David Nelson's Podcast: Recent Episodes
David Nelson, CFA
David Nelson launches The Money Runner. In the end money touches everything. The show will take on topics that resonate from Wall Street to Main Street and of course Washington.
Stocks are hitting new highs, but stretched valuations, inflation fears, rising tariffs, and Fed drama have some investors flashing back to 1999. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down why today’s market isn’t the dotcom bubble—yet. From earnings strength to valuation traps, learn why smart investors are staying in the game—and what could change that.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
As U.S. carrier groups steam toward the Middle East and oil prices edge higher, investors are being forced to recalibrate—fast. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down the high-stakes standoff with Iran, the Fed’s tightrope act under political pressure, and why capital doesn’t wait for geopolitical clarity. From rising risk premiums to AI bidding wars and Apple’s existential crossroads, it’s all happening in the fog of war.
🎧 In the Fog of War, Capital Doesn’t Wait for a Winner
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Trump’s tariff threats, Apple’s iPhone challenge, bond yields on the rise, and a $40 Billion bet on A.I. —this episode breaks down the week and how to adapt to the new market reality.
Welcome to The Money Runner with David Nelson.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Moody’s just downgraded the U.S. credit rating — after hours, ahead of tense budget talks. Markets are wobbling, but Trump’s whirlwind Middle East tour secured over $2 trillion in deals.
Are we headed for new all-time highs — or is the rally built on borrowed time and borrowed money?
📉 Credit risk is rising
🌍 Geopolitics are shifting
📈 Markets are still climbing
🎧 Tune in as David Nelson breaks down the risks, the rally, and what it all means for your portfolio.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Wall Street’s riding an emotional rollercoaster—but one name keeps markets grounded: Scott Bessent. In this episode, David Nelson unpacks the tariff turmoil, shifting Fed bets, and why Bessent’s calm, clear messaging has traders reaching for the buy button.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Tensions are rising between President Trump and Fed Chair Jay Powell—but this isn’t the first time a president has clashed with the Federal Reserve. In this episode, David Nelson breaks down Powell’s sharp remarks, Trump’s push for rate cuts, and the long history of political pressure on the Fed—from LBJ to Nixon to Reagan. Plus, what it all means for markets, investors, and the road ahead.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Wall Street is banking on a strong Q4 rebound — but is it too risky? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives into the Fed’s renewed use of the word "transitory" and what it means for investors. With 2025’s market outlook heavily dependent on a late-year recovery, are we setting ourselves up for disappointment? Tune in as David breaks down the risks, the data, and the strategies to navigate this uncertain landscape.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
📉 Mutually Assured Destruction: The Market's Dangerous Balancing Act 📈
Markets are on edge, and uncertainty is wreaking havoc on investors. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down the concept of Mutually Assured Destruction (M.A.D.) — a strategy that’s now playing out in global markets. From rising tariffs to economic volatility, learn how to navigate the chaos, manage risk, and position your portfolio for what’s ahead.
🔎 Is your money in the blast zone? Tune in to find out.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments below!
👍 Like & Subscribe for more insights on market trends, investing strategies, and risk management.
The stock market is more divided than ever, with a 70-point dispersion between winners and losers. Simply beating the market won’t cut it this year—!
🚀 In this episode of The Money Runner, we break down:
✅ Why the biggest stocks are struggling & what it means for YOU 📉
✅ How to escape “dead money” and let your profits run 🚀 Don't settle for average.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Is the Magnificent 7 dead? Every strategist is telling you to move into the other 493 stocks, but is that really the answer? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down why a shotgun approach to the market won’t cut it in 2025. With market dispersion at extreme levels, stock picking and sector rotation matter more than ever. We’ll dive into the AI trade, shifting sector leadership, and why blindly chasing the broader market could be a costly mistake. Tune in to get ahead of the curve!
🔔 Subscribe for more insights! #Investing #MAG7 #StockMarket
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Is Apple losing its innovative edge? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives deep into Apple's recent market moves, the rise of DeepSeek's AI challenge, and why investors are questioning Cupertino’s future. With analysts downgrading shares and whispers growing louder—has Apple played it too safe for too long?
We explore:
✅ The AI revolution shaking up tech markets 🤖
✅ Why Apple surged while others fell 📈
✅ The risks of incrementalism vs. bold innovation 💡
✅ 5 key steps Apple must take to reignite its Think Different spirit 🔥
Join us as we break down whether Apple can reclaim its title as the world’s most innovative company—or if it's destined to follow, not lead.
🔔 Subscribe & Stay Updated
📩 Follow David Nelson on Substack: dcnelson123@substack.com
🎙️ Listen Now!
Apple #Innovation #ThinkDifferent #AI #MoneyRunner #StockMarket
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson, CFA, dives into the latest market trends, including the S&P 500’s performance, rising bond yields, and their impact on stock valuations. Discover what’s driving investor concerns, the sectors leading the charge in 2025, and the economic factors weighing on market momentum. From inflation data to Fed policy shifts, we break down the key insights you need to navigate the financial landscape. Don’t miss this deep dive into market signals and strategies for smart investing.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
In this episode, I dive into the challenges facing traditional 60/40 balanced portfolios and explore innovative alternatives to rethink how we invest. From the shortcomings of fixed income in today’s market to strategies like private credit, long/short equity, and structured notes, I break down practical solutions to diversify risk and enhance returns. If you're ready to think outside the bond box and reshape your investment approach, this episode is for you! Let’s get started.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
"2025 Market Mission Brief! Your Biggest Risk Is Not Taking One"
Step into 2025 with a game plan. We cover a lot of ground in this week’s podcast. AI Tech spending may be bigger than even bulls believe but every bull market has an Achilles Heel and this one is no different. Check out Enemy #1.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
The week ended on a high note but stocks were up against some headwinds as the Fed changed their playbook. This week's Money Runner podcast covers a lot of ground including insider selling and why Wall Street predictions almost never pan out. - David Nelson
"Join David Nelson, Chief Strategist of Belpointe and host of The Money Runner Podcast as he takes you 3,000 feet above Poughkeepsie—literally and figuratively—to explore market trends, predictions, and the unpredictable nature of investing. From black swans to insider selling, learn how to adapt your financial strategy and stay ahead in an ever-changing market landscape. 🚀💼 #Investing #Markets #Finance"
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
"After two years of monster market returns, 2024 is coming to a close with big opportunities—and even bigger risks. What’s next for investors? In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down 4 key strategies to navigate the shifting market landscape, insights into the fading dominance of the Magnificent Seven, and how to prepare for 2025’s biggest challenges. Tune in for actionable advice and data-driven stock-picking tips that can help you make your next move the right one. "
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives into Nvidia's latest earnings and the broader implications for the AI ecosystem. Are companies like Nvidia and the AI industry as a whole too big to fail? We also explore the challenges of market valuations, the rise of small caps, and what the 2024 S&P 500 targets mean for investors. Plus, the unexpected shifts in Fed policy, BRICS’ growing influence, and why “we don’t know what we don’t know” could be the most important investment lesson yet. Don’t miss this insightful analysis! 🚀
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
"Elections have consequences, and so does the way our government operates. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson dives into 'The DOGE Factor,' Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy’s bold mission to cut government waste, and how markets are reacting post-election. From defense spending to deregulation and the shifting yield curve, we explore the financial implications of big government under fire. Don’t miss this deep dive into what’s working, what isn’t, and what’s next for investors!"
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
In this episode of The Money Runner, host David Nelson dives into the economic realities facing the U.S. as the election approaches. With a ballooning federal debt and interest payments projected to skyrocket it's clear the present course in unsustainable. David examines how SpaceX founder Elon Musk might play a role in making Washington more efficient.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Money Runner, host David Nelson, CFA, dives into a volatile day in the markets, discussing his experiences with two major stocks: Newmont Mining and Tesla. Hit from both sides being long Newmont and not owning Tesla made for a bad day. "That's the world we live in as an on the line portfolio manager." You have days like this. We all do." David also explores the broader market environment, including interest rates, geopolitical events, and the upcoming election. He shares insights on how these factors shape investment strategies and why rising interest rates may force us to pull out the Red Zone Playbook.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Full disclosure, I went long Tesla the day following this recording. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson explores the latest trends shaping the stock market, including Warren Buffett's surprising moves, rising valuations, and the AI-driven productivity boom. David delves into how one website is revolutionizing workflows for content creators and what it reveals about the broader AI trade. Is AI just getting started, and what does this mean for future market growth? Tune in as we discuss the forces driving the market, key risks, and why investors need to pay attention to this unfolding transformation.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
David Nelson, CFA, Belpointe Chief Strategist and host of the Money Runner weighs in on the impact of inflation, earnings, and bond volatility. With CPI numbers hotter than expected and a benign PPI report, we explore what it all means for investors. David discusses the Fed's rate dilemma, earnings season kick-off with JP Morgan, BlackRock, and Wells Fargo, and how rising yields are affecting mortgage rates. Plus, find out why the narrative around the Magnificent Seven stocks might be shifting and how "Lawyers in Parachutes" could shake up the markets during the upcoming election.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson, CFA breaks down the current market turmoil, asking the key question traders are facing: "Should I stay or should I go?" With geopolitical chaos, surprise jobs data, and a volatile earnings season ahead, investors are caught between risks of staying in the market and missing out on potential gains by leaving. David dives into everything from bond yields and the Fed, to the looming threat of nuclear tensions, oil disruptions, and what smart money is doing in these unpredictable times.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
David Nelson, CFA host of the Money Runner Podcast breaks down the recent market volatility, offering a raw, unscripted analysis of the latest trends. From the S&P 500’s surprising rally to the role of institutional investors. This episode explores the impact of risk on and risk off sector positioning as well as shifting Federal Reserve policies. The latest inflation data and the Cornucopia conference drove much of the price action this week. Finally, what indicators say the rally has further to go and which ones aren't confirming.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
As the Fed signals imminent rate cuts, major market transformations are on the horizon. In this episode of The Money Runner, David Nelson breaks down expected shifts in the S&P 500, commodities, and small caps. Powell's speech at Jackson Hole changed the market narrative and now investors are piling into a trade that has worked only 2 times in the last decade. Questions and comments welcome.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Join David Nelson, CFA host of "The Money Runner" podcast. The episode dives deep into the fascinating interplay between macroeconomic trends and micro-level risks. Discover how artificial intelligence (AI) is not only revolutionizing financial markets but also reshaping industry and the arts.
From a remarkable market recovery to AI's transformative impact on music and technological innovation, explore how AI navigates the complexities of modern economies. We'll dissect recent movements in retail giants like Wal-Mart, dive into tech's fluctuating fortunes, and evaluate the intricate dance between economic policies and market reactions. Whether you're an investor, a technologist, or an art enthusiast, this episode offers valuable insights into how AI is influencing both the macro and micro facets of our world.
As an added bonus David introduces Chris Patti's new digital artist "Siphia". Trust me, you don't want to miss this.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
In this episode, I explore whether rising interest rates truly curb inflation or inadvertently widen the economic divide between the haves and have-nots. Some are starting to challenge traditional economic theories and ask, "Is it different this time?" The above explores a new concept that is sweeping credit and equity desks. Hope you can tune in. Comments welcome. Thanks for watching.
David Nelson, CFA - Host of the Money Runner
Dive into the complexities of managing investor capital in today's dynamic market. David Nelson, a seasoned portfolio manager and host of the Money Runner Podcast shares his insights on navigating the high-stakes world of finance.
Market Realities: Understand the pressures and responsibilities of managing money, with a focus on maximizing returns and identifying risks.
AI and Investment: Explore the evolving role of artificial intelligence in investment decisions and how it transforms the industry.
Geopolitical and Economic Insights: Learn about the impact of global events, inflation, and energy trends on financial markets and investment strategies.
Hit subscribe and stay informed with expert analysis and strategies for successful portfolio management!
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
Welcome to "The Money Runner" with your host David Nelson, where we dive deep into the current state of financial markets. In today's episode, we explore the recent surge to all-time highs by the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and discuss the implications for investors, advisors, and portfolio managers. We'll examine the market's quick recovery from April's lows and offer strategies for those looking to re-enter the market. We also dissect the latest economic data releases, including PPI and CPI, and assess their impact on future Fed rate decisions. David provides valuable insights into how elevated interest rates affect various sectors, from AI in utilities to opportunities in financial stocks. Join us as we navigate the risks and opportunities in a volatile market environment, analyze geopolitical influences, and predict potential market movements as we approach a pivotal U.S. election. Tune in for expert financial advice and actionable investment strategies.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
The Money Runner" podcast, hosted by David Nelson, offers a no-nonsense approach to finance and investing. Shunning the complicated jargon of Wall Street, Nelson advocates for straightforward strategies.
Throughout the episodes, he provides insights based on his extensive 25-year experience, tackling topics such as market timing, corporate finance dynamics, and economic indicators like the ISM PMI data. With a critical eye on both historical and current market trends, Nelson discusses the broader implications of the recent price weakness of Apple and Nvida's outside day in March.
00:00 I Hate Smart Money Wise Guys
01:06 Going against the grain
01:52 Peter Lynch's Wisdom
02:12 Market Timing Challenges
02:34 Apple Peak?
03:44 Energy Leads
04:04 GE Split up
04:27 ISM Data Double-Edged Sword
04:57 The Terminator
05:19 Fed Speak
06:08 Technical Damage
06:23 Nvidia Warning
06:46 Market Event
07:29 Closing
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
The Money Runner hosted by David Nelson dives deep into the heated debate between index funds and active management. There's a "perfect storm" brewing on the horizon. Ai, the Fed and Apple are colliding creating an opportunity too good to pass up.
00:00 Index Funds vs Active Management
00:33 Change is the True Constant
00:55 The Perfect Storm
01:36 Rise of Index Funds
02:36 Interest Rates, Quantitative Easing
03:47 Ai is the New Age of Compute
05:54 Peak Apple
06:45 Active Manager's Opportunity
08:56 Call to Action
Uncover the Truth Behind the Bull Run: Dive into the frenzy driving today's stock market highs and discover if your investments are at risk.
Decode Nvidia's Earnings: Get an inside look at Nvidia's much-anticipated earnings report and what it means for the future of AI and your portfolio.
Learn from History's Investment Lessons: Explore how past market predictions can guide today's investment strategies and help you avoid costly mistakes.
Analysts Exposed: Find out how analysts' predictions might be inflating stock values and how to read between the lines.
Identify the Real Market Risks: Unravel the broader dangers lurking in the market, from interest rates to the banking sector, and learn how to protect your investments.
Disclosure: "At the time of this article I currently hold shares in some of the companies mentioned as part of investment portfolios in funds I manage for Belpointe. Additionally, I may discuss other securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of
Join David Nelson, CFA for a very special episode of the Money Runner podcast. This is a deep dive into markets and tech stock valuations. Plus 3 things that could end the current love affair with technology shares.
Expert Analysis on Tech Stock Valuations: Explore the fascinating world of tech stocks, including companies like Nvidia and Apple, and understand what their current valuations mean for investors.
Federal Reserve's Impact and Economic Indicators: Discover how Fed policies and economic indicators like inflation rates are shaping the investment environment and what that means for your portfolio.
Geopolitical Factors Influencing Markets: Unpack the influence of global events, from tensions in Ukraine to issues in the Middle East, and their potential impact on the stock market and investment decisions.
00:00 Head First
01:17 Market Wizard
01:36 Even the bulls are scratching their head
02:04 Every time I'm on TV
02:32 Is Apple Stock Expensive?
02:48 Is Nvidia cheap or expensive?
03:21 Dot.Com Bust
03:56 2021 Bubble
04:26 Irrational Exuberance
05:25 Internet bubble bursts
06:53 2024 vs 2021
07:55 3 things that could end the part
09:28 The Fed
10:20 Geopolitical Tensions
11:41 Investing is a journey not a sprint
Uncover Investment Insights for 2024 with Hedge Fund rocks star Dan Niles on The Money Runner! Join David Nelson as he delves into the crucial investment questions of "What's working, what didn't, and what's next' with Dan Niles founder & senior portfolio manager for the Satori Fund. This in-depth discussion offers valuable perspectives on 2023 and potential market surprises for 2024.
00:00 Where the Rubber Hits the Road
00:51 Not afraid to make the big call
01:38 Consensus has been wrong
02:59 Apple
03:54 Wide range of outcomes
04:34 Fed will cut in March
06:38 Market PE
07:49 Down 30%
10:17 Friday will be a good test
11:32 Why Amazon?
14:49 What makes a good short?
16:58 Buying Intel at the bottom
19:00 You need a catalyst
19:53 China
23:37 Massive deficits & De-dollarization
Join David Nelson, CFA host of the Money Runner Podcast for an exclusive interview with a tech luminary who navigated the high-stakes world of Silicon Valley, shaping the very internet we use today. From early days at eBay to pivotal roles at Google, Jeff Huber unveils the transformative power of data and the inside story of a leader at one of the world's most powerful tech companies. Discover the intricate culture of Google and learn how a focus on innovation and technology can drive monumental changes in industry and society. Finally, witness a bold leap into the future as we discuss the shift from ad revenue to the cutting-edge realm of life sciences and the massive potential of genome sequencing. This is a deep dive into the heart of technology's evolution and its leaders who dared to envision a different world.
00:00 Intro
00:32 eBay to Google
01:48 At Home Network
02:06 Where's my email?
03:17 Let's talk about Google
06:11 Google culture
08:09 Undercover Boss
08:36 Making money was unseemly
10:12 3 significant challenges
11:50 Inside view of Google culture
12:52 "Google has done an admirable job.."
15:26 Google X
16:50 Illumina
In episode 2 of The Money Runner interview with Tech visionary Jeff Huber David and Jeff discuss the rising concern over biased or inaccurate output from some large language models.
Concerns Over AI Bias and Security Risks: The conversation highlights that 79% of senior IT leaders have concerns about potential security risks in AI technologies, and 73% worry about biased outcomes.
AI's Tendency to Confirm Existing Beliefs: An example is given where using AI to define a political outcome resulted in the AI seemingly confirming the user's pre-existing beliefs. This raises questions about AI's ability to provide objective information versus reinforcing subjective viewpoints.
AI Hallucinations and Data Dependency: The concept of 'hallucinations' in AI is discussed, explaining that AI systems can produce less reliable or factually incorrect results when dealing with data at the fringes of their training models.
The Challenge of Unbiased AI Systems: The discussion contemplates whether the goal should be to create completely unbiased AI systems or to accept some level of bias for potentially better outcomes.
00:00 Chat GPT lied
01:09 Hallucinations
02:35 Bias
05:22 How will small companies compete
07:50 Who is using A.I. and who's faking it?
09:37 A lot of money will be lost
11:54 So called A.I. experts
Welcome to "The Money Runner," hosted by David Nelson. In this episode, we delve deep into the ever-changing investment landscape.
Change is the only Constant: Discover why adaptability is your most valuable asset
Investor Sentiment and the VIX: The VIX is at lows showing investor complacency is high
AI Revolution in Investing: Like the title says, every company is an AI company even if they don't know it
Case Study: Apple vs Nvidia
Seeking Growth in Small Caps: You'll come away with one small cap energy stock and one quant driven smalll cap ETF
00:00 Change is the only constant
00:24 The VIX
00:57 Fed is at peak Fed funds
01:25 Jeff Huber - Every company will be an...
01:57 Apple vs Nvidia
02:35 Risk on trade
03:01 Goldman capitulates
03:19 What could force the Fed to cut
03:56 Fluence Energy
05:41 Advantis Small Cap ETF
Join us in an eye-opening episode of The Money Runner, where host David Nelson sits down with Jeff Huber, an influential pioneer in the tech industry, to discuss the rapidly evolving world of Artificial Intelligence (AI). Jeff is the co-founder of Triatomic Capital, a former senior vice president at Google, the founding CEO at Grail and sits on the board of too many companies to mention. This podcast will shine a light on the power of AI and its implications for the future. Here's what you can expect.
• The AI Revolution: How AI could be the most significant advancement since the rollout of electricity across the United States.
• Expert Perspectives: Jeff Huber shares his journey from leading projects like Google Ads and Maps to spearheading innovative machine learning projects.
• Generative AI vs. Task-Specific AI: Understanding the difference and the future of AI applications.
• Government's Role: What should the regulatory structure for AI look like?
• The Military and AI: An in-depth look at AI in defense, ethical concerns, and the balance between safety and innovation.
• The Future with AI: Embracing change and preparing for a world where AI is as ubiquitous as electricity.
David recaps the Fed decision day. "I'm sitting in front of my Bloomberg screen digesting all we learned today on the heels of one of the more important Fed meetings of the year. Let me know what you think. If you think I got it wrong shout it out. Best, David Nelson, CFA aka The Money Runner.
Join David Nelson on The Money Runner as he delves into the dynamic world of commodities trading with seasoned expert Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading. In this insightful interview, Carley reveals the nuances of trading commodities versus the stock market, shares her groundbreaking call on the S&P 500, and discusses the intricacies of futures trading. With her extensive background including appearances on CNBC and Bloomberg and a wealth of educational content, Carley offers a deep dive into how she approaches the often-turbulent financial markets.
Disclosure, I may discuss securities that are under consideration for future investment; however, discussing these securities is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. My mention of these securities reflects my personal opinion and analysis at this moment and may change without notice. Please remember that all investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal."
00:00 You think the stock market is crazy?
00:31 Carley Garner
01:23 Carley called the stock market bottom
02:50 Everyone was short
04:14 She has been doing this a long time
06:25 You were right and everyone else was wrong
08:28 I never traded commodities
09:48 Commodities trade sideways
10:45 Leverage
11:16 Patience
11:47 Oil Propaganda
13:43 Mark Cuban
14:58 Does OPEC matter
17:48 The Dollar
19:39 Cash isn't trash
20:21 The everything rally
21:49 Back to the beginning
22:46 Artificial Intelligence
24:45 Trading all night
28:15 How to follow Carley
The rise of Javier Milei in his quest to become Argentinia's next president parallels the election cycle playing out here in the United States. People are fed up with the current political parties desperately looking for an alternative to the status quo.
Big Tech's Market Influence
Walmart's Earnings Report as an economic indicator
Small Cap Stocks - Is this the beginning of a sustained rally
Fed - Can they pull off a soft landing
When the Fed will cut
David Nelson host of the Money Runner dives into last week's data. What worked? What didn't? and What's next. David also shares his report card. Do you think the grade is fair? How would you rate it.
00:00 Bad News
01:02 November Rally
01:29 Small Caps need this to perform
01:50 Walmart rains on the parade
02:47 Walmart earnings
03:23 Dark Side of Higher for Longer
03:40 Banks
04:02 Deflation
04:55 Microsoft All-Time High
05:14 Making money to bleeding cash
05:44 Offensive move
06:12 Is it safe
06:41 When the Fed will cut
07:02 The Greater Fool
07:25 Report card
07:50 Cisco (CSCO)
08:22 Walmart (WMT)
08:50 Bleeding to death
09:59 Nvidia earnings
Dive into the intricate world of financial markets with this week’s episode of ‘The Money Runner’ hosted by David Nelson. This week’s special guest is Michael Gayed, author of the popular @leadlagreport Whether you’re an advisor, investor, or simply curious about the financial markets, Michael has a wealth of knowledge and observations to share. David and Michael go deep into what is driving markets today and the signals that can prepare you for what lies ahead.
00:00 Worst 10 years of my life
01:09 Michael Gayed Interview
02:39 What everyone wants to know
03:10 When markets crash
04:00 Bear Markets
04:22 High Risk Period
05:25 Sentiment was abysmal
06:26 Past matters more than prediction
08:04 The 60-40 portfolio
09:24 FOMO is more powerful than the Fed
10:59 Markets need a catalyst
11:14 The Credit Cycle
12:14 Higher for Longer
13:23 Where the Black Swan Lives
17:04 Treasury Auctions
19:26 Don't be overly convinced
20:02 Can A.I. save the market
21:07 Marc Andreesen
22:31 Let me push pack
25:44 Traditional bond buyers aren't buying
26:42 Hard Landing
27:22 Rest of the Year
28:38 There is no Santa Claus
30:13 The Election Cycle
34:04 Bearish on Humanity?
36:31 My dad ran a hedge fund
37:28 There are no gurus
38:42 I'm an optimist
39:47 Predicting the weather
40:09 Everyone thinks they can be a PM
43:20 What would make you a bull
45:00 You're supposed to Flip Flop
46:06 What did we leave out?
47:36 I'm right a lot, I'm wrong a lot
On the heels of a dovish Fed meeting and weaker than expected jobs report Wall Street Sharks smell a rate cut coming. They aren't wrong. Here's why.
From fear of missing out to fear of losing it all. Investor emotions have been taken on a roller coaster ride. David decodes the recent market action and goes right to the heart of what is forcing traders to the sidelines
00:00 Rough Week
01:05 Houston We Have a Problem
02:02 Living below the 200-day moving avg
02:46 Surrounded
03:19 Geopolitical Tensions
04:24 Bond Supply and Demand
05:40 You have choices
Investors have weapons to battle the market chaos. It's time to gear up, fight back and use them. Here is my favorite plus another A.I. investment. This one will surprise you.
00:00 Surrounded
01:38 Not my first rodeo
02:30 Financial Weapons
03:54 Do the math
04:21 Opportunity
05:06 The promise of A.I.
05:34 Bigger than the internet
06:15 Parker
08:03 Investing in AI
The first step to solving a problem is admitting you have one. The United States is addicted to debt. The elephant in the room is still the same elephant we've been dealing with since last year only bigger. With debts and deficits rising these are the steps we need to take to avoid a full blown financial crisis.
00:00 Threat to the U.S. Financial System
00:35 Widows and orphans aren't safe
01:21 Nonfarm payrolls
02:44 Addicted to debt
03:52 Regime change
05:35 BRICS
06:15 Washington
07:50 Congress
09:23 No more CR
GM CEO Mary Barra says 92% of her $29 Million pay package is performance based. Really? She became CEO in 2014. The stock has gone no where and debt has more than doubled. The UAW which has launched a strike against the big three point to her 34% pay bump as justification for their demands.
00:00 Pay for performance
00:25 Mary Barra GM CEO
01:08 UAW Strike
01:39 UAW Pay Demands
02:21 40%
02:35 Ford CEO says we'd go bankrupt
02:54 Tesla has already won
03:07 Mary Barra's $29 Million Pay Package
03:46 Let's go to the charts
04:17 Debt is rising
04:53 Shared Success
With U.S. debts and deficits rising at an unsustainable pace, eventually someone is going to stand up and shout out, "The Emperor has no clothes!"
David Nelson dives deep into a crisis that has been building for years. Even G20 members are joining BRICS+ not to mention that 5 of the top 10 world oil producers are members as well.
0:00 Market Wall of Worry
00:40 Long term challenges
01:48 B.R.I.C.S
02:40 B.R.I.C.S. Plus
03:24 Putin
03:51 World Leaders - Dollar Concern
04:39 King Dollar
05:37 Ray Dalio
06:01 What can other countries do?
06:56 Saudi Arabia & Iran restore relations
07:54 Emperor has no clothes
08:10 British Empire
08:42 Pathway to failure
09:16 Remember
We've been reading the maps all wrong. The storm isn't behind us, it's dead ahead.
David walks you through the math on why the U.S. is on a path to recession and that there is little we can do to stop it.
00:00 The Yellow Brick Road
01:03 Inverted Yield Curve
03:37 When the recession hits
04:54 Time to get "Real"
05:52 Back to the charts
David Nelson, host of The Money Runner explains why July 6th turned the market on its head and reveals his playbook on how to weather the coming storm in equity and fixed income markets.
00:00 Fear & Greed
00:52 I believe in technology
02:46 Data
04:15 Battle between Growth & Value
06:44 Sector Performance
08:11 Markets pain
08:54 The Trigger
09:25 What if rates go higher?
The Money Runner takes you through a pretty dramatic week. A downgrade of U.S. Debt, Blow out numbers from Amazon, Goldilocks Job Numbers and a disappointing earnings report from America's favorite company.
00:00 Relfelection
00:57 Have a plan
02:20 This is where to look
04:24 Senator Joe Manchin
04:55 11 other countries with a better rating
05:43 We have a problem
06:22 Buffett vs Ackman
07:02 Stocks vs Bonds
08:01 This should have been good news
08:31 Apple
09:52 Where to put fresh money
Stocks are in the Red Zone on a path to all-time highs but as we learned last week every bull market has an Achilles Heel. If valuation was the only thing that mattered Apple (AAPL) would be trading at 100 instead of waltzing into earnings close to 200.
00:00 Stocks in the Red Zone
01:01 Achilles Heel
02:30 Hedge Funds go short
04:18 Bank of Japan catches street off guard
05:13 Apple's biggest risk
06:59 Amazon
In this week's market minute David takes you through what to expect from Alphabet, Microsoft and Meta earnings this week. How big a focus will A.I. be and more importantly for Alphabet and Meta, what is the health of the ad market on the heels of weak reports from OMC and IPG last week.
00:00 GOOGL, MSFT and META to report
01:02 Traders, hedge funds and investors
02:33 Alphabet
03:32 Is Microsoft a monopoly?
04:24 Meta - Mark got the memo
05:56 The smart money
You've missed the bull market and you're asking yourself what do I do now? David Nelson, host of The Money Runner discusses 3 narratives driving market action and shares a strategy that could repair your portfolio and retirement with a big margin of safety.
00:00 You missed the bull market
00:37 There's no shame
01:27 The Bear Case
04:05 The Bull Case
07:01 This will drive the bears nuts
09:42 The Path to an all-time high
11:31 What you should do now
Power corrupts. Absolute power corrupts absolutely. China and the U.S. are on a collision course. Steps the United States must take maintain its leadership in the free world. The war over semiconductors is the tip of the iceberg.
00:00 The Battle
00:30 Export Controls
01:15 Bending over backwards
01:47 I'm just getting started
02:32 We don't live in that world
02:55 Balance of power
03:10 Managing the unwind
03:48 National Security Imperative
04:08 Taiwan
04:37 Strategic Ambiguity
04:54 2027
05:35 We need to control the narrative
05:57 China thinks in terms of decades
06:11 Diplomatic stumble
06:42 U.S. corporations get the message
07:44 Americans get the message
The coup may be over but is this just the beginning of a wider struggle inside Russia? David takes you through the events of the weekend. Questions that have to be asked and answered:
What's actually taking place on the ground?
Why turned Putin's closest ally into a threat?
Why did the Wagner Group back down?
Is U.S. leadership up to the task of navigating the geopolitical minefields ahead?
00:00 Breaking News
00:38 Right out of Hollywood
01:36 Questions that need answers
02:25 Markets hate uncertainty
03:04 Teflon Don
03:43 Biggest Fear - Nukes
04:01 Scrambling for Answers
04:19 Knee Jerk Reactions in Stocks
04:36 Herein lies the opportunity
05:00 Some warnings are legitimate
05:14 A.I. is the best thing...
05:50 Putin is damaged
06:47 Rapidly unfolding events
07:14 "This is historic"
07:37 Be careful what you wish for
07:51 Twitter pumps up the volume
08:17 What we do know
08:48 He said Putin is afraid
09:12 Geopolitical events bring opportunity
09:29 Use that fear to your advantage
So is this a Bull or Bear Market? If you do the math you're going to get the surprise of a lifetime. Nvidia doesn't even make the top 10 of investments this year.
00:00 The narrative for 2023
00:59 The media only cares about clicks
01:25 5% yields
01:38 S&P 500 vs S&P 500 Equal Wt
02:06 Banking Crisis
02:55 Do the Math
03:30 1597
04:05 Artificial Intelligence
04:34 Nvidia doesn't even make the top 10
04:56 Are there risks?
06:01 A year from now
06:30 All the usual suspects
06:53 China - Zero Covid
07:39 Fear - Greed
If you have a dream or passion to succeed there is only one answer. The entrepreneur, the athlete, actor, scientist or just a kid with a dream who doesn't go all-in won't realize their potential and will forever question their decision to play it safe.
Stocks - The market has a habit of turning heroes to zeros in a New York minute.
00:00 When to go all in
01:41 When failure is not an option
02:13 Is recession inevitable?
02:44 What will the Fed do?
03:00 Bull Market?
03:28 Fed wants you to lose your job
04:03 The conundrum
04:16 Nothing changes sentiment like price
04:27 A.I.
05:06 $Trillions
05:25 Recession?
05:48 Capitulation
06:00 Cracks in the financial infrastructure
06:19 Limits to Fed toolbox
06:36 Sitting in cash is an All In Bet too
With $Trillions on the sidelines the recent market surge begs the question is the bull market for real? Two rules to follow in judging if you're thinking about rotating into small caps and deep cyclical stocks.
00:00 Debt Ceiling Crisis Resolved
00:37 Friday's Surge
00:49 Sector Leadership
01:19 Statistical Gap
01:47 What will force a rotation
02:13 Rule #1
03:27 Rule #2
03:45 6 False Rallies
03:56 4200
04:15 What could end the rally?
05:03 Elon Musk says "That's insane"
05:25 China Risk
06:24 Apple is starting to move supply chains
06:37 China's economic challenges
07:16 It may be worse than we think
President Biden and Speaker McCarthy have announced a Debt Ceiling Deal. Of course, there is no deal until they can sell it to wary house members on both sides of the aisle. While it keeps the U.S. solvent it is a short term fix to a long term problem.
00:00 Debt Deal
01:07 The Price Tag
01:40 Criticism from both sides
02:43 Short Term Fix
03:09 Real Leaders
03:28 It isn't rocket science
04:04 Taxation
05:44 77,000
06:29 Tax Capital the same as income
07:27 Level the playing field
09:06 Defense Spending
To some he is the patron saint of invention and freedom and to others the devil incarnate. Here's my story on how Elon saved my Twitter identity. Who knew what was going to come next...
Batman Powell and the Fed need to take a step back and look at the big picture. The idea that the Fed can hit their target of 2% inflation without causing a train wreck is fantasy. The Fed can't go into superhero mode every time the Bat Signal goes up. They've already broken a few banks and if they keep heading down this path will break something bigger. Here's what's coming next.
00:00 Introduction
00:23 I can't get no respect
00:54 Maybe it's the institution
01:24 We need Superheroes
01:55 Volker and Bernanke
02:59 Debt Ceiling
03:28 $620 Billion
03:56 Bank Crisis
05:16 Batman Powell
05:51 Fed can't so this on their own
06:08 A little inflation can help
06:43 China factor
08:09 Jay needs an oncologist
Politicians have been hearing that for the last 50 years. Touch the third rail of politics, Social Security and your political future ends quickly.
This is the Mount Everest of political debates. We all need to touch the third rail in fact I want you to grab it with both hands.
00:00 Touch it
01:06 It's the law
01:51 Trump and Biden agree
02:47 Increase the age to collect benefits
04:31 Raise FICA cap
05:04 Reduce benefits for high earners
05:19 Increase legal immigration
06:32 France
The March non-farm payrolls could push the Fed to make a mistake. My take on the market is going to raise some eyebrows. Is it a Mirage. In 6 months from now we'll know if I'm drinking water or sand.
00:00 The Spin
00:18 Good News Bad News
01:24 236,000
02:07 Challenges
02:38 Market Crash?
02:54 Rolling Recession
03:11 Market Mirage
03:23 Jay is terrified of repeating this mistake
03:43 A dark chapter for America
04:03 It's different this time
04:22 Supply shocks
04:57 Fed's next move
The President a comedian and an Ex President meet to discuss markets and the path forward. The answers are scarier than the questions.
00:00 Jerry what's the deal with the market
00:35 Round Trip
01:18 President Biden - Choices
02:49 Jerry - Investors piling into stocks
03:18 Valuations
03:35 Mega Cap Stocks
04:06 Does it make sense?
04:39 Donald - I'm a winner
05:13 Buying Protection
06:43 You think we're through the worst...
06:56 Earnings Season - Banks
07:44 The Big Buy - Estimates can lie
08:54 Believe me I know fake when I see it
09:44 What's the deal with the negativity
09:59 Beginning of the end...
We are all potential victims to a rising tide of drug assisted despair, even death. Today, there are no shortage of enemies to feed the beast. Some wish to hurt us because we are geopolitical enemies, and others simply because it's profitable. This pod goes deep into the crisis and the path out of the abyss. Sometimes it's personal like yours truly.
Wall Street is genius at coming up with investment products that offer little in the way of innovation but convince you to pay more for it. See for yourself.
00:00 E.S.G - Intro
01:00 ESG Primer
01:37 Fossil Fuels are Ground Zero
01:52 Alternative Energy
02:03 Tesla
02:29 China is #1
02:48 The goal is to make money
03:08 Some ESG funds look like an Index Fund
03:28 Do the Math
04:23 Get out the calculator
04:48 30 cents on the dollar
05:16 Great for Wall Street
05:31 Vanguard pulls out
05:51 Green Paint
06:13 Legislation - Will the President Veto
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
So you want to be a talking head on TV. You're smart, you're talented, and you want to make the next step. There is a dark side to being a TV Talking Head. Let's talk about it.
00:00 So you want to be on TV
00:38 Anchors & hosts need you
00:55 Politics, sports, markets & the economy
01:28 The problem is you start to fall in love...
01:47 Fox news anchor told me this
02:11 Payback
02:43 The best interview
03:08 It hurts
03:24 Broadcast news
03:37 Your own podcast
03:57 It's a gut punch
04:24 Listen to the anchor
04:35 Producers will do anything
04:51 Not as smart as you
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
Stock buybacks are sold as an efficient way to return capital to shareholders. That's the problem with a lie. A good lie has just enough truth in it to sell the fantasy. A stock buyback is CEO code that they have run out of ideas on how to grow the company. The easiest way to hit a performance target and make their bonus, is to buyback stock.
00:00 President Biden's comments
00:22 Bill Clinton
01:00 Performance based pay
01:16 Inside joke
02:11 It sounds great
02:28 Cold hard cash
02:43 Regulating income isn't the goal
02:56 Sky is the limit
03:28 The Lie
03:42 ESG
04:32 Companies that paid the price
04:49 Warren Buffett buys IBM
06:32 Hall of Shame
07:23 The Truth
07:52 Energy
08:49 The President's plan
09:05 The road to hell
09:39 Do something about it
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
This episode explores what the defense department doesn't want you to know. The real cost of shooting down a Chinese Spy balloon, The threats we face are a clear and present danger and if we don't get some religion on how we fund the military we may not be able to deal with these threats in the future.
When I started the Money Runner I said it would be a show about money. Sometimes that takes us into the belly of the beast, Washington. - David Nelson
00:00 Introduction
01:30 Rising threat from China
01:59 Why did we take so long to shoot it down?
02:20 Clear and present danger
02:39 Government Waste
02:54 Benjamins and Political Survival
03:15 Strong National Defense
03:26 Flawed from the start
03:58 F22 history
05:10 Military tries to save money
05:41 Term Limits
06:02 Time to get religionn
06:33 $640 Toilet Seat
07:07 F35 Program
07:31 China, Russia, North Korea & Iran
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
David gives his State of the Market speech to the nation and reveals the day he believes this bear market ends.
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
With time running out, Congress and the President have to forge an agreement before the Debt Ceiling becomes a Debt Crisis. With U.S. debt at a staggering $31.45 Trillion is it time to use the nuclear option?
00:00 Wall of Worry
00:51 Pumping up the volume
01:14 Time will run out
01:27 Edge of the cliff
01:57 What can happen
02:38 Obama signs the bill
03:05 U.S. Credit Rating Cut
03:23 I win you lose politics
03:43 New House Rules
04:03 Debt Limit Raised 78x
04:34 Spending $Trillions
05:14 Fed Debt as a Percent of GDP
05:26 Nuclear Option
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
How a little-known non-profit tracked over 150 million financial transactions without a warrant. If you aren't angry about this, you should be.
Today we are conducting bulk investigations of people living in border states. Tomorrow - It's you!
Taking a hard look at the Transaction Record Analysis Center.
00:00 It's up to you
00:28 The Center of this Story
00:42 TRAC
01:45 Internal Documents show
02:18 Need to be a member of law enforcement
02:30 Cartels
03:02 Senator Wyden
03:36 We've made enormous strides as a nation
04:08 China
04:27 Tomorrow it's you
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
David lays out his market prediction for 2023!
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
ll branches of the military use ORM or some type of Operational Risk Management system. There's no shortage of challenges and risks for investors as we enter 2023. This is your Go No Go Portfolio Checklist.
00:00 ORM
01:07 The Consensus View
01:32 2022 Review
02:20 Fed's Current Mandate
02:48 Geopolitical Risk
03:07 Elephant in the Room
03:28 FAANG
03:51 Yield
04:02 So what does this mean for 2023
04:18 There was no alternative
04:41 Don't have to be stock centric anymore
04:53 Gold and Crypto
05:04 Recession?
05:16 Where could I be wrong?
05:49 Stocks could explode higher if this happened
06:01 Miracle #3
06:21 The Bottom Line
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
7.4%. That's the only number you need to know. We got another read on the inflation front Friday and it showed that producer prices were up 7.4% year over year.
It's been 14 years since the dawn of the great financial crisis.Every step of the way, the Fed had your back with easy money, ready to pump whatever liquidity was needed to shore up confidence. Well, those days have come and gone. Jay Powell has a clear message he wants to send to investors. Don't.....
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
On the surface 263K jobs is Hot and even Hotter were wages. With jobs so strong why do I believe the U.S. is headed for Recession! Dig Deeper. It's staring us right in the face.
00:00 Predictions
00:33 Elephant in the Room
00:48 CPI
01:11 Where's the Love
01:47 To be fair
02:11 Market Disconnect
02:23 5.4%
02:37 What the Bulls see
02:49 Here's what I think
03:20 What it would take for...
Late Monday Bloomberg reports that none other than legendary hedge fund manager Carl Icahn had a sizable short position in GameStop (GME)
I'll bet dollars to donuts Carl sees what I see.
Stocks smell it. Americans feel it and Governments won't even talk about it. The dreaded R word lurks out there almost like a mysterious dark force waiting to pounce.
Recession 2023 - David walks you through the data that show its coming and the tools he uses that reveal when the market should bottom.
Elon Musk - "Shared power curbs the worst excesses..."
First rule in medicine is "Do No Harm." Anything that makes the Fed's job easier has got to increase the odds of success.
Check this week's Winners and Losers section- Lots of surprises.
00:00 Introduction
00:35 Red Wave Hits Florida
00:55 Balance of Power
01:30 Democracy
01:42 Voters are Angry
01:55 Inflation and Crime
02:45 Exit Polls
03:08 Both Sides of the Aisle
03:26 Money and Markets
03:52 Why markets like Gridlock
04:44 Winners and Losers
Think this week's stock market rally was big? Check out what happened on January 3rd, 2001.
David talks about the setup into the CPI report, the market reaction and what could happen next.
On the surface Friday's employment data was robust coming in well above consensus. But when you dig down into the report you see household employment was very weak. It's clear a lot of young Americans either don't want a job or have other reasons for not entering the work force.
We had 3 recent blowups in the communication sector, META, GOOGL and SNAP. The common denominator is that shareholders have little or no influence on the founders. Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg is spending in inflation adjusted dollars close to what the entire Apollo Mission Program to go to the moon cost on an unproven platform called the Metaverse.
The founders have all but eliminated shareholder rights. I'll take you through the details and point to a different path taken by arguably the best CEO in our lifetime. Welcome to The Money Runner