No Rules Berlin: Recent Episodes
Chris Strobl, Olcay Buyan
Two angel investors from Germany, Chris Strobl and Olcay Buyan compare notes about the global tech scene.
Source: https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/generative-ai-a-creative-new-world/Download the Callin app for iOS and Android to listen to this podcast live, call in, and more! Also available at callin.com
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-09/getir-buys-quick-commerce-rival-gorillas-in-1-2-billion-dealDownload the Callin app for iOS and Android to listen to this podcast live, call in, and more! Also available at callin.com
Source: https://www.nfx.com/post/network-bonding-theory
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Source: https://www.bvp.com/atlas/scaling-to-100-million
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Source: https://www.emcap.com/thoughts/the-future-of-coaching-networks-is-here/
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Source: https://hackernoon.com/art-is-dead-dude-ai-generated-image-wins-state-art-fair
https://waxy.org/2022/09/ai-data-laundering-how-academic-and-nonprofit-researchers-shield-tech-companies-from-accountability/
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Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-10/delivery-startup-getir-is-said-in-advanced-talks-to-buy-gorillas
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https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/if-youre-going-to-build-something-from-scratch-this-might-be-as-good-a-time-as-in-a-decade
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Source: https://kwokchain.com/2020/09/22/the-mike-speiser-incubation-playbook/
https://twitter.com/kevinakwok
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What are the implications of algorithmic improvements for AI application startups
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The network state is built cloud first, land last.
https://thenetworkstate.com
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https://twitter.com/wintonark/status/1557768036169314304?s=21&t=Q2sx-oJl-kl1uBWloY6IgQ
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We share our learnings using the platform
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We talk about autonomous cars and if Volkswagen will be the next Foxconn for Apple.
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We are talking about OpenAI DALL-E-2 https://openai.com/dall-e-2/
DALL-E 2 prompt book: https://dallery.gallery/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/The-DALL%C2%B7E-2-prompt-book-v1.01.pdf
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Discussing our learnings from a road-trip to New York.
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Source: https://blog.stage2.capital/science-of-scaling?hsLang=en
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Source: https://twitter.com/zebulgar/status/1538182508310777857?s=21&t=nKi5ljl0yWV9FPX-dq4QTQ
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We share our secrets on how to find world-class designers in less than a week, how to brief them correctly to spend less than $1000 for a great interface design.
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source: https://www.bvp.com/memos/sendgrid
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Source: https://www.bvp.com/memos/twitch
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Consolidation in the industry. Leaked email of Gorillas CEO. Leaked Sequoia memo
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A few weeks ago, Elon Musk tweeted “Managers in software must write great software or it’s like being a cavalry captain who can’t ride a horse!”. There was a lot of mixed feelings in response, while some think it doesn’t add up, some think there is a lot of truth to it.
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We talk about a must read for all startup CEOs.
YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/c/MattMochary1
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Deep dive product, company, funding. Switchboard is out of private beta and could be a game changer. https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/partnering-with-switchboard-the-virtual-collaboration-platform-for-teams/
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What is the future of AI copywriting?
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Stripe Atlas, Carta, Deel/Remote, Partyround,
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We share notes about a phenomenal book that describes the product philosophy of Apple. Recommended by Keith Rabois. Find it on Amazon: Creative Selection - Inside Apple’s Design Process During the Golden Age of Steve Jobs. https://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/152900473X/ref=ox_sc_act_image_2?smid=A3JWKAKR8XB7XF&psc=1
Dieter Rams documentary: https://www.hustwit.com/rams/
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OpenAI announced DALL-E 2, it’s AI system that can draw photorealistic images from natural language input. Version 2 produces more realistic and accurate images with 4x greater resolution 🤯
➡️ https://openai.com/dall-e-2/ 📺 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTgPSKKjfVg
gpt3 #clip #tranformers #samaltman #gregbrockman #elonmusk
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Vacation home co-ownership or time sharing is a fascinating market.
Ember just raised $17.4M from Peter Thiel. We share notes about market, product and team.
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ember-raises-17-4m-led-by-peter-thiel-to-bring-vacation-home-co-ownership-mainstream-301489764.html
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Further reading: https://decodingvc.gitbooks.io/p9-startup-tech-due-diligence-calculator/content/
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Source: https://techcrunch.com/2022/03/17/getir-is-now-worth-nearly-12-billion-after-raising-another-768-million
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Can you build businesses on top of Zoom?
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Source: https://youtu.be/HEqQ2_1XRTs
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Discussing about the new show Super Pumped. Showtime is presenting the new series about one of the most impactful companies of the last decade: Uber.
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From an initial Product Hunt launch back in 2016 to 10M users across 120.000 in 2022. Join use when we discuss the behind-the-scenes of Loom‘s growth.
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Wall Street sharked the founder. What can founders learn? Source: https://www.blackwellscap.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/BW_Peloton_Presentation_Feb072022.pdf
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Business strategy and product strategy
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OpenAI just announced their embeddings endpoint promising state of the art results. A recent analysis shows that Google‘s BERT derivatives, that are 1000x smaller, can outperform OpenAI’s GPT-3. In addition, applying GPT-3 can be 1 million times more expensive.
source: https://twitter.com/Nils_Reimers/status/1487014195568775173
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No-Code platforms continue to boom in 2022
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The cost of starting a SaaS solution decreased a lot. We discuss the impact on the startup ecosystem.
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We discuss a truth most people don’t believe in: Maslow’s hierarchy of needs is wrong. The model of Mimetic desires explain what we really want. Deep Dive into Instagram and Social Media
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Source: https://twitter.com/nocodechris/status/1476312288697229323?s=21
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The leader in the creator economy
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Jam Session
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We talk about Discord
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Source: https://www.loom.com/blog/loom-series-c
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Source: https://25iq.com/2016/07/08/a-dozen-things-ive-learned-from-eugene-kleiner-about-investing-and-business/
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As part-time podcasters we did 100 episodes in 100 days. What did we learn? What do we do next?
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The US opens up again on Monday and Olcay flys over to Silicon Valley catch up with friends and speak about Television.AI 🎬
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Source: https://twitter.com/olivercameron/status/1456796019279101952?s=21
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Let‘s talk about it
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According to a survey by Boston-based VC OpenView, product-led startups with usage-based pricing outperform their peers.
source: https://openviewpartners.com/blog/2021-state-of-usage-based-pricing/#.YYTeQzrTXDs
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Source: www.saastr.com
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Source: https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-saas-org-chart
https://youtu.be/Fz95IEDLv7Q
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Fiverr makes an interesting acquisition, adding tools that allow their customers to efficiently manage freelancers.
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Reddit opens office in 🇩🇪
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Source: https://investors.udemy.com/static-files/3fb9c031-a865-4f41-8351-dc9cdcd80c37
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Talking about Facebook‘s latest rebrand
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We talk about the early days of AdSense and Google‘s innovation in business model development
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After a beta with 2M users in the US, LinkedIn rolls out its freelance services marketplace globally. Should Fiverr and Upwork be worried?
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Source: https://medium.com/sequoia-capital/the-sequoia-fund-patient-capital-for-building-enduring-companies-9ed7bcd6c7da
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Commercial opportunities growing in the new space age as SpaceX might be ready for an oribital launch next month and BlueOrigin & friends unveiled plans for a commercial space station.
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Hertz orders 100.000 Tesla cars. Tesla opens China research facility along with data centers to store data locally and seems to be on track to join the trillion dollar club.
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Sources: ODX: https://beondeck.com/x ODX Announcement: https://mobile.twitter.com/beondeck/status/1451234241216454677?s=21 YC https://medium.com/mbreads/book-summary-the-launchpad-b1f7c0618825
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Source: https://secondmeasure.com/datapoints/rideshare-industry-overview/
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Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-21/u-s-bus-icon-greyhound-will-have-a-new-european-owner
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Tesla Q3/2021 results: https://www.scribd.com/document/533997113/TSLA-Q3-2021-Quarterly-Update
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Deep Dive into Remote hiring infrastructure
https://techcrunch.com/2021/10/18/with-customers-like-coinbase-and-shopify-remote-hiring-startup-deel-raises-425m-at-a-5-5b-valuation/
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Source: https://n26.com/en-eu/blog/n26-series-e-funding-round-2021
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We discuss the conflict that can come up when perspectives differ and interests are not aligned.
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Jam Session
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How to treat founders
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Source: https://blakemasters.tumblr.com/post/22866240816/peter-thiels-cs183-startup-class-11-notes
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We will have a brief discussion why founders shouldn’t speed through seed stage to get the big Series A check.
Source: https://twitter.com/jwdanner/status/1448438420607578113
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https://techcrunch.com/2021/09/14/intuits-12b-mailchimp-acquisition-is-about-expanding-its-small-business-focus/
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MT-NLG 530B is the largest and most powerful generative language model trained to date. We will discuss what powers this monolithic transformer language model and what is ahead of us with future models like GPT-4.
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We will discuss Airbnb’s special stakeholder structure that puts people first and how it helped them navigate through the crisis to come out stronger than before.
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What did we learn as part-time podcasters.
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Thiel’s law: A startup messed up at its foundation cannot be fixed.
Source: https://blakemasters.tumblr.com/post/21742864570/peter-thiels-cs183-startup-class-6-notes-essay
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Class 2 - Blake Masters note Source: https://blakemasters.tumblr.com/post/20582845717/peter-thiels-cs183-startup-class-2-notes-essay
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Source: https://useronboard.com
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We discuss the conversation between Patrick Collison and John Lilly about the lessons learned from scaling Stripe at Stanford University’s CS183C: https://youtu.be/qrDZhAxpKrQ
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Source: https://twitter.com/onuniverse/status/1445433758157615105?s=21
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Source: John Danner, Twitter, Sept 2021 https://twitter.com/jwdanner/status/1443611629787090956?s=21
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Source: http://christophjanz.blogspot.com/2016/03/saas-financial-plan-20.html?m=1
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Source: https://techcrunch.com/2021/10/01/reid-hoffman-on-the-evolution-of-blitzscaling-amid-the-pandemic/
https://slideshare.net/reidhoffman/blitzscaling-book-trailer-118631898
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Source: https://blakemasters.tumblr.com/post/22405055017/peter-thiels-cs183-startup-class-9-notes-essay
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Source: https://www.angellist.com/stack
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SoundCloud founders work on e-bike subscription service as alternative to public transport
Source: https://techcrunch.com/2021/09/27/dance-raises-another-19-4-million-for-its-e-bike-subscription-service/
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Source: https://www.nfx.com/post/14th-network-effect-expertise/
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Source: http://abovethecrowd.com/2015/07/07/in-defense-of-the-deck/
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GitHub: https://github.com/ARKInvest/ARK-Invest-Autonomous-Taxi-Price-Per-Mile-Model
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Source: https://greylock.com/greymatter/castles-in-the-cloud/
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European Delivery War.
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Source: https://www.wsj.com/articles/uber-says-it-will-post-its-first-adjusted-profit-11632220496
https://gizmodo.com/uber-says-its-on-track-to-maybe-make-a-fake-profit-1847716786
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Source: https://growth.design/case-studies/instagram-monetization/
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Source: https://github.com/ARKInvest/Starlink
https://investors.globalstar.com/news-releases/news-release-details/globalstars-band-n53-qualcomms-x65-modem
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We discuss market cap and strategy of the two competitors
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How to think about valuation in startups.
Source: Bill Gurley: How to miss by a mile - an alternative look at Uber‘s potential market size https://abovethecrowd.com/2014/07/11/how-to-miss-by-a-mile-an-alternative-look-at-ubers-potential-market-size/
Aswath Damodaran: 2014 A Disruptive Cab Ride to Riches: The Uber Payoff https://aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com/2014/06/a-disruptive-cab-ride-to-riches-uber.html?m=1
2019 Uber's Coming out Party: Personal Mobility Pioneer or Car Service on Steroids? http://aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com/2019/04/ubers-coming-out-party-personal.html?m=1
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Beyond Lean Startups.
Source: https://medium.com/@m2jr/beyond-lean-startups-pre-money-keynote-speech-from-6-22-16-11aa0257901b
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Class 8
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Apple AppStore, Microsoft Windows applications - we discuss what it takes to build a platform business and how it impacts market cap.
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Source: https://medium.com/@gc/the-beginning-of-uber-7fb17e544851
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We analyze together with Open Source expert Marc the Network effects and defensive moats of GitHub and why the $7.5B acquisition by Microsoft is a great corporate M&A deal.
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We discuss the Class 14 of Peter Thiel‘s legendary CS183 class. The notes created by Blake Masters led to the book Zero to One. This episode is about the clean-tech revolution. Source: https://blakemasters.tumblr.com/post/23787022006/peter-thiels-cs183-startup-class-14-notes
John Doerr TED Talk: https://youtu.be/nuXJFbJNltg
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Airbnb disrupted the hospitality industry but what makes the company so unique, is its obsession with maintaining a healthy culture. What can we learn from Airbnb, especially from their behavior during the pandemic?
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Source: https://news.greylock.com/unit-of-value-a-framework-for-scaling-42c092fba887
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Discussing the impact of Category Design for product development
Book link: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B015MOJ80G/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_awdb_dl_7S093HZME13A49KPJC2G
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Deep dive into legal setup and long-term consequences financing entities with NFTs
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How can startup leverage Language, Bandwaggon and Belief network effects
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The Robinhood competitor from Berlin raised an enormous round from Sequoia Capital, Peter Thiel and others.
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We dive into the messaging tools war. Why was Slack (acquired for $27.7B by Salesforce) a magical product and why is messaging central to the company of the future.
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We look into the archive of Stanford‘s eCorner https://ecorner.stanford.edu/contributor/larry-page/
What can you learn today from this lecture about predicting the future
Follow up on the Larry page story:
“One day in July 2001, Larry Page decided to fire Google’s project managers. All of them." Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/larry-page-the-untold-story-2014-4
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Let’s compare and talk about market cap. Figma raised $200M at $10 Billion in July 21. Canva raised $70M at $15 Billion in April 21. Adobe has a market cap of $317 Billion
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In 2015 James Currier at NFX Capital pioneered the Business Model of Market Networks. Unicorns like Houzz, Outdoorsy and Honeybook successfully implemented the model. Let‘s discuss the model. Source: https://techcrunch.com/2015/06/27/from-social-to-market-networks/
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What can we learn in 2021? Nathan Myhrvold discusses the technological changes on the horizon Source: https://youtu.be/x8fOqJ2N0Kk
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Why the company is valued at $38 billion market cap.
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Discussing the latest venture of the Collison brothers.
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Learnings from our journey running a show.
Quick tutorial how to distribute via social media: https://youtu.be/t2r8faBK_wU
Results: https://Twitter.com/norulesberlin
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Deep dive into Bubble’s financing history, founders, market and why it might be the next Microsoft.
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HTTP, SMTP, Ethereum, SSL…. Protocol companies are very valuable, but hard to monetize. Deep Dive into the network effects
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Update: Delivery Hero wants to invest up to $600M to scale up Gorillas.
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Deep Dive: We discuss Facebook’s deck/media kit from 2004 to raise $500k Link to deck https://piktochart.com/blog/startup-pitch-decks-what-you-can-learn/#Facebook
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What can you learn from the confidential YouTube Investment Memo by Sequoia.
https://shadesofgray-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Viacom-v-YouTube-Botha-Decl-ISO-YouTube-MSJ.pdf
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Deep Dive into growing a venture startup on Twitter. Lambda School, On Deck, Product Hunt, Pitch, Superhuman case studies. Benchmark metrics and tools like Commsor to manage influence and community.
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Traditionally 90%+ of all venture rounds were created by startups in Silicon Valley. We discuss if this is still true and why location matters for market cap.
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Deep dive into Uber’s network effects and market cap dynamics.
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Why investors and VCs have an unfair advantage utilizing hackathons
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All about automation, self-driving and more
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Tiger Global, Index, Lakestar and many more invested in Pitch - the PowerPoint Killer
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How Jeff Wilke (Amazon) is using AI and robotics to make outsourcing to China less attractive.
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Railway, logistics, telecommunications, freight, cars, etc….
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From Netflix‘s The Irishman de-aging Robert De Niro and Joe Pesci, to composing entire news clips or drafting script books, AI has arrived and puts the media industry on pedestal.
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SpaceX, Virgin Galactic and Blue Origin making space travel more affordable and routine. Are we at the brink of great advancements on earth?
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Why you should NOT invest in Defense Technology as a VC
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Berlin-based $30B market cap Delivery Hero vs. $60B Door Dash.
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How close are we to AGI?
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We take part in the OpenAI Codex Challenge
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We share our favorite lies VCs and founders tell each other
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Analysis of the legendary SaaS firm behind Salesforce, Zoom and others
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The secret behind Snowflake, MongoDB, Okta and other multi billion dollar outcomes
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Insider report about On Deck, the so-called Stanford in the Cloud
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Angel Investing: what makes a great team?
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5 lessons/insights using the app daily
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How mass computation and mass connectivity redefine business.
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Why do firms like Sequoia, Accel and Insight deploy billions in no-code systems? What is happening here
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$1B market cap in 11 months….
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Overpromise & underdeliver
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