed to bring Russia into line with the U.S., which signed but never ratified the treaty, while others worry Russia is seeking to intimidate and evoke fear. All the while China and the United States are about to begin talks about nuclear arms control and non-proliferation.
Is Russia’s withdrawal from the CTBT symbolic, saber-rattling, or about something else? Does the war in Ukraine, which is entering its second winter, play into Russia’s decision? Will the Biden Administration's talks with China lead to an agreement or is it just lip-service?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-revokes-russias-ratification-nuclear-test-ban-treaty-2023-11-02/
https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/test-ban-treaty-at-a-glance
https://www.icanw.org/what_is_the_nuclear_test_ban_treaty_and_why_is_russia_talking_about_leaving?locale=en
https://www.reuters.com/world/china-agrees-nuclear-arms-control-talks-with-us-wsj-2023-11-01/
https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/china-agrees-to-arms-control-talks-with-u-s-87a44b38
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/us-nuclear-arsenal-can-deter-both-china-and-russia
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil and Morgan discuss the Biden Administration giving Uganda, Gabon, Niger, and the Central African Republic the boot from a special US-Africa trade program - the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) - due to Niger and Gabon’s dictatorial takeovers and CAR and Uganda’s violations of human rights. AGOA is set to expire in 2025, and the geopolitical landscape both across Africa and in the U.S. is much different than when AGOA first passed in 2000.
What does the future of AGOA and U.S.-Africa trade look like? What's our assessment of how President Biden and Congress is doing when it comes to Africa policies and programs? How can the Biden Administration reimagine U.S.-Africa relations?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-67236251
https://www.csis.org/analysis/beyond-2025-future-african-growth-and-opportunity-act
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/10/us/politics/niger-coup-biden-declaration.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2023/10/26/pepfar-funding-delays-hiv-abortion/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Morgan and Martha discuss the Biden Admin’s approach to China all the while the world is seemingly ablaze. China has been behaving recklessly in the South China Sea, fentanyl is pouring out of China into the US, and pending on all of this is the meeting between President Biden and President Xi at the APEC Summit in San Francisco.
How should President Biden approach this meeting with Xi? How should the Biden Administration handle the US-China relationship beyond this meeting? How does Gov. Newsom’s unfortunate effort in Beijing set the table for Biden?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/chinas-foreign-minister-says-road-san-francisco-summit-will-not-be-smooth-2023-10-29/
https://apnews.com/article/china-usa-biden-wangyi-blinken-8e8928737f20ea092d226d5da08142f2
https://www.wsj.com/world/china/u-s-worries-about-escalation-in-pacific-as-chinese-military-steps-up-confrontation-5fc06662
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@lestermunson
@marthamillerdc
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Episode 268: Naming and Shaming our Nearest and Dearest
Today, Morgan, Martha, Jamil and Andy discuss the challenges that NATO member Turkey and Major non-NATO ally Qatar present as they play both sides between the West and our adversaries and enemies in the context of the Israel-Hamas war. What was seemingly a unifying moment for the West, Turkey and Qatar said all the wrong things about the 10/7 terrorist attack on Israel.
Should the United States hold Turkey and Qatar accountable for supporting our adversaries and enemies? How does Turkey’s position in NATO influence potential members joining the alliance in the future? When is the right time for the United States to tell Turkey and Qatar that they cannot keep playing both sides?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/turkeys-erdogan-says-hamas-is-not-terrorist-organisation-2023-10-25/
https://www.timesofisrael.com/qatar-agrees-to-review-hamas-ties-after-gaza-hostage-situation-resolved-report/amp/
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20231019-hamas-qatar-office-in-spotlight-as-gaza-war-intensifies
https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2023/10/25/turkeys-erdogan-scraps-israel-trip-over-inhumane-gaza-war
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@andykeiser
@marthamillerdc
@morganlroach
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Episode 267: Five Eyes: Are They Actually Watching…?
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil and Morgan discuss the recent broadcast of an unprecedented public gathering of the intelligence chiefs from the Five Eyes countries - the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. The conversation focused on China’s aggressive intelligence gathering efforts and its theft of IP property, alongside other threats, occurring in the U.S. and the other Five Eyes countries.
How concerned should Americans be about Chinese intelligence gathering? Are the Five Eyes taking the right measures to deter China? What more can the Biden Administration do to counter such aggressive intelligence gathering?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/more-from-five-eyes-intelligence-chiefs-warning-to-60-minutes/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/10/24/ahead-top-chinese-diplomats-us-visit-five-eyes-officials-call-attention-chinese-hacking/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@notTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the former 3-time Prime Minister of Pakistan, Nawaz Sharif’s return from his self-imposed exile, and lo’ and behold, even though he's banned from holding public office, his lawyers are confident he can be elected as the country's next Prime Minister. This comes as Pakistan is in its worst economic crisis ever, the previous Prime Minister is also facing corruption charges, a “caretaker” Prime Minister is making deals with China, and Sharif’s party is losing popularity all the while dealing with its own Taliban insurgency.
Is the Pakistan military giving Sharif the green light to run for Prime Minister? Who is really calling the shots in the Pakistan government? How might the chaotic hold-up in Congress benefit Pakistan?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/china-ready-boost-pakistan-ties-urges-security-guarantee-xi-2023-10-20/
https://www.wionews.com/south-asia/is-nawaz-sharifs-return-a-deal-with-pakistan-military-establishment-649672/amp
https://www.ft.com/content/9811a65a-78cc-4afb-82e4-1032017d2300
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@notTVJessJones
@lestermusnon
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Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the serious implications from disinformation and misinformation that came after the explosion at the Al-Ahli Hospital in the Gaza. What was originally reported as an Israeli Defense Force airstrike, turned out to actually be a misfired rocket by the Palestinian Islamic Jihad. However, the blame had already been cast on Israel and riots and protests against Israel broke out across the globe as a result of the inaccurate reporting.
What are the implications of rampant and rapid disinformation on social media? How can media prevent such inaccurate information from being disseminated? What is President Biden’s role in preventing the mass dissemination of false information?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/disinformation-surge-threatens-fuel-israel-hamas-conflict-2023-10-18/
https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2023/10/18/what-is-israels-narrative-on-the-gaza-hospital-explosion
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/gaza-hospital-misinformation-israel-hamas_n_65301c34e4b00565b62290cc/amp
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@notTVJessJones
@morganlroach
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@lestermunson
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Episode 263: Biden’s Middle-East Diplomacy Put to the Test
Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss President Biden’s visit to Israel. The group also assesses Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s “shuttle-diplomacy,” laying the groundwork for President Biden’s visit, and just how important this visit is for the administration’s Middle-East policy goals.
What will President Biden be able to accomplish with his visit? Will other Middle-Eastern countries be receptive to Biden’s diplomatic efforts? How do we grade Biden’s efforts thus far?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/10/17/israel-hamas-war-news-gaza/
https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/israel-hamas-war-gaza-palestinians
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/3-things-us-must-israel-against-terrorist-hamas
https://www.wsj.com/articles/appeasing-iran-has-failed-biden-israel-hamas-e86e249c
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@notTVJessJones
@lestermusnon
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Episode 262: Israel-Hamas War: What’s Next?
Today, Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the Israel-Hamas war heating up as the Israeli Defense Forces gear up for a potential ground invasion of Gaza. Estimates of civilian casualties are in the thousands. All the while, Hezbollah threatens Israel from the north, and two U.S. carrier strike groups have been moved to the east-Mediterranean to deter Hezbollah and Iran from widening the conflict.
What happens to Gaza once the Israeli invasion is completed? What does Israel need to do to prevent other actors from inserting themselves into the conflict? What is the US’ role in all of this?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/14/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-invasion.html
https://abcnews.go.com/International/exclusive-us-send-2nd-aircraft-carrier-eastern-mediterranean/story?id=103984246
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3551962/senior-defense-official-holds-a-background-briefing-on-us-force-posture-changes/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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@morganlroach
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Today, Jessica, Morgan, and Andy discuss the recent suspicious damage to a Finnish gas pipeline and telecommunications cable, both of which run under the Baltic Sea. On Thursday, Finland's intelligence services said that a “state actor” could be responsible for the pipeline damage but didn't speculate on who might be involved.
Is Putin responsible for the possible sabotage of the undersea pipeline and cable? What do we think NATO’s response will be, if any, if it is confirmed Russia was involved? How does this story relate to Turkey and Hungary stalling Sweden’s accession to NATO?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.politico.eu/article/finland-gas-pipeline-damage-state-actor-balticconnector-antti-pelttari/
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/finland-cant-rule-out-state-actor-involvement-pipeline-damage-intelligence-chief-2023-10-12/
https://apnews.com/article/finland-russia-nato-intelligence-ukraine-6605170fd8c06de7ad212d47676f4fa8
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@notTVJessJones
@morganlroach
@AndyKeiser
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Today, Morgan, Les, NSI Senior Fellow Andy Keiser, and NSI Fellow Martha Miller discuss the latest on the Israel-Hamas war, as well as Iran's role in the conflict.
How should the U.S. provide assistance to Israel? Should Congress combine aid to Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan? How have Russia and Iran colluded to increase their sphere of influence?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/biden-walks-fine-line-in-israel-conflict-916774e2
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/10/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-war-hamas-deaths-killings.html
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@lestermunson
@morganlroach
@marthamillerdc
@AndyKeiser
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Today, Morgan, Les, NSI Senior Fellow Andrew Borene, and NSI Fellow Martha Miller discuss recent developments on the Hamas attack on Israel.
Will Congress begin funding for Israel when aid to Ukraine has been stalled? Did President Biden's desperation for an Iran nuclear deal influence this attack? What are the next steps for the United States?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-gaza-hamas-rockets-airstrikes-tel-aviv-11fb98655c256d54ecb5329284fc37d2
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/live-blog/rcna119435
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@lestermunson
@morganlroach
@marthamillerdc
@AndrewBorene
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Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss former speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy's removal and what this means for Congress and the U.S. moving forward, in particular, for future U.S. support for Ukraine.
Who will be the next speaker of the House? Should world leaders be worried or is this just U.S. politics? Has the Biden Administration been doing enough to garner public support for Ukraine?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/05/us/politics/speaker-mccarthy-biden-democracy.html
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4239184-house-speaker-turmoil-imperils-future-ukraine-funding/
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss China and Mexico's role in the American fentanyl epidemic and how to stop it.
How big is the fentanyl problem? Is the U.S. government doing enough to combat this issue? Is this a border problem or a China-accountability problem?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://apnews.com/article/c9ee14f171f1fcbd4db3452cd0bd1d90
https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-eight-indictments-against-china-based-chemical-manufacturing
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the upcoming elections in Poland and recent anti-government demonstrations.
Are U.S. policymakers and the Biden administration recognizing the importance of this election? Do these demonstrations send a larger message to the EU? Is this problematic for NATO?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/01/world/europe/poland-antigovernment-march-election.html
https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/23/europe/poland-ukraine-europe-relations-putin-intl/index.html
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
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Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan discuss France's exit from Niger, recent coups in the Sahel, and the Wagner Group's presence in the region.
Does France's exit provide an opportunity for the U.S. to step in and provide support? Should we be rethinking our institutional approach to Africa? How should the U.S. respond to the Wagner group?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-niger-military-army-withdrawal-west-africa-sahel-colonies-burkina-faso-mali/
https://thehill.com/policy/international/africa/4226347-aid-to-gabon-suspended-after-military-takeover/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the disputed South China Sea, where the Philippines has recently removed a floating barrier that China had installed to prevent Philippine fishing boats from using the area.
How should the U.S. best defend our interests and those of our allies in the South China Sea? Will a greater U.S. presence provoke conflict? Should the U.S. be looking more regionally?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-66913554
https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/chinas-ten-dash-line/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the U.S.’ pledge to assist a UN peacekeeping mission in Haiti that aims to counter gang violence and provide humanitarian relief with Kenya’s leadership.
Is this mission a good idea? Why should the U.S. get involved? How will the U.S. maintain oversight on this UN peacekeeping mission?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-pledges-new-aid-haiti-urges-un-authorize-security-mission-2023-09-22/#:~:text=NEW%20YORK%2C%20Sept%2022%20(Reuters,country%20fight%20crippling%20gang%20violence
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/9/22/us-says-haiti-security-mission-could-deploy-in-months-urges-support
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Les, and Morgan discuss the recent Iran-U.S. prisoner swap and the 'mutual agreement' between the two nations.
Is this secretly a new Iran nuclear deal? Does this put the Biden Administration in legal trouble? Is this agreement good for U.S. foreign policy without Congressional oversight?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-prisoner-swap-gives-tehran-6-billion-how-will-it-be-spent-2109d440?page=1
https://thehill.com/policy/international/4215594-saudi-crown-prince-on-iran-acquiring-nuclear-weapons-if-they-get-one-we-have-to-get-one/
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Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss the recent assassination of Canadian citizen and Sikh leader Hardeep Singh Nijjar, Trudeau's allegations, and India's response.
How does America's strategic competition with China impact its relationship with India after these allegations? How will the United States balance these interests with its relationship with Canada?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/18/americas/canada-hardeep-singh-nijjar-india-intl/index.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/09/19/india-expels-canada-diplomat-sikh-assassination/
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@jamil_n_jaffer @NotTVJessJones @morganlroach
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Today, Jamil, Jess, Morgan, and Les get together in-person (!) to discuss the upcoming United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) in New York City.
What tensions are likely to arise at UNGA? Should the Biden administration be concerned about France and the UK's absences? Can the U.S. use UNGA as a platform to promote multilateralism?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/world-leaders-meet-un-big-powers-vie-developing-states-2023-09-15/
https://www.justsecurity.org/88126/the-themes-and-tensions-to-watch-at-this-years-un-general-assembly-meetings/
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@jamil_n_jaffer @NotTVJessJones @morganlroach @lestermunson
Check out a video of today's episode here:
https://youtu.be/fvZ94ON2XYo
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In this episode, join NSI’s Jamil Jaffer and the Department of Defense’s Jennifer Hay, Director of the Defense Digital Service in the Chief Data and Artificial Intelligence Office of the DOD, and Visiting Fellow at NSI, to discuss how the DOD is grappling with the AI revolution.
How have the DOD and NSC’s perceptions of AI changed over time? How does the DOD think about trust, safety, and security in regards to big data and AI? Where is the DOD at on AI policy?
Thanks for joining Fault Lines and our team of experts for our Summer of AI series, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Tune in next Monday, September 18, for the return of our regular Fault Lines programming.
Learn more about Ms. Jennifer Hay here:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/jkhay/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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In this episode, join Lester and Will Hurd, candidate for the Republican nomination for President, former U.S. Representative for Texas's 23rd District, and former Board Member for OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, to discuss what Congress has done in the wake of AI and what that means for Americans.
How have the private and public sectors reacted to AI? How do we control AI? How should the U.S. think about its competition with China with respect to AI?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Learn more about Mr. Will Hurd here:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/will-hurd-63528625
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@lestermunson @WillHurd
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In this episode, join Jessica and Ylli Bajraktari, President and CEO of the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP) and former Executive Director of the National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence, to discuss the implications of AI in warfare and what that means for U.S. national security in the near future.
What could happen if the U.S. falls behind in tech competition? How will AI change warfare in the next five to ten years? How should the U.S. think about countries with different ethical considerations about AI?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Learn more about Mr. Ylli Bajraktari and the SCSP here:
https://www.scsp.ai/ylli-bajraktari/
https://www.scsp.ai/
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@NotTVJessJones @Ylli_Bajraktari
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In this episode, Morgan and Dr. Gary Marcus, Professor Emeritus of Psychology and Neural Science at NYU, CEO of Geometric Intelligence, and the Founder and Executive Chairman of Robust AI, discuss how Dr. Marcus got involved in artificial intelligence from a young age and the multifaceted risks and opportunities AI poses.
How does AI relate to natural intelligence and cognitive science? Where is AI headed - in a positive or negative direction? What are the biggest dangers and risks that AI poses and are any of these going undiscussed?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Learn more about Dr. Marcus’s work here:
https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/what-if-generative-ai-turned-out
https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/automatic-disinformation-threatens
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In this episode, Lester and Dr. Charles Clancy, SVP and Chief Futurist of MITRE, as well as head of MITRE Labs, discuss the ideal regulatory framework for AI, what Congress should be doing to enforce AI regulation, and how AI is being used to enhance cybersecurity capabilities.
How can we balance the regulatory side and innovation side of AI at both the federal level and state level? What has been AI’s impact in cyber warfare? How can we close the workforce gaps in AI and cybersecurity?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Learn more about MITRE’s work on AI regulation below:
https://www.mitre.org/news-insights/publication/sensible-regulatory-framework-ai-security
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@lestermunson
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In this episode, Jamil and Michèle Flournoy discuss how the Department of Defense should weigh the threats and opportunities associated with artificial intelligence, what the future of autonomous weapons looks like, and how we can win the tech race with China.
Is AI a net threat or a net opportunity for the U.S.? Is the Department of Defense AI ready? Should we be more concerned about China or killer robots?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@micheleflournoy
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Today, on Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution, Jess speaks with NSC Deputy National Security Advisor for Cyber and Emerging Technology, Ms. Anne Neuberger. In this episode, Jess and Ms. Neuberger outline the Biden Administration’s AI efforts, including the White House's recent announcement of a pledge made by leading private sector companies on mitigating AI's risks and an upcoming EO.
How does DNSA Neuberger see the U.S. government working with the international community to develop smart AI policy? How does DNSA Neuberger think the government can ensure it is putting forward policies and regulations that do not stifle innovation but address concerns? What does DNSA Neuberger think about China's current and future AI capabilities?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Want to learn more about this topic and the latest AI commitment in industry?
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/07/21/fact-sheet-biden-harris-administration-secures-voluntary-commitments-from-leading-artificial-intelligence-companies-to-manage-the-risks-posed-by-ai/
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Today, on Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution, Morgan Viña speaks with Sue Gordon, the former Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence. In this episode, Morgan and Ms. Gordon help break down how AI impacts U.S. interests and the current capabilities of AI in the defense sector.
What does the future of the IC and the defense sector look like with the emergence of AI? What defense capabilities are enhanced by the incorporation of AI? How is artificial intelligence impacting U.S. relationships with both allies and adversaries?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Want to learn more about this topic?
https://www.defense.gov/Spotlights/Artificial-Intelligence/
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@morganlroach
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Today, for our special summer series, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution, Les is joined by deep fake technology expert Professor Hany Farid, who teaches at the University of California, Berkeley. Les and Professor Farid discuss the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence images, the possibility of multilateral regulation, and the need for social media companies to work cooperatively to flag AI-generated content.
Where does the liability fall when using other people’s images and likeness without permission? How has deepfake technology advanced so rapidly? How concerned should the U.S. be with the tech competition with China?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out Professor Hany Farid’s website: https://www.ischool.berkeley.edu/people/hany-farid
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Today on, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution, is part II of Jamil's conversation with Dr. Stephen Wolfram, founder of Mathematica and Wolfram Research and all-around AI expert on the complexities of AI and potential regulation. Dr. Wolfram talks about AI free will, the moral complexities of AI’s decision making, and how AI can streamline supply chains.
Should we be worried about AI developing its own free will? How much decision-making power can we leave to AI on its own, if any? How would the government begin to regulate AI?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out Dr. Stephen Wolfram’s website: https://www.stephenwolfram.com/
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Today, to kick off our special summer series, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution, Jamil is joined by Dr. Stephen Wolfram, founder of Mathematica and Wolfram Research, creator of the Wolfram Language, author of, What is Chat GPT Doing… and Why Does it Work?, and all-around AI expert to dissect the complexities of artificial intelligence. Dr. Wolfram explains the origins of AI, how computational systems operate, and the ways that large language models are able to generate lively essays.
Are computers able to learn? How does AI generate human-like essays? What is the difference between computational systems and the human brain?
Tune into Fault Lines all summer to hear from more AI experts as part of, Breaking Barriers: Understanding the AI Revolution!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out Dr. Stephen Wolfram’s website: https://www.stephenwolfram.com/
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@stephen_wolfram
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Today, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss China’s growing influence in Latin America after Guatemalan Presidential candidate Bernardo Arevalo advocated for expanding relations with China. This statement, combined with Brazil considering substituting the dollar for the yen and Honduras revoking its recognition of Taiwan, shows that states in the global south are trending away from the US
What should the US do to counter China’s growing influence? Following the Chinese spy base in Cuba, does the Biden Administration need to enforce red lines in the region? Has the U.S. devoted enough military and economic resources to Latin America? How can the U.S. be a better neighbor?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Watch our experts debate on YouTube here!: https://youtu.be/eGpee0fLkK0
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/surprise-guatemalan-presidential-contender-pitches-closer-china-ties-2023-06-27/
https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/economic-displacement-chinas-growing-influence-latin-america
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@morganlroach
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Episode 237: All Wagner, All the Time
Today, Morgan, Jamil, and Les discuss the future of the Wagner group in Africa after Wagner Group leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, attempted a coup in Russia over the weekend. Libya, Sudan, Mali, and the Central African Republic, all rely on Wagner forces to fight back insurgents. With few alternatives to protect governments in these countries, an absence of the Wagner group would be destabilizing.
What is the future of the Wagner group? Will the Wagner Group go on hiatus? How dependent are African leaders on Wagner forces? Should the US take this opportunity to provide security and defense to African governments?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Watch our experts debate on Youtube here!: https://youtu.be/Y9tmAhb5Org
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-asks-whats-next-russias-wagner-middle-east-africa-2023-06-27/
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-66023041
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@morganlroach
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Today, Les, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the Wagner Group’s uprising in Russia over the weekend. Wagner group leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, ordered the mercenary troops to march towards Moscow on Saturday before Belarusian leader, Aleksandr Lukashenko stepped in to negotiate a diplomatic end to the mutiny.
Who could succeed Putin if he were to fall from power? How should Ukraine leverage this moment of weakness in Russia to enhance their counteroffensive? And has Chinese President, Xi Jinping, refrained from sending weapons to Russia because he lacks confidence in Russia?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
You can now watch our experts debate on YouTube here!: https://youtu.be/CQRRxap3Hk4
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.npr.org/2023/06/25/1184237150/russia-wagner-putin-whats-next-explained-prigozhin
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-wagner-prigozhin-belarus-deal-6782455ddc4234816bfb2d7d388d8a9a
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@lestermunson
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Today, Jamil, Jess, and Morgan discuss Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit and Thursday night’s state dinner at the White House. President Biden and PM Modi reached several strategic cooperation and defense agreements during PM Modi’s visit. Both India and the U.S. share China as a pressing security threat, so a strong partnership in the region could be indispensable to both moving forward.
What does the Fault Lines crew think of this budding relationship? Is it the “partnership of the century,” as stated by Modi? Given India’s partnerships with Russia and as leader of the nonaligned movement, can the U.S. count on India to be a good ally?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
You can also watch our experts debate these issues on YouTube! Click below:
https://youtu.be/I7aylgORkyA
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-modi-strengthen-ties-with-defense-trade-agreements-2023-06-22/
https://apnews.com/article/biden-modi-india-state-visit-human-rights-5e4bc32e679ad6bae7225a28f7f6334d
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@morganlroach
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Today, Jess, Jamil, Les, and our now official co-host Morgan Viña discuss Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s long-awaited meeting with President Xi in China. Secretary Blinken’s visit comes at a time when the U.S.-China relationship has been strained due to China’s support of Russia, the deployment of spy balloons, and repeated provocations in the South China Sea.
What score does the Fault Lines crew give Secretary Blinken on his China visit? Was Blinken’s visit timely? How, and will, the Biden Administration address tensions with President Xi?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/key-takeaways-antony-blinken-china-xi-jinping/
https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/18/china/blinken-china-visit-wang-yi-meeting-intl-hnk/index.html
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@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@jamil_n_jaffer
@morganlroach
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Today, Jamil, Les, and Morgan, discuss China’s strategic cooperation agreement with Palestine. China has forged a number of strategic relationships in the Middle East, including Saudi Arabia, Iran, the UAE, and now, Palestine. In light of China’s strategic efforts in the this region, some worry, the U.S. is too focused on China, leaving behind its leadership role in the other parts of the globe.
Should the U.S. be alarmed by this strategic cooperation agreement? Is China doing this as a reaction to the U.S.-Israeli relationship? Is the U.S. capable of walking and chewing gum in its foreign policy, in other words, can the U.S. be a leader in both Asia and the Middle East?
Tune in to find out what our experts think!
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/china-palestinian-authority-establish-strategic-partnership-chinas-xi-2023-06-14/
https://www.timesofisrael.com/china-signs-strategic-partnership-with-palestinian-authority-during-abbas-visit/amp/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@lestermunson
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Today, Jess, Les, and Morgan, debate the Biden Administration’s decision to rejoin UNESCO. There have been concerns for a decade over mismanagement. This prompted the U.S. to leave under the Trump Administration. The Biden Administration recently announced that the U.S. will return to UNESCO as well as pay $600 million in back dues.
Is the $600 million of taxpayer dollars in back dues worth the benefits we receive from the organization? Is membership to UNESCO like a participation trophy and should everyone get one? Does China’s expanding influence in UNESCO warrant this action? Tune in to find out what our experts think!
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jun/12/china-concerns-prompt-us-move-to-rejoin-unesco
https://thehill.com/opinion/international/3978238-to-compete-with-china-the-us-must-embrace-multilateral-diplomacy/
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@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
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Today, for a Fault Lines first, there are four incredible hosts! Les, Jess, Jamil, and Morgan discuss the Biden Administration’s handling of the Chinese spy base in Cuba. While the Administration initially denied the reports from the Wall Street Journal it has now come full circle to acknowledge the existence of Chinese spy bases around the world.
What letter grade should the Biden Administration received in its handling of this situation? What message does this flip flopping send domestically and internationally? Should Secretary of State Antony Blinken proceed with his trip to China? Bonus question, which Fault Lines host is celebrating their birthday, today? Tune in to find out!
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://nypost.com/2023/06/11/biden-admin-confirms-china-has-had-a-spy-base-in-cuba-since-at-least-2019/
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/10/us/politics/china-spy-base-cuba.html?searchResultPosition=1
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@jamil_n_jaffer
@morganlroach
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Today, Jess, Les, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow, Morgan Vina, discuss the shocking merger between the PGA Tour and LIV Golf, which is backed by a Saudi wealth fund. The PGA tour has recently faced backlash, including a possible DOJ antitrust investigation, following this deal. Some argue this merger is a key step in Mohammed bin Salman’s Vision 2023 plan to create a “vibrant society.”
What does the Fault Lines crew think of this merger? Is it sportswashing or part of Saudi’s Vision 2030? Why is the U.S. turning towards Saudi and rebuilding relations? And most importantly, is golf a real sport?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/sports/golf/liv-golf-pga-tour-saudi-arabia-merger-a383b00?mod=hp_lead_pos9
https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/08/09/liv-tour-saudi-golf-china-soft-power-battle-for-soul-of-golf/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Air Force veteran and former member of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, David Grusch’s claims of the US government secretly recovering alien spacecraft accompanied by “pilot” remains for decades as part of a top-secret UFO retrieval program.
What does the Fault Lines crew think of the possibility of UAPs (Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena)? How credible are David Grusch’s claims? Are there alien life forms surveilling Earth?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/06/ex-intel-official-government-hiding-alien-tech.html
https://thedebrief.org/intelligence-officials-say-u-s-has-retrieved-non-human-craft/
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@lestermunson
@NotTVJessJones
@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss rising tensions between the U.S. and China due to recent encounters between Chinese and US aircraft over the SCS, and in the Taiwan Strait between a US destroyer and a Canadian ship that were intercepted by a Chinese destroyer. Furthermore, at the Shangri-La dialogue over the weekend in Singapore, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin shook hands with Chinese Defense Minister, Li Shangfu, but they did not have a meeting.
What does the Fault Lines crew think of the “new” tension between Washington and Beijing? Is there hypocrisy in China’s surveillance criticisms? Should we redefine China as an adversary as opposed to a competitor?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/06/05/china-ship-us-destroyer-taiwan-strait/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-30/us-accuses-china-of-aggressive-encounter-over-south-china-sea
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Today, Jamil, Jess, and NSI Senior Fellow Andy Keiser discuss the dangers and benefits of AI in a national security context and questions whether government regulation is needed. This conversation was prompted after a joint statement where AI experts concluded that “artificial intelligence may lead to human extinction and reducing the risks associated with the technology should be a global priority.”
Should (and will) the U.S. government take action to limit the proliferation of U.S.- or allied-developed algorithms? Could early and overly prescriptive regulation limit the massive potential benefits that the rapid development of AI capabilities could provide?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/25/technology/microsoft-ai-rules-regulation.html
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/05/31/ai-poses-human-extinction-risk-sam-altman-and-other-tech-leaders-warn.html
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@andykeiser
@NotTVJessJones
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Uganda’s passage of one of the world's toughest anti-gay laws that calls for life imprisonment for anyone convicted of homosexuality. The legislation received widespread condemnation from many Western governments and human rights activists.
How should the international community push back? Should the US cut off aid to Uganda? If not, what can be done to influence Uganda’s - and potentially other countries' similar - laws?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.npr.org/2023/05/29/1178718092/uganda-anti-gay-law
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ugandas-museveni-approves-anti-gay-law-parliament-speaker-says-2023-05-29/
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss this week’s announcement by Microsoft and the U.S. government that they detected a Chinese cyber hack by hacking group, Volt Typhoon, directed at critical infrastructure systems, including telecommunications gear, located in Guam and elsewhere in the United States.
Is China hacking Guam a prelude to a Taiwan invasion? Should the U.S. ramp up its response against China? Is the U.S. prepared to deter enemy action in the cyber domain?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/24/us/politics/china-guam-malware-cyber-microsoft.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/05/24/china-hack-guam-taiwan/
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@lestermunson
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Episode 224: Let’s Make A Deal: Saudi Edition
Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow, Morgan Vina, discuss NSA Jake Sullivan’s meeting with Saudi Crown Prince MBS last week to discuss, among many things, about the possibility of Saudi-Israeli normalization. MBS does not want to take any more incremental steps toward warming relations with Israel, but instead, wants to work towards US deliverables like advanced weapons systems and US-Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement.
What does the Fault Lines crew think of Saudi’s requests? Would US cooperation on a nuclear program be a good development for the region? Are MBS’s requests worth the normalization of relations from a U.S. perspective?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.axios.com/2023/05/08/saudi-arabia-israel-normalization-netanyahu-sullivan-biden
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/11/us/politics/biden-saudi-arabia-oil-production-cut.html
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@lestermunson
@NotTVJessJones
@morganlroach
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Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow, Morgan Vina, discuss the G7 Summit in Hiroshima, Japan last week. During the meeting, the Biden Administration agreed to not oppose the transfer of F-16 aircraft to Ukraine and to help train Ukrainian pilots. President Biden also called for “de-risking” the US-China economic relationship rather than “de-coupling” the world’s two biggest economies.
What does the Fault Lines crew think of Biden’s timing and stance on F-16s for Ukraine? Is the semantics surrounding “de-risking” vs. “de-coupling” significant? How productive was the G7 Summit?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/05/21/russia-ukraine-war-news/
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/20/world/decoupling-china-de-risking.html
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@lestermunson
@NotTVJessJones
@morganlroach
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss how the progressive Move Forward Party in Thailand, led by 42-year-old Harvard-and-MIT-educated business executive Pita Limjaroenrat, gained over 150 seats in the lower house of Thailand’s bicameral parliament.
How will the political landscape of Thailand continue to change? How will Thailand balance its relationship with the U.S. and its willingness to also work with China? Should the U.S. be pushing back more aggressively against human rights violations and its military’s efforts to control politics?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.ft.com/content/16b1f836-3d66-43e9-a9f6-1c2fc4ea0ed2
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/05/17/thailand-youth-election-military-protest-move-forward/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@lestermunson
@NotTVJessJones
@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Pakistan’s former Prime Minister Imran Khan’s arrest by almost 100 paramilitary forces on charges of corruption. The Pakistani Supreme Court subsequently declared Mr. Khan’s arrest unlawful but said he should remain for now at a police guest house under court supervision. He was then granted bail and released from police custody.
Does the Fault Lines crew think a coup will emerge – as Pakistan has suffered four coups in its first fifty years of independence? If Pakistan's unsteady democracy is threatened, how should the West respond? What does this all mean for the Pakistan-China relationship?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/14/imran-khan-arrest-pakistan-military
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/03/20/pakistan-imran-khan-coup-china/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@lestermunson
@NotTVJessJones
@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss yesterday’s vote in Turkey, which will result in a runoff vote on May 28 between President Erdogan and his chief rival, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, as neither candidate received over 50% of the vote. If Kilicdaroglu wins, which would end Erdogan’s 20-year rule, he indicated that he will seek better ties with the United States and the West.
Do we expect that bilateral relations will improve if Kilicdaroglu wins? If Erdogan prevails again, how should President Biden handle Turkey? How problematic is Turkey’s relationship with Russia and China?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/05/14/turkey-erdogan-election-opposition-kilicdaroglu/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/having-established-turkey-on-the-world-stage-erdogan-faces-risky-vote-at-home-fd0793d9?mod=hp_lead_pos8
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss yesterday’s announcement from the US Ambassador to South Africa, Reuben Brigety, that the South African government had provided arms and ammunition to Russia in its over a year-long war against Ukraine.
Should the White House be making this announcement instead of the U.S. Ambassador to South Africa? Why is the South African government supporting Russia? Should the U.S. government impose sanctions on South Africa?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://apnews.com/article/russia-weapons-arms-south-africa-e89bac38997f240655ddf5d892e44f85
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-65563027
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@lestermunson
@NotTVJessJones
@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil, in a Fault Lines-first, resume their debate from Monday about the Biden Doctrine that stemmed from a Fareed Zakaria’s Washington Post op-ed, which laid out concerns about NSA Jake Sullivan's ongoing statements that claim, in order to remain competitive with China and protect US national security and economic interests, the US Government needs to take a more active role in promoting and growing a handful of critical industries here in the US.
What are some concerns the Fault Lines crew has with Sullivan’s position? How can the US government ensure the strength of the US domestic chip supply?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/04/27/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-on-renewing-american-economic-leadership-at-the-brookings-institution/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/05/05/biden-doctrine-sullivan-protectionism-economy/?itid=sr_1
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss an op-ed by Fareed Zakaria that appeared in the Washington Post this weekend. Zakaria dives into his concerns centered on the "Biden Doctrine," and the use of industrial policy to further U.S. government goals.
What does the Fault Lines crew think of the doctrine? Is America trying to emulate China’s economic model and if so, why? How can America both continue to innovate while making sure national security needs are being met?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/04/27/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-on-renewing-american-economic-leadership-at-the-brookings-institution/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/05/05/biden-doctrine-sullivan-protectionism-economy/?itid=sr_1
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow Morgan Viña discuss the alleged intercepted drone attacks that occurred over the Kremlin. Russia accused Ukraine of trying to assassinate President Putin, though Putin was not in the Kremlin at the time of the explosions, and Kyiv has denied any involvement. Yesterday, Russia blamed the U.S. for the attack on the Kremlin and said that Washington has “direct involvement” in the war in Ukraine.
What does the Fault Lines crew think of the explosions? Is Russia wise to publicize the attack? Do the attacks on the Kremlin help or hurt Russian morale?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/03/world/europe/russia-kremlin-drone-explosions.html
https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-accuses-u-s-of-helping-kyiv-to-plan-kremlin-attack-ef2e2b05
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Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow Morgan Viña discuss how a dozen gang members were lynched by ordinary Haitians who were fed up with the gangland violence that has engulfed their country. UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres has called for an international peacekeeping force, saying that the violence is comparable to countries in armed conflict.
Why is President Biden ignoring Haiti? Who should take the lead in forming an international peacekeeping force? Will the crisis in Haiti be exploited by a global adversary?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/haitian-residents-lynch-set-fire-suspected-gang-members-2023-04-24/
https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/25/americas/haiti-gang-suspects-attacked-intl-latam/index.html
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@morganlroach
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Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host and NSI Senior Fellow Morgan Viña discuss how ten-thousand Americans citizens and green card holders—many of them dual-U.S. and Sudanese nationals—are currently stuck in the middle of Sudan’s growing civil war with limited routes for escape.
What should the U.S. government be doing now about Americans still stranded in Sudan? Why have the Europeans and international orgs, like the U.N., been more effective than the U.S. at getting their people out? How will this growing civil war play out?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://apnews.com/article/sudan-americans-biden-white-house-evacuation-993ef30bf43320023dc7d8d5ee202bcf
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/armed-us-drones-escort-evacuation-american-citizens-war-torn-sudan-rcna82130
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@morganlroach
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss this week’s meeting between President Biden and South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, during which President Biden promised to include South Korea more substantially in strategic planning in the event of a nuclear conflict with North Korea.
What are the consequences of abandoning the notion of a “denuclearized” Korean peninsula? How much of this announcement was about China? How will the regime in Pyongyang respond?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/26/us/politics/biden-korea-nuclear-weapons.html
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2023/04/26/biden-south-korea-president-nuclear-deterrence/11705727002/
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss reports stemming from recent intelligence leaks which point to the threats Chad, an important security partner to the U.S., is facing. Documents describe efforts by Russia’s Wagner Group to recruit rebels from Chad and establish a training site for fighters in the neighboring Central African Republic as part of an evolving plot to topple the Chadian government.
How widespread and dangerous is the Wagner Group’s presence on the African continent? How can the U.S. counter Wagner activity on the African continent? Does the Fault Lines crew foresee strikes on Wagner?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/04/23/wagner-russia-africa-leaked-documents/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-intelligence-points-to-wagner-plot-against-key-western-ally-in-africa-29867547
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the Washington Post’s story that Ukraine was planning attacks against Russian forces in Syria. According to documents in the Jack Teixeira leak, Ukraine’s military intelligence agency was considering multiple ways to attack Russian forces in Syria, particularly focused on the Wagner Group, Russia’s mercenary company.
Is the Teixeira leak more damaging than we originally assessed? Could expanding the battlefield be beneficial to Ukraine? Should the Biden Administration be more concerned about information security?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/20/russia-ukraine-war-syria-attacks/
https://news.usni.org/2023/04/17/feds-investigating-former-sailor-behind-pro-russian-donbass-devushka-accounts
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg’s surprise visit to Kiev. During Secretary General Stoltenberg’s visit, he said, “Ukraine’s future is in NATO,” his strongest statement about the relationship between Ukraine and NATO since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began nearly 14 months ago.
What does the Fault Lines crew think will be Ukraine’s fate with NATO? Will the U.S. partake in a collective defense commitment for Ukraine? Should wartime support to Ukraine and NATO membership be kept separate?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/german-defence-minister-now-is-not-time-discuss-ukraine-nato-membership-2023-04-20/
https://www.newsweek.com/nato-should-beg-ukraine-join-russia-war-diplomat-1795075
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Brazilian President Lula’s recent visit to Beijing and Russian Minister Sergei Lavror's visit to Brazil, and the feather ruffling all of this has caused. When meeting with China’s Xi Jinping, Lula suggested that both Ukraine and Russia were responsible for the conflict, as well as called for China’s territorial integrity to be respected with regards to Taiwan.
What do we make of Brazil’s many diplomatic overtures? Is Brazil’s “peace club” actually going to increase its international standing? What should the U.S. do stop Lula from cozying up to China and Russia?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://apnews.com/article/brazil-russia-lula-lavrov-putin-42c7c46fa629d98b2029aa1ff44a89b6
https://www.reuters.com/world/china-brazil-reset-ties-with-tech-environment-accords-agree-ukraine-2023-04-14/
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@NotTVJessJones
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss violence that broke out in Sudan over the weekend. Forces loyal to Sudan’s military leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan are battling the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), commanded by Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo – who has also has ties to Russian military forces, including the Wagner Group.
Are there U.S. interests at stake? What should the U.S. response be? Should the U.S. be worried about Sudanese ties to China and Russia?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.npr.org/2023/04/16/1170289462/sudans-army-and-rsf-are-doing-battle-leaving-56-civilians-dead
https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/16/africa/sudan-military-clashes-explained-intl/index.html
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@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the cache of leaked documents that revealed a range of highly classified information from the U.S. government, including that we spied extensively on our allies, including nations like South Korea and Israel.
Are world leaders surprised by intel found in the latest leaks? Should we continue or refrain from ally surveillance? How do we prevent more intel leaks in the future?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://apnews.com/article/south-korea-us-leaked-documents-yoon-biden-5d88d7c6624865ca5d5b361ed8ce0d26
https://time.com/6269905/us-pentagon-leaked-documents-south-korea/
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@NotTVJessJones
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss French President Emmanuel Macron’s visit to Beijing last week and the interview he gave to reporters during his flight home. In the interview, Macron emphasized the concept of European “strategic autonomy" and punted on the topic of Taiwan.
Does Macron speak for other European leaders? Did Macron just make Biden’s job of maintaining support to Ukraine harder? How happy did Macron's interview make the CCP?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/04/11/macron-taiwan-china/
https://www.politico.eu/article/china-skeptic-mps-emmanuel-macron-speak-europe/
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the treasure trove of classified documents from the U.S. Government that was first posted on the computer gamer site, “Discord,” and which has now been shared on other platforms, including Twitter, that contains sensitive information about the war in Ukraine, the internal deliberations of the Israeli intelligence service, the activities of the Wagner Group in Africa, and more.
Is there a pattern in these leaks of classified information? Was there a political motive in this case? What can the U.S. government do to reduce leaks?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-pushes-to-assess-damage-from-leaked-classified-files-464e64a4?mod=hp_lead_pos2
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/08/intelligence-leak-documents-ukraine-pentagon/
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@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the Chinese government’s recent announcement that it would conduct a “cybersecurity review” of Micron Technology, a leading U.S.-based memory chip maker, ostensibly to ensure that its computer infrastructure supply chain was protected against foreign threats.
How is this going to affect trade between China and the U.S.? Does the Fault Lines crew think this is a move by China to prove they can play the trade restrictions game? How far are the U.S. and China going to go in targeting each other's key industries and companies?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/04/business/micron-china-investigation.html
https://www.wsj.com/articles/micron-gets-caught-in-u-s-china-crossfire-86f73a10
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@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Saudi Arabia’s continued push and look to the U.S. for help developing a nuclear energy program even as they resist U.S. conditions for support. However, while Saudi Arabia has been trying to renew talks with the U.S., Saudi officials are also exploring options to work with other countries, including China and Russia.
What does the Fault Lines crew think of Saudi Arabia’s nuclear ambitions? Do we believe that they have nuclear weapons ambitions? Do we think that Saudi Arabia will really turn to China to fulfill its nuclear ambitions if the U.S. doesn’t support?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/01/us/politics/saudi-arabia-nuclear-biden-administration.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/18/iran-has-an-obligation-to-give-up-its-nuclear-program-saudi-minister.html
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@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the Senate’s recent vote to repeal two Authorizations for the Use of Military Force (AUMFs). One, from 1991, authorized the original Persian Gulf War to push Iraq out of Kuwait. The second, from 2002, authorized the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq over weapons of mass destruction that were never found.
Are either of the 1991 or 2002 AUMFs still necessary? Does this impact the President's ability to act? Does the vote represent a Congressional willingness for U.S. pullback from the Middle East?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iraq-war-aumf-senate-vote-repeal-authorization-for-use-of-military-force/
https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/29/politics/senate-vote-aumf/index.html
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@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Russian President Vladimir Putin’s announcement that Russia would be placing tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus, a neighboring country and ally of Russia.
Is there anything the U.S. should do about the Russian deployment of nuclear weapons to Belarus? Will Putin’s nuclear weapons storage facility even come to fruition? Or is this another stunt by Putin to attempt to divide allies?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65077687
https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/25/world/russia-putin-nuclear-weapons-belarus-intl-hnk/index.html
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@NotTVJessJones
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Today, on the 200th episode of Fault Lines, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Vice President Kamala Harris’s week-long tour of Africa – visiting Ghana, Tanzania, and Zambia. Harris is the highest-ranking Biden administration official to visit Africa so far.
What do we think African leaders make of VP Harris’s visit? Do African leaders think that they can remain neutral in the growing U.S.-China geopolitical divide? What can the U.S. do to strengthen ties on the continent?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/us-vice-president-harris-announce-139-mln-aid-ghana-2024-2023-03-27/
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-65062976
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Jess, Les, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and former Chief of Staff to the U.S. Ambassador at the UN, discuss the self-detonating drone that struck a U.S. facility in northeast Syria and killed an American military contractor, as well as injured five U.S. troops and a second contractor. In retaliation, U.S. F-15 fighter jets from al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar struck locations near Deir el-Zour, targeting the Iran-backed militias believed responsible for the attack.
Was the U.S. response to the attack by Iran-backed militias appropriate? Should the U.S. keep forces in Syria? How can the U.S. reach a higher level of deterrence to prevent these attacks?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/03/24/biden-iran-airstrikes-syria/
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/us-contractor-killed-service-members-wounded-suicide-drone-syria-rcna76453
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@NotTVJessJones
@morganlroach
@lestermunson
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Today, Jess, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and former Chief of Staff to the U.S. Ambassador at the UN, discuss Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Moscow to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin. The autocratic leaders met to reaffirm and expand upon the key tenets of their “no limits” partnership.
What, if anything, can the U.S. do to break up this partnership? Should the Russia threat and China threat be viewed as one and the same? How will China’s and Russia’s increasing partnership impact the U.S. 2024 presidential election?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/22/europe/china-xi-russia-putin-talks-five-takeaways-intl-hnk-mic/index.html
https://www.npr.org/2023/03/22/1165066688/xi-jinping-putin-talks-china-russia-ukraine
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@NotTVJessJones
@morganlroach
@jamil_n_jaffer
@lestermunson
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Today, Jess is joined by special guest hosts NSI Fellow Morgan Viña and NSI Senior Fellow Andy Keiser to discuss the leaked reports from Canadian intelligence sources that detail alleged attempts by China to interfere in the last two federal Canadian elections.
Why should Americans care about election interference happening in our neighbor to the north? Will we see a hardening in Canada’s China policy? Does the Fault Lines crew think we’ll see Canada becoming more active in the national security arena?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/canada-shifts-on-china-to-build-credibility-with-allies-11672339249
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/03/06/china-canada-election-interference-trudeau-00085751
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@NotTVJessJones
@morganlroach
@andykeiser
@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Jess is joined by special guest hosts NSI Fellow Morgan Viña and NSI Senior Fellow Andy Keiser to discuss how the International Criminal Court (ICC) issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin, alleging that the Kremlin is responsible for war crimes, including the unlawful deportation of children from Ukraine to Russia.
How do these ICC charges affect the Kremlin’s global movements? Will the ICC’s arrest warrants actually deter world leaders from interacting with a wanted man? Does the Fault Lines crew think that this is just a “PR move” from the ICC’s point of view?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64992727
https://apnews.com/article/icc-putin-war-crimes-ukraine-9857eb68d827340394960eccf0589253
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@NotTVJessJones
@morganlroach
@andykeiser
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Today, Jess, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss how the Biden Administration and Congress is tackling TikTok, the highly popular Chinese-owned social media app.
What are the national security concerns revolving around TikTok? Is the White House on the brink of banning the app? Does the one-third of the U.S. population using TikTok understand its risks?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/01/31/what-tiktok-ceo-will-face-when-he-testifies-congress/
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/16/senators-urge-cfius-to-wrap-up-tiktok-probe-with-strict-restrictions.html
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
@jinsadc
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Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the recent collision between two Russian fighter jets and a U.S. drone over the Black Sea on Tuesday, forcing the U.S. to bring the MQ-9 Reaper drone down in international water and intentionally ditch the drone in the ocean.
How should the U.S. respond to this incident? Should there be serious consequences for Russia causing damage to U.S. military equipment? Does the Fault Lines crew agree with Gov. Ron DeSantis’ recent comments about U.S. involvement in Ukraine?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/russian-jet-harasses-collides-us-reaper-drone-black-sea-rcna74910
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/14/us/politics/russia-us-drone-black-sea.html
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss China’s recent “diplomatic breakthrough” with Iran and Saudi Arabia. The two Middle Eastern, oil-producing nations will ostensibly resume diplomatic relations under an agreement facilitated by the Chinese Communist Party in Beijing.
Is it a good thing that China is brokering peace deals? Does the Fault Lines crew think China’s diplomatic efforts are likely to fail? What does this development say about the Biden administration’s approach to global challenges, particularly in the Middle East?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/11/us/politics/saudi-arabia-iran-china-biden.html
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-saudi-arabia-agree-resume-ties-re-open-embassies-iranian-state-media-2023-03-10/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the release of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence’s 2023 Annual Threat Assessment (ATA), a yearly report that lays out what the IC thinks are the critical challenges facing our nation in the year ahead.
What are the major differences between the ODNI’s 2022 ATA and 2023 ATA? Does the ODNI’s ATA contain any surprises? Does the Fault Lines crew think the ODNI’s ATA report is too politicized?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ATA-2023-Unclassified-Report.pdf
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-worldwide-threats-hearing/
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the kidnapping and deaths of Americans who crossed the U.S./Mexico border on Friday and, who, within hours, were abducted by gunmen. Two of them were killed before the two others were rescued Tuesday.
Is a more militarized presence and a stricter travel advisory necessary in the aftermath of this kidnapping? Should cartels be labeled as terrorist organizations? How will this impact U.S./Mexico border relations moving forward?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/07/world/americas/americans-kidnapped-mexico.html
https://www.wsj.com/articles/tamaulipas-governor-says-two-of-four-americans-kidnapped-in-matamoros-found-dead-e2bcce49
https://thehill.com/policy/international/3887479-graham-says-he-will-introduce-bill-to-set-the-stage-for-us-to-use-military-force-in-mexico/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-us-must-defeat-mexicos-drug-cartels-narco-terrorism-amlo-el-chapo-crenshaw-military-law-enforcement-b8fac731
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Havana Syndrome, a mysterious ailment that has caused dizziness, headache, fatigue, nausea, anxiety, cognitive difficulties and memory loss among U.S. diplomats and intelligence officers. Last week, after a years-long assessment, a report from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence concluded that it is very ‘unlikely’ that people experiencing symptoms were targeted and sickened by a clandestine enemy.
How worried should American officials be of Havana Syndrome reports after the IC’s recent conclusions? Is the U.S. doing enough to investigate Havana Syndrome cases and provide support to those who suffer from it? Does the Fault Lines crew believe that all these reported cases are just coincidences?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://thehill.com/policy/national-security/3879732-us-intelligence-says-havana-syndrome-unlikely-caused-by-foreign-adversary/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/03/01/havana-syndrome-intelligence-report-weapon/
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the current hunger crisis in North Korea. Reports indicate that over 40% of North Koreans are facing malnutrition and hunger, and North Korea has asked the World Food Program for help.
How should the United States respond to the hunger crisis in North Korea? Will North Korea allow more of the international community to help feed its people? What role does China and Russia's support of North Korea play in all this?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-korea-suffers-one-of-its-worst-food-crises-in-decades-ee25aa86
https://apnews.com/article/politics-kim-jong-un-south-korea-seoul-north-950fb682af3421c283870b30b5501560
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the new House Select Committee on China’s first public hearing, which aired last night in prime time. This first hearing set the table for what is likely to be a year or two of Congressional focus on China and laid out the multitude of threats posed by the country.
How much should the U.S. prioritize the competition with China? How far should the U.S. go in decoupling economically from China? How can Congress get the American public to pay attention to the threats posed by the CCP?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/china-house-select-committee-hearing-tiktok-hr-mcmaster-matthew-pottinger/
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/bipartisan-china-committee-hold-first-hearing-tension-us-beijing-rcna72476
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss recent headlines about China's consideration of providing lethal military assistance to Russia - including statements from Secretary of State Antony Blinken and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. However, on Sunday, the U.S. made clear there is no evidence that China has already provided lethal aid.
How concerned is the Fault Lines crew that China may come to Russia’s aid? What will the Biden Administration do about China’s relationship with Russia? If China does provide weapons to Russia, what should the consequences be?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/russia-ukraine-war-china-artillery-ammunition-us-intelligence-rcna72353
https://www.wsj.com/articles/as-china-calls-for-peace-u-s-believes-beijing-is-mulling-artillery-and-drone-deliveries-to-moscow-aee2b62a
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent announcement that Moscow would “suspend” its participation in the New START treaty, a nuclear nonproliferation agreement entered into in 2011 that puts limits on the number of intercontinental ballistic missiles and nuclear warheads deployed by the U.S. and Russia.
Is Putin playing nuclear games? Will Russia still abide by the the treaty’s limitations? Does the Fault Lines crew think the U.S. is headed towards another nuclear arms race?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/biden-says-putin-made-big-mistake-new-start-treaty-rcna71764
https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/21/politics/nuclear-weapons-new-start-treaty-what-matters/index.html
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the initiation of a $10 billion oil project in Uganda to build 10 well pads inside Uganda’s largest national park, which has become yet another flashpoint in the global battle against climate change.
What does the Fault Lines team think of Uganda being pressured to forgo its natural resources? How does the World Bank balance promoting economic growth and security in poor nations with environmental concerns? Should richer nations be paying poor countries for their ambitious climate goals?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/uganda-other-african-nations-push-for-fossil-fuel-projects-7dbcd006
https://apnews.com/article/politics-uganda-europe-climate-and-environment-business-cfc29315710d7aec764ede097ec6f0bf
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss President Biden's surprise visit to Kyiv and the impending one-year anniversary of Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.
What is Fault Lines’ assessment of the war in Ukraine after a year? Is the Biden Administration doing all that it can to support Ukraine? Will the current on-the-ground stalemate result in an ultimate Russian loss?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/20/politics/biden-ukraine-zelensky-visit-one-year-war-anniversary-intl-hnk/index.html
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-in-ukraine-russia-war-news-today-china-putin-lethal-aid-concern/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the recent devastating earthquakes in southern Turkey and northwestern Syria. The death toll continues to mount, with estimates now exceeding 44,000, along with hundreds of thousands facing displacement.
What should the United States, our allies, and the international community be doing to better address the growing crisis in the region? Are sanctions halting any progress in humanitarian aide? Will the Turkish and Syrian regimes be able to step in and provide aide for their people?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://apnews.com/article/politics-turkey-government-business-earthquakes-0f7d4fb77ea45c94b7b5ecd637a930c7
https://www.wsj.com/articles/earthquake-fallout-raises-political-stakes-in-turkeys-election-year-f921ae11
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Moldovan President Maia Sandu’s recent accusations of Russia plotting to overthrow her country’s pro-Western government. Ms. Sandu’s remarks follow Ukrainian President Zelensky’s warnings last week that Ukrainian intelligence had intercepted “a detailed Russian plan” to destabilize Moldova.
How serious are Russian destabilization efforts in former Soviet governments? What – if any – impact does this development have on the Russia-Ukraine conflict? Does the Fault Lines crew think Moldova is the new “Ukraine” in terms of Western and NATO expansion?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/02/13/moldova-fears-it-might-fall-victim-to-a-russian-coup-plot
https://time.com/6255048/russia-moldova-plot/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the recent collaboration of U.S. and Canadian military aircraft to shoot down four separate unidentified objects flying over North America over the past several days.
How aggressive should we be with unknown aircraft? When will the U.S. government identify where these aircraft are coming from and what their mission capabilities are? Do these shootdowns mean we are closer to war than we realize?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/02/12/spy-balloon-alaska-canada/
https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/12/politics/lake-huron-high-altitude-object/index.html
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss SpaceX’s recent announcement that it will limit Ukraine's use of its Starlink satellite systems for "offensive" military operations. Starlink has provided critical communication capabilities to Ukraine since the Russian invasion began last February.
How will SpaceX’s decision affect the war on the ground? Will depriving Ukrainians of this capability be a massive set back? How involved should the private sector be in military efforts?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/09/ukraine-russia-war-starlink-drones-musk-spacex/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/09/starlink-restricts-internet-drones-ukraine/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Jess, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Senior Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the recent development that Moscow and Tehran are moving ahead with plans to build a new factory in Russia that could make at least 6,000 Iranian-designed drones for the war in Ukraine, the latest sign of deepening cooperation between the two nations.
How will the growing Iran-Russia relationship impact the current conflict in Ukraine and in future conflicts? Is this merely a relationship of convenience or a new “permanent” partnership? What influence will this relationship have on Middle East relations?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/iranian-drones-in-ukraine-project-tehrans-power-beyond-mideast-testing-u-s-europe-11666880851?mod=article_inline
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-30/russia-rejected-iran-s-400-missiles-request-amid-gulf-tension
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the famous Chinese spy balloon that entered the U.S. airspace over Idaho from Canada last week and was ultimately shot down by the U.S. Air Force over the Atlantic Ocean off the Carolina Coast this weekend.
Should the balloon have been shot down much earlier? Does the handling of the balloon reflect a credibility issue for this Administration? What does the Fault Lines crew think of the partisan squabbling over the balloon?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-64530102
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/05/world/asia/china-balloon-united-states.html
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discussed the recent increase in violent clashes and attacks across the Middle East, which included an Israeli counterterrorism operation in the West Bank, an attack on a synagogue in East Jerusalem, and a drone strike on an Iranian Defense Ministry factory in Isfahan.
What should the U.S. be doing in these instances of increased violence in the region? Is the U.S. being aggressive enough in its own counterterrorism operations? How should the U.S. prioritize its global security commitments?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/29/world/middleeast/iran-drone-strike-israel.html
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/justice-department/doj-charges-3-men-murder-hire-plot-journalist-critical-iran-rcna67863
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@jamil_n_jaffer
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discussed Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin’s recent announcement made in South Korea that in response to a growing North Korean nuclear threat, the U.S. will increase its deployment of advanced weapons such as fighter jets and bombers to the Korean Peninsula and alongside our South Korean partners. However, South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has said that South Korea might need nuclear weapons of its own.
What can the U.S. do to assure South Korea that the U.S. will come to their defense in case of conflict? Is the U.S. doing enough to counter North Korean aggression? Is a nuclear South Korea inevitable?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/us-increase-weapons-deployment-counter-north-korea-rcna68323
https://carnegieendowment.org/2023/01/25/dueling-nuclear-nightmares-behind-south-korean-president-s-alarming-comments-pub-88879
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss Air Force General Michael Minihan’s recent memo he sent to forces under his command, which cited Xi Jinping’s third term as China’s supreme leader, an election in Taiwan in 2024, and our own American presidential election in late 2024 as possible stepping stones to a war between the U.S. and China in 2025, precipitated by a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
Is a Chinese attack on Taiwan – invasion, blockade, or some combination – likely in 2025? How should the U.S. prepare for this possibility? Are there any lessons we can learn from the Russian invasion of Ukraine ahead of such future aggression?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/01/29/china-conflict-mccaul/
https://www.reuters.com/world/us-four-star-general-warns-war-with-china-2025-2023-01-28/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the eruption of protests and violence caused by the Peruvian Congress' removal of President Pedro Castillo after he unsuccessfully tried to dissolve Congress and stage a so-called “bloodless coup.” Though the failed coup has been far from bloodless, with dozens of people killed and nearly 1,000 injured in clashes between Peruvian government forces and protestors.
What is the deeper significance of Peru’s political turmoil beyond the closure of Machu Picchu? What does Peru’s crisis tell us about democracy? What can and should the U.S. do to support Peru?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/peru-protests-what-is-behind-violence-2023-01-12/
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/22/briefing/peru-protests.html
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Senior Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss Turkish President Erdogan’s recent statement that Sweden should not expect Turkey’s support for its NATO membership following tensions over anti-Islam protests in Stockholm over the weekend.
What does the Fault Lines team think of Finland and Sweden joining NATO? How should the U.S. balance its relationship with Turkey and its support of democratic states? Should Congress push hard on a conditions deal with Turkey, or should this be left in the hands of President Biden?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/01/13/turkey-f-16s-finland-sweden-nato/
https://www.nationalreview.com/2022/05/its-time-to-boot-turkey-from-nato/
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
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@morganlroach
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Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Senior Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the political turmoil and public health crises happening in Haiti. Haiti has zero elected representatives running the Haitian government, armed gangs are wreaking havoc on the population, and cholera is reemerging as a severe public health threat.
What are the real drivers of instability in Haiti? Should the United States and/or the international community intervene in the affairs of Haiti? Would an international peacekeeping force be successful in stabilizing the country or would it provoke even more violence?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/01/21/haiti-democracy-crisis/
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/10/haiti-no-elected-officials-anarchy-failed-state
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@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s recent announcement that Britain would send Ukraine one dozen Challenger 2 main battle tanks. The move may pressure other allies, like the United States and Germany which have—at least thus far—refused to provide such high powered weaponry.
Should the U.S. ramp up its delivery of more substantive military capabilities? Has the U.S.’s $60 billion in military aid been enough? Do these announcements risk potential escalation with the Russians, or do they enhance deterrence?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-64274755
https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/18/politics/us-ukraine-tanks/index.html/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and special guest host NSI Senior Fellow and Senior Principal at Navigators Global Andy Keiser discuss the recent announcement that China’s population declined for the first time since 1961, when the country was wracked by famine as a direct result of horrendous economic planning. China also announced that its economy grew at only 3% last year, the lowest growth rate in history.
How will these deep changes to China’s population and economy affect the Chinese Communist Party’s national security policy? Can Xi Jinping stay in power when the economic success of the past four decades that has sustained the Communist Party is at risk? Should the United States change its estimation of China as a peer competitor?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-population-shrinks-first-time-since-1961-2023-01-17/
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/18/world/asia/china-population-shrinking.html
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@AndyKeiser
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the recent storming and occupation of Brazilian government buildings in the capital of Brasilia by thousands of supporters of former president Jair Bolsonaro. The Brazilian insurrection immediately drew comparisons to the Jan. 6 storming of the U.S. Capitol two years ago.
Is there is a connection between the violence in Brazil and what happened in the U.S. two years ago? What are the differences and similarities between Jan. 6 and the Brazilian insurrection? Should we even see Brazil through the lens of U.S. politics?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/08/world/americas/brazil-election-protests-bolsonaro.html
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/protesters-storm-brazils-congress-support-former-brazilian-president-j-rcna64816
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the China’s new Foreign Minister’s first international trip: a weeklong tour of countries across the African continent. The new foreign minister is following in the footsteps of his predecessors, who have for more than three decades started each year with a trip to Africa. This is big news as the U.S. is currently battling China for influence in Africa – among many other regions across the globe.
Does China view the continent differently than the U.S. does? Did China beat the U.S. to identify and take advantage of strategic opportunities in Africa? And are current U.S. initiatives and commitments enough to counter Chinese influence in the region?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://apnews.com/article/politics-china-africa-qin-gang-ethiopia-1132767663ac4a8f8951f07cba5a77de
https://www.politico.com//news/2022/12/12/biden-africa-summit-china-00073508
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the Biden administration’s recent pivot away from retaliating against Saudi Arabia for oil-production cuts to focusing on increased regional security cooperation with Riyadh.
Does the Biden administration’s pivot put the U.S. in a better position with the Saudis? How do the Senate and House differ in their approach to Saudi Arabia? How can the U.S. improve relations with Saudi Arabia while balancing defense, energy, and human rights issues?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in less than 10 minutes on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-saudi-tensions-ease-as-concerns-about-iran-grow-11672927633
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/gregory-gause-kingdom-and-power-us-saudi-relationship
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
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Episode 166: 11 Degrees of Kevin McCarthy
Today, Les, Jamil, and special guest host Morgan Viña, NSI Fellow and JINSA’s Vice President of Government Affairs, discuss the current deadlock in the House of Representatives that is preventing Rep. Kevin McCarthy from becoming Speaker. This is the first time in 164 years such a battle for leadership has played out in Congress.
How does this current House leadership battle affect national security? What should Kevin McCarthy’s next steps be, and will he be the next Speaker of the House? Is this a disaster, or is this democracy in action?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/speaker-deadlock-puts-house-gray-zone-national-security-issues-rcna64531
https://thehill.com/policy/international/3801194-state-dept-says-speaker-fight-likely-to-compound-national-security-concerns/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
@morganlroach
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Fault Lines is back! Happy New Year!
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss a recent headline you may of missed during the Winter break. Following the Taliban’s ban of female students from attending universities, the ruling force in Afghanistan recently issued a ban on women working at NGOs in the country. With aid programs supporting more than 28 million people in Afghanistan, this extreme measure has caused outrage.
What should NGOs, the UN, and the U.S. do in response to these reactionary decisions? Should they cease NGO operations and humanitarian aid? Should their responses be different?
Hear our experts debate this issues and the potential U.S. response in our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/12/30/taliban-western-aid-misogyny-women-rights/?utm_source=PostUp&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Morning%20Brief%20OC&utm_term=63265&tpcc=Morning%20Brief%20OC
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/12/26/top-un-ngo-officials-to-meet-over-taliban-ban-on-women-staff
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Tune in for Fault Lines’ special annual holiday episode, where some of our favorite panelists return to reflect on the most pressing national security issues of 2022, and what they expected will unfold in 2023. Join Jessica Jones, Jamil Jaffer, Morgan Viña, Martha Miller, Matthew Ferraro, Andy Keiser, and Matthew Heiman as they highlight their Hits and Misses of 2022, as well as take their Fault Lines Final Exam!
What do our panelists think will happen to the Iranian regime? What do they think will be the outcome of the Russia-Ukraine war? How do they think the Biden Administration is performing so far, and what do they expect of the Administration in 2023?
Find out if our experts passed their final exam, and hear our experts debate and reflect on 2022 and 2023 national security issues!
Be sure to join Fault Lines again after the New Year as we resume our regular three-times-a-week schedule on Monday, January 2.
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the recent headline that the United States is nearing a decision to send PATRIOT air defense missile systems to Ukraine to help counter the barrage of Russian missiles and Iranian-made drones that have been hitting civilian targets and critical infrastructure in Ukraine for months.
How aggressive should the U.S. be in supplying both offensive and defensive weapons to Ukraine? Will the PATRIOT systems be enough to support the Ukrainians to intercept attacks? Should the Biden Administration ramp up the delivery of U.S. provisions of military capabilities to Ukraine?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/13/politics/us-patriot-missile-defense-system-ukraine/index.html
https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/brittney-griner-back-us-release-russia-prisoner-swap-viktor-bout/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss WNBA basketball star Brittney Griner’s release from a Russian prison and return to America. Griner was traded for the release of notorious arms merchant Victor Bout. The freedom of Griner has been contrasted by some to former U.S. Marine Paul Whelan’s continued detention in Russia.
Did Vladimir Putin intentionally give the Biden Administration a difficult choice in this prisoner exchange? Does the U.S. need a regularized process of freeing prisoners? Are prisoner releases overly politicized, or should they be even more politicized?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://apnews.com/article/brittney-griner-freed-viktor-bout-swap-us-russia-ee51f5c14f35dc4d4cf21224a8e44eaa
https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/brittney-griner-back-us-release-russia-prisoner-swap-viktor-bout/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, in our next "live from RNDF" series, NSI Deputy Executive Director Jessica Jones talks with former Under Secretary of State for Global Affairs, Ambassador Paula J. Dobriansky.
How does Amb. Dobriansky see the growing Russia-Chinese partnership impacting geopolitics in the future? How does she view current levels of U.S. support for Ukraine? What does she see being the biggest national security challenge of the upcoming year?
Find out Ambassador Dobriansky’s expert insights on these questions and many more on this latest episode of Fault Lines!
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, in the third installment of our special interview series recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, NSI Deputy Executive Director Jessica Jones talks with former Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment (A&S), Ellen Lord!
How does her former role as Secretary of Defense for A&S inform her view of national security and foreign policy challenges? What technologies will help diversify and strengthen the U.S. defense industrial base in the future? How can the DoD better leverage rapid innovation developments coming from industry?
Find out Ellen Lord’s expert insights on these questions and many more on this latest episode of Fault Lines!
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, in the second installment of our special interview series recorded live at the Reagan National Defense Forum, NSI Deputy Executive Director Jessica Jones talks with former Deputy National Security Advisor for Strategy, Dr. Nadia Schadlow!
What is involved in creating a National Security Strategy (NSS)? How does the Biden Administration’s NSS compare and address the threats facing the U.S.? What are the national security challenges we are expecting to face in 2023?
Find out Dr. Schadlow’s expert insights on these questions and many more on this latest episode of Fault Lines!
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Today, in the first installment of our special interview series recorded on the ground at the Reagan National Defense Forum, NSI Deputy Executive Director Jessica Jones talks with Rep. Elissa Slotkin (MI-08).
In what areas does Rep. Slotkin foresee China ramping up its competition with the U.S.? How does she see Russia’s invasion of Ukraine playing out? What does she think the U.S. government is getting right when it comes to ensuring that defense community gets the systems and parts it needs?
Find out Rep. Slotkin’s expert insights on these questions and many more on this latest episode of Fault Lines!
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Tune in again on Wednesday to hear our conversation with former Assistant to the President and Deputy National Security Advisor for Strategy, Dr. Nadia Schadlow!
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the European Union, the United States, and the G7 negotiations surrounding modifications to the EU sanctions on Russian oil set to go in place early this month. The sanction modifications would set a price cap to limit the revenue Russia can make from its oil exports while also averting a global oil shortage.
How can the EU, U.S., and G7 put economic pressure on Russia without causing a global oil supply shock? Will the creation of a price cap be effective? How should the Biden Administration strike a balance between cost-of-living increases and economic and military efforts in the ongoing war in Ukraine?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/12/01/russian-oil-sanctions-are-about-to-kick-in-and-they-could-disrupt-markets-in-a-big-way.html
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-business-moscow-europe-european-union-825506b6a349cce7e5971c0ac550aeaa
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
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Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the recent UN vote to condemn the U.S. embargo of Cuba for the 30th year in a row – only the U.S. and Israel voted against the resolution. There has been much debate about lifting of the embargo, which has arguably caused much hardship on the Cuban population – with anti-government protests sweeping the region over food and medicine shortages and the government’s response to the resurgent COVID-19 pandemic.
Should the U.S. lift the embargo against Cuba or ease tensions with Cuba to widen access to technology, medicine, affordable food, and other goods? Should the U.S. continue its embargo against Cuba on human rights grounds? Does Cuba still pose a threat, or has the 50-year policy reached its expiration date?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.axios.com/2022/11/03/un-condemns-cuba-embargo
https://apnews.com/article/middle-east-business-cuba-israel-europe-bf38ea2b62324cbd9ed3ce10905883d8
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
Like what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the implications of Israel Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu’s return to power, making him the longest tenured prime minister in Israeli history. However, some of his incoming government's coalition partners are of stated concern to the Biden Administration, as they include ultra nationalist parties.
How will Netanyahu’s reappearance on the world scene impact American Middle East policymaking? What will be the impact of the Biden Administration appointing a new -D.C. based- representative for Palestinian affairs?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.axios.com/2022/11/22/us-palestinian-upgrade-relations-hady-amr
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/03/us/politics/biden-netanyahu.html
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
Like what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the unfolding humanitarian crisis in Haiti. Violent gangs are sweeping the country of 11.54 million people and there are calls for a potential U.S. lead peacekeeping efforts.
Why does Haiti matter to U.S. national security? Should the U.S. let Canada take the lead in directing a multinational force to support the Haitian government? Can we expect different results if the U.S. intervenes compared to previous U.S. led operations in Haiti?
Hear our experts debate these issues and more in our latest Fault Lines!
Also a reminder, this is the last episode of Fault Lines for this week as the team takes a break to enjoy Thanksgiving. We hope you all do as well!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out these articles that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-63661118.amp
https://www.reuters.com/world/canada-says-worried-by-haiti-violence-sends-delegation-2022-10-27/
Follow our experts on Twitter:
@jamil_n_jaffer
@NotTVJessJones
@lestermunson
Like what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe.
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss the harrowing reports of the use of heavy weaponry by the Iranian government against protesters in the Iranian Kurdish city of Mahabad and the threats to other Kurdish areas in Iran.
What does this targeting of Kurdish populations mean and should it change how the U.S. is responding? Is it time for the U.S. to actively encourage regime change in Iran?
Hear our experts provide their analysis on our latest episode!
Also a reminder, Fault Lines will only be coming to you today and Wednesday this week as the team takes a break to enjoy Thanksgiving. We hope you all do as well!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/security-forces-intensify-crackdown-irans-kurdish-area-four-killed-rights-group-2022-11-20/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/irans-security-forces-crack-down-on-protest-movement-in-kurdish-region-11668950068
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss tensions on the Korean peninsula. In the last few weeks, we’ve seen a continuous increase in the rate of North Korean missile drills and rhetoric.
What should the U.S. do in response? Should the U.S. continue to press for a nuclear-free Korean peninsula? How does China play into U.S. policy vis-a-vis North Korea?
Hear our experts provide their analysis on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/16/asia/north-korea-ballistic-missile-intl-hnk/index.html
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/north-korea-nuclear-weapons-missile-tests-military-capabilities
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss a moment that many may have missed at COP27 summit, and which has caused an uproar: photos of U.S. Climate Envoy and former Secretary of State John Kerry shaking hands with the disputed president of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro.
Does this interaction at COP indicate a change in U.S. policy towards Venezuela? Why does the contested Venezuelan presidential election from 3 years ago matter? Is Congress doing enough to steer U.S. relations with Venezuela vis-a-vis Maduro?
Hear our experts provide their analysis on our latest episode of Fault Lines!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-plans-to-ease-venezuela-sanctions-enabling-chevron-to-pump-oil-11665005719
https://www.npr.org/2022/11/03/1133615222/us-venezuela-diplomacy-oil-sanctions-negotiations
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss what may come out of the highly anticipated meeting occurring today between President Biden and General Secretary Xi Jinping of the Chinese Community Party at the G20 summit. Given Xi Jinping’s recent consolidation of power, how should President Biden approach the relationship with China? Is the Biden Administration missing any opportunities to change Chinese behavior?
Hear our experts debate a path forward for one of the most important bilateral relationships we have.
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-10/biden-to-meet-china-s-xi-nov-14-in-bid-to-buoy-strained-ties
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/11/11/brittney-griner-russia-sentence-penal-colony-00066419
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Today, Les, Jess and Jamil discuss the news that Brittney Griner has been transferred to a Russian penal colony, where she will serve the rest of nine-and-a-half-year sentence for processing less than a gram of cannabis oil in a vape cartridge.
Should the U.S. government do whatever it takes to bring her home? What role does the official U.S. hostage envoy have to play? If we don’t do anything, what message does this send to other U.S. citizens overseas currently being held against their will? Tune in to hear our experts discuss this multifaceted issue.
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/russia-moves-brittney-griner-to-penal-colony/
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/11/11/brittney-griner-russia-sentence-penal-colony-00066419
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Yesterday was Election Day in America. In this episode Les, Jess, and Jamil debate foreign interference in American elections. Earlier this week, powerful Russian businessman and close Putin ally, Yevgeny Prigozhin, admitted that Russia interfered in previous U.S. elections and that it will interfere in American elections going forward.
How concerned should Americans be about foreign interference in our elections? What should the U.S. reaction be to threats of election interference by foreign actors? Should we be doing more to secure our elections? Listen to hear our experts discuss!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/russias-prigozhin-admits-interfering-us-elections-2022-11-07/
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/nov/07/putin-ally-yevgeny-prigozhin-admits-interfering-in-us-elections
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Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil discuss German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s badly timed visit to Beijing. While it is no secret that Germany’s economy is heavily dependent on China, Chancellor Scholz has been the only G7 leader to make the trip to China since COVID-19. Critics argue that Chancellor Scholz’s visit ignores President Xi Jinping’s increasingly authoritarian tactics.
Is this visit indicative of a boarder German foreign policy shift towards China? How should the U.S. react when friends and allies “play footsies” with the Chinese? Is decoupling a viable option for Germany? Tune in to find out what our experts think!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/germanys-scholz-in-china-amid-trade-ukraine-rights-issues/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/11/03/olaf-scholz-china-trip-germany
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Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil debate what the U.S. response should be to Russia threatening to suspend support for grain exports through the Black Sea.
Luckily, with the help of Turkey and the UN, Russia decided to restart its participation in the Black Sea Grain Initiative (which allows for exports of food and fertilizer through the Black Sea). However, this raises the question of what the U.S. should do if Russia pulls out of this agreement and institutes a naval blockade. Should we engage with our military assets? Should we rely on diplomacy? Should we do nothing? Tune in to find out what our experts think!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/02/world/europe/ukraine-russia-grain-black-sea.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/11/02/grain-deal-ukraine-turkey-russia/
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Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Fault Lines is back!!
Join us for our second episode after our break with a regular cast of characters to get you quickly up to speed three-times-a-week on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America.
Citizens have been protesting across Iran for nearly seven weeks, defying a deadly crackdown by security forces.
Today, Les, Jess and Jamil discuss these protests in light of the Iranian regime's increasingly strict crack down. Are these protests different than previous protests in Iran? Should the U.S. government be doing more? Are sanctions the answer? Should we be advocating for regime change in Iran? Tune in to find out!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-indicts-some-1000-people-tehran-over-unrest-tasnim-reports-2022-10-31/
To listen to President Obama’s full podcast as referenced go here:
https://crooked.com/podcast/between-barack-and-a-hard-place/
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Fault Lines is back and revamped!
Join us for our first episode in our new format, which gets you quickly up to speed three-times-a-week on the national security and foreign policy debates shaking up America.
Today, Les, Jess, and Jamil talk about the upcoming COP27 in Egypt. President Biden will be attending and all eyes will be on Sharm El-Sheikh as this is the first major public interaction since President Xi Jinping’s power grab last week at the the Chinese Communist Party's Congress. What is COP? Why is this something you should be tracking? Listen to find out!
Want to learn more about this topic? Check out this article that our experts used to frame our discussion:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-emissions-set-to-decline-but-global-pledges-fall-short-of-climate-goals-u-n-says-11666832112
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This week, we take a deep dive into the Islamic Republic of Iran. What are Iran’s regional and internal ambitions? What is the political history of Iran and how does this explain its actions and intentions? Do human rights exist in Iran? Should the U.S. resurrect the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)?
Richard Goldberg is a Senior Advisor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD). Rich joins to answer and reflect on these questions. Rich has extensive experience on Iran and the boarder Middle East region from his time working on Capitol Hill as well as at the White House National Security Council.
This episode is the series finale of our summer series, “Breaking Chains: Fighting the New Global Repressors.” Thank you to those who joined us throughout the summer to dive into some of the most pressing human rights issues facing our world.
The Fault Lines team is taking a break in September but we look forward to more hard-hitting episodes - with a new look - in October! Until then!
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This week, we take a deep dive into the Islamic Republic of Iran. What are Iran’s regional and internal ambitions? What is the political history of Iran and how does this explain its actions and intentions? Do human rights exist in Iran? Should the U.S. resurrect the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)?
Richard Goldberg is a Senior Advisor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD). Rich joins to answer and reflect on these questions. Rich has extensive experience on Iran and the boarder Middle East region from his time working on Capitol Hill as well as at the White House National Security Council.
This episode is the series finale of our summer series, “Breaking Chains: Fighting the New Global Repressors.” Thank you to those who joined us throughout the summer to dive into some of the most pressing human rights issues facing our world.
The Fault Lines team is taking a break in September but we look forward to more hard-hitting episodes - with a new look - in October! Until then!
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This week marks one year since the U.S. withdrew from Afghanistan following its two-decade commitment to fighting terrorism in the country. One year on, we have a country ruled by the Taliban, thousands of Americans and allies stranded within its borders, and a rapidly deteriorating economic, humanitarian and regional security situation on the ground. How many American people and allies are still left in Taliban-governed Afghanistan? What does the future of U.S. commitment look like in the country? How has our withdrawal impacted the U.S. role in the world and its order?
Today’s episode will feature France Hoang to help answer and reflect on these questions. France is the Chairman of the Board of Allied Airlift 21 and co-founder of the Afghanistan Departure Group (ADG). Both of these organizations were instrumental in assisting with the evacuation of Americans and our allies out of Afghanistan.
Want to learn more about Allied Airlift 21 and how you can help? Please check out their website here!
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Our GDPR privacy policy was updated on August 8, 2022. Visit acast.com/privacy for more information.
This week, we discuss what life is like in North Korea for the average citizen and how the authoritarian government keeps order and control over the lives of ordinary North Koreans.
Do human rights even exist in North Korea? What motivates the North Korean government to perpetuate repression? What is the difference between operations and analysis at the Central Intelligence Agency, and what skills are they looking for in prospective intelligence analysts?
Yong Lee is the former CIA Deputy Assistant Director for the Korea Mission Center and former Chief of the Korea Department. Yong has extensive experience in Korean Peninsula affairs. We are thrilled he could join Fault Lines to shed light on the notoriously isolated country of North Korea.
This week, we discuss what organizations like the International Republican Institute are doing to help curb the malicious actions of states who repress their people.
What are the roles of interests and values in the context of America's foreign policy? What can democratic countries do to counter authoritarian regimes? What is the role of the U.S. Congress in shaping foreign policy, and how this arrangement uniquely American?
Dr. Daniel Twining is President of the International Republican Institute. Previously, Dr. Twining directed the German Marshall Fund’s Asia program, was a member of the Secretary of State’s Policy Planning Staff and served as a foreign policy advisor to the late U.S. Senator John McCain. We are thrilled to have him join to answer these questions!
Our GDPR privacy policy was updated on August 8, 2022. Visit acast.com/privacy for more information.
This week, we take a deep dive into the “hot spots” in the world for religious persecution including Nigeria, Burma and Saudi Arabia.
Ambassador Samuel Brownback served as the Ambassador-at-large for International Religious Freedom at the U.S. State Department under the Trump Administration. Prior to his service as Ambassador, he served as a Congressman, Senator and Governor of the great state of Kansas. He has a unique perspective of how religious freedom directly relates to our nation’s national security and we are thrilled to have him provide his insights on how religious persecution is often a key ingredient to global repression.
He discusses how freedom of religion plays into U.S. foreign policy. What mechanisms does the U.S. government have at its disposal to curb religious persecution? What is the impact on U.S. bilateral relations with states who allow don’t allow freedom of religion within their borders? How does advocating for this fundamental human right impact our national security?
This episode contains descriptions of graphic violence that some listeners may find disturbing. Listener discretion is advised.
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This week, we discuss the tragic war crimes occurring against the Ukrainian people since Russia invaded the country. As we learn this week, this is a common trend when it comes to Russia, and this is not the first time they have repressed and abused their neighbors. How is this unprovoked war impacting the Ukrainian people on the ground? What is the international community doing to bring those who perpetrate these war crimes to justice?
Michael Sawkiw, Executive Vice President of the Ukrainian Congress Committee of America, has spent years advocating for Ukrainians and has worked tirelessly to support the Ukrainian community in the United States. He has a deep knowledge of the human rights violations and atrocities occurring on the ground in Ukraine since the Russian invasion and we are thrilled to have him join us to share his insights.
This episode contains descriptions of graphic violence that some listeners may find disturbing. Listener discretion is advised.
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Illicit finance poses one of the key national security challenges facing the crypto industry. How do U.S. regulators and policymakers work with stakeholders to implement solutions that may be at odds with crypto’s underlying ethos of decentralization? Is crypto the driving factor behind increased ransomware activity or just a symptom? What lessons can the United States take from other governments, like the EU and the UK, in upgrading our anti-money laundering framework?
Ari Redbord, Head of Legal and Government Affairs at TRM Labs, a blockchain intelligence company, joins Fault Lines for a special episode to help assess some of the national security challenges facing the crypto industry.
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This week, to kick off our summer series on global repression, “Breaking Chains: Fighting the New Global Repressors,” we are taking a deep dive into the surveillance state in the People’s Republic of China, namely, the Xinjiang Province. What technology does the PRC have at its disposal? How has this technology furthered repression of the Uyghur minority group?
Geoffrey Cain, author of “The Perfect Police State: An Undercover Odyssey into China's Terrifying Surveillance Dystopia of the Future” and award winning foreign correspondent has been on the ground in the region and shares his insights, reporting and assessment of what the future may hold.
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This week, Sri Lanka is set to choose a new president in the midst of a massive unrest and a catastrophic economic crisis. What does this mean for U.S. security interest in the region? How can Sri Lanka’s partners best assist in this situation? With Sri Lanka's economy shattered, food and fuel dangerously scarce, and massive international debts, is there any hope for Asia’s oldest democracy?
Atul Keshap, U.S. Ambassador to Sri Lanka from 2015 - 2018, joins Fault Lines in a special episode to help address these questions and more!
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Fault Lines Update
Join us next week for our limited and special summer series “Breaking Chains: Fighting the Next Global Repressors.” Over the next month, we will highlight the many serious human rights violations we are witnessing across the globe - from war crimes in Ukraine to new information coming out on China's treatment of the Uyghurs. You don’t want to miss this!
Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00 PM ET on July 18, 2022. Events on the ground in Sri Lanka have moved quickly since then!
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This week, Les, Jane, Scott, and Sarah discuss President Biden’s articulation of the US policy in the event China invades Taiwan, the creation of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF), and the first Russian soldier convicted of war crimes. Was it truly a mistake on President Biden’s part when he says that the U.S. would defend Taiwan if China were to invade? Will China engage in military activity against Taiwan in the next 2.5 years? Is IPEF significant? What are the implications of Ukraine convicting the first Russian solder of war crimes? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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Fault Lines Update
Fault Lines is taking a break for the rest of June. Join us in July for our limited and special summer series that will highlight the many serious human rights violations we are witnessing across the globe - from war crimes in Ukraine to new information coming out on China's treatment of the Uyghur. You don’t want to miss this!
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Live from Western Ukraine, join NSI for a very important conversation with Fox News Correspondent Mike Tobin. Mike has been reporting on the war from Western Ukraine and has himself been impacted by Russian atrocities. How is this war different from other combat zones? How have Ukrainians strengthened their resolve to push back against Russia? These questions and more answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines.
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Energy has played a featured role in Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine. What role has it historically played in the strategic calculations of nations? Can Europe eliminate dependence on Russia for gas? How has the U.S. shale revolution and the development liquified natural gas (LNG) reverberated globally? Are we truly able to transition away from hydrocarbons? Which new energy technologies will have the biggest strategic implications? Tune in as we discuss these questions and more with Daniel Yergin, vice chairman of S&P Global and the Pulitzer Prize winning author of The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power.
Be sure to read more about energy and its implication in geopolitics in his latest book, The New Map: Energy, Climate, and the Clash of Nations. You can purchase it here.
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This week, Les, Matt, Rob, and Carmen discuss Finland and Sweden’s willingness to join NATO, the $40B assistance for Ukraine, and China’s intellectual property theft. Did President Putin misjudge NATO’s strength? Will the $40B assistance for Ukraine lead to a reordering of our domestic politics on national security issues? What does the intellectual property theft from Chinese government hackers have to say about China’s economy? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
Be sure to join NSI for our next event with former Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, on Thursday, May 26 at 5 PM ET. Secretary Pompeo will share his insights on how the U.S. can maintain its leadership in an every evolving world. You can register for this event here.
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America and the EU have avoided a direct military role in Ukraine. Instead, they have used economic measure to punish Russia. As we look at the sanctions in place, are there further actions America can take to limit Russia’s ability to finance their war? How can America and the EU make their sanctions more impactful? Why is it important for America to take an active role in reconstructing Ukraine after the war? Join us as we discuss these questions and more with Natalie Jaresko, former Minister of Finance for Ukraine, who breaks down the current economic crisis in Russia and Ukraine. As a special bonus, Natalie shared the many ways our listeners can get involved with helping Ukrainians deal with the effects of the invasion. Be sure to check out some of the resources she had listed below:
https://www.boycottrussia.info/
https://squeezingputin.com/
https://som.yale.edu/story/2022/almost-1000-companies-have-curtailed-operations-russia-some-remain
https://www.strongerthanever.com/
https://ukraine.welcome.us/
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This week, Les, Sarah, Charles, and Heather discuss House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi’s visit with Ukraine’s President Zelensky, the $33B in aid that President Biden is requesting, and the new intelligence sharing agreement between New Zealand and Japan. What does it mean for Speaker Pelosi to visit President Zelensky? Will the $33B in aid sustain Ukraine? What does the agreement between New Zealand and Japan mean to the United States? Is it related to China's new friend, the Solomon Islands? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
Join NSI for our next event on Tuesday, May 10 with former Congressman and CIA Officer, Will Hurd to discuss his new book, American Reboot: An Idealist’s Guide to Getting Big Things Done.Will Hurd will share how his approach of “pragmatic idealism” can offer Americans a fresh start to a country mired in political divides and internal strife. You can register here.
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Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, attention quickly turned to India to determine whether it would condemn the attack and support western sanctions. This week, we are joined by Jeff Smith, a research fellow at Heritage’s Asian Studies Center with a focus on South Asia, for a deep dive on U.S.-India relationship in light of the war in Ukraine and China’s growing threat.
How did India develop its longstanding relationship with Russia? What does the war and the “no limits” partnership with China mean for that historical partnership? How can the U.S. continue to strengthen its relationship with India and how should the U.S. think about India’s position in the democratic world? These questions and more are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
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This week, Les, Scott, Andy, and Carmen discuss the possible use of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and the draconian lockdowns happening in Shanghai. Would the U.S. become more involved in Ukraine if Russia use a tactical nuclear weapon? Is Biden’s administration usage of strategic ambiguity different from previous administrations? How do the lockdowns in Shanghai impact Xi’s upcoming election in the fall? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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Public Diplomacy has played a critical role in telling the truth and countering propaganda in today's global environment. As we look at Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine, what can America learn from President Zelensky's amazing leadership? How can America balance its different means of communication through radio and social media? What can the State Department do to ensure the truth is being told to populations in nations whose governments suppress the truth? Join us as we discuss these questions and more with Heather Nauert, advisory board member of BGR Group, former journalist with Fox News and ABC News, as well as former State Department spokesperson and acting Undersecretary for Public Diplomacy at the State Department.
As a special bonus, Heather shared with us the work she is doing to help get people out of Afghanistan who are at risk. If you would like to contribute, please check out Moral Compass Federation of America which is part of the Special Operations Association of America.
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This week, Les, Sarah, Harold, and Matthew discuss the most recent atrocities revealed in Ukraine, the warning from Biden’s administration on a potential cyber war, and the leaked agreement between Solomon Islands and China. Will the recent uncovered atrocities force China to take a stance against Russia’s invasion? How can the U.S. increase its cyber posture as a nation? Why is the Solomon Islands important to the U.S.? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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In recent years, the far-fetched spaceship battles of sci-fi have become a much more likely reality. This week, we're joined by Collin Lee, Director, Frontiers at General Dynamics Mission Systems and VSI Visiting Fellow for a deep dive on the militarization of space.
How do space and national security intersect? How has the US prepared for when space inevitably becomes a battlefield? Are we in a new space race? These questions and more are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
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This week, Les, Carmen, Rob, and Megan continue their discussion on the ever developing situation on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the Biden administration’s executive order on crypto. How is the war going for President Putin? Does the Russian people look favorable on President Putin? Does the executive order signify the importance of crypto? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00 PM ET on March 21, 2022. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation in Ukraine is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.
Crypto is having, as this week's guest puts it, a "moment of legitimacy". We're joined by Juan Zarate, Global Co-Managing Partner and Chief Strategy Officer at K2 Integrity, Chair of the Center on Economic and Financial Power at FDD, and former Deputy Assistant to the President and Deputy National Security Adviser for Combating Terrorism for a deep dive on cryptocurrency.
What role does crypto play in Russia's war on Ukraine? Could Russia's increased use of cryptocurrencies pose a threat to financial stability? What can Congress be doing? These questions and more are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
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For further reading on crypto, K2 Integrity, where Juan is the Global Co-Managing Partner and Chief Strategy Officer, recently published a policy alert, found here, on the risk global markets may face as Russian actors use virtual currencies to bypass sanctions.
This week, Les, Martha, Sarah, and Matt continues to discuss the ever-developing Russian invasion of Ukraine. How have Ukrainians thwarted President’s Putin invasion? Should a no-fly zone be instituted? What are the implications of the ban on Russian oil imports? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00 PM ET on March 8, 2022. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.
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Against the backdrop of the continued Russian invasion of Ukraine, Megan Stifel, NSI Visiting Fellow and Chief Strategy Officer at the Institute for Security and Technology, addresses the cyberattacks that have played a role in Russia’s efforts. How has Ukraine fended off the cyber attacks? Has collaboration between the U.S. and Ukraine been successful?
We then pivot to last week’s news that the Department of Justice is ending the China Initiative. How frequent were the cases of false convictions and racial discrimination that drove the DoJ to end the initiative? Does ending the initiative change the work the DoJ is doing? Will the DoJ’s focus shift given the violence in Ukraine? These questions and more are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
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On this special episode of Fault Lines, host Lester Munson discusses Russia's ongoing invasion of Ukraine with guests Scott Cullinane, Executive Director of the US-Europe Alliance, Martha Miller, former Special Assistant to President George W. Bush, and Sarah Stewart, Executive Director of the Silverado Policy Accelerator.
Our episode begins with an assessment of the situation in Ukraine, followed by a discussion on the response from the West to Russia's aggression, the sanctions placed by the Biden administration, and the implications the invasion could mean for European neighbors to Ukraine.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Note: This episode was recorded at 9:00am ET on February 25th, 2022. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.
This week, Les, Mario, Carmen, and Rob discuss the ever developing Russia-Ukraine crisis and China’s rocket debris that will be hitting the moon. Is President Vladimir Putin invading Ukraine because of legitimate strategic concerns, toxic masculinity or something else? Is NATO unified in their response to Russia? Why is it important to be aware of the amount of debris in space? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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There’s no denying that China’s global standing has drastically changed - in their favor - in the past half century. How has Chinese diplomacy contributed to this change? Is the bullying that China attempts to use to achieve diplomatic goals effective in today’s world? Will China ever pivot away from their aggressive tactics and act with the degree of prestige expected of a global superpower?
This week’s episode of Fault Lines features a deep dive with Peter Martin, Defense Policy and Intelligence Reporter for Bloomberg Business, author of China’s Civilian Army: The Making of Wolf Warrior Diplomacy, and expert on all things Chinese diplomacy. Find Peter’s book here.
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This week, Les, Sarah, Scott, and Andy discuss the ongoing computer chip supply chain issues and North Korea’s launch of seven missiles last month. How are our European allies impacted by the ongoing computer chip crisis? Is Congress doing enough to alleviate the situation? What does it mean for North Korea to launch seven missiles in one month? How has the Biden administration handled the U.S. relationship with North Korea differently from the Trump Administration? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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This week, we’re joined by guest Anaise Kanimba, daughter of Paul Rusesabagina, the famed manager of a hotel in Rwanda where he protected hundreds of Rwandans – both Hutu and Tutsi – from the genocide that engulfed that country in 1994. How did Anaise’s father save lives in 1994? How has he dedicated his life to advocating for human rights? What is Anaise doing to now free her father from unfair imprisonment in Rwanda? These questions and more about Anaise and her father’s moving stories are addressed on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
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Want to become more involved in the #FreeRusesabagina campaign? Get involved by visiting their website, Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, or YouTube.
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This week, Les, Rob, Carmen, and Jamil discuss the massive underwater volcano eruption near Tonga and Russia’s dismantling of the hacker group known as REvil. They will also cast their predictions on whether or not Russia will invade Ukraine. Is the eruption of Hunga Tonga-Hunga-Ha’apai a national security issue that Americans should care about? What does it mean for Russia to dismantle REvil? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
Think a panelists got the right prediction or had the most persuasive argument on Russia’s actions with Ukraine? Be sure to send us a Tweet or e-mail us at nsi@gmu.edu!
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NSI welcomes Morgan Viña and Lester Munson, two of NSI’s Fellows and co-authors on a recent NSI Paper, “Will the US Compete with China in Africa?”. What is China trying to accomplish in Africa? How do the Trump and Biden administration’s approaches to Africa differ, and what do they both have right – and wrong – in their Africa policy? Is there an opportunity for the U.S. to implement our foreign aid initiatives as a policy component? These questions and more are answered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
Be sure to read Les and Morgan’s paper on our website here. If you like what you hear, be sure to rate, review, and subscribe to future episodes of Fault Lines.
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This week, Les, Sarah, Megan, and Jamil discuss the presence of Russian troops in Kazakhstan and the developing relationship with Russia and China to counter the U.S. Does the current situation in Kazakhstan matter to the U.S.? Will Russia and China be able to set aside their different interests to collaborate? These questions and more answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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NSI welcomes Fred Kagan, Senior Fellow and Director of the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute, for a deep dive on the unfolding crisis on the Ukraine-Russia border as the potential of a Russian invasion increases. What makes the current buildup of Russian troops different than those of the past? What other actions is Putin likely to take in coming months? Are direct conversations between President Biden and Putin the most effective means to address the crisis? These questions and more are answered on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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On this special episode of Fault Lines, Jamil N. Jaffer, NSI’s Founder and Executive Director, and Lauren Zabierek, NSI Visiting Fellow and Executive Director of the Cyber Project at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center, take opposite sides in a debate on mandatory cyber-reporting. Is it needed? If put into place, will it be effective? How does this hot topic relate to the larger issue of cyber infrastructure in the U.S.? These questions and more are addressed in this special, debate episode of Fault Lines!
Like what you heard here? In 2022, NSI will be launching a new debate-style podcast, featuring off-the-cuff takes on the biggest questions in national security. Tweet at us at @masonnatsec with your thoughts, including who you think the winner was, and be sure to subscribe to Fault Lines to be the first to know when the series launches!
Tune into Fault Lines for a very special Festivus edition as some of Fault Line's favorite panelists return. Matthew F., Robert, Martha, Andrea, Jamil, Andy, Carmen, Matthew H., and Les will review the previous year and cast their predictions for 2022. What is the most important national security story of 2021? What is the biggest national security surprise of 2021? Theses questions and more answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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This week Les, Sarah, Matthew, and Jamil will be discussing President Biden’s conversation with President Vladimir Putin’s regarding the build-up of Russian military on Ukraine’s border and the ongoing negotiations with Iran to revive the nuclear deal. Will the threat of tough sanctions deter President Putin from moving into Ukraine? Will the new nuclear deal be more favorable towards Iran? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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NSI welcomes Captain Corey Ray, US Navy, Faculty and Former Chair of the Department of Strategy & Policy, National War College to discuss sports diplomacy. Will the Olympics diplomatic boycott be effective? What makes for an effective boycott? How are sports and politics directly intertwined? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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This week, Les, Carmen, Matthew, and Rob will be discussing President Vladimir Putin’s predatory behavior against Ukraine and the hypersonic missiles recently launched by China and Russia. Will there be a Russian invasion of Ukraine? Is this a vulnerable time for President Putin? What does it mean to the US now that both China and Russia have launched hypersonic missiles? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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On this special episode of Fault Lines, Jamil N. Jaffer, NSI’s Founder and Executive Director, and Dmitri Alperovitch, co-founder and Executive Chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator, debate on a very timely topic – whether to deter an invasion of Taiwan, the U.S. must defend Ukraine. Jamil argues the proposition that yes, the U.S. must defend Ukraine in order to deter an invasion of Taiwan while Dmitri takes the opposite position.
If you enjoyed this episode, stay tuned for more! NSI and the Silverado Policy Accelerator will be kicking off a new podcast series filled with timely, no holds barred debates just like this one. To get the latest updates about when you can expect this series to be released, or to contribute ideas about future episodes, make sure to subscribe to Fault Lines and follow or tweet at us on Twitter at @MasonNatSec.
NSI welcomes retired U.S. Army Colonel Chris Kolenda for an in-depth discussion on his recently published book, "Zero-Sum Victory: What We're Getting Wrong About War", and the larger issue of how the U.S. military measures success. What is a zero-sum victory? How do we define sustainability of an insurgency? What are the flaws with how the U.S. military currently measures success?
Chris concludes the podcast by describing his Fallen Hero Honor Ride, a bike ride spanning 1,700 miles to visit the gravesites of the six paratroopers from his unit who were killed in action in Afghanistan. Chris is fundraising to create scholarship endowments in the names of each of the six fallen soldiers; these scholarships will support education, trade, and developmental expenses for paratroopers, family members, and descendants of the unit (TF SABER and 1-91 CAV, 173rd Airborne) and veterans, as well as disadvantaged youth from the Milwaukee area.
Click here for more on Chris’ project.
If you would like to donate to Chris’ project, please visit its GoFundMe.
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This week Les, Sarah, Megan, and Jamil take a big risk in discussing the summit between President Joe Biden and President Xi Jinping before the summit actually began. What is going on inside of China as President Xi sets himself up for a third term in power? Should Biden adopt a no first use nuclear policy? How should we consider our relationship with China in regards to trade? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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Fault Lines welcomes Gina Bennett, senior adviser at the National Counterterrorism Center, member of the CIA’s Senior Analytics Service, and author of the National Security Mom book series. What was it like being the first in the intelligence community to warn of Osama bin Laden? What is the role of gender in national security? How do national security efforts parallel our home lives? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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This week, Les, Jamil, Carmen, and Rob tackle last week’s coup in Sudan which saw the military put the civilian prime minister under house arrest and the Russian government’s latest hacking of American companies. What does the coup mean for U.S. interests? How about for Russia and China, which have their own interests in the country? When it comes to the Russians, is it time for us to start some American offensive cyber operations? Is the Biden Administration’s cyber policy working? These questions and more are answered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines. Bonus topic: is Pyongyangization happening in China?
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Fault Lines welcomes Michael Krepon, author of recently published “Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace: The Rise, Demise, and Revival of Arms Control”, for a discussion on his book and nuclear arms control with guest host David Lasseter, NSI Visiting Fellow and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction. How can the U.S. ensure nuclear peace is maintained globally? How should the nuclear capabilities of North Korea and China be addressed? What role do domestic politics play in nuclear policy? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
Purchase Michael’s book, “Winning and Losing the Nuclear Peace: The Rise, Demise, and Revival of Arms Control”, here or wherever you prefer to get your books.
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This week, Les, Jamil, Sarah, and Matthew break down tensions brewing over Taiwan and the looming supply chain crisis. Will tensions over Taiwan ever go away? Would – and should – the United States come to Taiwan’s aid in the event of aggressions by China? What’s actually going on with the supply chain crisis the United States is seeing unfold? These questions and more are answered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Fault Lines welcomes Jamil N. Jaffer, the Founder and Executive Director of the National Security Institute, as we reflect on the past four years of NSI. How did NSI begin? What can work in the non-partisan realm teach us? Where will the efforts of the National Security Institute be in the next four years? These questions and more are answered on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
On this special 100th episode of Fault Lines, Jamil Jaffer, Carmen Medina, Lester Munson and Sarah Stewart look forward to what the future of national security may hold. What type of challenges will China pose to the United States? Should the U.S. come to Taiwan’s aid if China were to invade? Is political polarization the biggest challenge policymakers will face in the next five years? These questions and more are answered on Fault Lines’ 100th episode!
Our panelists reference The Age of America First: Washington’s Flawed New Foreign Policy Consensus in their discussion. Read it here.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Christopher Ford, author of the recent NSI paper "Principled Conservatism in America’s Foreign Affairs and National Security Policy", and former U.S. Rep. Jane Harman, Distinguished Fellow and President Emerita at the Wilson Center, and author of the book, "Insanity Defense: Why Our Failure to Confront Hard National Security Problems Makes Us Less Safe," to discuss the intersection between different views of national security. How do we get Americans back to a point of embracing free trade? What is the best function of multilateral institutions? What could a bipartisan national security policy look like? These questions and more are covered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Next week is our 100th episode of Fault Lines! Keep an eye on social media and our website for some fun ways to engage with our podcast team before we record the extra special episode.
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This week, Les, Jamil, Sarah, and Matthew turn their focus on Biden's China policy. How is President Biden faring so far? Are China’s environmental sins becoming leverage for relief on other issues, including the crackdowns in Xinjiang and Hong Kong? What should we make of the AUKUS pact and China's reaction?
All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Fault Lines welcomes Congressman Seth Moulton, U.S. Representative from Massachusetts, to recount his recent trip to Afghanistan and the growing concerns around Afghan refugees. What should Congress be doing about Afghanistan? How can we, as individuals, help with rescue efforts? Should we be concerned about terror groups using Afghanistan as a launch site? These questions and more are covered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
We are entering the third week after the Taliban took Kabul, and Loren, Jamil, Rob, and Les discuss implications of the withdrawal. What lessons have we learned in the last three weeks? Twenty years on, what lessons and reflections do we have of 9/11? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Fault Lines welcomes Ryan Browne, former CNN correspondent at the Pentagon, to continue NSI’s discussion on Afghanistan. What does the future hold for individuals on the ground in Afghanistan following the withdrawal? Will we continue to see efforts from “Digital Dunkirk”-style groups? What kind of internal struggles may the Taliban experience as they begin attempting to function as a government? These questions and more are covered in this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00pm ET on August 30th, 2021. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.
All eyes are on Afghanistan, and Les, Jamil, Mike, and special guest Ryan Browne discuss the events that have unfolded in the last week on the ground. Has enough been done to get Americans and our allies out of a war zone? Should we extend our presence past August 31st? How well did the Biden administration handle the withdrawal? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Note: This episode was recorded at 1:00pm ET on August 23rd, 2021. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.
Fault Lines welcomes Caleb McCarry, former Cuba Transition Coordinator during the Bush administration, a senior official at the Development Finance Corporation in the Trump administration, and a Senior Adviser to both the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the House Foreign Affairs Committee. What does it mean for U.S. interests when there is such turmoil in Haiti? What, if anything, should the U.S. be doing differently as a neighbor to Haiti? How has the Biden administration responded to the ongoing protests in Cuba? Host Lester Munson and Caleb McCarry answer questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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On this special episode of Fault Lines, host Jamil N. Jaffer discusses the national security implications of the fall of Afghanistan and the rise of the Taliban with Jennifer Cafarella, NSI Visiting Fellow and Research Director at the Institute for the Study of War; Matthew Heiman, NSI Senior Fellow and Director of Strategy and Chairman, Cyber & Privacy Working Group at the Regulatory Transparency Project; and Mike Nelson, NSI Visiting Fellow and Professor of Military Science at George Mason University, and former Deputy Director of the Commander’s Action Group at United States Central Command for General Joseph Votel.
Our episode begins with a brief summary of the situation in Afghanistan, followed by analysis of the Biden administration's actions thus far, the counterterrorism perspective, and what Taliban rule may mean for U.S. national security.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Note: This episode was recorded at 3:30pm ET on August 17th, 2021. The National Security Institute acknowledges that the situation is rapidly changing and that some of the conversation held may no longer be accurate.
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The Olympics came to a close this past week, and all eyes are on Beijing in 2022. Loren, Jamil, Rob, and Les discuss the political highlights of the Tokyo games and what it would take for the U.S. to take a stand in 2022. What lessons have we learned in Tokyo? Should we be linking international sporting events like the Olympics to global politics? Has Russia skirted their ban by being able to have their athletes participate under the name “Russian Olympic Committee”? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Christopher Ford, NSI Advisory Board member and Former Assistant Secretary for International Security and Nonproliferation. Dr. Ford recently wrote a paper for NSI titled Principled Conservatism in America’s Foreign Affairs and National Security Policy. What are the core tenets of principled conservatism in national security and foreign policy? What does a principled conservative approach to China look like? Dr. Ford and host Jamil Jaffer answer these questions and more on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
Dr. Ford’s full paper can be found here.
If you like what we're doing, be sure to like, rate, and subscribe to Fault Lines. If you have ideas for future episodes, be sure to email us at nsi@gmu.edu or tweet us at @MasonNatSec.
Cuba is currently experiencing its largest anti-government demonstrations since 1994, fueled by disdain for the authoritarian government, widespread poverty, and mishandling of the COVID-19 pandemic. Les, Mike, Grant, and first time guests Fred Turner, former Chief of Staff to Bob Menendez, and Carrie Filipetti, Executive Director of the Vandenberg Coalition, former Deputy Assistant Secretary for Cuba and Venezuela, and the Deputy Special Representative for Venezuela at the U.S. State Department, discuss protests and unrest in Cuba and the most recent string of cyberattacks. Is the Biden Administration doing enough to show support for Cuba? How can social media be used creatively against authoritarian regimes? What impact could the Microsoft Exchange hack have on U.S.-China relations? These questions and more are answered on the latest episode of Fault Lines!
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Fault Lines welcomes Dmitri Alperovitch, NSI Advisory Board member, Executive Chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator, and Co-Founder of CrowdStrike. How should America respond to Chinese aggression in cyberspace? Does cyber insurance exacerbate cyber ransomware attacks? What should we be worried about next? Dmitri and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
Haiti is thrown into chaos after an assassination, John Kerry is in Russia talking about the Climate, and the Afghanistan withdrawal is going more rapidly than anyone anticipated. Les, Rob, Jamil, Grant and returning guest Amira Valliani discuss how the United States should approach each these precarious situations. How should America think about stabilization efforts in Haiti? Is Climate Change national security? Has the train and equip mission in Afghanistan failed? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Dan Currell, NSI Visiting Fellow and former Deputy Under Secretary and Senior Advisor at the Department of Education. Dan recently wrote a backgrounder for NSI titled China’s Influence in U.S. Higher Education as well as a number of opinion pieces for NSI’s blog The SCIF. How is China censoring speech in the United States? How big is China's influence in U.S. Higher Education? What even is a Confucius Institute? Dan and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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Iran "elected" a hardliner President and the United States bombed Iran backed militias in Iraq and Syria. Les, Mike, Jodi, and first time guest Martha Miller, NSI Visiting Fellow and former Special Assistant to President George W. Bush discuss how these events will impact the larger effort to prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons and how President Biden has done in democracy promotion around the world. Does the President of Iran really matter? What is the best strategy to bring Iran to the negotiating table? Can President Biden stand up for democracy in Europe, Central America, and Hong Kong? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Zach Graves, NSI Visiting Fellow, Head of Policy at the Lincoln Network, and author of the latest NSI Law and Policy Paper Understanding the Techlash: Implications for U.S. Innovation Policy. What is the Techlash? What should we make of the recent bills introduced on these issues? What does Section 230 have to do with any of this? Zach and host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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President Biden travels to Europe on his first foreign trip as President, but, before he left, he released a memo raising corruption to a national security concern. Les, Jamil, Loren, and Rob discuss what we can expect Biden will take away from european adventure and what a corruption focused foreign policy looks like. Can Biden get Europe to live up to their NATO commitments? What can be done about Russia? Is the fight against corruption just a talking point? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes FCC Commissioner Brendan Carr to discuss the national security work the FCC is doing. What is the FCC's role in pushing back against the threat posed by China? What is the FCC doing on O-Ran? How will competition with China impact technology policy in the next five years? Commissioner Carr and guest host Megan Brown, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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Belarus forced a RyanAir flight to land in Minsk in order to take opposition journalist Roman Protasevich into custody. Les, Jodi, Mike, and first time guest Scott Cullinane, NSI Visiting Fellow and Executive Director of the US-Europe Alliance, discuss how the United States should respond to Belarus and the next steps in the fight against COVID-19. Are sanctions enough to get Belarusian President Lukashenko to back down? How connected are Russia and Belarus? What can the United States to do finish the fight against COVID-19? All these questions and more answered on this week's Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Sada Cumber, NSI Advisory Board Member first-ever Special Envoy to the Organisation of the Islamic Conference.What role does soft power play in the Middle East? What can America do to protect Muslims in Myanmar and China? Why are Saudi Arabia and Iran meeting secretly? Sada and Fault Lines Host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more!
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The violence in Israel continues unabated. Fault Lines welcomes Simone Ledeen, NSI Visiting Fellow and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, and Brian Katulis, Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress, to discuss the causes of this latest flare up, how other actors in the region are responding, and what role of the United States should play with Fault Lines Host Les Munson.
Following those interviews, Grant moderates a conversation with Simone, Les, and returning guest Rob Walker about the Northern Triangle, corruption, and foreign aid. Should aid be tied to good governance? How can policymakers work towards long-term goals in the region? What role should limiting the drug trade play in the discussion? All these questions and more answered on this week’s Fault Lines.
Fault Lines welcomes Ambassador Cindy Courville, first Ambassador to the African Union, for a conversation about some key issues happening on the continent. How should policymakers frame their thinking about African Affairs? How should America be involved in Northern Mozambique? What role should America play in preventing human rights atrocities in Ethiopia? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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On Armenian Remembrance Day, President Biden acknowledged the genocide of Armenians at the hands of Ottoman authorities beginning in 1915. Jodi, Jamil, Les, Grant, and first time guest Max Hoffman, Director of National Security and International Policy at the Center for American Progress, discuss the impact of this acknowledgement on U.S.-Turkish relations and the ten year anniversary of the beginning of the conflicts in Syria and Libya. Are U.S.-Turkish relations broken beyond repair? Is Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's hold on power stable? After ten years, what is the path forward in Syria and Libya? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In this week's under the radar segment, Grant talks about the potential for a Global Minimum Tax, Les focuses on China's space program, Jodi highlights the mice swarming in Australia, Max discusses Turkey and energy politics, and Jamil honors the memory of NSI Visiting Fellow Courtney Hall.
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Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Lenora Gant, NSI Advisory Board member and Distinguished Fellow and former Senior National Intelligence Officer within the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. How does a diverse workforce increase America’s national security? What role do historically black colleges and universities play in preparing the next generation of national security leaders? What can be done at a personal level to make an impact? Lenora and Fault Lines Host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more!
President Biden announced increased sanctions on Russia for their involvement in the SolarWinds hack and a withdrawal date for American troops in Afghanistan. Les, Loren, Jamil, and returning guest Rob Walker discuss whether the Biden administration is pushing back hard enough against Russia and leaving Afghanistan too soon. Will sanctions change Putin’s calculus? Does President Biden owe former President Trump an apology? Is Afghanistan going to become a haven for terrorists after America leaves? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
Fault Lines welcomes Charles Kupchan, Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and author of the book Isolationism: A History of America's Efforts to Shield Itself from the World. What are the driving factors of American Isolationism throughout history? What lessons should President Biden learn from previous presidents? What is American Exceptionalism? Dr. Kupchan and host Les, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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The Biden administration is participating in indirect talks with Iran about the JCPOA and there are conversations swirling on the Hill about revising the 2001 AUMF. Les, Jodi, Jamil, and Mike discuss how to get to a better deal with Iran and whether all the talk about the AUMF is for naught. Is it possible to get a good deal with Iran? What did "maximum pressure" achieve? Is there any chance that the 2001 AUMF actually gets replaced? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In our under the radar segment, Les honors the life of Charles Hill, Grant continues to track the failed GERD talks, Jamil highlights the potential coup in Jordan, Mike discusses the corruption trial of Benjamin Netanyahu, and Jodi suggests that the US should really consider boycotting the Olympics in China.
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Fault Lines welcomes Admiral James Stavridis, author of the book 2034: A Novel of the Next World War and contributing author of a white paper with the American Edge Project on National Security Policy. Should we expect a war with China? How do fiction and foreign policy work together? Where do emerging technologies play a role in all of this? Admiral Stavridis and host Lester Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
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Antony Blinken and Jake Sullivan recently held a meeting with their Chinese Counterparts in Alaska and the pandemic has been ravaging the globe for more than a year. Les, Loren, Jamil, and first time guest Rob Walker discuss what can we expect coming out of the Anchorage Summit and how the world looks different post-pandemic. How is the Biden administration trying to approach the relationship with China? What can we expect to see after the shouting match that kicked off the talks? What did the pandemic teach us about foreign policy? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
This week in our under the radar segment, Loren discusses the potential repeal of the 2002 AUMF, Les highlights the opportunity Tanzania has to move forward following the death of President Magufuli, Rob focuses on the situation at the border, Jamil mentions the potential end of the war in Yemen, and Grant waves goodbye to the Russian Ambassador to the United States.
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Fault Lines welcomes Andrew Natsios and Andy Card co-editors of Transforming Our World: President George H.W. Bush and American Foreign Policy. What made President George H.W. Bush uniquely able to take on the challenges of the end of the Cold War? Was there an underlying ideology driving President Bush’s foreign policy? Can President Biden learn any lessons from the challenges President Bush faced? Andy, Andrew, and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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President Biden issued an executive order focused on enhancing the security of America’s supply chains and India purchased anti-aircraft weapons from Russia which may cause issues at the upcoming meeting of the Quad. Les, Jodi, Jamil, and Loren discuss how much the government should insert itself in the private sector in the name of national security and the status of the relationship between America and India. Should the government be directly investing in the American tech sector? How close are India and Russia? How worried should we be about conflict between China and India? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In the below the radar segment, Les is following two new outbreaks of Ebola, Jodi honors Women of Courage, Grant highlights the disproportionate impact of COVID on women, Loren talks about the trial of Derek Chauvin, and Jamil focuses on two high profile cases of rape in Senegal and Mexico.
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Fault Lines welcomes David Gordon, former Director of policy planning at the US State Department and co-author of Making U.S. Foreign Policy Work Better for the Middle Class. How different is "putting Americans first" to "America First"? Is American participation in the TPP impossible? Is domestic-foreign policy fusion advisable given polarization? David and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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Fault Lines welcomes Nicole Perlroth, Cybersecurity report for the New York Times and author of This is How They Tell Me the World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race. How has the market for 0-days impacted our national security? How do you communicate the technological threat to a non-technical audience? Why isn't the US deterring cyberattacks effectively? Nicole and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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The Biden Administration is open to reentering the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Jamil, Les, Loren, and Mike discuss what is necessary to actually prevent Iran from getting nuclear weapons and then pivot to Australia’s law which caused a standoff with Facebook. Should America ease sanctions to negotiate a new deal with Iran? Is Iran already too far down the nuclear path? Is Australia standing up for the little guy or caving to corporate lobbyists? All these questions and more answered on this week’s Fault Lines.
In our below the radar segment, Grant focuses on new sanctions from the European Union, Les continues to track the Ethiopian Civil War, Loren sets her eyes on the stars, Mike highlights the issues around U.S. sanctions and Venezuela, and Jamil discusses the arrest of El Chapo’s wife.
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Fault Lines welcomes Morgan Vina, former Chief of Staff to Ambassador Nikki Haley in her role as Permanent Representative to the United Nations. What can the Biden administration learn from President Trump’s failures and successes in Africa? How should we view the worsening violence in Ethiopia? Is Sudan a success story or is it too early to tell? Morgan and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
President Biden may be new to the job but the foreign policy challenges haven’t slowed down. Les, Jamil, Jodi, and Michael discuss President Biden’s first foreign policy speech and how the ideals he laid out in it will be applied to the coup in Myanmar and protests in Russia. Is Biden really laying out a new foreign policy vision? Will his team be decisive or dithering? How should America promote democracy abroad? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In our under the radar segment, Grant pushes the Biden administration on refugee status for Hong Kongers, Michael mentions Israeli Prime Minister's ongoing corruption trial, Jodi discusses America rejoining the UN Human Rights Council, Jamil focuses on the Pope's trip to Iraq, and Les highlights a statement from USAID's Acting Administrator Gloria Steele.
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Fault Lines welcomes multiple NSI authors for conversations about their recent publications. First, Les talks with NSI Visiting Fellow Matthew Ferraro about his backgrounder entitled Decoding Deepfakes. After that, NSI has a conversation with NSI Visiting Fellow Vince Vitkowsky and Rachida Mecheri on their Law and Policy Paper entitled Responding to China at the United Nations. Should we be worried about more fake media? How is China pushing its agenda at the United Nations? How can the United States and its allies take on these twin challenges? Les explores these questions and more on this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes former Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee Senator Bob Corker. What should a post-Trump GOP look like? Should the Senate vote to convict former President Trump? How should the Biden Administration think about Iran? All these questions and more on this very special episode of Fault Lines.
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The Biden Administration is in full swing but what does that mean for foreign policy? Les, Jamil, Loren, and first time guest Amira Valliani talk about Making U.S. Foreign Policy Work Better for the Middle Class and Biden’s first hundred days. Is a foreign policy focused on the middle class only about economics? Why isn’t Congress leading on foreign policy issues? What do the first 100 days of the Biden administration reveal about President Biden’s priorities? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In this week’s under the radar segment Les highlights Biden’s promise of $4 billion in Aid for Central America, Jamil focuses on the protests in Russia, Loren is tracking impeachment, Amira is watching for national security issues in space, and Grant talks about democracy promotion.
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Fault Lines welcomes David Adesnik, Senior Fellow and Director of Research at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, and John Hannah, Senior Counselor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, to discuss From Trump to Biden a report which details the successes and failures of the Trump Administration and guidance for over 25 different areas of national security and foreign policy. Where did America First fail? Can Biden negotiate a better JCPOA? Is it possible to put Putin in his place? David, John and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
This week, Congress contemplates how to respond to the attack on January 6th. Les, Loren, Jamil, and Jodi discuss how the legislative branch should move forward and news out of China that you may have missed. How should Congress deal with members who supported the riots? With time winding down on the Trump Administration, is impeachment moving fast enough? How is China capitalizing on this moment? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In our under the radar segment Jamil talks about the designation of the Houthis as a terrorist group, Les compares the current situation in the US with that in the Central African Republic, Grant dives back into the politics of water, Jodi discusses the elections in Uganda, and Loren won’t be distracted from this moment in the United States.
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A mob of President Trump’s supporters stormed the Capitol in an attempt to halt the certification of the electoral college vote. Les, Jamil, Loren, and returning guest Michael Gottlieb pick through the rubble and discuss the implications. How can America rebuild after this crisis? How does it impact our standing in the world? How will our adversaries use this against us? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
Fault Lines welcomes back Jim Danoy, former Defense Intelligence Executive, NSI Visiting Fellow, and author of a recent NSI Law and Policy Paper entitled Stopping the Spread: Pandemics, Warning, and the IC. What role should the IC have in warning about the next pandemic? Is the Department of Health and Human Services part of the IC? Can we afford to expand the mission of the intelligence community? Jim and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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All eyes are on the NDAA because of President Trump’s veto but is the discussion focused on the right issues? Fault Lines welcomes Alex Gallo, Lindsay Rodman, and Moshe Schwartz, contributors to the recent NSI and Duco report The U.S. Defense Industrial Base: Can it Compete in the Next Century? Does China’s economic threat change the approach to its military threat? Can the DoD encourage competition in the defense industrial base? How can America be falling behind while spending so much on defense? These questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Megan Jaffer, a Founding Member of the Amazing Women of the Intelligence Community (AWIC) and host of the Iron Butterfly Podcast which just completed its first season. Who was the Iron Butterfly? What can we learn from the stories of 15 senior women in the Intelligence Community? What can we expect from the second season of Iron Butterfly? Megan and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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The year is winding down but in Washington that means it’s time to argue about the NDAA and the legacy of the outgoing President. This week, Jamil, Loren, Les, and returning guest Michael Gottlieb discuss whether the NDAA will make it across the finish line and whether President Trump had any foreign policy wins during his four years. How did the NDAA become one of the only must pass bills? What hard calls did President Trump get right? Will any aspects of Trump’s legacy be left after Biden “Builds Back Better”? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In our under the radar segment, Loren highlights the increased use of ransomware to target K-12 schools, Les extends the conversation about Western Sahara, Grant opines about worsening relations between China and Australia, Jamil discusses the latest in the war in Yemen, and Michael talks about the potential of an Edward Snowden pardon.
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Fault Lines welcomes Megan Brown, NSI Senior Fellow and author of a forthcoming NSI Law and Policy Paper on U.S. involvement in setting global technical standards for 5G and other future technologies. What are technical standards and why are they important? Is hawkishness against China bad for innovation? What can policymakers do to promote private sector participation in standards development organizations? Megan and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
President-Elect Joe Biden begun to name his senior foreign policy staff to various Cabinet and White House positions. Les, Jamil, Jodi, and first time Guest Michael Gottlieb former Associate Counsel and Special Assistant to President Obama discuss Biden’s picks and how they might take on the rapidly evolving situation in Iran. What do these selections say about Biden’s Foreign Policy? What are potential blind spots for this team of insiders? How can a President Biden limit Iran’s nuclear ambitions? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In our under the radar segment, Les discusses the state of the civil war in Ethiopia, Mike highlights the continued issues in Venezuela, Jamil focuses on Jared Kushner’s trip to the Middle East during a fragile time, and Jodi and Grant both discuss corporations’ lobbying efforts with regards to the Uyghur Forced Labor Act currently making its way through Congress.
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Fault Lines welcomes Rachel Bovard, Senior Director of Policy at the Conservative Partnership Institute. Is restraint the new watch word in foreign policy? What do Bernie Sanders and Rand Paul have in common? Does anyone really understand Senate procedure? Rachel and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
As the song says, you don't have to go home, but you can't stay here! Before his imminent departure, President Trump flexed his muscles by firing Secretary of Defense Esper and claiming that the election was stolen. Les, Loren, Jamil, and first time guest Dr. Andrea Little Limbago, NSI Senior Fellow and Vice President of Research and Analysis at Interos, discuss how these moves impact our national security and standing abroad. Does a shake-up at DoD change anything? Was the election stolen? What does this mean for a future Biden administration? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Max Bergmann, Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress and co-author of a new report “The First 100 Days: Toward a More Sustainable and Values-Based National Security Approach”. What will a President Biden do on Foreign Policy? How will his foreign policy be impacted by a Republican-held Senate? Is America really moving away from counter-terrorism? Max and host Lester Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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This week, Americans are headed to the polls but foreign policy hasn’t played a big part in the campaign conversation. Les, Jamil, Jodi, and special guest Bishop Garrison, NSI Visiting Fellow and Director of National Security Outreach at Human Rights First come together in front of a live audience to discuss the foreign policies of the candidates and what national security issues will be facing the next administration. What could we expect from a Biden Administration? Will a second term of President Trump change foreign policy for good? How does all of this impact America’s competition with China long-term? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
Fault Lines welcomes Ambassador Atul Keshap, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for the Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs. What are the trends to follow in the region? How should the United States be responding to the challenge of China? How is the relationship with Japan evolving under a new prime minister? Ambassador Keshap and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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The most contentious election in history is less than two weeks away, but Fault Lines is stepping out of our normal partisan foxholes to talk about the importance of bipartisanship in national security and foreign policy. Les, Jamil, Dana, and returning guest Andrew Borene discuss the past, present, and potential future of working across the aisle to protect Americans and advance America's interests abroad. When did partisanship actually end at the water's edge? Can we find any areas of agreement anymore? What are the future prospects for agreement on the very real threats facing the United States? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In our under the radar segment this week, Les focuses on mounting protests in Thailand, Andrew discusses the recent release of the Irregular Warfare Annex by the Department of Defense, Dana highlights the Trump Administration's attempts to free Austin Tice, and Jamil talks about the increasingly fraught relationship between India and China.
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Fault Lines welcomes Chris Brose, former Staff Director of the Senate Armed Service Committee and author of the recent book The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare. How are emerging technologies changing warfare? What can be done to fix the broken defense acquisitions process? How does the rise of China change American grand strategy? Chris and host Jamil Jaffer, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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The United Nations turns 75 but celebrations are muted as coronavirus has prevented the delegates from meeting in person. Jodi, Jamil, Dana, and returning guest Andy Keiser discuss America's relationship with the UN and whether it is up for the task of taking on the challenges of today. Should the United States defund the UN? Is China reshaping international institutions in its image? Why didn't sanctions "snapback" on Iran? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In our below the radar segment, Dana discussed the United States is planning to shutter its embassy in Baghdad, Jodi highlights the stunning statistic that 10% of the global population may have contracted Covid-19, Andy digs up President Trump's executive order on rare earth minerals, and Jamil emphasizes the importance of projecting military strength while President Trump was in the hospital.
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Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Jung Pak, senior fellow and the SK-Korea Foundation Chair in Korea Studies at Brookings Institution’s Center for East Asia Policy Studies and author of "Becoming Kim Jong Un: A Former CIA Officer’s Insights into North Korea’s Enigmatic Young Dictator." What do we know about what is happening within the hermit kingdom? Is Kim Yo-jong likely to take the lead if Kim Jong Un suddenly passes away? What can America do to push the DPRK to denuclearize? Dr. Pak and host Jamil N. Jaffer, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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Turkey and Greece are jostling over natural gas in the Mediterranean and Bob Woodward’s book Rage reignites the conversation about America’s stance towards North Korea. Les, Dana, and Jamil discuss America’s role in settling diplomatic disputes and how to judge the North Korean nuclear question. How should the U.S. project power into the Mediterranean? Can America help hold NATO together? Is America in a worse position with North Korea two years after the Singapore Summit? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In this week’s below the radar segment, Les continues to watch the protests in Belarus. Dana and Jamil have a lively conversation about Iran and snapback sanctions. Jamil highlights that former National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster says that Afghan peace talks are doomed.
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Fault Lines welcomes David Dollar, Senior Fellow in the John L. Thornton China Center at the Brookings Institution. How should we think about the trade deficit with China? Is decoupling possible? How should we think about the Belt and Road Initiative? David and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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You wouldn’t know it from the news networks’ obsessive coverage of the American election, but the rest of the world keeps spinning, and there are a lot of developments to keep track of. This week, Dana, Jamil, Jodi, and Less discuss the fallout from the poisoning of Alexei Navalny in Russia and the ongoing democratic transition in Sudan. What should the Trump administration’s response be to the poisoning of Navalny? How will Congress react? How did Sudan become a source of good news in the world? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Today, we have a feed takeover by our friends at the Iron Butterfly. We hope you enjoy their first episode!
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Fault Lines welcomes Jamie Fly, former President of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty and Senior Fellow and Senior Advisor to the President of the German Marshall Fund of the United States. Why did Jamie’s time at Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty come to an abrupt end? Why should Americans continue to support the work of RFERL and its sister stations? How is Chinese and Russian influence impacting Europe? Jamie and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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The UAE and Israel normalize relations, Belarusians are in the streets protesting a stolen election, and Mali is rocked by its second coup in less than a decade. Dana, Jamil, Les, and Loren discuss how these situations impact American politics and America’s standing in the world. Will Saudi Arabia be the next to strike a deal with Israel? Can the United States credibly stand up for Democratic activists abroad? How has Africa policy been impacted by the American public’s disinterest? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In our under the radar segment, Les highlights insurgent attacks in Mozambique, Dana decries the poisoning of Alexei Navalny, Jamil discusses the possibility of snap back sanctions on Iran, and Loren shares her concerns about the postal service and an asteroid headed towards earth.
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Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Joseph Nye, University Distinguished Service Professor, Emeritus and former Dean of the Harvard's Kennedy School of Government and author of the recent book Do Morals Matter?: Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump. What makes a moral foreign policy? What lessons can be learned from the failures of previous Presidents? Can blue jeans and rock and roll actually change the world? Dr. Nye and host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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The UAE builds the first civilian nuclear reactor in the Middle East and Saudi Arabia moves down the path to building a nuclear weapon. Dana, Jamil, Jodi, and Les discuss the geopolitical ramifications of a nuclear powered Middle East. Are 123 agreements useful anymore? Will the United States be able to prevent nuclear proliferation? How does china play into all of this? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
In our under the radar segment, Jamil highlights the changing tide of U.S.-China relations, Dana discusses the explosion that rocked Beirut, Jodi examines the election in Belarus, and Les laments the lack of foreign aid on the table for the next round of coronavirus legislation currently under debate on Capitol Hill.
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Fault Lines welcomes Jeremy Bash, former Chief of Staff at the CIA and Department of Defense. What are the biggest challenges facing the intelligence community? How has the icy relationship between the President and the Intelligence Community impacted national security? Are trendy dances a national security threat? Jeremy and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
Nord Stream 2 is exacerbating the split between the United States and its European Allies. Across the Mediterranean Laurent Gbagbo is acquitted of crimes against humanity by the International Criminal Court (ICC). Les Munson, Jamil Jaffer, Loren Dealy Mahler, and Andrew Borene discuss how the U.S. should push back against the Russians in Europe and how Americans should think about the ICC.
In our under the radar segment, Les highlights the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam raising tensions along the Nile, Loren explores the legislative twists and turns of this year’s NDAA, Jamil discusses the tit-for-tat consulate closures in Chengdu and Houston, and Andrew discusses how rebalancing special operations forces and potentially elevating the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Special Operations and Low Intensity Conflict to full Under Secretary will impact great power competition.
Can the United States stop Nord Stream 2 at this point? Is the ICC an international institution worth protecting? Will the long-view of foreign policy return in a post-Trump America? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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In our second "Better Know a State Department Bureau" series, Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Chris Ford, Assistant Secretary of State for International Security and Nonproliferation. How should America respond to Russian non-compliance? How can the US work with China to control nuclear proliferation? How does ancient Greek and Roman philosophy play into all of this? Dr. Ford and host Lester Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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Hong Kong’s National Security Law went into effect and information continues to flow out about the genocide in Xinjiang. At home, American Universities tangle with ICE while the U.S. Agency for Global Media is letting visa for foreign journalists working for Voice of America expire. How can America push back against Beijing’s continued consolidation of power? Should Hongkongers be granted asylum in the United States? How does this play into the larger immigration issues bubbling up during the pandemic? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Representative Adam Kinzinger (IL-16). Representative Kinzinger has served in Congress since 2011 and currently serves on the Energy and Commerce Committee and the Foreign Affairs Committee. Prior to joining Congress, Kinzinger served in the Air Force in both Operation Iraqi Freedom and Operation Enduring Freedom. How should Congress respond to the Russia bounty scandal? How can the U.S. push back against China online? What is the biggest national security threat facing America? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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This weekend, news broke that Russia was offering bounties to Taliban-linked militias for killing US soldiers in Afghanistan. Dana, Jamil, Les, and first time guest Loren Dealy Mahler, NSI Visiting Fellow and former director of legislative affairs at the National Security Council, discuss how America should respond to these revelations and the recent announcement that the America’s military presence in Germany will be significantly reduced. What does this mean for US-Russia relations? How should America be standing up for our troops in the field? Will the US and Germany ever be on the same page? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Bishop Garrison, Director of National Security Outreach at Human Rights First and co-Founder and President of the Joseph Rainey Center for Public Policy. Where do the diversity problems in national security come from? Why are some military bases named after confederate officers? How can individuals and organizations promote a more diverse and inclusive national security community? Bishop and Fault Lines Guest Host Jamil Jaffer, answer these questions and many more!
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The murder of George Floyd on May 25th has led to waves of protests across America and around the world for racial justice. Dana, Jamil, Les, and first time guest Harry Wingo discuss the protests and how racism and discrimination has impacted the national security community. What is the role of national security leaders in the first for justice? How have foreign governments been using this opportunity to push their agendas? Can America seize this opportunity to make real changes which can set an example for the rest of the world? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Jennifer Cafarella, NSI Visiting Fellow and National Security Fellow at the Institute for the Study of War. Jenny recently testified before the House Subcommittee on the Middle East, North Africa, and International Terrorism alongside Fault Lines regular Dana Stroul on the Crisis in Idlib. How has the situation in Syria evolved since March? What role do Russia and Turkey play in the region? Are the same dynamics at play in Libya and across the Middle East broadly? Jenny and Fault Lines Host Les Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
The President recently announced his intention to withdraw from the Open Skies Treaty and is considering restarting nuclear testing. Dana, Jamil, Jodi, and Les discuss the state of arms control and how the US should approach international agreements. Is it better for the United States to model behavior by staying in bad treaties or leave them? Can the US prioritize non-proliferation and modernization of the nuclear triad? How should we deal with our allies who are stuck in the middle? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
Fault Lines welcomes the Honorable Kirsten Madison, Assistant Secretary of State for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs (INL). What role does the INL Bureau have in combating corruption abroad? What is the current state of the global war on drugs? How has punk music impacted how Assistant Secretary Madison views her job? Assistant Secretary Madison and host Les Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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Nicholás Maduro and Jair Bolsonaro have had a very tumultuous month. Dana, Jamil, Les, and returning guest Andrew Borene discuss the failed coup attempt failed in Venezuela, and Brazil’s new status as a COVID-19 hotspot. How should America treat friends and foes in South America? Should America place sanctions on a democratic country? Can our hosts find a way to link all of this back to Iran? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Ron Gula, NSI Advisory Board member and President of Gula Tech Adventures, and Megan Brown, NSI Senior Fellow and Partner at Wiley Rein LLP to discuss the recent Cyberspace Solarium Report. How will the Cyberspace Solarium Report impact the private sector? Why did the report punt on the encryption debate? Does any of this actually get implemented? Ron, Megan, and Fault Lines Host Les Munson answer these questions and many more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines!
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While the pandemic continues to take its toll around the world, the issues in the Middle East continue unabated. Les, Jodi, Jamil, and Dana put the Middle East under the microscope this week and discuss the protests in Lebanon, the war in Yemen, and the dysfunctional government in Iraq. Why are the Lebanese back in the streets? Is it possible for the humanitarian crisis in Yemen to get worse? How much can America actually influence outcomes in the Middle East? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Dr. Samantha Ravich, former Deputy National Security Advisor to Vice President Cheney and Commissioner of the Cyber Solarium Commission which recently released their report. What is layered deterrence? Is it possible to create a continuity of economy plan? What is a solarium anyway? Dr. Ravich and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more!
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Last week President Trump announced a 90 day freeze on funding to the World Health Organization. Dana, Jamil, Les, and first-time guest Andrew Borene, NSI Senior Fellow and former Associate Deputy General Counsel of the Department of Defense, discuss this move and how our understanding of the origins of the virus are changing. Is President Trump crippling a vital international organization? Is the WHO acting as a mouthpiece for dictators? Could this pandemic have been stopped through better safety protocols at a Wuhan lab? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
Fault Lines welcomes Andy Keiser, NSI Fellow, former Senior Advisor to the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, and recent author of The Race to 5G: Securing the Win. What is 5G? How does it impact the national security of America and its allies? Why are some Brits attacking 5G towers? Andy and host Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more!
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CoVid-19 continues to impact the state of play at home and internationally. Dana, Jamil, Jodi, and Les discuss the international aid provided in the most recent coronavirus relief bill. What do we owe others when we are in a crisis? Should America relieve sanctions on Iran? How are our hosts fairing during quarantine with their children? All these questions and more answered in this week’s Fault Lines.
Fault Lines welcomes Farah Pandith, first-ever Special Representative to Muslim Communities and recent author of How We Win: How Cutting-Edge Entrepreneurs, Political Visionaries, Enlightened Business Leaders and Social Media Mavens Can Defeat the Extremist Threat. What role do young people have to play in countering extremism? Where do we stand in the war on terror? Has America invested enough in soft power? What does Harry Potter have to do with it? Farah and Fault Lines Host Les Munson, answer these questions and many more!
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CoVid-19 is spreading across the globe and is impacting every aspect of American life. Dana, Jamil, Les, and returning guest Katrina Mulligan, discuss the implications of the virus on American foreign policy, our adversaries, and our allies. What role should the United States play internationally during this crisis? How is our response different from China’s? Was “America First” right all along? Answers to these questions and more on this week’s episode of Fault Lines.
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Fault Lines welcomes Rich Goldberg, former Director for Countering Iranian Weapons of Mass Destruction for the White House National Security Council, to discuss U.S.-Iranian Policy. Rich laid out the policy of the current administration in a recent op-ed in the New York Times. What should Americans know about this "maximum pressure" campaign? If not regime change, what should the goal of U.S.-Iranian policy be? What should a new deal look like? Rich and guest host, Dana Stroul, answer these questions and many more!
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On February 29th, Zalmay Khalilzad, America’s Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation at the State Department, and Abdul Ghani Baradar, a representative of the Taliban, signed the Agreement for Bringing Peace to Afghanistan. This agreement comes of the heels of a temporary cease fire and purports to be a stepping stone to intra-Afghan negotiations. Andy, Dana, Jamil, and first time guest Katrina Mulligan, Managing Director for National Security and International Policy at the Center for American Progress, discuss the implications of the peace agreement on the ground in Afghanistan and politically in the United States. In this episode, Andy commends Amrullah Saleh's piece in Time and Dana reads from Representative Tom Malinowski's op-ed in the Washington Post.
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Fault Lines welcomes George Ingram, Senior Fellow in Global Economy and Development at the Brookings Institution, to discuss US assistance in fragile states. George recently served as an advisor to a congressionally-mandated task force looking at this issue. Can American foreign aid programs address the root causes of war and violent extremism? How are Congress and the Trump administration using the foreign policy toolbox to address crises before they start? How are our foreign aid programs fitting in as the US pivots toward the Great Power Competition with China? George and our host, Lester Munson, answer these questions and many more!
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China is spending $20 billion or more each year in Africa and inundating the continent with infrastructure projects, cheap phones, television programming, and communications networks. Why is China making this bet and is it working? How are the Trump administration and Congress responding and what is at stake for American interests? Guest NSI Fellow Andy Keiser sits in again with Jodi, Dana and Lester to discuss these questions and many more.
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What do Russia, China and Canada all have in common? All disagree - in one manner or another - with American policy goals in the Arctic, where climate change is driving opportunities and challenges for US policy-makers. In this episode, former senior intelligence official Jim Danoy discusses his paper, “The Arctic: Securing the High Ground,” with host Lester Munson. They discuss the fascinating policy dilemmas posed by the unique geography of the North Pole and how the United States can exploit new opportunities to maximum benefit.
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Our favorite foreign policy nerds - with the addition of NSI Visiting Fellow Andy Keiser - discuss the geopolitics of the Coronavirus that has massively impacted China and its economy. Listen in as Jodi, Dana, Lester, and Andy discuss what the Coronavirus pandemic may mean for China's place in the world, China's internal politics, and the ins-and-outs of the U.S. response.
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Jodi, Dana, Jamil and Lester discuss constitutional changes in Moscow, the future of Vladimir Putin, how the United States should handle Russian aggression and whether Republicans and Democrats have any common ground on the matter.
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Jamil, Dana, Jodi and Lester discuss the current state of affairs between Iran and the United States, for better and for worse. A vigorous and pointed analysis of congressional war powers is not to be missed. The first Fault Lines Podcast of 2020 is a humdinger! And that's no malarkey!
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In our last episode of 2019, Dana, Jamil and Lester welcome special guest Elisa Catalano, former Director for the Middle East and North Africa on the National Security Council and former Senior Policy Advisor at the State Department, to the podcast. The group takes on the Washington Post’s 6-part series on the war in Afghanistan and the foreign policy aspects of the 2020 National Defense Authorization Act.
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The original Rum Bunch is back and talking about protests in Hong Kong and oppression in Xinjiang. In this China-focused episode, our band of former Hill staffers discuss what makes these two very important challenges to American values distinct, why the president and Congress treat them very differently, and how the U.S. Republican and Democratic parties see the democracy protests in Hong Kong and China's repression of its own people in Xinjiang Province in basically the same way.
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What better way to begin Thanksgiving week than to listen to our motley bunch discuss Turkey… and Iran? Jodi, Dana, Lester and guest Matthew Heiman review protests in Iran, Turkish incursions into Syria, and how Washington is responding. Is it “Groundhog Day” in Iran? (What would Bill Murray do?)
Also included: a serious discussion of changing power dynamics in the Middle East and how that affects American interests.
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In an interview format this week, Fault Lines spends some quality time with Norman Roule, former National Intelligence Manager for Iran. Lester and Norm discuss the past forty years of difficult US-Iran relations, the nature of the Tehran regime, and possible paths forward for the Iranian people.
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This week, Dana, Jodi, Lester and guest commentator Matthew Heiman take on the seeming wave of popular protests seen around the world in places like Lebanon, Chile, Iraq, France, Algeria and Sudan. They also discussed the dilemma for U.S. policymakers when a democratic friend of the United States, like India or Brazil, makes policy decisions that may not be in accord with U.S. interests and lastly, the group briefly talked about the recent killing of ISIS leader Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi.
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This week, Dana, Jamil and Lester delve into two hot spots. First, in Syria, they explored the implications of President Trump's abrupt pullout of American troops for the region and American politics. Second, they'll take a look at the dustup between the NBA and China, and what it might mean for the politics of US national security - and they'll also decide who is the greatest basketball player of all-time.
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This week, Fault Line experts delve into two hot spots. First, in the Middle East, where Iran attacked Saudi oil facilities, they examine possible reactions from President Trump, who is now without former National Security Advisor John Bolton, as well as the American public's limit regarding Iranian aggression. They also argued over whether China, with an ongoing trade dispute with the US, upcoming elections in Taiwan, and continued global attention on China's crackdown on Uighurs, tempers its response to near open revolt in Hong Kong, and whether Congress is going to do something in light of the Administration’s seeming disinterest.
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