The Lance Roberts Show Podcast: Recent Episodes
Lance Roberts
Featured excerpts and interviews about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.
The New York Fed Reports an improving economy, and Nvidia cues up its next quarterly report after recovering from the DeepSeek dip. The Fed is on hold, and positive money flows abound on Wall Street. There are no real indicators we're on the cusp of destruction...for now. 2026 EPS estimates are insanely optimistic. Markets pull out another all-time high on Tuesday afternoon. What is the Economy? As thousands of government workers are being invited to leave, and Chevron offers severance packages to a swath of its employees, what's the best strategy if you're offered an opportunity to retire? Take a lump-sum or annuitize the dollars? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff offer helpful suggestions if you're facing "permanent furlough" with severance package advice and suggestions on how to invest severance pay; how to manage a severance package and severance pay tax strategies; and, what to do after job layoff. The DOGE deep dive into Social Security is getting interesting. Should SS benefits be taxed or not? How to best reform SS? Lance's pre-ski vacation diet and more discussion on the proper way to reform and sustain Social Security. Reports on 401k plan participation are deceiving. SEG-1: NY Fed Reports Some Improvement; NVIDIA Recovers from DeepSeek Dip SEG-2: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-1 SEG-3a: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-2 SEG-3b: DOGE & the Social Security Challenge SEG-4: How to Reform Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l4vQ5lspQU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All-Time Highs Generate All-Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pexErGgTA6A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Exuberance Sets Up Market for Correction," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SloppyMarkets #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #SeverancePackage #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAfterLayoff #WealthManagement #CareerTransition #SocialSecurity #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets traded very sloppily Tuesday...until the last 15-minutes of the day: Buys rushed into the markets, pushing up to another, new, all-time high. Can markets hold? Will they continue to build on yesterday's breakout? Typically, all time highs generate more all time highs; it's all about momentum. The MACD did not trigger a sell signal, and it's still on a "buy." Relative strength is starting to move up, but not over sold, yet, and money flows continue to be positive. Presently, there is no reason to be overly bearish in the market as the trend continues higher, at least for the short term. Also, we are still within the seasonally-strong period of the year. Price compression to the buy side continues. We suggest continuing to manage risk, and use opportunities to rebalance portfolios. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pexErGgTA6A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SloppyMarkets #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It is the 90th anniversary of the establishment of Social Security; amazingly, some recipients over the age of 150 are apparently still receiving benefits (!). Could there be a clue here on how to help shore up the fund? Just sayin... Nvidia earnings are on the way; Meta has and a 20-day winning streak, not one down day for the pat6 20-trading days. Its performance as one of the Mag-7 stocks is what has helped, in part, keep markets elevated. The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and “buy the dip.” In our recent Bull Bear reports, we discussed the push by retail investors, but looking at retail sentiment is quite remarkable. Since the pandemic, retail investors have never been this bullish on the stock market. Such is amazing, given that their mailboxes are not being stuffed with government stimulus checks.” Retail investors are expected to become more bullish about increasing equity exposure when markets rise. However, the more extended markets become, the more confident investors are about increasing speculative risk. In other words, “success breeds confidence.” Lance reviews the dynamic between margin debt and free cash (w/charts); Lance and Jonathan examine the in's and out's of private equity fund investing; a discussion of the 60/40 portfolio rule viability; FOMO vs the fear of loss. SEG-1:The 90th Anniversary of Social Security SEG-2: Looking at margin Debt vs Free Cash SEG-3: Private Fund Investing Pro's & Con's SEG-4: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Assets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4l0shh-hCog&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What If You Live to 100?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jao-pXxZ46U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #MagSeven #Nvidia #Meta #RetailExuberance #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #TooMuchMoney #TooFewAssets #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketCorrection #RetailInvesting #MarketCrashAlert #StockMarketBubble #MarginDebt #FreeCash #FOMO #PrivateEquityFund #60_40_portfolio #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets closed on Friday at all-time highs, with positive money flows, and a buy signal in place. Markets are up 5% for the year following a sloppy start in January. We have a lot of retail exuberance in the markets, and correlations are starting to all go to One. There is too much money chasing too few assets, and that dynamic is lifting all stocks. Emerging markets and international have performed similarly so far this year; however, be careful of the hype. These markets have not broken out of their long-term channel for the past five years. Emerging markets are still lower than they were back in 2021. The question remains: Can these markets actually play catch up to the US? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4l0shh-hCog&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetailExuberance #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #TooMuchMoney #TooFewAssets #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard is in rare form for Valentine's Day with his unique analysis of latest economic numbers: Expect revisions to lowe the data points. There's no reason for the Fed to lower rates. How we're dealing with stubborn, sticky inflation; price deflation would be a bigger problem; companies have no pricing power. A discussion of egg alternatives and the sources of inflation; higher credit card balances; customer substitutions of goods. Market resiliency: The Mag-7 isn't quice as magnificent this year. Financial planning for living to 100 and how long you plan to live; longevity is a result of combination of genetics & lifestyle (Jack LaLanne). Our next Candid Coffee is detailed (registration link is below); Karen's self-driving car and Tesla setting we'd like to see. Planning against longevity risk & aging in place. How to manage Social Security & cash flows in retireement. The SS Fairnet Act impact on RMD's; your base line for planning is going to be the RMD you must take. The significance of ROth money: Leave it in place for as long as you can. A brief discussion of the complications with Trusts & Estates and inherited income. The Rothfication act. SEG-1: VD Jokes & Economic Analysis: Inflation vs Deflation SEG-2a: Egg Alternatives & Inflation Sources SEG-2b: Financial Planning for Living to 100 SEG-3a Candid Coffee promo & Tesla Driver Settings SEG-3b: Planning Against Longevity Risk SEG-4: Impact of the SS Fairnes Act on RMD's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Reciprocal Tariffs Sink the Ship?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afaw7jcibbc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation On the Rise: What Does it Mean?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyk6E8QUz3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #LongevityFinance #WealthForLife #LiveTo100 #FinancialFreedom #Inflation2025 #EconomicTrends #PersonalFinanceTips #InvestingDuringInflation #MarketOutlook #GARPInvesting #StockMarketTips #GrowthStocks #ValueInvesting #TrumpTariffs #ReciprocalTariffs #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
How did markets respond to a hotter-than-expected CPI print? As predicted, markets did open sharply lower...but, buyers immediately stepped into the markets, pushing prices higher and closing above the 20- and 50-DMA. Markets did not, however, break out of an ever-compressing price range. As investors began to digest the CPI components, it became clear things weren't as bad as first thought. So the consolidation range continues to hold as markets remain in a 'wait-and-see' mode. Trump's reciprocal tariffs are also ramping up the risk for a global tit for tat. Raising prices of goods companies buy may not be able to be passed along to consumers, affecting bottom line results. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afaw7jcibbc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpeTariffs #ReciprocalTariffs #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #MarketRally #PortfolioRisk #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today's market activity will hing upon this morning's CPI Print (which showed consumer prices rising higher than expected). WEven more telling will be tomorrow's PPI numbers showing input costs. The question to be answered by investors is what the trend of inflation is, and what the Fed will do next. Will companies be able to pass along higher costs to consumers? What is driving inflation? Oil price increases are a short-term indicator, but have a 90-lag in data. Lance delivers his annual Valentine's Day Public Service Announcement. Lance and Danny review questions from this past weekend's Candid Coffee episode [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qy0IzfJ7fkI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=95s]: Outisde of treasuries and US government bonds, there are no "safe" investments. Dividend Yields and bond durations; what about SPY t=for tax efficient income: What are you giving up? Covered calls & puts: Options have the highest risk. It's all or nothing. Alternative Investment Funds: Private Crddit Real Estate Fund is coming; the challenge of liquidity in alternative investing, exit strategies. Dealing with annuities: They're not for everyone or everything. The importance of diversification. SEG-1: Markets at Make-or-Break Moment SEG-2a: Valentine's PSA SEG-2b: Candid Coffee Q&A: There is No Risk-free Investment SEG-3: Candid Coffee Q&A: Investing Duration, Options All or Nothing SEG-4: Candid Coffee Q&A: Alternative Investing & Diversification Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-enFoz6wQPw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Response to CPI " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VZqy-WMDZG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "FOMO is Alive & Well," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwV3l8JgHk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets will have a big response to today's CPI Print (hotter-than expected 3.0%) because it's all about what the Fed will do next. Markets have been in a "hang out and wait" mode for the past few weeks, working thru a consolidation range. Headlines about DeepSeek or Tariffs really haven't had much effect, although there has been much rotation in and out of sectors within the market. Markets are expected to move to the downside if CPI is too hot, or move to the upside if CPI cools. Markets still enjoy good support at the 20- and 50-DMA, but there's also overhead resistance at about 6100. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VZqy-WMDZG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #MarketRally #PortfolioRisk #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are coming to grips with that Trump Tariffs really mean, and are adapting through sector rotations. Lance & Jonathan discuss the prices of eggs & milk and grocery dates. The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and “buy the dip.” Retail sentiment is quite remarkable. Since the pandemic, retail investors have never been this bullish on the stock market. Such is amazing, given that their mailboxes are not being stuffed with government stimulus checks. Lance and Jonathan discuss FOMO investing trends from the stock market's fear of missing out, a look at the best stocks for FOMO investors, and how to avoid investment FOMO; a look at market bubbles and investor psychology, and we'll also cover questions we didn't get to on last Saturday's Candid Coffee episode. SEG-1: Markets Adapt w Sector Rotation SEG-2a: Eggs, Milk, & Grocery Dates SEG-2b: FOMO Returns to Wall St. SEG-3a: Chart Chat Commentary SEG-3b: Candid Coffee Q&A: How to Generate Income in Retirement SEG-4: Candid Coffee Q&A: Measuring Yields and "Safe" Alternative Investments Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwV3l8JgHk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Investors Exhausted?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vsalh2Md7a4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Super Bowl Indicator," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cqBThNomYo4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3034s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioRisk #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets rallied again on Monday, but the trend is for lower highs and lower lows. While the market, per se, is not "bearish" at this point, this pattern that is developing certainly has some bearish tendencies. This would suggest some exhaustion in the markets, despite positive money flows (which are declining). The last half of February, statistically, is typically fairly weak. So, these developing patterns would suggest seeing some weakness in the markets over the next couple of weeks. The S&P 100-DMA is sitting at 5900 with its pullback from 6000; that's going to awaken investors, given the amount of FOMO on Wall Street of late. There is nothing overly concerning that would trigger making any radical portfolio changes, but the creeping in of weakness should not be ignored. The US Dollar is very close to triggering a buy signal following its correction. If you haven't liked the way your portfolio has been performing recently, now would be a good time to take a critical look at rebalancing risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vsalh2Md7a4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #PortfolioRisk #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Sunday's Super Bowl LIX delivered a lickin' to Kansas City at the hands of Philadelphia; what does the "Super Bowl Indicator" portend for markets (and does it really matter) Lance Roberts examines the veracity of the Super Bowl Indicator and other Stock market predictions, Financial market trends, Investment strategies, and Economic indicators. We also address the threatened Trump Tariffs next on Aluminum & Steel: more sticks & carrots? Lance recaps his visit to Vancouver and assessment of Canadian healthcare, UK healthcare, and the level and accessibility of healthcare in the US. Commentary on Media bias and the importance for investors to recognize it as such, and not be misled. The issue of employment reports & revisions thereof; Lance's flight to Vancouver (not being deported); will corporations be able to pass along higher costs due to tariffs on Aluminum and steel? The issue of consumer choice (and how ChatGPT is wrong about tariffs). Lance's earnings roundup, S&P's 2026 Earnings Forecast, and why valuations continue to rise; understanding PE and PEG. SEG-1: Super Bowl Indicator & Metal Tariffs SEG-2a: Lance's Vancouver Recap & Canadian Healthcare SEG-2b: Recognizing Media Bias as Investors SEG-3a: Flying to Vancouver SEG-3b: Trump Tariffs: Can Corporations Pass them Along? SEG-4: Earnings Roundup & Understanding PE Ratios Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cqBThNomYo4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3034s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Fight the Urge to Do Something Now ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYEhJFpQ0Ck&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Taking the No-Buy Challenge," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1ksGLmwfiw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SuperBowlIndicator #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #KansasCItyChiefs #PhiladelphiaEagles #SuperBowl #NFL #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets continue pattern of Friday sell-off, setting lower highs and lower lows, creating a declining trendline channel. There are still reasons to be cautious; earnings reporting will lessen this week, as buybacks resume. Market consolidation is healthy, with nothing really negative going on. We are close to triggering a short term MACD sell signal. So long as money flows remain positive, markets should retain their current range of support. This is a time for patience; fight the urge to "do something." Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXK2lxRVwhg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets remain in a bullish trend for the moment, despite disappointing economic news in the Trade Deficit and the ISM Services Index. Improving relative strength is also providing lift for the market. Technically, everything is fine despite disappointing news from AMD, Google, and others. Money flows continue to creep upward with continued buying. Lance and Michael spend the remaining segments of the show discussing money, currencies, and concepts of money supply management: All money is lent into existence. The Federal Reserve or the government does not print money. Those two facts are vital to understanding our lead question: where does money come from? Furthermore, knowing who does and doesn’t print money and the incentives and disincentives that change the money supply are critical to inflation forecasting. On this morning's episode, Lance and Michael share how money is created, monetary policy and Federal Reserve money supply are explained, along with the Banking system and money creation. Understanding Fiat Currency; ; the theory of BitCoin value; the hyper-inflation of the Weimar Republic; currency vs money. Understanding the "plumbing" of money, and how deficit spending has helped buoy the economy. What is the most readily-accepted medium of exchange = The Dollar (not gold). How high-income earners invest into assets. SEG-1: Wrapping Earnings Season & Economic Data SEG-2: Understanding Where Money Comes From SEG-3: Understanding Fiat Currency SEG-4: Understanding Money Plumbing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzBlKb1Bi4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Defy Disappointing News," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXK2lxRVwhg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Bond Market is Telling Us About Trump 2.0" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rGxP5qqoTV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BondYields #EconomicWeakness #AMD #Google #BondMarket #MoneyCreation #FinancialEducation #EconomyExplained #MoneyMatters #Currency #USDollar #FiatCurrency #WeimarRepublic #TrumpEconomy #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #FinancePodcast #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #BullishCross #InaugurationRally #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #Uber #DriverlessTaxi #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession...
Markets are recovering from tariff troubles on Monday; a brief history of Trump's past trade wars & results; Google's earnings miss & correction; earnings have been okay, but expectations are slipping. The China Trade War retaliation begins; it's all about posturing. Markets rally from Monday; if you're worried about the volatility, there's too much risk in your portfolio. Lance razzes Danny "Bulldog" Ratliff about his absenteeism and polo shirt choices. Lance reviews market performance during Trump's trade wars 2017-2019 (charts); looking for more volatility this year. Beware Financial Media headlines; what the Bond Market is saying about Trump 2.0; commentary on volatility spikes, and buying opportunities. Ignore the Media hype; what is the Bond market saying about Trump's second term? We're coming out of an artificially-stimulated economy. What happens to short-duration bonds when rates fall? What is the context for owning bonds? Lowering volatility risk. Lance & Danny talk about Uber rides and driverless-taxis; a preview of this weekend's Candid Coffee presentation; a look at alternative investing opportunities. What a well-balanced portfolio should look like. SEG-1: Markets' Recover from Tariff Trouble SEG-2a: Book Signings & Financial Fashionistas SEG-2b: A Brief History of Trump Trade Wars SEG-3: Beware of Financial Media Headlines SEG-4a: Ubers & Driverless Taxis, Candid Coffee tease SEG-4b: Alternative Investmenting Opportunities Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rGxP5qqoTV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "If Volatility is Causing Too Much Worry, You Have Too Much Risk," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-rJ0bt8P6M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trade War is Over!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAoIjRUJJPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondMarket #TrumpEconomy #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #FinancePodcast #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #BullishCross #InaugurationRally #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #Uber #DriverlessTaxi #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets enjoyed a nice rally Tuesday after Monday's tariff-inspired action, closing right at the 50-DMA. the 20-DMA is about to bullishly cross above the 50-DMA, suggesting markets are still trending, and money flows are still coming into the markets fairly well. Markets today need to hold support at the 50-DMA so they can push onward and upward. If, however, the market closes lower today, watch for a MACD sell signal to be triggered. We're about halfway through the correction from the post-inauguration rally. If the present volatility is weighing on you, then you've got too much risk in your portfolio. If your portfolio is allocated correctly, allow it to do its work for you. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-rJ0bt8P6M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #BullishCross #InaugurationRally #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Well that was fast. Over the weekend, President Trump announced tariffs of 25% on both Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% tariff on China. The announcement of tariffs set the market on its heels Monday morning as media writers quickly pushed narratives about the potential impacts. However, as suggested on the “Real Investment Show” before the market opened on Monday, the best thing to do would be “nothing.” We stated the market’s opening would likely be the worst level of the day, so any “panic selling” of positions early in the morning would likely be a mistake. Early in the day, both Canada and Mexico blinked, and the trade war the media predicted would cause a massive inflation surge was over before it started. The market immediately rebounded from the early morning lows, leaving “panic sellers” in the dust. Such is why it is crucial to turn off the media when managing your portfolio to reduce emotional mistakes. Meanwhile, markets are flirting with resistance, and need some muster to rally above the 50-DMA. Lance and Jonathan discuss how Trade Wars can generate buying opportunities; a look at the Palantir story; look for sell offs as opportunities to buy. Lance reviews past Trade War history of the S&P (charts); volatility will result as trade wars are waged. Potential effects of a China trade war. Managing portfolios with concentrated stock holdings; the value of diversification. Commentary on NFIB and CEO Confidence surveys: Sentiment vs data. SEG-1: The World's Shortest Trade War SEG-2: How Trade Wars Create Buying Opportunities SEG-3: Managing Concentrated Stock Positions SEG-4a: Portfolio Management Tips: The Value of Diversification SEG-4b: The Return of Bullish Exuberance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAoIjRUJJPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Rally Back Above the 50-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W148_c8iFdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tariff Trouble" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbITdlcUswI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Money flows continue to be positive, despite all the negative headlines and news over the past couple of weeks. Admittedly, this is part of the overall cycle, with markets over bought and now going through a corrective phase. Halfway through a recovery, we're near the trigger point for a short-term sell signal, with only a little downside pressure. A consolidation is not surprising at this juncture. Also, we're midway through earnings season, and next week will see the buy back window open much wider. Markets today will once again flirt with the 20- and 50-DMA; markets need some "muster" to rally back above the 50-DMA to keep support intact. There is a decent possibility markets could fail at this current resistance level and retest the 100-DMA...not outside the norm for the "weaker" month of February. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W148_c8iFdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have been doing "okay" as of late, in a large trading range for past couple of months. Markets will open today below the 20-DMA in a knee-jerk open in response to President Trump's promise over the weekend to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. We'll be watching for signs of the market processing the news, and see where things stabilize later in the day. This is a day to Do Nothing, and wait for the dust to settle, just like last Monday. We close to triggering a sell signal. Markets have been in a consolidation range, with no reason to be concerned so long as trading remains within a broad banded trading range. Watch for a pick up in volatility, just like last Monday. Also worth watching today is the Tariff impact on the Dollar and countries anticipate the effects on currency exchanges. Remember, a strong Dollar = Monetary tightening, which will impact markets as well. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L3ALjJcELsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Apple's outlook will set the tone for today's market action; the January effect will be set by the end of the day. Rich & Matt discuss tariffs & volatility; Mexico and Canada are targets. Inflation data due today with the PCE report. The FEd's target is still 2%, and there's no reason to lower rates for now. This is forcing markets to shift focus; why a little inflation is a good thing. The US Tax Code can make you cry like Selena Gomez: Rich & Matt discuss inflation-adjusted tax brackets and standard deduction changes; Qualified Charitable Donations, Quarterly estimated tax payment requirements, and avoiding underpayment penalties. Are itemized deductions even worth the trouble? IRA contributions & avoiding pre-tax and after-tax fund mingling. Catchup contributions & HSa's: They're like a healthcare IRA. The retirement spending smile vs stairstep spending; planning and goal-scooping in retirement. Planning for more volatility in 2025, dealing with portfolio assets that go up and down. SEG-1: Apple Sets the Tone; Why Some Inflation is Good SEG-2: The US Tax Code Will Make You Cry SEG-3: Avoid Mixing Pre-tax and After-tax Dollars SEG-4: Tracking the Retirement Spending Smile Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjGEGF0TuLI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "Meme Coins Do Not Create Wealth: They Destroy It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-coins-do-not-create-wealth-they-destroy-it/ "DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/ "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Options Data is Off the Hook," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qc1OMnQvUgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Watching the Mega-Cap Earnings Parade" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XH68Ot3zIsQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxSeason2025 #TaxTips #TaxDeductions #IRSUpdates #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPolicy #Options #CallOptions #PutOptions #SpeculativeMoney#EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
This has been a week full of headlines, between the Fed meeting and the whole DeepSeek story, lots of panic and concerns were generated. Markets really haven't done a whole lot this week. Retail investors bought heavily into Monday's dip. But nobody really buys stocks anymore: Retail investors are piling into options at a pace not seen before. Most of the options are call options; investors are fully long on this market. FOMO is now a function of not missing the bottom. A lot of the money being put into the markets is very speculative, and that's not something many will survive on a sharp downturn. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qc1OMnQvUgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Options #CallOptions #PutOptions #SpeculativeMoney #DeepSeek #FederalReserve #FdMeeting #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today is Mega-cap earnings Day, and there's also a lot of economic data to be revealed. Plus, this afternoon will see the latest announcement from the Federal Reserve. Expectations are for the Fed to hold firm on rates this time. Interestingly, despite Monday's selloff, money flows have continued to come into the markets. In fact, on Tuesday (1/28) the QQQ had its biggest inflow since 2021. Monday's market action was NOT the watershed event the bears were trying to make it out to be. Markets are not overbought yet; we're still on a solid buy signal. That's not to say a pullback can't happen; remember the lesson from December...and why it's important to pay attention to money flows, either direction. Educational scores in America and the AI race; IBM, Meta, Microsoft, & Tesla to report this afternoon: What will be IBM's excuse for missing estimates? By next Friday, 80% of S&P companies will have reported, and their earnings will drive volatility over the next several days. SEG-1: Earnings Season & Money Flows SEG-2: Mega-Cap Earnings Preview SEG-3: The White House's House Cleaning & Dark Side of Tech SEG-4: Fed Meeting Preview & Importance of Money Flow Monitoring Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/ "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CWhat Money Flows Are Telling Us," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The DeepSeek Knee Jerk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yptp-x-epIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
When money flows are positive, asset prices are supported; if money flows are negative, support is taken away. Understanding in which direction money flows are going will help you better determine where markets are going next. Interestingly, despite Monday's selloff, money flows have continued to come into the markets. In fact, on Tuesday (1/28) the QQQ had its biggest inflow since 2021. Monday's market action was NOT the watershed event the bears were trying to make it out to be. Markets are not overbought yet; we're still on a solid buy signal. That's not to say a pullback can't happen; remember the lesson from December...and why it's important to pay attention to money flows, either direction. Additionally, the Dollar is back on the march today, and Dollar strength has been one of the underpinnings of the market. We could be coming into another counter-trend rally in the Dollar, which could impact economic data and earnings forecasts. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The race is on for dominance in the artificial intelligence arena with China's release of DeepSeek. Markets initially nose-dived Monday, but ended up slightly higher (with the exception of Nvidia). This volatility underlines the necessity for portfolio diversification. The pullback in an oversold market was not unexpected. The news resulted in the biggest single-day market cap loss for Nvidia, due in part to its massive market cap. Lance discusses what may be the positive results of thie "Sputnik moment" for the US. The markets' response also underscores the importance of Bonds in overall portfolio management. Lance & Jonathan discuss the fallacy of high-watermark comparisons in portfolios, and how to properly review portfolio performance. A discussion on how stocks are actually traded, on and off the exchanges, and the proper use of stop-loss settings in a portfolio. SEG-1: Markets' Response to DeepSeek SEG-2: The Positive Results of DeepSeek SEG-3: How to Properly Review Your Portfolio SEG-4: How Stocks Are Traded & Stop Losses Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yptp-x-epIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/ "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CDeepSeek Reaction: Why Diversification Works ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79j625dkoiM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "DeepSeek or Deep Sink?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeOnaj5-VsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1045s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
In the aftermath of the DeepSeek fracas, markets are still on a buy signal, breadth improved as markets came down to kiss the 20-DMA and then rallyed above the 50-DMA, still holding important technical support. Markets were over bought going into yesterday's trading, and the pullback was not unexpected. (This illustrates perfectly the reason for rebalancing risk in portfolios.) Nvidia shouldered most of the impact on Monday, dropping below its 100-DMA, but recovered to close above that level; the stock had a $600-B market cap reduction. The movement is proportional to its size; be careful making knee-jerk reactions to one day events. Apple did well on the expectation that cheaper AI models will help support the company. Apple has earnings announcements due this week, and there could emerge a decent entry point for this stock. Why we trimmed Nvidia and added Proctor & Gamble. Again, this is a prime example of how diversification can protect you from these one-day events. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79j625dkoiM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The unfolding of China's DeepSeek technology, and history's shortest trade war (with Colombia) highlighted the weekend. What are the investing opportunities from DeepSeek? Too soon to tell; allow markets to sort it out today, and make no rash moves. What DeepSeek means to markets; what's the difference from AI? Lance compares the 1960's space race to the AI technology competition today: Is this America's "Sputnik Moment?" Lance provides a concise primer on all things DeepSeek. Faster, cheaper chips upset the technology race: We knew this day would come (just didn't think it would be over the weekend!) The Open Source advantage; the need to unleash America's best and brightest. Commentary on the decline of American educational rankings. DeepSeek is a wake-up call. SEG-1: The DeepSeek Reveal & Shortest Trade War Ever SEG-2: DeepSeek vs AI: What does it mean? SEG-3: What is DeepSeek? SEG-4: We Knew This Day Would Come Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeOnaj5-VsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1045s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Caution is the Watchword," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Using Drone Mentality for Financial Success" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-lH90rMzCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #SputnikMoment #MarketCatalyst #CautionWatchword #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are going to be off this morning, mostly led by all the AI-related stocks. It's too late to do anything about it today; Caution is the watchword. Do NOT sell into today's rip. Let the market figure it out, and you go fishing today, or something. We anticipate markets will clip out towards the 100-DMA; when the dust settles, we'll assess what to do next. Remember, the markets were already set up for this type of corrective action; this is not surprising. Markets just needed a catalyst. is this the beginning of the next 20% decline in the markets? Maybe, but no one really knows. This certainly is something worth paying attention to. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #SputnikMoment #MarketCatalyst #CautionWatchword #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What does the $500-B Stargate announcment really mean for the economy (remember Carrier's "on-shoring" of jobs)? Lance recounts the benefits and innovations that came out of the US Space Race. Markets are back at all time highs; choose your entry point wisely. Lance & Michael review the concepts of trimming portfolios and taking profits; how to properly weight portfolios. What is your objective? Portfolio weighting = risk management. Lance previews an upcoming, virtual economic summit. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss the recent strong correlation between the appreciating dollar and rising yields and the reasons for the relationship, covering the US Dollar Impact on Economy, Global Currency Trends for 2025, and Dollar Strength and Investments. Lance & Mike will also touch on Foreign Exchange Markets Analysis and USD vs Global Currencies. Importing edflation, exporting inflation; fundamentals vs sentiment. FOMO and Term Premiums. Why Bond Vigilantes are not the good guys. Lance & Michael's Fed Meeting Preview; the problem of CPI Shelter component; New Rents will take months to show up in calculus. SEG-1: What the $500-B Stargate Announcement Really Means SEG-2: How to Trim Portfolios & Take Profits SEG-3: It's the Dollar Stupid SEG-4: Curbing Expectations to Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pT38gvYnsXc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It's the Dollar, Stupid!" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/its-the-dollar-stupid/ "Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?" https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful of Chasing at All Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Returns Expectations For 2025 Too High?," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEKNkfsiB4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AllTimeHigh #FOMO #EntryPoint #Volatility #InvestorSentiment #USDollar #GlobalEconomy #ForexMarket #CurrencyTrends #FinancialTalk #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are now back at all-time highs, but don't be surprised to see a bit of a stall today. Ultimately, markets will try to break out and move higher over the next few weeks. Technical levels are in the range that would support such action. Be careful chasing things here! Sentiment is starting to turn around, and a common mistake is the FOMO factor: The Fear of Missing Out. Pick your entry points prudently as markets correct following rallies. Volatility is begining to decline, which is a bullish sign. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AllTimeHigh #FOMO #EntryPoint #Volatility #InvestorSentiment #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It isn’t just Wall Street analysts who are optimistic about 2025 returns. Retail investors are the most optimistic about higher stock prices in 2025 by the most on record. Unsurprisingly, that sentiment resulted in the psychological rush to overpay for assets, pushing forward 1-year valuations sharply higher. Lance returns from Houston's winter freeze with commentary on Donald Trump's flurry of executive orders and the importance of the velocity of implementation: Continued government spending (albeit in different areas) effect on the economy, and the impact of immigrant deportations on the labor force. With markets on an upswing, now is a good time to rebalance portfolio risk. Lance relates the story of Mrs. Roberts chasing their dogs chasing rabbits through the snow and muck at 4am. Why businesses and investors are overly optimistic (charts). Lance explores the difference between sentiment vs reality, and how most of the good news is already price-in by markets. How markets are outgrowing the economy (charts). How will government investment influence consumer behavior? Curbing expectations to better manage portfolio risk; Lance reviews historic performance of specific sectors (charts). SEG-1: Post-Freeze, Trump Exec Orders SEG-2a: Chasing Rabbits w Mrs. Roberts SEG-2b: The Difference Between Sentiment vs Reality SEG-3: Why Markets are Outperforming the Economy SEG-4: Curbing Expectations to Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fh09Y8e72pI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?" https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is a Good Time for Portfolio Rebalancing ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwx-EcTqEY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Fiduciary Advisors Can Learn from Jimmy Carter," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEKNkfsiB4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have been doing well over the past couple of days, which is not surprising: There's a new man in the White House, and markets are bouncing back after correction. Money flows have turned positive which have helped pick up asset price returns. This morning market futures are positive in preparation for a follow through on the rally. Netflix announced boomer earnings this morning, and its performance today will help lift the Technology sector. Markets are starting to push back up into over-sold conditions, and now would be a good time for portfolio rebalancing. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwx-EcTqEY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance and Michael interpret the latest CPI, PPI, PCE, and GDP numbers: Which one is most-meaningful to the Fed? Earnings Season continues with Big Banks reporting; JPMorgan kills it, but how are regional banks faring? Stock buy backs this time around are expected to exceed $1-Trillion. mostly benefitting large cap stocks. Markets cling to 100-DMA, and aim for the 50-DMA to set up to rally. Michael discusses portfolio management, and Lance previews his re-release on portfolio gardening. Revealing analysis of "spikey data" in CPI and PPI calculus. Inflation remains sticky at high levels. CPI data is flawed by Shelter component; Airline Fares are "super-spikey." The Fed 2% Inflation number is a "round-down" number. Effects of the Barter Trade: Will slow inflation...AND the economy. The "No-Buy" economy effects on delivery drivers. Lance and Michael discuss insurance companies' changes due to catastrophic losses; Michael provides a content preview of his presentation at this weekend's economic summit, elements affecting bond yields, and "term premium." The Bond Vigilantes are not like Paul Revere; they're not the do-gooders, but opportunists profiting on sentiment. Greedy shorts. SEG-1: CPI, PPI, GDP, PCE: Which Matters Most to the Fed? SEG-2: How to Deal with Super-Spikey Data SEG-3: Insurance Changes from Catastrophic Loss SEG-4: Why Bond Vigilantes Are Not Do-Gooders Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDMhEOXvkBg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Analysis Is Not Voodoo, Its Vital Context" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-analysis-is-not-voodoo-its-vital-context/ "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H1UMyISH7Rg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI: The Big Reveal," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MK0pfosuxMk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketInsights #TradingStrategies #InvestmentTips #FinancialEducation #CPIReport #PPI #SpikeyDate #InflationUpdate #EconomicTrends #FederalReserveNews #CPIAnalysis #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #ExternalRevenueService #Tariffs #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends...
Markets have been clinging by fingernails to the 100-DMA in anticipation of PPI & CPI results; markets in response moved above the 20-DMA, and this morning markets are wrestling with two key areas: The 50-DMA and a declining top trendline that is intersecting with the 50-DMA. If markets can get above the 50-DMA and hold it, that will set up markets to rally tomorrow, trigger a MACD buy signal, and push markets upwards toward 6,000. We are starting to see money flows turn positive. We're still not out of the woods on inflation concerns, however, so use any rally to rebalance risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H1UMyISH7Rg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's CPI Day (December Core Inflation clocked-in at a lower than expected .2%) so let's pin it all on the Fed. Weaker PPI & Higher Trasnportation costs; Used car prices are keeping inflation elevated, thanks to storm and fire loss replacement demand. Markets flirting w 100_DMA, holiding support; what a weaker CPI print may mean. Lance pranks Danny with book sales for "Bull Dog" Ratliff; the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index surge, post-election; The concept of an 'Exeternal Revenu Service' vs reality; sentiment-driven surveys vs reality. Sentiment and outlooks vs stock price expectations; why the Fed does QE. Lance and Danny review new rules for IRA Catch-ups; adopt the Roth; what to do with funds? The Hierarchy of Savings: Live easy now, hard later vs hard now, easy later. SEG-1: CPI Day Preview SEG-2: Danny "Bull Dog" Ratliff & The Markets' Big Picture SEG-3: The External Revenue Service SEG-4: IRA Catch-ups & The Hierarchy of Savings Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MK0pfosuxMk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CPI Encourages Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDUULX4m3Wo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tactically Bearish As Risks Increase," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPIReport #InflationUpdate #EconomicTrends #FederalReserveNews #CPIAnalysis #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #ExternalRevenueService #Tariffs #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have been flirting with the 100-DMA over the past few days, breaking it twice. But money flows have been coming into the markets, enabling recovery by the end of the day, and holding support at that level. Money flows still have a slight, negative tinge, but it's improving. Any good news today will result in a fairly decent rebound in the markets. This morning's CPI report reflected lighter core inflation than expected for December. Lance explains why we increased exposure to energy stocks and reduced other positions ahead of earnings reports. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDUULX4m3Wo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
PPI & CPI Preview: Earnings season is about to commence, followed by the opening of the Buy Back window. Higher yields (and term premiums) are weighing on markets. Term premiums are just a measure of sentiment; watch what companies say, impacted by higher yields. Markets rally to just above the 100-DMA. Lance reviews investor sentiment, credit spreads, and market valuation (which charts). Noting the (limited) impact of taffis on a service-oriented economy. Being “tactically bearish” does NOT mean we are expecting a bear market or a severe market crash. Regarding portfolio management, the difference between being “tactically bullish” or “tactically bearish” is the level of equity risk we take in client portfolios. Over the last two years, we have been “tactically bullish” and have held more significant weightings in equities that have benefitted from market momentum and investor sentiment. However, shifting toward a “tactically bearish” position would suggest rebalancing exposure to more fundamental, value-oriented, dividend-paying companies that will reduce overall portfolio volatility. It also may mean owning less equity exposure and increasing cash levels. Lance & Jonathan review how parents have failed Gen-Z in preparing them for the rigors of life, like changing light bulbs. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio strategies. SEG-1: PPI, CPI Previews SEG-2: Investor Sentiment, Credit Spreads, & Market Valuations SEG-3: Gen-Z DIY'ers, Mowing the Lawn, & Building Wealth SEG-4: Highwater Marks & Portfolio Compartmentalization Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cob96R2cIfw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "PPI Disappoints," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSS21fO4Pho&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Investor Resolutions for 2025," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets rally to close just above 100-DMA on Monday. (If you're using a moving average as a stop-loss, don't initially react to a break!) Markets are typically oversold by the time those moving averages are violated. This morning's PPI will weigh on markets today (0.2% vs 0.4% EST), as will tomorrow's CPI number. There is lots of volatility potential for the next few days. With this cooler PPI print, markets could move higher: Markets are very negatively biased towards these reports, with expectations for a hotter number. How will markets respond to today's cooler count? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSS21fO4Pho&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Cleveland Fed's expectations for increased inflation; Oil prices rise on increased Russia sacntions (thanks, Joe Biden); economic impact of California wildfires & the Broken Window Theory: There will be a short-term uptick from rebuilding activity. Markets point lower on hawkish Fed tone; current correction process is normal. There is not data to support investor sentiment on inflation sparked by tariffs; how we really create inflation. Employment increases inflation. Companies are front-running tariffs. Rising interest rates lead to valuation reversals. Every year, Dalbar Research publishes an extensive study that repeatedly shows three primary reasons for investor failure. The key issues are a lack of capital to invest and psychology. Lance Roberts examines nine irrational investment behavioral biases specifically, and suggests investing resolutions for the new year, including the Top Investment Strategies 2025, Financial Planning Resolutions, Smart Money Habits for 2025, Wealth Growth Tips, and Retirement Savings Goals. SEG-1: Economic Impact of Cali Fires SEG-2: No Data to Support Current Sentiment SEG-3: Investor Resolutions for 2025, Pt-1 SEG-4: Investor Resolutions for 2025, Pt-2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Low Can Markets Go?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CoFcgImM--k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Social Security Fairness Acts Means for Your Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrToO7K7Fsg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2236s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets will open lower this morning on continued inflation fears and the Fed's more hawkish stance. BUT...stocks have been really over bought and over deviated: Remember in December we were talking about over deviated stocks and the need for a correction. So now, selling pressure is continuing to revert that overbought condition, and so a correction should be no surprise. If markets do not recover today (we're right on the 100-DMA), there really is no additional support until markets go significantly lower towards the 200-DMA. That being said, it's not going to take s lot to create a bit of a rally. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CoFcgImM--k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard and Jonathan discuss the narratives that are driving the markets, and the fear factor for bond investors. Is the response to tariff threats an over-reaction? How to deal with emotions in investing. Menwhile, job satisfaction is highest among the 60+ crowd: The group has been working longer, and understands the value of socialization; retirement planning shold include qualitative elements. A look at Gen-z Worth Ethic. The Social Security Fairness Act is now the law of the land, signed on Sunday by President Biden. It promises to erase rules that penalized some retirees by eliminating two federal policies that barred employees with a public pension from collecting their full benefits under the federal retirement program and that reduced benefits for those workers' surviving spouses and family members. What about the depletion effect? Taxation of SS benefits is double taxation...and wrong. A look at the United Van Lines' Moving Destination survey; understanding the Wash Sale Rule (which has nothing to do with laundry soap); Do not depend on government clarity to interpret its own rules! A word about end-of-year tax-loss harvesting. SEG-1: Breaking down the narratives that drive the markets SEG-2: Higher Job Satisfaction Among Workers 60+ SEG-3: Social Security Fairness Act - Implications & Payback SEG-4: Understanding the Wash Sale Rule Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrToO7K7Fsg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2236s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Are Bond Yields Rising?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bond-yields-rising/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Crossovers Are Not a Death Knell," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCfM5mTOJBc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Are Bond Yields Rising?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hx9jVRa0-gc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurityReform #FairRetirement #SocialSecurityFairnessAct #RetirementPlanning #FinancialSecurity #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets barely achieved a positive close on Wednesday, to create a string of positive action for the first five trading days in January. (Markets are closed today in honor of the late President Jimmy Carter.) There's a market consolidation underway, with the 20-DMA and 50-DMA about to cross. Lance & Michael discuss the Fed's sentiment shift about inflation, and the non-corellation between interest rates and inflation. The Fed may have cut interest rates, but markets have raised them; the actual effects of Fed rate cuts are deflationary. Fed policy is still restrictive; economy is back to "normal" with higher rates. Lance & Michael discuss interest rates: The cost of money. Unlike short- and medium-term gyrations in stock prices, which are often due to changes in investor sentiment, the bond market has a much more fundamental grounding. Interest rates, representing the cost of money, strongly impact economic activity and inflation in a highly leveraged economy like ours. Thus, economic growth, inflation, and Treasury bond yields are highly correlated. The death-defying Dollar as fiat currency (what is currency?) Gold is not a currency; the Dollar vs the Euro. What is driving sentiment? a.) Deficits & Debt, and b.) inflation. NOTE: 1/3 of inflation is shelter costs, data collection for which is flawed. SEG-1: Markets Eke Out Winning First Five Days of January SEG-2: The Fed's Sentiment Shift About Inflation SEG-3: Explaining our Fundamental Bond Model SEG-4: The Death-defying US Dollar Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hx9jVRa0-gc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Are Bond Yields Rising?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bond-yields-rising/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Crossovers Are Not a Death Knell," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCfM5mTOJBc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Reversal: Implications Now," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=56z2LmMIvrQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Wall Street axioms can be fun, but remember that they're based on historical averages. Which brings up the January Barometer: As go the first five trading days of January, so goes the month; and as goes the month of January, so goes the year. Markets eked out a positive day on Wednesday to barely produce a positive string of five trading days. But anything can happen. One thing to be wary of: The 20-DMA is close to crossing the 50-DMA. Markets have been doing okay in a continuation of consolidating that began back in August, but the proximity of those two moving averages to one another is creating downward pressure on prices. If markets are going to move higher and produce a positive month, that needs to start on Friday. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCfM5mTOJBc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
With Friday's December Employment Report waiting in the wings, it's fair to ask what happened to the December JOLTS Report. Investors are questioning whether we'll see continued growth from December. What does Q4 GDP at 2.7% really mean? Understanding the data and reading the January Barometer (so far). Lance shares his screen in commenting on sector rotations. Dan Niles' predciton of a 20% correction this year: Lance's reality check. Crash vs correction. Lance discusses the importance of an investing process: Rules to offset emotional bias. Fundamentals matter over the long term. SEG-1: What Happened in the December JOLTS Report? SEG-2: Sector Rotations: What's Hot, What's Not, & Why SEG-3: 20% Correction by Summer: Possible or Probable? SEG-4: The Most Important Lesson for Investors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=56z2LmMIvrQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the January Barometer Broken?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YLsfGRv_8pI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Curb Your Enthusiasm" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRg1uqnrYH4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JanuaryBarometer #Finance2025 #InvestSmart #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today is the 5th Trading Day of January, and as go the first five days of the year, so goes the month of January, and so goes the rest of the year...according to the January Barometer. We are in the middle of the January Barometer: If markets close higher today, we will have successfully created a positive first-five-days-of-the-year. But just barely. Note: We failed the Santa Claus Rally, we are threatening to close lower today (Dow Futures are down during this recording), and today's result will trigger the second leg of the January Barometer. HOWEVER: In 2024, we had a negative First Five Days of January, we had a negative January and had a whopper year. Tuesday's market action did not really resonate with the JOLTS Survey; something else was afoot, because stocks sold off hard, bonds sold off hard, for a day of no safe asset across the board. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YLsfGRv_8pI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JanuaryBarometer #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
As we enter 2025, the financial markets are optimistic. That optimism is fueled by strong market performance over the last two years and analyst’s projections for continued growth. However, as “Curb Your Enthusiasm” often demonstrates, even the best-laid plans can unravel when overlooked details come to light. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn discuss five reasons why a more cautious approach to investing might be warranted in 2025, plus client questions and viewers' emails. Economic data coming out this week for last month will be revised by March; what's the effect of less Government hiring/spending on the economy in 2025? Lance & Jonathan recap Christmas past; earnings expectations for the new yar are very elevated; curb your enthusiasm. The challenges to fundamental investors: No one knows what's going to happen this year; markets run in two modes: Expansion or contraction. Valuations/expectations must come down to match economic growth. Lance & Jonathan discuss the EFT Effect, the FOMO Effect, and the Bitcoin Effect on investor psychology. SEG-1: What Happens When Economic Numbers are Revised SEG-2: Why You Should Curb Your Enthusiasm in 2025 SEG-3: The Challenge to Fundamental Investing SEG-4: The ETF Effect, FOMO Effect, & Bitcoin Effect Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRg1uqnrYH4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Complacency Risk is On the Rise," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1sZGQPh4TLA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Santa Was a No-show" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NONYWlJFI6M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Finance2025 #InvestSmart #EconomicOutlook #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets started the week with a strong open, rallying above the 20- and 50-DMA, but faded off during the day, could not hold the 20-DMA, and settled above the 50-DMA. MACD Momentum is starting to turn positive. Markets appear to be struggling still, with interest rates weighing on valuations, putting a lid on short term markets. Oversold conditions are beginning to resolve, and that's limiting the fuel that might be used in a rally. Volatility has been collapsing, and complacency about a correction is on the rise. That's potentially a liability to keep markets from moving higher in the short term. When everyone's complacent, that's when the risk of the unexpected is highest. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1sZGQPh4TLA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We're baaack from our Winter Break, and it seemed as if Santa arrived on Christmas Eve, pushing the markets back above the important 50-DMA. However, by the end of the year, it seemed investors were naughty this year and received a “lump of coal,“ with markets selling off back toward recent lows. Despite Friday’s impressive reflexive rally, the market fell about 0.5% short of rallying enough to save the “Santa Rally.” What does this mean for markets this year? Higher than average returns aren't normal; it's not often to get back-to-back 20% earnings years (charts). Lance discusses the potential impact of Tariffs in 2025, based on past experiences; Wall Street is going to provide whatever people are willing to buy, at a price. Company earnings will matter in 2025; where will the risk be? Crdit Spreads are the "early warnings system" of leading indicators. Risks this year will be a) an increase in volatility and b) disappointing earnings (a return to normal). SEG-1: What Does a No-show Santa Mean for Markets? SEG-2: Higher than Average Returns Aren't Normal SEG-3: The Thing About Tariffs in 2025 SEG-4: Why Earnings Will Matter in 2025 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NONYWlJFI6M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/ "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Investor Watchword: Curb Your Expectations," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRomsXjIE70&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Trump Win Means for Your Taxes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nwAIudzT9gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AverageReturns #NormalReturns #ETFinflows #LeveragedETFs #DecemberMarkets #NoSantaRally #StockMarket2025 #HolidayInvestmentTrends #SantaClausRally #SantaRallyFail #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Santa did not visit Broad & Wall over the holidays, which was a bit of a disappointment. Markets did have a nice enough rally on Friday, but it was about a half percent shy of achieving "Santa Claus Rally" status. What does that mean for the year? Typically, three elements: A Santa Clause Rally, the first five days of January, and the full month of January; these are predictors of performance for the rest of the year. But these indicators aren't always correct. Our watchwords for 2025: Curb your expectations. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRomsXjIE70&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SantaClausRally #SantaRallyFail #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Heads-up: We're on vacation for the next two-weeks starting Monday (12/23); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. Rich & Danny's final live show of the year starts with coverage of Tariffs, inflation vs deflation, and Jerome Powell's performance as Fed Head. Being cautiously optimistic: We've been living in a government-driven economy: Markets aren't red or blue; they're green. How estate planning may evolved during the Trump presidency; will the SALT deduction return? Debt focus will change perspective. Richard discovers the NOK Box for estate planning. Investing addicts attending Gamblers Anonymous: investings vs speculating. Creating a financial plan in 2025; retirement & taking Social Security early vs not. Why you cannot start and stop SS anymore. Strategies for drawing on retirement funds before taking Social Security; what is your legacy intent? Pensions vs Social Security; the Art of Financial Planning and income for retirement. SEG-1: Who's the Worst Fed Head Now? SEG-2: Estate Tax Planning in a Trump Presidency SEG-3: Investing Addicts & Market Speculation SEG-4: Starting & Stopping Social Security vs Pensions Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nwAIudzT9gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/ "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Fed is Never Right," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h87m6yGM_M8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Steal Christmas?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjZ21RSDn14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTaxPolicy #Election2024Taxes #TaxPlanningTips #TrumpWinImpact #FinancialFreedom #FederalReserve #HolidaySpending2024 #ChristmasEconomy #InterestRatesImpact #EconomicOutlook #RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Heads-up: We're still on vacation until Monday (1/6/25); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. The House's Continuing Resolution fails to pass muster, thanks to pressure from president-elect Donald Trump and the emerging D.O.G.E. team. Meanwhile, the Fed cuts rates, as expected, but adds a hawkish slant to their language, and markets shed 3% on Wednesday. Lance & Michael discuss whether the Fed has stolen Christmas in this fashion, dealing with the lag effect, and whether the Fed has inflation under control. Is the Fed going to suddenly pivot to a dovish stance in the first half of 2025? The restrictive policy of the Fed, and short-term investing in bond yields; is Jerome Powell making a mistake? The world is in a recession; why should we care? Because of the globalization of trade. Lance examines the correlations of US GDP to other countries'. Is the US GDP growth normal, or will the US have to catch-down to other economies? We are still experiencing the residual effects of government spending in our economy. SEG-1 Fed Cuts Rates, Adds Hawkish Tone SEG-2: Did the Fed Steal Christmas? SEG-3: Jerome Powell's Balancing Act: Is He Making a Mistake now? SEG-4: Will the US Catch-down to the Rest of the World? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjZ21RSDn14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/ "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Fed is Never Right," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h87m6yGM_M8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dump the 60/40 for 100% Stock Retirement Portfolio?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #HolidaySpending2024 #ChristmasEconomy #InterestRatesImpact #EconomicOutlook#RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
This is a mash-up of previously broadcast show audio, from Tuesday (12/8), Wednesday (12/11), Tuesday (12/17), and Wednesday (12/18): More commentary on those who would think they can beat the market, and what's in store if the show goes straight to YouTube (no filter). Old maxims about investing no longer hold true with the velocity of information and distortion of the markets. Why does no one want Value Stocks anymore? Lance and Danny recall reading encyclopedias as youths. The thing about Roth conversions...what are the chances taxes will go lower? SEG-1: S&P 500 vs Everyone Else SEG-2: Why You DON'T Need $10-Million to Retire SEG-3: So You Think You Can Beat the Market? SEG-4: Why No One Wants Value Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, & Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: Articles mentioned in this report: "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
This is a mash-up of previously broadcast show audio, from Tuesday (12/10) and Monday (12/16): Lance discusses why the NFIB Small Business Index matters (and what it is saying); the NFIB Confidence Index; expectatinos vs actual sales; they always fall short of expectations. Why tariffs are a benefit to small businesses. Outlook is very positive following Trump re-election (most small business owners are conservatively oriented.) Stocks vs Bonds: Earnings growth expectations are too high; what happens if we don't meet them? It was easy managing money this year... A review of Bob Farrell's Ten Investment Rules, with a focus on #9: When all experts agree... Lance reviews how the Economic Cycle works; if economy continues to grow at 3%, inflation will remain sticky. Likely no 30% returns in 2025; what are the causes for concern: When everyone agrees on a positive outlook. A YouTube viewer accuses us of using fake data: The DATA is what the markets pay attention to. Why YOU'RE to blame for Bed, Bath & Beyond's failures & other store closings. Why our childrens' expectations are too expensive. How funky mortgages increase house prices. Why the minimum wage is really zero. SEG-1: Why the NFIB Small Business Index Matters SEG-2: What If We Don't Meet 2025 Expectations? SEG-3: How the Economic Cycle Works SEG-4: Our Data is Fake?? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTJNZ1ndXpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Continue to Struggle," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFaqEHbneAw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Looking Ahead to 2025: Realize Gains ro Change Exposure?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N64pdQl_lJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
This is a compilation of previously broadcast segments gathered from Monday (12/9), Tuesday (12/10), and Tuesday (12/17): Tax-loss Harvesting & RMD's: Do it now. (Why you shouldn't wait until after Christmas.) Understanding the Wash-Sale Rule; speculate in taxable accounts, not IRA's and 401-k's. A plethora of ETF's: all money flows feed into underlying stocks; $1-T into ETF's this year. Where will the next Trillion come from? What's the Risk for market correction? Volatility Index is down to 13; no one is betting on a crash. Where are the money in-flows originating? When inflation is better than deflation, all over the world. Markets have factored-in a 25-bp rate cut, but NOT a Fed pause. What does financial success look like? Lance and Jonathan review the answers by-generations. Stocks vs Bonds: Earnings growth expectations are too high; what happens if we don't meet them? Strategies for high-wealth individuals: Don't wait to do RMD's! Roth IRA's and backdor conversions: Are they worth the trouble? Why you should over-fund life insurance policies; managing tax risks. SEG-1: Tax Loss Harvesting & RMD's - Do It Now SEG-2: Where's the Money Coming From? SEG-3: What Financial Success Looks Like - not SEG-4: Roth IRA's & Back Door Conversions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, & Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz makes a rare, in-studio appearance with Lance Roberts, discussing whether another market liquidity event might be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. The ISM Services Index is showing weaknesses, and more economic reports to come this month are likely to mirror such performance. A lack of stimulus money showing up previously in the economy are resulting in these weaker results emerging. Meanwhile, markets continue to do well, and expectations for 2025 are 19% above 2023 estimates for 2024. Bitcoin hits $100,000 thanks to President-elect Trump's appointment of a crypto-friendly chief at the SEC. As for expectations for next year, what should investors be watching out for? (Is a liquidity crisis near?) The Fed put too much liquidity into the system during Covid; those record levels of liquidity are fueling FOMO. Institutional investors are highly leveraged, which are dependent upon liquidity. The Fed's real mandate is to protect its member banks and prevent them from failing. Liquidity is now leaking. The Big Red Phone to the Fed. What if Trump really cuts government spending? Entitlement vs Mandatory spending. Looking to 2025: Extreme bullishness depends upon a strong economy; where are the risks? 3:17 - Economic Weaknesses are Emerging 14:37 - Anticipating 2025: What Should We Watch For? 30:22 - Record Levels of Liquidity are Fueling FOMO 36:44 - The Fed's Main Mandate 44:36 - What If Trump Really Cuts Government Spending? 50:08 - Market Bullishness Depends on Strong Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "2019 Redux: Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2019-redux-is-another-liquidity-crisis-near/ "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bitcoin Hits $100,000," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdu7qCeme94&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Time for a Portfolio Reality Check" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #PaulAtkins #SEC #TechnologyStocks #AI #LiquidityCrisis #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz makes a rare, in-studio appearance with Lance Roberts, discussing whether another market liquidity event might be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. The ISM Services Index is showing weaknesses, and more economic reports to come this month are likely to mirror such performance. A lack of stimulus money showing up previously in the economy are resulting in these weaker results emerging. Meanwhile, markets continue to do well, and expectations for 2025 are 19% above 2023 estimates for 2024. Bitcoin hits $100,000 thanks to President-elect Trump's appointment of a crypto-friendly chief at the SEC. As for expectations for next year, what should investors be watching out for? (Is a liquidity crisis near?) The Fed put too much liquidity into the system during Covid; those record levels of liquidity are fueling FOMO. Institutional investors are highly leveraged, which are dependent upon liquidity. The Fed's real mandate is to protect its member banks and prevent them from failing. Liquidity is now leaking. The Big Red Phone to the Fed. What if Trump really cuts government spending? Entitlement vs Mandatory spending. Looking to 2025: Extreme bullishness depends upon a strong economy; where are the risks? 3:17 - Economic Weaknesses are Emerging 14:37 - Anticipating 2025: What Should We Watch For? 30:22 - Record Levels of Liquidity are Fueling FOMO 36:44 - The Fed's Main Mandate 44:36 - What If Trump Really Cuts Government Spending? 50:08 - Market Bullishness Depends on Strong Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "2019 Redux: Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2019-redux-is-another-liquidity-crisis-near/ "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bitcoin Hits $100,000," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdu7qCeme94&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Time for a Portfolio Reality Check" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #PaulAtkins #SEC #TechnologyStocks #AI #LiquidityCrisis #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
This is a mash-up of previously broadcast show audio, from Wednesday (12/4) and Monday (12/9): Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. On being Contrarian: Markets have not rewarded those so inclined. Yet. Does not necessarily mean to be super-bearish. On being "out of consensus; the current set up is good for recession. What will cause it, we don't know. Lance looks at cycles vs trends (Lance's first bank job). Cycle context & psychology. Most cycles are too long to be practical. "We must invest for the time frame in which we have control." Trend-following is better than cyclical tracking. Lance's 60th birthday, cursive writing, and Phoenician writing. The impact of not saving each year: Time frames are critical. 3:17 - Why Sentiment-driven Indexes are Up 14:37 - Lessons from History - What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us 30:25 - The Fallacies of Diversification 30:26 - On Being Contrarian 44:42 - Cycles vs Trends Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, & Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
This is a mash-up of previously broadcast show audio, from Tuesday (12/3) and Wednesday (12/4): Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. On being Contrarian: Markets have not rewarded those so inclined. Yet. Does not necessarily mean to be super-bearish. On being "out of consensus; the current set up is good for recession. What will cause it, we don't know. The potential risks to portfolios of reduced government spending. Money mistakes made by the young; the best stop-loss tools and strategies; the flaw in comparing portfolio performance to the S&P Index (or any index). 3:17 - Why Sentiment-driven Indexes are Up 14:37 - Lessons from History - What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us 30:25 - The Fallacies of Diversification 30:26 - On Being Contrarian 52:24 - Comparing Portfolios to S&P Index Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, & Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Heads-up: We're on vacation for the next two-weeks starting Monday (12/23); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. Rich & Danny's final live show of the year starts with coverage of Tariffs, inflation vs deflation, and Jerome Powell's performance as Fed Head. Being cautiously optimistic: We've been living in a government-driven economy: Markets aren't red or blue; they're green. How estate planning may evovled during the Trump presidency; will the SALT deduction return? Debt focus will change perspective. Richard discovers the NOK Box for estate planning. Investing addicts attending Gamblers Anonymous: investings vs speculating. Creating a financial plan in 2025; retirement & taking Social Security early vs not. Why you cannot start and stop SS anymore. Strategies for drawing on retirement funds before taking Social Security; what is your legacy intent? Pensions vs Social Security; the Art of Financial Planning and income for retirement. SEG-1: Who's the Worst Fed Head Now? SEG-2: Estate Tax Planning in a Trump Presidency SEG-3: Investing Addicts & Market Speculation SEG-4: Starting & Stopping Social Security vs Pensions Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nwAIudzT9gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/ "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Fed is Never Right," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h87m6yGM_M8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Steal Christmas?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjZ21RSDn14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTaxPolicy #Election2024Taxes #TaxPlanningTips #TrumpWinImpact #FinancialFreedom #FederalReserve #HolidaySpending2024 #ChristmasEconomy #InterestRatesImpact #EconomicOutlook #RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We're on vacation for the next two-weeks starting Monday (12/23); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. The House's Continuing Resolution fails to pass muster, thanks to pressure from president-elect Donald Trump and the emerging D.O.G.E. team. Meanwhile, the Fed cuts rates, as expected, but adds a hawkish slant to their language, and markets shed 3% on Wednesday. Lance & Michael discuss whether the Fed has stolen Christmas in this fashion, dealing with the lag effect, and whether the Fed has inflation under control. Is the Fed going to suddenly pivot to a dovish stance in the first half of 2025? The restrictive policy of the Fed, and short-term investing in bond yields; is Jerome Powell making a mistake? The world is in a recession; why should we care? Because of the globalization of trade. Lance examines the correlations of US GDP to other countries'. Is the US GDP growth normal, or will the US have to catch-down to other economies? We are still experiencing the residual effects of government spending in our economy. SEG-1 Fed Cuts Rates, Adds Hawkish Tone SEG-2: Did the Fed Steal Christmas? SEG-3: Jerome Powell's Balancing Act: Is He Making a Mistake now? SEG-4: Will the US Catch-down to the Rest of the World? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjZ21RSDn14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/ "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Fed is Never Right," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h87m6yGM_M8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dump the 60/40 for 100% Stock Retirement Portfolio?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #HolidaySpending2024 #ChristmasEconomy #InterestRatesImpact #EconomicOutlook#RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Federal Reserve cut rates 25-bp, as expected, but the language was more hawkish than anticipated, and the Fed's "Dot Plot" of anticipated rate cuts for 2025 suggested fewer incidents of rate trimming next year. That took a bit of juice out of the punch bowl and spooked the markets. But remember, the Fed is never right about anything, and these predictions are the worst on anything they do. Lance reviews the ingredients comprising a correction: Extremely suppressed volatility, narrow market breadth, and declining momentum. On Wednesday, following the Fed announcement, markets sold off to the tune of 3%, taking out the 50-DMA. In order for the market to get a rally back into the end of the year, we need to get back above the 50-DMA, pronto. That will keep the bullish trend intact and set up for the much-anticipated Santa Claus rally into the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h87m6yGM_M8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateCut #50DMA #MarketCorrection #SuppressedVolatility #MarketBreadth #DecliningMomemntum #InvestorComplacency #SlowingEconomy #SantaClausRally #EconomicGrowth #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Fed Day with it's much anticipated rate cut; what will matter more is the Fed's dot-plot and comments on expectations for 2025. Meanwhile on Wall Street, sloppy trading continues as fund manager rebalance portfolios. Markets are sitting on the 20-DMA and holding firm. The Healthcare Sector is the year's worst performer: Will it offer the most opportunity in 2025? This sector tends to perform better AFTER elections. Lance reveals a new temptation on his route to work each morning; Lance and Danny comment on the notion of dumping the traditional 60/40 portfolio in favor of 100% stocks for retirement, with charts and graphs. More commentary on those who would think they can beat the market, and what's in store if the show goes straight to YouTube (no filter). Old maxims about investing no longer hold true with the velocity of information and distortion of the markets. Why does no one want Value Stocks anymore? Lance and Danny recall reading encyclopedias as youths. The thing about Roth conversions...what are the chances taxes will go lower? SEG-1: Fed Day - What Will They Say? SEG-2: Dumping the 60/40 Portfolio? SEG-3: So You Think You Can Beat the Market? SEG-4: Why No One Wants Value Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w SSenior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Opportunities Ahead in Beaten Down Stocks?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HqWOpYV_Qs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "This is Nuts" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are sitting right on the 20-DMA, holding support. As the flirting continues within a trading range, watch for a push higher today. However, there is still some selling-off to be done, and we may see some of that this afternoon following the Fed's announcement. This is part of the set up to get markets to rally into the New Year. This has been a really sloppy trading week...as expected. Basic Materials and Energy sectors remain deeply oversold. Healthcare has been The Worst Performer across the board this year over concerns about what a new administration might mean for healthcare companies and healthcare reform. Typically, Healthcare tends to under-perform in pre-election years and perform better after elections. The sector is deeply, deeply oversold at this point, and that could spell opportunity in the New Year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HqWOpYV_Qs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingOpportunity #BeatenDownStocks #HealthcareSector #20DMA #FederalReserve #InterestRates #HealthcarePolicy #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #EconomicGrowth #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Retail Sales numbers this week will feed into expectations for 2025. Fed meeting tomorrow: Cut and pause, or cut and slow? Employment revisions are also due, but markets won't care. The stock market is still hitting all time highs, but that's not necessarily the case, sector by sector: Basic Materials, Industrials, Financials, and Energy are not mirroring the S&P 500; the Magnificent 7 is responsible for the bulk of growth. It's a very narrow market. “When you sit down with your portfolio management team, and the first comment made is “this is nuts,” it’s probably time to think about your overall portfolio risk. On Friday, that was how the investment committee both started and ended – “this is nuts.” Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn will also discuss where investors are thinking of investing their money next year, and some common "themes" on the minds of investors who find themselves struggling with not making "knee-jerk" reactions.Lance and Jonathan reveal the inner workings of our investing philosophy, and why Lance is not a permabull...or bear. Looking at event-driven markets. Navigating markets up's and downs: how to break down portfolio risks. Our audio mea culpa and four-day growth. Strategies for high-wealth individuals: Don't wait to do RMD's! Roth IRA's and backdor conversions: Are they worth the trouble? Why you should over-fund life insurance policies; managing tax risks. SEG-1: S&P 500 vs Everyone Else SEG-2: Is Lance a Permabull? SEG-3: Navigating markets' Ups & Downs SEG-4: Roth IRA's & Back Door Conversions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Market Really Doing That Great Outside of the Mag 7?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUe60JWmpzM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Our previous show is here: "Why NFIB Optimism Matters" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTJNZ1ndXpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The stock market hitting all-time highs has been somewhat limited to only a few, major stocks. Sector by sector, things have not been quite as grand. Basic Materials, Industrials, Financials, and even Energy stocks have not followed the same trend as the S&P 500. Why is this? Because of the Mag-7 stocks, like Apple, Amazon, Google, and Nvidia, etc. Market breadth is declining. Dig into any sector outside Technology, Communications, and Discretionary, and the market is not doing so great. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUe60JWmpzM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MagnificentSeven #SP500 #NarrowMarket #MarketBreadth #BasicMaterials #Financials #Energy #Technology #Communications #Discretionary #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Microstrategies joins the S&P 100 (just in time to crash?) Bitcoin continues to climb. The FEd will cut rates on Wednesday, but it's commentary and outlook are what will really count. Look for more volatility heading into the Fed meeting; the current rally may end by the 18th. Oil prices have been struggling, thanks to slowing economic growth = less demand. Gold is over-bought, working through sell signals. Meanwhile, the US dollar is like a rocket ship. Why the NFIB Small Business Index matters (and what it is saying); the NFIB Confidence Index; expectatinos vs actual sales; they always fall short of expectations. Why tariffs are a benefit to small businesses. Outlook is very positive following Trump re-election (most small business owners are conservatively oriented.) Lance reviews how the Economic Cycle works; if economy continues to grow at 3%, inflation will remain sticky. Likely no 30% returns in 2025; what are the causes for concern: When everyone agrees on a positive outlook. A YouTube viewer accuses us of using fake data: The DATA is what the markets pay attention to. Why YOU'RE to blame for Bed, Bath & Beyond's failures & other store closings. Why our childrens' expectations are too expensive. How funky mortgages increase house prices. Why the minimum wage is really zero. SEG-1: Oil, Gold & the US Dollar SEG-2: Why the NFIB Small Business Index Matters SEG-3: How the Economic Cycle Works SSEG-4: Our Data is Fake?? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTJNZ1ndXpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Continue to Struggle," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFaqEHbneAw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Looking Ahead to 2025: Realize Gains ro Change Exposure?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N64pdQl_lJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lots of volatility in the markets last week, as expected; we're still on a short-term sell signal. Volatility is expected to continue this week, at least until the Fed's announcement on Wednesday afternoon. Oil prices continue to struggle on a longer-term basis. A recent uptick in inflation data has been a function, in part, of higher oil prices. But oil prices are over-bought, and they're not expected prices to push much higher. Oil prices, in fact, are a function of the economy, and if the economy slows, pricing will slip downward. The longer-term trend for oil prices is lower. Gold prices have been working through a correction but continue to be in a bullish pricing trend. The Dollar continues to be a rocket ship because the US is the only country with a positive economy. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFaqEHbneAw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are setting up for a Santa Claus Rally; inflation pressure remains. What will the Fed do next week, and what will Powell SAY? The impact of tariffs may not be too dire; optimism abounds on Wall Street. Danny & Matt discuss end of year RMD's and how to best handle non-spousal Inherited IRA distributions. Constant changes in IRS rules are difficult to follow; delaying distributions might not be a wise choice. The current tax code could sunset in 2026. Danny & Matt discuss one-time lump-sum gifts: No one wants to pay a death tax, but few are able to touch the $14-million ceiling on such The lack of basic financial education; the importance of having The Talk about money with family during the holidays. The pro's and con's of charitable giving to Donor-advised funds vs charitable foundations; A discussion of tax rates vs effective rates when deductions are applied; the SALT deductions: What happens to them? SEG-1: Market Commentary: Setting Up for Santa Claus Rally SEG-2: End of Year RMD's & Non-spousal IRA's SEG-3: One-time Lump-sum Gifts SEG-4: Donating to Charitable Funds vs Donor-advised Funds Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N64pdQl_lJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "CPI Was On The Screws: The Fed Has The Green Light" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cpi-was-on-the-screws-the-fed-has-the-green-light/ "Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/ "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pressure is On the Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxcoj_-jaAY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Gives the Fed a Green Light for Rate Cut" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPkzTXYsmk0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2331s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investment2025 #StockMarketOutlook #PortfolioStrategy #CapitalGains #WealthManagement #FederalReserve #RateCut #CPI #Inflation #EconomicPolicy #InterestRates #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance reviews a recent report about generational wealth transfers, and notes that his kids get NOTHING. Wednesday's CPI report was seemingly the last hurdle for the Fed to cut interest rates. With the CPI index matching Wall Street forecasts, the Fed Funds futures market now implies a 97% chance the Fed will cut rates next Wednesday. The data was OK but elicits fears that the downward price progress has stalled. Lance & Michael discuss the precarious premise behind Microsystem's Bitcoin strategy, what makes for value, and what happens when there's no more buyers. How did the Hunt Brothers' silver gambit differ from Microsystems Bitcoin bid? CPI Recap: Inflation is sticky at current levels because that's where the growth is. Plowing through the final, lame duck weeks of the Biden presidency; there are still some Federal Covid Stimulus funds to be distributed to states, keeping inflation fires stoked. What's happening with Canada and the rest of the world? Economic growth attracts capital; next year may hold surprises for the bullish crowd. Bitcoin is the epitome of The Greater Fool Theory. SEG-1: Generational Wealth Transfers, CPI , PPI, & Santa Claus Rally SEG-2: Microsystems, Bitcoin, & Convertible Debt SEG-3: What If We Don't Meet 2025 Expectations? SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting & RMD's - Do It Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPkzTXYsmk0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2331s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "CPI Was On The Screws: The Fed Has The Green Light" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cpi-was-on-the-screws-the-fed-has-the-green-light/ "Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/ "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pressure is On the Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxcoj_-jaAY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Re-balancing & High Valuation Risks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nASrF7t64kY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #RateCut #CPI #Inflation #EconomicPolicy #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketValuations #RiskManagement #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges...
Markets sold off towards the 20-DMA on Monday and Tuesday, as part of the portfolio rebalancing that normally occurs this time of year. Under-performing and under-weighted stocks have had rallies over the last few days, even as the rest of the market was selling off. Markets did see a bit of a bouce on Wednesday as managers bought and sold to achieve equilibirum. There are probaly another three or four days' worth of this kind of activity, so more sloppy trading to come. The Fed's aniticpate rate-cut announcment next week will set the stage for a nice Santa Claus rally into the end of the year. The rally between where we are now and the end of the year is about 1%. There is a lot of optimism about 2025. There are also many manager who are behind the curve, so they're going to be pushing to make up for lost time. That DOESN'T necessarily mean that HAS to happen. Markets are still over-bought at this point, and flirting with a sell signal. There is still moderate risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxcoj_-jaAY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #SantaClausRally #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Post-election consumer confidence is rocketing higher. Inflation Data is coming: CPI & PPI which will be digested in time for next week's Fed meeting. Inflation numbers are likely to tick up from YOY comparisons. Portfolio re-balancing commences. What does financial success look like? Lance and Jonathan review the answers by-generations. Stocks vs Bonds: Earnings growth expectations are too high; what happens if we don't meet them? It was easy managing money this year... A review of Bob Farrell's Ten Investment Rules, with a focus on #9: When all experts agree... Tax-loss Harvesting & RMD's: Do it now. (Why you shouldn't wait until after Christmas.) Understanding the Wash-Sale Rule; speculate in taxable accounts, not IRA's and 401-k's. SEG-1: Post-election Confidence & Portfolio Re-balancing SEG-2: What Financial Success Looks Like - not SEG-3: What If We Don't Meet 2025 Expectations? SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting & RMD's - Do It Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nASrF7t64kY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/ "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Markets Re-balance?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Z-IVRw7qXw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Earnings Can't Outgrow the Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRF6slc1bew&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketValuations #RiskManagement #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
happen to the top 10-20% of the Russell 2000: All those high-momentum stocks that were up 50- to 90% this year were sold off because they were over weighted in portfolios, and this created a very big draw-down in momentum on Monday. Markets are flattish in the pre-open, and may achieve some recovery today, but markets are still fairly deviated from their moving averages. We are likely to trigger a sell signal today, which would additionally push markets lower heading into Christmas. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Z-IVRw7qXw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance's Husbands' Christmas shopping warning service; markets are now in second week of sloppy trading. Portfolios out-of-balance will trigger volatility as managers adjust weighting. There is a possible correction coming, BUT markets could continue to rally all the way into the New Year. Tesla is up 54% since the election; a plethora of ETF's: all money flows feed into underlying stocks; $1-T into ETF's this year. Where will the next Trillion come from? What's the Risk for market correction? Volatility Index is down to 13; no one is betting on a crash. Where are the money in-flows originating? When inflation is better than deflation, all over the world. Markets have factored-in a 25-bp rate cut, but NOT a Fed pause. The problem with forecasting: Predictions must be precise, actionable, and time-specific. Why we watch train wrecks: Why not mandate a 20% correction each year? (Markets are so elevated, a 20% correction would be a drop in the bucket.) What happens if we have a 50% correction?? It'd put us back to where we were in 2020. Why banks failed in 1929 vs today: Depositors would not lose their money (FDIC). 2025 earnings growth estimate are 19% (vs 9% historically). Lance looks at cycles vs trends (Lance's first bank job). Cycle context & psychology. Most cycles are too long to be practical. "We must invest for the time frame in which we have control." Trend-following is better than cyclical tracking. Lance's 60th birthday, cursive writing, and Phoenician writing. The impact of not saving each year: Time frames are critical. SEG-1: Sloppy Trading Ahead SEG-2: Where's the Money Coming From? SEG-3: Why We Watch Train Crashes SEG-4: Cycles vs Trends Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRF6slc1bew&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Setting Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuRU3UTCD1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=2s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQFQg-9b9EQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2277s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets performed well last week, continuing to rise to new highs on Friday. There is now a huge deviation from moving averages, so there's a real risk for correction...but no guarantee: Markets COULD continue to rally into the New Year. The Volatility Index is also suggesting the same potentiality. An uptick in volatility...and a market correction...would be absolutely normal. Any pull back will set us up for a year-end rally. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuRU3UTCD1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz makes a rare, in-studio appearance with Lance Roberts, discussing whether another market liquidity event might be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. The ISM Services Index is showing weaknesses, and more economic reports to come this month are likely to mirrow such performance. A lack of stimulus money showing up previously in the economy are resulting in these weaker results emerging. Meanwhile, markets continue to do well, and expectations for 2025 are 19% above 2023 estimates for 2024. Bitcoin hits $100,000 thanks to President-elect Trump's appointment of a crypto-friendly chief at the SEC. As for expectations for next year, what should investors be watching out for? (Is a liquidity crisis near?) The Fed put too much liquidity into the system during Covid; those record levels of liquidity are fueling FOMO. Institutional investors are highly leveraged, which are dependant upon liquidity. The Fed's real manadate is to protect its member banks and prevent them from failing. Liquidity is now leaking. The Big Red Phone to the Fed. What if Trump really cuts government spending? Entitlement vs Mandatory spending. Looking to 2025: Extreme bullishness depends upon a strong economy; where are the risks? SEG-1: Economic Weaknesses are Emerging SEG-2: Anticipating 2025: What Should We Watch For? SEG-3a: Record Levels of Liquidity are Fueling FOMO SEG-3b: The Fed's Main Mandate SEG-4a: What If Trump Really Cuts Government Spending? SEG-4b: Market Bullishness Depends on Strong Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQFQg-9b9EQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2277s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "2019 Redux: Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2019-redux-is-another-liquidity-crisis-near/ "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bitcoin Hits $100,000," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdu7qCeme94&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Time for a Portfolio Reality Check" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #PaulAtkins #SEC #TechnologyStocks #AI #LiquidityCrisis #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Big news overnight is that Bitcoin hit $100,000 with President-election Trump's appointment of pro-cryptonian, Paul Atkins, to return as SEC Chief. Consider, Bitcoin was at $60k back in October; this recent climb culminates a long period of consolidation. Caution should be the watchword, however, as Bitcoin is highly deviated from its long-term moving averages. Eventually, it will get a pullback. Technology also had a big breakout Wednesday, after a long period of consolidation following the Yen Carry Trade blowup. Markets are very optimistic, very bullish, which is moving asset prices higher. We're seeing massive inflows of money into equities and ETF's, particularly in leveraged ETF's. There is a lot of speculative investing going on. Investors need to continue to manage risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdu7qCeme94&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #PaulAtkins #SEC #TechnologyStocks #AI #MarketExpectations #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #Diversification #Russell2000 #SmallCap #MidCap #Gold #Dollar #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Russia just learned of a near-miss from a passing meteorite...TONIGHT! Lance discusses GDP estimates and other economic reports; Retail Sales are "okay," with no tell tale signs of Recession...for the moment. What will revisions to these reports show next year? What will be the impact of cutting government spending? Meanwhile, investors are very, very exuberant. What should investors expect for the rest of the year? Lance and Danny discuss old guy things: Backpain. There's a pullback coming: Time for a portfolio reality check? The challenge of portfolio rebalancing when exuberance is high; should you sell winners and buy losers now? Emerging Markets are not growing; losers are cheap for a reason. The danger of doing rebalancing willy-nilly. On being Contrarian: Markets have not rewarded those so inclined. Yet. Does not necessarily mean to be super-bearish. On being "out of consensus; the current set up is good for recession. What will cause it, we don't know. The potential risks to portfolios of reduced government spending. Lance & Danny review the recent Thanksgiving break with family and the concept of paying your own way; demographic trends, and the evolution of Generation-X as "sandwich parents." Kids coming home for the holidays vs "boomerang" kids; first paychecks and stringing Christmas lights (yeah, we were all over the place today!) SEG-1: Meteorites, Russia, & Expectations for the Rest of 2204 SEG-2: Backpain & Pullbacks: Portfolio Rebalancing SEG-3: On Being Contrarian SEG-4a: Thanksgiving Reminiscing & Paying Your Way SEG-4b: The Roberts Kids Home for the Holidays Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, 12-4-24 What to Expect for the Rest of the Year is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ixjd2EjcoZw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. Lance and Jonathan discuss these lessons from history on today's show, plus a discussion on asset diversification, and what happens when all assets become correlated, the fallacies of diversification, and overlap risk. Money mistakes made by the young; the bset stop-loss tools and strategies; the flaw in comparing portfolio performance to the S&P Index (or any index). SEG-1: Why Sentiment-driven Indexes are Up SEG-2: Lessons from History - What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us SEG-3: The Fallacies of Diversification SEG-4a: The Best Stop-loss Tool SEG-4b: Comparing Portfolios to S&P Index Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The S&P is back on a buy signal and is a bit overbought; about to be impacted by portfolio redistributions. Small- and Mid-caps have enjoyed a sharp rally but are now only back to where they were three years ago. (While the S&P has made 54 new highs this year, up almost 27% for the year and continuing to grow, Russell 2000 holders have gone virtually nowhere for the past three years.) Those who have been long-term holders in "allocated" portfolios would be wise to review the idea of "diversification:" Diversifying among asset managers is NOT diversification. Just holding a bucket of assets across boards doesn't necessarily lead to better outcomes. Bitcoin has been in the news of late, getting close to the $100k mark; it is currently sitting on the 20-DMA, which is highly deviated. It will come back to meet the gravity of the moving average. Gold has also been working through a consolidation process. Pay attention to support at the 100-DMA. Similarly, the Dollar has been overbought following the presidential election. It's on a sell signal, working off the overboughtedness, and will be pulling back. What happens to the Dollar will feed over into other commodities. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Diversification #Russell2000 #SmallCap #MidCap #BitCOin #Gold #Dollar #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Welcome back from Thanksgiving break: Is it time to initiate Christmas Bonds to help Retailers? While markts have performed well, expect some sloppiness heading into the end of the year. We'll have Black Friday and Cyber Monday results later this week. Meanwhile, markets continue to grind higher. What will be the effects of Trump Administration picks and regulatory changes? High levels of market concentration will result in more volatility from regulatory disruptions. Market complacency in the past is a present risk; Lance looks at the impact of government spending, and a revealing chart of richest/poorest states...and the D.C. A sample of THC Pizza, the Thanksgiving Effect, and stupid housing solutions from Slate. Demographics are destiny: Is the US following Japan? Expect more market volatility in 2025; markets are a function of corporate earnings. It's okay to take speculative bets, but control risk. Commentary on MicroStrategy's strategy of using convertible debt to purchase Bitcoin: What could possibly go wrong? SEG-1: Christmas Bonds & Markets Grind Ever Higher SEG-2: Market Risks for 2025 SEG-3: THC Pizza & Stupid Housing Solutions SEG-4: Expecting Volatility in 2025 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It's a Good Time for Portfolio Clean-up" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Credit Spreads Matter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43V7qFIcbWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are doing fine, grinding higher, back on a buy signal, and trading well above it's 50-DMA. We're expecting a pullback over the next couple of weeks as mutual fund distributions occur. The market is over-bought on a relative strength basis. The S&P Equal-weighted Index is also doing well, and has been playing catchup. It, too, is extremely over bought, and we expected to see a consolidation/pullback soon. This is a good time to clear out any laggards you may have in your portfolio, do some tax-loss harvesting before the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Credit spreads can greatly assist in determining the risk of a correction or bear market by reflecting the perceived risk of corporate bonds compared to government bonds. The spread between risky corporate bonds and safer Treasury bonds remains narrow when the economy performs well. This is because investors are confident in corporate profitability and are willing to accept lower yields for higher risks. Conversely, during economic uncertainty or stress, investors demand higher yields for holding corporate debt, causing spreads to widen. This widening often signals investors are growing concerned about future corporate defaults, which could indicate broader economic trouble. Lance and Jonathan explain Credit Spreads, the impact of Credit Spreads on Investments, plus Corporate Bond Yield Analysis and Fixed Income Market Trends. Lance also updates progress on Christmas decor at La Mansion de Roberts, identifies The Most Important Indicator, and the story about Bad Stuffing. Hilarity ensues. Happy Thanksgiving, y'all! SEG-1: Post-election Optimism: Markets Touch 6,000 SEG-2a: Christina's Christmas Tree SEG-2b: Is a Crash Coming? SEG-3: The Most Important Indicator SEG-4a: Bad Stuffing SEG-4b: How to Predict Future Returns Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43V7qFIcbWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Credit Spreads: The Markets Early Warning Indicators" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/credit-spreads-the-markets-early-warning-indicators/ "Market Forecasts Are Very Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Touch 6,000" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Look for a Holiday Rally" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBrh3-984LU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1184s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CreditSpreads #MarketCrash #RiskOn #RiskOff #InvestmentStrategy #FixedIncome #BondMarket #FinancialEducation #HolidayRally #StockMarketTrends #InvestingSeason #YearEndStocks #FinancialMarkets2024 #SP6000 #10YearTreasuries #ScottBessent #TreasurySecretary #FiscalHawk #BadStuffing #MrsRobertsChristmasTree #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The S&P kissed 6,000, bounced briefly over, then fell, rose again, and finished at 5,970. L:ooks for a weak open this morning, and then another rally as markets again attempt to close above the 6k level. Big move Monday in Treasury Yields on news of Scott Bessent's nomination as Sec'y Treasury. Gold has had a great run this year but is starting to set up a pattern to drop off...corresponding with a decline in Yields and a strengthening Dollar. Markets are holding up well; mid-caps caught a huge rally Monday. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP6000 #10YearTreasuries #ScottBessent #TreasurySecretary #FiscalHawk #DollarStrength #BitCoin #BitCoinCorrection #DollarDebasement #RiskOn #RiskManagement #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
A preview of risks on the horizon, including Trump Tariffs, interest rates, and how debt and deficits are economic drivers. What are the effects on corporate profitability?Will valuations be problematic next year? Lance revews Nvidia's stellar quarterly report and analysts' expectations for 2025. Bitcoin is tracking WITH the US Dollar, not against it as a de-dollarization asset. CNBC completely misses "first man in space" trivia question (Yuri Gagarin, not Alan Shepherd); Lance & Michael discuss Nvidia's quarterly earnings and obscene, 55% profit margin: Does the company risk losing market share to an competitor willing to work for a piece of that pie? A discussion of the anticipated Trump Tariffs, and their impact on corporate profitability; what potential offsets will exist? What choices will consumers make (potentially refusing to buy), and what is the real impact on inflation in the aggregate: The seen and unseen effects and potential retaliatory tariffs. NOTE: Hoover's tariffs are suspect in making the 1930's Depression worse. Why the US' poorest state, Mississippi, has a higher GDP than the country of France: The cost of government intervention. MicroStrategy, BitCoin, and stupid investor investments. SEG-1: Looking at the Risk-on Horizon SEG-2: Why Nvidia is Still "Cheap" SEG-3: Will Trump Tariffs Really Be Inflationary? SEG-4: Stupid Investor Investments Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VE5okKP_9hM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ "Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/ "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Doesn't Disappoint" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j1rOq_VH06M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Wall Street Lowers 2025 Expectations: Should You Be Concerned?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4bUAbsijBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #MicroStrategy #BitCoin #TrumpTariffs #TradeWarImpact #EconomicOutlook #InflationRisks #GlobalTradeTrends #WallStreetForecast #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingTrends #EconomicUpdates #FinancialPlanning2025 #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Nvidia absolutely slayed their quarterly earnings report, reporting an incredible 55% profit margin on their chips, with $35-billion in revenues (I know, Lance said, "Trillion;" it's Billion.) Stocks may trade down a bit this morning, but still within a very bullish trend. Palo Alto Networks also had a good report, beating estimates. Snowflake, however, barely beat estimates, and is up 21% this morning; why the difference? The markets, as of late, have been a "dash for trash." The Dollar Index continues to accelerate. But Bitcoin, the supposedly "Dollar Debasement" play, has been rallying right along with the Dollar. Bitcoin, approaching $100k, is NOT a dollar debasement asset; it is a risk-on asset. Bitcoin is essentially a dollar asset because, in order to use it, you have to convert Bitcoin back into Dollars. Be careful: Both the Dollar and Bitcoin are extremely over-bought at this point. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j1rOq_VH06M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #PaloAltoNetworks #Snowflake #BitCoin #DollarDebasement #RiskOn #RiskManagement #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Nvidia Day--markets will respond accordingly tomorrow. Expectations are high for earnings and forward guidance. Analysts are generally looking for lowered expectations in 2025, as President Trump faces a waning economy. Meanwhile, markets have had a good test of support at the 20-DMA. Volatility anticipated in a holiday-shortened trading week next week. Lance and Danny plead for planning ahead at the end of the year, so as not to pile EOY changes on at the last minute. Corporate profitability in 2025: Case studies with WalMart vs Target and the aftertaste of wokeism. Stock picking could be more profitable than ETF investing next year. What happens to retailers who cannot sell their stuff? Lance and Danny look at factors that play into corporate profitability as the rest of the world slows down: We import deflation and export our inflation. The looming battle between the White House and the Fed: What will happen to Jerome Powell? SEG-1: The Challenge for Trump in the 2025 Economy SEG-2: Give Your Financial Advisor a Break! SEG-3: WalMart vs Target - Corporate Profitability in 2025 SEG-4: Retail Sales & The Battle Between the WH vs the Fed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4bUAbsijBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/ "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets End 2024 Even Higher Than Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ZUtOduj4Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Yardini & The Long History of Prediction Problems" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3srkduy24uM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WallStreetForecast #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingTrends #EconomicUpdates #FinancialPlanning2025 #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #EconomicOutlook #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Good action in the markets on Tuesday after testing the 20-DMA three times: Futures are higher this morning, so a follow through is expected. There is a short-term sell signal in place, however, which will likely limit upside. Expect a little more volatility over the next few days as trading is impacted by a holiday-shortened week for Thanksgiving. Despite that, markets should end higher than where they are now. Historically, whenever there's been a 20% return year by November (which we have had), markets end that year higher, 80% of the time. Caveat: Everybody is in the boat right now; however, when we get into next year, if everybody has already bought, who's left to buy?? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ZUtOduj4Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #HigherEOY #InvestorEbullience #FederalReserve #DovishFed #HawkishFed #InterestrateCut #RetailSales #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketSellOff #RiskManagement #SellBonds #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
WalMart reports it's close to profitability; expect some market chop this week; NVIDIA reports Wednesday evening, and markets will respond on Thursday. A look at the performance of the Top Ten Stocks: Everyone wants to be in on the US Markets. Markets on Tuesday dropped to bounce off the 20-DMA, and continue to run along the ever-rising trend line. Expect some volatility ahead of next month's Fed meeting and anticipated 25-bp rate cut. Watch out for a shift in language to a more dovish stance. Economist Ed Yardeni believes markets' upward momentum will continue, and has revised his long-term forecast to project that the S&P 500 will reach 10,000 by 2029. Lance and Jonathan discuss these aspects, as well as markets' "animal spirits" and consumer confidence. Borrowing from the future: Markets are outpacing what the economy can produce; rising wages vs corporate profits are incongruent; the effects of decreasing government spending and tariffs; why ebullient predictions always fail. Lance explores a new IG channel for his wife; hilarity ensues. What should you ask and expect from a financial advisor? Lance & Jon discuss the work that we do. SEG-1: Everyone Wants In the US Markets SEG-2 New Website & Yardini Rebuttal SEG-3a: Stupid Things & Watching Tyspn SEG-3b: Borrowing From the Future & Problem w Predictions SEG-4a: The Baked Baker SEG-4b: Expectations for Your Financial Advisor Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3srkduy24uM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/ "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Doves Return to the Fed?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZBtzLJWhGg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: ""Trump Trade" Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CvFZe_0Yf4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2754s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #EconomicOutlook #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets came down to touch the 20-DMA and bounced off of it; markets are trending along this upward trend range. We're about half-way through a correction, with markets having a little more work to do. Markets tend to perform better following Thanksgiving into the first two weeks of December. Expect volatility and a little chop; not much else to worry about. The Fed is expected to make a 25-bp rate cut at its meeting on December 18...unless they don't. That's the risk to reckon with. The key will be in the Fed's language, and whether it takes a dovish tone. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZBtzLJWhGg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #DovishFed #HawkishFed #InterestrateCut #RetailSales #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketSellOff #RiskManagement #SellBonds #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's the last full week of trading before Thanksgiving. Expectations for US GDP growth in the new year are on the plus side of 3%, vs the EU's negative exepctations: Where do you want to put your money? First place the "Government Efficiency Department" can start is at the Department of Defense, failing its past seven audits. Risks are building in certain market areas where “Trump Trade” exuberance has likely exceeded the grasp of underlying fundamental realities. While investors were a bit skittish heading into the election, the clean Republican sweep of the Presidency, House, and Senate has sent investors scrambling to add exposure across all market assets. While the “Trump Trade” certainly has some legs, lower taxes, deregulation, and tariffs will not solve many companies’ ” sales “ problems. But that is the beauty of speculation: rising prices increase speculation, which leads to higher prices. Lance shares his weekend excurion to The Warehouse at Texas A&M; valuations as short-term tools vs long term fundamentals. Post-election optimism at an all time high; the set up for markets now is very different from 2016. Could BitCoin hit $100,000? Why we don't have it in our 60/40 portfolio: Too volatile. Understanding risk psychology; why we've got about five years remaining to make real money in the markets. SEG-1: Great Expectations for US GDP Growth SEG-2a: An Aggie Christmas SEG-2b: Valuations & Risks in Cutting Government Spending SEG-3: Understanding Bitcoin & Risk Psychology SEG-4: Short-term vs Long-term Market Perspectives Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Assets Keeping You Awake? Sell 'em!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q86SaUTa5s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Math Behind the MACD" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Friday's market sell- off was the result of a big options expiration date. The post-election rally was a vertical spike, and that markets were so stretched from the 50-DMA, a return to earth was inevitable. Markets are working off their "overboughtedness," and are close to triggering a sell signal. Markets tend to rally after Thanksgiving and into the first two weeks of December. Choppy action should be expected going into the end of the year. While the trend into January appears to be positive, be aware of the risks. With interest rates bouncing up and down over the past two weeks, Bonds were used as hedges going into the election; interest rates are overbought on multiple levels, and bond traders are extremely short. This is typically a good set up for a yield reversal. If you're long bonds and so worried that you're not sleeping at night: Sell your bonds. Sell any asset that's keeping you awake at night. In the short term, all that matters are technicals; in the long term, it's fundamentals that count. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q86SaUTa5s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketSellOff #RiskManagement #SellBonds #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Just ahead of the Christmas Retail Shopping Season, credit card debt is piling up; consumers are under stress. Survey: What to do when an item is too expensive? What will be the actual effect of tariffs? What economists think vs how consumers react. Meanwhile, markets sold off Wednesday, then rallied back for a positive close: Participants are unwilling to sell, expecting markets to continue to rise; Bitcoin is melting up, Gold is getting beaten up, the Russell 2000 enjoys a post-election pop. Lance covers YouTube Chat etiquette, and with Michael Lebowitz discusses the latest CPI print and the problem with homeowners equivalent rent as 40% of the CPI calculation. What about the PPI? The Fed's biggest task is calming the markets. Markets are only listening to what they want to hear. Lance shares his Top Five Technical Analysis Tools. When we discuss technical analysis in our articles and podcasts, we often examine the moving average convergence divergence indicator, better known as the MACD, or colloquially the Mac D. The MACD is one of our favored technical indicators to help forecast prices and manage risk. The MACD is the difference between a short moving average and a longer moving average. The MACD line tells us if there is a trend in place and whether its momentum is increasing or decreasing. Lance and Michael share how to use MACD in your trading strategy as part of your suite of technical analysis tools. SEG-1: Economists' Thoughts vs Consumers' Actions SEG-2: CPI & The Problem With Homeowners' Equivalent Rent SEG-3: Markets Are Only Listening to What They Want to Hear SEG-4: Technical Analysis & The Math of MACD Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The MACD: A Guide To This Powerful Momentum Gauge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-macd-a-guide-to-this-powerful-momentum-gauge/ "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Market Participants are Unwilling to Sell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJeDa7V9Z3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Annuities: Good, Bad, & Ugly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6X1QEdhShs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2720s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #InvestingTips #InvestmentAdvice #CPI #PPI #FinancialPlanning #IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets sold off and then rallied back to close in positive territory; markets are holding on at a very high level: Participants are just unwilling to sell, expecting markets to climb even higher thru year's end. Analysts are very exuberant, seeing no problem with the S&P hitting 6,200 by the end of the year. Bitcoin is the poster-child for exuberance, melting higher in the post-election, now in the $91,000 realm. This is the best, speculative investment measure of risk. Bitcoin is extremely overbought. Gold, on the other hand, has gotten hit really hard since the election, trading down another 80-basis points this morning. Gold cracked through the 20-day, the 50-day, and is threatening to break through the 100-DMA today. Gold is oversold, and we're expecting a bounce. The Russell 2000 has seen a big gain in small- and mid-cap stocks following the election. Bank lending standards have loosened up sharply since the election, too. Lowered interest rates and a business-friendly Administration are allowing banks to ease their lending restrictions for small- and mid-cap companies. The message in the markets: Risk-on! Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJeDa7V9Z3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RiskOn #NoSale #SP6200 #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #RiskManagement #2024Election #TrumpWin #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #BitCoin #SmallCap #MidCap #Russell2000 #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have been on a rocket ship ride of late: Stocks are overbought, and when you have extreme deviations from the moving averages (which act like gravity to pull prices down), a pullback is to be expected. Watch for some pre-Thanksgiving volatility, a post-Thanksgiving rally, and then more volatility the first few weeks of December, followed by a Santa Claus rally. Markets will likely be higher, a thesis supported by an impromptu Twitter poll of 1,000 respondents: over 50% anticipate the S&P will reach 6,200 by year's end. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VuOdEkfM6UA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP6200 #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #RiskManagement #2024Election #TrumpWin #PostElectionRally #PreThanksgivingVolatility #MarketVolatility #SantaClausRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings Season is winding up, and The Next Big Report to come will be from NVIDIA on 11/20. Markets are on fire for now; what will the Fed do next? We're expecting one more rate cut in December, and then a pause. This week's inflation print could be higher due to YOY comparisons. Mutual Fund Distributions are coming in December; do not be alarmed! The post-election market is on a tear: invesetors are more exuberant than ever. Everybody is betting on everything to go up. A pullback to the 20-DMA is coming, setting up the market for a rally into year end. Lance and Jonathan discuss mutual fund distributions and anticipated portfolio variations. How will markets responsd to Trump policies and government employment levels. Lance's entreprenurial son offers "boyfriends" services for Thanksgiving. Lance & Jonathan parse the pro's and con's of bond portfolios. Investors can have any of the two: Capital appreciation, safety, or liquidity. The problems with 100% bond portfolio, and the impossibility of high income with no risk. Yield is a function of risk: There is no such thing as no-risk (things companies do to stay in business). Markets' exuberance comes with a price: Policy chances will have consequences. Is the 60/40 Portfolio dead? SEG-1: Post-election Markets are on Fire SEG-2: What Mutual Fund Distribution Time Means SEG-3a: Tommy's Rent-a-Boyfriend Enterprise SEG-3b: The Pro's & Con's of Bond Portfolios SEG-4: There's No Such Thing as No Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZtz1S3R3WQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2635s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Everybody's Betting on Everything Going Up" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AISGEpmtMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why COLA Doesn't Get Any Respect" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have been ON FIRE since the election: After touching support at the 50_DMA before Election Day, markets have taken off, and we're getting pretty over-extended now. Investors are more exuberant than ever on record. There are now some of the highest call options for Kathie Woods' Ark Fund, which we haven't seen in forever because it's been such an underperformer. Everybody's betting on Everything going up. Eventually, there's going to be a pullback, maybe to the 20-DMA, 5,820 on the S&P, and that would set up markets for a rally into the end of the year. We're suggesting implementation of some risk management at this point. Don't get greedy. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AISGEpmtMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #KathieWoods #ArkFund #RiskManagement #2024Election #TrumpWin #PostElectionRally #MarketVolatility #SellSignals #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The markets' response to the election outcome, combined with Thursday's Fed rate cut: Markets love it, but half the country (metro areas) are not happy. Avoid knee-jerk responses; next year could be very different. What to do with Bonds: Know what your goal is. Rich & Danny discuss home-bias investing vs international markets: Where're you gonna go? Expect more volatility and more disappointment. Rich explains 'Goal Scooping:' Do it now. Markets love gridlock in D.C.; market performance with blue vs red waves. A discussion of the new Roberts' home vs the set of "Lioness..." Why COLA gets no respect; the compounding effect on COLA; why policy failures are expensive; the paucity of fiscal education today. How COLA is calculated; how to fix Social Security? Eliminate wage base. (Rich's Halloween review.) The value of a financial advisor: Grill prospective advisors; maximizing tax-effective diversification. How organized sports have become a big business...and a money grab on families' budgets. SEG-1: Avoid Knee-jerk Responses to Election Results SEG-2a: Home Bias Investing vs International Markets SEG-2b: COLA & The Compounding Effect SEG-3: Why Policy Failure is Expensive SEG-4: The Value of a Financial Advisor: Diversification for Taxes Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Arrives!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #COLA #CostOfLivingAdjustment #Compounding #FiscalEducation #InternationalMarkets #GoalScooping #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #Halloween #Lioness #ZoeSaldana #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
In the aftermath of the 2024 Election, attention now turns to today's Fed announcement, with odds makers giving 96% chance of a quarter-percent rate cut. Meanwhile, markets are roiling as foreign investors try to position after the election. Managers are scrambling to re-risk in time for year-end reporting; Wednesday was a huge day for Small Caps. Lance and Michael discuss the frequency of Mexican Food, our up coming 2025 Economic Summit, and what investors should do in response to Tuesday's election. The results argue for the value in a diversified portfolio. Questions remain: Why was Gold getting crushed? What will Trump do? Will there be an economic surprise? A discussion of economic reporting, and prediction the NFIB Confidence Index will surge with the Trump win. Employment data, however, is slightly below average. Why is the Fed cutting rates? Watch for a wall of corporate debt coming due. We're in a "fine" economy; the Fed meeting may seem boring, but read between the lines. Will there be a Fed surprise? Half-percent rate cut vs NO rate cut? Watch for language changes in Fed statement. Trump Tariffs do not necessarily promote growth. Will we see '70's-style inflation? Can the Fed control the yield curve? (Operation Twist) Most of the Fed's sway is in what they say. SEG-1: Post-election Analysis & Fed Meeting Preview SEG-2: Election Reaction: What Do We Do Next? SEG-3: Economic Reporting Preview SEG-4: Fed Control of Yield Curve; Why is Gold Surging? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trump Wins!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GoldSurges #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #MexicanFood #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The S&P broke out to new, all-time highs following the election, and the sell signal is close to reversing. When it does (perhaps today), that will be the kick-off for the seasonally-strong period. Keep an eye on the trend line from August, about to intersect with 6,000; we're coming up on the bottom side of that, and the market will try to gravitate up to that by the end of the year. Watch for a strong open today, and bit of a sell off later in the day. Markets are back: That briefly oversold condition was completely reversed on Wednesday. We're back to over bought. Hedge fund managers are very underweight in equities heading into the end of the year; they de-risked going into the election, and they need to "re-risk" for performance goals. That, and corporate buy backs resume, adding action to the market. Small-caps finally made it back to about break even. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2024Election #TrumpWin #SP6000 #Russell2000 #NFIBIndex #SmallCap #MidCap #InterestRates #DebtRefinancing #PostElectionRally #MarketVolatility #SellSignals #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The 2024 Election outcome is sharply affecting pre-market, with Donald Trump's election sending stocks higher. The S&P trendline is aiming for the 6000 or 6100 level. The question that remains is whether markets can sustain that trend. This time is different from the previous Trump win: Interest rates are falling and tax rates are lower now; yet, there are still plenty of questions for investors: what will Trump's tax policy be? What will be the over all impact on the economy? (The Tax Foundation predicts .8% impact to GDP.) Still to be seen in the Congress: What happens with a Republican sweep? What will the Tariff effect be? Fiscal dominance is not an issue. The Fed is likely to reverse QE to QT. What if Trump initiates a round of major infrastructure spending/investment? One thing is clear: Don't chase markets today. If you weren't already in, it will be tough do so now. What are the risks from the Fed and poor holiday retail sales? What are possible effects of a Musk-led "Government Efficiency" Dept.? Some of the things we need to fix will produce negative effect from doing so. Could reducing government trigger Recession? Avoid FOMO today; what matters will be post-inauguration. Lance and Danny discuss the importance of being able to adapt to changing policies; markets are going to do what they do. Love it or hate it, Congress is very much controlled by corporate lobbying interests. Market pullbacks will be short-lived. Buy the dips when you can. Lance explains positioning on Bonds now. SEG-1: Trump Win to Send Stocks Higher SEG-2: The What-if's of Trumpian Policy SEG-3: Don't Chase Markets Today SEG-4: Don't Make Investing Decisions Based on Political Bias Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Does Trump Win Translate into S&P 6000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdiZEF5mrVc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Election Day: Plan for Volatility" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYkOUuP1e_Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact#ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #Palantir #Ferrari #SuperMicro #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Donald Trump's election win is sending stocks markedly higher this morning, especially in the Dow, where stocks there are more economically sensitive. All indexes are pushing higher ahead of the opening bell; the question is whether these levels can be sustained throughout the day. If you are, unfortunately, not in the market already, it's going to be tough to do so today. Small and Mid-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 are going to see big moves today on expectations for pro-economic friendly structures. The NFIB Index is also economically sensitive and has been under a lot of pressure for the past couple of years; it could see a big surge today. The NFIB Index closely correlates with the Russell 2000. A word of caution about Small- and Mid-cap companies: Interest rates are still elevated, which weighs on debt refinancing, and many of these companies are unprofitable. NOTE: The rising trendline on the S&P now intersects with the 6,000 level, support for which comes from stock buy backs and performance chasing by portfolio managers heading into the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdiZEF5mrVc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2024Election #TrumpWin #SP6000 #Russell2000 #NFIBIndex #SmallCap #MidCap #InterestRates #DebtRefinancing #PostElectionRally #MarketVolatility #SellSignals #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Will the 2025 Election be The Most Important Election Ever? Yes...until 2028. Vote for the policy, not the personality: Child Care Credits case study. Markest are hangin' on ahead of the election, setting up for a post-election rally.Bond yields are the result of pre-election positioning; bond auction is next week. It's hard to buy when it's unpopular. Why are Small Caps having a hard time: They're not growing earnings. Most sensitive to difficult economy. Understand what gives stocks long term growth; will economic growth slow to "normal" next year? Don't expect 20% grwoth in 2025. Markets' historical post-election performance & government stimulus; why you have about six years remaining to make as much money as your can before the end of the current, bullish market cycle. Ignore emotion in the media. Expectations for a contested election & congressional gridlock: Lance review historical market performance from various election outcomes. For now, we're waiting on the Fed, expected to lower rates another quarter-point this week. Reviewing employment data for retailers ahead of holiday shopping season (What Mrs. Roberts wants for Christmas) Turkey down & The Hallmark channel. Stocks we wish we had bought: Palantir, up 200% this year. Earnings preview: Ferrari, SuperMicro SEG-1: Vote Policies, Not Personalities SEG-2: Don't Expect 20% Growth in 2025 SEG-3: Why You Have Six Years to Make As Much Money As You Can SEG-4: This, too, Shall Pass - Waiting on the Fed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYkOUuP1e_Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Table is Set for Post-election Rally" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opnKzoHrODs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isHueBB3EwY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #Palantir #Ferrari #SuperMicro #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have been holding support at the 50-DMA level for the past several days, in a wait-and-see mode ahead of today's election. Markets are oversold on a short term basis, and still on a sell signal, which is limiting market upside. Traders have been de-risking portfolios until the outcomes are known. That sell-off has set up markets to rally post-election. Doesn't mean it's not going to get a little bumpy, though. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opnKzoHrODs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2024Election #PostElectionRally #MarketVolatility #SellSignals #PreElectionDeRisking #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's 2024 Election-eve: Hedge funds are long on a presumed outcome; watch for a pick up in volatility. The Fed meets on the day after the election; there are still about 100 S&P Companies left to report. Reference Lance's weekend article on buy backs, Wolf in Sheep's Clothing: Apple spent $100-B on stock buy backs, when they could have purchased Intel for $99-B and produced their own chips. But, no. investors should do nothing on this day before the election; any move you make could be wrong. RIP Quincy Jones & Peanuts the Squirrel; Earnings Season Beat Rates are still elevated 80% (w charts). Roughly 10% of earnings are manufactured, and these are boosted by buy backs. Jerome Powell commentary this week will depend upon election outcome; he doesn't know yet. Lance' discussion on interest rates and debt overhang: Remember the Fed's job is to protect the banks. Lending money into existence is how economy works. Interest Rates are like a virus. Expectations are for a .25-bp rate cut. The IRS is raising the 401k max contribution ceiling by $500 to $23,500 for 2025. How "later" shows up tomorrow. Saving is a discipline. SEG-1: Markets on Standstill SEG-2: Earnings Season Beat Rates Still Elevated SEG-3: Interest Rates Are Like a Virus SEG-4: 401k Ceilings & the Discipline of Saving Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isHueBB3EwY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Smart Money Moves to Make Right Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-smart-money-moves-to-make-right-now/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Do Anything Today" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ureIqdQOgyo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Money Smart Things To Do Before Year's End" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GA2ZIzl8ws&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1900s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #401kCeiling #SavingsDiscipline #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Don't do anything today: Virtually anything you do today, ahead of the elections, could be wrong. There was a considerable amount of pre-election de-risking last week. Managers were saying, "I've had a good run, I'm taking money off the table," because no one knows the outcome of the election. On Thursday we saw a sell off, hit the 50-DMA, and that support held on Friday. No one wants to be exceptionally long at this point. We anticipate markets will be essentially flat by the end of the day. Markets are oversold on a short-term basis, and with Thursday's de-risking, markets are in a good position for a post-election rally. Still, on a sell signal, upside will be limited. Remain calm until the election is past. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ureIqdQOgyo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
2024 isn’t over yet. So here are 10 smart money moves to make right now. Saving money should be a year-round endeavor, but life gets in the way just like anything else. So with 2024 coming to a swift, thankful end, take advantage of the fourth quarter to accelerate your financial acumen, bolster your balance sheet and successfully springboard into the new year. Danny and Matt share year-end financial planning tips , smart money moves, and tax-saving strategies for the end of the year; plus investment adjustments for year-end, and a personal finance checklist for 2024. SEG-1: Investors Are Too Focused on Near-Term SEG-2: When Will Valuations Matter Again? SEG-3: Open Enrollment Strategies SEG-4: Year End To-do's Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GA2ZIzl8ws&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1900s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Smart Money Moves to Make Right Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-smart-money-moves-to-make-right-now/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Best Since 2018" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVTVr2sHG74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "Fact-checking Paul Tudor Jones & Stanley Druckenmiller" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esqhIBreVZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #YearEndPlanning #SmartMoneyMoves #TaxSavings #FinancialChecklist #PersonalFinanceTips #EarningsSeason #LoweredExpectations #PaulTudorJones #StanleyDruckenmiller #MarketOutlook #InvestmentPredictions #HedgeFundInsights #MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have now had the best 12-months risk-adjusted returns since 2018. Sadly, that is unsustainable. The S&P is not doing much, with very narrow price compression, and markets are quietly de-risking behind the scenes as the election draws near. Markets are holding support at the 20-DMA, but that could get taken out today. All of the algorithms are watching the 20-DMA. Upside in the markets is being limited by a sell-signal. (Just because there's a sell signal doesn't mean the markets are going to sell off; you're probably just not going to go up in price, because if you did, you wouldn't have a sell signal.) Many investors are holding off doing anything until after the election. The problem with that is going to be playing catch up, regardless of which way the market reacts to the election results. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVTVr2sHG74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #RiskAdjustedReturns #BestYear #2024Election #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #2024Election #MarketRisk #Winners #Tariffs #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Halloween preview & earnings parade; pre-election bond market auction action. Markets are hedging a bit ahead of elections. The latest JOLTS report was weaker than expected - more evidence of a slowing economy? Meanwhile, consumer confidence continues to confound, bouncing up in the latest Conference Board Confidence Index reading, especially for forward expectations for stock prices into 2025. Lance reviews International, Emerging Markets, and Dollar performance. Markets "are not doing nothin'" until after the election. Lance & Danny discuss what happens after that. Political posturing is a problem: Data vs Opinion. Why markets love gridlock, but appear to be positioning for a Trump win. How many Funds outperform the S&P (chart); this data does not show who the managers were! "I want a one-star Fund on its way to five-stars." A comment on why intrinsic value doesn't matter; bond ratings & pay-for-play. The problem with ratings systems: No real-time monitoring/reporting. What we didn't know: The Lehman story. "High Yield" is a proxy for junk. Why ETF's underperform their indexes. Why don't we sing pumpkin carols? Could raging bull John Paulson be the next Treasury Sec'y.? How thoughtful would slashing government spending be? A final tease for more complete discussion on "intrinsic value." SEG-1: Markets Are Hedging Ahead of Elections SEG-2a: What Happens After the Election? SEG-2b: How Many Funds Outperform the S&P? SEG-3: Bond Ratings Happen in the Rear View Mirror SEG-4: The Challenge of Cutting Government Spending Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSkBraqrjmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2989s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, " Why No One is Willing to Buy or Sell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sh_WPCQ11qk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAyGMHtuS0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Conference Board's latest Consumer Confidence Survey shows an increase in consumer confidence, a nice bounce from the recent downtrend; both present and future expectation metrics increased. The overall survey remains low, but surprisingly, consumer confidence in stock prices over the next year is at an all-time high. Accordingly, markets continue to hold on around the 20-DMA. No one is really willing to buy or sell right now. In International Markets, not a lot going on, either. Emerging markets have been selling off after a nice rally. These have been a drag on diversified portfolios. The Dollar continues to strengthen; the US is now roughly 63% of Global Market Cap. Relative to the rest of the world, the US Economy is still growing. Investors seem to be in a wait-and-see mode until after next week's elections. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sh_WPCQ11qk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ConferenceBoard #ConsumerConfidenceSurvey #FutureExpectations #StockPriceExpectations #2024Election #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #2024Election #MarketRisk #Winners #Tariffs #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
A barrage of earnings reports this week reveals companies are beating lowered expectations, and revenue is down. McDonald's foot traffic is off (and interesting economic barometer); the story is surely unfolding of an economy that is slowing down. What do markets sell signals tell us? There are two ways for markets to correct: Consolidation, or pull back in prices. Lance rants on the realities of stock buy backs, and a sidebar from Jonathan on coffee habits; How will markets behave if the election is contested? Markets are very long on risk assets ahead of election; paralysis by analysis: Does not have to be "all-or-none." A look at the performance of our "all-weather" portfolio, and our bond strategies moving forward. A discussion on Gold, Gold Miners, and other commodities: Very economically sensitive and volatile. What if the economy collapses and we don't go back on Gold standard? It's all about balance (Remember the Hunt Brothers' silver fiasco). What to do about solicitation to "lock-in higher yields" in Bond accounts: Understanding high yield = junk bonds, generally NOT investment-grade. SEG-1: Earnings Are Beating Lowered Expectations (yay) SEG-2: The Ugly Reality of Stock Buy Backs SEG-3: The All-Weather Portfolio & Bond Strategy Moving Forward SEG-4: Commodities' Economic Sensitivity & Volatility Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAyGMHtuS0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Sell Signals Don't Mean Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjPmDHAR4Nw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Streaks Of Bullish Wins Are Not Sustainable" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets continue to do their thing, still sitting on a sell signal, which is limiting upside. How can markets move up while under a sell signal? Sell signals don't necessarily mean markets correct, it just means markets don't go anywhere. Sell signals simply suggest there are more buyers than sellers, and things are beginning to slow down. Markets can correct in two ways: Either in consolidation or in a pullback in pricing. The 20-DMA continues to acts as very good support; this consolidation is working to eliminate equity risk heading into the election. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjPmDHAR4Nw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #2024Election #MarketRisk #Winners #Tariffs #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Wrapping up the Month of October and beginning the strongest period for markets, November - April; what could throw a wrench into the works? (How about an election upset?) Markets are positioning for a specific, anticipated outcome. Life with the Roberts': Child #4 accepted at Baylor! The Halloween dress-rehearsal. Markets' positioning for election outcome: What if...? Market risks to election outcome. Treasury Bonds are the best set up for election upset; there are decent opportunities to go "long" on energy stocks. Economic data released this week: The Chicago Fed Manufacturing Index is an important indicator; what is it telling us? View that performance of the Mag-7 might reverse next year are not reasonable. Google(s) and Crocks report this week, and most of the Top 10 will have reported by week's end. Lance relates his conversation with his dog and managing risk. Article preview on Paul Tudor Jones' opinion on owning Treasury Bonds. Debts and Deficits will not lead to higher rates: The country will NOT go bankrupt: Economic growth, Wage growth, inflation growth: The terminal rate is likely around 2.5%. The thing about bonds: It's pretty much math. SEG-1: What Could Throw a Wrench into markets? SEG-2a: Life w The Roberts & Baylor U. SEG-2b: Markets Position for Election Outcome SEG-3: Earnings Reports & Managing Risk SEG-4: Debts & Deficits will NOT Lead to Higher Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Election Winner" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Wz_MZaSmQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can You Really Afford to Own a Home?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbPQLkasFFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have begun positioning for the winner of the 2024 Election. What we don't know for certain is who that winner will be...but trading actions we can see are clearly pointing to a win by a particular candidate by their positioning in certain groups of companies that would benefit from policies the winner might implement. Meanwhile, the S&P continues to grind its way higher, on a nice, upward trajectory ever since September. The 20-DMA is acting as a good trendline indicator for the markets. We are, however, on a sell signal, which is limiting advances somewhat. Markets appear to be holding their breath ahead of the election. Markets appear to be betting on a Trump victory for a couple of reasons: Strong inflows into the US Dollar ahead of imposition of tariffs President Trump has said he would place. We're also seeing inflows into financials and technologies, which did well during a Trump presidency. However, the risk to all of this would be a Harris win. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Wz_MZaSmQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2024Election #MarketRisk #Winners #Tariffs #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Gold Fish are changing their name to Chilean Sea Bass, and Spam will henceforth be known as Filet Mignon; the world has gone awry, and Richard & Jonathan discuss the surprise results from Tesla, Polymarket odds for the 2024 Election, and goal scooping and setting expectations for 2025. Richard compares the Saudi's newest, biggest building in the world to the Tiny Homes trend, and Gen-Z's housing preferences (No car, no garage = no problem!) The Atlanta Fed's Home Ownership Affordability Monitor is a good gauge; the death of Elizabeth Warren's 50-30-20 Rule of Thumb. You can find affordable housing if you look, but you might not like where it is. Housing will eventually become more affordable. Comparisons of Sears' Craftsman Homes to Tiny Home enclaves (as in Independence, Texas); Michelle Bowers' "The Old House Life." Social Security's COLA for 2025 will be up 2.5%, but probably absorbed by increases in prescription drug coverage premium (funny how inflation has tapered just in time for COLA calculations!) SEG-1: Goal Scooping & Setting Expectations for 2025 SEG-2: Home Ownership Affordability & Tiny Homes SEG-3: Finding Affordable Homes SEG-4: More Tiny Homes Talk & SS COLA Changes Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbPQLkasFFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the Rising Wedge Pattern May Mean " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7uHTtKv5KI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3xSgmwD84s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2104s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HomeAffordability #SocialSecurity #COLA #IRS #2025TaxRates #Boomers #Millennials #FixedIncomeStrategy #InflationImpact #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingRulesOfThumb #MACD #$SPX #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Conference Board's Economic Surprise Index gauges exactly that: How surprised economists are when things don't pan out as they expected. Like the economy doing better than they think it ought, under the current conditions. Economists are setting themselves up for disappointment; more Americans are living paycheck-to-paycheck. Lance and Michael discuss market psychology and a subset of PTSD known as memory inflation: Things were better (or worse) than they actually were, which is affecting the Bond market, and the realities of inflation vs wages. Addressing chat window commentary: Headlines vs Data: Who should you believe? What we're doing with bonds; looking for a technical bounce. Look for a revision to estimates. SEG-1: Dealing with Economic Surprise SEG-2: Market PTSD & Memory Inflation SEG-3: Headlines vs Data: Who Do You Believe? SEG-4: What We're doing w Bonds Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3xSgmwD84s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2104s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the Rising Wedge Pattern May Mean " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7uHTtKv5KI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Technical Analysis Techniques"" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPqRWYTO3Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2488s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MemoryInflation #BondYields #FixedIncomeStrategy #InflationImpact #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingRulesOfThumb #MACD #$SPX #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We've been noting a rising wedge pattern in the markets, and on Wednesday markets broke out of that to the downside. The good news is that markets came down to the 20-DMA, tested, and held. So the first level of support is holding; the next level will be at around 5,650, which is the 50-DMA, so risk of additional correction remains as we head into the election. This should not be surprising: While there have been a lot of investors piling into markets in anticipation of a Trump win, there are not guarantees of that outcome, and in response, some are taking a few chips back off the table, "just in case." So we may seem some rotation out of those areas in response. Post-election activities will include resumption of buy backs and a bit of clarity on policy positions going forward, depending upon the election outcome. Also, fund managers are really behind the curve this year, so post-election action will include moves to enhance positions going into the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7uHTtKv5KI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Donald Trump Or Fundamentals? Whats Irking The Bond Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/donald-trump-or-fundamentals-whats-irking-the-bond-market/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #2024Election #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Markets sold off on Tuesday to break even. following six straight weeks of gains; still, markets have no fear of recession. Lance shares his personal strategy for Bonds (using his own money, not clients') When everyone is hating on Bonds is the time to buy. After the Election, the focus will return to Yields and Interest Rates. Lance next provides a primer on the Technical Analysis tools he uses at RIA Advisors: Why we use it; keeping it simple. the $SPX & Moving Averages; Rules of Thumb: When markets break, that's an alert to pay attention to; are markets breaking, or is it a dip? Is the break confirmed? Give it time. The Realtive Strength Indicator and MACD tools: Converging or diverging? SEG-1: Markets Have No Fear of Recession SEG-2: Why & How We Use Technical Analysis (KISS) SEG-3: Rules of Thumb SEG-4: The MACD & Other Tools for Mitigating Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPqRWYTO3Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Donald Trump Or Fundamentals? What's Irking The Bond Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/donald-trump-or-fundamentals-whats-irking-the-bond-market/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Everybody is Back to Hating Bonds Again" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-G4I_NnvR74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Stock Market Party Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsLwZJT9srg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingRulesOfThumb #MACD RelativeStrengthIndicator #$SPX #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance explains why he took a long position in TLT, and bought call options on TLT for December in his personal account; not in clients' accounts...yet. That's because there is an extreme level of pessimism about Bonds: The options skew on bonds is as negative as it has been going back to Bonds' rally last November. Everybody is back to hating Bonds again, which is great for Bonds. There has been a big retracement in yields; they're very over bought currently, very stretched and deviated from long term moving averages. Today is the 20-yr bond auction, with dealers driving up yields and driving down prices; we'll see where things end up after the dust settles. Post-election will likely see lower yields with attention focused back no the Fed and lower rates. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-G4I_NnvR74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Donald Trump Or Fundamentals? Whats Irking The Bond Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/donald-trump-or-fundamentals-whats-irking-the-bond-market/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondPessimism #BondHaters #TLT #20YearBondAuction #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
What does it mean when the Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators (a predictor of the next six months' economic activity) post's a negative .5 reading...while markets seem to be able to find no ceiling? Who's right? Markets continue to be "just fine," although a potential for pullback by the end of October or beginning of November is anticipated to provide a better entry point for portfolio exposure. Lance and Jonathan answer emails, like "Is the market party over?" The biggest factor will be the shift in liquidity; that money has to go somewhere. Which is better: 9% annual return or an average of 9% over ten years; math explained. The comparison of time horizons vs actual life expectancy: No one is going to live for 124-years. Why it's not the end of the world as we know it (thank you, R.E.M.); forward returns & Valuations. The problem of earnings growth concentration among only 10-stocks; why not to hide only in cash. A financial Plan should be flexible, but it's only as good as the data. What about the Dollar? How it's backed and why it's the preferred currency of trade. Everyone is in the Prediction business; how we deal with risk. SEG-1: Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators -.5? SEG-2: Email Answers: Is the Stock Market Party Over? SEG-3: Why It's Not the End of the World as We Know It SEG-4: What About the Dollar? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsLwZJT9srg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Market Is Doing Just Fine" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1B3kHCoNLkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Q3-Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNplygIR9HA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2475s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #VolatilityWatch #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have now gone 6 weeks with gains without some kind of pullback or a negative week. Pay attention: The market is continuing in a rising-wedge pattern, and prices are becoming more compressed. Given that markets are over-bought on several levels, and volume in this rally is beginning to pullback, and the MACD indicator is slowing and starting to roll over, will likely break out to the downside. This will give us a bit of a correction by the end of the month, or early November, perhaps after the election. As mentioned yesterday, that would provide investors with a better entry point to add exposure to the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1B3kHCoNLkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Earnings estimates remain exceptionally optimistic, raising the question of whether consumer spending can sustain present levels (the source of earnings!) Investors should be careful averages, and remember that records are recrods for a reason. Why we're still expecting acorrection; we've had six strong weeks in a row, and a seventh is not out of the question this week. Lance looks at where earnings are really occurring (in the Mag-7 companies); what happens if those top 10% companies cease growing? Earnings expectations are what move market prices; why Wall St. is the "sell" side, and investors are on the "buy" side. Gold is very over-bought; deviated nearly five-times above moving averages. There's nothing "wrong" with markets now; the challenge for investors is buying stocks that may be "out of favor" currently. lamnce reviews JP Morgan report on the odds of the presidential election outcomes, and what happens if the odds shift? There is a distinct risk of a pre-election sell-off. What if there is a contested election? The market is a "hive" of intelligence, and knows more than you do. A brief review of our Technical Analysis techniques. SEG-1: Why We're Still Expecting a Correction SEG-2: Where Earnings Growth is Really Happening (and what happens if it stops) SEG-3: Earnings Expectations Are What Move Markets SEG-4: The Challenge of Buying What's Not In Favor Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNplygIR9HA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2475s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hitting Brand New Records This Year" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvjBMe7VWaU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "COLA Boost & Medicare Shifts: What You Must Know for 2025" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBwvNBeq0Bs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are hitting brand new records this year because they hitting levels which previously marked the peak of the market. Records are records for a reason. The seasonal buy signal was triggered last week, which typically suggests that markets will be high over the next six months, which is the seasonally-strong period of the year. That does not, however, mean that there cannot be a correction along the way. In fact, it should be expected: Markets are now up six-weeks in a row; a seventh consecutive week (this week) would make for a very long stretch. (We've done seven-weeks and eight-weeks before.) But eventually, a correction is going to occur, sometimes more deeply than others. Also, we're on a seasonal buy signal, but markets are already over bought on multiple levels. Markets can have a correction between now and the end of the year that will give you a better entry point. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvjBMe7VWaU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Richard & Jonathan recap their recent recruiting visit on the campus of Texas A&M University: There is hope for the next generation. Earnings season continues, discussion of Netflix and Lance's coffee rants. Anti-globalization & the China effect; the fallacy of International buys; "I love Lucy" & Vitametavegamin. Why fasting should be called slowing; Medicare Open Enrollment and changes in many plans: What happens when Medicare advantage plans go away; many supplemental benefits go un-used. Changes in Medicare prescription drug formularies. What happens if you don't make a choice ; the importance of healthcare literacy; health is connected to wealth. SEG-1: A&M & The Next Generation SEG-2: Coffee Tawk & The Fall of Globalization SEG-3: Medicare Open Enrollment changes for 2025 SEG-4: Healthcare Literacy & Connection to Wealth Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBwvNBeq0Bs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The VIX And Market Climb: Should We Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-vix-and-market-climb-should-we-care/ "Cava: A Hot Trend Comes At A Dear Cost To Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cava-a-hot-trend-comes-at-a-dear-cost-to-investors/ "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/ "GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/ "NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Will Trend Higher...Until they Don't" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUMtRETZHK4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Volatility & The Market Climb: Should We Care?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ajA-yTT_NM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=485s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #COLA2025 #Medicare2025 #RetirementPlanning #SocialSecurityUpdate #FinancialAdvice #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Retail Sales numbers today, and earnings recaps (so far) and previews; looking for an outsized seasonal adjustment to Retail Sales due to calendar anomalies; there's nothing overly concerning to markets. The big focus will be the election and it's outcome and control of House & Senate: The market hates uncertainty, and loves gridlock. Lance refutes rash of negative videos: Markets see nothing of concern. Market Bears are on parade, what does the rise in Volatility mean? The VIX is implied volatility: Will market move a lot or a little, but not in which direction. It is indicative of markets' expectations for activity. Understanding Implied Volatility: Put-call ratios vs Skew Ratios; what is this tool for? Lance eschews wife's suggestion of tea instead of coffee; Retail Sales preview & potential Fed response; The economy is strong, but weakening, from a very high level. The Fed is trying to normalize interest rates, which are still too high and a threat to "Goldilocks Economy." SEG-1: What Really Matters to Markets in 2024 Election SEG-2: What Does the Rise in Market Volatility Mean? SEG-3: Understanding Implied Volatility SEG-4: Coffee vs Tea, Retail Sales Preview & Potential Fed Response Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ajA-yTT_NM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=485s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The VIX And Market Climb: Should We Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-vix-and-market-climb-should-we-care/ "Cava: A Hot Trend Comes At A Dear Cost To Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cava-a-hot-trend-comes-at-a-dear-cost-to-investors/ "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/ "GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/ "NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Will Trend Higher...Until they Don't" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUMtRETZHK4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "You Ain't Rich" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnNxECRmvus&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketTrends #VIXIndex #RiskManagement #InvestorMindset #MarketVolatility #VIX #IsraelIranWar #CrudeOil #InvestmentMistakes #GreedAndLoss #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection...
Despite a plethora of negative videos proclaiming the imminence of market crashes, this market looks like 2007, and the end of the world is upon us (and there were plenty of headlines about a "soft landing" and a Goldilocks economy back then, too), markets currently are not suggesting any of that.: Markets have continued to make new highs, grinding along an upward trendline. Where does this leave us? We always caution against investing with reckless abandon, but there's also no reason to be overly bearish at this time. The trick to managing money is understanding that markets will trend higher until they don't. There is plenty of liquidity coming into the markets; global liquidity on a relative basis is at some of the highest levels we've seen since the financial crisis because there's no where else for the money to go. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUMtRETZHK4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cava: A Hot Trend Comes At A Dear Cost To Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cava-a-hot-trend-comes-at-a-dear-cost-to-investors/ ------- G et more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Will the strength (or weakness) of the consumer be revealed in this week's Retail Sales report? Liquidity is continuing to flow into markets; if things are so good, why all the liquidity flows? Stock buy backs resume in 10-days, adding $6-B/day of more liquidity (which is NOT a return of capital to investors.) Energy stock exposure exoansion: As interest rates rise, so have oil prices. MACD Sell signal has been triggered, and we anticipate falling oil prices through the end of the year. Lance shares another Life w the Roberts' anecdote about son, Tommy; What does it take to be rich? Dealing with the lifestyle creep, and why many families are still one paycheck away from financial disaster. Raising the Roberts' kids in reality: What was your first car? How to really count wealth: perceptions vs reality. 7 things to disucss when planning for wealth; how will you spend your time in retirement? The things clients say advisors fail to mention; the Roberts' budget and Christina & Michelle's Christmas presents. SEG-1: Why All the Liquidity (if things are so great)? SEG-2a: Life w The Roberts' - Tommy's Test Taking SEG-2b: What Does it Take to Be Rich? SEG-3a: Lance & Danny's First Cars SEG-3b: Wealth: Perception vs Reality SEG-4: Things Clients Say Advisors Never Mention Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnNxECRmvus&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/ "GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/ "NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Oil Prices May Continue to Decline" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-MtU1GsZy8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acqg2G62gh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2441s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WealthInequality #MiddleClassWealth #EconomicTrends #MoneyMindset #FinancialSecurity #UpperClass #MiddleClass #BeingRich #InvestmentMistakes #GreedAndLoss #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We previously added exposure to Energy stocks when they were all beat up, and following a correction in oil prices, we expected to see a pick-up. That has happened. As oil prices go up, so do interest rates because of the impact on inflation expectations from higher oil prices. That rally became very over extended and has now flipped with news that Israel will not attack oil fields in Iran. That, in turn, has triggered a fairly high-level MACD Sell signal, suggesting that oil prices could retract further over the next several months. That translated into a sell-off in Bond yields. The buy signal is also at very high levels; that doesn't mean we can't see a correction even though we're in a very bullish environment. In fact, a correction back to the 20-DMA would not be surprising. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-MtU1GsZy8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #EnergyStocks #BondYields #BondPrices #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
It's Earnings Season "Rush Week" this week, with the bulk of companies reporting 3rd Quarter results; after that, the stock buy back window is prepared to re-open, providing nearlt $1-T in funds to flood the markets. The median value of stock portfolios is $250k, up from $190k. Demand for AI chips is not going away. Markets entering the seasonallt-strong period of the year after hitting new, all-time highs on Friday, triggering a buy signal. The risk of a deeper contraction is possible, but now unlikely. An analysis of the latest CPI numbers reveals a contrast between headline numbers and details in the data; there are some anomalies. Lance discusses the 8 components of the CPI & their weighting in the index. Life with the Roberts' reviews the weekend birthday of the youngest daughter, and fun with Gunner the Wonder Dog. The latest GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts. GDP vs Inflation is slowing; NFIB Confidence is on the wane: Small businesses "feel like" they're in recession. Expectations for Retail Sales vs their reality; Cap Ex plans vs Real GDP; why small businesses are not optimistic. SEG-1: Earnings Season Rush Week SEG-2: CPI Analysis: Headline Numbers vs Details & Data SEG-3: Economic Data Does Not Support Recession...but... SEG-4: Why Small Businesses Are Concerned Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/ "NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Market Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZJ1LXlxnyo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Rising Volatility, China Stimulus, & Storms' Economic Surge: What They Mean for Portfolios" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJZp1muy9zA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
All was not hunky-dory in the recent Fed meeting, as the FOMC Meeting minutes reveal a split-decision on lowering rates by 50-bps vs 25-bps. Meanwhile, in the markets, the S&P is having its Best Year Ever since the "turn of the century." The current, rising wedge is both a bullish and bearish sign; CPI numbers will be today's trigger. Volatility in the markets, thanks to uncertainty over presidential election outcome, Israel-Iran war effect on oil prices, etc. The VIX doesn't always tell you everything. We're at the beginning of a Fed-easing campaign; the Hawkish-Dovish Fed has a bipolar problem. A look at the China trade syndrome, and rush of investment in Chinese tech sector: When everyone's on the same side of the boat, better get to the other side. We've become Pavlov's dogs, chasing China. Does China care as much about its stock market as the Fed cares about the US stock market? (no.) Why we avoid BRICS country investments; paying a premium to invest in the US where there is Rule of Law. Lance reviews the Broken Window Theory and the economic impact of hurricanes Helene and Milton. The pulling forward of consumption now will boost economic activity at the expense of an economic void later. SEG-1: FOMC Meeting Minutes: Split-decision SEG-2: The VIX Doesn't Always Tell You Everything SEG-3: The China (Trade) Syndrome SEG-4: Hurricanes & Broken Window Theory Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tales of Cobras, Windows, and Economic Promise" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tales-of-cobras-windows-and-economic-promise/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ "Election Outcome Presents Opportunity For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-outcome-presents-opportunity-for-investors/ "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will CPI Report Trigger a MACD Buy Signal?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnIChkDuJnM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally: What Tuesday's Tech Stock Surge Means for Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJZp1muy9zA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Hurricane #BrokenWindowTheory #ChinaInvesting #BRICS #BondMarket #BondRates #BondYields #BondOpportunities #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #FOMCMeetingMinutes #BipolarFed #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #HowardMarks #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
There is a very define, rising wedge in the markets, which is both bullish and bearish: It all depends upon to which side markets break out next. As of Wednesday (9/9), we are right at the top of that bullish wedge. IF today's CPI report is good, and markets break to the upside, you will see markets continue higher, triggering a buy signal on the MACD. If inflation comes in hotter-than-expected, markets will sell off in anticipation of a reduction of odds of another rate cut. For now, bullish activity continues, with the 20-DMA acting as support; this compression of price is about to resolve itself. The trend of the markets remains clearly bullish. We are having one of the best years in the S&P since the turn of the century. The rising trend continues to play out; earnings are okay, economic growth is fine, and there is no indication of any troublesome impact ahead that would change the dynamic of the market. Yet. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnIChkDuJnM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #SellSignal #InterestRates #RateCut #BondMarket #BondRates #BondYields #BondOpportunities #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
The Trauma of Hurricanes revisited: Hurricane Alicia (1983) remembered as Hurricane Milton bears down on Florida today; Lance shares his bizzare dream about aliens refuting Flat-earthers; why high interest rates are unsustainable. Fed rate cuts don't mean rates will go straight down. Why 4% rates cannot last for long. Markets rally amid price compression; what is sustaining markets, historically high, without any Fed liquidity injection. Analysts are still targeting S&P 6000 by the end of the year. NFIB members note borrowing rates at 8% are too high, and will erode economic growth and any business expansion. Lance expresses frustration with UPS over the mishandling of his expensive subwoofer shipped to FLorida for repairs. Investors have interest rate PTSD; trading bonds now; don't try to beat the market. The 2024 Election, Interest Rates, and waiting things out; rationalizing not investing now. Preparing for election outcomes, regardless of who wins. Why it's easy not to invest; investing in bonds; the potential for a larger correction; the problem with waiting; building a portfolio to generate income. SEG-1: Hurricane Trauma, Alien Dreams, & Bond Opportunities SEG-2: S&P Still Targeting 6000 by EOY SEG-3a: Lance's Rant: Subwoofer Repair & UPS Fail SEG-3b: Investors have Interest Rate PTSD SEG-4: How to Prepare Your Portfolio for Any Election Outcome Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJZp1muy9zA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ "Election Outcome Presents Opportunity For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-outcome-presents-opportunity-for-investors/ "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Opportunity to Buy Bonds is Coming" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8b3G4Syzo00&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "You Can't Avoid Risk - But You Can Manage It" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVy63Ct2Azs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2864s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondMarket #BondRates #BondYields #BondOpportunities #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #HowardMarks #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is the era of low interest rates over? Lots of videos being posted to that effect, that the economic data doesn't support higher rates, there's too much debt for higher rates, etc., etc. That doesn't mean that rates have to come straight down when the start to go lower. Well, rates have begun to fall, and we've had the predictable result of bonds selling off and bond yields moving higher. Friday's strong Jobs report also contributed a little knee-jerk reaction to push yields higher, as well. Bonds are currently on a sell signal, so if you've been looking for an opening to get into bonds, be patient; it's coming. High interest rates cannot last forever; NFIB members are reporting borrowing rates at 8%, which is just unsustainable. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8b3G4Syzo00&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondMarket #BondRates #BondYields #BondOpportunities #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Markets sold off on Monday as part of a price compression process. Futures are pointing upward this morning, and markets need to hold levels today. We're on a sell signal and need to work off over bought positions. Earnings season will generate the next set of drivers as we head into the election. Mid-October thru the end of the month tends to be a bit weaker period. Meanwhile, volatility has been very quietly rising, which normally coincides with market correction. Three- to four- to five-percent corrections are very likely when it occurs as markets are going up. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZjtt_VxvqY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #IsraelIranConflict #MiddleEast #CrudeOil #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
This week marks the start of earnings season for Q; the 2024 Election and the next FOMC Meeting also add volatility to markets. Friday's Jobs report came in stronger than expected (leaving one to wonder what kind of revision to the numbers is to come). Within the report, 700k gubernment workers were added. The S&P on Friday rallied on the employment news, but that also pretty much killed any chance of a 50bps rate cut by the Fed. Markets are now in a consolidation period, setting up for a corrective cycle a head of the 2024 Election. Lance explains the bullish and bearish takes of technical analysis: Knowing when to put capital to work, and when to take it off the table. What will the market do next? Reviewing market psychology: What's moving prices? When moving averages converge and diverge; how we do technical analysis, and what we do with the data. When there's bearish undertones in a bullish market; what to do with cash. Looking for opportunity. Gardening as a metaphor for investing. SEG-1: Starting Earnings Season SEG-2:Technical Analysis: Bullish and Bearish Approaches SEG-3: What Will Markets Do Next: Reviewing Market Psychology SEG-4: How We Do Technical Analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khTKuRkNs48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2078s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Preparing for a Pre-election Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vagz34iRCnA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Importance of Trusts in Financial Planning" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbZKUPyG-K4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MillenlnialEarningsSeason #MarketBullishness #MarketBearishness #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketPsychology #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The S&P rallied nicely Friday on a strong employment report, and surprisingly so; that eliminates the likelihood of a 50-bps rate cut in November. For us, if we're the Fed, and employment is that strong, we would cut rates at all. But that's just us. Markets rallied towards the top of the consolidation range. Today's opening looks to give up a chunk of Friday's gains, and as in previous consolidation patterns, it would appear markets are setting up for some type of corrective action within the next several weeks. (During election years, with the current set-up, markets typically get a correction before the election.) Markets typically rally about 4% during earnings season, but this time, markets have front-loaded the earnings season rally. Unless earnings are stellar and outlooks are strong, we could potentially see some choppiness and a correction to come. After the election, markets will position based on the winners, and prepare to rally into the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vagz34iRCnA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #IsraelIranConflict #MiddleEast #CrudeOil #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Market preview & Fed possiblities as jobs numbers are releasaed today; anecdotal evidence that small businesses are making more credit inquiries to banks: A prelude to more growth? The Longshoreman's strike is suspended with a proposed 65% pay increase; raises the question of value in the cost of a college degree. The marriage of blue collar jobss to AI will present new opportunities with rewarding pay. Jon & Matt discuss aspects of financial planning, risk management, and portfolio strategy. Estate planning as a risk management tool; pecking orders & durable powers of attorney. Chips & Salsa w Guacamole in waiting rooms? Yes! How to create a turst: Living trust vs testamentary trusts. The importance of proper account styling. How Medical POA and HIPAA work together; the importance of pecking-order. The other side of risk management: Protections afforded by trusts; how often should an estate plan be reviewed? Estate planning for foreign travel. What to do/how to plan for market volatility; the risks in rental properties. SEG-1: Market Preview & Fed Possiblities SEG-2: Career Training & Financial Planning SEG-3: Chips & Salsa Waiting Rooms & A Matter of Trust SEG-4: The Other Side of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbZKUPyG-K4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "A Crystal Ball Isn't Enough: The Importance Of Context" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-crystal-ball-isnt-enough-the-importance-of-context/ "Tax Cuts – An Examination Of The 2017 TCJA Impact" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tax-cuts-an-examination-of-the-2017-tcja-impact/ "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Sell Signal Imminent" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndsfKpn4lJU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When a Crystakl Ball Clouds Investor Judgement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0jagILd1Jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DockWorkersStrike #CollegeDegree #FinancialPlanning #EstatePlanning #Trusts #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
A preview of tomorrow''s employment report an the phenomenon of "labor hoarding;" a weaker jobs report will not necessarily be recessionary. Markest are retesting support, and if it cannot hold, will trigger a sell signal. Lance's FEMA rant & JOLTS preview w Michael Lebowitz; the labor market is behaving like the housing market: no one is doing anything. What will the Fed do in response to poor jobs numbers? Interestingly, QT is conspicuously absent from latest Fed discussion notes. Market Breadth continues to soar. You can't make this up: Hurricane (James T.) Kirk: this wlll be comedy gold! Market breadth in an everything market: Too much money chasing too few stocks. Lance & Michael discuss the problem of asset selection vs ETF's. SEG-1: Why a Weaker Jobs Report is Not Recessionary SEG-2: FEMA Rant & JOLTS Preview SEG-3: Hurricane Kirk & Asset Selections vs EFT's SEG-4: Taking the Crystal Ball Challenge RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0jagILd1Jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "A Crystal Ball Isnt Enough: The Importance Of Context" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-crystal-ball-isnt-enough-the-importance-of-context/ "Tax Cuts – An Examination Of The 2017 TCJA Impact" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tax-cuts-an-examination-of-the-2017-tcja-impact/ "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Sell Signal Imminent" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndsfKpn4lJU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Shutdown, Strikes, & Volatility: Safeguarding Your Portfolio Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2840s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JobsReport #JOLTSReport #FEMA #UkraineAid #IllegalImmigrants #HurricaneKirk #JamesTKirk #StarTrekWeather #CrystalBallChallenge #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets sold down over 1%, but then rallied towards the end of the day with institutional buyers, which has been the markets' nature of late. There is still good buying demand. Markets have retested July's highs and bounced off in a classic retest of a breakout. The important thing would be to see if markets can hold that position, but futures this morning are a bit lower. If the markets cannot hold at this level, we're likely to get a little bit deeper correction in a test of either the 50- or 100-DMA. If markets close lower today, we'll trigger a MACD Sell Signal from a fairly high level, suggesting a corrective move is on the way. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndsfKpn4lJU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #IsraelIranConflict #MiddleEast #CrudeOil #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
A brief recap of the VP-debate; market futures are lower in search of a catalyst, and dislike the uncertainty preceeding an election. Markets have pulled backk thanks to investor exhaustion; Oil prices are on the rise amid escalation of hostilities in the Middle East, creating short-term risks until resolved. The Port Strike isn't 'the thing' that will trigger markets. Look for alternative shipping as opportunities in which to invest (Daggett makes Jimmy Hoffa look good). The Status of Social Security: What happens if SS benefits are cut? Financial planning should not include/depend upon SS. Another Roberts' Saga: Lance forgets to take out the trash. The inability of the government to pass a budget (not since Obama in office). Who really pays the most in taxes? (Article link below) Why the tax code needs changing (but beware the consequences). SEG-1: Markets Prepare to Pullback to Rally SEG-2: Israel/Iran & Port Strike - This Isn't 'The Thing' SEG-3: The Status of Social Security SEG-4: Who Really Pays the Most Taxes? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2840s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tax Cuts – An Examination Of The 2017 TCJA Impact" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tax-cuts-an-examination-of-the-2017-tcja-impact/ "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility Rises as Correction Nears" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Long Can the 'Everything Market' Last?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXDkHBLrkRI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #IsraelIranWar #MiddleEast #CrudeOil #SocialSecurity #TaxCode #DockWorkersStrike #VPDebate #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #Market
Markets sold off in a pullback of investor exhaustion, and the first crack in an upward trend, on the back of the Israel/Iran hostilities' acceleration. The 20-DMA will be the first test of support for markets, and could set markets up for a little bit bigger decline; the 100-DMA is the running support line presently. It is entirely possible markets could trade lower heading into the election, which would set things up nicely for a post-election rally into the end of the year. Crude Oil had a very big jump on Tuesday, spurred in part by Middle East tensions, but we think the commodity will run into resistance between $73 and $76/bbl. Any oil action is dependent upon what happens between Israel and Iran, and whether a rapid de-escalation can be achieved. Volatility has been slowly rising over the past couple of months, which is another, short-term indicator that a correction could be imminent. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #IsraelIranConflict #MiddleEast #CrudeOil #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
It's a big news week: The Dock Workers' strike has begun, Israel is launching a land assault into Lebanon, and celebrity deaths (Pete Rose, Kris Kristofferson) top the news. And Jimmy Carter turns 100. Meanwhile, Q3 Earnings Season commences after three very strong quarters of business in what has been one the of the best presidential years since the 1950's. A correction at this point would be healthy for markets. We think there will be a 3- to 5% correction before elections, creating room for markets to rally into year's end. Lance's rant on the Coffee Pod scam, and the SEC doesn't have far to look (Congress!) for insider trading. Lance and Jon look at market performance, global money flows, and observe the 'everything market.' Commentary on potential disruption by dock workers' strike. YouTube likes & paywalls; there are two more Fed meetings in 2024; how many rate cuts to come? For inestors in search of dividend growth, the challenges are in an 'everything market:' there must be buyers AND sellers. No more T-bil & chill. Why "getting back to even" is a investor trap. SEG-1: Dock Workers' Strike & Earnings Season Begin SEG-2a: Coffee Rant & Insider Trading SEG-2b: How Long Can the Everything Market Last? SEG-3: How Big a Deal Will the Port Strike Be? SEG-4: Two More Fed Meetings to Go: How Many Cuts? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXDkHBLrkRI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Get Ready for Earnings Season Tomorrow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2NaQU4oXC0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EverythingMarket #DockWorkersStrike #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets ended the month of September trading in negative territory for much of the day. Institutional end-of-the-quarter buying at the end of the day boosted stocks to close higher on the day. On a short term basis markets are functionally extended. We're now in the space where markets gain and then stall, and then gain and then stall, again. Markets are now well-deviated from their 100-DMA. But moving averages are like gravity, and will pull prices back in line. Markets are not on a sell signal yet, but we expect to see one sooner than later. It would not be surprising to see a bit of a correction in the next few weeks, particularly before the election, which would set up markets for a rally into the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4fdsNjPN3gY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
The last day of September brings the end of the month, end of the quarter, and a preview of the next round of corporate earnings. So far, no evidence of recession is appearing. Regardless of your investment thesis, money flow still matters most, and there's lots of money flowing into markets. China is most over-bought in years, thanks to Chinese government stimulus. Earnings outlooks will matter going forward. Oil prices are getting thrashed, with lots of short-selling over the last five weeks. Lance shares dog tales of Gunner & Sniper. With massive money inflows, liquidity is primary market driver. Lance discusses the components of our Greed/Fear Index; markets' pricing is based on earnings. The two measures of consumer confidence; The Conference Board and U. of Michigan; Consumer confidence and jobs vs stock prices. Expectations less Current Conditions: That's the dichotomy. Improving Market Breadth & Money Flows; when everyone is in the market, money chases money; sellers live higher, buyers live lower. SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins Tomorrow SEG-2a: Gunner & Sniper Dog Tales SEG-2b: Money Inflows Continue: Liquidity is Main Market Driver SEG-3: Two Measures of Consumer Confidence SEG-4: Improving Market Breadth & Money Flows RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j8qRbIonRtU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Get Ready for Earnings Season Tomorrow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2NaQU4oXC0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #ConfidenceDichotomy #MicroRetirement #SocialSecurity #MarketLiquidity #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #DiversificationOfAccounts #RothIRA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings season begins tomorrow, and the stock buyback window closes until the end of October. There's really nothing wrong with the markets following August's correction. Markets are getting very over bought relative to the 20- and 50-DMA, with decent divergences from the moving averages. And any time you see such divergence away from the daily and weekly moving averages, it is inevitable that things will correct. If earnings come in strong, that will help; but outlooks are what will matter most: What are companies thinking about the future? There is a close corellation between the annual rate of change in the S&P 500 and in the underlying, year-over-year change in earnings. If companies ratchet up their earnings outlooks, that will provide a lift to markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2NaQU4oXC0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Jonthan & Jonathan stand in for Danny & Rich with a preview of today's PCE report, and inklings of dissent within the Fed on the latest rate cut. The handwriting is on the wall for Savers; time to reassess strategies as interest rates fall. Ho will the election outcomes affect your financial planning? Worst-case scenario: a contested election (the markets hate uncertainty). With the ebb and flow of markets, we make adjustments on the fly, not per formula. Interest Rates & Real Estate: As rates come downm, time to buy or refinance? How Mortgage Rates and Fed Rates behave; patience is a virtue. Has the average income needed to buy a house come down? The concerpt of micro-retirement: Is it a good idea from a financial planning aspect? Younger vs older generation; consequences of micro-retirement (Brent reveals his nano-retirement). The importance of diversification of accounts; Roths & tax free withdrawals. Our end-of-year checklist: Tax planning and Roth conversions. Dealing with RMD's (required minimum distribution) and QCD's (qualified charitable donation). SEG-1: PCE Preview & Dissent at the Fed SEG-2: Interest Rates & Real Estate: Is the timing right? SEG-3: Is Micro-Retirement Right for You? SEG-4: The Importance of Diversification of Accounts Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Jonathan Penn, CFP, and #Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Agency REITs For A Bull Steepener" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/agency-reits-for-a-bull-steepener/ "50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/ "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Flow Trumps Thesis" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qzcif6GGmc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "Bull Steepener Alert: How Agency REITs Can Supercharge Your Portfolio" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGbMCOPuPGI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MicroRetirement #SocialSecurity #MarketLiquidity #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #DiversificationOfAccounts #RothIRA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Plenty of things to move markets this week, including economic numbers and multiple Fed members' commentaries on why they did what they did last week. Are there more cuts to come? Millennial Earnings Season and no buy backs will impact markets soon. Is the AI trade dead? Don't count on it. Micron turned in a strong earnings report, and the CIA's own AI investments(?) are doing verrry well. Markets' short term Cup & Handle formation confirmed Wednesday; this is now the second-biggest year for equities inflows since 2014. However, there are negative divergences from market trends indicating the current upward trajectory may be nearing an end. The Fed's rate cut was a "normalization" cut; there are disturbing signs in the labor market. Just like real estate's "location, location, location" mantra, the market is all about "liquidity, liquidity, liquidity." There is a large divergence between markets and sentiment. Lance explains what Red Robin is (and why he's a VIP there); Rate cuts and bond yields: why they track inflation. Downward revisions to GDP will help bond yields; why paying attention to pricing (market psychology) is important; part of the cycle. Lance and Michael talk Technical Analysis and adhering to the fundamentals helps build investor discipline. What happens when too much money is chasing too few stocks. PCE news will help determine direction of the market. Yield curves and Agency REITs during steepening. SEG-1: Is the AI Trade Dead? Not hardly SEG-2: This Was the "Normalization Cut" By the Fed SEG-3: Red Robin VIP, Rate Cuts, & Bond Yields SEG-4: Why Technical Analysis Doesn't Work for Everyone...but could Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGbMCOPuPGI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Agency REITs For A Bull Steepener" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/agency-reits-for-a-bull-steepener/ "50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/ "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Flow Trumps Thesis" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qzcif6GGmc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "Rate Cuts & Recession Fears: Will Politics Drive Your Portfolio Off a Cliff?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KufUmig7vX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AgencyREIT #MarketLiquidity #NormalizationCut #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The markets; short term "Cup & Handle" formation was confirmed on Wednesday, which is a technical expression of markets' bullishness. Such usually leads to higher stock prices, leading analysts to predict S&P 6,000 in 2025. This year has seen the second-largest equity inflows since 2014. Foreign inflows to U.S. stocks have been "ginormous." Regardless of your ideas about the markets and investing, flows trump thesis. Every time. But...a longer term analysis reveals an interesting, negative divergence in relative strength and market momentum. These may be indicators of markets getting closer to the end of this move towards 6,000. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qzcif6GGmc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing
Could the S&P hit 6,000 by the end of the year? Some prognosticators are saying so, hyped on exuberance, but consumer confidence is suggesting otherwise, and the foreshadowing is not great for the White House incumbent. Consumer spending & sentiment is incongruent with market expectations. Markets remain bullish, and another "Cup & Handle" formation has appeared, suggesting higher market prices in 2025. Markets, however, are extremely deviated, which is unsustainable, and correction is inevitable. Lance reviews "peak attractiveness" among the sexes and adult dating. The Fed's rate cut occur amid economic dichotomy; markets so SO exuberant, yet Conference Board confidence surveys reflect a different mood, with a drop in the Present Situation Index. Lance relates a "drive-by" hello on the jogging trail; this show is about osmosis; Lance is kind of a big deal. Consumer confidence as the economy plays out; there will be a correction of significance eventually. Expecations for economic growth vs oil price signalling slower economy in 2025. Would chat participants behave in a Chat Q & A Show (results were 51-49% positive). Lance reviews the technical indicators used in our analysis; simplest is best. Market investing is a study in psychology. SEG-1: S&P 6000 by End of the Year? SEG-2: Fed Rate Cuts Amid Economic Dichotomy SEG-3a: Drive-by's and Osmosis SEG-3b: Consumer Confidence Falters SEG-4: The Technical Indicators We Use Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KufUmig7vX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/ "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Cup & Handle Runneth Over? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Btnzvlhl1nQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who Benefits Most from the Latest Fed Rate Cut?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIQLxafhNp8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are pretty bullish, short term: Technically speaking, last year's "Cup & Handle" formation suggested markets would go higher this year, which is exactly what happened. That same formation has repeated itself this year, and what we're looking for at this point is a retest of the 20-DMA to confirm the pattern's formation (and inferrence of higher market performance in 2025). Meanwhile, stocks have become very over bought, with investors become very confident in their performance. However, there is a larger concern: Historicaly, whenever markets have been three standard deviations above long term moving averages on a monthly basis, they have not resolved themselve kindly in that process. These extensions are not sustainable, long term. A correction of some sort is eventually coming. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Btnzvlhl1nQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Oil prices conitnue to weaken in the face of optimism from analysts now forecasting an 18% gain in earnings in 2025. One of them is wrong. Lance and Jonathan discuss market clarity, Fed rate cuts, and the impact on the markets. Markets trade on the effective Fed rates; what's the sweet spot among market sectors when rates are coming down? Lance reviews Gold behaviors during rate cutting cycles; big surges in Gold lead to longer-term bases. Why the Math of Loss matters; corrections are really no big deal. The wisdom of managing protfolio risk along the way; don't let the fear of taxes cost you money. Would Mrs. Roberts do a podcast? Unicorns, Sasquatch, Big Foot, & Flat-earther's: Putting money in S&P funds for 40-years; time is on your side when you're young. A discussion of Recession expectations (sooner or later). SEG-1: Oil Prices Belie a Weakening Economy SEG-2: What's the Sweet Spot During Rate Cuts? SEG-3: Gold Behavior and the Math of Loss SEG-4a: Mrs. Roberts' Podcast SEG-4b: Unicorns, Sasquatch & Bigfoot - Internet Narratives vs Investing Reality Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIQLxafhNp8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/ "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil price dip - a signal of economic weakness?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQg8HYT2TUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will This Week's Data Support Fed Rationale for Cutting Rates?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-LV90rMRapA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Oil prices have rallied and are becoming over bought, but remain weak overall. This decline in oil prices is undermining some of the more exuberant outlooks for earnings, going into the fourth quarter, and certainly opinions about growth in 2025 (which some analysts are calling for 18% earnings growth next year!) So expectations that things are going to kick off to the moon as the Fed lowers rates may be a little too optimistic with one of the basic commodities, oil, not showing the relative strength you would want to see in a "much improving" economy. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQg8HYT2TUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #OilPrices #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We're entering the last-half of September, which is typically the weaker period of an already, traditionally weak month in the markets. Earnings seasons is about to beging, and Q3 estimates have already been slashed; this isn't 1995, though: Is the Fed's rationaled for cutting raates going to be validated by this week's economic data? Markets ended slightly lower on Friday, but still holding onto breakout level. Lance relate's Mrs. Robert's most recent holiday decor disappointment, and announces news substack channel, @lanceroberts. Shocker: The Washington Post debunks climate change data. Lance's daughter turns 18, wants to be a veterinarian; he can taste a rate cut coming. What's the Fed's rationale for it's rate cut? Charts & a history of rate cuts and reacitons. This time is NOT like last time; outcomes tend to be all the same; the negative outcomes from rate cuts. The importance if portfolio risk management; The Fed cannot save us from a bear market. SEG-1: Can Markets Hold at Breakout Levels? SEG-2a: Mrs. Roberts' Holiday Deco SEG-2b: WaPo Debunks Climate Change Data SEG-3a: Lance is Due for a Rate Cut SEG-3b: What is Rationale for Fed Rate Cut? SEG-4: This Time is NOT Like the Last Time - Outcomes are always the same Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-LV90rMRapA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Selloff Still Likely Ahead of Elections " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ZxBvl78jNI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Rate Shock - How the Latest Cut Could Ignite or Crash Your Investments" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSoQ7tg1Xms&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #ShootinCandle #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets fluttered on Friday, ending right where they started. An unusually large options expiration cluster added volatility. There were two bullish standouts: Markets held on to the breakout level established on Thursday, and, while markets are still over bought, a buy signal is still in place. However, upside may be limited. Markets will next begin to adjust expectations as they determine who the most likely winner will be in the presidential election, and whose policies will impact markets. For now, be patient, and the market will tell us what to do next. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ZxBvl78jNI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #ShootinCandle #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Was the Fed's 50bps rate cut a "calibration?' We are still not at the Feds target for unemployment; the Fed's action was in response to conditions, not to help anyone politically. What will the Fed do next? The 50bps cut does nothing to help consumers. What is the neutral, real interest rate, now? Why a Fed rate cut is really bad news. How now to fund your goals: Time to trim exposure and move to cash, awaiting opportunities. Americans' pay has not recovered from inflation, requiring a "recalibration" of financial plans to adjust for realities. Two worst areas of inflation: Groceries & Insurance; Rich & Danny discuss Blue Bell ice cream price inflation, and Rich delivers another life lesson from Grandma Rosso. SEG-1: The Fed's Latest Rate Cut is a "Recalibration" SEG-2: Why a 50bps Drop Offers no Relief for Consumers SEG-3: Why Your Pay Has Not Fully Recovered From Inflation SEG-4: Ice Cream Inflation & Lessons from Grandma Rosso Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSoQ7tg1Xms&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Or Harris: Corporate Tax Winners And Losers" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/trump-or-harris-corporate-tax-winners-and-losers/ "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Hold on to Breakout?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=of34bE1oBm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: What Does the Fed's 50-bps Rate Cut Mean for Your Money? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQWDEg-aQnI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=973s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateCut2024 #InvestmentImpact #StockMarketVolatility #EconomicForecast #InterestRateShock #PortfolioStrategy #FederalReservePolicy #InflationAndInvestments #BondMarket2024 #FedRateChange #BlueBellIcecream #BlueBellMoment #Money #InvestingAdvice
The markets were right: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half percent on Wednesday, and markets initially climbed, then sold off to end negative for the day. But after pondering overnight, market futures indicated a strong start to Thursday's trading day. If markets rally and hold through Friday, they will be set to hit all time highs, once again. Will we see rotation into other sectors as a by product? The Fed is trying to position rates where they should be, given the current economic conditions. All Labor data now become very important. With lower rates, will there be a rash of corporate debt refinancing? (This rate cut is not likely to affect mortgage or consumer lending debt, yet. Will lower rates spark more activity, and thus become inflationary? Is the Fed rate cut good for stocks? Lance and Michael look at the history and analysis of corrections; it's easy to find reasons to NOT invest. Bear Markets & Corrections were more frequent prior to the 1990's. The dirty Truth: The Fed has become the defacto manager of the US Economy. What will other Central Banks do next? Are we entering a Global Easing Cycle? (Lance relates his Missus has been working a lot, losing sleep, and is ill-tempered this week; also comments about clocks and studio tchotchkies.) Markets look to open strong; what does the underlying data say? There is a sharp contraction in Q3 earnings estimates. Can markets today sustain the breakout? Bond yields are still too high for this economy. SEG-1: Markets Were Right About Fed's Rate Cut SEG-2: What the Fed's 50-bps Rate Cut Means SEG-3: Is the Fed Rate Cut Good for Stocks? SEG-4a: Mrs. Roberts is Cranky & Studio Stuff SEG-4b: What Does the Underlying Data Say About the Economy? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQWDEg-aQnI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=973s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Or Harris: Corporate Tax Winners And Losers" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/trump-or-harris-corporate-tax-winners-and-losers/ "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Hold on to Breakout?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=of34bE1oBm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Rate Decision 2024: Boom or Bust for Your Investments?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTRfDmSCQa4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateDecision #StockMarketUpdate #InflationImpact #InvestmentStrategy #EconomicOutlook #PortfolioManagement #InterestRates #FinancialPlanning #RecessionWatch #BondMarket#Markets #Money #Investing
Markets put in a "shooting candle" formation following yesterday's Fed rate cut by 50-bps. Markets sold off to end negatively, slept on the news overnight, and this morning look to start very strong. If markets can rally, breakout, and hold onto that breakout thru Friday, then investors should see markets move on to all time highs again. Bond Yields reversed, but there is still down side risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=of34bE1oBm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #ShootinCandle #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Fed Day: The big question will be answered this afternoon, 'How much the cut?' Huge bets on 50-bp rate cut; will a quarter-point cut disappoint? Meanwhile, Retail Sales continue to weaken, but August numbers were better than expected. There is no apparent data to support a 50-bp rate cut. There is a credit debt wall coming; extreme market optimism is a risk. It's make-or-break time for the S&P 500; NASDAQ not performing as well, and the rest of the market is playing catch-up. Lance notes the AI effect on Utilities and Real Estate, formerly among most-hated sectors. Lance & Danny discuss what date the Fed is looking at, and whether recession is near, per Jeff Gundlach's claims; will the Fed cut rates and wait & see? Exploding pagers and Mrs. Roberts stories; three funds to buy before the Fed cuts rates. What to do with cash? What if rates fall less than expected? (When do you need the funds?) You cannot fight technicals. Potential Election Outcomes and tax policy, which is inflationary. Good policy results in economic growth by allowing more money for consumers to spend; taxing the rich results in the rich moving their money away; eventually, consumers pay all taxes. SEG-1: Fed Day: How Much the Rate Cut? SEG-2: What is the Fed Looking At? SEG-3a: Exploding Pagers & Mrs. Roberts SEG-3b: Three Funds to Own Before Fed Rate Cuts SEG-4: Election Outcomes & Tax Policy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTRfDmSCQa4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Hated Sectors Are the Most Desirable" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HB2qAVUQA4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge...Until it Doesn't" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3notXqcWLsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateDecision #InvestmentOutlook #MarketVolatility #FedDecision2024 #InflationOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #InvestmentInsights #MarketAnalysis #RecessionFears #FinancialPlanning #EconomicTrends #PortfolioStrategy #InterestRateHikes #Treasuries #Dollar #Gold #Markets #Money #Investing
The S&P 500 is on a buy signal, not yet over bought, and flirting with all-time highs. It could set another all-time high, or establish significant resistance if markets fail following today's Fed rate announcement. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy NASDAQ is not performing nearly as well. The rest of the market has been playing catch-up, and the S&P Equal Weight index has become over bought, thanks to rises in utilities and real estate--sectors previously eschewed by investors. Seems everyone woke up with the AI effect, and utilities have had a huge run up since July. Real Estate has similarly experienced a huge surge. Suddenly, the most-hated sectors are now the most-desirable, underscoring what we've always said: When something is most-hated, that's the time to look at it as an investment. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HB2qAVUQA4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MostHatedSectors #MostDesirableSectors #NASDAQ #SPEqualWeight #Utilities #RealEstate #AI #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today marks the start of the FOMC meeting, to be concluded with the latest interest rate announcement. Markets' expectations are for a half-percent cut; could a quarter-percent cut create disappointment on Wall Street? Microsoft announces and increase in its dividend payment (very different from a stock buy back). Kamala Harris' plans to raise taxes on corporations is in fact an crease in taxes on consumers; corporations are tax collectors for the government. Markets' rally in anticipation of Fed day tomorrow. The stock buyback window begins to close today ahead of the next earnings season, removing some of the lift to markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the pro's an con's of momentum investing (with charts); answers to chatroom and email questions on purchasing ETF's and Treasuries, and the uniquely Texan phrase, going "whole hog." Lance defends comments on the Value of the Dollar vs purchasing power of the dollar (with charts), referenced to article on "Conviction" (link is found below). Investing in Gold, pro's and con's, doesn't have to be an all-or-none proposition. SEG-1: Fed Rate Cut Decision Expectations SEG-2: Momentum Investing Works on the Way Up... SEG-3: ETF Purchasing Philosophy & Post-Fed Treasuries SEG-4: The Value of the Dollar vs Purchasing Power Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3notXqcWLsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prep for Fed Day" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n6Lk71KYwyw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MomentumInvesting #FedDecision2024 #InflationOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #InvestmentInsights #MarketAnalysis #RecessionFears #FinancialPlanning #EconomicTrends #PortfolioStrategy #InterestRateHikes #Treasuries #Dollar #Gold #Markets #Money #Investing
Tomorrow is The Big Day for markets as the Fed makes known its intentions for interest rates. Markets have been rallying nicely in anticipation; yesterday, pushing up to all-time highs and finishing positive. Markets remain in a consolidation range, and tomorrow's Fed decision will determine the markets' direction. Note that today begins the closure of the stock buyback window, removing an element of "lift" from markets. With the next earnings season just two weeks away, that buying power will begin to fade. Meanwhile, a buy signal remains in place with markets at very high levels, so there could still be some upside to come, although somewhat limited. This is still a good time to trim risk from portfolios. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n6Lk71KYwyw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #YenCarryTrade #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Fed week, and many are predicting a 60% chance the FOMC will drop rates by a half percent; elections are drawing nearer: How will markets behave? (Why the polls are never right) Markets' 4% loss two weeks ago followed by 4% recovery last week; reversal days tend to mark bottoms, but not always. Last weeks' reversal was very bullish, but that doesn't mean we cannot have another correction. One risk is oil prices. XLE is over sold. The three risks we're watching include oil; discussion on the true meaning of inflation. Prices vs rate of change are two different things. The linkage of the economy to oil prices. Lance describes the Roberts' Roomba behavior. Hilarity ensues. Inflation's effects on small businesses, per the NFIB Small Business Survey, a look at Sales Expectations vs actual sales. A brief explanation of our Radio commercials; the impact on earnings by economic activity. Resume Builder survey: Why Gen-Z are most difficult to work with. SEG-1: Fed Week & Oil Price Clues SEG-2: Three Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-1 SEG-3a: The Roberts' Roombas SEG-3b: Risks We're Paying Attention to, Pt-2 SEG-4a: Why We Play Commercials SEG-4b: Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-3 SEG-4c: Why Gen-Z is Difficult to Work With Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Belie Economic Weakness" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVKUNA8mTG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Create a Retirement Blueprint" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDHDI0ulqcc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #FinancialInsights #PortfolioManagement #MarketForecast #RecessionWarning #InterestRateHikes #WealthBuilding #MarketStrategy #EconomicAnalysis #FedPolicyUpdate #StockMarketTrends #EconomicRecession #InflationRisk #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #FederalReserveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets saw a 4% decline week before last; last week, markets recovered by 4% in anticipation of what the Fed is going to do this week. Did that big reversal day two weeks ago mark a market bottom? Not necessarily, because there are plenty of examples where such has occurred at market peaks. There is no doubt the recent reversal was bullish, and there is no real reason to be overly bearish at this point. However, risks remain, and one of them is in Oil Prices, which have continued to weaken. Despite a bounce following a sharp sell off, the trend in oil prices remains weak. That does not suggest much relative strength. There is a high correlation between the direction and trend of oil prices with economic activity. The Energy ETF, XLE, which also tracks oil prices very closely, is very oversold, and traders' positioning is very weak on oil stocks. It wouldn't be surprising to see a rotation into energy stocks leading up to the election, especially if it appears a Trump return to the White House is imminent. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVKUNA8mTG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #OilPrices #EnergyETF #XLE #2024Election #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Ratliff, but first a review of the markets: It's all about the Fed, and the grate debate is about rate. How much will they cut, and how many times? Watch for elevated volatility heading into the election; a divided-congress yields the best environment for markets. Who will have the best policies for the economy? What will your retirement look like? Commonalities vs net worth differences among peers; the need to set your own parameters. The importance of having paid-off debt. Components of a Retirement Blueprint: Needs, Wants, Wishes. "The New Retirement Mentality," by Mitch Anthony; dealing with distribution mode in retirement: Reality. Danny and Rich share clients' tales on over-spending in retirement. What will you do in retirement? The Return on Life equation (shopping for books in antique stores); how you know 'it's time to retire.' The Roth Conversion conversation; what does life look like, post-retirement? SEG-1: It's All About the Fed: Debate on the rate SEG-2: The Retirement Blueprint: What will yours look like? SEG-3: The New Retirement Mentality SEG-4: The Retirement Self-assessment: What will you do? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDHDI0ulqcc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cash-cow-clues-can-dividend-yields-forecast-interest-rates/ "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Test Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Did Inflation Change the Fed's Outlook?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gn_rLnZURQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #RetirementBlueprint #RetirementMentality #RothConversion #ReturnOnLifeEquation #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #StockBuybacks #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Policy #Taxes #Markets #Money #Investing
As we went to air this morning, Space-X astronauts are "space-walking," testing new spacesuits; is Elon Musk the real-live equivalent of Tony Stark? CPI prints cooler--but core CPI was hotter than expected. MEanwhile the NFIB Survey (showing conservative bent) shows increases in confidence wiped out as Harris capmaigns; policy matters. Markets Big Reversal on Nvidia commentary about AI chip demand; the news boosted markets to a 2.5% gain. CPI is a hot mess: Inflation is different for everyone; the important question is how CPI will affect markets. Lance and Michael discuss how CPI is calculated; what if shelter costs do not lag and remain elevated? The impact of healthcare costs and energy on CPI; oil price corellation with inflation. The Adobe Digital Price Index compares online shopping price trends. Volatility ETF's: Why don't the wrk very well? Going long with low volatility/shorting on high volatility; how we gambled and missed buy one day. Why Volatility ETF's are like Thanksgiving turkeys. Charting policy differences between Harris vs Trump campaigns. Tariffs & Taxes analysis: How do they affect productivity? Higher taxes on a smaller pie, or lower taxes on a bigger pie? Taxes remove capital from the market place, which could otherwise be spent on innovation & productivity. SEG-1: Markets' Big Reversal Day SEG-2: CPI is a Hot Mess SEG-3: Volatility ETF's: Why don't they work well? SEG-4: Tariffs, Taxes, & Policy Analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gn_rLnZURQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cash-cow-clues-can-dividend-yields-forecast-interest-rates/ "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Test Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What's Really Behind Stock Market Volatility" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #Magnificent7 #SpaceX #SpaceWalk #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #StockBuybacks #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Policy #Taxes #Tariffs #Innovation #Productivity #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets had a big reversal day Wednesday: Core CPI was hotter than expected, and markets sold off about 1.5%. And at about the time markets were kissing the 100-DNA, Nvidia's CEO told a Goldman conference his company cannot keep up with AI chips demand. The Mag-7 came roaring back to drive markets up 1%, resulting in a 2.5% gain from the low. Markets are now testing resistance at the 20-DMA, and if successful, will rocket upward to new, all-time highs. Remain cautious for now and manage risk. Technically, the market is improving. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #AI #Magnificent7 #FederalReserve #CPI #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Bonds #Treasuries #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today marks the 23rd anniversary of the World Trade Center attacks; it's Inflation Day and post-Debate day. Market volatility tends to increase prior to Presidential elections; why policy matters. CPI is expected to show a .2% increase (it's ALWAYS expected at .2%!) Oil prices are a function of supply & demand. CPI will most impact markets today, and factor into the Fed's rate decision next week. Volatility is the big market driver. What inflation is telling us about the economy; why falling inflation is not good for earnings. How companies are cutting wages (without cutting wages); Danny rants on the high cost of hotel coffee. A critique of government spending, and why "The Inflation Reduction Act" was anything but; a look at sector-based bankruptcies and the Solar Energy industry. Stop investing in companies you know nothing about. Private investors and private money are more efficient than government investments: The Day Care conundrum. A word or two on the presidential debate; 6 income alternatives for falling rate environment; demand notes; Risk annuities; closed-end funds. At what point should you liquidate bonds? SEG-1: Markets Increase Volatility Pre-Election SEG-2: What Inflation is Telling Us About the Economy SEG-3: Why "The Inflation Reduction Act" is Mis-labelled SEG-4: Income Alternatives as Rates Fall Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CPI: Will or Won't the Fed Cut Rates?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iArd3ktAw90&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Five Actions You Can Take to Minimize Risk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDSbAB_oXtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #PresidentialDebate #InflationReductionAct #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing
CPI will have an impact on the markets, as it feeds into the answer to the question, 'Will or won't the Fed cut rates this month?' Markets on Tuesday rallied right up to the 50-DMA; futures are subdued this morning, suggesting an initial test of resistance right at the 50-DMA. If that fails, there will be more pressure to the downside. Volatility is the big driver of the markets; there has been a little pickup in volatility during this most recent correction, but not to a great degree; the VIX is currently trading at around 19. The real challenge is positioning ahead of the Fed's rate decision. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iArd3ktAw90&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #CPI #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Bonds #Treasuries #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting and rate drop predictions; 2-yr Treasury yields are reflective of rate expectations. Forward earnings revisions continue to ratchet downward; markets must reprice on expectations, impacting performance. Monday's market rally was a disappointment; MACD sell signal is still in place. There are still barriers and resistance in the way of markets moving higher. This is not a good time to buy bonds. Lance and Jon look at what happens to stocks when a company is added to the S&P 500; why you should never track to an index: They're not reality. Wall Street wants you perpetually upset because money movement and emotions create fees. Indexes do not pay fees or taxes. Five steps you can take to mitigate portfolio risk. Lance and Jon answer e-mail query about portfolio management and reasonable expectations: Can you create high yields in a low interest rate environment? SEG-1: Markets' Rally Disappoints SEG-2A: What Happens When Stock is Added to the S&P 500 SEG-2B: Five Steps You Can Take to Mitigate Portfolio Risk SEG-3: E-mail Q&A: Realistic Goals of Portfolio Management SEG-4: Why Financial Planning is All a Big Guess Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDSbAB_oXtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Rally Disappoints" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RnurWaljp8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "A Rough Start to September" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets generated a rather disappointing rally on Monday, giving up about half of its gains by the end of the day. The good news: Markets closed positive, bounced off the 100-DMA, and were over-sold on a relative strength basis. That initial bounce off support indicated markets are clearly not out of the woods yet, still on a sell signal, indicating weaker prices are still ahead. This will suppress any positive action until the sell signal can be worked off. Markets initially failed at resistance at the 50-DMA. If markets cannot hold support at the 100-DMA, the next level downward will be at the August lows at the 200-DMA. We are currently in the mode of managing risk rather than trying to gain exposure in the markets. Unfortunately, no decent set up in Bonds has yet occurred, and those issues remain extremely over-bought; there's no opportunity now to increase exposure in bonds: It's difficult to add bonds to a portfolio now. If you own them, hang onto them. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RnurWaljp8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Bonds #Treasuries #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are having a rough start for September; Will the be a correction before the election? Lance examines the buyer/seller dynamic. Markets will probably bound this week. Look for a moderate rally, which will provide opportunity to trim portfolio risk. September/October stock market volatility is expected, with markets de-risking going into the election. Will there be an economic slowdown in September? Lance answers a question from YouTube chat," Who receives the difference in profits/losses when a company sells stock? Why stock buybacks are a scam; a dividend is a return of value to stock holder, while a buyback is a share redemption. The next, great undoing of the markets has not yet been thought of. The Friday Jobs Report: Not to hot, not too cold, but definitely not just right. Lance reviews events that have led to slower job growth. Has Technology really made our lives better? In the book, "The Age of Spiritual Machines," by futurist Ray Kurzwell, written in the late '90's, 78% of predictions have come true. SEG-1: September Stock Market Volatility SEG-2: Why Stock Buybacks Are a Scam SEG-3: What Do the Jobs Reports Really Tell Us? SEG-4: Does Technology Really Make Things Better? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4xLdTctnLk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Bounce this Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSVpIA3cI6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Plan for Trump Tax Cut Expiration" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets will likely bounce this week. We've had declining momentum which triggered a sell signal, which is still in place. The upside for any rally will be limited, but when it occurs, use that opportunity to trim risk from portfolios. A clibe back up to the 50-DMA would be an excellent exit point, if you're needing to weed your porfolio garden. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSVpIA3cI6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Will last month's Jobs and JOLTS reports show "normalization" of employment numbers to pre-Covid counts? What will the Fed response be, and what will that imply about the economy? Richard & Danny further explore the "sunsetting" of tax rate cuts initiated by the Trump administration, and who might be affected: Most likely, everyone will see an average 3% increase, across the board. A real look at who pays their "fair share" and more, and who doesn't. SEG-1: Jobs Numbers & JOLTS Report: Back to Pre-Covid Normalization? SEG-2: Sunsetting Tax Cuts: Who Will Be Affected? SEG-3: Impact of Tax Rate Sunset vs Real Solution SEG-4: Retirement Most Precarious for Middle Class Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Yield Be 4% by Friday?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Limiting Losses with Yield Curve Analysis" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTaxCuts #TaxCutSunset #MarketCorrection #TaxHike #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #YieldCurveInversion #BondYield #BullSteepening #EmploymentReroit #EconomicWeakness #NegativeRevision #Divergence #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting: There's a 50-50-chance of a 50-bp rate cut; will tomorrow's jobs report show fewer jobs than before Covid? Numbers are suspect with labor "hoarding" a potential problem; negative revisions to JOLTS report, part of a trend of negative revisions back to 2002. Will Yields be 4% by Friday? What the bond market is indicating. Living in the late 1900's; The Bond Yield Bet: Lots of stragglers to natural buying on demand; depending on the Fed to cut rates. Corporations are shorting Treasuries ahead of their own bond issuances: Corporate debt hedging. There are lots of divergences; Market Data is detached from economic reality. Has the yield curve "normalized?" The differential between 2-yr vs 10-yr Treasuries; what causes behaviors: The Fed. Michael Lebowitz explains the yield curve inversion in charts & graphs. Bull Steepening Periods Average Returns; how to use yield curve signals to mitigate loss. SEG-1: The Next Fed Meeting: 50-50- Chance of 50-bp Rate Cut SEG-2: The Bond Yield Bet SEG-3: Has the Yield Curve "Normalized:" Bond Yield Behaviors SEG-4: Bull Steepening Explained Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I7oP6xRCGN0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Yield Be 4% by Friday?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Big Down Day" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #YieldCurveInversion #BondYield #BullSteepening #EmploymentReroit #EconomicWeakness #NegativeRevision #Divergence #Markets #Money #Investing
Friday is the big employment report day; Bonds are very over bought, and bond yields are very oversold. Bonds are fairly deviated from moving averages to the downside. Traders are betting Yield could be 4% by Friday, suggesting the employment report is going to come a much hotter-than-expected. Now, that would be a HUGE move in one day, which we do not expect. However, if we get a strong employment report, followed by a strong CPI report, a reversal in yields would not be surprising. Any data that casts doubt on economic health is going to affect yields: A decline in yields is a bet on weaker economic growth. Any data that argues against that narrative should cause yields to move back up...and we're expecting that to happen because yields are very over bought, getting heard of where the data actually is. So, this will create the buying opportunity if you've been wanting to get into, or increase your holdings in bonds. What gets us there? We don't know, but this is what the bond markets are telling us. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #EmploymentReport #EconomicWeakness #Oversold #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The S&P 500 sank 2.1%, the Nasdaq lost 3.3%, and while the tech sector led stocks into the red, the Dow wasn't excluded from the bad day either, shedding over 600 points for a 1.5% loss. What's next? The Tuesday market dump was accompanied by weak manufacturing reports suggesting the economy is weakening. The Yield Curve actually un-inverted briefly, and then re-inverted. Markets sold off more sharply than expected for no apparent reason, led by semiconductors and The Most Significant Stock in the market, Nvidia. However, after the dust settled, it was learned (by the rest of us) Nvidia was served with a DOJ subpoena investigating "monopolistic" behavior AFTER the closing bell. Wonder how they knew that? The risks to the market remain: Polling suggests policy after the election WILL matter: What polices will actually be enacted, and how will they affect markets? Corp tax rates, 2017 tax cut expiration, healthcare costs; Lance waxes eloquent on his dietary restrictions, sugar in bacon (and other foods), and reading food labels. Assets in Leveraged and Exchange Traded Funds; the speculative nature of investors today. How leverage is a double-edged sword. SEG-1: Why Markets Took a Dump SEG-2: How Did They Know?? SEG-3: Risks to the Markets: Why Policy Matters SEG-4A: Sugared Bacon & Food Labels SEG-4B: The Speculative Nature of Investors Today Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOJonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Market Correction Continue?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Jx2J6xfbRg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Past Performance is No Guarantee..." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJ1a845sbL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #Nvidia #DOJSubpoena #TechSector #PolicyMatters #2017TaxCuts #AffordableCareAct #ObamaCare #CorporateTaxCuts #MarketReturns #MarketBullishness #PastPerformance #NoGuarantee #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioComparison #HighYieldBond #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets were over bought and losing momentum yesterday, and there was a risk of correction looming for September-October. Markets sold off Tuesday more sharply than expected, however. The first test was the cross-over of the 50- and 20-DMA as initial support. Markets opened down and sold off all day long. At least some of that overboughtedness was reversed, but not enough to completely eliminate the selling pressure. However, we are very close now to triggering a sell signal on the MACD. Markets will open lower this morning and likely try to bounce. If that level of support is taken out today, the next level will be at the 100-DMA, right around 5,2350 on the S&P. What drove markets down yesterday? Nvidia received a DOJ subpoena looking into "monopolistic" activities...but the subpoena was delivered AFTER the closing bell. Who knew about it beforehand?? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Jx2J6xfbRg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #Nvidia #DOJSubpoena #Oversold #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's a holiday-shortened trading week to kick off the new month: September & October tend to be weaker trading months. Look for light volume and the impact of the corporate buy back window open and closing; markets tend to de-risk ahead of elections. Markets closed Friday at July's all-time high amid much bullish optimism. Markets today could retest 20- 50-DMA for support. despite a loss of momentum, take caution to not become overly negative. Lance and Jonathan address viewer emails about searching for investment research platforms (a la Morningstar), and the meanings of stock ratings (who is the customer?)"Past performance is no guarantee of future results..." A more important "P" question is one of Philosophy of a firm. Look for survivability over time. Why you cannot ignore past performance; making up losses is not the same as making money. Why does Wall Street create more indexes? "Comparison is the root of all unhappiness." Moving money creates fees. The cost of swapping strategies (comparing performances). The difference in returns the difference in investors' place in life. Question about building a 5.1% return portfolio; looking at markets' true returns. What happens when "high yield" bonds mature? Dealing with risk in portfolios; looking at variable returns. 8% is great...until the market makes 11%. SEG-1: Markets Close at July Highs - Can they Keep it? SEG-2: Why Past Performance is No Guarantee SEG-3: Comparison Is the Root of All Unhappiness SEG-4: What Happens When "High Yield" Bonds Mature? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJ1a845sbL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break Higher or Lower?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ojxEbzU9heE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Clawback Your Payments?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG5OqhPFss4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketResiliency #MarketReturns #MarketBullishness #PastPerformance #NoGuarantee #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioComparison #HighYieldBond #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have a short trading week in which to function, and volumes will be a bit lighter. Markets closed on Friday at previous highs set in July. If markets can break out, that will allow momentum to carry markets higher. There is a lot of bullish sentiment. If markets close down today, that will keep things within a consolidation range. A break to the downside will test support at the 20- and 50-DMA. As markets are oversold, a breakout to the upside will be difficult to sustain in the near-term. We are seeing a loss of momentum over all. Don't become overly-negative, but this would be a good opportunity to remove risk from portfolios. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ojxEbzU9heE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Oversold #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #ConsumerConfidence #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Market Resiliency: It's always about the Fed. Nvidia and the AI story is still alive; Treasuries are overbought; Dollar General and Big Lots are struggling, surprisingly; where are the cracks in the economy? THe unwinding of the Tech sector, and how Google lets you know you're fired. The push to working longer; more and more are depending more and more on Social Security. legislation introduced to prevent SS clawbacks after 3-years: Is it a good idea? Why small towns are paying people to move there; living in a Dollar General, old food & Twinkies. How to boost credit scores without borrowing money; Zillow credit reporting for rent payments; how the credit scoring formulas are changing; how FICO figures credit scores. Credit building strategies w FinTech credit cards. Dating questions, credit scores, and dating apps; the trend towards renting; credit builder cards; Credit breaches & Cyber Security. SEG-1: Market Resiliency - It's Always About the Fed SEG-2: Is Limiting Social Security Clawbacks a Good Idea? SEG-3A: Getting Paid to Move to Small Towns SEG-3B: Boosting Credit Scores Without Borrowing Money SEG-4: Credit Building Strategies that Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG5OqhPFss4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/ "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Knocks the Cover off the Ball " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2e1WEWVHDKs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Nvidia Priced for Perfection?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtS6mftSN0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketResiliency #Nvidia #PrivateEquity #AIcompanies #FinancialMarkets #TechnologyInvestment #PublicCompanies #FutureTechTrends #InvestmentRisk #Opportunities #TechBirth #MarketEntry #Innovation #InvestmentAdvice #NextBigCompany #FederalReserve #InterestRates #SocialSecurity #PaymentClawbacks #DollarGeneral #BigLots #CreditScores #CreditCards #FinTechCards #FICO #Zillow #Renting #Markets #Money #Investing
Looking ahead to September; why election polling is wrong; policy differences between Harris and Trump, and potential impact on markets. Nvidia earnings report rundown and stock buy back announcement. Nvidia owns 80% of market share for GPU's for data centers, with a new Blackwell chip on the way. Syppy & demand will be key to pricing. Groth expectations and market weighting; Nvidia valuation is extremely expensive: Priced for perfection, but difficult to deliver. How long can current marings hold, and who will compete w Nvidia? Picking the "next" Nvidia is impossible to know. The benefits from AI are different from company to company. Update on the Roberts' Home Remodel: Kitchen Aide mixer & Coffee maker; The Fed: No doubt about cutting rates, just how much, how fast? Recession is the question (when)? Taking rates to zero would imply recession; we're in a record-long stretch of Yield Curve inversion; un-inversion is due. Recession indicators; pay attention to what the Bond Market and Yield Curves are saying. Dollar General's "cratering demand," and Klarna's AI-fueled layoffs. SEG-1: September Forecast & Nvidia Reports SEG-2: Priced for Perfection, Hard to Deliver SEG-3A: The Roberts' Remodel SEG-3B: The Fed: No Doubt About Cutting Rates SEG-4: Recession Indicators: What the Yield Curve Saith Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtS6mftSN0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/ "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Knocks the Cover off the Ball " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2e1WEWVHDKs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Stop Worrying About Taxes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9tNkglBWHs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #PrivateEquity #AIcompanies #FinancialMarkets #TechnologyInvestment #PublicCompanies #FutureTechTrends #InvestmentRisk #Opportunities #TechBirth #MarketEntry #Innovation #InvestmentAdvice #NextBigCompany #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets and Investors await today's earnings report from Nvidia, which has been tagged, 'The Most Important Stock in the World.' Expectations are VERY high, so there is little room for marginal results: There is more risk of disappointment than odds of exceeding expectations. Markets continue to hang on following the mini-correction last week, followed by sharp market recovery. For now, correction is over if Nvidia delivers. Dollar pressure continues; consumer confidence is on the rise. Why worry about paying taxes on investments? If you owe taxes, you MADE money. The danger of turning gains into losses in the quest for no taxes. The fruits of investing and the Fruit of the Loom; what are the goals for your money? Dealing with Capital Gains in real estate; the need for a financial advisor, accountant, and tax lawyer. Vacation home sales strategies. Signs you know your day will be a bad one. Only 8% of pre-retirees plan to wait until age 70 to draw social security: Lance & Danny discuss strategies. SEG-1: Why Nvidia is The Most Important Stock in the world SEG-2: Why Worry About Taxes, Pt-1 SEG-3: Why Worry About Taxes, Pt-2 SEG-4A: How You Know You're Going to Have a Bad Day SEG-4B: Why Only 8% of Works Plan to Wait Until 70 for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9tNkglBWHs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/ "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hang on Nvidia's Report" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Xt7UeGJx2g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Overbought Conditions Set up for Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTQ7Ij7AOQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #USDollar #Currency #CarryTrade #Taxes #FinancialPlanning #TaxMitigation #GrowMoney #SmartInvestments #ReduceTaxes #FinancialMistakes #TaxStrategy #TaxAdvice #FinancialGrowth #TaxEfficiency #InvestmentStrategy #MoneyManagement #FinancialAdvice #SmartWaysToReduceTaxes #TaxSavingTips #FinancialGoals #WealthBuilding #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have been hanging-in for the past few days. Remember, back in June and July, we were looking at extreme deviations, and expecting a correction. We got one: About 8% over three days' time, and then markets immediately rallied. For the moment, the correction is over, and odds are we could break out to new highs (dependent on Nividia's report tonight). Volatlity is once again supressed as the market becomes much more bullish. Watch how the Dollar behaves, now becoming really oversold. Consumer confidence is picking up. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Xt7UeGJx2g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Oversold #Overbought #NvidiaReport #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #ConsumerConfidence #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today's show is all over the place: Durable Goods take a big jump...unless you remove Aircraft. Astronauts stuck in space: Elon Musk to the rescue. Markets are overbought; risk remains in Carry Trade. Market correction will likely be short and shallow. What if: Nvidia's report tomorrow. Stocks are setting up for correction: Stocks on sale? Fallacies about the Dollar and where best to store currency. Viagra, Blue Chews, Him's/Her's: Demographics and the birthrate. Dating apps falling off a cliff. Demographics are destiny; the economics of dating. The family unit is the basis of the economy. The demise of society w/emergence of social media. Houston has a problem with scammers: Jonathan relates his daughter's recent run-in with the "Safe harbor Hotel" scam. SEG-1: Durable Goods, Stuck in Space, Overbought Markets SEG-2: Stocks Are Setting Up for Correction SEG-3: Blue Chews & Destiny in Demographics SEG-4: The Safe Harbor Hotel Scam Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTQ7Ij7AOQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction Will be Shallow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zh1I1CVJqdI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Risk Management Still Matters" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AptzKfSc2Bw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #OverBought #Oversold #DurableGoods #Aircraft #Nvidia #ElonMusk #RiskRangeReport #USDollar #Currency #CarryTrade #Viagra #BlueChew #DatingApp #Demographics #Birthrate #DatingEconomics #SocialMedia #SafeHarborScam #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets were fairly over-sold three weeks ago; fast forward to today, and markets are very over-bought. This reversal has not been surprising. Our Risk Range Report reveals which sectors are most affected. Also note the extreme deviations, which are a prelude to correction. When the majority of sectors are bullish, any correction will be somewhat shallow. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zh1I1CVJqdI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Oversold #Overbought #ShallowCorrection #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Jerome Powell says interest rate policy is due for a change; market future predict four rate cuts by the end of the year. Rate cuts, the election, and dollar weakness all remain risks to the market, as well as a bit of over hang from the carry trade fiasco earlier this month. Nvidia to report this week; anything could happen. Markets again nearing all time highs, bur becoming very over bought. Gold behavior is interesting, and price peaks generally herald a correction soon after. Markets are fine, even bullish, but it's still easy to find bearish headlines. Markets are coincident: When everything goes up all at once, everything will come down all at once. Looking at possibilities vs probabilities. The Four Rules for Risk Management: Raise portfolio cash levels to lower volatility and align with your risk tolerance. Reduce equity risk, particularly in areas highly dependent on economic growth. Add or increase the duration of bond allocations, which tend to offset risk during risk-off events. Reduce exposure to commodities and inflation trades as economic growth slows. SEG-1: Jerome Powell - The Time For Policy Change is Now SEG-2: When All Assets Rise Together, All Assets Fall Together SEG-3: Four Rules for Risk Management, Pt-1 SEG-4: Four Ruels for Risk Management, Pt-2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AptzKfSc2Bw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why is Everyone Long on Gold?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKdsebkKe-o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Prepare for Recession (even when there isn't one)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5EF1EGrugUw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #Inflation #Deflation #JobsRevision #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Joy #AlmondJoy #Mounds #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are looking to push to all-time highs, and breadth has improved markedly; the ten-day rate of change has been extremely strong. We've had ten-times more stocks advancing on Friday than were declining. So market bullishness is the trend for now, with concerns and fears of a decline fading into the background. For now. The market is pricing in a zero-percent chance of a recession, but is also rapidly reaching over-bought conditions. The market needs a break at this point, which will give opportunity to add exposure. Gold has had a very nice run, seeming to stagnate somewhat, while maintaining a bullish trend. However, a monthly chart of Gold performance would indicate peaks in prices corresponding with over bought markets typically precede corrections (remember, Gold prices are driven by commodity traders on the NYMEX). Gold traders are extremely long in the speculative positions in Gold, currently. Our advice here is to remember to take profits and rebalance your positions at this point. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKdsebkKe-o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #GoldCommodity #NYMEXTraders #AllTimeHigh #20DMA #100DMA #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #Recession #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Joy, Gratitude, and the difficulty of knowing what narrative to believe. Still to come: Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, and reaction to negative revision to Jobs numbers. Four rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year? How to make volatility work for you. Taxation of unrealized gains: It's a dumb idea. What about credits for losses?? (You absorb the losses, the Gov't takes the gains.) Thank goodness for Congressional gridlock. Schwab study, "What is Wealthy?" $2.5-mil average. The danger in benchmarking against surveys, S&P, and others' portfolios. Inflation vs deflation: The chatroom explodes. Preparing for Recession, even when there isn't one. Yet. The financial security cushion; Schiller's CAPE calculation: How will this affect you in distribution mode? Debt-to-Income Ratios: What are they really for (and who benefits more - you or the bank?) Joy in the markets & Animal Spirits: The joy of paying off debt, moderating risk, avoiding the retirement fund death spiral. The best use of 401k funds and the hierarchy of savings. Keeping human skills fresh. Oh, and Almond Joys. SEG-1: Joy & Gratitude: The Difficulty of Which Narrative to Believe SEG-2: Taxation of Unrealized Gains - It's a dumb idea SEG-3A: Inflation vs Deflation & Chatroom Wars SEG-3B: Preparing for Recession at Home SEG-4: Joy in the Markets & Animal Spirits Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5EF1EGrugUw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Funds Futures Offer Bond Market Insights" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-funds-futures-offer-bond-market-insights/ "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bullish Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zg46dMB14Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Jackson Hole Preview" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0s6NonA6ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #Inflation #Deflation #JobsRevision #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Joy #AlmondJoy #Mounds #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are again approaching all-time highs, with the NASDAQ exhibiting a most v-like recovery, up 11% in ten days. Markets' response to the largest (818-k) negative Jobs revision since 2009: Shrugs. FOMC meeting minutes indicate the time is "appropriate" for the Fed to lower rates. French women apparently have the longest life expectancy; Lance & Michael review FOMC meeting minutes and mentions of "appropriate time" to lower rates is now. So, far no leaks prior to Jackson Hole meeting. How WalMart is using AI to manage real-time sales/inventory data. The Fed knows jobs data is wrong. Is Jerome Powell Pinky or The Brain? There's personal inflation and then there's data the market looks at. The Fed doesn't want deflation, and 2% inflation is healthy for stable economic growth. SEG-1: Jobs Report Negative Revision & After Effects SEG-2: Life Expectancies & FOME: Appropriate Time SEG-3: Jerome Powell = Pinky & The Brain SEG-4: Technology Evolution, Food Expirations, & Price Dynamics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0s6NonA6ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Funds Futures Offer Bond Market Insights" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-funds-futures-offer-bond-market-insights/ "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bullish Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zg46dMB14Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Your Portfolio Performance Sucks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eno3BQhPGi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #PinktAndTheBrain #Inflation #Deflation #JobsRevision #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing
The S&P is approaching its all-time high, but there is a good bit of resistance the market is about to run into. The NASDAQ is up 11% in the past ten days as part of one of the longest, strongest run-ups since 2009. This is about as V-shaped a recovery as you can get in the markets, and there is a lot of exuberance. The bulk of the activity can be credited to stock buybacks. This is not a time to chase stocks. The bullish trend remains intact, with nothing to suggest a correction to be imminent. But that doesn't mean markets can't pull back to support at the 20-DMA or the 100-DMA, which would provide a much better entry point to add exposure, rather than trying to buy today. Ironically, if we can break out to new, all-time highs, and then retest that breakout, THAT will also create a buying opportunity. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zg46dMB14Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #NASDAQ #SP500 #AllTimeHigh #20DMA #100DMA #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts examines the cause and effect phenomenon of public policy and outcomes, rhetoric and promises; who'll control the House & Senate have more bearing on future legislation promised vs passed. Market breadth is expanding, which bodes well for bullish trends. Most of markets' lift is coming from stock buy back activity. Interesting observation about the category luanches of ETF's: Most are derivative-based, adding risk for investors. Why your portfolio performance may be disappointing (how we screwed up the financial system). Lance and Danny discuss the performance gap between retail investors and the big funds: It's all about weighting. Markets today are built for pricing momentum. Focusing on risk mitigation to protect your portfolio from negative impacts over time. When someone promises you'll double your money...or not? There are promises and then there's reality. In answer to a YouTube chat comment, Lance discusses the false concept of market compounding. SEG-1: Market Breadth Expands SEG-2: Why Portfolio Performance Sucks (How We Screwed Up the Financial System) SEG-3: The Performance Gap Between Investors vs Funds SEG-4: Double Your Money...or not Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eno3BQhPGi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Effect of the Zweig Breadth Thrust" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnvEjAwTBbY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Shall the Young Secure (Their Finances)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-OidFl3g4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets recently triggered a Zweig Breadth Thrust (say that three-times, fast!) resulting in a wider breadth in the market, which is healthy. That's helping markets' return, on average. There will still be corrective action in the markets, but the effect of the Zweig Breadth Thrust is more bullish than bearish market action. We now have the highest number of stock participating in the markets that we have seen over the past two years. This bodes well for market trajectories in the near-term; however, this trajectory will flatten and reverse eventually. Be careful being too bearish too early. Buy backs are driving a lot of the markets' advance. Buy backs are accelerating fast than dividend payments (chart). Currently, 9 of the 10 of the biggest share buy back companies are U.S., alone making up 25% of the entire buy back process. This is where all the lift in the markets is coming from. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnvEjAwTBbY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ZweigBreadthThrust #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #InterestRates #RateReversal #BondYields #CrudeOil #EnergyStocks #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Previews of the DNC Convention and Jackson Hole meeting previews, plus four Fed speakers on tap this week; Monkey Pox & Covid on the upswing ahead of election season. Markets stage a phenomenal recovery over the past five days; could interest rates reverse? Kamalanomics: A historical perspective on Economic Cycles: Why Prices Controls will exacerbate inflation; the myth of price gouging; the Tytler Cycle revisited. SEG-1: Phenomenal Market Recovery - Could Interest Rates Reverse? SEG-2: Kamalanomics, Pt. 1: Fixing Inflation w Price Controls SEG-3: Kamalanomics, Pt.2: The Myth of Price Gouging SEG-4A: Academy Carts & Anniversary Roombas SEG-4B: Kamalanomics, Pt. 3: This is Nothing New: The Tytler Cycle (You are Here) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-elSd8FHQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is An Interest Rate Reversal Coming?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4p5FFDk7aA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Buy Dividend Stocks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpYHGC8wAvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #KamalaHarris #PriceGouging #Kamalanomics #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EconomicData #EconomicCycle #HistoricalPatterns #RepeatedProcesses #AmericanEconomy #HistoryOfEconomics #EconomicTrends #FinancialCycles #EconomicRepetition #EconomicHistory #FinancialHistory #EconomicProcesses #CyclicalTrends #Markets #Money #Investing
Investors are waiting for this week's Jackson Hole confab, and will respond accordingly; when will markets take a breather? The DNC begins with economic nonsense. You cannot fix poverty by giving money away. Markets' rally straight up for eight days; pullback is coming: This is no time to chase stocks. Why the correction is over; three elements of economic uncertainty. Lance answers an email about helping youth prepare financially; the financial order of operations. Say no to credit card debt! You don't need it for a good credit score. Truth About Credit Scores: Do You Really Need Credit Cards? Pay your bills on time and have the money talk with your kids. What Lance would do if he was younger: aggressive saving early. Max out your 401K every year for financial growth! Invest in S&P 500 index and watch your savings grow. Start early! SEG-1: Waiting for Jackson Hole - Markets Will Respond SEG-2: Three Elements of Economic Uncertainty SEG-3: How Shall the Young Secure (Their Finances) SEG-4: What I Would Do if I Was Younger Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-OidFl3g4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-20-24 This is No Time to Chase Stocks" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpTrQgCZPPY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Unpacking Kamalanomics and Economic Cycles in America" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-elSd8FHQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #KamalaHarris #PriceGouging #Kamalanomics #FinancialSecurity #CreditCards #CreditScore #UtilityBills #Rent #CarNote #FinancialAdvice #Parents #YoungAdults #Conversations #MoneyManagement #FinanceTips #Maximize #401KContribution #SP500Index #DollarCostAveraging #FullMatch #FinancialPlanning #LongTermInvestment #RetirementSavings #401KStrategy #FinancialAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have literally had a straight-up rally over the past eight days...a very long stretch for markets to go without taking a breather. A bit of a pullback towards the 50-DMA at this point would not be surprising. This is not the time to chase stocks. The 20-DMA is starting to flatten, and when it turns up will provide additional support on a pullback. That will be your entry point for adding exposure to stocks you want to add. We're on a solid buy signal, and markets are getting a little over bought, so take care: The pullback will not be large or long in duration. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpTrQgCZPPY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #InterestRates #RateReversal #BondYields #CrudeOil #EnergyStocks #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Great week, last week, as markets recovered from the Japanese Yen Trade Carry collapse. There is now a big gap between the S&P and the Japanese Yen, which has started to reverse a bit. We don't believe the whole issue-risk thing is quite over. Markets are behaving very similarly to markets in early 1987; coincidence? (We don't like analog comparisons of years to years, but this one is spooky!) Keep a watch on interest rates, which we believe could reverse for a retracement of rates. Rates are trending lower, but we're about to trigger a buy signal on interest rates. Crude oil continues to flop around in a consolidation range. International markets have been recovering; Emerging markets haven't done much since the 2020 crash. Some of these markets are actually delivering a drag to portfolio performance. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4p5FFDk7aA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #InterestRates #RateReversal #BondYields #CrudeOil #EnergyStocks #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
July CPI clocks-on on-target for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, as it indicate inflation is trending downward. This would set-up the Fed for up to four rate cuts by the end of the year, but not so great for stocks. Watch for seasonal adjustments to Retail Sales reports. Markets will challenge 50-DMA, and could end its correction today. Your personal experience with inflation is not the same as Government calculations, which is what markets look at. CPI was on the money, and the trend is lower. Economic data can fluctuate monthly. Focus on trends for a clearer picture! Lance and Michael answer an email question about investing in Dividend Stocks; what does the Yield infer? Looking at the Peg ratio, and what indicators about a company matter. Dividend stocks vs growth stocks. What makes for a better bond: Coupon vs Yield (how did the yield get there)? Lance and Michael address YouTube Chat question about Covered Call ETF's vs Dividend ETF's. SEG-1: CPI On-Target for Fed Rate Cuts SEG-2: Why We Have to Live with Government Numbers SEG-3: How to Evaluate Company Dividends SEG-4A: What's a Better Bond - Coupon vs Yield SEG-4B: Covered Call ETF's vs Dividend ETF's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpYHGC8wAvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stealth QE Or Rubbish From Dr Doom?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stealth-qe-or-rubbish-from-dr-doom/ "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is This Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azi3cmQKk54&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Looking for Rate Cut Clues in CPI Data" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYcQKsvQ1W0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EconomicData #SeasonalAdjustments #Trends #YearOverYearGrowth #ThreeMonthAverages #SixMonthAverages #DataFluctuations #StateReporting #DataGlitch #EconomicAnalysis #UnderstandingTrends #MonthToMonthData #AccurateInterpretation #EconomicIndicators #DataInterpretation #DividendStocks #CoveredCallETF #DividendETF #BondYield #BondCoupon #FinancialAdvice #StatisticalMethods #CarefulAnalysis #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have enjoyed a 4.5% rally over the past five days, clearing the 100- and 20-DMA, and now right at the 50-DMA: Markets are now back on a buy signal and investors will challenge that 50-DMA today. If we can hold above the 50-DMA through Friday, this correction is over. At least, for now. One key element driving this rally: Share buy backs, and that window closes again in September. What will happen during the seasonal period of de-risking as buyback activity goes away as we go into the Election? Meanwhile, Bond Yields are starting to come back down following inflation reports showing a downward trend and inferring the Fed will start cutting rates. Crude Oil has had a decent rally, and there are a tremendous amount of shorts on oil prices. There is a potential risk for higher oil prices going into the Fall and the Elections; Energy stocks have been doing "okay;" we're being cautious with Energy. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azi3cmQKk54&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #ShareBuyBacks #100DMA #50DMA #20DMA #BondYields #CrudeOil #EnergyStocks #2024Election #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The PPI number came in weaker than expected with lower input prices. Today's CPI report (a 0.2% monthly increase = 3.2% annual rate) weakness could spur the Fed to lower rates, although to what extent remains unknown. The upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Summit could also provide impetus for the Fed's action in September. Meanwhile, markets on Tuesday cleared the 100-DMA, and are looking for confirmation at the 50-DMA. Will he or won't he? Danny's coaching decision remains to be seen. Why market remain resilient after the sell-off. YouTube Chat Q&A: Dealing with Teacher Retirement Fund taxation & fees; the retirement plan variables: What to do with a 401k at Retirement? How 401k's killed pensions (a very bad idea). What to do with 401k when changing jobs. Why pensions should go away vs 401k's; 401k vs IRA flexibilities. SEG-1: No Reason to Be Bearish SEG-2: Why Markets Remain Resilient After Sell-off SEG-3: What to Do w Your 401k at Retirement SEG-4: Pensions vs 401k's - A Bad Idea? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYcQKsvQ1W0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Reason to be Bearish" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ED2D8OXTC-0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Four Reasons Mega-Caps Are Not Dead Yet" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTqIghDtTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #RetirementFunds #401k #Pension #IRA #RithIRA #Bonds #MegaCaps #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing
After clearing the 100-DMA, the next step will be a re-testing to confirm the bottom is in. The good news is that the markets cleared the 20-DMA...but, that's below the 50-DMA, which today will be key resistance. If markets can clear the 50-DMA today, that will clear resistance for markets to rise higher from here. We would not be surprised to see markets pull back at this point and retest the 100-DMA over the next few days. That would actually be healthy for markets, and allow markets to rally back from the 100-DMA. There is currently no overt reason to be bearish. There is a lot of buying power set up with the reopening of buy back windows which could at least keep markets supported, if not moving higher. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ED2D8OXTC-0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #HigherBottom #RetestResistance #RebalancePortfolio #RebalanceRisk #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's economic report week, with previews of today's PPI, tomorrow's CPI, and Thursday's Retail sales numbers for July; will weaker consumer spending appear? Stock buybacks have returned. Markets to re-test 100-DMA, and set up to move up to the 20-DMA. Are the “Mega-Cap” stocks dead? Maybe. But there are four reasons why they could be staged for a comeback. The recent market correction from the July peak certainly got investors’ attention and rattled the more extreme complacency. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio turnover and tax implications: If you're paying taxes, you made money! Never buy a stock for its dividend. Lance corrects the YouTube chatroom on companies; longevity; Lance & Jonathan discuss bonds, coupons, discounts, and total costs. Coupons vs Yield: The only aspect of a bond that matters. "Yield worst vs yield to maturity. SEG-1: PPI, CPI, & Retail Sales Previews SEG-2: Why Mega-Caps Are Not Dead SEG-3: Portfolio Turnover & Tax Implications SEG-4: The Only Aspect of Bonds that Matter Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTqIghDtTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retesting Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBVD9H91LGA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Be Careful of Market Predictions " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N69vpdabuoU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #MegaCaps #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing
Monday's markets broke above the 100-DMA and re-tested intraday. A weak test, but a positive for the markets, completely closing Monday's sell-off. This sets up the market for a move upward to the 20-DMA (which has now crossed below the 50-DMA), which will be key resistance for the markets' first attempt at a re-test. Economic date to be released this week could temper markets' mood. For now, sentiment is positive, as markets recover from previous lows. Meanwhile, interest rates have begun a bit of retracement, and a hotter PPI report today could push rates up into the 4% range. We expect bond prices to move down as inflation reports come in hotter than expected. This is a good time to tend to your portfolio, reducing risk and raising cash. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBVD9H91LGA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #AI #HigherBottom #RetestResistance #RebalancePortfolio #RebalanceRisk #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Last Monday's Yen Carry Trade blow-up resulted in a 3% market correction & volatility shock. We're still in the midst of a 5- to 10% corrective phase. The market did, by the end of the week, completely recover from the effects of that sell off. Markets are looking to be up this morning, and our advice is to use this rally to remove risk in your portfolio, especially if you weren't pleased with results last week. Raising a bit of cash now will enable you to better weather whatever comes next, and prepare you for the next buying opportunity. There are two paths forward from this point, and we think the most likely will be a rally to test resistance, failure, and the establishment of a new, higher bottom (which will be a buying opportunity), and then a rally higher. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FHZrcyost8I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #AI #HigherBottom #RetestResistance #RebalancePortfolio #RebalanceRisk #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
With the turmoil of the past week, now is a good time to reassess your portfolio, and rebalance the risk. What is the deal with stocks advertising on TV? Wealth transferrence & Inheritances: How common is it for children to meet with parent and financial advisor? If there's money left... How RMD's can calter inheritances; how gift-giving works. Lance's kids are 'off the payroll.' Are you planning to receive an inheritance? How life-long gift-giving can work; what are the tax implications? Using gifting as an opportunity to teach about money & stewardship. Estate Planning prep: When do you need a trust? (Implications in the event of divorce.) Don't let the documents talk; have a conversation with your kids about the money. Dealing with tax torpedos in Social Security; taxation and Roth's: The Rothification of America. SEG-1: Market Commentary: Now is a Good Time for Portfolio Rebalancing SEG-2: Gift-giving Your Inheritance Early SEG-3: Planning for (Receiving) An Inheritance SEG-4: Estate Planning Prep: When Do You Need a Trust? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Mo4nvubJ_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Confidence Is The Underappreciated Economic Engine" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/confidence-is-the-underappreciated-economic-engine/ "The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-sahm-rule-employment-and-recession-indicators/ "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Exuberance Reverses" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj- ------- Our previous show is here: "Trapped Longs Take the Exit" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHVg-HJq5Gs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inheritance #FinancialPlanning #RothConversaions #TaxTorpedo #SocialSecurity #EstatePlanning #Stewardship #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
Economic Reports affected by Hurricanes Beryl & Debbie; market sell off continues. Inflationary data is still there; unwinding of Yen Carry Trade continues w/volatility. Lance recites a brief history of market crashes, causes & effects. The market correction actually started in July at peak; trapped-longs sold into market rally as exuberance reverses. Earnings Season has delivered a mixed back; 92% of companies have reported, opening buy back windows for business. Consumer sentiment feedback loop affects Fed decision-making; what the Yen Carry Trade does for market moods. The differential in interest rates between the Yen & the Dollar is shrinking. The Fed is reactive...and trapped. Lance & Michael discuss the Sahm Rule recession indicator: This time may be different. Recessions are back-dated by as much as 12-months. Is the economy weakening or normalizing? Indicators are often at odds with one another. YouTube Chat Q&A: Estate Tax Exemptions & Bonds; Is it too soon to short TLT? Eli Lilly & Yen Carry Trade: Where did all the "fast" money go? Liquidity Indicators in conflict: How to accurately measure? Fear dries-up liquidity. SEG-1: A Brief History of Market Crashes; the Correction Started in July SEG-2: The Feedback Effect of Consumer Sentiment SEG-3: The Sahm Rule: Maybe Not This Time SEG-4: YouTube Chat Q&A: Shorting TLT, Liquidity Indicators Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHVg-HJq5Gs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Confidence Is The Underappreciated Economic Engine" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/confidence-is-the-underappreciated-economic-engine/ "The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-sahm-rule-employment-and-recession-indicators/ "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Exuberance Reverses" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj- ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Crisis Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZWdk9bCH5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrappedLongs #SahmRule #RecessionIndicator #MarketCorrection #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
The market correction didn't start on Monday; it actually started in July at the markets' peak. Then markets began to steadily sell off until tapping the 20-DMA, and that's when markets fell sharply, as the unwinding of the Yen carry trade began to really happen. On Wednesday the market rallied right into the 100-DMA, and trapped-longs sold off with markets ending at their lows for the day. Sellers are now getting exhausted and sentiment is turning more bearish, which is what markets needed. Today: Pay attention to Bond prices (not yields); we expect them to move back to support a cluster of moving averages at about 4.1% on the Ten-year Treasury. Bonds are not quite oversold yet, so no entry point on bonds just yet. As the Fed begins to cut rates, that will exert downward pressure on yields, pushing bond prices higher. That's not going to happen overnight, however. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketExuberance #ExuberanceReversal #InvestorSentiment #MarketBounce #MarketCorrection #Resistance #TrappedLongs #CarryTrade #MarginCalls #JapaneseYen #USDollar #MarketCaution #2024Election #InvestorCaution #NASDAQ #NASDAQcorrection #100DMA #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel #BondYields #BondPrices #FederalReserve #RateCuts #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is the crisis over? Too soon to tell, but the Nikkei did rebound, the Yen is coming down, and the BOJ is hold steady on rates. Earnings season continues; and it's too soon to suume the market has found the bottom. Admonition to be wary of the narratives. Market rally into the 100-DMA, buyt unlikely to test resistance the 50-DMA just yet. Understanding the Yen Carry Trade; risk management vs greed. Diversification worked on Monday. The Fed soesn't even know what they're going to do; they're behind the curve. How we created inflation, and expecting recession. Remembering Texas' gasoline lines in the '70's. Harry Dent's perpetual doom & gloom: If market decline 94% we'll have more to worry about than stocks. Will your financial plan survive the next crash? The Ernon and WorldCom debacles; what risk management really means. Investor sentiment & the Sahm Rule: This time IS different. General market sentiment remains extremely bullish. FOMO of market bottom; Monday's bottom is likely not The Bottom of the market. SEG-1: Markets Rally & Retest 100-DMA SEG-2: Why Diversification Worked During Monday's Crash SEG-3: What Risk Management Really Entails SEG-4: Why Monday's Bottom is Likely NOT The Bottom Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZWdk9bCH5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Bounce Back after Monday's Crash" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8I2RvwFcN5w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Selling Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=De_ft6IWTq8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets on Tuesday bounced off their lows to rally into the 100-DMA as a first test of resistance following Monday's crash. And with a lot of "trapped-longs," sellers showed up immediately. Markets sold off, but finished positive for the day. Markets today could potentially rally up to retest the 100-DMA, and move on up to the 50-DMA is also a possibility, but not as likely today. (Previous market crash/corrections have always rallied to retest and set higher-lows before completing their correction process.) So it's okay to nibble a bit at stocks that have gotten beaten up, but be really careful and be willing to lose a little money on a position until a new bottom is set. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8I2RvwFcN5w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBounce #MarketCorrection #Resistance #TrappedLongs #CarryTrade #MarginCalls #JapaneseYen #USDollar #MarketCaution #2024Election #InvestorCaution #NASDAQ #NASDAQcorrection #100DMA #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap # #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Monday's Carry Trade-inspired blowout saw lots of selling , but a little bit of recovery before the dust settled. The ISM Services Report clocked-in a little stronger than expected, taking fears of imminent Recession off the table. The Fed might not have to cut rates as much. Markets are now over sold by three standard deviations off the moving average; a bounce is in the office, but this could be the beginning of a bigger correction. Lance and Jon provide some clarification and perspective: Market points vs percentages; now vs 2020 or 1980: how much are we up since 202? Recessions are based on consumer sentiment and contraction in spending. How the "unwinding" creates another cycle of unwinding; note that 82% of S&P companies are now out of the stock buy back blackout period; some volume to return, at lower prices. The underperformance of Gold is why we don't talk about it much; if you're going to own it (it's a commodity!) own coins with numismatic value, not bullion: How to convert to currency? The importance of understanding what you own. Too Late to buy bonds for now: Wait for some consolidation: U.S. Treasuries, not corporate or "high yield" (a.k.a junk) bonds. The risk of Recession is heightened because of slower consumer spending and negativity. Bond will come back, but will take time. SEG-1: Monday Market Recap: Lots of Selling w Some Recovery SEG-2: Could This Be the Beginning of a Bigger Correction? SEG-3: Why Gold Underperforms SEG-4: Too Late to Buy Bonds Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=De_ft6IWTq8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Next for Markets Will Be a Bounce" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yQ5fj8q9sj8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Understanding Yield Curves: Inversion Doesn't Guarantee a Recession " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jD8NT01ii28&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing
The Carry Trade blow out created a market that is now oversold by more than three standard deviations. The most logical, next move for markets will be a bounce. Keep in mind, as sharp as Monday's drop was, we're still only 8% down from the peak, meaning we're still withing a normal, corrective process at this point. If markets fall further, say to the 200-DMA, that's a move of about 10%, and we think that's likely what's going to happen. BUT...before that can occur, there are two, very big gaps that must be filled: Big selloffs occur so quickly, there's little time for investors to react, resulting in "trapped longs" looking for any rally to sell into. That will lead to a re-test of the 200-DMA. This is why it's important to use rallies to reduce risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yQ5fj8q9sj8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBounce #MarketCorrection #TrappedLongs #CarryTrade #MarginCalls #JapaneseYen #USDollar #MarketCaution #2024Election #InvestorCaution #NASDAQ #NASDAQcorrection #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap # #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
August begins with weaker employment and the Fed hinting at the possiblity of a 1/2% rate cut; The Japanese Carry Trade blos up: What is it and why does it matter? Look for the largest spike in volatility since the pandemic. Be careful amid emotional headlines; Markets have already been over sold and now need to bounce. Anything that is a risk assett will be affected; bonds are over bought: Today is a day to do nothing. Lance's movie reviwe of Deadpool & Wolverine: Not for the faint of heart or kids. Risks to the market from an exogenous, unexpected event, a consequence of the collapse of the Carryt Trade. What will happen when the Fed cuts rates? When the Yield Curve inversion reverses, get ready for Recession. Lance answers YouTube chat questions: Everything risk-related will be douns; the only "safe" investments are cash and U.S. Treasury Bonds. Don't panic; expect a little bit of buying by the end of the day, buying the dip[. SEG-1: The Carry Trade Blows Up: What is it? SEG-2: Putting Things Into Perspective: Don't Panic SEG-3: Two Risks to Markets Now SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Gold, Buying the Dip, Next Moves Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jD8NT01ii28&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell," 8-5-24 Why The Carry Trade Matters" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ec2AkoS2O_I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is inflation Beating or Benefiting You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Markets #Money #Investing
What is the Carry Trade (and why does it matter)? Lance explains the mechanics of carry trades and yield spreads, and why the Japanese Yen and U.S. Dollar behaviors are causing an unwinding of that carry trade, and when margins go wrong. Reality check: The markets are fine. Markets have been spooked by some unexpected, exogenous event...like the unwinding of the carry trade. This will lead to selling across the board today, and not just in stocks. Anything that is a risk asset will be affected. What should you do? Nothing. Markets were already deeply over-sold. Watch for a spike in volatility. Let the day play out, and avoid any knee-jerk reactions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ec2AkoS2O_I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CarryTrade #MarginCalls #JapaneseYen #USDollar #MarketCaution #2024Election #InvestorCaution #NASDAQ #NASDAQcorrection #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap # #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard and Danny discuss the week's market moves, and how bad news is actually bad news now; Intel's poor performance should be no surprise to astute investors; sometimes "value" stocks are value traps. Understanding (and avoiding) the day-to-day media hype. How to use "Money Buckets" to balance risks and demands on retirement funds; 2024 looks to be a mirror of 2023, with weaker economics. How to balance two sides of the economy. People are "making more money than ever before, and feeling more broker..." What happens in a deflationary environment, and why a little inflation is healthy. We're looking for low-growth muck in 2025; households are hurting. A tale of two economies. Looking at demographics and the value of having kids. Dealing with the RMD 10-year rule: It's an art form to take out funds. RMD eliminates desirable flexibility. It's a ticking tax time bomb. Taking advantage of current tax rates while they're "low." SEG-1: Bad News IS Bad News SEG-2: Money Buckets in Troubled Times SEG-3: Why a Little Inflation is Good SEG-4: The Pre-Tax IRA is the Fatted Calf Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is There Value In Small Cap Value Versus Large Cap Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-is-there-value-in-small-cap-value-versus-large-cap-growth/ "Bullish Years Often Have Corrections" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-1-24 Market Bull Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79762x_wVdU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation Drops Below Fed's 2% Goal, Signaling Weakening Economic Pressures " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_fLAZCwJa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ValueStocks #ValueTraps #RMD #MoneyBuckets #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #Inflation #Deflation #YearOverYear #FedTargetRate #InflationaryPressures #Receding #EmploymentCostIndex #RealWageGrowth #YearOverYearWageGrowth #PricePresure #BondMarket #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #JanetYellen #Treasury #Markets #Money #Investing
Jerome Powell's presser was a snooze-fest, with the Fed's stance on interest rates remaining unchanged (at least they didn't hint of more rate hikes!) Markets also responded to clarifications on chip bans and performance reports from AMB & MSFT. The "AI is Dead" narrative is way too early; largest growth in data center construction is in the US. Rewards for beating earnings estimates have been mild. Managers have been "de-grossing" portfolios, will now revert to "grossing-up" holdings following earnings season. Powell says pricing and inflation pressures are "equal;" concerns now turn to employment, which is about at the level before the pandemic (Powell already has Friday's employment numbers). Fed is poised to cut rates in September. Lance and Michael discuss the latest inflation data and its implications for the economy; analysis of the recent drop in the inflation index to 1.5%, and the absence of significant wage growth pressures: Inflation index falls below the Fed's 2% target rate; inflationary pressures receding on various fronts; employment cost index slightly down; no substantial real wage growth pressures observed; year-over-year wage growth on the decline. Lance & Michael also discuss the bond market's bearishness; Are we out of the woods yet with bonds? This bear market is the longest since 1790! Economic slowdown and low inflation are driving yields down. The biggest problem facing Bonds is the deficit; Janet Yellen wants to keep rates as low as possible to better manage debt. Lance addresses Bond Yield question about holding to maturity. SEG-1: Markets Respond to Nothing New from the Fed SEG-2: Powell Presser: Price & Inflation Pressures Now Equal SEG-3: Is the Bear Market in Bonds Finally Over? SEG-4: Is the Treasury Manipulating Markets w Their Offerings? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_fLAZCwJa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is There Value In Small Cap Value Versus Large Cap Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-is-there-value-in-small-cap-value-versus-large-cap-growth/ "Bullish Years Often Have Corrections" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-1-24 Market Bull Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79762x_wVdU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Navigating Financial Freedom on Your Own Terms" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #Inflation, #YearOverYear #FedTargetRate #InflationaryPressures #Receding #EmploymentCostIndex #RealWageGrowth #YearOverYearWageGrowth #PricePresure #BondMarket #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #JanetYellen #Treasury #Markets #Money #Investing
The month of August tends to be okay for investors, but in an election year tends to be weaker, and September, seasonally-speaking, tends to be the weakest of the months. Noting the behavior of the NASDAQ of late, it appears a reflexive rally is much more likely following the recent sell-off. Portfolio managers' de-grossing of their holdings has resulted in an under-weighing of portfolios, which will be remedied by a "re-grossing" of their holdings as earnings season winds down, leading to a bit more of a rally in the near term. This activity will continue to run along a trend line at the 100-DMA, indicating the bullish trend remains intact. There remains more work to be done ahead of the elections in November. It will be no surprise, therefore, to see markets become a bit more cautious ahead of the election. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79762x_wVdU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCaution #2024Election #InvestorCaution #NASDAQ #NASDAQcorrection #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap # #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Fed Day, and Lance Roberts previews potential outcomes to be announced Thursday afternoon. Earnings season continues, with MSFT reporting revenue of only 29% for the quarter vs the anticipated 30% growth. Shucks. Our take on what to take from the NASDAQ correction: Opportunity. Markets are "flirting w disaster" around the 50-DMA: what will be the Black Swan Event (and why would anyone wish for it)? The illusion of wealth in America; Lance and Danny discuss the importance of questioning financial assumptions and societal expectations; how these expectations can lead to unnecessary financial strain: Challenging the notion of "have to" when it comes to financial decisions; the pressure to spend large amounts on weddings and college education; questioning the necessity of certain expenses; the importance of evaluating financial priorities; encouraging viewers to make informed financial choices based on their unique circumstances. SEG-1: Fed Day Preview & NASDAQ Correction SEG-2: Flirting w Disaster at the 50-DMA SEC-3: The Illusion of Wealth in America SEG-4: Bankrupting Your Retirement for Your Children? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: Bullish Years Often Have Corrections https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "NASDAQ Correction: Here's Our Take" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ea9nQUqvgMw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Market Comparisons Can Hinder Your Portfolio's Performance " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdP-essdjaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #FutureFinancialFreedom #WeddingExpenses #CollegeExpenses #FinancialPriorities #Budgeting #FinancialDecisions #FinancialGoals #FinancialResponsibility #MoneyManagement #FinancialIndependence #FinancialSecurity #FinancialStress #FinancialExpectations #FinancialObligations #FinancialTradeOffs #FinancialSacrifices #FinancialChoices #FinancialMindset #Markets #Money #Investing"
There's been a nice correction in the NASDAQ. Markets can only go in one direction for so long. When you get extreme deviations from trend lines and moving averages, things will correct, and they do correct, from time to time. Trend lines and moving averages all act like gravity; when they correct, we humans have to provide some rationalization for the chaos. Currently, we're back to a very oversold condition. Recall that everytime the NASDAQ has gotten this extended from the 200-DMA, we've had a correction...and an opportunity to add exposure while prices are lower. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ea9nQUqvgMw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NASDAQ #NASDAQcorrection #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap # #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings season continues with 39% of S&P reporting this week; by week's end, 79% of companies will have shared results...and the buy back window opens anew. The Fed meeting begins today, with a slim chance for a surprise rate cut; a more dovish tone will encourage markets, however, and anticipate rate cut by September. Commentary on markets' 3% correction & Japanese Yen carry trade effects. Addressing the correct response to correction: Average returns are not the norm; risk on/off behaviors. Anchoring life events: What's the best anchoring for portfolios? Lance and Jon discuss a common mistake investors make when evaluating their portfolio performance, and explains why comparing your returns to the overall market is not always the best approach: The worst thing investors do is compare their portfolio to the market; media pundits often tout market returns, making investors feel inadequate; beating the market is not always the right goal for every investor; your portfolio allocation to stocks and bonds affects your performance; avoid the temptation to chase market returns and stick to your plan. Parsing the bad advice: How much do you need to retire (the 'What's your number' game). The biggest chunk of wealth comes from how much you can save. Could we have a 60% correction? Not likely, but we'll see it coming. SEG-1: Earnings Season Continues & Fed Meeting Today SEG-2: The Correct Response to Correction SEG-3: Market Comparisons Hinder Portfolio Performance SEG-4: Parsing the Bad Advice: What's Your Number? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: Bullish Years Often Have Corrections https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Was the Rally For Real?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUMHfGa5BLg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Does the Fear and Greed Index Mean for Investors? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sx2iFNOqqig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1490s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioValue #MarketComparison #AssetAllocation #Stocks #Bonds #MarketPerformance #BeatingTheMarket #MediaInfluence #UnrealisticExpectations #InvestmentStrategy #PersonalFinance #FinancialAdvice #InvestorBehavior #EmotionalInvesting #LongTermPerspective #Diversification #RiskManagement #FinancialGoals #WealthBuilding #FinancialMedia #Markets #Money #Investing"
Following the 3% correction in the S&P, markets are oversold on multiple levels. Markets are holding at the 50-DMA and will try to rally up to the 20-DMA today. If the Fed comes out with dovish commentary tomorrow, markets could rally for another couple of days. The story lately has been how small caps have been out-performing large caps, but that wasn't the case on Monday: Large caps were up, small caps were down. Much of this has to do with the Yen carry trade, a currency that has been declining. We'll now see whether small caps can continue to rally, or this was just a flash-in-the-pan. Emerging markets continue to languish, and International's are not much better, continuing to lag other markets. Gold has similarly been stuck in a range, going neither up or down. Brent Crude is on a sell signal, retesting lows as the Israeli War has put pressure on prices. Back to school and a Trump election win could spark a rally in Oil. For now, focus on where earnings and fundamentals are. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUMHfGa5BLg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap # #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #YenCarryTrade #BrentCrude #Gold #Fundamentals #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets prepare to wrap July; what will the Fed do this week? McDonald's Quarterly Report showing consumer pullback. Article tease on trying MMT and the Sam Altman experiment. Market correction last week followed by rally bounce; sell-signals are still in place, indicating the correction isn't over. Commentary on Olympic Sacrilege and electric karma; will there be a deeper correction? Lance explains the shifts in investor sentiment from fear to greed using a unique Fear Greed Index based on allocations. How do these changes impact market behavior and current trends? The basis of our weekly Fear Greed Index and how it differs from the CNN Fear Greed Index; historical investor allocations and their implications; current high allocation levels and market implications; the overall positive outlook in investor sentiment. UBI argument rebuttal and commentary on taxation; the impact of negative revisions to earnings; YouTube behavior & market preview: Expectations for no July rate cut...but it could happen. What employment numbers are telling us. SEG-1: Wrapping July: What Will the Fed Do This Week? SEG-2: Understanding the Fear and Greed Index: What Does It Mean for Investors? SEG-3A: UBI Rebuttal & Taxation Theory SEG-3B: The Impact of Negative Revisions to Earnings Estimates SEG-4: Market Expectations for No Rate Cut in July Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sx2iFNOqqig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1490s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr61HU_sQ6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Tap Your Home Equity for Retirement Income?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOut1Zp-y0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FearGreedIndex #InvestorSentiment #Allocations #CNNversion #SP500 #Newsletter #BullishSide #LowAllocations #HighAllocations #InvestingTrends #MarketSentiment #OctoberAllocations #WeeklyIndicator #InvestorBehavior #UniversalBasicIncome #UBI #EarningsSeason #NegativeRevisions #FederalReserve #RateCutExpectations #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets corrected last week and tested the 50-DMA, and on Friday bounced with a decent rally above that point. But, a violation of the moving average on one day means nothing. Note, however as we move into August, which is not a great month, but it's not terrible; the sell-signal is still firmly in place, so it's unlikely that the current correction is over. In fact, we could be in this correctional propcess for a month or two, heading into the election. At this point take care to use rallies to sell into; don't try to buy the dip. It's way too early for that. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr61HU_sQ6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel#SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap #BondYield #ProfitTaking #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Rich & Danny recap Danny's recent accident; Rich's market summary includes a preview of today's PCE release. Markets are awaiting confirmation of a trend. Dealing with the election fallout on your money; markets have already priced-in everything you know. PCE will move markets today; there is still $500-billion in unspent government funds from the Inflation Reduction Act. Dealing with data breaches. Retirees' biggest worry is about income: What is the biggest source of income for most Americans? Their house & home equity...and SS, a forced pension. Benefits of a HELOC--get one early, and don't touch it. The best use of "buffer assets." Thinking of HELOC's and reverse mortgages as "unfreezing" liquidity in the frozen asset of your home. Retiremnent is about depleting assets; you're no longer in savings mode. Strategies for placing a HELOC, and coordinating with other retirement strategies. Commentary on Dave Ramey's Financial Peace University--it's not just for poor folk. SEG-1: Market Summary: Waiting for Confirmation of a Trend SEG-2: Election Fall-ou for Your Money; PCE Preview SEG-3: Reverse Mortgage LOC: Get It but Don't Touch It SEG-4: Retirement IS About Depleting Assets Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOut1Zp-y0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Interest Rates Are Too High – Blame The Mythical R Star" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-high-blame-the-mythical-r-star/ "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Correction Reach 5%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jhduZnaAuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Your Confidence Can Boost or Break the Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpMR4QMJitc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HomeEquity #ReverseMortgage #BufferAssets #PCE #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #FinancialSituation #MarketImpact #Economy #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerSentiment #InvestorSentiment #PortfolioPerformance, #EconomicBehavior #FinancialMarkets #SpendingHabits #MarketDecline #Financial Health #EconomicSentiment #FinancialDecisions #InvestmentConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #MarketSentiment #EconomicImpact #SpendingPatterns #FinancialImpact #Markets #Money #Investing
The S&P Global Services Index is "great," in contradiction to other eocnomic metrics; the first estimate of Q2 GDP is released today (up 2.8%); this will be revised. Important to note the behavior of GDP prior to past recessions, which are always back-dated. 350-days without a 2% correction, until Wednesday. Bill Dudley is calling for lower interest rates now; Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain the crucial link between consumer confidence and economic performance. Learn how sentiment drives markets and impacts your personal finances: The relationship between financial confidence and spending habits; the effects of market decline on consumer behavior; how sentiment influences economic performance; the role of confidence in personal financial decisions; why sentiment is a key factor in market dynamics. High School photos, Peter Frampton, and mullets; market commentary on watermarking portfolios; to Michael, the market feels like it's "blowing up:" someone is being forced to liquidate positions. SEG-1: 350-days Without Correction...until SEG-2: Confidence is Key for a Thriving Economy SEG-3: Markets Can Stay Irrational Longer Than You Can Stay Solvent SEG-4: The Error in Watermarking Portfolios Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpMR4QMJitc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Interest Rates Are Too High – Blame The Mythical R Star" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-high-blame-the-mythical-r-star/ "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Correction Reach 5%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jhduZnaAuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Invest - or not - in a Presidential Election" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLclO1Y9stI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Confidence #FinancialSituation #MarketImpact #Economy #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerSentiment #InvestorSentiment #PortfolioPerformance, #EconomicBehavior #FinancialMarkets #SpendingHabits #MarketDecline #Financial Health #EconomicSentiment #FinancialDecisions #InvestmentConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #MarketSentiment #EconomicImpact #SpendingPatterns #FinancialImpact #Markets #Money #Investing
We've gone about 350-days since the last 2% correction...until yesterday. Markets fell 2.3% Wednesday, breaking through the 20-DMA to test the 50-DMA. The current sell signal is putting pressure on the market. We've been saying for some time that we're due for a 5% correction; we are now in that process...whether it continues remains to be seen. Market is now sitting on the 50-DMA; if it goes up, it will retest new highs, and this correction will be over. If the market breaks lower, the next level of support is the 100-DMA. This is all a repeat of the action we saw back in April, but we're now in that time of the year in which the correction process is usually in place. We also look at emerging markets, international markets, and the Russell 2000. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jhduZnaAuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel#SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap #BondYield #ProfitTaking #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts provides a preview of Q2 GDP results, Temp hiring is tapering, and rising credit card delinquencies (because of unemployment) suggesting economic stress. A three year experiment in Universal Basic Income is an epic failure. Google earnings beat estimates, but YouTube's $1B revenue disappoints(!); Tesla puls back 7% on earnings results. Correction is near, but not today. Danny's accident and Life Challenges as investing lessons: Life is cyclical; theimportance of optimism & risk management. Investing in an election cycle: Trump policies & record vs unknowns about Kamala. Markets will quickly adapt to election outcomes and money will flow into apparent areas of beneficial trades. What happens in House and Senate is also key: Markets love gridlock. Tariff talk. Why you don't want to be in Small- and Mid-caps in Recession. Transitioning from saving to spending in retirement: What's your plan? What are your goals? Planning for the eventuality of higher taxes. Having a strategy for spending your retirement nest egg. SEG-1: Universal Basic Income Fail & Markets Flirt w Support SEG-2: How to Invest During Election Cycles SEG-3A: Why You Don't Want to Be in Small- or Mid-caps During Recession SEG-3B: Transitioning from Accumulation to Spending in Retirement SEG-4: Having a Plan for Spending Your Retirement Nest Egg Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLclO1Y9stI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-24-24 Markets Are Flirting with Support" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pi6OS2UxDu4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Bull market Just Getting Started?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eQG_R6DJWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #2024Election #ElectionCycle #UniversalBasicIncome #Google #Tesla #Q2GDP #Unemployment #CreditCardDelinquencies #SmallCap #MidCap #Recession #Retirement #RetirementNestEgg #RetirementPlanning #RetirementSpending #Markets #Money #Investing
Google earnings beat across the board, with one exception: YouTube revenue was less than expected, even though it was up $1B year over year...creating some weakness for the stock this morning. Tesla also missed expectations, and will be down about 7% this morning. The market had broken the 20-DMA, corrected and then moved up to hold Tuesday: Markets are flirting with support. If we take out the 20-DMA, the 50-DMA becomes the next, logical level of support, at around 5,430 on the S&P. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pi6OS2UxDu4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #20DMA #50DMA #Retest #SupportLevel#SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap #BondYield #ProfitTaking #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Measures of inflation are beginning to come down: Shelter costs are expected to decline over the next six-months; jobless claims and consumer delinquencies are on the rise. Markets rally after a three-day correction, retesting the 20-DMA, and back up again, thanks to mega-caps. The current Sell-signal may limit upside. Is the bull market just getting started? Lance explains w charts & graphs. Understanding the importance of safety when investing in corporate bonds. Choose wisely to avoid defaults. The types of corporate bonds considered to be "money good;" the importance of a company's cash balance for interest payment; portfolio disclosure on owning corporate bonds. What's the criteria for avoiding "zombie" companies. The need for a catalytic event to impact bond investments. Lance and Jonathan examine the relationship between inflation, interest rates, and bond prices: The effect of decreasing inflation on loan demand; how slower economic activity impacts interest rates; the correlation between inflation and interest rates; explanation of longer duration bonds; the inverse relationship between bond yields and prices SEG-1: Inflation Measures Coming Down; Markets Correct SEG-2: Is the Bull Market Just Getting Started? SEG-3: How to Invest in High Safety Corporate Bonds SEG-4: How Inflation Impacts Demand for Loans and Interest Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eQG_R6DJWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Successfully Retest the 20-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdPxfq2puVs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Analyzing the Potential Impact of a Kamala Harris Presidency " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD5zUs1trJk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2619s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateBonds #Investment #HighSafety #CatalyticEvent #Portfolio #MoneyGoodCompanies #CashBalanceSheet #InterestPayments #BondOwnership #ZombieCompanies #FinancialStrategy #CorporateBondSelection #RiskManagement #BondMarketInsights #InvestorConsiderations #Disclosure #CorporateFinance #FinancialHealth #InterestCoverage #BondSelectionCriteria #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets last week were very deviated above the 20-DMA, and in need of correction. Well, that snuck up on us all at once with three days of a sharp sell-off taking us below that 20-DMA. Normally, such action is a signal for corrective process...unless markets can get back above the 20-DMA. Which they did. Monday's rally in the S&P was strong enough to lift above the 20-DMA, thanks to trade rotating back towards Mega-caps. So really, all we have had is a retest of the 20-DMA, which keeps us in a bullish trend. The sell-signal that's in place may limit upside temporarily. Markets will operate as a surge of sellers meet buyers at the price. Markets now seem to be rotating back to mega-caps, which is where earnings growth is going to come from. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdPxfq2puVs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #20-DMA #Retest #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap #BondYield #ProfitTaking #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #SellSignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance discusses the markets' potential reaction to Biden's exit from Presidential race, and whether markets' rotation out of mega-cap stocks is sustainable; a rewind to February market conditions compared to now: A correction is expected before the election. Commentary on keeping market corrections into context; the mega-cap rotation and fewer medium- and small-cap companies from which to choose: 40% of these are unprofitable companies. As companies complete their quarterly reports, buy back will again be enabled, and that activity will add to market volume. Lance explores the potential impact of a Kamala Harris presidency. What sectors could benefit from her leadership and policies? An overview of Harris’s potential presidency and expected policy focus areas; implications for clean energy, Student loan forgiveness initiatives, and the broader Democratic policy continuations Regional Banks are reporting this week, encumbered by collateral and commercial real estate. Company stock buy back will resume following quarterly reports. Market expectations are for three rate cuts this year; the Fed now hints at only two. Lance discusses the importance of Credit Spreads as early indicators for credit market health. VIX Behavior. SEG-1: Markets' Response to Biden Withdrawal SEG-2: Putting Market Corrections into Context SEG-3: Market Impact of Buy Back Resumption; SEG-4: Earnings Preview; Credit Spreads as Risk Barometer Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD5zUs1trJk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2619s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZC2yyhOkxw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Has the Economy Put Your Retirement Plans on Hold?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48O-tkQ685Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2145s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #KamalaHarris #Presidency #2024Election #CleanEnergy #StudentLoanForgiveness #SocialisticPolicies, #Democrats #MarketFutures #MarketSectors #PublicPolicies #BidenAdministration #Politicalanalysis #Government #Economy #SocialIssues #RenewableEnergy #EducationReform #PoliticalFuture #AdministrationFocus #DemocraticParty #PolicyImpact #PoliticalLeadership #USpolitics #Markets #Money #Investing
Back in February/March, we noted how markets were over-extended, overbought, and stretched, anticipating a 5% - 10% correction. The correction hit in April. The first sign of that activity was a break in the 20-DMA. More recently, markets have been grinding higher along the 20-DMA, as before. The average broke on Friday for the first time since April. Markets could rally today and get right back above the 20-DMA...but if we do get into a position in which the market spends a little time below the 20-DMA, there remains risk that markets could drop lower. This means that we could have a decent correction going into the election. This is the first real sign of weakness in the markets, with profit taking and repositioning; the rotation out of mega-caps is also a part of this theme. Markets could go either way. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZC2yyhOkxw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap #BondYield #ProfitTaking #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Richard Rosso opines on Houston driver, CrowdStrike IT fail, and why he's changed his tune in thinking now might be a good time for the Fed to slip in a rate cut. Does the Fed have performance anxiety? Take care in benchmarking risk; market pullbacks are like a "Thanksgiving Oven," keeping things warm to use later. Study shows Gen-X'ers more likely to delay retirement because of economic anxiety. The importance of self-value in post-retirement; the retirement clock. YouTube query: How do we look at inflation and budget as planners? Managing inflation by by adjusting the inputs: "When life gets in the way, your financial plan needs to be able to pick up the pieces." Dealing with less relilance on companies, more upon our own self-reliances (thanks, Emerson!) Studying inflation as "permatory" vs transitory, and how to best calculate your withdrawal rate. When volatility can be your friend; the importance of guaranteed income in retirement...and planning. The importance of having reserves. Why is Congress making it easier to tap retirement funds (leakage)? SEG-1: Market Preview & CrowdStrike IT Fail SEG-2: Economic Anxiety & Gen-X Retirement Plans SEG-3: How We Look at Inflation as Financial Players SEG-4: The Importance of Guaranteed Income and Financial Planning Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48O-tkQ685Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2145s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Astronomical Rotation from Large to Small Cap" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yFSeF0LxIk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Irrational Exuberance Then & Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUbIu4YZlO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RetirementDelay #EconomicConcerns #EconomicWeakness #EconomicAnxiety #CrowdStrikeOutage #SelfReliance #Emerson #FederalReserve #CenterpointEnergy #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
ey, kids--what day is it? Lance reorients himself and shares foreigners' perspectives of the U.S. Advice: Avoid the negativity and don't feed the fear. Looking at astronomical rotation from Large- to Small-cap stocks over the past five days: Russell 2000 is elevated by 4.4 standard deviations from its moving average. Markets needed a healthty rotation, and this is actually bullish in creating more breadth in markets. Bad Coffee & YouTube audio; What are the odds for a Fed rate cut in September? Michael Lebowitz joins the conversation: Is inflation "back in the range?" Markets are giving the Fed a green light to cut rates. Are we back to a pre-Covid economy with 5% rates? It's important to separate our personal views from what the markets pay attention to (Government numbers). Is sentiment shifting? Markets are very reflexive. Is the Small-cap chase sustainable? Markets are not responding to Trump/Vance: it's about excess liquidity looking for someplace to go. Michael review's Alan Greenspan's "Irrational Exuberance" thesis then vs now. The internet DID change the world and affected economic growth. What will AI outcomes be? Lance intones the importance of credit spreads as leading indicators; their pick up is worth paying attention to. SEG-1: Others' Perspectives of the US, Markets' Perspective of Astronomical Rotation? SEG-2: Are We Back to a Pre-COVID Economy? SEG-3: Is the Small-cap Chase Sustainable? SEG-4: Are Markets Re-experiencing Irrational Exuberance? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUbIu4YZlO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Astronomical Rotation from Large to Small Cap" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yFSeF0LxIk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Avoiding the Sexy Stock Plays" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBh7AGlIQsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AlanGreenspan #IrrationaExuberance #MarketRotation #AI #CreditSpreads #PortfolioBalance #SexyStocks #MagnificentSeven #2024Election #MonetaryPolicy #JeromePowell #JamieDimon #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
The rotation from large-cap to small-caps continue for the largest such moves we've ever seen. The Russell 2000 is now over four standard deviations from its moving average. "Astronomical" comes to mind...and headlines are screaming, "is this the end of the great AI chase?" The reality is that we've simply had a rotation in the market, and a bit of perspective is needed here. The sell-off is barely a blip on market charts. Markets needed a healthy rotation, and the result has been actually bullish by allowing markets to broaden, providing fuel for markets to rise even higher. Even if the tech advance now slows, the rest of the market can continue to lift the S&P because other sectors of the market are now engaged. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yFSeF0LxIk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap #BondYield #ProfitTaking #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
ay-3 of the RNC convention: Markets are already beginning to shift in anticipation of a presumed presidency and policies, with an eye on taxation and monetary policy. Donald Trump has said he will allow Jerome Powell to finish his term as Fed Chair, with Jamnie Dimon as Treasury Secretary. Meanwhile, we're watching major moves in the Russell 2000 with rotational trades in anticipation of election outcome. Will there be an October Surprise? Market Futures are sharply down ahead of this morning's open. Lance's Air BNB, mew house, and Hurricane aftermath. Avoiding the sexy trades, the Mag-7 effect, and concentrated portfolio risks. What does the Buffett Indicator tell us (a horrible, short-term indicator)? The value in maintaining balance with "boring" stocks. Cathie Woods' tweet on tax losses as assets; Retail Sales analysis & raw NSA numbers are weaker than expressed; watch for downward revisions. 40% of Russell 2000 are unprofitable companies, heavily indebted, and unable to generate stock buy backs. What to do when a company stock falls out of favor: avoiding psychological traps. Remembering dividend performance; how to tell if a company is strong. SEG-1: Markets Prepare for Presumed Presidency SEG-2: Effects of Mega-Caps & Avoiding sexy trades SEG-3A: Cathie Woods' Tax Losses & Assets SEG-3B: Retail Sales & RAW NSA Numbers SEG-4: What to Do When Stocks Fall Out of Favor Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBh7AGlIQsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Rotation Continues " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6m1gmdLmwuU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Relationship Between Fed Rate Cuts and Treasury Yields Explained" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bnFVM2_njAE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioBalance #SexyStocks #MagnificentSeven #2024Election #MonetaryPolicy #JeromePowell #JamieDimon #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Futures are pointing sharply downward this morning: After grinding ever higher for the past few days, it's inevitable to have a correction at some point. Not saying that's happening today, necessarily, but...markets are highly deviated and overbought. We need a pullback. S&P 5,510 is a potential test of the 20-DMA, so a day or two of correction is not outside the realm of possibility. The Russell Small-cap will likely continue to get some rotation into it. Even though the S&P has been grinding higher, it has been underperforming relative to small-caps. We've also seen a sharp decline in yields over the past couple of days, which is establishing a trend lower in yields. Remember, yields are the inverse of price; if yields are going down, bond prices are going up, and this is all occurring in advance of an expected Fed rate cut in September. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6m1gmdLmwuU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SectorRotation #MegaCap #RussellSmallCap #BondYield #ProfitTaking #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts begins with an earnings and economic reports preview; there is now a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates sooner than later, and odds-makers now expecte three rate cuts. Small- and Mid-cap stocks are now three standard deviations above their averages; might be time to take profits. Lance explains the correlation between Fed funds rate adjustments and bond performance, the relationship between Fed rate cuts and bond performance; analysis of the ten-year treasury versus the Fed funds rate; high correlation between Fed fund cuts and falling ten-year treasury yields; expected trends when the Fed starts cutting rates; implications for investors during a rate cutting environment. More economic previews; Lance and Jon discuss advisor fees and what you're getting (no not). SEG-1: Earnings & Retail Sales Preview: Time to Take Profits? SEG-2: Chances for a Rate Cut? SEG-3: Invesetor Mistakes: There Are No Permanent Assets SEG-4: The Question of Fees & What You're Getting - or not Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bnFVM2_njAE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Take Profits?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sM-c7jumqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Small- and Mid-cap stocks have been in the news, outperforming the large caps over the past few days by a few large degree. There's a nice buy-signal on mid-caps, which are extremely overbought by three standard-deviations above the moving average. This generally doesn't last for long. Recall how we've discussed the performance of large-caps of late; mid-caps and small-caps have not had the same breakout yet. The question now is, is this the rotation from large-caps into small- and mid-cap stocks? Why should you be concerned? 40% of these small- or mid-cap companies are now unprofitable; they don't earn money. And, they're very dependent upon debt. The problem will come up when the time comes to refinance that debt, which they may not be able to do. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sM-c7jumqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ProfitTaking #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #2024Election #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
That was the week that was: Hurricane Beryl, celebrity deaths, Trump assassination attempt, & Lance's Vacation. PPI show inflation trending downward, setting up for a Fed rate cut: July or September? Investor sentiment remains positive as markets continue to grind higher; investor eschew put-options, which are very cheap now...just like this time, last year. Bears are like a ‘broken clock,’ they are right twice a day.” While that may seem true during a rising bull market, the reality is that both “bulls” and “bears” are owned by the “broken clock syndrome.” The statement exposes the ignorance or bias of those making such a claim. If you invert the logic, such things become more evident. “If ‘bears’ are right twice a day, then ‘bulls’ must be wrong twice a day.” In the investing game, the timing of being “wrong” is critical to your long-term goals. Want to maximize your cash by timing market moves? Lance Roberts shares key insights on portfolio management tactics in this video. Strategies for buying shares at better prices; Understanding the importance of portfolio management; The challenge of knowing when to exit the market; Difficulties in identifying the right time to buy the dip; Realistic expectations for market timing. SEG-1: Markets Continue to Grind Higher SEG-2: The Broken Clock Syndrome SEG-3: How to Be an Eagle in the Market SEG-4: Markets' Anticipated Response to Trump Shooting Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back on a Buy Signal" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQYxWAxGEKI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "WHy Berkshire Hathaway's 100-Year Strategy Won't Work for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HurricaneBeryl #DonaldTrump #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are back on a buy-signal, but still over-bought. This is something we saw this time last year, with markets moving higher, everything just fine...but eventually, markets corrected. What happens when there are no more buyers? Sellers must liquidate at a much lower price, and markets go through a correctional phase at that point. The only question is, when? A correction IS coming, before the election, most likely. That challenge is in correctly managing the timing of these corrections within your portfolio. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQYxWAxGEKI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OverboughtMarkets #BuySignal #MarketBullishness #MarketCorrection #2024Election #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The saga of the Roberts' Rental house concludes, at the cost of a coffee maker and other electrical appliances. How much will it cost to feed your hoard on July 4th? Market Commentary: light volume expected for the remainder of the holiday-shortened week. Adam Taggart, Jon Huntsman analysis: Symptoms vs reality. The importance of doing your own due diligence and sticking to an investing discipline. Lance and Danny discuss concentration risk and the Enron debacle; Fintech's false promises to investors. Why individuals cannot invest like Warren Buffett & Berkshire Hathaway: Buffett's investment horizon is 100-years. SEG-1: Feeding on the Fourth for $71 - Market Commentary SEG-2: The Hunt Brothers' Silver Saga & Copper Commodities Today SEG-3: The Importance of Investing Discipline SEG-4: Investing Like Warren Buffett? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Earnings Bar Lowered As Q2 Reports Begin" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-bar-lowered-as-q2-reports-begin/ "The Confidence Dichotomy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Movers Before the 4th" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4lTPrUdWRY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Beat Earnings Estimates" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bG6OzGjibtM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway #!00YearStrategy #Investment #HoldingPeriod #LongTermPlanning #Legacy #FinancialStrategy #HewlettPackard #Longevity #BusinessPhilosophy #Visionary #SustainableGrowth #CorporateContinuity #FutureProofing #DurableInvestments #AssetManagement #CompanyLifespan #WealthPreservation #EarningsGrowth #FinancialCrisis #LoweredEarningsBar #CompanyPerformance #Expectations #StrongEarnings #QuarterResults #FinancialAnalysis #EarningsEstimates #Inflation #Deflation #FinancialAdvice #FinancialAdvisorValue #PortfolioManager #RentalProperty #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing
Everything is tenuous in a holiday-shortened week (markets are closed July 4th, and open only a half day on the 5th). While the S&P DID hit a new, all-time high of 5,500 on Tuesday, you can't really tell. Marginal highs are no big deal while markets remain entrenched in a consolidation range. Markets may be up a little today, but it will be on light volume because evenyone's gone for the holiday. We expect markets to continue in this slightly-sideways, higher trend for the time being; there's really not much to cause a sharp move one way or the other. Yet. It could happen, with the Employment and CPI reports coming up soon, and earnings season commences in earnest next week. (A really weak employment report isn't great for those losing their jobs, but the markets will love it, as it could precede a Fed rate cut). Similarly, a weak CPI report would suggest the Fed would cut rates sooner than later. Note, the markets' trajectory now is identical to this time last year; review what happened last October: the potential for a 5 to 10% correction is still in the cards. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4lTPrUdWRY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EmploymentReport #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #SlowingEconomicGrowth #Wages #Inflation #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Wrapping up the month of June, and the start of a new Quarter in July: Expect market volatility. Micron's miss will weigh on tech sector. Analysts' estimates have dropped by $5/share for Q3, lowering the bar in anticipation of next reporting season. Final Q1 GDP revision due today. Moving closer to July Fed meeting and possible rate cuts? Jobless claims are climbing. Options markets begin to bet on Presidential election outcome. Why is Wall Street selling off Nvidia now? Debate preview & potential drinking games thereof; July Fed meeting preview; it's a boring Fed for now. Banks passing their strees tests (is this a joke?) There is greater stress on collateral due to higher interest rates. What are the implications of dirt cheap sales of commercial real estate, backed by banks? Distressed debt. What's wrong in Japan, selling $63-B in bonds over 9-months is meaningless. Two options: Keep a lid on interest rates, or keep the Yen from falling. Central Banks & Gov'ts wrk together. Why it's in everyone's best interest to keep the US Dollar as liquid as possible. Dedollarization & Petrodollar nonsense, concern for higher rates, and the long view is for lower eates. Lance & Michael discuss the potential impact of AI, and the market's current downtrend and its potential to escalate into a larger financial concern. He highlights the importance of monitoring market signals and the role of the Federal Reserve: Impact of market deterioration and rising volatility; Significance of increasing shorts in the market; Potential for a snowball effect in market trends; Critical importance of the Federal Reserve's actions; the Implications of a possible rate cut by the Fed in July. SEG-1: Why is Wall Street Selling Off Nvidia? SEG-2: Banks Pass Stress Tests & Real Estate Deals Done Dirt Cheap SEG-3: What's the Worry About Japanese Bond Sales? SEG-4: The Impact of AI & Behind the Scenes ina Bullish Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=syNCKJpl16Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Economists And Citizens Have Different Inflation Realities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-economists-and-citizens-have-different-inflation-realities/ "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Is Wall Street Selling off Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Irony in Consumer Confidence" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketDowntrend #MarketVolatility #InvestorComplacency #Shorts #SnowballEffect #Fed #InterestRates #CutRates #FederalReserve #MarketDeterioration #FinancialTrends #Investing #Economics #Potential #Increase #Stocks #MarketSignals #FinancialStability...
Tonight's "great debate" doesn't mean much from a market perspective. However, with three months to go before the Presidential election, options markets have begun (already!) pricing-out the outcomes. Yes, Virginia, Wall Street bets on the election...just like they bet on everything else! Markets are fairly elevated, deviated way above long-term trends. There is nothing to suggest a bigger correction is in the offing...but, behind the scenes we see the correction in XLK, primarily due to the selloff in Nvidia. The trend for technologies may be fine for now, but hedge funds and Wall Street have been selling technology shares at a record clip. Money inflows have been chasing Nvidia by investors thinking it's going to go to the moon; it's not. There will eventually be a very significant reversal in Nvidia at some point. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #TechnologyShares ##XLK #OverBoughtMarkets #MarketCorrection #InvestorPatience #PortfolioRisk #RiskManagement #StockSplit #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Pre-debate, Consumer Confidence, and a rally for Nvidia: earnings preview & market commentary: How long can markets remain over-bought? Investors' common mistakes: Acting too soon, and over-reacting. Markets can remain over-bought for a long time; a function of market momentum. Consumer confidence has been trending lower; the dichotomy of consumer expectations vs market performance. Vacation Theory & Consumer Confidence: what policies were in place? CNBC Economists: 2nd Trump term would re-heat inflation? Why tariff;s lead to inflation (and how consumers get aroun them.) 44% of inflation is in housing; don't mix politics w investing. Market behavior under Republican vs Democrat majority. Nvidia dominates AI-chip market (for now); what happens when competition comes into the market. Computers w lab-grown "organoid" brains. SEG-1: How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought? SEG-2: The Irony in Consumer Confidence SEG-3: Don't Mix Politics w Investing SEG-4: Who'll Compete w Nvidia? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is S&P 6,300 Outside the Realm of Possibility?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investors #Households #FullyInvested #Buying #Corporations #SamStovall #SP500 #MarketInvestment #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentTrends #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerIrony #Nvidia #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Organoids #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are over-bought and can stay that way for a long time. Being over-bought is a function of momentum. A lot of market momentum will drive asset prices higher. This does NOT mean you won't see small corrections back to a support line...which tend to be buying opportunities instead of selling opportunities. Look at market behavior from November '23 thru march of this year: Markets remained over-bought until, finally, we got a 5% correction. Just because markets are over-bought does not mean they're not going to go up. This is why it's important to remain patient and not over react. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OverBoughtMarkets #MarketCorrection #InvestorPatience #Nvidia #PortfolioRisk #RiskManagement #StockSplit #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Fed speakers are out this week, talking the same game. Lance examines corellation between the Chicago Fed National Activity Index and economic growth, and what posts to X (formerly known as Twitter) are to be called. Who does the Fed depend upon for data? There are many divergences in the data; Nvidia's bad day(s): Stock split and 13% drop is a correction, not a crash. Doing the math to S&P 6,300 and looking at the range of possibilities. We address the common investor's desire for a perfect low-risk, high-reward investment. Lance & Jon discuss the unrealistic expectations and the growing demand for such ideal investments in today's market and economy: The search for a magic pill investment; expectations versus reality in market investments; economic uncertainty driving demand for low-risk options; the illusion of high upside with minimal downside; practical advice for cautious investors. Know what you own; best college degrees for money managers? SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy" SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets Diverge SEG-3: The Search for Elusive, Perfect, Low-Risk Investments SEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is Derived Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What to do with Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Avoid These Common Trading Mistakes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investors #PerfectInvestment #LowRisk #MarketUpside #MinimalDownside #MagicPill #Economy #MarketConcerns #Demand #RiskManagement #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicUncertainty #StockMarket #FinancialSecurity #InvestmentDemand #MarketRisk #EconomicTrends #FinancialPlanning #InvestmentChallenges #DownsideProtection #SafeInvestments #MarketFluctuations #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #SafetyNets #Markets #Money #Investing
Did the darling of Wall Street take a drubbing? Nvidia headlines were rampant following its huge run and a 10:1 stock split. Now the stock has dropped 13% in three days. Don't panic. When Nvidia was trading at $1,000/share, and small ($50k) investors wanted to make it 1% of their portfolio, they could only buy one share. (In a $50k account, that's a 2% position.) There was no "reduction" in the position with those numbers; the only choice was to sell the share. That's the problem with small accounts and big dollar stocks, which makes risk management an all-or-nothing proposition. Heading into the end of the quarter, many fund managers have found themselves overweight with Nvidia stock, so they're selling off to take profits and rebalance portfolios. This should come as no surprise, so now, a correction to $100/share should be expected. That's a correction, not a crash. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #PortfolioRisk #RiskManagement #StockSplit #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Market volatility closed out last week, as investors prepare to wrap June and Q2 business. Triple-witching Friday added to the excitement, and markets remain extremely over bought. The Conference Board's Leading Indicator Index has been negatice for 27-mos in a row; always a precessor of Recession. Lance discusses investors' two common mistakes when markets negatively diverge (w charts). A look at Market Cap Weighting vs Equal Weighting in porfolios; is it time for a clean-up? The problem with Economic Data and how it's derived: Sentiment surveys are not hard data points. Separate emotion from investing; measuring and managing risk. Lance's commentary on the week ahead. SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy" SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets Diverge SEG-3: Market Cap Weighting vs Equal Weighting SEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is Derived Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlAv5bqFHWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Over-bought" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_N5nG1kXUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Tax Policy Shrink the Economy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TradingTips #CommonMistakes #Overreacting #ActingTooEarly #RSP #SPY #NegativeBreath #InvestingStrategies #MarketAnalysis #TradingPsychology #InvestmentMistakes #CarefulTrading #FinancialAdvice #Reversion #BuyingAndSelling #MarketBehavior #EmotionalTrading #CautiousInvesting #PortfolioManagement #TradingDecisions #MarketTrends #StockMarketTips #TradingStrategy #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets got extremely over-bought last week, and on Thursday and Friday began to burn off some of the excess. Much of the activity was due to options expirations on Friday. Technology has been driving the S&P, of late. Nvidia was everyone's concern over the weekend after a decent, 3% dell off. Markets are over-bought, and we're due for a correction, or at least some consolidation to bring the moving average up to markets, or prices must correct back to the moving averages. Investor sentiment is high, which is typically the time to be a bit more risk averse. Goldman thinks the S&P will hit 6,300 by the end of the year; meanwhile, markets are at 5,400. It's not impossible, but... Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_N5nG1kXUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are performing the job of the Fed; is the economy stronger? Rich & Jon look at the "Olive Garden economic indicator: Who's dining out, and who is staying in? How to unravel high restaurant prices 9and everything else, too!) Baby Boomers are still spending. Candid Coffee preview (egistration link below); Investor complacency is troubling. The Genworth settlement = 100% increase in premiums. Financial Dust Bunnies. Nvidia performance cannot continue indefinitely; the data the markets are ignoring. Social Security COLA adjustments to reverse; unrest is whoing up in election results; we are in the Fourth Turning; keep a global perspective. Both political parties are way off on tax policy; the truth about small business margins: They're razor-thin. Tariffs instead of taxes will not work; taxes generate more revenue than tariffs. Planning for higher taxes with Roth options. We don't have a tax revenue problem; we have a congresional spending problem. Why the Roth is never going away. What happens when current tax rates expsire; the Roth is NOT an emergency savings account. SEG-1: Gauging the Economy w the Olive Garden Indicator SEG-2: Investor Complacency & Date the Markets are Ignoring SEG-3: How Tax Policy Could Shrink the Economy SEG-4: Why the Roth is Here to Stay Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Debunking Dollarization: Why the Dollar Is Stronger Than Ever" https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1138s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxPolicy #DonaldTrump #JoeBiden #MarketCycles #FedRateCuts #EconomicTrends #InvestmentStrategies #MarketPerformance #FinancialPlanning #MarketAnticipation #EconomicCycles #FinancialAdvice #FederalReserve #RateCutsImpact #MarketTiming #LongTermInvesting #EconomicForecast #FinancialMarkets #StockMarketBehavior #MarketAnalysis #FinancialPredictions #EconomicOutlook #MarketDownturn #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialCycles #Markets #Money #Investing
Will markets exhibit the typical summer weakness? Prepping for the election outcomes; correction coming now and later. Preview of housing numbers and initial jobless claims; market breadth is on the decline. The increasing gap between the S&P 500 and equal-weighted indexes. Lance discusses the relative strength of the Dollar vs other currencies. Petro-dollar fears and how you're being sold by Wall Street. Our narrative should be how to make money. The "demise" of the petro-dollar; keeping currencies all relative within a range is important for Trade. The Gold/Dollar dynamic; why the world transacts business in dollars: The need for a deep and stable currency...and safety. The importance of Rule of Law: How policy choices can errode trust in the dollar. The divergence between energy stocks and the underlying commodities; the cycle of commodity prices; a recession will cause the next price crash. Seasonality in the month of June; wrapping the Quarter + buy back blackout = market headwinds. Rebalancing is coming. The Ozympic conundrum. SEG-1: Summer Weakness for Markets? SEG-2: The Petro Dollar SEG-3: The Divergence Between Energy Stocks & Commodities SEG-4: Seasonality in the Month of June; Weight-loss Drugs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1138s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Sales Disappoint" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uo6SSkYzr8I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Dollar #Dollarization #Dedollarization #Misconception #Currency #StrongerDollar #CurrencyComparison #FinancialAnalysis #Economy #ExchangeRates #WeakeningDollar #GlobalCurrency #FinancialArticles #CurrencyTrends #PetroDollar #EnergyStocks #Commodities #Divergence #MarketSeasonality #Markets #Money #Investing
National housing numbers and home builders' sentiment have been dropping of late, particularly in new home sales, which have been very weak. Initial Jobless Claims are expected to continue to click up. Rising unemployment could entice the Fed to cut rates sooner. One of the dichotomies we've been watching is market breadth, with the number of stock trading above their 50-DMA declining despite the markets' rise; the number of stocks climbing above their 200-DMA is declining, even though the market is rising. One of the biggest gaps, which hasn't been seen since the financial crisis, is the differential between the S&P 500 and the Equal-weighted Index. RSP, the ETF for the Equal-weighted Index, is pretty stark. While the S&P has been setting repeated, all-time highs, the RSP has really gone nowhere since about April. The rally since then has been conducted by just a handful of tech stocks. This level of under-performance in the equal-weighted index goes back to October of 2022, and the gap now is by about 50%. It's all about the differential in weightings in the indexes. This can not last indefinitely, and eventually this performance will reverse. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HousingMarket #Unemployment #JoblessClaims #FederalReserve #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #RSP #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are trading in a holiday-shortened week, thanks to the Juneteenth Holiday Wednesday. 50% of companies are now in stock buy back blackout period. Retail Sales report preview; a function of Consumer sentiment. Five Fed speakers out and about today; markets started weakly, then rallied 1%. Volume and breadth are weakening; markets are very over-bought and extremely deviated from DMA's; when correction comes... Is consumer sentiment on the rise? How best to balance portfolio mix (charts). When will the "Next Big One" come along? Query about going from 90/10 portfolio to 100% equities; you can always find a reason not to invest. Bonds vs T-bills vs Equities; What to do when there are no high-yiled, low-risk options? How to manage risk in volatile rate environment; why you should look at your portfolio only once a quarter; separate emotion from your investments. SEG-1: Markets Are Over Bought & Extremely Deviated from DMA's SEG-2: Is Consumer Sentiment & Investor Bullishness on the Rise? SEG-3: Managing Risk Before the "Next Big One" Comes Along SEG-4: What Happens When There Are No High-yield, Low-risk Options? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Sr. Fianncial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7bl0kL73VM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2235s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Makes Correction Pain Worse?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Interest Rates: Is a Multi-Decade Increase on the Horizon?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hFJaamK_m4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #InvestorBullishness #ConsumerSentiment #InterestRates #MarketCorrection #Homeowners #BorrowingCosts #Economy #JamesGrant #CyclicalPattern #MultiDecadePeriod #Consumption #HigherRates #EconomicImpact #HousingMarket #FinancialTrends #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets on Monday opened weakly, then rallied 1% to close ahead. Note, however, that while markets are making these advances, they're doing so on weak volume and narrow breadth, resulting in a market that is very, very over bought in terms of relative strength. The current deviation from the longer-term mean is getting fairly extreme. Typically, with deviations of this magnitude, a correction is sure to follow. Moving averages are like gravity, and the further you deviate from that average (price over time), the more they want to come back to earth. Given the current, extreme deviation, and the market as overbought as it is, some type of corrective action will not be a surprise. A correction now back to that moving average would be about a 4% decline, which will feel worse to complacent investors. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #ExtremeDeviation #NarrowBreadth #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets have continued to grind along the 20-DMA. Nothing seems to be wrong, and markets are back to extremely over bought conditions. Upside has been limited, with small gains being made in markets that are very deviated from the 20- and 50-DMA. Corrective action is inevitable to relieve some of the over bought conditions.This has been a very narrow rally, with performance only in the top-most tier of stocks vs the rest of the market; there's a very big gap in performance. More and more stocks are not trading above their 50-DMA. Narrow breadth does not mean we're going to have a massive correction; it just means that fewer and fewer stocks, by virtue of their weighting in the index, are pulling the market higher. So pay attention to breadth; it is important, and it's getting weaker. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hU7Wh4i51TE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --------
Parsing the economic data; Bonds vs ETF's; how bond pries and interest rates move; couting on the income. Danny & Jonathan address YouTube chatroom questions on Bond Yields and Buy/Sell dynamics; Dialing for Petro Dollars: A discussion of the US Dollar's strength, and whether it will still be the world's reserve currency in the future. Four good reasons to keep the Dollar. Transitioning into retirement, from accumulator to distributor, and dealing with the "squishy" side of retirement; finding purpose; activities together vs alone; planning spending allocations. The Dead Air nightmares; why Chick-Fil-A is closed on Sunday; the RIA Advisors Studio Orchestra; Roth conversions now against higher taxes later; crafting a strategy with Backdoor Roths. SEG-1: Parsing the Data; Bonds vs ETF's SEG-2: Dialing for Petro Dollars SEG-3: Dealing w the Squishy side of Retirement SEG-4: Dead Air, Blue Laws, & Roth Conversions Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XdRXLssiy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar's Death: Not So Fast" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-dollars-death-not-so-fast "Four Reasons The Dollar Is Here to Stay- Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/four-reasons-the-dollar-is-here-to-stay-part-2 "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/ "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Federal Reserve and BLS Labor Data Discrepancies Explored" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #PetroDollars #RothConversions #BackdoorRoth #SquishyRetirement #RetirementPlanning #FinancialAdvisor #EmployerBenefits #RetirementStrategy #Working #FinancialPlanning #RetirementValue #MaximizingBenefits #RetirementAdvice #EarlyRetirementPlanning #FinancialAssistance #LongTermPlanning #RetirementGoals #RetirementSavings #FinancialHealth #AdvisorBenefits #Proactive Planning #RetirementSecurity #FuturePlanning #FinancialStrategies #RetirementHelp #Markets #Money #Investing
June is half-over, and the stock buy back blackout begins today, removing that source of activity from the market. Economic data points continue to weaken, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell wants to see "more good data." There is an alternative universe of debt; the Fed wants weaker economy so they can lower rates. The S&P 500 sets another new, all-time high; Apple, Miscrosoft, & Nvidia are driving the market. There is an ever-widening performance gap between the S&P 500 and everyone else. Mrs. Roberts' Roomba and an FOMC Meeting recap; the economy is "normalizing." Jerome Powell's humility; interest rates are restrictive; the problem with being data-dependent. Elon Musk's pay package; markets are still being driven by fewer and fewer stocks; buy backs' influence on market performance; was Apply buying back shares to bolster reaction from Apple Intelligence rollout? What happens when correction comes; what will trigger. Chocolate chip cookies & Cinnabons; the Bond market is picking up as consumer spending slows. there's plenty of room for downside in bonds; Gold's response to real rates. Speculation is driving gold. Private Credit opportunities and trends. Buy now pay later companies' credentials are very opaque; are you being rewarded for the risk you're taking on? SEG-1: Lopsided Market Response to FOMC Meeting/Inflation SEG-2: FOMC - The Economy is Normalizing SEG-3: Markets' Driven by Fewer Stocks - What Happens When Correction Comes? SEG-4: CPI & Employment Data is Belying Deeper Problem Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/ "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Managing Risk & Returns with Individual Treasury Bonds" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaborMarket #Overstated #BLSdata #FederalReserve #Employment #ElectionCycle #JobStatistics #EconomicIndicators #DataDiscrepancies #UnemploymentRates #MarketDataAnalysis #LaborStatistics #JobMarket #EmploymentReports EconomicDataReliability #Markets #Money #Investing
The S&P set an all-time high following Wednesday's softer inflation report. Ironically, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia were the primary market drivers for the day. This continues to be a very lop-sided market; the deviation from the 50-DMA is getting pretty extreme again. Outside the S&P, the equal-weighted index is underperforming, and that gap is widening. 40% of the Russell 2000, for example, is non-profitable companies. There's a very big difference between what's happening in the S&P and the rest of the non-weighted world. Small- and Mid-cap companies are even more sensitive to economic data, and since 40% are not profitable, they're relying on debt; their survival is more dependent upon consumer strength and liquidity, which is waning. Despite yesterday's S&P performance, the Russell 2000 is still below its peak of 2022. There has been similar, disappointing performance in the S&P 600 of Small-cap companies. Also note: These companies do not do stock buybacks, so that "trick" for boosting shares does not exist for them. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #SP600 #Russell2000 #ExtremeDeviation #StockBuyBacks #AppleIntelligence #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #MagnificentSeven #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #RateCuts #QuantitativeTightening #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #CruideOil #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed's Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers' questions about owning Bonds vs Treasuries vs ETF's. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium's leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we're buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk. SEG-1: Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple Intelligence SEG-2: Outlook for Owning Bonds SEG-3: Swimming in Oil & The Saga of Predictions SEG-4: How We Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Apple?" is here: https://youtu.be/3HXblWzZ5S4 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the 60/40 Investment Strategy Works for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleIntelligence #FOMC #FederalReserve #Inflation #RiskManagement #Portfolio #TreasuryBonds #YieldMaximization #HurdleRates #InvestmentStrategy #RiskHedge #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #BondInvestment #IndividualBonds #PortfolioManagement #ReturnCalculation #FinancialAdvice #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets set another all-time high Tuesday, albeit marginal, despite the trumpeting headlines, and trading negatively for most of the morning. We're now seeing institutions coming in to buy during late afternoon trading, lending bullish credence to the market. Traders are tracking right along the 20-DMA, as we saw in January and February, rebuilding the same pattern of rally-retest-rally. The big driver was Apple, with the advent of their "Apple Intelligence." A brilliant marketing move (pssst - it's still AI.) After nearly a year of not pulling its weight in the Magnificent Severn, Apple is now back in the game with a big breakout that drove markets higher yesterday. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-XpND3aEVE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleIntelligence #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #MagnificentSeven #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #RateCuts #QuantitativeTightening #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #CruideOil #EnergyStocks #OPEC #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets are essentially in stasis until after tomorrow's conclusion of the FOMC meeting. Market enthusiasm is similar to that seen in 2000, but there are a few differences this time around. Will Apple AI tailor a better product for users; can AI actually deliver? Crude Oil in a MACD buy signal from very low levels: Time to buy? How Generation-Z is making blue collar jobs cool; implications of power demands for AI and requirements for building out power grid to meet AI demand. Is it time to re-think the 60/40 portfolio? The finite value of bonds vs equity market risk. You can always adjust ratios to match your appetite. The basic economics of interest ates & monetary velocity. Looking at Media-driven narratives vs real data: dealing withi emotions in investing. Gold vs lead: Know your narrative. Importance of knowing how to make money with your money; copper commodity cycles; oil prices. SEG-1: Markets Meander; Time to Buy Oil? SEG-2: Gen-Z Making Blue Collar Jobs Cool Again SEG-3: Is It Time to Re-think the 60/40 Portfolio? SEG-4: Media-driven Narratives vs Real Data in Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Crude Oil?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-XpND3aEVE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Rising Unemployment Rate: A Possible Recession Indicator?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #60_40_Allocation #Interest rates #EconomySlowing #BondPrices #Economics #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #StockBondMix #InvestmentPortfolio #MarketConditions #Recession #EconomicDownturn #InterestRateImpact #BondMarket #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialInsights #PortfolioManagement #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are essentially on hold for the next 48-hours until we get through the FOMC meeting starting today; results will be announced tomorrow. Markets are overly sensitive to rate moves and want to know when and how much the Fed will cut. Markets could move up or down, sharply, based on the Fed's announcement tomorrow. Meanwhile, speculative bets on Crude Oil have gotten extremely negative. A lot of traders are long on Crude Oil, which has been very quietly moving up, and has now triggered a MACD buy signal from a very low level. This should give oil stocks a bit of a lift. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-XpND3aEVE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #RateCuts #QuantitativeTightening #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #CruideOil #EnergyStocks #OPEC #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins. SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMA SEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic Weakness SEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic Reality SEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing
Futures are pointing lower this morning, which is no surprise. After a multi-weeks' long run in the markets, investors today will likely re-test the 20-DMA in a repeat performance of market activity we saw back in November thru February. The current environment could run from July through August, migrating higher without any catalyst. This week's FOMC Meeting and CPI Inflation data could turn markets sharply lower, because the market is predicated on the Fed cutting rates. We're expecting the Fed to maintain the status quo of staying on track to cut rates later in the year, and a reversal of Quantitative Tightening. We're urging a continuation of risk management in your portfolios. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The D stands for Donuts: It's International Donut Day; Buc-Cee's Donuts & Jerky; Can a Texas Stock Exchange survive? JR weighs in. NYC's economic suicide; the Roaring Kitty live-stream; Candid Coffee returns (6/29); AI stocks & narrative economics: Will AI not be the savior we'd hoped? How to maximize your severance package; when a layoff is a blessing in disguise. Goldfish & dietary habits; Severance package strategies: Maximizing HSA's; lumps-sum or annutize? Model it out. SEG-1: National Donut Day, Nvidia Split, Jobs Report Preview SEG-2: NYSE vs Texas Stock Exchange & Civil Migration SEG-3: Candid Coffee Preview, Narrative Economics & AI Stocks SEG-4: Goldfish, Diets, & Severance Strategies Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investments For The Coming Power Grid Expansion- Part 3" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investments-for-the-coming-power-grid-expansion-part-3/ "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znjG3-cP3-8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SeverancePackages #HighDeductibleMedicalPlan #HSA #HealthSavingsAccount #PreTaxGrowth #TaxDeferred #QualifiedExpenses #CompanyContributions #SeveranceDate #FinancialPlanning #MaximizeHSA #BenefitsOfHSA #DannysFavoriteMedicalPlan #Living expenses#HSALimits #MedicalSavings #RetirementPlanning #TaxBenefits #SeveranceStrategy #EmployeeBenefits #MaximizingSavings #TexasStockExchange #NvidiaStockSplit #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #NarrativeEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing
D-Day commemorations top the day; ISM report shows a big jump, but input prices and employment weakened. The data does not (yet) support thesis for Recession. Nvidia topped $3-Trillion in market capitalization, surpassing Apple for #2 slot in the S&P. Nvidia is now 3x over its 50-DAM. The coming power grid expansion will offer investing opportunities; how viable are alternative energy investment propositions? What are the implications of government subsidies required by alternative energy companies? Political realities to be considered. The next Fed meeting: will they cut rates; how many times? Market performance history vis a vis Fed rate activity. Small caps and mid caps may become favorable investments in the future, especially after a period of slow economic growth or recession when excess stimulus has been absorbed. Lance & Michael break down the crucial moments to consider for small and mid-cap stocks: Current state of mid caps and small caps; Earnings performance of small caps; Economic indicators impacting small caps; Timing for small cap investments; Effect of economic growth or recession on small caps. SEG-1: D-Day and Data (Does Not Support Recession Thesis) SEG-2: Investing in Power Grid Expansion & Alternative Energy Plays SEG-3: The Fed Doesn't Do 'Token' Rate Cuts SEG-4: Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znjG3-cP3-8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investments For The Coming Power Grid Expansion- Part 3" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investments-for-the-coming-power-grid-expansion-part-3/ "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Roaring Kitty's Wealth Top $1-Billion?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DDay80thAnniversary #Nvidia #MarketCap #Apple #FederalReserve #PowerGridExpansion #AlternativeEnergy #SmalCaps #MidCaps #Earnings #EconomicData #Exposure #InvestmentOpportunities #SlowEconomicGrowth #Recession #FutureInvestments #MarketTrends #EconomicCycles #StockPerformance #Markets #Money #Investing
Big day for Nvidia on Wednesday, crossing the $3-Trillion market cap threshold to become the second-biggest company in the S&P...and surpassing Apple in market capitalization. Nvidia is now trading well beyond three standard deviations above its 50-DMA. The last time Nvidia was this extended, back in March, it spent quite a bit of time afterward declining as it worked off the overbought positions. We look at the technical analysis behind this stock. Everyone that is AI-related is where the money is going for now, but at some point this is all going to have to be worked off. [DISCLOSURE: We are long on Nvidia.] Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #LargeCap #3TrillionMarketCap #Apple #SP500 #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
More weak economic data from the Atlanta Fed; semiconductors are outperforming software stocks, 3:1; look for consolidation in that sector. Domestic stocks are outperforming all other markets. A fairly big correction in Oil Prices over the past few days is now setting up an opportunity for investors to take profits and rebalance energy portfolios, which are by necessity tied to the price of their underlying commodity. Curious about Roaring Kitty's extraordinary journey in the stock market? Discover how his wealth skyrocketed from $53,000 to nearly $300 million; Roaring Kitty's rise to fame in the financial world; the ups and downs of his public visibility; the SEC's perspective on Roaring Kitty’s actions; Key financial milestones and achievements; the potential for his wealth to reach $1 billion. Why elected officials should not be allowed to invest in the market; preparing your finances for recession: Warning flags are signaling trouble ahead. Using proper risk management. How bad will the next correction be? The trigger will be some credit related event; where will we go from there? SEG-1: Weaker Economic Data Continues; Will Crude Oil Rally? SEG-2: The Saga of Roaring Kitty SEG-3: Preparing Your Finances for Recession SEG-4: How Bad Will the Next Correction Be? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "THow High Will Crude Prices Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO4--VWfnsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RoaringKitty #Reddit #Wealth #SEC #StockMarket #GameStop #Investment #FinancialJourney #Spotlight #BillionDollarPotential #KeithGill #MemeStocks #WallStreetBets #TradingStrategies #FinancialSuccess #Risk #Reward #OnlineForums #LegalScrutiny #RetailInvestors #MarketInfluence #InternetSensation #FinancialTransformation #Markets #Money #Investing
A fairly big correction in Oil Prices over the past few days is now setting up for an opportunity for investors to take profits and rebalance energy portfolios, which are by necessity tied to the price of their underlying commodity. OPEC's decision to allow more production to come online has pushed oil prices down. Oil prices are sitting on support that goes back to February of this year. A bounce in prices will allow you the opportunity to rebalance energy exposure. We're looking for a rally in oil prices to between $76 to $77/share. However--a continuation of slower rates of economic growth could have an effect on commodity prices to the downside. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO4--VWfnsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOilRally #OPECProduction #EnergyStocks #CommodityPrices #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Launching June market trading and looking ahead; the continuing saga of E*Trade and Roaring Kitty, GameStop. Economic data continues to weaken; expectations for Fed rate cuts this year are now back up to two. Markets' morning selloff, afternoon rally back into the green pattern continues, thanks to EOD institutional buying; all activity against the backdrop of a sell signal. Why Berkshire went to zero; markets' extreme deviation continues. Should you wait until after the Presidential Election to invest? Are you considering market timing as a strategy? Lance Roberts breaks down the pitfalls and risks of trying to predict the market: Challenges of predicting market trends months in advance; Consequences of sitting out of the market until a specific event; the trap of waiting for the perfect moment to invest; How market run-ups can leave you behind; The psychological cycle that keeps investors indecisive. New AI chips are coming; the AI Chase is on. Chips are in, software is out. Intel is playing catch-up; should you have an AI portfolio? A Space portfolio? The allure of private equity: Use caution! SEG-1: Economic Data Conitnues to Weaken; Rate Cut Expectations Rise SEG-2: Berkshire Goes to Zero & Markets' Extreme Deviation SEG-3: Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out SEG-4: The AI Chase & The Allure of Private Equity Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The 50-DMA is the Line in the Sand" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjuzAS5Oxdo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Momentum Chase is On: What Happens Next? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketTiming #RiskyStrategy #Marketprediction #ElectionImpact #MarketTrends #FinancialDecisions #StockMarket #EconomicEvents #MarketFluctuation #InvestmentTiming #FinancialRisk #MissedOpportunities #marketrunUp #BuyingTheDip #InvestorPsychology #EconomicUncertainty #MarketAnalysis #MarketTraps #InvestmentStrategy #LongTermInvesting #MarketBehavior #CyclicalNature #MarketCycles #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets opened weakly on Monday but rallied at the end of the day to close in the green. Markets continue to bounce along the 20-DMA, and the question will be whether the late-session buying by institutions will continue. Late day rallies are encouraging, as they're occurring against the backdrop of a sell signal, but that's also keeping markets from going anywhere. Markets continue to move sideways as overbought conditions are worked off. The 50-DMA is the line in the sand: as long as we remain above there, there's not much to worry about. For now. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjuzAS5Oxdo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MACDSellSignal #MarketBullishness #LineInTheSand #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets start the month with support sustained at the 20-DMA, although consumer spending is weakening, with retrenchment in Restaurants. Inventories are high while spending is slackening. The cure for inflation is high prices. Markets break thru 20-DMA on Friday, but rally before the close. Sell signal is restricting upside. The market momentum chase is on...which is fine until the music stops. Noting investing cycles vs market cycles and the problem with dividend investing strategy. Public Debt: Productive vs non productive: Can the AI boom bail us out? Why James Grant is wrong about debt and interest rates (a preview). How AI could save us from "bad" debt with electric grid infrastructure improvements. A note about forecasting GDP & Interest Rates. SEG-1: Setting the Table for June SEG-2: Surviving the Momentum Chase SEG-3: Investing Cycle, Market Cycles. & Dividend Strategies SEG-4: Why James Grant is Wrong about Debt and Interest Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL-48uLmZfA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Borrow Against Your 401k?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MomentumInvesting #ValueInvesting #InvestmentStrategy #Timing #MarketTrends #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #TradingStyles #InvestingApproaches #MarketTiming #InvestmenTiming #FinancialMarkets #InvestmentTypes #InvestingPrinciples #InvestmentOpportunities #StrategicInvesting #TimingMatters #MarketAnalysis #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets broke through the 20-DMA early in the day on Friday, as Bad News was actually bad news. However, in the last hour of the day, a hughe buying surge lifted markets back above the 20-DMA, allowing markets to hold support, and remain within a bullish trend. Markets are still on a sell signal, suggesting upside may be limited. The current market grind may continue for another week or so, and the next, best set-up for correction may not occur until right before 2024 the election. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL-48uLmZfA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MACDSellSignal #2024Election #MarketBullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
With weaker economic data trickling in, are Fed rate cuts coming sooner than later? What's the deal with 401k's? The best way to take money out of a 401k; executing an "in-service rollover;" tax implications and fund seasoning details you need to know; remember fees and expense ratios. What about Roth's: pre-tax funds & retirement; making too much money? Dealing with shifts in RMD's: The government wants its revenue sooner than later. Dealing with hardship withdrawals; what is and isn't exempted. The folly of borrowing against a 401k (Hint: Don't do it!) What about collateralizing 401k funds? (See previous comment) 401k leakage and retirement shortfalls. Is there wisdom in going to Gold? Pro's & con's discussion: Gold is not spendable. SEG-1: Are Rate Cuts Coming in the Wake of Weaker Economic Data? SEG-2: What's the Best Way to Take Money from a 401k? SEG-3: What About Roth's? SEG-4: Collateralizing 401k's and the Lure of Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Sr. Relashipship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/ "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Benefit from the Coming Power Grid Expansion" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #401k #Gold #RequiredMinimumDistribution #Roth #InServiceRollover #TaxImplications #401kLeakage #Collateralizing401kFunds #RetirementShortfalls #GoingtoGold #Markets #Money #Investing
Houston is finally #1 in something: Home Foreclosures; Q1 economic data suggests conflict with narrative the economy is doing fine vs anecdotal evidence. The Fed's Beige Book summary shows not as much concern for inflation as for weakening consumer demand. Weaker stock pricing is also emerging; Can markets hold the 20-DMA? Risk assets are momentum-based trade (Bitcoin); also beginning to weaken. Hedge funds are long semiconductors and AI-related stocks: the AI theme seems to be narrowing. The difference between the Dot-com bubble and AI companies is that AI is making money. What will be the side-benefits AI generates? Note how Nvidia performs: 80% of earnings from AI Data Centers; the power requirements for supporting AI Data Centers. What will power the grid with more AI & EV demands? How will AI affect productivity? Where will the power come from & how will it be transmitted? Traditional & alternative sources. What will be the demand from AI Data Center & Bitcoin mining? What will fuel these plants? Gas, Coal, Nuclear as well as some alternative sources. Transporting fuels and transmitting power; this is opportunity for productive debt/investment, a la the Hoover Dam. Q! GDP adjustments are starting to show signs of weakening. How accurate is the data? Employment numbers will be key. SEG-1: The Economy is Weaker than Headlines Suggest SEG-2: Looking at the Side-benefits of AI SEG-3: Where Will the Power Come From? SEG-4: Signs of a Weakening Economy Emerge Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFARatliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/ "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Corporate Greed is Not the Cause of Inflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitcoinMining #PowerGrid #EconomicBenefit #AIDataCenters #NaturalGas #Unproductive #PowerConsumption #EnergyImpact #MiningStatistics #EconomicUpside #Markets #Money #Investing
The S&P really hasn't gone anywhere, just consolidating over the past two weeks. We think markets will crack and trigger a MACD Sell Signal, suggesting weaker pricing is on the way. The question today will be whether the market can hold the 20-DMA. Bitcoin is beginning to weaken, also ready to trigger a sell signal; Ethereum just got a big pop in anticipation of its ETF approval by the SEC. It is starting to roll over, as well, in a prelude to triggering a sell signal. Crude oil has already had a correction, and is bottoming now, and may be coming into a buy signal. All of these signs point to more market weakness before we get another rally. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MACDSellSignal #Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #SEC #EthereumETF #RiskOn #CrudeOil #WeakerStockPricing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's all about the Fed, never mind the fundamentals. markets have gone essentially nowhere, driven almost entirely by Nvidia. Markets are close to a short-term sell signal. It's time to rebalance portfolios. Corporate Greed does not cause inflation: The simple truth. 401k rollowver problems; why few receiving required 402(f) notifications; the tax implications of rollovers. If you've lost a 401k, Beagle.com may be able to help you find it. Why compounding doesn't work in the market; creditor protection for retirement funds. Hampton Inn merch: Waffle socks & fanny packs; Buc-Cee's, Cracker Barrel, Johnson Howards, & Stuckey's; Keeping all your 401k in company stock: The Enron Error. SEG-1: The Market Driver remains Nvidia: Time to Rebalance? SEG-2: Corporate Greed Does Not Cause Inflation SEG-3: The 401-k Rollover Problem SEG-4: Waffle Merch & Enron Errors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Rebalance Portfolios with NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vwuqllrc7iI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What If I Get Names Executor of an Estate?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #Nvidia #PortfolioRebalancing #CorporateGreed #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CrackerBarrel #Buccees #HamptonInn #HowardJohnson #Stuckeys #SupplyAndDemand #EconomicBasics #Economy #MonetarySupply #CreditCards #PopulationGrowth #Government #PrintingMoney #Economics #SlowingDownEconomy #DemandReduction #MoneyCirculation #FinancialMisconceptions #Fallacy #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicTheses #CreditConsumption #EconomicGrowth #InflationFall #MoneySupply #EconomicImpact #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have been doing well of late, thanks in part to the excellent performance of Nvidia, the one stalwart of the AI semiconductor chase. The stock was up another 8% Tuesday as the whole AI idea continues to permeate the market. Nvidia is now larger than Tesla, IBM, and about eight other companies, all combined, with a market cap now at $2.7-Trillion. You can buy Amazon stock and still have money left over. Nvidia stock is pretty overbought; so if you have not yet done so, a rebalancing of your portfolio now would be a good idea. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVIDIA #RiskReward #AITrade #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketRally #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets falter; Nvidia and Cracker Barrel keeping up with the times; the Fed's impact on Markets: Could rates actually go back up? How spending habits are shifting; the need for a Sell Discipline when bad news is good news. Caution against investing emotionally because of politics. What happens when you're the executor: Business decisions vs family/emotional issues. The Graceland financial fiasco: An executor's nightmare. How many generations does wealth last? How Elvis got Graceland. SEG-1: What Nvidia & Cracker Barrel Have in Common SEG-2: THe Need for a Sell Discipline When Bad News is Good SEG-3: What Happens When You're the Executor? SEG-4: The Presley Mansion Financial Fiasco - An Executor's Nightmare Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/ "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who Will Profit Most from the Next Tech Boom?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #NVIDIA #CrackerBarrel #ChocolateFountain #CheeseFountain #PresidentialElection #Politics #Graceland #ElvisPresleyEstate #ExecutorResponsibilities #ExecutorLiability #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets sold off on release of the latest FOMC Meeting minutes, which are a sanitized, finely-crafted version of what went on behind closed doors. The hawkishness seems to be continuing; Deflation seems to be a bigger risk to the economy than inflation. There's too little demand, resulting in price cuts to move inventory. Insight on why we reduced our stake in Nvidia before its report was released, which attests to the growth potential of AI buildouts. One cloud on the horizon: Wall Street's ever-optimistic expectations for continued growth. How does innovation impact the economy, and who will be the next Levi Strauss? The problems facing the power grid from AI & EV's. The power grid needs 40- NYC's. Natural Gas will be a big winner as a cheap, clean energy source. Water consumption estimates by 2023; issuing debt for productive purposes. FOMC Minutes are a little "wishy-washy" about interest rates: The Fed doesn't really know what it's doing. Stocks & bonds went nowhere after minutes' release. Fed governors are all on the same page about sticky inflation remaining longer. SEG-1: Markets Sell off on FOMC Minutes' Continued Hawkishness SEG-2: NVIDIA Report Attests to Growth of AI Build Out SEG-3: Power Grid Challenges from AI & EV's SEG-4: Why FOMC Minutes were "Wishy-washy" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/ "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why the Dot-com Crash Feels Like a Distant Memory to Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #AI #EV #CaliforniaGoldRush #LeviStrauss #Nvidia #Profit #Miners#Denim #HeartyPants #LongRun #AMD #Microsoft #Google #ProfitMost #Obvious #RunUp #NextLeviStrauss #Markets #Money #Investing
Why did we trim our holdings in NVIDIA before its earnings report release? The answer lies in our Daily Market Commentary. Basically, when it becomes over bought, we trim a little, and when it pulls back, we buy some more at a lower price. We balanced out position and took our portfolio back to target weight. What we've seen this earnings season is companies coming out with stellar earnings reports, but not commensurately rewarded for those results. But if they miss, or guidance just in-line, a stock can lose 10-20% for the day. A look at NVIDIA's risk range indicated it was time to trim and wait for the stock to correct. NVDIA is also going to do a 10:1 stock split, so the price is going to be diluted substantially. The AI trade is still very much in play. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVIDIA #RiskReward #AITrade #AncillaryBenefits #MarketRally #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Geopolitics #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
All eyes are on NVDIA's quarterly report: Why did we trim our position? How might this company disappoint investors? It's all about the guidance. FOMC Meeting Minutes also could trigger markets, based on what they reveal about the Fed's interest rate intentions. Markets are at all-time highs, trading in a tighter range. Markets have gone 315-days without a 2% correction; we think they're primed for a pullback. Lance's wife is home; hilarity ensues. Millennials' 'quiet vacation' ploys. Is recession coming? Most investors and economists think not. (We are still within the window of opportunity following yield curve inversion). Trying to eliminate recession from the business cycle; why recessions are needed. American's favorite investments vs Mattress Mac's investment philosophy. Where Dave Ramsey is right...and wrong. Remember the.com crash? Many young investors today never experienced a financial crisis like 2008. It's important to learn from history to navigate market uncertainties. SEG-1: Will NVDIA Report Trigger Correction to 20-DMA? SEG-2: Millennials' Quiet Vacationing & Other Work Avoidance Ploys SEG-3: Why Most Investors & Economists Believe No Recession is Coming SEG-4: What is America's Favorite Long Term Investment? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Correct Back to the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MraQkqRJQFQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Risk of Relying on Benchmarking" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #WageDisparity #DotComCrash #MarketDecline #PeakToTrough #ReduceRisk #Recession #RobinhoodTrading #Investors #MarketRally #OptionsTrading #2008FinancialCrisis #BarackObama #MarketExperience #Post2008, market thesis, investing history, market opportunities, financial downturn, trading experience #FinancialCrisis #Markets #Money #Investing
The market is sitting at all-time highs, but trading over the last five days has been in a very tight range. Price gains at this point are going to be hard to come by when markets are as overbought as they are now. Today's market movement will be triggered by either the FOMC Meeting minutes release or NVDIA's quarterly report...or both. There's a reasonable risk for a short-term correction back to the 20-DMA, worth about 2%. Remember, we have not had a 2% down day in over 315-days. Any kind of disappointment from the aforementioned news events could spark a sell-off. But any good news is going to have a hard time lifting market beyond their already elevated, all-time high levels. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qz34OdB55LI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVDIA #FOMCMeetingMinutes #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Geopolitics #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
During ripping bull markets, investors often start benchmarking, comparing their portfolio’s performance against a major index; most often, the S&P 500 index. While that activity is heavily encouraged by Wall Street and the media, funded by Wall Street, is benchmarking the right for you? Why does Wall Street want you to compare your performance to a benchmark index? Lance discusses Fed speakers' remarks: Sticky inflation means no rate cuts anytime soon. The 20-DMA crossed over the 50-DMA: A very bullish signal; we're expecting a pullback at some point. SEC debates whether to approved Ethereum EFT. Comparisons are motivation by Wall Street to move money so they can charge you fees. Nothing stays at the top for long; what are your investing goals? Why do we invest? Benchmarking pro's & con's; the difference between an index and you. Corporate greed & how we got stock buybacks. Labor vs business ownership: Business owners are deserving of their earnings because they've taken the risk. Where do stock buybacks come from...and where does the money go? How to fix wage disparity: Eliminate buybacks; pay will be limited to cash a company can generate. SEG-1: Fed Speakers' Recap: Sticky Inflation = No rate cut soon SEG-2: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-1 SEG-3: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-2 SEG-4: Corporate Greed & Wage Disparity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Ethereum ETF Sustain Market Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qz34OdB55LI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Disinflation Remains The Bigger Risk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #Disinflation #Benchmarking #CorporateGreed #StockBuyBacks #WageDisparity #MinimumWage #Lehman #Shares #GM #Portfolio #Index #Rebalance #MarketCapitalization #Price #SharesOutstanding #Underperform #ContributeMoney #Markets #Money #Investing
The big debate in the SEC is whether Ethereum will be granted permisison to launch an ETF, a la Bitcoin, which would have the potential to boost Ethereum stock prices. Ethereum had a large jump on Monday in anticipation of the decision, which is about 75% probable the SEC will vote to approve. If, for some reason, the SEC does not allow the launch, the current market rally could be short-lived. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qz34OdB55LI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SEC #Ethereum #EthereumETF #BitCoin #BitCoinETF #MarketRally #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Geopolitics #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
NVDIA & Fed speakers are in the spotlight this week; stock buyback are running higher than normal. The risk of recession; when will the Fed cut rates? Durable Goods are in deflation; Services are seeing higher inflation, tied to discretionary spending. Markets finish previous week at all time highs; when will they pull back? Wathcing for a bullish cross of the 20- and 50-DMA. AI can now lie and cheat; bad economic news is good news; the majority of earnings growth is coming from ten stocks; the impact of retail sales, debt ratios, and falling consumer spending. The connection between retail sales, CPI, PCE, & GDP; NFIB Inflation stats. Stocks are rallying in anticipation of Fed announcement, not stock buyback action. Power outages & Kolaches; Zoom and Palo Alto to report this week. Note the barriers to entry in considering a company's stock. SEG-1: NVDIA & Fed Speakers in Spotlight SEG-2: Teaching AI to Lie & Cheat; Bad News is Good News SEG-3: The Connection between Retail Sales, CPI, PCE, & GDP SEG-4: Power outage, Kolaches, & Barriers to Entry to Consider Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Prepared for a Bullish Cross" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cvqdSYAkSI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 #BullishCross #MarketPullBack #InvestingAdvice ------- Our previous show is here: "How Long Will You Live?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #TeachingAItoCheat #RetailSales #Inflation #Disinflation #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets finished last week on a positive note after hitting all-time highs. The question will be whether or not we get a bit of a pullback: Markets are very over bought on a short-term basis, and still on a buy signal. So, for the short-term there does not seem to be a lot of downside risk. We're watching for a correction back towards the 50-DMA (which is sitting near the 20-DMA). The 20-DMA will likely execute a bullish cross over the 50-DMA in the next day or so. A pullback towards support would be very healthy for markets. Markets are not concerned about big headlines rooted in geopolitics. The thing that gets the markets is not the thing that we know about; it's the unexpected event that always snags things. For now, the market is doing fine; let's participate and make some money. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cvqdSYAkSI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #BullishCross #MarketPullBack #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Geopolitics #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Houston hit with tornadic storms; everything is going up: Stocks, Bonds, Gold...The Crypto Proposition: Brokers are like lemmings. Every investment is a story: Tech & Cryptocurrency; wrapping rules around your portfolios. The danger of over-confidence. Investing perspective is important. Avoid investing based on politics; the psychology of investing. Should you get out of the market? Baseball cards, G.I. Joe's, and Mortuary Museum: Planning for how long you'll live. Using life expectancy in portfolio & retirement planning. Social Security is longevity insurance. (www.livingto100.com) When to best claim Social Security. SEG-1: Houston Storm Recap & The Crypto Investment Proposition SEG-2: Every Investment is Story: Wrapping rules around your portfolio SEG-3: Avoid Investing Based on Politics SEG-4: Baseball Cards, Mortuary Museums, & Planning for Longevity Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/ "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's a Mistake to Be Entirely Out of Equities" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CryptoCurrency #PortfolioRules#OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets hit all-time highs with softer CPI: The biggest contributor was decline in Homeowners' Equivalent Rent. Markets are now anticipating two rate cuts this year. Consumers are showing signs of weakening; hardest hit are Gen-Z & Millennials. Stocks & Bonds rally on weaker CPI; markets are extremely over bought. Look for a re-test of the 50-DMA with market corrective action anticipated. WalMart has decent earnings; consumer spending is what drives the economy. Quality of Employment numbers matter: Full Time vs Part Time Jobs; Why the Government's Employment formula is bogus. How we calculate Inflation now (also bogus). The Risk is never zero. Answering emails: When will the market crash? Being out of the market; more money is lost trying to avoid a crash than is lost during a crash. Market Correction is coming, Debt .will eventually matter (but we'll all be dead by then), a la Japan. Leanring from mistakes getting out of the market. The perils of sitting in cash: Find the other bull market. It's a mistake to be entirely out of equities. The markets' bullish trend has not been broken since March 2009. SEG-1: Markets' Rally on Softer CPI SEG-2: The Risk is Never Zero Seg-3: Debt Will Eventually Matter (but we'll all be dead by then) SEG-4: Market Mistakes Learned the Hard Way Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/ "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "WIll Bitcion Rise to $420,000?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldxIgLe-YuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #PPI #CPI #MarketSuccess #OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing
Bonds rallied, Stocks rallied, and Gold rallied all across the board, thanks to a weaker than expected CPI Print which suggested the Fed will cut rates at least two times this year. It was a risk-on day. Markets closed the day at their highs; they are extremely over bought at this point, and that would infer that some type of corrective action is in the offing. (Markets are also very deviated from normal ranges of their moving averages.) Remember, in order to have a moving average, you have to have trading above AND below that average over a period of time. Big deviations lead to a re-test of support. A re-test of the 50-DMA would create an opportunity to work off some of this over bought condition, and also to add some exposure. Bad news is good news for the markets because it means the Fed is more likely to cut rates. Overall, there is a bullish bias to the markets; we are going to have some corrective action, however, and that will provide oppoprtunity. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #CPI #PPI #MarketPullBack #Bullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Roaring Kitty is back with resurgence of GameStop stock; the insanity returns. Jerome Powell already knows the CPI numbers for tomorrow: What are markets expecting vs what he will say? Citi Surprise Index showing more signs of economic weakness; evidence the consumer is slowing down. Markets flopped around Monday but earned another green candle. We're expecting a pullback to test the 50-DMA; there is risk in economic data from the lag effect. Markets typically lead the economy by 6 to 9-months. More Coffee talk, living in Europe, and why we don't invest internationally (where can you make the most money?) NFIB Report preview: Shop local small businesses. The folly of tapping 401-k funds. The backlash against "wealthy" Boomers; living on cash. SEG-1: Roaring Kitty & Market Expectations SEG-2: Why Markets Lead Economy by 6-9 Months SEG-3: Coffee, Europe, & Email: Why We Don't Invest Internationally SEG-4a: NFIB Report Preview SEG-4b: The Flaw in "Borrowing" from 401-k's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZV_c2piH5Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Hotter CPI Trigger Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vx2GXMK7SD0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bounce Back Ends April Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #RoaringKitty #GameStop #AMC #MemeStocks #JeromePowell #CPI #PPI #Inflation #BorowingFrom401k #NFIBReport #SmallBusiness #SellSignal #RiskRangeReport #BeCautious #SP500 #InvestmentTiming #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets spent much of Monday flopping around but finishing the day with a green candle. Markets are still overbought and still on a buy signal, so we're expecting correction within a few days: Nothing major, but a healthy pullback to re-test the 50-DMA and alleviate the overbought conditions. The risk in the data is the lag-effect, which could produce a hotter-than-expected CPI print. Most of Wall Street is expecting cooler numbers, but there is not a zero chance of a hotter CPI number, which would put pressure on markets. numbers, but there is not a zero chance of a hotter CPI number, which would put pressure on markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vx2GXMK7SD0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #CPI #PPI #MarketPullBack #Bullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets' bullish trend continues; no reason to be sitting in cash now. Economic data is proving to be a mixed bag. Consumers' creativity for accessing funds they shouldn't be touching for continued spending. Markets are back to overbought; wait for a pullback to add exposure. What's moving markets: The Fed or AI? When the Fed supplies liquidity, fundamentals take second chair. Fundamentals, however, will save you in a market downturn. Will AI be a game changer? "Ready Player One" is the ultimate outcome of AI. There are now emerging energy concerns for powering AI. Imperative to know what narratives are driving markets to best plan investing strategy. Earnings are a function of economic growth: S&P growth to slow as company earnings slow. Stock buybacks are used to engineer better earnings and are not sustainable. The health benefits of coffee. CPI coming Wednesday w .4% expectations. April Retail Sales may be okay with Tax Refund spending, but after that... Lance's new TikTok series, GoPro on a Dog. SEG-1: Markets' Bullish Trend Continues SEG-2: Will AI Be a Game Changer? SEG-3: Why Earnings Growth is a Function of Economic Growth SEG-4a: The Elixir of Youth SEG-4b: CPI Preview Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Over Bought Markets Pull Back?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-0-l1HDXmg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Social Security Last Past 2035?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #GenerativeAI #TrillionDollarOpportunities #PrivateEquity #Funding #Iinvestment #ArtificialIntelligence #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets' April correction has created a bounce off support at the 100-DMA, and now markets are retesting March's highs. Markets have been up for eight days straight, and on a solid buy signal, are now back up to "overbought." Markets are likely to struggle for a few days, unable to make much headway higher. The months of June and July should be fairly decent months, given that this is an Election Year. If you're looking to add exposure, we're suggesting waiting until markets provide some kind of a pullback. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-0-l1HDXmg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketExposure #MarketPullBack #CorrectionIsOver #VIX #Bullishness #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Earnings preview & economic reports: The wisdom of writing a market journal. Will markets produce an 8th day of gains? Current trading strategioes; the animal spirits are shifting. Soupy Sales' 'Send a Dollar;' CEO Neutrality, getting back to the basics of business. Will Social Security last past 2035? There are some surprising, positive notes in the latest SS Trustees' report. Why we run financial plans without SS. Financial Dust-bunnies: Medicare Lunch & Learn; why the big push for Medicare Advantage? (Because that's what pays brokers the most.) Crafting retirement income is an art: Is the 4% Rule too safe? There is no set number: There are too many variables. "The Woods" retirement plan; the Annuities discussion; protecting against emotional decisions. SEG-1: Will Markets Produce an 8th Positive Day? SEG-2: CEO Neutrality & Getting Back to the Basics of Business SEG-3: The Financial Dust-bunnies of Medicare SEG-4: Retirement Income is an Art Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/ "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Finding the Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #SocialSecurity #MedicareAdvantage #CEONeutrality #FinancialDustBunnies #RetirementIncome #ActuarialBalance #CombinedFunds #Crisis #BenefitsCut #RetirementAge #SocialSecurityCap #CareerPoliticians #Electability #FinancialConditions #PositiveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing
Is the pig really out of the python? (Excess savings are gone.) Who is still spending, and how? Government spending and consumer credit card usage; buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) plans being used to buy groceries and make ends meet. There are no stats to determine credit risk presented by BNPL companies. Markets sell-off, rally, and end at break-even. The correction is over...for now. No earnings growth outside the Magnificent Seven or top large-cap companies. Companies not rewarded greatly, but brutally punished. Uber, Shopify, Starbucks bellwethers of consumer spending. McDonald's, Five-Guys, inflation impact. Warren Buffett's challenge to find Apple; could he use his cash better? Inflation Report preview: Rents make up 40% of CPI; prices are still high. Why their inflation will be zero. CPI is a black box. Q1 strengths attributed to Seasonal Adjustments. Consumers will start weakening. Sentiment vs Inflation: All the market cares about is government data, regardless of how you feel. High prices will remain, but if unchanged next year, inflation will be zero. Markets are distorted from the fundamentals; valuations still matter. SEG-1: The Pig's NOT Out of the Python SEG-2: Analyzing Earnings: No Growth Outside Magnificent-7 SEG-3: Inflation Report Preview: Impact of Rents on CPI SEG-4: Sentiment vs Inflation: What the markets look at Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/ "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Difference Between the Price You See vs the Price You Pay is Growing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EarningsGrowth #MagnificentSeven #NegativeEarningsGrowth #TopStocks #TwitterChart #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets sold-off, rallied, and then ending flat on Wednesday, good enough to chalk up another "green candle day." This just continues to show there are buyers entering the market. Remember, Sellers live higher, Buyers live lower. When Buyers evaporate, prices drop to the next level of pricing at which Buyers are willing to buy. How amazing it has been to see how rapidly the Volatility Index has reversed: It took 15-sessions for the VIX to go from 13 to 21; it took 13-days to go back to 13. What looks like a big spike in volatility, on a longer trend is barely a blip. Concern for a sell-off is past, and the correction is over; buyers are returning, and the greed factor is back. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #CorrectionIsOver #VIX #Bullishness #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Citi Surprise Index: When economists are disappointed in estimated numbers; that index is now at a low ebb. An uneventful earnings season is wrapping up with fair results; the only companies seeing margins grow are large caps. Markets eke out gains for 4th straight day; the benefits of a market pullback; CTA's have money to spend, plus resumption of stock buy backs. Old Shows & Actors; the great un-bundling of fee has created fees on fees; tipping & charges-per-squirt(!): Budget leakage. Buying Made in USA. AI Golf robots, Robocop, & Skynet; the worst financial mistake some families make: Living on a single paycheck. Balancing the equation with a stay-at-home parent; dealing with the skills gap; the impact of rising childcare costs, and what caused it (gov't. stimulus). Planning for College & Career Choices; five jobs with most potential to produce millionaires. The process of good financial habits. "It's not about how much you make, but how much you save." SEG-1: Analyzing the Citi Surprise Index SEG-2: Surprise Fees are Growing SEG-3: The Worst Financial Mistake Some Families Can Make SEG-4: Five Jobs Most Likely to Produce Millionaires Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Powell Sparks a Buying Frenzy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPodLCUQ4sw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CitiSurpriseIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #SurpriseFees #WorstFinancialMistakes #FiveJobsProducingMillionaires #EconomicPredictions #CashlessSociety #RisingFees #BusinessCosts #DigitalPayments #ConsumerImpact #EconomicChallenges #UnbundlingFees #AffordabilityIssues #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets ecked out a very small gain on Tuesday, chalking up four days of positive finishes. The buy signal is now firmly in place, and markets are becoming a bit over bought; a pullback at this point, with a bit of a hold, would be helpful. And a rally forward from that level would then continue the bullish trend. There is a lot of buying on deck with the return to stock buybacks and computer trading algorithms primed with about $80-billion in cash to use. There's a lot of potential buying in store over the next month. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FFM1UMhDHCk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketDecline #MarketPullback #Bullishness #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Economists' 'rush-to-judgement' vs the lag effect catching up w economic data. Consumer spending and loan demand are waning as excesses in money supply are normalizing. The data re beginning to refute the "no recession" theme. Market correction is now over, bullish trend to resume. The challenge of NOT expecting recession; what the data is starting to show; not a lot of risk in credit markets...yet. That's where trouble will show up first. Geopolitical conflicts do mot matter to markets for long; world wars do. Spreads between corporate bonds vs treasuries are at an all time low (90bp). There's no stress in the economy...so far; pay attention to credit risk. 20th Anniversary of 2008 Financial Crisis is approaching. Letters from the IRS and a $34-B tax bill; the rich need to pay their "fair share;" defining "fair" (charts). The portability of wealth will be a factor when taxes rise too high. How about Congress spending LESS? Swiss Army to make knife with no blade for UK. Residual Seasonality in economic data: Always skewed by seasonal adjustments. SEG-1: The Lag Effect is Catching up w Economic Data SEG-2: Is Credit Risk the Canary in the Coal Mine? SEG-3: Defining "Fair Share" SEG-4: Knives without Blades; Residual Seasonality Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What is Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CreditSpreads #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EconomicPredictions #ShockEffect #MarketPsychology #EonomicHealth #FinancialConfidence #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets rallied to close above the 50-DMA on Monday, triggering computers' buy programs, and a final push at the end of the day produced a close at the high for the session. Markets are now over bought and on a buy signal with no real, near-term concerns about a decline. Watch for a bit of sloppy trading over the next few days, and what would be great would be for markets to re-test the 50-DMA, hold it, and then make another move higher over the next few days. This would confirm a pathway to re-test previous highs. We think 5,200 or 5,300 is likely the top of this rally. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP5300 #MarketDecline #NOConcern #Bullishness #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
There are three possible paths for markets, moving forward. Markets are at a critical juncture at the 50-DMA; earnings "beat-rate" has been low, and earnings misses have been severely punished. Looking at the Fed's liquidity strategies; the markets' possible direction from this point. In dealing with inflation, which data measurement matters? Him's, Her's, & Botox: The rise in Gen-Z use of cosmetics for better selfies. What is Stagflation, and do we really have it? Inflation tracks economic growth; stagflation = high inflation, low economic growth, & high unemployment. We currently have record low unemployment, inflation is about average, not high, and there is decently strong economic growth. This is not That '70's Show. YouTube chat response: You cannot double-count inflation. SEG-1: Markets Are at a Critical Juncture at the 50-DMA SEG-2: Three Paths for Markets Moving Forward SEG-3: Is There Really Stagflation? SEG-4: You Cannot Double-count Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Critical Resistance at 50-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFiJNHKMRm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicGrowth #EconomicStagflation #GDP #PCE #PriceIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are right at the 50-DMA which is critical resistance. It's make or break time: If markets break to the upside, we'll try to retest previous market highs at around 5,200. 80% of earnings reports are behind us, and those were "not great" with a very low beat rate. The majority of growth came from large cap companies. Earnings misses were brutally punished; rewards were not that great. The pressure at the moment is to the upside with the Fed becoming somewhat dovish at the moment. External distracions like the whether we'll get a recession, what's happening with ther Yen, and the geopolitical situation: Pay attention to markets in the near term with bias to the upside. IF we break below the 100-DMA, then we'll have someething to talk about. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFiJNHKMRm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PumpAndDump #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Apple's results + the Biggest Buyback Ever: Are iPhones becoming a high-tech toaster? Labor/Jobs Report preview; what the Fed may do. It is surprising the market is now down more than 5%. This has been a government-driven economy. Janet Yellen is a Marxist. Who will win the tax cut battle? We'll all lose. It's apsneding problem, not a revenue problem. Why are taxing lines drawn at $400k? The life of a WalMart manager; tax dollars go to waste. New Department of Valuations. Next Lunch & Learn preview: Medicare. Are advisors giving conflicting advice on Social Security? No one wants to address Medicare; get a second opinion before taking SS early. The surge in interest in annuities; Gen-Z would rather have insurance than stocks: Stable income from annuities. Gen-Z living frugally: The differing attitudes of younger generations. SEG-1: Apple Results & The Biggest Buyback Ever SEG-2: Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle? SEG-3: Are Advisors Giving Conflicting SS Advice? SEG-4: Why Gen-Z Would Rather Have Inusrance than Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/ "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Powell Holds Pat" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleStockBuybak #iPhoneSalesDrop #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #JaneetYellen #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing
Market volatility returns amid earnings season, with McDonald's, KFC, and Starbuck's reporting weak earnings, suggesting tru impact of inflation on consumers, wjho are becoming more price-conscious. Markets perform a pump & dump on Wedesnday, with stock retesting the 20-DMA...and failing. Pelaton earnings disappoint; the Fed holds rates steady; everything is fine, but they're not cutting rates. Discussion of what this means for markets, liquidity, and reduction of Fed balance sheet. The Treasury's Bond Strategy. Pelaton Drama: CEO Exit; what the Fed said; markets have already priced-in the plan. The Fed sees the economy is gradually slwoing, and wants to get ahead of recession. Underlying data is weaker than headline numbers. Powell says, "no stag, no flation." Apple earnings preview, flip-phones, '90's music, & The Rolling Stones. Warren Buffett says no eye-popping returns in store. Apple is not a high-growth company. Too many companies are buying back stocks at too high a price. Buybacks will provide some support for large-cap companies. The challenge is going to be economic growth: Will earnings estimates come down? SEG-1: Market Volatility Returns SEG-2: Peloton Earnings & Fed Holds Rates Steady SEG-3: Peloton Drama & What the Fed Said SEG-4: Apple Flip Phones, '90's Music, & The Rolling Stones Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/ "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens When Companies Miss?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #GoldilocksEconomy #RealRateOfFedFunds #RestrictiveRate #InflationaryConcerns #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets traded lower Tuesday, about 30-basis points below Monday's action. However, during the intra-day, markets underwent a massive flip: Stocks retested the 20-DMA following the Fed's announcement to hold rates steady; but in the final hour of trading, markets had a sharp sell-off to complete reverse all the day's gains. Markets will open higher today in an attempt to rally again. Technically speaking, a rising trend of bottoms is begining to emerge, and a consolidation wedge of prices is becoming apparent. This may be indicative of markets getting through the corrective process; May tends to be a weaker month, so more market sloppiness can be expected. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PumpAndDump #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers' elective surgeries are impacting insurors' actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the 'Metaverse' fading? Lance's Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers' different takes w/policy trial balloons. There has been no conversation about not cutting rates. (Markets and the Fed only pay attention to Government economic numbers.) Markets are now expecting only one rate cut and are up 8%: Is there really a need to cut rates? Markets will key-in on when rates are to be cut, and the relative dovishness of Jerome Powell. The Perfect Investment/revisited: The value of cash in portfolio holdings. SEG-1: Fed Day & Dovish Expectations, Market Correction SEG-2: Earnings Review: What happens when companies miss? SEG-3: FOMC Preview: Price Inflation Stickier than Expected SEG-4: The Perfect Investment & The Value of Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Normality of a 10% Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets came off support at the 100-DMA, rallied to the 50-DMA and failed in a first test of resistance. No dramatic surprise. The important thing now is to hold support at the 100-DMA. The month of April was somewhat weak, and historically, that leads to a stronger May; we'll see if that plays out because May tends to be a weaker-performing month, particularly during Presidential Election Years. There is potential for this correction to drag out, and the risk is the extreme deviation which remains at the 200-DMA at around 4,700. There is another 5% decline needed to get down to that level. Peak-to-trough, that would encompass a 10% correction that we've been talking about. And that would be completely normal. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #MarketPullback #InterestRates #HawkishFed #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Fed Meeting preview; earnings season contiunes, buybacks about to resume. What's up the the Yen? Corporations are the net buyers of stocks; the correction is done: There's lots of underlying support for markets; after two good market days, closing above 20-DMA, moving to re-test 50-DMA, but likely to fail, dependent upon Fed comments. Lance & Jonathan discuss the Astro's, dance team tryouts, and the problem with investor negativity. Similarities with AI and Dot-coms: Will this be the next crash? What will create a credit-related event? Why the current correction is done...for now. The ipact of stock buybacks; investing the contrarian way. Lance & Jonathan answer an email about The Perfect Investment: 10-yr. Treasuries vs Annuities; the three components of investing (you only get any two). SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview & The Yen SEG-2: Astro's, Dance Teams, & The Problem w Investor Negativity SEG-3: Why the Current Correction is Done SEG-4: The Perfect Investment Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Market Pullback Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Te4b0zqK2NA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Markets #Money #Investing
Futures are somewhat depressed after two good days in the markets, wjhich follow six days of selling. We noted that Sellers live higher, Buyers live lower. Markets closed above the 20-DMA on Monday, and the big test to day will be at the 50-DMA...which will likely fail. A market pullback ahead of tomorrow's Fed announcement would be no surprise. But, if the Fed says something that's perceived as being more hawkish, markets could certainly come down to test the 100-DMA. Comments reiterating plans to cut rates, however, could motivate markets higher above the 50-DMA over the next couple of weeks. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Te4b0zqK2NA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #MarketPullback #InterestRates #HawkishFed #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Market performance in election years is marked by investor anxiety over the outcome, and the potential for outlying risk. The FOMC Meeting this week: will the Fed halt plans for cuts, and possibily even hike rates? Expectations for strong employment numbers. Markets rally on PCE report, beginning to build a new, bullish trend. This will be a busy earnings week. When the correction comes, how you will play? The liquidity boost from tax receipts in April & October. Retail sales details: Are things as strong as they seem: Paying more to buy the same. Is AI the wave of the future for cargo shipping? The AI conundrum and the future of work: What happens to all those displaced? The economic impact of AI: Shrinking middle class, expanding lower class, concentration of wealth among the ultra-high class. SEG-1: Market Performance in Election Years SEG-2: When the Correction Comes SEG-3: The Devil in the Details in Retail Sales SEG-4: The AI Conundrum & Future of Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Building a New Bullish Trend?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0vWNP7EeBQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #SuckerRally #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #Shipping #Labor #FutureOfWork #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets rallied nicely on Friday on the latest PCE report that suggests the economy is doing very well, plus booming quarterly reports from Goodle and Microsoft. In theory a new, bullish trend in the market is beginning to build, with higher lows and higher highs. If we can break out of the convergence of the 20 and 50-DMA's, markets have a shot at re-testing previous highs. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0vWNP7EeBQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BuildingBullishTrend #Microsoft #Google #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets & Earnings Recap, PCE Preview: What is the Fed going to do? Tesla takes it on the chin; Mortgage rates and home prices are on the rise; are homeowners feeling trapped? How far will your money go in retiremetn? Higher taxes are coming; who'll pay the most? Training for Retirement: How to flip the switch from accumulation to de-cumulation; living without that paycheck. Budgeting and spending planning: Where does the money go? Compounding only works if the principal remains untouched. Automating savings. Putting underwear on a payment plan; the ugly truth about automobile financing. Wall Street exists to sell you product. Current tax code expires at the end of 2025; are you prepared to pay higher taxes? Who's really paying their "fair share?" What happens to capital gains rates? What about unrealized capital gains? SEG-1: PCE Preview: What Will the Fed Do? SEG-2: Training for Retirement SEG-3: Putting Underwear on a Payment Plan SEG-4: Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFO, w Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/ "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxBurden ##TaxCutsAndJobsAct #2024Election #TaxCodeExpiration #GovernmentInaction #TaxBrackets #IncreasingPercentages #Retirement #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
Lance is Back! What is really happening in Commercial Real Estate: Getting distressed inventories off the books at deep discounts. Market performance recap: Nice bounce off the 100-DMA; PCE coming: What it means & why it's important.Economic strength is keeping inflation high; can it last? After markets' nice sell off, downside risk still remains. Paying attention to economic reports and supply & demand; looking at Q1 GDP estimates; market review: Tesla & Meta: Narratives are fine, but look at the technicals. Bond auction narratives have been all over the place. Lessons for investors from the NFL: Avoid over-confidence. The difference between college & pro ball = retail vs pro investors. "Zig then the others Zag," Warren Sharp. "Groupthink = group stink," Doug Kass. Markets vs headlines; economic data vs polls; the steakhouse crowd vs the pubs; prices are the problem. The wealth gap plays havoc with inflation, which no one can really measure. SEG-1: What's Really Happening in Commercial Real Estate SEG-2: Economic Reports vs Supply & Demand SEG-3: Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft SEG-4: Steakhouse Crowds, Pubs, and Polls Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/ "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets' predicted sell off occurred, and there's still room to the downside. As we've noted, a 5 - 10% correction was very possible because of markets' extreme deviation from the 200-DMA. That gap still must be closed, and to do so will take the market down to about the 4700 level. We've already taken a 5.5% correction to the 100-DMA. Yesterday's impact of META and IBM did not help. Today we'll test support at the 100-DMA: If markets can hold at that point, we're likely going to be through the correction, However, if the market fails at the 100-DMA, it will then drop to test the 200-DMA to completely close that deviation. We're about halfway through the sentiment reversal cycle for the bulls. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DownsideRisk #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Was Lance Roberts eaten by cannibals? (He will return tomorrow!) How Tesla fell out of the Magnificent Seven; Tesla's storage technology vs cheaper Chinese EV's & the future of EV's. The true environmental impact of building EV's. The RIA 8-Ball predictions for PCE. What does realistic retirement look like? The impact of inflation, the Retirement Clock, & you. A discussion on the need for guaranteed income; how Gen-z will retire & the DNA of Super-savers. Educational goals and vocational training. Candid Coffee recap; the public are the best economists. Professional vs Trade careers & new hires' earnings; the impact of AI on personal skills. SEG-1: Tesla Falls off the Magnificent Seven SEG-2: What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like? SEG-3: How Gen-Z will Retire: The DNA of Super-savers SEG-4: Why the Public Are the Best Economists Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Five Financial Mistakes to Avoid if You're Retiring Within Five Years" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RealisticRetirement #VocationalEducation #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
Market Commentary: Are there more declines to come? What is the path forward for 5% Bonds? PCE and more earnings reports coming; How to crossover from accumulation to de-cumulation; topic teases: Keeping more of your inheritance; how to increase your inheritance. How to manage funds qwith legacy intent in mind. The important of financial planning before retirement; what is the rate of return you need? The importance of budgeting; financial mistakes you should avoid within five years of retirement; dealing with the rule changes. Dealing with and planning for Social Security. What is the income threshold for converting from pre-tax to Roth IRA? SEG-1: Market Commentary: Are the more declines to come? SEG-2: How to Manage Funds with Legacy Intent in Mind SEG-3: Five Financial Mistakes You Should Avoid Before Retirement SEG-4: Dealing with & Planning for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "We Are Likely Not Done with Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LegacyFunds #SocialSecurity #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing
After six days of market declines, is the Correction done? Election risk scenarios & market volatility; markets do not like uncertainty. PCE preview (the inflation gauge the Fed pays attention to). Markets break the 50-DMA, and are now sitting on the 100-DMA. The unsurprising uptick in inflation and the impact of higher raates; why commodities matter. Higher for longer, for not much longer: Rates must come down; NFIB preview. Hey, what happened to all the Ukraine aid US taxpayers propvided? Inflation is a function of supply & demand; where is the higher demand going to come from? Looking ahead to this week's PCE number, expecting the markets to bounce: Sell into the rally. SEG-1: Is the Correction Done? SEG-2: The Unsurprising Uptick in Inflation SEG-3: Higher for Longer, not much longer SEG-4: Economic Warnings from the NFIB Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have had a complete washout after six straight days of declines. The broke the 20-DMA, took out the 50-DMA, and markets didn't even breathe. As of Friday, we're sitting right on the 100-DMA, as we don't think this correction is yet finished. We do expect a rally up to about 5100, with the potential for another retest of the 100-DMA, and possibly even lower. There is now the possibility of a market rally up to a level of resistance, followed by another leg lower, before this correction is complete. Alternatively, we could have another rally straight up, depending upon how the current earnings season goes. Watch for a little sloppiness over the next few weeks; don't knee-jerk react right away to market moves, and use a rally to sell-into to reduce risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets respond to Israel attack on Iran; Procter & Gamble disappoints; markets are in a churning phase. Fed rate decisions & market behaviors. How much do you really need to survive in retirement (What's your number?) Managing expectations, spending habits, and dependency on Social Securituy; the scinece & art of financial planning; retirement realities. The intimate process of deliverying financial plans; Candid Coffee preview. The three phases of retirement: Go-go, Slow-go, & No-go. Real Investment "'Shrooms." Tax Foundation survey: Do you pay your fair share of federal taxes? SEG-1: Markets' Respond to Middle East Tensions SEG-2: How Much Do You Really Need to Reitre? SEG-3: Delivering Financial Plans & Real Investment Shrooms SEG-4: Do You Pay Your Fair Share? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/ "Immigration And Its Impact On Employment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/ "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are We On Japan's Path to Stagnation?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PayingTaxes #FairShareOfTaxes #TaxFoundation #MiddleEastTension #IsraelAttacksIran #FinancialPlanning #ThreePhasesofRetirement #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Husband Appreciation Day, Mother's Day, cooling Middle East tensions; the is the Fed allowing the system to percolate? Inflation remains sticky. Markets in correction mode; what happens when the 50-DMA breaks? What to do when the market bounces. Is Fd policy tight enough? The market and the Fed are, for once, on the same page. Foreign buyers' participation in auctions is good; markets are too driven by headlines and algorithms. Gen-Z "discoveries" and remakes of '80's movies; commentary on the good music of the late 1900's. Is higher inflation sustainable? The give and take in inflation metrics; CPI is mostly about shelter prices; the problem with CPI data. Caitlin Clark/WNBA pay vs NBA pay: The economics of sports. Where salaries come from, and understanding what's behind the headlines. Retail Sales in Feb vs Mar; full time vs part time jobs; the impact of immigration on employment. SEG-1: The Fed is Allowing the System to Percolate SEG-2: Is Fed Policy Tight Enough? SEG-3: Messing with Movies & Music; Is Higher Inflation Sustainable? SEG-4: NBA vs WNBA & The Economics of Sports Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/ "Immigration And Its Impact On Employment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/ "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Screw Up Retirement in 12 Easy Steps" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JapansEconomicStagnation #ReflationTrade #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #GenZDiscovery #80sMusic #WNBA #NBA #CaitlinClark #SportsEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets are still in a correction mode, and we've been talking about a looming correction since January, with markets continuing to grind higher along the 20-DMA. When the 20-DMA broke, the computer buying algorithms were tripped. Now we're down about 4% from the peak, working off the initial 5% of the correction. (Fibonacci primciple explained here.) After four-straight says of selling, markets are getting over sold, and preparing for a bounce. The question now becomes, whether to buy the bounce, or sell into the bounce? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #BreakTheTrendline #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Market Recap, Jerome Powell on rate cuts and stickier inflation; commodities on the rise = inflation. The CRB Index correlation with W. Texas Crude; no rate cuts until Fall? Markets break the 50-DMA; might be time to trim and rebalance for risk. Jury Duty and the Reflation Trade; Easter + Spring Break impact on March retail sales were underwhelming, following similar disappointment with February & Valentine's Day sales. How long can "buy-now, pay-later" last? How to screw up your retirement; the only way to wealth is by saving money; investing is for protecting wealth against inflation. The HODL Plan (hold on for dear life); avoid speculation. The demographic line of demarcation in saving for retirement; paying off credit cards, saving 30% of income; fully-fund 401-k. SEG-1: No Rate Cuts Until Fall? SEG-2: Reflation Trade is the New Bullish Theme SEG-3: How to Screw Up Your Retirement SEG-4: Retirement's Demographic Line of Demarcation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It May Be Time to Rebalance Risk" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYegngcRPlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Cracks Appear in the Market's Bullish Armor" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ReflationTrade #Retirement #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have broken the 50-DMA, which certainly says we're in the process of correction. We're on a very defined MACD Sell Signal, markets are oversold, and declining; we are expecting a bounce. We're oversold enough for a counter-trend rally, which should take us back to the 50-DMA: That is the point at which you should lighten up some positions, if needed, and do a little rebalancing. This does NOT mean to cut weight in general. Look for opportunities to rebalance risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYegngcRPlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #BreakTheTrendline #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Tax Day woes and audit fears; earnings season commences; What are companies saying? No corporate buybacks, removing major buyers of assets; pay attention to companies' guidance. Markets last week failed at 20-DMA, and tested 50-DMA as momentum slowed. Is not the time to sell? Use any bounce to rebalance risk, but avoid any knee-jerk reactions. Could this be a "buy-the-dip moment?" Lance's favorite bowl is like the market: There's a hairline crack. Inflation has been stickier, and higher-for-longer interest rates have been too high for too long. Preview: Tuesday's article on the Reflation Trade; how can every other country in the world have deflation while the U.S. continues to have inflation? Productive debt sv non-productive debt. Get ready for Tax Season impact on the market; more Americans are owing money this year. More IRS Agents = More audits = more returns/refunds delayed. The possibility of escalation in the Middle East; Legos for Adults (AFOL) SEG-1: Tax Day Woes & Earnings Season Starts SEG-2: Could This Be a Buy-the-Dip Moment? SEG-3: Cracks in the Market SEG-4: Tax Day Woes, Middle East Foes, & Adult Legos Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Sell?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpOOSOWZewk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Deal with Financial Stress" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay #EarningsSeason #FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets last week failed at the 20-DMA, and began to test the 50-DMA as momentum began to slow. The narrow trend channel had begun weakening, and the break in the 20-DMA was the first crack to appear in the market's bullishness. The question now is: Do you Sell? By the time markets have confirmed a sell signal, they're already oversold. Don't forget that we're still in the seasonally strong period of the year, and we're moving into what is likely to be a fairly good earnings season. So don't over-react; use whatever rally we get today or tomorrow to rebalance risk in your portfolio. Move slowly and avoid knee-jerk reactions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpOOSOWZewk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #BreakTheTrendline #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
CFP testing results & commentary on professional credentialling; the importance of the Health/Wealth connection; the importance of continuing education (CE); a brief history of JP Morgan and "too big to fail." Inflation is permatory, not transitory. Profit margins are not great because costs are up. Jerome Powell is trying to put out a fire with a water pistol; how many ate cuts now? There is still too much money in the system to really tame inflation. Real Wages have peaked: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?" What clients "think" about portfolios is the toughest thing for advisors to manage. If Trump is elected, he will have to deal with the next recession. April is stress-awareness month; why we don't sleep. Rosso's Brooklyn paper route, Candid Coffee preview, & dealing with Financial Stress. Intimidating financial topics: Cryptocurrency, Investing, & Budgets. Cryptocurrency is very speculative, very volatile. Budgets are like financial vegetables. Learning money management & writing your money script; tipping trends; the "Waiting" movie; shy we don't use Door Dash. SEG-1: CFP Test & Credentialing, Importance of Health to Wealth SEG-2: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?" SEG-3: Rosso's Paper Route & Dealing w Financial Stress SEG-4: Learning Money Management & Writing Your Money Script Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble. SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than Expected SEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically SEG-3: The Risk in Momentum Loss SEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Last year's market rally amid the AI chase and hopefulness for Fed rate cuts tracked right along a narrow channel around the 20-DMA. Then came Summer, and a market correction that hit in October. Markets formed a rounded top during that action, which is what we're beginning to see currently. Markets have operated similarly in a defined range along the 20-DMA and are now developing another rounded-top as the market starts to lose momentum. Theoretically, markets could take out last Thursday's low today...a process that is beginning to confirm a break in the trendline that goes all the way back to last year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BreakTheTrendline #CPI #InflationIsStillHot #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's CPI Day (with m/m inflation clocking in with a .4% increase, and a y/y gain to 3.8%, hotter than expected). Sheila Jackson-Lee's science experiment; the NFIB Survey does not bode well for small businesses:Sentiment falls to a new low based on poor sales. There remains a dichotomy between headline economic news and what's happening behind the scenes. Markets break below the 20-DMA, but regain support. Why what really matters is the data the Fed looks at. Portfolio Spring Cleaning; Five or six ways to save Social Security (but first, a history of SS); the mathematical realities. Why Pensions face the same problems; how to fix it; lock it off. Any viable solution is un-electable. The IPO saga of Truth Social; IPO behaviors. Never buy an IPO out of the gate. DJT still has much to prove. If only you'd invested in Microsoft back then...no one knew. SEG-1: CPI Day, She-jack's Science, Markets Hang on SEG-2: The Data the Fed Looks At SEG-3: Five Ways to Save Social Security SEG-4: The Saga of Truth Social & IPO Behaviors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hang Onto Support...barely" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9K1zTxVBKu0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Margin Debt Surges as Bulls Leverage Bets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #HotterInflation #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets continue to hang onto support at the 20-DMA by its fingertips. Expectations are for a .3% increase in inflation last month. (There's a mini-scandal swirling over the BLS releasing the data early to a few select banks.) [This report was recorded before the release of inflation numbers, up .3% m/m and up 3.8% y/y.] The change in calculating rent inflation raises the question of whether we're measuring the data or just manipulating it. A weak print will put us back on track of the 20-DMA trendline; a hot print could break support, pushing us towards the 50-DMA. If we get something close to expectations, markets may not do a lot today. Markets are hinging on expectations for rate cuts in June, which a weaker print would suggest will happen. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9K1zTxVBKu0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #InflationIsStillHot #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Some are disappointed the eclipse did not herald the Rapture; markets are holding firm at 20-DMA. NFIB preview vs CEO Confidence; why small business' mood matters. Interest Rates in different states; no change in bullish market trend (why not to knee-jerk react to market); but trend weakness is become more apparent. Consumer confidence vs Valuation (w/charts); why margin debt is like dynamite. Correction is coming, and will feel worse due to greed. The cost of margin debt as rates rise. Earnings Season preview: Are Regional Banks in trouble? Q1 guidance has been lower: What happens if interest rates do not fall? The magic number: $1.4-Million & The Flawed Math of Retirement; why Dave Ramsey is wrong; what realistic rates of return should be; Luxury goods vs S&P; rare whiskey vs colored diamonds. SEG-1: Eclipse Recap, Markets Hold Firm SEG-2: Consumer Confidence vs Valuation SEG-3: The Cost of Margin Debt SEG-4: The Flawed Math of Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Bullish Trend Weakening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg2KiRn3wBE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Inflation Scare Overblown?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCV8FsVyw_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=37s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Our advice to NOT have a knee-jerk reaction to last Thursday's markets dip below the 20-DMA was well founded, as markets were able to hold on to that support. As of this moment, last week's break in the 20-DMA has been negated: There has been no change in the markets' bullish trend. A key clue may be a decline in price momentum, however. What we need to watch for now is a close this week below the 20-DMA, which would confirm this weakness. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg2KiRn3wBE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Eclipse-mania is out of control. Fed speakers confirm they'll cut rates, but in no rush to do so. Jobs numbers tantalize markets; the impact of immigration on employment. Boomers & Gen-Z plans to splurge on groceries in 2024. Markets takeout the 20-DMA; will the break be confirmed this week? Putting Inflation into proper perspective; the three measures of inflation. The economic basics of Supply & Demand (and their impact on inflation). Your personal inflation is not the same as mine. What markets pay attention to (CPI). How to fix the power grid: Productive vs un-productive debt. Forgiving student loan debt doesn't make the debt go away; taxpayers will shoulder the burden of the unpaid debt. SEG-1: Solar Eclipse Day; Markets Test 20DMA SEG-2: The Three Measures of Inflation SEG-3: Inflation & The Basics of Supply & Demand SEG-4: Debt Issuance & Economic Activity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCV8FsVyw_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=37s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Confirm a Break of the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnA1TqbUguY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You Really Ready for Tax Day?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYfjniJpIkc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #MarketsTest20DMA #ThreeMeasuresofInflation #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
The mood in the markets for the past few months has been, so long as we're on the 20-DMA, don't worry about it; markets just keep going up. Well...on Thursday, markets took out the 20-DMA, then rallied on Friday to sit right on it. Today's market activity will technically be a test of that support. The 20-DMA has been consistent support for markets ever since the lows of November. So, this week is a "defining moment" for markets: Buybacks are in blackout for the next three weeks. Markets have been setting up for a bit of a decline. If the market closes below that 20-DMA this week, we will have a confirmed break of that support. This will bring the 50-DMA into focus fairly quickly. If, by Friday, markets have not reclaimed the 20-DMA, we're going to see lower prices in the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnA1TqbUguY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Market and economic data preview: How to respond in current environment. The U.S. is still the best house in a bad neighborhood. Fed folks now saying it's possible to have no rate cuts this year. Are you really ready for Tax Day? Danny & Jonathan run through some tips and strategies. The advantages and distinctions of IRA's vs Roth's: Tax liability now or later? What are the odds of taxes going up in the future? How to handle being retired and going back to work. How does this affect RMD's? How to think ahead strategically about taxes in retirement. Rather Roth for younger workers. The advantages of HSA's. How to pay for weddings: Vendors vs gifting; wedding cakes vs photos. How to deal with Social Security clawbacks. Market futures, gold, and oil commentary.es vs photos. How to deal with Social Security clawbacks. Market futures, gold, and oil commentary. SEG-1: A Tale of Two Economies: The Have's & Have-not's SEG-2: Are You Really Ready for Tax Day? SEG-3: Back to Work & RMD's SEG-4: How to Pay for Weddings & Deal w Social Security Clawbacks Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYfjniJpIkc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japans Lost Decades: Are We On The Same Path" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japans-lost-decades-are-we-on-the-same-path/ "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecmypMh1FPI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is America Mirroring Japan's Lost Decade" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTNuUiRW5fo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay2024 #SocialSecurityClawbacks #WeddingExpenses #TaxLiablity #TaxesInRetirement #JapansLostDecade #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketVolatility #MarketComplacency #AlanStanford #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisruption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
In this week's Fedapolooza, Fed spokespersons seem to be growing less hawkish about rates. Inflation is simply a function of supply & demand. There is a high correlation between GDP/CPI and interest rates. When inflation comes down, so will rates. Watching tomorrow's employment report: ADP is a poor predictor of BLS data. The Bernie Madoff trendline remains intact in markets; bullish sentiment is very high; bear sightings on Wall Street are rare. Technical trends of inflation are falling as the economy slows; comparisons of Japanese and U.S. economies; discussion on the economic impact on younger generations. Central Bank dominance: Control of markets destroys capitalism. Capitalism is eroding. Discussion of Capitalism vs Socialism and excessive government intervention: What the public demands. Inflation is the spark for public demand for fiscal support. Transportation and health services costs are up; housing is down (but lagging). 7% inflation was a supply/demand problem, which has been resolved. Supply-side and demand-side are both normalizing. Does the BLS report really matter anymore (because of the way it is calculated)? The "unemployed" can make more working for Uber than on unemployment benefits. Bernie Madoff, Alan Stanford, and the perfection of the 20-DMA; the saga of the Bernie Madoff whistleblower. Why markets are no longer based on fundamentals. The Madoff Line and the Wealth Gap. SEG-1: This Week's Fedapolooza SEG-2: Japanese Economics: From the Rubble to the Bubble SEG-3: Capitalism vs Socialism & Government Intervention SEG-4: Bernie Madoff, Alan Stanford, & 20-DMA Perfection Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTNuUiRW5fo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japans Lost Decades: Are We On The Same Path" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japans-lost-decades-are-we-on-the-same-path/ "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecmypMh1FPI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Powell Eclipse Market Expectations" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loIQra4zl7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JapansLostDecade #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketVolatility #MarketComplacency #AlanStanford #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisreuption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
The Bernie Madoff Trendline remains in place: Monday and Tuesday's selloffs were followed by Wednesday's recovery after bouncing off the 20-DMA trendline. The buying algo's kicked in to buy thie dips. Bullish sentiment is very high; there have been few bear sightings on Wall Street, of late. Margin debt is back on the rise, as well, which is also supportive of rising asset prices. Volatility remains extremely low. There is no concern, no risk, and much investor complacency. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AzLHu1gSp44&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=3 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketAlgorithms #BullishMarketSentiment #MarginDebtReturns #RisingAssetPrices #MakretVolatility #UnstoppableMarket #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The JOLTS survey rate continues to slow, coincident with a slowing economy; interestingly, retail hiring has dropped sharply, despite increased retail demand (another example of divergent indicators). The data might not be as strong as we think. The difference between Fed promises and predictions can be vast. Markets remain in a "perfect" trend channel; what happens when the 20-DMA is broken? Commentary on the coming solar eclipse, and markets' historic behavior following. What matters is what happens for the 12-months after such an event. Correction is coming. Answering emails: Stocks vs Bonds in current environment; managing risk is key. What happens to those in all-cash positions when rates fall? Gold & Silver may be doing very well, but are detached from current market reality; they will correct. Taiwan earthquake effects on semiconductor sector: A potential disruption could be coming. Baltimore bridge disruption. South Korea exports as economic indicator; dental floss & Kroger points: The struggle is real. SEG-1 The Difference Between Fed Promises & Predictions SEG-2: How Stocks Perform Following Eclipses SEG-3: Email Answers: Stocks vs Bonds in Current Environment? SEG-4: Potential Impact of Taiwan Earthquake Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loIQra4zl7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Markets' Unstoppable Rally Reaching its Conclusion? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNQ2U7sRi9M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Corrections Matter More than You Think" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUOXdv6rOo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisreuption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have been in a "perfect trend channel" for months, the top of which runs right along the 20-DMA. Today will be a test of this phenomenon again. Just because we may violate the 20-DMA does not mean to go out and sell everything. The subsequent rally needs to fail, and we need to see a confirmation of a break of the 20-DMA before taking any action. So if, on Friday, we are below the 20-DMA, and fail to get back above it, we will then have a better warning sign of the unstoppable rally potentially petering-out (this will eventually happen; it's just a matter of time). Do not have a kneejerk reaction to the first freak; let it confirm. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNQ2U7sRi9M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnstoppableMarket #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets delivered a post-April Fool's drop, while manufacturing metrics moved back into the expansion zone. Markets have now dropped the chances of a June interest rate cut to 50%; markets continue to trade in a particular range. The April 15 Tax Day bump may not materialize this year with the expiration of previous tax law. Gold is on a catch-up trade; will rotation trades continue? Investor sentiment remains high. The bullishness of Ken Fisher; Gains vs Declines: Market Math explained. The Truth about promised returns vs reality; market math & investor longevity. Markets always revert. No reason not to be bullish now; who expects to be richer in 2024? Gen-Z women are most optimistic. US College Majors with highest un-employment rates: Art History. SEG-1: Markets Drop Chances of Fed Rate Cut to 50% SEG-2: Gains vs Declines: Market Math Explained SEG-3: The Truth About Promised Market Returns SEG-4: Who Expects to Be Richer in 2024? Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUOXdv6rOo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Miss the Tax Day Bump?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AzLHu1gSp44&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What to Look for in Q1 Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srlOrEXPoTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have been trading within a particular range; their ability to break above that range may be impacted by the outcome of April 15, with previous tax laws expiring: More Americans are going to find they owe taxes, meaning less money to invest. Gold has been on a tear over the past month, part of the catch-up trade that commenced around mid-March. We've sen similar rotational behavior in Bitcoin and other assets in defensive sectors (think, Utilities). Will the rotation trade continue in April, moving out of the top seven into the other 493 companies in the S&P? Or will we see a rotation back into growth stocks? The markets remain fairly well-balanced at this point. Sentiment is positive, and household allocations for stocks are at the highest levels since the dot-com crisis. Everyone's bullish; earnings season begins next week, and the speculative mood is getting fairly extreme. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AzLHu1gSp44&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #April15TaxDay #TaxDayBump #SectorRotation #Gold #BitCoin #RealEstate #Utilities #LowMarketVolatility #AllTimeHigh #RiskIsBuilding #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
PCE Inflation is weaker, yet consumer spending remains robust; the Atlanta Fed is forecasting 2.3% GDP for Q2. Is this period nirvana for the Fed? The Relative Strength Index is stuck at 70. Markets continue a low-volatility advance, seemingly floating higher. The current environment typically leads to market correction. The next round of earnings commences next week; it will be unsurprising that to see a high percentage of companies “beat” Wall Street estimates. (The high beat rate is always the case due to the sharp downward revisions in analysts’ estimates as the reporting period begins.) Are investors paying more for less? California's new $20.hr minimum wage goes into effect today; cast study to come. The realities of the cost of labor; at what point do consumers say, "enough." What are the upper limits of the minimum wage (that was never intended to be a living wage)? SEG-1: Is Now Nirvana for the Fed? SEG-2: Financial Conditions vs Borrowing Conditions SEG-3: ATM Cash & Kids; Are Investors Paying More for Less? SEG-4: California's Higher Minimum Wage vs Economic Reality Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srlOrEXPoTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Set for All-time Highs. Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYuFjLIoi8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When Financial Conditions Butt Heads With Borrowing Conditions" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RxZpMp64N1Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets continue in a low volatility advance and could set another all-time high today. Markets are tending to be "floating higher," with little to deter investors. Economic data continues to come in in line with expectations, and there's no "stress' in terms of the markets; credit spreads remain exceptionally bullish. There's no sign of risk in the market, currently. Volatility has dropped down below 13 on the VIX; professional investors are running at 103% of allocations. This type of environment typically leads to a correction of some sort. (Preview: "Investing Lessons from Your Mother" are coming out this Friday (4/5). It's easy to start ignoring your portfolio; but this is exactly the time you don't want to do that. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYuFjLIoi8s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LowMarketVolatility #AllTimeHigh #RiskIsBuilding #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Consumer confidence for stock prices remains high, despite mixed econonic data. Asset prices are rising faster than earnings, as optimism is extremely elevated. Equal Weight Index is underperforming the S&P; Bond prices are improving. If Fed Chairman Jerome Powell doesn’t appreciate the difference between financial and borrowing conditions, we must assume most investors do not either. The current combination of easy financial conditions and tight borrowing conditions makes monetary policy difficult for the Fed to balance. Markets' advance for past 5-months begs the question, what's next? The risk is liquidity, which trips up banks, which trips of the economy. Stocks are becoming "crowded." The challenge of working with Gen-Z, recently cited as the least reliable employees. Why employee productivity matters. SEG-1: Mixed Economic Data; Setting Up for Bonds SEG-2: Financial Conditions vs Borrowing Conditions SEG-3: The Liquidity Risk SEG-4: The Challenge of Working w Gen-Z Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RxZpMp64N1Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Financial Conditions Butt Heads With Borrowing Conditions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/financial-conditions-butt-heads-with-borrowing-conditions/ "Technical Measures And Valuations: Does Any Of It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-measures-and-valuations-does-any-of-it-matter/ "Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-crisis-faces-government-and-corporate-pensions/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "A Bullish Set-up for Bonds," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RuKvGsaXmk4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Wall Street Wants to Save Your Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=34W7b1txFIc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MixedEconomicData #SettingUpForBonds #FinancialConditions #BorrowingConditions #FederalReserve #LiquidityRisk #WorkingWithGenZ #EmployeeProductivity #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
The Equal Weight Index has begun gaining traction, closing the gap with the S&P. Mid-caps have actually out-paced the Equal Weight Index, but still lags the S&P. Small-caps are the biggest laggard, still. Bonds have been picking up in price nicely of late, pushing up above a clustering of moving averages, creating a bullish set up for bond prices. We think bonds have a little more work to do because of what's going on with the Fed and inflation, but the set-up appears to be much improved for bonds. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RuKvGsaXmk4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondPricesImprove #BondYields #MarketExhaustion #RiskIsBuilding #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Sentiment Index is hanging in, despite weakening regional surveys; economists see no recession in sight; bank reserves have been rising since October 2022. End of quarter rebalancing is generating some activity; after three-days of selling, market futures are positive this morning. Watch markets' steep angle of ascent; this is not sustainable, and correction will result sooner or later. Lance's unique inflation indicator... Markets still act like there's a flood of liquidity when there's not; markets are bifurcated; Houston real estate is insane. Can Wall Street save your retirement? Larry Fink thinks so, or at least wants you to think he can; Blackrock & Merrill want to hold your money forever. Creation of Merrill's Target Date Fund. Why Annuities are so lucrative; three reasons why you should have one. A look at the origins of 401k's and how we screwed them up. The dearth of financial education. SEG-1: Economists See No Recession in Sight SEG-2: The Bifurcated Market & Houston Real Estate SEG-3: Larry Fink's "Solution" for the Retirement Crisis SEG-4: Three Reasons Why You Should Have an Annuity Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=34W7b1txFIc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Measures And Valuations: Does Any Of It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-measures-and-valuations-does-any-of-it-matter/ "Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-crisis-faces-government-and-corporate-pensions/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Steep Ascent is Unsustainable," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TE7VKucDYJk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Do Technical Measures & Valuations Matter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKNtRTENGiI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementCrisis #Blackrock #MarketValuations #MarketTechnicals #MarketBubblePsychology #MarketCorrectionIsComing #SocialSecurity #LarryFink #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
The end of the month of March marks another round of quarterly rebalancing in portfolios. Markets have remained within a well-defined trend channel for the past few weeks. After selling off for ther past three days, futures this morning are pointing a little higher. The markets' angle of ascent continues to be very steep, which is, ultimately, unsustainable. This is a sign of market exhaustion, with all the buyers in the market. Volatility remains low because investors do not perceive any risk to the market. But this is not a 'can't stop won't stop' market: It will not last indefinitely. These scenarios always end in correction. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TE7VKucDYJk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketExhaustion #RiskIsBuilding #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Baltimore Harbor is closed following the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, hit by an out of control freighter. Weaker Regional Economic Surveys are in contrast to economists ratcheting-up growth expectations: No one is expecting a recession. Liquidity continues to boost bullish mood on Wall Street. The market has steadily climbed for past 5-months, creating record deviations; for now, no fear. Valuations are a measure of market psychology: "If everybody has bought, who is left to buy?" - Sam Stovall. When Technicals & Fundamentals align (the problem for most investors is that they're too slow). All elements are now present for a reversion to the mean; just need a catalyst. What will turn buyers into sellers? The impact of more, earlier retirees on actuarial tables and Larry Fink's paycheck. Capitalism & The Wealth Gap; the decline in EV sales; why more people aren't saving more. SEG-1: Regional Economic Surveys Weaken SEG-2: Valuations Are a Measure of Market Psychology SEG-3: When Fundamentals & Technicals Align SEG-4: Retiring Too Early and Living Too Long Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKNtRTENGiI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Measures And Valuations: Does Any Of It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-measures-and-valuations-does-any-of-it-matter/ "Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-crisis-faces-government-and-corporate-pensions/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Will Retest the 200-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdsIUq3U-Lk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Market Bubbles a Function of Psychology?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LzgkNEySf6I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketValuations #MarketTechnicals #MarketBubblePsychology #MarketCorrectionIsComing #FederalReserveRateCuts #FedDotPlot #ContinuingResolution #SocialSecurity #LarryFink #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have scored very positive returns over the past five months. When markets are so deviated from the 200-DMA, ultimately, they will connect back down to that average. We've been here before. Statistically speaking, when the markets have been positive for five months, odds are the year will end on a positive note. The devil is in the details, and what happens between now and then. Despite the longevity of a bull run, markets will always revert to the mean. The market psychology and momentum will continue to push stock prices higher...for now. But at some point, a correction will occur, and you will get a buying opportunity. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdsIUq3U-Lk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RiskIsBuilding #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Stop the re-makes of '80's movies (Roadhouse)! Markets are going into 5th straight month of gains, remaining over-bought and trading in a very narrowly-defined trend channel. Money going into cryptocurrency (Memecoin) is indicative of late-cycle market speculative mood. The Coffee Maker saga continues; Market Bubble Psychology: What defines a market bubble. No two market bubbles are a like (w charts). The Fed's Dot Plots are worthless. How will the latest CR be funded? (More debt.) The mechanics of Social Security: more retirees earlier than expected. The things that always get paid when the government shuts down. The Baloney Bill is full of non-performing spending. SEG-1: '80's Movie Re-makes & Market Correction's a-comin' SEG-2: Coffee Maker Saga, Pt.2; Market Bubble Psychology, Pt.1 SEG-3: Coffee Pots & Marital Advice; Three Factors of Market Bubbles SEG-4: Don't Pay Attention to the Fed's Dot Plot Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LzgkNEySf6I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Risk is Building for a Correction...at some point" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2r6Il5U7oM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Beware the Risks in Medicare Advantage 2024" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvLFl9iD9GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBubblePsychology #MarketCorrectionIsComing #FederalReserveRateCuts #FedDotPlot #ContinuingResolution #BaloneyBill #GovernmentShutDown #SocialSecurity #MandatorySpending #NonProductiveSpending #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have had a very strong advance over the past 21-weeks. The one thing we keep paying attention to is the indicator of the convergence/divergence line, which has been stuck at a very high level. It is highly unusual that markets have been this complacent for so long. That will end at some point; the question is what will end it, and when?? Markets beginning to add breadth is an encouraging sign, but complacency is still a concern. Meanwhile, more speculative activity is beginning to emerge. Money moving back into cryptocurrency is indicative of the height of speculation. The Reddit IPO amid questionable fundamental underpinnings is another example of market exuberance--and normal for late-cycle market moves. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2r6Il5U7oM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RiskIsBuilding #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What do the Three Stooges and the Fed's rate cut plans have in common? Risk appetites are on the rise with the Reddit IPO; what if inflation heats up and the Fed cannot cut rates? We're living in a government-driven economy. The challenges to withdrawal rates: Goal-harvesting. Goal shifting when retirement guardrails change. The Reddit IPO: Let the euphoria burn away. Risks to Medicare Advantage plans in 2024: Pre-existing clauses. We now have to deal with reinvestment risks as rates begin to fall; alternatives to getting away from high fixed-income earnings. SEG-1: The Three Rate Cut Stooges SEG-2: Retirement Goal-harvesting SEG-3: Risks in Medicare Advantage 2024 SEG-4: Medicare Advantage Risks & Reinvestment Risks as Rates Begin to Drop Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Advice, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvLFl9iD9GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/blackout-of-buybacks-threatens-bullish-run/ "Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/ "Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Follow the Bouncing 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Will the Fed Rate Announcment Affect You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WRlC2YWWsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RisksInMedicareAdvantage2024 #FedRateAnnouncement #2024ChildTaxCredit #JeromePowell #MarketsBullishTrend #FederalReserve #Quantitat
Markets respond to the Fed rate announcement, indicating at least three rate cuts this year, the first one coming as soon as June. Danny & Jonathan discuss Bond behaviors in the aftermath and investor response to the Fed rate announcement. Changes to the Child Tax Credit for 2024 (it's not a deduction, but a credit against the tax you owe); caveat: It's not indexed for inflation. What about using insurance products as an investing tool. Danny & Jonathan discuss the evolution of annuities and the best approach for determining their usefulness; how to determine how much to invest in an annuity; the value of long term care policies. SEG-1: Economic Report Preview; Fed Rate Predictions SEG-2: Investor Response & Reaction to Fed Rate Announcement SEG-3: Child Tax Credit for 2024 SEG-4: The Evolution of Annuities: What's the Best Approach? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WRlC2YWWsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/blackout-of-buybacks-threatens-bullish-run/ "Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/ "Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Follow the Bouncing 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Your Ex Worth More Dead than Alive?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OsrCFm8pfPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateAnnouncement #2024ChildTaxCredit #JeromePowell #MarketsBullishTrend #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #MortgageRates #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
There's a definite correlation between changes in stock buybacks and changes in market performance. With the closure of the stock buyback window by the blackout period, the effects will be interesting, especially with the prevailing attitudes in an over-extended market. We also notice Bitcoin is having an excellent correction. Lance and Michael discuss the Fed's Dot Plot and plans for Quantitative Easing: Which problem is easier to fix: Creating recession or inflation? Bank of Japan is ending it's policy of negative rates; what will be the effect on the US? What's the risk to the currency carry trade? Japan's demographic problem. Is the Fed formulating a new type of QE? What QE does; is it inflationary? What the Fed can do; the stealth form of QE: Will it provide liquidity to markets? SEG-1: The Correlation Between Buybacks and Market Performance SEG-2: The Fed's Dot Plot & Plans for QE SEG-3: Bank of Japan Ends Negative Rates SEG-4: The Fed's New Form of QE Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVHBhdRcTus&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/blackout-of-buybacks-threatens-bullish-run/ "Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/ "Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Follow the Bouncing 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bull Market Trend is Showing Some Cracks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-ll-IYbDKA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketsBullishTrend #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #TheFedsNewQE #BankofJapan #TheFedsDotPlot #Markets #Money #Investing
The markets continue to bounce along the 20-DMA, each time touching the mark, the algo's kick in to push stocks to the top of the trading range. This pattern has continued for the past 250-days without a correction; a very complacent rise in markets. The longer this pattern continues, the closer a correction gets. Worth noting: The angle of ascent is beginning to flatten; a correction doesn't necessarily mean stocks have to decline; they could trade sideways long enough to allow the moving averages to play catch up as markets work off their over-bought conditions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion #Money #Investing
During the week we were off for Spring Break, absolutely nothing changed: There is still no reason for the Fed to cut rates, and markets have finally re-aligned with the Fed's "Dot Plot." The share buyback blackout window is imposed starting on Friday, which has been an important factor in the markets' rally. Yet the bullish trend continues; watch Apple as it implements Goggle's Gemini AI into iPhone O/S. Markets continue in their complacency: Watch for a break of the 20-DMA, and for the algo's to kick-in; that will likely signal a market correction. Why Lance's coffee is cold this morning (always read the reviews!) The recession countdown warning is on; the difference between full-time & part time employment numbers & the Economic Cycle; the Tyson Foods employment fiasco; why the economy isn't booming, as advertised; there's a market correction coming (and we need it); the National Association of Realtors (NAR) lawsuit settles, with possible consequences. SEG-1: Markets' Bullish Trend (and complacency) Continues SEG-2: The Recession Countdown Warning SEG-3: The Economy Isn't Booming as Advertised SEG-4: Correction is Coming (and we need it) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-ll-IYbDKA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/ "Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Watch for a Break in the 20-DMA for Correction Trigger," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bv5Bhtu-Klg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Holding Long-term Bonds, but not to Maturity" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tunq-ysXXHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketsBullishTrend #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #RecessionCountdownWarning #MarketCorrection #EmploymentAsRecessionIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/18/24) In one week's time (while we were on vacation, literally nothing changed in the markets. Markets' bullish trend continues, with future also trending higher this morning. Watch Apple following its agreement to implement Google's Gemini AI into iPhone. The signal you're seeking to reduce equity risk will be a break in the 20-DMA, and as the algorithms begin to sell on that break, that could produce a market correction. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bv5Bhtu-Klg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion #2024Election #Money #Investing
Earnings growth are a function of economic growth; the US Economiy is de-coupled from the rest of the world, which economy is poor. The danger of deficits (that are funding our economic growth); SOTU Preview: "The economy is great." Market continues trading in a very tight range, but ever upward; this is when complacency sets in. The market is setting up for correction as the election draws nearer. Are we in a bubble or the market top; how to justify valuations. Cisco vs Nvidia: What is Nvidia worth now? The correlation between Bank reserves and the market. Powell says the Fed's next move will be a rate cut by EOY. Stocks in the news with less liquidity in the market, yet, financial (lending) conditions are easing? Borrowing activity is at an all-time low: Conditions are very tight. Why the Fed won't act now; the Banks own the Fed, and Jerome Powell's boss is really Jamie Dimon. If the Fed sees liquidity shrinking, does the market know? Employment & Quit Rate/hiring Rate dichotomies; ADP vs BLS: Data skews make it difficult to tell, but there's no real growth. Being "Bougie Broke:" continuing to buy using buy now/pay later programs: How long can that last? SEG-1: Earnings Are a Function of Economic Growth SEG-2: Market Bubble or Market Top? SEG-3: Who Really Owns the Fed (and who's Jerome Powell's real boss)? SEG-4: Being Bougie Broke: How long can Buy-now, Pay-later last? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXVK_PSMGOg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Liquidity Problems Are Closer Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/liquidity-problems-are-closer-than-you-think/ "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Being Complacent About the Market is Dangerous," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPSkUju2wG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Inflation is Affecting the Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3l692sxS5g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LiquidityProblems #MarketLiquidity #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #SuperTuesday #PresidentialElection #GovernmentMatchTo401ks #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing
Same song, second or third verse: Markets continue to trade within a very tight range, not making any huge advances while slowly trading upwards. This is the dangerous part of the market, where complacency sets in. The "Can't stop/won't stop" market attitude is a repeat of exactly what we saw last year with the AI and Nvidia craze, the MACD signal was stuck at a very high level; we were at over-bought levels for an extended period of time...exactly the same situation that we currently have. Don't forget, too, last Summer, we caught that 10% correction. We don't think that's going to repeat today, but sometime over the next few months, especially as the elections draw nearer, you should expect some type of corrective action. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPSkUju2wG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion #2024Election #Money #Investing
Super Tuesday seems to have locked-up the next Presidential contest pairing; economic data is not so good, yet market exuberance continues. Fed speakers abound today ahead of the Fed's blackout period. A record-setting Yield Curve Inversion is underway, still without recession. Markets continue to trade in a narrow range, like clockwork; volatility actually declined. Are we at the top, and not a bubble? Correction this year is very likely; Bitcoin joined by Gold as a speculative asset. The proposed government match to 4-01-k's: Nice idea, but few will be able to take advantage; and what about the unintended consequences? the effect of inflation on the economy. Why cap savings? IF the economy is doing so great, why do we feel so bad about it? The Hunger Games & the Kellogg's boycott. SEG-1: Super Tuesday & Market Divergence from Economy SEG-2: Are We at the Top or in a Bubble? SEG-3: The Government Match to 401-k's SEG-4: If the Economy is so Great, Why Do We Feel so Bad? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3l692sxS5g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why No One is Hedging Portfolios," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8AyO87zRqE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Valuation Metrics Suggest Investor Caution" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVRpyk74gSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1243s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #SuperTuesday #PresidentialElection #GovernmentMatchTo401ks #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets continue to trade within a very tight range, touching support yesterday. Watch computer algorithms kick-in at the open today to buy the 20-DMA. The current trend is long in the tooth: You typically don't see this level of activity with such low volatility for this long without some kind of corrective move. We don't think there's any reason to worry until we violate that trend line, which WILL happen eventually. Volatility actually declined on Tuesday, and remains at such low levels as we haven't seen since before the 2020 Pandemic Shutdown. No one is expecting a decline, so portfolio insurance is extremely cheap; no one wants to pay to hedge portfolios. Keep an eye on the 20-DMA, because if we break that, there will be bigger selling programs that kick-in. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8AyO87zRqE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #HedgingPortfolios #PortfolioInsurance #MemeStocks #MarketMoneyRotation #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion #Money #Investing
Economic Data releases and Fed speeches today will resonate with a rising commentary of no rate cut(s) this year, thanks to sticky inflation. Target's earnings show the consumer is still spending; markets continue in 4-month advance, longest since 1970. Preceding a correction? Markets are operating in a narrow trend channel, with money rotating out of Magnificent Seven Stocks and into meme stocks. Markets are in the midst of bullish exuberance; Lance's emails are the best contrarian indicator. Valuations are an indicator of sentiment; why FOMO trumps Fundamentals; rationalization and the numbers game: Making up metrics to rationalize valuation: We're still paying too much for equities. Bitcoin & ETF's: The Dark Side of the Coin. Shorting ETF's adds an additional layer of volatility. Peter Schiff: ETF's are the tail wagging the Bitcoin dog. There's more volatility to come in cryptocurrencies. Jeff Bezos now the richest man; what's a few more zeros? SEG-1: Markets in the Midst of Bullish Exuberance SEG-2: Valuation Metrics Suggest Investor Caution SEG-3: Why FOMO Trumps Fundamentals SEG-4: The Dark Side of ETF's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVRpyk74gSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1016s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Markets' Four-Month Advance," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNHX7Ni-R6Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Warren Buffett's Cash Dilemma" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h15FiMIsVwg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=132s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets continue their march ever upward, trading in a very narrow range. This current four-month advance is one of the longest in market history, going back to the '70's for anything like it. The magnitude of the advance is roughly 20%. These massive advances typically occur just before you get a correction. An advance of this duration, accompanied by low volumes of volatility, is not normal. But...underneath the surface, there's a rotation out of the Magnificent Seven Stocks back into more speculative assets, the meme stocks (stocks whose popularity is primarily derived from retail investors through social media). High yield bond funds are doing well now because there's no apparent risk in the market. Historically, this always turns out badly for investors. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNHX7Ni-R6Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #MemeStocks #MarketMoneyRotation #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion #Money #Investing
Markets are entering the three strgonest months of the year; what if interest arwets aren't cut? February was unusually strong for a "weak" month; what happens during Presidential Election years? Looking at Volatility risk. Markets have been up for 16 of the past 18-weeks; such activity generalluy heralds a correction. Warren Buffett's annual letter: What do to with $160-B in cash? The dilemma of cash and valuations; cash held by corporations is at an all-time high; Buffett's favorite metric is Market Capitalization to GDP Ratio. Why it's hard to find "reasonably priced" companies. When investing becomes gambling; the risk of market correction coming. Dumb Money vs Smart Money: Teaching kids to invest, not gamble. SEG-1: Entering Three Strongest Months of the Year SEG-2: Warren Buffett's $160-B Cash Pile SEG-3: When Companies are Strikingly Over-priced SEG-4: Dumb Money vs Smart Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h15FiMIsVwg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=132s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Chase is Fueling Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqVO5HqcW9A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Plan for the Social Security Income Cap" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TGn5ICWStj0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #WarrenBuffetsCashDilemma #StockBuyBacks #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #BerkshireCashDilemma #BullTrendContinues #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #InvestingVsGambling #MarketCorrection #DumbMoney #SmartMoney #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets have been 'up" 16 out of the past 18-weeks in a relatively low-volatility, narrow trading channel, creating an ever-larger divergence from the 200-DMA. Markets are up 20% in those 18-weeks. The last time we saw something like this was in 1970. The lows of last October were routed by an AI chase, and here we are again with markets sustained by another AI chase. The length of time that the MACD has been flat at such high levels is unusually long. Each time that has occurred, it has led to more corrective outcomes in the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqVO5HqcW9A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #AIChaseEffect #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion#Money #Investing
Stock buyback activity is on pace to reach new, all-time highs (and it's only the end of February!) One reason for the gap between large-cap companies and small- and mid-caps is bigger companies' ability to pour cash into buybacks. Will election season cause Wall St. to reduce risk? GDP and Consumer Sentiment numbers all revised downward, but confidence remains high in markets' ability to perform. Lance & Michael discuss volatility in portfolio performance within complacent markets (volatility is negatively correlated with markets.) Indicators are never perfect; avoid basing portfolio on just indicators. Examining the pace of stock buybacks: Are they really of value? Why pay a premium? Buybacks increase share price, not value. Apple vs Tesla: There has been no real innovation from Apple to warrant expensive stock price. Companies buy back stocks at the expense of R&D investment = innovation. PCE preview & commentary: it's a one-month number. What's the trend show? SEG-1: Stock Buybacks on Pace for New All-time Highs SEG-2: Volatility vs Complacency SEG-3: Are Stock Buybacks Really a Value? SEG-4: Why Are Apple Valuations High w/out Innovation? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2R68Md9VPkw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Apple's Magic- Are Buybacks Worth Paying Up For?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/apples-magic-are-buybacks-worth-paying-up-for/ "This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/ "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Heading Towards Reversion in Stock Prices," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2cbaFDuxc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=15s ------- Our previous show is here: "11 Pearls of Investing Wisdom from Warren Buffett" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w42zyOime0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=29s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #StockBuyBacks #ConsumerSentimentDownwardRevision #PresidentialElectionSeason #MarketRisk #AppleInnovation #TeslaInnovation #StockSharePrice #StockValuation #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/29/24) Markets are operating in a very narrow trend channel; the sell-off on Wednesday occurred when markets touched the top of that channel and backed off, like clockwork. Markets have continued to stair-step higher like this ever since November. The MACD indicator, at an over-bought level, continues to trade flatly as the market grinds higher. There continues to be a negative divergence in momentum. The Volatility Index remains at historically low levels, and this entire structure in the market is not at all healthy. It cannot continue like this indefinitely, and will lead to a reversion in stock prices. The only question is, 'when?' Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaW5dngkBys&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #MACDindicator #NegativeDivergenceInMomentum #LowVolatilityIndex #StockPriceReversion# Money #Investing
Markets continue to trade sideways as the latest earnings season draws to a close. Stock buy-backs will continue for the next three weeks, and then halt in preparation for the NEXT round of earnings reporting. Warren Buffett on buy-backs: Need to occur when companies are under-valued relative to markets for optimal effect; companies are now buying back at high prices. Company stocks are still trading despite 40% reporting negative earnings. What happens when men get sick; Lance answers an email about struggles with higher expenses, despite zero debt; Lance & Danny discuss families' cost-cutting strategies. Wendy's experiments with surge pricing; investing wisdom from Warrenn Buffett: What's he going to do with all that cash? The temptation for "catching-up" in portfolios, and the lure of outsized gains; scam artist, catfishing, and pig butchering. SEG-1: Earnings Season Wraps as Markets Trade Sideways SEG-2: When Men Get Sick; How to Trim Expenses SEG-3: Costs of Kids' Activities & Surge Pricing at Wendy's SEG-4: Catching-up & the Lure of Outsized Gains Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2cbaFDuxc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=15s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/ "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Small- and Mid-cap Stocks Playing Catch-up? is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn0Jg9v6U_s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "This is Nuts - An Entire Market Chasing One Stock" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w42zyOime0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=29s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #WarrenBuffettInvestingWisdom #EarningsSeasonEnds #StockBuyBacks #WendysSurgePricing #LureOfOutsizedGains #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/28/24) Market futures are not doing a whole lot this morning, which has been the story for stocks the past few days: Small- and Mid-cap stocks look improved in the short term with the recent sideways consolidation. But there is a very big lag between large-cap stocks and the rest of the market. Speculation in Small- and mid-cap stocks is reaching rather extreme levels. About 40% of these companies are trading, but have negative earnings, which will impact valuations going forward. Remember, these smaller companies are more susceptible to any economic slowdown. The Volatility Index continues to remain exceptionally low with no fear in the market. A higher level of volatility could provide the fuel for a change in the markets' fortunes. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn0Jg9v6U_s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SmallCapStocks #MidCapStocks #BroaderMarketStocks#Markets #LowVolatilityIndex #Money #Investing
Preparing for this week's economic data releases; what the Fed looks at for Inflation; earnings season concludes with good beat-rate...on lowered expectations. Dow Theory theory and Amazon's joining the S&P 500: When does Nvidia enter the index? Analysts are raising targets for the S&P to 5800 by the end of the year, based on performance of Nvidia and other tech stocks: This is nuts. Markets continue to trade within narrowly-defined trading range based on rising 20-DMA. Marriage Rules are nuts; Nvidia's price-to-sales ratio is un-attainable and un-sustainable. Nvidia's market share gains are other stocks' market share losses. Wall Street's perceptions of the economy vs the rest of us; the dichotomy between headline economics and reality. Why food is taking a bigger bite out of our budgets. Current economic growth is being sustained by debt, public and private. Why childcare has become so expensive. Markets function on Gov't. economic data, despite the disconnect with street reality. SEG-1: Analysts Raising Targets for S&P 5800 by EOY SEG-2: Marriage Rules & Nvidia's Price to Earnings: Nuts SEG-3: Nvidia's Market Share Gains are Others' Losses SEG-4: Headline Inflation vs Economic Reality Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w42zyOime0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=29s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/ "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "20-DMA Remains Key Support for Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3xwpy4vnP3c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Small Cap Stocks May Be at Risk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cvcv-PgF2Yg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #NvidiaStock #PriceToEarningsRatio #S&P5800 #EconomicSlowdown #HeadlineInflation #Markets #Money #Investing
The market is trading within a very defined trend-channel that goes back to November. Every time we get to the top of the trend channel markets sell-off, which is exactly what happened on Monday. As long as the 20-DMA continues to hold, that remains key support for the market. If markets break through the 20-DMA, it will be a indicator of a impending, larger move to the downside. For now, however, there is nothing warranting that action. The rising market and negative divergence in relative strength is a warning sign that market run is getting long in the tooth. There is going to be a correction at some point; are you ready? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3xwpy4vnP3c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #SP5000 #BullishMarketTrend #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #20DMA #Markets #Money #Investing
Stretching February to the absolute limit this week, as earnings season winds down. Next up: Economic activity metrics. Why are economists giving up on Recession, now expecting 2% growth? The difference between what's happening in the economy and the stock market. Recession may be off the table for this year, but it's still coming. There is still no reason to be overly bearish about the market. Why small cap stocks may now be at risk; are all things equal? The case for (or against) small cap stocks: We're not beyond the risk of economic slowdown; be cautious of narratives. Why now is a good time to trim risk. SEG-1: Wrapping up Reporting Season & February SEG-2: Why Small Cap Stocks May Be at Risk SEG-3: We're Not Beyond the Risk of Economic Slowdown SEG-4: Pre-market Commentary: Why It's a Good Time to Trim Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cvcv-PgF2Yg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens If We Take Out the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tU8I7FSiYOk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What to Do When You Regret Retirement?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H73b2Frkhs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #SmallCapStocks #RiskOfRecession #EconomicSlowdown #Markets #Money #Investing
Nvidia earnings did extremely well, jolting the entire market higher by 2% on Thursday, and momentum carried the S&P higher on Friday, closing at an all-time high. So how does a company like Nvidia guarantee growth in a company like VISA? Call options on stocks are reaching very high levels, investor sentiment and exuberance are also at very high levels; positioning by portfolio managers is very long on equities. This is not a bad thing within this momentum-driven cycle, there is nothing wrong with markets, so no reason to be overly-bearish. Until we violate the trend line at the 20-DMA, there is not much with which to be concerned. Markets remain over bought, and additional upside is going to be a challenge. The key thing for risk management is what happens if we take out the 20-DMA, which potentially sets up for a bigger contraction. Have we been here before? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tU8I7FSiYOk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #NVIDIA #VISA #SP5000 #BullishMarketTrend #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #20DMA #Markets #Money #Investing
Is Nvidia more than a market darling, and has it entered the "tulip stage?" (We don't know when the tulip will die.) How to invest with the maddening crowd without going mad. Candid Coffee preview (registration link is below!) Couples, Money, & Communication: Make it fun (Amazon shots?) Pensions vs Social Security: the confounding Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) and Government Pension Offset (GPO) rules. Why you cannot (fully) take both SS and Pensions. What to do when you regret retiring; even transition to retirement is a regret. Why small business owners sabotage their transition. Failing to prioritize health in retirement; the new Score dating app. Why retirees have regrets; How to leave a legacy without heirs. The importance of physical excercise for mental health & wellness. The increasing role of grandparents in family dynamics. SEG-1: Is Nvidia in the Tulip Stage? SEG-2: Couples, Money, & Communication; Social Security, WEP, & GPO Rules SEG-3: What to Do When You Regret Retiring SEG-4: How to Remain Healthy, Happy...and Married in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H73b2Frkhs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Rally Remains Intact," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are the Magnificent Seven Stocks in a Bubble?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpXr_ftZR_U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #TulipStage #CouplesMoney #MoneyTalk #MoneyCommunication #RetirementPlanning #RetirementRegrets #TransitionPlanning #WindfallEliminationProvision #GovernmentPensionOffset #Markets #Money #Investing
Has Nvidia become the world's most-valuable company? The S&P is aiming at more all-time highs, but can they hold? Fed minutes reveal no rush to cut rates. The disconnect with markets' expecting more cuts. Will the Fed reduce QT as money flows into markets? Meanwhile, markets continue to test rising trendline at 20-DMA, as consolidation continues. No reason to be bearish on markets...yet. What markets missed from Fed Minutes: the quantity of rate cuts to come. An unexpected risk: Effects of balance sheet run-off as Fed adjusts QT to manage liquidity. The unstoppable market: What is happening to Fed's repo program; the Fed Liquidity Index. Have we returned to a bubble in Magnificent Seven stocks (and are they worthy of current valuations)? The hard part about managing portfolios: How does the Japanese Nikkei hit an all-time high for the first time in 34-years, even as Japan's economy is in recession? How bubbles start: When Prices and Valuations rise faster than the economy. SEG-1: Nvidia: The World's Most-valuable Company SEG-2: No Reason to Be Bearish on Markets...yet SEG-3: The Can't Stop/Won't Stop Market SEG-4: Japanese Nikkei Hits All-time High...finally Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpXr_ftZR_U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Rally Remains Intact," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Nvidia Break the Market?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPzraJEgjfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #NvidiaEarnings #MarketTrendLine #NegativeDivergence #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #FederalReserveLiquidityIndex #JapanNikkeiHitsAllTimeHigh #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets sold off Wednesday to test the primary trendline of the bull rally at the 20-DMA. This behavior confirms, for the moment, that the bull rally remains intact. Thanks to Nvidia's big earnings report yesterday, we're expecting a big jump at the open this morning. There are two key things to watch: We still have this consolidation going on, as markets really haven't gone anywhere for the past couple of weeks. The over-bought condition in relative strength, however, has been declining, creating a negative divergence between markets and relative strength. If, in the short term, relative strength can improve, the sell-signal will flip to "buy," and markets will continue to move higher. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #SP5000 #BullishMarketTrend #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #20DMA #Markets #Money #Investing
It's Nvidia earnings reporting day, and as tech companies have driven markets of late, the results, and the company's forward guidance, could have a huge effect. Earnings expectations are extremely high; risk of disappointment is high. The S&P is testing a rising trendline at the 20-DMA, against a negative divergence in relative strength. The dichotomy is unsustainable. The Conference Board releases latest survey of leading economic indicators, down for a 23rd consecutive month (but no one is expecting Recession!) What is keeping us out of Recession is remaining liquidity from government cash injections. No Recession because of "strong consumer spending," but is it, really? Spending more at the store, but buying the same or less. WSJ survey shows grocery spending as % of income at a 30-year high. The economic surge of 2021-22 is reversing. New student loan forgiveness schemes = more liquidity to spend. Palo Alto Networks' performance: Know the percentages. An over-valuation correction is coming: why forward guidance matters. SEG-1: Nvidia Day & Risk Evaluation SEG-2: What's Keeping Us Out of Recession? SEG-3: Why Food Spending is at 30-year High SEG-4: Why an Over-valuation Correction is Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPzraJEgjfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Protect from the Coming Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0p2G5Y7jcfY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Don't Fear the All-time Highs" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VYXS-Ed4Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #NvdiaForwardGuidance #WhatsKeepingUsOutOfRecession #MarketTrendLine #NegativeDivergence #GroceryPriceInflation #FoodPriceInflation #ConferenceBoardLeadingIndicators #SpendingMoreBuyingLess #PaloAltoNetworksPerformance #KnowThePercentages #Markets #Money #Investing
The big tech names were a drag on the overall market on Tuesday, with the S&P slipping to test the 20-DMA once again, which has been a rising trend line for the past few months. If the market against tests today, and fails, look for the S&P at 4800-ish, at about the 50-DMA. Note, too, along with that rising trend line, a negative divergence in relative strength. When prices are rising as momentum deteriorates, this suggests the need for a correction; what the catalyst might be for that event, no one knows. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0p2G5Y7jcfY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #BullishMarketTrend #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #MomentumDeterioration #MarketCorrection #ReducePortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #Markets #Money #Investing
There are "Dow Days" and "NASDAQ Days;" CPI inflation is still transitory; emerging influence of presidential election on Congress' ability to manage debt & spending, M-2 as % of GDP. There is little expectation for earnings growth this year. Markets remain in bullish trend, but a negative day today could trigger MACD Sell-signal. Time to reduce portfolio risk and wait until correction to put capital back to work. Instead of fearing market exuberance, understanding what drives it can provide you with insight and opportunity. A look at Employment data and the frustration of college grads unable to find jobs. The Immigration connection to it all: Why we need (merit-based) immigration: Demography is destiny. SEG-1: Dow Days vs NASDAQ Days: Correction Coming SEG-2: Understanding All-time Highs SEG-3: Employment Data & The Immigration Connection SEG-4: Why We Need to Have (Merit-based) Immigration Today Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VYXS-Ed4Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain in Bullish Trend," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aype3sudCwk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should I Delay Social Security?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_oLzjApvS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #TransitoryInflation #DowDays #NASDAQDays #ReducingPortfolioRisk #MarketCorrection #UnderstandingAllTimeHigh #EmploymentDynamics #MeritBasedImmigration DemographicsAreDestiny #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets were closed on Monday, after ending negative on Friday; the market rallied back to previous, all-time highs after touching the 20-DMA for a healthy intra-day correction. The result was a negative week overall, but just barley. Still, the market remains in a bullish trend, but very close to triggering a Sell-signal. With markets being down at the open, if we do have a negative day, we will likely cross into a MACD Sell-signal. That doesn't mean we'll have a big, major correction (we've been here before); but eventually, we are going to get a bigger sell-off. The key is to be prepared for that lower entry point. Now is the time to trim risk from your portfolio and Be Patient. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aype3sudCwk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #BullishMarketTrend #ReducePortfolioRisk #20DMA #MACDsellSignal #Markets #Money #Investing
The Fed is in no rush to lower rates, based on the latest economic data; we've gone from transitory to permatory inflation; rents are not going to fall, but rates are not going to go up. Fed Gov. Bostick: Rates are not going down until later, based on Labor data. Candid Coffee preview: The problem with Financial Infidelity; does it pay to delay taking Social Security? (It depends...) What's the best claiming strategy? Rich & Danny critique AI-generated Candy Hearts; why RMD's are going to be trickier; the benefits of delay; impact of Roth conversions. What happened to the stretch-IRA? SEG-1: No Rush for Fed to Lower Rates SEG-2: The Problem of Financial Infidelity; Does it Pay to Delay taking SS? SEG-3: AI-generated Candy Hearts; Why RMD's are Going to be Trickier SEG-4: Best Strategies for Company Stock & NUA's Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_oLzjApvS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Toyota The Next Tesla?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-toyota-the-next-tesla/ "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retail Sales Dip .8%," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Toyota the Next Tesla?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bcTBUuxKO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=502s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #LoweringInterestRates #FederalReserveBostick #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #FinancialInfidelityProblem #DelayingSocialSecurity #TakingSocialSecurity #AIGeneratedCandyHaerts #RMDStrategies #CompanyStockSales #CouplesMoneyHabits #Markets #Money #Investing
The post-Valentine's Day afterglow; Markets are not behaving like it's February (typically a weaker month), so far. The NFIB Small Business Survey belies weaker conditions and negative sentiment; there is a correlation between the NFIB and Small Cap Index. Markets continue to do well, despite weaker economic activity; bonds showing promise; NVIDIA captures 3rd place in S&P 500, unseating Amazon & Google. Commentary on pending legislation to reclassify Homelessness as a Healthcare issue; economic data preview: Retail Sales could be weaker; PPI and weaker regional manufacturing reports; the impact of Government Debt is a drag on economic growth; the continuing effects of fiscal stimulus. The Components of CPI: Homeowners Equivalent Rent/Shelter vs PCU (what the Fed looks at); the flaws in sampling data: Focus on trends, not monthly data. The consequences of too much debt, with Japan as an example, now in recession. China, Germany, and Japan are all in recession, yet the US remains immune? Toyota vs Tesla: 9% of US car sales are hybrid. The next advance in battery technology: Solid state Lithium batteries. Toyota is in the lead; Tesla is working on version 2.0 of current battery (no pun intended). SEG-1: Markets Aren't Behaving Like it's February SEG-2: Reclassification of Homelessness; the Impact of Government Debt SEG-3: Looking at the Components of CPI SEG-4: Is Toyota the Next Tesla? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bcTBUuxKO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=502s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Toyota The Next Tesla?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-toyota-the-next-tesla/ "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retail Sales Dip .8%," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's CPI Day! - the impact that gas prices may have" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #RetailSalesDisapploint #WeakerEconomicActivity #ReclassificationOfHomelessness #ToyotaVsTesla #HyrbridAutomobileTechnology #SolidStateLithiumBattery #Markets #Money #Investing
Retail Sales were expected to be weaker than expected (sure enough, January Retail sales were down .8%) which could potentially affect today's activity. On a short-term basis, markets are doing fine, bounding off the 20-DMA, and the bullish trend remains intact. The real challenge is the gap between the S&P and the underlying 200-DMA, and the further we move away from that, the harder it will be for prices to continue to move up. At some point, some type of corrective action will occur. Bonds continue to do well after a nice pullback. Bond prices are holding support as we become more oversold. We're looking for additional rotations out of stocks into bonds as markets begin to work off a bit of over-exuberance. NVDIA continues to have a very strong run, surpassing Amazon and Google in terms of market cap, securing its place as the number-three stock in the S&P Index. NVIDIA is up almost 30% this year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P Index Set To Hit 5000 As Bull Run Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-index-set-to-hit-5000-as-bull-run-continues/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #RetailSales #BullishTrend #RetailSalesDisappoint #BullishMarketTrend #20DMA #BondYield #BondPrices #Markets #Money #Investing
Valentine's Day Google searches; January CPI came in a little hotter than hoped, triggering market correction. How does this set up a buying opportunity for Bonds? The primary factor in CPI this time was in Homeowners' Equivalent Rent. A market correction is not a crash. Valentine's Day safe practices at the Ratliff household. Why wannabe retirees might not be as ready to retire as they think. The mistake of getting out of the market. The realities of Retirement and financial planning. Discussion on Market's one-day shock over CPI, and that pesky, sticky inflation creating a rate cut conundrum for the Fed. What a Recession would cure (why Recession is not a bad thing). SEG-1: CPI Triggers Correction SEG-2: Valentine's Day Safe Practices & Wannabe Retirees SEG-3: The Realities of Retirement & Financial Planning SEG-4: Sticky Inflation & the Fed's Rate Cut Conundrum Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vl4bDbH-JBE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, " Corrections Within Bullish Trends are Short-lived," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dhxv68xEcZM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's CPI Day! - the impact that gas prices may have" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 ##CPI #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #Retirees #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/14/24) Markets have been due for a correction for some time; that happened yesterday, taking markets right down to ther 20-DMA, but buying activity at the end of the day may have been a hint of recovery to come. Corrections within a bullish trend can be very short-lived, which doesn't give much opportunity to put capital to work. A bounce that fails below the recent high and takes out the 20-DMA will be a signal that a bigger correction is coming. But if markets recover and go to new highs, the bullish trend will be confirmed. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P Index Set To Hit 5000 As Bull Run Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-index-set-to-hit-5000-as-bull-run-continues/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dhxv68xEcZM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #MarketCorrection #BullishTrend #20DMA #Risk #Inflation #CPI #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/13/24) It's CPI Day (the Consumer Price Index increased .3% in January; on an annualized basis, CPI dropped from December 3.4% to 3.1% for January.) Actors, do not lie on your application (especially involving roller skates and the Super Bowl Halftime!) Amazon hit with class action lawsuit over upcharge for ad-free viewing. Markets start Monday flat, spike a bit, and end flat. Correction is one day closer today than yesterday; why managing risk makes sense. That doesn't mean going all to cash. Romance scams abound for Valentine's Day; how might gasoline prices factor into today's CPI print? SEG-1: CPI Day, Rollerskates, & Amazon Prime snafu SEG-2: Why Managing Risk Makes Sense Now SEG-3: Why Not Go to Cash Now? SEG-4: Romance Scams & CPI Expectations Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Small- and Mid-Cap Stocks Starting to see some Love?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y2aSvgfzZKo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Homes Are About to Get Less Affordable" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Be7BroXeQbI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SuperBowl #SP5000 #SP400 #MarketPullback #PortfolioRebalancing #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/13/24) Markets didn't do a whole lot on Monday, starting flat in the morning, a brief interlude of buying at midday, and ending flat in the afternoon. The markets' trajectory remains essentially unchanged. Interestingly, Small- and Mid-cap stocks had a pretty good day, up 1.8%, which could be indicative of rotation action into those stocks, and a little "FOMO" activity there. And the S&P 400, the Mid-Cap index, has actually been doing better, possibly positioning to take out the previous high from January of last 2022. Defensive stocks could begin to pick up some traction as markets begin to consolidate, portfolios rebalance, and investors start to reduce risk in overweight holdings. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P Index Set To Hit 5000 As Bull Run Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-index-set-to-hit-5000-as-bull-run-continues/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y2aSvgfzZKo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #SmallCapStocks #MidCapStocks #SP400 #SectorRotation #Consolidation #MarketCorrection #Risk #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/12/24) Markets reached the magical 5,000 mark on Friday, and momentum will continue to carry investors forward, but for only so long; how we're preparing for the eventual pullback. A correction of between 2% and 5%, and up to 10% would not be out of the realm of possibility, and normal in any year. The cost of housing remains a hot-button topic with both Millennials and Gen-Z. Lance runs the charts to demonstrate market dynamics and cause-and-effect of Fed manipulations; why Sen. Elizabeth Warren's recipe for lower rates is a disaster in the making. Lowering interest rates is not the solution to lowering housing prices. Lower interest rates would bring more buyers into a market already short inventory, thereby increasing home prices. The Fed's inflation expectations will be put to the test with this week's economic releases. Watch Airbnb as proxy for spending, and Zillow as proxy for Housing. Commentary on portfolio rebalancing for risk. SEG-1: S&P 5k: Riding the Momentum, Preparing for the Pullback SEG-2: Why Home Affordability is About to Get Worse, Pt-1 SEG-3: Why Home Affordability is About to Get Worse, Pt-2 SEG-4: The Fed's Inflation Expectations vs This Week's Economic Reports Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Be7BroXeQbI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Remember 1973?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uB74FuZka4U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Your Social Security is Taxed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nOyz4MLNtzo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=354s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SuperBowl #SP5000 #MarketPullback #PortfolioRebalancing #AffordableHousing #SenElizabethWarren #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #HomeMortgage #HomeAffordability #UnaffordableHousing #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/12/24) Markets achieved the much-vaunted 5,000 mark on Friday; but there are details under the surface that warrant investors being more cautious. The market has been positive 14 out of the past 15-weeks, a phenomenon that hasn't occurred since 1972. Remember what happened in 1973-74? This rally is being driven by the Magnificent 7, similar to the '70's "Nifty 50." The point is, markets can go on and on a lot longer than you think, but will, eventually, pullback to reality and correction. A correction of 2, 3, 5, event 10% at this point would not be unusual, and should be anticipated. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P Index Set To Hit 5000 As Bull Run Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-index-set-to-hit-5000-as-bull-run-continues/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uB74FuZka4U&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/25/22) Selling pressures continue in the markets, stringing together the most losing weeks since 1928, underscoring the importance of bonds as markets shift from inflation to growth priorities. Correlations and Causations of the Uvalde Shootings: coincidence of increased violence with growth in social media; the velocity of information makes it too easy to react & respond. Why catfish live longer; the rich who want to raise taxes...and the unintended consequences for the less-affluent. Are credit spreads forecasting a Fed-engineer soft-landing? How the Fed views Markets: Cycle to Cycle. SEG-1: Importance of Bonds as Markets Shift Priorities SEG-2: Uvalde: Correlation & Causation SEG-3: Noodling, Catfish, Multi-millionaires & Tax Hikes SEG-4: How the Fed Looks at the Market vs the rest of us Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1n-MUHuVuw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2576s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bonds Are Turning a Corner," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8nL3K0gZWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "Dealing with Negative News in a Positive Way," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #InterestRates #Stocks #TaxTheRich #UvaldeShooting #SoftLanding #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/25/22) Bonds have started to turn a corner in recent weeks, picking up their non-correlation relative to equity prices--exactly what you want if you're using bonds as a hedge against a stock sell-off. Taking a look at interest rates for hints of where rates are heading reveals much about the economy, and where it's heading, as well. As slowing in April of the rate of growth of inflation allowed interest rates to rise, so did May's reports of slowing inflationary growth, causing rates to drop. Interest rates are now sitting on critical support, and if the decline continues, we're expecting a break of about 2.7% on the Ten-year Treasury rate...pushing rates into the 2%-ish range. The significance of this is, stocks and bonds are starting to price-in slower growth, rather than higher inflationary pressures. So what to do about a very large short-position in Bonds? There's a good possibility of lower rates and higher bond pries through the month of June. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8nL3K0gZWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #TenYearTreasury #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/24/22) Thanks to Snapchat and Mega, and their impact on FAANG stocks, markets sold off last week's gains. Price action remains negative; is relief on the horizon? LA Port activity smoothing out. Bad geopolitical news further weighs on markets, investors, and advisors: How to handle negative news in making investing decisions. At Davos 2022, Ray Daleo says "cash is trash;" why does the Dollar continue to strengthen" We're the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry. The value of having a financial advisor--and what an FA is. Will the S&P make it 8-in a row? Why true investors must think of doing the "uncomfortable." SEG-1: Markets in Need of a Reflexive Rally SEG-2: How to Manage Negativity for Positive Investing Outcomes SEG-3: The Value of a Financial Advisor (Behind the Scenes Look) SEG-4: Investing Inside vs Outside of Recessions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Chris Behan, Business Development Officer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Give Up All of Monday's Gains?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_aFa-LZJTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Wht the Recession Will Be Later than Expected," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSOqv7k7R7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #BearMarket #Recession #SnapChat #Mega #Geopolitical #RayDaleo #Davos2022 #CashIsTrash #DollarStrength #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/24/22) Markets were able to hold support at last week's lows--and important test of the bottom, and a set up for a double-bottom. Unfortunately, markets are pointing lower following Snapchat's poor report, which is weighing on FAANG stocks, which in turn are placing a drag on the S&P. A commonality of recent weeks has been a rally that gets sold-into, which has been the heart of the negative pressure on the 20-DMA. Price declines are also what's keeping the MACD signal in "sell" territory, and yesterday's rally did not trigger a "buy" signal. Because markets are so over-sold, we are expecting some type of intermediate-term rally providing investors an opportunity to rejigger portfolios and adjust for risk. There is SO much negative sentiment in the markets; when markets do what no one expects--that will be The Opportunity to take advantage of. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_aFa-LZJTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BearMarket #Volatility #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/23/22) The Dow is now stringing together 8-weeks of losses--its worst performance since the 1920's. Contrary to media claims of a bear market, the 20% drop is but a correction on the road to Bubblization: This will be The Most Forecasted Recession in history. Graduation Weekend at the Roberts' house; Davos 2022 = Pinky & The Brain. When all the experts agree, something else is bound to happen; why buy & hold doesn't work at the wrong end of market cycle. NABE Report: increased expectations for inflation and recession. The Bullwhip Effect in retail inventories will be deflationary. The Roberts' Pool Project & Sugar Rush pricing; the next hurdle will be Labor and coming layoffs. Recession may not be averted, but will occur later than expected. Corresponding trends with Monkey Pox: Is God trying to tell us something? If the Apostles had cellphones...The Elephant in the room is the Demographics of Social Security (and why Obamacare is a failure): Demographics are Destiny. SEG-1: Markets' Minor Correction on Road to Bubblization SEG-2: High School Graduation; When Experts Agree, Something Else is Bound to Happen SEG-3: NABE & The Bullwhip Effect; The Roberts' Pool Project SEG-4: Monkey Pox & The Destiny in Demographics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSOqv7k7R7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why a 20% Correction Does Not a Bear Market Make," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKhlF7Qj_cM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Dealing with Healthcare Costs in Retirement," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up-mCl0M8sI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "If Bible characters had iPhones" w/ John Crist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nt5k_tO6768 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #BearMarket #Recession #NABE #BullwhipEffect #Demographis #SocialSecurity #Obamacare #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/23/22) Breaking through the markets' 20% barrier does not a bear market make, regardless of breathless media commentary. 20% off today's S&P is merely a correction, thanks to the lone-term bullish trend of rising prices remains well intact. On Friday, buying came in in the late afternoon, holding onto support established earlier last week. Markets are looking to move higher this morning--an indication that the bottom could hold, and the first, key test will be right at 4,000, right where its 20-DMA is sitting. However, there are several downtrends with which to be dealt. The good news is that Volatility is not indicating a panic-driven selling bear market. While there is much selling pressure, Volatility has been declining, and the markets' decline has been quite orderly. After eight weeks straight of selling in the Dow, and seven-weeks of similar activity in the S&P, it would not be surprising to see a couple of positive weeks in the markets at this point...offering a great opportunity to rebalance risk and reposition portfolios for what happens later this year as the Fed hikes rates and tightens policy. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKhlF7Qj_cM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BearMarket #Volatility #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/20/22) Waiting for the Bounce: Some people just aren't cut out to invest in stocks; Richard Rosso's Investing Opera; Why does Elon Musk want Twitter? Musk says ESG is a scam; ORFN--the anti-woke fund; the truth about Bitcoin; the positives of a Bear Markets: needed cleansing. How we're managing against inflation. Why you shouldn't benchmark to the top. Gasoline prices & biking in Houston; Healthcare costs in Retirement; using HSA's as a confidence-builder. COLA increases for Social Security coming this fall; How many R's in withdrawal, Recession; Scooby-Doo's annudities. Why the 4% Rule worked...in the '90's. SEG-1: Waiting for the Over-sold Bounce, Rosso Opera SEG-2: The Positives of a Bear Market SEG-3: Gasoline Prices, Biking, Inflation Impact on Retirement SEG-4: SS COLA Increases Coming This Fall Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up-mCl0M8sI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Warnings from Target Sink Stocks," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Wydnvl3gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ECTIXYsO4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ESGInvesting #GasolinePrices #Inflation #Retirement #Healthcare #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/19/22) Retailers' earnings reports are offering sobering insights to how the economy is really doing, and analysts are finally waking up to the realities. Is the Recession near, or is it already here? The benefits of Bonds is now more apparent than ever. The Markets' downward track, and the classic recession cycle at WalMart; why the Fed is using rhetoric instead of rates to address inflation. The Horror on Wall St. & Negative investor sentiment; the need to reset excesses. How the government has become part of the economic cycle (and that's not a good thing). Defining companies' health: ESG Funds & Virtue signaling; We question that Apple is ESG-friendly. ESG investing is a flawed thesis. Investors are going to chase the money; money is going to chase returns. SEG-1: What Retailers Are Telling About Inflation SEG-2: The Fed's Use of Rhetoric vs Rates to Address Inflation SEG-3: You Cannot Repeal Recessions SEG-4: Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ECTIXYsO4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Warnings from Target Sink Stocks," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Wydnvl3gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Consumer Sugar-rush is Over - What To Do Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMA8HHyMwdI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-wins-again-as-esg-scam-infiltrates-retirement-plans/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Target #WalMart #ESGInvesting #Amazon #GasolinePrices #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/19/22) Target and Walmart's warnings about future earnings pulled the rug out from under stocks Wednesday, essentially reversing all of the previous gains, going back to last week. The data suggests a recession is near, if not already here. (We raised cash in anticipation of the worst.) The current level of resistance will be important for markets to break above in order to get the rally back on track. Negative money flows have improved, providing a glimmer of hope for investors. The S&P has been down for the past 7-weeks--8-weeks for the Dow--providing more seller pressure, and feeding seller-exhaustion. Could markets move lower from here? Yes. In fact, markets will open down following yesterday's extensive sell-off, which is not too surprising. It is important that markets hold intra-day lows from last week--down into three-standard-deviation territory. If those hold, it will set up a double-bottom, and there's plenty of resistance at the 20-DMA. Near-term, there are not a lot of positive catalysts to sustain that upward movement--so there still remains definite risk to the downside. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tdz56bTK1CI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #Target #WalMart #Disinflation #Consolidation #SPY #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/18/22) What misses by Amazon, Target, and WalMart are telling us about the state of the consumer, which is the backbone of the economy. Markets remain in a well-defined downtrend, but are working off an over-sold status. All the free money that came into the economy is gone--here comes the post-sugar rush crash. The part of Keynesian Economics that everyone misses; Why proprietary investment vehicles might not be a good idea: No transferability = highly illiquid. Inflation is a monetary phenomenon, not the Russians. What inventory problems at Target & WalMart are signaling; the brilliance of Container Store. SEG-1: Why Target Missed the Red Bull's Eye SEG-2: When Consumers Come Down from Their Sugar Rush SEG-3: The Problem w Propriety Investment Products SEG-4: The Monetary Phenomenon of Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMA8HHyMwdI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Reflex Rally Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQV7948NgeQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Year of Shortages & High Inflation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MhJdOkKpejc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2638s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsMisses #Target #WalMart #Amazon #GasolinePrices #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/18/22) Target and Walmart reporting less than expected earnings, and missing by a mile, as they cite higher price pressure and building inventories. This would suggest we have likely seen the peak of inflation, along with slower consumer activity--both are pre-recessionary indicators that are also disinflationary. Target and WalMart stocks are consumer bellwethers, telling us now that consumption is, indeed, slowing down as inflation begins to impact consumer buying habits. As consumer spending counts for 70% of economic growth, this does not bode well for corporate earnings in the second half of the year. This will also weigh on S&P pricing later this year. Over the past several days, markets have bottomed and turned back upwards, stringing together four positive days. Closing higher than where we open today will indicate a continuation of a positive trend. The point is to use the rally to sell those laggards to reduce portfolio risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQV7948NgeQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #Target #WalMart #Disinflation #Consolidation #SPY #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/17/22) Congress is investigating UFO's while the economy is running off the rails and inflation rages. Market performance and "cash on the sidelines;" the worst start to the year for markets since The Great Depression; the Year of Shortages and high prices now includes a baby formula shortage that was self-inflicted; negative sentiment is so prevalent, it has crept into consumer behavior; why Ben Bernanke didn't want to "shock" the markets--but should have; the dis-inflationary impact of Fed policy. Is Bitcoin nothing but a scam? Why QE is actually dis-inflationary and a wealth transfer mechanism. Politicans' sending checks caused inflation. Things that make you happy: Sex, exercise, & gardening? The rich are not who we think they are. SEG-1: Markets Having Worst Start to the Year Since The Depression SEG-2: Baby Formula & The Year of Shortages and High Inflation SEG-3: Newtonian Economics: For Every Fed Action There is a Negative Reaction SEG-4: What Really Makes You Happy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Use Market Rally to Reduce Risk is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0A1U7qyg84&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Time to Reconsider Bitcoin?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A69ZDaGLq6s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=999s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/ -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YKxFp04dsPo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #UFO #FederalReserve #BenBernanke #MarketShock #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/17/22) Stocks are looking to open sharply higher following yesterday's consolidation and advance. This makes three "green" days in a row, providing more lift to markets in the short term. Our initial target on SPY is still 416--at the 20-DMA, the first level of resistance, and also part of the current downtrend. The next level up will be 430 or 431. We will want to use any rally to dell into and reduce risk. If markets are able to break out of the down channel, we can always put cash back to work. Money flows and over-sold positions suggest this rally has some legs to stand on. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0A1U7qyg84&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #Consolidation #SPY #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/16/22) Markets' performance last week would tend to set-up for an opportunity to rally--but will it stick? Analysts' earnings estimates are still way too high; comparing nuclear explosions, road trip cuisine vs gas station food; what we don't want to see today. Markets are doing their best to frustrate investors; use the coming rally to correct mistakes. The saga of Chicken Salad Chick; Why Joe Biden's Deficit Reduction plan will fail; fun with Math, California doubles down on inflationary policies; why we have inflation. Why the pandemic Bike boom is going bust; The Bitcoin price collapse: reconsider your thesis. Will advisors embrace cryptocurrency as an investment asset? SEG-1: Why the Market is Like Kim Kardashian's Butt SEG-2: Nuclear Explosions, Gas Station Food, & What We Don't Want to See Today SEG-3: Joe Biden's Deficit Reduction Plan SEG-4: Bike Boom Goes Bust; The Cryptocurrency Crusades Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A69ZDaGLq6s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=999s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What do Kim Kardashian & The Market Have in Common?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqRelnC2oZs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Inflation: The Hotter the Better?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efklhOarIxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #Stablecoin #MarketBottom #KimKardashian #JoeBiden #BikeBoom #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/16/22) Markets put in a big bottom last week--at least for the short term. Even though markets finished down for the day on Thursday, they rallied back above the open, setting up a green candle, and establishing a test of the level at three standard-deviations from the 50-DMA. Friday's subsequent rally pushed the index up to within two standard-deviations from the 50-DMA, and got close to triggering a money flow buy signal in a market that was still very over-sold. Establishment of this bottom now prepares the market for a rally up to the 20-DMA, currently on the SPY at 416-418. That level is the top of the current downtrend line, around 430 on the S&P. All of the elements are in place to create a rally back up to higher levels. Whan that happens, use this as an opportunity to reduce risk and rebalance portfolios. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqRelnC2oZs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBottom #KimKardashian #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/16/22) This is a bonus airing of a previously broadcast show with Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz Inflation is running hotter than the Fed would like; the major indexes are masking the reality of underlying stocks' plight; dealing with margin debt is playing a role in market's performance; 4 out of 8 CPI sectors were elevated in April--oddly, Energy was not one of them. Month/Month and Year/Year comparisons actually showed a decline; former Fed'er Bill Dudley continues to call out the FOMC for its "handling" of the economy; the NFIB survey is at it's lowest ebb ever. No one is immune to emotion; understanding the dynamics between Inflation & Economic Growth; why being long on the dollar has been among the best investments this year; Cryptocurrency: Why it's NOT a fiat currency; Bitcoin is basically an asset, to be traded like at ETF. Luna, Terra, and Stablecoin. 1:52 - Inflation Is Running Hotter than Expected (by the Fed) 13:08 - The Math Behind CPI--It's Impossible to Calculate 29:05 - What Kind of Bear Market Are We In? 43:15 - The Thing About Cryptocurrency Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Cryptocoins Under Pressure," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFyiWgEuxgA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Beware of Recency Bias," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5proelkbBI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #Bitcoin #FederalReserve #BuyingTheBottom #Cryptocurrency #Stablecoin #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/13/22) Yes, this is a reprise of a previously-broadcast show. Despite all the gyrations on Wall Street this week, the S&P is still above Monday's close; just about the time you think you know what's going on, the market proves otherwise. There is no better time to create a financial plan; The Fed and Administration are truly tone-deaf to what the rest of America is dealing with; Why K-mart's clothes were really high-quality; dealing with drought the "natural way;" speedbumps and potholes in the Secure Act 2.0; performing surgical Roth conversions. The Best uses of Bitcoin: Should Cryptocurrencies be in 401(k)'s? Bitcoin is a speculative asset; agreeing with Elizabeth Warren; We're all foam and no beer. 1:53 - The Market is the Great Humiliator 13:05 - CB Shout-out 13:52 - The Market is Like Amber Heard & Johnny Depp 29:05 - Fertilizer, Drought, & Lance's Insurance 32:58 - Secure Act 2.0 Q&A: RMD Age changes? 43:07 - Cryptocurrency in 401-k; Best Uses of Bitcoin Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: No surprises from Fed - where do we go from here?" is here: -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #FederalReserve #Cryptocurrency #Administration #SecureAct_2_0 #Bitcoin #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/12/22) Inflation is running hotter than the Fed would like; the major indexes are masking the reality of underlying stocks' plight; dealing with margin debt is playing a role in market's performance; 4 out of 8 CPI sectors were elevated in April--oddly, Energy was not one of them. Month/Month and Year/Year comparisons actually showed a decline; former Fed'er Bill Dudley continues to call out the FOMC for its "handling" of the economy; the NFIB survey is at it's lowest ebb ever. No one is immune to emotion; understanding the dynamics between Inflation & Economic Growth; why being long on the dollar has been among the best investments this year; Cryptocurrency: Why it's NOT a fiat currency; Bitcoin is basically an asset, to be traded like at ETF. Luna, Terra, and Stablecoin. SEG-1: Inflation Is Running Hotter than Expected (by the Fed) SEG-2: The Math Behind CPI--It's Impossible to Calculate SEG-3: What Kind of Bear Market Are We In? SEG-4: The Thing About Cryptocurrency Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efklhOarIxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Cryptocoins Under Pressure," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFyiWgEuxgA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Beware of Recency Bias," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5proelkbBI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #Bitcoin #FederalReserve #BuyingTheBottom #Cryptocurrency #Stablecoin #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/12/22) Markets remain under pressure after April CPI numbers show hotter-than-expected inflation. But looking at longer-term charts can give a better understanding of where we've been...and where we're going. Are we over-bought, or over-sold, and where is the downside risk, and where is the potential support, moving forward? The S&P is currently 3-standard-deviations below the 50-week Moving Average, and money flow indicators are also over-sold. With the Fed remaining in a tightening mode, any reflexive rally will be limited. The NASDAQ is similarly deviated to the downside of its 50-week Moving Average, as well as over-sold now as much as it was in March 2020, as the Fed was reversing itself in terms of QE (which set up for a nice rally); we don't have that, yet. Cryptocoins are also coming under a tremendous amount of pressure; Bitcoin, Ether, and others, have all become high-beta trades in the markets. Oversold positions indicate we could be seeing a tradeable rally, and if so, that would be a good place to take some profits. 0:43 - S&P 50-week Moving Average analysis 3:08 - NASDAQ 50-week Moving Average analysis 4:09 - Cryptocurrency analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFyiWgEuxgA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBottom #Inflation #Cryptocurreny #Bitcoin #CPI #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/11/22) Utopia vs Dystopia is like theory vs reality: Why the Government's solution for fighting inflation never works; Should you buy the dip? Why buy the market bottom is a bear trap for investors; the best investment I ever made; what advisors are telling people that's good and bad; recency bias and investor psychology; contrarian investing strategies; Benchmarking progress over a two-year span; Why you should get out of the market now. SEG-1: Why Gov't. Solutions for Inflation Don't Work SEG-2: Buying the Bottom: The Bear Trap for Investors SEG-3: The Best Investment I Ever Made SEG-4: Contrarian Strategies and Active Portfolio Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5proelkbBI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will CPI Be Sticky?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-cpP0UMoUM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Relentless Fed" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7a_llwpuVLU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2587s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #BuyingTheBottom #BearTrap #PermanentLifeInsurance #ContrarianInvesting #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/11/22) The CPI inflation print for April could affect markets today--will it come in softly, or reflect a stronger print from April 2021. If inflation wanes, will the Fed be less aggressive? If so, that's an encouraging sign for growth stocks in particular. The market Tuesday did try to rally, but failed; markest are still deeply over-sold on every metric we track, so a lot of fuel remains for a rally. Any good news on inflation would tend to provide some lift to markets. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-cpP0UMoUM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/10/22) Monday's market Capitulation actually smelled like margin calls coming home to roost; as financial conditions continue to tighten, the Fed is relentless in its squeeze. The inflation now was caused by "free" money (which isn't); the best course for the Fed now is to do nothing, and allow inflation to run its course in curing itself. Low volatility begets high volatility, and investor sentiment now is so bearish...it's bullish. Corporate Reporting Preview; look to buy value today--why Uber is not; TeleDoc, Peloton vs Amazon. SEG-1: Capitulation in the Markets; Smells Like Margin Calls SEG-2: The Fed's Best Course to Sure Inflation is to Do Nothing SEG-3: Why Investor Sentiment is So Bearish it's Bullish SEG-4: Don't Allow Short-term Fear to Deter Investing Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7a_llwpuVLU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2587s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Sentiment is so Bearish, It's Bullish" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7r462uDqp0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What Will Inflation Tell Us This Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJCHf2LRHsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Capitulation #BearishSentiment #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/9/22) The psychological pressure on investors created by inflation is very real, and makes folks prone to making mistakes. Inflation's interesting comparisons, April to April; Inflation numbers are not reflective of what we're actually living; Consumers' resort to credit card debt to pay bill. The metrics of inflation vs reality; the fallacy of a Fed "soft landing;" signs we are at or near inflation's peak; Rich Strike & Market Investing; average hold time down from 6-8 years to about 6-months; Making "bests" with best odds over time; markets are pressuring people to do the wrong thing and the wrong time. Wrapping up earnings season; companies allowing us to do things more conveniently, but not showing a profit, which cannot last. SEG-1: The Psychological Pressure on Investors SEG-2: Comparing April to April Inflation Metrics SEG-3: The Fallacy of a Fed "Soft Landing" SEG-4: Horse Racing & Stock Investing: Rich Strike? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJCHf2LRHsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Sentiment is so Bearish, It's Bullish" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7r462uDqp0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #SoftLanding #RichStrike #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/9/22) The psychological pressure on investors created by inflation is very real, and makes folks prone to making mistakes. Inflation's interesting comparisons, April to April; Inflation numbers are not reflective of what we're actually living; Consumers' resort to credit card debt to pay bill. The metrics of inflation vs reality; the fallacy of a Fed "soft landing;" signs we are at or near inflation's peak; Rich Strike & Market Investing; average hold time down from 6-8 years to about 6-months; Making "bests" with best odds over time; markets are pressuring people to do the wrong thing and the wrong time. Wrapping up earnings season; companies allowing us to do things more conveniently, but not showing a profit, which cannot last. SEG-1: The Psychological Pressure on Investors SEG-2: Comparing April to April Inflation Metrics SEG-3: The Fallacy of a Fed "Soft Landing" SEG-4: Horse Racing & Stock Investing: Rich Strike? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJCHf2LRHsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are We Near the Bottom?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17wiq3djd8o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #SoftLanding #RichStrike #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/9/22) Concerns over Fed speakers and Inflation numbers releases this week, as markets begin trading deep in the red; will we see inflation's peak--and with that, a softer stance by the Fed? Markets are starting the week down three standard-deviations from the 50-DMA. Professional, Retail, and Positioning sentiment are all quite pessimistic across the board; technical indicators are over-sold on virtually every level. At this point, it's extremely important to not allow emotions to take hold of your investing decisions and push you into a position of forced selling. If you're not happy about where your portfolio is right now, you've got an allocation problem; use the coming reflexive rally to sell off positions of weakness, and to balance the risk in your portfolio. If you sell today, keep in mind--markets could dip lower down to the 3900 level. That's likely to be short-lived, as evidence by market performance shortly after the invasion of Ukraine, and the sell-off following January's peak. At each such event, markets had a nice reflexive rally, and appear to be similarly setting up for the same thing again. Emotional selling opportunities tend to be traps for investors. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17wiq3djd8o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #RebalanceRisk #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/6/22) Despite all the gyrations on Wall Street this week, the S&P is still above Monday's close; just about the time you think you know what's going on, the market proves otherwise. There is no better time to create a financial plan; The Fed and Administration are truly tone-deaf to what the rest of America is dealing with; Why K-mart's clothes were really high-quality; dealing with drought the "natural way;" speedbumps and potholes in the Secure Act 2.0; performing surgical Roth conversions. The Best uses of Bitcoin: Should Cryptocurrencies be in 401(k)'s? Bitcoin is a speculative asset; agreeing with Elizabeth Warren; We're all foam and no beer. SEG-1: The Market is the Great Humiliator SEG-2: The Market is Like Amber Heard & Johnny Depp SEG-3: Fertilizer, Drought, & Secure Act 2.0 SEG-4: Cryptocurrency in 401-k; Best Uses of Bitcoin Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=83Mmx32PmN8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2589s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: No surprises from Fed - where do we go from here?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USUgD_eZ_v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Cryptocurrency #Administration #SecureAct_2_0 #Bitcoin #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/5/22) The Fed is raising rates by 50-basis-points, but tapering its balance sheet at a slower pace than expected, causing great jubilation on Wall Street, and a 3% rally after the announcement. The narrative the Fed feeds does not always comport with reality; how Jerome Powell "walks the line." Is the Fed looking at the economy in the right way? Economic data are telling a different story; is the market actually bottoming--or could it go even lower from here? Why companies are always slow to hire and slow to fire. The impact of passive investing; Elon Musk vs Cathie Wood; Blackrock, Vanguard, and voting virtue with EFT's; Have ETF's taken away the voice of individual investors? How Engine No.1 wound up with two seats on Exxon's Board. SEG-1: The Fed Meets Expectations SEG-2: The Narratives the Fed Conveys vs Reality SEG-3: What the Economic Numbers Really Say SEG-4: The Negative Impact of Passive Investing Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: No surprises from Fed - where do we go from here?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USUgD_eZ_v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What Will Today's FOMC Meeting Reveal?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoGa5yu9IP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #FOMC #RateHike #QuantitativeTapering #PassiveInvesting #BlackRock #Vangard #ETF #EngineNo1 #Exxon #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/5/22) Jerome Powell's announced 50-basis-points rate hike was as expected--but the Fed added a dovish tone by slowing the rate of tapering on its balance sheet. With Professional and Retail investor sentiment at some of the lowest levels we've seen, and positioning very, very light in equities, the bit of good news was all Wall Street needed to stage a 3% rally, pushing up to resistance at the 20- and 50-DMA's. If markets go there, that's the signal to raise a little cash, take some profits, and clean up your act. We're not quite out of the woods; with a short-term buy signal triggered, money flows positive, and the MACD starting to turn upward, this is the bullish octane markets need. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USUgD_eZ_v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTapering #ReflexiveRally #BadNews #GoodNews #RebalanceRisk #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/4/22) Today's FOMC meeting will reveal what Jerome Powell & Co really think about the economy, and how the Federal Reserve intends to address inflation: Corporate earnings are decent, but forward guidance is sucky. What we mean when we say we're "taking profits;" how to adjust your portfolio strategy for risk, and why cash is king. Don't confuse narratives for returns: Indexes paint a different view than what's really happening in the markets; the guaranteed returns of Bonds; the surprising proclivity of cryptocurrency investors to gambling; housing valuation compared to stock markets; the impact of the velocity of information; why a buy-and-hold strategy does not work. SEG-1: FOMC Wednesday Preview SEG-2: What it Means to 'Take Profits' & Adjusting Portfolios for Risk SEG-3: The Guaranteed Return of Bonds SEG-4: Why Crypto Investors Develop Gambling Habits Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoGa5yu9IP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Will Today's Fed Meeting Impact Your Money?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hgj2t-qfIco&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will Markets Rally Following the Fed Meeting?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84eNp-LfMAk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1094s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #FOMC #PerfectPortfolio #RateHike #QuantitativeTapering #Cryptocurrency #InvestorPsychology #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/4/22) Market futures are elevated following two days of volatility and a slow grinding higher; lots of trepidation on Wall St. as the Fed's FOMC meeting convenes today. What the Fed says--or does not say--will affect markets, and in turn, your money. Will the Fed announce a 50-basis-point hike in rates, and a tapering of its balance sheet starting in June--or--will they be more aggressive, hiking rates 75-basis-points, with more, similar rate hikes to come? We suspect the FOMC will do exactly as expected with a more dovish approach to inflation, raising rates only 1/2%. If that is the case, and the Fed hints that inflation may have peaked, that will bode well for stocks. Money flows have remained positive despite market gyrations, and any good news--or expected news--from the Fed could boost markets higher. It would be no surprise to see a market rally up to about the 50-DMA at 4,300, which, at that level, would provide a nice opportunity to rebalance portfolios and reduce risk. Think ahead about the coming headwinds later this year as inflation recedes, but economic growth slows. Markets are still in a downward trend, going back to support levels from September. Even as markets are primed to rally, there is still much resistance overhead. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hgj2t-qfIco&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTapering #ReflexiveRally #BadNews #GoodNews #BuyBacks #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/3/22) The FOMC meets tomorrow, and while many are anxiously awaiting the Fed's pronouncements on Thursday, in reality, markets may have already "baked-in" its expected 50-basis point rate hike and $90-B balance sheet taper to begin in June. Dragons are real; How Investors are positioning for the rest of the summer; YouTube influencers and the end of bad advice; S&P earnings estimates continue to climb, even as corporate forecasts predict dire changes; watch investor pyschology. SEG-1: FOMC Pre-Meeting & Earnings Commentary SEG-2: Dragons and Investor Positioning SEG-3: The End of Bad Advice SEG-4: Why Estimates are Going Up Despite Dire Corporate Forecaasting Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84eNp-LfMAk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1094s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Will the Fed Say Tomorrow?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fNuCgrXebRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Is a Bigger Bear Market Coming?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuxJ__MWvZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #FOMC #RateHike #QuantitativeTapering #YouTubeInfluencers #InvestorPsychology #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/3/22) The next Fed meeting is tomorrow, at which the FOMC is expected to hike rates 50-basis points, and reduce its balance sheet by $90-Billion starting in June. But what if they don't? What if the Fed says it's raising rates by 75-basis points, and issues a much more hawkish view on inflation? That's the risk markets are facing as they try to position ahead of the meeting. With markets so negatively biased, any news that matches expectations will be viewed as GOOD news, and markets could rally back to the 50-DMA from here. Markets are very over-sold on multiple levels; so any news that's not bad news could trigger a reflexive rally. Additionally, the blackout window for corporate share buybacks closed, which could allow for up to $5-billion a day worth of trading, and more upward lift for stocks for the next six weeks. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fNuCgrXebRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTapering #ReflexiveRally #BadNews #GoodNews #BuyBacks #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/2/22) Will April's showers bring a flowering to the markets in May? Comparing 2021 to now--is a bigger bear market coming? (Anything the Fed says next can tilt markets one way or the other.) The potential for a short-term rally is likely; use it to rebalance risk in portfolios. Wall Street's golden plateau is "buy & sell;" the velocity of news can destroy market caps overnight; Warren Buffett: "Markets are a Casino." Expectations for shrinkage in Fed balance sheet by mid-June; we may actually be closer to end of market carnage; why we cannot have a bear market: Everyone is expecting it. Avoiding making emotional investment decisions; know when to leave the table. The trouble with comparisons. SEG-1: Is a Bigger Bear Market Coming? SEG-2: Warren Buffett - Markets Are a Casino SEG-3: Why The End of Market Carnage is Near SEG-4: Avoiding Emotional Trading Decisions Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuxJ__MWvZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why Now Would Be a Really Good Time to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qGvFOOqqV4w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why Facebook/Meta's Earnings Matter," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXFJsdZGHTE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #FederalReserve #WarrenBuffett #MarketCasino #EmotionalDecisions #MarketComparisons #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/2/22) Markets are set to prove the April-to-May adage: Thunderstorms on Wall Street in April resulted in extremely negative investor sentiment. Markets are very over-sold, and positioning is very light--not surprising given market performance last month. Can markets go lower? Certainly. And we could see a bit of a short-term rally at this point, too, albeit with a lower high as the market continues to establish a down trend. We could also see a revisitation of Russian Invasion lows as markets flirt in three standard deviation territory. A rally here would not be surprising at all. The Month of May sees a return of stock buy backs, which, if they occur, could give stocks a lift all the way into mid-June. So there ARE reasons to expect a rally; use it to lighten positions and reduce risk ahead of events that could impact Wall Street. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qGvFOOqqV4w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSentiment #StockBuyBacks #MarketRally #RebalanceRisk #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/29/22) Turns out Inflation wasn't as "transitory" as some had hoped; the bigger question now is whether or not Inflation is structural. Ramifications of China's slowing economy. Robinhood has been "Friar Tucked." How to mitigate risk w life insurance; Housing Demographics & Affordability Index; buying vs renting; the "American Dream" vs homeownership reality. Coco the Robot; Retirement vs work: Distribution vs accumulation. Sequence of Returns rule change. Coco the Robot, Grandma Rosso, asset allocation and tactical portfolio strategies. Everyone is going to deal with inflation and volatility in retirement. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP SEG-1: The Nature of Inflation SEG-2: Mitigating Risk w Insurance; Homebuyer demographics SEG-3: Coco the Robot; Retirement vs Work - Distribution vs Accumulation SEG-4: Grandma Rosso & Tactical Portfolio Strategies -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7EGG7GUeKuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by Facebook's Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK8Ylncrx8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why Facebook/Meta's Earnings Matter," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXFJsdZGHTE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #NegativeGDP #Retirement #TacticalPortfolioStrategies #Homebuyer #Demographics #SequnceOfReturns #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/28/22) It's been a tough week for the markets; Facebook's earnings report showed lower revenues but heightened user counts; why a Facebook/Meta rally matters--and the opportunity it will afford investors. What the Atlanta Fed has in store in GDP report; how Russia will impact companies' forward guidance, effects on China. Inflation beginning to impact companies through reduced consumer spending: We're spending more to get the same or less. Why we reduced exposure to Apple but not MSFT. Dr. Fauci says COVID's ovah. Watching Twitter's earnings and the ongoing social media meltdown. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA SEG-1: How Facebook's Earnings Report Could Lift Markets Today SEG-2: GDP Preview & Russia's Impact on Forward Guidance SEG-3: Inflation's Impact on Amazon & Consumer Spending SEG-4: Watching the Twitter Meltdown -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXFJsdZGHTE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by Facebook's Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK8Ylncrx8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Have Great Expectations Turned to Pip Squeaks?", is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=254z8Hcy7FM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Facebook #Meta #Apple #MSFT #Twitter #ElonMusk #BondMarket #AARK #Inflation #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/28/22) Facebook/Meta's report last night boasted increased users but diminished revenues, boosting its opening price to just about its 50-DMA. Despite the rally in the stock, there is still some concern: Over the past 9-months, Facebook has been down nearly 50% from its 52-week high. We're concerned whether this recent rally can stick. Why does this matter? Because Facebook is among those giant stocks in the NASDAQ which comprise 33% of the S&P 500 Market Cap. When this stock rallies, the effect lifts the entire index. On Wednesday, the NASDAQ was down about 22% for the year, already in a bear market. Under the surface, there's been some real devastation: the lift we're expecting this morning from Facebook should move markets off the March lows. If we can get a bounce that holds, it will push the NASDAQ up towards the 50-DMA. But as inflation, the war in Ukraine, and Fed rate hikes cap upward movement, use any rally you see to rebalance portfolios and reduce risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK8Ylncrx8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #Facebook #Meta #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/27/22) Markets are still going nowhere, as bonds begin to emerge as investors' savior. We're looking for a short-term reflexive rally. The article MarketWatch likes so much, they ripped it off; Inflation, Title 42 vs COVID, and the appeal of Bonds; Elon Musk's purchasing power--how he acquired Twitter. Who pays the most in taxes? How Cathie Wood's AARK Investments sprung a leak; when things seem too good to be true, they are. Is Bitcoin a Fiat Currency? How Robinhood makes money. The worst things to happen to markets: Free Trades and Decimalization. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP SEG-1: Looking for a Reflexive Rally SEG-2: The Appeal of Bonds SEG-3: How Elon Did It SEG-4: The Sinking of the AARK -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=254z8Hcy7FM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Have Markets Bottomed, or More Losses to Go?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piwO2RQ7Vfk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Elon's Poison Pill," Parts 1 & 2, is here: Pt-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHm3mBr3gOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=797s Pt-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xs4kJw_jRR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1220s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Twitter #ElonMusk #BondMarket #AARK #Inflation #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/27/22) Markets remain under pressure as earnings come in not as strong as expected. Markets retested March's low, but this morning futures are pointing higher. Markets remain over sold, so expect at least a small, short-term rally. This would be a good time to rebalance and adjust for risk. Google reported worse-than-expected earnings, breaking down below support. Google is very over-sold but allow the stock to recover as investors digest just how bad earnings were. Microsoft, similarly, has been under pressure, and in a very over-sold condition. We expect it will rally about 7% out of the gate this morning, thanks to yesterday's earnings beat. Apple reports tomorrow. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piwO2RQ7Vfk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #Google #Microsoft #Apple #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/26/22) Elon Musk is bidding to buy Twitter, and the board decides it's not such a bad deal after all; did Elon over-pay? The Problem with taking Twitter private; the culture of Twitter, and how Elon can make money on it. Public reaction to the sale from Trump, Bezos; Chinese access to the towne square; who decides what's disinformation? Why Twitter never forgets; platforms that share opinions and confirmation bias. Why it's always important to read that with which you do not agree. Ford's electric F-150, GM's electric Corvette. Possible changes at Twitter; Why there's no place to hide from the bear; why bond bull market is impending. Nicolas Cage/National Treasure: What did the FBI take from Finders Keepers? The Stupidity of Government; why we're bullish on Bonds. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO SEG-1: Elon's Poison Pill Dilemma SEG-2: What Hath Elon Wrought? Twitter Never Forgets SEG-3: Investors have Nowhere to Hide from the Bear SEG-4: National Treasure & Government Stupidity -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: Pt-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHm3mBr3gOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=797s Pt-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xs4kJw_jRR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1220s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Market Sell-off Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKQ6gXCRQ_I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why You Should Buy What Everyone Hates," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOL5PtgylRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2593s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Twitter #ElonMusk #SocialMedia #China #Bearmarket #BullMarket #BondMarket #Inflation #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/26/22) Markets followed-up Friday's losses by opening down on Monday and re-test lows from February and March, then bounced back up for a half-percent gain on the day. We've seen this kind of reflexive activity before, when markets are trolling along the bottoms...Markets remain over-sold, futures are weaker this morning, with more earnings reports to come today which might set the tone in Tech for tomorrow. Money flows are beginning to turn positive, with follow-through expected over the next few days. For positioning purposes, we're expecting a rally back to the top of the downtrend line--there is still a lot of angst over inflation, economics, and next week's Fed meeting. What the Fed has to say next week will drive the markets for the next month. If the Fed admits inflation has already peaked and deflation is nigh--any type of dovish language--that will help buoy the stock market in the short term. If, however, the Fed leans more hawkishly, with 50-basispoint rate hikes to come in an aggressive fight with inflation, that will dampen stocks. We're not quite "all clear" yet, but there is a short-term tradable opportunity from these over-sold conditions. As we have said before, use any rally to rebalance risk in portfolios. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKQ6gXCRQ_I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #QuantitativeTapering #CorporateEarnings #InvestorSentiment #ReflexiveRally #RebalancingRisk #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/25/22) Markets have essentially gone nowhere since the first of the year. Will Netflix' crackdown on password sharing backfire (after promoting the idea early on...)? Disney's Wokeness cost $34-B in earnings; Twitter now considering Musk's bid to buy. Markets have already had it rough--companies below the surface are struggling; Why Markets are under pressure; why monetary policy takes so long to be felt; why you should buy what everyone else is hating. What's not to love about a two-day office work week; implications for commercial real estate; the downside of working from home. Market commentary: Fed Language Matters. Why Paying taxes Triggered BLM; the problem with paying taxes is how they're used; what happens to tax revenue; We need another "Dave." Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO SEG-1: Netflix Password Sharing, Disney's $34-b Bumble SEG-2: Why You Should Buy What Everyone Hates SEG-3: Demographic Risks to Commercial Real Estate SEG-4: Tax Triggering BLM -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOL5PtgylRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2593s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Where are the Opportunities in a Market Sell-off?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xl5D4T3V2OE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "The Invisible Market Crash," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=we8i2Dn5TMM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1529s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicRecession #CorporateEarnings #Netflix Disney #CommercialRealEstate #Taxation #InterestRates #QuantitativeTightening #QuantitativeEasing #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/25/22) Markets broke support of the consolidation range on Friday, leading to a sharp sell-off. Lower market futures this morning would indicate a re-test of March lows. While frustrating, markets remain over-sold, and we're looking for some kind of impetus for a counter-trend reflexive rally. Overall sentiment is very negative, and positioning by professional traders is also quite light, suggesting overall market psychology is very negative as well. Contrarians would believe we've got a nice set up for a reflexive rally, but such activity may not get very far as we move into May and the Fed next meeting--likely to produce another rate hike. Any dovish language at the meeting--like a "peak of inflation," would tend to help fuel a bit of a rally. We're reticent about selling right now, and looking for a bounce that could be quite vicious. And if you're not happy with your positioning, not liking this market, look for a rally opportunity to rebalance your risk. Caveat: Don't expect any rally at this point to take us back up to all-time highs. There are too many headwinds, earnings have been just okay--not really great--and the companies that are missing being severely punished. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xl5D4T3V2OE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #InvestorSentiment #ReflexiveRally #RebalancingRisk #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/22/22) Jerome Powell's comments on inflation and interest rates are taking on a harsher tone; have we reached "peak inflation?" How inflation is affecting financial planning and stock market performance; planning for future realities instead of past performances; why many are leaving retirement to return to work. Financial distress is here to stay. Food & Bacon, a preview of our next event; Secure Act for Retirement 2.0: Rothification and Annuitization; why the Roth is not going away. HOA's, Karen's, and Ken's; Secure Act 2.0: Preservation of guaranteed income; student loan payment matches and options. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP SEG-1: Have We Reached Peak Inflation? SEG-2: Why the Stock Market Ain't What it Used to Be SEG-3: Secure Act 2.0: Rothification & Annuitization SEG-4: Secure At 2.0: Preservation of Guaranteed Income -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CEotUwFp60&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2732s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Lance's Best Bets for Investing Today," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DU8dHQic1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Invisible Market Crash," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=we8i2Dn5TMM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1529s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/series-i-bonds-at-7-its-hard-to-go-wrong https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #SecureAct #Retirement #PeakInflation #InterestRates #QuantitativeTightening #QuantitativeEasing #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/21/22) Despite the positive headline news from big market players, there's been a literal market crash below the surface. Markets have essentially made no progress since last Fall, and valuations remain unreasonably high. Quantitative Tightening is The Next Thing. How demographics are affecting housing supply & demand dynamics. The effects & consequences of Quantitative Tightening; how to harness inflation with i-Bonds. Adventures with Steve the Donkey; Pro's & con's of i-Bonds and investor psychology; investing for Instagram within Facebook. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA. SEG-1: The Rolling Bear Market Continues SEG-2: What Will the Fed Do Next? SEG-3: Truth & Consequences of QT SEG-4: Pro's & Con's of i-Bonds -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Lance's Best Bets for Investing Today," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DU8dHQic1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Would You Rather Pay Tax Now or Later (when they're higher)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwGXS9zkR8o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2559s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/series-i-bonds-at-7-its-hard-to-go-wrong https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #CorporateEarn
(4/21/22) The Major Cap companies' earnings reports are just part of the overall investing picture. The S&P is setting up to rally to previous highs, but because the Fed is about to start hiking rates, we're expecting continued pressure on equity prices. The NASDAQ is over-sold, like the S&P, but still trading below its 50-DMA. Tech stocks have been under more pressure, lately. A lift to the S&P will also drag the NASDAQ up, as well. Disinflationary pressure in the economy will also lead to a rotation back into growth stocks, which tend to do better in a disinflationary environment. Small-Cap stocks are the most-impacted by slower economic growth, higher interest rates, and inflation; subsequently, these have been really under-performing the larger-cap indexes. Small-Caps are about half-way through the cycle from over-sold to over-bought, and have shown improved performance. Long-term trends have not been favorable. Mid-Caps look almost identical to Small-Caps--a lot of under-performance relative to the S&P. Emerging Markets continue to be under pressure from slower economic growth, inflation, and the war in Ukraine. Use any bounce here to reduce your exposure. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DU8dHQic1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #MidCaps #SmallCaps #EmergingMarkets #Inflation #Liquidity #ConsumerSpending #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/20/22) The Q1 Earnings Parade continues; the conundrum for Netflix, bundling vs a la carte--it's an issue of too many providers for a paucity of quality content. What's really important this earnings season is what companies will be saying about forward guidance. A 20% correction is not impossible. QE vs QT: Quantitative Easing did not cause inflation--"free" money from the Government did. You wanna avoid paying taxes, or make money? Taxes are bound to go up to finance government debt. The strategic benefit of tax-loss harvesting: Pay it now or pay it later. Why the 4% Withdrawal Rate in financial planning is outdated. Why $1-mil isn't going to generate enough income in retirement. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP. SEG-1: Netflix, Bundling vs a la cart, Over-crowded space SEG-2: QE vs QT; What's Really Important this Earnings Season SEG-3: Paying taxes, Now or Later SEG-4: Why the 4% Withdrawal Rule is Outdated -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Here's What to Look for In Earnings Reports" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=35BuZ_dVKN0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Is a Bear Market Lurking?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TqOuIIOnYKA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #ForwardGuidance #Netflix, #QuantitativeEasing #QuantitativeTightening #Inflation
(4/20/22) A 2-million subscriber deficit for Netflix triggered a warning by the streaming service on Tuesday--the first such alarm for Netflix in a while. Interesting to notice how other streaming subscription services will report, as too many providers cannibalize one another's audiences. Stocks, however, are shaking off that bad news, with futures turning around this morning. The post-tax-day market behavior was as expected. Markets are in a good position to rally back up to a previous peak, which could continue into next week. The key thing to watch in earnings reports will be the guidance moving forward. Others may also be impacted by higher inflation, less liquidity, and less consumer spending. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=35BuZ_dVKN0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #Netflix #MarketRally #Inflation #Liquidity #ConsumerSpending #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/19/22) Does an inverted Yield Curve necessarily mean the Recession is over? (No.) The problem in trying to predict onset of a bear market--we don't usually know until 9-months or so later. Bear markets are fast and fierce; bull markets last longer. Negative investor sentiment generally correlates with market bottom. The Fed has not yet begun to taper! Why more people are using Google to diagnose illnesses; Acceptance of Risk is key to planning for a bear market. No one HAS to invest; it's okay to be in cash. Why Cryptocurrency is still a fiat currency. Grammar counts; no more masks (yay!) Elon Musk & Twitter's poison pill. SEG-1: Is a Bear Market Coming? SEG-2: The Problem of Predicting Bear Markets SEG-3: Dr. Google & Cryptocurrency SEG-4: Grammar, Masks, & Twitter -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are markets Setting up to Rally, or More Selling to Come?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jsx8ugStfks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How We're Dealing with Inflation Squared" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4KEAf8ZRsug&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=607s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #BullMarket #Recession #InvestorSentiment #ElonMusk #Twitter #DrGoogle #Cryptocurrency #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/19/22) Markets continue to consolidate along recent set of lows; trading below the 50-DMA, providing some overhead resistance. This, combined with the most negative investor sentiment in 30-years, and the market hasn't really done much since September '21. Over the last few weeks, markets have been on a sell-signal, and declining. Over the new few weeks, markets are likely to work off over-bought conditions, triggering a money flow buy-signal, and setting up markets for a counter-trend rally. Consternating for investors? You bet--underlying sentiment is negative, suggesting markets may have more fuel for a rally, turning media bias from negative to positive; but at that point, shrinking liquidity, slowing economic growth, a pick up in layoffs, and a decline in wages--recession will begin to take hold. It's counter-intuitive, but there is so much negative sentiment at this point, it's actually hard to have a bear market. But it's coming... Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jsx8ugStfks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #Bull Market #InvestorSentiment #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/18/22) How do you make a long, holiday weekend longer? Take your family out of town! Lance & The Roberts' Clan are returning from distant shores today, so here's a review of a recent conversation with Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA: How does the math of inflation, deflation, and recession work? What if Elon Musk buys Twitter? CPI & PPI: How American's are coping w highest inflation in 40-years (taking credit card debt); Dealing with the realities of inflation; the drag on the economy & what really causes recession. Corporate earnings reporting: Big Banks; why this time IS a little different--and that's not good. Expectations for .5% Fed rate hike. 1:35 - The Funny Math of Inflation 12:50 - How We're Coping with the Highest Inflation in 40-years 28:52 - What Really Causes Recession 42:47 - Why This Time IS a Little Different -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Watch This BEFORE You Set Stop Losses" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ztjGikMozE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Tax Man Cometh" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-INLgW_t4Ak&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=719s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #Recession #EnergyPrices #CorporateEarnings #ProfitMargins #ValuationDeclines #Markets #Money #Investing
It's Good Friday, and Danny & Rich are taking the morning off. Here is a compilation of past shows we hope you will enjoy reviewing: SEG-1: How to WIN (Whip Inflation Now) SEG-2: What Corporations Are Saying About Inflation SEG-3: How to Quell Retirement Fears SEG-4: Grandpa Rosso's Retirement & Social Security Challenges Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Beasr Squeeze or Bull Rally?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=synp76dN564&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will the Fed Hike Rates Eight Times?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementReform #SocialSecurity #WhipInflationNow #BondMarket #YieldCurve AprilFools #OpusNewton #GrandpaRosso #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/14/22) Wednesday's market action provided a good example of how to best implement stop losses in your portfolio. When the market breaks below a moving average, there is sometimes a market bounce, and an improperly placed stop loss would cut you out of that rally. Wait for confirmation that the break of the 50_DMA is legit. Pay attention to sell signals relative to the market's over-sold or over-bought conditions. The retest and failure of the 50-DMA is the validation you're looking for. The key is not to react immediately to a break in the moving average; let the market tell you it's for real. You may risk more upside, but at the expense of less emotional stress as you navigate the markets. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ztjGikMozE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBounce #StopLoss #PortfolioManagement #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/14/22) Wednesday's market action provided a good example of how to best implement stop losses in your portfolio. When the market breaks below a moving average, there is sometimes a market bounce, and an improperly placed stop loss would cut you out of that rally. Wait for confirmation that the break of the 50_DMA is legit. Pay attention to sell signals relative to the market's over-sold or over-bought conditions. The retest and failure of the 50-DMA is the validation you're looking for. The key is not to react immediately to a break in the moving average; let the market tell you it's for real. You may risk more upside, but at the expense of less emotional stress as you navigate the markets. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ztjGikMozE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBounce #StopLoss #PortfolioManagement #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/13/22) Big Banks lead off the next round of Q-1 earnings reports with a confounded perspective of heightened earnings expectations with haltered profit margin forecasts. Are valuation declines a risk for later in the year? Last-minute tax tips and a gentle correction of our host...but wait, there's more corrective action to be heard. How Elon Musk triggered Twitterers. Inflation is causing demand destruction in housing and used cars. The dynamics of inflation, pricing, and have we seen inflation peak already? SEG-1: Earnings Season Commences as Expectations are Heightened SEG-2: The Tax Man Cometh (and Correcteth Lance) SEG-3: Correcting the Correction & Last Minute tax Tips SEG-4: Inflation & Demand Destruction; Inflation has likely Peaked -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will an Over-sold Market lead to a Bounce? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1mMvLjMFn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Rising Fuel Prices - Did Biden Go Too Far?" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2114s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #EnergyPrices #CorporateEarnings #ProfitMargins #ValuationDeclines #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/13/22) Markets are back on a sell-signal, and getting back to an over-sold condition, suggestive of a bounce. Coming on the heels of the hottest inflation print since 1981, markets are working to hold support at the 50-DMA. This pattern is not just confined to the S&P 500; International markets are continuing into a very negative downtrend, Emerging Markets have performed terribly this year,. In fact, International and Emerging Markets have been under-performing the S&P since 2009, and we have recommended against investments in these areas for the past year. Small Caps are over-sold and on a sell-signal, and this group's performance has been markedly worse than domestic stocks. And there's not much difference in Mid-Caps, either, also on a sell-signal and very over-sold. Rising interest rates, high inflation, and a lack of new orders will weigh on earnings prospects as the economy begins to slow down. Small- and Mid-caps tend to be better performers in the early stages of a recovery...not so much when things are winding down in the late stages of an economic cycle. We are remaining more focused on Large-caps and domestic stocks for a safety dividend income play, and more defensively positioned than for growth. That will change later in the year as deflationary pressure come to bear, at which time we will shift from defense to growth, particularly in companies that can grow earnings in a slower economy. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1mMvLjMFn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketBounce #LargeCap #MidCap #SmallCap #InternationalStocks #EmerginMarkets #Inflation #Deflation #EconomicSlowDown #Markets #Money #Investing
The Feedback Loop of Rising Inflation (4/12/22) The Easter holiday weekend gives you three days to file your 2021 Tax Return, due this year on April 17. Lance Market commentary and CPI Preview. How Joe Biden has run afoul of environmentalists as he contorts to control the rising fuel price fiasco he caused. The Millennial Narcissism epidemic, and how market metrics affect investor psychology; the substitution effect; just because interest rates are, doesn't necessarily mean they'll go up; why affordability really hasn't changed. If Albert Einstein came back (what would he think?) unintended consequences of bank de-regulation. SEG-1: Tax Filings & Market Aftermath SEG-2: Biden & Environmentalists vs Prices at the Pump SEG-3: Millennials and Metrics that Affect Market Psychology SEG-4: If Albert Einstein Returned -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Interest Rates' Effect on Investor Psychology" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hy3YQu_a9hc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why Everyone is Obsessed with Recession" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsmXtYCZ348&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2689s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #EnergyPrices #JoeBiden# MillennialNarcissism #MarketPsychology #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/12/22) The recent surge in interest rates must be viewed in context: This IS one of the largest draw downs in Bond prices--and rate hikes--in quite some time. But rates are only back where they were in 2019--pre-Pandemic shutdown: Houses were selling (there was a "shortage") and consumers were spending. Post-pandemic, home buyers are "being shut out" because of current rates (at the same 2019 levels); what's the difference? Rising rates are affecting higher debt loans than we had in 2019. Higher interest rates have two impacts on consumers: They cannot buy more stuff, and so contract spending, leading to slower economic growth; and consumers note that higher rates have eventually come back down, thus delaying purchases until rates are lower. Waiting to make consumption also leads to slower economic activity. Historically, when rates are more than three standard deviations oversold (where we are, currently), it has marked a peak in rates, which always leads to lower rates as a risk-off phenomenon hits financial systems. Today, as the Fed hastens to hike rates because of surging inflation, rates have already tightened (as witnessed in slowing housing sales and consumer spending). This price action in bonds is the best buying opportunity we've seen in 40-years. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hy3YQu_a9hc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #InterestRates #RateHike #BuyingOpportunity #Bonds #HousingSales #ConsumerSpending #HomeAffordability #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/11/22) Earnings season is about to re-convene: What companies say about forward looking guidance will be key. This is a holiday-shortened trading week with Good Friday. We've been in a major bear market, despite what the main stream media says. What does it mean when everyone is talking about Recession? A discussion of Yield Curve(s) behaviors; how you know we're at the peak of a business cycle. The problem with lagging indicators. King Richard & Will Smith, perseverance, and mentoring. SEG-1: Holiday-shortened Week; Earnings Season Returns SEG-2: Recession Obsession SEG-3: What Freight tallies are Telling About the Real Economy SEG-4: The Importance of Mentors to Investors Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsmXtYCZ348&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Light Trading Ahead of Easter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3D5bTKx-Z1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=6s -------- Our previous show, "How Markets Are Responding to a Faster Fed" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M--VHw6bxOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #EarningsSeason #BearMarket #BusinessCycle #KingRichard #WSillSmith #SerenaWilliams #VenusWilliams #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/11/22) This will likely be a much-lighter trading week, ahead of the Good Friday holiday and Easter. Markets have been in an orderly decline following the recent rally; markets are holding support right at the 50-DMA. If that level can be sustained, markets will be primed to rally again. However, sell-signals have been triggered from a fairly high level, so more correctional action is also possibility. Markets are continuing in a month-long consolidation process. As we enter the next earnings season, companies' outlooks will be key in understanding the impact of inflation and higher costs on their bottom line. Oil prices remain extended by three standard deviations, and we've suggested reducing exposure to energy stocks. Oil is about to retest the $81/bbl level, and factors indicate the possibility of lower oil prices in coming months. Gold, however, is on a buy signal--good news for gold bugs. A breakout could push gold prices to the $2,022 level. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3D5bTKx-Z1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=6s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #EasterHoliday #OilPrices #GoldPrices #MarketCorrection #EarningsSeason #CorporateGuidance #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/8/22) What corporations are saying about inflation & future earnings. Creativity in the Peep-dom: Richard discovers alternatively-flavored marshmallow Peeps; Wal-Mart's $100k truck drivers. Annuities in retirement; where's the target on target-dated funds (on your back). How to Quell Retirement Fears vs reaching retirement goals; what is the real definition of "retirement plan?" Achieving retirement nirvana vs under-funded plans. SEG-1: Creativity in the Peepdom: What Corporations Say About Inflation SEG-2: Where's the Target on Target-date Funds? SEG-3: How to Quell Retirement Fears: Defining 'Retirement' SEG-4: Retirement Nirvana vs Underfunded plans Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OvTpwxGZlq0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2411s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Interest Rates Really Respond to the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0URKrkgslo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How Markets Are Responding to a Faster Fed" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M--VHw6bxOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #Annuities # RetirementNirvana #RetirementPlan #AOC #Peeps #Markets #Money #Investing
4/7/22) Now that the Fed's more rapid rate hike cat is out of the bag, markets celebrated with a Wednesday sell-off; at this point, it's instructive to note the history of market activity around such hikes; earnings growth will be challenged by higher rates, higher borrowing costs; Coffee Talk: Taking the Caffeine our of the Markets; markets have priced-in the Fed's rate hikes. The Fed's talking the talk, and hoping markets will do the heavy lifting. Equity Portfolio critique; Why we took Amazon out; companies to be hit by higher transportation costs. SEG-1: A History of Market Responses to Fed Rate Hikes SEG-2: Taking the Caffeine out of the Market SEG-3: Why the Markets are Like Mogadishu SEG-4: S&P Heat Map & the Market Iceberg Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2youIddsfQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Interest Rates Really Respond to the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0URKrkgslo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will the Markets' Reflexive Rally Remain?" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2youIddsfQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaelBrainard #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #Commodities #Liquidity #DeathWishCoffee #Margins #Markets #Money #Investing
The Fed wants to hasten its rate hikes and balance sheet shrinkage, but history would indicate rates will behave quite differently. Watch @LanceRoberts' latest #ThreeMinutesOnMarketsAndMoney on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0URKrkgslo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 #Markets #Money #Investing
((4/6/22) The Fed's Lael Brainard is calling for a faster run-off of its balance sheet in a more rapid application of quantitative tightening; this will not create any more inventory, but will reduce buyers. Margin Calls and the problem with bailouts; why the weak should be allowed to fail. The ferocity of downward trends; the conundrum of margins in commodity markets. How liquidity kills you quickly. Watch for the Fed to return to QE. Will the markets' reflexive rally remain? Catalysts & Concerns; playing the conservative game, waiting for markets to say which way they'll go. SEG-1: Lael Brainard's Rapid-er Run-off of Fed Balance Sheet SEG-2: The Problem with Bailouts SEG-3: Could Commodities be The Next Big Thing? SEG-4: Catalysts & Concerns: Which Way Will Markets Go? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2youIddsfQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Where Will Markets Go in April?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSsHJmmJhHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s -------- Our previous show, "Anatomy of a Bear Market" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaelBrainard #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #ElonMusk #Twitter #Commodities #Liquidity #Margins #Markets #Money #Investing
4/6/22) Tuesday's market sell-off was not too surprising, as markets retraced from over-sold positions to "over-boughtedness." As markets open down this morning, the 50-DMA will be challenged--and that needs to hold, at least for the moment. Even though markets are currently over-sold, a very clear sell-signal remains. Two choices beckon: either trade along the 50-DMA for a few days, working off the over-bought condition; or, violate the 50-DMA, and re-test previous lows. Either outcome will reduce the over-bought conditions. Meanwhile, Bonds remain under pressure, thanks to the Fed's Lael Brainard's recent comments about a need to taper the Fed's balance sheet more quickly. Bonds are over-sold, and holding onto support at recent lows. As market weakness continues, don't be surprised by some correctional action in the stock market, generating some buying into the bond market. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EfGDBry9KtM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #RateHike #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/4/22) Elon Musk knows how to combat Twitter, scooping up a 9% stake in the company; April is a stronger month for markets, but could the Fed's activity make for a sloppy summer of trading? Jobs Act 4.0 & How Wall St. extracts capital by changing "accredited investor" definition. More Life with the Roberts, the worst thing you can do for kids; anatomy of a bear market. Best Ice Cream Flavors, on-boarding back into the markets, the problem of market timing vs risk management. SEG-1: June Bugs, Twitter & Elon Musk, Moving into April SEG-2: The Things We Do Over and Over SEG-3: Workouts, Party Dresses, & Bear Market Anatomy SEG-4: Ice Cream Lists & On-boarding Back into the Market Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j5pM2l9xhSo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Where Will Markets Go in April?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSsHJmmJhHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Will the Fed Hike Rates Eight Times?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-market-anatomy-revisiting-russell-napiers-work-annotated/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #FederalReserve #ElonMusk #Twitter #JobsAct #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/4/22) April tends to be a strong month, statistically; will that trend prevail this year? Only a few weeks ago did markets sell-off into extreme over-sold territory on Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Since then, markets have rallied, and now needs to consolidate to hold important critical support at moving averages that are just below current market levels. If markets break through these levels, there will be a retest of market lows. By May, all bets are off, as the Fed's next meeting occurs, with an expected 50-basis point rate hike, as well as release of the schedule for Fed balance sheet tapering. Reduced liquidity heading into the summer will result in slower economic growth and slower earnings pacing. That will weigh on markets in terms of justification of current valuations. A retest of market highs would be within the realm of possibility amidst a reflexive rally...sucking in more investors at exactly the wrong time. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSsHJmmJhHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #RateHike #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #Markets #Money #Investing
(4/1/22) There's no need for April Foolery--things are strange enough as they are; We need Reagan's 'Whip Inflation Now' resurrected; what is the Yield Curve telling us; how to read the Bond Market. Assessing Retirement Reform; the Opus Newton experiment; What did Granpda Rosso's Retirement look like--and is that what you want? Social Security claiming strategies & decisions. SEG-1: How to Whip Inflation Now SEG-2: Goofus & Gallant and Reading the Bond Markets SEG-3: No April Fools Day; Economic Preview; Opus Newton & Retirement Reform SEG-4: Grandpa Rosso's Retirement; Social Security Challenges Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dA30ZEK0EoE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2652s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Beasr Squeeze or Bull Rally?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=synp76dN564&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will the Fed Hike Rates Eight Times?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementReform #SocialSecurity #WhipInflationNow #BondMarket #YieldCurve AprilFools #OpusNewton #GrandpaRosso #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/30/22) York Peppermint Patties & Coffee Prices, and the market rally continues, courtesy of a feigned pullback by Russia in Ukraine; why rallies like this only occur in bear markets. The Wisdom of Weddings on Birthdates (and other holidays); What happens after this rally? At what point does the Fed break something? When everyone is suddenly talking about the Yield Curve; Elizabeth Warren vs Elon Musk and taxing the rich; the Budget Bill that's DOA. Higher taxes are a'comin', with changes to SS and Roth IRA's. Why America needs an economic enema. SEG-1: The Market Rally Continues (as only it can in a bear market) SEG-2: Marriages, Anniversaries, Birthdays & The Biggest Risks to the Market SEG-3: Elizabeth Warren vs Elon Musk & Higher Taxes Coming SEG-4: Taxes vs Revenues & An Economic Enema Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhDFG8PrOM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What the Largest Rally Since 1932 Means for Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5Pbdh8j2Pc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Markets Stuck in Wash, Repeat, Rinse Cycle" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-kSAeHvxyp4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BillionaireTax #Russia #Ukraine #SocialSecurity #RothIRA #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/31/22) "The Smartest Guys in The Room," the story of Enron and Video streaming juxtaposed with the launch Tuesday of CNN+; why a market correction is needed to work off excesses. It's a good time to be an agnostic: Neither Bull or Bear. So how many times will the Fed raise rates (before something gets broken)? The Carbon Credits scam and "green gas premiums; the adverse consequences from the quest for "green" energy. How to capture pig gas (ew).Market fundamentals & Valuations; buying value stocks now. SEG-1: Enron to CNN+, Market Commentary: Correction Needed SEG-2: Markets Move into April: A Good Time to Be Agnostic SEG-3: It's Not Easy Being Green: The Carbon Credit Scam SEG-4: Market Fundamentals & Buying Value Stocks Now Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Continue Their Bullish March?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9OezBEZymMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Biggest Risk to markets Now" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhDFG8PrOM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-liquidity-drain-is-coming https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #Inflation #Quarter_End_Selling #Enron #CNN+ #CarbonCredit #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/29/22) Quarter-end selling continues; how we allow psychology to affect investing decisions; what happens when inflation is artificially imposed. How debt deters economic growth. Why negativity is a contrarian indicator, and why we sold (some) stocks; Markets are in a Wash, Rinse, Repeat Cycle; Why headlines do not affect all stocks equally; Only 2% of Nestle income derived in Russia. Important of Health & Nutrition in Retirement; Berkshire-Hathaway & Dairy Queen; changing "workout" to "sex," because no one wants to "work." The irony of Oscar flap over Will Smith bitch slap; the limitations of stock buy-backs: do it enough and the company goes private. The fallacy of "the Rich don't pay taxes:" Elon Musk's $11-Billion dollar tax bill. SEG-1: How Psychology Affects Investing Decisions SEG-2: Negative Sentiment is a Contrarian Indicator SEG-3: Berkshire-Hathaway's Better-bad Choices & Dairy Queen SEG-4: Driving the Length-challenged Bus, Oscars, Violence, & Movies SEG-4B: The Limitations of Stock Buy-backs Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-kSAeHvxyp4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Beasr Squeeze or Bull Rally?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=synp76dN564&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What Happens with No Penalty for Failure" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbHw6kWyJzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Quarter_End_Selling #ContrarianIndicator #Berkshire_Hathaway #Dairy_Queen #Oscars #WillSmith #BillionaireTax #Markets #Money #Investing
Will markets hew close to statistics April performance following rallies in March? Watch my latest #ThreeMinutesOnMarketsAndMoney on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9OezBEZymMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/30/22) The current, near-10% rally is largest we've seen in history--assuming we're in a bear market. While technically, we didn't see a correction, the actions of the market belies otherwise. It is only in bear markets that these types of reflexive rallies are observed. We've had very negative sentiment, very light investor positioning, many are shorting the market, and speculators have essentially evaporated--AARK funds are down almost 30% this year. The subsequent reflexive rally off these lows, thanks to a little good news, is being mostly driven by short-covering. This will have a very limited life. Markets have now recovered to two standard-deviations oversold from two standard deviations overbought of the 50_DMA. A rally back to all time market highs will not change the market still being in a giant consolidation range, and the basic market dynamics have not been altered. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5Pbdh8j2Pc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BullMarket #Bonds #Correction #Russia #Ukraine #Quarter_End #Rebalancing #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/29/22) Is the rally of the past few weeks a bonafide return of the Bull Market? Negative sentiment fostered by the Russian invasion of Ukraine set markets up for a reversal when the world didn't come to an end, and rallying mode ensued. All it took was a little good news. Now, with end of the quarter balancing looming, and a lot of portfolio managers still off-sides on their books: Underweight bonds as prices have fallen as rates have gone up, and still out of whack on equities, off from the usual 60/40 allocations--the move to re-jigger portfolios through stock purchases will create upward lift to continue the rallying. We've been adjusting, too--and as stocks continue to rise through two standard deviations, clearing resistance, the opportunity exists for markets to pull back, and if they hold, will be in a much better position moving into April. And with markets extremely over sold on multiple levels, we need that kind of pull-back consolidation. There are lots of indicators to suggest that we're closer to the end of this bull market rally, and that we could get a pull back over the next week or so, once quarter-end rebalancing concludes. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=synp76dN564&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BullMarket #Bonds #Correction #Russia #Ukraine #Quarter_End #Rebalancing #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/28/22) The Oscar Slap heard 'round the world; The Billionaires' Tax explains, and why it won't pass muster; How the Flu was eliminated by COVID, and now...the impact of legislation, and why the Fed uses Quantitative Easing. The moral hazard for investors, and what happens when there's no penalty for excess; the "new" method for dealing with Recession: Don't let them occur. Emergency Assistance and whose at fault when investments for wrong? The rising dependence on government bailouts...why capitalisms isn't allowed to work the way it should. SEG-1: Oscar Slap, Billionaire Tax, & The Inflation Equation SEG-2: Senioritis, Net Worth Assumptions, & Why the Fed Does QE SEG-3: Investors' Moral Hazard: What Happens w No Penalty for Failure SEG-4: The Consequences of Rising Government Dependancy Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbHw6kWyJzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Quarter End - Is it Time to Rebalance?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3b837raDt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Rate Hike Episode, Pt.1 & Pt.2" is here: Part-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smOKh-aoEHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s Part-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-dCmyjIf48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1722s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #BillionaireTax #QuantitativeEasing #Retirement #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/28/22) Markets' sharp rally heading into the end of the quarter was expected, lifting indexes above the 200- and 50-DMA amidst negative sentiment and light positioning in portfolios. The clearing of overhead resistance sets markets up for a little more rallying up to the levels seen in December last year. Markets are very over bought on multiple levels, and pretty close to triggering a sell-signal. That does not necessarily mean markets are going to immediately sell-off back down to their lows. But as we move into this week, the last in March, mutual funds, hedge funds, and pension fund managers all need to rebalance their portfolios, suggesting markets could hold their own for the next few days. But when the signals trigger, expect downward pressure on asset prices. Juxtapose to the stock market is the bond market, which is currently over-sold on multiple levers, and close to triggering a buy-signal. A risk-off move in equities would bode well for bonds, which are now over-sold by more than two standard deviations. Money flowing from risk-on to risk-off would potentially flow into bonds. So, any correction in equity prices should help push up bonds back towards their moving averages. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3b837raDt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BullMarket #Bonds #Recession #Inflation #Correction #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/25/22) How do you adequately plan your financial future with a Fed that is as outdated as a rectal thermometer? Their answer to every problem is sending a check. Gasoline Prices & Animal House; inflation and the "significant passage of time." What happens when your financial plan isn't working? Social Security COLA, tracking inflation's impact on your financial goals; dealing with volatility in distribution-mode. Improving credit scores for young Americans; medical billing & collections. SEG-1: Houston Traffic & The Outdated Fed SEG-2: What Happens When Your Financial Plan Isn't Working SEG-3: Tweaking Financial Plans Against Inflation SEG-4: Improving Credit Scores Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGmLowz81c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2585s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets to End March Bullishly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TB149ckvhTA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Rate Hike Episode, Pt.1 & Pt.2" is here: Part-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smOKh-aoEHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s Part-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-dCmyjIf48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1722s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Retirement SocialSecurity #COLA FederalReserve #InterestRates #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/24/22) Markets' recent rally providing nice relief; bullish appetite for stocks remains, despite Ukraine, Interest rates, and inflation concerns. What happens when the Fed "prints" money; at what point will the Fed have gone too far? Life w The Roberts'; why Recessions aren't a bad thing; gasoline rebates are financial lunacy. Implications and consequences of 3% interest rates; how debt allows excessive lifestyles; Gov't. not allowing economic cycle to function normally. Why Energy Co's. are in a no-win situation. SEG-1: Markets to Rally Out of March; No guarantees for Q-2 SEG-2: At What Point Does the Fed Go Too Far? SEG-3: Life w The Roberts'; Why Recessions Are not a Bad Thing SEG-4: The Problem w 3% Interest Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: Part-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smOKh-aoEHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s Part-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-dCmyjIf48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1722s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets to End March Bullishly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TB149ckvhTA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Who's Afraid of the Yield Curve?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXOlv-vcoqM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/btfd-or-stfr-which-is-it/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #YieldCurves #Bonds #InterestRates #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/24/22) Markets' recent rally back above resistance levels sets up for a bullish advance into the end of the month. Markets are over-bought, short-term, so some consolidation at current levels would not be surprising. There is good support as markets sit atop the 50-DMA, and the 20-DMA is starting to turn upwards as another bullish barometer. As the end of the month approaches next week, mutual funds will need to rebalance portfolios, thanks to two months of heavy welling, and the recent surge in interest rates. Bond prices have also come down, and the rejiggering of portfolios could provide some upward lift to markets as the quarter concludes. Beyond that, it's anyone's guess as to what happens in the markets: The Fed's rumored to raise rates 50-basis points in May, inflation is running amok, and over the next several months, the economic environment is going to continue to deteriorate, potentially putting a lid on prices. In the meantime, over the next few days, a correction and consolidation would not be a surprise, and would set markets up for yet another rally right into the end of the quarter. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TB149ckvhTA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BullMarket #Bonds #Recession #Inflation #Correction #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/23/22) Lance's mystery Peppermint Patty source; investor sentiment remains negative, but there are technically constructive signs providing portfolio relief; concerns over geopolitics, energy, and food shortages are valid, but they're driving emotional responses by investors. Yield Curves and the story Bonds are telling; the impact of higher rates on pensions; you could be working for free; the reality of retirement now; the consequences of poor financial education & importance of delayed gratification. SEG-1: Peppermint Patties & Signs We're Near a Short-term Bottom SEG-2: Who's Afraid of Yield Curves? SEG-3: How You're Losing Money in Retirement SEG-4: The Reality of Retirement Now Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXOlv-vcoqM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is the Bear Market Already Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=onPy5MoARYs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Sanctions Stink, but Markets Perform Despite Geopolitics" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YqOnk_cB0FU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/btfd-or-stfr-which-is-it/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #YieldCurves #Bonds #InterestRates #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/23/22) Negative sentiment tends to be bullish for stocks, and lately everyone's been convinced the world is about to end. The technicals bear this out: We've had several re-tests of market lows since January, which would include the Russian invasion of Ukraine. But look at how markets rallied, breaking about the 50- and 200-DMA's. Markets need to hold above that resistance level, and reach up to touch the upper limits of the Bollinger Bands. In reality, the negativity has already been priced-in. Are we out of the woods? Not necessarily. Rising rates and slowing economic growth will continue to provide overhead pressure, keeping prices suppressed. A correction would be a bullish set up for markets. Take advantage now to rebalance portfolio risk. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=onPy5MoARYs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BearMarket #Bonds #Recession #OilPrices #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/22/22) Markets continue to perform remarkably, despite geopolitical distractions and Fed meddling; there seems to be no demand destruction from high energy prices. Yet. The conundrum is markets' readiness to rally amidst negative sentiment. Jerome Powell's "hope for supply-side healing" belies headlong rush to raise rates again. And again. Impact of Russia-Ukraine war; Sanctions also hurting the rest of us. Why "rare earth" minerals are so called; The deals we make with ourselves harm us the most: Failure to execute. SEG-1: Markets' Performance Despite Geopolitics, Fed Interventions SEG-2: Jerome Powell's 'Hope for Supply-side Healing' SEG-3: Why Sanctions Against Russia Really Hurt the Rest of Us SEG-4: The Deals We Make w Ourselves that Hurt Us Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YqOnk_cB0FU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is It Time to Buy Bonds Yet?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GnxJu06GEk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Why Today's Inflation is Not Like the '70's" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sQgLCMqWv4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/btfd-or-stfr-which-is-it/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/22/22) Maybe not yet, but we're probably getting close: The Fed this week has said it'll need to raise rates faster than previously thought because of rampant inflation. We might get a 50-basis point hike in May because of persistent inflation they didn't see coming (they also didn't see a war between Russia and Ukraine.) Expectations of higher inflation has been pushing bond yields lower. As the Fed raises rates, economic growth slows, and as that occurs, money flows out of riskier investments (stocks) and into safer plays (bonds) because of capital preservation over time. TLT pricing is more than two standard deviations below the 50-DMA. This phenomenon doesn't occur very often, or last for long, and we're currently not quite there, yet. Despite a selloff in TLT, there is a pick up in money flows into bond, and over sold conditions are setting up for a pretty decent reflexive action. From a trading perspective, this is a set up for a short term trade in bonds. Buy today, and be prepared to sell on any rally. Longer term, we're looking for rates to fall towards zero as a recession sets in later this year or early in 2023. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GnxJu06GEk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Bonds #Equities #Recession #OilPrices #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/21/22) Markets decided to goose the index 6% while we're on vacation, and the Fed raises rates 25-basis points, as expected. Cash is now trash, thanks to inflation; why this is not like the '70's. The Greatest Generation and American Manufacturing strength; why CNN is wrong about solving inflation; Permanent DST, Congress' stealth pay raise, Bloomberg's $300k inflation threshold; the Fed is expected to continue to raise interest rates. SEG-1: Markets Rally Like a Scalded Ape SEG-2: Cash is Trash; Why We Now Have High Inflation SEG-3: Midway, The Greatest Generation, Inflation Now vs Then SEG-4: Permanent DST, The Fed's Biggest Problem Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "6% Market Rally - Markets Over-bought" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BO32VBAZFl8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Who's Really to Blame for High Energy Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E-AK04azW0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/21/22) Markets rallied an astounding 6% last week, coming off an over-sold, very negative sentiment scenario--which was the perfect set-up for a counter-trend rally. Our advice was to use such a rally to rebalance risk. Did you? The Fed's 25-basis points rate hike, and Friday's quadruple witching deadline, which spurred activity, gave markets the lift necessary to rise into the 200-DMA, which will be challenging resistance this morning. Even if the S&P achieves the 4,600 summit, it doesn't change the dynamics of the corrective process we've been in since October. Markets this morning are over-bought, creating some short-term risk. Today, honor your stop levels, and use any rally to remove more risky investments from your portfolio. Be careful of commodity trades, however--they're very over-bought. Watch for opportunities in companies that tend to have stable earnings growth regardless of the economic environment. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BO32VBAZFl8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #Recession #OilPrices #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/18/22) How much do Girl Scout cookie sales add to the CPI? What the Fed said this week could change everything--one way or the other. Why not solve the Russian-Ukraine War with a cage match between Putin and Zelensky? The money lessons we teach our kids should be taken to heart by adults. The importance of including inflation in retirement planning cannot be under emphasized. Money saving lessons for today from the Great Depression: eliminating recurring charges, lowering credit card rates, paying with cash, keeping up with automobile maintenance, Raising insurance deductibles, using online banks, and ditching banks with fees. SEG-1: Girl Scout Cookies & Market Performance in Troubled Times SEG-2: Money Lessons for Kids - and adults SEG-3: Planning for Inflation in Retirement SEG-4: Saving Money in Inflationary Times Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Equities Markets Opening Strong...Commodities, meh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s -------- Our previous show, "Who's Really to Blame for High Energy Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E-AK04azW0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/looking-to-unretire-four-important-steps-to-consider/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/17/22) This week's Fed Meeting and monetary policy may be front and center, monetary tightening has been already occurring, thanks to higher energy prices. Will the Fed back off inflationary stance--and protect financial markets, or go full-speed ahead with higher interest rates? The Amazon 20:1 stock split AND $10-B stock buy-back--a defacto move for larger companies. Who's really to blame for high energy prices? The consequences of virtue signaling and ESG investing...how the government shames the companies it's tried to regulate out of business. When the Fed meets next week, will they hike rates because of inflation (this morning's 7.9% CPI print will feed into that decision); how inflation is measured. The Fed is faced with a market in trouble, and an economy that is already slowing because of the drag from higher energy prices. Tik-Tok blows out video database...Why one-day rallies are normal...for bear markets. SEG-1: Market Pressures, Amazon's Stock Split & Buy-back SEG-2: Lance's Rant: High Energy Costs, ESG Investing, & Virtue Signaling SEG-3: Fed Meeting & CPI Preview: SEG-4: Tik-Tok Fail; What's Driving Markets Higher Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our previous show, "Did Ukraine Eliminate COVID?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2591s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/16/22) The news moves markets, and as the Russian invasion of Ukraine remains in the headlines, COVID has been all but eliminated! After sanctions on Russian oil were put in place, oil futures shed 2%. NFIB Survey shows sentiment waning, wage expectations falling, and anticipated sales down. The higher costs for energy are diverting money in household budgets from spending elsewhere. The neighborhood gas station you boycott could be owned by your nextdoor neighbor, and not the oil company you love to hate. New Retirement Legislation on the way--why are there limits on saving? The demographics and math of retirement; why 401k's were a bad idea. The dynamics of stimulus checks combined with bad financial habits; how long will this inflation last? The cure for high prices is high prices. SEG-1: How Ukraine Eliminated COVID SEG-2: How High Oil Prices are tightening Money Supply SEG-3: The Realities of Boycotts and Virtue Signaling SEG-4: Stimulus Checks & Bad Financial Habits Today's show was previously broadcast, hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch past shows on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #COVID #GasolinePrices #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #401k #Retirement #StimulusChecks #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/15/22) It might take a short-term loan for your next fill-up: Crude Oil price inflation isn't over; are we seeing the death of ESG investing in the face of fiscal reality? The flaw in investor anchoring--and market perspective. A critique of the State of the Union Address; there is a silver lining in higher prices for oil. Russia vs Ukraine by the numbers; the exogenous event; Elon Musk--building nukes and ramping up oil production. How will you be positioned at war's end? SEG-1: Crude Oil Price Inflation SEG-2: Have Oil Prices Peaked? SEG-3: The Good Thing About High Oil Prices SEG-4: How Might Russia-Urkraine War Impact Corporate Earnings? Today's show was previously broadcast, hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch past shows on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #COVID #GasolinePrices #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #401k #Retirement #StimulusChecks #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/14/22) It might take a short-term loan for your next fill-up: Crude Oil price inflation isn't over; are we seeing the death of ESG investing in the face of fiscal reality? The flaw in investor anchoring--and market perspective. A critique of the State of the Union Address; there is a silver lining in higher prices for oil. Russia vs Ukraine by the numbers; the exogenous event; Elon Musk--building nukes and ramping up oil production. How will you be positioned at war's end? SEG-1: Filling up Your Tank SEG-2: SOTU Critique SEG-3: The Good Thing About High Oil Prices SEG-4: How Might Russia-Ukraine War Impact Corporate Earnings? Today's show was previously broadcast, hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch past shows on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #COVID #GasolinePrices #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #401k #Retirement #StimulusChecks #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/11/22) Markets are in a coiled-spring state, like the bear in "The Revenant," waiting to pounce. What the Fed says next week could change everything--one way or the other. Why not solve the Russian-Ukraine War with a cage match between Putin and Zelensky? The money lessons we teach our kids should be taken to heart by adults. The importance of including inflation in retirement planning cannot be under emphasized. How we're handling higher gasoline costs; the ugly truth about Medicare Advantage. SEG-1: The Revenant Market SEG-2: Money Lessons for Kids - and adults SEG-3: Planning for Inflation in Retirement SEG-4: More Money Lessons for Kids & The Problem with Medicare Advantage Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Equities Markets Opening Strong...Commodities, meh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s -------- Our previous show, "Who's Really to Blame for High Energy Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E-AK04azW0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/looking-to-unretire-four-important-steps-to-consider/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/10/22) Next Week's Fed Meeting and monetary policy are front and center...but tightening is already occurring, thanks to higher energy prices. Will the Fed back off inflationary stance--and protect financial markets, or go full-speed ahead with higher interest rates? The Amazon 20:1 stock split AND $10-B stock buy-back--a defacto move for larger companies. Who's really to blame for high energy prices? The consequences of virtue signaling and ESG investing...how the government shames the companies it's tried to regulate out of business. When the Fed meets next week, will they hike rates because of inflation (this morning's 7.9% CPI print will feed into that decision); how inflation is measured. The Fed is faced with a market in trouble, and an economy that is already slowing because of the drag from higher energy prices. Tik-Tok blows out video database...Why one-day rallies are normal...for bear markets. SEG-1: Market Pressures, Amazon's Stock Split & Buy-back SEG-2: Lance's Rant: High Energy Costs, ESG Investing, & Virtue Signaling SEG-3: Fed Meeting & CPI Preview: SEG-4: Tik-Tok Fail; What's Driving Markets Higher Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Outsized Rallies Continue to Fail " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPOOHey3Mtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Did Ukraine Eliminate COVID?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2591s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/10/22) The NASDAQ chalked up a 3% gain, and he S&P bounded nearly as much in the biggest one-day gain we've seen in a while. But even with this volatile behavior, markets have been in a consistent decline since January. The out-sized rallies have continued to fail--a hallmark of the correctional process. Below the surface of the average, individual companies are recording losses of up to 30- and 40% off their peaks. The S&P is being sustained by larger companies with the wherewithal to buy back their stocks. Amazon announced a 20:1 stock split and a buy-back program worth $10-B. Thanks to Amazon's effect on market weighting, this activity will further buoy the S&P and NASDAQ. Markets on Wednesday failed to reclaim support at previous levels, closing right at that support level, and as markets open lower this morning, that previous support level will be critical. Markets are over-sold, but not dramatically so, and fuel remains for a bigger correction to the downside. Next week's Fed meeting will be held in the context of what's happening in Russia/Ukraine, and whether OPEC will increase production. Any "good" news could change this dynamic. The big issue between a 10% correction and a rally to new highs is whether the economy falls into recession this year. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPOOHey3Mtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #Recession #OilPrices #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/9/22) The news moves markets, and as the Russian invasion of Ukraine remains in the headlines, COVID has been all but eliminated! After sanctions on Russian oil were put in place, oil futures shed 2%. NFIB Survey shows sentiment waning, wage expectations falling, and anticipated sales down. The Fed bet: raise rates or hold firm? Nickel trading suspended until Friday; what then? Manipulation of commodities markets--nothing new. Markets' next hurdle will be next week's Fed meeting. New Retirement Legislation on the way--why are there limits on saving? The demographics and math of retirement; why 401k's were a bad idea. The dynamics of stimulus checks combined with bad financial habits; how long will this inflation last? The cure for high prices is high prices. SEG-1: How Ukraine Eliminated COVID SEG-2: Commodity Market Manipulation & The Fed Bet SEG-3: Why 401k's Were a Bad Idea SEG-4: Stimulus Checks & Bad Financial Habits Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Equities Markets Opening Strong...Commodities, meh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s -------- Our previous show, "Is Recession on the Way?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfSHdce7zhM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #COVID #GasolinePrices #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #401k #Retirement #StimulusChecks #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/9/22) Oil prices on Tuesday spiked on expectations of sanctions on Russian oil, and as it came to pass, oil futures dropped 2%. Oil had been over-sold by more than three standard deviations, so a pullback was not unexpected. An oil price correction back down to $100/bbl would not be surprising, as a re-test of the 50-DMA--and that could set oil prices to go even higher, still. But high prices are the cure for high prices, and that dynamic is being witnessed. Commodities run together, and Gold is no exception to the current climate. A pullback to $1,950/oz would not be surprising. Equities are looking much better, however, with markets building a tight consolidation--a break to the upside could be fairly strong. Factors affecting this include the Fed's stance at next week's meeting, and/or good news in the Russian-Ukraine conflict, i.e., hostilities ending. Stocks are setting up for a nice counter-trend rally. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #OilPrices #CommodityPrices #Gold #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/8/22) The cost of filling your tank just got real, and it's effectively pulling liquidity out of the market, and slowing down economic growth. Earnings Estimates are too optimistic with consumers having less to spend as a result of higher energy costs. This could bring on Recession before the end of the year. Just because NASDAQ has declined 20% does not make it a bear market--it's the trend that counts. We're primed for a reflexive rally. Do you want to boycotting & virtue signal, or do you want to make money? A commentary on market futures: Buying is easy--selling is the hard part. How will the Russia/Ukraine war impact future earnings of companies like Apple, P&G, etc.? We have likely seen the peak of earnings growth for 2022, as effects of inflation shrink margins and profits. SEG-1: The Cost of Filling-up (w/charts) SEG-2: Have Oil Prices Peaked? (w/charts) SEG-3: The Reality of Boycotts & Virtue Signaling SEG-4: How Will Russia-Ukraine Impact Future Earnings? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfSHdce7zhM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2582s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "How to use Rallies to Lower Risk " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4UxuCoufoY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Crude Oil Price Inflation Isn't Over" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QN-pJWzqglk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Inflation #Recession #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/8/22) Markets sold off on Monday, breaking through support all the way back to October's levels. Markets are not yet on a sell-signal, and not really all that over-sold--meaning, there's still some downside risk with which to be reckoned. We will likely re-test the intra-day lows established when Russia invaded Ukraine. Sentiment remains negative--the CNN Fear & Greed gauge is in the "extreme fear" category. This would suggest we could get a quick rally back up to the 50-DMA, but the trends are still pointing lower--putting pressure on prices at lower levels. So as markets rally, there's not a lot of headroom in which to play. Use these rallies to reduce risk. Higher oil prices and higher energy costs will weigh on outlooks for the rest of the year, and will push us towards a recessionary economy by the end of the year. The surge in oil prices over the past few weeks, thank you, Vladimir Putin, has placed them more than three standard deviations above the moving average. The spread in contracts seen thru the lens of backwardation is the largest in history, suggesting we are at or near the peak in oil prices. Will high prices cure high prices, or will the increase in energy costs trigger a full-fledged recession? There will be a rapid reversal in oil prices at some point. If you're long oil & gas, watch for that reversal--the tell-tale sign to take profits and remove yourself from that trade. It's easy to do the buying, but more difficult to do the selling--don't forget to sell and take profits! Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4UxuCoufoY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketTurmoil #OilPrices #CommodityPrices #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/7/22) It might take a short-term loan for your next fill-up: Crude Oil price inflation isn't over; are we seeing the death of ESG investing in the face of fiscal reality? The flaw in investor anchoring--and market perspective. Why high oil prices are essentially tightening money supply; the true cause of inflation, per Milton Friedman (it's Washington's fault); Word of the Day: "Slowbalization." There are two sides to every trade--don't forget to sell. Russia vs Ukraine by the numbers; the exogenous event; Elon Musk--building nukes and ramping up oil production. How will you be positioned at war's end? SEG-1: Crude Oil Price Inflation & The Death of ESG Investing SEG-2: How High Oil Prices are Tightening Money Supply SEG-3: Slowbalization and The Real Cause of Inflation SEG-4: Preparing Positioning for War's End Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QN-pJWzqglk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2598s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Control Your Emotions During Market Turmoil" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HmkMm7AxLqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1944s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Inflation #FederalReserve #Slobalization #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/7/22) Why be invested now, with all the turmoil in the world? Controlling your emotions will help you avoid making mistakes with long-term disadvantages. While markets have started 2022 with a 10% decline (normal in any year), investor anchoring can skew your view: when compared to the all-time highs of October 2021, today's markets are only off by about 3%. The reality is that markets really haven't gone anywhere since last October. The importance of perspective is illustrated even more by looking back a couple of years: In February , 2020 markets were hitting all-time highs, followed by the pandemic-driven shut down. Markets then had a 120% run upwards with little volatility. The 10% correction "blip" is exactly that in the context of a longer-term view over the past two years. That's why perspective is important in keeping investors' emotions in check. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HmkMm7AxLqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #InvestorPerspective #MarketCorrection #MarketTurmoil #InvestorEmotions #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/4/22) Girl Scout Cookie Season returns with a vengeance; selling techniques & economic impact. Market performance continues to baffle,. Why is everyone's side-job selling Real Estate? the importance of teaching kids the value of money and delayed gratification; money saving lessons for today from the Great Depression: eliminating recurring charges, lowering credit card rates, paying with cash, keeping up with automobile maintenance, Raising insurance deductibles, using online banks, and ditching banks with fees. SEG-1: Girl Scout Cookies & Market Performance in Troubled Times SEG-2: Money Scripts & The Value of Delayed Gratification SEG-3: Saving Money in Inflationary Times, Pt.1 SEG-4: Saving Money in Inflationary Times, Pt.2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Markets Need to Rally " youtube.com/watch?v=kBVJfVaw4mQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "MThe Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1944s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-market-strategies-are-you-ready https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #FederalReserve #Oil #Gasoline #GirlScoutCookies #DelayedGratification #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/3/22) Markets seem to be doing great, but most of the support is coming from corporate share buy-backs, now at record high levels. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's first day of testimony was well-received on Wall St. Energy makes up 7% of GDP, but actually touches all aspects of daily life. Pricing Gasoline at 9/10ths Gallon; Bear Market Strategies, and what Volatility means. There's no direct link between Quantitative Easing and stock prices--just there to boost investor sentiment. SEG-1: The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market SEG-2: Why Oil Prices Are the Biggest Indicator of Real Inflation SEG-3: Gasoline Pricing & Bear Market Strategies SEG-4: The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Markets Need to Rally " youtube.com/watch?v=kBVJfVaw4mQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "March Off to a Weak Start - Will We Recover?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FNufDfJKGTY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-market-strategies-are-you-ready https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #BearMarket #Inflation #FederalReserve #Oil #Gasoline #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/3/22) Markets liked what Jerome Powell had to say to Congress, and continue to consolidate off over-sold conditions of a few days ago, holding support from January's lows. Markets remain in a bullish position, with stock buy backs very supportive of large-caps. Despite geopolitics and inflationary pressures, markets have held their own, going through a corrective process. However, there is still risk to the downside: There are three resistance levels to be conquered. What needs to happen next is a combination of good news, such as a troop withdrawal from Ukraine, or perhaps a complete reversal by the Federal Reserve, suggesting no rate hikes, and a pause in balance sheet shrinkage. Both scenarios are a stretch with inflation running hot. We believe we will see a continued, downward trend for the time being, and if markets do break thru resistance levels, the possibility of a larger correction looms. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kBVJfVaw4mQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #JeromePowell #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #MarketRally #Inflation #Jerome Powell #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/2/22) Markets commence the month of March in weak fashion as the Atlanta Fed reports GSP growth at 0.0%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to address Congress and the tone of his comments could sway markets bullishly or bearishly. Joe Biden's State of the Union addressed problems facing the country, but no realistic solutions to economic challenges. The good thing about oil prices; the only cure for high prices is...high prices. Q1 Earnings commentary: Watch for softening corporate outlooks; earnings estimates are still too high. We're in Investor Purgatory, and it's time to right-size portfolios. SEG-1: Markets Get March off to a Rough Start SEG-2: State of the Union Commentary & Critique SEG-3: The Good Thing About High Oil Prices SEG-4: Investor Purgatory: Watch for Softer Outlooks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FNufDfJKGTY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Jerome Powell Take a Dovish Perch?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pVrCSOBO40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Oil Stocks Get a Boost from Russian Invasion" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DQAC3wBcJpo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2561s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #SOTU #Inflation #FederalReserve #Oil #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/2/22) Russia surrounds Kiev, markets sell-off under continuing pressure, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell prepares to testify before Congress: His comments could provide the octane to spur markets higher...or... Markets are set to rally again after re-testing support in a bid to consolidate above January & October's lows. With sentiment decidedly dour, what is needed is good news, which could come from Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his remarks to Congress today and tomorrow. If he cites geopolitical risks as grounds for softening the Fed's stance on interest rates, that could provide markets a lift. A more hawkish stance could send stocks lower. This is why Bonds have been performing well, lately. The Atlanta Fed reports GDP growth at 0.0%; crude oil prices continue to rise, and the Russian aggression against Ukraine continues. Cryptocurrencies have triggered buy signals, with a nice uptick for Bitcoin as risk-off, risk-on scenarios play out. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pVrCSOBO40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #Bonds #Oil #Inflation #Jerome Powell #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/1/22) Markets are holding-up, despite the distractions of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, but still remain in a downward trend. There is still possibility of Russian default on debt, with implications for Banking system. Markets are still skittish over liquidity, and looking for a reason to reflexively rally. Cryptocurrencies are being asked to block Russian transactions. Green agenda is being derailed as oil prices hit $100/bbl. Energy independence is a long-term security issue. The Houston Rodeo & Fat Tuesday; Now is the time to take profits in Energy Sector; why Technologies are next Big Thing. Preview & Commentary on Q-1 Reporting season. SEG-1: The Potential for Russian Debt Defaults, Banking Impact SEG-2: It's Not Easy Being Green SEG-3: Fat Tuesday, Rodeos, & the Consequences of Conflict SEG-1: The Potential for Russian Debt Defaults, Banking Impact Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DQAC3wBcJpo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What is the VIX Telling Us About a Rally in March? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QngsQcEUIz0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Economic Consequences of Putting the Squeeze on Putin" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jgnuj3xILj4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #Energy #Oil #SWIFT #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(3/1/22) Markets are opening lower over concerns about Russia, but the VIX is telling a slightly different story: Remember when we shut down the economy in March 2020?? Runaway volatility was based on uncertainty seeded by the COVID epidemic. Most recently, despite the 10% market correction over the last two months, concerns and sell-offs over the Fed's hiking of interest rates, liquidity, and the Russian invasion, volatility has risen only mildly. However, markets are over-sold, sentiment remains negative, this typically leads to a short-term bottoming, and subsequent market rally. In fact, markets have held up pretty well, considering everything that's been going on. There are more stocks at 52-week lows than at any period over the last 30-years. The ratio of smart money vs dumb money is at levels that are consistent with a short-term market-bottom. A reflexive rally on ANY type of positive news would not be surprising this month...providing an opportunity to rebalance risk as we head into the rest of the year. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QngsQcEUIz0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #VIX #MarketRally #Russia #Ukraine FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/28/22) Russia's ill-advised invasion of Ukraine is having international repercussions, as domestic markets experience the biggest downturn since 2020. Oil prices are up $4/bbl as OPEC declines to boost production, and Russia is placed in time-out by SWIFT. Commodity prices are surging to 1973 highs, and interestingly, Cryptocurrencies are flailing in the crisis. SWIFT removal creates counter-party risk; market sentiment remains bearish. What happens when Russia pulls out of Ukraine? The collapse of the Russian Rouble, and what causes hyper-inflation. SEG-1: Will Market Drawdown Deter Fed Action? SEG-2: Why Russian Removal from SWIFT Matters SEG-3: The Russian Rouble Turns to Rubble SEG-4: Squeezing Putin & 30 Russian Oligarchs Hosted by RIA Advisors hief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jgnuj3xILj4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Swift Response to Russian Invasion" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wgTZ4DwftWw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "How Will the Fed Respond to Russian Invasion?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zc6o5LCR53Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2597s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #Rouble #SWIFT #RussianOligarchs #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/25/22) Markets' surprising close on Thursday (2/24) proves how emotional investors can be; how economic effects will be felt in the U.S. The Fed's reaction and response: "We will not be dissuaded from hiking rates." We'll see. Retirees are looking anew at Social Security as a bridge alternative for annuities; critical examination of taking Social Security at 64 or 67 instead of holding out until 70. SEG-1: Coffee Spills & The Russian Ripple Effect SEG-2:The Fed's Response to Russia SEG-3: Using Social Security as a Retirement Bridge SEG-4: Claiming Strategies for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TMhtZfVY8cs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Russian Invasion of Ukraine Impacts Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7GHaIWOcMo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=5s -------- Our previous show, "How Will the Fed Respond to Russian Invasion?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zc6o5LCR53Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2597s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/24/22) Russia Invades Ukraine--what's next? The Big Question for the US is what the Federal Reserve is likely to do in response--pausing rate hikes and balance sheet shuffling? The key point for investors is to not overreact as markets capitulate. The political implications of Russia-Ukrainian conflict-out comes unknown. It is interesting to see the effects on Gold and Bitcoin. SEG-1: How to React to Russian Invasion SEG-2: Fiscal Fallout of Russian Invasion: Historical Perspective SEG-3: Fed Calculations of Geopolitical Risk? SEG-4: Political Ramifications of Russian Invasion Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1EQKA8Sr6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Russian Invasion of Ukraine Impacts Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7GHaIWOcMo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=5s -------- Our previous show, "Is Consumer Buying About to Go Bust?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1EQKA8Sr6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2602s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #Inflation #Oil #GOLD #Commodities #BitCoin #VladimirPutin #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/24/22) Markets will open sharply lower following the overnight invasion of Ukraine by Russia. In anticipation, markets closed lower Wednesday (2/23), right on support set back in October 2021. How much more is there to go? We look to markets' previous responses for clues. Russia invaded Ukraine over a disagreement about Crimea in 2014. Markets then responded with the understanding there would be a resolution to the conflict in short order. That was then, this is now--and it's unknown how long today's conflict might stretch out. Markets in 2014 were set up similarly, with market peaks set in early January, to the tune of 3 standard deviations below the 50-DMA--exactly where we'll be this morning at the opening bell. The key today is to not overreact to what you're seeing on TV. Increased geopolitical risk will also cause the Fed to rethink its monetary strategy, pausing rate hikes and balance sheet reduction. That could create additional support for stocks. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7GHaIWOcMo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketCorrection #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #FedPut #MarketDecline #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/23/22) Geopolitical tensions, Inflation, and the spectre of rising interest rates may already be providing the Fed with enough gravity to fight inflationary pressures: Might the Fed be able to avoid a rate hike? Why Hindsight Bias and Anchoring are two bad habits that can thwart your portfolio performance during market downturns; why it's too late to buy into the oil surge; if you're buying what everyone else is, you've already missed the advantage. What do "Wag the Dog" and "Charlie Wilson's War' have in common with present day news? SEG-1: Is the Fed Already Getting Economic Tightening? SEG-2: Two Investor Traps You Should Avoid SEG-3: The Value of Buying When There's Blood in the Streets SEG-4: Wagging the Dog in Ukraine? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1EQKA8Sr6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Use the Coming Correction to Your Advantage" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zeX4A_Hv3Kg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "What Markets Already Know About Vladimir" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P818DxB48M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #Inflation #HindsightBias #Anchoring #Oil #Commodities #PhilMickelson #SaudiGolf #WagTheDog #Risk #FederalReserve #VladimirPutin #MakingAnna #ElizabethHolmes #Greed #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/23/22) Markets dip into correction territory, thanks to pressures from slowing earnings growth, higher inflation, the Federal Reserve, and Russian headlines. Markets Tuesday did hold support at January's lows, and should actually be positioned to rally, thanks to very negative, bullish sentiment across the board. As markets re-test support, they're over-sold on all levels, and we're looking for a reflexive rally back to the previous downtrend. Use this rally to reduce potential risk in portfolios, rebalance positions, and look to add hedges, if needed. We're not out of the woods, yet, in terms of risk: In addition to the Russia-Ukraine issue, there's another Fed meeting coming in three weeks, with the possibility of a rate hike on the table. After the past two months of negative bias, it is possible we'll see a month or two of markets with a positive structure. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zeX4A_Hv3Kg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketCorrection #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #FedPut #MarketDecline #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/22/22) Russian President Vladimir Putin used the long weekend to stage troops in pro-Russian separatist regions bordering Ukraine...have markets already foreseen this--and more? What Putin needs in order to "save face..." Consumers do not like geopolitical risks. What Anna Delvy & Elizabeth Homes have in common with investors: Greed. What is The Fed Put, and at what point can or will the Fed step in to "manage" the economy? SEG-1: Markets' Response to Russia-Ukraine Escalation SEG-2: What Markets Already Know About Russia- Ukraine SEG-3: Making Anna and Dealing with Greed SEG-4: What is The Fed Put? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P818DxB48M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2587s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Prepare for Russian Invasion of Ukraine" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEw0h87pmKE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Fed & Furious Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #FedPut #FederalReserve #VladimirPutin #MakingAnna #ElizabethHolmes #Greed #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/22/22) Russian President Vladimir Putin's recognition of two separatist regions loyal to Russia would seem to set the stage for an invasion into Ukraine, with "peace keeping" troops amassing in the regions. Overnight futures plunged 500-points, but this morning have regained most of those losses. This variable, plus the Fed's intentions, are playing on markets as they try to hold support at October's lows. Don't dismiss the risk of a bigger decline. A break of the technical "neck line" would conceivably take markets back down to the pre-pandemic peak of February 2020. One of the unknowns is where in that potential decline might the Fed decide to step in and take action? Our article today (see link below) addresses these questions. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-put-what-and-where-is-it/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEw0h87pmKE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #FedPut #MarketDecline #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/21/22) Why do we spend more time shopping on line for the best price, but do exactly the opposite when buying stocks? Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA, joins Lance to discuss the problem of beating the Index, why we implemented our SimpleVisor tool, and how we manage risk; the importance of risk-sizing in portfolios. [NOTE: Markets are closed today for President's Day. This is an excerpt of an recent show.] SEG-1: The Dichotomy of Buying Stuff vs. Stocks SEG-2: How We Manage Risk--the importance of risk sizing Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vh9F7AiJqxM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "How to Un-Retire in America" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HLhykRSFCg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Stuff #ManagingRisk #BackToWork #Masking
(2/18/22) The Fed is acting like a fire department that shows up on the scene and watches a house burn down. BlackRock's Larry Fink learns not to mess with Texas' Pension Fund; the difficulty of retiring "cold turkey;" Planet of the Apes calls into question, 'What's normal?' anymore. The outcome from taking early retirement vs benefits of delaying until age-70. Volatility in Retirement, and why the 4% Rule doesn't work; advantages of charitable intent. SEG-1: The Fed & House Fires: Where's the Beef? SEG-2: Texas Pension Fund vs BlackRock: Unretirement SEG-3: Planet of the Apes: What's Normal? SEG-3: Planet of the Apes: What's Normal? Hosted by RIS Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HLhykRSFCg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "Fed & Furious Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Un_Retirement #Volatility #TexasPensionFund #BlackRock #EarlyRetirement #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/17/22) The escalation of geopolitical risk continues to toy with the markets. The CDC is leaning towards dropping masking; getting back to normal will be good for the economy. Retail sales headline numbers vs reality (without seasonal adjustments). FOMC Meeting minutes suggest Fed is pulling back from hawkishness. Why we spend more time shopping on line for the best price, but do exactly the opposite when buying stocks; the problem of beating the Index. SimpleVisor and how we manage risk; the importance of risk-sizing in portfolios. SEG-1: Why Moving Back to the Office is Good for the Economy SEG-2: FOMC Minutes Review SEG-3: The Dichotomy of Buying Stuff vs. Stocks SEG-4: How We Manage Risk--the importance of risk sizing Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdbDNuGBxQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2578s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "The Negative Psychology of Bonds" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdbDNuGBxQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2578s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FOMC #InterestRates #ManagingRisk #BackToWork #Masking #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/17/22) Markets rallied off their lows following yesterday's release of the FOMC meeting minutes, suggesting the Fed may not begin tapering its balance sheet (translation: turning off the liquidity spigot) until later this year. Markets closed about the 20-DMA, setting up to rally to the 50-DMA today. Markets are opening weaker today over geopolitical concerns (translation: Russia), but have been developing a bullish trend after re-testing lows in January, setting up a series of rising bottoms. A well-defined downtrend in the markets is creating a wedge, putting pressure on prices. A breakout to the upside would suggest a counter-trend rally, but a break below could also set up a decline. We're not out of the woods yet--keeping some hedges in place would be prudent. Are we about to move into the Great Bull Market of 2002? Not necessarily, but markets are starting to incorporate what they expect the Fed to in March. Current trends have clearly identified some breakout patterns--to the upside, as well as the downside. So, despite distractions from interest rates, inflation, Russia, and the Fed, markets have been holding up remarkably well...another sign of bullishness. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FOMCmeeting #InterestRates #Russia #Inflation #Bullish #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/16/22) Today we explore the psychology of investing, the negative psych-out that Bonds receive, and explainer of how they can work to your advantage as a hedge against all the things that scare you; Bonds are not always an "intuitive" choice. Energy Stocks' dynamics; the differential between 1970's economics and now. The Shortest Recession in history, and the relationship between interest rates and inflation; Living in the Carter years, and Paul Volker's mistake. WHy demographics can be economy-killers. SEG-1: The Negative Psychology of Bonds SEG-2: The Argument for Buying Bonds: An explainer SEG-3: The Shortest Recession in History SEG-4: Why Deflation Will Be a Greater Danger than Inflation Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdbDNuGBxQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2578s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why Buying Bonds Makes Sense Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLQZ_dkit7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken (yet)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4f_BltGq68&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1652s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #Psychology #Deflation #Inflation #HedgingRisk #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/16/22) With rising interest rates and inflation fears, there have been negative attitudes about owning Bonds. With a debt- and leveraged-economy, with low economic output, bonds have certainly been under pressure. A look at the TLT EFT as a proxy for bonder performance history, we can see that bonds have been oversold. With prices on the decline, and yields on the rise as the Fed fights inflation, this is a perfect time to buy as a risk-off hedge for portfolios. There will be more volatility in equities this year, and money flows are expected to go from risky stocks to safe-haven bonds, which history bears out. This is why we believe bonds will be among the better performing assets in portfolios. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLQZ_dkit7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BondYields #BondPrices #Risk #Safety #PortfolioHedge #1970sEconomy #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/15/22) Russia's Mexican standoff with Ukraine has ended with a whimper, and markets love it. Earnings Season is also ending, with forward guidance the key for investors. Inflation's effect is already apparent. The Zoom phenomenon and a potential ban on Congressional stock trading, a.k.a insider trading. The negative impact of Work-at-Home on Commercial Real Estate; pay differential with in-office workers. The history of market pullbacks, a possible 50% correction in a market that's up 120% in two years. What will crash the markets THIS time? Basic rules to remember: Ignore the Index, and invest for yourself. Why Bonds are the only true buy-and-hold instrument: Guaranteed return of principle + interest. The importance of knowing where we are in the investing cycle. SEG-1: Russia Blinks SEG-2: Bear Market or Market Pull-back: A Historic Perspective SEG-3: Hotels & Resorts As Market Barometer SEG-4: The Weekly Angst: What Will Crush Markets THIS Time? Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRtyvUdMubc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2608s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Russia Backs-off, Markets Surge" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKgHt3etjVE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken (yet)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4f_BltGq68&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1652s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #EarningsSeason #Inflation #Zoom #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/15/22) Markets are optimistic as Russia backs away from conflict with Ukraine. Indices could jump as much as 1.5% if this Process continues...but...the NASDAQ is down 14% from its record high close. A rally today does not change the dynamic of a downward trend in the markets. A reflexive rally from January's lows took us back up to the 20-DMA, which has been good resistance for the NASDAQ (much of today's rally will come from already over-sold stocks; disrupter stocks in particular. Money flows have been coming back into the markets under the surface, helping to fuel this relief rally. The question today is whether markets can get above the 20-DMA--and if so, markets will be set up for a test of the 50-DMA. Even so, we are still in a negative market trend, short term, suggesting that until we work through signals, any rally we get should be sold-into. Use this to take profits and reposition risk. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKgHt3etjVE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #Risk #MarketRally #PortfolioRebalance #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/14/22) Now that The Big Game has passed, it's time to collect on those bets! Russia, Ukraine, the European Union, NATO, and Markets' response; Markets will probably re-test previous lows. If they hold, markets will be set for next rally up. The effectiveness of the truckers' Freedom Convoy; Why the Supply Chain isn't broken--it was shut down. How to deal with a hyper-active Fed. What will be the next Minsky Moment? Inflation is a monetary phenomenon created by government spending. With earnings season winding down, AutoZone and Advanced Auto Parts are good barometers of how the economy is faring. Prices are not going down, even as inflation cools. 1:50 - Post-Super Bowl Snackapolooza; The Russia Situation Explained 13:11 - Russia-Ukraine, Freedom Convoys, the Investor Guess-Right Ratio 29:21 - Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken 43:06 - What AutoZone & Advanced Auto Parts Can Tell Us About the Economy RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Sell-off on Russia News" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbPkAsFhfvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Where's the Value in 'Value Stocks?'" is here: youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2613s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-time-is-different-the-feds-next-minsky-moment/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Truckers #SupplyChain #Russia #Ukraine #FreedomConvoy #Inflation #SuperBowl #ValentinesDay #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/14/22) Markets sold off ahead of the weekend as Russia dominated the headlines, and concerns over an invasion of Ukraine weighed on sentiment. But this morning, progress towards talks between the two countries is already underway. No one really wants a war, and it's in everyone's best interests to resolve the impasse. Markets' reflexive rally was the result of selling-off, triggered by Russia headlines. If the test of previous lows holds, markets will be set up for a rally, especially if the Fed reduces its pressure on interest rates. Watch for slowing economic growth this year, and as the Fed begins to subtract liquidity, volatility will increase. Take care to not make a one-sided bet on what markets will do. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbPkAsFhfvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Bonds #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/11/22) With the bigger than expected 7.5% inflation print on Thursday, the next logical question is what will the Fed do? Why Inflation is going to be "sticky" for a while: Energy policy, public policy; when will price elasticity return? Is there an upside to Inflation: recession mentality, inflation mentality--similar to depression mentality of the '30's. The onset of Consumer Austerity. IRS Life Expectancy Tables have changed; what this means for your retirement; what happens when current tax law sunsets in 2025? Lunch & Learn recap, Retirement Right Lane preview; the economics of Valentine's Day. SEG-1: What's the Fed Going to Do Next? SEG-2: The Bright Side of Inflation SEG-3: What Changes in IRS Life Expectancy Tables Mean for You SEG-4: Lunch & Learn recap, Retirement Right Lane preview; Valentine Economics RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zq5Etjr8O8Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2950s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Today's Inflation Numbers Mean for Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k_YjVxMKns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Where's the Value in 'Value Stocks?'" is here: youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2613s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #Retirement #LifeExpectancy #EnergyPolicy #PublicPolicy #ValentinesDayEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing
What was first supposed to be a peaking rate of inflation---how inflation is calculated; The rate of inflation will come down because of the rate of change--but high prices will remain high. Why there is little value in 'value stocks' today--the biggest cause: Passive Investing; the Proctor & Gamble gamble; how well are corporations represented in a mutual fund? Why investors are buying 'value' in name-only. SEG-1: Why Some Prices Will Remain "Sticky" Regardless of Today's CPI Print SEG-2: Why You Really Can't Measure Inflation SEG-3: Why There is Little Value in 'Value Stocks' SEG-4: When the Next Downturn Occurs... Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2653s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Today's Inflation Numbers Mean for Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k_YjVxMKns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "The Congressional Stock Trading Ban Gathers Steam," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ob4Nc5gzouw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/value-stock-funds-are-lacking-value -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #ValueStocks #MarketDownturn #Markets #Money #Investing
(2/10 /22) The Fed's Raphael Bostick yesterday postulated that today's inflation print might be a little less than expected...resulting in a bit of a market rally to get above the 20-DMA, but not quite reaching the 50-DMA. Markets are still struggling to move higher, but Tech stocks outperformed on anticipation we might see some dis-inflation in today's numbers. The hope and expectation for lower inflation is that the Fed might back off its hawkish stance on rates and tapering. But the Fed's greater fear is being caught at 0% in a weaker, recessionary environment. We expect the Fed to continue on the path to higher rates as a strategic move against future inflation. So we may not see a Bear Market-ish contraction this year, but we will see a pretty sloppy market with lower rates of return for the next few months. Volatility will make managing your portfolio a lot more challenging. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k_YjVxMKns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHike #FixedIncome #BearishMarket #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing
Recipients of the Child Tax Credit have a surprise from the IRS; the Congressional stock trading ban gathers steam; Amazon's base salary hike, and how to really fix the compensation gap. Why Markets haven't gone anywhere since October; pat attention to the generals; the importance of portfolio risk sizing. Why Texas outperformed the rest of the nation in GDP during the pandemic; SMA's and Tax Management tracking errors; "Uncle, Lance, where did mutual funds come from?" SEG-1: Child Tax Credit, Congressional Stock Trade Ban, Amazon Base Pay Hike SEG-2: Markets Going Nowhere Fast: The Importance of Risk Sizing SEG-3: The Economic Impact of Masking & Staying Home: Texas vs The Rest of Us SEG-4: Uncle, Lance--Where Did Mutual Funds Come From? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ob4Nc5gzouw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2627s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Get a Boost from Inflation Numbers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA2wGYLhzh0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The New Way of Defining Bear Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQ2a8adGojo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2581s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/?s=what%27s+wrong+with+gold%3F -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CongressionalStockTradingBan #PortfolioRisk #Masking #EconomicImpact #MutualFunds #Markets #Money #investing
(2/9/22) The recent rally back to the 50-DMA has been good, but since then markets have been trending slightly lower. Tomorrow's inflation data is expected to be the high-water mark for this year. If inflation comes in weaker than expected, stocks might get a boost on expectations the Fed might not be as aggressive with monetary policy. But the reality is that markets have made very little--if any--progress since October 2020. There are plenty of reasons to expect some downside risk to markets. But a break above the 50-DMA, and we've got a Bull Market on our hands. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/disinflation-is-a-bigger-threat-than-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA2wGYLhzh0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #RateHike #FixedIncome #BearishMarket #BullishMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
Could Facebook pull out of Europe? Tech stocks weighed on markets as a result; the quandry of used car prices; oh, those magical Inflation numbers! 2022 growth expectations are still "off the hook." The new Way of Defining a Bear Market; What'll happen when the Fed raises rates? Remember 2017? The Law of Large Numbers; what happens when the liquidity's gone. Effect on the Dollar from War in Ukraine. YouTube Q&A: Would Fed jawboning be enough? (no.) Darth Facebook vs Parlor Skywalker. SEG-1: Facebook Weighs on Markets; 2022 Growth Expectations SEG-2: Putting the Genie Back in the Bottle SEG-3: What Happens When the Fed Raises Rates? SEG-4: The Rising Risk of Recession, Joe Rogan Rumbles, & Wall St. Sales Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qTTteoqraI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: s Bond Sentiment Shifting from Bearish to Bullish?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HBguQl26oX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "The Good News & Bad Behind the Jobs Report" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qTTteoqraI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2580s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/disinflation-is-a-bigger-threat-than-inflation/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-50-decline-will-only-be-a-correction/ -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #BullMarket #FederalReserve #MarketRisk #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing
(2/8/22) Interest Rates have been inching upward out of concerns over the Fed's response to rising inflationary pressures--a normal response. But's also causing concern from investors with fixed-income holdings: what happens when dis-inflation arrives in the economy? As we begin to have slower rates of growth and diminishing rates of inflation on an annualized basis, take caution of a feedback loop into Treasury bonds. The Fed's rate hikes will also impact Treasuries as yields go up, tracking inflows of foreign capital chasing those higher yields. Remember what happened in 2017? Interestingly, sentiment on bonds--quite ebullient--have not tracked rates, and are as bearish on bonds now as it was in 2017-18. As the Fed works its interest rate alchemy, watch sentiment on Bonds shift from very bearish to quite bullish, as the flight to safety begins to take root. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/disinflation-is-a-bigger-threat-than-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HBguQl26oX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #InterestRate #RateHike #FixedIncome #BearishMarket #BullishMarket #Markets #Money #Investing
There's good news & bad news in the latest Jobs Report, which will force the Fed to make a move. ADP vs BLS--Who's right?? Retirement reality as retirees return to work. The Fed is the biggest, most-visible risk to markets. The Fed's Liquidity Trap, and a history of fiscal missteps; publicity money can't buy; why 2022 will be a year of disappointment; businesses will use automation to fight inflationary effects; what can we do to bring more jobs to America? Can't with workers' unrealistic expectations. Socialism is a great way to be like everybody else in the world. Look more more volatility later this year as inflation subsides. You can make gains any time, but it's more difficult to make up for losses. SEG-1: Good News & Bad Behind Jobs Report SEG-2: The Biggest Risk to Markets: The Fed SEG-3: Why 2022 Will Be a Year of Disappointment SEG-4: Are We in a Bear Market or Bull? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9aykSPZxF4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Are At a Standstill--Watch & Wait" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZhgNWmjtAxk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Child Tax Credit 1040 Sticker Shock" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XbFEWJWU0I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5OS4FHBz_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #BullMarket #FederalReserve #MarketRisk #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing
(2/7/22) Markets rallied last week, as expected, coming off deeply oversold levels. Now sitting in no-man's land--will markets retest October lows, or find support where we are, and begin to rally higher ahead of the Fed' meeting in March? What happens next--and how do you manage your portfolio accordingly? If you think we're in a bear market, raise cash by selling off poor performers in your portfolio, you could potentially be on the wrong side of the trade, should markets rally-on. You'd find yourself trying to get back in just as markets are re-testing previous highs. But, if you get bulling, thinking markets will retest those highs...and markets go the other direction, you will find that you've compounded the risk in your portfolio. Whilst sitting in no-man's land, the best thing to do is watch and wait and use the rally to your advantage, jettisoning poorly performing stocks in your portfolio, and trimming risk on those that are doing well: Don't remove winners, but take some profits and prune them back. For now, make small changes, allow the markets to tell you what they're going to do, and then react quickly. The biggest risk to the markets over the next couple of months will be the Fed. Small bets, small moves, is the right way to go in this environment. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZhgNWmjtAxk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #MarketRisk #BullMarket #BearMarket #NASDAQ #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing
Given the markets' performance this week, it's important for investors to maintain a sense of humility; How Apple kicked butt; Fed de-toxification: No longer coddling investors. Social Media & A World w/out Twitter; does the Fed have the backbone to allow Recession? The importance of opposing views, and avoiding confirmation bias; preparing for inflation, & importance of investing rules; the problem with sticky inflation; how to properly execute qualified charitable donations from IRA's; Twitter comments; best state to which to retire. SEG-1: The Process of Fed De-Toxification SEG-2: Does the Fed Have the Backbone to Allow Recession? SEG-3: The Problem w Sticky Inflation SEG-4: Twitter comments; Best States to Which to Retire Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does the Fed's "Sooner & Faster" Stance Mean for Markets?" -------- Our previous show, "How to Invest with a "Sooner, Faster" Fed?" is here: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social:
Why Facebook's faceplant earnings report brought down there markets, and the risk to investors in social media platforms; Groundhog Day, Texas Weather, Washington Commanders, Markets' reflexive rally, and Facebook is the party buzz kill; when companies miss. How will Facebook's performance impact other social media platforms; why inflation is scaring the Fed to death; raising rates ahead of the coming recession; the coming bear market as monetary policy tightens worldwide. SEG-1: Winter PTSD, Faceflop, and Risk to Markets SEG-2: Groundhog's Day, Texas Weather, Washington Commanders; When Companies Miss SEG-3: How Facebook Affects the Market; Don't Fight the Fed SEG-4: Are We Approaching a Bear Market? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9aykSPZxF4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-put-is-powell-repealing-it -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Facebook Earnings Take Down Market" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aRqUVlI8gSc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Child Tax Credit 1040 Sticker Shock" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XbFEWJWU0I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Facebook #SocialMedia #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #MarketRisk #BearMarket #Markets #Money #investing
(2/3/22) Facebook's less-than-expected earnings report was enough of a disappointment to take down the rest of the market on Wednesday; the question now is whether Meta can withstand the demographic headwinds that are coming, along with a troubling trend of declining user-growth. Particularly vulnerable to Facebook's face-plant is the NASDAQ, with its tech-heavy weighting. Major indexes will open weaker today after a sharp rally over the past few days. A bit of a pullback would not be surprising. The NASDAQ has not rallied as much as the S&P, but it has also lost more than the S&P due to the impact on tech stocks. With buy signals across the board, expect some profit taking today. Markets still appear to be in a reflexive rally within a correctional period. If you didn't like what happened to your portfolio during the decline, use this rally to reduce risk and clean up your portfolio. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Facebook #NASDAQ #BullRun #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing
Earnings have been better-than-expected from companies like Google, AMD, and Exxon; implications of Google's 20:1 stock split; Energy vs ESG's, and what happens in dis-inflation. What happens at tax time to recipients of the boosted Child Tax Credits last year? Why the rich are the only one's really saving any money; The problem with going to cash is the getting back in; managing risk is a game of inches; what IS safe? Is Bitcoin the "new" gold? When the mainstream financial media takes one side of a trade, you should be on the other.If you're going to buy Gold... Q&A from our recent Candid Coffee. SEG-1: Finding Companies that Do Well in Dis-inflationary Times SEG-2: The Child Tax Credit 1040 Sticker Shock SEG-3: The Problem with Going to Cash SEG-4: Q&A from Candid Coffee - Where is a safe place to invest? - What DPI (Disposable Personal Income) numbers tell us - The importance of financial planning - The role of permanent insurance in growing wealth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Correction Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7GcOWob6Im0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "January's Gone, February's On" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3BftiBb17po&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=363s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Disinflation #ChildTaxCredit #Cash #PermanentInsurance #FinancialPlanning #Markets #Money #investing
(2/2/22) Robust earnings reports are boosting market confidence--the bottoming process to October lows is holding up. Money flow buy signals are in, also supporting the market rally. Resistance will still exist around the 20- and 50-DMA. Markets have not completely healed themselves, but positive earnings reports coming out are a helpful salve. Google beat estimates, AND announced a 20:1 stock split. Advanced Micro Devices also delivered better-than-expected results, sister company NVDIA also doing well on chip demand. Botox maker Abbvie did not sag in its earnings announcement, and we expect this stock to break out to a new high today. It's important to remember that not all stocks respond to the index, and that's why we look for companies that can flourish during an inflationary environment. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #Google #AMD #NVIDIA #Abbvie #Markets #Money #Investing
What happens following the "Trifecta of Disappointment:" the Santa Claus Rally failed, the first five days of January failed, and the month of January failed--in years in which these occur, markets are down for the year. The odds of the size of a Fed Rate Hike are beginning to drop: Will the the FOMC be as aggressive as we've been led to believe? Will we see $90 Oil? Chasing Hard Assets & Commodities; News that boggles the mind; money flows indicate the market bottom is in. SEG-1: January was Brutal, RCA's 45's, & Vinyl LP's SEG-2: Will the Fed Be as Aggressive as Advertised? SEG-3: Chasing Hard Assets & Commodities SEG-4: Picking on Cali; The Market Bottom is In Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-hikes-risks-of-financial-instability-part-ii/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Market Bottom In?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5tHCd1FkOxA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why the Fed is Wrong (and what you can do about it)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C10wUG3jDMA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2959s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrifectaOfDisappointment #FederalReserve #MarketRally #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing
(2/1/22) January's brutal 9% market losses have been trimmed dramatically by market rallies the past few days, and futures are positive as portfolio managers position for February business. Buy signals have been triggered across the board, suggesting that the rally has room to roam yet again. The issue is where to allocate money now. There's a thesis that inflation might not be as bad, and the Fed might not raise rates as aggressively as first thought--something that will bode well for technology and growth stocks. Small Caps, more sensitive to growth, but still to underperform the large caps. Mid Caps are mirroring Small Caps, and are susceptible to slow growth impacting their ability to do business. International stocks have been underperformers for the past decade...they just didn't decline as much as the S&P. Emerging Markets have been under pressure--watch the Dollar and its effect on these stocks. Slower rates of inflation, slower growth rates, and a stronger dollar are not good omens for Emerging Markets. The Volatility spike is quickly evaporating, suggesting the risk-on trade is back in play. Looks like we have seen the bottom, at least for the next few months. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #SP500 #MarketRally #BuySignal #PortfolioRebalancing #50_DMA #20_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing
As goes January, so goes the year for markets...or so they say. The Fed is in fight-mode against inflation, despite deflationary 1% GDP growth; Less liquidity = less demand = less productivity; the theoretical benefits of blockchain technology, and why the Gov't. wants to regulate; what will the next CPI print show? Why the Fed is wrong--and what you must do to protect your portfolio. SEG-1: January Axioms; The Fed's Inflation Fight SEG-2: Pro's & Con's of Blockchain: Why the Gov't. Wants Control SEG-3: Fed Rate Hikes & Financial Instability SEG-4: Why the Fed is Walking Into a Trap Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-hikes-risks-of-financial-instability-part-ii/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will The Friday Rally Falter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How to Invest with a "Sooner, Faster" Fed?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHhXF21u3Mo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2585s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Blockchain #Deflation #InterestRates #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing
(1/31/22) Friday's big rally finally triggered a buy-signal on the S&P 500, setting up an opportunity for portfolio rebalancing. We've been watching for a basing of markets along October's lows... Friday's performance suggests that we could see more of a rally. However, don't be too surprised if this initially rally falters and establishes a new bottom before moving upwards again. A failure to establish that bottom at this time could set-up markets for a bigger decline--certainly within the realm of possibility if the Fed decides to become more aggressive with its planned rate hikes. We're suggesting reduction of exposure, rebalancing risk, and take care in chasing the hard-asset trade as dis-inflationary pressure begin to emerge in economic data over the next few months. Watch the Dollar, too--a break out here would also weigh against the hard asset and commodity trade. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #SP500 #MarketRally #BuySignal #PortfolioRebalancing #50_DMA #20_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing
Given the markets' performance this week, it's important for investors to maintain a sense of humility; How Apple kicked butt; Fed de-toxification: No longer coddling investors. Social Media & A World w/out Twitter; does the Fed have the backbone to allow Recession? The importance of opposing views, and avoiding confirmation bias; preparing for inflation, & importance of investing rules; the problem with sticky inflation; how to properly execute qualified charitable donations from IRA's; Twitter comments; best state to which to retire. SEG-1: The Process of Fed De-Toxification SEG-2: Does the Fed Have the Backbone to Allow Recession? SEG-3: The Problem w Sticky Inflation SEG-4: Twitter comments; Best States to Which to Retire Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does the Fed's "Sooner & Faster" Stance Mean for Markets?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33gjT08SLsE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=21s -------- Our previous show, "How to Invest with a "Sooner, Faster" Fed?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHhXF21u3Mo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2585s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Recession #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #Retirement #Twitter #Apple #SocialMedia #Markets #money #investing
Did the Fed just create the 472nd sequel to the Fast & Furious franchise with its "Sooner & Faster" pronouncement? Markets will be more volatile this year; the Fed basically told the markets what they already knew; the sincerity of Jerome Powell. 2022 will be The Year of Volatility; how large cap companies will cope. How the YOLO investing mentality turned sour; managing fear and greed in 2022. SEG-1: The Sooner, Faster Fed's Policy Error SEG-2: The Fed Threads the Needle SEG-3: 2022: The Year of Fear and Greed...and trading...and volatility SEG-4: How to Invest in 2022: Manage Your Fear, Manage Your Greed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does the Fed's "Sooner & Faster" Stance Mean for Markets?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33gjT08SLsE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=21s -------- Our previous show, "Is Deflation the Watch-word?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xa3XxH_tJDM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fear-and-greed-an-investors-two-worst-enemies -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #YOLO #FearAndGreed #Markets #money #investing
(1/27/22) Markets tanked after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's pronouncement of the FOMC's heightened response to the economy with "sooner & faster" rate hikes. In reality, there was very little change from past Fed meetings, but in the presser afterwards, when Powell uttered those two words, markets collapsed and gave up all their gains. The bottom line: The Fed is going to hike rates and reduce its balance sheet, sooner than later, and more rapidly than expected. The problem for the Fed now is, the Yield Curve is already sharply declining, suggesting more economic weakness to come. The Fed doesn't want to get caught with 0% rates and a $9-T balance sheet when a recession hits, essentially with no tools to manage the economy. So which are the lesser of two evils: Raising rates heading into a disinflationary environment, and creating financial instability...but being able to back off those rates and re-expansion of its balance sheet? Meanwhile, where do investors park money? We look at some major players: AAPL, CMCSA, MSFT, - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #SoonerFaster #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing
Will the Fed be as aggressive with rate policy in the aftermath of market performance of late? Why MSFT is the best-operating company on the planet; The Fed's challenge: What to do ahead of the next recession? Headwinds for the Fed: No more liquidity; watchword will be deflation. Why do people want free stuff from the Government? How much negativity has entered markets courtesy of ETF's? "Buy Beta" will shift to buying alpha with quality and conviction. SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview: Will the FOMC Remain Aggressive on Policy? SEG-2: This is Where Fundamentals Matter SEG-3: Why Do People Want Free Stuff from the Gov't.? SEG-4: The Headwinds for Rate Hikes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Futures Higher Ahead of Today's Fed Meeting" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Employment & Jobs: Is There More to the Story?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KlvX5tEeTzE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2586s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rate-hikes-the-fed-wont-hike-nearly-as-much-as-expected/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #BuyingAlpha #Markets #money #investing
(1/26/22) Futures are higher ahead of today's Fed meeting--in markets that have been sharply lower since the beginning of the year. Are markets ready for a bounce? The S&P is oversold, sitting on support from October's lows. A bounce today could rally all the way back up to the 20- and 50-DMA, and hitting 4,600 on the S&P would not be surprising. Similarly, the NASDAQ, down over 13% for the year, a rally back to its 20- and 50-DMA is not out of the realm of possibility. Cryptocurrencies have become the defacto indicator for market sentiment, with Bitcoin oversold by more than three standard deviations. Unlike the markets, Bitcoin is already beginning to form a base and turn positive, but is about to run into some resistance at the declining 20-DMA. But if Bitcoin can rally above the 20-DMA, there's a clear shot to possibly hit $45,000. An effective rally in Bitcoin could fuel a risk-on appetite in the markets. this afternoon's Fed meeting, however, could completely change the tone and the direction of the markets. A more-doveish Fed would favor stocks and cryptocurrency, and potentially fuel markets over the next few days. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #Bitcoin #NASDAQ #S&P #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing
The Fed's conundrum, and markets call its bluff; Inflationary pressure is coming; inflation now & then (1970's); what happens when the Fed becomes more active; the employment & participation picture; how we count workers counts; the Market as Barometer for the Presidency; the Fed is a political animal. SEG-1: Market Recap: The Fed's Conundrum SEG-2: Inflation Then & Now: What Happens When the Fed is Active SEG-3: Employment & Job Participation: There's more to the story SEG-4: Why the Fed is a Political Animal Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Calling the Fed's Bluff:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJPedVrUvJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How Do You Know When Inflation Has Peaked?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zjWsNU8A4jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Disinflation #InterestRates #Employment #JobParticipation #Markets #money #investing
(1/25/22) Markets' sold-off sharply through the first half of the day, with downside liquidation pressure. However, at midday, markets rallied to recover all of the morning's losses, with a huge volume surge at the end of the day. All of this activity took place within the context of a pre-Fed meeting environment: That discussion will center on whether to hike rates and/or tighten the Fed's balance sheet, ostensibly to blunt the effects of inflation. But markets are apparently calling the Fed's bluff by selling off since the beginning of the year. Weakness in Consumer Sentiment and ongoing downward pressure in the markets have got to be concerns for the Fed, possibly shaping it's actions and tone at this week's FOMC meeting. But if inflation has already peaked, could the Fed be late in its policy direction? If the Fed sticks with its aggressive stance, we could see more downward pressure in the markets. But if the Fed soft-pedals its position (as we expect), stocks could gain some real momentum over the course of the next few weeks. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJPedVrUvJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #OptionsExpiration #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing
Is the sell-off over? Certain signs that Inflation has peaked--will there be a counter-trend rally? Rotation from the commodity inflation trade; Bond prices indicate deflation a bigger risk. Removal of Liquidity weighing on markets; the challenge of navigating short-term periods of volatility; Friday's $3.3-T options expiry; Grocery shopping and shortages; are opportunities coming to buy stocks cheaper? SEG-1: How Do You Know When Inflation Has Peaked (Here's Your Sign) SEG-2: Why The Fed's Rate Hike(s) could be a "One-and-Done" deal SEG-3: What if the Fed Soft-pedals Inflationary Caution? SEG-4: Shopping at Costco; the Transition from Meme Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could We Have Another 35% Sell-off?" Could We Have Another 35% Sell-off? -------- Our previous show, "Is the Fed Too Late to the Game?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEGnBbQ66K8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #SupplyChain #Inflation #Disinflation #InterestRates #Costco #WalMart #MemeStocks #Markets #money #investing
(1/24/22) Markets' strong sell-off on Friday produced the second-largest Options Expiration Day in market history--$3.3-trillion in options being handled: a lot of pressure on the S&P and NASDAQ, breaking below their 200-DMA. Could we have another 35% sell-off? Not necessarily--for one thing, we're not shutting down the economy again. But with stocks, crypotocurrency, and speculative assets in general under significant pressure, you've gotta wonder when buyers are going to show up to buy the dip. We're still very over-sold, suggesting that some short-term support should emerge. If not, algorithms may be triggered to continue selling assets. What could cause that to reverse? With this week's Fed meeting on tap, everyone is focused on what the FOMC will say about rate hikes and tapering--will they be as aggressive as previously indicated. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2py07nc0gg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #OptionsExpiration #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing
2022 is not starting out the way a lot of investors expected; will this be the year of Investor Comeuppance? What is true value? Taking profits in Tech, and the Island of Misfits; Why rising interest rates are poison to speculative investors, The myth of living debt-free with a paid-off mortgage; Why Cash Flow is the primary consideration in Retirement; best-selling home sizes. SEG-1: Will 2022 Be the Year of Comeuppance? SEG-2: Taking Profits in Tech & Island of Misfits SEG-3: Why Rising Rates are Poison to Speculative Investing SEG-4: Dealing with Debt in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is It Time to Short the Vaccine Makers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z9mnVB4JaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Is the Fed Too Late to the Game?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEGnBbQ66K8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #DebtFree #MortgageDebt #FederalReserve #VaccineMandate #Inflation #Disinflation #RepricingRisk #ValueStocks #Markets #money #investing
The impact on markets of dropping mask and vaccine mandates--and is the Fed too late to the game? How we're getting "back to normal--"what ever that is; the Fed is in a no-win position: How will it re-price risk? the difference between inflation and dis-inflation; what's the difference between conservative company and a conservative stock? Is value coming back into style? How to find a "value stock" that's not a value trap? How to invest for 2022? SEG-1: Is it Time to Short the Vax-makers? SEG-2: How We're Getting "Back to Normal" SEG-3: The Difference Between Inflation & Dis-Inflation: Will the Fed Re-price Risk? SEG-4: Will "Value" Be the Place to Be for 2022? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is It Time to Short the Vaccine Makers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z9mnVB4JaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Time to Resize Oil Stock Allocations?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_FyedtX8Y-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #VaccineMandate #MaskMandate #Inflation #Disinflation #RepricingRisk #ValueStocks #Markets #money #investing
(1/20/22) As vax mandates around the world begin to crumble, the shift to "normalcy" should restore economic productivity. Getting people back to work and restoring consumer confidence is what makes an economy grow. So, what about the vax-makers? Johnson & Johnson peaked in December, and has been on a downward trend ever since. Moderna has also been in a big correction since July; Pfizer has also peaked and is beginning to decline. Markets are already picking up on the "return to normalcy," and government spending in these companies comes to an end. There are a lot of "value companies" that are not really values: Procter & Gamble, Coke, McDonald's, Disney--these are all companies trading at high price-to-earnings, price-to-sales ratios, outside of the norm of what they should generate in a normal environment, thanks to the push of liquidity into the markets, and an effect of the passive indexing problem. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VneVrBV1uts&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #COVID #Vaccine #Moderna #Pfizer #JohnsonJohnson #Pandemic #Nedmic #Coke #ProterGamble #McDonalds #Disney #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/19/22) Goldman is looking for oil prices to go to $105/bbl--possible? Supply-demand imbalance dynamics and strong economic recovery forces could impact demand, causing prices to rise....but...would that last later into the year? Energy Stocks are now trading three standard-deviations above their 50-DMA. However, money flow indicators are over-bought, and close to triggering a sell-signal which could precede a pull back. That's why we thought taking a bit of profits from our energy stock holdings yesterday made some sense. Of note: Historically, when the Fed begins a rate-hike campaign, oil prices tend to decline, thanks to the depressive nature of higher rates which extract liquidity from the market place. With the Yield Curve already beginning to flatten, we're expecting an economic recession sooner than later, impacting energy demand and oil pricing. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VneVrBV1uts&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #OilPrices #EnergyStocks #YieldCurve #FedRate #interestRate #Markets #Money #Investing
Earnings Season is off and running in earnest, w companies reporting 4Q results; more interesting will be 2022 Outlook under the specter of up to four interest rate hikes this year. The impact of Vax Mandates in the workplace and on profits; masking and commercial real estate; inflation vs market correction: Which can be more easily tolerated? Looking for a counter-trend rally before rebalancing. SEG-1: Earnings Season Commences Amid expectations for 4 rate hikes this year SEG-2: Vax Mandates & Wage Pressure: How Will Companies Cope? SEG-3: How Pandemic Shaped How we Work & Profit SEG-4: Peloton & Panic Selling: Where Will Future Demand Exist? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Sell Signals Becoming More Over-sold--Yet Markets Remain Under Pressure:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ntxNt2g0vHY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's No-win Fight on Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7kcl-RZ6z5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2553s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
(1/18/22) Real Yields are on the Rise. Market's Friday sell-off retested the trend line from October's lows, but bounced back nicely. This morning, we'll re-test lower support trend lines again. Sell signals currently keeping markets under pressure are becoming more over-sold. Markets could have an opportunity to rally, but it is doubtful that we'll re-achieve all-time highs in the market at this time--in fact, we may have already seen the markets' high for this year! The Fed's aggressiveness on interest rates is likely to pressure stocks short-term. Staples, utilities, real estate, and things people have to pay for every month will do better heading into this year. Inflation is likely to peak shortly; avoid knee-jerk reactions now because markets are over-sold; when the rally does come--and it will--you will then have an opportunity to rebalance risk in your portfolio. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #Bonds #PortfolioRebalancing #SmallCaps #MidCaps #Liquidity #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
It's Martin Luther King Day, Markets are closed, and we're taking a break in the studio today. Here's a compilation show of segments from last weeks' programs we hope you will enjoy reviewing, including a discussion of why we need another holiday, the folly of Jerome Powell's monetary policy, and a discussion with Michael Lebowitz on comments from Jeremy Siegel about too much money, real assets, and stocks. Fun times. We'll see you Tuesday morning, live at 6:06am CST! SEG-1: Holidays & Jerome Powell SEG-2: Coffee Preferences; 2022 is not going to be '21 SEG-3: Jeremy Siegel: Too Much Money? SEG-4: Jeremy Siegel: Real Assets vs Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Use the Rally to Rebalance--but to where?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mnjBFAUTV0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Does One-Size Really Fit-All? Parts-1 & 2?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9rRGGyQS73A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1799s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
What in the hell does climate change have to do with the Fed's primary mandates? Meanwhile, Americans' financial confidence index continues to slide, and financial wellness surveys dip lower; when you meet with a "financial planner," what is their real role? Holding Cash for double-digit Returns--pipedream or emotional snuggie? SEG-1: Market Commentary, The Fed, & Climate Change SEG-2: American Financial Wellness & Confidence Survey Results SEG-3: What Does Financial Planning Really Mean? SEG-4: Holding Cash like an Emotional Snuggie Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Use the Rally to Rebalance--but to where?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mnjBFAUTV0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's No-win Fight on Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7kcl-RZ6z5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2553s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
Are academians about to learn the lesson of "no free lunch? What 7% CPI really means in terms of real wages vs inflation; How do you decrease inflation? The political mistake of giving people money instead of supporting the creation of productivity; Jewemy Siegel and The Minksy Momen re-defined; Real assets vs stocks; Bonds vs Stocks--and why we own bonds. SEG-1: What 7% CPI Really Means SEG-2: How Do You Decrease Inflation? SEG-3: Jeremy Siegel: Too much Money Chasing Too Few Goods? SEG-4: Jeremy Siegel: Real Assets vs Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Use the Rally to Rebalance--but to where?"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mnjBFAUTV0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Does One-Size Really Fit-All? Parts-1 & 2?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9rRGGyQS73A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1799s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
(1/13/22) What's hot & what's not? Stocks are still on a rally above the 50- and 20-DMA, still on a sell-signal, but money flows are turning positive--suggesting that markets could rally above all new highs. We're using this rally to rebalance portfolio risk--but rebalance to where? Bonds have also gotten extremely oversold, pushing 3-standard deviations below the 50-DMA. Bond prices are starting to recover, with yields coming down, plenty of room for Bonds to rally over the next few days. Not that there's a clearer upside from stocks, but just a better short term opportunity in Bonds, where money flows are starting to turn positive. Energy Stocks are far out-pacing the S&P so far this year. Oil prices are pushing back up into over-bought levels, triggering a bullish buy signal. Prices could get a retracement back into the $75 range. Despite hotter-running inflation, gold continues to languish. Gold is underperforming the rise in inflation. But when fear starts to rise on the stock side of the ledge, Gold will have more appeal. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #Bonds #PortfolioRebalancing #SmallCaps #MidCaps #Liquidity #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
Jerome Powell now thinks it's time to raise rates and clear the Fed's balance sheets, seeming to ignore the past effects of $5-Trillion in artificial liquidity pumpedinto the economy. A discussion on craft-label coffees; the likely impact on markets of the Feds crusade to raise rates and trim liquidity; how companies are likely to fare in a pst-pandemic world; One-size-does-not Fit-All. SEG-1: Jerome Powell says time to raise rates and increase Fed Taper SEG-2 Death Wish, Black Rifle Coffee, Starbucks; SEG-2.1: The Fed's Aggressive Rate Hike Campaign - and impact on Markets SEG-3: Post-Pandemic Spending & Prudent Assett Allocation SEG-4: Vangard's Target Date Funds for Younger Investors; Self Directed IRA's; Gold in IRA? No! Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Aggressive-Sounding Fed Rate Policy Juices Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How High Will Markets Bounce...or flounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-hs1WASwNCA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
(1/12/22) After receiving Joe Biden's nod to continue as Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome voiced a need for more aggressive rate hiking campaigns, and tapering the Fed's balance sheet even more rapidly this year. This will extract liquidity from the markets. Powell believes the battle to be fought will be high inflation--but what's being missed is the fact that the economic recovery had been fueled by massive liquidity injections--such liquidity is going away--putting markets in a more precarious position heading into the year. Risk Appetite is also returning to the markets in the form of cryptocurrency; Bitcoin had a rally yesterday. Use any rally in the Nasdaq and S&P to clean up any laggards you've seen in your portfolio and reduce risk. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTK8oInR8O0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #Bonds #PortfolioRebalancing #SmallCaps #MidCaps #Liquidity #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
Has Inflation Begun to Erode Earnings? Rising Wages are showing up at lower end of wage scales; pay differentials for work from home vs work at office; Passive Investing and the bear market mirage; What happens when all this reverses? Markets are fine--until liquidity shifts; The Fed has no ability to really control economy, and has failed for years. Will this be a rotation back to Value? SEG-1: The Impact of Passive Indexing on this Market SEG-2: What Happens when the good times Reverse? SEG-3: Why Do We Have So Much Faith in the Fed, which continually errs in its direction? SEG-4 How Big a Bounce Will We Get? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are Tech Stocks Ready to Rally?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bnyx0yHdld0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Inflation is The Big Game Changer for 2022" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gRKAdyFnelY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2598s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
(1/11/22) Tech Stocks were under the gun in Monday morning's action, but by midday, the sector experienced a turnaround, breaking through three standard deviation levels from the 50-DMA. This is a short-term bullish set-up for the Nasdaq. Bollinger Bands have compressed a good bit. A rally here should start to spread those bands. Concerns over interest rates, inflation, and Fed liquidity should suggest a bit more choppiness in the index. This would be a good time to pick through the rubble for stocks that have had their valuations reduced because of recent selling. The not-so-good-news is that the 20DMA has crossed below the 50-DMA from a technical basis, so there will be some challenges for the Nasdaq: overhead resistance from moving averages, and money flow sell signals would indicate selling pressure remaining on this index. Now is the time to look through the Nasdaq for some potentially longer-term opportunities following their big declines over the past several months. Downside risk does remain if the Fed maintains its aggressive stance. Use this bounce to cleanup higher- risk, high-beta names, and lower your overall risk tolerance until such time markets show greater clarity in where they're going. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jn6FAhBi1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #Bonds #PortfolioRebalancing #SmallCaps #MidCaps #Liquidity #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
How to keep proper perspective as liquidity begins to drain, and dealing with obscenely lofty earnings expectations for 2022. The FaceBook name change does not change its stripes--or fundamentals; How ETF's rehash liquidity; What will next crisis catalyst be? Why Tesla market cap + all other automakers markets caps cannot be the same. SEG-1: Keeping Proper Perspective as Liquidity Unravels SEG-2: Inflation Is the Big Game Changer for 2022 SEG-3: The Impact of Passive Investing; Will Next Catalyst be Credit Related? SEG-4: Things that Change the World - Bitcoin, Beyond Meat, Tesla Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: youtube.com/watch?v=dKmF_Ut0hS4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2556s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Are Under Pressure--Can We Hold December's Lows? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SMShgBu8iQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "Why Does the Fed Always Raise Rates at the Wrong Time?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3_05oO7xhg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2585s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
As the Fed prepares to pull back liquidity, what expectations should be set for market behavior? Is the "F-word" being used way too much? SEG-1: Setting Expectations for 2022 SEG-2: What "Fiduciary Really Means SEG-3: Tex-Mex, Queso, & Roth IRAs SEG-4: Flexibility in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: youtube.com/watch?v=dKmF_Ut0hS4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2556s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Was Wednesday's Market Sell-off All That Bad?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jn6FAhBi1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why Does the Fed Always Raise Rates at the Wrong Time?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3_05oO7xhg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2585s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #
The Markets' Wednesday reaction to Fed Minutes on Raising Rates was the worst on record--but was it justified? Will the Fed's panic attack result in another colossal policy blunder? A long term look at Automobile sector and chip fiascos. Is the Fed's "normalization" the right approach? SEG-1: Market Reaction to Fed: Worst Response on Record? SEG-2: Will the Fed Panic into Another Policy Mistake? SEG-3: How Does the Fed Clear Its Balance Sheet? SEG-4: The disparity between The Fed in December and Now. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: youtube.com/watch?v=dKmF_Ut0hS4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2556s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Was Wednesday's Market Sell-off All That Bad?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jn6FAhBi1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why Does the Fed Always Raise Rates at the Wrong Time?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3_05oO7xhg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2585s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
(1/6/22) Markets' sharp sell off on Fed Minutes stating a reduction of its balance sheet--essentially, taking away the punch bowl and hiding it. But was it all so bad? Looking at Market performance from a longer-term perspective, going back to March 2020, the correction we saw yesterday is well within the norms of the bullish trend under which we've been operating. But--is this time different? The pattern of rallies, consolidation, and re-testing of 50-DMA has been par for the course since march of 2020. So now--is the sell-off over, or is there more to go? This will be an adjustment for markets over the remainder of this month. We expect markets to try to hold on to the 50-DMA...we suspect January will be negative for the month before all is said and done. Inflationary data may pull pressure off the Fed to raise rates and remove the taper as quickly as previously stated. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jn6FAhBi1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #Bonds #PortfolioRebalancing #SmallCaps #MidCaps #Liquidity #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
What Happens when Biden Child Tax Credit Leaves? Will 2022 be a year of higher volatility? What happens as liquidity leaves the market and things return to "normal?" Why does the Fed always raise rates at the wrong time? SEG-1: The Aftermath of Excess Liquidity SEG-2: Will Liquidity and Speculation Define 2022? SEG-3: What Happens When the Liquidity Leaves? SEG-4: Being Responsive, not Reactive to Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Return to a Familiar Pattern" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g67UMaRXWGQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Investor Resolutions for 2022 is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79bAUv0sssY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2591s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
(1/5/22) Markets are getting their mojo back following the Santa Claus rally in December, in a repetition of a pattern we've observed over the past year. At some point, we'll likely see this break out to the downside. Of particular note is the next Options Expiration in the third week of the month, because all previous corrections to the 50-DMA have occurred in the weeks of options expirations. The risk of a correction to the 50-DMA is not out of the question. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g67UMaRXWGQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #Bonds #PortfolioRebalancing #SmallCaps #MidCaps #Liquidity #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
Market commentary on the first 5-days of January, and why 4Q prints should be great; the Fed's challenge is how to raise raises 4x this year. Investor resolutions and secrets of the Gymnasium biz; good resolutions require sacrifice; markets' high flyers take a tumble; hard to take Wall St. seriously amid portfolio re-jiggering. SEG-1: Market Performance for 1st 5-Days of January SEG-2: Gymnasium Business & Investor Resolutions SEG-3: Investor Resolutions are a Function of Habit SEG-4: It's hard to Take markets Seriously While still Repositioning Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Are Bonds Doing While Stocks Rally to all-time highs?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gkbdouXqGvk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "2022 Preview Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fPKNnth9pkw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2317s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #Birth_Death_JobCreation #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
(1/4/22) A big conundrum in 2022 will be the impact of inflation and tighter monetary policy effects on interest rates, which will impact economic growth and financial markets because of the relationship between the risk-free aspect rate vs. equity valuations. Rising inflation w would suggest a hike in levels of interest rates pacing inflation. We control our portfolio risk by lengthening or shortening the duration of our bond holdings. With falling yields, we are probably going to start seeing correction action in the stock market. We're now looking for ways to take advantage of falling yields and rising bond prices. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gkbdouXqGvk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #Bonds #PortfolioRebalancing #SmallCaps #MidCaps #Liquidity #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
(1/3/22) What will the first trading day of 2022 portend for markets? Who can tell? The first five days of January tend to be fairly positive as mutual funds position themselves for the new year. Markets did finish higher for the end of the year, and trends remain positive. Money Flow signals are moving into overbought territory, and by mid-month, we may see a pullback towards the 50-DMA. However, the risk of a short-term correction will likely reappear in mid-February. Upsides may be limited early, opportunities to add exposure may emerge later in the month." - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0OKa22kMfo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our ne xt Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #SantaClausRally #PortfolioRebalancing #SmallCaps #MidCaps #Liquidity #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
Our New Year Market preview, and the funny thing about averages; will bullish trend continue? Geopolitics, mid-terms, and policy changes; warning against recency bias; how job births & deaths impact reality; NFIB reporting vs small cap stocks' performance; why small cap business confidence matters. SEG-1: Will 2022 Be a Year of More Market Volatility? SEG-2: Will Bullish Mood Continue? SEG-3: Birth & Death & Job Creation SEG-4: Small Businesses are the Drivers of the Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What's In Store for 2022?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tZnk0D5VEJU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Biggest Risks in 2022 (Hint: It's not the Fed)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BqWkABX5z8c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #2022Market #MarketVolatility #BullishTrend #Birth_Death_JobCreation #SmallBusinessDrivers #Markets #money #investing
Is the Fed replicating policy mistakes of the past? A look at the metamorphosis of Jerome Powell, and an examination of Retail vs Internet Sales this holiday season. ------ SEG-1: Predictions for the New Year SEG-2: Why Jerome Powell is Really Protecting the Markets SEG-3: How to Position Your Portfolio for 2022 SEG-4: Why a Stronger Dollar Will Actually Hurt Economic Growth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by the Market Rally on Fed News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVJ2z7mgZg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "As the Fed rolls out its plan, what's the best way to use your cash?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=931QbeeWTgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=989s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketRally #Liquidity #LargeCap #Markets #Money #Investing
Is the Fed replicating policy mistakes of the past? A look at the metamorphosis of Jerome Powell, and an examination of Retail vs Internet Sales this holiday season. ------ SEG-1: Wrapping the Year; 2022 Outlook SEG-2: Why The Fed is Doing It Backwards SEG-3: Candid Coffee Preview/The Evolution of Jerome Powell SEG-4: Retail vs Internet Sales Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senrio Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP --------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Set Stop Limits" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6fqcaTwVA8M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Fed to make statement on Monetary Policy tomorrow as markets beginning to look more unhealthy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketRally #Liquidity #LargeCap #Markets #Money #Investing
Will we really have to wait 55-years for Pfizer's Vax Results? Markets are not as healthy as the numbers would suggest; when there are no more buyers for sellers to sell to, what then? SEG-1: The 55-year Wait; Weekend at Lance's; Santa Claus is Comin' SEG-2: The Market Wipe-out Behind the Scenes SEG-3: Investing for Liquidity: What Happens When There are No Buyers? SEG-4: Why the Market is NOT Healthy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInves... -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketLiquidity #SantaRally #ValueStocks #Taking Profits #Liquidity #Markets #Money #Investing
Value Stocks have been performing because they haven't worked this year; The liquidity Issue, Managing Risk, and lowering expectations for returns; the Math of Losing Money; Demographics is destiny--especially with Social Security. SEG-1: Why We Don't Own Gold Now SEG-2: The Liquidity Issue & Managing Risk SEG-3: Sell Something! SEG-4: The Demographic Challenge of "Fixing" Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInves... -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketLiquidity #SellSomething #ValueStocks #Taking Profits #SizingPortfolio #Markets #Money #Investing
The Joy of Chocolate; Markets' response to Fed announcement; 10 Financial Resolutions for 2022; How businesses are dealing with inflation; Louis L'Amour & Leon Hale; Conversations about money are gifts; What's your Money Story? ------ SEG-1: 10 Financial Resolutions for 2022 SEG-2: Dealing with Inflation for the Holidays SEG-3: Conversations About Money are Gifts SEG-4: Five Wishes for Your Family Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_MQKo8T2dw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2564s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by the Market Rally on Fed News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVJ2z7mgZg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The REAL Reason Jerome Powell is Protecting the Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7xEbQhXOe8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2668s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialResolutions #Inflation #MoneyStories #FiveWishes #Holidays #Markets #Money #Investing
The Markets' sell-off has not been unexpected; there are now as many NASDAQ stocks down 20-50% from their highs as there were in Dec 2018, in mid-Taper Tantrum--thanks to Apple, Google, Microsoft, & NVDIA. Market Predictions & Problems; when Liquidity leaves. ------ SEG-1: Why We Expected the Market Sell-off SEG-2: It's the Most Wonderful (Prediction) Time of the Year SEG-3: The Number One Problem...this week (now, it's inflation) SEG-4: What Happens When the Liquidity Goes Away? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Market Rebound Continues" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_KRN7... -------- Our previous show, "Should You Be Taking Profits Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrYJx... -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regis... -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInves... -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketSelloff #MarketPrediction #MarketLiquidity #Inflation #Unemployment #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets' assault on the 50- and 20-DMA achieve better support for rally-mode, albeit on weaker volume and strength; will 2022 be 2020, too? The dirty little secret about Tesla batteries; the hypocrisy of taxing the rich; Zappo CEO & proper estate planning; Christmas traditions; preparing for returns in 2022. SEG-1: Has the Santa rally Begun? SEG-2: Replacing Tesla Batteries: Elon vs Cherokee Liz SEG-3: Christmas Movies, Viking Burials, & Proper Estate Planning SEG-4: Planning for Returns in 2022 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Did the Santa Rally Commence?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Co_mHvDfM4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Biggest Risks in 2022 (Hint: It's not the Fed)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BqWkABX5z8c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #SantaClausRally #MarketVolume #MarketBreadth #ElonMusk #ElizabethWarren #TaxingTheRich #TeslaBatteries #ChristmasMovies #EstatePlanning #Zappo #Verizon #Apple #Markets #money #investing
(12/22/21) Following three straight days of selling, markets had a nice, strong rebound, climbing above the 50- and 20-DMA's, clearing the way for a bit of a rally. The not-so-good news was the relative weakness in volume, breadth, with not a lot of commitment in either direction. Markets are looking to move marginally higher today, putting us potentially into Rally-mode during the last five-days of the year, next week. Stocks that have been under-weighted, like Verizon, are now being bought in order to rebalance portfolios. Apple has also been similarly affected. The question is whether rebalancing cash will be put back to work. Don't ignore the small caps space--after a lackluster year, underperformance may continue; but these could provide a defense against higher rates, less liquidity, and slower economic growth. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Co_mHvDfM4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our ne xt Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #SantaClausRally #PortfolioRebalancing #Verison #Apple #SmallCaps #MidCaps #Liquidity #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
Omicron Tests w dire warnings of death, and the temporary defeat of the BBB Bill are NOT why Markets skidded Monday; news headlines are bigger risks than the Fed because of emotional impact; importance of risk management protocol in place; recalibration of CPI and inflation; Michael Lebowitz' "Speculation Index." SEG-1: When will the Selling Stop? SEG-2: Why the Fed is Not Investors' Biggest Risk SEG-3: Will Value vs Growth Be Back in Vogue in '22? SEG-4: What Will Disrupt Bullish Mentality? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Keep Their Rally Today??" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0OKa22kMfo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "How Supply Chain Disruptions Stole Christmas" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #MarketRally #FedTaper #Omicron #Inflation #CPI #BullishMentality #Markets #money #investing
(12/21/21) Following Monday's sell-off, will markets keep their rally today? One thing to be careful of is what you read in the headlines--they're almost always wrong about what's happening in the markets. Despite the "rise of Omicron" and the "failure of the BBB plan" leading to yesterday's sell-off, the decline has been going on for the last three days in this time of the year: mutual fund distributions and tax-loss selling, instead of a function of inflation vs deflation trades. Markets wound up holding onto September's highs and the lows of November, closing above yesterday's opening level. Today's first challenge will be the 50-DMA, providing a measure of resistance. Our suspicion is that the multi-top, previous highs will be about all we get for the rest of the year, with any break out above not happening until January. So now is a good opportunity to rebalance risk in portfolios. We're predicting slower monetary inflows, higher interest rates, and more inflationary pressures in the New Year. Stick with strong fundamentals, choosing value over growth, and those meme-stocks that are now losing ground may provide opportunity to sell and rotate money into more fundamentally high-quality stocks. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0OKa22kMfo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #FedTapering #Inflation #LiquidityExtraction #BuildBackBetter #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
It's a holiday-shortened trading week with Christmas on Saturday; will Santa show on Broad & Wall, or no? The BBB (Build Back Better bill) is DOA; how supply chain interruptions have impacted Christmas and cars; economic cycle explained: Supply vs Demand & demand & Demand; the problem w depending on government to solve "You" problems; Investor Psychology & ignoring emotion; SEG-1: There's No Guarantee Santa is Coming to Broad & Wall SEG-2: It's a Back-order Christmas SEG-3: From Whom Does the Government Borrow? SEG-4: The Psychology of Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKwQjUoR7TA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2563s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is Santa Coming or Not?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZOx2jh99jPE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The REAL Reason Jerome Powell is Protecting the Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7xEbQhXOe8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2668s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SantaClausRally #SupplyChainDisruption #BuildBackBetter #GovernmentSpending #EconomicCycle #SupplyVsDemand #InvestorPsychology #Markets #money #investing
(12/20/21) It's the week before Christmas, and all through the house, we're starting to think Santa is some kind of louse. There are implications from the denial of the Build Back Better Bill, with Goldman reducing economic growth forecasts for 2022 because the resultant extraction of liquidity from the market. This also suggests more pressure on profit margins with high rates of inflation as we head into the new year. Expect light trading during this holiday-shortened week. When will the selling stop? We need to see a support rally over the next couple of days if we're going to see a Santa Claus Rally come into play before Christmas. Technicals would indicate, however, any such action is likely to occur in the last five-days of the month. The first five-days of January also tend to be typically stronger for stocks. But...there are no guarantees. The Fed is talking about hiking interest rates faster than expected, tapering the Fed's balance sheet faster than expected, and with less liquidity anticipated, and higher inflation impacting consumer spending, there are concerns for stocks in the short term. Be careful of making any short-term decisions based upon one day's activity. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZOx2jh99jPE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #SantaClausRally #FedTapering #Inflation #LiquidityExtraction #BuildBackBetter #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing
The Joy of Chocolate; Markets' response to Fed announcement; 10 Financial Resolutions for 2022; How businesses are dealing with inflation; Louis L'Amour & Leon Hale; Conversations about money are gifts; What's your Money Story? ------ SEG-1: 10 Financial Resolutions for 2022 SEG-2: Dealing with Inflation for the Holidays SEG-3: Conversations About Money are Gifts SEG-4: Five Wishes for Your Family Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP -------- Watch the full video of today's show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_MQKo8T2dw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2564s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by the Market Rally on Fed News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVJ2z7mgZg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The REAL Reason Jerome Powell is Protecting the Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7xEbQhXOe8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2668s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialResolutions #Inflation #MoneyStories #FiveWishes #Holidays #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets respond positively to Fed plans for three rate hikes in 2022...and more to come; What's Jerome Powell really doing? Wrapping up 2021 & prepping for '22: Headwinds we're seeing next year; why stronger dollar will stunt economic growth. ------ SEG-1: What the Fed Said; What the Markets Did; What's next SEG-2: Why Jerome Powell is Really Protecting the Markets SEG-3: How to Position Your Portfolio for 2022 SEG-4: Why a Stronger Dollar Will Actually Hurt Economic Growth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by the Market Rally on Fed News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVJ2z7mgZg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "As the Fed rolls out its plan, what's the best way to use your cash?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=931QbeeWTgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=989s -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketRally #Liquidity #LargeCap #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/16/21) Markets loved the Fed's announcement that tapering will commence, and the rate of change in rates will be accelerate: Three interest rate hikes in 2022, and three more in 2023. If inflation continues to rage (now termed "non-transitory"), there is a likelihood those rate hikes will become even more fast and furious. This more-hawkish mood of the Fed did not deter markets, rising sharply on the announcement, and the S&P could hit 4700 over the next few days. Markets are, however, very over-bought, limiting the upside somewhat. The recent selling has been a function of mutual fund "window dressing" as year-end approaches. Of continuing concern lately has been the lack of volume--even in yesterday's strong rally. And, markets are now set-up for the classic, end-of-the-year rally. The first five days of January will see mutual funds resetting their positions in the New Year, and we're going to be a little more cautious in our outlooks, with significant headwinds coming our way: tighter monetary policy, weaker economic growth, shrinking profit margins, etc. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVJ2z7mgZg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9816369327340/WN_8UCalLNwRKOiI97F0L7pww -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #FederalReserve #FedTaper #InterestRates #EconomicGrowth #Markets #Money #investing
As the Fed rolls out its latest plans, what's the best way to use your cash? Is the Fed repeating the mistakes of the past? A look at the metamorphosis of Jerome Powell, and an examination of Retail vs Internet Sales this holiday season. ------ SEG-1: The Fed is About to Do Nothing Unexpected SEG-2: Why The Fed is Doing It Backwards SEG-3: Candid Coffee 1/15/22 Preview SEG-4: A Roberts Christmas SEG-5: The Evolution of Jerome Powell SEG-6: Retail vs Internet Sales Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Set Stop Limits" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6fqcaTwVA8M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Fed to make statement on Monetary Policy tomorrow as markets beginning to look more unhealthy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketRally #Liquidity #LargeCap #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/15/21) Here's an inside look at the technical parameters we use to set up stop losses on positions in our portfolios. "Setting a stop" is like drawing a line in the sand, beyond which you are not willing to lose money on a stock. Let's look at Apple--a stock that's currently trading at three standard deviations above its moving average--which is very extended, and ripe for a pullback. The first thing you might want to do is take profits...then determine at what point you'd want to remove it from your portfolio. Where are the 20- and 50-DMA? Moving averages work well because they move over time, and indicate previous levels of support--another tool in setting up stop-losses. Stops are not an all-or-nothing proposition; you can reduce just a portion of your holdings in a company, too. We look at previous trend lines for price support. A break in a rising trend line is a key clue in where to place the stop. Don't be lulled into complacency by using trailing averages, which could backfire and stop you out of a stock, right before it takes off again on another run higher. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XUeQ2i-8bTs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #StopLoss #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #Apple #Markets #Money #Investing
Inflation is running more rampant than Government reports reflect; what we're recommending for our clients; The demographics of Social Security are unsustainable; what happens if you retire in-debt? Rosso's Inflation Station Blues;; Medicare vs Medigap coverage: Which is best? ------ SEG-1: Watching Inflation Run SEG-2: The Demographics of Social Security SEG-3A: What if you retire in debt? SEG-3B: Richard Rosso's Inflation Station Blues SEG-4: Medicare vs MediGap Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInves... -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Inflation #SocialSecurity #LongTermCare #Medicare #MedicareGap #MedicarePartB #Markets #Money #Investing #Speculation
The Fed is set to make a statement on Monetary Policy tomorrow as markets have begun to feel the lessening of liquidity injections; markets' meteoric performance is being sustained by a handful of large-cap companies: behind the scenes, it's bleak. ------ SEG-1: What Happens When the Fed Steps on the Brakes? SEG-2: The Market Wipe-out Behind the Scenes SEG-3: Investing for Liquidity: What Happens When There are No Buyers? SEG-4: Why the Market is NOT Healthy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's full video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aN1uvYUxSY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2543s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bitcoin down two standard deviations below 50-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XUeQ2i-8bTs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why Changing CPI Calculations Matter" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AjmW5VnESEE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2566s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketRally #Liquidity #LargeCap #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/14/21) Market trading could get sloppy with the Fed on deck tomorrow to talk about monetary tapering...and options expirations on Friday spurring traders to reposition. The 20-DMA is just below where markets are sitting. Bollinger Bands are not too far above current highs. Markets are oversold, so working that off could set up for a rally into the year's end. Interestingly, while the major markets have been holding onto all-time highs, in the cryptospace, that's not been the case. Bitcoin is down two standard deviations below its 50-DMA, and is very oversold. Money flows do suggest there could be a bit of a rally in Bitcoin into the end of the year, but that tends to be a risk-on, risk-off asset, so when markets rally, Bitcoin goes along for the ride. ARKK Fund has been under pressure this year--now down about 20%, while the top ten stocks in the market have been up substantially...and example of how those stocks are not necessarily representative of the whole of the market. We're thinking any rally will be concentrated in these few, larger cap companies than in the whole--so be careful where your money is being placed. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XUeQ2i-8bTs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #SloppyTrading #FedMeeting #InterestRates #FedTaper #ARKK #BitCoin #Bonds #Markets #Money #Investing
Options Expirations on Friday and the Fed's discussions this week on rate hikes will make for sloppy markets; Signs of Market Exuberance; How IPO's really work; What Inflation will do next; changing CPI calculations; Jackson-5 Index; why we don't own gold...yet. ------ SEG-1: Why Rate Hikes DO Matter...at some point SEG-2: Signs of Market Exuberance SEG-3: Why CPI Doesn't Match Reality SEG-4: Why We Don't Own Gold Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets This Week Might Be Set Up for Sloppy Trading" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SO5M4xqgq3s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "The Number-one Problem This Week..." is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zVL3uDNh1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketExuberance #Rebalancing #Inflation #CPIcalculation #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/13/21) Events this week could set up for a period of sloppy trading, including the Fed meeting on Wednesday to discuss monetary policy--and whether or not they'll raise rates faster than expected--as well as Options Expirations on Friday; portfolio rebalancing and window dressing should then lead to the end of year Santa Claus Rally. A good "buy" signal is in place, and money flows are improving. Markets are temporarily over-bought for now, and a pull back this week would set markets up nicely for Santa's rally in the final two weeks of the month. Bonds are back on a money flow "sell" signal, and we're looking for the next entry level to add more bonds to our portfolio. Because of the Fed's tightening policy and a flatter yield curve, we'll be looking at profit margin compression. Companies that can grow earnings in a more deflationary environment will be the most-attractive. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SO5M4xqgq3s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #SantaClausRally #SloppyTrading #MarketPullBack #TheGrinch #Bonds #Markets #Money #Investing
[NOTE: Due to a death in the family, today's podcast offering is a repeat of a previous episode.] After the run-up and market correction, now's the time to reposition portfolios for optimal risk management; low-priced stocks are priced low for a reason; investing vs speculation; the Omicron Correction; what Gold's behavior says about real rates; why the hit in Tech? When the ARKK springs a leak ------ -The Reality of Risk vs Reward, Investing vs Speculating - What Gold is Telling us About Real Rates - How do You Fix a Leak in the ARKK? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is There More Selling To Be Done?" is here: -------- Our previous show, "How To Know the Right Time to Buy" is here: -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social:
[NOTE: Due to a death in the family, today's episode is an encore presentation of a previous broadcast.] Inflation is running more rampant than Government reports reflect; what we're recommending for our clients; The demographics of Social Security are unsustainable; how to plan for how much (or how little) you'd get; Long Term Care planning is a necessity; Medicare vs Medigap coverage: Which is best? ------ 01:29 - Watching Inflation Run 12:20 - The Demographics of Social Security 28:19 - Lance Roberts Action Figures 29:25 - Planning for Long Term Care 42:18 - YouTube Trolls; Long Term Care is a Full Time Job 46:11 - Medicare vs MediGap Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is There More Selling To Be Done?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICmN4... -------- Our previous show, "What Gold is Telling Us About Real Rates" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vtdbv... -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regis... -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInves... -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Inflation #SocialSecurity #LongTermCare #Medicare #MedicareGap #MedicarePartB #Markets #Money #Investing #Speculation
Still Christmas Shopping?? Give it up...implications of re-opening the economy w wage inflation; short covering into a rally; Bad financial advice usually involves money in motion to create fees; how to tell good advice from bad; 30-yr mortgages, Roth conversions, and lending to family. ------ SEG-1: Re-opening the Economy & Wage Inflation SEG-2: Money in Motion Creates Fees SEG-3: How Can You Tell Bad Financial Advice from Good? SEG-4: Why a 30-Year Mortgage is a Bad Idea Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the "Short-Term" Rally Here to Stay?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HpV3-GWzZzM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Number-one Problem This Week..." is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zVL3uDNh1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #ChristmasShopping #BadInvestingAdvice #Rebalancing #30_YearMortgage #RothConversion #Politics #Insurance #Cash #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/8/21)Is the "short-term" rally actually here to stay? Markets have broken out of the short-term downtrend of the past two weeks WITH Conviction! As markets open higher, sustainability becomes the big question. Money Flow indicators and MACD's are turning positive, coinciding with the traditional Santa Claus rally in late December. However, next week's Fed meeting could reveal more market weakness. The VIX is collapsing back towards support, and Bonds have also fallen back towards the 50-DMA--suggesting this rally has some legs in the near-term. That does not necessarily mean markets are going to take off to all-new highs, but with over-bought conditions, it is likely that price action sloppiness and the finishing touches on mutual fund portfolios could combine with positive influences to lift the markets through the end of the year. Heading into 2022, however, it will be time to look at reducing exposure as the Fed becomes a bit more hawkish in tightening monetary policy at a faster pace. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HpV3-GWzZzM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #SantaClausRally #VIX #50_DMA #Bonds #Markets #Money #Investing
The Markets' sell-off has not been unexpected; there are now as many NASDAQ stocks down 20-50% from their highs as there were in Dec 2018, in mid-Taper Tantrum--thanks to Apple, Google, Microsoft, & NVDIA. Market Predictions & Problems; when Liquidity leaves. ------ 0:24 - Why We Expected the Market Sell-off 11:23 - It's the Most Wonderful (Prediction) Time of the Year 27:22 - The Number One Problem...this week (now, it's inflation) 41:22 - What Happens When the Liquidity Goes Away? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Market Rebound Continues" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_KRN74ZX5UE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Should You Be Taking Profits Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrYJxZGk1to&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2574s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSelloff #MarketPrediction #MarketLiquidity #Inflation #Unemployment #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/7/21) Markets continue to rebound, as expected, heading towards mid-month. Markets are now set to rally toward the 20-DMA, but we're not quite finished with Mutual Fund rebalancing, and there is still short-term risk. Getting into early 2022-, the Fed will captivate investor attention, and whether and when it will tighten QE. Also look for 2022 headwinds in the form of lower profit margins, higher rates of inflation, wage-growth and employment costs--all of which have been supportive of current market valuations. But next year, as earnings begin to reflect underlying economic deterioration, valuations will be much more challenging. Bitcoin, too, is beginning to show signs of the risk-off attitude, falling in tandem with markets. We're watching for a crypto-rally, but there's still plenty of resistance. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICmN4p2IUjA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRebound #CryptoCurrency #Bitcoin ##Inflation #WageGrowth #EmploymentCosts #Markets #Money #Investing
Value Stocks have been performing because they haven't worked this year; The liquidity Issue, Managing Risk, and lowering expectations for returns; the Math of Losing Money; why outlooks are always optimistic; don't be afraid to take profits! ------ SEG-1: The Liquidity Issue & Managing Risk SEG-2: Sell Something! SEG-3: Wrapping the Year & 2022 Outlook Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is it Time for Value? Risk-off Shift Into Value Stocks Takes Hold" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nXjOavdQf9Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What Gold is Telling Us About Real Rates" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtdbvxU5O5A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLiquidity #SellSomething #ValueStocks #Taking Profits #SizingPortfolio #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/6/21) Markets are fairly over-sold on multiple levels; but with MACD sell-signals still in place, there remains short-term risk to the downside. Markets are in a very defined downtrend with support holding at the 50-DMA. We're seeing a risk-off rotational shift into more value-oriented stocks--also what you'd expect to see when mutual funds execute their capital gains distributions at the end of the year. We anticipate this activity to continue for about another week, setting up for December's Santa Claus Rally. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICmN4p2IUjA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketSellOff #SantaClausRally #MutualFund #WindowDressing #Markets #Money #Investing
Inflation is running more rampant than Government reports reflect; what we're recommending for our clients; The demographics of Social Security are unsustainable; how to plan for how much (or how little) you'd get; Long Term Care planning is a necessity; Medicare vs Medigap coverage: Which is best? ------ 01:29 - Watching Inflation Run 12:20 - The Demographics of Social Security 28:19 - Lance Roberts Action Figures 29:25 - Planning for Long Term Care 42:18 - YouTube Trolls; Long Term Care is a Full Time Job 46:11 - Medicare vs MediGap Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=inMgCUnQf9A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is There More Selling To Be Done?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICmN4p2IUjA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What Gold is Telling Us About Real Rates" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtdbvxU5O5A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #SocialSecurity #LongTermCare #Medicare #MedicareGap #MedicarePartB #Markets #Money #Investing #Speculation
After the run-up and market correction, now's the time to reposition portfolios for optimal risk management; low-priced stocks are priced low for a reason; investing vs speculation; the Omicron Correction; what Gold's behavior says about real rates; why the hit in Tech? When the ARKK springs a leak ------ SEG-1: The Reality of Risk vs Reward, Investing vs Speculating SEG-2: What Gold is Telling us About Real Rates SEG-3: How do You Fix a Leak in the ARKK? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtdbvxU5O5A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-stock-market-crash-like-2000-possible -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is There More Selling To Be Done?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICmN4p2IUjA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How To Know the Right Time to Buy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sEZ9z8XGuAs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketSellOff #Gold #Risk #Reward #TechStocks #ARKK #Markets #Money #Investing #Speculation
(12/2/21) The market sell-off continues, thanks to the Omicron variant. So how should you position your portfolio now? There is a combination of technical indicators and market seasonality that are presenting challenges as well as opportunities. Markets were going to sell, regardless of the reason--Omicron is the headline de jour markets are assigning to the sell-off event. It could just have easily been the Apple weak iPhone sales announcement. Meanwhile, the range of price movement has been getting more and more confined. Is there still more selling to be done? It is clear we're setting up for the predicted Santa Claus rally. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICmN4p2IUjA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketSellOff #Omicron #SantaClausRally #marketSeasonality #Markets #Money #Investing
Preparing for the market correction is about to pay off: Start making your list of possible buys; watching the technicals for the right time to buy; is a Roth the right choice for you? Demographics are Destiny: What happens to Social Security? The story behind oil prices; the story behind iBonds. ------ SEG-1: How to Put Money Back to Work SEG-2: To Roth or Not to Roth? SEG-3: What's Up with Oil Prices? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w/Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sEZ9z8XGuAs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-stock-market-crash-like-2000-possible https://realinvestmentadvice.com/?s=traders+are+pushing+oil+rates -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is The Sell-off Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KllVV-9n8g4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "Has Jerome Powell Changed His Mind?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iasciUGbKTc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=330s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #RothIRA #OilPrices #JeromePowell #FedTaper #HigherTaxes #SocialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing
(12/1/21) Is the sell-off over--and is it time to buy stocks? After Jerome Powell mentioned retiring the word, "transitory," and speeding the rate of taper, stocks took a dive. We said this would happen, prior to a Santa Claus rally at the end of the year. Buying stocks could be a good idea...but: When should you do so, and how? First, watch the bearish trends, testing the downtrend channel. We're looking for strong support at the 50-DMA. Money Flow buy-signals are also very flat, and close to turning positive. However--Money Flows did turn negative on Tuesday for the first time since September/October...and the over-bought/over-sold indicators are at very low levels...all suggesting we're near the end of the selling pressure. So, how to add money to portfolios? Be aware of continued selling pressure as mutual funds rebalance, and note the continued negative divergence of market breadth from the market. It's better to buy a stock on the way back up than to bottom fish a stock on the way down. Also, consider Bonds, which are still providing a safe off rotation against risk in portfolios, especially as the Fed begins to taper. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KllVV-9n8g4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketSellOff #FedTaper #TransitoryInflation #JeromePowell #Stocks #Bonds #Markets #Money #Investing
The maker of the world's most ugly car (Renault) is now making the world's most ugly flying car; Jerome Powell swings both ways; there's too much money chasing too few deals; Tesla's Model-Y gets trashed; how automakers change consumers' tastes; most-shorted stocks in S&P. ------ SEG-1: Flying Renaults, Jerome Powell's Dovish Twist SEG-2: How Too Much Liquidity has Distorted Markets SEG-3: Trashing Tesla's Model-Y, and Why Market Fundamentals Matter Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iasciUGbKTc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-correction-before-the-santa-rally-has-started/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/black-friday-plunges-as-covid-variant-rattles-markets/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/could-the-fed-trigger-the-next-financial-crisis/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is There an End in Sight to this Market Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jFqRgdmuYrY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "Are Oil Prices Too Volatile to Handle?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LuEttbKhn8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JeromePowell #Omicron #MarketCorrection #Tesla_Y #MutualFundDistribution #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/30/21) Despite Monday's rally, markets are still in correction mode, and the Omicron variant is providing the "excuse" for correction to occur. It's important to note that Friday's decline, in a half-day of light-volume trading, was followed by a Cyber Monday rally in a full day of activity, with only half the volume of Friday's rout. The Omicron variant is still a source of concern this morning. This consolidation and correction has been expected--all that was needed was a catalyst. Enter, Omicron. Money flow indicators are beginning to flatten, signaling an end in sight for this correction. Look for support between recent lows and the 50-DMA. More near-term weakness is expected, setting up for a Santa Claus Rally. Check your list of naughty and nice stocks for the end of the year...and remember, fundamentals still matter. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jFqRgdmuYrY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketCorrection #Omicrom #BlackFriday #CyberMonday #MoneyFlowSignals #Markets #Money #Investing
The shift in making kids pay for college; Will Politicians again shut down economies to thwart Omicron Variant of COVID? the impact of Mutual Fund distributions on Wall St., Value vs Growth in Oil Stocks; Demographics are Destiny in Addressing Social Security. ------ SEG-1: Reaction & Response to Omicron Variant SEG-2: Impact of EOY Mutual Fund Distributions; Pricing Oil SEG-3: The Demographic Challenge of "Fixing" Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9LuEttbKhn8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/black-friday-plunges-as-covid-variant-rattles-markets/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/could-the-fed-trigger-the-next-financial-crisis/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Omicrom Variant Shakes Wall Street" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_8GBFywUl0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Is a Fed Taper GOOD for Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei4PGkqUpjo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Omicron #COVID #OilPrices #SocialSecurity #MarketCorrection #MutualFundDistribution #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/29/21) The Omicrom Variant of the COVID virus shook Wall Street, turning Black Friday red, as the uncertainty surrounding this new variant proved too much to overcome. Markets were looking for a reason to sell-off, and this was their excuse. This was no surprise for over-extended markets. Markets this morning are back in the green on a reflexive rally, but with mutual fund distributions to come, sloppiness will persist. Watch the potential for entry points to add exposure to stocks ahead of an anticipated Santa Claus rally. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_8GBFywUl0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Wj4yD4Sdyg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #COVID #Omicrom #BlackFriday #CyberMonday #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlowSignals #Markets #Money #Investing
Yes, Rich & Danny are sleeping off their Tryptohpan coma this morning, so this is our special Black Friday episode of the show. We've put together some clips for you from the past weeks or so, including: SEG-1: End of Year Planning for Savvy Investors SEG-2: Ten Smart Money Moves to Make Before 2022 SEG-3: What's Your Dream-Retirement? Survey SEG-4: Retirement Wisdom from Grandma Rosso -------- You can review past video installations of Lance's "Three Minutes on Markets & Money" here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16 -------- Past Shows can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe -------- Our most-recent Candid Coffee can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aueA_Gkq64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1&t=38s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #SmartMoney #Retirement #Markets #Money #investing
We're on a break. Lance is fasting today in preparation for tomorrow's Thanksgiving feeding frenzy, and so we put together some show clips from the past week or so, including: SEG-1: The One About the Fed's Stock Market Warning SEG-2: It's Not Easy Being Green SEG-3: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? SEG-4: Unintended Consequences -------- You can review past video installations of Lance's "Three Minutes on Markets & Money" here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16 -------- Past Shows can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe -------- Our most-recent Candid Coffee can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aueA_Gkq64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1&t=38s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #GreenInvesting #60_40_Portfolio #Markets #Money #investing
Is a Santa Claus Rally coming? COVID Test results & JFK Papers delayed; Turkey Talk & a critique of the Build Back Better bill & porkfest; Vegas tryouts are capitalism incarnate: It's supply & Demand; Why the economy is dependent on low interest rates; what happens next? ------ SEG-1: COVID Test Results, Santa Claus Rally, & Understanding Options SEG-2: Turkey Talk & Build Back Better Bill Critique SEG-3: Vegas Tryouts, Houston Cabbies, & the Rate-dependent Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei4PGkqUpjo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/santa-claus-rally-is-coming-but-will-markets-correct-first/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rising-interest-rates-matter-to-the-stock-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-taper-will-awaken-the-sleeping-bond-bull-market/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is a Jerome Powell 2nd Term a Bad Thing for Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-gB0yd84vmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Is a Fed Taper GOOD for Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei4PGkqUpjo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SantaClausRally #BuildBackBetter #InterestRates #MarketCorrection #CallOptions #PutOptions #Reconciliation #SALTtax #Markets #Money #investing
(11/23/21) Jerome Powell gets Joe Biden's nod for another round as Federal Reserve Chairman, which markets initially liked until the realization hit that another term for St. Jerome most assuredly means the potential between three and five interest rate hikes in 2022. Additionally, talk of accelerating the Fed's tapering of monetary accommodation, further exacerbated stocks...and perhaps the lighter-than-normal sessions of Thanksgiving week kept investors from throwing in the towel. What about a Santa Claus Rally? We're looking for a slight correction in the first couple of weeks of December, which would set the sled for a Santa Claus Rally before the end of the year. But with shallower liquidity and higher interest rates looming in the New Year, the picture may be drastically changed. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-gB0yd84vmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Wj4yD4Sdyg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTaper #MarketLiquidity #SantaClausRally #MarketCorrection #Markets #Money #Investing
At what interest rate will markets say, "enough?" The Instability of Stability is Markets' biggest risk; What is the Fed's taper-rate? Markets predict two rate hikes in 2022; Just because seasonality is here, don't be unwary; concern over return of capital, not return on capital. ------ SEG-1: What is the Interest Rate Threshold for Market Correction? SEG-2: What is the Fed's Real Taper-rate? SEG-3: Christmas Trees, Turkeys, Going to the Dr.; Return of Capital Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMzlIUxns3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rising-interest-rates-matter-to-the-stock-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-taper-will-awaken-the-sleeping-bond-bull-market/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is There Any Upside Left?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nss5ObXv_D4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will Inflation Become Stagflation?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMzlIUxns3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=41s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InterestRates #BondMarket #StockMarket #FedTaper #Inflation #ThankgivingFoodPrices #ChristmasTrees #MarketSeasonality #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/12/21) Investor complacency can be demonstrated by markets apparent lack of motivation despite rising rates and rising inflation, a condition that's not too surprising, given the Fed's more active intervention in the markets since 2000. Stocks are trading at their upper range of the Bollinger bands, suggesting there's not a lot of upside left, currently. Money Flow indicators are fairly over-sold this week, and MACD's are still in a sell signal, suggesting a struggle for prices, but no real sign of correction just yet. As interest rates on the 10-year Treasury continue to decline, watch the correlation between the direction of rates and the stock market. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rising-interest-rates-matter-to-the-stock-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nss5ObXv_D4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=7s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Wj4yD4Sdyg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #InterestRates #BondMarket #StockMarket #FederalReserve #BollingerBand #MACD #OverSoldMarket #Markest #Money #Investing
The Holidays are upon us, Thanksgiving preparations, Christmas spending budgets, and Tax Turbylence Period; Long Term Care vs Medicare; Working at Macy's Thanksgiving Parade; analyzing Medicare Advantage; the future of Blood Rx. ------ SEG-1: The Tax Turbulence Period SEG-2: Long Term Care vs Medicare SEG-3: Working at Macy's; Medicare Trends SEG-4: Analyzing Medicare Advantage Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMzlIUxns3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Aew We Due for a Santa Claus Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Wj4yD4Sdyg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Will Inflation Become Stagflation?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rMzlIUxns3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=41s -------- Our most-recent Candid Coffee can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aueA_Gkq64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1&t=38s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Medicare #Medigap #MedicareAdvantage #Retirement #Thanksgiving #TaxTurbulence #ChristmasShopping #SpendingBudget
This is our special Thanksgiving Day episode of the show for which we've put together some clips from the past week or so, including: SEG-1: Off-the-Charts Bull Markets SEG-2: Elon Musk for President! SEG-3: Financial Missteps: How We Got Here SEG-4: Why Elon Musk Pays Not Taxes -------- You can review past video installations of Lance's "Three Minutes on Markets & Money" here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16 -------- Past Shows can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe -------- Our most-recent Candid Coffee can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aueA_Gkq64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1&t=38s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullMarkwet #ElonMusk #FinancialMissteps #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #investing
Starbuck's & McDonald's are luring customers with free stuff for the holidays, even as prices inflate; the political toll from a poor economy; how inflation becomes stagflation; The Fed's Bazooka; what Joe Biden doesn't know about oil commodity pricing. ------ SEG-1: Starbuck's & Inflation in Your Cup SEG-2: The Fed's Bazooka Gone Awry SEG-3: How Oil Prices Really Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PlFUhsuJig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Aew We Due for a Santa Claus Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Wj4yD4Sdyg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Build Back Better Bust: Why the spending package ISN'T paid for, as promised," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4fKWFd3yZh0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Our most-recent Candid Coffee can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aueA_Gkq64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1&t=38s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Stagflation #OilPrices #Starbucks #McDonalds #JoeBiden #FedBazooka #CommodityPricing #Markets #Money #investing
(11/18/21) Retailers aren't worried, with good earnings reports coming from Kohl's, Macy's, and Nvidia; so where's the money coming from? Home Equity liquidation and credit cards are fueling consumers' spending sprees, piling on debt. That won't end well as rates and inflation rise. Stocks are very extended, market-wide: Watch for price pressure following Thanksgiving, setting up for a Santa Claus rally by the end of the year. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Wj4yD4Sdyg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Wj4yD4Sdyg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #RetailSales #WageInflation #RealInflation #Markets #Money #Investing #Kohls #Macys #Nvidia
Markets are quietly going sideways ahead of Thanksgiving; we're looking for the potential for a Santa Claus Rally; Janet Yellen is wrong; Build Back Better Plan is not paid for; reinstatement of SALT deduction; Questions & Answers from Candid Coffee; Outlook for Taxes in 2022; where to best invest? ------ SEG-1: Market Commentary: All is Quiet before Thanksgiving, but then... SEG-2: Tax Changes coming for 2022: The Truth About the SALT Deduction SEG-3: Where are the best places to invest in 2022? SEG-4: Asset Allocation in an Under-Performing Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4fKWFd3yZh0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Stocks or Bonds? How to Invest When Correlations are High" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BXuvFMFLKag&lc=UgwY5mCBV0aWhGxLy7h4AaABAg -------- Our previous show, "Investors Who Ignore Excess Valuations Suffer the Pay-back" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=flzlNfDOE8Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our most-recent Candid Coffee can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1aueA_Gkq64&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujtF0xU6bHGcIrXFq2dFy2X&index=1&t=38s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketTrading #BuildBackBetter #2022Taxes #SALTDeduction #JanetYellen #AssetAllocation #Markets #Money #investing
DESCRIPTION: "(11/17/21) Does it matter to stocks when interest rates go up or down? Since 2000, stocks and bonds have been highly correlated. Lately, as interest rates have inched upward, so have stock prices...and if the correlation holds, as interest rates start to slide (as predicted by bonds), so could stock prices similarly drop. This has taken away the choice of pitting stock vs bond performance as hedges against one another. However, a stock-bond allocation still is providing some benefit against volatility, while still offering investors a modicum of performance. The high-correlation between stocks and bonds does make it more difficult to manage portfolio risk than before. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BXuvFMFLKag&lc=UgwY5mCBV0aWhGxLy7h4AaABAg -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Stocks #Bonds #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #Markets #Money #Investing
In answer to an email about how to trade in a bull market, we look at the role of excess valuations, and what they can tell us about future rewards; the the Fed is issuing warnings about valuations; there will be pay-back; the role of stock buy-backs in market dynamics; what happens when thr rich are hit with a tax on UNREALIZED Capital Gains? ------ SEG-1: Managing Risk & Reward in Every Market Scenario SEG-2: What Valuations Tell Us: There Will be Pay-back SEG-3: Unintended Consequences of Unrealized Capital Gains Taxation NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PlFUhsuJig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Trade in a Bull Market" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q6JD4YOYNVc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Being "Green" is Great - But Who's Going to Keep the Lights On?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PlFUhsuJig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketValuation #MarketCorrection #TaxTheRich #ElonMusk #Capitalism #BillionaireTax #Inflation #ClimateChange #FinancialStabilityReport #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/16/21) How do we trade this off-the-charts bull market? Trading is a function of understanding the direction of prices and trends over time. The tools we use include the 20- and 50-DMA, which provide sequential snapshots of market activity over the past 20- and 50-days. Bollinger Bands provide a measure of deviation away from these averages. Our advice here is to keep it simple. The goal is to maximize gains when markets rise, and limit losses when they wane. Currently, markets are extended above their moving averages, which suggests increasing risk of correction over the next few weeks; in order for an average to exist, both high- and low-points must occur. Options expirations and mutual fund distributions are both events that could impact market direction by putting pressure on prices over the next few weeks, and a correction back to the 50-DMA would not be all that surprising. An RSI or Williams Percent Indicator can provide signals for over-bought and over-sold market conditions. We know valuations are extremely elevated at this point, and we're participating in the market as it rises--but we're using these tools to help determine when it might be best to take a little money off the table. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZI83loprKg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/9616369301708/WN_X_zZBPQCQX2VnVXJlvUE5g -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BullMarket #Trading #Investing #50_DMA #20_DMA #BollingerBand #Markets #Money
Did Elon Musk stumble upon a stroke of genius in a Twitter war with Bernie Sanders? The Senator's call for taxing the rich was answered by taunts from the Billionaire, who's recent stock sale (to pay taxes) torpedoed the Tesla stock price last week. NOTE: You can watch the full, commercial-free version of today's show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PlFUhsuJig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Record Level of Call Options Out--and they're expiring this week!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZI83loprKg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "CPI is "en fuego" --What does it mean for Investors?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ElonMusk #Capitalism #TaxTheRich #BillionaireTax #Inflation #ClimateChange #FinancialStabilityReport #Markets #Money #Investing
Why we're write-in voting for Elon Musk for President: It's the economy, stupid; the Infrastructure Bill will exacerbate inflation; paying more to "be green" is running headlong into keeping the lights on; Christmas Tree saga continues; the Fed's stock market valuation warnings--crying "uncle?" ------ SEG-1: Is it Time for A Billionaire's Tax? SEG-2: The Real Impact of Inflation: Being Green vs Having Lights SEG-3: The Fed's Stock Market Valuation Warning NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_PlFUhsuJig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Record Level of Call Options Out--and they're expiring this week!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZI83loprKg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "CPI is "en fuego" --What does it mean for Investors?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ElonMusk #Capitalism #TaxTheRich #BillionaireTax #Inflation #ClimateChange #FinancialStabilityReport #Markets #Money #Investing
(11/15/21) Historical precedents for Options Corrections Week indicate markets are primed for correction, as portfolio managers jockey for positions to optimize their "look" to investors. Will that happen this week? Who knows...but: There are a record level of Call Options out by retail traders, and when they roll-over this week, that could apply pressure on prices. A partial sell-off back to the 50-DMA could provide you with opportunity to put money back to work (we recently took a little bit of profit to reduce our over-bought, extended positions, in anticipation of such opportunities). Mutual Fund distributions in the first two weeks of December, combined with a history of those weeks being a little anemic, could allow a pull-back, setting up for an end-of-the-year Santa Claus Rally. With markets up 25% for the year, and some managers behind the curve, re-jiggering portfolios could create opportunity. Keep an eye for sell-signals to reverse, providing market entry opportunity. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZI83loprKg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #OptionsExpiration #CallOptions #MarketCorrection #SantaClausRally #Investing #Markets #Money
Johnson & Johnson's announced division into three entities offers interesting options for investors; what happens if you retire in-debt? Rosso's Inflation Station Blues; Transitioning from portfolio accumulation- to withdrawal-mode in retirement; the thrift philosophies of Grandma Rosso. ------ SEG-1: What Opportunities Does a J&J split offer investors? SEG-2: What if you retire in debt? SEG-2B: Richard Rosso's Inflation Station Blues SEG-3: Shifting from Accumulation to Withdrawal Mode in Retirement SEG-4: Grandma Rosso's Thrift Philosophy NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Sr. Relationship Mgr., Jon Penn, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Smacked Down by Higher Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKTnsX3XhyU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s -------- Our previous show, "CPI is "en fuego" --What does it mean for Investors?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #Debt #Johnson&Johnson #Portfolio #Accumulation #Withdrawal #Inflation #Thrift #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets take a breather with the revelation that Inflation is running 6.2%, and not going away; the real rate of inflation most of us are experiencing is much higher; the financial missteps that got us here (started in the '70's); the reason Elon Musk doesn't pay taxes (yet). ------ SEG-1: The Real Rate of Inflation SEG-2: 6.2% Inflation: How We Got Here SEG-3: Why Elon Musk Doesn't Pay Taxes NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hFvYUmBHkmY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Smacked Down by Higher Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKTnsX3XhyU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s -------- Our previous show, "What If Rates Rise?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWuoofmIUrA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #MonetizingDebt
(11/11/21) Markets sell-off on news of 6.2% inflation that's NOT transitory; inflation is essentially an economic brake. Companies must decide whether to pass along price increases or reign-in operating costs. i. e., a reduction in labor. This dynamic will slow earnings, even as advances in the market have been keyed to rosier expectations about margins and earnings growth for 2022. What will be the impact as these expectations are adjusted downward? Look for a market re-evaluation sometime next year. Money flow Buy-signals have been triggered, and the MACD Buy-signal is in place; watch for a retracement back to the 50-DMA. Compounding this scenario: Holidays are looming, options expirations will hit next week, and mutual fund rebalancing--all will provide reasons to sell-off. We're taking profits from our bond holdings, and looking for an opportunity to add fixed-income back into portfolios heading into the New Year. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKTnsX3XhyU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Inflation #TransitoryInflation #EarningsEstimates #Margin #LaborCosts #Bonds #FixedIncome #RisingRates #InterestRates
Some financial advisors are replacing their 60/40 portfolio blends in response to high stock valuations and historically low interest rates. At RIA Advisors, we're taking a different approach, as CIO Lance Roberts discusses with Sr,. Advisor, Danny Ratliff. NOTE: This feature video comes from the Wednesday (11/10/21) episode of The Real Investment Show, which you can watch here: -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Further Correct?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bctNxnZxw1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Good vs Bad Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhPVloTC98s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #60/40Portfolio #Testa #ElonMusk #FederalReserve #MarketValuation #InterestRates
Markets dipped with Elon Musk's informal stock-sale poll, and the Fed is clearly more concerned about stock valuations than inflation; is the 60/40 Portfolio a dinosaur? What can you do when interest rates rise? ------ SEG-1: Changes Coming to IRA's and Social Security SEG-2: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? SEG-3: What Happens When Rates Rise (and what you can do about it) NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWuoofmIUrA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Further Correct?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bctNxnZxw1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Good vs Bad Inflation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhPVloTC98s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #60/40Portfolio #Testa #ElonMusk #FederalReserve #MarketValuation #InterestRates
(11/10/21) After an 8-day streak of gains, markets pulled back a smidge, thanks primarily to a sell-off in Tesla shares (thankyew, Elon). This was no surprise, as Money Flow Sell-signals have been in place. Further weakness would not be a surprise, as we head into the holidays, and options expirations will hit next Friday, adding more selling pressure. The Bond barometer is suggesting a period of rising interest rates, indicating the time could be ripe for taking profits in Bonds, short term; we're looking for a pullback in Bonds, with the expectation the Fed could raise rates sooner. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeo8cPPy0XY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketCorrection #Tesla #ElonMusk #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Bonds
5 Signs Market Investors are too Bullish: even the Fed is noting valuations that are way out of sight! The Difference Between "Good" vs Bad Inflation--and how you can tell them apart; General Electric's Three-way; forget bulls vs bears--it's devils vs angel markets. ------ SEG-1: High Market Valuations Even the Fed Cannot Ignore SEG-2: Gaslighting Inflation SEG-3: GE, Exxon, & Shell Response to Activist Investors NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YhPVloTC98s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 NOTE#2: Okay, we know the sound and video aren't in synch. Not even close. We're working on it. Close your eyes and imagine you're listening to the radio in the olden days...or put on some cheap sunglasses and pretend your watching one of those mis-lipsynced Japanese Godzilla Movies. We're working on it. Really. -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fear Gauge is Up: Should You Re-size Your Portfolio Positions?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ckg0OcqtZEQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Should Elon Musk Sell Some Stock?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uBxhpkuTd30&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketValuations #FederalReserve #Inflation #Gaslighting #GoodInflation #BadInflation #GeneralElectric #ExxonMobile #RoyalDutchShel #ActivistInvestors
(11/9/21) Markets continue to eke out gains after 19-days of positive movement, now three standard-deviations above the 50-DMA to levels that normally precede corrections. Money Flow Sell signals are in place, with money flows and MACD signals still remaining positive. We're expecting some pretty sloppy trading for the next week. Despite markets making new highs, the VIX us also on the rise, and we're about to see a surge in the VIX as the market begins to correct--nothing major, but perhaps a 3- to 5-percent "relaxation." Other indications of real market speculation include the performances of AMD, NVIDIA, and Ford--trading at 4- to 5-times deviations from long term moving averages. We're resizing our portfolio positions in companies like these. What would Elon do?? - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeo8cPPy0XY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketSpeculation #Volatility #MoneyFlows #MarketCorrection #AMD #NVIDIA #Ford #Elon Musk
Christmas shopping could be harrowing with supply chain disruptions and merchandise shortages this season; The Roberts' Christmas Tree saga continues; has the Fed setup the Markets to crash? Inside the Infrastructure Bill; Poll: Should Elon Musk sell some stock? End-of-year mutual fund posturing; How Meme stocks altered Wall St. ------ SEG-1: Supply Chains & Christmas Shopping SEG-2: Did the Fed set Markets to Fail? SEG-3: Elon Musk's Great Stock Sale Poll SEG-4: Mutual Fund positioning for EOY & Meme Stocks NOTE: You can watch the commercial-free version of this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uBxhpkuTd30&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Up for 18-Days Straight: What Does This Mean for Investors?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeo8cPPy0XY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Dealing With Transient Inflation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuYsW5YqDtk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ElonMusk #InfrastructureBill #Inflation #ChristmasShopping #EndOfYearPositioning #MutualFunds #MemeStocks
(11/8/21) Markets are two standard deviations above the 50-DMA, increasing the "gravitational-pull" on prices. Markets has been Up 18-straight days without as correction--a veritable buying stampede. Money flow Sell signals were triggered on Friday...meanwhile, the Fed said they're to begin tapering their balance sheet, but not moving to raise interest rates any time soon, thanks to under achievement on "full employment" (now at 4.6% unemployment, yet labor participation is at a historic low); meanwhile, keeping their foot on the pedal to support asset prices, and in turn, to boost consumer confidence (note the correlation between markets and consumer confidence). And, the Fed is not worried about inflation, yet CPI and PPI are both surging, and wages are failing to keep up with inflation. That's a problem for corporations dependent upon consumer spending for earnings. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeo8cPPy0XY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTaper #Markets #S&P500 #MoneyFlows #MACD #Unemployment #Inflation #ConsumerConfidence
Markets' response to Fed "tapering" is non-existent, because of Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish stance on interest rates; The Two Presidential Economic Poisons; How to Define "Full" Employment and measure Inflation; Did we get "played" by the Fed? ------ SEG-1: How Will Banks Behave w Fed Tapering? SEG-2: What is Real Unemployment? SEG-3: How Should We Measure Inflation? SEG-4: How the Fed "Played" Their Announcement NOTE: You can watch this video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuYsW5YqDtk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: After the Fed Announcement, What Markets are Doing," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAJbKgirqFc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "Why Stocks are Hitting Highs as Yield Curves Flatten," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eoJ8FPOnAbM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #FedTaper #InterestRates #Inflation #FullEmployment
(11/4/21) The Fed announces the beginning of QE tapering, as expected; what the markets did't expect was Jerome Powell's decidedly dovish stance on interest rates. Markets rallied back up to over-bought conditions--now more than two stadard-deviations bove the 50-DMA. So now we're looking for signs of the inevitable correction process. Retests of the 50- and 20-DMA is not out of the question. Small caps have had two really good days, and Mid-caps have moved up to new highs, as well. But if inflation persists, these are the most vulnerable areas. We're keeping an eye on Moderna, Square, Nvidia, and Uber. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAJbKgirqFc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTaper #Markets #S&P500 #MoneyFlows #MACD #SantaClausRally #Moderna #Square #Nvidia #Uber
Economic ramifications from the mid-term elections, Market optimism isn't squaring with Yield Curve trajectories; the "Greenwashing" of America & ESG investing; what 12-years of Fed intervention has gotten us: bigger wealth disparities; Dumb & Dumber ideas from COP-26. ------ SEG-1: Astros/Braves, Mid-term Elections, & Economic Ramifications SEG-2: CFA Pass-rate; Stock performance vs Yield Curve Proof SEG-3: ESG Investing, "Greenwashing," & Fiduciary Duty SEG-4: Dumb Ideas from COP-26 NOTE: You can watch the unabridged version of this video here: https://youtu.be/WzOCewVvsQE -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Investor Speculation Returns:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hps4cakV9oQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Market Forecasting for 2022: Too Good to Be True?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KanNkWIDk-k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=48s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOptimism #YieldCurve #MidTermElection #ESGinvesting #Greenwashing #StockBuyBacks #Inflation #Investing #Money
(11/3/21) Markets' continuing ascent is causing investors to become quite speculative, and it's no surprise that more and more investors are being dragged back into the fray...and that's pushing up stock prices. Avis up over 100%; Bed Bath & Beyond announced good earnings and a partnership announcement with Kroger. It's all back to the meme stock mentality. But while speculation increases, volume is evaporating, with elevated money flow indicators lining up with MACD signals...telegraphing a correction to come...just ahead of the annual "Santa Claus Rally." - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hps4cakV9oQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketSpeculation #InvestorSpeculation #PostiveEarnings #AVIS #BedBathBeyond #Kroger #S&P500 #MoneyFlows #MACD #SantaClausRally
Markets moving through earnings season; how Energy has turned the corner; the realities of ESG investing; earnings ultimately drive market growth, but they're dependent upon economic growth; the hard truth about stock buy backs. ------ SEG-1: What Happens when Meme Stocks de Jour Lose Their Luster SEG-2: Economic Outlook for 2022 SEG-3: Earnings are a Function of Economic Growth NOTE: You can watch the unabridged version of this video of this show here: https://youtu.be/ThUs-gTEAJc -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Market Winners & Losers:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YrotkC8rafU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "More Signs of Market Optimism," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LlPtTo8ir0g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAug2RC69jzUXs0gWz2P5wBE5&index=1&t=13s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #EarningsForecasts #EconomicReality #ESGinvesting #StockBuyBacks #Inflation #Investing #Money
(11/2/21) Small caps and Mid caps are on the rise as market ebullience continues; Tesla is absolutely parabolic this week, as we watch some stocks that should provide opportunity for profit taking: Nvidia, AMD, and Tesla are in this batch...plus what to do with those Zombie companies lurking in the small cap camp. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YrotkC8rafU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketMonitor #Tesla #Nvidia #AMD #SmallCaps #MidCaps #ZombieCompanies #EmergingMarkets #Investing #Markets
Markets are positioning for the end of the year, remaining a bit irrational at the outset; the NFT market is the poster-child for investor speculation with too much liquidity in the market. Why ESG investing is dangerous; holiday travel forecast. [This is our first show from our newly-renovated studio. We had some hiccups, but we think you'll like what you see.] ------ SEG-1: More Signs of Market Optimism SEG-2: The Danger in ESG Investing SEG-3: Troubling Trends in Retail Sales NOTE: You can watch the video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LlPtTo8ir0g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Continue to Rally..." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XLMyrEXESI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=75s -------- Our previous show, "Bitcoin, Profits, & Economic Collapse," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VYmgiGwcbYI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816352856714/WN_p3ja8GYaQROUvj65YhbyuQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSentiment #BullishMarket #ESGinvesting #AmericanAirlines #SouthwestAirlines
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XLMyrEXESI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=75s (11/1/21) Markets are not deterred by funky internals running counter to the optimistic trend. Volume is declining, and over-bought conditions are now at their pre-correction highs, indicating the time may be prime for another correction. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #WeakeningNarket #DecliningMarketVolume #Stocks #Earning #Markets #Finance
Investing Challenges in Joe Biden's Tax & Spending Plans; Why Women are Better Investors; why ESG Funds and "Woke" 401(k) requirements are a terrible idea; The RIA Advisors Investing Manifesto. ------ SEG-1: The Yolk's on You: Why Biden's Tax & Spending Bill Won't Pass SEG-2: Why Women Are Better Investors SEG-3: "Woke" 401(k): A Terrible Idea SEG-4: The RIA Investing Manifesto NOTE: You can watch the video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGQ645A16Lk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Third Quarter Earnings Pageant Continues," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vkkOTOGLjRk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=154s -------- Our previous show, "Bitcoin, Profits, & Economic Collapse," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VYmgiGwcbYI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxIncrease #BidenSpending #Woke401k #EnergySector #OilPrices #WomenInvestors #MenVsWomen #ESGinvesting #RIAinvestingManifesto
Why Joe Biden's Infrastructure Package might not happen; M2 Money Supply Inflation will resolve to Deflation in 2022; Futures-futures, Bitcoin vs Gold, and Oil Futures Contango; Earnings Expectations & Economic Growth, why retail sales are "up." ------ SEG-1: Prelude to the Next Debt Ceiling Debate SEG-2: Bitcoin vs Gold, & Futures Futures SEG-3: What the Atlanta Fed's Real-time GDP Shows SEG-4: The Real Reason Retail Sales Numbers are Up NOTE: You can watch the video of this show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VYmgiGwcbYI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Third Quarter Earnings Pageant Continues," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vkkOTOGLjRk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=154s -------- Our previous show, "How to Invest in a Disrupted World," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4nZ3aMp04o0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/persistent-inflation-poses-a-real-threat-to-stock-prices https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bullish-bearish-market-case/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #Profits #EconomicCollapse #BitcoinETF #BitcoinFutures #Inflation #Deflation #Markets #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vkkOTOGLjRk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=154s (10/21/21) The earnings parade continues, with these stocks of interest we're watching: Dow Chemical, Valero Energy, AT&T, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Union Pacific, & Chipotle (the worlds most-expensive burrito.) - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Earning #Markets #Finance #DowChemical #ValeroEnergy #ATT #AmericanAirlines #SouthwestAirlines #Transportation #UnionPacific #Chipotle #Burrito
The Bitcoin Futures ETF (BITO) debuted strong; Supply Chain Disruptions are the result of a 1970's decision, and are likely to remain an issue through 2023; Bonds are foretelling a different economy than stocks; stock buy backs' adverse market effect. ------ SEG-1: How Long Will Supply Chain Disruptions Be a Factor for Wall St.? SEG-2: Where Did It Come From? SEG-3: What Bonds Are Foretelling About the Economy SEG-4: Corporate Stock Buy Backs are Still Market Manipulation -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Why Stocks & Bonds Do Not Agree," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y6B7Eqn8u8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "Navigating Bull vs Bear Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ooeQMsWQdtw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bullish-bearish-market-case/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #SupplyChain #SupplyChainDisruption #Inflation #Deflation #Markets #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y6B7Eqn8u8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s (10/20/21) What Markets, Interest Rates, and Volatility telling us about the true health of the economy--and your prospects as an investor? Inflation concerns are being inflamed by continuing supply-chain disruptions, and the question remains, 'will this cause higher interest rates, long-term?' Market trends suggest the current rally has legs, and could last into the end of the year. Caveats to this view include what the Fed does with tapering, and how inflation affects corporate earnings. Interest rates, however, have been recently declining in anticipation of Fed tapering. Long-term, economic groth continues to collapse, and this suggests that rates will have to come down to match that level of economic growth. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Bonds #InterestRates #BondYields #Inflation #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Whether Markets are Bullish or Bearish--how do you navigate? Volatility will be Bitcoin's friend. Markets are in post-rally, bullish mode. Investors' job is not to predict, but to manage risk. Issuing debt to finance climate change; government intervention never works out well. ------ SEG-1: How to Navigate Markets, whether Bullish or Bearish SEG-2: Addressing the Challenge of Putting Money Back to Work SEG-3: Playing Poker with Wall Street SEG-4: The Problem with Government Interventions -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Stocks to Watch as the Earnings Parade Continues" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KgBSGXS0vpQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Where's the Market Liquidity Coming From--and Going?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QLa9568M1CU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bullish-bearish-market-case/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishMarket #Bitcoin #ClimateChange #BitcoinETF #MarketLiquidity #Markets #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #Cybercurrency #CurrencyVolatility
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KgBSGXS0vpQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (10/19/21) Earnings season is well underway, and there are companies of interest to us: Nexflix' adding of classic shows, like "Seinfeld," and investingi on new, original programming, portend for subscriber growth. UnitedAirlines has been struggling, thanks to the pandemic travel phobia, so there's room to grow. Johnson & Johnson have also been under pressure, but look at the retinue of items the offer that people need to buy. Similarly, Procter & Gamble has been doing better following a correction; also a well-diversified staples company. Transportation is an area of interest, Kansas City Southern reports today; products have to be shipped by truck and train as supply chains revive. KCS suffered a pullback, creating an opportunity to buy. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Netflix #UnitedAirlines #Johnson_and_Johnson #Procter_and_Gamble #Kansas_City_Southern #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Halloween is the second-biggest retail season of the year; will this year's sales be a trick or treat? The first Bitcoin futures-based ETF is blessed by the SEC; will cryptocurrency gain wider acceptance? Where's the market liquidity coming from...and where is it not going? ------ SEG-1: Bitcoin ETF for Halloween: Trick or Treat? SEG-2: Where's the Money in the Markets Coming From? SEG-3: Where the Money in the Markets ISN'T Going SEG-4: Can Markets Still Correct: What the Indicators Say -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will You Trade the First Bitcoin ETF?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QOuIbHxTaZ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "Why the Fed Taper Matters," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypANI7DffiQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Avoiding Costly Mistakes on the FAFSA: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6916336439007/WN_OOtN-WhNRcepii4v9BV8sg -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #BitcoinETF #MarketLiquidity #Markets #Halloween #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #Cybercurrency #CurrencyVolatility
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QOuIbHxTaZ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (10/18/21) Bitcoin is approaching $61-k as the SEC clears the first futures-based Bitcoin EFT for trading--good times for Bitcoin owners. This obviously opens opportunities for more people to invest, as well as opening the flood gates for a plethora of other Bitcoin issuers to make available more offerings to investors. Still, we haven't seen much mass-adoption of Bitcoin as payment for goods and services because of its volatility. Market futures are down slightly following last week's surge above the 50-DMA, setting up for moves to new all time highs. Will earnings support this trend? What is inflation doing to profit margins and impacting sales? - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #BitcoinETF #CryptoCurrency FuturesTrading #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Inflation is the driver for the Fed, and Grinchonomics may steal Christmas this year; how Grandpa & Grandma Rosso dealt with inflation; the expense differential of going to work vs working from home; key to survival is conservation; transient vs sticky inflation; ------ SEG-1: Grinchonomics, Brandonomics: The End Result is Inflation SEG-2: How Grandpa & Grandma Rosso Dealt with Inflation back in the day SEG-3: Will Inflation Bring the Winter of Our Discontent? SEG-4: Transient vs Sticky: How to Be Inflation Aware -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in today's show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/what-causes-transitory-inflation-to-become-persistent https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-must-ends-its-love-affair-with-the-markets/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Sustain Key Support," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9EuTwzQKMKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=14s -------- Our previous show, "Why the Fed Taper Matters," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ypANI7DffiQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Grinchonomics #Markets #TransientInflation #StickyInflation #Conservation #Investing #Savings #FinancialPlanning
The Federal Reserve now sees inflation as the driver for its policies, planning to taper QE by November; Bond Markets are predicting at least two rate hikes in 2022; ESG Investing is a Wall St. money heist; the language of the Fed, and why Fed Grammar Matters; Carbon Net Zero lies. ------ SEG-1: Why Inflation is Driving the Fed SEG-2: What Bonds Are Predicting About Rate Hikes SEG-3: Better Living Thru ESG Investing...not. -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles mentioned in today's show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/what-causes-transitory-inflation-to-become-persistent https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-navigating-market-lingo-in-2021/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Sustain Key Support," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9EuTwzQKMKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=14s -------- Our previous show, "Why the Insidious Stagflation Loop is So Dangerous," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hNshJbV2aHg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #FederalReserve #Taper #RateHike #Markets #JeromePowell #FedGrammarMatters #CarbonNetZero
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9EuTwzQKMKU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s (10/14/21) Markets Rally Above the 100-DMA as Earnings Season gathers speed; support remains intact--a good sign, suggesting markets will work their way to the 50-DMA. However, we're rapidly eating up money flow buy signal; best idea is to use this rally to rebalance risk in portfolios. Most banks are reporting better earnings--thanks to share buy-backs and lower loan-loss reserves, boosting bottom line EPS. BOA, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, CitiGroup; UnitedHealthCare in the spot light today. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #100-DMA #BankEarning #CorporateEarnings #EarningsOutlook #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Price Inflation is leading to lower consumption, causing poorer earnings and a stagflation feedback loop; accounting gimmicks that make earnings appear better than they are; Super-savers and the Math of Loss; how you can triple your income, working from home! ------ SEG-1: The Feedback Loop of Inflation SEG-2: Earning Season: Better Living Through Accounting Gimmicks SEG-3: The Ugly Truth About Super-Savers SEG-4: How to Triple Your Income this Year -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Fed Taper Sooner & Harder?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KfEe1BT_dYg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Does Market Risk to Investors Remain?" is here: youtube.com/watch?v=CnhMwaX_QUY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Stagflation #EarningsSeason #Markets #SuperSavers #WorkFromHome #TripleIncome
OTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KfEe1BT_dYg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (10/13/21) Markets are being lifted in anticipation of earnings season and today's inflation report: Will it push the Fed to taper sooner? Inflation and stagflation are becoming more prevalent. In a sloppy trading week, Markets will be retesting recent lows if they can't climb above the 100-DMA and hold it for the rest of this week. Earnings from JP Morgan and Blackrock both beat their estimates, but a look behind the curtain shows accounting gimmicks were the secret sauce for success. Financials aren't where we'd like to be, but if you're going to make "better bad choices," these would be the ones to have in your portfolio for now. Watch out today for inflation and comments from the Fed, and potentially tapering sooner and harder than previously expected. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Stagflation #CorporateEarnings #EarningsOutlook #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
The Debt Ceiling rises $400-B to allow Congress to pay its bills; what can reverse spending addiction? Q3 Earnings Season begins w impact of inflation & supply chain disruptions effects on margins; paying attention to risk; Short-term vs Long-term warning signs. ------ SEG-1: How to Solve Washington's Spending Problem SEG-2: The Risks to Earnings and Looking Ahead SEG-3: Headwinds & Challenges Facing Investors Now SEG-4: Short Term Upward Bias vs Long Term Warning Signs -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-risk-of-a-bigger-correction-over/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-5000-year-view-of-rates-the-economic-consequences/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can Markets Maintain Support?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yAzhKlczWP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How $80 Oil Adds in Inflationary Twist to Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=892_9HJuGT0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #Inflation #SupplyChainDistruption #Markets #Risk #RiskManagement #Q3Earnings #EconomicIndicators #ArtificialStimulus
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yAzhKlczWP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (10/12/21) Monday's sell-off took the market back to the 100-DMA, so markets continue to hold support. There are two bullish signs to note: Money flow buy signals are back in place, and money flows are trying to improve. The MACD buy signal is present, but just barely. It's critical markets hold the 100-DMA at least through the end of the week, and to get the bull market back, will need to advance above the 50-DMA. Will earnings be strong enough to give a lift to the markets? This time around, corporate outlook will matter--even more than earnings results. There's a lack of fiscal liquidity coming into the markets, concerns over the debt ceiling, and the Fed going to taper--there is much to hamper a rally for the markets. We're seeing longer-term sell signals in place, which could be indication of a greater correction to come. And with so many headwinds in place, it would not be a surprise to see earnings come in less-than expected. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-risk-of-a-bigger-correction-over/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlowSignals #CorporateEarnings #EarningsOutlook #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
$80-oil and Supply Chain disruptions are feeding into inflation, despite government manipulation of CPI and PCE to dampen measurements. Investors' dilemma of how to put money to work, despite data saying otherwise; markets' warning signs: Weekly vs Monthly buy signals. ------ SEG-1: The Consequences of Creating Artificial Demand SEG-2: Investors' Battle of Putting Money to Work vs Contrary Data SEG-3: Why Markets' "Check Engine" light is lit -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Real Impact of $80 Oil," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMilX0Dntf0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s -------- Our previous show, "Have We Gone Off the Fiscal Cliff?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5P4DnYYrXU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=335s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #$80_Oil #Inflation #Markets #CPI #PCE #EconomicIndicators #ArtificialStimulus
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMilX0Dntf0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s (10/11/21) Crude Oil Prices at $80/bbl--higher energy prices are feeding into the inflationary pressures on Wall St. as well as Main St. This will weigh on corporate earnings and more importantly, corporate outlooks in view of supply chain disruptions, inflationary costs, and companies' ability (or inability) to pass on these costs to consumers. Markets are now on a Money Flow "Buy" signal, as well as a MACD "Buy" signal, confirmed on Friday (10/8). The good news is, Markets did break above their 100-DMA, holding that critical level of support; trying to rally back above the 50-DMA is going to be key over the course of the next few weeks. The more times market test support, the more likely it is that support will break to test lower levels. On a longer-term basis, there are more concerns. Watch the weekly money flows for weaknesses. Monthly money flow signals are even more important to pay attention to. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bears-gain-control-as-market-fails-resistance/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #MoneyFlowSignals #CorporateEarnings #EarningsOutlook #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Elon Musk Moves to Austin with the slogan, "Don't Mess with Tesla;" Why employees are discovering higher costs this Open Enrollment season; Mistakes that can cost you College money on FAFSA; Why College Isn't for Everyone; Permanent Life Insurance for Retirement; ------ SEG-1: Tesla Moves to Austin; Open Enrollment Season Begins SEG-2: Fun with FAFSA: Why Mistakes Can Cost You $$$ SEG-3: More Fun with FAFSA: Why College isn't for Everyone SEG-4: Tax Tips for Retirement; Life Insurance; College vs Trade School? -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Sr. Risk Management Consultant, Chris Liebum LUTFC -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rise on Debt Ceiling Increase," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKSFf9AqDFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=70s -------- Our previous show, "Have We Gone Off the Fiscal Cliff?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5P4DnYYrXU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=335s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Tesla #FAFSA #Markets #CollegeFunding #EducationCosts #Retirement #LifeInsurance #TradeSchool #Capitalism #WorkerProductivity #FiscalReality
Economic growth estimates are being revised; the "Fiscal Cliff" is actually fiscal reality; wealth inequality is caused by the Fed; the fallacy of equality; how to make population more productive; why handouts don't work; Why Debt Ceiling hike is not a win for Democrats; Allow Capitalism to work. ------ SEG-1: Mrs. Roberts & ACL; The Fiscal Cliff vs Fiscal Reality SEG-2: Kids, College, & Senioritis; Why Handouts Don't Work SEG-3: Why Raising the Debt Ceiling is not a Win for Dems -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rise on Debt Ceiling Increase," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKSFf9AqDFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=70s -------- Our previous show, "How Coming IRA Changes Could Affect Your Money," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TkMhUMoMoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-debt-ceiling-non-crisis-why-rates-will-fall/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #FiscalCliff #Market #Capitalism #WorkerProductivity #FiscalReality
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKSFf9AqDFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=70s (10/7/21) Will a lift in the Debt Ceiling provide a lift to Markets? Democrat hyperbole over crashing markets, debt defaults, and diving into depression was all just that: hyperbolic economic hypochondria: Those ills weren't going to happen. Markets did retest the major support of the last few days, and did rally back above the 100-DMA. This sets up the market for a rally to the 50-DMA as relief over the debt ceiling comes to fruition. Negative money flows have been improving, and we're watching for a MACD-signal crossover: A buy-signal would provide a trigger into the seasonally-strong period of the year. Caveat: There's much going on. We're looking for weaker Q3 earnings announcements, and forward earnings expectations will be key. Economic growth expectations are also dropping, which will weigh on corporate earnings, and limit stock price increases. Watch fixed-income for downward bias as the debt ceiling has been relaxed. Should the Fed begin to taper in November, that will exert more downward pressure, as well. We think less international, less emerging markets, and more domestic exposure in portfolios is the way to go. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bears-gain-control-as-market-fails-resistance/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #Default #Depression #EquityExposure #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Congress WILL pass a new Debt Ceiling, so here's what Investors need to know in strategizing portfolio management; Significant IRA Changes are also coming, including new Roth rules; Lance's strategies for being his own banker you can use. ------ SEG-1: Debt Ceiling Strategies for Investors SEG-2: Changes Coming for IRA's SEG-3: How to Be Your Own Bank -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets' Rocky Start to Q4," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ev7i2qOydEI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=75s -------- Our previous show, "Market Rebound Episode," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B4nO8BR972Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-debt-ceiling-non-crisis-why-rates-will-fall/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #IRAChanges #BeYourOwnBanker #RothIRA #InvestingStrategy #RothIRA #PermanentLifeInsurance
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ev7i2qOydEI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=75s (10/6/21) What does the Markets' rocky start to the month mean for your money? The good news is markets remain very over-sold, and volume has been evaporating as markets consolidate above support. The bad news is that volatility in the downtrend continues; more than 90% of S&P stocks have had a 10% correction. The ugly part is that a head & shoulders pattern is forming at the 200-DMA, and if we do break below the neck line at the 200-DMA, there is a disticnt risk of lower equity prices and a reduction overall portfolio risk. The sharp rise in interest rates has been the undermining factor in the rally of late, thanks to concerns over the debt ceiling and potential defaults on bonds. Traders have been short Treasuries of late, leading to a rise in rates. The topping process in rates suggests lower rates and higher bond prices ahead. Lower rates should provide some lift for stocks--all coming after the debt ceiling is passed. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bears-gain-control-as-market-fails-resistance/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #ContinuingResolution #EquityExposure #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Markets are over-sold on a short-term basis; risk is a function of controlling outcomes; have we seen market highs for the year? Oil prices facing extremely cold winter; 'just in time' inventory management fails; good time to evaluate risk in portfolio. ------ SEG-1: Have We Seen Market Highs for the Year? SEG-2: The Fallacy of 'Just in Time' Inventory Management SEG-3: The Best Way to Manage Portfolio Risk -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can Markets Rally, post-Manic Monday?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72YZOGpOEUI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Great Bear Market Episode," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ehNgiKtj29g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/as-expected-stocks-snap-6-month-win-streak-10-01-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #PortfolioRisk #SupplyChainDisruption #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72YZOGpOEUI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (10/5/21) Will markets rally following a manic Monday of selling? Money Flow Sell-signals triggered for a second time, with money flows remain negative. Much of the same angst demonstrated in March repeated yesterday as technology stocks sold off. We're watching the market test support from July's tops and bottoms; the rally needs to pick up traction and move higher, but resistance is building, and the bearish undertone in the market continues. This is a good time to rebalance risk. Investors' bearish sentiment is getting very negative; volume has been declining on market declines, some buying was occuring suggesting money is entering the market, despite the sell off. A rally could start to gain some traction, but let the market do what it's going to do. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bears-gain-control-as-market-fails-resistance/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #ContinuingResolution #EquityExposure #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Why Members of Congress and other Financial Overseers should not be allowed to trade on their inside information; Solving the Debt Crisis with a single coin; dire circumstances of restaurants; Ill effects on Q-3 Earnings; risk strategies you need to know. ------ SEG-1: Who's Trading on Inside Information? SEG-2: Solving the Debt Crisis with a $1-Trillion coin SEG-3: Setting up for Poor Q-3 Reporting -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Bear Market Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWvrPc0Wj-0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Market Response to Congressional Spending," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQier7zUXSQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/as-expected-stocks-snap-6-month-win-streak-10-01-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InsiderTrading #DebtCeiling #Q3Earnings #$1TrillionCoin #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWvrPc0Wj-0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 (10/4/21) September's near-5% correction was treated by the mainstream media like the coming of Armageddon...not necessarily a Bear Market, and the bigger question might be, 'Is it over, yet?' Is it time to add equity exposure as we head into the seasonably-strong period of the year? Two things to watch: When MACD Signals turn to "Buy," which would support higher asset prices; markets ARE over-sold at this point. The bullish trend remains intact from a long-term perspective. No Major levels of support have been violated just yet. However, weekly sell-signals and declining weekly money flows suggest any rallies at this point could be weak, and there are myriad headwinds markets will have to overcome. With the latest Continuing Resolution in Congress resolved, interest rates are slipping, and any decline in rates will lead to better performance in Technology and other growth sectors of the market. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/as-expected-stocks-snap-6-month-win-streak-10-01-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #ContinuingResolution #EquityExposure #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Inflation is affecting everything you do (or buy); Tax Rates vs Tax Brackets: calculating for "Provisional Income in Retirement;" to Roth or not to Roth? Programs we use to plan for You; Why Insurance is the wisest investment to make. ------ SEG-1: Why Tax Rates Matter More than Tax Brackets SEG-2: How We Do that Voodoo for You SEG-3: Life Insurance: The Greatest Investment EVER -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Play the Debt Dodging Game " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5HNUOCSvyeY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Market Response to Congressional Spending," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zQier7zUXSQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #TaxRates #TaxBrackets #SocialSecurity #RetirementIncome #ProvisionalIncome #LifeInsurance #401k #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
Why San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly's call for "equality" is not the outcome she thinks: Equality vs Equality of Opportunity have different results; Why a Government Default was never going to happen; Socialism vs Capitalism & Economics of Politics. ------ SEG-1: Equality vs Equality of Opportunity SEG-2: The Debt Ceiling Threat SEG-3: The Politics of Economics -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/china-plays-the-long-game-while-the-us-blows-bubbles https://realinvestmentadvice.com/filing-for-college-aid-here-are-the-mistakes-that-will-cost-you/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Play the Debt Dodging Game " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5HNUOCSvyeY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How Congress Could Alter Your Retirement ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAfliLsSj1g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #SpendingBill #GovernmentShutDown #MaryDaly #Equality #EqualityOfOpportunity #Socialism #Capitalism #Corporatism #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Fed Taper #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5HNUOCSvyeY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/30/21) Markets are set to rally in anticipation of passage of a Continuing Resolution to avoid a government shut down (as if...) A spike in interest rates appears to have peaked. Look for lower yields over the next few weeks, as worry over making interest payments fades. We're adding bonds in anticipation of that opportunity. Markets are retesting bottom at 100-DMA, with good support, and looking for a rally back to the 50-DMA. The recent market "correction" has only been a 3.6% decline (as predicted). Now, with the end of the Quarter, rebalancing and window dressing in portfolios will generate activity. We're looking for a stronger market heading into October--but there's no guarantee, so have your risk management in place. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-6-positive-market-months-what-happens-next/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #ContinuingResolution #BondYields #Yield Spike #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
What if the Debt Ceiling discussion could be resolved with a baseball game? Will government changes in retirement provisions jeopardize your plans? The realities of ESG investing may shock you. Is your Roth IRA about to go away?? ------ SEG-1: Congressional Baseball & The Great Resignation SEG-2: The Truth About ESG Plans SEG-3: Will the Roth Go Away?? -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen, AIF, QKA, CFPA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Rates Spike & Stocks Plunge" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dczzA8WJOsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=85s -------- Our previous show, "The Debt Ceiling Episode," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u8TCunQAM7E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #SpendingBill #ESGFund #GovernmentShutDown #Retirement #RothIRA #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Fed Taper #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dczzA8WJOsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=85s (9/29/21) The Debt Ceiling debate is fueling speculation--and doubt, as rates spike and stocks plunge. The Dept Ceiling has been raised 78-times since the 1980's, and only once have we missed an interest payment on US' debt...technically. This, too, shall pass. Everytime we've had an interest rate spike because of the Debt Ceiling, rates fell to new lows. Markets are now sitting on the 100-DMA, and we're looking for a bit of a bounce today. Watch the 433-level on SPY today. This is one of those times where you have to work your way through this period if you weren't prepared. Make no emotional decisions, don't over-react, and look for opportunities. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #BondYields #FedTapering #Yield Spike #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Raising the Debt Ceiling isn't going as planned for Dem's; Government Shutdown Tragedy vs Truth; why $1-million isn't very much anymore; why "Buy Now, Pay Later" plans don't save you money; Socialism is running rampant all over the world. ------ SEG-1: Government Shut Down: Fact or Fiction? SEG-2: The Economy Works for Everyone SEG-3: The Fallacy in "Buy Now, Pay Later" -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Spot Bond Buying Opportunities" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3STlUeVjMg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How Financial Media is Killing Your Money " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hXUDclSHC38&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #SpendingBill #GovernmentShutDown #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #Fed Taper #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3STlUeVjMg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s (9/28/21) What is the Yield Spike impact on Markets? Concern over the Debt Ceiling and a feared government shutdown are giving bond traders pause; the GOP is not wanting to play along with Dems, wishing for them to "own" the aftermath. The Debt Ceiling will be raised, and pressure on Bonds will ease--creating opportunities to add bonds to your portfolio. Meanwhile, equity markets remain over-extended ahead of the spectre of Fed tapering. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DebtCeiling #BondYields #FedTapering #Yield Spike #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Two main issues will drive markets this week: The Fed's timeline for tapering liquidity, and Nancy Pelosi's drive to fund "infrastructure" spending. Bad advice from Financial Media will hurt you; competitive investing, and the risk from sequence of returns--it's a real thing. ------ SEG-1: Passing the Bill to Pass the Buck SEG-2: Fed Taper Timeline SEG-3: Bad Advice from Financial Media SEG-4: Understanding Sequence of Returns Risk -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dow-40000-a-huge-disappointment-of-promises/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Set Up for Rally" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Gc8p60rc7w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Market Response to the Fed Put" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LsRzv8FauY4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1375s -------- Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedTapering #SpendingBill #Dow_40000 #Markets #SP_5000 #FinancialMedia #FinancialLiteracy #HomeEconomics #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Gc8p60rc7w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/27/21) The last week of the quarter has portfolios positioning for their best advantage; here's why we started adding equity exposure to our portfolios. Can markets mainting the 50-DMA, or will resistance be futile? Underweight asset portfolios could lead to a rash of activity towards the end of the week. We're moving into the seasonally-strong period of the year, suggesting more buying power to come. Fed speakers are expected to confirm Fed tightening by November, leading to a pick up in volatility. The Debt Ceiling debate will also be a factor leading to volatility. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedTapering #PortfolioRebalancing #SpendingBill #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000 #Dow_40000
The contrast in cryptocurrency policies is stark: China vs El Salvador; Congress wants your money, capping Roth Conversions; Open Enrollment season w ACA Premium inflation, and Medicare changes; Estate Tax Rule Changes & Trust issues in financial planning. ------ SEG-1: China's Bitcoin Ban & "LanceCoin" SEG-2: Roth Conversion & Medicare Open Enrollment SEG-3: How to Deal with Estate Tax Rule Changes SEG-4: Aliens & Irrevocable Living Trusts -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is Now the Time to Buy Stocks?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lk6s9reRcqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Market Response to the Fed Put" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LsRzv8FauY4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1375s -------- Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Cryptocurrency #ChineseBan #TrustIssues #FinancialPlanning #TaxImplications #RothConversions #OpenEnrollment #Medicare #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
The Fed says liquidity tapering is coming, but unclear on exactly when; Debt Ceiling negotiations are really political theatre; why Jerome Powell is the power behind the Federal Reserve; why rate hikes in current economic environment won't work; ------ SEG-1: Trans-Vaccinated, The Debt Ceiling & Political Theatre SEG-2: Who Has Power at The Fed? (and why this matters) SEG-3: How Hiking Rates Affects Inflation -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/when-will-transitory-overstay-its-welcome https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-speaks-loudly-and-carries-a-featherg-inflation-measure-is-bull -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is Now the Time to Buy Stocks?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lk6s9reRcqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Fed Taper Conundrum Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJSpsF9u8lc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedMeeting #FedTaper #BudgetReconciliation #TaxImplications #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lk6s9reRcqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/23/21) The Fed threads the needle by saying tapering IS coming, but not WHEN. Markets respond with a 1% "rally," and the challenge next will be whether markets can overcome resistance at 20-, 40-, and 50-DMA's. Money Flow indicators suggest now is the time to add equities exposure in portfolios. It's also prime time to trim riskier investments from portfolios. Yield curve is flattening, commodities are under pressure. Look for places to move money into areas that will do well in a weaker economic environment. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedTapering #MarketLiquidity #Stocks #Evergrande #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
Congress is dithering over whether or not to raise the debt ceiling, and the FOMC is teetering on tapering...or not. What are the risks to your retirement in the current market? Why Understanding Bears is important; tax implications are coming to a 1040 near you. ------ SEG-1: Debt Ceiling Myths & FOMC Meeting Preview SEG-2: Retirement Risks from a Prolonged Market Pullback SEG-3: Why It's Important to Understand Bear Markets SEG-4: You Can't "Buy Low" if You Didn't "Sell High" -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: FOMC Pre-Taper Market Review" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zCZKhjokF2o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "March Market Mayhem Redux?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-3D2YkNtT9Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FOMC #FedTaper #ManagingRisk #FedMeeting #BudgetReconciliation #TaxImplications #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zCZKhjokF2o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/22/21) There is much at stake as the Fed Meeting commences today, and markets anticipate Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments this afternoon, before the trading day's conclusion: Will the Fed taper? When will the Fed taper? How much will the Fed tapering be--and what will be the Fed's caveats against tapering? Will buyers show up after the Fed's announcement? The big challenge is whether markets can get above resistance at the 20- and 50-DMA. Downside risk remains down to the 200-DMA, ande markets remain over-sold. NASDAQ volume is drying up, and a rally in FAANG stocks is needed. Emerging and International markets are sectors to avoid currently. Small- and Mid-caps also remain under pressure, under-performing, but trying to hold support at the 200-DMA. Keep an eye on risk exposure today, and we'll present some buying opportunities tomorrow. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-market-cracks-as-bulls-failed-to-show/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #FedTapering #MarketLiquidity #Evergrande #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
Monday's market "meltdown" achieved the predicted, eventual 5% correction; what's next? Why investors should move slowly from here--sell into the rally & don't panic. Previewing Fed Outlook & Expectations; The Risk of Government shutdown EOM. ------ SEG-1: Market Mayhem & Realities of Managing Risk SEG-2: Fed Meeting Preview SEG-3: Government Shutdown, Twitter Settlement, Pelosi Hypocrisy -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-market-cracks-as-bulls-failed-to-show/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Follow Up to Market Mayhem" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GPkXrFPP9rI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why You Should do Nothing Today," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8yiVf2M38Tw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=214s -------- Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketTurmoil #ManagingRisk #FedMeeting #Evergrande #BudgetReconciliation #InsiderTrading #FedTaper #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GPkXrFPP9rI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/21/21) Markets achieved the anticipated 5% correction with yesterday's gap from peak to trough, and a violation of the 50-DMA. Slow grind downward has worked off over-bought conditions. Was this really the "worst crash since May," as bleated by the press? There were certainly similarities, but about half of the morning's losses were reversed by bulls buying the dip. Is there going to be follow-through today...and what happened the last time we saw a sell-off? Markets must get past the 50-DMA today or tomorrow, or there's more risk to come: What will the Fed do; what happens with Evergrande; how will slowing economic growth, shrinking earnings, and a lack of liquidity weigh on investors' attitudes? Can we repeat March's rally above the 50-DMA? Failure at that point will trigger a test of the 200-DMA, and a potential correction of 10%--which would be completely normal, historically. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-market-cracks-as-bulls-failed-to-show/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #FedTapering #MarketLiquidity #Evergrande #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
Why today's Market action will be bloody; what is China's next move with Evergrande; liquidity is the key. What will the Fed do this week? Why everything in the budget bill is called "human infrastructure;" Richard Kaplan's double standard for insider trading. ------ SEG-1: Possible Aspects of the Evergrande effect SEG-2: The Budget Bill: Reconciliation or Bust! SEG-3: The Double Standard of Insider Trading -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-deficit-deniers-40-years-of-economic-erosion/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/expecting-stimulus-household-credit-explodes-higher/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets in Turmoil" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7DLLYI8o-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How to Increase Spending Power in Retirement," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WRC8-6iP5mU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s -------- Register for the next virtual Lunch & Learn, "Climbing the Tax Deduction Ladder:" https://zoom.us/webinar/register/7216280153636/WN_bityRp72Rh-bQ5YS5YqH6A -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketTurmoil #BloodyMonday #Evergrande #BudgetReconciliation #InsiderTrading #FedTaper #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7DLLYI8o-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/20/21) Markets will look to open sharply lower this morning, with a lot of selling at the open, as we've been warning against. Is this The Big One? Markets have continued to find buyers at the 50-DMA. Previous violations of this level resulted in pushing to new market highs. Let the markets open and do what they do today; if you haven't preemptively prepared, it's too late for today. If markets continue to sell off today--allow it to happen, and let others panic sell; not You! It is feasible we'll see more downward pressure on the markets. What will the Fed do about tapering; what will China do with Evergrande; will Democrats' $3-Trillion spending bill get passed? All factors to consider after today's close. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketTurmoil #FedTapering #Evergrande #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
Having more money to spend in retirement requires proper planning; how to combat "withdrawal anxiety;" micro-budgeting ahead of retirement; assign each dollar a job; cutting expenses in retirement; Social Security is an annuity; guarranteed income is a license to spend. ------ SEG-1: Withdrawal Anxiety in Retirement SEG-2: How to Have More Money to Spend in Retirement SEG-3: Guaranteed Income: A License to Spend -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/5-ways-to-increase-spending-in-retirement/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Three Hot Stocks We're Watching" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5AYjRHDw8M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "When Market Algorithms Rule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3PvakE4SfM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #RetirementIncome #MoreMoney #WithdrawalAnxiety #GuaranteedIncome #Inflation #Markets #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
What happens when the Fed's "transient" inflation isn't? What if the market drops again--and what IS the 50-DMA, exactly? The rule of market algorithms; why Apple's iPhone 13 presentation underwhelmed; will Evergrande fail? Fed meeting preview. ------ SEG-1: The Rule of Algorithms SEG-2: Will Evergrande Be Allowed to Fail? SEG-3: What Will the Next Fed Meeting Reveal? -------- Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-speaks-loudly-and-carries-a-featherg-inflation-measure-is-bull -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Three Hot Stocks We're Watching" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5AYjRHDw8M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "FOMO or Fear of Failure?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NqsfN1wT_H8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Apple #iPhone13 #MarketAlgorithm #MarketCorrection #Evergrande #FOMO #CPI #Inflation #Markets #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EP9brxOJKPE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/16/21) Markets bounced off the 50-DMA, looking to open weaker this morning. This is playing out as expected; algorithms are pretty much driving markets. The danger is what happens when markets violate that 50-DMA. Apple's product reveal was pretty much, 'meh.' But, the iPhone is holding steady on pricing of its new iPhone 13 at iPhone 12 levels. Netflix showing a bit of a correction, but not near its 50-DMA. FAANG stocks are still over all driving the markets. Microsoft continues to lead the charge; but can Microsoft support the market all by itself? Um...probably not. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Apple #Microsoft #Netflix #BuyingOpportunity #Fed #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
Markets continue on their upward trend, despite last week's <2% "correction." Meanwhile, inflation as measured in CPI seems softer, which is hoped will keep the Fed from tapering; The fear of missing out (FOMO) vs fear of failure by investors. ------ SEG-1: Will "softer" inflation keep the Fed from tapering? SEG-2: The Truth About CPI vs Reality SEG-3: FOMO vs Fear of Failure -------- Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/shedlock-inflation-other-wildly-believed-economic-nonsense/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/when-is-the-next-bear-market-3-things-will-tell-you/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can "Buy-the-Dip'ers" Drive Markets Higher?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y16XwZyu-Wc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=9s -------- Our previous show, "Market Crash = Great Expectations" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5AYjRHDw8M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #FOMO #CPI #Inflation #Markets #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y16XwZyu-Wc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=109s (9/15/21) After last week's blood bath, is it time to buy-in to markets' dip? Markets are fairly over-sold on a short-term basis; money flows have declined, and stocks are looking for support: Can they hold at this level?? Current market advances and declines have been worked off to levels normally associated with buying opportunities. Sector corrections have been bouncing all over the board. Long term, markets' uptrend has been well-defined, and a correction breaking the support line back towards the 200-DMA shows plenty of room for markets to decline. How will FOMO factor into market activity? Can buy-the-dip'ers drive markets back up to all-time highs? - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlowSignals #BuyingOpportunity #Fed #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
Your taxes are going up to "pay for" Congressional wish-list spending; Janet Yellen's financial crisis she said we'd never see (in her lifetime); why we're creating structural fragility in financial markets; Why bank bailouts continue. ------ SEG-1: Political/Economic Analysis: Congress' Fuzzy Math SEG-2: That Financial Crisis Janet Yellen Said Would Never Come SEG-3: Why the Next Crisis Will Happen -------- Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-too-many-bears-looking-for-a-correction/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: 9 out of 10 Bears say Market Correction Coming:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGF_mXGrQZs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=114s -------- Our previous show, "How Wall Street Leverages Market Trends" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2EuipFK5nA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=2s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TS_Nicholas #Taxation #JanetYellen #CPI #Inflation #Markets #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGF_mXGrQZs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/14/21) Too many bears calling for correction? When all the experts expect one thing to occur, something else invariably does. Now investors are attempting to anticipate the markets' bottom. Underlying breadth and strength of the market remain weak. Despite expectations for continued improvement in earnings and corporate profit margins will remain high, earnings estimates are starting to be ratcheted down, and economic growth is slowing. We may NOT get a decline of 5 - to 10-percent this year, but if not, watch out for 2022! - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlowSignals #BuyingOpportunity #Fed #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
TS Nicholas is about to rain havoc on the Texas Gulf Coast, which will create a sort of economic stimulus from consequential repairs; the mid-term elections are also weighing on markets; the truth behind "ESG" friendly companies; Wall St. capitalizing on trends; taxation tactics they ought to consider. ------ SEG-1: Economic Impact of TS Nicholas, mid-term elections; SEG-2: The Magic of the ESG Narrative SEG-3: How Wall St. Capitalizes on Trends SEG-4: The Ugly Truth About Taxation -------- Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/whats-wrong-with-gold-absolutely-nothing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-the-insecurity-of-social-security/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets in Turmoil" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6EpfohjAWA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will El Salvador Be the Bitcoin Savior?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATqURMI4Gx0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TS_Nicholas #Taxation #ESG_Funds #CPI #Inflation #Markets #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
TS Nicholas is about to rain havoc on the Texas Gulf Coast, which will create a sort of economic stimulus with resulting repairs; the mid-term elections are also weighing on markets; the truth behind "ESG" friendly companies; Wall St. capitalizing on trends; taxation tactics they ought to consider. ------ SEG-1: Economic Impact of TS Nicholas, mid-term elections; SEG-2: The Magic of the ESG Narrative SEG-3: How Wall St. Capitalizes on Trends SEG-4: The Ugly Truth About Taxation -------- Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/whats-wrong-with-gold-absolutely-nothing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-the-insecurity-of-social-security/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets in Turmoil" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6EpfohjAWA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will El Salvador Be the Bitcoin Savior?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATqURMI4Gx0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TS_Nicholas #Taxation #ESG_Funds #CPI #Inflation #Markets #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6EpfohjAWA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/13/21) Markets in "turmoil" last week with five straight days of losses...a veritable "blood bath..." of only 1.69% for the week. Moving into Options Expiration week, which will boost volatility. Now on a Sell signal, volume was up, thanks to selling pressure. If we break at the 50-DMA, volume acceleration could lead to bigger declines. More and more Wall Street firms are reporting increasing nervousness about a market decline. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlowSignals #BuyingOpportunity #Fed #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
The Fed continues to manipulate the market, masking price discovery, and continuing to feed liquidity addicts; What are you leaving as a legacy to your family? Estate Planning foilbles of the rich & famous (Tanya Roberts, Daniel Craig, et al.) Financial Checklist for Q-4. ------ SEG-1: Market Noise, Fed Manipulation & Moral Hazard SEG-2: Still Working at 70 & Leaving a Legacy SEG-3: Tanya Roberts and Estate Planning SEG-4: 4th Quarter Financial Checklist -------- Hosted by RIA Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Problem With El Salvadors's Bitcoin" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki0oHg1nkz4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=41s -------- Our previous show, "S&P 5000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki0oHg1nkz4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=41s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Markets #MoralHazard #MarketManipulation #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
Markets know the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI data are manipulated to hide true inflation numbers; Inflation calculation then vs now; using hedonics to depress impact of price increases; Where can investors put money ahead of inflation and a market correction. ------ SEG-1: The Ugly Truth Behind the BLS Lies SEG-2: Inflation is the Topic de Jour SEG-3: Why the Market is Starting to Question the Fed SEG-4: Where to Invest Ahead of Inflation, Correction -------- Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-wall-street-sets-its-sights-on-sp-5000/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bls-housing-inflation-measure-is-bull -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Prepare for Market Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VeNxxL_Uixw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will El Salvador Be the Bitcoin Savior?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATqURMI4Gx0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BLS #CPI #Inflation #Markets #RentInflation #HomePrices #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VeNxxL_Uixw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 (9/9/21) Markets continue to trade poorly, triggering a money flow buy signal, and a retest of the 20-DMA. This has been the norm for the past few months. Markets may bounce off this today. Next week is the next options expiration, which has historically led to a sell off in stocks. Money flow and MACD signals are ready to trigger, and will lead to a test of the 50-DMA next week. Breadth remains narrow, volume continues to weaken--suggesting a higher level of risk of a correction. Manage your portfolio, set stops, and retain your gains. We're not looking for a major crash, but a healthy correction, providing buying opportunities. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-wall-street-sets-its-sights-on-sp-5000/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlowSignals #BuyingOpportunity #Fed #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
Bitcoin is adopted by El Salvador as legal tender: There are significant problems with the theory in actual practice; Joe Biden's Tax Plans, & Why Congress Doesn't Have a Budget...yet. Why the Rich Love the Tax System; who really pays taxes? Tax the Rich! Double taxation!! ------ SEG-1: The Problem with Bitcoin Transactions & Trade SEG-2: Taxing the Rich & Double Taxation SEG-3: Why the Rich Support Current Tax Structure SEG-4: Market Crash or Correction: Not If but When -------- Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-wall-street-sets-its-sights-on-sp-5000/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bls-housing-inflation-measure-is-bull -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Problem With El Salvadors's Bitcoin" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki0oHg1nkz4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=41s -------- Our previous show, "S&P 5000?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki0oHg1nkz4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=41s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #Markets #El_Salvador #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki0oHg1nkz4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=88s (9/8/21) Will El Salvador be "the savior" of Bitcoin? The country's adoption of the cryptocurrency raises several interesting questions (legal tender defined): How to convert Bitcoin into a local, legal currency? Interestingly, Bitcoin dropped 20% after El Salvador's announcement of its acceptance of the cryptocurrency as legal tender. Katie Woods and other proponents say it's great to have El Salvador as a Bitcoin country...but is El Salvador really the country you want as the "face" of the cryptocurrency? What will Bitcoin's effectiveness really be? Will it become legal tender in the US? The currency's lack of stability in price will be a factor, as well as the issue of government control over the currency. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-wall-street-sets-its-sights-on-sp-5000/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
Markets have seemed oblivious to weakening economic numbers, lingering at all-time highs, but troubling Jobs reports and ever-rising inflation may tip the Fed's hand to taper its liquidity program; ESG funds scrutinized by SEC; The Shipping Container Shortage; China's Lehman moment may have arrived. ------ SEG-1: Will the Market Melt-up to S&P 5000? SEG-2: Early Christmas Shopping, Economic Reality, and Mattress Mac SEG-3: ESG's Exposed: Why the SEC is nosing around now SEG-4: Container Homes, Public vs Private Schools, and The Fed's Moral Hazard -------- Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-wall-street-sets-its-sights-on-sp-5000/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ https://nypost.com/2021/09/04/nyc-house-made-of-shipping-containers-sells-for-5-million/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets' Continuous Climb" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xrLS_z3_mKg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=114s -------- Our previous show, "Labor Day Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlRlHecpXQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeltaVariant #FedTaper #SP_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (9/7/21) Post-Labor Day markets are hovering right at all-time highs, despite weakness in Friday's Jobs report. Bulls are starting to think weaker economics will keep the Fed from tapering; there is hope the Fed will announce "more consideration" about tapering as numbers are digested. Upward bias continues in a market that's up 21% for the year. Without a correction here, this could be 2017 all over again--and you remember what happened in 2018, which was fraught with volatility. Is S&P 5000 possible? Yes, but...the risk of correction still exists, thanks to the Fed. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-wall-street-sets-its-sights-on-sp-5000/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #S&P_5000
Why supply chain disruptions may be the Grinch that steals Christmas 2021. How will El Salvador's Bitcoin currency experiment fare? How San Francisco ruined itself; the myths of "economic equality;" The Fed's biggest problem: Inflation. ------ SEG-1: Bitcoin as a Savings Vehicle SEG-2: Can Bitcoin Save El Salvador? SEG-3: How Public Policy Ruined San Francisco -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuations-are-extreme-even-with-rose-tinted-glasses https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-they-dont-want-you-to-see/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Stocks on the Move" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWrHKGNkVvc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "Deraling Fed Tapering" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iOlngmXqPL0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
Markets steel themselves for today's Jobs Report; Has the Real Estate market peaked? The dynamics of Labor, Wages, and Transitional Unemployment; Portfolio management with concentrated investments; budgeting worksheets & software; Medicare Advantage vs Medigap. ------ SEG-1: Has the Real Estate Market peaked? SEG-2: The Benefits of Trimming Portfolios SEG-3: Budget Helps; Medicare Advantage vs Medigap -------- Hosted by RIA Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuations-are-extreme-even-with-rose-tinted-glasses -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Stocks on the Move" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWrHKGNkVvc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "Derailing Fed Tapering" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iOlngmXqPL0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic #MedicareAdvantage #Medigap
Speculation over this week's Jobs Numbers; Weak manufacturing indexes do not bode well for the Fed; evidence abounds that the rate of economic growth is stalling here and in China. Who buys the debt issued by the Fed? What was the real reason for Quanititative Easing. How San Fransico ruined itself; the myths of "economic equality;" The Fed's biggest problem: Inflation. ------ SEG-1: Why Jobs Reports Matter to the Fed SEG-2: The Corelation between China and US Manufacturing Indexes SEG-3: What Really Happens to the Deficit? SEG-4: How Public Policy Ruined San Francisco -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuations-are-extreme-even-with-rose-tinted-glasses https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-they-dont-want-you-to-see/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Stocks on the Move" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWrHKGNkVvc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "Will It Be a September to Remember?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OiXLUHcKUMs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (9/2/21) Stock movement worth noting today include Apple, as money crowds into larger-cap names; DocuSign reports after the bell today, and you'll either get a big drop, or see a nice pop. Broadcom and semi-conductors have been doing well lately; this company will announce earnings after the bell, as well; American Eagle Outfitters, part of the retail discretionary sector. Their earnings report after the bell is expected to disappoint. Financials have been performing better of late, but we're expecting to see more weakness in this sector in coming months. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Markets remain over-valued, with Apple making up an inordinately large percentage of the market; How half-penny trading may further the "gamification" of retail trading; how will El Salvador's Bitcoin currency experiment fare? How to reform Social Security--and why we'll never vote for it. ------ SEG-1: Valuations Are Still Extremely High SEG-2: Half-penny Trades & Gamification of Trading SEG-3: El Salvador's Bitcoin Currency Experiment SEG-4: How to Reform Social Security -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pqm82_5-Duo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Fed Taper Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ALZaXTLV_8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (9/1/21) Major Markets starting a new month following the S&P setting of 55 new records in 2021...fo far. Seven consecutive months of positive results begs the question--what's next? NASDAQ performance has mirrored the S&P, thanks to FAANG stocks making up more than 50% of the index. Emerging markets, however, are well confined, offering no reason for additional exposure. The continued supply crisis is weighing on export-focused companies in this sector. International markets are looking somewhat better, not hurting, but not helping you, either. Small Caps not doing much so far; Mid Caps look a bit better, but not much. Liquidity remains a reall issue for investors. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
The Market is staged to set a seventh month of gains...unless it crashes today. "If I was the Fed..." Chances are great they'll make a mistake; the negative-multiplier effect of deficits; Investors are "in" thanks to rising prices, not valuations; The Fed's inflation "concerns;" ------ SEG-1: If I was the Fed... SEG-2: The Fed's Conundrum SEG-2: Crack-dealing Federal Reserve -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lct6PuOFU6s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=81s -------- Our previous show, "Christmas Preview Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c8cSRdwrUvQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=159s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bulls-warn-the-fed-not-to-taper/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeltaVariant #FedTaper #S&P_5000 #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/31/21) Markets sustaining 7 sequential months up positive results--if they don't crash today! This is a function of high-complacency and $120-billion monthly in artificial liquidity. Where's the action? Companies like Apple, Google, Microsoft, where liquidity is high and money can hide. Apple's market cap is now equal to 10% of the US Economy. Market breadth still remains narrow, advancers and decliners remain weak--all suggesting a very stretch market that's primed for correction. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Have you started your Christmas shopping yet? Supply chain disruptions may be the Grinch that steals Christmas 2021. No surprise from The Jackson Hole Summit: No tapering, yet; Consumer Sentiment is at lows seen at the start of COVID Pandemic; Will the Fed repeat the same policy mistakes? ------ SEG-1: Aftermath of Hurricane Ida & Toy Shortages at Christmas SEG-2: Bitcoin as a Savings Vehicle SEG-3: The Jackson Hole Summit Recap SEG-4: Policy Mistakes the Fed Keeps Making -------- Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y90fuhfPmK4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Financial Fitness Friday" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2WdzhtUS74g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japanization-the-sp-500-is-tracking-the-nikkei-of-1980/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-says-taper-is-coming-bulls-hear-no-taper-now-08-27-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/when-is-the-next-bear-market-3-things-will-tell-you/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeltaVariant #FedTaper #JacksonHoleSummit #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic #Christmas #ToyShortage #HurricaneIda
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/30/21) Bulls are excited by Jackson Hole remarks about tapering later this year, but no rate hikes in sight. However--each sell off has been accompanied by drop in volume, indicating internal weaknesses in the market: Breadth is weak, volume is weak, volatility remains compressed. Major market capitalization stocks--Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google--are the stocks into which investors are crowding. What happens when sentiment changes? The last time we saw similar market behavior was 2017...and don't forget what happened in 2018, with lots of volatility and a 20% sell off when the Fed dropped interest rates. The problem now is the Fed is backed into a box with an inability to expand QE or lower interest rates. But markets remain bullish. The 50-DMA will be the bellwether for the next big correction. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
The Jackson Hole virtual summit convenes to solve the problems of the world. Not. Risk Management vs Risk Dilution: It's a thing. The Myth of Diversification & Reality of post-pandemic consumer spending; the cost of healthcare; our 4th-Quarter Financial Checklist. ------ SEG-1: The Myth of Diversification SEG-2: Eating Your Way to Longevity & The Cost of Healthcare SEG-3: 4th Quarter Financial Checklist -------- RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0qztHlVV8Ns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=42s -------- Our previous show, "Delta Variant Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zccmnQ4knO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=32s -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=3 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeltaVariant #FedTaper #JacksonHoleSummit #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
Is America's withdrawal from Afghanistan the Black Swan Event that will trigger a market correction? The Jackson Hole Summit goes virtual thanks to the Delta Variant of COVID; inflation and interest rates are Jerome Powell's conundrum; Fed governors want to taper sooner than later; a new house band replaces Leo Moracchioli; Stevie Nicks pulls out of ACL Fest, Stock Buy Backs are back! ------ SEG-1: Is Delta Variant an Excuse to Delay Taper? SEG-2: Delta Variant, Real Inflation, & Jerome Powell's Conundrum SEG-3: Stevie Nix & The Bollinger Band, and Shutting Down the World -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0qztHlVV8Ns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=42s -------- Our previous show, "The Meme Stocks Episode" is here: hhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WKtIKO-cjds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-they-dont-want-you-to-see/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeltaVariant #FedTaper #JacksonHoleSummit #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #Pandemic
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/26/21) To taper or not to taper? How might markets respond to Comments from Fed Governors Esther George & James Bullard indicating they'd like to see it sooner than later? Inflation and supply chain disruptions remain a problem for the economy, and plunging consumer sentiment isn't helping, either. The lack of liquidity is the biggest risk to markets: Pay attention to market volume on buys. The differential in liquidity is the gap between buyers and sellers. Buyers are struggling with higher levels of pricing. We're once again approaching record buy backs. NASDAQ buying is occurring on much lower levels of volume. Two things to watch over next several months: Retraction in earnings estimates and tapering from the Fed. Rallies on exceptionally low volume are not a good thing for your money. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
The COVID Pandemic has forced many into early retirement; the Child Tax Credit increase has been a windfall--what happens when it goes away? What do Miami Strippers & Fiscal Elephants Have in Common? Pro's & Con's of taking Social Security early; ------ SEG-1: Is Pandemic Forcing More into Earlier Retirement? SEG-2: What Happens When Higher Child Tax Credit is Gone? SEG-3: What Happens When You Take Social Security Early? -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: youtube.com/watch?v=WKjZKcyt52k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous episode, "Pet Rocks & Other Signs of Rich Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FkVbkkDQ8vI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-pet-rocks-other-signs-of-a-rich-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-elephant-they-dont-want-you-to-see/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #ChildTaxCredit #SocialSecurity #EarlyRetirement #Pandemic
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/25/21) Nice market rally off the 40-DMA, but volume is dropping like a stone: Buyers are not really in the market. Following yesterday's highs, we expect markets to staganate somewhat. Meme Stocks are back in play: GameStop finding signs of life, AMC Theaters had a big day, and Robinhood, the new poster-child for meme stocks, had a nice run-up on the day. As volumes dry up, retail movement slowing, and confidence waning with a lot of sector rotation...these are signs of a later stage in advances in preparation for a correction. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
President Joe Biden mistakenly attributes market jubilance to FDA approval of the Pfizer jab; what happens when markets revert to the norm with lack of liquidity; The Pet Rock phenomenon & rich markets; Understanding Valuation; The difference between investors & speculators; needs vs wants. ------ SEG-1: Post-Stimulus: Reversion Back to the Norm SEG-2: Pet Rocks & Signs of a Rich Market SEG-3: Understanding Market Valuation SEG-4: The Difference Between Investors & Speculators -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xPX7bb_EH0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous episode, "When the Economy Shuts Down" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IVRQ1iXrqI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=43s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-pet-rocks-other-signs-of-a-rich-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-more-stimulus-and-the-2nd-derivative-effect/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/24/21) Pfizer won the FDA's full approval for it's COVID Vaccine, and the Biden Administration credited the news for improving market sentiment. Not exactly, Joe. What we're really witnessing is a lack of liquidity in the market. There is an interesting pattern of volume & volatility spikes and drops...occuring on the 19th of each month--Options Expirations Day. Markets may make new highs in the near term, but there's not a lot of upside opportunity. The lack of liquidity is problematic: Be Prepared! - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Markets Double Value in the fastest period, ever! What happens when economies shut down...and they start up again? Supply chain management is key: Will inventory deficits result in over production and surpluses? Consumer Confidence Crisis, and the real cost of hiring workers. ------ SEG-1: What Happens When the Economy Shuts Down (and starts up again) SEG-2: Fastest Doubling of Markets Ever SEG-3: The Crash in Consumer Confidence Collides w The Fed SEG-4: What it Really Costs to Hire Workers -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuKwGGmYw_Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous episode, "Markets' No Time to Die Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qc-7LN7qnN8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fastest-bull-market-in-history-as-sp-500-doubles/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-blinks-on-taper-bulls-buy-the-dip-again/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
Markets continue to defy reality, as preparations are underway for next week's Jackson Hole meeting, possibly to reverse easy-money policies. Estate Planning w Daniel Craig & Tanya Roberts; Garlic and Beneficiaries; the importance of estate planning. ------ SEG-1: No Time to Die for Markets: Prepping for Jackson Hole SEG-2: David Craig's non-inheritance SEG-3: Tanya Roberts, Holographic Wills, & Estate Planning SEG-4: Grandma Rosso: Garlic & Beneficiaries -------- RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our previous episode, "Markets, Fed, & Don McLain Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rA-RGVNhN7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation #EstatePlanning
What do Markets, the Fed, & Don McLean have in common? Fed Governors are baking their own American Pie with talk of tapering; the ugly truth why the Fed really uses Quantitative Easing; why are market valuations outrageously high? The story of Robinhood's Dogecoin disaster. ------ SEG-1: Don McLean + The Fed = The Day the Market Died SEG-2: Why the Fed Really Uses QE SEG-3: Why Markets are so far above reasonable valuations SEG-4: Robinhood's Dogecoin Disaster -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCz1EsKnQ3k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous episode, "Markets' COVID Booster?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drhBfEAo8hg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1844s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/19/21) Markets sustain steep sell-off, with a 1-percent loss on the day, thanks to Fed talk of tapering quantitative easing. Money Flow Sell-signals were triggered as part of a normal correction process. Can markets hold the 50-DMA, markets' "line in the sand?" It's been a very, very long time since a test of the 200-DMA--currently 10% below current highs. The possibility is not outside the realm of normality: A 10% correction in any given year is to be expected (and if 2021 is a year in which markets to NOT test the 200-DMA, it will be only the 14th time since 1929 that's happened.) We suspect this test will occur after weaker economic growth is apparent, or the Fed admits to talking of tapering QE. Treasury yields continue to decline, telling the ugly story of what's really happening in the economy. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Markets are asymptomatic to any boost from COVID vaxxing, as economic data shows slowing, and consumer confidence is falling; The FOMO effect on Markets vs investor risk, as retail investors are cannon fodder for Wall St., only a huge shock will deter risk-taking investors. ------ SEG-1: COVID Boosters and an Asymptomatic Market SEG-2: FOMO vs Market Risk; Will SALT Deduction Return? SEG-3: The Retail Investor is Cannon Fodder for Wall St. SEG-4: Market Volatility & Market Shocks -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wHzElzTpdQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous episode, "Markets Trapped Between Inflation & Weakening Economy?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gk9ectq-dcs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1098s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/18/21) Hot Stocks we're watching today, after reporting last night, this morning, as well as some reporting this afternoon; they include: Lowe's, Target, T.J. Maxx, Cisco Systems, NVIDIA, and Petco. The undercurrent commentary is what's happening with consumer spending and retail sales, as economic numbers are hinting all is not well. Weaker sales and price action is now beginning to creep across all of the discretionary sector. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerSpeninding #RetailSales
Markets rallied to another, all-time high on Monday, but there's an undercurrent of consumer dissatisfaction, as we're paying more for things and buying a little less; The Fed is caught between inflation & a weakening economy; could Fed tapering come sooner than later? The cycles of supply and demand are always evolving; inflation is eating into family budgets. ------ SEG-1: Markets Say the Fed is Trapped Between Inflation & Weak Economy SEG-2: Retail Sales: Buying Less and Paying More SEG-3: Inflation is Eating Into Family Budgets -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4MLTZAzM3G0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=31s -------- Our previous episode, "Why Markets Won't Teeter on the Taliban" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4GJQmtEd6bk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Inflation
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/17/21) Markets rallied back to another all-time high; money flows have improved, despite lighter volume. Overall demand for buying, however, has been positive. Buyers have been showing up to take advantage of intermittent dips. The strong earnings season did not result in investors being paid much for their trouble. There is concern that current money flow signals are becoming over-extended, as we're long in the cycle. Is it time for a re-test of the 50-DMA? 10-yr. Treasuries continue to tell us we're in a weaker economic environment; and could be also signaling a shift in risk preference. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #Taliban #Afghanistan #Kabul #Risk
Kabul falls to the Taliban, but markets have already priced-in the news. The real upset may come when the Fed announces it's going to taper QE; The Fed's Liquidity Trap & Liquidity Alarms; The Three Things that will tell you it's time to get out of the markets, ------ SEG-1: Markets are Built on Confidence & Stability SEG-2: The Liquidity Alarm SEG-3: Three Things That'll Tell You to Get Out of the Market -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tqsxle6AmOQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Afghanistan #Kabul
(8/16/21) The collapse of Kabul, Afghanistan, tops the news, but it likely will not be much of a catalyst for markets--not as much as the Fed's role and its move to taper quantitative easing. Markets are already competing with the economy for liquidity. Like Kabul, consumer confidence is collapsing as stimulus payments run out. Markets are holding on at marginal highs with the largest equity inflows on record--both those flows are declining. We're looking at a 3% back to the 50-DMA; a reversion to the 200-DMA would be an 11% drop. Now is the time for all good men to begin thinking about hedging. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #Taliban #Afghanistan #Kabul
How will you be funding your childrens' education? 529's are great, and there are myriad ways they can be funded--even over-funded. Now that you have kids, here are a few tips; why EDG Funds are not a good value for investors: Traps to avoid! ------ SEG-1: Having Babies & Funding Education SEG-2: Creative Funding of 529's SEG-3: The Ugly Truth Behind ESG Funds -------- Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our previous episode, "Is Inflation Still Hot?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YRy3G2dmh7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets
Is all of the Inflation talk over-inflated? Why are inflated gasoline prices-short term not directly connected to oil prices? It's all Supply & Demand, and the CPI is a flawed metric. The Great Gasoline Price argument; Socialism vs Capitalism. ------ SEG-1: Is Inflation Talk Getting Inflated? SEG-2: Is there actually a moderation in inflation? SEG-3: The Economic Consequences of Inflation -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ehNTkyvXotQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=77s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-a-test-of-the-200-dma-is-coming/ -------- Our previous episode, "Three Signs of a Market Bubble," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NVIxLA7umgQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=143s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/12/21) Here are four stocks we're watching today, as investors digest why markets aren't making much headway, despite setting another, new high on Tuesday. Earnings are good, forward guidance is good, but stocks aren't getting much benefit from those results. Deveiations from 200- and 50-DMA remain rather extreme, and money flows are way over-bought--setting up for an inevitable market correction. Where are the opportunities for you? - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance #StocksToWatch
Surprises in the Infrastructure Bill include funds for projects that will have low or no ROI; signs we're in a market bubble include Crypto Currency schemes, NFT's, and digital art; Three signs the market is about to turn: Fed QE Taper, rising rates, and inverted yield curves; how to invest new money; are crypto currency and vaccine passports preludes to cashless society? ------ SEG-1: 5 Things You Didn't Know are in the Infrastructure Bill SEG-2: How You Can Tell We're in a Bubble SEG-3: Testing the 200-DMA: Is Your Portfolio Ready? -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: youtube.com/watch?v=92djvbURPgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-a-test-of-the-200-dma-is-coming/ -------- Our previous episode, "The Real Truth Behind the Infrastructure Bill," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCHm2zJZhm0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/11/21) Markets hit an all time high, but didn't do much with it. Despite record earnings and good economic news, markets haven't gotten much traction, and in that process, money flows into the market are rapidly deteriorating and bringing us closer to a correctional period. A re-test of the 50-DMA and a break in that point would set up for about a 12% decline down to the 200-DMA--well within the context of time and duration. The decline in emerging markets continues, thanks to an uptrend in the Dollar. Small Caps and Mid Caps continue to underperform, as money migrates to hide in the bigger, highly-liquid names on the S&P, which are better for institutional risk management. Now is the time to shift to more domestically-focused companies. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-a-test-of-the-200-dma-is-coming/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
New Job Openings and Jobless Claims numbers put the Fed in a box ahead of the Jackson Hole meeting, with growing calls for tapering Quantitative Easing. Congress' "Infrastructure" Bill is a pork-laden monstrosity that will further encumber the economy and generations to come with more debt. Markets are continuing to test the 200-DMA during one of the longest periods without a market correction. Something's gotta give. ------ SEG-1: How "Great" Jobs Numbers Put the Fed in a Box; Consumer Credit Concerns SEG-2: The Ugly Reality of the Infrastructure Bill SEG-3: Testing the 200-DMA: Is Your Portfolio Ready? -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9GgIWCnjCc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-a-test-of-the-200-dma-is-coming/ -------- Our previous episode, "Climate Change Winners & Losers," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mg1u7bM-xlk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/10/21) Markets are up 18% for the year...so far, but the breadth of the markets is weakening, setting up for some type of inevitable correction. The deviation between the S&P and the 200-DMA is at an all-time high. Combined with declining money flows, money flow signals set to flip, and declining volume--and the length of time since the last correction--the pump is more than primed for a return to the 200-DMA. All we need is a catalyst (we're looking at YOU, Federal Reserve). - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-a-test-of-the-200-dma-is-coming/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Fed #Bitcoin #Gold #Stocks #Trading #Rates #Money #Markets #Finance
Who really benefits from Climate Change? Look who's controlling the agenda. The concept of de-growth through population control and reduction of rate of population growth; becoming more energy efficient and consuming less, lowering the standard of living for all: A race towards socialism. Fun with Delta-variants and Hurricane Names; COVID is here to stay. The "war" on home ownership--who is controlling the agenda? SEG-1: De-Growth and Who Really Benefits from Climate Change SEG-2: Delta Variant, Hurricane Names, and Setting an Agenda: Who Profits? SEG-3: What AMC Should've Done w $53-Million -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2sq6Hw3wlA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/was-that-the-peak-of-economic-growth-earnings/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/9/21) The S&P has made 44 record-closes this year so far...but money flows are weakening, setting up for the market's next decline. Watch market behavior for a familiar pattern of climbing, flattening, and falling to at least the 50-DMA--which have corresponded to money flow sell signals. The Jackson Hole meeting will have an impact, especially if a time line for tapering is revealed. The Gold conundrum: Concerns about inflation, slower economic growth, and the impact of COVId on the economy have seemed to not affect golf at all--still underperforming. The problem with gold is, there's no fear in the markets. Gold plays best in the risk-preference trade. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Retirement success could be risked by Mega-IRA Legislation; why today's Jobs Report may not agree with what Bond Markets are saying; Virtual Real Estate Investing is a sign of Market Tops; What threatens your IRA? SEG-1: Jobs Report Preview; What the Bond Market Says SEG-2: Virtual Real Estate Investing: A Sign of Market Topping SEG-3: IRA Threat: What Does Mega Mean? SEG-4: Five Steps to Successful Retirement = Rewirement -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0XWTY0KxNqA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s -------- Our previous episode, "Why COVID & The Rolling Stones Will Never Die," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cjp8N2P8hCs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2269s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Rolling Stones & Economic Impact of COVID SEG-2: Calculating CPI & Fed's Misplaced Priorities SEG-3: The Jackson Hole Preview SEG-4: The E-mail that Stumped Us; Recommended Reading List -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/amc-foolishness-comes-at-a-dear-cost/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-past-performance-is-a-guarantee/ -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://youtu.be/0XWTY0KxNqA -------- Our previous episode, "Eviction Moratorium," is here: https://youtu.be/FvlwbKEfeRE -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/5/21) Here's a review of some of the larger companie reporting this week, their attractiveness (or lack of it), and why we're suggesting what do to with them: Yeti (YETI), Shake Shack (SHAK), Plug Power (PLUG), SeaWorld Entertainment (SEAS), Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE), ViacomCBS, Inc. (VIAC), and Kellog's (K). - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Eviction Moratorium: Pro's & Con's SEG-2: The Landlord Dilemma & The Stealth Shutdown SEG-3: How to Make $19-M in the Market SEG-4: Economic Impact of "Socially Acceptable" Lifestyles -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/amc-foolishness-comes-at-a-dear-cost/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-past-performance-is-a-guarantee/ -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://youtu.be/8qvqWzdeS0s -------- Our previous episode, "How China is Cracking-down on Capitalism" is here: https://youtu.be/PLwD-7CmkOQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/4/21) Major Market Wednesday's review of what's happening in the bigs. Buy signals extend on declining money flows--watch the MACD, about to flip from buy to sell. A MACD crossover could lead to a bigger correction. Markets are contained, and there is risk all the way down to the 50-DMA. NASDAQ is in similar shape, bouncing off 20-DMA Tuesday, and very deviated from 200-DMA. Emerging Markets have risen, but running into overhead resistance. International Markets have burned up much of their momentum; not a great place for capital allocation. Mid-caps have not been performing well, and small-caps aren't, either. Take profits if you've gotten 'em. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-rally-continues-as-earnings-beat-estimates-07-30-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Show Prelude; Market Performance Now Showing Weakness SEG-2: How China Will Beat the US SEG-3: Will America Become a Nation of Renters? SEG-4: Why Artificial Stimulus Does Not Create Economic Growth -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-past-performance-is-a-guarantee/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-grossly-defective-product-how-strong-is-the-economy-really/ https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/qe-bond-purchases-decrease-government-debt-maturity-by-raghuram-rajan-2021-08 -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://youtu.be/A8RwK5SMmiY -------- Our previous episode, "Is COVID The New Cold War Weapon?" is here: https://youtu.be/8agBvKXOoEk -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (8/3/21) Ahead of this month's Jackson Hole meeting, the Fed is stuck in a box: Improving economy, stronger employment, and rising inflation--which should push them to raise rates and taper QE. But, the Bond market is signaling that the economy is NOT all that strong, yet. So long as QE remains in place, market fundamentals don't really matter. There's currently a lot of headroom above the 50-DMA; there is a large deviation between market prices and the 200-DMA. The farther we get into the Buy Signal, the closer we're getting to triggering another MACD Sell Signal. Equally important from the Fed is their outlook for growth in the economy, with one eye on what's happening with interest rates. The 10-year Treasury rate nailed it in terms of where economic growth was going to be pegged--at 6.5% in March vs expectations of 13%. Something is not right within the economic complex. Yields are declining, and another Buy signal is imminent. We're looking for a reduction in economic policy, weaker growth, and the potential for weaker market growth. The shifting of risk will move money back into bonds, and push yields still lower. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-rally-continues-as-earnings-beat-estimates-07-30-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Why August is the Worst Month of the Year SEG-2: COVID, Transveganism, & Stunting Economic Growth SEG-3: How to Resist COVID; The Afterpay Indicator SEG-4: What Works for Investors 100% of the Time -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-rally-continues-as-earnings-beat-estimates-07-30-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-grossly-defective-product-how-strong-is-the-economy-really/ -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money is here: https://youtu.be/cefcKBNVe-g -------- Our previous episode of "Financial Fitness Friday" is here: https://youtu.be/iY8YoAW2PeU -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
(8/2/21) August tends to be one of the weaker months of the year; we've now gone six months without a negative market result. The risk of correction is heightened, the longer we go without a correction. The Money Flow Buy signal is in place, but much of the intertia has been consumed, limiting upside opportunities. COVID lockdowns, weaker economic growth, and potentially disappointing manufacturing numbers could weigh down markets. Plus, with the Jackson Hole conference offering the potential for official tapering news from the Fed, there are issues that could pull markets down. Be risk averse! - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-rally-continues-as-earnings-beat-estimates-07-30-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Market Commentary/Changing Concept of Retirement SEG-2: Will Social Security Be There for You? SEG-3: The Friar Tucking by Robinhood; IRA Dad Talk SEG-4: Coming Events, "Bollinger," the RIA Mascot; COLA Changes -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our previous episode on "What Olympics, Delta-variant, & Fed Have in Common" is here: https://youtu.be/EALC7F7ElgY -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Olympic Tapering vs Fed Tapering SEG-2: What the Fed Said SEG-3: Why Does the Fed Matter So Much? (They never get it right) SEG-4: Shifting From Inflation to Deflation -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/just-how-transitory-is-inflation/ -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/igNv3eRKb0k -------- Our previous episode on "What Follows the Pandemic Boom" is here: https://youtu.be/OkP0geZBsWs -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/29/21) It's the day following the Fed's admission they're thinking about tapering Quantitative Easing...the earnings parade continues with Apple, Facebook facing a demographic timebomb, Microsoft, AMD and NVDIA, Amazon, and Comcast. Q2 earnings have been great--as compared to the 2nd quarter of 2020--duh! The challenge will be next year's Q2 performance. Risk to earnings exists because of slower consumer spending as stimulus checks' effects come to an end. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Masking, Markets, & Minsky Moment SEG-2: Corporate Earnings Parade: What Happens When Economy Slows? SEG-3: Simone Biles & Investing Mentality SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Valuations & What to Do w Cash? Fed Extraction from QE -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/just-how-transitory-is-inflation/ -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/ckjQRx_uRvY -------- Our previous episode on "How Stability Creates Instability" is here: https://youtu.be/AExVWcd8_kw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/28/21) Why markets are annoying: Markets are over-extended, and a dichotomy between the major markets and their lesser brothers on Wall Street. S&P in a very bullish trend with a buy signal in place; NASDAQ bouncved off 20-DMA yesterday, also very positive. But...underlying indexes aren't doing as well--and a buy signal that doesn't offer much to buy is worth, what? International stocks have nothing really happening, despite money flows. What happens if someone starts to jigger with currencies? (We're looking at YOU, China!) A stronger dollar does not bode well for commodities, oil, and energy. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-markets-next-minsky-moment/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Earnings Week Continues SEG-2: The Risk of Low Market Volatility SEG-3: Implications of Cali Power Limitations SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Capitalism vs Socialism Economics; Gold Prices; Fed Rate Supression? -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/3-reasons-why-there-really-is-no-housing-shortage/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-markets-next-minsky-moment/ -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/3BOI7SrY-wk -------- Our previous episode on "Corporate Earnings Olympics" is here: https://youtu.be/b7qJJAQtBO4 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/27/21) Markets' rally continues, but the deviation between current market price and 50-DMA is getting more extreme. The longer this trend continues, the greater the chance for correction--now estimated to be at about 4%. Money flows remain strong, and Buy Signals have been triggered--providing some upward lift to markets. Hitorically, long periods of low volatility always lead to periods of high volatility--thank you, Mr. Minsky. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-markets-next-minsky-moment/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Simone Biles, Olypmics, & Earnings Estimates SEG-2: Back to School & Delta Variant: Markets' Likely Response SEG-3: Market Valuations & Minksy Moment SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: How to Put Cash to Work; Passive Investing Problems -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/yGZhH-fW9qA -------- Our previous episode on "Happy Money" is here: https://youtu.be/7pxOK3OuWKw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/26/21) Money Flow Sell Signals warned of 3% market pullback last week. Support at 50-DMA has kept bullish trend intact. Why is trend of low volatility dangerous? Periods of stability lead to instability in markets. Last week's rally was strong in terms of retail investors piling back into markets, which turned money flow sell signals upwards. There still remains risk, despite last week's rally. How will earnings affect market performance? Could provide some support, but upside reward is limited vs risk to the downside. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bulls-buy-the-dip-but-is-the-risk-really-over-07-23-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: The Good & Plenty Market SEG-2: Medicare COLA vs Bidenflation SEG-3: Richard's Nana & Buying Happiness SEG-4: How We Will Fund Future Social Security -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our previous episode on "Fed Power" is here: https://youtu.be/aHvAXDzeVak -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Market Rallies & Efficacy of QE SEG-2: Crocs' Comeback & The Power of the Fed SEG-3: The True Source of Wealth Inequality SEG-4: The Epic Mistake of The Fed -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show (with special thanks to PBS' "Frontline"): https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/film/the-power-of-the-fed/ -------- Our previous episode on "Markets' FOMO Infection" is here: https://youtu.be/GDtm_i2XlpM -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/DTTkBADAAw8 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/22/21) Buying the Dip the last few days...interesting parallel actions of the 50- and 200-DMA lines. The length of time since the last 5% correction makes it more imminent. What we're doing to hedge and add some risk management to portfolios. Consolidation periods during sell-signals are normal; the rally since Monday has not been strong in terms of participation, and is indicative of a lack of liquidity--in which it doesn't take much to move the markets. The number of stocks trading below their 50-DMA is still of concern, with weak breadth in the market. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Market Maneuvers in the Dark SEG-2: The Risk from a Private Market Pre-IPO SEG-3: How Do You Buy the Dip if You Don't Know Where the Bottom Is? SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Swimly, Ferrari's, & Capital Gains -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-hedge-funds-ramp-up-exposure/ -------- Our previous episode on "Markets' FOMO Infection" is here: https://youtu.be/UbE6TjzglPc -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/C3N8ArdjDuY -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/21/21) Following Markets' Monday slide, Wall Street is now trying to rally back up to all-time highs. Positive money flow doesn't mean a big correction in the market, neccessarily; more consolidation is likely than anything else. Watching previous money flow signals can be instructive for understanding what's likely to happen next. The NASDAQ remains over-extended, and could be more problematic in the near-term. Market breadth remains very poor, with money "hiding" in high-liquidity areas--such as the FAANG stocks. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Jeff Bezos, Dr. Evil, & Jim Cramer SEG-2: The Psychology of Quantitative Easing SEG-3: World's Shortest "Recession" Ever SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Jim Cramer Rids Speculators, Crude Oil Pricing -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-hedge-funds-ramp-up-exposure/ -------- Our previous episode on the Delta Variant Hits Markets is here: https://youtu.be/kb-bwe6NsF4 -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/xK-eDob09b8 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/20 /21) Markets finally sold-off, testing the 50-DMA; delayed money-flow signal was triggered, but markets held on. This suggests there's more corrective action to come. There is still a potential risk to the 200-DMA, and the lack a 5- to 10% correction in the past two years would indicate there's still work to do. NASDAQ is where money is hiding, and that's creating risk; that market broke its 200-DMA. There's more of the FOMO element driving markets now, with high expectations for continued economic growth. Those could prove to be big disapointments, as indicated by drops in yields. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Markets Suffer Sell-off SEG-2: This is not a Crash, a Correction SEG-3: Investing vs Gambling: The Demise of Retail Investing SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Delta-variant Markets; What More Can the Fed Do? -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/knowledge-vs-experience-why-most-investors-wind-up-losing/ -------- Our previous episode on the new Child Tax Credits is here: https://youtu.be/RBoGMvRdHZg -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
(7/19/21) Markets are set to open lower this morning; the 50_DMA has been a good source of support of late. We're very early in this sell-off; watch for a pick up in volatility. If the 50-DMA is broken, the next run down is to the 200-DMA--a drop of about 11%, certainly within the realm of possibility. What's coming home to roost is any justification for current valuations. Watch the NASDAQ, with its top-ten stocks making up the bulk of the entire move of that index, and could violate its 20-DMA today. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Why the Stock- and Bond Markets Do Not Agree SEG-2: Car Crashes & Child Tax Credits SEG-3: How to Live in a Cashless World SEG-4: How to Create Retirement Income Paychecks -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Jerome Powell's CPI Calculations SEG-2: What Bonds & Yield Curves Are Saying SEG-3: What the Fed Should Really Be Doing (and nothing else!) SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Transitory Inflation -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/bQWGk_fuxgE -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/undermining-capitalism-with-unreal-values-and-crass-distortion/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/15/21) It's Major Market Thursday--S&P is extended above 50-DMA, pending a correction, which will come later this year. Money Flows are positive. Markets are priced for perfection. NASDAQ has had an accelerated buying stampede--deviation above the 50-DMA is rather extreme, so a pull back would not be surprising. Emerging markets have improved, but still underperforming; similar activity is seen in International markets. Small- and Mid-caps are looking for a comeback in the deflation trade; both sectors have been underperforming as professional money managers have been clustering in larger names for easy liquidity. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: When the Power of Compounding Doesn't Work SEG-2: Risking Retirement Savings w Fed's Moral Hazard SEG-3: Communism & Socialism vs Capitalism SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: SS Cola Changes, Bonds & TLT, How Does this End? -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/bQWGk_fuxgE -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bubbles-are-evident-after-they-pop/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
(7/14/21) A review of the strong and weak sectors of the markets, which are generally elevated with positive money flows, suggesting limited upside and consolidation; watch the behavior of the MACD. Communications are stalled, Utilities haven't participated in market lift; Discretionary looks to have peaked. Staples haven't participated well in market rally, failing at the 50-DMA. Energy breaks its 50-DMA, with more downside risk. Financials are struggling at their 50-DMA; Healthcare is another area performing well, from which to take some profits. Industrials and Materials are coming under pressure with deflationary influences in the economy. Real Estate's huge run looks to have peaked. Technology has been leading the overall market, and this is where money is hiding. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Apparently, #SustainableLiving can be achieved by giving up all modern conveniences, including, but not limited to, air conditioning, driving, flying, etc. Seems so simple, a caveman could do it (and they DID)! Lance Roberts addresses the economic phenomena of bubbles, and how we really don't see them until we're looking in the rear-view mirror. ➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live daily on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA Pro Free Trial: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More. https://riapro.net/home Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Dow 35,000? SEG-2: Q2 Earnings Season: Pay Attention to Revenues SEG-3: #SustainableLiving & Market Bubbles SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Consumer Confidence, Gov't Spending, Communism Myths -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/PJ0bbETQ0iI -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bubbles-are-evident-after-they-pop/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/13/21) The Dow nearly notches a close abouve 35,000--so what? Markets haven't gone anywhere since May. Probably upside is limited. Earnings Season now commences: What's supporting prices at current (record-high) levels? Why are expectations so elevated? This will be the peak; market breadth has not been compelling, driven mostly by FANNG stocks, with underlying deterioration underway. A correction back to 50-DMA by the end of July would not be out of the question. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Why Q2 Year Over Year Comparisons will be Easy SEG-2: TikTok Ban on Financial Services SEG-3: Infrastructure Spending: Could Be Good, But It Won't Be SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: What the Fed Can and Cannot Do -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/PJ0bbETQ0iI -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/infrastructure-spending-could-be-good-but-it-wont-be/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/21/21) Earnings Season commences with a lot of exuberance because of comparisons to Q2-2020, and associated explosions in growth rates. More important, the look-out for earnings going forward, as corporate earnings undergo pressure. Markets are looking for some justification for over-paying for assets. Market rally was decent, but limited; as we enter back half of July, we could see a correction. The current set-up is similar to the patterns seen in April, with sell signals at high levels with positive money flows, resulting in market stagnation before correction. The only thing lacking now is a sell-signal on the MACD side. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-bond-yields-send-an-economic-warning/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: The Important Messages Bond Yields are Sending SEG-2: What Wells Fargo's Credit Cancellation Means to You SEG-3: Long Term Care & Destiny Demographics SEG-4: How to Trigger Lance -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/GjxTh1GPS6s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-bond-yields-send-an-economic-warning/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/9/21) We've been watching Yields'sharp drop of late, with a very strong buy signal on bonds, suggesting still lower interest rates to come. What happens if 200-DMA is pierced? That makes more room for rates to fall--counter-intuitive to the narrative the economy is "booming." Resulting weakness is showing up in Small-Cap, Mid-Cap, and Emerging Markets, and there will be economic consequence from slower growth and lower corporate earnings. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-bond-yields-send-an-economic-warning/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: The Risk-off Thursday Move to Safety SEG-2: What the Fed is Really Saying SEG-3: Setting Up for an August Taper SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: The Fed Debt Trap, Negative Multiplier of Gov't. Spending -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Today's Three Minutes on Markets & Money: https://youtu.be/k027Urb0ZLk -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/8/21) Something's not quite right, as treasury yields continue to decline; the S&P rally has been weak, with narrow breadth; support has only come from FAANG stocks, and money is fleeing to safety into the bond market--not a good omen if the economy is supposedly doing so well. This all doesn't necessarily mean we're in for a long overdue 5% correction right away, but Interest rates are issuing warning signs that should not be ignored. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: What Treasury Yields are Telling Us SEG-2: Why Peter Thiel's Roth IRA Matters to You SEG-3: Changing the Rules on Tax-deferred Savings SEG-4: The Essential Attack on Capitalism -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-capitalism-does-not-equal-corporatism-pt-1/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-capitalism-does-not-equal-corporatism-pt-2/ https://youtu.be/UYEJsfgWYaQ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/7/21) Muted market rally has been driven by FAANG stocks, as an underlying situation with Treasury Yields is causing concern: despite "surging" economic growth, Treasury Yields continue to fall, and yield spreads between 10-yr and 2-yr is starting to flatten. This suggests not only that we're seeing the peak of current economic growth, but also weaker earnings growth in the future. This would suggest that earnings estimates are way too elevated for the kind of economy Treasury Yields are indicating ahead. The Dollar is having a strong advance as yields decline, creating a domino effect in Emerging Markets, International Stocks, as well as the Small-Cap/Mid-Cap space, also underperforming as the reflation trade begins to work back off, money moving back into areas where growth is more certain: Technology Companies. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Kicking off Second Half of 2021 SEG-2: Where Do Investors Get Their Advice? SEG-3: What's the Best Market Performance Comparison? SEG-4: YouTube Q & A: Buybacks, Investor Psychology, Fed Hypocrisy -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-retail-investor-rampage-over/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/6/21) Markets achieve one of largest increases on record in first-half of 2021; and markets will probably end the year on an up-note. However--exceptionally strong markets in first half of a year tend to be the peak over the course of the next couple of years. Historically, years that follow typically have negative market returns. Markets are up 16% so far in 2021--that's a 32% return on an annualized basis. But beneath the surface, there is less positive action being seen, with mid- and small-cap stocks struggling. Money is "hiding" in highly-liquid areas of the market, such as large-cap stocks. Watch for a period of relative weakness in August and September, and the risk for corrective action. Use the current situation as an opportunity to raise cash, rebalance portfolio, and prepare so that you can take advantage of any market strength at the end of the year...which will be at a lower level than where we are now. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Profits vs Earnings: YOY Comparisons SEG-2: To Taper or Not to Taper? SEG-3: What Will Trigger Markets this Summer? SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Fed Debt, Bank Lending, Delta Variant -------- - Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lifeline-of-markets-liquidity-defined/ -------- -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: America: Still the Cleanest Dirty Shirt SEG-2: Long Term Care vs Medicare Advantage SEG-3: Vacation/Job Trends post-Pandemic SEG-4: Financial Lessons from George Washington -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- REGISTER for the next Candid Coffee on Financial Independence, July 24, 2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8516243846337/WN_GWlF7i_GRPSlWNs44_cm1g -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Profits vs Earnings: YOY Comparisons SEG-2: To Taper or Not to Taper? SEG-3: What Will Trigger Markets this Summer? SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Fed Debt, Bank Lending, Delta Variant -------- - Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-lifeline-of-markets-liquidity-defined/ -------- -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (7/1/21) The first two weeks of July tend to be positive for markets, but we're entering an historically weak period for markets; Earnings comparisons from 2020 are going to be astonishing because of last year's shutdowns: It will be an Earnings Season of the have's vs have-not's. Money Flow Signals are rapidly shifting; we've added a Dow Index in order to take advantage of the "catch-up" trade. We're over-due for a 5% correction, not seen since last year. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Living in a post-Coronvirus World SEG-2: PPP: Where Did All the Workers Go? SEG-3: Short-termism & the Challenge of Navigating Markets Today SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Looking for Opportunities, Dollar Strength, Interest Rates -------- - Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warnings-from-behind-the-curtain/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
(6/30/21) Going through the major markets, as the S&P is back on a money flow "buy" signal, and MACD's have already turned positive, giving a short-term upward bias to markets. Upside to markets, however, remains limited. NASDAQ has been The Story lately, on a buy signal, and playing "catch-up" with the S&P. Now on a very high-level "buy" signal, and that means a bigger risk of correction. Both markets have been on a positive trend for five-months in a row without any type of corrective action--that's a long time, and correction is over-due. The Dow has been one of the laggards, with money flows fairly negative. Watch for catch-up action in following S&P & NASDAQ. Small and Mid-Caps not making much ground, thanks to realities of economic strength/weakness. Emerging Markets are very susceptible to rate of economic growth; International stocks have not been playing well, either. Watch flight to safety out of equities and into treasuries. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warnings-from-behind-the-curtain/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Rick & Morty's "Mortiplicity" in the Markets SEG-2: Warnings from Behind the Curtain SEG-3: Investors in an Alternative Universe SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Tapering Impact, Stops, Job Openings -------- - Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warnings-from-behind-the-curtain/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/29/21) THe end of June marks the close of the current quarter, with portfolio managers repositioning holdings. Markets are over-bought, with limited up-side. There is still a declining participation, but some postive action is apparent. The first two months of July tend to be positive, but the back half of that month generally is not. We have added some market exposure, but keeping an eye on money flow signals as we move later into the summer. Anticpated Fed talk about tapering is expected to inject a little more volatility into the markets. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warnings-from-behind-the-curtain/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Why Sister Wives' Janelle Brown is Living in an RV Down by the River SEG-2: The Truth Behind ESG Investing SEG-3: Capitalism Does Not Equal Corporatism, Pt-1 SEG-4: Infrastrucutre Spending & Government's real responsibilities -------- - Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-capitalism-does-not-equal-corporatism-pt-1/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/28/21) Markets hit a new, all-time highs on Friday. The first two weeks of July tend to be the strongest of the strongest month in the weakest season on Wall Street. Watch what happens as Mutual and Pension Funds prepare for the second round of earnings reporting, positioning porfolios for a favorable "look." Money Flows remain very weak with little conviction; buy signal triggers are closeby. Watch for a July Rally and more corrective action in the later weeks of Summer. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
[This is an encore edition of segments originally aired on 6/11/21 and 6/18/21] SEG-1 Tax Fraud and Inflation Explodes SEG-2 The Fed's 2% Solution for Everything SEG-3 The Fed's Real Goal: Boosting Asset Prices SEG-4 The "Limitations" of the Fed -------- Financial Fitness Friday hosted by: Richard Rosso, CFP, Director of Financial Planning with Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, Jon Penn, CFA, Senior Relationship Manager, and Michael Lebowitz, CFA, Portfolio Manager -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Demographics are Destiny SEG-2: John McAfee Suicide & Great Expectations SEG-3: Recency Bias Feeds Market Expectations SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Home Ownership, Market Bubbles, & Risk Management -------- - Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/24/21) Just because markets exhibit a "sell" signal, doesn't mean they will sell. The Fed has all but said they will begin tapering QE, and the associative rise in interest rates is all but a foregone conclusion. But markets don't necessarily have to sell...they could work through their "over-boughtedness." - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Getting Back to Work SEG-2: The Challenge of Hiring Post-pandemic Workers SEG-3: Small Business Cost/Benefits Trade-off SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Small Business Employees & Tax Deductions -------- - Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen, AIF, QKA, CFPA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/business-owners-max-tax-deductions-improve-employee-loyalty/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 8,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/23/21) What's the deal with this Money Flow Signals and markets seemingly ignoring them? Lance Roberts' explainer segment sets up the context for his technical analysis using this tool. Two things that can happen under a Money Flow Sell-signal: Markets can consolidate, or markets can appear to initially not comply, creating a trap for investors. July is typically a stronger Summer month; problems usually crop up in August and September. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Have We Seen the Top of the Market for 2021? SEG-2: Bulls vs Bears: Experience is a Tough Teacher SEG-3: Why "Record Highs" Are Just That SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Fed, Banks, & Gold -------- - Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-cot-report-shows-stage-set-for-volatility/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, July 24 ,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/22/21) The Dow's "biggest surge since March" failed to carry above the 20-DMA on Monday. Today, they'll try again, with money flow sell signals in place, and money flow generally negative. Markets may be locked-in to another period of consolidation. Typically, when sell signals combine with negative money flows, the stage is set for corrective action--not necessarily big--and a set up for another rally. Now through the first third of the signal, there's more work to be done. This doesn't mean a 5- to 10% correction immediately; with liquidity still entering the markets, we may see a gyration as markets work-off of the over-bought positions. Upside remains limited, and markets are still set up for bigger correction later in the Summer. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Fed Talk is Cheap SEG-2: Is the Market Correction Beginning? SEG-3: True Infrastructure Spending Requires no Gov't. Incentives SEG-4: YouTube Algorithms & Reverse REPO -------- - Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/21/21) Markets inability to set convincing new highs--creating more downside drag: use today's rally to your advantage. Negative Money Flows and MACD Sell Signal sets the stage for correction. Use today's rally to lighten your exposure. Weakness is expected over next week or two; Fed's continuing QE will limit downside. What to watch: TLT proxy for Bonds as interest rates fall; Dollar strength will pull trade from commodities; VIX showing a turn-up. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Inflation, Deflation, Stagflation, or Disinflation SEG-2: A History of Inflation SEG-3: The Fed's Real Goal: Boosting Asset Prices SEG-4: The "Limitations" of the Fed -------- - Hosted by Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, Senior Relationship Manager, Jon Penn, CFA, & Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
Instead of thinking about thinking about tapering the Fed's policy of quantitative easing, the Federales are now talking about talking about backing off its balance sheet, and removing the amount of liquidity in the market. When this process begins, the clock starts ticking on when the next bear market occurs. Fed Chair Jerome Powell sent a clear signal on 6/16/21 that the Fed group is going to begin the tapering process; so what happens next? - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-running-hot-inflation-wise-and-humane/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Why the Fed is Wrong About Rates SEG-2: Fed Meeting Takeaway; Jackson Hole Prelude SEG-3: What Happens When We Taper SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Money Flow Signals, SPY Puts - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-running-hot-inflation-wise-and-humane/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/17/21) The Fed shifts to a more-hawkish tone, but markets don't believe their timing. Rate hikes are expected as soon as 2022. Money Flow sell signals are being triggered; VIX is triggering a buy signal, S&P triggering a "sell." There is a risk of a bigger correction coming. Weekly sell signal is setting up--but doesn't matter until the end of the week. When the weekly sell signal aligns with the daily sell signal, odds are improved for a correction of 5% or greater. Watch the Bond Market--about to signal a buy signal. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Corporatism vs Capitalism SEG-2: Fed Meeting Day Preview SEG-3: Inflation Management Strategy for Investors SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Bear vs Bulls, News Impact, & WTI Pricing -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-slowly-at-first-then-all-at-once/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/16/21) Fed Day Sayings: Fed Grammar Matters; will the Fed begin talking about thinking about thinking about tapering QE? Market risk is set up for disappointment. Today's meeting is setting up for the "big reveal" on the Fed's postition on inflation, which wi ll be rolled out in September at Jackson Hole. Make no major moves ahead of today's meeting. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Demographics are Destiny SEG-2: Retail Sales & the Two Faces of Inflation SEG-3: Slowly at First, Then All at Once SEG-4: Moving to Montana; Stagflation Explained -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-slowly-at-first-then-all-at-once/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Conspiracy Theories Come True; Were Stimmie Checks Necessary? SEG-2: The G-7 Farce; QE is Permanently in Fed Tool Box SEG-3: How Companies Respond to Inflation; Benchmarks & Indexes SEG-4: Seasonality, Cycles, and the Coming Market Correction -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reviewing-market-signals-as-warnings-increase-06-11-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-starting-campaign-to-taper-its-asset-purchases/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/14/21) Markets remain mired in consolidation process: performing well, but not sustaining exceptional highs. Money Flows continue to decline, suggesting less overall conviction in the markets. Will the FOMC start to think about thinking about tapering QE?? The longer we go without a correction of at least 5%, the more likely it becomes. Daily and Weekly Buy Signals begin to align; a weak week of price pressure can flip the signals. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reviewing-market-signals-as-warnings-increase-06-11-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Tax Fraud and Inflation Explodes SEG-2: The Fed's 2% Solution for Everything SEG-3: Feeding the FOMO SEG-4: Cash, Valuations, and The Rosso Indicator -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/three-ways-to-teach-your-kids-to-invest-smart/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/11/21) The numbers are in--and they're far out: Core CPI up 3.8%, and year over year inflation is up 5%. Not surprising, considering the economy was shut down this time, last year. What's the best strategy, going forward, for addressing inflation, reflation, and volatility? And what will happen to $17-Trillion in cash accumulations over the past year? - Hosted by RIA Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
The Fed's walking a tightrope of zero interest rates and continuing quantitative easing, and something's got to give. Unfortunately, the Fed has painted itself into a corner, and will be forced to begin tapering their debt purchasing. That the Fed has distorted the inflation market with their purchases of TIPS, the overnight borrowing rate, and even the mortgage market, is obvious. What's driving this behavior is the proliferation of cheap money. When will it all end? Sooner than some may think... -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/two-pins-threatening-multiple-asset-bubbles-part-ii/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Historic Correlation of Inflation to Valuation SEG-2: Signs of Late-stage Market Exuberance SEG-3: How the Fed Has Distorted Markets SEG-4: Who Owns the Stock Markets? -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/two-pins-threatening-multiple-asset-bubbles-part-ii/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/10/21) Markets are close to turning on money flow signals, as expected heading into Summer, increasing the potential risk for correction. NASDAQ is also very extended, and close to triggering sell signals. Emerging Markets are already on a sell-signal, Indutrialized International may have already peaked. Mid-cap and Small-caps stuck in a two month long consolidation range, but closing in on a sell signal. All the markets that ran up together are now set up for correction together. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Early Christmas Shopping; Market Commentary SEG-2: Raising Kids, Dubers, & Financial Education SEG-3: Why We Don't Like 401-K Plans SEG-4: CPI Index in Economic Recoveries -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/9/21) Where is the risk in the markets? In the S&P 500, pay attention to money flows, and watch what's happening to the Amazon trade in Discretionary stocks, as stimulus money goes away, and retail spending wanes. Energy stocks have been a big winner; now it's time to take some profits here, as well as in Real Estate, which continues to perform well. Note the movement of interest rates later in the year, however. Industrials & Financials are also of interest: not as much infrastructure investment as thought; money flows are deteriorating, likely setting up gfor a summer correction. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Headlines, "Vaccination rates slow..." is a function of math and demographics; there are warning signs that things may be "as good as they're going to get," as markets reach a peak of performance, and there's no where to go from here but down via market correction. -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-yellen-the-big-push-to-offshore-us-labor/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Why Global Taxation is a Non-issue SEG-2: Headlines, Vaccines, & Economics SEG-3: Why Markets are Ripe for Correction SEG-4: Costs & Consequences of Killing the Oil Industry -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/macroview-yellen-the-big-push-to-offshore-us-labor/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/8/21) A plethora of indicators show risks in the markets outweigh the benefits: almost all metrics show an over-extension at a time when we're getting the economics at a peak level: The underpinnings of Fundamentals, Earnings, and Economics are all back to very high levels, year-over-year. Remember what last year was like?? Yet, valuations remain very stretched. There are always opportunities in the market, if you know where to look: Buy signals are elevated, and ready to turn. This all suggests a peak of activity, and increased risk of correction in the near term. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-warning-signs-a-correction-is-ahead/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Janet Yellen's Pro-Inflation Stance SEG-2: The Post-COVID Jobs Conundrum: Getting Workers Back to Work SEG-3: Hiring Workers: Salary-plus? SEG-4: Benefits vs Liabilities of Offering a 401-K -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen, AIF, QKA, CPFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/have-stocks-already-priced-in-the-economic-boom/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/7/21) Markets remain trapped in a consolidation process and retracement to all-time highs. Upside is limited as money flow buy-signal becomes over-bought, and is ready to flip. Money flows have sharply deteriorated through markets' advance, and are setting up for a correction of between 5% and 10%. Multiple levels of support exist, just below current prices. Bonds are telling a different story: Indicators are showing lower yields, which may have peaked, with slower rates of economic activity later this year. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/have-stocks-already-priced-in-the-economic-boom/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: The Consequences of Financial Alchemy SEG-2: Financial Snuggies & Draining Retirement Funds SEG-3: Tough Love and Money SEG-4: Building a Bridge to Retirement -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/three-ways-to-teach-your-kids-to-invest-smart/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/4/21) Employement date released today: How might this affect the Fed's plans for the future? AMC seems to be levitating on the will of the people, despite the realities of its fundamentals. Investors in this stock should use Vegas Money to do so--bucks you might lose. President Biden's Budget Plans could have tax implications, but no need to make changes in your tax strategies until Congress has had a go at it! - Hosted by RIA Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Some say the Fed's purchases of bonds and bond EFT's were the first steps towards the "Japanification" of the US economy--wherein the government buys up and owns all the assets. But what happens when the Fed decides to sell what it's holding--and what kind of wrinkle does that create in the markets? The Fed is doing nothing to foster economic growth in the US economy, a willing participant in corporatism vs capitalism. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/two-pins-threatening-multiple-asset-bubbles/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Market Weaknesses that Pose Risk [clean audio] SEG-2: Thinking About Thinking About Tapering SEG-3: The Fed & The Bond Market SEG-4: Return to Work & Corporate Profits -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/two-pins-threatening-multiple-asset-bubbles/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-are-sell-signals-useless-in-mania-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/3/21) Preparing to transition into important signalling as Summer comes on: Money flows and market breadth have been deteriorating--the number stocks moving above the 100-DMA have been steadily declining. A weekly Sell-signal has been triggered in the S&P, money flows have been positive, suggesting any correction might be somewhat limited, but a 5% - 10% correction is well within the realm of possibility this Summer. NASDAQ is closing in on its own sell signal. Industrialized International companies have been performing well, with an extended buy-signal. Emerging Markets, however, have not been performing well. Small Caps starting to turn, but we're late into the re-opening expansion. Bonds are the tell-tale, getting close to a buy-signal. The Volatility Index (VIX) remains very supressed on a weekly buy signal, pointing to a sell-off in the S&P later this month. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Cyber Attacks: How the Next World War is Fought SEG-2: The Biden Budget: Analysis & Critique SEG-3: How Tax Hikes Hurt (all of us) SEG-4: The Fed's Inflation Conundrum -------- - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts,CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/two-pins-threatening-multiple-asset-bubbles/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-are-sell-signals-useless-in-mania-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/2/21) S&P continues its sideways action, eating up remaining money flow buy signal. Opportunities may exist in Communications (over-bought), Utilities (underperforming), Discretionaary (over-bought), Staples (time to take profits), Energy (corrected and rallied), Financials (coming onto buy-signal), Healthcare (consolidating), Industrials (inflation trade), Basic Materials (add to portfolio), Real Estate (over-bought), Technology (over-bought). - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Are Sell Signals Meaningless in a Mania Market? A discussion of buy-and-hold theory, and how dependency on money flow sell signals could lead investors to Perdition: You only know it was the correct decision (or not) in hindsight--never beforehand. Investing is not a competition. There are no prizes for winning but there are severe penalties for losing. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts,CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-are-sell-signals-useless-in-mania-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Infrastructure Plan: Next Hope for Economic Stimulus SEG-2: What 'Taking Profits' Means in Portfolio Management SEG-3: Investing Isn't a Competition SEG-4: Recovering from COVID -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts,CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-are-sell-signals-useless-in-mania-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (6/1/21) Markets going into the dead heat of Summer with little accomplished; money flow is moving quickly through cycle. Buy signal still in place--watch that we're fairly advanced in buy-signal, as money flows continue to decline. Volume and participation in current rally has been weaker than normal. On a weekly basis, money flows are very close to triggering a sell-signal, which could lead to short-term volatility. In the near-term, focus on large cap names, as emerging markets are continuing to underperform. Small caps continue to languish following their rally earlier this year. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
This is our Memorial Day compilation episode--a collection of segments from the past weeks' shows: SEG-1: Restaurants Re-opening; C of C says "No More Stimulus" SEG-2: Inflation Concerns: Transitory or Sustained? SEG-3: Home-buying Warning for Millennials SEG-4: Stock Buy-backs, Corporatism, & Capitalism -------- Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Memorial Day Weather & Biden's Budget/Spending Plan SEG-2: Finding the Excitement in Life Insurance SEG-3: Life Insurance & Tax Implications SEG-4: Claiming SS After 70 -------- Hosted by Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/28/21) Markets close the week in a positive range, but end the month with mixed results. Infrastructure plans are still in flux; Biden's $6-T "Budget" is actually a blueprint for Democrats' spending wish list in 2022. Taxes are next to be tackled. - Hosted by RIA Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Since the US Government took the Dollar off of the gold standard, we have relied upon the "full faith and credit" of the United States to back the value of a buck. That's a fiat currency. Currencies was and wane, and when Inflation is healthy, wages rise (and so will prices, too); but when confidence in the powers that be begins to founder, and the value of a currency comes into doubt, the result is hyper-inflation which is difficult to quash. - Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/27/21) Markets perform exactly as expected, remaining in a broad, consolidation pattern, working off its "over-boughtedness." What happens as we move into Summer? Expectations are for a bigger correction (5-10%); weekly and monthly over-bought conditions persist. A bigger question will be over what the Fed decides to do with interest rates. Disappointing numbers on earnings and economic growth could be catalysts. Interest rates will be the tell-tale signal to wathch--if they begin to decline, deflationary pressures could be coming into play. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Kids Earning Their Keep; Summer Market Preview SEG-2: Why is the Fed Surprised by Inflation; Infrastructure Defined SEG-3: The Fed's True Mandate; Rates vs. Taper Talk SEG-4: Crypto Currency, Crypto Taxes, & Getting People "Banked" -------- Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn on Long Term Care, June 24,2021: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8016208387258/WN_swKrCtWJQ5KzeYUk-g8zTw ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
(5/26/21) Our mid-week market rundown: S&P's continued buy signal provides positive opening for the day; likely to re-test all-time highs. 5% to 10% correction likely this summer. QQQ's have been outperforming the S&P up to this point with a little more upside still to run, but--the NASDAQ is running out of time. When it turns, will be time to take profits out. Small-caps have not gone anywhere, creating an over-all drag; Emerging Markets showing little additional activity. Dependency on exports will be impacted by peaking stimulus and tapering input, with deflationary pressures. Bonds' conflicting signals with prices moving up, yields falling, indicating weaker economic and earnings growth. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
How we increase exposure (and why) in an expensive market; why watching Money Flow Signals is important. Using Price to Sales as a metric of Valuation (now at an all time high), which are a horrible market-timing device. Over-valuations have always led to very poor returns over the next decade. -------- Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-picking-up-pennies-in-front-of-a-steamroller/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-if-everyone-sees-it-is-it-still-a-bubble/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: BitCoin and How Markets Find the Bottom SEG-2: Inflation Concerns: Transitory or Sustained? SEG-3: Picking Up Pennies in Front of a Steamroller SEG-4: Amazon + MGM: Streaming Content Wars -------- Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-picking-up-pennies-in-front-of-a-steamroller/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/25/21) How can we be buying into this market? The answer keys on an understanding of the differences between short term markets and long term valuations...and the reality of having to make money for our clients. You can't do that when you're not in the market. So we not only take advantage of opportunities that exist, while also managing risk. You cannot be all-in or all-out and do this successfully. Not much upside expected as we move into Summer, and infact, are looking for a bigger correction during this period (at which time, money flow signals will alert us and we will begin to minimize exposure--and risk. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-picking-up-pennies-in-front-of-a-steamroller/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: School's Out; Erosion of Investor Psychology SEG-2: Dollar Strength vs Crypto Currency Volatility SEG-3: Home-buying Warning for Millennials SEG-4: Fiction Becomes Reality; the Everything Shortage -------- Hosted by RIS AdvisorsChief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hiking-corporate-taxes-wont-improve-economic-outcomes/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/24/21) S&P opens higher, preparing to assault Buy-signal that's been anticipated for past several weeks. NASDAQ tries to rally above 20-DMA; will likely outperform S&P over next weeks. Weekly Buy-signals are close to triggering Sell-signals, like in June or July. A 5% correction would not be surprising. Bonds & Stocks' corelation has been highest since 1999--which should not be the case. If Bond prices are moving up, 10-yr yields are moving down: Weaker yields have high correlation with weaker growth expectations, which will impact earnings expectations into 2022. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/21/21) Markets respond to jobless claims, but true strength of economy remains a concern; Philly Fed Mfg. Index fall underscores thesis of weakening economy. Fidelity Youth Accounts--love 'em or hate 'em: Points to ponder if your 13-17 year old wants to play investor. Crypto Currency takes a 30% dive as the IRS makes moves to track and tax crypto earnings. Of course. - Hosted by RIA Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Hello to Berlin! Lance's Investment Psychology Experiment: When people on TV freak-out...so far, so good. Sports Gambling & Market Investing; Buying and selling isn't always based upon valuation: Gamestop vs Bitcoin or Etherium. Short term signals can last three or four weeks--not to be used for long term investing theses, but helpful in managing risk/reducing exposure. Adding Alpha (excess performance) is opportunistic trading, not fundamental holding philosophy. Things can change, and when they do, you have to, too. -------- Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/foreseeing-the-flation-knuckleball-investor-implications/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: Inflationary Trends Emerge in Economic Numbers SEG-2: Fed Minute Fireworks SEG-3: Market Correction & Crypto Currency Instability SEG-4: Lance's Investing Psychology Experiment -------- Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/foreseeing-the-flation-knuckleball-investor-implications/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/20/21) Money flows remain positive...and over-sold. A look at the S&P 500 Short-index shows exactly the inverse: We're looking for a breakout above it's 50-DMA. NASDAQ Money flow indicator is very over-sold, and is likely will actually "out-perform" the S&P: Meaning, the S&P could "under-perform" the NASDAQ. Rally expectations call for adding market exposure for trading opportunities. Market correction of 5% still expected in June or July. Bonds continue to say the economy is much weaker than expected. 2% growth (normal) is likely to return in 2022, which will impact exceedingly optimistic earnings expectations. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: China's Restriction of Crypto Currency SEG-2: Impulse Shopping & Financial Planning SEG-3: The Jeopardy of "Free" Trades SEG-4: The Efficacy of Government Bailouts -------- Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/foreseeing-the-flation-knuckleball-investor-implications/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/19/21) Market frustration playing out in sideways movement: Despite Sell-signals in place and positive money flows, markets cannot must a signal switch. Markets are at levels where normal corrections would have ended--risk to downside continues. Peak earnings growth may hit by June or July; consolidation has lasted long enough to create upside pressure over the next few days. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Higher valuations predicted by companies will result in a painful reversion down the line. Lance runs through the math to show that over the long haul, once yearly returns are added up, you're only going to make between Zero and 2% in the current economic environment. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-yardeni-the-market-will-soon-reach-4500/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-bofa-right-about-a-market-drop-to-3800/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/18/21) Still expecting a bigger correction this summer as peak of economic and earns growth passes. Markets remain contained in pattern of consolidation. NASDAQ did trigger buy signal, barely; likely to create trading opportunity for next two or three weeks. Watch for short term rally and decline this summer; no 5% correction since last year. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Weighing-in on Education Equity & Meritocracy SEG-2: The IRS Cometh for Cryptocurrency Profits, too! SEG-3: Is the Fed Our Own Worst Fiscal Enemy? SEG-4: How You Know Earnings Season is Nearly Over -------- Hosted by RIS Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-most-profitable-company-in-the-world-isnt-who-you-think/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/17/21) Markets' upsidee likely limited, per money flow signals...and have been for a month. S&P did hold 50-DMA on Friday (a bullish signal). NASDAQ, however, is much closer to triggering a Money Flow Buy-signal, struggling with resistance at the 50-DMA. Take note of correlation between Bonds and Stocks--at highest level since market peak in 2000, prior to DotCom bust. Bonds are predicting economic growth is nearing its peak, and sub-2% growth will return by next year, with inflationary pressures subsiding. Watching Stock/Bond correlation will provide clues to next inflaction point; Bonds say more about direction of economy than do stocks. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Are We Almost Back to Normal? SEG-2: Where Social Security Came From...and is going SEG-3: Changes in Health Savings Accounts SEG-4: The IRS & Crypto Currency Income -------- Hosted by RIS Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/14/21) Markets rebound following a rough week, as good news is bad news, once again: Price Inflation, Wage Inflation...but enhanced Federal Unemployment Benefits tend to stymie re-employment. The first leg of Secure Act 2.0 passes through house with rules changes coming. Retail Sales begin to react as priorities shift from goods to services, as stimulus expenditures wind down. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Economist are shocked by April's CPI numbers showing sharp increases in prices, as stimulus works its way through the system. When the stimmie money is gone, will those prices slip back, or remain "sticky" are current levels? When does "transitory" become permanent? Example: Crude Oil prices ebb and flow, but gasoline seems to continually climb. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/soar-above-overconfidence-to-fortify-your-wealth/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-if-everyone-sees-it-is-it-still-a-bubble/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
SEG-1: How Long Will Inflation Remain? SEG-2: How Do We Know It's Transitory? SEG-3: Forecasting the Weather & Economics SEG-4: The Most Important Employment Number -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/soar-above-overconfidence-to-fortify-your-wealth/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-if-everyone-sees-it-is-it-still-a-bubble/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/13/21) How Long Will Inflation Remain? This is not the 1970's-- economic shut down and trillions in economic stimulus weren't there then. Is this inflation sustainable or transitory? Look at CPI with Base Effects, and watch them work through the system. Also, Inflation cannot grow much faster than economic growth over time. Economic growth is likely to drop back down in the 2% levler (or less) as the effects of stimulus wear off. Most inflationarty pressures are coming from areas that were shut down, and are now opening up. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Working for a Living, Hoarding, & Job Shortages SEG-2: Social Media and Investing Discipline: Stop Losses SEG-3: Texas Energy & Secession; Investing for Inflation SEG-4: Inflation, Commodities, and Ways & Means -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-if-everyone-sees-it-is-it-still-a-bubble/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TheRealInvestmentShow #LanceRoberts #RIAadvisors
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/12/21) Is the NASDAQ the place to be during the sell-off? Money Flow gap between indicators and actual money flows is narrowing. NASDAQ is more over-sold than S&P at this point, and so may out-perform--may not go down as much! S&P indicator is still negative, keeping containment in sideways movement. Inflation could offset markets' performance, putting pressure on tech stocks. Emerging Markets still under performing, with more downside risk. Small Caps had a huge run up from last year's lows--sell signal now suggests more downside risk to be avoided. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
“A bubble is a market cycle that is characterized by the rapid escalation of market value, particularly in the price of assets. Typically, what creates a bubble is a surge in asset prices driven by exuberant market behavior. During a bubble, assets typically trade at a price that greatly exceeds the asset’s intrinsic value. Rather, the price does not align with the fundamentals of the asset.“ -Investopedia - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-if-everyone-sees-it-is-it-still-a-bubble/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Markets #Money #Investing
SEG-1: The Year of Innovation: Markets' Money Flows SEG-2: Tuesday's, Tebow, & Technically Speaking SEG-3: The Problem of Margins SEG-4: Eating Racoons & Roadkill Boots; Gen-Z in the Army -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-if-everyone-sees-it-is-it-still-a-bubble/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Markets #Money #Investing
(5/11/21) S&P sell off keeps money flows from triggering; downside price pressure precluding any breakout from consolidation range. Is the NASDAQ really over-sold, or over-bought? Depends upon perspective--long term vs short term: Could spell opportunity with a likely outcome of NASDAQ out-performing the S&P 500. Short term, however, there's more downside likely. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Mother's Day Recap; C of C: No More Stimulus! SEG-2: Colonial Pipeline, Dependency on Technology, & Next World War SEG-3: Unexpected Impacts of Semiconductor Shortage SEG-4: Being Better Business People -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-problem-of-pulling-forward-sales-revenue/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Markets #Money #Investing
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/10/21) The S&P's breakout to new highs on Friday and is very close to triggering money flow buy-signal. It's another story on the NASDAQ, not yet breaking out to new highs; money flowing into reflation trade, and tech stocks are underperforming: Watch for a rotation back into the general stocks, which are actually generating revenues. Underperforming areas may offer opportunity for investors later this year. Longer-term trends show an S&P buy signal on a weekly basis--watch for a flip to sell signals in late May or early June. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: The Nap Station, Janet Yellen, Stimmie Spending SEG-2: Childhood Crushes & Medicare SEG-3: Sleeping with Dogs; Demographics & End of Life Survey SEG-4: End of Life Survey, Pt.2 -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-adverse-consequences-of-a-15-hour-wage-hike/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Special thanks to CBS News/60-Minutes: --------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Investing #FinancialAdvisor
SEG-1: Employment Report Preview SEG-2: Janet Yellen Was Right (the first time)! SEG-3: Semiconductors: Paying the Price for Outsourcing SEG-4: The Crypto Conundrum -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-adverse-consequences-of-a-15-hour-wage-hike/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/noah-didnt-yield-to-fomo-neither-should-you/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/6216201656274/WN_33C8T9JZSPuhc_x1VIASpw -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Special thanks to CBS News/60-Minutes: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/semiconductor-chip-shortage-60-minutes-2021-05-02/ --------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/6/21) Markets going no where, as consolidation of April gains continue. Hedge fund selling is contributing to price weakness. Outlooks are not very optimistic (Peloton, Etsy), as markets are considering whether this is an economic expansion vs a recovery. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Cinco de Mayo & Markets Respond to Janet Yellen SEG-2: To Vax or Not to Vax? SEG-3: The Difference Between Warren Buffett & You SEG-4: Is There Inflation in the System? -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-doug-kass-50-laws-of-investing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-adverse-consequences-of-a-15-hour-wage-hike/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/noah-didnt-yield-to-fomo-neither-should-you/ -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8116197301309/WN_h4MY0zq5SUS0zHlJhKJ_ng -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Special thanks today for our Mariachi interlude, "Jalisco,"from Mariachi Real De México: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPwsqUtIEvY ...and to the Black Rifle Coffee Company's "Sh_t Texans Don't Say:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N7bvAxSPeRo --------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/5/21) Markets respond to interest rate comments from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Markets are still stuck in consolidation, as money flow sell signals remain intact. NASDAQ tests 50-DMA, and money flow sell signals begin to flatten; next move higher could resemble activity seen in March. Interest rates continue to contract, with bond prices holding up. Bond buy signal could be on the way, despite transient inflationary pressures. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
There is a very real economic result from raising the minimum wage. A comparison of California's minimum wage to that of Kentucky demonstrates how prices rise to meet higher wages. So increasing the minimum wage actually hurts those living at that economic level, because it drives inflation and increases prices. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-doug-kass-50-laws-of-investing/ -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Special thanks today for the Star Wars musical interpretations by Luks & Ben: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dE3lXCeTxVM --------- Visit our Site: Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Investing #FinancialAdvisor
SEG-1: Star Wars Day; Gates Divorce; Market Risk in May SEG-2: Joe Biden's Taxes and Rising Costs SEG-3: More Adverse Consequences of a Higher Minimum Wage SEG-4: Deep Impact, Cryptocurrency, & First Steps of Encroachment -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-doug-kass-50-laws-of-investing/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-adverse-consequences-of-a-15-hour-wage-hike/ -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8116197301309/WN_h4MY0zq5SUS0zHlJhKJ_ng -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Special thanks today for the Star Wars musical interpretations by Ben & Luks: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dE3lXCeTxVM --------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/4/21) Markets opened up, but gave up half of early morning gains; MACD signals remain in place. Markets unable to make any gains, gyrating sideways. Moving averages are now catching up to markets, but not a lot of upside over the course of the next couple of weeks. International and emerging markets similarly going nowhere; mid cap and small caps also telling the same story, underperforming across the board. Pay attention to risk as we move into summer. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: The Studio Renovation; Sell in May & Go Away? SEG-2: Janet Yellen & The Cobra Effect SEG-3: The Adverse Consequences of a Higher Minimum Wage SEG-4: The Inconvenient Truth About EV's -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-adverse-consequences-of-a-15-hour-wage-hike/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/all-inflation-is-transitory-the-fed-will-be-late-again-04-30-21/ -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8116197301309/WN_h4MY0zq5SUS0zHlJhKJ_ng -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (5/30/21) Beginning of May is the start of the seasonally-weaker months of the year; markets have not gone anywhere, remaining range-bound over the past several weeks. Upside movement today is very likely, and may trigger buy signal. Prices will have a positive bias over the next several weeks. Note, deviations from long-term means and 50-day and 200-day supports are substantial, and will create some "gravitational pull" to prices. Daily buy signal will correspond to continued weekly buy signal (April's run up was +5%!), but that large deviation suggests a weaker upside moving forward. Be attentive to these shifts, and to your exposure to risk. 10% corrections during the summer are a distinct possibility. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: What Bonds Are Telling Us Now SEG-2: Will SS Still be There? IRA Rules SEG-3: The Brannick Device; Market Bubbles SEG-4: How Higher Taxes Alter Behaviors -------- Hosted by Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-battle-royale-stocks-vs-bonds-which-is-right/ -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/8116197301309/WN_h4MY0zq5SUS0zHlJhKJ_ng -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/30/21) Markets have been essentially flat all week; the Fed says it's not raising rates--for now. Hide and watch as Fed capitulates on this position. Biden's push for $4-Trillion MORE in stimulus, but no worries--it'll be "spending-neutral," thanks to your tax dollars--which are most assuredly going to be more. - Hosted by RIA Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Joe Biden's Blue-collar America SEG-2: Fed Review: A "Watershed" Meeting SEG-3: Stocks, Bonds, Devils & Angels SEG-4: What Are Interest Rates Telling Us? -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-battle-royale-stocks-vs-bonds-which-is-right/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stocks-vs-rates-which-one-is-most-likely-right-04-24-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/29/21) Markets respond to blockbuster earnings and dovish remarks from Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell; S&P 4,200 is within reach. MACD sell signals expected to turn next week. Markets still very over-bought on short-term and longer-term basis; upside is somewhat limited. Likely set up for bigger correction later this summer, certainly after earnings season--better buying opportunity for you. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Opening Up & Basic Economic Law SEG-2: Market Update; Un-SOTU Preview SEG-3: Tax Hikes, Inflation, and Paying More to Get Less SEG-4: Census Results & Market Reaction to Tax Policy -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-forward-returns-continue-to-fall/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/low-future-returns-requires-a-real-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/28/21) Major Market Review: S&P 500 continuing to digest recent run-up in March, working off flattening money flow sell signal, which could turn to buy-sign by the end of the week. NASDAQ strong run about to finish, with sell-signal flipping to the buy-sign. Upside is likely limited in next advance. Interest rates beginning to creep upwards with more inflationary pressures. Weaker earnings & economic growth expectations could emerge by the end of May or early June, as rates rise, stimulus payments are spent, and higher taxes loom. Gold back on sell-signal, needing a catalyst of fear to have a stronger move. Emerging Markets also on a buy-signal; best opportunity for money is to be domestically allocated. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Ahead of this week's (4/28/21) Fed Meeting, we look at CPI, how it's mis-calculated (and why), and how inflation has already reared its head in the lives of consumers and corporations; how companies are likely to respond to inflation, and what investors should keep in mind as quarterly earnings reports are released and digested. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-forward-returns-continue-to-fall/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Investing #FinancialAdvisor
SEG-1: Markets Price-in Economic Expansion vs Recovery SEG-2: Oscars, Census Winners & Losers: Demographics are Destiny SEG-3: Fed Meeting Preview: CPI & Inflation SEG-4: Myths in the Market: Forward Returns Continue to Fall -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-forward-returns-continue-to-fall/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/low-future-returns-requires-a-real-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/27/21) When might tapering begin? Markets continue to escalate on premise that as long as the Fed is involved, things will be fine. There is still concern inflation will be a problem for the economy. The "i-word" is now showing up in companies' earnings reporting. Inflation concerns are showing up in household surveys, too. Economic growth is expected to peak this quarter, and the Financial Conditions Index is on "easy," which usually preludes a tightening cycle in rates. Markets are consolidating as sell-signals flatten. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-forward-returns-continue-to-fall/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Markets Price-in Economic Expansion vs Recovery SEG-2: Expectations for Economic Recovery Well Ahead of Reality SEG-3: Low Future Returns Requires a "Real" Bear Market SEG-4: Bill Maher is Right: Thinking Independently -------- Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/low-future-returns-requires-a-real-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/26/21) Money Flow Sell-signal keeps markets contained. Money flows remain very strong, as markets move sideways. 2/3rds through sell-signal process, with more slopiness to come this week; the weekly buy-signal is still intact, but may be shorter-lived. Price support likely to continued through thie earnings season. Weekly sell-signal could be triggered by late May or early June, creating market declines--and buying opportunities. When can sidelined cash be put back into markets? Another 30- to 45-days in cash won't hurt you. A better entry point likely to occur between May and June. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Markets React to Biden American Families Plan SEG-2: How to Build the Best Employee Retirement Plan SEG-3: Dog Beer, Social Security Webinar Review SEG-4: Matchbox EV's; The Right Financial Tool for the Job -------- Hosted by Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP w Retirement Plan Consultant, Tom Allen, AIF, QKA, CFPA -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/23/21) Markets respond to President Biden's "American Families Plan" by tanking on the news of $1.5-Trillion price tag, w tax increases "on the rich" to pay for it all. - Hosted by RIA Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Are markets so exuberant that all caution has been thrown to the wind? Even physicians are asking Lance when the bubble's going to burst as they're removing his stitches. And investment houses are double, triple, even quadruple-pledging assets as leverage. Back in the day, we called that cheating. These days, it's "re-hypothecation." - Hosted by Lance Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ --- -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Investing #FinancialAdvisor
SEG-1: How We Get Policy; The Fed's View on Employment SEG-2: Market Exuberance & Hypothecation SEG-3: Retirement Roulette & Why Crashes Matter SEG-4: Setting Expectations for Managing Risk -------- Hosted by Lance Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-you-playing-roulette-with-your-retirement/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/4416178232758/WN_CGqIawZISGO3kP0QaYeaXg -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/22/21) What should you be investing in now? What about the NASDAQ? Companies like Palantir, Pinterest, and Etsy are still under pricing pressure. Still very strong money flows, and close to MACD triggering. NASDAQ sell-signals look much the same as in the S&P 500. Expectations for correction later this summer, as economic and earnings growth peaks. If money comes out of S&P--where will it go? Back into growth stocks and companies that can actually generate earnings growth in a period of higher inflation and higher taxes. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Texas Bluebonnets & Markets' No Safe Place SEG-2: Market Pullbacks and Crying in the Corner SEG-3: The Downside of Stimmie Checks; No Free Lunch SEG-4: When Cash-producing Assets Go Wrong -------- Hosted by Lance Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-you-playing-roulette-with-your-retirement/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/4416178232758/WN_CGqIawZISGO3kP0QaYeaXg -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/21/21) Market Sell-off, as predicted; Money Flow Sell-signal fully-triggered. Money flows are still positive, suggesting a limited correction. Shorting the market now may be premature. More pressure on prices coming, with a lot of gyration, rotation, and money moving around. Downside risk is to previous breakout high, 4,000-ish on S&P 500. MACD signal could be about to turnover, suggesting longer selling period duration. Stronger inflationary pressures are begining emerge; pay attention to risk exposure. Current consolidation process may last for another week. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-bofa-right-about-a-market-drop-to-3800/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Bank of America is predicting the S&P 500 will end 2021 at the 3,800 level--a significant drop from this month's stratospheric levels, with stock buy-backs and insider sales at record levels as well. Earnings growth also at peak levels, and individual investor are all-in. B of A's numbers are "Priced for Perfection--" meaning, no provision for anything to "go wrong." A drop to 3,800 would equate to a +9% slide from this week's levels. - Hosted by Lance Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist _________ Articles Mentioned in this show: ➢ Technically Speaking: Is BofA Right About A Market Drop To 3800? _________ ➢ RIA Newsletter: Subscribe to our free newsletter for market updates, analysis, financial tools and more: ➢ Podcast: The Real Investment Show: Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ RIA Pro: 30 Day Free Trial: Sign up for in-depth analysis, research, portfolio models, and more: ➢ Youtube: Subscribe to our Channel for new content every day: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow _________ ➢ Financial + Tax Planning Survival Guides (Free Download): Your must-have finance and tax planning strategies in unprecedented times: _________ Upcoming Events: ➢ (4/22/21 12pm) Virtual Lunch & Learn: What Boomers Need to Know About Social Security This is a FREE event that takes place over ZOOM. Register here: _________ GET IN TOUCH: Visit our Site: Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN SOCIALS: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #LanceRoberts #TheRealInvestmentShow #FinancialAdvisor
SEG-1: Tesla Crash & Taking Profits SEG-2: Is B of A Right About a Market Drop? SEG-3: The Nature of Averages & Fibonacci Sequences SEG-4: When Markets are "Priced for Perfection" -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-bofa-right-about-a-market-drop-to-3800/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/4416178232758/WN_CGqIawZISGO3kP0QaYeaXg -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/20/21) "Market Seeks a Bounce Back After Yesterday's Biggest Sell-off in a Month!" Buying Stampede has powered market advances over past month, making that sell-off barely perceptible. Money Flow indicator will trigger today, as money flows remain positive: Be aware of risk, but not overly aggressive about reducing exposure. Downside remains limited; weekly money flow Buy signal remains intact. Watch for consolidation as market works off extreme overbought condition. Reference our Four Rules for Reducing Risk in Portfolios. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-bofa-right-about-a-market-drop-to-3800/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: How Long Can Market Exuberance Last? SEG-2: Soaring Sentiment: Debt not the Cure--it's the Cause SEG-3: Deli's, Dogecoin, & Companies w No Profits SEG-4: Exuberance, Greed, & Teenaged Day Traders -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/there-is-no-way-this-bull-market-doesnt-end-very-badly/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/4416178232758/WN_CGqIawZISGO3kP0QaYeaXg -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/19/21) We're in the midst of a long-running buying stampede (most last 10- to 14-days, and we're well beyond that!) What generally follow is a selling stampede. Money flows are now at all-time highs, placing markets near the Correction Zone. With over-bought markets, it's prudent to work around the edges--it's a game of inches now, and a good time to think about reducing risk. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-continues-its-rally-as-earnings-season-starts-04-16-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Market Commentary: Where Does All the Liquidity Go? SEG-2: Cryptocurrency is Here to Stay; Being All-In? SEG-3: Being Aware of Financial Vulnerability SEG-4: Planning & Re-planning for Retirement -------- Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/4416178232758/WN_CGqIawZISGO3kP0QaYeaXg -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/16/21) Tax Filing dates have been moved later by a month for most of the country, and even more for the states of Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Texas, thanks to the winter storm, Uri. Changes are afoot in 401-k's, including later RMD ages, and requirements for auto-enrollment; more to come. A bi-partisan group is being formed to look at the Social Security and Medicare trusts. - RIA's Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Retirement: Qualitative vs Quantitative SEG-2: Dealing with Inflation in Retirement SEG-3: Jerome Powell: Sell vs Taper? SEG-4: Target Date Funds; Crypto currency & CoinBase -------- Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w/Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-making-the-complex-simple-part-2/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/4416178232758/WN_CGqIawZISGO3kP0QaYeaXg -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this podcast on YouTube: Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz are always talking about "Fed Grammar," as they monthly parse the pontifications of Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell, and his Fed Governors. Michael explains what they DIDN'T teach him as he was earning his CFA ticket, and why verbs and adjectives, as uttered by the Federal Reserve, are vital to investors. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/zen-and-the-art-of-risk-management/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
SEG-1: What's Driving Inflation vs. Deflationary Pressure SEG-2: Coinbase IPO & The Race to the Bottom SEG-3: NFIB Report Review: Economic Exuberance vs Reality SEG-4: Economic Reports; Congress' Access to Information -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/payment-for-order-flow-the-fleecing-of-the-retail-investor/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-making-the-complex-simple-part-2/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn: https://zoom.us/webinar/register/4416178232758/WN_CGqIawZISGO3kP0QaYeaXg -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/14/21) Markets' advance ahead of Earnings Season for strongest gains in recent memory; money flow signals, however, are back to over-bought levels, in a catch up rotation; value trade rotation appears to be over, as money flows back into stocks that have a reliability of earnings growth in a weaker economic environment. Rising interest rates and a stronger dollar are not good news for emerging markets. Possible to see another corrective move over the next couple of weeks - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-end-of-the-value-trade-near/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
The next round of corporate earnings reports are set to begin later this month. The issue of how to tell companies' fiscal story to attract would-be investors, while placating regulators is an age-old war of ying and yang, made a little more confusing by the allowance of Performa Earnings vs GAP Earnings methodologies. Lance's tracking of the numbers sheds an interesting light on what we may see in a few weeks, and posits the question of whether the prices we're being asked to pay is really worth it. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Investing #FinancialAdvisor
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/13/21) 2021 Earnings Estimates are now being pegged at $158/share--an astounding recovery from the end of 2020's 4th Quarter, where earnings were in the $90-range...but that's lower than the projected earnings estimate at the beginning of 2020. We're paying more per value than the actual earnings would justify! Expectation are exceptionally high at a time of peak pricing. Changes to estimates and outlooks have a lot of impact. CPI is expected to be strong, which could alter Fed plans for QE tapering, and a rise in interest rates: That will have an impact on economic growth. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fundamentally-speaking-earnings-optimism-explodes/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/12/21) Markets weaker following Jerome Powell's comments on the Sunday talk shows; now are extremely over-bought. Investors now have the highest asset allocation to equities since the Dot Com Crisis. Money flow indicators have been extremely positive following portfolio rebalancing at the end of March, leading to "re-investment" process for the past two weeks, which is now showing weakness. Money Flow indicators are back up to previous highs, typically leading to consolidation in the markets. We're now in the prelude to the next round of earnings reporting; watch Dollar for next buying signal, and interest rates as they begin to fall. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-surges-back-to-overbought-as-investors-go-all-in-04-10-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Coffee Infrastructure, Chucky-Cheese Birthdays, & Post-Pandemic Planning SEG-2: Looking at Retirement Through a Different Lens SEG-3: Working at Buc-cee's; Why Dave Ramsey is Wrong SEG-4: Working Post-pandemic -------- Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-post-pandemic-retirement-survival-guide-part-1/ https://youtu.be/rMBdk576JL8 (This is the Randy Lemmon "Revive Your Garden" webinar) https://www.ramseysolutions.com/retirement/401k-vs-pension-for-retirement (This is the article we critique in today's show) -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
This is a companion segment to the article(s) written by Michael Lebowitz (see link below); despite what the government wonks tell us about "no inflation," a quick visit to the grocery store or the gas station refutes that narrative. The real source of inflation is the devaluation of the Dollar, which requires more money to purchase goods. What what happens when money takes on an "expiration date," as the Chinese are considering imposing on their digital Yuan? - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
SEG-1: Raising Taxes to Pay for Spending...Riiight SEG-2: The Indirect Bailout of Banks SEG-3: Inflation: Making the Complex Simple SEG-4: Earnings Growth Estimates vs Reality -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-making-the-complex-simple-part-1/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/8/21) Money Flow buy-signals occurring at the 50-yard line with a 30-yard pass, as markets get back into an over-bought condition. MACD Signals are also turning positive; the upside is becoming limited. No surprise to us to see a correction process beginning soon. Consolidation is likely, and Summer will likely bring deeper, 5% corrections. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Corporations are being excoriated for their use/abuse of tax law to avoid paying taxes, even as the Biden Administration is making overt plans to raise the corporate income tax to 38%. The problem is not with taxes or rates, but with the tax code itself, which enables the largest companies to pay little or nothing. The reality of taxes--and higher taxes--is that they impede economic growth, and accelerate inflation--which will be the death-knell of Modern Monetary Theory. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Investing #FinancialAdvisor
SEG-1: The Two Ways to Remedy Over-Valuation SEG-2: Corporate Tax Myths SEG-3: Higher Market Valuations Lead to Lower Earnings SEG-4: Debt is a Cancer on Economic Growth -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/inflation-making-the-complex-simple-part-1/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/7/21) From a weekly perspective, markets have remained on a bullish uptrend since the lows of March; money flow indicators are positive on a weekly basis, suggesting more upward bias in the short term. However, what's concerning is the extension between the 50- and 200-week moving average, that are really extended now. Big deviations tend to lead to short-term corrections in the market. We're looking for more of a correction in the Summer; over-bought conditions are at levels indicating prime time for a catalyst for correction. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
What is the likely, long-term outcome for investors whose source of information is limited to Tik-Tok, YouTube videos, and Twitter chatter? How do you construct a reasonable investing thesis when you've never experienced a true Bear Market? Have markets become the equivalent of multi-level marketing (think, Amway) schemes? Expectations for markets, 11-years into the Bull Market, are still incredibly high. Investors are chasing companies that have no fundamental value, yet whose stocks continue to climb. A rising tide lifts all boats...but what happens when the tide goes out?? - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-despite-correction-investors-are-exuberant/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Investing #FinancialAdvisor
SEG-1: The Thing About All-time Record Highs SEG-2: Two Ways to Make Employment Numbers Look Better SEG-3: The Know-nothing Market SEG-4: Investing During a Period of High-valuations -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-despite-correction-investors-are-exuberant/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/increasing-equity-exposure-as-money-flows-turn-positive-04-02-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/6/21) It's all playing out, according to plan: Money Flows have turned very positive, which is not surprising. The rally of the past few days was expected, but don't be surprised if we get a bit of a correction in the aftermath; nothing indicating much risk to the downside. Despite reflationary trade, a resurgence in tech names and small caps creating a migration to underperforming stocks. Watch dollar uptrend continuing, and what bonds are saying, despite booming jobs report. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Life in Semi-Rural Suburbia; Market Commentary SEG-2: March Employment Report Review SEG-3: Why We're Increasing Equity Exposure SEG-4: The Blind Leading the Blind -------- RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/survey-of-retail-investors-shows-the-blind-lead-the-blind/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/increasing-equity-exposure-as-money-flows-turn-positive-04-02-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-investors-desktop-guide-to-trading-part-i/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/5/21) Why we increased exposure to markets leading up to the first trading week of April: The Barbell Approach. Consolidation patterns enabled participation in The Great Re-opening, but hedging against things not working out as well as we expect. Two buy signals confirming markets' direction--first level of support ready to be tested. Money flow buy signals triggered at higher than normal level, which could prove to be shorter than usual; the real risk of bigger correction coming in the Summer. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: The Market is Rigged: Who Pays the Price? SEG-2: Coming Tax Increases No One is Talking About SEG-3: Royer's Pie Haven; Everything Feeds the Beast SEG-4: Bulls are Bulls Because They Have Something to Sell -------- RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
[NOTE: Watch the video version of this podcast on our YouTube channel, ] The process of investing is more than hitting the "buy" button. Too few investors pay enough attention to the potential risks, blinded by the promise of exorbitant returns. While it's important to make the most of Bull markets, it is equally vital to avoid losses that can come with Bear market cycles. Michael Lebowitz explains how he achieves his "zen" balance between the two... - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Investing #FinancialAdvisor
SEG-1: The Folly of Infrastructure Spending; Market Summary SEG-2: Fed Grammar Matters; What is the Market Priced For? SEG-3: Investing & Managing Money in a High-risk Environment SEG-4: What is Fair Value? -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/zen-and-the-art-of-risk-management/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (4/1/21) Upward bias for the strongest month of the year: Consolidation or Correction? Money flow signals are turning more positive; how much more is the question. Higher interest rates and more inflation will limit market upside. Over-sold Growth stocks in NASDAQ under much pressure; expectations are for rotation from S&P reflation back into NASDAQ growth stocks with higher prices. The one thing to watch: Dollar strengthening corresponding with economic growth. International and Emerging Markets will be impacted; suggest moving into more domestic holdings over the summer. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Fiction vs Real Life, Building Better Back (or Bust) SEG-2: The Impact of Infrastructure Spending: Stiglitz vs Summers SEG-3: Who Really Pays for Infrastructure Spending? SEG-4: Burrito Day, Voltzwagen, Chipto-currency, & Taxes in Retirement -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/zen-and-the-art-of-risk-management/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (3/31/21) Our Quarterly Market Review, charted weekly: Where are the best Buy-signals set up for the next quarter? S&P money flows are close to positive; NASDAQ money flows remain negative, creating a better, possible buying opportunity. Small Caps are possible considerations, especially if/when rates rise; Mid Caps have not corrected as much. 10Yr Treasury's are pushing up towards important 1.9% ceiling. There is plenty of upside for the Dollar in a reflation trade scenario. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
It is a truism that in every economy there will be rich, poor, and a lot of people in between. It's fact of economics; not EVERYONE can all be wealthy. That's an utopia, and utopias (aka socialistic economies) always devolve to the lowest common denominator. In this episode we explore the fiscal theories the current administration wishes to advance while ignoring past mistakes. Lance reviews the data and reveals why the most recent--and the expected additional stimulus will not solve the problem of poverty in America. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-run-as-liquidity-floods-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
SEG-1: The Paradox of Thrift vs Stimulus SEG-2: Why Stimulus Won't Cure Poverty SEG-3: Technically Speaking: Where's All the Money Going? SEG-4: Why Biden Infrastructure Spending Creates Bad Debt -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-bulls-run-as-liquidity-floods-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (3/30/21) Money flows turn positive in the S&P as we approach the terminus of quarter-end porfolio rebalancing; MACD also ready to turn positive. However, NASDAQ money flow signals are not yet ready to turn positive. A "catch-up trade" is likely to be seen here in the next month. Russell Small- and Mid-caps are still trending negatively, with money flows remaining negative. These areas will be hit hardest by a strengthening dollar. This will be key in the reflation trade in Small- and Mid-caps. As larger companies become somewhat beaten down in April, opportunities may arise for profitable investing. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Preview Biden Stimulus Plan; Market Commentary: Volatility SEG-2: An Omen for America: "If I Were the Devil" SEG-3: Debt is a Tool of the Devil SEG-4: A History of Fiscal & Financial Calamity -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (3/29/21) Friday's Market surge being attributed to margin call liquidation by a major hedge fund; markets remain on Sell-indicators. Weekly money flows remain positive; sharp rise in asset prices, combined with sharp decline in bond prices, tilting pension fund portfolios out of balance. As April arrives, expectations are for more buying pressure as pension funds take on new positions for Q-2. We're still anticipating a decline of as much as 10% later in the summer, as expectations for stronger economic growth fail to materialize. There are now opportunities to increase exposure (energy, financials); the risks are in huge deviations from long term means. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Market Summary & Preview: Tax Changes, Insurance Needs SEG-2: Estate Tax Changes Require Better Planning SEG-3: Suze Orman: Joint vs Separate Checking Accounts SEG-4: How COVID Affected Retirement Plans -------- - Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (3/26/21) As predicted, Democrats are on track to hike taxes, lower effective thresholds, and make others' pay for their progressive policies. Under Vermont (D) Sen. Bernie Sanders' proposal, Estate Taxes jump from 40% to 45%, and for even more wealthy Americans, up to 65%--levels even higher than proposed by Joe Biden. Corporate takes take a hike, too, under Bernie's bill, jumping from 21% to 35%. - RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Why do the Markets love the Federal Reserve? They're the friendliest banker in town for the Treasury Dept. The Fed's job as cheerleader for the markets to provide confidence to investors that all is well. The pandemic was an economic crisis, not a financial one. That's why it's important to parse every word the Fed utters...verbs, adjectives...they all count. #FedGrammarMatters - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/what-interest-rate-triggers-the-next-crisis/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/willful-blindness-societal-rift-death-of-the-dollar/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
SEG-1: "Positive" Economic Indicators vs Labor Market Reality SEG-2: What Does the Fed Sell? (Confidence) SEG-3: The Biggest Problem with Our Economy: Debt (and how we use it) SEG-4: Advice for Investing in Inflationary Times -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/what-interest-rate-triggers-the-next-crisis/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/willful-blindness-societal-rift-death-of-the-dollar/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow (3/25/21) Negative money flows suggest pressure on prices; stock buy-backs hitting an all-time record. Weekly charts tell a slightly different story on money flows, remaining positive, despite weekly Sell-signal solidly in place; keeps markets within a consolidation pattern. Why we added TLT to our portfolio; bonds are on a money flow buy signal as pension funds begin EOM & EOQ rebalancing process. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-end-of-the-value-trade-near/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Lance reveals his success at delivering a labor-saving device as a valentine for his bride; would you get a COVID Vaccine if it included a free Krispy Kreme donut? A pack of Marlboros?? Lance and Danny discuss the importance of good health in retirement, and the financial consequences of poor health choices (WARNING: Don't try the Roomba Vacuum idea at home; we are trained professionals!) - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
SEG-1: Market Commentary: What Happens When Taxes Rise SEG-2: More Vacation Saga's; Where's the Stimmie Checks?? SEG-3: Vacuum Cleaner Valentines, Flesh-eating Robots, Health in Retirement SEG-4: Shopping for Furniture & Investing in Context of Stimulus -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-end-of-the-value-trade-near/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/24/21) Markets trigger Money-flow Sell-signals: What we did in preparation. Weakness in certain areas setting in as rotation out of Value Stocks emerges. Small Caps' brutal day following existing pressure; money flows continue to disentigrate. Emerging Markets & Dollar Strength suggest more down-side ahead. International Stocks sitting on 50-DMA, and about to trigger sell-signals. Strengthening Dollar could line up with rotation of money coming into Fixed Income as portfolio managers execute rebalancing strategies, approaching the end of Q1. What happens when 10-Yr Treasury's trigger "buy" signal as markets trigger "sell" signals? - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-end-of-the-value-trade-near/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
When the Fed lowered rates to entice more money into the markets (ostensibly to foster greater confidence in the economy), the unintended consequence was a loss of earnings potential for investors dependent upon rates that would generate income. Lowering rates did what the Fed wanted--removed options for investors, and forcing them into riskier market investments. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-end-of-the-value-trade-near/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
SEG-1: Market Commentary: Two Conditions for MMT to Work SEG-2: Technical Disclaimer; The Devastation of Debt SEG-3: How the Fed Forces Investors to Take on More Risk SEG-4: Who Really Benefits from Government Spending? -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-the-end-of-the-value-trade-near/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-has-forced-investors-to-take-on-excess-risk/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
In answer to a query from a listener, Lance addresses the pro's and con's of private equity investing, and the folly of ignoring risks while chasing returns; just because someone's an accredited investor does not necessarily mean they make the most prudent decisions. Rules changes that began under the Obama administration have made it easier for investors to entertain private equity opportunities, but few really understand all the risk: 80% of companies fail within the first year--taking with them their private equity investors. If it's too good to be true, it probably is. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
Never a dull moment on a Lance Roberts Family Vacation: Here is The Most-Anticipated podcast of the year--what happened THIS time during the 2021 Spring Break: Traveling travails, rental cars, and airline snafus; oh, and our studio flooded while we were away! - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/22/21) Back from vacation: Money flows remain weak, as markets continue sideways consolidation; no crash expected--money is not flowing into stocks as rapidly to lift prices higher. Markets holding support at 20- and 50-DMA; what leads to market corrections is when money flows turn negative. Two key things to be watching: The Dollar and Interest Rates; it's not the increase of rates that's important--it's the rate of change that matters. Higher interest rates will also affect the Dollar (UUP). - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
NOTE: This is an Encore Presentation of show segments previously broadcast: SEG-1: The Pandemic Panic (2/26/21) SEG-2: Are You Saving in All the Wrong Places? (3/5/21) SEG-3: Why Companies are in Constant Recession (2/12/21) SEG-4: Liquidity in Retirement (2/26/21) -------- Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, with Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: This is an Encore Presentation of show segments previously broadcast SEG-1: Blowing up the Everything Bubble (2/23/21) SEG-2: Now That You're Vaccinated (2/23/21) SEG-3: Why Stimulus Spending is Creating Inflation (2/26/21) SEG-4: Are You Really Getting Your Money's Worth? (2/9/21) Market Commentary and Analysis by Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-blowing-up-the-everything-bubble/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
SEG-1: What Will Post-pandemic "Normal" Look Like? SEG-2: CB Radios & Social Media; Post-pandemic Behaviors SEG-3: How to Achieve Retirement Nirvana SEG-4: Rethinking Retirement in Post-pandemic World -------- - Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/12/21) President Biden signed into law this week the latest, $1.9-Trillion relief package which, along with all the pork, will provide tax relief as well as cash to "lower income" Americans. RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, paid a virtual visit to Houston KRIV-TV/FOX-26 to share details of the stimulus package, and how they may affect you. - RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
More stimulus?? Woo-hoo! But what happens when interest rates begin their inevitable rise, impacting the debt that's behind all those stimmie checks? And is there a limit to how much debt the Fed can buy? - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
SEG-1: Investor Optimism over Coming Economic Growth(!) SEG-2: The Cost of Debt SEG-3: The Economy's Achille's Heel SEG-4: The Fed Trap of Benchmarks -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-time-to-do-the-twist-again/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/11/21) Market consolidation of gains, while money flows remain negative, restricting pricing; money-flow buy-signal is in place, as markets surpass 50-DMA and 20-DMA; no resistance ahead of all-time high-water mark, which will be challenged today. NASDAQ is in a different position, with money-flows positive, testing resistance at 50- and 20-DMA. Question now is Value vs Growth alternatives. Earnings growth will potentially peak in Q2 & Q3 as economy slows following exhaustion of stimulus payment benefits. Russell 2000 as proxy for small- mid-cap sector rotation; these stocks are well-ahead of any economic growth we may actually see this year--most of which is coming from temporary economic stimulus. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Everyone has different priorities, and spends their money in different ways. Lance and Danny discuss poverty lines, what it takes to raise a family, and how some manage to foot the cost of taking everyone to Disney each year. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
SEG-1: The "Most-Reformative" Spending Package Since The New Deal? SEG-2: Throwing Bad Money (Debt) After Bad [VIDEO MALFUNCTION] SEG-3: Baby Boomers in the New, New Normal SEG-4: Going to Disney (How do they do it??) -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/10/21) Tuesday's one-day rally may have triggered a money-flow buy-signal, suggesting the possibility of an upward bias in prices. But MACD signal has not yet turned upward; buy signals can last for multiple weeks. What could limit upside in markets for the short term? Higher interest rates impact discount rate of earnings and valuations in stocks; this ties in with higher inflation, which reduces corporate profitability. Higher rates and higher inflation are anticipated, given the additional injections of stimulus. The S&P us holding support at the 50-DMA; consolidation over the next several weeks is still a possibility. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
NOTE: This is an Encore Presentation of show segments previously broadcast SEG-1: Inflation: Expectations vs Reality (2/25/21) SEG-2: Jobs Numbers: BLS vs Jerome Powell? (2/11/21) SEG-3: The Fed's Two Elephants in the Room (3/4/21) SEG-4: Will Operation Twist Get Another Turn? (3/4/21) -------- Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, with Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
The late Tom Clancy has a new political thriller release coming soon (how does he do that?) and there are theories as to how long President Joe Biden will remain in that role with VP Harris waiting in the wings w a copy of the 25th Amendment at the ready. The United States was recently described in a poll by The Economist has being a "flawed democracy. Where do these notions come from? Who's pulling the strings behind the scenes, and what does it portend for you?? - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
SEG-1: The Bull Market is on Shaky Ground SEG-2: Conspiracies, Flawed Democracies, and Socialist Policies SEG-3: The Correct Correction in the Market SEG-4: The Wealth of Nations -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-the-bull-market-is-on-shaky-ground/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/9/21) Markets poised higher after Monday's late-afternoon sell-off: While growth stocks have been selling, underlying value stocks have been rallying. Internal rotation creating turmoil within portfolios, but helping maintain support along 50-DMA. Money Flow sell-signal weighing on market; close to bottoming now, and turning upward along with MACD signal. Is run-up in interest rates over? Markets and consumers cannot handle too much of a bump in rates. Watch NASDAQ for rotation from Value back into Growth. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
NOTE: This is an Encore Presentation of show segments previously broadcast SEG-1: Are we In the Biggest Bubble Ever? (2/10/21) SEG-2: Experience is the Best Teacher (3/3/21) SEG-3: Debt, Deficits, & Hyperinflation(3/8/21) SEG-4: When Speculation Gets Out of Control: Options Trading (3/3/21) -------- Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, with Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-blowing-up-the-everything-bubble/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
A review of history is helpful to understand what it happening now in the United States, as Congress approves an unprecedented $1.9-Trillion in stimulus spending from money we don't have for a pork fest of projects we don't really need. One need only to look at Weimar Germany for a harrowing glimpse of what is to come economically, if our government remains on this course. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
SEG-1: Stimmie Checks Explainer: Market Response SEG-2: Unprecedented Spending: The Challenge of Confidence SEG-3: Debt, Deficits, & Hyperinflation SEG-4: Great Expectations: What Really Happens to Stimulus -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-investors-are-long-confidence-and-short-experience/ -------- Register for the next Candid Coffee: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/8951325785758668555?source=YouTube -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/8/21) Rough Monday opening following Senate's weekend passage of next stimulus bill; interest rates on the rise with additional liquidity set to hit the market. Money flow indicators are extremely over-sold; consolidation remaining above 50-DMA; Reflexive rebalancing of risk would not be surprising; Enery & Financials are extremely overbought; Technicals extremely over-sold; short-term reversal very possible at this point. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
NOTE: This is an Encore Presentation of show segments previously broadcast SEG-1: Janet Yellen--Go Big (2/8/21) SEG-2: Pricing-in Hope: When Expectations Exceed Capacity (1/25/21) SEG-3: After the Sugar Rush (3/1/21) SEG-4: The Japanification of the US (2/1/21) -------- - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles Mentioned in this Episode: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/worried-about-taxes-consider-these-ideas/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/financial_survival/tax-planning-guide/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
SEG-1: A Good Economy is not Good for the Stock Market SEG-2: Are You Saving in All The Wrong Places? SEG-3: Taxable vs non-Taxable: The Perfect Mix SEG-4: YouTube Q&A, Collectibles, & Lance's Charts -------- - Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/outliers-four-ways-they-can-change-our-lives-part-2/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/5/21) Markets set for a positive start, entering 3rd month of continuing declines; Fed Chair Jerome Powell seems to be okay with rising rates, and thinks he has inflation under control; Market performance today will depend upon latest Jobs Report: Good news is bad news, and bad news is good news for the economy. In this context, are you putting your money in the right places? - Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Despite what some might think, the stock market is not necessarily the heartbeat of the economy--the bond market is. Credit is a necessity for doing business, so when bond traders start to get nervous, and overnight rates turn negative, that's cause for pause. The risk of the Fed absorbing too much of the bond market is what keeps serious students of the economy up at night. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-plinko-the-best-the-fed-can-do/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Investing
SEG-1: All Eyes Are on The Fed SEG-2: The "Operation Twist" Trial Balloon SEG-3: The Fed's Two Elephants in the Room SEG-4: Economic Recovery? This Ain't 2011 -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Articles Mentioned in this show: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-plinko-the-best-the-fed-can-do/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/outliers-four-ways-they-can-change-our-lives-part-2/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/4/21) Will the Fed re-play another "Operation Twist," with interest rates inching upward and stocks sliding downward? Money flow sell-signals in place for past three-weeks, with markets going nowhere. Markets held support at 50-DMA after peaking February 15; compare with performance last fall when money flows peaked and went negative. Very likely now to see a short-term rally; will be a good opportunity to lighten risk exposure and rebalance, as rates and inflationary pressures build and weigh on market performance. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
How do you know markets are near their peak? One clue is the huge amount of speculative buying that's going on...and anything and everything becomes an "investment," like art work, or this year's ingénue, NFT's (non-fungible tokens). There is a speculative fervor for new assets, and even recently-banned Dr. Seuss volumes can suddenly explode in "value" exponentially. (We're already compiling Lance's charts for resale when he kicks the bucket!) - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Will We See Surge in Pent-up Demand? SEG-2: Investing at The Peak SEG-3: Investor Experience Survey Review SEG-4: When Speculation Gets Out of Control: Options Trading -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- G et more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/3/21) A sure sign markets are nearing their peak is the number of neophyte investors pouring money into the market; Google searches for terms including "Daytrading," Options Strategies," "Swingtrading," and "Trading Strategy" show marked increases, as the rise of the retail trader continues. Younger investors are taking more risk with margin loans, funded by government stimulus checks, based on investing advice from online sources. This will not end well. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
You know you're at or near the peak of the market when you're seeing bandit-signs for daytrader training, and couples record videos on Tik-Tok extolling their investment "strategy." Younger, inexperienced investors, who've never been through a bear market, rely upon, 'Yeah, but the Fed...' What goes up, always comes down, and if you're up 400%, but lose 100%, you've lost it all. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-topping-patterns-popping-up-everywhere/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Head, Shoulders, Knees, & Toes SEG-2: Viruses, Vaccines, and Getting Back to Work SEG-3: What's So Special About SPAC's? SEG-4: Tik-Tok Investing: What Could Possibly Go Wrong? -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-topping-patterns-popping-up-everywhere/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/2/21) After the surge--what's next? S&P surpassed resistance at 20-DMA; the only thing in its way is the previous high. Early formation now of head-and-shoulders pattern; weakness in market conforming to money flow sell-signal; signals tend to last only about a month. Continue to watch interest rates; potential for rates to rise w more stimulus, which could undermine markets. NASDAQ similarly forming head/shoulders pattern, but is weaker than other markets. Money flows remain negative, but improvement in stability and prices will result in a turning to a buy signal within next few days. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
The biggest problem with stimulus programs is their temporary status, which does little to inspire confidence--in workers or employers. Could continuing "stimmie checks" be a new form of welfare, a la Universal Basic Income? The problem with higher minimum wage is it either makes low-income workers unemployable, or forces businesses to automate basic functions. The Change Test--try it next time you order fast food... - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ https://squareup.com/us/en/press/future-of-commerce-2021 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
SEG-1: A New Month, a New Vaccine SEG-2: Stimulus Expectations vs Impact in Economy SEG-3: The Stimulus Sugar Rush SEG-4: Stimulus, Capitalism, Socialism, & MMT -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-monthly-valuation-analysis-review-02-28-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/despite-the-fed-the-bond-market-is-hiking-rates-02-26-21/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (3/1/21) Our monthly review shows a pattern of positive performance at the start, decaying to market failures by month's end; opportunity for rebalancing will come when markets rally. Markets need to set new highs, but there are negative concerns, as money flows are in decline. Watch 10-year rates for clues as discounts to equities. Bigger negative concerns as weekly money flows set up for sell signals in conjunction with a market correction. Downward pressure on prices can cap any gains markets achieve. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-monthly-valuation-analysis-review-02-28-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/despite-the-fed-the-bond-market-is-hiking-rates-02-26-21/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: The Pandemic Panic SEG-2: What's 'Back to Normal?' SEG-3: Outliers, Black Swans, & Bonds SEG-4: Liquidity in Retirement -------- - Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/outliers-four-ways-they-can-change-our-lives-part-1/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/26/21) As rates begin to climb, are markets revving-up for taper-tantrum 3.0? TINA--There Is No Alternative? Examine your durations before deciding to hold or sell. - RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell this week let it slip that the Fed is not happy with the results of previous rounds of quantitative easing, and will instead alter the parameters by which the body determines what is or isn't inflation and employment. It's a little...no, it's a LOT like changing the rules in the middle of a game if the outcome doesn't look promising for your team. Example: The Fed has decided to ignore the data in M-2 money supply. Historic data suggests nothing the Fed has ever done has benefitted the economy. So who's Powell & The Fed really working for?? - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-is-juicing-stocks/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-go-crazy-drive-the-bear-out-of-hibernation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Expectations vs Reality of Inflation SEG-2: A History of Interest Rates and QE SEG-3: Changing the Rules & Moving the Goal Posts SEG-4: Relative Value vs Real Value -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-is-juicing-stocks/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-go-crazy-drive-the-bear-out-of-hibernation/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-blowing-up-the-everything-bubble/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/25/21) Money Flow Sell-signals triggered; Powell's QE remarks give markets a lift; interest rates continue to rise, w reversal in bonds, now very over-sold. Watch money flow back into bonds, which aligns with another decline in the markets; upside in S&P may be limited, as confidence in economy recovery is muted because of rising inflationary pressures. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
The argument over "free" trades--and their consequences--rages on, as Public.com launches a clever ad campaign, featuring balladeer Michael Bolton, with pointed jabs at Robinhood. The ugly truth of Wall Street's real purpose (to make money for Wall St., not YOU) is further exposed here. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-go-crazy-drive-the-bear-out-of-hibernation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Market Sell-off on Interest Rate Fears (poor audio) SEG-2: Free Isn't Free: Robinhood vs Public.com SEG-3: Fat Content in Latest Stimulus Bill SEG-4: Taxing Income from Working Remotely -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-go-crazy-drive-the-bear-out-of-hibernation/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-blowing-up-the-everything-bubble/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/24/21) Market sell-off continues, until Jerome Powell "saves the day" with promise of more QE; NASDQ rallies to hold 50-DMA as tech remains under pressure. Money flows turn positive on the rebound. The importance of Money Flow signals; interest rates' major impact on the economy. Powell may not raise rates, but bonds may do it for him. VIX is preparing to turn higher; could trigger another sell-off by March, if not sooner. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
After #Snovid21, the outrageous power bills added insult to injury. Now the questions are who's to blame and how to fix it. There is great opportunity for productive stimulus spending in the wake of the deep freeze, by weatherizing existing power sources, and building more capacity--including the use of clean, efficient Nuclear energy in Texas. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: What Technical Indicators Won't Tell You SEG-2: Being Allowed to Take the Risk SEG-3: What We Learned from the Texas Shutdown SEG-4: Implications of Blowing-up the Everything Bubble -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-blowing-up-the-everything-bubble/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/23/21) Monday's Market Sell-off, primarily in the NASDAQ; rotation out of Technology stocks into Energy & Finance on Reflation Trade ideas; what will Jerome Powell's remarks this week indicate, pertaining to rate caps and yield control? Markets closed right at support on Monday; risk to 50-DMA conceivable at this point; NASDAQ testing support levels today; money flows turn negative; what technicals can't tell you. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Everyone in the Roberts' Household has a job; those who fail to perform at their jobs get fired (the kids' job is to go to school and get good grades; i.e., a good education). Nationally, college entrance exam scores have plummeted from a peak in the 1960's to a ranking in the second quintile (38th) against other industrialized nations. It is no accident Asian students perform better than American's, when percentages of household dollars are examined: Chinese spend 2% on Housing and 25% on Education; the inverse is true in the U.S. Outcome- or Equality-based educational programs will guarantee only that students emerge with educations of the lowest common denominator. This will ensure that America will fall behind other countries competitively. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Back from The Freeze; Positive Market Trends Have Not Changed SEG-2: The Stimulus Story SEG-3: The Importance of Education SEG-4: What Happens When We Get Back to "Normal" -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-only-reason-to-be-bearish-is-no-one-is-bearish/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/22/21) Back from the Texas Deep Freeze! Money Flows Sell-signal now in place; close to lining up with MACD Sell-signal as well; important to watch interest rates--the rate of change over period of time will be most impactful. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Market Commentary: The Push for Stimulus SEG-2: The Impact of Stimulus SEG-3: The Fed's Never-ending Conundrum SEG-4: Are You Really Getting Your Money's Worth? (Here's Your Sign...) Market Commentary and Analysis by Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: Technically Speaking: COT – Dollar & Rates Issue A Warning: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-cot-dollar-rates-issue-a-warning/ ------- ➢ Download our free Financial Planning Survival Guides! Your must-have finance and tax planning strategies in unprecedented times: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/financial-survival-guides/ -------- ➢ Register for the next Right Lane Retirement Planning Webinar! RIA Advisors can make sure you're in the right lane for retirement with tax smart strategies to avoid the risks that would drain your retirement savings. Learn how to protect and grow your investments over time. https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1904270988863418635?source=Real+Investment+Advice+Website -------- ➢ Register for the next Candid Coffee: Financial Bootcamp! What you need to know about money, retirement, risk-management, and how to protect your household against financial vulnerability in a post-COVID world. Register here: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/rt/4035565426791260172?source=YouTube -------- ➢ Subscribe to our Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ Subscribe to our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Sign Up for RIA Pro. Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More. Try Our 30 Day Free Trial: https://riapro.net/home
SEG-1: Are We In the Biggest Bubble Ever? SEG-2: What "Additional Stimulus" Doesn't Mean SEG-3: Speculation is Part of the Game SEG-4: Debt Doesn't Matter...to MMT -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/covid-19-and-womens-finances-4-money-ideas/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
SEG-1: The Undertones of Minimum Wage SEG-2: Fried Chicken Gizzards, Cable TV, and Women's Finances SEG-3: Why Companies Are in "Constant Recession" SEG-4: Cooking for Valentines, and Money Locusts -------- - RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/covid-19-and-womens-finances-4-money-ideas/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the government's Bureau of Labor Statistics are at odds because the BLS appears to be "underreporting" unemployment figures as we begin to emerge from the pandemic. Michael Lebowitz explains the myriad ways the BLS expresses various forms of joblessness...and why the government cannot give a straight answer. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-the-fed-both-tap-on-the-brakes-and-floor-the-gas/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Valentine's Public Service: The Real Unemployment Rate SEG-2: Jerome Powell vs BLS: Unemployment is Really 10% SEG-3: Everyone's Offering SPAC's SEG-4: MMT: Debt Doesn't Matter (Until it does...) -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-the-fed-both-tap-on-the-brakes-and-floor-the-gas/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/covid-19-and-womens-finances-4-money-ideas/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/11/21) Money Flows continue to remain positive, giving short-term support to markets; sloppiness evident with a retest of previous breakout; declination in money flow strength; monthly over-bought conditions at record-levels; markets are setting up for a March correction. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Lance's son, living somewhere in Germany, discovers life dependent upon "green" energy in the winter is not Shangri-La. The bitter truth about the electric-revolution in automobiles is that battery power is not a long-term solution--there's too many ecological land mines associated with battery production: Cobalt mines, slave labor, and strip-mining; Drilling for oil/gas is less ecologically risky than strip-mining; efficiency and reliability in "green" energy is not there. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Are We In the Biggest Bubble Ever? SEG-2: Ecology vs Economy: It Isn't Easy Being Green SEG-3: "Just Get Me In" vs "Just Get Me Out" SEG-4: What Happens When Stimmy Money Goes Away -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-the-fed-both-tap-on-the-brakes-and-floor-the-gas/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/10/21) Are We In the Biggest Bubble Ever? Bubbles exist across all asset classes of the market; the Fed doesn't see it. Number of people hedging against a crash at all-time low; Supply of CCC-rated Bonds at an all-time high. Issuance of speculative SPAC's at all-time high; things you see in bubbles--lots of mania. Tesla surpasses entire O&G Sector in Market Cap. This is something the Fed cannot fix. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Why are we always so careful to shop for the best price on a car, a house, or a new TV, but couldn't care less about over-paying for stocks? With markets more over-valued than ever before, investors should prepare to take losses, if not being persnickety about company valuations. SPAC's are a perfect example of the outrageous extremes to which "investors" will throw their money...when, in fact, it's just another form of speculation. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Market Commentary: The Push for Stimulus SEG-2: The Impact of Stimulus SEG-3: The Fed's Never-ending Conundrum SEG-4: Are You Really Getting Your Money's Worth? (Here's Your Sign...) -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-cot-dollar-rates-issue-a-warning/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/9/21) Markets' Bullishness based on anticipation of (more) stimulus; biggest Federal Deficit since WW-2; then was not like now. 1940'S spending was Productive Debt; that's not the case now. Stimulus will create short-term pick up in economy, boosting GDP & Employment--but does not lead to long-term benefits. Effects of temporary stimulus to be felt in Oil Prices and Interest Rates as inflationary pressures heat up. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
There are speculative manias in all kinds of things--not just the stock market. The siren-song always is, 'this time it's different.' A look back at the technologies that have spawned market bubbles--the railroad, automobiles, the Internet; Wall Street's job is not to protect you in your investments; Wall Street's sole purpose is to sell you product. Where there's a demand, someone's going to figure out a way to supply it and sell it. That's hose businesses make money. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/extraordinary-popular-delusions-the-madness-of-crowds/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-review-bull-mania-the-charge-of-the-light-brigade/ -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Market Commentary: Speculation is Back SEG-2: Janet Yellen's "Go Big" Promise SEG-3: Extraordinary Delusions & Return of Speculation SEG-4: Confirmation Bias & The Problem w Good News -------- - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/extraordinary-popular-delusions-the-madness-of-crowds/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-review-bull-mania-the-charge-of-the-light-brigade/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-wins-again-as-gamestop-becomes-game-over-02-05-21/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-zombies-the-pathway-to-japanification/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). --------- (2/8/21) Removing risk and watching Money Flow signals; as signals evolved, why we added risk last week; near term upwards pressure bias is now suggested by these signals. Resulting correction not deep enough to work off longer-term, over-bought extended conditions in the market; near-term upside will be somewhat limited; longer-term view become more concerning as end of earnings season approaches, and money flows begin to deteriorate; markets are extremely deviated from long-term means; risk remains. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-review-bull-mania-the-charge-of-the-light-brigade/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: The Good Thing About Paying Taxes (You Made Money) SEG-2: Why SPAC's Aren't So Spectacular SEG-3: Rationality vs Euphoria in Investing SEG-4: Joe Biden's Plans for Your Retirement -------- Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-game-stop-fairy-tale-and-its-lesson/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1904270988863418635?source=Real+Investment+Advice+Website -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/5/21) Market shifts from worst to best is all about perception: Unemployment numbers are improved, and there's anticipation of more stimulus, but the devil is in the details. President Biden is proposing changing how 401-k contributions are treated--now a deduction, could be considered as a tax credit. Fixed income investors should pay particular attention to rates vs duration. - RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
The recent dust-up over GameStop, Robinhood, and margin calls affecting Citadel Capital is sure to trigger regulatory kneejerk reactions in Washington--but you can bet they won't benefit the little guy investors. Lance and Michael discuss the questionable connection between Citadel and Treas. Sec'y Janet Yellen, and how Wall Street has essentially become The Mafia. Calls to eliminate short-selling may do more harm than good, as Lance and Michael point out the good that short-sellers do in the process of exposing market manipulations. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Subscribe to our Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Morning Rallies and Afternoon Sell-offs SEG-2: Transitory Inflation & Proper Use of Debt SEG-3: Draftkings, Superbowl, & Stimulus SEG-4: Why Short-sellers Are Needed -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-game-stop-fairy-tale-and-its-lesson/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1904270988863418635?source=Real+Investment+Advice+Website -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/4/21) Market Rallies are opening strong, but selling-off by end of the day; does not bode well for near-term strength; potential impact of Biden Stimulus package; staples companies unable to pass-through to consumers inflationary pressure on pricing, affecting earnings; adding Energy & Financials to portfolio--oversold, and about to get a turn-up; Basic Materials are also very oversold. Interest rates are starting to move up as stimulus works its way through the economy; stocks are way over-valued. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
Look out, you greedy, money-grubbing ultra-rich gazillionaires: Sen. Elizabeth Warren is at it again, proposing a 2% Wealth Tax on fortunes above $50-million. She is also proposing to beef-up the IRS to ward off tax-evasion (why would one need to do that--aren't the rich going to just gladly pony-up??) Lance and Danny discuss the likely outcomes, the folly of raising the minimum wage, and a prediction that like water, the rich will flow to the path of least resistance...moving their filthy riches to areas of the world that aren't as apt to tax them for their success. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
SEG-1: Media Lines Up With Wall St. Against Robinhood & GameStop SEG-2: Speculation is Part of the Game SEG-3: Taxing the Rich SEG-4: Precious Metals, Economic Growth & Function of Price -------- Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-speaking-is-a-larger-correction-coming/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1904270988863418635?source=Real+Investment+Advice+Website -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
NOTE: You can watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel (see link below). (2/3/21) Markets rally above 20-DMA, but a decline in money flows indicates fewer buyers coming to play; short-term and long-term markets are still over-bought; upward price pressure remains, but the number of individual stocks beating the index grows fewer. GameStop is waning, as predicted; watch Amazon, Google, & Bitcoin at the open. - RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance
How do you create real growth in the economy? Certainly not by passing out stimulus checks to everyone--not everyone needs them, so there's THAT waste. True economic growth is organic and sustainable--it doesn't evaporate when government checks stop coming. The recent attack on the oil industry will prove to be counter-productive, as O&G companies generate multiples of economic benefits. - Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: -------- Get more info & commentary: -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Money #Finance