From the New World: Recent Episodes

Cactus

THE podcast on institutions.

cactus.substack.com

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Find Lumpenspace:

https://x.com/lumpenspace

Mentioned in the episode:

https://github.com/lumpenspace/raft

https://www.amazon.com/Impro-Improvisation-Theatre-Keith-Johnstone/dp/0878301178

https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.03335

https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.12948

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Find Richard:

https://x.com/richardhanania

https://www.amazon.com/Origins-Woke-Corporate-Identity-Politics/dp/0063237210

https://www.amazon.com/Public-Choice-Theory-Illusion-Strategy-ebook/dp/B09L9Y2W7S

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Curtis Yarvin is the author of Unqualified Reservations and Gray Mirror.

Hear Curtis speak on building political momentum, the Performative Right, the Trump Everything App, modern-day Manhattan Projects, the good and bad of automation, the Chinese trade strategy, and what lessons AI research can take from the Wuhan Institute of Virology.

These episodes were recorded over the course of 2022 and 2023. I took them down during my time in DC, but they have been among the most requested episodes to be brought back.

Find the author:

https://x.com/curtis_yarvin

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Yuri Bezmenov is the author of the Yuri Bezmenov Substack.

Find Yuri:

https://x.com/yuribezmenov22

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/the-natalism-conference

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/why-i-am-not-a-pronatalist

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Nathan Pinkoski is a writer at Compact and First Things.

Find Nathan:

https://x.com/NPinkoski

https://firstthings.com/archive/?_author=nathan-pinkoski

Mentioned in the episode:

https://firstthings.com/actually-existing-postliberalism/

https://firstthings.com/spiritual-death-of-the-west/

https://www.compactmag.com/article/how-the-deep-state-took-down-nixon/

https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/whole-society-american-politics

https://www.amazon.com/Catholicism-Christ-Common-Destiny-Man/dp/0898702038

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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This episode was originally published on December 23rd, 2024.

James Pogue is contributing editor at Harper's magazine, a contributing writer at the New York Times, and the author of Chosen Country: A Rebellion in the West.Find James:

https://x.com/jhensonpogue

https://www.amazon.com/Chosen-Country-Rebellion-James-Pogue/dp/1250169127

Mentioned in the episode:

James’ profile of Senator Chris Murphy: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/19/opinion/chris-murphy-democrats.html

James on Bannon, the New Right, and Nato: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/story/steve-bannon-nato-world-order

James on the New Right: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/04/inside-the-new-right-where-peter-thiel-is-placing-his-biggest-bets

Martyrmade on inner city conflict: https://www.martyrmade.com/featured-podcasts/whose-america

Dr. Jonathan Askonas on From the New World: https://www.fromthenew.world/p/jon-askonas-propaganda-to-the-end

Benjamin Teitelbaum on From the New World, discussing Bannon and Traditionalism:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/benjamin-teitelbaum-the-civil-war

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Geoff Shullenberger is managing editor of Compact and co-host of the Blame Theory podcast.

Find Geoff:

https://x.com/g_shullenberger

https://www.compactmag.com/contributor/geoff-shullenberger/

Mentioned in the episode:

https://harpers.org/archive/1964/11/the-paranoid-style-in-american-politics/

https://www.amazon.com/United-States-Paranoia-Conspiracy-Theory/dp/0062135554

https://www.amazon.com/Birth-Biopolitics-Lectures-Coll%C3%A8ge-1978-1979/dp/0312203411

http://home.lu.lv/~ruben/Deleuze%20-%20Postscript%20On%20The%20Societies%20Of%20Control.pdf

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Anjney Midha is a GP at Andreessen Horowitz and an early investor in Anthropic, Mistral, Black Forest Labs, and many other AI companies.

Find Anjney:

https://x.com/AnjneyMidha

https://a16z.com/author/anjney-midha/

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/take-jd-vances-ai-speech-literally

https://darioamodei.com/on-deepseek-and-export-controls

https://lmarena.ai/

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Kevin Dolan is the founder of Exit Group and the organizer of the Natalism Conference.

Find Kevin:

https://www.natalism.org/

https://x.com/extradeadjcb

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.com/Dragons-Snakes-Rest-Learned-Fight/dp/019026568X

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/simone-and-malcolm-collins-god-and

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Mark Lutter is the founder and executive director of the Charter Cities Institute.

Find Mark:

https://x.com/MarkLutter

https://chartercitiesinstitute.org/

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.palladiummag.com/2025/01/17/build-the-presidio-freedom-city/

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/18/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-jake-auchincloss.html

https://zanzalu.org/

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Find Alex:

https://x.com/alexpriou

https://www.amazon.com/Musings-Platos-Symposium-Alex-Priou/dp/1895131677

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.mobilistiek.nl/assets/junger-total-mobilization-doc.pdf

https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/760945/the-technological-republic-by-alexander-c-karp-and-nicholas-w-zamiska/

https://firstthings.com/baps-confusions/

https://www.amazon.com/Selective-Breeding-Philosophy-Costin-Alamariu/dp/B0CJ3ZDHF6

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Henry Oliver is the author of The Common Reader newsletter and Second Act: What Late Bloomers Can Tell You About Reinventing Your Life.

Find Henry:

https://www.amazon.com/Second-Act-Bloomers-Success-Reinventing/dp/1399813315

https://x.com/HenryEOliver

Mentioned in the episode:

https://medicine-opera.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/D-e-Quincy-On-the-Knocking-at-the-Gate.pdf

https://www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/44272/the-road-not-taken

https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/The_Works_of_Voltaire/Volume_36/The_Temple_of_Taste

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hollow_Crown_(TV_series)

https://www.amazon.com/Deceit-Desire-Novel-Literary-Structure/dp/0801818303

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Lomez, also known as Jonathan Keeperman, is the founder of Passage Press.

Find Lomez:

https://passage.press/

https://x.com/L0m3z

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.com/Machiavellians-Defenders-Freedom-James-Burnham/dp/1470889269

https://blog.rootclaim.com/rootclaims-covid-19-origins-debate-results/

https://www.ecohealthalliance.org/2013/09/ecohealth-alliance-announces-new-award-from-usaid-to-combat-disease-emergence-and-climate-change-in-asia

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/james-pogue-nature-strife-and-american

https://www.ft.com/content/a46cb128-1f74-4621-ab0b-242a76583105

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/classic-episode-curtis-yarvin-summoning

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Richard Hanania is the author of the Richard Hanania Newsletter, the Origins of Woke, and Public Choice Theory and the Illusion of Grand Strategy.

Find Richard:

https://x.com/RichardHanania

https://www.amazon.com/Origins-Woke-Corporate-Identity-Politics/dp/0063237210

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.com/Fossil-Future-Flourishing-Requires-Gas-Not/dp/0593420411

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Find Richard:

https://x.com/richardhanania/

https://www.amazon.com/Origins-Woke-Corporate-Identity-Politics/dp/0063237210

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/deepseek-v3-and-r1

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/martin-casado-ai-hard-limits

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/jeffrey-ding-defeat-china-ai-diffusion

https://www.amazon.com/Technology-Rise-Great-Powers-International/dp/0691260346

https://about.fb.com/news/2024/07/open-source-ai-is-the-path-forward/

https://github.com/huggingface/open-r1

https://economics.mit.edu/sites/default/files/2024-05/The%20Simple%20Macroeconomics%20of%20AI.pdf

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Chris Best is the CEO and co-founder of Substack.

Find Chris:

https://x.com/cjgbest

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.com/See-Satan-Fall-Like-Lightning/dp/1570753199

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Dean Ball is a research fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, a non-resident fellow at the Foundation for American Innovation, and the author of the Hyperdimensional Substack.Find Dean:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/dean-ball-ai-is-already-highly-regulated

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-08/biden-to-further-limit-nvidia-amd-ai-chip-exports-in-final-push

https://semianalysis.com/2025/01/15/2025-ai-diffusion-export-controls-microsoft-regulatory-capture-oracle-tears/

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/jeffrey-ding-defeat-china-ai-diffusion

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/american-sovereignty-is-back

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Find Mike:

https://www.piratewires.com

https://x.com/micsolana

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.cato-unbound.org/2009/04/13/peter-thiel/education-libertarian/

https://www.piratewires.com/p/revolution-of-the-broletariat

https://www.piratewires.com/p/peter-thiel-the-diversity-myth-a

https://www.piratewires.com/p/tether-part-i

https://www.ft.com/content/a46cb128-1f74-4621-ab0b-242a76583105

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find the youtube streams and video versions of some podcasts here:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAukDUJ7kS8AJSiL0BXq2pw

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Find James:

https://x.com/jhensonpogue

https://www.amazon.com/Chosen-Country-Rebellion-James-Pogue/dp/1250169127

Mentioned in the episode:

James on Chris Murphy: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/19/opinion/chris-murphy-democrats.html

James on Bannon, the New Right, and Nato: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/story/steve-bannon-nato-world-order

James on the New Right: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/04/inside-the-new-right-where-peter-thiel-is-placing-his-biggest-bets

James with Marshall Kosloff :

Martyrmade on inner city conflict: https://www.martyrmade.com/featured-podcasts/whose-america

Dr. Jonathan Askonas on From the New World: https://www.fromthenew.world/p/jon-askonas-propaganda-to-the-end

Benjamin Teitelbaum on From the New World, discussing Bannon and Traditionalism:

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find Jon:

https://x.com/JonAskonas

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/collections/reality-a-post-mortem

Mentioned in the episode:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Children_of_Men

https://www.amazon.com/Battling-End-Conversations-Beno%C3%AEt-Chantre/dp/0870138774

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/for-whom-shall-we-build

https://jsomers.net/DFW_TV.pdf

https://www.theamericanconservative.com/the-win-condition/

https://claremontreviewofbooks.com/digital/the-flight-93-election/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/We_(novel)

https://passage.press/products/xenosystems

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Canticle_for_Leibowitz

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/bonus-episode-jon-askonas-on-alternate

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find Marc:

https://a16z.com/

https://twitter.com/pmarca

Mentioned on the episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/economists-vs-eas-2

https://www.amazon.ca/True-Believer-Thoughts-Nature-Movements/dp/0060505915

https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262630184/men-machines-and-modern-times/

https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23794855/anthropic-ai-openai-claude-2

https://www.amazon.ca/Capitalist-Realism-There-No-Alternative/dp/1846943175

https://www.samharris.org/podcasts/making-sense-episodes/324-debating-the-future-of-ai

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find Eugenia:

https://replika.com/

https://x.com/ekuyda

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.com/Becoming-Person-Therapists-View-Psychotherapy/dp/039575531X

https://www.amazon.com/Most-Human-Talking-Computers-Teaches-ebook/dp/B004FEG2S6

https://www.amazon.com/Innovations-Psychosocial-Interventions-Their-Delivery/dp/0190463287

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find Jeffrey Ding:

https://www.amazon.com/Technology-Rise-Great-Powers-International/dp/0691260346

https://jeffreyjding.github.io/

https://x.com/jjding99

Mentioned in the episode:

https://about.fb.com/news/2024/07/open-source-ai-is-the-path-forward/

https://www.china-briefing.com/news/china-cybersecurity-regulations-what-do-the-new-regulations-say/

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find Ben:

https://x.com/benteitel

War for Eternity: The Return of Traditionalism and the Rise of the Populist Right https://www.amazon.com/War-Eternity-Return-Traditionalism-Populist/dp/0141992034

Mentioned in the episode:

Ben’s article about Bannon:https://www.compactmag.com/article/steve-bannons-spiritual-exile/

Peter Thiel Oxford Union Speech:

Marc Andreessen Interview about Deadwood (with Richard Hanania and Rob Henderson):

The Individualists:

https://press.princeton.edu/ideas/matt-zwolinski-and-john-tomasi-on-the-individualists

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find Todd:

https://progresschamber.org/team/todd-oboyle/

https://x.com/ttoboyle

https://progresschamber.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Democratic-Cost-of-Living-Agenda-CHOP.pdf

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.affuture.org/research/7-preemption/

https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2024/02/ftc-proposes-new-protections-combat-ai-impersonation-individuals

https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/377170/kamala-harris-economic-policy-new-progressive-economics

https://www.rstreet.org/commentary/ai-and-public-health-part-3-how-ai-can-revolutionize-drug-discovery/

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Find Oliver:

https://x.com/og_giesecke

https://www.olivergiesecke.com/

og25@stanford.edu

Mentioned in the episode:

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4736003

https://papers.olivergiesecke.com/AISurveySlides.pdf

https://www.recodingamerica.us/

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/beyang-liu-machine-learning-that

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Find Michael:

https://x.com/M_Millerman

https://millermanschool.com/

Mentioned in the show:

https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/N/bo49994271.html

https://scholars-stage.org/the-silicon-valley-canon-on-the-paideia-of-the-american-tech-elite/

https://www.amazon.com/Reign-Quantity-Signs-Times/dp/0900588675

https://www.amazon.com/Strauss-Plato-Nietzsche-Philosophy-Lectures/dp/1589881907

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find Ari and Jon:

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/authors/ari-schulmanhttps://x.com/arischulmanhttps://x.com/jonaskonas

Mentioned in the Episode:

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/09/opinion/ivf-debate.html

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/open-wallets-empty-hearts

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/who-is-the-new-atlantis-for

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/the-paradox-of-conservative-bioethics

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/for-whom-shall-we-build

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/rational-magic

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/welcoming-our-new-robot-overlords

https://x.com/xenocosmography/status/1843120642402767069

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Find Noah Smith:

https://x.com/Noahpinion

From the New World Dinner:

https://lu.ma/cn34w8dd

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.com/We-Were-Burning-Entrepreneurs-Electronic/dp/0465091180

https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/09/26/1104516/three-mile-island-microsoft/

https://www.amazon.com/How-Asia-Works-Joe-Studwell/dp/0802121322

https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w29126/w29126.pdf

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[Interview republished in the main section so that it appears on the regular podcast feed]Find Tyler:

https://marginalrevolution.com/

https://x.com/tylercowen

Find me:

AI Meetup / SB 1047 is Over Party:https://lu.ma/sa5q2tko

Alliance for the Future: https://www.affuture.org/donate/

https://x.com/psychosort

Mentioned in the episode:

Chuck Schumer report

https://www.schumer.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/Roadmap_Electronic1.32pm.pdf

AI Safety is dead:

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-05-21/ai-safety-is-dead-and-chuck-schumer-faces-risks

Pelosi on SB 1047:

https://pelosi.house.gov/news/press-releases/pelosi-statement-opposition-california-senate-bill-1047

SB 1047 Timeline:https://reason.com/2024/08/16/california-lawmakers-face-backlash-over-doomsday-driven-ai-bill

GOAT book

https://goatgreatesteconomistofalltime.ai/en

CSIS Report on Open Source and Defense:

https://www.csis.org/analysis/defense-priorities-open-source-ai-debate

Change in vibes post:

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/07/the-changes-in-vibes-why-did-they-happen.html

Elites:

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/09/a-simple-theory-of-which-thinkers-support-the-elites-or-not.html

Noah US State Capacity:

The Art of Power:

https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/The-Art-of-Power/Nancy-Pelosi/9781668048047

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Find Eric:

https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg

https://www.turpentine.co/

Mentioned in the episode:

https://claremontreviewofbooks.com/digital/the-flight-93-election/

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Timestamps:

1:57 Interview starts / Will there be an AI monopoly?

5:33 The Bitter Lesson

19:30 Government AI Scaling Projects

25:09 AI Agents Versus Information Theory

34:25 Little Tech and Politics

Find Martin:

https://a16z.com/author/martin-casado/

https://x.com/martin_casado

Mentioned in the Episode:

William Perry and Martin’s course at Stanford: https://web.stanford.edu/class/msande91si/slides/msande91si_course_information.pdf

US Senate AI Roadmap: https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000018f-79a9-d62d-ab9f-f9af975d0000

Entropy bounds in Information Theory: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entropy_(information_theory)

Martin and Ion Stoica on Little Tech and Open Source: https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2024/07/29/keep-the-code-behind-ai-open-say-two-entrepreneurs

This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find Beyang:

https://x.com/beyang

https://sourcegraph.com/

This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Find Max:

https://arenamag.com/

https://x.com/mualphaxi

Mentioned in the episode:

https://arenamag.com/2024/06/03/ai-monopolies-not-so-fast/

https://arenamag.com/2024/07/31/the-tinkerers-box-of-dreams/

https://arenamag.com/2024/06/05/the-dream-of-speed/

https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a12149389/robert-noyce-tom-wolfe/

https://www.tabletmag.com/feature/american-vulcan-palmer-luckey-anduril

This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.fromthenew.world/subscribe

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Isaac Simpson is a former copywriter, writer at the American Mind, and author of The Carousel newsletter.

Find Isaac:

https://x.com/DisgracedProp

Mentioned in the episode:

https://americanmind.org/features/a-matter-of-taste/politics-is-not-downstream-from-culture/

https://americanmind.org/features/a-matter-of-taste/

https://americanmind.org/features/a-matter-of-taste/tv-is-always-progressive/

https://www.amazon.com/Managerial-Revolution-What-Happening-World/dp/1839013184

https://www.amazon.com/Adventures-Screen-Trade-Hollywood-Screenwriting/dp/0446391174

https://savethecat.com/

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Find Jeremy:

https://www.amazon.com/Unprotected-Class-Anti-White-Destroying-America/dp/1684514584https://twitter.com/realJeremyCarlhttps://www.claremont.org/bio/jeremy-carl/Mentioned in the podcast:

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Find Matt:

Mentioned in the episode:

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Find Dean:

https://twitter.com/deanwball

https://www.mercatus.org/scholars/dean-ball

Alliance for the Future:

https://www.affuture.org/contact/

Email me:

chau [at] affuture [dot] org

Mentioned in the show:

https://www.nationalaffairs.com/publications/detail/how-to-regulate-artificial-intelligence

https://twitter.com/TansuYegen/status/1649143110331510785

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Find Jeremy:

https://twitter.com/jeremykauffman

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.com/Hierarchy-Forest-Evolution-Egalitarian-Behavior/dp/0674006917

https://thenetworkstate.com/

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0146167210366854

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/rob-henderson-social-problems-need

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/razib-khan-genetic-founding-crimes

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Find Simone and Malcolm:

https://twitter.com/SimoneHCollins

https://pronatalist.org/

https://www.youtube.com/@SimoneandMalcolm

https://www.amazon.com/Pragmatists-Guide-Crafting-Religion-Demographic/dp/B0BSJ5SXK2

Mentioned in the episode:

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Perry Metzger is the co-founder and chairman of the board of Alliance for the Future. Perry is a computer scientist, entrepreneur, and consultant. He is the current founder and CEO of a stealth AI startup.

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Saagar Enjeti is the co-host and co-founder of Breaking Points.

Find Saagar:

https://www.youtube.com/@breakingpoints

https://twitter.com/esaagar

Alliance for the Future:

https://www.affuture.org/donate/

https://www.affuture.org/contact/

https://twitter.com/psychosort/

Mentioned in the Episode:

https://www.amazon.com/Bad-Therapy-Kids-Arent-Growing-ebook/dp/B0CBYHTV2D

https://thenewpress.com/books/two-faces-of-liberalism

https://www.amazon.com/Master-Senate-Years-Lyndon-Johnson/dp/0394720954

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Find Anatoly:

https://twitter.com/powerfultakes

Mentioned in the episode:

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Bryan Caplan is a professor of economics at George Mason University and the author of many books, including “You Will Not Stampede Me: Essays on Non-Conformism“.

Find Bryan:

https://twitter.com/bryan_caplan

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.ca/Good-Mood-Psychology-Overcoming-Depression/dp/0812690982

https://www.hup.harvard.edu/books/9780674707580

https://www.amazon.ca/Voters-Mad-Scientists-Political-Irrationality/dp/B0C2SD1K8B

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Find Roko on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/RokoMijic/

Mentioned in the Episode:

AI is Easy to Control - Nora Belrose

From the New World / Samo Burja

From the New World / Roko Mijic (First Episode)

We Need a Manhattan Project for AI Safety - Sam Hammond

Timestamps:

0:00 Putin alignment38:00 the internet as fossil fuel56:00 civilizational collapse1:10:00 government alignment failure

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Find Sam:

https://twitter.com/hamandcheese

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/marc-andreesen-the-time-to-fight#details

https://thenetworkstate.com/

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James Pethokoukis is the author of The Conservative Futurist: How to Create the Sci-Fi World We Were Promised, and a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.

Find James:

https://twitter.com/JimPethokoukis

https://www.amazon.ca/Conservative-Futurist-Create-Sci-Fi-Promised/dp/1546005544

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/marc-andreesen-the-time-to-fight#details

https://www.amazon.ca/iGen-Super-Connected-Rebellious-Happy-Adulthood/dp/1501151983

https://www.amazon.ca/Two-Parent-Privilege-Americans-Stopped-Getting/dp/0226817784

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Find Marc Andreessen:

https://a16z.com/

https://twitter.com/pmarca

Mentioned on the episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/economists-vs-eas-2

https://www.amazon.ca/True-Believer-Thoughts-Nature-Movements/dp/0060505915

https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262630184/men-machines-and-modern-times/

https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23794855/anthropic-ai-openai-claude-2

https://www.amazon.ca/Capitalist-Realism-There-No-Alternative/dp/1846943175

https://www.samharris.org/podcasts/making-sense-episodes/324-debating-the-future-of-ai

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Jon Askonas is a professor at The Catholic University of America and a contributor to the New Atlantis and Compact. We discuss technological change, Marshall McLuhan, why conservatism is prone to grift, Democracy, the January 6th hearings, Rene Girard, and apocalypse.

Jon Askonas:

https://twitter.com/JonAskonas

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/authors/jon-askonas

Jon’s articles mentioned:

https://compactmag.com/article/why-conservatism-failed

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/reality-is-just-a-game-now

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/what-happened-to-consensus-reality

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/how-stewart-made-tucker

Mentioned in the episode:

https://hiddenforces.io/podcasts/whats-happened-to-consensus-reality-jon-askonas/

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/the-analog-city-and-the-digital-city

https://www.dukeupress.edu/on-the-modern-cult-of-the-factish-gods

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Find James:

https://twitter.com/jamespoulos

Mentioned in the episode:

https://humanforever.us/

https://www.amazon.ca/Art-Being-Free-Tocqueville-Ourselves/dp/1250077184

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Find Thaddeus:

https://www.thaddeusrussell.com/

https://twitter.com/ThaddeusRussell

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/jacob-siegel-social-media-censorship#details

https://www.thaddeusrussell.com/podcast/202

https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/guide-understanding-hoax-century-thirteen-ways-looking-disinformation

https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2020/05/data-driven-defeat-information-versus-interests-in-afghanistan/

https://www.amazon.ca/iGen-Super-Connected-Rebellious-Happy-Adulthood/dp/1501151983

https://www.thecoddling.com/

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Find Jonah:

https://twitter.com/jonahdavids1

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.ca/iGen-Super-Connected-Rebellious-Happy-Adulthood/dp/1501151983

https://www.amazon.com/Generations-Differences-Millennials-Silents_and-Americas/dp/1982181613/ref=sr_1_1?qid=1692303420&refinements=p_27%3AJean+Twenge&s=books&sr=1-1

https://twitter.com/psychosort/status/1684407652523155456?s=20

Timestamps:

01:15 Toronto

39:00 Mental Illness

1:29:00 Loneliness and Economic Models

1:51:00 Therapeutic Culture

2:08:00 Social Anxiety

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Razib Khan is a geneticist, host of the Unsupervised Learning podcast, and writer of an excellent newsletter.

Find Razib:

https://twitter.com/razibkhan

Mentioned in the episode:

https://thenetworkstate.com/microhistory-and-macrohistory

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Son_Also_Rises_(book)

Timestamps:

0:00 Anons

14:00 Genetic Crimes

57:00 Genomic Models

1:12:00 Strauss

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Joshua Steinman is a former Director of Cyber and Deputy Assistant to the President in the National Security Council. He is also the co-founder and CEO of Galvanick.

Find Joshua Steinman:

https://twitter.com/JoshuaSteinman

https://www.galvanick.com/

Mentioned in the episode:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OODA_loop

https://www.galvanick.com/post/galvanick-announces-10-million-in-seed-funding-for-its-industrial-cybersecurity-platform

https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2020/05/data-driven-defeat-information-versus-interests-in-afghanistan/

https://www.techtarget.com/searchsecurity/definition/North-American-Electric-Reliability-Corporation-Critical-Infrastructure-Protection-NERC-CIP

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Matthew Archer is the Editor-in-Chief of Aporia, a social science substack devoted to exploring controversial and important ideas in a fair & rigorous manner. Bo Winegard is the Executive Editor of Aporia and an independent scholar. He has a PhD in social psychology.

Find Aporia:

https://twitter.com/AporiaMagazine

https://twitter.com/EPoe187

Mentioned in the episode:

https://twitter.com/RichardHanania/status/1659910385141686273?s=20

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/richard-hanania-returns-how-status#details

https://twitter.com/AporiaMagazine/status/1671217007650390017

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666560321000438

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Find Sam:

https://americanmind.org/features/the-exterior-darkness/whos-on-the-other-end-of-the-chatbot/

https://www.bionicmarketing.io/

https://twitter.com/samuelwoods_

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.amazon.ca/Cynefin-Weaving-Sense-Making-Fabric-World/dp/1735379905

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Process_and_Reality

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Noah Smith is an economist, former Bloomberg columnist and the writer of the Noahpinion newsletter.

Find Noah:

https://twitter.com/Noahpinion

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/02/opinion/democrats-liberalism.html

https://technomancers.ai/japan-goes-all-in-copyright-doesnt-apply-to-ai-training/

https://www.amazon.ca/Concrete-Economics-Hamilton-Approach-Economic/dp/1422189813

https://eig.org/new-start-ups-break-record-in-2021-unpacking-the-numbers/

https://twitter.com/BrandonLBradfor

https://twitter.com/wil_da_beast630

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Richard Hanania is the author of “Public Choice Theory and the Illusion of Grand Strategy” and the upcoming book “The Origins of Woke: Civil Rights Law, Corporate America, and the Triumph of Identity Politics”. He is also the author of an excellent newsletter.

Find Richard:

https://twitter.com/RichardHanania

https://www.amazon.com/Public-Choice-Theory-Illusion-Strategy-ebook/dp/B09L9Y2W7S

https://www.amazon.ca/Origins-Woke-Corporate-Identity-Politics-ebook/dp/B0BHWMJWW3

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/02/us/affirmative-action-university-of-california-davis.html

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/

https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/618154/regime-change-by-patrick-j-deneen/

https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691146256/the-rise-of-the-conservative-legal-movement

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Lyman Stone is a Demographer and Writer, focusing on the issues of pronatalism, family, and religion.

Find Lyman:

https://twitter.com/lymanstoneky

https://sites.google.com/view/lymanstone/home

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/malcolm-collins-the-parasite-precipe

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/simone-collins-optimized-dating-parasocial#details

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/eric-kaufmann-whiteshift-blueshift#details

https://www.amazon.com/Birth-Control-American-Modernity-History/dp/1316519589

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Jacob Siegel is a senior editor of Tablet Magazine and a co-host of the Manifesto! podcast. He is also the author of the landmark article “A Guide to Understanding the Hoax of the Century”.

Find Jacob:

https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/guide-understanding-hoax-century-thirteen-ways-looking-disinformation

https://twitter.com/Jacob__Siegel

https://www.tabletmag.com/contributors/jacob-siegel

https://manifesto.fireside.fm/

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/jacob-siegel-a-friendly-quarrel-in

Mentioned on the Episode:

https://www.fromthenew.world/p/jon-askonas-politics-is-downstream#details

https://americanmind.org/memo/black-boxing-democracy/

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/what-was-the-fact

https://www.amazon.ca/Two-Faces-Liberalism-John-Gray/dp/1565846788

https://www.nas.org/academic-questions/35/4/four-reasons-why-heterodox-academy-failed

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Curtis Yarvin is the writer of Unqualified Reservations and Gray Mirror. 

Find Curtis:

https://cactus.substack.com/p/curtis-yarvin-summoning-the-best#details

https://cactus.substack.com/p/curtis-yarvin-what-lies-upstream#details

Mentioned on the episode:

https://cactus.substack.com/p/jon-askonas-politics-is-downstream#details

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/reality-is-just-a-game-now

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Byne Hobart is the writer of The Diff. He is an exceptional writer on finance and a wide collection of other topics. We discuss anecdotes, organizational theory, OpenAI, democracy, boom-bust cycles, and crystallized knowledge, among other topics.

Find Byrne:

https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart

Mentioned on the show:

https://cactus.substack.com/p/chatgpt-is-lanley-not-spock-artificial

https://mlzeng.com/an-interesting-equation.html

https://www.amazon.ca/Zero-One-Notes-Startups-Future/dp/0804139296

https://www.amazon.ca/Untitled-Houghton-Mifflin-Harcourt/dp/0358250412

https://www.thebigquestions.com/2023/04/05/gpt-4-fails-economics/

https://www.amazon.com/Reckoning-David-Halberstam/dp/0688048382

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Today’s guest is Bryan Caplan, a professor of economics at George Mason University, author of the Bet On It newsletter and many books, including Voters as Mad Scientists: Essays on Political Irrational.

Find Bryan Caplan (and buy his books):

https://twitter.com/bryan_caplan

https://www.amazon.com/Voters-Mad-Scientists-Political-Irrationality/dp/B0C2SD1K8B

https://www.amazon.com/How-Evil-Are-Politicians-Demagoguery/dp/B09YQGKBXH

https://www.amazon.ca/Myth-Rational-Voter-Democracies-Policies/dp/0691138737

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=28088

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Curtis Yarvin is the writer of Unqualified Reservations and Gray Mirror. We discuss abortion, resentment, soft power, Desantis, social scenes, missionaries, and machine learning.

Find Curtis:

Mentioned on the show:

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Eric Torenberg is the founder of Village Global, Ondeck, and the first employee of Product Hunt. We discuss tech, silicon valley as a media power, public impact, social desirability, egalitarianism, and dating advice for young founders.

Find Eric:

https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg

Mentioned in the episode:

https://claremontreviewofbooks.com/digital/the-flight-93-election/

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Brett Andersen is the author of the “Imitations of a New Worldview” substack, where he writes about philosophical traditions in the context of evolutionary psychology, complexity, and cognitive science. We discuss all of those topics, as well as Jordan Peterson, humanities education, and evolutionary mismatch.

Find Brett:

https://twitter.com/BrettPAndersen

Mentioned in the show:

https://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674979888

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/03/06/the-end-of-the-english-major

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Jon Askonas is a professor at The Catholic University of America and a contributor to the New Atlantis and Compact. We discuss technological change, Marshall McLuhan, why conservatism is prone to grift, Democracy, the January 6th hearings, Rene Girard, and apocalypse.

Jon Askonas:

https://twitter.com/JonAskonas

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/authors/jon-askonas

Jon’s articles mentioned:

https://compactmag.com/article/why-conservatism-failed

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/reality-is-just-a-game-now

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/what-happened-to-consensus-reality

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/how-stewart-made-tucker

Mentioned in the episode:

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/the-analog-city-and-the-digital-city

https://www.dukeupress.edu/on-the-modern-cult-of-the-factish-gods

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Zvi is a COVID forecaster, writer of thezvi blog, and game designer at the recently released (as of republishing) card game https://emergentstcg.com.

We discuss Magic the Gathering, chess and computability, learning curves, COVID projections, the CDC banning testing, immoral mazes, selection effects, psychological malleability, Robin Hanson and medicine, institutional incentives, egalitarianism, civilizational collapse, populism, libertarianism, and pure math.Note: the timestamps are somewhat inaccurate due to editing and intro.

0:00 MTG

19:00 chess, computability, and learning

36:30 COVID projections

49:00 CDC banning tests + immoral mazes

57:15 narrative hedging

1:14:05 selection vs. malleability

1:21:20 Robin Hanson and medicine

1:55:00 institution building

2:00:05 egalitarianism and social competition

2:13:30 were we in a golden age?

2:15:30 decivilization

2:18:50 economies of scale

3:03:00 chaos and order

3:14:05 pure math

Zvi’s Blog:

http://thezvi.wordpress.com/

Zvi on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/TheZvi

Episode with Samo Burja:

Episode with Robin Hanson:

CDC banning COVID tests:

https://www.science.org/content/article/united-states-badly-bungled-coronavirus-testing-things-may-soon-improve

Moral Mazes book:

https://www.amazon.ca/Moral-Mazes-Corporate-Managers-Updated/dp/0199729883

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Simone Collins is the co-founder of pronatalist.org and co-author of the Pragmatist’s Guide series.

Find Simone:

https://twitter.com/SimoneHCollins

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08FMWMFTG

https://pronatalist.org/

Mentioned in the episode:

https://wwnorton.com/books/Policy-Paradox

Timestamps:

0:00 Evolutionary Mismatch8:30 Transmaxxing13:00 The Sacred31:00 Social Justice46:00 Pronatalism1:10:30 Parasocial Relationships1:28:30 Self-Deception2:01:00 Post-Irony2:29:30 “Wokeness” as a Term2:56:00 Incels

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Dwarkesh Patel is the host of The Lunar Society podcast and writes The Lunar Society newsletter.

Find Dwarkesh:

https://twitter.com/dwarkesh_sp

Mentioned in the show:

https://www.americanmoment.org/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_Game_No_Lifehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_Note

Timestamps:

0:00 zoomers

8:00 childhood

15:00 administrative state

25:00 prodigies

35:00 art and digitization

53:00 Economic progress

56:00 Talent

1:19:00 Curtis Yarvin

1:32:00 Podcasting

1:47:00 Effective Altruism

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Mentioned in the episode:

https://theworthyhouse.com/2022/10/31/on-the-fragility-of-the-current-regime/

https://theworthyhouse.com/2022/08/13/my-advice-to-the-young/

Timestamps:

0:00 Dating Advice10:00 Testosterone18:00 Virtualization34:00 Fracture vs. Collapse1:07:00 Technology and Conservatism1:23:00 Power is always a means to an end1:43:00 The future regime2:06:00 Hobbits and Elves

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I’m crossposting this episode from the Moment of Zen podcast, a tech podcast hosted by Erik Torenberg, Antonio Garcia Martinez, and Dan Romero. In it I discuss ChatGPT, machine learning, pluralism, and regime politics. This was one of the most enjoyable podcast appearances for me so far.

Timestamps:

(1:00) Why is ChatGPT woke? (6:23) DAN (do anything now) (12:20) Who cares if chatGPT is a little woke?(16:00) OpenAI is just protecting themselves (23:00) Why is it so bad that chatGPT is a little woke? (27:00) Why not compete with openAI directly? (33:00) Why pluralism instead of truthism? (40:00) How can pluralism win? (42:00) Polarization is good (51:00) The arc of technology is centralization (1:12:30) Reconciling contradictions (1:21:40) Explaining The Cathedral (1:32:00) Why politics matters for tech

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Roko Mijic is a rationalist, writer of the Heretical Update newsletter, and the inventor of “Roko’s Basilisk”.

Roko’s Links:

From the New World is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

https://twitter.com/RokoMijic

Mentioned in the episode:

https://spandrell.com/2018/01/21/leninism-and-bioleninism/

https://www.thegpttimes.com/

Timestamps:

0:00 Rationality

21:30 Signalling

42:00 Lockdowns

57:30 Selection Effects

1:09:00 Feminism and Housing

2:09:00 Crypto

2:51:00 Elite Theory

From the New World is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

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Due to some hardware failure, I’m not able to access recordings at the moment. Consequently, this is a good moment to share an episode which both myself and the audience place among the best. It is also one that is surprisingly relevant to current events, for a podcast recorded over half a year ago.

Curtis Yarvin is the founding of Urbit, former writer of Unqualified Reservations and now writes at Gray Mirror:

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Rob Henderson is a writer of an excellent Substack, a founding faculty of UATX, and a recent recipient of a psychology PhD. We discuss the evolution of media, the “policy left”, noblesse oblige, the Tripartite War, the meaning crisis, Eric Berne, and transactional analysis.

Timestamps:

0:00 Media12:00 Tiktok22:00 “Policy left”33:00 Elites and Status Competition52:00 Noblesse Oblige58:00 Parallel Status Hierarchies1:07:00 Tripartite War1:42:00 Meaning vs. Pleasure1:55:00 Eric Berne and Transactional Analysis2:39:00 Chaos and Order

Rob on Substack:

Twitter:

https://twitter.com/robkhenderson

Pieces Mentioned:

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Malcolm Collins is the co-founder of pronatalist.org and the Collins Institute, along with his wife Simone. We discuss Cultural Evolution, Puritans, Wokeness, Psychiatry, Effective Alutrism, Pronatalism, Gene Editing, Trads, Eschatology, and Good and Evil.

Timestamps:

0:00 Western Civilization4:00 Memes21:00 Hicksite Quakers28:30 Psychiatry37:30 Fashion50:00 Effective Altruism57:00 Gene-Culture Coevolution102:00 Depopulation1:33:00 Trads1:55:00 Eschatology2:11:00 Historical Direction2:32:00 Good and Evil3:07:00 Autism3:12:00 Order and Chaos

Malcolm and Simone on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/SimoneHCollins

pronatalist.org

https://collinsinstitute.org/

Pieces mentioned:

The Pragmatist Guide Series by Simone and Malcolm Collins:https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08FMWMFTG?binding=kindle_edition&ref=dbs_dp_rwt_sb_pc_tukn

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Greg Guevara, or “Jreg”, is a satirist and post-ironic former candidate for mayor of Ottawa.

Jreg on Youtube:

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCGSGPehp0RWfca-kENgBJ9Q

Centricide: www.youtube.com/watch?v=cTFiTqe1sng&list=PLGALsgF3LJjxcs7Hc9aPZwPqd1toJbcrJ

Jreg on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/mc_swm

My Conversation with Sam Hammond:

My Conversation with Curtis Yarvin:

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Samuel Hammond is the director of social policy at the Niskanen center and the author of the Second Best newsletter. We discuss religion, Peter Thiel, artificial intelligence, critical theory, industrial policy, Georgism, resource scarcity, bureaucracy, prisoner’s dilemmas, care work, and Canada.

https://secondbest.ca/

Samuel at Niskanen:

https://www.niskanencenter.org/author/samuel-hammond/

Samuel on AI:

Samuel on Mormons:

From the New World Episode with Richard Hanania:

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Last week I brought you my favorite episode from the archives, with Samo Burja. I asked on twitter for my audience’s favorite episode and unsurprisingly it is this one. There’s no doubt that part of this is because Tyler is the most well-known guest on this podcast. But listening to the episode in hindsight, my impression of it is better than it was before. It remains true that I didn’t have the time to ask many questions I was interested in (I have whole sections of prep labelled “Georgism”, “economics^2“, “global hierarchies“ that were left untouched, and there was much more on immigrant subcommunities). Nonetheless, it seems to be like my podcast contained much novelty on an avenue of the Tyler Cowen thought, at least in public, and preceeded some popular marginal revolution posts, such as https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2022/10/classical-liberalism-vs-the-new-right.html.

Tyler Cowen is a Professor of Economics at George Mason University and writer of the legendary blog Marginal Revolution alongside Alex Tabarrok. We discuss talent, Ontario, immigrants, institutional trust, power attractors, the Intellectual Dark Web, public health, the internet, generation Z, the significance of social change versus technology, upsides of wokeness, populism, imposter syndrome, self-deception, and corporate hiring.

Marginal Revolution

https://marginalrevolution.com/

Talent by Tyler Cowen and Daniel Gross

https://www.amazon.ca/Talent-Identify-Energizers-Creatives-Winners/dp/1250275814

From the New World Episode with Zvi Mowshowitz:

From the New World Episode with Robin Hanson:

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This remains my favorite episode, despite Samo’s squeaky chair and some audio misses. We discuss ideas that have made a profound impact on my thinking, such as narrative hedging, the Bismarckian compromise, and energy leaps. This may sound like it was recorded last week with the insightful observations on energy and geopolitical conflict, but it was actually recorded nearly a year ago, at the end of April, and releasing in the middle of May.

Samo Burja is the founder and president of the consulting company Bismarck Analysis, a Research Fellow at the Long Now Foundation and a Senior Research Fellow in Political Science at the Foresight Institute. He is also the writer of the Bismarck Brief newsletter, linked below.

In this podcast, we discuss the life of Otto Von Bismarck, the political economy of institutions, narratives as a hedge against failure, the coming energy transition, differences between Europe and America, regulation as vengeance, live players, Elon Musk, and the global financial system.Bismarck Analysis:

https://www.bismarckanalysis.com/#/

Bismarck Brief:

Samo Burja on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/SamoBurja

The Costs of European “Privacy” Regulation:

https://www.nber.org/papers/w30028

EU Artificial Intelligence law:https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/05/13/1052223/guide-ai-act-europe/

Great founder theory:

https://samoburja.com/great-founder-theory/

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Richard Hanania’s substack

A Psychological Theory of the Culture War

On DeSantis

Reagan and Civil Rights Law

His first time on FTNW:

Bryan Caplan on FTNW:

Michelle Goldberg on Trump and Mental Illness

https://slate.com/human-interest/2016/09/trump-induced-anxiety-is-a-real-thing.html

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Michael Gibson is a venture capitalist and author of Paper Belt on Fire.

Paper Belt on Fire:https://www.amazon.com/Paper-Belt-Fire-Fight-Progress/dp/164177245X

Bryan Caplan — The Case Against Education:https://www.amazon.ca/Case-against-Education-System-Waste/dp/0691174652

Bryan Caplan on FTNW:

Timestamps:

0:00 Scenes

22:00 Rationalism

38:00 Conservatism

57:00 Thiel Fellowship

1:49:00 Science Fiction

2:00:00 Order and Chaos

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Angel on Twitter Moderation:https://quillette.com/2022/11/23/twitter-is-not-the-town-square/

Angel Eduardo and Curtis Yarvin:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fkLhtTT1vnQ

Geoff Shullenberger on Popularism:https://compactmag.com/article/the-death-of-popularism

Tom Leung and his brother:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLSomJ8Ls87G9Ct0c4m-tKM47wuI2pwRNA

More in Common Report:https://www.moreincommon.com/

FIRE Surveys:https://www.thefire.org/research-learn/student-surveys

Timestamps:

0:00 Free Speech41:00 Trump53:30 Partisanship1:09:30 Starmanning1:34:00 Suicide2:02:30 Urgency2:22:00 Twitter2:28:00 Media Incentives

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Freddie deBoer is a writer and the author of The Cult of Smart.

The Incoherence and Cruelty of Mental Illness as Meme — Freddie deBoer:

Freddie deBoer’s first appearance on FTNW:

The Cult of Smart:https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250224491/thecultofsmartTimestamps:

0:00 Class Analysis10:30 Mental Illness43:00 Internet Incentives1:28:00 McLuhan1:41:00 Elite Competition

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Garett Jones is a professor of economics at George Mason University and the author of several books: Hive Mind, 10% Less Democracy, and his latest book: The Culture Transplant.

Buy The Culture Transplant:https://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=35594

Garett’s other books:

https://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=28088https://www.sup.org/books/title/?id=23082

My Interview With Tyler Cowen:

Ezra Klein and Matt Yglesias:

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/21/podcasts/transcript-ezra-klein-interviews-matthew-yglesias.html

Timestamps:

0:00 Democracy33:00 Libertarianism37:00 Singapore43:00 Intelligence1:10:10 State Capacity1:18:30 Immigration and Culture1:41:00 Diversity1:50:00 Public Trust2:00:00 Populism and Shorism

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Michael Shermer is the Founding Publisher of Skeptic magazine and the author of many books, including Why People Believe Weird Things, the Moral Arc, and most recently, Conspiracy: Why the Rational Believe the Irrational.

Conspiracy:https://www.amazon.ca/Conspiracy-Why-Rational-Believe-Irrational/dp/1421444453

Richard Hanania Interview:

Jon Askonas: Reality is Just a Game Now

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/reality-is-just-a-game-now

0:00 History

6:30 Conspiracy Theories

24:00 Religious Sects

41:00 Evolutionary Adaptation

57:30 Social Media Algorithms

1:13:30 Sex Differences

1:17:00 Trump

1:31:00 Pandemics

1:36:00 Deep State

1:51:00 Lab Leak

1:59:00 The Intellectual Dark Web

2:10:00 Academia

2:28:00 Chaos and Order

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Richard Bruns is an economist who worked on cost-benefit for the FDA and now works at a biosecurity organization funded by the Open Philanthropy Foundation.

Tyler Cowen on From the New World

Zvi Mowshowitz on FTNW:

Scott Alexander on the FDA

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In which we discuss:Effective Altruism

Psychopathy

Machine Learning

Philosophy of Science

Neuroticism

Free Speech

Catholic Integralists

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Robin Hanson is a leading research of prediction markets, a professor of economics at George Mason University, author of the Elephant in the Brain and the Age of Em, and the writer of the blog Overcoming Bias.0:00 Authenticity9:30 Autodidacts22:30 Deaths of Despair39:20 World Mob1:17:00 The Sacred1:28:30 Tax Career Agents1:39:00 Elon Musk1:42:00 Academic Standards1:51:00 Academia and IQ tests2:25:00 Order and Chaos

Round 1:

Robin Hanson and Agnes Callard on Autodidacts:

https://mindsalmostmeeting.com/episodes/autodidact

Robin Hanson Debates Curtis Yarvin:

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Jon at the New Atlantis:

https://www.thenewatlantis.com/authors/jon-askonas

Why Conservatism Failed:

https://compactmag.com/article/why-conservatism-failed

Podcast with Jon and Geoff Shullenberger:

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Jonathan Rauch is the author of the Constitution of Knowledge, Kindly Inquisitors, the Happiness Curve, and much more.0:00 The Constitution of Knowledge23:30 Trump28:00 Cognitive Bias48:15 Game Theory 1:12:00 Egregores

BJ Campbell on From the New World:

Jonathan Rauch — How American Politics Went Insane:

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/07/how-american-politics-went-insane/485570/

Atlantic Dinosaurs:

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/09/dinosaur-extinction-debate/565769/

Political Realism: How Hacks, Machines, Big Money, and Back-Room Deals Can Strength American Democracy:

https://www.amazon.ca/Political-Realism-Back-Room-Strengthen-Democracy-ebook/dp/B00WNCUMEW

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Arnold Kling is an economist, former writer at EconLog and writer of the In My Tribe substack, and the author of many books, including Specialization and Trade: A Reintroduction to Economics, and

The Three Languages of Politics: Talking Across the Political Divides. We discuss polarization, Never-Trumpers, intellectual honesty, specialization, vaccines, scientific innovation, tribalism, empathy, “fantasy intellectual teams”, and the administrative state.

0:00 Polarization

20:30 Never-Trump

41:00 Intellectual Honesty

1:03:00 Specialization

1:21:00 Vaccines and Innovation

1:39:20 Does specialization cause tribalism

2:24:00 Order, Chaos, and the Administrative State

In My Tribe, by Arnold Kling:

Econlog:

https://www.econlib.org/author/akling/

Specialization and Trade:

https://www.amazon.ca/Specialization-Trade-Re-introduction-Arnold-Kling-ebook/dp/B01GW3SOOM

The Three Languages of Politics:

https://www.amazon.ca/Three-Languages-Politics-Talking-Political/dp/1944424466

My conversation with Zvi Mowshowitz:

My conversation with Richard Hanania:

Designing a Better Regulatory State by Arnold Kling:

https://www.nationalaffairs.com/publications/detail/designing-a-better-regulatory-state

Albion's Seed: Four British Folkways in America:

https://www.amazon.ca/Albions-Seed-British-Folkways-America/dp/0195069056

Special Providence: American Foreign Policy and How It Changed the World

https://www.amazon.ca/Special-Providence-American-Foreign-Changed/dp/0415935369

Warriors and Worriers:

https://www.amazon.ca/Warriors-Worriers-Survival-Joyce-Benenson-ebook/dp/B00HO6WT3O

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Jeremy is senior fellow at the Claremont institute, writer and builder in early silicon valley, contributor to many, many publications, and Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Interior in the Trump administration. We discuss early silicon valley, the dissident right, authoritarian regimes, rationalism, Covid policy, immigration, economies of scale, chesterton, and “Godel, Escher, Bach”.

Jeremy on Web 1.0:

https://return.life/2022/03/07/web-1-0/

Jeremy’s Twitter:

https://twitter.com/https://twitter.com/jeremycarl4

Curtis Yarvin on From the New World:

Godel Escher Bach:

https://www.amazon.ca/Godel-Escher-Bach-Eternal-Golden/dp/0465026567

Power of the powerless:

https://hac.bard.edu/amor-mundi/the-power-of-the-powerless-vaclav-havel-2011-12-23

Geoff Shullenberger and I on his podcast, Outsider Theory

Compact Endorsement of Trump:

https://compactmag.com/article/he-s-still-the-one

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Bryan Caplan is an economist and professor at George Mason University, the writer of the betonit substack and the author of many books: The Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, the Case Against Education, Open Borders: the Science and Ethics of Immigration, and the newly released Don’t Be A Feminist: Essays on Genuine Justice.

Bryan’s Susbtack:

Timestamps:

0:00 Feminism

30:40 Wokeness and Anti-wokeness

39:40 Social Desirability Bias

1:00:45 Private Companies

1:05:20 Rebranding Libertarianism

1:15:15 Life as a Public Intellectual

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James Pogue is a uniquely interest journalist and author of Chosen Country: a Rebellion in the West. You can find his work in Vanity Fair, Harper’s Magazine, and many more outlets.

Timestamps (You’ll need them this time):

0:00 American Mythology

17:00 Disenchantment

55:00 Truckers

1:01:00 Elite Theory

1:24:00 Forestry

1:48:00 Rights Regime

2:04:00 Social Media

2:36:00 De-Civilization

2:44:00 South Africa

3:01:00 Political Violence

4:00:00 The Deep Right

4:58:00 Ron Desantis

5:40:00 Principles

My interview with Curtis Yarvin:

Part 1 of My Series on NatCon:

Common Sense Piece on Trucker Protests

New Yorker Profile of Mark Milley:

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/08/15/inside-the-war-between-trump-and-his-generals

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Steve Hsu is a theoretical physicist at Michigan State, the co-founder of Genomic Prediction, and write of the blog Information Processing.

Round 1 with Steve Hsu:

Episode with Zvi Mowshowitz:

Information Processing: https://infoproc.blogspot.com/

Steve on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hsu_steve

Human Nature (Documentary): https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9612680/

Timestamps:

0:00 genomic prediction

12:20 communication, statistics and media

38:20 use of force

41:20 predicting intelligence

55:30 do progrsssives hate stats?

144:45 gene editing

2:00:00 He Jiankui

204:15 Machine Learning

218:30 Nazis in the Western memory

235:00 science fiction

240:20 chaos and order

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Eric Kaufmann is a professor at Birkbeck, University of London, a columnist at Unherd and the author of Whiteshift.

Twitter:

https://twitter.com/epkaufm

Unherd:

https://unherd.com/author/eric-kaufmann/

Whiteshift:

https://www.amazon.ca/Whiteshift-Populism-Immigration-Future-Majorities/dp/1468316974

0:00 is race overrated or underrated?

13:03 leftmodernism

26:20 scapegoating

33:20 ethnic nation states

101:20 tolerance

112:20 DEI

119:50 Brexit

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My twitter: https://twitter.com/psychosort

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Tyler Cowen is a Professor of Economics at George Mason University and writer of the legendary blog Marginal Revolution alongside Alex Tabarrok. We discuss talent, Ontario, immigrants, institutional trust, power attractors, the Intellectual Dark Web, public health, the internet, generation Z, the significance of social change versus technology, upsides of wokeness, populism, imposter syndrome, self-deception, and corporate hiring.

Marginal Revolution

https://marginalrevolution.com/

Talent by Tyler Cowen and Daniel Gross

https://www.amazon.ca/Talent-Identify-Energizers-Creatives-Winners/dp/1250275814

From the New World Episode with Zvi Mowshowitz:

https://cactus.substack.com/p/zvi-mowshowitz-how-the-worst-people

From the New World Episode with Robin Hanson:

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Zvi is a COVID forecaster, writer of thezvi blog, and game designer at emergents.

We discuss Magic the Gathering, chess and computability, learning curves, COVID projections, the CDC banning testing, immoral mazes, selection effects, psychological malleability, Robin Hanson and medicine, institutional incentives, egalitarianism, civilizational collapse, populism, libertarianism, and pure math.
Note: the timestamps are somewhat inaccurate due to editing and intro.

0:00 MTG

19:00 chess, computability, and learning

36:30 COVID projections

49:00 CDC banning tests + immoral mazes

57:15 narrative hedging

1:14:05 selection vs. malleability

1:21:20 Robin Hanson and medicine

1:55:00 institution building

2:00:05 egalitarianism and social competition

2:13:30 were we in a golden age?

2:15:30 decivilization

2:18:50 economies of scale

3:03:00 chaos and order

3:14:05 pure math

Zvi’s Blog:

http://thezvi.wordpress.com/

Episode with Samo Burja:

Episode with Robin Hanson:

CDC banning COVID tests:

https://www.science.org/content/article/united-states-badly-bungled-coronavirus-testing-things-may-soon-improve

Moral Mazes book:

https://www.amazon.ca/Moral-Mazes-Corporate-Managers-Updated/dp/0199729883

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Manny Rinconcruz is a financial historian, a member of the history working group at Standard Hoover Institution, an open source software developer buttonwood foundation (buttonwood.foundation), and the author of the thinking.farm newsletter. His views do not reflect those of his employer.

Manny’s twitter:

https://twitter.com/mrinconcruz

His newsletter:

http://thinking.farm/

Manny and Niall’s piece in the Wall Street Journal:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/stablecoins-infect-financial-markets-janet-yellen-terra-luna-tether-crypto-run-risk-collapse-recession-investment-dollar-stability-inflation-11655057043?mod=article_inline

My thread on populism:

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Rob’s First Episode:

His article on the University of Austin:
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/07/25/opinion/welcome-alternative-lack-academic-freedom-college-campuses/

His substack:

Jonathan Haidt’s article:

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2022/05/social-media-democracy-trust-babel/629369/

My critiques of Haidt:

My discussion with Malcom Kyeyune:

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Alex Nowrasteh is an immigration research and director of economic and social policy studies at the Cato Institute, as well as the author of the book “Wretched Refuse?: The Political Economy of Immigration and Institutions”. We discuss immigration, the US legal immigration system, the immigration bureaucracy, appeals to chaos and order, libertarianism, populism, whether politics is driven by ideas or personalities, political violence, and electoral systems.
Alex at Cato:
https://www.cato.org/people/alex-nowrasteh

Wretched Refuse?: The Political Economy of Immigration and Institutions:

https://www.amazon.ca/Wretched-Refuse-Political-Immigration-Institutions/dp/1108702457

Alex on the Fifth Column podcast:
https://play.acast.com/s/5c3e264f78c059c75c5e8ccf/607995b1b1d7373173d667fb

My Conversation with Samo Burja:

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Demetri Kofinas is the host of the Hidden Forces podcast. His insightful interviews and commentary on financial markets, commodities, supply chains, and media have been a part of my learning for several months.

The Hidden Forces podcast:

https://hiddenforces.io/

His episode with Doomberg (the most recent out of many):

https://hiddenforces.io/podcasts/food-shortages-energy-security-doomberg/

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Freddie Deboer is a writer on substack and a contributor to many publications. He offers a unique perspective, coming from the economic left while seeing through a range of strategic and policy failures. We discuss progressive organizations, doomerism, the politics of recognition, state capacity, patronage systems, civil rights law, housing, monarchy, mental illness, distrust of institutions, and the relationship between the Bernie left and the media.

Freddie on Substack:

Extended bio by Bari Weiss:

Ryan Grim on progressive institutions:

https://theintercept.com/2022/06/13/progressive-organizing-infighting-callout-culture/

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Malcom Kyeyune is a columnist for Compact magazine and contributor to Unherd. In this show we discuss working class politics, education gaps, caste, universalist ideologies, burnham and elite theory, decivilazation, the threat of autocracy and anarchy, curtis yarvin, civil war, historicism, and network states.

Malcom in Compact:

https://compactmag.com/columnist/malcom-kyeyune

Malcom on twitter:

https://twitter.com/Tinkzorg

Curtis Yarvin on Elves and Hobbits:

Our discussion:

A short explainer:

Podcast with Samo Burja:

The Network State by Balaji Srinivasan:

https://thenetworkstate.com/

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Bohan Lou is a colleague in the UATX summer program, a graduate of Yale University, and a product manager at Lyft. He has interests in religious studies and philosophy.
Follow Bohan on twitter: https://twitter.com/loubohan

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Nils is the VP of programs at the Bergruen institute and deputy editor of Noema magazine.

Issues and Timestamps:

0:00 right-wing policy movement

8:30 supreme court

18:54 legitimacy

29:12 right wing postmodernists

32:50 state capacity

52:00 fda and neuroticism

1:39:00 populists right vs. libertarians

153:30 aesthetic preferences

223:00 problems of power analysis

238:00 centralization vs. bureaucracy

3:00:00 politics of recognition

Relevant links:

Nils Gilman on twitter:

https://twitter.com/nils_gilman?

Noema magazine:

https://www.noemamag.com/

https://www.noemamag.com/author/nils-gilman/

Institutionalized with Aaron Sibarium, Charles Fain Lehman, Nils Gilman:

Ezra Klein and Alex Tabarrok on “Supply Side Leftism”:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/18/podcasts/transcript-ezra-klein-interviews-alex-tabarrok.html

Ezra Klein and Patrick Deneen:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/13/podcasts/transcript-ezra-klein-interviews-patrick-deneen.html

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A Solo Discussion of the Podcast’s Past, Motivation, and Strategy.

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Ron Unz is the founder of Wall Street Analytics, former candidate for California governor and the publisher of the Unz Review. Topics include the IDW, neo-reactionaries, Ukraine, the Maidan revolution, the military-industrial complex, the nature of lobbying, over and under generalizations, wokeness, lab leak, U.S. biodefense programs, and the possibility that COVID is one of them.

Rubio’s Senate Questioning on “Biowarfare labs”:

https://www.rubio.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/2022/3/rubio-speaks-at-senate-foreign-relations-committee-hearing-on-putin-s-invasion-of-ukraine-condemns-talks-with-maduro

The Unz Review:

https://www.unz.com/

Ron Unz on COVID Biowarfare:

https://www.unz.com/page/covid-biowarfare-articles/

Bari Weiss on the IDW:

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/08/opinion/intellectual-dark-web.html

The Current Thing Meme:

https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/i-support-the-current-thing

Mearshimer lecture:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrMiSQAGOS4

New York Times: US Intelligence Helping Kill Russian Generals:

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/04/us/politics/russia-generals-killed-ukraine.html

Nicholas Wade Lab Leak Article:

https://nicholaswade.medium.com/origin-of-covid-following-the-clues-6f03564c038

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Doomberg the green chicken is the publisher of the Doomberg newsletter, which covers energy, finance, food, and more. They are the second ranked paid newsletter after their first month of premium launch. Their team also runs a small consulting company / think tank, which analyzes similar issues.

We discuss branding, consulting, the COVID downturn, inflation, money, rare earth metals, oil, ESG, polarization, bureaucracies, corporate America, W2 tax policies, sensationalism, PR and crisis management, propaganda, and nuclear energy.

Doomberg on Substack:

On Twitter:

https://twitter.com/DoombergT

Samo Burja Podcast:

Doomberg on Cows:

Grim Diesel:

Starvation Diet:

Atlantic Anti-People:

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/05/population-growth-housing-climate-change/629952/

BJ Campbell Egregores:

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Jacob is a senior writer for Tablet, writer of the scroll newsletter, and host of the Manifesto! Podcast with novellist Phil Klay. We discuss iconoclasm, curiosity, technology and centralization, Andrew Yang, postliberalism, Curtis Yarvin, bureaucracy, Bidenism, the secular and religious worlds, and the importance of quarrel.

This is the first of three episodes in which I find myself with much greater disagreements with my guests. You may agree with my position, or you might agree with their’s. In any case, I hope you understand and seek to learn from our exchange, whether it’s on the topics of this episode or more controversial ones. Jacob and I discuss this explicitly near the end of the episode, and find great value in speaking with each other despite our disagreements. I hope you will too. Here’s Jacob Siegel.

The Scroll:

The Manifesto! Podcast:
https://isi.org/modern-age/the-authentic-reactionary/

https://mosaicmagazine.com/response/arts-culture/2020/12/my-quarrel-with-hersh-rasseyner/

https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/the-post-liberal-politician

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BJ Campbell is the author of the Handwaving Freakoutery newsletter.

We discuss a variety of topics, including egregores, a term he uses to describe a type of online conformity behaviour, updating moralities, statistics, guns, evolutionary psychology, vaccines, wokeness, war, nationalism, political violence, January 6th, QAnon, coordiantion problems, religions in the online era, gun-prepping, the post-liberal right, Curtis Yarvin, crime rates, Shiri’s scissor, and why everything needs more chaos. 

Handwaving Freakoutery:

Egregores:

The Mathematical Case for Prepping:

HWFO on Gender Gap:

Firehose of B**t:

Hanania on Fragile Wokeness: 

Yascha Mounk: The Great Experiment https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/665275/the-great-experiment-by-yascha-mounk/

Network Connectivity in Pizzagate:

https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0233879

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Rob is a phD candidate at Cambridge university in moral psychology, the writer of the robkhenderson newsletter and the inventor of the term “luxury beliefs”. Topics include universities, dating markets, analyzing social situations, anxiety in Gen-z, luxury beliefs, signalling, wordcels, and informal networks. 

Rob Henderson on twitter:

https://twitter.com/robkhenderson

Rob K Henderson Newsletter:

Extended Bio on Bari Weiss’ podcast:

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Samo Burja is the founder and president of the consulting company Bismarck Analysis, a Research Fellow at the Long Now Foundation and a Senior Research Fellow in Political Science at the Foresight Institute. He is also the writer of the Bismarck Brief newsletter, linked below.

In this podcast, we discuss the life of Otto Von Bismarck, the political economy of institutions, narratives as a hedge against failure, the coming energy transition, differences between Europe and America, regulation as vengeance, live players, Elon Musk, and the global financial system.
Bismarck Analysis:

https://www.bismarckanalysis.com/#/

Bismarck Brief:

Samo Burja on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/SamoBurja

The Costs of European “Privacy” Regulation:

https://www.nber.org/papers/w30028

EU Artificial Intelligence law:
https://www.technologyreview.com/2022/05/13/1052223/guide-ai-act-europe/

Great founder theory:

https://samoburja.com/great-founder-theory/

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Roon is a machine learning engineer, anonymous writer at roonscape.substack.com, and the inventor of the term “wordcel”. He’s an extremely insightful commentator with a similar technical background to mine - all the better for approaching the questions we’re asking today.

Topics discussed include the “wordcel and “shape rotator” meme, the decline of journalism, the conflict between legacy and new institutions, the difficulty of explaining machine learning to lay audiences, how very few people are agentic, niche communities and anonymity, the “neoreactionary” movement, accelerationism, techno-optimism, existential risk, alien life, and which problems machine learning is most likely to solve.
Please subscribe and share with friends!

Roon on twitter: https://twitter.com/tszzl

His substack:

DALL-E ML Image Generator: https://openai.com/blog/dall-e/
UPDATE: Timestamps

2:01 interview starts

9:28 legacy journalists

15:11 financial collapse

22:33 Elon Musk and twitter

28:44 "Hate Speech" is a fake term

39:53 Old Money vs. New Money

53:53 Technologists Becoming Disillusioned by Politics

57:01 The Neoreactionary Movement

1:06:30 Existential Risk

1:13:22 Aliens

1:18:37 Machine Learning in Simple English

1:26:54 Automation

1:38:09 Inequality

1:50:32 Gen Z

1:57:43 Why are tech journalists so incompetent?

2:05:34 Machine Learning Lightning Round

2:07:55 Central Planning

2:11:46 Machine Learning and Emotion

2:18:07 Self-Driving Cars

2:21:45 Finance

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Richard Hananis is the president of the Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology (CSPI), author of Public Choice Theory and the Illusion of Grand Strategy, a visiting fellow at UT Austin, and the writer of richardhanania.substack.com.

He is a brilliant analyst and policy thinker of social change, bureaucracy, civil rights law, and political institutions. We discuss those topics, five of his articles linked below, as well as how civil rights law made everything illegal, groomerism as right-wing wokeness, a foreign perspective on US foreign policy and propaganda, how activists disconnect policy from the public, the failure of expertise, the failure of “contrarians”, misuse of philosophy of science and Eric Weinstein, mental illness in Gen-Z, differences between neuroticism and feminization, and the effect of social media on policy.

This week’s audio essay is a shorter one concerning extremists as saboteurs.

Richard Hanania on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/RichardHanania

Richard Hanania’s substack articles:

David Shor on campaign ads:

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/10/09/david-shor-democrats-privileged-college-kid-problem-514992

Pew Research Poll

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/11/09/beyond-red-vs-blue-the-political-typology-2/

Yuen Yuen Ang: China's Gilded Age: The Paradox of Economic Boom and Vast Corruption

https://www.amazon.ca/Chinas-Gilded-Age-Economic-Corruption/dp/1108478603

My interview with Steve Hsu:

fromthenew.world

Richard’s interview with Gail Hariot:

Timestamps

2:20 Audio essay

6:42 Interview Start

8:24 Cactus' Asch Conformity Simulation

8:55 "People are Shockingly Dishonest"

10:57 Late Blooming

14:52 Foreign Policy Lying

18:19 Democracy Narratives

23:13 Tribal Beliefs

26:40 Asian Vote

28:47 Feminization

33:05 Does Social Media Benefit Democrats or Republicans?

41:56 Liberals Read, Conservatives Watch TV

50:45 The Ideal Conservative Strategy

54:25 Florida's School Bills

56:27 Incentive-Aligned Corruption

1:00:54 Demagogues

1:04:58 Rising Conservative Activists

1:07:03 Why Everything is Controlled By Activists (and Therefore Liberal)

1:14:26 Why are obscure right-wing people better than obscure left-wing people?

1:23:13 Moral Panics, and Why Cactus Distrusts the Right

1:25:48 Stats tests violate disparate impact

1:30:50 Is it Feminization or Neuroticism?

1:40:23 Failure of "Expertise"

1:47:02 Eric Weinstein and Philosophy of Science

1:51:05 Too Much Order, Needs More Chaos

1:53:48 Outro

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Steve Hsu is a professor of theoretical physics and professor of computational mathematics, science, and engineering at Michigan State University, as well as the former VP of Research. He was the founder of digital security companies Safeweb, acquired by Symantec, and Robot Genius, as well as genomics startups Othram and Genomic Prediction. He writes the blog Information Processing.
In this podcast, we discuss the history and politics of academia, individual differences in intelligence and athleticism, our experiences with high level mathematics, statistics as an anti-meme, the tension between merit and ideology, math education, theory of mind, differences between the Midwestern and immigrant suburb schools where Steve and I grew up, respectively, and informal networks as alternative credentials.

Steve Hsu on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hsu_steve

Information Processing:

https://infoproc.blogspot.com/
On wordcels: https://infoproc.blogspot.com/2022/02/annals-of-psychometry-wordcels-and.html

Bounded cognition (statistics and innumeracy): https://infoproc.blogspot.com/2007/10/bounded-cognition.html

Creators and Rulers: https://infoproc.blogspot.com/2009/08/creators-and-rulers.html

Quantum GDP: https://infoproc.blogspot.com/2014/12/quantum-gdp.html

Terman studies:

Volume 1-3: https://www.amazon.com/Genetic-Studies-Genius-Vol-III/dp/B001LD3MKA

Volume 4: https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1947-15005-000

Volume 5: https://psycnet.apa.org/record/1959-07905-000

Wordcels and Shape Rotators:

https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/cultures/wordcel-shape-rotator-mathcel

Death’s End, by Liu Cixin:

https://www.amazon.ca/gp/product/0765377101?ref_=dbs_m_mng_rwt_calw_thcv_2&storeType=ebooks

Timestamps:

3:24 Interview Starts

15:49 Cactus' Experience with High Math People

19:49 High School Sports

21:26 Comparison to Intelligence

26:29 Is Lack of Understanding due to Denial or Ignorance?

29:29 The Past and Present of Selection in Academia

37:02 How Universities Look from the Inside

44:19 Informal Networks Replacing Credentials

48:37 Capture of Research Positions

50:24 Progressivism as Demagoguery Against the Self-Made

55:31 Innumeracy is Common

1:06:53 Understanding Innumerate People

1:13:53 Skill Alignment at Cactus' High School

1:18:12 Free Speech in Academia

1:21:00 You Shouldn't Fire Exceptional People

1:23:03 The Anti-Excellence Progressives

1:28:42 Rawls, Nozick, and Technology

1:34:00 Freedom = Variance = Inequality

1:37:58 Dating Apps

1:41:27 Jumping Into Social Problems From a Technical Background

1:41:50 Steve's High School Pranks

1:46:43 996 and Cactus' High School

1:50:26 The Vietnam War and Social Change

1:53:07 Are Podcasts the Future?

1:59:37 The Power of New Things

2:02:56 The Birth of Twitter

2:07:27 Selection Creates Quality

2:10:21 Incentives of University Departments

2:16:29 Woke Bureaucrats

2:27:59 Building a New University

2:30:42 What needs more order?

2:31:56 What needs more chaos?

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Robin Hanson is a leading research of prediction markets, a professor of economics at George Mason University, author of the Elephant in the Brain and the Age of EM, and the writer of the blog Overcoming Bias.

The audio essay of this show discusses the nature and enemies of “common sense” economic progress, as well as the cost-benefit analysis of going after said enemies.

The topics discussed include prediction markets, market manipulation, game theory, global conformity, the timeline and strength of “wokeness”, innovation, internal selection, self-deception, hidden motives, and opportunities for young innovators.

Robin Hanson’s website:

https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/home.html

https://twitter.com/robinhanson

Opening Twitter poll:

The Elephant in the Brain:

https://www.amazon.ca/Elephant-Brain-Hidden-Motives-Everyday/dp/0190495995

The Age of Em:

https://www.amazon.ca/Age-Em-Work-Robots-Earth/dp/1536619590

Pew Research Poll

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/11/09/beyond-red-vs-blue-the-political-typology-2/

Timestamps:
2:27 Audio essay

9:43 Interview Starts

15:55 How People (Don't) Prioritize

22:47 Academia vs. Industry Science

24:39 Prediction Markets

31:27 Manipulating the Market

49:14 Working with DARPA

55:01 Polymarket Ban

58:00 Regulatory Environment of Futures

1:06:03 Why Aren't Prediction Markets More Popular?

1:15:02 Self-Deception

1:29:24 Why People Have Conversations

1:33:33 Institutions

1:41:19 Why Do Institutions Rot?

1:44:57 Midwits and the Bozo Explosion

1:47:57 The World Mob

2:01:38 Global Homogenization

2:04:24 The Threat of Populism vs. Elitism

2:13:32 The Peak of Wokeness

2:18:51 Creating Competition

2:23:52 Young Contrarians

2:27:23 Outro

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cactus.substack.com

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This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cactus.substack.com