Everyone loves an underdog … especially when they can make you money! Hosts Peter Keating and Jordan Brenner, two pioneers in studying and projecting March Madness Cinderellas, break down all the ‘whys' and the ‘hows' of upsets across sports -- and beyond. Listen each week to learn how to predict the unpredictable and become a better bettor. The Underdogs is part of the Le Batard And Friends podcast network.
With the NFL at the midseason mark, the Underdogs crew take stock in the biggest Cinderellas of the season and identify a set of second-half sleepers to watch. Jordan, Peter and Tom make their weekly dog NFL picks and debate our first trade proposal in the podcast’s history. Then, it’s time to get back to the pod roots and reveal our favorite potential Giant Killers in college hoops as the season kicks off. Plus, Tom reaches back in time for an Underdogs “Where are they now?” special cloaked in nostalgia.
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After a short cold open, the Underdogs crew is joined by Mike Golic Jr., of the GoJo podcast to discuss Tennessee's underdog season and why they've stunned college football so far. GoJo also shares some fun anecdotes about the film Rudy and unapologetically brandishes his take that Rudy is the best underdog movie in sports cinematic history. Then, Jordan, Tom and Peter make their underdog NFL picks and Peter skates in with a Hot Crease about the NHL futures market.
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Making his third appearance on the show, Los Angeles Chargers Superback Austin Ekeler talks NFL underdogs, whether he’d trade himself for Josh Jacobs in fantasy and how many receptions he wants going forward. With Ekeler’s insights in the fold, the Underdogs crew make their weekly dog picks. To fortify Peter Keating’s pick for long shot NBA MVP, the Underdogs crew do some Popeye’s analytics. Lastly, we phigure out why the Phillies are tailor-made to pull off the World Series upset. Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Underdogs crew is made whole once again. Peter returns to give his long shot NBA picks and of course, some love to his beloved New York Knicks. Jordan throws shade at the popular narrative that the new MLB Playoff format hurts 100-win teams. Tom sings the giant-killing praises of the chaos agent New York Giants. And finally, the Underdogs make their weekly NFL picks. Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
With Peter Keating jet-setting over the Atlantic, the understaffed Underdogs crew give their over/under locks and preview the tanktastic season. Tom makes a bold claim about a potential 70-win team and Jordan loves a team over the border. MVP, title long shots and odds of a 4-game win streak -- all discussed this week. Plus, Mayes serves as Peter's proxy for the weekly NFL underdog picks. Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Underdogs crew tries to solve the mystery of why there's so much parity in the NFL this season. Tom makes some trade proposals before kicking off the Dogs Of The Week picks, or should we say, Pick(ett)s. With the MLB playoffs here, Peter goes to the Hot Corner and finds the one stat that predicts playoff wins more than any other. Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jordan, Tom and Peter talk to betting wizard Chris Raybon of The Action Network about his current heater, his career and why he zeroes in on underdogs and player prop under bets. After learning from his wisdom, the crew makes their Dogs of the Week picks and wonders if Peter's illness will turn things around. Then, on Peter's Feverish Corner, he investigates whether Super Aces like Jacob DeGrom and Max Scherzer are the key to winning it all. Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Underdogs crew review Week 2 of the NFL season and uncover some intel about the odds of disappointing 0-2 teams bouncing back in Week 3. After a double dose of Vet The Bet, we make our 'Dogs of the Week' picks and put the lens on the surprising New York Giants. Rounding third, we research the impact of momentum heading into the MLB playoffs and why hot/cold teams are a myth. Finally, we discuss the season finale of The Bachelorette and put the Final Bows on it. Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Underdogs crew bow down to their esteemed guest Danny Sheridan, the most legendary handicapper in the biz, to talk about why he only picks underdogs, his "Lord Sheridan" moniker and how handicapping ballgames is more honorable than selling drugs. Then, Peter, Jordan and Tom make their underdog picks of the week while recapping Week 1 storylines. Finally, is App State the biggest underdog story of the college football season and will we see them in the playoffs in a couple years? Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NFL Week 1 is finally here! The Underdogs do the long-shot homework so you don't have to. We pick our favorite underdogs against the spread, interview Jason Lisk of Team Rankings about survivor pool game theory and select our sneaky under-the-radar MVP and Super Bowl winners. Wrapping up, on the college gridiron, we revisit our preseason picks to crash the Playoff Party. Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
With the NFL preseason coming to a close, we welcome back Chargers RB1 Austin Ekeler to the show and talk to him about underdogs this NFL season, slot receiver theory, Chargers target shares and why he's absolutely worth his ADP. Then after a triumphant return of Vet The Bet, Jordan, Tom, Peter and producer Mayes do a live draft of NFL Underdogs in the show's first ever ... Underdogs Underdogs Draft. Texans, Falcons, Jets, Seahawks, Bears, Jaguars, Panthers, Lions. Who went No. 1 overall? Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Underdogs crew is joined in the Fantasy lab by Football Scientist KC Joyner! KC explains how to invest in your draft picks like Berkshire Hathaway, which draft sIot is the best to pick from, reasons why some players are likely to outperform their ADP, and even throws in some teams that might have more success than you would think. If you have fantasy football research questions, hit us up on Twitter @jordanbrenner @tomhaberstroh @peterkeatingNJ Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Tis the season for fantasy football sleepers and bust picks. Which ones should you pay attention to or which ones should you ignore? Tom digs into the numbers and offers the gory details on the experts' success rate on sleeper and bust picks. One analyst stood tall among the group as the sharpest prognosticator. Also, Peter reluctantly targets Jordan with some praise after he empirically discovered the biggest signal for fantasy football success: targets. If you have fantasy football research questions, hit us up on Twitter @jordanbrenner @tomhaberstroh @peterkeatingNJ Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Underdogs crew try their hand at picking Cinderellas for the college football season and end up feeling extremely dirty with their selections. Transitioning horrifically to the pros, Peter dives his into some ground-breaking slot receiver analysis and finds that a market inefficiency has been neutralized. What does that mean for your fantasy football team? Jordan has the same question. If you have fantasy football research questions, hit us up on Twitter @jordanbrenner @tomhaberstroh @peterkeatingNJ Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
After the Underdogs crew is made whole again, they grab their bats and take their hacks at analyzing MLB trade deadline. Tom picks a traded minor-leaguer to be the next Willie Mays while Peter and Jordan have their eyes on Cincinnati for different reasons. Plus, the Underdogs fantasy football series continues with wide receiver sleeper picks and value plays. Lastly, the Bachelorette has predictably gone off the rails and the Underdogs crew couldn't be more excited about it. If you have fantasy football research questions, hit us up on Twitter @jordanbrenner @tomhaberstroh @peterkeatingNJ Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
While Tom gets some much-needed R&R, Jordan and Peter dive deep into the quest to find underdog running backs in fantasy football. Are there any traits that foreshadow unexpected breakouts and collapses? Plus: Two college football teams who could be headed in opposite directions with a change in luck, and a pitcher who is reappearing just in time to aid your fantasy stretch run. If you have fantasy football research questions, hit us up on Twitter @jordanbrenner @tomhaberstroh @peterkeatingNJ Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
It's never too early to dive into fantasy football. The Underdogs crew get out their shovels and start digging into historical fantasy football draft data and report their findings. Which position is the easiest to predict? The hardest? Also, Jordan, Peter and Tom break down the stunning streaks of the Seattle Mariners and Baltimore Orioles while asking the burning question: should they buy or sell? Finally, Tom brings an MLB-themed Vet The Bet about World Series favorites at the All-Star Break. If you have fantasy football research questions, hit us up on Twitter @jordanbrenner @tomhaberstroh @peterkeatingNJ Subscribe to Underdogs on Apple and Spotify Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
As the Home Run Derby looms, the Underdogs crew busts the myth that the event curses the swing of top sluggers and reveal a much simpler explanation for second-half struggles. And then it’s on to next-level analytics as the guys take on … The Bachelorette. Bachelor Data guru Suzana Somers joins the show to break down the new season and offers clues as to which guys might end up on one knee.
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As we move on from some hot-dogging protesters, the Underdogs crew surveys the NBA free agency landscape to identify the biggest steals and overpays of offseason and pick up the pieces from the Kevin Durant trade request. As the baseball season rounding second base, and with the help of Peter's Stats 101, we dive deep into teams and players that are ripe for a turnaround. Finally, Peter brings on NHL draft guru and professor Michael Shuckers to preview the upcoming NHL Draft and what the research shows us about hockey's big night.
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To be frank, there’s no way Joey Chestnut loses the hot dog eating contest — right? Then Jordan, Peter and Tom relish the opportunity to find the Underdogs of NBA free agency and break down the San Antonio Spurs’ strategy in moving Dejounte Murray. VSiN’s Ben Fawkes also joins the show and puts a little extra mustard on 2022 NBA Draft night — what he calls the wildest sports betting day in recent history. And finally: a Wimbledon Vet The Bet to settle some beef.
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Who's the biggest underdog in the NBA Draft? Seniors in college, the data shows. A decade after the original launch with Jordan, Tom has revamped the D.R.A.F.T. Initiative, revealing new insights about draft night. Are four-year studs historically so overrated that they're now underrated? This update also sheds light on the best and worst execs on draft night. (Is that Isiah Thomas' music?). Also, Peter, Tom and Jordan make their picks for long shot 2023 NBA Champions.
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Against all odds, Jordan and Tom forge ahead without their Underdog teammate and persevere with a fresh bowl of betting insights. First, is Andrew WIggins an underdog pick for Finals MVP? Tom and Jordan go inside the numbers to show how Wiggins has unlocked his potential and could steal the trophy from Stephen Curry. Speaking of stealing, Jason Sobel of The Action Network joins as our first-ever repeat guest on Underdogs and he reveals a tale of thievery from his own past at The Country Club in Brookline, the site of the US Open. We go long about the Major championship and scout the best value picks in the field. And yes, we talk about LIV tour and what it means for the bettors out there.
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The Underdogs crew look ahead to Game 4 of the NBA Finals and debate why first year coaches like Ime Udoka are no longer underdogs. Then, it's time for the Tony's! We hit Broadway and bring in special Tony correspondents Erich Schwartzel of the Wall Street Journal and Walter Mayes of the Bay Area stage (and producer Anthony's father!). We handicap the awards categories and discuss why the Tony's are more underdog-friendly than Big Oscars. Finally, we play a little Vet The Bet for the Belmont Stakes and tease the upcoming US Open with some sleepers.
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As narratives abound, the Underdogs crew dissects the big-picture value in the NBA Finals. Is the media in the tank for Stephen Curry or is there betting value there? After Jordan does his own research on Finals MVP history, Peter and Tom think there's some, um, Smart value in the long shot bin. Peter also offers a dual Hot Crease/Corner before squaring off against Jordan in another round of Vet the Bet focusing on the French Open.
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After Jordan takes a late victory lap with Early Voting, the Underdogs crew select sleeper picks for the MLB awards as we round first in the baseball season. Which teams are underrated? Overrated? Are there any darkhorse Cy Young and MVP candidates? Peter then introduces us to the Indy500 in his Hot Wheels segment and the milk-mustached squad chooses their long shots. Lastly, we look at why the under bets have hit so often in the playoffs and investigate blowouts as a likely suspect.
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After Peter and Jordan enact revenge against Tom, the Underdog crew reveals why the chalky NBA conference finalists are actually underdogs in more ways than one. Peter then introduces us to some hard and fast rules of picking closers in fantasy. Finally, with the Preakness on tap, it's time to horse around and make some long shot bets.
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Jordan, Tom and Peter relive the biggest Derby upset of our lifetimes and wonder what the track record is for previous surprises. Why are there so many bad teams in baseball? Are hot goalies a thing in NHL? Is it time to Vet The Bet? Which WNBA underdogs do we love? The Underdog crew, as always, gives you the inside track.
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With the NFL Draft in the rear-view mirror, the Underdog squad takes a look ahead at NFL sleepers for the 2022 season. Is it better to be unlucky than good? Are we overemphasizing the draft? What does the injury report say? We get our hands dirty with the data and give you our favorite turnaround for next season. And lastly, with the Kentucky Derby around the corner, we take a look at some long shots and discuss the surprisingly inefficient horse auction market.
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With the NFL Draft this week, the Underdog crew brings in Los Angeles Chargers running back Austin Ekeler to the show. The undrafted Pro Bowler challenges for the throne of The Ultimate Underdog and charms the heck out of Jordan, Peter and Tom. Next, we catch up with the NBA playoffs, the analytics behind a possible 0-3 comeback and futures odds. Lastly, Peter delivers yet another scorcher for his Hot Corner.
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With NBA playoffs in high gear, the Underdog crew takes a deep dive into a contending Ultimate Underdog: Chris Paul against referee Scott Foster. The Grizzlies remind us that they're not going anywhere even if they're playing like underdogs. In the debut of Peter's Hot Corner, a scorching take on the Chicago Cubs is taken out of the oven and served for the masses. And lastly, we discuss the sneaky way that teams can win the upcoming NFL draft.
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As a key member of one of the biggest upsets in NBA history, Shane Battier, a champ at the high school, college and pro level, joins the Underdogs crew to share the secrets of overcoming long odds. Battier goes inside the 2011 Memphis Grizzlies, one of the few 8-over-1 upsets ever, and reveals some crazy stories about that team and guarding Kobe Bryant later in his career. With Battier's lessons downloaded into our brains, Jordan, Peter and Tom break down the key NBA playoff matchups and discuss their favorite underdogs. Also, Ish Smith.
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Jordan, Peter and Tom wrap up the NCAA Tournament with thoughts on Kansas taking down Carolina, an unlikely underdog. The Underdog crew reflects on lessons from this year's March Madness and debate the transfer portal's impact on the sport. Then, with Opening Day upon us, it's time to pick sleepers in MLB Awards. And last but not least, we preview the Masters with Action Network's Jason Sobel and yes, we talk about the most unlikely underdog of them all, Tiger Woods.
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The Underdog squad bids farewell to our beloved Cinderellas, Saint Peter's and Miami, before we look ahead to a Tobacco Road first: UNC vs. Duke in the NCAA tournament! Can the little-engine-that-could Tar Heels pull off the upset? Jordan tries to keep it together as we preview the Final Four matchups, including the agent of chaos: Justin Moore's injury. Also, we play around in Peter Keating's fruit bowl as we take a look at MLB over/unders. The concept of replacement level is defined and emphasized for your MLB future needs. Then Tom introduces Bankrupt Baltimore and finally, Peter delivers his Grammy long shot.
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Who saw the Iowa State Cyclones making the Sweet 16? The Underdogs crew did. Though Iowa State is not quite the Saint Peter's Peacocks, Tom, Jordan and Peter dig into the underdog story of the Cyclones making the Sweet 16 after a 2-22 season. After the crew relishes in Wisconsin's defeat, Tom jumps on the Saint Peter's bandwagon and Jordan reluctantly sings the praises of Carolina. Plus, the panel looks inward and wonders: is Providence actually a prime Giant Killer?
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After an underdog drought on Friday, Jordan, Peter and Tom debate whether they should rename the show. After recapping the Friday slate, the Underdog crew see major upset potential in the Sunday’s second-round but not without major groaning in the panel’s puns.
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The Underdogs crew tries to make sense of the Saint Peter’s historic upset over the Kentucky Wildcats. Can they keep the magic alive? Jordan, Peter and Tom identify the most likely upsets of the Saturday second-round and warn about matchups that are not underdog-friendly.
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The brackets are here, and it’s time to go upset-hunting. Using a proprietary statistical model, Peter Keating, Jordan Brenner and Tom Haberstroh go region-by-region to highlight the most likely upsets, and which matchups to avoid. Is Providence now — gasp! — underrated? Is there a 1-16 upset on the board? Does the committee hate Cinderellas? The Underdogs squad dives in.
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After Jordan mourns a monster upset in the Duke-Carolina rivalry, the Underdogs crew go through their list of vulnerable giants. North Texas coach Grant McCasland joins the show and slays the interview as if we were the Purdue Boilermakers. Then Tom, Peter and Jordan pick their NBA title sleepers and recap the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics conference. The big question: Can Peter make overdogs a thing?
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March Madness is here. With conference tournaments around the corner, the upset experts Tom Haberstroh, Peter Keating and Jordan Brenner give the scoop on which teams have what it takes to be Cinderellas come bracket time. In Stats 101, Peter explains how variance is a key ingredient for upsets. Also, the Underdog crew investigate the real reason why underdogs in the NBA went on a run during a COVID-saddled season.
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Everyone loves an underdog. Three pioneers in studying and projecting Cinderella runs in the NCAA Tournament -- Tom Haberstroh, Peter Keating and Jordan Brenner -- combine forces to figure out the why and the how upsets occur across sports -- and beyond. What's their secret sauce? And can you predict the unpredictable? The weekly Underdogs podcast is on the case. Part of the Le Batard And Friends podcast network. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices