Hurricane Season: The Podcast: Recent Episodes
Mark Sudduth
From Mark Sudduth and HurricaneTrack.com comes a daily short-podcast that keeps you up to date during the Atlantic hurricane season.
Will the quiet pattern across the Atlantic Basin last throughout the remainder of October? It seems possible but the GFS model may have something to say about that.
Meanwhile, another system is developing in the eastern Pacific with impacts coming up for southern Mexico early next week.
I'll take a look at everything in more detail during my video discussion via YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
While the Atlantic remains quiet for now, there are some signs in the longer range guidance that things will eventually change as we head towards the end of the month. In the meantime, we will watch an area of interest in the eastern Pacific for the potential for further development as it moves generally towards Mexico over the coming days.
Thank for listening!
This is my first video podcast to Anchor/Spotify!
In today's update, I take a look at some of the reasons why things have been so slow in the Atlantic in recent weeks.
Also, another potential hurricane could develop in the eastern Pacific and be a threat to Mexico early next week.
Plus - welcome rain coming for drought-stricken California over the next several days as a series of storms roll in off the Pacific.
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All is quiet across the Atlantic Basin for now as we watch the southeast Pacific for yet another potential hurricane to develop over the coming days.
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Nice and quiet for a change across the entire Atlantic Basin as we start out the week.
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Watching a couple of areas in the Atlantic but no major concerns seen for the next several days.
Meanwhile, hurricane Pamela will make landfall near Mazatlan, Mexico tomorrow and I will be there covering it in person beginning later today.
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Keeping watch over a few areas of interest in the Atlantic while also tracking what is expected to become major hurricane Pamela in the east Pacific.
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Not much to be concerned with across the Atlantic Basin as we wrap up the weekend but a new depression in the eastern Pacific will become a hurricane and impact Mexico later in the coming week.
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Keeping watch over invest area 92L off the North Carolina coast - otherwise the Atlantic Basin is nice and quiet this weekend.
In the eastern Pacific, a new tropical storm is likely to form this weekend from invest area 91E and eventually looks to impact Mexico around mid-week next week. I'll cover all of this and more during my video discussion later today via YouTube.
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Watching a complex storm system off the Carolinas over the coming days for possible development but nothing too impactful is expected from it. Meanwhile, we will also be monitoring the southeast Pacific for the development of a tropical storm that could eventually impact Mexico sometime later next week.
I'll go over all these topics and more during my video discussion via YouTube later today.
Thanks for listening!
The Atlantic Basin is nice and quiet now that Sam has cleared the pattern. I don't see much to be concerned with over the coming days as the overall pattern is simply not too conducive for development.
On the other hand, a tropical depression is likely going to form in the southeast Pacific over the coming days and it could impact Mexico early next week. I will cover that item and a look ahead at when things might be more favorable again in the Atlantic during my video discussion later this afternoon via YouTube.
Thanks for listening!
Now that Sam has transitioned into a large, powerful ocean storm we turn our attention to a few areas of interest across the Atlantic and the southeast Pacific. So, nothing looks too promising in terms of development but activity will likely pick up again within about a week. I'll take a closer look at these areas during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon.
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Still tracking hurricane Sam way up in the far reaches of the north Atlantic as the remainder of the tropical Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico look to stay rather quiet as we progress throughout the week ahead.
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Sam is finally beginning to weaken as it moves off into the north Atlantic where it will transition into a large and powerful ocean storm. Meanwhile, the NHC is highlighting a new area of interest well off the Southeast coast that bears watching over the coming days.
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Still very powerful category 4 hurricane Sam will pass to the east of Bermuda over the next couple of days with the potential for tropical storm conditions there. Meanwhile, we are watching TS Victor out in the open Atlantic but it will not affect land as it turns north and weakens over open water. As we begin the month of October, we will soon be needing to watch the Caribbean Sea for possible development as this region becomes more favorable as the month progresses.
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Sam still a major hurricane as it is poised to pass well east of Bermuda. Meanwhile, we are now tracking TS Victor in the far southeastern tropical Atlantic.
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Still tracking Sam which remains a strong hurricane over the open Atlantic today. Also, invest area 90L well on its way to becoming our next named storm. I'll take a look at all of this and more during my video discussion later this afternoon via YouTube.
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The latest concerning major hurricane Sam plus the rest of the goings on in the tropics as we get ready to end the month of September and head into October.
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Keeping track of powerful hurricane Sam plus several other areas in the tropics as we start the week.
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Hurricane Sam will be the topic of conversation over the next several days as we track its movements across the deep tropics.
We have plenty of time to keep tabs on TD18 but it sure does look like an interesting several days ahead...
I'll take a closer look at some of the possibilities of what may end up happening with soon-to-be-Sam in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
Keeping close tabs on invest area 98L for development and possible impacts for the Lesser Antilles later in the forecast period.
Busy days ahead in the tropics as we track Peter, Rose the remnants of Odette and what is likely to be Sam by later in the week.
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The tropics remain busy with the formation of TS Peter and a new depression as well out in the east Atlantic.
I'll go over all of this plus a look at the pattern setting up for late September and into October as part of my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon.
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Keeping track of TS Odette as well as invest areas 95L and 97L this weekend.
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Nothing too concerning going on in the tropics as we head into the weekend.
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A lot to keep track of out in the tropics as we near the end of the week but nothing that looks too threatening for the time being.
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We are still dealing with the remnants of Nicholas as we watch invest areas 95L and 96L for possible development over the coming days.
I will take a closer look at all of the goings on in the tropics as part of my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later this afternoon via YouTube.
Thanks for listening!
Watching invest area 94L very closely for further development and eventual impacts for portions of the western Gulf Coast.
In addition, there are several other areas of interest across the Atlantic Basin to monitor closely as we end the weekend.
Thanks for listening!
Watching invest area 94L for possible development in the western Gulf of Mexico as the eastern Atlantic also becomes quite active with two areas to monitor over the coming days.
I'll go over all of these systems and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this morning.
Thanks for listening!
Watching several areas in the Atlantic Basin for possible development as we head into the weekend.
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Plenty for us to keep track of as we approach the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.
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Good to be back resuming this podcast each and every day from here until the end of the hurricane season!
Today, I take a look at Larry, invest 91L, a new tropical depression in the east Pacific and twin tropical systems out in the western Pacific.
I'll go over all of these topics and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
Ida forecast to make landfall as a powerful hurricane late tomorrow along the coast of Louisiana with impacts reaching far and wide.
We will be covering the event LIVE via our unique project, crowdfunded via Patreon. To learn more click here.
Thanks for listening and have a great weekend!
Ida is forecast to become a major hurricane and bring significant impacts to portions of the central Gulf Coast this weekend. We will be there LIVE covering it - watch starting tomorrow via our YouTube channel.
Thanks for listening.
We are keeping a very close watch on invest area 99L in the Caribbean Sea for possible significant development over the coming days.
I will discuss this system and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
A lot to keep up with in the tropics as we move through mid-week.
I'll have a full video discussion posted to my YouTube channel later this afternoon.
As always, thanks for listening!
Very busy out across the Atlantic and east Pacific as we move towards the last week of August and the traditional ramping up of activity.
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The latest thoughts on Henri plus a look ahead to a very active period coming up across the Atlantic Basin as we continue through the peak months of the hurricane season.
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The latest on Grace and Henri.
Note that I will be streaming live later today via my YouTube channel as I cover the impacts of Henri in the Northeast and New England.
Thanks for tuning in and listening - have a great weekend!
The latest on what's happening in the tropics as we look ahead to the weekend.
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Here is what I am keeping watch of in the tropics as we track the remnants of Fred in the Northeast as well as hurricane Grace along the Yucatan.
Of course, there is growing concern that Henri could eventually impact the Northeast and New England this weekend and I cover that developing story as well.
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We have a lot going on out there as we keep up with the remnants of Fred and strengthening tropical storms Grace and Henri.
I will go over all of this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube early this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
On the road to Florida to catch up with what could be hurricane Fred later today along the central panhandle.
The latest concerning Fred and Grace.
I will have a detailed look at both systems and what to expect in the coming days as part of my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube early this afternoon.
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The latest on Fred and what impacts to expect over the coming days as it tracks towards Florida.
Also, invest area 95L continues to move westward over the tropical Atlantic with a decent chance of further development.
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The latest on TS Fred and invest area 95L in the Atlantic as we also keep track of Kevin and Linda in the east Pacific.
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The latest on PTC 6 and some concerning trends that I am seeing for the longer term once the system is in the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
I'll have an in-depth look at everything during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later this afternoon via my YouTube channel.
Thanks for listening!
94L well on its way to becoming a tropical depression as it heads towards the eastern Caribbean.
Meanwhile, the east Pacific remains quite active but there are no immediate threats to land areas.
I will cover all of these items and much more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this morning.
Thanks for listening!
A quite complex pattern has set up out in the tropical Atlantic that is making it difficult to really know what to expect regarding the series of tropical disturbances that we see lined up off the coast of Africa. It does appear, however, that some impacts will eventually be felt in the Lesser Antilles as these disturbances move generally westward with time.
I'll cover all of this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later today.
Thanks for listening!
We are keeping a close eye on invest area 92L out in the far eastern tropical Atlantic for the potential for development over the next few days as a more favorable pattern begins to settle in to the Atlantic Basin.
I will go over this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video which will be posted on my YouTube channel later today.
Thanks for listening, have a great weekend!
The tropical Atlantic is starting to become more active with a pair of systems to keep tabs on over the coming days.
We're also watching the east Pacific which too has several systems to monitor but none that look to have impacts to land anytime soon.
I'll go over all these topics and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube early this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
The tropical Atlantic has three area to monitor over the coming days but none look to become much of an issue as conditions are only marginally conducive for development right now. However, this is a sign of what's ahead and I expect that the latter portions of August and into September will be very busy as a much more favorable pattern begins to take shape.
I will cover all of this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later today via YouTube.
Thanks for listening!
We are watching an area of interest off the coast of Africa that has a small chance of further development over the coming days but otherwise, the Atlantic Basin remains nice and quiet for the time being.
Meanwhile, there are no threats to land with any of the systems currently ongoing across the eastern Pacific.
Have a great rest of your Tuesday, thanks for listening!
We begin the week with very little to keep tabs on across the Atlantic Basin but there are signs that things are about to change as a more favorable pattern begins to set up over the coming weeks.
Meanwhile, the east Pacific remains active but nothing stands out as being particularly strong nor of any threat to Mexico.
I'll go over all of these topics and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening, have a great week!
We will begin the month of August nice and quiet across the tropical Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico but I fully expect that the situation will be much different in a few weeks at the most.
Meanwhile, all of the action right now is in the east Pacific but no areas are seen as any threat to land for the time being.
Thanks for tuning in, have a great rest of your Sunday!
We say goodbye to July and look ahead to August as we anticipate things getting busier in a few weeks.
Also, we are tracking a few systems in the east Pacific that remain far from land so no impacts are expected there.
Have a great weekend!
Slowly but surely there are signs emerging that the Atlantic will not remain quiet for too much longer. I will take a closer look at the details of what I am seeing during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later today via YouTube.
Thanks for listening, have a great Thursday!
The quiet pattern prevails across the Atlantic Basin for the next several days at least as I see no areas of development showing up in the global models as we end July and head into August.
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Invest area 90L will move inland over Florida and southeast Georgia later today with only limited showers and storms associated with it.
Elsewhere, the tropics remain nice and quiet as we start the new week.
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Invest area 90L not looking much better organized this morning with very little in the way of deep thunderstorms and as such it should not pose too many problems for Florida over the next couple of days.
Elsewhere, the tropics are nice and quiet as we finish up the month of July.
Have a great Sunday and as always, thanks for listening!
Looks like a nice weekend ahead with no major concerns in the tropics.
Thanks for listening!
Watching an area in the western Atlantic but that's about all there is to keep an eye on as we round out the month.
We have a minor area of interest that may try to develop off the Southeast coast of the U.S. in a few days but otherwise, things are still nice and quiet across the Atlantic Basin as an unfavorable overall pattern remains in place to round out the month of July.
Thanks for listening!
Typical quiet pattern continues as we begin to round out the month of July. I see no issues developing anytime soon across the tropics for the week ahead.
In the eastern Pacific, we still have two systems, hurricane Felicia and tropical storm Guillermo, but both are far from land and won't have any impacts for Mexico or Hawaii for that matter.
Thanks for listening - have a great week!
The quiet pattern looks to continue across the entire Atlantic Basin - I see no areas of concern developing over the next several days.
In the eastern Pacific, we have powerful hurricane Felicia moving west over the open waters far from land along with a new tropical storm, Guillermo, which will also move west with time, remaining well off the coast of Mexico.
Thanks for listening, have a great rest of your weekend!
The Atlantic Basin remains free and clear of any areas of concern and I don't see anything popping up within the various global models over the coming days.
In the east Pacific, hurricane Felicia became a category four hurricane with winds of 145 mph as of early this morning. No worries as Felicia will continue to move westward over the open Pacific far from land.
Also, a new tropical depression has formed well off the coast of Mexico and it too will track away from land and not pose any issues.
Thanks for listening, have a great rest of your weekend!
A nice weekend is on tap as we don't have any issues to be concerned with across the Atlantic Basin over the next several days and likely beyond.
Meanwhile, hurricane Felicia in the east Pacific has become a major hurricane with winds of 115 mph as of early this morning. It will continue to move away from Mexico and not pose any threat of impacts to any land areas.
Have a great weekend and thanks for listening!
With a little luck, we could end the month of July with no additional named storms in the Atlantic as for now the global models are not suggesting any development over the next week to 10 days at least.
In the meantime, we do have a hurricane in the east Pacific - Felicia - that will not pose any direct threat to land areas other than perhaps some increase in swells for coastal Mexico and perhaps southern California in several days.
Thanks for listening, have a great rest of your Thursday!
Looks like the quiet pattern will continue across the Atlantic Basin for the next several days as I see no areas of concern developing anytime soon.
In the meantime, the eastern Pacific has a new tropical depression that has formed but it will move away from Mexico and not pose any problems.
Thanks for listening!
Only one minor area to keep track of in the far northern Atlantic today as unfavorable conditions continue to keep the deep tropics nice and quiet.
The east Pacific is getting more active with invest area 96-E well on its way to becoming a tropical depression but it is moving away from Mexico and will not bring any direct impacts.
I'll cover all of these topics and more in today's Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on my YouTube channel.
Thanks for listening!
A quiet look to the tropics as we begin the week ahead - at least for the Atlantic Basin with suppressed phases of the MJO and CCKW moving through, helping to keep convection quite minimal from the coast of Africa all the way across the Caribbean and into the Gulf of Mexico.
The east Pacific has a couple of areas of potential development well off the coast of Mexico and both features will remain offshore and move away from the Mexican coastline in the coming days.
Thanks for listening, have a great week ahead!
The Atlantic Basin looks to remain nice and quiet for the next several days.
In the meantime, a couple of disturbances might develop in the eastern Pacific but none pose a threat to land areas.
Have a great rest of your weekend, thanks for listening!
Looks like we can enjoy a nice quiet period coming up as less favorable background conditions set up across the Atlantic Basin.
We are watching a couple of areas for potential development in the eastern Pacific but neither pose a significant threat to land areas.
Thanks for listening, have a great weekend!
We should be entering a period of less activity over the coming days and weeks but the rest of the season looks to be very busy.
I'll go over the reasons why - on both topics - during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later today via my YouTube channel.
Thanks for listening!
Now that Elsa is well inland over the Carolinas the tropics look to calm down for the time being as a less favorable pattern sets up across the Atlantic Basin over the next few weeks.
I'll take a look at the latest with Elsa plus a look at the updated July forecasts from CSU and TSR regarding the remainder of the hurricane season all in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later today.
Thanks for listening!
A hurricane watch has been posted for parts of the Florida coast in anticipation that tropical storm Elsa may strengthen enough to bring hurricane conditions to the region.
I'll take a look at the latest concerning Elsa and the ongoing impacts, plus what to expect across the Southeast coast as Elsa moves inland, all part of my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
The latest on a very disorganized tropical storm Elsa on this Independence Day 2021.
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A bit of good news this morning as it looks like Elsa is beginning to lose out against climatology and the fact that hurricanes don't do well in the eastern Caribbean in early July.
I'll take a closer look at why this is happening and what the impacts are expected to be for the Greater Antilles and Florida during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later this afternoon on YouTube.
Thanks for listening!
Elsa is now a category one hurricane as it moves through the Lesser Antilles, bringing a wind gust to 86 mph to Barbados this morning.
I'll have an in-depth look at the latest forecast and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
We now have tropical storm Elsa out in the tropical Atlantic heading towards the Windward Islands.
The official forecast calls for gradual strengthening and I believe that Elsa will eventually become a hurricane as it moves through the Caribbean Sea. There could be impacts for Florida down the road but those details are not clear just yet.
I'll have more concerning Elsa in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
It looks like we have a new tropical storm trying to take shape well east of the Lesser Antilles that could bring impacts to that region by the weekend. The next name up is Elsa.
I will take an in-depth look at the latest concerning this system and its long-term track and intensity possibilities as part of my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later today.
Thanks for listening!
The tropics are looking to become quite busy despite the fact that it's only late June. We have invest areas 95L And 97L to watch as well as TS Enrique in the eastern Pacific.
I will take a closer look at all of these features during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later this afternoon via my YouTube channel.
Thanks for listening!
We have a lot going on out across the Atlantic and east Pacific as we begin the week ahead.
I will go over all of the areas of interest and more in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
We now have a few areas to keep watch of across the Atlantic Basin this afternoon and beyond.
I will take a closer look at what's going on out there, including a look ahead into July using some guidance from the ECMWF upward motion charts, all during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening, have a great rest of your weekend!
The Atlantic Basin looks to be rather quiet as we head through the weekend but we will keep an eye on a couple of tropical waves as they make their way westward.
In the east Pacific, we will likely be talking about the season's first hurricane - Enrique - as what is now a tropical storm in that region gets its self together rather quickly.
I will take a look at these features and more in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later this afternoon via my YouTube channel.
Thanks for listening!
The tropical Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico all look to be generally on the quiet side as we move through the weekend ahead.
In the meantime, a new tropical storm in the east Pacific, just off the southwest coast of Mexico, will keep things busy in that part of the world.
I'll take a look at what's happening out there in-depth during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening, have a great weekend!
All indications are that we could see a tropical depression form way out in the deep tropical Atlantic somewhere south of the Cape Verde Islands over the next few days. This would be very early in the season for this to be happening and a sign that we are, in fact, in for a busy season ahead.
Meanwhile, another tropical wave will bring showers and thunderstorms to portions of the Lesser Antilles as it moves west and across that region over the next couple of days.
And finally, we should see a tropical depression form in the east Pacific off the coast of Mexico that may go on to become the season's first hurricane.
I will cover all of these topics of interest and more in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon.
Not a lot going on across the Atlantic Basin right now and it looks to remain generally quiet for the next several days.
The same cannot be said for the southeast Pacific where a new tropical depression is likely to form in the coming days and impact Mexico with heavy rain and rough coastal conditions.
I'll take a look at all off this - and more - during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
We no longer have to worry about Claudette so now it is time to keep track of an active tropical wave moving through the deep tropics and eventually into the Caribbean Sea.
I discuss this and more in today's look at the tropics and of course, I will go into further detail during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later this afternoon via my YouTube channel.
Thanks for listening!
As we begin the week, it looks like the tropics will remain somewhat busy with a new area of interest to watch out in the tropical Atlantic.
Also, Claudette has become a tropical storm again just off the North Carolina coast but will move away quickly today and not be of much concern except for mariners in the offshore waters of the western Atlantic.
I'll cover all of these topics and more in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon. Thanks for listening!
The remnants of Claudette will continue to move across the Southeast bringing the threat of heavy rain and severe weather. We will also be watching to see if it can make a comeback over eastern North Carolina and become a tropical storm again in the western Atlantic as it takes advantage of warm Gulf Stream waters and a bit of a boost from atmospheric processes.
I'll go over this and much more, including the potential for more development down the road, all part of my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube.
Thanks for tuning in and have a great Father's Day!
Tropical Storm Claudette formed early this morning as it made landfall across southeast Louisiana. It is now moving into Mississippi and will spread heavy rain and even scattered severe weather across a wide swath of the Southeast this weekend and into early next week.
I take a look at this and more in today's update. Thanks for listening!
The system in the Gulf of Mexico remains poorly organized but will still bring periods of heavy rain, some coastal flooding, and the risk of severe weather later in the weekend to portions of the Southeast U.S.
I will have an in-depth look at this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via my YouTube channel later today.
Thanks for listening, have a great weekend!
Invest area 92L has not become any better organized overnight with only limited areas of showers and thunderstorms seen on satellite imagery this morning. There is still some opportunity for it to strengthen and bring minor coastal impacts to portions of the central Gulf Coast but the biggest story will be the potential for heavy rain across a large swath of the Southeast over the weekend.
I will go over this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon. Thanks for tuning in!
TS Bill has dissipated over the cold waters of the north Atlantic while we watch the progress of invest area 92L down in the Bay of Campeche.
I cover these topics and more in this morning's episode. Thanks for listening!
All of a sudden, the tropics look more like August than mid-June. There is a lot to go over as we begin the week!
I will post an in-depth video discussion to my YouTube channel within the next couple of hours.
Thanks for listening - have a great week!
The tropics are showing signs of becoming more active but not to worry, still no solid indication of anything too threatening just yet.
Thanks for listening - I'll have more in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later today.
The NHC now indicating a 405 chance of development from a disturbance down in the Bay of Campeche. Will it bring impacts to the Gulf Coast of the U.S. later next week? It is possible but the process will be a slow one to be sure.
I take a look at this and more in this morning's update. Thanks for listening!
While the tropics look to be generally quiet as we progress through the weekend, I am seeing signs that later next week, things will become quite a bit more interesting as low pressure looks to develop in the southern Gulf of Mexico or Bay of Campeche by later next week.
I will go over this and more in my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video via YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
A strong Saharan Air Layer will keep the deep tropical Atlantic nice and quiet over the coming days as we watch the western Gulf of Mexico for possible development more than a week out.
Don't forget to catch my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion via YouTube each afternoon for a more detailed look at the latest goings on in the tropics.
I am beginning to see a little more in the way of consensus among the various global models suggesting that we will eventually see some level of development in the vicinity of the southern or western Gulf of Mexico in about a week or so. Using "ensemble" forecasting, it helps to see a variety of "what if" scenarios and this helps to create confidence in the longer range outlook.
I will go over this and more in today's Hurricane Outlook and Discussion on my YouTube channel.
Thanks for listening!
So far, no solid signs of development seen within the overall complex set up across the Atlantic Basin or the eastern Pacific. I think it will take at least a week - perhaps longer - before anything tries to get going, if at all.
As always, thanks for listening and be sure to catch my daily video discussion on YouTube.
The NHC is now monitoring an area of interest down in the southwest Caribbean Sea for possible slow development as the week progresses.
I am also keeping an eye on a couple of systems in the eastern Pacific but none pose any significant threats to land at this time.
There will be a lot to go over in today's Hurricane Outlook and Discussion on my YouTube channel so be sure to catch that later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
As we await the upcoming pattern change for the western portion of the Atlantic Basin, it looks like we will soon have a new tropical depression to keep track of in the east Pacific.
I will cover all of this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video post later today on my YouTube channel.
Thanks for listening - have a great Sunday!
The weekend looks great across the Atlantic Basin with no areas of concern for us to keep tabs on.
In the eastern Pacific, Invest 92-E is likely to go on and become a tropical depression sooner rather than later but will not affect any land areas as it moves generally west to west-northwest and out into the open Pacific.
Enjoy the weekend and thanks for listening!
A quiet weekend ahead as we look out across the tropics. Remember to always check the rip currents and other beach hazards forecasts via weather.gov before you head out to the ocean.
Thanks for listening and have a great weekend!
Still nice and quiet across the Atlantic Basin today but signs are beginning to show up on a more consistent basis of changes in the pattern that may allow for a more favorable environment once we get to around mid-month or so.
I will go over what I am seeing, plus a look at the latest update from Colorado State University's Dr. Phil Klotczbach and the forecast for the hurricane season ahead during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube.
Thanks for listening - have a great Thursday!
All remains quiet for now in the Atlantic Basin but there are signs of change coming as we move through the mid part of the month. I will cover this and more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video post on YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening!
Today marks the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season and as we begin the six month journey of watching the tropics, I see no areas of concern anywhere across the Atlantic Basin.
In the eastern Pacific, we do have tropical storm Blanca but it poses no threat to land at this time.
I will go over a potential pattern change coming up for the Atlantic during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video on YouTube later this afternoon. Check that out at: YouTube.com/hurricanetrack
Thanks for listening!
The NHC is issuing advisories on a new tropical depression in the eastern Pacific - but no worries, it poses no threat to any land areas right now.
I will be producing a pre-season video special and posting it to my YouTube channel later this afternoon. Be sure to check it out here:
YouTube.com/HurricaneTrack
Thanks for listening - I look forward to bringing you this first look at the tropics each and every morning throughout the upcoming hurricane season.
Looks like we will end the month of May with no additional development in the Atlantic but I am already seeing some hints of a more favorable pattern coming into play as we get into the month of June - and the official start of the hurricane season.
Thanks for listening!
I will be back on Monday with the Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video update on my YouTube channel.
No worries from tropical storms or hurricanes this holiday weekend but there are areas of high rip current risks for portions of the East and Southeast coasts. I will go over those and take a look at the pattern as we head into June during my video discussion on YouTube later this afternoon.
Thanks for listening - have a great and safe Memorial Day weekend!
Nothing of note across the Atlantic Basin as dry conditions and strong upper level winds prevail.
Meanwhile, I think we get the first hurricane of the season in the eastern Pacific sometime over the next week or so.
I will take a closer look at all of this and more in my video discussion posted later today on my YouTube channel: youtube.com/hurricanetrack
Thanks for tuning in and have a great Thursday!
The Atlantic Basin remains nice and quiet as we round out the month while we watch the southeast Pacific for potential development of a couple of systems there.
The pattern looks to remain nice and quiet across the Atlantic Basin as we round out the month of May.
The eastern Pacific, however, looks to become active with the potential for our first hurricane to develop there over the coming days.
I take a look at this and more in this morning's update.
Thanks for listening!
The Atlantic is quiet again now that Ana has dissipated after a short-lived track off to the northeast and into the open ocean.
Now our attention is focused on a new cyclone that has developed in the Bay of Bengal that will bring impacts to northeast India later this week.
I will go over these items and much more during my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video update later this afternoon via my YouTube channel: YouTube.com/hurricanetrack
Thanks for listening, have a great week!
Subtropical storm Ana will depart the scene and leave the Atlantic Basin nice and quiet as we begin the new week.
Our attention will then be focused upon the Bay of Bengal where a powerful cyclone is forecast to develop by the global models. This could pose a significant threat to areas such as Bangladesh several days down the road.
Have a great rest of your weekend - thanks for listening!
For the seventh year in a row, we have a named storm outside of the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season.
I take a look at subtropical storm Ana (what does that mean?) and more in this morning's update.
Tune in to my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video later this afternoon via YouTube for even more in-depth analysis: YouTube.com/hurricanetrack
Thanks for listening!
We now have two areas to keep track of over the next couple of days.
I discuss the new Gulf of Mexico disturbance as well as 90L out near Bermuda in today's update.
Thanks for listening, have a great weekend!
Invest area 90L could go on to develop and become a short-lived subtropical cyclone over the next few days. Also, NOAA releases their 2021 hurricane season outlook today so be on the lookout for that on social media.
I will go over the NOAA forecast and some of the keys to watch for during the upcoming season in Friday's video discussion via my YouTube channel.
Thanks for tuning in, have a great Thursday!
Looks like we have a couple of areas of interest to monitor in the eastern Pacific and the subtropical Atlantic over the coming days.
I will take an in-depth look at these areas, plus a peek at what we may be looking for as we head into June, during my video discussion that I will post on YouTube this afternoon.
YouTube.com/hurricanetrack
Also on Twitter: @hurricanetrack
Thanks for tuning in!
Nice and quiet as we continue to move through the week.
Thank you for listening - be sure to follow my YouTube channel for in-depth video discussions, live coverage of hurricane landfalls and more: YouTube.com/hurricanetrack
My project is supported by Patreon - a website and app that allows people like you to support projects like mine. Learn more at: patreon.com/hurricanetrack
Nice and quiet still in the Atlantic and eastern Pacific but that is not the case for the Indian Ocean where a category four equivalent cyclone is going to make landfall later in the day.
I will discuss this and much more during my in-depth video discussion which will be posted to my YouTube channel this afternoon. Follow and subscribe via YouTube.com/hurricanetrack
Thanks for listening!
Your morning brief on what's happening, or not, in the tropics for Sunday, May 16, 2021.
On Monday, I will also have my Hurricane Outlook and Discussion video posted to YouTube so be sure to check that out later in the day Monday - YouTube.com/hurricanetrack
I am excited to announce the launch of my new podcast Hurricane Season: The Podcaston May 15, 2021.
Think of it as a morning briefing as we take a look at what's happening in the tropics, patterns to watch for and of course, storm and hurricane info when we have something to track.
The daily podcast will serve as a foundation for my daily in-depth video discussions which are posted to my YouTube channel throughout hurricane season.
Subscribe and follow along as I put my 25+ years of experience tracking hurricanes and providing useful information that can help you be in the know each and every day.