Yim CIMB: Recent Episodes

Yim CIMB

27 March morning concall ka

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SCC 2q20 preview peak profit bt10bn (+40%q) on good chemical spreads but weaken outlook.

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๐Ÿ˜Š

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๐Ÿ˜Š

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โค๏ธ

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Makro (+) likely divestment from Cpall come soon.

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Technology prefer Delta over Kce. Stronger baht is key trigger.

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To 8mn (in line w AOT) no further downside to our already bearish views on Thai hotels.

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Refineries : GRM improvement not exciting.

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AIS (+): on u/g 5G users forecast by 137% from prior this year.

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CK d/g to Sell no near term caralyst.

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What next if Chinese comes to Thailand 1mn per mth in 4q20?

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PlanB nearterm earning dump but improving start in 2H.

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New Covid 19 cases (-) travel bubble Thailand

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ERW target price upgrade to bt 3.20 from 2.20 remain REDUCE.

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Healthcare : new trend post Covid favor CHG, (-) BH on high F exposure.

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NETBAY: likely set provision fir THAI.

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China handset demand back to pre Covid level.

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Telco (+) Ais but top pick at Intuch on better yield.

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โค๏ธโค๏ธ

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๐Ÿ™๐Ÿ™๐Ÿ˜Š

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Hotel d/g to UW on sluggish recovery and too optimistic share pricce rebound.

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China R&D spending seen most in infrastructure projects, (-) Thai contractors. Hana (hold) Huawei threat its smartphone outlook. SIri good presales on expense of GM.

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Petchem update with Hold fir Pttgc snd Irpc and Sell Scc. PR 9 falling top line hurt Gm.

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Stec low GM pj to kick in 4q20. MC stores resumes sales improve cost contrl. ANAN struggling unprecedent high unsold inventory.

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CPNREIT lowered DPU. CHG remain resilient. ERW wider loss expected this yr.

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SET eps cut 4% this yr to nt 66 and 80% next yr.

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MPC rate cut view from Dr Amornthep.

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SHR target revised to bt1.6 on changed to 11x ev/ebitda. WHA tp d/g to bt3.2, risk reward less attrative vs Amataโ€™s

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CRC missed but ADD recommended. CBG upbeat outlook ahead. (*) resilts : Cpn Cpnreit Wha

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Update : PSH QH CPALL

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OSP(-). Results (+)qh, cpf, hana & bdms.

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(+): Ivl spali M Kce (-) OSP SPRC (in line) CPALL & GFPT

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Msci rebal announce today.. (+) Awc Toa and Ktc. (-) Banpu.

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Amta 70 rai kand sell 1q20. Contractor (-): Red line extendion delay as contracts may b shift to PPP

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Iroc missed 21%, in-lined :Mtc Ais n Lpn

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III poor preview but brighter outlook, TU core profit below us 8% but cheap valuation & shr repurchase support.

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SPALI core eps cut 19%, remain Add & top pick. SPA core profit cut 75% tp revised to bt8.6, HOLD

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Preview Bch ( not bad)

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If include cancellation Tokyo olympic, another downdide of -bt0.30/shr

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Aus n Intuch eps cut about 3.5% this yr reflect lieer lical consumption.

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36% this yr maintsin Buy.

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๐Ÿ’

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โค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธ

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Delta concall msg present upside risk.

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Upcoming bbl expected bt8bn

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True deeper liss both 1q20 and 2020. Sappe 1q20 outlook ok but weaker 2q

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Chg Add tp cut to bt2.5(top pick)

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Kbank insignificant impact from incease Bank Maspion Indonesia

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Ivl (+) msg but not exciting

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Hmpro reopened 5 malls in Ninthaburi, Saudi cut further OSP

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Derails in email note ka

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Opec+ meeting in the price, what is next?

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Mega see lesser impact from outbreak

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Previews(+) Dtac, (-) for M, TU, Pttgc

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MTC nearterm weak on sentiment and NPL concerns. TKNโ€™s valuation higher than food peer, implies bt4/shr.

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(-) SCC still, WHA (+) even under stress test, STEC ds limit, u/g to BUY

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Refinery stock loss in 1Q20, assumptions reviewed.