One method of evaluating BS is to consider the consequences for whoever cooked it up. That’s why I react to any narrative peddled by the U.S. Establishment with either skepticism or outright incredulity.
As long as you’re serving its interests in DC, your risk of prosecution is minimal to non-existent depending on your stature, even if you commit obvious felonies like perjury to Congress. In terms of foreign policy, it’s the same people steering the ship from one disaster to the next while making predictions that never come true.
So, when they first claimed that Ukraine was winning as an incompetent Russia ran out of fuel and ammunition, while it took disproportionate casualties and resorted to massacring civilians, my immediate suspicion was farce. The most substantial evidence proffered was expert analysis, so it wasn’t much different than Saddam’s WMDs in this regard.
“The Russian military appears to have been a Potemkin army in the sense that it was really optimized to look good on training exercises rather than to fight well,” said @criticalthreats’ Fred Kagan. A look at how the Russian army’s problems will continue. https://t.co/ztdadHGUzm
— Julian E. Barnes (@julianbarnes) April 22, 2022
Did you know that “Kagan” is the name of a Scottish Highlands clan? The Russians never disclose figures on their own casualties and it’s not surprising that a modern army would be able to inflict casualties on another modern army. However, each morning their MOD puts out a briefing on strikes carried out in the past 24 hours and a running tally of how much Ukrainian military equipment has been eliminated. From April 26th:
“Overall, the following targets have been destroyed since the start of the special military operation: 141 aircraft, 110 helicopters, 583 unmanned aerial vehicles, 269 surface-to-air missile systems, 2,576 tanks and other combat armored vehicles, 287 multiple launch rocket systems, 1,111 field artillery guns and mortars and also 2,392 special military motor vehicles”
This comports with what one would expect to happen when a military is subjected to an opponent with air superiority and a massive qualitative and quantitative advantage in firepower. If the Russians are fabricating what’s going on, they’d eventually be exposed as liars and lose credibility because they depend on series of cooperative international relationships. Serious countries actually care about “eventually.” By contrast, if the U.S. is lying no such consequences exist because the it’s leading “The Free World,” which is under military and plutocratic occupation.
I'm glad to see Germany finally rethinking its unwillingness to send heavy weaponry to Ukraine.
Now it just needs to stop subsidizing the Russian war-crimes machine to the tune of $220 million a day.https://t.co/cjdFbYe5fp
— Max Boot (@MaxBoot) April 26, 2022
Free countries get forced into economic collapse for wars they never wanted. The new narrative is backing off Ukrainian victory and gearing towards it becoming a sort of Afghanistan for Russia. That’s ridiculous but it appears likely this tragic process for Ukraine will continue until collapse because surrender doesn’t suit this narrative. After that, whatever’s left of Ukraine will probably be in a state of ruin and dumped on the West to try and fix. We can be sure the lies about what happened will never cease.
One gets swept up in life and work and activities, and the war goes on far away, and one starts to take for granted the amazing courage and achievements of the Ukrainian people. So I want to pause to say again:
Слава Україні! Героям слава!
Glory to Ukraine! Glory to the heroes!
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) April 9, 2022
As a dissident, it can be a pretty exasperating to wait until these people who can’t be held accountable for all the death and suffering they inflict to finally deplete their credibility and prestige – you wonder if this is even possible. The answer is that I don’t really know. But, they don’t either, so they’re not going to relent at doing their best to make it happen.
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