BetEurovision: Recent Episodes
BetEurovision
Lid and Simon record the final episode of this season 24 hours after the Grand Final. They reflect on Switzerland's victory as well as picking out some points of interest and surprises from the final leaderboard. They also review Lid's podcast tips from the season to see which ones came in, and whether he turned a profit or not for the season. Thanks to everyone once again for listening to the podcast throughout this season.
Lid and Simon return for the final preview episode of the season where they reflect on a chaotic few days in Malmo, which has resulted in some huge market moves. They discuss each of the favourites and Lid makes his final podcast tip of the season and prediction for the grand final.
Lid joins Simon live from Malmo straight after the Semi Final 2 Preview Show to look back on what happened in Semi 1 and to preview Thursday evening's second semi final. The audience poll data has just been released and has caused some market moves, which the duo discuss. Rather than picking a tip from the second semi, Lid instead looks to a selection from the Big 5 off the back of their live performances over the last few days.
Lid joins Simon live from Malmo for this preview episode ahead of Semi Final 1. Yesterday saw the Semi 1 preview shows and Lid provides his insight in to what has moved in the market and why. The audience poll was also conducted after the evening preview show, which gives some significant insight in to what may perform well on Tuesday night. Lid gives us a semi final 1 shout as this episode's podcast tip.
Rehearsals are underway so Lid and Simon use this week's episode to look at the top of the Eurovision win market and discuss any moves that they have seen as a result of first rehearsals. They also discuss the qualify and top 10 markets, from which Lid picks his tip based on an impressive first rehearsal. Lid heads to Malmo at the weekend and he provides a preview of what he'll be up to when he's there and what content you can expect over the course of Eurovision week.
On this week's episode, Lid and Simon take a look at the different datasets, proxies and metrics that can serve as an indicator as to what will do well at Eurovision, and where the value is in the betting market. They look at Spotify stats, various polls and EuroJury before finishing off by talking about the BetEurovision team's model and revealing who it is predicting will win the contest this year. Lid's analysis of the data leads him to a tip for the Top 10 market as his weekly podcast tip.
Having discussed the favourites in the market a few weeks ago, in this episode Lid and Simon look at some potential selections at longer odds. They each pick five outside bets, from markets ranging from Top 10 to Semi Qualify to Jury Winner, that they think are worth considering and discuss the pros and cons of each one. Lid's fifth and final pick is the official podcast tip for this week.
This week, Lid and Simon answer your questions! Topics include:
- Market moves as a result of pre-parties
- Metrics and whether some are overrated
- How this year's market is behaving differently as a result of no short price favourite
- The fan bubble vs casual voters
- Betting habits by country and whether this affects market prices
- Semi Final markets (from which Lid picks his tip for this week)
In this week's favourites special episode, Lid and Simon run down the top of the very open Eurovision win market and discuss the chances of each of the favourites and whether their current prices offer any value. Lid chooses one of these favourites as his tip for this week's episode.
This week, Lid and Simon discuss (very briefly) the final song of the season to be selected, before swiftly moving on to look at the moves at the top of the Eurovision win market. They also share some thoughts and discussion points from a recent meeting of the Bet Eurovision team where all songs were reviewed and their merits discussed. This threw up a few songs at long odds that the team are keeping an eye on. This has given Lid some inspiration for his weekly tip, which he chooses from the top 10 market, where he thinks he's spotted some value.
This week, Lid and Simon reflect on national final season, including a look back on some of Lid's most ill fated tips. Melodifestivalen has concluded so Sweden's chances at Eurovision are discussed, including the potential impact of the voting changes announced this week. The episode concludes with Lid looking ahead to May to pick out an ew bet that he fancies for the Grand Final.
This week, Lid and Simon focus on the Melodifestivalen Final with Lid providing not one, but five tips from various MF markets ahead of the big night on Saturday. The top of the Eurovision win market is also discussed with Switzerland shortening in to contention over the last week. The latest countries to select or reveal their Eurovision songs are also covered with Lid offering a view on whether their price offers any value or not.
This week, Lid and Simon review some big moves at the top of the Eurovision win market with Croatia and Iceland both shortening significantly. They also take a first look of the season at the top 5 and top 10 markets to see if there is any value there. Lid is excited for Melodifestivalen Heat 5 and that is where his tip comes from this week.
This week, Lid and Simon review the big movers at the top of the Eurovision win market with two countries shortening in to contention. They also look ahead to the national finals this coming weekend, as well as Melodifestivalen Heat 4, which doesn't inspire Lid so he decides to look to the final market for his weekly tip instead. A BetEurovision trip to the San Marino press conference where the 8 big name artists taking part in their selection were revealed is also discussed!
This week, the podcast duo reflect on another losing tip from UMK, and debate whether two countries have missed out on picking potential Eurovision winners from their national finals. With another busy weekend ahead, Lid also previews the markets for MGP Dansk, Eesti Laul and Melodifestivalen Heat 3 where he's been impressed with one entry and expects it to do well.
This week, Lid and Simon look back on Melodi Grand Prix, including Lid's Erica and Super Rob tip. They also review the top of the Eurovision market, which has seen Ukraine shorten and the UK drift over the last week. It's another busy week of national final season so Sanremo, Melodifestivalen and UMK (which Lid will be attending live) are all discussed, with Lid's weekly tip rounding off the episode.
This week, Lid has a sense of the blues after his tip for Eurosong Ireland didn't come in. He reflects on how Ireland's choice could be indicative of a shift in mindset and discusses how that may impact the Eurovision market this season. Other topics discusses also include Iceland's move in the market, and this weekend's MGP final and Melfest Heat 1, which Lid selects his weekly tip from.
The morning after the Grand Final, Lid and Simon look back on how the contest unfolded, what went as expected and what surprises were sprung. They also look back at Lid's tips for the season to see if he turned a profit or not this year, as well as reviewing the picks from the Outsiders special a few weeks ago.
A huge thanks to everyone for listening to the podcast this season. We'll be back again for 2024!
In the final episode before the Grand Final, Lid and Simon reflect on having watched the Jury Final from the press centre and arena respectively to bring you a range of tips from various markets ahead of the big show. Thanks to everyone for listening to the podcast this season. We'll be back with a season review show in the coming week or so!
Lid and Simon have seen the performances for Semi Final Two and discuss them before the show tonight. Will the market or the audience poll correctly call the qualifiers?
After the first ever Eurovision Audience Poll and with thousands of people now having seen the shows on the Eurovision stage, Lid and Simon dissect the Eurovision betting market and a run through what is value or not to qualify from Semi Final One.
Lid gives us information about a very important project that can be revealed to the world that may help guide your Eurovision betting.
Lid is over in the UK ready for Eurovision next week so he and Simon meet up in his hometown to record this week's episode. They reflect on what we've seen so far from rehearsal clips, the impact it's had on the market and subsequently where the value might be found. They also look ahead to the Bet Eurovision's team's plans for Eurovision week itself, and Lid plucks a tip from a slightly underwhelming Semi Final 2.
This week, Lid goes on the warpath as he calls out what he sees as an overreaction in the Eurovision betting market to a number of proxies and indicative polls. Lid and Simon discuss and try to interpret what we can learn from EuroJury, and the OGAE polls, by revealing the result of the BetEurovision team's predictive model, which combines a range of different measures and metrics to attempt to predict the outcome of this year's contest. For the first time this season, Lid picks a multiple as his bet of the week.
This week, Simon and Lid both pick three outside tips that they think could come in at long odds. Selections come from a range of markets including the Semi 2 Winner and Qualify markets, as well as the Grand Final Top 10. Also, for anyone who is interested, listen out just after the halfway point of the episode for details about BetEurovision meet up during Eurovision week.
This week, Lid and Simon take an in depth look at this year's favourites. Lid gives his take on each of their chances, based on a whole host of factors, and offers his thoughts on where the value might be found on each of them in various different markets.
Jenko takes on the question master role as Lid is put on the spot about the chances of The Netherlands doing well, his strategy for placing Eurovision bets and a discussion about possible e/w value for this year. The podcast tip is an outsider to miss out on qualifying to the Grand Final.
This week, Simon and Lid look back on the betting markets from previous Eurovision Song Contests to identify patterns, trends and misconceptions that can help us to spot value for this year. They look at which countries have historically under and over performed their odds, how favourites have fared in previous years, and how songs perform relative to their rating in OGAE polls. Lid uses all of this insight to select his tip for this week.
With all 37 songs for Eurovision 2023 now confirmed, Lid and Simon talk about whether Eurovision is destined to be heading to Lid's home city in 2024. They review all songs that have been released in the last week and rate their chances as well as reviewing Melodifestivalen, where Lid enjoyed excellent success with his tips. With the countdown to Eurovision now on, the podcast duo set out the plans for the podcast between now and Eurovision fortnight, and Lid chooses a tip from one of the BetEurovision team's favourite markets.
There's plenty to discuss this week as Lid and Simon reflect on a busy day of market moves with the likes of Austria and Israel releasing their songs. Rumours of the UK's entry have also wreaked havoc at the top of the market so our podcast duo try to identify where the value can be found. Lid also provides a series of quick fire tips for this weekend's Melodifestivalen final, with one of them being his ultimate pick for tip of the week.
Lid and Simon reflect on a busy week in the Eurovision betting world, with lots of moves at the top of the market. We have a new favourite in Sweden so Lid offers his view on their chances, as well as the big market mover that has been Finland. With plenty of countries due to reveal their songs in the next week as well, the podcast duo speculate on what to expect. As ever, Lid finishes with a tip for the week, which this week comes from the upcoming Melodifestivalen Semi Final.
This week, Lid and Simon discuss some big moves at the top of the Eurovision market with Sweden having shortened in (and Lid predicting it could shorten further still) off the back of Loreen's imminent performance in Melfest Heat 4.
Lid is also heading to Finland this Saturday for UMK so that national final gets discussed, with Lid tipping up a potential upset at double figure odds.
This week, Lid and Simon look back on the seven songs that were selected on Super Saturday and rate their value in the Eurovision win market. They also look back on Melfest Heat 2, and look ahead to Melfest Heat 3 where Lid tries to spot some value in the market.
This week, Lid reflects back on some his recent tips as well as his trip to Spain for Benidorm Fest. With a number of countries having selected their acts in the last week, we review their chances in the Eurovision market, as well as looking ahead and trying to pick the value in the markets for Super Saturday, with an action packed weekend of national finals coming up.
This week, Lid joins us from sunny Spain where he's covering Benidorm Fest. So of course, he and Simon discuss what's going on in the Spanish selection, as well as MGP, Eurosong and Melfest Heat 1. Lid thinks he may have heard two more songs from across Europe this week that could be potential Eurovision winners, so he discusses those as well as various market moves and whether they provide value or not.
This week, Lid and Simon review some of the big movers in the market, driven by rumours about who their participants will be. Ahead of a busy upcoming week of national heats and finals, Lid picks out a few to watch out for, and he also previews his upcoming trip to Spain for Benidorm Fest!
This week, Lid and Simon discuss some of the songs emerging as national final season hots up, and Lid picks out the first potential Eurovision winner he thinks he's heard this year. There are the weekly odds changes courtesy of the Rybot and Lid looks ahead to this weekend's MGP Heat 2 for his tip of the week.
With the songs for national finals coming thick and fast, Simon and Lid take a look at the runners and riders to represent Ireland, Estonia and Norway. With Alexander Rybot up and running, they also look at the notable odds changes this week and discuss some possible reasons for the market moves. And Lid tips a real outsider for his selection of the week.
In the first episode of the season, Simon and Lid discuss the current Eurovision market, including the chances of the two songs already released, as they look ahead to Liverpool 2023. They also look at some of the confirmed, and rumoured, participants in various national selections to try to identify some early market value. Lid picks his first tip of the national final season.
Simon and Lid reflect on Eurovision 2022 and discuss their key observations of where the value in the betting markets proved to be this season. There is a full review of all of Lid's weekly tips from the season, and also a look ahead to Eurovision 2023. There are already some betting markets available for next year so Lid looks to get off to a quick start by making his first tip of next season. The podcast will return in January once national finals get up and running. Thanks to everyone for listening throughout 2022!
In the last main episode of the season, Lid and Simon preview the markets ahead of the Grand Final. Lid has just watched the jury show and offers is thoughts on the jury winner market. Pour podcast pair also look at the televote winner and the last place market to pick out some potential value there. The episode finishes with a big thank you to everyone for tuning in to the podcast all season. Enjoy the Grand Final!
Lid and Simon record this episode just as the the Semi Final 2 Jury Show has finished. Lid discusses what he's seen at what bets might be good value as a result. Semi Final 1 is also discussed, with Lid delighting in the fact that two winning podcast tips came in. The tip for the episode looks ahead to the Grand Final.
Simon is back and he joins Lid straight after Lid has attended the Semi Final 1 Jury Show in Turin. The duo briefly discuss the moves in the Eurovision winner market but the focus is on Lid's thoughts for Semi 1 based on what he's seen during the jury show. The market moves are discussed and Lid picks an outside tip in the 'not to qualify' market.
Lid is on his own again for this episode with Simon's voice still not back. So once again, live from Turin, he provides us with a run down of rehearsals and the moves they've driven in the market. He particularly focuses on the Big 5 now that we've seen them rehearse and draw the half in which they'll be performing in the final, with a number of them looking like they may deliver strong results in this year's contest. Lid's tip for the episode looks at Semi Final 2.
Simon has lost his voice so in this episode, live from Turin, Lid provides us with an update on rehearsals and the moves they're driving in the betting markets. He picks out a few special markets that may offer some value and chooses one of those for this episode's tip.
In the first of six podcast episodes from Eurovision fortnight, Lid and Simon discuss the short rehearsal clips that have been seen so far and the impact they've had on the market. They also look at how the Eurovision winner market stands heading in to Eurovision fortnight.
This week, Lid and Simon look at various proxies that can be used to help to determine which songs are likely to perform well in the Eurovision Song Contest. They discuss various proxies and consider whether they can help identify any value in the market. Lid draws inspiration from this for his tip of the week.
This week, Lid and Simon take a look at some outsiders in the market by each picking five selections, which are not especially well fancied. They discuss the merits and pitfalls of all ten selections, some of which are available at very long odds. Lid saves his best until last, which also doubles up as his tip for the week.
It's just over a month until the grand final so, this week, Lid and Simon discuss the favourites to win Eurovision 2022. Lid reveals the seven countries that he thinks could conceivably win the competition (one of which is at very long odds) and discusses the chances of each relative to their odds. The episode ends Lid's tip for the week, where he picks one of his seven selections to back to win the competition.
In this week's Q&A special, Lid and Simon answer questions sent in by you, our listeners. Topics range from the top 10 market, to running order impact, to 100/1 shots, and much more. With the semi final running orders also confirmed during the last week, Lid discusses which countries he thinks will benefit from, or be hindered by, the spot they'll be performing in on the night. As always, the episode rounds off with Lid's tip for the week.
This week, Lid and Simon review the final songs to have been selected to participate in Eurovision 2022, with Lid once again offering his view on whether the back or lay price for each offers the best value. The duo also discuss the top of the market and the events that will be taking place over the coming weeks that could cause the odds to move. The inaugural American Song Contest also features before Lid looks ahead to May for this week's tip (but not before he fondly reflects back on a rare winning tip from the Melodifestivalen Grand Final!)
This week, Lid and Simon discuss the significant number of songs that have been selected over the last week, with Lid telling us whether he would back or lay each one at their current odds. They also look ahead to the biggest national final of the season, with Melfest coming up this weekend. Lid takes a look at the Melfest win market but also picks out a few special markets that may be worth a look as well. The episode finishes with Lid's tip which naturally comes from the Swedish selection this week.
This week, Lid and Simon discuss the terrible situation in Ukraine and how it has resulted in Ukraine shortening significantly in the Eurovision market. They also review the two national selections from the last week and rate each country's chances, along with looking ahead to what we should watch out for in various country's upcoming internal selections. As always, Lid then offers his expert view on Melodifestivalen ahead of this weekend's Semi Final, before rounding off by offering his tip for the week.
In a bumper episode, Simon and Lid discuss all of the national finals from last weekend and rate each country's chances in the Eurovision winner market. There's also plenty of Melfest discussion with Anders Bagge shortening in the overall Melfest market, and en exciting Heat 4 in store this coming Saturday. As always, the episode finishes with Lid's tip of the week as he looks to get back to winning ways.
This week, Lid and Simon review last weekend's selections and assess each country's chances in the Eurovision markets. They also look ahead to an incredibly busy weekend of national finals and highlight what to watch out for. Lid looks back on Melfest Heat 2 and gives his insider take on the underwhelming songs from Heat 3. As always, the episode finishes with Lid's tip for the week to see if he can continue his reasonable start to the season so far.
In an action packed episode, Lid and Simon discuss the conclusion of Sanremo and it's impact on the Eurovision winner market. They also review Melfest Heat 1 and look ahead to Heat 2, for which Lid shares his thoughts after his advance preview of the songs. They also discuss the other national finals coming up in what is a busy weekend of national selections. As always, Lid gives his tip of the week, which this week looks ahead to Eesti Laul.
In an action packed episode, Lid and Simon discuss the movement in the Eurovision Winner market, with two different countries having shortened in to favourite over the last week. They also review the national selections that have taken place, and the ones to come over the next few days, and rate each country's chances come May. Of course, Lid also looks ahead to the start of Melodifestivalen and offers a sneak preview in to the songs for Heat 1 and where the value could be in the market.
This week, our podcast duo revel in Lid's winning tip from last week. They also look ahead to Benidorm Fest and Sanremo, as well as undertaking their weekly review of the Eurovision Winner market. This week's semi final draw is also discussed, with Lid highlighting what it could mean for different country's chances in the qualification market further in to the season. As always, we finish with Lid's tip of the week.
Lid and Simon look back on the surprise outcome from the first MGP Semi Final and discuss why it might have played out as it did. They then take a look at the Eurovision winner market and a few countries who have seen their odds shift in the last week. With all Finnish songs participating in UMK now released, the duo also take a look at that market and discuss whether anything can topple The Rasmus. As always, the episode finishes with Lid's tips, with this week's tip coming from MGP Semi Final 2.
Lid and Simon discuss the MGP songs, which have been released and take a look at where the value can be found in the markets. They also discuss the Eurovision winner market and why all may not be quite as it seems this early in the season. As always, Lid offers his weekly tip which, this week, comes from one of the MGP heats.
Simon and Lid are back for a second season of the Bet Eurovision podcast. For the first episode of the year, our regular duo are joined by some other members of the Bet Eurovision team as they discuss the songs and artists already selected for Eurovision 2022. The team also look at the current market and offer views on where value might be found at this early stage. Also, the ever popular feature, Lid's Tips returns as Lid attempts to turn around his fortunes from last season.